At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over Ohio St.  The Buckeyes have rebounded nicely off their upset loss to Michigan, with back to back blowout wins over Tennessee and Oregon.  Texas, meanwhile, has also rebounded off its SEC Championship game loss to Georgia with wins over Clemson and Arizona State (though it took overtime to defeat the Sun Devils).  I like Texas + the points, as SEC Conference teams have gone 55-29 ATS as an underdog of +3 (or more) points in the Bowls, if they weren't off 3+ wins.  Even better:  Ohio State is a horrid 4-12 ATS away from Columbus, Ohio vs. SEC Conference foes, including 1-10 ATS when it wasn't getting more than 4 points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

 At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Notre Dame.  (No write-up as I have been evacuated due to the Los Angeles fires and am away from my data.)

At 11 am, our selection is on the Liberty Flames + the points over Buffalo.  The Flames have superior rushing stats, as they have rushed for 5.6 ypr on the season, and have allowed just 4.0 ypr.  In contrast, the Bulls have rushed for just 4.1 ypr, and have also allowed 4.0 ypr.  I'm not a fan of laying points in Bowl games to teams with the better rushing stats, and will happily grab the points with Liberty.  Take the Flames.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, in the First Responder Bowl, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Texas State.  This is a quasi-home game for the Mean Green, as the game will be played in Dallas, a mere 40 miles from Denton, Texas.  In two previous seasons, the Mean Green played a Bowl game in Dallas (vs. UNLV (Jan 1, 2014) and vs. Army (Dec 27, 2016), and they covered the point spread in each game.  We'll grab the points with North Texas, and go against Texas St., as .500 (or better) Sun Belt Conference teams are a poor 16-37 ATS when favored vs. non-conference foes off a win.  And double-digit Bowl underdogs have gone 94-77 ATS.  Take North Texas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, on Wednesday, in the Rose Bowl quarterfinal matchup, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Oregon.  We played on Oregon in the regular season and it was a rare 5* play for me.  The Ducks rewarded us with a 32-31 upset win over the Buckeyes.  We'll switch gears, and take the Buckeyes in this rematch.  Ohio State is an awesome 11-1 ATS its last 12 (and 21-6 ATS its last 27) when playing with revenge when it wasn't favored by more than 6 points.  I look for Ryan Day's men to roast the Ducks.  Take Ohio State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, in the Texas Bowl, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Baylor.  The Bears have been installed as a favorite over LSU.  We'll happily grab the points with the Tigers, as SEC Conference teams have gone 65-41 ATS in the Bowls when getting 3+ points.  Meanwhile, Baylor has lost its last 3 Bowl games outright as a favorite.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, in the Reliaquest Bowl at Tampa, Florida, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Michigan.  The Wolverines reached their zenith this season when they upset rival, Ohio State, 13-10, in Columbus, as a 19.5-point underdog.  The Wolves have generally had letdowns following upset wins, including 3-11-1 ATS their last 15 after pulling an upset as an underdog of 4+ points (and, then, 0-6 ATS if their current opponent was playing with revenge).  Last year, the Wolverines bounced 'Bama out of the Playoffs in the semi-final game at the Rose Bowl.  We'll take the revenge-minded Crimson Tide minus the points this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Missouri.  The Big 10 Conference has been dominant in the Bowl games.  Outside of the FBS Playoff loss by Indiana to Notre Dame, the Big 10 has rolled to a 5-0 ATS record in the Bowl games.  We'll look for that streak to continue this afternoon, as Iowa is an underdog with the better rush offense and rush defense.  The Hawkeyes are averaging 5.2 ypr compared to Missouri's 4.2 ypr.  And on defense, the Hawks allow 3.7 ypr compared to 4.0 ypr for Missouri's defense.  Iowa falls into a 159-100 ATS Bowl system of mine, based on these stats.  Grab the points with Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 5:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over NC State.  The Wolfpack ended their season with an upset win over rival, North Carolina, while ECU was upset by Navy, 34-20.  Unfortunately, the Wolfpack are a woeful 55-82-2 ATS away from home off a SU Win, including a wallet-busting 18-40 ATS vs. foes off an ATS loss.  But that's not the worst part.  If NC State's opponent failed to cover the spread by more than 13 points in its previous game, then our 18-40 stat tumbles to 2-18 ATS, including 0-8 ATS the last seven.  Grab the points with East Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns + the points over TCU.  The Cajuns lost at home, 31-3, to Marshall in the Sun Belt title game.  Still, Louisiana is a solid 10-3 SU and 7-4-1 ATS this season.  We'll take Louisiana to bounce back on Saturday, as Louisiana is a perfect 8-0-1 ATS following a home game where it failed to score 14+ points.  Additionally, underdogs of 3+ points, with a SU/ATS record greater than 0.600, have cashed 60.4% since 1980 off an upset loss.  Even better:  Big 12 Conference teams are a soft 19-29 ATS in the Bowls when laying more than 6 points.  And the Sun Belt Conference has gone 10-2 ATS vs. Big 12 Conference foes when installed as an underdog of +14 points (or less).  Finally, Louisiana-Lafayette falls into one of my favorite Bowl systems, which is 102-60-5 ATS since 1980.  Take the Cajuns on Saturday + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Boston College.  The Cornhuskers have done great as a favorite in the Bowls (10-4 ATS), and not-so-great when installed as an underdog (6-9 ATS).  The good news for the 'Huskers, then, in this Pinstripe Bowl, is that it's been installed as a favorite vs. the Eagles.  Boston College does come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Pitt and North Carolina.  But Nebraska is a super 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins if the Huskers weren't laying more than 11 points.  Finally, the Big 10 Conference has been dominant vs. the ACC in the Bowls, going 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS, including 8-0 ATS as a favorite of 10 or less points.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Washington St. Cougars + the points over Syracuse.  The Cougars come into this game off 3 straight losses -- all as a favorite -- to New Mexico, Oregon St., and Wyoming.  But we'll step in and take the double-digits with Wazzu, as Bowl teams have cashed 60% over the last 45 years off 3 upset losses.  Even better:  the Orange are 0-7 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the Orange weren't getting more than 3 points.  Grab the points with Washington St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Commodores come into this Birmingham Bowl game off a season-ending loss to rival Tennessee, 36-23.  And that was Vandy's 3rd straight loss, overall.  We'll grab the points with the Commodores on Friday afternoon, as SEC Conference teams have gone 81-54 ATS in Bowl games since 1980 off a SU loss, including 37-14 ATS if they were getting more than 2 points.  Take Vanderbilt.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, in the Hawaii Bowl, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over San Jose St.  San Jose ended its regular season with a SU/ATS home win over Stanford, while South Florida lost, 35-28, to Rice.  We'll fade San Jose as a favorite tonight, as it has gone 10-23 ATS away from home off a SU/ATS win, including 3-11 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss.  Additionally, the underdog has gone 13-6 ATS in Hawaii Bowl games, including 8-2 ATS vs. opponents off a SU win.  Finally, the Bulls fall into a 128-81 ATS Bowl system of mine which plays on certain teams off a SU loss.  Grab the points with South Florida.

At 11 am, in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Texas-San Antonio.  Coastal Carolina is playing this Bowl game in its home stadium, and has been installed as a double-digit home underdog.  Dating back to 1981, double-digit dogs have rolled to a 90-71-3 ATS record in the Bowl games.  That bodes well for Coastal Carolina in this game.  As does the fact that the Chanticleers are 10-5 ATS as an underdog in non-conference games, while the Roadrunners are 3-8 as favorites vs. non-conference foes.  Grab the points with the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Tennessee.  The Buckeyes lost yet again to rival Michigan, as the Wolverines stunned Ohio State, 13-10, in Columbus, to end the season.  The good news for the Buckeyes is that its season didn't end with that loss, and it has a great opportunity ahead of it to still win the NCAA Championship.  I look for Ohio State to get off on the right foot in this opening round game, as it has gone 59-28-3 ATS when scoring less than 25 points in its previous game.  Take Ohio St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Clemson.  The Longhorns lost the SEC Conference championship game, in overtime, to the Georgia Bulldogs, while Clemson upset SMU to win the ACC Conference title.  We'll lay the points with Texas, as SEC Conference teams have gone 80-54 ATS in the Bowls off a SU loss, including 19-13 ATS if they lost the SEC Conference title game.  Meanwhile, teams off wins in the ACC Conference title game have been poor in the Bowls, going 7-12 ATS, including 0-3 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  And ACC teams are 0-7 ATS vs. the SEC in the Bowls, if our ACC team was getting 7+ points and off a SU win.  Take Texas to blow out Clemson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Florida.  The Gators have been installed as a big favorite in this Gasparilla Bowl vs. Tulane.  Generally speaking, big favorites have NOT done well in Bowl games, as they've gone 71-90-3 ATS when laying double-digits.  And I can't lay ANY number with Florida -- much less, double-digits -- given how bad the Gators have been as a favorite.  Indeed, Florida is 6-18-1 ATS its last 25 games when installed as a favorite, including 2-13 ATS off a win, and 1-6 ATS in non-conference games.  Meanwhile, the Green Wave are 7-4 ATS their last 11 as an underdog.  Finally, sub-.800 SEC Conference teams have burned money in Bowl games when laying 8+ points, as they've gone 6-17 ATS.  Take Tulane + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks + the points over Ohio U.  Both teams come into this Cure Bowl game off blowout wins.  The Gamecocks routed Western Kentucky, 52-12, while the Bobcats blew out Miami-Ohio, 38-3.  The underdogs have dominated the Cure Bowl games, going 7-1 ATS since 2016, including 5-0 ATS their last five.  And, speaking of domination, Conference USA teams have largely controlled games vs. Mid-American Conference foes of late, as they've gone 16-7 SU and 15-7-1 ATS in the last 23 meetings.  This season, only Boise State, Notre Dame and New Mexico gained more yards per rush than the Gamecocks, who averaged 5.7 ypr.  And underdogs of less than 8 points have gone 22-8 ATS in the Bowls if they averaged 5.7 (or more) yards per rush.  Take the Gamecocks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the New Orleans Bowl, our selection is on the Sam Houston St. Bearkats + the points over Georgia Southern.  Both of these teams enter this game off wins to end their regular season.  The Bearkats upset Liberty to finish 9-3 on the year, while the Eagles defeated Appalachian St. to finish 8-4.  The Bearkats have been installed as an underdog in this evening's game, and they're a super 10-4 ATS when getting points.  The Eagles, on the other hand, are a money-burning 2-6-1 ATS when laying points.  That doesn't bode well for Georgia Southern tonight.  Nor does the fact that Sun Belt Conference teams, with a .666 (or better) win percentage, have gone 26-45 ATS when favored vs. non-conference foes, including 0-10 ATS if their foe was off a SU/ATS win.  We'll take Sam Houston St. + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Army.  The Black Knights won the AAC Championship last week with an upset win at home over Tulane.  And, in a strange scheduling quirk, the Black Knights will now play a regular season game against conference rival, Navy, which had last week off.  The Midshipmen lost the last two meetings with Army, and I like them to get revenge on Saturday.  For technical support, consider that rested, revenge-minded underdogs of +5 (or more) points, off a SU win, have gone 153-112-4 ATS since 1980 vs. unrested conference foes.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over SMU.  The Tigers were upset by South Carolina, 17-14, last week, and have been installed as an underdog in this ACC Championship game.  Clemson is 71-44-1 ATS when installed as a pup, including 13-4 ATS in the post-season (and 4-0 ATS in the post-season if it was off an upset loss).  Take the Tigers.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Oregon.  Single-digit underdogs have gone 5-1-1 ATS in Big 10 Conference title games, and that's the way we'll look in this game.  The Ducks have burned money in the post-season when favored by 14 or less points, as they've gone 5-13 ATS, including 0-5 ATS their last five.  Meanwhile, the Nitts have gone 8-3 ATS in the post-season when installed as an underdog of less than 6 points (or PK).  Take Penn State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Marshall.  The Thundering Herd went into Harrisonburg last week, and upset James Madison, in overtime, 35-33.  We'll fade Marshall here, as it has gone 2-9 ATS off an upset conference win.  And it also falls into a negative 34-93-1 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins.  Additionally, the Cajuns are a super 29-16 ATS vs. conference foes with winning records, while Marshall is 21-30-1 ATS in conference games vs. winning foes.  Lay the points with Louisiana-Lafayette.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils over Iowa State.  Arizona State has been installed as a small favorite vs. the Cyclones.  ASU has cashed 7 straight as a favorite, while the Cyclones are 2-15-1 ATS their last 18 vs. .750 (or better) foes, including 0-10-1 ATS in Big 12 Conference games.  Take the Sun Devils.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over Air Force.  The Falcons come into this game off 3 straight wins, and 4 straight covers, while the Aztecs have lost five straight.  But these disparate results have triggered an 86-44 ATS system of mine on SDSU.  Grab the points with the Home Underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on James Madison minus the points over Marshall.  Marshall upset Old Dominion last week, as a 2.5-point underdog, while JMU was upset by Appalachian St, 34-20.  The Thundering Herd have covered just 38.4% off an upset win.  Take James Madison.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida St. Seminoles + the points over Florida.  The Gators come into this final game off back to back upset wins over LSU and Ole Miss.  We'll fade Florida, as favored teams have covered just 23.5% since 1990 in their final game of the season off back to back upset wins.  Take Florida St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners upset Alabama last week, 24-3, as a 14-point home dog.  We'll fade Oklahoma, and lay the points with 7-4 LSU, as winning teams have gone 92-68 ATS when favored vs. Conference foes off an upset win, as a 14-point (or greater) underdog.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas pulled off an upset last week, when they knocked off Western Michigan, 16-14, as a 6-point home dog.  CMU is now catching double-digits at Northern Illinois, and we'll lay the points as the Huskies are a super 22-12 ATS vs. conference foes off upset wins, while the Chippewas are 0-10 SU/ATS when getting 6+ points off an upset win.  Take Northern Illinois minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Auburn.  The Crimson Tide are 8-3 after last week's 24-3 loss (as a 14-point favorite) at Oklahoma.  We'll lay the points as the Crimson Tide are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 23-3 ATS their last 26) in SEC Conference games off a point spread defeat, if their opponent was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  Take Alabama.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Arizona St.  The Sun Devils are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, they're 11-26 ATS on the conference road off back to back wins.  And in this heated rivalry, you can throw the records out the window, as the underdog has gone 24-10 ATS when it's owned the worse W/L record.  Take Arizona + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:00 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Georgia State.  Last week, the Panthers pulled off a massive upset, as a 23-point underdog, at Texas State.  But prior to that shocking win, the Panthers were 2-10-3 ATS their previous 15 games.  The Panthers have covered just 3 of 9 home conference games off an upset win.  We'll take Coastal Carolina.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Illinois.  The Wildcats enter this final game of the season off 2 horrible losses.  They fell last week at Michigan, 50-6, and were walloped, 31-7, by Ohio State two games back.  Meanwhile, Illinois comes into this game off an upset win at Rutgers, and a blowout win vs. Michigan State before that.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as teams off back to back blowout losses by 24 points, in which they scored less than 10 points in each, have cashed 64.2% the past 45 years vs. opponents off upset wins.  Illinois is a soft 12-20 ATS as a single-digit favorite vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Northwestern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Duke.  The Blue Devils come into this final game of the season off back to back upset wins over NC State and Virginia Tech.  They've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 4-7 Demon Deacons, who have lost their last 3 games.  We'll take Wake Forest + the points, as revenge-minded underdogs have cashed 93% since 1990 in vs. foes off back-to-back upset wins, in the final game of the season.  Take the Demon Deacons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Sam Houston Bearkats + the points over Liberty.  The Bearkats are 8-3, but are currently riding a 5-game ATS losing streak.  We'll step in and take the Bearkats, as underdogs playing their Last Home Game of the season have cashed 64.7% if they were off 3 ATS losses, and playing a conference foe off back to back wins.  Additionally, .727 (or better) teams that have lost their last 5 to the spread, have cashed 67% of conference games since 1980, including 11-2 ATS when competitively-priced between +3 and -3 points.  Take Sam Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over Texas State.  Going into this final weekend, South Alabama is one of four teams still alive to play in the Sun Belt Conference Title game next week.  The Jaguars need to win this game on Friday, and then hope that Louisiana-Lafayette loses to Louisiana-Monroe on Saturday.  Last week, the Bobcats took themselves out of the running for the Title game when they lost as a 23-point home favorite to Georgia State.  We'll fade the Bobcats on the road, in Mobile, as NCAA teams off SU losses as a 23-point (or greater) favorite, have cashed just 12 of 43 games, including 5 of 24 as a favorite.  Take South Alabama + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Oregon State.  The Broncos are currently the 4th seed in the College Football Playoff bracket, which will earn them a Bye into the quarterfinals.  Last week, the Broncos struggled at Wyoming, and won by just 4, as a 22.5-point favorite, while Oregon State upset the Washington State Cougars, 41-38, as an 11-point underdog.  The good news for Boise, here, is that it will be back home, where it's gone 12-3-1 its last 16 FBS games.  Even better:  the Broncos are 13-1-2 ATS off a point spread loss, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  The Badgers are mired in a 4-game losing streak after getting blown out last Saturday, in Lincoln.  Wisconsin was a 2-point underdog in that game, but lost by 19, 44-25.  We'll take the Badgers as a small favorite, as they're 21-11-1 ATS as a favorite when they lost their two previous games.  Moreover, Wisky has dominated this 'Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe,' as it's won 24 of the last 29 meetings.  Take the Badgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over Colorado State.  The Bulldogs were upset at Air Force, 36-28, as a 9.5-point road favorite in their last game.  And that was their second straight loss, overall.  We'll take Fresno to bounce back on Saturday night, as it's cashed 60% in conference games off back-to-back losses.  Even better:  the Rams are 0-6 ATS away from home vs. foes off upset losses, if the Rams weren't getting 5+ points.  Take Fresno.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Iowa State.  After a heartbreaking, 1-point loss two weeks ago to rival BYU, the Utes understandably had a letdown last week at Colorado.  That was Utah's sixth straight loss (after opening the season with four straight wins).  We played on Utah in that BYU game, and got the $$$ with them as a home underdog.  They're once again a home dog this Saturday evening, and we'll grab the points, as Utah is 34-12-1 ATS an an underdog off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Utes.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Marshall.  The Thundering Herd have won their last four games.  But they were favored in each of those.  Indeed, this season, when favored, the Herd has gone 7-0.  But it's lost its three games SU as an underdog.  We'll fade Marshall on Saturday night, as it's 3-11-1 ATS as an underdog off back to back wins, including 0-6 ATS in conference games.  Take Old Dominion minus the points.

At 5:00 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Troy.  The Trojans won last season's meeting, 31-24.  I like Louisiana-Lafayette to avenge that defeat, as it is 12-1 SU and 8-5 ATS when favored by more than 6 points, and playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Cajuns were upset, 24-22, here at home by South Alabama last Saturday.  And LA-Lafayette is a solid 18-6 ATS off a home upset loss, including 5-0 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Louisiana Tech.  Off back to back double-digit home losses to highly-ranked Texas and Ole Miss, the Razorbacks will no doubt be happy to see the Bulldogs roll into Fayetteville.  We'll take Arkansas, as it's cashed 57% since 1980 as a double-digit favorite in non-conference games, if it was off back-to-back losses.  Additionally, Conference USA teams off a SU win have gone 22-36 ATS away from home vs. the SEC Conference.  Lay the points with Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Wisconsin.  The 'Huskers have dropped the last 10 meetings with the Badgers.  But Nebraska has been an underdog in each of the last nine meetings.  This Saturday afternoon, they're favored at home.  We'll take the 'Huskers, as they enter this game off a SU loss to USC last week.  And Nebraska is 47-34-2 ATS when favored off a SU loss.  And Nebraska also falls into a 58-29 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Penn State.  After ripping off four straight wins (and five straight covers), PJ Fleck's Gophers stumbled in Piscataway in their last game, and lost to Rutgers, 26-19, as a 6.5-point road favorite.  We played against Minnesota in that game, but will back it on this Saturday against the Nittany Lions.  The Gophers had last week off to regroup, and are 10-2 ATS their last 12 when playing with rest, and 22-10 ATS since 1980 as an underdog with rest.  Moreover, the Gophers have cashed 69% of Big 10 Conference games off an upset loss, if the Gophers were getting 10+ points.  And Penn State has covered just 30% as a double-digit favorite vs. Big 10 rivals off an upset loss.  The Gophers also fall into a 180-109-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams at home.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal pulled off a massive upset last week when they shocked Louisville, 38-35, as a 21-point home dog.  But Stanford was on an 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS run going into that win, so I view that game as an anomaly more than anything else.  We'll fade Stanford on Saturday afternoon, as it's a poor 27-42-1 ATS off an upset win, including 2-10 ATS when it owned a win percentage of .333 (or less).  Lay the points with California.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls minus the points over Tulsa.  The Bulls blew out Charlotte, 59-24, as a 1.5-point road underdog last Saturday.  Off that impressive win, we'll ride the momentum with South Florida as a double-digit favorite this afternoon.  Indeed, the Bulls have cashed 64.2% as a double-digit favorite following a game where they covered the spread by double-digits.  Lay the points.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers + the points over James Madison.  In its last game, the Mountaineers were upset, 38-24, by Coastal Carolina.  We'll take the Mountaineers to bounce back off that defeat, as they've cashed 64% at home off a SU loss.  And they're also 7-1-1 ATS when priced as an underdog of +5 to +10 points.  Take the Mountaineers as a home dog on Saturday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Syracuse.  The Orange went into Berkeley last week, and upset the Golden Bears, 33-25, as a double-digit dog.  Off that win, we'll fade Syracuse on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, over the last 45 years, the Orange have covered just 25% as a home favorite off an upset win, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  The Huskies enter off 3 straight wins, and have cashed 59% as a road underdog off back-to-back wins.  Take Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Ole Miss.  The Rebels upset Georgia, 28-10, as a home underdog in their last game, and have won 3 straight, overall.  We'll fade Lane Kiffin's men as a road favorite on Saturday, as Mississippi is an ugly 10-31-2 ATS as a favorite in SEC Conference games off back to back wins (and 0-11-1 ATS off 3+ wins, when priced from -3 to -15).  Take Florida + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets pulled off a huge upset in their previous game, when they knocked off the then-undefeated Miami Hurricanes, 28-23, as a 10-point home dog.  I'll fade Georgia Tech off that win, as it is a soft 6-14 ATS in ACC Conference games following a home upset conference win.  Additionally, NC State is 35-17 ATS when catching more than 7 points from a conference rival.  Take the Wolfpack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones have lost their last two games after starting the season 7-0.  They're now favored by more than a touchdown at home vs. a 5-4 Bearcats looking to become bowl-eligible with a win.  We'll fade Iowa State, as favorites off back to back losses have cashed just 18% since 1980 in the regular season, if they started the year with 7+ wins.  Take Cincy + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Arizona State.  The Wildcats come into this Saturday evening's game off an upset loss at Houston two weeks ago.  K-State was favored by 12.5 in that game, but lost, 24-19.  We'll look for the Wildcats to bounce back, as they're 12-0 ATS their last 12 following a loss, in which they failed to cover by 13+ points.  Take the Wildcats.

At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Rutgers.  We played on Rutgers last Saturday, and were rewarded with an upset win over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  But we will fade Greg Schiano's men in College Park, as Maryland has cashed 69% since 1980 at home vs. foes off upset wins.  Take the Terrapins.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Arkansas St.  The Panthers have lost their last six games, straight-up, and are on a 4-game ATS losing streak.  They lost last week at James Madison, 38-7, as a 14.5-point underdog.  In this home game, though, they're favored over the Red Wolves.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice cold Panthers.  But home favorites off 6+ losses, and 4+ ATS losses have cashed 73% the past 45 years if they failed to cover the spread by 7+ in their previous game.  Lay the points with Georgia St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Missouri.  The Gamecocks come into this home game vs. the Tigers off 3 straight wins and covers.  And South Carolina covered the spread in those three games by 26, 27 and 15 points.  We'll look for the Gamecocks to continue to roll on Saturday, as NCAA favorites have covered 65.9% since 1980 if they were off 3 SU/ATS wins, in which they covered each by 15+ points, and were now matched up against a conference foe off a win.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over USC.  Dana Holgorsen will take over the reins of Nebraska's offense, as former coordinator, Marcus Satterfield, will coach tight ends.  In Satterfield's 21 games as a play-caller, Nebraska's offense averaged 20.4 ppg, which ranked #124 of 134 FBS teams.  Before his head coaching stints at West Virginia and Houston, Holgorsen built his reputation while coordinating high-octane offenses under Mike Leach at Texas Tech and Mike Gundy at Oklahoma State.  Installing Holgorsen as coordinator will no doubt boost Nebraska's offensive production.  I like Nebraska as a big underdog.  Take the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Air Force.  The Beavers were stunned last week, 24-13, by San Jose State, as a 3-point home favorite.  We'll take Oregon State to bounce back, as it's 12-1 ATS off an upset loss, if it was priced from -7.5 to +7.5 points.  Take the Beavers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Virginia.  The Irish have topped 50 points in each of their last two games.  And they've won seven in a row, and covered their last five, as well.  I won't step in front of this freight train, as NCAA teams have gone 139-89-4 ATS at home when priced from -20 to -35 points, if they scored 40+ points in each of their two previous games.  Even better:  UVa is off an upset win over Pittsburgh last Saturday.  And the Irish are 29-15-3 ATS vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Notre Dame.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Tigers are 3-6 on the season, after losing at home to Vanderbilt two weeks ago.  No doubt, Auburn will be happy to step down in class, and play this late-season game vs. creampuff LA-Monroe just to get a breather from the difficult SEC Conference schedule.  I like playing on home teams in the 2nd half of the season that don't have winning records, when they are favored by 21+ points vs. non-conference foes.  Since 1980, these teams have cashed 65.3%.  Lay the points with the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Louisiana Tech.  Western Kentucky is 7-2 after winning its fourth straight game -- a 41-28 triumph at New Mexico St. last Saturday.  Meanwhile, Louisiana Tech is 3-6 after its 7-point loss to the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks last weekend.  The Hilltoppers are 5-0 in Conference USA play, and remain tied atop the standings with Rich Rodriguez's Gamecocks.  Western Kentucky will host the Gamecocks here in two weeks.  But it needs to take care of business in this game, and at 4-2 Liberty next Saturday.  The Hilltoppers are a solid 17-4 ATS at home vs. conference foes when priced from -6 to -20 points, while Louisiana Tech is a terrible 14-35-1 ATS as a road dog, priced from +11 to +31 points.  Take Western Kentucky minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Houston.  The Cougars enter off back to back upset wins, including a 24-19 triumph as a home dog vs. Kansas State in their last game.  But off those two victories, we'll fade Houston on the road on Friday, as it's a horrid 0-16 ATS on the road, when not getting 20+ points, if it was off a point spread win at home in its previous game.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over UCLA.  The Huskies were blown out by Penn State last week, 35-6.  And that was Washington's 5th straight point spread loss away from Seattle this season.  The good news for U-Dub is that it's back home on Friday, and it's 4-1 ATS in its five home games this season.  The Huskies are also 14-6 ATS at home vs. conference foes off upset conference wins.  With UCLA in off an upset of Iowa last week, we'll lay the points with Washington.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Wyoming.  Colorado State is rolling right now, with four straight wins, and six straight covers, including a 38-21 blowout win at Nevada in their previous game.  Similarly, the Cowboys are red-hot "in Vegas", as they come into this game off 3 straight ATS wins, including an upset at New Mexico in their last game.  We'll fade Wyoming, as it's 15-40 ATS on the road when playing a foe off a win by more than 2 touchdowns.  Lay the points with Colorado State.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Bobcats went into Kent State last week, and shut out the Eagles, 41-0.  Off that impressive win, we'll lay the points with Ohio at home tonight.  For technical support, consider that NCAA teams off road shutout wins have cashed 162 of 266 if they covered the spread by double-digits in their previous game.  Take Ohio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over BYU.  Utah is having a down season, as it's 4-4, while its Beehive State rival, BYU, is unblemished, at 8-0.  But in this rivalry game, you can throw the records out the window.  Indeed, the underdog has gone 25-11 ATS in the last 26 meetings (with Utah accounting for 16-6 ATS of the 25-11).  It's true that the Utes have lost their last four games, SU/ATS, and have scored just 7 and 14 in their two most recent games.  But Utah is 9-0 ATS its last 9 after scoring less than 15 points in each of its two previous games.  Take the Utes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Washington.  Last week, the Nittany Lions once again lost to Ohio State.  And that's par for the course with the Nittany Lions, as they have gone 1-16 straight-up their last 17 games when installed as an underdog (and 3-9 ATS their last 12).  The good news, then, for James Franklin's men is that they're a favorite in this game vs. Washington.  And Penn State excels when it has the talent advantage, as it's 36-3 SU and 28-10-1 ATS its last 39 FBS games as a favorite, including 16-0 ATS when priced from -6 to -18.5 points!  We will lay the number with the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders stunned then-undefeated Iowa State, 23-22, last week, as a 13.5-point road underdog.  Meanwhile, Colorado had last week off after downing the Cincy Bearcats, 34-23, two weeks ago to move its record to 6-2.  We'll fade the Red Raiders, as underdogs have cashed just 37.2% since 1980 after defeating an undefeated opponent with a 7-0 (or better) record.  Additionally, the Red Raiders are 8-17 ATS as underdogs of +10 (or less) points off an upset win, while Colorado has gone 11-4 ATS vs. foes off upset wins, when the Buffs owned a .666 (or better) win percentage.  Finally, Texas Tech is 2-7 ATS as an unrested home dog vs. a rested foe, while Colorado is 5-1-1 its last 7 when playing with rest, and 8-1-1 ATS its last 10 when playing a foe with a winning record.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Clemson.  Virginia Tech will no doubt want to bounce back off its overtime loss to Syracuse last week, as well as snap its 6-game losing streak to the Tigers.  The good news is that its QB, Kyron Drones, and RB, Bhayshul Tuten, have been fully participating in practice this week, so I expect them to suit up.  Additionally, the Hokies are 24-6 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss when playing an opponent that won the prior meeting.  Take Virginia Tech + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Florida.  The Longhorns ascended to the #1 ranking in the country, but were knocked off that perch by Georgia, in a 30-15 upset loss.  Unsurprisingly, the Longhorns were a bit flat off that deflating Georgia loss, and only beat Vanderbilt by three, 27-24.  Texas had last week off to regroup, and that extra time should do it some good in this home game vs. Florida.  Indeed, rested home teams off an ATS loss have cashed 73% the last 45 years, when priced from -21 to -30 points, vs. unrested foes off an ATS win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Minnesota.  PJ Fleck's Gophers come into Piscataway on a 4-game win streak (and a 5-game ATS streak).  All that should come to an end on this Saturday afternoon, as Minnesota falls into negative 18-61, 27-71 and 44-84 ATS systems of mine, based on its win streak.  Additionally, Rutgers had last week off after its 42-20 loss at Southern Cal.  And Rutgers is 34-17 ATS vs. foes on SU/ATS win streaks when the game was competitively-priced, with a line less than 7 points.  And the Scarlet Knights are 14-1-1 ATS when playing with rest against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Rice.  The Tigers were favored by 7 last week at UTSA, but were upset, 44-36.  Meanwhile, Rice won, 24-10, over Navy.  We'll take Memphis to bounce back on Friday, as it's 7-0 ATS its last seven off an upset loss when playing an opponent off a SU win.  Even better:  Rice has covered just 42% the last 45 years on the road vs. foes off upset defeats.  And it's a woeful 0-13 ATS its last 13 (and 3-25 ATS its last 28) as a road underdog in vs. .600 (or better) conference foes, priced from +2.5 to +18 points.  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Miami-OH RedHawks minus the points over Ball State.  The Cardinals stunned Northern Illinois last week, 25-23, as a 13-point home underdog.  They're once again installed as a home pup, and we'll go against the Cardinals tonight.  Miami has won and covered 3 straight, after a 46-7 undressing of Central Michigan, in Oxford.  And the RedHawks are 29-10 ATS when priced from -9 to -18 points, including 13-2 ATS on the road, and 21-4 ATS off a SU win.  Meanwhile, Ball State is a brutal 14-29 ATS vs. Mid-American Conference foes off a win by more than 21 points.  And the Cardinals also fall into negative 61-96 and 118-210 ATS systems of mine, based on their upset win over Northern Illinois.  Lay the points with Miami-OH.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Pittsburgh.  This is a great match-up in the ACC Conference.  Both SMU (4-0) and Pittsburgh (3-0) enter with undefeated conference records, and Pitt is also undefeated on the season, with a 7-0 mark (SMU is 7-1).  The Panthers are outscoring their foes by 18.85 ppg, which ranks 13th in NCAA (and betters SMU's mark of 17.75 ppg).  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Pitt as an underdog.  But consider that road underdogs with an 18.85 (or better) scoring margin (as well as a better scoring margin than their opponent) have cashed just 39% over the last 45 years (and just 31.5% when getting 7+ points).  That doesn't bode well for Pitt on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that the Panthers fall into a negative system of mine which is 26-76-2 ATS since 1980 (the same angle I used last week for my SEC Game of the Year Winner on Texas A&M over SMU).  The Mustangs are 11-4 ATS in conference games off a conference win (including a perfect 5-0 ATS at home).  Lay the points with SMU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Colorado St.  The Rams have covered the spread in their last five games.  They're now favored on the road against Nevada, which was blown out by 21 last week in Hawaii.  We'll fade Colorado St., as Mountain West road favorites have covered just 10 of 36 after 3 straight ATS wins.  Even better:  the Rams are an ugly 0-6 ATS their last six (and 1-8 ATS their last nine) off 3 SU/ATS wins, while Nevada is 31-15 ATS off a loss by more than 17 points.  Take the Wolf Pack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over TCU.  The Bears were blown out by the Horned Frogs, 42-17, last season in Fort Worth, as a 13-point dog.  Last week, Baylor beat Oklahoma St., 38-28, while TCU won a thriller vs. Texas Tech, 35-34, as a 5-point home favorite.  That was TCU's 2nd straight win, and it will look for #3 in a row at Baylor on Saturday night.  We'll side with the homestanding Bears, as Baylor is 17-3 ATS at home vs. .875 (or worse) foes off a SU win, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Baylor also falls into 197-111 and 149-71 ATS systems of mine, that play on certain home teams off back-to-back wins.  Take the Bears minus the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Texas A&M.  The Gamecocks had last week off after blowing out Oklahoma, in Norman, 35-9, in a Pk'em game.  We played on Texas A&M last Saturday over LSU, as our SEC Game of the Year, and were rewarded with a big 38-23 win.  This week, we'll switch gears and fade the Aggies on the road in Columbia.  Since 1980, the Aggies are an awful 1-16 ATS on the road vs. rested foes off a SU win.  Take South Carolina + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan St. Spartans + the points over Indiana.  Curt Cignetti's Hoosiers are off to an 8-0 start, and have covered the spread in their last seven.  And they rank #1 in scoring margin (inclusive of FCS games) with a 32.37 margin of victory.  The Spartans, meanwhile, are 4-4 SU/ATS after losing to Michigan, 24-17, as a 3-point road dog.  We'll take the home dog, as NCAA road favorites have covered just 27% since 1980 vs. conference foes off an ATS loss, if our road fave owned a scoring margin of 24.0 ppg (or better).  Take the Spartans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over the Oregon Ducks.  The Ducks were my preseason pick (at 8-1 odds) to win the National Championship.  They're currently ranked #1, and will face a stiff test on Saturday afternoon in Ann Arbor, against the defending champs.  Oregon's been installed as a double-digit road favorite, and we'll grab the points with the Wolverines, as defending champs have gone 17-5 ATS in home conference games vs. undefeated foes.  Additionally, Michigan is 7-1-1 ATS its last nine vs. foes off back to back ATS wins.  And it's also 26-18-1 ATS vs. foes off 3+ point spread wins.  Take Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over Nebraska.  The Cornhuskers lost to Ohio State last week, 27-24 (but covered the spread), while the Bruins snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 35-32 upset win at Rutgers.  We'll fade the 'Huskers, as Nebraska is an ugly 5-16-1 ATS when favored in Big 10 Conference games, including 0-7-1 ATS off a point spread win.  Take UCLA.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over North Carolina.  We played on the Tar Heels last week, and were rewarded with a blowout, 41-14, upset win over Virginia.  Florida State, meanwhile, dropped its fourth straight game, in a 22-point loss at Miami.  But despite its down year, the Seminoles are still 31-14-3 ATS off a road loss the previous week.  And North Carolina is a miserable 0-8-1 ATS off a road upset win, if it wasn't favored by more than 7 in its current game.  Take Florida State.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Houston.  The Wildcats edged their rival, Kansas, 29-27, as a 10-point favorite last week, while Houston upset Utah, 17-14, as a 4.5-point dog.  The Wildcats are a super 86-51-1 ATS off a point spread defeat, including 20-2-1 ATS their last 23 vs. .375 (or better) foes.  And Houston is a woeful 0-12 ATS as an underdog of 20 or less points (or PK).  Take Kansas State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm (time change), our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Oklahoma State.  This is the first season these two teams have been conference rivals.  But they did meet each of the last two seasons when ASU was a Pac-12 Conference school.  Oklahoma State won each of those two meetings, by scores of 34-17 and 27-15.  We'll take the Sun Devils to avenge those defeats, as they fall into a revenge system of mine which is 256-193 ATS since 1980.  ASU has also cashed 78% since 1980 as a revenge-minded road favorite vs. conference foes.  Take Arizona State.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers + the points over Old Dominion.  The Monarchs pulled off their third straight upset win last week, when they walloped Georgia Southern, 47-19.  They're now favored on the road at App State, and we will happily grab the points.  Last season, App State was favored by 6 points, but upset by ODU, 28-21.  I look for the Mountaineers to avenge that defeat, as NCAA road favorites have covered just 37% over the last 42 years off 3 straight underdog covers.  Moreover, Appalachian State is 6-0 ATS as an underdog vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And it's 3-0 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog.  Take the Mountaineers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Vanderbilt.  The Tigers had an impressive win at Kentucky last week, as they blew out the Wildcats, 24-10, as a 1.5-point underdog.  Vandy also impressed in defeat, as it lost by just three to Texas, as a 17-point dog.  Auburn is an awesome 13-0-1 ATS its last 14 (and 18-3-1 its last 22) as a favorite at home, or on neutral fields vs. conference foes off a point spread win, if Auburn was off a conference win.  And Vandy is a wallet-breaking 1-11 ATS on the SEC road off a home game where it covered the spread by more than 9 points.  Take Auburn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Kennesaw St.  Last week, the Owls pulled off the 2nd biggest upset of the season when they upended the then-undefeated Liberty Flames, 27-24, as a 27-point home dog.  Only Northern Illinois' upset of Notre Dame, as a 28-point dog, was bigger.  But off that win, we'll fade Kennesaw vs. a Hilltoppers team which has won 5 of its last 6, straight-up, and six straight ATS.  Indeed, since 1980, teams off wins as 7-point (or greater) underdogs have gone 427-532-19 ATS vs. winning foes.  Look for Western Kentucky to cover its seventh straight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Bobcats come into this game off a 24-14 upset loss at Old Dominion, as a 10.5-point favorite, while the Cajuns have won four straight, including a 34-24 triumph at Coastal Carolina their last game.  We'll lay the points with the Bobcats, as teams off double-digit losses, as double-digit favorites the previous week, have cashed 66.2% of regular season games vs. conference foes off back to back wins.  Additionally, the Bobcats have cashed 70% of conference games off upset defeats, while the Cajuns are 3-10-1 ATS vs. foes off upset losses.  Take Texas State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over LSU.  Last week, the Aggies were a 21.5-point favorite at Mississippi St.  They won, 34-24, but failed to cover the point spread by 11.5 points.  Off that ATS defeat, we'll look for the Aggies to bounce back in College Station on Saturday.  Texas A&M is an awesome 7-0 ATS its last seven, and 35-18-1 ATS its last 54, at home off a point spread loss when playing an opponent off a SU win.  LSU, meanwhile, enters off 6 straight wins and 3 straight covers.  Unfortunately, though, the Tigers are an ugly 11-22 ATS if they covered the spread in each of their 3 previous games.  Finally, Texas A&M falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 74-23-2 ATS.  Lay the points with the Aggies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Oregon State.  The Golden Bears kicked off 2024 with three wins, but have dropped their last four games, including an upset loss last week to NC State, as a 9.5-point home favorite.  And their four defeats this season were all narrow.  They lost by 1 point to Miami-Fla and NC State; by 2 points to Pittsburgh; and by 5 points to Florida St.  We'll lay the points with California against former conference foe, Oregon State, as California is 12-3 ATS off 3+ losses, when not getting 10+ points.  And the Golden Bears are also a solid 14-7-1 ATS off an upset loss.  Finally, the Golden Bears play this game with revenge from a 52-40 loss to the Beavers last season.  And Cal falls into a 34-8 ATS system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams off SU losses.  Take the Golden Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Illinois.  Dan Lanning's Ducks keep on rolling along, as they blew out Purdue, 35-0, in West Lafayette last week.  Oregon currently sits at #1 in the national polls with a 7-0 record, and they'll welcome the Illini to Autzen Stadium on Saturday afternoon.  We'll lay the points with Oregon, as NCAA teams off a road shutout win over a conference foe the previous week have gone 136-82-5 ATS since 1980.  Additionally, the Illini are a poor 12-25 ATS in conference road games when priced from +16 to +28 points.  Take Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over TCU.  Last week, we played on TCU, as a 3-point underdog at Utah, and were rewarded with a 13-7 upset win.  We also played against the Red Raiders, and got the $$$ when Baylor walloped the Red Raiders, 59-35, as a 4.5-point road dog.  But off that 24-point upset loss, we'll grab the points with Texas Tech at TCU.  Indeed, the Red Raiders are a solid 61-37 ATS in conference games after failing to cover the spread by more than 7 points in their previous game (including a perfect 11-0 ATS when priced from +5.5 to +8 points).  And TCU is a nasty 1-15-1 ATS when favored by more than 3 points off an upset win.  Take Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Missouri.  The Tide were rolled by Tennessee last Saturday, as the Vols upset them, 24-17, as a 3.5-point home dog.  Meanwhile, Missouri won (and covered) its second straight game, with a 21-17 win over Auburn, as a 3-point home favorite.  We'll take 'Bama to bounce back, as it's 22-3 ATS in SEC Conference games off a point spread loss, if it was playing an opponent off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Crimson Tide.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights minus the points over BYU.  We played against the Cougars last week, and got the $$$ with Oklahoma State.  The Cowboys almost pulled off the big upset, but #11-ranked BYU escaped with a 38-35 win after scoring the game-winning TD with 10 seconds left.  This week, the 7-0 Cougars will travel cross-country to take on the Knights. Unfortunately for BYU, undefeated NCAA teams, at Game 8 forward, have covered just 25% since 1980 as underdogs vs. conference foes off a SU loss.  Lay the points with UCF.

At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Mississippi St.  The Razorbacks come into this game in Starkville off a 34-10 loss to #8-ranked LSU.  And they'll be out for revenge as, last season, the Bulldogs upset Arkansas, 7-3, in Fayetteville.  We'll take Arkansas on Saturday afternoon, as it is a super 33-17-1 ATS on the SEC road when playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Razorbacks are 16-6-1 ATS in SEC games off a conference defeat, including 8-1-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  The Bulldogs are a poor 4-15-1 ATS their last 20 when not getting more than 21 points.  And they're 14-24-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  We'll lay the points with Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Virginia.  North Carolina has lost four straight games, and is 0-5 ATS its last 5 FBS games.  Two weeks ago, the Tar Heels fell at home to Georgia Tech, 41-34, as a 3.5 point dog.  They'll travel to Charlottesville to face a Cavaliers squad on Saturday afternoon.  And UVa has covered its last four games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Cavaliers, and against the ice-cold Tar Heels.  However, consider that NCAA teams on a 4-game (or better) ATS losing streak have cashed 56% since 1980 vs. foes on a 4-game (or better).  Virginia is a wallet-busting 34-65-4 ATS as a single-digit favorite against .400 (or better) foes.  Take the Tar Heels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Boise State.  These two teams met last season in the Mountain West Championship game, and Boise blew out UNLV, 44-20.  The Rebels have had this rematch circled on their calendar, and we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded home team.  Indeed, UNLV is a super 20-6 ATS at home, when playing with revenge, if it was priced from +3 to +14 points.  Even better:  the Rebels return home following back-to-back road games.  And UNLV is 7-0-1 ATS its last eight (and 17-7-1 ATS its last 25) home games after playing back-to-back on the road.  Take the Rebels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Gamecocks enter tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS wins, in which they've covered the spread by 31, 22, and 20 points, including wins in their last two games where they've scored 63 and 54 points.  We'll lay the points with the Gamecocks tonight, as home teams have cashed 58% in conference games the last 45 years after scoring more than 48 in each of their two previous games.  Take Jacksonville State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points against Utah.  Both of these teams will be looking for redemption after getting upset in their previous game.  But we will look the way of the underdog in this game.  This season, TCU is 0-4 ATS as a favorite, but 1-0 ATS as an underdog in its five FBS games.  And Utah is 1-0 ATS this season when not favored, but 0-4 ATS this season when laying points.  We'll stick with these trends and play on TCU as a dog, as it falls into 126-46, 70-17 and 175-82 ATS systems of mine that take certain teams off upset losses, while Utah falls into a negative 49-127 ATS system of mine, based on its upset loss in its previous game.  Take the Horned Frogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Florida.  The Wildcats are licking their wounds after getting stomped at home by Vanderbilt last weekend.  We'll lay the points on the road with Kentucky, as SEC Conference teams have gone 61-39 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when matched up against an SEC foe off an ATS win.  Take Kentucky.