Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-28-22 | Wyoming v. Air Force +8 | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Air Force plus the points over Wyoming at 6 pm et on Friday. Tough spot for Wyoming here as it just had its six-game winning streak snapped in a narrow 65-62 loss at Boise State two nights ago (we won with the Cowboys plus the points in that game). Air Force has certainly been a 'tough out' in Mountain West Conference play and checks in riding a 6-1 ATS hot streak, including a 10-point win as a short underdog at San Jose State two nights ago. The Falcons can certainly be a frustrating team to play against, as the Cowboys found out first hand in a 72-69 loss as a road favorite here in Colorado Springs last January (before responding with a 19-point rout on the same floor two nights later). With a big showdown against Colorado State coming up at home on Monday, I see this as a spot where the Cowboys simply look to secure a win and move on with winning by margin being of little consequence. Take Air Force (8*). |
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01-27-22 | California v. UCLA UNDER 130 | Top | 57-81 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
CBB Pac-12 Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between California and UCLA at 9 pm et on Thursday. Cal is coming off a dreadful performance against Arizona in which it was ripped for 96 points. That could be considered an outlier, however, as the Bears had only allowed more than 65 points once in five previous Pac-12 contests this season. UCLA came up with a stunning 16-point upset win over Arizona two nights ago which obviously sets it up in a bit of a letdown spot here. The Bruins are locked in defensively right now, allowing 65, 58, 65 and 59 points over their last four contests. Since the start of 2020, they've held Cal to 40, 56, 57 and 52 points with the latter coming in a 60-52 victory earlier this month. With both teams adept at taking care of the basketball, I look for much of this one to be played in the half-court, much like we saw in the first meeting between these two squads this season. Take the under (10*). |
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01-27-22 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska OVER 145 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Wisconsin and Nebraska at 5 pm et on Thursday. I don't believe for a second that Nebraska's defense can contain Wisconsin's offense in this game. The Badgers, more often known for their patient, methodical offense have shifted into another gear this season. They check in averaging well north of 70 points per game and come into this game in a foul mood after dropping an 86-74 decision against Michigan State last time out. This is an ideal bounce-back spot as the Cornhuskers don't play a lick of defense, allowing 87, 79, 93, 81, 92 and 78 points over their last six games with the 'over' cashing at a 5-1 clip along the way. Desperate for a victory off six consecutive losses, I'm confident we'll see Nebraska throw everything it has at the Badgers defense in this one. We've certainly seen cracks in that Badger defense as they've given up a very un-Wisconsin-like 43.9% shooting on the season. The Huskers should find their opportunities, noting that they rank 21st in the nation in adjusted tempo this season (according to KenPom). Last year's two meetings between these two teams were low-scoring. Different story here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-26-22 | Marquette v. Seton Hall OVER 145.5 | Top | 73-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
CBB Big East Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Marquette and Seton Hall at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. These two teams just met on January 15th. That game totalled 145 points, staying comfortably below the closing total of 152.5 points. Now that both teams come in riding three-game 'under' streaks, I believe this total has swung too far in the other direction. Note that in that previous meeting Seton Hall scored 72 points despite turning the basketball over a whopping 20 times. The Pirates average only 12 turnovers per game (despite ranking 53rd in the nation in adjusted tempo according to KenPom). I expect a far more efficient offensive performance from Seton Hall here, especially after shooting sub-40% from the field in consecutive games. As for Marquette, it ranks 42nd in the country in adjusted tempo and is playing its best basketball of the season, reeling off six straight wins both SU and ATS. The Golden Eagles scored 75 points in a win over Xavier last time out but that's really only scratching the surface offensively as they started their current win streak by scoring 88, 92 and 87 points in consecutive games. After holding their last two opponents under 39% shooting, I look for some regression from the Golden Eagles defense here, noting that they've allowed 89 points at Wisconsin and 80 points at Xavier earlier this season. Take the over (10*). |
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01-25-22 | Fresno State v. New Mexico +5.5 | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Mexico plus the points over Fresno State at 9 pm et on Tuesday. The New Mexico Lobos are coming off two of their best efforts of the season but unfortunately have nothing to show for it as they fell in consecutive road games against Colorado State and Wyoming. We actually missed the mark fading the Lobos on Saturday at Wyoming, as they took the Cowboys down to the wire in an eventual 93-91 loss. I won't hesitate to switch gears and back New Mexico here as I feel this is a winnable home game against a Fresno State squad that had been playing a little over its head in my opinion prior to last Friday's loss at Nevada (we won with the Wolf Pack in that game). To say the Lobos are hungry would be an understatement as they haven't tasted victory since way back on December 21st against Norfolk State. Save for an ugly 29-point loss at UNLV on January 12th there's no shame in any of their recent losses, however. I actually like the fact that New Mexico played, and excelled offensively, on Saturday while Fresno State has been idle since Friday's loss at Nevada. The Bulldogs are just 1-2 on the road in Mountain West Conference play with their lone win coming by five points at UNLV. I believe the Lobos can make the Bulldogs uncomfortable with their up-tempo style and are brimming with confidence after Saturday's performance. Take New Mexico (8*). |
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01-24-22 | Louisville v. Virginia UNDER 124.5 | Top | 52-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
ACC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Louisville and Virginia at 7 pm et on Monday. I love the way this one sets up as a prime bounce-back spot for both defenses. Louisville just gave up 82 points on a ridiculous 63% shooting in a loss to Notre Dame on Saturday, marking its fourth loss in its last five games. There's no reason to expect a repeat performance here as the Cardinals look to contain a Virginia team that hasn't sniffed 70 points over its last five games, topping out at 66 points and scoring sub-60 in three of those contests. For its part, Virginia allowed N.C. State to score 77 points on 60% shooting in a loss on Saturday. The 'over' has now cashed in each of the Cavaliers last two games. That situation has come up three times previously this season, and on each occasion the 'under' has cashed in the next game. We know the Hoos' can play defense. Here at home they're allowing just 57.5 points per game on 40.6% shooting. The Cardinals don't figure to be able to expose any sort of weaknesses, noting that they average right around three points below their season scoring average on the road, where they shoot just a shade over 40% from the field. The last time these two teams met on this floor they combined to score just 111 points. Expect more of the same on Monday. Take the under (10*). |
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01-22-22 | New Mexico v. Wyoming -10 | 91-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wyoming minus the points over New Mexico at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. New Mexico has quietly been a force ATS-wise this season, going 11-5 ATS in lined contests this season including underdog covers in its last two games against Boise State and Colorado State. The Lobos have faced one of the toughest schedules in the country this season, ranking 76th in adjusted strength of schedule according to KenPom and it doesn't get any easier here as they go up against a red hot Wyoming squad. I like the fact that this line has moved in our favor. The Cowboys have gone a perfect 5-0 SU and 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, essentially playing every other day since the middle of the month. Here, they face a Lobos squad that is sending opponents to the free throw line a whopping 23 times per game this season. New Mexico has faced an average of just 20 three-point attempts per game and figures to get a bit of a 'shock to the system' here against Wyoming as the Cowboys hoist up 28 three-point attempts per game at home, knocking down an average of 12 per game. Wyoming took last year's two meetings in this series by nine and 12-point margins. Look for the Cowboys to extend their dominance of the Lobos with a convincing win here. Take Wyoming (8*). |
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01-22-22 | Houston Baptist v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi -12.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
CBB Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Texas A&M Corpus Christi minus the points over Houston Baptist at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. We won with Texas A&M Corpus Christi last Saturday as the Islanders rolled to a 16-point win over Incarnate Word. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play this afternoon as they stay at home for a fourth straight game to host lowly Houston Baptist. The Islanders are coming off a narrow four-point win over McNeese State on Thursday. That tight result wasn't all that surprising as it was a quick rematch after the Islanders won the first meeting by 13 points back on January 8th. Here, Corpus Christi will be getting its first look at Houston Baptist this season. The Huskies own a 5-10 overall record this season but that's a little flattering as four of their five victories came against non-Division I opponents. The other came by just three points against aforementioned 4-15 Incarnate Word on Thursday night. While the Huskies have been playing a little better lately, I don't believe it will be enough to stay within arm's reach of the Islanders on Saturday. Take Texas A&M Corpus Christi (10*). |
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01-21-22 | Fresno State v. Nevada | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Nevada over Fresno State at 11 pm et on Friday. Nevada has been playing uneven basketball lately, alternating losses and wins over its last five games. Here, I look for the Wolf Pack to make a statement against a red hot Fresno State team that has won three games in a row in conference play. It's not as if those three consecutive wins by the Bulldogs were a big accomplishment as they came at home against San Jose State and Utah State and on the road against UNLV. Note that Fresno has faced the 178th toughest schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. Nevada checks in having faced the 66th toughest. These two teams play at a much different tempo and with the Wolf Pack having the benefit of playing at home, I believe they can impose their will. Note that they've gone 30-15 ATS the last 45 times they've come off a home loss against a conference opponent and 10-1 ATS the last 11 times they've come off two losses in their last three games, as is the case here. Credit the Bulldogs for racking up some wins lately, but I still think they're a step below Nevada in the Mountain West. Take Nevada (9*). |
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01-20-22 | CS-Fullerton v. Cal-Irvine -6 | Top | 65-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Big West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Cal-Irvine minus the points over Cal-State Fullerton at 10 pm et on Thursday. This price has shifted right into our lap on Thursday as the Anteaters look to snap out of a 1-4 slide at home against red hot Cal-State Fullerton. Irvine started the season with a very manageable schedule but things have gotten a lot tougher lately. They're coming off an outright loss by double-digits at Hawaii one week ago tonight so they've had ample time to sit and stew over that setback and get ready for this very winnable matchup against Fullerton. The Titans have won five straight games but that's had as much to do with a weak schedule rather than anything else. While Irvine was projected by most to finish top-two in the Big West at the outset of the season, Fullerton was pegged as a middle-of-the-pack team. There's certainly still time for that to play out and I look for the Anteaters to take a step in the right direction with a convincing win on Thursday. Take Cal-Irvine (10*). |
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01-19-22 | George Washington v. St. Joe's -8.5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Joseph's minus the points over George Washington at 7 pm et on Wednesday. The oddsmakers missed the mark badly setting St. Joe's as mid-range favorites at home against La Salle two nights ago - a game the Hawks lost outright by double-digits. After a hot ATS start to the season, St. Joe's has actually dropped the cash in three straight games. I expect the Hawks to right the ship here, however. George Washington is in a clear letdown spot here off a big upset win over George Mason. That victory came at home. The road has been a nightmare for GWU as it has gone 1-7, outscored by an average margin of 11.3 points. The Colonials have faced the nation's 237th toughest schedule according to KenPom. We found out first hand just how bad they can be in a 27-point rout at the hands of VCU just over a week ago. Take St. Joseph's (10*). |
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01-18-22 | South Carolina +12.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 59-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month. My selection is on South Carolina plus the points over Arkansas at 7 pm et on Tuesday. This line has been bet up a couple of points since opening to the point that I like the way this one sets up for the Gamecocks, or perhaps moreso as a fade of Arkansas. The Hogs held Missouri to a ridiculous 43 points two games back and followed that up with an upset win at LSU on Saturday. That leaves them in a clear letdown spot here as they host South Carolina which is coming off back-to-back losses to Tennessee and Florida. While the Gamecocks have been wildly inconsistent this season, prolonged ATS losing streaks haven't been part of it. They enter this game on a season-long two-game ATS skid - one that I expect them to break tonight. By contrast, Arkansas is coming off consecutive ATS wins for the first time this season. Here, we'll note that Arkansas has gone 18-35 ATS in its last 53 games when coming off an outright upset win over a conference opponent, outscored by 2.3 points on average in that spot. South Carolina won outright as a 6.5-point underdog the last time these two teams met on this floor two years ago. While I'm not calling for an outright Gamecocks win here, I do expect them to keep it close. Take South Carolina (10*). |
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01-17-22 | Delaware v. Northeastern +2 | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northeastern plus the points over Delaware at 7 pm et on Monday. Most had Northeastern to finish second, perhaps third in the Colonial Athletic Association this season. Things haven't gone the Huskies way, however, with some bad luck (and admittedly poor execution) leading to a 6-10 overall record and an stunning 0-5 in-conference mark. I believe everything is still in front of them, however, with five of their next seven games coming at home, but the turnaround needs to start now. Delaware has more or less had 'luck' on its side over the course of the season and particularly of late. The Blue Hens last two wins came by a combined five points. To take an honest look at their resume so far this season, there really aren't many overly impressive wins. Note that they've faced the 233rd toughest schedule according to KenPom. Northeastern, on the other hand, ranks 153rd in terms of adjusted strength of schedule. Looking to avenge a 2-0 series sweep at the hands of Delaware last year and noting that the last time the Blue Hens posted back-to-back victories in this series was way back in 2014, I'll back the Huskies to come up big on their home floor on Monday. Take Northeastern (8*). |
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01-15-22 | Incarnate Word v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi -13.5 | Top | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Southland Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Texas A&M Corpus Christi minus the points over Incarnate Word at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. The Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders have quietly been one of the best bets in the nation this season, going 10-3 ATS. They're in a smash spot on Saturday as they host 4-13 Incarnate Word. The Cardinals are actually coming off a win last Saturday but that came at the expense of 4-9 Houston Baptist. Incarnate Word's three previous wins this season came against the likes of Dallas Christian, 5-12 Grambling State and Our Lady of the Lake. The Cardinals have recently lost games by 31 points at home against Nicholls State, 45 points at Texas, 30 points at Rice and 33 points at Abilene-Christian. The Islanders have plenty of runway in front of them right now, with their next three games coming at home against Incarnate Word, McNeese State and Houston Baptist as they look to climb from third spot in the Southland Conference. Take Texas A&M Corpus Christi (10*). |
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01-14-22 | Fresno State v. UNLV +2 | Top | 73-68 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Mountain West Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on UNLV plus the points over Fresno State at 11 pm et on Friday. This line has been moving in Fresno State's favor which is not all that surprising ahead of this Mountain West clash on Friday night in Sin City. Fresno State is off to a stellar 13-4 start this season but a closer inspection indicates we should perhaps pump the brakes a little. Note that the Bulldogs rank 228th in the nation in terms of strength of schedule (according to KenPom). Not only that but they sit 354th in the country in adjusted tempo (also according to KenPom). While that's not a reason for concern in and of itself, the fact that they shoot just a shade over 40% from the field on the road and average only six made threes per game is. Keep in mind, they continue to play without transfer Jemarl Baker, who was supposed to be a big part of their offense this season and contributed 30 points in only 41 minutes in his final two games before injuring his knee back in December. UNLV is coming off an 85-point explosion in a 29-point rout of New Mexico last time out. The Runnin' Rebels have scored 80+ points in each of their last three games and check in 5-1 SU And 4-2 ATS over their last six contests. The Rebels shouldn't have to approach that lofty point total here noting that the winner in this matchup has reached 68 points or less in each of the last three meetings, with the Rebels winning two of those games (both here at home). Note that UNLV ranks a respectable 125th in the country in terms of strength of schedule. With a tough three-game stretch on the road on deck, earning a victory here is critical for the Rebels. While they're just one game removed from a seven-point loss against San Diego State, I think it's actually impressive that they 'only' lost by seven despite shooting sub-30% from the field. Give them credit for holding each of their last three opponents to 36% or worse shooting. If UNLV can find a way to push the pace a little bit and make the Bulldogs uncomfortable, I'm confident it can find success on Friday night. Take UNLV (10*). |
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01-13-22 | St. Mary's v. Pepperdine +13 | 77-62 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pepperdine plus the points over St. Mary's at 11 pm et on Thursday. You would have to go back eight meetings in this series to find the last time either team was able to win by a double-digit margin, yet that's the pointspread range in this one. The Gaels check in off a tough nine-point loss at BYU two nights ago and may not have an easy time getting up for this road affair against a 6-12 Pepperdine squad. They should be careful, however, noting that the Waves got the better of them in a 60-58 win on this floor last season. While Pepperdine has gone a miserable 2-7 ATS on the road this season, it has more than held its own here at home where it is 5-2 ATS in lined contests. It's the defensive end of the floor where the Gaels obviously hold a significant advantage in this game. With that being said, coming off that low-scoring 52-43 loss to BYU it's worth mentioning that St. Mary's is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after allowing 55 points or less, actually outscored by an average margin of 6.4 points in that spot. Take Pepperdine (9*). |
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01-13-22 | Florida International +16.5 v. UAB | 56-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida International plus the points over UAB at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. This is just too many points to be giving a 10-5 Florida International squad that has bounced back just fine following a dismal 2020-21 campaign. While the Panthers are 0-4 ATS in true road games this season, those four spread losses have come by a combined 6.5 points. They actually haven't managed to cover the spread in any of their last seven contests - a big reason why we're working with an inflated number here as bettors have seemingly jumped at the opportunity to lay the points with UAB (the line has risen considerably since opening). UAB checks in 10-4 ATS in lined games this season but it hasn't faced a tough schedule by any means, checking in ranked 282nd in strength of schedule according to KenPom. There are a couple of reasons why I believe the Panthers can give the Blazers a run in this one. First of all, FIU poses a different sort of challenge than what UAB has been accustomed to facing as it hoists up 30 three-point attempts per game this season (UAB has faced an average of 20). The Panthers have done a nice job of distributing the basketball as well, interestingly they've 16 assists per game - two more than UAB despite making an average of four fewer field goals per contest. I don't see this situation setting up all that differently than when the Blazers suffered a two-point loss against San Francisco earlier this season and then returned home and beat East Tennessee State by a modest 14-point margin. Here, we find the Blazers back home off a stunning upset loss against Rice. They'll simply be looking to get back to their winning ways with margin of victory being of little consequence. FIU boasts plenty of returning talent from the team that beat UAB by 25 points (albeit at home) last season. Take Florida International (8*). |
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01-13-22 | Detroit +1.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Horizon League Game of the Month. My selection is on Detroit plus the points over IUPU-Fort Wayne at 7 pm et on Thursday. We've seen a considerable line move toward Fort Wayne and why not? After all it is coming off consecutive road wins over Youngstown State and Robert Morris and has actually won five games in a row ATS. Let's not get too carried away though as Fort Wayne checks in ranked a miserable 325th in strength of schedule according to KenPom. While Detroit hasn't exactly faced a who's who of the country's best teams, it does rank considerably higher than Fort Wayne in that department at 180th. Detroit has played just one game since the holiday break, securing a 25-point win over Wisconsin-Milwaukee last Friday. The Titans are 5-1 SU and ATS over their last six contests and perhaps present a bit of a 'shock to the system' for the Fort Wayne defense here, noting that Detroit averages a whopping 28 three-point attempts per game this season. I don't anticipate much different that we saw in this matchup last year, when Detroit knocked down 28 three-pointers on its way to 82-72 and 83-56 victories over Fort Wayne. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-12-22 | Maryland +6 v. Northwestern | Top | 94-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Month. My selection is on Maryland plus the points over Northwestern at 9 pm et on Wednesday. I'm not buying into the considerable line move here as I'm anticipating a tightly-contested affair between these two teams, both coming off three consecutive losses and both off hard-fought losses against seemingly superior in-conference opponents. Note that the Terps have faced the 43rd toughest schedule in the nation to date according to KenPom while Northwestern, picked by many to finish near the bottom of the Big Ten standings at the outset of the season, checks in ranked 178th in strength of schedule. Maryland has had an issue with turning the ball over this season but has cleaned that up a bit lately, with 12 or fewer turnovers in four straight games (after a stretch of 14 or more in four consecutive contests). Of course, this is an in-season revenge game for Maryland after it dropped a 67-61 decision at home against Northwestern back on December 5th. The underdog has delivered the cash in three straight meetings in this series while Maryland has come away victorious in five of its last six trips to Northwestern. Here, we'll also note that the Terps are an impressive 14-2 ATS the last 16 times they've come off three or more consecutive losses, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 12.9 points on average in that spot. Take Maryland (10*). |
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01-12-22 | LSU +2.5 v. Florida | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on LSU plus the points over Florida at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I'm not ready to buy into the Gators being favored in this game, even with Xavier Pinson sidelined for LSU. Florida has managed just three victories in its last eight games and those came against the likes of North Florida, South Florida and Stony Brook. The Gators stepped up in class twice last week and gave up 83 and 85 points in consecutive losses against Alabama and Auburn. LSU has just one loss on its resume - that coming in a game where it shot a miserable 28.6% from the field on the road against aforementioned Auburn. After dropping each of its last two meetings with Florida over the last two years, it obviously has a lot to prove in this contest. The Tigers have faced the tougher schedule of the two teams this season and I like the way the numbers stack up in their favor here as well. Of note, the Tigers allow two more made three-pointers per game than the Gators, but also face 11 additional attempts per contest. Similarly, they turn the ball over once more per game but also play at a faster pace four more field goal attempts per game than the Gators. While LSU enters this contest absolutely locked in defensively, Florida has allowed two of its last three opponents to shoot 51.9% or better from the field. Take LSU (8*). |
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01-11-22 | Illinois v. Nebraska +13.5 | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Nebraska plus the points over Illinois at 8:30 pm et on Tuesday. This is a classic case of two teams heading in opposite directions but I don't expect the Cornhuskers to go away quietly at home on Tuesday night. While they do check in having lost three games in a row but have actually managed to go 3-1 ATS over their last four contests. Illinois is the superior team on paper, there's no question about that, and the Illini have faced the 41st-toughest schedule in the country according to KenPom. However, it's not as if Nebraska has been facing cupcake opponents - the Huskers are top-80 in the nation in terms of strength of schedule. Illinois has relied heavily on the three-ball to support its offense this season but that's nothing out of the ordinary for Nebraska as it has faced a whopping 28 three-point attempts per game this season (Illinois averages 26). Note that both teams average an identical number of free throw attempts per game while Nebraska actually turns the ball over two fewer times while forcing five additional turnovers per contest compared to the Illini. The last meeting in this series went the Illini's way by 16 points, however Nebraska is actually 2-1 SU in the last three matchups between the two teams in Lincoln with its lone loss coming by just five points last season. Take Nebraska (9*). |
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01-11-22 | Iowa State v. Kansas -11.5 | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas minus the points over Iowa State at 8 pm et on Tuesday. The bloom appears to be off the rose, so to speak, for the Iowa State Cyclones, who have now dropped two of their last three games following a perfect 12-0 start to the season. We've seen this line move a couple of points in their favor but I believe it's the wrong move. Kansas is coming off a disappointing loss of its own, falling by eight points at Texas Tech on Saturday. There's really no harm in an early conference loss for a team like the Jayhawks that of course has national title aspirations. When these two teams met on this floor last season, Kansas was favored by 16.5 points and won by 33. The Jayhawks also took their road matchup against the Cyclones by 14 points, covering the -11.5 point spread. You would have go to back six meetings to 2019 to find the last time Iowa State was remotely competitive in this matchup. Yes, the Cyclones got off to a tremendous start this season but their 212th-ranked strength of schedule (according to KenPom) leaves a lot to be desired. By contrast, Kansas has faced the nation's 31st toughest schedule. The Jayhawks have an embarrassment of riches in terms of depth and talent and I expect that to shine through on Tuesday. Take Kansas (9*). |
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01-11-22 | George Washington +17 v. VCU | Top | 57-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Atlantic-10 Underdog Game of the Year. My selection is on George Washington plus the points over VCU at 7 pm et on Tuesday. We've cashed a couple of tickets with VCU this season, including one in its thrilling buzzer-beating road win over Dayton last week. The Commodores are undoubtedly playing terrific basketball right now but I see this as a flat spot in an early-week home game against lowly George Washington. The Colonials were picked by many to finish near the bottom of the Atlantic-10 standings this season and to no one's surprise, that's where they're wallowing as we head into mid-January. With that being said, they have managed to go 2-1 over their last three games and it shouldn't be difficult to get up and bounce back from a 25-point beatdown at home against Dayton last time out. While VCU is coming off a 19-point rout of La Salle, it isn't really built to run away and hide from teams, noting that it averages just 53 field goal attempts and five made three-pointers per game this season. The Commodores turned in a near-perfect game last time out against the Explorers, shooting better than 51% from the field, turning the ball over only eight times while forcing 19. That wrapped up a perfect 2-0 road trip. You can understand why returning home to host a team like George Washington in a 'name-your-score' type of game may not be all that inspiring. Keep in mind, George Washington managed to stay comfortably inside the pointspread in last year's lone meeting, dropping a seven-point decision at home as an 11.5-point underdog. Noting that VCU does turn the ball over two more times per game than GWU and also sends opponents to the free throw line an average of 18 times per contest, not to mention the fact that the Commodores have a clear look-ahead with a trip to St. Bonaventure on deck later this week, I like the Colonials to stay inside the lofty number on Tuesday. Take George Washington (10*). |
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01-09-22 | Northwestern v. Ohio State UNDER 140.5 | Top | 87-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Northwestern and Ohio State at 5:30 pm et on Sunday. I expect points to come at a premium in this Big Ten matchup with Northwestern coming off consecutive home losses in-conference and Ohio State fresh off a 16-point dismantling at the hands of Indiana on the road. Note that the Buckeyes have turned in two of their best defensive efforts of the season when coming off their two previous losses this season, holding Duke to 38.5% shooting following a loss to Florida and Seton Hall to 38.1% shooting after a loss against Xavier. Note that Ohio State checks in 49th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom. Northwestern has given up 70+ points in consecutive games for the first time this season but still ranks top-50 in adjusted defensive efficiency. I don't expect Ohio State to run away and hide in this one, noting that the Buckeyes sit 249th in the country in adjusted tempo (also according to KenPom). While Northwestern generally likes to push the pace a little bit, I'm not sure it will be afforded the opportunity to do so against the Buckeyes. The Wildcats have been able to force the tempo in large part thanks to facing the nation's 265th toughest schedule. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 the last six times the Wildcats have played on the road following an 'over' result, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of just 126.3 points. The 'under' is also a long-term winner at 89-60 with the Buckeyes playing at home coming off an ATS loss, which is also the situation here, producing an average total of 133.2 points. Take the under (10*). |
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01-08-22 | Appalachian State +2.5 v. Troy State | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
CBB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Appalachian State plus the points over Troy at 5 pm et on Saturday. We won with Appalachian State in an arguably tougher matchup two nights ago as the Mountaineers went on the road and upset South Alabama by a 72-64 score - their second straight in-conference victory. They won that game despite not getting a single point from Justin Forrest in his first game back off the Covid list. I would certainly anticipate a sharper performance from Forrest in particular in Saturday's game. As we noted on Thursday, the Mountaineers have faced a very difficult schedule this season - ranking 78th in the nation in strength of schedule according to KenPom. Contrast that with Troy, which checks in 298th in that department yet has only managed three more victories than Appalachian State. I like the discipline we've seen from the Mountaineers this season as they only send opponents to the free throw line an average of 11 times per game. They also average five fewer turnovers per game than Troy, despite a similar number of possessions per contest. The Trojans have forced an additional five turnovers per game compared to the Mountaineers but again, strength of schedule factors in. Troy swept the season series between these two teams last year. Prior to that, Appalachian State had taken four of the last five meetings and we only have to go back three meetings at Troy (to December of 2019) to find the last time the Mountaineers won a game outright on this floor. Take Appalachian State (10*). |
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01-07-22 | Brown +3.5 v. Harvard | Top | 84-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
Ivy League Game of the Year. My selection is on Brown plus the points over Harvard at 7 pm et on Friday. Brown enters this game on the heels of four straight losses including a heartbreaking 77-73 near-miss on the road against Penn last Sunday. The Bears have faced the 111th toughest schedule in the country so far this season according to KenPom while Harvard has faced the 303rd. So it's not surprising that the Crimson check in sporting the better overall record (although not by much at 7-4 compared to 8-8). Here, Harvard will be taking the floor in game action for the first time since December 21st. The 'rest vs. rust' conversation comes up yet again and here I think Brown has the distinct advantage having played three times (and against tough competition including road games at Syracuse and Maryland) since Harvard last played. While a lot of bettors will likely use the 'triple-revenge' angle in support of Harvard here, I'm not sure that plays a major factor. Both teams experienced plenty of roster turnover. Speaking of that, I'm high on Brown freshman Nana Owuse-Anane, who has contributed 6.8 points per game and 3.7 rebounds per game in 18.5 minutes on average so far this season. Loyola-Chicago transfer Paxson Wojcik is also a notable newcomer. It's worth pointing out that he failed to knock down a single three-pointer over the last two games (he had made 12 over his previous five games) yet the Bears were right there in contention for the ATS cover in each of those contests. I'm anticipating a solid bounce-back effort from him tonight. The Crimson rely heavily on the three-ball in their offense, averaging 10 made threes per game this season. Brown on the other hand has done an excellent job of limiting its opponents effectiveness from long range, allowing just six made threes per game on the road (on 18 attempts). While Brown has been shooting much better lately following a shaky start to the season (that had a lot to do with the aforementioned difficult, front-loaded schedule), Harvard has shot worse than 38% in three of its last four contests. Finally, I'll note that Harvard has gone 0-6 ATS in its last six lined games off consecutive home wins, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 0.4 points. Take Brown (10*). |
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01-06-22 | Washington State +2 v. Colorado | 78-83 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington State plus the points over Colorado at 9 pm et on Thursday. To say that Colorado has owned this series here in Boulder would be a massive understatement. However, the Buffaloes home dominance over Washington State over the years shouldn't mean much to the Cougars core which is largely made up of transfers into the program this year with Michael Flowers, Tyrell Roberts and Noah Williams leading the way. Washington State has faced the tougher schedule than Colorado according to KenPom this season and has arguably put up better numbers at both ends of the floor. I'm confident that we'll see the Cougars really push the Buffaloes in this one, noting that we've seen Washington State pick up the tempo a little more than in recent years, to some considerable success with eight wins in its first 13 games this season. While the 'rest vs. rust' conversation could be had when it comes to both teams, at least Wazzu has been able to play four games since the 11th of December. Colorado, on the other hand, will be taking the floor in game action for just the third time since December 10th. Take Washington State (9*). |
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01-06-22 | Appalachian State +6.5 v. South Alabama | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Appalachian State plus the points over South Alabama at 8 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab all the points I can get with the Mountaineers in this one as they take on South Alabama on Thursday night. Appalachian State is hoping to have one of its top scoring options Justin Forrest back for this game after he missed the last two contests due to Covid protocols. Even if he can't go, I still like Appalachian State's chances of keeping this game competitive. Note that home court hasn't meant a whole lot in this series with the road team winning six of the last seven meetings outright. The Mountaineers have dropped the last two meetings in this series by a combined four points. South Alabama is off to a terrific 10-4 start this season but it's worth noting that the Jaguars check in just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 lined games in the role of favorite. Also note that Appalachian State sits inside the top-90 in the country in terms of strength of schedule according to KenPom while South Alabama sits 179th. Noting that the Mountaineers allow just one more made three-pointer per game on four additional attempts while also holding opponents to just 12 free throw attempts per contest compared to South Alabama's 15, I look for Appalachian State to take this one down to the wire. Take Appalachian State (8*). |
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01-06-22 | Southern Miss +4 v. Texas-San Antonio | Top | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
C-USA Game of the Year. My selection is on Southern Miss plus the points over UTSA at 8 pm et on Thursday. Southern Miss has plenty of returning experience on this year's team but isn't expected to make much noise in C-USA. Things have generally played out accordingly so far as the Golden Eagles check in 4-8 on the season, coming off six consecutive losses. With that being said, I see this as a winnable game. Note that while Southern Miss has only faced the 216th toughest schedule in the country according to KenPom, UTSA ranks 335th in that department. A closer inspection of the Roadrunners seven wins finds that they've defeated the likes of Trinity College (non-Div. 1), 5-11 Denver, 1-10 IUPUI (by three points at home), 2-13 Lamar, St. Mary's-Texas (non-Div. 1), Sam Houston State (their lone credible win) and Dallas Christian (non-Div. 1). It's not as if UTSA has been overly impressive in its wins - in fact, it checks in just 4-6 ATS in lined games this season. I do think that Southern Miss can frustrate UTSA with it's methodical pace, much like it did against East Carolina in a narrow one-point loss last time out. Interestingly, while the Golden Eagles average five fewer three-point attempts per game than the Roadrunners, they only make one fewer on average. Despite attempting 10 fewer field goals per contest, Southern Miss actually averages one more assist per game than UTSA. The Roadrunners have taken three straight meetings in this series although both of last year's matchups were close, with each game decided by exactly six points. Note that prior to those three consecutive wins, UTSA hadn't previously managed to win back-to-back meetings in the first 10 matchups all-time in this series. Take Southern Miss (10*). |
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01-05-22 | VCU +3.5 v. Dayton | 53-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on VCU plus the points over Dayton at 7 pm et on Wednesday. This line has shot up from its opener as bettors seem to be quick to back Dayton at home in this triple-revenge spot after dropping all three meetings against VCU last season. Keep in mind, the Flyers have actually managed to win only two of the last nine meetings in this series and both of those came when the Rams were in a down year in 2020 (Dayton was favored by 8.5 points in its home matchup against VCU that year). There's not a lot separating these two teams this season with the Rams entering with seven wins and Dayton checking in with eight. VCU has a nice upset win over Syracuse on its resume while Dayton has taken down Kansas and Virginia Tech but has also lost against the likes of Lipscomb and Austin Peay (both losses admittedly came at the outset of the season). VCU shouldn't be uncomfortable playing at Dayton's preferred slow pace in this one. I like the fact we're catching points with the Rams here noting that the last seven times we've seen one team favored by four points or less in this series, six of those contests have ultimately been decided by five points or less. We can expect another nip and tuck affair here with the total set in the 120's and I expect VCU to earn some extra possessions noting that they've forced nine more turnovers per game this season (and have faced the considerably tougher schedule according to KenPom - VCU ranks 49th while Dayton checks in 258th in strength of schedule). Take VCU (9*). |
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01-05-22 | DePaul +5 v. St. John's | Top | 84-89 | Push | 0 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Big East Game of the Year. My selection is on Depaul plus the points over St. John's at 6:30 pm et on Wednesday. Depaul will be looking to snap its first losing streak of the season as it takes on St. John's on Wednesday night. The Blue Demons won't have a hard time getting up for this one after suffering a 17-point beatdown at the hands of Providence last time out. Prior to that, their other two losses this season came by identical four-point margins against quality opponents in Loyola-Chicago and Butler. St. John's is coming off a loss of its own, dropping a two-point decision against a disappointing Pittsburgh squad. It's worth noting that the Blue Demons send opponents to the free throw line five fewer times per game while also getting there one additional time compared to the Red Storm this season. They also turn the ball over two fewer times despite playing at a slightly slower pace. St. John's has been the slightly better three-point shooting team but has also been the weaker team defending the three. While Depaul's strength of schedule ranks a poor 268th in the country according to KenPom, St. John's has faced the nation's 347th toughest schedule. In other words, there's little separating these two squads yet the Red Storm are being asked to lay a handful of points. Note that home court has meant very little in this particular series lately with the road team taking three consecutive meetings and six of the last nine overall. Take Depaul (10*). |
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01-04-22 | Virginia +4 v. Clemson | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on Virginia plus the points over Clemson at 9 pm et on Tuesday. When these teams last met just two weeks ago in Virginia, Clemson exacted revenge for last year's 35-point beatdown at the hands of the Cavaliers, securing a decisive 17-point victory. Now the shoe is on the other foot as Virginia looks for revenge, noting that the Cavaliers own a terrific 22-11 ATS mark under head coach Tony Bennett when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent as a favorite, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 8.9 points in that situation. Also note that the Cavaliers are 32-19 under Bennett as a road underdog. Clemson, meanwhile, checks in a miserable 3-11 ATS, outscored by 6.5 points on average, when coming off five or six wins in their last seven games over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Take Virginia (10*). |
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01-02-22 | Michigan State v. Northwestern UNDER 139.5 | Top | 73-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Big Ten Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Michigan State and Northwestern at 2 pm et on Sunday. Both of these teams have been filling up boxscores in the early going this season with Michigan State checking in with an 11-2 record and Northwestern sitting at 8-2. With both teams averaging just shy of 80 points per game I can understand why we're looking at a total in the high-130s on Sunday. I believe it will prove too high, however. This will be the toughest test either team has faced in the last month. I don't think we're going to see Michigan allow Northwestern to get out and push the pace as much as it would like in this home matchup. I do, however, believe that the Wildcats will be able to run their offense, noting that they're turning the ball over only nine times per game while Michigan State has forced just 11 turnovers per contest. While both teams have shot well, neither has put up over-the-top numbers in terms of three-pointers of free throws made per game. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 17-6 the last 23 times the Spartans have played on the road after scoring 75+ points in four straight games, as is the case here. Northwestern has had a tendency to struggle in these January Big Ten home games, averaging just 62 points per game while going 0-7 ATS in its last seven home tilts in the first month of the year. Take the under (10*). |
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01-01-22 | Creighton v. Marquette +1 | 75-69 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Marquette plus the points over Creighton at 12 noon et on Saturday. It may be early but make no mistake, this is a big game for Shaka Smart's Marquette Golden Eagles. Missing Darryl Morsell due to Covid protocols, the Golden Eagles dropped their third game in a row, by eight points against UConn back on December 21st. While this is certainly a tough matchup against Creighton, I expect Marquette to rise to the occasion. The Blue Jays last played on December 17th, when they posted a stunning blowout win over Villanova. While Creighton is off to a fine start this season, it hasn't been all that consistent. Note that the Blue Jays have faced the nation's 131st toughest schedule this season according to KenPom. Marquette on the other hand has faced the 17th toughest. Take Marquette (8*). |
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12-30-21 | St. Joe's v. Richmond -11.5 | Top | 83-56 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
A-10 Game of the Year. My selection is on Richmond minus the points over St. Joseph's at 7 pm et on Thursday. I like the way this one sets up as a smash spot for the red hot Richmond Spiders. St. Joseph's comes in off three straight ATS wins. Note the last time it reeled off three consecutive ATS victories it followed that up with a 29-point thumping at the hands of Villanova. Richmond has won six games in a row, going 4-2 ATS over that stretch. The Spiders should offer a bit of a 'shock to the system' for the St. Joe's defense here, noting that they average 10 more three-point attempts per game (26) than the Hawks have faced (16) so far this season. The Spiders are also getting to the free throw line an average of two more times per game while turning the ball over two fewer times and forcing three more turnovers, all while facing a much tougher schedule (top-95 in the country according to KenPom compared to St. Joe's top-250). This is a revenge spot for Richmond after it dropped a stunning 76-73 decision at home last March (as a 15-point favorite). The Spiders clearly overlooked the Hawks on that occasion after beating them by 20+ points on the road earlier in the season. Take Richmond (10*). |
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12-28-21 | Northwestern State v. Baylor UNDER 146 | Top | 68-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Northwestern State and Baylor at 8 pm et on Tuesday. I like the way this one sets up as a lower-scoring game than most are anticipating on Tuesday night. Northwestern State has faced an extremely tough schedule so far this season - the seventh-toughest in the country according to KenPom. It faces another very tough matchup on the road against defending national champion Baylor on Tuesday. I expect it to once again struggle offensively, noting that it checks in averaging just six made three-pointers and 13 free throw attempts per game this season. Baylor meanwhile allows an average of only five made threes per game at home while sending opponents to the free throw line just 13 times per game on average. The question becomes whether Baylor goes off offensively in this one. It scored 94 points in its most recent game against Alcorn State. Prior to that it had scored fewer than 80 points in five of its last six games. Note that the Bears average nine made threes per game and should approach that average here. However, they also average only 10 made free throws per contest. Despite facing a difficult schedule, Northwestern State has managed to force an average of 12 turnovers per game while Baylor has turned it over 10 or more times in six consecutive games heading into this one. Take the under (10*). |
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12-22-21 | Hofstra +6 v. Monmouth | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week. My selection is Hofstra plus the points over Monmouth at 7 pm et on Wednesday. The Monmouth Hawks are off to an incredible 12-0 ATS start this season but I think their run of perfection (ATS-wise at least) comes to an end on Wednesday. Hofstra is a quality squad that you just don't hear much about. The Pride have faced the 25th toughest schedule in the country (according to KenPom) but have managed to post a respectable 7-5 SU and 7-3 ATS (in lined games) overall record. They're limiting opponents to just 13 free throw attempts per game and a disciplined brand of defense will be key against a Monmouth squad that lives at the line, getting there 19 times per game this season. The Pride also turn the ball over three fewer times than the Hawks while forcing two additional turnovers per contest. Monmouth's offense has benefited from some sharp shooting from beyond the arc, particularly at home where it knocks down over 40% of its three-point attempts. Hofstra is capable of matching it in that regard, however, averaging 10 made threes per game. The Pride should offer the Hawks a bit of a change of pace here as they average 29 three-point attempts per game - five north of the 24 Monmouth has seen on average. These two teams met last December as well with Hofstra scoring 96 points in an eight-point road win (as a -1.5 favorite). Look for Speedy Claxton's squad to give red hot Monmouth a serious run on Wednesday night. Take Hofstra (10*). |
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12-20-21 | Oral Roberts -3 v. South Dakota | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oral Roberts minus the points over South Dakota at 8 pm et on Monday. We won with Oral Roberts in its last game and I won't hesitate to go back to the well again here. ORU should offer a 'shock to the system' of sorts as it averages 33 three-point attempts per game (making 13 of those on average) while South Dakota has faced just 22 threes per contest. USD has lived at the free throw line where it averages 22 attempts per game but now faces an ORU squad that has limited opponents to only 12 attempts from the charity stripe per contest. Also note that while ORU ranks in the 130's in terms of strength of schedule (according to KenPom), USD checks in north of 300th in that department. Off consecutive home wins, I look for South Dakota to fall short here. Take Oral Roberts (8*). |
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12-19-21 | Dartmouth +12 v. California | Top | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
CBB Non-Conference Underdog Game of the Year. My selection is on Darmouth plus the points over California at 4 pm et on Sunday. Dartmouth gave Stanford everything it could handle on Friday night before fading in overtime in an 11-point loss. The eventual lopsided nature of that game ends up providing us with some value here as the Big Green should bring plenty of confidence as a decided underdog at Cal on Sunday. Note that Dartmouth ranks 77th in the nation in terms of strength of schedule. Cal checks in 119th. Coming off consecutive blowout wins to open their four-game homestand it would be easy for the Bears to overlook the Big Green here. That would be a mistake as Dartmouth can hang thanks to its terrific outside shooting (10 made threes per game on 37.2% shooting from beyond the arc). The knock on the Big Green is their inability to get to the free throw line with much consistency (they average only 11 attempts per game). However, they do knock down nearly 75% of their free throw attempts and it's not as if Cal has been much better in that regard, averaging 15 trips to the charity stripe per contest. Cal also averages only five made threes per contest. Additionally, Dartmouth forces three more turnovers per game while the two teams are on par in terms of turnovers lost, averaging 12 each. While I'm not about to call for the outright upset, I do think Dartmouth can take this one down to the wire. Take Dartmouth (10*). |
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12-18-21 | Northern Colorado v. Washington State OVER 141 | 56-82 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Northern Colorado and Washington State at 4 pm et on Saturday. The 'over' has now cashed in six straight games involving Northern Colorado while Washington State has seen the 'under' cash in five of its last six contests. I expect the former to prevail on Saturday as the Bears and Cougars do battle in Pullman. Both defenses may be in for a bit of a 'shock to the system' in this one as the two offenses live beyond the three-point line where Northern Colorado averages 26 attempts per game (and makes 10 of them on average) and Washington State puts up 25 per contest (making nine on average). Note that Northern Colorado has faced an average of 19 three-point shots per game while Washington State checks in at 20. Both teams have been terrific at getting to the free throw line and knocking their shots down when they do, noting that Washington in particular averages 21 free throws per game, making good on better than 75% of them. Washington State checks in having averaged over 64 field goal attempts per game over its last three and I don't think Northern Colorado will shy away from running with the Cougars here. Note that the Bears have shot better than 44% from the field in six straight games. Despite attempting fewer than 60 shots in each of their last three games they still managed to score 78, 74 and 76 points. Take the over (10*). |
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12-17-21 | St. Mary's v. San Diego State UNDER 119 | 53-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Mary's and San Diego State at 10 pm et on Friday. Now that this total has bumped back up a couple of points, we'll step in with a play on the 'under'. Needless to say, both teams have trended to the 'under' so far this season. St. Mary's has allowed just four of 12 opponents to score 60+ points. San Diego State has held four of its last five opponents to 58 points or less. Neither team has been adept from beyond the three-point line with St. Mary's averaging seven made threes per game but only five per game away from home. San Diego State averages just five made three-pointers per contest. While San Diego State does get to the free throw line 20 times per game, they might struggle to approach that average here given St. Mary's has been one of the most disciplined defensive teams in the country, giving up just 13 free throw attempts per contest. When these two teams met last season they combined to score 123 points. That was a 74-49 rout in favor of San Diego State. In what should be a far more competitive affair this time around and I'm anticipating a low-scoring contest. Take the under (8*). |
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12-16-21 | Dartmouth v. Stanford UNDER 131.5 | 78-89 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dartmouth and Stanford at 10 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams enter this game trending strongly to the 'over' with Dartmouth's last four games going 'over' the total and Stanford's last three doing the same. I expect a different story to unfold on Thursday, however. Dartmouth has been heavily reliant on the three-ball, knocking down an average of 10 made threes per game this season. It would be reasonable to question where the scoring will come from on Thursday, however, as the Big Green face a Stanford squad that boasts a ton of length on the perimeter and won't give up many easy looks. As a team, Dartmouth has shot just 42.8% from the field against opponents that allow an average of 45.8% shooting this season. On a positive note for Dartmouth, it is sending opponents to the free throw line only 15 times per game and while it has allowed a disappointing nine made threes per contest, Stanford doesn't figure to abuse it on the perimeter, noting that the Cardinal are averaging only six made threes per contest. Stanford has played a very disciplined brand of defense, allowing just 13 free throw attempts per game and here will face a Big Green squad that gets to the line only 10 times per contest. In what doesn't figure to be an ultra-competitive game with a whole lot of late fouling, I'm comfortable calling for this one to stay 'under' the total. Take the under (9*). |
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12-16-21 | Jackson State v. Drake -15.5 | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Drake minus the points over Jackson State at 8 pm et on Thursday. Drake enters this game on an eight-game ATS losing streak and also off a 'real' loss, that coming by 10 points as a two-point underdog against Clemson on Saturday. Here, we're finally able to back the Bulldogs as a somewhat reasonably-priced favorites as their recent ATS struggles begin to factor into the line. Jackson State actually enters this game on a three-game ATS winning streak. There's no doubt it's been tough sledding for it to open the season having yet to play a home game. Note that two of its four lowest point outputs of the season have come in its last two contests. Jackson State has faced a tough schedule but it's still worth mentioning that it is getting to the free throw line only 11 times per game while sending opponents to the charity stripe a whopping 22 times per contest. Also note that it averages just six made three-pointers per game and turns the basketball over an average of 15 times. Drake obviously excels in all of those departments. The Bulldogs are getting to the free throw line seven more times on average, make an additional three made threes and turn the ball over four fewer times - all on a per game average. This is a chance for Drake to ramp up in its next two games against inferior opponents before wrapping up its pre-holiday slate with a tough game against St. Louis next week. Take Drake (10*). |
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12-16-21 | Texas-Arlington v. Oral Roberts -7.5 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oral Roberts minus the points over Texas-Arlington at 8 pm et on Thursday. Oral Roberts is coming off a disappointing loss at Missouri State to cap off a 1-2 road trip. It shouldn't come away all that discouraged, however, as it was only really expected to win one of those three games, and it did manage to go 2-1 ATS. I like the way ORU matches up against Texas-Arlington, which comes in riding its first winning streak of the season. Note that Texas-Arlington continues to struggle to find consistency at the offensive end of the floor, where it has been held to 45, 36 and 56 points on three occasions this season. It did manage to put up 71 points earlier in the campaign against a tough Abilene Christian squad but still lost by nine points despite shooting 47% from the field while its opponent shot 33%. A lack of defensive discipline has been a problem as Arlington sends opponents to the free throw line 21 times per game. It also turns the basketball over 17 times per game. Both are problem areas against an ORU squad that excels in both departments. ORU has allowed just 12 free throw attempts per contest and turns the ball over just 12 times per game. That's not to mention the fact that ORU has the potential to serve as a real 'shock to the system' for Arlington here as it hoists up a whopping 33 three-point attempts per game, knocking down 13 of them on average. Arlington averages only five made threes on 17 attempts per game this season. This one gets away from the Mavericks. Take Oral Roberts (9*). |
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12-15-21 | Middle Tennessee v. Ole Miss OVER 133.5 | 52-62 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Middle Tennessee State and Ole Miss at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. I love the way this one sets up as a relatively high-scoring affair between the Blue Raiders and Rebels on Wednesday night. Middle Tennessee State is off to a terrific 8-2 start to the season. It should represent a bit of a shock to the system for the Ole Miss defense, noting that the Blue Raiders hoist up 26 three-point attempts per game and get to the free throw line an impressive 22 times per contest - a stark contrast to the type of teams the Rebels have faced so far this season (they've faced just 19 three-point attempts per game with opponents getting to the charity stripe 18 times per contest). The Rebels will certainly look to come out aggressive on offense after being held to a woeful 48 points in a blowout loss to underdog Western Kentucky on Saturday (we won with the Hilltoppers in that game). Perhaps Saturday's poor offensive performance could be considered an aberration as the Rebels were playing for the first time in a week. Note that they average 78 points per game on just shy of 45% shooting at home this season. In three previous road games, the Blue Raiders have given up nine made three-pointers per game while sending opponents to the free throw line a whopping 25 times per contest. Take the over (10*). |
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12-15-21 | Chattanooga v. Belmont UNDER 141 | 68-76 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chattanooga and Belmont at 6 pm et on Wednesday. This has the potential to be one of Wednesday's best games on the college hoops board and I'm confident we'll see it say 'under' the inflated total. Chattanooga hasn't faced the toughest schedule but it has taken care of business nonetheless, going 9-1 so far. The Mocs are doing an excellent job of holding down opposing offenses, limiting them to just 13 free throw attempts and six made three-pointers per game. They've also been able to run their offense more often than not, turning the basketball over just 10 times per contest. That's all while limiting opponents to just north of 38% shooting. Belmont is of course an elite team we'll likely be seeing plenty of come March. The Bruins have limited opponents to just 14 free throw attempts and have been a defensive force at home where they've held the opposition to 40.5% shooting and forced a whopping 19 turnovers per game. The 'under' has cashed in six of Belmont's last seven games overall and I see that trend continuing here. Take the under (8*). |
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12-14-21 | Monmouth v. Yale +1.5 | 69-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Yale plus the points over Monmouth at 7 pm et on Tuesday. The Monmouth Hawks are playing excellent basketball right now - in fact, they're a perfect 10-0 ATS this season. I think they're in for a tough matchup on Tuesday night against Yale, however. Note that the Hawks will be playing their second game in the last three days - a situation they've gone 1-8 ATS in the last nine times it has come up, outscored by 9.5 points on average. Yale is coming off a 14-point loss to Iona, which is notable as it hasn't dropped consecutive games since dropping back-to-back contests against Vermont and Southern Utah (both away from home) back in mid-November. The Hawks and Bulldogs have similar strength of schedules so far this season so it's worth noting that Yale has sent opponents to the free throw line three fewer times per game while also turning the ball over two fewer times and forcing three more turnovers per contest. Both teams like to play up-tempo but I think that favors Yale here at home, where it shoots just shy of 47% as a team and averages nine made threes per game. Take Yale (10*). |
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12-13-21 | Rhode Island v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 131.5 | Top | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
CBB Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Rhode Island and Wisconsin-Milwaukee at 8 pm et on Monday. We won with Wisconsin-Milwaukee in its most recent game as it stayed inside the double-digit pointspread on the road against Pac-12 squad Colorado. Here, I'll call for another relatively low-scoring affair (that loss to Colorado totalled just 119 points) as the Panthers host Rhode Island on Monday. The Rams have seen the 'under' cash in three consecutive games. Interestingly, the Rams are attempting only 15 three-pointers per game and I don't anticipate shifting course here on Monday. What they have done is do an excellent job of getting to the free throw line, doing so 20 times per game. Here, though, they'll face a Wisconsin-Milwaukee squad that has done a good job of limiting opponents' attempts from the charity stripe, giving up just 15 per game. That's not to mention the fact that the Panthers are allowing opponents to shoot just 39.2% from the field. They haven't guarded the perimeter particularly well, but again they'll be facing a Rams squad that tends to operate lower in the half court. I don't anticipate either team looking to push the pace too much in this one, instead look for both sides to look to run their offense, ultimately eating clock and helping the final score stay 'under' the total. Take the under (10*). |
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12-12-21 | Monmouth v. Pittsburgh +1 | 56-52 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh plus the points over Monmouth at 7 pm et on Sunday. The Panthers have been playing much better basketball lately and snapped their four-game losing streak with a 71-68 win over Colgate in the first game of the Gotham Classic on Thursday. Keep in mind, their four-game skid included narrow one-point losses against Minnesota and Virginia (on the road). Here, we'll note that Pitt is sending opponents to the free throw line just 14 times per game compared to Monmouth's 21. The Panthers also represent a much different challenge than Monmouth is used to facing as they generally focus on scoring down low rather than from beyond the arc, where most of the Hawks opponents have lived, noting that they've faced 25 three-point attempts per game. Pitt attempts just 15 threes per contest. Monmouth checks in undefeated ATS on the season at a perfect 9-0. Off just its second straight-up loss of the campaign I look for it to have a tough time regaining its footing against Pitt on Sunday. Take Pittsburgh (8*). |
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12-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. Baylor | 36-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Villanova plus the points over Baylor at 3 pm et on Sunday. Could we be seeing a potential National Title Game preview on Sunday afternoon? I'll go with the Wildcats in this spot as they aim to hand Baylor its first loss of the season. Villanova checks in 7-2 on the campaign with its two losses coming by nine points against UCLA and six points against Purdue - two other national title contenders. The Wildcats could offer a bit of a shock to the system for the Bears here, noting that 'Nova averages a whopping 30 three-point attempts per game (making 12 of those on average) while Baylor has only faced an average of 19 attempts per game from three-point range. Note also that the Wildcats are sending opponents to the free throw line only 13 times per game this season and turning the ball over an average of just nine times. By contrast, the Bears turn it over 12 times per game and send opponents to the line 14 times. Simply put, I don't believe there's a lot separating these two teams at this stage of the season and we're being given a couple of buckets to work with. Take Villanova (10*). |
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12-12-21 | NC State +14 v. Purdue | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on N.C. State plus the points over Purdue at 2 pm et on Sunday. Purdue snagged the number-one ranking in the country and then proceeded to drop a 70-68 decision against Rutgers earlier this week. While the Boilermakers should bounce back with a win here, I question whether they can do so by margin. N.C. State checks in just 1-8 ATS on the campaign but 7-2 straight-up. It's worth noting that the Wolfpack's two losses have come by just six points against Oklahoma State and five points against Louisville - certainly two quality opponents. I like the fact that N.C. State is turning the basketball over just 10 times per game compared to Purdue's 13. The Wolfpack are getting to the free throw line an impressive 25 times per game while sending opponents to the charity stripe only 16 times on average. The Boilers are certainly the more talented team and as I said they should get the win, but they're simply being asked to lay too many points in my opinion. Take N.C. State (8*). |
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12-11-21 | Houston +2.5 v. Alabama | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston plus the points over Alabama at 10 pm et on Saturday. This shapes up as the game of the night as the 14th-ranked Cougars travel to face the 9th-ranked Crimson Tide. We've seen the line flip from Houston being favored to now Alabama laying a bucket. Each team has one loss this season with Houston falling by two points on the road against a tough Wisconsin squad and Alabama dropping a 72-68 decision against Iona. Houston comes off an ATS loss last time out - a game it still won by 32 points over Alcorn State. Following the Cougars two previous ATS defeats this season they've posted wins by 33 points over Rice and 29 points over Oregon. The Crimson Tide already have a big statement win to their credit this season having defeated Gonzaga by nine points in their last game last weekend. Houston is sending opponents to the free throw line just 15 times per game this season and also turning the ball over just 11 times on average. By contrast, Alabama is allowing 20 free throws per contest and turning it over an average of 14 times. I'll grab the points with the underdog Cougars. Take Houston (10*). |
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12-11-21 | Western Kentucky +6 v. Ole Miss | 71-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Western Kentucky plus the points over Ole Miss at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. We've had to wait a full week, but we finally have an opportunity to fade Ole Miss off last Saturday's gift-wrapped win over Memphis. The Rebels won that game over the Tigers outright as an underdog as Memphis simply couldn't knock down its three-pointers (2-for-11) or free throw attempts (23-for-37) in an embarrassing performance. That was really Ole Miss' only truly impressive win this season and the jury is still out as to how impressive it actually was given the sloppiness of the Tigers in that game. Western Kentucky checks in sporting a less than impressive 5-4 overall record but it has faced a very tough schedule, including three straight November road games against Minnesota, South Carolina and aforementioned Memphis (when the Tigers were playing much better). The Hilltoppers are absolutely a contender in C-USA again this season and we could certainly seem them playing meaningful games in March. These two teams haven't met since back in 2014 when Western Kentucky stunned Ole Miss by an 81-74 score. Another 'upset' could be in the cards here. Take Western Kentucky (10*). |
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12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 136.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Wisconsin and Ohio State at 12 noon et on Saturday. We should be in for an old-fashioned Big 10 slugfest as the Badgers and Buckeyes do battle in early action on Saturday. Wisconsin has gone back to its roots, playing exceptional defensive basketball while limiting its opponents possessions severely. Employing that style should give the Badgers their best shot at staging an upset win over Ohio State on Saturday as well. We did see Wisconsin get involved in a relatively high-scoring affair against Marquette just two games back. It was right back to business last time out, however, in a hard-fought 64-59 win over Indiana. Note that the most recent matchup between these two teams produced 'only' 136 points last January. Ohio State is coming off a high-scoring 85-74 win over Towson. The Buckeyes still check in ranked 255th in the nation in points per game - that's despite sitting top-30 in the country in field goal percentage. By contrast, the Badgers sit north of 300th in both points per game and field goal percentage. Take the under (9*). |
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12-10-21 | Wisc-Milwaukee +13 v. Colorado | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wisconsin-Milwaukee plus the points over Colorado at 9:30 pm et on Friday. Simply put, I'm not buying what Colorado is selling. The Buffaloes have just two ATS wins in 10 games this season. One of those came against a second-division opponent in Maine. The other came by a single point as a double-digit underdog against UCLA. Milwaukee has been largely disappointing to this point, only managing to post two victories. One of those came in its most recent contest against Robert Morris, however. The Panthers have shot better than 47% in consecutive games and I look for them to build off of those performances here. Colorado really isn't doing anything special to this point, making just four three-pointers per game on average while recording only 11 assists per game compared to 12 turnovers. I simply feel this is a good time to buy-low with Milwaukee, noting that three of its six losses this season have come by six points or less. Take Wisconsin-Milwaukee (10*). |
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12-10-21 | DePaul +9 v. Louisville | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Depaul plus the points over Louisville at 8 pm et on Friday. The Blue Demons are getting very little respect in this one as they check in as nearly double-digit underdogs against Louisville. Depaul has lost just one game and that came by just four points against a Loyola-Chicago squad that will likely be dancing come March. The Blue Demons have held the opposition to just north of 40% this season and they've been extremely disciplined in doing so, limiting opponents to only 14 free throw attempts per game. They're also shooting an impressive 49.2% as a team, having faced opponents that yield just 44.6% shooting on average. Louisville is off to a fine 6-2 start to the season but has only managed to go 4-4 ATS. The Cardinals have relied heavily on their defense to secure victories as they check in shooting just north of 42% as a team and 30.6% from three-point range. They're turning the ball over 15 times on average compared to Depaul's 12. Here, we'll note that Depaul is 33-18 ATS the last 51 times it has come off a double-digit home win, outscored by an average of just 2.6 points in that situation. Take Depaul (8*). |
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12-09-21 | Monmouth v. St. John's -8 | 83-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. John's minus the points over Monmouth at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. Credit Monmouth for going a perfect 8-0 ATS to open the season but I think that streak ends here. St. John's comes in off five consecutive ATS losses but keep in mind it was favored by 16 points or more in four of those games and the other came against mighty Kansas. Here, we're being offered a much more favorable line to back the Red Storm and I expect them to deliver a double-digit win. This is a bit of a case of 'anything you can do I can do better'. St. John's is averaging nearly twice as many assists per game, steals per game and forced turnovers per contest. Checking in a perfect 6-0 on their home floor while outscoring opponents by right around 20 points per game, I question whether Monmouth can keep pace in this one. The Hawks are coming off a 14-point win over Canisius but that was a game in which the Griffins were missing arguably their best player in Malek Green. No such luck for the Hawks here as they run into a St. John's squad that will be eager to get rolling in their first game at the 'Gotham Classic'. Take St. John's (10*). |
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12-08-21 | Drake -20 v. Nebraska-Omaha | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week. My selection is on Drake minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha at 9 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams enter Wednesday's game on extended ATS losing streaks but I certainly feel that Drake is in better position to end its skid in this spot. The Bulldogs couldn't have played much better in their last two games but the opposition ended up shooting well and keeping them from ATS victories (they did win both of those games straight-up). In those two contests, Drake committed just 16 turnovers and shot 45.7% from the field. By contrast, Omaha has turned the ball over a whopping 31 times over its last two contests. It did manage to shoot better than 47% from the field last time out but that was against a 'defense-optional' Eastern Washington squad. Omaha remains one of the worst offensive teams in the country, averaging just 59.1 points per game on 36.5% shooting this season. Drake has a chance to be the class of an ultra-competitive Missouri Valley Conference this season with five returning starters. Don't be fooled by the Bulldogs modest 5-3 record as their three losses came against potential NCAA Tournament teams in Belmont, Alabama and North Texas. Take Drake (10*). |
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12-08-21 | Canisius v. Northern Kentucky -6.5 | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Kentucky minus the points over Canisius at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Northern Kentucky has just one win in six games this season but that's largely due to a sneaky-tough schedule. Sure, considering they've been favored in four of their first six contests, the Norse would have liked to have earned more than a single victory. That should only fuel their fire as they host a beatable Canisius squad that may or may not be without its super sixth-man Malek Green after he missed Sunday's game due to a sore ankle. The Golden Griffins are also off to a disappointing start. Their only two victories this season have come against Fredonia State and Coppin State, with the latter victory coming by just a single point as 10-point favorites. Canisius' game is largely built on spotting up from three and knocking those shots down. Unfortunately they just haven't been falling so far this season (31.6% from three-point range) and they don't figure to right the ship here with Northern Kentucky holding the opposition to just 32.5% three-point shooting on the season. This looks like an excellent 'get right' spot for the Norse offense against a Canisius defense that has allowed opponents to shoot better than 48% from the field this season. Take Northern Kentucky (8*). |
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12-06-21 | Mercer v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 139.5 | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Mercer and Coastal Carolina at 7 pm et on Monday. Mercer enters this game off three consecutive wins, scoring 88, 73 and 83 points in the process but I expect the Bears to have some difficulty scoring against a stout Coastal Carolina zone defense on Monday night. The Chanticleers have held their last two opponents to 41-for-124 shooting and have yet to allow an opponent shoot better than 43.7% from the floor this season. Mercer isn't a team that plays exceptionally fast. For the Bears to stay competitive in this game they'll need to get back defensively in transition and force Coastal Carolina to operate its offense in the halfcourt. The Chanticleers are coming off two of their three highest-scoring performances of the season over their last two games. Those efforts came in a game against South Carolina where the Gamecocks essentially folded the tent in the second half and a contest against Winthrop that saw a closing total north of 150 points. Take the under (8*). |
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12-05-21 | Western Illinois v. Central Michigan +5.5 | 97-70 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Central Michigan plus the points over Western Illinois at 2 pm et on Sunday. This situation sets up well for the 1-6 Chippewas as they finally get a chance to catch their breath after facing a ridiculously tough schedule to open the campaign. The Chips shot a miserable 31% from the field in a 33-point rout at the hands of Xavier on December 1st. Their schedule has included games against Missouri, Depaul, Gonzaga, Kentucky and aforementioned Xavier. They've been favored in just one game so far this season and that was their lone victory against Eastern Illinois. Western Illinois is off to a 7-2 start and shot a blistering 52% from the field in a 17-point rout of Tennessee-Martin yesterday. Keep in mind, it was favored by double-digits in that contest. Off three straight victories and in this back-to-back spot, I think Western Illinois would simply be happy to earn a victory here - winning by margin should prove difficult. Note that CMU won by six, pushing the closing line of -6 in a road win over Western Illinois last season. We're talking about a considerable pointspread swing here due to the Chips lack of returning talent. I believe that swing will prove too steep. Take Central Michigan (8*). |
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12-04-21 | Iowa State v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 64-58 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Creighton minus the points over Iowa State at 9 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this one sets up for Creighton as it hosts undefeated Iowa State on Saturday night. We actually won with the Cyclones in their outright upset win over Xavier in last week's NIT Tip-off Tournament in Brooklyn. They're off to an impressive 7-0 start that also includes a victory over a team that entered the season with National Title aspirations in Memphis. Still, I expect the Blue Jays to prove to be too much for the Cyclones on this night. Creighton has just one loss on the season and while it checks in with a poor 3-5 ATS record it was asked to lay more points than it is here tonight in four of those five previous ATS defeats. The Blue Jays do come in with some positive momentum after laying waste to a quality North Dakota State team last time out, winning by 25 points as eight-point favorites. While Creighton is known for its offense, it has put on a defensive clinic here at home this season, holding opponents to just 60.2 points per game on 35.3% shooting. Here, we'll note that Creighton is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six games after giving up 60 or less points, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 20.5 points. Take Creighton (10*). |
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12-04-21 | Memphis -1 v. Ole Miss | 63-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis minus the points over Ole Miss at 12 noon et on Saturday. We'll take a flyer on Penny Hardaway's Memphis Tigers as they try to bounce back from consecutive losses on Saturday. That mini-slump started with a stunning blowout loss against upstart Iowa State in the Championship Game of the NIT Tip-off Tournament in Brooklyn last week. The Tigers followed that up with a narrow three-point setback at Georgia. Here, they'll be looking to come away with something positive from this two-game SEC road trip. Ole Miss, on the other hand, is 'fat and happy' off consecutive double-digit wins albeit against vastly inferior opponents. In fact, this is the first time the Rebels will be in an underdog role this season so there is some reason to pump the brakes on their solid 5-2 record. Take Memphis (7*). |
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12-03-21 | Fairfield v. Canisius OVER 141.5 | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
MAAC Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Fairfield and Canisius at 7 pm et on Friday. We've made just one play involving either of these teams this season and it was on the 'under' in Fairfield's 83-78 win over Stony Brook last week. In case you were wondering, we weren't close on that play as the final score eclipsed the total by 17 points. I won't make the same mistake again here. Fairfield's offense wasn't good last season but with virtually the entire squad returning there was plenty of potential entering the 2021-22 campaign. So far so good, as the Stags have scored 70+ points in five of six games and check in shooting 47.5% from the field and 37.6% from three-point range. They don't figure to face much resistance against Canisius as the Golden Griffins have allowed the opposition to shoot just shy of 47% from the field and may face a bit of a system shock here as the Stags average seven more three-point attempts than what they've faced so far this season. The fact that Canisius managed to score 75 points despite shooting sub 38% from the field against Cornell last time out is telling. The Griffins are playing at a fast pace, hoisting up a whopping 65 field goal attempts per game including 32 from three-point range. There's reason to believe they can go off offensively in this one against a Fairfield squad that has allowed anyone with a pulse to shoot 50% or better this season. This has the makings of a big game for super sixth-man Malek Green of Canisius. He's still working his way back to 100% health after foot surgery last season. He's averaging 16.6 points per game in just over 24 minutes per game this season and with the Griffins having not played since Sunday should see plenty of action in this one. Key cog Armon Harried shot a miserable 1-for-10 from the field against Cornell but should bounce back here. He's just one game removed from a 22-point effort against Coppin State. Virtually all trends point to an 'under' result here but I'm confident enough that both teams have made enough progression offensively that we could be in for a track meet on Friday night. With both projected to finish in the bottom half of the MAAC standings they can certainly use all the wins they can get - make no mistake, this is an important conference opener for both teams. I expect both to come in with an aggressive mentality, knowing they'll likely need to put up 70+ points to prevail. While the last meeting between these teams totaled only 119 points, it featured just seven made three-pointers. The two teams are combining to average 20 made threes per game this season. Take the over (10*). |
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12-02-21 | Valparaiso v. Drake -12.5 | 66-73 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Drake minus the points over Valparaiso at 9 pm et on Thursday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Drake Bulldogs on Thursday night as they look to put a three-game losing streak behind them and lay waste to an overmatched Valpo squad. We actually won with Valpo last week as it staged an outright upset of Jacksonville State. Since then, the Beacons have gone 2-1 but will be taking a big step up in class in their Missouri Valley Conference opener against Drake on Thursday. The Bulldogs, along with Loyola-Chicago, can be considered the class of the MVC. It's a competitive conference to be sure, as we noted in last night's play on Evansville over Southern Illinois. However, it is a little top-heavy. Yes, the Bulldogs enter this game on a three-game slide, but those three losses came against very capable opponents in Belmont, Alabama and North Texas and all three games were close. Prior to that stretch, Drake had opened the season with three straight wins including a 99-50 dismantling of South Dakota. While I do think we've seen the best we're going to get from Valpo (in that comeback win over Jacksonville State), I don't believe the same can be said for Drake. This is certainly a game that it has had circled since that loss to North Texas last weekend and I look for the Bulldogs to roll, noting that they've gone 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite, outscoring opponents by a whopping average margin of 23.9 points. Meanwhile, Valpo is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 80+ points in its last contest, as is the case here. Take Drake (10*). |
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12-01-21 | South Carolina v. Coastal Carolina +6.5 | Top | 56-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week. My selection is on Coastal Carolina plus the points over South Carolina at 7 pm et on Wednesday. While the Coastal Carolina football program has been making most of the noise going back to last season, the basketball team can play as well. The Chanticleers check in just 2-2 on the season but I expect them to give South Carolina a run on Wednesday night. The Gamecocks have reeled off four straight wins, going 3-1 ATS in the process. It's worth noting though that they're turning the ball over 17 times a game compared to Coastal Carolina's average of only 10. Riding a winning streak and with a big showdown against Georgetown on deck, it would be easy for the relatively inexperienced to overlook the Chanticleers here. Note that South Carolina has been outscored by an average margin of 3.3 points in its last 15 games when coming off a win and has also been outscored by 3.0 points on average in its last 21 lined road contests. Take Coastal Carolina (10*). |
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11-26-21 | Oklahoma State v. Oral Roberts OVER 148 | Top | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma State and Oral Roberts at 4 pm et on Friday. You might be hard-pressed to find a worse defensive team than Oral Roberts at this given moment in time. In two games against Division-I opponents, it ranks 343rd in the country in opponents floor percentage. Outside of that it has faced a laundry list of no-name schools to put it mildly. Now it has to contend with a red hot Oklahoma State squad that has hung 80+ points on it in each of the last two meetings over the last two years and checks in off a 96-point effort against Charleston. Oral Roberts knows it is going to have to light up the scoreboard in order to keep pace in this one, and I think it can. Note that the Cowboys opponents have averaged just 20 three-point attempts per game so far this season. Oral Roberts averages 34. In its last two matchups against Oklahoma State, ORU hoisted up 32 and 33 three-point attempts, scoring 75 and 78 points in those two contests. The 75-point effort came despite shooting a woeful 33.8% overall and 21.9% from beyond the arc in the 2019 matchup. The Cowboys ride into this game on a three-game 'over' streak and I think it continues for at least one more game. Take the over (10*). |
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11-25-21 | Maryland v. Richmond +1.5 | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Richmond plus the points over Maryland at 7 pm et on Thursday. Maryland got the bounce-back win it was looking for last time out but still didn't look overly impressive in a narrow two-point victory over Hofstra. While the Terps check in 4-1 SU on the campaign, they're just 1-4 ATS. Here, they'll face a Richmond squad that has been a little uneven in the early going but did deliver a 13-point win over aforementioned Hofstra last time out. The Spiders are shooting 48.3% against opponents that yield just 41.3% so far this season. Their three-point shooting has been terrific in the early going, knocking down their shots from long range at a 41% clip. By contrast, the Terps are shooting a miserable 25.4% from three-point range. Look for Richmond to stage the minor 'upset' here. Take Richmond (5*). |
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11-25-21 | UC San Diego -1 v. Southern Miss | 55-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cal-San Diego minus the points over Southern Miss at 7 pm et on Thursday. Southern Miss is coming off a double-digit win while Cal-San Diego suffered a double-digit loss in the two teams' respective tournament openers. Neither result was all that unexpected. Nor will the result be here as I believe the correct team is favored in this matchup. Cal-San Diego is off to a terrific 4-1 start. In its first year of Division-I basketball it struggled last season but that had a lot to do with a top-heavy Big West schedule. Here, in year two I look for UCSD to enjoy a lot more success, as we've already seen in the early going. While Southern Miss has scored 80+ points in consecutive games, that's had more to do with the level of opposition it has faced than anything else. I see this as a bad matchup for the Golden Eagles as they generally like to force opponents to shoot from the outside, an area where UCSD is highly-proficient, having knocked down just shy of 45% of its three-point attempts this season entering yesterday's action. Also note that UCSD has been better not only at getting to the free throw line, but making good on its attempts (76% entering yesterday's game compared to 69% for Southern Miss). The Golden Eagles are projected to finish near the bottom of C-USA this season while I believe UCSD is capable of making some noise and at the very least making life difficult on the top-flight teams in the Big West. This is a good measuring stick game for UCSD, especially off the 10-point loss to Montana and I look for it to come up with a victory. Take Cal-San Diego (8*). |
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11-25-21 | Alabama v. Iona OVER 148 | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Alabama and Iona at 5 pm et on Thursday. When these two teams met in last March's NCAA Tournament we saw a much lower-scoring game than expected with Alabama essentially holding Iona down for 40 minutes in a 68-55 rout. Here, I'm anticipating a more spirited affair. Note that Iona got to the free throw line only five times in that previous matchup. The Gaels are getting to the line an average of 29 times per game in the early going this season. While the Gaels have yet to really get rolling offensively this season, I do think Alabama's up-tempo style will assist them in padding their offensive stats in this one. Note that the Crimson Tide are shooting a terrific 46.7% against opponents that allow just 40.6% this season. They've scored at least 86 points in three of four games so far. That low-scoring result in the 2021 NCAA Tournament is helping keep this total in check as I fully expected to see it open in the low-150's. Take the over (8*). |
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11-25-21 | Auburn v. Loyola-Chicago +2.5 | Top | 62-53 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Loyola-Chicago plus the points over Auburn at 2:30 pm et on Thursday. The Ramblers fell just short on a bucket in the final seconds against favored Michigan State yesterday afternoon (but did manage the narrow cover). They'll certainly want to come away from this tournament with something and I like their chances of picking up a win against Auburn, which is fresh off an emotionally and physically draining overtime loss at the hands of UConn yesterday afternoon. Credit Loyola-Chicago to sticking to its guns and turning yesterday's game against Michigan State into somewhat of a slugfest. The Ramblers fell behind 9-0 right out of the gate in that one but quickly rallied and ultimately took the Spartans right down to the wire. That's what we want to see from a mid-major in an early statement game against a top level opponent. The case can certainly be made that Michigan State is by no means a national title contender (not at this point anyway) but it was a test nonetheless - one that Loyola-Chicago passed as far as I'm concerned. Now comes and excellent chance for the Ramblers to bounce right back and pick up a victory that would certainly look good on their resume come March. Auburn certainly entered this tournament with its eyes on a championship and is obviously disappointed to be playing in the third-place game on Thursday. I feel the Tigers are a little overrated at this point, carrying a number-19 ranking into this tournament despite having not really faced anyone of true substance. I don't think they're going to like the type of game that the Ramblers will undoubtedly present them with here. Take Loyola-Chicago (10*). |
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11-25-21 | South Alabama v. San Diego -2 | 68-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego minus the points over South Alabama at 1:30 pm et on Thursday. We won with South Alabama last week but that was as a big underdog against Alabama. Here, the Jaguars are only catching a couple of points against San Diego and I believe the line will prove to be too short. Since consecutive narrow losses (and covers) against Wichita State and Alabama we've seen South Alabama take its frustrations out on the likes of Mobile and William Carey. While South Alabama has a couple of high-profile losses on its resume, San Diego has faced the tougher overall schedule, including games against Nevada, Cal and Cal-Riverside. It has managed to go 3-2 so far but checks in off a tough two-point loss to Cal-State Fullerton (as a 6.5-point favorite). The Toreros have proven to be an excellent three-point and free throw shooting team in the early going this season and I suspect that will be the difference against a South Alabama squad that has padded its stats on both ends of the floor against weaker competition. Take San Diego (8*). |
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11-24-21 | Sam Houston State v. SMU -14 | 66-75 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on SMU minus the points over Sam Houston State at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Tough spot for Sam Houston State here as it faces a SMU squad that will be in a foul mood after suffering back-to-back upset losses against Missouri and Loyola-Marymount. Keep in mind, Sam Houston State already has 22 and 13-point losses against Missouri State and Boston University respectively on its resume this season. While it has managed to post a 2-3 record, one of those victories came against little-known Letourneau. SMU opened the season with three wins in its first four games with the lone defeat coming at the hands of a quality Oregon squad, on the road no less. Off an 0-2 tournament showing, the Mustangs will be happy to be back home where they're a perfect 3-0 with all three victories coming by at least 17 points this season. Sam Houston State has yet to shoot better than 42.7% in a game this season and will have a miserable time trying to keep up on Wednesday night. Take SMU (9*). |
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11-24-21 | Stony Brook v. Fairfield UNDER 134.5 | 78-83 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Stony Brook and Fairfield at 2 pm et on Wednesday. These two teams met right around a year ago with that game reaching 141 points to topple the closing total of 131.5. We're dealing with a higher posted total in this rematch but I'm not sure the move is warranted. There was nothing exceptional that either team did in last year's matchup. In fact, both teams shot around 40% from the field, they combined to knock down only nine three-point attempts and missed a whopping 23 free throws. That game saw just 55 first half points. Only a late scoring flurry, aided by free throws, ended up pushing the game 'over' the total. I like the way this sets up as a bounce-back spot for Stony Brook defensively. It has allowed all three opponents to shoot 50% or better this season but keep in mind, two of its three games came against quality foes in George Mason and Kansas, both on the road no less. Fairfield has shot 42.9% or worse in three of four games this season with the other coming against little-known Medgar Evers. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 35-22 in Stony Brook's last 57 lined contests and 40-21 in Fairfield's last 61. Take the under (8*). |
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11-24-21 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan State UNDER 138.5 | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Loyola-Chicago and Michigan State at 12 noon et on Wednesday. We'll go the contrarian route here and back the 'under' as the Ramblers enter this game sporting a 4-0 o/u record so far this season. Of course, Loyola-Chicago is known for its methodical pace and tough defense. Early on this season, however, the Ramblers have shot the lights out, knocking down better than 52% of their field goal attempts in all four games. The level of competition they've faced has had a lot to do with that as they've been favored by 18 points or more in all four games so far. Needless to say, they'll face their toughest test of the young season against the Spartans on Wednesday. Michigan State has held its last three opponents to a ridiculous 57-for-185 (30.8%) shooting. Like the Ramblers, the Spartans have also been lighting it up offensively. In their toughest previous test, they were held to a season-low 73 points against an undermanned Butler squad, however. With Loyola-Chicago looking to tighten things up off its worst defensive effort of the season (relatively speaking), I wouldn't anticipate Sparty running away and hiding in this one. Expect a tightly-contested, relatively low-scoring affair. Take the under (10*). |
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11-23-21 | Illinois -10.5 v. Kansas State | 72-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Illinois minus the points over Kansas State at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I like this as a 'get right' spot for the Illini after dropping back-to-back games as sizeable favorites. Unlike their last two games, which came against the likes of Marquette and Cincinnati, I believe the Illini will be able to overwhelm a Kansas State squad that possesses a rather limited offense on Tuesday night. Kansas State is off to a 2-1 start to the season but has yet to post an ATS victory. The Wildcats have succeeded thanks to facing opponents that boasted subpar offenses themselves. This will certainly be KSU's toughest matchup to date against an Illini team that shot a ridiculously low 28% from the field in Monday's rout at the hands of Cincinnati. One thing that has stayed true for the Illini through four games has been their stout defensive play. Opponents that average 42.4% shooting on the season are shooting just 37.4% against them. Look for the Wildcats to fall behind early and struggle to find a way back in the game, noting that the Illini have gone 16-6 ATS the last 22 times they've come off a game in which they shot 33% or worse from the field, as is the case here. Take Illinois (10*). |
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11-22-21 | Valparaiso +7 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Tournament Game of the Month. My selection is on Valparaiso plus the points over Jacksonville State at 8 pm et on Monday (game was delayed due to leak in the roof). Valpo is still looking for its first victory as the Beacons (formerly the Crusaders). I think it has a shot at getting it on Monday, however. Off a narrow missed cover as a road underdog against Stanford, here we'll note that Valpo has gone an incredible 43-15 ATS in its last 58 games when coming off a double-digit road loss. The Beacons are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games after allowing 60 points or less going back over the last 2+ seasons. Considering the Beacons don't have a lot of returning talent I see it as a positive that they've shot better than 41% from the field in each of their first three games this season. Jacksonville State is off to a 1-2 start with two of its three games decided by four points or less. Note that it is shooting just 67% from the free throw line and has benefited from facing three opponents that have been ice cold from the field (yes, JSU's defense has contributed to that but still). Note that JSU has been outscored by an average margin of 1.3 points after losing two of its last three games dealing with a 123-game sample size. Take Valparaiso (10*). |
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11-18-21 | UAB -2.5 v. South Carolina | 63-66 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on UAB minus the points over South Carolina at 7 pm et on Thursday. UAB is a team that's flying under the radar but boasts a ton of upside in head coach Andy Kennedy's second season at the helm. The Blazers have gotten off to a perfect 3-0 start, laying waste to the likes of UNC-Asheville, Morehead State and little known Rhodes College. I think they'll welcome the opportunity for this measuring stick game against an SEC foe - even if it is a lower-tier squad from the conference in South Carolina. The Blazers were always going to be a tough defensive team, applying intense pressure on the opposition and we've certainly seen that in the early going as they've forced an incredible 67 turnovers through three games. It's the UAB offense that was the biggest question mark heading into the season after a tough campaign in that regard. Well, early returns are positive as the Blazers have put up 102, 85 and 98 points, shooting better than 48% from the field in all three contests. While they are taking a step up in class here, I think the Blazers will be up for it. South Carolina underwent a tear-down of sort in the offseason, looking to put an awful Covid-tinged 2020-21 campaign behind it. The Gamecocks should be better this season but how much better remains to be seen. They're off to a 2-1 start with the loss coming as a six-point favorite against Princeton. The South Carolina offense has a lot of new pieces to work in, and so far we're seeing some growing pains. Note that the Gamecocks turned the ball over a whopping 24 times last time out against Western Kentucky. If they're careless with the basketball again in this one, the Blazers will make them pay. Take UAB (10*). |
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11-17-21 | UC-Davis +2 v. Pepperdine | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cal-Davis plus the points over Pepperdine at 10 pm et on Wednesday. If you've followed my plays this season you know that I'm high on Cal-Davis. We backed it in last week's eventual eight-point victory over Eastern Washington that wasn't nearly as close as the final score indicated. Some won while some didn't on that game thanks to some considerable line movement over the course of the day. Here, I believe the Aggies are well-positioned to stage the 'upset' against Pepperdine. The Waves are one of the more overrated teams in college basketball as far as I'm concerned. They've gone 1-2 ATS through three games with their lone victory coming against an offensively-challenged Idaho State squad. The Waves aren't shooting the ball well, nor are they defending well - not overly surprising given their lack of returning talent. Off a disheartening double-digit overtime loss against Utah Valley State, I'm not convinced we see Pepperdine pick itself up off the mat here. Take Cal-Davis (8*). |
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11-17-21 | Northern Colorado v. Texas -20.5 | 49-62 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas minus the points over Northern Colorado at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. I think Northern Colorado, while boasting plenty of talent - particularly at the offensive end of the floor - is quite simply in the wrong place at the wrong time on Wednesday night. Texas is coming off a tough 12-point loss against arguably the best team in the country in Gonzaga. That comes on the heels of a win and cover as a whopping 37.5-point favorite in the Longhorns season-opener against Houston Baptist. I'm confident we'll see the 'Horns get right back on track here as the Bears up-tempo style should play right into their hands. Northern Colorado simply doesn't have the same level of talent and athleticism that Texas boasts up and down its lineup. When these two teams last faced each other two years ago we saw Texas roll to a 24-point victory as a 16.5-point favorite. I'm not convinced the gap between the two programs has narrowed at all since, keeping in mind Northern Colorado already has a loss against the likes of Hawaii-Hilo under its belt this season. Texas takes full advantage of this 'get right' spot at home. Take Texas (8*). |
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11-17-21 | Tulane v. Florida State -18 | 54-59 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida State minus the points over Tulane at 8 pm et on Wednesday. I love the way this spot sets up for the Seminoles as they come off a disappointing blowout loss against rival Florida on Sunday. Tulane just doesn't have the size or talent to keep pace with Florida State here. Keep in mind, the 'Noles opened the season by scoring 105 points in a 35-point rout of Penn. They simply had an off day shooting the basketball on Sunday. The good news is, their defense did hold up for a second straight game - they've now held both opponents to sub-39% shooting this season. The Green Wave are not surprisingly off to a wildly inconsistent start, only managing to split their first two games, both at home, as considerable favorites against Southeast Louisiana and Southern. The fact that they only managed to put up 70 points in both of those contests doesn't bode well as they take a big step up in class here on Tuesday. Take Florida State (8*). |
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11-16-21 | Tarleton St v. Wichita State -12.5 | 51-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wichita State minus the points over Tarleton State at 8 pm et on Tuesday. Tarleton State has been given a lot of respect from the betting marketplace in the early going this season following a promising 2020-21 campaign - its first in Division I - not to mention the presence of legendary head coach Billy Gillespie. The Texans have already faced Stanford and Kansas and managed to go 1-0-1 ATS. They'll also go up against Michigan and Gonzaga in road tilts later this month. Note that the Texans turned the ball over just eight times and managed to shoot better than 40% from the field (an accomplishment given the level of opposition) against Kansas last time out but still lost by 26 points. Meanwhile, Wichita State is off to a 2-0 start but has gone 0-2 ATS, defeating Jacksonville State and South Alabama by a combined margin of only nine points. We've certainly yet to see the best from the Shockers - at either end of the floor. They've shot sub-39% in both games while allowing subpar opposition to shoot better than 42% in both contests. This is a Wichita State program that went through plenty of distractions last offseason and by all accounts 2020-21 should have been a down season, yet the Shockers ended up exceeding expectations and receiving an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. They certainly have their sights set on another NCAA Tournament berth this season and have the returning talent to reach that goal. This is a good opportunity for them to ramp up before the schedule gets a whole lot tougher with an opening round matchup against Arizona up next in the Roman Main Event Tournament in Las Vegas on Friday. After that tournament they'll face the likes of Missouri, Oklahoma State and Kansas State in consecutive games, with the latter matchup coming in another early season tournament. Take Wichita State (10*). |
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11-16-21 | South Alabama +23.5 v. Alabama | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on South Alabama plus the points over Alabama at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. With Alabama off to a perfect 2-0 start, both SU and ATS, cashing in a much lower pointspread range than we're working with tonight, this looks like the ideal time to step in and fade the Crimson Tide against an underrated South Alabama squad. The Jaguars are pegged by many to be a top-three team in the Sun Belt Conference this season, with a wealth of talent coming in by way of transfers, as is often the case under head coach Richie Riley. Riley apparently turned down a head coaching offer from Utah State in the offseason, which obviously would have been a higher-profile position. I don't really blame him as he's building something special at USA and might have his most talented team yet here in his fourth year at the helm. Alabama obviously boasts much loftier goals than USA. However, the Crimson Tide do have plenty of losses to deal with from last season's impressive squad. They've gotten off to a blistering start at the offensive end of the floor, shooting 50% and 49% in scoring 93 and 104 points against Louisiana Tech and South Dakota State, respectively, but I expect them to run into a bit more trouble against South Alabama and its predominantly zone defense. South Alabama has to feel pretty good about itself after suffering a narrow six-point loss against likely NCAA Tournament squad Wichita State, on the road no less, last time out. The Jaguars would love nothing more than to pick up an early season marquee victory, even if it is highly unlikely here. Nothing that they've gone 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog, we'll simply count on them to stay inside the lofty pointspread as I think a lot of bettors are sleeping on the Jags at this early stage of the campaign. Take South Alabama (8*). |
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11-15-21 | Southern Utah +11 v. St. Mary's | Top | 51-70 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Southern Utah plus the points over St. Mary's at 10 pm et on Monday. St. Mary's is poised to take a step forward after a rare down year in 2020-21 but it certainly can't afford to sleep on a Southern Utah squad that went 20-4 last season and brings pretty much everyone that matters back into the fold. The Thunderbirds are coming off an upset loss as a double-digit favorite at Dixie State, however, and with that in mind, I feel they're undervalued in this matchup against what has long been considered a 'name brand' program in St. Mary's. This game will feature a sharp contrast in styles as Southern Utah boasts an explosive offense and will look to push the pace. St. Mary's is more adept at slowing things down. The Gaels look to eliminate passing lanes and force turnovers at the defensive end of the floor. I'm not convinced they'll have an easy time doing so against a seasoned Thunderbirds squad that excels on dribble handoffs and driving to the basket. Note that St. Mary's has only outscored opponents by 6.9 points on average when coming off consecutive wins over the last 2+ seasons (26-game sample size). That's close to where I feel this line should be sitting but with the Gaels 2-0 off back-to-back comfortable wins and Southern Utah fresh off the aforementioned upset loss to little-known Dixie State, we're being given a fairly generous cushion. Take Southern Utah (10*). |
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11-13-21 | Evansville v. Belmont -13.5 | 43-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Belmont minus the points over Evansville at 5 pm et on Saturday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Belmont Bruins here as they look to respond following an 'upset' loss against Ohio last time out. Here, they'll catch Evansville 'fat and happy' off a 20-point rout of an overmatched IUPUI squad two nights ago. Keep in mind, the Purple Aces opened their season with a 22-point loss against Cincinnati. While they do figure to be stronger than they were a year ago, they're still going to face an uphill battle against their tougher non-conference foes, and Belmont certainly falls into that category. These teams actually met last season with Belmont prevailing by nine points on the road. Evansville knocked down 11 threes compared to Belmont's four on that night to keep the game competitive. It also turned the ball over only 11 times. Here, the Purple Aces check in having turned it over 28 times through two contests. Look for Belmont to apply the pressure and ultimately pull away for a comfortable victory on Saturday, noting that the Bruins are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games following an ATS loss, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 18.3 points in that situation. Take Belmont (6*). |
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11-12-21 | Eastern Washington v. UC-Davis -8 | 76-84 | Push | 0 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cal-Davis minus the points over Eastern Washington at 5 pm et on Friday. Credit Eastern Washington for putting up 76 points in its season-opener against Nevada but it still fell by 15 points in that game and I'm not convinced we'll see the Eagles improve on that losing margin by much in this one. It's going to be an uphill battle early on for EWU this season as few programs in the country have had to endure more roster turnover. Now the Eagles face exactly the type of team you don't want to see with a new-look lineup out of the gate as Cal-Davis plays a frenetic style of defense that will press for a full 40 minutes. That pesky defense led the Aggies to a big 72-69 upset win over Utah State in their season-opener. They secured the win despite shooting sub-40% from the field and knocking down just 6-of-21 three-point attempts. That's pretty much par for the course for a team that is never going to be known for its sharp-shooting. Cal-Davis will once again rely on hoisting up shots and crashing the boards and should find some success doing so against an EWU squad that is extremely vulnerable as it tries to work so many new pieces into the rotation. Note that the Eagles forced just nine turnovers in their opener. I'm not sure we can expect them to shoot better than the 43.9% they posted against Nevada and certainly anticipate them turning the ball over more than the 14 times they did in that contest. Look for an experienced Aggies squad to take another stride forward on Friday afternoon. Take Cal-Davis (10*). |
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11-11-21 | Cal-Riverside v. Arizona State UNDER 142 | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between UC-Riverside and Arizona State at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. Expectations are fairly high for both of these teams although Arizona State certainly boasts the loftier goals. The Sun Devils are hoping that a number of key transfers can help them rebound from a disastrous Covid-tinged 2020-21 season. Meanwhile, Riverside is hoping to build on the progress it made during a big 'step up' campaign last season. The Highlanders will once again hang their hats on their defensive play, which should be every bit as sound as it was a year ago. They drew a tough season-opening matchup on Tuesday but still managed to hold their own, allowing only 66 points while limiting San Diego State to 49 field goal attempts. The problem was their own three-point shots weren't falling (6-of-22 from three-point range) in an eventual 13-point loss as a 12.5-point underdog. Arizona State will look to play fast, just as it always has under Bobby Hurley. I do think the Highlanders are capable of frustrating the Sun Devils a bit in that regard though. Like Riverside, Arizona State struggled from beyond the arc in its season-opener, knocking down only 7-of-26 three-point attempts. The Sun Devils ultimately scored 76 points against Portland on Tuesday, but only managed to do so thanks to hoisting up 66 shots - a number I'm not convinced they can approach here. Take the under (10*). |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week. My selection is on Buffalo plus the points over Michigan at 6:30 pm et on Wednesday. Expectations are sky-high once again in Ann Arbor this season and the Wolverines are certainly a legitimate national title contender. With that being said, I do think an experienced, ultra-talented Buffalo squad is capable of giving them a run here in their season-opener on Wednesday. The Bulls could turn out to be 'best in class' in the MAC this season although Ohio may have something to say about that. This is an excellent measuring stick game right out of the gate and I expect the Bulls to relish the opportunity. Four starters return to Buffalo and Jim Whitesell's group should once again push the pace at every opportunity, perhaps catching the Wolverines a little off guard here in the first game of the season. Keep in mind, for as dominant as Michigan was last season, it opened the campaign by winning home games against Bowling Green and Oakland by just 14 and 10-point margins, respectively. In time, the Wolverines should once again evolve into an elite rim and perimeter defending team but Buffalo is a tough opening draw before it has a chance to settle in, especially with plenty of new faces in the lineup. While Buffalo is known for its up-tempo, explosive offense, it can play some defense as well. In fact, the Bulls were the best defensive squad in the MAC last year. Last season's MAC Defensive Player of the Year, Josh Mballa is back in the fold to anchor the Bulls defensive sets. While a 1-0 start should be well within reach for the Wolverines, this should be a test. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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11-09-21 | St. Peter's v. VCU UNDER 132.5 | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Peter's and VCU and 6 pm et on Tuesday. St. Peter's returns all five starters from last year's team including defensive standout KC Ndefo and should prove to be a tricky season-opening non-conference opponent for VCU on Tuesday. The Peacocks ranked eighth in the country in defensive rating last season and will hang their hat on their play at the end of the floor again here in 2021-22. That's because their offense remains severely limited, noting they finished T233rd in pace rating and T324th in field goal percentage last season and don't figure to show a big improvement. This is certainly a tough season-opening draw for St. Peter's as well with VCU coming off a season that saw it finish 15th in the country in defensive rating and sixth in steals. While there are major questions in the backcourt, especially after losing Bones Hyland to the NBA and Ace Baldwin to a devastating ruptured achilles in the offseason, the Rams mantra will remain the same and that means playing a high-pressure brand of defense and being physical on offense, waiting for its opportunities to get to the rim rather than relying on outside shooting. The latter can result in draining the shot clock, and I'm confident Ndefo and the Peacocks will make them work for every basket down low. Both of these teams were comfortable playing games in the 110's and 120's last season and I would expect nothing different as they work out the kinks in Tuesday's season-opener. Take the under (10*). |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 160 | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 36 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Baylor and Gonzaga at 9:20 pm et on Monday. We won with the 'over' in Gonzaga's thrilling overtime victory over UCLA on Saturday while missing by a bucket with the 'under' in Baylor rout of Houston. Here, I love the way the 'under' sets up with what I feel is an inflated total for the final. Credit UCLA for hanging around in a game where most felt it would be overmatched on Saturday. It wasn't that Gonzaga played that poorly defensively, the Bruins quite simply knocked down their shots, hitting 58% from the field, in fact. There's no reason to get down on the Zags defense heading into Monday's game, however, noting that while known for its prolific offense, this is a Bulldogs squad that entered the tournament ranked 13th nationally in opponents floor percentage and 31st in opponents non-blocked two-point percentage. Unlike UCLA, Baylor does possess the length and athleticism to contend with the Zags offense in my opinion. The Bears have an active defense that entered the tourney ranked seventh in the country in steals per possession and 71st in block percentage. That's not to mention a very respectable 44th in opponents floor percentage. If anything, we've seen Baylor get stronger defensively as this tournament as gone on. The Bears not surprisingly got sped up a bit against Arkansas in the Elite Eight but outside of that we've seen them prefer to play a halfcourt game. This one is being priced as a potential track meet and while both teams have the pro-level talent to bring that to fruition, I believe there's a better chance we see the defenses step up and keep this one 'under' the lofty total. Take the under (10*). |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. My selection is on Gonzaga minus the points over Baylor at 9:20 pm et on Monday. We won with the 'over' in Gonzaga's thrilling semi-final victory over UCLA on Saturday. Here, I'll switch gears and look at the side as we back the Bulldogs in their final showdown with Baylor. I hesitate to say that the Zags merely survived Saturday's buzzer-beating win over UCLA. You could certainly make the case that both teams deserved the win on that night - the Zags were simply able to make one more shot than the Bruins. With that being said, I give a ton of credit to UCLA. It shot an exceptional 57.6% from the field, knocking down incredibly tough shots all night long. Keep in mind, that was only the third time all season that Gonzaga allowed an opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field. In two previous occurrences, the Bulldogs followed it up with an ATS victory, holding Auburn to 37.3% shooting in a 23-point rout on November 27th and limiting Creighton to 40.6% shooting in an 18-point victory earlier in this tournament. Considering the Bruins shot so well, and also held a 32-26 rebounding edge, the Zags should be incredibly pleased with the fact that they were able to come away victorious on Saturday. Here, I certainly don't expect Baylor to shoot nearly as well, nor do I expect the Zags to lose the rebounding battle (note they hadn't been outrebounded in a game since February 27th prior to Saturday's contest). Note that the Zags entered this tournament ranked 11th in the nation in total rebounding percentage and 13th in opponents floor percentage. By contrast, Baylor checked in ranked 44th in both of those categories. For Baylor's part, it shot an impressive 52.7% from the field in Saturday's blowout win over Houston. The Cougars were quite simply overmatched from the start in that game as the Bears jumped ahead early and never looked back. Now I question whether Baylor can get right back up to the necessary level of intensity to stage the upset against Gonzaga. Note that Saturday's game marked the first time in six games that the Bears shot better than 50% from the field. It was also the first time they outrebounded an opponent since a lopsided victory over Hartford in the opening round of this tournament. We know that Gonzaga prefers to play at a fast pace, entering the tournament ranked 16th nationally in possessions per game. Also note that the Zags have gone 28-14 ATS with the total set in the 150's over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 26.1 points. Take Gonzaga (10*). |
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04-03-21 | UCLA v. Gonzaga OVER 145.5 | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between UCLA and Gonzaga at 8:35 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams delivered 'under' results in the Elite Eight, albeit in very different ways with UCLA involved in an extremely low-scoring victory over defensive-minded Michigan and Gonzaga putting up 85 points in a rout of USC. Here, I don't believe UCLA will be able to do anything to throw the Bulldogs off their game offensively, noting that the Bruins entered the tournament ranked a miserable 299th in the nation in steals per possession and 214th in block percentage. They also checked in ranked 201st in opponents effective field goal percentage and 156th in opponents floor percentage. I don't need to tell you that's just not going to cut it against a Gonzaga squad that ranks tops in the nation in both offensive efficiency and floor percentage. The Bruins have been hot and cold offensively in this tournament but might have a sliver of hope here with the Zags holding USC to 38.7% shooting last time out. That may seem contradictory, but it's worth noting that the Bulldogs haven't held consecutive opponents under 40% shooting since January 16th and 23rd against St. Mary's-CA and Pacific. The Bruins should at least get some good looks at the basket in this one, noting that Gonzaga ranks well north of 200th in terms of block percentage, and ranks worse than UCLA's last opponent, Michigan, in terms of opponents floor percentage, opponents effective field goal percentage and opponents non-blocked two-point percentage. This will by no means be a walk in the park for the Bruins offensively, but I think they can do enough to help get this one 'over' the reasonable total. Take the over (10*). |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor UNDER 135 | Top | 59-78 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
NCAA Tournament Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Baylor at 5:15 pm et on Saturday. This has the makings of a low-scoring battle between the Cougars and Bears on Saturday evening. Houston entered the tournament ranked number one in the country in opponents effective field goal percentage and it hasn't disappointed, holding its four opponents to 56, 60, 46 and 61 points. While this will be Houston's toughest test in the tournament to date, I believe it will be up for the challenge. Baylor put up 81 points in its Elite Eight win over Arkansas but that was the first time it broke the 80-point mark since back on March 7th against Texas Tech. I suspect the Bears might have trouble running their offense against a Houston defense that entered the tournament ranked ninth in the nation in block percentage and 16th in steals per possession. I also think Houston's slow pace, ranking around 300th in the country in possessions per game could cause the Bears some problems here. Where I don't expect Baylor to have any trouble is slowing a Houston offense that has topped out at 67 points since opening the tournament with a rout of an overmatched Cleveland State squad. Keep in mind, the Cougars Elite Eight victory over Oregon State got to just 128 points but featured 12 points in the game's final minute as the Beavers did everything they could to extend proceedings. I'm not convinced this game will go right down to the wire, and that should help our cause with the 'under'. Take the under (10*). |
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03-30-21 | UCLA v. Michigan UNDER 136 | Top | 51-49 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
Elite Eight Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between UCLA and Michigan at 9:55 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the 'under' in Michigan's Sweet 16 victory over Florida State on Sunday in a game that only came close to approaching the total thanks to its lopsided nature. Here, I'm expecting a more tightly-contested affair and will go back to the well with the 'under' once again. UCLA certainly didn't enter this tournament looking like an elite defensive team but we have seen the Bruins round into form at that end of the floor over the last couple of games, holding Abilene Christian and Alabama to a combined 37.3% shooting. Michigan has shot the lights out in this tournament so far but I would anticipate some regression in that department on Tuesday. It's worth noting that the Wolverines entered this tournament ranked a less than impressive 175th in the nation in extra scoring chances per game. I like the fact that both of these teams should be able to run their offenses on Tuesday night, with neither defense overly disruptive. UCLA entered the tourney ranked 299th in the nation in steals per possession while Michigan checked in an ugly 331st in that department. Both teams prefer to work deep into the shot clock on offense, with UCLA entering the tournament ranked 288th nationally in possessions per game and Michigan checking in 259th. The Bruins were involved in a more up-tempo game against Alabama on Sunday, although that one still only managed to get to 130 points in regulation time. Michigan has scored 82, 86 and 76 points through three games in this tournament. Keep in mind, the Wolverines had scored fewer than 70 points in four of their last five games heading in. Look for a return to 'normal' here. Take the under (10*). |
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03-30-21 | USC v. Gonzaga -8 | Top | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
Elite Eight Game of the Year. My selection is on Gonzaga minus the points over USC at 7:15 pm et on Tuesday. Credit USC for reaching the Elite Eight on the strength of some truly incredible shooting performances over the last couple of games. The Trojans shot better than 57% against both Kansas and Oregon and enter tonight's contest having shot 50% or better in four straight games going back to the Pac-12 Tournament earlier this month. Keep in mind, only once previously this season did the Trojans shoot better than 50% from the field in three consecutive games, and that took place right out of the gates in a stretch that saw them face the likes of Cal Baptist and Montana (along with a solid BYU squad). While USC has enjoyed an incredible run, I expect it to run out of magic here, and it's certainly worth noting that the Trojans have gone 0-7 ATS in their seven straight-up losses this season, losing four of those games by nine points or more. What more can be said about Gonzaga? They were the heavily favored to win this tournament at the outset for a reason and have only gotten better with each passing game. While the Bulldogs have shot better than 55% from the field in two of their three tournament games to date, that's only par for the course really, noting that their Round of 32 win over Oklahoma marked the first time since January 23rd that they shot worse than 50%. The Zags are tops in the nation in both offensive efficiency and floor percentage and play at a pace that should make the Trojans uncomfortable, noting that USC entered the tourney ranked north of 200 in terms of possessions per game. I don't expect USC to afford itself enough extra scoring opportunities to keep pace here, noting that it entered the tournament ranked 311th in steals per possessions, 123rd in turnovers per possession and 98th in extra scoring chances per game. By contrast, Gonzaga ranked 41st, 36th and 32nd in those three categories, respectively. Take Gonzaga (10*). |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor -7.5 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baylor minus the points over Arkansas at 9:55 pm et on Monday. A lot of folks were obviously down on Baylor entering this tournament after it sleepwalked its way to an early exit in the Big 12 Tournament a week earlier. Even in the Bears NCAA Tournament opener against Hartford (and subsequently in the first half of their second game against Wisconsin) we saw some rather uninspired basketball. However, over their last 60 minutes played, the Bears have turned it on and have left the opposition in the dust. I expect to see continued progression from Baylor on Monday as it takes on Arkansas. It's worth noting that the Bears will be playing just their second game in the last eight days here on Monday as it's a spot they've absolutely thrived in over the last couple of seasons, allowing an average of just 57.2 points per game and outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 17.3 points (going 13-5 ATS in those games). I'll also points out that Baylor has gone 14-5 ATS, outscoring opponents by 10.1 points per game when playing away from home off of three straight wins, as is the case here. Despite winning all three tournament games to this point, there's still plenty of room for improvement when it comes to the Bears as they've actually been outrebounded by two over their last two contests and have yet to shoot better than 45.5% from the field in the tourney to date. Keep in mind, we're talking about a Baylor squad that ranked second in the nation in offensive efficiency and third in floor percentage not to mention a respectable 44th in total rebounding percentage heading into the tournament. Arkansas obviously wants to play at a fast pace but I'm not sure that will serve it well in this particular matchup. Baylor certainly has the athleticism to counteract the Hogs in transition and ultimately afford itself extra possessions, noting that the Bears are a top-10 team in extra scoring chances per game this season. Take Baylor (10*). |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor UNDER 148.5 | 72-81 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arkansas and Baylor at 9:55 pm et on Monday. The potential is obviously there for this to turn into a track meet on Monday night but that's ultimately been factored into the total. I like what both teams bring to the table defensively and with a spot in the Final Four hanging in the balance, look for points to come at a premium in this one (relatively speaking, of course). Note that Baylor has allowed just north of 57 points per game when playing for just the second time in eight days over the last two seasons. Saturday's win over Villanova wasn't overly taxing on the Bears as far as I'm concerned and I expect them to be extremely active at the defensive end of the floor in this one, noting that they entered the tournament ranked an impressive seventh in the nation in steals per possession and top-75 in block percentage. For Arkansas' part, it has been a top-25 team in terms of opponents floor percentage this season and top-65 in opponents effective field goal percentage. After a loosely-played affair that featured 138 combined field goal attempts against Oral Roberts, look for this game to take on a more defensive tone. Take the under (10*). |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State v. Houston -7.5 | 61-67 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Oregon State at 7:15 pm et on Monday. Oregon State has enjoyed a run for the ages going back to the Pac-12 Tournament and now finds itself just one win away from an improbable Final Four appearance. I believe the clock is about to strike midnight on this Cinderella team on Monday, however, as the Beavers run into a dominant Cougars squad. Houston entered this tournament checking all the boxes and we cashed a ticket with the Cougars in their opening round rout of Cleveland State. While I haven't gone back to the well with them since, I will get behind them here. Keep in mind, Houston checked into this tournament ranked top-five in the nation in offensive efficiency and top-12 in floor percentage. The list goes on and on; ninth in total rebounding percentage, 16th in steals per possession, ninth in block percentage, seventh in opponents floor percentage, first in opponents effective field goal percentage, first in extra scoring chances per game - you get the picture. In start contrast, Oregon State ranked outside the top-100 in both offensive efficiency and floor percentage, 189th in total rebounding percentage, 274th in opponents effective field goal percentage and a truly miserable 298th in opponents non-blocked two-point percentage. That really helps illustrate just how improbable the Beavers run has been as they've taken down some elite opponents. We know that Oregon State likes to play at a slow pace but so does Houston. The Cougars have consistently done it better, however. If the Beavers didn't have everyone's attention prior to Saturday's dominant victory over Loyola-Chicago, they do now. I don't think they'll catch Houston napping the same way they did against the Ramblers. Loyola's downfall could very well have been its hot start as it jumped out to a big early lead and probably thought it would cruise from there. The Beavers took advantage of the Ramblers complacency - again something that isn't likely to happen here. Take Houston (10*). |
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03-28-21 | Oregon v. USC UNDER 138 | 68-82 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oregon and USC at 9:45 pm et on Sunday. When these teams met during the Pac-12 regular season they combined to score only 130 points and I anticipate more of the same here with a lot more to play for in the Sweet 16. While the Ducks put up a whopping 95 points in an extremely high-scoring affair against Iowa last time out, note that Oregon checks in 262nd in the nation in possessions per game and won't have much interest in a track meet here. Likewise, USC ranks north of 200th in the country in possessions per game and should be comfortable playing this one in the 50's or 60's. I like the disruptive nature of both defenses, with USC in particular being stingy around the basket, ranking an impressive 11th in the country in block percentage. The Trojans will let Oregon run its offense here, likely deep into the shot clock on most possessions, noting that USC ranks 316th in steals per possession. Conversely, while Oregon sits just inside the top-90 in block percentage, it ranks 45th in steals per possession. But again, what it does with those extra possessions should support our cause with the 'under' as the Ducks don't generally look to push the pace. Note that USC allows just 64.5 points per game playing away from home off a double-digit win over the last two seasons while Oregon gives up 64.2 ppg after an ATS win over the last three seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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03-28-21 | Florida State v. Michigan UNDER 143.5 | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Florida State and Michigan at 5 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'under' in Florida State's blowout win over Colorado in the Round of 32 and I won't hesitate to go back the well with the same play here as the Seminoles challenge top-seeded Michigan on Sunday afternoon. This game will pit two elite defensive teams with Michigan ranking sixth in the nation in opponents effective field goal percentage and third in opponents non-blocked two-point percentage. Florida State is a top-20 team in opponents effective field goal percentage and a very respectable 48th in opponents non-blocked two-point percentage this season. Both teams also rank inside the top-60 in opponents floor percentage. We'll see a contrast in styles here as Michigan will look to use most of the shot clock as it checks in 245th in the country in possessions per game while Florida State will undoubtedly try to speed things up, ranking 132nd in that category. I do believe both teams will be able to run their offenses without a great deal of disruption. Note in particular that Michigan ranks a woeful 337th in the nation in steals per possession this season. That's beneficial to Florida State given it doesn't always take great care of the basketball, ranking 251st in the nation in turnovers per possession. While I have a lot of respect for both of these offenses, I simply feel this total will prove too high. Take the under (10*). |
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Sean Murphy NCAA-B Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-28-22 | Wyoming v. Air Force +8 | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
01-27-22 | California v. UCLA UNDER 130 | Top | 57-81 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
01-27-22 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska OVER 145 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
01-26-22 | Marquette v. Seton Hall OVER 145.5 | Top | 73-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
01-25-22 | Fresno State v. New Mexico +5.5 | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
01-24-22 | Louisville v. Virginia UNDER 124.5 | Top | 52-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
01-22-22 | New Mexico v. Wyoming -10 | 91-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
01-22-22 | Houston Baptist v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi -12.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
01-21-22 | Fresno State v. Nevada | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
01-20-22 | CS-Fullerton v. Cal-Irvine -6 | Top | 65-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
01-19-22 | George Washington v. St. Joe's -8.5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
01-18-22 | South Carolina +12.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 59-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
01-17-22 | Delaware v. Northeastern +2 | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
01-15-22 | Incarnate Word v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi -13.5 | Top | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
01-14-22 | Fresno State v. UNLV +2 | Top | 73-68 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
01-13-22 | St. Mary's v. Pepperdine +13 | 77-62 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
01-13-22 | Florida International +16.5 v. UAB | 56-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
01-13-22 | Detroit +1.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
01-12-22 | Maryland +6 v. Northwestern | Top | 94-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
01-12-22 | LSU +2.5 v. Florida | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
01-11-22 | Illinois v. Nebraska +13.5 | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
01-11-22 | Iowa State v. Kansas -11.5 | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
01-11-22 | George Washington +17 v. VCU | Top | 57-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
01-09-22 | Northwestern v. Ohio State UNDER 140.5 | Top | 87-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
01-08-22 | Appalachian State +2.5 v. Troy State | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
01-07-22 | Brown +3.5 v. Harvard | Top | 84-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
01-06-22 | Washington State +2 v. Colorado | 78-83 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
01-06-22 | Appalachian State +6.5 v. South Alabama | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
01-06-22 | Southern Miss +4 v. Texas-San Antonio | Top | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
01-05-22 | VCU +3.5 v. Dayton | 53-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
01-05-22 | DePaul +5 v. St. John's | Top | 84-89 | Push | 0 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
01-04-22 | Virginia +4 v. Clemson | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
01-02-22 | Michigan State v. Northwestern UNDER 139.5 | Top | 73-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
01-01-22 | Creighton v. Marquette +1 | 75-69 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
12-30-21 | St. Joe's v. Richmond -11.5 | Top | 83-56 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
12-28-21 | Northwestern State v. Baylor UNDER 146 | Top | 68-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
12-22-21 | Hofstra +6 v. Monmouth | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
12-20-21 | Oral Roberts -3 v. South Dakota | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
12-19-21 | Dartmouth +12 v. California | Top | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
12-18-21 | Northern Colorado v. Washington State OVER 141 | 56-82 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
12-17-21 | St. Mary's v. San Diego State UNDER 119 | 53-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
12-16-21 | Dartmouth v. Stanford UNDER 131.5 | 78-89 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
12-16-21 | Jackson State v. Drake -15.5 | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
12-16-21 | Texas-Arlington v. Oral Roberts -7.5 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
12-15-21 | Middle Tennessee v. Ole Miss OVER 133.5 | 52-62 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
12-15-21 | Chattanooga v. Belmont UNDER 141 | 68-76 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
12-14-21 | Monmouth v. Yale +1.5 | 69-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
12-13-21 | Rhode Island v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 131.5 | Top | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Monmouth v. Pittsburgh +1 | 56-52 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
12-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. Baylor | 36-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
12-12-21 | NC State +14 v. Purdue | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
12-11-21 | Houston +2.5 v. Alabama | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
12-11-21 | Western Kentucky +6 v. Ole Miss | 71-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 136.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
12-10-21 | Wisc-Milwaukee +13 v. Colorado | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
12-10-21 | DePaul +9 v. Louisville | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
12-09-21 | Monmouth v. St. John's -8 | 83-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
12-08-21 | Drake -20 v. Nebraska-Omaha | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Canisius v. Northern Kentucky -6.5 | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
12-06-21 | Mercer v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 139.5 | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
12-05-21 | Western Illinois v. Central Michigan +5.5 | 97-70 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
12-04-21 | Iowa State v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 64-58 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
12-04-21 | Memphis -1 v. Ole Miss | 63-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
12-03-21 | Fairfield v. Canisius OVER 141.5 | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
12-02-21 | Valparaiso v. Drake -12.5 | 66-73 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
12-01-21 | South Carolina v. Coastal Carolina +6.5 | Top | 56-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
11-26-21 | Oklahoma State v. Oral Roberts OVER 148 | Top | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
11-25-21 | Maryland v. Richmond +1.5 | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
11-25-21 | UC San Diego -1 v. Southern Miss | 55-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
11-25-21 | Alabama v. Iona OVER 148 | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
11-25-21 | Auburn v. Loyola-Chicago +2.5 | Top | 62-53 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
11-25-21 | South Alabama v. San Diego -2 | 68-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
11-24-21 | Sam Houston State v. SMU -14 | 66-75 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
11-24-21 | Stony Brook v. Fairfield UNDER 134.5 | 78-83 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
11-24-21 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan State UNDER 138.5 | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
11-23-21 | Illinois -10.5 v. Kansas State | 72-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
11-22-21 | Valparaiso +7 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
11-18-21 | UAB -2.5 v. South Carolina | 63-66 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
11-17-21 | UC-Davis +2 v. Pepperdine | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
11-17-21 | Northern Colorado v. Texas -20.5 | 49-62 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
11-17-21 | Tulane v. Florida State -18 | 54-59 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
11-16-21 | Tarleton St v. Wichita State -12.5 | 51-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
11-16-21 | South Alabama +23.5 v. Alabama | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
11-15-21 | Southern Utah +11 v. St. Mary's | Top | 51-70 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
11-13-21 | Evansville v. Belmont -13.5 | 43-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
11-12-21 | Eastern Washington v. UC-Davis -8 | 76-84 | Push | 0 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
11-11-21 | Cal-Riverside v. Arizona State UNDER 142 | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
11-10-21 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
11-09-21 | St. Peter's v. VCU UNDER 132.5 | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 160 | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 36 h 21 m | Show | |
04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
04-03-21 | UCLA v. Gonzaga OVER 145.5 | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor UNDER 135 | Top | 59-78 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
03-30-21 | UCLA v. Michigan UNDER 136 | Top | 51-49 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
03-30-21 | USC v. Gonzaga -8 | Top | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor -7.5 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor UNDER 148.5 | 72-81 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
03-29-21 | Oregon State v. Houston -7.5 | 61-67 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
03-28-21 | Oregon v. USC UNDER 138 | 68-82 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
03-28-21 | Florida State v. Michigan UNDER 143.5 | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |