Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-24-19 | Padres v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Diego and Toronto at 7:07 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Rogers Centre on Friday night. Joey Lucchesi will take the ball for the Padres. He has been outstanding over his last couple of starts, most recently needing only 77 pitches to work seven innings against the Pirates, allowing just two earned runs. Likewise, Trent Thornton also pitched well in his last start for the Jays, needing 87 pitches to work six innings against the White Sox, allowing one earned run. The Jays are averaging just under 3.5 runs per game at home this season, clearly not taking advantage of the hitter-friendly conditions at Rogers Centre. The Padres haven't been a whole lot better, averaging right around 4.2 runs per contest on the road, scoring four runs or less in seven of their last nine away from home. Take the under (10*). |
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05-19-19 | Brewers v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Atlanta at 1:20 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Atlanta on Sunday afternoon. Last night we saw a low-scoring affair between these two teams but remember, the opener featured 20 total runs. Brandon Woodruff will take the ball for the Brewers on Sunday. He's been pitching well but we're still talking about a pretty small sample size. It's not easy to keep the Braves bats down here in Atlanta, where they average over five runs per game. Prior to last night's game, the Brewers had scored 30 runs over their last four games. They'll get to face a struggling starter in Mike Foltynewicz this afternoon. He's been tagged for 13 earned runs over his last two starts, spanning 10 2/3 innings. Take the over (10*). |
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05-18-19 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and Los Angeles at 10:07 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Anaheim on Saturday night. The Royals couldn't solve Matt Harvey last night but should have an easier time against rookie Griffin Canning on Saturday. Canning gave up four earned runs on three home runs against the Orioles last time out. He has yet to last through the sixth inning in any of his three big league starts this season. Meanwhile, Royals starter Jakob Junis seems to be getting worse with each passing start, most recently allowing five runs, four of them earned over 4 1/3 innings against the Phillies. Junis' four road starts this season have averaged just under 10 total runs. With the Angels averaging well north of five runs per game at home this season, I'm comfortable backing the 'over' here. Take the over (10*). |
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05-18-19 | Dodgers v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
MLB National League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Cincinnati at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Dodgers rolled behind a strong performance from Rich Hill last night. I'm not sure that we'll see Walker Buehler give them the same type of performance on Saturday, however. Buehler's four road starts this season have averaged north of 13 total runs. In 20 innings of work away from home he's been tagged for 12 earned runs. While Buehler has pitched well in two career starts against the Reds, he has never pitched at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark, where the Reds average just short of five runs per game this season. Tyler Mahle will counter for Cincinnati. After a tremendous first start against the Dodgers last season, he struggled when facing them earlier this year, giving up 11 hits and four earned runs over six innings. Los Angeles has been extremely consistent at the plate, scoring at least five runs in nine of its last 12 games. Take the over (10*). |
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05-14-19 | Rangers v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the over between Texas and Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Tuesday. This one has slugfest written all over it as the Rangers and Royals open their series on Tuesday night. The Shelby Miller reclamation project hasn’t gone well for the Rangers. He has struggled to work deep into ball games and enters this start sporting an ERA north of seven. Danny Duffy has posted much better numbers for the Royals but we’re dealing with a small sample size. The fact is both starters put a lot of men on base and I’m confident we’ll see the two lineups take advantage. The posted total for this one is predictably high but its warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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05-11-19 | Phillies v. Royals OVER 9 | 7-0 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the over between Philadelphia and Kansas City at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. Traveling this weekend. Full writeups will return on Monday. Take the over in this one as both offenses bounce back from quiet nights at the dish on Friday. Brad Keller has failed to last six innings in three of his last four starts while Zach Eflin is coming off two strong outings but both of those were at home against weak opposition. Take the over (10*). |
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05-10-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the over between Pittsburgh and St. Louis at 8:15 pm et on Friday. We won with the over in the series opener between these two teams last night and I won’t hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Friday. Both starters struggled in their most recent starts, and for Trevor Williams of the Pirates his issues go back a little further than that. Meanwhile Adam Wainwright isn’t the same dominant pitcher he once was for the Cards. We saw 21 total runs in last night’s game and while I’m not expecting that type of scoring onslaught here I do believe the total will prove too low. Take the over (10*). |
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05-09-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 4-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Pittsburgh and St. Louis at 7:45 pm et on Thursday. I’ll back the over in St. Louis on Thursday night as the Cards host the Pirates. Don’t be fooled by Cards starter Michael Wacha’s winning record. He hasn’t been pitching well but continues to live off a solid reputation built back in his rookie campaign. Meanwhile Pirates starter Joe Musgrove got off to a strong start this season but has struggled over his last few starts. I look for both offenses to bust out in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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05-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and New York at 1:05 pm et on Saturday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in last night's series-opener between these two clubs but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Jake Odorizzi will take the ball for the Twins. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in three straight starts, giving up only three earned runs over 18 1/3 innings of work. Meanwhile, J.A. Happ has worked at least 6 1/3 innings in three straight starts, allowing five earned runs on 14 hits over 20 1/3 frames. Take the under (10*). |
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05-03-19 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Friday. A bit of an under the radar solid pitching matchup here. Jorge Lopez struggled in his last start against the suddenly hot-hitting Angels, but prior to that had worked at least six innings in four consecutive starts. Matt Boyd has been the picture of consistency for the Tigers, going at least six frames in five straight starts, allowing three earned runs or less each time out. The Royals have plated three runs or less in three of their last five games while Detroit has scored just seven runs over its last three contests. Take the under (10*). |
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05-03-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Both starters in this game, Kyle Gibson and James Paxton, have worked at least into the sixth inning in three consecutive outings. The Twins have plated 14 runs over their last two games but prior to that had scored a grand total of five runs over their last three contests. The injury-riddled Yankees are back home following a road trip out west, having scored just three runs over their last two games. The good news is, they've allowed only 18 runs in their last five contests. Take the under (10*). |
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05-02-19 | Padres v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 11-2 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Diego and Atlanta at 12:10 pm et on Thursday. Neither of these teams are tearing the cover off the ball right now and I'm anticipating another low-scoring affair on Thursday afternoon. Matt Strahm will take the ball for the Padres. He's been extremely effective and efficient this season and has worked at least six innings in each of his last two starts, giving up just three earned runs on six hits over 14 innings pitched. Note that San Diego has won each of his last two road starts. Mike Foltynewicz will counter for Atlanta. He's made just one start so far this season, that coming last week against Colorado. He didn't pitch all that poorly in that start, but still gave up four earned runs over six innings in a 9-5 loss to the Rockies. I expect him to improve on that effort here. His last start against the Padres resulted in just four total runs last season. As I mentioned, the Padres are by no means an elite offensive club, entering last night's game having plated four runs or less in 11 of their last 14 games. Take the under (10*). |
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05-01-19 | Cubs v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-0 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Seattle at 6:40 pm et on Wednesday. The Cubs offense certainly has the ability to bust out at the dish on any given night but consistency hasn't been their strong suit so far this season. On Wednesday, Chicago will hand the ball to Jon Lester. He has been terrific through four starts, giving up just five earned runs in 19 innings of work. He lasted only five innings in his most recent start, but needed only 79 pitches and gave up just one earned run. Lester hasn't allowed a single earned run in his last two starts against the Mariners but hasn't faced them since 2016. Marco Gonzalez is as underrated as they come for the Mariners. He comes in having worked at least into the sixth inning in all seven starts this season. Over his last two outings he has gone 14 innings and allowed just three earned runs. Gonzalez has been tagged for just one home run over his last six trips to the hill. Take the under (10*). |
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04-29-19 | Rays v. Royals UNDER 9 | 8-5 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in Kansas City on Monday night as the Rays open their series with the Royals. Ryne Stanek will resume his starting role tonight and likely work an inning or two. Note that he has yet to allow an earned run in that starting role this season, covering 9 1/3 innings of work. Over that stretch he has allowed just three hits and issued only one walk. Brad Keller will counter for Kansas City. He has worked at least six innings in five of six starts this season. He did labor through his most recent outing - against these same Rays - needing 106 pitches to get through six innings, allowing five earned runs, but he will enter this start on six days' rest. That last start came on the road. Here at home he has worked 19 2/3 innings and allowed just four earned runs. The Rays have topped out at six runs over their last nine games, and they reached that total only once. Meanwhile, the Royals have plated three runs or less in six of their last nine contests. Take the under (10*). |
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04-28-19 | Indians v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Houston at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in Houston on Sunday night, noting that the 'under' has already gone 2-0-1 in this series. Carlos Carrasco will take the ball for the Indians. He was forced to leave his last start after just four innings due to knee discomfort but all indications are that he's good to go here. Note that he has tossed 11 innings of shutout ball over his last two starts, giving up just seven hits along the way. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last four outings against the Astros. Veteran Wade Miley continues to do a nice job for the Astros, having worked at least into the sixth inning in four of five starts this season. He has given up three earned runs or less in all five outings and has yet to throw more than 95 pitches in a start. The 'under' has gone a perfect 5-0 in his last five starts against Cleveland. Take the under (10*). |
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04-27-19 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Los Angeles at 9:10 pm et on Saturday. One big inning spoiled our 'under' play in the opener of this series last night but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Saturday. Joe Musgrove will take the ball for the Pirates. He has pitched exceptionally well this season and checks in having worked at least six innings in eight straight starts going back to last season. In four outings so far this season Musgrove has given up just five earned runs in 26 1/3 innings of work. The Dodgers will counter with Clayton Kershaw. He's made just two starts this season but both have been solid, as he has allowed only four earned runs on seven hits over 13 innings. I like the fact that Kershaw has needed to throw only 84 and 92 pitches in his first two outings. He has gone at least six innings in nine straight starts against the Pirates. Take the under (10*). |
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04-27-19 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 15-1 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
MLB American League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Texas and Seattle at 9:10 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' in Seattle on Saturday night. Mike Minor will take the ball for the Rangers. He did allow four earned runs in his last start in Oakland, but for the most part, has been steady this season. Minor has worked at least six innings in four straight starts, allowing only six earned runs in 29 innings over that stretch. The 'under' has cashed in three of his last four outings as well. Mike Leake will counter for Seattle. He has worked at least six innings in four of five starts this season. Leake hasn't thrown more than 87 pitches in any of his last three outings. Also note that he has allowed two earned runs or less in five of six career starts against the Rangers. Take the under (10*). |
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04-26-19 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -119 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Dodger Stadium on Friday night. Chris Archer will take the ball for the Pirates. He worked at least six innings in back-to-back starts before going just five frames last time out, but it's worth noting that he needed to throw just 83 pitches in that narrow 3-2 loss to the Giants. Archer has allowed just seven earned runs in four starts, spanning 23 innings of work this season. Hyun-Jin Ryu will counter for Los Angeles. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in three of four starts this season, giving up two earned runs or less in all four starts. Here, he'll be facing a Buccos lineup that hasn't been scoring with any sort of consistency. On the flip side, the Dodgers have plated three runs or less in five of their last eight games. Take the under (10*). |
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04-26-19 | Rockies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Atlanta on Friday night. Antonio Senzatela will take the ball for the Rockies. He has been quietly effective so far this season and checks in having worked at least six innings in both of his starts. Senzatela enters this start on five days' rest after throwing just 83 and 94 pitches in his first two outings. He needed only 82 pitches to get through five innings, allowing only two earned runs in a 5-3 Rockies victory here in Atlanta last season. Sam Fried will counter for Atlanta. We missed with the 'under' in his last start but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Fried continues to pitch well, having allowed just four earned runs over 24 1/3 innings spanning four starts this season. That includes a start against these same Rockies in which he didn't allow a single earned run over six innings, at Coors Field no less. Take the under (10*). |
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04-25-19 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Philadelphia on Thursday night. Caleb Smith will take the ball for the Marlins. We won with the 'under' in his most recent start against the Nationals. Smith has now worked six innings in three straight starts, giving up only four earned runs on 10 hits over 18 innings of work. That included a start against these same Phillies in which he tossed six shutout innings of one-hit ball. Aaron Nola will counter for Philadelphia. He should benefit from facing a Marlins lineup that has plated three runs or less in eight of their last nine games. Nola has been inconsistent but has at least worked into the sixth inning or deeper in two of his last three starts. He has been outstanding against the Marlins, limiting them to five earned runs on 19 hits in his last four outings against them, spanning 26 1/3 innings pitched. Take the under (10*). |
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04-24-19 | Tigers v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 4-11 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Fenway Park on Wednesday night. The Tigers will hand the ball to Tyson Ross. He has worked at least six innings in three straight starts, needing to throw no more than 92 pitches in any of those outings. The 'under' has gone 3-1 in Ross' four starts so far this season. He'll be facing a Red Sox lineup that simply hasn't gotten it going this season, scoring four runs or less in seven of their last nine games. Eduardo Rodriguez will counter for Boston. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in back-to-back starts, throwing just 93 and 94 pitches in those outings. Rodriguez has a solid track record against the Red Sox, working at least into the sixth in three of four career starts against them, giving up nine earned runs in 23 innings of work. Take the under (10*). |
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04-23-19 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. Luke Weaver has lasted beyond the fifth inning only once in four starts this season but that doesn't mean he hasn't been effective. Weaver checks in having allowed just five earned runs over 16 1/3 innings of work in his last three outings. The 'under' has gone 2-0-1 during that stretch. Over Weaver's last two starts he has struck out 17 while walking just one in 11 1/3 innings. Pirates ace Trevor Williams is one of the most underrated starters in baseball as far as I'm concerned. He has worked at least six innings in all four starts this season, giving up only seven earned runs in 24 1/3 innings pitched. Note that Williams hasn't thrown more than 98 pitches since way back on September 3rd last year. He has held the D'Backs to four earned runs in 12 innings in two career home starts against them, with the 'under' going 2-0. Take the under (9*). |
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04-23-19 | Braves v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. Kevin Gausman has quietly gotten the job done for the Braves through his first three starts this season, working at least into the sixth inning in all three trips to the hill, giving up just six earned runs in 19 2/3 innings of work. Gausman struck out 10 while walking only one over seven frames, needing only 99 pitches to get through his most recent start. Sonny Gray will counter for Cincinnati. He has worked at least six innings in two of his last three starts. His other start over that stretch saw him work four perfect innings of two-hit ball against the Marlins. Note that the 'under' has cashed in all four of Gray's starts this season. Take the under (10*). |
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04-22-19 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 12-4 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at PNC Park on Monday night. Zack Godley will take the ball for the D'Backs. His overall numbers haven't been great but I do like the fact that he has worked at least into the sixth inning in all four starts, and he's pitched well against the Pirates in his career, going six innings in each of his two outings against them, allowing only five earned runs in those 12 innings of work. Joe Musgrove will counter for the Buccos. He's worked into the seventh inning in all three starts this season, giving up only two earned runs on 13 hits over 20 1/3 innings pitched. Musgrove hasn't allowed a home run in his last five starts going back to last season. Take the under (10*). |
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04-21-19 | Braves v. Indians UNDER 8 | 11-5 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. I love the way this one sets up as a pitching duel between two young starts in Sam Fried and Shane Bieber on Sunday Night Baseball. Fried has been outstanding for the Braves, working six innings in three straight starts, allowing only two earned runs on 13 hits over 18 innings of work. Likewise, Bieber has worked at least six innings in three straight starts, allowing only three earned runs in 19 frames. The 'under' has cashed in each of his last three outings. Note that Bieber hasn't allowed a home run in his last two starts. Take the under (10*). |
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04-21-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 104 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Miami at 1:10 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in this matchup last night but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Sunday. Stephen Strasburg will take the ball for the Nationals. He has thrown fewer than 100 pitches in back-to-back starts and checks in having worked at least six innings in three of four starts this season. He faced the Marlins twice last September, allowing only three earned runs in 10 innings of work. Trevor Richards will counter for Miami. He struggled against the Cubs last time out but had previous worked six innings in three straight starts, giving up just four earned runs on 10 hits over 18 frames. The 'under' is 3-2-1 in his last six trips to the hill. Take the under (10*). |
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04-20-19 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 9 | 6-5 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Los Angeles at 9:07 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at Angel Stadium on Saturday night. Yusei Kikuchi will take the ball for the Mariners. He has worked six innings in three of his last four starts, allowing exactly three earned runs on five hits over each of his last two outings. I like how economical Kikuchi has been this season, having yet to throw more than 93 pitches in any of his five starts. Veteran Trevor Cahill will counter for Los Angeles. He was outstanding in his first start against Seattle this season, allowing just one earned run on three hits over six innings in a 2-1 loss back on April 2nd. Cahill had worked six innings in each of his first three outings this season before getting roughed up by Texas last time out. He has yet to throw more than 90 pitches in a start this year. Both teams broke out offensively in the opener of this series on Thursday but things settled back down last night and the Mariners have now scored five runs or less in five of their last six games while the Angels have plated four runs or less in three of their last four. Take the under (10*). |
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04-20-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 3-9 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Miami at 6:10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'under' in the opener of this series last night and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Saturday. Max Scherzer will take the ball for the Nationals. He has now worked at least into the seventh inning in three of four starts this season and is coming off arguably his best outing of the campaign, needing only 98 pitches to go eight innings against the Pirates last time out, albeit in a 4-3 loss. In Scherzer's last three starts against the Marlins he has allowed only one earned run in 21 innings of work. Jose Urena will counter for the Marlins. After struggling in his first three starts he bounced back and allowed only one earned run over seven innings against the Phillies in his last outing. He gave up just five earned runs in 21 innings of work against the Marlins last season. As noted in last night's writeup, neither of these clubs are scoring with any consistency right now. The Nats have scored four runs or less in six of their last seven contests and the Marlins have plated a grand total of six runs over their last five games. Take the under (10*). |
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04-19-19 | Giants v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at PNC Park on Friday night. Madison Bumgarner has been the picture of consistency for the Giants so far this season, working at least six innings in all four starts. He has yet to throw 100 pitches in a start this season and enters this outing on five days' rest. The Pirates are winning but not scoring with much consistency, plating five runs or less in seven of their last eight contests. Jordan Lyles will take the ball for Pittsburgh. He has worked 11 innings this season, allowing only one earned run on six hits. In those two starts he threw just 80 and 87 pitches and hasn't made a start since April 10th so he should be fresh here. Note that the Giants have scored three runs or less in five of their last eight games overall. Take the under (10*). |
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04-19-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
MLB N.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Miami at 7:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Marlins Park on Friday night. Veteran Anibal Sanchez will take the ball for the Nationals. His overall numbers haven't been great this season, but I like the fact that he's worked at least into the sixth inning in back-to-back starts, allowing five earned runs over 12 2/3 frames. He'll face a Marlins club that hasn't scored in their last two games and have played a grand total of three runs during their four-game skid. Caleb Smith will counter for Miami. Like Sanchez, he has also been working deep into ball games, lasting six innings in each of his last two outings, allowing only three earned runs on five hits. The Nats' have scored four runs or less in five of their last six games overall. Take the under (10*). |
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04-18-19 | Reds v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cincinnati and San Diego at 10:10 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' at Petco Park on Thursday night. Tanner Roark will take the ball for the Reds. He's coming off his best start of the young season having allowed just one earned run on six hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Cardinals last time out. The 'under' has cashed in two of his first three starts this season and three of four career outings against the Padres. San Diego isn't producing runs with any consistency having plated four or less in six of its last eight contests. Rookie Chris Paddack will counter for the Padres. He has been consistent to say the least through three starts this season, allowing only two earned runs on six hits over 14 innings of work. Like Roark, the 'under' has cashed in two of Paddack's three outings. I like the fact that Paddack enters off five days' rest and has yet to throw more than 89 pitches in a start this season. Cincinnati has scored a grand total of 11 runs during its current four-game slide. Take the under (10*). |
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04-16-19 | Rockies v. Padres UNDER 7 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and San Diego at 9:10 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Petco Park on Tuesday night. Jon Gray will take the ball for the Rockies. He's pitched well for Colorado through three starts this season but hasn't received much support at all - a grand total of just two runs in fact. Gray has worked at least six innings in all three starts. He's worked at least six innings in five of his last six outings against the Padres, allowing only three earned runs in his last three starts here in San Diego, spanning 19 innings of work. Rookie Nick Margevicius will take the ball for the Padres. He hasn't really been stretched out yet this season, throwing just 72, 54 and 77 pitches in his first three big league starts, but he's certainly held his own, allowing only three earned runs on nine hits over 16 innings. The 'under' has cashed in two of his first three outings. Take the under (10*). |
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04-15-19 | Cubs v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Miami at 7:10 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in Miami on Monday night. Yu Darvish will take the ball for the Cubs. After two relatively short starts to open the campaign, Darvish worked into the sixth inning last time out, and needed only 77 pitches to get through those 5 1/3 frames, allowing four earned runs on five hits along the way in a game that totaled only seven runs. Darvish has yet to throw more than 77 pitches in a start this season so despite pitching on only four days' rest here, his arm should be reasonably fresh and will be facing a Marlins lineup that has been held to one run or less in five of their last six games. Trevor Richards will counter for Miami. He has worked exactly six innings in three straight starts to open the season, making it five straight starts lasting at least six innings going back to last year. In his 18 innings pitched so far this season he has allowed just four earned runs on 10 hits. He faces a Cubs squad that has produced a grand total of 14 runs over their last four games. Take the under (10*). |
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04-12-19 | Astros v. Mariners UNDER 9 | Top | 10-6 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
MLB A.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Friday. I think we're dealing with an inflated total here, largely due to the terrific starts these two A.L. West clubs have gotten off to this season. Veteran Wade Miley will take the ball for Houston. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his first two starts this season, needing only 87 and 95 pitches to get through those outings. Miley has done a tremendous job of keeping the ball in the park since the start of last season, allowing just four home runs in 92 1/3 innings of work. Wade LeBlanc will counter for the Mariners. Like Miley, he has also worked at least into the sixth inning in back-to-back starts to open the season. LeBlanc faced the Astros four times last season, pitching poorly in his first two outings against them before settling in over his last two, giving up just three earned runs on six hits over 10 1/3 innings in those last two starts. We know both teams can put up runs in bunches, but I look for a more tightly-contested affair to open this series. Take the under (10*). |
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04-11-19 | Indians v. Tigers UNDER 7.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Detroit at 1:10 pm et on Thursday. I'll go back to the well with the 'under' in a day game at Comerica Park on Thursday. The Indians will hand the ball to Shane Bieber. In his first start of the season he needed only 91 pitches to get through six innings, allowing only two hits and two earned runs along the way. He has now worked at least into the sixth inning in eight straight starts dating back to last season. Spencer Turnbull will counter for Detroit. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in three of his last four starts going back to last season and last time out, struck out 10 and gave up only two earned runs over six innings against the Royals. Keep in mind, the Indians aren't scoring with a great deal of consistency right now, having scored three runs or less in six of their last 10 games. Take the under (10*). |
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04-10-19 | Marlins v. Reds UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
MLB Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Great American Ballpark on Wednesday night. Trevor Richards will take the ball for the Marlins. He has been sharp through his first two starts this season, working six innings in each outing, needing only 81 and 97 pitches to get through. In those 12 innings of work he has allowed only nine hits and four earned runs. Oddly enough, the 'over' has gone 1-0-1 in his two starts. The last time Richards faced the Reds he tossed seven shutout innings last September. Tyler Mahle will counter for the Reds. He was brilliant in his first start this season, tossing six shutout innings, allowing five hits and no walks, on the road against the Pirates. The last time he faced the Marlins he tossed six solid innings, allowing three earned runs on five hits and no walks. Take the under (10*). |
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04-09-19 | Marlins v. Reds UNDER 8 | 0-14 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' as the Marlins face the Reds in Cincinnati on Tuesday evening. We missed the mark with the 'under' in Jose Urena's first start this season as the wheels came off against the Rockies. He followed that up with another stinker against the Mets. After struggling in those two home starts maybe hitting the road will actually be a good thing. Keep in mind, he closed last season working at least into the sixth inning in six of his last seven starts, holding the opposition to one earned run or less in six of those starts. He has had success against the Reds, allowing six earned runs on 13 hits in 17 2/3 innings against them. Note that he has allowed just one home run in those three outings, despite two of those starts coming in hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. Luis Castillo will counter for Cincinnati. He has lasted at least into the sixth inning in each of his first two starts this season. That makes it five straight starts working at least into the sixth frame going back to last season. Castillo has given up only three hits and two earned runs in 12 2/3 innings of work so far this season, and has yet to allow a home run. Take the under (10*). |
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04-08-19 | Dodgers v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and St. Louis at 7:45 pm et on Monday. I'm anticipating a well-pitched game from both sides in this one as the Dodgers hand the ball to Hyun-Jin Ryu against Miles Mikolas and the Cardinals. Ryu has been terrific in the early going this season, working at least six innings in each of his first two starts, allowing only three earned runs on 10 hits while striking out 13 and not issuing a single walk. He needed only 82 and 87 pitches to get through those two outings. Mikolas has worked just five innings in his first two starts, but both of those came on the road. Note that he worked at least six innings in six of his last seven home outings last season. He did pitch better in his last start than he did in his season debut, limiting the Pirates to three earned runs over five frames. Mikolas of course enjoyed a breakout campaign last year, going 18-4 with a sub-3.00 ERA. Take the under (10*). |
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04-07-19 | A's v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and Houston at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. The 'under' has gone an incredible 17-4 in games involving the A's and Astros this season and I like the way Sunday's series finale sets up as another relatively low-scoring affair. Mike Fiers will take the ball for Oakland. He has tossed six innings of shutout ball over each of his last two starts. The most impressive part is that he needed just 83 and 81 pitches to get through those outings. Fiers faced the Astros once as a member of the Tigers last season, right here in Houston, and gave up just three earned runs in six innings. Brad Peacock will counter for Houston. He worked into the seventh inning in his first start this season, needed only 86 pitches to go 6 2/3 innings. Peacock has worked at least into the sixth inning in four of his last five starts against Oakland and his last three starts against the A's here in Houston have totaled seven runs or less. Take the under (10*). |
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04-06-19 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 7-2 | Win | 101 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Colorado at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. We saw a slugfest between these two teams yesterday afternoon but I'm confident things will settled own on Saturday as the Dodgers send Walker Buehler to the hill against Jon Gray. Buehler was not sharp in his season debut against the D'Backs, allowing five earned runs over just three innings of work. On a positive note, his arm will certainly be well rested after only throwing 55 pitches in that outing. Note that he has tossed 12 2/3 innings while not allowing a single earned run over his last two starts against the Rockies. Jon Gray was outstanding in his first start of the campaign, tossing 6 2/3 innings, allowing only five hits and three earned runs while striking out 10 and walking just one. He needed only 89 pitches to get through that outing. That game featured just three total runs. Take the under (10*). |
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04-05-19 | Rays v. Giants UNDER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and San Francisco at 4:35 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in San Francisco on Friday afternoon. Tyler Glasnow will take the ball for the Rays. He worked only five innings in his season debut, but gave up just one earned run and needed only 77 pitches. Keep in mind, Glasnow closed out last season working at least into the sixth inning in four straight starts, and didn't throw more than 98 pitches in any of those starts. Derek Rodriguez will counter for the Giants. He also worked just five innings in his first start of the season, allowing two earned runs on four hits (didn't issue a single walk). He was also economical, needing only 71 pitches. Going back to the end of last season, he had worked at least six innings in four of his last five starts, throwing more than 93 pitches only once over that stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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04-05-19 | Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 8 | 8-10 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Chicago at 2:10 pm et on Friday. I like the pitching matchup here as the Mariners send Yusei Kikuchi to the mound against Reynaldo Lopez. Kikuchi held his own in his last start, working six innings and allowing only two earned runs on four hits, needing only 86 pitches to do so, against the Red Sox. He was roughed up in his season debut over in Tokyo but I do think there are bright days ahead for left-hander. Reynaldo Lopez did not have a good first start for the White Sox, but I like the bounce-back potential here. Keep in mind, Lopez was sharp in his final start of spring training, working 6 1/3 innings while giving up just three earned runs. He closed last season working at least six frames in six consecutive starts, allowing two earned runs or less in each of those starts. Take the under (10*). |
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04-04-19 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 4-5 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Detroit at 1:10 pm et on Thursday. I believe this one sets up as an excellent pitching matchup between two young arms in Jakob Junis and Spencer Turnbull on Thursday afternoon. Junis worked into the sixth inning in his first start this season, allowing only three earned runs while striking out six and walking just one, needing only 92 pitches to get through that outing. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in nine of his last 10 starts going back to last season, allowing three earned runs or less in all but one of those outings as well. Turnbull lasted just five innings in his season debut in Toronto last week, but pitched well, giving up only three earned runs on four hits, throwing 91 pitches. Three of his first four big league starts have come on the road. He has pitched well in three of those four outings and I see this as a favorable matchup for the 26-year old right-hander. Take the under (10*). |
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04-03-19 | Rockies v. Rays UNDER 7 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Tampa Bay at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday. Love the way this one sets up as a pitcher's duel between German Marquez and Charlie Morton. Both starters appeared to be in midseason form in their debuts this season, with Marquez allowing only two hits and one earned run over six innings, needing only 93 pitches to get through that outing. Meanwhile, Morton worked only five innings, but gave up just three hits and two earned runs while striking out eight and waking only two, needing just 85 pitches. Going back to last season, Morton hasn't allowed a home run in his last four starts. Morton has worked at least into the sixth inning in seven of his last eight starts against the Rockies, which is certainly impressive given that four of those starts came at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Take the under (10*). |
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03-28-19 | Rockies v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Miami at 4:10 pm et on Thursday. There's a good chance this one turns into a pitcher's duel between two starters that should become household names this season. Kyle Freeland closed out Spring Training with a fine six-inning outing last Saturday, giving up three earned runs against the Cubs. Going back to last season, he closed out his 2018 campaign by working at least into the sixth inning in each of his last 14 starts. He didn't allow more than three earned runs a single time over that stretch. Jose Urena will counter for Miami. He tossed three innings of perfect ball in his final Spring Training start. He closed last season working at least into the sixth inning in six of his last seven starts, giving up an earned run or less in all but one of those outings. The lone rocky start in that stretch came against the eventual World Champion Red Sox at Fenway Park. Take the under (10*). |
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03-28-19 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Cincinnati at 4:10 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' between the Pirates and Reds on Thursday afternoon. Jameson Taillon will take the ball for the Pirates. He didn't pitch particularly well in his spring finale but I like the fact that he didn't issue a single walk while striking out 11 in three March starts. The young right-hander closed last season working at least six innings in four straight starts, including an outing here in Cincinnati when he gave up three earned runs over six frames. Luis Castillo will counter for the Reds. He went on a terrific three-start run at the end of last season, working 21 1/3 innings while allowing only 13 hits and two earned runs. He walked a single batter or less in six of his last eight starts last season. Take the under (10*). |
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09-20-18 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 8-11 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' at Comerica Park on Thursday night. Jorge Lopez will take the ball for the Royals. He is coming off a tough start against the Twins last time out, allowing three earned runs on nine hits over just 4 1/3 innings of work. Prior to that he had worked 15 innings and gave up just two earned runs on six hits over his last two starts. Matthew Boyd will counter for Detroit. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last 10 starts. Over his last two outings, Boyd has given up just three earned runs on five hits over 12 1/3 innings, striking out 18 and walking only three along the way. That's despite the fact that those two starts came against two quality opponents in the Cardinals and Indians. Take the under (10*). |
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09-20-18 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 5-4 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' at Nationals Park on Thursday night. Jason Vargas will get the nod for the Mets. His overall numbers are absolutely dreadful this season but he has turned things around since mid-August. Dating back to August 14th, Vargas has worked at least into the sixth inning in five of six starts, allowing two earned runs or less in five of those starts as well. One of those starts came against the same Nationals he'll face on Thursday. In that outing he gave up just three hits, struck out eight and didn't issue a walk over six shutout innings. Max Scherzer will counter for the Nationals. He owns a stellar 2.50 ERA and 0.88 WHIP at home this season. Scherzer is coming off a rocky outing against the Braves last time out as he gave up six earned runs on seven hits over four innings. The 'over' has now cashed in his last two starts, however, only twice previously this season has he seen a stretch of more than two consecutive 'over' results, the last coming during a five-start 'over' streak from July 7th to August 2nd. Scherzer owns solid career numbers against the Mets having given up one earned run or less in five of his last nine starts against them. Take the under (10*). |
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09-19-18 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 0-9 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Chase Field on Wednesday night. Cole Hamels will get the nod for the Cubs. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in seven of his last eight starts. Last time out he gave up just two earned runs over 6 2/3 innings of work against the Reds. Note that the 'under' has gone 7-1 over his last eight outings. Robbie Ray will counter for Arizona. He has allowed just six earned runs over his last five starts, spanning 28 innings pitched. The 'under' has cashed in four of those five contests. Ray hasn't been at his best here at home this season but I prefer to look at his current form, which shows a 2.04 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over his last three starts. Take the under (10*). |
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09-19-18 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and San Diego at 9:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Petco Park on Wednesday night. Chris Stratton will take the ball for the Giants. He's coming off a complete game shutout and has worked at least six innings in four of his last five starts. The 'under' has cashed in each of his last four outings. While he did throw 114 pitches in his last start, the last time he threw more than 100 pitches he came back and gave up just two earned runs on three hits over six innings in his next outing. Robbie Erlin will counter for San Diego. He is coming off a fine start, having allowed just one earned run on six hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Rangers, needing only 72 pitches to get through that outing. The 'under' has cashed in four of his last six starts overall. Erlin owns a 2.80 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 54 2/3 innings pitched at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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09-19-18 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Atlanta at 12:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Atlanta on Wednesday afternoon. Jack Flaherty will take the ball for the Cardinals. He has been lights out in afternoon action this season, posting a 2.14 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Note also that Flaherty has recorded a 2.96 ERA and 1.09 WHIP on the road this season. He has allowed one earned run or less in five of his last six starts overall. Touki Toussaint will counter for Atlanta. The Braves clearly have faith in their rookie starter giving him the nod in this crucial late season matchup. Toussaint has certainly held his own in three starts this season, working at least into the sixth inning in two of three outings, while needing only 64 pitches to go 4 2/3 innings against the Red Sox in his other start. In two home starts, Toussaint has allowed only four earned runs on six hits over 10 2/3 innings of work. Take the under (10*). |
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09-18-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Dodgers Stadium on Tuesday night. Kyle Freeland will take the ball for the Rockies. He checks in having worked at least six innings in eight straight starts. Last time out he worked into the seventh inning and needed only 82 pitches to do so. He hasn't thrown more than 100 pitches in any of his last four outings. Los Angeles will turn to its ace, Clayton Kershaw. He's coming off a bit of an un-Kershaw-like performance last time out but with that being said, he still held his own, giving up just three earned runs over six innings against the Cardinals. He needed just 92 pitches to get through those six frames. Note that Kershaw owns a 2.70 ERA and 1.00 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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09-18-18 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 7 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and San Diego at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Petco Park on Tuesday night. Derek Holland has been an 'under' machine on the road this season, posting a 3-13-1 o/u mark. There's been no real discernible difference between his performance at home and on the road as he's quite simply enjoyed a renaissance year for the Giants. Note that Holland has worked at least six innings in each of his last four outings. Joey Lucchesi will counter for the Padres. He was limited to five innings in his last two starts but needed only 74 and 86 pitches to get through those two outings. He'll be facing a Giants club that simply isn't scoring right now. Note that Lucchesi has allowed three earned runs or less in four straight starts. Take the under (10*). |
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09-18-18 | White Sox v. Indians UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Progressive Field on Tuesday night. Carlos Rodon will take the ball for the White Sox. He has held his own on the road this season, posting a 3.45 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. He's on quite a run of consistency right now, having worked at least into the sixth inning in 15 of his last 16 starts overall. Corey Kluber will counter for Cleveland. Not surprisingly, he has been outstanding at home this season, recording a 2.05 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. Kluber did get lit up by the Rays last time out but prior to that had worked at least into the sixth inning in eight straight outings, giving up one earned run or less in five of those starts. Take the under (10*). |
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09-17-18 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 5-1 | Win | 105 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at Chase Field on Monday night. The Cubs will hand the ball to Kyle Hendricks. He has worked just five innings in each of his last two starts but needed only 74 and 77 pitches to get through those two outings. The 'under' has gone 4-1 in his last five starts and he has given up two earned runs or less in all five of those starts. Patrick Corbin will counter for Arizona. He has worked at least six innings in each of his last two starts and has certainly been comfortable pitching here at home, posting a 3.14 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. The last time Corbin faced the Cubs he gave up just one earned run on six hits in seven innings of work. Take the under (10*). |
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09-17-18 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 11-6 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in Atlanta on Monday night. Miles Mikolas will take the ball for the Cardinals. He has worked at least six innings in seven of his last nine starts. Last time out he gave up just one earned run on five hits over seven innings. Mike Foltynewicz will counter for Atlanta. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in eight consecutive starts. Over his last two outings he has allowed just two earned runs on eight hits over 15 innings of work. Note that the 'under' has gone 6-3 in his last nine trips to the hill. Take the under (10*). |
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09-17-18 | Royals v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 45 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at PNC Park on Monday night. Brad Keller will take the ball for the Royals. He has worked at least seven innings in three straight starts, giving up just four earned runs in 22 innings pitched over that stretch. The 'under' is 4-1-2 in his last seven starts overall. Joe Musgrove will counter for Pittsburgh. He has worked at least six innings in three straight starts. Musgrove hasn't thrown more than 100 pitches in a start since way back on July 15th. The 'under' is 5-3 in his last eight starts overall. Musgrove's 10 home starts have averaged just 7.4 total runs this season. Take the under (10*). |
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09-16-18 | Twins v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 9-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Kansas City at 2:15 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Kyle Gibson will take the ball for the Twins. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in five of his last six starts. Over his last two outings, Gibson has allowed just three earned runs on eight hits over 12 2/3 innings of work. He has been steady on the road this season, posting a 3.53 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Jakob Junis will counter for Kansas City. He has quietly rounded into form lately, allowing only 11 earned runs over his last seven starts, spanning 46 innings pitched. Junis has worked at least into the sixth inning in six straight outings, and has gone at least seven frames in each of his last three starts. Take the under (10*). |
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09-16-18 | Diamondbacks v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Houston at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Minute Maid Park on Sunday afternoon. Zack Greinke will take the ball for the D'Backs. He has been the picture of consistency this season, including on the road, where he has posted a 3.78 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Note that Greinke has worked at least into the sixth inning in 11 consecutive outings. Of course, Astros ace Justin Verlander is capable of matching Greinke pitch for pitch. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in six straight starts. Over his last two outings he has allowed just three earned runs on nine hits over 14 innings of work, striking out 18 and walking only three along the way. Take the under (10*). |
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09-15-18 | Rockies v. Giants UNDER 7 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and San Francisco at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at AT&T Park on Saturday night. German Marquez will take the ball for the Rockies. He's been terrific on the road this season, posting a 2.83 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. The 'under' has gone 9-3-2 in his 14 road starts. Marquez brings excellent form having worked at least six innings in nine consecutive starts. Madison Bumgarner will counter for San Francisco. He has labored through his last two outings but has still worked at least six innings in six of his last seven starts overall. Note that Bumgarner's last two starts have come on the road. Here at home he owns a sparkling 1.49 ERA and 1.01 WHIP this season. Take the under (10*). |
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09-14-18 | Dodgers v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and St. Louis at 8:15 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in St. Louis on Friday night. Walker Buehler will get the nod for the Dodgers. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in seven of his last eight starts overall. Buehler has given up two earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts as well. Jack Flaherty has been an impressive rookie for the Cardinals as well. He worked just five innings in each of his last two starts but prior to that had gone at least into the sixth inning in six straight outings. Flaherty owns a 2.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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09-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Astros UNDER 8 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Minute Maid Park on Friday night. Robbie Ray will take the ball for the D'Backs. He has given up two earned runs or less in four straight starts and just two earned runs on four hits over his last two outings, spanning 12 1/3 innings of work. The 'under' is 3-1 in his last four trips to the hill. Dallas Keuchel will counter for Houston. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in eight straight starts. Keuchel did get roughed up by the Red Sox last time out but prior to that had given up just five earned runs over his last three starts, spanning 19 innings of work. Take the under (10*). |
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09-14-18 | Nationals v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | 5-10 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Atlanta on Friday night. Max Scherzer will take the ball for the Nationals. He has worked at least seven innings in five of his last eight starts. Last time out he tossed a complete game against the Cubs. While he did throw 111 pitches in that one, I like the fact that he's had five full days off since. Kevin Gausman has been a nice acquisition for the Braves. He did labor through his last start against the D'Backs but prior to that had worked six innings in four of his last five outings. The only start over that stretch where he didn't last six innings was a five-inning outing in which he allowed just one hit and no earned runs. Take the under (10*). |
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09-13-18 | Dodgers v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 9-7 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and St. Louis at 7:15 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in St. Louis on Thursday night. Clayton Kershaw will take the ball for the Dodgers. He has been the picture of consistency once again this season. He checks in having allowed two earned runs or less in nine straight starts. Kershaw has posted a 2.08 ERA and 0.96 WHIP on the road this season. Austin Gomber will counter for St. Louis. He has been lights out here at home this season, having recorded a 2.13 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Over his last three trips to the hill, Gomber has given up just six earned runs in 19 innings pitched. The 'under' is 4-2 in his last five outings. Take the under (10*). |
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09-13-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 3-10 | Push | 0 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Colorado at 3:10 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' at Coors Field on Thursday afternoon. D'Backs starter Clay Buchholz continues his incredible campaign, having posted a 1.73 ERA and 0.96 WHIP on the road this season. He has worked at least six innings in six of his last seven starts, and has seen the 'under' cash in five of his last six trips to the hill. Kyle Freeland will counter for Colorado. He has certainly held his own here at Coors Field, posting a 2.21 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. The 'under' has gone 5-2 in his last seven starts and he has worked at least six innings in seven consecutive outings. Take the under (10*). |
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09-12-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Coors Field on Wednesday night. Patrick Corbin will take the ball for the D'Backs. He has worked at least six innings in nine of his last 10 trips to the hill. Over his last four outings, Corbin has allowed just five earned runs on 16 hits over 24 innings pitched. The last time he faced the Rockies here in Colorado he did labour a bit, but still gave up just two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Jon Gray will counter for the Rockies. The 'under' has gone 9-4 in his 13 starts at home this season. He lasted only four innings against the Dodgers in his last start but gave up just two earned runs in an eventual 4-2 loss. Gray has worked at least into the sixth inning in nine of his last 10 starts overall. Take the under (10*). |
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09-12-18 | Padres v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between San Diego and Seattle at 6:40 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Safeco Field on Wednesday night. Joey Lucchesi will take the ball for the Padres. He has quietly pitched well on the road this season, recording a 2.98 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 42 1/3 innings of work. He checks in having worked at least into the sixth inning in four of his last six starts overall. Last time out, Lucchesi lasted only five innings but needed only 75 pitches and gave up just two earned runs on three hits on the road against the D'Backs. He allowed just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings against the Mariners back in late August. Wade LeBlanc will counter for Seattle. He has worked at least six innings in three straight starts, giving up just one earned run on 13 hits over 19 innings pitched during that stretch. LeBlanc has been solid here at home this season, posting a 3.62 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. The 'under' has gone 15-7-1 in his 23 starts this season. Take the under (10*). |
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09-12-18 | Braves v. Giants UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and San Francisco at 3:45 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at AT&T Park on Wednesday afternoon. Anibal Sanchez will take the ball for the Braves. He has enjoyed an incredible bounce-back season and has been particularly sharp on the road, posting a 3.07 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. In 33 1/3 innings of work in afternoon action, Sanchez has recorded an incredible 2.16 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. He did last only five innings last time out against Arizona but needed only 81 pitches to get through that outing. Derek Holland has enjoyed a nice bounce-back season of his own for the Giants. He has been solid at home this season, posting a 3.69 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. In 56 2/3 innings pitched in afternoon action he has recorded a 2.54 ERA and 1.22 WHIP with the 'under' cashing in seven of his 10 starts. Also note that he has worked at least six innings in three straight outings, allowing just four earned runs in 18 1/3 innings pitched over that stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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09-11-18 | Braves v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and San Francisco at 10:15 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at AT&T Park on Tuesday night. Mike Foltynewicz will take the ball for the Braves. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last seven starts. He has allowed one earned run or less in five of his last six trips to the hill. Foltynewicz owns a stellar 2.71 ERA and 1.18 WHIP on the road this season. Andrew Suarez will counter for San Francisco. He has worked at least six innings in three straight starts. He was rocked for three home runs last time out, but that was at Coors Field in Colorado. Expect a different story to unfold on Tuesday. Take the under (10*). |
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09-11-18 | A's v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Camden Yards on Tuesday night. Mike Fiers will take the ball for the A's. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in five of his last six starts overall. Last time out he faced a tough test against the Yankees and held up extremely well, giving up just two earned runs on three hits over six innings of work. He has faced the Orioles once this season, allowing three earned runs on four hits over six innings. Alex Cobb will counter for Baltimore. He gave up just one earned run on four hits over six frames last time out. Cobb has worked at least into the sixth inning in eight consecutive outings. When he faced the A's back in May he allowed only one earned run over six innings. Take the under (10*). |
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09-10-18 | White Sox v. Royals UNDER 9 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at Kauffman Stadium on Monday night. Lucas Giolito will take the ball for the White Sox. He got rocked last time out but had been pitching well previously, having had worked at least six innings in four straight starts. He has still allowed three earned runs or less in four of his last five outings. He has given up two earned runs or less in four of five career starts against Kansas City. Jakob Junis will counter for the Royals. He has given up two earned runs or less in six straight starts, working at least into the sixth inning in each of his last five outings. Junis allowed just two earned runs over 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the White Sox. Take the under (10*). |
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09-10-18 | Yankees v. Twins UNDER 9 | Top | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
MLB American League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at Target Field on Monday night. J.A. Happ will take the ball for the Yankees. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in six of his last seven starts. Last time out he gave up just one earned run on two hits over six innings against the A's, on the road no less. He has posted a 2.53 ERA and 1.07 WHIP on the road this season. Kyle Gibson will counter for the Twins. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in four of his last five starts. Last time out in a tough matchup on the road against the Astros, Gibson allowed only two earned runs on four hits over seven innings. The 'under' has gone 9-6-1 in his 16 home starts this season. Take the under (10*). |
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09-09-18 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 9-5 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Arizona at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Chase Field on Sunday afternoon after just missing the mark with the same play here last night. Touki Toussaint will take the ball for the Braves. He pitched well in a spot start in August, allowing just one earned run on two hits over six innings against the Marlins. After getting called up again last week, he worked 4 2/3 innings against the Red Sox, and hung tough, giving up three earned runs on four hits - needing only 64 pitches to do so. Robbie Ray will counter for the D'Backs. He is coming off a terrific outing against the Padres, giving up only two hits over 6 1/3 scoreless frames. Over his last two starts he has given up just six hits and one earned run in 11 2/3 innings. Note that the 'under' has cashed in his last three trips to the hill. Take the under (10*). |
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09-08-18 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Arizona at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at Chase Field on Saturday night. Julio Teheran will take the ball for the Braves. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in six straight starts. Over that stretch he has allowed two earned runs or less on four occasions. Clay Buchholz will counter for Arizona. He owns a 2.73 ERA and 1.18 WHIP at home this season. Note that he has worked at least seven innings in four of his last five trips to the hill. While he lasted only five innings against the Dodgers last time out he still gave up only four hits and one earned run. Take the under (10*). |
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09-08-18 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 9.5 | 2-4 | Win | 108 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Colorado at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at Coors Field on Saturday night. Walker Buehler will take the ball for the Dodgers. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in six of his last seven starts overall. Buehler has allowed just four earned runs over his last five outings, covering a span of 30 1/3 innings of work. Kyle Freeland will counter for Colorado. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in eight straight starts. You would have to go back to July 21st to find the last time he allowed more than three earned runs in a start. The 'under' is 4-2 in his last six trips to the hill. Take the under (10*). |
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09-07-18 | Yankees v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Safeco Field on Friday night. Masahiro Tanaka will get the start for the Yankees. He has been sharp lately, working at least six innings in four straight starts, and seven innings in each of his last two outings. Tanaka has given up two earned runs or less in seven of his last nine trips to the hill. James Paxton will counter for Seattle. He left a start early due to injury on August 14th in Oakland and returned to the mound last time out against the A's. In that most recent start Paxton gave up only three earned runs on just two hits in five innings pitched. The 'under' is 7-4 in his 11 home starts this season where he has posted a 3.21 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. Take the under (10*). |
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09-07-18 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Chase Field on Friday night. Kevin Gausman will get the call for the Braves. He has been terrific since joining Atlanta, having allowed three earned runs or less in all six starts and two or less in his last five trips to the hill. Over his last three outings, Gausman has given up just one earned run in 19 innings of work. The 'under' has cashed in each of his last four starts. Patrick Corbin will counter for Arizona. He only lasted five innings last time out but didn't give up a single earned run against the Dodgers, on the road no less. Corbin has worked at least six innings in eight of his last nine starts. Here at home Corbin has recorded a 3.25 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Take the under (10*). |
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09-07-18 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 9.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Coors Field on Friday night. The Dodgers will hand the ball to their ace Clayton Kershaw. He has been outstanding on the road this season, posting a 1.98 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. The 'under' has gone 6-3 in Kershaw's nine road starts. He has worked at least seven innings in each of his last four starts and has given up two earned runs or less in eight straight outings. Jon Gray will counter for Colorado. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in nine straight starts. Gray has allowed three earned runs or less in seven of those nine outings. The 'under' is 6-3 over that stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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09-07-18 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Fenway Park on Friday night. Gerritt Cole will take the ball for the Astros. He faced the Red Sox earlier this season and gave up just three earned runs in seven innings of work. He enters this start having worked at least into the sixth inning in four of his last five trips to the hill. Cole has posted a 2.79 ERA and 1.08 WHIP on the road this season. David Price got roughed up in his most recent start against Miami but should bounce back here. Note that he had worked at least six innings in seven straight outings previously. The 'under' is 5-1-1 in Price's last seven starts overall and he has posted a 3.10 ERA and 1.12 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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09-07-18 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and New York at 7:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Citi Field on Friday night. Aaron Nola will take the ball for the Phillies. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in seven straight starts. He wasn't at his absolute best last time out, but was also up against a tougher offense in the Cubs than he'll face in New York on Friday night. The 'under' is 4-2-1 in Nola's last seven outings. Steven Matz will counter for New York. He has worked seven innings in his last two starts, allowing just two earned runs on eight hits while striking out 18 and walking only two. He has been solid at home this season, posting a 3.84 ERA and 1.12 WHIP despite his ugly 1-6 record. Take the under (10*). |
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09-06-18 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Arizona on Thursday night. Anibal Sanchez will take the ball for the Braves. He has turned plenty of heads this season, pitching like the ace of the Braves staff, recording a 2.98 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. The 'under' has gone 12-6-3 in his 19 starts so far this season. Sanchez has worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last three starts, allowing just five earned runs in 17 2/3 innings pitched. Zack Greinke will counter for Arizona. He has posted almost identical numbers to those of Sanchez and has been at his absolute best here at home, recording a 2.16 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. The 'under' has gone 10-4-2 in his 16 home outings this season. Greinke has given up two earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts against Atlanta. Take the under (10*). |
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09-06-18 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -104 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' at Nationals Park on Thursday night. Kyle Hendricks will take the ball for the Cubs. He's been red hot lately, allowing only three earned runs in 20 innings of work over his last three outings. Note that he has worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last seven starts. He has given up three earned runs or less in seven of eight career starts against the Nationals. Stephen Strasburg will counter for Washington. He struggled in his first start after returning from a stint on the D.L. but has bounced back since, giving up only four earned runs over 12 innings pitched over his last two starts. Strasburg has worked at least seven innings in each of his last five outings against the Cubs, giving up just seven earned runs in 36 2/3 innings of work over that stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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09-05-18 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Seattle on Wednesday night. Andrew Cashner has done a nice job of eating innings for the Orioles, working at least into the sixth inning in five straight starts. He didn't pitch particularly well against the Royals last time out but I look for him to bounce back here, noting that he has allowed three earned runs or less in three of his last five outings. The 'under' is 3-1 in his last four trips to the hill. Mike Leake will counter for the Mariners. He was also rocked in his last start but should rebound here at home, where he has worked at least six innings and allowed three earned runs or less in three straight starts. Prior to his last start, Leake had worked at least six innings in seven consecutive outings. Take the under (10*). |
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09-05-18 | Yankees v. A's UNDER 8 | 2-8 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Oakland at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Oakland on Wednesday night. After a tough stretch, Luis Severino has shown signs of turning the corner again for the Yankees over his last two starts. Severino has allowed three earned runs or less in each of his last three starts and has lasted at least into the sixth innings in back-to-back outings. He owns a respectable 3.77 ERA and 1.22 WHIP on the road this season. Mike Fiers will counter for the A's. He was roughed up by the Mariners in his last start but had been pitching well previously, working at least into the sixth inning in four straight starts. Fiers has given up two earned runs or less in four of five outings since joining the A's at the trade deadline. Take the under (10*). |
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09-05-18 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 10.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Coors Field on Wednesday night. Andrew Suarez has been pitching well for the Giants, well beneath the betting radar for a while now. He has turned in shutout performances in three of his last four starts, working at least six innings in all three of those outings. Over his last two starts he has been in top form, giving up just five hits over 14 scoreless frames. Antonio Senzatela will counter for Colorado. Like Suarez, he's not a household name by any means but has been pitching well, allowing two earned runs or less in four of his last five starts. The 'under' has gone 7-2 over his last nine trips to the hill. Take the under (10*). |
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09-05-18 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 10-2 | Loss | -118 | 23 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Chicago on Wednesday night. Jordan Zimmermann will take the ball for the Tigers. He has worked at least six innings in five of his last six starts overall, giving up two earned runs or less in four of his last six outings. He owns a 1.79 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 45 1/3 innings pitched at night this season. Rookie Michael Kopech will counter for the White Sox. He has had two of his first three big league outings shortened but has undoubtedly pitched well, giving up only one earned run while striking out nine and walking just one in 11 innings of work. In his first start against the Tigers he needed only 86 pitches to get through six innings, allowing just one earned run back on August 26th. Take the under (10*). |
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09-05-18 | Mets v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Los Angeles at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday evening. Zack Wheeler will take the ball for the Mets. He has been terrific on the road this season, posting a 3.30 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Wheeler has worked at least seven innings in five of his last six starts, giving up one earned run or less in all but one of those outings. Hyun-Jin Ryu will counter for the Dodgers. He has worked at least six innings in four of five career starts against the Mets, giving up two earned runs or less in all five of those starts. Ryu needed only 86 pitches to work seven innings, allowing just two earned runs on four hits against the D'Backs last time out. Take the under (10*). |
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09-05-18 | Royals v. Indians UNDER 8 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Cleveland at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Progressive Field on Wednesday afternoon. Brad Keller will take the ball for the Royals. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in six of his last eight starts. Last time out, Keller gave up just two earned runs on four hits over eight innings against the Orioles. The 'under' is 3-1-1 in his last five starts overall. Corey Kluber will counter for Cleveland. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in seven straight starts. Kluber tossed seven innings of two-hit shutout ball in his last trip to the hill. The 'under' has cashed in his last two starts. Kluber owns a 1.98 ERA and 0.79 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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09-04-18 | Mets v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 4-11 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Dodger Stadium on Tuesday night. Jason Vargas will take the ball for the Mets. He has enjoyed quite a turnaround after a tough start to the season, working at least into the sixth inning in each of his last four starts, allowing just five earned runs in 22 2/3 innings pitched over that stretch. His road ERA may be north of seven but he hasn't allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last three road outings. Rich Hill will counter for Los Angeles. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in seven of his last eight starts. Even in Hill's last start while he didn't last beyond the fifth frame he still gave up only three earned runs and needed to throw only 89 pitches. Take the under (10*). |
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09-04-18 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Seattle on Tuesday night. Alex Cobb will take the ball for the Orioles. He has been outstanding for the Orioles over the last seven weeks or so and checks in having worked at least into the sixth inning in seven consecutive starts. Cobb did get roughed up by the Jays last time out but prior to that had allowed two earned runs or less in five straight outings. Wade LeBlanc will counter for Seattle. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in five of his last eight starts. He's coming off a tremendous effort against the A's as he needed only 98 pitches to toss seven shutout innings of three-hit ball. The 'under' is 7-2 over his last nine trips to the hill. Take the under (10*). |
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09-04-18 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Diego and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Chase Field on Tuesday night. Joey Lucchesi will take the ball for the Padres. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in four of his last five starts. Over that stretch he has given up two earned runs or less on four different occasions. Last time out, Lucchesi gave up just one earned run and worked into the seventh frame against the Mariners. Robbie Ray will counter for Arizona. He has been laboring a little lately but has still worked at least into the sixth inning in six of his last nine starts overall. Last time out Ray gave up only one earned run on four hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Dodgers. He has struggled at home this season but has pitched well in his last few starts here. Take the under (10*). |
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09-04-18 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 10 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
MLB N.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Coors Field on Tuesday night. These two teams were involved in a high-scoring affair yesterday but I expect a different story to unfold here. Derek Rodriguez will take the ball for the Giants. He has made two starts since returning from injury and has pitched relatively well, allowing five earned runs on eight hits over 11 innings. Note that the 'under' is now 4-1 over his last five trips to the hill. German Marquez will counter for Colorado. He has pitched at least seven innings in six of his last seven starts. Marquez has given up two earned runs or less in each of his last four outings. The 'under' is a perfect 7-0 in his last seven starts. Take the under (10*). |
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09-03-18 | Cardinals v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Washington at 1:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at Nationals Park on Monday afternoon. Jack Flaherty will take the ball for the Cardinals. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in six straight starts and has allowed just two earned runs over his last three outings, spanning 19 innings of work. The 'under' has cashed in each of Flaherty's last three trips to the hill. Max Scherzer will counter for Washington. He is coming off a rocky outing (by his standards) against the Phillies but has obviously been the picture of consistency for the Nats' again this season and should bounce back here. Scherzer has posted a 2.37 ERA and 0.88 WHIP at home this season. Note that he has allowed two earned runs or less in seven of his last eight outings. Take the under (10*). |
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09-02-18 | Rockies v. Padres UNDER 8 | 7-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and San Diego at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Petco Park on Sunday afternoon. Kyle Freeland will take the ball for the Rockies. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in seven straight starts. Freeland has allowed two earned runs or less in each of his last five outings. Jacob Nix will counter for San Diego. He needed only 79 pitches to work 8 1/3 innings in a victory over Seattle last time out and has worked at least six innings in two of four big league starts. Nix will be facing a Rockies club that isn't scoring with any consistency right now. Take the under (10*). |
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09-02-18 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 104 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Los Angeles at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Dodger Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Clay Buchholz will take the ball for the D'Backs. He has been lights out on the road this season, posting a 1.73 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. The 'under' has cashed in seven of his nine road outings. Buchholz has allowed just one earned run in his last three starts, spanning 23 innings of work. Walker Buehler will counter for Los Angeles. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in five of his last six trips to the hill. Buehler has given up just three earned runs in his last four outings, spanning 24 innings pitched. Take the under (10*). |
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09-02-18 | Mets v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and San Francisco at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at AT&T Park on Sunday afternoon. Noah Syndergaard will take the ball for the Mets. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in six straight starts and hasn't given up a single home run in his last five outings. Chris Stratton will counter for San Francisco. He has given up just two earned runs in his last two starts, spanning 14 1/3 innings of work. He didn't issue a walk or allow a home run in either of those starts. Take the under (10*). |
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09-02-18 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cincinnati and St. Louis at 2:15 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in St. Louis on Sunday afternoon. Anthony DeSclafani will take the ball for the Reds. He has worked at least six innings in five straight starts. The 'under' has gone 4-1 in his last five trips to the hill. Luke Weaver will counter for the Cardinals. He's making his first start after a stint in the bullpen. Note that Weaver had worked six innings in tow of his last four starts previous. He has given up two earned runs or less in three of four career starts against Cincinnati. Take the under (10*). |
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09-01-18 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Los Angeles at 9:10 pm et on Saturday. Full writeups will return on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Dodger Stadium on Saturday night. We have an elite pitching matchup between Patrick Corbin and Clayton Kershaw in this one - two starters that are more than familiar with the opposition. I expect both to pitch well and work deep into this ball game. We're being offered a relatively low total but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the under (9*). |
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09-01-18 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cincinnati and St. Louis at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. Full writeups will return on Sunday. Solid opportunity to back the 'under' in St. Louis on Saturday night as two unheralded but effective starters take the hill. I'm confident that we'll see Luis Castillo hold the Cards bats in check in this one while Daniel Poncedeleon has already cashed an 'under' ticket for us in the last week. Take the under (9*). |
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09-01-18 | Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Chicago at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. Full writeups will return on Sunday. Two pitchers in excellent current form will go head-to-head at U.S. Cellular Field on Saturday night. We've had plenty of success playing the Red Sox 'under' the total this season, in spite of their offensive prowess. Another fine opportunity presents itself here as we're being offered an inflated total given the starting pitching matchup. Take the under (9*). |
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Sean Murphy MLB Totals Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-24-19 | Padres v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
05-19-19 | Brewers v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
05-18-19 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
05-18-19 | Dodgers v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
05-14-19 | Rangers v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
05-11-19 | Phillies v. Royals OVER 9 | 7-0 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
05-10-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
05-09-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 4-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
05-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
05-03-19 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
05-03-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
05-02-19 | Padres v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 11-2 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
05-01-19 | Cubs v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-0 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
04-29-19 | Rays v. Royals UNDER 9 | 8-5 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
04-28-19 | Indians v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
04-27-19 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
04-27-19 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 15-1 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
04-26-19 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -119 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
04-26-19 | Rockies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
04-25-19 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
04-24-19 | Tigers v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 4-11 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
04-23-19 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
04-23-19 | Braves v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
04-22-19 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 12-4 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
04-21-19 | Braves v. Indians UNDER 8 | 11-5 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
04-21-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 104 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
04-20-19 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 9 | 6-5 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
04-20-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 3-9 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
04-19-19 | Giants v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
04-19-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
04-18-19 | Reds v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
04-16-19 | Rockies v. Padres UNDER 7 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
04-15-19 | Cubs v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
04-12-19 | Astros v. Mariners UNDER 9 | Top | 10-6 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
04-11-19 | Indians v. Tigers UNDER 7.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
04-10-19 | Marlins v. Reds UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
04-09-19 | Marlins v. Reds UNDER 8 | 0-14 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
04-08-19 | Dodgers v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
04-07-19 | A's v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
04-06-19 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 7-2 | Win | 101 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
04-05-19 | Rays v. Giants UNDER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
04-05-19 | Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 8 | 8-10 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
04-04-19 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 4-5 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
04-03-19 | Rockies v. Rays UNDER 7 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
03-28-19 | Rockies v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
03-28-19 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
09-20-18 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 8-11 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
09-20-18 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 5-4 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
09-19-18 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 0-9 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
09-19-18 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
09-19-18 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
09-18-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
09-18-18 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 7 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
09-18-18 | White Sox v. Indians UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
09-17-18 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 5-1 | Win | 105 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
09-17-18 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 11-6 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
09-17-18 | Royals v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 45 m | Show |
09-16-18 | Twins v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 9-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
09-16-18 | Diamondbacks v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
09-15-18 | Rockies v. Giants UNDER 7 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
09-14-18 | Dodgers v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
09-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Astros UNDER 8 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
09-14-18 | Nationals v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | 5-10 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
09-13-18 | Dodgers v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 9-7 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
09-13-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 3-10 | Push | 0 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
09-12-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
09-12-18 | Padres v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
09-12-18 | Braves v. Giants UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
09-11-18 | Braves v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
09-11-18 | A's v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
09-10-18 | White Sox v. Royals UNDER 9 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
09-10-18 | Yankees v. Twins UNDER 9 | Top | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
09-09-18 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 9-5 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
09-08-18 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 30 m | Show | |
09-08-18 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 9.5 | 2-4 | Win | 108 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
09-07-18 | Yankees v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
09-07-18 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
09-07-18 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 9.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
09-07-18 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
09-07-18 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
09-06-18 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
09-06-18 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -104 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
09-05-18 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
09-05-18 | Yankees v. A's UNDER 8 | 2-8 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
09-05-18 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 10.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
09-05-18 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 10-2 | Loss | -118 | 23 h 43 m | Show | |
09-05-18 | Mets v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
09-05-18 | Royals v. Indians UNDER 8 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
09-04-18 | Mets v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 4-11 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 5 m | Show | |
09-04-18 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
09-04-18 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
09-04-18 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 10 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
09-03-18 | Cardinals v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
09-02-18 | Rockies v. Padres UNDER 8 | 7-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
09-02-18 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 104 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
09-02-18 | Mets v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
09-02-18 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
09-01-18 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
09-01-18 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
09-01-18 | Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |