Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-22-17 | Lakers v. Mavs UNDER 206 | Top | 73-122 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (833) and the Dallas Mavericks (834). Los Angeles (16-31) has lost five straight games after their 108-96 win over Indiana on Friday as a 3.5-point underdog. The Lakers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a points spread victory. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Now the Lakers go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record at home. |
|||||||
01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons -4 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 51 h 13 m | Show |
At 3:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Green Bay Packers (311) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (312). Green Bay (12-6) proved their mettle last week by racing out to a 21-3 lead at Dallas despite Aaron Rodgers not having his top weapon in Jordy Nelson in that game. The Packers held on to win by a 34-31 score. This is a team that has scored at least 30 points in six straight games — and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. While Nelson looks doubtful for this game and the Packers are banged up in their secondary, they have an elite quarterback perhaps playing his best football of his life — and that goes a long way for us to take Rodgers and his team as an underdog getting more than 4 points (as of this writing). The championship experience of this franchise will play a big role for Green Bay. This team has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Rodgers and company have also covered the point spread in 4 straight playoff games on the road. And this Packers’ team will have a little extra edge to themselves with the knowledge that they will be looking to avenge a 33-32 loss to Atlanta in the Georgia Dome back on October 30th. |
|||||||
01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons UNDER 61.5 | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 49 m | Show |
At 3:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (311) and the Atlanta Falcons (312). Green Bay has won eight games in a row — with the last six contests finishing Over the Total — with their 34-31 win in Dallas last week. With Aaron Rodgers on fire and the Packers’ dealing with a banged up secondary — and with this being a rematch of a 33-32 shootout in Atlanta won by the Falcons back on October 30th — it is very tempting to take the Over. That’s why the number is in the high-50s and approaching 60. But the pressure of these championship contests tend to produce Unders. Green Bay has covered the point spread in four straight games — but in games involving a team with a winning percentage in the 60-75% range who have covered the point spread in at least two straight games now facing a team with a winning record, these games finished Under the Total in 29 of the last 39 situations (74%) where these conditions applied. Furthermore, while the Packers have generated at least 406 yards in their last three games, they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after gaining at least 400 yards in each of their last two games. |
|||||||
01-21-17 | Rockets -1.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 119-95 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (513) minus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies (514). Houston (33-13) looks to rebound from their 125-108 loss to Golden State last night as a 5.5-point underdog. The Rockets have rebounded to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Houston has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games when playing without a day of rest. Now the Rockets go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games — and they have covered the point spread in five of their last six road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. |
|||||||
01-21-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota UNDER 132 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
At 4:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (601) and the Minnesota Golden Gophers (602). Wisconsin (15-3) has won two straight games with their 68-64 win over Michigan on Tuesday as a 10.5-pont favorite. The Badgers have then played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Wisconsin has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while that game barely finished above the closing 131.5-point Total, the Badgers have still played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total against Big Ten opponents. Moving forward, Wisconsin has played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 7 points or less. |
|||||||
01-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State -4.5 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (546) minus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (545). Louisville (16-3) has won four straight games with their 92-60 blowout win over Clemson on Thursday as a 5.5-point favorite. A letdown looks likely for the Cardinals as they have failed to over the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Now after playing three straight games at home, Louisville goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games. The Cardinals have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing at least three straight games at home. And in their last 7 road games as an underdog of under 7 points, Louisville has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these contests. Furthermore, while the team did miss guard Quentin Snider who is out with a hip injury earlier this week, this absence will be felt in this hostile environment in Tallahassee. |
|||||||
01-20-17 | Predators v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
At 9:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (9) and the Edmonton Oilers (10). Edmonton (25-15-4) has won four in a row with their 4-3 win over Florida in overtime on Wednesday. The Oilers have then played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after a game that needed overtime to resolve. The Under is also 24-9-1 in Edmonton’s last 34 games after a straight-up win. Moving forward, the Under is a decisive 33-15-3 in the Oilers’ last 51 games on their home ice — and the Under is 15-5-2 in their last 22 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 16 home games with the Total set at 5.5, Edmonton has played 13 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Oilers have seen the Under go 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. |
|||||||
01-20-17 | Warriors -5 v. Rockets | Top | 125-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Golden State Warriors (863) minus the points versus the Houston Rockets (864). Golden State (36-6) is embracing their inner Michael Corleone to start 2017 with them following up a revenging 126-91 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers by ripping Kevin Durant’s old teammates in the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday in their 121-100 victory. Look for the Warriors to continue their purge as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a double-digit victory. Golden State has also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 24 games after two straight double-digit wins at home. Now this team looks to avenge a 132-127 loss to Houston as an 11.5-point favorite back on December 1st. The Warriors have covered the point spread in 28 of their last 41 games when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 100 points. |
|||||||
01-19-17 | Capitals -121 v. Blues | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the money line on the Washington Capitals (51) versus the St. Louis Blues (52). Washington (29-9-2) saw their nine-game winning streak snapped on Monday in a bizarre 8-7 scoring fest that needed overtime to resolve. Goalie Braden Holtby was pulled after allowing five goals on 26 shots in that game. He will behind the pipes again tonight — and expect a big effort as he has been the best goaltender in the NHL this season with a sparkling 1.96 Goals-Against-Average along with a .930 save percentage. This entire Capitals team should rebound with a strong performance. This team has won 21 of their last 27 games after a loss in overtime. Washington has also won 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. But the Capitals have also won 7 of their last 8 games after scoring at least five goals in their last contest. This Washington offense is red hot having scored 47 goals in their last ten games. Moving forward, the Capitals have won 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Washington has also won 4 straight games against teams from the Western Conference. |
|||||||
01-18-17 | Bucks v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 92-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (514) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (513). Houston (32-12) has lost three of their last four games after their 109-103 upset loss at Miami as a 7-point favorite last night. The 40.0% shooting percentage that the Rockets’ endured was their worst offensive effort in their last fifteen games. Expect a much better effort on national television tonight. Houston has rebounded to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss. The Rockets have also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a point spread loss. And in their last 11 games playing without a day of rest, Houston has covered the point spread in 8 of these contests. |
|||||||
01-17-17 | New Mexico v. Boise State -5 | Top | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
At 11:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Boise State Broncos (742) minus the points versus the New Mexico Lobos (741). Boise State (11-5) looks to bounce-back from an 89-80 loss at Fresno State in a game where they were listed as a pick ‘em. This was one of the worst games for the Broncos all season on both ends of the court. Their 36.5% shooting percentage was their worst effort in five games while the 50% shooting mark that the Bulldogs enjoyed was their worst defensive effort in their last seven games. Despite the loss, Boise State has been playing well having covered the point spread in six of their last eight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Furthermore, the Broncos have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 5 games when favored by under 7 points, Boise State is 4-0-1 ATS. |
|||||||
01-16-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 91-126 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Golden State Warriors (514) minus the points versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (513). Golden State (34-6) has won three games in a row with their 127-107 win over Detroit on Thursday. The Warriors are then 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. Now this team looks to avenge a 109-108 loss to the Cavaliers on Christmas Day which, of course, comes after their loss to LeBron James and company in last June’s NBA Finals. A rematch in the Oracle Center should make a big difference. Golden State is 38-16-2 ATS in their last 56 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and that number tightens to a 17-5-1 ATS mark when that road team has a winning percentage away from home of 60% or better. |
|||||||
01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs -1 | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:20 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (306) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (305). Kansas City (12-4) has won two straight — as well as five of their last six games — after their 37-27 win at San Diego to close out the regular season. The Chiefs did generate 365 yards of offense in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And while KC allowed 269 yards to Phillip Rivers in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Head coach Andy Reid is so tough when given an extra week to prepare — his teams are now 19-2 straight-up after a bye-week. And quarterback Alex Smith enjoys an 11:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in the playoffs. Furthermore, the Chiefs are tied for the best turnover differential in the NFL which could play a huge role in this game given the inclement weather. Moving forward, Kansas City has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Chiefs have covered the point spread 6 times. |
|||||||
01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 45 | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:20 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). Pittsburgh (12-5) looks to build off their 30-12 win over Miami last week in the Wild Card round as a 11-point favorite. The Steelers have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a victory by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Pittsburgh has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Now the Steelers go back on the road where they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. And in their last 26 games against teams with a winning record, the Under is 19-6-1. |
|||||||
01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
At 4:40 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (308) minus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (307). Green Bay (11-6) has won seven games in a row with their 38-13 blowout win over the Giants last week at home in Lambeau Field. But while the Packers were 7-2 at home this season, they were just 4-4 on the road where they were outscored by -2.0 PPG and outgained by -13.6 net YPG. To compound matters, Aaron Rodgers will be without his best wide receiver Jordy Nelson who is out for this game with a rib injury. And while the Packers have scored at least 30 points in five straight games, that helps place the Cowboys into a historical “bounce-back” angle that has been 69% effective since 1983. Home teams coming off a loss by at least two touchdowns now facing a team that has scored at least 25 points in three straight games have then covered the point spread in 50 of the last 72 situations (71%) where these conditions applied since 1983. |
|||||||
01-14-17 | Seahawks v. Falcons OVER 52 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
At 4:35 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (301) and the Atlanta Falcons (302). Atlanta (11-5) has scored at least 28 points in six straight games which has helped them lead in the NFL with a 33.7 PPG scoring average. But the Falcons do give up their share of points and yards as well — they allow 27.7 PPG along with 371.5 total YPG when playing at home. That helps explain why Atlanta has played 8 straight games Over the Total at home. The Over is also 10-1-1 in the Falcons’ last 12 games against NFC opponents. Atlanta comes off a 38-32 win over New Orleans to end the regular season as a 7.5-point favorite. The Over is then 3-0-1 in the Falcons’ last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Atlanta has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. |
|||||||
01-11-17 | Knicks -1.5 v. 76ers | Top | 97-98 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the New York Knicks (701) plus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (702). New York (17-21) has lost eight of their last nine games with their 110-96 loss to New Orleans on Monday. The Knicks have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit loss at home. The team will benefit from the return of Derrick Rose to the court — he is listed as probable after missing that game with the Pelicans before mysterious “personal” reasons. Furthermore, New York has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. |
|||||||
01-09-17 | Clemson +6.5 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Clemson Tigers (151) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (152) in the National Championship Game. Clemson (13-1) was sluggish for much of the early part of the regular season — but they seem to be peaking now after they completely demolished a talented Ohio State team by a 31-0 score last Saturday. The outstanding Tigers’ defense held the Buckeyes to just 215 yards of offense in that game. Their defense should keep them competitive in this game. The Tigers held the Buckeyes to just 88 rushing yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 100 rushing yards in their last game. Clemson has also covered the point spread in 6 straight bowl games. Furthermore, head coach Dabo Swinney is very dangerous as the underdog where his Tigers’ teams have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games as an underdog in the 3.5-10 point range. |
|||||||
01-09-17 | Clemson v. Alabama OVER 51 | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (151) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (152) in the National Championship Game. These two teams played a scoring fest last season in Alabama’s 45-40 victory with that Total set in closing in the 50.5 point range. With both defenses coming off outstanding efforts — and with both coaches having a full calendar year to reconsider and make adjustments to their defensive game plans last year January 11th — it might be tempting to take the Under. However, major bowl games in the month of January between two major 1-A non- conference opponents have finished Over the Total in 58 of the last 86 situations where these conditions applied. Clemson (13-1) seems to be clicking on all cylinders on offense after generating 470 yards against an outstanding Ohio State defense in their 31-0 victory. Remember that Deshaun Watson passed for 478 yards last year while leading the Tigers to scoring 40 points against another elite Crimson Tide defense last year. And while Nick Saban has had a full year to fine-tune his potential defensive game plan, that has been the same old story for his defenses facing mobile quarterbacks for years going back even before Johnny Manziel. Moving forward, the Tigers have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after winning at least four straight. And Clemson has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
01-08-17 | Giants v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
At 4:40 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Green Bay Packers (108) minus the points versus the New York Giants (107). New York (11-5) has won three of their last four games with their 19-10 win at Washington to close out their regular season. With Steve Spagnolo back at defensive coordinator and this team traveling once against to Lambeau Field in the playoffs, this team is a trendy choice to be the dark horse candidate to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl as they have twice before with Eli Manning under center. But this is a very tough situation for them having to play their third straight game on the road. This is a team that is just 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And while the Giants allowed only 38 rushing yards against the Skins, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Remember that this Giants team was outgained by -9.1 net YPG this season despite their eleven victories. |
|||||||
01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks UNDER 45.5 | Top | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Lions (103) and the Seattle Seahawks (104). Detroit (9-7) has lost three straight games with their 31-24 loss to Green Bay last week. The Lions did surrender 448 yards in that contest — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Detroit did pass for 336 yards in that contest — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The lack of a credible rushing attack with Theo Riddick the latest casualty in their backfield leaves this team one-dimensional on offense. Now the Lions go out west on a short week where they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total including ten of their last twelve road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. |
|||||||
01-06-17 | Rhode Island v. Dayton -2 | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Dayton Flyers (518) minus the points versus the Rhode Island Rams (517). Dayton (11-3) has won four straight games after their 90-74 win at St. Bonaventure as a 2-point underdog. The Flyers are getting healthy again with forward Kendall Pollard getting back into rhythm after missing time in the first two months of the season. Dayton returns plenty of talent from the team that made the NCAA Tournament last year for the third straight season for head coach Archie Miller — plus they get a healthy Pollard back into the mix after missing most of last season. The Flyers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win. Dayton has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage over 60%. Now this team returns home where they are a near perfect 7-1 this season with an average winning margin of +17.3 PPG. The Flyers shoot a sizzling 49.2% from the field while holding their opponents to just 38.0% shooting on their home court. That helps explain why Dayton has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on their home court. |
|||||||
01-05-17 | Connecticut v. Memphis UNDER 129 | Top | 61-70 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (717) and the Memphis Tigers (718) on ESPN2. UConn (5-8) has lost three straight games with their 61-59 loss at Tulsa on Saturday. This struggling Huskies team shot just 40.4% from the field — but they are still playing tough defense for head coach Kevin Ollie as they held the Golden Hurricanes to just 36.1% shooting. UConn has then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight up loss. The Huskies have also played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road. Additionally, UConn has played 4 straight games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Huskies have played all 4 games Under the Total. |
|||||||
01-04-17 | Coyotes v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Coyotes (9) and the Vancouver Canucks (10). Arizona (11-21-4) has lost seven straight games with their 4-2 loss at Calgary on Saturday. The Under is then a decisive 18-6-3 in the Coyotes’ last 27 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. They send out goalie Mike Smith who has been solid away from home where he has a 2.64 Goals-Against-Average along with a .927 save percentage. The Under is 7-2-2 win Arizona’s last 11 games on the road — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on home ice. Furthermore, the Under is 15-5-4 in the Coyotes’ last 24 games against Western Conference opponents. Additionally, the Under is 15-7-4 in Arizona’s last 26 games against fellow Pacific Division opponents. |
|||||||
01-03-17 | Kings v. Sharks -134 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -134 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the money line on the San Jose Sharks (64) versus the Los Angeles Kings (63). San Jose (23-13-1) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 3-2 loss in Los Angeles against the Kings. The Sharks have won 4 straight games in the second-half of a home-and-home series. San Jose has also won 7 of their last 10 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. The defending Western Conference Champions will be without defenseman Marc-Edoard Vlasic who is out indefinitely with a concussion. But goalie Martin Jones has been outstanding at home this year where he owns a 1.65 Goals-Against-Average along with a .930 save percentage. The Sharks have won 21 of their last 28 games at home including seven of their last eight home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
|||||||
01-03-17 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +1.5 | Top | 75-68 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Indiana Hoosiers (740) plus the point(s) versus the Wisconsin Badgers (739). Indiana (10-4) has lost two straight games after their embarrassing 77-62 loss to Louisville on Saturday as a 3-point underdog. The Hoosiers should bounce-back with a strong effort after shooting just 32.2% from the field. Indiana has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. The Hoosiers have also covered the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Indiana has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home as the underdog. |
|||||||
01-02-17 | Auburn +3 v. Oklahoma | Top | 19-35 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Auburn Tigers (281) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (282) in the Sugar Bowl. Oklahoma (10-2) enters the Sugar Bowl as Big 12 Champions after their 38-20 win over Oklahoma State as 12-point favorite. The Sooners have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. While this Oklahoma team looks powerful on offense, they are very suspect on defense. They were 75th in the nation by allowing 29.7 PPG — and they rank even lower at 88th in the FBS by surrendering 439.8 total YPG. Additionally, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 bowl games — most recently being their 37-17 shellacking at the hands of Clemson in the National Playoff Semifinals last year. Moving forward, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games played on a neutral field. The Sooners have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against opponents outside the Big 12. |
|||||||
01-01-17 | Packers v. Lions UNDER 49.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (309) and the Detroit Lions (310). Green Bay (9-6) has won five straight games with their 38-25 win over Minnesota last Saturday. The Packers have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while Green Bay managed only 40 rushing yards in that contest, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 90 rushing yards. Moving forward, the Packers have played 30 of their last 46 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range. And while the Lions complete 65.5% of their passes, Green Bay has played 26 of their last 37 road games Under the Total against teams that complete at least 64% of their passes. |
|||||||
01-01-17 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the San Diego Chargers (328) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (327). San Diego (5-10) has lost four straight games after their humiliating 20-17 loss at Cleveland in providing the Browns their first win of the season and avoid NFL infamy. That did look like a trap game for the Chargers last Saturday. But look for San Diego to bounce-back as they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a straight-up loss. The team has plenty of motivation this afternoon besides getting a small measure of redemption while playing spoiler for the Chiefs’ playoff positioning. With head coach Mike McCoy on the hot seat, his team is playing for his job — and they do seem to like him. This also may be the last game this team plays in San Diego with rumors circulating that the franchise may be moving to Los Angeles. The Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in January. San Diego has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against AFC West opponents. Five of the Chargers’ ten losses this season were decided by four points or less — and they have pulled off two upset wins this year — which makes them a dangerous underdog in this game. |
|||||||
01-01-17 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (319) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (320). Pittsburgh (10-5) clinched the AFC North last Sunday with their 31-27 win over the Ravens. The Under is then 19–8-1 in the Steelers’ last 27 games after a straight-up win. Pittsburgh has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Moving forward, look for the Steelers to play it tight on offense this week with their playoff spot secure. As it is, Pittsburgh has played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The Under is also 19-7-1 in the Steelers’ last 28 games against AFC North opponents. |
|||||||
01-01-17 | Texans v. Titans -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 0 h 23 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (302) minus the points versus the Houston Texans (301). Tennessee (8-7) laid an egg last week on the road against the hapless Jaguars in a 38-17 loss. The Titans not only lost their starting quarterback in Marcus Mariota but they also saw their playoff hopes dashed with that loss. But in the first full season under head coach Mike Mularkey — and with the opportunity to earn their first winning season since 2011 — expect a spirited effort from this team looking to avenge a 27-20 loss to the Texans back on October 2nd. Tennessee’s opportunity to defeat the AFC South champions is supported by a very specific historical angle that has been 77% effective since 1983. Favorites in the 3.5-10 point range coming off a double-digit upset loss as a favorite now looking to avenge a loss against their opponent have then covered the point spread in 34 of the last 44 situations where these conditions applied. |
|||||||
12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson OVER 58 | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (273) and the Clemson Tigers (274) in the Fiesta Bowl in the National Semifinals. Clemson (12-1) has won three straight games with their 42-35 win over Virginia Tech in the ACC Championship Game. Over their last five games, the Tigers have scored at least 35 points in all those contests — which likely spells this game being another high-scoring affair. Clemson has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Tigers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while QB DeShaun Watson passed for 288 yards in that contest, they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last contest. And this Clemson team has played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
12-30-16 | South Alabama v. Air Force OVER 54 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
At 5:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (261) and the Air Force Falcons (262). Air Force (9-3) enters this bowl game having won five straight games with their 27-20 win over Boise State as a 7-point underdog. The Falcons have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Behind their spread triple option, Air Force was 3rd in the nation by averaging 322.8 rushing YPG. This offense should churn out plenty of yards against this Jaguars’ defense that is 98th in the nation by surrendering 212.1 rushing YPG. Moving forward, the Falcons have played 4 of their last 5 games in the month of December Over the Total. Air Force has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral field. |
|||||||
12-25-16 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 37.5 | Top | 10-33 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 0 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (129) and the Kansas City Chiefs (130). Kansas City (10-4) looks to bounce-back from a 19-17 loss to Tennessee last week despite being a 6-point favorite. The Chiefs have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Kansas City has also seen the Under go 35-15-1 in their last 51 games after a point spread loss. And while the Chiefs surrendered 389 yards in that contest, they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. KC stays at home for this contest where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. |
|||||||
12-23-16 | Thunder v. Celtics UNDER 213 | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (709) and the Boston Celtics (710). Oklahoma City (17-12) has won two of their last three games with their 121-110 win at New Orleans on Wednesday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Thunder have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win. OKC will be playing this game once again without Victor Olidapo who is out indefinitely with a wrist injury. The Thunder stay on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. OKC has also played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. |
|||||||
12-22-16 | Giants v. Eagles UNDER 43 | Top | 19-24 | Push | 0 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (101) and the Philadelphia Eagles (102). New York (10-4) has won eight of their last nine games with their 17-6 win over Detroit last Sunday as a 4-point favorite. The Giants have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Giants are getting it done with defense. They have not allowed the last eight opposing quarterbacks to register a QB Rating of at least 100. Over their last three games, New York is holding their opponents to just 12.3 PPG along with only 324.3 total YPG. But the offense has not been potent during this time as they are scoring just 13.7 PPG along with averaging only 264.7 total YPG over their last three games. Moving forward, the Giants have played 6 straight games on the road Under the Total. Furthermore, New York has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And while the Eagles allow 239 passing YPG, the Giants have played 8 straight games Under the Total against teams that allow at least 235 passing YPG. |
|||||||
12-20-16 | Spurs v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | Top | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (515) and the Houston Rockets (516). San Antonio (22-5) has won four straight games with their 113-100 win over New Orleans on Sunday. The Spurs now go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 17 of their last 25 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, not only has San Antonio has played 26 of their last 39 road games as the favorite of 6 points or less, they have played eleven of their last thirteen road games when favored by 3 points or less. Furthermore, the Spurs have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow Southwest Division opponents. And while the Rockets score 113.1 PPG, San Antonio has played 27 of their last 41 games Under the Total against teams that score at least 103 PPG. |
|||||||
12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins OVER 50.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (331) and the Washington Redskins (332). Carolina (5-8) snapped their two-game losing streak last Sunday with their 28-16 win over San Diego as 1-point favorite. The Panthers have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Carolina limited the Chargers to just 278 yards in that game but that level of defensive play has been the exception for this team this season. Over their last three games, the Panthers have allowed 30.3 PPG. And when Carolina goes on the road, they are allowing 32.5 PPG along with 439.8 total YPG. The Panthers now go on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total. The Panthers have also played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Carolina has also played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 25 games against NFC opponents, the Panthers have played 18 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
12-18-16 | Patriots v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-3 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (326) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (325). Denver (8-5) has lost two of their last three games with their 13-10 loss at Tennessee last week as a 2-point underdog. The Broncos have rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. Denver is also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a point spread loss. The problem for this Broncos team has been their run defense as they allowed 180 rushing yards from the Titans last week. Denver has then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last contest. But now after playing two straight games on the road, the Broncos return home where they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home. Furthermore, Denver will look to redeem themselves in front of their home fans after losing their last game at home to the Chiefs by a 30-27 score. This team is getting good play out of Trevor Siemian who completed 33 of 51 passes for 334 yards and one touchdown and no interceptions against Tennessee. The Broncos must find balance as they ran the ball only nine times last week despite it being a low-scoring game. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Southern Miss v. UL-Lafayette +7 | Top | 28-21 | Push | 0 | 23 h 13 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (212) plus the points versus the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (211) in the New Orleans Bowl. Louisiana (6-6) became bowl eligible in their final regular game of the season when they defeated UL-Monroe by a 30-3 score on the road. The Ragin’ Cajuns have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Louisiana managed only 240 yards of offense in that game (zero in the air) — but they are then 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after failing to generate at least 275 yards of offense in their last game. Both QB Anthony Jennings (the former LSU starter) and running back Elijah McGuire were banged up in that game but should be in much better physical condition for this game. This is a program that brings their “A-Game” to the New Orleans Bowl where they have covered the point spread in 4 straight appearances. In fact, the Ragin’ Cajuns have won their last four New Orleans Bowls where they enjoy their biggest home crowd advantage of the season — and they were underdog winners in three of those contests. Louisiana looked destined to improve off their 4-8 record last season with had coach Mark Hudspeth entering for his sixth season with fourteen returning starters. They beat Nevada by a 16-3 score in the 2014 New Orleans Bowl so this group should be hungry to make a good impression in front of their Cajun crowd. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 38.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (303) and the New York Jets (304). Miami (8-5) has won seven of their last eight games with their 26-23 win over Arizona last week as a 2-point underdog. The formula for success for this team has been controlling the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball with their very good respective offensive and defensive lines. The Dolphins held the Cardinals offense to just 300 yards of offense in that contest. In particular, Miami limited Arizona to just 125 passing yards in that contest — and they have then seen the Under go 12-4-1 in their last 17 games after allowing 150 or fewer passing yards. The Dolphins will focus on running the football to wear down the will of this Jets’ team with QB Ryan Tannehill out for perhaps the season with MCL and ACL sprains. Perennial backup QB Matt Moore will make his first start since 2011 and will not likely remind Miami fans of Dan Marino. Additionally, Miami has played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total when playing on turf. |
|||||||
12-16-16 | Portland State +9 v. San Francisco | Top | 82-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Portland State Vikings (535) plus the points versus the San Francisco Dons (536). San Francisco (7-1) has won three straight games after their 91-59 win over San Francisco State was back on December 6th. The ten days off may leave the Dons rusty. Perhaps even more telling, this will be San Francisco’s first boarded game with a line in most locations since a 96-90 loss at Eastern Washington back on November 27th despite being a 2-point favorite. A sluggish effort looks likely. The Dons have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight home games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. San Francisco has also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 32 home games after a straight-up win. And while the Dons won the rebounding battle by +20 in that victory, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after out-rebounding their last opponent by at least +15 boards. Moving forward, San Francisco has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games as the favorite. And in their last 10 games out the West Coast Conference, the Dons have failed to cover the point spread 7 times. |
|||||||
12-16-16 | Bucks v. Bulls UNDER 203.5 | Top | 95-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (509) and the Chicago Bulls (510). Milwaukee (12-12) looks to pull the sweep over the Bulls tonight in their home-and-home series after they defeated them by a 108-97 score last night in a pick ‘em game. The Bucks have then played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Milwaukee has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. This team will likely be without Michael Beasley again tonight who is dealing with a foot injury. Backup Mirza Teletovic stepped up in his absence last night by scoring 13 points on 50% shooting which included three 3-pointers. Do not hold your breath for a repeat performance on the road. The Bucks have played 13 of their last 19 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against Central Division opponents. |
|||||||
12-15-16 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 38.5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (301) and the Seattle Seahawks (302). Seattle (8-4-1) has lost two of their last three games with their rough 38-10 loss at Green Bay last Sunday. The Seahawks have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. It was five interceptions from QB Russell Wilson that made the difference in that game. The Seattle defense did not play poorly as they held the Packers to just 320 yards of offense. The Seahawks do step up their play against NFC West rivals as they have held them to only 11.0 PPG. Seattle has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against NFC West foes. Additionally, the Seahawks have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 16 games in the month of December, Seattle has played 12 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
12-14-16 | Kings v. Rockets -9.5 | Top | 98-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (514) minus the points versus the Sacramento Kings (513). Houston (18-7) has won seven straight games with their 122-118 win over Brooklyn on Monday as a 13.5-point favorite. The Rockets have then covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a point spread loss. Houston has also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after both scoring at least 100 points in their last game as well as surrendering at least 100 points in their last game. This Rockets team is seeing much better play on defense this month as their Defensive Rating of 99.4 is 5th best this month. Moving forward, Houston has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. The Rockets have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
|||||||
12-13-16 | Panthers v. Wild -138 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the money line on the Minnesota Wild (66) versus the Florida Panthers (65). Minnesota (15-8-2) has won four straight games with their 3-1 win over St. Louis on Sunday. The Wild have then won 4 of their last 5 games after a victory. Additionally, Minnesota has won 4 straight games after allowing two goals or less in their last contest. Additionally, the Wild are tough at home where they have won 5 of their last home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They are getting outstanding goaltending from Devan Dubnyk who sports a 1.63 Goals-Against-Average and a .946 save percentage. The Panthers average 31.2 shots per game this season — but the Wild have won 8 of their last 9 games against teams that average at least 29.5 shots per game. Furthermore, Minnesota averages 29.9 shots per game — and the Panthers have lost 13 of their last 17 games against teams that average at least 29.5 shot per contest. |
|||||||
12-11-16 | Cowboys -3.5 v. Giants | Top | 7-10 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (131) minus the points versus the New York Giants (132). New York (804) saw their six-game winning streak snapped last week in a 24-14 loss at Pittsburgh as a 6.5-point underdog. The Giants are then 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after both a straight-up loss as well as after a point spread setback. New York was outclassed and outgained by -155 net yards by the Steelers. They surrendered 389 total yards in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Offensive line is an issue for this team — and it helps explain why they average only 26:50 minutes of possession time per game. Head coach Ben McAdoo — a Mike McCarthy protege in his time as offensive coordinator for the Packers — has an offense suffering from of the same issues that has faced Green Bay this season in failing to utilize their skill players in an offense that has become predictable in 2016. Despite their winning record, the Giants usually get out-gained in the yardage battle. They are being outgained by -29.5 net YPG this season — and over their last three games, they are being outgained by -62.7 net YPG. |
|||||||
12-11-16 | Saints +2.5 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (121) plus the points versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (122). New Orleans (5-7) has lost three of their last four games with their 28-13 loss at home to Detroit last week as a 6-point favorite. The Saints have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a loss by at least 14 points. New Orleans should be able to score on this Buccaneers defense as they rank 2nd in the NFL in points while leading the league in total years and passing yards behind Drew Brees. That has helped the Saints go 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games against teams with a winning record. New Orleans has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Saints have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against NFC South opponents. New Orleans will be confident in this contest as they have won eight of their last nine games in this series. |
|||||||
12-11-16 | Texans +6.5 v. Colts | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (109) plus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (110). Houston (6-6) has lost three games in a row with their 21-13 loss at Green Bay last week as a 7-point underdog. The Texans have then rebounded to go 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their last game. This franchise has been tough after dropping at least two straight games as they have then covered the point spread in 43 of their last 69 games after losing at least two in a row. Furthermore, Houston has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 road games after a loss on the road. Head coach Bill O’Brien usually gets the most out of his team against divisional rivals as they are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games against AFC South opponents. Furthermore, his teams have covered the point spread in 6 straight road games against divisional rivals. The Texans are getting healthier again on defense with Johnathan Joseph, John Simon and Jadeveon Clowney all likely to take the field this afternoon. |
|||||||
12-10-16 | Jets v. Flames -123 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the money line on the Calgary Flames (18) versus the Winnipeg Jets (17). Calgary (15-13-2) is one of the hottest teams in the NHL having won five straight games after their 2-1 win in Arizona on Thursday. The Flames have then won 4 straight games after scoring two goals or less in their last contest. The Calgary hot streak has coincided with Chad Johnson taking over in goal for Brian Elliott. The Flames have won ten of their last twelve games with Johnson making the start. The former Buffalo Sabres’ goalie has an outstanding 1.98 Goals-Against-Average along with a .932 save percentage this season. The Flames return home where they are just 6-7-2 this year. But Calgary has won 4 of their last 5 games on home ice — and they have won 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Flames have won 4 straight games against teams with a losing record. |
|||||||
12-10-16 | Michigan v. UCLA -8.5 | Top | 84-102 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the UCLA Bruins (580) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (579). UCLA (9-0) scored a huge win last Saturday with their 97-92 win at Kentucky. The extended seven days for exams hold help this team settle their emotions and get down to business again under head coach Steve Alford after this team did not make the NCAA Tournament last season. The Bruins have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up win. UCLA returns virtually every important player from the team that defeated Kentucky and Gonzaga last year but finished just 15-17. Alford recruited a one-and-doner in point guard L.J. Jordan along with an McDonald’s All-American in power forward T.J. Leaf to join the nucleus from last season. The results have been spectacular as they are scoring 97 PPG while easily being the best shooting team in the nation so far this season. The Bruins lead the nation with both their 60.8% shooting percentage inside the arc as well as their scorching hot 45.4% shooting mark from 3-point land. UCLA improves their 3-point shooting to a 46.1% mark when playing at home. The Bruins have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. UCLA has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 home games when favored in the 7-12 point range. And this team has covered the point spread in 6 straight games outside the Pac-12. |
|||||||
12-10-16 | Army v. Navy UNDER 47 | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Army West Point Black Knights (103) and the Navy Midshipmen. Army West Point (6-5) enters this contest coming off a dominant 60-3 win over Morgan State back on November 19th. This team may experience some rust on offense with the three-week break. As it is, the Black Knights have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a bye week. Additionally, Army has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. And in their last 10 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game, the Black Knights have played 9 of these games Under the Total. This team does play outstanding defense as they rank 4th in the FBS by limiting teams to just 288.9 total YPG. Army has played 23 of their last 30 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record including six straight contests against winning teams. |
|||||||
12-10-16 | Army +4.5 v. Navy | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 1 h 28 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Army West Point Black Knights (103) plus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (104). Navy (9-3) limps into this game injured and without rest after they were crushed in the American Athletic Conference Championship Game last week by Temple by a 34-10 score. The Midshipmen lost their second starting quarterback to a season-ending injury in that game when Will Worth suffered a foot injury. Sophomore Zach Abbey will make the start for this game despite beginning the season as the third-stringer. Unfortunately, this Navy team has other injuries up and down both sides of the football besides at the quarterback position. This will also be the first time since 1941 that the Midshipmen will not have had more than one week to prepare for this rivalry game. This is a team that enjoyed five net close victories decided by just one scoring possession. It is telling that they only outgained their opponents by +20.6 net YPG. Army averages 328 rushing YPG — and Navy has failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games against teams that average at least 230 rushing YPG. |
|||||||
12-09-16 | Magic +7 v. Hornets | Top | 88-109 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Orlando Magic (701) plus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets (702). Orlando (10-13) was riding high on Wednesday having won three straight games and enjoying a 1-point entering the locker room at half-time at home as a 1-point underdog against the Celtics. But this Magic team then get destroyed in the second-half by getting crushed by 31-points in an ugly 117-87 final score. Look for this team to bounce-back in their first meeting against their Southeast Division rivals. Orlando shot just 37.0% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last eight contests. The 51.2% shooting that they allowed Boston to nail was their worst defensive performance in their last fifteen games. This team is playing better with center Serge Ibaka getting comfortable with his role on the team. Their interior should only be stronger tonight with Nikola Vucevic listed as probable with his eye injury after not playing on Wednesday. The Magic have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 20 games after a home game where they were the underdog. Orlando has not been favored in four straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after being the underdog for at least three straight contests. Additionally, the Magic are 6-6 on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games. And in their last 17 trips to Charlotte, Orlando has covered the point spread in 12 of these contests. |
|||||||
12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs -3.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (102) minus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (101). Kansas City (9-3) is flying under the radar having won seven of their last eight games — and nineteen of their last twenty-two regular season contests — after their 29-28 win at Atlanta last Sunday. That culminated a very challenging week which started on Monday with an overtime win on the road at Denver. The Chiefs generated 389 yards of offense in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And while Kansas City allowed 290 passing yards in that contest, they have also covered the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Now this team returns home where they have won ten of their last eleven games. While the Raiders get most of the national attention, the Chiefs have the opportunity to take full command of winning the AFC West with a victory here which would give them the tie-breaker considering their earlier 26-10 win in Oakland last month. |
|||||||
12-07-16 | Warriors -4 v. Clippers | Top | 115-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Golden State Warriors (719) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Clippers (720). If there was any doubt about how this Golden State team (18-3) feels about the Clippers should have been resolved by their 120-75 win over the Clippers back on October 4th in exhibition play. The Warriors will be playing this game with tons of momentum having won their fourteenth of their last fifteen games with their 142-106 win over Indiana on Monday. Klay Thompson was magnificent in this contest by scoring a whopping 60 points in just 29 minutes of play. When your third scoring option is able to control games like Thompson did on Monday, it is a testament to just how powerful this team is. With Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant, this team leads the NBA by scoring 120.2 PPG. They have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after a win by at least 20 points. They are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 game after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Warriors are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, Golden State is 3-1-1 ATS. |
|||||||
12-06-16 | Coyotes v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Coyotes (17) and the Chicago Blackhawks (18). Chicago (16-8-3) has lost two straight games with their 2-1 loss to Winnipeg on Sunday. The Under is 3-1-5 in Chicago’s last 9 games after scoring two goals or less. The Under is also 6-1-3 in the Blackhawks’ last 10 games when playing with one day of rest. This team is struggling on offense having scored one goal or less in five of their last eight games. Chicago is also without goalie Corey Crawford who is recovering from an appendectomy. The Blackhawks do have one of the better backups in the league in Scott Darling who has a 2.71 Goals-Against-Average along with a .912 save percentage. Moving forward, the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games against Western Conference opponents. The Under is also 11-4-3 in Chicago’s last 18 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. |
|||||||
12-06-16 | Purdue -11 v. Arizona State | Top | 97-64 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (555) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (556). Purdue (6-2) has won five of their last six games with their 90-56 win over Morehead State on Saturday as a 21.5-point favorite. Not only have the Boilermakers then covered there point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win but they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a point spread win. Additionally, Purdue has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a win by at least 20 points. This team has high expectations this season after reaching the Big Ten Tournament Championship Game last year. Their two losses to Villanova and Louisville were against two of the likely top ten teams in the nation. Moving forward, the Boilermakers are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 games as a favorite. Purdue has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as a favorite on a neutral court with this game being played in Madison Square Garden. |
|||||||
12-05-16 | Colts -1 v. Jets | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (377) plus the points versus the New York Jets (378). Indianapolis (5-6) saw their two-game losing streak snapped on Thanksgiving with their 28-7 loss to the Steelers as an 8-point underdog. This Colts team was without quarterback Andrew Luck for that game — and backup Scott Tolzien was unsurprisingly ineffective in his absence. The team will have Luck again under center for this contest. Indy has been reliable in bounce-back situations like this as they have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 34 games after a straight-up loss. The Colts have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Indianapolis has covered the point spread in 23 of their last 30 games against teams with a losing record. The Colts have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Furthermore, Indianapolis has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games on Monday Night Football. |
|||||||
12-04-16 | Panthers v. Seahawks OVER 43.5 | Top | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (375) and the Seattle Seahawks (376). Seattle (7-3-1) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last week with a surprising 14-5 loss at Tampa Bay. The Seahawks have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. And while Seattle passed for only 118 yards in that game, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game. |
|||||||
12-04-16 | Redskins v. Cardinals -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (372) minus the points versus the Washington Redskins (371). Arizona (4-6-1) has been one of the league’s biggest disappointments this season having lost two games in a row after their 38-19 loss in Atlanta last week. But three of their last four games have been on the road — and this has been a much better team at home under head coach Bruce Arians. The Cardinals are outscoring their opponents at home by +9.1 PPG due to their suffocating defense that limits their guests to just 12.7 PPG along with only 287.5 total YPG. Arizona has covered the point spread in 41 of their last 63 games at home after losing at least two straight games. The Cardinals have also covered the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after a game that finished Over the Total. The Arizona defense should play much better in this contest. Their pass defense ranks 2nd in the NFL — and the deeper metrics at Football Outsiders rate that unit as the 5th best overall in the league. Additionally, the Cardinals have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games in the month of December. |
|||||||
12-04-16 | Chiefs v. Falcons UNDER 50.5 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City (353) and the Atlanta Falcons (354). Kansas City (8-3) has won six of their last seven games after their 30-27 win at Denver last week. The Chiefs did surrender 340 passing yards in that contest — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards. And while KC managed to rush for just 83 yards, they have then played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total after failing to rush for more than 90 yards. Additionally, the Chiefs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
12-03-16 | Virginia Tech +11 v. Clemson | Top | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (331) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (332). Virginia Tech has won five of their last six games after their 52-10 thumping of Virginia in their rivalry game. This is a underrated team flying under the radar but who have begun to thrive under first-year Justin Fuente and his up-tempo spread offense. Junior college transfer Jerod Evans has mastered this offense by leading the team in rushing while tossing 26 touchdown passes to just five interceptions. The Hokies outscore their opponents by +13.9 PPG while outgaining them by +121.2 net YPG. And while the Tigers held their opponents to 17.0 PPG, Virginia Tech has covered the point spread in 32 of their last 49 games against teams that do not allow more than 17 PPG. But perhaps the biggest development for this team this season is the resurgence of their defense under defensive coordinator Bud Carson who stayed with the program after Frank Beamer retired at the end of last season. Carson’s unit held ACC opponents to 80 YPG below their season average. |
|||||||
12-03-16 | San Diego State v. Wyoming OVER 56.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:45 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (329) and the Wyoming Cowboys (330). Wyoming (8-4) has lost two of their last three games after their 56-35 loss at New Mexico last week. The Cowboys surrendered a whopping 690 yards in that contest — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. Now Wyoming returns home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 13 of their last 18 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Cowboys have played 4 straight games Over the Total against Mountain West Conference opponents. Wyoming ranks 116th in the FBS by allowing 475.4 total YPG. The 491 YPG they allowed against conference opponents was 66 YPG higher than those teams conference average on offense. |
|||||||
12-03-16 | San Diego State -6 v. Wyoming | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:45 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the San Diego State Aztecs (329) minus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (330). San Diego State (9-3) will be looking to avenge a 34-33 loss at Wyoming back on November 19th. That began a two-game slide for head coach Rocky Long’s team that culminated in a 63-31 upset loss to Colorado State last week as an 11.5-point favorite. The Aztecs have been on cruise control for those two games after clinching their participation in this Championship Game tonight. Expect a strong effort tonight. San Diego State has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while the Aztecs gave up 507 yards in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. San Diego State has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Aztecs have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
|||||||
12-02-16 | Colorado +8.5 v. Washington | Top | 10-41 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Colorado Buffaloes (305) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (306). Colorado (10-2) has won six in a row with their 27-22 win over Utah last week. The Buffaloes have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. And while Colorado failed to cover the 11.5-point spread in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread victory. With eighteen returning starters from last year in head coach Mike McIntyre’s third season, this team is really clicking now and will be a dangerous underdog in this contest. The Buffaloes have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
12-01-16 | Rockets +11 v. Warriors | Top | 132-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (711) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (712). Houston (11-7) looks to bounce-back from a 120-101 loss at Utah on Tuesday as a pick ‘em. The Rockets have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread setback. Additionally, in their last 11 games after allowing at least 10 points in their last game, they have covered the point spread 10 times. The 55.4% shooting percentage of the Jazz was the best offensive performance any team has produced against Houston. The Rockets’ 40.7% shooting percentage was their worst offensive effort in their last nine contests. This game means plenty to this Rockets team that will be facing the Warriors for the first-time under first-year head coach Mike D’Antoni and his up-tempo 3-point shooting offensive attack. Moving forward, Houston has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
|||||||
11-30-16 | Pistons v. Celtics UNDER 201.5 | Top | 121-114 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (505) and the Boston Celtics (506). Detroit (9-10) has won three of their last four games after their 112-89 win at Charlotte last night. The Pistons won that game despite their defensive wizard Andre Drummond being ejected from that game in the second quarter. Drummond was not suspended for tonight’s contest so Detroit will have his shot-blocking presence down low. The Pistons have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win by double-digits — and they have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Detroit has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Pistons look to avenge a 94-92 loss at home to the Celtics back on November 19th. Detroit has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss at home. The Pistons have also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
11-29-16 | Syracuse +6.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Syracuse Orange (727) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (728). Syracuse (4-1) looks to rebound from their first loss of the season on Saturday in a 64-50 loss to South Carolina as an 8.5-point favorite. The Orange shot a season-low 31.8% from the field while allowing the Gamecocks to shoot 45% which was the best mark any opponent has shot against them after their next worst defensive effort was allowing an opponent to shoot just 31.2%. Considering that Syracuse lost to this Badgers’ team in the ACC-Big Ten Challenge last year at home by a 66-58 score, head coach Jim Boeheim should have his team extremely focused for this bounce-back and revenge situation. As it is, the Orange have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Syracuse lost three players from the group that made their surprise run to the Final Four last year — but Boeheim has compensated for these losses with an influx of freshman and transfers led by Andrew White III who leads the team by scoring 15.8 PPG after coming over from Nebraska. This team has covered the point spread in 24 of their last 34 road games against non-conference opponents. Syracuse has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road. Furthermore, the Orange have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog of under 7 points. |
|||||||
11-28-16 | Packers v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Philadelphia Eagles (276) minus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (275). Green Bay (4-6) has lost four straight games after their 42-24 loss at Washington last week. The Packers are then just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a loss by at least 14 points. Green Bay has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Additionally, while the Packers generated 424 yards in that game, they are then just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now this reeling team plays their third game in a row away from Lambeau Field. To compound matters, the Packers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of November. |
|||||||
11-27-16 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Broncos | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (271) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (272). Kansas City (7-3) looks to rebound from an embarrassing 19-17 loss to Tampa Bay last week as a 7-point favorite. The Chiefs have rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Frankly, this team may have been looking ahead to this AFC West showdown — and a win in this contest would go a long way to redeem themselves from that bad loss at home. Remember, this team has won seventeen of their last twenty regular season games under head coach Andy Reid. They have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in November. And in their last 11 games on the road, Kansas City has covered the point spread in 8 of these games. |
|||||||
11-27-16 | Patriots v. Jets +8.5 | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Jets (274) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (273). New York has lost two in a row after a 9-6 loss to the Los Angeles Rams back on November 13th. With talk of the Jets losing confidence in head coach Todd Bowles, it might be very tempting to expect a blowout from the Patriots. Instead, expect Bowles to have used the bye week to rally this football team together considering that every one of them are playing for their jobs next week. As it is, the Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after failing to score at least 15 points. New York is also 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 games against fellow AFC East foes, the Jets are 7-3-1 ATS. |
|||||||
11-27-16 | Titans -6 v. Bears | Top | 27-21 | Push | 0 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (253) minus the points versus the Chicago Bears (254). Chicago (2-8) has lost two straight games as well as five of their last six games after a 22-16 loss at New York against the Giants as a 7-point underdog. The Bears have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. The team suffered a huge blow in that game with Jay Cutler suffering a shoulder injury which will keep him out indefinitely (and which might have been his last game on the field as a Bear). With Brian Hoyer also on the shelf, head coach John Fox will have to resort to the recently signed Matt Barkley as his starting quarterback with former Bear David Foles picked up off the street to be his backup. This is a team already missing key pieces with their All-Pro guard Kyle Long out with an injury and All-Pro wide receiver Alshon Jeffery serving the second of a four-game PED suspension. As it is, Chicago has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. The Bears have also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 34 games at home, Chicago is just 9-24-1 ATS. |
|||||||
11-27-16 | Chargers -2.5 v. Texans | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the San Diego Chargers (251) minus the points versus the Houston Texans (252). San Diego (4-6) has lost two of their last three games after a 31-24 loss to Miami back on November 13th as a 4.5-point favorite. Enjoying the bye week should help this team. As it is, the Chargers have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, San Diego has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. All six of the Chargers losses this season have been decided by just one scoring possession. This team has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. QB Phillip Rivers has also ensured that his team are capable road warriors. Not only have they covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on the road, they have also covered the point spread in four of their last five road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
|||||||
11-26-16 | Wyoming v. New Mexico +3 | Top | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
At 10:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the New Mexico Lobos (222) plus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (221). New Mexico (7-4) saw their five-game winning streak snapped last week in a 49-31 loss at Colorado State last week. The Lobos have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, while New Mexico allowed 412 rushing yards in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Lobos have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 13 games in the month of November, New Mexico has covered the point spread 9 times. On their home field, the Lobos are 4-1 with an average winning margin of +11.4 PPG while outgaining their guests by +51.2 net YPG. |
|||||||
11-26-16 | South Carolina v. Clemson UNDER 50 | Top | 7-56 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the South Carolina Gamecocks (143) and the Clemson Tigers (144). South Carolina (6-5) enters this rivalry game having won four of their last five games with their 44-31 win over Western Carolina last week as a 30.5-point favorite. The Gamecocks have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, while South Carolina gained 588 yards in that game, they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Moving forward, the Gamecocks have played 5 straight games on the road Under the Total. And in their last 10 games in November, South Carolina has played 8 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
11-26-16 | Notre Dame +17.5 v. USC | Top | 27-45 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (217) plus the points versus the Southern California Trojans (218). Notre Dame (4-7) lost their seventh game this season last week to Virginia Tech by a 34-31 score despite being a 1-point favorite. All seven off the Fighting Irish’s losses this season have been decided by one scoring possession. Despite their record, Notre Dame is outscoring their opponents by +4.8 PPG while outgaining them by +42.7 net YPG. The Fighting Irish should respond with a good effort as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. With this being the last game this season for this team that cannot reach bowl eligibility, expect a little extra from the Irish in this rivalry game. They have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 meetings with the Trojans. Furthermore, Notre Dame has covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 road games against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-75% range. And remember that in the 46 games Brian Kelly has coached as an underdog, his teams have covered the point spread 30 times. |
|||||||
11-26-16 | Michigan +5 v. Ohio State | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 0 h 30 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan Wolverines (215) plus the points versus the Ohio State Buckeyes (216). Michigan (10-1) limps into The Game following up their loss at Iowa with a 20-10 win over Indiana as a 24-point favorite. Quarterback Wilton Speight did not play in that game — and he is listed as questionable for this contest. But the Wolverines have playmakers all over the field on both sides of the ball. Michigan has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a point spread loss. Former Houston Cougars starting QB John O’Korn passed for only 59 yards last week under center for Speight — but the Wolverines are then 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last contest. Furthermore, Michigan has covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
|||||||
11-25-16 | Texas Tech +6 v. Baylor | Top | 54-35 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
At 6:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (139) plus the points versus the Baylor Bears(140). Texas Tech (4-7) has lost three straight games as well as six of their last seven contests after a rough 66-10 upset loss at Iowa State despite being a field goal favorite. The Red Raiders have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Texas Tech is an impressive 21-6-2 ATS in their last 29 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Behind junior quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the Red Raiders boast the second most potent offense in the country that averages 553.3 YPG. Despite their losing record, this Texas Tech team is outgaining their opponents this season. They have endured four losses decided by one scoring possession. Moving forward, the Red Raiders have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games in the month of November. |
|||||||
11-25-16 | Toledo +9.5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 35-55 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 15 m | Show |
At 5:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Toledo Rockets (117) plus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (118). Western Michigan (11-0) looks to complete the regular season undefeated after their 38-0 win over Buffalo last week. This team has played only one close game this season decided by just one scoring margin — but that was against a middling Northwestern team. The Broncos are the number one team in the nation with a net turnover margin of +1.36 this season — but the pressure of remaining undefeated may change this dynamic. As it is, Western Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Broncos tend to struggle against teams possessing potent offenses. Western Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 home games against teams that average at least 5.9 Yards-Per-Play. The Broncos have also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 17 games against teams that complete at least 62% of their passes. And not only has Western Michigan failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 20 home games against teams that average at least 250 passing YPG but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 12 home games against teams that average at least 275 passing YPG. |
|||||||
11-25-16 | TCU v. Texas UNDER 61 | Top | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (127) and the Texas Longhorns (128). TCU (5-5) has lost three of their lost four games with their 31-6 loss to Oklahoma State last week as 6-point favorites. The Horned Frogs have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, TCU has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double digit loss at home. And while the Horned Frogs surrendered 334 rushing yards in that game, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, TCU has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, the Horned Frogs have played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
11-24-16 | Steelers v. Colts UNDER 50 | Top | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (111) and the Indianapolis Colts (112). Pittsburgh (5-5) snapped their four-game losing streak last week with their 24-9 win at Cleveland as an 8-point favorite. The Steelers defense stepped up by limiting the Browns to just 209 yards of offense. The Under is 19-7-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 27 games after a straight-up win — and this team has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Steelers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 14 points. Additionally, Pittsburgh has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last contest. Furthermore, the Steelers have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total on the road. |
|||||||
11-24-16 | Redskins +6 v. Cowboys | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
At 4:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (109) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (110). Dallas (9-1) won their ninth game in a row last week with their 27-17 win over Baltimore. The Cowboys generated 417 yards of offense in that game — but they are then just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in thiner last game. Despite their great season, this is still a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 6 opportunities to play on a Thursday, Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. |
|||||||
11-24-16 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 41.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
At 12:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (107) and the Detroit Lions (108). Detroit (6-4) has won five of their last six games after a 26-19 win over Jacksonville last week as a 5.5-point favorite. The Lions have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Additionally, while Detroit passed for 263 yards in that contest, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Lions have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of November. |
|||||||
11-24-16 | Vikings +2 v. Lions | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
At 12:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (107) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (108). Detroit (6-4) won their fifth game over their last six contests last week with a 26-19 win over Jacksonville. The Lions eked out that game despite managing only 14 rushing yards and being outgained by -31 net yards. This Detroit team has won all six of their games this season by one scoring possession. And they will be facing a Vikings team playing with revenge after being defeated at home by the Lions by a 22-16 score. Yet this Detroit team has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games against NFC North opponents. And in their last 12 games in Week 12 of the season, the Lions have failed to cover the point spread 10 times. |
Register for an Account Now for Free Picks and More Special Offers!
Frank Sawyer ALL Sports Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-22-17 | Lakers v. Mavs UNDER 206 | Top | 73-122 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons -4 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 51 h 13 m | Show |
01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons UNDER 61.5 | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 49 m | Show |
01-21-17 | Rockets -1.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 119-95 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
01-21-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota UNDER 132 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
01-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State -4.5 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
01-20-17 | Predators v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
01-20-17 | Warriors -5 v. Rockets | Top | 125-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
01-19-17 | Capitals -121 v. Blues | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
01-18-17 | Bucks v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 92-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
01-17-17 | New Mexico v. Boise State -5 | Top | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
01-16-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 91-126 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs -1 | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 45 | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
01-14-17 | Seahawks v. Falcons OVER 52 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
01-11-17 | Knicks -1.5 v. 76ers | Top | 97-98 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
01-09-17 | Clemson +6.5 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
01-09-17 | Clemson v. Alabama OVER 51 | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
01-08-17 | Giants v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks UNDER 45.5 | Top | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show |
01-06-17 | Rhode Island v. Dayton -2 | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
01-05-17 | Connecticut v. Memphis UNDER 129 | Top | 61-70 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
01-04-17 | Coyotes v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
01-03-17 | Kings v. Sharks -134 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -134 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
01-03-17 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +1.5 | Top | 75-68 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 11 m | Show |
01-02-17 | Auburn +3 v. Oklahoma | Top | 19-35 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
01-01-17 | Packers v. Lions UNDER 49.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
01-01-17 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
01-01-17 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
01-01-17 | Texans v. Titans -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 0 h 23 m | Show |
12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson OVER 58 | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
12-30-16 | South Alabama v. Air Force OVER 54 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
12-25-16 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 37.5 | Top | 10-33 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 0 m | Show |
12-23-16 | Thunder v. Celtics UNDER 213 | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Giants v. Eagles UNDER 43 | Top | 19-24 | Push | 0 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
12-20-16 | Spurs v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | Top | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins OVER 50.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 13 m | Show |
12-18-16 | Patriots v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-3 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Southern Miss v. UL-Lafayette +7 | Top | 28-21 | Push | 0 | 23 h 13 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 38.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
12-16-16 | Portland State +9 v. San Francisco | Top | 82-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
12-16-16 | Bucks v. Bulls UNDER 203.5 | Top | 95-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
12-15-16 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 38.5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show |
12-14-16 | Kings v. Rockets -9.5 | Top | 98-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
12-13-16 | Panthers v. Wild -138 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
12-11-16 | Cowboys -3.5 v. Giants | Top | 7-10 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
12-11-16 | Saints +2.5 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
12-11-16 | Texans +6.5 v. Colts | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
12-10-16 | Jets v. Flames -123 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
12-10-16 | Michigan v. UCLA -8.5 | Top | 84-102 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
12-10-16 | Army v. Navy UNDER 47 | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
12-10-16 | Army +4.5 v. Navy | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 1 h 28 m | Show |
12-09-16 | Magic +7 v. Hornets | Top | 88-109 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs -3.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
12-07-16 | Warriors -4 v. Clippers | Top | 115-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
12-06-16 | Coyotes v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
12-06-16 | Purdue -11 v. Arizona State | Top | 97-64 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
12-05-16 | Colts -1 v. Jets | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
12-04-16 | Panthers v. Seahawks OVER 43.5 | Top | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
12-04-16 | Redskins v. Cardinals -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
12-04-16 | Chiefs v. Falcons UNDER 50.5 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
12-03-16 | Virginia Tech +11 v. Clemson | Top | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
12-03-16 | San Diego State v. Wyoming OVER 56.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
12-03-16 | San Diego State -6 v. Wyoming | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
12-02-16 | Colorado +8.5 v. Washington | Top | 10-41 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
12-01-16 | Rockets +11 v. Warriors | Top | 132-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
11-30-16 | Pistons v. Celtics UNDER 201.5 | Top | 121-114 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
11-29-16 | Syracuse +6.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
11-28-16 | Packers v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Broncos | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Patriots v. Jets +8.5 | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Titans -6 v. Bears | Top | 27-21 | Push | 0 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Chargers -2.5 v. Texans | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
11-26-16 | Wyoming v. New Mexico +3 | Top | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
11-26-16 | South Carolina v. Clemson UNDER 50 | Top | 7-56 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 12 m | Show |
11-26-16 | Notre Dame +17.5 v. USC | Top | 27-45 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
11-26-16 | Michigan +5 v. Ohio State | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 0 h 30 m | Show |
11-25-16 | Texas Tech +6 v. Baylor | Top | 54-35 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
11-25-16 | Toledo +9.5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 35-55 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 15 m | Show |
11-25-16 | TCU v. Texas UNDER 61 | Top | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
11-24-16 | Steelers v. Colts UNDER 50 | Top | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
11-24-16 | Redskins +6 v. Cowboys | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
11-24-16 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 41.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
11-24-16 | Vikings +2 v. Lions | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |