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Sean Murphy NCAA-B Picks
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
03-17-17 |
Rhode Island v. Creighton |
|
84-72 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 55 m |
Show
|
My selection is on Rhode Island over Creighton at 4:30 pm et on Friday. Creighton was in a world of hurt down the stretch, struggling to pick up victories leading up to the Big East Tournament. The Blue Jays did rally to win a couple of games in that tournament and ultimately reach the final against Villanova, but that game was never really close, and now they come into this showdown with red hot Rhode Island a little worse for wear. The Rams defeated VCU in the A-10 Tournament championship and roll into this tourney having gone 6-1 ATS over their last six games. I like the way this Rhode Island defense matches up with the Creighton offense - an offense that shoots just shy of 51% as a team this season. This may be a tightly contested affair most of the way, but I look for the Rams to have a little more in the tank, and to hit the clutch shots down the stretch in a big opening round victory. Take Rhode Island (10*).
|
03-17-17 |
USC +6.5 v. SMU |
|
66-65 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 50 m |
Show
|
My selection is on USC plus the points over SMU at 3:10 pm et on Friday.
I'll grab the points with the Trojans in a game I believe they can win outright on Friday afternoon. SMU has been one of the best bets in the nation this season, posting a 22-6-1 ATS record but that means little as we flip the page over to the NCAA Tournament. We saw the Mustangs narrowly avoid a big upset at the hands of ECU as a 19-point favorite in last week's AAC Tournament. USC has certainly endured an up and down season but does enter the tourney on a 4-1 ATS run, including a 75-71 victory over Providence in the play-in game earlier this week. I believe that tournament-style game action serves the Trojans well heading into this one. They won't be intimidated by the Mustangs. Take USC (10*).
|
03-17-17 |
Iona v. Oregon OVER 152 |
|
77-93 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 32 m |
Show
|
My selection is on the 'over' between Iona and Oregon at 2 pm et on Friday. We're looking at one of the highest posted totals in the opening round of this tournament in this matchup but it's warranted in my opinion. I believe we're in for a track meet as the Gaels take on the Ducks on Friday afternoon. Iona knows it can run with Oregon, averaging over 80 points per game this season. The Gaels' issue, however, is they're not capable of slowing down the Ducks, allowing over 81 points per contest away from their home floor. Oregon fell just short in the Pac-12 Tournament, losing by three points but putting up 80 points against NCAA Tournament two-seed Arizona. The Ducks have shot better than 48% as a team this season and they'll face little resistance in setting the tempo here. Take the over (10*).
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