Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-05-16 | Georgia -2.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 125 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on GEORGIA. Off back-to-back losses, if history is any indication, the Bulldogs figure to be a dangerous team. Indeed, they're 16-5 ATS (19-2 SU) the last 21 times that they were off b2b losses. During the same stretch, they're 12-4 SU/ATS as a road favorite of three or fewer points and 19-6 SU/ATS when playing a road game with an O/U line in the 49.5 to 56 range. During that period, Kentucky was an ugly 4-9 ATS as a home underdog of three or fewer points. The Bulldogs dominated Kentucky last season, as they did the year before. I still believe they're the stronger team and I expect them to demonstrate that Sat. evening. |
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11-05-16 | Florida v. Arkansas +3 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 141 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARKANSAS 8* MAIN EVENT. After getting thumped by Auburn a couple of weeks ago, the Razorbacks had a break. The bye gave them extra time to lick their wounds (and get their QB back)and to prepare for Florida. They've fared well as underdogs in the +3 to +10 range and I expect them to bounce back with their best effort Saturday afternoon. Not only are the Razorbacks 5-0 ATS (4-1 SU) their last five off a bye but they're 9-2 SU/ATS their last 11 off a conference loss. The Gators defense is obviously excellent. However, their offense continues to under-achieve. They're 0-2 ATS in true road games. The Razorbacks last four opponents were all coming off a bye. With the shoe on the other foot, I look for them to bounce back with at least a cover. |
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11-05-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 43-37 | Loss | -116 | 121 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on K-STATE 10* BIG 12 GOM. I won with the Cowboys last Saturday, so am well aware that they're rolling right now. However, I expect that roll to come to an abrupt end on Saturday afternoon. While the Cowboys do indeed have a potent offense, the Cats arguably have one of the best defenses in the country. Despite playing in the high-scoring Big 12, the Cats are allowing a respectable 21.6 ppg and 362.2 ypg. Here at home, where the Cats are a perfect 4-0, they're allowing a mere 16.5 ppg and 300.2 ypg. That compares very favorably to the 27.5 ppg and 488.5 ypg that the Cowboys are allowing on the road this season. While the K-State offense may not be flashy, they still average 41.5 ppg here. While the Cowboys are 4-6-2 ATS on the road the past couple of years, the Cats are 11-6-1 ATS (14-4 SU) at home. The Cowboys won a close one (36-34) at Stillwater last season. However, the Wildcats hammered them when they last played here at Manhattan. In fact, they're 7-1 SU/ATS the last eight meetings here. I'm expecting more of the same here. |
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11-05-16 | Navy v. Notre Dame -3.5 | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ND 8* BC. The Midshipmen may have the higher ranking but the Irish are favored for good reason. Navy gave up 52 points and more than 600 yards at USF last week. The Midshipmen fought hard to get back in that game but ultimately fell short. Notre Dame was on the opposite end of the spectrum. The Irish squandered a big lead vs. Miami but still managed to pull out the win. That type of win can build positive momentum while Navy's loss could well be of the deflating variety. While this game is at a neutral site (Jacksonville) its still the second consecutive game that the Midshipmen have played away from home. The only previous time that they played the second of b2b games away from home resulted in a 28-14 loss at Air Force. ND won by 17 last season and by 10 the year before. Overall, the Irish are 76-12-1 in the rivalry. In what figures to be another relatively high-scoring affair, I look for the Irish to pull away for the win and cover. |
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10-29-16 | Tulsa v. Memphis -7 | 59-30 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MEMPHIS 8* DINNER CLUB. The Tigers are off a loss against Navy, their second loss of the season. They bounced back with a 7-point win off their previous loss. They're 3-1 ATS their last four off a conference loss and I expect them to bounce back and win by a greater margin this evening. The Tigers remain perfect at home. They're outscoring teams by an average score of 47.2 to 13.5 here. Three of four victories here have come by greater than 17 points, the fourth came by seven. The Golden Hurricane only have one road win on the season and that came against a weak Fresno State team, a game which Tulsa failed to cover. The Tigers won by 24 at Tulsa last season and by 20 here at Memphis the previous season. While the gap may have indeed narrowed a little this season, I'm still forecasting another double-digit win. |
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10-29-16 | Arizona State v. Oregon -7.5 | Top | 35-54 | Win | 100 | 72 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on OREGON 10* BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK. For the first time in two decades, the Ducks have lost five straight. However, I expect this to be the week where they "get healthy" again. While the defense remains a concern, Oregon has found its QB; Justin Herbert threw six TD passes last game, the Ducks scoring 49 points. Sure, it resulted in a tough 52-49 loss, at Cal. The Ducks showed a lot of heart though, rallying from 21-0 and 34-14 deficits. As that was a Friday game, they've had an extra day to recover and prepare for this one. The Sun Devils, who are also "defensively-challenged" and who are also off b2b losses of their own, are banged-up on both sides of the ball, including at the QB position. Starting QB Manny Wilkins has been banged-up a lot and he got hurt again last game. While his status remains uncertain as of this writing, it appears entirely possible that he could miss the game. With their backup QB already out, that means inexperienced true freshman Sterling-Cole would get the call. Regardless of who is behind center for the Sun Devils, it looks like they may also be without their starting center once again. A.J. McCollum missed last week's game due to a persona matter. Regardless, I expect the Sun Devils to have trouble keeping up with Herbert and the rejuvenated Oregon offense. With three of their final four on the road - and the lone remaining home game coming against Stanford - the Ducks know they absolutely need to take advantage of this winnable game. I expect them to do just that, pulling away for a double-digit "blowout" win. |
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10-29-16 | Kentucky v. Missouri -4 | 35-21 | Loss | -112 | 121 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MISSOURI 8* BREAKFAST CLUB. The Wildcats have the superior overall record and were the more successful team last time out. They upset Mississippi State while the Tigers were upset by Middle Tennessee State. However, I believe that Missouri is favored for good reason. Homefield has proven significant in recent meetings. The Cats won by eight at Kentucky last season. The Tigers won by 10 here at Missouri the previous season. Including that result, note that the Wildcats are a dismal 5-15 ATS their last 20 as underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 range. They're also just 6-14 ATS their last 20 on turf. While both offenses are very capable, both defenses have struggled. Both teams have played some tough opposition and both will be looking at this as a winnable game, one which they need. Kentucky is looking to become bowl elligible this season while Missouri just needs a conference victory. The Cats have yet to win a road game though, getting outscored by an average of 39.5 to 6.5 away from Kentucky. (In fairness, they played at some very tough venues.) Still, the Cats' road woes go back a long time, they're only 1-10 SU their last 11 on the road. Missouri, on the other hand, is still outscoring teams by an average score of 53-25 here this season and is still 12-3 SU its last 15 here. Look for homefield to again make the difference, the Tigers rising to the occasion and delivering a deadly blow to the Cats' dreams of winning the SEC East. |
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10-29-16 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma State +3 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 121 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on OKLAHOMA STATE. With a 6-0 record, the Mountaineers and their fans are starting to get pretty excited. I expect them to suffer their first loss this week though. After a slow start, the Cowboys have turned the corner. They've won three straight, starting with an 18-point win over Texas and ending with a 24-point win last week over Kansas. While that may not have been as impressive as WVU's 24-point over TCU, the Cowboys are still a team full of confidence right now, one which is excited at the prospects of handing WVU its first loss. Keep in mind that the Mountaineers have only played one "true" road game (Texas Tech) all season. They're 6-5 SU (5-6 ATS) their last 11 on the road, while the Cowboys are 13-5 SU at home, during the same time. Including an upset loss against the Cowboys (at WVU) last October, the Mountaineers are just 4-7 ATS in October the last 2+ seasons. While the Mountaineers, who weren't ranked to begin the season and who weren't expected to be this good, have been tough on both sides of the ball, the Cowboys can score with the best of them. They're strong on special teams and very well-coached. Grab the points but don't be surprised to see an outright upset. |
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10-28-16 | Navy v. South Florida -6.5 | Top | 45-52 | Win | 100 | 50 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on SOUTH FLORIDA 10* ESPN SPECIAL. Admittedly, this season hasn't gone as planned for the Bulls. At one point, they had aspirations of an undefeated season. However, those dreams didn't last long, as they were beaten soundly by Floirda State on 9/24. Note that the Bulls, who lost their second game last week, bounced back from their first loss with arguably their best game of the season, a 45-20 destruction of Cincinnati, when listed as a -7-point favorite. Friday's game offers the Bulls a chance to again bounce back, while avenging a loss at Navy last season. With the game being televised on ESPN2, it also offers them a chance to show the world how good they really are. As per usual, Navy has a strong running attack. The Midshipmen will surely put up some fairly big numbers on the ground. I believe that the Navy defense, which has allowed an average of 32 points and 448 yards its last three games, is vulnerable though. While the Midshipmen are off b2b impressive wins, their last road game resulted in a 14-point loss against Air Force. Note that they're working on a short-week here while USF, which played last Friday, works on a "normal" week. This is "gut check" time for the Bulls, a team with plenty of seniors. I look for them to make things right, bouncing back and improving to 6-2 ATS when listed as favorites. |
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10-27-16 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +3.5 | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 81 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 8* SPECIAL. The Hokies are tough on both sides of the ball and worthy of respect. They're off a convincing win over Miami and have won four of five. However, the Panthers are no slouches either. They've had an extra week to prepare and had won three straight before that. The Hokies have an edge in the defensive department, the reason why they're laying points on the road. I believe that the Panthers, who are averaging over 38 ppg can score against anyone though. Since only scoring 28 in their opener, the Panthers have scored at least 36 points against every opponent. One of those was G-Tech, which has been pretty stingy defensively. Nobody else has scored as many against the Yellow Jackets as Pittsburgh (37) did, incl. Clemson which scored 26 against them. The Panthers also put up 42 points at Penn State. While the V-Tech defense is better, I still expect the Panthers to move the ball. Keep in mind that V-Tech, which got blown out by Tennessee early on and then lost at Syracuse, has only one road win this season. The Panthers haven't been covering here, but they're still undefeated at home. While the Hokies are 4-6 ATS their last 10 as favorites in the -3.5 to -10 range, the Panthers are 4-1 ATS their last five as underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 range, 8-5 ATS their last 13 as underdogs overall. The Panthers won by four at V-Tech last year and by five against the Hokies here the previous season. I'm taking the points. |
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10-22-16 | Old Dominion v. Western Kentucky -13.5 | Top | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on WESTERN KENTUCKY 10* BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK. Old Dominion has been the better team for bettors so far this team. However, Western Kentucky is laying double-digits for good. reason. The Hilltoppers survived a scare at Middle Tennessee, finishing on the right side of a wild 44-43 affair. After having finished on the wrong side of a couple of those earlier (Vanderbilt, LA Tech) that victory was much needed for the Hilltoppers. Now, with some positive momentum behind them, they return home and step down in class to take on an ODU team which they hammered by 25 points (at ODU) last year. Sure, the Monarchs have four victories. In fact, with an undefeated record in conference play, ODU fans are starting to get pretty excited. However, lets keep in mind that all four of those came against weak teams (Hampton, UTSA, Charlotte, UMass) and that three of them came at home. When they stepped up in class to take on the likes of Appalachian State and NC State, the Monarchs lost by scores of 31-7 and 49-22. While the Monarchs are 2-7 ATS the last nine times that they were road underdogs in the 10.5 to 21 point range, during the same period, the Hilltoppers are 5-1 ATS (6-0 SU) as home favorites in the -10.5 to -21 range. I expect them to improve on those stats in "blowout fashion" Saturday evening. |
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10-22-16 | TCU +6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on TCU 10 TV BEST BET. I believe we're getting excellent value with the visitors in this one. While the Mountaineers were playing at Texas Tech last week, the Horned Frogs had the week off to prepare. With a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS record their last six after a bye, that's significant. True, the Mountaineers looked very good in beating up on the Red Raiders. They're averaging an impressive 534 yards of offense per game. The Frogs aren't giving anything away in that department though. They're averaging 530 yards of offense, while also averaging better than 40 ppg. (WVU averages 32.8) While the Frogs do have a couple of blemishes on their record, both of those losses came by six or fewer points. Speaking of "close games," the last meeting between these teams here was decided by a single point. I won't be surprised if this one also comes down to the wire and am grabbing all the points I can get. |
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10-22-16 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +4 | 17-9 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on IOWA 8* BC SHOCKER. Recent games between these teams have been close. The Hawkeyes won by four last season. Both teams have been involved in some close games recently; Wisconsin has seen three of four decided by seven or fewer points, Iowa has seen four of five decided by seven or less. The Badgers won by two the previous season. Another close one here won't surprise which makes getting more than a field goal with the home team an attractive proposition. Off back-to-back road wins, the Hawkeyes bring more positive momentum into this game than the Badgers, who check in off b2b losses. The Badgers are averaging 25.5 ppg, 17.7 (just 271 yards) on the road. On the other hand, the Hawkeyes are averaging 30.9 ppg, including 34.7 ppg at home. I'm grabbing the points. |
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10-22-16 | NC State v. Louisville -18 | Top | 13-54 | Win | 100 | 122 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on LOUISVILLE. Off their loss to Clemson, it wasn't completely surprising that the Cardinals didn't dominate Duke. (They still won by double-digits (24-14) though.) Now, a week further removed from the Clemson loss, I expect them to "put it all together" with a more "dominating" victory. With a 63-20 destruction of Florida State under their belt, the Cards are certainly capable of beating up on the Wolfpack. The Wolfpack, 0-2 on the road are off a hard-fought and emotionally draining OT loss at Clemson and are now playing their second consecutive very difficult road game. In case you didn't see last week's result, the Wolfpack actually had a chance to upset Clemson but missed what would have been the game-winning field goal (only 33 yards) at the end of regulation. I expect that loss to catch up to them here, the Cards keeping the pedal to the metal the entire way, en route to a lopsided win. |
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10-21-16 | South Florida -6.5 v. Temple | Top | 30-46 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on SOUTH FLORIDA 10* ANNIHILATOR. Both these teams have been kind to bettors. While they failed to cover last time out, the Bulls are 5-2 ATS. The Owls have fared even better at the betting window. Off six straight covers, they're 6-1 ATS on the season. Neither team has faced a very competitive schedule; both have lost when they stepped up in class. Temple lost against Penn State and Memphis. The Bulls' lone loss (Florida State) was a big one, as it cost them a shot at an undefeated season. They've responded with three straight double-digit wins though and I expect them to keep it rolling with a fourth tonight. The Owls average a respectable 32 ppg, 378 ypg. However, the Bulls' offensive numbers are much better. They average 44.1 ppg (45 on the road) on the strength of 506.4 ypg. The Owls only beat them slightly in the points allowed department, 23 to 25.9. Last year, Temple was favored by three points (at USF) yet the Bulls hammered them by 21 points. This year's Owls' team is arguably not as strong while the Bulls are even better than they were. Temple came into that game with a Top 25 ranking and an 8-1 record. After last year's game, Temple coach Matt Rhule commented: "It was just one of those nights where nothing really went well." With the Bulls at 4-1 ATS (5-0 SU) their last five as road favorites, I'm expecting a case of "deja vu" for Rhule and co. tonight. |
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10-20-16 | BYU v. Boise State -7 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOISE STATE 10* THURSDAY “GOM”. The Broncos have a score to settle. You may recall that the Cougars upset them (at BYU) last September. You may recall that one. Boise was up four with less than a minute left. They had BYU on a fourth down but BYU QB Mangum, who hails from Idaho, connected on a hail mary TD pass to Juergens to give the Cougars the lead. Moments later, they'd seal the deal with a 50-yard INT TD. Needless, to say the Broncos haven't forgotten. Even more important than avenging that loss is the chance to stay perfect. The rest of the schedule is manageable. If the Broncos can take care of business tonight, they'll have a legit shot at an undefeated season. The Broncos aren't getting a ton of respect in part because they've been winning without covering. However, I agree with coach Harsin when he noted: "Watch college football. Every single week, it's hard to win every single week. There are no apologies for a 'W.'" Keep in mind that four of six wins have still come by double-digits and that this is still a very capable team, on both sides of the ball. Both teams are on a short week. While its true that BYU has enjoyed one extra day's worth of rest, I'd argue that advantage is negated (and then some) by the fact the the Cougars have played an exhausting schedule, incl. an extra game than the Broncos, which has seen them flying all over the country. They finally get a break afte this game but that won't help them tonight. The Broncos hammered the Cougars 55-30 when the teams met here in 2014, almost exactly two years ago. Including that victory, they're 5-1 ATS (6-0 SU) the last six times that they were home favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. I expect the revenge-minded Broncos to record another double-digit win tonight. |
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10-15-16 | Tulsa +21.5 v. Houston | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 99 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on TULSA, 10* TV BEST BET. Given the situation and matchup, I believe this line is generously high. The Cougars had hopes (and expectations) of an undefeated season. Their dreams were shattered by Navy last week though. Off that devastating loss, I don't feel they'll be very "up" for this game. They're going to face a Tulsa team which is playing well, too. The Golden Hurricane are 4-1 overall, the only loss coming at Ohio State. While its true that those four victories have come against fairly week competition, Tulsa still did take care of business and will enter this game with plenty of confidence. Tulsa ran for more than 300 yards (344 + 315) each of its last two games and will face a Houston defense which just allowed Navy to rack up more than 300 on the ground. While they didn't fare too well at Ohio St, the Golden Hurricane are still a healthy 5-1 ATS the last six times that they played a road game with an O/U line of 70 or more. During that stretch, Houston is only 1-3 ATS at home, with an O/U line of 70 or more. Last year's game (at Tulsa) was decided by 14 points and the 2014 game here at Houston was decided by 10, Tulsa easily covering as a 19.5 point underdog. Look for this one to also prove closer than most will be expecting. |
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10-15-16 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -4 | Top | 54-40 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on MICHIGAN STATE 10* PERS FAV. A 9/17 upset win at Notre Dame brought the Spartans to 2-0 and gave fans plenty of reason for optimism. Since then, the Spartans have stumbled, losing all three games. Losing streaks such as this one have been few and far between in the Dantonio era. The team is under 500 for the first time in almost four years and they heard boos when they left the field in Saturday's loss against BYU. Needless to say that doesn't sit too well with Dantonio or his players. I believe they'll silence the critics on Saturday afternoon. The Wildcats, 1-3 ATS off a bye the past couple of seasons, did manage a win at Iowa in their last game, two weeks ago. However, like the Spartans, they're still below .500 - and that includes upset home losses against Western Michigan and Illinois State. Regardless of who ends up behind center, I expect the Spartans to get back to controlling the clock and dominating on the ground and believe the Wildcat D will provide them with that opportunity. Look for the Spartans to bounce back with a much better effort, improving to 4-1 ATS the last five times that they played a home game with an O/U line in the 42.5 to 45 range. |
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10-15-16 | Pittsburgh -3 v. Virginia | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 92 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. As of this writing, this line came down from its opener. I believe thats providing us with excellent value on the road favorite. Note that the Panthers have long thrived in the role of small road favorites. They're 8-3 ATS (9-2 SU) the last 11 times that they were favored by three or fewer points on the road. Of course, the Cavs have been excellent in the underdog role in recent seasons. Thats mostly been as a larger dog though; they're just 2-3 ATS the last five times that they played a game where the O/U line ranged from -3 to +3. I believe the Panthers will have the advantage on the ground in this one and ultimately I look for that to be the difference. Look for them to control the clock, grinding out the win and cover. |
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10-08-16 | Washington State v. Stanford -7 | Top | 42-16 | Loss | -108 | 85 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on STANFORD. I played against Stanford in last week's blowout loss at Washington. However, I'm coming right back with what I expect to be an angry Cardinal team this week. This line came down from its opener, providing us with excellent value. I believe it easily could have gone the other way. The well-coached and disciplined Cardinal are 4-1 SU/ATS the last five times that they were off a conference loss. They're already 2-0 SU/ATS here at home, moving to 11-4 ATS (12-3 SU) their last 15 lined home games. The Cougars are undefeated at home but lost their only road game. They lost by 17 when they visited here in 2014. Stanford has been playing some pretty tough defenses in recent weeks. That's made it tough for their banged-up offensive line to open up holes for McCaffrey. The Cougars defense isn't nearly as good though. (Remember that Oregon's Royce Freeman ran for 138 yards and three TDs against them.) So, while still less than 100%, the line should be able to be more effective which in turn should lead to a big game from their superstar back. Look for the Cardinal to bounce back with its best effort, ultimately pulling away for a double-digit win. |
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10-08-16 | Washington v. Oregon +9 | Top | 70-21 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on OREGON. The Huskies are playing well right now and they came through for me in a big way against Stanford last week. However, off that (admittedly impressive) victory, I believe that they're laying a little too large a number for this week's game at Eugene. While the Ducks are off to a disappointing start and off three straight losses, they've still dominated the Huskies for years. They also haven't lost four straight since the end of the 2006 season. True, the Ducks have some uncertainty at the QB position; Herbert relieved Prukop in last week's loss. Regardless, of which QB is under center, I believe the Ducks can still score though. Royce Freeman, who ran for more than 300 yards in two games against the Huskies, is off a 3-TD performance against the Cougars. Washington's coach Chris Petersen said this of Freeman: "He's as good as there is in the country, without question. He backs it up every week." Counting the Nebraska game as a 'push,' the Ducks are 4-0-1 ATS the last five times that they were getting points. Meanwhile, the Huskies are just 1-4 ATS the last five times that they were listed as road favorites in the -7.5 to -10 range. I'm grabbing all those points. |
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10-08-16 | Colorado v. USC -4.5 | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on USC. The Buffaloes instilled a new offense this season and the results have paid dividends, thus far. They're 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 at the betting window. With the Buffaloes having followed up their upset win at Oregon with a destruction of Oregon State, CU fans are excited. They're stepping up in class Saturday afternoon though and I expect them to receive a "wake up call." While the Buffaloes have the higher ranking, the Trojans are favored for a reason. The Buffaloes are 1-3 ATS (0-4 SU) the last four times that they were listed as underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 point range. On the other hand, during the same stretch, the Trojans are 7-2 ATS (8-1 SU) as favorites in the -3.5 to -10 range. That includes a 3-0 ATS mark as home favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. While they've struggled on the road, the Trojans have been dominant in going 2-0 SU/ATS at home thus far, blowing out Utah State and Arizona State by a combined score of 86-27. The Buffaloes have shown they can win without Sefo Liufau, who's status still remains up in the air. I don't think they can beat USC without him but even if he does come back, he can't be expected to be 100%. On the other hand, Darnold, who has replaced Browne as the Trojans' QB, has changed and ingited the offense. He was 22-of-33 for 352 yards with three TD's vs. the Sun Devils. Trojans roll. |
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10-08-16 | Maryland v. Penn State +1.5 | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PENN STATE. Its been a difficult start at the betting window for the Nittany Lions. However, lets not forget that they're still 3-0 SU here at Happy Valley. They've outscored teams by an average 32-22 margin here and have narrowly missed covering each time. On Saturday afternoon, with the line having come down from its opener, the Lions won't have to worry about covering, as SU victory will also result in an ATS win. The Terps have been double-digit favorites in every game. So, this will be by far their biggest test. Off last week's blowout of Purdue, note that they're 1-5 ATS the last six times that they were off a win by 20 or more points. The Terps are also 0-4 SU/ATS the last four times that they were off a conference victory. During the same stretch the Lions, who beat Minnesota last week, are 4-2 SU/ATS off a conference win. I expect them to improve on those stats Saturday afternoon. |
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10-07-16 | Clemson v. Boston College +17 | 56-10 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON COLLEGE. Obviously, Clemson is a really strong team. The Tigers are only 3-7 ATS the last 10 times that they were listed as road favorites though and I feel that they're laying a little too large a number here. Last year, the Tigers were laying -17 for their game against the Eagles. (They won by exactly 17.) That was at Clemson though. Now, they're laying a nearly identical number for a game at BC. (The Tigers were only -6 point favorites when they played here in 2014, winning by four.) The Eagles, 3-0-1 ATS their last four as underdogs in the 10.5 to 21 point range, come in full of confidence; they've won their last two games by a combined score of 77-13. They allowed a mere 67 total yards last week. Playing with nothing to lose and backed by a boisterous home crowd, look for the Eagles to give the Tigers a much tougher test than most will be expecting. |
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10-01-16 | Missouri v. LSU -13 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 126 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on LSU. Since joining the SEC in 2012, Missouri has played every team except LSU. I believe they're catching the (LSU) Tigers at the wrong time. As you are likely aware, the big news for LSU is that Les Miles is out, along with offensive coordinator Cam Cameron. While Miles certainly had success at times, I believe that this was the right move and I look for it to pay immediate dividends. Miles nearly got fired late last season. That can be difficult on the players (and coach) and they should now be able to move forward. Defensive line coach Ed Orgeron takes over on an interim basis. He's had success in this role before, as he went 6-2 in the interim role when USC fired Lane Kiffin a few years back. I expect the change and a change in offensive philosophy (Orgeron had this to say: "...we're going to spread the ball around a little bit, do some different things, change the style of play. There's a lot of things on offense we've done well running the football. We want to have a different passing game. We want to be more creative, find ways for the quarterback to get the ball down the field throwing it.") to prove to be just what the doctor ordered for a very talented but struggling offense. Going back several years, Orgeron didn't fare too well as the head coach of Ole Miss, from 2005-07. Back then, Missouri beat him twice. A decade later, now armed with the superior team on both sides of the ball, Orgeron gets his revenge, the Tigers kicking off the post-Miles era in blowout fashion. |
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10-01-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Bowling Green -2 | Top | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOWLING GREEN. Its true that the Falcons haven't exactly been impressive. They're 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS on the season and they got utterly destroyed last week. Those results have helped to provide us with a much lower line than we normally would have gotten for this matchup; I believe the Falcons are offering excellent value. Lets keep in mind that Bowling Green has had a brutal schedule. The Falcons have played road games at Ohio State and Memphis and one of their two home games came against an explosive Middle Tennessee State team. They were getting more than 50 combined points at the betting window for those three games, so going 0-3 there was not surprising. They did win their lone "winnable" game - albeit barely. Now, however, they get a "fresh start" with the beginning of conference play. Who better than to restore the Falcons' confidence than Eastern Michigan, a team it has absolutely dominated (9-1 SU L10) over the years. Granted, the Eagles are on the upswing and appear to be a little stronger than they've been in recent years though. Thats still not saying much though and they're 3-1 non-conference record needs to be taken with a grain of salt. They deserve a little credit for beating Wyoming. However, that game came at home. The other two victories came against Miss. Valley State and Charlotte. Needless to say, Bowling Green has played much tougher competition. I expect that experience against bigger stronger athletes to pay dividends here. Stepping down in class, look for the Falcons, who are the defending MAC champs, to "get healthy," the Eagles falling to 0-4 ATS their last four as road underdogs of three or fewer points. |
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10-01-16 | Texas v. Oklahoma State -3 | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 121 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OKLAHOMA STATE. While the Longhorns may have the higher ranking, I believe the Cowboys are favored for good reason. Both teams tasted defeat last time out. The Longhorns lost a 50-43 shootout against Cal, a game they were favored for. While they've had a bye week to recover, I'm not so sure thats a good thing in this case. After beating Notre Dame in the opener and entering that Cal game with a #11 ranking, the Longhorns were starting to believe this was "their year." They can still have a good year, of course. But that first loss can be tough to take, when it comes unexpectedly and when a team was dreaming big. An extra week to dwell on those feelings doesn't always help. Also, the Longhorns have Oklahoma on deck. So, between thinking about their perfect season going down the drain and the upcoming rivalry game with the Sooners, I believe its possible they won't be as focused as one might expect a team off a bye to be. (Note that Longhorns are only 2-3 SU/ATS their last five off a bye.) While the Cowboys also check in off a loss, it was more expected, as they were underdogs (against Baylor) for that game. Also, it wasn't their first loss, as they were beaten by CMU in Week 2. Note that off their first loss, the Cowboys responded with a win and cover vs. Pittsburgh. Off the Baylor loss, Gundy had this to say about his team's attitude: "It was just time to go to work. Just like after that Central Michigan game, it was time to go to work. Sundays are tough after losses and they better be. If not, you've got a problem. Today it's been all game plan for Texas. Kids have been watching tape on their own and they're getting dialed in." The Cowboys have had success at Austen in recent years. On Saturday, I look for them to get a chance to enjoy beating the Longhorns here at Stillwater, covering the small number along the way. |
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09-30-16 | Stanford v. Washington -3 | 6-44 | Win | 100 | 106 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Both of these teams survived a scare last Saturday. Washington needed OT to win at Arizona while Stanford had to come back to win at UCLA. Off those hard-fought victories, with both teams playing on a short week, I believe homefield will prove significant. The Cardinal will be playing the second of b2b road games. The Huskies will be returning home where they're 3-0 and where they've outscored opponents by a combined 148-31 margin, an average score of 49.3 to 10. QB Browning is playing excellent football. Obviously, none of those three opponents were in the same class as Stanford. Still, I think that this year's Washington team, one is much improved from recent seasons, matches up very well against the Cardinal. While McCaffrey and the Stanford offense are indeed for real, I believe the same can be said of the Husky D and their outstanding linebacking corps. The Huskies gave Stanford all it could handle here in 2014, early in Petersen's first season as coach here. Stanford That late September game was tied at the half before Stanford scored a TD, with less than five minutes left in the game, to win 20-13. (Last year, the Cardinal won 31-14 at Stanford.) Petersen, who took much of the blame for the 2014 loss, due to an untimely fake punt in the fourth quarter, is an outstanding coach and he's got a much better team now than he did then. Look for the revenge-minded Huskies to take the next step this year, covering the small number along the way. |
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09-29-16 | Connecticut +27.5 v. Houston | Top | 14-42 | Loss | -106 | 79 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on UCONN. The Cougars are obviously a very good team, strong on both sides of the ball. They entered the season with a national ranking, beat Oklahoma in Week 1 and have proceeded to destroy every team since. Impressive indeed. Those results have helped to create a very high line on Thursday night though and I believe that it will prove to be too high. Keep in mind that Houston was also strong last season and that those 2015 Cougars lost to UConn by three points (20-17) as -8 point favorites. Speaking of "close games," the Huskies have seen all four of their games decided by seven or fewer points, three of them by four or less. The UConn defense has been mostly solid, allowing 22.5 ppg. Counting the Lamar game as a 'push,' the Cougars are actually only 6-9-1 ATS at home the past 2+ seasons. They've been very stingy against the run but the Huskies aren't going to deviate from what they do. Look for the visitors to have some success on the ground, helping them to limit the amount of time that the Houston offense is on the field. While we have to go back a number of years, the Huskies are 8-4 ATS their last 12 as road underdogs of greater than 21 points. I expect them to improve on those stats Thursday. |
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09-24-16 | Washington v. Arizona +14 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. Washington has a good team this year and looked impressive through its first three games. However, lets keep in mind that all three of those games were at home and that all three were against teams which were weaker than Arizona; the Huskies were laying more than 100 combined points in the three games combined. Now, however, the Huskies play their first conference game and they do so late in the evening at a hostile environment. They'll be facing an improved Arizona team which has been getting better each week and which will be determined to get some payback after getting destroyed by the Huskies last year. Washington coach Chris Pederson noted: "...everybody plays a little bit harder and all those type of things. And then you factor in that we're going away, night game, first league game -- I know what the energy will be like in that stadium. That will feel completely different to us." There's also a huge home game vs. Standford on the deck, followed by a road date at Oregon. So, it might be easy to look past a Wildcat team which they hammered last season. The line climbed higher due in part to injuries to Arizona's QB Solomon and RB Wilson. However, replacements Dawkins and Taylor may in fact both be better. Dawkins can run a lot better than Solomon and is full of confidence after a big game vs. Hawaii. Rich Rodriguez noted: "The thing he did well against Hawaii was his decision-making was good. His eyes were in the right spot. He was decisive in all of his actions, and I think that is why he gained some confidence as the game went on." Meanwhile, Taylor came in and racked up 168 yards on 18 carries. Rodriguez said this of Taylor: "He has probably learned as quickly as any true freshman I have ever had, and I have had some really good ones throughout the years." The Wildcats, who beat the Huskies by a point when these teams met here in 2014, will be thinking upset. After all, they're 7-5 their last 12 home games against top-10 teams (dating back to 2005) and they've beaten a top-10 team every year that Rodriguez has been here. Look for them to give the Huskies a much tougher test than expected. |
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09-24-16 | Stanford v. UCLA +3 | 22-13 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on UCLA. While the Cardinal have certainly enjoyed the edge in this series, I believe the Bruins have an excellent shot at snapping an extended (8-game) skid against them this evening. As per usual, the Cardinal are a very strong team. They dominated USC last week, after beating K-State by 13 in their opener. They're on the road for this first time though and I believe that this year's Bruins' team is better than the ones that Stanford has owned in recent seasons. While the Bruins have yet to cover, they rallied in their opening loss at A&M and have since bounced back with wins against UNLV and BYU. While McCaffery dominated the Bruins last year, I'm not convinced that the Stanford offensive line is quite as dominant as last year and also feel that the UCLA defensive front is better equipped to deal with them. McCaffery will still put up numbers but the big holes should be harder to come by. UCLA should have the edge at QB, as Josh Rosen is the real deal while Burns will be making his first start at the Rose Bowl. In a hard fought affair, dont be shocked when the Bruins finish on top. |
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09-24-16 | Florida v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on TENNESSEE. The Gators beat the Vols by a point (28-27) last year. They also beat them by a single point (10-9) the previous year. In fact, Tennessee hasn't beaten Florida since 2004. The Vols should get some payback on Saturday afternoon though - and by a lot more than a point. Both teams are dealing with some injury issues. Cornerback Cam Sutton and MLB Darrin Kirkland Jr are among the injured for the Vols. Both of those losses are admittedly significant. The Gators' injuries are arguably even bigger though, starting with QB Del Rio. It doesn't help matter that they're also banged up along the line at the offensive guard spots. While they hope to have WR Gallaway available, he may be at less than 100%. The time is right. Look for Butch Jones' veteran team to do something no Tennessee team has done in more than a decade, covering the number along the way. |
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09-24-16 | San Jose State v. Iowa State -6.5 | 10-44 | Win | 100 | 74 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on IOWA STATE. The Cyclones badly need a victory. They're the only winless team in the Big 12 and they can already tell that wins won't be coming easily this year. They can't afford to squander an opportunity like this one. The Iowa State offense should have a chance for a big game. The Spartans, a weak West-Coast based team playing an early game, are allowing 475 yards per game thus far, an average of 38 points. They've given up a minimum of 34 in all three games. It's likely going to be the softest run-defense that Iowa State sees this year. On the other side of the ball, the San Jose State has also allowed 16 sacks, the most in the country. Already 0-2 ATS when getting points this season, the Spartans are a dismal 2-13 ATS (0-15 SU) their last 15 as underdogs, 0-8 ATS when the line ranged from +3.5 to +10. Look for the Cyclones to get the monkey off their back, covering the relatively small number along the way. |
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09-23-16 | TCU -20.5 v. SMU | 33-3 | Win | 100 | 55 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TCU. This line dropped from its opener; I feel we're getting solid value with the superior team. The Frogs were laying -31 points when they last played here, nearly two years ago to the day. They won that 9/27/14 game by a score of 56-0. The Frogs shook off a tough loss against Arkansas to beat Iowa St. by 21 last week. Note that they're 11-4 ATS (12-3 SU) the last 15 times that they were coming off a SU win against a conference opponent. While the Frogs have already been dealing with some injuries, its nothing new for them, as that was an issue all last season. Gary Patterson had this to say of his team: "I suspect our team as a whole will play better. We played better last week than we did the first two weeks on defense. I expect them to play better this week." Translastion: Looking to bulid momentum for the 10/1 showdown against Oklahoma, Patterson expects a blowout. So do I. |
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09-17-16 | Mississippi State v. LSU -12.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -106 | 104 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on LSU. I successfully played against the Tigers in their opening week loss at Lambeau Field. Off that loss, in hindsight, it wasn't all that shocking that they failed to cover the big number against Jacksonville State last week. The Tigers have now had time to "recover" though and I expect them to be at their best on Saturday evening. Its true that the Bulldogs have played LSU tough in recent seasons. However, I believe that the talent gap between the teams is wider this season. Remember, that LSU entered the season with legit aspirations at winning the national championship. This week, the Tigers will be looking to silence the critics and for a big break-out game from the offense. Superior on both sides of the ball, I expect Miles' team to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way en route to a convincing win and cover. *GOM |
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09-17-16 | South Florida v. Syracuse +15 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SYRACUSE. The Bulls are indeed a talented and experienced team. They're already 2-0 SU/ATS and they've got reason to expect big things on the season. I believe that the Orange are going to give them a much tougher test than most will be expecting though. There's no doubt that the Bulls are going to score some points; the Orange D gave up a bunch vs. Louisville and USF also boasts a potent attack. The Orange, armed with a new look fast-tempo offense, are averaging better than 30 ppg themselves though and they should also be able to effectively move the ball. They've had an extra day to prepare and they're going to be highly motivated to avoid another blowout. The Bulls are in a tough spot as they will be playing their first road game and they've got their biggest game (FSU) of the season on deck. I expect the Orange to be the hungrier squad and look for them to bounce back with a much better effort. Give me all those points. |
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09-17-16 | Kansas v. Memphis -20 | 7-43 | Win | 100 | 97 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MEMPHIS. Matched up against lowly Rhode Island, the Jayhawks managed a rare win in their opener. Last week offered a chance to earn a victory against a "real" team, as they were small home favorites against an Ohio team which was in a very difficult spot. The Jayhawks weren't able to take advantage of that opportunity though, as they were blown out by 16 points. The Bobcats outgained them by a commanding 329-26 margin on the ground. Off that beatdown, now they take to the road while stepping up considerably in class. The Tigers beat the Jayhawks by 32 points (55-23) at Kansas last September, one of 19 wins the past two seasons. While Paxton Lynch has moved on to the NFL, the Tigers still boast a dangerous attack. The Tigers, who play with an extra week of rest, are 4-1 ATS their last five when playing with two week's worth of rest. I expect them to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way, en route to a one-sided victory. |
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09-16-16 | Arizona State v. Texas-San Antonio +18 | 32-28 | Win | 100 | 83 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on UTSA. The Roadrunners are obviously heavy underdogs for this; I believe that the line will prove too high. While UTSA has a new coach and some new faces, its also a team hungry to show that it has arrived on the national stage. Nationally televised games against ranked opponents don't come around San Antonio often. The Sun Devils are off a late 'shootout' in the desert against Texas Tech and they've got their conference opener (Cal) on deck. Playing on a short week, playing their first road game, one against an unfamiliar opponent which would be easy to overlook, I believe the Sun Devils, who are far more banged-up than their hosts, are going to be vulnerable. Look for Frank Wilson's Roadrunners to provide a stiffer contest than most will be expecting, the Sun Devils falling to 3-7 ATS their last 10, after two or more SU victories. |
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09-15-16 | Houston v. Cincinnati +7.5 | Top | 40-16 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on CINCINNATI. Recent meetings between these schools have been close. The Cougars won by three at Houston last season. Laying -7, the Bearcats won by a touchdown here at Cincinnati the previous year. While that game landed right on the number, the Bearcats are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS the last five times that they were a host in the series. They'll come in confident here and I expect them to give their ranked guests all they can handle. The Cougars showed that they're worthy of their ranking by defeating Oklahoma. However, as they know all too well, this is a tough place to play. The Bearcats are 11-2 SU here the past 2+ seasons. The Bearcats have an experienced defense and an offense which just put up 38 points and more than 500 yards at Purdue. Benefitting from a big offensive line the balanced attack had 250 or more yards on both the ground and through the air. Houston coach Tom Hernan said this of the Bearcats: "As good as they were last year, they've improved on both sides of the ball. Their defensive line and their defensive tackles seem to be in a lot better shape. They're moving around better. Their two safeties are really good players that make a ton of tackles for them. They seem to be a little more sound in what they're doing. They're in the right places at the right time on defense. On offense, the quarterback is playing at an extremely high level. He's a really good player behind a massive offensive line. They're running the ball a little bit better than they have in years past. It will be a challenge." I look for Hernan's team to indeed be challenged and won't be surprised if the Bearcats rise to the occasion and score the outright upset. |
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09-10-16 | Virginia v. Oregon -24 | Top | 26-44 | Loss | -115 | 77 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on OREGON. I see this one turning into a blowout. The hire of Bronco Mendenhall excited Virginia fans. Many assumed the Cavs, who were just 4-8 last year, would qualify in Mendenhall's first year. However, those expectations took a major hit last week. Despite being favored by double-digits, Virginia lost by 17 points against Richmond. It wasn't a fluke either, as the Spiders outgained them by a commanding 524-302 margin. If Richmond, who was previously 2-30 against the Cavs and who hadn't beaten them since the 1940s, put up 500+ yards against the Cavs, you can imagine what Oregon is going to do. The Ducks topped both the 50-point mark and the 500-yard mark in their opener. More of the same Saturday night. |
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09-10-16 | Texas Tech +3 v. Arizona State | Top | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on TEXAS TECH. The Red Raiders return Patrick Mahomes and all he did was throw for 4563 yards last season. While the opponent (Stephen Austen) was a lightweight, the Raiders scored 69 points in their opener, piling up more than 600 yards of offense in the air alone. Obviously, ASU represents a major step up in class. Still, the Tech offense figures to come in full of confidence and lets not forget that the Sun Devils were the nation's worst team against the pass (337.8 ypg) last season. We may not be able to count on much improvement this season either, as lowly Northern Arizona threw for 369 yards against the Sun Devils last week, despite being a 4-TD underdog. While the ASU passing attack managed a mere 180 yards, Lumberjack receiver Elijah Marks had 178 receiving yards himself. While the Sun Devils eventually pulled away, they were being outgained by what was supposed to be a very weak opponent by a 212-169 margin at halftime. While we have to go back a number of years, the Raiders are 11-4 ATS their last 15 as road underdogs. Ten of those 11 covers resulted in outright wins. While I'll gladly grab the points, with Mahomes carving up the suspect ASU secondary, I'm expecting another outright win here. |
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09-10-16 | Boston College -16.5 v. UMass | 26-7 | Win | 100 | 67 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BC. When perusing the Internet about this game, I've come across several writers expecting a close one, some suggesting an upset. I'm not buying it. While these teams may share the same state, don't count on the Eagles showing the Minutemen any mercy. Indeed, I'm expecting this one to turn ugly. UMass recorded only three wins last season and this year's team loses its top passer, top receiver, top tackler, interception leader and sack leader. They do return RB Marquis Young but he'll be forced to run against a big, physical BC college defensive line which knows if it slows him down, it has a great chance of shutting down the Minutemen offense. UMass managed only seven points last week and the BC defense should be every bit as tough to score against. The Boston College offense didn't look great against GT but should be improved over last season. Laying 17 points, the Eagles won by 23 here last season, a 30-7 blowout. A similar result won't surprise. |
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09-04-16 | Notre Dame v. Texas +3.5 | Top | 47-50 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on TEXAS. I like the Longhorns' chances of scoring the upset tonight. Always talented, this year's Longhorns are out to show that Texas is still a better team/school than the one which took the field in 2014 and 2015. Needless to say, a nationally televised Sunday Night "stand-alone" game against a ranked and high profile Irish team provides the perfect opportunity. Of course, the Longhorns also feel that they've got a "score to settle" as the Irish hammered them (at ND) on this very weekend, last September. With tonight's rematch being played in Austin, on a warm night with 10's of thousands of screaming fans wearning orange, I expect an entirely different result. The Irish are indeed a good team, worthy of their preseason ranking. They've lost a little from last year though while the Longhorns - and their new look offense - should be considerably stronger. Look for Longhorns to come to play tonight, giving the Irish all they can handle the entire way. |
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09-03-16 | North Carolina v. Georgia -2.5 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 53 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on GEORGIA. This is the beginning of a "new era" for the Bulldogs and I expect them to usher it in with a big win. The Tar Heels, who scored over 40 ppg last season, are no slouches. They've got some questions along the defensive line though and last year's team struggled against the run. That's a problem when facing Nick Chubb, who is not expected to be limited and who has reportedly made a full recovery. While the Tar Heels are likely going to put up some points, I look for the Bulldogs to ultimately wear them down, en route to a win and cover. Condition: Georgia at -6 or better. No play if line climbs above -6. |
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09-03-16 | LSU v. Wisconsin +10.5 | Top | 14-16 | Win | 103 | 48 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on WISCONSIN. This game has an O/U line in the 40s. With points likely to be at a bit of a premium, I believe that asking LSU to cover such a large number on the road (while technically a neutral field, the game is being played at Lambeau Field) is asking a lot. With a Heisman candidate at running back, plenty of experience and NFL calibre talent throughout the roster, the Tigers are indeed a very good team. I believe that the Badgers are going to be a lot more competitive than many will be expecting. While the Tigers may have plucked away the Badgers' defensive coordinator (Aranda) the Badgers are still the team which ranked #1 in scoring defense last season, second in total defense. Needless to say, the Badgers D will be extremely motivated for this big TV game, a chance to show their old defensive coach that they are capable of taking on mighty LSU. While Wisconsin's new QB (Houston) may lack game experience, he's a 5th year senior with decent mobility and a good arm. He came off the bench in a game (Illinois) last year and was 22 of 32 with two TDs. Look for the Badgers to give their highly ranked guests all they can handle. Conditon: Badgers at +10 or better. No play if line dips below +10. |
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09-03-16 | Hawaii v. Michigan -39.5 | 3-63 | Win | 100 | 48 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MICHIGAN. I played on the Warriors in their opener. Depending on when/where one played, that was either a win, for most, a push for others. As you likely recall, that game was played at Australia. That puts the Warriors in an extremely difficult scheduling spot. One would think that the Warriors, who will have flown more than 9000 miles, would have this weekend off. Instead, they're playing an early game at one of the most hostile environments in the country. While Cal was a tough first opponent, Michigan is far tougher. The Wolverines hammered Florida 41-7 in the Citrus Bowl after going 10-3 in the season. This year's team is loaded, bringing back 15 starters. They'll show no mercy against an outclassed and potentially road wearly Warrior side. Lay the big number. Condition: Michigan at -41 or better. No play if line goes higher than -41. |
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09-02-16 | Toledo v. Arkansas State -4 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARKANSAS STATE. Toledo has owned this series and they hammered the Red Wolves twice in 2015 alone. Last season, playing at home, the Rockets won 37-7. Earlier in the 2015 calendar year, playing in the Go Daddy Bowl, the Rockets won 63-44. I believe that the Red Wolves are favored for good reason though and I believe that they get some "payback" tonight. Both teams have some experience on the offensive line and both have weapons at the running back position. Toledo does indeed boast a formidable rushing attack. The Red Wolves are far more experienced on the defensive side of the ball though, as Toledo lost eight defensive starters from last year's team. While they were underdogs for the two 2015 meetings, note that the now favored Red Wolves are 13-5 ATS (15-3 SU) the past couple of seasons, when laying points. I look for their superior defensive line to be the differnce as they improve on those stats tonight. Condition: Arkansas State at -6 or better. No play if line climbs above -6. |
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09-02-16 | Colorado State v. Colorado -8.5 | 7-44 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Buffaloes won a close (27-24 in OT) one last year but I expect a more lopsided result this evening. The Buffaloes are changing things up on offense and are expected to "pick up the pace" in terms of number of plays called. Their instate rivals should be a great team to "try out their new strategy against." The Rams lost their top three receivers, including Rashard Higgins. While that's obviously a big blow, they've got even bigger issues on defense. Indeed, they don't return a single starter on the defensive line. Outside of linebacker Kevin Davis, they have very little defensive experience. Look for the Buffaloes to wear them down, en route to a double-digit win. Condition: Play Colorado at -10 or better. No play if line climbs above -10. |
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09-01-16 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt -3.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -105 | 82 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANDERBILT. As you may be aware, the line has moved on this one. While I obviously would have loved to get the Commodores at less than a field goal, I believe they could easily be laying a touchdown. That might sound crazy to some, given the history of this "rivalry." South Carolina won 19-10 last season and has dominated Vandy, at least from a SU perspective, for years. Times have changed though. The Commodores improved a lot last season, more so than their record indiates. This season's team is experienced on both sides of the ball and is already thinking about bowl eligibility. If they want those hopes to become a reality, taking advantage of a South Carolina team which really struggled (3-9) last year and which is in rebuilding mode, and which will likely struggle on the offensive line, is critical. The Commodores have a coach in his third year and have much excitement around the program. I say its payback time. Condition: Vanderbilt is a play at -6 or better. No play if line climbs above -6. |
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08-26-16 | California v. Hawaii +21.5 | 51-31 | Win | 100 | 684 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on HAWAII. While the line has fallen a bit from its opener, I still believe that the Warriors are providing us with solid value. With this game being played in Australia, the team that handles the unique situation the best is likely going to be the team which covers. The Bears are relatively young on defense while the Warriors have some experience on offense. On the other side of the ball, I expect the Warriors to load up against the run, in an attempt to force Cal to throw to an inexperienced receiving corps. This Hawaii team has reportedly developed a "strong comaraderie over the offeseason and that should serve them well here. I expect them to have some success running the ball and look for them to keep it closer than most will be expecting. Condition: Hawaii at +17 or better. No play if line goes lower than 17. |
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01-11-16 | Alabama v. Clemson +7.5 | Top | 45-40 | Win | 100 | 225 h 2 m | Show |
I am playing on CLEMSON. Sharp action offshore has been hammering Clemson leading up to this game - even though the public is largely on Bama - and I have to agree with the wiseguy money here. |
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01-02-16 | TCU -1 v. Oregon | Top | 47-41 | Win | 100 | 124 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on TCU in the Alamo Bowl. |
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01-01-16 | Ole Miss v. Oklahoma State +7.5 | Top | 48-20 | Loss | -120 | 101 h 25 m | Show |
I’m playing on OKLAHOMA STATE in the Sugar Bowl. |
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01-01-16 | Iowa +7 v. Stanford | Top | 16-45 | Loss | -120 | 98 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on IOWA in the Rose Bowl. |
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01-01-16 | Florida +4 v. Michigan | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -104 | 94 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA in the Citrus Bowl. |
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01-01-16 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 94 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on OHIO STATE in the Fiesta Bowl. |
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12-31-15 | Michigan State +10 v. Alabama | Top | 0-38 | Loss | -110 | 408 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on MICHIGAN STATE in the Cotton Bowl Classic. |
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12-31-15 | Oklahoma v. Clemson +4 | Top | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 404 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on CLEMSON in the Orange Bowl. |
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12-30-15 | Wisconsin v. USC -3 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -115 | 387 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on USC in the Holiday Bowl. |
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12-30-15 | Memphis v. Auburn -2 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 376 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Auburn in the Birmingham Bowl. |
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12-29-15 | Texas Tech v. LSU -7 | Top | 27-56 | Win | 100 | 362 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on LSU in the Texas Bowl. |
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12-29-15 | Baylor -3 v. North Carolina | Top | 49-38 | Win | 100 | 358 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on BAYLOR in the Russell Athletic Bowl. |
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12-29-15 | Air Force v. California -7 | Top | 36-55 | Win | 100 | 355 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALIFORNIA in the Armed Forces Bowl. |
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12-28-15 | Central Michigan v. Minnesota -5 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 335 h 55 m | Show |
I am playing on MINNESOTA (vs Central Michigan) as my *10 CFB Blowout *Game of the Week* on Monday, December 28th @ 5 PM ET |
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12-28-15 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Navy | Top | 28-44 | Loss | -106 | 332 h 10 m | Show |
I am playing on PITTSBURGH (vs Navy) as my *10 MILITARY BOWL *ROUT* on Monday, December 28th @ 2:30 PM ET |
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12-26-15 | Nebraska v. UCLA -6.5 | Top | 37-29 | Loss | -112 | 291 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on UCLA (vs Nebraska) as my *10 Main Event on Saturday, December 26th @ 9:15 PM ET - The Bruins won each of the last two regular season meetings between these teams. Head coach Mora (UCLA) last faced head coach Riley (Nebraska) back in 2012 and Riley's Oregon State team knocked off the Bruins. That makes this a revenge game as far as Mora is concerned as it's the first time these coaches have met since then. The Bruins are going for a 3rd straight win in bowl action while Nebraska has lost four of their last five bowls. The Cornhuskers only went 5-7 this season and, in that regard, are fortunate to even be in a bowl game. Though the Huskers made some headlines this season with their upset of Michigan State and the fact they outgained Iowa by nearly 200 yards, those two big games came at home for Nebraska. Now the Cornhuskers are in a venue (Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA) that clearly favors the Bruins. That, in addition to the fact that UCLA is a solid 8-4 team and that Mora seeks revenge against Riley all combines to make this a great spot for a big Bruins win. UCLA played the much tougher schedule in comparison with Nebraska. The Bruins have a significantly stronger pass defense in comparison with the Cornhuskers. UCLA is on a 7-3 ATS run as a favorite in a range of 3.5 to 10 points and the Bruins are on a 4-0 ATS run when entering a game with two or more weeks of rest. |
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12-26-15 | Southern Miss +9 v. Washington | Top | 31-44 | Loss | -110 | 287 h 50 m | Show |
I am playing on SOUTHERN MISS (vs Washington) as my *10 CFB *Game of the Week* on Saturday, December 26th @ 2:20 PM ET - A lot of value here with Southern Miss considering that the Golden Eagles went 9-4 straight up this season and also 10-3 ATS. Washington only went 6-6 on the year. The Huskies did face a tougher schedule but the Washington offense is truly a liability in this match-up. The Golden Eagles average over 500 yards and 40 points per game. The Huskies averaged less than 400 yards and 30 points per game. The value in the Heart of Dallas Bowl is with Southern Miss and the big points. The Huskies improved this season but they are still a young team that could struggle in a bowl setting. Last year was head coach Petersen's first bowl as the Huskies coach and all the success at Boise State did not translate over immediately as Washington lost 30-22 in the Cactus Bowl last year. With only 9 returning starters this season, the youth of this team will be an issue in this year's bowl. Southern Miss went a perfect 4-0 ATS in non-conference games this season. The Golden Eagles averaged 52 points per game in their last four games this season. The Huskies were held to 23 points or less in two of their last four games this season. Look for Southern Mississippi's potent offense to keep them in this game all the way through. |
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12-24-15 | Cincinnati v. San Diego State +1.5 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 245 h 52 m | Show |
I am playing on SAN DIEGO STATE (vs Cincinnati) as my *10 BEST BET on Thursday, December 24th @ 8 PM ET - QB Gunner Kiel is out for Cincinnati and QB Maxwell Smith is out for San Diego State. The key difference of how these teams are impacted by the injury situation at QB is that the Bearcats rely heavily on their passing attack while the Aztecs rely much less on the pass and much more on their ground game. The potent San Diego State rushing attack is led by RB Donnel Pumphrey who is the Offensive Player of the Year for the Mountain West Conference. The Bearcats allow nearly 200 rushing yards per game and an average of 5 yards per carry and I expect the weak Cincy run defense to be exploited by San Diego State in this game. The Aztecs have the much better defense in this match-up as they allowed just 17 points per game this season while Cincinnati was rolled for 30 points per game. Off the loss in last year's bowl game against Air Force, San Diego State wants to make the most of the opportunity this season and I look for them to roll to the solid victory here as a power ground game and the better defense is the perfect combo to back a team especially when they are in this fantastic price range! |
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12-24-15 | Middle Tennessee State v. Western Michigan -3 | Top | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 237 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on WESTERN MICHIGAN (vs Middle Tennessee State) as my *10 ANNIHILATOR on Thursday, December 24th @ Noon ET - The Broncos, coming from the Mid-American Conference, played a tougher schedule than did Middle Tennessee State, coming from the SunBelt Conference. Western Michigan got a big upset win on the road at Toledo in their regular season finale. Knocking off a solid team like the Rockets on the road gives the Broncos a huge boost of confidence heading into the season finale. The Blue Raiders come into this game on a strong season-ending run but faced some ultra weak competition to wrap up the regular season with games against the likes of Florida Atlantic, North Texas, and UT-San Antonio. That could leave the Middle Tennessee State ill-prepared for the challenges they will face with a solid MAC team Thursday. Western Michigan is 8-4 ATS when off of a win against a conference rival while MTSU is 6-9 ATS when off of a win over a conference foe. Also, the Blue Raiders are 2-4 ATS when off of a bye week and 2-5 ATS as an underdog when the line is set in a range of +3.5 to +10 points. Western Michigan averages nearly 500 yards of offense per game and has the better rushing attack in this match-up. Look for that to be the difference as the Broncos grind out the bowl win in the Bahamas. |
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12-22-15 | Akron v. Utah State -6.5 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -106 | 193 h 46 m | Show |
I am playing on UTAH STATE (vs Akron) as my *10 ANNIHILATOR on Tuesday, December 22nd @ 3:30 ET - Certainly the location of this game (in Idaho) favors the Aggies. Utah State surprisingly did lose 6 games this season and, sitting at 6-6, the Aggies are hungry for a win here to make sure they have a winning season. The Zips are coached by Bowden and, with Auburn, he went to 3 bowls and compiled an 0-3 ATS record. Akron is a sizable dog here and they should be. Utah State played the much tougher schedule. Though both defenses look strong, the Aggies performance on that side of the ball is much more impressive as they have faced the tougher opposition. Utah State is coached by Wells and he's got a 2-0 ATS mark in bowls heading into the Idaho Potato Bowl. The Aggies might have had a better regular season were it not for QB Chuckie Keeton having some injury issues. With getting in some important late season action and now having extra time to rest prior to this game, look for Keeton to be back in top form and that will help key what should be a blowout win for Utah State. The Aggies will be focused on shutting down an offense that is one of the weakest in the MAC. Wells two bowl appearances saw his teams allow an average of just 10 points per game and I expect another dominating effort from his Aggies defense on Tuesday afternoon. |
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12-19-15 | Ohio v. Appalachian State -8 | 29-31 | Loss | -106 | 214 h 12 m | Show | |
I am playing on APPALACHIAN STATE (vs Ohio) as my *8 Opening Day Customer Appreciation Special on Saturday, December 19th @ 5:30 PM ET - Appalachian State is a sizable favorite here for good reason. The Mountaineers not only went 10-2 this season, ASU also closed out last season with six straight wins. That means that Appalachian State has won 16 of their last 18 games and they certainly don't want to lose that winning feeling in the program's first ever bowl game. ASU will be highly motivated to make the most of this opportunity and the university quickly sold out it's first allotment of tickets for this game. The Mountaineers have a potent offense but also were impressive on defense throughout the season. Just look at what Appalachian State's defense did to undefeated Clemson as a prime example of how this Mountaineers defense is capable of performing. Appalachian State should be successful in shutting down Ohio University in this one. Head coach Frank Solich is only 2-4 SU and ATS in bowl appearances since coming to the Bobcats from Nebraska. One look at the injury report for this game shows you that the late season games have not been kind to Ohio U. as they are hurting heading into this one. The healthier and hungrier Mountaineers should take full advantage as Appalachian State has the much stronger offense in comparing these two teams. ASU has averaged 37 points per game this season while Ohio U has been held to 27 points or less in 7 of the Bobcats last 9 games. |
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12-19-15 | BYU v. Utah -2.5 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 212 h 13 m | Show |
I am playing on UTAH (vs BYU) as my *10 Opening Day Personal Favorite on Saturday, December 19th @ 3:30 PM ET - The fact that Utah RB Devontae Booker is out is keeping this line lower than it should be. The Utes will still be able to get solid running considering the depth they have at that position. On the other side of the ball is the key as Utah's solid defense will lead the way. Though both teams in this match-up have a solid defense, the Utes hold the edge with their run defense. Utah also has a big edge at special teams where they have been particular strong in both ends of the punting game as well as the field goal unit. Strong legs for Utah's kicking game and the Utes have perhaps the top overall special teams units in the nation. Another key here is that BYU's strength of schedule is nowhere close to the strong schedule that Utah faced this season. This factor, along with BYU's 8-5 ATS record compared to Utah's 5-7 ATS record this season, is helping to provide exceptional line value on a Utes team that is laying just a couple points in this match-up. Of course there has been extra time off leading into this bowl match-up and Brigham Young is 0-7 ATS after a bye week. Utah is on a 9-1 ATS run in non-conference games. The Utes are 30-13 ATS when playing with two or more weeks of rest. |
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12-12-15 | Army +23.5 v. Navy | Top | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 117 h 26 m | Show |
I am playing on ARMY (vs Navy) as my *10 Main Event on Saturday @ 3 PM ET - Big points here. Of course it goes without saying that Navy is the better team by far but these teams are very familiar with each other and often run similar offenses. That helps close the gap between the teams even though the Midshipmen are definitely superior. This is a big reason that the Black Knights have covered 4 of the last 6 meetings. Also, looking closely at the lost four years worth of meetings, Army has been in the game with a chance to win it in the fourth quarter in three of the past four years. The Midshipmen have had trouble putting away the Black Knights in recent meetings and that should be the case again Saturday. Navy is 2-4 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. Army is 17-9 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points. The Black Knights have covered 3 of their last four games played on a neutral field. Army is only allowing 28.5 points per game on the season and yet here they are an underdog of more than 3 TDs against a Navy team that has struggled to create much separation from them in recent meetings. Look for the Black Knights to stay well within this inflated number. |
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12-05-15 | Michigan State v. Iowa +3.5 | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 126 h 36 m | Show |
I am playing on IOWA (vs Michigan State) as my *10 CFB Game of the Week @ 8:15 ET Saturday - Of course this battle is for more than just the Big Ten Championship as the winner will undoubtedly be in line for one of the 'final four' playoff spots. I am backing the undefeated Hawkeyes who come into this one as an underdog despite having a fantastic season with an unblemished record. Iowa has covered 9 of the last 12 meetings between these teams and there have been 5 outright upsets by the dog in the last 12 match-ups. Both teams have stellar defenses but Iowa's offense has shown a little more this season and also gets a boost with the return of RB Canzeri who is back healthy and has run for nearly 1,000 yards plus 12 TD's this season. Iowa was held to 28 points in their win over Nebraska last week but had previously scored at least 40 points in 4 of their last 8 games. The Spartans scored 55 points in their blowout win over Penn State last week but, prior to that, Michigan State had only scored more than 38 points once this entire season. Look for Iowa's powerful ground game to be the difference maker on offense in this one. The Hawkeyes ground game has averaged 70+ more yards per game when you compare what Iowa and Michigan State have each done over their last 7 games. Look for the Hawkeyes to pound out one more win. The Spartans are 3-7 ATS as a favorite this season. Iowa is 7-3 ATS as a dog the last 3 seasons. |
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12-05-15 | Air Force +7 v. San Diego State | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 125 h 55 m | Show |
I am playing on AIR FORCE (vs San Diego State) as my *10 Best Bet on Saturday @ 7:30 PM ET - The Aztecs have lost (and failed to cover) both times they hosted a non-regular season game at home in Qualcomm Stadium. The most recent time was in the 2014 Poinsettia Bowl when San Diego State faced Navy (coincidentally also a triple option team like Air Force) and the Aztecs lost 17 to 16. San Diego State does have a solid defense but their passing attack has not been overly impressive under QB Smith. It will be difficult for the Aztecs to build up a margin here if they have to rely too heavily on Pumphrey and the running game. The Falcons were 6-1 in Mountain West action this season before they seemingly overlooked New Mexico last week and ended up losing by a dozen points. Look for that loss to have Air Force a little extra aggressive with this big opportunity now on the table in the Mountain West Championship Game Saturday. The Falcons are 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season. San Diego State has been held to 144 yards or less in 5 of their last 6 games. Air Force, well known for their powerful ground attack, has also been getting the job done through the air in recent weeks with a 239 passing yards per week the past three weeks. The Falcons were hurt by turnovers last week at New Mexico and that has impacted the line set on this game. Air Force is simply getting too many points in this match-up and San Diego State once again struggles with a triple option team. |
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12-05-15 | Florida +17 v. Alabama | Top | 15-29 | Win | 100 | 121 h 24 m | Show |
I am playing on FLORIDA (vs Alabama) as my *10 Main Event on Saturday @ 4 ET - Looks like another case of a very strong football team simply being given way too many points. While Alabama certainly is deserving of plenty of respect, laying this many points against a Gators team that has only given up more than 14 points in 4 of their 12 games this season certainly seems to be a little much. Florida can play 'some D' to say the least! The Gators have one of the top defenses in the nation and Florida now faces an Alabama team that also has a stellar defense but whose offense is perhaps not as powerful as what the betting markets are suggesting here. The Crimson Tide offense has been held to 31 points or less in each of their last 6 SEC games and none of those contests was against a defense as strong as the Gators defense. Though Florida's defensive line is a little 'beat up' heading into this game it is still a formidable defensive unit that is going to challenge the Crimson Tide offense. Alabama has failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games played in domes. The Gators are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played on a neutral field. Big points here...big points worth the taking. Florida's 25 points loss to FSU last week saw them outgained by only 42 yards in the game so the 'deceiving final score' is helping to offer line value here. |
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12-05-15 | Texas +21 v. Baylor | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 117 h 19 m | Show | |
I am playing on TEXAS (@ Baylor) as a *9 Breakfast Club on Saturday @ Noon ET - These are big points being offered to a Longhorns team that just put 45 points on the board in their tight Thanksgiving Day loss to Texas Tech. That means significant line value is being given to the road dog here and the visitor has covered 12 of the last 17 meetings between these teams. The Longhorns did a great job against the Bears in last season's match-up and held them nearly 200 yards below their average production on offense. The Horns are always up for the Bears and this is 'the game' for Texas since it's their season finale and they sit at 4-7 on the year. As for Baylor, they may have trouble being in the right frame of mind as the Bears are still lamenting their double overtime loss to TCU. Baylor has now lost 2 of their last 3 and saw their Big 12 Title hopes go down the drain. 3rd string QB Johnson struggled last week for Baylor and the Bears offense could be in for a bit of a dogfight here as Baylor is certainly not known for their defense and the Longhorns offense has improved quite a lot late in the season. Texas has put up an average of over 500 yards of offense per game in their last 3 games. The Horns keep this one much closer than many are expecting. |
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12-05-15 | Temple v. Houston -6.5 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 117 h 18 m | Show | |
I am playing on HOUSTON (vs Temple) as a *9 Breakfast Club on Saturday @ Noon ET - This the first ever American Athletic Conference title game and quite a bit is at stake here as the winner is likely to earn a trip to a New Year's Day Bowl. Houston has the immeasurable added benefit of hosting this game that should help to key a Cougars victory Saturday. These two met last year and Houston rolled by a margin of three touchdowns. While the gap may not be quite so wide this year there is indeed still a significant gap. Temple's subpar offense is the key. While the defenses of these teams is nearly equal, the Houston offense is vastly superior to the Owls. Temple had a 60 point outburst against a horrible SMU team but other than that game they have been held to an average of 26 points per game in their last 6 games. The Cougars put up 49 yards against SMU on October 8th so, removing that from the equation, since that game, Houston has averaged 39 points per game. It's going to be tough for the Owls to keep up with the potent offense of these Cougars. The only game that Houston lost this season was when their star QB, Ward, barely played due to injury. Ward is certainly back in top form as he threw for 555 yards against Navy last week. Look for a huge game from Ward again here as the Cougars get the cash. |
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12-05-15 | Southern Miss +8 v. Western Kentucky | 28-45 | Loss | -115 | 117 h 17 m | Show | |
I am playing on SOUTHERN MISS (vs Western Kentucky) as a *9 Breakfast Club on Saturday @ Noon ET - This game is being played at Houchens-Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Kentucky but even with the venue favoring Western Kentucky, there is not enough respect being given to Southern Mississippi's defense based on the line for this game. The Golden Eagles offense is right on par with that of the potent Hilltoppers offense but the key to this game and the edges is that the Southern Miss defense has done a better job than Western Kentucky's this season. The Golden Eagles come into this game having allowed an average of just 16 points per game during their current six game winning streak. The Hilltoppers, in their last 7 games have allowed an average of 27 points per game. Both teams have high-flying ultra-potent offenses as there is no argument about that but the difference is that Southern Miss has held 4 of their last 6 opponents to 13 points or less. The underdog has pulled the outright upset in 4 of the last 7 Conference USA Championships. That plus the fact that Southern Mississippi is on a 10-2 overall ATS run and the fact that the Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 as a road dog has me siding with the big dog in this one. A lot of line value for Southern Miss (with the better defense) here! |
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11-28-15 | Arizona State v. California -4 | Top | 46-48 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 3 m | Show |
I am playing on CALIFORNIA (vs Arizona State) as THE *10 CFB *GAME OF THE YEAR* on Saturday @ 10 PM ET - Cal is off of a loss at Stanford while Arizona State is off of a huge win over rival Arizona. That sets this up very nicely for a play on the Golden Bears. Cal is 4-1 in home games this season and the four victories have come by an average margin of 31 points per game. The Bears are catching ASU off of a 2nd straight win but the Sun Devils had previously lost three straight games. Arizona State has lost their last two road games by an average margin of 15 points per game and the Bears have been winning big at home all season long. We're getting some line value here because of Cal being off of the loss to Stanford. A key variable there was that the Golden Bears allowed a KR for a TD and Cal settled for three field goals in the red zone. California did outgain the Cardinal by 139 yards and they will pound ASU after the Sun Devils big win last week also made them bowl eligible. This is a definite flat spot for Arizona State and they have gone 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an away dog. In looking at these two teams closely, Cal has the better defense and the Bears are off of a superb defensive effort against Stanford last week. The Golden Bears also definitely have the better offense in this match-up. The Sun Devils have averaged just 21 points in their last two road games. Cal is averaging 43.4 points per game in home games this season. This one should be ALL CAL. |
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11-28-15 | Colorado State v. Fresno State +9.5 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 122 h 16 m | Show |
I am playing on FRESNO STATE (vs Colorado State) as my *10 Shocker *Game of the Week* Saturday @ 9 PM ET - It's been a tough year for Fresno State but I expect them to bring a strong effort in their final home game of the year. They are hosting a Rams team that is off of a win in their home finale last week and that made CSU bowl eligible. Off of that big home win and now facing a hungry home dog, the value here looks to be with the Bulldogs. Fresno State won 28-7 in the last meeting between these teams. The Bulldogs also have won three straight home finales are on an 8-1 run in home finales. Fresno State got pounded last week at BYU but a lot of that had to do with being off of a big win on the long road trip to Hawaii the prior week. The Bulldogs got 6 TDs in that game but QB Greenlee then struggled last week. Look for Greenlee and Fresno State to bounce right back here. Colorado State is 6-15 ATS in road games with a total between 56.5 and 63 points. Fresno State is 5-2 ATS as a home dog in a range of 7.5 to 10 points and they are the play here as the points are too much for the Rams to be laying on the road especially when you consider the situational and motivational edges here. |
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11-28-15 | Penn State +11 v. Michigan State | 16-55 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 12 m | Show | |
I am playing on PENN STATE (@ Michigan State) as my *9 Customer Appreciation Special on Saturday @ 3:30 ET - This is a must win for the Spartans to earn a trip to the Big Ten Championship Game next week. With that said, you can bet that the Nittany Lions would love nothing more than to spoil those plans. Penn State has won 8 of the last 12 meetings between these teams. Also, in this series, the visitor has won three straight games. The Nittany Lions are certainly catching the Spartans at a great time for an upset. The Spartans are off of their huge upset win of Ohio State last week. Michigan State was held to less than 100 passing yards in that game and I look for them to struggle to get much of a lead on Penn State Saturday. The Nittany Lions rank among the top 15 defenses in the nation on the season and if the Spartans can't get their aerial attack going again, they will struggle to put many points on the board against a solid PSU defense. The Nittany Lions are fired up here as they are off of a home loss to Michigan last week. Also, Michigan State is 2-7 ATS as a favorite. Too many points here. Grab the big points with Penn State. |
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11-28-15 | UCLA v. USC -3 | Top | 21-40 | Win | 100 | 117 h 11 m | Show |
I am playing on USC (vs UCLA) as my *10 CFB Blue Marlin on Saturday @ 3:30 PM ET - UCLA has won and covered in each of the last three meetings between these teams. The Bruins had amassed a double digit lead by halftime in two of those meetings. Needless to say, USC has revenge on their minds here. The winner of this game will clinch the PAC-12 South Division. The Trojans are off of a blowout loss to Oregon last week but was the first time since week 3 of the season that USC was outgained! Also, the Trojans committed 12 penalties for 124 yards. It was an ugly game all the way around and I look for USC to respond in a big way in their rivalry game this week. UCLA is off of a win versus Utah but they were quite fortunate. The Utes, despite scoring only 9 points in the game, did move the ball quite well. Utah had 5 drives of 10 more plays but three resulted in field goals and two were ended on turnovers. This is a back to back road game situation for UCLA and that is a spot in which the Bruins are on a 1-6 ATS run. The Trojans are 17-10 ATS as a home favorite. Factor in the revenge factor and the scheduling edge and the situational edges and you have all the variables working in favor of a blowout home win for the Trojans in this one. |
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11-27-15 | Boise State -7.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 40-23 | Win | 102 | 94 h 8 m | Show |
I am playing on BOISE STATE (@ San Jose State) as my *10 Personal Favorite Friday @ 3:30 ET - Boise State certainly has history on their side in this match-up as the Broncos are 5-0 all-time against San Jose State. Boise State is certainly expected to be fired up here as they have lost back to back home games entering this match-up. This is the first time this has happened to the Broncos in 18 years and I look for Boise State to take out their frustration on a Spartans team that is just 5-6 on the season. San Jose State is off of a win at Hawaii last week so this is certainly a big situational edge for the Broncos. The Spartans are not only off the long trip to Hawaii, they also are on a short week since this game is on a Friday. Look for Boise State to do plenty of damage against San Jose State on the ground in this one. The Spartans have allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to gain at least 200 yards on the ground. Boise State has the rest edge here as they are off of a Friday game and the Broncos have gone 8-3 ATS when off of a Friday game and they are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 as an away favorite. San Jose State is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. Big situational edges for the Broncos and yet the spread is quite reasonable. Lay the points with Boise State in what should be a rout. |
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11-27-15 | Navy v. Houston +3 | 31-52 | Win | 100 | 41 h 23 m | Show | |
I am playing on HOUSTON (vs Navy) as my *9 Breakfast Club SPECIAL on Friday @ Noon ET - Big game here as the winner of this game will be the AAC West Division Champ and will be playing in the conference championship game next week. The Cougars are coming off of their first loss of the season but Houston is still focused for this game as they are hungry to play in the AAC Championship Game. The Cougars lost last week but a lot of it had to do with four turnovers in the game. Look for Houston to get back on track as they catch Navy off of a big road win at Tulsa last week. The Midshipmen are facing a Houston team that has won their home finale each of the last three years. Overall, the Cougars are on a 23-13 ATS run. The line has moved heavily toward Navy here and Houston is a sparkling 9-1 ATS as an underdog. Big line value now set up for the Cougars and they went 4-2 ATS the past two seasons when off of a conference loss. They will respond here after losing to the Huskies last week. |
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11-26-15 | Texas Tech v. Texas -1.5 | Top | 48-45 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 1 m | Show |
I am playing on TEXAS (vs Texas Tech) as my Turkey Day ESPN *ROAST* on Thursday @ 7:30 ET - Texas has dominated this rivalry and I look for more of the same this year. The Longhorns have won 14 of the last 16 meetings between the teams and they've gotten the ATS cover in 11 of those. Of course with the low point spread on this year's game, any victory is likely to lead to the ATS cover as well and that is what I am fully expecting here. The key here is the difference in the defenses. Even though the Longhorns are off of a loss to West Virginia in their most recent game, UT actually outgained the Mountaineers by 60 yards but four turnovers were the difference maker. The Horns are still hanging on to hopes of bowl eligibility but they know to keep those hopes alive they must get the win this week. Texas Tech, like Texas, is off of a bye week but, unlike the Longhorns, the Red Raiders are off of a win against Kansas State. Prior to that victory, Texas Tech had lost three straight and I look for the Longhorns to quickly return the Red Raiders to their losing ways. Texas Tech has given up 44 points or more in 5 of their last 8 games. The Longhorns, before the deceiving final score in their loss at West Virginia, had given up an average of only 17.5 points in their four prior games! Defense wins football games and that will prove to be the case again in this key Big 12 match-up on Thanksgiving Day. |
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11-24-15 | Bowling Green v. Ball State +22.5 | Top | 48-10 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
I am playing on BALL STATE (vs Bowling Green) as my *10 Tuesday BEST BET @ 7 ET - It's been a tough season for Ball State but that doesn't mean the Cardinals won't play with pride and heart in their season finale. This is particularly true because the game is at Ball State. The Cardinals have won 3 straight home finales. They are a huge underdog to the Falcons because Bowling Green has been flying high this season while the Cards have struggled on both sides of the ball. The Falcons are in a 'sandwich spot' here as they are off their huge game against rival Toledo and now have the MAC Title game on deck too. In a spot like this, the points are simply too much. This line is inflated and the Cardinals have gone 13-7 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points. Look for Ball State to 'leave it all on the field' in this one while Bowling Green gets caught looking ahead to the MAC Title game. That will make this game a lot closer than many are expecting. |
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11-21-15 | Notre Dame v. Boston College +17 | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 102 h 7 m | Show |
I am playing on BOSTON COLLEGE (vs Notre Dame) as my *10 Non Conf Game of the Year @ 7:30 ET Saturday - This is essentially a home game for Boston College. The game is being played at Fenway Park in Boston. The Eagles are 9-4 ATS in this series with the Fighting Irish. Even though Boston College enters this game having endured a tough season, the Eagles are off of their bye week and they've been gearing up for this game as it's their last chance to make some noise this season. Boston College's season finale is at Syracuse so a win there certainly wouldn't make any big headlines for the Eagles. However, should BC pull off the upset of Notre Dame, everyone in the country would hear about that! Look for Boston College to bring a huge effort for this game. The Eagles defense is arguably the top defense in the nation. Even though the Boston College offense has been a big weakness, the Eagles did net their season high in passing yards in their loss to NC State before the bye week. Notre Dame is off a win by a 3-TD margin against Wake Forest last week. However, the Irish were outgained by the Demon Deacons in that game and yet the scoreboard result is what is leading to an over-inflated line with ND this week. That is why I see such big value here with a top-ranked Boston College defense playing at home and with their last chance to make a statement this season. The Eagles will pull all out all the stops to keep this one close Saturday. Notre Dame is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games not in South Bend. Also, as a double digit favorite, the Fighting Irish have covered just 5 of their last 19 games. |
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11-21-15 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State | Top | 45-35 | Loss | -101 | 102 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on OKLAHOMA STATE (vs Baylor) as my *10 CFB Game of the Week @ 7:30 ET Saturday - The Cowboys have dominated this series long-term. Not only has Oklahoma State won 15 of the last 18 meetings between the teams, the Cowboys are also on a 13-3-2 ATS run in the series. The Bears did get the win last season however and the Bears embarrassed Oklahoma State by jumping out to a 42-14 lead in the eventual 49-28 win. That makes this a revenge spot for the Cowboys and it's the perfect set up for Oklahoma State to take advantage of. The last time the teams met north of the Red River, the Cowboys blew out the Bears by a 49-17 final. Oklahoma State, after last year's loss at Baylor, was caught looking ahead to this game a bit as they barely got by Iowa State last week. As for the Bears results last week, they suffered their first loss of the season as they lost to Oklahoma by double digits. That home loss for Baylor could easily result in a case of 'unbeaten letdown' this week as the Bears hopes of going undefeated this season came to an abrupt end. Oklahoma State is 27-13 in their last 40 as a home favorite and the Cowboys certainly watched film on how the Sooners held the Bears to a season low 18 first downs last week. Perfect set up for a huge OSU win this week. |
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11-21-15 | USC +4.5 v. Oregon | 28-48 | Loss | -106 | 98 h 8 m | Show | |
I am playing on USC (@ Oregon) as my *9 Customer Appreciation Special @ 3:30 ET Saturday - This series has been owned by the visitor with the road team taking each of the last three meetings both straight-up and ATS. USC has an extra day of rest here as they played Friday night at Colorado. Though the Trojans barely got by the Buffaloes they were strong on defense as they gave up a season low in yardage. USC held Colorado to only 281 yards in the game. The Trojans are catching the Ducks at a good time as Oregon is off of their upset win at Stanford and that was certainly an emotional high for the Ducks last week. The Cardinal actually had 32 first downs compared to just 18 for Oregon and the upset win, in spite of stats like that, is inflating the line on the Ducks this week. While that game resulted in an emotional high for Oregon, USC's emotional high can come this week as they are now in control of their own destiny in the PAC-12 South thanks to Utah's loss to Arizona. The Trojans defense has been coming up big by holding teams well below their season average and I look for that to be the case again Saturday at Oregon. |
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11-21-15 | LSU +4.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 9 m | Show |
I am playing on LSU (@ Mississippi) as my *10 Main Event @ 3:30 ET Saturday - The Tigers have won 10 of the last 13 meetings between these teams and yet they are getting some points in this year's match-up. That sets up some nice underdog line value for a hungry LSU team. Even though the Tigers are on the road, the home team has covered just 4 times in the last 16 meetings between these schools. Mississippi is off of a bye week and still could be lamenting their loss to Arkansas in overtime in the prior week. After starting the season 4-0, the Rebels have since gone just 3-3. LSU has lost two straight after starting the season with a perfect 7-0 mark. However, the Tigers today will take advantage of an Ole Miss defense that has allowed over 425 yards per game in their last four games. LSU RB Fournette is hungry to bounce back in a big way here (after rare back to back games below 100 yards on the ground) and he'll take advantage of a struggling Rebels defense. Mississippi has lost four of their last six home finales both straight-up and ATS. I am grabbing the points with LSU here but would not be surprised if they get the straight-up win. |
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11-21-15 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +6.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 95 h 40 m | Show | |
I am playing on VIRGINIA TECH (vs North Carolina) as my *9 Breakfast Club Shocker @ Noon ET Saturday - The Hokies have won 9 of the last 10 games in this series and yet they are a sizable underdog here. Great line value for Virginia Tech in this one and the home team is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 match-ups between these teams. The Hokies defense was fantastic last week at Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech carries some momentum from that Thursday night win right into this week's action. The Tar Heels come into this game on a 9 game winning streak but their 59-21 win over Miami last week a bit of a deceiving final score. North Carolina allowed a season high in passing yards as the Hurricanes threw for 326 yards against them. Emotions will be running high for the Hokies in this one as this is their final home game of the season and, therefore, the final home game of Coach Beamer's career. Virginia Tech also needs a win for bowl eligibility. |
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11-20-15 | Air Force v. Boise State -12 | Top | 37-30 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 13 m | Show |
I am playing on BOISE STATE (vs Air Force) as my *10 Main Event Friday @ 9:30 ET - Boise State plays this game with true revenge against the Falcons. The Broncos certainly should be well prepared for the option as the past two weeks for Boise State have included a bye week and a game against New Mexico. That's the perfect set up for being prepared to face the Air Force option. That being said, the Broncos did get caught looking ahead to this game as they lost to the Lobos last week even though they were a huge favorite. However, it truly was a strange result on the scoreboard compared to what took place on the field. The Broncos lost 31-24 despite gaining nearly 650 yards in the game. Boise State was simply done in by four turnovers and lost despite outgaining the Lobos by more than 200 yards. Two of the Broncos turnovers last week came in the red zone adding even more fuel to the fire for Boise State this week as they now prepare to face the Falcons team that defeated them by two TDs last year even though Boise State was favored by two TDs. The Broncos were done in by turnovers in last year's game against Air Force. Boise State lost despite an edge of 130- yards in the game. The Falcons are off of a win over Utah State last week but was a home game and Air Force has won 12 straight home games. As an away dog, the Falcons are on a 4-8 ATS run. Boise State is on a 42-25 ATS run against teams with a winning record. Payback time for the Broncos who had won 18 straight games at home before last week's loss to the Lobos. |
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11-19-15 | UL-Monroe +6.5 v. Texas State | 3-16 | Loss | -106 | 62 h 29 m | Show | |
I am playing on UL-Monroe (@ Texas State) as my *9 Thursday ROAST @ 9:30 PM ET - This is a big revenge game for UL-Monroe. In last season's match-up (which was the Warhawks homecoming), UL-Monroe led 13-0 at halftime and had dominated the game at that point with a 241 to 53 edge. The Warhawks fell apart in the second half and allowed Texas State to come back for the win. UL-Monroe certainly hasn't forgotten that game and now this season the Warhawks have a chance to ruin the Bobcats home finale. Texas State could be a little 'down' here as they have lost three straight and six of their last seven games and last week's loss to Georgia State officially eliminated them from bowl eligibility. The Bobcats gave up 643 yards last week and they are likely to have trouble putting away a UL-Monroe team that is fired up after the firing of coach Berry last weekend. The Warhawks will take advantage of facing a a Texas State team that is just 5-9 ATS as a home favorite and that is on an overall 1-6 ATS run. UL-Monroe is on a 10-4 ATS run as a road dog of 3.5 to 7 points. The Bobcats are on an 0-4 ATS run in home games with a posted total between 63.5 and 70 points. Look for the Warhawks to respond to the firing of their head coach while the Bobcats come out flat after last week's disappointing resulted ended their hopes of a bowl this season. |
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11-18-15 | Western Michigan +3 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 19-27 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 33 m | Show |
I am playing on WESTERN MICHIGAN (@ Northern Illinois) as my *10 BEST BET Wednesday @ 8 ET - This is a battle for first place in the MAC West division and the Broncos certainly have revenge on their minds. Western Michigan has lost each of the last six meetings between the schools. This looks like the year the Broncos can put an end to that streak. The set up is perfect as Northern Illinois is off of a road win at Buffalo while Western Michigan is off of a home loss to Bowling Green. The Falcons offense has been insanely good this season so there is not a lot of shame in that Broncos loss and it certainly has them fired up for this next game. The Huskies win over the Bulls is masking the fact that they do have a concern with the QB position. Northern Illinois was able to get by a mediocre Buffalo team but they are hurting with QB Hare out for the year. His replacement, Graham, is a redshirt freshman. You can bet the Broncos defense is licking their chops when they think about taking advantage of this significant step down in experience level for the Huskies QB position. Look for this to be a key variable in this game as the Broncos bounce back from their first MAC loss of the season. Western Michigan has covered 10 of their last 13 games as a road dog. |
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11-17-15 | Ball State +9.5 v. Ohio | 31-48 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
I am playing on BALL STATE (@ Ohio U.) as my *9 Customer Appreciation Special on Tuesday @ 7 ET - No doubt it has been a tough season for Ball State as they sit at 3-7 on the year. However, that doesn't mean there can't be value found with a team like the Cardinals. After their ridiculously poor performance two weeks ago against Western Michigan, look for a big performance from Ball State here. The Cardinals were thoroughly embarrassed in their loss to the Broncos as the Cardinals were held to season lows in both yardage and first downs while also allowing Western Michigan to amass over 700 yards of offense. The Cardinals need to atone for a performance like that and Ohio U. could prove to be the perfect opponent for Ball State to face. The Cards have defeated Ohio U. in 13 of the last 17 meetings with the Bobcats. Ohio U. is off of a big 27-0 win over Kent State last Wednesday so, while they've only had a week off, the Cardinals have a big edge with having had nearly two full weeks off. The Bobcats are 1-8 ATS when off of a win against a conference rival. The Cardinals are 6-2 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games. Also, Ball State is 14-7 in road games with a total in a range between 49.5 and 56 points. Recent results have created a lot of line value here as this one has become inflated and the Cardinals are sure to respond after their poor effort in their most recent game. Ball State keeps this one close. |
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11-14-15 | Wyoming v. San Diego State -23.5 | Top | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 129 h 59 m | Show |
I am playing on SAN DIEGO STATE (vs Wyoming) as my *10 BLUE MARLIN Saturday @ 10:30 ET - A lot of points to lay here but Wyoming has simply been dreadful this season and a blowout is in the offing Saturday. The Cowboys are 1-9 on the year and all nine losses have come by a double digit margin. All of Wyoming's road losses have come by at least two touchdowns and they certainly appear to be traveling to San Diego State at absolutely the wrong time. The Aztecs are off of their bye week so they will have rested, fresh legs. Additionally, the San Diego State offense has been rolling and firing on all cylinders. The Aztecs have averaged 44.5 points per game in their last two games. San Diego State is hosting a Wyoming team that has averaged just 17 points per game on the road this season. You can see that based on those numbers alone there is reason to expect a blowout here. Adding fuel to the fire is the fact that the Aztecs did lose outright (as an 18.5 point favorite!) in a shocking upset the last time they hosted the Cowboys. With that said, there is no doubt the Cowboys have the attention of the Aztecs this week and San Diego State has payback on their minds. The Aztecs are not only off of a bye week, they catch Wyoming playing for the 11th straight week so this game offers a big scheduling edge for San Diego State. The Aztecs have covered five straight games overall. Also, in conference action, San Diego State is on an amazing 21-6 ATS run in conference games. Huge edge in defense to the Aztecs in this one and that will help lead to a blowout margin in getting revenge for that prior home loss to the Cowboys. |
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11-14-15 | Arkansas v. LSU -7.5 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -106 | 126 h 40 m | Show |
I am playing on LSU (vs Arkansas) as my CFB *10 GAME OF THE MONTH Saturday @ 7:15 ET - Off of their disappointing loss to Alabama last week this may not seem like the best spot to back LSU as one may fear that they would be flat after their undefeated start to the season came to an end or, after losing such a important game against a big rival. However, the key reason that is highly unlikely is that the Tigers have plenty of motivation relating directly to this match-up with the Hogs. Arkansas embarrassed LSU last year in a 17-0 win. In that game the Tigers were held to season lows in yardage and in first downs. LSU didn't even crack the 125 mark in yards and also the Tigers were held to just a dozen first downs. The Razorbacks defense hasn't shown many signs of defense like that this season and I look for the hungry Tigers to use their big running game to open up some opportunities down the field for the aerial attack too. LSU is hungry after the loss to the Alabama and the Tigers also are extremely fired up for returning some punishment to the Razorbacks in Louisiana after what the Hogs did to them at Arkansas last season. The Razorbacks are off of their wild overtime win at Mississippi last week so this is the perfect spot in which to fade them. Arkansas won't be able to refocus after the emotional high of beating the Rebels in overtime while the Tigers will have plenty of focus at home and remembering what happened against Arkansas last season. This one should be all Tigers! |
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11-14-15 | Washington +3 v. Arizona State | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 26 m | Show |
I am playing on WASHINGTON (@ Arizona State) as my *10 BEST BET Saturday @ 3 ET - Look for the Huskies to spoil the Sun Devils homecoming game. Washington is a small dog in this game despite the series dominance that Arizona State has had in their match-ups. That fact alone is sending a message to the betting markets for this one. That message is that the gap has closed in terms of the talent level between these two teams and, indeed, this looks like the perfect opportunity for the Huskies to put an end to the Sun Devils 9 game winning streak in this series. Washington lost last season's match-up by two touchdowns despite outgaining Arizona State in that game. The Huskies have payback on their minds in this revenge spot. The Sun Devils come into this game on a bit of a freefall as they have lost three straight games. As for the Huskies, even though they are off of a loss to Utah, Washington did outgain the Utes in that game. Washington is led by Head Coach Petersen who has covered 14 of last 22 as an underdog. Arizona State is slumping with having failed to cover 9 of their last 11 games. With both teams sitting at 4-5 on the season this becomes a critical contest and there is great value with the Huskies as an underdog as many of their recent defeats have been impacted by turnovers. Statistically, the Huskies have actually been quite productive (other than the turnovers) and this is leading to great line value in this spot. |
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11-14-15 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Duke | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 118 h 23 m | Show | |
I am playing on PITTSBURGH (@ Duke) as my *9 Breakfast Club Shocker Saturday @ Noon ET - Duke just got clobbered by North Carolina last week and this followed their crazy last second loss to Miami the week before. This means the Blue Devils officially to now be in "tail spin" status as that defeat to the Hurricanes really put a hurting on the emotional levels of this team. Duke showed last week that they were unable to respond to the adversity as they got pounded by the Tar Heels. I'll gladly fade the Blue Devils again this week as their struggles continue. Pittsburgh is off of a loss to Notre Dame but it was not a deflating last minute loss. The fact is the Panthers actually were very nearly equal to the Fighting Irish in yardage for that game and they put up 30 points on Notre Dame. The Panthers aren't hanging their heads this week. They're going on the road ready to add to their solid 4-1 record in ACC action while the Blue Devils collapse continues. The Panthers are on a 5-1 ATS run in road games and I look for them to add to that here. |
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Ben Burns NCAA-F Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-05-16 | Georgia -2.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 125 h 33 m | Show |
11-05-16 | Florida v. Arkansas +3 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 141 h 57 m | Show | |
11-05-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 43-37 | Loss | -116 | 121 h 40 m | Show |
11-05-16 | Navy v. Notre Dame -3.5 | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 6 m | Show | |
10-29-16 | Tulsa v. Memphis -7 | 59-30 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
10-29-16 | Arizona State v. Oregon -7.5 | Top | 35-54 | Win | 100 | 72 h 55 m | Show |
10-29-16 | Kentucky v. Missouri -4 | 35-21 | Loss | -112 | 121 h 12 m | Show | |
10-29-16 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma State +3 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 121 h 23 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Navy v. South Florida -6.5 | Top | 45-52 | Win | 100 | 50 h 56 m | Show |
10-27-16 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +3.5 | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 81 h 30 m | Show | |
10-22-16 | Old Dominion v. Western Kentucky -13.5 | Top | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
10-22-16 | TCU +6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +4 | 17-9 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
10-22-16 | NC State v. Louisville -18 | Top | 13-54 | Win | 100 | 122 h 36 m | Show |
10-21-16 | South Florida -6.5 v. Temple | Top | 30-46 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
10-20-16 | BYU v. Boise State -7 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 2 m | Show |
10-15-16 | Tulsa +21.5 v. Houston | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 99 h 47 m | Show |
10-15-16 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -4 | Top | 54-40 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 21 m | Show |
10-15-16 | Pittsburgh -3 v. Virginia | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 92 h 29 m | Show | |
10-08-16 | Washington State v. Stanford -7 | Top | 42-16 | Loss | -108 | 85 h 28 m | Show |
10-08-16 | Washington v. Oregon +9 | Top | 70-21 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 9 m | Show |
10-08-16 | Colorado v. USC -4.5 | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 33 m | Show | |
10-08-16 | Maryland v. Penn State +1.5 | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 58 m | Show | |
10-07-16 | Clemson v. Boston College +17 | 56-10 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 55 m | Show | |
10-01-16 | Missouri v. LSU -13 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 126 h 30 m | Show |
10-01-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Bowling Green -2 | Top | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
10-01-16 | Texas v. Oklahoma State -3 | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 121 h 10 m | Show | |
09-30-16 | Stanford v. Washington -3 | 6-44 | Win | 100 | 106 h 59 m | Show | |
09-29-16 | Connecticut +27.5 v. Houston | Top | 14-42 | Loss | -106 | 79 h 8 m | Show |
09-24-16 | Washington v. Arizona +14 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
09-24-16 | Stanford v. UCLA +3 | 22-13 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
09-24-16 | Florida v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 45 m | Show |
09-24-16 | San Jose State v. Iowa State -6.5 | 10-44 | Win | 100 | 74 h 37 m | Show | |
09-23-16 | TCU -20.5 v. SMU | 33-3 | Win | 100 | 55 h 19 m | Show | |
09-17-16 | Mississippi State v. LSU -12.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -106 | 104 h 2 m | Show |
09-17-16 | South Florida v. Syracuse +15 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 33 m | Show | |
09-17-16 | Kansas v. Memphis -20 | 7-43 | Win | 100 | 97 h 28 m | Show | |
09-16-16 | Arizona State v. Texas-San Antonio +18 | 32-28 | Win | 100 | 83 h 4 m | Show | |
09-15-16 | Houston v. Cincinnati +7.5 | Top | 40-16 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
09-10-16 | Virginia v. Oregon -24 | Top | 26-44 | Loss | -115 | 77 h 6 m | Show |
09-10-16 | Texas Tech +3 v. Arizona State | Top | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 30 m | Show |
09-10-16 | Boston College -16.5 v. UMass | 26-7 | Win | 100 | 67 h 50 m | Show | |
09-04-16 | Notre Dame v. Texas +3.5 | Top | 47-50 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
09-03-16 | North Carolina v. Georgia -2.5 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 53 h 55 m | Show |
09-03-16 | LSU v. Wisconsin +10.5 | Top | 14-16 | Win | 103 | 48 h 14 m | Show |
09-03-16 | Hawaii v. Michigan -39.5 | 3-63 | Win | 100 | 48 h 31 m | Show | |
09-02-16 | Toledo v. Arkansas State -4 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 56 m | Show | |
09-02-16 | Colorado State v. Colorado -8.5 | 7-44 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show | |
09-01-16 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt -3.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -105 | 82 h 8 m | Show | |
08-26-16 | California v. Hawaii +21.5 | 51-31 | Win | 100 | 684 h 56 m | Show | |
01-11-16 | Alabama v. Clemson +7.5 | Top | 45-40 | Win | 100 | 225 h 2 m | Show |
01-02-16 | TCU -1 v. Oregon | Top | 47-41 | Win | 100 | 124 h 31 m | Show |
01-01-16 | Ole Miss v. Oklahoma State +7.5 | Top | 48-20 | Loss | -120 | 101 h 25 m | Show |
01-01-16 | Iowa +7 v. Stanford | Top | 16-45 | Loss | -120 | 98 h 0 m | Show |
01-01-16 | Florida +4 v. Michigan | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -104 | 94 h 57 m | Show |
01-01-16 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 94 h 56 m | Show |
12-31-15 | Michigan State +10 v. Alabama | Top | 0-38 | Loss | -110 | 408 h 10 m | Show |
12-31-15 | Oklahoma v. Clemson +4 | Top | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 404 h 56 m | Show |
12-30-15 | Wisconsin v. USC -3 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -115 | 387 h 57 m | Show |
12-30-15 | Memphis v. Auburn -2 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 376 h 15 m | Show | |
12-29-15 | Texas Tech v. LSU -7 | Top | 27-56 | Win | 100 | 362 h 48 m | Show |
12-29-15 | Baylor -3 v. North Carolina | Top | 49-38 | Win | 100 | 358 h 19 m | Show |
12-29-15 | Air Force v. California -7 | Top | 36-55 | Win | 100 | 355 h 59 m | Show |
12-28-15 | Central Michigan v. Minnesota -5 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 335 h 55 m | Show |
12-28-15 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Navy | Top | 28-44 | Loss | -106 | 332 h 10 m | Show |
12-26-15 | Nebraska v. UCLA -6.5 | Top | 37-29 | Loss | -112 | 291 h 6 m | Show |
12-26-15 | Southern Miss +9 v. Washington | Top | 31-44 | Loss | -110 | 287 h 50 m | Show |
12-24-15 | Cincinnati v. San Diego State +1.5 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 245 h 52 m | Show |
12-24-15 | Middle Tennessee State v. Western Michigan -3 | Top | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 237 h 6 m | Show |
12-22-15 | Akron v. Utah State -6.5 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -106 | 193 h 46 m | Show |
12-19-15 | Ohio v. Appalachian State -8 | 29-31 | Loss | -106 | 214 h 12 m | Show | |
12-19-15 | BYU v. Utah -2.5 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 212 h 13 m | Show |
12-12-15 | Army +23.5 v. Navy | Top | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 117 h 26 m | Show |
12-05-15 | Michigan State v. Iowa +3.5 | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 126 h 36 m | Show |
12-05-15 | Air Force +7 v. San Diego State | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 125 h 55 m | Show |
12-05-15 | Florida +17 v. Alabama | Top | 15-29 | Win | 100 | 121 h 24 m | Show |
12-05-15 | Texas +21 v. Baylor | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 117 h 19 m | Show | |
12-05-15 | Temple v. Houston -6.5 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 117 h 18 m | Show | |
12-05-15 | Southern Miss +8 v. Western Kentucky | 28-45 | Loss | -115 | 117 h 17 m | Show | |
11-28-15 | Arizona State v. California -4 | Top | 46-48 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 3 m | Show |
11-28-15 | Colorado State v. Fresno State +9.5 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 122 h 16 m | Show |
11-28-15 | Penn State +11 v. Michigan State | 16-55 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 12 m | Show | |
11-28-15 | UCLA v. USC -3 | Top | 21-40 | Win | 100 | 117 h 11 m | Show |
11-27-15 | Boise State -7.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 40-23 | Win | 102 | 94 h 8 m | Show |
11-27-15 | Navy v. Houston +3 | 31-52 | Win | 100 | 41 h 23 m | Show | |
11-26-15 | Texas Tech v. Texas -1.5 | Top | 48-45 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 1 m | Show |
11-24-15 | Bowling Green v. Ball State +22.5 | Top | 48-10 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
11-21-15 | Notre Dame v. Boston College +17 | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 102 h 7 m | Show |
11-21-15 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State | Top | 45-35 | Loss | -101 | 102 h 6 m | Show |
11-21-15 | USC +4.5 v. Oregon | 28-48 | Loss | -106 | 98 h 8 m | Show | |
11-21-15 | LSU +4.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 9 m | Show |
11-21-15 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +6.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 95 h 40 m | Show | |
11-20-15 | Air Force v. Boise State -12 | Top | 37-30 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 13 m | Show |
11-19-15 | UL-Monroe +6.5 v. Texas State | 3-16 | Loss | -106 | 62 h 29 m | Show | |
11-18-15 | Western Michigan +3 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 19-27 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 33 m | Show |
11-17-15 | Ball State +9.5 v. Ohio | 31-48 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
11-14-15 | Wyoming v. San Diego State -23.5 | Top | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 129 h 59 m | Show |
11-14-15 | Arkansas v. LSU -7.5 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -106 | 126 h 40 m | Show |
11-14-15 | Washington +3 v. Arizona State | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 26 m | Show |
11-14-15 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Duke | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 118 h 23 m | Show |