Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-08-22 | Kansas State v. Iowa State +1.5 | Top | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
K-State vs Iowa State 5% 10-Unit Best Bet on the Iowa State Cyclones Iowa State has won three of its last four games versus Kansas State after the Wildcats had won each of the previous 10 contests. The last matchup that was played in Ames resulted in a 45-0 victory for the Cyclones. The Wildcats (4-1, 2-0 Big 12) have lost two straight games to the Cyclones (3-2, 0-2) and have fallen in their last two trips to Ames. Their loss in 2018 broke a 10-game winning streak vs. Iowa State. The Wildcats are within three games of evening the all-time series, which Iowa State leads 52-49-4. The Wildcats enter Saturday's game riding a two-game winning streak -- impressive victories at Oklahoma and against Texas Tech. Wildcats quarterback Adrian Martinez has earned Big 12 Player of the Week honors in each of the past two weeks, getting the offensive honor following the win over Oklahoma and newcomer honors after downing Texas Tech. From the predictive models, we are looking for ISU to gain at least 150 rushing yards, score 27 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. IN past games in which the Cyclones met these measures they have earned a 40-10 SU record and 40-9-1 ATS for 82% winning bets since 1989 and is 16-3 SU and 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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10-08-22 | North Carolina +3.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
North Carolina vs Miami (FLA) 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on UNC plus the points Betting on teams that are facing an opponent coming off a horrid loss priced as a 20 or greater favorite has produced a 97-201 SU record, 113-83-3 ATS record good for 58% winning bets since 1989. If these failures were ranked against an unranked team in that terrible loss, the next opponent playing them has earned a 19-30 SU record, but a solid 31-17-1 SATS mark good for 65% winning bets. If our team we are betting on is the dog, they go just 9-26 SU, but 23-11-1 ATS for 68% winning bets. If that opponent was ranked while enduing their most recent monster loss and now fell out of the Top-25 now, their opponents feast on the in a big way going 11-13 SU and 17-7-1 ATS for 71% winning bets. |
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10-08-22 | Virginia Tech +15 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 29-45 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh
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10-08-22 | Wisconsin -10 v. Northwestern | Top | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs Northwestern 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on Wisconsin minus the points 3:30 start time Wisconsin is 20-5 ATS for 80% following a game in which they were outrushed by 125 or more yards. NWU is just 1-9 ASTS following a game that played UNDER the total. Wisconsin is 10-2 ATS after allowing 31 or more points in each of their last two games. NWU head coach Fitzgerald is 0-6 ATS following a game in which they covered the spread but did not win the game. He is also 8-18 SATS following a game in which they forced three or more turnovers. Betting on favorites between 10.5 and 21 points that are on a two or more game losing streak and have a win percentage between 40% and 50% on the season (Wisconsin is 2-3 for 40% win percentage) have gone 47-3 SU and 37-13 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2010. |
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10-08-22 | TCU -7.5 v. Kansas | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
TCU vs Kansas 4% best bet on TCU minus the points Noon EDT kickoff Despite the line movement there is still quite a bit of value left to bet TCU minus the points. Kansas has attracted tons of public money given their Cinderella start and College Game Day is making their first appearance to Lawrence, Kansas. The sharps are betting TCU. Teams involved in a matchup of teams with win percentages of 80% and higher and facing an opponent that has covered the spread by a total of 49 or more points over their last five games have gone 46-23-3 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2015. |
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10-07-22 | Padres +137 v. Mets | Top | 7-1 | Win | 137 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
San Diego vs NY Mets 4% 8-Unit Bet on the Padres using the moneyline Betting on road underdogs between +125 and +175 coming off a loss to a divisional rival priced as a favorite, starting a pitcher that walked no more than a single batter in each of his last two starts has earned 73-62 record for 54% averaging a +142 wager and earning a 30% ROI since the 2004 season. If it is the first game a series in the regular and playoff seasons, these dogs have gone 45-33 avg a +145 wager and a 40% ROI. |
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10-07-22 | Mariners v. Blue Jays OVER 7 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Seattle vs Toronto 4% 8-Unit bet Over the posted total Toronto is 20-8-1 Over in home games after batting .315 or better over their last five games in games played over the past two seasons; 14-5 Over following a game in which their bullpen blew a save; 60-27 when the total has been 7 or fewer runs. Seattle us 15-5 Over in road games when facing an AL starter with a 1.100 or lower WHIP in games played over the past two seasons. |
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10-07-22 | Phillies +100 v. Cardinals | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
Phillies vs Cardinals With the Phillies second ace Aaron Nola in top form and scheduled to pitch Game 2, the Cardinals must win Game 1 and defeat Zack Wheeler. The Cardinals were the last team in the playoffs to name their Game 1 starter and surprisingly they elected to go with left-hander Jose Quintana. The Phillies went 28-18 for 61% wins and 13-7 for 65% since the all-star break when facing a left-handed starter ranking 6th best in MLB. After eight MLB seasons, Wheeler, will make his first career playoff start today. Since joining the Phillies to start the 2020 season, Wheeler has earned a 30-19 record in 69 starts and has posted an ERA of 2.92 or lower in each of those seasons and finished second in last season's Cy Young Award voting. The one fundamental fact that I like most about the Phillies is that they rank best in the NL with 20.1% of their hits, including home runs, hit to the opposite field. The Phillies will be successful against Quintana by going with the pitch and hitting to all parts of the field, especially with men on base. Last, the Phillies made it to the playoffs while playing in the NL East division that had two teams, the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets, win 101 games. The Cardinals played in the NL Central that had two teams, the Cincinnati Reds, and Pittsburgh Pirates each lose 100 games. The NL East had a 413-377 record while the NL Central posted a weak 377-433 record, which was the worst divisional record this season. Phillies are 9-1 making 11 units in road games and coming two games in which they were outhit by 7 or more. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers OVER 41.5 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
LA Rams vs 49ers 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the OVER From the predictive models we are looking for the Rams to have the same or fewer turnovers and to score 24 or more points and when they have met or exceeded these measures they have gone on to a 35-4 SU and 28-9-2 Over for 76% winning bets over the past five seasons. Bet the Rams and consider an optional parlay Rams and Over using the money line. |
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10-02-22 | Chiefs v. Bucs | Top | 41-31 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Chiefs vs Bucs 5% 10-UNIT Best Bet on the Bucs 4% 8-Unit best bet Over the posted total I am not betting this as a parlay and instead will bet 75% of my normal 10-Unit amount on the Bucs prior to kickoff and then IF the Chiefs score a touchdown first or get a 7-point first half lead, I will add the remaining 25% using the available in-Game betting line on the Bucs. The total will be bet with the 8-Unit normal amount prior to kickoff. Now, if you have a promo for a 1-game odds boost from the likes of BetMGM, then make that bet with no more than 2.5 Unit amount. Betting on teams that made the playoffs last season, won 12 games last season and are coming off a loss priced as a home favorite and with the current game having a total of 46.5 or fewer points has earned a 38-18-4 ATS record good for 68% winning bets since 2015. Betting Over the posted total when lined between 42.5 and 49.5 points in. a matchup of teams that have outscored their opponents by 7 or more PPG and with one of the teams (KC) coming off two consecutive Under results as earned a 36-18 mark good for 67% winning Over bets. If both teams are coming off back-to-back Under results the Over is 14-2-2 ATS for 88% winning bets From the predictive mode, we are expecting both teams to score 24 or more points and with the Bucs having the same or fewer turnovers than the Chiefs. In past games in which the Bucs met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them earn a 25-3 SU record and 23-4-1 ATS mark good for 85% winning bets over the past five seasons. The Chiefs are 12-3 Over for 80% when scoring 24 or more points and having more turnovers than their opponent in games played over the past five seasons. |
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10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons +1 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
Browns vs Falcons 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Falcons Betting on a team that is averaging 32 or fewer rushes per game, is coming off an upset win in a game they had the ball for 32 or fewer minutes and now facing a foe that averages 32 or more minutes in time-of-possession has earned an outstanding 23-3 ATS record for 89% winning bets. If this team is the home team, they have gone 12-6 SU and 16-2 ATS for 89% winning bets since 2009. Falcons quarterback Marcus Mariota is playing with plenty of confidence. He earned first downs on 65.0 percent (13-for20) of his pass attempts in the Falcons' win at the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. That's the second highest first-down percentage for Mariota in any of his 64 NFL starts. Mariota's highest percentage (73.3%, 11 of 15) came in his NFL debut, a 42-14 Tennessee Titans win at Tampa Bay in Week 1 of the 2015 season. |
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10-02-22 | Bills -3 v. Ravens | Top | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
Buffalo vs Baltimore 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Bills minus the points Betting on teams in a game lined between the 3’s and with one of the teams in the matchup coming off a road game in which they and their opponents both scored 24 or more points, with the game occurring between weeks 4 and 7 has earned a 19-10 SU record and 20-9 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons without a single losing season. Eleven different Buffalo players caught at least one pass in Sunday's loss at Miami. That's a Bills franchise record for one game and the highest total for one team in an NFL game this season. The accomplishment how deep the Bills receivers are this season and also Josh Allen’s incredible accuracy and knowing where the holes are in the defense. I think the same thing happens here in Baltimore. |
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10-02-22 | Washington Commanders v. Cowboys OVER 41 | Top | 10-25 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
Commanders vs Cowboys 4% 8-Unit Best Bet OVER the posted total Betting on road teams that are being outgained by at least 50 yards per game on the season and are coming off two consecutive games in which they allowed 400 or more total yards in each of those two games has seen the Over go 43-21-3 for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our road team is coming off a game against a divisional foe (Eagles last week), the Over has gone 22-3-1 for 88% winnig bets over the past 10 seasons. Cooper Rush is the first NFL quarterback to win his first three career starts while passing for 200 or more yards and posting a passer rating of 90.0 or higher in each game. Quarterback starts were first tracked by the NFL in 1950. CeeDee Lamb is the only NFL player to be targeted for more than 10 passes in each of his team's first three games this season (11 in Weeks 1 and 2, 12 in Week 3). Lamb caught only two passes in the Cowboys' opener but had seven receptions in Week 2 and eight in Week 3. This matchup has all of the markings of a track meet and even a sprinkle on the first half Over is attractive. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 15-27 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Miami Dolphins plus the points The Miami defense was on the field for nearly 40 minutes in their dramatic 21-19 over the Buffalo Bills last week. The impact of the extra time of the field is minimal since we are in the beginning part of the season. They did play a large number of minutes, but it has not been in consecutive games. I do expect their secondary to be significantly better tonight than they have been played in the first three games. Teams playing on Thursday Night Football and had 27.5 or fewer minutes in time of possession in their previous game that they won has earned a 19-17 SU record and 22-13-1 ATS mark good for 63% winning bets. Betting on road underdogs including pick-em from week-4 on to the end of the regular seasons that are scoring 24 or more PPG on the season and coming off a win of three or fewer points has earned a 78-42-3 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 1989 and a highly profitable 22-6 ATS record good for 79% winning bets. Bet the Miami Dolphins plus the points and if your moneyline is at +150 or higher, then add a sprinkle amount, pizza money size, with that moneyline. |
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09-26-22 | Cowboys +1 v. Giants | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys vs NY Giants 5% 10-Unit Best Bet on the Cowboys getting the point. The moneyline will be cheaper vig, but I recommend to only bet the moneyline at -105 or better. With the Philadelphia Eagles destroying the Washington Commanders and now at 3-0 for the season, this becomes a very important game for these two fellow NFC East Rivals. The Cowboys are without their quarterback and All=Pro Dak Prescott, but his backup Cooper Rush has stepped in and played quite well against the Cincinnati Bengals last week. The Cowboys defense also stepped up big and will again tonight against the Giants. Teams, like Dallas, that are coming off an upset win priced as an underdog and now playing on Monday Night against a divisional foe and priced as a dog of 4 or fewer points including pick-em have gone 10-4 SU and ATS for 71.4% winning bets. Teams, like Dallas, that had a winning record last season and coming off an upset win, and now playing against a divisional foe on Monday Night priced as the underdog including pick-em are 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets. Dallas head coach McCarthy is 17-3 ATS in road games when the total has been priced between 35.5 and 42 points for his career. From the predictive model, The Cowboys defense will keep the Giants from scoring 17 or more points and will allow fewer than 175 passing yards. In past games played since 1989, teams that have allowed less than 175 passing yards and fewer than 17 points have gone on to a 943-300-48 ATS record good for 76% winning bets, 227-49 SU for 82% and 215-54-7 ATS for 80% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
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09-25-22 | Ravens v. Patriots +2.5 | 37-26 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots 1:00 EDT 4% 8-UNIT best bet on the Patriots plus the points. Betting on underdogs of 4.5 or fewer points in the first four week of the season that averaged 24 or more PPG in their previous season and priced as an underdog including pick-em games has earned a solid 31-25 SU record and 38-18 ATS betting mark good for 68% winning wagers since 2018. With change comes new opportunities. And Patriots quarterback Mac Jones is experiencing new freedom in New England's revamped offense. In last week's win at Pittsburgh, the Patriots mixed in some run-pass option plays, which were a staple of the offense Jones ran at Alabama. He also said he has been given a lot more freedom to give his receivers more opportunities on deep "50-50" one-on-one opportunities. Jones had success last week, connecting with Nelson Agholor on a 44-yard touchdown. The Ravens allowed Tua Tagovailoa to throw for 469 yards and six touchdowns against them last weekend, and Miami rallied from a 21-point fourth-quarter deficit to win 42-38. Now the Raven’s secondary, limited by injuries recently, goes up against Jones and New England. |
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09-25-22 | Bills v. Dolphins +5 | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Dolphins plus the points Bet on home underdogs that are coming off a game in which they trailed by 21 or more points at the half and taking on a guest that is coming off a win of 14 or more points has earned a 33-20 ATS record good for 62.3% winning bets. If the road team is coming off two consecutive double-digit wins, our dog improves to 17-9 ATS for 65.4% winning bets. Also, betting on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have gained at least 7 yards per pass attempt in each of their two previous games and taking on a visitor that is coming off a game in which they allowed 5.6 or fewer yards per pass attempt has gone on to earn 24-13-1 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons. Over the past 20 seasons, if the matchup defined above is a divisional one, the record has been a highly consistent and highly profitable 30-14 ATS for 68.2% winning bets. Plus, road favorites that have outscored their opponents by 50 or more points in total over their last two games and facing a divisional host are 1-7 ATS for 12% winning bets. Bet the Fish. |
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09-25-22 | Lions +6 v. Vikings | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings | 1:00 EST 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Lions plus the points and sprinkle the moneyline Betting on road underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are scoring 28 or more PPG on the season has produced a 40-73 SU record for 35% upset wins and 74-27-2 ATS record good for 67% winning bets since 2015 and has earned a 50-100-2 SU record and 96-53-3 ATS record for 64.4% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and has NOT had a losing ATS record ion any of those 10 seasons. When Jared Goff's pass on the last play of the game in Detroit last year sailed across the goal line and landed in the arms of a rookie named Amon-Ra St. Brown to stick Minnesota with a stunning defeat, the identity of the receiver seemed rather insignificant at the time. That dramatic ending on Dec. 5 also turned out to be the beginning of a remarkable run for St. Brown, who has blossomed into a legitimate star of a potent Lions offense. The fourth-round draft pick out of USC has eight or more receptions in eight consecutive games, tied for the longest such streak in NFL history. Many Vikings cornerbacks, safeties, and linebackers were carved up last week in Philadelphia by quarterback Jalen Hurts in their 24-7 loss, and rookie Akayleb Evans took over for the terrible play of Cameron Dantzler Sr. for much of the second half opposite veteran Patrick Peterson. So, Goff is playing with confidence and perhaps more so than any other time of his career. The Lions have scored a touchdown in 15 straight quarters for the longest such streak in franchise history and the NFL's longest active run. They have scored at least 35 points in the first two games of a season for the first time since 1970. |
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09-24-22 | Kansas State +13.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs Kansas State 5% 10-Unit best Bet on the Kansas State plus the points and sprinkle a bit more on the moneyline. There will be at least three more College Football releases for the Saturday card, so be sure to check back early Saturday morning by 7 AM EST for those additional best bets. A little history and background. Sooner head coach Brent Venables was a walk-on linebacker for Kansas State in the early 1990s and carved out a role with the Wildcats, then began his coaching career there before joining Bob Stoops' Oklahoma staff after the 1998 season. Venables has coached against his alma mater multiple times, but Saturday's game will be his first against Kansas State as head coach. Wildcats quarterback Adrian Martinez also has had strong success against the Sooners. Martinez was Nebraska's quarterback last season in a 23-16 loss at Oklahoma, throwing for 289 yards and a touchdown with one interception and ran for 34 yards and another score. Oklahoma snapped a two-game losing streak against Kansas State with a 37-31 win in last year's tilt between these teams in Manhattan. Four of the last five games between these teams have been decided by seven points or fewer. K-State is 28-13 ATS coming off a game in which they scored 14 or fewer points. Sooners are 7-19 ATS in home games allowing 14 or fewer points in back-to-back games. From the predictive model, we are looking for K-State to rush the ball for at least 150 yards and score 27 or more points. When they have done so in past games, they have gone on to a 19-1 SU record and 15-4-1 ATS record good for 79% winning bets. |
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09-24-22 | Middle Tennessee State v. Miami-FL UNDER 53.5 | Top | 45-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Miami (Fla) vs Middle Tennessee State 3:30 PM EDT 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 53 points Betting on home favorites that have won two of their last three games and with a total between two important betting number of 49.5 and 56 points and is a matchup of teams that have won between 60 and 80% of their games has earned 29-17 Under record good for 63% winning bets over the past five seasons. From the predictive model, MTST is 20-3-1 Under in road games when scoring 17 or fewer points since 2010. When they have scored 14 or fewer points the Under has earned a 16-3-1 for 84% winning bets since 2010. |
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09-24-22 | Florida +11 v. Tennessee | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Florida vs Tennessee 3:30 PM EST 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Florida plus the points and sprinkle the moneyline My research simply states that this is just too many points in this rivalry dominated by Florida. Vols head coach Heupel is 3-13 ATS after gaining 7.25 or more yards-per-playing his previous game. From the predictive model, we are looking for Florida to rush the ball for at least 150 yards and score 31 or more points. When they have done so in past games, they have gone on to a 76-1 SU record and 59-15-1 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the past 15 seasons and 22-0 SU and 15-6-1 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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09-24-22 | Maryland v. Michigan UNDER 64.5 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
Maryland vs Michigan Noon EDT 4% best bet on the UNDER in this matchup currently priced at 64.5 points Home teams playing their third consecutive home tilt and are coming off two consecutive wins of 14 or more points and now in a game with a total of at least 60 points has seen the Under go 45-23-1 for 66.2% winning bets since 2006. If in a conference matchup then the Under improves to 27-12 for 70% winning bets. Bet the Under. |
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09-22-22 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 38.5 | Top | 17-29 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
Steelers vs Browns 4% best bet on the Under the points The Browns blew a 13-point lead with just 1:55 left in last week’s 31-30 loss to the New Your Jets, who had not won a game played in September since 2018. The Under is 9-1 for 90% in divisional matchups played in primetime Thursday and Monday tilts with a team that enjoyed a double-digit lead only to fail to win the game and were priced as home favorites Steelers are 20-6-2 Under when on the road and following a loss of three or fewer points and 11-3-2 Under if the game is against a divisional foe. The Browns are 18-8-1 Under for 70% wins in home games following a defeat of three or fewer points. The Browns are 29-11 Under for 73% wins when playing at home and coming off a home loss and 14-4 Under for 78% winning bets if the game is a against a divisional foe. From the predictive models, both teams are projected to gain fewer than 5.25 yards-per-play and the Under in games plays with a total of 42.5 or fewer points has gone 120-32-2 for 79% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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09-18-22 | Texans +10 v. Broncos | Top | 9-16 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Houston Texans plus the points and sprinkle the money line. Also take no more than .5% amount and create a money line parlay with the Texans and the Jets – just in case they both pull of the upset wins. Betting on road underdogs in the first four weeks of the regular season that allowed 325 or more yards-per-game in the previous season and coming off a game in which their defense allowed 450 or more total yards has earned an 18-35 SU record and 36-14-3 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. And if the matchup is against a non-divisional foe the record improves to 11-25 SU and 26-8-2 ATS for 77% winning bets. |
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09-18-22 | Bengals v. Cowboys +7 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bengals vs Dallas Cowboys 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Dallas Cowboys plus the points and a little sprinkle on the moneyline. I see this as a massive overreaction to the recent events surrounding the Cowboys and now represents a darn good betting opportunity. Even with Dak Prescott out of the lineup, there is a solid betting system that is not dependent on who is running the offense. Betting on underdogs that were top-level passing teams from last season that averaged 275 or more passing yards per game and are coming off a game in which they allowed seven or more passing yards-per-attempt has earned an outstanding 26-10 ATS good for 72% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total in the current game is lower than 48 points, these home pups have gone 6-8 SU and 11-3 ATS for 79% winning bets. |
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09-18-22 | Jets +6.5 v. Browns | Top | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Jets plus the points and add a little sprinkle on the money line. With one of the NFL's best offensive lines and two talented backs, the Browns know what works for them and so does the Jets defense. The Jets shut down Baltimore's running game last week, holding the Ravens to just 63 yards and containing dynamic quarterback Lamar Jackson, who only got 17 on six attempts. Jets fall into a decent betting angle as well noting that road dogs of 4.5 to 6.5 points that are coming a game in which they averaged less than 6 yards gain after the catch and forced no more than one opponent turnover have produced a 37-22 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game occurs in the first four weeks of the season, these road dogs are 10-5 ATS for 67% winning bets. |
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09-18-22 | Bucs -2.5 v. Saints | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Bucs vs New Orleans Saints 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Bucs minus the points. Betting on teams when the money line prices then between a -150 favorite and +150 dog in a divisional matchup that are coming off a win but failed to cover the spread have produced a healthy 29-10 ATS record over the past 15 seasons. This reflects the use of the money line to group and filter favorable betting situations. Saints head coach Allen is just 1-9 Ats following a game in which a combined 50 or more points were scored. From the predictive model, we are looking for the Bucs to score at least 24 points and average 6 or more yards-per-play. The Bucs are 22-3 SU and 17-8 ATS for 68% winning bets in road games, scoring 24 or more points, and gaining at least 5.25 Yards-per-play in games played over the past three seasons. |
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09-18-22 | Patriots -3 v. Steelers | Top | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
New England vs Pittsburgh 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Patriots minus the points From my predictive model, the Patriots are expected to score at least 24 points and outgain the Steelers by at least 100 total yards. In past games in which the Patriots met or exceeded these performance measures under head coach Belichick has led to a 81-3 SU record and 75-9 ATS record good for 89% winning bets. Under Belichick when he is coming off a loss and then outgains his next opponent by at least 100 total yards has produced a 25-1 SU record and a 23-3 ATS record. |
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09-15-22 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
Chargers vs Kansas City 4% best bet on the Chargers plus the points. and spronkle a bit more on the moneyline if it is at +150 or higher. Last week the Chiefs offense was in full gear as Patrick Mahomes completed 30 of 39 asses gaining 360 yards including five touchdowns in their 44-21 domination of the Arizona Cardinals, who were a vastly depleted squad. I do not see Mahomes throwing five touchdowns in this matchup against a defense I believe is one of the best in the AFC. Betting on road underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points facing an opponent that forced no more than one turnover in their previous game has earned a 153-105-1 ATS record good for 58% winning bets. If our road dog is lined between 3.5 and 7.5 points with the game taking place in the first four weeks of the regular season has produced a 31-15 ATS record good for 67.4% winning bets. From the predictive models, the Chargers defense is expected to force two or more turnovers and the offense is expected to gain at least 350 total yards. In past games in which the Chargers met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them go on to produce a highly profitable 52-16-2 ATS for 77% winners over the last 20 seasons. |
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09-14-22 | Dodgers -125 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
LA Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4% 8-Unit best Bet on the Dodgers using the money line Dodgers are scoring an average of 5.4 RPG on the season, 6.6 RPG over their last seven games, and the bullpen has been popwerful sporting a 1.40 ERA and a .983 WHIP over their last seven games. The Snakes are scoring 4.4 RPG on the season and 4.4 RPG over their last seven games with a bullpen in shambles sporting a horrid 8.06 ERA and a 1.925 EWHIP over their last seven games. Snakes skipper Lovullo is 40-94 losing 55 units on the money line after a game scoring no more than single run. |
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09-13-22 | Dodgers -190 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
LA Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4% 8-Unit best Bet on the Dodgers using the money line Betting on all favorites in a NL matchup with a moneyline between –175 and –250 starting a strong pitcher [posting an ERA of 3.75 or lower for the season and is a team that is batting .255 to .270 for the season and is facing a very good starter posting an ERA of 3.00 or lower for the season has produced a 32-8 record averaging a –194 moneyline bet and producing a 33% ROI since the start of the 2016 season. |
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09-13-22 | Sun v. Aces OVER 163 | Top | 71-85 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
WNBA Finals Betting the OVER in playoff games in which the two teams show under 40% in the previous matchup has seen the Over produce a 19-10-2 Over record good for 65.5% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If playing the same opponent in the playoffs the Over is a remarkable 14-2-2 Over for 88% winning bets. |
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09-13-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 4% best bet Under the posted total Betting on the Under when the total is between 8.5 sand 10 runs in games played in September with and AL road teams that are starting a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.100 or lower on the season has earned a 72-39-7 record good for 65% winning bets and a nice juicy 27% ROI since the start of the 2017 season. |
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09-13-22 | Orioles v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Baltimore vs Washington 4% 8-Unit Best Bet Over the posted total Betting the OVER when it is between 7 and 8.5 runs with a toad team starting a pitcher that allows.5 or fewer home runs per start and now facing an opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after five or more starts on the season has earned an 84-58-6 record for 62% winning bets over the last 15 seasons and a nice 25% ROI. |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks +7 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
Denver vs Seattle Monday Night Football 5% MAX Best Bet on the Seattle Seahawks plus the points I like a sprinkle on the money line not to exceed a .5% or 1-Unit amount One option for this matchup is to bet 70% pre-flop on the Seahawks plus the 6.5 points and then look for Denver to score first either by field goal or touchdown and then add the remaining 30% with the in-game line that may be as high as 10.5 to 11 points. We saw this in many games Sunday with an opponent trailing only to recover to tie the game and even win it. The Giants comeback being most notable in their road win over the Tennessee Titans. Betting against favorites in the first two weeks of the regular season in a matchup of teams that both failed to make the postseason in their previous season and with the dog having won between 5 and 9 games in their previous season has produced an exceptional 32-16-2 ATS record good for 67% winning bets since 2015. Plus, if our dog is getting 4.5 or more points has seen them go 10-3-1 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2015. Over the last 10 seasons, home dogs facing a divisional foe in the first three weeks of the regular season has earned a highly profitable 28-14-1 ATS record good for 67% winning bets. And the clincher knowing that these divisional home dogs of three or more points are 8-3-1 SU and 11-1 ATS for 92% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. |
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09-11-22 | Ravens v. Jets +6.5 | Top | 24-9 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Jets plus the points There is uncertainty at the WR position for the Ravens coming into this season. They traded Marquis Brown, which leaves second-year sophomore Rashod Bateman as the top returning starter to the offense. The Jets will be a different team this season with rookie cornerback Sauce Gardner, the No. 4 overall pick, winning a starting job. Wide receiver Garrett Wilson, taken six picks later, will be a prominent part of the offense and defensive end Jermaine Johnson, picked 26th overall, will be in the rotation for perhaps the team's best and deepest unit, which I see capable of conatining or even Running back Breece Hall, a second round draft pick, is part of a strong 1-2 backfield punch with Michael Carter – and they are healthy. Betting on home underdogs un week 1 that are facing a conference foe that had a losing record in the previous season has earned a solid 20-9-1 ATS record good for 69% winning bets since 1992 and 10-3-1 ATS for 77% winning bets last 10 seasons. |
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09-11-22 | Saints v. Falcons +5.5 | Top | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Falcons plus the points Since 2012, home dogs in a divisional matchup in week-1 action have gone 10-4-1 SU and 13-2 ATS for 87% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Over the last 10 seasons, betting on underdogs in the first month of the season that are facing a favorite that did not make it to the playoffs, but did win their last two games of the regular season has earned a highly profitable 28-6-1 ATS for 83% winning bets. Over the past five season, this set of parameters earned a 9-2 ATS record for 82% winning bets. |
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09-11-22 | Colts v. Texans +7.5 | 20-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Texans plus the points As was the case with the Falcons, home underdogs in week-1 facing a divisional foe are 10-4-1 SU and 13-2 ATS for 87% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. From the predictive models, we are expecting the Colts to commit two turnovers and for the Texans to gain 125 rushing yards. The Texans are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS for 83% wins when they have gained at least 100 yards and forced the opponent into 2 turnovers and if the opponent commits 2 or more turnovers the Texans are 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS for 80% winning bets. |
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09-11-22 | 49ers -6.5 v. Bears | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Chicago 4% best bet on the SF 49ers minus the points From the predictive models, the 49ers are expected to gain at least 7.75 yards per pass attempt and gain at least 125 rushing yards. In past games when the 49ers met or exceeded this pair of performance measures, they have gone on to earn a 19-3 SU record, 18-4 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. If they gain 150 or more rushing yards in this situation, they are 13-1 SU and ATS for 93% winning bets over the last five seasons. Also, prop bet for 1% and no more than 2 units Over 62.5 rushing yards by Elijah Mitchell. |
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09-11-22 | Eagles -5.5 v. Lions | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions 4% 8-Unit bets bet on the Eagles minus the points The Eagles averaged more rushing attempts than any other franchise last season. With JB Brown being acquired in the offseason, that rush percentage will be significantly lower, but the Eagles may still average a ton of rushing yards per game this season. The models project that the Eagles will gain at least 160 rushing yards in this matchup and have at least a 3-minute advantage in time of possession. In past games in which the Eagles met or exceeded these measures they have gone on to earn a 12-1-1 SU and 11-2-1 ATS for 85% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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09-10-22 | Houston v. Texas Tech -4 | Top | 30-33 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Houston vs Texas Tech 4% best bet 8-Units on Texas Tech minus the points We had UTSA, who led for the majority of the game last week against Houston and only overtime saved Houston from an upset loss in week 1. Now, they step up in competition on the road against a solid Big-12 foe in Texas Tech. Ranked teams off an ATS loss and installed as a dog of 4 or more points in a game with a total of 60 or more points (expected shootout) are just 5-23 SU and 8-17-2 ATS for 35% and if on the road are an imperfect 0-12 SU and 2-9-1 ATS for 18% over the last 10 seasons. |
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09-10-22 | Alabama v. Texas +21 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Alabama vs Texas This is a very intriguing matchup and the public betting community is all over Alabama in this one. However, I think the Longhorn ground attack is much better than advertised and will be able to move chains. When you can run the ball against Alabama just enough to have it respected, it opens up the entire playbook for coach Sarkisian, who is 13-3 ATS in home games following a non-conference game for his career. He is also 16-4-1 ATS in home games played in the month of September and 15-4-1 ATS in the first four weeks of the season. Texas is 9-24 SU, but 19-14 ATS for 58% as a double-digit underdog since 1989 and 4-0 ATS over the past five seasons. From the predictive models there is high probability that the Longhorns will gain a minimum of 100 rushing yards and when they have achieved that and are priced as double-digit dogs has seen them cash at a 8-4 ATS clip for 67% winning bets. Also, ‘Bama is just 4-9 ATS for 31% when priced as a double-digit favorite and allowing 125 or more rushing yards to a ranked foe. |
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09-10-22 | North Carolina -7 v. Georgia State | Top | 35-28 | Push | 0 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
North Carolina vs Georgia State 4% best bet on UNC minus the points UNC head coach Brown is 8-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game, 13-3-1 ATS in road games after playing two non-conference games, and 38-20-2 ATS following a game in which his defense forced no more than one turnover for his coaching career. From the predictive model, UNC is 36-5 SU and 31-10 ATS for 76% winning bets when gaining at least 200 rushing yards and scoring at least 28 points. |
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09-07-22 | Marlins v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies 5% 10-UNIT MAX Best Bet on the OVER Please be disciplined with these 10-UNIT MAX Bets and resist the temptation to ‘go for it’ based on my 11-2 MLB 10-UNIT Max Best Bet Record. Deal? Great! The Phillies hold a 9-5 edge in 14 games played against the Marlins and have won seven of the past eight games. Marlins skipper Mattingly holds a 49-29 Over record in road games played in September and 34-20 Over when scoring two or fewer runs in three consecutive games and 28-13 Over in road games facing elite fielding teams averaging .5 or fewer errors per game. The Phillies are 37-24 Over as a home favorite between –125 and –175 and 53-34-5 OVER for 61% when lined as a home favorite between 120 and –200 over the last three seasons. Phillies are 20-12 Over as a home favorite and coming off a win against a divisional foe in which they allowed two or fewer runs and playing that same foe again in the current game. From the predictive models, we are expecting the Phillies to score in at least three innings and with two of those three innings being multiple run innings. In past home games in which the Phillies met or exceeded these performance measures saw the Over post a 93-14-2 record good for 87% winning bets over the past five seasons and a remarkable 19-1 OVER for 95% winning bets just this season alone. |
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09-06-22 | Braves v. A's +1.5 | Top | 10-9 | Win | 118 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves vs Oakland A’s 4% 8-Unit bets best on the A’s using the +1.5-run line Betting against road favorites using the run line with a money line price between a 130 dog and 255 favorite and with a total of 8 or fewer runs that is averaging a minimum of 4.5 RPG on the season and is coming off two consecutive games allowing no more than one run in either game has produced a 65-47 record, but has averaged a 116 Run Line bet producing an 18% ROI over the past five seasons. Oakland is 22-11 making 14 unit son the run line when facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by at least 0.5 RPG in games played in the second half of each of the past two seasons. |
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09-06-22 | Mets v. Pirates +1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 110 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
NY Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4% 8-Unit bets Bet on the Run Line with the Pirates An alternative strategy and the way I will be betting this game is to place a 2% amount on the moneyline and a 2% 4-Unit amount using the run line. Betting on home teams that are scoring 3.8 or fewer RPG and has been hitting poorly at .215 or worse over their last 15 games and now facing a good team with a good bullpen that has posted an ERA of 3.75 or lower on the season has earned an outstanding 90-59 record good for 60% winners, averaging a +115 dog and producing a 35% ROI over the last 25 seasons. |
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09-05-22 | Clemson -23.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Clemson vs Georgia Tech 4% best bet on Georgia Tech plus the points There has been an overwhelming amount of public betting going in favor of Clemson and forcing the line to move 5-points higher to +24 then where it opened at 19 points. 78% of the tickets bet are on the Tigers and this is the ‘red flag’ area that is one tool of mine that supports GT in this matchup tonight. Heisman Trophy winner and former FSU quarterback Chris Weinke is the GT quarterbacks coach, and he has worked with current QB Jeff Sims extensively during the offseason and preseason training camps. The GT offense will be going up against one of the best defensive lines in College Football, but Sims has the mobility to allude the pass rush and extend plays. He has a great arm that needed experience when to not throw into tight spots and I do look forward to him taking a big step forward this season. He is a dual threat QB that will minimize the Tigers defensive front four attack knowing that containment is preferred as opposed to getting sacks. Clemson is 0-8 ATS when the total has been between 49.5 and 56 points in games played over the last three seasons. |
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09-04-22 | Florida State +4 v. LSU | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Florida State vs LSU 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Florida State Seminoles plus the points and a little extra sprinkle on the money line. FSU is 59-34 ATS following a game in which they outgained them by at least 250 yards. From the predictive models we are expecting FSU to score at least 27 points and gain 375 or more total yards. In past games spanning the last 5 season, FSU is 6-1 ATS for 86% winning bets when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. LSU is as a favorite and allowing 375 or more total yards and allowing at least 27 points is just 5-7 SU and 3-9 ATS for 25% winning bets Betting on underdogs of +150 to +300 on the moneyline in the first two weeks of the season and was a struggling passing team completing 58% or fewer of their pass attempts in the previous season and has eight or more returning starters including their quarterback has earned a highly profitable 30-24 record averaging a +210 moneyline bet good for a 111% ROI over the last 10 seasons. |
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09-03-22 | Kent State +23 v. Washington | Top | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
Kent State vs Washington 10:30 EDT 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on Kent State plus the points Betting against favorites that have a new head coach in game one of the regular season that are coming off a season winning four or fewer games and facing a foe that won at least 4 games in their previous season has earned a 26-16 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. Washington is 3-11 ATS in games played on turf. Betting on road dogs in the first four games of the season, was a bowl team from the previous season and lost their season finale and the bowl games and starting a new quarterback and has five or fewer returning starters on offense has produced an exceptional 37-13-2 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the last 30 seasons and is 8-4 ATS for 67% over the last five seasons. |
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09-03-22 | Utah v. Florida +2.5 | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Utah vs Florida 7 EDT 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Florida Gators plus the points and sprinkle a bit more on the moneyline. These programs have only met once prior and that was back in 1977 when the Florida Gators defeated the Utah Utes 38-29 behind 531 rushing yards, which remains the programs record for most rushing yards in a game. No doubt that record will remain intact given this matchup and may never be broken given how the college football sport has evolved over the last 40+ years. Since 2006, top-10 ranked teams playing in week 1 action and favored by fewer than 4.5 points have gone 3-7 SUATS. Top-10 ranked favorites between –3 and –9 points playing on the road in week-1 are 5-2 SU, but 1-6 ATS for 14% since 2006. Moneyline super system. Betting on home underdogs on the moneyline that completed 62% or more of their pass attempts in the previous season and facing a non-conference foe from a Power-5 conference has produced a 24-16 record for 66% and making 32 units in profits. Florida coach Napier is 12-1 on the moneyline in games with a total between 49.5 and 56 points for his career. |
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09-03-22 | Houston v. UTSA +4 | Top | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
UTSA vs Houston 5:30 EDT 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on UTSA plus the points and a sprinkle on the moneyline. Betting on road underdogs that have nine returning offensive players including their quarterback from the previous season and with the game occurring within the first four games on their schedule has produced an exceptional 65-85 losing record BUT has averaged a +260 wager on the moneyline making $7,700 per $100 bet overt the past 10 season of action. Betting on road underdogs that were struggling passing teams completing 58% or fewer of their attempts in the previous seasons and has nine or more starters returning on offense has produced a 22-20 record for 53% winners averaging a whopping +320 underdog bet on the moneyline. The betting community is betting Houston with irrational exuberance with 77% of the bets made on Houston and 80% of the money on Houston. This is a red flag to bet Houston and is a contrarian indicator that supports our bet on UTSA. |
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09-02-22 | Western Michigan v. Michigan State OVER 54 | Top | 13-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
Western Michigan vs Michigan State 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Over From the predictive models MSU is expected to score 35 or more points. They are 37-4-1 Over for 90% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points and with a posted total of 55 or fewer points. They are 42-7-1 Over for 86% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points and with a posted total of 57.5 or fewer points. WMU is 20-2-1 Over for 91% winning bets when allowing 35 or more points in a game with a posted total of 57.5 or fewer points. The Over is the bet to make. |
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09-01-22 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks +120 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 120 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Arizona 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Arizona Diamondbacks using the money line Brewers are 8-15 losing 21 units when facing a NL team that is batting .245 or lower in games played in the second half of this season. Diamondbacks are 22-10 making 16 units in home games when facing a NL foe with an OBP of .315 in the second half of each of the past two seasons. Arizona is 9-2 making 8.7 units following a game that had a combined score of 17 runs over the past three seasons. |
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09-01-22 | Penn State -3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Penn State vs Purdue 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points. Penn State's defense lost its top two tacklers from last season but will rely on returning linebacker Curtis Jacobs to help generate pressure against O'Connell and the Purdue offense. With a freshman right guard on the Purdue O-Line, you will see the Lions defense look to bring pressure from that side when Purdue is on their left side hashmark on the field. The Lions and Boilermakers are meeting for the first time since 2019 and the third time since 2013. This marks the seventh straight season in which the Lions has started conference play on the road. The Nittany Lions have dominated the Boilermakers in the schools' abridged history, going 15-3-1, including winning the past eight. The Lions are 12-6 ATS for 67% winning bets and 6-2 ATS for 75% over the last eight meetings. From my predictive models the lions are expected to score at least 27 points and gain over 100 rushing yards. In past games spanning the last 15 seasons in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have produced a 59-24 ATS record good for 71% winning bets. When priced as an away favorite, an even better 17-4 ATS for 81% and covering the spread by an average of 15 points. |
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09-01-22 | Ball State v. Tennessee -35.5 | Top | 10-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
Ball State vs Tennessee 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Tennessee Volunteers laying the 35+ points I must admit, I cannot remember the last time, my predictive models targeted a massive favorite of more than 28+ points, but rest assured the reasons we are on Tennessee could match the volume of the great novel the Count of Monte Crisco. The Vols lost starting receivers Velus Jones Jr. and JaVonta Payton but return leading pass catcher Cedric Tillman (64 catches, 1,081 yards, 12 TDs) to an offense that ranked second in scoring in the Southeastern Conference to Alabama with an average of 39.3 points per game. Plus, they have recently added former five-star wide receiver recruit in former USC Trojan Bru McCoy. The NCAA cleared him for immediate eligibility just last week and he adds superior depth to what is expected to be an extremely strong offense in Knoxville this season. From the predictive models, the Vols are expected to score at least 40 points and are 99-3 SU and 86-15-1 ATS for 85% winning bets since 1989 when they have scored 40+ points. They are 34-0 SU and 25-9 ATS for 74% winning bets in home games priced as a 24.5 or more-point favorite and scoring 40+ points wince 1989 and are 9-0 SU and 7-2 SATS for 78% winners since 2014 season. |
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08-31-22 | Red Sox +112 v. Twins | Top | 6-5 | Win | 112 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Boston vs Minnesota 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Red Sox using the money line. The Red Sox will have Michael Wacha on the hill and he is 10-3 making 7.7 units on the moneyline in games pricing his team between a –125 favorite and +125 underdog. Twins are 20-30 losing 17 units on the moneyline after playing five or more consecutive home games spanning the past two seasons. Twins skipper Baldelli is 14-20 losing 17 units on the moneyline following a five-game stretch in which his bullpen had an ERA of 2.00 or lower. |
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08-31-22 | Dodgers +150 v. Mets | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
LA Dodgers vs NY Mets I am betting the Dodgers on the moneyline s a 4% 8-Unit bets bet Wednesday The Dodgers are 38-9 making 21 units on the moneyline when facing a team that averages seven or more strikeouts per game in the second half of this season. The Dodgers starter Anderson is 10-2 making 11 units on the moneyline when facing a team that has outscored their opponents by .5 or more runs-per-game in starts made over the last two seasons. Anderson is 18-5 making 14 units on the moneyline following a start in which he allowed no more than one earned run in starts made over the past two seasons. |
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08-31-22 | A's -105 v. Nationals | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Oakland A’s vs Washington Nationals 4% bets bet on the A’s using the money line Betting on AL road teams that are starting a pitcher with a season-to-date ERA between 4.70 and 5.70, that are taking on a host, who is batting no better than .250 for the season and with the game being not the first or last game of the series has earned an outstanding 29-11 record good for 73% winning bets averaging a +120-underdog bet and producing a 62% ROI spanning the last 25 seasons and is a perfect 4-0 over the past three seasons. |
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08-25-22 | Rockies +1.5 v. Mets | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Colorado vs New York Mets 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Colorado Rockies using the +1.5-run line For this game, I am splitting into two bets with the Rockies as a 1% 2-unit wager on the money line and a 3% 6-Unit wager on the +1.5-run line getting +160 or more. Since 2004, favorites of –400 or more in a game with a total between 7 and 8.5 runs has seen that favorite go 19-8, but by averaging a –432 wager has lost 15 units resulting in a -23% ROI. In the same scenario, these huge favorites have gone 13-11 averaging a –205 bet using the –1.5 run line resulting in a –20% ROI since 2004. Rockies are 30-16 making 14 units on the moneyline revenging a loss in which they scored no more than a single run in games played over the last two seasons. |
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08-25-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
Toronto vs Boston 4% 8-Unit best bet Over Betting Over the total when priced at 9 or 9.5 runs with a team, Blue Jays, that has posted an OBP of .300 or lower spanning his last 15 games and is starting a pitcher that allowed no more than one earned run in his previous start has seen the Over go 135-78 for 64% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Jays are 31-16 Over when facing a starter that is averaging 1.75 or fewer walks per start in games played this season. |
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08-25-22 | Cardinals v. Cubs +102 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
St. Louis vs Chicago 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Chicago Cubs using the moneyline. Betting on teams lined between a –125 favorite and a +125 underdog that are coming off an upset win over a divisional foe by six or more runs has produced a 52-26 record averaging a 110-dog bet producing a 37% ROI over the last five seasons. If the previous win had our team priced as a 135 or greater underdog the record soars to 25-11 averaging a 107 wager and producing a highly profitable 45% ROI over the last five seasons. Bet the Cubs. |
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08-24-22 | Sun v. Wings +6 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
Connecticut vs Dallas 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Dallas plus the points WNBA playoff teams that won the previous game on the road, lost the 2nd to last game on the road and now return home are 20-17 SU, 20-16-1 ATS for 56% wins over the past 10 seasons. If these home teams scored 85 or more in their previous game, they go on to a 9-3 SU 75% record and 8-4 ATS for 67% wins. Also, betting on any team that is making 71 to 76% of their free throws on the season, are facing a foe that is making 76 to 80% of their free throws, and that foe has made 45% or more of their shot attempts in two consecutive games has earned a 24-9 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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08-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox +136 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Toronto vs Boston 4% 8-UNIT best bet on the Red Sox on the money line 4% 8-UNIT best bet UNDER the total Toronto is 7-15 when playing their fifth or more game on the road this season. Betting on underdogs of at least +150 on the money line, scores an average of 4.4 to 4.9 RPG on the season, following a loss of at least six runs, and now facing an AL opponent that is starting a pitcher that has an ERA between 4.75 and 5.75 on the season has earned a 17-17 record, but by averaging a +173 moneyline wager has produced a highly profitable 40% ROI over the last 20 seasons. Over the past five seasons, these dogs are 6-1 averaging a +177 dog producing an amazing 141% ROI. The Under is 7-0 in these games |
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08-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
Toronto vs Boston 4% 8-UNIT best bet on the Red Sox on the money line 4% 8-UNIT best bet UNDER the total Toronto is 7-15 when playing their fifth or more game on the road this season. Betting on underdogs of at least +150 on the money line, scores an average of 4.4 to 4.9 RPG on the season, following a loss of at least six runs, and now facing an AL opponent that is starting a pitcher that has an ERA between 4.75 and 5.75 on the season has earned a 17-17 record, but by averaging a +173 moneyline wager has produced a highly profitable 40% ROI over the last 20 seasons. Over the past five seasons, these dogs are 6-1 averaging a +177 dog producing an amazing 141% ROI. The Under is 7-0 in these games |
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08-24-22 | Reds v. Phillies -235 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Reds starter Zeuch pitched against the Phillies for the first time in his career on Aug. 16, when he allowed six runs on 11 hits in four-plus innings. He was sent back to the minors on Sunday before being brought back on Tuesday. The Reds also called up catcher Chuckie Robinson and outfielder Stuart Fairchild from Louisville, and catcher Michael Papierski was shipped to the minors. Matt Reynolds (hip) was placed on the injured list. When Robinson makes his debut with the Reds, he will be the 58th player to appear in a game this season. That would set a franchise record. The Reds management is clearly looking at debuting many of their top-level minor league prospects and why not, since they have been out of playoff contention for months. Interim Phillies manager Thomson is 19-3 when facing a team that is averaging 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game and 22-5 when facing a NL foe that has a .390 and lower slugging percentage. Phillies are 30-12 following three or more consecutive home games this season and 18-5 when playing their 6th consecutive game home this season. I am on the Phillies tonight. |
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08-23-22 | Reds v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
MLB had one best bet Monday and it came through on the winning side as the Philadelphia Phillies knocked off the Reds. Here is tonight’s best bet featuring a pair of situational angles with one nailing down winners at a 75% clip. |
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08-21-22 | Ravens v. Cardinals OVER 38.5 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
Baltimore vs Arizona 4% 8-Unit Best Bet Over the posted total Essentially a self-fulfilling prophesy from the models as they expect both teams to score 20+ points in this game. The total opened at 41.5 points, but now is providing great value at 38.5 points for this preseason matchup. Note that Ravens are 16-0 Over in games in which both teams did score 20+ points and the Cardinals are 27-0 Over in preseason games in which both teams scored 20+ points. Plus, the first half Over bet at a price of 19.5 points looks good too noting that Harbaugh is 9-1 Over the first half total when coming off a double-digit home win |
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08-21-22 | Bengals v. Giants -5 | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bengals vs NY Giants 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Giants minus the points The predictive models show a high probability that the Giants will score 21 to 27 points in this preseason game. The Bengals are just 6-25 ATS in the NFL preseason when they have allowed 21 to 27 points. Giants have a new head coach, and he will be looking to continue to the positive momentum they generated in the first game defeating the Patriots in Foxborough 23-21. |
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08-21-22 | Eagles -1.5 v. Browns | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Eagles minus the points. Betting on road teams in a game lined between the 3’s and is coming off a game in which they forced no more than one turnover in their previous game has earned a 37-15-2 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons. The Browns defeated the Jaguars 24-13 and covered the spread as a 2.5-point underdog. The Browns are a miserable 3-15 ATS in preseason games coming off a double-digit win. |
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08-20-22 | Astros v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves 5% 10-UNIT MAX Best bet on UNDER the posted total Austin Riley hit a three-run homer off Lance McCullers Jr., Kyle Wright won his 15th game to tie for the NL lead, and the Atlanta Braves defeat the Houston Astros 6-2 on Friday night in the teams' first meeting since last year's World Series. The Braves have the third-best record at 30-14 since July 1 and are 18-9 since the all-star break. They have won 10 of their last 11 games. Teams that have won 10 of their last 11 games and are home favorites of not more than –145 have seen the Under produce a 22-12 record goof for 65% winners over the last five seasons. From my predictive models we are expecting both starters to complete a combined total of at least 12 innings in this matchup. In past games occurring after the all-star break and with both teams having won 60% or more of their games on the season has seen the Under produce a 22-8-1 Under record good for 73% winning bets over the last 15 seasons and is 5-1 Under over the last three seasons. |
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08-20-22 | Liberty v. Sky -9 | Top | 62-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
New York Liberty vs Chicago Sky Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the playoffs that lost their previous game priced as a favorite have produced an 9-3 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The Sky lost Game-1 98-91 as 10-point favorites and I fully expect them to bounce back with a big-time effort to even this series. |
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08-19-22 | Nationals +1.5 v. Padres | Top | 6-3 | Win | 140 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Washington Nationals +270 vs San Diego Padres -330 The Washington Nationals are arguably the worst team in MLB, but they were heroes last night as they were my best bet on the MLB Angle of the Day show. This quick-hitting video can be seen Monday through Friday and always features a highly profitable time-tested situational angle and system that you can track and use for your own betting opportunities. The Washington Nationals are my bet again tonight when they host the San Diego Padres and are priced as enormous underdogs. Situational Trends and Angles The following situational betting trends and angles support a bet on the Marlins in this matchup. The Padres are 27-46 losing 40 units on the moneyline when facing an NL team that is batting .250 or lower in games played in the second half of each of the last two seasons The Nationals are 7-2 making 11 units on the moneyline following two consecutive Under results in games played this season. The Padres are 5-10 losing 11.1 units on the moneyline in home games after allowing four or fewer runs in three consecutive games this season. I am going to the window betting the Nationals on the +1.5 run line +140 as offered at FanDuel. |
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08-19-22 | Royals v. Rays OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay Betting the Over in games with a total of 7 or fewer runs in a game played on Friday or is the first game of a series and with a struggling bullpen sporting an ERA of 7.00 or higher over their last 10 games has produced a 39-15-1 Over record good for 72% winning bets over the last 25 MLB seasons. |
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08-19-22 | Mets v. Phillies -117 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -117 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies These NL East divisional rivals begin a four-game series that potentially determine their playoff fates. Betting on home teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least 0.5 RPG following a game in which they were shutout has earned an outstanding 100-41 record for 71% winning bets and producing a 26.4% ROI over the last five seasons. Aaron Nola has been one of the best pitchers in baseball and if not for the remarkable season that Sandy Alcantara has put in, would be a contender for the Cy Young award. His season-to-date stats are among the best and he has walked the fewest batters per start in the Majors. His strikeout to walk ratio ranks tops in MLB. |
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08-05-22 | Yankees v. Cardinals +137 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 137 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals 5% MAX 10-UNIT best bet on the St. Louis Cardinals using the money line Ok, so just a reminder not to extend the amount bet on this 5% MAX Best Bet, especially on the reason that I am 9-0 in MLB last 12 months with these special situations. The Cardinals are off a divisional sweep of the Chicago Cubs and won both ends of the double-header played yesterday. Teams off a three-game divisional sweep and now playing in an inter-league game against an opponent with more wins on the season they have earned has produced a 23-13 record averaging a 117-underdog wager resulting in a highly profitable 38% ROI over the last 18 seasons, 19-10 record for 65.5% wins averaging a 118-money line wager and producing a remarkable 43.3% ROI over the last 10 seasons. Cardinals are 62-41 making 23 units when taking on a foe that averages 7+ strikeouts per game in the second half of each of the last two seasons. The Yankees are 3-10 losing 13 units following four or more consecutive OVER results in games played over the last two seasons. Cardinals are 25-14 when the total has been lined at 8 or 8.5 runs this season. |
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07-28-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 13-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies 4% Best Bet Dodgers on the –1.5 Run Line I also like a team total bet of 1% amount OVER Dodgers team total Dodgers are 55-36 on the run line when facing a bullpen that is overused and averages 3.2 innings per game on the season; 54-34 when facing a foe that averages 7+ strikeouts per game, and LA Dodger starter Tyler Anderson is 12-4 on the run line when facing a team that strikeouts 7+ times per game. Dodgers are also 31-12 on the run line after allowing two or fewer runs I games played this season and 12-3 on the run line following a win of 6 or ore runs in games played this season. |
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07-24-22 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -115 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 10 m | Show |
Toronto vs Saskatchewan 4% best bet on Saskatchewan at pick-em or up to a –2 point favorite. Road dogs of not more than 2.5 points and facing as team with a win percentage of 65% and higher are just 8-15 ATS for 35% wins and that obviously works against Toronto in this matchup. The models are projecting a high probability that SAS will score at least 28 points. Over the last 10 seasons the Roughriders are 29-19-1 ATS in home games when scoring 28 or more points. The Argonauts are just 15-47-1 ATS in road games in which they allowed 28 or more points over the last 10 seasons. |
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07-21-22 | Giants v. Dodgers -120 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
National League Best Bet Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants The all-star break is completed, and MLB looks to resume their great season Thursday. One of the key matchups features the NL West rivals Giants host the Dodgers, who have the best record in the NL at 60-30 and lead the Giants by 12.5 games in the divisional race. The Giants are only a ½-game out for one of the three Wild Card berths so this series is moumentally important for them to win. The Trends and Angles The following situational trends and angle support a betting opportunity on the Dodgers. The Giants are 0-7 when playing on Thursdays this season. The Giants are 7-12 after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Dodgers are 46-11 in home games when on a two or more-game win streak over the past two seasons. I am going to the window betting the Dodgers using the moneyline as an 8-Unit Bet offered at -140 at BetMGM. |
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07-16-22 | Dodgers v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Dodgers vs Angels 5% 10-UNIT MAX Best Bet UNDER the posted total Betting the Under when the total is between 8.5 and 10 runs with the road team starting a pitcher with a solid WHIP of 1.05 or lower on the season and is an excellent fielding team averaging .5 or fewer errors per game on the season has earned a 69-36-2 record for 65.7% winners over the last five seasons. If the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season, after game number 81, the Under has earned a 14-7 record for 67% winning Under bets. In Dodgers SP Urias last start he allowed 5 ER on just 3 hits over 2 innings. The last time he went two or fewer innings was back on April 10 at Colorado allowing 6 Runs and 3 ER on six hits. In his next start he completed five innings allowed zero ER, one hit, one walk, and five strikeouts in a 5-2 win over Cincinnati. I fully expect him to repeat this type of bounce back tonight. Angels are really struggling at the plate scoring 4.0 RPG and batting .230 for the season. Over the last seven games they have scored just 3.4 RPG and batted just .223. Dodgers pen has posted a 2.70 ERA with a .943 WHIP should Urias need any relief early. Dodgers are 15-5 for 75% Under winning bets on the road when the total has been 8 or 8.5 runs this season. Urias is 8-1 Under when working on five or six days of rest this season. Take the UNDER for a 5% 10-UNIT max Best Bet tonight |
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07-08-22 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan UNDER 47 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Ottawa vs Saskatchewan 9:30 EDT, July 8, 2022 4% best bet on the Under Ottawa is a solid 32-11-1 Under after playing a game in which 63 or more points were scored in each one, 13-4 Under after allowing 95 or fewer rushing yards in four consecutive games, and 12-4 Under in games played on turf spanning the last two seasons. Ottawa head coach LaPolice is 20-8 Under when priced as a road underdog. Saskatchewan head coach Dickerson is 9-1 Under in home games after outgaining opponent by 70 or more total yards in their previous game. The Under is the right side of this game. |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg -4.5 v. Toronto | 23-22 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 16 m | Show | |
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Toronto Argonauts 7:30 EDT, July 4, 2022 4% best bet on the Blue Bombers minus the points The Argonauts are coming off a dreadful 44-3 loss as 4-point underdogs at the hands of British Columbia in their last game. Betting against home teams that scored fewer than 10 points have been a money-burning has produced a 46-34-1 ATS record for 58% winners last 20 seasons and 26-12 ATS for 69% winners if they scored 6 or fewer points, and if scored fewer than 6 points have gone 22-9 ATS for 71% winning bets. Also, road favorites in a non-divisional matchup and playing on Mondays are 3-1 ATS and 4-0 SU. |
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07-03-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -190 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -190 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
San Diego vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4:10 EDT, July 3, 2022 4% best bet on the Dodgers on the money line Kershaw has the ball for the Dodgers, and he was roughed up in his last start allowing six earned runs on nine hits including two home runs. The last time he yielded 6+ earned runs in a start was on June 19 of the 2017 season when he allowed six earned runs to the New York Mets. In his next start against the Rockies, the Dodgers won, with Kershaw completing six innings, allowing zero earned runs, 1 walk, and 8 strikeouts. I expect a similar bounce back from him today. In home games at Dodgers Stadium, Kershaw is 100-40 in 197 starts with an incredible 2.22 ERA and 1,472 strikeouts. Betting on favorites that are a strong offensive team scoring an average of 5.0 or more RPG on the season, has allowed two or fewer runs in back-to-back games, and facing a NL starting pitcher with a 3.70 ERA or better has produced an exceptional 56-26 record for 68% winning bets since 2004. If our favorite is playing at home, the record gets even better with a 38-11 record for 78% winning bets and a highly profitable 25% ROI. |
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07-03-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Houston Astros 2:10 EDT, July 3, 2022 4% best bet on the Angels using the +1.5-run line Angels lost the first two games of this three-game series badly by a combined scored of 17-2. The predictive models have targeted the Angels to play significantly better and have a much better day at the plate and on the scoreboard. Betting on road teams using the +1.5-run line that are facing a host that defeated them by eight or more runs in the previous game and starting a pitcher in strong form with an ERA of 3.00 over his last 10 starts has produced a 30-10 record good for 75% winning bets since 2004. Angels are 38-234 on the +1.5 run ine after losing three of their last four games. Angels wake up and realize they need to win, but I will still take the +1.5 run line. |
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07-03-22 | Yankees -165 v. Guardians | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -165 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians 1:40 PM EDT, July 3, 2022 4% best bet on the New York Yankees on the money line The Yankees scored four runs in each of two innings and had a total of four multiple run innings in yesterday’s 13-4 win over the Guardians. Road teams that have outscored their opponents by at least 100 or more runs, had four or more multiple run innings in their previous game and the host is priced as a 100 to 170 underdog has earned a 33-17 record for 66% winners since 2004 and if the game was played in July, the record is a perfect 11-0! The Guardians McKenzie is on the hill, and he has been rocked for 6 and 7 earned runs in his last two starts. Since 2004, teams playing in July that are scoring 4.75 or more RPG and facing a starter that allowed 6 or more earned runs in each of his last two starts are 15-4 for 79% winning bets. |
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07-02-22 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
San Diego vs Los Angeles 7:15 EDT, July 2, 2022 4% best bet on the OVER Padres are 16-7 Over when facing an elite fielding team averaging 0.5 or fewer errors on the season. Dodgers are 38-21 when facing a NL starter that has a WHIP of 1.15 or better over the last two seasons. San Diego is 29-14 in road games after a five-game span where their bullpen has struggled to a 6.50 or worse ERA. San Diego is 28-12 Over in road games following a five-game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last two seasons. |
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07-02-22 | Rangers +120 v. Mets | Top | 7-3 | Win | 120 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Texas Rangers vs New York Mets 4:10 PM EST, July 2, 2022 4% best bet on the Rangers using the money line and boxed with Perez and Williams starting for the Rangers and Mets respectively. Here is a strong situational betting angle that I really like and has been a largely consistent money maker over many seasons. Bet on road teams when the total is 8.5 or 9 runs, have lost between 1 and 3 of their previous games, had no multiple run innings in their previous loss, and facing a foe that has a win percentage of 60% or higher on the season, and our road team is allowing an average of 1.75 or fewer runs per game by the bullpen (earned and unearned) This set of game parameters has earned a 38-34 record, averaging a +130 underdog bet and producing a 26% ROI. |
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07-02-22 | Angels +141 v. Astros | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Houston Astros 4:10 EDT, July 2, 2022 4% best bet on the LA Angels using the money line Here is another big money maker that applied to this matchup and supports the bet on the Angels, who lost 8-1 to the Astros Friday. Bet on teams when the total is between 8 and 9 runs in a divisional matchup, coming off a game with no multiple run innings, is on a 1 to 3-game losing streak, playing a foe that has won 60% or more of their games, and our team’s bullpen is allowing 2 or fewer runs per game has earned a 67-50 record averaging a +115 dog wager and a very good 21% ROI over the last five seasons. Angels are 23-13 in road games and having batted .225 or worse over their last five games in games played over the last two seasons. |
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07-01-22 | Rangers +176 v. Mets | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Rangers vs Mets 7:10 EDT, July 1, 2022 4% Best bet on the Texas Rangers on the money line Both teams had off Thursday to end the month of June. The New York Mets went 13-12 and saw their NL East Division lead of 11 games shrink to just 3 games over the Atlanta Braves entering July. The Braves went 21-6 and only the New York Yankees were better with a 22-6 record in June. The Mets are not playing consistently for weeks now and they cannot overlook a Texas Rangers squad looking to get back to .500 and be a contender for the Al Wild Card berths. The Mets are in good shape, though, knowing that they will be getting Max Scherzer back and then Jacob DeGrom returns most likely in August. They are the two aces of the pitching staff and it only stands to reason that the Mets will win a lot more games with them in the rotation.
· The Rangers are 25-17 when facing a starting pitcher that allows and average of 5.5 or fewer hits per start this season. · The Rangers are 45-25 when facing a NL starting pitcher with a 1.15 or better WHIP spanning the last 25 seasons. · The Rangers are an impressive 16-7 as underdog between +125 and +175 producing an outstanding 48% ROI this season. |
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07-01-22 | Brewers v. Pirates +185 | Top | 19-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh 7:10 EDT, July 1, 2022 4% best bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates on the money line Pirates are 43-37 making 27 units following game in which they hit four or more home runs. Betting on home underdogs that are scoring an average of 3.8 RPG, after back-to-back games allowing at least seven runs in each, and facing an opponent with a solid bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.75 or lower on the season has produced a 23-8 record for 73% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. It has averaged a +135 underdog wager. |
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06-28-22 | Twins v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 26 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Cleveland 1:05 EDT 4% Under Best Bet Here is a terrific betting angle that has produced a 30-10 Under record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet the Under in games with a total of 8 or 8.5 runs with the team scoring between 4.4 and 4.9 RPG and facing a solid AL starter with an ERA of 4.25 or lower on the season. Twins skipper Baldelli is 21-10 Under following a game in which they allowed no more than a single run in a win over a divisional rival. Twins won 11-1 in game-1 of this four-game series. |
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06-27-22 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners 10:10 PM EDT, June 27, 2022 4% best bet on the Under The Seattle Mariners have won five of six games by sweeping the Oakland A’s and taking two of three games from the LA Angels. The Mariners, though, continue to struggle offensively and have scored more than 5 runs in just three games over their last 15 games. The Orioles have been hot as well having won four of their last five games and took three of four games form the CWS. They now will play the Mariners for three games before ending their 9-game road trip with a 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins. Tyler Wells will start for the Orioles, and he is 5-4 in 14 starts with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.098 WHIP. He has gone 3-0 over his last three starts with a stellar 2.12 ERA and a 1.176 WHIP. George Kirby starts for the Mariners and he is 2-2 in nine starts with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.122 WHIP. Over his last three starts he is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and a 1.176 WHIP including just three walks and 16 strikeouts spanning 17 innings of work. The Mariners bullpen has been nearly hitless over their last seven games sporting a 0.44 ERA and a .885 WHIP. The Orioles pen has been nearly equally as strong sporting a 1.11 ERA and a .740 WHIP over their last seven games. This matchup points to the UNDER and the models grade it as a 4% betting opportunity tonight. |
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06-27-22 | Twins v. Guardians +114 | Top | 11-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Cleveland 7:10 EDT, June 27 4% best bet on the Cleveland Guardians using the money line Betting on home teams that are facing a foe that has had two straight games in which they had Zero home runs and is starting a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.00 or lower spanning his last five starts has produced a 68-34 record good for 67% winning bets and making the $100 bettor a $3900 profit over the last five seasons. Bet the Cleveland Guardians as a 4% best bet |
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06-27-22 | A's +253 v. Yankees | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Oakland vs NY Yankees 7:05 EDT, June 27, 2022 4% best bet on the Oakland Athletics using the money line Consider splitting this wager to be a 2.75% amount on the run line and a 1.25% on the money line for a more conservative combination wager. I like the money line and is based on season-long results in betting these massive dogs and knowing they will make us money over the course of a season. Oakland will start Blackburn, who is 6-0 in road games when facing a team that strikeouts an average of 7 or more times per game this season. The Yankees start left-hander Montgomery, who is 6-10 when facing a foe that is being outscored by at least 0.5 RPG in games played over the last two seasons. |
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06-26-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning +103 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Colorado vs Tampa Bay 8:15 EDT, June 26, 2022 4% best bet on the Tampa Bay Rays on the money line in Game-6 0.5% bet on Alex Killorn to score a point +135 0.5% 1st period 3-way Tampa has the lead +200 Per my models, which have done very well this season, it appears we are heading to a Game-7 to decide the Stanley Cup Champion. Road teams in the NHL Finals that have won 15 or more of their last 20 games and playing their fourth game with four total days of rest over the last week are 6-9 on the money line with the Under sporting a solid 10-4-1 record for 72% winning bets. Lightning is 47-17 in home games facing a foe that averages 29 or more shots on goal and converts 15% or more of their power play chances in games played over the last two seasons. They are 50-19 after two or more Under results in games played over the last three seasons. From my models, we are expecting the Lightning and Vasilevskiy to contain the Avalanche to two goals. Lightning is 28-5 when allowing two goals exact in games played over the last two seasons and 44-5 when allowing no more than two goals over the last two seasons. |
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06-26-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Padres | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs San Diego 4:10 EDT, June 26, 2022 4% best bet on the Phillies using the +1.5 run line Harper has a broken thumb and will be out indefinitely, which is a huge loss, but somehow, this may be the situation, that wakes up the entire roster and has everyone stepping up their game. Even without Harper in the lineup, the Phillies are a formidable offensive force. Harper is a loss, but they have plenty of depth in this lineup to get through the next 4 to 6 weeks without him and remain in playoff contention. Betting on road teams using the +1.5 run line facing a host whose bullpen did not give an ER in two straight games and is starting a pitcher with excellent control sporting a 1.100 over his last 10 starts has earned a highly profitable 78-40 record for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons. The SU record has been 58-60. |
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06-26-22 | A's +151 v. Royals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 151 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
Oakland vs KC 2:10 EDT 4% best bet on the Oakland A’s using the money line A’s are 26-12 making 14 units when facing a struggling bullpen posting an ERA of 4.70 or higher on the season over the last two seasons. Royals are a horrid 15-32 when facing a starting pitcher that has lost 80% or more of their decisions on the season. They are also just 10-21 losing 20 units when priced as a favorite between -125 and -175 over the last two seasons. |
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06-26-22 | Astros +160 v. Yankees | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 0 m | Show |
Houston vs Yankees 1:35 EDT, June 26, 2022 4% Best Bet on the Houston Astros on the money line The Yankees were no hit Saturday and we were on the Astros +150, which was quite nice to see. The Yankees have scored a total of one run over their last two games and if not for the bottom of the ninth heroics in Game-1, they would be in danger of getting swept by the Astros at home. This is all part of my statements made on the Full Count MLB show where I said the Yankees were ripe for regression. They are simply not DUE to score a monster number of runs in this series final because they scored just 1 run in their last two games. They could certainly, and if they do, it is not because they scored just 1 run or were not hit in their last game. Home teams that are 20 games over .500, that scored 1 or zero runs in each of their last two games, playing in the last game of a series are just 13-15 averaging a -160 favorite and producing a -20% ROI. So, the fade is in full force again for this series finale on the Astros. |
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06-25-22 | Mets v. Marlins +132 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Mets vs Marlins 4:10 EDT 4% best on the Marlins on the money line Betting on home underdogs of +125 to +175 starting a pitcher that averages fewer than 5 innings per start and facing a NL foe that is starting a pitcher with an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20 on the season has earned an outstanding 50-28 record averaging a +141 underdog bet over the last 25 seasons and is 19-9 over the last five seasons. The Mets start Bassitt and he has lost three of his last four starts and has posted a 4.39 ERA and a 1.133 WHIP over his last three starts. He just lost 6-2 to the Marlins June 19 in his last start at Citi Field. The Marlins pen is doing great recently with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.182 WHIP over their last 7 games. |
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06-25-22 | Pirates +158 v. Rays | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay 1:10 EDT, June 25 4% best bet on the Pirates using the money line Betting on NL underdogs of 125 to 175 with a slugging percentage of .400 or lower, starting a pitcher with a solid WHIP between 1.35 and 1.45 on the season and facing an elite AL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.300 or lower on the season has earned an outstanding 40-25 record averaging a +150 underdog bet over the last 25 seasons. JT Brubaker starts for the Pirates and he is top form posting a 2.45 ERA and a 1.364 WHIP over his last three starts. We are getting paid to assume the risk of this losing record underdog. |
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06-25-22 | Astros +152 v. Yankees | Top | 3-0 | Win | 152 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Houston vs NY Yankees 1:05 EDT, June 25, 2022 4% best bet on the Astros using the money line This system has earned a 48-31 record good for 61% winning bets averaging a +145 wager over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road underdogs of 125 to 175 facing a foe with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games and with a strong bullpen that has posted a 2.00 or lower ERA over their last five games. Regression does happen even to the best teams in MLB. Baker is 12-2 when facing a foe with a starting pitcher that has won 80% or more of their decisions and 30-12 when facing AL starter with an ERA of 3.40 or lower. |
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John Ryan ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-08-22 | Kansas State v. Iowa State +1.5 | Top | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
10-08-22 | North Carolina +3.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
10-08-22 | Virginia Tech +15 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 29-45 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
10-08-22 | Wisconsin -10 v. Northwestern | Top | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
10-08-22 | TCU -7.5 v. Kansas | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
10-07-22 | Padres +137 v. Mets | Top | 7-1 | Win | 137 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10-07-22 | Mariners v. Blue Jays OVER 7 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
10-07-22 | Phillies +100 v. Cardinals | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers OVER 41.5 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
10-02-22 | Chiefs v. Bucs | Top | 41-31 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons +1 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
10-02-22 | Bills -3 v. Ravens | Top | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
10-02-22 | Washington Commanders v. Cowboys OVER 41 | Top | 10-25 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
09-29-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 15-27 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
09-26-22 | Cowboys +1 v. Giants | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
09-25-22 | Ravens v. Patriots +2.5 | 37-26 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
09-25-22 | Bills v. Dolphins +5 | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
09-25-22 | Lions +6 v. Vikings | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
09-24-22 | Kansas State +13.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
09-24-22 | Middle Tennessee State v. Miami-FL UNDER 53.5 | Top | 45-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
09-24-22 | Florida +11 v. Tennessee | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
09-24-22 | Maryland v. Michigan UNDER 64.5 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
09-22-22 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 38.5 | Top | 17-29 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
09-18-22 | Texans +10 v. Broncos | Top | 9-16 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
09-18-22 | Bengals v. Cowboys +7 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
09-18-22 | Jets +6.5 v. Browns | Top | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
09-18-22 | Bucs -2.5 v. Saints | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
09-18-22 | Patriots -3 v. Steelers | Top | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
09-15-22 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
09-14-22 | Dodgers -125 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
09-13-22 | Dodgers -190 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
09-13-22 | Sun v. Aces OVER 163 | Top | 71-85 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
09-13-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
09-13-22 | Orioles v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks +7 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
09-11-22 | Ravens v. Jets +6.5 | Top | 24-9 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
09-11-22 | Saints v. Falcons +5.5 | Top | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
09-11-22 | Colts v. Texans +7.5 | 20-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
09-11-22 | 49ers -6.5 v. Bears | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
09-11-22 | Eagles -5.5 v. Lions | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
09-10-22 | Houston v. Texas Tech -4 | Top | 30-33 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
09-10-22 | Alabama v. Texas +21 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
09-10-22 | North Carolina -7 v. Georgia State | Top | 35-28 | Push | 0 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
09-07-22 | Marlins v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
09-06-22 | Braves v. A's +1.5 | Top | 10-9 | Win | 118 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
09-06-22 | Mets v. Pirates +1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 110 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
09-05-22 | Clemson -23.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
09-04-22 | Florida State +4 v. LSU | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
09-03-22 | Kent State +23 v. Washington | Top | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
09-03-22 | Utah v. Florida +2.5 | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
09-03-22 | Houston v. UTSA +4 | Top | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
09-02-22 | Western Michigan v. Michigan State OVER 54 | Top | 13-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
09-01-22 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks +120 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 120 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
09-01-22 | Penn State -3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
09-01-22 | Ball State v. Tennessee -35.5 | Top | 10-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
08-31-22 | Red Sox +112 v. Twins | Top | 6-5 | Win | 112 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
08-31-22 | Dodgers +150 v. Mets | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
08-31-22 | A's -105 v. Nationals | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
08-25-22 | Rockies +1.5 v. Mets | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
08-25-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
08-25-22 | Cardinals v. Cubs +102 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
08-24-22 | Sun v. Wings +6 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
08-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox +136 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
08-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
08-24-22 | Reds v. Phillies -235 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
08-23-22 | Reds v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
08-21-22 | Ravens v. Cardinals OVER 38.5 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
08-21-22 | Bengals v. Giants -5 | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
08-21-22 | Eagles -1.5 v. Browns | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
08-20-22 | Astros v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
08-20-22 | Liberty v. Sky -9 | Top | 62-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
08-19-22 | Nationals +1.5 v. Padres | Top | 6-3 | Win | 140 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
08-19-22 | Royals v. Rays OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
08-19-22 | Mets v. Phillies -117 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -117 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
08-05-22 | Yankees v. Cardinals +137 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 137 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
07-28-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 13-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -115 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 10 m | Show |
07-21-22 | Giants v. Dodgers -120 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
07-16-22 | Dodgers v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan UNDER 47 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
07-04-22 | Winnipeg -4.5 v. Toronto | 23-22 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 16 m | Show | |
07-03-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -190 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -190 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
07-03-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
07-03-22 | Yankees -165 v. Guardians | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -165 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
07-02-22 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
07-02-22 | Rangers +120 v. Mets | Top | 7-3 | Win | 120 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
07-02-22 | Angels +141 v. Astros | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
07-01-22 | Rangers +176 v. Mets | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
07-01-22 | Brewers v. Pirates +185 | Top | 19-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
06-28-22 | Twins v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 26 m | Show |
06-27-22 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
06-27-22 | Twins v. Guardians +114 | Top | 11-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
06-27-22 | A's +253 v. Yankees | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
06-26-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning +103 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
06-26-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Padres | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
06-26-22 | A's +151 v. Royals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 151 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
06-26-22 | Astros +160 v. Yankees | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 0 m | Show |
06-25-22 | Mets v. Marlins +132 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
06-25-22 | Pirates +158 v. Rays | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
06-25-22 | Astros +152 v. Yankees | Top | 3-0 | Win | 152 | 4 h 21 m | Show |