Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-12-21 | Hurricanes v. Canucks +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vancouver +1.5 goals over Carolina at 10:05 pm et on Sunday. We're being asked to lay a steep price to grab the insurance goal with the Canucks on Sunday but I believe it's warranted. The Hurricanes are in the midst of a long western road trip and coming off their fourth straight win last night as they skated to a 3-1 victory in Edmonton. They'll give backup goaltender Antti Rantta the start in goal on Sunday. The Canucks are suddenly red hot, winners of five of their last six games. Note that Vancouver has not been kind to Carolina over the years as the Canes have dropped each of their last 10 meetings here. While the Canes are a terrific 12-4 on the road this season they're averaging just 3.1 goals per game so it's not as if they're blowing the doors off the opposition. They're just 6-10 on the road when factoring in the -1.5 puck-line. With two more games left on this homestand, I think the Canucks strong play has some runway left. Take Vancouver +1.5 goals (4*). |
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12-12-21 | Bears v. Packers -12 | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Year. My selection is on Green Bay minus the points over Chicago at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. I absolutely love the way this one sets up for the Packers coming off their bye week. The Bears dropped a 33-22 decision at home against the Cardinals last week in a game that wasn't even as close as the lopsided final score indicated. Arizona could have gotten whatever it wanted offensively in that game and probably could or should have put up 40+ points were it not for taking its foot off the gas with QB Kyler Murray and WR DeAndre Hopkins easing their way back into action after missing time due to injury. Chicago will turn back to rookie Justin Fields under center after Andy Dalton failed to take care of the football in last week's loss. I'm not sure it makes any difference as this is an extremely limited Bears offense regardless who is under center. WR Allen Robinson is expected to return but he hasn't shown any sort of chemistry with Fields. On the flip side, the Packers offense should feast in this matchup. The Bears are shells of their former selves defensively. Six of their last seven opponents have rushed for over 100 yards while the last four teams they've faced have combined to complete 79-of-106 (75%) of their passes. In three meetings going back to the start of last season, Green Bay has scored 41, 35 and 24 points against Chicago. You would have to go back to December of 2018 to find the last time the Bears covered a spread in this series. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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12-12-21 | Pelicans v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Southwest Division Game of the Month. My selection is on San Antonio minus the points over New Orleans at 7:10 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Spurs in Thursday's win over the Nuggets and then successfully faded them in last night's blowout loss in the quick rematch. Here, I'll get behind the Spurs again as they stay home to face the Pelicans on Sunday night. New Orleans is coming off a win over Detroit on Friday, snapping a brief two-game losing streak. Now the Pelicans hit the road where they're just 4-11 this season, outscored by an average margin of 8.6 points. Note that they're a long-term loser at 59-85 ATS when playing on the road off a double-digit win, as is the case here. The Spurs meanwhile are 53-29 ATS when playing at home off a loss by 15+ points, which is the situation they're in tonight off last night's loss to the Nuggets. While they're just 5-8 SU at home this season, they've actually managed to outscore the opposition on average so the margin between a winning and losing record is fairly slim. Take San Antonio (10*). |
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12-12-21 | Monmouth v. Pittsburgh +1 | 56-52 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh plus the points over Monmouth at 7 pm et on Sunday. The Panthers have been playing much better basketball lately and snapped their four-game losing streak with a 71-68 win over Colgate in the first game of the Gotham Classic on Thursday. Keep in mind, their four-game skid included narrow one-point losses against Minnesota and Virginia (on the road). Here, we'll note that Pitt is sending opponents to the free throw line just 14 times per game compared to Monmouth's 21. The Panthers also represent a much different challenge than Monmouth is used to facing as they generally focus on scoring down low rather than from beyond the arc, where most of the Hawks opponents have lived, noting that they've faced 25 three-point attempts per game. Pitt attempts just 15 threes per contest. Monmouth checks in undefeated ATS on the season at a perfect 9-0. Off just its second straight-up loss of the campaign I look for it to have a tough time regaining its footing against Pitt on Sunday. Take Pittsburgh (8*). |
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12-12-21 | Lions v. Broncos -10.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Denver minus the points over Detroit at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. It's pretty easy to envision a scenario where the lowly Lions simply 'punt' this game given the illness that has ravaged the team this week with nearly half of the roster missing practice time at one point or another. That combined with Detroit in a clear letdown spot off its first victory of the season - a truly emotional win given the events that had transpired in Michigan the previous week - and you can understand why I'm not high on the Lions stringing together a second straight solid performance here. Keep in mind, even in last week's win, the Lions defense still struggled. Here, it will go against an often punchless Broncos offense but one that is set up exceptionally well to bounce back nicely following last Sunday's ugly performance in primetime against the Chiefs. With Detroit struggling mightily to defend the pass and the Broncos as healthy as they've been all season at the wide receiver position, this is a smash spot for Teddy Bridgewater and the Denver offense (I know that sounds strange). This will certainly be an emotional game for the Broncos after former WR Demariyus Thomas passed away suddenly earlier this week. Much like they did the last time we saw them on this field against the Chargers, look for the Broncos to come up big at home. Take Denver (10*). |
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12-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. Baylor | 36-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Villanova plus the points over Baylor at 3 pm et on Sunday. Could we be seeing a potential National Title Game preview on Sunday afternoon? I'll go with the Wildcats in this spot as they aim to hand Baylor its first loss of the season. Villanova checks in 7-2 on the campaign with its two losses coming by nine points against UCLA and six points against Purdue - two other national title contenders. The Wildcats could offer a bit of a shock to the system for the Bears here, noting that 'Nova averages a whopping 30 three-point attempts per game (making 12 of those on average) while Baylor has only faced an average of 19 attempts per game from three-point range. Note also that the Wildcats are sending opponents to the free throw line only 13 times per game this season and turning the ball over an average of just nine times. By contrast, the Bears turn it over 12 times per game and send opponents to the line 14 times. Simply put, I don't believe there's a lot separating these two teams at this stage of the season and we're being given a couple of buckets to work with. Take Villanova (10*). |
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12-12-21 | NC State +14 v. Purdue | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on N.C. State plus the points over Purdue at 2 pm et on Sunday. Purdue snagged the number-one ranking in the country and then proceeded to drop a 70-68 decision against Rutgers earlier this week. While the Boilermakers should bounce back with a win here, I question whether they can do so by margin. N.C. State checks in just 1-8 ATS on the campaign but 7-2 straight-up. It's worth noting that the Wolfpack's two losses have come by just six points against Oklahoma State and five points against Louisville - certainly two quality opponents. I like the fact that N.C. State is turning the basketball over just 10 times per game compared to Purdue's 13. The Wolfpack are getting to the free throw line an impressive 25 times per game while sending opponents to the charity stripe only 16 times on average. The Boilers are certainly the more talented team and as I said they should get the win, but they're simply being asked to lay too many points in my opinion. Take N.C. State (8*). |
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12-11-21 | Houston +2.5 v. Alabama | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston plus the points over Alabama at 10 pm et on Saturday. This shapes up as the game of the night as the 14th-ranked Cougars travel to face the 9th-ranked Crimson Tide. We've seen the line flip from Houston being favored to now Alabama laying a bucket. Each team has one loss this season with Houston falling by two points on the road against a tough Wisconsin squad and Alabama dropping a 72-68 decision against Iona. Houston comes off an ATS loss last time out - a game it still won by 32 points over Alcorn State. Following the Cougars two previous ATS defeats this season they've posted wins by 33 points over Rice and 29 points over Oregon. The Crimson Tide already have a big statement win to their credit this season having defeated Gonzaga by nine points in their last game last weekend. Houston is sending opponents to the free throw line just 15 times per game this season and also turning the ball over just 11 times on average. By contrast, Alabama is allowing 20 free throws per contest and turning it over an average of 14 times. I'll grab the points with the underdog Cougars. Take Houston (10*). |
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12-11-21 | Nuggets +1 v. Spurs | Top | 127-112 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Denver plus the points over San Antonio at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. The Nuggets opened as favorites in the front half of this two-game set in San Antonio on Thursday but the line quickly shifted in favor of the Spurs. We won with San Antonio in that contest but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Nuggets as they look for quick revenge on Saturday. Denver was never really all that competitive in Thursday's game, even if it did manage to keep things relatively close in the third quarter. Keep in mind, the Nuggets were playing the second of back-to-back nights after prevailing in overtime in New Orleans the night before. Here, the Spurs won't have the same rest advantage and that should be a difference-maker. The Nuggets did get a triple-double from Nikola Jokic in Thursday's loss. He's being asked to shoulder a lot of the offensive load with a number of key cogs missing due to injury. Road-weary or not, the Nuggets can ill-afford another slip-up here as they wrap up a seven-game road trip. Denver entered Friday's action a full six games back of the Jazz in the Northwest Division. The Spurs have won just once in their last three games on the heels of a four-game winning streak. They entered Friday as one of only four Western Conference teams that have yet to reach 10 wins on the season. Take Denver (10*). |
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12-11-21 | Western Kentucky +6 v. Ole Miss | 71-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Western Kentucky plus the points over Ole Miss at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. We've had to wait a full week, but we finally have an opportunity to fade Ole Miss off last Saturday's gift-wrapped win over Memphis. The Rebels won that game over the Tigers outright as an underdog as Memphis simply couldn't knock down its three-pointers (2-for-11) or free throw attempts (23-for-37) in an embarrassing performance. That was really Ole Miss' only truly impressive win this season and the jury is still out as to how impressive it actually was given the sloppiness of the Tigers in that game. Western Kentucky checks in sporting a less than impressive 5-4 overall record but it has faced a very tough schedule, including three straight November road games against Minnesota, South Carolina and aforementioned Memphis (when the Tigers were playing much better). The Hilltoppers are absolutely a contender in C-USA again this season and we could certainly seem them playing meaningful games in March. These two teams haven't met since back in 2014 when Western Kentucky stunned Ole Miss by an 81-74 score. Another 'upset' could be in the cards here. Take Western Kentucky (10*). |
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12-10-21 | Wisc-Milwaukee +13 v. Colorado | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wisconsin-Milwaukee plus the points over Colorado at 9:30 pm et on Friday. Simply put, I'm not buying what Colorado is selling. The Buffaloes have just two ATS wins in 10 games this season. One of those came against a second-division opponent in Maine. The other came by a single point as a double-digit underdog against UCLA. Milwaukee has been largely disappointing to this point, only managing to post two victories. One of those came in its most recent contest against Robert Morris, however. The Panthers have shot better than 47% in consecutive games and I look for them to build off of those performances here. Colorado really isn't doing anything special to this point, making just four three-pointers per game on average while recording only 11 assists per game compared to 12 turnovers. I simply feel this is a good time to buy-low with Milwaukee, noting that three of its six losses this season have come by six points or less. Take Wisconsin-Milwaukee (10*). |
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12-10-21 | DePaul +9 v. Louisville | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Depaul plus the points over Louisville at 8 pm et on Friday. The Blue Demons are getting very little respect in this one as they check in as nearly double-digit underdogs against Louisville. Depaul has lost just one game and that came by just four points against a Loyola-Chicago squad that will likely be dancing come March. The Blue Demons have held the opposition to just north of 40% this season and they've been extremely disciplined in doing so, limiting opponents to only 14 free throw attempts per game. They're also shooting an impressive 49.2% as a team, having faced opponents that yield just 44.6% shooting on average. Louisville is off to a fine 6-2 start to the season but has only managed to go 4-4 ATS. The Cardinals have relied heavily on their defense to secure victories as they check in shooting just north of 42% as a team and 30.6% from three-point range. They're turning the ball over 15 times on average compared to Depaul's 12. Here, we'll note that Depaul is 33-18 ATS the last 51 times it has come off a double-digit home win, outscored by an average of just 2.6 points in that situation. Take Depaul (8*). |
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12-10-21 | Nets v. Hawks | 113-105 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta over Brooklyn at 7:40 pm et on Friday. The Nets opened their current road trip with a three-point win in Dallas on Tuesday before falling to the red hot Rockets by double-digits on Wednesday. I look for them to have a tough time regaining their footing in Atlanta on Friday night. The Hawks have been idle since defeating the T'Wolves 121-110 on Monday. That was their first victory in three games so they'll certainly be eager to build some positive momentum in this spot, noting that they won't play again until they travel to Houston to face the aforementioned Rockets on Monday. This is a revenge spot for Atlanta after it fell by a 117-108 score in Brooklyn back on November 3rd. Take Atlanta (8*). |
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12-10-21 | Kings v. Hornets +2 | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Sacramento at 7:10 pm et on Friday. Covid issues have hit the Hornets hard but they've remained competitive, coming off consecutive narrow losses at home against the 76ers by three and four-point margins. Here, I look for them to get back in the win column against the Kings before heading out on a tough six-game road trip. Even without a number of key cogs, it's not as if the Hornets are completely bereft of talent. Two nights ago we saw the trio of Kelly Oubre Jr., Gordon Hayward and Miles Bridges pour in 73 points in an overtime loss against Philadelphia. Joel Embiid went off for Philadelphia in that game. It was simply 'one of those nights' and the Hornets weren't able to get the victory. I expect a different story to unfold here. The Kings are coming off three straight wins but still sit three games under .500 on the season. Travelling across the country on just one day of rest off three consecutive victories is a recipe for disaster in the opener of this three-game trip in my opinion. Take Charlotte (8*). |
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12-10-21 | Montana +8 v. James Madison | 6-28 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montana plus the points over James Madison at 7 pm et on Friday. I'll take a shot with the underdog Grizzlies on Friday night as they travel to Virginia to challenge James Madison. Montana sports the number-five rank in FCS while James Madison is number-two. Montana hasn't lost a game since October 16th at the hands of Sacramento State. Its only other defeat this season came against Eastern Washington back on October 2nd - a loss it avenged in the playoffs last week as it prevailed 57-41 in the rematch. While the Grizzlies offense has been lighting it up, I believe its defense can hang in this one as well. It will certainly be challenged against a Dukes squad that has put up 50+ points in three of its last four games. While JMU does sport the higher overall ranking, it has only faced three top-25 ranked FCS squads during its current seven-game winning streak and none of those opponents were ranked higher than 18th. The Dukes did defeat Weber State, which was at the time ranked number-nine, back in mid-September but the Wildcats didn't turn out to be nearly as good as most expected, losing five games and failing to reach the playoffs. The Dukes are certainly tough at home but not unbeatable as they fell against Villanova on this field back in October. I simply feel this battle-tested Montana squad (last two opponents have been number-three and number-four ranked teams in FCS) can give JMU a difficult test on Friday night and we're being given more than a touchdown to work with (at the time of writing). Take Montana (10*). |
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12-09-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs +1.5 | Top | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on San Antonio plus the points over Denver at 8:40 pm et on Thursday. Tough spot for the Nuggets here after they rallied for an overtime win in New Orleans last night. Note that Denver hasn't posted consecutive wins since posting five straight victories back in early November. The Spurs, meanwhile, saw their four-game winning streak come to an end in Phoenix on Monday before dropping a double-digit decision at home against the Knicks the next night. I look for them to regain their footing here, noting that they've gone 30-15 ATS when revenging a road loss against an opponent over the last 2+ seasons, as is the case here after they lost by six points in Denver back in October. The Nuggets on the other hand are a woeful 16-30 ATS in their last 46 games off a road win. Take San Antonio (10*). |
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12-09-21 | Monmouth v. St. John's -8 | 83-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. John's minus the points over Monmouth at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. Credit Monmouth for going a perfect 8-0 ATS to open the season but I think that streak ends here. St. John's comes in off five consecutive ATS losses but keep in mind it was favored by 16 points or more in four of those games and the other came against mighty Kansas. Here, we're being offered a much more favorable line to back the Red Storm and I expect them to deliver a double-digit win. This is a bit of a case of 'anything you can do I can do better'. St. John's is averaging nearly twice as many assists per game, steals per game and forced turnovers per contest. Checking in a perfect 6-0 on their home floor while outscoring opponents by right around 20 points per game, I question whether Monmouth can keep pace in this one. The Hawks are coming off a 14-point win over Canisius but that was a game in which the Griffins were missing arguably their best player in Malek Green. No such luck for the Hawks here as they run into a St. John's squad that will be eager to get rolling in their first game at the 'Gotham Classic'. Take St. John's (10*). |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -3 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Pittsburgh at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. Seeing plenty of love for the Steelers catching points in this Thursday night matchup but I can't say I agree. Extended losing streaks have been few and far between for the Vikings over the years, noting that they're 57-33 ATS in their last 90 games following consecutive losses. They've yet to lose three games in a row this season despite their 5-7 record. Believe it or not they're still alive in the NFC playoff hunt and I look for them to come up big in this primetime game at home. Yes, Minnesota will be without Dalvin Cook and Adam Thielen for this game. With that being said, backup RB Alexander Mattison has been every bit as effective as Cook while the duo of Justin Jefferson and K.J. Osborn are more than capable of picking up the slack in Thielen's absence. The Vikes defense is certainly a concern but let's not act like the Steelers 'D' has been iron clad either. Note that Pittsburgh's two highest point totals allowed this season have come in their last three games. Take Minnesota (8*). |
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12-08-21 | Blazers v. Warriors -13.5 | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Portland at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday. The straight-up winner has now covered the spread in 20 consecutive games involving the Golden State Warriors. That's a trend I see continuing on Wednesday night as the Warriors welcome the reeling Trail Blazers to San Francisco. The Blazers are of course still without Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum, among others. Two of Portland's three lowest-scoring efforts of the season have come in its last three contests. As for Golden State, it matched its second-highest scoring production of the season in Monday's 126-95 rout of the Magic. Still, this is a team that has lost two of its last four games so I don't expect it to overlook the undermanned Blazers on Wednesday. Note that the Warriors already defeated a healthier Portland squad by 15 points here back in November. Take Golden State (9*). |
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12-08-21 | Drake -20 v. Nebraska-Omaha | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week. My selection is on Drake minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha at 9 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams enter Wednesday's game on extended ATS losing streaks but I certainly feel that Drake is in better position to end its skid in this spot. The Bulldogs couldn't have played much better in their last two games but the opposition ended up shooting well and keeping them from ATS victories (they did win both of those games straight-up). In those two contests, Drake committed just 16 turnovers and shot 45.7% from the field. By contrast, Omaha has turned the ball over a whopping 31 times over its last two contests. It did manage to shoot better than 47% from the field last time out but that was against a 'defense-optional' Eastern Washington squad. Omaha remains one of the worst offensive teams in the country, averaging just 59.1 points per game on 36.5% shooting this season. Drake has a chance to be the class of an ultra-competitive Missouri Valley Conference this season with five returning starters. Don't be fooled by the Bulldogs modest 5-3 record as their three losses came against potential NCAA Tournament teams in Belmont, Alabama and North Texas. Take Drake (10*). |
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12-08-21 | Canisius v. Northern Kentucky -6.5 | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Kentucky minus the points over Canisius at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Northern Kentucky has just one win in six games this season but that's largely due to a sneaky-tough schedule. Sure, considering they've been favored in four of their first six contests, the Norse would have liked to have earned more than a single victory. That should only fuel their fire as they host a beatable Canisius squad that may or may not be without its super sixth-man Malek Green after he missed Sunday's game due to a sore ankle. The Golden Griffins are also off to a disappointing start. Their only two victories this season have come against Fredonia State and Coppin State, with the latter victory coming by just a single point as 10-point favorites. Canisius' game is largely built on spotting up from three and knocking those shots down. Unfortunately they just haven't been falling so far this season (31.6% from three-point range) and they don't figure to right the ship here with Northern Kentucky holding the opposition to just 32.5% three-point shooting on the season. This looks like an excellent 'get right' spot for the Norse offense against a Canisius defense that has allowed opponents to shoot better than 48% from the field this season. Take Northern Kentucky (8*). |
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12-08-21 | Young Boys Bern v. Manchester United -1.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Champions League Game of the Month. My selection is on Manchester United -1 goal over Young Boys at 3 pm et on Wednesday. Changes will be made to the Manchester United side as it has already secured advancement to the next round of Champions League play. That doesn't mean the Red Devils will roll over in this rematch with Young Boys after dropping a 2-1 decision in the reverse match in Switzerland back in September. Keep in mind, Man U grabbed an early 1-0 lead in that match before a red card foiled its gameplan shortly after. Here, the Red Devils will look to gain an ounce of revenge, even if the result means little to them. Young Boys desperately need a win but also some help to book advancement to the next round. They bring poor form to the table having struggled in league play, largely due to a number of key absences due to injury. Even without a number of its regular starts, I'm confident we'll see Manchester United secure victory here as interim manager Ralf Rangnick is determined to see his squad boost its confidence off Sunday's clean sheet victory over Crystal Palace and ahead of a weekend clash with lowly Norwich City in EPL action. Take Manchester United -1 (10*). |
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12-07-21 | Celtics v. Lakers -2.5 | Top | 102-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
NBA on TNT Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Boston at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. It's been an eventful road trip for the Celtics already as they've been involved in a pair of very high-scoring games against the Jazz and Blazers, managing to earn a 1-1 split thanks to a 145-point explosion last time out in Portland. Here, I like the Lakers to get back on track following a tough loss to the Clippers and gain an ounce of revenge in the process after suffering a lopsided loss in Boston earlier this season. Note that Los Angeles has managed to follow each of its last three losses with wins and this is certainly a key spot before playing five of its next six games on the road. The Lakers are actually in a double-revenge spot here after dropping the last meeting last season as well by a 121-113 score here at home. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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12-07-21 | Panthers v. Blues +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis +1.5 goals over Florida at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Blues check in having dropped consecutive games while the Panthers have won three games in a row. Keep in mind, all three of those Panther victories came on home ice. That includes a 4-3 come-from-behind overtime win over St. Louis on Saturday. Now the Cats hit the road, where they're just 3-6 this season, averaging a full goal less than their season scoring average. As for the Blues, they've won four games in a row at home. While they're still likely going to be without starting goaltender Jordan Binnington, backup Ville Husso hasn't really been the problem over the last two games as he's faced a whopping 86 shots. Look for St. Louis to tighten things up defensively here, noting that it allows just 2.5 goals per game one home ice this season. I believe the case can be made that the wrong team is being favored, but we'll grab the insurance goal since it's being offered. Take St. Louis +1.5 goals (6*). |
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12-07-21 | Nets v. Mavs +2.5 | 102-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Mavs will be looking to salvage the finale of their three-game homestand on Tuesday after suffering losses at the hands of the Grizzlies and Pelicans. The hope is that they'll have both Kristaps Porzingis and Luka Doncic back for this game but it at the very least looks like Porzingis will be back in the lineup. I like the fact that we're catching points with the Mavs here noting that the Nets have managed to cover the spread just once in their last nine games. This is a big spot for the Mavs as they look to stop the bleeding before heading out on the road for three in a row. While the Nets do check in playing well offensively, it has come at the expense of their defense it seems as they've allowed 104 points or more in seven straight contests. Take Dallas (8*). |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -117 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
MNF Game of the Month. My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over New England at 8:15 pm et on Monday. I feel a bit like I'm in some sort of bizarro world with the Bills laying less than a field goal at home against the Patriots on Monday. New England has suddenly become the hunted as it enters Monday's action tied for the AFC's best record at 8-4, holding tie-breakers over the Ravens and Titans so essentially sitting as the conference's number one seed. The Bills can pull even with a victory on Monday night and I expect them to accomplish just that. New England has really played in just two true 'step up' games this season and it lost both against Tampa Bay and Dallas. There have been other tough games to be sure, perhaps most notably a 27-24 road win over the Chargers, but this is going to be one of its stiffest tests of the campaign. The Bills are without one of their best defensive players in Tre'Davious White but the Patriots will likely be without Kyle Dugger as well, so those absences somewhat offset one another. Offensively, the Pats don't have the likes of Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs. Mac Jones has been great and is certainly worthy of consideration for Rookie of the Year but the real key to the New England offense is the underrated stable of running backs. Here's the problem though; the Bills have held the opposition to just 3.9 yards per rush this season with that number improving to 3.2 against divisional foes. That's not to mention the fact that they've allowed just 5.3 yards per pass attmept and the league's fewest completions of 20+ yards. After facing the Panthers, Browns, Falcons and Titans (without Derrick Henry, Julio Jones and A.J. Brown) in consecutive games, the Pats are in for a shock to the system here. The Bills ran roughshod against a very similar Pats defense in two meetings last season, scoring a whopping 62 points in the process. I like the fact that the Buffalo bandwagon cleared significantly following losses to the Jaguars and Colts. Time to back the Bills on Monday. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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12-05-21 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle plus the points over San Francisco at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. This is a textbook fade of the 49ers after they posted three consecutive wins, scoring 30+ points in all three of those contests. Injuries always seem to be an issue when it comes to San Fran and here, they'll be without both WR Deebo Samuel and LB Fred Warner. The Seahawks showed a few positive flashes in Monday's ugly 17-15 loss in Washington but for the most part, bettors are way down on the team from the Pacific Northwest. Having matched a season-long three-game losing streak, I do think the Seahawks get up for this divisional home game. Note that the last time they faced the 49ers they were also down-trodden off consecutive losses and rose to the occasion with a 28-21 win on the road in the first week of October. The clock is most likely ticking on the Russell Wilson and/or Pete Carroll era in Seattle. Noting that the 'Hawks are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring 17 points or less in three straight games and 55-33 ATS off consecutive losses, I do look for them to give the Niners all they can handle on Sunday afternoon. Take Seattle (10*). |
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12-05-21 | Western Illinois v. Central Michigan +5.5 | 97-70 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Central Michigan plus the points over Western Illinois at 2 pm et on Sunday. This situation sets up well for the 1-6 Chippewas as they finally get a chance to catch their breath after facing a ridiculously tough schedule to open the campaign. The Chips shot a miserable 31% from the field in a 33-point rout at the hands of Xavier on December 1st. Their schedule has included games against Missouri, Depaul, Gonzaga, Kentucky and aforementioned Xavier. They've been favored in just one game so far this season and that was their lone victory against Eastern Illinois. Western Illinois is off to a 7-2 start and shot a blistering 52% from the field in a 17-point rout of Tennessee-Martin yesterday. Keep in mind, it was favored by double-digits in that contest. Off three straight victories and in this back-to-back spot, I think Western Illinois would simply be happy to earn a victory here - winning by margin should prove difficult. Note that CMU won by six, pushing the closing line of -6 in a road win over Western Illinois last season. We're talking about a considerable pointspread swing here due to the Chips lack of returning talent. I believe that swing will prove too steep. Take Central Michigan (8*). |
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12-04-21 | Iowa State v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 64-58 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Creighton minus the points over Iowa State at 9 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this one sets up for Creighton as it hosts undefeated Iowa State on Saturday night. We actually won with the Cyclones in their outright upset win over Xavier in last week's NIT Tip-off Tournament in Brooklyn. They're off to an impressive 7-0 start that also includes a victory over a team that entered the season with National Title aspirations in Memphis. Still, I expect the Blue Jays to prove to be too much for the Cyclones on this night. Creighton has just one loss on the season and while it checks in with a poor 3-5 ATS record it was asked to lay more points than it is here tonight in four of those five previous ATS defeats. The Blue Jays do come in with some positive momentum after laying waste to a quality North Dakota State team last time out, winning by 25 points as eight-point favorites. While Creighton is known for its offense, it has put on a defensive clinic here at home this season, holding opponents to just 60.2 points per game on 35.3% shooting. Here, we'll note that Creighton is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six games after giving up 60 or less points, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 20.5 points. Take Creighton (10*). |
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12-04-21 | Wake Forest v. Pittsburgh -3 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Year. My selection is on Pittsburgh minus the points over Wake Forest at 8 pm et on Saturday. This should be an entertaining affair between two teams that have brought a 'defense-optional' mentality to the table this season. I simply have more faith in the Panthers to get a few more stops than I do in the Demon Deacons to do so on Saturday night in Charlotte. Both teams come in sporting identical overall records but it's the Panthers that bring better form to the table. Wake Forest is just one game removed from dropping an ugly 48-27 decision against Clemson which as we know endured a down season. There was also a blown opportunity in Chapel Hill just a month ago as the Demon Deacons fell by a score of 58-55. Holding onto leads and keeping opponents out of the end zone has been a major problem for Wake Forest this season and it will undoubtedly have its hands full with Pitt on Saturday. The Panthers are coming off four straight wins and save for a somewhat inexplicable home loss to Miami have been lights out since the start of October (there was also an early season home loss against Western Michigan). This is a team that I believe has really grown over the course of the season - that was certainly evident in recent hard-fought wins over North Carolina and Virginia that previous Pitt squads may have faltered in. As much as I like what Sam Hartman and Wake can do offensively, I'm not confident that its defense can do anything to slow a highly-efficient Pitt offense here. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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12-04-21 | Houston +10.5 v. Cincinnati | 20-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston plus the points over Cincinnati at 4 pm et on Saturday. I'm a believer in this Houston team and think it can finally give Cincinnati a run after dropping the last two matchups in this series in blowout fashion. The Bearcats are the hunted at this point as they try to hold on to their undefeated record and potentially earn a coveted CFP spot. The blowout win over SMU two weeks ago was impressive to say the least, but we know that the Bearcats aren't invincible. We saw it in a narrow win over Tulsa. We saw it in an eventual lopsided result at Tulane. Even last week, the Bearcats didn't look overly impressive in disposing of East Carolina by a 35-13 score as they turned the ball over three times, ran for less than four yards per rush and completed only 17 passes. Houston, meanwhile, has gone undefeated since opening the season with a tough loss to Texas Tech. The Cougars have demolished the majority of their opponents and it hasn't seemed to matter where they play, they've brought their 'A' game. I'm not sure that the Cincinnati defense has been quite as good as advertised with all of its talent and experience this season and I think Houston can find some success offensively in this one. The Bearcats likely once again get into the 30's, just as they have in the last two matchups between these teams, but this time the Cougars keep pace. Take Houston (7*). |
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12-04-21 | Georgia -6 v. Alabama | 24-41 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia minus the points over Alabama at 4 pm et on Saturday. There's a lot of talk about whether Alabama will get into the CFP by taking Georgia down to the wire, or perhaps even to overtime in Saturday's SEC Championship Game. I don't think we'll have to worry about that conversation as I expect the Bulldogs to win this one going away. It's not often we see Georgia favored in this series. In fact this is the first time it has been since back in 2015 when it was a -1.5-point favorite and lost by four touchdowns. I expect this game to play our much differently, however. The fact that Alabama needed overtime to get past Auburn in the Iron Bowl last Saturday was no fluke. The Crimson Tide just aren't the same juggernaut this season that we've been accustomed to seeing over the years. It happens. Not often, but it happens. Meanwhile, Georgia hasn't received nearly as much press as 'Bama (in my opinion anyway) but it continues to churn along, fresh off a 45-0 no-sweat rout of in-state rival Georgia Tech last Saturday. In fact, the Bulldogs really haven't had to break a sweat since pulling out a 10-3 win over Clemson way back in Week 1. Some would say that Alabama is more battle-tested. When it comes to college football though, I'll take the fresher team when the talent is virtually equal. Take Georgia (9*). |
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12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -6 | Top | 46-13 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
CFB Conference Championship Game of the Year. My selection is on San Diego State minus the points over Utah State at 3 pm et on Saturday. We won with Utah State in last week's rout of New Mexico State while also cashing the 'under' in San Diego State's victory over Boise State. Here, I won't hesitate to lay the points with the Aztecs as I believe they match up well against Utah State's high-powered offensive attack. Yes, the Aggies can score. They have one of the most explosive offenses in the nation led by QB Carson Strong. I think they're going to be overmatched against an elite San Diego State defense here. After falling behind early we saw the Aztecs defense absolutely manhandle a good Boise State offense last Friday. Only Nevada has managed to throw on San Diego State this season and in that game the Wolfpack completely abandoned their ground game, running the ball only 15 times for a grand total of eight positive yards. The Aggies will look to run it a little bit but will likely run into a brick wall given the Aztecs have allowed just 2.6 yards per rush this season. Keep in mind, Utah State was held to only 17 points in a blowout loss against a quality Wyoming defense just two games back. Utah State hasn't fared well as an underdog in this series. In fact, the last three times it has been in that position it has lost by 31 (2020), 27 (2016) and 34 (2010) points. Take San Diego State (10*). |
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12-04-21 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -5.5 | 21-16 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma State minus the points over Baylor at 12 noon et on Saturday. We lost with Baylor in the first matchup between these two teams this season in a game that the Bears really had no business even sniffing out a cover in. The reality was, the Bears came within one stop (or one more first down by the Cowboys) of covering the pointspread in an eventual 10-point loss in Stillwater. Here, I don't expect things to be even that close. The Baylor defense was better positioned to go toe-to-toe in a slugfest with the Cowboys on that night. Now we find the Bears coming off a number of tight, hard-fought affairs and I can't help but think we might see them finally give in should they fall behind on Saturday. Oklahoma State has ravaged the majority of its recent opponents, up until Bedlam against rival Oklahoma last Saturday anyway. The Cowboys still ultimately prevailed in that rivalry showdown and I look for them to build off that performance and take another big step toward legitimate respectability on Saturday. Yes, they've earned plenty of respect this season, but not at the same level as some of the other power programs, despite their impressive play. Note that while the last matchup in this series was relatively close, the one before that went the Cowboys way by 39 points last December. Take Oklahoma State (9*). |
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12-04-21 | Memphis -1 v. Ole Miss | 63-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis minus the points over Ole Miss at 12 noon et on Saturday. We'll take a flyer on Penny Hardaway's Memphis Tigers as they try to bounce back from consecutive losses on Saturday. That mini-slump started with a stunning blowout loss against upstart Iowa State in the Championship Game of the NIT Tip-off Tournament in Brooklyn last week. The Tigers followed that up with a narrow three-point setback at Georgia. Here, they'll be looking to come away with something positive from this two-game SEC road trip. Ole Miss, on the other hand, is 'fat and happy' off consecutive double-digit wins albeit against vastly inferior opponents. In fact, this is the first time the Rebels will be in an underdog role this season so there is some reason to pump the brakes on their solid 5-2 record. Take Memphis (7*). |
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12-03-21 | Oregon +3 v. Utah | 10-38 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oregon plus the points over Utah at 8 pm et on Friday. We won with Utah in the first matchup between these two teams two weeks ago but in Friday's Pac-12 Championship Game I'll go the other way and back the Ducks after we cashed with them in last week's win over rival Oregon State. Everything went wrong for Oregon in that aforementioned first meeting. The Ducks simply couldn't get anything going on offense and once they fell behind by a considerable margin they were forced to abandon their gameplan entirely. It's not as if the Utah offense accomplished much in that game though. The Utes ran for right around 4.0 yards per rush and completed only 10 passes. Here, we'll note that all three of Utah's losses this season came away from home. I don't think this is a team necessarily built for the fast track at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Yes, Oregon also suffered both of its losses on the road this season. However, it also notched a win over National Championship contender Ohio State at the Horseshoe in Columbus. We haven't seen either team take consecutive wins in this series since the Ducks won in 2016 and 2017. Back-to-back wins for the Utes haven't come since they strung together consecutive victories over the Ducks between 1991 and 1994. Take Oregon (8*). |
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12-03-21 | Western Kentucky -3 v. UTSA | 41-49 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Western Kentucky minus the points over UTSA at 7 pm et on Friday. Western Kentucky might be the best team no one is paying attention to as we head into Conference Championship weekend. The Hilltoppers haven't lost since dropping a 52-46 decision against the same UTSA squad they'll face in Friday's C-USA Championship Game - reeling off seven straight wins while going 6-1 ATS in the process. That earlier showdown with the Roadrunners came at a tough time for the Hilltoppers as they were beaten down following three consecutive games against Army, Indiana and Michigan State. Needless to say, the Hilltoppers will be looking for an ounce of revenge in this one. The Roadrunners have received far more press this season thanks to their flawless 11-0 record before falling by 22 points on the road against North Texas last week. You could argue that was a 'meaningless' game so it was no surprise UTSA lost. However, if it was meaningless, why were QB Frank Harris and RB Sincere McCormick on the field? The Roadrunners enter this contest having dropped the cash in three straight games. While their passing game was efficient early in the season, that hasn't been the case down the stretch as they've completed just 102-of-171 (59.6%) of their passes over the last six games. With a total sitting in the low-70's this game obviously has high shootout potential and in that situation, I favor the Hilltoppers and their electric offense that has moved the ball at will through the air all season long. Interestingly, the Roadrunners haven't really faced any offenses of the sort since running into the Hilltoppers earlier this season (note that WKU racked up over 500 passing yards in that wild 52-46 loss). The Hilltoppers were favored by 3.5 points in the first matchup this season. I actually think they're in an even better spot here as the perfect conditions inside the Alamodome favor their explosive offense. Take Western Kentucky (9*). |
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12-02-21 | Valparaiso v. Drake -12.5 | 66-73 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Drake minus the points over Valparaiso at 9 pm et on Thursday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Drake Bulldogs on Thursday night as they look to put a three-game losing streak behind them and lay waste to an overmatched Valpo squad. We actually won with Valpo last week as it staged an outright upset of Jacksonville State. Since then, the Beacons have gone 2-1 but will be taking a big step up in class in their Missouri Valley Conference opener against Drake on Thursday. The Bulldogs, along with Loyola-Chicago, can be considered the class of the MVC. It's a competitive conference to be sure, as we noted in last night's play on Evansville over Southern Illinois. However, it is a little top-heavy. Yes, the Bulldogs enter this game on a three-game slide, but those three losses came against very capable opponents in Belmont, Alabama and North Texas and all three games were close. Prior to that stretch, Drake had opened the season with three straight wins including a 99-50 dismantling of South Dakota. While I do think we've seen the best we're going to get from Valpo (in that comeback win over Jacksonville State), I don't believe the same can be said for Drake. This is certainly a game that it has had circled since that loss to North Texas last weekend and I look for the Bulldogs to roll, noting that they've gone 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite, outscoring opponents by a whopping average margin of 23.9 points. Meanwhile, Valpo is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 80+ points in its last contest, as is the case here. Take Drake (10*). |
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12-02-21 | Bulls v. Knicks +2 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month. My selection is on New York plus the points over Chicago at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. The Knicks have been extremely uneven this season. They check into Thursday's showdown against the division-rival Bulls sporting an 11-10 overall record. They have managed to split a pair of meetings with the Bulls, both in Chicago, with the lone loss coming by a single point. I simply feel that the case can be made that the wrong team is being favored in this one. Chicago couldn't miss in Tuesday's blowout home win over the Hornets. The Bulls shot just shy of 60% from the field in that game. I wouldn't count on a repeat performance here. The Knicks allowed the Nets to shoot better than 48% two nights ago - only the third time this season they've yielded north of 48% shooting. The last two times they did so, they held their next opponent to just 38.5% and 35.5% shooting, going 2-0 SU and ATS in those two contests. Here, we'll note that the Knicks are an incredible 30-9 ATS in their last 39 games with a pointspread between +3 and -3, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 5.2 points. They're also 37-19 ATS in their last 56 games when revenging a same-season loss against an opponent. While New York is likely to be without R.J. Barrett in this one that's perhaps not as big of a concern as it's being made out to be as Barrett has struggled, topping out at 17 points in his last 12 games after scoring 20 points or more in his previous five contests. Take New York (10*). |
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12-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder -3 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over Houston at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. It's never easy to back a team after it just got hammered by the same opponent two nights earlier, but that's what we're going to do with the Thunder on Wednesday. Houston rolled to a 102-89 win over Oklahoma City on Monday - marking its third straight victory. Keep in mind, all three of those wins came at home. The Rockets check in 0-11 on the road, where they've been outscored by an average margin of 12.5 points this season. The Thunder enter this contest riding a six-game losing streak but Monday's blowout loss was actually their first ATS loss in their last seven games. After shooting a woeful 35.6% from the field on Monday, I look for a strong bounce-back performance here as the schedule only gets tougher with a three-game road trip up next. Note that the Rockets are just 12-23 ATS the last 35 times they've come off an ATS victory, outscored by 8.5 points on average in that situation. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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12-01-21 | South Carolina v. Coastal Carolina +6.5 | Top | 56-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week. My selection is on Coastal Carolina plus the points over South Carolina at 7 pm et on Wednesday. While the Coastal Carolina football program has been making most of the noise going back to last season, the basketball team can play as well. The Chanticleers check in just 2-2 on the season but I expect them to give South Carolina a run on Wednesday night. The Gamecocks have reeled off four straight wins, going 3-1 ATS in the process. It's worth noting though that they're turning the ball over 17 times a game compared to Coastal Carolina's average of only 10. Riding a winning streak and with a big showdown against Georgetown on deck, it would be easy for the relatively inexperienced to overlook the Chanticleers here. Note that South Carolina has been outscored by an average margin of 3.3 points in its last 15 games when coming off a win and has also been outscored by 3.0 points on average in its last 21 lined road contests. Take Coastal Carolina (10*). |
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11-29-21 | Hornets +5.5 v. Bulls | 119-133 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Monday. With the Hornets coming off an embarrassing loss in Houston two nights ago the majority of bettors will undoubtedly be looking to back the Bulls at home on Monday night. After all, Chicago has taken three straight meetings in this series, both SU and ATS. It is worth noting, however, that the last time the Bulls hosted the Hornets they closed as just 1.5-point favorites. I believe we're getting considerable value with Charlotte here, noting that despite Saturday's upset loss still checks in a solid 7-2-1 ATS over its last 10 games. The Bulls, meanwhile, have dropped the cash in three of their last four contests and have only managed to split their last 14 games from an ATS perspective. It's certainly worth noting that the Hornets are averaging an impressive 114.2 points per game against opponents that allow an average of just 107.0 ppg this season. While their defensive play has left a lot to be desired the Bulls aren't particularly imposing from an offensive standpoint, averaging just 106.5 ppg and outscoring the opposition by only 3.3 points on average at the United Center this season. Take Charlotte (8*). |
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11-28-21 | Chargers -2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
AFC West Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Denver at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. Somewhat inexplicably, the Broncos would actually pull even with the Chargers in the AFC West standings with a victory on Sunday. I don't think we'll see them get it though. Los Angeles has been a bit of a perplexing case this season and enters this game off consecutive ATS losses. There's no reason for the Chargers to be anything but confident after enduring a furious Steelers comeback last Sunday night in L.A. The Broncos meanwhile come off their bye week, which came on the heels of a blowout home loss against the Eagles (we won with Philadelphia in that game). Chargers QB Justin Herbert has had some success in two previous matchups against Vic Fangio's Broncos while Denver has proven to be vulnerable against the run and Chargers RB Austin Ekeler is playing some of the best football of his career right now. Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater does have his full compliment of weapons back at his disposal but Denver's offensive line remains a concern. Until the Broncos hand the reins over to rookie RB JaVonte Williams rather than veteran Melvin Gordon I believe their offense will be held back. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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11-27-21 | Pelicans v. Jazz -12.5 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Utah minus the points over New Orleans at 9:10 pm et on Saturday. I think a lot of bettors are spooked when it comes to the Jazz and can you really blame them after Utah dropped a stunning 98-97 decision against these same Pelicans on Friday as a 13.5-point favorite. I'm not overly concerned about the Jazz's uneven play recently and fully expect them to bounce back with a strong performance on Saturday night. Last night's game really amounted to a 'perfect storm' of sorts for the Jazz. Rudy Gobert scored only nine points. Donovan Mitchell shot 6-of-21 from the field. Jordan Clarkson - usually a steady contributor off the bench - shot 3-of-12 and managed only seven points. There was really nothing particularly special about New Orleans' performance. It scored right around its season average on the road. While the Pelicans have now won consecutive games, keep in mind, this is a team that has lost games by 16 points in Chicago, 13 points in Sacramento, 41 points in Golden State, 16 points in Dallas, 15 points in Miami, 17 points in Indiana...you get the picture. Meanwhile, half of Utah's six home victories this season have come by at least 16 points. The Jazz check in a solid 65-42 ATS when playing at home off an upset loss as a home favorite. Take Utah (10*). |
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11-27-21 | Oregon State v. Oregon -6.5 | Top | 29-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
CFB Pac-12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Oregon minus the points over Oregon State at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. We won by fading Oregon in its blowout loss on the road against Utah last week. I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the Ducks as they host the 'Civil War' against rival Oregon State on Saturday. The Ducks have been dealt blow after blow in terms of injuries this season but they've persevered and check into this regular season finale sporting a 9-2 record. While most are down on the Ducks after last week's ugly performance, we're being afforded a short pointspread in my opinion. Oregon State is 'fat and happy' off consecutive home wins to become Bowl eligible. The Beavers certainly want to run the football but here they're facing an Oregon squad that allows just 3.5 yards per rush against opponents that average 4.3 yards per rush. Oregon State has only posted more than 19 pass completions once in its last nine games and that came against lowly Colorado. Note that Oregon has held its last three opponents to just 45-of-81 (56%) passing for 569 yards. Take Oregon (10*). |
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11-27-21 | Miami-FL -21 v. Duke | Top | 47-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Week. My selection is on Miami minus the points over Duke at 12:30 pm et on Saturday. Duke's season mercifully comes to an end on Saturday as it hosts Miami in yet another unfavorable spot. The Blue Devils season has been circling the drain for weeks - months really. They enter this contest having dropped the cash in five straight games and have been absolutely throttled by opposing offenses, allowing 45 points or more in all five of those ATS losses. While they have managed to score 29, 17 and 22 points over their last three games, there's little reason for optimism here. Note that in last week's 62-22 rout at the hands of Louisville they attempted a whopping 50 passes but gained only 275 yards through the air. Duke's ground attack has churned out plenty of yardage but it's been volume-based. Miami's defensive weakness this season has been against the pass but much of the damage was done in just two games - against Alabama and Pittsburgh. I don't need to tell you that Duke isn't Alabama or Pitt. When these two teams met last season Miami rolled to a 48-0 victory. We're dealing with a higher pointspread this time around but I believe the move is warranted. The Hurricanes have caught a spark down the stretch and can improve their Bowl standing with a victory here. Take Miami (10*). |
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11-26-21 | North Carolina +6.5 v. NC State | 30-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina plus the points over North Carolina State at 7 pm et on Friday. You can be sure the Tar Heels would like nothing more than to spoil the Wolfpack's chances of reaching the ACC Championship Game with a victory here on Friday night. It's been a largely disappointing season for North Carolina but all is certainly not lost. The Tar Heels will still be going Bowling and can perhaps improve their standing in that regard with a win over in-state rival N.C. State here. This matchup has actually been no contest in the last two meetings with North Carolina rolling to a 41-10 road win two years ago before delivering a 48-21 victory in Chapel Hill last season. The Tar Heels were double-digit favorites in both of those games and have to feel at least a little bit disrespected as nearly touchdown underdogs in this one. Yes, QB Sam Howell is banged-up with an apparent injury to his non-throwing shoulder but he was held out of last week's game as a precaution and is expected to play on Friday night. The real star of the Tar Heels show has become their ground game anyway. They're churning out 212 rush yards per game on 5.3 yards per rush this season. Of course their aerial attack remains a real factor, averaging nearly 500 passing yards per game on 8.9 yards per pass attempt. While N.C. State enters this game 'fat and happy' off a 41-17 drubbing of Syracuse and sporting a perfect 6-0 home record this season, North Carolina has yet to taste victory away from Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels couldn't have gotten off to much worse of a start on the road against Pittsburgh two games back but in spite of that still managed to force overtime in an eventual 30-23 loss. They also gave an outstanding Notre Dame squad a run in a 44-34 loss in South Bend back on October 30th. My point is, as bad as things have gone for UNC at times this season, there have been some positives and I don't expect them to go away quietly on Friday night. Take North Carolina (8*). |
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11-26-21 | Utah State -16.5 v. New Mexico | 35-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah State minus the points over New Mexico at 1 pm et on Friday. I think we would be dealing with a considerably higher pointspread here were it not for the egg laid by Utah State in last week's game in Wyoming. The Aggies actually still have a slim chance at winning their division and earning a spot in the Mountain West Conference Championship game, but only if they win here on Friday. The timing of this game is key. For the Aggies to steal a division title they'll need both Boise State and Air Force to lose. Boise's game starts just an hour earlier and it's a tough one against San Diego State. Air Force doesn't kick off until later in the afternoon. Expect the Aggies to show up for this one and that might be all they have to do against a New Mexico squad whose season has been circling the drain for months really. The Lobos offense is as lifeless as it gets. They've scored a grand total of 24 points over their last three games and were shut out by Boise State last week. You would assume their defense would show up here in the season finale but this is certainly a tough matchup against an explosive Utah State offense that will be determined to erase the memory of last week's debacle against Wyoming. Take Utah State (9*). |
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11-25-21 | Maryland v. Richmond +1.5 | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Richmond plus the points over Maryland at 7 pm et on Thursday. Maryland got the bounce-back win it was looking for last time out but still didn't look overly impressive in a narrow two-point victory over Hofstra. While the Terps check in 4-1 SU on the campaign, they're just 1-4 ATS. Here, they'll face a Richmond squad that has been a little uneven in the early going but did deliver a 13-point win over aforementioned Hofstra last time out. The Spiders are shooting 48.3% against opponents that yield just 41.3% so far this season. Their three-point shooting has been terrific in the early going, knocking down their shots from long range at a 41% clip. By contrast, the Terps are shooting a miserable 25.4% from three-point range. Look for Richmond to stage the minor 'upset' here. Take Richmond (5*). |
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11-25-21 | UC San Diego -1 v. Southern Miss | 55-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cal-San Diego minus the points over Southern Miss at 7 pm et on Thursday. Southern Miss is coming off a double-digit win while Cal-San Diego suffered a double-digit loss in the two teams' respective tournament openers. Neither result was all that unexpected. Nor will the result be here as I believe the correct team is favored in this matchup. Cal-San Diego is off to a terrific 4-1 start. In its first year of Division-I basketball it struggled last season but that had a lot to do with a top-heavy Big West schedule. Here, in year two I look for UCSD to enjoy a lot more success, as we've already seen in the early going. While Southern Miss has scored 80+ points in consecutive games, that's had more to do with the level of opposition it has faced than anything else. I see this as a bad matchup for the Golden Eagles as they generally like to force opponents to shoot from the outside, an area where UCSD is highly-proficient, having knocked down just shy of 45% of its three-point attempts this season entering yesterday's action. Also note that UCSD has been better not only at getting to the free throw line, but making good on its attempts (76% entering yesterday's game compared to 69% for Southern Miss). The Golden Eagles are projected to finish near the bottom of C-USA this season while I believe UCSD is capable of making some noise and at the very least making life difficult on the top-flight teams in the Big West. This is a good measuring stick game for UCSD, especially off the 10-point loss to Montana and I look for it to come up with a victory. Take Cal-San Diego (8*). |
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11-25-21 | Auburn v. Loyola-Chicago +2.5 | Top | 62-53 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Loyola-Chicago plus the points over Auburn at 2:30 pm et on Thursday. The Ramblers fell just short on a bucket in the final seconds against favored Michigan State yesterday afternoon (but did manage the narrow cover). They'll certainly want to come away from this tournament with something and I like their chances of picking up a win against Auburn, which is fresh off an emotionally and physically draining overtime loss at the hands of UConn yesterday afternoon. Credit Loyola-Chicago to sticking to its guns and turning yesterday's game against Michigan State into somewhat of a slugfest. The Ramblers fell behind 9-0 right out of the gate in that one but quickly rallied and ultimately took the Spartans right down to the wire. That's what we want to see from a mid-major in an early statement game against a top level opponent. The case can certainly be made that Michigan State is by no means a national title contender (not at this point anyway) but it was a test nonetheless - one that Loyola-Chicago passed as far as I'm concerned. Now comes and excellent chance for the Ramblers to bounce right back and pick up a victory that would certainly look good on their resume come March. Auburn certainly entered this tournament with its eyes on a championship and is obviously disappointed to be playing in the third-place game on Thursday. I feel the Tigers are a little overrated at this point, carrying a number-19 ranking into this tournament despite having not really faced anyone of true substance. I don't think they're going to like the type of game that the Ramblers will undoubtedly present them with here. Take Loyola-Chicago (10*). |
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11-25-21 | South Alabama v. San Diego -2 | 68-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego minus the points over South Alabama at 1:30 pm et on Thursday. We won with South Alabama last week but that was as a big underdog against Alabama. Here, the Jaguars are only catching a couple of points against San Diego and I believe the line will prove to be too short. Since consecutive narrow losses (and covers) against Wichita State and Alabama we've seen South Alabama take its frustrations out on the likes of Mobile and William Carey. While South Alabama has a couple of high-profile losses on its resume, San Diego has faced the tougher overall schedule, including games against Nevada, Cal and Cal-Riverside. It has managed to go 3-2 so far but checks in off a tough two-point loss to Cal-State Fullerton (as a 6.5-point favorite). The Toreros have proven to be an excellent three-point and free throw shooting team in the early going this season and I suspect that will be the difference against a South Alabama squad that has padded its stats on both ends of the floor against weaker competition. Take San Diego (8*). |
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11-25-21 | Bears -3 v. Lions | 16-14 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Detroit at 12:30 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Bears in this matchup between two down-trodden NFC North squads. Let's face it, neither team has much going for it entering this Thanksgiving Day showdown. With that being said, I have reason to believe that Chicago is better-positioned to stop the bleeding with a victory here. No, the Bears won't have Justin Fields. They won't have Allen Robinson. They won't have Khalil Mack. However, I do feel that two offensive players in particular match up well here, those being WR Darnell Mooney and RB David Montgomery. Mooney has shown a good enough rapport in limited work with QB Andy Dalton this season to give me hope that he can expose a Lions secondary that has been absolutely flamed for big play after big play this season with only seven teams giving up more pass completions of 20+ yards. Meanwhile, Detroit's run defense has been non-existent. The Lions have allowed a whopping 565 rushing yards over their last three games. Those are college-like numbers. Defensively, even without Mack, I also like the matchup for the Bears. Yes, Chicago like Detroit has struggled to stop the run lately but the Lions ground attack has been so inconsistent that I can't really trust them to pound away with any success here. Guys like Alec Ogletree, Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith had a field day against the Lions swinging door-like offensive line in the first meeting between these two teams this season and I expect that trio to create plenty of chaos again on Thursday. Despite the distraction around head coach Matt Nagy's potential firing, I expect to see the Bears come to play in this one. Take Chicago (10*). |
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11-24-21 | Sam Houston State v. SMU -14 | 66-75 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on SMU minus the points over Sam Houston State at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Tough spot for Sam Houston State here as it faces a SMU squad that will be in a foul mood after suffering back-to-back upset losses against Missouri and Loyola-Marymount. Keep in mind, Sam Houston State already has 22 and 13-point losses against Missouri State and Boston University respectively on its resume this season. While it has managed to post a 2-3 record, one of those victories came against little-known Letourneau. SMU opened the season with three wins in its first four games with the lone defeat coming at the hands of a quality Oregon squad, on the road no less. Off an 0-2 tournament showing, the Mustangs will be happy to be back home where they're a perfect 3-0 with all three victories coming by at least 17 points this season. Sam Houston State has yet to shoot better than 42.7% in a game this season and will have a miserable time trying to keep up on Wednesday night. Take SMU (9*). |
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11-23-21 | Nuggets +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 100-119 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Northwest Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Denver plus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. I can understand the logic behind bettors lining up to back the Blazers in this 'revenge' spot at home after suffering a 29-point loss in Denver earlier this month. In fact, Portland is in a 'triple-revenge' spot having dropped three straight meetings in this series going back to last June's playoff series. With that being said, with our without Nikola Jokic, I look for the Nuggets to at the very least take this one down to the wire. We fell just short fading the Blazers in their last game - also as a home favorite against the undermanned 76ers. Philadelphia kept that game close throughout but ultimately missed the cover thanks to a couple of made free throws in the closing seconds. Close wins have been the Blazers calling card here at home in recent years. They enter this contest riding a season-high three-game winning streak. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have lost a season-high four in a row, including a lopsided defeat in Phoenix on Sunday. Consecutive stinkers haven't been commonplace when it comes to Denver, however. Note that the Nuggets are 14-4 ATS the last 18 times they've come off four ATS losses in their last five games, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by a whopping 11.1 points on average in that situation. I mentioned the 'revenge' angle earlier. Well, the Blazers have actually been outscored by 1.5 points on average the last 76 times they've been in a 'revenge' spot against an opponent. Also note that Portland has only managed to outscore the opposition by an average margin of 0.2 points after winning four or five of its last six games ATS over the last 2+ seasons (38-game sample size). Take Denver (10*). |
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11-23-21 | Flyers +1.5 v. Lightning | 0-4 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia +1.5 goals over Tampa Bay at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the Lightning in this same matchup in Philadelphia last week. The Flyers proceeded to lose their next game as well, by a 5-2 score against Boston. Here, I do think Philadelphia is well-positioned to bounce back. Note that the Flyers are 8-1 the last nine times they've come off a home loss by three goals or more, outscoring their opponents by an average margin of 2.6 goals. They're also 11-3 in their last 14 games following consecutive losses, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by 0.7 goals in that spot. As for the Lightning, they're 9-17 in their last 26 games following an overtime win and oddly enough average only 1.7 goals while being outscored by 1.7 goals on average, winning just once in seven tries when coming off consecutive games where eight or more total goals were scored over the last 2+ seasons. The Bolts were already without Nikita Kucherov but now they're missing Brayden Point as well. Finally, it's worth noting that Tampa Bay is just a .500 team at home this season, going 5-5 while being outscored by a narrow margin of 0.1 goals on average. Take Philadelphia +1.5 goals (5*). |
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11-23-21 | Illinois -10.5 v. Kansas State | 72-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Illinois minus the points over Kansas State at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I like this as a 'get right' spot for the Illini after dropping back-to-back games as sizeable favorites. Unlike their last two games, which came against the likes of Marquette and Cincinnati, I believe the Illini will be able to overwhelm a Kansas State squad that possesses a rather limited offense on Tuesday night. Kansas State is off to a 2-1 start to the season but has yet to post an ATS victory. The Wildcats have succeeded thanks to facing opponents that boasted subpar offenses themselves. This will certainly be KSU's toughest matchup to date against an Illini team that shot a ridiculously low 28% from the field in Monday's rout at the hands of Cincinnati. One thing that has stayed true for the Illini through four games has been their stout defensive play. Opponents that average 42.4% shooting on the season are shooting just 37.4% against them. Look for the Wildcats to fall behind early and struggle to find a way back in the game, noting that the Illini have gone 16-6 ATS the last 22 times they've come off a game in which they shot 33% or worse from the field, as is the case here. Take Illinois (10*). |
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11-23-21 | Western Michigan -3.5 v. Northern Illinois | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Western Michigan minus the points over Northern Illinois at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I believe the Broncos are favored for a reason in this one, despite the fact that they've dropped the cash in four straight games and face a Northern Illinois squad that is headed to the MAC Championship Game. Western Michigan head coach Tim Lester is doing the right thing, pointing to the fact that the Broncos haven't won a game here in Dekalb since way back in 2007. Despite the fact that Northern Illinois owns the better overall record and as I mentioned is bound for the conference title game in Detroit next week, I believe Western Michigan may actually be the better team. Keep in mind, the Broncos have a road win over Pitt to their credit this season. I think they may have been caught looking ahead to this matchup when they coughed up a 14-0 lead on the road against Eastern Michigan last week. Here, we'll note that the Broncos are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games following three consecutive ATS losses. Take Western Michigan (6*). |
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11-22-21 | Valparaiso +7 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Tournament Game of the Month. My selection is on Valparaiso plus the points over Jacksonville State at 8 pm et on Monday (game was delayed due to leak in the roof). Valpo is still looking for its first victory as the Beacons (formerly the Crusaders). I think it has a shot at getting it on Monday, however. Off a narrow missed cover as a road underdog against Stanford, here we'll note that Valpo has gone an incredible 43-15 ATS in its last 58 games when coming off a double-digit road loss. The Beacons are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games after allowing 60 points or less going back over the last 2+ seasons. Considering the Beacons don't have a lot of returning talent I see it as a positive that they've shot better than 41% from the field in each of their first three games this season. Jacksonville State is off to a 1-2 start with two of its three games decided by four points or less. Note that it is shooting just 67% from the free throw line and has benefited from facing three opponents that have been ice cold from the field (yes, JSU's defense has contributed to that but still). Note that JSU has been outscored by an average margin of 1.3 points after losing two of its last three games dealing with a 123-game sample size. Take Valparaiso (10*). |
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11-22-21 | Giants v. Bucs -11 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 179 h 3 m | Show |
MNF Game of the Year. My selection is on Tampa Bay minus the points over New York at 8:15 pm et on Monday. This sets up as a smash spot for the defending champion Bucs as they return home off a highly-disappointing loss in Washington - their second defeat in a row - to host the Giants on Monday Night Football. New York is coming off its bye week and checks in having won two of its last three games overall. Keep in mind, those two victories came against a reeling (at the time) Panthers squad quarterbacked by Sam Darnold and a Raiders squad that is clearly in the midst of a downturn. Most expected the Bucs to come out firing on all cylinders off their bye week but that simply wasn't the case as they got tripped up by a Washington squad that certainly has the talent to win on any given week (remember, the 'Football Team' also gave the Bucs all they could handle during the playoffs last January). This is a far more favorable matchup for Tom Brady and co. back at home. When we last saw the Bucs here in Tampa they were laying waste to the Bears in a 38-3 cakewalk. New York dropped last year's meeting in this series by only two points in New Jersey. It's certainly worth noting that the Bucs were favored by 13 points in that game (a higher pointspread than we're dealing with here despite Tampa having home field advantage this time around). The G-Men held up well in their last MNF appearance against the Chiefs on November 1st. But let's not forget that this is a team that has also lost by 24 and 27-point margins in step-up games against the Cowboys and Rams, respectively. They're quite simply in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings +1 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
NFC Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Green Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Packers have inexplicably covered the spread in nine straight games entering Sunday's NFC North clash in Minnesota. Their defense has led the way despite missing two of their best players in pass-rush specialist Za'Darius Smith and shutdown corner Jaire Alexander. I think this is the game where the levee breaks for the Pack defense against a Vikings offense that has all hands on deck and is coming off a two-game road trip that saw it score 58 points. The Vikes are somewhat surprisingly just 2-2 at home this season, where they generally own a significant edge. On the flip side, the Packers have gone 4-1 on the road but the majority of those victories have come in Houdini fashion. At some point they're going to get tripped up, and I see this as the spot. Green Bay has actually won consecutive trips to Minnesota but sustained success isn't likely. Unlike the other NFC North squads which Green Bay has beaten up on over the years, Minnesota has held its own in this series, and then some. The Vikes are 4-3-1 in the last eight meetings and the underdog has cashed in three consecutive matchups between these two teams. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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11-20-21 | 76ers +6 v. Blazers | 111-118 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over Portland at 10:10 pm et on Saturday. The 76ers finally snapped their five-game losing streak with a blowout win in Denver two nights ago. I look for them to build off that performance here. Keep in mind, it's not as if the Sixers were getting completely outclassed during their slide. Four of their five losses came by single-digit margins while the other was an obvious outlier in Utah - a game in which they allowed the Jazz to shoot 51.7% from the field while knocking down just 36.7% of their own shots. Portland is coming off consecutive wins on its current homestand but not surprisingly both were close, by five-point margins. That's been the Blazers calling card here at home in recent years. Here, we'll note that Philadelphia checks in 18-5 ATS when coming off five or six ATS losses in their last seven games over the last 2+ seasons, outscoring opponents by 9.6 points on average in that spot. Meanwhile, the Blazers are 2-11 ATS when playing at least a third consecutive home game, outscored by 3.1 points on average in that situation. Take Philadelphia (8*). |
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11-20-21 | Oklahoma State -10 v. Texas Tech | Top | 23-0 | Win | 100 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
CFB Big 12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Oklahoma State minus the points over Texas Tech at 8 pm et on Saturday. Oklahoma State hasn't received the same attention as big brother Oklahoma this season but perhaps it should. The Cowboys have lost just one game all season and they covered the number in that narrow three-point loss on the road against Iowa State. Since that loss, Oklahoma State has gone a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS, outscoring opponents by a combined 142-23 margin along the way. Texas Tech is down to third-string quarterback Donovan Smith. He performed well in last week's big upset win over Iowa State but now that the Cowboys have some game film on him, look for them to keep the Red Raiders offense under wraps. That Cowboys defense has been among the best in the entire nation this season, holding opponents that average 4.3 yards per rush to just 2.6 ypr and passing games that average 7.6 yards per pass attempt to only 6.3 yppa. Here, the Cowboys offense should go off, noting the Red Raiders have allowed their last three opponents to complete 84-of-107 passes for over 1,000 yards through the air. They've kept opposing ground games in check for the most part lately but that's only because the opposition hasn't elected to pound away on them. Note that TCU racked up just shy of 400 rushing yards against the Red Raiders earlier this season. Here, we'll note that Texas Tech is just 10-22 ATS the last 32 times it has come off an upset win in-conference. Worse still, Texas Tech is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games coming off a win, outscored by 15.4 points on average in that situation. Take Oklahoma State (10*). |
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11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Oregon at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. Oregon has CFP aspirations thanks to a 9-1 record and a marquee road win over Ohio State but I expect its playoff hopes to be dashed against the Utes on Saturday night. Utah has gone undefeated at home this season and I'm confident that flawless home record will remain unblemished when it's all said and done on Saturday. The Ducks caught lightning in a bottle in that early season win over the Buckeyes. Line those two teams up again now and I'm confident we would see Ohio State prevail in convincing fashion. Utah has faced a tougher Pac-12 slate in my opinion with its lone conference loss coming on the road against Oregon State. Since that defeat it has gone a perfect 3-0, scoring a whopping 134 points in the process. The Utes aren't likely to get bullied at the line of scrimmage the way Oregon's recent opponent have. Keep in mind, the Ducks are taking a step up in class after facing Colorado, Washington and Washington State over their last three games. I think we'll see the Utes force the Ducks to throw the football more than they would like in this contest, noting that Oregon has completed 17 or fewer passes in six of its 10 games this season while Utah has limited opponents that average 7.3 yards per pass attempt to just 6.4 yppa this season. Take Utah (9*). |
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11-20-21 | Georgia Tech +18 v. Notre Dame | 0-55 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia Tech plus the points over Notre Dame at 2:30 pm et on Saturday. No one is expecting Georgia Tech to put up much of a fight in this game as it checks in off four consecutive losses - its Bowl hopes dashed following last week's home defeat at the hands of Boston College. With a likely beating at the hands of in-state rival Georgia on deck next week, this essentially becomes the Yellow Jackets Bowl game, in front of a national audience in South Bend as they look to play spoiler against an Irish squad that has CFP aspirations. While the season hasn't exactly gone as the Yellow Jackets would have hoped, save for a blowout loss against Pitt in early October they've been in virtually every game. The Pitt loss marks their only defeat by more than 11 points this season. Notre Dame has rolled past its last two opponents but easy wins have been few and far between in South Bend this season. The Irish defeated Toledo by three, Purdue by 14, lost to Cincinnati, USC by 15 and North Carolina by 10. You get the picture. I simply feel the Irish are being asked to lay too many points in this matchup against a Georgia Tech squad that is capable of putting up plenty of points on offense and isn't as bad as it looked last week on defense. Here, we'll note that the Irish are a woeful 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games after winning five or six of their last seven games ATS, outscoring opponents by just 5.9 points on average in that situation. Take Georgia Tech (9*). |
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11-20-21 | Florida Atlantic v. Western Kentucky -10 | Top | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
CFB Sun Belt Game of the Month. My selection is on Western Kentucky minus the points over Florida Atlantic at 12 noon et on Saturday. Florida Atlantic's recent dominance in this series combined with the fact that the Owls are 'desperate' for a win to become Bowl eligible is keeping this pointspread in a very reasonable range on Saturday. Keep in mind, 'desperation' doesn't always lead to victory. I think Western Kentucky is the vastly superior team in this matchup and expect the Hilltoppers to win this one going away. At a modest 6-4 on the season, the Hilltoppers are flying well beneath most bettors' radar. They got off to a tough 1-4 start this season but that had everything to do with a difficult non-conference schedule that included competitive road games against the likes of Army and Michigan State. WKU also took nationally-ranked UTSA down to the wire in a wild 52-46 affair back in early October. Here, we find the Hilltoppers fresh off five consecutive victories, going 4-1 ATS along the way. The wheels have come off for Florida Atlantic over the last couple of games as it has dropped consecutive games in blowout fashion against Marshall and Old Dominion. While FAU has taken the last four meetings in this series it's worth noting that it was favored in all four games. Different story here. Look for Western Kentucky to keep rolling at home. Take Western Kentucky (10*). |
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11-19-21 | San Diego State v. UNLV +11 | Top | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
Mountain West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on UNLV plus the points over San Diego State at 11:30 pm et on Friday. San Diego State continues to climb the national rankings but the Aztecs have been anything but a solid bet lately, going 0-2-1 ATS over their last three games. Their last ATS victory came in a narrow six-point win over Air Force. They haven't won a game by more than a touchdown since back on October 9th against lowly New Mexico. UNLV checks in off consecutive victories - its only two wins of the season. Despite their poor overall record, I think the Rebels have made significant progress this season - their 6-4 ATS mark speaks to that. Save for a 48-3 beatdown at the hands of Iowa State back in mid-September, the Rebels have played a competitive brand of football here at Allegiant Stadium, losing a pair of games by a touchdown or less and defeating Hawaii by two touchdowns last week. Here, UNLV will be looking for revenge following a 34-6 beatdown at the hands of the Aztecs last season. Note that the last time these two teams met in Las Vegas, the Rebels easily stayed inside the number in a three-point loss. I look for this one to go down to the wire at the very least as well. Take UNLV (10*). |
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11-19-21 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -191 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle +1.5 goals over Colorado at 10:05 pm et on Friday. The Kraken are reeling right now, losers of five games in a row with the last four coming by at least two goals. While it flies in the face of common sense, I believe they're well-positioned to take the Avalanche down to the wire at the very least on Friday. Note that Colorado checks in just 2-6 in its last eight road games when coming off a road victory in which it scored four goals or more, as is the case here, outscored by 1.1 goals on average in that spot. The Avs are also just 4-8 when playing on the road after scoring three goals or more in three consecutive games going back to last season, outscored by 0.1 goal on average in that situation. The Kraken should have no trouble getting up for this one and I like their chances against the MacKinnon-less Avs on Friday. Take Seattle +1.5 goals (5*). |
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11-19-21 | Ottawa +14 v. Montreal | Top | 19-18 | Win | 100 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Friday. We've cashed a number of tickets backing the RedBlacks this season, in spite of their awful overall record. This is another favorable spot to back Ottawa as it wraps up its season by making the short trip to Montreal to face the Alouettes. Note that while the RedBlacks haven't won a game since September 28th, during their current six-game slide they've lost only twice by more than 13 points. Here, they face an Als squad that is playoff-bound and not likely to move out of the third spot in the East Division with Hamilton hosting a Saskatchewan team that has nothing to play for locked into the second spot in the West Division on Saturday. Got all that? Montreal has some injury concerns to deal with here as well. Top wide receiver Eugene Lewis has been limited at practice all week so it remains to be seen how many snaps he'll see on Friday. Meanwhile, Ottawa has actually gotten healthier down the stretch, recently welcoming back one of its best defensive players in Praise Martin-Oguike. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons +7 | Top | 25-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over New England at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I really think the spot to back the Patriots was last Sunday at home against the Browns. Here, the Pats enter riding a four-game SU and ATS winning streak and most feel that a victory over the down-trodden Falcons is a foregone conclusion. I'm not so easily convinced. We've seen the Pats struggle indoors over the years, particularly of late. It's easy to forget that New England won by only three points as an eight-point favorite against the lowly Texans in Houston earlier this season (the Pats also won by a field goal in an indoor game against the Chargers in L.A. back on Halloween). The Falcons couldn't have looked much worse than they did in last Sunday's 43-3 loss to the Cowboys in Dallas (we took a tough loss with the 'over' after the first half saw 39 points scored). While I'm not particularly high on the Falcons in the long-term picture, I am willing to give them somewhat of a pass for last Sunday's awful performance as they were quite simply in the wrong place at the wrong time against a Cowboys squad coming off a stunning blowout home loss against the Broncos (while the Falcons were in a clear letdown spot off a big upset win over the division-rival Saints in New Orleans). Speaking of the division, Atlanta checks in just two games back of the NFC South-leading Bucs. With only two of four second-place teams in the NFC sporting winning records, the playoffs are still very much in play for the Falcons, believe it or not. Let's also keep in mind, they haven't lost consecutive games since Weeks 1 and 2. While the Atlanta offense is banged up and may not have the services of RB/WR hybrid Cordarrelle Patterson, the defense is arguably as healthy as any unit in the entire league. Off an embarrassing performance last Sunday, look for the Falcons defense to hold up well against a Pats offense that just isn't as good as it looked in Sunday's rout of the Browns. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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11-18-21 | UAB -2.5 v. South Carolina | 63-66 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on UAB minus the points over South Carolina at 7 pm et on Thursday. UAB is a team that's flying under the radar but boasts a ton of upside in head coach Andy Kennedy's second season at the helm. The Blazers have gotten off to a perfect 3-0 start, laying waste to the likes of UNC-Asheville, Morehead State and little known Rhodes College. I think they'll welcome the opportunity for this measuring stick game against an SEC foe - even if it is a lower-tier squad from the conference in South Carolina. The Blazers were always going to be a tough defensive team, applying intense pressure on the opposition and we've certainly seen that in the early going as they've forced an incredible 67 turnovers through three games. It's the UAB offense that was the biggest question mark heading into the season after a tough campaign in that regard. Well, early returns are positive as the Blazers have put up 102, 85 and 98 points, shooting better than 48% from the field in all three contests. While they are taking a step up in class here, I think the Blazers will be up for it. South Carolina underwent a tear-down of sort in the offseason, looking to put an awful Covid-tinged 2020-21 campaign behind it. The Gamecocks should be better this season but how much better remains to be seen. They're off to a 2-1 start with the loss coming as a six-point favorite against Princeton. The South Carolina offense has a lot of new pieces to work in, and so far we're seeing some growing pains. Note that the Gamecocks turned the ball over a whopping 24 times last time out against Western Kentucky. If they're careless with the basketball again in this one, the Blazers will make them pay. Take UAB (10*). |
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11-17-21 | UC-Davis +2 v. Pepperdine | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cal-Davis plus the points over Pepperdine at 10 pm et on Wednesday. If you've followed my plays this season you know that I'm high on Cal-Davis. We backed it in last week's eventual eight-point victory over Eastern Washington that wasn't nearly as close as the final score indicated. Some won while some didn't on that game thanks to some considerable line movement over the course of the day. Here, I believe the Aggies are well-positioned to stage the 'upset' against Pepperdine. The Waves are one of the more overrated teams in college basketball as far as I'm concerned. They've gone 1-2 ATS through three games with their lone victory coming against an offensively-challenged Idaho State squad. The Waves aren't shooting the ball well, nor are they defending well - not overly surprising given their lack of returning talent. Off a disheartening double-digit overtime loss against Utah Valley State, I'm not convinced we see Pepperdine pick itself up off the mat here. Take Cal-Davis (8*). |
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11-17-21 | Northern Colorado v. Texas -20.5 | 49-62 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas minus the points over Northern Colorado at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. I think Northern Colorado, while boasting plenty of talent - particularly at the offensive end of the floor - is quite simply in the wrong place at the wrong time on Wednesday night. Texas is coming off a tough 12-point loss against arguably the best team in the country in Gonzaga. That comes on the heels of a win and cover as a whopping 37.5-point favorite in the Longhorns season-opener against Houston Baptist. I'm confident we'll see the 'Horns get right back on track here as the Bears up-tempo style should play right into their hands. Northern Colorado simply doesn't have the same level of talent and athleticism that Texas boasts up and down its lineup. When these two teams last faced each other two years ago we saw Texas roll to a 24-point victory as a 16.5-point favorite. I'm not convinced the gap between the two programs has narrowed at all since, keeping in mind Northern Colorado already has a loss against the likes of Hawaii-Hilo under its belt this season. Texas takes full advantage of this 'get right' spot at home. Take Texas (8*). |
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11-17-21 | Tulane v. Florida State -18 | 54-59 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida State minus the points over Tulane at 8 pm et on Wednesday. I love the way this spot sets up for the Seminoles as they come off a disappointing blowout loss against rival Florida on Sunday. Tulane just doesn't have the size or talent to keep pace with Florida State here. Keep in mind, the 'Noles opened the season by scoring 105 points in a 35-point rout of Penn. They simply had an off day shooting the basketball on Sunday. The good news is, their defense did hold up for a second straight game - they've now held both opponents to sub-39% shooting this season. The Green Wave are not surprisingly off to a wildly inconsistent start, only managing to split their first two games, both at home, as considerable favorites against Southeast Louisiana and Southern. The fact that they only managed to put up 70 points in both of those contests doesn't bode well as they take a big step up in class here on Tuesday. Take Florida State (8*). |
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11-17-21 | Wizards v. Hornets | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Charlotte over Washington at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. Bettors seem hesitant to buy into the Hornets, despite their current three-game winning streak, having most recently taken down the red hot Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Perhaps that shouldn't come as a surprise as Charlotte is just a week removed from a five-game losing streak. Here, I look for the Hornets to 'handle their business' in a home game against the improved and streaking Wizards. Washington checks into this game off five straight wins. Keep in mind, the Wizards were favored in four of those games and the other was a pk'em. Here, we'll note that the Wiz are long-term losers when playing on the road off three ATS wins in their last four games, as is the case here, having gone 82-115 ATS. They're also a miserable 174-219 ATS when coming off consecutive straight-up victories. These two teams met three times last season with Washington winning only once (but not covering) and that victory came at home. To find the last time the Wiz won a game here in Charlotte you would have to go all the way back to 2017. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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11-17-21 | Northern Illinois -1 v. Buffalo | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
MAC Game of the Week. My selection is on Northern Illinois minus the points over Buffalo at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Buffalo crushed Northern Illinois by 19 points as a 14.5-point favorite in this matchup last year. Let's face it, the 2020 college football season was a unique one, particularly in the MAC where teams only got a chance to play a few games. Here, I look for the Huskies to go right back to dominating the Bulls, noting that prior to last year's matchup they had taken each of the last seven meetings in this series this decade. Buffalo has been a major disappointment this season, at least in my opinion. The Bulls entered the campaign with high hopes, loaded with returning talent, particularly on the offensive side of the football. Unfortunately, the Bulls season got derailed early with four losses in their first six games, posting just one win against FBS opposition along the way (that win came in a non-cover on the road against a weak Old Dominion squad). Their season continues to circle the drain off lopsided losses against Bowling Green and Miami-Ohio and I don't see them picking themselves up off the mat against Northern Illinois. The Huskies have Bowl aspirations, having already gained eligibility with seven wins on the campaign. They enter this contest having gone 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS over their last seven contests. With a win here, Northern Illinois would wrap up the MAC West division and assure itself of a place in the MAC Championship Game. I certainly don't think the Huskies will want to leave anything to chance with a home date against a 'better than its record indicates' Western Michigan squad next week. Take Northern Illinois (10*). |
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11-16-21 | Tarleton St v. Wichita State -12.5 | 51-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wichita State minus the points over Tarleton State at 8 pm et on Tuesday. Tarleton State has been given a lot of respect from the betting marketplace in the early going this season following a promising 2020-21 campaign - its first in Division I - not to mention the presence of legendary head coach Billy Gillespie. The Texans have already faced Stanford and Kansas and managed to go 1-0-1 ATS. They'll also go up against Michigan and Gonzaga in road tilts later this month. Note that the Texans turned the ball over just eight times and managed to shoot better than 40% from the field (an accomplishment given the level of opposition) against Kansas last time out but still lost by 26 points. Meanwhile, Wichita State is off to a 2-0 start but has gone 0-2 ATS, defeating Jacksonville State and South Alabama by a combined margin of only nine points. We've certainly yet to see the best from the Shockers - at either end of the floor. They've shot sub-39% in both games while allowing subpar opposition to shoot better than 42% in both contests. This is a Wichita State program that went through plenty of distractions last offseason and by all accounts 2020-21 should have been a down season, yet the Shockers ended up exceeding expectations and receiving an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. They certainly have their sights set on another NCAA Tournament berth this season and have the returning talent to reach that goal. This is a good opportunity for them to ramp up before the schedule gets a whole lot tougher with an opening round matchup against Arizona up next in the Roman Main Event Tournament in Las Vegas on Friday. After that tournament they'll face the likes of Missouri, Oklahoma State and Kansas State in consecutive games, with the latter matchup coming in another early season tournament. Take Wichita State (10*). |
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11-16-21 | South Alabama +23.5 v. Alabama | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on South Alabama plus the points over Alabama at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. With Alabama off to a perfect 2-0 start, both SU and ATS, cashing in a much lower pointspread range than we're working with tonight, this looks like the ideal time to step in and fade the Crimson Tide against an underrated South Alabama squad. The Jaguars are pegged by many to be a top-three team in the Sun Belt Conference this season, with a wealth of talent coming in by way of transfers, as is often the case under head coach Richie Riley. Riley apparently turned down a head coaching offer from Utah State in the offseason, which obviously would have been a higher-profile position. I don't really blame him as he's building something special at USA and might have his most talented team yet here in his fourth year at the helm. Alabama obviously boasts much loftier goals than USA. However, the Crimson Tide do have plenty of losses to deal with from last season's impressive squad. They've gotten off to a blistering start at the offensive end of the floor, shooting 50% and 49% in scoring 93 and 104 points against Louisiana Tech and South Dakota State, respectively, but I expect them to run into a bit more trouble against South Alabama and its predominantly zone defense. South Alabama has to feel pretty good about itself after suffering a narrow six-point loss against likely NCAA Tournament squad Wichita State, on the road no less, last time out. The Jaguars would love nothing more than to pick up an early season marquee victory, even if it is highly unlikely here. Nothing that they've gone 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog, we'll simply count on them to stay inside the lofty pointspread as I think a lot of bettors are sleeping on the Jags at this early stage of the campaign. Take South Alabama (8*). |
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11-16-21 | Western Michigan -5.5 v. Eastern Michigan | 21-22 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Western Michigan minus the points over Eastern Michigan at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. With both of these teams performing horribly on the defensive side of the football in recent weeks, this play really comes down to which team I think can bounce back in that regard on Tuesday night. As far as I'm concerned, it's Western Michigan that boasts the far more talented defense, while also possessing an offense that is better than it showed (which is saying something) in last week's closer-than-expected 45-40 over lowly Akron. Note that Western Michigan had absolutely dominated this series prior to the last two years in which Eastern Michigan staged upset wins as nine and 13.5-point underdogs. Needless to say, the Broncos will be out for revenge here, while also trying to keep their faint hopes of a MAC West title alive. They're currently sitting in a tie for last place but only two games back of division-leading Northern Illinois, which they will face in next week's regular season finale. Its chances are slim to be sure, but expect the Broncos to put forth a strong effort regardless. Keep in mind, while EMU was beating up on the likes of UMass and Texas State (among others) during its non-conference slate, WMU went toe-to-toe with Michigan, Pittsburgh and San Jose State, even staging an outright upset of Pitt, on the road no less. In other words, these two teams may have identical overall records, but I certainly consider the Broncos to be the superior team, initially a consensus pick to finish second in the MAC West. Likely headed to a Bowl game and with the aforementioned faint hope of reaching the MAC title game, everything is technically still in front of WMU. EMU still has plenty to play for but doesn't really control its own destiny with its regular season finale coming against Central Michigan next week. Take Western Michigan (8*). |
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11-15-21 | Southern Utah +11 v. St. Mary's | Top | 51-70 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Southern Utah plus the points over St. Mary's at 10 pm et on Monday. St. Mary's is poised to take a step forward after a rare down year in 2020-21 but it certainly can't afford to sleep on a Southern Utah squad that went 20-4 last season and brings pretty much everyone that matters back into the fold. The Thunderbirds are coming off an upset loss as a double-digit favorite at Dixie State, however, and with that in mind, I feel they're undervalued in this matchup against what has long been considered a 'name brand' program in St. Mary's. This game will feature a sharp contrast in styles as Southern Utah boasts an explosive offense and will look to push the pace. St. Mary's is more adept at slowing things down. The Gaels look to eliminate passing lanes and force turnovers at the defensive end of the floor. I'm not convinced they'll have an easy time doing so against a seasoned Thunderbirds squad that excels on dribble handoffs and driving to the basket. Note that St. Mary's has only outscored opponents by 6.9 points on average when coming off consecutive wins over the last 2+ seasons (26-game sample size). That's close to where I feel this line should be sitting but with the Gaels 2-0 off back-to-back comfortable wins and Southern Utah fresh off the aforementioned upset loss to little-known Dixie State, we're being given a fairly generous cushion. Take Southern Utah (10*). |
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11-14-21 | Eagles +2.5 v. Broncos | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over Denver at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. The Eagles may have lost last week (we cashed a ticket fading them with the Chargers) but this is a team that has made progress over its last couple of games, starting with that dominating performance in Detroit two weeks ago (we won with the Eagles in that game). Each of Philadelphia's three victories this season have come on the road and I believe they're well-positioned to pick up another win in Denver on Sunday. The Broncos are coming off a stunning blowout win in Dallas last Sunday. Here, they'll be trying for their second three-game winning streak of the season as they inexplicably hang around in the AFC West race. This isn't a team that has great prospects for the rest of the season, however, not with all of their key injuries (and departures) on the defensive side of the football. I think they're going to have to put up plenty of points to earn a win here on Sunday but we've actually seen their offense regress (believe it or not after last week's outburst in Dallas), with QB Teddy Bridgewater completing just 38 passes over the last two games and throwing for 217 yards or less in three straight contests. The Eagles have given up a very high completion percentage in recent weeks but aren't giving up a ton of yardage relatively speaking. They've held opponents to 6.9 yards per pass attempt this season (and 4.0 yards per rush). A brutal schedule has certainly contributed to the Eagles going 3-6 through their first nine games but it lightens up from here. After hosting the Saints next week, Philadelphia will face the Giants (twice), Jets and Washington (twice) over its next five contests. In other words, there's no reason to throw in the towel just yet. Take Philadelphia (8*). |
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11-14-21 | Bills -11.5 v. Jets | Top | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 56 m | Show |
NFL Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. The setup doesn't get much better than this as the Bills come off an ugly loss in Jacksonville last Sunday and now head back to the AFC East for a division road game against the Jets in the Meadowlands. The Jets were the 'flavor of the month' so to speak after they delivered a huge upset win as a double-digit underdog at home against the Bengals two weeks ago. Any positive momentum gained from that victory is long gone now after they dropped a blowout decision that wasn't even as close as the 45-30 final score indicated in Indianapolis a week ago Thursday. QB Mike White had the gall to suggest that he believes he should have been a first overall pick at a press conference this week. Just a little more bulletin board material for a Bills defense that will be looking to tee off on Sunday afternoon. Note that Buffalo has allowed just 13.2 points on average the last 11 times it has come off a loss. Speaking of teeing off, the Bills offense should 'go off' after QB Josh Allen was upstaged by his namesake on the Jaguars defense last Sunday. That poor performance does nothing to change the fact that the Bills boast one of the most talented and creative offenses in the league under coordinator Brian Daboll and I fully expect them to respond with a monster performance against a Jets defense that just got roasted by the Colts balanced attack last week. On the flip side, after scoring 30+ points in consecutive games, New York's offense is in for a wake-up call here. Lost in last week's defeat at the hands of the Jags was the fact that Buffalo allowed only nine points on 218 yards of total offense, despite being put in tough situations all afternoon long. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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11-13-21 | Evansville v. Belmont -13.5 | 43-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Belmont minus the points over Evansville at 5 pm et on Saturday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Belmont Bruins here as they look to respond following an 'upset' loss against Ohio last time out. Here, they'll catch Evansville 'fat and happy' off a 20-point rout of an overmatched IUPUI squad two nights ago. Keep in mind, the Purple Aces opened their season with a 22-point loss against Cincinnati. While they do figure to be stronger than they were a year ago, they're still going to face an uphill battle against their tougher non-conference foes, and Belmont certainly falls into that category. These teams actually met last season with Belmont prevailing by nine points on the road. Evansville knocked down 11 threes compared to Belmont's four on that night to keep the game competitive. It also turned the ball over only 11 times. Here, the Purple Aces check in having turned it over 28 times through two contests. Look for Belmont to apply the pressure and ultimately pull away for a comfortable victory on Saturday, noting that the Bruins are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games following an ATS loss, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 18.3 points in that situation. Take Belmont (6*). |
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11-13-21 | Southern Miss v. UTSA -33 | 17-27 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on UTSA minus the points over Southern Miss at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. We went against Southern Miss last Saturday and were rewarded with a lopsided North Texas victory as the Mean Green Eagles easily covered the short pointspread. Here, we're dealing with a much larger spread, but also a much bigger mismatch. Southern Miss' season is circling the drain and has been for the last two months. The Golden Eagles have lost seven straight games both SU and ATS. Their lone victory this season came against FCS opponent Grambling in a game they were favored by more than three touchdowns. UTSA is enjoying a dream season, reeling off nine straight victories while going 8-1 ATS along the way. The Roadrunners have been explosive on offense, averaging 4.6 yards per rush and 8.2 yards per pass attempt while also dominating the conference defensively, giving up just 2.7 yards per rush. They have been somewhat vulnerable against the pass, giving up 7.2 yards per pass attempt but Southern Miss is unlikely to take advantage, noting that the Eagles have 41-of-82 (50%) of their passes for only 332 yards over their last three games and that stretch included a pair of weak defensive teams in Middle Tennessee State and North Texas. I see this as an ideal spot to fade Southern Miss once again as it comes off a rare game where it didn't turn the football over. On the flip side, UTSA didn't force a single turnover in last week's rout of UTEP after forcing at least two in each of its previous six contests. Take UTSA (9*). |
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11-13-21 | Rutgers v. Indiana -7 | Top | 38-3 | Loss | -101 | 24 h 51 m | Show |
CFB Big Ten Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Rutgers at 12 noon et on Saturday. Few teams have faced a tougher schedule than Indiana this season. Save for a Week 2 home date against Idaho - a game the Hoosiers won 56-14 - Indiana has gone up against the best the Big Ten has to offer including matchups with Iowa, Penn State, Michigan State, Ohio State and Michigan. Even the Hoosiers non-conference tilts - aside from the game against Idaho - have been difficult as the Hoosiers faced Cincinnati and Western Kentucky, winning the latter contest. Now the Hoosiers finally get a break as they host Rutgers on Saturday afternoon. The Scarlet Knights have just one win in their last six games and that came against one of the Big Ten's worst teams, Illinois. Rutgers got beat down physically in last week's 52-3 rout at Wisconsin. It has now been held to 13 points or less in five of its last six games. This series hasn't been particularly close with Indiana taking five straight meetings, with the last two coming by a combined 72-21 margin in 2019-2020. While it could be argued that the Hoosiers have nothing to play for at this point with their Bowl hopes having already been dashed, they should relish the role of playing spoiler as they can strike a major blow to the Scarlet Knights Bowl aspirations with a victory on Saturday. Keep in mind, Indiana has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS as a home favorite going back to last season, outscoring opponents by a ridiculous 35.1 points on average in that situation. Take Indiana (10*). |
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11-12-21 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Blackhawks | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona +1.5 goals over Chicago at 8:35 pm et on Friday. The Coyotes have been a mess this season. They enter Friday's game off another lopsided loss - this one coming in a nationally-televised game against the Wild (we won with the 'over' in that game). I do expect them to put up a fight against the Blackhawks on Friday, however. I don't believe the Coyotes are as bad as they've looked so far this season. Here, we'll note that Arizona has allowed just 1.6 goals on average the last 13 times it has come off consecutive games in which it allowed four goals or more, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.6 goals in that spot. On the flip side, the Blackhawks check in giving up 3.5 goals on average after holding consecutive opponents to two goals or less over the last 2+ seasons. Arizona is also a solid 8-2 the last 10 times it has played on the road off a home loss, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Blackhawks are a woeful 5-14 in their last 19 home games after winning two of their last three contests, outscored by an average margin of 0.7 goals in that situation. You would have to go back five meetings in this series to find the last time the Blackhawks defeated the Coyotes by two goals or more. Take Arizona +1.5 goals (6*). |
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11-12-21 | Blazers -6.5 v. Rockets | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Portland minus the points over Houston at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Blazers have yet to register a victory on the road this season but they've also faced some pretty tough opposition. This game against Houston marks their best chance at a road win and I expect them to come up big. Here, we'll note that the Rockets are a woeful 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog of between 3.5 and 9.5 points, outscored by 10.7 points on average in that situation. They're also a miserable 1-12 ATS in their last 13 home games after scoring 105 points or less in their last contest, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 14.5 points in that spot. Last time out, the Rockets held the Pistons to 43.3% shooting and turned the ball over only 13 times - well below their season-average of 19 - yet still lost by eight points in a game where they closed as a three-point favorite. I simply feel it will be a case of the Rockets being in the wrong place at the wrong time as they face a Blazers squad that will be looking to take its frustrations out on Friday night. Take Portland (7*). |
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11-12-21 | Eastern Washington v. UC-Davis -8 | 76-84 | Push | 0 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cal-Davis minus the points over Eastern Washington at 5 pm et on Friday. Credit Eastern Washington for putting up 76 points in its season-opener against Nevada but it still fell by 15 points in that game and I'm not convinced we'll see the Eagles improve on that losing margin by much in this one. It's going to be an uphill battle early on for EWU this season as few programs in the country have had to endure more roster turnover. Now the Eagles face exactly the type of team you don't want to see with a new-look lineup out of the gate as Cal-Davis plays a frenetic style of defense that will press for a full 40 minutes. That pesky defense led the Aggies to a big 72-69 upset win over Utah State in their season-opener. They secured the win despite shooting sub-40% from the field and knocking down just 6-of-21 three-point attempts. That's pretty much par for the course for a team that is never going to be known for its sharp-shooting. Cal-Davis will once again rely on hoisting up shots and crashing the boards and should find some success doing so against an EWU squad that is extremely vulnerable as it tries to work so many new pieces into the rotation. Note that the Eagles forced just nine turnovers in their opener. I'm not sure we can expect them to shoot better than the 43.9% they posted against Nevada and certainly anticipate them turning the ball over more than the 14 times they did in that contest. Look for an experienced Aggies squad to take another stride forward on Friday afternoon. Take Cal-Davis (10*). |
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11-11-21 | Heat v. Clippers -3.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Miami at 10:40 pm et on Thursday. I really like the way the Clippers are playing right now, finding their way after a tough start to the season. They check into tonight's contest riding a five-game winning streak, having scored 120 and 117 points in the first two games of their current homestand. They're catching the Heat in the right place at the right time tonight as Miami has gotten off to a tough 0-2 start to its current road trip, suffering consecutive emotional losses against the Nuggets and Lakers. I'm not convinced the Heat can simply flip the switch after shooting 39.7% and 41.7% in their last two games and now facing a solid Clippers defense. Note that Miami is a woeful 4-13 ATS when coming off consecutive losses going back to last season, outscored by an average margin of 5.2 points in that situation. You would have to go back six meetings in this series all the way to December of 2018 to find the last time Miami managed to post a victory (0-5 SU and ATS last five meetings). Take Los Angeles (9*). |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina +7 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 23-30 | Push | 0 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
CFB ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on North Carolina plus the points over Pittsburgh at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. The Tar Heels are coming off their biggest win of the season last Saturday as they rallied to defeat Wake Forest, essentially keeping their hopes of reaching a Bowl game alive. Riding the high of that comeback victory, I think getting right back on the field on a short week is the best thing for the Tar Heels right now. They're in desperate need of a spark having yet to post consecutive wins this season but I think they have a shot at it here. Pitt hasn't traditionally had an overwhelming home field advantage, playing its home games at an NFL stadium in Heinz Field. The Panthers have already lost two home games this season, against MAC squad Western Michigan and a bumbling Miami Hurricanes team. Here, Pitt will be looking to register a second straight win over North Carolina after defeating the Tar Heels back in 2019. Wins have been few-and-far-between for the Panthers in this series, however, and I believe they'll be hard-pressed to win, let alone cover the lofty pointspread here. Here, we'll note that North Carolina is 34-17 ATS the last 51 times it has come off four or five ATS losses in its last six games, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.8 points in that situation. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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11-10-21 | Kent State +3 v. Central Michigan | 30-54 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kent State plus the points over Central Michigan at 8 pm et on Wednesday. We haven't been involved with a side in any Kent State game since back in late September when we faded the Golden Flashes in a road game against Maryland. The Terps rolled to a three-touchdown win on that day. That wrapped up a tough two-game trip that saw the Flashes face Iowa as well. Since taking their lumps in those two blowout losses, we've seen the Flashes take off, going 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in MAC play. I look for them to improve on those records here. Central Michigan is in an ideal fade spot coming off a big upset win on the road against Northern Illinois last week. The Chippewas were buoyed by a pair of punt return touchdowns from do-it-all WR Khalil Pimpleton after falling behind by two touchdowns early on. I'm more confident in Kent State's ability to keep its foot on the gas should it build a lead in this one. It's hard not to like what head coach Sean Lewis has done with the Flashes since taking over three years ago. Since going 2-10 in his first season, Kent State has now gone 15-11 SU over its last 26 games, including a win in the Frisco Bowl in 2019 (no Bowl eligibility last year as Kent State played only four games due to Covid). With a win here the Flashes can become Bowl eligible once again. Note that Kent State is as healthy as any team in the country right now and I'm confident we'll see it step up in this big conference road tilt on Wednesday, noting that home field advantage has meant little in this series going way back over the years with the road team winning five of the last seven meetings. Take Kent State (10*). |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week. My selection is on Buffalo plus the points over Michigan at 6:30 pm et on Wednesday. Expectations are sky-high once again in Ann Arbor this season and the Wolverines are certainly a legitimate national title contender. With that being said, I do think an experienced, ultra-talented Buffalo squad is capable of giving them a run here in their season-opener on Wednesday. The Bulls could turn out to be 'best in class' in the MAC this season although Ohio may have something to say about that. This is an excellent measuring stick game right out of the gate and I expect the Bulls to relish the opportunity. Four starters return to Buffalo and Jim Whitesell's group should once again push the pace at every opportunity, perhaps catching the Wolverines a little off guard here in the first game of the season. Keep in mind, for as dominant as Michigan was last season, it opened the campaign by winning home games against Bowling Green and Oakland by just 14 and 10-point margins, respectively. In time, the Wolverines should once again evolve into an elite rim and perimeter defending team but Buffalo is a tough opening draw before it has a chance to settle in, especially with plenty of new faces in the lineup. While Buffalo is known for its up-tempo, explosive offense, it can play some defense as well. In fact, the Bulls were the best defensive squad in the MAC last year. Last season's MAC Defensive Player of the Year, Josh Mballa is back in the fold to anchor the Bulls defensive sets. While a 1-0 start should be well within reach for the Wolverines, this should be a test. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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11-09-21 | Akron v. Western Michigan -25.5 | Top | 40-45 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
MAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Western Michigan minus the points over Akron at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I love the way this one sets up for a disappointing Western Michigan squad as it looks to bounce back from a tough home loss against Central Michigan and earn Bowl eligibility in the process. While the season hasn't gone quite as planned for the Broncos, there's no reason to hang their heads here. They quite simply ran into arguably the MAC's best player in Khalil Pimpleton last week as he went off and single-handedly took over the game, scoring three touchdowns including two on punt returns after the Broncos had built an early 14-0 lead. Here, Western Michigan is in a perfect bounce-back spot against a hapless Akron squad that it handled by a 58-13 score, on the road no less, last season. The Zips are coming off a hard-fought six point home loss against Ball State last week. They turned in a near-perfect offensive performance, by their standards anyway, but still couldn't get it done. Keep in mind, they entered the fourth quarter down by 18 points in that contest and it certainly seemed like Ball State got complacent. I don't expect the Broncos to fall into the same trap here as they'll be looking to take out their frustrations on both side of the football and should have little difficulty doing just that. This is a Western Michigan team that is only a couple of games removed from a 64-31 rout of Kent State. It also went on the road and won at Pittsburgh earlier this season. Akron, meanwhile, has a lopsided 21-point loss to an awful Temple team on its resume this season and has given up a whopping 110 points in its last three games despite facing limited offenses in Miami-Ohio, Buffalo and Ball State. Take Western Michigan (10*). |
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11-08-21 | Heat v. Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 96-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Denver plus the points over Miami at 9:10 pm et on Monday. I like the way this one sets up for the Nuggets as they host the Heat on Monday night. Miami will be playing its fourth game in the last seven nights, in three different cities. The Heat needed every bit of their blistering 60.3% shooting performance to take down the Jazz at home on Saturday, ultimately winning that game by three points. It's worth noting that Miami was favored by a virtually identical pointspread to tonight in its last road game against Dallas. In that situation, the Heat were playing on two days' rest and keep in mind, that's the same Mavs squad that the Nuggets beat by 31 points earlier this season. Here, I like the fact that the Heat are in line for some offensive regression following that ridiculous shooting performance on Saturday while the Nuggets are coming off a sleepy effort against the lowly Rockets in which they shot just 40.4% in a matinee affair on Saturday. Michael Porter Jr. is expected to miss this game for Denver but he's been somewhat disappointing this season anyway, topping out at 15 points and that came in the season-opener. Note that the Nuggets are 31-14 ATS the last 45 times they've come off three consecutive ATS losses, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 9.2 points in that situation. Take Denver (10*). |
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11-07-21 | Chargers -1 v. Eagles | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Philadelphia at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. The Eagles have faced a pretty brutal schedule this season when you really look at it. Here, they'll be playing their first home game since back on October 14th. They've yet to enjoy consecutive home games this season and won't until December. Now they welcome a Chargers squad that has faced quite the opposite type of schedule - this will be only their second time traveling in the last five weeks and only their second game in the last three weeks thanks to a bye two weeks ago. It's obviously a big game for both teams but the Chargers reek a little more of desperation after suffering consecutive losses. I like their chances of bouncing back here. QB Justin Herbert has been struggling but now faces an Eagles defense that has allowed the last three teams it has faced to complete 90-of-110 passes for 791 yards. We actually won with Philadelphia last week but that was against the hapless Lions. I'm still not high on Eagles QB Jalen Hurts, other than as a fantasy standout. While the Chargers have certainly been awful against the run this season I actually think they can step up in that regard here, especially with the Eagles backfield muddy in the absence of Miles Sanders. Note that the Chargers are 30-16 ATS the last 46 times they've come off an upset loss as a home favorite. Take Los Angeles (8*). |
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11-07-21 | Raiders -3 v. Giants | 16-23 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. I really like the evolution of the Raiders this season, even under a seemingly constant swirl of distractions. Here, off their bye week, I think we see Las Vegas come out and smash a Giants squad playing on a short week following Monday's near-miss in Kansas City. Give the Giants credit for going toe-to-toe with the Chiefs on the road on Monday. However, they come out of that game perhaps even more injury-depleted than they went in and now have to limp home to face a Raiders squad that is rested and ready off its bye week. Las Vegas has actually taken flight offensively since ridding itself of head coach Jon Gruden. QB Derek Carr looks extremely comfortable running Greg Olson's offense and now has another week of practice under his belt following the bye. I expect to see even more wrinkles in the Raiders offense here and I'm not convinced the Giants middling defense will have any answers. Missing a number of key cogs, the G-Men have struggled to defend the pass and the run. They're allowing a whopping 4.5 yards per rush and just shy of 150 rush yards per game this season. That should serve to open things up for the Raiders emerging play-action-based offense here. I'm higher on Giants QB Daniel Jones than some but New York is quite simply running out of bodies at the wide receiver position and RB Saquon Barkley is still likely a couple of weeks away from returning to the field. The Raiders offense thrived in a 31-28 last minute win over the Jets here at MetLife Stadium last season. Look for them to come up big in the Big Apple again, albeit against a different opponent this time around. Take Las Vegas (9*). |
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11-06-21 | 76ers v. Bulls -3.5 | 114-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Philadelphia at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. The Bulls have already suffered a couple of tough losses against division opponents this season, including a five-point loss against the same 76ers that they'll face on Saturday night last time out. Philadelphia enters this game off five straight victories, somewhat surprisingly as it continues to play on without some key cogs including Tobias Harris who remains in Covid protocol. Here, we'll note that the 76ers are just 3-12 ATS the last 15 times they've come off consecutive ATS victories as a favorite, as is the case here. The Bulls meanwhile are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a close loss by six points or less, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 5.1 points in that situation. Philadelphia has now taken eight straight meetings in this series but that included matchups against some bad Bulls teams. Look for an improved Chicago team to bounce back and deliver a win and cover here. Take Chicago (8*). |
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11-06-21 | Toronto v. Ottawa +10.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 51 h 46 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Year. My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Toronto at 4 pm et on Saturday. I love the way this one sets up for the RedBlacks who understandably find themselves as double-digit underdogs at home against the Argos on Saturday. When these two teams last met on October 6th in Toronto the Argos rolled to a 35-16 victory. Keep in mind, 21 of Toronto's points came on special teams or defensive touchdowns. Ottawa actually led that contest at halftime. The RedBlacks did a pretty good job of keeping the Argos offense in check in that game and I'm confident they can do so again here. Simply put, I haven't been high on the Argos offense since they dealt QB Nick Arbuckle to move forward with McLeod Bethel-Thompson. Note that Bethel-Thompson has thrown for just six touchdowns compared to seven interceptions this season. Now the Argos are dealing with some key injuries as well, including one to RB D.J. Foster. We'll make this play on the assumption that he's good to go but it's worth noting nonetheless. The RedBlacks are starting to get healthier. While QB Caleb Evans has done as much as he can running the offense, getting back Dominique Davis wouldn't hurt and he's got some limited work in at practice this week and is eligible to come off the injured list for Saturday's game. WR and KR DeVonte Dedmon is expected to return after a full week of practice as well. Defensively, DL and key pass rusher Praise Martin-Oguike has returned to practice this week as well. It remains to be seen whether he can play this week but if he can that's an added bonus as well. Note that there are a couple of trends supporting Ottawa here as well. CFL home teams that have lost five or six of their last seven games ATS, and have a losing record are on a long-term 82-45 ATS run. Better still, home teams off 5+ consecutive losses in Weeks 10 through 15 are on a long-term 33-10 ATS run. Too many points here as the RedBlacks show some pride and hand Toronto its third straight ATS loss. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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11-06-21 | Tulane v. Central Florida -12.5 | 10-14 | Loss | -113 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Central Florida minus the points over Tulane at 4 pm et on Saturday. Tulane got up for last Saturday's nationally-televised home game against then second-ranked Cincinnati, giving the Bearcats all they could handle in an eventual 31-12 loss. Now things get tougher as the reeling Green Wave, having not won a game since Week 2 against FCS squad Morgan State, hit the road to face a surging Central Florida team. The Golden Knights had their doors blown off by aforementioned Cincinnati on the road back on October 16th. Since then, they've bounced back with blowout wins of their own over Memphis and Temple, outscoring those two opponents by a combined 73-14 margin. I like them to keep rolling here as they look to assure themselves of Bowl eligibility with a win. Lost in the relatively competitive nature of last week's setback against Cincinnati was the fact that Tulane completed only nine passes. The Green Wave have now completed a grand total of 20 passes over their last two games. That's just not going to cut it against a Golden Knights squad that is brimming with confidence right now. Take Central Florida (8*). |
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11-06-21 | North Texas -4.5 v. Southern Miss | Top | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
C-USA Game of the Month. My selection is on North Texas minus the points over Southern Miss at 3 pm et on Saturday. Southern Miss has scored fewer than 20 points in all seven games against FBS opposition this season (it defeated Grambling 37-0 in its other game). Needless to say the Golden Eagles are simply playing out the string at this point. Meanwhile, North Texas kept its slim hopes of reaching a Bowl game alive with an 'upset' road win over Rice last week. Now it has an excellent opportunity to build some positive momentum, and earn an ounce of revenge after dropping its last two meetings with Southern Miss. The Mean Green Eagles have faced a brutal schedule this season. After opening with a cupcake matchup against FCS squad Northwestern State they went on to play SMU, UAB, Louisiana Tech, Missouri, Marshall, Liberty and Rice. Yes, there were a couple of soft opponents in that bunch but the majority were tough. Credit UNT for going 5-3 ATS through its first eight games, including a 4-1 ATS mark over its last four contests. I mentioned just how punchless Southern Miss has been offensively this season. North Texas is a different story as it has scored at least 21 points in each of its last four games. The Golden Eagles haven't come particularly close to even sniffing out an ATS cover since losing by 12 points (in a game they scored only nine points) as an 11-point underdog against Troy back on September 18th. Take North Texas (10*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-12-21 | Hurricanes v. Canucks +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
12-12-21 | Bears v. Packers -12 | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Pelicans v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Monmouth v. Pittsburgh +1 | 56-52 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
12-12-21 | Lions v. Broncos -10.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. Baylor | 36-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
12-12-21 | NC State +14 v. Purdue | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
12-11-21 | Houston +2.5 v. Alabama | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
12-11-21 | Nuggets +1 v. Spurs | Top | 127-112 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
12-11-21 | Western Kentucky +6 v. Ole Miss | 71-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
12-10-21 | Wisc-Milwaukee +13 v. Colorado | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
12-10-21 | DePaul +9 v. Louisville | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
12-10-21 | Nets v. Hawks | 113-105 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 21 m | Show | |
12-10-21 | Kings v. Hornets +2 | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
12-10-21 | Montana +8 v. James Madison | 6-28 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
12-09-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs +1.5 | Top | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
12-09-21 | Monmouth v. St. John's -8 | 83-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -3 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
12-08-21 | Blazers v. Warriors -13.5 | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
12-08-21 | Drake -20 v. Nebraska-Omaha | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Canisius v. Northern Kentucky -6.5 | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
12-08-21 | Young Boys Bern v. Manchester United -1.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
12-07-21 | Celtics v. Lakers -2.5 | Top | 102-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
12-07-21 | Panthers v. Blues +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
12-07-21 | Nets v. Mavs +2.5 | 102-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -117 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
12-05-21 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
12-05-21 | Western Illinois v. Central Michigan +5.5 | 97-70 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
12-04-21 | Iowa State v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 64-58 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
12-04-21 | Wake Forest v. Pittsburgh -3 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
12-04-21 | Houston +10.5 v. Cincinnati | 20-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
12-04-21 | Georgia -6 v. Alabama | 24-41 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -6 | Top | 46-13 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
12-04-21 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -5.5 | 21-16 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
12-04-21 | Memphis -1 v. Ole Miss | 63-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
12-03-21 | Oregon +3 v. Utah | 10-38 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
12-03-21 | Western Kentucky -3 v. UTSA | 41-49 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
12-02-21 | Valparaiso v. Drake -12.5 | 66-73 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
12-02-21 | Bulls v. Knicks +2 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
12-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder -3 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
12-01-21 | South Carolina v. Coastal Carolina +6.5 | Top | 56-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
11-29-21 | Hornets +5.5 v. Bulls | 119-133 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
11-28-21 | Chargers -2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Pelicans v. Jazz -12.5 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Oregon State v. Oregon -6.5 | Top | 29-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Miami-FL -21 v. Duke | Top | 47-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
11-26-21 | North Carolina +6.5 v. NC State | 30-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
11-26-21 | Utah State -16.5 v. New Mexico | 35-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
11-25-21 | Maryland v. Richmond +1.5 | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
11-25-21 | UC San Diego -1 v. Southern Miss | 55-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
11-25-21 | Auburn v. Loyola-Chicago +2.5 | Top | 62-53 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
11-25-21 | South Alabama v. San Diego -2 | 68-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
11-25-21 | Bears -3 v. Lions | 16-14 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
11-24-21 | Sam Houston State v. SMU -14 | 66-75 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
11-23-21 | Nuggets +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 100-119 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
11-23-21 | Flyers +1.5 v. Lightning | 0-4 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
11-23-21 | Illinois -10.5 v. Kansas State | 72-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
11-23-21 | Western Michigan -3.5 v. Northern Illinois | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
11-22-21 | Valparaiso +7 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
11-22-21 | Giants v. Bucs -11 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 179 h 3 m | Show |
11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings +1 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
11-20-21 | 76ers +6 v. Blazers | 111-118 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Oklahoma State -10 v. Texas Tech | Top | 23-0 | Win | 100 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Georgia Tech +18 v. Notre Dame | 0-55 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Florida Atlantic v. Western Kentucky -10 | Top | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
11-19-21 | San Diego State v. UNLV +11 | Top | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
11-19-21 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -191 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
11-19-21 | Ottawa +14 v. Montreal | Top | 19-18 | Win | 100 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons +7 | Top | 25-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
11-18-21 | UAB -2.5 v. South Carolina | 63-66 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
11-17-21 | UC-Davis +2 v. Pepperdine | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
11-17-21 | Northern Colorado v. Texas -20.5 | 49-62 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
11-17-21 | Tulane v. Florida State -18 | 54-59 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
11-17-21 | Wizards v. Hornets | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
11-17-21 | Northern Illinois -1 v. Buffalo | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
11-16-21 | Tarleton St v. Wichita State -12.5 | 51-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
11-16-21 | South Alabama +23.5 v. Alabama | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
11-16-21 | Western Michigan -5.5 v. Eastern Michigan | 21-22 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
11-15-21 | Southern Utah +11 v. St. Mary's | Top | 51-70 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
11-14-21 | Eagles +2.5 v. Broncos | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
11-14-21 | Bills -11.5 v. Jets | Top | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 56 m | Show |
11-13-21 | Evansville v. Belmont -13.5 | 43-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
11-13-21 | Southern Miss v. UTSA -33 | 17-27 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
11-13-21 | Rutgers v. Indiana -7 | Top | 38-3 | Loss | -101 | 24 h 51 m | Show |
11-12-21 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Blackhawks | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
11-12-21 | Blazers -6.5 v. Rockets | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
11-12-21 | Eastern Washington v. UC-Davis -8 | 76-84 | Push | 0 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
11-11-21 | Heat v. Clippers -3.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
11-11-21 | North Carolina +7 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 23-30 | Push | 0 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
11-10-21 | Kent State +3 v. Central Michigan | 30-54 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
11-10-21 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
11-09-21 | Akron v. Western Michigan -25.5 | Top | 40-45 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
11-08-21 | Heat v. Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 96-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
11-07-21 | Chargers -1 v. Eagles | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
11-07-21 | Raiders -3 v. Giants | 16-23 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 12 m | Show | |
11-06-21 | 76ers v. Bulls -3.5 | 114-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
11-06-21 | Toronto v. Ottawa +10.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 51 h 46 m | Show |
11-06-21 | Tulane v. Central Florida -12.5 | 10-14 | Loss | -113 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
11-06-21 | North Texas -4.5 v. Southern Miss | Top | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show |