At 12 Noon, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes return home following three straight road wins (including ATS wins in the last two), and have been installed as a favorite vs. the 2-2 Jaguars.  We played against South Alabama last week, and got the $$$ with Central Michigan, which upset the Jags, 34-30, as a 16.5-point favorite.  But off that huge upset loss, we'll take the Jaguars to bounce back in Harrisonburg on Saturday.  Indeed, .500 (or better) underdogs have covered 78% since 1980 vs. conference foes, if our underdog was off an upset non-conference loss as a 16-point (or greater) favorite.  That bodes well for South Alabama.  As does the fact that it has covered 60% off a straight-up loss, if its opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes come into this game off an upset win of conference rival, Troy, and are now 3-0 on the season (but 1-2 ATS).  Meanwhile, Utah State is 1-2 SU, but 2-1 ATS.  We played against Utah State last Friday, and easily got the $$$ when Air Force blew out the Aggies, 39-21, as a 9-point favorite.  We'll take Utah State to bounce back on Saturday, as Mountain West conference teams have cashed 59.3% vs. non-conference foes off upset wins.  And James Madison also falls into a negative system of mine, which is 60-104 ATS since 1980, that goes against certain teams off upset conference wins.  Take Utah State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over UAB.  The #1-ranked Bulldogs are 3-0 on the season, but 0-2-1 ATS in Vegas after escaping last week with a too-close-for-comfort, 24-14 win vs. South Carolina.  We'll lay the points with Kirby Smart's men, as defending National Champs have covered 60.2% since 1980 as double-digit home favorites off an ATS loss.  And Georgia is 35-1 SU and 27-9 ATS as a favorite of -3 (or more) points off an ATS loss, while UAB is 0-8 ATS its last eight games away from Birmingham.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Ohio State.  The Irish have easily won their first three games behind the brilliant play of ex-Wake Forest QB, Sam Hartman.  He's already passed for over 1000 yards, and has 13 TDs and 0 interceptions.  In what will no doubt be a raucous South Bend environment, I would rather have the veteran presence of Hartman than the relative inexperience of Kyle McCord (who will be making just his 5th career start).  The Irish have been installed as a home underdog vs. the Buckeyes, and we'll happily take the points, as Notre Dame is 19-8-1 ATS at home when priced from -2 to +6 points.  Even better:  Notre Dame plays this game with revenge from a 21-10 loss at Columbus last season.  And undefeated, single-digit, revenge-minded home underdogs have cashed 58% of non-conference games since 1980.  Take the Irish.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves are 1-2 on the season, but 0-2 in games vs. FBS foes.  And they've been outscored, 117-34 on the season, for a negative scoring margin of -27.66.  That doesn't bode well here, as Southern Miss is 40-4 SU and 32-10-2 ATS as a favorites of less than 24 points vs. conference foes with a negative scoring margin of -8.5 points (or worse).  Admittedly, Golden Eagles RB Frank Gore, Jr. did get injured in last week's loss to Tulane.  But Southern Miss head coach, Will Hall, gave promising news Monday when he stated that Gore "had a great workout this morning.  He's looking good."  Regardless of whether Gore ultimately suits up on Saturday, we'll lay the points with the road favorite.  Take the Golden Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Rams suffered a brutal overtime loss to rival Colorado last Saturday.  But they easily covered the 23.5-point spread in defeat.  Today, the Rams will be seeking revenge against an MTSU squad which defeated it last season, 34-19, in Fort Collins.  The Rams are 8-1 ATS with revenge vs. non-conference foes when not getting 7+ points.  And they're 50-24 ATS off a point spread win, when not getting 3+ points in their current game.  Take Colorado State.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over South Alabama.  Last week, the Jaguars pulled off a huge upset win over Oklahoma State when they won, 33-7, as a 7-point road underdog.  Unfortunately for the Jaguars, Sun Belt Conference teams have covered just 35.2% as favorites of more than 8 points following a non-conference upset win.  That doesn't bode well for South Alabama on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that Sun Belt teams have covered just 17 of 48 at home or neutral fields vs. Mid-American Conference foes.  Take Central Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Iowa State.  Both of these Big 12 teams come into this game off non-conference losses.  The Cowboys were blown out in Stillwater, 33-7, by South Alabama, while Ohio upset the Cyclones, 10-7, in Athens.  We'll grab the points with Mike Gundy's men, as they're 7-0 ATS off a 14-point (or worse) upset defeat.  Take the Cowboys + the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Colorado.  Both the Ducks and Buffaloes are 3-0 on the season.  But there's still a wide disparity in talent, which is why Oregon is a sizable home favorite on Saturday afternoon.  We'll lay the points with the Ducks, as they're 30-13-1 ATS at home after covering the spread by 7+ points in winning their previous game.   And they're 8-2 ATS their last 10 games vs. Colorado.  Take the Ducks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Boston College.  We played on the Eagles last week, and got the $$$$ when they easily covered as a 26-point underdog at home vs. Florida State.  But Boston College will be playing its first road game of the season on Saturday, and it's a poor 4-10 ATS its last 14 away from Chestnut Hill.  That doesn't bode well for BC on Saturday afternoon.  Nor does the fact that the Cardinals check in off a point spread defeat.  And Louisville is a sensational 14-3-1 ATS off an ATS loss, including a perfect 7-0 ATS as a favorite.  Take the Cardinals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Rutgers.  The Wolves are 3-0 and ranked #2 in the country, and lead the nation in defensive ppg (5.3).  They've been without head coach, Jim Harbaugh, for their first 3 games, as he served a school-imposed suspension.  But Harbaugh will be back on the sidelines this Saturday.  And Michigan has gone 23-1 SU and 17-6-1 ATS in the regular season the past two seasons with Harbaugh, including 7-1-1 ATS when priced from -21 to -49 points.  We'll lay the points with Michigan, as NCAA double-digit favorites off an ATS loss, have gone 12-1 ATS in Game 4, if they owned a defense that gave up less than 8 ppg.  Meanwhile, undefeated, 3-0 teams (like Rutgers) off an ATS win, have cashed just 25% since 1980 when getting 20+ points.  And Rutgers is also a soft 15-36 ATS when priced from +21.5 to +33.5 points.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers minus the points over Georgia State.  After blowing out Duquesne, 66-7, the Chanticleers are a perfect 3-0 ATS on the season, and will welcome the Panthers to Conway for this Sun Belt Conference opener.  We'll lay the points with Coastal Carolina, as single-digit home favorites have covered 59.4% of conference games since 1980 after winning a game in which they scored 60+ points.  Take the Chanticleers to blow out Georgia State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Bowling Green.  This will be the 3rd (and final) game of Jim Harbaugh's suspension for alleged NCAA violations.  The Wolves have won both games in his absence, but have failed to cover the spread.  I like Michigan to break through today with an ATS win, as it is 12-0 ATS as a home favorite of -14 (or more) points off back to back ATS defeats.  Lay the wood.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brigham Young Cougars + the points over Arkansas.  These two teams met last season in Provo, and the Razorbacks won, 52-35.  We'll take the revenge-minded Cougars + the points in Fayetteville, as BYU is 22-4 ATS as revenge-minded road underdogs, including 8-0 ATS its last eight in this situation.  Grab the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Syracuse.  The Orange have been stellar defensively to start the season.  They allowed just 7 points last week in a 48-7 victory over Western Michigan, and shut out Colgate, 65-0, to kick off the season.  They're now favored by a small amount on the road vs. Purdue, which won, 24-17, as a 1-point favorite last week at Virginia Tech.  This is a revenge match for Purdue, which lost, 32-29, at Syracuse last season.  We'll take the home underdog Boilermakers, as home dogs off a SU/ATS win have cashed 66% since 1981 in non-conference games vs. foes that gave up less than 10 points in their two previous games.  Additionally, the Orange are 14-28-1 ATS in their last 43 games vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take the Boilermakers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Cincinnati.  The Bearcats pulled off a huge upset of the Pitt Panthers last week, 27-21.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Bearcats as a big favorite on Saturday.  The RedHawks are playing with revenge from a 38-17 loss last season.  And revenge-minded double digit underdogs have 65.6% since 1980 against non-conference foes off an upset win as a 3.5-point (or greater) underdog.  Take Miami-Ohio.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Western Kentucky.  Ryan Day's Buckeyes have gotten off to a slow start this season -- at least in Las Vegas -- as they're 0-2 ATS (though 2-0 SU).  And they've failed to cover the point spread by double-digits in each win.  Notwithstanding this lack of point spread success, we'll take Ohio State on Saturday, as it's 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 50-38-2 ATS its last 90) off back to back point spread defeats.  Lay the points with the Buckeyes.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Appalachian State.  The Mountaineers have been installed as a favorite of more than a TD vs. East Carolina, and we'll happily take the underdog Pirates, as Appalachian State is a horrid 0-13 ATS its last 13 when priced from +4 to -8.5 points.  Take East Carolina.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Duke.  The Duke Blue Devils are 2-0 and ranked #21 in the country, and own an impressive win over then-No. 9 Clemson. On Saturday, the Blue Devils will host a Northwestern team in transition this season following the firing of longtime head coach Pat Fitzgerald. The Wildcats and Blue Devils have met each of the previous two seasons, and six of the last eight. And what’s most unusual is that Duke has won outright as an underdog in each of the last four meetings, including 31-23 as a double-digit road underdog last season. This year, of course, it’s Northwestern catching double-digits, and I’ll take the points with the Wildcats. For technical support, consider that teams playing with revenge that were upset in each of the previous three meetings have covered 58.3% the past 43 years, including 34-18-1 ATS, 65%, on the road. I know that Duke has been an ATM machine under 2nd-year head coach Mike Elko, as it’s gone 10-3 ATS. But it was only favored by more than 10 points one other time, and it failed to cover that game vs. Boston College as an 11.5-point favorite. Here, it’s laying considerably more than that, and my numbers say It’s too many points. Take Northwestern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Georgia Southern.  The Badgers were upset by the Washington State Cougars, 31-22, as a 5.5-point road favorite last Saturday.  And that was the 2nd straight ATS defeat for Luke Fickell's men.  We'll lay the points with Wisky in this game, as favorites of 14+ points have covered 83% since 1980 in Week 3, if they were off an upset loss, and were 0-2 ATS on the season.  Last year, Wisconsin was upset four times, and was a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS off those upset defeats, winning by an average of 28 points (and covering by an average of 14.25).  This will be a rout.  Take the Badgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Kansas State.  The Tigers had a scare last week, as it won, 23-19, as a 21-point home favorite vs. Middle Tennessee.  This Saturday, it will be a home underdog vs. the 15th-ranked Wildcats, who are 2-0 SU/ATS. I love Missouri in this game, as it's covered 75% over the past 43 years as a home dog off an ATS loss vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Meanwhile, K-State is a wallet-crushing 7-19 ATS on the non-conference road when not getting 17+ points, including 3-7 ATS as a road favorite.  Take Missouri.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over Liberty.  The Bulls was shocked last week in an upset home loss to Fordham, 40-37, as a 22.5-point favorite.  The Bulls are now installed as a home underdog vs. the 2-0 SU/ATS Flames, and we'll grab the points, as home dogs have cashed 60% since 1980 off an upset loss as a double-digit favorite if matched up against a non-conference foe off back to back ATS wins.  Buffalo's also cashed 82% the last 22 years as underdogs vs. non-conference foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Florida State.  The Seminoles have sprinted out to a 2-0 SU/ATS start with blowout wins over LSU (45-24) and Southern Miss (66-13).  In contrast, the Eagles are 0-2 ATS after being upset, 27-24, by Northern Illinois in Week 1, and narrowly defeating Holy Cross last week, 31-28, as as 10.5-point favorite.  We'll fade Florida State as a big favorite on Saturday, as ACC Conference favorites of -7 (or more) points have gone 21-49-1 ATS off back to back ATS wins when playing an opponent off back to back ATS losses, including 0-9 ATS vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Boston College.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Virginia.  The Terps will host a former ACC Conference rival, Virginia, on Friday night.  Maryland left the ACC for the Big 10 Conference in 2014, but has gone 4-1 SU/ATS vs. the ACC since then.  And the Terrapins have also been terrific since 1980 as a home favorite of -7 (or more) points vs. ACC schools, as they've covered 63.8%.  Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are 1-14 SU and 2-13 ATS as road underdogs vs. foes off back to back ATS losses.  Take Maryland minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Texas San Antonio.  QB Frank Harris suffered a toe injury in last week's win, but managed to play through the pain, and guided the Roadrunners to the win over Texas State.  He's questionable to play tonight.  Regardless, we're going to go against Texas San Antonio, and grab the points with Army.  The Black Knights play this game with revenge from a 41-38 loss at home to UTSA last season, and fall into a 228-145-5 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Roadrunners are a dismal 1-15 ATS their last 16 when priced from -6.5 to -10.5 points.  Take Army.  Good luck, a always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Auburn.  We played on the Tigers last week as our NCAA Football Game of the Week, and were rewarded with a 59-14 massacre of UMass.  But off that 45-point triumph, we'll switch gears, and fade the Tigers in Berkeley on Saturday night.  Like Auburn, California's offense was in high gear last weekend, as they annihilated North Texas, 58-21, as a 5-point road favorite.  California piled up 669 yards of offense, and allowed the Mean Green just 225.  Auburn is 0-6 ATS its last six non-conference road games, and has covered just 28% as a non-conference road favorite over the last 40 seasons.  Take California + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls + the points over Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights won their season-opener, 24-7, at home vs. Northwestern.  But Rutgers is a poor 3-12 ATS off a point spread win, including 1-8 ATS at home.  Temple also will be looking to avenge a home loss to the Scarlet Knights last season.  And the Owls are a sensational 75-34-5 ATS when playing with revenge, and priced as an underdog of less than 23 points.  Take Temple.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Oregon.  The Ducks put up 81 points last week in an 81-7 pummeling of Portland State.  We'll go against Oregon on the road in Lubbock, as NCAA road teams have covered just 36% in Week 2 since 1990 after scoring more than 65 points in their season opener.  Even better:  Texas Tech is 15-0 ATS as a home underdog priced from +4 to +18 points off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Red Raiders + the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over SMU.  The Mustangs blew out Louisiana Tech, 38-14, last Saturday, in their season opener.  Unfortunately, SMU is a wallet breaking 0-9 ATS its last nine (and 13-25 ATS its last 38) road games off a win by 15+ points, and 6-22 ATS on the road after scoring 38+ points.  Take Oklahoma minus the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies walloped New Mexico, 52-10, as a 38-point home favorite last Saturday.  But the Aggies have a massive step-up in class this weekend, as they will have to go into Hard Rock Stadium to take on a Hurricanes squad riding high after its season-opening 38-3 win over Miami-Ohio.  The Hurricanes have cashed 68% since 1980 as home underdogs vs. non-conference foes, while Texas A&M is 0-15 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. .600 (or better) foes, if the Aggies weren't getting more than 14 points.  Take Miami-Fla + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Colorado.  The Buffaloes pulled off a massive upset last week, when they went into Fort Worth, and knocked off the Horned Frogs, 45-42, as a 21-point underdog.  But off that stunning win, I'll look for a letdown on Saturday, as home favorites off an upset win as a double-digit underdog to kick off the season have covered just 35 percent over the last 43 years.  Grab the points with Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Notre Dame.  NC State kicked off its season with a win at Connecticut, 24-14, last week, and will welcome the 2-0 Fighting Irish into Carter-Finley Stadium for their home opener.  The Irish come into Raleigh off back to back stifling defensive performances.  Notre Dame blew out Navy, 42-3, in Dublin, and then trounced Tennessee State, 56-3, in South Bend.  But off those two games, we'll fade the Irish as a road favorite on Saturday.  Indeed, since 1980, road favorites have covered just 25% vs. winning teams in Game 3, if our road favorite didn't give up more than 7 points combined in their first two games.  NC State has won its last 13 home openers, straight-up, and I look for an upset win in this early game on Saturday.  Grab the points with NC State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over the Massachusetts Minutemen.  Last week, we had our College Football Game of the Month on UMass +7 over New Mexico State, and were rewarded with a 41-30 upset win by Don Brown's troops.  UMass has now matched its win total for each of the last three full seasons, as it went 1-11 in each of 2019, 2021 and 2022 (it went 0-4 in the COVID-shortened 2020 season).  But even though victorious, the Minutemen were out-yarded by the Aggies, 458-389.  The difference in the game, of course, was turnovers.  UMass held onto the ball, while New Mexico State coughed it up 3 times.  It would be folly to expect that kind of turnover luck to continue here, at Jordan-Hare Stadium.  Moreover, since 2019, the Minutemen have been miserable against the spread, including 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS when priced from +23 to +38 points.  Meanwhile, Auburn has gone 26-19 ATS in that point spread range.  Off that big upset win, we'll fade UMass, as it falls into a 'letdown' system of mine which has cashed 69.6% since 1988.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen + the points over New Mexico State.  After coaching UMass from 2004 to 2008 (the best 5-year period in UMass' football history), Don Brown returned to Amherst last season to man the sidelines again.  Last season, UMass struggled to a 1-11 record, which was the 3rd straight full season it went 1-11.  This year, UMass will look to improve on that record, and it will open the 2023 season against a team which it lost to each of the past two years.  The Aggies won, 44-27, in 2021, as a 7 point home favorite.  And then, last season, they went into Amherst, and down the Minutemen, 23-13, in a PK'em game.  We'll play on the double-revenge-minded Minutemen, as the Aggies are a poor 3-17 ATS at home when playing an opponent it defeated the previous season, including 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of less than 8 points.  And they're 4-11 ATS vs. teams they defeated each of the two previous seasons, including 1-7 ATS at home.  Grab the points with UMass.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs are the defending champs, and are a deserved favorite.  But they've been an average team against the point spread this year.  They're 7-7 ATS, and have gone 4-4 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 1.75.  In contrast, TCU is 10-2-2 ATS, and has gone 5-0-2 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 7.00.  Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have gone 14-5 ATS in the Bowls when installed as an underdog of more than 9 points.  We'll take the points with the Horned Frogs.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Georgia.  The Buckeyes were a whopping 9-point home favorite, but were blown out in the 2nd half of their season-ending game vs. rival Michigan.  Ohio State actually held the lead, 20-17, at the break.  But it couldn't find the end zone after intermission, and lost, 45-23.  The Buckeyes, though, have excelled as an underdog in Bowl games, including 9-1 ATS when getting 4 or more points!  Even better:  Bowl underdogs, priced from +3.5 to +8 points, off an upset loss as a 9-point (or greater) favorite, have gone 10-0 ATS.  This will be a difficult match-up for the Bulldogs, who are 2nd in scoring defense (12.77 ppg), but whose pass defense ranks 51st, surrendering 215.1 passing yards per game.  Ohio State will be able to exploit Georgia's secondary, as OSU boasts the nation's top QB in passer efficiency rating (CJ Stroud), and a brilliant route-runner (Marvin Harrison, Jr) at WR.  Stroud threw for 3,340 yards, 37 TDs (and just six INTs), while Harrison had 72 receptions for 1,157 yards (16.1 avg yds), and 12 TDs.  Ohio State's covered 15 of 18 away from home off a home loss, including 9-0 ATS vs. .666 (or better) foes.  And, finally, defending National Champs are a wallet-busting 22-44 ATS away from home off a win, if priced from -4.5 to -14 points.  Take the Buckeyes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, in the Music City Bowl, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Kentucky.  The Over/Under line (currently 31) is the lowest OU Line for any FBS game in the past 10 seasons.  And the Hawkeyes have excelled in games with low OU lines, as they're 7-1 ATS their last eight when the line has been less than 42 points.  Iowa's also 7-0-1 ATS their last eight in 'win situation' games where the line was less than 3 points.  The Hawkeyes have covered the point spread by an average of 4.70 ppg away from home this season, while Kentucky's point spread differential away from home has been -0.75.  That bodes well for the Hawkeyes.  As does the fact that they're 13-7-1 ATS their last 21 bowl games.  Take Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Wyoming.  These two teams will meet in the Arizona Bowl, in Tucson, this afternoon.  We'll go against a Cowboys team which laid an egg (literally, a 'Goose Egg'), as it was shut out, 30-0, by Fresno in its final regular season game.  Wyoming is a horrid 8-27 ATS away from home off a SU/ATS loss, if it wasn't getting 5+ points.  And the Cowboys are 3-18 ATS away from home after scoring 14 points or less, if they weren't getting 4+ points in their current game.  Lay the points with Ohio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks come into this game off back to back upset wins over Tennessee and Clemson.  But I expect Notre Dame to halt their win streak, as the Irish are a perfect 13-0-1 ATS, if they owned a winning record, and were installed as a favorite of less than 14 points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  We played against the Irish last Bowl season, in Marcus Freeman's debut as Notre Dame head coach, and got the $$$ with Oklahoma State as our 5* NCAA Football Game of the Year.  The Irish blew a big, 21-point lead in that Bowl game.  Rest assured that Freeman won't let that happen here.  Notre Dame is a spotless 5-0 SU/ATS in Bowl games when priced from -2 to -6 points (but 6-18 ATS when it wasn't).  And South Carolina is a wallet-busting 9-27-2 ATS off back to back ATS wins, when the point spread was 13 points or less (or PK).  Take Notre Dame minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Florida St.  Over the last 42 years, Bowl underdogs of +8.5 (or more) points have gone 84-50-2 ATS if they weren't off back to back wins.  Take the Sooners + the points.

At 9 pm, on Wednesday, in the Texas Bowl, our selection is on Mississippi minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders ended their season by scoring the most points they had all season vs. an FBS school, when they upset Oklahoma, 51-48, as a 2.5-point home dog.  Unfortunately for Texas Tech, it's 1-7-1 ATS after scoring 37+ points in its previous game.  And it's 12-25 ATS after an upset win, including 2-11 ATS when priced from +2 to +10 points.  Finally, the Red Raiders are 1-9-1 ATS in the Bowls when priced from +7 to -3.5 points, while the Rebels are 11-3-1 ATS their last 15 Bowl games.  Take Ole Miss minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, on Wednesday, in the Liberty Bowl, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over Arkansas.  The Jayhawks greatly overachieved this season.  Picked by the media to finish last in the Big 12 conference, Kansas went 5-0 SU/ATS out of the gate, and was competitive in defeat vs. teams like TCU and Oklahoma.  Kansas did stumble badly its last two games, as it lost to Texas (55-14) and Kansas St (47-27), but still finished 6-6 to earn a bowl bid.  The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS their last six post-season games, while Arkansas is 8-18-1 ATS its last 27 post-season games.  That bodes well for the Jayhawks as an underdog in this game.  As does the fact that the Underdog has gone 13-5 ATS in the Liberty Bowl games since 2004.  Finally, underdogs that were outscored, in the aggregate, by more than 40 points in their two previous games, have covered 62% in the post-season.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, on Wednesday, in the Military Bowl, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Duke.  The Knights owned the nation's 7th most prolific rushing attack, as they averaged 235.6 yards on the ground this season.  And they've been installed as an underdog vs. Duke in this Bowl game.  We'll take the underdog, as we note that Bowl underdogs of +3 (or more) points, that averaged 235+ yards rushing on the season, have gone 77-56-1 ATS over the last 43 seasons.  Take UCF.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 2:30 pm, on Monday, in the Quick Lane Bowl, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Bowling Green.  After going 2-10 last year under coach Doug Martin, the Aggies turned to veteran head coach Jerry Kill to lead the team in 2022.  Kill previously manned the sideline at Northern Illinois (2008-2010) and Minnesota (2011-2015), and as an interim head coach last season at TCU.  Not including TCU, where he coached just 4 games, and went 2-2 ATS, Kill's teams have always been profitable.  Overall, he's gone 63-48-2 ATS, including 44-25 ATS when priced from -6 to +17 points.  His Aggies ended this season in impressive fashion, with a 65-3 blowout of Valparaiso, and a 49-14 upset win (as a 24-point underdog) at Liberty in their penultimate game.  They also were 5-1 ATS down the stretch.  In contrast, Bowling Green was 4-7-1 ATS this season, and 1-3 ATS in their final four games.  They scored just 14 points in their final game of the season -- a 24 point loss at Ohio, as a 5.5-point underdog.  The Mid-American Conference is, generally speaking, a horrible football conference.  And it's teams have gone 12-25-1 ATS as a favorite in the Bowls, if they were off a straight-up loss in their previous game.  Take the Aggies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over San Diego St.  The Blue Raiders ended the season on a 3-game win streak (2-1 ATS) to finish 7-5 on the season.  The Aztecs also were 7-5, but ended the season with a whimper, as they lost, 13-3, to Air Force.  They're laying a sizable amount of points today to Middle Tennessee, but I can't get behind an SDSU team which was 2-4 ATS as a favorite.  Even worse:  Mountain West Conference favorites of more than 3 points have gone 6-19 ATS in bowl games vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss.  And Mountain West teams are 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs. Conference USA foes in Bowl games.  With San Diego State entering with a 1-6 ATS mark in the post-season when favored by more than 3 points, we'll take the Underdog Blue Raiders tonight.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Air Force.  The Falcons were 9-3 on the season, while Baylor was 6-6.  But the Bears played a rugged Big 12 schedule (as well as a road game at BYU), while Air Force played a comparatively-easy Mountain West schedule.  The Falcons played 4 teams that earned a bowl bid this season:  Wyoming, San Diego St, Boise St. and Utah St.  And Air Force went 1-3 in those games, with its lone win coming against San Diego St.  This is a big step-up in class for Air Force, and I don't think they'll get the job done tonight.  And especially not with Baylor coming into this game off a SU/ATS loss to Texas.  Key stat:  Baylor's 13-0-1 off an ATS loss when matched up against a foe with a W/L percentage greater than .600.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames plus the points over Toledo.  The Flames have been installed as an underdog for this Boca Raton Bowl.  And Liberty is a solid 14-4 ATS its last 18 when not favored by more than 3 points.  Toledo, on the other hand, is 18-32-1 ATS in Non-Conference games when playing away from home.  Take Liberty.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St Spartans minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles won their last 3 games, including a 38-19 win vs. Central Michigan to end its season.  Unfortunately, Eastern Michigan is a wallet-breaking 30-50 ATS off a win, including 5-18 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with San Jose St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Marshall.  It's never been a bad idea to take double-digit underdogs in Bowl games.  And that's because they've gone 85-64-3 ATS since 1980.  So, while I will go with a double-digit Bowl favorite on occasion, it's not something I will do with regularity.  Moreover, Connecticut was blown out, 34-17, by Army in its season-ending game.  And double-digit Bowl dogs have cashed 63% if they didn't win their previous game (compared to 54% if they were off a win).  Meanwhile, Marshall is 17-26 ATS away from home as a favorite of -7+ points, while UConn is 11-5 ATS as an underdog.  Finally, Sun Belt Conference favorites (or PK) are a dismal 41-75-3 ATS in non-conference games, if our Sun Belt team didn't own a losing record.  Take UConn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Boise St.  The Mean Green won't have to travel far from their Denton campus to this Frisco Bowl game, so they'll have most of today's crowd rooting for them.  We'll fade Boise St, as the Broncos have burned money in the post-season when favored by less than 12 points, as they're 1-8 ATS their last nine!  And double-digit Conference USA underdogs have gone 14-7 ATS in Bowl games.  Take North Texas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Southern Miss.  These two teams know each other well, as they battled virtually every year as members of Conference USA.  But Southern Miss left this year for the Sun Belt Conference, so this meeting will be the first time they met in a Bowl game.  Rice won each of the past two seasons (both SU and ATS), and is 8-4 ATS vs. Southern Miss in this series.  It's true that the Owls ended their season with 3 straight losses.  But College football underdogs of 6+ points have covered 68% in post-season games since 1980 off 3+ losses.  Take Rice + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington St Cougars + the points over Fresno St.  The Bulldogs are a horrid 4-15 ATS away from home, when favored against a non-conference foe, including 1-7 ATS in Bowl games.  Take Washington St.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Oregon State.  The Gators are 18-7 ATS as underdogs of +5 (or more) points away from home, when matched up against a foe off a point spread win.  And Oregon State is 2-14 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes off a loss, including 0-8 ATS when favored by 7+ points.  Grab the points with the Gators.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over Navy.  The Midshipmen come into this game -- at Philadelphia's Lincoln Financial Field -- off an upset win over Central Florida, 17-14, as a 14.5-point underdog.  But that was just Navy's 4th win on the season (against 7 losses).  They'll now face an Army team which is a red-hot 5-0 ATS its last five after blowing out UMass, 44-7.  We'll lay the points with Army, as NCAA favorites (or PK) off 4 ATS wins have gone 79-42 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. foes that don't have a winning record (including 7-0 ATS the last 7).  And if our red-hot team was playing a non-conference opponent, then our 79-42 record moves to a perfect 8-0 ATS.  Take Army.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Clemson.  The Tar Heels come into this ACC Championship game off back to back losses to Georgia Tech and NC State.  I look for North Carolina to rebound on Saturday night, as it's 37-19 ATS off back to back losses, including 22-10 ATS as an underdog of 7+ points.  Meanwhile, Clemson is a soft 19-36-1 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points when playing a foe off back to back losses.  Even worse:  the Tigers are 11-30 ATS as a favorite away from home, if it was off an ATS loss in its previous game (and 1-12 ATS if the Tigers were off a SU loss).  Take North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Michigan.  Jim Harbaugh's Wolverines won their school's biggest game since they defeated Washington State on January 1, 1998 to earn their last National Championship.  Michigan was a 9-point road underdog, but routed its biggest rival, Ohio State, 45-23, last Saturday in a dominant performance.  It's widely accepted that even a loss to Purdue won't injure Michigan's chances to be in the 4-team playoffs later this month.  So, given this backdrop, we'll have no problem pulling the trigger on the double-digit underdog Boilermakers.  Last week, we had our Big 10 Conference Game of the Year on Purdue, and it rewarded us with a 14-point win over Indiana.  We'll grab the points with the Boilermakers here, and note that Michigan is an awful 0-7 ATS off an upset win over a previously undefeated Big 10 foe.  Additionally, the underdog has gone 7-3-1 in Big 10 Championship games.  And Purdue is 14-1-1 ATS away from home as an underdog of more than 12 points in Big 10 games, if its opponent was off a win.  Take the Boilermakers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Troy.  Coastal Carolina was bombed, 47-7, by James Madison last week, while Troy routed Arkansas State, 48-19.  We'll take Coastal Carolina to bounce back, as road underdogs of more than 4 points in Sun Belt Conference games have gone 83-42 ATS off a loss, if they failed to cover the spread by 5+ points in that defeat.  Take Coastal Carolina.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Ohio.  Last week, Toledo mustered just 14 points, and was upset, 20-14, by Western Michigan, as a 9.5-point road favorite.  Meanwhile, Ohio put up 38 points in a blowout win over Bowling Green.  We'll lay the points with Toledo, as it's 11-0 ATS as a favorite of -3 (or more) points, if it scored less than 17 points in its previous game.  Even better:  NCAA teams have covered 71% of Conference Title games since 2009 if they scored 20+ less points in their final regular season game than did their current opponent.  Take the Rockets minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies + the points over LSU.  Brian Kelly's Tigers are having a super season.  They're 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS.  But the one negative spot for them is that they're 0-3 ATS as a favorite away from Baton Rouge.  They lost SU/ATS against Florida St, and also didn't cover as a favorite vs. Auburn and Arkansas.  At 4-7, Texas A&M won't be going to a bowl game this season.  So, tonight's game IS its "Bowl Game."  And the Aggies are a solid 18-6 ATS their last 24 as home underdogs of more than 5 points.  Take Texas A&M + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over TCU.  All good things must eventually come to an end, so don't be surprised if TCU's win streak goes by the wayside on this Saturday.  Iowa State is giving up just 16.5 ppg this season (TCU gives up 25.5).  And at Game 11 forward, NCAA underdogs/pk off a loss, with a defense that gives up less than 17.5 ppg, have gone 57-24-3 ATS vs. foes off a win.   Take Iowa State + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Michigan State.  The Nittany Lions have won all nine games this season other than the two they played against the #2 (Ohio State) and #3 (Michigan) teams in the country.  And dating back to December 5, 2020, the Nittany Lions are 12-0 SU/ATS when priced from -4 to -24 points!  Lay the wood with Penn State.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon St. Beavers + the points over Oregon.  The Beavers have been a point spread covering machine in Corvallis.  Over the last 2 seasons, they're a perfect 11-0 ATS.  Even better:  the revenger in this rivalry is 16-7-1 ATS.  With Oregon State off a 38-29 loss to the Ducks last season, we'll take the Beavers + the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers snapped their 7-game losing streak last week when they upset Michigan St, 39-31, as a 12.5-point road underdog.  We'll look for Indiana to go back to its losing ways on Saturday, as it's 47-74 ATS as a home underdog, and 0-8 ATS after winning a game, straight-up, as a 9-point (or greater) dog.  Lay the points with Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans minus the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors are on a 6-1 ATS run, including back to back ATS wins over Utah St and UNLV in their previous two games.  But the Rainbows are 2-15 SU and 4-13 ATS as an underdog on the road off back to back ATS wins.  And they're 9-16 ATS vs. San Jose.  Lay it.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes + the points over Buffalo.  Both of these teams enter today's game off a loss.  Buffalo fell, 31-27, at Central Michigan in its previous game.  Meanwhile, the Golden Flashes were upset, 31-24, by Eastern Michigan last week.  But off that upset loss, we'll grab the points with Kent St, as MAC Conference teams have gone 58-32-1 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when playing an opponent also off a loss.  Take Kent St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Georgia played (for it) a lackluster game last week.  It won by 10 points over Kentucky, 16-6, as a 22-point favorite.  Still, the Bulldogs have been the best team in football over the past two seasons.  They're 25-1 SU and 16-10 ATS.  And they're 8-1 ATS off a point spread defeat. This afternoon, they'll welcome their cross-state rival, Georgia Tech, to Athens.  But it hasn't been much of a rivalry the past 31 seasons.  Since 1991, Georgia is 24-6 SU and 21-8-1 ATS vs. the Yellow Jackets.  Georgia Tech is a wallet-breaking 21-36 ATS its last 57, including 5-17 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Georgia.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Florida St.  The Gators were upset by Vandy last week, as a double-digit favorite.  This week, they're an underdog, and the Gators are 12-4 ATS their last 16 as a dog (compare to 3-16-1 ATS their last 20 as a favorite).  Take Florida + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos come into this game off an upset road win at Central Michigan.  But they're back home today, and they're a horrid 8-22 ATS as a home underdog.  Take Toledo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Baylor.  The Bears defeated Texas, 31-24, last season.  We'll lay the points in this revenge match, as Baylor's 0-26 straight-up, an 8-16-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, and getting 6+ points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats minus the points over Bowling Green.  This game is between the top 2 teams in the MAC East division.  Ohio comes in with a 6-1 conference record, while Bowling Green enters with a 5-2 record.  Last week, Bowling Green upset Toledo, 42-35, as a 14.5-point underdog.  But MAC road underdogs of +4 (or more) points have covered just 34% off a win, if they were matched up against an opponent with a better conference record playing its final home game of the season.  The Bobcats are riding a 6-game win streak, and have covered each of their last seven games.  Take Ohio minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Wake Forest.  The Orange come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and only scored 12 points combined in their 2 previous games.  But we'll grab the points, as road underdogs are 108-82 ATS in conference games, if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and failed to score 10+ points in each of their two previous games.  Take Syracuse.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Tigers were blown out last week, 66-24, by Tennessee.  The good news is that the Aggies are nowhere near as talented as Tennessee.  We'll take Missouri to bounce back in a big way on Saturday night, as it's 14-1 ATS at home off a loss the previous week, if it was favored by 13 or more points in its current game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Temple.  The Bearcats have lost each of their last 5 games ATS.  And this long ATS losing streak is working to confer betting value on the side of the Bearcats.  We'll lay the points today, as we note that Temple is a wallet-busting 7-15 ATS its last 22 as underdogs.  Take the Bearcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Iowa.  The Gophers will look to snap their 7-game losing streak to Iowa today.  And I think they'll get the job done, as the Gophers have given up just 6.67 ppg in their six home games this season (5-1 ATS).  Minnesota is 17-10-1 ATS at home vs. FBS schools the past 5 seasons, including 6-3 ATS with revenge.  And revenge-minded teams with stellar defenses that allow less than 14.6 ppg, have covered 65% of their final home games of the season.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Warhawks upset Georgia State last week, 31-28, as a 13.5-point road underdog.  We'll fade Monroe on this Saturday afternoon, as Troy has gone 18-7-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including 7-0-1 ATS if Troy owned a W/L percentage of .700+.  Additionally, Sun Belt teams have covered just 10 of 35 games off an upset win as an underdog of more than 9 points, including 0-7 ATS vs. foes with a W/L percentage > .700.  Take Troy minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Boston College.  BC upset NC State last week, 21-20, as an 18-point underdog.  We'll fade the Eagles on Saturday in South Bend, as underdogs of +15 (or more) points have gone 1-12 ATS in non-conference games off an upset road win as a 15-point (or greater) underdog.  Take Notre Dame minus the points

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over Arizona.  Last week, the Wildcats shocked UCLA as a 20-point underdog, 34-28.  But Pac-12 teams with a losing record are a horrid 17-40 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of +8 (or more) points.  Before last week's upset, Arizona had lost its four previous games -- each by more than 7 points -- so I expect it to revert to form on Saturday.  Lay the points with Washington St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Kansas St.  The Wildcats blew out Baylor, 31-3, as a 2.5-point road underdog last week.  We'll fade Kansas State here, as road favorites have covered just 36% since 1980 in conference games following an upset win by 28+ points against a conference foe.  Take West Virginia + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are having a nice season, with a 6-3 SU/ATS record.  But we'll fade them in this game, as the Panthers are 24-12-1 ATS away from home vs. .500 (or better) teams.  Take Georgia State.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over TCU.  Baylor's 3-game win streak was snapped by Kansas State last week, as the Wildcats blew out the Bears, 31-3.  They'll now take on undefeated TCU.  The Horned Frogs upset Texas last week, 17-10, as a 7.5-point underdog, and have a clear path toward the playoffs if they can continue to win.  Of course, that's easier said than done.  And we'll look for the mild upset in Waco, on Saturday.  Indeed, Big 12 teams have covered just 22.7% since 1981 off an upset win as a dog of more than 5 points, if they were playing an opponent off a SU loss, and weren't getting more than 4 points in the current game.  Take Baylor + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Vanderbilt.  The Commodores snapped their 5-game losing streak last week, as they went into Lexington, and upset Kentucky, 24-21, as a 17-point underdog.  Unfortunately for Vanderbilt, SEC teams off an upset conference win as a dog of more than 9 points have fallen flat the next week when matched up against winning SEC teams, as they've gone 9-24 ATS (and 0-7 ATS when getting more than 10 points).  Moreover, the Commodores are 4-16 ATS their last 20 home games, including 0-9 ATS when not getting 16+ points.  Take Florida minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Florida St.  We played against the Orange last week, and got the $$$$ with Pittsburgh in its 19-9 triumph.  Today, we'll back Syracuse as Florida State is a dreadful 35-62-4 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Syracuse + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over TCU.  The Longhorns are 6-3 on the season, while TCU is 9-0, including 3 double-digit wins in its last three games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the undefeated Frogs.  But consider that, since 1980, .667 (or worse) teams have cashed 83%, at Game 7 forward, when favored by 6+ points over an .888 (or better) foe off a double-digit win.  This will be a rout.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over North Carolina.  We played against Wake Forest in each of its two previous games, and we got the $$$ in each, as the Demon Deacons lost to both Louisville and NC State.  But those two games were on the road.  Here, in Winston-Salem, the Deacs have gone 11-1 ATS its last 12 home games vs. conference foes.  Meanwhile, North Carolina is an ugly 1-12 ATS on the road off a conference win.  With UNC, indeed, off a win last week vs. Virginia, we'll fade the Tar Heels tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Georgia.  We played on Georgia last week over Tennessee, and were rewarded with a double-digit win against the then-No. 1 team in the country.  But off that emotional victory, we'll fade the Bulldogs this evening.  Indeed, defending National Champs are an awful 11-26 ATS after winning SU/ATS the previous week vs. an undefeated foe.  Take Mississippi State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over North Texas.  The Mean Green routed Florida International, 52-14, last Saturday.  But off that 38-point win, we'll fade North Texas this afternoon, as it's 13-35 ATS as an underdog off a straight-up win.  Take UAB.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Georgia Tech.  These two teams are 4-5 on the season.  So, both need a win in this game in order to have a chance to play in a Bowl game at season's end.  Georgia Tech is a wallet-breaking 0-8 ATS its last eight games as a favorite vs. FBS schools.  And it's 5-17 ATS its last 22, when the game was priced with a point spread less than 10 points.  Take Miami-Fla + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Temple.  The Cougars lost against the spread for the 2nd consecutive game last week.  But off that defeat, we'll lay the points with Houston this afternoon, as it's 8-1 ATS its last nine off a point spread loss.  Take Houston.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Indiana.  The Bucks come into this game off back to back point spread defeats at  Penn State, and at Northwestern.  But Ohio St is back home at the Horseshoe today, and we'll lay the points.  Indeed, OSU is 41-27-2 ATS in Big 10 games after not cover the spread in each of its two previous games.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over the Liberty Flames.  The Flames pulled off two big upsets in their two previous games.  They defeated BYU, as a 7-point dog, and followed that up with a win at Arkansas, as a 14.5-point underdog.  Unfortunately, road favorites have cashed just 28% the past 43 years after back to back upset wins as 7-point (or greater) underdogs.  Take Connecticut + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Illinois.  The Illinois have been historically poor in this point spread range, as they're 17-50-3 ATS at home when priced from +3 to -12.5 points.  Take Purdue.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over LSU.  We had a huge play on LSU over Alabama last week, and were rewarded with an outright win, as a 13-point underdog.  Unfortunately for the Tigers, they've covered just 28% over the last 43 years off an upset win as a double-digit underdog.  Grab the points with Arkansas.

At 8 pm our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Wake Forest.  We played against Wake last week, and easily got the $$$$ when Louisville upset it in blowout fashion.  And we'll once again go against the Demon Deacons on the road in Raleigh.  NC State lost last season's meeting 45-42, but is a solid 31-19 ATS as a revenge-minded home dog.  Meanwhile, Wake is a horrible 6-14-2 ATS as a road favorite vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Take North Carolina State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Florida State.  The Seminoles come into this rivalry game off a SU/ATS win last week against Georgia Tech, while Miami outlasted Virginia in overtime, 14-12, but failed to cover the 3-point spread.  We'll take the underdog Hurricanes, as the underdog has gone 27-13-1 ATS, including 22-6 ATS if getting 9 or less points.  And Florida State is a dreadful 34-62 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Miami + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Clemson.  The Fighting Irish have been installed as a home dog vs. the undefeated (8-0) Tigers.  We'll go against Clemson, as undefeated teams -- at Game 8 forward -- have covered just 41.7% the past 43 years away from home in the regular season vs. foes that weren't undefeated, provided our unbeaten team wasn't laying 5.5 or more points.  This system was a perfect 4-0 ATS last year, and is already 1-0 ATS this season coming into tonight.  Finally, Notre Dame is a perfect 6-0-1 ATS as a home dog since 1985 vs. undefeated foes with a 4-0 (or better) record!  Take the Fighting Irish.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over Louisville.  We played on the Cardinals last week, and got the $$$ when they upset the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 48-21.  Unfortunately, Louisville is a wallet-busting 2-13 ATS off an upset win, if it wasn't getting 3+ points in the current game.  Take James Madison.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers come into this home game off back to back double-digit wins.  They went into Gainesville on October 15, and downed Florida, 45-35.  Then two weeks ago, they blew out Ole Miss, 45-20.  They had last week off to prepare for this big game.  And rested home dogs of +7 or more points, off back-to-back wins have gone 47-21 ATS, including 38-12 ATS vs. foes off wins by 7+ points.  Moreover, NCAA home dogs off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored 90 points combined over those two games, have covered 65% the past 43 seasons.  Take LSU.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Boise State.  The Cougars have lost 4 straight games, while Boise has won its last four.  But we'll still take the ice cold Cougars on Saturday, as single-digit underdogs have covered 69% off 3 SU/ATS losses, if they were playing an opponent off 3 SU/ATS wins.  And the Cougars are 8-3 ATS their last 11 meetings vs. Boise.  Take BYU + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin Cajuns + the points over Troy.  The Trojans went into Mobile last week, and upset South Alabama, 10-6.  But that upset win has triggered one of my very best college football systems which goes against certain teams on the road off upset wins.  Troy's been installed as a road favorite for this Sun Belt contest.  Unfortunately road teams off a SU/ATS win have covered just 23.1% at Louisiana Lafayette if the Cajuns were off an ATS loss (and 0-6 ATS their last 6 in this situation as a favorite or PK).  Take Louisiana + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.