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Big Al McMordie NCAA-F Top Sides Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
11-01-25 Miami-FL v. SMU +11 Top 20-26 Win 100 31 h 14 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Miami-Fla.  The Ponies were upset last week, 13-12, in Winston-Salem by Wake Forest.  Off that upset loss, we'll play on SMU to rebound at home vs. Miami-Fla.  Indeed, SMU falls into an 88-43 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs to bounce back off upset losses.  Further, ACC Conference home dogs of less than 14 points are 200-128 ATS off a SU loss, if matched-up against a conference foe.  Take SMU.

11-01-25 Central Florida v. Baylor -3 Top 3-30 Win 100 31 h 14 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Central Florida.  The Bears have hit the skids as they've lost their last five games ATS.  But teams on 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have covered the spread more often than not over the last 46 years, and are currently riding a 9-0 ATS streak (and 14-1 ATS their last 15).  That bodes well for Baylor on Saturday.  Additionally, the Bears fall into 98-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses by more than 20 points.  With the Bears in off a 41-20 loss at Cincinnati, we'll lay the points with Baylor on Saturday.

11-01-25 West Virginia +13.5 v. Houston Top 45-35 Win 100 31 h 13 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Houston.  The Cougars come into this afternoon's game off back to back upsets of Arizona and Arizona State.  Unfortunately, Houston is a soft 21-35 ATS as a favorite off back to back ATS wins, including 4-14 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back losses.  Take WVU + the points.

10-31-25 Sam Houston v. Louisiana Tech -16.5 Top 14-55 Win 100 15 h 29 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs minus the points over Sam Houston St.  This has been a nightmarish season for Phil Longo.  He was hired to replace K.C. Keeler following last year's 10-win season.  And all he has done is not win a single game.  Sam Houston is 0-7, and Longo is arguably the worst coach in NCAA Football.  In its last game, a 35-17 loss to UTEP, only 4,657 fans showed up to watch the game at Shell Energy Stadium (a drop of over 22,000 compared to last season).  Tonight, the Bearkats won't have to worry about the lack of fan support, since they'll be on the road in Ruston to take on the Bulldogs.  Louisiana Tech is having a winning season, at 4-3, but suffered disappointment last week when they were upset, 28-27, by Western Kentucky, as a 5.5-point home favorite.  That will keep the Bulldogs focused against the winless Bearkats.  As will the fact that La Tech is playing with revenge from a 9-3 loss to Sam Houston last season.  La Tech is 6-2 ATS as a favorite off an upset home loss.  And it's 27-13 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-28-25 James Madison v. Texas State +7 Top 52-20 Loss -108 14 h 38 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are off to a 4-0 start in Sun Belt Conference play after a 63-27 win over Old Dominion.  They're favored on the road tonight against a Bobcats team coming off a 40-37 upset loss, in overtime, at Marshall.  We'll take the Bobcats to bounce back, as home underdogs off upset losses have cashed 59.2% of conference games over the last 46 seasons vs. foes with a 4-0 (or better) conference record.  And Texas State has cashed 58.6% as an underdog in conference games off a SU/ATS loss.  Grab the points with the Bobcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-25-25 Houston v. Arizona State -7 Top 24-16 Loss -108 38 h 25 m Show

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Houston.  We played on the Sun Devils last week, and got the $$$ in their upset win over then-undefeated Texas Tech.  We will come right back with Arizona State this weekend, and fade a Houston team also off an upset win (31-28 vs. Arizona).  The Sun Devils are 9-1 ATS their last 10 (and 17-6 ATS their last 23) vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Arizona State minus the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

10-25-25 Texas A&M v. LSU +2.5 Top 49-25 Loss -100 38 h 7 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies are historically a horrendous traveler.  And one of their worst situational spots is when they play away from College Station against good teams with a .636 (or better) win percentage.  Since 1980, Texas A&M is an ugly 27-70-1 ATS in these games, including 3-19 ATS when the Aggies were undefeated on the season.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-25-25 Stanford v. Miami-FL -29 Top 7-42 Win 100 37 h 20 m Show

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal got a rare win last week, when they upset Florida State, 20-13.  But Stanford is 21-45-3 ATS its last 69, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog of 15+ points off a SU win.  Take Miami-Fla.

10-25-25 Texas -7 v. Mississippi State Top 45-38 Push 0 35 h 36 m Show

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Mississippi St.  The Bulldogs lost a heartbreaker last Saturday at Florida, 23-21.  Miss State was in position to kick the game-winning field goal, as it was on Florida's 29-yard-line with 29 seconds left in the game.  But QB Blake Shapen tossed an interception to put a nail into Miss State's coffin.  Off that emotional defeat, I look for the Bulldogs to have a letdown vs. Texas.  The Longhorns are 22-12 ATS as road favorites of less than 11 points.  Take Texas.

10-25-25 BYU v. Iowa State -2.5 Top 41-27 Loss -115 80 h 31 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over BYU.  We played on the Cougars last week in their rivalry game vs. Utah, and got the $$$ with a 24-21 upset win.  This week, we'll look for an emotional letdown, and fade BYU off its upset win.  Indeed, it has gone just 14-23-1 ATS following an upset win, while the Cyclones are 11-2 ATS at home vs. conference foes off an upset win, if Iowa State was not laying more than 7 points.  Additionally, Big 12 (and Big 8 teams before that) have cashed just 34.1% on the road since 1980 off upset wins, if matched up against a foe off back-to-back losses.  Finally, the Cyclones fall into several of my favorite systems, including ones with records of 185-111, 149-78 and 35-10 ATS.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-25-25 Missouri v. Vanderbilt -2.5 Top 10-17 Win 100 79 h 28 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Missouri.  We played on the Commodores last week vs. LSU, and will come right back with them vs. Missouri.  Vandy is averaging north of 40 ppg, and is outscoring its foes by more than 21 ppg.  That bodes well for them at home this Saturday, as NCAA home teams have cashed 56.1% over the last 46 seasons, at Game 4 forward, if they were outscoring their foes by at least 17.9 ppg, and were not favored by 5+ points.  And if our home team entered off a SU/ATS win, and was installed as a favorite, then our 56.1 percent angle zooms to 62.6%.  Last week, Vandy snapped a 10-game losing streak to LSU.  This week, it will look to snap a 5-game losing streak to Missouri.  Take Vanderbilt minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-25-25 Ball State v. Northern Illinois -5.5 Top 7-21 Win 100 57 h 5 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Ball St.  The Cardinals upset Akron last week, 42-28, as a 2-point underdog.  We'll fade Ball State in DeKalb on Saturday afternoon, as Northern Illinois has gone 16-10 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off upset wins.  Moreover, the Huskies are playing this game with major revenge after losing to the Cardinals, 25-23, as a 13.5-point favorite last year.  And Ball St. is a brutal 8-15 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe if the Cardinals were not getting 7+ points.  Finally, Northern Illinois falls into a very good 61-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-25-25 San Diego State v. Fresno State +3 Top 23-0 Loss -108 57 h 5 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs + the points over San Diego St.  The Bulldogs are 5-2 on the season, but were blown out, 49-21, as a 6-point favorite in their last game by Colorado State.  We'll take Fresno to rebound off that bad game, as winning teams have cashed 60.4% at home off a conference defeat on the road by more than 20 points, if they were matched up in their current game against a conference foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take Fresno St.

10-25-25 Northwestern v. Nebraska -7 Top 21-28 Push 0 76 h 59 m Show

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Northwestern.  The 'Huskers laid an egg last week at Minnesota.  Nebraska was favored by 6.5 points, but lost to the Gophers, 24-6.  We'll take Nebraska to bounce back at home vs. the Wildcats on Saturday, as Nebraska is a solid 41-23-1 ATS when favored by more than 5 points off a SU loss.  Even better:  if the 'Huskers were off an upset loss, and their opponent was off a SU win, the the 'Huskers have gone 9-0-1 ATS when priced from -3 to -10 points.  Nebraska falls into 63-18 and 108-57 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-25-25 UCLA v. Indiana -25 Top 6-56 Win 100 54 h 37 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over UCLA.  Curt Cignetti's Hoosiers are 17-0 SU and 12-5 ATS when installed as a favorite.  I won't step in front of this freight train, and especially not when it is favored off a bad game where it failed to cover the spread.  That's happened three times since Cignetti took over.  And his Hoosiers won those three games by scores of 77-3, 66-0, 56-9.  This will be a roast.  Lay the points.

10-25-25 Ole Miss v. Oklahoma -5 Top 34-26 Loss -110 54 h 36 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Ole Miss.  Brent Venables' Sooners are allowing just 9.4 ppg, and fall into a system of mine which is 70-30 ATS since 1980.  That angle plays on certain teams with defenses that allow less than 14 points per game.  Ole Miss has covered just 36% the last 46 seasons vs. SEC Conference foes with defenses that allow 10 ppg (or less).  Take Oklahoma.

10-25-25 Kansas State v. Kansas -3 Top 42-17 Loss -105 54 h 36 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Kansas St.  The Jayhawks will look to snap a 16-game losing streak in this series.  But Kansas has been an underdog in each of the last 15 games.  And the point spread in those 15 games averaged 15.9 points.  So, this is the first time since 2010 that Kansas's team has been equal (or better) than Kansas State.  The Jayhaws fall into a 98-47 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points with the Jayhawks.

10-22-25 Missouri State v. New Mexico State Top 24-17 Win 100 13 h 2 m Show

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears over the New Mexico State Aggies.  The Bears come into this Conference USA game with an extra week of rest following their 22-20 win at Middle Tennessee 14 days ago.  Meanwhile, the Aggies lost a tough game last week at Liberty 30-27.  We'll back the well-rested Bears, as rested Conference USA teams have gone 86-54 ATS vs. unrested conference foes, if our rested team was not laying more than 2 points.  Even better:  the Aggies are a poor 26% ATS since 1980 off back to back ATS wins, if they didn't own a winning record, and were playing a foe off a SU win.  Finally, Missouri State falls into 167-87 and 42-11 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-18-25 Utah v. BYU +3.5 Top 21-24 Win 100 40 h 48 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Utah.  This is a great Top 25 match-up between Beehive State rivals.  Utah is 5-1, and ranked #23, while the Cougars are undefeated, at 6-0, and ranked #15.  We'll take the home underdog, as Big 12 home underdogs (or PK) -- and Big 8 before that -- have cashed 68.2% in conference games since 1980 off back to back wins, if their opponent wasn't off an ATS loss.  Even better:  the underdog in this heated rivalry has gone 26-11 ATS.  Grab the points with BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-18-25 Washington State v. Virginia -17.5 Top 20-22 Loss -105 38 h 19 m Show

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Washington State.  The Cougars almost knocked off #5-ranked Mississippi with the season's biggest upset, but lost, 24-21, as a 33-point road underdog.  I look for Washington State to suffer a letdown this week, and get blown out by Virginia, which had last week off, and will be well-rested.  The Cavaliers are riding a 4-game win streak, and have been installed as a big favorite vs. Wazzu this evening.  We'll lay the points, as UVA is 18-10-1 ATS when priced from -16 to -23, including 8-1 ATS off back-to-back wins, 3-0 when playing with rest, and 5-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Take Virginia.

10-18-25 Texas Tech v. Arizona State +7.5 Top 22-26 Win 100 36 h 17 m Show

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Texas Tech.  Arizona State had a rare ATS loss its last time out, when it fell by a 42-10 score at Utah.  Still, ASU is 19-7-2 ATS its last 28 FBS games, including 8-1-1 ATS off a SU loss.  Meanwhile, the Red Raiders are a soft 3-11 ATS as an unrested road favorite, including 0-7 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes.  And they're 22-42-2 ATS off back to back FBS games where they did not fail to cover the point spread.  Take Arizona State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

10-18-25 Temple v. Charlotte +11.5 Top 49-14 Loss -108 36 h 48 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Temple.  The 49ers have pushed their previous two games, and were 0-3 ATS in their three FBS games prior to that.  But this poor ATS performance has set up Charlotte in a 72.4% ATS system of mine.  Temple is 1-7 ATS its last eight when priced from -10.5 to -25.5.  Take the 49ers.

10-18-25 Purdue +3 v. Northwestern Top 0-19 Loss -110 35 h 18 m Show

At 3:00 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Northwestern.  The Wildcats defeated Penn State, 22-21, last Saturday.  We'll look for a letdown this afternoon, as Northwestern has covered just 22 of 64 FBS games when favored (or PK) off a SU win.  Take Purdue.

10-18-25 Georgia Tech v. Duke -1.5 Top 27-18 Loss -108 32 h 14 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Both of these teams enter this game with undefeated ACC Conference records.  And Georgia Tech is undefeated for the season, as well, with a 6-0 mark.  We'll fade the Yellow Jackets as undefeated NCAA teams, at Game 6 forward, have cashed just 135 of 317 on the road vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Duke.

10-18-25 LSU v. Vanderbilt -2.5 Top 24-31 Win 100 32 h 14 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over LSU.  Vandy has lost 10 straight vs. LSU, but it was a double-digit underdog in each of those 10 defeats.  Here, Vandy is favored.  The Commodores are 12-6 ATS their last 18 FBS games.  And they've cashed 58% since 1980 as a favorite when playing with revenge.  Vandy also falls into a 59-30 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay it.

10-18-25 Connecticut v. Boston College -1.5 Top 38-23 Loss -108 32 h 13 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles minus the points over Connecticut.  The Eagles are 1-5 on the season, and have been installed as a small favorite vs. the Huskies.  We'll lay the points, as .200 (or worse) teams have cashed 70% of home non-conference games, at Game 5 forward, if they were not getting more than 1 point.  Moreover, UConn is 7-18 ATS on the road vs. foes off back to back losses, including 0-7 ATS if the Huskies were off a SU win.  Take Boston College.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-18-25 Central Michigan +3.5 v. Bowling Green Top 27-6 Win 100 32 h 3 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Bowling Green.  Last week, the Falcons upset Toledo, 28-23, as an 11-point home dog.  The Falcons are back home this weekend, and have been installed as a favorite vs. the Chips.  We'll grab the points with Central Michigan and go against BGSU.  Indeed, Mid-American Conference teams have cashed just 21.7% in home conference games off a home upset win vs. a conference foe.  Take Central Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-17-25 Louisville +13.5 v. Miami-FL Top 24-21 Win 100 16 h 34 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Miami-Fla.  The Cardinals had last week off following their 30-27 upset loss vs. the Virginia Cavaliers, while Miami also enters with rest following its 28-22 win at Florida State.  Over the last 46 seasons, Louisville has been a profitable 59% as road underdogs vs. .666 (or better) conference foes.  Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are a horrid 12-30 ATS at home in conference games off a SU/ATS win, including 0-7 ATS with rest.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-11-25 Georgia -3.5 v. Auburn Top 20-10 Win 100 26 h 57 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Auburn.  Dating back to September of last season, the Bulldogs are 3-11-2 ATS their last 16 vs. FBS competition.  One of those point spread defeats was to this Auburn team, as Georgia won, 31-13, as a 21-point home favorite.  The Bulldogs have now won eight straight in this series, and are 6-2 ATS in those games.  They're also 17-3 SU and 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings.  The point spreads for the last five meetings were -7.5, -14.5, -28, -14.5 and -21, so this number is relatively short from an historical perspective.  Georgia has gone 49-36-1 ATS on the road when not laying more than 4 points.  Take the Dawgs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-11-25 Rice +10 v. UTSA Top 13-61 Loss -108 26 h 46 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Texas-San Antonio.  The Owls were upset last week as a 4-point favorite, 27-21, by Florida Atlantic.  We'll take them to bounce back off that upset loss, as the Owls are 5-0 ATS their last five (and 17-5 ATS their last 22) off an upset loss.  Even better:  if they failed to cover the point spread by more than 9 points in that upset defeat, then our 17-5 mark zooms to 16-1 ATS.  Rice also falls into a 219-112-3 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Take Rice + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-11-25 San Jose State v. Wyoming +2 Top 28-35 Win 100 25 h 18 m Show

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over San Jose St.  The Cowboys are 1-3 ATS in their four FBS games this season, while San Jose St. is the mirror opposite at 3-1 ATS.  But if one digs a little deeper, one would find that San Jose actually has a negative point spread differential this season, notwithstanding its 3-1 ATS mark.  And Wyoming hasn't played all that poorly this season.  Indeed, last week, it was a 4.5-point home underdog to 5-0 UNLV.  The Cowboys did lose by 14, 31-17.  But they also outyarded the Rebels by 100 yards (356-256).  Three turnovers, however, were the Cowboys' undoing.  Wyoming falls into a very good 77.5% ATS system of mine.  We'll look for the Cowboys' QB, Kaden Anderson, to lead them to an upset win in Laramie.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

10-11-25 Navy -10 v. Temple Top 32-31 Loss -108 22 h 19 m Show

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen minus the points over Temple.  The Midshipmen will travel to Philadelphia to take on AAC Conference rival, Temple.  And the Midshipmen have been dominant away from Annapolis, as they've gone 138-76-4 ATS, including a spectacular 91-31-3 ATS if they played at home their previous game.  Navy leads the country with 317.4 rushing yards per game, and ranks #4 at 6.4 yards per rush.  So, the Midshipmen match up well vs. a Temple rush defense which is surrendering 5.1 yards per rush.  Last season, QB Blake Horvath ran roughshod over the Temple defense, gaining 234 total yards, as Navy annihilated the Owls, 38-11.  More of the same this season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-11-25 Old Dominion -14 v. Marshall Top 24-48 Loss -115 22 h 47 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Marshall.  Last week, we played on Old Dominion -18.5 over Coastal Carolina, and the Monarchs blew the doors off the Chanticleers, 47-7.  ODU has now won four straight games after losing its season opener to 5-0 Indiana.  Importantly, the Monarchs covered the 23.5-point spread in that 27-14 loss to the Hoosiers.  And ODU is 3-1 ATS in its four FBS games this season, with its only loss coming by a mere half-point.  The Monarchs are 18-11-1 ATS their last 30, and lead the country with 6.8 yards per rush. They also rank #13 in defensive passing yards allowed (149.0), which doesn't bode well for a Thundering Herd offense which ranks #119 with 169 passing yards per game.  ODU will be looking to avenge an upset loss at home to the Herd last season.  The Monarchs were favored by 2.5, but lost, 42-35.  That was the 7th straight defeat suffered by ODU vs Marshall.  But this year, the Monarchs have a huge talent differential.  I like ODU to avenge last season's defeat, as Marshall is a poor 49-67 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, including 2-12 ATS its last 14 if it won on the road the previous season.  We'll lay the points with ODU at Marshall on Saturday afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-11-25 NC State v. Notre Dame -22.5 Top 7-36 Win 100 22 h 44 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over NC State.  The Wolfpack crushed Campbell last week, 56-10, and are 4-2 on the season.  The Irish are 3-2 after a 28-7 win over Boise State as a 22.5-point home favorite.  NC State is a poor 47-75 ATS on the road if it did not lose its previous game, including 14-36 ATS vs. a foe off a point spread defeat.  Take the Irish minus the points.

10-11-25 Nebraska -6.5 v. Maryland Top 34-31 Loss -113 11 h 24 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Maryland.  The Terrapins lost, but covered the point spread in last week's 24-20 loss to Washington.  Maryland has been installed as a home underdog for the 2nd straight week.  We'll lay the points with Nebraska, as it is 45-27 ATS as a road favorite vs. foes off an ATS win.  The 'Huskers also fall into an 83-33 ATS system of mine.  Take the Huskers.

10-11-25 Ball State v. Western Michigan -8.5 Top 0-42 Win 100 11 h 23 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Ball State.  The Cardinals had lost 7 straight games vs FBS competition before pulling a big upset last week vs. Ohio.  The Broncos, meanwhile, won their 3rd straight last week with a 21-3 blowout of UMass.  Western Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its five FBS games this season.  We'll lay the points as Mid-American Conference teams off upset wins have cashed just 39% as road underdogs vs. conference foes also off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Broncos.

10-11-25 Washington State v. Ole Miss -32 Top 21-24 Loss -108 19 h 60 m Show

At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Washington St.  Ole Miss has been dominant in non-conference games when favored by 5+ points, as they've gone 6-0 ATS their last six (and 34-12-1 ATS their last 47), including 16-4 ATS when they were laying 23+ points.  Take the Rebels to blow out the Cougars.

10-11-25 Ohio State v. Illinois +14.5 Top 34-16 Loss -108 18 h 27 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over the Ohio State Buckeyes.  Ohio State comes into this game with a spotless, 5-0 record.  They've also gone 3-0-1 ATS in their FBS games this season.  We'll fade Ohio State in Champaign, as defending champs have covered the spread just 34% away from home the past 46 seasons off back to back SU/ATS wins, if they were not favored by 16+ points.  Take the Illini.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

10-11-25 Alabama v. Missouri +3 Top 27-24 Push 0 8 h 7 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers come into this game with a 5-0 record, while 'Bama is 4-1.  We'll grab the points with the homestanding Tigers, as SEC home underdogs of less than 15 points, with an .888 (or better) record, have gone 33-15-3 ATS vs. conference foes.  Additionally, Missouri falls into a system of mine which is 15-0-1 ATS its last 16 (and 31-6-2 ATS its last 39).  Grab the points with the Tigers.

10-11-25 Miami-OH -11 v. Akron Top 20-7 Win 100 18 h 16 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Akron.  The Zips pulled off a big upset over Central Michigan last Saturday, winning by 28-22, as a 7.5-point underdog.  Akron is a wallet-busting 6-14-1 ATS off an upset win., including 1-8 ATS at home.  Lay the points with Miami-Ohio.

10-11-25 UL-Lafayette v. James Madison -17.5 Top 14-24 Loss -115 18 h 15 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Rajin' Cajuns upset Marshall, 54-51, last week.  We'll fade the Cajuns in Harrisonburg, as they've gone 8-24-1 ATS off a win, in which they scored more than 30 points (and 2-13 ATS if they scored more than 40 in that win).  Even worse:  if the Cajuns owned a sub-.800 record, they've gone 0-11-1 ATS after scoring 30+ points in a win.  Take the Dukes.

10-09-25 Louisiana Tech v. Kennesaw State +6 Top 7-35 Win 100 13 h 22 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kennesaw State Owls + the points over Louisiana Tech.  The Bulldogs shut the Owls out last season, 33-0.  We'll grab the points with Kennesaw, as NCAA teams have gone 137-100 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a shutout loss by more than 31 points.  Even better:  revenge-minded Conference USA teams are 108-70 ATS when installed as an underdog of +10 (or less) points at home vs. conference foes.  Take Kennesaw + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-04-25 Miami-FL v. Florida State +5 Top 28-22 Loss -111 84 h 2 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Miami-Florida.  Last week, the Seminoles lost in overtime, 46-38, to the Virginia Cavaliers.  Off that upset loss, we'll take FSU to bounce back, as it's 23-5 ATS at home or on a neutral field, off a point spread loss, when playing an opponent off an ATS win at home.  Florida State lost its prior meeting vs. Miami, 36-14.  We'll take the revenge-minded Seminoles on Saturday night, as they also fall into 87-41-3 and 82-35 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

10-04-25 Mississippi State v. Texas A&M -14 Top 9-31 Win 100 84 h 46 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Mississippi St.  The Aggies are off to a 4-0 start this season after dispatching Auburn last week, 16-10.  Unfortunately for A&M bettors, the Aggies failed to cover the 6.5-point spread.  We'll take A&M to get back into the point spread win column this week, as undefeated SEC teams have covered 61.1% as favorites in conference games off an ATS loss.  That bodes well for the Aggies on Saturday night.  As does the fact that they're 50-26 ATS when priced from -10 to -16 points.  Take Texas A&M.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

10-04-25 Texas Tech v. Houston +12.5 Top 35-11 Loss -110 83 h 16 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars + the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders won their Big 12 opener with a blowout win over Utah, 34-10.  And they blew out Oregon State, 45-14, in their game before that.  But off those two big wins, we'll fade Texas Tech at Houston on Saturday night, as they've covered just 20 of 64 FBS games off back-to-back ATS wins (or ties) in FBS games.  Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 73% of conference games as double-digit home dogs off back-to-back wins, if their opponent was not off an ATS defeat.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.   

10-04-25 Coastal Carolina v. Old Dominion -19 Top 7-47 Win 100 82 h 17 m Show

At 6 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Coastal Carolina.  In their previous game, the Chanticleers upset South Alabama, 38-20, in Mobile.  But off that huge win, we'll fade Coastal Carolina in their second Sun Belt Conference game on Saturday evening.  Indeed, Sun Belt teams have cashed just 32.2% in Conference games after an upset win, if it was getting more than 3 points in its current game, and matched-up against a foe off a SU win.  Additionally, the Monarchs fall into a 155-90 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

10-04-25 Florida International +8 v. Connecticut Top 10-51 Loss -108 80 h 45 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers plus the points over Connecticut.  The Panthers were upset, 38-16, at home by Delaware in their last game.  We'll back FIU off that upset defeat, as UConn has cashed just 29.4% as a home favorite vs. non-conference foes off a loss.  Even better:  Florida International falls into a very good 180-85 ATS system which plays on certain teams off SU losses.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

10-04-25 Virginia v. Louisville -7 Top 30-27 Loss -105 80 h 44 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers stunned Florida State, 46-38, in overtime last week.  But that upset win has set up the Cavs in a negative 96-175-4 system of mine.  And Louisville has covered 65.2% over the past 45 years as favorites vs. foes off upset conference wins.  Take the Cardinals.

10-04-25 Texas v. Florida +7 Top 21-29 Win 100 80 h 43 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Texas.  On the surface, one has two teams headed in opposite directions.  The Gators are riding a 3-game losing streak, while the Longhorns have won their last three games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot 'Horns, and against the ice-cold Gators.  But be careful, as Florida falls into an 86-45-1 ATS 'contrarian' system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses vs. foes off wins.  And Florida is 14-4 ATS as a home dog vs. SEC Conference rivals.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

10-04-25 Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech -6.5 Top 30-23 Loss -108 77 h 14 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Wake Forest.  After starting the 2025 season 0-3 SU/ATS, with double-digit losses to South Carolina, Vanderbilt and Old Dominion, the Hokies rebounded with a 38-6 win over FCS Wofford, and then a 23-21 upset win at NC State last Saturday.  Off that impressive win, Virginia Tech falls into several of my 'momentum' systems with records of 119-46-6, 189-107-6, and 239-133-8 ATS.  The Hokies are also with 26-13 ATS off an upset win.  Lay the points with the Hokies.

10-04-25 Iowa State v. Cincinnati -1 Top 30-38 Win 100 76 h 15 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats over the Iowa State Cyclones.  We played on the Cyclones last week over Arizona, as our Big 12 Game of the Month, and were rewarded with a blowout 39-14 win.  This week, we'll switch gears and fade ISU, as it is a poor 0-8 ATS away from home vs. .750 (or better) conference foes.  Additionally, the Cyclones fall into negative 164-250 and 40-94 ATS systems.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

10-03-25 Colorado State +6.5 v. San Diego State Top 24-45 Loss -108 63 h 48 m Show

At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over San Diego State.  The Rams were upset last week by Washington State, 20-3, as a 4.5-point home favorite.  The good news for Colorado State is that it now falls into a 'bounce-back' system of mine which has gone 219-111-3 ATS since 1980.  Additionally, the Aztecs are 5-15 ATS at home when priced from -3.5 to -7 vs. conference foes.  Take Jay Norvell's men on Friday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

09-27-25 Alabama v. Georgia -2.5 Top 24-21 Loss -110 111 h 31 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide won last year's meeting, 41-34, in Tuscaloosa.  We'll take Georgia to avenge that defeat, as it's a wallet-fattening 20-3-2 ATS as a favorite (or PK) when playing with revenge.  Additionally, the Bulldogs fall into a 304-201 ATS system of mine.  Take Georgia minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

09-27-25 Oregon v. Penn State -3 Top 30-24 Loss -120 111 h 31 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Oregon.  The Nittany Lions will welcome the Oregon Ducks to Happy Valley on Saturday evening.  In Oregon's first Big 10 season, last year, it ran the regular season table, and was undefeated (and ranked #1) going into the 12-team Playoffs.  These two teams met in the Big 10 Championship game, and Oregon defeated PSU, 45-37, as a 3-point favorite.  This year, it's James Franklin's men, who are favored.  And Penn State has been dominant in the favorite role, going 44-4 SU and 33-14-1 ATS in its last 48 FBS games as the favorite.  The Nittany Lions are also 20-14 ATS at home when playing with revenge, while Oregon is a poor 7-16-2 ATS as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points, including 1-5 ATS when going into revenge.  Lay the points with the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

09-27-25 Arizona v. Iowa State -5.5 Top 14-39 Win 100 110 h 3 m Show

At 7:00 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Arizona.  The 3-0 Wildcats come into this game off a 23-17 home win over Kansas State, while the 4-0 Cyclones enter off a 24-16 victory at Arkansas State.  Both teams had last week off to prepare for this Big 12 Conference battle, and we'll lay the points with the homestanding Cyclones.  Key Stat:  Arizona is 0-13 ATS away from home as an underdog off a SU/ATS win, if it was matched up against a .500 (or better) foe.  Take the Cyclones.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

09-27-25 Tulane -14 v. Tulsa Top 31-14 Win 100 107 h 2 m Show

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Tulsa.  The Green Wave have been installed as a double-digit favorite vs. the Golden Hurricane.  And that bodes well for Tulane, as it's 31-12 ATS its last 43 (and 82-54-2 ATS its last 138) as a favorite of less than 17 points, while Tulsa is a terrible 35-56-3 ATS as an underdog of 17 (or less) points vs. conference rivals.  Over the last 4 seasons, Tulsa is 6-19 SU and 6-18-1 ATS in AAC Conference games (regardless of the point spread), while Tulane is 23-4 SU and 17-10 ATS.  Lay the points with the Green Wave.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.   

09-27-25 Ohio State v. Washington +9.5 Top 24-6 Loss -105 106 h 29 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Ohio State.  The Huskies are a perfect 3-0 this season, and have been installed as a home dog vs. the defending champion Buckeyes.  We'll grab the points with Washington, as it's cashed 75% over the last 45 years as a home dog vs. conference foes, if Washington was off back-to-back wins.  Even better:  undefeated home dogs of more than 7 points have cashed 65.6% over the last 45 years off a win by 35+ points.  With Washington in off a 59-24 victory over Washington State, we'll grab the points with the home underdog.

09-27-25 San Diego State v. Northern Illinois +3 Top 6-3 Push 0 106 h 29 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over San Diego State.  The Aztecs pulled off the biggest upset last week, when they whitewashed California, 34-0, as a 14-point home underdog!  Unfortunately for the Aztecs, they're 19-32 ATS off an upset win, including 8-21 ATS if they were an underdog of 5+ points in their previous game.  Grab the points with Northern Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

09-27-25 Arkansas State +2.5 v. UL-Monroe Top 16-28 Loss -108 106 h 60 m Show

At 3:00 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves + the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Red Wolves were upset by Kennesaw State last week, 28-21, as a 5-point road favorite.  We'll take Arkansas State to bounce back on Saturday, as it's cashed 75% on the road off an upset loss when matched up against a foe off a SU win.  Take the Red Wolves + the points.

09-27-25 Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan -5.5 Top 13-24 Win 100 104 h 58 m Show

At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles had lost eight games in a row (dating back to last season) before last Saturday's 34-31 upset win over Louisiana-Lafayette.  But off that emotional victory, we'll fade Eastern Michigan in Mount Pleasant, on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, the Eagles are an ugly 8-22 ATS off an upset win.  Additionally, the Chippewas fall into 175-96-4 and 184-98-7 ATS systems of mine based, in part, on their 49-10 win last week over Wagner.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

09-27-25 Utah State v. Vanderbilt -22.5 Top 35-55 Loss -108 55 h 13 m Show

At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Utah State.  We played on Vanderbilt earlier this month in its 31-7 upset win in its SEC Conference opener at South Carolina.  Then, last week, the Commodores returned home to Nashville and blew out Georgia State, 70-21.  Off that 49-point blowout, the Commies are 4-0, and fall into several of my better 'momentum' systems.  We'll lay the points on Saturday vs. the Aggies, as undefeated NCAA teams have gone 235-181 ATS in FBS games when favored by 21+ points, off a win by 21 or more points the previous week.  Lay the wood with Vanderbilt.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

09-27-25 Duke -5 v. Syracuse Top 38-3 Win 100 103 h 2 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Syracuse.  The Orange pulled off a big upset on the road last week at ACC Conference rival, Clemson.  The Orange were a 17.5-point underdog, yet won outright, 34-21.  Off that upset win, we'll fade Syracuse on Saturday vs. Duke.  Indeed, Syracuse is an atrocious 3-15 ATS as an underdog in conference games following an upset conference win.  And Duke is 26-7 ATS away from home off a SU win, when it wasn't getting more than 3 points.  Take the Blue Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

09-27-25 Notre Dame v. Arkansas +5.5 Top 56-13 Loss -110 103 h 0 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over Notre Dame.  We played against Arkansas last week in Memphis, and got the $$$ with the Tigers, who upset Arkansas, 32-31.  But off that upset loss, we'll back the Razorbacks in Fayetteville on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, Arkansas is an awesome 16-3 ATS off an upset road loss, including 8-1 ATS at home, while Notre Dame is a soft 18-27-1 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off upset losses.  Additionally, the Razorbacks fall into a super 83-40 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset defeats.  Grab the points with the Razorbacks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

09-20-25 Sam Houston v. Texas -39 Top 0-55 Win 100 73 h 51 m Show

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Sam Houston State.  The Longhorns have yet to cover the spread this season.  But so have the Bearkats, who are 0-3 ATS this season, and 2-8 ATS their last 10, dating back to last year.  We'll lay the big number with Texas, as it's 37-20 ATS when favored by 14 off an ATS loss.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-20-25 BYU v. East Carolina +6.5 Top 34-13 Loss -105 72 h 22 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points against BYU.  The Pirates come into this game off a 38-0 shutout win at Coastal Carolina last Saturday.  Home teams have gone 120-94-9 ATS in the regular season off shutout road wins the previous week.  And BYU is 21-32 ATS as a non-conference road favorite.  Take East Carolina.

09-20-25 Illinois v. Indiana -5.5 Top 10-63 Win 100 72 h 22 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Illinois.  The Hoosiers whitewashed Indiana State, 73-0, last week.  We'll lay the points with Indiana in this Big 10 battle, as home teams favored by single digits have cashed 58% in conference games off a 60-point (or greater) offensive outburst their previous game.  Lay the points.

09-20-25 Stanford v. Virginia -14.5 Top 20-48 Win 100 72 h 21 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal notched a rare win last week when they upset Boston College, 30-20, as a 14-point home underdog.  Still, Stanford is a lousy 20-42-3 ATS its last 65.  Take Virginia.

09-20-25 Marshall -2.5 v. Middle Tennessee State Top 42-28 Win 100 72 h 56 m Show

At 7:00 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  Both of these teams come into this game with 1-2 records following victories last Saturday.  Marshall blew out Eastern Kentucky, 38-7, while the Blue Raiders stormed back from a 13-0 deficit in the fourth quarter to shock Nevada, 14-13.  Marshall used to be in Conference USA, so it has a history against Middle Tennessee.  The Blue Raiders did win the previous meeting, 34-28.  But in this series, the loser of the prior meeting has gone 7-2 ATS.  The Blue Raiders have NOT been good off point spread wins, as they've gone 3-13 ATS, including 0-7 ATS in games with single-digit point spreads, and 1-7 ATS off an upset win.  Marshall falls into 204-113 and 169-95 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points with the Thundering Herd.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-20-25 Nevada +11 v. Western Kentucky Top 16-31 Loss -108 72 h 53 m Show

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Western Kentucky.  The Wolf Pack collapsed in the 4th quarter last week, and gave up two late touchdowns to Middle Tennessee to lose, 14-13.  We'll take Nevada to bounce back, as it's 26-15 ATS in non-conference games off a SU loss, including 5-1 ATS off an upset loss.  Take Nevada.

09-20-25 Temple +24 v. Georgia Tech Top 24-45 Win 100 69 h 23 m Show

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets upset Clemson last week, 24-21, to move to 3-0 this season, while the Owls were blown out, 42-3, by Oklahoma.  The Yellow Jackets are a poor 2-7-1 ATS at home in non-conference games off an upset win.  And AAC Conference teams are 29-14-1 ATS as road underdogs of more than 20 points vs. foes not off a SU loss.  Take Temple + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-20-25 Auburn +6.5 v. Oklahoma Top 17-24 Loss -105 68 h 27 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers + the points over Oklahoma.  Last year, the Sooners went into Auburn, and upset the Tigers, 27-21, as a 2-point road underdog.  We'll take Auburn to give Oklahoma some payback on this Saturday.  The Tigers are a solid 14-7 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss against a conference foe.  And Oklahoma is 5-9 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe it upset on the road.  That bodes well for Auburn on Saturday afternoon.  As does the fact that SEC Conference underdogs (or PK) have cashed 62.2% in their conference openers, provided their opponent wasn't playing with revenge.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-20-25 Michigan v. Nebraska +2.5 Top 30-27 Loss -105 68 h 27 m Show

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over the Michigan Wolverines.  Nebraska was walloped by Michigan, here in Lincoln, 45-7, two years ago.  But that was a Michigan team which went on to win the National Championship.  This Wolverines team is not at that level, notwithstanding its 63-3 triumph last week vs. Central Michigan.  Nebraska comes into this Big 10 Conference-opener with a defense which has allowed just 8.0 ppg this season.  We'll grab the points with the 'Huskers, as single-digit home underdogs, with a 3-0 (or better) record, have cashed 57.2% since 1980.  Additionally, the Wolves are a woeful 1-8 ATS after scoring 60+ points, including 0-5 ATS on the road.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-20-25 Purdue v. Notre Dame -25 Top 30-56 Win 100 68 h 26 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Purdue.  Notre Dame reached the Championship game vs. Ohio State last January, but has stumbled to an 0-2 start this season.  We played against the Irish in each of those games, and cashed Miami-Fla and Texas A&M.  But we will switch gears and lay the points with Marcus Freeman's men on Saturday afternoon.  Notre Dame has won nine straight games vs. its cross-state rival, including a 66-7 beatdown last season.  I like the Irish to bounce back as they're 6-0 ATS their last six (and 19-7 ATS their last 26) as a losing team off back to back ATS defeats.  They're also 6-1 ATS when priced from -21 to -28 points vs. their rival.  Meanwhile, Purdue is a putrid 2-9 ATS when getting 14+ points vs. a foe off an upset loss.  Take the Irish to blow out the Boilermakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-20-25 UAB v. Tennessee -38 Top 24-56 Loss -110 66 h 39 m Show

At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over UAB.  The Volunteers come into this game off an overtime loss to the Georgia Bulldogs.  They'll step down in class on Saturday and take on the Blazers out of the AAC Conference.  Tennessee is 12-1 ATS its last 13 vs. non-conference FBS schools.  And UAB is 1-12-1 ATS off a straight-up win.  With the Blazers in off a 31-28 victory over Akron, we'll lay the points with Tennessee.

09-20-25 Bowling Green v. Louisville -25.5 Top 17-40 Loss -110 65 h 58 m Show

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Cardinals had last week off to rest and prepare for this non-conference match-up vs. Bowling Green from the Mid-American Conference.  The Falcons earned a nice upset win last week at home vs. Liberty, and are 2-1 on the season.  We'll lay the points with the rested Cardinals, as Mid-American Conference teams have gone 0-14 ATS their last 14 (and 4-26 ATS their last 30) as road underdogs of 8+ points vs. rested non-conference foes.  Additionally, the Cardinals fall into a super 175-95 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-20-25 North Texas -2 v. Army Top 45-38 Win 100 65 h 58 m Show

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Army.  This is a big revenge game for the Mean Green, who lost to Army last season, 14-3.  The Black Knights would go on to a perfect 8-0 record in American Athletic Conference play.  I expect tougher sledding for Army this season in the AAC, and we'll lay the points on Saturday with North Texas.  Indeed, AAC road favorites (or PK) have gone 35-8 SU and 28-15 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Army is an atrocious 29-53-2 ATS in FBS games when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 6-21 (22.2%) ATS at home.  The Mean Green also fall into 135-61 and 38-15 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

09-20-25 SMU +7 v. TCU Top 24-35 Loss -108 65 h 55 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over TCU.  SMU has yet to cover the point spread this season, but I like it to get into the ATS win column at its cross-town rival, TCU.  The road team has dominated this series "in Vegas," going 27-13-1 ATS, including 16-4 ATS when getting more than a field goal.  Take the Mustangs + the points.

09-20-25 Texas Tech v. Utah -3 Top 34-10 Loss -108 65 h 55 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Texas Tech.  Both of these teams are undefeated (both SU and ATS).  We'll fade the Red Raiders, as they're an ugly 19-42-2 ATS in FBS games off back to back games where they won/pushed against the spread.  Likewise, teams playing the Utah Utes away from home have gone 16-25 ATS off back-to-back ATS wins/pushes in FBS games.  Utah falls into a 286-174 ATS 'momentum' system of mine.  Lay the points.

09-20-25 Arkansas v. Memphis +8 Top 31-32 Win 100 65 h 54 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Arkansas.  The Razorbacks have been installed as a road favorite against the undefeated Tigers.  We'll grab the points, as SEC teams have gone 17-49-3 ATS on the road vs. undefeated teams with a 3-0 (or better) record, when priced from +4.5 to -14.5 points.  Take Memphis.

09-19-25 Iowa v. Rutgers +3 Top 38-28 Loss -115 49 h 58 m Show

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Iowa.  The Scarlet Knights are 3-0, and have outscored their opponents by 27.0 ppg.  They're a home underdog in their Big 10 season opener, and we'll happily grab the points, as the Scarlet Knights are 10-1-3 ATS their last 14 off a SU win.  And Iowa is 2-8-1 ATS vs. foes with an .833 (or better) win percentage.  Take Rutgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-13-25 Texas State v. Arizona State -14 Top 15-34 Win 100 100 h 42 m Show

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Texas State.  Last week, Arizona State was upset, 24-20, by Mississippi State.  Still, the Sun Devils have been terrific against the spread, dating back to September 23, 2023, which was Kenny Dillingham's first season as head coach.  They've gone 17-6-1 (73.9%) ATS, including a virtually perfect 9-1 ATS when not getting 3+ points.  I like ASU to bounce back Saturday night vs. Texas State.  The Bobcats did upset Texas-San Antonio, 43-36, last week.  But they're a brutal 9-27 SU and 12-22-1 ATS (with one non-lined game) off a straight-up win.  And Big 12 (or Big 8) teams off upset losses have cashed 64.2% as favorites since 1980 vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-13-25 Vanderbilt +5.5 v. South Carolina Top 31-7 Win 100 97 h 60 m Show

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks won, 28-7, at Vandy last season, as a 6-point road favorite.  And that was the 16th straight loss by the Commodores to the Gamecocks.  We'll take Vandy + the points, as it has gone 20-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a game it failed to cover by more than 7 points.  Take the Commodores.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-13-25 Florida +8.5 v. LSU Top 10-20 Loss -110 97 h 57 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over LSU.  Last week, the Gators lost outright, 18-16, as an 18-point home favorite to South Florida.  Still, Florida was 9-1 ATS its previous 10 games vs. FBS foes, so I wouldn't overreact to that upset loss.  Florida is also 103-79-2 ATS on the road, including 22-14-1 ATS off a SU loss.  And .500 (or better) SEC Conference teams have gone 97-54 ATS away from home off upset losses, when matched against foes with .500 (or better) point spread records.  Finally, LSU has covered just 30% of home games vs. SEC Conference foes off upset losses, if LSU was off a SU win.  So, we'll happily grab the points with the Gators in this SEC showdown.  Take Florida. 

09-13-25 Texas A&M +7 v. Notre Dame Top 41-40 Win 100 97 h 34 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Notre Dame.  Last season, the Fighting Irish went into College Station and trounced Texas A&M, 23-13.  Unfortunately for Notre Dame, it's a nasty 14-33-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, if the Irish won the previous meeting away from home.  Take the Aggies + the points.

09-13-25 Old Dominion +7.5 v. Virginia Tech Top 45-26 Win 100 96 h 9 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies are off to an 0-2 start.  And they're 1-6 SU/ATS their last seven, dating back to last season.  This Saturday evening, they'll welcome cross-state rival, Old Dominion, to Blacksburg.  And the Monarchs will be seeking revenge from a 37-17 thrashing last season.  We'll grab the points with ODU, as Va Tech is a woeful 11-27 ATS when favored by less than 15 points vs. revenge-minded foes.  The Monarchs also fall into a 205-112 ATS revenge system of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-13-25 Arkansas +8 v. Ole Miss Top 35-41 Win 100 96 h 4 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over Mississippi.  Last year, the Rebels rolled into Fayetteville and annihilated Arkansas, 63-31.  With payback on its mind, we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded underdog on Saturday evening.  Indeed, Arkansas is 26-13-2 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a conference rival, if the Razorbacks owned a winning record.  Grab the points.

09-13-25 South Florida v. Miami-FL -17 Top 12-49 Win 100 94 h 57 m Show

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over South Florida.  The Bulls have opened this season with two straight upset wins:  34-7 at home vs. Boise State in Week 1, as a 4-point dog, and 18-16, as an 18-point underdog at Florida last Saturday.  The Bulls are back on the road this week, and will take on the also-undefeated Miami-Fla Hurricanes.  We'll fade the Bulls, as NCAA teams have covered just 30% since 1980 away from home off back-to-back upset wins to start the season (and just 17% if off a win as a 7-point (or greater) underdog in their previous game).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-13-25 Pittsburgh v. West Virginia +7.5 Top 24-31 Win 100 93 h 42 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Pittsburgh.  This is a big rivalry game, and the Mountaineers will be seeking revenge from a 38-34 upset loss to the Panthers last season.  The revenger has gone 14-6 ATS as an underdog in this series, and the revenger has also gone 9-2 ATS if it was upset the previous season.  Additionally, WVU is 16-8-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Take the Mountaineers.

09-13-25 SMU -27.5 v. Missouri State Top 28-10 Loss -108 93 h 57 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Missouri State.  The Bears upset Marshall, 21-20, as a 6.5-point road underdog last week, while SMU was upset by Baylor, 48-45, in overtime, as a 3-point home favorite.  We'll lay the points with SMU, as ACC Conference teams have gone 50-15 ATS when favored by 8 (or more) vs. foes off upset wins.  Additionally, the Mustangs are 8-0 ATS their last eight (and 12-2-1 ATS their last 15) off an upset loss, when not getting more than 7 points. And SMU also falls into 150-57, 86-48 and 193-97 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Mustangs to blow out the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-13-25 Washington State v. North Texas -5.5 Top 10-59 Win 100 93 h 42 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Washington State.  The Mean Green are off to a 2-0 start this season after blowing out Lamar, 51-0, and defeating Western Michigan, 33-30.  They're favored by single digits this week at home, vs. Washington State.  And North Texas is a dominant 27-2 SU and 22-7 ATS as a favorite off back-to-back wins.  The Mean Green also fall into one of my favorite systems, which is 303-199 ATS since 1980.  Lay the points with North Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-13-25 USC v. Purdue +21.5 Top 33-17 Win 100 93 h 38 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over USC.  The Boilers are 2-0 following wins over Ball State (31-0) and Southern Illinois (31-17).  We'll grab the double-digits with the home underdog, as NCAA home dogs of 8 (or more) points have cashed 59% off back to back wins by more than 7 points.  Take Purdue.

09-13-25 Oregon State v. Texas Tech -22 Top 14-45 Win 100 93 h 36 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Oregon St.  The Red Raiders are off to a great 2-0 start, after blowing out Kent State, 62-14, and are 2nd in scoring margin (54.0 points) behind only Oregon (56.0 points).  Texas Tech is 67-43-3 ATS as a favorite of more than 8 points, including 12-4-2 ATS if it won its previous game by 48+ points.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-13-25 Memphis v. Troy +4.5 Top 28-7 Loss -110 89 h 11 m Show

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Troy Trojans + the points against Memphis.  The Tigers trounced Troy last season, 38-17, in Memphis.  This game, however, will be played at Troy.  And we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Trojans.  Indeed, Troy has cashed 75% as revenge-minded home underdogs vs. non-conference foes, while Memphis is a wallet-busting 36% as a road-favorite vs. revenge minded non-conference foes.  Grab the points with the Trojans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-06-25 Michigan +5.5 v. Oklahoma Top 13-24 Loss -108 98 h 43 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Oklahoma.  The Bryce Underwood era got off to a good start last week when the Wolverines defeated New Mexico State, 34-17.  Michigan will now travel to Norman to take on Oklahoma, which won, 35-3, vs. Illinois St in Week 1.  We'll grab the points with Michigan, as the Wolves are 34-25 ATS in the regular season as a road underdog.  And SEC Conference teams have covered just 30% over the last 45 years when favored by 3+ points at home vs. the Big 10.  Oklahoma also falls into a negative 18-48 ATS system of mine.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-06-25 Houston -13 v. Rice Top 35-9 Win 100 98 h 36 m Show

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Rice.  Last week, the Owls upset Louisiana-Lafayette on the road, 14-12.  They're back home on Saturday evening to host cross-town rival, Houston.  We'll lay the points with the Cougars, as they've covered 75% since 1980 as a double-digit road favorite vs. non-conference foes off upset wins.  And Rice is a woeful 44-63-3 ATS in non-conference games, when installed as an underdog.  The Owls also fall into a negative 24-84 ATS system of mine based on their victory last week.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-06-25 Arkansas State v. Arkansas -23 Top 14-56 Win 100 95 h 16 m Show

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Razorbacks blew out Alabama A&M last week, 52-7, while the Red Wolves defeated Southeast Missouri, 42-24.  We'll lay the points with Arkansas, as 21-point (or greater) favorites off a 45-point (or greater) win in their season opener have cashed 66% vs. non-conference foes.  Additionally, the Razorbacks fall into a 130-69 ATS system of mine.  Take Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-06-25 South Florida v. Florida -17 Top 18-16 Loss -110 95 h 48 m Show

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over South Florida.  The Bulls upended Boise State, 34-7, last week as a 5-point home dog.  Unfortunately, South Florida has covered just 30.7% as a road underdog after a double-digit cover its previous game.  And Florida falls into a 385-277 ATS momentum system of mine off its 55-0 whitewash of Long Island.  Lay the points with the Gators.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-06-25 Miami-OH v. Rutgers -14.5 Top 17-45 Win 100 94 h 5 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks were shutout, 17-0, last week by Wisconsin.  They're catching double digits vs. another Big 10 foe this week, and we'll back the homestanding Scarlet Knights.  Over the last 44 years, underdogs of 11+ points, off a shutout loss to start the season, have covered just 33% the following week.  Take Rutgers.

09-06-25 Ole Miss v. Kentucky +10.5 Top 30-23 Win 100 94 h 4 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Ole Miss.  Both of these teams won last week.  Ole Miss routed Georgia State, 63-7, while the Wildcats downed Toledo, 24-16.  Kentucky is a super 26-10 ATS as an underdog vs. .666 (or better) foes, including 6-0 ATS its last six.  And the Wildcats fall into one of my favorite systems which is 299-198 ATS since 1980.  Grab the points.

09-06-25 Utah State v. Texas A&M -30.5 Top 22-44 Loss -115 91 h 12 m Show

>At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Utah St.  Last week, Utah State won, 28-16, vs. UTEP.  But that game was in Logan; this will be in College Station.  And Texas A&M has dominated non-conference foes at Kyle Field, as it's 43-26 ATS, including 9-0 ATS its last nine when priced from -21.5 to -31.5 vs. foes off a SU win.  Lay the points with Texas A&M.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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