At 4 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes are 10-0 after blowing out Michigan St, 38-3, last week.  Off that big win, we'll fade Ohio State, as undefeated NCAA teams are 5-19 ATS as favorites vs. conference foes in the regular season, at Game 11 forward, if they held their previous opponent to 7 or less points.  Additionally, the Gophers are 13-3 ATS when getting more than 23 points on the Big 10 road.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Tigers have their big rivalry game next week vs. Alabama, and they generally do well the game before that rivalry game, as they've gone 23-14 ATS.  Moreover, the Tigers come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  And they're 14-0 ATS as a home favorite of less than 28 points, if Auburn was on a 2-game ATS win streak and playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Sam Houston St.  The Hilltoppers are a super 11-0 ATS as a home favorite, priced from -11.5 to -31, vs. Conference foes.  Lay the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over USC.  The Trojans are a nasty 3-11 ATS their last 14 at home vs. conference foes.  Take UCLA + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers + the points over Georgia.  The Volunteers were blown out, 36-7, by Missouri last week, while the defending champion Bulldogs remained undefeated with a 52-17 rout of Ole Miss.  We'll grab the points with Tennessee, as it's 9-0 ATS off a loss by 6+ points.  Additionally, defending NCAA Champions are a poor 29.0% ATS away from home off a win, if they weren't favored by more than 15 points, and their opponent was off a loss.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Duke.  Virginia might be 2-8 straight-up, but it's 7-3 "in Vegas," this season.  We'll ride Virginia as a home underdog this afternoon, as it's 19-7 ATS its last 26 as a home pup, including 7-1 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take the Cavaliers.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves enter on a 3-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, Sun Belt Conference home dogs of more than 3 points are a horrible 37-62 ATS off an ATS win.  Lay the points with Texas State.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane dropped its fifth straight game last weekend when it fell, 24-22, at Tulane (though it covered the spread).  We'll fade Tulsa as a short home underdog, as it's 3-10-1 ATS its last 14 conference games, including 1-5-1 ATS at home, and 1-8-1 ATS off a loss.  Meanwhile, North Texas is a solid 16-5-1 ATS in conference games, including 7-1 ATS as as favorite.  Take the Mean Green minus the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors come into this road game off back to back upset wins over Nevada and Air Force.  We'll fade Hawaii this afternoon, as it's 5-13 ATS as a road underdog off back to back ATS wins.  Take Wyoming.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over SMU.  The Mustangs blew out North Texas, 45-21, last week.  Unfortunately, SMU is 0-8-1 ATS its last nine (and 6-19-1 ATS its last 26) away from home off a 24-point (or greater) win.  Grab the points with Memphis.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Southern Mississippi.  The Bulldogs were blown out, 51-10, by Texas A&M last week.  We'll lay the points and go against Southern Miss, as the Golden Eagles are 0-10 ATS when getting between 15.5 and 45 points vs. an opponent off an ATS loss.  Take Miss State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Northwestern.  The Wildcats pulled off an upset last week when they went into Madison, and knocked off Wisconsin, 24-10, as a 12 point underdog.  We'll go against Northwestern, as Big 10 home dogs are a soft 37.3% in conference games since 1980 off an upset road win, if they covered the spread by 12+ points in that win.  Take Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Michigan.  Maryland comes into this game off a road win at Nebraska.  Meanwhile, the Wolverines are 10-0, and ranked #3 in the country after their big win in Happy Valley last Saturday.  We'll fade the Maize and Blue, as double-digit road favorites have covered just 27% since 1980 if they were undefeated, at Game 11 forward, and their opponent was off a SU win.  Take the Terrapins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie..

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS wins, and have covered six of their last seven, while the Huskies have lost their last two games -- both SU and ATS.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Broncos.  But MAC Conference favorites, off back to back SU/ATS losses, have covered 60% since 1992 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And the Huskies are 46-30-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins, including 8-1 ATS if the Huskies were off back to back defeats.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over LSU. The Gators come into this road game off an upset home loss, 39-36, to Arkansas. We'll take the Gators to rebound off that upset defeat, as they're a perfect 7-0 ATS as an underdog off an upset loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Mississippi.  The Bulldogs are trying to win their 3rd straight National Championship.  This week, the Rebels will look to snap Georgia's 36-game regular season win streak.  We'll lay the points with Kirby Smart's men, as they're 23-6 ATS when priced from -7 to -20 points.  And they're 10-1 SU and 7-4 ATS their last 11 vs. Ole Miss.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal pulled off a big upset last Saturday, 10-7, as a 14-point road dog.  Can Stanford make it two-in-a-row?  It's unlikely, as Pac-12 teams with a losing record, that pulled off an upset as an 8-point (or greater) underdog in their previous game, have gone 13-49 SU and 17-42-1 ATS, including 0-21 SU and 2-19 ATS if they were getting more than 13 points.  Take Oregon State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Arkansas St.  South Alabama's QB, Carter Bradley, missed last week's game at Troy, and the Jaguars missed him greatly.  Troy blew out South Alabama, 28-10, as a 7 point favorite, and that was S. Alabama's 2nd straight blowout loss.  Bradley should be back under center on Saturday vs. Arkansas St.  And we'll lay the points with the homestanding Jaguars, who have covered 69% off back to back losses by more than 10 points, and 82% after failing to cover the point spread by 6+ points in their two previous games.  And the Jags are also 4-0 SU/ATS their last four meetings with the Red Wolves.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes over Rutgers.  Iowa is a spectacular 70-30-2 ATS in Big 10 Conference games when priced from -7 to +2 points.  Take the Hawkeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies won, 13-7, last week, as a 3-point home favorite, while Western Kentucky went into El Paso, and defeated the Miners, 21-13.  We'll fade New Mexico St on the road Saturday, as it is an awful 28% ATS as a road dog off a home win, if matched up against an opponent off a win.  Even better:  the Hilltoppers are 39-21 ATS in conference games off a win, including 6-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Oklahoma St.  The Cowboys will be seeking their 6th straight win after upsetting rival Oklahoma last week.  We played on Oklahoma State in that game, but will go against them on Saturday, as a letdown is expected (the Cowboys have covered just 25% on the road after playing Oklahoma since 1980).  Also, Central Florida has gone 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS at home vs. conference foes off back to back wins, if UCF wasn't getting 7+ points.  Take the Knights.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over North Carolina State.  This is a big letdown spot for NC State after its two upset wins at home over Clemson and Miami.  Now, the Wolfpack are road favorites against a Deacons squad off back to back losses.  Since 1980, road favorites have covered just 28% off back to back upset wins as a home dog, if they were next matched up against a conference foe off back to back losses.  Take Wake Forest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Appalachian St.  The Mountaineers notched a rare ATS win vs. Sun Belt conference foes last week in their 31-9 victory vs. Marshall.  Still, the Mountaineers are a poor 2-13 ATS their last 15 conference games, including 0-7 ATS on the road.  Take Georgia State minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Michigan.  The Nittany Lions are 8-1 this season, and are giving up just 11.8 ppg.  We'll grab the points with the defensive juggernaut, as home dogs of +3 (or more) points, that give up less than 12 ppg, have covered 73% since 1980, at Game 6 forward, if their win percentage was .888 (or better).  Take the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers upset Wisconsin, 20-14, as a 7.5-point home dog last Saturday.  Unfortunately, losing Big 10 teams have only covered 30% since 1980 off an upset win as a home dog of more than 7 points, if they were matched up against foe off a SU win.  And Illinois has covered 63% since 1980 as a favorite vs. conference foes off a win.  Take the Illini.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.   The Cajuns were upset, 37-17, by Arkansas State last Saturday, as a 7-point road favorite.  We played against Louisiana-Lafayette in that game, but will switch gears, and now play on the Cajuns at home.  In this game, the Cajuns will be seeking to avenge an upset loss suffered at the hands of Southern Miss last season.  Louisiana has gone 20-11 ATS off an upset loss, and is also 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats upset Oregon State last Saturday, 27-24, as a 3-point underdog.  We'll fade Arizona as a home dog tonight, as it's 10-32 ATS as an underdog off an upset win the previous week.  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over NC State.  We played on the Wolfpack last week, as a double-digit underdog vs. Clemson, and were rewarded with a 24-17 upset win.  But off that big victory, I look for a letdown by Dave Doeren's men tonight.  NC State is a woeful 15-27 ATS in ACC Conference games off an upset conference win, including 7-23 ATS if it owned a winning record.  Lay the points with Miami-Fla.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Washington.  The Trojans have lost their last six games ATS, while Washington is 0-3-1 ATS its last four, so something has to give tonight.  It's hard to pass up the Trojans as a home underdog, and especially when getting a field goal or more, as USC is 16-7 ATS as a home dog of +3 (or more) points, including 7-1 ATS when it failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game.  Take USC.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Georgia Southern.  The Eagles are in 2nd place in the Sun Belt East division with a 3-1 record following a 44-27 blowout of Georgia State last week.  Meanwhile, the Bobcats have won just two of four conference games this season, and lost by 18 at home to Troy last week.  We'll take Texas State as a home favorite, as NCAA favorites (or PK) have covered 62% of conference games since 1980 if they did NOT have a winning conference record, and were off a SU/ATS loss, and were playing a foe off a SU/ATS win which had a .750 (or better) conference record.  Lay the points with the Bobcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Nevada.  The Rainbows are 2-7 ATS this season, including 0-4 SU/ATS their last six.  Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Rainbows.  But consider that NCAA teams have covered 56% the last 41 years when they were on 4-game SU/ATS losing streaks, and their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins, including 63% when our 'play-on' team wasn't getting 7+ points.  Take Hawaii.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over East Carolina.  Tulane stumbled out of the gate by losing to Ole Miss, but has reeled off six straight wins.  The Green Wave will try to make it seven-in-a-row this afternoon, in Greenville, against a Pirates team riding a 4-game losing streak (and a team which is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS vs. FBS schools).  Tulane is a solid 24-10 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Iowa.  The Hawkeyes were upset last week, 12-10, by Minnesota, while the Wildcats pulled off an upset win vs. Maryland, 33-27, as a 14.5-point underdog.  We'll take Northwestern to win its second straight (and cover its 3rd straight), as it is 42-22 ATS as a single-digit underdog vs. foes off a loss.  Grab the points with the Wildcats.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Oklahoma.  I love playing on Home Dogs that can score, and Okie State certainly fits the bill.  The Cowboys have tallied 39, 48 and 45 in their last three games.  We'll grab the points with Oklahoma State, as home dogs of +5 (or more) points have gone 34-14 ATS as home dogs of +5 (or more) points.  Take the Cowboys.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Florida State.  The Seminoles are 8-0 and ranked 4th in the country, while Pitt is 2-6 SU/ATS, including back to back SU/ATS losses at Wake Forest and at Notre Dame.  But the last time an undefeated team came calling and played Pitt here, on campus, was just three weeks ago, when the 6-0 Louisville Cardinals were handed their first loss of the season, 38-21, as a 7-point road favorite.  Pitt is understandably getting more points than that today, and we'll happily take the Panthers + the more than 3 touchdowns, as they fall into a 76.8% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. undefeated foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, Pitt is 21-11 ATS as a home dog of +3 (or more) points vs. conference foes.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Penn State.  The Maryland Terrapins will be looking to bounce back from last week's upset loss at Northwestern.  And they'll also be seeking revenge, as they were whitewashed, 30-0, by Penn State.  We'll take the points with the revenge-minded Terps, as Big 10 teams have gone 36-16 ATS when playing with shutout revenge, and installed as an underdog of less than 20 points.  Even better:  the Terrapins are 21-11 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas St Red Wolves + the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Rajin' Cajuns pulled off a big upset last week, as a 12-point road underdog, when they went into Mobile, and upset the South Alabama Jaguars, 33-20.  Unfortunately, teams off upset road wins as 12-point (or greater) underdogs have covered the next week just 38% since 1980, if they were on the road vs. an opponent off a win.  With Arkansas State, indeed, off a win last week, we'll grab the points with Butch Jones' men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over Notre Dame.  The Tigers have been installed as a home underdog vs. the Irish, and I'll happily take the points.  Indeed, it's hard to pass up Clemson as a home underdog (or PK), as it's gone 26-14 ATS in that role, including 9-2 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  Even better:  the Irish come into Death Valley off back to back blowout home wins over USC (48-20) and Pittsburgh (58-7).  But Notre Dame is a nasty 1-13 ATS after back to back home wins by more than 10 points.  Take Clemson + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Blue Devils will be thrilled to see Wake Forest in Durham tonight, as three of Duke's last four opponents are currently ranked among the nation's Top 20 (Notre Dame (#12), Florida State (#4), Louisville (#15)).  Not surprisingly, the Blue Devils lost all three games.  But Wake Forest is not an elite team, as the Demon Deacons are 1-4 in ACC Conference play.  And the Deacons are especially horrible against the pass, as they give up 256.5 passing yards per game (rank #112 of 130 in country, and dead last in the ACC).  So this will be a big step-down in class for Duke.  And when Duke's been installed as a favorite vs. an FBS (Division 1) school, it's gone 3-0 SU/ATS this season, and 8-2 ATS its last 10.  Duke is also 9-0 SU/ATS its last nine as a home favorite of more than 10 points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over UNLV.  Both teams are 6-1 on the season, but Fresno is looking up at UNLV in the Mountain West standings, since Fresno's loss came in conference play, while UNLV lost at Michigan.  We'll lay the points with the home team, as road underdogs of +6 (or more) points that are undefeated in conference play have cashed just 43% since 1980 vs. conference foes that had lost at least one conference game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Oklahoma State.  The Bearcats are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak while Oklahoma State has won and covered its last three.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Cowboys at home, in Stillwater.  But be careful, as teams on 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have been solid on the road vs. conference foes off SU/ATS wins, as they've covered 57.2% since 1980.  Even better:  since 1980, the Bearcats have covered 71% off back to back losses when playing a conference foe off back to back wins.  We'll grab the points with the Bearcats.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes had a big win last week in their showdown with Penn State.  Both teams entered with 6-0 records, and the Buckeyes won, 20-12, as a 4-point favorite.  But I expect a bit of a letdown in Madison, on Saturday, as undefeated teams have only covered 22% on the road the past 44 seasons (at Game 8 forward) following a win against another undefeated team, if our play-against team (here, Ohio State) wasn't favored by more than 4 points in its prior game.  Wisconsin is an awesome 18-3 ATS when getting more than 6 points from an undefeated team, including 9-0 ATS at home, or on a neutral field.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Warhawks come into this game on a 5-game losing streak.  But they've played well in defeat, lately, as they covered their last two games by 17.5 and 6.5 points.  They'll now welcome a Red Wolves squad which defeated it, 45-28, last season, but is off back to back blowout SU/ATS losses.  I look for Monroe to snap its long losing streak, as revenge-minded teams, on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks, have gone 59-34 ATS when they weren't getting more than 5 points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Rice.  The Green Wave have been road warriors of late, as they have now covered 10 straight away from New Orleans.  I won't step in front of this freight train.  And especially not with an Owls team which has covered just 7 of 24 as a double-digit home underdog.  Rice also falls into a negative 111-208 ATS system of mine which fades certain underdogs off upset wins.  Lay the points with Tulane.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over BYU.  The last two times these teams met, the Cougars were underdogs, but hammered the Longhorns by scores of 41-7 and 40-21.  I expect Texas to remember those upset losses, and exact a measure of revenge on Saturday afternoon, as NCAA favorites of 14 or more points have cashed 74% when they lost the two prior meetings (and weren't underdogs in those two losses).  Even better:  Texas has lost its last 2 games to the spread.  But it's cashed 72.2% as favorites of -14 (or more) points off back to back ATS losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Oregon.  The Utah Utes had an impressive win last week at USC, as they won, 34-32, as a 7-point road underdog.  It was the first time a team had scored more than 21 points on the defensive-minded Utes, who are giving up just 15 ppg on the season.  They now return home to take on the high-octane Ducks, who are averaging 47 ppg.  In match-ups between offensive-minded teams and defensive juggernauts, I tend to side with the defense -- and especially if installed as an underdog.  We'll play on the Utes as a home underdog, as NCAA home dogs of +4 (or more) points have covered 78% since 1980 (at Game 5 forward) if they gave up 15 ppg (or less) on defense, and their opponent averaged 45+ points on offense.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers come into this road game off back to back wins over William & Mary and North Carolina (as a 24-point underdog!).  Unfortunately, Virginia is a woeful 9-25 ATS on the road off back to back wins.  Take Miami.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Clemson.  We played against the Tigers last Saturday at Miami, and will go against them on the road again, in Raleigh.  The Wolfpack lost their previous game, 24-3, at Duke, and play this game with revenge from a 10-point loss at Clemson last season.  The Tigers are a horrible 15-38-1 ATS away from home when playing a revenge-minded foe off a straight-up loss.  Take NC State.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Central Florida.  The Knights played well last week at Oklahoma, and covered the 17-point spread in defeat.  But now UCF has been installed as a big favorite vs. West Virginia, and the Knights have mightily struggled as a conference favorite of more than 3 points, going 4-19 ATS, including 0-9 ATS if UCF was off a straight-up loss.  Additionally, the Knights fall into a negative 62-125 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams off losses.  Grab the points with WVU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners are riding high with an undefeated, 7-0 record, but have to travel to Lawrence to take on the rested Jayhawks, who had last week off to prepare for this game.  The Jayhawks are a solid 5-2 this season (including 2-2 in Big 12 play), and will be in a prime spot to pull the outright upset.  We'll grab the points, as rested home dogs of more than 7 points, with a .500 (or better) conference win percentage, have cashed 67.7% vs. undefeated conference foes.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls minus the points over Charlotte.  The 49ers pulled off a nice upset on the road last week, when they went into East Carolina, and shocked the Pirates, 10-7, as a 6-point road underdog.  And that moved Charlotte's road ATS record to 4-0 this season (and 6-0-1 ATS their last seven, dating back to last season).  Unfortunately, the 49ers have burned $$$ at home, as they've gone 0-3 ATS this year (and 1-9 ATS their last 10).  Florida Atlantic, meanwhile, laid an egg last week, as they were blown out, 36-10, by Texas-San Antonio.  But that blowout loss has triggered a very good 84-37 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off losses by 21+ points.  Lay the points with Florida Atlantic.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles over the Georgia State Panthers.  The Eagles come into this home game vs. Sun Belt rival, Georgia State, off back to back ATS losses, while the Panthers enter off back to back ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Panthers.  But be careful, as Sun Belt home teams have covered 70% off back to back ATS losses vs. foes off back to back ATS wins, provided our home team wasn't getting 3+ points.  Additionally, the Eagles are 21-9 ATS at home, including 9-0 ATS their last nine when priced from +2.5 to -9.5.  Take Georgia Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Jacksonville State.  The Gamecocks upset Western Kentucky, 20-17, as a 7.5-point home underdog last week.  They're now installed as a road favorite.  I'm not a big fan of playing on road favorites following an upset win as a home underdog, and especially not when they're matched up against a .500 (or better) foe, as they've cashed just 41.5% the past 44 years.  Even worse for the Gamecocks:  Conference USA favorites have cashed just 26% away from home the past 23 years following an upset win as an underdog of more than 7 points.  Grab the points with the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Liberty.  The Flames are 7-0 straight-up, including 3-0 in Conference USA play.  But Western Kentucky will be difficult to defeat in Bowling Green.  The Hilltoppers are 40-16 SU and 30-18 ATS at home over the past 10 seasons, including 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.  Admittedly, Western Kentucky played poorly last Tuesday, and lost outright to Jacksonville State, 20-17, as a 7.5-point road favorite.  But the Hilltoppers are an awesome 11-0 ATS as an underdog, priced from +3.5 to +9 points, off a straight-up loss.  And they're 9-2 ATS at home following 2+ road games.  Finally, Liberty falls into a negative 64-110 ATS system of mine which fades certain undefeated teams.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal came back from a 29-0 deficit to stun the Colorado Buffaloes, 46-43, as a 13.5-point underdog, in double-overtime last Saturday.  But off that huge upset win, we'll fade Stanford on Saturday night vs. UCLA.  The Cardinal are a wallet-breaking 1-8 ATS as a home underdog of more than 14 points, while UCLA is a reliable 14-6 ATS as a double-digit road favorite.  Even worse:  double-digit home underdogs have covered just 37.2 percent of conference games since 1980 off outright wins as a double-digit conference road underdog.  Take UCLA minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Clemson.  The 'Canes have had a tough couple of weeks.  First, they lost to Georgia Tech when their head coach, Mario Cristobal inexplicably ran a rushing play rather than kneeling down to end the game.  Miami fumbled.  Then Georgia Tech won miraculously on the game's final play.  Last week, the Hurricanes were competitive in defeat, and fell, 41-31, to the undefeated North Carolina Tar Heels.  This week, Miami is back home, and is an underdog vs. Clemson.  Miami is a super 18-4 ATS as an underdog of +10 (or less) points, if it was off a loss, and its opponent was off a win (and 6-0 ATS if Miami was off back to back losses).  Take the Hurricanes + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Kansas State.  The Horned Frogs blew out BYU, 44-11, last week, as a 4.5-point favorite, for their best win of the season.  Now, they'll take on Kansas State, and the Frogs have had this game circled on their calendar for months.  When these two teams last met, Kansas State handed the Horned Frogs their first loss of the season when the Wildcats won, 31-28, in overtime, in the Big 12 Title game.  When playing with revenge, TCU is a solid 31-20 ATS as a road underdog, as well as 13-4 ATS off a win by more than 30 points.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Colorado State.  The Rebels are on a roll, as they've covered the spread in every game this season.  And outside of their road game against #2-ranked Michigan, they've scored 40+ points in every game this season.  That bodes well for UNLV, as home teams have covered 56.2% since 1980, if they were off 3 blowout wins by 17+ points, in which they scored 40+, and covered by 10+ points.  The Rebels should have no problem scoring on Colorado State, which ranks 127th of 130 teams in Total defense, giving up 462.7 yards per game.  Colorado State has also given up 40+ points in three of its five FBS games this season, and are also a poor 3-8 ATS on the road off a win.  Take UNLV.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Spartans minus the points over Utah State.  The Aggies had their 2-game win streak snapped by Fresno St last week, and are now 3-4 on the season.  Today, they'll travel to San Jose, and face a Spartans team looking for its first win in the series since 2008.  San Jose should, however, be confident, as it comes into this game off its first FBS win this season.  And it was impressive, as it went into New Mexico, and blew out the Lobos, 52-24, as a 6-point road favorite.  That bodes well for San Jose tonight, as single-digit home favorites have covered 58% of conference games off a road conference blowout by 28+ points, provided they covered the spread in that blowout by 21+ points.  Even better:  the Aggies are a soft 2-16 SU and 7-11 ATS when installed as a road underdog vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Finally, the Spartans are 21-3 SU and 17-6 ATS as a favorite off a straight-up win, if they are playing an opponent off a loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Miami-Ohio.  Both of these teams enter on 6-game win streaks, and this game could be a preview of the MAC Title game in December.  We played (and won) on Miami-Ohio three times this season, including each of the past 2 weeks.  But will switch gears this Saturday, and go against the RedHawks.  Last week, Toledo escaped Muncie, Indiana with a 13-6 victory over Ball State.  The good news for Toledo is that MAC Conference road favorites have gone 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS in conference games after scoring less than 14 points.  Take Toledo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Illinois.  The Illini have been installed as a short home underdog.  Unfortunately, they're 17-53-3 ATS at home when priced from +3 to -12.5 points.  And they're 20-52-1 ATS at home when playing an opponent off a straight-up loss.  With Wisconsin in off a 15-6 defeat at the hands of Iowa, we'll lay the points with the Badgers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Tennessee.  The Volunteers upset Nick Saban's men last season in a thriller, 52-49, as a 9-point home underdog.  But we'll lay the points with 'Bama on Saturday, as Nick Saban's teams have gone 27-11 ATS in conference games when playing with revenge from a loss suffered when he was head coach.  Additionally, Alabama is 45-25 ATS following a win, in which it lost against the spread.  With Alabama in off a 24-21 victory as a 19-point favorite vs. Arkansas, we'll take the Crimson Tide on Saturday afternoon.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Air Force.  The Midshipmen shut out Charlotte, 14-0, on the road in their last game.  And NCAA teams off road shutout wins the previous week have gone 177-120 ATS in the regular season, including 53-30-2 ATS as an underdog.  Navy has also covered 16 of the last 21 times it was an underdog vs. Air Force.  We'll go with the underdog Midshipmen.  Take Navy + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Arkansas.  The Razorbacks have lost their last five games, and now return home to take on Mississippi State, which won, 41-28, over Western Michigan in its last game (but failed to cover the 21.5-point spread).  We'll go against Arkansas, as SEC Conference favorites of -20 points or less (or PK) are a dreary 188-270-3 ATS (41 percent) at home off a straight-up loss.  Even worse:  if their opponent failed to cover the spread by more than a touchdown in its previous game, then our 270-188 stat zooms to 94-51-1 ATS (65 percent).  Take the Bulldogs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Georgia Tech.  BC upset Army, 27-24, as a 2.5-point road underdog in its last game, while Georgia Tech shocked Miami, 23-20, as a 19-point dog.  The Eagles are 25-14 ATS their last 39 as an underdog vs. ACC Conference foes.  Meanwhile, Georgia Tech is now 9-2 its last 11 as an underdog, but 0-10 ATS its last 10 as a favorite vs. FBS (Division 1) schools.  Take Boston College + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes come into this game with an undefeated 6-0 record, but I like Marshall to hand them their first defeat of the season.  Marshall will be looking to redeem itself after two road losses at NC State (48-41) and Georgia St (41-24).  And the Herd are 12-3-1 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss when not favored by more than 3 points.  Even better:  Sun Belt conference underdogs (or PK) are a solid 87-59 ATS in conference games off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And undefeated teams, off back to back ATS wins, with a 5-0 (or better) record, have covered just 14% as home favorites of less than 25 points vs. conference foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Marshall + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane come into this American Athletic Conference game off a loss, 20-17, at Florida Atlantic.  Unfortunately, they're a horrid 9-43-2 ATS at home off a loss, when matched up against a non-winning team, and not favored by 17+ points.  That doesn't bode well for Tulsa.  Nor does the fact that Rice is also off a SU/ATS loss, 38-31, vs. UConn.  And the Owls are 62-45 ATS in conference games off a SU/ATS conference defeat.  Take Rice + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Duke.  The Blue Devils come into this game off a SU/ATS home loss to Notre Dame two weeks ago.  That lowered Duke's record to 4-1 on the season.  And it's also undefeated in ACC Conference play.  We'll play against Duke on Saturday night, as ACC teams off a loss have not fared well as favorites vs. Conference foes that have a worse conference record, as well as a worse record, overall.  Even worse:  Duke has covered just 16 of 50 as a favorite off a straight-up loss.  Take NC State + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over UAB.  The Blazers blew out South Florida, 56-35, as a 3.5-point home underdog last Saturday.  Unfortunately, UAB is a miserable 0-7 ATS off a win, and 20-40 ATS after scoring 34+ points.  Take Texas-San Antonio minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Kansas State. We played on the Red Raiders last week, and they rewarded us with a blowout win, 39-14, at Baylor.  That triumph moved Texas Tech's record to 3-3, and it was the Red Raiders' second straight win by more than 20 points.  We'll take Texas Tech to continue its win streak on Saturday, as it's a powerful 38-11-2 ATS at home when it didn't own a winning record.  Lay the opoints.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Air Force Falcons minus the points over Wyoming.  This is a big revenge game for Air Force, which lost, 17-14, at Wyoming last season as a 16.5-point favorite.  Last Saturday, the Cowboys pulled off a big upset last week when they defeated the then-unbeaten Fresno State Bulldogs, 24-19.  Unfortunately, teams off upset wins over undefeated foes have burned money in their following game, and especially on the road against revenge-minded foes.  We'll lay the points with Air Force.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd over Georgia State.  The Panthers were upset, 28-7, here at home by Troy in their previous game.  We'll grab the points with Marshall, as it's cashed 67% as an underdog (or PK) vs. foes off a loss, while the Panthers have covered just 13 of 32 at home off a SU loss.  Take Marshall.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats lost in Overtime last week, 43-41, to #10-ranked Southern Cal.  They now have to dust themselves off that difficult loss, and travel to Pullman to play the #19-ranked Cougars.  I generally don't like playing on teams off such heartbreaking losses, and I won't make an exception here.  And especially given how poorly the Wildcats have played off an ATS win away from home vs. winning foes when the Wildcats were an underdog of less than 20 points.  Since 2009, they're 0-16 ATS.  Finally, Washington State is a perfect 9-0 ATS at home off a loss when not getting more than 2 points.  Take the Cougars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Louisville.  We had a huge play on the Cardinals last week, and were rewarded with an upset victory over Notre Dame, as a 6.5-point home underdog.  But off that big upset win, we'll fade the Cards as a favorite vs. Pitt.  Since 1980, teams off upset wins over Notre Dame have gone 20-37-3 ATS, including 6-21-1 ATS when favored by less than 17 points (or PK).  And the Cardinals are a wallet-busting 5-24-1 ATS away from home off back to back wins, if they were matched up against a foe not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Pittsburgh + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Oregon.  Both of these teams come into this huge Pac-12 Conference game with 5-0 records.  And the Ducks are also 5-0 ATS, to boot.  We'll go against Oregon, as Pac-12 road underdogs, with a 2-0 (or better) record inside the conference, have covered just 32.3% since 1980 vs. Pac-12 foes with a winning conference record.  The Huskies are an awesome 25-10 ATS when priced from -2 to -8.5 points.  And Washington also falls into 72-26 and 60-23 ATS systems of mine that play on certain home teams with win percentages > .750.  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Western Michigan.  We played on the RedHawks last week at home vs. Bowling Green, and Miami shut out the Falcons, 27-0.  That was Miami's 5th straight win and cover, and 2nd straight game where it kept its opponent out of the end zone.  Today, Miami will travel to Kalamazoo to take on the Broncos.  And Miami will be looking to snap an 8-game losing streak in the series.  I like the RedHawks to blow out Western Michigan, as the Broncos are a brutal 6-22-3 ATS as a home underdog, including 0-5 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, and 0-12-1 ATS vs. foes off wins by 20+ points.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Kansas.  The Jayhawks pulled off an upset last week, at home, vs. Central Florida.  Kansas was a 2-point underdog vs. the Knights, and won, 51-22.  The Jayhawks are favored here, in Stillwater, vs. the 3-2 Cowboys.  And we'll fade Kansas, as it's a wallet-busting 32-65-2 ATS on the road vs. foes that don't have a losing record.  Grab the points with Oklahoma St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies have, for a long time, under-performed away from College Station.  And especially when matched up against the better teams.  Since 1980, the Aggies are an awful 27-67 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. .636 (or better) foes.  That doesn't bode well for Jimbo Fisher's men.  Nor does the fact that the Volunteers had last week off to rest and prepare for this big SEC game, given that A&M is just 5-20 ATS on the road vs. rested foes, including 0-11 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit win.  Lay the points with Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies + the points over Fresno State.  The Bulldogs had won 14 straight games (dating back to last season) before last week's upset road loss at the hands of the Wyoming Cowboys.  Fresno will try to avoid losing for the 2nd straight week, but I don't think it will succeed.  The Bulldogs' starting QB, Mikey Keene, sustained an injury in last week's game, and will likely give way to backup Logan Fife for this game.  Keene has been brilliant this season, as he's thrown for 1,692 yards and 15 TDs, with just four interceptions.  Fife was 7-for-11 vs. Wyoming, but threw a costly interception late in the game.  And he's had a high turnover rate, as last season, he was 84-for-120 with 2 TDs but 6 Interceptions.  Take Utah State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Tulane.  The Tigers and Green Wave are both 4-1 on the season.  Each won its previous game two weeks ago, as Tulane downed UAB, 35-23, while Memphis bested Boise St., 35-32.  Memphis has been installed as a home underdog, and the Tigers fall into 80-37 and 79-27 ATS systems of mine that play on certain rested teams at home.  Additionally, Tulane has covered just 20% of its conference road games vs. rested foes over the past 44 seasons.  Take Memphis + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars + the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers pulled off a major upset in their previous game, when they won outright, 24-21, as a 13-point road underdog at TCU.  But off that huge win, we'll fade WVU tonight, as road favorites with a winning record have cashed just 31% over the last 44 seasons following an upset road win as a double-digit dog, if their current opponent was off a straight-up loss.  With Houston in off a 49-28 loss at Texas Tech, we'll grab the points with the Cougars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats almost pulled off a big upset last week, but they lost by 7 vs. Washington, as a 19-point home underdog.  We'll fade the Wildcats as they're a wallet-breaking 0-17 ATS away from home vs. .500 (or better) foes, if Arizona was not favored by 6 (or more) points, and off an ATS win.  Take USC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders over Baylor.  The Bears pulled off a huge upset last Saturday at Central Florida, when they knocked off the Knights, 36-35, as an 8-point road underdog.  Unfortunately, Baylor is a brutal 0-8 ATS at home off an upset win.  Take the Red Raiders.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over TCU.  The Horned Frogs were upset last week, 24-21, at home as a 13-point favorite.  And now, they've been installed as a road favorite vs. the Cyclones.  I don't like backing road favorites (like TCU) off big upset losses and will fade the Frogs tonight, in Ames.  The Cyclones check in off a 30-point loss at Oklahoma, and also play this game with revenge from a 48-point loss at TCU last season.  That was Iowa State's biggest loss in 8 seasons, and Big 12 Conference home underdogs have cashed 69% since 1991, if they were playing with revenge from a 47-point (or worse) defeat.  Grab the points with the Cyclones.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Notre Dame.  This is the 3rd straight week that the Irish will be playing an undefeated team, and they've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 6-0 Cardinals.  Last week, the Irish were exceptionally fortunate to escape with a victory against Duke.  But I don't think they will leave Louisville with a 'W' on Saturday night.  Notre Dame has covered just 36% as a road favorite vs. undefeated teams dating back to 1980.  And the Cardinals are an awesome 9-0 ATS as a regular season underdog vs. .800 (or better) non-conference foes.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Arkansas.  Last year, Ole Miss lost at Arkansas, 42-27.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Rebels, as Arkansas is an awful 0-9 ATS when priced from +10 to +13.5 points vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Take Mississippi.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Kentucky.  The Bulldogs will welcome the 5-0 Wildcats to Athens on Saturday evening.  Georgia's won the last 13 games in this series, and is 12-8-1 ATS at home vs. Kentucky, including 7-1 ATS if the Bulldogs entered the game off a point spread defeat.  Last week, the Bulldogs failed to cover against Auburn.  But I love them to bounce back in a big way here, at home, as Georgia is 28-15-1 ATS at home off an ATS loss when priced from -10 to -28 points.  And undefeated SEC Conference teams have cashed 61% in conference games as a favorite off an ATS defeat.  Lay the points with the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles minus the points over Old Dominion.  The Golden Eagles lost here, at home, to Texas State, 50-36, last Saturday, and come into this game off 4 straight ATS defeats.  And those point spread failures have kept a lid on this number, to the point that there's value on the Golden Eagles.  Sun Belt Conference teams off 3 ATS losses have gone 34-13 ATS if they were off a double-digit loss.  And the Golden Eagles have covered 67% since 1980 as a home favorite off a SU conference loss at home the previous week.  We'll lay the points with Southern Mississippi.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies snapped their 3-game losing streak with an upset win over Pittsburgh last week.  But off that big win, we'll fade Virginia Tech in Tallahassee on Saturday.  Va Tech is a miserable 1-12 ATS their last 13 off a win, including 0-7 ATS on the road.  Lay the points with Florida State.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies + the points over Alabama.  Last season, the Crimson Tide edged the Aggies, 24-20, as a 24.5-point favorite.  The number is considerably less this year, and we'll take the homestanding Aggies + the points, as they're 20-7 ATS at home when playing with revenge against an opponent off a win, if the Aggies weren't laying 3 or more points.  Meanwhile, Alabama is a soft 6-13 ATS when not laying 7+ points, if the Crimson Tide weren't off a loss, or playing with revenge.  Take Texas A/M + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips +the points over Northern Illinois.  The Zips lost starting QB DJ Irons last week, late in the 4th quarter, and went on to lose at Buffalo, in overtime, 13-10.  Sixth-year senior, Jeff Undercuffler, Jr., took over under center for Irons, and he has experience as a starting QB.  Indeed, last year, he started against this Huskies squad, and led the Zips to a 44-12 blowout win.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as Northern Illinois is 0-11 ATS when priced from -2.5 to -10 points, and 0-12-1 ATS off a road point spread win, when the line in its current game was 14 points or less.  Take Akron.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons pulled off a major upset last week when they went into Georgia Tech and stunned the Yellow Jackets, 38-27, as a 21-point underdog.  Unfortunately, conference underdogs off a road win over a non-conference foe, as a 14.5-point (or greater) underdog, have covered just 28% since 1980, including 0-14 ATS their last 14 when priced from +3.5 to +16.  Lay the points with Miami-Ohio.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Washington State.  The Cougars pulled off an upset in their previous game when they toppled Oregon State, 38-35.  Meanwhile, the Bruins come into this game off a 14-7 loss to Utah.  We'll fade Wazzu at UCLA, as the Bruins have cashed 79% since 1980 vs. conference foes that were in off a home upset win over a fellow Pac-12 Conference foe.  Even better:  Pac-12 teams have covered 61.3% since 1980 after failing to score 10+ points in defeat, if they were matched up in their current game against an opponent off a straight-up win.  Take UCLA minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Maryland.  The Buckeyes had a dreadful offensive game vs. the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, as they were held scoreless in the 2nd half until they scored the game-winning touchdown with 1 second left, to prevail, 17-14.  I look for the Buckeyes to erupt on offense on Saturday, as they're 42-14 ATS in Big 10 Conference games after scoring less than 25 points in their previous game.  This will be a roast.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Texas.  The Sooners play this game with MAJOR revenge, as the Longhorns blanked them, 49-0, last year.  Needless to say, Oklahoma will be out for blood on Saturday.  And I think it will get its revenge.  The Sooners have cashed 88% away from home in the regular season when playing with revenge against a .571 (or better) foe.  And NCAA teams playing with revenge from a 45-point (or worse) shutout loss have covered 64.8% since 1980 when not getting more than 20 points.  Take the Sooners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils + the points over Notre Dame.  The Dukies are 11-4 SU and 12-3 ATS under 2nd year coach, Mike Elko, including 7-0 ATS their last seven.  On Saturday, Elko will match up against the team for which he served as defensive coordinator in 2017.  Duke comes into this game with a 4-0 record, and is outscoring its opposition by 28.5 ppg.  Notre Dame suffered a horrible loss last Saturday night at South Bend, when they gave up a touchdown to Ohio State with 1 second left in the game.  The Irish are a soft 61-81-2 ATS off a loss, and 3-8 ATS as road favorites vs. .857 (or better) foes.  That doesn't bode well for Notre Dame.  Nor does the fact that home dogs of more than 3 points, with scoring margins greater than 28 points, have covered 63 percent of non-conference games over the past 44 seasons.  Take Duke + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles + the points over Texas State.  The Bobcats come into this game off a 35-24 home win vs. Nevada.  Unfortunately, Texas State is a terrible 5-24 SU and 9-19-1 ATS off a win.  Meanwhile, the Golden Eagles suffered an upset loss, 44-37, at Arkansas State.  But they've cashed 73% in Hattiesburg the last 42 years off an upset loss vs. a foe off a win.  Grab the points with Southern Miss.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Georgia Southern.  Coastal Carolina was upset, 30-17, by Georgia State, in Conway, last Saturday.  But off that upset loss, we'll take the home dog, as Sun Belt Conference home favorites have gone 10-27-1 ATS vs. foes off upset losses.  Additionally, Georgia Southern is a poor 1-9 ATS its last 10 vs. foes off upset defeats.  Take Coastal Carolina + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Auburn.  The Bulldogs have been installed as a double-digit road favorite at Auburn, and we'll lay the points with Kirby Smart's men, as it falls into Georgia's best point spread range.  The Bulldogs are an eye-popping 29-1 straight-up, and 24-6 ATS when priced from -7 to -20 points, including 10-0 SU/ATS their last 10.  Additionally, Georgia is 66-39 ATS on the road vs. winning foes, and 11-2 ATS its last 13 vs. Auburn (including 6-0 ATS since Dec 2017).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen over Arkansas State.  UMass opened its 2023 season with an upset win at New Mexico State, but has dropped its last four games to fall to 1-4.  They'll welcome the Red Wolves to Amherst, and we'll take Don Brown's men on Saturday afternoon to snap their losing streak.  Arkansas State upset Southern Miss, 44-37, as a 7-point home dog last week, and it's a dreadful 1-9 SU and 2-7-1 ATS on the road off an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) underdog.  Moreover, that Red Wolves victory has triggered a negative 54-101 ATS system of mine which goes against Arkansas State this week.  Take UMass.