|
01-19-26 |
Miami-FL +7.5 v. Indiana |
Top |
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Indiana. This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium, so the 'Canes will have a home field advantage. Indiana annihilated Alabama and Oregon by an aggregate score of 94-25 to reach this title game. But off those two big wins -- where they covered the point spread by 27.5 and 31 points -- we'll fade the Hoosiers as a road favorite. Indeed, undefeated teams, with a 6-0 (or better) record, have cashed just 33% on the road after a point spread win by 25+ points. Likewise, .850 (or better) teams have cashed just 17.3% over the last 40 years after back to back covers by more than 24 points (at game 5 forward). Finally, the Hurricanes have a very strong defense, and give up just 14 ppg. Over the last 45 seasons, NCAA teams that allow less than 14.8 ppg, have gone 75-48 ATS in the Bowls when installed as an underdog, including 11-1 ATS vs. foes off a point spread win by 23+ points. We'll grab the points with the defensive underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
01-09-26 |
Oregon +3.5 v. Indiana |
Top |
22-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
60 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks + the points over Indiana. The Hoosiers blew out Alabama, 38-3, last week, and are 14-0 this season, with one of their wins against this Ducks squad. That earlier meeting was back in October, and Indiana prevailed, 30-20, as a 7-point road underdog in Eugene. The Hoosiers are a perfect 10-0 vs. Big 10 foes this season, but I expect that streak to come to an end here, in Atlanta. Indeed, NCAA teams off a cover by 8+ points, are a poor 37-84-4 ATS away from home vs. conference foes if they were not favored by 7, and owned a 4-0 (or better) record in conference games. Even worse: if their opponent was playing with revenge, they've covered just 12 of 52, including 0-7-1 ATS since 2021. The Ducks are 34-16 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe at home, or on a neutral field. Take Oregon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
01-02-26 |
Arizona v. SMU +2 |
Top |
19-24 |
Win
|
100 |
36 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Arizona. The Mustangs rate better in both offensive and defensive yards per rush than the Wildcats. And underdogs have been profitable in the post-season if they rated better in each of those categories, and also had a relative YPR differential of at least 1.0 YPR. SMU did stumble in its last regular season game, with a 38-35 loss at California as a 13.5-point road favorite. But SMU is 7-0 ATS its last seven games off an upset loss, provided that game was played at home, or on a neutral field. And NCAA teams have gone 14-0-1 ATS in the post-season off an upset loss as a favorite of 8+ points, if they were priced from -4 to +8.5 in the current game. Take SMU + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
01-01-26 |
Ole Miss +6.5 v. Georgia |
Top |
39-34 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Georgia. The Bulldogs won the season's first meeting between these SEC Conference rivals, 43-35. We'll take Ole Miss in Round 2, as it's 27-10 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog when it owned a winning SU/ATS record. Even better: NCAA revenge-minded teams are 26-10 ATS in a season's 2nd meeting, provided it wasn't played on its opponent's field, including 19-3 ATS if it lost that prior meeting by 10 points or less. In its October loss at Georgia, Ole Miss scored on each of its first five possessions, and was up 35-26 heading into the 4th quarter. But the Bulldogs finished the game on a 17-0 run. I like Mississippi to finish the job tonight. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-31-25 |
Miami-FL v. Ohio State -9.5 |
Top |
24-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Miami. The Buckeyes will look to bounce back from their Big 10 Championship loss to Indiana. I believe they will, as defending champs have gone 20-2-1 ATS their last 23 off an upset loss if they were currently matched up against an opponent off a SU win. Lay the points with Ohio State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-31-25 |
Nebraska +14.5 v. Utah |
Top |
22-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Utah. The Huskers have been installed as a huge underdog in this Las Vegas Bowl game. It's generally not a good idea to lay a lot of points in Bowl games, as underdogs of 11 (or more) points have gone 68-49-1 ATS in the Bowls when playing at home, or on a neutral field. Take Nebraska.
|
|
12-31-25 |
Michigan +7 v. Texas |
Top |
27-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Texas. The Longhorns defeated Michigan last season, so the Wolves play this game with revenge. Texas is a terrible 1-8 ATS vs. revenge-minded non-conference foes when Texas was priced as a favorite of 13 or less points. Take Michigan.
|
|
12-31-25 |
Arizona State +3 v. Duke |
Top |
39-42 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Duke. The Blue Devils have won and covered their last three games. But ACC teams are a dreadful 17-43-2 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins. Take Arizona State.
|
|
12-31-25 |
Iowa +3.5 v. Vanderbilt |
Top |
34-27 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Vanderbilt. The Commodores come into this game off 3 straight wins. But SEC Conference teams have gone 5-14 ATS in the Bowls off a win, if they were priced from -3 to -7 points. Take Iowa.
|
|
12-30-25 |
Tennessee -3.5 v. Illinois |
Top |
28-30 |
Loss |
-104 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Illinois. The Volunteers were 8-4 this season, but just 3-6 ATS, including a 45-24 blowout loss at the hands of rival Vanderbilt to end their 2025 campaign. We'll lay the points with the Vols as favorites of -3 (or more) points have cashed 61.8% in the Bowls off a loss by 20+ points. Take Tennessee.
|
|
12-30-25 |
Coastal Carolina +10.5 v. Louisiana Tech |
Top |
14-23 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Louisiana Tech. The Chanticleers were crushed, 59-10, by James Madison to end their season. But I like them to rebound here, in this Independence Bowl game, as NCAA teams have gone 8-0 ATS the last 15 post-seasons (and 15-4 ATS since 1980) off a loss by 45+ points. Take Coastal Carolina.
|
|
12-29-25 |
Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State +9 |
Top |
29-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian State Mountaineers + the points over Georgia Southern. The Mountaineers' scoring defense rates 4.33 ppg better than that of the Eagles, who are giving up 34.1 ppg. And Georgia Southern's scoring defense was the worst of any of the 64 teams playing in the post-season this year. I don't like laying points with bad defensive teams in the Bowls. Indeed, Bowl favorites (or PK) that surrender 30 (or more) ppg have covered just 36% since 1990 if they also had a worse scoring defense than their opponent. Take Appalachian St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-27-25 |
LSU v. Houston |
Top |
35-38 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars over LSU. The Tigers have a poor ground game, and only average 3.4 ypr. I don't mind playing on such teams in Bowl games if they're getting 5+ points. But when not getting 5+ points, Bowl teams with poor ground games cover just 38.5%. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-27-25 |
Virginia +4 v. Missouri |
Top |
13-7 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers plus the points over Missouri. The Cavaliers stumbled in the ACC Championship game, as they were upset by Duke, 27-20, as a 3.5-point favorite. We'll take UVA to bounce back, as it's 76-55-2 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss, including 20-9-1 ATS if off an upset loss. And SEC Conference teams are a soft 5-13-1 ATS in the Bowls off a SU win, if priced from -3 to -7 points. Take Virginia.
|
|
12-27-25 |
North Texas v. San Diego State +6.5 |
Top |
49-47 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over North Texas. The Aztecs' defense is giving up just 12.58 ppg, which is 12.33 ppg less than the Mean Green's defense. I like playing on underdogs in Bowl games with a scoring defense at least 7.5 ppg better than their foe. Since 1990, they've cashed 60%. Take the Aztecs + the points.
|
|
12-27-25 |
Penn State +3 v. Clemson |
Top |
22-10 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Clemson. This Pinstripe Bowl game will be played at Yankee Stadium, in the Bronx, New York. This is the 15th Pinstripe Bowl game, and favorites have gone 5-9 in the first 14. The Tigers have also struggled as a Bowl favorite, including 2-9 ATS when priced from -1 to -6 points. Likewise, ACC Conference teams have been subpar in the Bowls vs. Big 10 foes, including 3-15 SU and 4-14 ATS their last 18. The Nittany Lions never lived up to their preseason #1 ranking, but righted themselves after losing QB Drew Allar to injury in their loss to Northwestern on October 11. Since that game, they went 4-2 ATS (after going 0-5 ATS in their five FBS games to start the season). Clemson falls into a negative 105-158 ATS Bowl system of mine, and we'll fade the Tigers on this Saturday. Grab the points with Penn State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-26-25 |
Florida International v. UTSA -5 |
Top |
20-57 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, in the First Responder Bowl, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners minus the points over Florida International. This game will be played in Dallas, Texas, just a few hours up I-35 from the Roadrunners campus. So, UTSA will have a lot of supporters in the stands. American Conference teams have dominated Conference USA foes, going 28-10 SU and 22-16 ATS, including 5-0 SU/ATS in the last five Bowl match-ups. The Roadrunners stumbled at home in their final regular season game, losing to Army, 27-24, as an 8.5-point favorite. We had a big play on Army in that game, but will switch gears and play on the Roadrunners off that SU loss. Indeed, Texas-San Antonio is 16-1 ATS off a SU loss to a conference foe, including 3-0 in the post-season. We'll lay the points with the Roadrunners, who fall into 139-82 and 105-65 ATS Bowl systems of mine. Take Texas-San Antonio. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-24-25 |
California v. Hawaii |
Top |
31-35 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors over the California Golden Bears. The Golden Bears upset SMU, 38-35, to end the season. Unfortunately, the Bears are a brutal 0-12 ATS their last 12 FBS games (and 1-17 ATS their last 18 FBS games) off an upset win, if the point spread on their current game was 4 points or less. Hawaii also won its regular season finale, and will play this Hawaii Bowl game in front of their home faithful. And we will take Hawaii, as it's 13-0 ATS its last 13 FBS games at home when not laying more than 10 points, covering the point spread by an average of 13.73 ppg in those 13 ATS wins. Hawaii is also 7-2 ATS in the Bowls when the line was less than 9 points, while California is 2-6 ATS its last eight Bowl games (0-3 ATS as an underdog). Take Hawaii. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-20-25 |
James Madison v. Oregon -20.5 |
Top |
34-51 |
Loss |
-113 |
13 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over James Madison. The Ducks are 30-17-1 ATS in their last 48 FBS games, including 18-8 ATS when laying more than 14 points. Meanwhile, big underdogs of +18 (or more) points have burned money in the post-season, going 5-11 ATS their last 16. Over the last 3 seasons, the Ducks have gone 20-1 at home, with 13 of the 21 wins by 21+ points. And they've won their 7 non-conference games by 39.7 ppg. We'll fade the Dukes, as .818 (or better) underdogs of more than 9 points have covered just 35% of post-season games, if they weren't playing with revenge. Take Oregon in a blowout. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-20-25 |
Miami-FL v. Texas A&M -3 |
Top |
10-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies minus the points over Miami-Fla. The Hurricanes come into this game off a 38-7 blowout win over Pittsburgh (their fourth straight win), while the Aggies lost at rival, Texas, 27-17, as a 3-point road favorite to end their regular season. I look for the Aggies to redeem themselves here, at home, on Saturday afternoon. Indeed, they're 24-9-2 ATS at home off a loss, if their opponent was off a win, including 9-2 ATS off an upset win. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are a horrid 16-38 ATS when playing with rest, including 6-23 ATS off back-to-back wins. Lay the points with Mike Elko's men. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-19-25 |
Alabama v. Oklahoma |
Top |
34-24 |
Loss |
-112 |
16 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners over Alabama. These two teams met earlier this season, and the Sooners prevailed, 23-21, as a 6-point road underdog in Tuscaloosa. And that was the 2nd straight win by Oklahoma in this series, as they won here, in Norman, last season, 24-3, as a 14-point home underdog. I look for Oklahoma to make it three-in-a-row this evening, with the most important factor being its home field. Oklahoma has been especially dominant at home in big games where both teams had winning records. Indeed, since 1980, the Sooners have gone 41-12 SU and 34-19 ATS in such match-ups when priced as a favorite of less than 15 points (or PK). Take Oklahoma. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-19-25 |
Memphis +3.5 v. NC State |
Top |
7-31 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over North Carolina State. The Tigers were upset by Navy, 28-17, to end the season. Off that upset loss, we'll grab the points with Memphis this afternoon. The Tigers are 28-17-1 ATS off an upset loss since 1980 (including 1-0 in the Bowls), while NC State is a nasty 0-13 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss when priced as a favorite of 9 points or less (or PK). Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-19-25 |
Kennesaw State +3.5 v. Western Michigan |
Top |
6-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 11 am, on Friday morning, our selection is on the Kennesaw St. Owls + the points over Western Michigan. The Owls won their first Conference USA Championship with a 19-15 road win at Jacksonville St. in the title game. And that was the Owls' 3rd straight win and cover. We'll grab the points with Kennesaw, as underdogs have cashed 59% in the Bowls since 1980 off 3 SU/ATS wins, if they were matched up against an opponent also off a SU win. Take the Owls. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-18-25 |
Missouri State -1 v. Arkansas State |
Top |
28-34 |
Loss |
-109 |
13 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over Arkansas St. When these teams last met (in 2015), the Red Wolves blew out the Bears, 70-7. But a lot has changed since then, as the Bears are now a Division 1 team, having joined Conference USA this season. Missouri State had a successful first season as a Division 1 member, and went 7-5. But the Bears lost their final two games to end the year, including an upset loss to Louisiana Tech on Thanksgiving weekend. Over the last 3 years, the Red Wolves have played markedly better at home than away from home. In Jonesboro, they've covered the spread by an average of 6.9 ppg. But away from home, they've failed to cover the spread by 2.82 ppg (a difference of 9.72 ppg). We'll take the Bears, as teams off back-to-back SU/ATS losses to end the season have cashed 57% in the Bowls since 1980 if they weren't favored by 3+ points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-16-25 |
Troy v. Jacksonville State +1.5 |
Top |
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, in the Veterans Bowl, our selection is on the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks + the points over Troy. This game will be played in Montgomery, Alabama. And both teams also hail from the State. But even though they're just a 3 hour drive away, the two schools have not played since 2001. That game was won by Troy, 21-3. And the Trojans won all seven meetings between 1995-2001 (though Jacksonville State leads the all-time series). The Gamecocks come into this game off a loss in the C-USA Title game, 19-15, to Kennesaw St. But Jacksonville St. is 7-0-1 ATS at home, or on a neutral field, following a straight-up loss. The Sun Belt Conference is a soft 18-26-1 ATS as a favorite in Bowl games. And Troy also falls into a negative 104-163 ATS Bowl system of mine based on its negative yards per rush differential (the Gamecocks average 5.5 ypr, while Troy averages just 2.7 ypr). Even worse for Troy: it will be without leading rusher Tae Meadows (695 rushing yards, 6 TDs), as he entered the Transfer Portal. Take the Gamecocks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-06-25 |
Georgia -1.5 v. Alabama |
Top |
28-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama. The Crimson Tide upset Georgia earlier this season. We'll lay the points with UGA in the rematch, as the Bulldogs are 21-3-2 ATS when favored by 24 points (or less) and playing with revenge. Take Georgia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-06-25 |
BYU +13 v. Texas Tech |
Top |
7-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Texas Tech. The Red Raiders routed BYU, 29-7, last month. We had a big play on the Red Raiders in that game, but will side with the Cougars this afternoon. Indeed, the revenge-minded team has gone 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in the Big 12 Title Game since 2018. And Big 12 teams playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points have gone 28-11 ATS. Take BYU.
|
|
12-05-25 |
UNLV v. Boise State -5 |
Top |
21-38 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over UNLV. Last week, the Broncos edged Utah St., 25-24, but failed to cover the spread, while UNLV blew out rival, Nevada. The good news for Boise, here, is that it is 24-9-2 ATS its last 35 FBS games (and 68-46-4 its last 118) off a point spread loss, including 9-0 ATS its last 9 at home when not laying more than 7 points. Additionally, Boise has dominated the Rebels, going 9-0 SU in their Mountain West Conference match-ups, and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. We'll look for that dominance to continue tonight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-05-25 |
North Texas v. Tulane +3 |
Top |
21-34 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over North Texas. Last week, Tulane shut out Charlotte, 27-0, while North Texas trounced Temple, 52-25. This game will be played at Yulman Stadium, in New Orleans. The Green Wave are a super 8-3 ATS as a home underdog. And they're 25-10-1 ATS their last 36 at home when not laying more than 7 points. Even better: in the post-season, home teams have gone 17-6 ATS when playing an opponent which scored 37+ points in its previous game. Grab the points with Tulane. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
12-05-25 |
Troy v. James Madison -23.5 |
Top |
14-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Troy. The Dukes are giving up just 16 ppg on the season. We'll lay the points, as favorites of -21 (or more) points have gone 52-26 ATS in conference games if their defense allowed less than 17 ppg (at Game 10 forward), and their opponent was off back-to-back wins. Take James Madison.
|
|
11-29-25 |
UNLV v. Nevada +7.5 |
Top |
42-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
38 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over UNLV. The Pack are 3-8 this season, so this is essentially its 'Bowl Game.' This Silver State battle for the Fremont Cannon has been hotly-contested over the years, with Nevada going 20-13 SU and 14-12 ATS (with seven non-lined games) in the last 33 meetings. UNLV played one of its best games of the season last week when it blew out Hawaii, 38-10, as a 2-point home favorite. It outyarded the Rainbow Warriors, 470-231. But off that big win, we'll fade the Rebels on Saturday, as they fall into a negative 27-90 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams with a win percentage greater than .720 off a SU/ATS win. Additionally, Mountain West Conference teams are a poor 36.6% the past 46 seasons after covering the spread by more than 20 points, if they were matched-up against a foe off a SU win in their current game. Grab the points with Nevada. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-29-25 |
SMU v. California +13.5 |
Top |
35-38 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over SMU. California was upset by rival Stanford last week, 31-10. The Bears are a home dog vs. SMU tonight, and play with revenge from a 38-6 loss in Dallas last season. We'll take California, as .500 (or better) revenge-minded home underdogs have gone 63.3% ATS off an upset loss in ACC Conference games. Take California. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-29-25 |
LSU +11 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Oklahoma. The Tigers are riding a 5-game ATS losing streak. But we'll step in and grab the points, as SEC Conference teams have covered 66.1% as road underdogs since 1980 on 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks, if their opponent was off a SU win.
|
|
11-29-25 |
Vanderbilt v. Tennessee -2.5 |
Top |
45-24 |
Loss |
-122 |
33 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Vanderbilt. It's been 12 years since the last time the Commodores owned a better record than their cross-state rival at the time of the match-up. But that's the case this weekend, as Vandy is 9-2, while Tennessee is 8-3. Still, the Volunteers have dominated Vanderbilt, with a 38-7 SU record since 1980, including a 36-23 beatdown last year as a 10-point road favorite. The point spread is much less this season, of course, as Vandy's scoring margin is 2.18 ppg better than Tennessee's. And Vandy also comes into this game on a 2-game win streak (and 5-game ATS win streak). We'll fade the red-hot Commodores, as SEC Conference teams have gone 31.4% ATS as underdogs since 1980 off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Tennessee to blow out Vandy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-29-25 |
Wake Forest +1.5 v. Duke |
Top |
32-49 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Duke. Wake Forest plays this game with revenge from a 23-17 loss in Winston-Salem last year. Last week, the Deacs rolled up 52 points in a blowout win over Delaware. Off that big game, we'll take the points with the road underdog on Saturday. Indeed, revenge-minded underdogs that scored more than 50 points in their previous game, in the regular season, at Game 9 forward, have gone 61-37-2 ATS away from home over the last 46 years. Take Wake Forest. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-29-25 |
Oregon v. Washington +7 |
Top |
26-14 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Oregon. The Huskies come into this game with a lot of momentum, as they blew out Purdue, 49-13, as a 13.5-point favorite, and UCLA, 48-14, as a 10.5-point favorite, in their last two games. We'll take Washington, as home teams off back to back wins (and also back to back double-digit covers) have cashed 58.4% since 1980 when they weren't favored by 6+ points. Take the home dog Huskies.
|
|
11-29-25 |
Army +8.5 v. UTSA |
Top |
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Texas-San Antonio. The Black Knights suffered an upset loss at home last week vs. Tulsa, 26-25, as a 10-point favorite. But Army's been a reliable road underdog in Conference games, cashing 60.8%, while the Roadrunners are 1-7 ATS at home vs. foes off an upset loss. Additionally, .500 (or better) underdogs of more than 6 points, with a defense that allows at least 6.5 ppg less than their foe, have cashed 67% over the past 46 years off an upset loss. Take Army.
|
|
11-29-25 |
Kennesaw State v. Liberty +2 |
Top |
48-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames + the points over Kennesaw St. The Flames come into this game off 3 straight upset losses. We'll take Liberty to bounce back, as NCAA Football teams have cashed 60.5 percent as underdogs since 1980 off 3 straight upset losses, if their opponent was off a SU win. Take the home dog Flames. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-29-25 |
South Alabama v. Texas State -8.5 |
Top |
26-49 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over South Alabama. The Jaguars upset Southern Miss last week, 42-35, as a 2.5-point home dog, for their second straight win. We'll fade the Jags on the road, as they're 5-18 ATS off back to back wins (including 0-7 ATS on the conference road), and they have also cashed just 35% the past 46 years off an upset win. Take Texas State.
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|
11-29-25 |
Central Florida +17.5 v. BYU |
Top |
21-41 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over BYU. The Knights won last week, 17-14, but failed to cover the spread vs. Oklahoma St. And that was UCF's fourth straight ATS loss. We'll grab the points with UCF, as teams off 4+ ATS losses, but a SU win in their previous game, have gone 224-180, 55.4% ATS, since 1980. Additionally, the Knights fall into an 82-38 ATS system of mine. Grab the points.
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|
11-29-25 |
Toledo -10.5 v. Central Michigan |
Top |
21-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Central Michigan. The Chippewas come into this game off back-to-back wins, and they've covered 5 in a row. But Toledo has held its last 3 foes to a combined 15 points. And it has given up just an average of 10 ppg in its seven conference games this season. The Rockets are 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings vs. CMU. And the Chips fall into a negative 44-83 ATS system of mine which fades certain underdogs off back to back SU/ATS wins. I look for Toledo to blow out Central Michigan. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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|
11-29-25 |
Ohio State v. Michigan +10 |
Top |
27-9 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Ohio State. The Buckeyes have won 15 straight since losing to Michigan at the end of last season. And they've gone 12-1-1 ATS in their FBS games. We'll fade Ohio State in Ann Arbor on Saturday, as defending National Champs have covered just 30.4% since 1980 away from home off back to back ATS wins, if they were unrested. Grab the points with Michigan.
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|
11-28-25 |
Temple v. North Texas -19.5 |
Top |
25-52 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Temple. North Texas has won and covered 5 straight games heading into this season finale, while the Owls have lost their last three games. The Mean Green have racked up 53 and 56 points in their previous two games, so I won't step in front of this freight train. Indeed, teams playing their final home game of the season, off back to back SU/ATS wins in which they scored 50+ points, have covered 68.1% since 1980. Lay the wood. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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|
11-25-25 |
Bowling Green -14.5 v. UMass |
Top |
45-14 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 pm (note the early start time), our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons minus the points over Massachusetts. The Falcons lost last week, as a 2.5-point home favorite, to Akron, 19-16. They will look to redeem themselves today in Amherst vs. the 0-11 Minutemen. No team wants to be the one to lose to an 0-11 opponent, so expect BGSU to be focused this afternoon in its final game of the season. Additionally, Bowling Green is 16-8 ATS on the road off an upset loss. And winless teams are 0-22 SU and 1-20-1 ATS in their final home game of the season when getting more than 7 points from a conference foe. Take the Falcons. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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|
11-22-25 |
San Jose State +12.5 v. San Diego State |
Top |
3-25 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St. Spartans + the points over San Diego St. The Spartans played their worst game of the last 46 years (as far back as my database goes) when they were routed, 55-10, by Nevada, and failed to cover the minus 10-point spread by 55 points. We'll grab the points with San Jose St. as teams that failed to cover the spread by more than 45 points are 12-0-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU win. Meanwhile, the Aztecs have covered just 6 of 20 conference games when favored by more than 3 points vs. foes off an upset loss. Take the Spartans + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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|
11-22-25 |
Western Kentucky v. LSU -21.5 |
Top |
10-13 |
Loss |
-112 |
23 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Western Kentucky. LSU won last week, 23-22, vs. Arkansas, but did fail to cover for the fourth straight game. The Hilltoppers enter on a 3-game win streak, and have been installed as a big underdog in Baton Rouge. We'll take LSU, as the Tigers are 16-7 ATS vs. non-conference foes off 3+ losses, including 5-0 ATS their last five. And Western Kentucky is 1-6 ATS away from home vs. foes on 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks. Take LSU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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|
11-22-25 |
Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -2 |
Top |
42-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets minus the points over Pittsburgh. The Jackets eked out a 36-34 win over Boston College, but failed to cover the 17-point spread by 15 points. That, however, bodes well for Georgia Tech on Saturday, as it's 23-13 ATS in ACC Conference games after failing to cover the point spread by 11+ points. Meanwhile, Pitt is 21-32 ATS as an. underdog of +10 (or less) points vs. a foe off an ATS loss. Take Georgia Tech.
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|
11-22-25 |
Coastal Carolina v. South Carolina -24 |
Top |
7-51 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Coastal Carolina. The Gamecocks have been solid as a big favorite over the years, including 46-1 SU and 29-18 ATS when laying more than 11 points to a non-conference foe. Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina is 1-15 SU and 5-11 ATS when getting more than 11 points. Take South Carolina to blow out the Chanticleers, and snap its 5-game losing streak this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-22-25 |
Kansas State v. Utah -17 |
Top |
47-51 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Kansas St. The Utes come into this game off back to back blowout, SU/ATS wins over Cincinnati (45-14) and Baylor (55-28). We'll lay the points with the homestanding Utes, as home teams have gone 108-83-11 ATS in conference games off back to back SU/ATS wins over conference foes by 27+ points. Take Utah.
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|
11-22-25 |
Tulane -9.5 v. Temple |
Top |
37-13 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 3:45 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Temple. The Green Wave come into this game off a 35-24 win over Florida Atlantic. Tulane has been installed as a road favorite vs. the Owls, and we'll happily lay the points, noting that Tulane is 9-1 ATS as a road favorite in conference games off a win by more than 7 points. Even better: the Owls are 1-13 ATS as an underdog of +8 (or more) points vs. a conference foe off a SU win. Take Tulane to blow out Temple. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-22-25 |
USC v. Oregon -10 |
Top |
27-42 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over USC. We played on Oregon in its last game, a 42-13 blowout of the Minnesota Golden Gophers. That extended Oregon's ATS record to 27-16-1 its last 44. We'll fade USC, as it is a wallet-busting 55-90-3 ATS away from home vs. an opponent off a SU win, if the Trojans were not getting 11+ points. Take the Ducks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-22-25 |
Southern Miss +1.5 v. South Alabama |
Top |
35-42 |
Loss |
-120 |
19 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles over South Alabama. Southern Miss's football coach, Charles Huff, has made it a point this week to challenge his players to get the school's first win vs. the Jaguars (after going 0-5 in the first 5 meetings). Southern Miss loss its first Sun Belt game last week, when it fell, 41-14, to Texas St., as a 3-point home favorite. But the Golden Eagles are a super 13-3 ATS when priced from +1.5 to -16.5 off an upset loss, including a perfect 7-0 ATS on the road. Take Southern Miss minus the points.
|
|
11-22-25 |
Jacksonville State v. Florida International -1 |
Top |
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers minus the points over Jacksonville St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-22-25 |
Sam Houston v. Middle Tennessee State -6.5 |
Top |
17-31 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders minus the points over Sam Houston St. The Bearkats enter off back to back upset wins over Oregon St. and Delaware. And they were underdogs of +21 and +12 in those games. We'll fade Fresno tonight, as it has cashed just 29.6% since 1980 off two wins in which it was an underdog of more than 7 points in each game. Lay the points with Middle Tennessee.
|
|
11-22-25 |
Missouri State v. Kennesaw State -6.5 |
Top |
34-41 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 2:00 pm, our selection is on the Kennesaw St. Owls minus the points over Missouri St. The Owls were upset, 35-26, last week by Jacksonville St. But Kennesaw was on the road in that game; here they are at home. And the Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games. Lay the wood.
|
|
11-22-25 |
Charlotte +44 v. Georgia |
Top |
3-35 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Georgia. The Bulldogs have burned money as a big home favorite, and especially when they weren't off a SU win. In that situation, since 2001, they're 4-20-1 ATS when laying 29+ points, including 0-9-1 ATS when favored by 38+. Take Charlotte.
|
|
11-22-25 |
Missouri +5.5 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
6-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Oklahoma. Missouri QB Beau Pribula is on track to make his return after a 2-game absence, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on the Tigers in this SEC match-up vs. Oklahoma. The Sooners do come into this game off back to back road upset wins over Tennessee and Alabama. But NCAA favorites of more than 2 points have cashed just 40.8% off back to back road upset wins. Take Missouri. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-19-25 |
Central Michigan -8 v. Kent State |
Top |
28-16 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas minus the points over Kent State. The Chips have covered four straight after blowing out Buffalo last week, 38-19. They'll look to make it 5-in-a-row when they take on Kent St, and have been installed as a road favorite vs. the Golden Flashes, who upset Akron, 42-35 last week. Central Michigan is 28-14 ATS as a road favorite in MAC Conference games, which bodes well for it tonight. As does the fact that Kent St. is an ugly 0-45 SU and 15-29-1 ATS when getting 8+ points. The Golden Flashes fall into a negative 130-215-12 ATS system which fades certain teams off upset wins. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-18-25 |
Akron +3 v. Bowling Green |
Top |
19-16 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips + the points over Bowling Green. The Zips were upset, 42-35, as a 7.5-point home favorite last week. We'll take Akron to bounce back, as Mid-American Conference teams are 55-29 ATS on the road off off an upset home loss. Take Akron. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Wyoming +3.5 v. Fresno State |
Top |
3-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over Fresno St. The Bulldogs upset Boise State, 30-7, in their previous game. We'll fade Fresno off that upset win, and grab the points with Wyoming. Indeed, Wyoming is 10-0-2 ATS away from home vs. foes off an upset win, while Fresno St is 3-9 ATS off a road upset win. The Cowboys also fall into a 137-61 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins. Take Wyoming + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-15-25 |
TCU +3.5 v. BYU |
Top |
13-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 10:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over BYU. We played against TCU last week, and got the $$$ when Iowa State upset it, 20-17, as a 7.5-point underdog. We also played against BYU last week in its 29-7 loss at Texas Tech. I continue to believe the Cougars are overrated, and will fade them at home on Saturday. TCU falls into a very good 137-50 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams to rebound off upset losses. We'll grab the points with the Horned Frogs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Louisiana Tech +8.5 v. Washington State |
Top |
3-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs + the points over Washington St. The Bulldogs were upset, 25-24, by Delaware last week. We'll back the Bulldogs tonight, as they're 7-0 ATS off an upset loss when playing a non-conference foe. Even better: La Tech falls into a 104-44 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset defeats. Take Louisiana Tech. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Delaware -10 v. Sam Houston |
Top |
23-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens minus the points over Sam Houston St. Phil Longo's Bearkats notched their first win of the season last week, as they shocked Oregon State, 21-17, in Corvallis. But it was an improbable win, given that the Bearkats only gained 85 yards through the air (9-of-24) and 72 yards on the ground (on 24 carries). The Beavers outyarded the Bearkats 474 to 157. The Bearkats are just 2-7 ATS this season, and have failed to cover by an average of 8.5 ppg. Delaware also pulled an upset last week, 25-24, vs. Louisiana Tech. But it was well-earned, as the Blue Hens outyarded the Bulldogs, 399-333. We'll fade Sam Houston at home today vs. Delaware. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-15-25 |
North Carolina +6 v. Wake Forest |
Top |
12-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Wake Forest. it's been an up-and-down season for Bill Belichick's Tar Heels. They're 4-5 SU (and 4-4 ATS in their eight FBS games). They have done better on the road, where they are 3-1 ATS. They'll take on a Demon Deacons squad coming off a big upset win at Charlottesville last Sunday. I don't want any part of Wake Forest off that upset win. And especially not at home, as they're 1-14 ATS at home off an upset win, when priced from -7 to +7.5 points. Wake Forest also falls into a negative 12-70 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins. Take the Tar Heels. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Middle Tennessee State +13.5 v. Western Kentucky |
Top |
26-42 |
Loss |
-105 |
23 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Western Kentucky. The Blue Raiders were upset, 56-30, by Florida International last Saturday. We'll grab the points with MTSU, as it is 51-40 ATS in conference games off a SU loss. And it's 23-6 ATS off a loss by more than 21 points, including 8-0 ATS their last eight on the road. Finally, the Blue Raiders also fall into an 84-24 ATS system of mine. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Virginia +3.5 v. Duke |
Top |
34-17 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Duke. Virginia's QB, Chandler Morris has been upgraded to "probable" to play in Saturday's game. We'll grab the points with Virginia, as it falls into a 101-43 ATS 'bounce-back' system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses. Morris suffered an injury in the 2nd quarter of last week's 16-9 loss to Wake Forest. Without Morris behind center, Virginia's backup QB, Daniel Kaelin, was rusty and fumbled twice in the loss. The Cavs are 18-6 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 off an upset loss. Take UVA.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Central Florida +23.5 v. Texas Tech |
Top |
9-48 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Texas Tech. The Knights were upset, 30-27, by Houston last week. We'll grab the double-digits, as UCF has cashed 79% since 2009 as an underdog of more than 8 points in conference road games, while the Red Raiders are a poor 2-8 ATS off a win, if laying more than 18 to a conference foe. Take UCF.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Texas State +3 v. Southern Miss |
Top |
41-14 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats plus the points over Southern Miss. The Bobcats are 0-5 in Sun Belt Conference play. But they have not quit. Far from it. In last week's loss at Louisana-Lafayette, they were down by 22 points, but continued to fight, and outscored the Cajuns 19-0 to end the game, only to fall by 3 points. We'll take Texas State as a road underdog on Saturday, as the Golden Eagles are 1-10 ATS at home, with a .666 (or better) win pct., vs. foes off an upset loss.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Penn State v. Michigan State +7 |
Top |
28-10 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan St. Spartans + the points over Penn State. The Nittany Lions suffered a heartbreaking defeat vs. the undefeated Indiana Hoosiers last Saturday. PSU led by 4 in the waning seconds before Indiana scored a TD to win, 27-24. I don't want any part of Penn State following that loss, as I look for it to suffer an emotional letdown on the road. Michigan State has lost its last six games. But it is 5-1 ATS in those six games, so it's still playing hard. This is Michigan State's final home game this season. And the Spartans are 25-13 ATS in their final home games, including 11-3 ATS as an underdog, and 15-3 ATS off a point spread win. Take Michigan St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Kansas State -19.5 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
14-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kansas St. Wildcats minus the points over Oklahoma St. The Wildcats come into this game off a 23-point loss to Texas Tech two weeks ago. We'll lay the points with K-State, as it is 88-55 ATS off a point spread defeat. And it's also 32-6 ATS off a loss by 20+ points, when matched-up against a Big 12 Conference foe. Take the Wildcats.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Wisconsin v. Indiana -28.5 |
Top |
7-31 |
Loss |
-112 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Wisconsin. This is the Hoosiers' final home game of the season. And teams playing their last home game have gone 75-41 ATS when favored by more than 11 vs. a foe off an upset win. With Wisconsin off a 13-10 upset win over Washington, we'll fade the Badgers on Saturday. Take Indiana.
|
|
11-15-25 |
Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +12.5 |
Top |
37-15 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Notre Dame. The Panthers are playing really well right now. They have won and covered 5 straight games. And I like playing on home dogs of more than 6 points that are off 3+ wins, and who own a .700 (or better) win percentage. Those teams have covered 64% since 1980. Take Pitt.
|
|
11-15-25 |
UTSA -17 v. Charlotte |
Top |
28-7 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners minus the points over Charlotte. UTSA was blown out, 55-23, by South Florida last week. I like the Roadrunners to bounce back as they fall into an 88-39 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites to bounce back off blowout losses. Charlotte has been horrid (16% ATS) at home vs. foes off upset losses, while UTSA is 18-13 ATS in conference games off a double-digit loss. Lay the points.
|
|
11-14-25 |
Minnesota v. Oregon -25 |
Top |
13-42 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Minnesota. The Ducks have been installed as a big favorite vs. the Gophers. And we'll lay the points, as Oregon is 59-1 SU and 36-21-3 ATS when priced from -21 to -38.5 points. And the Ducks fall into a 134-73 ATS system of mine which play on certain favorite of more than 3 TDs. Take the Ducks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-13-25 |
Troy +11.5 v. Old Dominion |
Top |
0-33 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans + the points over Old Dominion. The Trojans were upset by Arkansas St, 23-10, in their last game. And that defeat snapped a 5-game SU/ATS win streak for the Trojans. Tonight, they'll look to snap ODU's 2-game win streak. And the good news for the Trojans is that they're 18-4 ATS their last 22 road games, including a perfect 6-0 ATS vs. foes off an ATS win. More good news: ODU is an ugly 5-16-1 ATS as a favorite, including 2-10-1 ATS at home. Grab the points with Troy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-12-25 |
Northern Illinois -11 v. UMass |
Top |
45-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Massachusetts. The Huskies are 2-7 this season, but the Minutemen are even worse, at 0-9. We'll fade UMass, as winless double-digit home dogs are an ugly 12-29 ATS vs. conference foes with a losing conference record. Northern Illinois also falls into a 280-183 ATS system of mine based on its blowout loss last week at Toledo. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-08-25 |
Navy v. Notre Dame -26.5 |
Top |
10-49 |
Win
|
100 |
36 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Navy. The Irish are on a 2-game ATS losing streak. But that's a positive indicator for them in this game, as the Irish are 7-0 ATS their last seven following back-to-back ATS defeats. Meanwhile, Navy is an ugly 1-6 ATS this season in its FBS games, including 0-5 ATS its last five. Lay the points with Notre Dame. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-08-25 |
Florida State v. Clemson -1 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Florida St. The Tigers have lost their last two games -- both SU and ATS. We'll take Clemson to rebound on Saturday night, as Florida St. is a poor 6-18 ATS off a SU win, if matched-up against a conference foe off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Clemson minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-08-25 |
Texas State -2.5 v. UL-Lafayette |
Top |
39-42 |
Loss |
-115 |
34 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette. The Rajin' Cajuns have been wallet-busters at home, when priced from -5.5 to +5.5 points. In that point spread range, the Cajuns are 19-34-2 ATS. Even worse: Texas State had last week off to rest and prepare for this revenge game (the Bobcats were upset at home by the Cajuns last season). For technical support, consider that rested, revenge-minded road favorites have gone 17-5-1 ATS their last 23 vs. unrested foes. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
11-08-25 |
Auburn +6.5 v. Vanderbilt |
Top |
38-45 |
Loss |
-108 |
27 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers + the points over Vanderbilt. The Tigers were upset as an 11.5-point favorite last week by Kentucky. The good news for Auburn is that it is 16-8 ATS away from home in SEC Conference games off an upset loss. Auburn also falls into 185-86 and 212-112 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams to bounce back from bad games. Grab the points with the Tigers.
|
|
11-08-25 |
Kennesaw State v. New Mexico State +10 |
Top |
24-21 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Kennesaw St. The Owls have won six straight, and are on a 5-game ATS wins streak, while the Aggies are on a 3-game losing streak, and have lost their last 2 ATS. The knee jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Owls. But consider that teams on 5-game (or better) SU/ATS win streaks are a long-term money-burner vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, covering just 41%. We'll grab the points with New Mexico St.
|
|
11-08-25 |
Georgia State +7.5 v. Coastal Carolina |
Top |
27-40 |
Loss |
-104 |
27 h 31 m |
Show
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At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers + the points over Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers upset Marshall last week, 44-27, as a 7-point home dog. We'll fade Coastal Carolina as a home favorite, as Georgia St. is 21-7-2 ATS on the road vs. a foe off an ATS win. And Coastal Carolina is 0-8-2 ATS as a home favorite of less than 25 points vs. a foe off a SU loss. Take Georgia St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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11-08-25 |
Texas A&M v. Missouri +7 |
Top |
38-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
33 h 31 m |
Show
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At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Texas A&M. The Tigers come into this Saturday afternoon game off a loss two weeks ago to Vanderbilt. We'll take Mizzou to bounce back, as it's 29-10 ATS at home off a SU loss, if matched-up against a .500 (or better) foe off a SU win. And Texas A/M is a terrible 6-22 ATS on the road vs. rested foes. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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11-08-25 |
Iowa State +7.5 v. TCU |
Top |
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 7 m |
Show
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At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over TCU. The Cyclones dropped their fourth straight game last week, as they lost at home to Arizona State, 24-19. That setback has set up Iowa State in a very good 'bounce-back' system of mine which is 173-78 ATS. We'll grab the points with Iowa State, and fade the Horned Frogs, who have covered just seven of 20 vs. foes off upset defeats. Take the Cyclones.
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11-08-25 |
Bowling Green +2.5 v. Eastern Michigan |
Top |
21-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
24 h 38 m |
Show
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At 1 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons + the points over Eastern Michigan. The Falcons are on an 0-3 SU/ATS losing streak following their 28-3 upset loss last week, at home, vs. Buffalo. We'll take BGSU to bounce back, as it is 18-8 ATS as an underdog off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. And it's 16-7 ATS on the road off an upset loss. Grab the points.
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11-08-25 |
Missouri State v. Liberty -7.5 |
Top |
21-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 38 m |
Show
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At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Missouri St. Liberty blew out Delaware, 59-30, for its 3rd straight win last weekend. And that big win has triggered a very good 'momentum' system of mine which is 397-285 ATS since 1980. Liberty is 10-6 ATS at home off back to back wins. We'll lay the points with the Flames.
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11-08-25 |
BYU v. Texas Tech -10 |
Top |
7-29 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 55 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over BYU. The Red Raiders have a strong home field, and have gone 41-8 SU and 36-11-2 ATS in Lubbock when priced from -3 to -12. Even better: the Red Raiders have the nation's 6th best scoring defense, allowing just 13.2 ppg. Look for the Red Raiders to crush the Cougars. Lay the points with Texas Tech. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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11-08-25 |
Colorado +6.5 v. West Virginia |
Top |
22-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 35 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes + the points over West Virginia. We played on the Mountaineers last week, and got the $$$ when they upset Houston, 45-35. We'll fade WVU on Saturday, as it's 12-18-1 ATS off an upset conference win. Take Colorado.
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11-08-25 |
Georgia -8.5 v. Mississippi State |
Top |
41-21 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 34 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Mississippi State. Georgia is favored north of a touchdown on Saturday vs. Miss State. We'll lay the points, as Georgia is 41-1 SU and 31-11 ATS when priced from -7 to -20 points. Lay it.
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11-07-25 |
Tulane +4 v. Memphis |
Top |
38-32 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 1 m |
Show
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At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Memphis. The Green Wave come into this game off a 48-26 loss at the hands of Texas-San Antonio. We'll take the Green Wave to bounce back, as they're 9-1 ATS their last 10 (and 50-26 ATS their last 76) on the road off a loss by more than 2 touchdowns. And Tulane also falls into a 216-158 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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11-01-25 |
Cincinnati v. Utah -10 |
Top |
14-45 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 36 m |
Show
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At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Cincinnati. The Bearcats have ripped off seven straight wins following a season-opening, 20-17 loss to Nebraska. But Cincy was favored in all but one of those seven games (and by an average of 14.6 ppg). Here, they're getting more than a touchdown. The Bearcats are a brutal 10-20 ATS when installed as an underdog of 8+ points. And they also fall into negative 87-141, 209-329 and 35-87 ATS systems of mine that fade certain good teams dressed up as an underdog. Lay the points with Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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11-01-25 |
Wake Forest v. Florida State -10 |
Top |
7-42 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 1 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons enter this Saturday evening game off an upset win over SMU, and have won their last three games, while FSU has dropped its last four. No matter, we'll happily lay the points with the Seminoles, as they're 23-7-1 ATS at home or on a neutral field off a point spread loss, when playing an opponent off a point spread win, including 13-2-1 ATS when favored by 7 or more points. That bodes well for Florida State. As does the fact that Wake is a woeful 12-18 ATS in ACC Conference games as an underdog off an upset conference win. Finally, the clincher is that ACC teams are an awesome 53-17 ATS when favored by 8+ points vs. foes off upset wins. Take Florida State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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11-01-25 |
Georgia Tech v. NC State +6 |
Top |
36-48 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 59 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets covered the point spread last week for the 3rd straight game, with a 41-16 win over Syracuse. And they're now 8-0 on the season. I'll fade Georgia Tech on Tobacco Road on Saturday, as ACC teams are a terrible 16-37-2 ATS when they were on a 3-game (or better) SU/ATS win streak. Grab the points with the Wolf Pack.
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11-01-25 |
USC v. Nebraska +5.5 |
Top |
21-17 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 53 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over USC. The Trojans are a wallet-breaking 2-11 ATS as road favorites since September 2022, and their only ATS wins came by a half-point and by 1 point! Even worse: when not getting 8+ points away from home (including neutral field games), USC is an awful 33-67 ATS vs. foes off a SU win. Take Nebraska. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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11-01-25 |
South Carolina +12.5 v. Ole Miss |
Top |
14-30 |
Loss |
-107 |
38 h 28 m |
Show
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At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Mississippi. The Rebels pulled off an upset last Saturday in Norman, when they outlasted Oklahoma, 34-26, as a 5-point underdog. We will fade Ole Miss off that upset win, as it's a miserable 1-9 ATS as a favorite of less than 16 points in SEC Conference games off an upset win. Ole Miss also falls into a negative 36% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upsets. Take South Carolina.
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11-01-25 |
Indiana v. Maryland +21.5 |
Top |
55-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
35 h 55 m |
Show
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At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Indiana. I've played on the Hoosiers three times this season, and have won all three (vs. Kennesaw St., Illinois and UCLA). This will be the first time I fade Curt Cignetti's powerhouse. Indiana is a perfect 8-0 this season, and just walloped UCLA by 50 points. That big win has triggered a letdown system of mine which has cashed 63.8% over the past 45 years. The Terrapins' defense is allowing just 17.2 ppg this season, and I like their chances to stay within this big number at home. Grab the points.
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11-01-25 |
Fresno State +17.5 v. Boise State |
Top |
30-7 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 54 m |
Show
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At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs + the points over Boise St. Fresno was shut out, 23-0, last week by San Diego St. We'll take Fresno to bounce back off that poor game, as NCAA road teams have gone 124-98-2 ATS off a home shutout loss. Also, the Bulldogs are 21-7-1 ATS when catching 3+ points, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 in this series. Take Fresno.
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11-01-25 |
Arizona State +8.5 v. Iowa State |
Top |
24-19 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 18 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arizona State Devils + the points over Iowa State. Kenny Dillingham's men were upset last week, 24-16, by Houston. Starting QB, Sam Leavitt, was knocked out during the game, and replaced by Jeff Sims (formerly at Georgia Tech). Sims will once again be under center in this game, as Leavitt remains out. Also out for ASU will be WR Jordyn Tyson. Still, the Sun Devils are a solid 20-10-2 ATS since Dillingham was hired as head coach, including 8-1-1 ATS in conference games off a SU loss. Take ASU + the points.
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11-01-25 |
Vanderbilt v. Texas -2.5 |
Top |
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 20 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Vanderbilt. We played on the Commodores in their last two games, and got the $$$ with home wins over LSU and Missouri. But off those two huge games, we'll fade Clark Lea's men on the road in Austin. Indeed, SEC underdogs of less 13 points are 0-14 SU/ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins, if matched up against an SEC foe with a conference win percentage of .500 (or better). Texas also falls into a very strong 150-79-3 ATS system of mine which fades certain great teams as underdogs. Lay the points with the Longhorns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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11-01-25 |
Duke +4 v. Clemson |
Top |
46-45 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 15 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils + the points over Clemson. The Tigers lost at home, 35-24, to SMU, as a 4-point favorite in their last game. Unfortunately for Dabo Swinney's men, they've gone just 11-25-3 ATS as as favorite off an upset loss. Duke is 10-3-1 ATS as an underdog in ACC Conference games. Take the Blue Devils.
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