Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-01-23 | Phillies v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
#907/908 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 7.5 Runs – Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies, Friday at 8:10 PM ET - Low total but this one will play out like a playoff game and also is set up to be a pitchers duel. These two teams have identical records and this is a critical game entering the final month of the season. The Brewers are at the top of the Central Division but the Cubs and Reds not too far behind. The Phillies are leading the Wild Card race but have to be concerned also with Cubs and Reds as well as the Giants and Diamondbacks. So this game already will have a playoff feel to it with both teams at 74-59 on the season. Neither team was in action yesterday so the bullpens are in great shape entering this game off an off-day. Based on bullpen ERA the Phillies are ranked 4th in the National League and the Brewers are ranked 2nd in the National League. As for the starting pitchers here, the Brewers Freddy Peralta went 5-0 in August and Milwaukee is 6-0 in his last 6 starts and he has allowed just 7 earned runs TOTAL in those 6 starts. He has been dominant. As for the Phillies Zack Wheeler, he has a 2.68 ERA and has held hitters to a .194 batting average - these stats in his 8 starts since the All-Star break. Both pitchers have been dominating the 2nd half of the MLB season and, as the old adage goes, it is very true that good pitching tops good hitting! Possible playoff preview here and this one will be a tight low-scoring battle! Our computer math model projecting 5 to 6 runs here. We are going with the Under in this one. |
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08-29-23 | Angels v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
#973/974 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9.5 Runs – Los Angeles Angels @ Philadelphia Phillies, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET - Expected starters are Tyler Anderson for the Angels and Michael Lorenzen for the Phillies. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the Angels bullpen certainly should help the cause as well. Taking a look at WHIP, the Angels bullpen (1.48 WHIP) is ranked 27th on the season. The Phillies continue pounding the ball and have averaged 2 home runs per game in the month of August! Huge run at the plate is in progress for the Phillies and, at the same time, you look at this Angels lineup and it is a respectable one even without Trout. Yesterday the Phillies went just 1 for 7 with runners in scoring position and the Angels left 10 men on base yet the game still totaled 10 runs. Today's should get at least that as well. Note that Anderson has been getting roughed up on the season and in his last 3 starts. Anderson is 0-3 with a 7.36 ERA this month. The Phillies Lorenzen had that gem of a no-hitter earlier this month but, even with given some extra time to recuperate and recover after that, his last two starts have been a dose of reality and he has been getting hit hard. More of the same is expected here as our computer math modeling showing 10 or more runs is likely in this one. The Angels 12 of last 19 games have totaled double digits in runs. The Phillies have won 8 of 11 games and 7 of the 11 games totaled double digits. Philadelphia scored an average of 7 runs in these 11 games! Over is the call in this one early Tuesday evening.
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08-26-23 | Hawaii v. Vanderbilt UNDER 56.5 | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 13 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* UNDER 56.5 Hawaii @ Vanderbilt – 7:30 PM ET - There will be some contrasting styles of play of display Saturday when the Rainbow Warriors take on the Commodores at Vanderbilt. Hawaii head coach Timmy Chang wants to play fast with his Run and Shoot offense as the Warriors averaged 72.2 plays per game a season ago which was 29th most. Even though the Warriors played fast, it didn’t translate to a lot of scoring. Hawaii was 124th in points per drive, 121st in Yards Per Point Scored at 18.3, 102nd in Red Zone Attempts per game at 2.9 and 103red in offensive TD’s per game. Hawaii also averaged just 4.9 Yards Per Play which ranked 98th in the nation. Hawaii returns 5 starters on that side of the football and even though they want to play fast, it will be tough sledding against a SEC defense. Hawaii had some terrible defense statistics a year ago allowing 34.7PPG but they also faced some top ranked offenses such as Western Kentucky, Michigan and Fresno State. Vanderbilt wants to run the football, dominate possession time, and grind down opponents. The Dores were 119th in pace of play a season ago and also struggled to put up points. Vanderbilt was 120th in points per drive, 79th in Yards Per Point scored at 14.8, 103rd in Red Zone Attempts per game and 86th in offensive TD’s per game at 2.6. Vandy averaged just 5.1 Yards Per Play last season. The Commodores gave up 36PPG last season but take a look at the gauntlet of offenses they faced: Wake Forest, Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia and Tennessee who were all some of the highest scoring teams in college football. Last season when these two teams met, they combined for 73 total points. Vandy scored on a 87-yards rushing TD and had two fumble returns for touchdowns. Vanderbilt will again rely on their running game here as they did last season when they gouged the Warriors for over 400-rushing yards. |
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08-26-23 | Ohio v. San Diego State UNDER 48.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
#307/308 ASA 8* PLAY ON UNDER 48.5 Points – Ohio U @ San Diego State - Saturday at 7 PM ET - Two slow tempo teams here will lead to a lower scoring game. Ohio was ranked 103rd in seconds per play last season and SDSU was 119th. The Aztecs passing game was atrocious last season ranking outside the top 100 in passing YPG, completions per game, and attempts per game. New OC Lindley wants to pass more this season, however we’re not sure he has the horses to do that. They lost their top 2 WR’s and the SDSU QB Mayden, who was actually a safety last year before they transitioned him to QB mid-season, was OK at best (59% completions with 12 TD’s and 10 picks in his 8 starts). He faces an Ohio defense that was not good the first half of last season (allowed 40 PPG thru first 6 games) but played great the 2nd half of the season (allowed 19 PPG their final 8 games) after getting acclimated to new DC Nowinsky’s schemes. Now in their 2nd year under this system, we expect the Bobcat defense to play very well. On the other side, Ohio’s offense will struggle with this very good SDSU defense that finished in the top 15 nationally in both total defense and YPP allowed. Bobcat QB Rourke was solid last year but is coming off an ACL tear last November and will have to ease his way back into things. The 2 top tier defenses he faced last season (Penn St & Iowa St) held Ohio to 10 points each. Last year the Aztecs played host to Toledo, who beat Ohio in the MAC Championship game, and held the Rockets potent offense (averaged 31 PPG last year) to just 14 points (17-14 final score). San Diego State has played 48 games since the start of the 2019 season and only 8 of those games have topped 50 total points. Let’s go Under here. |
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08-25-23 | Rangers v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-12 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
#971/972 ASA PLAY ON 10* Under 8.5 Runs – Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers, Friday at 8:10 PM ET - The Twins have won 7 of last 9 home games and have allowed an average of only 3.3 runs in these 9 games. The Rangers have lost 7 straight games and Texas has scored just 3.1 runs on average in these last 7 games. That said, Texas is likely to struggle again at the plate here as Sonny Gray has held hitters to a .191 batting average in his 4 August starts plus he has a home ERA that is below 3.00 in the last two seasons combined here in Minnesota! The Twins also are likely to struggle at the plate in this one. Minnesota will be facing Dane Dunning and the Rangers right-hander is 9-5 with a 3.19 ERA this season! He has a 2.98 ERA in his road appearances this season. Dunning has struck out 33 in his 25.2 innings this month and has held hitters to a .224 batting average. The Rangers have a rather high bullpen ERA but their WHIP is only 1.24 which ranks 5th in the majors and shows that Texas has some tough pitchers in their bullpen. The Rangers bullpen is certainly better than the ERA suggests and note that the Minnesota bullpen WHIP is also solid at 1.28 and that ranks 12th out of 30 teams in the majors. North wind expected for this one so the wind likely to be blowing in from left-center field which also helps the cause in this one. Our computer math model projecting 6 to 7 runs here. We are going with the Under in this one. |
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08-20-23 | Royals v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
#925/926 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9.5 Runs – Kansas City Royals @ Chicago Cubs, Sunday at 2:20 PM ET - The wind is NOT expected to be blowing out here at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field for this one. That is actually helping to keep this posted total lower than it should be when you consider the way these two teams have been trending of late as well as the starting pitching match-up here. The Cubs are expected to start Kyle Hendricks in this one. He has a 7.20 ERA in the month of August and is 1-4 with a 5.36 ERA in home games this season! The Royals are expected to start Jordan Lyles here and he is having a very tough season. Lyles is 2-7 with a 7.19 ERA in road games this season. In day games this season, the right-hander is 1-7 with an 8.73 ERA this year. Lyles has been showing no real signs of any improvement lately and the Cubs are sure to make him pay as they are one of the top hitting clubs in the majors over the last 30 days and also have scored an average of 6 runs per game in the last 32 games! The Royals have one of the worst bullpens in baseball so that also helps the cause here. Kansas City should also score well here. KC has seen 7 of last 8 games total at least 9 runs. These 8 games have averaged 12 runs and the Royals have scored an average of 6 runs during this stretch. They should have no problems with the offerings of Hendricks in this one either considering his numbers at home and in his recent action. Yesterday's game reached double digits in runs even though KC went 2 for 15 with runners in scoring position. Look for a better cash-in rate with the run-scoring opportunities in this one and it should reach at least ten runs and our computer math models are expecting it to finish closer to a dozen runs in most projections. Over is the call in this early afternoon match-up Sunday. |
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08-18-23 | Panthers v. Giants UNDER 39 | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 39 m | Show | |
#403/404 ASA PLAY ON 8* Under 39 Points – Carolina Panthers vs NY Giants, Friday at 7 PM ET - These 2 offenses each had brutal games last week and we don’t anticipate a big turnaround on that site of the ball this week. Carolina was held scoreless vs the Jets and tallied only 165 total yards on 3.4 YPP. The only time the Panthers crossed midfield was their final 2 possessions of the game and they never pushed inside the Jets 30 yard line. The Jets defensive front put lots of pressure on Carolina’s inexperienced QB’s and we expect the same this week vs the Giants and DC Martindale’s blitz happy defense. The Panther offensive line was shaky, thus the pressure allowed, and head coach Frank Reich plans on rotating a number of players this week to see what they can do. Back up QB Andy Dalton is injured and will not play so Carolina will again rely on very inexperienced QB’s in rookie Bryce Young and 2nd year player Matt Corral (0 career pass attempts). The Giants offense wasn’t much better last week. They scored only 16 points vs a Detroit defense that finished dead last in YPG and YPP allowed last season. NYG had just 216 total yards on 3.9 YPP in the game. They relied heavily on undrafted rookie Tommy DeVito at QB and he’ll probably get decent time again this week. Starting QB Jones did not play and may not again on Friday. If he does, it won’t be for more than a series or two. Both defenses played well last week with the Giants holding a very good Detroit offense to 4.7 YPP while Carolina also kept the Jets under 5.0 YPP. We anticipate a low scoring game on Friday night and Under is our lean. |
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08-18-23 | Royals v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
#921/922 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 8.5 Runs – Kansas City Royals @ Chicago Cubs, Friday at 2:20 PM ET - The wind is NOT expected to be blowing out here. That is actually helping to keep this total lower than it should be when you consider the way these two teams have been trending of late as well as the starting pitching match-up here. The Cubs are expected to start Jameson Taillon in this one. He has a 6.17 ERA in home games this season and is 1-5 with an 8.91 ERA in day games this year! The Royals are expected to start Cole Ragans and the 25 year old has made only 13 starts in his MLB career so he is still getting adjusted to starting at this level. That was evident in his most recent outing. Even though he was at home, Ragans gave up 6 hits and 4 walks in 5 innings for an average of 2 baserunners per inning. The Cubs are sure to make him pay for a performance like that as they one of the top hitting clubs in the majors over the last 30 days and also have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in the last 30 games! The Royals have one of the worst bullpens in baseball so that also helps the cause here. Kansas City should also score well here. KC has seen 6 straight games total at least 9 runs. These 6 games have averaged 13.5 runs and the Royals have scored an average of 6.7 runs during this stretch. They should have no problems with the offerings of Taillon in this one either considering his numbers at home and in day games. Over is the call in this early afternoon match-up Friday. |
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08-09-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
#971/972 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 10.5 Runs – Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox, Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET - Both these pitchers have struggled often this season. Expected starters are Jordan Lyles for the Royals and Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as plenty of signs are pointing to the over here including the fact that the Kansas City bullpen has an ERA that ranks them 29th in the majors and the Boston bullpen has a WHIP that ranks them 23rd in the majors. The Royals won big 9 to 3 yesterday and, as bad as they have been overall, the Kansas City lineup has been showing some positive signs in recent weeks including recently during the KC season-best 7-game winning streak. The Royals have won 8 of 11 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch. The Red Sox have scored an average of 5.5 runs per game in their last 15 home games and have gone 10-5 during this stretch. A pair of teams (including Boston in their comfort zone at home) that are more confident than usual right now plus a pair of confident lineups are doing battle in this one. Then you factor in that Lyles is 2-6 with a 7.56 ERA on the road this season and Pivetta is 3-4 with a 5.89 ERA as a starter and you have a great set-up for an over in this one. The wind forecast looks like will be easterly at game time and the warm evening with breeze likely toward right-center is also favorable for an over at hitter-friendly Fenway Park. Over is the call in this early evening match-up Wednesday. |
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08-04-23 | Nationals v. Reds OVER 10.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
#903/904 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 10.5 Runs – Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 6:40 PM ET - Both these pitchers have struggled often this season. Expected starters are Patrick Corbin for the Nationals and Graham Ashcraft for the Reds. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as plenty of signs are pointing to the over here including the fact that the Cincinnati bullpen has a WHIP that ranks them 23rd in the majors and the Washington bullpen has an ERA that ranks them 29th in the majors. The Nationals have won 8 of 13 games and have scored an average of 5 runs per game during this stretch. Looking at their last 19 road games, 12 of them have totaled at least 11 runs and these 19 games have averaged 11.5 runs so do not let this big total at 10.5 keep you away! Especially on a warm evening in Cincinnati, these are the type of conditions in this hitter-friendly ballpark that produce big run totals! As for those expected starters, Corbin has a 5.43 ERA on the road and a 6.39 ERA in night games this season and opponents are hitting over .300 against him just like last season! Ashcraft has a lower ERA recently but he has been fortunate as his strikeout numbers are down and he is still giving up quite a few hits too. Overall this season Ashcraft has struggled and at home he is 3-6 with a 6.17 ERA this season. He faced the Nationals once this season and only allowed 1 earned run but he had just 2 strikeouts while walking 3 batters, hitting one, and allowing 7 hits. So Ashcraft allowed 11 baserunners in 6 innings and was very fortunate to work out of numerous jams. Ashcraft will not be so fortunate in this go around and the Nationals trending toward high-scoring road games continues. Helping the cause is the fact the Reds are back home where they have scored 38 runs in last 6 games. Also, though they are off a 5-3 road loss yesterday, Cincinnati had scored 30 runs in the 4 games leading into that one. We are going to challenge these starters and these bullpens to turn things around here and we expect a successful challenge on our part and this game gets to at least a dozen runs. Over is the call in this early evening match-up Friday. |
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08-03-23 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
#957/958 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9.5 Runs – Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET - Expected starters are Luke Weaver for the Reds and Jameson Taillon for the Cubs. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the weather is expected to favor an over with warm temperatures again and the wind direction being east or southeast at Wrigley Field for this one. Taking a look at ERA, the Cincinnati bullpen is ranked 17th and the Chicago bullpen is ranked 15th in the majors with each club having about a 4.00 ERA on the season. So the pens are not horrible but they are not great either. Yesterday's 16-6 game followed Tuesday's 20-9 game and we look for the bats to stay hot in this one. The Cubs are 12-3 their last 15 so confidence is growing for this team as they finally are building a longer winning stretch. With yesterday's high-scoring win included, the Cubs are scoring an average of about 7.5 runs per game in their 18 games since the All-Star Break. The Reds have won 9 of last 14 games and have averaged 5.3 runs scored per game in last 13 games. Chicago's Jameson Taillon is coming off a solid July but he continues to get hit hard at home. This season, in home starts, Taillon is 2-4 with a 6.43 ERA and opponents hitting .317 against him when he is on his home mound! Cincinnati's Luke Weaver is having another rough season and he is getting hit at a .306 clip this season after an opponents batting average of .335 last season! His struggles are highly likely to continue here as the Cubs are a confident bunch (to say the least!) at the plate right now. That coupled with the way the Cubs pitching is likely to go tonight means the Reds should answer Chicago run for run in this one as well. Over is the call in this one Thursday evening. |
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08-03-23 | Jets v. Browns UNDER 33.5 | 16-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
#101/102 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 33.5 Points – NY Jets vs Cleveland Browns – NFL Hall of Fame Game – Thursday at 8 PM ET - We don’t expect either offense to do much in this game. Cleveland will be starting 3rd stringer Kellen Mond at QB followed by rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Mond has thrown 3 career passes at the NFL level and Thompson-Robinson obviously has yet to play in an NFL game. They will be facing a deep Jets defense that was very good last year ranking 1st in YPP allowed and 5th in DVOA. Aaron Rodgers will sit this one out for NY with Zach Wilson getting the start. We don’t expect Wilson to play all that much and he will be followed by Chris Streveler & Tim Boyle who are both extremely inexperienced. On top of that, the Jets are implementing a new offense under coordinator Nathaniel Hackett and he has already stated Thursday night will be a very vanilla game plan. The Hall of Fame game has been a low scoring affair as expected topping 39 points only once in the last 11 games. Five of the last seven and seven of the last ten HOF games have totaled 33 or fewer points. Defense is more often than not well ahead of the offense early in the pre-season and we expect that will be the case on Thursday. Take the Under. |
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08-02-23 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
#907/908 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9.5 Runs – Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET - Expected starters are Brandon Williamson for the Reds and Drew Smyly for the Cubs. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the weather is expected to favor an over with warm temperatures and a south wind blowing out at Wrigley Field for this one. Taking a look at ERA, the Cincinnati bullpen is ranked 15th and the Chicago bullpen is ranked 16th in the majors with each club having about a 4.00 ERA on the season. So the pens are not horrible but they are not great either. Yesterday's 20-9 game is a sign of things to come here as the bats stay hot in this one. The Cubs are 11-3 their last 14 so confidence is growing for this team as they finally are building a longer winning stretch. With yesterday's high-scoring win included, the Cubs are scoring an average of 7 runs per game in their 18 games since the All-Star Break. The Reds have won 9 of last 13 games and have averaged 5.3 runs scored per game in last dozen games. Chicago's Drew Smyly is coming off a rough July and this followed a rough June too! He was 1-2 with a 6.65 ERA last month after going 2-3 with a 5.81 ERA in his 5 starts the prior month! Cincinnati's Williamson has been pitching a little better of late. However, Williamson has struggled in evening games this season (5.19 ERA in 10 starts) and we expect that to continue here as the Cubs are a confident bunch (to say the least!) at the plate right now. That coupled with the way the Cubs pitching is likely to go tonight means the Reds answer Chicago run for run in this one as well. Over is the call in this one Wednesday evening. |
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08-01-23 | Mets v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
#977/978 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9.5 Runs – New York Mets at Kansas City Royals, Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET - Expected starters are Zack Greinke for the Royals and Jose Quintana for the Twins. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus both the Mets and the Royals bullpens help the cause. Taking a look at ERA, the Kansas City bullpen is ranked next to last in the AL so far this season with a 5.16 ERA. The Mets bullpen is not ranked too much higher as they are 18th in the majors with a 4.11 ERA this season. The Royals are off a 2-1 win and that was their 3rd straight win so confidence is growing for this team as they finally are building a longer win streak. Prior to that low-scoring win, 3 straight KC games had totaled at least 11 runs! The Mets have won 8 of last 13 games and have averaged 5 runs scored per game in last dozen games. Kansas City's Zack Greinke is coming off a rough July and this followed a rough June too! He was 0-3 with a 7.53 ERA last month after going 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA in his 5 starts the prior month! New York's Quintana is trying to return to form but he is still working his way back from a rib injury he suffered back in March and he has been hit at a .293 batting average in his first two starts this season which both were last month in July. Quintana has struggled on the road in recent seasons and we expect that to continue here as the Royals are a confident bunch at the plate right now. That coupled with the way the Royals pitching is likely to go tonight means the Mets answer KC run for run in this one as well. Over is the call in this one Tuesday evening. |
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07-30-23 | A's v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
#973/974 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 12.5 Runs – Colorado Rockies vs Oakland Athletics, Sunday at 3:10 PM ET - The Athletics are swinging hot bats and another slugfest is expected at hitter-friendly Coors Field this afternoon. Oakland's last 3 games have all totaled at least 11 runs and the games averaged 13 runs. The first two games of this series at Coors Field each totaled at least 13 runs. Yesterday's game was the 4th time in 5 games that a Rockies game has totaled at least 23 hits and a couple of those games were in Washington DC so it is not just about the Coors Field effect. That said, the Rockies continue to hit the ball well but their weak pitching is an issue. That includes a bad bullpen which will again be exposed in this game Sunday. That's because Ty Blach is the expected starter here but he is more of an opener and it was actually a surprise he even lasted 3 innings in his most recent appearance. Blach has been hit at a .422 clip in his home appearances this season. Also, he has spent significant time in the minors this season and last season he got hit at a .301 clip and he has been hit at a .290 clip in the minors this season. Blach will struggle against a surging A's lineup but we also look for Colorado to have a huge day at the plate here as well. Luis Medina is 0-3 with a 6.94 ERA in afternoon games this season. Medina is also 1-4 with a 7.16 ERA on the road and this is one of the toughest road venues in baseball. Look for another wild one here on a warm afternoon in Denver as this match-up also pits two of the worst bullpens in the majors based on team ERA. Over is the call in this afternoon match-up Sunday.
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07-26-23 | Blue Jays v. Dodgers UNDER 10 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
#969/970 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 10 Runs – Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays, Wednesday at 4:07 PM ET - Yesterday's game was 3-3 entering the 8th inning before a wild finish that saw the Dodgers ultimately prevail 8-7 in 10 innings. That crazy finish is helping lead to line value here as 10 is an awfully big total for this game at Dodger Stadium Wednesday afternoon. Yusei Kikuchi is projected to start for the Blue Jays here and he appears to be back on track after the All Star break. Kikuchi has given up only 1 earned run in 10 innings over his two starts since the break. Remember this is following a month of June in which he had a 2.28 ERA over his 5 starts for the month. Consider his tough pair of outings that occurred just before the All Star break absolutely an aberration. Tony Gonsolin has some interesting stats for the Dodgers of late and we feel it is leading to line value here. Though some of his ERA numbers have been up of late, this is still a guy who has struck out 38 over his last 42 innings. Gonsolin has given up only 4 hits in 10 innings over his two starts since the break. His batting average against is only .194 this season and this is the same pitcher who is 31-9 in his career with a .185 batting average against. Don't be surprised if we see a pitchers duel develop in this one. Remember we talked about yesterday's game being 3-3 entering the 8th and now we remind you that Monday's series opener was 2-2 entering the 8th before that one ended up a 6-3 Blue Jays win in 11 innings. This total has been driven up too high and the pitching will be the story in Wednesday's series finale. We are going strong with the Under in this one. |
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07-25-23 | Rockies v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
#901/902 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9 Runs – Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - Both these pitchers have struggled often this season. Expected starters are Trevor Williams for the Nationals and Austin Gomber for the Rockies. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as the Rockies have won 6 of 9 games since the all-star break and have scored 5 runs per game in those 9 contests. Colorado got the 10-6 win here at Washington yesterday and the Nationals have gone 7-5 last dozen games and averaged scoring 6 runs per game in those 12 games. Both bullpens have had struggles this season and that was the case for both clubs again yesterday! After ugly performances in the late innings from each pen yesterday, take a look at their updated numbers here. The Rockies 4.65 bullpen ERA and Nationals 5.50 bullpen ERA ranks them as the bottom two bullpens in the National League this season! As for those expected starters, Williams has allowed 29 hits and 13 earned runs in 22.2 innings over his last five starts. Gomber has a 6.18 ERA this season. He faced the Nationals once this season and allowed 5 earned runs in under 5 innings of work. We know what you are thinking...that was at Coors Field so it deserves an asterisk next to the performance. However, the last time he faced the Nats in DC was in late May of last season and he allowed 8 earned runs on 7 hits and 3 walks in a start that lasted only 1.1 innings! The total on this game is relatively low considering the way these two lineups have been producing as we noted above. We are going to challenge these starters and these bullpens to turn things around here. Over is the call this evening in our nation's capital. |
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07-15-23 | White Sox v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
#929/930 ASA PLAY ON 8* Under 8.5 Runs – Chicago White Sox @ Atlanta Braves, Saturday at 7:15 PM ET - Yesterday's game was a 9-0 Braves win yet Atlanta had only 8 hits in the victory. There is some value here today with that unusual final scoreline yesterday plus the fact that Lance Lynn shows an unusually high ERA which is masking the fact that he has been pitching much better of late. Lynn has allowed just 25 hits in 31 innings over his last 5 starts. Also, Lynn has struck out 41 batters in 26 innings over his last 4 starts. He has had great swing and miss stuff over the past month and should pick up right where he left off before the All-Star break as the 2nd half of the season gets underway. Lynn will be opposed by Spencer Strider of the Braves and he has fantastic numbers. Strider is 7-0 his last 7 decisions on the mound. Strider also has been piling up strikeouts with 39 K's over 26 innings in his last 4 starts. He has allowed a total of only 4 earned runs in those 4 starts. That is an average of only 1 earned run per start and Strider is further supported by a Braves bullpen that has the lowest ERA in the National League. The White Sox have lost 6 of 7 games and scored an average of only 2 runs per game in those 6 defeats. The Braves have been scoring much better but, prior to yesterday, only 1 of their last 6 games had seen Atlanta total 7 or more runs and the other 5 games in that 6-game stretch averaged just 4 Braves runs per game. 4 to 2 sounds about right in this one and plus gives us some extra cushion with this total at 8.5 here. We are going with the Under in this one. |
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07-05-23 | Royals v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
#917/918 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 8.5 Runs – Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins, Wednesday at 7:40 PM ET - Expected starters are Alec Marsh for the Royals and Pablo Lopez for the Twins. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the Royals bullpen helps the cause. Taking a look at ERA, the Kansas City bullpen is ranked next to last in the AL so far this season with a 5.06 ERA. This total has dropped from a 9 to an 8.5 which is an excellent value and set-ups don't get much better than this. The Royals 8 of last 10 road games have totaled double digits in runs and we only need 9 runs to be a winner here. The Twins 6 of last 7 home games have totaled at least 9 runs. Kansas City's Marsh has made only 1 MLB start and he allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings and was hit hard plus had issues with his command. Looking at his minor league career stats this should not come as a surprise. Marsh is 8-23 with a 5.72 ERA in his minor league career! Now he faces a red hot Twins lineup. The hosts should score very well but we look for plenty of success from the road dog here too. That's because Minnesota's Lopez has struggled at home this season. He has been great on the road but has a 5.94 ERA in his home outings. Also, this will be the 3rd time this season he is facing the Royals so they are very familiar with him. Also, the most recent time was in Minneapolis and KC got to him for 6 runs in 6 innings in that late April outing. Kansas City has scored an average of 5 runs per game over the last 6 games. The Twins have won 4 straight home games and in those victories they have averaged 7 runs scored per win! Over is the call in this one Wednesday evening. |
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07-04-23 | Rockies v. Astros OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
#973/974 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9.5 Runs – Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros, Tuesday at 4:10 PM ET - Expected starters are Kyle Freeland for the Rockies and Brandon Bielak for the Astros. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the Rockies bullpen helps the cause. Taking a look at ERA, the Colorado bullpen is ranked dead last in the NL so far this season. The big total might seem a little scary but set-ups don't get much better than this. The Rockies most recent game totaled 23 runs Sunday. The Astros most recent game totaled 23 runs yesterday. Colorado's Freeland has allowed 16 earned runs in 14.1 innings in his 3 most recent starts. The Astros Bielak has struggled so much that his most recent start was in the minors. Now he is back at the MLB level but has not started in awhile. Bielak has allowed 12 earned runs on 24 hits in 16.2 innings over his last 3 MLB starts. 9 of the last 15 Astros games have totaled at least 11 runs! Houston has scored an average of 7 runs per game over the last 11 games. 9 of the last 14 Rockies games have totaled at least 11 runs! Colorado has scored an average of 6 runs in the last 5 games. Over is the call in this one Tuesday afternoon. |
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06-30-23 | Padres v. Reds OVER 11 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
#957/958 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 11 Runs – San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 5:10 PM ET - Both these starting pitchers have struggled this season. Expected starters are Graham Ashcraft for Cincinnati and Seth Lugo for the Padres. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as both teams off a stretch of high-scoring games plus match-ups at Great American Ballpark continue to trend toward big runs. Also, the Reds bullpen has an ERA that ranks them in the middle of the pack this season. Recently, neither pen has been special. The Reds last 17 home games have averaged totaling 11 runs apiece with and 11 of last 19 home games totaling at least 11 runs. This is a hitter-friendly ballpark and the Padres are ready for a breakout game at the plate after a tough little stretch at the plate following a run in which they won 9 of 15 games and averaged scoring 6 runs per game. San Diego is expected to have Lugo on the mound and he has allowed a .275 batting average this season. As for Reds starter Ashcraft, he has allowed 47 earned runs in just 33 innings over his last 8 starts this season! The Reds are scoring an average of 5 runs per game when at home this season but they also are giving up 5.2 runs per game on the year and the Padres can score well here against Ashcraft and a suspect bullpen. Cincinnati has scored an average of 7 runs per game last 11 games. Over is the call in this one early Friday evening. |
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06-27-23 | Rays v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
#927/928 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 8.5 Runs – Tampa Bay Rays @ Arizona Diamondbacks, Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET - Taj Bradley the expected starter for the Rays and he has been a strikeout machine. Zac Gallen the expected starter for the Diamondbacks and he has been fantastic at home this season. Gallen is 7-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his 8 home starts this season! So why not a bet on Arizona here rather than the under? Well, we expect the Diamondbacks lineup to struggle with the Rays in this one. Bradley has a 2.13 ERA in his five road starts this season. Also, the Rays bullpen ranks 4th for BAA and 8th for WHIP out of all 30 teams in the majors. The way we see it, the Dbacks lineup struggles here no matter who is on the mound for Tampa Bay. As for the Rays lineup, they are facing a top-notch starting pitcher here. Gallen has been strong for years and has been nearly unhittable this season at home as evidenced by his 1.00 ERA on the year at home. Entering this game, 12 of last 15 Rays road games have totaled 8 or less runs. We see some sharper books, in early market activity, have already dropped this total to an 8 and no matter how this total moves throughout the day, this is absolutely a sign that some sharper groups are also expecting a low-scoring battle here just like we are. We are going with the Under in this one. |
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06-25-23 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
#909/910 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 8.5 Runs – San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks, Sunday at 4:05 PM ET - Expected starters are Anthony DeSclafani for San Francisco and Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as the Diamondbacks and Giants both continue to trend toward high-scoring games. Also, these two bullpens are okay but not great as they rank in that middle 10 of the 30 teams in the majors based on bullpen ERA numbers so far this season. The Arizona bullpen has a 4.12 ERA on the season and the Giants bullpen has a 3.77 ERA on the season. As for the starters here, DeSclafani had a good April but he has not been overly impressive since and, in fact, has been hit quite hard in 4 of his last 6 starts. In those 6 starts he has allowed 22 earned runs in 29 innings! We look for the Diamondbacks to hit him hard as they remain hot at the plate. Also, the Giants should pound Nelson. The Dbacks righty has been hit hard in 4 of his last 5 starts. Nelson has struggled, other than one scoreless outing in this stretch, and has given up 16 earned runs on 30 hits in 19.2 innings in those other 4 starts. The Giants are off a 7-6 win over Arizona and that means a SF game totaled double digits in runs for the 9th time in 11 games. 13 of Diamondbacks last 19 games have totaled at least 9 runs! We expect double digits here as the wind will be blowing out a good clip for this afternoon game at Oracle Park and afternoon games in San Francisco do tend to invite more scoring than chilly night games here in the summer. We look for plenty of runs today regardless of the starting pitchers so we will go with "action" on the pitchers. But, the fact is those starters look to certainly help the cause if they get the ball here! Over is the call in this one Sunday afternoon. |
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06-23-23 | Twins v. Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
#913/914 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 9 Runs – Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers, Friday at 6:40 PM ET - There is some rain in the Detroit area this morning but it is expected to move out by mid-day today so the weather should be fine for this early evening match-up. Little cool for late June standards and a light northerly breeze should also help the cause here in a park that is known for being friendly to the pitchers. The Twins and Tigers bullpen each have a WHIP that ranks them in the top ten in the majors. As for the starters here, Kenta Maeda has been very sharp in his minor league rehab appearances leading into this one. The Minnesota righty has his MLB numbers inflated this season due to just one bad start and this is is a guy that can be very tough to hit. Here Maeda will take advantage of facing a Tigers team that ranks as one of the worst in the majors at the plate with a .229 batting average and a .365 slugging percentage. As for Detroit starter Joey Wentz, he shows some ugly full season numbers to the betting markets but he has allowed 2 or less earned runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. Remember he was strong last season too and he appears to be rounding into form again now. Wentz is off a fantastic start against these same Twins as he held them to just 2 hits while striking out 9 in 6.1 innings of work! That start was in Minnesota and now he gets them in his home park in Detroit. Note that the Twins are hitting .219 in road games this season. That ranks them 29th of 30 teams in the majors. We see some sharper books, in early market activity, have already dropped this line to 8.5 and no matter how this total moves throughout the day, this is absolutely a sign that some sharper groups are also expecting a low-scoring battle here just like we are. We are going with the Under in this one. |
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06-20-23 | Cardinals v. Nationals OVER 9 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
#955/956 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 9 Runs – St Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - Expected starters are Jordan Montgomery for the Cardinals and MacKenzie Gore for the Nationals. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus both the bullpens certainly should help the cause as well. Taking a look at ERA, the Nationals bullpen is ranked 27th so far this season and the Cardinals bullpen is ranked 19th for ERA and 21st for WHIP. Gore is 1-3 with a 4.20 ERA in his home starts this season and opponents are hitting .291 against him in his outings in DC. In his only prior MLB season, last year, he also had an ERA more than 2 runs higher at home than on the road. Montgomery has allowed 25 hits in 18.2 innings in his last 4 road starts. Yesterday the Nationals had 11 hits (the Cardinals did too) and it was the only game on the board in which both clubs reached the double digit mark in hits. That one finished 8-6 and totaled 14 runs and a similar result tonight would not surprise us in the least. Washington hosting a Cardinals team that has won 4 of last 5 road games including 3 in a row. St Louis has scored an average of 7 runs in the 3 victories. The Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in 6 of last 9 games and we look for another wild one tonight in which each club exceeds the 4-run mark here and this one sets up nicely for another slugfest. Over is the call here Tuesday evening. |
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06-19-23 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
#903/904 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9 Runs – Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates, Monday at 7:05 PM ET - Expected starters are Osvaldo Bido for the Pirates and Drew Smyly for the Cubs. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus both of the bullpens certainly should help the cause as well. Taking a look at ERA, the Pirates bullpen and the Cubs bullpen both rank in the bottom fourth of the league so far this season. The Cubs have won 7 of 9 games and have been hitting well during this stretch and averaging 6 runs scored in those 9 games. Look for Chicago to maintain this hotter stretch of hitting. They will be helped here by the fact they just faced Bido and the Pirates bullpen last week. Also, Pittsburgh just faced Smyly and the Cubs bullpen last week and the Pirates, season after season, do tend to hit better when at home. Pittsburgh should take advantage of facing a struggling Cubs pitcher, Smyly, in this one as he has struggled and been hit hard in his last 4 starts. The Cubs lefty has allowed 30 hits in 22.1 innings in this 4-game stretch! The Pirates also have a starter, Bido, likely to struggle on the mound for this one. The right-hander is a rookie making just his 2nd start and giving the Cubs a quick second look at him. He went 10-20 with an ERA in the 5.00 range in the last 3 seasons combined at the minor league level. More of the same here at home in just his 2nd MLB start. Over is the call in this one Monday evening. |
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06-16-23 | Angels v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
#965/966 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 9.5 Runs – Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals, Friday at 8:10 PM ET - Expected starters are Patrick Sandoval for the Angels and Brady Singer for the Royals. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the Royals bullpen certainly should help the cause as well. Taking a look at WHIP, the Royals bullpen is ranked 29th so far this season. The Angels have won 9 of 11 games and have been hitting well the past two weeks including averaging 5.6 runs scored last 10 games and 6.6 runs per game last 5 games. Look for LA to maintain this hotter stretch of hitting. We are aware that Urshela and Rendon likely are out for the Angels for this one but Urshela has not been as strong on the road this season and Rendon is a shell of the player he was about 5 seasons ago. The Angels have plenty of depth and power in their lineup. As for KC, the Royals do tend to hit better when at home. Though the Royals might be the worst team in baseball, their .407 slugging percentage at home does rank them in the middle of the pack, 15th, in MLB so far this season. KC should take advantage of facing a struggling Angels pitcher, Sandoval, in this one as he has struggled in his last 3 starts. The Angels lefty has allowed 26 hits in 14.1 innings in this 3-game stretch! The Royals also have a struggling starter, Singer, taking the mound for this one. The right-hander is 4-5 with a 6.58 ERA this season and just got roughed up at Baltimore. More of the same here at home. The Royals have scored 4 runs in each of last 3 home games and 4 of last 5 at home and should top that here too considering the struggles of Sandoval. Over is the call in this one Friday night. |
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06-13-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
#51/52 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6 Goals - Vegas Golden Knights vs Florida Panthers, Tuesday at 8:20 PM ET - Florida must fight hard to stay alive on enemy ice. To do so, the Panthers need to turn to their defensive play and goaltending. They lost the first two games of this series by a combined score of 12 to 4. However, after back to back 3-2 games in Florida, the Panthers have now seen 9 of last 12 games total 5 or less goals. As for the Golden Knights and their defensive play, they are on home ice with a a chance to close out the Stanley Cup Finals and we fully expect them to make the most of it. The fact is that Vegas is also proving fully capable of turning up the heat on defense and also displaying solid netminding. The Golden Knights have allowed an average of only 2 goals per game in regulation time of their last 12 games. Under is our play here. |
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06-12-23 | Reds v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
#963/964 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9 Runs – Cincinnati Reds @ Kansas City Royals, Monday at 8:10 PM ET - Expected starters are Luke Weaver for the Reds and Zack Greinke for the Royals. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the bullpens help the cause. Taking a look at WHIP, the Reds bullpen is ranked 18th out of 30 teams and the Royals bullpen is ranked 29th so far this season. The Reds have won 12 of 20 games and have been hitting well in recent weeks. Prior to yesterday's 4-3 victory staying under the total, Cincinnati had 15 of 19 games total at least 9 runs during this hotter stretch of hitting. Though KC has not been hitting well they have been on the road. The Royals do tend to hit better when at home. Though the Royals might be the worst team in baseball, their .404 slugging percentage at home does rank them in the middle of the pack, 14th, in MLB so far this season. KC should take advantage of facing a struggling Reds pitcher, Weaver, in this one as he has had only 2 good starts out of 9 this season. In his other 7 starts, Weaver has allowed 32 earned runs in 35.2 innings! The Royals also have a struggling starter, Greinke, taking the mound for this one. The veteran right-hander is 1-6 with a 4.59 ERA this season and just got roughed up at Miami. More of the same here at home. Over is the call in this one Monday night.
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06-10-23 | Astros v. Guardians UNDER 8 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
#969/970 ASA PLAY ON 8* Under 8 Runs – Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians, Saturday at 6:10 PM ET - Yesterday's crazy 10-9 final in 14 innings notwithstanding, both teams have been struggling at times of late to score runs and you have two trustworthy starting pitchers on the mound and two rock solid bullpens (ranked 2nd and 3rd for bullpen ERA in the majors) as well. Cleveland has won 5 of 7 games but actually scored an average of just 3 runs in their first 5 games of this 7-game stretch! In last 8 games at home in Cleveland, prior to big games in the series finale with Boston and series opener with these Astros, the Guardians scored an average of only 2.9 runs per game. The Astros are 4-6 last 10 road games. They have often struggled to score many runs on the road in recent road trips. Overall, in last 6 games whether home or away, Houston has been held to 2 or less runs scored in 4 of the 6. Before the high-scoring loss to open up this series, the Astros had allowed an average of only 2.9 runs in their last 7 games on the road. As we mentioned above, very solid bullpens supporting these two starters and both starters appear primed for big starts here. JP France, away from home, has held opponents to a .175 BAA and he has delivered with a 1.04 ERA in his 3 road starts this season. He also was strong in the minors before being called up this season. Taking a look at the Guardians Triston McKenzie, he has returned from injury and looked great in his first start back and this was after dominating in his minor league rehab starts too! This comes as no surprise as McKenzie had a 2.77 ERA in his 13 home starts last season. This game has the makings of a 3-2 final and could even finish as a 2-1 pitchers duel. The pitching dominates again after a rare aberration in the series opener yesterday. We are going with the Under in this one. |
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06-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Tigers OVER 8 | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
#925/926 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 8 Runs – Arizona Diamondbacks vs Detroit Tigers, Friday at 6:40 PM ET - This is a contrarian play but we are already happy to see additional value here as, unsurprisingly, a total that opened at 8.5 has dropped to an 8 nearly everywhere. We understand what the betting markets are looking at here but the odds makers had the better assessment. That being said, we are riding with the over in this one because the Tigers, though off a tough road trip, have been a different club when at home this season. In last two dozen games at home, Detroit is a respectable 14-10. Of the Tigers 19 home games dating back to late April, 14 of the 19 have totaled at least 8 runs. There is simply too much value here to pass up. Lorenzen has solid numbers as a starting pitcher for the Tigers this season but last season he had a 4.24 ERA and the year before he had a 5.59 ERA. We are not completely sold on him just yet. Also, the Diamondbacks slugging percentage in road games this season ranks 6th in the majors! Both of these bullpens have only mediocre stats so far this season. Arizona starting pitcher Kelly is throwing well but, throughout his career, his ERA numbers have been higher on the road than at home. So far this season Kelly has fantastic numbers on the road in his 4 starts away from home but there will be a regression to the mean. It starts here as Tigers bounce back at the plate with a return to home. Arizona has won 17 of 24 games and scored an average of 5 runs per game during this stretch. Tigers match them run for run here. Warm temps in Detroit this evening and should be a perfect situation for a higher scoring game then most are expecting here. We like Over the total in this one. |
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06-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
#47/48 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6 Goals - Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers, Thursday at 8:20 PM ET - Florida must bounce back on home ice. To do so, the Panthers need to turn to their defensive play and goaltending. They lost the first two games of this series by a combined score of 12 to 4. However, Florida is now back at home where they have given up a total of only 7 goals in 4 games in the last two rounds of the post-season. Now it is the Panthers first home game of the Stanley Cup Finals and we fully expect them to make the most of it. The problem for Florida is that Vegas is also proving fully capable of turning up the heat on defense and also displaying solid netminding. The Golden Knights have allowed only 2 goals per game in regulation time of their last 10 games. Under is our play here. |
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06-08-23 | Astros v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
#963/964 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 8 or 8.5 Runs – Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays, Thursday at 7:07 PM ET - Both teams have been struggling at times of late to score runs and you have two red hot starting pitchers on the mound and two rock solid bullpens as well. Toronto has won 9 of 12 games but actually scored 3 or less runs in 4 of last 6 wins! In last 7 games at home in Toronto, the Blue Jays have had only one big game at the plate. In the other 6 games they have scored an average of only 3.3 runs per game. The Astros are 4-4 last 8 road games. They have often struggled to score many runs on the road in recent road trips. Overall, in last 4 games whether home or away, Houston has been held to 2 or less runs scored in 3 of the 4. Even off B2B losses in this series, the Astros have allowed an average of only 3 runs in their last 6 games on the road. As we mentioned above, very solid bullpens supporting these two starters and both appear primed for big starts here. Framber Valdez is 4-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his 4 road starts this season. Overall he has been dominant as Valdez allowed 4 earned runs in 1 of his dozen starts this season but allowed a total of only 15 earned runs in the other 11 starts! Taking a look at the Jays Jose Berrios, he is red hot! Berrios was 7-2 at home last season and he has a 2.22 ERA in his 4 home starts this season. Also, the overall numbers for Berrios are impacted by 3 tougher road starts including his very first 2 starts this season. Other than those 3 (again, all on the road and a couple from two months back!) he has allowed a total of only 12 earned runs in 9 starts! This game has the makings of a 3-2 final and could even finish as a 2-1 pitchers duel. The pitching dominates again in this series in Thursday's game. We are going strong with the Under in this one.
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06-07-23 | Nuggets v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
ASA NBA top play on 10* UNDER 214.5 Denver Nuggets @ Miami Heat, Game 3 Weds 8:30 PM ET - We’ve hit our two Side wagers on the first two games of this series and will now bet the Over/Under in Game 3. We like UNDER the Total and expect a lower scoring game. In the opener these two teams combined for 197 total points on 175 FG attempts. Miami had a poor shooting night and only attempted 2 FT’s in the game. In Game 2 there were only 153 field goal attempts, yet the game creeped Over the Total of 216 when 219 points were scored. The big reason that Over cashed was incredible shooting by the Heat in the 4th quarter. Miami made 7 straight FG’s to start the 4th on their way to a 36-point quarter. Both teams also shot well above expectations in Game 2 so expect a regression in Game 3. As far as the pace of play is concerned these two teams were two of the slower paced teams in the league during the regular season ranking 2nd slowest (MIA) and 8th (DEN). Both of these teams have averaged fewer possessions per game in the postseason too. The Nuggets head coach Malone and veteran Jeff Green called out their team defensively after Game 2 so expect a much better effort on that end of the court here. BET UNDER! |
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06-07-23 | Dodgers v. Reds UNDER 11.5 | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
#903/904 ASA PLAY ON 8* Under 11.5 Runs – Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds, Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET - This total is just too much. We understand it based on the lack of experience of the Reds starter here and the fact that the Dodgers starter has struggled this season plus yesterday's game totaled 17 runs. However, it is simply too much especially when you take a closer look at the team and starting pitcher aspects and why this number is inflated. The Reds, prior to yesterday, had averaged just 3.7 runs scored in their last 6 games. The Dodgers, prior to yesterday's 9-8 loss in Cincinnati in Game 1 of this series, had scored an average of 4.5 runs per game in their last 4 games. The Reds are expected to start rookie Brandon Williamson here and the lefty has held opponents to a .215 batting average against in 2023 thus far. This should be a solid duel here in this one as the Dodgers are expected to start Noah Syndergaard this evening. The LA right-hander is off a tough start and has been rumored to have his starting spot on the line due to struggles this season. However, all the runs against him were with two outs each time in his most recent outing against the Nationals last week. Syndergaard pitched better than his line shows but gave up some bigger hits with 2-outs. Look for Syndergaard to bounce back here. He had allowed 16 hits in 15 innings in his 3 starts prior to that one. The fact is, with less than 2 outs he was unscored on in his last start. We think the savvy 8-year vet is going to step up his game here and give the Reds trouble and this large total gives us a lot of wiggle room here! Let’s take the Under in this one.
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
#43/44 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals (-110) - Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights, Saturday at 8 PM ET - Even eliminating OT goals, the Panthers have averaged scoring 3.2 goals per game in regulation time of their 12 post-season wins. The Golden Knights, again excluding OT, have averaged 4.3 goals in their dozen playoff victories required to reach this point. Look for the aggressive Panthers to try and get the jump on Vegas early. However, on home ice, Vegas is sure to bounce back strong. We are not sure Florida can hang on to an early lead but we look for a quick jump on enemy ice to lead a rather high-scoring game 1. Given the above, would not be surprised to see each club get to the 3-goal mark in regulation time. This total set at 5.5 goals makes good sense for sure but also is offering us excellent line value. Over is our play here. |
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05-31-23 | Yankees v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -114 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
#969/970 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 7.5 Runs – New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners, Wednesday at 9:40 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over in this one. This total dropped from an 8 to a 7.5 in a number of books in early market activity which is giving us extra value. We get a lower total here because of George Kirby's long-term numbers and the fact these are two solid bullpens but one must also look at what these clubs, particularly the Yankees, have been doing offensively of late. The key here is all the value these market perceptions have led to. The Yankees are red hot at the plate and have scored exactly 10 runs in 3 straight games. Also, New York's road games have seen them score an average of 6.1 runs last 10 games and they have won 6 straight and 8 of last 9 when away from home. The Yankees are hot and Kirby enters this one off a very rough home start in which he allowed 4 homers! New York has really been slugging the ball so don't be surprised if Kirby struggles again. He also was hit harder at home last year just as has been the case this season. As for Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt, his ERA and batting average against numbers have both been worse when on the road compared to at home. Schmidt enters this one with a 5.58 ERA on the season and opponents hitting .301 against him. The Mariners, prior to being held to 2 runs in yesterday's loss, had scored an average of 5 runs per game in their last 9 games. Our computer math model shows a range of 9 to 10 as the most likely occurrence with the final run tally here and many simulations show a final run tally in the 11 to 12 range. Over is the call in this one Wednesday night. |
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05-29-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 6-0 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
#29/30 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - As mentioned heading into Saturday's game that snuck over the total, in the East and West finals combined, there had been 8 games so far and only 2 of the 8 had totaled more than 5 goals. The Hurricanes/Panthers series is wrapped up and only the final game of that went over the total. As for series the only one that went over the total, before Saturday's surprising Game 5 result, was Game 1 of this series which was 1-1 going to the 3rd and then got crazy including a late goal tie the game at 3-3 and force a 4-3 final in OT. The point is that, entering Saturday, we could have easily been talking about all unders in these West finals and even in the East Finals it took a late goal to send that one to OT and going over the total. We think we'll see another tight battle here. Down 3-2 and back on home ice, the Stars will turn to defense and staunch netminding to look to even up the series at 3 games apiece. Dallas has allowed only 18 goals in their 10 wins this post-season. Vegas has allowed 24 goals in their 11 wins this season. So you can see why a 2-1 type game or 3-2 type game at the most should be in the offing here. Under is our play here. |
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05-29-23 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
#951/952 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 10 Runs – Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks, Monday at 4:10 PM ET - Expected starters are Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks and Karl Kauffmann for the Rockies. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the bullpens help the cause. Taking a look at ERA, the Diamondbacks bullpen is ranked 19th out of 30 teams and the Rockies bullpen is ranked 25th so far this season. The big total might seem a little scary but set-ups don't get much better than this. Nelson has struggled at home this season (6.31 ERA in 5 home starts) and also got rocked in his only start versus Colorado this season. The Rockies Kauffmann was hit at a .340 clip this season in his 8 starts in the minors here in 2023! Overall he is 14-24 with a 6.00 ERA in his minor league career. He is 0-2 with a 9.35 ERA in what is now his rookie MLB season and one was at hitter friendly Coors Field but the other ugly outing was on the road. That said, this road venue is not an easy one either as Chase Field is hitter-friendly. 13 of the last 20 meetings between these clubs have reached double digits in runs and this one should too. Over is the call in this one Monday afternoon. |
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05-28-23 | Mets v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
#905/906 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 12.5 Runs – New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies, Sunday at 3:10 PM ET - Expected starters are Tylor Megill for the Mets and Austin Gomber for the Rockies. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the bullpens help the cause. Taking a look at ERA, the Mets bullpen is ranked 17th out of 30 teams and the Rockies bullpen is ranked 23rd so far this season. The weather will be mild in Denver this afternoon and the ball should be carrying very well in the thin air as per usual. The big total might seem a little scary but set-ups don't get much better than this. Megill has struggled on the road this season and really has not been the same pitcher since returning from injury in 2022. Remember he had a great April that year but then struggled the rest of the season. This year he has been particularly roughed up on the road and he already struggled against the Rockies this season and that start was at home. This will be a much tougher test with the rematch at Coors Field. Colorado's Gomber was hit at a .300 clip last season at home and opponents are hitting .305 against him in his home starts this season. Gomber has an ugly 7.98 ERA in his 6 home starts this season. New York has scored an average of 7.3 runs per game in their last 3 games including scoring 7 at Coors Field in yesterday's 10-7 loss. The Rockies have averaged scoring 6 runs per game in their 16 home games dating back to the end of April. There were 17 runs scored yesterday and nice hitting weather expected again in this one this afternoon. Look for another slugfest. Over is the call in this one Sunday afternoon.
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* UNDER 210.5 Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat Game 6 Saturday 8:30 PM ET - These two teams just shot 51% against each other and still only managed 207 total points in the last game. The reason why was the slow deliberate pace by both teams with a combined 157 field goal attempts. The field goal attempts in the first two games were below league average with 166 attempts in Game 1 and 172 in Game 2. The NBA average for FGA per game this season was 176. In Games 3 & 4 they attempted 179 and 162. During the regular season the Heat owned the 9th best defensive efficiency rating allowing just 1.135-points per possession. Boston was 3rd giving up 1.115PPP. In the Playoffs the Celtics are allowing 1.130PPP which is obviously very good, but Miami has been better yet allowing just 1.117PPP which is 4th best. Also, in the postseason both teams’ pace of play has slowed. Two big injuries will also have an impact on the total points scored by these teams. Malcom Brogdon has issues with his shooting arm and may not play. If he does how effective can he be shooting? The big loss for the Heat is Gabe Vincent who has been outstanding in the playoffs. Vincent is averaging 13.5PPG in this series and has provided Miami with another 3-point threat (11 of 22 from Deep vs. Boston) with Tyler Herro on the bench. Both defenses will play at a peak level in this game and expect both teams to favor a much slower tempo. Bet UNDER! |
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05-27-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
#21/22 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - Vegas Golden Knights versus Dallas Stars, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET - In the East and West finals combined, there have been 8 games so far and only 2 of the 8 have totaled more than 5 goals. The Hurricanes/Panthers series is wrapped up and only the final game of that went over the total. As for series the only one that went over the total was Game 1 of this series which was 1-1 going to the 3rd and then got crazy including a late goal tie the game at 3-3 and force a 4-3 final in OT. The point is that we could easily be talking about all unders in these West finals and even in the East Finals it took a late goal to send that one to OT and going over the total. We think we'll see another tight battle here. Down 3-1 and on enemy ice, the Stars will turn to defense and staunch netminding to look to get back into this series. Dallas has allowed only 16 goals in their 9 wins this post-season. Vegas has allowed 24 goals in their 11 wins this season. So you can see why a 2-1 type game or 3-2 type game at the most should be in the offing here. Under is our play here. |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 216 | Top | 116-99 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* OVER 216 Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat, 8:30 PM ET Game 4 - All three games of this series have gone Over the total. That’s somewhat surprising considering they have been below the league average in field goal attempts in 2 of three games. But hot shooting by the Heat has been the driving factor. Miami is 26th in the NBA in shooting percentage at 46% and 27th in 3-point percentage at 34.4%. In this series they shot 54%, 46% and 57% in the three games. They have also shot over 52% in two of the three games from beyond the arc. Boston had one of the best defensive efficiency ratings in the regular season, but they are giving up 1.142-points per possession in the Playoffs. Off that embarrassing Game 3 blowout I’m betting the Celtics Stars Tatum and Brown will come out firing in this elimination game. The Over has cashed in 5 of the last six meetings. The O/U line is low again so grab the value with Over. |
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05-23-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
#13/14 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET - In the East and West finals combined, there have been 5 games so far and only 1 of the 5 have totaled more than 5 goals. That was in Game 1 of this series which was 1-1 going to the 3rd and then got crazy including a late goal tie the game at 3-3 and force a 4-3 final in OT. The point is that we could easily be talking about all unders in the East and West finals and we think we'll see another tight battle here. Down 2-0 but on home ice, the Stars will turn to defense and staunch netminding to look to get back into this series. Dallas has allowed only 14 goals in their 8 wins this post-season. Vegas has allowed 24 goals in their 10 wins this season. So you can see why a 2-1 type game or 3-2 type game at the most should be in the offing here. Under is our play here. |
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05-22-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
#11/12 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals (-102) - Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - The Hurricanes, in the series with New Jersey, the Canes averaged 4.6 goals scored per game! After coming up just short in each of the first two games of this series, look for Carolina to come up with a huge effort on the road at Florida in Game 3. The Panthers, are a very confident bunch here at home as they score particularly well on home ice. They also have built plenty of momentum with back to back wins at Carolina. However, the Hurricanes are proven road warriors plus have their backs against the wall now in this series and we could see this one turning into a back and forth high-scoring affair in which a 4-3 type of final would not be a surprise at all. The Hurricanes must respond after the Game 1 and 2 losses on home ice. But also there is going to be tired legs defensively on both teams as the defensemen get more extra work than the forwards in long multi-OT games like the one that played out in Game 1 of this series and though Game 2's OT was a short one, the accumulation of ice takes a toll simply because there are fewer defensemen on an NHL roster. Over is our play here. |
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05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | 102-128 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
ASA play on 8* UNDER 214.5 Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat Game 3 Sunday, 8:30 PM ET - WOW! That’s all I have to say about where this series stands with the Heat winning both games in Beantown to go up 2-0. We are not getting involved in a Side in this game but will make a small wager on the Under. The field goal attempts in both games have been below league average with 166 attempts in Game 1 and 172 in Game 2. The NBA average for FGA per game this season was 176. During the regular season the Heat owned the 9th best defensive efficiency rating allowing just 1.135-points per possession. Boston was 3rd giving up 1.115PPP. In the Playoffs the Celtics are allowing 1.130PPP which is obviously very good, but Miami has been better yet allowing just 1.117PPP which is 4th best. Also, in the postseason both teams’ pace of play has slowed. Miami’s last three home games finished with 191, 210 and 188 total points. Boston’s last three road games (in regulation time) finished with 181, 214 and 216 total points. We like both defenses to step up in this crucial game and it results in a total less than 214.5 |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 222.5 | Top | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* UNDER 222.5 Denver Nuggets @ LA Lakers, 8:30 PM ET Game 3 - These two teams had an incredible shooting night in Game 1 and produced 258-total points between them. Both teams shot extremely well with the Lakers hitting 46 of 84 FG attempts while the Nuggets went 50 of 91. That 55% shooting by both teams was well above both teams season averages. To go along with that shooting theme, both hit above 46% from beyond the arc. That is highly unusual for the Lakers who were 25th in the NBA in 3-point percentage this season at 34.6%. In Game 2 we got a game that was much more predictive of what these two teams really are. They combined for 211 total points on 171 field goal attempts. The Lakers came back to Earth with a 44% shooting night and 8 of 30 Game 3 from beyond the arc. Denver was close to their season averages of 44% overall and 37% from deep. This Nuggets team was 23rd in pace of play at 98.1 possessions per game during the regular season. In the postseason, the Nuggets are playing slower yet at 95.5 possessions per game. While we are on the subject of pace, the Lakers averaged 101.3 possessions per game during the regular season and are now averaging 98.8 possessions per game AND that is after playing the Grizzlies and Warriors who were 5th and 1st in pace. Defensively both teams have stepped up in the Playoffs as the Lakers are giving up just 1.077-points per possession (1st) and the Nuggets are allowing 1.106PPP which is 4th best. If you paid close attention to Game 2 then you saw what we saw which was too very fatigued teams from the intensity and higher altitude in Denver. The Lakers defense at home in the postseason has been outstanding as they have held all of their opponents to 104 or less points in regulation time. This will be another low field goal attempt game and stay UNDER the total. |
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05-20-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
#7/8 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals (-115) - Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET - The Hurricanes, not including OT scoring of course, have scored 20 goals in their last 6 home games. Overall, in the series with New Jersey, the Canes averaged 4.6 goals scored per game! The Panthers, not including OT scoring of course, have averaged scoring 3.3 goals per game last 7 road games - all 7 of them wins! Florida is very confident bunch here based on all their road successes in this post-season including the dramatic 3-2 quadruple-OT win in game 1 of this series. However, Carolina also very confident on home ice and we could see this one turning into a back and forth high-scoring affair in which a 4-3 type of final would not be a surprise at all. The Hurricanes must respond after the Game 1 loss but also there is going to be tired legs defensively on both teams as the defensemen get more extra work than the forwards in long multi-OT games like that simply because there are fewer defensemen on the roster. Over is our play here. |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* UNDER 227 LA Lakers @ Denver Nuggets, 8:30 PM ET Game 2 - Everyone just watched these two teams produce 258 total points in Game 1 of this series. Both teams shot extremely well with the Lakers hitting 46 of 84 FG attempts while the Nuggets went 50 of 91. That 55% shooting by both teams was well above both teams season averages. To go along with that shooting theme, both hit above 46% from beyond the arc. That is highly unusual for the Lakers who were 25th in the NBA in 3-point percentage this season at 34.6%. This Nuggets team was 23rd in pace of play at 98.1 possessions per game during the regular season. In the postseason, the Nuggets are playing slower yet at 95.5 possessions per game. While we are on the subject of pace, the Lakers averaged 101.3 possessions per game during the regular season and are now averaging 98.8 possessions per game AND that is after playing the Grizzlies and Warriors who were 5th and 1st in pace. Defensively both teams have stepped up in the Playoffs as the Lakers are giving up just 1.077-points per possession (1st) and the Nuggets are allowing 1.106PPP which is 4th best. The Lakers defense just held the Warriors to 101 or less points in 3 games of that series and should make adjustments to limit Jokic and Murray from scoring 30+. The Nuggets defense has also been outstanding allowing 109 or less points in 5 of their last eight. Don’t expect Anthony Davis to have a repeat performance of 40 points and it’s unlikely they get 40 combined from Reaves and Hachimura. |
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05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
#1/2 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals (-120) - Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET - The Hurricanes, not including OT scoring of course, have scored 18 goals in their last 5 home games. Overall, in the series with New Jersey, the Canes averaged 4.6 goals scored per game! The Panthers, not including OT scoring of course, have averaged scoring 3.5 goals per game last 6 road games - all 6 of them wins! Florida is very confident bunch here based on all their road successes in this post-season. However, Carolina also very confident on home ice and we could see this one turning into a back and forth high-scoring affair in which a 4-3 type of final would not be a surprise at all. Over is our play here. |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | Top | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* UNDER 222.5 LA Lakers @ Denver Nuggets, 8:30 PM ET Game 1 - With more money and tickets on the Over you would expect this line to go up, but it didn’t and one respected Sports Book is even carrying 222 on this game. That has us liking the Under even more coupled with our standard statistical projections. The Lakers just faced a Warriors team that was the fastest paced team in the NBA during the regular season AND was the 2nd highest in scoring and the series averaged 222.5PPG. Now the Lakers face a Nuggets team that was 23rd in pace of play a t98.1 possessions per game during the regular season. In the postseason, the Nuggets are playing slower yet at 95.5 possessions per game. While we are on the subject of pace, the Lakers averaged 101.3 possessions per game during the regular season and are now averaging 98.8 possessions per game AND that is after playing the Grizzlies and Warriors who were 5th and 1st in pace. Defensively both teams have stepped up in the Playoffs as the Lakers are giving up just 1.077-points per possession (1st) and the Nuggets are allowing 1.106PPP which is 4th best. When the Nuggets have been at home in the Playoffs thus far they have stayed Under 223 total points in 4 of six games. The Lakers defense just held a Warriors team to 101 or less points in 3 games of that series and should be up for the challenge of slowing this Nuggets team down. The Nuggets defense has also been outstanding allowing 109 or less points in 5 of their last seven. Our model projects 216 total points here. |
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05-16-23 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 12 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
#905/906 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 12 Runs – Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies, Tuesday at 8:40 PM ET - Expected starters are Brandon Williamson for the Reds and Chase Anderson for the Rockies. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the bullpens help the cause. Taking a look at WHIP, the Reds bullpen is ranked 19th out of 30 teams and the Rockies bullpen is ranked 24th so far this season. The weather will be mild in Denver this evening and the ball should be carrying very well in the thin air as per usual. The big total might seem a little scary but set-ups don't get much better than this. Williamson is a rookie and he was 2-4 with a 6.62 ERA and .310 batting average against in the minors at the AAA level before being called up for this start. This start is highly unlikely to go well here. Pitchers are known for struggling in their first-ever starts here more often than not. This is not only Williamson's first ever start at Coors Field, it is first ever start in the majors! Not a good situation for him. As for Anderson, the veteran right-hander was claimed by the Rockies after being put on waivers by the Rays. Anderson has a 6.38 ERA or higher in each of his last three seasons. He most recently pitched at Coors Field as a member of the Phillies a few years ago and he allowed 6 earned runs in under 4 innings! Cincinnati has scored at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 5 games including scoring 8 at Coors Field in yesterday's series-opening 9-8 loss. The Rockies have averaged scoring 6.4 runs per game in their 8 home games dating back to the end of April. Anderson has not even made a start yet this season and Willamson is making his MLB debut and there were 17 runs scored yesterday and nice hitting weather expected again in this one tonight. Look for another slugfest. Over is the call in this one Tuesday night. |
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05-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
#49/50 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals - Seattle Kraken versus Dallas Stars, Monday at 8:10 PM ET - We have seen a big change from each club in this series. After each showed an ability to win tight low-scoring games in their respective first round series victories over the Avalanche and the Wild, both the Kraken and the Stars have turned this one into a shootout. All 6 games in this series have totaled 6 or more goals. In fact, the 6 games have averaged 8 goals apiece. We are seeing some 5.5 on this one out there and we will not hesitate to get involved as another game totaling 6 or more is very likely per our computer math modeling for this one. Over is our play here. |
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05-14-23 | Reds v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
#903/904 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 8.5 Runs – Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins, Sunday at 1:40 PM ET - Both these starting pitchers have struggled this season. Expected starters are Luke Weaver for the Reds and Braxton Garrett for the Marlins. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as we look for today's match-up to pick up right where yesterday's game left off. That one was a 6-5 Reds win where 10 of the 11 runs were scored from the 5th inning onward and we look for the runs to keep piling up in this day game in Miami. The Marlins last 4 home games have all totaled at least 9 runs and those have averaged 13 runs! The Reds have won 5 of 7 games and scored an average of 6 runs in those 5 victories. About the expected starting pitchers, Weaver has a 7.36 ERA on the year and has allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of his 4 starts this season. Garrett also has some ugly numbers as his May has gotten off to a horrific start. Not only does the Marlins lefty have a 13.97 ERA in his two starts this month, he has been getting hit at a .336 clip this season. The Reds bullpen has been middle of the pack so far this season (but overachieved in our opinion and an imminent regression is likely). The Marlins relievers ERA ranks 23rd out of 30 teams so far this season. Over is the call in this one early Sunday afternoon. |
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05-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
#37/38 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals - Seattle Kraken versus Dallas Stars, Saturday at 7:10 PM ET - We have seen a big change from each club in this series. After each showed an ability to win tight low-scoring games in their respective first round series victories over the Avalanche and the Wild, both the Kraken and the Stars have turned this one into a shootout. All 5 games in this series have totaled 6 or more goals. In fact, the 5 games have averaged 8 goals apiece. We are seeing some 5.5 on this one out there and we will not hesitate to get involved as another game totaling 6 or more is very likely per our computer math modeling for this one. Over is our play here. |
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05-11-23 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
#953/954 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 9 Runs – San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks, Thursday at 9:40 PM ET - Expected starters are Alex Cobb for San Francisco and Tommy Henry for the Diamondbacks. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as the Diamondbacks continue to trend toward high-scoring games. Also, these two bullpens have ERA numbers that rank them near the bottom of the majors this season. The Arizona bullpen has a 4.70 ERA on the season and the Giants bullpen has a 5.63 ERA on the season. As for the starter here, Cobb has a low ERA and is off a good start in his first outing this month. However, last month in April he had 6 starts and was hit at a .287 clip for the month! Also, he particularly has struggled on the road this season with 18 hits allowed in 13.2 innings of work. So Cobb is very fortunate for his low ERA and we look for the Diamondbacks to hit him hard just like they did in his last visit here last season when he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings of work. Also, the Giants should pound Henry. The Dbacks southpaw allowed 5 earned runs in 4.2 innings when he faced them in Arizona last season. This season Henry has struggled in his limited action so far and has a 5.17 ERA so far after compiling a 5.36 ERA in his rookie season last year. The Giants are off a game that totaled double digits in runs for the 3rd time in 6 games. 16 of Diamondbacks last 21 games have totaled at least 9 runs! We expect double digits here as this is a hitters park and the bullpens have both struggled and both lineups are likely to enjoy big success tonight regardless of the starting pitchers. But, the fact is those starters look to certainly help the cause if they get the ball here! Over is the call in this one Thursday night. |
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05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 212 | Top | 95-86 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* OVER 212 Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers, 7:30 PM ET - The five games in this series have finished with 234, 208, 216, 214 (in regulation) and 218 total points. The Celtics had scored 114 or more in each game, up until the last one when they managed just 103 points. Boston had a poor shooting night in Game 5 by hitting just 40% overall and 32% from deep. Boston shoots 47.5% as a team overall and 37.7% from the 3-point line. The one game in this series that has stayed below the Total, the 76ers had an exceptionally bad shooting night at 39% overall and 20% from the 3-point line. Those numbers are not indicative of the Sixes offense this season that owned the 6th best FG% in the league at 48.7% and was 1st in 3PT% at 38.7%. These two teams ranked 3rd and 2nd in offensive efficiency with Philly averaging 1.178-ponts per possession, Boston averaged 1.181PPP. Seven of the last ten meetings between these two teams has finished with more than 214 total points. Let’s not forget, an average NBA game this season finished with 228 total points being scored so getting to 213 for these two teams shouldn’t be a problem. |
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05-10-23 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 8-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
#903/904 ASA PLAY ON 8* Under 8 Runs – Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers, Wednesday at 1:40 PM ET - The Brewers have lost 7 of 9 games and scored an average of only 2.3 runs per game in the 7 losses. The Dodgers, prior to yesterday's 6-2 win here in Milwaukee, had scored an average of only 2 runs per game in their 6 most recent road games. The Brewers expected to start Wade Miley here and the lefty had a 3.37 ERA in 2021 and 3.16 ERA in 2022 and is 3-1 with a 2.31 ERA in 2023 thus far. This should be a solid duel of southpaws in this one as the Dodgers are expected to start 9-time All-Star Clayton Kershaw this afternoon. The LA left-hander is off a tough start but that is a rarity for him and he is coming off fantastic April. He was 5-1 with a 1.89 ERA before allowing 4 earned runs in his first outing this month. Look for Kershaw to bounce back here. 3 of Kershaw's last 4 starts have been games that have totaled 7 or less runs and those games averaged 5.8 runs each. Look for another low-scoring battle in this Kershaw start as well. Let’s take the Under in this one.
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05-09-23 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
#953/954 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 9.5 Runs – New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET - Both these starting pitchers have struggled this season. Expected starters are Luke Weaver for Cincinnati and Max Scherzer for the Mets. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as both teams are off high-scoring losses and games at Great American Ballpark continue to trend toward big runs. Also, these two bullpens have ERA numbers that rank them in the middle of the pack this season. Certainly, neither pen has been special. The Reds last 15 home games have averaged totaling 12 runs apiece with many games reaching the double digit mark in runs. This is a hitter-friendly ballpark and the Mets are ready for a breakout game at the plate after a tough little stretch at the plate followed by scoring 6 runs in the loss to the Rockies Sunday. New York is expected to have Scherzer on the mound and he has a shoulder issue he continues to deal with. Additionally, his first start back after the suspension did not go well. Perhaps the suspension for use of a foreign substance on his glove is in his mind a little bit. That plus the shoulder issue plus the fact he is 38 now is all starting to catch up with him. As for Reds starter Weaver, he has allowed at least 4 runs in each of his 3 starts this season. At the rate he is going, Weaver is on the way to a season with an ERA north of 6.50 for the 3rd time in 4 years! As for the Mets Scherzer, including post-season, he has allowed 25 earned runs in his last 7 starts dating back to October of last year. He just has not been the same pitcher. The Reds are scoring an average of 5 runs per game when at home this season but they also are giving up 5.3 runs per game on the year and the Mets can score well here against Weaver and a suspect bullpen. Over is the call in this one early Tuesday evening. |
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05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -131 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
#11/12 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals (-135) - Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights, Monday at 8:40 PM ET - The Oilers last 4 games had all totaled more than 8 goals before Saturday's game landed on 6 in the 5-1 Oilers win! Edmonton is scoring an average of 4 goals per game in the post-season and there certainly is nothing average about that! They did the same in the regular season too as they were the top scoring team in the league and averaged 4 goals per game. The thing is Vegas was very quietly also nearly as big of an offensive juggernaut in the regular season too and now, Game 2 of this series notwithstanding, they have turned things up a notch in the post-season too. The Golden Knights, prior to the Game 2 loss, had scored an average of 4.8 goals per game last 5 games - all wins. You know the Oilers are going to bring forth a very strong effort on home ice but Vegas must answer them goal for goal after the ugly loss at home Saturday. That being said, it should be a back and forth high-scoring barnburner. Over is our play here. |
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05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 214.5 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* OVER 214.5 Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers, 3:30 PM ET - The three games in this series have finished with 234, 208 and 216 total points. The Celtics have done their jobs offensively scoring 114 or more in each. The one game that stayed below the Total, the 76ers had an exceptionally bad shooting night at 39% overall and 20% from the 3-point line. Those numbers are not indicative of the Sixers offense this season that owned the 6th best FG% in the league at 48.7% and was 1st in 3PT% at 38.7%. James Harden has been especially bad in the last two games, scoring just 12 and 16-points after scoring 45 in Game 1. We predict James will get back on track at home in this pivotal Game 4. Embiid scored 30-points in his second game back from injury and should be even better with a couple games now under his belt. These two teams ranked 3rd and 2nd in offensive efficiency with Philly averaging 1.178-ponts per possession, Boston averaged 1.181PPP. 5 of the last eight meetings between these two teams has finished with more than 214 total points. Let’s not forget, an average NBA game this season finished with 228 total points being scored so getting to 214 for these two teams shouldn’t be a problem. |
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05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
#57/58 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals (-135) - Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights, Saturday at 7:10 PM ET - The Oilers last 4 games have all totaled more than 8 goals! Edmonton is scoring an average of 4 goals per game in the post-season and there certainly is nothing average about that! They did the same in the regular season too as they were the top scoring team in the league and averaged 4 goals per game. The thing is Vegas was very quietly also a big of an offensive juggernaut in the regular season too and now they have turned things up a notch in the post-season too. The Golden Knights have scored an average of 4.8 goals per game last 5 games all wins. You know the Oilers are going to thrown everything including the kitchen sink at them in this game and it should be a back and forth high-scoring barnburner. Over is our play here. |
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05-06-23 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
#911/912 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 7.5 Runs – New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays, Saturday at 4:10 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over in this one. We get a lower total here because the Yankees are still without Aaron Judge in the lineup and the fact the Yankees have not been great offensively. The key here is all the value these market perceptions have led to. The Rays won yesterday's game 5-4 and are 27-6 on the season and 18-2 at home. Tampa Bay has scored more runs than any team in the majors and is averaging 6.5 runs per game thus far. Of course this is a big reason they are the #1 team in the majors so far this season. The Yankees have scored 4 runs in each of last 3 games and they could surprise here. The scheduled starters are Drew Rasmussen for the Rays and Domingo German for the Yankees. Note that Rasmussen has been hit hard in 3 of his last 4 starts. In his most recent start he was allowing a lot of hard contact. Even many of the outs were very hard hit balls. A couple of double plays and working out of jams prevented his day from being even worse. Rasmussen has now had just 1 good start the last 4 and has allowed 13 earned runs in 14 innings in the other 3 starts. As for Yankees starter German, he has been roughed up in 2 of his last 3 starts. The New York right-hander is off a strong start but, prior to this, he had allowed 10 earned runs in 12 innings in his 2 prior starts and allowed 5 homers in those two starts. German is still getting strikeouts but when he is giving up contact it has included many balls getting crushed. Historically he has certainly been less than dominant in his starts at Tropicana Field too. Considering the above factors, this total is too low. Yes, these are two solid bullpens. However, 21 of the Rays last 30 games (70%!) have totaled at least 8 runs. Tampa Bay is just so powerful at home and Yankees should be good for at least 4 runs again today and, of course, the Rays are a big money line favorite for a reason! Over is the call in this one Saturday afternoon. |
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05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 120 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
#59/60 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals (+120) - New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes, Friday at 8:10 PM ET - The Hurricanes won Game One by a count of 5 to 1 and could have scored even more. The Devils are sure to respond in Game Two but also have a goalie concern as Vanecek has struggled in the post-season and so they had been red-hot goalie Schmid so far. However, he was exposed by this strong Hurricanes team in Game One of this series and more is likely on the way in Game Two. This Canes team really brings it when on home ice and we expect a lot of scoring here because it is the only ways the Devils will answer now. They are unlikely to win a low-scoring grinder with the Hurricanes so they have to push and get more out of their attack. The Hurricanes have scored 11 goals in their last 3 home games. The Devils had averaged 3 goals per game last 5 games - 4 of them wins - before getting shellshocked in Game One. They will be better here but look for a back and forth game in which 4-3 would not be a surprise at all. Over is our play here. |
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
#51/22 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes, Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET - The Devils have a red hot goalie as Akira Schmid has been red hot between the pipes for New Jersey. Ever since he took over in the Rangers series with his team down 2 games to 0, that series turned on its head and he was the catalyst. He can continue to dominate here. The Hurricanes are rested and are off a 2-1 OT win at New York Islanders close that series out. Now, off that low-scoring gem, Carolina is back on home ice where 6 of last 7 games have totaled 5 or less goals. We see a lot of value in this one in what should be a tense, tight affair in Game 1. Under is our play here. |
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05-03-23 | Pirates v. Rays UNDER 7 | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
#975/976 ASA PLAY ON 8* Under 7 Runs – Pittsburgh Pirates @ Tampa Bay Rays, Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET - The Rays took game 1 of this 3-game series last night by a final score of 4-1 with the two teams combining for only 11 hits. We see a similar result this evening. Both teams have high level starters taking the mound with the Pirates Mitch Keller and the Rays Shane Mcclanahan. Keller has been red hot as he allowed an average of 2 earned runs per start in 5 starts and 31 innings pitched last month. Keller has been missing plenty of bats with 40 strikeouts in 35.2 innings pitched this season. Tampa Bay will counter with Shane Mcclanahan. The Rays ace left-hander has been sharp as of late (and really all season!) as he has allowed just 8 earned runs in his 6 starts this season and struck out 19 in his last two home starts in 11 innings combined. McClanahan is 5-0 this season and Keller is 3-0 this season. You have two guys who are getting a lot of strikeouts plus pitching with a high level of confidence right now. You also have a match-up featuring two very strong bullpens. The Pirates bullpen ERA ranks them 2nd in National League and the Rays bullpen ERA ranks them 3rd in the majors! Just like last night, this game sets up as another low scoring affair. Let’s take the Under in this one. |
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05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
#49/50 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars, Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET - The Kraken are off a series with Colorado in which only one of the 7 games was high-scoring. In the other 6 games, Seattle averaged only 2 goals scored per game and allowed only 2 goals per game. As for Dallas, they got very strong defensively as their series went on with the Wild. The Stars had only one ugly loss in the series with Minnesota and in the other 5 games allowed only 1.6 goals per game in regulation time of those games. Each of their last 3 games have totaled 5 or less goals. 6 of 7 games in the Seattle series totaled 5 or less goals. Under is our play here. |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 227 | Top | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* OVER 227 Phoenix Suns @ Denver Nuggets Game 2 Monday, 10 PM ET - The O/U on game 1 of this series was the same Total it is here at 227.5 and the two teams combined for 232-points. We expect another similar outcome in Game 2. These two teams combined for 185 field goal attempts in the opener which is 9 more than the regular season average for the entire NBA. Phoenix has the 7th best 3PT% in the league but connected on just 7 of 23 attempts for 30%. The Nuggets scored 125 points on 48% shooting and 43% from beyond the arc. We don’t expect a dramatic change in Denver’s output but do expect the Suns to score more. Phoenix did average 113.6PPG on the year and rated the 13th best offensive efficiency. Phoenix is on a strong 7-1-1 Over streak their last 9 games, Denver is over 4 of their last 5 overall. The last five meetings between these two teams has averaged 244PPG. This game isn’t getting to that number, but based on pace and efficiency ratings this game goes OVER the Total. |
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05-01-23 | Rangers v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show | |
#33/34 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 5.5 Goals - New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils, Monday at 8:10 PM ET - The 5-2 Rangers win in Game 6 was the first time in this series that the losing team scored more than 1 goal and still only 2 goals were scored by the team on the wrong end of the final. That said, this will be a game all about protecting leads and playing a safe and measured game. That means a 2-1 type game seems very likely here when you consider the output of the losing team in the first 6 games is an average of just 1 goal. This will be a typical tight low-scoring game seven. This total could very well start dropping to a 5 in most (if not all) books as the day goes on so grab the 5.5 while you can. Under is our play here. |
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04-29-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
#959/960 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 12.5 Runs – Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies, Saturday at 8:10 PM ET - The starting pitcher for Arizona has struggled in his only start this season and though his counterpart has impressive numbers in his limited action, this one is set up perfect for him to get hammered. Expected starters are Tommy Henry for the Diamondbacks and Noah Davis for the Rockies. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the bullpens help the cause. The Diamondbacks bullpen and the Rockies bullpen are each in the lower third of the majors for bullpen ERA so far this season. The weather will be mild in Denver this evening and the ball should be carrying very well in the thin air as per usual. The big total might seem a little scary but set-ups don't get much better than this. Noah Davis has only appeared in 3 MLB games, all for the Rockies, but never at Coors Field. This start is highly unlikely to go well here. Rookie pitchers are known for struggling in their first-ever starts here. Also, Davis had some ugly numbers in the minors once he got above the single-A level. We think this is where the wheels come off for him now after having decent (but not great) outings in his first two appearances this season. His only appearance last season was in October and only lasted 1 inning and was not good. Now his first ever start at Coors Field. As for Henry, the Diamondbacks left-hander has a 5.44 ERA in his 10 career starts. One of those was at Coors Field last season and he managed to limit the damage but was fortunate it was not worse in that start in which he allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings. Arizona has scored 7.5 runs per game in their last 6 games at Coors Field and hammered out a 9-1 win yesterday. Before being held to 1 run yesterday, the Rockies averaged 5 runs per game in their 9 home games dating back to early this month. 6 of those 9 games totaled at least 13 runs and our computer math model has indicators that show likelihood of this one getting to at least 13 runs as well! Over is the call in this one Saturday night. |
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04-29-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
#11/12 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* UNDER 6.5 Goals - Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning, Saturday at 7 PM ET - The Maple Leafs have lost 10 straight times when they have a chance to eliminate an opponent in the post-season. The run continued now in this series with the Game 5 loss to the Lightning which has extended this series to Game 6 down in Tampa Bay. However, though that may seem like it would warrant a play on the Bolts here, we like the total so much more. In fact, we love this total. That's because this season's Toronto team was different. They won a lot of tight low-scoring games in the regular season. As for this veteran Lighting team with multiple championships, they certainly know plenty about winning tight low-scoring games. So this one absolutely has the look and feel of a tight low-scoring game. Keep in mind that Game 5 was the first potential elimination game in this series and it was just a 2-1 game in the 3rd period before a Leafs player bumped into his own netminder and that led to the Lightning goal that gave them a 3-1 lead. Then, if not for an empty netter, the game would have ended at a 3-2 final. Of course the 4-2 final we saw Thursday suits our purposes here just fine but the point is that the game could have easily been a 2-1 or 3-2 type final and we are looking for a real grinder here. If Tampa Bay was able to get the kind of game they wanted in Toronto's barn in Game 5 you know they certainly are going to be able to the same down in their own arena tonight. That said, this will be a game all about protecting leads and playing a safe and measured game. It is an elimination game and we saw a real change in the way Game 5 flowed compared to the earlier games in the series. The Lightning eliminated Toronto from the post-season last year so they know how to slow them down and create the game flow they want. That is not to say that it is easy but this Lightning team has proven more than capable on more than one occasion. Tampa is so well coached too. Also, the Maple Leafs are playing with so much pressure to end their playoff series' losing streak. They'll be squeezing the sticks a little too tight again tonight as a result and this one should be quite the low-scoring battle. Because of the current trending of this series, prior to Game 5, the number is just too big here and so we love the value with the total of 6.5 set on this game as that is also based on long-term reputation rather than the current way these teams are playing! Under is our play here. |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235.5 | Top | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* UNDER 235.5 Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors, 8 PM ET - The Kings were one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA this season allowing 1.169-points per possession which ranked 25th. In the playoffs they are allowing just 1.130PPP which is 11th best. What makes those numbers even more impressive is the fact they are facing the Warriors and one of the best offenses in the league. During the regular season the Warriors O averaged 1.164PPP which was 8th. The Kings offensive efficiency numbers have dropped in the postseason also going from 1.195PPP to 1.100PPP. De’Aaron Fox who has a fractured finger on his shooting hand was not 100% in Game 5, but still managed 24 points on 9 of 25 shooting. Fox has scored 27% of the Kings points in the playoffs and clearly didn’t shoot it well last time out. These two teams combined for 239 total points in Game 5 which barely crept over the number in the late stages of that game. We expect both defenses to rise to the occasion tonight and predict a game in the mid-220’s. |
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04-27-23 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 8 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
#963/964 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 8 Runs – Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers, Thursday at 6:40 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over in this one. This total dropped from an 8.5 to an 8 which is giving us extra value. The weather will be decent by Detroit standards for April. We get a lower total here because of Kyle Gibson's numbers and the fact the Tigers are not great offensively. The key here is all the value these market perceptions have led to. Detroit actually hits better at home than they do on the road. Also, the Orioles have been one of the top hitting teams in the majors this season on the road. The Tigers also just faced Gibson and he shut them down in Baltimore. However, now they will get a quick second look at him and he has struggled on the road in recent seasons. This has been a marked dichotomy for Gibson and it has already continued for him early this season in that he is better at home than on the road. Also, the last few times he has pitched at Comerica Park in Detroit, they have been complete disasters as Gibson has been hit very hard. As for Tigers starter Joey Wentz, he just faced the Orioles and it did not end well. Now Baltimore's lineup gets to quickly see him again and Wentz is likely to get hit very hard in the rematch as well. The Tigers have played 8 home games this season and, other than one outlier which was a 1-0 win, the 7 other home games averaged totaling 10 runs per game! The Orioles also have a rare outlier with a 1-0 shutout win on the road but have scored an average of 5.8 runs in their other 10 road games this season. Our computer math model shows a range of 9 to 10 as the most likely occurrence with the final run tally here and many simulations show a final run tally in the 11 to 12 range. Over is the call in this one Thursday evening. |
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04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 224.5 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
ASA top play on UNDER 224.5 LA Clippers @ Phoenix Suns, 10 PM ET - The Clippers really struggled offensively in Game 4 at home without Kawhi Leonard and it’s not going to get any better tonight. Even with Russell Westbrook pouring in 37-points the Clippers as a team managed just 100. The average field goal attempts in an NBA game this season was 176 and these two teams have attempted 176 or less in all four games. In the regular season the Suns were the 9th slowest paced team in the league at 98.2 possessions per game. The Clippers were the 7th slowest at 97.9. Thus far in the Playoffs these two teams are averaging 96.3 possessions per game which ranks 12th and 13th out of 16 playoff teams. The Suns get a lot of attention for their offense but in reality it’s their defense that deserves the credit. They rank 6th in points allowed per game, 6th in FG% defense and 11th in 3PT% D. The Clippers weren’t on that level but still allowed just 113.1PPG which was 12th best in the NBA. The first two games of this series finished with 225 and 232 total points but Leonard had 69 of those points. Without him here this game doesn’t get to 224. |
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04-25-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
#41/42 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5 Goals - New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Hurricanes and Islanders have totaled 6 or more goals in 3 straight games in this series. Now the Islanders season is on the line. At the same time, you know the Canes are going to push hard to end this thing on home ice. Considering those factors, we will not pass up this opportunity to get an over 5 in this one. The Isles scored 4 goals per game in their final 4 games of the regular season. As we noted above also, this series has been trending to overs. The Hurricanes, dating back to final 2 games of regular season as well, have won 5 of 6 games and scored an average of 4 goals in the 5 games. This total at 5 goals is absolutely a bargain. Over is our play here. |
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04-24-23 | A's v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
#913/914 ASA PLAY ON Over 9.5 Runs – Oakland A's @ Los Angeles Angels, Monday at 7:05 PM ET - Both these starting pitchers have struggled this season. Expected starters are Jose Suarez for Angels and Ken Waldichuk for the Athletics. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the bullpens help the cause. The Angels bullpen ranks in the middle of the pack - not awful but not great either. The Athletics bullpen however is much worse. Really some of Oakland's bullpen numbers are hard to believe as they are so off the norm (K:BB ratio for example). Oakland ranks dead last for bullpens so far this season including a 6.99 ERA. The Angels are 5-3 L8 home games and have scored an average of 5.4 runs in those games plus they took 2 of 3 at Oakland earlier this season and averaged 6.7 runs in the 3 games. We'll see plenty of runs here! Oakland has averaged scoring 5.5 runs per game in their last 6 road games but their problem is they can stop no one! The A's have allowed 8 runs per game this season which is unreal considering we are 22 games into the season. The A's pitching, including their beleaguered bullpen, has been truly dreadful. We like the odds on this one getting to double digits in runs with consideration to the above. About the expected starting pitchers, Suarez has struggled in all 3 of his starts this season and has allowed 12 earned runs in his three outings even though those starts have totaled only about 12 innings combined. The A's Waldichuk has allowed 11 earned runs in about 9 innings in his two road starts and the Angels have some hitters who have enjoyed success against him. Over is the call in this one Monday night. |
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04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
#1/2 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Toronto needs to respond on home ice here to avoid an 0-2 hole in this series. Certainly the Maple Leafs have the firepower on offense to do just that. The problem is that their goaltending just can not be trusted. Matt Murray is still out (concussion recovery) which means little-used Joseph Woll is the only option behind Ilya Samsonov right now for Toronto. That said, Samsonov is getting the start again tonight but he allowed 6 goals in the Game 1 loss to the high-powered Lightning. This is why we like the over so much here. We are confident that the Leafs are going to come out strong in this critical Game 2 match-up but how can anyone trust their goaltending? Year after year it is a problem for Toronto and ends up being their downfall in the post-season. That said, let's not forget that game one was a 3-2 game with 6 minutes to go in the 2nd period before the Leafs fell apart. The point is they can come out and compete hard here but they are going to have to score plenty to top the Lightning here. Don't be surprised if each club scores at least 3 goals here as this one flies over the total. Tampa Bay has scored an average of 4 goals in last 9 games dating back to late March. 13 of the Maple Leafs last 16 home games have totaled at least 6 goals and those games have averaged 7 goals! Tampa's Andrei Vasilevskiy is a great goalie but he was not as dominant this season and also has allowed 13 goals in his last 3 starts. Over is our play here. |
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04-18-23 | Angels v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
#913/914 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9 Runs – Los Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - Both these starting pitchers have struggled this season. Expected starters are Jose Suarez for Angels and Clarke Schmidt for the Yankees. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as the power-hitting of these two clubs coupled with the westerly wind direction and a cool (but not cold) evening at Yankee Stadium is likely to lead to a slugfest here! Look for the Angels to build off yesterday's win at Fenway Park but they also used up a ton of bullpen in that game. A long rain delay in that early game at Boston after Ohtani pitched the first two innings meant that Angels had to use a lot of bullpen for the final 7 innings of that game. That one was a 5-4 LA win and we look for even more runs to be piling up in this early evening game in the Bronx Tuesday. The Yankees bullpen has been solid this season but the Angels are 5-4 L9 road games and have scored an average of 7 runs in the 5 wins and allowed an average of 7 runs in the 4 losses. We'll see plenty of runs here! The Yankees will take advantage of a mediocre LA bullpen that got a lot of work yesterday. New York has averaged scoring 5 runs per game this season and had averaged scoring 6 runs in their first 9 victories this season before a 2-0 pitchers duel win with Cole on the mound Sunday. We like the odds on this one getting to double digits in runs with consideration to the above. About the expected starting pitchers, Suarez has struggled in both his starts this season and has allowed 10 earned runs in his two outings even though those starts have totaled only about 8 innings combined. The Yankees Schmidt also has struggled in all 3 starts this season and he has an 8.44 ERA and has been hit at a .340 clip so far this season! Schmidt has allowed 3 homers in less than 11 innings of work this season. Over is the call in this one Tuesday evening. |
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04-15-23 | Mets v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
#975/976 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9 Runs – New York Mets @ Oakland A's, Saturday at 4:07 PM ET - Both these starting pitchers have struggled this season. Expected starters are Shintaro Fujinami for Oakland and Carlos Carrasco for the Mets. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as we look for today's match-up to pick up right where yesterday's game left off. That one was a 17-6 Mets win and we look for the runs to keep piling up in this day game in Oakland. The Mets have scored an average of 7 runs in their 8 wins this season. In New York's 5 most recent losses, they have allowed an average of 7.4 runs per game. That is why, win or lose, Mets find themselves in a high-scoring game Saturday the way we see it. Oakland opened the season with a 2-1 win. Since then, 10 of their 13 games have totaled double digits in runs. Those 13 games have averaged 13 runs per game! We only need 10 to be a winner here and 9 is a push. We like the odds on this one getting to double digits in runs with consideration to the above. About the expected starting pitchers, Fujinami has more walks than strikeouts this season and has allowed 13 earned runs in his two outings even though those starts have totaled less than 7 innings combined. Carrasco also has more walks than strikeouts and he has allowed at least 5 earned runs in each of his two starts though he failed to complete 5 innings in either start. Carrasco has allowed 3 homers in less than 9 innings of work this season. The Mets bullpen has been middle of the pack so far this season while the Athletics relievers ERA ranks 29th out of 30 teams so far this season. Over is the call in this one Saturday afternoon.
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04-13-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
#13/14 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* UNDER 6.5 Goals - Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers, Thursday at 7 PM ET - This is a huge game in the playoff standings. Carolina needs a win to capture the Metropolitan Division. They control their own destiny since they have one more point than the New Jersey Devils. Florida needs a win to avoid finishing as the 2nd wild card and facing the Boston Bruins in the first round. Like the Hurricanes, the Panthers control their own destiny since they are only one point behind the Islanders and New York played their final game of the regular season last night. So if the Panthers win they avoid facing a Bruins team that had a record-breaking NHL season. That said, this game tonight absolutely should play out as a tight defensive playoff-like battle. The Hurricanes were the 2nd best team this season in terms of goals allowed and have two great goalies in Andersen and Raanta. The Panthers could soon get their top goalie Bobrovsky back but with the way Lyon has been playing, how can Bobrovsky even be re-inserted as the #1? Lyon is a stellar 6-0-1 with a 1.55 GAA and .952 save percentage in his last 7 starts for Florida! The Panthers have allowed just 1.4 goals per game in regulation time of their last 7 games! The Hurricanes 8 of last 9 games have totaled 5 or less goals! Carolina has allowed an average of only 2 goals per game last 7 games! These teams are both already playing play-off hockey! Low-scoring battle should be on tap here as these teams both have been getting strong goaltending and stellar defense of late. We look for 5 goals here at most but certainly 6 seems like would be the maximum given the importance of this game in the standings and the current trending of these two clubs and so we love the value with the big total set on this game based on Florida's long-term reputation rather than the current way they are playing! Under is our play here. |
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04-11-23 | Oilers v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 115 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
#71/72 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6.5 Goals - Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche, Tuesday at 9:35 PM ET - This is a key battle in the playoff race and this one will likely be played out as if it is a playoff game. It will have that type of intensity and a defensive mindset. When you look at the scoring capabilities of these two clubs you would think over here with this total a solid 6.5 across the board. The key here, however, is the fact that there should be playoff intensity here. Colorado has won 5 straight games and allowed an average of only 2 goals per game in last 10 victories. Edmonton has won 7 straight games and, incredibly the Oilers have allowed a TOTAL of only 3 goals in last 5 victories. This one should be quite the playoff-level battle as both these clubs in key situations where they need maximum points. Sure shapes up to be a 3-2 type final and our computer math model concurs with that type of game here. As a final result then, look for no more than 6 goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat OVER 226.5 | Top | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* OVER 226.5 Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat, 7:30 PM ET - Let’s start with the average NBA total points scored in a game this regular season which was 228.6 points per game. We don’t see this game being ‘average’ based on several factors. We will start with the Hawks defense that is 22nd in the league in defensive efficiency ratings allowing 1.164-points per possession. That is the second worst of all the playoff teams (Kings are 25th). Since the All-Star break the Hawks have given up 121.7PPG. They rank 26th in PPG allowed, 25th in opponents FG%, but are 10th in 3PT%. The Hawks are also 19th in defensive rebounding. The Hawks beat teams by out-scoring them. Atlanta was 7th in offensive efficiency at 1.167PPP and were the 9th fastest paced team in the league. Since the break they have averaged 123.7PPG. Miami has gone through their struggles offensively this season, but they are clearly trending up to end the season. Prior to the All-Star break they were the lowest scoring team in the NBA at 108.3PPG. Since the break that average has jumped to 112.4PPG. In their last five games the Heat have the 1.251PPP which is the second highest average in the league behind the Warriors. Miami is known for their defense, but they haven’t been as good on that end of the court this season as they’ve been in past years. Case in point, last season the Heat were 5th in defensive efficiency rating allowing 1.091PPP. This season the Heat are allowing 1.135PPP. It all adds up to a higher scoring game tonight. |
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04-10-23 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
#907/908 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 11.5 Runs – St Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies, Monday at 8:40 PM ET - Both these pitchers struggled in their most recent starts. Expected starters are Steven Matz for Cardinals and German Marquez for Rockies. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as the Rockies have lost 6 of 8 and allowed 7.6 runs per game in the 6 losses and are off a high-scoring 7-6 win over the Nationals yesterday. As for the Cardinals they have lost 6 of 9 games this season and have allowed an average of 6 runs per game in the 6 defeats. Both bullpens have had some struggles and, as for those expected starters, Marquez got destroyed in his home starts last season and of course Matz is unlikely to enjoy this start at pitcher-friendly Coors Field. In fact, Matz has been roughed up by the Rockies in his career and this is particularly true in his starts at Coors Field where he has been hammered in his visits here in recent years. Rockies offense slow out of the gate this season but Sunday it was apparent they garnered some momentum from Saturday's 9th inning rally that had fallen just short on the scoreboard. The Cardinals are a high quality team that has struggled recently on offense because of facing tough pitchers at Milwaukee and versus Atlanta. Facing pitching like that and then facing the Rockies at Coors Field is truly a night and day difference! St Louis will get their offense going here. Over is the call in this one Monday evening. |
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04-09-23 | Avalanche v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
#35/36 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks, Sunday at 8:30 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. The Ducks have been struggling to stop anyone no matter who they have in goal. The Avalanche are expected to start Pavel Francouz between the pipes for this one. It will be his first time in the crease since early February. It could take awhile for Francouz to get back to his typical form and the Ducks will look to jump on him early like they did when they scored 4 goals against him in early February. The trouble for Anaheim is this Avalanche team is rolling right now and the Ducks continue to allow huge goal totals. This one, per our computer math model, is projected to finish with 7 or 8 goals in most of the simulations run for this match-up. It looks like a back and forth entertaining match-up very likely here in Anaheim Sunday. Over is our play here. |
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04-09-23 | Nationals v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
#957/958 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 11.5 Runs – Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies, Sunday at 3:10 PM ET - Both these pitchers struggled in their opening starts. Expected starters are Chad Kuhl for Nationals and Ryan Feltner for Rockies. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as the Rockies have lost 6 of 7 and allowed 7.6 runs per game in the 6 losses and the Nationals have had two low-scoring games this season but have allowed 7 runs per game in the other 7 games. Both bullpens have had some struggles and, as for those expected starters, Kuhl allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings in his season opener and Feltner had control issues and that helped lead the way to 5 earned runs in less than 5 innings of work. The total on this game is relatively low considering the last two games in this series have averaged 14 runs. We are going to challenge these starters and these bullpens to turn things around here. Rockies offense slow out of the gate this season but can garner momentum from yesterday's 9th inning rally. The Nationals offensive production has led the way to an average of 8.5 runs per game last two games. Over is the call this afternoon. |
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04-08-23 | Flyers v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
#21/22 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 5.5 Goals - Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. But we'll start there by mentioning that the Flyers are expected to start Carter Hart here. He has played sparingly the past two weeks and so he could be rusty. This would be just the 2nd start for Hart in two weeks. Also, he is struggling on the road. He is known for being stronger on home ice and that has been the case again with recent road struggles putting a highlight on the home/road dichotomy. Hart has allowed an average of 4 goals per game in his last 6 road starts. The Flyers have been eliminated from post-season contention for quite some time now but Philly would love nothing more than to put a dent in the playoff hopes of the Islanders. To do that though, Philly will have to score well. Their defense has been weak of late overall and it has been part of a rough season for Philadelphia. The Flyers have allowed at least 4 goals in 5 straight games - all losses - and the average allowed was 4.4 goals. This total at 5.5 is just too low. The Flyers will put up a fight and should enjoy some success in the offensive zone but just will not be able to stop the Islanders. New York enters this game off a 6-1 win and has scored at least 5 goals in 3 of last 4 home games. The Islanders averaged 6 goals scored in those 3 home games. They will pressure Philly early and often in this game but should allow a few goals along the way too. Over is our play here.
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04-08-23 | Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 230 | Top | 125-136 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
ASA NBA top play on 10* UNDER 230 Portland Trailblazers @ LA Clippers, 4 PM ET - Both teams have games again tomorrow so it’s highly unlikely they are going to let this game turn into a fast-paced game. Especially the Clippers who still have seed positioning to play for AND need to manage minutes for older players such as Kawhi. This line is clearly too high as the Blazers just faced a Spurs team that is one of the fastest paced teams in the NBA and one of the worst defensively and that total was 227. The Clippers are the 7th slowest paced team in the league and are around average in defensive efficiency. Portland has 14 players on their injury report as of today and are basically trotting out a G-league team. The Blazers offense has been hit hardest as they’ve scored 96 or less points in 3 of their last eight games and outside of one high scoring game against the Spurs, have averaged 101PPG in 7 of their last 8. With the Clippers content to get a win without exerting themselves we can’t see this game getting into the 230’s. |
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04-07-23 | Rockets v. Hornets OVER 228.5 | Top | 112-109 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* OVER 228.5 Houston Rockets @ Charlotte Hornets, 7 PM ET - This is going to be a glorified AAU game and we don’t expect either team to play any defense in this one. The Rockets have given up 120 or more points in 6 of their last nine games and 130+ in three of those. Charlotte has been equally as bad allowing 120 or more in 4 straight games and an average of 126PPG in those four games. Houston ranks 28th in points allowed per game at 118.8, 22nd in opponents FG% and 28th in 3PT% defense. Charlotte ranks 22nd in PPG allowed at 117.5 per game, 19th in FG% defense and 13th in 3PT% D. The most critical defensive metric though is defensive efficiency as the Rockets are 29th in the NBA allowing 1.197PPP, while the Hornets are 20th at 1.158PPP. Charlotte has been one of the faster paced teams in the NBA all season long and the Rockets have picked up their tempo in their last five games. With nothing left to play for these two teams won’t expend any energy on the defensive end of the court and it will lead to a high scoring game. |
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04-06-23 | Lightning v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
#47/48 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 5.5 Goals - Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET - Lightning in a B2B so back-up goalie Brian Elliott likely to start here. That means the Islanders, not known for high-scoring games, should actually score very well here. Elliott is no Vasilevskiy. At the same time though, the Tampa Bay attack should push hard off of the 6-3 loss at the Rangers last night. That said, we are looking for plenty of goals here. Look for a surprise for an Islanders game as the setup here is ideal for goals and we take advantage of this low total posted at just 5.5 goals. Over is our play here |
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04-06-23 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 129-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
ASA top play on 10* UNDER 220.5 Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers, 7:30 PM ET - This game has a playoff feel as both teams could use a win here as they jockey for a better playoff position. Miami needs a win to lock in a spot in the postseason party and avoid a play-in situation. With a win the other night over Boston the Sixers still have a shot at catching the Celtics as the 2nd seed. It starts with defense for both teams as they rank 8th and 9th in defensive efficiency ratings. Both teams play slow too, with Miami ranking as the 2nd slowest team in the NBA at 96 possessions per game, the Sixers are the 4th slowest. Philly is one of the most efficient offenses in the league but Miami is 25th. A big reason why the 76ers rank so high in OEFF is Joel Embiid. Embiid has struggled against the Heat averaging just 21.3PPG in the last six meetings which is well below his season average of 33.2PPG. In the two meetings this season between these two teams they’ve produced 215 and 200 total points. We expect another Under here. |
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04-06-23 | Red Sox v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
#911/912 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 7.5 or 8 Runs – Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers, Thursday at 1:10 PM ET - Both these pitchers struggled in their opening starts. Expected starters are Chris Sale for Red Sox and Spencer Turnbull for Tigers. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as the Tigers are allowing 6 runs per game on the season and the Red Sox are allowing 6 runs per game as well. Both bullpens have had some struggles and, as for those expected starters, Sale got hammered at home by the Orioles in his season opener. Keep in mind, he has not logged much MLB action since the 2019 season. He still carries a certain reputation in the marketplace but is not exactly the same pitcher he once was. Sale had a 4.80 ERA and a .288 BAA in spring training and has been homer prone, including his regular season opener, so far in 2023. As for Turnbull, he had a 4.50 ERA and was decent in spring training but then got rocked by the Rays in his regular season opener. The total on this game is low considering and we like the downward move from an 8.5 to a 7.5 as we are going to challenge these starts and these bullpens to turn things around here. We just do not see that happening. Historically, Turnbull has struggled much more in day games than night games and this is an early start in Detroit today. Also, Turnbull trying to come back from Tommy John surgery and missed last season. Tigers offense slow out of the gate this season but this is their home opener and that should get them going. The Red Sox are averaging 6 runs per game in the scoring department this season and should bounce back off yesterday's disappointing home loss. Over is the call this afternoon.
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04-05-23 | Flames v. Jets UNDER 6 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
#31/32 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6 Goals - Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets, Wednesday at 7:35 PM ET - This is a key battle in the playoff race and this one will likely be played out as if it is a playoff game. It will have that type of intensity and a defensive mindset. When you look at the scoring capabilities of these two clubs you would think over here with this total a solid 6 across the board. The key here, however, is the fact that there should be playoff intensity here. Since Markstrom played last night for the Flames, Vladar is likely to get the start here. He has been solid for Calgary this season and this includes on the road. Winnipeg is likely to start Hellebuyck and he has been fantastic between the pipes of late as per usual. He is a big part of the reason the Jets have allowed just 2.3 goals per game last 9 games. The Flames have been involved in some higher-scoring games of late but this followed a stretch of 4 games in which they allowed an average of only 2 goals per game. Look for a bounce back defensive effort from Calgary here in a must-win spot and coming off a 4-3 home loss to Chicago. As a final result then, look for no more than 5 goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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04-04-23 | Sabres v. Panthers UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 114 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
#13/14 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 7 Goals - Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - This is a key battle in the playoff race and the Sabres also have a 2-game in hand advantage compared to the Panthers. Florida is just ahead of Buffalo in the standings but the Sabres can pick up valuable ground here in the race and this one will likely be played out as if it is a playoff game. It will have that type of intensity and a defensive mindset. When you look at the scoring capabilities of these two clubs you would think over here and this total is a solid 7 across the board. The key here, however, is the fact that there should be playoff intensity here. Also, the Panthers have been getting strong goaltending from Alex Lyon and he is expected to start again here. Florida has allowed a total of just 4 goals during their current 3-game winning streak. Buffalo has won 4 of 5 games and allowed on average of only 2 goals in regulation time of its last 4 games. As a final result then, look for no more than 6 goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 133.5 | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
#711/712 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 133.5 Points – San Diego State vs UConn, Monday at 9:20 PM ET - We were on the Under in the SDSU vs FAU game on Saturday and came up short in the 72-71 final. Both teams shot very well from deep combining to make 18 of 40 three point attempts (45%). They also averaged 1.11 PPP and 1.12 PPP which was well above what those 2 defenses gave up this season (SDSU 0.90 PPP allowed / FAU 0.95 PPP allowed). They also combined to attempt 43 FT’s on the night. All of that led to a higher scoring game than expected. The UConn vs Miami game stayed Under by nearly 20 points (131 points scored and total was 150ish). The Huskies defense has been fantastic during this impressive tourney run shutting down a number of teams that have much better overall offenses than the SDSU team they will face on Monday night. UConn allowed 59 points to Miami who ranks as the 6th most efficient offense in the nation and averages 80 PPG. The game prior to that the Huskies faced a Gonzaga offense that ranks #1 nationally in efficiency and held them to 54 points which is 34 points below their season average of 88 PPG (#1 nationally). Now they face a San Diego State offense that ranks 68th nationally in offensive efficiency and has averaged just 67 PPG in the NCAA tourney. We expect the Aztecs won’t reach 60 points in this game. On the other end of the court, SDSU’s strength is obviously on the defensive end where they rank 4th nationally in efficiency and 3rd in the country in eFG% allowed. Prior to allowing FAU to hit 71 points, the Aztecs had given up an average of just 57 PPG in the tourney. The Owls were able to be successful from 3 point land in that game (44%) but leading into that one, the San Diego State defense had allowed opponents to make only 17% of their 3’s in this tourney. They rank 3rd nationally on the season defending the arc which could be a problem for a Connecticut team that relies heavily on the 3 point shot. The Huskies have faced 4 fast paced teams in the Big Dance and the one slower paced team they played (St Mary’s) the 2 teams totaled 125 points. Both of these teams rank outside the top 200 in adjusted tempo so this shouldn’t be a fast paced game. UConn’s offense put up 72 on Saturday vs a Miami defense that ranks 99th in efficiency and prior to that they faced a fast paced Gonzaga team whose defense ranks 73rd in efficiency. They take a big step up here taking on one of the top defensive teams in the country. We don’t expect UConn to reach 70 in this game and we already mentioned that SDSU will have a tough time getting to 60. Under is the play in the National Championship Game. |
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04-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets OVER 234 | Top | 110-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
ASA Top Play on 10* OVER 234 Golden State Warriors @ Denver Nuggets, 8:40 PM ET - You will want to watch the pregame injury report and confirm Nikola Jokic is in the lineup for the Nuggets before making this wager. The Warriors are going to play small ball here and use Draymond Green at the Center position. That means they are planning a fast-paced game and will push tempo. Golden State is the fastest paced team in the league at 101.7 possessions per game. They are 3rd in scoring at 118.3PPG. They should score at will against this Nuggets defense that is barely above average in defensive efficiency and rank 20th in opponents FG% against. Denver doesn’t play fast but they are highly efficient offensive with the 3rd best OEFF rating in the NBA at 1.180PPP. Golden State has historically been a great defensive team but that hasn’t been the case this season as they check in as the 19th worst defensive efficiency team allowing 1.149PPP. The Nuggets will put up points with their 10th scoring offense and the #1 ranked FG% unit at 50.6% and 2nd ranked 3PT% offense at 38.4%. In the two clashes between these two teams this season they have produced total points of 251 twice. We expect another high scoring game today. |
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04-02-23 | Red Wings v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 104 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
#69/70 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6.5 Goals - Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs, Sunday at 7:05 PM ET - The Maple Leafs are expected to start Matt Murray between the pipes for this one. He has allowed 4 goals in 7 of his last 8 starts. We expect Toronto to be very strong at home here but we also do not trust Murray to stop a scrappy Red Wings team. Detroit has averaged scoring 4 goals per game last 3 games. However, the Wings struggle to slow teams down and have allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 8 games! This one has all the makings of a back and forth barnburner with good odds, as you can see above, that each team gets to 4 goals. Over is our play here |
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04-01-23 | Stars v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
#47/48 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6 Goals - Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche, Saturday at 9:05 PM ET - This is a key battle in the Central Division playoff race and the Avalanche also have a game in hand advantage compared to the Stars. Dallas is just ahead of Colorado in the standings but the Avs can pick up valuable ground here in the race and this one will likely be played out as if it is a playoff game. It will have that type of intensity and a defensive mindset. The Stars are off a 5-2 win last night and have allowed an average of only 2 goals in last 4 games. Colorado off a 4-2 loss to Minnesota but allowed 2 or less goals in 13 of 21 games prior to that one. The Avs have allowed an average of only 1 goal the last 3 times they entered a game off a loss. As a final result then, look for no more than 5 goals in this one! Under is our play here. |
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04-01-23 | Rockies v. Padres OVER 8.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
#959/960 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 8.5 Runs – Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres, Saturday at 8:40 PM ET - Both these pitchers struggled in spring training. Expected starters are Jose Urena for Rockies and Michael Wacha for Padres. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as San Diego is now 0-2 on the season dropping the first two games of this series with the Rockies and we expect a response at the plate tonight. Colorado now has 11 runs on 26 hits in the first two games of this series. The Rockies are a confident bunch right now and getting some strong at-bats but the Padres have a very solid lineup and get back track here. Urena was hit hard last season and lefties hit him at a .327 clip. Keep in mind, San Diego had 5 left-handed sticks in the lineup Thursday versus the righty Marquez and will likely do the same against Urena. Then you look at their right-handed lumber and it is dangerous with guys like Boegaerts and Machado plus you have a red-hot Kim off a 3-hit game. The Padres will hit well but the Rockies too as Wacha had struggled 3 straight seasons before last year's success and we are not convinced, based on his spring too, that he is going to be able to come close to duplicating that 2022 success this season. That is particularly true early on as it looks like he could be slow out of the gate. Also, weather looks good tonight with temps in the low 60's to upper 50’s and light winds blowing. Over is the call tonight. |
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04-01-23 | Clippers v. Pelicans UNDER 227 | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
ASA NBA top play on 10* UNDER 227 LA Clippers @ New Orleans Pelicans, 8:30PM ET - These two teams just met last Tuesday in L.A. with the game finishing with 241 total points. The O/U number on the game was 225 so we are getting a little extra value here. There were a few anomalies in that game as the Pelicans shot extremely well at 53% overall and they made 21 of 34 3-pointers or 62%. Those percentages were well above their season averages of 48% FG% and 36.3% 3PT%. The Clippers also had an above average shooting night at 52% overall and 45% from beyond the arc. Again, both of those numbers are well above the Clippers 47.6% FG% and 38.2% 3PT%. The Clippers are about average in defensive efficiency at 1.143-points per possession allowed while the Pelicans are 5th best. In their most recent 5-games the Pels have the best PPP allowed at 1.019PPP. Prior to the hot shooting game in the previous meeting the 4 clashes prior between these two teams all resulting in 219 or less points. Bet UNDER here. |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 38 m | Show |
#701/702 ASA TOP PLAY ON Under 132 Points – Florida Atlantic vs San Diego State, Saturday at 6 PM ET - This match up is very similar to FAU’s Sweet 16 game vs Tennessee. We were on the Under in that game (129) and the 2 combined for just 117 points. We see a similar outcome for this game. SDSU and Tennessee compare very favorably in offensive efficiency (not a strength of either) and defensive efficiency (both top 5 in the nation). They are also almost identical in tempo with both being slow paced. The Aztecs defense has been great all season but they’ve stepped it up another notch in the Big Dance where they’ve allowed an average of just 57 PPG and held 3 of their 4 opponents to under 60 points. The only team that topped 60 points on SDSU was Alabama who averaged 82 PPG (7th nationally) but only had 64 vs the Aztecs. We were on the Over in SDSU’s most recent game vs a very efficiency Creighton offense who wants to push the ball and that game ended 57-56. FAU’s defense is underrated. They rank 29th nationally in defensive efficiency and 14th in eFG% allowed. The Owls have held 3 of their 4 NCAA tourney opponents to 70 points or less and 3 of those opponents were fast paced teams (Memphis, KSU, and Farleigh Dickinson). The one slow paced team they faced was Tennessee and we mentioned how that game turned out. We don’t expect many 3 pointers in this game which will help the Under. FAU likes to shoot 3’s but they are facing a San Diego State defense thar ranks 2nd nationally defending the arc. In this tournament alone, the Aztecs have allowed opponents to make only 17% of their triples! On the other end of the court, San Diego State is not a great 3 point shooting team and they don’t shoot many (just 28% of their points come from deep – 277th nationally). The Final 4 is being played at NRG Stadium in Houston which is a huge NFL stadium. It’s often very tough to shoot in a venue like this as the backdrop is completely different than what teams are used to. This will be the 14th basketball game ever played at NRG Stadium and 8 of the first 13 went Under (62%) by an average of 6 points. Low scoring grinder here and we like the Under. |
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ASA ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-01-23 | Phillies v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
08-29-23 | Angels v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
08-26-23 | Hawaii v. Vanderbilt UNDER 56.5 | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 13 m | Show |
08-26-23 | Ohio v. San Diego State UNDER 48.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
08-25-23 | Rangers v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-12 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
08-20-23 | Royals v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
08-18-23 | Panthers v. Giants UNDER 39 | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 39 m | Show | |
08-18-23 | Royals v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
08-09-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
08-04-23 | Nationals v. Reds OVER 10.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
08-03-23 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
08-03-23 | Jets v. Browns UNDER 33.5 | 16-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
08-02-23 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
08-01-23 | Mets v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
07-30-23 | A's v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
07-26-23 | Blue Jays v. Dodgers UNDER 10 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
07-25-23 | Rockies v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
07-15-23 | White Sox v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
07-05-23 | Royals v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
07-04-23 | Rockies v. Astros OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
06-30-23 | Padres v. Reds OVER 11 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
06-27-23 | Rays v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
06-25-23 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
06-23-23 | Twins v. Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
06-20-23 | Cardinals v. Nationals OVER 9 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
06-19-23 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
06-16-23 | Angels v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
06-13-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
06-12-23 | Reds v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
06-10-23 | Astros v. Guardians UNDER 8 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
06-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Tigers OVER 8 | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
06-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
06-08-23 | Astros v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
06-07-23 | Nuggets v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
06-07-23 | Dodgers v. Reds UNDER 11.5 | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
05-31-23 | Yankees v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -114 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
05-29-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 6-0 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
05-29-23 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
05-28-23 | Mets v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
05-27-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 216 | Top | 116-99 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
05-23-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
05-22-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | 102-128 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 222.5 | Top | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
05-20-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | Top | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
05-16-23 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 12 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
05-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
05-14-23 | Reds v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
05-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
05-11-23 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 212 | Top | 95-86 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
05-10-23 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 8-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
05-09-23 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -131 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 214.5 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
05-06-23 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 120 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
05-03-23 | Pirates v. Rays UNDER 7 | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 227 | Top | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
05-01-23 | Rangers v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show | |
04-29-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
04-29-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235.5 | Top | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
04-27-23 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 8 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 224.5 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
04-25-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
04-24-23 | A's v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
04-18-23 | Angels v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
04-15-23 | Mets v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
04-13-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
04-11-23 | Oilers v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 115 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat OVER 226.5 | Top | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
04-10-23 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
04-09-23 | Avalanche v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
04-09-23 | Nationals v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
04-08-23 | Flyers v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
04-08-23 | Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 230 | Top | 125-136 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
04-07-23 | Rockets v. Hornets OVER 228.5 | Top | 112-109 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
04-06-23 | Lightning v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
04-06-23 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 129-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
04-06-23 | Red Sox v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
04-05-23 | Flames v. Jets UNDER 6 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
04-04-23 | Sabres v. Panthers UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 114 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 133.5 | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
04-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets OVER 234 | Top | 110-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
04-02-23 | Red Wings v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 104 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
04-01-23 | Stars v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
04-01-23 | Rockies v. Padres OVER 8.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
04-01-23 | Clippers v. Pelicans UNDER 227 | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 38 m | Show |