At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns minus the points over Tennessee.  The Cleveland Browns enter 2019 on an 11-season losing streak.  Since 2008, they've gone 45-130-1 straight-up, and 76-95-5 ATS!  The good news, though, for those on Lake Erie is that head coach Hue Jackson was fired midway through last season.  Freddie Kitchens was promoted to offensive coordinator for the season's final eight games.  And then he was named head coach 13 days after the season ended (ex-Tampa Bay offensive coordinator, Todd Monken, will take over as OC for the Browns).  This season, most observers believe the Browns will battle it out with Pittsburgh for the AFC Central division title (both teams are projected to win nine games), and I actually would give the edge to Cleveland in that race.  Notwithstanding Cleveland's poor history since 2008, it's still hard to make a case for Tennessee away from home.  Indeed, the Titans have routinely burned money on the road since 2013, as they're 15-29-1 ATS outside The Volunteer State, including 0-2 ATS vs. these Browns.  Meanwhile, Cleveland falls into several strong angles of mine, with records of 66-33, 61-21, 83-47, 81-47 and 65-26 ATS.  A lot of folks are still in a "wait-and-see" mode with Cleveland, after it added Odell Beckham, Jr. in the offseason to a young, and talented corps of offensive players (e.g., Baker Mayfield, Nick Chubb).  I'm not waiting.  I'm "all in" right now.  Lay the points with Cleveland.  NFL Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.       

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  Last year, the Rams were my preseason pick (at 10-1 odds) to win the Super Bowl.  I also had the New England Patriots at 5-2 odds to win the AFC.  So, I came very close to being perfect on my preseason predictions.  This year, I went with the Saints (at 10-1 odds) as my preseason Super Bowl pick.  One reason I ultimately decided to not go with the Rams this season is that the loser of the Super Bowl has often struggled the following season.  We saw that last season with Atlanta, which had a losing record the year after it lost the Super Bowl, in overtime, to New England.  Another reason is that the Rams have a somewhat difficult non-division schedule this season, as they have to play road games at Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Dallas, Atlanta and this game vs. the Panthers.  Last season, they had a relatively easy non-division road schedule, including games against the Raiders, Lions and Broncos.  The Panthers are 23-11 ATS at home vs. non-division foes (including 12-2 ATS when not favored by 3+ points), and they're also 6-2 ATS their last eight as a home underdog.  And they're 8-3 SU and 8-2-1 ATS their last 11 meetings vs. the Rams.  Finally, the Rams fall into negative 2-22 and 6-30 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams in competitively-priced games.  Take Carolina.  NFL High Roller! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Kansas City.  Two years ago, the Jaguars reached the AFC Championship game, and led New England with less than 3 minutes to go before succumbing to defeat, 24-20.  Last season, RB Leonard Fournette went down early with an injury, and the Jaguars' season unraveled from there.  This season, Fournette is healthy, and the Jaguars will also have a better signal caller, as Nick Foles has taken over the reins at QB.  The defense ranked #4 last season in scoring defense, and will once again be fierce, as most of last year's starters are returning.  And the Jaguars also drafted Josh Allen, who was the 2018 Defensive Player of the Year in College Football.  These two teams met last season at Arrowhead Stadium.  Yes, Kansas City won that home game, 30-14.  But it was not a good day for QB Patrick Mahomes.  He was 22 of 38 for 313 yards, and failed to complete a touchdown pass.  He also threw two interceptions, and had the lowest passer rating of his career in that game.  Jacksonville allowed an average of just 195 passing yards per game last season, and I expect it to once again have success vs. Mahomes.  Meanwhile, with Foles and Fournette on the field, Jacksonville should be able to move the ball very well vs. KC's lackluster defense.  Take the home underdog Jaguars.  NFL Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the "OVER" in the Pro Bowl.  The line on this game opened signficantly higher, at 60 points, and has come down.  There is rain in the weather forecast for Sunday morning (40% chance), but it is expected to subside by the start of this game.  There's great value at this price, as six of the last nine Pro Bowls have gone 'over' the total, with the average combined score equaling 69.67 ppg. Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over New England, as the Chiefs fall into several of my very best Playoff systems, with records of 84-27, 25-6, 46-14, 91-35, 85-35 and 13-0 ATS since 1980.  We played on both the Chiefs and Patriots big last week.  And they both were able to take advantage of road-weary teams (Colts, Chargers) that were each playing their 3rd straight road game.  Not surprisingly, the home-standing Chiefs and Patriots rolled to easy victories.  For this game, however, the scheduling situation will work against the Patriots.  This will be New England's first road game in 35 days, as it's been at home ever since it traveled (and lost) to Pittsburgh on December 16.  Indeed, New England's been an awful road team this season.  It went 3-5 SU/ATS in its eight road games.  And its only impressive game of its three wins was at Chicago, where it survived to win, 38-31, as a 1-point favorite.  Its other two road wins were against two of the league's bottom-feeders, Buffalo and the NY Jets.  Its five losses were to the Jaguars, Lions, Titans, Dolphins and Steelers, and it failed to cover the spread in those five games by an average of 17.1 ppg.  So, now let's put the Patriots' 2018 road record into context.  In the previous two seasons, New England went 15-1 straight-up in its 16 road games, and 13-3 ATS (covering the point spread by an average of 6.18 ppg).  It's clear that this year's edition of the Patriots is a far cry from the last two seasons, when it reached the Super Bowl both times.  It's true, of course, that New England did defeat these Chiefs in Foxborough, in October.  But Kansas City still covered the 4-point spread.  And KC also has only lost one of its nine games straight-up in Arrowhead this season (29-28 vs. the Chargers), and covered the point spread at home this season by an average of 5.90 ppg.  Last week, the Patriots rolled up 41 points vs. the Chargers, which was just the 2nd time New England scored more than 38 points this season.  Unfortunately, New England also surrendered 28 to the Chargers.  And in this Conference Championship round of the Playoffs, road teams are an awful 0-9 SU/ATS after scoring 27+ points the previous week at home, if they failed to cover the spread by more than 10 points in that victory.  Even better:  NFL revenge-minded teams have covered 62% in the Conference Championship round if they were playing at home with revenge against its opponent.  Take the Chiefs to smash New England.  NFL Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots to go 'over' the total.  These two teams played in October, and the over/under was 59.5 points.  The Patriots won 43-40, and the game sailed OVER the total by 23.5 points.  Now, for this Playoff game, the Over/Under has opened a couple of points lower, which provides us with good value, in my opinion.  Moreover, NFL games, like this one, with very high totals (57 points or higher) generally go OVER the number, as they've gone 19-6-1 OVER since 1980, including a perfect 7-0-1 OVER if it's the last 4 weeks of the regular season, or the Playoffs.  Also, the Patriots have had a stark tendency to play high-scoring Playoff games.  Since 2010, they've gone OVER 14-6-1.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New England Patriots and LA Chargers to go 'over' the total, as it falls into Totals systems of mine that are 52-23 and 32-10.  After missing the Playoffs following their 2008 season, the Patriots have qualified for the post-season every single year.  And, even more impressively, they've owned one of the top 2 seeds (and, thus, at least one home game) in each of these 10 seasons.  And they've been a solid bet to go 'over' the total when playing at home, or on neutral fields.  And especially when the over/under line was greater than 43 points, as they've gone 'over' the total 13-4-1.  It's true that the Chargers have gone 'under' the total their last three games.  But they didn't face a quality offense in those three games (Ravens (twice); Broncos).  The last two times that the Chargers faced a potent offense (Chiefs, Steelers), they went 'over' the total in both games.  Finally, since 1980, in Playoff games between two teams that entered off 'unders' in their previous game, 58% have gone 'over' the total when the over/under line was 43+ points.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:35 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Indianapolis.  Certainly, the Chiefs' lack of playoff success (1-11 record since 1994) hangs like an albatross around their neck.  But from my perspective that factoid is a bunch of noise, and has worked to provide us with point spread value in this game.  Instead, the most important statistic for this game is that the Chiefs had the #1 offense in the league this season (425.6 yards), and scored the most points (35.3).  And if I can play on a rested home team, which has a proficient offense which scores 28+ points a game, and lay less than a touchdown against an opponent playing back-to-back road playoff games, I'm going to do it virtually every time.  Of course, Indianapolis isn't just playing "back-to-back" road games.  This will actually be its 3RD STRAIGHT game away from home.  And NFL road teams have cashed just 35.7 percent in the playoffs if they were playing their 3rd straight on the road.  Take Kansas City to blow out the Colts.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles OVER the total.  The Eagles had a great season last year, and also had a great Playoffs run, as they held the Falcons to 10 points, and the Vikings to just seven points in their two NFC wins before winning the Super Bowl, 41-33, vs. New England.  But without a doubt, the fact that they had the #1 seed, and home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs was a major factor in their success (and ability to hold the Falcons and Vikings to 17 points combined).  This season, it's a completely different story, as they won't play any of their games at home.  And that's problematic, as their defense didn't play well at all this season against teams that are currently in the Playoffs, and especially not on the road.  Philly had six regular season games against other current Playoff teams, and 10 games against teams that failed to make the Playoffs.  In those 6 games against Playoff competition, the Eagles' defense gave up 173 points for an average of 28.8 per game!  And on the road that defensive number ballooned to 33.3 ppg.  In contrast, the Eagles' defense gave up just 17.5 ppg vs. non-playoff teams (and just 16.8 in its road games vs. non-Playoff teams).  This will be a high-scoring game.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Conference Playoff Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over Indianapolis.  This is a great playoffs match-up between two AFC South division rivals that rebounded strongly this season off 4-12 records last year.  These two teams split road wins in their two regular season match-ups, and we cashed tickets in both games.  In the first game, we had a huge play on the Houston Texans, who won, 37-34, at Indianapolis.  Then, in the more recent game, here in Houston, we played on the 'under' 49, and cashed when the Colts won, 24-21.  For this game, we'll take the homestanding Texans, and go against an Indianapolis team off a 33-17 win last Sunday, at Tennessee.  Unfortunately for Frank Reich's men, road teams off a SU/ATS win, with winning SU/ATS records, have fared poorly in divisional match-ups when priced from +1.5 to -6.5 points.  Since 1980, such road teams have covered just 41% of their games.  Even worse for the Colts, AFC South division road teams have covered just one of six Wild Card Playoff games since 2005.  And, finally, revenge-minded teams, like Houston, with win percentages between .600 and .750, that lost the season's previous meeting by less than 4 points, have cashed 94% (15-1 ATS) in the Playoffs.  Take Houston.  NFL Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings minus the points over Chicago.  Chicago won the NFC Central, and owns a 12-3 record, while Minnesota is 8-6-1, and is fighting for the 6th (and final) NFC Playoff berth.  It's true that the Bears would like to win this game, provided the 12-3 Rams would be upset by the 49ers, but that eventuality is unlikely to happen.  Thus, Chicago will likely have to settle for a division title, and a Wild Card playoff game.  Minnesota, on the other hand, desperately wants to win this game, as that is its primary pathway into the Playoffs.  I love the Vikings to do just that, as NFL teams that have at least a 2-game (or worse) record than their opponent heading into the final week have cashed 61.2% since 1980 as favorites vs. opponents off a straight-up win.  Moreover, Minnesota is a super 10-0-1 ATS its last 11 regular season games when priced from -3.5 to -13 points.  Take the Vikings.  NFL Division Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Oakland Raiders to go 'under' the total.  Both the Chiefs and Raiders have below average-defenses.  The Raiders are giving up a staggering 28.8 ppg, while KC is surrendering 27.9 ppg.  The Chiefs, though, have gone 'under' the total 12-0-1 as a home favorite when matched up against a defense which gives up 28.6 or more ppg.  And, yes, it's true that the Chiefs have played their last five games 'over' the total.  However, since 1980, teams off 5 (or more) straight 'overs' have gone 'under' the total more often than not, including 61.2% in their final regular season game.  I also have 166-99, 74-37 and 86-44 Totals systems on the 'under,' and I expect a relatively low-scoring game on Sunday afternoon.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Oakland.  The Kansas City Chiefs have been the league's biggest surprise this season, and will likely be the AFC Conference's #1 seed.  But they have not covered the point spread in any of their last six games (0-5-1 ATS).  I expect that to change this Sunday afternoon, as NFL home teams with a win percentage of .727 (or better) have covered 73% over the past 39 years off back to back losses.  Lay the points with the Chiefs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the New England/NY Jets game.  The last five meetings between these two teams have gone 'under' the total.  And that's the way we'll look in this game, as the 'under' falls into a 94-57 Totals system of mine.  Additionally, the Jets lost at home last week, in overtime, 44-38, to the Green Bay Packers.  The over/under line for that game was 47.5, so it went 'over' the total by 34.5 points.  But teams that go significantly 'over' the total one week, tend to play lower-scoring games the next.  And especially if they were at home for the (first) higher-scoring game, and are now on the road for the (second) lower-scoring game.  Indeed, NFL teams that went 'over' the total at home by more than 31 points in their previous game have gone 'under' the total 69.6% of the time on the road when the line was 42+ points.  Take the 'under.'  AFC East Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the Atlanta Falcons.  This matchup is between two teams that both had disappointing seasons.  Tampa Bay is 5-10, with three straight losses coming into this game, while Atlanta is 6-9, though it's won its last two games.  Since 1980, NFL teams have cashed just 38.1% in their final road game of the season, if they won and covered their two previous games, while their opponent was off back to back losses.  Take Tampa Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants minus the points over Dallas.  The Cowboys have clinched the NFC East Division title, and are locked into the #4 seed, so this game is meaningless for them.  Thus, the 6-10 Giants are favored by a healthy amount over the 9-6 Cowboys.  Obviously, this type of situation occurs every season in the NFL where really good teams have little incentive to play their top players in the final week or two.  And in the season's final two weeks, when teams with a win percentage at least .250 percentage points worse than their opponent's, are favored by more than three points, then our favored team has covered 70.5% of the time over the past 39 years.  Take the Giants.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Denver.  Last week, the Raiders were blown out, 30-16, by the Cincinnati Bengals.  But off that 14-point loss, we'll step in and take the points with Oakland as a home underdog.  Indeed, I have several very good systems that back the Raiders tonight.  First, consider that since 1980, home underdogs have gone 177-130-11 ATS at Game 14 forward, if they were off a SU/ATS loss.  And, second, teams playing their last home game of the season have gone 70.7 percent ATS since 1980, if they owned a W/L record less than .400 and their opponent's W/L percentage was less than .429.  Take the Raiders tonight + the points.   Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks + the points over Kansas City.  The Seahawks were upset last week by the 49ers in San Francisco.  That dropped Seattle's record to 8-6, so it needs to win to remain in the Wild Card hunt.  Seattle's been installed as an underdog vs. the AFC's top-seeded Chiefs.  But I love Seattle to pull the upset, as NFL home dogs (or PK) off an upset loss, with a win percentage between .501 and .667. have cashed 70.9% over the past 34 years vs. .687 (or better) opposition.  Moreover, the Seahawks have long had one of the best home fields in the league.  And Seattle's been especially strong toward the end of the season, as it is 70-39-7 ATS at home in their final three regular season home games (or the post-season) since 1983, including 24-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.  Take the Seahawks.  Sunday Night Football Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Pittsburgh.  We had a big play on the Steelers last week over New England, and were rewarded with a 17-10 upset win.  Meanwhile, the Saints eked out a Monday Night Football win at Carolina, 12-9.  It's true that New Orleans' offense has been held in check in two of their last three games, as New Orleans also scored just 10 points at Dallas back on November 29.  But it's also true that New Orleans' last three games were all on the road.  At home this season, in six games, New Orleans has scored 228 points for an average of 38 ppg!  And the Saints have won and covered their last four home games.  Meanwhile, the Steelers haven't covered any of their last three road games, and even lost outright their last two -- as an 11-point favorite vs. Oakland, and as a 3-point favorite vs. Denver.  It's true that Ben Roethlisberger is a very good quarterback.  And he has some great weapons in Antonio Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster.  But Pittsburgh's offense isn't in the same league as the Saints' offense.  And Steelers coach Mike Tomlin can't hold a candle on the offensive side of the football to the Saints' Sean Payton.  Indeed, Payton may be the best offensive mind in the game.  And he's at his best when matched up against other teams whose offenses score more than 24 points per game.  Since 2008, with Payton as head coach, the Saints are a staggering 40-15 straight-up and 42-12-1 ATS vs. foes that score more than 24 points per game.  This will be another Saints Blowout.  Lay the points. NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Pittsburgh Steelers to go 'over' the total.  The Saints scored just 12 points last week.  But they generally bounce back on offense after such poor games.  And New Orleans has gone 'over' the total 86% under coach Sean Payton after not scoring 14+ points in their previous game.  And the Saints have also gone 'over' the total in 30 of 39 non-division home games vs. winning teams off a straight-up win.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Carolina/Atlanta game.  The Panthers have shelved star QB Cam Newton for their final two games of the season and will give backup QB Taylor Heinicke his first two career starts.  Heinicke has thrown just five passes in his NFL career, so it's an understatement to say nobody really knows what to expect from him this afternoon.  However, one thing I do expect is that Carolina's defense will play very well once again today.  Last week, it shut down the high-flying New Orleans offense, and held Drew Brees & Co. to just 12 points.  Nine of the last 11 meetings between these two teams have gone 'under' the total, including all five played here in Carolina.  And games between two losing teams (with win percentages below .450), in the final two weeks of the season, have gone 'under' the total 95 of 152 games (62.5%) since 1980.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys and Tampa Bay Bucs to go 'over' the total.  Tampa Bay has generally played high-scoring games away from home, and low-scoring games at home.  To wit;  Tampa has gone 'over' the total in 13 of its last 16 road games (compared to going under in 14 of its last 18 home games).  I look for that trend to continue on this Sunday, and especially given that the Cowboys have gone 'over' the total in five of their last six home games.  Take the 'over.'

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals to go 'under' the total.  After giving up 134 points in a four-week stretch from October 14 thru November 4, the Browns defense has played very well, and has averaged just 20.2 ppg over their last five games.  Not surprisingly, four of those five games went 'under' the total.  Additionally, the last five games between these two teams played here in Cleveland have gone 'under.'  And the Browns' final home game of the season has gone 'under' 13-4-1 the past 18 seasons.  Take the 'under.'

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Buffalo.  The Bills have been awful over the years in their final road game of the season.  Since 1980, they've gone 12-24-2 ATS, including 5-16-1 ATS as an underdog.  That doesn't bode well for them this afternoon.  And neither does the fact that the Patriots have lost back to back games.  Since November 2002, the Patriots are 9-0 straight-up, and 8-1 ATS off back to back losses (with their only ATS defeat being by just 2.5 points).  Take New England.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Miami.  We played against Miami last week, and easily got the $$$ with the Vikings, who blew out the Dolphins, 41-17.  We will once again fade the Dolphins, as they're a horrid 35-65-3 ATS at home when not getting more than 3 points, including just 3-19 ATS when they're off a loss, and favored vs. non-division foes.  Take Jacksonville.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over New England.  Since 1980, home dogs from Game 14 forward, off back to back SU/ATS losses, are 93-59 ATS.  Take the Steelers to bounce back off their 3 straight losses.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings minus the points over the Miami Dolphins.  Last week, the Dolphins won one of the more miraculous games in NFL history, ranking right up there with Pittsburgh's Immaculate Reception (1972) vs. Oakland, and last season's Playoff win by the Vikings over the Saints, when Case Keenum connected with Stefon Diggs on a 61-yard TD pass on the game's final play.  Of course, everyone remembers those historic plays, but it's also important to remember what happened to those teams the next week.  The Steelers, of course, lost to the Dolphins in the AFC Championship game, while Minnesota was blown out by the Eagles in last year's NFC Title game.  Miami's win did place it back in the playoff hunt for this season, but their euphoria should be short-lived, as I expect Minnesota to rout them this afternoon.  Since 1980, NFL road teams in non-division games have cashed just 30% off division upset wins when they were a 6-point (or greater) underdog in that upset win.  Even worse:  if our play-against team (here, Miami) owned a .500 (or better) SU/ATS record, then our negative 30% ATS system crashes to 16% ATS since 1980.  This will be a blowout.  Lay the points with the Vikings.  NFL Non-Division Game of the Month.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over Cleveland.  Last week, the Broncos were upset on the road by San Francisco, while Cleveland won outright as a home underdog vs. Carolina.  Since 1980, NFL home teams have cashed 63% off an upset road defeat if their opponent was off an upset home win.  Take Denver to blow out the Browns on Saturday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Kansas City/Los Angeles game.  The Chiefs have gone 'over' the total in their last three games, while the Chargers have gone 'over' in two of their past three.  And both teams are scoring a lot of points this year, as the Chargers average over 28 ppg, and the Chiefs average over 36 ppg.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'over,' but consider that NFL games between two teams that each average 28+ ppg on offense have gone UNDER the total 64.8% since 1980, if at least one of the two teams played its three previous games 'over' the total.  The 'under' also falls into two other totals systems of mine that have records of 85-43 and 76-36 since 1980.  This game will be low-scoring.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over Minnesota.  These two playoff contenders are separated by a mere half-game, as Seattle is 7-5, while Minnesota is 6-5-1.  But, for my money, Seattle is the much more impressive team, as it's played a much more difficult schedule.  Compare Minnesota's home schedule to Seattle's.  Of Minny's 6 home games, four were against creampuffs (49ers, Bills, Cardinals, Lions), and it actually lost to one of them!  Seattle, on the other hand, has played just one weak opponent (49ers) so far at home, but has also played three playoff teams (Rams, Chargers, Cowboys) among its five home opponents.  And, even though Seattle has had a daunting home schedule, it's only lost both straight-up and ATS to one team (Chargers).  Meanwhile, Minnesota has covered just two (Eagles, Jets) of its six road games, though neither of those two opponents will be making the Playoffs this season.  Seattle falls into several of my favorite Monday Night Football Systems, with records of 117-55, 95-52, 80-37, 73-32, 68-28 and 57-21 ATS.  Lay the small number with the Seahawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over Los Angeles.  The Rams will try to make it a 4-0 SWEEP over the NFC North teams, as they defeated Minnesota and Green Bay earlier this year at home, and then downed Detroit on the road last week, 30-16.  But winning and covering back to back road games will be difficult for the Rams.  The last time they pulled off that trick was in Weeks 3, 4 in 2016.  Since then, they've played back to back road games four times, but weren't able to win and cover each of the two games in those successive weeks.  I love Chicago in this home underdog spot.  The Bears were upset on the road last week, 30-27, as a 3.5-point favorite by the New York Giants.  But winning teams have cashed a staggering 82% at home the past 39 years as an underdog (or pk) vs. .670 (or better) foes, if our home team was upset in its previous game as a 3-point (or greater) favorite.  Take the Bears.  NFC Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over Dallas.  Last week, the Cowboys upset the New Orleans Saints by a score of 13-10.  And Dallas is now 7-5 this season, and has the NFC East division lead (by 1 game) over Philadelphia, which is 6-6.  Of course, the reason Dallas is one game ahead is because it upset the Eagles earlier this season, 27-20, as a 7.5-point road underdog.  I look for Philly to avenge that defeat, as NFL underdogs have cashed 65.7% since 1980 when playing with revenge from a loss where they were favored by 7+ points.  Lay the points.  NFL Division Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over Arizona.  The Arizona Cardinals had only defeated one other team (San Francisco, twice) before it stunned Green Bay on the road last week, 20-17, as a 13.5-point underdog.  So, it was no surprise that the Packers fired head coach Mike McCarthy following that loss.  Can Arizona make it two upset wins in a row?  It's not likely, as teams that won outright as a 13.5-point (or greater) underdog are 1-18 straight-up and 0-17-2 ATS since December 1995.  Detroit, meanwhile, lost 30-16 at home to the 11-1 Rams last week.  But Detroit is a super 35-10-3 ATS on the road off a loss by 13+ points.  Take Detroit. NFL Perfect 10 Club play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers come into this game off back to back upset losses (at Denver Broncos; home vs. LA Chargers).  And the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the AFC North division leaders to bounce back in this critical game.  But winning teams have actually burned money on the road off back to back upset defeats, and especially when they've been favored by a touchdown or more, as they've cashed just 33% since 1980.  Take the Raiders as a double-digit home dog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers + the points over Denver.  The 49ers return home after getting walloped by Seattle, 43-16, in their last game.  But off that 27-point defeat, I love the Niners to rebound as a home underdog.  Indeed, since 1980, home underdogs have cashed 65% off a loss by 27+ points, if they were playing a .500 (or better) opponent off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Even better:  Denver is an awful 22-38-3 ATS on the road off a double-digit win when playing a non-division foe, including 1-10 ATS if that foe failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in its previous game.  Take the 49ers + the points.  NFL Roadkill play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens under the total.  The Chiefs have racked up 37 points per game, which is #1 in the NFL.  But they will find it much more difficult to score on Sunday afternoon vs. this Ravens defense, which ranks #1 in both yards (281.7) and points (17.8) per game.  To wit:  the Chiefs have played only one other team currently ranked among the Top 5 in defensive yards given up (Jacksonville), and that was the 2nd lowest-scoring game (30-14) that KC has played all season, and it easily went 'under' the total.  The Chiefs are 3-0-1 'under' the total in their last four home games, 8-1-1 'under' in their last 10 at home, and 19-6-1 their last 26.  Finally, the 'under' falls into a 59-27 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Houston/Indianapolis game.  After giving up an average of 27 ppg in their first four contests, the Texans have played MUCH BETTER defense over their last eight games.  Houston hasn't given up more than 23 points in any of its last eight, and has averaged just 15.8 ppg on defense.  Not surprisingly, five of these eight games have gone 'under' the total.  Last week, Indianapolis completely failed to score in a 6-0 shutout loss to Jacksonville.  And that was the 3rd straight game the Colts have played 'under' the total.  With NFL teams off shutout losses going 'under' in 28 of their last 42 games, I look for a relatively low-scoring game here.  Take the 'under.'

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tampa Bay/New Orleans game.  After scoring an average of 43.7 points over their previous four games, the Saints' offense sputtered last week, when it tallied just 10 points, in a 13-10 loss at Dallas.  And that was the 3rd straight New Orleans game that went 'under' the total.  Likewise, Tampa Bay has been playing 'unders' lately, with 3 of its last 4 games going 'under.'  I look for a low-scoring game in Central Florida, as Tampa Bay has gone 'under' in 23 of 30 home games with lines of 47+ points, including 13-2 'under' if the Bucs were installed as a home underdog of 3+ points.  Additionally, the 'under' falls into a 163-97 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'under.'

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Jacksonville Jaguars snapped their seven-game losing streak last week when they shut out Indianapolis, 6-0.  But with a 4-8 record, it's definitely a case of "too little, too late," as Jacksonville has virtually no chance to make the playoffs.  QB Cody Kessler will make his second start for the Jaguars this Thursday night.  But even though Kessler led the Jaguars to victory last week, he's still just 1-8 as a starter in his career.  And his team will also be facing a much better defensive club in the Titans than it did last week vs. the Colts.  Indeed, Tennessee ranks among the Top 10 in total defense, pass defense and scoring defense.  I look for the Titans to blow out Jacksonville, as losing NFL teams are an awful 9-29 ATS off a home shutout victory, including 1-12 ATS as underdogs of less than 7 points.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over Washington.  The Eagles come into this game with a losing record (5-6, .454), and on a 3-game ATS losing streak, after defeating the NY Giants, 25-22.  Meanwhile Washington is a game better at 6-5 (.545), following its 31-23 loss to Dallas.  With the Cowboys leading the division with a 7-5 record, this game is ultra-critical for both clubs.  We'll lay the points with Philly, as defending Super Bowl Champs, not off a SU/ATS win, have cashed 68.9% at home since 1984 against division opponents off a loss.  Even better:  in weekday football games, favorites off back to back ATS losses have cashed 58.2% since 1980.  Finally, no team has performed worse than Washington on Monday Night Football.  The Redskins are 15-39 SU and 16-37-1 ATS on Mondays since 1980, including 2-14 SU the past 11 years, and 0-6 SU/ATS since 2015.  Philly also falls into 61-19 and 91-33 ATS Monday Night Football systems of mine.  Take Philadelphia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Tennessee.  The Jets have lost their last five games -- both straight-up and ATS.  Meanwhile, Tennessee hasn't been much better, as it's off back to back blowout losses.  So, each team will attempt to right the ship on this Sunday afternoon.  We will side with the road underdog Jets.  One of the things I love to do is play on teams that are on long (5+ games) SU/ATS losing streaks, as one often gets good point spread value.  Indeed, NFL teams have cashed 66 of 101 non-division games when they've lost (both SU/ATS) their last five games.  Take the Jets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Detroit Lions/Los Angeles Rams game.  The Rams enter this game off 3 extremely high-scoring games (45-35, 36-31 and 54-51).  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game, given that Detroit has also gone 'over' the total in a majority of its contests.  But consider that favorites (like Los Angeles) that gave up 100+ points on defense over their last three games, while going over the total in each by at least 5+ points, have then gone 'under' the total 80 percent (24-6) of the time.  Even better:  games involving double-digit home underdogs have sailed 'under' the total 24 of the last 31.  Take the 'under.'

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Green Bay.  The Packers, at 4-6-1, have their proverbial backs against the wall, as they will need to win their last five games of the season if they are to have a chance at the post-season.  Arizona, of course, doesn't have that problem, as it is 2-9, and won't be playing in January.  The problem for Green Bay has been its defense.  Since shutting out the woeful Bills in Week 4, the Packers have given up 31, 30, 29, 31, 12, 27 and 24 points, for an average of 26.3 ppg over their last seven.  For the season, their number is not much better, at 24.3.  It's dangerous to lay a lot of points with bad defensive clubs, no matter the opposition.  Indeed, since 1980, favorites of -8 or more points, with a defensive ppg. average of 23.67, have gone 39-80 ATS at Game 6 forward.  Arizona's 10-1 ATS its last 11 off back to back losses, if it owned a losing record.  Take the points with the Cardinals.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Rams have scored 54, 36 and 35 points in their three previous games.  In contrast, the Lions have scored just 16, 20 and 22 points in their last three games — a total of 58 points, or 67 points less than the Rams’ aggregate total of 125 points.   Unfortunately for Los Angeles, NFL teams that scored 123 or more points over their three previous games have gone 0-9 ATS on the road since 2001 vs. opponents off a loss.  Even better:  Detroit's been installed as a double-digit home underdog.  And home dogs of +10 or more points have gone 70-34 ATS since 1982 vs. opponents off a home win.  Take the Lions + the points.  NFL Shocker of the Month!

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins minus the points over Buffalo.  The Dolphins are off back to back SU road losses to Green Bay and Indianapolis.  But they were big underdogs (+9 vs. Indy; +11.5 vs. GB) in those two road games.  That's not the case here, as Miami is favored at home.  Meanwhile, Buffalo enters off back to back upset wins at the New York Jets, and at home vs. Jacksonville.  But before one congratulates the Bills for those two wins, it's worth noting that the Jets are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, while Jacksonville has lost its last 7 games!  Since 1980, NFL home favorites of -3 or more points, off back to back road losses, have covered 72% vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  This season, the Dolphins 5-6 SU and 6-5 ATS.  But all six of Miami's losses came when they were an underdog of +3 or more points.  When Miami hasn't been an underdog of 3+ points, then it's 3-0 SU/ATS this season, and 10-3-2, 77% ATS its last 15.  Take the Dolphins to blow out Buffalo.  NFL Division Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tampa Bay/Carolina game.  Tampa Bay has played 12 of its last 16 home games 'under' the total, including last week's 27-9 victory over San Francisco.  And since 1980, teams that held their previous opponent to less than 10 points have gone 'under' the total 71% of the time when the line was greater than 54 points.  Even better:  the Panthers have gone 'under' 57-33 when they've been favored by more than 3 points, including 26-9 when playing a division rival.  Finally, the 'under' falls into 162-97 and 55-24 Totals Systems of mine.  This will be a relatively low-scoring game.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Baltimore.  The Falcons are 4-7, and off three straight losses, while Baltimore enters this game off back to back wins.  Of course, their competition had much to do with the results.  Atlanta's last two games were against the Saints and Cowboys, among the league's hottest teams.  In contrast, Baltimore's two wins were vs. the Raiders and the injury-riddled Bengals.  We'll lay the points with Atlanta, as NFL home teams off 3+ losses have gone 92-53 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes off a double-digit win, if that foe also won two games back.  Take Atlanta.  NFL Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over New Orleans. The Saints have won their last 10 games.  Even more improbably, they've covered the point spread in their last nine.  Even with 9 ATS wins in a row, they're far away from the 14 straight games that the Patriots covered up until getting blown out by the Bears in the Super Bowl 33 seasons ago.  Tonight, they'll face the Cowboys.  And while Dallas isn't on a 9-game SU/ATS win streak, it is playing well, and is on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  And home underdogs (or PK) on a 3-game (or better) SU/ATS win streak are 49-33-1 ATS since 1980.  Meanwhile, road favorites (or PK) on a 5-game (or better) win streak are 12-22 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up win.  The Saints also fall into negative 24-69, 4-17 and 38-68 ATS systems based on its recent results.  Take Dallas + the points.  NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers snatched victory from the jaws of defeat last week, in Jacksonville.  But the Jags have been in a death spiral, with six straight losses.  Denver, on the other hand, comes into this game off an upset win over the LA Chargers, and have covered four of their last five.  Denver's also 31-17-3 ATS as a home underdog (or PK), including 24-11-1 ATS vs. non-division foes.  Finally, teams (like Pittsburgh) on a 6-game (or better) win streak, have been poor on the road as favorites vs. non-division foes, going 33-54 ATS since 1980.  Take the Broncos.  AFC Conference Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over New Orleans, as Atlanta falls into my best NFL system, which is 216-128 ATS.  That angle is 4-1 this season, though it did lose last week on the Eagles against these Saints.  New Orleans made a mockery of the defending Super Bowl champs last week, with a 48-7 blowout win.  I'll go against the Saints as a double-digit favorite, as NFL teams that scored more than 85 points over their two previous games have cashed just 31% since 1980 vs. foes that weren't off an ATS win, including an awful 0-12 ATS in division contests against revenge-minded opponents.  With Atlanta off an upset loss to Dallas last week, and also playing with revenge from a 43-37 loss to the Saints in September, we'll grab the points with Matt Ryan & Co.  Take the Falcons.  NFL Division Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons 'UNDER' the total.  Both of these teams went UNDER the total last week.  And division games have gone UNDER the total 161-118-2 when both teams went 'under' in their previous game, the line was 43+ points.  Additionally, the 'under' falls into 70-36 and 79-43 Totals systems of mine.  This will be a relatively-low scoring game.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our NFC NORTH DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the 'under' in the Chicago/Detroit game.  These two teams met just 11 days ago in Chicago.  The Bears won a high-scoring contest, 34-22, as a 7-point favorite.  In the NFL, when two teams met two games back, and played a high-scoring game that went 'over' the total, the rematch has gone 'under' the total 58% of the time.  The Under also falls into a 158-97 Totals System of mine.  Take the Bears and Lions UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City.  This is the most anticipated Monday Night NFL game of the season, as it pits the 9-1 Chiefs vs. the 9-1 Rams.  If history is any indication, the homestanding Rams will get the victory.  First, in weekday (Monday/Thursday) games between teams with .715 (or better) records (at Game 7 forward), the favorites have gone 18-2 SU and 16-2-2 ATS since 1987.  And, second, in Monday Night games since 1980, .430 (or better) home teams have gone 95-52-4 ATS off a win, if they were playing a non-division foe.  It's true that the underdog Chiefs have won 4 straight games, while the Rams have lost their last three to the point spread.  But the point spread has also started to catch up with Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs, as they've lost two of their last three to the spread.  And NFL teams, like Kansas City, off 4+ wins, and an ATS loss in their previous game, are an awful 15.7% ATS vs. non-division foes off 3+ ATS losses.  Finally, the Chiefs also fall into negative 2-17 and 27-57 ATS systems of mine that play against certain NFL underdogs off wins.  Take Los Angeles.  Monday Night Football Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New Orleans.  The Eagles were upset by the Dallas Cowboys last Sunday night, as a 7.5-point favorite.  We had a play on the Cowboys, so that result didn't surprise us.  But off that upset loss, we'll look for Philly to bounce back on the road, at New Orleans, on Sunday.  Indeed, defending Super Bowl champions have cashed 82.6% over the last 39 seasons on the road off a loss, if they weren't favored by 2+ points, and their opponent was off a point spread win!  Even better:  if our defending Champs were off an UPSET loss, then our 82.6% ATS angle zooms to a perfect 16-0-2 ATS.  Additionally, the Eagles fall into 154-68, 224-118 and 101-45 ATS systems of mine.  Take Philly. 5* NFL Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Arizona/Oakland game.  Both of these two teams have been hemorrhaging points on defense.  In their last four games, the Raiders have given up 27, 42, 34 and 20 points (30.75 ppg), while Arizona has given up 27, 45, 15 and 26 points (28.25 ppg).  The over falls into 79-56, 110-73 and 159-108 systems of mine.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Arizona.  This match-up is obviously one between two very bad teams.  Oakland is 1-8, after dropping a 20-6 home game to the Chargers, while Arizona is 2-7 following its 26-14 loss at Kansas City.  Certainly, I won't be able to extol any of Oakland's virtues (because there are none).  Instead, I will just submit that it's dangerous in the NFL to lay points with bad teams, like Arizona.  And that's even if their opponent is equally bad, or worse (as is Oakland).  Indeed, since 1980, at Game 8 forward, NFL home favorites of more than 2 points, with a .225 (or worse) win percentage, have covered just 36 of 99 games, including just four of 18 games if their opponent had less than two wins on the season.  The Raiders also fall into a 66-37 and 106-55 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams on 5-game (or worse) losing streaks, as well as 65-29 and 115-68 ATS angles that play on certain teams that failed to score 10 points in their previous game.  Take Oakland.  NFL Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Dallas.  Last week, the Cowboys upset the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles, 27-20, as a 7.5-point underdog.  But off that upset win, let’s fade the Cowboys in Atlanta.  For technical support, consider that teams that pulled upset wins over the defending Super Bowl Champs, and covered the point spread by 14 or more points in that upset win, have gone 6-18 ATS in their next game if installed as a road underdog.  Also, last week, the Falcons were upset as a 5.5-point road favorite by the Cleveland Browns.  But home teams, off upset road losses, have gone 71-43 ATS since 1980 vs. opponents off upset wins.  Take the Falcons minus the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs + the points over the New York Giants.  Tampa Bay scored just three points last week, notwithstanding the fact it went up and down the field, and amassed 501 yards of offense.  Turnovers, of course, were the primary culprit.  QB Ryan Fitzpatrick had three turnovers, which marred a 29-of-41 passing day (for 406 yards).  For the season, Tampa ranks dead last in turnovers, at 25.  The good news, though, for this game is that the Giants rank as the 8th worst team in forcing turnovers, as they've only taken away the ball nine times.  Last week, New York upset the San Francisco 49ers, 27-23, as a 3-point underdog.  But the Giants are a miserable 1-8 ATS off a point spread win.  Take Tampa Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens to go 'under' the total.  The Ravens have issues at the quarterback position for this game, as starter Joe Flacco is out with a hip injury.  Thus, rookie first-round pick, Lamar Jackson, is going to get the nod, with Robert Griffin III to serve as his back-up.  Regardless, though, of who is going to be under center for Baltimore, I love the UNDER.  Baltimore has played six of its last seven UNDER the total.  And 12 of its last 16 home divisional match-ups have sailed UNDER the total.  The Ravens also have gone UNDER in 20 of their last 24 games that were priced between 43.5 and 49.5 points, including 9-1 UNDER if the Ravens were favored in those games by 4+ points.  The Bengals also will be without their best offensive player, A.J. Green.  Take the Ravens/Bengals UNDER the total.  AFC North Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Tennessee.  The Titans have won their last two games -- both as underdogs -- against the Cowboys and Patriots.  And they've covered their last three in a row (each in the underdog role).  Tennessee is now 5-4 on the season, and will travel to Indianapolis today to take on its AFC South division rival.  The Colts also have been playing well of late, as they're 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS in their last three games, with the primary difference being that they were installed as a favorite (rather than an underdog) in each game.  The Colts are 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 as a favorite.  And they're 21-2 SU and 16-5-2 ATS when favored over a division rival.  Finally, NFL road teams are a miserable 25.7% ATS over the last 39 years after covering the point spread as underdogs in each of their last three games.  Take Indianapolis.  AFC South Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Los Angeles Rams/Seattle Seahawks game.  This is the 2nd meeting this season between the Rams and Seahawks.  The first meeting was won in high-scoring fashion by the Rams, 33-31.  But since that game, the Rams have gone 'under' the total in three of their four games, while Seattle has gone 'under' the total in all three of its games. Moreover, in division games with over/under lines of 47 or more points, the games have gone 'under' 69 percent of the time if both teams scored 28+ points in the season's previous meeting.  Finally, nine of Seattle's last 11 road games (and 14 of its last 19 road division games) have gone 'under' the total.  Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers to defeat Carolina.  The Panthers have won their last three games, including back-to-back home wins over Baltimore (36-21) and Tampa Bay (42-28) the past two weeks.  But dating back to December 11, 2005, the Steelers are 18-2 straight-up and 15-6 ATS at home vs. foes on a 3-game (or better) win streak.  Even better:  since 1980, teams off back to back home wins, in which they scored 28+ points, are 4-25 SU and 7-22 ATS in the regular season.  These two franchises have met six times since Carolina entered into the league, and the Steelers have won five, and covered all six.  Take Pittsburgh to defeat Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Dallas.  The Cowboys were upset by the Washington Redskins in their last game, 20-17, as a 1.5-point favorite.  And NFL teams have covered just 73 of 184 Monday Night Football games if they were off an upset loss in their previous game.  Tennessee, meanwhile, is very well rested following its game in London two weekends ago.  And, since 2015, rested NFL teams have gone 14-2-1 ATS after playing in London, including a perfect 9-0 ATS off an ATS win.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over Houston.  The Broncos are 3-5, but have played a murderous schedule.  Four of their eight games were against teams currently in the Playoffs, and they lost (twice) to the once-beaten Chiefs, and also lost to the undefeated Rams, while defeating 5-3 Seattle.  In contrast, the Texans have played just one team (New England) in their first eight games which would currently be in the Playoffs, and they lost SU/ATS, 27-20, as a 6.5-point underdog.  The Broncos are a fantastic 45-18-4 ATS at home when not favored by more than 2 points.  Take Denver.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons over the Washington Redskins.  The Falcons had high hopes coming into the 2018 season, but got off to a poor 1-4 start due to several close losses by six points or less to Playoff contenders (Eagles, Saints, Bengals).  However, Atlanta was able to right its ship, and won the two games preceding its bye week last week.  So, the Falcons are now 3-4, and sit just one game behind the Seahawks for the final Playoff spot in the NFC.  I love Atlanta to win its 3rd straight game, as rested NFL road teams off back-to-back wins have gone 61-34 ATS if they weren't getting 3+ points.  And the Redskins are an awful 31-71 ATS at home vs. losing teams, if the 'Skins weren't getting 2+ points.  Take Atlanta.  NFC Conference Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs + the points over Carolina.  The Panthers are off back to back upset wins over Philadelphia and Baltimore.  Unfortunately, favorites of 4+ points, off back to back upset wins, have cashed just 19 of 68 vs. .500 (or worse) foes off a SU loss.  Take Tampa Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Chicago.  The Bills obviously are challenged to score points right now.  They scored just six last week vs. the Patriots, and five the week before that, at Indianapolis.  Even worse:  they gave up 25 and 37 to their opponents in those games.  But I've never been one to shy away from playing on poor teams.  And I won't back off the Bills this afternoon.  For technical support, consider that teams that scored 12 combined points, or less, over their two previous games (and lost each), while giving up more than 55 points combined in those two games, have cashed 21 of 25 when getting more than six points.  And Buffalo's also 41-16 ATS off a home loss, if they didn't cover the spread in that defeat, and their opponent is off a SU win.  Take the Bills.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers are the Ravens' biggest rival, so Baltimore always gets up for Pittsburgh.  And this week's game should be especially important to the Ravens, as they're off back to back losses, and now sit outside the Playoff picture (one game behind the Bengals), at 4-4.  Meanwhile, the Steelers have reeled off three straight wins to wrest control of the division lead.  However, since 1980, the Ravens are a fantastic 15-1-1 ATS at home vs. the Steelers, if the Ravens were off a loss, and didn't have a winning ATS record.  Even better:  NFL favorites off back to back losses have cashed 60% since October 25, 1981 vs. foes off 3 wins.  Take the Ravens.  NFL Division Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Buffalo Bills/Chicago Bears game.  The Bills offense is certainly moribund right now.  They've scored just 6 and 5 points in their last two games.  And their 87-point total through eight games is the lowest in franchise history.  Of course, the over/under line reflects Buffalo's ineptitude.  But we're now at the point where there's value in betting on a relatively high-scoring game.  Indeed, over the last 31 seasons, NFL teams that scored less than 12 points combined over their two previous games have gone 'over' the total 97-62.  Take the 'over' in the Bears/Bills game.  NFL Total of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders and San Francisco 49ers to go over the total.  Both of these teams have had defensive issues this season.  Oakland is giving up 31.1 ppg, while the Niners are surrendering 29.5.  Since 1980, in NFL games with lines of 45 or more points, the OVER has cashed 25 of 33 games if both teams had defenses that gave up 29+ points.  Take the over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over New England.  One of the more reliable long-term NFL situations has been to play on double-digit home underdogs against opponents off straight-up wins.  Since 1980, they've gone 87-56-2 ATS.  And though there's nothing wrong with such a record, we can improve it by filtering out double-digit underdogs that were non-competitive in their two previous games (failing to cover each by more than 7+ points).  With that filter in place, our 87-56-2 record zooms to 75-38-2 ATS.  And, yes, it's certainly true that Tom Brady's Patriots have been the standard-bearer in the NFL for the last 18 years.  But New England's been poor lately in the role of a big favorite away from home, as they've cashed just 3 of their last 13 when laying 9 or more points (and just 1 of 9 if it wasn't off a loss).  Take Buffalo.  Monday Night Football Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over the LA Rams.  The Packers had last week off to rest and prepare for the 7-0 Rams.  Immediately before their bye week, the Packers survived a tough game, at home, vs. San Francisco, and won 33-30, as an 8.5-point favorite.  The Packers are just 2-4 ATS this season, but with Aaron Rodgers as their starting QB, they've been extremely profitable.  In his career, the Packers are 94-66 ATS with him under center, including a fantastic 36-20 ATS off a point spread loss (and 9-2 ATS as an underdog).  And Rodgers is also 10-0 ATS if the Packers had a losing ATS record on the season and were playing an opponent off a win.  Take Green Bay.  Perfect 10 Club Play! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Indianapolis/Oakland game.  The Indianapolis Colts' last four games have produced 71, 62, 76 and 42 points.  And they've gone 'over' the total by an average of 15.38 points per game.  Likewise, Oakland's last four games have gone 'over' the total by an average of 2.75 ppg.  Also, the Colts have gone 'over' 28-15-1 in their last 44 road games, while Oakland's gone 'over' 24-12-2 its last 38 home games.  This will be very high-scoring.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Kansas City.  This is the 2nd meeting this season between these AFC West division rivals.  In the first meeting, the Broncos actually had a lead after three quarters, but KC came back to win, 27-23 (and covered the closing line of -3.5).  Impressively, the Chiefs are the 21st NFL team since 1980 to not lose against the spread in any of its first six games.  But what's remarkable about KC's ATS win streak thus far is that they are doing it in spite of a very leaky defense.  Indeed, of the 21 teams that were undefeated ATS through their first six games, the Chiefs have -- by far  -- the worst defense.  KC is giving up 26 points per game...but none of the other 20 clubs had a defense which gave up more than 21.16 ppg!  This doesn't bode well for the Chiefs going forward.  And especially not in their games, like this particular one, where they are favored by a large amount.  For technical support, consider that NFL favorites of -8 or more points, that give up 23.67 (or more) points per game, are an awful 35-77-1 ATS at Game 6 forward since 1980.  Moreover, AFC West division teams playing with same-season revenge have gone 113-71-5 ATS since 1980 vs. division rivals that did not have a losing ATS record, provided our revenger was not favored by more than 6 points.  Denver did everything BUT win in the first meeting, back on October 1st.  However, I expect the Broncos to not let this game slip away this time.  Take the points. AFC West Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants over the Washington Redskins.  The Redskins come into the Meadowlands off back to back upset wins, at home, vs. Carolina and Dallas.  And they’ve now been installed as a road favorite vs. a Giants team on a 4-game losing streak.  Unfortunately for Washington, teams off back to back upset wins are an awful 52-77 ATS since 1980 vs. opponents off back to back losses.  Likewise, teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, as well as an upset win in their previous game, are 28-47 ATS vs. opponents off 4 or more defeats.  Finally, New York is a solid 37-21 ATS at home vs. division rivals off a point spread win.  Take the Giants.  NFL Roadkill Play.

At 9:30 am, early on Sunday morning, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  This game will be played in London, England.  The Chargers are 4-2 on the season, including back to back wins (and covers) in their last two games.  Going in the opposite direction are the Titans, who are 3-3, but off back to back SU/ATS losses.  So, the Titans will be looking to rebound.  And they'll surely be in an ornery mood since they were shutout, 21-0, last week by Baltimore.  The good news, though, for Tennessee fans is that, since 1980, it's been profitable to bet on teams off shutout losses, and especially when priced from +2.5 to +9.5 in non-division games.  Indeed, those teams are 37-8 ATS their last 45!  That's one reason to favor Tennessee in this game.  Another is that the Chargers are a poor 16% ATS away from home since 1980 off back to back SU/ATS wins, if they're playing a non-division foe off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Titans + the points on Sunday morning.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over Arizona.  The Broncos have lost their last four games, and have been installed as a small favorite on the road vs. Arizona.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against the ice-cold Broncos.  But consider that NFL teams off back to back losses have gone 32-6 straight-up and 28-9-1 ATS (including 10-0-1 ATS since 2014) on Thursdays when installed as a favorite (or PK).  Moreover, Denver falls into terrific 211-118 and 306-210 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams in non-division games.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Kansas City.  The Chiefs enter this game with the conference's best record, at 5-0.  And they're also 5-0 ATS.  Unfortunately, they're likely to leave Foxborough with their first loss.  Key for me is the fact that the Patriots have gone 36-12 ATS vs. foes with a superior won/loss percentage.  Even better:  New England plays with revenge from a 42-27 upset loss to the Chiefs last season.  But the Patriots are 14-0-1 ATS when playing with revenge from an 8+ point upset loss the previous season.  Take New England.  Perfect 10 Club Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Baltimore.  This is a horrible scheduling spot for the Ravens, who will be playing their 3rd straight road game.  And one of the things I love to do is play against a team in its 3rd straight road game, and especially if it's matched up against an opponent with a winning record.  Since 1980, our road teams are a dismal 53-91 ATS in this situation.  That bodes well for Tennessee as the home underdog, here.   As does the fact that Tennessee was upset as a road favorite last week, given that home underdogs, off an upset loss as a road favorite the previous week, have gone 79-53 ATS since 1980.  Take the Titans

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Broncos were upset on the road last week by the New York Jets, and are now on a 3-game losing streak (and a 4-game ATS losing streak).  But I love them to bounce back against the NFL's best team.  Indeed, home underdogs of +6 or more points have cashed 67.8% over the last 38 years off an upset road loss.  And Denver is 30-17-3 ATS as a home underdog (or PK), including 23-11-1 ATS vs. non-division foes.  Finally, undefeated teams (like the Rams) have cashed just 36.8% when laying more than 6 points away from home.  Take Denver + the points.  NFL Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.  And don't miss my Red-Hot Winners, as we are 20-4 our last 24 selections.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tampa Bay/Atlanta game. Both of these teams have been involved in very high-scoring games of late, which has helped to move this total to a very high number. The problem for both teams is primarily on defense. The Falcons are off three straight losses, and have surrendered 121 points over their last 3 games, while Tampa is off two straight defeats, and has given up 78 points over those two games. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'over,' but faithful followers know I'm a contrarian at heart. Indeed, NFL teams that gave up 121+ points over their previous three games have gone 'under' the 70.9% over the past 38 years. Last season, for example, the Buffalo Bills gave up 54, 47 and 34 in their previous three games before holding the Chiefs to 10 points, in a 16-10 win (easily going under the 47.5 point total). Likewise, last season, the Broncos had given up 29, 51 and 41 in their previous three games before holding the Bengals to 20, and also going 'under' the total. I look for a similar result, here. Also, Dan Quinn's Falcons have gone 'under' the total in 19 of 29 games off a loss, while the Buccaneers have gone 'under' 31-13-1 off a loss if the line was 46+ points. Take the 'under.' NFL Division Total of the Year. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. And don't miss my NFL Game of the Month, as we're on a 20-4 Run.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers over the Cincy Bengals.  The Steelers leveled their record at 2-2-1 last week when they blew out the Atlanta Falcons, 41-17, while Cincy won its second straight game -- 27-17 at home vs. Miami -- to move to 4-1 this season.  This series has been completely dominated by Pittsburgh.  Indeed, since 1991, the Steelers are 42-14 straight-up, and 36-18-2 ATS, including 6-0 SU and 4-1-1 ATS since Dec. 2015.  And even though Pittsburgh is regarded as having one of the stronger home field in the league, it's actually been better on the road (20-7-2 ATS) vs. the Bengals, than at home (16-11 ATS).  Finally, the Steelers fall into a 60.8% ATS "contrarian" system of mine which plays on certain road teams with a worse win percentage than their opponent, provided they weren't getting more than three points.  Take the Steelers.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Buffalo/Houston game.  The Texans' quarterback, Deshaun Watson has been upgraded to 'probable,' which was all I needed to pull the trigger on this game to go 'over' the total.  Last year, Deshaun Watson made six starts before he suffered a season-ending injury, and the Texans averaged 34.67 points per game.  Not surprisingly, the 'over' was 5-1.  This season, in five starts, the Texans have gone 'over' in two of the five.  Thus, Houston has gone 'over' in seven of his 10 starts.  But it must be noted that, in two of the three 'unders,' the games came extremely close to going 'over,' missing by 2.5 and 4 points.  Overall, his 10 starts have sailed 'over' the total by an AVERAGE of 11.7 ppg.  This will be a high-scoring game.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Cleveland.  The Cleveland Browns were 0-16 last season, and no doubt are improved this season.  But I question whether they have improved enough to be favored over a team like the L.A. Chargers.  Indeed, for my money, the Chargers are flying a bit under the radar.  They're 3-2 on the year, but consider that their 2 losses were to the league's two undefeated teams (Kansas City + the LA Rams).  And the Chargers actually have out-yarded four of their five opponents this season.  Even though they lost to the Chiefs, they actually out-yarded them 541 to 362, but were done in by two turnovers.  For technical support, consider that teams that didn't win 2 (or more) games the previous season have gone 10-22 ATS as a favorite over the past 28 seasons.  Moreover, Cleveland's 10-19-1 ATS its last 30 as a home favorite.  Take the Chargers as a road underdog.  NFL Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins + the points over Carolina.  We played against both of these teams last week, and got the cash with the Giants as a touchdown underdog at Carolina, and also with the Saints as a touchdown favorite vs. Washington.  New Orleans blew out Washington, 43-19, this past Monday.  But that defeat sets up our play, here, as home underdogs (or PK) are 72-49 after losing a game in which they gave up 40+ points if they're playing a foe off a straight-up win.  Take the Redskins to bounce back at home this afternoon. NFC Game of the Week. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over the New York Giants.  The defending Super Bowl champion Eagles were upset, 23-21, at home last Sunday by the Vikings.  And that was their second straight loss, overall.  But those two defeats set up our play tonight, as defending champs have cashed 60% over the last 37 seasons off back to back losses, including 85% ATS on the road if they entered with a losing record.  The Eagles are 2-3, and know that they have to win tonight, if they are to have any hope of securing a Top 2 Conference record, and the all-important bye in the first round of the playoffs which comes with it.  The Giants are an awful 3-10 ATS their last 13 games as a home underdog of +4 or less points.  Take Philly.  NFL High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Washington.  The New Orleans Saints were expected to be one of the NFL's best teams this season, but did get off to a slow start, as they failed to cover the spread in their first two games -- both at home, by the way -- including a straight-up loss to Tampa Bay, as a 10-point favorite.  But then the Saints bounced back with impressive road wins at Atlanta, and at the New York Giants.  Now, they will try to cash a ticket in front of their home faithful, and they will welcome a Redskins team which upset Green Bay, 31-17, in its last game.   I like the Saints here, as Monday Night home favorites, off back to back road games, are 57-32-3 ATS, including 25-7 ATS if their win percentage was .700 or better.  Likewise, Monday Night home teams, off a SU/ATS win, with a winning record on the season, have gone 67-28 ATS vs. non-division foes.  And, finally, the Redskins have had very little success on Monday Night Football, as they've gone 16-36-1 ATS since 1980, including 2-15 ATS if they covered their previous game by more than 11 points.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always.....Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our NFL Total of the Month is on the 'under' in the Los Angeles Chargers/Oakland Raiders game.  This season, the Oakland Raiders' games have averaged 55 points per game (24.25 offense; 30.75 defense), while the Chargers' games have averaged 57.75 points (27.75 offense; 30 defense).  The knee-jerk reaction, then, might be to play the 'over' in this contest, but consider that games with Over/Under lines greater than 41 points, between two teams that each average 22.8 ppg, have gone 'under' the total 194 of 337 games, if one or both of the teams have gone 'over' the total in each of their three previous games, including a perfect 5-0 'under' last season.  The 'under' has gone 24-6-1 the last 31 times the Raiders have visited the Chargers.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  The Ravens have won the last five games in this series, but that win streak should end this afternoon.  Indeed, this is a horrid scheduling spot for Baltimore.  Last week, it went into Pittsburgh, and upset its division rival, 26-14, as a 3-point underdog.  Now, it has to play a second straight road game, and also against a division rival.  Unfortunately, NFL teams favored against a division foe are an awful 69-96-5 ATS off an upset win on the road vs. a division foe, including 34-57 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Cleveland.  NFL Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Kansas City.  The Chiefs have been the biggest surprise so far this season, as they're 3-0, and have scored 38, 42 and 38 points in their first three contests.  KC has also covered the point spread by an average of 9.33 ppg (while Denver has failed to cover by an average of -4 ppg).  But such an offensive stretch of games typically leads to a poor performance.  Indeed, since 1980, teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored more than 30 points in each victory, have covered just 79 of 188 games vs. foes off SU/ATS losses, including 0-6 ATS since 2005 on Monday Night Football.  Moreover, the Broncos are 30-15-2 ATS as a home underdog (or PK) since 1981, and also 18-3-1 ATS at home vs. foes with a relative pointspread differential of +8.33 or more points, including 9-0 ATS their last nine when not laying 3 or more points.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Seattle/Arizona game.  The Seattle Seahawks have played their last two games 'under' the total, while Arizona's gone 'under' in each of its last three games.  But we will run the other way, and look for a relatively high-scoring game on Sunday.  Indeed, Seattle has gone 'over' the total EIGHT STRAIGHT times off back to back Unders, while Arizona had gone 'over' the total in seven of its last eight (and 16 of its last 21) games after going 'under' in its last three games.  That's one reason, I like the 'over' in this game.  Another is that the 'over' falls into a Totals System of mine which has cashed 114 of 174 since 1980.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over the Indianapolis Colts.  The Texans are 0-3 straight-up and ATS this season.  But Indianapolis isn't much better, as it's won just once this season.  And one of the things I love to do is play on winless SU/ATS teams, at Game 4 forward, on the road, as underdogs (or PK) vs. losing teams.  Our winless teams have covered 65.5% since 1980 in this situation, so that bodes very well for Houston on Sunday.  Moreover, Houston lost last week, at home, as a 6.5-point favorite.  And road underdogs (or PK) off an upset home loss, as a 6.5 point (or bigger) favorite, have covered 58% over the last 38 years.  Take Houston. NFL Division Game of the Year. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Buffalo.  Last week, the Bills pulled off the biggest upset in 23 years, as they won outright as a 16.5-point underdog at Minnesota.  The last team to achieve such a victory was Washington, back in 1995, when it upset Dallas, 24-17, as a 17.5-point dog.  But what was most impressive wasn't that Buffalo won, it was that it won by 21 points.  Unfortunately, I don't think it will win back-to-back games.  Indeed, since 1980, teams off upset wins as double-digit road underdogs have gone 56-80 ATS in their next game, including 17-33 ATS if they were playing back-to-back road games.  And the Packers have gone 47-25 ATS at home with Aaron Rodgers as their starting quarterback, including 14-2 ATS vs. opponents off a road win.  Take Green Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Miami.  The Dolphins have sprinted out to a 3-0 start this season, while New England is lagging behind with a 1-2 record. But I believe the Dolphins will come back down to earth on Sunday. Indeed, since 2002, there have been 15 undefeated teams, with a record of 3-0 or better that have been installed as an underdog of +5 or more points.  Those 15 teams have gone 1-14 straight-up, and 5-9-1 ATS.  Also, the Patriots have gone 8-0 straight-up, and 7-1 ATS since November 2002 when they were off back to back losses. Finally, home teams have cashed 37 of 54 off upset losses on the road, if their opponent was off three SU/ATS wins.  Take New England.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over the Detroit Lions.  Matt Patricia's Lions upset his former team -- the New England Patriots -- as a 7-point underdog last Sunday night.  However, teams that pull off such big upsets rarely win back to back games in the underdog role.  In fact, since 1980, road underdogs have cashed just 42% off a home underdog outright win as a 7-point (or bigger) dog.  And Detroit's a poor 28-56-3 ATS on the road off a win.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings plus the points over Los Angeles.  The Rams have been the league's best team thus far, but they will be given a stiff test tonight by the Minnesota Vikings.  And the Vikes will no doubt be in an ornery mood after laying an egg last week, at home, vs. the Buffalo Bills.  Indeed, that 21-point loss to Buffalo was the most shocking NFL result in decades, as Minnesota was a 16.5-point favorite.  And no greater NFL favorite had been upset in the last 23 years.  We'll grab the points with Minnesota, as single-digit underdogs have cashed 67.1% in the regular season vs. non-division foes after failing to cover the spread by 26+ points.  Minnesota's also won and covered each of the last five meetings in this series, including a 24-7 blowout last year.  Take the Vikings.  NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Chicago Bears/Arizona Cardinals game.  The Chicago Bears have scored 23 and 24 points in their first two games, while Arizona has given up 24 and 34 in its first two.  Arizona ranks among the bottom 7 teams in defensive efficiency, so I have no doubt the Bears are going to be able to move the ball into the end zone.  Arizona also should bounce back on offense after its shutout loss.  After all, that shutout was against the Rams, who own the league's very best scoring defense, and who were widely projected going into the season to have the #1 defense this year.  And it also was in Arizona's first road game of the year, while this game is at home.  Indeed, since 1980, teams that were shut out in their first road game of the season have rebounded to score, on average, 19.93 points per game, if that next game was at home.  Finally, teams (like Arizona) off back-to-back unders to start the season tend to go 'over' the total in Week 3, including 82-51 since 1980 if the line was less than 40 points, and 26-12 (regardless of the O/U line) the last five seasons.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over the LA Rams.  The Rams were my preseason pick to win the Super Bowl, at 10-1 odds.  And, so far, so good, as they're 2-0, and have the league's #1-ranked scoring defense, and also rank first in overall efficiency and scoring margin.  This week, they'll try to move to 3-0, but will be tasked with a much more difficult opponent than they saw in their first two games.  In Weeks 1 and 2, the Rams faced two below-average teams in the Raiders and Cardinals.  Now, they'll face the Chargers, who are scoring 29.5 points per game, and who rank among the Top 3 in offensive efficiency, and among the Top 10 in overall efficiency.  In this battle between offense and defense, we'll grab the points, as NFL road underdogs (or PK) are 16-0 ATS since 2006, at Game 3 forward, if they score 27.7 points per game, and their foe gives up 15 or less points per game.  Take the Chargers.  NFL Rivalry Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over Indianapolis. We played on the Colts last week, and were rewarded with a 21-9 upset win over Washington by Indy. Can Indy make it two upsets in a row? Unfortunately, it's not likely, as road teams off upset wins have only cashed 37% since 1980 against an opponent coming off an upset loss on the road. Moreover, defending Super Bowl Champions have gone 43-30, 58.9% ATS off a road upset loss since 1980. With Philly off an upset loss at Tampa Bay last week, we'll lay the points with the Eagles on Sunday. NFL Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Atlanta. The Saints enter this game with a 1-1 record, but have yet to cover the point spread. However, they are an underdog here, compared to being a double-digit favorite in each of their first two games. We'll take New Orleans + the points, as underdogs (or PK) have cashed 73% over the past 38 years off back to back ATS losses as double-digit favorites. Additionally, New Orleans falls into 41-21 and 97-49 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams to bounce back off ATS losses. Finally, New Orleans is 38-27 ATS as an underdog, while Atlanta is a money-burning 19-31 ATS as a favorite. Take the Saints. NFL Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.