Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-20-17 | George Washington v. Illinois-Chicago OVER 149 | Top | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Washington Colonials (629) and the Illinois-Chicago Flames (630). George Washington (20-14) won their opening game in the College Basketball Invitational with their 73-69 win over Toledo last Wednesday as a 6-point favorite. The Colonials have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. George Washington has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now the Colonials go on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 Over the Total. GW has also played 4 straight games on the road Over the Total as a favorite laying less than 7 points. |
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03-20-17 | Hawks +6 v. Hornets | Top | 90-105 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 0 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Atlanta Hawks (603) plus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets (604). Atlanta (37-32) has lost three straight games after their 113-097 loss to Portland on Saturday as a 2-point favorite. The Hawks fell behind by 23 points in the first ten minutes of that game in a very flat performance — expect a much better start from this team that is preparing for the playoffs. Atlanta has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Hawks have also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games on the road after suffering an upset loss. This team will be have rally together with both Paul Millsap and Kent Bazemore both on the shelf with injuries. But this remains a team that has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
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03-19-17 | Cincinnati v. UCLA UNDER 154 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 9:40 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (731) and the UCLA Bruins (732). UCLA (30-4) enters this game coming off a hot shooting night where they nailed 62.7% from the field in their 97-80 victory over Kent State. The Bruins have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. UCLA has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Steve Alford’s team has the reputation for having a mediocre defense — but they have held their last five opponents to just a 42.5% shooting mark. The Bruins will be facing a Bearcats team that will be looking to slow the pace of this game way down — and they hold their opponents to just 60.8 PPG. UCLA has played 17 of their last 22 road games Under the Total against teams that do not allow more than 64 PPG. The Bruins have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. And while both teams have scored 75 points in the last two games for UCLA, that helps place the Under in a historical angle that has been 79% effective since 1997. In games played on a neutral court, when teams who score at least 76 PPG (UCLA: 90.6 PPG) who have played two straight games where both teams scored at least 75 points and now faces a team that does not allow more than 63 PPG, these games then finished Under the Total in 42 of the last 53 situations where these conditions applied. |
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03-19-17 | Rhode Island +5.5 v. Oregon | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Rhode Island Rams (729) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (730). Interestingly, this game features the top two teams in the nation in blocked shots. That suggests that this will be a defensive-oriented game — and that typically offers value to the underdog. Rhode Island (25-9) has won nine straight games after their 84-72 win over Creighton on Friday. This team has covered the point spread in four straight games with Dan Hurley’s team finally healthy and playing at full strength. They have the defensive makeup to make this a very tough game for the Ducks. The Rams are 9th in the nation in defensive effective field goal percentage — and they are second in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 29.1% shooting mark behind the arc. This Rhode Island team has the talent to disrupt the Oregon offensive flow and get them out of their rhythm. Expect Hurley to have his team slow the pace of the game down to a slog. The Rams have covered the point spread in 4 straight games played on a neutral court. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Rhode Island has covered the point spread all 4 times. |
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03-18-17 | Xavier v. Florida State -7 | Top | 91-66 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
At 6:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (524) minus the points versus the Xavier Musketeers (523). Xavier (22-13) has won four of their last five games after pulling the upset on Thursday by defeating Maryland by a 76-65 score. The Musketeers shot 50% from the field which was their best offensive effort in their last twelve games since facing a suspect defensive team in Creighton — so regression is likely on that end of the court. This team has been an enigma to the oddsmakers for months as they failed to cover the point spread in seven straight games amidst a six-game losing streak. The team was suffering from the season-ending injury to point guard Edmond Sumner followed up by Myles Davis leaving the team after returning for just three games after serving a first-semester suspension. But now this Xavier team has recovered to win four of five games while covering the point spread in five straight games. Look for the bubble to burst on what is now a flawed basketball team after the losses of those two players. This team relies on a freshman point guard in Quentin Goodin who was at best a part-time player earlier in the season before losing Sumner. Despite the upset win on Thursday, the Musketeers have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games as an underdog. Xavier has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games outside the Atlantic-10, the Musketeers have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. |
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03-17-17 | Marquette v. South Carolina +1 | Top | 73-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
At 9:50 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the South Carolina Gamecocks (820) plus (or minus) the points versus the Marquette Golden Eagles (819). South Carolina (22-10) stumbles into the NCAA Tournament with two straight losses after an ugly 63-54 loss to Alabama in the SEC Tournament. The Gamecocks shot only 36.7% in that game — and that was actually their best offensive effort in their last three games after making just 35.9% and 34% in their previous two contests. But scoring will be easier tonight when facing this Golden Eagles’ defense that was 9th in the Big East in Defensive Efficiency. South Carolina will enjoy a big geographical advantage with this game being played only 100 miles away in Greenville. And in a battle of Offense v. Defense, we will happily side with Frank Martin’s team. The toughness of this team should make the difference as they cut off driving and passing lanes. Marquette may have led the nation with a 43% shooting percentage from the 3-point line but the Gamecocks were 5th in the nation by holding opponents to just a 29.6% shooting percentage from behind the arc. South Carolina has covered the point spread in 18 of their last 27 expected higher scoring games with the Total set in the 140-149.5 point range. Additionally, the Gamecocks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games played on a neutral court — and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games against non-SEC teams. |
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03-17-17 | Rhode Island v. Creighton UNDER 141.5 | Top | 84-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
At 4:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rhode Island Rams (843) and the Creighton Bluejays (844). Rhode Island (24-9) has won eight straight games to win the Atlantic-10 Tournament with their 70-63 win over VCU on Sunday. The formula for success for this team now when facing the offensive juggernaut which is this Bluejays’ team is to slow the pace of the game, force bad shots on defense and crash the boards on offense — just like how they slowed down the Rams in their last contest. While that game finished just above the 132.5 point total, Rhode Island has still played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when played on a neutral court. These Rams have also played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total with the number set in the 140-149.5 point range. Rhode Island has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams outside the A-10. Head coach Dan Hurley will try to make this game a slog. Creighton scores 82.1 PPG while throwing 22 shots from behind the arc per game. The Rams have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total against teams that score at least 77 PPG — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 21 shots from the 3-point line per game. |
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03-16-17 | Vermont +9.5 v. Purdue | Top | 70-80 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
At 7:27 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Vermont Catamounts (731) plus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (732). Vermont (29-5) played the role of Schoolyard Bully by going undefeated in American East play while rattling off twenty-one straight games. Yet they shot only 33.3% from the field against Albany to win the American East Tournament so this team will be focused on improving their effort after surviving their worst shooting performance of the season. This team has the profile that reminds me of the recent Harvard teams that dominated the Ivy but changed gears in the Big Dance to great success. The Catamounts made 39.7% of their 3-pointers in conference play but these shots accounted for only 25.4% of their points as opposed to the 30.4% national average. Why? Because this Vermont team eats teams up alive inside the arc where they make 55.6% of their shots which is 12th in the nation. And despite the Boilermakers’ size, they struggle with interior defense as the were just 6th in the Big Ten with these opponents making 47.4% of these shots. Look for the Catamounts to launch more 3s in this game while continuing to slow the pace — they averaged only 67.1 possessions per game. Vermont can also increase their pressure on defense — they forced turnovers in 19.4% of their opponent’s possessions which was 2nd in their conference while Purdue was vulnerable here by seeing turnovers in 18.0% of their possessions which was 7th in the Big Ten. Additionally, this Catamounts team plays good defense that led the American East in both Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and opponent’s effective field goal percentage. This helped Vermont cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on a neutral court as an underdog. |
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03-15-17 | Kings v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 107-101 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Phoenix Suns (618) minus the points versus the Sacramento Kings (617). Phoenix (22-45) has lost three of their last four games after a subpar effort on Sunday in a 110-101 loss to Portland as a small 2-point underdog. The Suns shot just 43.6% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last eleven games — and the 50% shooting they saw the Blazers achieve was their worst performance on the defensive end of the court in their last seven contests. But say what you want about this team — they are consistently inconsistent. Except a much better effort from this young team tonight as they are a decisive 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games after a point spread loss. Phoenix has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. And in their last 8 games after scoring at least 100 points, these Suns have covered the point spread in 6 of these contests. This team does get healthier tonight with two of their big men Tyson Chandler and Alex Len upgraded to probable after missing the last two games. And in their last 7 games on their home court, Phoenix has covered the point spread in 5 of these games. |
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03-15-17 | Belmont +6.5 v. Georgia | Top | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Belmont Bruins (625) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (626). Belmont (22-6) takes the floor for the first time since their disappointing 65-59 loss to Jacksonville State back on March 3rd as an 8-point favorite in the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. The Bruins shot only 36.7% from the field after missing 30 of their 38 shots from behind the arc. Live by the 3 — die by the 3. But Belmont is a team that mostly lived quite well shooting 3-pointers like there was no tomorrow. The Bruins were 2nd in the nation with 56.2% of their shots coming from the 3-point line — and they were 10th in the nation with 39.1% of their points coming from made 3-pointers. Belmont is more than just a 3-point shooting machine either as the 62.4% shooting mark inside the arc leads the nation. Considering that this team made 37.2% of their 3-pointers in conference play and they finished 10th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.1%, this team should shoot better from the field tonight. The Bruins are disappointed to not win the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament — but they also lack a signature win this year after losing to Vanderbilt, Florida, Rhode Island and Middle Tennessee. But Belmont has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Bruins have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road — and they covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. |
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03-15-17 | North Carolina Central v. UC-Davis UNDER 132.5 | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
At 6:40 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina-Central Eagles (621) and the UC-Davis Aggies (622). UNC-Central (25-8) won the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference on Saturday with their 67-59 win over Norfolk State as a 7-point favorite after holding the Spartans to just a 35.4% shooting percentage. The Eagles were 3rd in the MEAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. UNC-Central needed this defensive effort as they only shot 39.3% from the field themselves. The Eagles have seen the Under go 13-3-1 in their last 17 boarded games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 boarded games after a point spread victory. UNC-Central was rewarded with their automatic bid by a trip to Dayton to play in the First-Four — and the Under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 boarded games played on a neutral court. This Eagles team has also played 5 of their last 6 boarded games Under the Total as a favorite laying less than 7 points — and the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 boarded games on a neutral court as the favorite. Additionally, UNC-Central has played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total against a non-conference opponent. |
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03-14-17 | Kansas State -1.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
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03-14-17 | Pistons v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 96-128 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Cleveland Cavaliers (532) minus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (531). Cleveland (43-22) has lost four of their last five games with their 117-112 loss at Houston on Sunday as a 7-point underdog. Te Cavaiers are struggling with injuries alongside the dog days of March as they physically and mentally prepare for the playoff season. But having lost four of their last five games, this team will look to raise their level of play tonight against a fellow Central Division rival who defeated them last week by a 106-101 score as a 4.5-point underdog in Detroit. The Cavaliers have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 home games when avenging loss on the road against their opponent as a favorite. The Cavaliers have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. Cleveland did shoot 52.5% from the field in that game after making 50% of their shots in their previous game in Orlando — and they have then covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 home games after shooting at least 50% from the field in two straight games. The Cavs have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. |
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03-13-17 | Bucks v. Grizzlies -3.5 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Memphis Grizzlies (508) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (507). Memphis (36-30) is desperate for a victory having dropped five straight games with their 107-90 loss to Atlanta on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. Head coach David Fizzle will likely employ a fifth straight different starting lineup tonight in the attempt to shake up his team that remains in the 7th spot in the Western Conference playoff race. Expect Tony Allen to be in the starting lineup tonight to take advantage of his outstanding defensive play in the opening moments of this game. The Grizzlies have failed to cover the point spread in five straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 34 of their last 54 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two straight contests. Memphis has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Grizzlies will remember their 106-96 loss in Milwaukee as a 2.5-point underdog back on November 12th — and home teams looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent while entering this rematch coming off an upset loss by at least 15 points as a favorite have then covered the point spread in 77 of the last 114 situations (68%) where these conditions applied. |
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03-11-17 | New Mexico State v. CS Bakersfield UNDER 127.5 | Top | 70-60 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 11:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (771) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (772). New Mexico State (27-5) has won four straight games with their 78-60 win over Missouri-KC as an 8.5-point favorite. The Aggies held the Kangaroos to just a 36.7% shooting percentage which was the third time over their last four games that they have held an opponent to no better than a 36.7% shooting mark from the field. New Mexico State sot a blistering 55.8% from the field themselves which was their best shooting performance over their last nine games. Expect the Aggies to come back to Earth with their shooting considering that they make only 45.1% of their shots away from home. New Mexico State has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Aggies have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow Western Athletic Conference opponents. Moving forward, New Mexico State has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total as a favorite. The Under is also 24-7-1 in their last 32 games when playing on a neutral court. |
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03-11-17 | Creighton v. Villanova UNDER 141.5 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
At 5:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (745) and the Villanova Wildcats (746). Villanova (30-3) has won four straight games with their narrow 55-53 win over Seton Hall yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats have then played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Villanova has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points, the Wildcats have played 6 of these games Under the Total. They face a Bluejays team that does nail 51% of their shots this season — but Villanova has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who shoot at least 45% from the field. |
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03-11-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 124.5 | Top | 48-76 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (731) and the Wisconsin Badgers (732). Northwestern (23-10) has won two straight games with their 72-64 win over Maryland as a 2-point underdog yesterday. The Wildcats shot a sizzling 55.3% from the field in that game which was the third time over their last four games where they made at least 52.9% from the field. Regression is likely for this team that makes just 43.8% of their shots this season — and that number drops to only a 43.2% mark when away from home. As it is, Northwestern has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Under is 9-2-1 in the Wildcats’ last 12 games as an underdog. And in their last 13 games played on a neutral court, Northwestern has played 10 of these gams Under the Total. Now they face this Badgers team that outscores their opponents by +10.8 PPG — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG. |
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03-11-17 | Alabama v. Kentucky UNDER 136 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (737) and the Kentucky Wildcats (738). Kentucky (26-5) has won nine games in a row with their 71-60 win over Georgia yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats held the Bulldogs to just a 33.3% shooting percentage but they shot just 38.3% from the field themselves. John Caliper has slowed the pace down for this team after engaging a blistering pace earlier in the season. There were 72 possessions in that game yesterday which was actually the highest total for the Wildcats over their last four games. Kentucky has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points. |
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03-11-17 | Albany NY +10.5 v. Vermont | Top | 53-56 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
At 11:00 AM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Albany Great Danes (763) plus the points versus the Vermont Catamounts (764). Vermont (28-5) has cruised through the American East Tournament with a 45-point win over Maine followed up by a 74-41 victory over New Hampshire on Monday in a game where they held their visitors to just a 28% shooting percentage. Given the Catamounts’ dominance, it might be tempting to expect more of the same from them in this Championship Game — especially with Vermont hosting this contest. But the Catamounts have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home boarded home games as the favorite. They are also are just 4-11-1 in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Remember that Maine was the doormat of the American East with their 3-13 record and that New Hampshire team has never played in an NCAA Tournament. Granted, neither team scored more than 41 points against Vermont — but teams that do not allow more than 63 PPG (Vermont defense: 61.8 PPG) and who have not given up more than 50 points in two straight games — now facing an opponent that allows 63-67 PPG (Albany defense: 66.2 PPG) — these teams have then failed to cover the point spread in 30 of the last 38 situations where these conditions applied. |
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03-10-17 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. North Carolina Central UNDER 139.5 | Top | 49-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
At 6:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (593) and the North Carolina-Central Eagles (594). MD-Eastern Shore (15-19) has three straight games in Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference play after their 68-66 win over Hampton yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite. That game finished far below the 143.5 point Total which made it there 4 boarded game in a row that MD-Eastern Shore has played a game Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. The Hawks have also played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, MD-Eastern Shore has played 8 of their last 9 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 10 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range. |
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03-10-17 | Alabama v. South Carolina -5 | Top | 64-53 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the South Carolina Gamecocks (556) minus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (555). South Carolina (22-9) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in a 75-70 loss at Ole Miss as a 3-point favorite. Now the Gamecocks being their SEC Tournament with the opportunity to avenge a 90-86 upset loss to the Crimson Tide back on February 7th. Favorites in the 3.5-9.5 point range coming off an upset loss as a road favorite who are now looking to avenge a same-season loss have then covered the point spread in 120 of the last 193 situations (62%) where these conditions applied. While Alabama is outscoring their opponents by +4.2 PPG, South Carolina has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games against opponents that outscore their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Additionally, the Gamecocks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a neutral court — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on a neutral court as the favorite. |
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03-09-17 | Rice -1.5 v. UTEP | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Rice Owls (761) minus the points versus the UTEP Miners (762). Rice (22-10) has won four of their last five games with their 86-75 win over Southern Mississippi yesterday as a 12-point favorite. But these Owls have not covered the point spread in five of their last six contests. Rice has also failed managed only eight offensive rebounds in each of their last two games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight toad games after failing to pull down more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. The Owls have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games played on a neutral court — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when favored on a neutral court. Furthermore, Rice has covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams. |
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03-09-17 | Illinois +4.5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-75 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Illinois Fighting Illini (719) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (720). The Michigan team (20-11) survived a scare yesterday when their airplane taking them from Detroit to Washington D.C. could not take off due to heavy winds and skidded off the runway. While significant damage occurred to the airplane, there were no significant injuries from any of the passengers. The mishap has forced the Wolverines to take a 7:45 AM EST charter flight into DC this morning. Not only does this take this Michigan team out of their routine regarding practice and preparation but their sleep patterns will be out of whack today. Even worse, the Wolverines are scheduled to play the early noon tip off game in situations that are already notorious for slow starts. Michigan is a jump shooting team with little interior game — and the impacts of air travel earlier in the morning will likely negatively impact their orientation. As it is, this was a team looking due for a letdown after closing out their regular season with a 93-57 win at Nebraska. The Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 42 games after a double-digit win at home against a Big Ten rival. And while Michigan has won six of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. Furthermore, the Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range. |
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03-08-17 | Lehigh v. Bucknell -4 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Bucknell Bison (582) minus the points versus the Lehigh Mountain Hawks (581). Bucknell (25-8) was the class of the Patriot League this season leading the conference in both Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Efficiency while possessing a nice signature win on the road at Vanderbilt. But the Bison were swept by the Mountain Hawks during the regular season — so this Bucknell team has everything on the line in this game. Frankly, Lehigh won both those games because they were on fire with their 3-point shots. In their 82-71 win on January 11th, the Mountain Hawks nailed 10 of their 17 shots from behind the arc and then followed that up on February 8th by making 9 of 19 shots from 3-point land in a 79-71 victory. All combined, Lehigh has been 19 of 36 for an uncanny 52.8% mark from behind the arc in a number screaming out for regression. On the other hand, Bucknell was just 13 of 46 from the 3-point land in both games for a low 28.3% mark. The Bison host this Championship Game where they are 14-2 where they nail 37.9% of their 3-point shots. Bucknell has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as a favorite laying less than 7 points. |
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03-08-17 | Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech +3 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (528) plus the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (527). Virginia Tech (21-9) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in an 89-85 loss at home to this same Wake Forest team as a 1.5-point favorite. The Hokies get the opportunity for revenge as they begin their ACC Tournament — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games when avenging a loss as a home favorite. Additionally, Virginia Tech is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Hokies have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 28 games as an underdog, Virginia Tech has covered the point spread 21 times — and that includes covering the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games when getting less than 7 points. |
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03-08-17 | Charlotte v. UAB UNDER 150 | Top | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte 49ers (535) and the Alabama-Birmingham Blazers (536). Charlotte (13-16) has lost five of their last seven games entering the Conference USA Tournament with their 74-67 loss at UTEP last Saturday as a 6-point underdog. The 49ers committed only 10 turnovers in that game which made it the thirteenth straight time that they did not commit more than 14 turnovers in a game. Charlotte has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not committing more than 14 turnovers in at least three straight contests. Now the 49ers stays on the road where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season. Additionally, Charlotte has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 7 games as an underdog, the 49ers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, while the Blazers shoot 46.5% from the field, Charlotte has played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams that shoot at least 45% from the field. |
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03-07-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6 v. Northern Kentucky | Top | 53-59 | Push | 0 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Milwaukee Panthers (713) plus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (714). This Horizon League Championship Game features the most overachieving team in the league’s regular season in the Norse favored against the league’s most underachieving team in the regular season. Milwaukee (11-23) disappointed by closing out the regular season with nine straight losses to finish 4-14. But the Panthers have rattled off three straight wins over Detroit before pulling a big 43-41 upset over Valparaiso and then upsetting Illinois-Chicago by a 74-68 score as a 2-point underdog to reach this Championship Game. Now Milwaukee has the chance to erase all the disappointment in the regular season with a victory tonight. As it is, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games on the road after winning at least three straight games against Horizon League opponents. Milwaukee is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing their third game in five days. And the Panthers are typically dangerous underdogs as they are 24-11-2 ATS in their last 37 games as an underdog — and they are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court. And while the Panthers lost to the Norse by a 69-63 score back on February 11th, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games when avenging a same-season loss. |
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03-06-17 | Pacers v. Hornets UNDER 207.5 | Top | 88-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (513) and the Charlotte Hornets (514). Indiana (32-30) has won three of their last five games with their 97-96 win at Atlanta yesterday as a 3-point underdog. The Pacers have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Indiana has played 5 straight games Under the Total on the road. And in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record, the Under is 9-2-1. |
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03-06-17 | College of Charleston +3 v. North Carolina Wilmington | Top | 69-78 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the College of Charleston Cougars (533) plus the points versus the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (534). UNC-Wilmington (28-5) reached the Colonial Athletic Association Tournament with their 105-94 win over William & Mary yesterday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Seahawks are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, UNC-Wilmington is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last contest. Moving forward, the Seahawks have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. UNC-Wilmington has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as a favorite on a neutral court. |
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03-06-17 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan OVER 140.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies (525) and the Eastern Michigan Eagles (526). Northern Illinois (15-16) has lost three straight games entering the first-round of the Mid-American Conference Tournament with their 87-82 loss at Ball State as a 5.5-point favorite. The Huskies have then played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Northern Illinois has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing at least three straight games. Now the Huskies begin on the road in this tourney where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Northern Illinois has also played 9 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5-6 points. |
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03-05-17 | Iona v. St. Peter's -2.5 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the St. Peter’s Peacocks (864) minus the points versus the Iona Gaels (863). St. Peter’s (19-12) has won seven straight games after their survived a 61-58 win over Canisius in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Quarterfinals on Friday as a 6.5-point favorite. The Peacocks have then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a point spread victory. St. Peter’s has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after allowing 60 points or less in their last game. This team will very extra motivated tonight after being swept by this Gaels’ team this season — so this showdown is a measuring stick for this team. The Peacocks have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record — and that includes covering the point spread in six straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 6 games as the favorite laying less than 7 points, St. Peter’s has covered the point spread 5 times. |
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03-05-17 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -7 | Top | 49-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
At 6:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Wisconsin Badgers (836) minus the points versus the Minnesota Golden Gophers (835). Wisconsin (22-8) has lost three straight games — as well as five of their last six games — with their 59-57 loss to Iowa on Thursday. The Badgers continued their shooting struggles in that game by hitting only 42.6% of their shots. But this remains a team that is 14-2 on their home court with an average winning margin of +19.7 PPG. Wisconsin only allows 56.2 PPG while holding their opponents to just a 38.1% shooting percentage. Their loss to the Hawkeyes did finish well below the 143 point Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 20 of their last 30 games after a game that finished Under the Total. If the Badgers shots are not falling in this one, then this team should find success creating second-chance scoring opportunities. Wisconsin is 4th in the Big Ten by pulling down 33.5% of their missed shots — and the Golden Gophers are 8th in the conference by allowing their opponents to pull down 30.8% of their missed shots. The Badgers have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning percentage on the road. And while Minnesota gets called for less personal fouls per game than their opponents, Wisconsin has covered the point spread in 32 of their last 47 home games against teams who average at least 3 less personal fouls per game than their opponents. |
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03-05-17 | Wofford +1.5 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
At 5:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Wofford Terriers (865) plus the point(s) versus the UNC-Greensboro Spartans (866). Wofford (16-16) reached the Semifinals of the Southern Conference Tournament with their 79-67 win over Chattanooga yesterday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Terriers have now won three of their last four games — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a point spread win. Wofford has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 road games after a straight-up win. The Terriers converted 17 of their 19 free throws yesterday — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 straight games after shooting at least 88% from the charity stripe. Wofford will be looking to avenge a 74-55 loss to the Spartans on the road back on February 15th — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games games when avenging a same-season loss on the road against their opponent. The Terriers have been dangerous underdogs having covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing as an underdog on a neutral court. Furthermore, Wofford has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. |
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03-05-17 | Cincinnati v. Connecticut +7 | Top | 67-47 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Connecticut Huskies (838) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bearcats (837). UConn (14-15) has lost three straight games after a 66-62 loss at East Carolina as a 4.5-point favorites on Wednesday. The Huskies shot just 34% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last eleven games. Now UConn returns home where they are 8-5 while playing outstanding defense as they hold their guests to just a 36.9% shooting percentage. This outstanding defense has helped Kevin Ollie’s team cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. This team enters this game as a M*A*S*H unit but it looks as if only freshman Vance Jackson will not play in this game as he recovers from a concussion. UConn is playing better at protecting their defensive glass — they have allowed only 9 and 7 offensive rebounds in their last two games. The Huskies have covered the point spread in 29 of their last 43 games after not allowing more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. And while the Bearcats have a defensive field goal percentage of 38.2%, UConn has covered the point spread in 42 of their last 72 games after fifteen games into the season against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or better. |
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03-04-17 | Duke v. North Carolina -6.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (628) minus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (627). North Carolina (25-6) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Monday in a 53-43 loss at Virginia as a 3.5-point favorite. The 43 points that the Tar Heels managed was their lowest scoring output in the shot clock era. Except a big bounce-back effort tonight. Roy Williams-coached teams have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after an upset loss as a road favorite. If that is not enough motivation, the opportunity to avenge their arch rivals will be more than enough. The Blue Devils defeated North Carolina by an 86-78 score back on February 9th — but the Tar Heels’ 6’9 forward Isaiah Hicks did not play in that game. He will be on the floor tonight. The Tar Heels have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games at home. And in their last 6 home games as a favorite laying less than 7 points, North Carolina has covered the point spread 5 times. |
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03-04-17 | Cavs v. Heat | Top | 92-120 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Miami Heat (504) minus the point(s) versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (503). Cleveland (42-18) has won two of their last three games after their 135-130 win in Atlanta last night. But the Cavaliers have not been very good when playing without rest in the grind of the regular season. Not only has this Cleveland team failed to over the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games playing without rest but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games when playing on back-to-back days. And while a trip to Miami will always mean something more for LeBron James, his Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight trips to Miami. Cleveland did crush the Heat back on December 9th by a 114-84 score — but Miami has then covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 home games when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 100 points. |
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03-04-17 | Southern Illinois +8 v. Illinois State | Top | 50-63 | Loss | -102 | 1 h 60 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Southern Illinois Salukis (657) plus the points versus the Illinois State Redbirds (658). Illinois State (26-5) has won seven straight games after their 80-69 win over Evansville last night. But with the showdown against Wichita State looming tomorrow in a game that is likely essential for the Redbirds to reach the Big Dance, they may get caught looking ahead to that contest. While Illinois State is 17-1 in Missouri Valley Conference, five of these wins have been decided by 5 points or less. As it is, the Redbirds have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win. And while Illinois State closed out the regular season with a 21-point win over Northern Iowa, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after two straight wins against a conference rival. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, the Redbirds have failed to cover the point spread in all 4 games. |
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03-04-17 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M +8.5 | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas A&M Aggies (528) plus the points versus the Kentucky Wildcats (527). Texas A&M (16-13) has won two straight — as well as three of their last four games — after their 60-43 win at Missouri on Tuesday. The Aggies held the Tigers to a microscopic shooting percentage of 24.6% — and that strong defensive play should continue tonight considering that they hold their visitors to just a 38.7% shooting percentage. Head coach Billy Kennedy is seeing better results from his team by slowing down the pace. After seeing a minimum of 69 possessions during a five-game stretch, Texas A&M’s last two games have produced just 62 and 60 respective possessions. And while Kentucky averages 64 shot attempts per game, the Aggies have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 home games after fifteen games into the season against teams that average at least 62 shot attempts per game. Furthermore, this slowed pace should help Texas A&M stay competitive in this game as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range. The Aggies have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as an underdog. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Texas A&M has covered the point spread 4 times. |
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03-03-17 | Canisius v. St. Peter's UNDER 135 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
At 9:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Canisius Golden Griffins (889) and the St. Peter’s Peacocks (890). Canisius (18-14) advanced in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference last night with their 77-73 win over Marist as a 9-point favorite. Despite the victory, the Golden Griffins have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games — and they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in at least three straight games. The Under is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. Moving forward, Canisius has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on a neutral court. The Golden Griffins have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog on a neutral court. And in their last 5 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Under is 3-1-1. |
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03-03-17 | Knicks v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (824) plus the point(s) versus the New York Knicks (823). Philadelphia (22-38) suffered their worst loss of the season on Wednesday in a 125-98 loss at Miami that equaled their 27 point loss to the Raptors back in November. With the announcement that same day that Joel Embiid would join Ben Simmons in missing the rest of the season, some might conclude that this team has thrown in the towel for the year. But this team has been playing hard all season for head coach Brett Brown — and this team typically responds with strong efforts after a disappointing performance. Not only have the 76ers bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Philadelphia has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games after a loss by at least 15 points. Now this team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 22 of their 30 games this season — and that includes seven straight games against teams with a losing record on the road. The 76ers have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 home games as an underdog of 6 points or less. And in their last 6 games against fellow Atlantic Division opponents, Philly has covered the point spread all 6 times. |
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03-03-17 | Columbia v. Brown OVER 152 | Top | 68-88 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Columbia Lions (843) and the Brown Bears (844). Brown (12-16) has lost six of their last seven games with their 77-58 loss at Harvard as a 12-point underdog on Saturday. The Bears have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. This Brown team has the Ivy League’s worst Defensive Adjusted Efficiency in conference play. For the season, they allow their opponents to shoot 49.6% from the field with this number a higher 52.1% mark in Ivy League play. The Bears return home where they have okayed 11 of their last 15 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 9 home games as an underdog getting no more than 6 points, Brown has played 8 of these games Over the Total. |
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03-02-17 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Portland Trail Blazers (706) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (705). Oklahoma City (35-25) has won four straight games after their upset 109-106 win over Utah as a 2.5-point underdog on Tuesday. But the Thunder have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after winning four or five of their last six games. Letdown concerns for this team increase with the news that guard Victor Oladipo — the second best scoring option for this team after Russell Westbrook — is questionable for this contest with a back injury. Now this team goes on the road where they are just 12-17 with an average losing margin of -6.0 PPG while allowing their opponents to shoot 46.7% from the field. The Thunder have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. OKC has also failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 23 road games in expected high-scoring games where the Total was set at 220 or higher. |
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03-02-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS-Fullerton UNDER 129.5 | Top | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (743) and the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (744). UC-Santa Barbara (5-21) has won two of their last three games with their 68-61 win over UC-Riverside last Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Gauchos have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. And while that game went Under the 123.5 point-Total, UC-Santa Barbara has still played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in Big West play. Now the Gauchos go back on the road where they shoot only 35.8% which explains why the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road as an underdog. UC-Santa Barbara has also seen the Under go 13-3-1 in their last 17 games as an underdog. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 4-1-1. |
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03-01-17 | Kansas State v. TCU UNDER 135.5 | Top | 75-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (555) and the TCU Horned Frogs (556). Kansas State (17-12) has lost two straight games with their 81-51 blowout loss at Oklahoma on Saturday. The Wildcats shot just 25% from the field but that does not look like much of an aberration considering that they have shot 36.7% or less in three of their last five contests. Kansas State has then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Wildcats have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in Big 12 play after that game with the Sooners fell below the 138 Total. Kansas State stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, the Wildcats have played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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03-01-17 | Marquette v. Xavier -3 | Top | 95-84 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Xavier Musketeers (552) minus the points versus the Marquette Golden Eagles (551). Xavier (18-11) lost their fifth straight game — and their sixth straight versus point spread expectations — with their 88-79 loss to Butler at home on Sunday as a 3-point underdog. The Musketeers lost that contest due to seeing the Bulldogs shoot 54.8% from the field. That was the worst defensive effort for this Xavier team all season. Expect the Musketeers to play better on defense tonight considering that they hold their visitors to just a 43.9% shooting mark. Xavier has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Musketeers have also covered the point spread in 7 straight games after losing five or six of their last seven games. This remains a very good team that is likely to make the NCAA Tournament. College basketball metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks this team as the 40th best team in the country — and they are desperate for a win. And while they are looking to avenge an 83-61 loss to Marquette back on February 18th, they have then covered the point spread in 43 of their last 69 home games when avenging a same-season loss on the road. |
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02-28-17 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky UNDER 150 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (745) and the Kentucky Wildcats (746). Vanderbilt (16-13) has won four games in a row with their 74-48 blowout win over Mississippi State as a 7.5-point favorite. The Commodores held the Bulldogs to just a 29.8% shooting mark — and that appears to not be an aberration considering that they held Tennessee to just a 29% shooting mark in their previous contest. Vanderbilt has played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Commodores have played 8 straight games Under the Total after a win on their home court. And in their last 8 games after allowing no more than 50 points in their last game, Vandy has played 6 of these games Under the Total. The Commodores have also played 5 straight games on the road Under the Total. |
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02-28-17 | Warriors v. Wizards +7 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Washington Wizards (702) minus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (701). Washington (34-23) has lost both their games after the All-Star Break with their 102-92 loss to to Utah on their home court on Sunday. The Wizards closed out the first-half of the regular season on a red hot 18-3 run so this team will be anxious to get back to their winning ways against an elite opponent. Not only has Washington covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a double-digit loss on their home court. Additionally, the Wizards have been very tough at home where they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games. Washington has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games against Western Conference opponents, the Wizards have covered the point spread in 6 of these contests. |
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02-28-17 | Indiana v. Purdue -11 | Top | 75-86 | Push | 0 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (720) minus the points versus the Indiana Hoosiers (719). Purdue (23-6) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Saturday at Michigan by an 82-70 score as a 1.5-point underdog. The Boilermakers allowed the Wolverines to shoot 54.5% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last eleven contests. Look for Purdue to bounce-back with a big effort as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. This Boilermakers team has covered the point spread in 6 straight home games after winning at least four of their last five games. Purdue has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Boilermakers have also covered the point spread in 4 straight home games when favored in the 7-12.5 point range. Matt Painter’s team is also 15-6-2 ATS in their last 23 games against fellow Big Ten opponents. |
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02-27-17 | North Carolina v. Virginia +4.5 | Top | 43-53 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Virginia Cavaliers (516) plus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels (515). Virginia (19-9) snapped their four-game losing streak on Saturday with a 70-55 win at North Carolina State as a 7-point favorite. The Cavaliers found their shooting stroke in that game as they nailed 48.9% of their shots in the win. Virginia is still playing outstanding defense as they have not allowed more than 55 points in four straight games. The Cavaliers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after not allowing more than 55 points in at least two straight games. Now Virginia returns home where they shoot 47.2% from the field while holding their opponents to just a 36.7% mark. The Cavs have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 23 home games with the Total set in the 130-139.5-point range. Virginia has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, the Cavaliers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points which includes five of their last six games when on their home court. |
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02-26-17 | Illinois v. Nebraska -4 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Nebraska Cornhuskers (846) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (845). Nebraska (12-15) looks to bounce-back from an 88-72 loss at Michigan State on Thursday as a 4-point underdog. The Cornhuskers have rebounded to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games after a double-digit loss on the road. This Nebraska team has been much better at home — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 home games laying less than 7 points. The Cornhuskers have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 home games in the month of February. And while the Illini only force 12 turnovers per game, Nebraska has covered the point spread in 38 of their last 54 home games against teams that do not force more than 14 turnovers per game after fifteen games into the season. |
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02-26-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Wright State OVER 155 | Top | 49-87 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 34 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois-Chicago Flames (823) and the Wright State Raiders (824). Illinois-Chicago (14-16) has lost three straight games with their 90-82 loss at Northern Kentucky on Friday. The Flames have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Illinois-Chicago now stays on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total. The Flames have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7-12.5 points. And in their last 5 games agains teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Illinois-Chicago has played 4 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-25-17 | UCLA v. Arizona -1.5 | Top | 77-72 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Arizona Wildcats (670) minus the point(s) versus the UCLA Bruins (669). UCLA (25-3) has won six straight games with their 87-75 win at Arizona State on Thursday as a 13-point favorite. But the Bruins have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a point spread victory. While this UCLA has been dynamite on the offensive end of the court, defense is the vulnerability for this team when facing elite competition. The Bruins have a defensive effective field goal percentage of 48.1% which is 71st in the nation. Even worse, their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 102.1 which is 102nd in the nation — and this mark rises to a 105.0 clip in Pac-12 play. This helps explain why UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Bruins are not as good on the road either as they have failed to cover then point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Furthermore, UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 5 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Bruins have failed to cover the point spread 4 times. Additionally, while UCLA is looking to avenge a 96-85 loss to the Wildcats back on January 21st, they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when playing with same-season revenge. |
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02-24-17 | Spurs -3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (859) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Clippers (860). San Antonio (43-13) returns from the All-Star Break having won four of their last five games with their 107-79 blowout win at Orlando last Wednesday. The Spurs look to get Pao Gasol back for this contest as he is listed as probable after dealing with a hand injury. San Antonio has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when playing without a day of rest. The Spurs have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. This San Antonio team will be highly motivated for this game on national television having lost both their meetings with the Clippers this season. Their last encounter was back on December 22nd where Los Angeles pulled the upset as a 2-point underdog by a 106-101 score. The Spurs have covered the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games when avenging a same-season upset loss to their opponents. Furthermore, road favorites in the 3.5-9.5-point range playing with double revenge against an opponent that comes off a game where both teams scored at least 100 points have then covered the point spread in 66 of the last 96 situations (69%) where these conditions applied. |
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02-24-17 | Valparaiso v. Wright State +2.5 | Top | 84-74 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Wright State Raiders (876) plus the points versus the Valparaiso Crusaders (875). Wright State (19-10) saw their four-game winning streak on Tuesday in an 83-76 loss at Northern Kentucky as a 3-point underdog. We had the Norse in that contest — but we like the Raiders even more tonight as they return home for the first game since February 11th in a 9-point win over Green Bay after playing three straight on the road. Wright State has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 home games after playing at least three straight games on the road. The Raiders have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on their home court where they are 11-3 for the season with an average winning margin of +12.4 PPG. Furthermore, Wright State has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 25 home games in the month of February. The Raiders have been hot with their shooting by nailing 48% of their shots over their last five games. And they will be playing with revenge after losing to the Crusaders by a 70-55 score back on January 27th. Wright State has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games when looking to avenge a same-season loss to their opponents. |
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02-21-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers -125 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the money line on the New York Rangers (2) versus the Montreal Canadiens (1). Montreal (21-20-6) will be playing just their second game under new head coach Claude Julien. The team struggled in implementing the former Boston Bruins’ coach new systems on both ends of the ice in their opening game under Julien as they lost at home to Winnipeg by a 3-1 score on Saturday. These team still lacks the practice time to hone down these new philosophies. As it is, the Canadiens have lost 5 of their last 6 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. This team has also lost 13 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Now Montreal goes back on the road where they have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Canadiens have also lost 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on home ice. Goalie Carey Price has not been himself this season particularly away from home where he has been saddled with a 2.85 Goals-Against-Average along with a mere .902 save percentage. |
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02-21-17 | Monmouth v. Fairfield +6 | Top | 82-62 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Fairfield Stags (558) plus the points versus the Monmouth Hawks (557). Fairfield (14-12) looks to bounce-back from a 74-55 loss at St. Peter’s on Sunday as a 6-point underdog that snapped a three-game winning streak. The Stags shot only 37% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last eight games while their defensive field goal percentage of 54% was their worst defensive performance in their last nine contests. This team should bounce-back with a big effort with the opportunity to snap the Hawks’ thirteen game winning streak. As it is, Fairfield has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. The Stags have also covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a double-digit loss on the road. Fairfield has also covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a loss by at least 15 points. Now they return home here they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Stags have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. |
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02-18-17 | Appalachian State v. South Alabama -3 | Top | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the South Alabama Jaguars (634) minus the points versus the Appalachian State Mountaineers (633). Appalachian State (8-16) has pulled off two straight upset victories with their 83-778 win over Georgia Southern on Monday as a 1-point underdog. But the Mountaineers have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Appalachian State has also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games after an upset win versus a conference rival. Both these upset wins were on their home court — but not this team goes back on the road where they are an awful 1-12 with an average losing margin of -11.3 PPG. The Mountaineers struggle on both ends of the court away from home as they shoot 40.6% from the field while allowing their home hosts to nail 48.8% of their shots. Appalachian State is just 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road. Additionally, they are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in the last 4 road games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Mountaineers have failed to cover the point spread all 4 times. |
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02-18-17 | South Florida v. Tulane OVER 145 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls (533) and the Tulane Green Wave (534). South Florida (7-18) enters this game coming off a 68-54 loss to Cincinnati on Wednesday as a 20.5-point underdog. The Bulls have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Now South Florida goes back on the road where they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as an underdog of less than 7 points. And in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Bulls have played 13 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-17-17 | Princeton v. Yale +3 | Top | 71-52 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Yale Bulldogs (862) plus the points versus the Princeton Tigers (861). Yale (14-7) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 75-67 against arch rival Harvard as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs have rebounded to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 52 games after a point spread loss. That was the first loss at home for Yale all season who remain 8-1 with an average winning margin of +16.0 PPG on their home court where they score 81.6 PPG while shooting 51.4% from the field. The Bulldogs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Yale has also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 home games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. |
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02-16-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Western Kentucky +8 | Top | 78-52 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (738) plus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (737). Western Kentucky (12-13) has lost two of their last three games with their 84-79 loss to Marshall as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. That was just the second loss on the Hilltoppers’ home court in ten games this season. Western Kentucky has still covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Hilltoppers have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games as an underdog. Furthermore, Western Kentucky has covered the point spread 8 of their last 11 games overall getting 7-12.5 points. And in their last 14 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Hilltoppers are 9-4-1 ATS. |
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02-15-17 | Hornets v. Raptors -6.5 | Top | 85-90 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Toronto Raptors (512) minus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets (511). Charlotte (24-31) has lost three straight games — as well as ten of their last eleven — after their 105-99 loss to Philadelphia on Monday as an 8-point favorite. The Hornets are then 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up loss — and they have are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread setback. Defense has been an issue for this team as they have allowed at least 105 points in twelve straight contests. Charlotte has then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after allowing at least 105 points in two straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 105 points in three straight games. This team will be undermanned tonight with both Cody Zeller and Miles Plumlee nursing injuries — and being without both big men will not help their efforts on defense. The Hornets are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. Charlotte has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against Eastern Conference opponents. And in their last 19 expected high-scoring games with the Total set at least 210, the Hornets have failed to cover the point spread 16 times. |
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02-14-17 | Richmond v. George Mason OVER 150 | Top | 70-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Richmond Spiders (709) and the George Mason Patriots (710). Richmond (15-9) has won four of their last five games with their 64-52 win at Lasalle as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. The Spiders have then played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in eight days as they are doing here. Richmond has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a favorite. And while the Patriots hold their opponents to just a 41.7% shooting percentage, the Spiders have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or less. And while Richmond is looking to avenge an 82-77 loss to George Mason back on January 22nd, they have then played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total when playing with same-season revenge. |
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02-13-17 | Spurs v. Pacers UNDER 206 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (509) and the Indiana Pacers (510). San Antonio (41-13) saw their two-game winning streak snapped yesterday in their 94-90 loss at New York against the Knicks. The Spurs allowed the Knicks to shoot 50% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last eight games. Expect a better defensive performance tonight. San Antonio has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. And while the Spurs have failed to cover the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then played 28 of their last 43 games Under the Total after only covering the point spread once in their last four games. Additionally, San Antonio has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 43 road games as a favorite of 6 points or less, the Spurs have played 28 of these games Under the Total. |
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02-12-17 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 130.5 | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (857) and the Virginia Tech Hokies (858). Virginia (18-5) has won two of their last three games with their 71-55 win over Louisville last Monday as a 6-point favorite. The Cavaliers have then seen the Under go 21-7-1 in their last 29 games after a straight-up win. The Under is also 19-6-1 in Virginia’s last 26 games after a point spread victory. The Cavaliers lead the ACC with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 96.3. Virginia also holds their opponents to just 39.1% shooting. Moving forward, the Under is 20-7-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 29 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Under is also 5-2-1 in Virginia’s last 8 road games as a favorite of less than 7 points. |
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02-11-17 | Celtics v. Jazz -6 | Top | 112-104 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Utah Jazz (516) minus the points versus the Boston Celtics (515). Boston (34-19) has won eight of their last nine games with their 120-111 win at Portland on Thursday as a 3-point underdog. We had the Celtics in that game — and that victory sets up a strong “play-against” situation against them now. Boston has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win. The Celtics have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, Boston has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Celtics have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 road games after scoring at least 120 points in their last game. They look to be without Jae Crowder tonight for personal reasons which leaves Brad Stevens’ team further undermanned after being without Avery Bradley for the last few weeks. |
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02-11-17 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's +4 | Top | 74-64 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Saint Mary’s Gaels (680) plus the points versus the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679). Gonzaga (25-0) faces their last big test in the regular season tonight in their attempt to complete an undefeated season while erasing some demons from past NCAA Tournament disappointments under head coach Mark Few. This is not Few’s most talented team — but he has nice balance between the perimeter and the frontline with three high-profile transfer players along with two nice freshmen big men. But this is a tough spot for the Bulldogs with this being their fourth game on the road over their last five games over a two-week span. And when this team falters, it is usually because they cannot hit their shots from downtown. In three NCAA Tournament losses to Syracuse, Duke and Arizona, Gonzaga shot a combined 16 of 47 from 3-point land which contributed greatly to their scoring just 60, 52 and 61 points in those games. Now they travel to Saint Mary’s to face a team that is 9th in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 30.9% shooting mark behind the arc. Granted, the Bulldogs destroyed the Gaels by a 79-56 score at home back on January 14th. But Saint Mary’s big man Jock Landale found himself in foul trouble after some silly mistakes and Gonzaga was on fire by nailing 64.7% of their shots. Revenge is a dish best served cold — and the pressure will be on the Bulldogs. |
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02-11-17 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green OVER 153.5 | Top | 88-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (529) and the Bowling Green Falcons (530). Buffalo (12-12) has won three straight games with their 65-45 win over Northern Illinois. Despite that strong defensive effort where they Bulls held the Huskies to just a 32.1% shooting percentage, they have still played 4 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. Buffalo has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against Mid-American Conference opponents. Furthermore, in their last 6 road games as a favorite, the Bulls have played 5 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-10-17 | Monmouth v. Manhattan UNDER 151 | Top | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Monmouth Hawks (883) and the Manhattan Jaspers (884). Monmouth (20-5) has won ten straight games with their 74-69 win at Rider on Monday as an 8.5-point favorite. The Hawks won that game despite shooting 36.4% from the field. The held the Broncs to just a 44.3% shooting mark on the other end of the court — and that was actually their worst defensive effort in their last eleven games. Monmouth holds their conference opponents to shooting just 39.9% from the field. Expect a tighter defensive effort tonight. Not only have the Hawks played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win but the Under is 27-12-1 in their last 40 games after a point spread victory. Monmouth has also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The Hawks now stay on the road where they have played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total. Monmouth has also played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total as a favorite in the 7-12.5 point range. The Hawks have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And in their last 7 games against conference opponents, Monmouth has played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
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02-10-17 | Pacers +5.5 v. Wizards | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Indiana Pacers (861) plus the points versus the Washington Wizards (862). Indiana (29-23) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 132-117 loss to Cleveland. The Pacers watched the Cavs shoot 54.8% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen contests. Expect a much better effort on the defensive end of the court for Indiana. Indiana is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after surrendering at least 125 points in their last contest. Furthermore, the Pacers have covered the pint spread in 5 of their last 6 gams after a double-digit loss at home. And in their last 12 road games after a loss by at least 15 points, Indiana has covered the point spread 11 times. Additionally, the Pacers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents. |
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02-09-17 | Celtics +1.5 v. Blazers | Top | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (709) plus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (710). Boston (33-19) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped last night in a 108-92 loss at Sacramento. Despite that previous winning streak, the Celtics have still failed to cover the point spread in five straight games. Boston has then covered the point spread in 27 of their last 41 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Celtics are an impressive 42-17-1 ATS in their last 60 games when playing without a day of rest. Brad Stevens’ team has been strong road warriors. Not only are they 12-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games on the road, but they are also 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Boston has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games when playing in Portland. |
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02-08-17 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 170 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana-Purdue University Jaguars (585) and the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks (586). IUPUI (10-14) snapped a three-game losing streak with an 86-81 win over North Dakota State as a 2-point underdog. Their defense field goal percentage of 44.6% was their best defensive performance in their last nine games. But regression on the defensive end of the court is likely for this Jaguars team that allows their home hosts to shoot 49.0% from the field. IUPUI has played 8 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Jaguars go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. IUPUI has also played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog. |
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02-07-17 | Rhode Island v. Massachusetts +5.5 | Top | 70-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Massachusetts Minutemen (728) plus the points versus the Rhode Island Rams (727). Rhode Island (15-7) has won three straight games with their 70-59 win at Davidson as a 2.5-point underdog. The Rams have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 road games after a point spread win. While this Rhode Island team is 11-1 at home this season, they are just 4-6 when on the road. Tellingly, the Rams are just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on the road. Additionally, Rhode Island is just 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, in their last 5 road games when favored by less than 7 points, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread all 5 times. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots -3 v. Falcons | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 292 h 50 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, February 5th, we will be playing the New England Patriots (101) minus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (102). IThe Championship experience of Bill Belichick and Tom Brady should play a key role in this contest. These two lead a group that is determined to once again hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy perhaps for the last time while enjoying the sweet taste of revenge against commissioner Roger Goodell for Deflate-gate. Furthermore, Belichick is the master in coaching defenses to take away the best offensive threat from an opponent to make them uncomfortable — and he has two weeks to scheme against this Falcons team. Expect the X-Factor for the Patriots to be LeGarrette Blount who had his best game of the season against the Steelers in their 36-17 victory. Blount’s physical running can help New England control the line of scrimmage and the clock while keeping the Falcons’ offense off the field. New England also enjoys the superior defense that holds their opponents to 15.7 PPG and just 326.6 total YPG. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 59.5 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -115 | 126 h 10 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in Super Bowl between the New England Patriots (101) and the Atlanta Falcons (102). In this game between two explosive offenses that has produced the highest Total in Super Bowl history, it is tempting to expect this game to be a shootout that will pay off Over tickets. However, don’t be surprised if the pressure of the Super Bowl along with the extra week of preparation slows the momentum of both offenses. This second week of practice and preparation should also help both defenses — and remember that both Bill Belichick and Dan Quinn are defensive wizards. Furthermore, the Under is supported by a strong historical angle that has been 71% effective since 1983. The Falcons covered the point spread in both their NFC Playoff games — and in games with the Total set at least at 49.5, teams with a winning percentage who have covered the point spread in two straight games now facing a team with a winning record have then played 29 of the last 41 situations where these conditions applied. |
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02-04-17 | UC-Davis v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 134.5 | Top | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cal-Davis Aggies (693) and the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (694). UC-Santa Barbara (3-17) has lost five in a row in a lost season after their 79-53 loss to Cal-State Fullerton on Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Under is then 8-1-1 in the Gauchos’ last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread setback. The biggest problem for this team is on offense. UC-Santa Barbara is last in the Big West with Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of .876 — and this team is last in both 3-point and 2-point shooting which results in an effective field goal percentage of 39.2% which is also last in the conference. Moving forward, the Gauchos have played 7 straight home games Under the Total. This team has also played 17 of their last 22 home games Under the Total when the underdog — and when UC-Santa Barbara is getting less than 7 points, then they have seen fifteen of these eighteen home games finish below the total. |
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02-03-17 | Wolves +4.5 v. Pistons | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Minnesota Timberwolves (853) plus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (854). Minnesota (19-30) had won five of their last six games before their 125-97 loss in Cleveland on Wednesday. The Timberwolves allowed the Cavaliers to shoot 53.9% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen contests. Expect Tom Thibodeau to have had the full attention of his young team in practice in preparation for their defensive efforts and assignments for this contest. As it is, Minnesota has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up loss. The Timberwolves have also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 road games after a loss on their home court. And in their last 6 trips to Detroit, the T-Wolves have covered the point spread 5 times. Despite that success, their second-year big man Karl-Anthony Towns has lost all three of his professional encounters with the Pistons’ Andre Drummond — and that should have him extra-motivated to play well tonight. |
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02-02-17 | Wofford -6 v. The Citadel | Top | 100-90 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Wofford Terriers (769) minus the points versus the Citadel Bulldogs (770). Wofford (9-13) has lost two of their last three games with their 68-62 loss at Western Carolina despite being a 9-point favorite. The Terriers shot just 40.4% from the field in that contest which was their worst shooting effort in their last nine games. But Wofford has rebounded to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a straight-up loss. Now the Terriers look to avenge a 104-103 overtime loss to the Citadel back on January 2nd despite being a 15-point favorite at home. After committing 23 turnovers in 25.6% of their possessions, there is no doubt that Wofford has practiced against the full-court press that the Bulldogs’ deploy. Expect the Terriers to better protect the basketball as they are 3rd in the Southern Conference by turning the ball over in just 18.0% of their possessions. Wofford has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against Southern Conference foes. The Terriers have also covered the point spread in 8 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, not only has Wofford covered the point spread in 22 of their last 28 games when favored by less than 7 points, but that includes covering the point spread in ten of their last thirteen road games as a favorite of under 7 points. |
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02-01-17 | Bulls v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 128-100 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Oklahoma City Thunder (522) minus the points versus the Chicago Bulls (521). Oklahoma City (28-21) has lost two games in a row with their 108-94 loss at San Antonio last night as a 9-point underdog. There is no question that this team is missing Enes Kanter down low with the big man out with a broken arm — and that helped contribute to our fading the Thunder in their last two games. But now it is a great time to take OKC as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. They have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a double-digit setback. This team returns home where they are 16-6 with an average winning percentage of +8.0 PPG. The Thunder have covered the point spread in 5 straight home games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. OKC should better back at home after not hitting more than 37% of their shots in their last two contests with both being in hostile environments. Back on their home court, the Thunder shoot 47.4% from the field. |
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01-31-17 | Vanderbilt v. Texas A&M UNDER 135 | Top | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (749) and the Texas A&M Aggies (750). Vanderbilt (10-11) has won two of their last three games with their 84-78 win over Iowa State on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Commodores have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while Vandy nailed 13 shots from behind the arc in their victory over the Cyclones, they have then played 14 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after hitting at least 13 shots from 3-point land. Moving forward, the Commodores have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Under is 23-9-2 in Vanderbilt’s last 34 road games as an underdog of under 7 points. |
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01-31-17 | Thunder v. Spurs -9 | Top | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (708) minus the points versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (707). San Antonio (36-11) has lost two straight games with their 105-101 loss to Dallas on Sunday as a 11.5-point favorite. The Spurs have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. San Antonio has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when playing with one day of rest. The Spurs will be focused on producing a better effort on the defensive end of the court after their loss to the Mavericks — and they should be very focused on slowing down Russell Westbrook and the Thunder tonight. This will be the first meeting between these two teams since the Western Conference Semifinals last May when Oklahoma City won two games in San Antonio before closing out that series at home on May 12th with a 113-99 victory. This rematch will be in Alamo City where the Spurs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games. San Antonio has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. |
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01-31-17 | Sabres v. Canadiens OVER 5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Sabres (63) and the Montreal Canadiens (64). Buffalo (20-19-4) is getting outstanding play from Evander Kane whose emergence from a load of potential can makes this a dangerous team in the second half of the season. Kane has produced 9 points over his last nine games before the All-Star break last weekend. The Sabres have played 4 straight games when playing with at least three days off. The Over is also 6-0-1 in Buffalo’s last 7 games on the road which includes a 3-1-1 mark against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on home ice. Goalie Robin Lehner has a 2.57 Goals-Against-Average along with a .921 save percentage — but those marks decline to a 2.75 GAA along with a .917 save percentage when on the road. Furthermore, the Over is 3-1-1 in the Sabres’ last 5 games against Eastern Conference opponents. |
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01-30-17 | Grizzlies v. Suns +4 | Top | 115-96 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Phoenix Suns (510) plus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies (509). Phoenix (15-32) has lost three games in a row with their 123-112 loss to Denver on Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Suns have been remarkably consistent when bouncing back from setbacks. Phoenix is 48-21-3 ATS in their last 72 games after a double-digit loss which includes covering the point spread in twelve of their last fifteen games after a double-digit loss at home. The Suns are also 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games after a point spread setback. And while Phoenix was whistled for 36 fouls against the Nuggets, they have then covered the point spread in 8 straight games on their home court after a game where they were whistled for at least 30 personal fouls. Moving forward, the Suns have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, Phoenix has covered the point spread 4 times. |
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01-30-17 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma +2 | Top | 68-66 | Push | 0 | 4 h 0 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Oklahoma Sooners (526) minus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (525). Oklahoma (8-12) has lost three straight games after their ugly 84-52 loss to Florida in a game where they shot just 27.7% from the field. Look for a much better effort tonight against their in-state rival. As it is, the Sooners are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Moving forward, Oklahoma is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Big 12 opponents. And in their last 6 games as an underdog, the Sooners are 4-1-1 ATS. |
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01-30-17 | Rider v. Canisius UNDER 157 | Top | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rider Broncs (531) and the Canisius Golden Griffins (532). Rider (12-10) has lost five of their last six games with their 80-67 loss at Niagara on Saturday as a 1-point favorite. The Broncs have then played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Rider has also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Broncs shot just 36.8% in that game which does not bode well for them as they stay on the road where they shoot only 41.6% from the field. That helps explains why Rider has played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 11 road games as an underdog of under 7 points, the Broncs have played 9 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-29-17 | Wright State v. Illinois-Chicago +2.5 | Top | 88-86 | Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show |
At 4:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Illinois-Chicago Flames (868) plus the points versus the Wright State Raiders (867). Illinois-Chicago (11-10) has lost two straight games with their 79-62 loss to Northern Kentucky on Friday as a pick ‘em in that contest. The Flames have then rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Illinois-Chicago is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Flames will be playing with revenge on their mind after getting blasted in the Horizon League Tournament the last time these two teams met last March 6th in a 74-43 loss. Illinois-Chicago are dangerous underdogs given their tough play on defense as they are 2nd best in the Horizon with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 95.7. The Flames have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as a dog getting less than 7 points. |
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01-29-17 | Michigan v. Michigan State -2 | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (852) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (851). Michigan State (12-9) has lost three straight games with their 84-73 loss to Purdue as a 1.5-point underdog on Tuesday. The Spartans have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 34 games after a straight-up loss. Michigan State has also rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a double-digit loss at home. Moving forward, the Spartans have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 4 home games as the favorite, Michigan State has covered the point spread all 4 times. |
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01-29-17 | Virginia v. Villanova UNDER 126 | Top | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (849) and the Villanova Wildcats (850). Virginia (16-3) has won five games in a row with their 71-54 win at Notre Dame as a 2-point underdog. The Cavaliers have then played 20 of their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have also played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is a decisive 53-19-1 in Virginia’s last 73 games as an underdog of under 7 points. And in their 27 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 19-7-1. |
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01-28-17 | Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 221.5 | Top | 98-144 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (507) and the Golden State Warriors (508). Los Angeles (30-17) has lost three of their last four games with their 121-110 loss at Philadelphia on Tuesday as a 4.5-point favorite. The Clippers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Los Angeles has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. The Clippers have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Without the injured Chris Paul and Blake Griffin, this team is limited on offense. But expect head coach Doc Rivers to demand a better effort on defense tonight after seeing the 76ers shoot 50% from the field on Tuesday. |
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01-28-17 | Kansas v. Kentucky -7 | Top | 79-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
At 6:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats (604) minus the points versus the Kansas Jayhawks (603). Kentucky (17-3) could use this late January non-conference win a bit more than the Jayhawks. The Wildcats need a high-profile won on their resume to help to perhaps secure a number one seed in the NCAA Tournament. Remember, Kentucky lost their previous high-profile matchup at home against UCLA in December. The Wildcats will also be playing with revenge from a 90-84 loss to the Jayhawks last January. Kentucky enters this game coming off a 82-80 loss at Tennessee on Tuesday as a 10.5-point favorite in a game where their 41.7% shooting percentage was their worst mark in their last seven. But reliability on offense has been a staple for this John Calipari team. Their 43.4 PPG in the paint this season is on pace to be the most from a major conference team over the last six seasons. The Wildcats also score 26.4 PPG in transition this season which is 2nd most in the nation. Kentucky has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up loss. The Wildcats have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss. Moving forward, Kentucky has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 28 home games — including 12 of their last 16 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 29 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Wildcats have covered the point spread 20 times. |
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01-28-17 | Texas-Arlington v. Appalachian State +6 | Top | 83-67 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Appalachian State Mountaineers (564) plus the points versus UT-Arlington Mavericks (563). Appalachian State (6-12) has lost three in a row with their 83-72 loss at Georgia State last Monday as a 9-point underdog. This was one of the worst games of the season for the Mountaineers. Appalachian State shot just 39.3% from the field — and the 56.9% mark they allowed the Panthers to enjoy was their worse defensive performance in their last twelve games. The Mountaineers have rebounded to go 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while App State has failed to cover the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after failing to cover the spread in two of their last three. Now this team returns home where they are 5-2 with an average winning margin of +22.9 PPG. The Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games as an underdog of under 7 points. Appalachian State are dangerous sharpshooters at home as they make 43.6% of their shots from behind the arc while averaging 25 3-pointers per game at home. |
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01-28-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 173 | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 0 h 26 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Central Michigan Chippewas (619) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (620). Central Michigan (13-7) has won three of their last four games after their 82-76 win over Bowling Green as a 6-point favorite on Tuesday. The Chippewas held the Falcons to just a 30% shooting percentage from the field which was their best defensive effort in their last eleven contests. Except regression from this team considering that home teams shoot at a 47.2% clip against CMU. As it is, Central Michigan has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, the Chippewas have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 4 games as an underdog of less than 7 points, CMU has played all 4 games Over the Total. |
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01-27-17 | Dayton +5 v. VCU | Top | 68-73 | Push | 0 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Dayton Flyers (885) plus the points versus the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (886). Dayton (15-40 has three straight games — as well as eight of their last nine — with their 67-46 blowout win over St. Louis as a 23.5-point favorite. The Flyers have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. This Dayton team matches up well with the Rams since they are better on both ends of the court in dealing with the turnover game that this VCU team still likes to employ in their post-Shaka Smart era. The Flyers force turnovers in 23.1% of their A-10 opponent’s possessions which is 2nd best in the conference and a bit better than the 22.3% defensive mark for VCU in conference play. And while the Rams commit turnovers in 19.8% of their conference possessions (5th in the A-10), Dayton is 4th in the league with an 18.3% turnover rate. The Flyers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 road games as an underdog of less than 7 points, Dayton has covered the point spread in 5 of these contests. |
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01-27-17 | Spurs v. Pelicans +6 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the New Orleans Pelicans (868) plus the points versus the San Antonio Spurs (867). New Orleans (18-28) has lost four of their last six games after a 114-105 loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Pelicans have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread setback. Anthony Davis has been slowed down with a quad injury — but he is listed as probable for tonight’s game. Remember that this Pelicans team without Davis defeated the Cavaliers earlier this week. New Orleans has covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And in their last 44 home games as an underdog, the Pelicans have covered the point spread in 29 of these contests. |
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01-26-17 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
At 10:35 on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and the Utah Jazz (708). Los Angeles (16-33) has lost seven of their last eight games with their 105-98 loss in Portland last night as an 8-point underdog. The Lakers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Lakers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Over their last two contests, the absence of D’Angelo Russell is impacting this team on the offensive end of the court as they are shooting only 38.9% from the field and a mere 28% from behind the arc. Additionally, in the last 14 games in the second-half of the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-70% range, the Lakers have played 12 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-25-17 | Flyers v. Rangers -138 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -138 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the money line on the New York Rangers (54) versus the Philadelphia Flyers (53). New York (31-16-0) has won three straight games with their 3-2 win over Los Angeles on Monday. The Rangers have then won 5 of their last 7 games after a win. New York has also won 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The key for this team has been the improved play of Henrik Lundqvist. The elite goaltender suffered perhaps his worst game in his career when he allowed seven goals back on January 17th. Lundqvist has since bounced-back with three straight wins where he stopped 80 of 84 shots for a sizzling .952 save percentage over that span. Now this team looks to close out the first half of the regular season with a victory over their Metropolitan Division rival. The Rangers have won a decisive 51 of their last 73 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
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01-25-17 | Kings v. Cavs -11.5 | Top | 116-112 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Cleveland Cavaliers (502) minus the points versus the Sacramento Kings (501). It might be the dog days of January prior to the All-Star Break — but Cleveland (30-13) should be on fire tonight after their embarrassing 124-122 loss at New Orleans last night. The Cavaliers lost to the Pelicans despite Anthony Davis being on the shelf for that game. The effort compelled LeBron James to go to his proverbial whip to call out his teammates. It started on the defensive end of the court as a Davis-free New Orleans team scored a whopping 70 points in the first half in that contest. Cleveland has then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games after allowing at least 55 points in the first half of their last game. The Cavaliers have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Cleveland defeated this Sacramento team in their building by a 120-108 score back on January 13th — and the Kings have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games when looking to avenge a home loss to their opponent. |
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01-24-17 | Wild -111 v. Stars | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the money line on the Minnesota Wild (17) versus the Dallas Stars (18). Minnesota (30-11-3) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 4-2 loss to Nashville. The Wild have then won 13 of their last 16 games when playing with one day of rest. Devan Dubnyk should be between the pipes tonight — he is enjoying an outstanding season where he sports a 1.91 Goals-Against-Average along with a .935 save percentage. Those numbers are even better when Dubnyk is on the road as he boasts a 1.86 GAA along with a .943 save percentage away from home. That helps explain why Minnesota has won 10 of their last 11 games on the road. The Wild have also won 10 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Minnesota also takes care of their key rivals as they have won 13 of their last 16 games against Western Conference foes — and they have won six of their last seven games against Central Division rivals. |
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01-24-17 | Bulls v. Magic +3 | Top | 100-92 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Orlando Magic (704) plus the points versus the Chicago Bulls (703). Orlando (18-28) has lost four of their last five games with their 118-98 loss to Golden State. The Magic made on 7 of their 16 free throws (43.8%) in that game against the Warriors — but they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after failing to shoot at least 60% from the free throw line in their last game. The Magic find themselves the underdog for the fifteenth straight game tonight — but they have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 37 games after playing at least three straight games as an underdog. Orlando has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 meetings with the Bulls — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games at home against Chicago. |
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01-23-17 | Thunder +5.5 v. Jazz | Top | 97-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
At 9:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Oklahoma City Thunder (517) plus the points versus the Utah Jazz (518). Oklahoma City (25-19) has lost two straight games — as well as three of their last four games — with their 121-100 loss at Golden State as a 14.5-point underdog. The Thunder have rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, OKC has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a double-digit loss. The Thunder have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least points in their last game. The team may still be without Steven Adams who is listed as questionable recovering from a concussion. But OKC is listed as probable coming back from a wrist injury. The Thunder have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after dropping three of their last four games. And in their last 14 road games after dropping two straight on the road, Oklahoma City has covered the point spread 12 times. |
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01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots UNDER 51 | Top | 17-36 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 8 m | Show |
At 6:40 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (313) and the New England Patriots (314). Pittsburgh (13-5) has won nine straight games with their 18-16 win at Kansas City last week as a 2.5-point underdog. Big Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers’ prolific offense may get most of the attention but the Pittsburgh defense is underrated. They held the Chiefs to just 227 yards on their home field last Sunday night. For the season, they are holding their opponents to only 19.7 PPG. On the road, they limit their opponents to just 311.2 total YPG and they are allowing a minuscule 248.5 total YPG when playing on field turf — and that explains why the Steelers have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total on the road and 5 straight Unders playing on turf. Additionally, not only has Pittsburgh played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread win but the Under is 20-6-1 in their last 27 games after a straight-up win. Furthermore, the Under is 4-0-1 in the Steelers’ last 5 games in the playoffs. |
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Frank Sawyer ALL Sports Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-20-17 | George Washington v. Illinois-Chicago OVER 149 | Top | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
03-20-17 | Hawks +6 v. Hornets | Top | 90-105 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 0 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Cincinnati v. UCLA UNDER 154 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Rhode Island +5.5 v. Oregon | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
03-18-17 | Xavier v. Florida State -7 | Top | 91-66 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Marquette v. South Carolina +1 | Top | 73-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Rhode Island v. Creighton UNDER 141.5 | Top | 84-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Vermont +9.5 v. Purdue | Top | 70-80 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
03-15-17 | Kings v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 107-101 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
03-15-17 | Belmont +6.5 v. Georgia | Top | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
03-15-17 | North Carolina Central v. UC-Davis UNDER 132.5 | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
03-14-17 | Kansas State -1.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
03-14-17 | Pistons v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 96-128 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
03-13-17 | Bucks v. Grizzlies -3.5 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
03-11-17 | New Mexico State v. CS Bakersfield UNDER 127.5 | Top | 70-60 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
03-11-17 | Creighton v. Villanova UNDER 141.5 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
03-11-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 124.5 | Top | 48-76 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
03-11-17 | Alabama v. Kentucky UNDER 136 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
03-11-17 | Albany NY +10.5 v. Vermont | Top | 53-56 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
03-10-17 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. North Carolina Central UNDER 139.5 | Top | 49-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
03-10-17 | Alabama v. South Carolina -5 | Top | 64-53 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
03-09-17 | Rice -1.5 v. UTEP | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
03-09-17 | Illinois +4.5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-75 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
03-08-17 | Lehigh v. Bucknell -4 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
03-08-17 | Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech +3 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
03-08-17 | Charlotte v. UAB UNDER 150 | Top | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
03-07-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6 v. Northern Kentucky | Top | 53-59 | Push | 0 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
03-06-17 | Pacers v. Hornets UNDER 207.5 | Top | 88-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
03-06-17 | College of Charleston +3 v. North Carolina Wilmington | Top | 69-78 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
03-06-17 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan OVER 140.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
03-05-17 | Iona v. St. Peter's -2.5 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
03-05-17 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -7 | Top | 49-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
03-05-17 | Wofford +1.5 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
03-05-17 | Cincinnati v. Connecticut +7 | Top | 67-47 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
03-04-17 | Duke v. North Carolina -6.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
03-04-17 | Cavs v. Heat | Top | 92-120 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
03-04-17 | Southern Illinois +8 v. Illinois State | Top | 50-63 | Loss | -102 | 1 h 60 m | Show |
03-04-17 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M +8.5 | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show |
03-03-17 | Canisius v. St. Peter's UNDER 135 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
03-03-17 | Knicks v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
03-03-17 | Columbia v. Brown OVER 152 | Top | 68-88 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
03-02-17 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
03-02-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS-Fullerton UNDER 129.5 | Top | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
03-01-17 | Kansas State v. TCU UNDER 135.5 | Top | 75-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
03-01-17 | Marquette v. Xavier -3 | Top | 95-84 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
02-28-17 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky UNDER 150 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
02-28-17 | Warriors v. Wizards +7 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
02-28-17 | Indiana v. Purdue -11 | Top | 75-86 | Push | 0 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
02-27-17 | North Carolina v. Virginia +4.5 | Top | 43-53 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
02-26-17 | Illinois v. Nebraska -4 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
02-26-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Wright State OVER 155 | Top | 49-87 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 34 m | Show |
02-25-17 | UCLA v. Arizona -1.5 | Top | 77-72 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
02-24-17 | Spurs -3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
02-24-17 | Valparaiso v. Wright State +2.5 | Top | 84-74 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
02-21-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers -125 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
02-21-17 | Monmouth v. Fairfield +6 | Top | 82-62 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
02-18-17 | Appalachian State v. South Alabama -3 | Top | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
02-18-17 | South Florida v. Tulane OVER 145 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
02-17-17 | Princeton v. Yale +3 | Top | 71-52 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
02-16-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Western Kentucky +8 | Top | 78-52 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
02-15-17 | Hornets v. Raptors -6.5 | Top | 85-90 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
02-14-17 | Richmond v. George Mason OVER 150 | Top | 70-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
02-13-17 | Spurs v. Pacers UNDER 206 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
02-12-17 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 130.5 | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
02-11-17 | Celtics v. Jazz -6 | Top | 112-104 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
02-11-17 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's +4 | Top | 74-64 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
02-11-17 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green OVER 153.5 | Top | 88-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
02-10-17 | Monmouth v. Manhattan UNDER 151 | Top | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
02-10-17 | Pacers +5.5 v. Wizards | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
02-09-17 | Celtics +1.5 v. Blazers | Top | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
02-08-17 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 170 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
02-07-17 | Rhode Island v. Massachusetts +5.5 | Top | 70-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
02-05-17 | Patriots -3 v. Falcons | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 292 h 50 m | Show |
02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 59.5 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -115 | 126 h 10 m | Show |
02-04-17 | UC-Davis v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 134.5 | Top | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
02-03-17 | Wolves +4.5 v. Pistons | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
02-02-17 | Wofford -6 v. The Citadel | Top | 100-90 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
02-01-17 | Bulls v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 128-100 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
01-31-17 | Vanderbilt v. Texas A&M UNDER 135 | Top | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
01-31-17 | Thunder v. Spurs -9 | Top | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
01-31-17 | Sabres v. Canadiens OVER 5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
01-30-17 | Grizzlies v. Suns +4 | Top | 115-96 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
01-30-17 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma +2 | Top | 68-66 | Push | 0 | 4 h 0 m | Show |
01-30-17 | Rider v. Canisius UNDER 157 | Top | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
01-29-17 | Wright State v. Illinois-Chicago +2.5 | Top | 88-86 | Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show |
01-29-17 | Michigan v. Michigan State -2 | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show |
01-29-17 | Virginia v. Villanova UNDER 126 | Top | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
01-28-17 | Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 221.5 | Top | 98-144 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
01-28-17 | Kansas v. Kentucky -7 | Top | 79-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
01-28-17 | Texas-Arlington v. Appalachian State +6 | Top | 83-67 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
01-28-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 173 | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 0 h 26 m | Show |
01-27-17 | Dayton +5 v. VCU | Top | 68-73 | Push | 0 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
01-27-17 | Spurs v. Pelicans +6 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
01-26-17 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
01-25-17 | Flyers v. Rangers -138 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -138 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
01-25-17 | Kings v. Cavs -11.5 | Top | 116-112 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
01-24-17 | Wild -111 v. Stars | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
01-24-17 | Bulls v. Magic +3 | Top | 100-92 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
01-23-17 | Thunder +5.5 v. Jazz | Top | 97-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots UNDER 51 | Top | 17-36 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 8 m | Show |