Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-10-20 | Wright State -10 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 84-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Horizon League Game of the Month. My selection is on Wright State minus the points over IUPUI at 7 pm et on Friday. Bettors may be a little hesitant to back Wright State coming off a narrow one-point win over 3-14 Detroit last time out. Keep in mind, just two games back the Raiders blew the doors off a better Oakland squad by a 96-69 score. In other words, take that result against Detroit with a grain of salt. Wright State is the vastly superior team in this matchup and IUPUI comes in having not faced a winning opponent since suffering a 10-point loss to 10-7 Youngstown State on December 28th. The Jaguars are just 2-4 at home against Division I opponents this season. Take Wright State (10*). |
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01-09-20 | Blazers v. Wolves +2 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Portland at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Trail Blazers are fresh off a come-from-behind win over the defending champion Raptors two nights ago but Toronto isn't the same team right now as it deals with a number of key injuries. Keep in mind, Portland has won just twice in its last eight games with the other victory coming against the 12-25 Wizards. Minnesota has been dealing with its share of injuries as well but does check in having gone 4-3 over its last seven games, including a 2-1 mark here at home. The T'Wolves battled hard but fell by a 119-112 score in Memphis two nights ago but are well-positioned to rebound in this spot. Minnesota has a number of key advantages in this matchup as it ranks tied for third in the league in pace, sixth in three-pointers made per game and seventh in rebounds per game. Portland finds itself outside the top 10 in all of those categories. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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01-09-20 | Louisiana Tech v. Texas-San Antonio +5.5 | Top | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
CBB C-USA Game of the Year. My selection is on Texas-San Antonio plus the points over Louisiana Tech at 7 pm et on Thursday. This is a fine spot to back the Roadrunners as they return home following a winless two-game road trip that included unsurprising losses against Florida Atlantic and Florida International, two teams that own a combined 21-9 record on the season. Keep in mind, prior to those losses, UTSA had won five of its last six games with its lone setback over that stretch coming against 11-3 Oregon State. Louisiana Tech hasn't lost a game since December 8th but hasn't exactly faced an exhausting schedule. Here, the Bulldogs will play just their second game in 2020 following a 28-point beatdown of lowly Southern Miss, which has won only four times in 15 tries this season. In fact, Louisiana Tech's last two wins have come against Southern Miss. The Bulldogs really haven't been tested since that loss to Sam Houston State back in early December. Their last four wins against division I opponents have featured teams that own a combined 16-30 record. Take Texas-San Antonio (10*). |
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01-08-20 | UNLV v. Boise State -6.5 | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boise State minus the points over UNLV at 9 pm et on Wednesday. This is a terrific bounce-back spot for Boise State at home after suffering a blowout loss against Nevada on Saturday. UNLV is 'fat and happy' following six straight games played at home and now hits the road where it owns just one win in four tries on the campaign. Boise State generally owns a tremendous edge on its home floor and I expect its dominance to continue here on Wednesday night. Take Boise State (10*). |
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01-08-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -3 | 107-106 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Denver at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Mavericks are still trying to find some consistency and round back into form with Luka Doncic back in the lineup and they took a step in the right direction with a 118-110 win over Chicago last time out. While they've still lost three of their last five games, two of those losses came against the Lakers and the red hot Thunder on the road and the other by way of overtime in a true flat spot at home against the Hornets. I don't think there's any question they'll be up for this matchup with the Nuggets. Note that Denver ranks dead last in the league in defensive rating over its last five games. The Nuggets have tried to make up for it at the offensive end of the floor, where they rank second in offensive rating over that same stretch but the Mavs have been rising in that department as well, ranking ninth over their last five contests. Take Dallas (10*). |
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01-07-20 | Kings +6.5 v. Suns | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab all the points I can get with the underdog Kings as they travel to face the Suns on Tuesday night. We suffered what could only be considered a bad beat fading the Suns on this floor last week against the Knicks but I won't hesitate to go back to the well here, noting that Phoenix has gone just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite. Kings are off a 2-2 homestand and need to build here before returning home for tough matchups with Milwaukee, Orlando and Dallas. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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01-07-20 | Miami-FL +13.5 v. Louisville | Top | 58-74 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
CBB ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Louisville at 7 pm et on Tuesday. It's going to be very easy for Miami to get up for this matchup against the Cardinals in Louisville. Keep in mind, these two teams already met in their season opener this season with Louisville rolling to a 13-point victory. The Cardinals aren't exactly in top form right now, having dropped three of their last five games, albeit against tough opposition. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are fresh off a blowout loss at home against Duke following a perfect 5-0 December. We faded the Canes in a road date with Clemson last week and paid the price as Miami showed plenty of resolve in a come-from-behind victory. Here, I believe the price is right to back Miami in what should be a competitive affair. Take Miami (10*). |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +1 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
NFL Wild Card Game of the Year. My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over Seattle at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. The Seahawks are clearly in desperation mode having signed RBs Marshawn Lynch and Robert Turbin prior to last week's narrow loss to the 49ers. While QB Russell Wilson always instills some level of confidence, the rest of the team does not. Seattle is banged-up on both sides of the football and now has to travel across the country to face an Eagles squad that has been surging despite all of their own injuries. Philadelphia's 'next man up' philosophy is nothing new. You of course will remember QB Nick Foles taking over for Carson Wentz and leading the Eagles to a Super Bowl victory just two years ago. We've seen guys like Boston Scott, Dallas Goedert and Greg Ward step up in a big way in recent weeks, and we should see more of the same here. The Eagles depleted secondary is certainly a concern but I'm not convinced the Seahawks offense can take advantage as Philadelphia's pass rush remains a strength and should have Wilson under duress all afternoon long. They'll be hard-pressed to advance beyond next weekend but I do look for the Eagles to secure a hard-fought victory here. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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01-05-20 | Vikings +8 v. Saints | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over New Orleans at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. No one is giving the Vikings much of a chance in this game but I actually expect a competitive affair. I'm confident Minnesota can move the football on this inconsistent Saints defense with its full compliment of offensive pieces rested and ready to go following what amounted to a bye in Week 17 with its playoff positioning already decided. On the flip side, I don't see this as an ideal situation for Saints QB Drew Brees - an early start afternoon matchup at the Superdome. I've never been all that high on Vikes QB Kirk Cousins but the stats don't like and he has always performed better in a dome setting, as is the case here. I'm not convinced the Saints will ever pull away in this contest, so I'll grab all the points I can get with the Vikings. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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01-04-20 | Bills +3 v. Texans | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Buffalo plus the points over Houston at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. I'm not too sure the Texans even belong in the playoffs, let alone hosting a game on Wild Card Weekend. DeShaun Watson essentially willed them to just enough wins this season to secure the division title in the AFC South. But we know the Texans have struggled in the playoffs before, and I expect a similar story to unfold here. The Bills bandwagon was all loaded up until they suffered a loss in front of a national audience two weeks ago. We actually won with the Patriots in that contest. Here, Buffalo finds itself in a far more favorable matchup. I don't think the Bills will have much trouble moving the football against a very beatable Texans defense - even as Houston welcomes DE J.J. Watt back to the fold. The Texans have struggled against the pass and struggled against the run this season, and the Bills can take advantage of both weaknesses with QB Josh Allen in line for a big performance. The real kicker here is that I expect to see Sean McDermott coach circles around Bill O'Brien. I'm not sure that advantage is being properly reflected in this pointspread. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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01-03-20 | Knicks +6.5 v. Suns | 112-120 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Friday. The Knicks are doing a couple of things really well right now, they're playing tough defense (fifth in the league in defensive rating last five games) and they're pushing the pace at every opportunity (sixth in pace rating L5). That sets them up well as they head to Phoenix to take on the struggling Suns. New York has actually split its last four matchups here in the desert. It's not as if Phoenix holds any sort of home court advantage, having won just seven times in 16 tries on this floor this season. Take New York (10*). |
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01-03-20 | St. Peter's v. Iona -7.5 | 75-74 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iona minus the points over St. Peter's at 7 pm et on Friday. I think there is more of a gap between these two MAAC squads than is being reflected in the pointspread. St. Peter's is off to a 3-6 start with its only wins coming against the likes of St. Francis-NY, Fairleigh Dickinson and LIU-Brooklyn. None of those opponents own winning records. Of course, neither does Friday's opponent, Iona, but I do think the Gaels have plenty of upside. Iona hasn't played a home game since the third week of November, going 1-3 over its last four road tilts that included tough stops at UConn, Princeton and Colorado. The Gaels have quite simply faced a brutal schedule to this point this season and will welcome the opportunity to get right in this conference matchup with the Peacocks. Take Iona (10*). |
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01-02-20 | South Alabama v. UL - Lafayette +3 | Top | 60-57 | Push | 0 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Sun Belt Game of the Month. My selection is on Louisiana-Lafayette plus the points over South Alabama at 8 pm et on Thursday. I love the way this one sets up for the Ragin' Cajuns as a home underdog in-conference. Louisiana-Lafayette has lost five games in a row heading into this one but that shouldn't come as a big surprise as all of those losses were against superior competition and only one result was a true blowout (against Louisiana Tech in Ruston). This is an excellent opportunity for the Ragin' Cajuns to get going with this Sun Belt matchup followed by a date with Troy on Saturday (both on their home floor). South Alabama is fresh off a blowout win, but that came against unheralded Mobile. The Jaguars are a middle of the pack team that I don't believe warrant being favored on the road in this one. Take Louisiana-Lafayette (10*). |
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01-02-20 | Hornets v. Cavs -2 | 109-106 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland minus the points over Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Hornets are really struggling right now and after cashing a fade of them two nights ago, I won't hesitate to go back to the well against them on Thursday. Charlotte checks in a miserable 27th in the league in both offensive and defensive rating over its last five games, not to mention the fact that it sits dead last in pace rating over that same stretch. Meanwhile, the Cavs have shown some signs of life, sitting around the middle of the pack in defensive rating and an impressive top-four (tied with the Bucks) in pace rating over their last five contests. Offensively, they're not going to blow the doors off of anyone but I do see this as a favorable matchup on their home floor. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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01-02-20 | Towson +6.5 v. College of Charleston | 69-81 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Towson plus the points over Charleston at 7 pm et on Thursday. I like the value being offered with Towson here as it enters this game battle-tested and eager to bounce back off a tough home loss to Hofstra last time out. Meanwhile, Charleston rolls in off a season-high three straight wins and is certainly positioned for a letdown against a losing Tigers squad. Towson has faced a tough schedule to this point and has generally played competitive basketball. There's not a lot separating these two squads at all but we're being given a generous cushion with the Tigers due to the setting. Take Towson (10*). |
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01-02-20 | St. Joe's v. Richmond -12.5 | 52-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Richmond minus the points over St. Joseph's at 7 pm et on Thursday. This is a blowout waiting to happen as Richmond looks to bounce back from rare consecutive losses against struggling St. Joseph's. The Spiders mini-skid started with a shocking home loss to Radford before falling on the road against Alabama on December 29th. This is a terrific 'get right' spot for Richmond as it hosts 3-9 St. Joe's, which has had a miserable time when stepping up in class early this season. Meanwhile, the Spiders have certainly proven their ability to take care of business with a number of lopsided home wins to their credit. Take Richmond (10*). |
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01-01-20 | Baylor +5 v. Georgia | 14-26 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baylor plus the points over Georgia at 8:45 pm et on Wednesday. Baylor has suffered just two losses this season, both coming at the hands of Oklahoma by a combined 10 points. While Georgia certainly has championship pedigree and gets the edge almost by default coming out of the mighty SEC, I believe the Bulldogs will be in for a fight here. Of course, Georgia comes into this game seriously undermanned with a number of key cogs dealing with injuries. Even if the Bulldogs did have all hands on deck I suspect they would have a tough time against the Baylor defense. Georgia QB Jake Fromm didn't look like himself all season, struggling in key situations time after time. Baylor on the other hand seemed to answer the bell at all the key moments and all indications are that they'll have QB Charlie Brewer back after he suffered a concussion in the Big 12 Championship Game. Take Baylor (10*). |
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01-01-20 | Connecticut +2.5 v. Cincinnati | 51-67 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Cincinnati at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the points with the Huskies as they hit the road to face Cincinnati on Wednesday. Connecticut has reeled off three straight wins since it suffered a narrow three-point loss to Indiana back on December 10th. There's no question the Huskies have had this matchup circled since suffering that most recent loss, noting their last three victories all came at the hands of very beatable opponents. Cincinnati will certainly be up for this one as well as it is fresh off a seven-point setback on the road against Iowa. The Bearcats have actually dropped three of their last four games, cooling off considerably following a hot start to the season. I feel the underdog is the way to go in this showdown. Take Connecticut (10*). |
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01-01-20 | Fresno State +13 v. San Diego State | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Fresno State plus the points over San Diego State at 3 pm et on Wednesday. This line makes sense if you're only looking at these two teams' overall records as Fresno State has won just four times in 13 games while San Diego State checks in a perfect 13-0 on the campaign. But a deeper look shows that the Bulldogs have faced a tough schedule to this point, and have generally played competitive basketball. Note that in San Diego State's most recent game it rolled by 16 points but that was against lowly Cal Poly, which has gone 2-11 this season. I see this as a bit of a flat spot for the Aztecs as they get ready to square off with a top-flight Utah State squad on Saturday. Take Fresno State (10*). |
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12-31-19 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -2.5 | 73-68 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson minus the points over Miami at 4 pm et on Tuesday. Miami comes into this matchup sporting the better overall record but I expect Clemson to rise to the occasion on its home floor on New Year's Eve. Miami hasn't lost a game in December, going a perfect 4-0. I see this as a bit of a flat spot for the Canes as they take the floor for the first time since December 21st and ahead of a big showdown at home against Duke on Saturday. Clemson has really cooled off following a strong start, dropping five of its last six games overall. It has faced a tough schedule over the last month, however, and even in its most recent loss - a 54-45 setback against Yale - there was no real cause for alarm as the Bulldogs are a solid Ivy League team that has gone 10-4 so far this season. This is a strong motivational spot for the Tigers in this ACC affair. Take Clemson (10*). |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State +3 v. Navy | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas State plus the points over Navy at 3:45 pm et on Tuesday. When we last saw Navy play it faced little resistance in a 31-7 rout of Army (we won with the under in that game). I expect a different story to unfold this time around, however. I'm confident that the Wildcats defense can keep the Midshipmen offense in check in this one, at least to some extent. On the flip side, while I'm not all that high on Kansas State QB Skylar Thompson, I do feel the Wildcats are a well-coached team and that the extra preparation time should result in a fine performance from their well-balanced offensive attack against a very beatable Navy defense. I'll grab all the points I can get with Kansas State here. Take Kansas State (10*). |
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12-31-19 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hornets | 109-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Charlotte at 3:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is a blowout waiting to happen as the Celtics roll into Charlotte to face the struggling Hornets. Boston ranks fourth in offensive rating and seventh in defensive rating over its last five games while Charlotte checks in 25th in both categories over the same stretch. While the Celtics haven't been pushing the pace all that much, sitting 20th in pace rating over their last five, the Hornets pull up the league's rear in that category over the same time frame. Unless the C's absolutely overlook the Hornets on New Year's Eve, this should be a rout. Take Boston (10*). |
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12-31-19 | Northern Iowa v. Illinois State +5.5 | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Illinois State plus the points over Northern Iowa at 3 pm et on Tuesday. Illinois State is off to a less than impressive 5-7 start this season while Northern Iowa checks in a near-flawless 11-1. With that being said, the Redbirds have faced a sneaky-tough schedule to this point and have a good opportunity for a fresh start here as they open Missouri Valley Conference play against the Panthers. Northern Iowa hasn't lost a game since November but it will be playing for just the third time since December 12th this afternoon at Redbird Arena. I'm anticipating a battle in this one and not convinced we'll see the Panthers win by margin. Take Illinois State (10*). |
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12-31-19 | Kentucky +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kentucky plus the points over Virginia Tech at 12 noon et on Tuesday. There's not a lot separating these two teams although they ended their respective regular seasons on much different notes. Kentucky closed with three consecutive wins, culminating with a 45-13 rout of in-state rival Louisville which looks better than it did back in November after the Cardinals got past Mississippi State yesterday (we won with Louisville in that game). Virginia Tech suffered a 39-30 loss against rival Virginia in its regular season finale. I don't have a great deal of confidence in the Hokies offense led by QB Hendon Hooker. On the flip side, the Wildcats offense really got rolling down the stretch with the emergence of dual-threat Lynn Bowden Jr. This is simply a case of Kentucky boasting more upside here in late December. Take Kentucky (10*). |
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12-30-19 | Mississippi State v. Louisville +5.5 | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Louisville plus the points over Mississippi State at 4 pm et on Monday. I'll grab all the points I can get with the Cardinals in this game which really amounts to a toss-up as far as I'm concerned. Mississippi State certainly doesn't boast an overly impressive resume but its SEC pedigree plays a factor in it being favored by more than a field goal here. The Bulldogs got here thanks to winning three of their final four regular season games but come into this one banged up with a number of key injuries. Meanwhile, Louisville came up empty in an ugly 45-13 rout at the hands of Kentucky in its regular season finale but that doesn't change the fact that it was a fine 2019 campaign with the Cardinals winning seven of 12 games overall. While their defense leaves a lot to be desired, their offense has been electric at times and I certainly feel they'll come up big on that side of the football in this game. The Bulldogs are laying too many points. Take Louisville (10*). |
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12-30-19 | Western Michigan +3.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Game of the Year. My selection is on Western Michigan plus the points over Western Kentucky at 12:30 pm et on Monday. I've actually been fairly high on the Sun Belt Conference all season but I don't like the way this game sets up for Western Kentucky - a team that has struggled to score points at the best of times this season. The Hilltoppers do draw a favorable matchup against a weak Western Michigan defense but can they take advantage? I'm not so sure. Western Michigan toughened up when it had to down the stretch and a narrow 17-14 loss to Northern Illinois served as its only loss over its final four regular season contests. Broncos QB Jon Wassink didn't perform particularly well down the stretch save for a 322-yard three-touchdown performance against Ohio on November 12th, but his overall numbers were solid and he is certainly capable of keeping this offense on schedule against WKU on Monday. RB LeVante Bellamy is the real story for the Broncos as he gained just shy of 1,500 yards on the ground while finding the end zone on 23 occasions during the regular season. Simply put, I don't believe the Broncos will ever be out of this game with their outstanding offense. Take Western Michigan (10*). |
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12-29-19 | Bears -3 v. Vikings | 21-19 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Minnesota at 1 pm et on Sunday. This is an absolute 'lay down' spot for the Vikings playing on a short week with nothing to gain in the playoff picture. The Bears are expected to play their regular starters and should have plenty of motivation with a number of players looking to show up and show out to secure future jobs at the end of a miserable, disappointing campaign. Week 17 can be an extremely tough handicap but the reeling Bears are favored for a reason here in my opinion. Take Chicago (10*). |
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12-29-19 | Jets +1.5 v. Bills | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday. I believe the Jets have some upside in this AFC East showdown on Sunday as the Bills are likely to rest most of their starters in Orchard Park. New York of course has plenty of players essentially auditioning for future roles. This matchup sets up beautifully for Jets RB Le'Veon Bell as he looks to put a disappointing campaign behind him and finish on a high note. Keep in mind, as I noted in my analysis of last week's play on the Patriots over the Bills, Buffalo has struggled against the run all season and with mostly backups on the field on Sunday, will have little chance of slowing Bell should the Jets choose to stick to the run. For the Bills, their focus is on the postseason, not the Jets. Take New York (10*). |
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12-29-19 | Dolphins v. Patriots -16 | 27-24 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on New England minus the points over Miami at 1 pm et on Sunday. This is a blowout waiting to happen as the Patriots look to continue to 'get right' prior to the start of the playoffs. Last week's come-from-behind win over the Bills here in Foxborough was a step in the right direction. After facing an 'all hands on deck' Bills squad last week, the Pats should have little trouble brushing aside an undermanned Dolphins team. Miami obviously has nothing to play for but pride at this point and simply doesn't have the pieces or schemes in place on offense to put one over on New England. Look for the Pats to essentially eliminate the Fins passing game and pull away for the win and cover. Take New England (10*). |
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12-28-19 | Clemson -2 v. Ohio State | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson minus the points over Ohio State at 8 pm et on Saturday. I was very high on Clemson down the stretch and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the Tigers here as they face a tough challenge in the Ohio State Buckeyes. I don't need to tell you that Clemson is absolutely loaded with talent on both sides of the football. The same goes for Ohio State, but the difference is, I don't believe that the Buckeyes have faced a team even close to the caliber of the Tigers this season. Clemson is obviously highly familiar with playing in the College Football Playoff and that should help its cause here as well. I really don't believe this game is going to be all that close and feel we're being given an extremely favorable line with the superior squad. take Clemson (10*). |
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12-27-19 | USC +3 v. Iowa | 24-49 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on USC plus the points over Iowa at 8 pm et on Friday. Iowa got into this Bowl game thanks to winning its final three regular season contests but that wasn't unexpected as it was favored in all three of those games. The Hawkeyes are of course favored again here, but I'm not sure it's warranted. Everyone seems to be sleeping on USC despite the fact that it posted a solid 8-4 SU and 6-5-1 ATS record this season, facing one of the tougher schedules in the entire nation. After almost a month off I'm just not sure we're going to see the Hawkeyes bring the same defensive intensity to the table we've seen from them all season and that could spell trouble as their offense simply isn't capable of shouldering the load. Take USC (10*). |
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12-27-19 | North Carolina -5.5 v. Temple | 55-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina minus the points over Temple at 12 noon et on Friday. Temple may enter this game sporting the better overall record but I don't think there's any question that North Carolina brings more upside to the table. Credit the Tar Heels for managing to go 6-6 after a dismal 2018 campaign. They became Bowl eligible with a 41-10 rout of N.C. State in their final regular season game. Temple peaked in a 30-28 win over Memphis way back on October 12th. From that point on the Owls went an even 3-3. I like the advantage the Tar Heels possess at the quarterback position and in the backfield. Look for North Carolina to take care of business and cover the reasonable pointspread here. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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12-26-19 | Pittsburgh v. Eastern Michigan +13 | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Eastern Michigan plus the points over Pittsburgh at 8 pm et on Thursday. Just feel that the Eagles are being given too many points in this matchup as I question how motivated Pitt will be for the Quick Lane Bowl. The Panthers Bowl standing was hurt by back-to-back losses at the end of the season. Meanwhile, Eastern Michigan gained Bowl eligibility thanks to a couple of late road wins in the MAC before falling in a letdown situation at home against Kent State in its regular season finale. The Eagles haven't had the opportunity to go Bowling very often in recent years. I look for them to give the Panthers a run here. Take Eastern Michigan (10*). |
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12-25-19 | Bucks -3.5 v. 76ers | 109-121 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Philadelphia at 2:35 pm et on Wednesday. Full writeups will return on Thursday. The Bucks check in top-four in offensive rating and top-two in defensive rating over their last five games. Solid spot to back the road favorite here. Best of luck today. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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12-23-19 | Bulls +4.5 v. Magic | 95-103 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Orlando at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Magic just aren't very good right now, losers of six of their last seven games overall, and now they find themselves in a difficult scheduling spot, playing their first game back at home following a 1-3 road trip out west. Meanwhile, the Bulls have won back-to-back games and sport a 4-2 mark over their last six games. They'll look to carry some positive momentum into the short holiday break before returning home to host the Hawks on the 28th of the month. Take Chicago (10*). |
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12-23-19 | Canisius v. Siena -5 | Top | 72-73 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
CBB MAAC Game of the Month. My selection is on Siena minus the points over Canisius at 6 pm et on Monday. We're dealing with a fairly small sample size when it comes to the Siena Saints as they've played just eight games to date this season. With that being said, they've essentially won the games they should and lost the games they should. This is a game they should win. We won with Canisius in its most recent game at Buffalo, although we were fortunate to get in early with that one and catch a favorable line as the Golden Griffins collapsed late and nearly blew the cover. Coming off its first win in over a month - a double-digit decision against Bucknell, look for Siena to earn its first conference victory (and cover) of the campaign on Monday. Take Siena (10*). |
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12-23-19 | Long Beach State v. Seattle University -4.5 | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Long Beach State at 6 pm et on Monday. Long Beach State bounced back with a win over Utah Valley last time out but still owns just four wins in 13 games this season and the 49ers will be in tough against Seattle on Monday. The Redhawks should be highly-motivated following an ugly loss at home against Florida A&M on Saturday. They've faced a pretty tough schedule this season so their 6-7 overall record isn't all that concerning. We missed the mark with Long Beach State in a blowout home loss against Southern Utah last week and I'm not interested in going back to the well with the 49ers here. Take Seattle (10*). |
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12-22-19 | Nuggets +7.5 v. Lakers | 128-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver plus the points over Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark with the Nuggets in the last meeting between these two teams but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with Denver at a more favorable line this time around. The Lakers have cooled off considerably and are coming off back-to-back losses in Indiana and Milwaukee. Note that Denver checks in second in the league in offensive rating over its last five games. Meanwhile, the Lakers dropped to 20th in the NBA in that department over the same stretch. Denver is also top-10 in defensive rating over that time frame. The Lakers may bounce back with a win here, but I'm not convinced they do it by margin. Take Denver (10*). |
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12-22-19 | Charlotte -1.5 v. East Carolina | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte minus the points over East Carolina at 4 pm et on Sunday. I like the way this spot sets up for Charlotte as it travels to face an East Carolina squad that is coming off a blowout win over lowly Maryland-Eastern Shore. Charlotte has reeled off three straight wins - all by double-digit margins. Despite facing a sneaky-tough schedule to this point, the 49ers check in with a solid 6-4 overall mark. East Carolina hasn't been particularly good save for a blowout home win over Evansville earlier in the season. The Pirates are coming off back-to-back home wins but also began this homestand with a 10-point loss to 4-9 Coppin State. Charlotte took the last meeting between these two teams last December. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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12-22-19 | Chicago State +26.5 v. Indiana State | 64-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago State plus the points over Indiana State at 2 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the generous helping of points with Chicago State on Sunday afternoon. The Cougars have undoubtedly turned in some truly awful performances this season but that's certainly been baked into this lofty pointspread. Despite coming off three straight losses, the Cougars have been playing a little better lately. In their most recent road game they fell by just six points against a quality Tennessee State squad. Indiana State has reeled off six straight wins since opening the campaign with four straight losses. This may be a 'name your winning margin' type of game for them but I'm not sure they're looking for any style points. This is their final game before the holiday break and I believe they'll simply be looking to win and move on. Take Chicago State (10*). |
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12-22-19 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +20.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 52-76 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Maryland-Eastern Shore plus the points over Old Dominion at 2 pm et on Sunday. This is a big spot for Maryland-Eastern Shore as it checks in sporting an ugly 1-12 record but has faced a brutal schedule to this point. Old Dominion has recorded only three wins in 12 games and has dropped eight in a row entering Sunday's contest. While the Monarchs should certainly bounce back with a win here, doing so by a considerable margin is no easy task. Keep in mind, ODU won't play again until January 2nd after this one. They've managed to score 60+ points just once in their last seven contests. Coming off back-to-back double-digit losses at East Carolina and Charlotte look for Maryland-Eastern Shore to come to play in this one. Take Maryland-Eastern Shore (10*). |
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12-22-19 | Ravens v. Browns +10.5 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Underdog Game of the Year. My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Baltimore at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Browns bandwagon cleared months ago but if there were any stragglers left on board, they surely jumped ship after last week's ugly loss in Arizona. I actually believe that sets us up with considerable line value as they return home to lick their wounds and host the rival Ravens on Sunday afternoon. There was plenty of drama created by last week's loss, with talk of certain players, WR Jarvis Landry included, telling the Cardinals to 'come get me'. Here, I think we'll see the Browns attempt to force-feed Landry and Odell Beckham Jr., even as they face a tough challenge in that of the Ravens. The real key to this game may be Browns RB Nick Chubb. I'm confident he'll have a monster performance against a very beatable Baltimore run defense. Let's not lose sight of the fact that Cleveland has already defeated Baltimore once this season - on the road no less. As much as the Ravens would like to get back at the Browns, as I've said before revenge is a dish best served at home. Baltimore and Lamar Jackson in particular look unstoppable right now, but it is laying an awful lot of points in a divisional road game in late December. Look for the Browns to pull up their socks and show some pride for one week - this is essentially their Super Bowl for 2019. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
NFL AFC East Game of the Month. My selection is on New England minus the points over Buffalo at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Patriots in last Sunday's rout of the Bengals and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them again here, as they return home to host the Bills in a big AFC East showdown. New England's offense remains somewhat broken, or so it appears. I do think we'll see Patriots OC Josh McDaniels scheme his way to some success against the Bills stout defense in this matchup, however. Note that while Buffalo's secondary has been rock solid, it has been vulnerable against the run, giving up 4.5 yards per rush this season. The Pats have no shortage of capable backs that could be in for breakout spots here. Buffalo escaped with a win in primetime in Pittsburgh last week but let's face it, QB Josh Allen didn't look good, and the Pats have had no trouble limiting him in previous matchups. There's absolutely no reason for the Pats to fear the Bills offense in this one, noting that they've held Buffalo to 16 points or less in four straight and six of the last seven meetings in this series. Take New England (10*). |
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12-21-19 | North Carolina -4 v. UCLA | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina minus the points over UCLA at 3 pm et on Saturday. We settled for a 'push' with North Carolina in its rather lopsided loss on the road against Gonzaga earlier this week. I did like the way the Tar Heels stayed within arm's reach for much of that game before the Zags ultimately proved too much. There's no question Roy Williams' squad is undermanned right now, but this is a solid 'get right' spot against an up and down UCLA team. The Bruins are coming off a 14-point road loss against Notre Dame and check in just 3-4 ATS over their last seven contests. Their only three SU wins over that stretch came against Chaminade, San Jose State and Denver. Look for North Carolina to push the tempo in this one and ultimately outlast the Bruins. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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12-21-19 | Texans v. Bucs +3.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay plus the points over Houston at 1 pm et on Saturday. I like the Bucs plus the points in this Saturday afternoon matchup. The Texans obviously need this one more than the Bucs, who are simply playing out the string, but to be quite honest, I'm not all that high on Houston. Yes, the Texans were able to pull out a big win in Tennessee last Sunday but now they have to stay on the road and play on a short week against a non-conference opponent that simply won't draw the same level of motivation. The Bucs are without their top two wide receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin but don't think for a second that QB Jameis Winston won't continue to air it out. Not only that but the Bucs draw a favorable ground game matchup against a Texans defense that gives up over 4.6 yards per rush. I don't think Tampa Bay will ever be out of this one. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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12-21-19 | Texas State v. Georgia State -2.5 | 69-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia State minus the points over Texas State at 1 pm et on Saturday. We successfully faded Texas State two nights ago as it fell in a tightly-contested affair against Georgia Southern. Now it stays in the state of Georgia to face the Panthers on Saturday afternoon and I look for it to fall short once again. Keep in mind, the Bobcats solid overall record was boosted by some real layups earlier in the season. Georgia State will offer a tougher challenge, noting that it has won six straight games and sitting at 7-2 ATS in lined contests is one of the best bets in the nation, having already given the likes of Duke and Georgetown serious tests, on the road no less. Take Georgia State (10*). |
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12-20-19 | Magic +3.5 v. Blazers | 103-118 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Friday. I'll take a flyer on the Magic on Friday night as they get out of the dreaded back-to-back set in the high altitude of Salt Lake City and Denver and head to Portland to challenge the Trail Blazers. Orlando has dropped five of its last six games overall so motivation will certainly be high for this one. While the Magic haven't had much success in this series, it hasn't been for lack of trying as four of the Blazers last five wins over Orlando have come by single-digit margins. These two teams haven't faced one another in over a year. Portland checks in off back-to-back wins but let's not get too excited about that as the first victory came by a single point in Phoenix and the second came at home against the injury-plagued and disinterested Warriors. The Blazers have won more than two games in a row just once this season and they failed to cover the spread in the final win during that streak. Take Orlando (10*). |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | 51-41 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah State minus the points over Kent State at 7:30 pm et on Friday. Just think there's a major class difference that isn't being properly accounted for in this pointspread. If you've followed my plays regularly this season, you know I'm not very high on Kent State, particularly on the defensive side of the football, where I feel they're among the worst teams in the nation. With that being said, this is an awfully tough matchup against a dynamic Utah State offense led by NFL prospect QB Jordan Love. There was talk of several Aggies offensive playmakers, including Love, being suspended due to a marijuana possession offence, but that isn't going to be the case. Unless Utah State completely overlooks Kent State or is disinterested in the Frisco Bowl altogether, which is always a possibility, I expect the Aggies to roll. Take Utah State (10*). |
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12-20-19 | Lipscomb +11 v. Vermont | 63-86 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Lipscomb plus the points over Vermont at 7 pm et on Thursday. Lipscomb has won four of six games since starting the season with four losses in its first five. During their rough start, the Bison suffered two losses as double-digit underdogs, and the other two came by a combined four points so it wasn't really as bad as it seemed. Meanwhile, Vermont started its campaign with four straight wins but has gone just 3-5 since. The Catamounts should win this game - I'm just not convinced they do it by margin. Take Lipscomb (10*). |
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12-20-19 | Buffalo -6.5 v. Charlotte | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over Charlotte at 2 pm et on Friday. Credit Charlotte for rallying late in the season to reach a Bowl game for the first time in program history. However, I believe we'll see the 49ers run end here. Buffalo possesses a three-headed rushing attack that should have little trouble moving the chains against a Charlotte defense that allows five yards per rush. On the flip side, the 49ers offense is led by QB Chris Reynolds who hasn't thrown for more than two touchdowns in a game since October. He was turnover-prone all season and faces a Buffalo defense that puts a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, racking up 38 sacks during the regular season to tie a school record. I simply feel it's only a matter of time before the Bulls put this one away for good and eventually win by margin. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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12-19-19 | Southern Utah v. Long Beach State +1.5 | 84-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Long Beach State plus the points over Southern Utah at 10 pm et on Thursday. At 3-8 on the season, but with a really brutal schedule behind them, this is a very strong motivational spot for the Long Beach State 49ers as they host the Southern Utah Jaguars on Thursday night. The 49ers enter this game losers of four games in a row with all four of those games being decided by double-digit margins. Southern Utah on the other hand is coming off back-to-back one-point victories that obviously could have gone either way. The Jaguars are playing with house money in this one, which is generally a favorable mentality for teams at this stage of the season but I'm just not convinced they'll be able to match LBSU's intensity in this, their last game before the Christmas break (Southern Utah won't play again until December 30th at Portland while LBSU plays Utah Valley State on Saturday). Take Long Beach State (10*). |
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12-19-19 | Lakers v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
NBA TV Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Los Angeles at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I absolutely love the way this one sets up for the Bucks, much like the fade of the Mavs set up last night. Of course, earlier this week we saw the Luka Doncic-less Mavs stun the Bucks here in Milwaukee. They were in for a letdown against the Celtics last night as a result, and ultimately lost by six points. Now the Bucks are back to rebound off that ugly loss to the Mavs and they'll have no shortage of motivation against Lebron and the Lakers on Thursday night. I really do think the Bucks will be able to run the Lakers out of the gym in this one. Milwaukee remains number one in the league in offensive rating over its last five games. Meanwhile, the Lakers have tailed off a bit in that department, ranking 11th. The key here is the pace the Bucks play at, ranking fifth in the league in pace rating over their last five contests while the Lakers sit 19th over that same time frame. Look for Milwaukee to make a statement here. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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12-19-19 | Texas State v. Georgia Southern -2 | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia Southern minus the points over Texas State at 7 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the short number with Georgia Southern on Thursday night as it looks to continue its strong play at home this season. The Eagles check in a perfect 4-0 at home this season while Texas State has just one win in four tries away from home, that coming against a struggling UNLV squad that has won just four of 12 games to date. The Bobcats did snap a brief two-game skid with a dominant 117-65 win last time out but that came against little-known Bethany (KS). Georgia Southern will obviously be up for this Sun Belt matchup after getting crushed 81-51 on the road against Bradley last time out. Take Georgia Southern (10*). |
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12-18-19 | Celtics -1.5 v. Mavs | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Dallas at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. This is a no-brainer fading the Luca Doncic-less Mavs off their big win over the Bucks in Milwaukee on Monday night. The Celtics check in playing excellent basketball, ranking third in offensive rating over their last five games while also sitting in the top half of the league in defensive rating. The Mavs have been as good as it gets offensively over that same stretch but there's no question they're going to miss Doncic. I'm sure the Celtics learned a thing or two watching the Bucks get caught flat-footed against the Mavs on Monday. Look for Boston to answer the bell on Wednesday night. Take Boston (10*). |
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12-18-19 | North Carolina +13 v. Gonzaga | 81-94 | Push | 0 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina plus the points over Gonzaga at 9 pm et on Wednesday. Key injuries or not, the Tar Heels are still the Tar Heels and I expect them to be just fine as the season progresses. This is obviously a huge motivational spot for them after getting upset at home against Wofford last time out. That's not to say this isn't a big spot for the Zags as well. They'll be looking to avenge their loss to the Tar Heels in the 2017 national championship game. I'm not sure that really weighs all that heavily on the current players' minds, however. They'll simply be looking to win this game with little concern for what the final margin of victory is. Most are quick to write off the Tar Heels due to their injuries, but I expect them to hold their own tonight. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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12-18-19 | Canisius +9.5 v. Buffalo | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Canisius plus the points over Buffalo at 7 pm et on Wednesday. The Canisius Golden Griffins have gotten off to a sneaky-good 5-4 start this season and I look for them to give the Bulls a run in Buffalo on Wednesday night. Canisius snapped a brief two-game skid with an 80-72 victory over Holy Cross last time out. Keep in mind, its last two losses came by a combined 10 points on the road against Hofstra and Florida Atlantic. Those are the Golden Griffins only two losses going back to November 16th. Buffalo is coming off a stunning double-digit loss as a double-digit favorite at home against Army last time out. While the Bulls will be highly-motivated, and 'should' rebound with a victory here, I don't expect it to come by margin. Take Canisius (10*). |
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12-17-19 | Nets -2 v. Pelicans | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn minus the points over New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Pelicans continue to struggle defensively, ranking 28th in the league in defensive rating over their last five games and I don't believe this is the matchup that will fix their problems. New Orleans has been pushing the tempo, sitting top-10 in the league in pace rating over its last five contests but I'm not sure that will serve it particularly well in this matchup with the Nets starting to come together defensively, ranking an impressive seventh in the league in defensive rating over that same period. Note that the Nets sit just five spots back of the Pelicans in terms of pace rating over their last five, at the edge of the league's top half. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
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12-16-19 | Colts v. Saints -8.5 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 47 h 13 m | Show |
NFL MNF Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Indianapolis at 8:15 pm et on Monday. This is an absolute smash spot for the Saints at home in primetime against the reeling Colts. This is precisely the type of spotlight game where Saints QB Drew Brees goes off. The Colts defense has become suddenly non-existent against the pass as they enter this game on the heels of three straight losses. Indianapolis has shown some semblance of a run defense but the Saints offense is more than versatile enough to negate that advantage. Meanwhile the Colts offense has become quite one-dimensional in the absence of WR T.Y. Hilton. While Hilton may return for this game it's difficult to predict how effective he can be after an extended absence. RB Marlon Mack returned last week but was limited and I would suggest that will probably be the case again this week. Look for a monster performance from WR Michael Thomas to pace the Saints offense and we might even see RB Alvin Kamara finally get back on track with a big game catching passes out of the backfield. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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12-15-19 | Patriots -10 v. Bengals | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on New England minus the points over Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday. This is a true 'get right' spot for the Patriots and I fully expect to see them blow the doors off the Bengals. Cincinnati couldn't follow up its first win of the season, falling to the Browns in Cleveland last Sunday. The Bengals have been playing better lately, thanks in large part to the re-emergence of RB Joe Mixon. I simply feel that we'll see the Pats take Mixon out of the equation in this one which should cripple the Bengals offense. The Brady-haters are out in full force these days but I do think Tom will turn in a solid performance here. That's not to mention the Pats ground game, which should shred the Bengals non-existent run defense. It's only a matter of time before New England puts this one away for good. Take New England (10*). |
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12-12-19 | Cavs v. Spurs -11 | 117-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Antonio minus the points over Cleveland at 8:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the Cavs last night but I won't hesitate to fade them as they hit the road to face the Spurs on Thursday. San Antonio has been a general disappointment this season but finds itself in an absolutely gorgeous spot against the lowly Cavs playing on no rest. The Spurs have been playing better lately, winners of three of their last four games, including a 2-0 mark on their current homestand. Playing their third straight at the AT&T Center, they're in excellent shape to keep their good fortune on Thursday night. Take San Antonio (10*). |
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12-12-19 | Jets v. Ravens -15.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over New York at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I don't need to tell you that this is an absolutely amazing spot for the Ravens offense as they should shred a hapless Jets defense that is likely going to be without a pair of key cogs in Jamal Adams and Quinnen Williams. Even with Ravens QB Lamar Jackson dealing with an injured quad, there's no chance that the Jets slow him down here. Look for Jackson to run wild, while also feeding Hollywood Brown in what amounts to a blowout in the making. I do think the Jets will find some success offensively, simply due to the fact that the Ravens can't stop the run, but playing in catch-up mode, look for QB Sam Darnold to make enough mistakes to ultimately put this game out of reach for Gang Green. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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12-11-19 | Rockets v. Cavs +11.5 | Top | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Houston at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockets have failed to cover the double-digit spread in each of their last two games, most recently losing outright against the Kings, at home no less. Here, I believe they're once again overvalued, noting that they've lost two of their last three games here in Cleveland and check in just 11-12 ATS on the season. The Cavs are reeling right now but that's to be expected. Let's face it, they're not going to win many games this season. After getting blown out on the road against Philadelphia and Boston I do think they'll benefit from returning home, and from facing a weak defensive team in the Rockets. Houston is simply laying too many points in this flat spot in its schedule. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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12-11-19 | Lakers v. Magic +7.5 | 96-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I don't like this spot at all for the road weary Lakers. They of course swept a three-game trip through Denver, Utah and Portland last week before returning home to blow the doors off the T'Wolves on Sunday. Now they have to head way east to face the Magic, who are no pushovers, winners of four of their last five games. The Lakers obviously own the far better straight-up record this season but the Magic have a very similar ATS mark. Look for a tightly-contested affair. Take Orlando (10*). |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles -9 | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over New York at 8:15 pm et on Monday. The Eagles are a downtrodden football team but they have to feel pretty good about the fact that they're just a game behind the Cowboys for the NFC East lead and a very winnable matchup presents itself as they host the lowly Giants on Monday night. The G-Men are simply playing out the string at this point and will trot out QB Eli Manning in place of an injured Daniel Jones. Manning really is a wild card at this point but it's worth noting that the Philadelphia defense is capable of generating a ferocious pass rush. Manning hasn't been good under pressure in the latter stages of his career. Meanwhile, Eagles QB Carson Wentz should absolutely light up a weak Giants defense that has shown no semblance of a pass rush this season. The Eagles offense is getting healthier with WR Alshon Jeffery coming off a tremendous bounce-back performance against the Dolphins last week. I'm high on Philadelphia rookie RB Miles Sanders as well. He has shown flashes of brilliance in recent weeks and could be in for another big game here. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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12-08-19 | Titans -2.5 v. Raiders | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tennessee minus the points over Oakland at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. It seems that the Titans have found their quarterback in Ryan Tannehill even if the real story has been RB Derrick Henry, who is absolutely running rampant right now and should continue his torrid pace against a weak Raiders defense on Sunday afternoon. Tennessee isn't about to overlook any opponent, even a reeling one such as the Raiders. Oakland is in a tough spot traveling back home following a beatdown at the hands of the Chiefs last Sunday. Look for the Titans to ultimately pull away for a comfortable win on Sunday afternoon. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +7 | Top | 24-17 | Push | 0 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Buffalo plus the points over Baltimore at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Bills continue to get no respect in the betting marketplace, even after last week's rout of the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day. Here, I look for Buffalo to keep things close at the very least, and quite possibly win outright. Motivation will obviously be high for the Bills, not only are they hosting this year's 'it' team in the Ravens, but they'll have Doug Flutie making a rare appearance in Orchard Park to be honored as a Bills legend. Last week, Baltimore was able to overmatch the 49ers at home in a bad weather game, in an early start no less. The shoe is on the other foot this time around. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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12-08-19 | Redskins v. Packers -13 | 15-20 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Green Bay minus the points over Washington at 1 pm et on Sunday. This is an absolutely terrific 'get right' matchup for the Packers as they host the lifeless Redskins at Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon. I don't see Washington offering any sort of resistance on the defensive side of the football while the Packers defense will be eager to bounce back and should feast on a miserable Redskins offensive line. The Redskins aren't the type of team capable of coming back and making things interesting after falling behind big, as I expect them to on Sunday afternoon. Look for a big game from Pack RB Aaron Jones, guiding Green Bay to a lopsided victory. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson -28 | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson minus the points over Virginia at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. Clemson enters this game playing its best football of the season. We won with the Tigers in last week's rout of South Carolina and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. As has often been the case in recent years, the ACC Championship Game amounts to a complete mismatch. The Tigers should be able to dominate this game on both sides of the football. This is certainly a difficult spot for the Cavaliers coming off an outright underdog win over rival Virginia Tech last week. We won with Virginia in its rout of Liberty two weeks ago but I have no problem jumping ship here. Take Clemson (10*). |
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12-07-19 | Georgia +7.5 v. LSU | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia plus the points over LSU at 4 pm et on Saturday. If you've followed my plays regularly this season you know that I've been high on Georgia. After cashing with the Bulldogs in last week's rout of Georgia Tech I see this as another excellent spot to back them as they check in as an underdog against mighty LSU. The Tigers obviously possess an explosive offense but I do think Georgia is capable of at the very least keeping them in check. I also like the Bulldogs ability to effectively shorten this game with their tremendous ground attack. QB Jake Fromm hasn't had to be great this season but I'm confident he'll turn in a solid performance here in what should be a tightly-contested affair. Take Georgia (10*). |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +4 | Top | 136-113 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Portland plus the points over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Friday. At the surface, this may have appeared to be one of the more obvious wins on the Lakers current road trip but now that they've gotten off to a 2-0 start with impressive wins in Denver and Salt Lake City, I believe this is a tricky spot for Lebron James and co. The Blazers are still a losing team on the season but they've been playing better basketball lately, checking in fifth in the league in offensive rating and top 10 in pace rating over their last five games. Their defensive play leaves something to be desired but the Lakers are certainly in a tough spot here, playing for the third time in four nights off back-to-back games in altitude. I'lll grab all the points I can get with the Blazers here. Take Portland (10*). |
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12-06-19 | Oregon +7 v. Utah | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oregon plus the points over Utah at 8 pm et on Friday. I can't help but feel there is a lot of undue added pressure on the Utes heading into this one as they aim to secure their best season since 2008 and put themselves into the conversation for a College Football Playoff spot with a victory on Friday night. I simply feel the Ducks are being overlooked, largely due to their collapse against Auburn in front of a national audiences way back in Week 1 (we won with the Tigers in that game) and a stunning upset loss to Arizona State two weeks ago. Oregon has a terrific shot at earning an ounce of redemption, not to mention improving its Bowl standing with a victory here. I'm not overly concerned by the Ducks less than impressive low-scoring win over Oregon State last time out. There was certainly a hangover effect at play in that one as they were coming off what could have been a season-wrecking loss to the Sun Devils. Oregon faces a tough challenge here but I don't think there's any reason intimidation factor at play with the Ducks having taken four of the last six meetings since 2013 and falling by just a single touchdown in a true road game last year. Take Oregon (10*). |
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12-06-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -8 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Michigan minus the points over Iowa at 6:30 pm et on Friday. I'll back the Wolverines as they look to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season last time out. That loss wasn't a big surprise as Michigan was in tough on the road in an underdog role against Louisville. This is a far more favorable spot as the Wolverines are back home to host the Hawkeyes in their Big Ten opener. Note that Iowa is coming off a stunning 14-point win on the road against Syracuse. The Hawkeyes have taken care of business against the teams they should this season but have also suffered double-digit losses at the hands of DePaul and San Diego State. They're ripe for a letdown here and I believe we're being asked to lay a reasonable number with UM. Take Michigan (10*). |
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12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets -2 | 105-96 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Los Angeles at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Lakers may own the better overall record and get a lot more press than the Nuggets, but I believe the jury is still out as to whether they're actually the better team. Denver always owns a solid home court advantage and this season has been no different as it checks in with an 8-2 mark. The Lakers are in bounce-back mode off a 14-point loss at home to the Mavericks on Sunday. I'm just not sure this is an ideal bounce-back spot - in fact, I know it's not. The home team has taken eight of the last nine meetings in this series with Denver taking the most recent meeting in Los Angeles last March. Take Denver (10*). |
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12-03-19 | Pistons -2 v. Cavs | 127-94 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Pistons check in top-nine in the league in both offensive and defensive rating over their last five games and while they're not going to run away and hide in this matchup, I do think they should be laying more than a bucket against the lowly Cavaliers. Cleveland has been particularly bad at the defensive end of the floor of late, ranking 29th in the league in defensive rating over its last five contests. Neither team will look to really push the pace in this one and that serves Detroit just fine as it should cruise to a comfortable road win. Take Detroit (10*). |
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12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | 30-37 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Seattle at 8:15 pm et on Monday. There's not a lot separating these two teams so it's no surprise that we're dealing with a very tight field goal line ahead of their Monday night showdown. I'll grab the points with the underdog Vikings as they come in well-rested and poised to take advantage of a very beatable Seattle defense. The Seahawks own a tremendous home field advantage at CenturyLink Field but it's certainly worth noting that they've already lost games against the Saints and Ravens here at home this season. I don't feel that intimidation will be a real factor against an experienced Vikings group. Seattle comes in riding its longest winning streak of the season, which stands at four games. I believe there's a good chance it ends here. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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12-01-19 | Jets -3 v. Bengals | Top | 6-22 | Loss | -106 | 64 h 10 m | Show |
NFL AFC Game of the Month. My selection is on New York minus the points over Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Jets are in excellent position to add to the winless Bengals' misery on Sunday afternoon in Cincinnati. The New York offense has been quietly racking up points in recent weeks and is an absolute smash spot against a very beatable Bengals defense on Sunday. Cincinnati has been one of the worst teams in the league defending the run this season which really opens things up with the Jets offense and RB Le'Veon Bell in particular. Jets QB Sam Darnold is on a redemption tour after a brutal start to the season and he's in line for another big performance here. Meanwhile, the Jets quietly own the league's best run defense which should severely limit what the Bengals can do offensively. QB Andy Dalton is back as the starter and while he may give Cincinnati a bit of a spark, I'm not sure it really matters at this point. His supporting cast is seriously lacking with WR Tyler Boyd one of the only bright spots. RB Joe Mixon has had a nice run the last couple of games but I don't expect him to play a big role in this one. Take New York (10*). |
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11-30-19 | Georgia -28 v. Georgia Tech | 52-7 | Win | 100 | 63 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia minus the points over Georgia Tech at 12 noon et on Saturday. We won with Georgia Tech in last week's narrow victory over N.C. State while missing the mark with Georgia as they won but failed to cover against Texas A&M. I do feel I have a pretty good read on both of these squads as they close out the regular season with this annual in-state rivalry matchup, and I'm confident laying the big number with the Bulldogs in what should be an old-fashioned blowout. Credit the Yellow Jackets for not giving up on the campaign but there's no question it's been a long season with eight losses in 11 games. They'll try to muck things up on Saturday and turn this into an ugly affair but I don't see them succeeding. The Bulldogs have been a little uneven offensively in recent weeks but they can absolutely get loose against this Georgia Tech defense. I certainly don't expect to see Georgia take it easy on the Jackets. Take Georgia (10*). |
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11-30-19 | Clemson -27 v. South Carolina | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 63 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson minus the points over South Carolina at 12 noon et on Saturday. Despite its flawless 11-0 record and despite the fact that it has scored 50+ points in four straight games, it almost seems as if Clemson is flying under the radar a little bit with the likes of LSU, Alabama and Ohio State garnering much of the national attention this season. The Tigers have certainly rounded into form after a relatively slow start to the season and they're in excellent position to absolutely annihilate an overmatched South Carolina squad here. This is the end of the line for the four-win Gamecocks, whose season highlight was undoubtedly a stunning 20-17 win over Georgia between the hedges back on October 12th. Since then, the Gamecocks have just one win to their credit and that came at home against lowly Vanderbilt. Take Clemson (10*). |
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11-29-19 | Washington State +8 v. Washington | 13-31 | Loss | -107 | 43 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington State plus the points over Washington at 4 pm et on Friday. Washington has owned the Apple Cup in recent years, taking each of the last six meetings but I believe that streak is in jeopardy this year. The Cougars and Huskies check in sporting identical 6-5 records but it's Washington State that comes in with some positive momentum off back-to-back wins, scoring a whopping 103 points in the process. The Cougars defense has reverted to old form, giving up a ton of points this season, but I actually feel they can hold their own in this particular matchup. Even two weeks ago against one of the worst defenses in the nation in Oregon State, Washington managed to score only 19 points. Despite the pro-Huskies crowd, I look for the Cougars to stay inside the number in this one. Take Washington State (10*). |
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11-29-19 | Missouri -12.5 v. Arkansas | 24-14 | Loss | -109 | 41 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Missouri minus the points over Arkansas at 2:30 pm et on Friday. This is a true 'get right' spot for Missouri and it couldn't come at a more opportune time as the Tigers need a victory to become Bowl eligible. It's easy to forget that Missouri got off to a terrific 5-1 start this season before the wheels came off in October. A tough schedule has led them to five straight losses but all is not lost. I like the Tigers chances of absolutely going off in this smash spot against a very weak Arkansas defense. The Razorbacks have lost eight games in a row and have been outgained by 240+ yards in four of their last five contests. They're unsettled at quarterback and I just don't see them keeping up in a potential shootout on Friday. Keep in mind Arkansas is allowing a staggering 5.8 yards per rush this season. This one could get out of hand in a hurry. Take Missouri (10*). |
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11-28-19 | Saints -6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 26-18 | Win | 100 | 47 h 22 m | Show |
NFL Turkey Day Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Atlanta at 8:15 pm et on Thursday. The Saints had a tough time pulling away from the Panthers on Sunday but ultimately did secure the victory thanks in large part to miscues in Carolina’s kicking game. I expect a much cleaner performance from the Saints this week as they travel to face the division rival Falcons in the friendly confines of Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. I like the way the Saints offense has rounded into form with a healthy Drew Brees. There’s reason to believe they can even improve on their recent strong performances with Alvin Kamara in particular in line for a big breakout performance here. Meanwhile, the cupboard is getting pretty bare for the Falcons offense with a number of key cogs banged-up and now forced to play on a short week. The Saints have been able to generate a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks and I’m confident they’ll be able to force Falcons QB Matt Ryan into some key mistakes in this contest as well. Atlanta’s ground game is by no means imposing with RB Devonta Freeman once again questionable to suit up. I don’t think there’s any question the offense is missing the likes of Mohamed Sanu and Tevin Coleman right now. I’m not convinced Atlanta can stay in this game for four quarters. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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11-28-19 | Bears -3 v. Lions | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 39 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Detroit at 12:30 pm et on Thursday. It might be time for the NFL to reconsider giving the Lions their annual home game on Thanksgiving Day. In fact, that time probably passed years ago. Mired in another disappointing campaign, there's little reason to have much confidence in Detroit here as it hosts Chicago. Of course, the Bears don't have a great deal of upside either but they do have more going for them than the Lions right now. The Chicago defense should feast on the Lions Jeff Driskel-led offense, with Driskel playing on a bad hamstring and coming off an absolute beating at the hands of the Redskins defense on Sunday. The Bears have done an excellent job of keeping opposing quarterbacks in the pocket and as long as they can continue to do that against Driskel, they'll be in fine shape on Thursday as he simply hasn't proven he can consistently move the chains through the air. There are obviously concerns when it comes to the Chicago offense but I'm not sure it will be asked to do too much in this one. QB Mitchell Trubisky is coming off one of his better performances, even though it did come against the lowly Giants. He draws another favorable matchup here against a banged-up Lions defense. Based on how I expect the Chicago defense to perform in this one, I think we will see Trubisky given some short fields to work with and do just enough to secure the win and cover. Take Chicago (10*). |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 9-13 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on New England minus the points over Dallas at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. Dallas bounced back with a win in Detroit last Sunday but it will find the going a lot tougher as it stays on the road to face the Patriots in Foxborough this week. Poor weather conditions are expected, which doesn't generally suit QB Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense well. While Dallas RB Ezekiel Elliott draws a favorable matchup on paper, I feel the Pats will be content to concede yardage on the ground once again, but ultimately do another nice job of keeping the opposition out of the end zone. Offensively, the Pats are banged-up right now but the 'next man up' philosophy has always served them well, and I expect no different here. The Cowboys defense, while elite on paper, has disappointed for much of the campaign, including last week when it allowed Lions backup QB Jeff Driskel to move the football up and down the field. New England QB Tom Brady isn't 100% healthy but I'm anticipating a big performance from the GOAT once again. This is precisely the type of game Bill Bellichick's Patriots get up for and win by margin. Take New England (10*). |
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11-24-19 | Broncos v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over Denver at 1 pm et on Sunday. With Denver nearly pulling off an outright upset as a double-digit underdog at Minnesota last week, it's understandable that the Broncos are only a short underdog against the Bills on Sunday. I believe the Bills are once again undervalued. There's little chance we'll see Buffalo overlook Denver, not after the Broncos gave the Vikings such a serious run last week. I don't like the scheduling spot at all for Denver as it stays on the road for a second straight week, heading to a less than appealing destination in Buffalo. The Bills defense should absolutely feast on the Broncos leaky offensive line, noting that Denver ranks bottom-five in the league in sacks per QB dropback allowed. For their part, the Bills are inside the top 10 in terms of sacks this season. QB Brandon Allen has held his own to this point, but I look for him to get exposed by Buffalo here. This isn't exactly an eruption spot for the Bills offense against a quality Broncos defense, but I do think we'll see them be given enough short fields to inflict some damage on the scoreboard. Based on how I expect the Bills defense to perform in this game, I really don't think we're going to need a whole lot from the offense to ultimately stretch out the margin and put this one out of reach. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Eagles | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Philadelphia at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Eagles are in desperation mode as they host the Seahawks on Sunday afternoon off last Sunday's disappointing narrow loss to the Patriots. I believe Philadelphia will be hard-pressed to bounce back as it deals with a number of key injuries on the offensive side of the football. That's not to say the Eagles can't find some success offensively against a very beatable Seahawks defense, but with RT Lane Johnson officially out and RB Jordan Howard all but ruled out, they'll need a peak performance from QB Carson Wentz. Of course, Wentz doesn't have his full compliment of wide receivers at his disposal. The Seahawks offense has been outstanding all season and QB Russell Wilson should have a field day picking apart the Eagles overmatched secondary. I'm still not sure the Seahawks WR duo and now trio of Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf and Josh Gordon get nearly enough credit. Take Seattle (10*). |
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11-23-19 | Texas A&M v. Georgia -13 | Top | 13-19 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
CFB SEC Game of the Month. My selection is on Georgia minus the points over Texas A&M at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. Georgia has quietly strung together four straight quality wins, allowing a grand total of just 31 points in the process, since suffering that stunning home loss to South Carolina back on October 12th. Here, I believe the Bulldogs are in a smash spot against Texas A&M. The Aggies are off to a 7-3 start but they've certainly struggled when stepping up in class this season, going winless against the likes of Clemson, Auburn and Alabama. This is another big step-up spot and I look for them to struggle once again. The Aggies will undoubtedly need more from QB Kellen Mond in this one as Georgia will focus on shutting down A&M's vaunted ground attack. Note that Mond hasn't thrown for over 300 yards since September. Georgia's offense hasn't had to be great over the last month or so but I'm confident it can rise to the occasion when needed in this game, which features a relatively low total. Bulldogs QB Jake Fromm completed only 13 passes and threw for just 110 yards in last week's win over Auburn. That was on the road against a better defense than he'll face here, however. Expect a strong bounce-back performance. Take Georgia (10*). |
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11-23-19 | Liberty v. Virginia -16 | Top | 27-55 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
CFB Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Virginia minus the points over Liberty at 12 noon et on Saturday. While the Cavaliers defense stood out early in the season it has been their offense that has really taken off over the last couple of weeks with QB Bryce Perkins rounding into form, RB Wayne Taulapapa remaining a touchdown-machine and WR Terrell Jana developing into a gamebreaker over the last few games. Upstart Liberty has already gained Bowl eligibility but it will be hard-pressed to even stay competitive in this one. While Liberty has won six games, it has also shown some inconsistency, giving up 40+ points against FCS squad Maine and losing outright to lowly Rutgers. After traveling to Provo for a loss to BYU last week, now they stay on the road for a fourth consecutive game - a stretch that has taken the Flames all over the map. I don't think there's any chance Virginia overlooks Liberty here, not after almost suffering an upset loss at the hands of an improving Georgia Tech squad (we won with Georgia Tech on Thursday) last week. Take Virginia (10*). |
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11-22-19 | Colorado State v. Wyoming -6 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wyoming minus the points over Colorado State at 9:30 pm et on Friday. Wyoming became Bowl eligible with a blowout win over Nevada back on October 26th but has gone winless since. That's not overly concerning though as its last two losses came on the road against Boise State and Utah State, and those two setbacks came by a combined eight points. Colorado State can still gain Bowl eligibility by running the table over the final two weeks of the season but that's highly unlikely with this date followed by a home game against Boise State. Simply put, I feel Colorado State owns one of the weakest defenses in the nation and even though Wyoming is by no means an offensive powerhouse, and currently going with backup QB Tyler Vander Waal, who threw three interceptions last time out, I'm confident the Cowboys can inflict some damage here. RB Xzavian Valladay has taken over since the Cowboys starting QB went down, shouldering the bulk of the load on offense running for 444 yards over the last three games. This is a smash spot for him against a Rams defense that allows over five yards per rush this season. Take Wyoming (10*). |
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11-22-19 | Hawks +6.5 v. Pistons | 103-128 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams have struggled out of the gates but I believe the Hawks have a little more upside heading into Friday night's contest in Detroit. Atlanta has had the Pistons number in the Motor City in recent years, winning each of the last two meetings here outright and four straight ATS. Neither team checks in sporting solid form offensively. The Hawks sit 23rd in the league in offensive rating over their last five games while the Pistons are just two spots ahead of them over that same stretch. Atlanta actually pulls up the league rear in terms of defensive rating over its last five games but the Pistons haven't been much better in that regard either, sitting 26th. The reason I believe the Hawks can put one over on Detroit here is the fact that they are second in the league in pace rating over their last five contests while the Pistons rank in the league's bottom-eight. If Atlanta can effectively push the pace here it should be able to really expose a struggling Detroit defense. The Hawks don't play much 'D' themselves, but I'm simply not convinced the Pistons can take advantage. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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11-21-19 | Colts +4 v. Texans | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indianapolis plus the points over Houston at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab the points with the Colts in a matchup where home field rarely means much and the underdog has thrived, going 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. What more could you want from the Colts on the road this season? They opened the campaign with an overtime loss against the Chargers in Los Angeles before upsetting the Titans and Chiefs and then falling by just two points in Pittsburgh. Now they square off against a Texans squad reeling off last week's annihilation at the hands of the red hot Ravens in Baltimore. Save for a blowout win over the Falcons, Houston hasn't had an easy time finding the win column at home, with two of its three victories coming by a combined four points. I don't like the way the Texans defense matches up at all against the Colts passing game, which could get WR T.Y. Hilton back on the field on Thursday night. While the Colts defense will have its hands full with QB DeShaun Watson and WR DeAndre Hopkins, I really don't feel that the Texans offense is all that imposing. Watson will need a monumental effort to bounce-back from last week's rough ride against the Ravens. Take Indianapolis (10*). |
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11-21-19 | Flames +1.5 v. Blues | 0-5 | Loss | -188 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary +1.5 goals over St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Flames are sliding right now, having lost five games in a row - a skid that started with an overtime loss to these same Blues at home on November 9th. They easily could have folded the tent after falling behind 3-0 against Colorado on Tuesday but didn't, battling back but falling just short in a 3-2 loss. It's not as if the Flames have been losing to bad teams. Their five-game losing streak has come at the hands of the Blues, Stars, Coyotes, Knights and Avalanche. The Blues have actually been struggling as well, having dropped three of their last four games, but they did bounce back with a 3-1 win over the Lightning last time out. You would have to go back six games to find the last time they scored more than four goals in a game The Flames are a good hockey team. I don't believe they'll stay down for long, and I certainly think they'll be up for this revenge spot against the defending Stanley Cup champions. Take Calgary +1.5 goals (10*). |
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11-21-19 | NC State v. Georgia Tech -1 | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
CFB ACC Game of the Year. My selection is on Georgia Tech minus the points over N.C. State at 8 pm et on Thursday. N.C. State may own the better overall record, but its a dead heat between these two struggling squads from an ATS perspective with both checking in at a miserable 2-8. I simply feel that the Yellow Jackets have a lot more upside at this point of the season and should defend their home field successfully on Thursday night in Atlanta. N.C. State has lost four games in a row both SU and ATS with its last victory coming in an ugly 16-10 affair against a disappointing Syracuse squad way back on October 10th. The Wolfpack's only other win over the course of their current 2-6 slide came in a non-cover against Ball State. Even though Georgia Tech is coming off a 45-0 drubbing at the hands of Virginia Tech, it hasn't given up on the season, as evidenced by its 2-2 ATS record over its last four games, including a stunning overtime win at Miami and a narrow five-point loss at Virginia. I expect a strong bounce-back from the Jackets here in what is essentially their last shot at a victory this season before taking on Georgia in their annual regular season finale. Take Georgia Tech (10*). |
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11-20-19 | Pistons v. Bulls -1 | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Detroit at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Bulls have only been installed as a short favorite in this one but I believe there's a good chance they run the Pistons off the floor at United Center on Wednesday. Note that Detroit does check in showing excellent form offensively, ranking sixth in the league in offensive rating over its last five games. There are a couple of problems, however. The Pistons are 26th in pace rating over that same stretch and face a Bulls squad that sits in the top half of the league in defensive rating over their last five games as well. Chicago impressively sits atop the league in pace rating over that same period and should be able to take full advantage of a Pistons team that ranks 26th in defensive rating. Take Chicago (10*). |
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11-20-19 | Bucks -11 v. Hawks | 135-127 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. This is an absolute smash spot for the Bucks as they head to Atlanta to take on the Hawks. Milwaukee's offense has lagged a little of late, and we took advantage of that fact by playing the 'under' in its last game in Chicago on Monday night. However, this is a true 'get right' spot against a Hawks squad that ranks dead last in the league in defensive rating over their last five games. Note that over that same stretch, no team ranks higher in pace rating than the Bucks. While Atlanta likes to push the pace as well, and sits right behind the Bucks in pace rating over its last five contests, I'm not sure it will be able to find much success given Milwaukee ranks best in the league in defensive rating over that same stretch. Atlanta's offensive efficiency is lagging right now as it ranks 26th in offensive rating over its last five games. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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11-20-19 | Akron +31.5 v. Miami-OH | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Akron plus the points over Miami-Ohio at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. Akron is winless on the season, not just straight-up but against the spread as well. I believe the Zips end their streak of futility here, however, as they travel to face a Redhawks squad that couldn't be blamed for being a little complacent in this the back-half of consecutive home games against the MAC's two worst teams. The one positive I'll point to as far as Akron goes is QB Kato Nelson. He has actually managed to throw for over 1,600 yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions this season and has now tossed 33 touchdowns compared to just 16 interceptions over the course of his three-year career with the Zips. When these two teams met last season the Redhawks were actually the underdog. Akron has delivered the cash in three of the last four meetings in this series. Take Akron (10*). |
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11-19-19 | Eastern Michigan +5 v. Northern Illinois | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Eastern Michigan minus the points over Northern Illinois at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. Northern Illinois pulled out a win at Toledo last week to keep its slim hopes of reaching a Bowl game alive. Of course, those hopes aren't quite as slim now as they need to win out over their final two regular season games to get to six victories. I believe they'll be hard-pressed to string together a second straight win here, however. Eastern Michigan can likely pick up its sixth win at home against Kent State on Black Friday, but will certainly be motivated to take care of that on Tuesday night in DeKalb. The Eagles are an even 3-3 on the road this season, including a notable win at Illinois and a tough three-point loss at Toledo. I like the progression we've seen from Eagles QB Mike Glass III. While he was throwing more touchdowns earlier in the season he was also throwing a lot more interceptions. In fact, he hasn't tossed a single interception in his last three games. Huskies QB Ross Bowers is back healthy but has thrown just two touchdowns compared to three interceptions since returning and hasn't thrown multiple touchdown passes in a game since August 31st against FCS opponent Illinois State. Take Eastern Michigan (10*). |
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11-18-19 | Thunder v. Clippers -9.5 | 88-90 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Oklahoma City at 10:35 pm et on Monday. This is a favorable spot for the Clippers as they aim to build off of Saturday's incredible 150-point outburst against Atlanta. That win snapped a two-game skid for Los Angeles so this is not time to get complacent. Note that the Thunder check in 17th in offensive rating and 25th in defensive rating over their last five games. That's not to mention their less than impressive 19th standing in pace rating over that stretch. Meanwhile, the Clips are top-12 in offensive rating and top-3 in defensive rating while also sitting an impressive sixth in pace rating. It should only be a matter of time before L.A. pulls away in this one. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
NFL AFC West Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Monday. We missed the mark (barely) with the Chargers last week as they fell by just two points in Oakland. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with Los Angeles here, however, even if this does appear to be an even tougher matchup. First of all, I'm not sure it actually is a tougher matchup. The Raiders are far better than anyone could have anticipated and last week the Chargers found that out first hand. Unlike the Raiders, the Chiefs don't possess a quality defense. Nor does Kansas City have a consistently productive ground attack. QB Patrick Mahomes returned from injury and looked very 'Mahomes-like' in last week's narrow loss in Tennessee, throwing for a season-high as far as pass yards goes. I simply feel that the Chargers, with their excellent offensive balance led by the re-emergence of RB Melvin Gordon, can go blow-for-blow with Andy Reid's Chiefs, just as they did in their most recent meeting last season - a wild 29-28 victory at Arrowhead Stadium on a Thursday night in December. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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11-18-19 | Blazers v. Rockets -7 | 108-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Portland at 8:05 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the surging Rockets as they host the Blazers on Monday night. Portland is coming off a hard-fought road win in San Antonio two nights ago but should find the going a little tougher in this matchup. The Rockets check in top-10 in the league in offensive rating and first overall in defensive rating over their last five games. Not surprisingly they also land top-10 in pace rating. For the Blazers part, they barely land in the top half of the league in offensive rating, bottom-10 in defensive rating, and 16th in pace rating over their last five contests. Take Houston (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Bears v. Rams -6 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Chicago at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. The Bears pulled out a 20-13 win over the Matt Stafford-less Lions last Sunday but now find themselves in a miserable spot traveling west to face the Rams in primetime on Sunday night. Chicago's offense is still broken as far as I'm concerned and the Rams have the ability to make the Bears completely one-dimensional by taking away their ground attack altogether. The addition of Jalen Ramsey gives the Rams the ability to take away their opponents' best weapon in the passing game and in this case, if they can limit WR Allen Robinson they should be able to absolutely cripple the Bears offense. Rams QB Jared Goff has been far from great this season and will likely be under duress for much of the night on Sunday. With that being said, I'm not sure Los Angeles will need to score points in bunches to pull away for a comfortable win here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-10-20 | Wright State -10 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 84-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
01-09-20 | Blazers v. Wolves +2 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
01-09-20 | Louisiana Tech v. Texas-San Antonio +5.5 | Top | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
01-08-20 | UNLV v. Boise State -6.5 | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
01-08-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -3 | 107-106 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
01-07-20 | Kings +6.5 v. Suns | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
01-07-20 | Miami-FL +13.5 v. Louisville | Top | 58-74 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +1 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
01-05-20 | Vikings +8 v. Saints | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
01-04-20 | Bills +3 v. Texans | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
01-03-20 | Knicks +6.5 v. Suns | 112-120 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
01-03-20 | St. Peter's v. Iona -7.5 | 75-74 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
01-02-20 | South Alabama v. UL - Lafayette +3 | Top | 60-57 | Push | 0 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
01-02-20 | Hornets v. Cavs -2 | 109-106 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
01-02-20 | Towson +6.5 v. College of Charleston | 69-81 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
01-02-20 | St. Joe's v. Richmond -12.5 | 52-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
01-01-20 | Baylor +5 v. Georgia | 14-26 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
01-01-20 | Connecticut +2.5 v. Cincinnati | 51-67 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
01-01-20 | Fresno State +13 v. San Diego State | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
12-31-19 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -2.5 | 73-68 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
12-31-19 | Kansas State +3 v. Navy | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
12-31-19 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hornets | 109-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
12-31-19 | Northern Iowa v. Illinois State +5.5 | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
12-31-19 | Kentucky +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
12-30-19 | Mississippi State v. Louisville +5.5 | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
12-30-19 | Western Michigan +3.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
12-29-19 | Bears -3 v. Vikings | 21-19 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
12-29-19 | Jets +1.5 v. Bills | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
12-29-19 | Dolphins v. Patriots -16 | 27-24 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
12-28-19 | Clemson -2 v. Ohio State | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 50 m | Show | |
12-27-19 | USC +3 v. Iowa | 24-49 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
12-27-19 | North Carolina -5.5 v. Temple | 55-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
12-26-19 | Pittsburgh v. Eastern Michigan +13 | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
12-25-19 | Bucks -3.5 v. 76ers | 109-121 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
12-23-19 | Bulls +4.5 v. Magic | 95-103 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
12-23-19 | Canisius v. Siena -5 | Top | 72-73 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
12-23-19 | Long Beach State v. Seattle University -4.5 | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
12-22-19 | Nuggets +7.5 v. Lakers | 128-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
12-22-19 | Charlotte -1.5 v. East Carolina | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
12-22-19 | Chicago State +26.5 v. Indiana State | 64-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
12-22-19 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +20.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 52-76 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
12-22-19 | Ravens v. Browns +10.5 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
12-21-19 | North Carolina -4 v. UCLA | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
12-21-19 | Texans v. Bucs +3.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
12-21-19 | Texas State v. Georgia State -2.5 | 69-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
12-20-19 | Magic +3.5 v. Blazers | 103-118 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | 51-41 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
12-20-19 | Lipscomb +11 v. Vermont | 63-86 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
12-20-19 | Buffalo -6.5 v. Charlotte | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
12-19-19 | Southern Utah v. Long Beach State +1.5 | 84-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
12-19-19 | Lakers v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
12-19-19 | Texas State v. Georgia Southern -2 | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
12-18-19 | Celtics -1.5 v. Mavs | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
12-18-19 | North Carolina +13 v. Gonzaga | 81-94 | Push | 0 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
12-18-19 | Canisius +9.5 v. Buffalo | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
12-17-19 | Nets -2 v. Pelicans | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
12-16-19 | Colts v. Saints -8.5 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 47 h 13 m | Show |
12-15-19 | Patriots -10 v. Bengals | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
12-12-19 | Cavs v. Spurs -11 | 117-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
12-12-19 | Jets v. Ravens -15.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
12-11-19 | Rockets v. Cavs +11.5 | Top | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
12-11-19 | Lakers v. Magic +7.5 | 96-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles -9 | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
12-08-19 | Titans -2.5 v. Raiders | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +7 | Top | 24-17 | Push | 0 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
12-08-19 | Redskins v. Packers -13 | 15-20 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson -28 | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
12-07-19 | Georgia +7.5 v. LSU | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +4 | Top | 136-113 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
12-06-19 | Oregon +7 v. Utah | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
12-06-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -8 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets -2 | 105-96 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
12-03-19 | Pistons -2 v. Cavs | 127-94 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | 30-37 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
12-01-19 | Jets -3 v. Bengals | Top | 6-22 | Loss | -106 | 64 h 10 m | Show |
11-30-19 | Georgia -28 v. Georgia Tech | 52-7 | Win | 100 | 63 h 39 m | Show | |
11-30-19 | Clemson -27 v. South Carolina | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 63 h 33 m | Show | |
11-29-19 | Washington State +8 v. Washington | 13-31 | Loss | -107 | 43 h 53 m | Show | |
11-29-19 | Missouri -12.5 v. Arkansas | 24-14 | Loss | -109 | 41 h 15 m | Show | |
11-28-19 | Saints -6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 26-18 | Win | 100 | 47 h 22 m | Show |
11-28-19 | Bears -3 v. Lions | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 39 h 17 m | Show | |
11-24-19 | Cowboys v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 9-13 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
11-24-19 | Broncos v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
11-24-19 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Eagles | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
11-23-19 | Texas A&M v. Georgia -13 | Top | 13-19 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
11-23-19 | Liberty v. Virginia -16 | Top | 27-55 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
11-22-19 | Colorado State v. Wyoming -6 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
11-22-19 | Hawks +6.5 v. Pistons | 103-128 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
11-21-19 | Colts +4 v. Texans | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
11-21-19 | Flames +1.5 v. Blues | 0-5 | Loss | -188 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
11-21-19 | NC State v. Georgia Tech -1 | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
11-20-19 | Pistons v. Bulls -1 | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
11-20-19 | Bucks -11 v. Hawks | 135-127 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
11-20-19 | Akron +31.5 v. Miami-OH | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
11-19-19 | Eastern Michigan +5 v. Northern Illinois | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
11-18-19 | Thunder v. Clippers -9.5 | 88-90 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
11-18-19 | Blazers v. Rockets -7 | 108-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
11-17-19 | Bears v. Rams -6 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |