Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-29-18 | Celtics v. Nuggets -1 | 111-110 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Boston at 9:05 pm et on Monday. Tough spot for the Celtics here as they're reeling and coming off a hard-fought losing effort against the Warriors on Saturday night. Here at the tail-end of their western road swing I'm not sure they'll have enough in the tank against the up-tempo Nuggets. Denver has won three games in a row but narrowly escaped with a two-point victory over Dallas last time out. There's certainly a good chance they were looking ahead to this contest. Note that the Nuggets are 2-0-1 ATS in the last three meetings in this series. They'll be looking to split the season series here. Take Denver (10*). |
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01-28-18 | Suns +13.5 v. Rockets | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over Houston at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Suns on Sunday afternoon. Phoenix is coming off an ugly 22-point home loss against the Knicks which came on the heels of a 1-3 road trip, but one in which the Suns went 3-1 ATS. I look for Phoenix to bounce back in this spot. Houston had its four-game winning streak halted on Friday night in New Orleans. The Rockets have been involved in a number of tightly-contested affairs lately, and I'm not sure we'll see their absolute best effort against a 17-win Suns squad on Sunday afternoon. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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01-27-18 | Thunder v. Pistons UNDER 207.5 | 121-108 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oklahoma City and Detroit at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at the Palace of Auburn Hills on Saturday afternoon. We won with the 'over' in the Thunder's most recent contest - a 121-112 win over the Wizards on Thursday night. I won't hesitate to switch gears here, however. Oklahoma City is scoring at will right now. But it will run into a highly-motivated and well-rested Pistons squad on Saturday. Detroit has lost six straight games and unlike the Thunder, the Pistons aren't scoring with a great deal of consistency. Note that Detroit is allowing just a shade over 100 points per game at home this season so it is capable of keeping opposing offenses in check. In fact, these two teams have combined to post a 39-54-1 o/u record this season. The 'under' has cashed in seven straight meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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01-26-18 | Lakers v. Bulls OVER 220 | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Chicago on Friday night. The Bulls have quietly been involved in a number of high-scoring games lately, with their last five averaging just shy of 230 total points. While we're dealing with a relatively high total here, I believe it could be even higher. Note that the Lakers are playing with some confidence, having won three games in a row, scoring 127 and 108 points in their last two contests. The problem is, L.A. has also allowed at least 107 points in four of its last five games. The Bulls will be looking to get loose following a three-game road trip that saw them drop a couple of games, but still manage to go 2-1 ATS. Chicago is 6-1 ATS over its last seven contests. Expect a competitive, high-scoring affair on Friday night. Take the over (10*). |
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01-25-18 | Wizards v. Thunder OVER 213 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Oklahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. We're dealing with a high total in this matchup but it's warranted in my opinion. The Wizards were a complete no-show in Dallas last time out, scoring 75 points in a blowout loss. I do expect them to bounce back in a big way offensively against a Thunder squad that has offered little defensive resistance of late. Oklahoma City has scored 114, 148 and 109 points in its last three games, all victories, but has also allowed 124 and 108 points over its last two contests. Note that the Wizards have scored over 100 points in five of the last six meetings in this series. In fact, the 'over' is 5-1 in the last six matchups between these two teams as well. Expect a track meet on Thursday night. Take the over (10*). |
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01-25-18 | Kings +10.5 v. Heat | 89-88 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Miami at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the Heat in their loss to the Rockets earlier in the week but I won't hesitate to switch gears and fade them as they return home to host the Kings on Thursday night. Sacramento got blown out by Memphis in the first game of their current trip but has responded with back-to-back competitive efforts since, including a win in Orlando on Tuesday night. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season after the Heat needed overtime to get past the Kings at home and won by five on the road in last year's two matchups. The Kings have scored over 100 points in back-to-back games and I look for them to hang around for four quarters on Thursday night. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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01-24-18 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 215.5 | 108-93 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. We've seen a couple of fairly low-scoring games between these two teams this season and as a result we're dealing with a lower total than we saw in their last meeting back in late December. The Raptors aren't a good defensive road team by any means. They've allowed at least 110 points in each of their last six road contests. On the flip side, we know the Raptors can score. They're averaging just shy of 110 points per game away from home this season. Atlanta is playing with some confidence right now, having posted victories in three of its last four games overall. The 'under' has cashed in the Hawks last four contests, but again, that only serves to give us a more reasonably priced total in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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01-22-18 | Heat +10 v. Rockets | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami plus the points over Houston at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Rockets are coming off a big home win over the Warriors on Saturday night but I look for them to suffer a bit of a letdown on Monday as they stay home to host the Miami Heat. That's not to say Houston will lose this game, but we've been given plenty of wiggle room with a lofty pointspread attached to the underdog Heat - who just happen to have won nine of their last 11 games overall. Miami will be particularly motivated after splitting the first four installments of its five-game trip, which wraps up tonight in Houston. Note that the Heat haven't lost a game by double-digits since December 29th. Take Miami (10*). |
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01-20-18 | Raptors v. Wolves -3.5 | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Toronto at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. The Raptors aren't playing particularly well right now, but they do continue to win games, most recently squeaking out a three-point victory over the undermanned Spurs on Friday night. Now they face a quick turnaround on the road against the T'Wolves, a team that will be highly-motivated following back-to-back road losses. Here at home, Minnesota has gone 18-6 SU and hasn't lost since back on December 16th. Toronto has gone 0-3 ATS over its last three contests and is just 1-3 ATS in its last four tries against Minnesota. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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01-19-18 | Wizards v. Pistons +1 | 122-112 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Washington at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Pistons ran into a highly-motivated Raptors squad on Wednesday night in Toronto and while they hung around for four quarters, they ultimately fell short in a rather ugly contest. I do expect Detroit to bounce back at home on Friday. This time around, it should be the Pistons that are particularly motivated, having dropped three straight games overall, and three in a row against the Wizards as well. Washington is not a great road team at 10-11 SU on the season. The Wizards are coming off back-to-back losses of their own. In fact, they've won only two of their last six games and one of those victories came by way of overtime. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-19-18 | Spurs v. Raptors OVER 208 | 83-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Friday. This has been a high-scoring series at times in recent years and I'm anticipating a similar result on Friday night in Toronto. The Spurs are of course without Kawhi Leonard so they're going to need to learn how to run their offense efficiently once again. They've sputtered offensively of late, but I'm confident they can get loose against a vulnerable Raptors defense on Friday night. Toronto scored only 96 points in perhaps a less than impressive win over the Pistons on Wednesday. Prior to that they had scored 133, 125 and 111 points in their last three games, however. Note that they're averaging just shy of 115 points per contest at home this season. The Spurs are a good defensive team but I'm not sure they'll be able to resist getting involved a high-scoring affair here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-17-18 | Knicks +2 v. Grizzlies | 99-105 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Memphis at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Grizzlies pulled out a victory on Monday afternoon against the Lakers and while they should take care of business against a Knicks squad that has been absolutely miserable on the road this season, I'm not sure it will play out that way on the court. The Knicks are coming off a confidence-building win in Brooklyn in which they scored 119 points. While they've only posted two wins since the start of January, they've suffered three hard-luck overtime losses along the way. This is their first opportunity to build some real momentum here in January and I look for them to take full advantage. The Grizzlies have won twice in their last five games and check in a less than impressive 9-13 SU at home this season. Take New York (10*). |
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01-15-18 | Heat v. Bulls -1 | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Miami at 3:35 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are playing well right now but I believe the Bulls are in better position to keep it rolling on Monday afternoon. While Chicago has struggled overall this season, it checks in just a game under .500 at home. The Bulls come into this one off back-to-back wins and have welcomed Zach LaVine back to the lineup. LaVine played only 19 minutes but contributed 14 points in Saturday's two-point win over the Pistons. Miami is coming off back-to-back underdog road wins which leaves it in a tough spot here as far as I'm concerned. The Heat have won three straight meetings in this series which should add to the Bulls motivation. Note that Chicago has gone 2-1 ATS in those most recent three matchups. Take Chicago (10*). |
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01-12-18 | Rockets v. Suns OVER 226.5 | 112-95 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Phoenix at 10:35 pm et on Friday. I fully expect a track meet between the Rockets and Suns in Phoenix on Friday night. Of course, the Rockets have been scoring at will all season long. There's little reason to expect the Suns will offer much resistance on Friday. Note that Houston has scored at least 123 points in winning each of the last five meetings in this series. The Suns aren't likely to back down, however, as they boast an explosive fast-paced offense of their own. Phoenix is coming off a big home win over the Thunder, scoring 114 points in that contest. The Rockets are allowing right around 110 points per game over their last five contests so the door is open for the Suns to turn in another strong offensive showing. Take the over (10*). |
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01-11-18 | Celtics -2 v. 76ers | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Philadelphia at 3:05 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams are streaking right now, but I believe the Celtics are better positioned to keep it rolling in London on Thursday afternoon. Boston certainly travels well, having gone 15-5 SU away from home this season. The C's are a long way from home in this one, but I believe they'll be up for the opportunity to showcase themselves overseas. The 76ers have scored at will during their current four-game winning streak, of course the only truly impressive win over that stretch came on paper only as the Spurs elected to bench a number of their key cogs. The Celtics have already defeated the 76ers twice this season, look for them to make it three straight on Thursday. Take Boston (10*). |
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01-10-18 | Thunder v. Wolves UNDER 211.5 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Oklahoma City and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in the T'Wolves last game - a rout of the Cavaliers on Monday night. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday, as they welcome the Thunder to town. Lost in that blowout win by Minnesota was its exceptional defensive effort against not just Lebron James (he was held to 10 points) but the entire Cavs offense. Yes, Cleveland did end up reaching 99 points but that was thanks only to a big fourth quarter after the T'Wolves had already solidified a positive result. Here, I'm anticipating a more tightly-contested affair, and that should lend itself to tougher defense throughout. The Thunder are known for their offense, but here they're going to need to tighten things up defensively in order to bring an end to a two-game slide. After giving up 114 and 117 points in back-to-back flat performances against Phoenix and Portland I expect them to do just that on Wednesday night. Take the under (10*). |
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01-10-18 | Mavs v. Hornets UNDER 209.5 | 115-111 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Neither of these teams should be considered defensive stalwarts by any means, but that doesn't mean that a track meet is a sure thing on Wednesday night in Charlotte. The Hornets are playing their first game back home following a long road trip, and I expect them to suffer some ill effects as a result. As for the Mavs, they're in a back-to-back spot following a 114-point outburst in a win over the Magic at home last night. This is one of those tough to get up for one game trips, against a non-conference opponent no less. It's not that I'm anticipating a defensive slugfest here, I simply feel that both offenses will have a tough time sustaining high productivity levels for four quarters. We're dealing with a lofty total here as well. Take the under (10*). |
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01-08-18 | Cavs v. Wolves OVER 220 | 99-127 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Monday. I'm not anticipating much defense in this showdown between the Cavs and T'Wolves on Monday night. The Cavs will be a popular play in this one, but there's no question Minnesota is capable of giving them a run. The T'Wolves score here at home, averaging north of 109 points per game. Likewise, the Cavs are putting up just shy of 110 ppg on the road. Also note that the most recent meeting between these two teams, last February, totaled 224 points. The Cavs are easing Isaiah Thomas into the fold, and he scored 19 points in only 22 minutes last time out. Expect a track meet here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-05-18 | Raptors v. Bucks +1 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Friday. We won with the Raptors in their convincing win over the Bulls in Chicago two nights ago but I won't hesitate to switch gears and fade them as they stay on the road to take on the Bucks on Friday night. Milwaukee has won three of its last four games, going a perfect 4-0 ATS over that stretch. The Bucks are a solid 13-6 SU at home this season. Keep in mind, the Bucks just went toe-to-toe with the Raptors in Toronto on Monday, forcing overtime before falling by four points. That snapped their three-game ATS losing skid in the series. Solid spot for the Bucks to catch the Raptors riding a little too high on Friday night. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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01-03-18 | Raptors -5 v. Bulls | 124-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Boston at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I believe the Raptors are in a good place off back-to-back home wins. In those two victories, Toronto had no trouble racking up the points, and it should have little trouble repeating those performances against the Bulls in Chicago on Wednesday. It's unlikely the Raptors will get complacent, knowing they just dropped a pair of road games in Dallas and Oklahoma City last week and needed overtime to prevail against Milwaukee on Monday. Chicago is coming off an overtime game of its own on Monday, falling at the hands of the Blazers here at home. That brought an end to a streak of four straight ATS victories. Note that the Bulls are just a .500 team at home, where they average just a shade over 100 points per game. Take Toronto (10*). |
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12-20-17 | Magic +5 v. Bulls | 94-112 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the points with the Magic on Wednesday night. Orlando has dropped five games in a row but was close to tasting victory last time out, falling by just four points while scoring 110 points in Detroit. Here it will actually be taking a step down in class, despite the fact that the Bulls have been playing well lately, winning each of their last six games both SU and ATS. Off seven straight ATS underdog victories they now shift to the favored role, however, and I don't believe that bodes well. I'm anticipating a tightly-contested affair at the United Center on Wednesday. Take Orlando (10*). |
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12-13-17 | Blazers v. Heat OVER 202 | 102-95 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Miami at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. We missed the mark with the 'over' in Miami's most recent game in Memphis on Monday but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. The Heat scored 107 points in that eventual rout of the Grizzlies, despite the fact that the game was played at a very slow pace. That marked the third straight game in which Miami scored at least 101 points. Portland is coming off five straight losses but has scored 117 and 104 points over its last two contests. Desperate for a win here, I believe we'll see the Blazers push the pace at every opportunity. Note that the last meeting between these two teams, right here in Miami last March, totaled 219 points. Take the over (10*). |
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12-12-17 | Lakers v. Knicks -3.5 | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York minus the points over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Knicks have been terrific as a home favorite this season, a perfect 7-0 ATS in fact. No reason to go against that trend here as they host the Lakers, who are coming off back-to-back road wins, which for a team that has won just four times in 12 road tilts this season is a rare occurrence. New York has scored over 100 points in back-to-back games and is coming off a victory over Atlanta on this floor. With the Lakers sitting at 12-13 ATS on the campaign, I believe they'll be hard-pressed to earn a third consecutive ATS cover in this spot. Take New York (10*). |
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12-11-17 | Heat v. Grizzlies OVER 194 | 107-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Memphis at 8:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Memphis on Monday night. The Heat allowed just 89 points in a double-digit win over Brooklyn last time out, but don't count on similar defensive commitment and success from Miami in this spot. Generally speaking, the Heat defense has been non-existent in recent weeks. The Grizzlies will certainly be looking to 'get right' in this spot and I see it as an excellent matchup for them to take advantage of. Memphis has lost three games in a row but on a positive note, has scored over 100 points in back-to-back games, albeit needing overtime to do so in its last contest against Oklahoma City. Take the over (10*). |
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12-08-17 | Warriors v. Pistons +5 | Top | 102-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Golden State at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We have two teams seemingly heading in the opposite direction here. The Warriors have won five games in a row SU and four consecutive ATS. However, they're dealing with some key injury issues with Steph Curry sidelined until later in the month and both Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala banged up as well. Meanwhile, the Pistons are healthy, but come in riding a four-game SU skid, having gone 1-2-1 ATS over that stretch. There's no question Detroit will be up for this game though, and it's worth noting that the Pistons already defeated the Warriors in Oakland this season. In fact, Detroit is 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings in this series. Look for the Pistons to at least take the Warriors down to the wire in this spot. Take Detroit (10*). |
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12-07-17 | Thunder -7 v. Nets | 95-100 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over Brooklyn at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Thunder in Mexico City. Oklahoma City has taken the last two meetings in this series by 18+ points. Now the Thunder have a chance to really get rolling on the heels of three straight victories, finally seizing some momentum in what has been a tumultuous start to the season. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has been alternating wins and losses lately and comes off a victory in Atlanta on Monday. I simply don't see this as a positive matchup for a Nets squad that allows over 112 points per contest. A track meet likely won't serve them well in this spot. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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12-06-17 | Heat +8 v. Spurs | 105-117 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami plus the points over San Antonio at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. I haven't been overly impressed by the Spurs lately. Here's what they've been up to; blew out the Hornets in Charlotte, won by seven at home against Dallas, won by nine at home against Memphis, blew out Memphis on the road, loss at OKC and won by three at home against Detroit. Seems like a few of those games could have gone either way, and a number of those matchups came against reeling opponents. The Heat have dropped three of their last four games but after two off days, I expect them to come out with plenty of jump, especially considering they were routed by 28 points at home against Golden State last time out. The Spurs never lose to the Heat it seems. With that being said, I see this as a favorable spot for the Heat to hang around against a Spurs squad that is missing Kawhi Leonard. Take Miami (10*). |
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12-06-17 | Grizzlies v. Knicks -2 | 88-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York minus the points over Memphis at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll lay the short number with the Knicks on Wednesday. New York comes in reeling having dropped five of its last six games. It will get a boost with the return of Kristaps Porzingis on Wednesday night, however. The Grizzlies finally broke out of their long slump with a narrow home win over the T'Wolves on Monday. Tough spot here though as they hit the road against a Knicks squad that has yet to drop the cash as a home favorite this season. Take New York (10*). |
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11-30-17 | Bucks v. Blazers -2.5 | 103-91 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Portland minus the points over Milwaukee at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. I don't ordinarily like backing teams returning home off long road trips but I'll make an exception in this case as I like the short number we're being asked to lay with the surging Blazers. The Bucks are still learning to win on the road. Yes, they've gone 2-1 SU so far on their current trip, but one of those victories came in overtime against the lowly Suns and the other came two nights ago against a Kings squad that was playing the second of back-to-back nights off a huge upset win over the Warriors. In this particular spot, I simply believe the Blazers depth will prove to be the difference as they handle the 'Greek Freak' and ultimately win and cover. Take Portland (10*). |
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11-29-17 | Pacers v. Rockets OVER 222 | Top | 97-118 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Houston at 8 pm et on Wednesday. I'm confident we're going to see a track meet between the Pacers and Rockets in Houston on Wednesday. Indiana is coming off a 121-109 home win over the Magic on Monday night. That marked the third straight game in which Indiana allowed at least 104 points. Things obviously won't get any easier here as they hit the road to face the high-octane Rockets. Houston has scored at least 117 points in four of its last five games - all victories. We've seen the Rockets lag a little bit defensively over their last couple, however, giving up 102 and 103 points against the Knicks and Nets. They'll face a tougher challenge here as the Pacers are averaging over 110 points per game on the road this season. We're dealing with a high posted total here, but it's warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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11-28-17 | Wizards +5.5 v. Wolves | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. I like the spot for the Wizards here. They check in losers of four of their last five games, but their schedule had a lot to do with that. At least their offense has picked back up over their last couple of contests. I was encouraged by the fact they scored 105 points in a narrow home loss on Saturday, which came on the heels of a three-game in four-night road trip. Now they've had a couple of days off to regroup and I'm anticipating a stronger defensive effort tonight in Minnesota. The T'Wolves haven't posted consecutive wins since notching three straight victories from November 13th to 17th. Take Washington (10*). |
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11-27-17 | Pistons +6.5 v. Celtics | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Boston at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Pistons in a big statement game against the East-leading Celtics on Monday night. Detroit is coming off a confidence-building one-point road win over the Thunder last time out. The Pistons will be aiming for their third straight road victory here and they've posted a winning record on the highway this season. The Celtics have won and covered in back-to-back games since seeing their long winning streak come to an end against Miami last week. As good as they've been, I don't believe they're invincible and against a highly-motivated Pistons squad, I think they're overvalued in this spot. Take Detroit (10*). |
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11-24-17 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Boston at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Magic have lost six games in a row but I believe they have an excellent shot at staging an upset on Friday night in Boston. Despite their losing SU record, the Magic have actually gone 9-8-1 ATS on the campaign. They do have four SU road wins to their credit already this season. The Celtics finally lost a game on Wednesday night in Miami. They've been a phenomenal bet, going 15-3-1 ATS, but coming off a rare loss, I believe they're overvalued in this supposed bounce-back spot. The Magic suffered a 16-point home loss to the C's earlier this season. Expect a little revenge here. Take Orlando (10*). |
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11-22-17 | Nuggets v. Rockets OVER 228.5 | 95-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Houston at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. Not sure how this one stays 'under' as both the Nuggets and Rockets will be happy to get involved in a track meet on Wednesday night. The Nuggets are fresh off a rout of the Kings on Monday night, despite being undermanned. Paul Millsap remains sidelined but I'm still confident Denver can keep churning along offensively, just as it did last time out. Houston has scored over 100 points in 10 straight games but is coming off a stellar defensive performance as well against Memphis last weekend. Here, they shouldn't need to play elite defense as they should have little trouble scoring at will against the Nuggets. We're dealing with a very high total, but that's the norm in games involving these two teams. Take the over (10*). |
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11-17-17 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 114-146 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Denver at 10:35 pm et on Friday. We missed the mark with the Pelicans on Wednesday night as they fell to a surging Raptors squad at home. I won't hesitate to go back to the well on Friday, however, as New Orleans finds itself in an underdog role in Denver. The Pelicans have actually been a better team on the road than at home this season, posting a 5-3 SU record. Of course, Denver has been terrific on its home floor, winning six of eight games. It is worth noting that the underdog has gone 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in this series. Wins from the home team have been few and far between in this particular matchup. While Denver has reeled off seven wins in its last 10 games overall, it has gone 4-6 ATS over that stretch. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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11-15-17 | Raptors v. Pelicans -3.5 | 125-116 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. Tough spot for the Raptors here, on the road for their third game in four nights, after pouring in 129 points in a blowout win over the Rockets last night. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are out to complete a perfect three-game homestand before hitting the road. While I would like to be laying a little less with New Orleans in this spot, I do believe the line is warranted. This has the makings of a tight game from start to finish, but look for the Pelicans to have a little more in the tank down the stretch and ultimately pull away for a win and cover. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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11-07-17 | Grizzlies +4 v. Blazers | 98-97 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Blazers have won back-to-back games on their current homestand but I believe they'll be hard pressed to notch a third straight victory on Tuesday night against Memphis. The Grizzlies will undoubtedly be up for this one after after dropping a game against the Lakers in Los Angeles on Sunday. That was a bitter pill to swallow after beating the Clippers the previous night. While the Blazers do check in with a winning SU record, they've gone just 4-5-1 ATS. The Grizzlies haven't been much better, going 5-5 ATS, but I do feel they have a lot more upside in that regard. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. Take Memphis (10*). |
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11-01-17 | Raptors v. Nuggets -1 | 111-129 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Toronto at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Nuggets are favored for a reason in this non-conference tilt on Wednesday night. Denver has gotten off to a slow start, having won just three of its first seven games, however just two of those games have come at home, where they generally own a considerable edge. As for the Raptors this will be the fifth game of a six-game road trip, so they have to be getting a little weary at this point, even after cruising to an easy win in Portland two nights ago. Denver has to be somewhat encouraged by a recent 2-2 road trip out east. The Nuggets were swept in this season series last year, with both matchups coming early in the campaign. Expect a different story to unfold here in 2017. Take Denver (10*). |
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10-25-17 | Spurs v. Heat +4 | 117-100 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami plus the points over San Antonio at 8 pm et on Wednesday. The Spurs remain undefeated on the season but I like the upstart Heat to give them a run in South Beach on Wednesday night. Miami has reeled off two straight wins since opening the campaign with a loss in Orlando. Even in that losing effort, the Heat still put up 109 points. They’ve scored at least 104 points in all three games this season and check in a perfect 2-0 here at home. The Spurs will obviously be looking to slow things down but I’m not sure how successful they’ll be. They manhandled the Bulls in their lone previous road game, delivering an 87-77 victory. They’ve yet to allow more than 99 points in a game this season but I believe that changes on Wednesday, helping the Heat stay inside the number. Take Miami (10*). |
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10-24-17 | Bulls v. Cavs OVER 208.5 | Top | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. Not a hard decision here. The Bulls got stuck in a slugfest against the Spurs last time out after allowing 117 points, while scoring 100 points themselves, in their season opener in Toronto. Expect a return to 'normal' here as Chicago won't be able to resist a track meet in Cleveland. The Cavs got lit up for 114 points at home against the Magic on Saturday so they'll undoubtedly be fired up for this bounce-back game. Keep in mind, in Cleveland's first two games this season it put up 102 and 116 points. It should have no trouble breaking through against a porous Bulls defense on Tuesday night. Take the over (10*). |
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10-23-17 | 76ers v. Pistons -3.5 | 97-86 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Monday. Philadelphia stunned Detroit in the first meeting between these two teams last season, rolling to a 97-79 victory on this floor in December. However, it was all Pistons in the next two meetings and I'm expecting a similar story to unfold on Monday night. We won with the 76ers in their season opener in Washington. Credit the young 76ers for sticking around in that one but since then they've suffered double-digit losses against the Celtics and Raptors. I just don't see Philadelphia picking itself up off the mat in this spot. Take Detroit (10*). |
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10-20-17 | Cavs v. Bucks +2 | 116-97 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We won fading the Cavs in their home opener against Boston as the Celtics rallied and nearly staged the outright upset despite the devastating injury to Gordon Hayward. I see fit to fade the Cavs again on Friday night as they hit the road for perhaps an even tougher matchup against the upstart Bucks. Milwaukee opened its season with a win over the Celtics as well. The Bucks took the first meeting with the Cavs last season but went on to lose the next three. Motivation will certainly be on Milwaukee's side here as most have the Cavs pegged a shoe-in to win the Eastern Conference after the Celtics lost Hayward. I'm not ready to crown Cleveland just yet. I still feel the Cavs are an overvalued commodity in the early going this season. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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10-18-17 | 76ers +7 v. Wizards | 115-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll take a flyer with the lowly 76ers as they open their campaign in Washington on Wednesday night. The 76ers are obviously brimming with young talent thanks to all the early draft picks in recent years. The fact is, they have a low floor and a high ceiling entering the season. I'm of the belief that we'll see them come out of the gates with a 'nothing to lose' mentality and I see this as a favorable matchup to open with. The Wizards are a little top-heavy in my opinion. They've got star power and appear ready to take a step forward in the Eastern Conference but I don't love their depth, or lack thereof. This is a team that has had a knack for getting involved in tightly-contested affairs in recent years and I'm counting on another one on opening night. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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10-17-17 | Celtics +3.5 v. Cavs | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston plus the points over Cleveland at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. It's time for a changing of the guard in the Eastern Conference. While one game doesn't make a season, I'm confident we'll see the Celtics make a big statement in Cleveland on Tuesday night. The Cavs won't be able to benefit from the Kyrie Irving trade until later in the season as Isaiah Thomas remains sidelined. Yes, Cleveland added Dwyane Wade but I'm not anticipating him to make a big splash with his good buddy Lebron James. The Cavs are still going to be a force to be reckoned with in the Eastern Conference. They should be able to finish top three in their sleep. With that being said, the Celtics are the real deal and they have more to gain in this contest. I'll grab the points in a game the C's are capable of winning outright. Take Boston (10*). |
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06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 231 | 120-129 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Golden State at 9 pm et on Monday. I'll keep things simple here and back the 'under' in what could be the championship clincher for the Warriors. Golden State was flat out embarrassed in Game 4 of this series on Friday night. Expect a much sharper effort from the Warriors back home, where they'll look to make amends for a dreadful defensive performance. On the flip side, the Cavs aren't going to go away quietly. That was certainly evident on Friday night. If Cleveland is going to get this series back home for a sixth game, it will need to bring its 'A' game defensively, and can ill afford to get involved in another track meet. Even if this one does turn out to be a track meet there's no assurance it gets 'over' this monster total. Take the under (10*). |
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06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 229 | Top | 116-137 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Finals Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Golden State and Cleveland at 9 pm et on Friday. The total continues to rise as this series progresses, and potentially wraps up on Friday night. I believe the oddsmakers have set the number too high on Friday night. This could very well be the Cavaliers last stand, and I don't expect them to go down without a fight. In order to hang around for four quarters, they're going to need to turn up their defensive game, however. After completely collapsing defensively in the closing minutes of Game 3, I look for them to come out with plenty of fire on Friday night. On the flip side, the Warriors have been able to manhandle the Cavs offense at times during this series. With a championship within their grasp I look for their best defensive effort of the series on Friday. The 'over' has cashed in the last two games, but I see this one playing out a lot more like the series opener. Take the under (10*). |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs +4 | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Golden State at 9 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the Cavs to avoid being pushed to the brink in this series on Wednesday night in Cleveland. I don't expect Cleveland to go away quietly in this series. Yes, the Warriors have looked dominant and downright unstoppable through the first two games of this series. They've now gone 3-1 SU and ATS in four meetings with the Cavs this season. I believe the biggest boost they received in Game 2 on Sunday night came from the return of Steve Kerr on the sidelines. Here, I expect to see the Cavs put forth their best effort of the series, otherwise they're all but done. This is a confident bunch, one that knows it can hang with the Warriors, even if it hasn't shown it through two games. The ATS winner generally wins SU in this matchup so it may not be a bad idea to back the Cavs on the moneyline here as well. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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06-04-17 | Cavs +9 v. Warriors | 113-132 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Golden State at 8 pm et on Sunday. There are a lot of comparisons being made to last year's series between these two teams, which featured a number of blowout results, just as we saw in Game 1 of this series. I don't expect a repeat story to unfold, however, and I'm confident the Cavs can hang with the Warriors for four quarters, unlike we saw in the opener on Thursday. Cleveland did an awful job defensively in Game 1 but I am anticipating a much tougher effort from them here. We've seen them make adjustments and respond favorably following off nights defensively, albeit not against the level of competition they're facing here. The Cavs were able to do a lot of good things offensively in the opening quarter on Thursday before struggling the rest of the way. Again, I expect to see some adjustments and I anticipate a much stronger push back should this turn into an up and down affair. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 225.5 | 91-113 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Golden State at 9 pm et on Thursday. Perhaps the long layoff between games will lead to a little rust and this one will cruise 'under' the total, but I don't see it playing out that way on the floor. Don't think for a second that either of these star-studded teams will back down one bit, or hold anything back in the Finals opener on Thursday night. I'm anticipating a hard-fought game, but also plenty of offense. Of course, the oddsmakers and the betting marketplace in general feels that way as well as totals in this range in the Finals are extremely rare. That doesn't mean it's not warranted, however. Note that the Warriors average just under 119 points per game on their home floor this season. For their part, the Cavs have put up north of 109 points per contest on the road. Both regular season meetings stayed 'under' the total. I expect a different story to unfold here. Take the over (10*). |
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05-25-17 | Cavs -10 v. Celtics | 135-102 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland minus the points over Boston at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. We've certainly seen a shift in the line since the first two games of this series here in Boston but it's warranted. The Celtics shocked everyone by taking Game 3 of this series in Cleveland and gave the Cavs a good run for a half in Game 4 before running out of gas in the second half in a double-digit loss. I expect to see more of the same in what should be the final game of this series on Thursday night. I just don't see the Celtics shooting any better than they did in Game 4, and that only got them to 99 points. The Cavs could not be stopped offensively in that game, but I don't expect anything to change here. Lebron James responded in a big way as expected last time out after a no-show in the second half of Game 3. Expect plenty of carry-over from that performance on Thursday. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 218 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between Boston and Cleveland at 8:30 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the ‘over’ in Game 3 of this series on Sunday, thanks in large part to a few scoring outbursts in the first half. Things settled down as the game progressed and after the Celtics pulled off a shocking upset, I expect to see the Cavs come out fired up on Tuesday night. That lends itself to a lower-scoring affair as far as I’m concerned as I believe we’ll see Cleveland really step up its defensive game. On the flip side, Celtics head coach Brad Stevens was less than pleased with his team’s defensive efforts in the first two games of this series and they answered the bell in the second half on Sunday. Expect some carry-over, although likely with a different end result on Tuesday night. Take the under (10*). |
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05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +12.5 | 129-115 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Antonio plus the points over Golden State at 9 pm et on Monday. We backed the Spurs at a much shorter price on Saturday night. We didn't come all that close to cashing that ticket but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Monday night. This time, the Spurs are facing elimination. One would have to think that adds to their motivation here, obviously. This is a prideful, veteran squad, even if it is missing some key cogs. Gregg Popovich teams don't tend to go away quietly. The Warriors can't play much better than they have over the last 10 quarters of basketball in this series. Here, I look for them to face some resistance as the Spurs stay inside the inflated number. Take San Antonio (10*). |
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05-21-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 213 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Cleveland at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Cleveland on Sunday night. The Celtics were flat out embarrassed on Friday night in Boston and now with Isaiah Thomas sidelined, few are giving them any shot at keeping things competitive in Game 3 on Sunday. I do think we'll see the C's come out with plenty of energy, however, and I'm confident they'll do enough offensively to help this one 'over' the total. On the flip side, Boston has yet to show that it is capable of providing any sort of resistance defensively. The Cavs will once again run wild and hang another crooked number on the scoreboard. Simply put, I believe this total has been set too low. Take the over (10*). |
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05-20-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +6.5 | 120-108 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Antonio plus the points over Golden State at 9 pm et on Saturday. I’ll back the Spurs as they return home and attempt to dig out of an 0-2 hole against the Warriors on Saturday night. While I by no means believe San Antonio can rally to win this series, I am confident that it can at least keep things competitive and possibly even steal a game back home. Game 1 of this series obviously could have gone either way as the Spurs came out on fire before running out of gas in the second half. Game 2 wasn’t close as the Warriors faced absolutely no resistance in a blowout win. I do believe that one-sided result gives the Spurs some added motivation here, as if they need it. San Antonio is obviously up against it missing two of its best players but I don’t believe it will get swept in this series, and as I see it, this is the Spurs best opportunity to earn a ‘W’. Take San Antonio (10*). |
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05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +6.5 | 130-86 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston plus the points over Cleveland at 8:30 pm et on Friday. So this is where everyone writes off the Celtics and shockingly they show up and give the Cavs a run and possibly even win outright in Game 2 on Friday night. At least that's how I see this one playing out. I don't believe Boston gets swept in this series. But to avoid that fate, it needs a victory on Friday night as it's highly unlikely it steals a game in Cleveland. Keep in mind, the C's did defeat the Celtics on this floor back in March. They've gone an impressive 35-14 SU at home this season so there is an advantage there. The Cavs are by no means invincible on the road, where they've lost 21 games this season. I'll take my chances grabbing a handful of points with the C's here. Take Boston (10*). |
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05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 219.5 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Conference Finals Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Boston at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. I simply believe this total has been set far too high. Cleveland played two regular season games here in Boston, and those contests totaled 202 and 205 points. The Cavs have by no means been a defensive powerhouse this season, but after facing the Wizards for seven games, - one of the league's worst defensive teams - the Celtics will certainly be stepping up in class here. Of course, one of the big reasons we're dealing with such a high total here is the fact that Boston's aforementioned series with Washington went 'over' the total in five of seven games. Meanwhile, the 'over' went 3-1 in the Cavs series sweep of the Raptors last round. Cleveland has yet to face any resistance in these playoffs but will face a tougher test than some are expecting here against a scrappy Celtics squad. Boston may not win this game, but I do expect it to give Cleveland a run in a lower-scoring game than the oddsmakers are anticipating. Take the under (10*). |
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05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 208.5 | 100-136 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Antonio and Golden State at 9 pm et on Tuesday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in Game 1 of this series on Sunday afternoon but I won't hesitate to go back to the well again on Tuesday. The Spurs will likely be without Kawhi Leonard for this one, which you would assume would strike a real blow to their defensive game. However, I feel Leonard's potential absence hurts them just as much offensively, particularly in this matchup. The Warriors are certainly a better defensive squad than they showed in the first half of Game 1 on Sunday. They righted the ship as the game progressed and I expect to see some carry-over from that performance here. The 'over' has cashed in the Warriors last two games. The last time that happened in these playoffs their next contest totaled only 200 points and cruised 'under'. Expect more of the same. Take the under (10*). |
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05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Washington at 8 pm et on Monday. I had the Celtics to win this series from the outset and I'll back them here even as we're asked to lay a handful of points. This has been a home-dominated series all season, and that has held true throughout this series. We're looking at a lower total than we've been accustomed to in this series on Monday, and that plays into the hands of the Celtics as far as I'm concerned. Washington has yet to prove it can slow down the Celtics in transition, and it's worth noting that the Wiz have allowed over 110 points per game on better than 47% shooting on the road this season. More often than not, the SU winner also covers the number in these Game 7's. Take Boston (10*). |
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05-14-17 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 212 | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Antonio and Golden State at 3:30 pm et on Sunday. The Spurs didn't seem to miss Tony Parker after he went down to a season-ending injury early in their second round series against the Rockets. I do think they'll miss him as they open the West Finals against the Warriors on Sunday, however. Of course, that's particularly true at the offensive end of the floor. I do believe we'll see the Spurs hold their own defensively, even in the face of a world class Warriors offense. Getting Kawhi Leonard back after a one game absence obviously helps in that department. On the flip side, I'm confident the Warriors can and will do a better job of containing the Spurs offense than the defenseless Rockets did last round. The 'over' went 2-1 in three regular season meetings between these two teams but I look for a different story to unfold here in the postseason. Take the under (10*). |
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05-12-17 | Celtics v. Wizards UNDER 216 | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Washington at 8 pm et on Friday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in Game 5 of this series on Wednesday night but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Friday. The Wizards simply didn't show up defensively in Beantown on Wednesday. With their backs against the wall I do expect them to make amends for that awful performance here. After all, it is a win or go (stay) home scenario. Meanwhile, we've yet to really see the Celtics ratchet up the defensive pressure in this series like they did in the opening round against Chicago. But with a ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals in their grasp, I do look for them to tighten things up on Friday. Game 5 was played extremely loose at both ends of the floor. In this, the first elimination game of this series, I'm looking for a different story to unfold. Take the under (10*). |
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05-11-17 | Spurs +7 v. Rockets | 114-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Antonio plus the points over Houston at 8 pm et on Thursday. While we've seen a number of blowout results in this series, the last game was nothing of the sort as we cashed with the Rockets plus the points in an overtime thriller. Despite those previous blowouts, the underdog has gone 3-2 ATS in this series so far. I look for that trend to continue on Thursday. The Rockets cruised past the Spurs in the last game here in Houston and with Kawhi Leonard hobbled with an ankle injury, the oddsmakers are calling for more of the same, shifting this line in the Rockets favor. I look for a strong effort from the Spurs, however. San Antonio's 32-13 SU road record is no fluke. Having won three games here on this court this season there's no intimidation factor. I'll grab all the points I can get with the Spurs. Take San Antonio (10*). |
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05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 215 | 101-123 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Boston at 8 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Beantown on Wednesday night. The winner in each game of this series has put up at least 111 points but that's a trend I see ending on Wednesday night. I'm just not sure the two offenses can keep it up. These two teams are very familiar with one another and at some point, I believe we're going to see things tighten up considerably. We didn't see it in Washington, even though one of the two games did stay 'under' the total. I look for some major push back from the Celtics after back-to-back losses in which they simply didn't show up defensively. Meanwhile, the Wizards can't play much worse defensively than they did in the first two games in Boston. Keep in mind, two of four regular season matchups in this series did stay 'under' the total we're dealing with on Wednesday. Take the under (10*). |
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05-09-17 | Rockets +5.5 v. Spurs | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston plus the points over San Antonio at 8 pm et on Tuesday. After all four regular season meetings between these two teams were decided by six points or less we've seen blowout after blowout to open this series. We missed the mark with the Spurs plus the points in Houston on Sunday but I still feel that the value is with the underdog and will back the Rockets on Tuesday night in San Antonio. Perhaps the Rockets thought things were going to come easy back at home, especially with the Spurs losing Tony Parker for the series in Game 2. Instead, San Antonio turned in its best effort of the series in Game 3, stealing back control. Of course, Houston responded with a big win in Game 4 and now that leads us to a pivotal Game 5 matchup on Tuesday. I believe the Rockets have an excellent shot at not only covering but winning outright so I'll grab all the points I can get in this spot. Take Houston (10*). |
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05-07-17 | Spurs +6 v. Rockets | Top | 104-125 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
My selection is on San Antonio plus the points over Houston at 9 pm et on Sunday. I simply believe the Spurs are catching too many points in this one. San Antonio has successfully bounced back from a series-opening home loss to the Rockets, reeling off back-to-back wins with relative ease. I don't see Gregg Popovich's squad letting up one big on Sunday night in Houston. This is really the Rockets first real taste of adversity in these playoffs after cruising past the Thunder in round one. I'm not sure they'll respond favorably against a Spurs team that has taken five of seven meetings this season. Losing Tony Parker seemed to give the Spurs a spark as they played a near perfect road game on Friday night. Keep in mind, San Antonio has been one of the best road teams in the league this season, going 32-12 SU. There they've allowed under 99 points per game. I look for the Spurs to keep the Rockets in check for a third straight game. Take San Antonio (10*). |
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05-05-17 | Cavs -2 v. Raptors | 115-94 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland minus the points over Toronto at 7 pm et on Friday. The Raptors look like a team that’s ready to wave the white flag but they’re not being priced as such. That has a lot to do with the fact that the Raps pushed the Cavs at home in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals, winning back-to-back games in Toronto to send things back to Cleveland all knotted at two games apiece. I don’t see the same story unfolding this year, however. The Raps are understandably frustrated as they couldn’t find any answers against the Cavs in the first two games. Yes, there were some calls that didn’t go their way but that’s life on the road in the NBA – particularly against Lebron and company. Cleveland knows that it will likely be in for a tough series regardless who it faces in the East Finals. It needs to wrap this series up as efficiently as possible and while it may be somewhat presumptuous talking about the next round so early, that’s the reality of the situation as far as I’m concerned. The Raps will certainly get a boost from a raucous crowd at Air Canada Centre but that can only go so far. We saw the Cavs exert their will on the road in round one and I’m confident we’ll see more of the same here. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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05-04-17 | Celtics v. Wizards OVER 218.5 | Top | 89-116 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the ‘over’ between Boston and Washington at 8 pm et on Thursday. There will come a time to jump ship from playing the ‘over’ in this series, but I’m not sure we’ve reached that point yet. Game 2 was another thriller with Boston ultimately winning by 10 points in overtime, the score once again eclipsing the total with relative ease in regulation time. I’m not sure we’ll see things slow down at all as the scene shifts to Washington for Game 3 on Thursday night. The Wizards have come out on fire in the first two games of this series and will certainly have motivation on their side on Thursday as they aim to avoid an 0-3 hole. But don’t count on the Celtics backing down from the challenge. Note that Boston has now won six games in a row since falling behind 2-0 at home against the Bulls in round one. Both teams will come out and look to push the pace and force their opponents’ hand once again. Count on another barnburner. Take the over (10*). |
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05-03-17 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 213.5 | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The oddsmakers have made an adjustment to this total heading into Game 2 but I'm not sure it will be enough. We won with the 'over' in the series opener on Monday and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. The Raptors can certainly play better offensively. Yes, the Cavs were able to manhandle the Raps at times in Game 1 but they're by no means the elite shutdown defensive squad they once were. The Raps knew winning in Cleveland was going to be a tall task in this series so there's no reason to get overly discouraged after falling by a 116-105 score in the opener. On the flip side, I don't believe Toronto will have any defensive answers for Cleveland - no different than we saw in Game 1. The Cavs got all the looks they wanted and will continue to push the pace on Wednesday night. Save for that meaningless game on the final night of the regular season, this has been a very high-scoring series of late. Expect more of the same in Game 2. Take the over (10*). |
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05-02-17 | Jazz v. Warriors -13 | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Utah at 10:30 pm et on Tuesday. Credit the Jazz to fend off the Clippers in seven games in round one but I’m certainly among the majority in believing they’re in for a rough ride against the Warriors beginning on Tuesday night. We’re being asked to lay a lot of points with Golden State but the line is warranted in my opinion. The Warriors were able to push the pace without facing any resistance at all against the Blazers in round one. Here in round two I do look for a slower pace but the Warriors should once again thrive. I actually like the matchup of the Warriors defense against the Jazz offense here. That’s where Golden State should really impose its will in Tuesday’s series opener. Were it not for the injury to Blake Griffin who knows how Utah’s series against Los Angeles would have gone. In fact, there’s a good chance it would have been the Clippers moving on. Look for the Warriors to take full advantage of the matchup in front of them. Take Golden State (10*). |
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05-02-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 218 | 119-129 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Washington and Boston at 8 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the ‘over’ in the opener of this series on Sunday afternoon and I won’t hesitate to go back to the well with the same play in Game 2 on Tuesday night. The Wizards came out loose and scored 64 points in the first half of Sunday’s series opener but were ultimately undone by a 16-point third quarter. I did like the way the Wiz responded following that quarter. Rather than folding the tent they came out and put 31 points on the board in the final frame, still falling well short in a 123-111 setback. I’m not convinced the Celtics will be able to slow down the Wizards for prolonged stretches in this series but it may not matter as Boston is rolling offensively. Despite being afforded the opportunity to take its foot off the gas in several games against the Bulls last round, Boston still routinely put up over 100 points. It’s in the Celtics nature to push the tempo and after that formula worked in Game 1, I don’t expect to see much change on Tuesday night. Take the over (10*). |
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05-01-17 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 208.5 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I believe this total will prove too low on Monday night. The Raptors have obviously been in this position before after facing the Cavs in last year's East Finals. I expect to see them play loose in Monday's series opener, keeping in mind, the Cavs haven't been the same dominant defensive team we've seen in years' past. The Cavs are giving up just shy of 105 points per game at home this season. On the flip side, they're averaging around 113 points per game themselves, so track meets have been the norm on this floor. Meanwhile, the Raptors score over 101 while also giving up that same number on the road. The most recent meeting between these two teams reached only 181 points but that came on the final night of the regular season when most regular starters sat out. Their previous meeting totaled 228 points back in December. Take the over (10*). |
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04-30-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 215 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Boston at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. The Celtics offense is rolling along right now, and I don't expect them to face a great deal of resistance against the Wizards, who have allowed over 109 points per game on the road this season. For their part, the C's have averaged 109 points per game at home this season. Boston scored 104 points or more in each game while reeling off four straight wins to close out the Bulls last round. The Wizards won't go away quietly in this series opener, however. They've scored north of 100 points in all four regular season meetings with the Celtics. Washington put up its highest scoring output of its first round series against Atlanta in the series clincher, scoring 115 points. Take the over (10*). |
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04-28-17 | Clippers +6 v. Jazz | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Utah at 10:35 pm et on Friday. The Clippers have dropped back-to-back games both SU and ATS to fall to the brink of elimination in this series with the upstart Jazz. It's no coincidence that the Clips have struggled since losing Blake Griffin to a season-ending injury. With that being said, I do expect them to show plenty of fight and stay inside the inflated pointspread on Friday night in Utah. The Jazz certainly aren't accustomed to being in this position. This is a team that had little playoff experience entering this series, let alone experience in closing out a series. The Clippers are certainly confident on the road, where they've gone 23-20 SU this season. Los Angeles has won twice on this floor this season, once in this series, and once back in February. Look for CP3 and company to keep things interesting, and possibly even force a seventh game. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks -1.5 | Top | 92-89 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 49 m | Show |
NBA First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Toronto at 7 pm et on Thursday. The Raptors have taken back control of this series and have pushed the Bucks to the brink of elimination but I'm not sure the clincher will come easy for Toronto. To close things out in Milwaukee on Thursday we're asking the Raps to win three games in a row against a scrappy opponent, on the road no less. Everything went right for Toronto in Game 5 of this series but that was obviously a huge spot for the Raps as they certainly didn't want to head back to Milwaukee facing elimination. Toronto seems to be a team that performs better with its back against the wall, or at least when it faces some adversity. I'm not sure they'll be able to muster up the same level of motivation and desperation that we saw from them last time out. Milwaukee's two victories in this series have come with relative ease. The Bucks are certainly capable of hanging with the Raps and I look for them to push Toronto the limit with a victory on Thursday night. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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04-26-17 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 202 | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Boston at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. The oddsmakers continue to shift the total downward in this series but I'm still not sure it will prove to be enough. The tide has turned in the series, with the last two matchups in Chicago reaching 191 and 199 points. The Bulls offense hasn't been able to get back in gear since losing Rajon Rondo to injury. Now that they've given the Celtics life, I believe they'll have a tough time getting back on track with the scene shifting back to Boston. Chicago may no longer be an elite defensive team, but it has been one of the best 'under' bets in the NBA this season, posting a 34-51-1 o/u record. Look for the Celtics to build off of the strong defensive efforts they displayed in Chicago and make amends for giving up 106 and 111 points in Game 1 and 2 losses, respectively. Take the under (10*). |
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04-25-17 | Thunder v. Rockets OVER 223 | 99-105 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Houston at 8 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Houston on Tuesday night. The last game narrowly stayed 'under' the total, thanks in large part to a 38-point third quarter. With their backs against the wall, I'm confident we'll see the Thunder push the tempo for four quarters on Tuesday night. The Rockets certainly won't shy away from a track meet here, noting that they average over 117 points per game at home this season. Houston wasn't even all that sharp in Sunday's Game 4 matchup, yet still managed to score 113 points. James Harden didn't connect on a single three-point attempt in that game. We've seen a split in terms of the o/u in this matchup this season. The oddsmakers have held the total steady over the last several games, but I believe the number will prove to be too low on Tuesday. Take the over (10*). |
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04-24-17 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 192 | 93-118 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Toronto at 7 pm et on Monday. We won with the 'under' in Game 3 of this series before laying off on Saturday's Game 4 matchup - a contest that easily stayed below the total. We're dealing with the lowest posted total of the series on Monday night as the scene shifts back to Toronto. I believe it will prove too low. Keep in mind, the Raptors are giving up 103 points per game at home this season. They're by no means an elite defensive squad. Meanwhile, Milwaukee allows just shy of 104 points per game on the road, while averaging north of 101 points itself. We saw one regular season matchup between these two teams on this floor total 222 points. While I'm not calling for that sort of track meet here, I do believe the two teams will do their part to get the final 'over' the low total. Take the over (10*). |
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04-23-17 | Rockets +1.5 v. Thunder | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston plus the points over Oklahoma City at 3:30 pm et on Sunday. There's no reason for the Rockets to be discouraged after suffering a narrow two-point loss in Game 3 of this series on Friday night. The Thunder worked their way back into this series thanks to another massive performance from Russell Westbrook. I'm not convinced they can make it two in a row on Sunday afternoon, however. The Rockets are one of the better road teams in the league, having gone 25-17 on the highway this season. While the Thunder own a strong home court advantage, I don't see this as a favorable matchup at all, having dropped five of seven meetings this season. The Rockets certainly don't want to give the Thunder any more life than they've already gained. Look for the likes of Pat Beverley and Trevor Ariza to bounce back from ugly Game 3 performances. Take Houston (10*). |
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04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Portland at 10:30 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in the opener of this series before laying off Game 2. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play in Game 3, however. The Warriors offense has certainly found its groove through the first two games of this series and should face little resistance in Game 3, even with the scene shifting to Portland, where the Blazers give up nearly 107 points per game. The good news for the Blazers is, they have been a better offensive squad here at home, averaging just shy of 110 points per contest. They gave the Warriors all they could handle the last time these two teams squared off on this floor, ultimately falling by a 113-111 score. The 'over' is 6-3 in the last nine meetings in this series. Take the over (10*). |
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04-21-17 | Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 207.5 | 104-87 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Chicago at 7 pm et on Friday. I believe the total will prove too high in Chicago on Friday night. We've seen back-to-back 'over' results to open this series but I don't think that's a sustainable trend, noting that the Bulls have been one of the best 'under' bets in the league this season, posting a 34-49-1 o/u mark. Chicago knows that if it is going to grab a 3-0 stranglehold in this series, it can't get involved in a track meet. The Celtics haven't found their offensive groove yet in this series, and the Bulls certainly don't want to crack open the door. Keep in mind, the 'under' went 4-0 in four regular season meetings between these two teams. Take the under (10*). |
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04-20-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 196.5 | 77-104 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Milwaukee at 8 pm et on Thursday. On most nights, both of these teams struggle to break the 100-point plateau. With that being said, I believe this total will prove too high on Thursday night. While the Raptors haven't exactly hung their hat on their defense this season, they have been fairly consistent both at home and on the road - in other words, they haven't suffered much of a dropoff at all in their defensive play on the highway. The same can be said for the Bucks - they're not an elite defensive squad by any means, but they have held steady both at home and on the road, and I continue to see this as a matchup they can handle. Keep in mind, the 'under' has gone 5-2 in the last seven meetings in this series. After a relatively high-scoring Game 2 (206 points scored), I'm expecting a return to "normal" on Thursday. Take the under (10*). |
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04-19-17 | Thunder v. Rockets OVER 223 | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Houston at 8 pm et on Wednesday. The first game in this series was lower scoring than anticipated thanks to a no-show by the Thunder. I expect some push-back from Oklahoma City in this one, and I believe the total will prove to be too low. I certainly don't expect to see the Thunder held to 37% shooting again on Wednesday. Nor do I anticipate the Rockets being held to 30% from beyond the arc. Keep in mind, the last game between these two teams prior to this series came just three weeks ago, and the result was a 137-125 Rockets victory on this floor. Take the over (10*). |
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04-18-17 | Bulls v. Celtics -7 | 111-97 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Chicago at 8 pm et on Tuesday. The Bulls stunned the Celtics in the opener of this series but I look for Boston to bounce back with a big effort on Tuesday night. With the home team having won seven of the last eight meetings in this series, the Celtics can ill afford to fall into an 0-2 hole with the series shifting to Chicago for Game 3. The Bulls haven't been a great road team this season by any means, going 17-25 SU. Boston rolled into the postseason on the heels of three straight wins, scoring at least 112 points in each of those contests. Look for a return to form from the C's on Tuesday. Take Boston (10*). |
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04-17-17 | Pacers +7.5 v. Cavs | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Cleveland at 7 pm et on Monday. The common line of thinking here is that we'll see the Cavs shake off the rust and cruise past the Pacers after struggling to a one-point victory in the series opener on Saturday. I'm not sure that will be the case, however. The Pacers can play like they have nothing to lose in this series, knowing that no one is giving them a chance at upsetting the mighty Cavs. While Indiana has gone just 1-4 SU against Cleveland this season, it has posted a solid 3-2 ATS mark. The Cavs haven't been a good bet at all, posting a 36-44-3 ATS mark this season and I don't see them pulling away from the Pacers on Monday night. Take Indiana (10*). |
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04-16-17 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 220 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Golden State at 3:30 pm et on Sunday. I don't expect the Blazers to offer much resistance against the Warriors on Sunday afternoon in Oakland. With that being said, I do believe Portland will be able to stick around, and it does that by scoring points by the bucket load. The Blazers have allowed 110 points per game on the road this season. As a 10-point or more underdog they give up 118 points per game. Fortunately they do average 106 ppg on the highway themselves. Meanwhile, the Warriors have put up just shy of 119 points per contest at Oracle Arena. I'm anticipating a high-scoring affair on Sunday. Take the over (10*). |
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04-15-17 | Bucks +7 v. Raptors | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Toronto at 5:30 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Bucks at the Air Canada Centre on Saturday evening. The general consensus is that this is a favorable matchup for the Raptors. However, I don't believe a series victory will come easy for Toronto. The Raps gained a tremendous amount of playoff experience by reaching the Eastern Conference Finals last year. They caught lightning in a bottle last year, but that hasn't been the case here in 2016-17, despite the fact that they finished a solid 20 games over .500. I like the fact that the Bucks closed out the regular season with a thumping at the hands of the top-seeded Celtics. I expect to see them come out with plenty of fire in front of a raucous pro-Raptors crowd on Saturday. The Raptors had taken five straight meetings in this series ATS before the Bucks answered with a 101-94 home win in early March. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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04-11-17 | Nuggets v. Mavs | 109-91 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas over Denver at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. We won fading the Mavs on Sunday as they fell by 13 points in Phoenix. I do look for them to bounce back against a deflated Nuggets squad that had its fate sealed in a last second loss to the Thunder on Sunday. Note that Denver is seven games under .500 on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Mavs, despite their struggles this season have posted a winning record on their home floor. The home team has gone a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in this series this season. I just can't see the Nuggets picking themselves up off the mat following that emotional home finale on Sunday. Both teams have proven to be solid bets despite their losing SU records this season, but the value is with the home side here. Take Dallas (10*). |
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04-09-17 | Mavs v. Suns -1 | 111-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Dallas at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. The Suns have been awful lately, but did manage to post a 120-99 win over Oklahoma City here at home on Friday night, and I believe that was the type of victory that gives them some momentum heading into Sunday's matchup with Dallas. The Mavs have lost three games in a row and completely folded the tent in the second half against San Antonio last time out. I think they'll have a tough time regaining their footing in this one. The road team has gone a perfect 3-0 in this series so far this season but I don't see that trend continuing, noting that the Mavs own only 10 wins in 38 tries away from home. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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04-07-17 | Heat v. Raptors OVER 206.5 | Top | 94-96 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Toronto on Friday night. The Heat have been wildly inconsistent lately, but I look for them to turn in a strong offensive performance in this spot. Note that they've scored 113 and 112 points in splitting their last two contests. The Raptors haven't slowed anyone down lately but the good news is, they got Kyle Lowry back in the lineup on Wednesday night in Detroit, and he helped them to a come-from-behind 105-102 victory. Note that the Raps are giving up over 103 points per game on the road this season while averaging north of 111 points themselves. This has been a fairly low-scoring series this season with each of the previous three meetings staying 'under' the total. That only serves to keep the total in check here, however. Take the over (10*). |
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04-06-17 | Wolves v. Blazers OVER 218.5 | Top | 98-105 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Portland at 10:30 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in the T'Wolves last game on Tuesday night in Oakland and I'll go right back to the well with the same play on Thursday night. Minnesota scored 107 points in a losing effort against the Warriors last time out - a game that would have been much higher scoring were it not for the outcome being virtually decided before the fourth quarter. The T'Wolves have now scored at least 100 points in seven straight games. Note that they are giving up north of 109 points per game on the road this season but do put up 104 points themselves. The Blazers got blasted by the Jazz in Utah on Tuesday, scoring only 87 points in the process. A return home should help their cause, as they've averaged just shy of 111 points per game on this floor. Keep in mind, we saw this same matchup in Minnesota on Monday night, and the result was a 110-109 T'Wolves victory. I'm anticipating an even higher-scoring affair in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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04-05-17 | Warriors v. Suns OVER 219.5 | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Phoenix at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. We cashed a ticket on the 'over' in Oakland last night, and despite the back-to-back situation, I won't hesitate to go back to the well on Wednesday. Of course, the Warriors will give Andre Iguodala and Draymond Green the night off at the very least. That's why we're dealing with a considerably lower total than we saw in the last matchup between these two teams. Keep in mind, that contest totaled 247 points. I do expect the Suns to push the Warriors here and that should lend itself to a high-scoring affair. Note that Phoenix is giving up over 112 points per game on its home floor. Meanwhile, the Suns have averaged over 109 points per contest here themselves. Take the over (10*). |
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04-04-17 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 218 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. Make it four straight 'over' results for the T'Wolves following last night's 110-109 win over the Blazers. I'm expecting more of the same on Tuesday night in Oakland. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 3-0 in this matchup so far this season. That helps to keep this total in check. Golden State has gotten back on a roll and it has done so on the strength of a tremendous scoring run. The Warriors are averaging 115 points per game on better than 51% shooting over their last five contests. Meanwhile, the T'Wolves are giving up over 112 points per contest on nearly 52% shooting over that same period. Things obviously won't get any easier here, but I do expect them to hang tough thanks to an offense that averages around 104 ppg on the road. Take the over (10*). |
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04-02-17 | Wizards +10 v. Warriors | 115-139 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Golden State at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Wizards on Sunday. Washington has lost back-to-back games on its current road trip, after opening with a promising start, posting back-to-back wins in Cleveland and Los Angeles. I do look for the Wiz to hang tough in Oakland on Sunday night. Golden State has won 10 games in a row, including four straight ATS. The Warriors have had their hands full with the Wizards, however, splitting their last six meetings ATS, and dropping the previous matchup this year SU. Washington struggled to score in Utah last time out but that's been a rare occurrence this season. I look for the Wiz to bounce back here. Take Washington (10*). |
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04-01-17 | Suns v. Blazers OVER 222 | Top | 117-130 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Portland at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Portland on Saturday night. The Suns are coming off a tough 124-118 loss in Los Angeles (against the Lakers) two nights ago as they continue to have no luck slowing down the opposition on the road. Phoenix checks in giving up a whopping 114 points per game on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Blazers are putting up over 110 points per contest while giving up around 107 per game at home. This has been a competitive series in recent years, with the most recent meeting here in Portland totaling 245 points back in November. Their next matchup reached only 211 points, helping keep this total in a more reasonable range. I'm anticipating a track meet. Take the over (10*). |
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03-31-17 | Pacers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Indiana at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Raptors in a big bounce-back spot on Friday night. Toronto collapses in the fourth quarter in an eventual home loss to the Hornets on Wednesday (we won with Charlotte). Prior to that, the Raps had won six games in a row. I like them to respond positively against a Pacers squad that has had a miserable time staying competitive on the road, going 11-25 SU this season. Indiana is allowing north of 107 points per game away from home, while the Raptors average over 111 points per contest here at the ACC. Note that the Raps have taken the last two regular season meetings with the Pacers at home by 25 and 13 points. Take Toronto (10*). |
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03-29-17 | Hornets +6.5 v. Raptors | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. All appears to be well in Toronto these days as the Raptors are hot again, winners of six games in a row. However, after blowing out the Magic on Monday night, I expect them to face a little more resistance against the Hornets in this spot. Charlotte has won four of its last six games but fell on its home floor against Milwaukee last night. The good news is, the Hornets offense continues to roll as they've scored over 100 points in five straight games. They should find some room to operate against a Raptors squad that gives up over 103 points per contest at home this season. Note that Charlotte has covered the spread in the last two meetings in this series. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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03-28-17 | Suns +7.5 v. Hawks | 91-95 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. Not surprisingly, the Suns were flat in a loss against the Hornets on Sunday. They were coming off a wild game in Boston on Friday in which rookie sensation Devin Booker scored 70 points. I expect Phoenix to come back with a strong performance on Tuesday night in Atlanta. The Hawks have been almost as cold as the Suns lately, dropping seven games in a row. They've been one of the weakest bets in the league this season going 33-40 ATS. It's not as if they've had a strong home court advantage, going just 19-18 SU. The Suns are 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings in this series and I look for that trend to continue here. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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03-27-17 | Thunder -1 v. Mavs | 92-91 | Push | 0 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City over Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Monday. The Thunder had it handed to them in Houston yesterday afternoon, but I look for a strong rebound performance in Dallas on Monday. Prior to that setback, Oklahoma City had won six of its last seven games overall. It dropped its most recent trip to Dallas earlier this month, but prior to that had won four straight meetings in this series. The Mavs are struggling a bit right now, having dropped five of their last eight games. They could get caught looking ahead to a five-game road trip which begins on Wednesday night in New Orleans. The Thunder give up a lot of points on the road but I'm confident we'll see them come up with a big victory on Monday night. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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03-26-17 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -10 | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Memphis at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Warriors on Sunday night. Golden State seems to have its swagger back - if it had ever lost it in the first place. Despite seeing its four-game ATS winning streak come to an end last time out against Sacramento, Golden State still won by 14 points in a game that was never really close. The Warriors have won six games in a row, going 4-2 ATS over that stretch. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are coming off back-to-back losses to open their current road trip. They fought hard but fell by seven points last time out in San Antonio. Things obviously won't get any easier here. I just don't see them sticking around for four quarters against a surging Warriors squad that is once again brimming with confidence. Keep in mind, Memphis has taken two of the previous three meetings in this series this season, so there will be no shortage of motivation in the Warriors locker room. Take Golden State (10*). |
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03-24-17 | Nuggets v. Pacers -1.5 | Top | 125-117 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Denver at 7:05 pm et on Friday. These teams may have similar overall records but their home-road dichotomies are staggering. The Pacers have gone 25-10 SU at home this season and I look for them to bounce back from a tough loss in Boston on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are coming off a home win over the Cavs but should revert to their struggling ways on the road, where they've gone 13-20 SU this season. That recent win over Cleveland, combined with the fact that the Nuggets hung 140 points on Indiana in a winning effort back in January is being reflected in this line. The fact is, the home team has won seven of the last eight meetings in this series and this is a big bounce-back spot for the Pacers. I expect them to show up. Take Indiana (10*). |
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03-22-17 | Pacers +8 v. Celtics | 100-109 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Boston at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the points with the Pacers in Boston on Wednesday night. Indiana is coming off a win over Utah on its home floor, but prior to that got throttled in Toronto. The Pacers haven't been good on the road this season but I see them stepping up against the surging Celtics. Boston is coming off a big home win over the Wizards on Monday night. They've gone 24-9 on their home floor this season but are actually outscoring the opposition by just north of four points per contest. This hasn't been a home team dominated series by any means. The Celtics are 2-0 in this series this season, with both wins coming on the road. Look for the Pacers to hang tough here. Take Indiana (10*). |
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Sean Murphy NBA Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-29-18 | Celtics v. Nuggets -1 | 111-110 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
01-28-18 | Suns +13.5 v. Rockets | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
01-27-18 | Thunder v. Pistons UNDER 207.5 | 121-108 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
01-26-18 | Lakers v. Bulls OVER 220 | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
01-25-18 | Wizards v. Thunder OVER 213 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
01-25-18 | Kings +10.5 v. Heat | 89-88 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
01-24-18 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 215.5 | 108-93 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
01-22-18 | Heat +10 v. Rockets | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
01-20-18 | Raptors v. Wolves -3.5 | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
01-19-18 | Wizards v. Pistons +1 | 122-112 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
01-19-18 | Spurs v. Raptors OVER 208 | 83-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
01-17-18 | Knicks +2 v. Grizzlies | 99-105 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show | |
01-15-18 | Heat v. Bulls -1 | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
01-12-18 | Rockets v. Suns OVER 226.5 | 112-95 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
01-11-18 | Celtics -2 v. 76ers | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
01-10-18 | Thunder v. Wolves UNDER 211.5 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
01-10-18 | Mavs v. Hornets UNDER 209.5 | 115-111 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
01-08-18 | Cavs v. Wolves OVER 220 | 99-127 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
01-05-18 | Raptors v. Bucks +1 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
01-03-18 | Raptors -5 v. Bulls | 124-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
12-20-17 | Magic +5 v. Bulls | 94-112 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
12-13-17 | Blazers v. Heat OVER 202 | 102-95 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show | |
12-12-17 | Lakers v. Knicks -3.5 | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
12-11-17 | Heat v. Grizzlies OVER 194 | 107-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
12-08-17 | Warriors v. Pistons +5 | Top | 102-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
12-07-17 | Thunder -7 v. Nets | 95-100 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
12-06-17 | Heat +8 v. Spurs | 105-117 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
12-06-17 | Grizzlies v. Knicks -2 | 88-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
11-30-17 | Bucks v. Blazers -2.5 | 103-91 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
11-29-17 | Pacers v. Rockets OVER 222 | Top | 97-118 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
11-28-17 | Wizards +5.5 v. Wolves | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
11-27-17 | Pistons +6.5 v. Celtics | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
11-24-17 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
11-22-17 | Nuggets v. Rockets OVER 228.5 | 95-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
11-17-17 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 114-146 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 28 m | Show |
11-15-17 | Raptors v. Pelicans -3.5 | 125-116 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
11-07-17 | Grizzlies +4 v. Blazers | 98-97 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
11-01-17 | Raptors v. Nuggets -1 | 111-129 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
10-25-17 | Spurs v. Heat +4 | 117-100 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
10-24-17 | Bulls v. Cavs OVER 208.5 | Top | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
10-23-17 | 76ers v. Pistons -3.5 | 97-86 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
10-20-17 | Cavs v. Bucks +2 | 116-97 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
10-18-17 | 76ers +7 v. Wizards | 115-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
10-17-17 | Celtics +3.5 v. Cavs | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 231 | 120-129 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 229 | Top | 116-137 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs +4 | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
06-04-17 | Cavs +9 v. Warriors | 113-132 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 225.5 | 91-113 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
05-25-17 | Cavs -10 v. Celtics | 135-102 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 218 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +12.5 | 129-115 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
05-21-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 213 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
05-20-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +6.5 | 120-108 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +6.5 | 130-86 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 219.5 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 24 m | Show |
05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 208.5 | 100-136 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
05-14-17 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 212 | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
05-12-17 | Celtics v. Wizards UNDER 216 | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
05-11-17 | Spurs +7 v. Rockets | 114-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 215 | 101-123 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
05-09-17 | Rockets +5.5 v. Spurs | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
05-07-17 | Spurs +6 v. Rockets | Top | 104-125 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
05-05-17 | Cavs -2 v. Raptors | 115-94 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
05-04-17 | Celtics v. Wizards OVER 218.5 | Top | 89-116 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 7 m | Show |
05-03-17 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 213.5 | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
05-02-17 | Jazz v. Warriors -13 | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 14 m | Show | |
05-02-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 218 | 119-129 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
05-01-17 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 208.5 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
04-30-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 215 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show | |
04-28-17 | Clippers +6 v. Jazz | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks -1.5 | Top | 92-89 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 49 m | Show |
04-26-17 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 202 | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
04-25-17 | Thunder v. Rockets OVER 223 | 99-105 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
04-24-17 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 192 | 93-118 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
04-23-17 | Rockets +1.5 v. Thunder | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
04-21-17 | Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 207.5 | 104-87 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
04-20-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 196.5 | 77-104 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
04-19-17 | Thunder v. Rockets OVER 223 | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
04-18-17 | Bulls v. Celtics -7 | 111-97 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
04-17-17 | Pacers +7.5 v. Cavs | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
04-16-17 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 220 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
04-15-17 | Bucks +7 v. Raptors | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
04-11-17 | Nuggets v. Mavs | 109-91 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
04-09-17 | Mavs v. Suns -1 | 111-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
04-07-17 | Heat v. Raptors OVER 206.5 | Top | 94-96 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
04-06-17 | Wolves v. Blazers OVER 218.5 | Top | 98-105 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
04-05-17 | Warriors v. Suns OVER 219.5 | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
04-04-17 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 218 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
04-02-17 | Wizards +10 v. Warriors | 115-139 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
04-01-17 | Suns v. Blazers OVER 222 | Top | 117-130 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
03-31-17 | Pacers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
03-29-17 | Hornets +6.5 v. Raptors | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
03-28-17 | Suns +7.5 v. Hawks | 91-95 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
03-27-17 | Thunder -1 v. Mavs | 92-91 | Push | 0 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
03-26-17 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -10 | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
03-24-17 | Nuggets v. Pacers -1.5 | Top | 125-117 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
03-22-17 | Pacers +8 v. Celtics | 100-109 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 9 m | Show |