Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-23-17 | Colts +14 v. Ravens | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indianapolis plus the points over Baltimore at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. I'm not sure this is going to be the cakewalk that most are expecting for the Ravens on Saturday afternoon. The Colts were lifeless in last week's home loss to the Broncos, but now they've had a couple of extra days to prepare for the Ravens, and they'll be catching Baltimore on the heels of three straight ATS wins, and in a clear letdown spot. Baltimore has quietly put together a fine season at 8-6 SU and 8-5-1 ATS, but I'm not sure the Ravens are quite as good as their record indicates. I believe they're vulnerable without Jimmy Smith against a Colts offense that can move the football through the air. The fact is, we're likely not going to need much from the Colts offense in order to cover this lofty spread. Take Indianapolis (10*). |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming OVER 45 | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Central Michigan and Wyoming at 4 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Boise on Friday afternoon. I simply feel the oddsmakers have gone too low with this total. Wyoming didn't necessarily put its best foot forward offensively during the regular season. The Cowboys stunk on that side of the football for much of the campaign. That was in spite of the Cowboys having a potential number one overall NFL draft pick in QB Josh Allen. Allen missed the team's final two contests, but is expected to return here, and could make amends so to speak, perhaps improving his stock with a strong performance against the Chippewas. Central Michigan closed out the regular season on a high note, riding a five-game winning streak, scoring points in bunches along the way. While the layoff won't help their cause here, I do expect them to find some success moving the football and putting points on the board against Wyoming. Take the over (10*). |
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12-21-17 | Temple v. Florida International UNDER 57.5 | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Temple and Florida International at 8 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Thursday's Gasparilla Bowl in St. Petersburg. Temple finished the regular season on a high note, securing three wins in its final four games, scoring at least 34 points in each of those wins. However, they haven't played a game since November 25th so any of that positive momentum has essentially been wiped out. Likewise, Florida International scored a whopping 104 points in its final two regular season games. In fact, the 'over' went a perfect 4-0 in the Panthers final four contests. That only serves to give us a more favorable total here, however. I don't feel that the quarterback play on either side warrants much confidence here. We're dealing with a lofty total and I believe it will prove too high. Take the under (10*). |
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12-20-17 | Louisiana Tech +4.5 v. SMU | 51-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Louisiana Tech plus the points over SMU at 8 pm et on Wednesday. After falling just short in a number of close games, the Bulldogs of Louisiana Tech won their way into Bowl eligibility with victories in their final two regular season games. Having posted Bowl victories in each of the last three seasons, I see no reason Louisiana Tech can't at the very least take SMU down to the wire in Wednesday's Frisco Bowl. The Mustangs closed the regular season with six ATS losses in their final six contests. Their defense was non-existent for much of the campaign and I don't see that changing here. The betting public is lining up to back the Mustangs but I believe the value is with the underdog Bulldogs in this matchup. Take Louisiana Tech (10*). |
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12-19-17 | Akron v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 65 | 3-50 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Akron and Florida Atlantic at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Tuesday's Boca Raton Bowl. Neither team has had much trouble scoring this season but that has provided us with a lofty total to work with here. Akron's defense has been extremely opportunistic with 19 interceptions and four touchdowns on the season. Florida Atlantic is certainly well aware of the Zips knack for creating turnovers, however, and Lane Kiffin has had plenty of time to drive that point home to his players. The Owls rely heavily on sophomore RB Devin Singletary, who racked up nearly 1,800 yards and 29 touchdowns on the ground this season. You can be sure Akron has watched plenty of game film of Singletary leading up to this one and will do everything it can to at least slow him down. I believe we'll see plenty of long drives in this one, ultimately chewing enough clock to keep the final score 'under' the inflated total. Take the under (10*). |
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Sean Murphy Football Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-23-17 | Colts +14 v. Ravens | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming OVER 45 | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
12-21-17 | Temple v. Florida International UNDER 57.5 | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
12-20-17 | Louisiana Tech +4.5 v. SMU | 51-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
12-19-17 | Akron v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 65 | 3-50 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |