Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-14-19 | Georgia State v. Western Michigan -10 | Top | 10-57 | Win | 100 | 103 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on WMU. Georgia State is off to a 2-0 start, including the upset of Tennessee, so is likely going to be a popular pick. However, I feel that the Broncos are favored for good reason and I expect them to bring the Panthers back down to earth. These same teams met at Georgia State last season. Despite playing on the road, the Broncos literally ran all over the Panthers, clearly outclassing them. For the game, they had a 294-58 edge in yards on the ground. They dominated in first downs and time of possession, en route to a decisive 34-15 win. While the win over the Vols was indeed impressive, giving up 42 points against Furman last week wasn't. With the Panthers just 1-8 SU/ATS the past nine times that they allowed 37 or more in their previous game, I'm laying the points and expecting another double-digit win for the Broncos. |
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09-14-19 | Buffalo v. Liberty +5 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 100 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LIBERTY. The Flames defense did a reasonable job in limiting Syracuse to 24 points in Week 1. Last week, playing on the road, the offense found the end zone a couple of times. Back home, I expect the Flames to put it all together and for them to play their best game of the season, thus far. In terms of experience, Liberty brought back 16 returning starters from last season, among the most in the nation. Buffalo, on the other hand, brought back just eight returning starters, among the least. Not only are the Bulls inexperienced, they're also banged-up. I expect the Flames offense to have its best game and am grabbing the points. |
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09-14-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Illinois -7 | 34-31 | Loss | -114 | 49 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ILLINOIS. The Illini are playing great football right now and I expect them to keep on rolling for another week. While Illinois brought back 17 starts from the last season, EMU brought back just 10. The Illini won 42-3 over Akron here in their opener. Last week, they went on the road and won by eight at Connecticut. Here, they'll catch Eastern Michigan off a 21-point loss at Kentucky and now playing its third straight road game. The Illini are 2-0 SU/ATS the past couple of seasons, when off a win but non-cover. Going back further finds them at 18-9 ATS in that situation. Expect a double-digit win. |
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09-07-19 | Stanford v. USC -1 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 81 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on USC (10* PAC 12 GAME OF YEAR). As you may have heard, the Trojans lost their QB (Daniels) for the season last week. That means true freshman Kedon Slovis gets the call. The good news for Slovis is that he got some action last week, completing six of eight passes and that he's now had a full week to prepare, knowing that he'll be getting the start. While many are writing off USC with him behind center, new offensive coordinator Graham Harrell had this to say of Slovis: "I think, talent-wise, he's as good as I've ever seen..." Meanwhile, Stanford's QB (K.J. Costello) took a hard hit to the head last week and remains questionable, as of this writing. Thats a big blow, if he can't go, or isn't 100% healthy, as he led the Pac-12 in passing efficiency last season. Regardless of who is behind center for the Cardinal, they'll be without the services of all-conference left tackle Walter Little. Another huge blow. Losses to starters are particularly significant for the Cardinal as they didn't return many starters from last season in the first place. The home team has had its way in this rivalry of late. The Cardinal won at Stanford last year, the Trojans get some payback at home this year. |
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09-07-19 | San Diego State v. UCLA -7 | 23-14 | Loss | -105 | 119 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on UCLA. The Bruins and Aztecs renew acquaintances after not meeting for some time. Over the years, the Bruins have dominated their instate "rival," winning the last nine meetings by double-digits. Its true that I successfully played against the Bruins in their opener. However, they're stepping down a bit in class here, while also playing at home. This is a very experienced UCLA team, one which has had an extra couple of days of preparation for this one. The extra couple of days rest figures to come in handy not only for their preparation but also to heal some minor injuries that had several starters gametime decisions against Cincy. While San Diego State has had some decent teams in the past, this year's version managed a mere six points against Weber State. Playing with a sense of urgency after last week's loss, I expect the Bruins to continue their domination of the Aztecs with another double-digit win. |
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09-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Ohio State -15.5 | 0-42 | Win | 100 | 71 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OHIO STATE. While I won with the Bearcats in their opener, they're taking a significant step up in class here. Though the Bearcats would love to upset their instate rival, I don't feel that they'll be ready for it. Note that Cincy is just 2-5 ATS the past couple of seasons, when off a home win. With nine returning starters on that side of the ball, the Buckeyes defense is going to be stingy this season. After giving up 15 points in the fourth quarter (and blowing the cover) last week, the Buckeyes are going to be determined to dominate the entire way this week. The Buckeyes, who have 10 players from Cincinnati, have won 41 straight against Ohio-based schools. Expect them to continue that streak, picking up the cover along the way. |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma -22 | Top | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on OKLAHOMA. While everyone knows that the Sooners no longer have Murray as their QB, the cupboard is far from bare. The Sooners still have their offensive system in place and their offense is going to be just fine. Hurts takes over and he's got weapons at his disposal. Keep in mind that Oklahoma has averaged more than 45 ppg since 2015, leading the nation in most offensive categories during that span. On the other side of the ball, the Sooners brought back plenty of starters on defense. Speaking of defense, Houston is a team which doesn't play much of it. The Cougars are 3-7 ATS the past 10 times that they were road underdogs in the 21.5 to 28 point range. Oklahoma, meanwhile, is 7-3 ATS its last 10, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 63 or greater. I'm expecting the Sooners to win in a blowout. |
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08-31-19 | New Mexico State v. Washington State -32 | Top | 7-58 | Win | 100 | 948 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on WSU. At first glance, this line may appear a little higher. However, the reality is that it could be even higher, as this is an absolute mismatch. The poor Aggies, who will also have to play road games at Alabama and Ole Miss, know it. Coach Martin had this to say about the Aggies extremely tough schedule: "Football pays the bills. We're getting quite a bit of money to play Alabama and Ole Miss and Washington State. We understand that football has that priority ... This is one of the only years we'll ever play three power conference games. We'd like to stay away from that and limit that to two. It makes it more realistic for us. This is one of those challenging years and we’re going to accept it." Indeed. The Cougars have advantages all over their field. True, they lost last year's QB. However, the offense returned just about everyone else. The receiving corps is stacked, the offensive line is great. The offense will again be potent. The defense's weakness last year was against the run. However, they're going to be winning so much here that the Aggies are going to need to attempt to throw. It won't be pretty. The Cougars are out to prove last year wasn't a fluke. I expect them to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way, starting the season with a "statement blowout win." |
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08-31-19 | Syracuse v. Liberty +17.5 | Top | 24-0 | Loss | -106 | 803 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on LIBERTY. This is a dangerous game for Syracuse. Hugh Freeze takes over for the Flames. While he did have some past recruiting violation issues, Freeze also brings a winning attitude and a history of success. Freeze was 39-25 at Ole Miss with a couple of bowl wins. Prior to that, he was 10-2 at Arkansas State. Freeze inherited plenty of offensive talent. The Flames averaged better than 33 ppg last season and they return their top passer, top rusher and top receiver. QB Calvert threw for more than 3000 yards in 12 games, finding the end zone 22 times. While last year's defense was admittedly pretty soft, Freeze's team does bring back five of its top six tacklers. The Orange, who lose QB Dungey who had a lot of heart and more than 9000 career passing yards, will score some points, probably quite a few of them. However, I expect the Flames to be able to keep up. The Orange gave up some big plays last year and they've got a lot of new faces on defense. Syrcause coach Babers acknowledged as much: "The first game that we have is a quality opponent with an outstanding head coach that’s known for his offensive genius. It's going to be a difficult game for us, especially since we don’t have any tape of him with that personnel." Regardless of what Babers may say to his team, with Maryland on deck next week, followed by a huge game vs Clemson after that, the Orange could easily overlook the Flames. In a game which I feel will be a lot closer than most will be expecting, I'm grabbing the points. |
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08-31-19 | East Carolina v. NC State -16 | 6-34 | Win | 100 | 72 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NC STATE. The Pirates are 1-9 SU as road underdogs the past couple of seasons, going 3-7 against the number. Don't expect them to improve on those stats here. These teams last met on 12/1/18 and the score was 58-3. That three points, if you recall, came on a last second field goal - just to avoid the shutout. While this one won't likely be quite that lopsided, I do expect the Wolfpack to pull away for another convincing win. True, this is a much younger NC State team than the one from last year. However, they've still got the superior athletes and they'll take advantage of the chance to start the post Ryan Finlay era on a winning note. East Carolina plays better this time but still loses by 20+. |
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08-30-19 | Tulsa v. Michigan State -22.5 | Top | 7-28 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on MICHIGAN STATE. Determined to make a statement, I see the Spartans keeping the pedal to the metal the entire way in this one. Tulsa's inexperienced offensive line is going to lead to trouble against the superior Spartan defenders all evening long. That will lead to problems for both the Tulsa throwing and running game. While Tulsa has a couple of decent backs, the Spartans are dominant against the rush. The Spartans struggled offensively last season and this is an opportunity to show that this year will be different. Tulsa allowed an average of 34.5 ppg on the road last season. Expect a blowout. |
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08-24-19 | Florida -7 v. Miami-FL | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. While these rivals haven't met since 2013, I expect the Gators to have a significant advantage in the season opener at Orlando. The Hurricanes would love to get their 'new era' off to a winning start and beating Florida would sure be a great way to do it. Thats asking an awful lot though. Consider that Miami has a new coach, a new offensive coordinator and a ton of new players. The Gators, on the other hand, are off a 10-win season under Dan Mullen. The Gators are looking to build off that and have the pieces in place to do so. They know if they can beat Georgia, that the sky's the limit for them. It all starts here, however. Speaking of Mullen, don't forget that he was passed over for the Miami coaching job. Twice, in fact. Whatever he may say, winning big is going to feel extra special. Expect the Gators, 6-2 ATS their last eight non-conf games, to win by double-digits. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama -6 v. Clemson | Top | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 152 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on ALABAMA (10* GAME OF MONTH). I won with Clemson (plus the points) AND the 'over' when these teams met on 1/11/16. In 2017, I stayed away from the 'side' but again won with the 'over.' Last season, I switched things up, winning with both Alabama and the 'under.' (Alabama won 24-6.) This year, I'm coming right back with the Tide. Obviously, these are both excellent teams, extremely well-coached, strong on both sides of the ball. I think Alabama is just a bit stronger though. The Tide got their wake-up call vs. the Sooners and thats going to serve them well here. They know they need to be better and they will be. The Tide are 3-0 ATS the past three times that they both scored and allowed 30 or more points in their previous game. During that span, they're also 5-1 ATS when off of two or more consecutive ATS losses. Like last year, expect them to pull away for another win and cover. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame +14 v. Clemson | Top | 3-30 | Loss | -124 | 173 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on NOTRE DAME (10* GAME OF YEAR). Having successfully played against the Irish in the past, I'm well aware that they haven't always come through when forced to step up and take on elite teams in bowl games. That said, I believe that this year's team is different. While I absolutely respect the Tigers, also a great team, I believe that the Irish can (and will) absolutely compete the entire way. This is a team without a weakness. They brought back a ton of experience from the team which rallied to beat LSU on New Year's Day last year. That was the first New Year's Day win for the Irish since 1994. Having achieved that goal, this team is hungry for more. They've won with defense. They've won with offense. They've won in blowouts and they've shown an ability to win close games. Speaking of close games, you may recall these teams playing a few years ago, at Death Valley. The Tigers had to hang on to win by only two points. While Clemson was already really good, this year's Notre Dame is arguably better than that one. The Tigers have been able to dominate on the ground against weak rush defenses. However, thre teams ranked in the top 30 against the run were able to slow down Clemson. I expect the Irish, who have the best defense that the Tigers will have seen, to have success against the Tiger run game, forcing them to the air. Don't be surprised when this one isn't decided until the final play, the "luck of the Irish," shining on Notre Dame. |
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12-27-18 | Duke v. Temple -3 | Top | 56-27 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on TEMPLE (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Owls come in confident. They won six of their final seven, including a double-digit win at Houston, the lone loss came against UCF. They won their last two games by a combined score of 84-24. Sure, they're going through a coaching change but unlike the last time when it happened a couple of years ago, they're much better prepared - all the assistants stayed on this time. After coming up short in (interim coach) Ed Foley's first chance at a bowl, two years ago, they're going to be hungry to get this one. Duke, meanwhile, lost its last two games by a combined score of 94-13. The Owls have plenty of stats working in their favor, as they've been money at the betting window in recent seasons. One that stands out is their perfect 7-0 ATS record, when coming off an ATS win as a double-digit favorite. Expect the Owls to improve on those stats Thurs. afternoon. |
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12-22-18 | Buffalo -1 v. Troy | Top | 32-42 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* ANNIHILATOR). I successfully played against the Bulls in their last regular season game. That 1-point loss has caused everyone to jump off the bandwagon. The Bulls opened as a 3-point favorite but that quickly came down. I feel thats providing us with plenty of value. The Bulls have still had an excellent season and they're going to come in hungry; they're 10-5 ATS their last 15 off a game where they didn't cover. To me, Troy's double-digit loss to Appalachian State in its last game is more concerning than Buffalo's loss against NIU. The Bulls can put up plenty of points and are never out of a game. As Troy's coach Neal Brown noted: "They’re as good an offense as we’ve faced all year. It starts with the quarterback." (Jackson had 27 TD passed vs. just 11 Ints, throwing for nearly 3000 yards.) With 10 wins, these Bulls have already made history. They're not done yet - expect them to bring home the first bowl win in school history. |
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12-21-18 | Florida International v. Toledo -7 | 35-32 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TOLEDO (8* BC). Over the years, the Rockets are 31-17 ATS when favored in the -3.5 to -10 range. I feel that they'll prove to be too much for FIU and I expect them to improve on those stats this afternoon. The Rockets are a potent offensive team which averages more than 41 ppg. They scored 45 or more in three of their final four, more than 50 in each of their last two. They're going to be tough to keep up with. FIU managed only 25 against Marshall in its last game and is only a few games removed from scoring just 14 against FAU. Of course, thats going to be even tougher for the Panthers without their starting QB. For the second straight year, they'll play their bowl game without their top pivot. Morgan, the CUSA Newcomer Of The Year, had thrown for 26 TDs against just seven INT's, while completing better than 65% of his pases for more than 2700 yards. (The backup Alexander has 1 INT and 0 TDs.) Expect the Rockets to put up another fairly big number and the Panthers to be unable to keep up. |
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12-19-18 | Ohio v. San Diego State +3 | Top | 27-0 | Loss | -119 | 58 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN DIEGO STATE (10* VIOLATOR). After stumbling down the stretch, I believe we're going to see an extremely motivated Aztec team on Wednesday, one which tends to thrive in the underdog role. Note that the Aztecs are 7-1 ATS the last eight times that they were getting points. I believe that the Aztec defense is better than it showed down the stretch. They're strong against the run, which will serve them well against the Ohio ground attack. Note that they're 26-14 ATS over the years, after allowing 24 or more points in the first half of the previous game. While I respect the Bobcats, I feel that their schedule was pretty soft. Note that they're just 3-8 ATS over the year, after b2b victories of 21 or more points. I expect Rocky Long to do a great job of ensureing that losing down the stretch makes for an extremely motivated SDSU team, one that comes away with AT LEAST the Frisco Bowl cover. |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +9 v. Utah State | Top | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 238 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on NORTH TEXAS (10* MAIN EVENT). The Aggies will say all the right things that they're happy to be here. They're not. They wanted a bigger bowl and this is a disappointment. That type of disappointment makes it difficult to win, let alone cover a big number. The Aggies' task is made that much tougher by the fact that the Mean Green are actually pretty good. In 2015, the Mean Green won only a single game, before hiring current head coach Seth Littrell. That hiring proved to be huge for them, as they've been competitive ever since. This marks their second straight season with nine wins and this is their best team under Littrel. While Littrel was rumord to be heading to K-State, he reportedly withdrew his name from consideration. Meanwhile, Utah State's coach (Matt Wells) has already left for Texas Tech. The Aggie offensive and defensive coordinators joined him, too. Having come up short in bowl games the past two seasons, the Mean Green have something to prove. I believe that this game means more to them and I expect that to lead to AT LEAST a cover. |
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12-01-18 | Georgia +13 v. Alabama | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on GEORGIA (10* CONF. CHAMP. GAME OF YEAR). As per usual, Alabama had a dominant season. The Tide finished at 12-0. The Bulldogs weren't far off, however, as they finished at 11-1. With this game being played at Atlanta and the Dawgs getting double-digits at the betting window, I believe that we're getting outstanding value. True, Alabama hammered LSU, the team which handed Georgia its lone loss. However, Sometimes a loss can actually help a team. Since the loss to the Tigers, Georgia has emphasized its power-running game, averaging over 300 rushing yards over its past five games. Thats the one spot (run defense) that the Tide may be a little vulnerable, too. (Over the past two weeks, Alabama has allowed more than 400 rushing yards.) Don't be surprised when the Bulldogs shock the world. |
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12-01-18 | East Carolina v. NC State -23 | 3-58 | Win | 100 | 76 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NC State (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). As indicated by the records and the pointspread, the Wolfpack are a far superior team. Thats already factored into the line. Whats not being accounted for is that they're also going to be the far more motivated team. Yes, all the talk will be on sending the seniors out in style. Thats definitely important. Its more than that though. All those same seniors remember getting upset (33-30) by these same Pirates, back in 2016. This is their first and only chance to avenge that costly September loss. Coach Doeren had this to say about it: "It's already come about the last time we played them. Our guys, a lot of them were in that game. So that's already been brought up, not just by me but by them. Most of our talk's going to be about our seniors. We'll see where it goes after that but all our focus is on beating ECU and playing as good as we can play. The fact that we didn't play well there last time I think resonates with our guys ..." This year's Pirates are 0-4 on the road, getting outscored by a 37.2 to 10.2 average. They're 0-12 SU/ATS their last 12 against a team with a winning record. Expect the revenge-minded Wolfpack to dominate the Pirates under-sized defense, en route to a 30+ point destruction. |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois +3.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 77 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on NIU (10* MAIN EVENT). The Bulls have had an excellent season and are clearly an improved team. Improvement was expected, as they brought back 14 returning starters. While 10 wins may not have been expected, their schedule was considerably softer than the one that NIU played. I'm not convinced that they're the real deal. Mixed in with Buffalo's 10 wins were two blowout losses, which I believe are revealing. Army and Ohio were able to beat them by 29 and 35. We're not talking Alabama and Clemson - Army and Ohio. Army couldn't even beat teams like Lafayette and Colgate by nearly that many. Likewise, for Ohio. Favored by more than 4 TD's, the Bobcats only beat Howard by eight. Yet, those teams destroyed Buffalo. On the other side, I don't think the Huskies, who faced the likes of Utah, Iowa and Florida State, are getting enough respect. This is a team with playmakers all over the field. I'll gladly take the points but I expect the Huskies to rise to the occasion and win this one outright. |
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11-24-18 | Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -4 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on MIAMI (10* ANNIHILATOR). Playing at Pittsburgh, on this very day exactly one year ago, the Panthers upset the Hurricanes last season. However, when the teams last met in Miami, the Canes, who were favored by four points, hammered the Panthers by a 51-28 score. Back at Miami, I expect the Canes to have the advantage once again. While the Panthers are 2-3 away from Pittsburgh, the Canes are 4-1 at Miami. Pitt. has been outscored 25.6 to 24 on the road. Miami has outscored teams by a 39 to 14.8 margin here at home. Visiting teams are averaging just 216.8 yards per game here. The Canes destroyed V-Tech last time out and I expect them to carry the momentum into this afternoon's game. |
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11-24-18 | Syracuse v. Boston College -7 | 42-21 | Loss | -109 | 74 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BC (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). After getting destroyed 36-3 last week, the Orange have had their confidence shaken. They're now 2-3 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 34.6 to 31.8. On the other hand, the Eagles are 5-1 at home, outscoring teams by a 39 to 21.8 margin. Including last season's 42-14 win at Syracuse, as a 4-point favorite, the Eagles are 11-6 ATS (14-3 SU) the last 17 times that they were laying points. They're going to be hungry to snap their 2-game slide, to win on Senior Day and to potentially create a 3-way tie for 2nd in the Atlantic Division. I believe that they're catching the Orange at the right time and I expect a double-digit win. |
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11-23-18 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +4 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 74 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on V-Tech (10* BEST BET). I won with the Hokies in last season's 10-0 win. They were favored by -6.5 or -7 for that one, despite playing on the road. Now, playing at home, we're getting points. With all due respect to Virginia, I believe thats providing us with excellent value on the Hokies. If you just looked at the schedule, you'd see that this is the final game for the 4-6 Hokies, which would mean that they'd have no shot at making a bowl. However, there was an earlier game postponed and V-Tech and Marshall have agreed to a conditional game, which will be played here at Lane Stadium, on Dec. 1st. That means that if V-Tech can win this one, it'd absolutely be looking at bowl eligility. The Hokies have long dominated their instate rival. They'll face a Cavs team which has dropped two if its last three, the lone win coming against Liberty. V-Tech senior Ricky Walker had this to say: "This game is my favorite game of the year. It's nothing like playing those guys. No matter what, they always think they're better than us, and we just keep on winning, and just dominate… at the end of the day we just want to keep that cup in Blacksburg." Everything on the line in the biggest game of the year, expect the Walker and the Hokies to rise to the occasion, earning AT LEAST a cover. |
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11-23-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State +13.5 | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 52 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing on KENT STATE (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). I successfully played against the Flashes in their blowout loss vs. Toledo last week. At the time, within in my game writeup, I mentioned the following: "...If this was KSU's home or season finale, there might be some extra motivation. However, they host Eastern Michigan next week. So, the Flashes don't even have that going for them..." Anyway, the Eastern Michigan game is now upon us and I do indeed expect KSU to have some "extra motivation." While Eastern Michigan has won b2b games, the Eagles are already 0-2 ATS on the season, after consecutive SU victories. With four of the Eagles' five road games having been decided by seven or less, I'm grabbing the points. |
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11-22-18 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss +11 | 35-3 | Loss | -109 | 79 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OLE MISS (8* ANNIHILATOR). There's no denying that the Bulldogs have had the stronger season. Clearly, they deserve to be favored. That said, while we can't just ignore the stats, these type of rivalry games often take on a character of their own. Last season, the Rebels were +14 point underdogs but won outright. The previous season, the Bulldogs were double-digit underdogs but won outright, by 35 points. Note that the Bulldogs have only one road win and that came way back in September, at K-State. Its also worth mentioning that the Bulldogs are just 3-6 ATS their last nine, off a conference win. Off last week's controversial loss against Vanderbilt, Ole Miss coach Matt Luke had this to say: "...We got a big game on Thursday. That's really the only thing that'll make this better, trying to find a way to prepare and get that taste out of our mouth." This season's struggles notwithstanding, only two teams have beaten the Bulldogs by more than 15 points this season - and those teams were Alabama and LSU. (Both those teams also beat the Bulldogs by more than 15.) Look for the Rebels' best effort to lead to AT LEAST another Egg Bowl cover. |
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11-17-18 | Tulsa v. Navy -5 | Top | 29-37 | Win | 100 | 78 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on NAVY (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Midshipmen have had an extremely difficult schedule. Tulsa is the weakest team that they've faced since September. Their last four games came against the likes of Cincinnati, UCF, Houston and Notre Dame. Those teams are 9-1, 9-0, 7-3 and 10-0. Now, the Midshipmen take a significant step down in class to take on a Tulsa team which is just 2-8. With a rare chance at victory, they won't waste the opportunity. Navy beat Tulsa by double-digits last season. Considering that Tulsa is winless on the road, each of the last four losses coming by double-digits, I'm expecting more of the same Saturday afternoon. |
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11-17-18 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest +7 | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WF. Off three straight wins, the Panthers have admittedly been playing well. They can actually clinch the division title here, which has driven up the line. In my opinion, thats providing us with excellent value on the home underdog Deacons. Wake Forest showed it wasn't ready to wave the white flag on its season, winning at NC State last week. While the Panthers would obviously like to wrap up the division now, instead of having to do so against Miami, the Deacons are arguably more desperate, as they're fighting to become bowl eligible. Despite the implications of the game, I think it may be easy for the Panthers to look past Wake Forest. Note that Pittsburgh is just 4-9-1 ATS the past 14 times that it was a favorite. During the same stretch, Wake Forest was 13-7 ATS as an underdog. I'm taking the points. |
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11-15-18 | Florida Atlantic +3.5 v. North Texas | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on FAU (10* BEST BET). The Owls hammered North Texas again last season, after beating the Mean Green by 38 points (69-31) the previous season. Off b2b blowout wins and playing their best football of the season right now, I feel that they're offering us excellent value once again. Thats particularly true with this line opening below three and passing right through that important number. Having put up nearly 1200 yards of total offense their past two games alone, the Owls are oozing with confidence right now. On the other hand, North Texas lost outright, when favored by more than two touchdowns, in its last game. I'll gladly grab the points but I like FAU to win this one outright. |
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11-15-18 | Toledo -13 v. Kent State | 56-34 | Win | 100 | 78 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TOLEDO (8* MAC ANNIHILATOR). There's a real difference in talent and motivation in this one. The Rockets are a much better team, still trying to lock down a bowl berth. The Flashes are a weak team, essentially playing out the string. The only two teams that KSU defeated this season were a bad Bowling Green team and Howard, a Div 1AA team. If this was KSU's home or season finale, there might be some extra motivation. However, they host Eastern Michigan next week. So, the Flashes don't even have that going for them. Toledo has taken care of business against weaker teams. The Rockets played some tough non-conf. opponents (like Fresno State and Miami) and their conf. losses have come against the likes of NIU and Buffalo. Their 51-24 blowout win at Western Michigan on 10/25 shows that the Rockets are more than capable of winning big on the road. Expect them to do so here, picking up the cover along the way. |
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11-14-18 | Buffalo v. Ohio -1 | Top | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 55 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on OHIO (10* MAIN EVENT). Yes, I successfully played against the Bobcats, at Miami, last week. However, I've also won with them this season and I'm coming right back with them here. Even after spotting Miami a 28-7 lead, the Bobcats were never out of it. Here at home, they've been dominant, a perfect 4-0. Their last two games here saw the Bobcats win by a combined score of 101-28. Granted, Buffalo has had an excellent season. Even if the Bobcats beat the Bulls here, its going to be very difficult to catch them in the MAC East. Buffalo's final game is on the road. However, it comes against a weak Bowling Green team. So, the Bulls know that even if lose this one, they're still in pretty good shape. Division implications aside, expect the Bobcats to make a statement, showing that they may finish second in the East but that they can beat any team in the league, at least when playing on their home field. |
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11-10-18 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic -19.5 | 15-34 | Loss | -108 | 98 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing FAU (10* GOM). Much to the delight of Lane Kiffin, the Owls finally played up to their potential last time out, crushing rival FIU by a 49-14 score. Kiffin commented: "Running the ball and stopping the run — 439 yards rushing to 96. You're going to win every game if you do that. That's probably why I was most excited after the game, besides the rivalry part of it — that we finally played how we should've been playing all year long." I fully expect Kiffin's crew to carry the momentum into Saturday against an overmatched Western Kentucky team. The Hilltoppers have seen better days. They've now lost five straight. Two of those five were on the road and they lost those ones by a combined score of 69-24. While Kiffin hadn't arrived yet, he'll make sure to remind his players of the embarrassing 52-3 loss that FAU suffered in 2016, the last time that the Hilltoppers visited. The shoe's on the other foot this time. Expect a one-sided blowout. |
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11-10-18 | TCU +13.5 v. West Virginia | 10-47 | Loss | -115 | 93 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TCU (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). Without question, WVU has been the hotter team at the betting window this season. The Mountaineers are 6-2 against the number while the Frogs are just 1-7 ATS. Those results have led to a higher than normal pointspread, as we're actually able to get TCU as a double-digit underdog. With all due respect to WVU, I feel that'll prove to be too many points. The Frogs last two games have each been decided by a single point. In fact, four of their past five have been decided by three or fewer points. The fact that they finally won one of those close ones, provides some much needed confidence and positive momentum. Speaking of close games, the Mountaineers are also off a 1-point win, their second straight win overall. Note that they're just 5-10 ATS the last 15 times that they were off two or more consec. SU victories. Last year's game came down to the wire, TCU winning by seven. I'm expecting another close one and am grabbing the generous points. |
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11-07-18 | Ohio v. Miami-OH +4.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on MIAMI OHIO (10* VIOLATOR). With the line climbing above three, in my opinion, we're getting excellent value with the home underdog. Note that Miami is 12-6 ATS its last 18, when getting points. Note that Ohio will be playing its second straight road game. This marks the third time that the Bobcats played b2b games away from home. In both previous cases, they lost. Off a neutral site game, they lost (but covered) at Cincy the next week. (I won with Ohio that week.) Off a game at Kent State, the Bobcats then lost at NIU. Note that both games were very close, each decided by four or less. Miami won its last game here by a score of 31-6 and lost its previous one by a single points. I like Miami's chances of the outright upset but in a game that may well come down to the wire, I'll happily grab the points. |
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11-03-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Mississippi State -20.5 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 127 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on MISS. STATE (10* NON-CONF GAME OF YEAR). The team from the SEC won last year's "Bulldog Battle" by 36 points. That was at LA Tech, too. With this year's rematch being placed at Miss. State, I'm absolutely expecting another lopsided result. The Bulldogs are 3-0 SU/ATS when facing a team from outside of SEC play, making the most of every non-conf. opportunity. LA Tech is playing the second of b2b road games. They'll face a Miss. State team which is outscoring teams by an average of 35.2 to 10.2 here at home. Their last two games here have been blowout victories over A&M and Auburn. Expect a one-sided affair. |
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11-03-18 | Syracuse v. Wake Forest +4.5 | 41-24 | Loss | -109 | 120 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WAKE FOREST (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The Demon Deacons may only be 2-3 their last five games. However, thats not as bad as it sounds. Two of the three home games came against Clemon and Notre Dame. The road games were at Louisville and Florida State. The Decaons were underdogs in four of the five. Again, 2-3 wasn't so bad. Now, they return home fresh off a 56-35 thrashing of the Cardinals, at Louisville and full on confidence. The opportunity to host a ranked opponent, one they feel that they can beat, has them licking their chops. While the Orange were 2-6 ATS (0-8 SU!) in November the past two seasons, the Deacons were 6-2 ATS. That includes a 64-43 win at Syracuse last season. With the Deacons now 12-6 ATS their last 18 in the underdog role, I'm taking the points. |
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11-01-18 | Ohio v. Western Michigan -2 | Top | 59-14 | Loss | -105 | 82 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on WESTERN MICHIGAN. I had the 'over' in last week's WMU game. So, I wasn't thrilled when QB Wassinick went down in the first quarter. However, Kaleb Eleby quickly put my mind at rest. Eleby completed his first eight passes and finished the game 23-for-28 for 293 yards, two touchdowns and a QB rating of 193.6. While the Broncos still lost, poor QB play wasn't the problem. This week, the Broncos will face Ohio, a team that they beat (29-23) to win the MAC title a couple of years ago. The Broncos did a fantastic job of shutting down the Ohio running game in that one, holding the Bobcats to 37 yards on 22 carries. Overall, they held a commanding edge in total yards and time of possession. The Broncos were favored by more than two TDs (opened at -18, closed at -16.5) for that one, despite the game being played at Ford Field. Of course, the faces are different now and much has changed. However, not enough has changed to warrant such a massive pointspread swing, in my opinion. While I respect the Bobcats (won with them at Cincy) they've only won one of four games away from home and that came by a single point. True, the Broncos got lit up last week. Its also true that the last time that they were off a loss, they responded with a 68-0 win, the start of a 6-game winning streak. They're 2-1 ATS the past couple of seasons off a conference loss and 4-1 ATS when playing a game where the line ranged from -3 to +3. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats Thursday. |
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10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -3 | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -102 | 124 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on STANFORD (10* PAC 12 GOM). The Cougars have been rolling but I expect the Cardinal to finally slow them down on Saturday. I won with the Cardinal in their last game, a road win at ASU. I really like the fact that game was on a Thursday, giving Stanford some extra time for this big showdown. This is a game that Stanford has had circled as the Cougars beat them each of the last two seasons, blowing them out here in 2016. The Cardinal haven't forgotten. While the Cougars are allowing 31.7 ppg on the road this season, the Cardinal are allowing 15.7 pgg at home. Playing at home, where they're 17-8 ATS the last 25 times that the O/U line ranged from 52.5 to 56, expect them to finish on top, covering the small number along the way. |
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10-27-18 | Arizona State v. USC -6.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -102 | 119 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on USC (8* MAIN EVENT). I successfully played against the Sun Devils in their last game (Stanford) and I'm going against them again here. While the losses have all been fairly close, Arizona State has now lost two straight and four of five. Those tight losses start taking a toll on a team and I feel that the Sun Devils are ripe for a blowout. While ASU has lost all three of its road games, USC has won all three of its home games. ASU averages 20.7 ppg on the road, USC averages 37.7 ppg at home. USC won 48-17 last season and 41-20 the year before. Expect more of the same Saturday afternoon. |
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10-26-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Florida Atlantic -2.5 | Top | 21-13 | Loss | -109 | 104 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on FAU (10* VIOLATOR). Its been a tough start to the season for the Owls. However, the reality is that they've had an extremely difficult schedule. They've only played three home games and they won all three of them. The four road games came at places like Oklahoma and UCF. A home game against LA Tech, a team the Owls hammered 48-23 last November, figures to be just what the doctor ordered. While the Bulldogs are off a win, note that they're already 0-2 ATS when off a conference victory. Both teams obviously need the win but the Owls arguably need it more. This is an FAU team which absolutely still expects to get to a bowl but one which knows it needs to take care of business in this game to make that goal realistic. Expect a win and cover. |
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10-20-18 | Memphis v. Missouri -9.5 | Top | 33-65 | Win | 100 | 94 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on MISSOURI (10* GAME OF MONTH). This game was already going to be very tough for the Tigers to win. However, last week's result will make it even more so. Memphis is off a heart-breaking loss against UCF. The Tigers were up big at halftime, squandered the lead, had a chance to win, only to lose 31-30. As quarterback Brady White said: "This one hurts, for sure. We should've won that game." That very likely killed Memphis' hopes of competing for a division title. Those type of losses often take a toll and I expect that to be the case here. Missouri is off games against Georgia, South Carolina and Alabama, the last two of which came on the road. A break from SEC play will provide a welcome relief. Missouri is already 2-0 SU/ATS as a home favorite this season, winning by 37 and 27. Expect another double-digit win on Saturday afternoon. |
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10-20-18 | Cincinnati v. Temple -3.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 115 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TEMPLE (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). Both teams are hot. Since a terrible 0-2 start, the Owls have gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS. Meanwhile, the Bearcats are a perfect 6-0 SU on the season, covering five of six. I went against them in the lone game (Ohio) which they failed to cover - another 12 ET kick - and I feel that this is another good spot to do so. While the Bearcats certainly deserve credit for their record, since the opening upset of UCLA, the schedule has been pretty soft. The Owls won by double-digits each of the past two seasons. Including the 34-13 victory here in October of 2016, the Owls are 9-1 ATS their last 10 October games. The Bearcats are 2-7 ATS their last nine against teams with a winning record while Temple is 10-2 ATS its last 12 against winning teams. Expect the Owls to improve on those stats Sat. afternoon. |
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10-18-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 75 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on STANFORD (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Cardinal had to fight hard to come back to beat Oregon. That victory seemed to take a toll, as they were hammered at Notre Dame the next week. Their undefeated record snapped, they followed it up with another loss, vs Utah, after that. Having had some time off, since those back-to-back losses, I expect the Cardinal to respond with their best effort on Thursday night. Stanford is 7-1 SU (5-2-1 ATS) its last eight as a road favorite. That includes a 3-0-1 ATS mark as a road favorite of three or fewer points. The Cardinal have suffered b2b SU losses (in the same season) twice over the past couple of seasons. Each time, they responded by winning and covering their next game, a 17-10 win at Notre Dame and a 58-34 win against UCLA. Expect them to bounce back with another win and cover Thursday. |
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10-13-18 | Colorado v. USC -7 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 58 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on USC (10* GAME OF WEEK). Colorado comes in with the higher ranking but the Trojans are favored for good reason. While all they can do is beat who the teams that they face, a closer look at the Buffaloes' schedule shows that its been very soft. The only true road game was at Nebraska and the Huskers have been a mess. The other games came against Colorado State, UCLA, New Hampshire and Arizona State - none of which have the type of talent that USC does. The Trojans are still undefeated at home and they're off back-to-back victories of their own. Those two wins (vs. Washington State and at Arizona) are both arguably more impressive than anything Colorado has accomplished. The Trojans won at 14 at Colorado this season. Look for the Buffaloes, just 4-9 ATS the last 13 times that they were listed as road underdogs in the 3.5 to 7 range, to come back down to earth. |
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10-12-18 | Air Force v. San Diego State -10 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -125 | 59 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN DIEGO STATE (10* PERS FAV). Since losing its opening game to Stanford, San Diego State has been rolling. The Aztecs have now won four straight, most recently beating Boise, on the blue turf, last Saturday. That was a huge win for them and opened the door for a run at a New Year's Day Bowl. They're not going to let a weaker team like Air Force slow their momentum. Indeed, the Aztecs are 9-1 ATS (10-0 SU) their last 10 against sub-500 teams. While the Falcons are off a win over Navy, they'd lost their previous three. Though they, of course, do it differently, the Falcons are a team which runs the ball. Thats noteworthy as the Aztec defense was absolutely dominant against the Boise ground game. The Broncos managed just 51 rushing yards on 36 attempts. The Aztecs also successfully slowed the Falcons ground game (220 yards) in winning last season's game. Including that result, the Falcons are just 4-14 ATS their last 18 in conference play. Expect the short turn-around to work in the Aztecs' favor, as they ultimately pull away for a double-digit win. |
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10-09-18 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas State +10 | 35-9 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARKANSAS STATE (8* ANNIHILATOR). Arguably the top team in the Sun Belt West Division, the Red Wolves are 3-2 on the season, 2-0 here at home. Their only loss by greater than seven points came at Alabama. While we have to go back several years, note that the Red Wolves are a perfect 4-0 ATS the last four times that they were listed as home underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 point range. Speaking of "perfect," Arkansas State was also a perfect 7-0 ATS the past two Octobers. During the same stretch, Appalachian State was 3-5 ATS in October. The Mountaineers lost a lot of players from last season's team. Look for those losses to catch up to them here, the Red Wolves coming through with AT LEAST the cover. |
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10-07-18 | Wyoming +3.5 v. Hawaii | 13-17 | Loss | -112 | 102 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WYOMING (8*). I've successfully played against the Warriors a couple of times already, most recently last week at San Jose State. The Warriors did manage to win the game outright - eventually - but were never covering the spread. They're now playing their seventh game already, one more than Wyoming. During that span, they've been back and forth to the mainland nearly every week. Expect that travel and last week's OT marathon to catch up with them here. The Cowboys are off to a tough 2-3 start. However, the losses came against Washington State, Missouri and Boise State. Off the loss to Boise and still expecting/hoping to have success within the conference, they're going to be hungry. Note that Wyoming is 5-1 ATS its last six off a conference loss and 6-0 ATS its last six in October. Meanwhile, the Warriors are now just 1-9 ATS the last 10 times that they were favored. In what could be another close one, I'm grabbing the points. That said, I'm expecting an outright win by the visitors. |
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10-06-18 | Colorado State -2.5 v. San Jose State | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 100 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO STATE (8*). As some of you will recall, I covered with the Spartans last week. I predicted that they would take Hawaii down to the wire with a great shot at the outright upset. The Spartans did have numerous opportunities to score the outright win and very nearly pulled it off. Ultimately, however, they'd come up short, losing 44-41 in the 5th OT period. That's the type of loss that can be tough to recover from, both emotionally and physically. The Rams, meanwhile, are off a bye. The Rams hammered the Spartans 42-14 last season and they won by seven the last time that they played here. With the schedule in their favor and catching the Spartans off the tough "marathon" loss, expect another win and cover. |
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10-06-18 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh +6 | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 120 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). I believe that this is going to prove a tough spot for Syracuse. The Orange very nearly upset Clemson last week. However, after leaving it all on the field, they ended up coming up a little short, Clemson winning 27-23. After coming so close to scoring the monumental upset, only to come up short, I expect them to have trouble focusing on the task at hand here. Note that Syracuse is just 2-8 SU (3-6-1 ATS) its last 10, off a conference loss. Last year's game at Syracuse was decided by three points, the second time in the past three seasons that these teams saw their game decided by a field goal. Overall, the Orange were 0-2 SU last season when playing the second of b2b road games. The Panthers are 7-3 ATS their last 10 against teams with a winning record and they're 4-2 ATS (5-1 SU) the last six times that they were off b2b SU losses. I'm taking the points. |
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10-06-18 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -10 | Top | 29-19 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on MICHIGAN STATE (10* GAME OF WEEK). I believe that this is going to prove a tough spot for Northwestern. The Wildcats very nearly upset Michigan last week. However, after leaving it all on the field, they ended up coming up a little short, Michigan winning 20-17. After coming so close to scoring the monumental upset, only to come up short, I expect them to have trouble focusing on the task at hand here. The Spartans are coming in with payback on their minds, after losing last season's meeting in triple-OT and after the Wildcats upset them here the previous season. The Spartans are highly experienced on both sides of the ball and they haven't forgotten those games. Expect a double-digit win. |
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10-05-18 | Georgia Tech v. Louisville +4.5 | Top | 66-31 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on LOUISVILLE (10* BEST BET). The Cardinals' tough (2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS) start has helped in providing us with excellent value. However, lets not forget that the Cards were underdogs for all three of the games that they dropped, so the losses weren't entirely unexpected. The Jackets are also 2-3 and they have yet to win on the road. In fact, including their losses at USF and Pittsburgh, the Jackets are 0-4 SU/ATS the past four times that they were laying points on the road. The Cards are 25-14 ATS the last 39 times that they were off b2b consecutive SU losses. |
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09-29-18 | Oregon v. California +3.5 | Top | 42-24 | Loss | -115 | 133 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAL (10* GAME OF YEAR). The Ducks hammered the Bears last season. However, everything sets up for the Bears to get some payback. While the Ducks have indeed won eight of the past nine meetings, the Bears did take the most recent here in Berkeley. You may recall that one, as it was a double-OT (52-49) thriller. Speaking of "OT games," I won with the Ducks "over" the total in last Saturday's game against Stanford. (Top rated CFB Totals now 5-0 YTD.) Not only did the game finish comfortably above the total, it served another purpose. It helped knock the wind out of the Ducks. If you only watched the first portion of that game, you would have seen an Oregon team which was dominating. Announcers were proclaiming that "this was a new breed of Duck," one that was now pushing around Stanford, instead of being pushed. In the end, however, the Cardinal still finished on top, a 38-31 comeback OT win. (In case, you missed it, the Ducks were up 24-7. Stanford recovered a fumble with 52 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter to allow for the tying FG to force OT.) Thats the type of result that can and will take a toll on a team. The Ducks had indeed been playing great and they left it all on the field. Stanford was a team which had crushed them twice in a row and they were so close to settling the score. To get that close, only to come up short, is tough to recover from. Thats particularly true given that the Ducks were thinking "undefeated season" if they could beat Stanford too. Broken dreams are most difficult to overcome when so close to actually happening. Cal, meanwhile, checks in off a bye week. While the Ducks were involved in a tough physical OT loss, the Bears were resting, watching and game-planning. Not only are they fresh, but they're going to come in confident. The Bears began the season by beating UNC by seven. Next, they went on the road and won at BYU. Thats no small feat when considering that BYU is now 3-1, including road wins at Arizona and Wisconsin. This is an experienced Cal team, too; the Bears brought back 18 starters from last season. They've been tough at home in recent seasons and they fully understand the magnitude of this game and the opportunity which is in front of them. The Ducks have struggled on the road in recent seasons and are just 1-4 ATS their last five as a road favorite. I feel the devastating Stanford loss is going to have a big effect and I'm grabbing the points. |
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09-29-18 | Hawaii v. San Jose State +11.5 | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 76 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ STATE (8* BEST BET). We're still in September and the Warriors are already playing their sixth game. Thats a pretty busy schedule, particularly for a team which has had to go back and forth from the island to the mainland. The Spartans, meanwhile, have had the past two weeks off. At 0-3, they're hungry for a win. Their last two games, both on the road, came against the likes of Washington State and Oregon. So, losing those games was expected. Note that they lost by only 13, at Oregon. While the Warriors are 1-8 ATS the last nine times that they were favored, the Spartans are 8-4 ATS the last 12 times that they were home underdogs in the 10 to 14 range. Grab the points but don't be surprised to see an outright upset. |
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09-29-18 | Cincinnati v. Connecticut +17.5 | 49-7 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on UCONN (8* LATE-BREAKING). Last season's game, at Cincinnati, was decided by only a single point. Laying -6.5 points, the Bearcats won 22-21. The previous season, the Bearcats were favored by three, here at Connecticut. The Huskies won 20-9. Now, the Bearcats are being asked to win by greater than two touchdowns. I believe thats asking too much. I successfully played against the Bearcats last week, stating that they'd have their hands full with Ohio. Look for the Bearcats, now 2-8 ATS the last 10 times that they were favored, to get tested, more than most will be expecting, once again. |
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09-29-18 | Virginia v. NC State -5 | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 69 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NC STATE (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). I believe that this will be a good spot to go against the Cavs. They just hammered Louisville, a team which beat them badly last season. Next up, they have a bye, followed by Miami, another team which beat them badly last season. Going on the road, where they are already 0-1, to face an NC State team they haven't faced in several years, is going to prove tough. Keep in mind that Virginia is only 3-10 on the road the past 2+ seasons. During that span, the Cavs are 1-3 ATS off a conference victory. The Wolfpack are 11-4 their last 15 at home, 6-2 SU/ATS their last eight off of two or more consecutive victories. Lay the points. |
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09-22-18 | Ohio +10 v. Cincinnati | 30-34 | Win | 100 | 137 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OHIO (8* SHOCKER). Don't be 'shocked' if the Bobcats find a way to win this one outright. The loss against Virginia wasn't completely unexpected but it was disappointing, as Ohio had actually entertained thoughts of running the table. That game - and this one - were two hurdles standing in their way. This is a well-coached team which typically bounces back from a loss with a big effort. Backed by arguably the best offense in the MAC, I expect them to be at their best. While the Bearcats have obviously gotten off to a great start, I expect them to come back to earth a little here - this is still year #2 in what was supposed to be a 3-year rebuilding process; the team was just 4-8 last season. Grab the points. |
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09-22-18 | Akron v. Iowa State -18 | 13-26 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on IOWA STATE (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). While the Zips are off to a nice 2-0 start, they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Cyclones have started off with a pair of difficult games, rival Iowa (on the road) and Oklahoma. So, its not overly surprising that they're 0-2. The Cyclones catch the Zips off an upset road win, playing their second straight on the road and with an instate conference game on deck. While the status of Kempt has helped to keep the line a little lower than it could have easily been, I'm not convinced that Noland (360 yards, 2 TDs vs OU) isn't the better option anyway. Last year, these teams met in the third week, at Akron. The Cyclones were off an OT loss to Iowa. They started a bit slowly but pulled away for a 41-14 blowout. Including that result, they're 8-2 ATS their last 10 off a SU loss. Playing at home, I expect an even more lopsided result Saturday afternoon. |
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09-21-18 | Washington State v. USC -4 | 36-39 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on USC. While the Trojans obviously did not look good last week, lets not forget that it was their second straight road game, after losing at Stanford the previous week. In addition to licking their wounds from the Stanford game, they also could have easily been looking ahead to tonight's game. They're back home now and I expect a much better effort. The Cougars haven't faced nearly the same type of opposition that the Trojans have. Yet, they're still giving up huge yardage. The last time that the Trojans, who haven't forgotten that these same Cougars handed them their only conference loss last season, lost twice in a row was in Sept. of 2016. Like this season, they'd followed up a road loss against Stanford with another road loss (at Utah) the following week. What happened? With everyone doubting them, they returned home and blew out Arizona State. Laying -9, they won by 21. Expect another win and cover tonight. |
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09-21-18 | Florida Atlantic +14 v. Central Florida | 36-56 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA ATLANTIC (10* BEST BET). The Knights, who come in with a top 20 ranking, are fairly heavily favored. However, I don't feel that the gap between the teams is nearly as wide as the pointspread suggests. Yes, the Owls got beat up by Oklahoma in their first game. No big deal, that was expected. They've responded by winning each of their next two games. Lets not forget that the Owls brought back 10 on the defensive side alone, from a team which went 11-3 and won its bowl game by a 50-3 score. With the competition dropping, naturally, the offense has improved each week. Still, thats going to give them that confidence to know that they can trade punches in this nationally televised showdown. While the Owls got a taste of big time football (Oklahoma) the Knights have yet to face a quality opponent. Note that their final three games last season, if including their bowl, were all decided by seven or less. I expect another close one and am grabbing the points. |
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09-20-18 | Tulsa v. Temple -6.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on TEMPLE (10* MAIN EVENT). After a horrible start, the Owls got back on track in a big way last time out, going on the road and blowing out Maryland. That'll give them confidence here. Tulsa, on the other hand, has gone the opposite direction, losing its last two. Keep in mind that the Golden Hurricane were only 2-10 last season. While I do believe that they're improved, they haven't improved enough. Temple pulls away for a double-digit win. |
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09-15-18 | Arizona State v. San Diego State +6 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 36 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN DIEGO STATE (10* BEST BET). We're getting excellent value with the Aztecs for a number of reasons. A few of those reasons include: 1. The Sun Devils are 2-0 and off an upset of Michigan State causing bettors to jump on the bandwagon. 2. The Sun Devils are playing with 'revenge' from last year, an angle the betting public typically favors. 3. The Aztecs are without their starting QB. None of those reasons are enough to cause me to believe Arizona State can even win this game, let alone cover a pointspread which has continued to get bigger since its opener. The revenge angle can sometimes be a motivating factor but its not going to come into play for a team celebrating last week's upset and looking ahead to conference play, which I feel makes them ripe for an upset. The Aztecs dominated last year's game on the ground, so the loss of Chapman isn't a huge concern. In fact, they weren't really playing that well with Chapman in the game last week and only pulled away after he went down. Agnew got some much needed game-experience, going 11-for-17. While the Aztecs have won 11 of 14 here, ASU, which was 3-8 on the road the past two seasons, is just 1-4 ATS the past five times it was off two or more consecutive victories. I'm grabbing the points. |
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09-15-18 | BYU v. Wisconsin -21 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WISCONSIN (8* ANNIHILATOR). I won with the Cougars when upset Arizona. So, I know they're capable of winning away from home. However, this is an entirely different venue, one which is going to be extremely hostile. Note that Wisconsin hammered the Cougars by a 40-6 score, at BYU, last September. The Badgers dominated that game statistically, while possessing the ball for more than 40 minutes. The Badgers have started slowly in each of their first two games yet still pulled away to win by 31 points each time. Last time out, they ran for more than 400 (417) yards. BYU, on the other hand, managed less than 100 (93) yards on the ground. The tough loss against Cal is going to be tough for the Cougars to bounce back from. Expect the Badgers to keep building momentum, improving to 13-7 ATS (17-3 SU) the last 20 times that they were off b2b SU victories. |
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09-15-18 | Hawaii v. Army -6.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 122 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARMY (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). I successfully played against the Warriors last week, when they were big favorites against Rice. Though they've now switched to the underdog role, I believe that they're still over-valued. Note that this has not been a role which has been kind to the Warriors; they're 5-15 ATS (2-18 SU!) the last 20 times that they were listed as road underdogs in the 3.5 to 7 range. Its a long way to go from playing the last game of the board last Saturday, in Hawaii, to playing the first game on the board this Saturday. Expect it to catch up with the Warriors here, as Army builds off last week's 449-rushing yard effort en route to another win and cover. |
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09-15-18 | Florida State -3 v. Syracuse | Top | 7-30 | Loss | -130 | 118 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on FSU (10* ACC GAME OF YEAR). Off their opening loss against V-Tech, the Noles came out flat against an inferior opponent last week, winning but not covering. They'll be fully "recovered" now though and I expect them to take out their frustrations on the Orange. The Noles have long thrived as small road favorites and they've dominated Syracuse for years. They won 45-14 last time here, while laying -23 points. The Orange have indeed improved, but not by enough. Expect another win and cover for the determined visitors. |
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09-08-18 | Rice +17.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 29-43 | Win | 100 | 76 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on RICE (10* BEST BET). This line is far too big, in my opinion. Its an over-reaction to last week's results. Hawaii won big while Rice was blown out. However, a closer look reveals that the Owls won their first game and though they lost big, they still covered. Hawaii does deserve some credit for its 2-0 start. However, now the inexperienced Warriors go from being the big underdog to being the big favorite, a role they're unfamiliar with. Expect the Owls to give them all they can handle. |
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09-08-18 | Appalachian State v. Charlotte +14 | 45-9 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE (8* SPECIAL). Many are going to look at this matchup and remember how bad (1-11) the 49ers were last season, and the past few seasons. They'll also consider that Appalachian St, fresh off a 9-4 reg. season and 34-0 bowl win, took Penn State to OT last week. Therefore, they'll jump to the seemingly logical conclusion that any team capable of nearly beating Penn State must be capable of beating a team which was 1-11 last season. Sounds reasonable enough. Unfortunately, things aren't that easy and in this case, that type of logic doesn't hold water. The Mountaineers did indeed give the Lions all they could handle last week, giving it everything they had. Those type of losses, the ones where they left it all on the field and nearly scored a huge upset, only to come up short, can take a toll. While I respect their coach and program, I believe that the Mountaineers are going to have real trouble bouncing back. Keep in mind that this team lost a lot of personnel from last season. The 49ers, on the other hand, are off a momentum-building blowout win over Fordham. Sure, thats to be expected. However, it was also great for the team's confidence. They waited many weeks for their first victory last season and haven't blown anyone out in years. With 18 returning starters, this is a much improved Charlotte team. In fact, with 10 starters back on the defensive side, this is going to be the best defense in program history. So, we've got an undervalued experienced team, which has a chip on its shoulder and which is coming in with some positive momentum. They'll hosting a less experienced team which just about pulled off a monumental upset, leaving it all out on the field, only to come up short. Grab the points. |
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09-08-18 | Western Michigan +28.5 v. Michigan | 3-49 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WESTERN MICHIGAN (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). With this line climbing from its opener, I believe that we're getting excellent value with an improved Broncos team. Yes, the Wolverines are a very talented team with an elite defense. (We won with the Under in their game last week.) Yet, last week's game is going to take a toll. They were expecting to win that one and potentially roll through the entire season. Those dreams shattered right out of the gate, I believe its going to be difficult to immediately bounce back while being asked to cover such a big number. Note that they're just 2-6 ATS the last eight times that they were favored in the -21.5 to -31 range. With the Broncos at 8-4 ATS on the road the past couple of seasons, I'm grabbing the points. |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL -3 v. LSU | Top | 17-33 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on MIAMI (10* MAIN EVENT). The "neutral site" venue is AT&T Stadium which gives the Tigers a slight home field edge, due to crowd support. However, it won't be enough to overcome the advantages which the Hurricanes have working in their favor. The Canes are experienced on both sides of the ball and represent Richt's best team since coming here. The Tigers suffered pretty heavy losses on both sides of the ball. They're learning a new offense after losing last season's QB, top two RB's and top two WR's. Expect more experienced Miami to pull away for a win and cover. |
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09-01-18 | BYU +11 v. Arizona | Top | 28-23 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on BYU (10* BEST BET). We're getting plenty of points with what I feel is an under-valued and extremely motivated Cougar team. BYU brings back plenty of starters on both sides of the ball and is determined to get rid of the bad taste from last year. While beating Arizona isn't going to be easy, the Wildcats do have a new coach. Sumlin brings an impressive record with him and he's admittedly got plenty work with. success isn't always immediate and I have expect him to have his hands full here. I especially like the matchup of the experience BYU defensive line vs. the inexperienced Arizona offensive line. The Cougars have long had success in season openers and I expect them to give their hosts all they can handle. |
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09-01-18 | Appalachian State v. Penn State -23.5 | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PENN STATE (8* ANNIHILATOR). This one figures to be a mismatch, as the Nitanny Lions have numerous advantages across the board. A veteran offensive line in particular will come in to play here against an Appalachian defensive line which lost its top two tacklers from last season. Penn State has been unbeatable at home the past couple of seasons and kicked things off with a 52-0 rout of Akron in Week 1. Expect another one-sided affair. |
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09-01-18 | Oregon State v. Ohio State -37.5 | 31-77 | Win | 100 | 766 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OHIO STATE (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The Beavers are at the wrong place, at the wrong time. While Oregon State is in rebuilding mode, the Buckeyes are thinking National Championship. (Yes, even without Urban Meyer around for the first few games!) This is a team which virtually never loses its home opener - but which did so last year. They haven't forgotten that 31-16 upset and will be looking to run up the score against a far inferior opponent. Keep in mind that Oregon State was 1-11 last season, the lone win coming against Portland State. The Beavers allowed 49, 40 and 69 points in their final three games. In fact, they allowed 36 or more in 10 of 12 overall. Expect the Buckeyes to score early and often, keeping the pedal to the metal the entire way en route to a blowout win and cover. |
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08-31-18 | Western Kentucky v. Wisconsin -34 | Top | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 1091 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on WISCONSIN (10* GAME OF MONTH). The Badgers have won their last 22 opening season Camp Randall games. Those victories have come by an average of 26 points. This season's opener figures to be even more lopsided. At first glance, this might seem like a big number to be laying against a WKU team which was a combined 23-5 in 2015/16. However, the Hilltoppers took a step back last year and this season is likely going to be even tougher. Certainly, it won't start as well. (Last season, the Hilltoppers were -36 point favorites in their opener against Eastern Kentucky. They won by 14.) The Badgers are off a dominant season and return nine starters on offense. They're not going to be stopped, nor will they let up. The Hilltoppers, who return only three starters on offense, aren't equipped to trade punches, or to try and catch up. The Badgers are thinking National Title this season. Expect them to make a statement, kicking things off by destroying their inferior opponent. |
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08-30-18 | Northwestern v. Purdue -1 | 31-27 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PURDUE (8* MAIN EVENT). This line has come down from its opener and I believe thats providing us with plenty of value on the Boilermakers. The Wildcats have admittedly fared well on the road in recent seasons and they beat Purdue pretty badly here in 2016. There was a much wider talent gap between the teams for that one though; NW was favored by roughly two TDs. Times have changed now, however, as the Boilermakers are significantly improved while the same cannot be said for their guests. Payback time. |
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08-25-18 | Wyoming -5 v. New Mexico State | 29-7 | Win | 100 | 966 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WYOMING (8* VIOLATOR). Bad news for New Mexico State as this is arguably Craig Bohl's best team in his five years here. With 17 returning starters, this is a Wyoming team with big aspirations. They've got the edge on both sides of the ball for this one. While the Cowboys have historically struggled in road openers, this is a golden opportunity to start a new tradition. Expect the experienced Cowboys to pull away for another double-digit win. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama v. Clemson | Top | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 680 h 13 m | Show |
10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR I'm playing on Alabama. I won with Clemson (plus the points) AND the 'over' when these teams met on 1/11/16. Last season, I stayed away from the 'side' but again won with the 'over.' For Round 3, I'm backing the Crimson Tide. Needless to say, both teams had great seasons. Each had only one loss. For Clemson, that setback came back in mid-October, a shocking upset loss against Syracuse. (The Orange were the worst team in the ACC's Coastal Division this season.) Sure, Clemson lost its QB to injury in that game. However, does anyone really think Alabama would have ever lost to Cuse, regardless of who was behind center? As you're probably aware, Alabama's loss came much later in the season, as the Tide were defeated by Auburn in their last game. While they may be fortunate to be here at all, based on that loss, I fully expect the Tide to respond with their very best effort. Both teams have outstanding defenses. However, I believe that the Tide are better on that side of the ball. They allowed an average of only 11.5 points on the season, a paltry 257.8 yards. Clemson's numbers were close but a little higher. The Tigers allowed 12.8 ppg and 277.9 ypg. On the road, the Tigers allowed 354.5 ypg. Meanwhile, the Tide allowed just 274.8 ypg on the road. The Tide also have an advantage on yards allowed per play. While the perception may be that Clemson is superior on offense, the numbers don't back that up. The Tigers averaged a healthy 35.4 ppg and 448.4 ypg. However, the Tide beat them in both areas. Alabama averaged 39.1 and 465.4. One of the reasons Alabama lost the game in the Iron Bowl was because of poor health. However, the extended break has given the Tide a chance to recover and they'll be much healthier than they were for Auburn. The Tigers are admittedly tough to run against. However, they haven't faced a ground game like this one. I expect the Tide - and their 3-headed rushing attack - to have success on the ground. After last year's loss and after failing to cover in both games against Clemson, Nick Saban, who took some heat for not speaking out on Roy Moore, has lost a little of his 'unbeatable' image. Don't buy into that. He's still an amazing coach and he'll have his team ready to go. Expect him to have the last laugh, the Tide taking the 'tiebreaker.' |
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01-01-18 | Central Florida +10.5 v. Auburn | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 672 h 2 m | Show | |
8* BREAKFAST CLUB I'm playing on CENTRAL FLORIDA. With their victory over Alabama, the Tigers proved that they were capable of beating the best teams in the country. That said, they've still got three losses on their resume. Thats three more than the Knights, who were 100% perfect on the season. Having won every game on the season, the Knights are full of confidence. They're coming in here thinking that they are going to win. Auburn, with its loss to Georgia, blew an opportunity for a bigger bowl and thats going to take a toll here. UCF should be happier to be here and is going to highly motivated to keep its perfect record in tact. The Knights were only underdogs once on the season and they responded with a 38-10 outright victory. Expect them to ring in the new year with AT LEAST another cover. |
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12-30-17 | Washington v. Penn State -2.5 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 627 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on Penn State. The Nittany Lions come in on a roll and full of confidence. They won each of their final three games by double-digits, including a 66-3 dismantling of Maryland in their most recent game. Including that laugher, the Lions are now a lucrative 16-4 SU/ATS when off two or more consecutive SU victories. During the same span, the Huskies, who closed the season with b2b wins, are just 8-10 ATS two or more consecutive SU victories. With Penn State listed as a small favorite, its worth noting that Washington is 0-4 SU/ATS the last four times that it played a game where the line ranged from -3 to +3. The Huskies have indeed been excellent against the run. However, they haven't seen a back like Saquon Barkley, who averaged 179.5 all purpose yards per game. Look for the Lions to find a way to get Barkley the ball in space, ultimately pulling away for the win and cover. |
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12-30-17 | Louisville v. Mississippi State +6 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 624 h 47 m | Show | |
8* BREAKFAST CLUB BLOWOUT I'm playing on Mississippi State. With their starting QB out and with an interim head coach, not many are giving the Bulldogs much of a chance. Thats particularly true given that the Cards closed the season with three consecutive SU/ATS victories. However, I believe that those results, combined with the negative sentiment about the Bulldogs, have caused the Cards to come in over-rated. A closer look at those three wins show that they came against the likes of Kentucky, Virginia and Syrcause. The Cards were double-digit favorites in each of those games as none of those were 'elite' opponents. When matched up against tougher foes, the Cards struggled. Even with those wins down the stretch, they were still just 5-7 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs are battle-tested against the likes of Alabama, Georgia and Auburn. Despite the tough SEC schedule, they haven't lost a game by more than a TD since September. True, the Bulldogs came up short against Albamba, Georgia and Auburn. However, their only other loss came against instate rival Ole Miss and that came by just three. Louisville, on the other hand, has lost against the likes of Wake Forest, Boston College and NC State. Expect the Bulldogs to have success on the ground, keeping this game close the entire way with an excellent shot at the outright win. |
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12-29-17 | USC +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -120 | 609 h 39 m | Show |
10* COTTON BOWL GAME OF THE MONTH. I’m playing on USC. Its true that I won with Ohio State in its last game, 27-21 win over Wisconsin, a game they won by six points. However, I feel that the Buckeyes are over-rated for this one and I expect USC to come in as the 'hungrier' and more focused team. While this is still a "big" bowl game, its definitely not what the Buckeyes were hoping for. With only one loss on their resume, the Buckeyes felt that they should have earned one of four spots in the College Football Playoff. As you know, that didnt happen. As much as they'd like to show everyone that they deserved to be there, I believe the sting of not being chosen is going to take a lot of them. USC, on the other hand, should be happier to be here. While the Buckeyes are admittedly tough on both sides of the ball, I expect the Trojans front seven to cause all sorts of problems. Off five straight wins, the Trojans come in full of confidence. While OSU saw only one game decided by less than six points this season, the Trojans saw five games decided by five or fewer points this season, winning four of those. I expect that "close game" experience to serve them well, as they take this game down to the wire with a great shot at the upset. |
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12-28-17 | Stanford v. TCU -3 | Top | 37-39 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on TCU (10* MAIN EVENT). While I respect both coaches and both programs, I like the fact that TCU is playing in its home state. I also believe that the Frogs match up well against the Cardinal. While Stanford has an outstanding running game, one of the Frogs' biggest strengths is their ability to defend the run. Indeed, they ranked #4 in the entire country, in terms of rushing defense. The Frogs are 9-2 SU their last 11 non-conf. games and 7-2 SU their last nine, when off a conference loss. Expect them to improve on those stats, covering the small number along the way. |
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12-27-17 | Boston College v. Iowa -2.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on IOWA (10* ANNIHILATOR). While the Eagles were a profitable team this season, they're not getting many points here and I feel that they'll ultimately be over-matched. BC averaged 26.2 points on offense, Iowa averaged 28.3. While BC allowed 22.5 ppg, Iowa allowed 19.5. The Eagles are just 2-3-2 ATS (2-5 SU) their past seven, when the line ranged from +3 to -3. During the same span, the Hawkeyes were 4-2-1 ATS, in the same situation. A 56-14 win at Lincoln, on the Huskers' Senior Day, to close out the season showed how explosive that the Hawkeyes can be and has them full of confidence. I expect them to cover this small number. |
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12-26-17 | Kansas State v. UCLA +7 | Top | 35-17 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on UCLA (10* MAIN EVENT). Having won four of five, the Wildcats come in with a lot of momentum. Meanwhile, Bruins' QB Rosen is currently listed as doubtful while the coaching staff is in transition. That has many expecting a big win for the Wildcats. That sentiment, in turn, has created a generously big pointspread. I'm not expecting the Bruins to just roll over and I feel that they're offering excellent value. K-State's last three games were all decided by five or fewer points. Its last four were decided by seven or less. UCLA's last three games were decided by seven or fewer points and its last two were decided by five or less. The Cats were just 2-4 ATS when favored and they're only 5-11-1 ATS in that role the past few seasons. I'm grabbing the points. |
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12-26-17 | Utah v. West Virginia +7 | 30-14 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WVU (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). While I respect Whittingham and the Utes, I don't feel that they should be laying this large a number here. Keep in mind that Utah only won two of its past eight games, both wins coming at home, both against teams that finished below .500. The Mountaineers, battle-tested in the Big 12, aren't going to be intimidated. This is a WVU team which averages better than 500 ypg on the road. Expect them to give the Utes all they can handle with a great shot at the outright upset. |
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12-23-17 | Appalachian State v. Toledo -6 | Top | 34-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on TOLEDO (10* MAIN EVENT). The line came down a little from its opener providing us with value on the favorite. The Mountaineers put up a big number in their last game but I expect them to have trouble keeping up this evening. Toledo scored better than 39 ppg on the road this season. Appalachian State, meanwhile, managed just 26 ppg on the road. Rockets, who have scored nearly 150 combined points their past three, pull away for the double-digit win. |
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12-23-17 | Army +7 v. San Diego State | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARMY (8* ANNIHILATOR). This is a special Army team, one which beat both Air Force and Navy. The Knights only lost by four points once all season and that came at Ohio State. The Aztecs closed the season on a 4-game winning streak. However, those four opponents were all of the soft variety. While the Aztecs are 3-7 ATS their last 10 as a favorite in the -3.5 to -10 range, the Knights are 6-2-1 ATS their last nine as an underdog in the 3.5 to 10 range. In a game which could well come down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points. |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida -3 | 34-38 | Win | 110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing on USF (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The Bulls went toe-to-toe with an explosive and undefeated UCF team last time out. Off that close defeat, note that they're a perfect 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS the last four times that they were off a conference loss. While the Red Raiders are 1-5 SU/ATS the last six times that they played a game where the line ranged from -3 to +3, the Bulls are 4-1 SU/ATS in the same situation, during the same time span. While both teams should put up some big numbers, expect the Bulls to be the last team standing. |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming -3 | Top | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 46 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on WYOMING (10* GAME OF WEEK). On Wednesday, Wyoming coach Craig Bohl confirmed that his star QB, Josh Allen would start the Potato Bowl: "Josh and I had a long talk, and Josh is ready to play and start in this football game. He's had several great practices, and so he's in position to be 100 percent." Thats the good news that I'd been waiting for. Allen's a big time talent and he makes the Cowboys a far better team. On defense, led by Andrew Wingard the Cowboys are outstanding. They allowed just 17.8 ppg. While CMU finished the season on an impressive run, I look for the time off to favor what I feel is an under-rated Wyoming team. The fact that Wyoming played here on the Blue Turf (lost but covered) two months ago, should also work in its favor. Cowboys roll. |
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12-22-17 | UAB v. Ohio -7 | 6-41 | Win | 100 | 51 h 60 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OHIO (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). While the Blazers are a great story, I believe the Bobcats are going to be too much for them. Regardless of what happens here, its been a successful season for UAB. Not so for Ohio. The Bobcats are used to being here and a loss will cause this season to be a disappointment. Averaging 38.9 pgg, the Bobcats boast a potent offense. They averaged more than 450 yards of offense per game, over their past three. Conversely, the Blazers managed a mere 250 yards of offense, over their past three. The Bobcats are 11-3 ATS their last 14 against non-conf. opponents. During that same stretch, they were 3-0 ATS in neutral site games and 7-3 ATS as favorites in the -3.5 to -10 range. Expect them to improve on those stats at the Bahamas Bowl. |
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12-16-17 | Oregon v. Boise State +7.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOISE (10* MAIN EVENT). I won with the Ducks in their last game, a 69-10 thrashing of Oregon State in the "Civil War." So, I'm well aware that the Ducks enter the Bowls on a roll. Its important not to over-react from that blowout. First, Oregon State was terrible this season. Second, that was only game. Even factoring in the result, the Ducks have still lost four of their last seven. The Broncos eked out a win in their last game and have now won eight of their past nine. Boise did lose by three points at Washington State earlier in the season. However, that same Washington State team hammered the Ducks by a score of 33-10. Plus, the Broncos had to face the Cougars on the road while the Ducks got to host them. With the Broncos a profitable 26-14-1 ATS their last 41 as underdogs, I'm grabbing the points. |
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12-16-17 | North Texas +7.5 v. Troy | 30-50 | Loss | -135 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NORTH TEXAS (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The Mean Green badly lost their last game and that has many taking them lightly. However, I expect them to play much better than most others seem to expect. Prior to the loss at Florida Atlantic, UNT had won five straight, covering four in a row. Keep in mind that UNT averages more than 35 ppg (35.9) to go along with 467 ypg. (Troy averages 30 ppg and 415.8 ypg.) While Troy enters on an impressive win streak, note that two of the Trojans' past four games have been decided by seven or fewer points. With three of UNT's last six games also decided by a touchdown or less, I'm grabbing the points |
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12-02-17 | Ohio State -6.5 v. Wisconsin | 27-21 | Loss | -112 | 129 h 59 m | Show | |
8* MAIN EVENT on Ohio State. The Wisconsin Badgers went a perfect 9-0 in league play, most recently hammering Minnesota 31-0, while the Ohio State Buckeyes were 8-1 in confeence action, finishing with a 31-20 victory at Michigan to end the regular season. When these teams met last year, it was Ohio State which scored the 30-23 win at Wisconsin and in my opinion, all signs point to an even bigger victory this time around for the Buckeyes. Wisconsin finished 27th in the nation in scoring with an average of 34.8 PPG, while ranked second in points allowed with just 12.0 per contest. Ohio State ranks fifth in scoring with an average of 43.8 PPG, while ranked 21st in the country defensively in conceding just 19.8 PPG. Wisconsin has always had difficulty with Ohio State and I don’t think anything changes this season. The Buckeyes’ superior offense is the difference maker for me. Lay the points. |
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12-02-17 | Fresno State v. Boise State -9.5 | 14-17 | Loss | -105 | 126 h 3 m | Show | |
8* ANNIHILATOR on Boise State. Both teams come into the championship game at 9-3 and 7-1 in conference action. Note that Boise State plays with revenge today after falling 28-17 to FSU just last Saturday. The Bulldogs would go 9 for 16 on third down to seal the victory. The Bulldogs were led by QB Marcus McMaryion, with 332 yards and two scores. But the Broncos have to be feeling confident that they can bounce back here, as note that they were 5-1 at home this season. Last week’s loss broke a seven game streak, but with that “dud” out of the way, I’m expecting QB Brett Rypien to settle down here (last week he was 22 of 31 for 278 yards.) Even the worst teams are difficult to beat twice in one season. Boise State is a “different” team at home and I look for that trend to carry over here. Lay the points, Broncos roll. |
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12-02-17 | TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma | 17-41 | Loss | -130 | 119 h 54 m | Show | |
9* MAIN EVENT on TCU. It’s No. 12 vs. No. 2 and while I’m not calling for the outright upset, I do expect the hungry Horned Frogs to keep this closer than what Sin City is trying to make us believe. TCU rolled to a 45-22 win over Baylor last Friday. Oklahoma comes in off seven straight victories, most recently hammering West Virginia 59-31 at home last Saturday. This is a revenge game for TCU, as Oklahoma has taken three straight in the series, including a 38-20 victory this season back on November 11th. TCU can score, it averages 34.5 PPG (ranked 28th in the country.) But the Horned Frogs get the job done on the defensive side of the ball, an aggressive unit which allows just 15.7 PPG (ranked eighth.) Keep your eyes on QB Kenny Hill, who has 2,604 passing yards and a 19:5 TD:INT. TCU looks to avenge the earlier loss and to throw a monkey wrench into the Sooners College Championship hopes. Oklahoma averages 45.3 points behind QB Baker Mayfield, who has 4,097 passing yards and a 37:5 TD:INT. The weakness for the Sooners though is clearly on the defensive side of the ball, as the team allows 25.3 PPG, ranked 57th in the nation. So far Mayfield has been rock steady under the pressure, but I think he cracks against this hungry/nasty and revenge minded Horned Frogs’ defense. TCU has the weaponry to match pace as well. As mentioned off the top, an outright wouldn’t blow my mind or anything, but in the end I’m going to grab the points. |
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12-02-17 | Memphis v. Central Florida -7 | Top | 55-62 | Push | 0 | 118 h 14 m | Show |
10* AAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Central Florida. Memphis went 7-1 in AAC play, while UCF comes in at 12-0 overall, including 8-0 in league play. When these teams met in late September, it was UCF that flattened Memphis 40-13. The Tigers rebounded to win seven straight behind QB Riley Ferguson, who threw for 3,500 yards and had a 32:8 TD:INT this season. The Tigers roll into town averaging 47 PPG, but allowing an average of 453 YPG, which ranks the team 112th in the nation. UCF averages 48.3 PPG, but allows just 399 YPG (including just 72 rushing yards per contest.) Keep your eyes on UCF QB McKenzie Milton, who finished with 3,301 passing yards and a 30:6 TD:INT. The Memphis offense was awesome this season, but the defense leaves something to be desired. UCF destroyed Memphis earlier in the year and I think all signs point to a similar destruction this afternoon. Lay the points, UCF rolls. |
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12-01-17 | Stanford v. USC -3 | Top | 28-31 | Push | 0 | 103 h 13 m | Show |
10* MAIN EVENT on USC. Stanford was 7-2 in league play and posted a 38-20 win over Notre Dame last Saturday. USC was 8-1 in conference action and most recently held on for a 28-23 victory over UCLA last weekend. When these teams played in early September, it was the Trojans which smashed the Cardinal 42-24. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Stanford has been strong defensively this year overall, allowing just 20 PPG. However, when these teams met in September, USC piled up 623 yards of offense. The Trojans allow just 26 PPG, while posting 489 per contest of their own. USC QB Sam Darnold threw for four TD’s in the victory over the Cardinal in the first matchup this season and I have a hard time seeing Stanford fairing much better this time around either. Lay the points, Trojans roll. |
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11-25-17 | BYU -2.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 147 h 12 m | Show |
10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR on BYU. Both teams have just three wins to their names. BYU comes in off a 16-10 loss to UMass, amassing just 299 total yards. Cougars’ QB Joe Critchlow was 21 of 45 for 257 yards, one TD and four picks. The Warriors can empahtize, as they come into the final game of the year on a four game slide, most recently falling 38-0 at Utah as a ten point dog. In that game Hawaii was outgained 475 to 318. Both teams have more questions than answers as we close the 2017/18 campaign, but note that BYU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road fav of three points or less, while Hawaii is a miserable 1-5 ATS in its last six as a home dog of three points or less. Hawaii’s pass defense has been atrocious and I like Critchlow to take advantage. Lay the points, BYU rolls. |
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11-25-17 | Oregon State v. Oregon -24.5 | 10-69 | Win | 100 | 145 h 8 m | Show | |
8* ANNIHILATOR on Oregon. It’s the Civil war at Autzen Stadium on Saturday and I expect the home side Ducks to take care of business. Oregon State on the other hand is looking to close out a miserable season which saw its head coach leave without even taking any many. Also note that Oregon plays with revenge today after it inexplicably fell to the Beavers last year. Oregon State is winless in conference action and its lone victory came against Portland State. The Ducks come into the final game of the year firing on all cylinders, most recently hammering Arizona 48-28. Oregon was unstoppable on the ground and finished with 588 total yards. I think the Ducks run this score up as they take advantage of a Beavers side in complete disarray. Lay the points, Oregon rolls. |
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11-25-17 | Indiana v. Purdue -2.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 138 h 9 m | Show | |
8* HIGH-NOON BEATDOWN on Purdue. Both teams are 5-6 and needing a victory to become bowl eligible. Indiana has won two straight, but it’s lost three of its last four on the road. A bright spot for the Hoosiers has been its defensive play this year, allowing 24.8 points and 329.8 YPG. Purdue is looking for its first bowl since 2012 and it’ll be looking to send off its seniors with a well deserved victory. The Boilermakers have been even stingier defensively than their counterparts today, allowing just 18.9 points and 359.5 YPG. Purdue plays with revenge as well, having dropped four straight in the series. The Hoosiers’ achilles heel is their play on the road, which doesn’t bode well facing this determined Boilermakers team that comes off the monster road victory over Iowa. Lay the points, Purdue rolls. |
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11-24-17 | California v. UCLA -7 | 27-30 | Loss | -100 | 125 h 59 m | Show | |
8* BM BEATDOWN on UCLA. Both teams are 5-6, needing one more victory to become bowl eligible. Simply put, I believe that the home field advantage can’t be overlooked as a very real factor in a situation like this. Cal most recently fell 17-14 to Stanford this past weekend, getting outgained 378-337. Cal averages 27.8 PPG, while allowing 28.3. The Bruins fell 28-23 to No. 12 USC on Saturday. UCLA though would win the yardage battle 501-417. QB Josh Rosen was sharp for UCLA in that one, going for 421 yards, three TD’s and a pick. I think Rosen will be a difference maker in this one as well. UCLA averages 34.1 PPG and allows 37.6. Rosen’s experience and the home field factor make the Bruins the correct call in this one. Lay the points. |
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Ben Burns NCAA-F Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-14-19 | Georgia State v. Western Michigan -10 | Top | 10-57 | Win | 100 | 103 h 38 m | Show |
09-14-19 | Buffalo v. Liberty +5 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 100 h 54 m | Show | |
09-14-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Illinois -7 | 34-31 | Loss | -114 | 49 h 51 m | Show | |
09-07-19 | Stanford v. USC -1 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 81 h 18 m | Show |
09-07-19 | San Diego State v. UCLA -7 | 23-14 | Loss | -105 | 119 h 9 m | Show | |
09-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Ohio State -15.5 | 0-42 | Win | 100 | 71 h 39 m | Show | |
09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma -22 | Top | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
08-31-19 | New Mexico State v. Washington State -32 | Top | 7-58 | Win | 100 | 948 h 23 m | Show |
08-31-19 | Syracuse v. Liberty +17.5 | Top | 24-0 | Loss | -106 | 803 h 26 m | Show |
08-31-19 | East Carolina v. NC State -16 | 6-34 | Win | 100 | 72 h 10 m | Show | |
08-30-19 | Tulsa v. Michigan State -22.5 | Top | 7-28 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 31 m | Show |
08-24-19 | Florida -7 v. Miami-FL | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 11 m | Show |
01-07-19 | Alabama -6 v. Clemson | Top | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 152 h 25 m | Show |
12-29-18 | Notre Dame +14 v. Clemson | Top | 3-30 | Loss | -124 | 173 h 47 m | Show |
12-27-18 | Duke v. Temple -3 | Top | 56-27 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
12-22-18 | Buffalo -1 v. Troy | Top | 32-42 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
12-21-18 | Florida International v. Toledo -7 | 35-32 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
12-19-18 | Ohio v. San Diego State +3 | Top | 27-0 | Loss | -119 | 58 h 53 m | Show |
12-15-18 | North Texas +9 v. Utah State | Top | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 238 h 39 m | Show |
12-01-18 | Georgia +13 v. Alabama | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
12-01-18 | East Carolina v. NC State -23 | 3-58 | Win | 100 | 76 h 36 m | Show | |
11-30-18 | Northern Illinois +3.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 77 h 15 m | Show |
11-24-18 | Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -4 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 32 m | Show |
11-24-18 | Syracuse v. Boston College -7 | 42-21 | Loss | -109 | 74 h 1 m | Show | |
11-23-18 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +4 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 74 h 43 m | Show |
11-23-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State +13.5 | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 52 h 0 m | Show | |
11-22-18 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss +11 | 35-3 | Loss | -109 | 79 h 35 m | Show | |
11-17-18 | Tulsa v. Navy -5 | Top | 29-37 | Win | 100 | 78 h 2 m | Show |
11-17-18 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest +7 | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 28 m | Show | |
11-15-18 | Florida Atlantic +3.5 v. North Texas | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
11-15-18 | Toledo -13 v. Kent State | 56-34 | Win | 100 | 78 h 33 m | Show | |
11-14-18 | Buffalo v. Ohio -1 | Top | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 55 h 44 m | Show |
11-10-18 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic -19.5 | 15-34 | Loss | -108 | 98 h 8 m | Show | |
11-10-18 | TCU +13.5 v. West Virginia | 10-47 | Loss | -115 | 93 h 13 m | Show | |
11-07-18 | Ohio v. Miami-OH +4.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
11-03-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Mississippi State -20.5 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 127 h 20 m | Show |
11-03-18 | Syracuse v. Wake Forest +4.5 | 41-24 | Loss | -109 | 120 h 55 m | Show | |
11-01-18 | Ohio v. Western Michigan -2 | Top | 59-14 | Loss | -105 | 82 h 58 m | Show |
10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -3 | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -102 | 124 h 34 m | Show |
10-27-18 | Arizona State v. USC -6.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -102 | 119 h 33 m | Show | |
10-26-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Florida Atlantic -2.5 | Top | 21-13 | Loss | -109 | 104 h 37 m | Show |
10-20-18 | Memphis v. Missouri -9.5 | Top | 33-65 | Win | 100 | 94 h 30 m | Show |
10-20-18 | Cincinnati v. Temple -3.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 115 h 33 m | Show | |
10-18-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 75 h 34 m | Show |
10-13-18 | Colorado v. USC -7 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 58 h 14 m | Show |
10-12-18 | Air Force v. San Diego State -10 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -125 | 59 h 45 m | Show |
10-09-18 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas State +10 | 35-9 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
10-07-18 | Wyoming +3.5 v. Hawaii | 13-17 | Loss | -112 | 102 h 50 m | Show | |
10-06-18 | Colorado State -2.5 v. San Jose State | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 100 h 21 m | Show | |
10-06-18 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh +6 | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 120 h 52 m | Show | |
10-06-18 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -10 | Top | 29-19 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 46 m | Show |
10-05-18 | Georgia Tech v. Louisville +4.5 | Top | 66-31 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 7 m | Show |
09-29-18 | Oregon v. California +3.5 | Top | 42-24 | Loss | -115 | 133 h 18 m | Show |
09-29-18 | Hawaii v. San Jose State +11.5 | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 76 h 34 m | Show | |
09-29-18 | Cincinnati v. Connecticut +17.5 | 49-7 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
09-29-18 | Virginia v. NC State -5 | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 69 h 5 m | Show | |
09-22-18 | Ohio +10 v. Cincinnati | 30-34 | Win | 100 | 137 h 50 m | Show | |
09-22-18 | Akron v. Iowa State -18 | 13-26 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 13 m | Show | |
09-21-18 | Washington State v. USC -4 | 36-39 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
09-21-18 | Florida Atlantic +14 v. Central Florida | 36-56 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 2 m | Show | |
09-20-18 | Tulsa v. Temple -6.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 45 m | Show |
09-15-18 | Arizona State v. San Diego State +6 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 36 h 59 m | Show |
09-15-18 | BYU v. Wisconsin -21 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 18 m | Show | |
09-15-18 | Hawaii v. Army -6.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 122 h 7 m | Show | |
09-15-18 | Florida State -3 v. Syracuse | Top | 7-30 | Loss | -130 | 118 h 21 m | Show |
09-08-18 | Rice +17.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 29-43 | Win | 100 | 76 h 29 m | Show |
09-08-18 | Appalachian State v. Charlotte +14 | 45-9 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 37 m | Show | |
09-08-18 | Western Michigan +28.5 v. Michigan | 3-49 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
09-02-18 | Miami-FL -3 v. LSU | Top | 17-33 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
09-01-18 | BYU +11 v. Arizona | Top | 28-23 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
09-01-18 | Appalachian State v. Penn State -23.5 | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 6 m | Show | |
09-01-18 | Oregon State v. Ohio State -37.5 | 31-77 | Win | 100 | 766 h 32 m | Show | |
08-31-18 | Western Kentucky v. Wisconsin -34 | Top | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 1091 h 28 m | Show |
08-30-18 | Northwestern v. Purdue -1 | 31-27 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
08-25-18 | Wyoming -5 v. New Mexico State | 29-7 | Win | 100 | 966 h 54 m | Show | |
01-01-18 | Alabama v. Clemson | Top | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 680 h 13 m | Show |
01-01-18 | Central Florida +10.5 v. Auburn | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 672 h 2 m | Show | |
12-30-17 | Washington v. Penn State -2.5 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 627 h 29 m | Show |
12-30-17 | Louisville v. Mississippi State +6 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 624 h 47 m | Show | |
12-29-17 | USC +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -120 | 609 h 39 m | Show |
12-28-17 | Stanford v. TCU -3 | Top | 37-39 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 26 m | Show |
12-27-17 | Boston College v. Iowa -2.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
12-26-17 | Kansas State v. UCLA +7 | Top | 35-17 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
12-26-17 | Utah v. West Virginia +7 | 30-14 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
12-23-17 | Appalachian State v. Toledo -6 | Top | 34-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
12-23-17 | Army +7 v. San Diego State | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida -3 | 34-38 | Win | 110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming -3 | Top | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 46 h 22 m | Show |
12-22-17 | UAB v. Ohio -7 | 6-41 | Win | 100 | 51 h 60 m | Show | |
12-16-17 | Oregon v. Boise State +7.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
12-16-17 | North Texas +7.5 v. Troy | 30-50 | Loss | -135 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
12-02-17 | Ohio State -6.5 v. Wisconsin | 27-21 | Loss | -112 | 129 h 59 m | Show | |
12-02-17 | Fresno State v. Boise State -9.5 | 14-17 | Loss | -105 | 126 h 3 m | Show | |
12-02-17 | TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma | 17-41 | Loss | -130 | 119 h 54 m | Show | |
12-02-17 | Memphis v. Central Florida -7 | Top | 55-62 | Push | 0 | 118 h 14 m | Show |
12-01-17 | Stanford v. USC -3 | Top | 28-31 | Push | 0 | 103 h 13 m | Show |
11-25-17 | BYU -2.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 147 h 12 m | Show |
11-25-17 | Oregon State v. Oregon -24.5 | 10-69 | Win | 100 | 145 h 8 m | Show | |
11-25-17 | Indiana v. Purdue -2.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 138 h 9 m | Show | |
11-24-17 | California v. UCLA -7 | 27-30 | Loss | -100 | 125 h 59 m | Show |