03-10-22 |
TCU +6 v. Texas |
|
65-60 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 12:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (753) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (754) in the Quarterfinals of the Big 12 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: TCU (19-12) limps into the Big 12 Tournament on a two-game losing streak after their 70-64 loss at West Virginia as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. Texas (21-10) has lost two games in a row after their 70-63 loss at Kansas as a 6.5-point underdog on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.
REASONS TO TAKE THE HORNED FROGS PLUS THE POINTS: TCU should play better this afternoon as they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while TCU has still covered the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 contests after covering the point spread in at least two of their last three games. The Horned Frogs have three high-profile victories against Texas Tech, Kansas, and LSU who all rank in the top-17 in the nation according to the Ken Pomeroy metrics. Head coach Jamie Dixon’s team ranks second in the nation by pulling down 37.9% of their missed shots. This is an area of vulnerability for the Longhorns as they allow their opponents to rebound 29.6% of their missed shots, ranking 237th in the country. TCU also ranks 23rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Their loss to the Mountaineers fell Under the 137 point total — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 road games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. They are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Horned Frogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on a neutral court as a dog. Texas lost to the Jayhawks over the weekend despite holding them to just 31.0% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last eight games. The Longhorns have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 28 games after not allowing their last opponent to make more than 33% of their shots. Texas is 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games when playing their second game in eight days. The Longhorns have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after losing at least two games in a row. Another flaw with head coach Chris Beard’s team is they put their opponents on the foul line too much — they rank 311th in the nation in defensive foul rate. Texas has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against teams winning at least 60% of their games. The Longhorns have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when favored — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when favored or a pick ‘em on a neutral court.
FINAL TAKE: Texas swept the two regular-season meetings with TCU this season after their 75-66 win in Austin on February 23rd. The Horned Frogs have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when avenging a loss on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when motivated by double revenge. 10* CBB Thursday Afternoon Matinee with the TCU Horned Frogs (753) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (754). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-09-22 |
Georgetown v. Seton Hall UNDER 142.5 |
Top |
53-57 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
At (now) 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgetown Hoyas (673) and the Seton Hall (674) in the first round of the Big East Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Georgetown (6-24) limps into the Big East Tournament on a 20-game losing streak after their 97-75 loss at Xavier as a 13-point underdog on Saturday. Seton Hall (20-9) has won five games in a row with their 65-60 upset win at Creighton as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. This game will be played on a neutral court at Madison Square Garden in New York City.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Head coach Patrick Ewing’s first priority for the Hoyas in this tournament is to tighten things up on defense after they allowed the Pirates to make 54.7% of their shots. That was the second-highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last seven games. Georgetown has played 4 straight Unders after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. The Hoyas have also played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a conference rival — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss on the road. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after playing a game where at least 165 combined points were scored. The problems against Xavier started early as they went into halftime with a 54-30 deficit. Georgetown has played 8 straight Unders after trailing by at least 15 points at half-time of their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 45 points in the first half in their last game. While the Hoyas should play better on defense, they still cannot shoot the basketball. Georgetown ranks 319th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 46.5%. They make only 43.7% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 346th in the country. Their shooting is even worse away from home where they rank 328th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.7%. The Hoyas make only 41.1% of their shots inside the arc on the road, ranking 357th in the nation — and their road 2-point shooting in the conference was even worse with a 40.9% mark. The Hoyas have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog. Seton Hall has held their last five opponents to 39.4% shooting which has resulted in those foes scoring only 63.6 Points-Per-Game. They rank 28th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are second in the Big East in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. The Pirates have played two straight Unders — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders in a row. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Seton Hall only makes 40.5% of their shots on the road which generates 70.8 PPG which is -3.4 PPG below their season average. The Pirates have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the number set in the 140s. Additionally, Seton Hall has played 27 of their last 37 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when favored on a neutral court.
FINAL TAKE: The Pirates swept the Hoyas this season after beating them by a 73-68 score on March 2nd. Georgetown has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge. 25* CBB Big East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Georgetown Hoyas (673) and the Seton Hall (674). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-09-22 |
Butler +6.5 v. Xavier |
|
89-82 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Butler Bulldogs (669) plus the points versus the Xavier Musketeers (670) in the first round of the Big East Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Butler (13-18) limps into the Big East Tournament on a five-game losing streak after their 78-59 loss to Villanova as an 8.5-point underdog on Saturday. Xavier (18-12) snapped their five-game losing streak with their 97-75 win against Georgetown as a 13-point favorite on Saturday. This game will be played on a neutral court at Madison Square Garden in New York City.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS PLUS THE POINTS: We had Butler on Saturday in what I thought would be a better effort — but they laid an egg. The Bulldogs only made 36.4% of their shots in what was the worst shooting effort in their last four games — and the 49.2% field goal percentage they allowed the Wildcats to enjoy was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last four contests. But Butler has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after a loss at home where they did not score at least 60 points. Furthermore, Butler has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 15 games after losing at least two in a row to conference opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after losing at least three games in a row. Despite their losing record, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games as an underdog. Butler has covered the point spread in 25 of their last 36 games played on a neutral court with the Total set in the 130s — and they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 27 opening games in a tournament. Xavier made 54.7% of their shots against the Hoyas on Saturday which was the best shooting effort in their last 16 games. But the Musketeers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games after a win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a win by 20 or more points. Xavier has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games when favored. Additionally, the Musketeers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a neutral court — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games when favored on a neutral court.
FINAL TAKE: Xavier swept the two regular-season contests against Butler after a 68-66 win at home in Cincinnati on February 2nd as an 11-point favorite. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 34 opportunities for revenge. 10* CBB Wednesday Afternoon Matinee with the Butler Bulldogs (669) plus the points versus the Xavier Musketeers (670). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-08-22 |
North Dakota State +6.5 v. South Dakota State |
Top |
69-75 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the North Dakota State Bison (621) plus the points versus the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (622) in the Summit League Championship Game. THE SITUATION: North Dakota State (23-9) has won three straight games and nine of their last ten contests with their 92-72 victory against Oral Roberts as a 1-point favorite in the Semifinals of this tournament last night. South Dakota State (29-4) is on a 20-game winning streak after their 83-60 win against South Dakota as a 9-point favorite in the semifinals nightcap last night. This game will be played on a neutral court at the Sanford Premier Center in Sioux Fallas, South Dakota.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BISON PLUS THE POINTS: North Dakota State was feeling it last night with their stroke as they nailed 60.3% of their shots in the win against the Golden Eagles. While I do not expect them to match that performance tonight, it is safe to say that they are comfortable shooting in this gym. The Bison have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. They have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 road games after a double-digit win against a Summit League opponent. North Dakota State thrives when playing half-court defense. They lead the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 47.9%. The Bison lead the Summit in both 3-point and 2-point defense. They hold their conference opponents to 31.7% shooting from behind the mark — and that mark lowers to a 24.9% clip when playing away from home. They also limit their Summit League foes to just 48.1% shooting inside the arc — and that mark drops further to a 46.8% clip when playing away from home. North Dakota State has a 7-2 record away from home — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 road games against Summit League opponents. South Dakota State played one of their best games of the season last night. Their 59.6% field goal percentage was the best shooting mark in their last five contests — and by holding the Coyotes to just 44.6% shooting, they played their best defensive game in their last four contests. South Dakota State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after winning their last game by 20 or more points. And while the Jackrabbits have covered the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after covering the point spread in three of their last four contests. South Dakota State leads the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 62.6%. But this team is vulnerable against teams who can shoot the basketball because of their play on defense. The Jackrabbits rank 303rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. Their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.7% ranks 290th in the country fueled by their opponents nailing 37.4% from behind the arc, ranking 307th in the nation.
FINAL TAKE: South Dakota State swept both games against North Dakota State this season — but both victories were by just four points. The Jackrabbits have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games played on a neutral court when favored — and the Bison have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games when playing on a neutral field as an underdog. 25* CBB Summit League Game of the Year with the North Dakota State Bison (621) plus the points versus the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (622). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-08-22 |
Pelicans v. Grizzlies UNDER 230.5 |
|
111-132 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (583) and the Memphis Grizzlies (584). THE SITUATION: New Orleans Pelicans (583) had their four-game winning streak snapped after a 138-130 loss in overtime at Denver as a 4.5-point underdog on Sunday. Memphis (44-22) has lost two of their last three games after their 123-113 upset loss at Houston as a 10.5-point favorite on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans have been playing better defense as of late — they are holding their opponents to 101.3 points per 100 possessions in the last two weeks. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They have also played 4 straight Unders after scoring at least 125 points in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. The 54.0% shooting clip that the Nuggets put up on them was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last five games. They stay on the road where the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They have also played 19 of their last 26 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Memphis allowed the Rockets to make 52.4% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 47 games. Expect the Grizzlies to play much better on that end of the court tonight as their Defensive Rating ranks seventh in the NBA. Memphis has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Grizzlies can struggle to score if they do not get transition scoring opportunities — they rank just 23rd in the league by scoring only 92.5 points per 100 possessions. The Pelicans are seventh in the league with their opponents averaging 14.8 seconds per possession — so they do a good job of slowing teams down. Memphis returns home where the Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games — and the Under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 home games when favored. The Grizzlies have also played 33 of their last 46 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: New Orleans will be looking to avenge a 121-109 loss at home to Memphis on February 15th — and they have played 12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total when their opponent scored at least 110 points in the win. The rematch is in Memphis where these two teams have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total when facing each other. 10* NBA New Orleans-Memphis TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (583) and the Memphis Grizzlies (584). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-08-22 |
Canisius v. Fairfield UNDER 133 |
|
50-72 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Canisius Golden Griffins (609) and the Fairfield Stags (610) in the first round of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Association. THE SITUATION: Canisius (11-20) has won three games in a row with their 67-64 win against Siena as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. Fairfield (14-17) had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 57-41 loss at Saint Peter’s as a 6.5-point underdog on Saturday. This game will be played on a neutral court at Boardwalk Hall in New Jersey.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Griffins allowed the Saints to make 52.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 15 games. Canisius has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They go on the road where they are making just 38.3% of their shots away from home. The Golden Griffins have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The Under is also 13-5-1 in their last 19 games as an underdog. Fairfield only made 25.9% of their shots on Saturday in what was the worst shooting effort of their season. They are only hitting 37.6% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in only 57.8 Points-Per-Game. The Stags have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Toal after scoring no more than 50 points in their last game. Additionally, the Under is a decisive 41-19-1 in Fairfield’s last 61 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Stags have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Fairfield swept the two regular-season meetings between these two teams after an 80-76 win on February 14th. The Stags have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total when favored on a neutral court. Canisius has played 18 of their last 23 games Under the Total played on a neutral court. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Canisius Golden Griffins (609) and the Fairfield Stags (610). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-07-22 |
Santa Clara +5 v. St. Mary's |
Top |
72-75 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Santa Clara Broncos (889) plus the points versus the Saint Mary’s Gaels (890) in the Semifinals of the West Coast Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Saint Mary’s (24-6) is on a four-game winning streak after upsetting Gonzaga by a 67-57 score as a 10.5-point underdog back on February 26th. Santa Clara (21-11) has won three straight games after their 91-67 victory as an 8.5-point favorite in the quarterfinals of this tournament on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRONCOS PLUS THE POINTS: Saint Mary’s comes off their biggest win all season — and their biggest victory since 2019 when they upset Gonzaga in the West Coast Conference Tournament Championship Game to clinch their last berth into the NCAA Tournament. An emotional letdown is likely for the Gaels. As it is, they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a double-digit win against a West Coast Conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after an upset win by 10 or more points under head coach Randy Bennett. And while Saint Mary’s has covered the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. This did hold the Bulldogs to just 36.7% shooting after holding San Diego to 36.5% shooting in a 60-46 victory two days prior — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after not allowing their last two opponents to shoot better than 37% from the field. The Gaels have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after winning their last two games by 10 or more points. The other troubling aspect for Saint Mary’s tonight is the nine days off since they last played — they could be rusty in this contest, especially when playing on an unfamiliar neutral court. The Gaels have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with at least seven days between games. While Saint Mary’s was a perfect 16-0 on their home court, they were only 8-6 in their 14 games away from home where they only made 44.4% of their shots. The Broncos are vulnerable to teams who can make 3s — but the Gaels only make 33.3% of their 3-pointers when playing away from home, ranking 195th in the nation. Saint Mary’s is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games played on a neutral court — and they are 1-3-1 ATS In their last 5 games played on a neutral court. The Gaels led the West Coast Conference by forcing turnovers in 20.3% of their opponent’s possessions — but Santa Clara protects the basketball as they led the conference by only turning the ball over in 15.1% of their conference possessions played away from home. The Broncos have won eight of their last ten games and 14 of their last 19 contests after overcoming some key absences early in the season. Their 6’9 star forward, Josip Vrankic, missed early games after a case of mono, and center Jaden Bediako missed some time in December leaving the team without depth upfront. But Santa Clara is rolling now with their last six losses all being against the big three in the conference in Gonzaga, San Francisco, and this Saint Mary’s team along with Boise State — all four of these teams rank 27 or better in Ken Pomeroy’s rankings and will all be in the big dance. The Broncos should build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a win by 20 or more points — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. They made 53.4% of their shots against the Pilots — although that was the worst shooting effort in their last three games. Santa Clara is fourth in the nation by making 38.8% of their 3-pointers — and their shooting proficiency improves to 42.1% from 3-point range when playing on the road this season, ranking the third-best in the country. The Gaels are vulnerable in this regard as they rank 190th in the nation away from home by allowing their opponents to make 34.4% of their shots from behind the arc. The Broncos are efficient inside the arc as well as they make 54.3% of their 2-pointers, ranking 34th in the nation. And Santa Clara’s interior defense is good — they rank 59th in the nation by holding their opponents to 46.9% shooting inside the arc. The Broncos have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. They are have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog — and they are 14-6-2 ATS in their last 22 games on a neutral court as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: After losing by just eight points at Saint Mary’s in January, the Broncos upset the Gaels when they played on February 8th by a 77-72 score as a 3-point underdog. Saint Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 opportunities for revenge — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games when attempting to avenge a loss on the road. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Game of the Year with the Santa Clara Broncos (889) plus the points versus the Saint Mary’s Gaels (890). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-06-22 |
Georgia State v. Appalachian State +3.5 |
Top |
71-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Appalachian State Mountaineers (838) plus the points versus the Georgia State Panthers (837) in the Semifinals of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Appalachian State (19-13) won their third game in their last four with their 73-60 victory against Georgia Southern as a 5.5-point favorite in the Quarterfinals of this tournament yesterday. Georgia State (16-10) is on an eight-game winning streak after their 65-62 win against Arkansas State as a 4-point favorite yesterday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MOUNTAINEERS PLUS THE POINTS: Georgia State was the preseason favorite to win the Sun Belt — and after a slow 6-9 start to the season with some COVID issues likely impacting those results, the Panthers are on a 10-1 run making them a favorite in many bettors eyes. But I think they are overvalued in this spot against the reigning conference champions — and the Mountaineers match up very well against them. After holding UL-Lafayette to 58 points in their last regular-season game two Fridays ago, the Panthers held the RedWolves to just 35.6% shooting yesterday in what was the best defensive effort in their last three games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after not allowing more than 65 points in two straight games. Georgia State has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. And in their last 5 games when playing their second game in eight days, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these contests. Georgia State is a dangerous team because they generate extra scoring opportunities. They lead the Sun Belt Conference by rebounding 35.7% of their missed shots. They also lead the conference by forcing turnovers in 23.5% of their opponent’s possessions. But Appalachian State presents a feisty opponent in both of these areas. The Mountaineers are third in the Sun Belt in defensive rebounding and they rank 76th in the nation by allowing their opponents to pull down just 25.8% of their missed shots. Appalachian State also leads the conference and is 31st in the nation by only turning the ball over in 15.5% of their possessions — and that mark improves to just a 14.3% turnover rate when playing on the road against conference opponents. The problem for Georgia State is that they need to generate these additional scoring opportunities because they can’t shoot. The Panthers rank 347th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.6%. They only make 30.7% of their 3-pointers, ranking 300th in the country — and their 43.7% shooting percentage inside the arc ranks 346th in the nation. Georgia State is vulnerable against teams who can make 3-pointers. They are 330th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 37.4% of their shots from behind the arc — and that mark rises to a rough 39.3% clip from 3-point land from their opponents when they are playing away from home, ranking 341st in the country. Appalachian State can make 3s — they rank fourth in the Sun Belt with a 34.6% mark from downtown. In their last ten games, the Mountaineers were making 35.6% of their 3-pointers — and away from Boone, they made 35.1% of their 3-pointers in conference play. They are led by senior guard Adrian Delph who scores 17.2 Points-Per-Game while nailing 39.0% of his 3-pointers. Appalachian State does not make things easy on their opponent either as they put their opponents on the free-throw line at the 11th lowest rate in the nation. The Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit victory. They have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a point spread win — and they have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after playing the day before. Appalachian State has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games on the road against conference opponents. They have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Furthermore, they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games played on a neutral court — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a neutral court as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season meetings but it will be the Mountaineers with revenge on their minds after losing the last encounter with the Panthers by a 58-49 score despite playing that game in Boone. Appalachian State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games when avenging a loss where they did not score more than 60 points. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year with the Appalachian State Mountaineers (838) plus the points versus the Georgia State Panthers (837). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-06-22 |
Raptors +5 v. Cavs |
|
96-104 |
Loss |
-115 |
0 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Toronto Raptors (555) plus the points versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (556). THE SITUATION: Toronto (34-29) has lost two straight games and four of their last six contests after their 103-97 loss to Orlando as a 7-point favorite on Friday. Cleveland (36-27) has lost three in a row and six of their last seven after a 125-119 loss at Philadelphia as a 7.5-point underdog on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RAPTORS PLUS THE POINTS: Toronto is undermanned coming into this game with O.G. Anunoby still out and now Fred VanVleet declared out for this contest with his knee injury — but they still have Pascal Siakam and Gary Trent, Jr. along with one of the best coaches in the business in Nick Nurse. The Raptors only made 39.8% of their shots against the Magic which was the worst shooting percentage in their last seven games. Toronto has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread loss. They go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Raptors have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games as an underdog. Cleveland is dealing with injuries as well with Caris LeVert expected to miss his seventh straight game with los foot injury and Rajon Rondo being out with a toe. The Cavaliers’ recent slide has coincided with being without LeVert — they are thin in their backcourt missing LeVert and Rondo at this point of the season. They did nail 53.7% of their shots on Friday which was the best shooting effort in their last 27 games. But Cleveland has taken a step or two back on the defensive end of the court as of late — after the 76ers made 54.7% of their shots on Friday, they have let their last three opponents shoot at least 50.6% from the field. The Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 34 games after allowing their last three opponents each shoot at least 47% from the field — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after allowing three straight opponents shoot at least 50% from the field. Cleveland has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 41 games after a loss on the road. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after losing at leas three games in a row. The Cavs host this game — but they have failed to cover the point spread 5 of their last 7 games at home when favored. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games overall.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto will remember getting shellacked by the Cavaliers by a 144-99 score in Cleveland in their last meeting on December 26th. The Raptors have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 16 opportunities to avenge a double-digit loss. 10* NBA Toronto-Cleveland ESPN Special with the Toronto Raptors (555) plus the points versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-06-22 |
Binghamton +7.5 v. New Hampshire |
|
72-69 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Binghamton Bears (306211) plus the points versus the New Hampshire Wildcats (306212) in the Quarterfinals of the America East Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Binghamton (11-16) has lost three in a row as well as six of their last seven games after their 78-68 loss at Maryland-Baltimore County as a 6.5-point underdog on Tuesday. New Hampshire (15-12) has won three in a row and five of their last seven contests after a 64-48 upset win at UMass-Lowell as a 3.5-point underdog on Tuesday. The Wildcats host this tournament game.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARCATS PLUS THE POINTS: Binghamton has the second-best opponent’s effective field goal percentage in the America East with a 48.7% mark. Their defensive play should keep them competitive in this game. They did allow Maryland-Baltimore County to make 52.8% of their shots earlier this week — but that was the worst defensive effort in their last six games. The Bearcats are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on the road after a loss to a conference rival. They are also 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a point spread loss. They go on the road where they have a 6-8 record — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on the road. Additionally, Binghamton has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 20 road games as an underdog. New Hampshire played their best defensive game in their last five by holding UMass-Lowell to just 37.5% shooting in their upset win earlier this week. But the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. They are 10-3 on their home court -- but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: New Hampshire swept the two regular-season games between these two teams after beating the Bearcats by a 66-62 score at home on February 26th. Binghamton has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 opportunities when avenging at least two straight losses to their opponent. 10* CBB Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Binghamton Bears (306211) plus the points versus the New Hampshire Wildcats (306212). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-05-22 |
UC-Davis +4.5 v. CS-Fullerton |
Top |
59-62 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Cal-Davis Aggies (735) plus the points versus the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (736). THE SITUATION: Cal-Davis (12-9) has lost two of their last three games after a 68-65 loss at Long Beach State as a 5.5-point underdog on Thursday. CS-Fullerton (17-10) has lost two in a row with their 75-72 upset loss to UC-Riverside as a 2-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AGGIES PLUS THE POINTS: Cal-Davis has been resilient after setbacks as they are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss on the road where they covered the point spread. The Aggies play outstanding interior defense — they are 27th in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 45.6% clip inside the arc. They stay on the road where they are second in the Big West Conference by making 36.8% of their shots from behind the arc. They should have success from distance against this Titans team that allows their guests to nail 37.5% of their 3-points, the 315th highest mark on a home court in the nation. Cal-Davis is 5-4 on the road while holding their home hosts to just 41% shooting from the field. They are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight road games as an underdog. The Aggies are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games with the Total set in the 135-139.5 range. Furthermore, Cal-Davis is 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog — and they are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games against teams winning at least 60% of their game. CS-Fullerton allowed UC-Riverside to make 55.3% of their shots in their upset loss. The Titans have allowed their last four opponents to make at least 51.9% of their shots. They have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing their last two opponents to make at least 50% of their shots. Furthermore, CS-Fullerton has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after an upset loss against a Big West opponent — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after a loss by six points or less. The Titans have a 10-2 record at home but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 135-139.5 point range. CS-Fullerton has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Cal-Davis will be looking to avenge a 74-58 loss to CS-Fullerton on January 27th. The Aggies have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 opportunities for avenging a same-season loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 25* CBB Big West Underdog of the Year with the Cal-Davis Aggies (735) plus the points versus the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (736). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-05-22 |
Boise State +4 v. Colorado State |
|
68-71 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Boise State Broncos (727) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (728). THE SITUATION: Boise State (24-6) has won five games in a row with their 73-67 win against Nevada as a 9.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Colorado State (23-4) has won two straight games and seven of their last nine with their 66-55 upset win at Utah State as a 2.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRONCOS PLUS THE POINTS: Boise State allowed the Wolf Pack to make 50% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games and tied for their worst in their last 13 contests. They did make 50% of their shots against Nevada which was the fourth time in their last five games where they made at least half their shots. They are making 51.6% of their shots in their last five games. The Broncos have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a win by six points or less. They have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 road games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread. Boise State goes back on the road where they hold their home hosts to 40.6% shooting which translates into only 59.7 Points-Per-Game. The Broncos rank 17th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Defense travels — they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games as an underdog. They have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Colorado State out-rebounded the Aggies by a 43 to 26 margin on Thursday in that victory — but that will be difficult to replicate against this Broncos team. Boise State ranks fourth in the nation by holding their opens to rebounding only 21.4% of their missed shots — and they lead the Mountain West Conference in by rebounding 29.4% of their missed shots. The Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after out-rebounding their last opponent by at least 15 boards. And while Colorado State has covered the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. The Rams have a 13-1 record at home but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on their home court. Colorado State has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games when favored — and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: Boise State lost the last meeting between these two teams by a 77-74 score despite being a 1-point favorite at home in that game on February 13th. The Broncos have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. 10* CBB Boise State-Colorado State CBS Sports Network Special with the Boise State Broncos (727) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (728). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-05-22 |
Spurs +4 v. Hornets |
|
117-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (535) plus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets (536). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (24-39) has lost three games in a row after their 115-112 upset loss as a 6.5-point favorite on Thursday. Charlotte (31-33) snapped their two-game losing streak with a 119-98 upset win at Cleveland as a 4.5-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE SPURS PLUS THE POINTS: The Hornets may be due for an emotional letdown tonight after pulling off an upset win. Charlotte has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Charlotte has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a double-digit victory. This team really missed Gordon Hayward who provides the foundation for this team that helps LeMelo Ball and Miles Bridge thrive. The Hornets have lost 11 of their 16 games since Hayward was injured — and they have only won three of their sixteen games since the beginning of February. Charlotte will be undermanned with James Bouknight and Jalen McDaniels out tonight. The Hornets return home where they are just 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Charlotte has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight home games when favored. San Antonio’s win-loss record is underachieving what their win probability suggests. They are completely healthy for this one with Romeo Langford and Lonnie Walker upgraded to probable for this contest. The Spurs have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 29 games after a point spread loss. They have also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 24 games when playing their second game in five days. They go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 31 of their last 49 games with the Total set at 220 or higher. San Antonio has struggled against good teams — they have a 9-20 record against teams with winning records. But in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record, they are 7-1-1 ATS.
FINAL TAKE: San Antonio will be looking to avenge a 131-115 loss at home to Charlotte on December 15th where they were 3.5-point home favorites — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games when avenging a double-digit loss. 10* NBA Saturday Daily Discounted Deal with the San Antonio Spurs (535) plus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets (536). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-05-22 |
Drake v. Missouri State |
Top |
79-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Missouri State Bears (768) minus the point(s) versus the Drake Bulldogs (767) in the Semifinals of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Missouri State (23-9) has won three straight games as well as six of their last seven with their 67-58 victory against Valparaiso yesterday as a 10.5-point favorite. Drake (23-9) won their sixth straight game with their 65-52 victory against Southern Illinois as a 3-point favorite in their quarterfinals contest yesterday. This game will be played on a neutral court at the Enterprise Center in Saint Louis, Missouri.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARS MINUS THE POINT(S): Missouri State outlasted the Crusaders despite only making 44.3% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. Not only are the Bears the best team in the Missouri Valley Conference in terms of Adjusted Offensive Efficiency but they rank 24th in the nation in that metric. They are 20th in the country with an effective field goal percentage of 54.9%. They might have the two best players in the conference in wing Isiaih Mosley and 6’9 big man Gaige Prim. Together, this inside-out pair combine to average 36.3 points per game. The Bears are 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on the road after a point spread loss. Missouri State has not covered the point spread in two straight games and four of their last five contest. The Bears have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after not covering the point spread in their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after not covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Missouri State has also covered the point spread in 22 of their last 28 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game — including covering the point spread in eight of these last ten circumstances. This is a fundamentally sound team that ranks 24th in the nation in turnover rate on offense while limiting their opponents to rebounding just 23.6% of their missed shots, ranking 34th in the nation. On the road, they are 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 16th in the nation respectively by nailing 38.1% of their 3-pointers and 54.8% of their shots inside the arc when playing away from home. They also lead the conference by holding their opponents to 47.1% shooting inside the arc — and they rank 15th in the nation by limiting their opponents to just a 45.3% mark with their 2-point shots. These characteristics have helped the Bears cover the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games when favored. The Tigers are vulnerable against teams who can make 3s — but the Bulldogs are last in the Missouri Valley Conference by making only 30.8% of their 3-pointers. Drake has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a double-digit win — and they have failed to cover them in 6 of their last 9 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. The Bulldogs have seen their last two games combine for 122 or fewer points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing two straight games where no more than 125 combined points were scored. Drake is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games. They are also 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games played on a neutral court.
FINAL TAKE: Missouri State swept the Bulldogs in their two meetings this season after beating them on the road by a 66-62 score as a 3.5-point underdog on February 9th. Drake has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when avenging a loss this season — and they have failed all 3 opportunities to avenge an upset loss this year. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Year with the Missouri State Bears (768) minus the point(s) versus the Drake Bulldogs (767). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-05-22 |
George Washington v. Fordham UNDER 135 |
Top |
66-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the George Washington Colonials (635) and the Fordham Rams (636). THE SITUATION: George Washington (12-16) had their two-game losing streak snapped with a 98-93 victory in triple overtime as a 7-point favorite on Wednesday. Fordham (13-15) has lost two of their last three games with their 81-73 loss at Massachusetts as a 4-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Colonials' three-overtime game earlier this week was tied at 59 after regulation — so that contest was going way Under the 137 point total. George Washington made 47.9% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last four games. They have just the ninth-best offense in the Atlantic 10 Conference in terms of Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they drop to 12th in the conference in that metric when playing on the road. GW has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road after losing two of their last three games. Additionally, the Colonials have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last game — and the Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last contest. George Washington has the 12th worst defense in the Atlantic 10 in terms of Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they do improve to seventh best in that statistic when playing on the road in conference play. The Colonials have played 22 of their last 28 games Under the Total on the road — and the Under is 20-6-1 in their last 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home. George Washington has also played 6 straight Unders on the road with the Total set in the 135-139.5 point range. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Fordham allowed UMass to make 47.4% of their shots in what was the worst defensive effort in their last five contests. The Rams have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 36-16-1 in their last 53 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 27-11-1 in their last 39 games after a point spread loss. Fordham ranks just 13th in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they are fourth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They return home where they hold their opponents to 41.5% shooting which results in only 63.6 Points-Per-Game. The Under is a decisive 42-16-1 in the Rams’ last 59 home games when favored — and they have played 12 of their last 16 home games Under the Total as the favorite. They have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130-134.5 point range. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Fordham will be looking to avenge a 64-55 loss at George Washington as a 1-point underdog on January 30th. They have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing with revenge — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they did not score more than 60 points. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the George Washington Colonials (635) and the Fordham Rams (636). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-05-22 |
Villanova v. Butler +8.5 |
Top |
78-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Butler Bulldogs (606) plus the points versus the Villanova Wildcats (605). THE SITUATION: Butler (13-17) lost their fourth game in a row with their 64-56 loss at Marquette as an 8.5-point underdog last Saturday. Villanova (22-7) won their sixth game in their last seven with a 76-74 victory against Providence as a 10.5-point favorite on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS PLUS THE POINTS: It is Senior Day for Butler this afternoon -- and hosting the Wildcats gives them an opportunity to end their regular season on a high note before the Big East Tournament starts next week. Head coach LaVall Jordan’s team is better than their record with eight of their 13 losses in conference play being by seven points or less. They should play well this afternoon. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Butler has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after losing two games in a row — and they have covered the point spread in 8 straight games after losing at least three in a row. They return home where they are 9-6 this season — but they have impressive victories against Marquette, Creighton, and Oklahoma. They hold their opponents to just 41.8% shooting which translates into 64.5 Points-Per-Game. They have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 8 straight games against teams winning at least 60% of their games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog. Villanova may not be completely dialed-in for this game with zero chance to claim the Big East regular-season title. They are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up win. And while they have won 15 of their last 18 games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning at least 12 of their last 15 contests. They are just 10-6 away from home this season where they boast a 12-1 record. They are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road — and they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a losing record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Butler will have extra motivation to redeem themselves from an 82-42 loss at Villanova on January 16th in what was their worst game of the season. They shot 30.8% from the field in what was their worst shooting effort of the season. They also allowed the Wildcats to make 59.6% of their shots which included them nailing 12 of their 19 shots (63.2%) from behind the arc. History is not likely to repeat itself since Villanova makes 41.3% of their 3s at home but sees that number plummet to a 33.1% clip on the road, ranking 185th in the nation. Butler has held their opponents to just a 29% clip from 3-point range since that embarrassing loss — and they hold their guests to just 28.1% shooting from behind the arc when playing at home, ranking 24th best in the country. These are two of the slowest-paced teams in the nation with Villanova averaging 63.0 possessions per game (345th slowest in the nation) and Butler just behind them at 63.5 possessions per game (341st in the nation). Finally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 23 opportunities for revenge — and they have covered 11 of their last 14 home games when avenging a loss on the road and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games when they did not score more than 60 points. 25* CBB Big East Underdog of the Year with the Butler Bulldogs (606) plus the points versus the Villanova Wildcats (605). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-04-22 |
Morehead State +4.5 v. Belmont |
Top |
53-51 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Morehead State Eagles (861) plus the points versus the Belmont Bruins (862) in the Semifinals of the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Morehead State (22-10) has won two of their last three games after their 73-56 win as an 8-point favorite in the Quarterfinals of this tournament yesterday. Belmont (24-6) has won 11 of their last 12 games with their 87-67 victory against Tennessee State as a 16-point favorite on Saturday. This game will be played on a neutral court at the Ford Center in Evansville, Indiana.
REASONS TO TAKE THE EAGLES PLUS THE POINTS: The Eagles advanced in this tournament yesterday despite making only 39.1% of their shots in what was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. Morehead State has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a win by 15 or more points. And while they have only covered the point spread twice in their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in 8 straight games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Eagles play stout defense which keeps them in this game. They rank second in the Ohio Valley Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they top the conference in that metric when playing away from home. They are led by 6’10 sophomore John Broome who is sixth in the nation in block rate. Facing Belmont is always a challenge since they lead the nation by making 61.4% of their shots inside the arc. Morehead State leads the Ohio Valley with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 42.7% when playing away from home. Broome helps them play very tough interior defense: they rank 28th in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 45.7% shooting percentage inside the arc — and they led the conference with their opponents only making 43.8% of their 2-pointers. In their two meetings this season, the Bruins did not shoot better than 45.9% inside the arc in either game — and they converted only 31 of these 72 shots for an underwhelming 43.1% mark with their 2-pointers. On the other end of the court, Morehead State is dangerous from 3-point land with four players in their rotation who all nail at least 35% of their shots from behind the arc. They are second in the conference with a 35.0% shooting percentage from distance. The Bruins’ perimeter defense is an area of vulnerability as they allow their opponents to make 34.8% of their shots in conference play, ranking 10th in the Ohio Valley. Belmont played their best defensive game in their last five by holding Tennessee State to just 37.5% shooting. And their 56.2% field goal percentage was their best mark in their last four games and second-best in their last eight contests. But the Bruins have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a double-digit victory against a conference rival. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Belmont can struggle against opponents who are athletic and offer length to combat their movement and shooting on offense. They lack a Plan B if their interior shots are not falling. They only make 31.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing away from home, ranking 246th in the nation. And they only pull down 23.1% of their missed shots away from home, ranking 310th in the country. They do force turnovers in 21.0% of their opponent's possessions, the 50th best mark in the country — but this will be the third time the Eagles have faced their pressure. In their 83-74 victory at home against the Bruins on January 20th, Morehead State only turned the ball over seven times representing just 10.6% of their possessions. They did turn the ball over 16 times in the rematch which helps explain why Belmont was able to eke out a 48-47 victory at home as a 9-point favorite. The Bruins did not cover the point spread in their four meetings against Morehead State and Murray State — the two most athletic teams in the conference. Belmont has failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games away from home after 15 games into the season against teams winning 60-80% of their games. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Morehead State had a 39-29 lead at the 14:25 minute mark of the second half in their meeting last month before getting outscored in Nashville by a 19-8 rock fight to close out that game. They should be motivated to redeem themselves from that setback — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight road games when avenging a loss on the road. The Eagles have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court — and the Bruins have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games played on a neutral court. 25* CBB Ohio Valley Conference Game of the Year with the Morehead State Eagles (861) plus the points versus the Belmont Bruins (862). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-04-22 |
Southern Illinois +3.5 v. Drake |
|
52-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Southern Illinois Salukis (857) plus the points versus the Drake Bulldogs (858) in the Quarterfinals of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Southern Illinois (16-14) had their four-game winning streak snapped in a 62-60 loss at Drake as a 7-point underdog on Saturday. Drake (22-9) won their seventh-straight game with their victory against the Salukis. This game will be played on a neutral court at the Enterprise Center in Saint Louis, Missouri.
REASONS TO TAKE THE SALUKIS PLUS THE POINTS: Southern Illinois should respond to their narrow loss to the Bulldogs with a strong effort. Southern Illinois is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss to a Missouri Valley Conference rival. They have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. The Salukis play hard-nosed defense while playing at a snail’s pace — and they are dangerous with their 3-point shooting. The 62.5 possessions per game in their contests this season is the 350th fewest in the nation — and getting the points in lower-scoring games does offer increased value. Southern Illinois ranks third in the Missouri Valley in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are 23rd in the nation by holding their opponents to pulling down just 23.0% of their missed shots. Their 36.0% shooting percentage from 3-point range is 64th best in the country — and they lead the conference by nailing 38.3% of their shots from behind the arc when playing away from home in conference play. The Bulldogs are seventh in the conference by allowing their opponents to shoot 35.1% from 3-point range — and they rank 297th in the nation with their opponents making 36.9% of their 3-pointers when they are playing away from home. The Salukis are dangerous dogs who are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games when getting the points — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on a neutral court as an underdog. They are also 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Drake may be caught looking ahead to a possible semifinals showdown with Missouri State rather than put all their attention on a conference opponent they have defeated twice this season. But the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games after a straight-up win — and they are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a point spread loss. Drake is solid and fundamentally sound with a good point guard in Roman Penn. This makes them good underdogs but unreliable favorites — they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games when laying the points. They are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs give away too many points as they are last in the Missouri Valley in putting their opponents on the free-throw line — and they rank 324th in the country in putting opponents on the line when playing away from home. Drake does not hit 3s either — they only hit 29.2% of their 3-pointers when playing on the road against conference opponents. Furthermore, Drake is 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played on a neutral court — and they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games on a neutral court when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Southern Illinois lost both their games to the Bulldogs by three combined points — so they will be chippy and confident to finally defeat this team. The Salukis have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 opportunities for revenge — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games when looking to avenge at least two straight losses to their opponent. Don’t be surprised if the Salukis pull the upset — but please take the points for some insurance in what should be another close game between these two teams. 10* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but take the points) Special with the Southern Illinois Salukis (857) plus the points versus the Drake Bulldogs (858). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-04-22 |
Bucks v. Bulls +5.5 |
|
118-112 |
Loss |
-105 |
0 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Chicago Bulls (522) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (521). THE SITUATION: Chicago (39-24) has lost three games in a row after their 130-124 upset loss as a 1.5-point favorite last night. Milwaukee (38-25) has won their last two games with their 120-119 victory against Miami as a 4.5-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLS PLUS THE POINTS: After eking out their showdown against the Heat on Wednesday, the reigning NBA champions may be due for a letdown on the road tonight. Milwaukee has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 30 of their last 45 road games after a narrow win by three points or less. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The Bucks are playing at a fast pace right now which has helped them score at least 120 points in five straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after scoring at least 120 points in at least three straight contests. But this increased tempo has come at the expense of their discipline on defense as they have allowed these last five opponents to make 46.4% of their shots which has resulted in 118.6 Points-Per-Game. In their last seven games, Milwaukee has a Defensive Rating of 28th in the league — far below their 13th Defensive Rating for the season. Now they go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 25 road games with the Total set at 230 or higher. The Bucks have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Chicago allowed the Hawks to make 52.4% of their shots last night which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last nine games — but they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. The Bulls have covered the point spread in 27 of their last 37 games after a loss by six points or less — and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. Chicago is playing without rest tonight — but they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games playing the second game in back-to-back days. And while their five starters combined to play over 164 minutes last night, they are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games when their starters logged in at least 160 combined minutes the day before. The Bulls have not covered the point spread in three straight games — but they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread just once in their last four games. They return home where they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 home games with the Total set in the 220s.
FINAL TAKE: Chicago is not at full strength with Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso both on the shelf — but Zack LaVine has returned to action. Head coach Billy Donovan may limit LaVine’s minutes tonight to rest his knee — but he is not on the injury report this evening. Rookie Ayo Dosunmu has stepped up after these injuries — and the team still has DeMar DeRozan who has been playing at an MVP level and recently scored at least 30 points in ten straight contests. The Bucks are injured as well with Brook Lopez and Pat Connaughton out — and their depth may be further challenged with George Hill questionable with a neck injury. The rap on the Bulls is that they fold versus the best teams in the league — but they are 5-5 ATS in their ten games this season against teams winning 60-70% of their games. Milwaukee has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games versus teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when favored. 10* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the Chicago Bulls (522) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (521). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-04-22 |
The Citadel +5.5 v. East Tennessee State |
|
84-76 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 5:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing The Citadel Bulldogs (847) plus the points versus the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (848) in the first round of the Southern Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: The Citadel (12-17) limps into the conference tournament having lost four of their last five games after their 94-59 loss to Furman as a 9-point underdog on Saturday. East Tennessee State (15-16) has won two of their last three games after a 73-69 upset victory at UNC-Greensboro as a 4-point underdog on Sunday. This game will be played on a neutral court at the Harrah’s Cherokee Center in Asheville, North Carolina.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS PLUS THE POINTS: The best thing for The Citadel is that they can quickly get the bad taste out of their mouth from their 35-point loss to Furman by making noise in the conference tournament. They allowed the Paladins to make 57.1% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last seven games. The Citadel only made 36.1% of their shots themselves which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. Head coach Duggar Baucom should get a better performance from his team this afternoon. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss to a Southern Conference rival. Additionally, The Citadel has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games on the road after a loss by 20 or more points. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. If you want to invest in a team that has a player that can put his teammates on his back, then you will like The Citadel with Hayden Brown. The senior is scoring 18.5 Points-Per-Game while pulling down 9.4 Rebounds-Per-Game — and he makes 59.4% of his shots inside the arc. Brown helps the Bulldogs to make 51.9% of their 2-pointers which ranks inside the top-100 in the country — and the thin Buccaneers front court allows their opponents to make 55.0% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 339th in the country. East Tennessee State has allowed their conference opponents to make 57.3% of their 2-pointers which is last in the Southern Conference. Brown’s shooting inside the arc is the key that opens up “Duggar Ball” which is The Citadel playing at a frenetic pace while launching tons of 3s. The Bulldogs’ games average 71.0 possessions per game, ranking 31st most in the nation. The Citadel takes 50.4% of their shots from behind the arc, the fourth-most in the country — and made 3-pointers account for 42.4% of their points which is the sixth-highest percentage in the nation. East Tennessee State will be accommodated this approach — they rank 352nd in the country with their opponents taking 47.0% of their shots from 3-point range, and these opponents are generating 38.6% of their points from made 3s, the 17th highest clip in the nation. The Citadel made 36.1% of their 3-pointers in conference play — but what is intriguing about this contest is that they led the Southern Conference by nailing 40.2% of their shots from behind the arc when playing away from home. East Tennessee State ranks ninth in the Southern Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they allowed their conference opponents to make 35.9% of their 3-pointers when they were playing away from home, the sixth-highest mark in the conference. The Buccaneers made 49.0% of their shots on Sunday against the Spartans which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. But East Tennessee State has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after an upset win on the road as an underdog. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread win. And in their last 17 games when playing in just their second game in seven days, they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of these contests. The Buccaneers are just 7-10 away from home while getting outscored by -5.1 Points-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season contests - but The Citadel will have revenge on their minds after losing 77-67 in the last meeting on February 19th. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games played on a neutral court — and East Tennessee State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when favored. 10* CBB Friday Afternoon Matinee with The Citadel Bulldogs (847) plus the points versus the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (848). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-03-22 |
Southern Utah v. Idaho State OVER 140 |
Top |
79-71 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (773) and the Idaho State Bengals (774). THE SITUATION: Southern Utah (18-10) had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 69-53 loss at Montana State as a 3.5-point underdog on Tuesday. Idaho State (7-21) has lost three of their last four games with their 73-69 loss at Portland State in overtime as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: This game between two subpar defensive teams should be higher-scoring tonight. The Thunderbirds have the fourth-best defense in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in the Big Sky Conference — but they rank 232nd in that metric nationally. Southern Utah has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after failing to score more than 55 points in their last game. The Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with just one day of rest. They are making a healthy 47.4% of their shots in their last five games — but they have allowed their last five opponents to shoot 48.9% from the field. They stay on the road where they are scoring 75.1 PPG while allowing 75.6 PPG. They have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games when favored. The Thunderbirds have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140-144.5 point range. The Over is also 26-10-1 in their last 37 games when favored. Idaho State ranks 324th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They managed to hold Portland State to just 15 first-half points on Saturday — but they have then played 16 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after not allowing more than 25 points in the first half of their last game. Additionally, the Bengals have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Idaho State has played four straight Overs — and they have played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their last game. They have also played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing at least three Overs in a row. Now after playing those last three games on the road, they return home rehear they see their scoring average rise +6.1 Points-Per-Game to a 70.7 PPG mark. The Bengals have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total — and they have played 17 of their last 21 home games Over the Total after playing their last three games on the road. Idaho State has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with the number set in the 140s.
FINAL TAKE: Southern Utah won the first meeting between these two teams by an 86-74 score as a 16.5-point favorite on January 22n. Idaho State has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an earlier loss this season to their opponent. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (773) and the Idaho State Bengals (774). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-03-22 |
Central Arkansas v. Jacksonville -9.5 |
Top |
69-79 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Jacksonville Dolphins (306190) minus the points versus the Central Arkansas Bears (306189) in the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Jacksonville (19-9) had their five-game winning streak snapped with a 76-69 loss at the Florida Gulf Coast as a 4-point underdog on Saturday. Central Arkansas (11-19) has won two of their last three games with their 74-73 win in a pick ‘em contest against Stetson in the opening round of this tournament on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE DOLPHINS MINUS THE POINTS: Jacksonville should respond with a stronger effort tonight as they have covered the pint spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a point spread loss. The Dolphins are a strong defensive team that ranks 97th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank 37th in the nation in opponent’s effective field goal percentage fueled by a stingy perimeter defense that limits their opponents to 28.9% shooting from behind the arc, the tenth best mark in the country. They also rank 30th in the nation by holding their opponents to rebounding just 23.4% of their missed shots. They return home where they are a perfect 14-0 with a net point differential of +20.3 Points-Per-Game. They hold their guests to just 36.5% shooting at home which is translating into only 54.1 PPG. The concern with this Jacksonville team is their shooting — but they are much better at home where they make 49.9% of their shots which is generating 74.4 PPG. The Dolphins are second in the Atlantic Sun by nailing 38.4% of their shots from behind the arc in conference play when at home. Jacksonville also does a great job of crashing the glass — they rank 34th in the nation by rebounding 33.6% of their missed shots which that mark rising to a conference-best 34.6% against Atlantic Sun foes. The Dolphins are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 home games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. They have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 8 home games with the Total set in the 130s. Furthermore, Jacksonville is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games when favored. Central Arkansas has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a win by six points or less. Now they go on the road where they are 3-13 this season with a -18.2 PPG net point differential. The Purple Bears are one of the worst defensive teams in the nation. They rank 337th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while allowing their opponents to make 55.9% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 348th in the nation. Inexplicably, head coach Anthony Boone has them play at the 20th fastest pace in the nation which is resulting in an average of 72.4 possessions per game, the 12th most in the country. Yet this team does not force turnovers, or crash the glass, or shoot (or make) a bunch of 3s — so the increased pace is not accentuating the things they try to do well. Central Arkansas is 338th in the nation by making only 29.6% of their missed shots. They are 344th in the nation run getting to the free-throw line. The Dolphins should get plenty of fast-break scoring chances in transition which is another reason why I am not as worried about their shooting tonight. Jacksonville outrebounds their opponents by +7.6 Rebounds-Per-Game — and the Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 22 road games against opponents who out-rebound their opponents by at least +4.0 RPG. Central Arkansas has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games with the Total set in the 130s — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points.
FINAL TAKE: The Bears are looking to avenge a 79-59 loss at Jacksonville as an 11.5-point underdog on January 29th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road by 20 or more points. 25* CBB Atlantic Sun Game of the Year with the Jacksonville Dolphins (306190) minus the points versus the Central Arkansas Bears (306189). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-02-22 |
Auburn v. Mississippi State +4 |
|
81-68 |
Loss |
-104 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Mississippi State Bulldogs (712) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (711). THE SITUATION: Mississippi State (17-12) has won three of their last four games after their 74-69 win against Vanderbilt as a 7-point favorite on Saturday. Auburn (25-4) has lost two of their last three games after their 67-62 loss at Tennessee as a 3-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS PLUS THE POINTS: Mississippi State needs a victory tonight to bolster their NCAA Tournament resume — I expect a strong effort. They allowed the Commodores to make 46.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last six games. The Bulldogs have not covered the point spread in their last three games — but they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Mississippi State has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after not covering the point spread in two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 36 of their last 51 games after failing to cover the point spread in three straight games. The Bulldogs only made 1 of 6 shots from behind the arc on Saturday — and that came on the heels of them going 0-14 from 3-point range in their previous game at South Carolina. But Mississippi State has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after not making at least 20% of their 3-point attempts in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after not making at least 20% of their shots from behind the arc in two straight games. This team only makes 30.2% of their 3-pointers on the season — but they are much better at home with a 35.2% clip from distance. What the Bulldogs do well is crash the glass and get to the line — and these strengths should expose weaknesses of this Tigers’ team. Mississippi State gets to the free-throw line at the 18th best rate in the nation — and Auburn ranks 301st in the country in putting their opponents on the line. The Bulldogs are 31st in the nation by pulling down 33.8% of their missed shots — and that mark improves to a 36.4% slip when playing at home, ranking 21st in the country. The Tigers allow their home hosts to rebound 32.5% of their missed shots, ranking 296th in the nation. Mississippi State is 14-2 at home with signature wins against Alabama and Arkansas. They have a +13.5 net point differential at home where they hold their opponents to 40.9% shooting which translates into only 62.2 Points-Per-Game — and they nail 49.9% of their shots at home. The Bulldogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better on the road. Auburn can’t shoot 3s either — they rank 276th in the nation with a 31.8% clip from behind the arc which drops to a 29.4% mark when playing on the road. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games after a point spread loss. They are 10-4 on the road — but they only make 42.7% of their shots in those games which lowers their season 79.1 PPG mark by -3.2 PPG. Auburn has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 road games with the Total set in the 130s. Furthermore, Auburn has also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 road games when favored or a pick ‘em — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games when favored by up to six points.
FINAL TAKE: This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when favored — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Mississippi State is 27-13-2 ATS in their last 42 games at home as an underdog. 10* CBB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (712) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (711). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-02-22 |
NC State v. Wake Forest OVER 150.5 |
Top |
76-101 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (717) and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (718). THE SITUATION: North Carolina State (11-18) has lost two in a row and eight of their last nine games after their 84-74 loss to North Carolina as a 4-point underdog on Saturday. Wake Forest (22-8) has won two of their last three games with their 99-77 win against Louisville as a 9-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Demon Deacons made 58.2% of their shots against the woeful Cardinals which was the best shooting mark in their last 21 games. But I do not consider that an outlier performance as much as it is evidence that this Wake Forest team will expose teams who are vulnerable on the defensive end of the court. The Demon Deacons now shot at least 53.7% from the field in seven of their last twelve games. Expect another higher-scoring game as they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win at home where they scored at least 85 points — and they have played 6 straight Overs at home after a victory at home where both teams scored at least 75 points. They have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by 20 or more points — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Demon Deacons did allow Louisville to make 50.8% of their shots which was the third time they allowed an opponent to shoot at that clip or higher in their last five games. Wake Forest plays at the fastest pace in the ACC — they average 16.8 seconds per possession. Their opponents play at the second-fastest possession in the conference by averaging 17.4 seconds per possession against them. The 69.9 average possessions per game in conference play leads the ACC as well. And when playing at home, the Demon Deacons play at the 25th fastest pace when looking at adjusted numbers (that eliminate garbage time). Wake Forest is 15-2 at home where they make 49.5% of their shots which generates 83.2 Points-Per-Game. They have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total at home — and they have played 10 of their last 14 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40%. They have also played 17 of their last 21 home games Over the Total when favored by 9.5 to 12 points. NC State only made 37.9% of their shots in their loss to the Tar Heels on Saturday which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last four games. But the play of the Wolfpack defense is a bigger concern as the 51.8% shooting clip by North Carolina which was actually the sixth-lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last eight games. NC State ranks 15th in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 52.9% is the 296th worst mark in the nation. The Wolfpack have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home — and they have played 12 of their last 15 road games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They have played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. And while this is their second game since last Wednesday, they have played 14 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in seven days. They go back on the road where they are 4-8 with an average combined score of 150.0 points due to allowing 76.2 PPG. While the Wolfpack ranks eighth in the ACC in pace, they get lulled into playing faster on the road where they are playing at the fifth-fastest pace in the conference. NC State has played 35 of their last 51 road games Over the Total — and they have played 14 of their last 18 road games Over the Total in conference play. They have also played 17 of their last 22 road games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: NC State is losing to avenge a 69-51 loss at home to Wake Forest on February 9th. The Wolfpack have played all 5 of their revenge opportunities this season Over the Total when getting beat by double-digits in their first meeting this season — and both games went Over this season when they were avenging a loss where they did not score at least 60 points. NC State has played 22 of their last 31 games Over the Total as an underdog — and Wake Forest has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total as the favorite. 25* CBB ACC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (717) and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (718). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-02-22 |
Old Dominion v. Louisiana Tech -8 |
Top |
54-67 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (672) minus the points versus the Old Dominion Monarchs (671). THE SITUATION: Louisiana Tech (20-8) had won four of five games before their 56-49 loss at North Texas as a 6-point underdog on Saturday. Old Dominion (12-17) won their second-straight game with their 83-63 win against Florida International as an 8-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINTS: Louisiana Tech should respond with a strong effort tonight. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Louisiana Tech has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not scoring more than 50 points in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last contest. And while the Bulldogs have not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after not covering the point spread in two straight games. Louisiana Tech ranks second in Conference USA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They lead the conference by holding their opponents to just 45.0% shooting inside the arc. It will be difficult for the Monarchs to score tonight as they only hit 30.1% of their shots from behind the arc, the 320th worst mark in the nation. The Bulldogs return home where they are 12-3 this season with a net point differential of +14.9 Points-Per-Game. Louisiana Tech holds their guests to just 39.5% shooting which translates into 65.8 PPG. They also make 47.4% of their shots at home which is generating 80.7 PPG. This team ranks 62nd in the nation by making 55.1% of their shots inside the arc — and this proficiency should help them pull away in this game. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 home games with the Total set in the 130s. Louisiana Tech is also 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Old Dominion comes off one of their best games of the season where they nailed 57.4% of their shots while holding the Golden Panthers to just 40% shooting. But the Monarchs have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a game where they shot at least 57% from the field while holding their opponent to no higher than a 43% field goal percentage. Furthermore, Old Dominion has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win by 15 or more points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win at home by 20 or more points. Additionally, the Monarchs have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after winning two of their last three games. And while this is their third game since Thursday, Old Dominion has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing their third game in seven days. The Monarchs can’t shoot — they rank 286th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 47.5%. Now after playing their last two games at home, Old Dominion goes back on the road where their effective field goal percentage drops to 44.9%, ranking 306th in the nation. The Monarchs are just 3-13 away from home while making only 41% of their shots which is resulting in 61.2 PPG. Old Dominion has failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games on the road as an underdog. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games on the road against teams winning at least 60% of their games on the road.
FINAL TAKE: This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. Old Dominion has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games as an underdog — and Louisiana Tech has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. 25* CBB Conference USA Game of the Year with the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (672) minus the points versus the Old Dominion Monarchs (671). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-01-22 |
Missouri v. South Carolina -6.5 |
|
69-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the South Carolina Gamecocks (618) minus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (617). THE SITUATION: South Carolina (17-11) had their four-game winning streak snapped in a 90-71 loss at Alabama as an 11-point underdog on Saturday. Missouri (10-19) has lost five games in a row with their 75-55 loss at LSU as a 13.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GAMECOCKS MINUS THE POINTS: South Carolina allowed the Crimson Tide to make 47.5% of their shots in what was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. The Gamecocks have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. South Carolina has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. They return home where they are 11-4 this season. They should play better on defense tonight as they hold their guests to just 41.5% shooting which results in 68.3 Points-Per-Game. The weakness of Frank Martin’s team is their shooting — but while they only make 44.5% of their shots at home, they have been shooting better as of late with a 47.5% clip in their last five games. But what the Gamecocks do well is create more scoring opportunities for themselves to get their shots to fall. South Carolina is 22nd in the nation by pulling down 34.4% of their missed shots — and they rank 33rd in the nation by forcing turnovers in 21.8% of their opponent’s possessions. These characteristics should give them a big edge against the Tigers who are vulnerable in both these areas. Missouri allows their opponents to pull down 31.0% of their missed shots, ranking 289th in the nation. Mizzou also turns the ball over in 21.4% of their possessions, ranking 328th in the country. The Gamecocks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. Missouri has fled to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games on the road after a point spread loss. The Tigers’ loss in Baton Rouge came on the heels of an 80-61 loss at home to Tennessee — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 75 points in two straight games. They stay on the road where they are just 3-11 with a -14.9 net point differential. Missouri allows their home hosts to make 47.6% of their shots — an ominous sign when facing the Gamecocks team. They also only make 40.2% of their shots on the road which results in just 59.7 PPG. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 road games as an underdog. Missouri has also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better at home.
FINAL TAKE: The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog — and South Carolina has covered the point spread in 4 straight home games when favored. 10* CBB Missouri-South Carolina ESPNU Special with the South Carolina Gamecocks (618) minus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (617). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-28-22 |
Raptors -3.5 v. Nets |
|
133-97 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Toronto Raptors (553) minus the points versus the Brooklyn Nets (554). THE SITUATION: Toronto (32-27) has lost two straight and four of their last five games after a 127-100 loss at Atlanta as a 5-point underdog on Saturday. Brooklyn (32-29) ended their two-straight losing streak with their 126-123 victory as a 9.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RAPTORS MINUS THE POINTS: Toronto played one of their worst games of the season against the Hawks. They only made 40.0% of their shots which was the second-lowest field goal percentage in their last 15 games. The Raptors allowed Atlanta to make 57.8% field goal percentage which was the second-highest opponent’s field goal percentage of the season. They have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last Toronto has also bounced back to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a loss by 20 or more points. And in their last 11 games after a point spread loss, the Raptors have covered the point spread in 9 of these contests. Toronto has not been competitive in their last two games as they began the weekend with a 125-93 loss in Charlotte. The Raptors have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games after losing two straight games by 15 or more points. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games when favored — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games when favored in all situations. Toronto will be undermanned tonight with O.G. Anunoby out with a finger injury and Fred VanVleet questionable with a knee injury — but they still have Pascal Siakam and Gary Trent, Jr. to lead the team for head coach Nick Nurse. They face a seriously depleted Nets team that will be without the injured Kevin Durant and Joe Harris along with Kyrie Irving ineligible to play in New York for another few days due to the vaccination requirements and Ben Simmons still not ready to take the court. Brooklyn has failed to cover the point spread 8 straight games at home after a win on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a point spread win. Back at home in the Barclays Center, the Nets are just 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games — and they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games as an underdog. Brooklyn has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Nets rank just 21st in the NBA this month by scoring 108.7 points per 100 possessions — and they have been even worse on defense by ranking second-to-last in the league by allowing 118 points per 100 possession this month.
FINAL TAKE: Brooklyn is 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record — and Toronto has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games against winning teams. 10* NBA Blowout Bookie Buster with the Toronto Raptors (553) minus the points versus the Brooklyn Nets (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-28-22 |
College of Charleston +5.5 v. Hofstra |
Top |
84-89 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the College of Charleston Cougars (863) plus the points versus the Hofstra Pride (864). THE SITUATION: Charleston (16-13) had their two-game winning streak snapped with an 80-79 loss at Drexel as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. Hofstra (20-10) has won seven of their last eight games with their 83-67 victory against William & Mary as an 18-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE COUGARS PLUS THE POINTS: Charleston should respond with a strong effort tonight. They have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games after a loss. And while this is the Cougars’ fourth straight game on the road, they have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 road games after playing at least two straight games on the road. Head coach Pat Kelsey’s team plays at the second-highest pace in the nation. They also rank 12th in the nation by pulling down 35.3% of their missed shots — and offensive rebounding travels. Charleston is scoring 80.2 Points-Per-Game in their last five games on 48.7% shooting. They have a 7-7 record on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. The Cougars have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 road games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams winning at least 60% of their games at home. Charleston has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last games against teams with a winning record. Hofstra has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight home games after a straight-up win at home against a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games at home after a victory where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. The Pride have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games when playing with one day of rest. Hofstra has also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after winning four or five of their last six games. They are now 11-2 at home — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games at home. Furthermore, the Pride have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight home games when the favorite — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when favored in all situations.
FINAL TAKE: The College of Charleston will be looking to avenge a 76-73 loss at Hofstra as a 2-point underdog on January 27th. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when motivated with revenge. 25* CBB Underdog of the Month with the College of Charleston Cougars (863) plus the points versus the Hofstra Pride (864). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-27-22 |
Mavs +4.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
107-101 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Dallas Mavericks (543) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (544). THE SITUATION: Dallas (35-25) had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 114-109 loss at Utah as a 6-point underdog on Friday. Golden State (43-17) ended their two-game losing streak with a 132-95 win at Portland as a 10-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MAVERICKS PLUS THE POINTS: The silver lining from Dallas’ loss on Friday was the play of their recent acquisitions in the Kristaps Porzingis trade. Spencer Dinwiddie scored 20 points on 8 of 12 shooting and Davis Bertrans nailed five of his eight shots from behind the arc for 17 points. These two players give head coach Jason Kidd the potential for a much-needed scoring punch off the bench to help out Luka Doncic. Dallas has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win. They stay on the road where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games as an underdog. The Mavericks have been very reliable road warriors against good teams with Doncic — they are 45-20-1 ATS in their last 66 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. Dallas has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games. Golden State made 51.1% of their shots on Thursday which was tied for the best shooting effort in their last seven games. They also held the Trail Blazers to just a 39.7% field goal percentage which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 12 games. The Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread victory. They are also 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a double-digit win. Golden State is undermanned tonight with Klay Thompson out with an illness and Andre Iguodala out with a sore back. They remain without Draymond Green who is recovering from a calf injury. The Warriors’ elite defense drop to 11th in the league since the Green injury. And while the Mavericks rank a surprising fifth in the NBA in Defensive Rating this season under Kidd, Golden State’s offense ranks just 22nd in the league when facing a top-ten defense. The Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight home games — and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas will be motivated to avenge an embarrassing 130-92 loss to the Warriors on January 25th. The Mavericks have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 13 opportunities at same-season revenge. Dallas has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 meetings with the Warriors — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in Golden State. 25* NBA Sunday ESPN Game of the Month with the Dallas Mavericks (543) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-26-22 |
Louisville v. Wake Forest -8.5 |
Top |
77-99 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (750) minus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (749). THE SITUATION: Wake Forest (21-8) has lost three of their last four games after their 80-69 upset loss at Clemson as a 4-point favorite on Wednesday. Louisville (12-15) has lost eight of their last nine games after their 70-63 loss at North Carolina as a 9.5-point underdog on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE DEMON DEACONS MINUS THE POINTS: Wake Forest allowed the Tigers to make 53.7% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last seven games and the third-highest opponent’s field goal percentage of the season. The Demon Deacons only made 41.0% of their shots as well which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last 16 games. Wake Forest should play better tonight — they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Demon Deacons rank second in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are second in the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 47.0%. They return home where they have a 14-2 record with a +15.0 net point differential. Wake Forest holds their guests to just a 38.6% field goal percentage which is resulting in 67.2 Points-Per-Game. The Demon Deacons are nailing 49.0% of their shots on their home court which is generating 82.2 PPG. Wake Forest is usually a very good shooting team — they rank 16th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 55.5% fueled by a 57.9% shooting clip inside the arc, ranking fourth-best in the country. The Cardinals are vulnerable with their interior defense as they rank ninth in the ACC by allowing their opponents to make 51.6% of their 2-pointers. Louisville ranks 12th in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Wake Forest can get into trouble against teams that force turnovers — the Deacons rank second-to-last in the ACC with a 19.9% turnover rate. But the Cardinals also rank second-to-last in the conference by forcing turnovers in only 14.2% of their opponent’s possessions. Wake Forest has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 home games with the Total set in the 140s. The Demon Deacons have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. Louisville continues their lost season that saw the parting of ways with head coach Chris Mack midseason. They have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games after a point spread loss. And while the Cardinals have covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread in their last two games. They stay on the road where they are just 4-8 this season. They are making only 40.3% of their shots away from home which is resulting in just 64.6 PPG. Louisville is just eleventh in the ACC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They only make 32.1% of their 3-pointers, ranking 12th in the conference — and their 67.1% free throw rate that is last in the ACC will not help them cover the point spread. The Cardinals are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games on the road as an underdog. They are also just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games as an underdog. And in their last 12 games with the Total set in the 140s, Louisville has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of these contests.
FINAL TAKE: Wake Forest will be looking to avenge a 73-69 loss to the Cardinals on December 29th. The Demon Deacons have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 opportunities for revenge against their opponent. 25* College Basketball Game of the Month with the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (750) minus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (749). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-26-22 |
South Carolina v. Alabama OVER 154 |
|
71-90 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Carolina Gamecocks (727) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (728). THE SITUATION: South Carolina (17-10) has won four in a row after their 66-56 upset victory against Mississippi State as a 21-point underdog on Wednesday. Alabama (18-10) has won four of their last five games after their 74-72 win at Vanderbilt as a 4.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Gamecocks made only 43.9% of their shots on Wednesday in what was the lowest field goal percentage in their last four games. But they won the game by holding the Bulldogs to just a 35.8% field goal percentage in what was the best defensive effort in their last seven contests. South Carolina has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing a game that did not see more than 125 combined points scored. The Gamecocks have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total after a win against a conference rival. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They go back on the road where they have played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total including their last four Over the Total. The Over is also 15-7-1 in their last 23 road games as an underdog. Additionally, South Carolina has played 5 straight Overs against teams winning at least 60% of their games -- and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog. Alabama only made 37.9% of their shots against the Commodores in what was the lowest field goal percentage in their last five games. They did hold Vanderbilt to just 35.8% shooting which was the second-lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 15 contests. That game finished below the 153.5 point total — and the Crimson Tide has played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game including seven of these nine circumstances this season. Alabama has played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up win against a conference rival — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. The Crimson Tide returns home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total when favored by 9.5 to 12 points. Over their last five games, Alabama is scoring 80.0 Points-Per-Game — but they are allowing 77.4 PPG. They have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.
FINAL TAKE: Expect a high-scoring game between two teams that played at the two fastest paces in the SEC. The Crimson Tide averages only 15.4 seconds per possession which is the ninth-fastest in the country. Alabama has played 8 of their last 12 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 150s — and South Carolina has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total with the number in the 150-159.5 point range. 10* CBB Saturday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the South Carolina Gamecocks (727) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (728). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-26-22 |
Binghamton +8 v. New Hampshire |
Top |
62-66 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Binghamton Bearcats (1001) plus the points versus the New Hampshire Wildcats (1002). THE SITUATION: Binghamton (11-14) has lost four of their last five games after a 66-49 loss to Vermont as a 15-point underdog on Wednesday. New Hampshire (13-12) snapped a two-game losing streak with their 83-55 win against the New Jersey Institute of Technology as a 4-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARCATS PLUS THE POINTS: Binghamton only made 30.5% of their shots against the Catamounts on Wednesday in what was the worst shooting effort of the season. They should play better this afternoon as they are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after a straight-up loss. Binghamton has also covered the point spread in 8 straight-road games after a straight-up loss to a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on the road after a point spread loss. Their solid play on the defensive end of the court should keep them competitive in this game. The Bearcats are third in the America East Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They hold their opponents to just a 32.9% shooting clip from behind the arc which is best in the conference — and they also lead the America East with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 48.2%. They go back on the road where they are 6-6 this season — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games. Additionally, Binghamton has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 road games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams winning at least 60% of their games at home. New Hampshire made 55.6% of their shots on Wednesday in what was the best shooting effort of the season — so I do expect the Regression Gods to make an appearance. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a win against a conference opponent. New Hampshire has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win. The Bearcats can struggle on defense as they rank only eighth in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are 9-3 at home — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 home games when favored by 6.5 to 12 points.
FINAL TAKE: New Hampshire won the first meeting between these two teams on February 12th by a 69-60 score in a pick ‘em match-up — but the Bearcats have covered the point spread in 4 of their 6 opportunities this season to avenge a loss at home. 25* CBB America East Underdog of the Year with the Binghamton Bearcats (1001) plus the points versus the New Hampshire Wildcats (1002). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-25-22 |
Clippers v. Lakers OVER 221.5 |
Top |
105-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (517) and the Los Angeles Lakers (518). THE SITUATION: The Los Angeles Clippers (30-31) went into the All-Star break winning three of their last four games after their 142-111 win against Houston as a 10.5-point favorite last Thursday. The Los Angeles Lakers (27-31) snapped a three-game losing streak to go into the All-Star break with a 106-101 upset victory against Utah as a 4.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Clippers have been playing higher scoring games this month with head coach Tyronn Lue relying on Reggie Jackson and Terance Mann to give the team more minutes. Jackson and Mann give the team a boost on the offensive end of the court. The Clippers have a 50.6% field goal percentage in their last five games which has generated 112.2 Points-Per-Game. But that duo is not as effective on the other end of the court. The Clippers may rank seventh in the NBA in Defensive Rating — but they are just 20th in that metric this month. Not surprisingly, the Clippers have played 6 of their last 8 games this month Over the Total. The Over is also 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread victory. And while the Clippers have covered the point spread in their last three games, they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in at least three straight games. This team remains without their big two in Kawhi Leonard and Paul George — and they will be without their recent acquisition from Portland in Norman Powell who is out with a toe injury. Moving forward, the Over is 5-1-1 in the Clippers’ last 7 games against teams with a losing record — and the Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Lakers will be without Anthony Davis tonight as he is dealing with an ankle injury. That means more small-ball with LeBron James playing at the five position. The Lakers will likely try to play at a fast pace relying more on Russell Westbrook’s athleticism (with the hope he can finally break out of his “slump” — they are ride-or-die with him now after he was not dealt at the trading deadline). The Lakers went into the break making 49.4% of their shots in their last five games which were generating 112.8 PPG — but also allowed 114.2 PPG in those five contests. The Lakers have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win They have also played 7 of their last 10 games at Crypto.com Arena Over the Total when favored — and they have played 10 of their last 14 home games Over the Total when favored by no more than six points. And in their last 8 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Lakers have played 6 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, the Lakers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. And while the Clippers allow 107.7 PPG this season, the Lakers have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total against teams who do not allow more than 108 PPG.
FINAL TAKE: Against Pacific Division rivals this season, the Lakers are allowing these opponents to make 47.5% of their shots which is resulting in 116.3 PPG. The Lakers have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against Pacific Division foes. The Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two Los Angeles rivals. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (517) and the Los Angeles Lakers (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-25-22 |
Texas-Arlington v. South Alabama -7.5 |
Top |
52-62 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the South Alabama Jaguars (892) minus the points versus the UT-Arlington Mavericks (891). THE SITUATION: South Alabama (18-10) has lost two games in a row after their 55-52 upset loss to Texas State as a 3-point favorite on Wednesday. UT-Arlington (11-16) has lost two in a row and five of their last seven after their 59-53 loss at Troy as a 4.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JAGUARS MINUS THE POINTS: South Alabama has only scored 103 points in their last two games — but they should find the form that has tagged ranked second in the Sun Belt Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and tops in the conference with a 51.9% effective field goal percentage against the Mavericks. UT-Arlington ranks 11th in the Sun Belt Conference in opponent’s effective field goal percentage — and they rank 227th in that metric when playing away from home with opponent’s posting an effective field goal percentage of 52.3%. The Jaguars have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not scoring more than 65 points in two straight games. But they have also covered the point spread in 9 straight games after not allowing more than 55 points in their last contest. South Alabama has played their last two games Under the Total — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after playing at least two straight Unders. They stay at home where they are 8-3 this season with a +18.9 net points differential. The Jaguars hold their guests to just 57.9 Points-Per-Game. They rank 32nd on their home court with an effective field goal percentage of 56.0% while ranking in the top-74 in the nation in both 3-point shooting and shooting inside the arc. South Alabama has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games when favored. The Jaguars have also covered the pint spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. South Alabama ranks second in the Sun Belt with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.5% — this is a balanced team on both ends of the court. UT-Arlington held the Trojans to host 36.5% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 14 games. But the Mavericks have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. UT-Arlington has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a game where both teams did not score more than 65 points. The Mavericks have played their last two games Under the Total by only allowing 58 and 59 points — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after playing two straight Unders and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 65 points in two straight games. They stay on the road where they are just 3-12 this season with a -8.6 net point differential. They only make 40.1% of their shots on the road which results in only 63.5 PPG. UT-Arlington struggles with shooting the basketball — they rank 321st in the nation in effective field goal percentage. They have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: South Alabama will be looking to avenge an 89-87 upset loss to the Mavericks on December 30th as a 2.5-point favorite. The Jaguars have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 75 points. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month with the South Alabama Jaguars (892) minus the points versus the UT-Arlington Mavericks (891). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-25-22 |
Louisiana-Monroe +3.5 v. Georgia Southern |
|
75-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the UL-Monroe Warhawks (869) plus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (870). THE SITUATION: UL-Monroe (13-16) has lost four games in a row after their 82-70 loss at Georgia State as a 12-point underdog on Wednesday. Georgia Southern (11-15) has lost six games in a row with their 82-69 loss to Louisiana-Lafayette as a 1-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE WARHAWKS PLUS THE POINTS: UL-Monroe allowed the Panthers to make 47.0% of their shots which was the highest opponent's field goal percentage in their last four games. The Warhawks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. UL-Monroe has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after losing two in a row to Sun Belt rivals — and they have covered the point spread in 40 of their last 63 road games after losing at least two in a row to conference opponents. The Warhawks stay on the road where they are 6-9 this season — and they are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games as an underdog — and they are 4-1-1 ATS In their last 6 games as an underdog overall. Georgia Southern made 44.8% of their shots against the Ragin’ Cajuns in what was the best shooting effort in their last six games. But the Eagles are still only making 38.8% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in only 60.0 Points-Per-Game. They rank 12th in the Sun Belt in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Georgia Southern also turns the ball over in 22.0% of their possessions, ranking 341st in the nation — so they can’t afford to shoot so poorly if they are not even getting to a shot before coughing the ball up. UL-Monroe forces turnovers in 19.5% of their opponent’s possessions, ranking 116th in the nation. Georgia Southern has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a loss to a conference rival. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after losing two games in a row. And in their last 7 games when playing with only one day of rest, they have failed to cover the point spread 6 times. They stay at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games when favored. And in their last 5 games against losing teams, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread all 5 times.
FINAL TAKE: UL-Monroe will be motivated to avenge a 50-45 upset loss at home to Georgia Southern where they were a 1-point home favorite. The Warhawks have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite to their opponent. 10* CBB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the UL-Monroe Warhawks (869) plus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (870). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-24-22 |
Belmont v. Murray State UNDER 146 |
Top |
43-76 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Belmont Bruins (825) and the Murray State Racers (826). THE SITUATION: Belmont (23-5) won their tenth straight game with a 73-62 victory against SIU-Edwardsville as a 22-point favorite on Saturday. Murray State (26-2) won their 15th straight game with a 62-60 victory at Tennessee-Martin as a 17-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Belmont needs to win this game to put themselves in a position to share the Ohio Valley Conference regular-season title. Expected a lower-scoring game between the two best defensive teams in the conference in terms of Adjusted Efficiency. The Bruins have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win at home against a conference rival. Belmont has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. The Bruins are playing their best basketball of the season — and it has been led by their play on defense. Belmont has held their last five opponents to just 40.4% shooting which has resulted in just 59.2 Points-Per-Game. They go on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as an underdog — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better at home. Additionally, the Bruins have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Murray State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played a decisive 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Racers have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up victory where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. Murray State has not allowed more than 62 points in five straight games while holding their last two opponents to 60 or fewer points. They have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in two straight contests. The Racers are scoring less on offense lately as well. They are shooting 2.9% below their season average in their last five games — and that 45.0% field goal percentage over that span is resulting in -7.3 PPG below their 79.7 PPG scoring average for the season. They return home where they are holding their guests to 38.7% shooting which is resulting in just 63.1 PPG. Murray State has played 8 straight home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 28 of their last 36 games Under the Total with the Total set in the range overall. The Under is also 16-7-1 in the Racers’ last 24 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against winning teams. Murray State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Murray State won the first meeting between these two teams back on January 15th by an 82-60 score as a 6-point underdog in Nashville. The Racers got 36 points in Justice Hill in that game who nailed eight shots from behind the arc in that game. Murray State made 51% of their shots in that contest while making 14 of their 25 shots from 3-point range in that game for a 56% clip. They are not likely to do that again tonight since they make only 33.2% of their 3-pointers in conference play — and their 3-point shooting drops to 29.9% at home in Ohio Valley play. Belmont holds their home hosts in conference play to just a 31.1% shooting mark from 3-point range when playing on the road. The Bruins have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total when avenging a same-season loss. 25* CBB Thursday ESPNU Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between Belmont Bruins (825) and the Murray State Racers (826). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-24-22 |
Eastern Washington +6.5 v. Northern Colorado |
|
85-76 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Eastern Washington Eagles (791) plus the points versus the Northern Colorado Bears (792). THE SITUATION: Eastern Washington (14-13) had their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday in an 83-80 upset loss at Idaho as a 4.5-point favorite. Northern Colorado (16-12) has won six of their last seven contests with their 77-70 win against Idaho State as a 14-point favorite on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE EAGLES PLUS THE POINTS: Eastern Washington played their worst defensive game in their last nine contests by allowing the Vandals to make 54.4% of their shots. But the Eagles are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games after a point spread setback. They have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a narrow loss by three points or less. Eastern Washington has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games after winning two of their last three games. They are hitting 48.5% of their shots in their last five games. They stay on the road where they are 7-10 this season — but they are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 games on the road. The Eagles have also covered the point spread in 22 of their last 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Eastern Washington has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 road games as an underdog getting up to six points. Northern Colorado’s victory against Idaho State finished above the 144 point total — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after playing an Over in their last game. The Bears have scored 83 and 77 points in their last two games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after scoring at least 75 points in each of their last two games. They are 8-3 at home — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games on their home court. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games when favored. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, Northern Colorado has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these contests.
FINAL TAKE: Eastern Washington will be motivated to avenge an 87-83 loss at home to Northern Colorado as a 2-point home underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 20* CBB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Eastern Washington Eagles (791) plus the points versus the Northern Colorado Bears (792). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-23-22 |
North Carolina-Asheville +6 v. Gardner-Webb |
Top |
59-60 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (306143) plus the points versus the Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (306144). THE SITUATION: UNC-Asheville (15-12) had their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday in an 84-79 loss to Winthrop as a 2-point underdog. Gardner-Webb (15-11) has won seven of their last eight games with their 76-68 victory at Presbyterian as a 2-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS PLUS THE POINTS: UNC-Asheville allowed Winthrop to nail 50.9% of their shots over the weekend in what was the worst defensive effort in their last ten games. Winthrop made 12 of their 30 shots (40%) from behind the arc which was a surprise when considering that the Bulldogs rank sixth in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 28.5% clip from 3-point range this season. UNC-Asheville is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after a point spread loss. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after playing a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. And while this is just their second game since Thursday of last week, they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games when playing their second game in seven days. On the positive side, UNC-Asheville made at least 50% of their shots for their third straight game with their 53.2% clip against the Eagles over the weekend. In their last five games, the Bulldogs are making 48.3% of their shots which has bumped up their scoring average +5.3 Points-Per-Game to a 79.8 PPG mark over that span. This team also ranks 32nd in the nation in getting to the free-throw line where they then make 73.9% of their freebies, ranking in the top-100 in the nation. The Runnin’ Bulldogs rank 278th in the nation in putting opponents on the free-throw line. UNC-Asheville goes on the road where they are 7-6 this season. They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog. They are also 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. Gardner-Webb has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after winning at least three of their last four games. The Runnin’ Bulldogs are no slouches defending the 3-point shot either — they rank seventh in the nation in opponent’s field goal percentage behind the arc. UNC-Asheville is vulnerable to teams who crash the glass — but Gardner Webb ranks only seventh in the conference in offensive rebounding when playing at home. The Runnin’ Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games when favored. Gardner Webb has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games with the Total set in the 135 to 139.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: UNC-Asheville will be motivated to avenge a 61-55 upset loss at home to the Runnin’ Bulldogs as a 1.5-point favorite on January 27th. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss. 25* CBB Big South Game of the Month with the UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (306143) plus the points versus the Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (306144). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-22-22 |
San Diego State +2.5 v. Boise State |
Top |
57-58 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the San Diego State Aztecs (645) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (646). THE SITUATION: San Diego State (17-6) won their fifth straight game with a 61-44 victory at Fresno State as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. Boise State (21-6) has won four of their last five games with their 68-57 win against Utah State as a 3.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AZTECS PLUS THE POINTS: After a narrow one-point loss at Colorado State, San Diego State has gotten on a roll by winning their last four games by double-digits. A discovered scoring touch has triggered the upsurge in play for head coach Brian Dutcher’s team. They are shooting 49.0% from the field in their last five games. They had shot 62.5% and 51.7% from the field in their previous two games before posting a 47.9% field goal percentage in their win against the Bulldogs. The Aztecs should continue their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after a win on the road against a Mountain West Conference rival. San Diego State leads the Mountain West in offensive rebounding rate — and they are very tough to beat if they are hitting their shots. This Aztecs team boasts the top-ranked defensive in terms of Adjusted Efficiency in the nation — and this defense travels. San Diego State holds their home hosts to just a 39.7% field goal percentage which translates into only 60.7 Points-Per-Game — and they rank third in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road. The Aztecs have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 28 of their last 40 road games with the Total set in the 120s. San Diego State has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Aztecs have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games. They have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Boise State played their best defensive game in their last eight contests by holding the Aggies to just 43.4% shooting on Saturday. But the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after winning two games in a row after conference opponents — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after winning four of their last five contests. Boise State’s defense has taken a step back as of late — they have allowed their last five opponents to make 46.0% of their shots. This is concerning because this Broncos team cannot shoot. Boise State ranks 349th in the country by making only 64.5% of their free throws — a troubling characteristic for a team expected to be in a close game. And they only make 32.4% of their shots from behind the arc when playing on their home court, ranking 246th in the nation. One of the power rankings systems I use lists the Broncos as the 28th best team in the nation — but those analytics drop them to 60th in the country when exclusively evaluating teams playing on their home court. Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games. The Broncos lack depth with head coach Leon Rice relying mostly on seven players — but that seventh player, Name Smith, is questionable tonight with an undisclosed injury.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams met on January 22nd with Boise State winning by a 42-37 score as a 4.5-point road underdog. The Aztecs were rusty coming off a two-week hiatus due to COVID outbreaks — and they only shot 28.1% from the field while missing 15 of their 19 shots from behind the arc. San Diego State has covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB Tuesday CBS Sports Network Game of the Month with the San Diego State Aztecs (645) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (646). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-21-22 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore +6 v. North Carolina Central |
Top |
79-66 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (306109) plus the points versus the North Carolina-Central Eagles (306110). THE SITUATION: Maryland-Eastern Shore (8-13) has lost three games in a row after their 70-63 loss at South Carolina State as a 3.5-point underdog on Saturday. North Carolina-Central (15-11) has won four games in a row with their 84-79 win against Delaware State as a 12-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE HAWKS PLUS THE POINTS: Maryland-Eastern Shore only made 37.6% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. The Hawks should play better tonight as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss on the road. And while they have lost four of their last five games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after losing four or five of their last six contests. After being one of ten Division I programs that did not play a single game last season because of the COVID pandemic, many college basketball prognosticators projected Maryland-Eastern Shore to be the worst team in the country this season. Not so — this group beat Fordham in double-overtime earlier this season. They lost by just nine points at Connecticut. Granted, this is a team that is still just 3-7 in conference play — but head coach Jason Crafton has done a fine job with his squad. And his team does some things that make them intriguing road warriors. For starters, they are one of the best teams in the nation in forcing turnovers. The Hawks rank 15th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 23.3% of their opponent’s possessions. In Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference play, they lead the league by forcing turnovers in 26.3% of their opponents' possessions. The Eagles are very vulnerable in this department — they rank 238th in the nation by turning the ball over in 23.8% of their opponent’s possessions. In conference play, North Carolina-Central turns the ball over 24.3% of the time. This defensive pressure helps Maryland-Eastern Shore boast the best Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in conference play using one of the analytics formulas I track — and they are second in the MEAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road using those metrics. The Hawks also do a couple of things that make them dangerous. They are third in the conference by rebounding 31.7% of their missed shots when playing on the road. They also nail 36% of their 3-point shots on the road in conference play. Maryland-Eastern Shore has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games on the road. And while this is their second game since last Monday, the Hawks have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games when playing second games in seven days. Furthermore, Maryland-Eastern Shore is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 road games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. North Carolina-Central has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up victory where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. The Eagles are considered one of the favorites to win the MEAC despite COVID limiting them to just 13 practices all season last year. The Eagles are not a great defensive team by conference standards. They rank seventh in the MEAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and that ranking remains seventh of the eight teams in the conference in that m metric when playing at home. North Carolina-Central has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Eagles have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight home games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: North Carolina-Central won the first meeting between these two teams by a 75-63 score as a 3-point favorite on the road. The Eagles made 11 of their 25 shots (44%) from behind the arc which is a number they are not likely to replicate since they rank 276th in the nation by making only 31.6% of their 3-point shots. Tellingly, North Carolina-Central committed 18 turnovers in that game while turning the ball over in 27.3% of their possessions against the Hawks’ pressure. Maryland-Eastern Shore has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when avenging a double-digit loss. 25* CBB Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Game of the Year with the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (306109) plus the points versus the North Carolina-Central Eagles (306110). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-20-22 |
Mississippi State v. Missouri +4.5 |
|
58-56 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Missouri Tigers (860) plus the points versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (859). THE SITUATION: Missouri (10-16) has lost three of their last four games after a 68-49 loss at Mississippi State as a 10.5-point underdog on Friday. Mississippi State (15-11) snapped a four-game losing streak with the win.
REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS PLUS THE POINTS: Missouri only made 31.4% of their shots on Friday in what was the worst shooting effort in their last 11 games. The Tigers have not scored more than 57 points in their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after not scoring more than 65 points in two straight games. Missouri has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a loss on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a double-digit loss on the road. Missouri has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after losing three of their last four games. They return home where they are 7-6 — but they did upset Alabama. They hold their guests to just 41.1% shooting. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. Missouri has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games as an underdog getting up to six points. Mississippi State played their best defensive game in their last 24 contests by holding the Tigers to just 31.4% shooting. But the Bulldogs are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games after a point spread loss. And while they have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after covering the point spread in at least two games in a row. This rematch is on the road where they are 0-7 in true road games this season while ranking 306th in the nation in effective field goal percentage with a 45.1% mark. Mississippi State makes only 25.4% of their 3-pointers when playing in a hostile environment, ranking 335th in the nation. The Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Missouri missed 14 of their 17 shots from behind the arc on Friday — but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to make at least 20% of their shots from 3-point range in their last contest. 10* CBB Sunday Late Show Bailout with the Missouri Tigers (860) plus the points versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (859). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-20-22 |
East Carolina v. UCF -9 |
Top |
66-69 |
Loss |
-108 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Central Florida Knights (832) minus the points versus the East Carolina Pirates (831). THE SITUATION: Central Florida (15-9) looks to rebound from a 70-52 loss at Houston on Thursday as a 13.5-point underdog. East Carolina (13-12) has won two of their last three games with their 65-57 victory at South Florida as a 1.5-point underdog on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE KNIGHTS MINUS THE POINTS: Central Florida could not get anything going on the offensive end of the court against the Cougars. Their 28.3% field goal percentage in that game was the lowest of the season. Johnny Dawkins’ team should shoot much better this afternoon. Central Florida has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not making at least 33% of their shots in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after not scoring at least 55 points in their last game. Additionally, the Knights have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a double-digit loss. Central Florida has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a point spread loss. And while this is the Knights’ third game since Monday this week, they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games when playing their third game in seven days. They return home where they are 11-3 this season. Dawkins’ team thrives on the defensive end of the court where they hold their guests to just a 40.9% field goal percentage which results in only 61.9 Points-Per-Game. UCF makes a modest 45.2% of their shots at home — so they should make more baskets than they did against the Cougars. But what makes this Knights’ team so dangerous is that they do a good job in generating additional scoring opportunities. Central Florida pulls down 31.6% of their missed shots, ranking 68th in the nation. The Knights also lead the American Athletic Conference by forcing turnovers in 20.8% of their opponent’s possessions — and that turnover rate improves to a 22.7% clip when playing at home. The Pirates are loose with the basketball — they rank seventh in the conference by turning the ball over in 19.9% of their possessions. Central Florida has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when favored. East Carolina held South Florida to just 34.4% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 23 games. The Pirates had lost six in a row before winning two of their last three — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after losing four or five of their last six games. And while East Carolina has not scored more than 30 points in the first half in eight straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games after not scoring more than 30 points in the first half in at least two straight games. They stay on the road where they are just 3-8 this season. The Pirates struggle to score -- and it starts with their shooting inside the arc where they rank 322nd in the nation by making only 45.7% of their 2-pointers. On the road, East Carolina has a 40.4% field goal percentage — and they rank 341st in the country with an effective field goal percentage of 43.7% on the road. The Pirates have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 road games with the Total set in the 130s. East Carolina has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Pirates will be motivated to avenge a 92-85 loss in overtime at home to the Knights on January 18th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 85 points. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Game of the Month with the Central Florida Knights (832) minus the points versus the East Carolina Pirates (831). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-19-22 |
Northern Colorado +6 v. Weber State |
|
83-79 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Northern Colorado Bears (775) plus the points versus the Weber State Wildcats (776). THE SITUATION: Northern Colorado (14-12) had their four-game winning streak snapped on Thursday in a 61-58 upset loss at Idaho as a 7-point favorite. Weber State (19-8) ended their three-game losing streak with a 65-50 win against Sacramento State as a 15.5-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BUFFALOES PLUS THE POINTS: Northern Colorado only made 38.5% of their shots on Thursday in what was the worst shooting effort in their last 13 games. The Bears have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after an upset loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss to a Big Sky rival by six points or less. They are also 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 games after a point spread loss. Northern Colorado should shoot better tonight — they rank seventh in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.7%. Even after Thursday’s subpar effort, they are still making 50.8% of their shots in their last five games. The Buffaloes are making 50.1% of their shots in conference play which is generating 81.1 Points-Per-Game. They lead the Big Sky with a 39.1% shooting mark from behind the arc — and they now face a Wildcats team that ranks just seventh in the conference by allowing their opponents to make 36.1% of their 3-pointers. Northern Colorado is 32-15-1 ATS in their last 48 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog getting no more than six points. Weber State made 56.8% of their shots against Sacramento State in what was the best shooting effort in their last six games. They held the Hornets to just 34.0% shooting which was the best defensive performance in their last 17 games. But Weber State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. The Wildcats have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite. Weber State has not covered the point spread in six straight games. Not only have they failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after not covering the point spread in two straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not covering the point spread in at least three straight games. The Wildcats host this game where they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Weber State has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Weber State won the first meeting between these two teams by an 85-76 score on January 27th. The Bears have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 road games when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB Saturday Night Special Feature with the Northern Colorado Bears (775) plus the points versus the Weber State Wildcats (776). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-19-22 |
Utah v. California +2.5 |
|
60-58 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the California Golden Bears (740) plus the points versus the Utah Utes (739). THE SITUATION: California (11-16) had their two-game winning streak end on Thursday with their 70-62 loss at home to Colorado as a 2.5-point underdog. Utah (10-16) comes off a 60-56 upset win at Stanford as a 4-point underdog on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN BEARS PLUS THE POINTS: California should play better tonight. They have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread setback. California got out-worked on the boards by a 43-28 margin to the Buffaloes in that game — but they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games after getting out-rebounds by at least 15 boards in their last game. Cal has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing their second game in three days. They stay at home where they have won nine of their eleven games this season — and they are holding their opponents to just 41.8% shooting from the field. The Golden Bears have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning percentage no higher than 40% on the road. California has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games. Utah held the Cardinal to just 36.2% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 14 games. But the Utes have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after playing a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. Utah stays on the road where they are just 3-10 this season with a -6.7 net point differential. They only make 40.5% of their shots on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games on the road. The Utes have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games with the Total set in the 130s — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 road games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Utah won the first meeting between these two teams by a 66-58 score in Salt Lake City on December 5th. California has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 30 opportunities for revenge from a loss on the road. The Golden Bears have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and the Utes have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 20* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the California Golden Bears (740) plus the points versus the Utah Utes (739). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-19-22 |
Long Island v. Mt. St. Mary's +2 |
Top |
66-61 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (306034) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Long Island Sharks (306033). THE SITUATION: Mount St. Mary’s (12-13) has lost three of their last four games after their 64-55 upset loss to St. Francis-NY as a 5-point favorite on Thursday. Long Island (12-13) has won three games in a row with their 81-63 win at St. Francis-PA as a 3.5-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MOUNTAINEERS PLUS (OR MINUS) THE POINT(S): Mount St. Mary’s allowed St. Francis-NY to make 47.4% of their shots which was the second-highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 15 games. The Mountaineers have the top defense in the Northeast Conference in terms of Adjusted Efficiency. They have held their last two opponents to 29 and 27 points in the first half in their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 30 points in the first half of their last two games. They stay at home where they have a +10.4 net point differential while holding their guests to just a 41.5% shooting percentage and 61.2 Points-Per-Game. Mount St. Mary’s have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. On their home court, the Mountaineers pull down 37.6% of their missed shots, the 13th highest mark in the nation. Mount St. Mary’s also leads the Northeast Conference by making 35.6% of their shots — and they face a Sharks team that allows their home hosts to mane 36.7% of their shots in conference play. Long Island held St. Francis-PA to just a 32.9% shooting percentage which was the second-lowest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed all season and the lowest mark in 16 games. The Sharks also made 47.1% of their shots which was the best mark in their last 13 games. But Long Island has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after a straight-up win on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a double-digit win on the road. The Sharks have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Long Island won their previous game by a 99-88 score against Bryant but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of the last 6 games after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after winning their last two games by double-digits. The Sharks stay on the road where they are just 3-12 this season with a -9.5 net point differential. They only make 40.4% of their shots away from home. Long Island has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning record at home.
FINAL TAKE: Mount St. Mary’s will be looking to avenge a 74-57 loss at Long Island on January 6th as a 5-point underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 opportunities to avenge a loss on the road where they did not score at least 60 points. The Mountaineers have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. 25* CBB Northeast Conference Game of the Year with the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (306034) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Long Island Sharks (306033). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-18-22 |
St. Peter's +1.5 v. Fairfield |
Top |
70-59 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Saint Peter’s Peacocks (877) plus the point(s) versus the Fairfield Stags (878). THE SITUATION: Saint Peter’s (11-10) has lost two straight games after their 70-61 loss to Iona as a 4.5-point underdog on Tuesday. Fairfield (12-14) has lost four of their last six games after their 74-67 upset loss to Manhattan as a 4.5-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PEACOCKS PLUS THE POINT(S): The Stags could not take care of business against an undermanned Jaspers squad earlier this week — and now they continue their jam-packed schedule this week by playing for the fourth time since Saturday. As it is, Fairfield has failed to cover the point spread 4 of their last 6 games when playing for the second time in three days. The Stags have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after a loss to a conference rival. They do stay at home tonight — but they are just 5-8 on their home court. And while a power ratings analytics model I use ranks them 208th in the nation, that system drops them to 269th in the country when measuring home court performance. Fairfield has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home when favored — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 home games with the Total set in the 120s. Playing every other day for the fourth time tonight is challenging on the shooting legs — and this Stags’ team is very dependent on making baskets since they do not do much to create more scoring chances. Fairfield ranks ninth in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference by rebounding only 25.3% of their missed shots — and they only force turnovers in 16.7% of their opponent’s possessions, ranking ninth in the conference. Furthermore, Fairfield’s defense is middling — they rank only seventh in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Saint Peter’s comes in rested with this being just their second game since last Friday — and this is their first game on the road since January 30th. Led by KC Ndefo, the two-time Defensive Player of the Year in the conference, the Peacocks have the best defense in terms of Adjusted Efficiency in the MAAC. Saint Peter’s usually has a strong defense under head coach Shaheen Holloway — and this season is no exception. The Peacocks lead the conference by forcing turnovers in 21.5% of their opponent’s possessions. They also lead the conference in opponent’s effective field goal percentage with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 45.1% inside the arc and 29.0% from 3-point land, both the best marks in the MAAC. Saint Peter’s also ranks second in the conference by pulling down 31.4% of their missed shots — and they lead the MAAC by nailing 38.3% of their 3-pointers. And this team is 26th in the nation in getting to the free-throw line — and the Stags are 230th in opponent’s free throw rate. There is a lot to like about this Peacocks team moving forward. They have held their last two opponents to 30 and 26 first-half points — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 30 points in the first half in two straight games. They have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 road games when an underdog getting up to six points. Saint Peter’s has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 road games after playing at least three straight games at home.
FINAL TAKE: The Peacocks under Holloway are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games as an underdog — and the Stags have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. 25* CBB Friday ESPNU Game of the Month with the Saint Peter’s Peacocks (877) plus the point(s) versus the Fairfield Stags (878). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-17-22 |
Creighton v. DePaul -1.5 |
Top |
71-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the DePaul Blue Demons (850) minus the point(s) versus the Creighton Bluejays (849). THE SITUATION: DePaul (12-10) has lost two games in a row after their 73-71 upset loss to Butler as a 5-point favorite on Tuesday. Creighton (16-8) won their third straight game with their 86-77 victory against Georgetown as an 11-point favorite on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BLEU DEMONS MINUS THE POINT(S): DePaul may have lost six of their last eight games but they are still playing pretty good basketball this month. They lost to Providence in overtime over the weekend before losing by one possession to the Bulldogs. They upset Xavier on the road last week. They only made 41.3% of their shots against Butler which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. This DePaul team is better than their record — they played seven games without their leading scorer Javon Freeman-Liberty who was out with an injury. He is scoring 20.6 Points-Per-Game after his 20-point effort on Tuesday. The Blue Demons are 9-6 on their home court this season with impressive wins against Seton Hall and the upset machine that is Rutgers. They hold their guests to just 41.7% shooting from the field when playing at home. DePaul has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 home games with the Total set in the 140s. The Blue Demons have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home when favored. They have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games. Creighton made 53.8% of their shots in their victory against the Hoyas — but that was the best shooting effort in their last 12 games. The Bluejays have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning three of their last four games. This is not a good shooting team this season — they only make 31.4% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 290th in the nation. They are also too loose with the basketball as they are turning the ball over in 21.3% of their possessions, ranking 324th in the nation, and it is has been worse in conference play as they are last in the Big East by turning the ball over in 22.0% of their possessions. Creighton is 7-5 on the road but they are getting outscored by -2.0 PPG. They have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 road games against teams with a winning record at home.
FINAL TAKE: DePaul will be motivated to avenge a 60-47 loss at Creighton where they blew a double-digit lead in the second half by scoring only two points over a 12-minute span. But the Blue Demons played that game without Freeman-Liberty who is now back with the team — and they missed 14 of their 17 shots from 3-point land. Back at home, DePaul makes a solid 34.1% of their shots from distance. They get to play the role of spoiler tonight against a Creighton team firmly on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament. 25* CBB Thursday CBS Sports Network Game of the Month with the DePaul Blue Demons (850) minus the point(s) versus the Creighton Bluejays (849). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-17-22 |
76ers +7 v. Bucks |
|
123-120 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (565) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (566). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (34-23) looks to rebound from an embarrassing 135-87 loss to Boston as a 2-point underdog on Tuesday. Milwaukee (31-23) has won five of their last seven games with their 128-119 win against Indiana as a 14-point favorite on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE 76ERS PLUS THE POINTS: Philadelphia may have played their worst game of the season on Tuesday. Their 28.7% field goal percentage was their lowest of the year. And the 56.1% shooting percentage they allowed the Celtics to enjoy was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 43 games. Depth is an issue for this team right now after trading away Seth Curry and Andre Drummond but still await James Harden’s debut with the team as he nurses his hamstring injury. But the Sixers still have Joel Embiid along with Tobias Harris and Tyrese Maxey who can keep them competitive in this game. And if there is one silver lining from a 48-point loss, it is that their star players did not log in heavy minutes. Head coach Doc Rivers played Embiid for less than 27 minutes and Harris less than 28 minutes against the Celtics. Philadelphia has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a point spread loss. The 76ers are also 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a double-digit loss — and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. They go back on the road where they have cord the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight road games as an underdog. Milwaukee nailed 55.8% of their shots against the Pacers on Tuesday which was the best shooting effort in their last 39 contests. But the Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win. Milwaukee has its own depth issues right now with many of their rotational players injured right now including Wesley Matthews, Brook Lopez, and George Hill. The Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record — and the 76ers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or greater. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Philadelphia 76ers (565) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (566). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-16-22 |
Evansville v. Drake OVER 127.5 |
Top |
51-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Evansville Purple Aces (703) and the Drake Bulldogs (704). THE SITUATION: Drake (17-9) is on a three-game losing streak after their 68-59 loss at Bradley as a 1-point underdog on Saturday. Evansville (6-18) has lost two straight and five of their last six games after their 69-62 loss at Southern Illinois as an 11.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs only made 35.7% of their shots on Saturday while missing 10 of their 13 shots from behind the arc in the loss. Drake has played 6 straight Overs after not making more than three shots from behind 3-point range in their last game. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games. And while they have failed to cover the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in three straight games. They return home where they are scoring +3.2 Points-Per-Game above their season average of 74.7 PPG. They lead the Missouri Valley Conference by pulling down 31.1% of their shots in conference play on their home court. Drake has played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total at home against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. They have also played 4 straight home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 120s. Additionally, the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Evansville has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road after a loss on the road to a conference rival. And while they have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 6 straight road games Over the Total after covering the point spread in at least two straight games. This is the Purple Ace’s third game since Thursday — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total when playing their third game in seven days. They stay on the road where they are allowing +5.4 more PPG than their season defensive average with home hosts nailing 49.4% of their shots which is generating 74.2 PPG. Evansville ranks 332nd in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 55.9% away from home with those teams making 38% of their 3-pointers and 55.3% of their shots inside the arc, both those marks rank 316th in the nation. The Over is 6-2-1 in the Purple Aces’ last 9 road games — and they have played 11 of their last 14 road games against teams scoring at least 60% of their games at home. Evansville has also played 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total against winning teams.
FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of Drake’s narrow 60-59 win at Evansville on January 8th. The Bulldogs have allowed their eight opponents to score at least 66 points — and they have played 6 straight Overs when favored at home by 12.5 to 18 points. Evansville has played 8 of their last 12 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 15.5 to 18 points. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Evansville Purple Aces (703) and the Drake Bulldogs (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-15-22 |
Kentucky v. Tennessee -1.5 |
|
63-76 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Tennessee Volunteers (660) minus the point(s) versus the Kentucky Wildcats (659). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (18-6) has won four straight games and seven of their last eight after a 73-64 victory against Vanderbilt as a 10.5-point favorite on Saturday. Kentucky (21-4) has won six games in a row with their 78-57 win against Florida as a 10-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE VOLUNTEERS MINUS THE POINT(S): Tennessee is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a point spread loss. They have also held their last three opponents to no more than 64 points — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after not allowing more than 65 points in their last three games. The Volunteers have the sixth-best defense in terms of Adjusted Efficiency in the nation. They stay at home where they are 13-0 this season with a +20.5 net point differential. They nail 38.1% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home. They have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 home games when favored by up to six points. They have also covered the point spread in five of their last seven games against teams winning at least 60% of their games. Kentucky has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after a point spread win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a point spread cover as a double-digit favorite. During their six-game winning streak, they have won their last three games by double-digits — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after winning at least three games in a row and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after winning three in a row by 10 or more points. They are making 49.1% of their shots this season but that mark drops to a 46.6% clip when playing on the road which contributes to them scoring -7.7 Points-Per-Game in those road games versus their season average — and they allow their home hosts to score +3.4 PPG above their season average. The Wildcats are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games with the Total set in the 140-144.5 point range. Kentucky has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 road games against teams winning at least 60% of their games at home. And in their last 11 games as an underdog, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games.
FINAL TAKE: Kentucky won the first meeting between these two teams on January 15th by a 107-79 score in a game where they made 11 of their 18 (61.1%) of their 3-pointers. The Wildcats only make 31.8% of their 3-pointers on the road, ranking 223rd in the nation — and the Volunteers hold their opponents to just 32.8% shooting on their home court. 10* CBB Kentucky-Tennessee ESPN Special with the Tennessee Volunteers (660) minus the point(s) versus the Kentucky Wildcats (659). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-15-22 |
Northern Iowa v. Illinois State +4.5 |
|
72-70 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Illinois State Redbirds (644) plus the points versus the Northern Iowa Panthers (643). THE SITUATION: Illinois (11-15) has lost six of their last seven games after a 60-57 loss at Indiana State as a 2.5-point underdog on Sunday. Northern Iowa (14-10) had their five-game winning streak snapped in an 85-58 loss at Loyola-Chicago as a 6-point underdog on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE REDBIRDS PLUS THE POINTS: Illinois State made only 33.3% of their shots on Sunday in their worst shooting effort of the season. The Redbirds have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss on the road to a Missouri Valley Conference opponent. They return home where they are 10-4 this season with a +7.6 net point differential. Illinois State makes 46.5% of their shots on their home court which is generating 78.8 Points-Per-Game. Even better, the Redbirds shoot 37.8% from behind the arc when on their home court, ranking 54th best in the nation. They also lead the conference with a 42.7% shooting clip from downtown in their conference home games. The Panthers have struggled in defending the perimeter when playing away from Cedar Falls — they rank 327th in the nation with their opponents nailing 38.4% of their shots in their road games or neutral courts. Illinois State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. A weakness for the Redbirds is their defending their defensive glass — they rank ninth in the conference in defensive rebounding. But this will not likely be an issue when hosting this Panthers team that only rebounds 21.1% of their missed shots, ranking 343rd in the country. Northern Iowa embarrassed themselves on Sunday — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after a loss by 20 or more points. The Panthers have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a loss to a conference opponent. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss — so resiliency is an issue with this team. This is their third game since last Wednesday — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games when playing their third game in seven days. They have a 6-6 record on the road — but they only make 44.9% of their shots which makes their offensive rebounding issues a concern. They also allow their home hosts to make 47.1% of their shots. They have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games when favored. Additionally, Northern Iowa has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games when favored overall — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Illinois State will be looking to avenge a 79-64 loss at Northern Iowa on January 29th — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Underdog of the Month with the Illinois State Redbirds (644) plus the points versus the Northern Iowa Panthers (643). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-14-22 |
Virginia v. Virginia Tech -4.5 |
|
53-62 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (880) minus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (879). THE SITUATION: Virginia Tech (15-10) won their fifth straight game with their 71-59 win against Syracuse as an 8-point favorite on Saturday. Virginia (16-9) has won four games in a row with their 63-53 victory as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE HOKIES MINUS THE POINTS: Virginia Tech beat the Orange despite only making 38.3% of their shots on Saturday in what was the worst shooting effort in their last 14 games. The Hokies are still making 52.1% of their shots in their last five games fueled by them begin on-fire from behind the arc. Virginia Tech had made 66 of their last 124 shots (53.2%) from 3-point range in their previous five games before only making 8 of their 27 shots from behind the arc against Syracuse. Virginia Tech has the top-rated offense in the ACC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They are second in the country in 3-point shooting with a 41.5% shooting percentage which fuels their 56.0 effective field goal percentage for the season, ranking 12th in the nation. They should have success shooting over the Cavaliers’ pack-line defense that ranks 232nd in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 34.8% of their shots from behind the arc. Virginia Tech has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 home games after winning at least four games in a row. They stay at home where they are 9-3 with a +15.5 net Points-Per-Game differential. They make 49.4% of their shots at home — and they hold their guests to just 41.2% shooting which is resulting in only 59.6 PPG. The Hokies have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight home games with the Total set no higher than 129.5. Virginia is just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after a double-digit victory. The Cavaliers have also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 34 games after not allowing more than 55 points in their last contest. Virginia goes back on the road where they are 6-5 this season despite being outscored. This Cavs team once again struggles to score baskets under head coach Tony Bennett — they rank 7th in the ACC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while being last in the conference with a 32.0% shooting mark from behind the arc. But the defense is a surprising concern for a Bennett team. Virginia ranks 7th in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency.
FINAL TAKE: Virginia Tech will be looking to avenge a 54-52 loss at Virginia on January 12th. The Hokies made 7 of their 19 (38.6%) of their shots from behind the arc but spotted the Cavaliers 13 more shots from the charity stripe which resulted in eight net points. Virginia may not get as many calls from the refs on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range. 10* CBB Virginia-Virginia Tech ESPN Special with the Virginia Tech Hokies (880) minus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (879). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-13-22 |
Colorado State +2 v. Boise State |
|
77-74 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 19 m |
Show
|
I have made my calls for my Super Bowl prop bets. I am offering as a free bonus with this CBB play here at Sportscapping. Here is the summary:
Best Bet: Cam Akers Under 82.5 rushing/receiving yards (-120 at DraftKings). I also like Akers under 63.5 rushing yards but prefer this receiving yards included if you can get it. Akers has five catches for 62 yards in three playoff games but that is propped up by one 40-yard gain against the Raiders. Is he 100% with a shoulder injury? Did he come back too soon from his torn Achilles? He is averaging only 2.8 YPC in the postseason and has not topped 55 rushing yards in all three games. And he fumbled twice against Tampa Bay — so it might be Sony Michel who gets the touches if the Rams have the lead in the fourth quarter (Michel had 10 carries versus San Fran). Plus, Darrell Henderson was activated yesterday — and he averaged 4.6 YPC in the regular season. Expect a three-way time-share.
Top Overlay Bet: C.J. Uzomah Under 29.5 receiving yards. While HC Taylor says he is “on track” to play after injuring his knee early against KC, he might not play despite his pronouncements that he is “not missing the biggest game of his life” (he is officially listed as questionable). I mean, why declare him out even if it looks grim (and, to be fair, he did practice on Friday). If he does play, his snaps will likely be limited. The other tight end is Drew Sample who they drafted in the second round a few years ago as a pass catcher from Washington. I would think that Taylor thinks he can get some snaps out of Uzomah, but he will want to use him carefully. Even if Uzomah was 100%, there is still an edge with the Under — while his two full playoff games this year saw more than 29.5 receiving yards, this prop finished Under in 8 of his 15 regular season games when he played the full game.
Long Shot Bet: Tee Higgins to lead all players in receiving yards (+600). Cooper Kupp is the betting favorite, but at underlay value at +120. Ja’Marr Chase is at +400 — but he will probably be covered by Jalen Ramsey. A game script where Joe Burrow throws for a lot of yards with Higgins getting the majority of that production against the Rams’ quarters zone defense is highly plausible scenario.
Thanks, Frank At 4:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Colorado State Rams (857) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (858). THE SITUATION: Colorado State (19-3) has won three in a row and eight of their last ten after their 65-50 win against Fresno State as a 6-point favorite on Friday. Boise State (19-5) has won two in a row and 16 of their last 17 with their 69-63 win against UNLV as an 8.5-point favorite on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RAMS PLUS THE POINTS: This is a good matchup for Colorado State in the first meeting between these Mountain West Conference powers. Boise State can’t shoot a lick — more on that below, but they play great defense and are tough to score on. The Broncos own their defensive glass — they rank third in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound just 21.0% of their missed shots. But this will not be a problem for Niko Medved’s Colorado State team who sacrifice crashing the glass to get back on defense. The Rams only rebound 21.4% of their missed — ranking 342nd in the nation. They only two offensive rebounds in their 15-point win against the Bulldogs on Friday — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not rebounding more than five offensive boards in their last game. Colorado State has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. What the Rams do well is execute on offense without relying on second chances. They rank 19th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They are 13th in the country with their shooting inside the arc and at the free-throw line respectively — and their 37.6% shooting clip from behind the arc is the 23rd best mark in the nation. Colorado State also takes advantage of their scoring opportunities since they rank 12th in the nation with a low turnover rate of just 14.9% — and this will frustrate a Broncos team that is fourth in the Mountain West in forcing turnovers. The Rams are second in the conference in that category — they force turnovers in 20.1% of their opponent’s possessions. These characteristics travel — while Colorado State ranks 54th in the nation in one of the computer models I use, that ranking elevates to 26th in the nation when focusing only on how teams perform in true road games. The Rams have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Boise State completes their three-game homestand this afternoon where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games (they were favored in all four of those games). They have not covered the point spread in 16 of their last 20 home games with the Total set in the 130-134.5 point range including these last seven circumstances. While the Broncos rank 32nd in the nation in the computer model referenced earlier, that ranking drops to 65th in the country when only evaluating home performances. Boise State has not covered the point spread in three straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after winning at least two games in a row at home despite not covering the point spread in either game. The Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after winning at least four of their last five games. And while this is their second game since last Saturday, they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing their second game in the last eight days.
FINAL TAKE: About that Boise State shooting — the Broncos rank 215th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 49.1% dragged down by their 31.9% clip from behind the arc that ranks 261st in the nation (and their 3-point shooting drops to a 30.5% clip when playing at home, ranking 300th in the country). Boise State also makes only 63.9% of their free throws at home, ranking 342nd in the country. No wonder the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games as a favorite. 10* CBB Colorado State-Boise State FS1-TV Special with the Colorado State Rams (857) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (858). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-12-22 |
CS-Northridge v. CS Bakersfield OVER 126 |
|
71-65 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cal-State Northridge Matadors (815) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (816). THE SITUATION: Cal-State Northridge (6-16) ended an eight-game losing streak with an 83-78 upset win at Cal-Poly SLO in double overtime as a 3.5-point underdog on Thursday. Cal-State Bakersfield (6-12) has lost six games in a row after their 74-62 loss to UC Santa Barbara as a 3-point underdog on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Expect a higher-scoring game between these two teams that have the 10th and 8th ranked defenses in terms of Adjusted Efficiency in the Big West Conference. Cal-State Northridge went into overtime with the Mustangs on Thursday with the score tied at 59-59 — they held Cal-Poly SLO to just 24 points in the first half. The Matadors have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 24 points in the first half of their last game. Cal-State Northridge has also played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a road win against a conference rival. Additionally, the Matadors have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after an upset win against a Big West foe — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. They are playing higher-scoring games of late. Their 68.0 Points-Per-Game scoring average in their last five games is +5.7 PPG above their season average. On defense, they have allowed their last five opponents to make 47.5% of their shots which helps explain why they are allowing +5.1 PPG above their season of 70.9 PPG. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total — and they have played 14 of their last 19 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Cal-State Bakersfield only made 36.2% of their shots on Thursday in their loss to Gauchos. The Roadrunners have played 4 straight Overs after a loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Cal-State Bakersfield has played 6 straight overs when playing at home after a loss to a conference opponent — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after losing at least two in a row to Big West opponents. They stay at home where they are scoring +6.2 PPG above their 65.4 PPG season average. The Roadrunners have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage no higher than 40% on the road. Cal-State Bakersfield has also played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total with the Total set no higher than 129.5.
FINAL TAKE: Cal-State Northridge has played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total in February — and they have played 4 straight Overs as an underdog. 20* CBB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Cal-State Northridge Matadors (815) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (816). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-12-22 |
Cincinnati v. Tulsa +2.5 |
Top |
77-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (776) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bearcats (775). THE SITUATION: Tulsa (7-15) has lost three in a row after their 73-71 upset loss to East Carolina as a 7-point favorite on Tuesday. Cincinnati (16-7) has won two of their last three contests with their 70-59 win at South Florida as a 7-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN HURRICANE PLUS THE POINTS: Tulsa has lost ten of their last eleven games — but they have been a very tough out on their home court while not getting many breaks in close games. Besides losing to the Pirates by just a basket during this rough stretch, they also lost at home to Houston and Memphis by just two points — and they lost at home to SMU and Temple by just five points apiece. Earlier in the season. Tulsa upset Rhode Island on their home court. The Golden Hurricane allowed East Carolina to nail 50.9% of their shots after not allowing their last three opponents to make more than 41.3% of their shots. Tulsa has been playing better on the defensive end of the court — they held those three previous opponents to just 34.7% shooting. The Golden Hurricane have bounced back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after an upset loss. They have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 home games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, Tulsa has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 home games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Tulsa has covered the point spread in 6 straight home games after losing three games in a row. And while they have not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not covering the point spread in their last two games. The Golden Hurricane are just 6-7 on their home court but they are outscoring their guests by +6.7 Points-Per-Game. Tulsa has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 home games when an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight home games as a dog getting up to three points. Cincinnati may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after a double-digit loss. The Bearcats are also 13-38-3 ATS in their last 54 games after a straight-up win — and they are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after a point spread victory. Now they stay on the road where they are only making 38.9% of their shots. Cincinnati can’t shoot the basketball — they rank 266th in the nation in effective field goal percentage with a 47.8% clip while ranking no higher than 255th in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. The Bearcats are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games on the road — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games when favored. Cincinnati has failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games with the Total set in the 130s — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: Tulsa will be motivated to avenge a 90-69 loss at Cincinnati as a 7.5-point favorite on January 20th. The Bearcats nailed 16 of their 29 shots from 3-point range in that game — but they are not likely to come close to repeating that 55.2% clip from downtown on the road where they make just 33.3% of their 3-pointers. The Golden Hurricane has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games when avenging a loss. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Underdog of the Month with the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (776) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bearcats (775). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-11-22 |
Fresno State +6 v. Colorado State |
|
50-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (893) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (894). THE SITUATION: Fresno State (18-7) looks to rebound from a 61-59 upset loss at home to Wyoming as a 4-point favorite on Sunday. Colorado State (18-3) has won two in a row after their 82-72 win at Nevada as a 6-point favorite on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS PLUS THE POINTS: Fresno State should respond with a strong effort tonight. They have are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 33 of their last 51 games after an upset loss as a home favorite including their last four games after those circumstances. Now they go on the road where they are 7-5 this season — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after a loss at home. Fresno State has been playing outstanding defense — they rank 24th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and they have held their last five opponents to just 39.1% shooting which is resulting in 57.6 Points-Per-Game. They have not allowed more than 61 points in three straight games and four of their last five games — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 65 points in three straight games. Colorado State may be 11-1 on their home court but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games when favored. They are making 49.3% of their shots which is generating 77.5 PPG this season — but in their last five games, they are only shooting 46.4% from the field which has resulted in their scoring average dropping by -3.7 PPG. Colorado State is experiencing a decline on defense as well. They allow their opponents to make 42.9% of their shots which results in 67.4 PPG — but in their last five games, they are allowing their opponents to shoot 46.5% from the field which is generating +6.0 more PPG for these opponents.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado State ranks fifth in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank sixth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against teams winning at least 60% of their games. Fresno State ranks ahead of the Rams in both metrics — they are second in the MWC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and fourth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. 10* CBB Fresno State-Colorado State CBS Sports Network Special with the Fresno State Bulldogs (893) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (894). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-11-22 |
St Bonaventure v. St. Louis -5 |
|
68-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Saint Louis Billikens (890) minus the points versus the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (889). THE SITUATION: Saint Louis (17-6) has won six straight games after their 75-57 victory at LaSalle as a 7.5-point favorite on Tuesday. St. Bonaventure (13-7) snapped a two-game losing streak with their 76-51 victory against Fordham as a 12.5-point favorite on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BILLIKENS MINUS THE POINTS: Saint Louis should build off their momentum. They have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win. They have covered the point spread in their last four games — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 home games after covering the point spread in at least two games. They return home where they are 11-3 this season with an average winning margin of +17.5 Points-Per-Game. They are making 47.5% of their shots at home — and they are holding their opponents to just 38.1% shooting which is resulting in just 62.0 PPG. The Billikens have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 home games when favored or listed as a pick ‘em. Saint Louis ranks third in the Atlantic 10 Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 41.9% is second-best in conference play. The Billikens also rank second in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They rank 13th in the nation by pulling down 35.6% of their missed shots — and they should have success getting second-chance scoring opportunities against this Bonnies team that ranks ninth in the conference by allowing their opponents to pull down 29.3% of their misses. St. Bonaventure held the Rams to just 31.7% shooting on Tuesday which was the best defensive effort in their last 15 games. But the Bonnies have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a win by 10 or more points. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a point spread loss. They go back on the road where they are 5-5 but getting outscored by -4.7 Points-Per-Game. They only make 41.8% of their shots on the road which results in just 63.9 PPG. They have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 road games with the Total set in the 130s. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home.
FINAL TAKE: This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. St. Bonaventure has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games as an underdog. Saint Louis has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when favored. 10* CBB St. Bonaventure-Saint Louis ESPN2 Special with the Saint Louis Billikens (890) minus the points versus the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (889). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-11-22 |
Oakland v. Robert Morris +7 |
|
71-68 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Robert Morris Colonials (880) minus the points versus the Oakland Grizzlies (879). THE SITUATION: Robert Morris (6-18) has lost two of their last three games after their 79-62 loss to Detroit as a 2.5-point underdog. Oakland (16-8) has lost three in a row after their 78-71 upset loss at Youngstown State as a 4-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE COLONIALS PLUS THE POINTS: Oakland is in a tailspin right now — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Now they complete their disastrous four-game road trip tonight. While they do have a 9-8 record on the road, they have been outscored in those games overall — and they are only making 40.7% of their shots on the road. The Grizzlies have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games when favored. One of the flaws of this Oakland team is they give up too many offensive rebounds — they rank 337th in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 33.2% of their missed shots. Robert Morris is a solid team on the glass — they are rebounding 29.9% of their shots in Horizon League play. The Colonials allows the Titans to make 50.9% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. Robert Morris has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a loss to a conference opponent. They are also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread loss. And in their last 41 games when playing their third game in seven days, the Colonials have covered the point spread in 28 of these contests. Robert Morris is only 4-7 at home — but they are outscoring their guests by +3.5 Points-Per-Game. They make a healthy 47.0% of their shots on their home court — and they hold the visitors to just 41.4% shooting. The Colonials defense should keep them in this game. Robert Morris has held their last five opponents to 40.6% shooting which is resulting in just 64.2 PPG. They are second in the Horizon League in opponent’s field goal percentage inside the arc.
FINAL TAKE: Oakland won the first meeting between these two teams by a 79-61 score as a 12-point favorite playing on their home court. But the Grizzlies have since failed to cover the point spread in their last 5 games when favored. 10* CBB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Robert Morris Colonials (880) minus the points versus the Oakland Grizzlies (879). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-11-22 |
Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee OVER 146.5 |
Top |
57-60 |
Loss |
-108 |
0 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wright State Raiders (881) and the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (882). THE SITUATION: Wright State (15-10) has won four straight games after their 79-62 win at Wisconsin-Green Bay as an 8-point favorite on Wednesday. Wisconsin-Milwaukee (7-18) has lost six in a row after their 75-39 loss to Northern Kentucky as a 2.5-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Panthers shot a season-low 27.3% from the field against the Norse on Wednesday. They should shoot much better tonight as they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after not scoring at least 50 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not making more than 33% of their shots in their last game. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight Overs after a loss by 20 or more points. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They stay at home where they make a modest — but certainly much better than on Wednesday — 44% from the field which is generating 68.7 Points-Per-Game.
|
02-10-22 |
Stanford v. Oregon -8.5 |
Top |
60-68 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Oregon Ducks (838) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (837). THE SITUATION: Oregon (15-7) has won three straight games and nine of their last ten after their 80-77 win at Utah as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. Stanford (14-9) has lost three of their last five games after their 79-70 loss to UCLA as a 7.5-point underdog on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE DUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: It may have taken some time for this Oregon team to develop some chemistry and establish an identity — but they are starting to roll now. Head coach Dana Altman has assembled a very intriguing roster with four former top-100 recruits at center and four ball-handling two-way guards. Altman can do a lot with this group, and his defenses are at their best when he has rim protectors. And Altman’s teams are always good on offense — this Ducks team leads the Pac-12 with an effective field goal percentage of 53.6% fueled by ranking second in the conference in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. Oregon should continue to feed off its momentum. They have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a win on the road against a Pac-12 rival — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a win on the road by three points or less. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. And in their last 6 games after winning at least four or five of their last six games, they have covered the point spread 5 times. They only made 43.9% of their shots against the Utes which was the second-worst shooting effort in their last six games. Now after playing their last two games on the road, they return home where they are 9-3 this season with a +14.1 net point differential. They make 50.9% of their shots on their home court which is generating 78.9 Points-Per-Game. They also hold their guests to 40.4% shooting — and they have held their last five opponents to just 38.1% shooting. Oregon has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 home games when favored by 6.5 to 9 points. The Ducks have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Stanford shot 53.7% from the field in their loss to the Bruins which was the best shooting effort in their last 11 games. But now after playing their last four games at home, they go back on the road where they are 4-6 this season with a -7.7 net point differential. The Cardinal only makes 42.5% of their shots on the road which is resulting just 62.7 PPG. Stanford is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games on the road — and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Cardinal has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games with the Total set in the 135-139.5 point range. Stanford has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Oregon will be motivated to avenge a 72-69 loss at Stanford in a pick ‘em contest on December 12th — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB Thursday ESPN2 Game of the Month with the Oregon Ducks (838) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (837). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-10-22 |
Georgia State v. Coastal Carolina +2 |
|
61-50 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (784) plus the point(s) versus the Georgia State Panthers (783). THE SITUATION: Coastal Carolina (12-10) has lost two straight games after their 69-64 loss at Texas State as a 4.5-point underdog on Saturday. Georgia State (9-10) has won three of their last four games with their 69-62 win against South Alabama as a 3-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CHANTICLEERS PLUS THE POINTS: Coastal Carolina should respond with a strong effort tonight. They have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread setback. They return home where they are 9-4 this season with an +16.9 net point differential. They are making 48.6% of their shots on their home court which is generating 79.8 Points-Per-Game. They are also holding their guests to just 36.9% shooting which is resulting in just 62.9 PPG. Coastal Carolina has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog including an upset victory against South Carolina — and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog in all situations. They have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against winning teams. The Chanticleers are 30th in the nation by pulling down 34.0% of their missed shots. They also lead the Sun Belt Conference in 3-point shooting and 3-point shooting defense — and they now host a Panthers team that is last in the conference in 3-point shooting and 3-point defense. Georgia State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games on the road after a win on their home court. The Panthers have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win. They go back on the road where they are 4-6 despite making just 39.2% of their shots in these games — and they allow their home hosts to nail 47.5% of their shots. This team can’t shoot the basketball — it is the one area holding them back the most. They rank 340th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.6% — their 42.8% shooting inside the arc, ranking 351st in the country — is holding them back. Georgia State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better at home. Furthermore, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when favored — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Georgia State will want to avenge a 72-68 upset loss at home in overtime as a 5-point favorite against the Chanticleers on January 22nd — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss at home. Don’t be surprised if Coastal Carolina pulls the upset again — but take the points for some insurance. 10* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (784) plus the point(s) versus the Georgia State Panthers (783). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-09-22 |
Xavier v. Seton Hall UNDER 141.5 |
Top |
71-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Xavier Musketeers (701) and the Seton Hall Pirates (702). THE SITUATION: Xavier (16-6) had their two-game winning streak snapped with their 69-65 upset loss to DePaul as a 13.5-point favorite on Saturday. Seton Hall (14-7) has won two games in a row with their 74-55 victory against Creighton as a 5-point favorite on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pirates shot 49.1% from the field on Friday against the Bluejays in what was the best shooting effort in their last seven games. Seton Hall has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They held Creighton to just 16 points in the first half after Georgetown to only 28 points in the first half in their last game. The Pirates have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 30 points in the first half in two straight games. Head coach Kevin Willard’s team ranks 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. In their last five games, they are limiting their opponents to just 37.1% shooting which is resulting in only 67.2 Points-Per-Game — a -8.7 PPG drop from their season defensive average. At home, Seton Hall holds their opponents to just 39.5% shooting which is resulting in just 65.7 PPG. They have played 11 of their last 16 home games Under the Total when favored. They have played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total overall when the favorite — and they have played 4 straight Unders against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Xavier allowed the Blue Demons to mark 47.5% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. The Musketeers have played 22 of their last 31 games on the road Under the Total after a loss by six points or less. Xavier has also played 5 straight Unders after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Musketeers have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while Xavier has only covered the point spread once in their last eight games, they have then played 33 of their last 49 games Under the Total on the road after failing to car the point spread in at least five or six of their last seven games. Xavier has the 43rd best defense in the nation as measured by Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have held their last five opponents to 42.6% shooting which has resulted in only 66.6 PPG — a -6.6 PPG drop from their defensive season average. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog. And in their last 4 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games, they have played all 4 games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Xavier has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and Seton Hall has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with the Total in the 140s. 25* CBB Wednesday FS1-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Xavier Musketeers (701) and the Seton Hall Pirates (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-08-22 |
Butler v. Creighton -7 |
|
52-54 |
Loss |
-106 |
1 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Creighton Bluejays (658) minus the points versus the Butler Bulldogs (657). THE SITUATION: Creighton (13-8) has lost three of their last four games after their 74-55 loss at Seton Hall as a 5-point underdog on Friday. Butler (13-8) has lost two in a row and six of their last eight games with their 75-72 loss to St. John’s in a pick ‘em contest on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUEJAYS MINUS THE POINTS: Creighton made only 36.2% of their shots against the Pirates on Friday which was the second-lowest field goal percentage in their last seven games. They also allowed Seton Hall to shoot 49.1% from the field in what was the worst defensive effort in their last 16 games. The Bluejays should play better tonight as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Creighton has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a double-digit loss. And in their last 12 games after losing two of their last three games, the Bluejays have covered the point spread in 10 of these contests. Creighton should play better on defense tonight — they rank second in the Big East and 40th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank ninth in the nation by limiting their opponents to just a 42.6% shooting percentage inside the arc. They return home where they limit their opponents to just 37.3% shooting which is generating only 60.7 Points-Per-Game. The Bluejays have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. Butler made 51.8% of their shots on Saturday in their narrow loss to the Red Storm which was the best shooting mark in their last 16 games. This is the Bulldogs’ third game since last Wednesday — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games when playing their third game in seven days. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after losing two of their last three games. They go back on the road where they are just 2-7 this season — and they rank 336th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of just 43.5% when they are playing away from home. Butler has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games when an underdog. And in their last 9 games with the Total set in the 120s, the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread 6 times.
FINAL TAKE: Creighton will be looking to avenge a 72-55 loss at Butler on January 26th as a 2.5-point favorite in a game where the Bluejays made only 2 of their 22 shots from behind the arc. Back at home, Creighton is making 36.4% of their 3-pointers in Big East play. The Bluejays have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games when playing with revenge. They have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games when avenging an upset loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 10* CBB Butler-Creighton CBS Sports Network Special with the Creighton Bluejays (658) minus the points versus the Butler Bulldogs (657). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-08-22 |
Pacers v. Hawks OVER 226.5 |
|
112-133 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (505) and the Atlanta Hawks (506). THE SITUATION: Indiana (19-36) has lost three straight games after their 98-85 loss at Cleveland as a 7-point underdog on Sunday. Atlanta (25-28) has lost three of their last four games after their 103-94 upset loss at Dallas as a 2-point favorite on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pacers only made 37.3% of their shots on Sunday against the Cavaliers which was the lowest shooting effort in their last 23 games. They also held Cleveland to just 40.5% shooting which was the best defensive performance in their last 14 contests. The Over is 4-1-1 in Indiana’s last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a loss by 10 or more points. The Pacers have been playing more Overs lately given injuries that are forcing them to play more small-ball. Center Myles Turner remains out with an injury — and big man Isaiah Jackson is questionable with an ankle injury. Damontas Sabonis did return to the court on Sunday to give head coach Rick Carlisle another big man — but he was traded to the Sacramento Kings today leaving the Pacers thin upfront once again. Indiana has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Atlanta only made 38.9% of their shots on Sunday against the Mavericks which was the worst shooting effort in their last 13 games. The Hawks have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Atlanta returns home where they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Big man John Collins has been upgraded to probable with his heel injury — and the Pacers lack the players to slow him down in the paint. The Over is 15-5-1 in the Hawks’ last 21 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 straight Overs when facing each other — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when Atlanta is hosting the game. The Hawks won the last meeting between these teams on December 1st by a 114-111 score as a 2-point underdog — and the Pacers have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total when avenging a same-season loss this season including six of their last opportunities for revenge from a loss by three points or less. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (505) and the Atlanta Hawks (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-07-22 |
Southern Utah v. Montana OVER 140.5 |
Top |
67-78 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (905) and the Montana Grizzlies (906). THE SITUATION: Southern Utah (15-6) is on a four-game winning streak after their 84-72 victory against Eastern Washington as a 7-point favorite on Saturday. Montana (15-8) has lost two games in a row after their 86-63 upset loss at Idaho State as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Thunderbirds have the top-rated offense in terms of Adjusted Efficiency in the Big Sky. They have scored at 75 points in eight straight games while reaching at least 81 points in six of those contests. They are scoring 81.2 Points-Per-Game in their last five games. They have played 25 of their last 36 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Southern Utah has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win at home by double-digits. Their triumph against the Eagles was preceded by a 16-point victory against Idaho last Thursday — and the Thunderbirds have played 6 straight Overs after winning their last two games at home by 10 or more points. They have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing their third game in seven days on the road. Now after playing their last three games at home, Southern Utah goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing their last three games at home. They are scoring 75.0 PPG on the road — but they are allowing 78.4 PPG in those nine games. The Thunderbirds have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Furthermore, Southern Utah has played 8 of their last 11 road games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Montana has allowed 83.0 PPG in their last two games. They have played 35 of their last 51 games Over the Total after an upset win against a conference rival. They return home where they are a perfect 11-0 while making 48.6% of their shots which is generating 79.0 PPG. The Grizzlies have played 24 of their last 34 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5 point range. They have also played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games. Montana will likely give the Thunderbirds plenty of opportunities at the charity stripe tonight — they rank 333rd in the nation in putting their opponents on the free-throw line. Southern Utah is 53rd in the nation in getting to the free-throw line.
FINAL TAKE: Southern Utah has played 8 of their last 10 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and Montana has played 14 of their last 19 home games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (905) and the Montana Grizzlies (906). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-06-22 |
Bucks v. Clippers +4.5 |
|
137-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Clippers (556) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (555). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (27-27) has won four of their last six games after their 111-110 win against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 3.5-point favorite on Thursday. Milwaukee (33-21) has won six of their last eight games after their 137-108 victory at Portland as a 10.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CLIPPERS PLUS THE POINTS: Ty Lue is performing one of the best coaching jobs in the NBA this season getting the most of out his roster despite missing Kawhi Leonard all season and Paul George for over half the season. The team improved their roster at least in the short term with their trade with Portland on Sunday. Los Angeles acquired Norman Powell and Robert Covington for Eric Bledsoe, Keon Johnson, and Justice Winslow. Bledsoe has underperformed this season while Johnson and Winslow are benchwarmers — so getting Powell into the mix is an upgrade while Covington is a veteran who might play better in the new environment as a 3-and-D rotational player. The Clippers have covered the point spread in 26 of their last 37 home games with the Total set at 220 or higher. Los Angeles has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games as a dog getting up to six points. Milwaukee made 53.3% of their shots on Saturday which was the best shooting effort in their last 16 games. But the Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Milwaukee has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit victory. And in their last 7 games played without rest, the Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these games. Milwaukee stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 13 games when favored, the Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of these games.
FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the Clippers — and they have failed to cover the point spread in their last 4 trips to Los Angeles to play the Clippers. 10* NBA Sunday Late Show Bailout with the Los Angeles Clippers (556) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (555). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-06-22 |
Hawks v. Mavs OVER 222 |
|
94-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (549) and the Dallas Mavericks (550). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (25-27) has lost two of their last three games after their 125-114 loss at Toronto as a 3-point underdog on Friday. Dallas (30-23) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 107-98 win against Philadelphia as a 1.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Ignore the season-long Under team trends for the Dallas Mavericks tonight. After a stretch where they played 13 of 14 games Under the Total, Dallas has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and there are fundamental reasons why they are playing higher-scoring games. Both of the teams tonight are dealing with injuries — and that should produce more playing time for lineups that will lead to higher-scoring games. The Mavericks have been without Tim Hardaway, Jr. in the last five games, and Kristaps Porzingis has missed the last three games after only playing 11 minutes in their game against the Pacers two Saturdays ago. These absences have meant that Jason Kidd has given more playing time to Reggie Bullock — a good offensive player with limitations on defense. Bullock has averaged 18.2 Points-Per-Game in the five games since the Hardaway injury while playing just under 31 minutes per game. Dallas has seen at least 234 combined points scored in three of their last four games. In Bullock’s last two games, he has averaged 21.5 PPG while playing 36 and 38 minutes. Additionally, Maxi Kleber has also been declared out (after being listed as questionable earlier today) with the knee injury that kept him out of Friday’s game against the 76ers. The Mavericks will miss his defensive presence inside — Philadelphia made 51.4% of their shots against Dallas which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. Dallas has stepped up their offensive efforts with Bullock getting more playing time as well. They have an Offensive Rating of 122.3 in their last five games while scoring 132 points on two separate occasions. Luka Doncic still leads the way for this team — he poured in 33 points in the victory against the Sixers. Atlanta may be without John Collins, Danilo Gallinari, and Lou Williams tonight who are all listed as questionable. If Collins cannot play, DeAndre Hunter will be inserted into the starting lineup which means more small-ball for the Hawks — and that lends itself to higher-scoring games. Atlanta does have Bogdan Bogdanovic back in the mix to complement Trae Young in the offensive attack. The Hawks are making 49.7% of their shots in their last five games which are generating 115.0 Points-Per-Game. Atlanta is second in the NBA with an Offensive Rating of 113.4 — but their underwhelming play this year can be blamed on their decline at the other end of the court where they rank 27th with a Defensive Rating of 107.2. The Hawks have played 4 straight Overs after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread loss. Atlanta has also played 14 of their last 17 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home.
FINAL TAKE: The Hawks have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total as an underdog — and the Mavericks have played 4 straight Overs as a favorite. 10* NBA Atlanta-Dallas ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (549) and the Dallas Mavericks (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-06-22 |
Minnesota v. Iowa OVER 147.5 |
Top |
59-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Golden Gophers (861) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (862). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (11-8) has lost three games in a row after their 88-73 loss to Purdue as an 11-point underdog on Wednesday. Iowa (14-7) has lost three of their last four games after their 90-86 upset loss in double-overtime at Penn State as a 4.5-point favorite on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Ignore the final combined score in the Hawkeyes’ loss to the Nittany Lions as the game went into overtime tied at a low score of 66-66. Iowa made only 35.1% of their shots in that game, their third-lowest field goal percentage of the season. The Hawkeyes have been cold with their shooting as of late as they have not made more than 40.7% of their shots in four straight games. But styles and opponents make fights — Iowa has played Penn State twice over that span who do everything they can for their games to devolve into rock fights. The other two games Iowa has played were against stout defensive teams in Purdue and Rutgers. The Hawkeyes still score 82.8 Points-Per-Game which is the sixth-highest mark in the nation — and they rank seventh in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. I expect the Regression Gods to make an appearance to help see more of their shots fall. The extended time off will help — Iowa has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. This team wants to play at a fast pace — they rank seventh in the nation by averaging just 15.2 seconds per possession. They return home where they make 47.6% of their shots which helps them generate 88.8 PPG. The Over is 24-9-1 in the Hawkeyes’ last 34 games at home — and they have played 7 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Iowa has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Over is 16-5-1 in their last 22 games when favored. In theory, Minnesota will want to slow the pace — but, in practice, this will be difficult to accomplish if and when the Hawkeyes take a comfortable lead. The Golden Gophers are last in the Big Ten in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 54.5% is also last in the conference. Minnesota allowed the Boilermakers to make 55.6% of their shots on Wednesday — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total. They go back on the road where they are 5-3 this season — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road. The Golden Gophers have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Minnesota has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Additionally, the Golden Gophers have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Iowa will not have head coach Fran McCaffrey on the sideline today as he is in COVID quarantine but that should have much impact on today’s game (and the players may shoot the ball better without the hothead constantly screaming at them). Minnesota will be looking to avenge an 81-71 loss at home to the Hawkeyes on January 16th. The Gophers have palled 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 75 points including playing five of these six circumstances this season. Minnesota will be sped up in this one by Iowa, who should hold a comfortable lead — and this dynamic should produce our Over. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Golden Gophers (861) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (862). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-06-22 |
Loyola-Chicago -1.5 v. Missouri State |
|
71-62 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (845) minus the point(s) versus the Missouri State Bears (846). THE SITUATION: Loyola-Chicago (17-4) has won three of their last four games after their 78-64 win against Illinois State as a 14.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Missouri State (17-7) has won six of their last seven games with their 69-54 win at Southern Illinois as a 2-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RAMBLERS MINUS THE POINT(S): Loyola-Chicago should build off their momentum this afternoon as they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games after a double-digit win against a conference opponent. And while they have not covered the point spread in their last two games, the Ramblers have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after not covering the spread in their last two games. Loyola-Chicago ranks eighth in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.3% — they rank in the top-22 in the country in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. The Ramblers also sport the best Adjusted Defensive Efficiency mark in the Missouri Valley Conference. They go on the road where they are 7-2 this season. They hold their home hosts to just 40.2% shooting which is resulting in just 60.0 Points-Per-Game. Loyola-Chicago is 9-3-4 ATS in their last 16 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 road games in conference play. The Ramblers are also 8-3-3 ATS in their last 14 road games when favored. Missouri State can live-or-die by their shooting since they rank just 257th in getting to the free-throw line and they only pull down 25.7% of their missed shots, ranking 259th in the nation. The Bears come off when of their better games of the season after making 54.3% of their shots and limiting the Salukis to just 36.2% shooting. Both those marks were the best in their last four games. They return home where they are 9-3 this season — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against teams winning at least 60% of their games on the road. Missouri State has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight home games as an underdog. Furthermore, the Bears are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games — and they are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Loyola-Chicago will be looking to avenge a 79-69 upset loss at home to Missouri State on January 22nd. The Ramblers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games when playing with revenge — and they have won their last two games against the Bears in Springfield. 10* CBB Loyola-Missouri State ESPN Special with the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (845) minus the point(s) versus the Missouri State Bears (846). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-05-22 |
Eastern Washington +7.5 v. Southern Utah |
Top |
72-84 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Eastern Washington Eagles (813) plus the points versus the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (814). THE SITUATION: Eastern Washington (11-11) has lost three in a row and four of their last five games after their 90-84 loss at Weber State as an 11-point underdog on Monday. Southern Utah (14-6) has won three straight games and five of their last six contests with their 75-59 victory against Idaho as a 15-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE EAGLES PLUS THE POINTS: Eastern Washington gave Kansas a scare in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament last season — but with every player who scored a point or pulled down a rebound in that game now gone, this was an expected rebuilding season for the program. Head coach Shantay Legman’s also left to rebuild the Portland program so assistant coach Dave Riley was given the reigns of the team. The 32-year-old served on the coaching staff here for ten years — and he has pretty much kept the systems and philosophies that got them to the Big Dance last season. Riley was also able to snag some key transfers to re-inject the roster with talent. Eastern Washington proved that they were still a handful to deal with after upsetting a Washington State team early in the season that currently ranks 32nd in the nation in the KenPom rankings. They are on a losing streak right now — but their four most recent losses were all settled by six points or less. They allowed the Wildcats to make 53.7% of their shots on Monday which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last four games. The Eagles are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a loss to a Big Sky opponent. They have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. They stay on the road where they are 7-8 this season — but they are 36-14-1 ATS in their last 51 games on the road including covering the point spread in twelve of their last fourteen road games this season. This team continues to be road warriors under Riley’s leadership — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 road games as an underdog. Eastern Washington has also covered the point spread in 22 of their last 26 road games against teams with a winning record at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight road games with the Total set in the 150s. This Eastern Washington team is once again a good shooting team from deep. They are third in the Big Sky by nailing 37.1% of their 3-pointers. They should have success shooting from behind the arc against this Thunderbirds team that is ninth in the conference by allowing their opponents to make 36.8% of their 3-pointers — and they have been even worse in this department when playing at home with their opponents making 39.0% of their 3-pointers. The Eagles play good perimeter defense by holding their opponents to just 33.0% 3-point shooting, the second-best defensive mark in the conference. Eastern Washington also leads the Big Sky by limiting their opponents to pull down just 20.6% of their missed shots — this should frustrate their home hosts who lead the conference in offensive rebounding. Southern Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win. The Thunderbirds are 9-2 on their home court — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when playing at home. Southern Utah has also failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 26 home games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Thunderbirds have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when favored — and they host an Eagles squad that has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Southern Utah did win the first meeting between these two teams by an 89-76 score on December 2nd — but Eastern Washington has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Underdog of the Year with the Eastern Washington Eagles (813) plus the points versus the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (814). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-05-22 |
George Mason v. La Salle OVER 136.5 |
Top |
78-83 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (651) and the LaSalle Explorers (652). THE SITUATION: George Mason (11-8) had their four-game winning streak snapped in a 92-90 upset loss to Saint Louis as a 1.5-point favorite on Wednesday. LaSalle (6-13) is on a five-game losing streak after their 89-87 loss at George Washington as a 1-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Patriots are one of the best shooting teams in the nation. They are top-34 in the country in both 2-point and 3-point shooting — and their effective field goal percentage of 55.2% is 20th best in the nation. They only made 45.6% of their shots on Wednesday in their loss to the Billikens which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games — they had made at least 51% of their shots in their previous three games. George Mason has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Patriots have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. Now they go back on the road where their defense does wane a bit. The 73.3 Points-Per-Game they allow away from home is +6.0 PPG above their season average — and they allow their opponents to make 44.3% of their shots on the road as compared to the 41.6% of their shots they allow overall. George Mason has played 28 of their last 38 road games Over the Total — and they have played 15 of their last 16 road games Over the Total with the number in the 130s. Furthermore, the Patriots have played 19 of their last 26 road games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. LaSalle is just 5-6 at home — and they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Over the Total at home with the Total in the 130s. They rank 10th in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have allowed at least 77 points in their last three games with all three of those contests seeing at least 146 combined points. The Explorers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 75 points in three straight games. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread loss. And in their last 12 games when they have lost at least three in a row, LaSalle has played 10 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Explorers have played 4 straight Overs against teams with a winning record — and George Mason has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 20-40% range. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (651) and the LaSalle Explorers (652). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-05-22 |
Mercer v. Chattanooga -11 |
|
68-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Chattanooga Mocs (608) minus the points versus the Mercer Bears (607). THE SITUATION: Chattanooga (18-5) had their five-game winning streak snapped with an 80-72 upset loss at Samford as a 7-point favorite on Wednesday. Mercer (12-10) ended their two-game losing streak with a 67-62 upset win against Wofford as a 4-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MOCS MINUS THE POINTS: Chattanooga should respond with a big effort back on their home court this afternoon. They are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after a loss to a conference rival. Additionally, Chattanooga is 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. They return home where they are 9-1 this season with a +21.8 net point differential. They are making 49.3% of their shots at home which is generating 80.0 Points-Per-Game — and they are holding their guests to just 37.3% shooting. Chattanooga has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games when favored. The Mocs are a powerful scoring team that ranks 32nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They pull down 35.1% of their missed shots, ranking 18th in the country. Mercer is 278th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They will likely give Chattanooga plenty of scoring opportunities when considering they turn the ball over in 20.5% of their possessions in conference play — last in the Southern Conference. The Bears have played seven straight Unders after their upset win on Monday — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing at least two straight Unders. They go back on the road where they are 4-8 this season. They only make 42.8% of their shots on the road — but they allow their home hosts to shoot 46.8% from the field. Mercer has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog. 10* CBB Mercer-Chattanooga ESPNU Special with the Chattanooga Mocs (608) minus the points versus the Mercer Bears (607). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-04-22 |
Bulls v. Pacers OVER 230 |
Top |
122-115 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (515) and the Indiana Pacers (516). THE SITUATION: Chicago (32-19) had their two-game winning streak snapped with their 127-120 loss at Toronto as a 4.5-point underdog last night. Indiana (19-34) has lost five of their last seven games with their 119-118 upset loss to Orlando as a 3.5-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Injuries have significantly impacted both teams — and the result will be mostly small-ball tonight between two teams that playing higher-scoring games given the attrition that both teams are dealing with right now. Interestingly, the oddsmakers initially set the Total at 232.5 — about six points higher than any Pacers game this season. The market has considered this lunacy and bet it down a few points. But the line was set that high for a reason. Head coach Rick Carlisle may have no centers on his roster. After Goga Bitadze suffered a foot injury before Monday’s game with the Clippers, Carlisle had to rely on rookie Isaiah Jackson as his only center — and he did respond with 26 points and 10 rebounds in a 122-116 victory. But Jackson was then injured very early in the game with the Magic on Wednesday — and all Carlisle had left was to play rookie free agent Terry Taylor at center despite his 6’5 frame. Taylor did score 24 points with 16 rebounds in his 37 minutes as he looked to justify his two-way contract by flourishing in the frenetic pace of that game. Jackson will remain out tonight. So while Bitazde is listed as questionable with his ankle, Carlisle may have to use Taylor in significant minutes at the five spot tonight — and that is a recipe for a fast pace and little defense from the Pacers. How will Taylor defend Nikola Vucevic? The 6’10 behemoth is scoring 17.1 Points-Per-Game and averaging 11.5 Rebounds Per Game. Indiana is already without Damontas Sabonis, Malcolm Brogdon, and Myles Turner — and they have seen three straight and five of their last six games generate at least 230 combined points. In their last five games, the Pacers are making a healthy 46.5% of their shots which is generating 116.8 PPG — but they are allowing their opponents to make 49.5% of their shots which is resulting in 127.0 PPG over that span. Not having Turner defend the paint significantly derails Indiana’s defensive foundation. It remains telling that Orlando put up 119 points despite only making 44.2% of their shots which was the Pacers’ best defensive effort in their last 12 games. The Over is 3-0-1 in Indiana’s last 4 games after a loss. Additionally, the Pacers have played 26 of their last 36 games Over the Total after a loss at home — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after an upset loss at home when they were favored. They have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total as the underdog. Chicago got 30 points from Vucevic last night in their losing effort to the Raptors — so he is poised for another big game. The Bulls only made 47.8% of their shots last night after generating a field goal percentage of 51.1% in each of their previous four games. But they did hold Toronto to just 42.5% shooting in what was the best defensive effort in their last five games — and their third-lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 13 contests. Chicago has now played four straight games where at least 246 combined points were scored. They are making 52.3% of their shots in their last five games which are producing 121.8 PPG but allowing their opponents to shoot 48.6% from the field and score 118.8 PPG. They are playing high-scoring games without Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso — and they might not play Zach LaVigne or Coby White tonight on the second of back-to-backs with them nursing nagging injuries. But head coach Billy Donovan will have DeMar DeRozan leading the way in the Bulls’ small-ball attack. Chicago has played 7 straight Overs when playing without rest — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing their third game in four days. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in the Bulls’ last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. And in their last 12 games on the road when favored, Chicago has played 9 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Bulls have won the last two meetings between these two teams after their 108-106 road win on December 31st. Indiana has played 29 of their last 41 games Over the Total when avenging a loss — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with double-revenge. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (515) and the Indiana Pacers (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-03-22 |
North Carolina A&T v. Winthrop OVER 147 |
|
54-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina A&T Aggies (306185) and the Winthrop Eagles (306186). THE SITUATION: North Carolina A&T (9-13) has lost three in a row after their 84-64 loss to USC Upstate as a 5-point favorite on Saturday. Winthrop (11-8) has lost two of their last three games with their 92-88 loss at Longwood as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Aggies only made 35.8% of their shots on Saturday against USC Upstate which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. But the troubling defensive play for this NC A&T team continued as they allowed USC Upstate to make 51.9% of their shots. The Aggies are 11th in the Big South in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have allowed their last five opponents to make 49.8% of their shots which is translating into 77.0 Points-Per-Game. North Carolina A&T should be able to generate some second-chance scoring opportunities. The Aggies lead the Big South by rebounding 36.9% of their shots — and they play an Eagles team that is 10th in the conference by allowing their opponents to pull down 29.7% of their misses. UNC A&T has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Aggies have palled 8 straight Overs after losing three of their last four contests. UNC A&T has played six straight Overs — and they have played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total after playing their last game over the Total. The Aggies have also played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Now they go back on the road where they have played 4 straight Overs — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. Winthrop has played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Eagles have scored 95 and 88 points in their last two games — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total when playing at home after scoring at least 85 points in two straight games. And while Winthrop has seen their last two games see 180 and 186 combined points, the Eagles have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after seeing at least 165 combined points in two straight games. They return home where they are 6-0 at home where they are making 52.1% of their shots which is generating 79.8 Points-Per-Game. Winthrop has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total at home when favored. This Eagles team lead the Big South with an effective field goal percentage of 57.3%.
FINAL TAKE: Winthrop has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total with the number set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. North Carolina A&T has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 20* CBB Thursday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina A&T Aggies (306185) and the Winthrop Eagles (306186). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-03-22 |
Drexel +5 v. Delaware |
|
76-68 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 6:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Drexel Dragons (729) plus the points versus the Delaware Blue Hens (730). THE SITUATION: Drexel (9-10) has lost three of their last four games after their 70-63 loss at UNC-Wilmington as a 2-point underdog on Monday. Delaware (15-7) has won four of their last five games after their 85-69 upset win at James Madison as a 3-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE DRAGONS PLUS THE POINTS: Drexel is a veteran team that returns the two best players from the group that made the NCAA Tournament after winning the Colonial Athletic Association tournament. Head coach Zach Spiker may have the best point guard in the conference in Camren Wynter — and he is joined by center James Butler to give Drexel a strong inside-out game. The Dragons have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games after a point spread loss. They stay on the road to complete a four-game road trip where they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog. Drexel is one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the nation — they rank 35th in the county by making 36.8% of their shots from behind the arc. The Dragons lead the CAA by nailing 42.1% of their shots from downtown. They maintain their 3-point efficiency on the road as well where they see their shooting percentage rise to a 37.4% clip. They face a Blue Hens perimeter defense that allows their opponents to make 36.8% of their shots, ranking 315th in the nation. In conference play, Delaware ranks eighth by allowing their opponents to make 38.4% of their 3-pointers. Drexel has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. The Blue Hens may be primed for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win —and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Delaware has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. The Blue Hens return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games when favored. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Delaware has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Drexel will be motivated to avenge an 81-77 loss at home to the Blue Hens as a 1.5-point favorite on January 11th — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games when playing with revenge. 20* CBB Drexel-Delaware CBS Sports Special with the Drexel Dragons (729) plus the points versus the Delaware Blue Hens (730). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-02-22 |
Tulane v. Houston UNDER 133.5 |
Top |
62-73 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tulane Green Wave (697) and the Houston Cougars (698). THE SITUATION: Tulane (9-9) has won two straight games after their 67-66 upset win at Wichita State as a 2-point underdog on Saturday. Houston (18-2) has won ten games in a row after their 63-49 win at Central Florida as a 6.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are trending down in their offensive attack as of late. They are making just 43.5% of their shots in their last five games which is generating 71.6 Points-Per-Game — both marks down from their 46.5% shooting percentage for the season which is resulting in 76.9 PPG. Houston has not reached 80 points in five straight games. They have played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total after a double-digit win on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Under is also 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. They return home where they are 11-0 this season while limiting their opponents to just 33.3% shooting which is resulting in just 52.3 PPG. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 13 of their last 19 home games Under the Total against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. Tulane has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Green Wave have also played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after an upset win. And while Tulane has covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in at least two straight games. They stay on the road where they only make 42.9% of their shots. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 12 road games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games at home.
FINAL TAKE: Tulane has played 4 straight games Under the Total as an underdog — and Under is 7-3-1 in Houston’s last 11 games when favored. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Tulane Green Wave (697) and the Houston Cougars (698). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-02-22 |
Hornets +6.5 v. Celtics |
|
107-113 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Charlotte Hornets (561) plus the points versus the Boston Celtics (562). THE SITUATION: Charlotte (28-23) had their two-game winning streak snapped with a 115-90 upset loss against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 6.5-point favorite on Sunday. Boston (27-25) has won four of their last five games with their 122-92 win against Miami as a 6-point favorite on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE HORNETS PLUS THE POINTS: Charlotte made only 32.7% of their shots on Sunday in what was their worst shooting effort of the season. And the 52.4% shooting they allowed the Lakers to enjoy was tied for the worst defensive performance in their last 19 games. The Hornets should play much better tonight. They have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 31 games after a double-digit setback. They have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games when playing just for the second time in the last five days. Charlotte goes back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 road games as an underdog. The Hornets have also covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games against teams with a winning record. Boston is just 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games after a double-digit victory — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after a win by 15 or more points. The Celtics are also just 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games after a point spread victory. And while Boston has held their last two opponents to just 97 and 92 points, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after not allowing more than 105 points in two straight games. The Celtics return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: New York will be motivated to avenge a 111-102 upset loss at home to the Hornets on January 19th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 34 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Charlotte Hornets (561) plus the points versus the Boston Celtics (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-02-22 |
Drake v. Indiana State +4.5 |
|
85-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Indiana State Sycamores (684) plus the points versus the Drake Bulldogs (683). THE SITUATION: Indiana State (9-11) has lost five of their last six games after their 67-52 loss at Bradley as a 7.5-point underdog on Sunday. Drake (16-6) has won six of their last seven games after their 77-68 upset win at Loyola-Illinois as a 2-point underdog on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE SYCAMORES PLUS THE POINTS: Indiana State only made 34.0% of their shots against the Braves which was the worst shooting effort of their season. The Sycamores have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing at least five of their last six games. They return home where they are 7-2 this season including a victory against a Missouri State team ranked 59th in the nation at kenpom. Indiana State outscores their guests by +17.5 points per game — they hold these opponents to just 38.4% shooting which is resulting in only 62.4 Points-Per-Game. The Sycamores have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games when getting up to six points as an underdog. Drake has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win. Now they go back on the road where they are 5-5 but getting outscored by -1.3 net PPG. They allow their home hosts to make 45.9% of their shots — and their last five opponents to make 48.0% of their shots which is generating 74.4 PPG. The Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games against teams winning at least 60% of their games at home. Drake has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight road games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Bulldogs are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games when the favorite. Indiana State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games. 10* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but take the points) Underdog Special with the Indiana State Sycamores (684) plus the points versus the Drake Bulldogs (683). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-01-22 |
Ole Miss v. LSU -12 |
|
76-72 |
Loss |
-111 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (646) minus the points versus the Mississippi Rebels (645). THE SITUATION: LSU (16-5) has lost four of their last five games after their 77-68 loss at TCU as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. Mississippi (11-10) has won two of their last three games with their 67056 upset win against Kansas State as a 1-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS MINUS THE POINTS: LSU played one of their worst games of the season in their loss to the Horned Frogs in the SEC-Big 12 Challenge. They only made 36.9% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. And the 49.1% field goal percentage they allowed TCU to enjoy was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage of the season. The Tigers remain the top defense in the nation in terms of Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after an upset loss. They have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing four or five of their last six games. They return home where they are 11-1 this season a net point differential of +23.2 net Points-Per-Game. LSU holds their guests to a 34.1% field goal percentage which is resulting in a mere 55.9 PPG. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games at home — and they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games when favored on their home court. They should generate plenty of scoring opportunities in transition tonight. LSU is sixth in the nation by forcing turnovers in 25.4% of their opponent’s possessions — and they are facing a Rebels team that is 12th in the SEC by turning the ball over in 22.5% of their possessions. Ole Miss held the Wildcats to just 30.2% shooting on Saturday which is tied for the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed this season. But the Rebels have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. And while Mississippi has covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Now after playing their last three games at home, they go back on the road where they are just 1-6 this season. They are getting outscored by -8.7 PPG on the road while making just 40.7% of their shots which is resulting in just 59.3 PPG. Ole Miss has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.
FINAL TAKE: The Rebels have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. LSU has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games when favored by at least 10 points. 10* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the LSU Tigers (646) minus the points versus the Mississippi Rebels (645). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-01-22 |
South Carolina v. Mississippi State -8.5 |
Top |
64-78 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Mississippi State (622) minus the points versus the South Carolina Gamecocks (621) THE SITUATION: Mississippi State (13-7) has lost two straight games after their 76-50 loss at Texas Tech as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday. South Carolina (13-7) won their third straight game with their 74-63 upset win at Texas A&M as a 7-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINTS: Mississippi State played one of their worst games of the season in their SEC-Big 12 Challenge showdown with the Red Raiders. They allowed Texas Tech to make 61.7% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort of the season. And they only made 39.6% of their shots which was the worst shooting performance in their last 11 contests. Ben Howland’s team should bounce back with a strong effort. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after a loss on the road. Additionally, Mississippi State has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a point spread loss — and they are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a loss by 20 or more points. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after failing to score at least 60 points in their last contest. This team has also covered the point spread in 7 straight games after losing two in a row. They return home where they are 11-1 this season with a +15.6 net Points-Per-Game differential. They make 49.6% of their shots on their home court which is generating 77.3 PPG. They are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home. They should control the glass against the Gamecocks. Mississippi State ranks 21st in the nation by pulling down 35.0% of their missed shots — and South Carolina allows their opponents to rebound 31.9% of their misses, ranking 308th in the nation. And while the Gamecocks rebound 34.9% of their misses, ranking 23rd in the country, the Bulldogs limit their opponents to just 24.1% rebounds of their missed shots, ranking 41st in the nation. The other area where Mississippi State has an edge in getting to the free-throw line. The Bulldogs rank 55th in the nation in free throw rate — and they are facing a South Carolina team that is 350th in the nation with a Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 43.9%. The Gamecocks played their best defensive game in their last nine against the Aggies over the week by holding them to just 34.4% shooting. But South Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after an upset win by at least 10 points. The Gamecocks have covered the point spread in each of their games during their three-game winning streak but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning at least three in a row — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after covering the point spread in three games in a row. South Carolina stays on the road where they are 4-5 on the road but getting outscored by -5.9 PPG. They only make 39.0% of their shots on the road which is resulting in just 62.9 PPG. Frank Martin’s team struggles to shoot the basketball. They rank 262nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 47.7% — and they only make 63.6% of their free throws, ranking 346th in the country. The Gamecocks rank 13th in the SEC on Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Mississippi State has played Florida and Kentucky tough on the road but lacks a marquee win away from home — but their biggest victory of the season was on their home court against Alabama. They will be without Tulu Smith with a knee injury who is a spark plug coming off the bench. But the Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home when favored — and they host a Gamecocks team that has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog. 25* CBB Tuesday ESPNU Game of the Month with the Mississippi State (622) minus the points versus the South Carolina Gamecocks (621). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-31-22 |
West Virginia v. Baylor OVER 138.5 |
Top |
77-81 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the West Virginia Mountaineers (895) and the Baylor Bears (896). THE SITUATION: West Virginia (13-7) has lost five games in a row after their 77-68 loss at Arkansas as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday. Baylor (18-3) had their three-game winning streak snapped in an 87-78 loss at Alabama as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bears should be in a feisty mood after losing for just the second time in the Big 12/SEC Challenge on Saturday. Baylor has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bears have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing their second game in the last three days. They return home where they are making 49.0% of their shots which is translating into 81.8 Points-Per-Game. Baylor has played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total when playing at home — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. The Bears should dominate the offensive glass in this game against Bob Huggins’ team that allows their opponents to rebound 33.9% of their missed shots, ranking 343rd in the nation. Baylor is fifth in the country by rebounding 37.5% of their missed shots — and that mark improves to 38.6% when they are playing at home. The Over is 25-12-1 in the Bears’ last 38 games when they are favored — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. West Virginia has played 5 straight Overs after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread loss. And while the Mountaineers have failed to cover the point spread in four straight contests, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in at least three games in a row. West Virginia is struggling on the defensive end of the court — they are last in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and it is because of their half-court defense as they are last in the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 42.4%. They have allowed their last five opponents to make 47.0% of their shots which is translating into 77.8 PPG. But the Mountaineers do have success in generating extra scoring chances by forcing turnovers in 24.0% of their opponent’s possessions, ranking 15th in the nation. West Virginia can generate scoring transitions against this Bears team who turn the ball over in 19.2% of their possessions, ranking 205th in the nation. The Mountaineers forced 13 turnovers at a 19.1% rate against Baylor in their first meeting two weeks ago. Now West Virginia goes back on the road where they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, the Mountaineers have played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. West Virginia has also played 20 of their last 25 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s.
FINAL TAKE: Baylor won the first meetings between these two teams in Morgantown by a 77-68 score as a 4.5-point favorite on January 18th. The Mountaineers have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the West Virginia Mountaineers (895) and the Baylor Bears (896). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-29-22 |
Tennessee v. Texas -3.5 |
|
51-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (768) minus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (767). THE SITUATION: Texas (15-5) has won two straight games after their 73-50 victory at TCU as a 2.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Tennessee (14-5) is on a three-game winning streak with their 78-71 win against Florida as a 10-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LONGHORNS MINUS THE POINTS: Texas continues to improve under first-year head coach Chris Beard as the team becomes more comfortable with his systems and style of play. They raced out to a 43-23 half-time lead in Fort Worth against a Horned Frogs team that just registered a high-profile victory against LSU this afternoon.
|
01-29-22 |
VCU +3.5 v. Richmond |
|
64-62 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (681) plus the points versus the Richmond Spiders (682). THE SITUATION: VCU (12-6) has won two games in a row after their 70-68 upset win at Davidson as a 3.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Richmond (13-7) has won three games in a row with their 70-63 win at Rhode Island as a 2.5-point favorite on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RAMS PLUS THE POINTS: VCU should off the momentum of their big win against the Wildcats. The Rams have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games after an upset win against an Atlantic 10 rival — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning two games in a row. This is their second game since last Saturday — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when playing just their second game in a week. This is an interesting matchup since some of the strengths and subsequent weaknesses are mitigated by the tendencies of their opponent. VCU is second in the nation by forcing turnovers in 26.8% of their opponent’s possessions. But good luck turning over the Spiders who are sixth in the nation by turning the ball over in just 13.6% of their possessions. But on the other hand, the Rams sacrifice defensive rebounding to get out on the break — they allow their opponents to pull down 33.6% of their missed shots, ranking 332nd in the nation. But Richmond sacrifices offensive rebounds to defend fast breaks — they only rebound 22.3% of their missed shots, ranking 326th in the nation. VCU still holds an edge in two distinct areas. First, they lead the Atlantic 10 by making 40.9% of their shots from behind the arc in conference play. The Spiders are vulnerable in this regard — they rank 282nd in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 35.7% of their 3-pointers with that mark rising to 38.7% in conference play. Second, VCU is outstanding on the defensive end of the court. They rank second in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. On the road, they hold their opponents to just a 37.5% field goal percentage which is resulting in only 61.8 Points-Per-Game. The Rams have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Richmond has covered the point spread in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after covering at least three in a row. They return home for the first time since January 14th after playing their last three games on the road. The Spiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home after playing their last three games on the road. While they are 7-2 on their home court this season, they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home when favored. Richmond has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher on the road. And in their last 37 home games with the Total set in the 130 to 134.5 range, the Spiders have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of these games.
FINAL TAKE: VCU has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games as an underdog. 20* CBB VCU-Richmond CBS Sports Network Special with the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (681) plus the points versus the Richmond Spiders (682). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-28-22 |
Bulls v. Spurs -1.5 |
|
122-131 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (568) minus the point(s) versus the Chicago Bulls (567). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (18-31) has lost three of their last four games with their 118-110 loss to Memphis as a 4-point underdog on Wednesday. Chicago (30-17) has won two in a row with their 111-105 victory against Toronto as a 3.6-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE THE SPURS MINUS THE POINT(S): The Spurs let up on defense against the Grizzlies as they allowed them to make 51.1% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last five games. San Antonio is still holding their last five opponents to just 45.3% shooting. The Spurs have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a point spread win. They stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games when favored. The Bulls made 54.8% of their shots against the Raptors which was the best shooting performance in their last 15 games. But Chicago is undermanned missing two of their best players in Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso. Ball is out with a knee injury while Caruso is dealing with a wrist injury. Chicago has seen a decline in their play on the defensive end of the court. Eight of their last 13 opponents have shot at least 50% from the field against them. They rank 23rd in the NBA in Defensive Efficiency during that 13-game span. The Bulls have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win. They go back on the road where they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
FINAL TAKE: Chicago is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record — and San Antonio has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games when favored. 10* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the San Antonio Spurs (568) minus the point(s) versus the Chicago Bulls (567). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-28-22 |
Manhattan +6 v. St. Peter's |
Top |
51-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Manhattan Jaspers (883) plus the points versus the Saint Peter’s Peacocks (884). THE SITUATION: Manhattan (10-6) has lost two of their last three games after their 78-62 loss at Monmouth as an 8.5-point underdog on Sunday. Saint Peter’s (8-7) won their fifth game in their last six contests with their 69-62 upset win at Marist as a 2-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JASPERS PLUS THE POINTS: Manhattan should play better tonight against a team that carries a similar profile. The Jaspers only made 35.6% of their shots against the Hawks which was the worst shooting effort in their last seven games. Manhattan us 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The Jaspers are led by 6’5 senior Jose Perez. The Marquette transfer came to Manhattan for his final season — he is scoring 17.9 Points-Per-Game and averaging 4.6 Assists-Per-Game. Head coach Steve Masiello’s team is the second-best in the nation in getting to the free-throw line with a 45.0% free throw attempt-to-field goal attempt ratio. The Jaspers should get plenty of chances at the charity stripe tonight (where they make 74.5% of their free throws) against this Peacocks team that ranks 350th in the nation with an opponent’s free throw attempt-to-field goal attempt ratio of 43.2%. This Manhattan team is shooting much better inside the arc this season (after making only 44.4% of their 2-pointers last year) with a 54.2% shooting clip in conference play, the top mark in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Association. The Jaspers stay on the road where they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games — and they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better at home. Saint Peter’s is just 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games after a point spread win. They return home where they are 4-2 on the season — but they are only making 40.4% of their shots which is resulting in only 66.8 PPG. After playing their last three games on the road, the Peacocks play a home game for the first time since January 18th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games after playing at least three straight games on the road. Saint Peter’s are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games — and they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: These are two teams that can struggle to make shots — and they turn the ball in 20.9% and 20.8% of their possessions. Manhattan has the most impressive victory between these two teams — they beat a Liberty team currently ranked 96th in the nation in the kenpom rankings by 16 points. Saint Peter’s defeated Monmouth who rank 117th at kenpom. The Jaspers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record — and the Peacocks have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Association Underdog of the Month with the Manhattan Jaspers (883) plus the points versus the Saint Peter’s Peacocks (884). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-27-22 |
Purdue v. Iowa +2.5 |
Top |
83-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Iowa Hawkeyes (824) plus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (823). THE SITUATION: Iowa (14-5) has won three of their last four games after their 68-51 win against Penn State as a 10.5-point favorite on Saturday. Purdue (16-3) has won four of their last five games with their 80-60 win against Northwestern as a 12-point favorite on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE HAWKEYES MINUS THE POINTS: Iowa is once again dynamo on offense under head coach Fran McCaffrey. They rank seventh in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. But what is exciting about this Iowa team is their improved play on defense. After holding Rutgers to just 31.0% shooting eight days ago, they followed that up limiting the Nittany Lions to only 33.3% shooting on Saturday in that win. The Hawkeyes held Penn State to just 25 points in the first half — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than 25 points in the first half of their last game. Iowa has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after winning two of their last three games. The Hawkeyes stay at home where they have an 11-1 record with a net point differential of +22.5 Points-Per-Game. Iowa makes 48.5% of their shots at home which generates a whopping 90.2 PPG — and they rank fourth in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency on their home court. They limit their guests to 41.0% shooting. The Hawkeyes have covered the point spread in 30 of their last 43 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as an underdog. Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Boilermakers have out-rebounded their last four opponents by at least seven rebounds per game — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after out-rebounding their last four opponents by at least six rebounds per game. Purdue has demonstrated some vulnerabilities on defense in Big Ten play — their opponents' effective field goal percentage in conference play of 51.9% ranks ninth. They allow Big Ten opponents to make 34.1% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking ninth. Big Ten foes are also nailing 51.0% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 10th in the conference. The Boilermakers do rank number one in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they do drop to sixth in the country in that metric when playing in true road games. Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Furthermore, the Boilermakers have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 road games when favored — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games when favored by six points or less. Additionally, Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games when favored overall — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.
FINAL TAKE: Purdue won the first meeting between these two teams by a 77-70 in West Lafayette. Iowa played that game with their All-American Keegan Murray who is third in the nation with a 22.8 Points-Per-Game scoring average. The Hawkeyes made only 5 of their 21 shots (23.8%) from behind the arc as well in that game — but now they return home where they make 36.8% of their shots from distance. Iowa has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games when avenging a same-season loss. 25* CBB Big Ten Game of the Month with the Iowa Hawkeyes (824) plus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (823). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-26-22 |
Drake v. Illinois State +4.5 |
|
89-88 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Illinois State Redbirds (720) plus the points versus the Drake Bulldogs (719). THE SITUATION: Illinois State (10-10) has lost two of their last three games after their 56-53 upset loss as a 4.5-point favorite on Sunday. Drake (14-6) has won four of their last five games with their 82-74 upset victory at Northern Iowa as a 4-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE REDBIRDS PLUS THE POINTS: Illinois State should respond with a strong effort tonight. They have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss on the road. They return home where they are 9-2 this season with a +10.0 net point differential. They make 47.1% of their shots at home which results in 78.9 Points-Per-Game — and they hold their opponents to just a 40.9% field goal percentage. They have covered the point spread in 4 straight games on their home court. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games. The Redbirds will be without Sy Chatman who suffered a torn ACL in the loss to the Purple Eagles on Sunday. He was the team’s leading rebounder with a 6.0 Rebounds-Per-Game clip — and he was second on the team with a 13.6 PPG scoring average. But they still have their leading scorer Antonio Reed who is scoring 20.2 PPG and they have forwards who can step up in Chatman’s absence including 6’9 forward Abdou Ndiaye who was expected to compete with Chatman for playing time — Ndiaye is averaging 6 minutes per game before tonight. Drake has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after playing a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. They go on the road where they are just 4-5 this season. The Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. Drake has also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games when favored — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games when the favorite.
FINAL TAKE: Illinois State will be looking to avenge an 85-76 loss at Drake on January 12th — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their 5 opportunities to avenge a loss this season. 10* CBB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Illinois State Redbirds (720) plus the points versus the Drake Bulldogs (719). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-26-22 |
Iowa State +3.5 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
84-81 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Iowa State Cyclones (721) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (722). THE SITUATION: Iowa State (14-5) has lost two in a row and four of their last five after a 59-44 upset loss at home to TCU as a 6-point favorite on Saturday. Oklahoma State (10-8) has their two-game winning streak end on Saturday in a 56-51 loss at Texas as a 10-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CYCLONES PLUS THE POINTS: Iowa State opened the season with 12 straight wins — but they are now facing the difficulties of playing in an uber-competitive Big 12 conference. But it would be a mistake to discount this team that has high-profile victories against Texas Tech, Texas, Iowa, Xavier on a neutral court, and Creighton on the road. They lost by just one point at Kansas in Allen Fieldhouse. They only made 30.9% of their shots on Saturday against the Horned Frogs which was their second-lowest mark of the season. Iowa State is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread loss — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after failing to score more than 50 points in their last game. Their previous loss was a 72-60 setback last Tuesday at Texas Tech motivated by revenge — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after two straight losses by 10 or more points. The Cyclones have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after not scoring more than 60 points in two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing their second game in eight days. Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. The Cowboys have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not scoring more than 55 points in their last game. Scoring baskets is an issue for this team — they have not scored more than 64 points in eight straight games since a 98-93 win against Cleveland State on December 13th. To compound matters tonight, Oklahoma State will be without point Bryce Williams who is out with an ankle injury. The Cowboys are balanced on offense (or they lack reliable scorers …) — but Williams does lead the team with meager 10.6 Point-Per-Game and 3.3 Assists-Per-Game averages. In their last five games, they are making just 37.9% of their shots which is resulting in 57.2 PPG. They are only 3-3 on their home court where they have lost to the Xavier team that the Cyclones beat on a neutral court — and they also got upset at home to Oakland this season. Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight home games when favored by 3.5 to 6 points.
FINAL TAKE: These are two similar teams who rank sixth and seven in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency fueled by the fourth and twelfth best defensive turnover rates in the nation (Iowa State has the better numbers in both instances, by the way). Both teams also are loose with the ball when they have possession (the Cyclones have slightly better seasonal turnover numbers but have been worse in conference play relative to the Cowboys). But Iowa State has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record — and they are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games when favored. 25* CBB Big 12 Underdog of the Month with the Iowa State Cyclones (721) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (722). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-26-22 |
Albany v. UMass Lowell UNDER 131.5 |
Top |
64-62 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Albany Great Danes (1147) and the UMass-Lowell River Hawks (1148). THE SITUATION: Albany (7-11) had their three-game winning streak snapped with an 86-75 loss to Stony Brook as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. UMass-Lowell (9-8) has lost two of their last three games after their 67-61 loss at New Hampshire as a 3-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Great Danes allowed Stony Brook to make 55.8% of their shots on Saturday in what was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. And Albany’s meager 44.8% field goal percentage in that game was actually the best shooting effort in their last five contests. The Great Danes have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. They have also played 6 straight Unders after a point spread loss. They go back on the road where they are making only 40.7% of their shots which is generating only 60.3 Points-Per-Game. Albany has played 37 of their last 53 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 26 road games as an underdog, the Great Danes have played 19 of these games Under the Total. Albany is playing tough on the other end of the court. They have held their last five opponents to 41.0% shooting which is resulting in only 61.4 PPG. They have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams winning no more than 40% of their games. UMass-Lowell allowed New Hampshire to make 46.4% of their shots which was the second-highest opponent field goal percentage in their last 11 games. They have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the River Hawks have not scored more than 29 points in the first half in six straight games, they have then played 13 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 30 points in the first half of at least two straight games. They are making just 41.3% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in just 63.4 PPG. They return home where they are holding their opponents to just 37.6% shooting which is resulting in 61.2 PPG. UMass-Lowell has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when at home and favored. The River Hawks have also played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams not winning more than 40% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: Albany and UMass-Lowell rank 332nd and 308th respectively in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. These two make only 29.3% and 27.7% of their shots from behind the arc — ranking 304th and 339th in the country. In their first meeting on January 12th, they combined to make only 7 of their 31 shots from behind the arc for a 22.6% combined clip in a game that the Great Danes won by a 57-47 score as a 2-point underdog. The River Hawks have played 6 straight Unders when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* CBB America East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Albany Great Danes (1147) and the UMass-Lowell River Hawks (1148). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-25-22 |
Auburn v. Missouri OVER 141 |
|
55-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (649) and the Missouri Tigers (650). THE SITUATION: Auburn (18-1) won their 15th straight game with their 80-71 win against Kentucky as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. Missouri (8-10) has lost three of their last four games after their 86-76 loss at Alabama as an 18-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: This is a solid technical play point to a higher-scoring game than expected. Auburn has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win in conference play. Auburn has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Auburn has registered at least 80 points in six straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight games where they scored 80 or more points. Head coach Bruce Pearl’s team is 13th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. On the road, they are scoring 81.4 Points-Per-Game on 46.4% shooting. In their last five games, Auburn is nailing 49.5% of their shots. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against SEC opponents. Missouri demonstrated some concerning signs on offense on Saturday by making 9 of their 24 shots (37.5%) from behind the arc. They are making 48.1% of their shots in their last five games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread win. But head coach Cuonzo Martin’s team ranks 13th in the SEC on Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Missouri returns home where they have played 19 of their last 28 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Missouri has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total at home as an underdog. They have also played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total with the number set in the 140s.
FINAL TAKE: Missouri has played 7 straight Overs against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog. Auburn has played 4 straight Overs against teams with a losing record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when favored. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (649) and the Missouri Tigers (650). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-24-22 |
Towson +1.5 v. Delaware |
Top |
69-62 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 5 m |
Show
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At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Towson Tigers (871) plus the point(s) versus the Delaware Hens (872). THE SITUATION: Towson (14-6) had their five-game winning streak snapped with an 81-77 upset loss to UNC-Wilmington on Saturday. Delaware (14-6) has won three games in a row with their 80-77 win against Elon as a 9-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS PLUS THE POINT(S): Towson should rebound with a strong effort tonight. They have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games when playing with one day or less of rest. Just ignore last year’s 4-13 record for Towson in a year impacted by COVID and injuries. Head coach Pat Skerry is a veteran head coach with a good track record — and he was aggressive in the transfer market to bolster the talent on his roster. This is a balanced team with four players scoring at least 10.7 Points-Per-Game. As usual, Skerry’s teams attack the offensive glass — the Tigers rank 19th in the nation by pulling down 35.7% of their missed shots. They should get plenty of second-chance opportunities against a Blue Hens team that allows their opponents to rebound 37.1% of their missed shots, 321st in the nation — and they are last in the Colonial Athletic Association by allowing their conference opponents to rebound 39.7% of their misses. This Towson team is different because they are taking many more shots from behind the arc. It is not uncommon for the Tigers to take fewer than 30% of their shots from 3-point range but this year they are taking 38.7% of their shots from distance which is just over the 38.1% national average. Even better, Towson is nailing 36.4% of their 3-pointers, ranking 49th in the nation. The Tigers defense is steadily improving as well — they rank second in the Colonial in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and top the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 47.0%. Offensive rebounding and defense travels which is why Towson is 7-4 away from home with an average winning margin of +7.3 net Points-Per-Game. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. Towson has covered the point spread in 6 straight games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games on the road as a dog. Delaware has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games at home when playing with one day or less of rest. The Blue Hens have won five of their last six games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 27 home games after winning five or six of their last seven games. And while Delaware has enjoyed halftime leads of at least seven points in three straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after leading by at least five points at halftime in at least three games in a row. The Blue Hens are 7-0 at home this season — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on their home court. Furthermore, Delaware has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games when favored — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher on the road. The Blue Hens are led by George Washington transfer Jameer Nelson, Jr., the son of the former NBA player. But the vulnerability of this Delaware team is their defense.
FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams are tied in conference play with a 5-2 record — but the Blue Hens have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Towson has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games against winning teams — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Underdog of the Month with the Towson Tigers (871) plus the point(s) versus the Delaware Hens (872). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-23-22 |
Clippers v. Knicks UNDER 205.5 |
|
102-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 17 m |
Show
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At 1:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (561) and the New York Knicks (562). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (23-24) won its second game in their last three games with their 102-101 victory at Philadelphia as an 8.5-point underdog on Friday. New York (22-24) has dropped two games in a row with their 102-91 win against New Orleans as a 4-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Knicks allowed the Pelicans to make 50% of their shots which was tied for the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 14 games. New York has played 38 of their last 55 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Knicks have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. New York stays at home at Madison Square Garden where they have played 14 of their last 19 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have played 20 of their last 28 home games Under the Total when favored by up to six points. Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a narrow win by three points or less — and they have played 22 of their last 32 road games Under the Total after a win on the road. The Clippers stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on their home court. Los Angeles has also played 18 of their last 24 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting up to six points.
FINAL TAKE: To compound matters for New York, they may be without one of their most reliable scorers in Kemba Walker who is questionable with a knee injury. Walker has regained a spot in the starting lineup given the injury to Derrick Rose last month. The Clippers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog — and the Knicks have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when favored. 10* NBA Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (561) and the New York Knicks (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-21-22 |
Nets v. Spurs |
|
117-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 14 m |
Show
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At 8:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (548) minus the point(s) versus the Brooklyn Nets (547). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (17-28) has won two of their last three games after their 118-96 victory against Oklahoma City as a 7-point favorite on Wednesday. Brooklyn (28-16) has won two of their last three games with their 119-118 upset win at Washington as a 1-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE SPURS MINUS THE POINT(S): San Antonio should build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit win — and they have covered the point spread in all 5 games this season after beating their last opponent by 20 or more points. They stay at home after a rough road trip where they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when favored. The Spurs have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 home games with the Total set at 230 or higher. San Antonio does not have a great record against winning teams — but they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Brooklyn continues to be without Kevin Durant who is out indefinitely with his knee injury. The Nets may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after a win on the road. Brooklyn has also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after a point spread win. And while their win against the Wizards finished Over the 234 point total, the Nets have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Moving forward, Brooklyn has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games in January. The Nets are lacking size tonight with Paul Millsap missing the game for personal reasons and Nicolas Claxton doubtful with a hamstring joining Durant on the bench.
FINAL TAKE: San Antonio will be looking to avenge their 121-119 loss in Brooklyn as a 9.5-point favorite on January 9th. The Spurs have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 33 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road including ten of these fourteen circumstances this season. The Nets have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 trips to San Antonio to play the Spurs. 10* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with San Antonio Spurs (548) minus the point(s) versus the Brooklyn Nets (547). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-21-22 |
Sacred Heart +3.5 v. Mt. St. Mary's |
Top |
59-98 |
Loss |
-109 |
1 h 43 m |
Show
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At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Sacred Heart Pioneers (306207) plus the points versus the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (306208). THE SITUATION: Sacred Heart (8-11) has won two games in a row after their 74-66 win against Central Connecticut State as a 9-point favorite on Monday. Mount St. Mary’s (6-12) has won two of their last three games after their 57-50 win at Merrimack as a 3-point underdog on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PIONEERS PLUS THE POINTS: This Sacred Heart team almost everyone from the young team that surprised expectations by finishing tied for third in the Northeast Conference last season. The Pioneers got clocked in the conference tournament against Bryant by 30 points — but they demonstrated their growth earlier this season by only losing by three points at Bryant on December 31st. Sacred Heart also scored an impressive opening victory to begin their season with an overtime win at LaSalle. The deeper analytics suggested that the Pioneers overachieved last season — however, the positive impact of head coach Anthony Latina should not be dismissed. Sacred Heart should play well in this game. They have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games on the road after a point spread loss. They are 3-1 so far in conference play. Latina runs a four-guard attack that is led by Tyler Thomas and Aaron Clarke who score 19.1 and 16.2 Points-Per-Game. This team is also one of the better offensive rebounding teams in the nation that ranks 109th in the country by pulling down 30.8% of their missed shots — and the lead the Northeast Conference by rebounding 37.7% of their misses. This is an area of weakness for the Mountaineers as they rank 233rd in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 29.6% of their misses. Sacred Heart has not covered the point spread in two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after not covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Their offensive rebounding travels — they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Mount St. Mary’s has covered the point spread in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in at least three straight games. And while the Mountaineers have played two straight Unders, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after playing at least two straight Unders. Now after playing their last four games on the road, they return home to play for the first time since December 18th. Mount St. Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home after playing at least three straight games on the road. They have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home. The Mountaineers have a big frontline with Mezzo Offurum, Nana Opoku, and Malik Jefferson who are 6’8, 6’9, and 6’9 respectively. It is this trio that helped them win the Northeast Conference tournament and go to the Big Dance last March. But these big men don’t shoot from distance - they are a combined 8 of 28 from 3-point land this season with Offurum dominating those numbers by taking 22 of those shots (but only making five). With these three a non-threat from distance with that 28% shooting mark from 3-point land, opponents are happy to play zone defenses against them. Mount St. Mary’s went on their late-season run a year ago because Damian Chong Qui became their Mr. Everything as the primary ball-handler and scorer. He transferred to Indiana-Fort Wayne in the offseason. Head coach Dan Englestad responded by bringing in Jalen Benjamin from UAB to take over that role — but Benjamin has not been as prolific in scoring, rebounding, and assists as Chong Qui, especially in clutch time. The Mountaineers rank 323rd in the nation in eight in the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency.
FINAL TAKE: Mount St. Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games when favored. 25* CBB Northeast Conference Underdog of the Month with the Sacred Heart Pioneers (306207) plus the points versus the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (306208). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-20-22 |
Purdue v. Indiana +4.5 |
|
65-68 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Indiana Hoosiers (744) plus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (743). THE SITUATION: Indiana (13-4) has won three of their last four games after their 78-71 win at Nebraska as an 8-point favorite on Monday. Purdue (15-2) has won three straight and seven of their last eight games after their 96-88 upset win in double-overtimes at Illinois on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE HOOSIERS PLUS THE POINTS: The Hoosiers defeated the Cornhuskers despite allowing them to make 47.1% of their shots — that was the worst defensive effort in their last ten games. Indiana has quickly become one of the best defensive teams in the nation in the first season under head coach Mike Woodson who has brought his vast experience as a head coach in the NBA to Bloomington. Indiana ranks 13th in the nation and second in the Big Ten in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a victory where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. They return home where they are 11-0 this season with an average winning margin of +22.4 net Points-Per-Game. They have already beaten Ohio State at home this season. They have covered 8 straight games at home — and they have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Hoosiers have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 home games as an underdog. Purdue played their best defensive game in their last five contests after holding the Illini to 41.6% shooting. The Boilermakers have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after playing a game where at least 175 combined points were scored. Purdue has also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. One of the Boilermakers’ two losses this season was on the road as a favorite against Rutgers. Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 road games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Boilermakers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as a favorite — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Indiana has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 10* CBB Purdue-Indiana FS1-TV Special with the Indiana Hoosiers (744) plus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (743). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-20-22 |
St. Louis v. Massachusetts +3.5 |
Top |
85-91 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Massachusetts Minutemen (734) plus the points versus the Saint Louis Billikens (733). THE SITUATION: UMass (7-9) has lost four in a row and six of their last seven contests after their 81-68 loss to Rhode Island as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. Saint Louis (11-5) won their third game in their last four with their 63-45 win against Fordham as a 13.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MINUTEMEN PLUS THE POINTS: UMass only shot 35.7% from the field on Saturday in what was the worst shooting effort in their last 14 games. The Minutemen rank 35th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. UMass ranks third in the nation by nailing 41.4% of their shots from behind the arc — and they take 41.4% of their field goal attempts from 3-point land. In conference play, the Minutemen are making 46.4% of their 3-pointers. They face a Billikens team that has allowed their five opponents away from home to shoot 36.3% from 3-point land — and their three games in true road games in hostile environments, their home hosts have made 39.7% of their shots from downtown, the 319th worst mark in the nation. UMass has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after losing five or six of their last seven games. And while they have allowed at 77 and 81 points in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after allowing at least 75 points in two straight games. They stay at home where they are 6-2 on the season with an average winning margin of +6.5 Points-Per-Game. They score 80.1 PPG at home — and they have already upset Penn State and Rutgers at home this season. They have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games after playing a game at home. They are also 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 home games — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 home games as an underdog. The Billikens made 45.3% of their shots on Saturday which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. But they have scored just 63 points in each of their last two games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 30 of their last 44 road games after not scoring more than 65 points in two straight contests. They held the Rams to only 28.6% shooting in what was the best defensive effort in their last 13 games. But Saint Louis has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after not allowing more than 50 points in their last contest — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 29 road games after not allowing more than 50 points in their last contest. Away from home, the Billikens are 3-2 while making only 41.4% of their shots — and they allow their opponents to make 47.5% of their shots away from home. Saint Louis has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Billikens have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games when favored by up to six points.
FINAL TAKE: UMass has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Underdog of the Month with the Massachusetts Minutemen (734) plus the points versus the Saint Louis Billikens (733). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-19-22 |
American v. Army -9 |
Top |
66-76 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 6:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Army Black Knights (1142) minus the points versus the American Eagles (1141). THE SITUATION: Army (10-8) has lost two of their last three games after their 68-54 upset loss at Lafayette as a 3-point favorite on Sunday. American (5-10) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 63-55 win at home against Bucknell in a pick ‘em contest on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BLACK KNIGHTS MINUS THE POINTS: Army should respond to their upset loss with a strong performance tonight. They only made 33.9% of their shots on Sunday in what was the worst shooting effort in their last 13 games. The Black Knights have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not scoring at least 60 points on the road in their last contest. They have also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after a loss on the road. Head coach Jimmy Allen has three starters back from the group that finished 15-15 last season. They were the only Patriot League team that played non-conference games in a year impacted by COVID. They are 4-2 so far in conference play. This team does not give away many freebies at the charity stripe — they rank 11th in the nation in opponent free throw rate. They are also second in the conference by forcing turnovers in 20.2% of their opponent’s possessions — and they now host a team in the Eagles that is last in the Patriot League by turning the ball over in 19.1% of their possessions. Army returns home where they are 7-1 this season with an average winning margin of +16.7 Points-Per-Game. They hold their guests to 37.4% shooting which results in just 59.5 PPG. The Black Knights have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less on the road. American was a difficult team to gauge entering this season. They only played ten games last year, winning just four times. They only played three different opponents in their nine regular-season games in the skewed Patriot League schedule impacted by COVID. Their best player from that group, Jamir Harris, transferred to Seton Hall. After an opening game overtime victory against a Marist team that ranks 169th in the currently kenpom rankings, they have since not defeated a team ranked higher than 290th using Ken Pomeroy’s metrics. The Eagles are last in the Patriot League in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They are also last in the conference by making only 28.1% of their shots from behind the arc. They go back on the road where they are just 2-8 this season — and they are getting outscored by -16.5 PPG. They only score 62.7 PPG on the road — and they give up 79.2 PPG on 49.6% shooting. American has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home.
FINAL TAKE: The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Patriot League Game of the Month with the Army Black Knights (1142) minus the points versus the American Eagles (1141). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-18-22 |
Air Force v. Boise State UNDER 120.5 |
Top |
56-62 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Air Force (653) and Boise State (654). THE SITUATION: Air Force (8-6) has lost two in a row and five of their last six games after their 75-68 loss to Nevada as an 8-point underdog on Saturday. Boise State (12-4) has won nine games in a row with their 71-63 win at New Mexico as an 8.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the nation. They rank 15th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency at KenPom — and they have held their last five opponents to just 39.7% shooting which has translated into just 59.4 Points-Per-Game. But head coach Leon Rice will want a better effort from his team on defense after they allowed New Mexico to make 49.5% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have given up all season. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread as a favorite. Boise State is also an excellent rebounding team. They have held their last three opponents to no more than 29 rebounds — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not giving up more than 31 boards in three straight games. They held the Lobos to just three offensive rebounds on Saturday — and they have then played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total after not allowing more than five offensive rebounds in their last contest. The Broncos rank sixth in the nation by limiting their opponents to pull down just 21.2% of their missed shots. Air Force is simply not going to get many second-chance scoring opportunities tonight — they only rebound 18.8% of their missed shots, ranking 353rd in the nation. But Boise State is a bad shooting team themselves. They make only 60.3% of their shots at the charity stripe, ranking 355th in the nation. They only nail 32.5% of their 3-pointers, ranking 216th in the country. The Broncos have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing at home with the Total in the 120s. Air Force has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Falcons made only 38.2% of their shots in that game. They have made just 39.3% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in just 53.4 PPG. They go back on the road where they score only 56.9 PPG on 43.6% shooting. Air Force has played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 straight road games Under the Total as an underdog. They have also played 7 straight road games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their home games. The Falcons have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.
FINAL TAKE: Air Force has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog. Boise State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as a double-digit favorite. 25* CBB Tuesday CBS Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between Air Force (653) and Boise State (654). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-18-22 |
Missouri v. Ole Miss -7 |
|
78-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET Tuesday, we will be playing the Mississippi Rebels (628) minus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (627). THE SITUATION: Ole Miss (9-7) has lost two in a row and four of their last five games after their 80-71 loss to Auburn as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday. Missouri (7-9) has lost two in a row and four of their last five contests after their 67-64 loss to Texas A&M as a 5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE REBELS MINUS THE POINTS: Mississippi allowed the Tigers to make 50% of their shots — and that came after Texas A&M made 55.8% of their shots against them in their previous game. Ole Miss has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after allowing their last two opponents to make at least 50% of their shots. The Rebels have not covered the point spread in their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Mississippi has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after losing four of their last five games. They stay at home where they are 8-2 this season — and they are outscoring their visitors by +10.6 Points-Per-Game. They hold their guests to just 41.5% shooting. Ole Miss has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Missouri made 47.2% of their shots against the Aggies which was the second-best shooting mark in their last seven games. And by holding Texas A&M to just 38.1% shooting, they enjoyed the best defensive effort in their last seven games. But the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread win. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after losing two of their last three games. Missouri goes back on the road where they are just 1-6 this season while getting outscored by -23.3 PPG. They only make 35.4% of their shots on the road which is resulting in just 56.6 PPG. They allow their home hosts to make 51.0% of their shots. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home.
FINAL TAKE: Missouri has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games as an underdog. Mississippi has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Mississippi Rebels (628) minus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (627). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-15-22 |
Raptors +7.5 v. Bucks |
|
103-96 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 9 m |
Show
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At 6:40 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Toronto Raptors (519) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (520). THE SITUATION: Toronto (20-19) had their six-game winning streak snapped with a 103-87 loss at Detroit as a 9-point favorite last night. Milwaukee (27-17) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 118-89 victory against Golden State as a 1-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RAPTORS PLUS THE POINTS: Toronto should respond with strong effort after last night’s disappointing effort. They made only 32.2% of their shots against the Pistons which was the worst shooting effort since the opening game of the season 38 games ago. The Raptors have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Toronto has also covered the point spread in 8 straight games after not scoring more than 90 points in their last game. And in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest, the Raptors have covered the point spread in all 5 games. Toronto stays on the road where they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 16 road games when getting 6.5 to 12 points as an underdog. Furthermore, the Raptors have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Toronto comes in undermanned with Scottie Barnes out and Gary Trent questionable — but Fred VanVleet is playing at an All-Star level right now and O.G. Anunoby is back in the mix to complement Pascal Siakam and Chris Boucher for their core group. Milwaukee comes off one of the best games of their season. They made 51.2% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. They held the Warriors to 34.7% shooting which was the best defensive performance in their last 36 contests. But the Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games after a straight-up victory. Milwaukee stays at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games when favored. The Bucks are dealing with injuries as well with Brook Lopez out since November and Jrue Holiday unavailable with an ankle injury.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has won the first two meetings between these two teams after upsetting the Bucks in Milwaukee by a 117-111 score on January 5th as a 3-point underdog. The Raptors have covered the point spread in the last 4 meetings between these two teams — and they have covered the point spread in their last 4 games played in Toronto. The Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with double-revenge. 10* NBA Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Toronto Raptors (519) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (520). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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