Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-30-22 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
MLB Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Los Angeles at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. I'm anticipating plenty of offense as the Rangers and Angels continue their series in Anaheim on Saturday. Glenn Otto gets the start for the visiting Rangers. He owns a 5.19 FIP and 1.46 WHIP this season, yielding 5.64 runs per nine innings. Command has been a major issue has he has handed out 4.7 walks per nine innings. Chase Silseth hasn't been much better for the Angels. He has recorded a 5.84 FIP and 1.46 WHIP, knocked around for a whopping 10.2 hits per nine innings. Opponents have reached Silseth for 5.84 runs per nine frames. Both bullpens are hittable. The Rangers relief corps has posted a colelctive 4.69 ERA and 1.43 WHIP over the last seven games while the Halos 'pen owns a 4.27 ERA and 1.30 WHIP at home. The two teams have combined to blow 15 saves away and home, respectively. Take the over (10*). |
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07-29-22 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
A.L. Non-Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Oakland and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. I’m expecting plenty of offense between the A’s and White Sox on Friday as they open a three-game series in Chicago. James Kaprielian has been the weak link in the A’s rotation this season, posting a 5.62 FIP and 1.32 WHIP while giving up just shy of 4.9 runs per nine innings. Behind Kaprielian is an A’s bullpen that I expect to suffer some regression on this road trip following an extended stretch at home. The A’s ‘pen has just 14 saves converted compared to nine blown on the road this season. Veteran Lance Lynn has had an up-and-down return from injury to the White Sox starting rotation. He did pitch well over six innings against the Guardians last time out but I question whether he can follow it up with another quality outing here. Note that Lynn has posted a 4.34 FIP and 1.41 WHIP this season, allowing an ugly average of 7.07 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has been a mess lately, most recently coughing up Wednesday’s game in the ninth inning in Colorado. The Sox relief corps has posted a collective 6.35 ERA and 1.76 WHIP over the last seven games and hasn’t been much better as a whole at home this season, logging a 5.23 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Take the over (10*). |
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07-29-22 | Guardians v. Rays UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Tampa Bay at 7:10 pm et on Friday. I’m anticipating a well-pitched game from both sides in St. Petersburg on Friday night as the Guardians send Shane Bieber to the mound against Jeffrey Springs of the Rays. Bieber got roughed up early against the White Sox in his most recent start. I’m confident he’ll bounce back here, noting that he has posted a 3.07 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, allowing just shy of 3.8 runs per nine innings. Bieber has had moderate success against the Rays in his career, posting a 3.09 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in four career starts against them. Springs is having a fine campaign as well, recording a 3.58 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while holding the opposition to only 2.63 runs per nine frames. He’ll have the advantage of facing the Guardians for the first time in his career on Friday. This matchup features two capable bullpens with Cleveland’s relief corps having posted a collective 2.45 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action) and the Rays ‘pen having recorded a 3.18 ERA and 1.10 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (8*). |
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07-29-22 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Miami at 6:40 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams have been involved in their share of low-scoring games lately and I expect more of the same on Friday as New York sends Chris Bassitt to the hill against Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara. Bassitt has been quietly rolling along lately, working at least six innings while allowing three earned runs or less in six consecutive outings. For the season, Bassitt has posted a 3.74 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while giving up 3.8 runs per nine innings. Alcantara is one of the leading contenders for the N.L. Cy Young Award as he has recorded a 2.78 FIP and 0.90 WHIP, yielding only 2.24 runs per nine innings. He didn’t have his best stuff in his most recent start but still hung in there, allowing only two earned runs while striking out 10 over six innings in Pittsburgh. Both bullpens have been solid lately with the Mets relief corps posting a 3.58 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last seven games and the Marlins ‘pen recording a 3.25 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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07-26-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. The totals have been steadily coming down over the D'Backs last few games from 9.5 on Sunday to 9.0 on Monday and now 8.5 on Tuesday. Obviously that has a lot to do with the starting pitchers slated to take the mound, but in this case, I believe the total will prove too low. Carlos Rodon will take the ball for the visiting Giants. There's not a lot negative I can say about Rodon but I'm confident the D'Backs can scratch out enough offense against him (and the rest of the Giants pitching staff) to help this total along. Note that Rodon will be starting on just four days' rest here. The last time he did he gave up eight hits and three walks but limited the damage allowing just one earned run over five innings against Milwaukee. The D'Backs did get to him for four earned runs over five innings in their lone previous matchup this season. No bullpen has struggled worse than the Giants' lately as they check in sporting an ugly 8.24 ERA and 1.98 WHIP over their last seven games so the opportunity should be there for the D'Backs to score late even if they're silenced by Rodon early. I'm down on D'Backs starter Tyler Gilbert as he has posted a 5.93 FIP and 1.25 WHIP while allowing 5.64 runs per nine innings this season. San Francisco will get its second look at Gilbert this season after failing to deliver the knockout blow but having little trouble chasing him from the game after 3 2/3 innings earlier this month (Gilbert allowed four hits, one walk and one earned run while striking out only two in that outing. The D'Backs bullpen has posted excellent numbers lately but I will point out that they've had little pressure on them playing with big leads in the majority of those games. When pressed in a tight contest against the Nationals on Sunday they ultimately coughed up the game. Take the over (8*). |
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07-26-22 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Atlanta and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is one of the best starting pitching matchups on Tuesday’s board as the Braves hand the ball to standout rookie Spencer Strider against Aaron Nola of the Phillies. We’ll use the ‘first five innings’ to play the ‘under’ in this one. Strider has burst onto the scene with a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.05 FIP and 1.05 WHIP, holding opponents to just under 3.3 runs per nine innings. Here, he’ll have the advantage of facing the Phillies for the first time in his career. Nola is often found in Zack Wheeler’s shadow in the Phillies rotation but he’s been every bit as good as the Philadelphia ace this season. Nola owns a 2.82 FIP and 0.91 WHIP while yielding just 3.2 runs per nine innings. By playing the first five innings only we’ll look to avoid a struggling Phillies bullpen that has recorded a collective 5.56 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take the first five innings under (10*). |
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07-25-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
N.L. Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Monday. |
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07-25-22 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 9 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Monday. This game has all the makings of a slugfest, even though it features two teams that aren’t exactly offensive juggernauts in the Marlins and Reds. Trevor Rogers will get the start for Miami. To say that he’s labored through his 18 starts this season would be an understatement. He has posted a 4.53 FIP and 1.55 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.9 runs per nine innings. He’ll be facing a Reds club that has fared much better offensively at home this season, entering yesterday’s action averaging 5.1 runs per game (compared to their 4.3 rpg overall). The Marlins bullpen coughed up a two-run ninth inning lead and almost let a 6-4 extra innings lead slip away yesterday in Pittsburgh. Miami’s ‘pen entered that contest having already blown 10 saves away from home this season, where it had recorded a collective 4.38 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Rookie Nick Lodolo will take the ball for Cincinnati. He remains in the Reds rotation out of necessity only. Note that he has posted a 4.86 FIP and 1.79 WHIP while allowing just north of 5.8 runs per nine innings in six starts this season. Behind Lodolo is a Reds bullpen that has posted a collective 5.43 ERA and 1.48 WHIP with only four saves converted and six blown at home this season (entering yesterday’s action). Take the over (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Giants v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Los Angeles at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. We've seen a pair of well-pitched, low-scoring games between these two N.L. West rivals over the last two nights. I expect a different story to unfold on Sunday, however. Alex Cobb will get the start for the visiting Giants. His number are a bit perplexing as he has posted a solid 3.00 FIP to go along with a 1.29 WHIP yet has allowed an ugly 5.37 runs per nine innings. That has a lot to do with the fact that he's kept the ball in the park, yielding just 0.6 runs per nine innings. The Dodgers red hot bats will obviously pose a challenge on Sunday, noting that they entered last night's contest averaging 6.7 runs over their last seven games. Interestingly, Cobb has never faced the Dodgers before in his career. All-Star Game starter Clayton Kershaw will take the ball for Los Angeles. His overall numbers this season are terrific as he owns a 2.48 FIP and 0.91 WHIP while allowing just shy of 2.3 runs per nine innings. If there's an opponent that could put a dent in his armor, it's the Giants. They entered last night's game averaging 5.4 runs per contest against left-handed starting pitching this season (compared to their season average of 4.8 rpg). They saw Kershaw in the second week of June, cashing him after four innings, scoring two runs on three hits and two walks. You would have to go back five Kershaw starts against San Francisco here at Dodger Stadium to find the last time a game totalled less than nine runs. The Giants bullpen hasn't fared any better post-All-Star break than it did before, entering last night's action sporting a 4.33 ERA and 1.56 WHIP over the last seven contests. Meanwhile, the Dodgers 'pen has been terrific this season but has been anything but perfect lately, recording a collective 4.05 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over the last seven games (also entering last night's action). Take the over (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
MLB Non-Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Arizona at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. Our play on the first five innings 'over' in this matchup last night didn't go our way but I won't hesitate to come back with a similar play on Sunday - this time backing the 'over' for the full game as Washington sends Erick Fedde to the hill against Corbin Martin of the D'Backs. Fedde is in the midst of another trying campaign having posted a 4.98 FIP and 1.50 WHIP while allowing north of 5.0 runs per nine innings. Perhaps Nationals starters are trying to be a little too perfect on the road, noting that their bullpen entered last night's action sporting an ugly 6.00 ERA and 1.52 WHIP away from home this season. The D'Backs have certainly feasted in Washington pitching in this series, plating 17 runs in two games. Corbin Martin will get another spot start for Arizona. In 14 1/3 innings of work this season, Martin has recorded a 2.42 FIP and 1.47 WHIP but has yielded a whopping 5.65 runs per nine innings. That low FIP has everything to do with the fact that he hasn't allowed a home run at the big league level this season. However, a quick look at his minor league stats shows he posted an ERA north of 5.00 and a 1.33 WHIP while allowing 1.4 home runs per nine innings at the AAA level this season. I'm confident the Nats' slumbering bats will wake up against Martin on Sunday. The D'Backs bullpen has managed to convert only seven saves while blowing six at home this season where it has recorded a pedestrian 3.65 ERA and 1.29 WHIP (entering last night's action). Take the over (10*). |
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07-24-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Chicago at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. This has been a reasonably high-scoring series to this point but I'm anticipating a well-pitched finale on Sunday afternoon. Shane Bieber will get the start for the visiting Guardians. He checks in sporting a 2.74 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while allowing just shy of 3.5 runs per nine innings this season. After a bit of a rocky stretch, Bieber faced these same White Sox just before the All-Star break and tossed a complete game, allowing just one run. He owns a 3.14 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the road this season. Dylan Cease will counter for Chicago. He's been the most consistent starter in the White Sox rotation, entering this outing with a 2.68 FIP and 1.19 WHIP while yielding just a shade above 3.0 runs per nine innings on the campaign. As I noted in yesterday's analysis, both bullpens entered Saturday's action in tremendous form. Unfortunately the two relief corps suffered some regression in yesterday's double-header but I do think they can rebound should they be called upon here. Take the under (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Angels v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Atlanta at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. The Angels offense has been lifeless lately with last night's loss extending its streak of scoring two runs or less to five games. They will face arguably the weakest link in the Braves starting rotation on Sunday though and I believe they can do their part to help this one 'over' the total. The Braves will get the opportunity to tee off on another left-hander, noting that they entered last night's action having gone 23-9 while averaging 5.7 runs per game against southpaw starters this season. Reid Detmers will take the ball for the Angels on Saturday. He hasn't come close to regaining the form that saw him post a no-hitter earlier in the season. Overall, he owns a 4.82 FIP and 1.07 WHIP while yielding 4.11 runs per nine innings. Atlanta will start Ian Anderson. He's labored through the campaign, recording a 4.31 FIP and 1.51 WHIP while giving up a disappointing 4.89 runs per nine innings. After getting handcuffed by Charlie Morton and Kyle Wright over the last two nights, I think the Angels will be happy to see Anderson on the mound on Sunday. He owns a 5.31 ERA and 1.67 WHIP at home this season. Neither bullpen brings overwhelming form to the table on Sunday. The Angels have just eight converted saves while blowing six on the road this season while it may surprise you to find out that Atlanta has blown 10 saves (while converting 17) at home. Take the over (10*). |
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07-23-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Texas and Oakland at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. Break up the A’s! They’ve scored 10 runs over their last two games - both victories - and will look to keep the good vibes at the dish going on Saturday. I like their chances of doing so, at least early on, but I’m also confident the Rangers bats will come alive and do their part to help this one ‘over’ the first five innings total. Taylor Hearn will get the start for the Rangers. He checks in with a 4.57 FIP and 1.67 WHIP, allowing north of 10 hits and four walks per nine innings. Opponents have reached the left-hander for just shy of 6.2 runs per nine innings. James Kaprielian will counter for the A’s. After turning in a fine rookie campaign last year, he’s struggled in his sophomore big league season. Kaprielian has posted a 5.78 FIP and 1.36 WHIP and like Hearn, has struggled with his command, issuing north of four walks per nine innings. He’s also giving up just under 2.0 home runs and 5.22 runs per nine frames. The two bullpens entered this series sporting opposite recent results with the Rangers relief corps struggling and the A’s’ thriving. However, the Rangers ‘pen actually went into last night’s game with a collective 3.04 ERA and 1.23 WHIP on the road this season while the A’s ‘pen had posted a 4.84 ERA and WHIP at home. I don’t think we have enough of an edge either way to support a full game ‘over’ play, so we’ll go with the first five innings only here. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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07-23-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Washington and Arizona at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. These two teams boast bullpens that entered this series in excellent recent form so rather than play the full game ‘over’ the total, we’ll go with the first five innings only as the hitters draw a favorable starting pitching matchup. Journeyman starter Anibal Sanchez will get his second start for Washington. He labored through his first outing, allowing four earned runs on four hits, including two home runs. When we previously saw Sanchez he posted a 5.46 FIP and 1.66 WHIP while allowing just shy of 6.8 runs per nine innings in 53 innings of work for the Nats during the Covid-shortened 2020 campaign. His counterpart on Saturday will be Madison Bumgarner. The veteran left-hander isn’t exactly enjoying a banner campaign having recorded a 4.59 FIP and 1.40 WHIP. That’s about as much as the D’Backs probably expected from him as he nears the end of his storied big league career. Bumgarner checks in allowing just shy of 4.6 runs per nine innings this season. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Cleveland and Chicago at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. This play sets up similarly to last night’s play on the first five innings ‘over’ between these two teams as we have another favorable starting pitching matchup but will look to avoid the two bullpens, which have been performing exceptionally well lately, as I outlined in last night’s analysis. Konnor Pilkington will get another turn in the rotation for the Guardians. He has struggled in his rookie campaign, posting a 4.28 FIP and 1.64 WHIP while allowing just shy of 5.4 runs per nine innings. The White Sox have once again been terrific against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (they average 4.4 rpg overall this season). Veteran Lance Lynn hasn’t come close to regaining the form that saw him contend for the A.L. Cy Young Award last season. He checks in with a 4.78 FIP and 1.50 WHIP in 36 innings of work, yielding a whopping 8.25 runs per nine innings. The last time the Guardians saw Lynn they torched him for eight earned runs on nine hits in just four innings back on July 11th. That was after seeing him four times last season, plating 14 runs in 22 innings. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Chicago at 1:10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the first five innings 'over' in the opener of this divisional series last night but could have also cashed the full game 'over' as the Guardians prevailed by an 8-2 score. I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the 'under' on Saturday, however, as we have a better starting pitching matchup to go along with the two red hot bullpens. Triston McKenzie will get the start for Cleveland. He actually owns a WHIP below 1.00 (at 0.98) but his FIP does sit north of 4.00 (at 4.22). McKenzie has managed to limit the damage by keeping his hits allowed down and strikeouts up, ultimately allowing just 3.2 runs per nine innings. Entering last night's action, the Guardians bullpen had posted a 1.85 ERA and 0.70 WHIP over the last seven games. They've converted 13 saves while blowing just six on the road this season. Veteran right-hander Johnny Cueto takes the ball for the White Sox. He's 'turned back the clock' this season, recording a 3.98 FIP and 1.18 WHIP while yielding just north of 2.9 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has performed exceptionally well lately, posting a sparkling 0.45 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night's action). Take the under (8*). |
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07-22-22 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 105 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Friday. I expect a well-pitched game between these N.L. West rivals on Friday. Logan Webb will take the ball for San Francisco. He’s quietly having another fine season, having recorded a 3.10 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while giving up only 3.14 runs per nine innings. The Giants bullpen had run into some tough times earlier this month but has since shown signs of turning it around, posting a collective 3.21 ERA over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). The Dodgers will give left-hander Tyler Anderson the start. While the Giants have hit left-handed starters well this season, Anderson is a ‘bet-on talent’ pitcher with a 3.33 FIP and 1.02 WHIP, yielding only 3.05 runs per nine innings. Los Angeles’ bullpen has been terrific all season and opened this series sporting a collective 2.95 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with three saves converted and none blown over the last seven contests. UPDATE: Both bullpens got hit hard in the Dodgers wild 9-6 victory last night. I’m confident we’ll see both relief corps’ bounce back on Friday. Take the under (9*). |
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07-22-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 8 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Cleveland and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. These teams boast two of the hottest bullpens in baseball in terms of current form - or at least the form they showed entering the All-Star break. So rather than involve those two ‘pens, we’ll look to play the ‘over’ in the first five innings only as the hitters should feast on the starting pitchers working this one. Cal Quantrill has posted a very pedestrian 4.45 FIP and 1.29 WHIP on the campaign, yielding 4.2 runs per nine innings. He’s giving up 2.7 walks per nine innings and doing little to make up for it in terms of strikeouts with just 5.6 per nine frames. Lucas Giolito has been even worse for the White Sox, despite the fact that he shut the Guardians down just last week. On the season, Giolito has recorded a 4.28 FIP and 1.40 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.10 runs per nine innings. He’s handing out 3.3 walks per nine innings on the season and I expect the Guardians to gain an ounce of revenge against the right-hander here. Take the first five innings over (9*). |
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07-22-22 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between San Diego and New York at 7:10 pm et on Friday. We have a tremendous starting pitching matchup between these N.L. non-division foes on Friday night in Queens. Rather than sweat the bullpens, I’ll back the first five innings ‘under’ only in this one. Yu Darvish gets the call for the visiting Padres. He owns a 3.45 FIP and 0.99 WHIP and yields just over 3.4 runs per nine innings this season. He most recently faced the Mets in June and allowed just two hits over seven shutout innings and owns a career 2.76 ERA and 0.75 WHIP against them in seven starts. My big concern with the Padres is their bullpen, which has recorded a 5.66 ERA and 1.79 WHIP over the last seven games and a 4.43 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the road this season. Max Scherzer has been dominant since returning from injury. He owns a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.37 FIP and 0.88 WHIP this season while giving up only 2.35 runs per nine frames. The veteran right-hander struggled in his most recent outing against San Diego late last September but still owns a 2.87 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 16 career starts against the Padres. Note that prior to that September start last year, he had The Mets bullpen has been solid lately but has been somewhat vulnerable here at home where it has posted a collective 3.57 ERA and blown six saves while converting 11. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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07-16-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
N.L. Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and San Diego at 8:40 pm et on Saturday. I like the way this one sets up as a relatively high-scoring affair on Saturday night in San Diego. The D'Backs will hand the ball to Tyler Gilbert. While he's pitched well in his last couple of outings, his overall numbers this season still aren't good as he's recorded a 6.43 FIP and 1.26 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.7 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Saturday will be Sean Manaea. Oddly enough, the D'Backs will be seeing him for the fourth time already this season. Manaea checks in sporting a 3.99 FIP and 1.22 WHIP while giving up 4.28 runs per nine innings. A bigger concern than Manaea is the Padres bullpen, which entered last night's game with a 7.33 ERA and 1.91 WHIP over its last seven contests. For its part, the D'Backs 'pen has posted a 4.97 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the over (10*). |
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07-15-22 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Atlanta and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. This one sets up well for a high-scoring start as the Braves send Ian Anderson to the hill against Patrick Corbin of the Nationals. Anderson sports a 4.39 FIP and 1.51 WHIP on the season, yielding just shy of 5.1 runs per nine innings. Corbin has been even worse. He owns a 4.55 FIP and 1.67 WHIP on the campaign, giving up a whopping 6.65 runs per nine innings. We'll play the first five innings only as the two bullpens have admittedly been solid lately with both entering last night's action sporting sub-3.00 ERA's over the last seven contests. Look for the bats to come alive early on Friday. Take the first five innings over (9*). |
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07-14-22 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Milwaukee and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Thursday. You won't find a much better starting pitching matchup than this one as the Brewers send Corbin Burnes to the hill against Carlos Rodon of the Giants. Burnes got off to a bit of a shaky start this season but has since recovered, lowering his FIP to 2.99 and his WHIP to 0.89. He's allowing only 2.45 runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodon has arguably been even better for the Giants. He checks in sporting a 2.14 FIP and 1.06 WHIP while yielding just shy of 2.8 runs per nine innings. I'll play the first five innings only here as I do have my reservations when it comes to the two bullpens. The Brewers 'pen has posted a collective 4.97 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over its last seven games while the Giants relief corps checks in with a solid 2.78 ERA but an alarming 1.81 WHIP over the same stretch. Interestingly, the Giants have converted just seven saves while blowing three at home this season. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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07-14-22 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 12-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Minnesota at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. We have a terrific starting pitching matchup on tap between the White Sox and Twins on Thursday as Chicago sends Johnny Cueto to the hill against Sonny Gray of the Twins. Cueto tossed eight shutout innings in his most recent outing and now owns a 4.11 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, yielding just north of 3.0 runs per nine innings. Behind Cueto is a White Sox bullpen that has been lights out lately, posting a collective 0.47 ERA and 0.68 WHIP over the last seven games. Sonny Gray didn't have his best stuff for the Twins in his most recent start but I'm confident he'll bounce back here. He's had a nice comeback campaign, recording a 3.30 FIP and 1.06 WHIP while giving up just shy of 3.2 runs per nine innings. Like the White Sox 'pen, the Twins relief corps has been effective lately, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take the under (8*). |
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07-13-22 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. Astros starter Cristian Javier certainly didn't have his best stuff in his most recent outing against the Royals. That doesn't change the fact that he's enjoying a terrific campaign, having posted a 3.06 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while allowing only 3.01 runs per nine innings. He just faced the Angels two starts back and gave up only one earned run over seven innings and owns an incredible 2.04 ERA and 0.57 WHIP in three career starts against them. His counterpart on Wednesday will be Angels ace Shohei Ohtani. We successfully backed him in his most recent start against the Marlins but we'll take a different route and back the 'under' in this one. Ohtani owns a 2.43 FIP and 0.99 WHIP on the campaign, allowing only 2.56 runs per nine innings. The Astros bullpen has been terrific lately, posting a collective 2.55 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over its last seven games (entering last night's contest). While the Angels 'pen has struggled, I'm not overly concerned as Ohtani has the ability to work deep into the game, noting that he has lasted at least into the sixth inning in nine of his last 10 starts and 7+ innings in three of his last five outings. Take the under (8*). |
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07-13-22 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
MLB Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a couple of relatively low-scoring games between these two division rivals in yesterday's day-night double-header. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday. Lucas Giolito will take the ball for Chicago. He's had a tough season so far, posting a 4.45 FIP and 1.44 WHIP while allowing just shy of 5.4 runs per nine innings. Last time out he yielded five earned runs over 6 2/3 innings against the light-hitting Tigers. Note that he'll be making his second consecutive start on short (four days) rest on Wednesday. It's a similar story for Guardians starter Aaron Civale. He actually pitched well against the lowly Royals in his most recent outing but his overall numbers remain poor this season. Civale checks in sporting a 4.28 FIP and 1.44 WHIP while giving up almost 7.0 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has held up well lately but is getting into 'overworked' territory, noting that Chicago hasn't had a day off since June 30th and comes off the double-header yesterday. The Guardians 'pen coughed up three runs in last night's game and entered yesterday's action sporting a collective 6.35 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the over (10*). |
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07-13-22 | Phillies v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler has firmly entrenched himself in the N.L. Cy Young Award conversation again this season, posting a 2.46 FIP and 1.05 WHIP while allowing only 2.84 runs per nine innings. He'll face a difficult challenge against the Blue Jays at hitter-friendly Rogers Centre on Wednesday, but I'm confident he'll be up for it. His counterpart will be Ross Stripling. Few expected Stripling to last this long in the Jays starting rotation this season and make no mistake, he's not only filling a role due to injuries (although that has factored in) - he's actually pitched well, sporting a 3.07 FIP and 1.16 WHIP while yielding just north of 3.6 runs per nine innings. We've finally seen the Blue Jays bullpen round back into form, checking into last night's contest with a 3.53 ERA and 0.89 WHIP over its last seven games. Meanwhile, the Phillies relief corps has been lights out, posting a 2.11 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over that same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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07-11-22 | A's v. Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
A.L. F5 Innings Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Oakland and Texas at 8:05 pm et on Monday. This game has all the makings of a high-scoring affair as two back-of-the-rotation starters take the ball in rookie Adrian Martinez of the A's and Spencer Howard of the Rangers. With that being said, we'll play the 'first five innings' only in this one as I do respect both bullpens, especially given their current form (A's 2.10 ERA and 1.01 WHIP L7 games and Rangers 2.66 ERA and 1.23 WHIP L7 games - both entering yesterday's action). Adrian Martinez has made three starts for the A's this season. He's been getting progressively worse it seems as his FIP has risen to 5.90 and his WHIP to 1.40. Perhaps most concerning is the fact that he's been tagged for 2.4 home runs per nine innings, despite not allowing a single long ball in his first big league start. The Mariners and Blue Jays have knocked him around for four home runs over his last two outings and I look for the Rangers to add to that total here. All told, Martinez checks in yielding 6.0 runs per nine innings. Although I do realize we're dealing with a small sample size of just 15 innings, Martinez previously recorded a 5.63 ERA and 1.41 WHIP at AAA Las Vegas this season, logging 64 innings. Spencer Howard has worked only 10 2/3 innings for the Rangers this year. With that being said, the numbers aren't good. He checks in with an 8.92 FIP and 1.88 WHIP. While we are likely to see some positive regression to the mean, keep in mind he logged a 4.72 FIP and 1.61 WHIP in 49 2/3 innings split between Philadelphia and Texas last season. For his career he's allowed just shy of 8.0 runs per nine innings in 101 innings of work. While the A's certainly aren't tearing the cover off the ball, they have proven to be a better offensive team on the road than at home this season, averaging 3.8 runs per game (compared to their season scoring average of 3.2 runs per contest). Take the first five innings over (10*). |
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07-11-22 | Mets v. Braves UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Monday. This is the best pitching matchup on Monday's board as the Mets send Max Scherzer to the hill for his second start since returning from injury. He was lights out in his first, tossing six innings of two-hit shutout ball while striking out 11 without issuing a single walk. That was against the Reds. He'll obviously be facing a tougher challenge here but I'm confident he'll be up for it. Scherzer checks in with a 2.62 FIP and 0.88 WHIP this season, allowing just 2.43 runs per nine innings. He might be facing the Braves at the right time. They mustered only four runs for the second straight game on Sunday, and needed 12 innings to get there, against the lowly Nationals no less. They've been held to four runs or less in four of their last five contests. Max Fried will counter for Atlanta on Monday. If you follow my plays regularly you know how high I am on the Braves ace. He's capable of matching Scherzer pitch-for-pitch having recorded a 2.50 FIP and 1.03 WHIP while yielding only 2.6 runs per nine innings this season. The Mets plated 10 runs in last Thursday's series-opener against the Marlins but proceeded to score a grand total of just seven runs over the next three games, going 1-2 along the way. Both bullpens are better than average in my opinion, with the Mets checking in with a 3.74 ERA and 1.25 WHIP on the road this season and the Braves sporting a 3.70 ERA and 1.24 WHIP at home (entering yesterday's action). Take the under (8*). |
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07-11-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and St. Louis at 7:15 pm et on Monday. This has been a very low-scoring series with just 10 runs scored through the first three games. I expect more of the same on Monday as we have a fine starting pitching matchup between Aaron Nola of the Phillies and Miles Mikolas of the Cardinals. Nola owns a 2.91 FIP and 0.93 WHIP while allowing just north of 3.2 runs per nine innings. Behind Nola is a Phillies bullpen that has been terrific lately, posting a 1.61 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over the last seven games. Miles Mikolas is having a terrific year for the Cards as well. He has posted a 3.65 FIP and 0.99 WHIP, giving up just over 3.0 runs per nine frames. The St. Louis bullpen owns a sparkling 0.76 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the under (8*). |
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07-10-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
A.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. We've seen a trio of high-scoring games to open this series but I look for a different story to unfold in Sunday night's series finale. Jameson Taillon will take the ball for the Yankees. He checks in sporting a 3.40 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, allowing only 3.63 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Sunday night, Nick Pivetta, is coming off a rocky outing last time out but still sports a 3.64 FIP and 1.16 WHIP this season while yielding less than 3.7 runs per nine innings. Both bullpens have performed well lately with the Yankees relief corps having posted a collective 2.33 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over the last seven games and the Red Sox 'pen checking in with a 2.87 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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07-10-22 | Marlins v. Mets UNDER 7 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and New York at 1:40 pm et on Sunday. This is one of the best starting pitching matchups on Sunday's board as the Marlins send Sandy Alcantara to the hill against Taijuan Walker of the Mets. Alcantara is having a Cy Young Award-caliber campaign, having posted a 2.85 FIP and 0.91 WHIP while yielding only 2.34 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Sunday, Taijuan Walker, has impressed as well, posting a 3.09 FIP and 1.14 WHIP while giving up just under 3.0 runs per nine innings. Both bullpens have been reasonably effective lately, with the Marlins posting a collective 3.42 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over the last seven games and the Mets recording a sparkling 2.25 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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07-09-22 | Rays v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Cincinnati at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The opener of this series featured a terrific pitching matchup but Saturday’s contest will feature two back of the rotation starters in Drew Rasmussen of the Rays and rookie Hunter Greene of the Reds. Rasmussen checks in with a 3.84 FIP and 1.17 WHIP, yielding right around 3.9 runs per nine innings. In other words, he’s likely to give up some runs, even against the lowly Reds (to their credit they do average 5.0 runs per game at home this season). We’ve been picking on the rookie Greene for much of the season and for good reason as he’s generally been awful, recording a 5.67 FIP and 1.35 WHIP while giving up 6.13 runs per nine innings. Behind Greene is a Reds bullpen that owns a 5.76 ERA and 1.52 WHIP while blowing six saves and converting only four at home this season (entering last night’s action). Take the over (10*). |
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07-09-22 | Twins v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 7-9 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Texas at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. We saw a high-scoring affair between these two teams in the opener of this series last night. I expect a different story to unfold on Saturday. Devin Smeltzer has done nothing but impress for the Twins this season. While his 4.90 FIP leaves a lot to be desired, his 1.03 WHIP and 3.2 runs allowed per nine innings tell a different story. He's worked at least six innings and allowed a grand total of just four earned runs over his last three outings. Behind Smeltzer is a terrific Twins bullpen that has posted a 2.73 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over the last seven games. Speaking of bullpens, the Rangers 'pen has recorded a sparkling 2.19 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over that same stretch. Texas starter Martin Perez has 'turned back the clock' and is having a fantastic campaign. He checks in sporting a 2.84 FIP and 1.17 WHIP while allowing less than 2.8 runs per nine innings this season. Take the under (9*). |
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07-09-22 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Chicago at 2:10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in this matchup last night but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the 'under' on Saturday afternoon. Rookie Garrett Hill will get his second start for the Tigers after tossing six impressive innings of one-run ball in his big league debut against the Guardians. Prior to the call-up, Hill had posted an ERA north of four but a respectable WHIP of 1.22 at the AAA level. He'll look to take advantage of a disappointing White Sox offense that has produced just 4.1 runs per game at home this season. Behind Hill is an underrated Tigers bullpen that owns a 2.90 ERA and 1.12 WHIP on the road this season. Johnny Cueto will counter for Chicago. He didn't have his best stuff last time out but still held the Twins to only two earned runs over six innings. He checks in allowing just 3.45 runs per nine innings this season and has been terrific in three previous daytime outings, recording a 1.42 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. The White Sox bullpen has been up-and-down but let's keep things in perspective here as the Tigers, while scoring seven runs last night, still average only 2.8 runs per game on the road this season. Take the under (8*). |
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07-08-22 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'under' in the opener of this series last night as the Tigers pulled out a narrow 2-1 victory. I'm expecting a much different story to unfold on Friday as Detroit sends Tarik Skubal to the mound against Lucas Giolito of the White Sox. Skubal's overall numbers this season are solid. He's posted a 3.09 FIP and 1.20 WHIP. However, the wheels have come off recently as he's allowed 23 earned runs over his last five starts, spanning just 23 1/3 innings of work. The White Sox don't figure to be the team he turns it around against as he owns a career 6.95 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in five starts against them. He lasted just four innings, allowing four earned runs, in a 10-1 loss to Chicago the only previous time he faced it this season. His counterpart Lucas Giolito has pitched better of late, but still owns a disappointing 4.52 FIP and 1.47 WHIP while allowing just shy of 5.3 runs per nine innings this season. Nothing seems to come easy for him against the Tigers, noting that you would have to go back eight starts to find the last time Giolito guided the White Sox to a win by 2+ runs in this series. While both bullpens have been reasonably effective lately, they're getting into 'overworked' territory having not had a day off since June 30th. Take the over (10*). |
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07-08-22 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Pirates were involved in a pair of low-scoring affairs against the Reds in yesterday's double-header in Cincinnati. I expect a different story to unfold as they open a divisional series in Milwaukee on Friday. J.T. Brubaker will get the call for the visiting Pirates. He checks in sporting a 3.92 FIP and 1.44 WHIP this season, yielding just shy of 5.3 runs per nine innings. An even bigger concern than Brubaker is the recent performance of the Buccos bullpen. Pittsburgh's relief corps has posted a collective 9.70 ERA and 2.08 WHIP over the last seven games and things won't get any easier following yesterday's double-header. Left-hander Aaron Ashby will take the ball for Milwaukee. He has recorded similarly pedestrian numbers to those of Brubaker with a 3.87 FIP and 1.47 WHIP while allowing 5.22 runs per nine innings. While not to the same degree of the Pirates' the Brewers 'pen has posted a 4.56 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the over (8*). |
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07-08-22 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 9 | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday. I really feel this is a game where the Braves can 'name their score' against a down-trodden Nationals pitching staff. With that being said, I don't have a lot of faith in Atlanta starter Charlie Morton, who has had an up-and-down campaign as a 38-year old. He was terrific in his most recent start, tossing seven shutout innings of one-hit ball but I question whether he can duplicate that performance as he makes his second consecutive start on just four days' rest (the only other time he did that this season he allowed four earned runs including two home runs in six innings at home against the light-hitting Pirates). Erick Fedde gets the start for Washington. He's having another very Erick Fedde-like season having posted a 4.33 FIP and 1.41 WHIP. Fedde averages only 5.0 innings per start and that's concerning as the Nats' bullpen has been extraordinarily bad on the road this season, recording a collective 6.22 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Speaking of bullpens, the Braves 'pen has posted a terrific 2.35 ERA over its last seven contests but a 1.48 WHIP over that stretch tells a different story. The Nats' bats were relatively quiet in a series in Philadelphia but they still perform considerably better on the road compared to at home this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game. Take the over (8*). |
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07-07-22 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 6.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between San Francisco and San Diego at 9:40 pm et on Thursday. This game will feature one of the best starting pitching matchups on Thursday’s board as the Giants send Logan Webb to the hill against Joe Musgrove of the Padres. Webb didn’t have his best stuff in his most recent outing against the White Sox but still hung in there for six innings, yielding three earned runs on six hits and just one walk. For the season, Webb has put up rock solid numbers with a 2.98 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while allowing 3.5 runs per nine innings. Of course, Padres starter Joe Musgrove has firmly planted himself in the N.L. Cy Young Award conversation. He did allow three earned runs in his most recent start but that was over seven innings (while striking out 10) against a terrific Dodgers lineup. Musgrove checks in sporting a 3.10 FIP and 0.95 WHIP and has allowed only 2.64 runs per nine innings this season. We’ll play the first five innings only in this one simply due to the Giants bullpen being in terrible form having posted a 7.24 ERA and 1.72 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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07-07-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
N.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Thursday. I think the quiet nature of the Rockies bats over the course of a three-game series in Los Angeles may have lulled 'under' bettors into a false sense of security entering the opener of this four-game set in Arizona. We just saw this same starting pitching matchup between Austin Gomber and Dallas Keuchel last week and the rest was an 11-7 Rockies victory. I'm anticipating another relatively high-scoring affair here. While the Rockies bats have been slumbering, this should be an ideal breakout spot noting they're actually a .500 team against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game (that's 0.9 rpg higher than their season average). Keuchel has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball this season, posting a 5.75 FIP and 2.11 WHIP in 41 1/3 innings of work split between Chicago (White Sox) and Arizona. Opponents have torched the veteran left-hander to the tune of 9.58 runs per nine innings. Austin Gomber hasn't been much better for the Rockies, recording a 4.89 FIP and 1.45 WHIP while yielding just shy of 6.8 runs per nine frames. The two bullpens offer little support in this case as the Colorado 'pen has posted a 5.26 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over the last seven games and the D'Backs relief corps owns a 5.87 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the over (10*). |
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07-07-22 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. The Tigers are flying high off a stunning four-game sweep of the Guardians. I do think they'll be hard-pressed to keep it going as a sizable underdog against the White Sox but rather than lay the big price with the White Sox here, we'll go with the 'under' in what I believe projects to be a relatively low-scoring affair. If Aaron Rodgers owns the Chicago Bears, Dylan Cease most certainly owns the Detroit Tigers. Cease has made 11 career starts against the Tigers with the White Sox winning 10 of those games and the right-hander posting a sparkling 1.91 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. He brings excellent form into this outing having allowed only two earned runs over his last seven starts. For the season, Cease has posted a 2.73 FIP and 1.24 WHIP, allowing just shy of 3.6 runs per nine innings. Detroit will counter with rookie Beau Brieske. He's had an up-and-down campaign to be sure. With that said, he was finally able to start on a full five days' rest last time out and it showed as he matched a season-high going six innings while allowing just three earned runs against the Royals. Prior to that, Brieske's last three outings had come on just four days' rest. Brieske's overall numbers this year aren't good but we have seen flashes of brilliance (he allowed one earned run in five innings against the Dodgers, two earned runs in six innings against the Yankees and no earned runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays). Behind Brieske is a Tigers bullpen that has been lights out lately, recording a collective 1.30 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over the last seven games (entering yesterday's action). Take the under (7*). |
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07-07-22 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 10 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
N.L. East Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Philadelphia at 4:05 pm et on Thursday. The Nationals will inexplicably give Joan Adon another turn in the starting rotation on Thursday, his first outing since coincidentally facing the same Phillies back on June 17th. That start didn’t go all that well for Adon as he was tagged for four earned runs on seven hits over five innings. The right-hander enters Thursday’s start sporting an ugly 5.26 FIP and 1.75 WHIP while allowing a whopping 7.27 runs per nine innings this season. Phillies starter Bailey Falter hasn’t been much better, albeit with a smaller sample size. He has recorded a 5.99 FIP and 1.42 WHIP while yielding 6.0 runs per game in 24 innings of work this season. Like Adon, Falter will be making his second start this season against Thursday’s opponent having allowed three earned runs on five hits including two home runs back in June. The presence of the Phillies red hot bullpen is the only thing that would give us some pause with this play, but I think that unit’s recent effectiveness is somewhat negated by the Nats’ awful relief corps which has posted a 6.48 ERA and 1.58 WHIP on the road this season. Take the over (10*). |
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07-07-22 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Cincinnati at 2:10 pm et on Thursday. We should see runs aplenty in Game 1 of Thursday's day-night double-header featuring the Pirates and Reds at Great American Ballpark. We won with the 'over' in the Buccos 16-0 rout at the hands of the Yankees last night while also successfully fading the Reds in their 8-3 extra innings loss against the Mets. Here, we'll focus on the total as we have two starting pitchers on downward trajectories and quite simply two of the worst bullpens in baseball ready to take the field. Roansy Contreras got off to a fine start for the Pirates this season but the bloom is suddenly off the rose as he's seen his FIP rise to 5.09 and his WHIP to 1.46 while allowing 4.7 runs per nine innings on the campaign. With the Reds getting their second look at the rookie right-hander this season there's little reason for optimism heading into this start. Mike Minor will get another turn in the Reds rotation. He actually held up well in his most recent start, allowing just two earned runs over six frames against Atlanta but Cincinnati still gave up nine runs in a blowout loss. Overall, Minor has been generally awful this season, recording a 7.34 FIP and 1.48 WHIP while yielding just north of 6.8 runs per nine innings. I mentioned the two bullpens - Pittsburgh's relief corps checks in sporting a 6.59 ERA and 1.68 WHIP over the last seven games (and that's before last night's drubbing against the Yankees) while the Reds 'pen has posted an 8.44 ERA and 1.99 WHIP over the same stretch (also prior to giving up six runs in the 9th and 10th innings against the Mets last night). Take the over (9*). |
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07-06-22 | Royals v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Astros offense has been on fire lately but let's keep in mind this is a team that averages just 4.5 runs per game at home this season. As they look to post a ninth consecutive victory on Wednesday, I believe some regression at the plate could be in order. Royals starter Brad Keller will be tasked with cooling Houston off. He's actually been better than I anticipated this season, posting a 4.35 FIP and 1.33 WHIP. While those numbers aren't impressive by any means, Keller has been at his best lately, recording a 2.16 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over his last three outings. The Royals bullpen behind Keller owns an ugly ERA north of 5.00 over the last seven games but that doesn't tell the whole story as they've also posted a collective 1.16 WHIP over that stretch. Houston will hand the ball to Cristian Javier, who is quietly putting together an A.L. Cy Young-contending campaign. Javier has posted a sparkling 2.57 FIP and 0.96 WHIP while allowing just 2.58 runs per nine innings. Should the Houston bullpen be called upon here, we'll note that they've recorded a 0.88 ERA and 0.69 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take the under (8*). |
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07-06-22 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Wednesday. I'm anticipating a well-pitched game from both sides on Wednesday as the Cardinals send Miles Mikolas to the hill against Max Fried of the Braves. Mikolas is having another fine season, recording a 3.49 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while allowing just under 3.0 runs per nine innings. Perhaps even more impressive is the bullpen behind him - particularly of late - as the Cards relief corps' has posted a collective 1.40 ERA and 0.78 WHIP over the last seven games. While Mikolas has pitched well, Braves ace Max Fried has been even better. He checks in sporting a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.52 FIP and 1.03 WHIP while giving up only 2.75 runs per nine innings. The Braves bullpen hasn't been lights out lately but might not be asked to do too much here given the fact that Fried averages 6 1/3 innings per start this season. Take the under (9*). |
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07-06-22 | Yankees v. Pirates OVER 9 | 16-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The 'under' has cashed in each of the Yankees last three games and also in consecutive games involving the Pirates. I look for a reversal of that trend on Wednesday as New York sends Luis Severino to the mound against Mitch Keller of the Pirates. Severino hasn't pitched poorly by any means but he hasn't been lights out either. The right-hander checks in sporting a 3.65 FIP and 1.05 WHIP while giving up just shy of 3.5 runs per nine innings. Both his home runs and walks allowed per nine innings are up in comparison to his career averages, keeping in mind this would be his first full season since 2018. Mitch Keller has been as advertised for the Buccos this season, recording a 4.04 FIP and 1.53 WHIP while giving up just under 5.3 runs per nine innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates bullpen owns an ugly 6.59 ERA and 1.68 WHIP over the last seven games, leaving the door open for late runs in this one. Rather than lay the -1.5 runs at an inflated price with the Yankees, we'll go the totals route here. Take the over (8*). |
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07-06-22 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Oakland at 3:35 pm et on Wednesday. The two bullpens stepped in and saved the day for 'under' bettors in this matchup last night. The A's have now seen the 'under' go 4-0-1 over their last five games. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday, however. Jose Berrios will get the start for the struggling Blue Jays. He's not having a good season - not by any stretch of the imagination. Berrios owns a 5.17 FIP and 1.43 WHIP and has been tagged for north of 5.7 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Wednesday, A's starter James Kaprielian, has arguably been even worse. He checks in sporting a 5.75 FIP and 1.38 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.6 runs per nine innings. While the two bullpens bring solid recent form into this contest, I'm not anticipating them delivering another clean sheet on Wednesday afternoon. Take the over (8*). |
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07-05-22 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
N.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a low-scoring contest between these two N.L. Central rivals yesterday as the Brewers walked it off in a 5-2 extra innings victory. I expect a different story to unfold on Tuesday as the hitters should have plenty of success in this one. Cubs veteran right-hander Kyle Hendricks has had an up-and-down season, perhaps with more downs than ups. He owns a 4.75 FIP and 1.29 WHIP while allowing just shy of 4.8 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Tuesday will be Jason Alexander. He's arguably been slightly worse than Hendricks, recording a 4.35 FIP and 1.70 WHIP while giving up 4.7 runs per nine frames. The two bullpens have been serviceable lately but are showing some signs of wear with neither team enjoying an off day since June 27th. The two 'pens have worked 32 and 28 2/3 innings, respectively, over the last seven games with the Cubs relief corps having posted a 3.37 ERA and 1.31 WHIP over that stretch and the Brewers checking in with a 3.45 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Take the over (10*). |
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07-05-22 | Mariners v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and San Diego at 4:10 pm et on Tuesday. We have a fine starting pitching matchup as the Mariners and Padres wrap up their brief two-game interleague series on Tuesday afternoon in San Diego. Logan Gilbert will take the ball for Seattle. He's been terrific in his second big league season, posting a 3.46 FIP and 1.12 WHIP while allowing just 2.95 runs per nine innings. While the Mariners bullpen did cough up a couple of meaningless runs in the ninth inning yesterday, that unit has performed exceptionally well lately, recording a collective 2.21 ERA and 0.79 WHIP over the last seven games (prior to yesterday's contest). Padres starter Mike Clevinger is back in the bigs after missing the entire 2021 campaign due to injury and he seemingly hasn't missed a beat. He checks in with a 3.35 FIP and 1.10 WHIP, giving up just 3.1 runs per nine innings this season. That's all the more impressive when you consider he stumbled in his first two outings. Over his last four starts, Clevinger has allowed just two earned runs in 18 innings of work. While the Padres bullpen has struggled lately, its long-term track record gives me confidence, particularly here at home. Entering yesterday's game, the Pads' relief corps had recorded a collective 3.02 ERA and 0.90 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (8*). |
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07-04-22 | Twins v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
A.L. Central Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Monday. These two teams are coming off very different results on Sunday as the Twins failed to complete the sweep of the Orioles, falling by a 3-1 score at home, while the White Sox wrapped up an impressive sweep of the Giants in San Francisco, delivering a 13-4 victory. Here, I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair as these two A.L. Central rivals square off in Chicago. Dylan Bundy will take the ball for Minnesota. He's had an up-and-down season to be sure but does bring solid form into this start having allowed just four earned runs over his last three starts, spanning 19 innings of work. Bundy checks in sporting a 4.32 FIP and 1.29 WHIP on the season but what I like about him is the fact that he doesn't walk a ton of batters, yielding just 1.8 walks per nine innings. White Sox starter Johnny Cueto is having a fine season, recording a 4.15 FIP and 1.17 WHIP while allowing just 3.5 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has posted the second best FIP in baseball over the last week, checking in with a 2.22 mark. For their part, Twins relievers have recorded a terrific 3.18 FIP over the same stretch, 11th best in the majors for that time frame. Take the under (10*). |
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07-04-22 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Tampa Bay and Boston at 1:35 pm et on Monday. Most are expecting plenty of offensive fireworks on the Fourth of July at Fenway Park but I look for a different story to unfold as these two A.L. East rivals do battle. We have a sneaky-good starting pitching matchup here with the Rays sending Jalen Beeks to the hill against Michael Wacha of the Red Sox. Beeks has posted a 3.69 FIP and 1.08 WHIP in 33 1/3 innings of work this season, yielding only 2.7 runs per nine innings. Former Ray Michael Wacha has been more than serviceable for the Red Sox, recording a 3.97 FIP and 1.11 WHIP, giving up 2.94 runs per nine frames. The Rays just finished beating up on the Blue Jays pitching staff but I don't expect them to do the same against Boston. Given the total we're being offered in the first five innings, I don't feel we need to mess with the bullpens in this contest. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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07-03-22 | Cardinals v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. St. Louis saw its three-game 'under' streak come to an end in a wild 7-6 victory over Philadelphia yesterday. Here, I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair. Adam Wainwright will take the ball for the Cardinals. He's having a 'turn back the clock' type of season, posting a 3.37 FIP and 1.25 WHIP, yielding less than 3.2 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Sunday will be Zack Wheeler. He's labored through his last couple of outings but his overall numbers are still terrific as he's recorded a 2.53 FIP and 1.10 WHIP, allowing just 3.33 runs per nine innings. While the Cardinals bullpen has inexplicably blown four saves over the last week it has still posted solid numbers, a collective 3.54 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over the last seven contests. The Phillies 'pen checks in sporting a 0.99 ERA and 0.62 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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07-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
MLB First Five Innings Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Arizona and Colorado at 3:10 pm et on Sunday. The first two games in this series have not surprisingly been high-scoring but we have the best starting pitching matchup of the series on Sunday as the D'Backs send Zac Gallen to the hill against Chad Kuhl of the Rockies. I look for this one to get off to a much lower-scoring start at least. Gallen owns a 3.75 FIP and 1.05 WHIP this season, allowing just 3.67 runs per nine innings. He's coming off a poor performance in his most recent start but that was in a tough situation as he was facing the Padres for a second straight outing (in the span of less than a week). He's held the Rockies to two earned runs or less in seven of his eight career starts against them, including no runs over seven innings in his lone previous start against them this season. Chad Kuhl is quietly enjoying a terrific campaign in his first year with the Rockies. He's thrived at hitter-friendly Coors Field, posting a 2.48 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in six starts. Kuhl checks in with a 3.95 FIP and 1.31 WHIP, yielding 3.72 runs per nine innings. In his most recent start he tossed a complete game shutout against the Dodgers (we won with the 'under' in that game). Rather than deal with two subpar bullpens in this matchup, we'll stick with the first five innings 'under' only. Take the first five innings under (10*). |
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06-29-22 | White Sox v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. This might be the best starting pitching matchup on the entire MLB board on Wednesday as the White Sox send Michael Kopech to the hill against Shohei Ohtani of the Angels. Kopech hasn’t had his best stuff over his last two starts, allowing seven earned runs in 11 innings in consecutive losses against the Astros and Orioles. His overall numbers remain solid, however, as Kopech has posted a 3.62 FIP and 1.01 WHIP while allowing less than 2.9 runs per nine innings. Ohtani has been even better for the Angels, quietly putting together another fine campaign having recorded a 2.76 FIP and 1.01 WHIP while yielding an identical 2.9 runs per nine innings. While the Angels bullpen has been a little uneven lately, it might not be asked to do much here as Ohtani averages over six innings per start at home this season, lasting at least six fames in seven of his last eight outings. Chicago’s ‘pen has been better on the road than at home this season, posting a collective 3.12 ERA and 1.15 WHIP (entering last night’s action). Take the under (8*). |
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06-29-22 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 8 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. This N.L. Central showdown has all the makings of a slugfest at Wrigley Field on Wednesday. Rookie Hunter Greene will get another turn in the rotation for the Reds, despite his recent struggles. Keep in mind, this will be his second start against the Cubs this season after allowing five earned runs on seven hits, including three home runs, in just five innings of work back in late May (the Reds won that game 20-5). Greene owns an ugly 5.70 FIP and 1.36 WHIP this season, yielding 2.6 home runs per nine innings. Opponents are averaging just shy of 5.7 runs per nine innings off of the right-hander. Behind Green is a Reds bullpen that entered this series sporting a collective 7.53 ERA and 1.53 WHIP over the last seven games. Justin Steele will counter for the Cubs. He’s had an up-and-down season but there have been more downs than ups recently as he has lasted a full six innings just twice in his last seven outings. For the season, Steele has recorded a 3.59 FIP and 1.45 WHIP with his hits (9.0) and walks (4.0) allowed per nine innings certainly a concern. Opponents have reached Steele for an average of 5.29 runs per nine innings. The Cubs bullpen has held up reasonably well lately but has been anything but lights out at Wrigley Field this season, posting a collective 4.58 ERA and 1.32 WHIP with only four saves converted and six blown (entering last night’s action). Take the over (8*). |
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06-29-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. We have a terrific starting pitching matchup lined up on Tuesday in Toronto. Canadian Nick Pivetta will start in his home country for the Red Sox and he’ll do so in fine form, having posted a 3.56 FIP and 1.11 WHIP this season. He has allowed only 3.25 runs per nine innings. Pivetta has struggled in two previous outings against the Blue Jays this season but those came back in April when he was struggling. He’s pitched far better since and I look for him to minimize the damage against a tough Blue Jays lineup on Wednesday. Alek Monoah will counter for Toronto. He’s having a tremendous sophomore campaign, recording a 3.04 FIP and 0.96 WHIP while giving up only 2.36 runs per nine innings. The Jays struggling bullpen is certainly a concern but Manoah has shown the ability to consistently work deep into ball games, particularly here at home where he averages just shy of 6 2/3 innings per start, having made seven starts at Rogers Centre this season. Take the under (9*). |
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06-29-22 | Orioles v. Mariners OVER 8 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Baltimore and Seattle at 4:10 pm et on Wednesday. The White Sox let Orioles spot starter Austin Voth off the hook in some sense in his most recent outing. I don’t expect the Mariners to be as forgiving on Wednesday afternoon. Voth has worked 27 2/3 innings this season but I’ve seen enough to come to the conclusion that he’s not long for the O’s rotation. Voth has posted a 4.54 FIP and 1.92 WHIP, giving up north of 8.1 runs per nine innings in limited duty this season. Chris Flexen will counter for the Mariners. He has recorded a 4.64 FIP and 1.42 WHIP this season, allowing right around 4.3 runs per nine innings. Flexen continues to walk over 3.0 hitters per nine innings, while also yielding just under 10.0 hits. I expect the O’s to have plenty of scoring opportunities on Wednesday afternoon and I’m confident they can take advantage given how scrappy and productive they’ve been in recent weeks. We actually won with the ‘under’ in last night’s game - a 2-0 Mariners victory that didn’t see a run until the eighth inning - but I expect a much different story to unfold, at least early on, in Wednesday’s series finale. I have too much respect for two of the hottest bullpens in baseball right now so I’ll play the first five innings only here. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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06-28-22 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
A.L. Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. We missed with the 'under' in the opener of this series last night as the Orioles bats came alive against Mariners rookie starter George Kirby in a 9-2 victory. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Tuesday, however, as Baltimore sends Dean Kremer to the mound against reigning A.L. Cy Young Award winner Robbie Ray for Seattle. Kremer has shown considerable improvement this season, even if we are talking about just 21 innings of work. He checks in sporting a 3.27 FIP and 1.24 WHIP while allowing only 2.14 runs per nine innings. At the minor league level, Kremer has worked nine shutout innings of two-hit ball this season, recording an impressive 18:2 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Of course the real star of the show for the Orioles has been their bullpen, which has posted a collective 1.23 ERA and 0.64 WHIP over the last seven games. Robbie Ray will be looking to help his team snap out of a mini two-game skid. He owns an inflated 4.19 FIP but a more respectable 1.18 WHIP on the campaign. Over his last three outings he has posted a sparkling 0.90 ERA and 0.70 WHIP with two of those three contests totalling three runs or less. The Mariners bullpen has had a tough time nailing down saves at home this season with four blown compared to only three converted but does check in with a 0.81 ERA and 0.72 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the under (10*). |
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06-28-22 | Tigers v. Giants UNDER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams were involved in high-scoring affairs last time out but I expect a different story to unfold in Tuesday’s series-opener in San Francisco. Tarik Skubal will get the start for Detroit. He’s been one of the few bright spots in an otherwise dismal season for the Tigers. Skubal checks in with a 2.67 FIP and a 1.13 WHIP. While the fact that he’s allowed just shy of 4.0 runs per nine innings is a bit of a concern, he should benefit from facing a Giants club that has scored three runs or less in seven of its last 11 contests. Behind Skubal is a sneaky-good Tigers bullpen that has posted a terrific 2.76 ERA and 1.09 WHIP on the road this season. Carlos Rodon barely broke a sweat in tossing seven innings of one-run ball against a tough Braves lineup last time out. He has posted a masterful 2.34 FIP and 1.09 WHIP this season, yielding only 2.81 runs per nine innings. The Giants bullpen has been somewhat disappointing this season but has shown signs of improvement lately, recording a collective 3.86 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over its last seven games. Facing a Tigers club that averages only 2.7 runs per game on the road this season should be music to the Giants relief corps’ ears. As should working behind Rodon as he has gone at least six innings in three consecutive starts. Take the under (8*). |
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06-28-22 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. We have a terrific starting pitching matchup on tap in the Bronx on Tuesday as the A’s send Frankie Montas to the hill against rookie J.P. Sears for the Yankees. Montas has endured a couple of rocky stretches this season but his overall numbers have levelled out as he’s posted a 3.15 FIP and 1.08 WHIP in 89 2/3 innings of work. He’s averaging a full six innings per start which certainly isn’t commonplace in today’s MLB. While the A’s bullpen has generally been a disappointment this season, the hope is that we won’t have to see too much of it on Tuesday and I will point out that it has held up better on the road than at home, recording a collective 3.81 ERA and 1.33 WHIP entering last night’s action. Sears has made just three appearances with the big club in the Bronx, including one start. In seven innings of work he’s yet to allow an earned run. His minor league numbers at AAA Scranton/Wilkes-Barre jump off the page as he’s posted a 1.83 ERA and 0.74 WHIP to go along with a 50:6 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 39 1/3 innings of work. He has given up just 2.75 runs per nine innings at the AAA level. Sears can pitch confidently here knowing that the A’s hit just north of .200 as a team against left-handed starters this season, averaging only 3.2 runs per game along the way. Behind Sears is one of the best bullpens in baseball as the Yanks’ relief corps enters tonight’s game sporting a 1.21 ERA and 0.90 WHIP over their last seven contests. Take the under (8*). |
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06-27-22 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 9-2 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Monday. These two teams certainly know their way around low-scoring games with the Orioles entering Monday's matchup off seven consecutive 'under' results and the Mariners checking in sporting a 3-11-1 o/u mark over their last 15 contests. I expect a similar story to unfold on Monday. Tyler Wells will take the ball for the Orioles. It's easy to forget that he posted a terrific 3.63 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 57 innings of work during his rookie campaign last year. While he got off to a bit of a slow start this season he's since rounded into form, lowering his FIP to 4.28 and his WHIP to 1.10. Opponents are averaging just north of 3.3 runs per nine innings against him. Mariners rookie George Kirby will be Wells' counterpart on Monday. He has recorded a 3.76 FIP and 1.12 WHIP while yielding under 3.9 runs per nine innings during his rookie season. It gets better. This matchup pits two of the league's best bullpens based on current form. The O's 'pen has posted a collective 1.11 ERA and 0.74 WHIP over its last seven games and has converted 12 saves while blowing just one on the road this season. Seattle has arguably been even better in that department lately, recording a 0.44 ERA and 0.89 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the under (8*). |
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06-27-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
N.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Monday. The Rockies had their three-game 'under' streak snapped in a 6-3 loss in Minnesota yesterday. Still, it's worth noting that since scoring eight runs in the first game of their road trip last week, they've been held to a grand total of 10 runs over their last five contests. All three games in the Dodgers weekend series in Atlanta stayed 'under the total, even with last night's game going to extra innings. Los Angeles is of course still missing Mookie Betts after he suffered a rib injury last week. While tonight's starting pitching matchup won't grab headlines, I feel it's a good one. Dodgers starter Tyler Anderson is having a terrific season, recording a 3.29 FIP and 0.97 WHIP while allowing just north of 3.1 runs per nine innings. He didn't have his best stuff last time out against Cincinnati but still gave up just three earned runs over five innings. Anderson checks in sporting a 3.13 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in six road starts this season. Colorado will counter with Chad Kuhl. While his numbers certainly don't jump off the page, he's actually having a career year by most accounts. Kuhl has posted a 4.21 FIP and 1.43 WHIP while yielding 4.21 runs per nine innings. He's actually settled in nicely at hitter-friendly Coors Field, recording a 3.29 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 27 1/3 innings of work. While the Rockies bullpen has been shaky lately, it has generally pitched better here at home, sporting a collective 4.23 ERA and 1.30 WHIP with 11 saves converted and only four blown. The Dodgers 'pen has of course been lights out for much of the season. It entered last night's action with a 3.24 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over its last seven contests and has blown just one save (compared to seven converted) on the road this season. Take the under (10*). |
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06-27-22 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Pirates are coming off a frustrating series sweep at the hands of the Rays in St. Petersburg as they were close in all three games but ultimately couldn't finish the job. A big reason for that is their fading bullpen. Pittsburgh's relief corps enters Monday's game having posted a collective 5.61 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over the last seven games. That doesn't bode well as Miguel Yajure will get a spot start for the Buccos in the opener of this series in Washington. He owns a career 7.00 FIP and 1.67 WHIP in 32 1/3 career innings at the big league level. So far this season, Yajure has pitched only 10 1/3 innings and it hasn't been pretty as he's been tagged for 13 earned runs on 16 hits and six walks. Washington will hand the ball to Erick Fedde. He's been his usual inconsistent self this season, recording a 4.25 FIP and 1.47 WHIP, allowing just shy of 4.6 runs per nine innings. Fedde tossed six shutout innings against Baltimore in his most recent start but that came on the road. Here at home, he owns a 5.03 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in seven starts. The Pirates will be getting their second look at him this season. Behind Fedde is a Nationals bullpen that has been pedestrian at best lately, posting a collective 4.34 ERA and 1.34 WHIP over its last seven games. Pirates hitters ran into some incredibly tough pitching against the Rays and should be more than happy to move on to Washington where the Nats allow 5.4 runs per game. Take the over (9*). |
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06-25-22 | Red Sox v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Cleveland at 6:10 pm et on Saturday. The Red Sox took the opener of this series last night by a 6-3 score. I'm anticipating a lower-scoring contest on Saturday as Boston sends rookie Josh Winckowski to the hill against Guardians ace Shane Bieber. Winckowski hasn't exactly faced the toughest slate of opponents so far, going up against the Orioles, A's and Tigers in his first three big league starts, with all three coming at home no less. With that being said, I like what I've seen from the rookie. He was a little shaky in his debut against the O's but since then has given up just two earned runs in 11 2/3 innings of work. After issuing three walks in his first career start he's handed out only two free passes over his last two outings. While we're dealing with a small sample size, Winckowski checks in with a respectable 3.80 FIP and has allowed just under 3.7 runs per nine innings. It's not as if the Guardians have been tearing the cover off the ball either, scoring three runs or less in four of their last seven contests. Shane Bieber has rounded into form this season, posting a 2.70 FIP and 1.17 WHIP while giving up just 3.35 runs per nine innings. Behind him is a terrific Guardians bullpen that has recorded a collective 2.33 ERA and 1.04 WHIP at home this season (entering last night's action). The Red Sox 'pen has posted a 3.46 ERA and 1.21 WHIP on the road (also entering last night's game). Take the under (8*). |
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06-24-22 | Rockies v. Twins OVER 9 | 1-0 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Colorado and Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams are coming off low-scoring games yesterday. I expect a much different story to unfold on Friday but rather than play the full game 'over' the total, we'll look at the first five innings only as I really like the way this starting pitching matchup sets up for the hitters. German Marquez will take the ball for Colorado. To say that he's struggled this season would be an understatement. Marquez enters Friday's start sporting a 4.89 FIP and 1.55 WHIP. Opponents are laying waste to the veteran right-hander to the tune of 6.9 runs per nine innings. Of course, the Twins aren't in much better shape on the mound with Dylan Bundy getting the nod. He did turn in his best outing of the season last time out against Arizona. However, the full season numbers tell the story as he has recorded a 4.52 FIP and 1.32 WHIP, allowing 5.3 runs per nine innings. Both teams enter this game having averaged 5+ runs per game over the last week. Expect early offense at Target Field on Friday. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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06-24-22 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We missed with the 'under' in the opener of this series last night as three early home runs ultimately resulted in a high-scoring affair (we did win with the Yankees in comeback fashion). I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Friday, however, as we have a terrific pitching matchup between Justin Verlander of the Astros and Luis Severino of the Yankees. Verlander has come back strong this season, posting a 3.40 FIP and 0.89 WHIP while allowing just north of 3.0 runs per nine innings. I like the bounce-back spot for him here after he struggled over 3 2/3 innings in a 7-0 loss to the White Sox last time out. Note that Verlander owns a 2.15 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in seven road outings this season. It's a similar story for Severino. He has recorded a 3.72 FIP and 1.06 WHIP this season, giving up only 3.4 runs per nine innings. Like Verlander, he looks to bounce back from a shaky outing as he gave up five earned runs over five innings against the Blue Jays in his most recent start. Behind the two starters are two strong bullpens that, despite the Astros coughing up a late three-run lead last night, have performed well lately. Houston's 'pen still owns a 2.52 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over the last seven games. The Yanks relief corps' has posted a 3.43 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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06-23-22 | Orioles v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. This is a better starting pitching matchup than perhaps it first appears on paper. Dean Kremer will make his third start of the season for Baltimore. He struggled during his time in the bigs last year but has shown improvement here in 2022, posting a 3.45 FIP and 1.17 WHIP in limited work (15 1/3 innings). Quietly, the O’s have had one of the better bullpens in baseball this season, having recorded a collective 3.19 ERA and 1.22 WHIP (entering last night’s action). Veteran Johnny Cueto will counter for the White Sox. I hesitate to say that he’s ‘turned back the clock’ as he’s actually been getting it done for years’. Cueto owns a 3.64 FIP and 1.10 WHIP in 42 2/3 innings pitched this season. Opponents have managed to plate less than 3.2 runs per nine innings off of him. The White Sox bullpen hasn’t been all that reliable this season but has shown signs of turning it around lately, entering yesterday’s contest sporting a collective 3.49 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over their previous seven games. Take the under (8*). |
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06-23-22 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and New York at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. When most think of this matchup they think about the explosive offenses. I’m anticipating a contest dominated by pitching in Thursday’s series-opener, however. Astros starter Framber Valdez is often overshadowed by Justin Verlander at the front of the rotation but Valdez has been every bit as good this season, posting a 3.31 FIP and 1.15 WHIP, allowing just a shade north of 3.1 runs per nine innings. He catches the Yankees returning home on no rest following consecutive road series’ against the division rival Blue Jays and Rays. Jameson Taillon continues to impress for the Yankees. He checks in with a 3.00 FIP and 1.05 WHIP this season. While he has allowed over eight hits per nine innings, he’s managed to keep opposing lineups in check by yielding just 1.1 walk and 0.7 home runs per nine innings. Both bullpens have been terrific this season and certainly of late with the Yanks ‘pen having posted a 1.11 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action) and the Astros relief corps’ having recorded a 1.07 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (9*). |
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06-22-22 | Guardians v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-10 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
A.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Minnesota at 7:40 pm et on Wednesday. These two teams were involved in a relatively high-scoring extra innings affair last night as the two bullpens took turns coughing up leads late. Generally speaking, both relief corps' have been solid this season, however, and I look for a lower-scoring contest on Wednesday. Triston McKenzie gets the call for the visiting Guardians. He checks in with a 4.37 FIP, largely due to his struggles with keeping the ball in the park. Outside of his 1.4 home runs allowed per nine innings, his numbers are terrific, most notably a 0.93 WHIP and just 2.96 runs allowed per nine innings. Sonny Gray will counter for the Twins. He's having an even better season than McKenzie, albeit with a smaller sample size (he's missed some time due to injury). Gray checks in with a terrific 2.74 FIP and 0.93 WHIP. Opponents have averaged just 2.09 runs per nine innings off of him this season. As I mentioned, last night's contest notwithstanding, the two bullpens have been solid this season. Cleveland's 'pen has posted a 2.02 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over its last seven games while Minnesota's relief corps' sports a 3.12 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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06-21-22 | Blue Jays v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
A.L. Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. While he’s been up-and-down lately, Jays starter Kevin Gausman owns an excellent track record this season, posting an incredible 1.75 FIP through his first 13 starts. He allows too many hits (10.0 per nine innings) but makes up for it by limiting his walks (1.4 per nine innings) and putting up nice strikeout totals (just shy of 10.0 per nine innings). His counterpart on Tuesday will be Dylan Cease. He’s had the opposite problem, issuing more than four walks but limiting opponents to only 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has posted a solid 2.78 FIP this season. Cease enters this outing in terrific form, having not allowed an earned run over his last four starts, covering a span of 21 1/3 innings of work. Take the under (10*). |
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06-21-22 | Phillies v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Texas at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. This game features a pair of ‘bet-on’ veteran starting pitchers - at least this season - in Kyle Gibson and Martin Perez and I’m anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair. First, let’s talk about the bullpens. The Phillies got a much-needed day off on Monday - their first since June 6th. Their ‘pen has admittedly struggled but that day off should serve them well entering this series against the Rangers. Texas’ relief corps’ has been fairly reliable, recording a collective 1.09 WHIP over its last seven games and a 3.88 ERA and 1.20 WHIP at home this season. Back to the starters, Gibson owns a 3.59 FIP and 1.22 WHIP this season, allowing just north of four runs per nine innings. He’s coming off a quality outing against Miami in which he gave up just one earned run over eight innings. Martin Perez is having a career year, recording a 2.10 ERA and 1.11 WHIP through his first 13 starts this season. That’s not to mention a 2.62 FIP, yielding less than 2.7 runs per nine innings. Take the under (8*). |
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06-20-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
N.L. Central Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Monday. The Cardinals enter Monday's series-opener in Milwaukee on the heels of five consecutive 'over' results. I expect a different story to unfold here, however, as we have a terrific starting pitching matchup featuring Miles Mikolas - who fell just short of delivering a no-hitter in his last start - and Corbin Burnes, fresh off a masterful performance against a tough Mets lineup last time out. Mikolas owns a 3.36 FIP and 0.97 WHIP this season and will be starting on a full five days' rest on Monday. Opponents are averaging just 2.8 runs per nine innings against him this season. While the Cards have lost three of their last four games, their bullpen hasn't been to blame. They entered yesterday's action sporting a 2.45 ERA and 0.77 WHIP over their last seven games. Corbin Burnes hasn't dominated the way he did last season but has still posted a terrific 3.08 FIP and 0.95 WHIP this season. I mentioned his last start against the Mets, it's worth noting that he didn't issue a walk for the first time in five starts in that outing. Burnes has been at his best against division opponents this season, recording a 2.42 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in four starts against the N.L. Central. Incredibly, the Brewers bullpen hasn't allowed a single earned run over its last eight games. Take the under (10*). |
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06-20-22 | Giants v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Monday. This is the best starting pitching matchup on Monday's board as the Giants send Logan Webb to the hill against Max Fried of the Braves. Webb has posted a 3.08 FIP and 1.18 WHIP this season. Better still, he has recorded a 1.08 WHIP on the road this season. He's also coming off his best start of the campaign as he tossed seven shutout innings against the Royals last week. Fried has been even better, posting a 2.80 FIP and 1.05 WHIP this season. He wasn't at his best in his most recent start but now he gets to pitch on a full five days' rest again and I expect him to hold the Giants bats in check. Note that opponents are averaging just a shade over 3.0 runs per nine innings against Fried this season. Beyond Webb and Fried, both bullpens have excelled lately, posting sub-2.00 ERA's over the last week. Take the under (10*). |
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06-18-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Toronto at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. The Yankees bats came alive against back-of-the-rotation starter Ross Stripling and the Blue Jays bullpen last night. I do look for Alek Manoah to do a better job of keeping them in check on Saturday. Note that Manoah has posted a 2.95 FIP and 0.91 WHIP this season. His counterpart on Saturday has been almost as good in Jameson Taillon of the Yankees. He has recorded a 3.15 FIP and 1.05 WHIP. Better still, Taillon owns a 1.01 WHIP in 27 2/3 innings of work on the road this season while Manoah has posted a ridiculous 0.74 WHIP in 40 1/3 innings pitched at home. All due respect to both offenses in this matchup but I think we're in for a pitcher's duel. Take the under (8*). |
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06-17-22 | Cardinals v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Friday. Adam Wainwright has turned back the clock for the Cardinals this season, entering Friday's start on the heels of three straight outings lasting exactly seven innings, allowing just five earned runs over that stretch. He's posted a 3.51 FIP this season with opponents averaging just under 3.0 runs per nine innings against him. It's been a similar story for Red Sox starter Michael Wacha. The former Cardinal has recorded a 3.96 FIP and a 1.00 WHIP, giving up only 2.7 runs per nine innings. Wacha did labor through his most recent start but that came on the road. Here at Fenway Park he has posted a 0.86 ERA to go along with an identical 0.86 WHIP in four starts spanning 21 innings of work this season. Take the under (8*). |
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06-17-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 12-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Yankees are coming off a string of low-scoring games this week and I expect to chalk up another on Friday as they head north to face the Blue Jays. Jordan Montgomery will take the ball for New York. He has been quietly effective this season, posting a 3.46 FIP and 0.98 WHIP. Opponents are scoring just 2.7 runs per nine innings against the left-hander. In eight career starts against the Jays he has posted a 3.51 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Ross Stripling gets another turn in the rotation for the Blue Jays. To say that he's pitched well this season would be an understatement. He's exceeded expectations in what was supposed to only be a spot starting role, recording a 2.98 FIP and 1.00 WHIP. Like Montgomery he's done a tremendous job of keeping runs off the board, allowing only 3.35 runs per nine innings. With both bullpens capable of pitching effectively in the late innings, we'll confidently back the 'under' at a very generous number here. Take the under (8*). |
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06-15-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and New York at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. You won't find a better pitching matchup on Wednesday's MLB board as the Rays hand the ball to Shane McClanahan against Nestor Cortes of the Yankees. Cortes has really come into his own this season, posting a 2.85 FIP and 0.92 WHIP. His 5-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio is impressive but pales in comparison to that of McClanahan, who has recorded a 7.5-1 K:BB ratio. McClanahan also owns a 2.45 FIP and 0.86 WHIP. The deeper you go with both starters, the more impressive the numbers get. While we are dealing with a relatively low posted total, I believe it's warranted. Take the under (8*). |
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06-15-22 | Reds v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 4-7 | Loss | -125 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cincinnati and Arizona at 3:40 pm et on Wednesday. Terrific pitching matchup here as a rejuvenated Luis Castillo takes the hill for the Reds against Zac Gallen for the D'Backs. Gallen has struggled through his last few outings but what better spot to bounce back than at home against the light-hitting Reds. Cincinnati entered Tuesday's game averaging 3.0 runs per game on .211 hitting on the road this season. Gallen, despite his recent issues, still checks in with a 3.68 FIP and 1.07 WHIP this season. Castillo owns a 3.32 FIP and 1.13 WHIP. Both starters allow lees than 1.0 home run per nine innings. Take the under (8*). |
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06-14-22 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8 | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Tuesday. We settled for a 'push' with the 'over' in the opener of this series last night. We were probably fortunate to get the 'push' given the game saw just 11 total hits. Here, I expect more runs on the board as the Royals send Kris Bubic to the hill. Bubic has posted a 6.54 FIP and 2.03 WHIP in 22 2/3 innings of work this season. He's been tagged for just shy of 12 hits per nine innings. Opponents are averaging north of nine runs per nine innings against the left-hander this season. After struggling to make good contact against right-hander Brady Singer last night, the Giants will be pleased to face the southpaw Bubic here, noting that they've been at their best against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Logan Webb is the Giants ace but I will point out that he'll be pitching on short rest (four days) for a third consecutive start on Tuesday. He has allowed at least three runs in eight of his last 10 starts with opponents averaging just under four runs per nine innings against him this season. The Royals bats were quiet last night but had delivered at least 10 hits in five consecutive games prior to that. Take the over (8*). |
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06-14-22 | A's v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The 'over' went 2-0-1 when these two clubs met in a three-game series in Oakland earlier this month but it's not as if that series was particularly high-scoring as all three games totalled eight runs or less. Here, we're dealing with a higher total with the scene shifting to Boston and I believe it will prove too high. Jared Koenig gets the nod for the A's, making his second big league start. His first didn't go particularly well but it could have been worse. He lasted four innings, allowing four earned runs on five hits against a red hot Braves lineup, on the road no less. Koenig got the call-up after pitching exceptionally well at AAA this season, recording a 2.21 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 53 innings of work. After a shaky start to the season, Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta has really turned it around, lowering his FIP to 3.56 and his WHIP to 1.14. He's giving up just north of seven hits and right around 3.8 hits per nine innings. He's faced the A's twice since last season and on both occasions tossed seven shutout innings. With both teams checking in following an off-day on Monday, it should be all hands on deck as far as the bullpens go. Take the under (8*). |
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06-14-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The 'over' went 2-0-1 when these two clubs met in a three-game series in Oakland earlier this month but it's not as if that series was particularly high-scoring as all three games totalled eight runs or less. Here, we're dealing with a higher total with the scene shifting to Boston and I believe it will prove too high. Jared Koenig gets the nod for the A's, making his second big league start. His first didn't go particularly well but it could have been worse. He lasted four innings, allowing four earned runs on five hits against a red hot Braves lineup, on the road no less. Koenig got the call-up after pitching exceptionally well at AAA this season, recording a 2.21 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 53 innings of work. After a shaky start to the season, Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta has really turned it around, lowering his FIP to 3.56 and his WHIP to 1.14. He's giving up just north of seven hits and right around 3.8 hits per nine innings. He's faced the A's twice since last season and on both occasions tossed seven shutout innings. With both teams checking in following an off-day on Monday, it should be all hands on deck as far as the bullpens go. Take the under (8*). |
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06-14-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
A.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Yankees beat up on Cubs pitching all weekend long but after an off-day on Monday, I suspect they'll find the going much tougher against the Rays pitching staff on Tuesday. Corey Kluber will get the start for Tampa Bay. He's pitched well this season, including in a previous start against New York in which he gave up just one earned run over six innings back on May 28th. Kluber owns a 3.65 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, highlighted by just 1.5 walks per nine innings. His counterpart on Tuesday will be Yankees starter Gerrit Cole, who looks to bounce back from an ugly outing in Minnesota last week. In that start, Cole was rocked for seven earned runs including five home runs in just 2 1/3 innings. It happens. New York actually went on to win that game by a 10-7 score so no harm, no foul I suppose. In spite of that poor performance, Cole has still posted a solid 3.58 FIP and 1.08 WHIP this season. He's allowed just north of seven hits and 3.6 runs per nine innings. Note that Cole was on the mound for that game against Kluber on May 28th and he also gave up just one earned run over six innings. I like the fact that both teams follow an off-day here, giving their bullpens some much-needed rest. Both 'pens have performed well lately with the Rays relief corps recording a 1.23 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over their last seven games and the Yanks 'pen checking in with a 1.97 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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06-14-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and St. Louis at 1:15 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a high-scoring game between these two teams last night as the Cardinals won by a 7-5 score. The 'over' has now cashed in three straight games involving the Cards and I expect that streak to continue in Game 1 of Tuesday's double-header in St. Louis. Pirates starter JT Brubaker hasn't pitched well this season, posting a 4.35 FIP and 1.42 WHIP. Interestingly, that FIP is actually lower than his career number of 4.71. Cards rookie Matthew Liberatore has been far worse, even though we are talking about a small sample size of just three starts. He has recorded a 7.45 FIP and 1.85 WHIP. He checks in allowing over 11 hits and five walks per nine innings. Add in two struggling bullpens and I'm counting on plenty of offense on Tuesday. Take the over (8*). |
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06-13-22 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
Interleague Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Monday. Scoring runs hasn't been a problem for the Royals lately. Keeping their opponents' bats at bay has been. Kansas City checks in having scored 8, 7, 8 , 4 and 7 runs over its last five games, recording double-digit hit totals in each of those contests. On the flip side, they've been lit up for 10+ hits in seven of their last eight games, allowing 5+ runs on six occasions over that stretch. I expect more of the same on Monday, even as they travel to San Francisco to face a Giants club that has seen the 'under' go 5-0-2 over its last seven contests. After facing Clayton Kershaw and Julio Urias over the last two games, Royals starter Brady Singer will offer a welcome change of pace for the Giants on Monday. Singer is allowing well north of nine hits and just shy of two home runs per nine innings this season with a disappointing 4.16 FIP. He hasn't issued a single walk over his last three starts yet still gave up 13 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings, which is telling. Giants starter Alex Wood is coming off a dominant seven-inning performance against the Rockies last time out but those type of performances have been few and far between. He sports a 4.74 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in five home starts this season. Like Singer, he is also giving up north of nine hits per nine innings and while he's done a good job of keeping the ball in the park, he does yield 2.4 walks per nine innings. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is a long-term 36-17 when the Royals play on the road against N.L. West opponents with those games averaging 10.0 total runs. The 'over' is also 16-6 with the Giants coming off an underdog win over a division opponent over the last two seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 8.3 runs. Take the over (10*). |
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06-13-22 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
N.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Monday. While it may not garner much attention, Monday's series-opener between the Marlins and Phillies features a tremendous starting pitching matchup between Sandy Alcantara and Aaron Nola. Alcantara is an early N.L. Cy Young candidate - or should be at least. He probably doesn't get enough press since he pitches in Miami where the Marlins haven't been relevant for years. All Alcantara has done is post a 1.61 ERA and 0.94 WHIP not to mention a sub-2.00 FIP (1.96). While his 2.6 walks per nine innings are somewhat concerning, he's negated those by allowing just 5.9 hits and striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. Aaron Nola is coming off one of his best outings of the young season for the Phillies. He has seen his ERA drop to 3.50 and WHIP to 0.88. He's right there with Alcantara with a 3.24 FIP. Nola does allow right around a hit more per nine innings than Alcantara but also issues just 1.2 walk on average. While both bullpens have had their issues at times this season, I don't rate either offense all that high and feel we're in for a pitcher's duel on Monday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-10-22 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday. This game doesn't exactly feature a matchup of household names when it comes to the two starting pitchers. Not yet at least. Both young starters have impressed in the early going this season, however, and I'm counting on them both to hold up on Friday night also. Roansy Contreras got a very big taste of the big leagues last year, logging only three innings for the Pirates after a late season call-up. In those three innings he struck out four and walked only one without allowing a single earned run. He's picked up where he left off this season, giving up just five earned runs in 23 1/3 innings of work. He enters Friday's start with an impressive 3.18 FIP and 1.03 WHIP. He's allowing just over six hits per nine innings while striking out an average of 10 per nine innings. If you can believe it, Braves starter Spencer Strider has been even better. Like Contreras, he had a cup of coffee at the big league level last season, pitching just 2 1/3 innings. Here in 2022 he has recorded a terrific 2.19 FIP and 1.16 WHIP in 32 2/3 innings of work. He's striking out an incredible 13.5 hitters per nine innings while allowing just 5.5 hits. Command has been a bit of an issue as he walks five per nine innings but I'm not convinced the Pirates have the offense capable of making him pay. We're working with a fairly high total in this game by today's MLB standards. I believe it will prove too high. Take the under (8*). |
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06-10-22 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I like the pitching matchup here as the D'Backs and Phillies open their series in the City of Brotherly Love on Friday evening. The D'Backs have to be a little road-weary at this point as they continue on their 10-game road trip on the opposite side of the country. Zac Gallen is certainly capable of giving them a lift on Friday though, noting that he has posted a terrific 3.25 FIP and 0.96 WHIP in 56 1/3 innings of work this season. Kyle Gibson hasn't been quite as impressive for the Phillies but that doesn't mean he hasn't pitched well. He enters Friday's start sporting a 3.46 WHIP and is right here with Gallen in terms of home runs and walks allowed per nine innings, not to mention strikeouts per nine innings. Where we do see a gap is in hits allowed per nine innings, as Gallen has given up 2.6 fewer. However, that should be somewhat negated by the fact that the Snakes aren't exactly an elite offensive club and I do feel Gibson is more than capable of taming their lineup here. The Phillies bats came alive against the reeling Brewers in Milwaukee but I believe they're in for a bit of a reality check against Gallen. It was enough of a struggle for the D'Backs to put together big innings against the lowly Reds and things certainly won't get any easier for them here. Expect runs to come at a premium on Friday. Take the under (8*). |
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06-05-22 | Twins v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 8-6 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Toronto at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. We've seen a pair of wild, high-scoring games to open this series but I look for a different story to unfold on Sunday afternoon. We have a sneaky-good starting pitching matchup with Devin Smeltzer going for the Twins against Kevin Gausman of the Jays. Smeltzer has done nothing but impress in four big league starts this season, recording a 1.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. Since getting tagged for four home runs in a start against Cleveland back in June 2019, he hasn't allowed another home run in his last nine MLB starts. He has also issued only four walks in 24 innings of work this season. Kevin Gausman has worked 26 1/3 innings in day games this season and has yet to allow a single home run across those four starts. While he's struggled in the past against the Twins, he hasn't faced them since 2018 when I think we can all agree he was a much different pitcher just getting his career started with the Orioles. While the Jays bullpen hasn't been great lately, I'm not as concerned about that relief corps against a depleted Twins lineup. On the flip side, the Twins 'pen has posted a collective 3.24 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over its last seven games. Take the under (8*). |
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06-04-22 | Red Sox v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
American League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. Boston cruised to a 7-2 victory in the opener of this series last night, adding to the A's misery here in Oakland. I'm expecting a lower-scoring affair on Saturday afternoon as the Red Sox send Nick Pivetta to the hill against Paul Blackburn for the A's. After a rocky start to the season, Pivetta has gotten himself on a serious roll, allowing just six earned runs over 34 innings in his last five outings. He pitched here in Oakland last July 4th, striking out 10 over seven shutout innings of two-hit ball in a 1-0 Boston victory. Blackburn didn't make many mistakes last time out against Houston but he paid for the few he did, including a pair of home runs, allowing four earned runs on five hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 5-1 loss. In five daytime starts this season Blackburn has posted a 2.51 ERA and 0.91 WHIP, covering a span of 28 2/3 innings. He'll be facing the Red Sox for the first time in his career today. While both bullpens have struggled lately I do believe both relief corps' are better than their recent numbers indicate. We can also take solace in the fact that the A's average a woeful 2.6 runs per game at home while it's generally been a case of feast-or-famine for the Red Sox offense and after scoring exactly seven runs in consecutive games, I expect them to cool off against a solid pitcher in Blackburn on Saturday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-03-22 | Braves v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
National League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Friday. We saw a wild, high-scoring slugfest between these two teams last night. I expect a different story to unfold on Friday. Max Fried continues to lead the Braves rotation, posting incredibly consistent numbers over the last few seasons. He checks in with a 2.37 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in three road starts this season. While pitching at Coors Field is a challenge, I'm confident he'll be up for it, noting that he's lasted at least into the sixth inning in all 10 of his starts this season. Rockies starter Chad Kuhl is underrated to be sure. He has held up well at hitter-friendly Coors Field this season, recording a 1.04 WHIP in 16 1/3 innings of work. Eight of his nine starts this season have totalled eight runs or less. Note that Kuhl faced the Braves once last season as a member of the Pirates and the result was a 2-1 victory as he gave up just one earned run over six innings. The Rockies bullpen will always be a concern when it comes to playing 'unders' but I believe we're working with a high enough total that dealing with their relief corps is worth the risk. Take the under (10*). |
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06-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Most are looking to play the 'under' in this matchup between two lowly National League squads, pushing the total down from 8.0 to 7.5. I believe it will prove too low. We have a middle-of-the-road starting pitching matchup between Merrill Kelly and J.T. Brubaker. Kelly owns a 4.55 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in six nighttime starts this season and has really struggled lately, recording a ridiculous 10.50 ERA and 2.17 WHIP over his last three outings. J.T. Brubaker hasn't allowed a single earned run over his last two starts but let's not get too excited. In those two starts he worked 11 2/3 innings allowing 11 hits while issuing four walks and striking out only seven. They were favorable matchups to be sure, at home against the Rockies (who struggle mightily on the road) and at pitcher-friendly Petco Park in San Diego. Even if the starters don't struggle in this one, the bullpens are capable of blowing up in an instant. The D'Backs 'pen has posted a 5.31 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road this season. The Buccos relief corps owns a collective 4.15 ERA and 1.36 WHIP at home, converting only five saves while blowing four. Take the over (8*). |
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05-25-22 | Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings under between Boston and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. Given last night's offensive fireworks most are probably expecting more of the same on Wednesday. I'll go the contrarian route, however, and call for this one to get off to a relatively quiet start. The Red Sox will hand the ball to crafty veteran left-hander Rich Hill. He's had plenty of time to get over an ugly (and short) outing against the Mariners last week. That start came at home. He's been much sharper on the road where he has posted a 2.45 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 18 1/3 innings of work this season. White Sox starter Lucas Giolito didn't have his best stuff last week in Kansas City but he still managed to get through five innings allowing only two earned runs. Keep in mind, that was Giolito's first start back after a brief stint on the Covid list. We've seen Giolito pitch well in a pair of previous home starts this season, recording a 2.77 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 13 innings. Rather than mess with the two bullpens, which have both been inconsistent this season, we'll call for the starters to keep things in check early on in this one. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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05-25-22 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
N.L. East First Five Innings Total of the Month. My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Philadelphia and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Wednesday. Credit the Braves for putting up six runs including two in the ninth inning in last night's wild walk-off win over the Phillies. I'm not counting on another offensive outburst here, however. Note that Atlanta hasn't scored more than six runs in a game since May 8th. It has been held to four runs or less in six of its last nine contests. Tonight, the Braves will face Phillies left-hander Ranger Suarez who will be happy to face a team other than the Dodgers after running into Los Angeles in each of his last two outings. Suarez checks in sporting a 2.50 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the road this season. Charlie Morton counters for Atlanta. He's settled down after a shaky start to the campaign, allowing just four earned runs in 16 1/3 innings over his last three trips to the hill. Morton owns a terrific 2.89 ERA and 1.02 WHIP at home this season. He last faced the Phillies right here in Atlanta last September, delivering seven innings of shutout ball. Note that Morton has yielded just one home run in his last seven outings against Philadelphia. Take the first five innings under (10*). |
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05-25-22 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
A.L. East First Five Innings Total of the Month. My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Baltimore and New York at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. This spot sets up well to play the 'over' in the first five innings only as we get the pitching matchup of Tyler Wells for the Orioles against J.P. Sears - making his first big league start - for the Yankees. Wells is going to be in tough here as he makes his second straight start on just four days' rest. He's had an up and down start to the season but it's been mostly down lately as he has allowed six earned runs in just 8 2/3 innings over his last two outings. Wells has topped out at four strikeouts in his eight starts so far this season so it's not as if he's fooling many hitters. I certainly don't expect him to fool many Yankees batters on Wednesday as they get their third look at him already this season. While they haven't had a great deal of success against him so far, that will likely change here as this will be the first time they catch Wells pitching on short rest. We don't know much about J.P. Sears - certainly not what he's capable of at the big league level. What we do know is that the Orioles bats have been heating up, rattling off 11, 11, 6, 10, 9 and 7 hits over their last six games, plating 9, 8, 1, 7, 6 and 6 runs over that stretch. We're not interested in dealing with the two bullpens here as both have a fairly solid track record so far this season. Take the first five innings over (10*). |
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05-25-22 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Milwaukee and San Diego at 4:10 pm et on Wednesday. It seems as if the Padres may have left their bats in San Francisco where they enjoyed plenty of success last weekend. In the first two games of this series it's been a struggle at the plate as they've managed just four runs, splitting those two contests. Having not had a day off since May 16th you can be sure they have one eye on tomorrow's off-day before welcoming Pittsburgh to Petco Park for a three-game series. While there's nothing special about Brewers starter Aaron Ashby's stuff, he generally does what it asked of him, having allowed two earned runs or less in five of his last six outings. San Diego will counter with Yu Darvish. He'll be making his sixth straight start on at least five days' rest and comes off a solid outing in which he tossed seven shutout innings in Philadelphia. Darvish has been terrific at home this season, allowing one earned run in 6 2/3 innings against Atlanta, no earned runs over six frames against Los Angeles (Dodgers) and two earned runs over seven innings against Miami. He has posted a stellar 2.13 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in seven career starts against Milwaukee. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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05-16-22 | Twins v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
A.L. Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off low-scoring series finales on getaway day yesterday but I look for a different story to unfold at the Coliseum on Monday night. Note that the 'over' has gone 13-3 with the Twins coming off consecutive games in which they scored three runs or less over the last two seasons, with that situation resulting in an average total of 12.1 runs. In that situation this season, we've seen the Twins average 6.1 runs per game with an average total of 8.9 runs (nine-game sample size). The A's bats have been quiet but they should have ample opportunity to bust out here as they face Twins starter Chris Archer pitching on four days' rest. Archer has seen five of his six starts this season total at least eight runs. He's been tagged for at least one home run in five straight starts and checks in having allowed six earned runs on 10 hits over just seven innings of work in his last two outings. The A's will counter with rookie Zach Logue. He'll also be pitching on just four days' rest. He was terrific in his most recent start, tossing seven shutout innings but that came against the light-hitting Tigers. This will actually be his second start against Minnesota this season which I believe gives the Twins hitters an advantage. They reached him for a pair of home runs over five innings back on May 6th. Take the over (10*). |
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05-15-22 | Red Sox v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Texas at 2:35 pm et on Sunday. You would have to go back five games to find the Red Sox last 'under' result (with a couple of 'pushes' in the mix since). Last night we saw the Sox explode for 11 runs in a lopsided victory and now they'll look to complete the sweep on Sunday. I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair. Note that the 'under' is 10-1 with the Rangers having allowed 7+ runs in consecutive games over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of just 6.7 runs in that situation. Rangers starter Martin Perez has turned back the clock this season, posting a 2.10 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over the course of six starts this season. Austin Davis will get a spot start for the Red Sox. He isn't likely to work deep into the game but that's fine for our purposes as the Boston bullpen has posted a collective 1.98 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over its last seven games. Take the under (7*). |
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05-15-22 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Baltimore and Detroit at 1:40 pm et on Sunday. Detroit is on an incredible run of 'under' results right now but I'll go the contrarian route and call for a higher-scoring affair than most are expecting on Sunday. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 9-0 with the Orioles having scored three runs or less in four consecutive games over the last three seasons, resulting in an average total of 12.0 runs in that spot. Sunday's starter for the O's, Tyler Wells, has been awful in three road starts this season, posting an 8.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Tigers starter Tarik Skubal has been terrific this season but after going seven innings last time out and now starting on just four days' rest, I'm not anticipating a peak performance from him here. Note that the Tigers have seen an average total of 9.6 runs scored after a game in which their bullpen worked 6+ innings over the last three seasons (44-game sample size), as is the case here. Take the over (4*). |
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05-10-22 | Astros v. Twins OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
American League Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Minnesota at 7:40 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams are coming off a string of low-scoring games. That doesn't mean we'll see the same type of contest play out on Tuesday in Minnesota, however. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 26-14 with the Astros coming off a game in which they allowed one run or less over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 9.8 runs in that situation. The 'over' is also a long-term 207-160 with Houston playing on the road after allowing three runs or less in consecutive games, which is also the case here. As for Minnesota, it has seen the 'over' go 12-3 after plating four runs or less in four consecutive games over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of 11.0 runs scored in that spot. While we do have a fine pitching matchup here with Justin Verlander going up against Joe Ryan, I'm willing to bet on the bats waking from their slumber following a much-needed off day on Monday. Take the over (10*). |
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05-09-22 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Monday. 'Unders' have ruled the day for both of these teams lately but I look for a different story to unfold on Monday. Both starting pitchers will be facing their opponent for the second time in less than a week. While that's not generally a problem for the better pitchers in baseball, I don't feel that Elieser Hernandez of Humberto Castellanos fall into that category. Hernandez has had a miserable time locating his pitches in the early part of the season, issuing eight walks and giving up 27 hits in 24 1/3 innings of work. The D'Backs chased him after scoring five earned runs in four innings last week. Castellanos is off to an alright start for Arizona this season but I believe regression will soon be coming. He hasn't allowed a home run in 16 2/3 innings pitched this season after giving up six over his final five starts last season. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 11-1 with the D'Backs coming off three or more consecutive 'under' results over the last two seasons with that spot producing an average total of 12.6 runs. Over that same stretch, the 'over' has gone 37-23 with Arizona coming off a win, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 9.8 runs. Take the over (5*). |
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05-09-22 | Phillies v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Philadelphia and Seattle at 9:40 pm et on Monday. The Mariners offense has run dry lately but off their first victory in a while, I think we'll see a reversal of course here on Monday. Note that the 'over' has gone a perfect 9-0 with Seattle having scored two runs or less in consecutive games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of 11.0 runs in that situation. The Phillies meanwhile have seen the 'over' go a long-term 145-106 with an average total of 9.3 runs produced when coming off a loss against a division opponent in which they scored one run or less, which is also the situation here. Expect some offensive fireworks on Monday night in the Pacific Northwest. Take the over (4*). |
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Sean Murphy MLB Totals Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-30-22 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
07-29-22 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
07-29-22 | Guardians v. Rays UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
07-29-22 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
07-26-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
07-26-22 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
07-25-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
07-25-22 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 9 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Giants v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
07-24-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Angels v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
07-23-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 105 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 8 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
07-16-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
07-15-22 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
07-14-22 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
07-14-22 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 12-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
07-13-22 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
07-13-22 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
07-13-22 | Phillies v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
07-11-22 | A's v. Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
07-11-22 | Mets v. Braves UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
07-11-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
07-10-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
07-10-22 | Marlins v. Mets UNDER 7 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
07-09-22 | Rays v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
07-09-22 | Twins v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 7-9 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
07-09-22 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 9 | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
07-07-22 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 6.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
07-07-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
07-07-22 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
07-07-22 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 10 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
07-07-22 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
07-06-22 | Royals v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
07-06-22 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
07-06-22 | Yankees v. Pirates OVER 9 | 16-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
07-06-22 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
07-05-22 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
07-05-22 | Mariners v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
07-04-22 | Twins v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
07-04-22 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
07-03-22 | Cardinals v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
07-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
06-29-22 | White Sox v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
06-29-22 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 8 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
06-29-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
06-29-22 | Orioles v. Mariners OVER 8 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
06-28-22 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
06-28-22 | Tigers v. Giants UNDER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
06-28-22 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
06-27-22 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 9-2 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
06-27-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
06-27-22 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
06-25-22 | Red Sox v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
06-24-22 | Rockies v. Twins OVER 9 | 1-0 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
06-24-22 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
06-23-22 | Orioles v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
06-23-22 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
06-22-22 | Guardians v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-10 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
06-21-22 | Blue Jays v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
06-21-22 | Phillies v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
06-20-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
06-20-22 | Giants v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
06-18-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
06-17-22 | Cardinals v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
06-17-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 12-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
06-15-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
06-15-22 | Reds v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 4-7 | Loss | -125 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8 | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | A's v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
06-14-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
06-13-22 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
06-13-22 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
06-10-22 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
06-05-22 | Twins v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 8-6 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
06-04-22 | Red Sox v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
06-03-22 | Braves v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
06-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
05-25-22 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
05-25-22 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
05-16-22 | Twins v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
05-15-22 | Red Sox v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
05-15-22 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
05-10-22 | Astros v. Twins OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
05-09-22 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
05-09-22 | Phillies v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |