At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Sam Houston State.  The Longhorns have yet to cover the spread this season.  But so have the Bearkats, who are 0-3 ATS this season, and 2-8 ATS their last 10, dating back to last year.  We'll lay the big number with Texas, as it's 37-20 ATS when favored by 14 off an ATS loss.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points against BYU.  The Pirates come into this game off a 38-0 shutout win at Coastal Carolina last Saturday.  Home teams have gone 120-94-9 ATS in the regular season off shutout road wins the previous week.  And BYU is 21-32 ATS as a non-conference road favorite.  Take East Carolina.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Illinois.  The Hoosiers whitewashed Indiana State, 73-0, last week.  We'll lay the points with Indiana in this Big 10 battle, as home teams favored by single digits have cashed 58% in conference games off a 60-point (or greater) offensive outburst their previous game.  Lay the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal notched a rare win last week when they upset Boston College, 30-20, as a 14-point home underdog.  Still, Stanford is a lousy 20-42-3 ATS its last 65.  Take Virginia.

At 7:00 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  Both of these teams come into this game with 1-2 records following victories last Saturday.  Marshall blew out Eastern Kentucky, 38-7, while the Blue Raiders stormed back from a 13-0 deficit in the fourth quarter to shock Nevada, 14-13.  Marshall used to be in Conference USA, so it has a history against Middle Tennessee.  The Blue Raiders did win the previous meeting, 34-28.  But in this series, the loser of the prior meeting has gone 7-2 ATS.  The Blue Raiders have NOT been good off point spread wins, as they've gone 3-13 ATS, including 0-7 ATS in games with single-digit point spreads, and 1-7 ATS off an upset win.  Marshall falls into 204-113 and 169-95 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points with the Thundering Herd.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Western Kentucky.  The Wolf Pack collapsed in the 4th quarter last week, and gave up two late touchdowns to Middle Tennessee to lose, 14-13.  We'll take Nevada to bounce back, as it's 26-15 ATS in non-conference games off a SU loss, including 5-1 ATS off an upset loss.  Take Nevada.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets upset Clemson last week, 24-21, to move to 3-0 this season, while the Owls were blown out, 42-3, by Oklahoma.  The Yellow Jackets are a poor 2-7-1 ATS at home in non-conference games off an upset win.  And AAC Conference teams are 29-14-1 ATS as road underdogs of more than 20 points vs. foes not off a SU loss.  Take Temple + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers + the points over Oklahoma.  Last year, the Sooners went into Auburn, and upset the Tigers, 27-21, as a 2-point road underdog.  We'll take Auburn to give Oklahoma some payback on this Saturday.  The Tigers are a solid 14-7 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss against a conference foe.  And Oklahoma is 5-9 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe it upset on the road.  That bodes well for Auburn on Saturday afternoon.  As does the fact that SEC Conference underdogs (or PK) have cashed 62.2% in their conference openers, provided their opponent wasn't playing with revenge.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over the Michigan Wolverines.  Nebraska was walloped by Michigan, here in Lincoln, 45-7, two years ago.  But that was a Michigan team which went on to win the National Championship.  This Wolverines team is not at that level, notwithstanding its 63-3 triumph last week vs. Central Michigan.  Nebraska comes into this Big 10 Conference-opener with a defense which has allowed just 8.0 ppg this season.  We'll grab the points with the 'Huskers, as single-digit home underdogs, with a 3-0 (or better) record, have cashed 57.2% since 1980.  Additionally, the Wolves are a woeful 1-8 ATS after scoring 60+ points, including 0-5 ATS on the road.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Purdue.  Notre Dame reached the Championship game vs. Ohio State last January, but has stumbled to an 0-2 start this season.  We played against the Irish in each of those games, and cashed Miami-Fla and Texas A&M.  But we will switch gears and lay the points with Marcus Freeman's men on Saturday afternoon.  Notre Dame has won nine straight games vs. its cross-state rival, including a 66-7 beatdown last season.  I like the Irish to bounce back as they're 6-0 ATS their last six (and 19-7 ATS their last 26) as a losing team off back to back ATS defeats.  They're also 6-1 ATS when priced from -21 to -28 points vs. their rival.  Meanwhile, Purdue is a putrid 2-9 ATS when getting 14+ points vs. a foe off an upset loss.  Take the Irish to blow out the Boilermakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over UAB.  The Volunteers come into this game off an overtime loss to the Georgia Bulldogs.  They'll step down in class on Saturday and take on the Blazers out of the AAC Conference.  Tennessee is 12-1 ATS its last 13 vs. non-conference FBS schools.  And UAB is 1-12-1 ATS off a straight-up win.  With the Blazers in off a 31-28 victory over Akron, we'll lay the points with Tennessee.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Cardinals had last week off to rest and prepare for this non-conference match-up vs. Bowling Green from the Mid-American Conference.  The Falcons earned a nice upset win last week at home vs. Liberty, and are 2-1 on the season.  We'll lay the points with the rested Cardinals, as Mid-American Conference teams have gone 0-14 ATS their last 14 (and 4-26 ATS their last 30) as road underdogs of 8+ points vs. rested non-conference foes.  Additionally, the Cardinals fall into a super 175-95 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Army.  This is a big revenge game for the Mean Green, who lost to Army last season, 14-3.  The Black Knights would go on to a perfect 8-0 record in American Athletic Conference play.  I expect tougher sledding for Army this season in the AAC, and we'll lay the points on Saturday with North Texas.  Indeed, AAC road favorites (or PK) have gone 35-8 SU and 28-15 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Army is an atrocious 29-53-2 ATS in FBS games when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 6-21 (22.2%) ATS at home.  The Mean Green also fall into 135-61 and 38-15 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over TCU.  SMU has yet to cover the point spread this season, but I like it to get into the ATS win column at its cross-town rival, TCU.  The road team has dominated this series "in Vegas," going 27-13-1 ATS, including 16-4 ATS when getting more than a field goal.  Take the Mustangs + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Texas Tech.  Both of these teams are undefeated (both SU and ATS).  We'll fade the Red Raiders, as they're an ugly 19-42-2 ATS in FBS games off back to back games where they won/pushed against the spread.  Likewise, teams playing the Utah Utes away from home have gone 16-25 ATS off back-to-back ATS wins/pushes in FBS games.  Utah falls into a 286-174 ATS 'momentum' system of mine.  Lay the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Arkansas.  The Razorbacks have been installed as a road favorite against the undefeated Tigers.  We'll grab the points, as SEC teams have gone 17-49-3 ATS on the road vs. undefeated teams with a 3-0 (or better) record, when priced from +4.5 to -14.5 points.  Take Memphis.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Iowa.  The Scarlet Knights are 3-0, and have outscored their opponents by 27.0 ppg.  They're a home underdog in their Big 10 season opener, and we'll happily grab the points, as the Scarlet Knights are 10-1-3 ATS their last 14 off a SU win.  And Iowa is 2-8-1 ATS vs. foes with an .833 (or better) win percentage.  Take Rutgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Texas State.  Last week, Arizona State was upset, 24-20, by Mississippi State.  Still, the Sun Devils have been terrific against the spread, dating back to September 23, 2023, which was Kenny Dillingham's first season as head coach.  They've gone 17-6-1 (73.9%) ATS, including a virtually perfect 9-1 ATS when not getting 3+ points.  I like ASU to bounce back Saturday night vs. Texas State.  The Bobcats did upset Texas-San Antonio, 43-36, last week.  But they're a brutal 9-27 SU and 12-22-1 ATS (with one non-lined game) off a straight-up win.  And Big 12 (or Big 8) teams off upset losses have cashed 64.2% as favorites since 1980 vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks won, 28-7, at Vandy last season, as a 6-point road favorite.  And that was the 16th straight loss by the Commodores to the Gamecocks.  We'll take Vandy + the points, as it has gone 20-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a game it failed to cover by more than 7 points.  Take the Commodores.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over LSU.  Last week, the Gators lost outright, 18-16, as an 18-point home favorite to South Florida.  Still, Florida was 9-1 ATS its previous 10 games vs. FBS foes, so I wouldn't overreact to that upset loss.  Florida is also 103-79-2 ATS on the road, including 22-14-1 ATS off a SU loss.  And .500 (or better) SEC Conference teams have gone 97-54 ATS away from home off upset losses, when matched against foes with .500 (or better) point spread records.  Finally, LSU has covered just 30% of home games vs. SEC Conference foes off upset losses, if LSU was off a SU win.  So, we'll happily grab the points with the Gators in this SEC showdown.  Take Florida. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Notre Dame.  Last season, the Fighting Irish went into College Station and trounced Texas A&M, 23-13.  Unfortunately for Notre Dame, it's a nasty 14-33-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, if the Irish won the previous meeting away from home.  Take the Aggies + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies are off to an 0-2 start.  And they're 1-6 SU/ATS their last seven, dating back to last season.  This Saturday evening, they'll welcome cross-state rival, Old Dominion, to Blacksburg.  And the Monarchs will be seeking revenge from a 37-17 thrashing last season.  We'll grab the points with ODU, as Va Tech is a woeful 11-27 ATS when favored by less than 15 points vs. revenge-minded foes.  The Monarchs also fall into a 205-112 ATS revenge system of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over Mississippi.  Last year, the Rebels rolled into Fayetteville and annihilated Arkansas, 63-31.  With payback on its mind, we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded underdog on Saturday evening.  Indeed, Arkansas is 26-13-2 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a conference rival, if the Razorbacks owned a winning record.  Grab the points.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over South Florida.  The Bulls have opened this season with two straight upset wins:  34-7 at home vs. Boise State in Week 1, as a 4-point dog, and 18-16, as an 18-point underdog at Florida last Saturday.  The Bulls are back on the road this week, and will take on the also-undefeated Miami-Fla Hurricanes.  We'll fade the Bulls, as NCAA teams have covered just 30% since 1980 away from home off back-to-back upset wins to start the season (and just 17% if off a win as a 7-point (or greater) underdog in their previous game).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Pittsburgh.  This is a big rivalry game, and the Mountaineers will be seeking revenge from a 38-34 upset loss to the Panthers last season.  The revenger has gone 14-6 ATS as an underdog in this series, and the revenger has also gone 9-2 ATS if it was upset the previous season.  Additionally, WVU is 16-8-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Take the Mountaineers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Missouri State.  The Bears upset Marshall, 21-20, as a 6.5-point road underdog last week, while SMU was upset by Baylor, 48-45, in overtime, as a 3-point home favorite.  We'll lay the points with SMU, as ACC Conference teams have gone 50-15 ATS when favored by 8 (or more) vs. foes off upset wins.  Additionally, the Mustangs are 8-0 ATS their last eight (and 12-2-1 ATS their last 15) off an upset loss, when not getting more than 7 points. And SMU also falls into 150-57, 86-48 and 193-97 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Mustangs to blow out the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Washington State.  The Mean Green are off to a 2-0 start this season after blowing out Lamar, 51-0, and defeating Western Michigan, 33-30.  They're favored by single digits this week at home, vs. Washington State.  And North Texas is a dominant 27-2 SU and 22-7 ATS as a favorite off back-to-back wins.  The Mean Green also fall into one of my favorite systems, which is 303-199 ATS since 1980.  Lay the points with North Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over USC.  The Boilers are 2-0 following wins over Ball State (31-0) and Southern Illinois (31-17).  We'll grab the double-digits with the home underdog, as NCAA home dogs of 8 (or more) points have cashed 59% off back to back wins by more than 7 points.  Take Purdue.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Oregon St.  The Red Raiders are off to a great 2-0 start, after blowing out Kent State, 62-14, and are 2nd in scoring margin (54.0 points) behind only Oregon (56.0 points).  Texas Tech is 67-43-3 ATS as a favorite of more than 8 points, including 12-4-2 ATS if it won its previous game by 48+ points.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Troy Trojans + the points against Memphis.  The Tigers trounced Troy last season, 38-17, in Memphis.  This game, however, will be played at Troy.  And we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Trojans.  Indeed, Troy has cashed 75% as revenge-minded home underdogs vs. non-conference foes, while Memphis is a wallet-busting 36% as a road-favorite vs. revenge minded non-conference foes.  Grab the points with the Trojans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Oklahoma.  The Bryce Underwood era got off to a good start last week when the Wolverines defeated New Mexico State, 34-17.  Michigan will now travel to Norman to take on Oklahoma, which won, 35-3, vs. Illinois St in Week 1.  We'll grab the points with Michigan, as the Wolves are 34-25 ATS in the regular season as a road underdog.  And SEC Conference teams have covered just 30% over the last 45 years when favored by 3+ points at home vs. the Big 10.  Oklahoma also falls into a negative 18-48 ATS system of mine.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Rice.  Last week, the Owls upset Louisiana-Lafayette on the road, 14-12.  They're back home on Saturday evening to host cross-town rival, Houston.  We'll lay the points with the Cougars, as they've covered 75% since 1980 as a double-digit road favorite vs. non-conference foes off upset wins.  And Rice is a woeful 44-63-3 ATS in non-conference games, when installed as an underdog.  The Owls also fall into a negative 24-84 ATS system of mine based on their victory last week.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Razorbacks blew out Alabama A&M last week, 52-7, while the Red Wolves defeated Southeast Missouri, 42-24.  We'll lay the points with Arkansas, as 21-point (or greater) favorites off a 45-point (or greater) win in their season opener have cashed 66% vs. non-conference foes.  Additionally, the Razorbacks fall into a 130-69 ATS system of mine.  Take Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over South Florida.  The Bulls upended Boise State, 34-7, last week as a 5-point home dog.  Unfortunately, South Florida has covered just 30.7% as a road underdog after a double-digit cover its previous game.  And Florida falls into a 385-277 ATS momentum system of mine off its 55-0 whitewash of Long Island.  Lay the points with the Gators.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks were shutout, 17-0, last week by Wisconsin.  They're catching double digits vs. another Big 10 foe this week, and we'll back the homestanding Scarlet Knights.  Over the last 44 years, underdogs of 11+ points, off a shutout loss to start the season, have covered just 33% the following week.  Take Rutgers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Ole Miss.  Both of these teams won last week.  Ole Miss routed Georgia State, 63-7, while the Wildcats downed Toledo, 24-16.  Kentucky is a super 26-10 ATS as an underdog vs. .666 (or better) foes, including 6-0 ATS its last six.  And the Wildcats fall into one of my favorite systems which is 299-198 ATS since 1980.  Grab the points.

>At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Utah St.  Last week, Utah State won, 28-16, vs. UTEP.  But that game was in Logan; this will be in College Station.  And Texas A&M has dominated non-conference foes at Kyle Field, as it's 43-26 ATS, including 9-0 ATS its last nine when priced from -21.5 to -31.5 vs. foes off a SU win.  Lay the points with Texas A&M.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas were a 2-TD underdog last Saturday at San Jose State, but stunned the Spartans, 16-14.  I look for a letdown in the Steel City on Saturday afternoon, as the Chips are an ugly 1-16 SU and 3-13-1 ATS off an upset win, when installed as a dog of 3+ points, including 0-6 ATS in non-conference games.  Pitt, meanwhile, is a solid 16-8 ATS when laying 3+ points vs. foes off an upset win.  The Panthers put up 61 points last week in their 61-9 pasting of cross-town rival, Duquesne.  And that big win has triggered a 226-129 ATS momentum system of mine.  Lay the points with the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Kennesaw State.  The Hoosiers did something last week it hardly did at all last season.  It failed to cover the point spread as a favorite.  Last season, Curt Cignetti's men went 9-2 ATS as a favorite.  But off that ATS loss, I look for Indiana to get back into the ATS win column on Saturday.  The Hoosier's are 4-0 ATS when laying more than 27.  And Big 10 Conference teams are an super 115-83 ATS when favored by more than 25 vs. a non-conference foe.  Take Indiana.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers opened their season with a 48-7 blowout of Coastal Carolina.  But that game was at home, in Charlottesville; this game will be in Raleigh.  And UVa has struggled on the road when not getting 3.5 (or more) points, as it's covered just 15 of 48.  Take the Wolfpack to blow Virginia out.

At 7:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Notre Dame.  Each of these teams had winning seasons a year ago.  Miami was 10-3, and earned a Pop-Tarts Bowl berth, where it lost, 42-41, to Iowa State.  Notre Dame, meanwhile, went 14-2, and reached the NCAA Championship game, where it fell to Ohio State, 34-23.  I like the Hurricanes, as home underdogs (or PK) have gone 13-1 ATS their last 14 (and 64.1% ATS the last 42 seasons) in season openers, if they neither owned a losing record, nor had a better win percentage than their opponent in the prior season.  Miami-Fla has done well as home underdogs, going 21-13 ATS, while Notre Dame is a wallet-busting 0-7 ATS as road favorites in its season openers.  Additionally, the Fighting Irish fall into negative systems of mine which have records of 31-65, 61-96, and 87-123 ATS.  Grab the points with Mario Cristobal's men.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over the Ohio State Buckeyes.  The Longhorns come into this season as the nation's #1-ranked team (in both the AP and Coaches polls).  Ohio State is #2 in the Coaches poll, and #3 in the AP poll.  These teams also met in the Playoffs last season, and Ohio State won that semifinal showdown with a 28-14 win as a 5.5-point favorite at the Cotton Bowl, in Dallas.  The Buckeyes then went on to win the National Championship with a victory over Notre Dame, 34-23.  I like Texas to avenge that loss, as revenge-minded teams have gone 10-0 ATS vs. defending National Champions, when priced from -4.5 to +6.5 points, if the previous meeting was in the post-season.  Even better:  SEC Conference teams have gone 46-22-1 ATS in their season opener if they were priced from +3.5 to -21 points, and had a .700 (or better) win percentage the previous season.  Grab the points with Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Sam Houston State Bearkats + the points over Western Kentucky.  Both of these teams went 6-2 in Conference USA play last season, and are expected to have strong records this season (but not as strong as Liberty, which is projected to win Conference USA).  Overall, the Bearkats were 10-3, including a win over Georgia Southern in the New Orleans Bowl (31-24), while the Hilltoppers were 8-6, including a loss in the C-USA Championship game to Jacksonville St (52-12), and in the Boca Raton Bowl to James Madison (27-17).  In last season's lone meeting between these teams, Western Kentucky defeated Sam Houston, 31-14, in Huntsville.  There has been a change on the sideline for Sam Houston, as Phil Longo replaced K.C. Keeler as head coach in December.  Longo does have a history with the Bearkats, as he was the team's offensive coordinator from 2014-16, and was named the national Coordinator of the Year in 2016.  Importantly, in that 3-year period, Sam Houston St. went 34-10, and won the Southland Conference in two of those three seasons.  I like the underdog Bearkats + the points, as Western Kentucky's coach Tyson Helton (and his staff) will be at a slight disadvantage because there is no videotape of Longo (and his tendencies) with this Bearkats team.  Additionally, the Bearkats fall into 378-278 and 36-13 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Finally, Sam Houston St. is 10-4-1 ATS as an underdog since hitting the board as an FBS team in 2023.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over Ohio St.  The Buckeyes have rebounded nicely off their upset loss to Michigan, with back to back blowout wins over Tennessee and Oregon.  Texas, meanwhile, has also rebounded off its SEC Championship game loss to Georgia with wins over Clemson and Arizona State (though it took overtime to defeat the Sun Devils).  I like Texas + the points, as SEC Conference teams have gone 55-29 ATS as an underdog of +3 (or more) points in the Bowls, if they weren't off 3+ wins.  Even better:  Ohio State is a horrid 4-12 ATS away from Columbus, Ohio vs. SEC Conference foes, including 1-10 ATS when it wasn't getting more than 4 points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

 At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Notre Dame.  (No write-up as I have been evacuated due to the Los Angeles fires and am away from my data.)

At 11 am, our selection is on the Liberty Flames + the points over Buffalo.  The Flames have superior rushing stats, as they have rushed for 5.6 ypr on the season, and have allowed just 4.0 ypr.  In contrast, the Bulls have rushed for just 4.1 ypr, and have also allowed 4.0 ypr.  I'm not a fan of laying points in Bowl games to teams with the better rushing stats, and will happily grab the points with Liberty.  Take the Flames.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, in the First Responder Bowl, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Texas State.  This is a quasi-home game for the Mean Green, as the game will be played in Dallas, a mere 40 miles from Denton, Texas.  In two previous seasons, the Mean Green played a Bowl game in Dallas (vs. UNLV (Jan 1, 2014) and vs. Army (Dec 27, 2016), and they covered the point spread in each game.  We'll grab the points with North Texas, and go against Texas St., as .500 (or better) Sun Belt Conference teams are a poor 16-37 ATS when favored vs. non-conference foes off a win.  And double-digit Bowl underdogs have gone 94-77 ATS.  Take North Texas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, on Wednesday, in the Rose Bowl quarterfinal matchup, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Oregon.  We played on Oregon in the regular season and it was a rare 5* play for me.  The Ducks rewarded us with a 32-31 upset win over the Buckeyes.  We'll switch gears, and take the Buckeyes in this rematch.  Ohio State is an awesome 11-1 ATS its last 12 (and 21-6 ATS its last 27) when playing with revenge when it wasn't favored by more than 6 points.  I look for Ryan Day's men to roast the Ducks.  Take Ohio State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, in the Texas Bowl, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Baylor.  The Bears have been installed as a favorite over LSU.  We'll happily grab the points with the Tigers, as SEC Conference teams have gone 65-41 ATS in the Bowls when getting 3+ points.  Meanwhile, Baylor has lost its last 3 Bowl games outright as a favorite.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, in the Reliaquest Bowl at Tampa, Florida, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Michigan.  The Wolverines reached their zenith this season when they upset rival, Ohio State, 13-10, in Columbus, as a 19.5-point underdog.  The Wolves have generally had letdowns following upset wins, including 3-11-1 ATS their last 15 after pulling an upset as an underdog of 4+ points (and, then, 0-6 ATS if their current opponent was playing with revenge).  Last year, the Wolverines bounced 'Bama out of the Playoffs in the semi-final game at the Rose Bowl.  We'll take the revenge-minded Crimson Tide minus the points this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Missouri.  The Big 10 Conference has been dominant in the Bowl games.  Outside of the FBS Playoff loss by Indiana to Notre Dame, the Big 10 has rolled to a 5-0 ATS record in the Bowl games.  We'll look for that streak to continue this afternoon, as Iowa is an underdog with the better rush offense and rush defense.  The Hawkeyes are averaging 5.2 ypr compared to Missouri's 4.2 ypr.  And on defense, the Hawks allow 3.7 ypr compared to 4.0 ypr for Missouri's defense.  Iowa falls into a 159-100 ATS Bowl system of mine, based on these stats.  Grab the points with Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 5:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over NC State.  The Wolfpack ended their season with an upset win over rival, North Carolina, while ECU was upset by Navy, 34-20.  Unfortunately, the Wolfpack are a woeful 55-82-2 ATS away from home off a SU Win, including a wallet-busting 18-40 ATS vs. foes off an ATS loss.  But that's not the worst part.  If NC State's opponent failed to cover the spread by more than 13 points in its previous game, then our 18-40 stat tumbles to 2-18 ATS, including 0-8 ATS the last seven.  Grab the points with East Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns + the points over TCU.  The Cajuns lost at home, 31-3, to Marshall in the Sun Belt title game.  Still, Louisiana is a solid 10-3 SU and 7-4-1 ATS this season.  We'll take Louisiana to bounce back on Saturday, as Louisiana is a perfect 8-0-1 ATS following a home game where it failed to score 14+ points.  Additionally, underdogs of 3+ points, with a SU/ATS record greater than 0.600, have cashed 60.4% since 1980 off an upset loss.  Even better:  Big 12 Conference teams are a soft 19-29 ATS in the Bowls when laying more than 6 points.  And the Sun Belt Conference has gone 10-2 ATS vs. Big 12 Conference foes when installed as an underdog of +14 points (or less).  Finally, Louisiana-Lafayette falls into one of my favorite Bowl systems, which is 102-60-5 ATS since 1980.  Take the Cajuns on Saturday + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Boston College.  The Cornhuskers have done great as a favorite in the Bowls (10-4 ATS), and not-so-great when installed as an underdog (6-9 ATS).  The good news for the 'Huskers, then, in this Pinstripe Bowl, is that it's been installed as a favorite vs. the Eagles.  Boston College does come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Pitt and North Carolina.  But Nebraska is a super 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins if the Huskers weren't laying more than 11 points.  Finally, the Big 10 Conference has been dominant vs. the ACC in the Bowls, going 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS, including 8-0 ATS as a favorite of 10 or less points.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Washington St. Cougars + the points over Syracuse.  The Cougars come into this game off 3 straight losses -- all as a favorite -- to New Mexico, Oregon St., and Wyoming.  But we'll step in and take the double-digits with Wazzu, as Bowl teams have cashed 60% over the last 45 years off 3 upset losses.  Even better:  the Orange are 0-7 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the Orange weren't getting more than 3 points.  Grab the points with Washington St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Commodores come into this Birmingham Bowl game off a season-ending loss to rival Tennessee, 36-23.  And that was Vandy's 3rd straight loss, overall.  We'll grab the points with the Commodores on Friday afternoon, as SEC Conference teams have gone 81-54 ATS in Bowl games since 1980 off a SU loss, including 37-14 ATS if they were getting more than 2 points.  Take Vanderbilt.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, in the Hawaii Bowl, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over San Jose St.  San Jose ended its regular season with a SU/ATS home win over Stanford, while South Florida lost, 35-28, to Rice.  We'll fade San Jose as a favorite tonight, as it has gone 10-23 ATS away from home off a SU/ATS win, including 3-11 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss.  Additionally, the underdog has gone 13-6 ATS in Hawaii Bowl games, including 8-2 ATS vs. opponents off a SU win.  Finally, the Bulls fall into a 128-81 ATS Bowl system of mine which plays on certain teams off a SU loss.  Grab the points with South Florida.

At 11 am, in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Texas-San Antonio.  Coastal Carolina is playing this Bowl game in its home stadium, and has been installed as a double-digit home underdog.  Dating back to 1981, double-digit dogs have rolled to a 90-71-3 ATS record in the Bowl games.  That bodes well for Coastal Carolina in this game.  As does the fact that the Chanticleers are 10-5 ATS as an underdog in non-conference games, while the Roadrunners are 3-8 as favorites vs. non-conference foes.  Grab the points with the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Tennessee.  The Buckeyes lost yet again to rival Michigan, as the Wolverines stunned Ohio State, 13-10, in Columbus, to end the season.  The good news for the Buckeyes is that its season didn't end with that loss, and it has a great opportunity ahead of it to still win the NCAA Championship.  I look for Ohio State to get off on the right foot in this opening round game, as it has gone 59-28-3 ATS when scoring less than 25 points in its previous game.  Take Ohio St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Clemson.  The Longhorns lost the SEC Conference championship game, in overtime, to the Georgia Bulldogs, while Clemson upset SMU to win the ACC Conference title.  We'll lay the points with Texas, as SEC Conference teams have gone 80-54 ATS in the Bowls off a SU loss, including 19-13 ATS if they lost the SEC Conference title game.  Meanwhile, teams off wins in the ACC Conference title game have been poor in the Bowls, going 7-12 ATS, including 0-3 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  And ACC teams are 0-7 ATS vs. the SEC in the Bowls, if our ACC team was getting 7+ points and off a SU win.  Take Texas to blow out Clemson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Florida.  The Gators have been installed as a big favorite in this Gasparilla Bowl vs. Tulane.  Generally speaking, big favorites have NOT done well in Bowl games, as they've gone 71-90-3 ATS when laying double-digits.  And I can't lay ANY number with Florida -- much less, double-digits -- given how bad the Gators have been as a favorite.  Indeed, Florida is 6-18-1 ATS its last 25 games when installed as a favorite, including 2-13 ATS off a win, and 1-6 ATS in non-conference games.  Meanwhile, the Green Wave are 7-4 ATS their last 11 as an underdog.  Finally, sub-.800 SEC Conference teams have burned money in Bowl games when laying 8+ points, as they've gone 6-17 ATS.  Take Tulane + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks + the points over Ohio U.  Both teams come into this Cure Bowl game off blowout wins.  The Gamecocks routed Western Kentucky, 52-12, while the Bobcats blew out Miami-Ohio, 38-3.  The underdogs have dominated the Cure Bowl games, going 7-1 ATS since 2016, including 5-0 ATS their last five.  And, speaking of domination, Conference USA teams have largely controlled games vs. Mid-American Conference foes of late, as they've gone 16-7 SU and 15-7-1 ATS in the last 23 meetings.  This season, only Boise State, Notre Dame and New Mexico gained more yards per rush than the Gamecocks, who averaged 5.7 ypr.  And underdogs of less than 8 points have gone 22-8 ATS in the Bowls if they averaged 5.7 (or more) yards per rush.  Take the Gamecocks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the New Orleans Bowl, our selection is on the Sam Houston St. Bearkats + the points over Georgia Southern.  Both of these teams enter this game off wins to end their regular season.  The Bearkats upset Liberty to finish 9-3 on the year, while the Eagles defeated Appalachian St. to finish 8-4.  The Bearkats have been installed as an underdog in this evening's game, and they're a super 10-4 ATS when getting points.  The Eagles, on the other hand, are a money-burning 2-6-1 ATS when laying points.  That doesn't bode well for Georgia Southern tonight.  Nor does the fact that Sun Belt Conference teams, with a .666 (or better) win percentage, have gone 26-45 ATS when favored vs. non-conference foes, including 0-10 ATS if their foe was off a SU/ATS win.  We'll take Sam Houston St. + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Army.  The Black Knights won the AAC Championship last week with an upset win at home over Tulane.  And, in a strange scheduling quirk, the Black Knights will now play a regular season game against conference rival, Navy, which had last week off.  The Midshipmen lost the last two meetings with Army, and I like them to get revenge on Saturday.  For technical support, consider that rested, revenge-minded underdogs of +5 (or more) points, off a SU win, have gone 153-112-4 ATS since 1980 vs. unrested conference foes.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over SMU.  The Tigers were upset by South Carolina, 17-14, last week, and have been installed as an underdog in this ACC Championship game.  Clemson is 71-44-1 ATS when installed as a pup, including 13-4 ATS in the post-season (and 4-0 ATS in the post-season if it was off an upset loss).  Take the Tigers.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Oregon.  Single-digit underdogs have gone 5-1-1 ATS in Big 10 Conference title games, and that's the way we'll look in this game.  The Ducks have burned money in the post-season when favored by 14 or less points, as they've gone 5-13 ATS, including 0-5 ATS their last five.  Meanwhile, the Nitts have gone 8-3 ATS in the post-season when installed as an underdog of less than 6 points (or PK).  Take Penn State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Marshall.  The Thundering Herd went into Harrisonburg last week, and upset James Madison, in overtime, 35-33.  We'll fade Marshall here, as it has gone 2-9 ATS off an upset conference win.  And it also falls into a negative 34-93-1 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins.  Additionally, the Cajuns are a super 29-16 ATS vs. conference foes with winning records, while Marshall is 21-30-1 ATS in conference games vs. winning foes.  Lay the points with Louisiana-Lafayette.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils over Iowa State.  Arizona State has been installed as a small favorite vs. the Cyclones.  ASU has cashed 7 straight as a favorite, while the Cyclones are 2-15-1 ATS their last 18 vs. .750 (or better) foes, including 0-10-1 ATS in Big 12 Conference games.  Take the Sun Devils.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over Air Force.  The Falcons come into this game off 3 straight wins, and 4 straight covers, while the Aztecs have lost five straight.  But these disparate results have triggered an 86-44 ATS system of mine on SDSU.  Grab the points with the Home Underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on James Madison minus the points over Marshall.  Marshall upset Old Dominion last week, as a 2.5-point underdog, while JMU was upset by Appalachian St, 34-20.  The Thundering Herd have covered just 38.4% off an upset win.  Take James Madison.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida St. Seminoles + the points over Florida.  The Gators come into this final game off back to back upset wins over LSU and Ole Miss.  We'll fade Florida, as favored teams have covered just 23.5% since 1990 in their final game of the season off back to back upset wins.  Take Florida St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners upset Alabama last week, 24-3, as a 14-point home dog.  We'll fade Oklahoma, and lay the points with 7-4 LSU, as winning teams have gone 92-68 ATS when favored vs. Conference foes off an upset win, as a 14-point (or greater) underdog.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas pulled off an upset last week, when they knocked off Western Michigan, 16-14, as a 6-point home dog.  CMU is now catching double-digits at Northern Illinois, and we'll lay the points as the Huskies are a super 22-12 ATS vs. conference foes off upset wins, while the Chippewas are 0-10 SU/ATS when getting 6+ points off an upset win.  Take Northern Illinois minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Auburn.  The Crimson Tide are 8-3 after last week's 24-3 loss (as a 14-point favorite) at Oklahoma.  We'll lay the points as the Crimson Tide are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 23-3 ATS their last 26) in SEC Conference games off a point spread defeat, if their opponent was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  Take Alabama.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Arizona St.  The Sun Devils are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, they're 11-26 ATS on the conference road off back to back wins.  And in this heated rivalry, you can throw the records out the window, as the underdog has gone 24-10 ATS when it's owned the worse W/L record.  Take Arizona + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:00 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Georgia State.  Last week, the Panthers pulled off a massive upset, as a 23-point underdog, at Texas State.  But prior to that shocking win, the Panthers were 2-10-3 ATS their previous 15 games.  The Panthers have covered just 3 of 9 home conference games off an upset win.  We'll take Coastal Carolina.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Illinois.  The Wildcats enter this final game of the season off 2 horrible losses.  They fell last week at Michigan, 50-6, and were walloped, 31-7, by Ohio State two games back.  Meanwhile, Illinois comes into this game off an upset win at Rutgers, and a blowout win vs. Michigan State before that.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as teams off back to back blowout losses by 24 points, in which they scored less than 10 points in each, have cashed 64.2% the past 45 years vs. opponents off upset wins.  Illinois is a soft 12-20 ATS as a single-digit favorite vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Northwestern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Duke.  The Blue Devils come into this final game of the season off back to back upset wins over NC State and Virginia Tech.  They've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 4-7 Demon Deacons, who have lost their last 3 games.  We'll take Wake Forest + the points, as revenge-minded underdogs have cashed 93% since 1990 in vs. foes off back-to-back upset wins, in the final game of the season.  Take the Demon Deacons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Sam Houston Bearkats + the points over Liberty.  The Bearkats are 8-3, but are currently riding a 5-game ATS losing streak.  We'll step in and take the Bearkats, as underdogs playing their Last Home Game of the season have cashed 64.7% if they were off 3 ATS losses, and playing a conference foe off back to back wins.  Additionally, .727 (or better) teams that have lost their last 5 to the spread, have cashed 67% of conference games since 1980, including 11-2 ATS when competitively-priced between +3 and -3 points.  Take Sam Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over Texas State.  Going into this final weekend, South Alabama is one of four teams still alive to play in the Sun Belt Conference Title game next week.  The Jaguars need to win this game on Friday, and then hope that Louisiana-Lafayette loses to Louisiana-Monroe on Saturday.  Last week, the Bobcats took themselves out of the running for the Title game when they lost as a 23-point home favorite to Georgia State.  We'll fade the Bobcats on the road, in Mobile, as NCAA teams off SU losses as a 23-point (or greater) favorite, have cashed just 12 of 43 games, including 5 of 24 as a favorite.  Take South Alabama + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Oregon State.  The Broncos are currently the 4th seed in the College Football Playoff bracket, which will earn them a Bye into the quarterfinals.  Last week, the Broncos struggled at Wyoming, and won by just 4, as a 22.5-point favorite, while Oregon State upset the Washington State Cougars, 41-38, as an 11-point underdog.  The good news for Boise, here, is that it will be back home, where it's gone 12-3-1 its last 16 FBS games.  Even better:  the Broncos are 13-1-2 ATS off a point spread loss, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  The Badgers are mired in a 4-game losing streak after getting blown out last Saturday, in Lincoln.  Wisconsin was a 2-point underdog in that game, but lost by 19, 44-25.  We'll take the Badgers as a small favorite, as they're 21-11-1 ATS as a favorite when they lost their two previous games.  Moreover, Wisky has dominated this 'Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe,' as it's won 24 of the last 29 meetings.  Take the Badgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over Colorado State.  The Bulldogs were upset at Air Force, 36-28, as a 9.5-point road favorite in their last game.  And that was their second straight loss, overall.  We'll take Fresno to bounce back on Saturday night, as it's cashed 60% in conference games off back-to-back losses.  Even better:  the Rams are 0-6 ATS away from home vs. foes off upset losses, if the Rams weren't getting 5+ points.  Take Fresno.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Iowa State.  After a heartbreaking, 1-point loss two weeks ago to rival BYU, the Utes understandably had a letdown last week at Colorado.  That was Utah's sixth straight loss (after opening the season with four straight wins).  We played on Utah in that BYU game, and got the $$$ with them as a home underdog.  They're once again a home dog this Saturday evening, and we'll grab the points, as Utah is 34-12-1 ATS an an underdog off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Utes.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Marshall.  The Thundering Herd have won their last four games.  But they were favored in each of those.  Indeed, this season, when favored, the Herd has gone 7-0.  But it's lost its three games SU as an underdog.  We'll fade Marshall on Saturday night, as it's 3-11-1 ATS as an underdog off back to back wins, including 0-6 ATS in conference games.  Take Old Dominion minus the points.

At 5:00 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Troy.  The Trojans won last season's meeting, 31-24.  I like Louisiana-Lafayette to avenge that defeat, as it is 12-1 SU and 8-5 ATS when favored by more than 6 points, and playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Cajuns were upset, 24-22, here at home by South Alabama last Saturday.  And LA-Lafayette is a solid 18-6 ATS off a home upset loss, including 5-0 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Louisiana Tech.  Off back to back double-digit home losses to highly-ranked Texas and Ole Miss, the Razorbacks will no doubt be happy to see the Bulldogs roll into Fayetteville.  We'll take Arkansas, as it's cashed 57% since 1980 as a double-digit favorite in non-conference games, if it was off back-to-back losses.  Additionally, Conference USA teams off a SU win have gone 22-36 ATS away from home vs. the SEC Conference.  Lay the points with Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Wisconsin.  The 'Huskers have dropped the last 10 meetings with the Badgers.  But Nebraska has been an underdog in each of the last nine meetings.  This Saturday afternoon, they're favored at home.  We'll take the 'Huskers, as they enter this game off a SU loss to USC last week.  And Nebraska is 47-34-2 ATS when favored off a SU loss.  And Nebraska also falls into a 58-29 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Penn State.  After ripping off four straight wins (and five straight covers), PJ Fleck's Gophers stumbled in Piscataway in their last game, and lost to Rutgers, 26-19, as a 6.5-point road favorite.  We played against Minnesota in that game, but will back it on this Saturday against the Nittany Lions.  The Gophers had last week off to regroup, and are 10-2 ATS their last 12 when playing with rest, and 22-10 ATS since 1980 as an underdog with rest.  Moreover, the Gophers have cashed 69% of Big 10 Conference games off an upset loss, if the Gophers were getting 10+ points.  And Penn State has covered just 30% as a double-digit favorite vs. Big 10 rivals off an upset loss.  The Gophers also fall into a 180-109-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams at home.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal pulled off a massive upset last week when they shocked Louisville, 38-35, as a 21-point home dog.  But Stanford was on an 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS run going into that win, so I view that game as an anomaly more than anything else.  We'll fade Stanford on Saturday afternoon, as it's a poor 27-42-1 ATS off an upset win, including 2-10 ATS when it owned a win percentage of .333 (or less).  Lay the points with California.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls minus the points over Tulsa.  The Bulls blew out Charlotte, 59-24, as a 1.5-point road underdog last Saturday.  Off that impressive win, we'll ride the momentum with South Florida as a double-digit favorite this afternoon.  Indeed, the Bulls have cashed 64.2% as a double-digit favorite following a game where they covered the spread by double-digits.  Lay the points.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers + the points over James Madison.  In its last game, the Mountaineers were upset, 38-24, by Coastal Carolina.  We'll take the Mountaineers to bounce back off that defeat, as they've cashed 64% at home off a SU loss.  And they're also 7-1-1 ATS when priced as an underdog of +5 to +10 points.  Take the Mountaineers as a home dog on Saturday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Syracuse.  The Orange went into Berkeley last week, and upset the Golden Bears, 33-25, as a double-digit dog.  Off that win, we'll fade Syracuse on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, over the last 45 years, the Orange have covered just 25% as a home favorite off an upset win, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  The Huskies enter off 3 straight wins, and have cashed 59% as a road underdog off back-to-back wins.  Take Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Ole Miss.  The Rebels upset Georgia, 28-10, as a home underdog in their last game, and have won 3 straight, overall.  We'll fade Lane Kiffin's men as a road favorite on Saturday, as Mississippi is an ugly 10-31-2 ATS as a favorite in SEC Conference games off back to back wins (and 0-11-1 ATS off 3+ wins, when priced from -3 to -15).  Take Florida + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets pulled off a huge upset in their previous game, when they knocked off the then-undefeated Miami Hurricanes, 28-23, as a 10-point home dog.  I'll fade Georgia Tech off that win, as it is a soft 6-14 ATS in ACC Conference games following a home upset conference win.  Additionally, NC State is 35-17 ATS when catching more than 7 points from a conference rival.  Take the Wolfpack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones have lost their last two games after starting the season 7-0.  They're now favored by more than a touchdown at home vs. a 5-4 Bearcats looking to become bowl-eligible with a win.  We'll fade Iowa State, as favorites off back to back losses have cashed just 18% since 1980 in the regular season, if they started the year with 7+ wins.  Take Cincy + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Arizona State.  The Wildcats come into this Saturday evening's game off an upset loss at Houston two weeks ago.  K-State was favored by 12.5 in that game, but lost, 24-19.  We'll look for the Wildcats to bounce back, as they're 12-0 ATS their last 12 following a loss, in which they failed to cover by 13+ points.  Take the Wildcats.

At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Rutgers.  We played on Rutgers last Saturday, and were rewarded with an upset win over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  But we will fade Greg Schiano's men in College Park, as Maryland has cashed 69% since 1980 at home vs. foes off upset wins.  Take the Terrapins.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Arkansas St.  The Panthers have lost their last six games, straight-up, and are on a 4-game ATS losing streak.  They lost last week at James Madison, 38-7, as a 14.5-point underdog.  In this home game, though, they're favored over the Red Wolves.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice cold Panthers.  But home favorites off 6+ losses, and 4+ ATS losses have cashed 73% the past 45 years if they failed to cover the spread by 7+ in their previous game.  Lay the points with Georgia St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Missouri.  The Gamecocks come into this home game vs. the Tigers off 3 straight wins and covers.  And South Carolina covered the spread in those three games by 26, 27 and 15 points.  We'll look for the Gamecocks to continue to roll on Saturday, as NCAA favorites have covered 65.9% since 1980 if they were off 3 SU/ATS wins, in which they covered each by 15+ points, and were now matched up against a conference foe off a win.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.