At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Denver.  The Nuggets won the first meeting of the season -- at Houston -- by the score of 112-109.  And that was the 5th straight win and cover by the road team in this series.  We'll take Houston in this 2nd meeting, as the Rockets are a solid 42-24 ATS when playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Rockets failed to cover the point spread in their previous two games.  And the Rockets are 106-79-4 ATS as road underdogs off back-to-back ATS losses.  Finally, the Rockets fall into a 179-105-4 ATS revenge system of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Charlotte.  The Bulls come into this game on a 7-game losing streak.  And Charlotte is an ugly 0-8 ATS its last eight vs. foes off 3+ losses.  Even worse:  if Charlotte was at home, and playing a non-division foe off a SU/ATS loss, and 3+ losses overall, the Hornets are 31-59 ATS their last 90.  Chicago lost the first meeting with Charlotte this season, but has dominated Charlotte the last 5 years, going 15-4 SU/ATS.  And road teams off a SU/ATS loss, and 7+ losses overall, are 368-302 ATS, including 186-145 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm (note the early start time), our selection is on the Miami Heat over the Orlando Magic.  This game is part of the NBA's In-Season Tournament, and is the first Knockout Round game for each team.  The Heat and Magic have already met twice this season, with Orlando coming away victorious in each game (but the Heat covered the spread in each of those losses).  Besides playing with revenge, the Heat also come into tonight's game off 3 consecutive defeats.  We'll take Miami, as the Magic are 11-21-2 ATS at home vs. foes off 2+ losses, if the Magic were not favored by 2+ points.  And Miami is 8-3 ATS its last 11 vs. the Magic.  Finally, the Heat are 28-14 ATS on the road off 3+ losses.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Lakers lost at Boston, 126-105, on Friday night, while Philly routed Milwaukee, 116-101.  L.A. was without its superstar, Luka Doncic, for its last two games, but he's been upgraded to 'probable' for tonight's match.  Los Angeles is 41-23 ATS as a single-digit road favorite off a SU/ATS loss, it its opponent was off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Boston.  The Raptors have dropped back to back games to fall to 15-9 on the season, while Boston has won its last four games SU/ATS.  We'll take Toronto as an underdog, as it is 59-38-2 ATS as a dog off back to back losses, if its opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Raptors.

At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Orlando.  These two teams have met twice already this season, with the Magic winning both times (one home, one away).  We'll lay the points with New York, as the Magic is a soft 16-31 ATS when installed as an underdog of 5 or less points (or PK) vs. a double-revenge-minded foe.  Take the Knicks.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets upset Chicago, 113-103, last night.  We'll fade Brooklyn tonight, and lay the points with the Jazz, as Utah is 26-15 ATS on the road when rested, and playing an unrested foe off a SU win.  Meanwhile, the Nets are 30-49-2 ATS at home off a SU win, including 2-10-1 ATS when playing without rest.  Take the Jazz.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Atlanta.  Los Angeles was blown out by Miami, 140-123, as a 6-point dog on Monday.  Tonight, they'll face the Hawks, who are a horrid 16-43 ATS vs. foes on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak, if that foe also failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game.  In Monday's loss, Tyronn Lue sent a message to his team early in the 3rd quarter when he cleared the bench, and removed all five starters after a 9-0 Miami run extended the Heat's lead to 29 points.  Los Angeles is riding a 5-game losing streak, and released veteran guard Chris Paul overnight.  We'll take Los Angeles, as teams that have lost exactly 5 games SU/ATS have gone 110-81 ATS on the road.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Indiana.  The Nuggets suffered an embarrassing home loss to the 7-15 Dallas Mavericks on Monday.  We'll take Nikola Jokic & Co. to bounce back tonight, as they're 85-56 ATS off a home loss, while Indiana is 15-26 ATS at home vs. foes off a home defeat.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Portland.  After winning nine straight games (and 13 of 14), the Raptors have lost two straight, including a 22-point beatdown at Madison Square Garden on Sunday.  But both of those were on the road.  Tonight, the Raptors are back home, where they've won seven straight.  The Raptors are a solid 163-117 ATS off back to back losses.  And they fall into a 465-330 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams to bounce back off a loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers played last night, and defeated New Orleans, 133-121, while Phoenix had Sunday off.  We will fade the Lakers tonight, as the Suns are 120-73 ATS vs. unrested foes off a SU win, provided Phoenix wasn't favored by 8+ points.  Even better:  if Phoenix was rested, and off a SU/ATS loss, our 120-73 stat zooms to 46-15 ATS.  Phoenix also falls into 80-25, 160-86 and 98-37 ATS systems of mine that fade certain unrested foes.  Grab the points with the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie 

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Houston Rockets.  These two teams are playing the 2nd of back-to-back games here in Salt Lake City.  Houston blew out Utah in Round 1, 129-101.  We'll take the Jazz tonight, as home dogs of 11+ points off a SU loss are 185-148 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Miami.  The Clippers play this game with revenge from a home loss to the Heat four weeks ago.  Los Angeles dropped its fourth straight game on Saturday night when it lost at home to Dallas, 114-110.  The good news for L.A. tonight is that Miami is a miserable 28-48 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes off a SU loss.  Take the Clippers + the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Cavs are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak after falling to Boston, 117-115, at home, on Sunday.  We'll take Cleveland to bounce back as it's 51-27 ATS as a favorite of -6 (or more) points vs. losing foes, if Cleveland was off back-to-back losses.  Lay the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Indiana.  The Pacers won for just the 3rd time this season, last night, when they blew out Washington, 119-86.  But the Wizards are even worse than Indiana, with just two wins on the season.  We'll lay the points with the Bulls, as Chicago is 80-52 ATS in division games off back-to-back losses, provided their opponent is NOT off back-to-back losses.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Charlotte.  Last night, the Hornets upset Chicago, 123-116.  We'll fade Charlotte off that upset win, and take the red-hot Raptors, who have won 9 straight games.  Indeed, road favorites of -8 (or more) points, off 8 (or more) wins, have cashed 59 of 90 since 1990.  Lay the points with Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets are on a 7-game losing streak and have been installed as a small home underdog vs. the Chicago Bulls.  I don't want any part of the Hornets in this price range, as they're 22-40 ATS their last 62 when not getting 4+ points, including 12-27 ATS at home.  Meanwhile, the Bulls are 13-5 ATS their last 18 off a SU loss, and 15-3 ATS their last 18 vs. the Hornets.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Oklahoma City.  The T-Wolves play with revenge from last season's Playoff ouster.  And Minnesota also checks in off an overtime loss to the Sacramento Kings.  The Wolves should be ultra-focused tonight, and we'll grab the points, noting that road underdogs off a SU/ATS loss have cashed 64% when playing with revenge from a playoff defeat.  Take Minnesota.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Miami.  The Heat have won 5 straight, while the Bucks have dropped 5 straight.  We'll take the underdog Bucks, as Miami is a nasty 38-62 ATS off a SU win if its opponent was off a SU loss.  The Bucks also fall into a 250-157 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on long losing streaks.   Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm (note the early start time), our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Detroit.  The Pistons are firing on all cylinders, and enter the TD Garden on a 13-game win streak.  These two teams met three days before Detroit's streak began, and the Pistons bested Boston that night, 119-113.  We'll grab the points with the Celtics, who are 18-6 ATS when playing with revenge, while Detroit is 4-10 ATS its last 14 when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Boston.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings snapped their 8-game losing streak with an upset win at Denver on Saturday.  Meanwhile, Minnesota was upset, 114-113, by Phoenix, and became the first team since 2022 to blow an 8-point (or greater) lead in the final minute.  The Kings are 30-68 ATS at home off a SU win vs. foes off a SU loss, provided the Kings were not off an ATS loss, and their foe was not off an ATS win.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns played at home last night, and won against San Antonio, 113-97.  We'll fade the Suns tonight against a Houston team looking to redeem itself off its upset loss at the hands of Denver.  Phoenix is a poor 9-32 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take the Rockets.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Memphis.  The Nuggies were upset at home by Sacramento, 128-123, on Saturday.  But that was a horrible situation for Denver, as it was unrested after an upset win over Houston, while Sacramento was riding an 8-game losing streak, and looking to bounce back off a 41-point defeat at Memphis.  We'll take Denver to rebound off that upset loss, as it is 75-49 ATS off a home loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Toronto.  The Cavaliers play this game with revenge from two losses to the Raptors earlier this season.  We'll take the Cavs, as they fall into a revenge system of mine which is 168-98 ATS.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs plus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns handed San Antone its first loss of the season three weeks ago.  We'll grab the points with the Spurs in this rematch, as they're 77-43-4 ATS when they owned a .395 (or better) win percentage, and were playing with revenge.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Orlando.  The Celtics were upset by the Nets, 113-105, on Friday.  Boston usually bounces back from upset losses to division rivals, and especially if the Celts were favored by at least 4 points in that defeat.  In that situation, Boston has covered the point spread 39 of 51 in the game following the upset loss.  Look for the Celtics to blow out Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over New Orleans.  The Nuggets lost for the 3rd time this season, when it fell at home to the Chicago Bulls, 130-127.  Denver generally bounces back off a home loss, as it's 75-48-3 ATS.  And the Nuggets fall into a super system of mine which 181-108-6 ATS, as well as a 2nd system which is 66-31 ATS.  Each of those plays on certain teams to bounce back from a SU loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Raptors have ripped off eight wins in their last nine games.  Their lone loss:  130-120 at Philly.  But that was a poor situational spot for the Raptors.  Toronto was playing without rest, and on a 4-game win streak, while Philly had the previous two nights off, and was looking to bounce back off 2 losses.  I like Toronto to avenge that defeat, as it falls into a very good 178-103 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the 76ers are a poor 40-75-3 ATS at home when playing a revenge minded foe, provided Philly wasn't a 3-point (or greater) favorite.  Take Toronto.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Houston.  Cleveland is playing its fourth straight home game tonight, and enters off back to back wins.  We'll grab the points with Cleveland as it is an awesome 81-41-2 ATS at home off back to back wins, if it was matched-up against a .463 (or better) foe, and not favored by 8+ points.  Take the Cavaliers.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets got just their 2nd win of the season on Sunday when they routed Washington, 129-106.  But that was Washington's 11th straight loss, so the Nets shouldn't be doing backflips for getting a victory.  We'll fade the Nets off that win, as sub-.200 teams have cashed just 35% since 1995 as double-digit home dogs off a SU win.  Lay the points with the Celtics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Detroit.  The Pistons downed Philadelphia, 114-105, on Friday, while the Pacers fell in their previous game by 18 to Toronto.  We'll take Indiana as a road underdog, as Detroit is 0-16 ATS their last 16 home games off a win by more than 7 points, if they were playing an opponent off a SU/ATS loss.  Even better:  the Pacers are 97-58 ATS off a home loss when rested, if they were matched-up against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Toronto Raptors.  Indiana returns home off a disastrous road trip which saw them lose four games by double-digits.  But the Pacers have been much more competitive at home this season, as their scoring margin is -6.4 in their five home games.  Indiana is 29-10 ATS at home as an underdog (or PK) vs. a foe off a SU win.  Grab the points with the home team.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Golden State.  The Warriors are a woeful 44-100 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe if the Warriors were off an ATS win.  Additionally, the Spurs are 327-229 ATS as a home favorite if their opponent wasn't off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with Mitch Johnson's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Dallas.  The Clippers are easily the most disappointing team in this young season.  Not only are they 3-8 SU, but they're 1-10 ATS, including 0-9 ATS their last nine.  That's especially hard to do.  The good news for the Clippers tonight is that the Mavericks are playing equally as poorly.  Dallas has the worst adjusted offensive rating in the NBA (103.47), and the 5th worst adjusted Net Rating (-8.71).  The Mavs do have 3 wins on the season, but two of those three wins were against the 1-11 Pacers and the 1-11 Wizards.  Take the Clippers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets upset Milwaukee in Charlotte, 111-100, on Wednesday.  We'll take the Bucks in this rematch, as home teams have cashed 59.4% since 1990 in the 2nd of back-to-back regular season meetings, if they were off an upset loss on the road in the previous game.  Take Milwaukee to blow out Charlotte.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans.  The Lakers were blasted, 121-92, by OKC in their last game.  We'll lay the points with Los Angeles at New Orleans tonight, as the Lakers are 104-68 ATS off a loss by 15+ points.  Take L.A.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Denver.  Last night, the Nuggets blew out Sacramento, 122-108 for their fifth straight win (and fourth straight cover).  We'll fade Denver, as it's a dreadful 21-41 ATS as a road favorite off a home win by more than 8 points.  Moreover, L.A. falls into 103-45 and 159-87 ATS systems of mine based on their upset loss at the hands of Atlanta on Monday.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Clippers come into this game on a 4-game losing streak, and are 3-6 SU and 1-8 ATS on the season (including 0-7 ATS their last seven).  We'll look for Los Angeles to snap its ATS losing streak, as the Hawks are a horrid 15-26 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 1-7 ATS their last eight, while the Clippers are 11-1 ATS off 4 SU/ATS losses when matched-up against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  The Clips also fall into a very good 256-164 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over Minnesota.  The Jazz return home tonight after a 5-game road trip, which saw them go 1-4, including a 40-point loss to these Timberwolves on Friday.  We'll take the revenge-minded Jazz as a home underdog, as Utah is 76-49 its last 125 as a home dog.  And it's also 65-43 ATS at home when rested, and playing an unrested foe off back-to-back wins.  Grab the points with the Jazz.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Denver.  The Nuggets blew out Golden State on Friday night, 129-104.  We'll fade the unrested Nuggets, as Denver is a soft 62-111 ATS at home when playing without rest.  And Indiana is a super 97-57 ATS off a home loss, if it was rested, and playing a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls plus the points over Cleveland.  The Bulls were blown out by Milwaukee, 126-110, last night, while Cleveland routed Washington, 148-114.  We'll take Chicago tonight, as winning teams have cashed 63% the past 10 seasons as road underdogs, if they were off a double-digit loss, and playing an unrested foe off a SU win.  Take Chicago.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over San Antonio.  The Spurs defeated New Orleans on the road earlier this season.  Unfortunately, the Spurs are a terrible 10-37 ATS at home vs. a revenge-minded foe, if the Spurs were off a SU win.  With San Antone, indeed, off a win last night vs. the Rockets, we'll fade Mitch Johnson's men tonight.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Toronto Raptors.  The Sixers have an advantage tonight in terms of "rest," as Philly has not played since Wednesday, while the Raptors played last night.  The 76ers are 73-48 ATS when well-rested, with at least the previous two days off, if they were off back to back losses, and their foe was off a SU win.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Miami Heat.  The Hornets play this game with revenge from a 144-117 blowout loss last week to Miami.  We'll grab the points, as the Heat are a horrid 27-54-3 ATS in the regular season when playing a rested, revenge-minded foe they beat by more than 7 points earlier in the season, including 3-20 ATS if Miami scored more than 121 points in that earlier meeing.  Take Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder blew out the Los Angeles Clippers last night, 126-107, and will make the trek up the coast to take on the Trail Blazers in Portland.  OKC has won the last 16 meetings, but I love Portland tonight.  This will be the Thunder's 3rd game in 4 days, while Portland had last night off.  OKC falls into a negative 107-168 ATS system of mine which plays against certain unrested road teams.  Also, Portland is 29-15 ATS its last 44 as a home underdog, including 7-0 ATS its last seven as a division home dog.  Take the Trail Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  Golden State lost at Indiana, 114-109, on Saturday.  Meanwhile, the Suns handed the San Antonio Spurs their first loss of the season the following night.  But off that big upset win, we'll fade the Suns in San Francisco on Tuesday.  Indeed, the Suns are a wallet-busting 7-31-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss, including 0-4-1 ATS if the Suns were off an upset win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Charlotte Hornets.  We played on the Hornets Sunday vs. Utah, and got the $$ in a 126-103 win, as a 1.5-point home underdog.  Tonight, the Hornets will be in New Orleans, and we will fade the Hornets, who are a horrible 15-27-3 ATS off an upset win when playing on the road vs. a non-conference foe.  Additionally, the Pelicans fall into a 41-20 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses by 25+ points.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Nets were blown out, 129-105, yesterday to fall to 0-6 on the season.  We'll step in and take Brooklyn off that loss, as winless teams have cashed 60.7% since 1990 as home dogs of more than 2 points if they were off a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  Even better:  Minnesota is a miserable 41-66 ATS since 1990 as a favorite vs. foes off 20-point (or worse) defeats.  Grab the points with the Nets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Bulls.  We played on the Knicks two nights ago in Chicago, and lost, as the Bulls knocked off New York, 135-125.  We'll come right back with the Knicks at home tonight, as they're 38-18 ATS as a single-digit favorite when playing with revenge.  New York also falls into 108-82, 97-47 and 307-182 ATS systems of mine that play on certain revenge-minded squads.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Hornets come into this evening's game on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak after last night's 122-105 setback here vs. Minnesota.  We'll take the Hornets to bounce back off that home loss, as Utah is an ugly 7-19 ATS vs. foes on a 3-Game SU/ATS losing streak.  Even better:  the Hornets fall into one of my favorite systems (143-70 ATS), which plays on certain teams off losses.  Lay the points.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Atlanta.  Both of these teams are dealing with injuries to key players.  Atlanta will be without Trae Young for at least four weeks, while Cleveland is currently without Darius Garland and Max Strus, and each of Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, and Jarrett Allen are questionable to play.  We'll fade Atlanta, as it is a nasty 34-56-1 ATS vs. foes off a loss, including 7-20 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Cavaliers.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. On Thursday, Doc Rivers' crew was without superstar, Giannis Antetokounmpo, yet stunned Golden State, 120-110.  Meanwhile, the Kings lost at Chicago, 126-113, which was their 3rd straight defeat.  We'll fade Milwaukee, as it's 10-25-1 ATS off an upset win, including 1-11-1 ATS vs. foes off losses by more than 8 points.  And Sacramento is 35-24 ATS as road dogs off back-to-back losses.  The Kings also fall into a 49-12 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing SU/ATS records.  Grab the points with Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Chicago.  These two teams meet tonight in the Windy City, and then will play a rematch on Sunday in the Big Apple.  We'll take New York in Round 1, as the Knicks are a super 72-29 ATS off an upset road loss, if they were playing a .500 (or better) team in their current game.  With New York off a 121-111 road loss to the Bucks on Tuesday, we'll look for it to hand the Bulls their first defeat of the season.  Lay the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Cleveland.  Toronto kicked off its season with a nice win in Atlanta, 138-118, as a 5.5-point underdog.  But it's dropped its last four, including an 18-point setback at home, to the Rockets on Wednesday.  We'll look for Toronto to get back on track tonight, as it's 162-117 ATS off back-to-back losses.  And the Raptors also fall into a 412-290 ATS system of mine.  Take the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  Boston blew out Cleveland, 125-105, as a 3.5-point home underdog in its last game, and will look to avenge an earlier loss to Philly tonight.  The Sixers are off to a 4-0 start this season, but undefeated teams with a 3-0 (or better) record have covered just 25% at home the past 36 seasons when they were not favored by 2+ points.  Boston is also 47-20 ATS on the road off a 20+ point home victory.  We'll lay the small number with the Celtics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Magic were blown out last night by the Detroit Pistons, 135-116, as a 1.5-point favorite.  Orlando is now 1-4 SU, with four straight upset defeats.  We'll lay the points with Orlando tonight, as road teams have cashed 65.2% since 1990 off four straight upset losses, including 78% if our team was off a double-digit loss.  Lay the points with Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Utah.  Each of these two teams won two nights ago.  Utah held off the Phoenix Suns, 138-134, in overtime, while Portland blew out the L.A. Lakers, 122-108, on the road as a 3.5-point favorite.  Portland is back on the road this evening, and has been installed as a road favorite in Salt Lake City.  And the Blazers are a solid 54-37 ATS their last 91 as road faves, including 15-6 ATS vs. .500 (or better) opposition.  We'll lay the points with Portland, as it also falls into a system of mine which is 100-50 ATS since 1990.  Take the Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Denver.  The Pelicans were blown out, 122-90, by the Boston Celtics on Monday.  We'll take New Orleans to bounce back tonight, as double-digit underdogs have gone 134-99-4 ATS following a blowout loss by 32+ points.  Additionally, Denver is a dismal 16-26 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS wins by more than 10 points.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings plus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls were just 39-43 last year, but have sprinted out to a 3-0 record on this young NBA season.  They're at home tonight, and favored against the 1-3 Kings.  We'll fade Chicago, as undefeated teams, with a 3-0 (or better) record, have covered just 37% at home since 1990 if they were not a winning team the previous season.  Meanwhile, Sacramento is a solid 38-23 ATS off back to back losses, including 16-5 ATS if they were getting 4+ points.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Detroit Pistons.  The Magic have dominated Detroit, as they've taken eight of the last nine meetings.  Admittedly, the Magic have lost their last three games, SU/ATS, but the Pistons are a putrid 36-68-2 ATS vs. foes off 3+ point spread defeats, while the Magic are 50-33-2 ATS off 3+ ATS losses.  Even better:  Orlando falls into 360-247, 411-289 and 85-48 ATS systems of mine.  Take Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Memphis.  The Warriors were wiped out on Friday by Portland, 139-119, while the Grizzlies enter off a home win over Indiana.  Golden State is back in San Francisco for this game, and it is 157-105-4 ATS off a SU loss when matched-up against a foe off a SU win, including 37-16-1 ATS when favored by more than 7 points.  Take the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  Minnesota was dealt a big blow when Anthony Edwards went down with a hamstring injury, so it will be short-handed for the foreseeable future.  We'll lay the points with Denver, as the road team is 58-23-1 ATS the last 82 in this rivalry.  Additionally, the Nuggets fall into a very good 98-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Utah.  The Suns are 1-2 SU/ATS this season.  They covered as a favorite in their season opener vs. Sacramento, but were blown out in their two games this season as a double-digit underdog.  And this continues a trend for the Suns, as they are 7-2 ATS their last nine when not getting more than 2 points, and 2-12 ATS their last 14 as an underdog of more than 2 points.  The Suns have won 10 straight vs. Utah (and 17 of the last 19).  Lay the points.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas.  Each of these two teams enters off a double-digit win.  The Thunder smashed the Hawks, 117-100, while the Mavs upset Toronto, 139-129.  OKC is a fantastic 30-10 ATS its last 40 when both it and its opponent were off SU wins, including a perfect 10-0 ATS if its foe was off an upset win.  Even better:  OKC is 16-5 when playing with rest against an unrested foe.  We'll lay the points, as the Thunder are 10-2 ATS their last 12 regular season games as a road favorite, while the Mavs are 2-5 ATS their last 7 as a home dog.  Take Oklahoma City.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls are 2-0 after upsetting the Pistons and Magic.  We'll fade Orlando, as winning teams have cashed just 44% since 1980 off back to back upset wins.  Take Atlanta.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  Houston was upset by the Detroit Pistons on Friday, 115-111, as a 6.5-point favorite.  We'll take the Rockets to bounce back, as they're 10-1 ATS as a favorite off an upset loss (with the only ATS loss by a mere half-point).  Take the Rockets.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  Philly will be without Paul George and Joel Embiid tonight, so it has been installed as a home underdog against the Magic.  Philly is 10-19-1 ATS its last 30 as a single-digit home dog, while Orlando is 41-26 ATS as a single-digit road favorite.  The Magic also fall into a 97-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites.  Lay the points.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over the Detroit Pistons.  We played on the Pistons two days ago, and got the $$$ when they upset Houston, 115-111, as a 6.5-point underdog.  We also played on Boston that same night (and lost), as the Celts fell to New York by double-digits.  Boston is off to an 0-2 SU/ATS start to the season, and we'll take Boston to bounce back on Sunday, as it's 35-5 ATS following back-to-back point spread defeats, if its foe covered the spread by more than 7 in its previous game.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  The Spurs have sprinted out to a 2-0 start after winning road games at Dallas and New Orleans.  They return home to the Alamo City to take on the 0-2 Brooklyn Nets this afternoon.  We'll grab the points with Brooklyn, as it is 79-43-4 ATS as an underdog of +3.5 to +12 points vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  rested, double-digit road underdogs have cashed 59% vs. rested foes with an .857 (or better) win percentage.  Take Brooklyn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  Philly opened its season with an impressive upset win, 117-116, over its rival, Boston.  The Sixers will look to remain unbeaten tonight and take down a Charlotte team also off an impressive win in its opener.  The Hornets blew out Brooklyn, 136-117.  We'll fade Philly as a home favorite, as it is a wallet-breaking 59-88-8 ATS as a favorite of 9 (or less) points off an upset win, including 14-39-3 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up win.  Take the Hornets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  Steve Ballmer's men were stunned by the lowly Utah Jazz, 129-108, on Wednesday.  Off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take the Clippers to bounce back on Friday.  Indeed, Los Angeles is a solid 24-0 SU and 18-6 ATS when favored by 9+ points off an upset loss.  And the Suns are 7-30 ATS vs. foes off an upset defeat.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Houston Rockets.  Detroit was upset by division rival, Chicago, 115-111, on Wednesday.  We'll take the Pistons to bounce back off that loss, as Houston is a poor 15-28 ATS vs. foes off upset defeats, including 6-16 ATS at home.  Take Detroit.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Grizz downed the New Orleans Pelicans, 128-122, on Wednesday.  But Memphis has underwhelmed after a SU win, going 3-11-1 ATS their last 15, including 0-6 ATS at home.  Meanwhile, Miami was edged, 125-121, by Orlando to open the season.  But the Heat are 94-62-1 ATS on the road off a SU road loss.  And they also fall into 45-9 and 84-25 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our Atlantic Division Game of the Year is on the Boston Celtics + the points over the New York Knicks.  Last season, the Knicks upset the Celtics in the Playoffs, 4-games-to-2.  With revenge on its mind, we'll grab the points with Boston in this early season rematch.  Indeed, NBA road teams have cashed 61.2% when playing with revenge from a playoff defeat, if it was in the first 10 games of the new season.  That bodes well for Boston tonight.  As does the fact that Boston is 39-11 ATS following an upset loss at the hands of a division rival, if the Celtics were favored by 4+ points in that upset defeat.  With Boston in off a 117-116 home loss to the 76ers on Wednesday, as a 5.5-point favorite, we'll take Boston to bounce back on Friday night.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our Southeast Division Game of the Month is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Orlando Magic.  These two teams met in the Play-In tournament last April, and the Magic blew out the Hawks, 120-95.  We'll take Atlanta to avenge that defeat, as NBA teams have gone 10-2-1 ATS when installed as an underdog, if they were playing with revenge from a Play-In tourney defeat.  Additionally, Atlanta comes into this game off a 138-118 loss to Toronto.  But that 20-point setback has triggered two systems of mine that are 66-17 and 120-65 ATS.  Take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Toronto Raptors.  Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 37 points in their 133-120 wipeout of the Washington Wizards.  Tonight, Milwaukee will travel north-of-the-border to take on Toronto.  We'll take the underdog Bucks, as they're 24-11 ATS as an underdog of 8 or less points at Toronto, including 15-3 ATS if Milwaukee was off a SU win.  Meanwhile, the Raptors are a wallet-breaking 61-90-1 ATS in non-division home games vs. winning foes, if both teams entered off SU wins.  Take Milwaukee.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Golden State Warriors.  The Warriors will look to notch their second straight win after a victory in Los Angeles vs. the Lakers.  But the Nuggets will be a more formidable foe than the Lakers.  Denver has dominated Golden State, as it's 9-1 SU over the three previous seasons.  I look for Nikola Jokic & Co. to maintain their dominance, and will back them tonight in their season opener.  Indeed, Denver has gone 17-7 ATS since 2001 in its season openers, while Golden State is an ugly 1-9 ATS its last nine home openers.  And teams playing their first game against foes that have already played at least one game have gone 39-19-1 ATS as a single-digit underdog.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Oklahoma City.  We played against OKC on Tuesday, and got the $$$ with the Houston Rockets.  And we will once again fade the Thunder tonight.  This is a revenge game for Indiana, which lost in the Finals last season to the Thunder.  And NBA underdogs have cashed 63% the past 46 seasons in their home openers, if they were playing with revenge from a Playoff defeat.  The Pacers are a super 28-9-2 ATS their last 39 as a home underdog (or PK) vs. a foe off a SU win.  Grab the points with Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  Last year, the Thunder went 68-14 SU and was 54-26-3 ATS (including an ATS loss in the In-Season Tourney Championship game).  That was the best point spread record at least since 1990 (when my database starts), and possibly ever.  But that was then, and this is now.  Consider that the Orlando Magic had a 51-30-1 ATS record two seasons ago (a .629 ATS percentage), which was also one of the best ATS records in the last 35 years, but they went just 40-41-1 ATS last season.  So, one should not necessarily expect great things from the Thunder against the spread this year.  Indeed, in last year's Playoffs, OKC did win the title, but also went just 11-12 ATS.  We'll fade the Thunder as a home favorite, and take the Rockets, who are 17-8 ATS their last 25 as a road underdog.  And Houston also falls into a 35-8 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points with the Rockets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana.  The Thunder were 68-14 in the regular season, which was tops on the league.  In the Playoffs, home field advantage is crucial in series that extend to a 7th game.  Indeed, Home teams have won 63 of 90 Game 7s, straight-up since 1990.  Importantly, the Thunder have won 79% of their games this season.  And NBA teams with a win percentage of .777 (or better) have cashed 86% in NBA Game 7s since 1990.  Admittedly, OKC laid an egg in Game 6.  But that was on the road, where OKC has gone 1-9 ATS in the Playoffs.  At home, the Thunder are 9-3 ATS in the Playoffs, and 37-15-1 ATS in the regular season and post-season combined.  We'll lay the points with the Thunder.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, in Game 6 of the NBA Finals, our selection is on the Pacers and Thunder to go UNDER the total.  The Pacers find themselves with their backs against the wall tonight.  They lost Game 5 to fall behind 3-games-to-2, and now face elimination.  It's also the very first time in Indiana's four Playoff series that it has even trailed by a single game.  Then, to add to the pressure tonight, its best player, Tyrese Haliburton, is dealing with a calf strain.  Haliburton will play tonight but the conditions are far from ideal.  Teams (like Indiana) off a loss in Game 5 of the NBA Finals, and facing elimination in Game 6 have gone UNDER the total 67% since 1990.  The Pacers are also 10-6 UNDER when facing elimination, while OKC is 5-3 UNDER when attempting to close out a series.  We'll take Game 6 UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana.  We played on the Pacers in Game 3 and got the $$$ when they upset OKC, 116-107.  That SU/ATS loss now makes OKC 0-8 ATS on the road in this year's Playoffs.  The strange thing is that OKC set the best regular season point spread mark in the NBA since 1990 with a 54-26-3 ATS record.  And they were stellar both at home and on the road (25-13-2 ATS on an opponent's home court; 1-1 ATS on a neutral court in the In-Season Tournament).  So, its 0-8 ATS mark in the Playoffs is a head-scratcher.  We're going to lay the points notwithstanding this 0-8 mark.  The Pacers have been awesome in this Playoffs following a loss (5-0 ATS), and vs. an opponent off a win (9-0 ATS), but they've burned money vs. an opponent off a loss (4-6 ATS, including 1-3 ATS at home).  Finally, the Thunder are 36-15 ATS off a SU loss when playing a .611 (or better) foe, including 8-0 ATS their last eight.  Take OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on Game 3 between Indiana and Oklahoma City to go UNDER the total.  The Oddsmakers have installed a relatively-high over/under line for this series so far.  Game 2 squeaked over the total of 228 when OKC won, 123-107.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game tonight, as NBA teams have gone 23-6 UNDER the total in games with O/U lines north of 223, following a Playoff defeat in which they gave up 122+ points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Oklahoma City.  We played on OKC and its two home games to start this series, but will switch gears and grab the points with the Pacers at home tonight.  When you look at how the Thunder are performing on the road in the Playoffs, compared to its home games, there is a stark difference.  At home, the Thunder are 8-3 ATS and have covered the point spread by an average of 11.31 ppg.  But on the road, it is a horrid 0-7 ATS and has failed to cover the point spread by an average of 13.64 ppg.  The Pacers, meanwhile, are 5-3 ATS at home in the Playoffs, and have covered by an average of 3.68 ppg.  Even better:  Indiana is a dominant 12-0 ATS in the Playoffs when playing with revenge from a Playoff defeat by more than 12 points.  With Indy off a 123-107 loss in Game 2, we'll grab the points with Indy tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana.  The Thunder have been dominant at home this season -- both in the regular season and the playoffs.  OKC was 35-6 SU and 28-12-1 ATS at home in the regular season, and is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS at home in the Playoffs (43-8 SU and 35-15-1 ATS combined).  Unfortunately, the Thunder blew a 15-point, 4th quarter lead and lost Game 1, 111-110.  We'll take the Thunder to rebound tonight, as they're 12-0 ATS their last 12 (and 40-15-3 ATS their last 58) when playing a .611 (or better) foe, if the Thunder were not off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  NBA teams off upset losses have gone 31-22-2 ATS in the NBA Finals.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana.  The Thunder set the record this season (at least since 1990, the year my database goes back to) for best point spread percentage.  Including the in-season tournament, OKC went 54-26-3 ATS in the regular season (67% ATS).  It's true that the Thunder are just 7-9 ATS in the post-season.  But that includes an 0-7 ATS mark on the road in the playoffs; at home OKC has been terrific, going 7-2 ATS.  And at home in the regular + post-season combined, the Thunder are 35-14-1 ATS this season, including 13-1-1 ATS vs. Eastern Conference foes.  (Dating back to 2022, OKC is 32-11-2 ATS at home vs. the Eastern Conference.)  I won't fade these numbers.  Lay the points with the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 1 between Oklahoma City and Indiana.  The Thunder come into this game off back to back high-scoring wins to eliminate the Timberwolves:  128-126 and 124-94.  Off those two offensive outputs, we'll look for a relatively low-scoring game on Thursday.  Indeed, NBA teams have gone UNDER 65.6% since 1990 following back to back games where they tallied 124+ points.  OKC has gone 21-14 UNDER its last 35 home playoff games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in Game 6 between Indiana and New York.  Game 5 was won by New York, 111-94, and went under the total of 222.5 by 17.5 points.  The Pacers have now gone 27-17 Under the total when attempting to close out a playoff series, while the Knicks are 52-36-5 Under as a road underdog in the Playoffs.  Additionally, Game 6s in the Conference Finals, with O/U lines north of 206, have gone Under 61%.  We'll look for another low-scoring game on Saturday.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Knicks enter Game 5 down 3-games-to-1 after dropping Game 4, 130-121.  We'll lay the points with New York, as home teams down 3-games-to-1 have cashed 62% in Game 5 of a 7-game series after losing Game 4 on the road.  Additionally, New York is 37-18 ATS as a revenge-minded single-digit favorite, while Indiana is 1-8 ATS when up 2 games in a playoff series.  Lay the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 4 between New York and Indiana.  We played on the Knicks in Game 3, and they rewarded us with a 106-100 upset win.  That game stayed under the total of 223.5 by 17.5 points.  The oddsmakers have moved this number south of 223.5, but it's not enough of an adjustment.  The Knicks are 19-11-2 Under on the road in the playoffs, while the Pacers are 11-3 Under in the Playoffs following an upset loss.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks plus the points over Indiana.  The Knicks are in a virtual-must-win situation tonight.  Down 2-games-to-none, they can't afford to go down by 3 games, as no NBA team (in 159 series) has ever climbed out of a 3-0 hole.  We'll take New York, as it's an awesome 71-28 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when matched up against a .500 (or better) foe.  Meanwhile, the Pacers are 1-7 ATS when up exactly two games in a playoff series.  And favorites off upset wins have cashed just 42% in the semifinals since 1990.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder have had a home/road dichotomy in this year's playoffs.  At home, OKC has gone 4-2 ATS, but on the road it's a woeful 0-5 ATS.  Tonight, they're favored at Minnesota.  And we'll happily grab the points, as Minny is 28-7 ATS as a home dog vs. a .581 (or better) division rival.  It's true that OKC won two blowouts at home vs. the Wolves.  Unfortunately, OKC is 1-12 ATS in the Playoffs from the 2nd round forward off back to back wins, if it defeated its opponent by double-digits in the previous game.  And .720 (or better) NBA teams have covered just 2 of 15 in the playoffs after back to back ATS wins to start a series.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Indiana.  The Pacers stormed back in the final 3 minutes from a 14-point deficit to stun the Knicks, 138-135, as a 4.5-point road underdog at Madison Square Garden.  And that triumph was Indy's 3rd straight upset win in these Playoffs.  We'll fade the Pacers in Game 2, as underdogs have cashed just 37% since 1990 in the Playoffs when they were off 3+ upset wins.  Even better:  New York is a solid 37-17 ATS as a revenge-minded, single-digit favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder trounced the T-Wolves, 114-88, on Tuesday to take a 1-0 lead in this semi-final series.  We'll take Minnesota, as Western Conference teams are 34-18-2 ATS when down 1-0 in a series.  Additionally, OKC is a dreadful 15-46 ATS off back-to-back wins, if it was playing a .500 (or better) revenge-minded foe off a loss which it defeated by 10+ points in the season's prior meeting.  And Minnesota is a super 33-15-2- ATS as an underdog (or PK) when playing with revenge.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver.  The reason teams want home court advantage in the Playoffs is for a decisive Game 7.  And home teams have had a distinct advantage in these games.  Since 1990, they've gone 62-27, straight-up.  And if they were favored by more than 3 points, then they've gone 44-29-2 ATS.  Admittedly, the Nuggets have covered the spread in each of the last 4 games.  But NBA teams off 3+ ATS losses have gone 12-2 SU and 10-3-1 ATS in Game 7s.  Even better: the Nuggets are a nasty 46-108 ATS on the road off a point spread win, if their foe was off a loss and failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game.  OKC is a super 11-3 SU and 12-2 ATS at home in the playoffs following a double-digit loss.  And it is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS its last seven at home off 3 ATS losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 6 between Denver and Oklahoma City.  We played on the UNDERS in Game 3 (our NBA Total of the Year) and Game 5, and got the $$$ in each.  And we will come right back with the Under in this Game 6.  The first two games of this series were very high-scoring, as they combined for 240 and 255 points. But all three games since have gone Under the total.  Game 3 only went for 217 -- and that game also went into Overtime.  Next, Game 4 saw the two teams manage just 179 points, and went under the total of 228 by 49.  Then, on Tuesday, the Under covered by 4.5 points, as OKC won, 112-105.  We'll look for the UNDER to come in for a 4th straight game on Thursday, as these two teams have now gone Under in 10 of the last 14 meetings.  And the Nuggets are also 9-2 UNDER in the Playoffs following a loss, while the Thunder are 24-9 UNDER in the Playoffs following a win. Take the UNDER in Game 6.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over New York.  The Knicks are now in the driver's seat to represent the Eastern Conference in the NBA Finals.  Boston's Jayson Tatum had surgery to repair his ruptured achilles, and will likely not return until the 2026-27 season.  And the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers were bounced from the Playoffs by the #4-seeded Indiana Pacers.  Although it will be quite difficult for the Celtics to win the next three games in this series, they certainly can win tonight.  And I believe they will rally as a team for this first game without their injured superstar.  Boston is 27-10 ATS off an upset Playoff defeat, including 7-1 ATS vs. a division rival.  Lay the points with Boston at home in Game 5.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

On Tuesday, at 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Oklahoma City/Denver game.  The first two games of this series went for 240 and 255 points.  We then had our NBA Total of the Year in Game 3, and that game only went for 217 -- in OVERTIME!  Then, Game 4 was even lower scoring, with just 179 points tallied.  So, it went under the total of 228 by a whopping 49 points.  We'll look for the UNDER to come in for a 3rd straight game on Tuesday, as these two teams have played 9 of their last 13 games UNDER the total.  And the Nuggets are 8-2 UNDER in the Playoffs following a loss, while the Thunder are 23-9 UNDER in the Playoffs following a win.  Take the UNDER.

At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana.  The Cavs were blown out by 20 points on Sunday night, and need to win three straight games to move on in the Playoffs.  They will have two of those three games at home, including this Game 5.  We'll fade Indiana, as teams seeded #4 (or worse) have covered just 39% in the playoffs since 1990 after a blowout win over their opponent by 20+ points, including 0-6-1 ATS their last seven.  Even better:  the Pacers are a poor 11-28 ATS off a home blowout win by 20+ points.  Lay the points in Game 5 with Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.