At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders/Los Angeles Chargers game.  The Chargers lost quarterback Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, so Easton Stick will get the start on Thursday night. Prior to last week's games, the Over/Under line on this game was projected to be 42.5, but the number has been significantly adjusted after the results of the Chargers' 24-7 loss to Denver, and the Raiders' 3-0 loss to the Vikings. I think the adjustment has been too severe. We will take the Over, as NFL games have gone Over the total 59% of the time, if each team's previous game went under, and each scored less than 10 points in its prior game.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  The Packers have won 3 straight games -- each as an underdog.  They upset Kansas City last week, the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving, and the Los Angeles Chargers at Lambeau Field before that.  But now the Packers are favored by the most points they've been all season.  And NFL road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off back to back upset wins, have gone 4-17 ATS.  Even worse for Green Bay:  it's 2-10 ATS its last 12 as a favorite of -4 to -9.5 points, including 0-4 ATS on the road.  Take the Giants as the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas/Philadelphia game.  The Eagles were destroyed by the San Francisco 49ers last week, 42-19.  We'll take the Philadelphia/Dallas game under the total, as the Eagles have gone 64-27 Under following a game which totaled 58 or more points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  The Eagles are the league's best team ATS, as they're 8-3-1 ATS this season.  They're also an awesome 21-8 ATS their last 29 vs. winning opponents off back to back wins.  Dallas, meanwhile, is great this season against bad teams, but has not stepped up against the league's best.  And the Cowboys are also a wallet-lightening 19-36-1 ATS vs. winning foes, including 2-14 ATS if Dallas was favored by less than 4 points, 11-26 ATS if Dallas was off a win, and 6-10 ATS if Dallas had revenge.  Take Philadelphia + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Denver/Los Angeles game.  The Chargers went into Foxborough last Sunday and shut out the New England Patriots, 6-0.  That was the 3rd straight Under played by the Chargers, and those three games totaled 79 points combined.  I like the Over in this game, as teams off 3 straight unders, in 3 games that combined for 79 or less points, have proceeded to go over the total 65.2% of the time.  Take the Broncos and Chargers Over the total.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over Denver.  The Broncos' 5-game win streak was snapped last Sunday by Houston, and I like the Chargers to hand Denver its 2nd straight loss this weekend.  The Broncos are a wallet-busting 0-13 ATS in 'win-situation' games with point spread of 3 or less, if the Broncos were on the road, and owned a win percentage > .350.  Meanwhile, the Chargers are 26-14 ATS in division games if they were off a straight-up win, and owned a losing record on the season.  Take Los Angeles minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Kansas City.  The Bills suffered a horrible loss in overtime against the Philadelphia Eagles two weeks ago, and they will be hard-pressed to make the Playoffs this season should they lose this game to the Kansas City Chiefs.  With their season likely on the line, we'll grab the points with Buffalo, which is 45-34-4 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 4-1 ATS with rest.  And it's 7-1-1 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss, when matched up against an opponent with a better record.  Grab the points with Buffalo.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over the Cincinnati Bengals.  The Bengals pulled off a huge upset last week on Monday Night Football when they won outright as a 10-point dog.  Unfortunately, teams off upset wins as double-digit underdogs have not done well the following week, as they've gone 81-106 ATS.  Take the Colts.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions Under the total.  These two teams played a couple of weeks ago, and the Lions won, 31-26.  That game was played at Detroit's Ford Field, which is a covered stadium, so the teams were not impacted by weather.  This Sunday, the weather outlook calls for 10 to 15 mile per hour winds, and 35 degree weather, which will contribute to a much lower-scoring game than the first meeting.  The Bears have gone 28-12 Under at home in the final 5 games of the season (when Chicago weather is at its worst), when the O/U line ranged from 39 to 48.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Houston.  The Jets lost to the Falcons, at home, last week, 13-8.  New York is back home for this game, and will host the upstart Texans, who are 7-5 on the season.  I like New York, as it's 23-4 ATS at home vs. winning teams if the Jets were at home in their previous game, but didn't win and cover the spread in that game.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions.  These two teams met three weeks ago in Ford Field, and the Lions came away with a comeback win, 31-26.  We played on the Bears +7.5 in that game, and will take them as a home underdog today, on Sunday.  Chicago had last week off to rest and prepare for this division revenge match, while Detroit had a home game vs. the Saints.  The Lions are an atrocious 7-26-2 ATS as a road favorite vs. sub-.400 foes.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots Over the total.  The Over/Under in this game has been installed around 30 points, which is the lowest over/under number this season.  Historically, NFL games with over/under lines less than 31 have gone Over the total, as they've gone Over 82 percent since 1982.  Usually, when the Over/Under lines get down this low, it's due to weather.  Here, it's because of the Patriots' horrible offense.  New England has scored just 13 points over its three previous games.  But teams that have scored a combined 25 or less points over their previous 3 games, all of which have gone Under the total, have then proceeded to go over the total 76 of 128 games, or 59.3%.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Eagles have the best record in football, at 10-1, and have won 5 straight, yet are a home underdog vs. the 49ers.  Unfortunately, home dogs of 2 (or more) points, on a 5-game (or better) win streak, have covered just 41% since 2001.  And the 49ers are 30-14-1 ATS their last 45, including 10-1-1 ATS their last 12 vs. .700 (or better) foes.  I'll take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Tampa Bay.  The Panthers have won just once this season, and fired head coach Frank Reich on Monday.  Chris Tabor will take over as interim head coach.  We'll take Carolina + the points on Sunday, as underdogs have gone 54-31-2 ATS in NFC South division games if it was the first meeting of the season.  That bodes well for Carolina today.  As does the fact that Tampa's 15-31-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, including 0-5 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Carolina + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Commanders were trounced on Thanksgiving Day by Dallas, 45-10.  I like playing on Underdogs following a blowout loss by 14+ points on Thanksgiving, as they've cashed 67% in their next game.  Additionally, underdogs of more than 8 points, off a loss by more than 31 points, have cashed 67.6% over the last 34 years.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Detroit.  The Saints return home after back to back upset losses to the Vikings and Falcons on the road.  I'll take the Saints, as home teams have covered 61.2% since 1980 following back to back upsets as a road favorite.  Grab the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New Orleans/Detroit game.  The Lions were upset last week at home as a 9-point favorite vs. Green Bay.  We'll take the Under in their game at New Orleans, as road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off an upset loss as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, have gone 9-1 under their last 10 (and 52-29-1 under their last 82).  Take the Saints/Lions Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Chargers to go OVER the total.  The Chargers come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and will need to reel off six straight wins, if they're to have any hope of making the playoffs.  Los Angeles is 39-17 Over the total on the road off back to back losses, and I look for a relatively high scoring game today.  Take the Over.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  Both teams come into this game off losses.  The Bears lost a heartbreaker last week to Detroit, 31-26, while Minny fell to the Broncos, 21-20.  Unfortunately for the Vikings, winning teams (like Minnesota) have burned money on Monday Night if they lost their previous game, as they've gone 63-81-3 ATS.  Even worse for Minnesota:  revenge-minded NFC North division teams have gone 105-74 ATS if they were playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and were also off a straight-up loss in their previous game.   With Chicago playing with revenge from a 6-point loss to the Vikings earlier this season, I'll take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers Under the total.  The Ravens have gone 16-7 Under their last 23 as a road favorite, while the Chargers have gone 16-7 Under as a home dog vs. AFC foes.  Additionally, this season, games involving home underdogs of less than 7 (or PK) have gone 39-16 Under.  I expect a relatively low scoring game.  Take the Ravens + Chargers Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Philadelphia.  This past Monday, the Eagles won an emotional game, as they upset the Chiefs, who defeated them in last year's Super Bowl.  Off that emotional game, I'll fade Philadelphia here, as teams that avenged a playoff loss with an upset win have cashed just 38.8% in their next game.  Take the Bills.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Giants.  The Patriots come into this road game off 3 SU/ATS losses, while the Giants enter off an upset win over the Washington Commanders.  I'll take New England, as it's 22-1 ATS on the road off a loss, if its opponent was off a win.  And road favorites (or PK) off 3 losses have covered 71.8% since 1980 vs. foes off a win.  Take New England.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Jacksonville/Houston game.  The Jaguars were upset by Houston, 37-20, in the first meeting, and that game went over the total.  I like taking regular season rematches of games with O/U lines of 47+ under the total if the favored team was upset in the first meeting, and that prior meeting went also went Over the total.  The rematches then have gone Under the total 61.1 percent since 1980.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Tennessee Titans.  Both the Panthers and the Titans were blown out in their last game.  Carolina lost by 33 at home to Dallas, while the Titans were routed by Jacksonville, 34-14.  I'll take the points with the Panthers, as they're 47-27 ATS as road underdogs vs. opponents that don't have a winning record.  Meanwhile, Tennessee is a terrible 16-34-3 ATS in non-division games, if the Titans weren't getting 3+ points, including 8-27 ATS if their opponent wasn't off a win.  Take Carolina.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Jets were bombed by the Buffalo Bills last Sunday, 32-6, as an 8.5-point road underdog, while Miami downed the Las Vegas Raiders, 20-13, as a 13.5-point home favorite.  We'll take the Flyboys to bounce back off that blowout loss, as home dogs of more than 9 points have gone 39-12 ATS off a 7-point (or worse) road loss when matched up against a foe off a 7-point (or greater) home win.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  This NFC East division rivalry is one of the fiercest rivalries in the league.  And the underdog has generally got the $$$, including a 40-16 ATS record if the favored team was not off a straight-up loss.  That bodes well for the Commanders on Thursday.  As does the fact that Dallas is 1-11 ATS its last 12 Thanksgiving Day games.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers under the total.  These two teams met earlier this season in Green Bay, and Detroit won that game, 34-20.  The Over/Under for that game was 45.5.  This Thanksgiving Day game has a higher number, and it is the highest over/under line for the Packers this season.  I look for a relatively low scoring game, as Green Bay has gone 13-5 under in games with O/U lines greater than 46 points.  Additionally, the under falls into 551-449, 383-287 and 94-49 Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Buffalo/New York game.  These two teams met in Week 1, on Monday Night, and the Jets escaped with a 22-16 victory in overtime.  That game went under the total of 44.5.  We have a much lower number here, and I like the Over, as rematches of AFC East division games that went under the total in the first meeting have gone over the total more often than not in the 2nd meeting.  And the Bills are also 36-26 Over in games with O/U lines less than 42 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  The Carolina Panthers have been installed as a double-digit home underdog.   And double-digit home dogs have been money in the bank over the years, as they've gone 129-100-2 ATS.  And they've been especially strong in non-division games, with a 74-48 ATS record.  Take the Panthers.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions.  The Lions are a soft 29-54 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -10 points.  Additionally, the Bears will play this game with an extra 3 days to rest and prepare, as their last game was on Thursday, while Detroit played on Sunday.  I'll grab the points, as division road underdogs of more than 7 points have gone 89-72 ATS off a straight-up win.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over the Tennessee Titans.  This is Tennessee's 3rd straight road game.  And NFL teams playing their 3rd straight on the road have gone 128-162 ATS since 1980, including 27-55-1 ATS vs. .500 (or better) division foes.  The Titans have also gone 0-5 ATS their last five away from Nashville.  Meanwhile, the Jaguars fell to 6-3 after their 34-3 loss to the 49ers last Sunday.  But .666 (or better) teams have gone 8-0 ATS since 2016 following a game where they scored 3 points or less.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Washington Commanders.  These two teams met last month in the Meadowlands, and the Commanders scored just 7 points in a 14-7 defeat.  Now, they're laying more than that, which is the first time Washington has been favored by this many points in over 6 years.  And when they've been favored by 9 or more points, the Commanders are 4-14 ATS their last 18.  But it's not just as a big favorite that Washington has struggled.  The Commanders are also 15-45 ATS when favored by more than 5 points, including 0-2 ATS this season.  I generally don't like laying a lot of points with bad teams, and the Commanders certainly qualify.  Washington has been outscored by 5.70 ppg this season.  And teams with a negative scoring margin have gone 72-136-5 ATS when favored by 9 or more points against losing opposition.  Take the Giants.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over the Denver Broncos.  When we last saw Denver, it was upsetting rival Kansas City, 24-9, as a 7-point underdog.  We had our AFC West Division Game of the Year on Denver, so we were not surprised by the outright win.  But off that victory, we'll fade the Broncos here, as NFL road teams have cashed just 28% on Monday Nights the last 33 years off an upset home win.  Even worse:  Denver is 3-21 ATS off a SU/ATS home win over a division rival.  And it's a dreadful 2-13 SU and 3-11-1 ATS on the road when not getting double-digits.  Lay the points with Josh Allen & Co.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over Washington.  The Seahawks are 5-3 and tied for first place in the NFC West division standings.  They did lose by 34 points last week, but I love the Seahawks to bounce back on Sunday.  Since 1980, NFL teams with a .583 (or better) win percentage, that scored less than 6 points in their previous game, have gone 73-45-3 ATS including 11-0 ATS their last 11.  And the Seahawks are a solid 16-7 ATS off a loss by more than 16 points.  Lay the points with Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Dallas.  The Giants were blown out, 30-6, by the Las Vegas Raiders last week.  And they've now lost 2 straight, and haven't covered the point spread in either.  And they're 2-7 straight-up, and 2-6-1 ATS on the season.  The Giants and Cowboys met earlier this year, and Dallas annihilated New York, 40-0, for the worst shutout loss a team has suffered since the Chargers lost 45-0 to the Patriots in 2020.  We'll take New York to avenge that defeat, as underdogs of 14 (or more) points have gone 57–31-3 ATS off back to back losses, if they didn't cover the spread in those two losses, and lost by more than 7 points in their previous game.  Even better:  underdogs of +3 (or more) points that were shutout and lost the previous meeting by more than points have gone 44-25 ATS.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Pittsburgh/Green Bay game.  Both of these teams come into this game at Acrisure Stadium off a string of low-scoring games.  Pittsburgh has played its last 6 under, while Green Bay has gone under the total in 4 straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here.  But consider that teams off 6 or more Unders have actually gone OVER the total 106-84 since 1980.  We'll take the Packers and Steelers Over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Chicago.  I can't lay points with a Chicago team which has won just 2 of its last 19 games.  The Bears are also a poor 23-37 ATS as a favorite, including 14-24 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  And the Panthers are 46-27 ATS as a road underdog vs. a non-winning foe.  I'll take the Panthers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders game. The New York Giants are averaging a league-low 11.8 ppg, and their last 6 games have gone Under the total. But in none of those 6 games were both Saquon Barkley and Daniel Jones on the field. Barkley missed Game 3, 4 and 5, while Jones was sidelined for Games 6, 7, and 8. I expect a much better offensive performance for the Giants now that both will be in the backfield on Sunday. And the Over also falls into 43-24 and 93-69 Totals systems of mine.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Under in the Carolina/Indianapolis game.  The Colts' defense has been a sieve over the past three weeks, as they gave up 37 to Jacksonville, 38 to Cleveland, and 38 last week to New Orleans. After those three high-scoring games -- all of which went Over the total -- I'll take the Under in this game vs. Carolina. Since 1980, NFL games have gone Under the total 60% of the time, if a team gave up more than 30 points in each of its last three games, and all 3 went Over the total. Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  Matthew Stafford will be sidelined this afternoon, and the Rams will instead have Brett Rypien under center.  They'll be looking to bounce back from last week's 43-20 loss to Dallas.  We'll grab the points, as underdogs have gone 430-336-17 ATS in non-division games off a loss by more than 18 points.  And the Packers are a poor 3-12 ATS as a single-digit favorite, including 1-8 ATS in non-division games.  Take Los Angeles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the Miami Dolphins.  Please note that this game's start time is early Sunday morning, as it is being played in Frankfurt, Germany.  Last week, I had my AFC West Game of the Year on the Denver Broncos +7 over Kansas City, so I wasn't surprised that the Super Bowl champs were upset in that game. But I will switch gears and play on Kansas City in this contest, as defending champs have gone 14-1 ATS away from home off a loss, if they were playing a .700 (or better) opponent off a SU/ATS win. Lay the points with KC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over San Francisco.  The 49ers come into this game off back to back upset losses, while Cincy has won its last 2, both straight-up, and ATS.  In most instances, I would be looking to play on the team off back to back upset losses.  And it's certainly true that the 49ers have excelled in that situation, going 11-5 ATS.  But my problem here is that I don't want to lay this many points to a dangerous and, in my mind, still undervalued Bengals team.  Indeed, dating back to the start of the 2021 season, the Bengals are 12-0 ATS when getting 2.5 or more points.  I won't fade those numbers.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Kansas City.  The Broncos lost at Kansas City 2 weeks ago, 19-8.  But they'll get a chance to avenge that defeat at home, on Sunday.  And I love playing on revenge-minded home underdogs that lost to their opponent in their previous game, or two games back, as they've covered 65.9% since 1980.  Even better:  AFC West division underdogs, playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, with a .500 (or worse) record, have gone 100-64-6 ATS.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Baltimore.  The Cardinals return home off back to back road games.  And they've played much better at home this season than on the road.  At home, Arizona has averaged 25.3 ppg on offense, compared to 12.7 ppg on the road.  And Arizona has gone 2-1 ATS at home, compared to 1-3 ATS on the road.   Arizona is an awesome 31-7 ATS at home vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if Arizona was not favored by 3 or more points.  And the Ravens are a wallet-busting 10-22-4 ATS on the road off a win by 19 or more points.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals and Baltimore Ravens Over the total.  The Cardinals have not been scoring on the road this season, but they have been scoring in bunches at home.  On the road, Arizona has averaged 12.7 ppg, and three of its four road games have gone under the total.  But it's been a different story in front of its home faithful, as Arizona has averaged 25.3 ppg, and all three went over the total.  The Cardinals have gone over in 17 of their last 26 home games.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs to go Over the total.  The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game off 3 straight unders, while the Broncos have played their last 2 under the total.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here, especially with Denver scoring just 8 points in the season's first meeting.  But I'll take the Over, as the Chiefs are 25-13 Over the total following 3 or more unders.  And NFL games have gone Over the total 56% the past 20 seasons if a team scored 8 or less points in the season's prior meeting.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Houston.  The Texans come into this game off four straight covers -- all as an underdog.  But now, they're favored at Carolina.  And the last time Houston was favored, it didn't cover.  I don't like to play on teams as favorites following a string of covers as an underdog, as such teams generally don't do very well when they reverse roles from an underdog to a favorite.  Indeed, favorites of more than 2 points, off 3 straight dog covers have gone just 14-37 ATS, including 5-23 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints over Indianapolis.  Last week, I played on the Colts vs. the Browns, as I loved the situational spot for Indianapolis, as it was off a 17-point blowout loss to division rival, Jacksonville, while the Browns came in off that shocking upset win over the previously-undefeated 49ers.  But now the Colts are NOT off a SU/ATS loss, as they covered the spread in defeat vs. Cleveland.  And Indy is a super 46-21 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, including 3-0 ATS this season.  But when it's NOT off a SU/ATS loss, Indy has gone just 31-43-3 ATS.  Meanwhile, New Orleans is 60-35 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS loss, including 15-4 ATS their last 19.  Take the Saints.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers over Minnesota.  The Vikings upset the 49ers on Monday Night Football, 22-17, as a 7-point underdog.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Minnesota in this game.  Since 1980, NFL favorites (or PK) off an upset win as a home underdog of more than 5 points, have covered just 38%.  Even better:  in this NFC North division rivalry, teams off a SU/ATS win have gone just 10-24 ATS when their opponent was not off a SU/ATS win.  With Green Bay off a loss to Denver, we'll take the Packers to snap their losing streak.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the New York Jets.  The Jets come into this game off back-to-back upset wins over Denver and Philly and have covered 3 straight overall.  But the Jets are now favored for the first time all season, and on the road no less.  (I understand the two teams share the stadium, but it's still a Giants home game, and the Giants' season ticket holders will be in the stands.).  I don't like playing on NFL road favorites following back to back upset wins, as they've cashed just 35.7% the past 42 years.  And the Jets are also a poor 16-28 ATS off 3 ATS wins.  Take the Giants + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans and Carolina Panthers Under the total.  First-year Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans is starting to mold the Texans in his image.  The Texans have given up just 13.3 ppg their last three games, and all three went under the total.  And, dating back to his stint as defensive coordinator of the 49ers, 20 of his last 33 games have gone Under.  The Under is also 3-0-1 in the last four meetings between these clubs, including a 24-9 win by Carolina two seasons ago.  Take the Under.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Tampa Bay.  We played against Buffalo each of the past two weeks, and got the $$$ with New England last Sunday, and the New York Giants the week before.  We also played against Tampa Bay last week, and won our NFC South Game of the Year on Atlanta.  In this Thursday game, we will side with the homestanding Bills, and look for Josh Allen & Co. to bounce back from their disappointing game at New England.  Indeed, the Bills generally bounce back at home off losses, and especially in non-division games, where they've gone 55-31-4 ATS.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Kansas City.  The Chargers are a sensational 111-61 ATS as a road underdog of +2 or more points, including 29-9 ATS within the division when the Chargers have owned a losing record.  Los Angeles has covered 5 of the last six in this series with its only point spread loss as a 3-point underdog in overtime, when it lost by 6.  Take Los Angeles.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + over Green Bay.  The Denver Broncos come into this game at Mile High Stadium with a 1-5 record (.167), while Green Bay is slightly better, at 2-3 (.400), for a win percentage differential of .233.  We’ll take Denver as a home dog, as it is a jaw-dropping 50-14-4 ATS at home when not favored by more than 2 points, if its opponent didn’t have a win percentage differential of .333 (or better), including a perfect 13-0-2 ATS if the Broncos’ win percentage was .333 (or less).  Additionally, home underdogs on 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have covered 62% since 1980 vs. non-division foes off a loss.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers are 3-2 on the season, but it’s a phony 3-2, as they have been outscored by an average of 6.2 points per game, and they have failed to cover the point spread by an average of 4.5 points per game.  And they’ve been outyarded in every single game — even their three wins.  They defeated Cleveland by 4 points, but the Browns outgained them by 153 yards.  They won by 5 over the Raiders, but Las Vegas outgained them by 29 yards.  And then, in their last game, they defeated the Ravens by 7 but Baltimore outgained them by 46.  In contrast, the Rams have outscored their opponents by 3.5 points per game, and have covered the point spread by 5.16 points per game.  And they’ve outgained four of their 6 opponents, even the San Francisco 49ers, though they lost that game by 7.  I’ll lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Patriots have been installed as a big home underdog vs. their division rival.  And New England will be looking to snap a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  We'll grab the points, as New England is 28-5 ATS as an underdog of 4+ points, when its W/L percentage was .400 (or less), and it was not off an ATS win, including 12-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take New England.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Cleveland.  The Browns stunned the previously unbeaten San Francisco 49ers last week, when they won, 19-17, as a 9.5-point underdog.  But off that huge upset win, we’ll fade Cleveland as a road favorite.  Indeed, since 1984, .500 (or better) road favorites have covered just 27.5 percent off an upset win as a 5-point (or greater) underdog.  The Colts also come into this game off a blowout loss, and they’re 54-30 ATS off a straight-up defeat.  Take the Colts + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  This is the first meeting between these NFC South Division rivals, and underdogs have been great in games between NFC South Division rivals when it was the first meeting of the season, as they've gone 37-19-1 ATS.  Tampa's 3-9-1 ATS its last 13 as a favorite, and also 7-25-3 ATS off a loss in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 5.  Finally the Falcons are off an upset loss to Washington, and fall into a 163-105 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing SU/ATS records off losses.  Take the Falcons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Jacksonville Jaguars Over the total.  The Saints have played all 6 games in the 30s this season, and this Over/Under has been priced accordingly.  But the Jaguars have played four of their six games at 45+ points, with three topping 50 points, including last week's 37-20 victory vs. Indianapolis.  Jacksonville's gone OVER 13 of 18 games when the O/U line was 43 points or less.  And I look for a relatively high scoring game on Thursday.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Jaguars blew out Indianapolis last week for their 3rd straight win and cover, while the Saints were upset at Houston, 20-13.  We'll play against Jacksonville on Thursday, as road teams off 3 SU/ATS wins are an awful 16-37 ATS vs. foes that were upset on the road the previous week.  Additionally, the Saints are a super 67-34 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes off a win.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Bills come into this game off a loss last Sunday in London.  I will fade Buffalo, as NFL teams have gone 4-18 ATS in the United States following a game in London.  Moreover, the Giants have lost all five games ATS this season.  However, underdogs off 5 ATS losses have covered 64.8%, including 12-3 ATS when getting more than 11 points.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over Detroit.  The Lions come into this Sunday's game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  But they will have to play a rested Tampa Bay team coming off its bye week.  We'll grab the points with Tampa, as Detroit is an ugly 3-26 ATS off a home win, if it owned a win percentage of .692 (or better), including 0-13 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up win.  Take Tampa Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over the Las Vegas Raiders.  New England was shut out, 34-0, last week by New Orleans.  And that was the 4th time the Patriots have been shut out under coach Bill Belichick.  How did New England do after those three previous shutout defeats?  They went 3-0 SU/ATS, and scored 31, 40 and 33 points.  This week, they'll play a Raiders team off a SU/ATS win last Monday vs. Green Bay.  We'll grab the points with the Patriots, as they've gone 22-0-1 ATS on the road in the regular season off a loss when playing an opponent off a win.  And Las Vegas is 29-68-1 ATS as a favorite vs. a foe off a loss.  Take New England.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders Over the total.  The Patriots were shut out, 34-0, last week by the Saints.  And New England has scored just 18 points over its three previous games -- each of which went under the total.  But off this string of low-scoring games, we'll look for a higher scoring game, here, as NFL games have gone Over the total 62.1% over the last 36 seasons, if a team scored 25 points or less over its three previous games, and each went under the total.  Even better:  the Patriots have gone Over 64% after not scoring 10 or more points in their previous game.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings minus the points over the Chicago Bears.  The Bears blew out Washington by 20 points for their first win of the season, while Minnesota also has just 1 victory, which was an 8 point win at Carolina two weeks ago.  The Vikings have been saddled with a difficult opening schedule, as their four losses have all been to teams that made the playoffs last season, including Philadelphia and Kansas City, the two Super Bowl participants.  But now, the Vikings will play the Bears who, like Carolina, is one of the worst teams in the league.  Minnesota is 15-9-1 its last 25 as road favorites, while Chicago is 1-13 SU and 3-10 ATS as home underdogs.  And NFC North division teams off a loss are 68-43 ATS vs. division rivals off a win.   Lay the points with the Vikings.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Panthers are 0-5 straight-up, and 1-4-1 ATS, including 0-3 SU/ATS in their last 3 games.  I look for Carolina to break through with its first ATS win this season, as underdogs of more than 5 points have gone 121-79 ATS in non-division games off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take the Panthers + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Houston Texans Over the total.  The Saints shut out the New England Patriots last week, 34-0.  And that game went under the total.  But off that shutout win, I'll look for a higher scoring game at Houston, as NFL teams off shutout wins have gone over the total 59% in games with O/U lines > 42.  Additionally, the Texans are 26-12 Over at home following back to back Unders.  This will be a high scoring game.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Seattle.  The Bengals got off the schneid last week when they blew out Arizona, 34-20, for their first point spread win of the season.  They'll now host the Seahawks, who had last week off following a 24-3 annihilation of the New York Giants.  The Bengals are still undervalued, in my estimation, and I'll lay the short number.  Cincinnati is a powerful 17-0-1 ATS when not laying 7 or more points, if its foe had a Win Percentage between .400 and .823.  And Seattle is 17-32 ATS off a win by more than 20 points.  Take the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over San Francisco.  It's unclear if Deshaun Watson will return from his rotator cuff injury this week.  If he can't go, then PJ Walker will start for Cleveland.  I'll take the points with the Browns, as I look for them to bounce back strong off their bye week.  Indeed, home underdogs of more than 5 points off their Bye week have gone 33-12 ATS vs. unrested foes.  And NFL home dogs (or PK) off blowout losses by more than 2 TDs have covered 61.8% vs. foes off blowout wins by more than 2 TDs.  Grab the points with Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  The Broncos are off to a 1-4 SU/0-4-1 ATS start, after last week's upset loss against the Jets, while KC is 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS following a 27-20 victory vs. Minnesota.  We'll grab the points with the Broncos, as AFC West division teams with a losing record, have gone 144-84-7 ATS in division road games if they weren't favored by more than 3 points.  Even better:  Kansas City is 10-20-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite vs. losing teams.  And NFL teams off upset losses have cashed 63.1 percent since 1980 in Thursday games vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and New York Jets Under the total.  The Jets have been installed as a small road underdog in this game.  And New York has gone under the total 9 of its last 10 games that have been competitively-priced with point spreads of 4 or less.  Meanwhile, Denver is 42-22-1 Under the total its last 65 as favorites, including 8-1 Under its last 9 when favored at home by 3 or less points.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Houston.  I played on the Houston Texans each of the last two weeks, and was rewarded with upset wins over Jacksonville and Pittsburgh.  But I can't get behind Houston off those back to back upset wins.  Indeed, since 1980, NFL road underdogs off back to back upset wins have cashed just 37 percent vs. non-division foes off back to back losses.  I'll lay the points with Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over Tennessee.  Last week, the Titans upset the Cincinnati Bengals, 27-3, as a 2.5-point home underdog.  But off that big upset win, I'll fade Mike Vrabel's men on the division road, as division road underdogs have covered just 41% since 1980 off a double-digit upset home win, including just 33% vs. foes off a home loss.  And the Colts are, indeed off a home loss.  Even better:  Indy is 53-30 ATS off a straight-up defeat.  Take the Colts.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection in on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over the Baltimore Ravens.  The Ravens/Steelers rivalry is among the best in the NFL.  And one of the things I love to do in this series is take the underdog if it owns the worse Won/Loss record.  Since 2010, the underdog in this situation has gone 12-0-1 ATS.  That bodes well for Pittsburgh as a home underdog.  As does that the fact that home dogs have cashed 61% off a loss by 15 or more points, if matched up against a division foe off a 15-point (or greater) win.  With the Steelers off a 30-6 blowout loss, and Baltimore off a 28-3 win, we’ll grab the points with Mike Tomlin’s men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the game between Houston and Atlanta.  The Falcons only scored 7 in their game in London, England last Sunday.  I look for a higher-scoring game back in the States, as teams have gone Over the total 60% following an international game.  Additionally, the Falcons have gone 26-6 Over the total after scoring less than 10 points, if the O/U line was between 36.5 and 44.5 points.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and New Orleans Saints Over the total.  Both the Patriots and Saints come into this game off blowout losses.  New Orleans was upset at home by Tampa Bay, 26-9, while New England was blown out by the Cowboys, 38-3.  With both teams scoring less than 10 points last week, and averaging less than 16 points on the season, the knee jerk reaction might be to look for a low-scoring game here.  But I'll run the other way and take the OVER, as NFL games have gone Over the total 57% of the time if both teams failed to score 10 or more points in their previous game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  Both of these teams come into this game off blowout losses:  New York fell, 24-3, on Monday night, at home, vs. Seattle, while Miami lost, 48-20, at Buffalo.  The difference, of course, is that Miami had covered the point spread in its first three games, while the Giants have yet to cover the spread this season.  The good news for New York is that NFL underdogs on 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have covered 58% of non-division games since 1980.  Additionally, the Dolphins are 9-24 ATS when favored by 9+ points, including 4-18 ATS vs. foes not off an ATS win, while the Giants are 27-14 ATS when getting 9 or more.  We'll grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Giants over the Seattle Seahawks.  The Seahawks have won back to back games against the Carolina Panthers and Detroit Lions.  And they tallied 37 points in each victory.  I’m going to go against them on the road at New York, as teams off back to back 37-point games have covered just 37% over the last 44 seasons when playing on the road vs. a foe off a straight-up loss, including 20% ATS in non-division games.  Lay the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over the Arizona Cardinals.  The Cardinals blew out the previously-undefeated Cowboys, 28-16, as an 11-point home underdog.  But off that win, I will fade Arizona at San Francisco.  Since 1980, road underdogs have cashed just 42% off upset wins as double-digit dogs.  Additionally, the 49ers are 32-20 ATS at home vs. foes that won outright as an underdog the previous week.  And the Niners are also 13-1 ATS their last 14 home games when installed as the favorite.  Take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens + the points over Cleveland.  The Ravens were upset at home, 22-19, by the Indianapolis Colts last week.  And Baltimore was a 7.5-point favorite in that game.  But off that defeat, we’ll take the Ravens as a division road underdog at Cleveland.  Indeed, division dogs, off an upset loss in which they failed to cover the point spread by more than 10 points, have covered 58% since 1980 vs. opponents that don’t have a better win percentage.  That bodes well for John Harbaugh’s men on Sunday.  As does the fact that the Ravens are 35-20-4 ATS on the road off an upset loss, including 14-3-1 ATS as an underdog vs. .666 (or better) foes.  Take Baltimore.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Philadelphia.  The Commanders lost for the first time this season when the Bills blew them out, 37-3, in Buffalo.  But off that huge defeat, I’ll take Washington to rebound in this division game at Philly.  Indeed, since 2000, .666 (or better) teams have gone 13-1 ATS as underdogs of +6 (or more) points, if they lost their previous game by more than 15 points.  And the Commanders are also 27-13-2 ATS on the road off a home loss, if their win percentage was greater than .400.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Steelers are 2-1 following an upset win last Sunday night at Las Vegas.  They’re back on the road at Houston this week, and have been installed as a road favorite.  Unfortunately for the Black and Gold, .666 (or better) road favorites have covered just 41% since 1980 off an upset road win, if matched up against an opponent with a losing record.  Pittsburgh’s also a wallet-busting 26-52 as a non-division road favorite of minus 2 (or more) points.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New Orleans/Tampa Bay game.  The New Orleans Saints (along with the New York Jets) have played the lowest-scoring games in the NFL this season, as they’ve averaged just 34.33 ppg.  Not surprisingly, all three have gone Under the total.  But off this string of low-scoring games, I’ll look for a relatively high scoring game on Sunday, as the Over falls into Totals systems of mine that have cashed 66% and 68% since 1980.  The Saints are also 46-27 Over at home off back-to-back Unders (including 17-8 Over off 3+ Unders).  Take Tampa/New Orleans Over the total.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Denver Broncos/Chicago Bears game.  Last Sunday, these two teams gave up an ungodly amount of points.  Chicago allowed the Chiefs to score 41, while Denver gave up 70 to Miami.  But off those two ugly defensive performances, I’ll look for a much better defensive effort given by both teams here.  And NFL games with Over/Under lines of 46 or more, have gone Under the total 63% the last 38 years, if both of the teams gave up 35 or more points in their previous game.  Take the Under

At 9:30 am, on Sunday, in a game played in London, England, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Atlanta.  Last week, I played against the Jaguars, and got the cash with Houston, which blew out Jacksonville, 37-17, as a 7.5-point underdog.  After 2 straight home losses, maybe the Jaguars can find some better fortune across the pond, in England.  I will lay the points with the Jaguars, as NFL teams have covered 69% the last 38 seasons away from home, if they were off a double-digit division loss as a favorite of more than 7 points.  Additionally, the Falcons have only covered 3 of 16 (18.75%) away from home as an underdog of 3 or more points vs. an opponent off an upset loss.  Lay the points with the Jaguars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  The Eagles come into this Monday Night Football game with a 2-0 record after beating the Patriots and Vikings to start the season.  We'll go against Philly, as undefeated teams have cashed just 39.5% as a road favorite on Monday Night Football since 1980, including 2-11 ATS vs. opponents off a straight-up and against-the-spread win.  With Tampa, indeed, in off a 10-point victory over the Bears, I'll grab the points with the Buccaneers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  The Bears have started the season 0-2 SU/ATS, with an 18-point loss to Green Bay in Week 1, and a 10-point defeat last Sunday at Tampa.  Meanwhile, KC is 1-1 SU/ATS as it lost to the Lions at home, but rebounded to take down the Jaguars in Jacksonville last week.  I like taking underdogs in Week 3 off back to back double-digit losses, as they’ve covered 63% since 1980.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  The Saints come into this week's game with one of the four best scoring defenses, along with Dallas, Baltimore and San Francisco.  New Orleans has allowed just 16 ppg in its wins over Tennessee and Carolina.  That bodes well for them in Week 3, as NFL teams have cashed 72.3% off a win in Week 2, if their defense was giving up less than 20 points per game, and their opponent was off a straight-up loss.  Even better:  New Orleans is a solid 68-49 ATS as a road underdog off an ATS loss/tie in its previous game.  Take the Saints.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Commanders are a surprising 2-0 following wins over the Cardinals and Broncos, and have been installed as a big home underdog vs. Buffalo, which blew out the Raiders by 28 points at home last week.  I'll take the home team, as winning home underdogs have gone 99-60 ATS since 1980 vs. foes off a 15-point (or greater) blowout home win.  Take the Commanders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Jets. The Patriots come into this divisional match-up off back to back home losses in which they were underdogs, and failed to cover the point spread.  I'll take New England on the road vs. New York as NFL teams that failed to cover their first two games as underdogs have cashed 62% as favorites in Week 3.  Also, the Patriots are 16-0 ATS in the regular season on the road off a straight-up home loss, when not favored by 7+ points.  And the Jets are a miserable 68-120 ATS at home vs. foes that don't own a winning record.  Take New England.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Jacksonville.  I'm not a big fan of laying a lot of points with teams that don't have a winning record.  And especially not against a winless team like Houston.  Consider that .500 or worse teams are 69-109-3 ATS when laying 9 or more points to winless opposition.  I’ll take the double-digits with Houston.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the San Francisco 49ers.  The Giants' defense has left a lot to be desired so far, this season.  New York allowed 40 points to the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1, and then gave up 28 to the Arizona Cardinals last Sunday.  But off those two awful defensive games, I actually look for a much better effort in Week 3.  Indeed, NFL road teams not favored by 3 or more points, have gone 39-12-3 ATS in Week 3 if they allowed 62 or more points over their first two games, including a perfect 9-0-1 ATS off a straight up win.  Take New York + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants minus the points over Arizona.  The Giants laid a goose egg last Sunday, as they were shut out, 40-0, by Dallas.  Off that embarrassing defeat, we'll step in and lay the points with New York in Week 2.  Indeed, road favorites (or PK) have covered 64% since 1980 off a division shutout loss.  And the Giants are also a solid 42-23-1 ATS off a home point spread defeat.  Take New York minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over San Francisco.  The Rams pulled off a stunning Week 1 upset, when they blew out the Seattle Seahawks, 30-13, on the road.  They will now welcome the 49ers to SoFi Stadium.  We'll take the Rams as a huge underdog, as home dogs of +5 (or more) points have gone 72-53 ATS off a road upset win.  And San Francisco is a wallet-busting 35-58 ATS away from home off a win by 13+ points, including 5-18 ATS when priced from -4 to -10 points.  Take the Rams.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Tampa Bay Bucs.  Last week, the Bears were upset, 38-20, by their rival, Green Bay, while Tampa upset Minnesota, 20-17.  If one looks at the yardage stats, however, one will see that Chicago was only outgained by 18 yards (329-311), while Tampa was outgained by 127 (369-242).  The difference in the two games, of course, was turnovers.  Chicago committed 2 turnovers (vs 0 for Green Bay), while Tampa forced 3 turnovers, and didn't commit any, itself.  We'll fade Tampa off its upset win, as home favorites have covered just 31% since 1980 in Week 2 off an upset road victory, if its opponent was off an upset defeat.  Grab the points with Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks + the points over Detroit.  The Lions upset the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs to kick off their season.  But off that upset victory, we'll fade Detroit on Sunday.  Indeed, over the past 43 years, home favorites have covered just 30.7% off an upset win over the defending Super Bowl champs, if they were matched up against a foe off an upset defeat.  With Seattle in off an upset loss at the hands of the Rams, we'll grab the points with Pete Carroll's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over the Las Vegas Raiders.  Josh Allen could not have played worse last Monday, as he committed a key fumble, and also threw 3 interceptions.  We didn't mind, as we had a big play on the Jets.  But we'll switch gears, and take Buffalo to bounce back here, at home, in Week 2.  The Bills are a solid 20-6 ATS as a home favorite off a road loss, when playing an opponent off a win.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons over the Green Bay Packers.  The Packers have been installed as a small road favorite following their upset win, 38-20, over division rival, Chicago.  We'll fade Green Bay, as road favorites have covered just 33% since 1980 in Week 2 off upset wins on the road over a division rival to start the season.  I look for Green Bay to have a letdown on Sunday.  Take Atlanta.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Jets are looking for big things this season behind newly-acquired QB Aaron Rodgers.  And it all starts tonight, in a Week 1 game against division rival, Buffalo.  We'll grab the points with New York, as Aaron Rodgers has gone 73-43-4 ATS at home in his career starts, including 6-1-1 ATS as an underdog, and 29-13 ATS in division games.  Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills are a wallet-busting 9-16-1 ATS as a division road favorite.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Chargers are my Futures Pick this season at 25-1 odds to win the Super Bowl.  I expect a major leap forward for Brandon Staley’s men and one of my primary reasons is the hire of Kellen Moore as offensive coordinator.  When Moore was with the Cowboys the past 4 seasons, Dallas’s offense ranked among the Top 4 in the league over that 4-year stretch.  The Chargers added rookie wide receiver Quentin Johnson, who was their first round draft pick, and he’ll team up with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams to give 4th year QB Justin Herbert a trio of quality receivers to throw downfield.  And, of course, the Chargers have Austin Ekeler in the backfield, so the pieces are there to make a Super Bowl run.  The Chargers are 15-2-1 ATS in season openers when not favored by 4+ points, including a perfect 10-0 ATS in non-division games.  Take Los Angeles to blow out Miami.   Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.