04-22-22 |
Heat v. Hawks +2 |
Top |
110-111 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Miami Heat. Miami bested Atlanta by 10 points in Game #2. We'll take Atlanta here, at home, in Game #3, as it's 96-55 ATS at home when playing with rest, and revenge from a double-digit loss. Take the Hawks.
|
04-21-22 |
Warriors v. Nuggets +2 |
Top |
118-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Golden State. The Nuggets come into this game off 3 straight point spread defeats. But Denver is a spectacular 29-8 ATS off 3 (or more) ATS losses, if it was matched up against a .400 (or better) foe, including 9-1 ATS when playing with revenge. Grab the points with Mike Malone's men.
|
04-21-22 |
Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 224.5 |
Top |
118-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Denver/Golden State game. The Warriors blew out Denver in the first two games -- both played in San Francisco -- by scores of 123-107 and 126-106. The Warriors have been installed as a road favorite tonight, and have gone UNDER the total in 25 of 37 games as a road favorite. Additionally, NBA teams off back to back games in which they scored 123+ points have gone UNDER 67.7% in the Playoffs since 1990. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-21-22 |
Mavs v. Jazz -6.5 |
Top |
126-118 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Dallas. We played on the Mavericks in Game 2, and were rewarded with a 110-104 upset victory. Unfortunately for Dallas, it's 13-34 ATS vs. .333 (or better) revenge-minded foes, if Dallas won its previous game. Take Utah to bounce back on Thursday.
|
04-19-22 |
Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 |
Top |
96-124 |
Win
|
100 |
37 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Minnesota. Memphis was the league's #1 point spread team this season, with a 52-29-1 ATS record (64.1% ATS). But it comes into this Game 2 off back to back SU/ATS losses, as it fell to Boston, 139-110, in its final regular season game, and lost to Minnesota, 130-117, on Saturday. We'll take Memphis to bounce back tonight, as NBA teams with a .620 (or better) ATS win percentage have cashed 68.9% at home in the post-season since 1990. And favorites of -4 (or more) points off back to back losses by 13+ points have cashed 75% in the post-season since 1990. Indeed, we just saw this situation last Wednesday when the New Orleans Pelicans (-5) defeated the San Antonio Spurs, 113-103, after losing their two previous games by 27 and 21 points. Finally, favorites have cashed 88% in the playoffs if they gave up 123+ points in back to back games. Take Memphis minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-19-22 |
Hawks +7.5 v. Heat |
Top |
105-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Miami Heat. These two teams have met twice over the previous 11 days, with the Hawks losing by 4 and 24 points. We'll play on the double-revenge-minded road underdog tonight, as #1-seeds (like Miami) stumble in Game 2 of a series more often than not after posting a blowout win in Game 1. Indeed, #1-seeded teams have covered just 28% as a favorite of 6+ points against .520 (or better) foes following a 6-point (or better) win to open a series. That doesn't bode well for Erik Spoelstra's men tonight. Nor does the fact the Heat are an awful 26-55, 32% ATS at home off a division home win. Grab the points with Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-18-22 |
Jazz v. Mavs +5.5 |
Top |
104-110 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Utah Jazz. In last Sunday's final regular season game, Jason Kidd's gameplan was to play Luka Doncic for three quarters against the San Antonio Spurs. But with less than three minutes to go in the 3rd quarter, his All-Star strained his left calf. Sometimes, one's best-laid plans go awry. The Mavericks put up a game fight in Saturday's 99-93 loss, but had poor offensive execution, and missed too many free throws. Certainly, they'll have to be better in those areas tonight. The good news for Dallas is that underdogs off a SU/ATS loss that are down 1 game in a playoff series have covered 57.3% since 1990. And the Mavericks are 19-8 ATS as an underdog off a loss when they've trailed in a playoff series. Take the Mavericks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-17-22 |
Pelicans v. Suns -10 |
Top |
99-110 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over New Orleans. The Pelicans are (by far) the worst team in the playoffs. They were 36-46 in the regular season, but were able to sneak into the playoffs by defeating a Los Angeles Clippers team which was without its All-Star, Paul George, due to COVID-19. Unfortunately for the Pelicans, Phoenix -- the league's #1 team with 64 wins -- won't be missing any key personnel this afternoon. Even worse for the Pelicans: it's playing this game with just 1 day off, while the Suns have been off for 6 days. And .650 (or worse) teams have covered just 26% of playoff games since 1990 if their opponent had at least 5 more days of rest. Moreover, NBA teams with a losing record are 51-92-7 ATS their last 150 playoff games. And teams with a win percentage at least .325 worse than their opponent have gone 0-8 SU/ATS in the opening game of a playoff series. Lay the points with the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-10-22 |
Spurs v. Mavs -9 |
Top |
120-130 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over San Antonio. The Spurs' chase for the #9 slot officially ended with last night's loss at home to the Golden State Warriors. With nothing to play for tonight, we'll fade Gregg Popovich's crew in Dallas. The Mavericks still aspire to get to the #3 position, which would happen with a win vs. San Antone, and a loss by the Warriors in New Orleans. Since February 4, Dallas is 22-7 SU and 21-8 ATS. And it's 24-3 SU and 18-9 ATS its last 27 when laying 9+ points. The Mavericks blew out Portland by 50 points in its last game. And NBA favorites off late-season wins (final 11 games of the season) by > 36 points have gone 28-0 SU and 20-7-1 ATS, including a perfect 7-0-1 ATS in their final home game of the season. Lay the points with the Mavericks. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
|
04-10-22 |
Thunder v. Clippers -10 |
Top |
88-138 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Clips continue to roll as we end the season. Last night, they blew out Sacramento here, at home, 117-98. And they're clearly on a mission, as their 4-game win streak started with a 153-119 victory AT MILWAUKEE -- in a game Paul George didn't even play! Los Angeles is now 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS, with its only ATS defeat coming against the Suns, when Phoenix had to outscore the Clippers, 48-26, in the fourth quarter just to get the cover. Still, Los Angeles played great for most of that game, as it even went on a 21-0 run to establish a huge lead. Tonight, the Clippers will close out the season with a game against 24-57 Oklahoma City, which has long since been eliminated from playoff contention. OKC comes into this game off a 120-101 loss at the Los Angeles Lakers. And the Lakers had dropped eight straight games prior to that contest. We'll lay the points, as NBA teams with a win percentage > .300 have gone 71.8% ATS since 2009 in the season's final regular season game vs. foes with a win percentage < .300. Take the Clippers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-10-22 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -9.5 |
Top |
146-141 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. This will not be a star-studded affair. Denver's MVP Nikola Jokic is questionable to play tonight, while Russell Westbrook, LeBron James, and Anthony Davis are all out for the Lakers. The Nuggets come into this game off a 122-109 blowout win over Memphis, on Thursday. They currently reside in the 6th seed, and can get as high as #5 with a win tonight, and an improbable loss by Utah vs. Portland. But it's extremely unlikely, and it may also not even be desirable by Denver, given that it might prefer the 2-3-6-7 pathway rather than the 1-4-5-8 path (so as to avoid playing Phoenix until the conference finals, at the earliest). But regardless of Denver's incentive, we're going to lay the points tonight against the hapless Lakers. This season, the Lakers were one of the biggest disappointments in league history. They were tabbed by many to be one of the top 3 teams in the entire NBA, but wound up missing the playoffs entirely. So, with this final game being played on the road, and also being Los Angeles' 3rd game in four days, we'll fade them, and lay the points with Denver. Indeed, NBA road underdogs have gone 18-38 ATS in their final game of the regular season, if they were playing their 3rd game in four days, and their opponent was rested and off an ATS win. Take Denver minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-10-22 |
Bulls v. Wolves -7 |
Top |
124-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Chicago. The Bulls are 0-4 SU/ATS coming into this final regular season game. We played against Chicago on Friday, and it was upset at home by Charlotte, 133-117. That upset defeat doesn't bode well for Chicago tonight, as winning teams, off an upset loss in their final regular season home game, are a horrid 21.4% as road underdogs vs. other winning teams. Take Minnesota minus the points.
|
04-10-22 |
Raptors v. Knicks +5 |
Top |
94-105 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Toronto. The Knicks are a home underdog to end the regular season, after blowing out Washington, 114-92, on Friday. Since 1990, home dogs have cashed 58% in their final game of the regular season, if they were off a SU win in their previous game. Take the Knicks + the points.
|
04-10-22 |
Pistons v. 76ers -14.5 |
Top |
106-118 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Detroit. Philly is 50-31, and still has an outside shot at the #3 seed in the Eastern conference (it would need a win coupled with a Celtics loss). We'll lay the points, as Philly will be playing this game with revenge from a 102-94 loss at Detroit 10 days ago. But revenge-minded favorites of more than 12 points have gone 9-0 ATS since 1990 if it was the final game of the regular season for both teams. Lay the points.
|
04-10-22 |
Wizards v. Hornets -11 |
Top |
108-124 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Washington. The Hornets are in 10th place, but are still alive to move up to 7th place with a win (they would need the Cavaliers, Nets and Hawks to lose for that to happen). The upshot, of course, is that Charlotte will play this game to win. Washington, meanwhile, is 35-46, and out of the playoff picture. The Wizards were blown out in each of their last two games -- 118-103 by the Hawks, and 114-92 by the Knicks. We'll go against Washington this afternoon, as NBA teams off back to back 15-point losses have covered just 20% since 1990 in their final regular season game, when matched up against a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take the Hornets minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-10-22 |
Pacers v. Nets -15.5 |
Top |
126-134 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Indiana. We played on Brooklyn against Cleveland on Friday, and will come right back with them this afternoon. The Nets will secure the #7 slot with a victory, while the Pacers will surely be happy to see this horrible season end. Indiana has lost its last nine games, and has given up more than 120 points in each of its last eight, including a 133-120 defeat at Philadelphia yesterday. We'll fade the Pacers as underdogs have covered just 21% since 1990 in their final regular season game after giving up 125+ points in their previous game, and playing an opponent off a straight-up win. Take Brooklyn minus the points.
|
04-08-22 |
Suns v. Jazz -2.5 |
Top |
111-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Phoenix. After a horrible 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS run, the Jazz snapped out of their funk with an overtime win against Memphis, and a 36-point blowout victory over Oklahoma City. Tonight, they'll set their sights on the league's best team. And Utah will no doubt want to play well -- if only to just boost their confidence -- given they might match-up with these Suns in the quarter-finals. Utah is 46-24 ATS at home when playing with rest off an 18-point (or greater) win. And the Jazz also fall into a 61% ATS "Last Home Game" system of mine which plays on certain .375 (or better) teams in their final home game, if they were off a SU win. Take the Jazz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-08-22 |
Hornets +2.5 v. Bulls |
Top |
133-117 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Chicago Bulls. Chicago is -- for all intents and purposes -- locked into the #6 seed in the Eastern conference, as the Raptors will nail down the #5 seed tonight when it plays the 20-60 Houston Rockets (a game which starts 30 minutes prior to this contest). But Charlotte can rise as high as the #7 seed, so it will be highly motivated to play this game from start to finish. The Hornets blew out Orlando, 128-101, last night, and fall into 116-69 and 91-51 ATS late-season systems of mine that play on certain teams off wins. In contrast, Chicago comes into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS home losing streak. But teams on 3-game SU/ATS losing streaks are a soft 36% as a favorite in the final four games of a regular season, including a horrid 4-21-1 ATS if they were playing their 3rd game in four nights (which Chicago is). Take Charlotte + the points.
|
04-08-22 |
Cavs v. Nets -6.5 |
Top |
107-118 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Cleveland. Brooklyn (finally) showed some intestinal fortitude when it roared back from a 67-50 halftime deficit to beat New York, 110-98, on Wednesday. On the heels of that 60-31 2nd half, we'll lay the points with Brooklyn in this crucial match-up against Cleveland tonight. This game will determine the #7 seed (assuming Brooklyn can beat the hapless Indiana Pacers on Sunday), so both teams will be fully motivated. But Cleveland is currently in a 2-8 ATS tailspin, including an upset loss at Orlando in their last game. And that doesn't bode well tonight, as nba teams have cashed just 37% since 1990 in their final road game, if they were off back to back losses, and their opponent was rested, and off back to back wins. Take the Nets.
|
04-07-22 |
Lakers v. Warriors -12.5 |
Top |
112-128 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State minus the points over Los Angeles. The 2021-22 Lakers have been the most disappointing team in recent memory. Pegged by many to be a Top 3 NBA team, the Lakers flamed out, and failed to make the Playoffs entirely. It's true Los Angeles sustained injuries this season. But so did Golden State, yet the Warriors powered through, and currently reside in the #3 spot out West. Golden State's on a 3-game ATS win streak, and has won its last 2 games, straight-up. However, Dallas is right behind Golden State, and sits just a half-game behind, so I expect the Warriors to be ultra-focused tonight. The Warriors did lose their previous game to the Lakers. But they're 93-60 ATS when playing with same-season revenge, including 10-1 ATS their last 11 at home . And they're 38-24 ATS off 3 ATS wins. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-07-22 |
Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4.5 |
Top |
109-122 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Memphis. The Nuggets are still incentivized to win, as Minnesota is chasing down their necks for the #6 spot, while Denver can still catch Utah for the #5 spot. This is Memphis' final road game of the season. The Grizzlies are locked into the #2 seed in the Western conference, so they don't have the same incentive as Denver (but, of course, that's not to say the Grizzlies won't continue to play hard). Regardless, since 1990, playoff-bound NBA teams that were off a SU loss in their previous game, have covered just 37% in their final road game of the season, if they were installed as an underdog. Lay the points with Denver.
|
04-07-22 |
Celtics v. Bucks -5.5 |
Top |
121-127 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Boston. Each of these teams enters tonight's game with 30 losses, so the winner will have a leg-up on a higher seed in the Playoffs. This is Milwaukee's final home game of the season, NBA teams are 128-96-4 ATS when playing their final home game, and priced from -3.5 to -7 points (Milwaukee is 9-2 SU and 8-2-1 ATS in this situation). Take Milwaukee.
|
04-06-22 |
Suns v. Clippers -140 |
Top |
109-113 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Phoenix. The Suns played last night, and defeated the Lakers in Phoenix. But off that win, we'll fade the Suns against a revenge-minded Clippers group looking to reach the .500 mark. Los Angeles has won its last two games -- both in impressive fashion. They blew out Milwaukee on the road, 153-119. And then came home to whip New Orleans 119-100. The Clippers already defeated the Suns here at Crypto.com Arena this season, and are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 home regular season meetings vs. Phoenix. Finally, the Suns fall into a negative 36.5% ATS late-season system of mine which goes against certain unrested teams off a win, when playing a revenge-minded foe. Lay the points with Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-05-22 |
Lakers v. Suns -11.5 |
Top |
110-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Suns have rolled to the best record in the league. They're 62-16 with four games to go. But Phoenix was upset by the Oklahoma City Thunder in its last game, and that was its second straight loss, overall. And it also was its 3rd straight ATS defeat. But Phoenix is 5-0 ATS this season off 3 ATS losses. And it's 63-38 ATS off 3 point spread losses when it owned a winning record. The Suns have won six straight vs. the Lakers, and the last five have been by 29, 18, 10, 13 and 30 points. Take the Suns minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-05-22 |
Spurs +7.5 v. Nuggets |
Top |
116-97 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Denver. The Spurs are closing in on an improbable berth in the Play-in round. Prior to the season, most pegged the Spurs to win between 24 and 28 games this season. But, with four to play, San Antonio is 33-45, and is on the doorstep of clinching the #10 seed (with an outside shot of finishing #9). The Spurs are 14-5 ATS as road underdogs of +6 (or more) points this season (and 27-10 ATS their last 37 in this role). Take San Antonio + the points.
|
04-05-22 |
Grizzlies v. Jazz -5.5 |
Top |
115-121 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Memphis. Certainly, these two teams have had contrasting seasons. Utah had hopes to repeat its strong 2020-21 season, where it owned the #1 record in the entire league (52-20). But the Jazz have struggled, and are in 6th in the West, with a 46-32 record. In contrast, the Grizzlies were 8th in the West last season, with a 38-34 record, but have taken a massive leap forward this year. The Grizzlies own the NBA's #2 record (55-23), and also are the league's best team against the point spread (65.3% ATS). Memphis, perhaps, had its best game of the season this past Friday when it upset the league's best team -- Phoenix -- 122-114, as a 7.5-point home underdog. But off that emotional win, we'll fade the Grizzlies on the road tonight, as they fall into a negative 146-234 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off wins over > .800 foes. The fact remains that Memphis is locked into the #2 spot out West, and has less incentive to win tonight than does Utah. The Jazz are in a tight battle with Denver for the #5 slot, and can also move as high as #4, and fall as low as #7. Take the Jazz minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-05-22 |
Blazers +3.5 v. Thunder |
Top |
94-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the season on Sunday, when they shocked Phoenix, 117-96, as a 14-point home underdog. But tonight the Thunder aren't an underdog -- they're favored against Portland (which has lost 7 straight). And favored teams have covered just 33% since 1990 off an upset win as a 13-point (or greater underdog), if they were matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Trail Blazers + the points.
|
04-05-22 |
Bucks -4.5 v. Bulls |
Top |
127-106 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Chicago. The Bucks come into tonight's game off back to back upset home losses -- to the Clippers and Mavericks. But Milwaukee is a fantastic 42-10 SU and 38-14 ATS in the regular season as a favorite of -3.5 to -11 points, if it was off back to back defeats, including a perfect 9-0 ATS in division games. Lay the points with the Bucks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-03-22 |
Pelicans v. Clippers -2.5 |
Top |
100-119 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over New Orleans. The Clippers welcomed All-Star Paul George back on Tuesday, and they defeated Utah, 121-115. We played on Los Angeles in that home game, and we'll back the Clippers again tonight, at home. Los Angeles comes into this game off the highest-scoring victory in the NBA against a winning opponent the past two seasons. Los Angeles walloped Milwaukee, 153-119, and home teams have covered 71 percent since 1990 after scoring more than 148 points in a win. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-03-22 |
Blazers +14.5 v. Spurs |
Top |
92-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over San Antonio. We played on San Antonio two nights ago, and were rewarded with a 130-111 blowout win over these Trail Blazers. But we'll take the double-digits with Portland in the rematch, as double-digit road underdogs have covered 68.2% in the regular season over the last 31 years, if the two teams were playing the 2nd of back-to-back games, and our underdog lost SU/ATS in the prior meeting. Take the points with Portland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-02-22 |
Nets v. Hawks +2 |
Top |
115-122 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Brooklyn Nets. These two teams are tied at 40-37 with five games remaining. So, this game will go a long way toward determining each team's playoff seed. Atlanta has won and covered its last four games, while Brooklyn has lost its last three in a row to the point spread. And that's key, as home teams have cashed 65% since 1990 in the final five regular season games, if they were on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak. Even better: Atlanta plays this game with revenge from 2 losses to Brooklyn earlier in the season. And winning teams, off back to back wins, have cashed 65% since 1990 as home underdogs when playing with double-revenge. Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-01-22 |
Pelicans v. Lakers -1.5 |
Top |
114-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers over the New Orleans Pelicans. It's "do-or-die" for Anthony Davis & Co. The Lakers will likely have to go 4-2 or 5-1 over their final 6 games in order to leapfrog San Antonio for the #10 seed in the Western conference. But it will be a tall task, as the Lakers have road games vs. the Phoenix Suns, Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets among their final six games. So, this game is a virtual "must-win." We'll take Los Angeles, as it falls into a 133-95 ATS revenge system of mine. Additionally, LeBron James' teams are 19-11 ATS their last 30 off 4+ losses. And they've cashed 61% in his career as a home favorite off back to back losses, when playing with revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-01-22 |
Blazers v. Spurs -14.5 |
Top |
111-130 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Portland. The Spurs come into tonight's game off a heart-breaking loss to Memphis. But the Spurs are still 4-1 SU/ATS their last five games, and currently reside in 10th place in the Western conference, which would earn them a spot in the Play-in tournament. San Antonio also owns the tie-breaker over 11th-seeded Los Angeles, and has the easier remaining schedule, to boot. This will be the first of back-to-back home games vs. the injury-riddled Trail Blazers, so it should be two games in the win column for the Spurs. When the Spurs and Blazers met nine days ago in Portland, it was a blowout from the start, as the Spurs sprinted out to a 45-27 lead after 1 quarter en route to a 37-point win. Unfortunately for Portland, two of its starters in that game (Trendon Watford, Justise Winslow) are now injured and won't suit up tonight. The Spurs are 50-0 SU and 35-14-1 ATS when favored by more than 13 points off a straight-up loss. Lay the points with San Antonio.
|
04-01-22 |
Mavs -8.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
103-135 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Washington Wizards. The last time Dallas had home court advantage in the opening Playoff round (i.e., seeded 4th or better) was in 2011, when it won the NBA Championship. So, the Mavericks are on a mission to earn a high seed, and currently are 2 games ahead of Denver and Utah for the all-important home court advantage in round 1. Since New Year's Eve, Dallas is 32-11 SU and 28-15 ATS. And it's 10-1 ATS its last 11 (and 24-9-2 ATS its last 35) on the road when playing with revenge. With the Mavs, indeed, playing with revenge from a 6-point loss to Washington earlier in the season, we'll lay the points tonight.
|
03-31-22 |
Lakers v. Jazz -12 |
Top |
109-122 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Los Angeles. We played against the Jazz on Tuesday night, and were rewarded with an upset win by the LA Clippers. That was Utah's fifth straight defeat. But all four were on the road. Tonight's game is back in Salt Lake City, where the Jazz have gone 142-97-5 ATS off back to back ATS losses when not favored by 13.5 points. Additionally, the Jazz were defeated twice by Los Angeles earlier this season, and fall into several of my better NBA revenge systems, with records of 87-48, 58-32 and 155-98 ATS. Finally, NBA teams with a win percentage > .529 have cashed 63% at home off 5+ losses, when not getting more than 2 points. Lay the points with Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-30-22 |
Suns -5.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
107-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Golden State. The Suns come into tonight's match-up on an 8-game win streak, and refuse to take the pedal off the metal. Phoenix has won its last eight games by 29, 16, 17, 27, 3, 9, 10 and 10 points for a 7-1 ATS record. We'll lay the points with the Suns tonight, as they're 18-0 straight-up, and 17-1 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the year! Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-30-22 |
Grizzlies v. Spurs +6.5 |
Top |
112-111 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Memphis. San Antonio has passed the Lakers for the 10th overall seed in the Western conference (the two teams are tied at 31-44, but the Spurs own the tie-breaker). So, this game is hugely critical for the Spurs' aspiration to reach the Play-in round. In contrast, this game has relatively little meaning for Memphis, as it is virtually locked into the #2 position, as it is 5 games ahead of Golden State, with just six to play. The Spurs lost at Memphis by 13 points four weeks ago. But the Spurs are 36-21-1 ATS at home in the regular season when playing with revenge. Take San Antonio.
|
03-30-22 |
Heat +4.5 v. Celtics |
Top |
106-98 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston. With just 12 days left in the season, there's a 4-team logjam at the top of the Eastern conference. Miami sits in first, a half-game ahead of Milwaukee, 1 game ahead of Boston, and 1.5 games ahead of Philadelphia. So, tonight's game will go a long way toward determining the eventual Playoff seeds. We'll grab the points with Miami, as it is 16-6 ATS as an underdog this season, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. foes with a .610 (or better) win percentage. Take the Heat.
|
03-29-22 |
Jazz v. Clippers +1.5 |
Top |
115-121 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Utah Jazz. Paul George has been upgraded to 'probable' to play tonight, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on the homestanding Clippers. George (24.7 ppg; 7.1 rpg; 5.5 apg) has been absent since December 22, and the Clippers have faltered badly. With George in the lineup this season, the Clippers actually have had a winning record; without him, they haven't. He missed both games earlier this season at Utah, and the Jazz blew out Los Angeles in those two games. But this game is at home, where the Clippers are 4-0 SU/ATS the last four meetings, with the average victory by 14 points. Utah is an awful 2-18 SU and 3-16-1 ATS on the road when the Jazz weren't favored by 3 or more points. Take the Clippers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-28-22 |
Spurs -6.5 v. Rockets |
Top |
123-120 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Houston. After the Spurs upset New Orleans on Saturday, and the Los Angeles Lakers were defeated by the same Pelicans team yesterday, the Spurs are in prime position to pass the Lakers for the #10 seed, and a spot in the Play-in round. San Antonio currently sits just one game behind Los Angeles with eight to play. But the Spurs have the far easier schedule, and also own the tie-breaker. Of San Antonio's final eight games, three are against teams outside the Playoff picture (including this game vs. Houston tonight), while the Lakers have just one game against a non-contending team. We'll lay the points with the Spurs, who are 3-0 SU/ATS their last three games. Meanwhile, Houston is 0-5 SU/ATS its last five vs. foes in the Playoff chase, and 2-17 SU and 5-14 ATS its last 19 vs. such foes. Finally, the Spurs are 17-6-1 ATS on the division road, including 9-1 ATS off a win in their previous game, while Houston is 6-14 ATS at home vs. division rivals. Lay the points with San Antonio. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-28-22 |
Kings v. Heat -12.5 |
Top |
100-123 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Sacramento. The Heat are in a major swoon right now, as they've lost four straight games, and have failed to cover the spread in seven straight. This downturn has brought Miami back to the rest of the Eastern conference pack, and there is currently a four-way tie in the Loss column, as each of Boston (47-28), Miami (47-28), Milwaukee (46-28) and Philadelphia (46-28) have 28 losses. The good news for the Heat tonight is that they're relatively healthy, with just G Tyler Herro (20.8 ppg) questionable to play, due to a knee injury. In contrast, Sacramento will be without De'Aaron Fox (23.2 ppg) and Domantas Sabonis (18.9 ppg). Miami is 56-28 ATS off back to back losses, when playing an opponent off a SU win, including 10-0-1 ATS its last 11 when playing an opponent with a .420 (or worse) win percentage. Take Miami minus the points.
|
03-28-22 |
Celtics v. Raptors -3.5 |
Top |
112-115 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Boston. The Raptors will be at an advantage tonight at home vs. an unrested Boston squad which had to play on Sunday vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves. Toronto is an awesome 32-9 ATS as a home favorite in the regular season vs. Atlantic division rivals, including a perfect 10-0 ATS vs. .572 (or better) foes. Take Toronto.
|
03-27-22 |
76ers +5.5 v. Suns |
Top |
104-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Phoenix. The Sixers play this game with revenge from a 5-point upset loss to the Suns last month. We'll grab the points, as Philly is 48-29 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss. Even better: the Suns enter this evening's contest off back to back upset wins. But .745 (or better) NBA teams off back to back upsets have covered just 20 of 60 home games when favored by 3+ points. Take Philly + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-26-22 |
Rockets v. Blazers +4 |
Top |
115-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Houston. This is a rematch of a game played last night -- also here, in Portland. The Rockets blew out the Blazers, 125-106, but we'll take the home dog to get the victory tonight. Portland is a solid 44-15 ATS in non-division games when priced from -2.5 to +6, if it owned a W/L percentage less than .380. And the Blazers are also 98-63 ATS as a home dog of < 5 points. Meanwhile, Houston is a woeful 18-35 ATS as a road favorite vs. losing foes, if the Rockets won/covered as a road favorite in their previous game. Take the Trail Blazers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-26-22 |
Nets -3.5 v. Heat |
Top |
110-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Miami. Our preseason futures pick on the Nets to win the NBA title received some welcome news this week when the State of New York lifted the vaccine mandate for pro athletes and performers. Now, G Kyrie Irving will be allowed to play at home, in Brooklyn, in the Playoffs. There are still a few regular season games to be played, and the Nets are jockeying for playoff positioning as the season winds down. The eighth-seeded Nets lost at home to the #1-seeded Heat, 113-107, earlier this month. We'll take Kevin Durant and Co. to avenge that loss, as Brooklyn is 41-14 ATS on the road when playing with revenge against an opponent with a better record. Take the Nets minus the points.
|
03-26-22 |
Bucks v. Grizzlies -1.5 |
Top |
102-127 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Milwaukee. Memphis lost at Milwaukee by 12 points earlier this season. We'll take the Grizzlies in this rematch, as they're a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when playing with revenge from a road loss. And they're 27-6 ATS at home when playing with revenge, if they weren't favored by more than 2 points. Take Memphis.
|
03-26-22 |
Bulls v. Cavs -2 |
Top |
98-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over Chicago. The Bulls, Cavaliers and Raptors are locked into a tight battle in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Chicago sits in 5th place, while Cleveland and Toronto are tied for 6th, just 1 game behind. This race is important because the team which finishes with the worst record will be seeded 7th, and forced to win a game in the Play-in Round to make the playoffs. We'll take the homestanding Cavaliers, as Chicago is 5-18-1 ATS its last 24 road games, including 0-9 ATS its last nine. And Cleveland is 21-12-2 ATS its last 35 home games. Take the Cavs.
|
03-26-22 |
Spurs +6.5 v. Pelicans |
Top |
107-103 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over New Orleans. The Pelicans blew out San Antonio, 124-91, eight days ago in the Alamo City. We'll take the Spurs to avenge that defeat, as San Antone is 39-18 ATS when playing with revenge from a 22-point (or worse) defeat. Take the Spurs + the points.
|
03-25-22 |
Mavs v. Wolves -2 |
Top |
95-116 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Dallas. The T-Wolves lost a road game to Dallas just four days ago, 110-108. And, then, it also lost its next game, here at home, to the Phoenix Suns. We'll take Minnesota to avenge that defeat against Dallas, as it falls into a 126-69 ATS system of mine which plays on certain winning teams off back to back losses. Even better: Dallas has covered just 34 of 94 non-division road games, if it was off back to back wins, and its foes was off back to back losses. And the Mavs are 11-32 ATS off a win, when playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe. Finally, the T-Wolves are 6-1 SU/ATS their last seven home games, and 7-1-1 ATS their last nine home games when playing with revenge. Take the Timberwolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-24-22 |
Suns v. Nuggets -3.5 |
Top |
140-130 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Phoenix. The Suns are 59-14, yet are an underdog tonight against the 43-30 Nuggets. We'll take Denver tonight, as winning NBA teams have gone 276-214 ATS in the final 10 games of a season when favored against an opponent with a better record. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-24-22 |
Pacers +12.5 v. Grizzlies |
Top |
103-133 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies upset Brooklyn last night, as a home dog, while the Pacers were upset at home by Sacramento. We'll fade Memphis as teams off upset home wins have covered just 46 of 126 games against foes off upset home losses, if our upsetter wasn't getting more than 10 points in its current game. Take Indiana + the points.
|
03-24-22 |
Cavs v. Raptors -4.5 |
Top |
104-117 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers are 10-16-1 ATS their last 27 on the road, and will face a revenge-minded Raptors squad which will look to avenge its 8-point loss to the Cavs earlier this month. Toronto is 7-2 its last nine with playing with revenge, and also falls into a 152-97 ATS revenge system of mine. Additionally, the Raptors were blown out by 14 points on Monday, in Chicago. But Toronto is 24-13 ATS off a loss by 12+ points. Take Toronto minus the points.
|
03-23-22 |
Suns v. Wolves +1.5 |
Top |
125-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over the Phoenix Suns. The T-Wolves are on a red-hot 10-2 SU/ATS run, and will look to move to within a half-game of the Denver Nuggets for the 6th seed (which would enable them to avoid the play-in round). Minnesota's 6-0 SU/ATS its last six home games, and have won them by an average of 26.8 ppg. And those six games include wins over Golden State (129-114) and Milwaukee (138-119). The T-Wolves are 9-0-2 ATS at home when the Over/Under line is greater than 230 points, 7-0-1 ATS their last seven revenge meetings at home, and they also fall into a 95-36 ATS revenge system of mine. Take the Timberwolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-23-22 |
Warriors v. Heat -9 |
Top |
118-104 |
Loss |
-112 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Golden State. The Warriors are playing the 2nd game of the back-to-back, and will sit Draymond Green and Klay Thompson tonight. Even worse: Steph Curry was already sidelined with a left foot injury. So, the Warriors will be a shell of themselves tonight against a Miami Heat team looking to bounce back from an upset loss at the hands of the 76ers. Miami has failed to cover the spread in 3 straight games. But the Heat are 50-25 ATS off 3 ATS losses. And they play this game with revenge from a 7-point loss in San Francisco. And that defeat has triggered a great 144-78 ATS revenge system of mine that goes against certain unrested foes. Lay the points with Miami.
|
03-22-22 |
Hawks -2.5 v. Knicks |
Top |
117-111 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over New York. Last season, the Hawks knocked the Knicks out of the Playoffs. This year, the Knicks have won all three meetings, thus far. We'll take the Hawks, who were upset by New Orleans, 117-112, in their last game. And triple-revenge-minded road favorites have covered 71% since 1990, if they were off an upset loss in their previous game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-22-22 |
Warriors -7.5 v. Magic |
Top |
90-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Orlando. The Warriors were upset at home in their two previous games by Boston and San Antonio. But we'll take Golden State to bounce back on the road in Orlando. The Warriors are 22-6 ATS off back to back upset defeats, including 12-0 ATS if their previous game was at home. Meanwhile, the Magic are 0-13-2 ATS as a home dog vs. non-division foes off back to back losses. Lay the points with Golden STate. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
|
03-21-22 |
Wolves v. Mavs -3.5 |
Top |
108-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota. The Mavericks have lost their last two games SU/ATS, while Minnesota is 4-0 SU/ATS its last four. We'll take the Mavs, as they've cashed 69% at home since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins. Take the Mavs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-21-22 |
Raptors v. Bulls -4 |
Top |
99-113 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Toronto. Chicago has dropped its last 3 games, and eight of its past 10 (1-9 ATS). However, seven of those 10 games were on the road, where Chicago has gone 16-19 this season. At home, it's been a different story, as Chicago is 25-10 SU and 23-12 ATS. The Bulls are also 65% ATS since 1990 at home when not getting 4+ points, if they're off back to back road losses. Take Chicago.
|
03-21-22 |
Pelicans v. Hornets -6.5 |
Top |
103-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over New Orleans. The Pelicans come into this game off back to back upset wins on the road over San Antonio and Dallas. Unfortunately, New Orleans has covered just 21.4% since 1990 as an underdog of +1.5 (or more) points off back to back upset road wins. Take Charlotte.
|
03-19-22 |
Mavs -1 v. Hornets |
Top |
108-129 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Charlotte. The Hornets enter tonight's game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak, while Dallas lost its previous game. Charlotte, though, is 18-35 ATS at home off 3 SU/ATS wins, while the Mavs are 13-0 ATS as a road favorite off a road loss. Take Dallas minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-17-22 |
Pistons v. Magic -3.5 |
Top |
134-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Detroit. The Magic suffered one of the worst losses in franchise history when they were blown out at home, 150-108, by Brooklyn, on Tuesday. But off that embarrassing loss, we'll take Orlando to rebound tonight. NBA home teams bounce back off horrible home losses, more often than not. And since 1990, home teams have covered 63% at home off a loss in which they gave up 42 points (and 73% if they also lost that game by 22+ points). Take Orlando. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-16-22 |
Bucks -8 v. Kings |
Top |
135-126 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Sacramento. The Kings upset Chicago on Monday, 112-103. We'll fade the Kings as a home dog tonight, as losing teams off an upset home win are a poor 87-125 ATS as home dogs of +5 (or more) points vs. rested .600 (or better) foes. Take the Bucks.
|
03-16-22 |
Celtics +2 v. Warriors |
Top |
110-88 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Golden State. The Celts were upset, 95-92, by Dallas on Monday. And that was Boston's second straight ATS defeat. The good news is that Boston is 9-0 ATS this season (and 15-2 ATS dating back to last season) after scoring less than 97 points in their previous game. And the Celts are 29-11 ATS the past three seasons off back to back ATS defeats. Take Boston + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-16-22 |
Mavs -2.5 v. Nets |
Top |
113-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets put up 150 points in their last game, but have been installed as a home underdog tonight. Since 1990, teams not favored by 5+ points, that scored 150+ in their previous game, have covered just 38% of the time. Take Dallas.
|
03-15-22 |
Pistons v. Heat -12.5 |
Top |
98-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Detroit. The Heat will conclude its six-game home stand tonight. And it will look to bounce back off its loss to Minnesota, on Saturday. But All-Star Jimmy Butler (toe) didn't play in that game, yet has been upgraded to 'probable' for tonight's match. Detroit also lost its last game, 106-102, at home on Sunday to the Clippers. And that was Detroit's 3rd straight defeat. We'll lay the points, as Miami is 55-37 ATS after failing to cover the spread by 10+ points in its previous game, and 34-16 ATS when playing with more rest than its opponent. Take the Heat. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.d
|
03-14-22 |
Wizards +12.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
112-126 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Golden State. The Wizards have dropped their first three games of their four-game road trip, as they lost SU/ATS at the Clippers, Lakers, and Trail Blazers. So, we'll look for the 4th time to be the charm, and will take the points with Washington tonight. For technical support, consider that double-digit underdogs have covered 65.5% over the last 32 years off 3 road SU/ATS losses when matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win. Take Washington + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-14-22 |
Wolves v. Spurs +5 |
Top |
149-139 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Minnesota. After upsetting the Utah Jazz -- which gave coach Gregg Popovich the all-time wins record -- the Spurs understandably had a letdown in their next game. Indiana upset the Spurs, here, on Saturday, in the Alamo City. So, we'll look for San Antone to bounce back off that home upset loss. San Antonio is 103-71 ATS at home off an upset loss. And it's also a solid 28-9 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a blowout loss by more than 21 points. With the Spurs, indeed, looking to avenge a 25-point loss to the T-Wolves in Minneaopolis earlier this season, we'll take San Antonio + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-13-22 |
76ers -11.5 v. Magic |
Top |
116-114 |
Loss |
-113 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Orlando Magic. The 76ers were throttled, 129-100, as a 3.5-point home favorite by the Brooklyn Nets, so they'll look to bounce back off that humiliating loss this evening. We'll lay the points, as teams that failed to cover the spread at home by 30+ points in their previous game have bounced back 72.5% since 1991 when matched up against a foe off a win. And the Magic are, indeed, off a win, as they upset Minnesota, 118-110, as an 8.5-point home dog on Friday. Unfortunately for Orlando, it's a horrid 0-12 SU/ATS as an underdog of 10+ points, if it covered the spread by more than 8 points in its previous game. Take Philly. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
|
03-12-22 |
Raptors v. Nuggets -5.5 |
Top |
127-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Toronto. We played against Denver two nights ago, and got the $$$$ with the Warriors, who won here by 11 points, 113-102. We'll take Denver to bounce back off that loss, as it's 52-31 ATS at home off a home loss by more than 10 points, including an awesome 27-5 ATS when priced from +2 to -7.5 points. Even better: the Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in their last three games. But Denver's 28-7 ATS against .400 (or better) foes, if the Nuggets were on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, including 16-1 ATS as a favorite (and 10-0 ATS if favored by 5+ points). Take Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-12-22 |
Wolves v. Heat -5.5 |
Top |
113-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Minnesota. Both of these teams played last night. The Heat took care of business here, at home, vs. Cleveland, while Minnesota was upset by the Magic, in Orlando. We played on Miami last night, and will come right back with them on Saturday. Yesterday's win by the Heat was their 13th in 16 games (11-5 ATS). Minnesota is also playing good basketball, as it's won six of its last eight SU/ATS. But this is a difficult scheduling spot for the T-Wolves, who will be traveling without rest, and also playing their 3rd game in four nights (all with travel in-between). The Heat, meanwhile, are in the midst of a long seven-game home stand. Lay the points with Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-11-22 |
Jazz v. Spurs +6 |
Top |
102-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Utah. These two teams have traded road victories in two meetings earlier this season. But San Antonio covered the spread in each game. The Spurs are 24-4 ATS at home vs. Utah when not favored by more than 9 points, including 17-0 ATS if Utah's win percentage was greater than .600. Take San Antone + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-11-22 |
Mavs -10.5 v. Rockets |
Top |
113-100 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Houston. The Mavs suffered a humiliating 30-point upset loss at home to the Knicks on Wednesday. We'll take Dallas to rebound tonight, as NBA favorites of -6.5 (or more) points off a home upset loss in which they failed to cover the spread by 30+ points, have cashed 83% vs. foes off a SU win since 1990. Lay the points with Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-11-22 |
Cavs v. Heat -6.5 |
Top |
105-117 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Cleveland. The Heat's 3-game win streak (and 5-game ATS win streak) ended on Wednesday, as Miami was blown out, 111-90, by Phoenix. We'll take the Heat to bounce back, as they're 40-12 ATS off an upset loss, if they're matched-up against a conference foe off a straight-up win. Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-11-22 |
Clippers v. Hawks -5.5 |
Top |
106-112 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. The Clippers blew out the Hawks, 106-93, in Los Angeles earlier this season. We'll take the homestanding Hawks tonight, as they're 94-54 ATS at home when rested, and playing with revenge from a double-digit loss, including 10-0 ATS their last 10 vs. Western Conference foes. Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-10-22 |
Warriors -3 v. Nuggets |
Top |
113-102 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Denver. The Nuggets are in a tough scheduling spot tonight, as they played last night, while Golden State had Wednesday off. And the Warriors will surely be focused tonight, as they have already lost three times to Denver this season, including a 7-point loss last week. We'll take the Warriors in this big revenge situation, as they're 55-29 ATS on the road when playing with revenge, including 7-1 ATS vs. unrested foes. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a wallet breaking 52-101-1 ATS at home when playing without rest, including 10-26 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. Lay the points with the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-09-22 |
Knicks v. Mavs -8 |
Top |
107-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 40 m |
Show
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At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over New York. The Knicks upset both the Clippers and Kings in their last two games. And they also upset Dallas, 108-85, as a 2.5-point home dog, in January. But that upset win sets up our play tonight, as Dallas is 15-1 ATS this season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. And the Mavs also fall into a 115-68 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 20+ points in an earlier meeting. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-08-22 |
Bucks v. Thunder +14 |
Top |
142-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Milwaukee. We played on the Bucks on Sunday in a revenge match vs. Phoenix, and got the $$$$ when they won by 10, as a 9-point favorite. We'll fade Milwaukee tonight, though, as it will be the Thunder who will be playing with revenge. And OKC is 74-47 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge against a foe off a win (and not an ATS loss). Take OKC. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-08-22 |
Pelicans v. Grizzlies -5 |
Top |
111-132 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over New Orleans. Memphis stumbled badly in its last game when it was upset by Houston, as a double-digit favorite. We'll lay the points tonight with Taylor Jenkins' men, as they're 10-0 ATS their last 10 off a road loss. Take the Grizzlies.
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03-08-22 |
Nets -2.5 v. Hornets |
Top |
132-121 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Charlotte. The Nets were blown out, 111-95, by the Hornets in Brooklyn earlier this season. But the Nets are a solid 49-23 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a double-digit home loss. Take the Nets minus the points.
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03-07-22 |
Lakers v. Spurs -2.5 |
Top |
110-117 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
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At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. Once again, the Spurs will attempt to give Gregg Popovich a win, which would enable him to tie Don Nelson for the all-time regular season coaching wins record. The Spurs open up a long home stand tonight, so at some point Popovich will tie (and break) Nelson's record. Tonight, San Antonio will take on its long-time nemesis, the Lakers, who come into tonight's game off a home upset win against Golden State. But Los Angeles is an awful 13-28 ATS off a home win. Lay the points with San Antone.
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03-07-22 |
Jazz v. Mavs -2 |
Top |
103-111 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 52 m |
Show
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At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Utah. Utah has won the first two meetings this season vs. Dallas. But each of those games was in Salt Lake City; tonight's game will be played in Texas. And Dallas is 13-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, so that bodes well for the home team. Additionally, Luka Doncic has been upgraded to 'probable' for today's game, which is all we need to pull the trigger on the home-standing Mavericks, who are 10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 or less points this season. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-07-22 |
Rockets v. Heat -15 |
Top |
106-123 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
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At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Houston Rockets. Houston comes into this game off a win as a double-digit home underdog. Once again, it's installed as a double-digit dog. Unfortunately, though, the Rockets are 18-33 ATS off a point spread win, while the Heat are 15-7 ATS off back to back ATS wins. Lay the points with Miami.
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03-06-22 |
Suns v. Bucks -9 |
Top |
122-132 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
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At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Phoenix. The Bucks were blown out by 24 points last month in Phoenix. We played on the Suns in that game, which was a big revenge match for them, given the Bucks won last year's NBA Finals against them. But we'll take Milwaukee as the home favorite this afternoon, and go against the 51-12 Suns. For technical support, consider that .783 (or better) NBA teams off a win are a dreadful 43-88-3 ATS at Game 50 forward, when not favored by 4+ points, and playing a rested opponent. Take the Bucks minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-05-22 |
76ers v. Heat -1.5 |
Top |
82-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Philadelphia. The 76ers defeated Miami here in South Florida, back in January. So, Miami will look to avenge that defeat tonight. We'll lay the points, as Miami is 88-61 ATS as a favorite of 5 or less points, and it's also 7-3 ATS its last 10 vs. the 76ers. Take the Heat. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-05-22 |
Spurs +4 v. Hornets |
Top |
117-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Charlotte. With a Spurs victory tonight, the Spurs' Gregg Popovich will tie Don Nelson for the all-time record for regular season wins as a head coach. One of the reasons that Popovich is in this position is because he generally gets his troops to avoid long losing streaks. Tonight, the Spurs will look to snap a 3-game losing streak, and they're 36-24 ATS on the road in the regular season off 3+ losses. Take San Antonio + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-03-22 |
Pistons v. Raptors -8.5 |
Top |
108-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
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At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Detroit. The Pistons have won both meetings vs. Toronto this season. We'll lay the points with Toronto in Round 3, as Detroit has covered just 37.2% as a road underdog since 1990 when playing a foe with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season. Take the Raptors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-02-22 |
Knicks +10.5 v. 76ers |
Top |
108-123 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
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At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Philadelphia. The 76ers blew out the Knicks on Sunday, 125-109 (though the game was tied at 98, in the 4th quarter before Philly's finishing kick). We'll take the Knicks this evening, as double-digit dogs have covered over 63% since 1990 if they lost SU/ATS to the very same opponent in their previous game. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-02-22 |
Pacers -2.5 v. Magic |
Top |
122-114 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Orlando. This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these teams (both in Orlando). The Magic won Round 1, 119-103, as a 2.5-point favorite. Tonight, it's the Pacers who are favored, in part because Malcolm Brogdon will play tonight after missing the prior game. We'll lay the points, as the Pacers fall into a 132-94 ATS revenge system of mine. Additionally, in the 2nd of back to back meetings between the same two teams, the loser of the first meeting has covered the 2nd game 56.9% if both games were competitively-priced with point spreads of 3 points or less. Take the Pacers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-01-22 |
Nets +8.5 v. Raptors |
Top |
108-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
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At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Toronto. Last night, we played on the Raptors, and were rewarded with a 36-point blowout of these Nets. We'll take Brooklyn as a big underdog in this rematch, as it's 41-17 ATS as an underdog on the road when playing with revenge. Take the Nets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-28-22 |
Hornets v. Bucks -10 |
Top |
106-130 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Charlotte. Mike Budenholzer's men come into this game off back-to-back losses. But the Bucks are a sensational 48-21 ATS at home off back-to-back losses. And they also fall into an 85-49 ATS revenge system of mine, based on the fact that Charlotte has won the previous two meetings. Lay the points.
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02-28-22 |
Kings -3.5 v. Thunder |
Top |
131-110 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder won without Josh Giddey on Friday, at Indiana, as they upset the Pacers, 129-125. But off that win, we will fade the Thunder tonight vs. Sacramento, as OKC falls into negative 78-145 and 110-200 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins. Even better: the Kings are off a loss at Denver, but are 25-16 ATS off back to back losses, if their previous game was on the road. Take the Kings minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-28-22 |
Raptors -2.5 v. Nets |
Top |
133-97 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
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At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Brooklyn. The Raptors were blown out by 27 points in their last game by Atlanta. And that was Toronto's 2nd straight loss since resuming play after the break. But Toronto is 23-13 ATS off a loss by more than 11 points, and 110-71 ATS off back to back losses, overall. Take Toronto.
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02-27-22 |
Mavs +4.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
107-101 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 35 m |
Show
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At 7:40 pm, on ESPN-TV, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Golden State. The Warriors thrashed the Mavericks, 130-92, in the previous meeting. Unfortunately for Golden State, winning teams that won by 38+ points in the season's previous meeting have covered just 36% at home since 1990 in the next match-up. And the Mavericks are also 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these Western conference foes. Take Dallas + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-27-22 |
Clippers v. Rockets +7 |
Top |
99-98 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 6 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. In a scheduling quirk, this will be the 2nd time in three games that these two teams will have met. And, then, they will play for a 3rd time in four games when they play here, in Houston, on Tuesday. The Clippers blew out Houston by 31 points in the game right before the All-Star Break. We'll take the Rockets in this rematch, as the Clippers are 20-44 ATS when favored by 4+ points against a revenge-minded foe. And NBA home underdogs off back to back SU/ATS losses are a solid 150-112 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins. Take Houston + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-27-22 |
Celtics v. Pacers +8 |
Top |
107-128 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
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At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Boston. The Pacers stumbled coming out of the All-Star Break, as they were upset, 129-125, as an 8-point favorite vs. Oklahoma City. Of course, this is to be somewhat expected, as the long layoff creates a little bit of rust. But we'll take Indiana to bounce back, as teams that were off upset losses in their first game after the All-Star Break have covered 64.8% at home when not laying more than 7 points (and 90% when getting 2+ points). Additionally, the Pacers are 54-30 ATS as an underdog of +4 (or more) points off an upset home loss, including 12-1-1 ATS vs. unrested foes. Grab the points with Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-26-22 |
Wizards v. Cavs -7 |
Top |
86-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 55 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Washington. We played against the Wizards last night, and took the Spurs as a small road favorite. San Antonio + Washington went to double-overtime before the Spurs prevailed by a 157-153 count. Off that extended game, and having to travel, I look for Washington to be a bit overmatched against a rested Cavaliers team. The Cavs were upset in their last game by the cellar-dwelling Pistons, so they'll be extra motivated this evening. Cleveland's an awesome 47-21 ATS as a favorite of -6 (or more) points vs. losing foes, if the Cavs were off back to back losses. Lay the points.
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02-26-22 |
Grizzlies v. Bulls |
Top |
116-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Bulls have won six straight, and currently are atop the Eastern Conference. They'll welcome the #3-seeded Western Conference team to the Windy City tonight. The Grizzlies got the better of Chicago on Beale Street, in January. But we'll take Chicago to avenge that defeat tonight, as .650 (or better) revenge-minded teams are 545-442 ATS at home in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes, if our revenger wasn't favored by 11+ points. Take the Bulls. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-26-22 |
Raptors v. Hawks -2 |
Top |
100-127 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 26 m |
Show
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At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Toronto. The Raptors won by 11 points earlier this month vs. Atlanta, so the Hawks will play this game with revenge. We went against Toronto last night when they went into Charlotte to play another revenge-minded foe, and were rewarded with a 125-93 blowout win. And we'll look for the Raptors to lose back to back games. Atlanta is a solid 93-54 ATS at home when playing with rest and revenge from a loss by more than 10 points. And Atlanta also falls into a strong 144-66 ATS revenge system of mine. Take the Hawks minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-26-22 |
Celtics -10.5 v. Pistons |
Top |
113-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
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At 12:10 pm, in an early start, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Detroit. Boston's won 10 out of 11 games. Its one loss: a 1-point home defeat to these Pistons, on Feb 16. So, don't be surprised if the Celtics avenge that loss in a big way on this Saturday. Indeed, revenge-minded, double-digit road favorites have cashed 73.9% since 1990 if they were off a win in their previous game. Take Boston.
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02-25-22 |
Spurs -2.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
157-153 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Washington. The Spurs have won 3 of 4 games (all on the road) to move up to 11th place in the Western Conference, just one game outside the final play-in spot currently held by the Trail Blazers. They'll visit a Wizards club which is currently in a 4-16-1 ATS tailspin, including 2-11-1 ATS their last 14 at home. Even worse for Washington: it won its last game, 117-103, over the Nets. But Washington is 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 3-14 ATS its last 17) games off a straight-up win. Take San Antonio to blow out Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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