Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-10-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Florida International -5.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -116 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida International minus the points over Middle Tennessee State at 4 pm et on Saturday. Middle Tennessee State has proven to be one of the weakest teams in the nation this season, opening with four straight ugly losses. Things don't figure to get much easier against an FIU squad that will be looking for its first victory as well on Saturday afternoon. The difference is, the Panthers have played just one game. They came close in that contest, falling in a wild 36-34 contest against favored Liberty. That was back on September 26th. They've had an extra week off to prepare and should be ready for whatever MTSU throws at them on Saturday afternoon. The Panthers will certainly have revenge on their minds after falling by a 50-17 score against the Blue Raiders a year ago. This should prove to be a much different matchup. Take Florida International (10*). |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Tennessee v. Georgia -12 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Year. My selection is on Georgia minus the points over Tennessee at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Bulldogs on Saturday afternoon as they aim to remain undefeated in SEC play. While Tennessee checks in with an identical 2-0 record to that of Georgia, the Vols wins have come against the likes of South Carolina and Missouri. They'll be taking a major step up in class in this one. Georgia hasn't allowed a touchdown since the first five minutes of its season-opener against Arkansas two weeks ago. After struggling to get going in that contest, we saw the Bulldogs offense show signs of cohesion in last Saturday's 27-6 rout of Auburn. While there's certainly a look-ahead involved here as Georgia will travel to face Alabama next week, I believe that has been more than factored into this line. Look for the 'Dawgs defense to set the tone early and for their offense to ultimately come up with enough big play to put the game away late. Take Georgia (10*). |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -3 | 45-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina minus the points over Virginia Tech at 12 noon et on Saturday. This line has come down into our play range as the Tar Heels host the Hokies on Saturday afternoon. North Carolina is off to a 2-0 start but didn't look at that impressive in its most recent victory over Boston College. This is an opportunity for the Tar Heels to make a real statement in ACC play against undefeated Virginia Tech. The Hokies are coming off an unimpressive single touchdown win over what had previously been a lifeless Duke squad. I'm just not convinced the Virginia Tech offense can keep up for four quarters against a North Carolina team that is underrated on both sides of the football in my opinion. Take North Carolina (10*). |
|||||||
10-08-20 | Tulane +7 v. Houston | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tulane plus the points over Houston at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. We know what we're getting with Tulane. The Green Wave are off to a 2-1 start with their lone loss coming in a stunning blown 24-0 halftime lead against Navy. Tulane successfully bounced back from that disappointing loss, delivering a 66-24 win over Southern Miss. Now the Green Wave come in well rested having not played since posting that blowout victory on September 26th. Meanwhile, we don't really know what we're going to get from Houston. The Cougars will be playing their first game of the season and I'm willing to bet that they might not be as good as advertised, or as the betting marketplace believes anyway. I'll grab all the points I can get in this Thursday night matchup. Take Tulane (10*). |
|||||||
10-04-20 | Ravens -13 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 73 h 32 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Washington at 1 pm et on Sunday. This is an absolute smash spot for the Ravens, who obviously have a bad taste in their mouths following Monday's dismantling at the hands of the Chiefs. Washington has been competitive in two of its three games this season, even winning one of them (we cashed with Washington in its Week 1 win over Philadelphia), but there have been some major red flags raised over the last two weeks. QB Dwayne Haskins is looking less and less like the answer for this offense, although he hasn't had much help from his supporting cast outside of WR Terry McLaurin. Here, he faces an elite Baltimore defense that is far better than it showed against Kansas City's 'next-level' offense on Monday night. The Ravens offense is in position to roll against a suddenly injury-plagued Washington defense that lost Matt Ioannidis and Chase Young last Sunday. Note that Washington has allowed nearly 400 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns through three games this season. Its secondary is arguably its weakest point and I'm confident Ravens QB Lamar Jackson will take full advantage of that leaky back-end in this one. With their next game coming at home against the winless Bengals next week, there's no reason for the Ravens to look past Washington. Take Baltimore (10*). |
|||||||
10-03-20 | Tulsa v. Central Florida -21 | Top | 34-26 | Loss | -108 | 55 h 34 m | Show |
CFB Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Central Florida minus the points over Tulsa at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. This game has blowout written all over it as Central Florida looks to move to 3-0 on the season. The Knights haven't been particularly sharp, or not as sharp as they'd like to be, on the defensive side of the football but they draw a terrific 'get right' matchup here. Tulsa has played just one game so far this season, falling in a very low-scoring affair against Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Credit the Golden Hurricane for keeping the Cowboys offense at bay in that contest but if their offensive performance (minus RB Shamari Brooks) was any indication, they could be in for a long year. Tulsa actually upset Central Florida by a 34-31 last season so revenge will be on the minds of the Knights here. UCF already appears to be in midseason form offensively after routing East Carolina last Saturday. QB Dillon Gabriel has been extremely efficient and consistent through two games, passing for 825 yards, four touchdowns and just one interception. I don't need to tell you that the Knights offense is absolutely loaded and should run wild against a very beatable Tulsa defense here. Without Brooks in the backfield I just don't see how the Golden Hurricane keep within arm's reach for four quarters on Saturday. Take Central Florida (10*). |
|||||||
10-03-20 | LSU -21 v. Vanderbilt | 41-7 | Win | 100 | 54 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on LSU minus the points over Vanderbilt at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the big number with LSU in a strong bounce-back spot on the road against Vanderbilt on Saturday. The Tigers fell short in a stunning 44-34 loss to Mississippi State last Saturday. They draw a far more favorable matchup here against the Commodores. Vandy held its own in a narrow 17-12 setback on the road against a good Texas A&M squad so there's reason to believe it will be full of confidence heading into this one. However, I'm not convinced the Commodores can stay competitive with another poor offensive showing in this one. Note that A&M was driving to potentially go up 21-5 in the third quarter of last week's game before fumbling the football and giving Vandy good field position in what led to the Commodores only touchdown of the game. I'm not sure that contest was quite as close as the final score indicated. LSU shook off the cobwebs last Saturday and I'm confident we'll see a far better performance on both sides of the football this week. Take LSU (10*). |
|||||||
10-03-20 | Virginia Tech -11.5 v. Duke | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Virginia Tech minus the points over Duke at 4 pm et on Saturday. I had Duke pegged as one of the ACC's worst teams at the onset of the season and we've already successfully faded the Blue Devils once, cashing with Boston College in a blowout two weeks ago. Here, I'll go back to the well and fade Duke again as it hosts Virginia Tech. The Hokies made their long-awaited season debut last Saturday, rolling to a 45-24 win over N.C. State. I like the fact that Virginia Tech has room for improvement here, however, particularly on the defensive side of the football. Duke shouldn't pose much of a threat offensively, noting that it has scored a grand total of just 39 points through three games - all losses - this season. While they did put up a season-high 20 points in last week's loss at Virginia, there were extended scoring droughts once again as they managed a touchdown on a defensive breakdown with one minute remaining in the first quarter but then didn't find the end zone again until over midway through the third quarter - their last score of the game. Take Virginia Tech (10*). |
|||||||
10-03-20 | Memphis -1.5 v. SMU | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 50 m | Show |
CFB AAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Memphis minus the points over SMU at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. Since Memphis last played back on September 5th, SMU has played a pair of games, winning in blowout fashion against North Texas and Stephen F. Austin (scoring a whopping 115 points in the process). Most bettors have short memories so it's easy to understand why the idle Tigers are laying only a couple of points in this matchup. I certainly consider Memphis to be the superior team. Note that the Tigers season-opening win came over an Arkansas State squad that went on to defeat Kansas State on the road the very next week. That win looks a lot better now than it did in early September. I'm confident the Tigers will be able to shake off the rust and I believe they'll benefit from facing a familiar opponent in SMU here. Note that Memphis recorded a wild 54-48 win over SMU in the most recent meeting between the schools last November. I'm concerned about the SMU defense in this one after it allowed 59 points in its two previous games against FBS opponents this season. An experienced Memphis offense is capable of scoring at will in this game and I expect the Tigers defense to be flying all over the field after nearly a month off. Take Memphis (10*). |
|||||||
10-03-20 | Baylor -2.5 v. West Virginia | 21-27 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baylor minus the points over West Virginia at 12 noon et on Saturday. Bettors seem to be a little low on Baylor in the early going this season. Last week they were laying a reasonable 17 points against a still-pitiful Kansas squad and went on to win the game by 34 points (we won with Baylor in that contest). Here, the Bears draw another favorable matchup against a rebuilding West Virginia squad. The Mountaineers dropped a 27-13 decision against Oklahoma State last Saturday. The fact that the Cowboys are still sleepwalking through their early season schedule played a factor in that game as far as I'm concerned. I'm not convinced West Virginia has the offense to keep pace with Baylor in this one. Take Baylor (10*). |
|||||||
10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets +1 | 37-28 | Loss | -113 | 36 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Denver at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I'll plug my nose and back the Jets in this Thursday night stinker. The Broncos carried some optimism into training camp back in August but let's face it, injuries have completely derailed their season. While this is a winnable game, I'm not convinced Denver has the personnel to do it. Note that Broncos quarterbacks have gotten absolutely crushed through three games - sacked a combined 13 times. Now they turn to inexperienced Brett Rypien, who doesn't figure to fare much better behind a leaky offensive line. Meanwhile, the Broncos injury-ravaged defense has done little to slow opposing quarterbacks, allowing a 68% completion percentage and forcing just one interception compared to seven touchdowns. With WR Jamison Crowder expected back on the field, I do look for Jets QB Sam Darnold to make a last stand, so to speak, and perhaps save his head coach Adam Gase's job (for one week anyway). Take New York (10*). |
|||||||
09-30-20 | Reds +1.5 v. Braves | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cincinnati +1.5 runs over Atlanta at 12:08 pm et on Wednesday. The Reds closed out the regular season on a red hot 11-3 run and I look for them to keep it going in the opener of their Wild Card series against the Braves in Atlanta. I'll grab the insurance run with Cincinnati here as the price warrants such a decision. Trevor Bauer will take the ball for the Reds. He has enjoyed a career year, even if we are talking about a relatively small sample size. Note that his strikeouts per nine innings were up and his walks were down compared to his previous best season in 2018 in which he was an All-Star and finished sixth in A.L. Cy Young voting and 22nd in A.L. MVP voting. No other starter gave up fewer hits per nine innings this season. Braves starter Max Fried went 7-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.09 WHIP this season but worked beyond the fifth inning just twice in his final seven starts. It's easy to forget that Fried went 17-6 last season. This year he struck out fewer batters per nine innings compared to last year while walking more. Note that he gave up just 0.3 home runs per nine innings, by far a career low number. However, in his final outing he gave up a pair of home runs in just a single inning. Take Cincinnati +1.5 runs (10*). |
|||||||
09-27-20 | Bucs -6 v. Broncos | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 74 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay minus the points over Denver at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. Credit the Broncos for making things interesting against the Steelers last Sunday. In fact, Denver checks into this one sporting a perfect 2-0 ATS record. I don't expect the Broncos to make it three straight ATS victories here, however, as this is a nightmarish matchup, even at home. The Bucs got on track with a sloppy but generally lopsided win over the Panthers last Sunday. I do expect them to sharpen things up on both sides of the football, but particularly on offense as the season progresses. This is a true smash spot for their offense against a Broncos defense that has simply been decimated by injuries. Offensively, Denver is forced to turn to Jeff Driskel in a starting role after Drew Lock went down last week. Not only that but Driskel won't have elite WR Courtland Sutton to work with as he's injured as well. There's just little reason to have any optimism that the Broncos can sustain drives or consistently put points on the board, particularly against an underrated Bucs defense that has done a nice job of handling the Saints and Panthers through two games. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
|||||||
09-27-20 | Jets v. Colts -11 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 74 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indianapolis minus the points over New York at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Colts on Sunday as they welcome the hapless Jets to Indy. Despite facing an injury-decimated 49ers squad, the Jets still went out and embarrassed themselves last Sunday, thankfully without their fans in the stadium. Now they draw a more unfavorable matchup as they travel to face a Colts squad that 'got right' in last week's rout of the Vikings. The Indy defense should absolutely feast on an undermanned Jets offense here. The Colts enter this game ranking third in the NFL in sacks with seven and should take advantage of a Jets o-line that is missing its anchor, C Connor McGovern. With the Jets giving up five yards per rush this season they're unlikely to slow the quickly-ascending rookie RB Jonathan Taylor. QB Philip Rivers isn't much more than a game-manager at this stage of his career, although I will point out that his numbers would look a little better were it not for a key T.Y. Hilton drop that would have resulted in a long touchdown last week. Here, look for the Colts to take care of the football on offense, capitalize on a number of short fields afforded by their defense and win in convincing fashion. Take Indianapolis (10*). |
|||||||
09-27-20 | Bengals v. Eagles -4.5 | 23-23 | Loss | -102 | 71 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Bengals in each of the last two weeks but were certainly fortunate to do so last week as Joe Burrow led his team on a late backdoor-clinching touchdown drive in Cleveland. There are obviously going to be some growing pains in Cincy, despite all of Burrow's upside. Here, I look for the Bengals to get blown out by what will be an extremely motivated 0-2 Eagles squad. Philadelphia has drawn a pair of tough matchups to open the campaign considering its injury-ravaged offensive line. Not surprisingly, QB Carson Wentz has taken a beating. The good news here is that the Bengals don't have much of a pass rush, having recorded just two sacks through their first two games. Look for Wentz to enjoy a solid 'get right' performance here while RB Miles Sanders takes care of the rest after shaking off the rust last Sunday. I'll gladly take the discount being offered to back the superior team in this matchup. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
|||||||
09-26-20 | Kansas v. Baylor -17 | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baylor minus the points over Kansas at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. I think the only reason we're dealing with a somewhat reasonable pointspread here is due to the fact that Baylor hasn't played a game yet. The Bears are obviously eager to get going and get a cupcake matchup to open things up with Kansas coming off a lopsided loss to Coastal Carolina in its season opener two weeks ago. Baylor's defense shouldn't have much trouble gameplanning for a Kansas offense that can run the football but do little else. It should only be a matter of time before this one gets away from the Jayhawks. Take Baylor (10*). |
|||||||
09-26-20 | Army v. Cincinnati -13 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 17 m | Show |
CFB Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Army at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Bearcats as they host an Army squad that has come roaring out of the gates, but against inferior opposition. Let's keep things in perspective. The Black Knights are a perfect 2-0 and have blown out each of their first two opponents but their schedule has afforded them very winnable matchups against Middle Tennessee State and Louisiana-Monroe. Things get an awful lot tougher this week as they hit the road for the first time to face an underrated Cincinnati squad that might be the second-best team in the AAC (behind UCF). Army has a national top-25 ranking entering this contest which may lead some bettors to back it with the generous helping of points but I expect this one to get away from the Black Knights. Their offense has been humming but there will be some bumps in the road and this is a tough matchup against an experienced and talented Cincinnati defense. The real key in this contest should be the Bearcats offense which has the tools to dominate a good but not great Army defense. Behind a big performance from QB Desmond Ridder as well as a loaded backfield, look for the Bearcats to roll. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
|||||||
09-24-20 | UAB -6.5 v. South Alabama | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on UAB minus the points over South Alabama at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. I had South Alabama pegged as one of the nation's worst teams prior to the Jaguars surprising season-opening win at Southern Miss (we won with the 'under' in that game). USA followed up that performance with a hard-fought loss at home against Tulane and then had last week off. I look for the Jaguars to fall short of the mark as they host UAB here. The Blazers looked rather unimpressive offensively in their most recent game - a 31-14 loss at Miami. Keep in mind, that loss doesn't look so bad now as the Canes are off to a strong start, fresh off an impressive road win over Louisville. I expect to see the UAB defense rise up and contain the Jaguars aerial attack in this one while the offense does enough to secure the win and cover. Both teams are without their starting QB's but as I mentioned, this is more about the Blazers stepping up and taking over the game. Take UAB (10*). |
|||||||
09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver plus the points over Los Angeles at 9 pm et on Tuesday. While the nature of that Game 2 loss may have broken most teams, I don't expect the Nuggets to fold the tent. Denver has shown plenty of resiliency throughout the playoffs and should bounce back here as it has a lot of positives to build on following Game 2. While I also lean to the 'under' in this matchup, I'll stick with the side and back the Nuggets to at the very least take this one down to the wire. Take Denver (10*). |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Ravens -7 v. Texans | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 48 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Houston at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Ravens last Sunday as they annihilated the overmatched Browns. After Cleveland showed some life on Thursday night, that win looks all the more impressive. Now Baltimore heads to Houston to face a Texans squad that I feel could turn out to be a punching bag this season. It's only a matter of time before Bill O'Brien's time is up in H-Town and this game should accelerate that clock. The Ravens run-oriented attack should absolutely feast on a Texans defense that was torched for 168 yards by the Chiefs backfield last week. Meanwhile, the Houston secondary is in shambles and should have no answers for the Ravens capable wide receiving corps. QB Deshaun Watson has to be wondering what his future holds in Houston following the departure of WR DeAndre Hopkins. While Will Fuller can serve as a Hopkins clone in some ways, he's obviously injury-prone and can't carry the passing game all on his own. The Ravens are positively loaded on the defensive side of the football and already proved they could contain Watson in last year's meeting. There's little reason to expect anything different this time around as it should only be a matter of time before Baltimore stretches out the margin. Take Baltimore (10*). |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Chiefs -8.5 v. Chargers | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -104 | 48 h 51 m | Show |
NFL AFC West Game of the Month. My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over Los Angeles at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. First off, it's worth noting that the SU winner has gone an incredible 18-1-1 ATS in the Chiefs last 20 regular season games. Here, I certainly expect to see the Chiefs prevail and with that being said, I'm confident they can cover the somewhat lofty number. While the Chargers have shown the ability to contain Patrick Mahomes in previous meetings, I'm not sure they're going to have any answers for the Chiefs ground game led by super rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire. I'm also not convinced Los Angeles will be able to finish enough drives with 7's on the board against a still-underrated Chiefs defense that's strength lies in its pass rush. Keep in mind, the Chargers will be without their o-line anchor in center Mike Pouncey for this one. That opens the door for the Chiefs front seven to get into the backfield with consistency in this one. The Chargers are in a state of change offensively going from immobile QB Phillip Rivers to the agile Tyrod Taylor. As we saw last Sunday, this is a unit that will likely go through some growing pains in the early going and I don't see this as an ideal matchup for them to move to 2-0 on the campaign. Take Kansas City (10*). |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Panthers v. Bucs -8 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 51 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay minus the points over Carolina at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Panthers blew an excellent opportunity to earn a much-needed opening week win last Sunday against the Raiders (given their tough early season schedule they could be staring down an awful start). Here, I look for them to get blown out at the hands of a hungry Bucs squad. Tampa Bay fell short in last week's showdown with the Saints, largely due to the inept play of its offense. More on that in a moment. First, let's talk about the Bucs underrated defense, which held the Saints to just 6.4 yards per play last Sunday, picking up right where it left off following a red hot finish to last season. The Panthers offense obviously revolves around RB Christian McCaffrey but there's reason to believe he could be held in check here after Tampa Bay completely shut him down in both meetings last season. The Bucs offense looked out of sync in Tom Brady's debut last Sunday. This is a tremendous bounce-back spot, however, as the Panthers own one of the league's weakest defenses. The Raiders torched the Panthers for 34 points last Sunday. You know your defense has a problem when you're giving up nearly double-digit yards per play against QB Derek Carr. While Bucs WR Chris Godwin could miss this game after entering concussion protocol mid-week, this is very much a receiving corps by committee and I expect Tampa's wealth of pass-catchers to pick up the slack in his possible absence. I don't need to tell you that Tom Brady's motivation level will be sky-high (it always is) after getting somewhat called out by head coach Bruce Arians. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Giants +5.5 v. Bears | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 52 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Chicago at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the generous helping of points with the Giants on Sunday afternoon at Soldier Field. We successfully faded New York in Monday's blowout loss to the Steelers but this is a fine bounce-back spot. Look for RB Saquon Barkley in particular to feast on what appears to be a bottom-tier Bears run defense. Chicago gave up 150+ total yards against the Lions below average stable of running backs last Sunday. After turning in the worst performance of his career to date, Barkley should be the focal point of the G-Men offense here. Credit Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears for rallying from a big fourth quarter deficit in Detroit last week but that had more to do with the Lions ineptitude than anything else. I look for Trubisky to struggle, even in a favorable matchup against a very average Giants defense. Outside of WR Allen Robinson, there's nothing all that imposing about the Bears offense. Take New York (10*). |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Bills -5.5 v. Dolphins | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over Miami at 1 pm et on Sunday. While the Dolphins certainly have bright days ahead, it's going to continue to be a slog here in the early going this season. Miami made a new-look Patriots squad look awfully good last Sunday. I expect more of the same against a superior Bills team this week. Buffalo should absolutely have its way with a very beatable Dolphins defense. QB Josh Allen should absolutely be able to replicate Pats QB Cam Newton's performance against Miami as he possesses similar tools. Note that Miami gave up a whopping 217 rushing yards in last week's loss. It's only a matter of time before the Fins turn to Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback, with the whispers getting a whole lot louder following vet Ryan Fitzpatrick's three-interception performance last Sunday. Buffalo boasts a truly elite defense and should have little trouble containing a banged-up Dolphins offense here. Take Buffalo (10*). |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Rams v. Eagles +1 | 37-19 | Loss | -115 | 52 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia over Los Angeles at 1 pm et on Sunday. We successfully faded the Eagles in last Sunday's loss in Washington but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back them as they return home to host the Rams this week. Philadelphia is expected to get some key cogs back on the field this week in the form of pass rush specialists Derek Barnett and Brandon Graham and right tackle Lane Johnson. If all three can play, that would be a huge boost to a team that is desperate for a strong bounce-back performance. RB Miles Sanders' absence was certainly felt in last Sunday's loss as well and all indications are he'll be back to full strength and on the field this week. I don't have a lot of faith in Rams QB Jared Goff, even after last week's strong showing against the Cowboys. This is a tougher matchup as Goff has traditionally struggled away from home. Despite their myriad of injuries, the Eagles still managed to hold the Washington Football Team to just north of two yards per rush in last week's loss. If the Rams can't get their ground game going here, I expect Goff to have a long afternoon. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
|||||||
09-19-20 | Miami-FL v. Louisville -2.5 | Top | 47-34 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 55 m | Show |
CFB ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on Louisville minus the points over Miami at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. Miami was fortunate to face a disjointed UAB squad in its season-opener last week, ultimately winning and covering the spread in the process. Here, the Canes will face a much tougher challenge as they hit the road to take on the Louisville Cardinals. The Cards got their season off to a resounding start with a 35-21 win over Western Kentucky. That game wasn't as close as the final score indicated as Louisville jumped ahead 28-7 before halftime and never looked back. While the Miami offense promises to be much better with QB D'Eriq King at the helm this season, it certainly didn't look completely in sync last week. I have Louisville pegged as one of the best teams in the entire nation in this unique 2020 college football campaign and will gladly back it as a short favorite here. Take Louisville (10*). |
|||||||
09-19-20 | Appalachian State -4 v. Marshall | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Appalachian State minus the points over Marshall at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. We'll back the Mountaineers as it's early and they remain undervalued in this unique 2020 college football season. Appalachian State actually has a good shot at reaching a New Year's Day Bowl game this year thanks to so many teams sitting on the sidelines. That's not a knock on the Mountaineers, as they're the real deal. Last week Appalachian State came up with a 35-20 win over Charlotte, completely manhandling the 49ers in the trenches. The Mountaineers running game appeared to be in midseason form which spells trouble for Marshall this week. I also liked what I saw from a new-look Appalachian State defense as it came up big on a number of occasions, including a pair of interceptions. Here, the Mountaineers face a much tougher challenge but I like they fact they'll be going up against a freshman quarterback. Keep in mind, Marshall turned in a near-flawless performance in its season debut two weeks ago. Unfortunately that means there's nowhere to go but down in this one. Look for the Thundering Herd to get a wake-up call. Take Appalachian State (10*). |
|||||||
09-19-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Georgia State +17 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 100 h 44 m | Show |
CFB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Georgia State plus the points over UL-Lafayette at 12 noon et on Saturday. The Ragin' Cajuns of UL-Lafayette are coming off a big upset win over Iowa State last Saturday so it's not surprising that they're laying such a big number in their Sun Belt opener this week. I believe the number will prove too high. Georgia State is no pushover. The Panthers reached a Bowl game with a 7-6 overall record last season, making significant progress relatively early in their FBS career. Georgia State returns plenty of talent on both sides of the football - particularly when it comes to defense, where it will obviously need to be stout against an experienced and explosive Ragin' Cajuns offense. Meanwhile, the Panthers offense has a terrific stable of wide receivers to stretch the field against a beatable Lafayette defense. Look for Georgia State to stay within arm's reach all afternoon long. Take Georgia State (10*). |
|||||||
09-19-20 | Boston College +6.5 v. Duke | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston College plus the points over Duke at 12 noon et on Saturday. The case can be made that Boston College is the better team in this matchup but I think the fact that Duke played in a national tv game last week on the road against Notre Dame, and hung relatively tough, plays into the line. The Eagles return a lot of experience on both sides of the football and will be eager to get on the field and face some actual competition here. I don't believe there's any intimidation factor at play with this edition of the Blue Devils. Look for the Eagles to hang tough for four quarters. Take Boston College (10*). |
|||||||
09-17-20 | Bengals +6 v. Browns | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 35 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cincinnati plus the points over Cleveland at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I can understand why the Browns are being favored by nearly a touchdown in this game - after all, this is a huge motivational spot for them coming off a beatdown at the hands of the Ravens (we won with Baltimore in that game) in the national spotlight against a division opponent they 'should' handle. I simply feel they're being asked to lay too many points in this spot as the Bengals showed me enough in a difficult matchup to support them for a second consecutive week. Give Bengals QB Joe Burrow a lot of credit for hanging in there against a very tough Chargers defense last Sunday. Highlights obviously included his touchdown run and his near game-tying (or winning) drive at the end of the fourth quarter. There was plenty to build off of following that performance and I'm confident we'll see him find more success against the Browns here. I also look for a big bounce-back performance from RB Joe Mixon who was relatively ineffective and even lost a fumble (his first since 2016). The Browns are a mess, and have been since the start of last season. While I do like their ground attack and feel they can have considerable success running the football against the Bengals non-existent run defense, I'm not sure QB Baker Mayfield has the composure to avoid a couple of costly mistakes that ultimately keeps this game within arm's reach for the Bengals. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
|||||||
09-15-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -7.5 | 104-89 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Denver at 9 pm et on Tuesday. The Clippers clearly got caught looking ahead to a date with the rival Lakers at halftime of Game 6, ultimately blowing a 16-point lead en route to an eventual double-digit loss. L.A. really couldn't have played much worse. It only serves to make bouncing back that much easier on Tuesday as I'm confident the Clips motivation level will be sky-high and I expect their play to match it. Give Denver all the credit in the world, first battling its way through a tough series against the Jazz and now giving the favored Clips all they can handle in another seven-game series. We have, however, seen L.A.'s ability to reach another gear in this series and there's simply too much on the line as a franchise to lay another egg on Tuesday night. All of that has certainly been factored into the line, but I still look for the Clips to cover the number. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
|||||||
09-15-20 | Islanders +1.5 v. Lightning | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York +1.5 goals over Tampa Bay at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. I don't expect the Islanders to go away quietly in this series. They were badly outplayed for much of Game 4 but should bounce back facing the prospect of elimination on Tuesday night. The Lightning most definitely have an eye on the Stanley Cup Final at this point, and rightfully so. While I do expect them to get there, I don't believe a victory in Game 5 is a foregone conclusion. Barry Trotz will have his Isles ready and I'll grab the insurance goal but wouldn't be shocked by an outright win. Take New York +1.5 goals (10*). |
|||||||
09-14-20 | Titans -3 v. Broncos | 16-14 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tennessee minus the points over Denver at 10:10 pm et on Monday. This game has blowout potential with the Broncos ill-equipped to handle the Titans underrated offense or claw their way back into contention should they fall behind early. Of course, Denver suffered a major blow with the season-ending ankle injury to Von Miller last week. The Broncos were already going to be undermanned defensively before Miller went down due to a number of defections on that side of the football during the offseason. Expect RB Derrick Henry to have a field day against the Broncos once-vaunted 'D'. Offensively, the Broncos have a new coordinator, not to mention an inexperienced quarterback who will be making just his sixth career NFL start - and he'll be doing so potentially without his top target in WR Courtland Sutton. While I do like the upside of rookie WR's Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler, Hamler is dealing with an injury and Jeudy didn't exactly receive rave reviews during training camp. Maybe the Broncos will elect to go run-heavy but I suspect they'll only be banging their heads against the wall versus a stout Titans defense. Tennessee should be able to pin back its ears and get after QB Drew Lock all night long. Take Tennessee (10*). |
|||||||
09-14-20 | Steelers -5.5 v. Giants | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
NFL Monday Night Football Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh minus the points over New York at 7:15 pm et on Monday. This really is a tough opening week matchup for the Giants as they try to turn the page on what has been a tough era of G-Men football. The Steelers are reloaded for another run with a healthy Ben Roethlisberger under center. All indications are that his arm is back at full strength as he looks to get the Pittsburgh offense back on track following a tumultuous 2019 campaign. Roethlisberger should feast on a Giants pass defense that was absolutely horrendous last season and doesn't figure to improve here in 2020. Even if Big Ben doesn't dominate, the Steelers should enjoy plenty of success on the ground against a New York defense that gave up just shy of 150 rush yards per game last season. There were signs of life in the Giants offense with rookie Daniel Jones at the helm last season. Of course, it helps that he has RB Saquon Barkley in the backfield but I question how much running room he'll find against the teeth of the Steelers defense. Meanwhile, the G-Men boast a below average group of wide receivers that won't instill much fear at all in the Steelers secondary. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Chargers v. Bengals +3.5 | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Cincinnati plus the points over Los Angeles at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'm more than happy to grab the points with an underrated Bengals team hosting an overrated Chargers squad on Sunday afternoon. I'm not sure the Tyrod Taylor-led Chargers have any business traveling across the country and being favored in this matchup. With issues on their offensive line and an unproven ground attack (Austin Ekeler is a terrific RB but more of a pass-catcher than runner), I believe they'll have trouble chewing up clock and ultimately putting this game to bed. It remains to be seen how effective Bengals QB Joe Burrow can be in his NFL debut against a tough defense but I'm confident he can do just enough (and not make the critical game-changing mistakes) to lead the Bengals to victory. I don't believe the Chargers bring any sort of intimidation factor to the table here, especially after losing one of their best defensive players in SS Derwin James to injury. The Chargers are still absolutely loaded with talent on defense but in today's NFL, that's rarely enough. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team +6 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 77 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Philadelphia at 1 pm et on Sunday. I think it's a pretty good bet that few recreational players will want any part of the Washington Football Team on Sunday afternoon. After all, it was a truly tumultuous offseason in the nation's capital. With that being said, I believe this game is far closer to a pk'em than the oddsmakers are suggesting. Philadelphia isn't exactly on solid ground entering the new season. QB Carson Wentz was banged up throughout training camp and has major pass protection issues with two key cogs on the offensive line (Andre Dillard and Brandon Brooks) lost to injuries. It sets up a bit of a nightmarish situation against Washington's vaunted pass rush. Meanwhile, I'm higher on Washington QB Dwayne Haskins than some. I believe he and last year's breakout star WR Terry McLaurin can do plenty of damage right out of the gate this season, particularly against the Eagles beatable secondary. Philadelphia's defense isn't nearly as fearsome with the likes of Malcolm Jenkins and Nigel Bradham out of the mix. Take Washington (10*). |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Browns v. Ravens -7.5 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 77 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Cleveland at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'm not sure the Ravens are getting quite enough credit for their regular season performance a year ago, or hype entering the new season (thanks in large part to the love-in for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs). Baltimore has the potential to be even better this year after shoring up its run defense and making some savvy additions on offense during the offseason. The Browns underwent a coaching overhaul following a disappointing 2019 campaign but I'm not sure it's going to result in immediate positive returns. This is quite simply an awful opening week matchup against a loaded Super Bowl contender that carries a big chip on its shoulder following last January's early playoff exit. The Browns are dealing with a number of injuries and absences on the defensive side of the football which should have QB Lamar Jackson licking his chops entering this contest. Take Baltimore (10*). |
|||||||
09-12-20 | Tulane -10 v. South Alabama | 27-24 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tulane minus the points over South Alabama at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. South Alabama pulled off a stunning upset win at Southern Miss last week (we won with the 'under') so don't expect Tulane to get caught off guard in its season debut. The Jaguars were able to orchestrate the upset thanks to a number of big plays in the passing game, taking full advantage of a very weak Southern Miss secondary. Here, the Jags won't be so fortunate. Tulane's defense let it down at times last season but should be stronger here in 2020, with its pass defense serving as a strength. There are a number of changes on offense but I do think the Green Wave can hit the ground running with a week of game film to work with when it comes to the South Alabama defense. I had the Jaguars pegged as one of the weakest teams in FBS entering this unique 2020 season and I won't stray from that thinking, even after last week's strong performance. Tulane has become a perennial Bowl team while South Alabama is still trying to find its way as an FBS program. While I'd like to be dealing with a lower number, I still see value with the Green Wave here. Take Tulane (10*). |
|||||||
09-12-20 | UL-Monroe +21.5 v. Army | Top | 7-37 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Week. My selection is on Louisiana-Monroe plus the points over Army at 1:30 pm et on Saturday. I'll grab the generous helping of points with Louisiana-Monroe at it heads to West Point to take on Army on Saturday afternoon. The Black Knights have the benefit of having already worked out the early season kinks in a stunning 42-0 blowout win over Middle Tennessee last week. Keep in mind, the Black Knights were favored by just north of a field goal in that game. They overachieved in that contest as the Blue Raiders had absolutely no answer to Army's triple-option offense. Here, I look for a different story to unfold. Don't count on the Black Knights running roughshod against a Warhawks defense that has plenty of talent and experience in the second level. On the flip side, the Army defense was never really tested in last week's game as it jumped ahead early and never looked back. The Black Knights were able to force three turnovers in that victory but I look for Louisiana-Monroe to do a better job of taking care of the football here. Look for the Warhawks to play smart with an inexperienced quarterback but serviceable ground attack against an Army defense that shouldn't generate much pressure in the backfield. Army should get the win here, but I simply feel it is being asked to lay too many points. Take Louisiana-Monroe (10*). |
|||||||
09-10-20 | Golden Knights v. Stars +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas +1.5 goals over Vegas at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'under' in Game 2 of this series on Tuesday night and while I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair on Thursday, I'm not ready to pay the tariff with the 'under' again. Instead I'll grab the insurance goal with what is sure to be an extremely hungry Stars squad coming off Tuesday night's egg. Dallas has been answering its doubters all playoffs long and I expect it to do so again in this spot. We did see some push back from the Stars in the third period of Game 2 and I'm expecting some carry-over from that here. While Vegas ultimately dominated two nights ago, I still believe we're in for a long series. Take Dallas +1.5 goals (10*). |
|||||||
09-04-20 | Rockies +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
MLB Run-Line Game of the Month. My selection is on Colorado +1.5 runs over Los Angeles at 9:40 pm et on Friday. I'll take a shot with the Rockies plus the insurance run on Friday night in Los Angeles. Antonio Senzatela will take the ball for Colorado. He has quietly gotten off to a fine start this season. His strikeouts per nine innings are up slightly while his walks are way down, all the way to 1.5 per nine innings compared to 4.1 a year ago. His home runs and hits allowed have also dropped. Dodgers starter Dustin May has posted a solid ERA and WHIP but a deeper look shows that he has regressed slightly. His strikeouts per nine innings are down from 8.3 a year ago to 5.9 this season. His walks have jumped from 1.3 to 2.3. He's also allowing 1.0 home runs per nine innings compared to 0.5 last season. Entering last night's action the Rockies had crept into T10th in runs per game and T7th in team batting average. I look for them to hang around in this one. Take Colorado +1.5 runs (10*). |
|||||||
09-03-20 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Thursday. This is an awfully tough matchup for the D'Backs as they run into a red hot Clayton Kershaw while sending a struggling Luke Weaver to the mound. Weaver made his big league debut in 2016 but has pitched just one full season since, that coming in 2018 when he went 7-11 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. His strikeouts per nine innings are up this season but so are his walks, hits and home runs allowed. The fact is, Weaver has struggled here in 2020 and there's little reason to expect him to turn things around against the Dodgers. Clayton Kershaw is quietly off to a terrific start this season with a 1.80 ERA and 0.77 WHIP. His strikeouts per nine innings are up compared to last season while his walks are down. Keep in mind he was an All-Star once again last year and finished eighth in N.L. Cy Young voting so the fact that he has improved on his numbers says something. I'll lay the extra run to get a more reasonably price with the Dodgers here. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (10*). |
|||||||
09-03-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -8.5 | Top | 97-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Denver at 9 pm et on Thursday. I really think this is a blowout in the making as the weary Nuggets take on the Clippers just one day removed from outlasting the Jazz in what was an opening round war of attrition. Los Angeles is well-rested, and likely to keep rolling after rounding into form in the latter stages of the first round. The Clips didn't exactly come roaring out of the gates here in the "bubble" but they didn't have to. Here, I look for them to get off to a blazing start to the second round as they do a far better job of containing Jokic and Murray than the Jazz did in the Nuggets last series. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
|||||||
08-30-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -2.5 | 112-94 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Boston at 1 pm et on Sunday. I look for the Raptors to get an early jump on the Celtics in this series as they return from an extended layoff on Sunday afternoon. Boston looked a little disjointed at times early in its series against the 76ers but got stronger as it went on, ultimately prevailing against an undermanned Philadelphia squad. This should be a different story as it faces the challenge of a full-strength Raptors squad that is playing some of its best basketball here in the "bubble". All indications are that Kyle Lowry's ankle should be good to go for Game 1, with a few extra days off helping him get ready for the opener. Take Toronto (10*). |
|||||||
08-28-20 | Pirates +1.5 v. Brewers | 1-9 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh +1.5 runs over Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Friday. I'll take a shot with the Pirates with an insurance run on Friday night in Milwaukee. Pirates starter Derek Holland is obviously on the down side of his career but it is worth noting that his strikeouts per nine innings are up while his walks are down compared to last year. He is giving up a considerably higher home run rate but that should diminish with a larger sample size. Brewers starter Corbin Burnes is averaging over 12 strikeouts per nine innings but his walks have crept up to 5.5 per nine innings compared to 3.7 a year ago. Note that the Brewers rank a miserable 29th in the majors in runs per game and an identical 29th in team batting average. Take Pittsburgh +1.5 runs (10*). |
|||||||
08-25-20 | Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 | 111-154 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Dallas at 9 pm et on Tuesday. I'll lay the points with the Clippers on Tuesday night as they bounce-back from a very disappointing overtime loss on Sunday afternoon. Luka Doncic simply took over that game on Sunday, turning in a performance for the ages with his running mate Kristaps Porzingis sidelined. Now I look for a big response from Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers as they look to take back control of the series and silence some of their doubters in the process. A big early lead may have been the worst thing that could have happened to the Clippers on Sunday as they let down their guard against the undermanned Mavs and ultimately paid the price with an 'L'. Look for a sharper, more focused effort from the Clips on Tuesday. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
|||||||
08-20-20 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. A's | 1-5 | Loss | -141 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona +1.5 runs over Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Thursday. It's not easy to go against the A's these days but in this spot, I'm willing to take a flyer on the D'Backs with an insurance run. Alex Young will get the nod for Arizona. He has made eight appearances this season but only one start after 15 of his 17 appearances last year were starts. Note that his strikeouts per nine innings are up while his walks are down considerably. Last season, Young recorded a solid 3.56 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Sean Manaea will counter for Oakland. He's been one of the most hittable pitchers in baseball this season, allowing north of 12 hits per nine innings. His strikeouts per nine innings are down while his walks are up compared to his injury-shortened 2019 season. While the D'Backs aren't known as a prolific offensive club they did enter last night's action ranked tied for ninth in runs per game and tied for seventh in batting average (MLB ranks). Take Arizona +1.5 runs (10*). |
|||||||
08-20-20 | Heat -4 v. Pacers | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami minus the points over Indiana at 1 pm et on Thursday. We won with the Heat in Game 1 of this series and we'll come right back with them again in Game 2 on Thursday afternoon. This is a mismatch as far as I'm concerned, even if it didn't look that way in the early stages of the series-opener. Once the Heat settled in they were able to essentially do whatever they wanted and ultimately stretch out the margin against the Pacers in Game 1. There's little reason to expect anything different on Thursday. The 'zig-zag theory' produced a 3-1 ATS record in yesterday's playoff contests, but I expect a different story to unfold on Thursday. Take Miami (10*). |
|||||||
08-18-20 | Heat -4.5 v. Pacers | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami minus the points over Indiana at 4 pm et on Tuesday. I'll lay the points with the Heat as they open their first round playoff series with the Pacers on Tuesday afternoon. This will actually be the third meeting in just over a week between these two teams with each side winning one of those matchups. Both games were ultimately blowouts but we can put a lot more stock in Miami's 114-92 win back on August 10th as the second matchup saw most key cogs sit. The Pacers have enjoyed a nice run here in the "bubble" but I'm much higher on the Heat and had this line pegged 1.5 points higher than we're dealing with at the time of writing. Take Miami (10*). |
|||||||
08-17-20 | Mavs v. Clippers -6 | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Dallas at 9 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the Clippers in the opener of their series with the Mavericks on Monday night. After getting off to a rocky start here at Disney dropping two of their first three contests, the Clippers turned it around winning four of their last five. That included a 15-point rout of the Mavericks on August 6th. Dallas has been marred by inconsistent play, particularly at the defensive end of the floor, here in the "bubble" and I simply don't see it getting off to a roaring start to the playoffs against a Clippers squad that will be looking to make a statement right out of the gates. All things considered, I believe we're being asked to lay a very reasonable number with the vastly superior team on Monday night. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
|||||||
08-17-20 | 76ers +6 v. Celtics | 101-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over Boston at 6:30 pm et on Monday. The Celtics were red hot near the tail-end of regular season play in the "bubble", reeling off four straight wins before falling with most of their key cogs resting in their finale against the Wizards. Here, they draw a tough opening round matchup against a 76ers squad they struggled against during the regular season, dropping three of four meetings. Of course, Philadelphia is a different team without Ben Simmons. That being said, the Sixers have held up well in "bubble" action to this point, particularly at the offensive end of the floor. They've learned to play without their star guard and I believe they enter the playoffs with a big chip on their shoulder against the favored Celtics. Look for a tightly-contested affair in Game 1 on Monday. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
|||||||
08-17-20 | Nets +10 v. Raptors | 110-134 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Toronto at 4 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the generous helping of points with the Nets on Monday as they aim to take their first step in dethroning the defending NBA champion Raptors. While that will be a tall task indeed, here we're only looking for Brooklyn to give Toronto a run. The Raptors are generally slow starters in playoff series' having gone an absolutely dreadful 4-15 SU and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 series openers. The Nets have been one of the most undervalued commodities in the "bubble". While they have a ton of absences, there's no question they've come together and played their best basketball of the season here at Disney. The Raps win Game 1 but it should be close. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
|||||||
08-15-20 | A's v. Giants +1.5 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco +1.5 runs over Oakland at 7:07 pm et on Saturday. NOTE: Manaea starting for Montas for Oakland. The play remains on the Giants +1.5 at a slightly less favorable price. I'll take a shot with the Giants plus the insurance run as they try to bounce back from last night's highly disappointing extra innings loss to the A's. Oakland staged a five-run ninth inning rally in that contest, snatching victory from the jaws of defeat as they say. Here, they'll hand the ball to Frankie Montas and I feel he's become a little overvalued. Note that Montas' walks per nine innings are up this season while his strikeouts are down slightly. Meanwhile, he's yet to allow a single home run, which as we obviously know is certainly not sustainable even if he has had a penchant for keeping the ball in the yard over the course of his young career. Veteran Kevin Gausman has actually pitched reasonably well for the Giants. In fact, he's put together a solid run since joining the Reds late last season, bumping up his strikeouts per nine innings while doing a good job of keeping his walks down (he's issuing just 0.9 walks per nine innings this season). Keep in mind, the A's check in ranked T24 in hits per game and 27th in batting average. Take San Francisco +1.5 runs (10*). |
|||||||
08-11-20 | Marlins +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami +1.5 runs over Toronto at 6:37 pm et on Tuesday. I'll take a flyer with the Marlins here as the Blue Jays face some considerable distraction as they play their first "home" game here at renovated Sahlen Field in Buffalo. Toronto continues to struggle out of the gates this season, never really recovering from an early layoff as a result of a postponed series with the Phillies. The Jays will have ace Hyun-Jin Ryu on the hill for this one but I can't help but feel that leaves them overvalued, especially with Ryu coming off a strong bounce-back performance against the Braves last week. Elieser Hernandez looked good in his season debut for the Marlins and I believe he'll be good enough to keep the Marlins in this game as well. Take Miami +1.5 runs (10*). |
|||||||
08-06-20 | Pacers -3 v. Suns | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Phoenix at 4:05 pm et on Thursday. This is an ideal spot to fade the red hot Suns as they come off a thrilling buzzer-beating win over the Clippers two days ago. Phoenix has gone a perfect 3-0 since the NBA restart to keep its slim playoff hopes alive. Here it faces a less talked about but equally hot opponent in the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have also gone a perfect 3-0 since the restart but the difference is Indiana has been a quality team all season long. The Suns will certainly draw the Pacers attention here after that huge upset victory over the NBA title contending Clippers. I believe we're being asked to lay a relatively short number with the much better all-around team. Take Indiana (10*). |
|||||||
08-05-20 | Raptors v. Magic +6.5 | 109-99 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Raptors have impressed through two games since the restart, notching wins over the Lakers and Heat. I believe there's a chance we see them overlook the Magic on Wednesday, however, as they have a date with the Celtics looming on Friday. Orlando has gone 2-1 here in the 'bubble' but is coming off a double-digit loss against the Pacers last time out. While Toronto will be looking to sweep the 'season series' with the Magic I expect it to be in tough. Take Orlando (10*). |
|||||||
08-05-20 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Jazz | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Utah at 2:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Grizzlies have struggled since the restart, going 0-3 but they've been competitive in all three games. They're coming off their worst effort though against the Pelicans last time out so I look for them to come out strong in this winnable game against the Jazz on Wednesday. Utah will certainly be motivated coming off back-to-back losses but I simply feel they're being asked to lay too many points in this spot. Note that this will be the first of a three game in four days stretch for the Jazz. Look for this one to go down to the wire. Take Memphis (10*). |
|||||||
07-25-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Seattle at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Astros have been getting it from all angles ever since the news of their cheating scandal broke so you have to think they're happy to just get back to playing baseball. They certainly have a point to prove here in the early going of this shortened MLB campaign and got off to a solid start with a victory over Seattle last night. I expect them to rack up another lopsided win on Saturday afternoon. I'm actually pretty high on the Mariners in the long-term picture but given their very difficult schedule and the amount of youth on their roster, 2020 is likely to be a struggle. They'll send Taijuan Walker to the hill on Saturday as he makes his return to the M's after a stint in the National League with the D'Backs. He should find the going a little tougher back in the Junior Circuit and draws an especially tough matchup here against a loaded Astros lineup. Meanwhile, Lance McCullers Jr. is back on the mound after missing all of last season due to injury. He looked outstanding during Summer Camp and by all accounts is good to go as he makes his long-awaited season debut here in 2020. Going back to Spring Training, he allowed two earned runs over 4 2/3 innings, striking out six and most encouragingly walking only one. If McCullers can keep his command in check he has the potential to be one of the most dominant starters in the American League as far as I'm concerned. Look for him to help guide the Astros to a convincing win here as we'll lay the extra run to get a better price with the home side. Take Houston -1.5 runs (10*). |
|||||||
07-21-20 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Watford | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Manchester City -1.5 goals over Watford at 1 pm et on Tuesday. This is an incredible bounce-back spot for City coming off a highly disappointing 2-0 loss to Arsenal in FA Cup play on Saturday. Watford should offer little resistance, with its lone two victories since the restart coming against Norwich City and Newcastle earlier this month. I'll lay the extra goal here as City looks to 'get right' in a 'name your score' type of affair. Take Manchester City -1.5 goals (10*). |
|||||||
07-15-20 | San Jose v. Vancouver Whitecaps +0.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vancouver +0.5 goals over San Jose at 9 pm et on Wednesday. Perhaps the line has something to do with the draw San Jose earned against Seattle last Friday (we won with the 'under' in that match) but I feel the Earthquakes are being overvalued here against Vancouver on Wednesday night. There really wasn't anything all that inspiring about what the Earthquakes did against Seattle, managing only 38% of the ball possession while yielding nine corner kicks and 17 crosses (compared to one and three of their own, respectively). Vancouver of course had its first match postponed so you can be sure it has been eager to get back into game action and I'm anticipating a high-energy performance as a result. The Quakes took the most recent meeting between these two squads but that came last August. Expect a different result here. Take Vancouver +0.5 goals (10*). |
|||||||
07-09-20 | New England v. Montreal +0.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal +0.5 goals over New England at 8 pm et on Thursday. You'd be hard pressed to find a good reason for New England to be favored to win this match, having already dropped a 2-1 decision to the Impact in Montreal prior to the Covid shutdown in March. While Montreal has found itself near the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings in recent seasons, so has New England. Note that the Impact have done an excellent job of keeping their opposition within arm's reach in recent years, settling for a draw in at least 16 of 34 matches in each of the last three seasons. Montreal generally seems to be the overlooked of the three Canadian squads with Toronto and Vancouver grabbing more of the headlines. Here, look for Thierry Henry's Impact to turn in a solid tournament debut against the Revolution. Take Montreal +0.5 goals (10*). |
|||||||
07-08-20 | Burnley +0.5 v. West Ham United | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Burnley +0.5 goals over West Ham United at 1 pm et on Wednesday. I like the value being offered with Burnley here. Most bettors' have short memories and the fact is, West Ham has a bit of a 'flavor of the month' feel after upsetting Chelsea last week and following that up with a 2-2 draw with Newcastle. Note that West Ham still sits just 16th in EPL action this season with only eight victories in 33 matches. Burnley has gone undefeated over its last three matches and could really use a positive result here with matches against Liverpool and Wolverhampton on deck. Note that Burnley took the most recent meeting between these two squads by a 3-0 score last November. Take Burnley +0.5 goals (10*). |
|||||||
07-02-20 | RCD Espanyol +0.5 v. Real Sociedad | 1-2 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Espanyol +0.5 goals over Real Sociedad at 1:30 pm et on Thursday. With both of these squads scuffling along right now I'll grab the half-goal with Espanyol in what should be a tightly-contested affair. Espanyol has gone winless since resuming play with a 2-0 win over CD Alaves back on June 13th. Since then it has gone 0-3-1 but has admittedly faced a tough recent slate, including a narrow 1-0 loss to first place Real Madrid. Real Sociedad has lost four straight matches and managed only one shot on goal in its most recent contest - a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Getafe. Take Espanyol +0.5 goals (10*). |
|||||||
07-01-20 | Villarreal v. Betis | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Villarreal pk'em over Real Betis at 4 pm et on Wednesday. While the likes of Barca, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid get all the headlines, squads like Villarreal have thrived since the restart of play earlier this month. Villarreal has gone an incredible 4-0-1 since then, conceding just two goals in total - both of those coming against Sevilla last week. It was positively dominant in its most recent match, rolling to an easy 2-0 victory over Valencia. Real Betis has been hot and cold since the restart and is coming off a 4-2 loss to Levante. A victory over Real Madrid back in March has been Betis' season highlight as it checks in 13th in La Liga action. Take Villarreal pk'em (10*). |
|||||||
07-01-20 | Ath Bilbao +0.25 v. Valencia | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Athletic +0 1/4 goals over Valencia at 1:30 pm et on Wednesday. Valencia embarrassed itself in its most recent match, appearing completely lifeless in a 2-0 loss to Villarreal. Note that Valencia has failed to record a single shot on goal in its last two full matches. Since the restart, Valencia has gone 1-3-1 with its lone two positive results coming against opponents that sit in the bottom half of the La Liga table. Athletic has looked rather impressive since the restart, going 2-1-2 with its lone defeat coming by a 1-0 score against Barcelona last week. Note that it has managed to find the back of the net in four of five matches this month, tallying a grand total of seven goals. Take Athletic +0 1/4 goals (10*). |
|||||||
06-26-20 | Real Valladolid v. Sevilla -1 | 1-1 | Loss | -131 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sevilla -1 goal over Real Valladolid at 4 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the goal with Sevilla in this Friday La Liga match. Sevilla has gone winless in its last three matches since returning to the pitch with a 2-0 win over Real Betis back on June 11th. Keep in mind, it has faced a tough schedule, with its last three matches coming against Levante, Barcelona and Villarreal. There was really no shame in earning three consecutive draws over that stretch. Here, I look for Sevilla to get loose against a Valladolid squad that sits 15th in the La Liga standings. Like Sevilla it has gone winless in its last three matches but it's worth noting that it managed just one goal over that stretch - that coming in a 1-1 draw against Getafe last time out. Take Sevilla -1 goal (10*). |
|||||||
06-25-20 | Arsenal v. Southampton | 2-0 | Win | 105 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arsenal (pk'em/draw no bet) over Southampton at 1 pm et on Thursday. Bettors are understandably a little jittery when it comes to Arsenal, which has been a big disappointment in the EPL this season, currently sitting in 11th place. The Gunners haven't looked good since the restart, going 0-1-1 including an awful loss to Brighton & Hove Albion last time out. It is worth noting that the Gunners did control the pace of that match for the most part, but simply couldn't capitalize on their opportunities. Here, I look for a different story to unfold against Southampton. It sits 14th in the EPL standings and is in for a letdown coming off a 3-0 victory over Norwich City. That marked just its second victory in its last eight matches overall. Take Arsenal (pk'em/draw no bet) 10*. |
|||||||
06-24-20 | AFC Bournemouth +1 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Bournemouth +1 goal over Wolverhampton at 1 pm et on Wednesday. Bournemouth sits a miserable 18th in the EPL and is coming off a less-than-inspired 2-0 loss to Crystal Palace in its return to the pitch this past Saturday. Still, I'll grab the one-goal cushion with the underdog side here as it takes on a Wolves squad in for a letdown off a 2-0 victory over West Ham. Note that the Wanderers have just 11 outright victories in 30 EPL matches this season. Covering the goal spread is a bridge too far on this day. Take Bournemouth +1 goal (10*). |
|||||||
06-24-20 | Everton v. Norwich City +0.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Norwich City +0.5 goals over Everton at 1 pm et on Wednesday. I like the bounce-back spot for Norwich City here as it aims to rebound from an awful showing in a 3-0 loss to Southampton this past Friday. Meanwhile, Everton is in a letdown spot of sorts coming off a hard-fought 0-0 draw with Liverpool on Sunday. Norwich City certainly doesn't inspire a great deal of confidence given its 20th place standing but it has shown the ability to rise to the occasion at times this season and it's worth noting that it has suffered only six outright losses in 30 EPL matches. I'm not as high on Everton as most here on Wednesday. Take Norwich City +0.5 goals (10*). |
|||||||
06-23-20 | Atletico Madrid v. Levante +1 | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Levante +1 goal over Atletico Madrid at 1:30 pm et on Tuesday. Atletico Madrid narrowly escaped with a 1-0 victory on Saturday against Valladolid, improving to 2-0-1 since the La Liga restart earlier this month. That less than inspiring performance has me wondering whether they'll avoid disappointment against upstart Levante on Tuesday, however. Levante sits 11th in La Liga but has gone undefeated in three matches since the restart. Keep in mind, this is a squad that defeated Real Madrid and suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat at the hands of Barcelona back in February. I like it's chances of staying with in arm's reach of Atletico Madrid on Tuesday afternoon and will gladly grab the insurance goal. Take Levante +1 goal (10*). |
|||||||
05-22-20 | Union Berlin +0.5 v. Hertha Berlin | 0-4 | Loss | -153 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Union Berlin +0.5 goals over Hertha Berlin at 2:30 pm et on Friday. As we all know by now you can essentially throw home field advantage out the window as clubs play in front of empty stadiums in Bundesliga action for the foreseeable future. Here, I'll gladly grab the half-goal with Union Berlin as it looks to bounce back from a tough but hard-fought 2-0 loss to Bayern Munich last weekend. FC Union has suffered just three outright losses in 26 Bundesliga matches this season. Hertha BSC sits ahead of Union in the overall standings and is coming off an impressive 3-0 win over 1899 Hoffenheim last week. Keep in mind, that marked its first victory in its last four matches. The last match between these two clubs resulted in a 1-0 FC Union victory back on November 2nd. Expect another tight battle here with a draw the 'at worst' expectation for Union by my estimation. Take Union Berlin (10*). |
|||||||
03-11-20 | Nebraska +14.5 v. Indiana | 64-89 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Nebraska plus the points over Indiana at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. This is simply far too many points for a mediocre Indiana squad to be laying against Nebraska on Wednesday night. The Huskers have been mired in another down season, winning just seven of 31 games to date but this is essentially their national championship game and I do expect them to leave it all on the floor. After consecutive beatdowns at the hands of Michigan and Minnesota on the road I look for them to relish the opportunity to face an Indiana squad they stayed within eight points of back in January. The Hoosiers have won just four games since the start of February. take Nebraska (10*). |
|||||||
03-11-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -1 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Denver at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I look for the Mavs to bounce back from last night's double-digit loss at the hands of the Spurs as they return home to host the Nuggets on Wednesday. Denver is without question a formidable opponent but I like the significant edges Dallas holds in pace, three-point shooting and rebounding in this matchup. This is an important, albeit brief two-game homestand for the Mavs off back-to-back losses. The Nuggets haven't won consecutive games since February 23rd and 25th and while they're off a victory over the Bucks last time out, that wasn't quite as impressive as it appears on paper as Milwaukee was without Giannis. Take Dallas (10*). |
|||||||
03-10-20 | St. Mary's +9 v. Gonzaga | 66-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Mary's plus the points over Gonzaga at 9 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab the points with the Gaels as they try to defeat the Zags for the first time in three tries this season in the WCC Championship Game on Tuesday night. Keep in mind, St. Mary's suffered its worst home loss in the Randy Bennett era, falling by a 90-60 score earlier this season. The Gaels did do a better job last time against the Zags, going on the road to face them on Senior Night and ultimately falling by just 10 points in a game that was within five points in the latter stages of the second half. The Gaels went six minutes without hitting a field goal during one second half stretch in that game. The fat that they still only lost by 10 points was telling. Off a thrilling one-point win over favored BYU last night, I look for the Gaels to hang tough in this one. Take St. Mary's (10*). |
|||||||
03-09-20 | Hornets +4.5 v. Hawks | 138-143 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I think there's reason to be optimistic when it comes to the Hornets right now. Of course, it would be easy to dismiss Saturday's upset win over the Rockets as a fluke - or that they simply caught Houston a down night. However, we've seen a positive trend from Charlotte as it has been competitive in each of its last six games since suffering an embarrassing blowout loss in Indiana on February 25th. This will be the Hornets first road test this month. They've actually won four of their last five games away from home. The Hawks have lost three straight games and Trae Young has cooled considerably, scoring 25 points or less in each of his last four games. Take Charlotte (10*). |
|||||||
03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers -2.5 | 112-103 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the LA Clippers minus the points over the LA Lakers at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. The Lakers have certainly posted some statement wins lately with those including Friday's victory over Giannis and the Bucks. I look for them to fall short on Sunday, however, as they take on the rolling Clippers at Staples Center. The Clips have won six games in a row and enter this one well rested having last played on Thursday night in Houston - a game where they didn't really need to expend a ton of energy after building a 23-point halftime lead. Kawhi and co. got the better of the Lakers in their last meeting on Christmas Day and I expect more of the same here. Take the LA Clippers (10*). |
|||||||
03-08-20 | East Carolina v. UCF -7.5 | 62-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on UCF minus the points over East Carolina at 2 pm et on Sunday. This is a tough spot for East Carolina to get up for after suffering a blowout loss against UConn last time out. The Pirates recently enjoyed a four-game ATS winning streak (we cashed with them twice over that stretch) but the bloom is off that rose after the lopsided loss to the Huskies. UCF should be confident having already gone on the road and defeated East Carolina earlier this year and also coming off a big home win over SMU. Keep in mind, East Carolina has won just once in 11 tries away from home this season. Look for the Knights to win this one going away. Take UCF (10*). |
|||||||
03-07-20 | Butler v. Xavier -2.5 | 72-71 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Xavier minus the points over Butler at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Musketeers as they look to end the regular season on a high note against Butler on Senior Night on Saturday. I like the motivational edge for Xavier here coming off a loss against Providence and facing a Bulldogs squad that is riding high off back-to-back wins. Note that Butler has won just four times in 10 tries away from home this season, with no victories in their last three road tilts. Take Xavier (10*). |
|||||||
03-07-20 | North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke | 76-89 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina plus the points over Duke at 6 pm et on Saturday. I simply feel this is too many points to be giving North Carolina in what is essentially its 'National Championship Game' in a rare non-NCAA Tournament appearing year. The first game between these two teams was an instant classic in Chapel Hill and while this one may not be quite as tight, we're still dealing with a boatload of points in our back pocket. There's no denying the Blue Devils are the superior squad in this rivalry this season but motivation will play a factor here and I'm confident the Tar Heels can hang. Take North Carolina (10*). |
|||||||
03-06-20 | Valparaiso v. Loyola-Chicago -4.5 | 74-73 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Loyola-Chicago minus the points over Valparaiso at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Ramblers on Friday night as they look to advance in the MVC Tournament. Loyola-Chicago has been one of the conference's elite teams all season (along with Northern Iowa) and should be on a collision course to face the Panthers in St. Louis this weekend. It was an up and down season for Valpo and I just don't see it rising to the occasion against a superior opponent here. The line has shifted in favor of the Ramblers for a reason but I think we still have some value to take advantage of. Take Loyola-Chicago (10*). |
|||||||
03-05-20 | Illinois State +3 v. Drake | 65-75 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Illinois State plus the points over Drake at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. There is a pretty big gap between these two teams when it comes to overall record, but much of Drake's success came earlier in the year. In fact, the Bulldogs last victory away from home came way back on January 22nd at Evansville - arguably the MVC's worst team. Illinois State went 3-4 over its last seven games but it's worth noting two of those losses came by exactly three points while two others came against two of the conference's elite teams in Northern Iowa and Loyola-Chicago. The Redbirds do have some injury/illness concerns with Keith Fisher III possibly slated to miss this game but that has been factored into the line with Drake favored. Early round 'upsets' aren't uncommon in the MVC Tournament. Take Illinois State (10*). |
|||||||
03-04-20 | Pelicans +7 v. Mavs | 123-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Dallas at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Pelicans suffered a disappointing loss at home against the T'Wolves last night but should bounce back on Wednesday night in Dallas. Zion and the Pelicans should have no trouble getting up for a game against Luka Doncic and the Mavs. Last night was simply a brutal motivational spot for New Orleans coming off Sunday's showdown with Lebron and the Lakers - a ho-hum Tuesday night home game against the lowly Wolves. Different story here. Expect a competitive game. Take New Orleans (10*). |
|||||||
03-04-20 | Florida -2.5 v. Georgia | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida minus the points over Georgia at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Georgia has gotten itself on a bit of a roll but I think the Dawgs will be in tough when they host the Gators on Wednesday night. While Georgia has won three of its last four games, keep in mind two of those wins came against Vandy and struggling Arkansas. Florida has lost consecutive games away from home but those defeats came at the hands of Kentucky and Tennessee. The Gators should be in a foul mood here coming off that narrow five-point setback against the Vols. Take Florida (10*). |
|||||||
03-02-20 | Blazers v. Magic -7 | 130-107 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Portland at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Magic have a lot of upside right now and I look for them to easily brush aside the Blazers on Monday night. Orlando checks in sixth in the NBA in offensive rating over its last five games. While it sits just 20th in defensive rating over that stretch, the Blazers have been even worse, ranking 24th. Portland is also just 22nd in offensive rating over its last five contests. Take Orlando (10*). |
|||||||
03-01-20 | Wichita State v. SMU -1 | 66-62 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on SMU minus the points over Wichita State at 4 pm et on Sunday. Travel day on Sunday. Full analysis will return on Monday. Take SMU (10*). |
|||||||
02-29-20 | Memphis v. Tulane +5 | 74-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tulane plus the points over Memphis at 8 pm et on Saturday. Memphis is in a letdown spot here off consecutive down-to-the-wire big games against Houston and SMU, splitting those two contests. We know Tulane is capable of rising to the occasion at home, where it has defeated the likes of SMU and Cincinnati. Look for the Green Wave to rise up once again here as they take down the Tigers in an underdog role. Take Tulane (10*). |
|||||||
02-29-20 | Arkansas v. Georgia +1 | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia plus the points over Arkansas at 6 pm et on Saturday. Georgia is playing excellent basketball right now with its lone blemish over its last three games coming in overtime at South Carolina last time out. With tough games against Florida and LSU on deck, it's imperative that the Bulldogs earn a 'W' in this spot. We won with Arkansas last Saturday at home against Missouri but that win didn't come easy, and this is obviously a much tougher matchup, on the road no less. Take Georgia (10*). |
|||||||
02-29-20 | Northern Iowa -3.5 v. Drake | 70-43 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Iowa minus the points over Drake at 6 pm et on Saturday. The Panthers continue to fly well beneath the national radar but there's no question, they're as good as it gets in the Missouri Valley Conference this season and while they draw a tough matchup on the road on Saturday, I'm confident we'll see their surge continue. Drake enters having dropped each of its last two and six of its last nine games overall. Northern Iowa took the previous meeting between these two teams by double-digits back in early February. Take Northern Iowa (10*). |
|||||||
02-27-20 | Indiana v. Purdue -6 | Top | 49-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Week. My selection is on Purdue minus the points over Indiana at 7 pm et on Thursday. This is a solid bounce-back spot for the Boilers as they aim to snap a four-game losing streak against an Indiana squad coming off back-to-back wins. Purdue's big issue lately has been its inability to knock down shots. The Boilers have shot worse than 40% from the field in three straight games entering this contest. Keep in mind, two of those games came on the road against Ohio State and Wisconsin. Here at home, Purdue shoots better than 47% on the season. Indiana is a miserable 2-10 ATS when revenging a home loss over the last three seasons, outscored by nearly nine points per game on average in that situation. The Hoosiers are also just 44-74 when on the road after winning two of their last three games going all the way back to 1997. Take Purdue (10*). |
|||||||
02-26-20 | Boise State +3.5 v. UNLV | Top | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Mountain West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Boise State plus the points over UNLV at 11 pm et on Wednesday. The choice to fade UNLV is an easy one for me tonight. The Runnin' Rebels are coming off a monumental upset win on the road against then-undefeated San Diego State on Saturday. There's no question UNLV has been playing well, but it still owns a mediocre 15-14 overall record this season and sits 5th in the Mountain West Conference, one spot behind tonight's opponent, Boise State. The Broncos have lost only two games since January 18th, one on the road against Utah State and one at home against aforementioned San Diego State - two teams that own a combined 50-8 record this season. Boise State took the first meeting between these two teams by a 73-66 score back on January 8th. Look for the Broncos to at the very least take this one down to the wire as well. Take Boise State (10*). |
|||||||
02-26-20 | Oilers +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 0-3 | Loss | -129 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Edmonton +1.5 goals over Vegas at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. We're getting excellent value with the Oilers on the puck-line here, largely due to the fact that they're road-weary after suffering an overtime loss in Anaheim last night. There's no reason to get too down on Edmonton here, however, noting that it has gone a perfect 6-0 in the second of back-to-backs this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 4.5-2.5 in those contests. Also take note that the Golden Knights are just 4-10 when coming off a road win and 3-8 after scoring four goals or more in consecutive games this season, as is the case here. We'll grab the insurance goal with the Oilers but hopefully we won't need it. Take Edmonton +1.5 goals (10*). |
|||||||
02-26-20 | Magic -2 v. Hawks | Top | 130-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Hawks came roaring out of the All-Star break, delivering consecutive wins over the Heat and Mavericks on their home floor. They fell back to Earth on Monday, however, suffering a 17-point loss in Philadelphia, giving up a whopping 129 points in the process. I look for the Magic to add to their woes on Wednesday night in Atlanta. Note that Orlando is 13-5 ATS when facing teams that own a winning percentage of between 25% and 40% this season and 22-11 ATS when facing opponents that are outscored by at least three points per game over the last two seasons. In both of those situations, they've outscored the opposition by an average margin of nine points. It's also worth noting that the Hawks are a miserable 1-8 ATS after winning two of their last three games this season - outscored by a margin of nearly 16 points in that situation. The Magic have certainly been a streaky team and they come in having won three of their last four games overall, with the lone loss coming in an underdog role at home against Dallas. Take Orlando (10*). |
|||||||
02-25-20 | Celtics -7 v. Blazers | 118-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Celtics are coming off a loss to the Lakers on Sunday but that doesn't take away from the fact they've been playing terrific basketball, winners of three in a row ATS entering this contest. We successfully faded the Blazers in their last game - a narrow three-point win over the lowly Pistons at home. Keep in mind, in their first game following the All-Star break they suffered a double-digit loss against the Pelicans. Portland is just 4-14 ATS as an underdog of between 3.5 and 9.5 points this season, outscored by over nine points on average in those contests. Despite the Blazers reputation as a team that likes to play fast, they've gone a miserable 11-23 ATS when facing teams that attempt at least 88 shots per game this season, with Boston falling in that category. Take Boston (10*). |
|||||||
02-25-20 | Flames +1.5 v. Bruins | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary +1.5 goals over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the Bruins when these two teams squared off in Calgary last week but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Flames on the puck-line as they head East on Tuesday night. Note that Calgary checks in 20-10 on the moneyline on the road after scoring at least three goals in three consecutive games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.6 goals per contest. They're also a solid 18-12 on the road facing opponents that own winning records over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, Boston is just 11-16 playing for the fourth time in seven nights this season. Factoring in the 1.5-goal cushion, I believe we're getting excellent value with the Flames here. Take Calgary +1.5 goals (10*). |
|||||||
02-24-20 | Suns v. Jazz -7.5 | 131-111 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Monday. The Jazz are coming off back-to-back losses to the Spurs and Rockets here on their home floor but they do draw a 'get right' matchup with the Suns on Monday night. Note that Utah has gone 40-22 ATS the last 62 times it has played at home following a double-digit home loss. Phoenix is a miserable 19-35 ATS playing on the road against a winning team in the second half of the season over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of nearly 14 points in those games. The Jazz desperately need to turn things around before facing what will be a highly-motivated, and championship-contending Celtics squad in their next game. Meanwhile, Phoenix could have one foot on the plane as it prepares to return home for its next six games after completing this three-game in four-night stretch. Take Utah (10*). |
|||||||
02-23-20 | Temple v. East Carolina +3 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on East Carolina plus the points over Temple at 12 noon et on Sunday. East Carolina has been playing well but has nothing to show for it, having lost each of its last three games. The Pirates last two games came against two of the conference's best teams in Cincinnati and Memphis and they went a perfect 2-0 ATS, losing by a grand total of seven points. Here, the Pirates draw a winnable game against a Temple squad ripe for a letdown following a 93-89 overtime win over Connecticut (we won with the Owls in that game). Note that Temple has gone a miserable 5-15 ATS coming off a home victory over the last two seasons. Take East Carolina (10*). |
|||||||
02-22-20 | Sharks +1.5 v. Rangers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Jose +1.5 goals over New York at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. I like the spot for the Sharks here as they catch the Rangers playing their second of back-to-back games following a big win in Carolina last night. Here, we play against New York coming off consecutive wins by three goals or more, facing an opponent that scored one goal or less in their most recent game. That angle doesn't even factor in the insurance goal we're catching with the Sharks here. While San Jose is coming off a 2-1 loss to the Devils in Newark on Thursday, it has still won four of its last five contests away from home. Take San Jose +1.5 goals (9*). |
|||||||
02-22-20 | Nets -3 v. Hornets | 115-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn minus the points over Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Nets aren't going to be a popular bet as a road favorite in Charlotte on Saturday night but I see this as a great spot to back them coming off that overtime loss in Philadelphia on Thursday. Charlotte has surprisingly won three straight games following a five-game losing streak but those three wins, albeit coming on the road, came against the likes of Detroit, Minnesota and Chicago. Here, we play against underdogs coming off three or more consecutive wins in February, a trend that has gone 59-29 ATS since 1996. The Nets fall into an excellent 47-21 ATS situation in which teams are revenging a loss as a favorite of seven points or more against a team coming off at least two straight wins as an underdog. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
|||||||
02-22-20 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt +3 | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vanderbilt plus the points over Georgia at 6 pm et on Saturday. Georgia is coming off a big upset win at home against Auburn earlier this week and as a result could get caught flat-footed on the road against Vanderbilt here. We won with Vandy against Tennessee last time out, as the Commodores took the Vols down to the wire in Knoxville. Note that Georgia has gone a miserable 4-12 ATS after losing three of its last four games over the last two seasons. The Bulldogs were outscored by 11 points per game in those contests. Vandy has dropped back-to-back meetings in this series but remains 14-5 straight-up against Georgia going back to 1997. At 5-2 ATS over their last seven games, but with only one outright win to show for it, look for the Commodores to get back in the win column here. Take Vanderbilt (10*). |
|||||||
02-22-20 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State +6 | 87-57 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iowa State plus the points over Texas Tech at 6 pm et on Saturday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Iowa State in this matchup. The Cyclones are coming off a blowout loss at the hands of Kansas on Monday, but that puts them in a good spot here, noting that they've gone a perfect 6-0 ATS after suffering a 20+ point loss over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by more than 13 points per game. Texas Tech is a miserable 26-46 ATS the last 72 times it has hit the road after winning five or six of its last seven games, as is the case here. Take Iowa State (10*). |
Register for an Account Now for Free Picks and More Special Offers!
Sean Murphy ALL Sports Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-10-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Florida International -5.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -116 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
10-10-20 | Tennessee v. Georgia -12 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
10-10-20 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -3 | 45-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
10-08-20 | Tulane +7 v. Houston | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
10-04-20 | Ravens -13 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 73 h 32 m | Show |
10-03-20 | Tulsa v. Central Florida -21 | Top | 34-26 | Loss | -108 | 55 h 34 m | Show |
10-03-20 | LSU -21 v. Vanderbilt | 41-7 | Win | 100 | 54 h 27 m | Show | |
10-03-20 | Virginia Tech -11.5 v. Duke | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 13 m | Show | |
10-03-20 | Memphis -1.5 v. SMU | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 50 m | Show |
10-03-20 | Baylor -2.5 v. West Virginia | 21-27 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 18 m | Show | |
10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets +1 | 37-28 | Loss | -113 | 36 h 20 m | Show | |
09-30-20 | Reds +1.5 v. Braves | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
09-27-20 | Bucs -6 v. Broncos | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 74 h 15 m | Show | |
09-27-20 | Jets v. Colts -11 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 74 h 2 m | Show | |
09-27-20 | Bengals v. Eagles -4.5 | 23-23 | Loss | -102 | 71 h 39 m | Show | |
09-26-20 | Kansas v. Baylor -17 | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
09-26-20 | Army v. Cincinnati -13 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 17 m | Show |
09-24-20 | UAB -6.5 v. South Alabama | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
09-20-20 | Ravens -7 v. Texans | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 48 h 22 m | Show | |
09-20-20 | Chiefs -8.5 v. Chargers | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -104 | 48 h 51 m | Show |
09-20-20 | Panthers v. Bucs -8 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 51 m | Show |
09-20-20 | Giants +5.5 v. Bears | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 52 h 29 m | Show | |
09-20-20 | Bills -5.5 v. Dolphins | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 23 m | Show | |
09-20-20 | Rams v. Eagles +1 | 37-19 | Loss | -115 | 52 h 18 m | Show | |
09-19-20 | Miami-FL v. Louisville -2.5 | Top | 47-34 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 55 m | Show |
09-19-20 | Appalachian State -4 v. Marshall | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 25 m | Show | |
09-19-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Georgia State +17 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 100 h 44 m | Show |
09-19-20 | Boston College +6.5 v. Duke | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
09-17-20 | Bengals +6 v. Browns | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 35 h 55 m | Show | |
09-15-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -7.5 | 104-89 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
09-15-20 | Islanders +1.5 v. Lightning | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
09-14-20 | Titans -3 v. Broncos | 16-14 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
09-14-20 | Steelers -5.5 v. Giants | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
09-13-20 | Chargers v. Bengals +3.5 | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
09-13-20 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team +6 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 77 h 5 m | Show | |
09-13-20 | Browns v. Ravens -7.5 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 77 h 55 m | Show | |
09-12-20 | Tulane -10 v. South Alabama | 27-24 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 8 m | Show | |
09-12-20 | UL-Monroe +21.5 v. Army | Top | 7-37 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
09-10-20 | Golden Knights v. Stars +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
09-04-20 | Rockies +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
09-03-20 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
09-03-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -8.5 | Top | 97-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
08-30-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -2.5 | 112-94 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
08-28-20 | Pirates +1.5 v. Brewers | 1-9 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
08-25-20 | Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 | 111-154 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
08-20-20 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. A's | 1-5 | Loss | -141 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
08-20-20 | Heat -4 v. Pacers | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
08-18-20 | Heat -4.5 v. Pacers | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
08-17-20 | Mavs v. Clippers -6 | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
08-17-20 | 76ers +6 v. Celtics | 101-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
08-17-20 | Nets +10 v. Raptors | 110-134 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
08-15-20 | A's v. Giants +1.5 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
08-11-20 | Marlins +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
08-06-20 | Pacers -3 v. Suns | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
08-05-20 | Raptors v. Magic +6.5 | 109-99 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
08-05-20 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Jazz | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
07-25-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
07-21-20 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Watford | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
07-15-20 | San Jose v. Vancouver Whitecaps +0.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
07-09-20 | New England v. Montreal +0.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
07-08-20 | Burnley +0.5 v. West Ham United | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
07-02-20 | RCD Espanyol +0.5 v. Real Sociedad | 1-2 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
07-01-20 | Villarreal v. Betis | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
07-01-20 | Ath Bilbao +0.25 v. Valencia | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
06-26-20 | Real Valladolid v. Sevilla -1 | 1-1 | Loss | -131 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
06-25-20 | Arsenal v. Southampton | 2-0 | Win | 105 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
06-24-20 | AFC Bournemouth +1 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
06-24-20 | Everton v. Norwich City +0.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
06-23-20 | Atletico Madrid v. Levante +1 | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
05-22-20 | Union Berlin +0.5 v. Hertha Berlin | 0-4 | Loss | -153 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
03-11-20 | Nebraska +14.5 v. Indiana | 64-89 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
03-11-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -1 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
03-10-20 | St. Mary's +9 v. Gonzaga | 66-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
03-09-20 | Hornets +4.5 v. Hawks | 138-143 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers -2.5 | 112-103 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
03-08-20 | East Carolina v. UCF -7.5 | 62-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
03-07-20 | Butler v. Xavier -2.5 | 72-71 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
03-07-20 | North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke | 76-89 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
03-06-20 | Valparaiso v. Loyola-Chicago -4.5 | 74-73 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
03-05-20 | Illinois State +3 v. Drake | 65-75 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
03-04-20 | Pelicans +7 v. Mavs | 123-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
03-04-20 | Florida -2.5 v. Georgia | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
03-02-20 | Blazers v. Magic -7 | 130-107 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
03-01-20 | Wichita State v. SMU -1 | 66-62 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
02-29-20 | Memphis v. Tulane +5 | 74-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
02-29-20 | Arkansas v. Georgia +1 | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
02-29-20 | Northern Iowa -3.5 v. Drake | 70-43 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
02-27-20 | Indiana v. Purdue -6 | Top | 49-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
02-26-20 | Boise State +3.5 v. UNLV | Top | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
02-26-20 | Oilers +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 0-3 | Loss | -129 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
02-26-20 | Magic -2 v. Hawks | Top | 130-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
02-25-20 | Celtics -7 v. Blazers | 118-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
02-25-20 | Flames +1.5 v. Bruins | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
02-24-20 | Suns v. Jazz -7.5 | 131-111 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
02-23-20 | Temple v. East Carolina +3 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
02-22-20 | Sharks +1.5 v. Rangers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
02-22-20 | Nets -3 v. Hornets | 115-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
02-22-20 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt +3 | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
02-22-20 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State +6 | 87-57 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 25 m | Show |