Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-01-23 | Cavs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 95-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs NY Knicks
Betting on teams in the second of back-to-back games against the same foe having lost at home by double digits has earned a solid 17-7 ATS record good for 71% winning bets. If the total is 220 or fewer points, the record has been 17-6 ATS for 74% winning bets. This algorithm has yet to have back-to-back ATS losses and is coming of an ATS loss. Bet on underdogs that are coming off a loss and have lost four or more of their last five games during the first six games of the season if they were a playoff team in the previous season has produced a 14-6 ATS record good for 70% winning bets since 2004 (20 seasons). |
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11-01-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green OVER 39.5 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Ball State vs Bowling Green 8-Unit best bet on the Over, currently priced at 40 points. Betting the Over between 35.5 and 42 points in a game from week 7 on that involved two struggling offensive teams that are gaining between 280 and 330 YPG has produced a 70-35 Over record good for 70% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. From the predictive model, we learn that the OVER has gone 19-7 for 73% winners when BGU has passed for 270 or more yards and scored 25 or more points in home games. In road games in which they allowed 25 or more points and 270 or more passing yards; Ball State has seen the Over go 23-10 for 70% winning bets. |
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10-31-23 | Kings +135 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 4-1 | Win | 135 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Kings vs Maple Leafs Toronto, Canada 8-Unit Best Bet on the Kings using the money line This graded betting opportunity is reinforced by the following betting system that has earned an outstanding 23-21 SU record for 52% winners averaging a +129 wager and earning an outstanding 18.2% ROI over the past five seasons. Bet on road dogs up to and including 150 on the money line that is allowing 2.85 or more GPG and has seen five more of their last games play OVER and coming off two games in which they and their foes each scored 3 or more goals. The Kings are 11-2 against the money line making 12 Units after allowing four or more goals in two straight games over the last two seasons of action. |
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10-30-23 | Wolves -1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-127 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks State Farm Arena Atlanta, Georgia 8-Unit Best Bet on the Wolves -2 points or if you prefer the money line. This bet is good up to and including 3.5 points. This graded betting opportunity is reinforced by the following betting system that has earned an outstanding 42-12 SU record for 78% winners and 35-19 ATS for 65% winning bets since 1995. Bet on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 105 PPG and are coming off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half. That’s all there is to it. If our road favorite is involved in a game with a posted total of 235 or fewer points, they have gone to a 40-8 SU record (83%) and 33-15 ASTS for 69% winning bets since 1996. |
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10-29-23 | Bears +9.5 v. Chargers | Top | 13-30 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Chicago Bears vs LA Chargers 8:20 PM 10-Unit best bet on the Chicago Bears plus the nine points and consider adding a sprinkle on the money line during the first half if the spread gets to 11 or more points.
Betting road underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that held each of their last three foes to less than 100 rushing yards have gone 26-5 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2018. If they are dogs priced between 6.5 and 10 points has produced an even better 11-2 ATS mark good for 85% winning bets since 2018. Betting against home favorites between 3.5 and 10 points that are coming off a road loss and in a matchup of teams that have lost 60% or more of their games on the season has earned a solid 46-25 ATS mark for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If both teams have lost between 60 and 75% of their game son the season, these dogs soar to a highly profitable 23-6 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Betting on road dogs between 3.5 and up to and including 10 points that are allowing a pass completion percentage of 60% and higher and coming off a solid defensive game in which they allowed 5.5 or fewer yards per pass have earned an outstanding 49-27-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. If not a conference matchup, these dogs have gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets. Chargers are just 5-15-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss to a divisional foe; 13-28 ATS in home games following a terrible game in which their defense allowed 300 or more passing yards. From the predictive models we are looking for the Bears to win the turnover battle and gain at least 135 rushing yards in this game. In past games in which they met or exceeded these projections has led them to an outstanding 14-4 SU and 14-4 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets. |
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10-29-23 | Warriors v. Rockets +5.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Golden State vs Houston Betting on dogs priced between 2.5 and 6.5 points that had a losing record last season and facing a team off a road win in which they scored 125 or fewer points and had a winning record last season and the current game has a total of at least 224 points has earned a highly profitable 60-38-2 ATS for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If in a non-divisional matchup and with our dog having one-day of rest improves their record to 38-19 ATS for 67% winning bets. |
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10-29-23 | Browns v. Seahawks -4 | Top | 20-24 | Push | 0 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Seahawks vs Browns 1:00 PM EST 8-Unit Best Bet on the Seahawks minus the points, currently priced as a 4-point favorite
Betting on a home favorite in a non-conference matchup that is coming off a double-digit win over a divisional foe has earned a highly profitable 39-15-1 ATS record good for 72% winning bets since 2009. |
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10-29-23 | Avalanche -170 v. Sabres | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -170 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
Colorado vs Buffalo Bet on road favorites up to and including -200 that are facing a foe that is allowing 2.85 or more GPG and coming off two games in which they scored 4 or more goals in each one has earned a solid 95-42 record for 69% winners and earning an exceptional 27% ROI in games bet over the past five seasons. |
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10-29-23 | Texans -3.5 v. Panthers | Top | 13-15 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
Houston Texans vs Carolina Panthers 1:00 PM, Week 8 So, the Texans find themselves at 3-3 for the season and for the first time in many seasons have realistic expectations to make the postseason. However, the Jaguars lead the AFC South Division at 5-2 and the Texans must keep pace and stay ahead of both Colts abnd Titans, who are both at 3-4 in the division race. The Texans QB, CJ Stroud, I shaving a solid season completing 127 of 213 passes for 1660 yards, nine TDs and just one interception. Overall, he has attained a 57.1 QBR for the season. In road games he has done much better completing 62% of his 109 passes for 771 yards, three TDs and one interception. The Texans are coming off the BYE and have had two weeks to focus and prepare for this pivotal game. Moreover, road favorites coming off a BYE week and playing a winless team are 10-1 ATS and 11-0 SU. So, I like betting 80% of the 8-Unit amount preflop and then look to get the remaining 20% amount bet if the Panthers score first or retake the lead during the first half of action. If neither occurs, but the halftime line for 20% as long as it is not above a 6.5-point favorite.
The Colts have seen 26 lead changes in their games this season, which is tops in the NFL. The Panthers have experienced 14 lead changes, so the probability that the Texans may trail at some point during the first half is quite high.
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10-29-23 | Jets -3 v. Giants | Top | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
New York Jets vs NY Giants 1:00 PM MetLife Stadium 8-Unit Best Bet on the Over the total currently priced at 35 points. Betting on the Over in a game lined between 35 and 42 points with one of the team sin the matchup (Giants) getting outscored by 4 or more PPG and coming off four or more Under results has gone 87-42-2 Over for 62% winning bets over the past 30 seasons.
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10-29-23 | Jaguars v. Steelers OVER 40.5 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
Pittsburgh vs Jacksonville 1:00 PM EST 8-Unit Best Bet Over the posted total of 40.5 points Betting the Over in a game with a total between 37.5 and 42 points in which one of the teams is getting outscored by 4 or more points per game and is on a 4 or more Under streak has gone 38-21 for 64.4% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. If that team (Pittsburgh) is playing at home, then the Over has gone 25-10 for 71.4% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. |
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10-29-23 | Eagles v. Commanders UNDER 43 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Washington 1:00 PM EST 8-Unit Best Bet Under the posted total of 43.5 points Philadelphia goes for it on fourth down and short yardage a lot and last week they Team that are coming off a game in which they covered 3 or more fourth down attempts and now on the road have seen the Under go 42-17-2 for 71% winning bets since 2001. |
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10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers +1.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 39 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Green Bay 1:00 PM 8-Unit best bet on the Packers plus the 1.5 points or if it is less than that consider the money line.
Betting on teams that have covered the spread in three consecutive games and facing a foe that has covered the spread in their last two games and with the team (Green Bay) being priced between the 3’s has gone 30-12-3 for 71.4% winning bets since 2015. If in a divisional matchup, our teams have gone 14-3-3 ATS for 82% winning bets since 2015. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 6 m | Show |
No. 11 Oregon State vs Arizona 10-Unit best Bet on the Wildcats plus the 3 points Betting on non-ranked home underdogs bet3een pick and 4.5 points that are facing a foe that is ranked and coming off a win that covered the spread by 3.5 to 10 points has produced a 27-20 SU record and 31-16 ATS mark for 66% winning bets sine 1993. Betting on home underdogs that are taking on a foe that allowed 5.5 or more RYPA in each of their last two games has gone 31-44 SU and 47-27-1 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If facing a conference foe these home dogs have gone 29-35 SU and 43-20-1 ATS for 68% winning bets. If home team is priced as a 5.5 or fewer-point dog, they have gone 17-17 SU and 23-10-1 ATS for 70% winning bets. Oregon State ranks 14th in scoring offense averaging 35.3 PPG and has the best red zone scoring offense in the nation. They produce scoring drives with their solid rushing attack ranking 28th gaining an average of 183 yards per game. However, Arizona has a great defensive front that ranks 19th nationally allowing just 99 YPG. Arizona can bring the heat effectively too in passing downs getting a sack on 9% on all plays run ranking 21st nationally. Plus, they get the job done in preventing multiple first down scoring drives averaging just 45% of the game on the field and ranks 13th best nationally. So, the OSU ground game is not going to have an easy time running the ball in this matchup – not saying they won’t gain over 100 yards, but it will be a struggle for them to do so. Arizona can run the ball and have gained 1159 yards on 227 carries for a solid 5.1 YPRA. Jonah Coleman is the featured back and has gained 433 yards on 65 rushes for a 6.7 yards per carry with 3 TDs. Arizona ranks 8th nationally completing 72% of their passes and rank 37th allowing a sack on just 4.6% of plays run. |
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10-28-23 | North Carolina v. Georgia Tech UNDER 64.5 | Top | 42-46 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
North Carolina vs Georgia Tech
8:00 PM – ACCN
Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta
points The Tarheels are coming off an inexplicably bad loss losing to one-win UVA 31-27 at home. So, the CFP playoff aspirations may be dashed, but they still can have a great season and possibly an ACC Championship. Head Coach Mack Brown will have his troops fully prepared and focused to make sure they do not suffer any hangover form the horrid loss. Great head coaches always focus on the defensive side of the ball following a horrid loss because it is the defensive failure that contributes the most the loss. Betting the UNDER with a road team in a conference matchup that is coming off a horrid loss to a conference foe priced as a 17.5 or more-point favorite and facing a foe that has won 50% or fewer of their games on the season has earned a solid 10-2-1 for 83% winning bets. Betting the Under in a game with a total between 63 and 70.5 points with the road team being a solid offensive team gaining at least 6.3 yards per play and have gained at least 450 total yards in each of their last three games has earned a 62-33-1 UNDER record for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the game takes place from week 7 on out to the end of the season the Under has gone 42-21-1 for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
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10-28-23 | Tennessee v. Kentucky +3.5 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 32 m | Show |
No. 21 Tennessee vs. Kentucky
Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
7:00 PM | ESPN
8-Unit best bet on the Wildcats plus the points
currently priced at +3.5 points. Betting on dogs between 1.5 and 6 points that are coming off two consecutive horrid double-digit losses to conference foes in weeks 5 through 9 has produced a 32-24 SU record and a highly profitable 38-17-1 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets since 2015. If our team has not covered the spread in four consecutive games, their record soars to 9-11 SU and 15-4-1 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2015. If our team is playing at home, their record soars to 19-10 SU and 21-7-1 ATS for 75% winning bets. |
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10-28-23 | Arkansas State +2 v. UL-Monroe | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe 5:00 PM EST Week 9 8-Unit Best bet on Arkansas State plus the points Betting on dogs between 1.5 and 6 points that are coming off two consecutive horrid double-digit losses to conference foes in weeks 5 through 9 has produced a 32-24 SU record and a highly profitable 38-17-1 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets since 2015. If our team has scored 24 or fewer points in total over their past 2 games has improved the results to 11-6 SU and 13-4 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2015. |
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10-27-23 | Rockets +3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 122-126 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs 8:00 PM EST 8-Unit Best Bet on the Houston Rockets plus the points ü Bet on road teams (Rockets) ü Road team scored |
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10-26-23 | Bucs +10 v. Bills | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
Tampa Bay vs Buffalo 8-Unit best Bet on the Bucs plus the 9.5 points Betting on road underdogs facing a non-conference foe coming off a road loss in the first half of the season has earned a solid 87-66-7 ATS record goods for 57% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and an 18-10-1 ATS mark for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. If a matchup of winning record teams, the road team has gone 16-7 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons. A sprinkle on the money line is worth it as I do see the Bucs being vastly undervalued in this matchup. |
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10-26-23 | Wild -112 v. Flyers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
Minnesota Wild vs Philadelphia Flyers 7:30 EST
Bet on road favorites between -100 and -150 that are slow-starting teams getting outscored in the first period of 0.2 or more goals on average and facing a foe that scored four or more goals in their previous game has earned a highly profitable 72-40 for 63% winners averaging a -123 wager and earning a 17% ROI since 2015. |
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10-26-23 | Syracuse +3 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
Syracuse vs Virginia Tech Syracuse has been coming up on the radar more so this season than in others and that’s ok no matter if they are 4-3 or 7-0 or even 0-7 as the models present us with opportunities to exploit based on the situations teams find themselves in any matchup. After starting out 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS, the Orange suddenly ran out of fire power on the offensive side of the ball. They scored 14 points in a 31-14 loss to Clemson, then 12 days ago lost to No. 4 ranked FSU 41-3 as failed to cover as 19-point dogs at Tallahassee. In the second to last game, they lost at UNC 40-7 as 9.5-point road dogs. They had five turnovers in the first four games and then turned it over 7 times in the past three games. So, at this point everyone is highly suspect of the Orange and rightfully so based on recency bias alone. V-Tech is not in the same class as UNC, Clemson, and FSU and few teams in the ACC, if any, would have been able to win on the road against those programs in consecutive weeks. The Orange have extra motivation to win the game and get one step closer to earning a bowl game appearance while at 3-4 V-Tech has little hope of getting to six wins knowing they are on the road at Louisville and BC, then a home finale against a solid NC State program and then a possible win at UVA. Betting on road dogs between 2.5 and 10 points that are coming off two consecutive horrid double-digit losses to conference foes and have played UNDER in three of their last four games has produced a 41-50 SU record and a highly profitable 60-28-3 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets since 2015. If our team has not covered the spread in four consecutive games, their record soars to 9-11 SU and 15-4-1 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2015. The base system mentioned first above has had just one losing record season going 2-5 ATS in 2021 over the past 10 seasons. The Orange are 41-23 ATS following a game in which they allowed 6.75 or more YPPL. V-Tech is on an 0-6 ATS streak after having won three of their last 4 games. |
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10-26-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
76ers vs Bucks 7:30 PM 8-Unit bet on the 76ers plus the 6.5 points I would not be making this bet regardless of the model grading if James Harden had joined the team in Milwaukee. The 76ers front office has done the right thing in preventing him from joining the team. The fact that the line has not moved since the news was released clearly shows he has made himself a meaningless piece of the 76ers squad and they are going to play far better without him on the court. From the predictive mode, the 76ers are 154-21 SU and 148-27 ATS for 85% winning bets when shooting at least 48 or better from the field, making at least 38% of their 3-pointers and having fewer turnovers than their foe. |
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10-25-23 | Cavs v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Brooklyn 7:30 EST
Opening Night in Brooklyn and with hopes and aspirations and expectations run high. The wild card this year is focused on Ben Simmons and if the practice sessions during this preseason will translate to the regular season games. Let’s not forget the fact that Simmons ranks 13th ion the all-time triple-double list with 33 such games. Granted, that is a million light years behind all-time leader Westbrook with 133 games or Oscar Robinson with 181 games, but he has always had the skillset to reach 100 career triple-doubles. Now, he is not the reason for this bet, but if his play is anywhere close to his peak performances with the 76ers (had game with 42 points), the Nets will have little difficulty winning this game. Cavaliers are just 33-65 ATS in games with a posted total between 220 and 229.5 points; 42-64 ATS in road games with a total of at least 220 points. Cavs head coach Bickerstaff is just 45-73 ATS in road games for his career. From the predictive mode, we are expecting the Nets to score at least 111 points and have the better assists-to-turnover ratio. In past games, the Nets are 95-18 SU and 81-32 ATS for 72% winning bets in home games and scoring >=111 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2019. |
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10-25-23 | Capitals +220 v. Devils | Top | 6-4 | Win | 220 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
Washington Capitals vs NJ Devils 7:30 EST
Bet on road teams in a game with a total of 6 or more goals and is coming off a game in which their last three opponents each scored 3 or more goals and are facing a foe that has scored 3 or more goals in their past two games has earned a 97-110 record, but by averaging a +158-dog bet has earned a highly profitable 14% ROI over the past five seasons. |
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10-24-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -157 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -157 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Consider betting 6-Units on the money line preflop and then add the 2-units using the -1.5 alternative run line if Arizona scores first or retakes the lead at some point during the first four innings. Game 7’s are special situations and the most exciting elimination game possible in all of sports. Since 2004, the home team is 10-8 averaging a -125 favorite for 56% winners and earning a 2% ROI. The average score has been 4.61-3.78 with the home team scoring 4.61 runs. It is all hands on deck for the every pitcher physically capable of throwing even a single out. However, the average pitchers used has been a combined total of 9 pitchers with the home team averaging 4.61 and the road team 4.39. A potential live in game bet is to take whoever is leading after four innings are completed knowing that teams in this year’s playoffs that have held a lead after the 4th inning have gone 31-2 averaging a -101 wager and earning a 94%-win percentage. Also, the team leading after four innings, not tied, in game 7’s has gone to a 12-3 record for 80% averaging a -105 wager and earning a 57% ROI since 2004. IN the playoffs, the Phillies are 34-5 for 87% averaging a -116 wager and earning a 65% ROI since 2004 in game 7’s; and 21-2 for 91% winners averaging a -135 wager and earning a 72% ROI since 2004. Ranger Suarez will be on the hill tonight for the Phillies and has been pitching in top-form durig the playoffs and has been a formidable force during the regular season. He is 20-10 making 15 units when facing a team with a winning record over the past two seasons; 12-1 making 12 units in home games facing a NL team that is batting 0.250 or lower in the second of the last three seasons; 9-0 making 11 units if that NL team is batting 0.260 or lower in the second half of the last two seasons. When Suarez has started in the playoffs, the Phillies are 8-1 making 11 units. Suarez has posted a remarkable 0.64 ERA and a 0.643 WHIP with 13 strikeouts and just 2 walks in his three playoff starts this season. NLCS Game 7 Best Bet |
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10-24-23 | Stars v. Penguins +114 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins Betting on home teams priced between a 130 favorite and 130 underdog, has won 30 to 40% of their games on the season, in the first half of the regular season and facing a foe that has won two or more of their last three games and has won 70% or more of their games has produced a 46-18 record good for 72% winners averaging a -110 wager and earning a 37% ROI since 2010.
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10-24-23 | Liberty v. Western Kentucky +6 | Top | 42-29 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Liberty vs Western Kentucky Betting on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are facing a foe that is coming off three consecutive wis over conference foes and has nine or fewer returning starters from last season have gone 52-20-2 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past 30 seasons and is 15-3-1 ATS for 83% winners over the past 10 seasons. Betting on home underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points following a game in which they committed no more than a single turnover and facing a foe coming off two consecutive games in which they had a turnover margin of one or better has earned a highly profitable 20-10 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. Western Kentucky is 21-7 ATS over the past three seasons for 75% winning bets in games that they score 28 or more points and the predictive model projects an 82% probability that they will score 30 or more points. |
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10-24-23 | Hurricanes -124 v. Lightning | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -124 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Hurricanes vs Lightning Bet on road teams that are on a 6 or more game OVER streak and priced between a -100 and -150 favorite on the money line has produced a 32-12 record for 73% winners averaging a -126 wager and earning a 33% ROI since 2007. Just one losing record season in 2008 when this system went 1-2.
Betting on road favorites that have scored three or more goals in five consecutive games and now facing a foe that has scored three or more goals in each of their past two games has produced a 63-30 record for 68% winners averaging a -146 wager and earning a 24% ROI since 2015. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43.5 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Monday Night Football 8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 43.5 points I prefer betting this game with a 5.5-unit amount preflop and then look for a faster than expected start to the game and add 1.5 units at 47.5 points and then the final unit at 49.5 points during the first half of action. San Francisco went on the road with a perfect record to take on the Cleveland Browns and they lost as a favorite. We were on the Browns as many of you know and sprinkled the money line as well. Many times, the first loss of a season by a stellar elite team regroups with a focus on the defensive end, which is the area of the game that gave the dog the chance at the outright upset win. 49ers have the best defense3 in the NFL, and at least in the NFC. The Jets defense held the Eagles offense to just 14 points in their upset win and are the only other team possibly better than the 49ers defensive unit. The 49ers defense ranks second allowing in the NFL allowing 14.5 PPG, third allowing 278 yards per game, second with a 0.235 points allowed per play ratio. 3rd allowing 4.5 YPPL. And second allowing 5.1 yards per pass despite ranking 31st with the second highest opponent pass play percentage. Offensive schemes going up against the 49ers defense focus on the pass game to have any chance at getting the upset win. Teams are averaging the second-lowest average of rushes (20.2 per game) in the league. The Vikings throw the ball the highest amount in the NFL at 69% of all plays run. The 49ers great defense is not because of an overly aggressive scheme. In fact, they rank 19th in the league blitzing on 14% of their defensive plays. The top blitz team in the league is the Vikings with 132 blitzes or 33% of their total defensive plays. The 49ers lead the league with a total of 27 quarterback hits and second to the Eagles (75) with 69 quarterback pressures. Remember the 49ers have played on fewer game than the Eagles. So, the 49ers front four can generate enough pressure on opposing quarterbacks without having to blitz and play a wide array of coverage schemes to create chaos and opponent turnovers. Betting the Under in the MNF game with one of the teams coming off an upset loss has earned an outstanding 20-2-1 UNDER for 91% winning bets over the past five seasons. If they are a road favorite in the current MNF game, the Under has gone 10-2 for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
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10-23-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -163 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -163 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Consider betting 6-Units on the money line preflop and then add the 2-units using the -1.5 run line if Arizona scores first or retakes the lead at some point during the first four innings. The Phillies have posted an excellent 0.344 on-base-percentage with 23 home runs, 15 stolen bases, and 22 doubles in 11 playoff games. The Snakes have posted a 0.308 OBP with 16 home runs, and just 13 doubles in 10 playoff games. Big offensive advantage to the Phillies lineup. Betting against road teams in October and November that are batting 0.230 or lower spanning their last 15 games has earned a highly profitable 48-17 record for 74% winners averaging a -133 wager and earning a 42% ROI in playoffs games. In playoffs games only, betting against these road teams has gone 23-11 for 68% winners averaging a -123 wager and earning a 31% ROI over the past 5 seasons. If that road team is batting under 0.,220 over their previous 15 games, facing them has produced a 26-10 record for 72% winners averaging a 37% ROI over the past 10 playoff seasons.
The Phillies will look to be quite aggressive on the base paths knowing that Merrill Kelly is not all that good at keep runners close at first base and their catcher Gabriel Moreno has a 1.90 pop time. That POP time is above average in the majors, but the Phillies have the team speed to more than offset that asset. Moreover, the Phillies JT Realmuto has the MLB best POP time at 1.82 seconds averaging 87 MPH throw down to second base. Moreno averages just 82 MPH. Plus, Kelly throws off speed on 35% of his pitches so look for the Phillies to anticipate those softer pitches given them more than ample time to grab a stolen base. NLCS Game 6 Best Bet |
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10-22-23 | Rangers +104 v. Astros | Top | 9-2 | Win | 104 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
8-Unit Best Bet for Game 6 of the 2023 ALCS is on the Texas Rangers using the money line offered at by DraftKings. So, yes there will be a Game 7 Tuesday Night. Only one other time in the past 20 seasons has a seven game playoff series saw the road team win the first six games. That was in the 2019 season when the Astros and Washington Nationals saw all seven games being won by the road team. With a 3-2 series lead heading back to Houston, the Astros failed to close out that World Series losing game 6 by a final score of 7-2 and then losing game 7 by a final score of 6-2. The current edition of the Astros is a vastly more formidable offense and I do not see them failing to score an abundance of runs in either game. The Starters for Game 6 The Texas Rangers have the edge in starting pitching sending Nathan Eovaldi to the hill to face the Astros Framber Valdez. Eovaldi is making his 29th start of the season and has posted a15-5 record with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.106 WHIP including 156 strikeouts over 163 2/3 innings of work. Over his last three starts all in the playoffs he has amassed a quite strong 2.29 ERA and a 0.864 WHIP with 24 strikeouts and one walk over 19 2/3 innings of work. Valdez has logged a ton of innings over the past two seasons and that heavy workload is shoing in his recent starts. He will be making his 34th start with a 12-13 record, 3.73 ERA, 1.171 WHIP, and including 211 strikeouts spanning 205 innings of work. Over his last three starts he has posted a 9.82 ERA, 2.545 WHIP with 18 strikeouts and nine walks over just 11 innings of work. In two playoff starts he has been hammered to the tune of an 11.57 ERA and a horrid 2.571 WHIP with 11 strikeouts and four walks over just seven innings of work. Valdez could be suffering from a ‘tired arm’ injury where many times the hand goes numb temporarily after a pitch. When this happens you will see the pitcher shaking his hand as if he is trying to loosen up his shoulder, but it is the hand that and fingers that he is tryig to get back to a sense of feeling. I am guessing, but I have been around baseball for more than three decades and I have seen this before and the injury is always accompanied by a significant loss of control and increase in the number of walks. I am surprised that Dusty Baker has elected to go with him for this incredibly important game tonight. The Bullpen Edge Goes to the Astros The reason why Baker may be opting to take a risk and start Valdez is that he knows he has the vastly better bullpen right now. The Rangers need Eovaldi to log as many scoreless innings as possible knowing their bullpen has posted a 4.12 ERA and a 1.297 WHIP, allowing six home runs, 33 strikeouts and 22 walks in the playoffs. The Astros have posted a 2.19 ERA and a 0.811 WHIP with 45 strikeouts, 11 walks, just three home runs allowed in 37 innings of work. Situational Betting Algorithm Supports the Rangers The following betting algorithm has produced a 35-15 record for 70% winners averaging a -105 wager over the past five seasons. Betting on road teams with a solid starter posting an ERA of 3.50 or lower on the season, are priced between a 125 dog and a -125 favorite and facing a host that is hitting no better than 0.260 on the season. 8-Unit Best Bet for Game 6 of the 2023 ALCS is on the Texas Rangers using the money line offered at by DraftKings. So, yes there will be a Game 7 Tuesday Night. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +6 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Chargers vs Chiefs 4:25 EST Globe Life Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 8-Unit best bet on the Chiefs Betting on road teams that are facing a team that is outgaining their foes by 1.25 or more passing yards per attempt and coming off a game in which they gained 7 or more yards per pass attempt have gone 72-40-2 ATS for 64% winners last five seasons. If in a divisional matchup, 22-7-2 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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10-22-23 | Steelers v. Rams -3.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Pittsburgh Steelers vs LA Rams 4:05 PM EST, FOX SoFi Stadium 8-Unit best bet on the Rams minus the 3-points Bet on any team that is facing a winning record foe that is coming off an upset home win to a divisional rival 82-48 SU (63%) | 84-39-7 ATS (68%) since 1989 If the foe pressed the QB on |
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10-22-23 | Cardinals +9.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Arizona vs Seattle 4:05 PM EST FOX 8-UNIT best bet on the Cardinals plus the 8 points and sprinkle on the money line Betting against home favorites coming off a road loss in the first half of the season has earned a highly profitable 66-33-3 for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team, the Cardinals, are coming off a SU and ATS loss, they soar to a 27-11-2 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. This is obviously a highly contrarian bet. Aside from the sentiment Python apps I run on Twitter to access the betting community’s appetite for specific teams, note that 60% of the remain 1785 Circa Eliminator entries are on Seattle. If our team is also averaging a mediocre 15 or higher yards per point ratio on offense, betting on them has produced a 50-22-3 ATS record for 70% winners over the past five seasons. |
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10-22-23 | Commanders v. Giants OVER 37 | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
Washington Commanders vs NY Giants 1:00 PM EST Betting on the OVER with a total between 35.5 and 40 points with the home team being outscored by 5 or more points and is on a four or more game UNDER streak has seen the Over go 34-12 for 75% winning bets since 1989. If the total is between 35.5 and 40 points, the Over has gone 24-2 for 92% winning bets. |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 41 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills vs NE Patriots Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA 1:00 EST 8-Unit Best Bet OVER New England opened at 7.5 points rose to as high as 9 points before trading back down to 7.5 points and with 7 likely to be the number ahead of kickoff. The total has slid from an opening of 46 for this game before the season starts down to 40 and with some 39.5 numbers showing up. The Under has amassed a 53-37-1 Under record for 59% winners this season and 11-2-1 Under last week. So, for the first time in years, the public is betting this trend as if it will continue on for the remainder of the season. As a result, we are getting a cheap price for this game, especially given that the Bills are in position for a bounce back offensively against the Patriots. The implied game result based on the current market pricing is a 24-16 Bills win. The Patriots team total warrants a sprinkle or not more than 2 units betting Over 16.5 points and getting +105 juice at DraftKings. I don’t like the Over Buffalo team total as the Patriots might score 20 or more points, so as shocking as it might be, I think this game could end up quite close. There is simply a higher probability that the Patriots exceed their team total than it is for the Bills to exceed theirs. Betting on the Over with a total between 35.5 and 42 points that is coming off four consecutive Unders and is a team getting outscored by four or more PPG on the season has earned a 62-36 record for 63% winners since 1989 and 11-5 OVER for 69% since 2019. Now, if the team referenced is playing at home, which the Patriots are has produced a 37-13 Over record good for 74% winning bets. |
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10-21-23 | Duke v. Florida State -14 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Duke vs Florida State In a matchup of ranked teams where the home team is ranked in the Top-15 and favored by double digits and hosting a foe that is ranked 15th or higher in the latest poll and a total of 50 or fewer points have gone 15-0 SU and 11-4 ATS. Duke is 1-9 ATS following a blowout win of 21 or more points over a conference rival. FSU is 10-1 ATS following three straight games facing conference foes. UNC coming off a 24-3 win as 4-point favorites over NC State. FSU is 6-0 on the season and coming off a 41-3 dominated win over Syracuse. They have scored 31 or more points in every game and have played a more difficult schedule than Duke. FSU played then No.5 LSU on a neutral field and won 45-24 and then two weeks later traveled to Clemson and won 31-24. |
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10-21-23 | Michigan v. Michigan State +25 | Top | 49-0 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
No. 2 Michigan vs Michigan State Michigan is 12-26 ATS in road games following a game in which they covered the spread by double-digits; 2-11 ATS following a game in which they scored 50 or more points. Betting on dogs between 21 and 25.5 points following three or more straight-up losses and facing a conference foe in the month of October has earned a highly profitable 38-20-3 ATS for 65.5% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This is a rivalry game and for Michigan State is their season as nothing else will really matter for them the remainder of the season. |
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10-21-23 | Capitals -125 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Capital vs Canadiens Bet on road favorites between -110 and -150 that is getting outscored in the first period of an average of 0.2 or more goals and allowed four or more goals in their previous game has produced a solid 69-40 record and earning a 22% ROI since 2015. If a favorite between -125 and -150, the record improves to 34-15 for 69% winners and earning a 34% ROI since 2015. |
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10-21-23 | Central Michigan -5.5 v. Ball State | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Central Michigan vs Ball State Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, IN 3:30 PM EST, Saturday Betting on road teams in a conference matchup with a total of 45 or fewer points that are facing a host that has had a -1 or worse turnover margin in three of their last four games has gone 41-22-1 ATS for 65% winners over the past 10 seasons. If the host has a win percentage of 40% or lower, the road teams improve to 22-9 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
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10-21-23 | Penn State +5 v. Ohio State | Top | 12-20 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Penn State vs Ohio State Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH Noon ET 10-Unit Best Bet on Penn State plus the 5 points. Consider betting this game with 8-units preflop and then look to add the remaining two units on PSU if OSU scores a TD first or regains the lead during the first half of action. From the models, there is a solid chance that if the research is correct, that PSU scores first and wins the game, which would eliminate any opportunity to get the 2-unit placed. Instead, playing a 6-Unit bet on the line and a 2-Unit bet on the money line preflop is a solid strategy too. PSU has one of the top offensive yards per point ratio in the nation – even factoring out the scrimmages against UMASS and Delaware. Teams that are ranked in the Top-10 from week 7 on out, and have posted a 46-7 SU record and a 31-22 ATS mark for 59% winning bets. If the team has a YPPT of 11 or lower (more efficient) and priced as a road dog have gone 20-12-1 ATS for 63% winners. The quarterback comparison is heavily in favor of PSU. In games against ranked AP opponents, Drew Allar has earned a 141 QB rating, completed 68% of his passes, averaged 166 passing yards per game and thrown for four touchdowns. He has yet to throw an interception in any game. OSU’s Kyle McCord has posted a 111 QBR, completed only 57% of his passes, averaging 240 passing yards and throwing ZERO touchdowns. Now, McCord has to go up against arguably the best defense in the nation that ranks #2 nationally allowing 8.2 PPG, best allowing 204 YPG, #2 allowing 0.128 points-per-play, best allowing 3.2 YPP, 8th allowing a 28% third down conversion rate, second allowing 67.4 rushing yards per game and allowing 2.1 yards per rush, best allowing 51% completion percentage, best allowing 4.9 yards per pass, #2 with a 14% sack percentage. Penn State defeated UMASS 63-0 last week. That result may seem completely irrelevant for this game, but note that teams that scored 58 or more points and allowed six or fewer points in their previous game and now are priced as a road dog have gone 28-16 ATS for 64% since 1980 and if facing a conference foe they have gone 14-6 ATS for 70% winners. PSU QB Drew Allar has a canon for an arm and despite the grey skies, I do believe you will see vertical crossing routes deep down the field using play action. PSU offensive line is tremendous and the best unit that Franklin has ever had. The ground attack is going to control the line of scrimmage and then when you see the OSU safeties creep closer and closer to the LOS to support the run defense I when these ’bomb’s will be thrown. Note, too, that OSU has allowed and gotten 10 sacks on the season. PSU has 26 sacks 50 tackles for loss and has allowed a sack on just 2.4% of all plays run ranking 9th-best nationally. PSU is the better team on the OL and DL and we are getting points. |
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10-20-23 | Phillies -122 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks 8:07 PM EST, October 20, 2023 8-Unit Best Bet on the Phillies in Game 4 using the money line Consider betting 6-Units preflop on the money line and then look to add 2 units more if Arizona scores first or retakes the lead during the first four innings of play.
The Phillies are playing at a historically high level and as a team are playing at induvial Cy Young and MVP levels. Only six other MLB players have hit more home runs in the playoffs than Kyle Schwarber. The Phillies have led or were tied in 70 of the 72 innings they played in the playoffs with the lone exception Game 2 of the Divisional Series against their rival Atlanta Braves. The Phillies have scored first in all of their eight playoff games. The 2017 Houston Astros scored first in 14 of their 18 playoff games enroute to the World Series Championship. Teams in the playoffs that scored first went on produce a 462-227 record for 67% wins since 2004. So far, in 2023, teams that scored first have gone 19-4 for 83% and the Phillies account for eight of those games. In other words, there have been just four come-from-behind wins in the playoffs this season. The Phillies have had nine multiple-run-innings in the playoffs representing 12.5% of the innings played. The Phillies have allowed just three multiple-run-innings while the Diamondbacks have allowed the most with seven. In the playoffs, teams with a 2-1 series lead and lost their last game are 36-20 (64%) 30% ROI If a rod favorite: 9-2 (82%) 47% ROI Teams that are winning the series and have a bullpen that is allowing |
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10-20-23 | Devils -107 v. Islanders | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
NJ Devils vs NY Islanders 7:37 EST Betting on road teams that are favored between -110 and -150 that are getting outscored in the first period by 0.2 or more goals and are coming off a game in which they allowed four or more goals has produced a 72-43 (63%) record and earning a 21% ROI since 2014. If a divisional matchup, our road warriors have gone 26-13 for 67% and earning a 27% ROI over the past 10 seasons. The predictive model tells us that NJ is 42-4 when they have allowed two or fewer goals in games played over the past two seasons. |
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10-20-23 | SMU -23 v. Temple | Top | 55-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
SMU vs Temple Betting on road teams that allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games and now taking on a host that scored 17 or fewer points in their last game has earned a 133-66-2 ATS record for 67% winners. If the game is a conference matchup and our road team is favored by 17 or more points, the record soars to 45-3 SU, 34-14 ATS for 71% winners since 2010. Betting on road teams that are facing a host that has had a -1 or worse turnover margin in four consecutive games has gone 87-41-4 ATS for 68% winners over the past 10 seasons. If our road team is a double-digit favorite, they soar to 28-10-1 ATS for 74% winning bets. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints OVER 40 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Jacksonville vs. New Orleans The market is overwhelmingly betting the Under all week and pushing it lower. 77% of the tickets bet this week are on the Under. Saints are 22-7-1 Over in home games and taking on a foe that is averaging 45 or fewer penalty yards per game. JAX is 51-32 Over after having won four or five of their last six games; 31-15 ATS off a home win to a divisional rival. JAX head coach Pederson is 17-6 Over when priced as a 7 or fewer road underdog. Since 1991, there have been just four teams to start out their seasons with 6 consecutive Under results. They all went 4-0 SUATS and 4-0 OVER. Teams that played six consecutive games Under the posted total and playing in weeks 7 through 10 have seen the Over go 24-10 for 71% winners. If the total is less than 43 points, the Over has gone 21-8 for 72.4% winning bets. Also, the Jaguars have really gotten it together over the past several weeks and without anyone noticing. They have produced a 11.8 yards per point ratio on offense for their last three games, which is third best in the league and a 21.9 YPPT ratio defensively over their last three games, which ranks 2nd in the league. Last, the Over price reflects the uncertainty or likelihood that Trevor Lawrence will not play tonight for the Jaguars. However, I am hearing that there is a much higher probability he will be under center tonight.
Thursday Night Football 8-UNIT Best Bet Total |
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10-19-23 | James Madison v. Marshall +3.5 | Top | 20-9 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
James Madison vs Marshall JMU is off to a perfect 6-0 start and are one of 11 undefeated FBS teams left in the nation. Marshall is a member of the Sun Belt and they need to a win to keep pace for the conference lead with Georgia State given that JMU is not eligible having moved up from the FCS last season. Also, JMU is coming off a monster win on the scoreboard winning by 28 points but outgaining Georgia Southern by just 18 total yards. Betting on home dogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points following a game in which they committed no more than one turnover and facing a foe that has turned in a +1 turnover advantage in each of their previous two games has produced a highly profitable 20-9-3 ASTS for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. NCAAF Thursday Night Sun Belt |
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10-19-23 | Phillies -126 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -126 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies 8:07 PM EST, October 19, 2023 8-Unit Best Bet on the Phillies in Game 3 using the money line Consider betting 6-Units preflop on the money line and then look to add 2 units more if Arizona scores first or retakes the lead during the first four innings of play.
The Phillies are playing at a historically high level and as a team are playing at induvial Cy Young and MVP levels. Only six other MLB players have hit more home runs in the playoffs than Kyle Schwarber. The Phillies have led or were tied in 70 of the 72 innings they played in the playoffs with the lone exception Game 2 of the Divisional Series against their rival Atlanta Braves. The Phillies have scored first in all of their eight playoff games. The 2017 Houston Astros scored first in 14 of their 18 playoff games enroute to the World Series Championship. Teams in the playoffs that scored first went on produce a 462-227 record for 67% wins since 2004. So far, in 2023, teams that scored first have gone 19-4 for 83% and the Phillies account for eight of those games. In other words, there have been just four come-from-behind wins in the playoffs this season. The Phillies have had nine multiple-run-innings in the playoffs representing 12.5% of the innings played. The Phillies have allowed just three multiple-run-innings while the Diamondbacks have allowed the most with seven. Road teams in the playoffs that have won the first two games of the series are 28-23 for 55% averaging a +111 DOG and earning a 17% ROI. The Diamondbacks are starting rookie Brandon Pfaadt, who was drafted #1569 overall in the 5th round of 2020 draft and attended Bellarmine University. He is a right-handed pitcher and MLB prototype 6-4 and 220 pounds. He throws 4-seam 45%, a slurve 27%, change up to mostly LH batters 12% and a sinker 10% and the rest a rare curveball. Since he does throw a slurve (Now called a sweeper and I hate it TBH) so the curve ball rarity is pointless. The bad news for Pfaadt other than being thrown into the Lion’s den, is that he ranks poorly in pitching run value, and just the fifth percentile in fastball run value. Worse yet he ranks in the bottom third percentage in barrel percentage and that is what the Phillies lineup top to bottom does very well right now. I think the Diamondbacks will look to get him through the lineup at least once and no more than twice and then look to their bullpen to finish off the remaining innings. Of the 1,612 pitches he has thrown, he has yielded 109 hits and 26 walks over 96 innings. 74 of the 109 hits allowed had exit velocities of over 100 MPH, which is horrid, especially against a power-hitting team like the Phillies. Moreover, his expected weighted OBP is 0.291enterig this game. Player Props for this Game (1-Unit max each)Brandon Pfaadt Under 11.5 recorded outs +110 at BetMGM Bryson Stott to record an RBI +225 at UniBet Corbin Carroll to record a double +550 at Bet365 Nick Castellanos to score a run +170 at DrfatKings MLB Playoffs Total Player Prop Results1. Game-1 Wild Card | Bet Wheeler Over 6.5 strikeouts -108 at FanDuel – W +100 2. Bet Under Luzardo 14.5 outs record +115 at BetMGM – W +115 3. Over Trea Turner to hit a double +400 at BetMGM – W +400 4. Bet Bryce Harper to hit a HR +520 at FanDuel – L -100 5. Game-2 Wild Card | Aaron Nola Over 6.5 strikeouts +115 at PointsBet – L -100 6. JT Realmuto to hit a home run +450 - +450 7. Braxton Barrett Under 13.5 recorded outs -110 at BetMGM W +100 8. Game -1 NLDS | Spencer Strider OVER 1.5 earned runs allowed -140 at BetMGM L -140 9. Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases +145 W +145 10. Trea Turner to hit a home run +450 L -100 11. Game-2 NLDS | Zack Wheeler Over 5.5 strikeouts +105 at FanDuel – W +105 12. Max Fried Over 1.5 earned runs allowed -110 at BetMGM W +100 13. Alec Bohm to hit a double +320 at Caesars L -100 14. Trea Turner to hit a home run +550 at Bet365 L -100 15. Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run +400 at DraftKings 16. Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 strikeouts +135 at Caesars 17. Harper to have 2 or more total bases +150 at bet365 18. Alec Bohm to hit a double + 375 at BetRivers – L -100 19. Kyle Schwarber to hit a double +575 at Bet365 – L -100 20. Christian Walker to hit a home run +450 at DraftKings – L -100 21. Kyle Schwarber to get a hit +116 at BetRivers – W +116 22. Tommy Pham to get a hit -160 at FanDuel – L - 160 23. Brandon Marsh to get a hit -110 at BetMGM – W +100 24. Bryce Harper to score a run +120 at BetMGM – W +120 25. Christian Walker to hit the first HR of the game +1000 (Consider ½-unit on this one) L -50 Total: +701 |
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10-18-23 | Aces v. Liberty -3.5 | Top | 70-69 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
Las Vegas vs New York
Wednesday, 7 EST WNBA Finals
8-Unit Best Bet on the New York Liberty minus the 3.5 points
Betting on any team coming off an upset win of 10 or more points and has played just three games in their past 10 days have gone 63-44-2 ATS for 59% winning bets and if our team is playing at home has earned a 33-21-1 ATS record for 61% winning bets. If the total in these games was between 160 and 175 points, their record goes to 15-8-1 ATS for 65% winning bets. |
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers -127 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -127 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
Houston vs Texas 8:03 PM EST, October 18, 2023 Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX 8-UNIT BEST BET on the Texas Rangers using the money line
The Rangers have been nearly as hot as the Phillies in their playoff run and a bit surprising too given that they blew the division crown in the Final weeks and had to go on the road to play a best-of-three series at the Tampa Bay Rays. Texas has won all seven of their playoff games and just one of those games has been at home. They have outscored their foes 39-16 including two shutouts. Teams that won the first two games of a playoff series on the road and now at home have gone 21-14 averaging a -112 wager and earning a 15% ROI. If they are a favorite of not more than -150, they have gone 15-9 SU averaging a -129 wager and earning a 17% ROI. Texas is 14-6 for 70% averaging a -117-wager earning a 35% ROI when facing a foe that is scoring an average of 4.8 or more RPG in games played after the all start break this season.
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10-18-23 | Florida International +5.5 v. Sam Houston State | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 22 m | Show |
Florida International vs. Sam Houston State Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, Huntsville, TX 8-Unit Best Bet on FIU plus the points, currently priced at 5. With the total priced at 41 points, scoring volatility will be below normal and limits the opportunity for a live in-game first half bet. So, I recommend placing the 8-Units all at once preflop. Betting on dogs of 4.5 to 9.5 points in weeks 5 through 9 of the regular season that are coming off back-to-back conference losses of 10 or more points have gone 27-33 SU and 42-17-1 ATS for 71% winning bets since 2015. |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -157 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies 8:07 PM EST, October 17, 2023 8-Unit Best Bet on the Phillies in Game 1 using the money line Consider betting 6-Units preflop on the money line and then look to add 2 units more if Arizona scores first or retakes the lead during the first four innings of play.
Dan Iassogna will be the home plate umpire and for the 2023 season, home teams have gone just 10-20 SU under his strike zone watch. This is quite misleading as coincidentally he was behind the plate in 14 of those games with the home team posting a losing record at the time and with that team going 4-10. So, winning record home teams went 6-10 on the season with Iassogna as the home plate umpire. In the playoffs this will be his 15th game behind the plate and the home team is 7-7, but the Over is 8-4 for 67%. Also, for his career, winning record home teams are 90-71 (56%) when facing a winning record foe. Here is the umpire angle supporting the Phillies. When Iassogna has been behind the dish, winning record home favorites of -150 or more hosting a winning record foe have gone 33-12 for 73% averaging a -178 wager and earning a 22% ROI for his career. Phillies’ skipper Rob Thomson is 41-15 making 22 units when facing a NL foe that is batting .250 or lower in games played in the second half of the season in each of the previous two seasons. In the playoffs, teams that have batted .230 or worse over their previous 15 games have gone 69-104 (40%) averaging a +105 wager and a money-losing -23% ROI. If these teams are on the road have gone 28-52 for 35% averaging a 121 wager and a losing -24% ROI. If the game 2 or beyond and coming off a loss, these road teams have gone 11-26 (30%) averaging a +118 wager and a losing -37% ROI. Player Props for this Game (1-Unit max each)Kyle Schwarber to get a hit +116 at BetRivers Tommy Pham to get a hit -160 at FanDuel Brandon Marsh to get a hit -110 at BetMGM Bryce Harper to score a run +120 at BetMGM Christian Walker to hit the first HR of the game +1000 (Consider ½-unit on this one) MLB Playoffs Total Player Prop Results1. Game-1 Wild Card | Bet Wheeler Over 6.5 strikeouts -108 at FanDuel – W +100 2. Bet Under Luzardo 14.5 outs record +115 at BetMGM – W +115 3. Over Trea Turner to hit a double +400 at BetMGM – W +400 4. Bet Bryce Harper to hit a HR +520 at FanDuel – L -100 5. Game-2 Wild Card | Aaron Nola Over 6.5 strikeouts +115 at PointsBet – L -100 6. JT Realmuto to hit a home run +450 - +450 7. Braxton Barrett Under 13.5 recorded outs -110 at BetMGM W +100 8. Game -1 NLDS | Spencer Strider OVER 1.5 earned runs allowed -140 at BetMGM L -140 9. Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases +145 W +145 10. Trea Turner to hit a home run +450 L -100 11. Game-2 NLDS | Zack Wheeler Over 5.5 strikeouts +105 at FanDuel – W +105 12. Max Fried Over 1.5 earned runs allowed -110 at BetMGM W +100 13. Alec Bohm to hit a double +320 at Caesars L -100 14. Trea Turner to hit a home run +550 at Bet365 L -100 15. Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run +400 at DraftKings 16. Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 strikeouts +135 at Caesars 17. Harper to have 2 or more total bases +150 at bet365 18. Alec Bohm to hit a double + 375 at BetRivers – L -100 19. Kyle Schwarber to hit a double +575 at Bet365 – L -100 20. Christian Walker to hit a home run +450 at DraftKings – L -100 Total: +575 |
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10-17-23 | Lightning +108 v. Sabres | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
Tampa Bay vs Buffalo 7:30 PM EST 8-Unit best bet on the TB Lightning using the money line. The Lightning are 31-24 averaging a +125 wager making 23 units when on the road and coming off two consecutive road losses over the past 20 seasons and 13-6 averaging a -110 wager and earning a 27% ROI over the past 10 seasons. Lightning head coach Jon Cooper is 145-77 for 65% wins averaging a -132 wager and earning a 28% ROI when having lost two of their last three games. If that game had the Lightning priced between a -125 favorite and a +125 underdog they went on to produced a 50-34 record averaging a _104 wager and earning a 20% ROI. Also, I prefer to have Jonas Johansson in net. |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +1.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
MNF: Dallas vs LA Chargers SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA 8-Unit Best Bet on the Chargers +1.5 points Consider betting 6-Units on the Chargers preflop and then look to add the remaining 2 units if Dallas scores a TD first or takes a 10-0 lead or retakes the lead by 4 or more points during the first half of action. Betting on teams using the money line following a game in which they forced three or more turnovers and now taking on a foe that committed four or more turnovers in their previous game has earned a 36-12 record for 75% winning bets over the previous 10 seasons. If the game has a total of 50 or more points, they have gone on to a near-perfect 6-1 SUATS mark for 86% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. From the predictive model, the Chargers are a rock-solid 62-8 SU (89%) and 58-12 ATS (83%) winning bets in home games in which they scored 23 or more points and forced two or more turnovers. |
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10-16-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -159 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies 8:07 PM EST, October 16, 2023 8-Unit Best Bet on the Phillies in Game 1 using the money line Consider betting 6-Units preflop on the money line and then look to dd 2 unit smore if Arizona scores first or retakes the lead during the first four innings of play.
Based on the analytics, on-base-percentage supersedes home run hitting in the playoffs. Of course, there are the games like Game 4 of the NLCS where all the runs scored in the 3-1 Phillies win were solo home runs. However, the innings and at-bats prior to those home runs set the stage for the Phillies to hit six home runs in Game 3 and three in Game 4. In the playoffs, keeping a starting pitcher under duress with consistent base-running traffic will set the stage for the home run and ultimately the dominant factor in most playoff wins. Then first and third situation is the most stressful for a starting pitcher and the Phillies have generated far more of those situations than any other team in the playoffs. In the playoffs, the Diamondbacks have 44 hits, 21 walks, and 19 extra-base-hits. The Phillies have amassed 54 hits, 23 walks, and 26 extra-base-hits. The Phillies have attained an outstanding 0.411 on-base-percentage while the Diamondbacks are right on their heels posting a 0.393 OBP in the playoffs. The Diamondbacks rank tops in the playoffs having seen an average of 4.27 pitches per plate appearance and the Phillies rank 4th averaging 4.05 pitches seen per plate appearance. The Phillies’ left fielder Nick Castellanos became the first player in MLB post season history to hit two or more home runs in consecutive games and ranks best with 23 total bases in the playoffs. He and teammate Trea Turner rank best with six extra-base hits. Turner ranks best with a remarkable 0.556 batting average of balls in play and 7th in Isolated Power. The depth of this lineup gives the Phillies a significant offensive advantage over the Diamondbacks. The Phillies’ Rookie sensation and center fielder Johan Rojas is already one of the best in the game today and was credited with a potential series saving catch in the gap in deep left-center fielder off the bat of Ronald Acuna. His defense far outweighs his struggles at the plate, and it is a bonus when he gets on base to turn the lineup over. JR Realmuto is the best catcher in the game bar none and over the Phillies defense is monumentally better and more consistent than the Diamondbacks. The Phillies Are the Team No Franchise Wants to FaceThe Phillies have a tremendous team chemistry that has shown all season with every player celebrating any other’s great play on the field. There are no egos on this team and is a tribute to skipper Rob Thomson, who utilized 110 different starting lineups this season, and the leadership on and off the field by veterans in Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola, and others. They have no fear whatsoever playing on the road against any team and have by far the best home field advantage and their incredibly supportive and passionate fan base. There are home field advantages and then there is Philadelphia’s Citizen’s Bank Park. As was the case in the two previous series, the biggest advantage the Phillies have is their bullpen, which was outstanding against the Braves. The unit is clearly an example of when you are called into the game just do your job. Phillies’ manager Rob Thomson used the relievers in various roles in the regular and playoff seasons and even had Matt Strahm on the hill to close out the series against the Braves, which was just hist his third save of the season. Situational Team and Player Trends and Angles for the NLCSIn the Phillies’ 3-1 Game-4 win that clinched the Divisional Series over the Braves, both Bryson Stott and Kyle Schwarber failed to get a hit. In past games, the Phillies are 9-3 following a game in which Schwarber and Stott did not get a hit. Stott and Schwarber are on my radar for the DraftKings lineups for the first two games of this series. Supports Phillies in Game 1. Phillies are 38-14 averaging a -165 wager and earning a 33% ROI in home games and taking on a NL foe that is batting 0.255 or lower in games played after the all-star break and playoffs in the past two seasons. Phillies are a perfect 6-0 in the first game of a playoff series spanning the last two seasons. The Situational Betting Algorithm for Game 1The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 33-8 record for 80% winning bets in games played in October and November over the past five regular and playoff seasons. The requirements are to bet on home teams facing a foe that has achieved a 0.480 slugging percentage over their previous five games in the month of October.
My best bet for Game 1 is on the Phillies by placing a 6-Unit amount on the money line and then look to add the remaining two units if the Diamondbacks score first or retake the lead during the first four innings of this game as offered at DraftKings.\ Player Props for this GameKyle Schwarber to hit a double +575 at Bet365 Bryson Stott to hit a double +525 at BetRivers Alex Bohm to get a hit -250 at Unibet Christian Walker to hit a home run +450 at DraftKings MLB Playoffs Total Player Prop Results1. Game-1 Wild Card | Bet Wheeler Over 6.5 strikeouts -108 at FanDuel – W +100 2. Bet Under Luzardo 14.5 outs record +115 at BetMGM – W +115 3. Over Trea Turner to hit a double +400 at BetMGM – W +400 4. Bet Bryce Harper to hit a HR +520 at FanDuel – L -100 5. Game-2 Wild Card | Aaron Nola Over 6.5 strikeouts +115 at PointsBet – L -100 6. JT Realmuto to hit a home run +450 - +450 7. Braxton Barrett Under 13.5 recorded outs -110 at BetMGM W +100 8. Game -1 NLDS | Spencer Strider OVER 1.5 earned runs allowed -140 at BetMGM L -140 9. Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases +145 W +145 10. Trea Turner to hit a home run +450 L -100 11. Game-2 NLDS | Zack Wheeler Over 5.5 strikeouts +105 at FanDuel – W +105 12. Max Fried Over 1.5 earned runs allowed -110 at BetMGM W +100 13. Alec Bohm to hit a double +320 at Caesars L -100 14. Trea Turner to hit a home run +550 at Bet365 L -100 15. Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run +400 at DraftKings 16. Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 strikeouts +135 at Caesars 17. Harper to have 2 or more total bases +150 at bet365 18. Alec Bohm to hit a double + 375 at BetRivers Total: +875 |
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10-16-23 | Panthers +160 v. Devils | Top | 4-3 | Win | 160 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
Florida vs New Jersey 7:07 PM EST 8-Unit best bet on Florida using the money line. The following algorithm has earned a highly profitable 40-24 averaging a +137 dog bet and earning a 43% ROI over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road underdogs of not more than 180 using the money line that scored four or more goals in their previous game and now facing a host that is coming off two consecutive games in which they and their foes each scored 3 or more goals. Also, I prefer to have Sergei Bobrovsky in goal for the Panthers. NHL 8-Unit Best Bet |
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10-15-23 | Patriots v. Raiders OVER 41 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders 4:05 PM EST, Week 6 10-Unit best bet OVER the posted total The Patriots are certainly struggling right now, especially on offense where they have scored a total of three points over their last two games and got shutout in their last game. The Patriots have seen their last four games play under the total and by a combined 19 points and in large part because of their anemic pathetic offensive performances. On defense they have allowed the opponents team total to go Over by a combined 22 points over their last four games and by 29 points over their last two games. The Patriots offense has played Under their team total by an incredibly poor 44 points. Teams that have played under their team total by 40 or more points and are on the road have gone 22-27 SU and 33-16 ATS for 67% winning bets since 1990. Teams that have scored 3 or fewer points in their last two games have seen the Over go 10-3 for 77% winners and teams that have scored 6 or fewer points over their last two games have gone 29-12 Over for 71% winning bets. Betting the Over with road teams in a game with a posted total of 37.5 to 42.5 points that are averaging an anemic 14 or fewer points per game and coming off two consecutive double-digit losses has seen the Over go 35-16-1 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1990 and 6-1 Over spanning the past five seasons. |
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10-15-23 | Panthers +14.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL 1:00 EST, Week 6 8-Unit Best Bet on the Carolina Panthers plus the points, currently priced at +14.5 points. Well, periodically, the numbers do point solidly to a dog, or perhaps better stated using the noun mutt, or a dog with a serious case of fleas, and this is certainly one of those opportunities. Carolina is winless at 0-5 and the Dolphins are 4-1 overall and 2-0 at home and considered by many to be the team to dethrone the Chiefs in the AFC. Betting on Dogs, with or without fleas, that are facing a non-divisional foe that has gained at least 450 total yards in each of their last three games and is also averaging at least 6 yards per play for the season have gone an amazing 11-15 SU and 20-5-1 ATS for 80% winning bets over the past five seasons.
Several months ago, when the Circa and a few others released their full season betting lines, the Dolphins were priced as a 7-point home favorite. The market has moved the price to a whopping 14.5 points an increase of 7.5 points. I have studied and participated in the Circa and WestGate and numerous other contests and when the line moves 6 or more points from those opening preseason lines presents a sold contrarian betting opportunity. The market and betting communities over react and price the surging juggernauts higher than warranted and discount the talents of struggling winless teams too much– not always of course. Winless teams on the road in weeks 4 through 7 of the regular season are 32-13-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the are priced as double-digit dogs has produced an 8-3 ATS mark for 73% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
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10-15-23 | Saints v. Texans +2 | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
New Orleans Saints vs Houston Texans NRG Stadium, Houston, TX 1:00 PM EST 8-Unit Best Bet on the Texans plus the 2.5 points
Betting on teams priced between the 3’s that are coming off a loss of three or fewer points and facing a foe that allowed 6 or fewer points in their previous game have gone 30-10 SU and 28-12 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. Home dogs in this role are 12-14 SU and 17-9 ASTS for 65% winners, and 17-8-1 Over the total for 68% winners. If priced as a four or fewer point dog, they soar to 12-4 ATS for 75% winning bets. Saints are 1-8 ATS when allowing 75 or fewer rushing yards and 1-10 ATS after allowing three or fewer points in the first half of their previous game spanning the past three seasons. Regression.
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10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns +10 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
49ers vs Cleveland Browns
1:00 PM EST, Week 6
8-Unit Best bet on the Browns plus the 10 or more points Watson is not starting, but the market has all of this priced into the current level of 10 points. The 49ers coming off a 32-point victory over the rival Dallas Cowboys and now will be facing a vastly underrated defensive unit that I believe can keep this game quite close no matter who is under center for the Browns offense. Bet on home underdogs that are facing a foe that has defeated their opponents by an average of 10 or more PPG and with that foe coming off a double-digit win have gone 40-45 SU, 60-24-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If that foes win was by 21 or more points, these dogs have gone 22-28 SU and 34-15-1 ATS for 69.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If that foe is also averaging fewer than 1 turnovers per game have seen these dogs go 12-5 ATS for 71% winning bets. |
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10-14-23 | USC +3 v. Notre Dame | Top | 20-48 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
USC vs Notre Dame Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Damer, IN 7:30 EST NBC/Peacock 8-Unit Best Bet on the Trojans plus the 2.5 points. This game is a matchup of ranked teams with USC taking to the road with a 6-0 SU record to take on a desperate Notre Dame squad with two losses on the season. USC is 2-4 ATS and 5-1 Over for the season. The Irish are 5-2 SU and 4-2-1 ATS including a 4-3 Under result on the season. USC has lost to the spread and seen the Over win the money in each of their last three games. Notre Dame has lost two of their last three games in a most-difficult schedule and covered the spread in just one. Notre Dame lost 17-14 hosting Ohio State, then took to the road and won a tough-fought game 21-14 at Duke, and then another road game losing at Louisville by the final score of 33-20. The Irish team is experiencing a fatigue problem on both sides of the ball, but regardless will have to be fully prepared if they have hopes of upsetting USC and their reigning Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Smith. Supporting USC is the following betting system that has produced a 23-24 SU record and 25-12 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 1. Bet on a road teams priced between the 4’s. 2. That road team is coming off a game in which they and their foe scored 31 or more points in their previous game. 3. The game is a non-conference matchup. |
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10-14-23 | Blackhawks v. Canadiens -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Chicago vs Montreal 7 PM EST 8-Unit best bet on Montreal using the money line. The following algorithm has earned a highly profitable 33-8 for 81% record averaging a -140 wager and earning a 44% ROI over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet on winless teams playing at home that are favored by no more than -200 on the money line and coming off a one-goal loss to a divisional foe. If they are favored by less than -150 on the money line. Also, I prefer to have Samuel Montembeault in goal for the Canadiens. |
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10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
No. 14 Louisville vs Pittsburgh Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA 8-Unit Best Bet on the Pitt Panthers plus the six points and sprinkle the money line. 6:30 PM EST Betting on home dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points coming off two straight double-digit losses to conference foes in weeks 5 through 9 and with the total of at least 40 points has earned a strong 21-25 SU record and 32-12-2 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Now, be sure to be sitting down for this subset. If our home dog has won no more than one game on the season, they soar to an unreal 10-9 SU and 15-3-1 ATS record good for 83% winning bets. |
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10-14-23 | Oregon v. Washington -3 | Top | 33-36 | Push | 0 | 48 h 26 m | Show |
No. 8 Oregon vs No. 7 Washington
8:00 EST, Thursday
10-Unit Best Bet on Washington minus the points, currently priced as 3-point favorites.
Betting on teams priced between the 3’s and facing a foe following four consecutive games in which they covered the spread has produced a 39-15 SU record for 72% and 40-14 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons. Not one losing record and went 14-1 ATS in 2021. If our team is playing at home and facing a conference foe, their record has gone 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the past five seasons. From the predictive model, we learn that Washington is 19-1 SU and 15-5 ATS for 75% when scoring 35 or more points and gaining at least 7.4 yards per play. Washington is also 7-1 ATS when having 10 or more first downs and gaining at least 6 YPPL. Last, Washington is 31-2 SU and 28-4-1 ATS when scoring 28 or more points and having 10 or more first downs than their foes. 10-UNIT PAC-12 MAX Best Bet Game of the Month |
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10-14-23 | Troy -6 v. Army | Top | 19-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Troy vs Army Michie Stadium, West Point, NY 3:30 PM EST 8-Unit Best Bet on Troy minus the 6 points Betting on road teams with a win percentage of at least 60% and coming off a conference win allowing less than 10 points has earned an outstanding 58-34-3 ATS record for 63% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. If the host has a losing record on the season (Army), our road teams have gone 22-10-1 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. If the total is 55 or fewer points, our road team has produced a highly profitable 10-0 ATS. Take Troy. |
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10-14-23 | Syracuse +19 v. Florida State | Top | 3-41 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
Syracuse Orange vs. No. 4 Florida State Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL Noon EST 8-Unit Best Bet on the Orange +18.5 points From the predictive model, we are expecting the Orange offense to outperform the market’s expectations by scoring 26 or more points in this game. Betting OVER the Orange team total is valid. Consider betting 5 to 6 units on Syracuse plus the points and the remaining 1 to 2 units OVER the team total. Now, in past games in which the Orange scored 26 or more points and scored in each quarter has produced a 40-7 SU record, 38-8-1 ATS mark for 83% winning bets. In road games dressed as a conference dog and scoring in at least 3 of the 4 quarters has produced a 7-7 SU record and an 11-2-1 ATS mark good for 85% winning bets. A little sprinkle on the money line is warranted – just in case. |
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10-14-23 | Indiana v. Michigan -33 | Top | 7-52 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
Indiana vs Michigan Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI Noon EST 8-Unit Best Bet on the Wolverines minus the points Betting on a team that has won their last three games by at least 21 points and facing a foe that lost their last game by 17 or more points has produced an exceptional 77-8 SU record and a 59-25-1 ATS mark for 70% winning bets since 2010. Now, if that foe is coming off a loss to a conference foe the record improves to a stellar 47-17-1 ATS for 73.4% winning bets since 2010. Drilling a bit deeper into the data, if our team is favored by 21 or more points, they soar to 44-0 SU and 34-9-1 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2010. A second algorithm has produced a 31-16 ATS mark for 66% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are to bet on an undefeated team favored by 21 or more points that has won their last two games by 28 or more points and facing a foe that allowed 37 or more points in their last game. |
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10-13-23 | Fresno State -4.5 v. Utah State | Top | 37-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Fresno State vs Utah State 8:00 PM EST, Friday 8-Unit Best Bet on Fresno State minus the points, currently priced as a 4-point favorite. The following betting algorithm has produced a 278-70 SU record for 80% wins and 207-137-4 ATS for 60% winning bets over the past 12 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road favorites that are averaging 31 or more PPG and facing a foe that is coming off back-to-back games in which 60 or more points were scored in each game. If our road favorite is facing a conference foe and coming off an upset loss, the record improves to 33-6 SU for 85% wins and 26-12-1 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2012. FSU head coach Tedford is 30-15-1 ATS for 67% winners as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. USU head coach Anderson is just 2-11 ATS after gaining 575 or more3 total yards in their previous game. Ryan’s NCAAF Friday Night Lights Best Bet |
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10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 | Top | 8-19 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Denver vs KC
8:15 EST
8-UNIT bet OVER the total, currently at 47 points Broncos are 19-5 Over when facing a team that averages 19 or fewer yards on kickoff returns; 45-20 Over following three or more consecutive Over results; Payton is 40-20-2 Over in road games with a total between 42.5 and 49 points for his career. From the predictive model, we learn that the OVER has gone 11-4-1 for 73% winners when the Chiefs have gained 400 or more total yards in games played over the past three seasons; 16-4 Over for 80% winners when gaining at least 6 yards per play in games played over the past three seasons. NFL 8-UNIT BEST BET TOTAL |
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10-12-23 | Braves v. Phillies +133 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 133 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 8-UNIT Best Bet on the Phillies using the money line In this game, like yesterday’s game, I think betting the 8-Units preflop makes sense given the probability – not the certainty – that the Phillies will get out to an early lead and win start to finish. Notice I said probability. Betting against elite offensive teams scoring an average of 5 or more RPG on the season in the playoff rounds that is facing a team, like the Phillies with an exceptional bullpen posting a season to date ERA of 3.75 or lower on the season has earned a 36-11 record for 77% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The Phillies tied a MLB Playoff record with 6 home runs in Wednesday’s huge 10-2 win over the Braves. Note that teams in the playoffs that have hit four or more home runs in their previous home game and now playing at home again have gone 9-3 SU averaging a -111 wager and earning a 47% ROI. Harper hit two home runs and in previous games in which he hit 2+ home runs his teams have gone 10-5 for a 25% ROI. Castellanos hit two home runs in his previous game and the Phillies are 4-1 in the next game. Player Props for this GameKyle Schwarber to hit a home run +400 at DraftKings Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 strikeouts +135 at Caesars Harper to have 2 or more total bases +150 at bet365 Alec Bohm to hit a double + 375 at BetRivers MLB Playoffs Total Player Prop Results1. Game-1 Wild Card | Bet Wheeler Over 6.5 strikeouts -108 at FanDuel – W +100 2. Bet Under Luzardo 14.5 outs record +115 at BetMGM – W +115 3. Over Trea Turner to hit a double +400 at BetMGM – W +400 4. Bet Bryce Harper to hit a HR +520 at FanDuel – L -100 5. Game-2 Wild Card | Aaron Nola Over 6.5 strikeouts +115 at PointsBet – L -100 6. JT Realmuto to hit a home run +450 - +450 7. Braxton Barrett Under 13.5 recorded outs -110 at BetMGM W +100 8. Game -1 NLDS | Spencer Strider OVER 1.5 earned runs allowed -140 at BetMGM L -140 9. Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases +145 W +145 10. Trea Turner to hit a home run +450 L -100 11. Game-2 NLDS | Zack Wheeler Over 5.5 strikeouts +105 at FanDuel – W +105 12. Max Fried Over 1.5 earned runs allowed -110 at BetMGM W +100 13. Alec Bohm to hit a double +320 at Caesars L -100 14. Trea Turner to hit a home run +550 at Bet365 L -100 Total: +875 |
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10-12-23 | Flyers +100 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
8-Unit Best Bet on the Flyers using the money line and make certain Flyer’s goalie Carter Hart is in net. From the predictive model, we are expecting the Flyers and Hart to allow two or fewer goals. The Flyers are 21-5 making 27 units when allowing two or fewer goals in matches played over the past two seasons. Columbus is an imperfect 0-44 when scoring two or fewer goals and 0-20 when scoring two goals exact in matches played in the past two seasons. |
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10-12-23 | West Virginia v. Houston +3 | Top | 39-41 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
West Virginia vs Houston
7:00 EST, Thursday
8-Unit Best Bet on Houston plus the points Houston is 18-6 ATS for 75% winners when facing a team that averages fewer than one forced turnover per game; 32-16-1 ATS after having failed to cover the spread in two of their last three games; 11-1 SU in home games following two straight games in which they did not turn the ball over more than once in games played over the past three seasons. Betting on teams priced between the 3’s and facing a foe following four consecutive games in which they covered the spread has produced a 39-15 SU record for 72% and 40-14 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons. Not one losing record and went 14-1 ATS in 2021. |
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10-11-23 | Liberty +5 v. Aces | Top | 76-104 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 13 m | Show |
New York Liberty vs LV Aces
Wednesday, 9 EST
8-Unit Best Bet on the Liberty plus the five points Betting on road teams that have allowed 50% shooting in three consecutive games and facing a foe that is coming off a game in which they shot better than 50% has produced a 25-14-1 ATS for 64% winners over the past 15 seasons and 6-1 ATS if in a playoff game. From the predictive model, we know that the Liberty in road games, scoring 81 or more points and having out rebounded their foe by at least 5 boards has gone to a 76-11 SU record and a 65-22 ATS for 75% winning bets. |
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10-11-23 | UTEP v. Florida International OVER 43.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
UTEP vs Florida International 7:30 EST, Wednesday Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL 8-Unit Best Bet OVER the posted total of 44 points Both teams are winless in C-USA play and barring a tie, one will walk away with the win. UTEP is 1-5 SUATS on the season and FIU is 3-3 SUATS. UTEP has played the more difficult schedule to date and that will pay off for them tonight in Miami. The ‘numbers’ do not point to a graded play on UTEP, however, they do point to UTEP exceeding their season to date measures, which makes the OVER the more likely bet to win. The Market is telling us that this will be a 23-21 FIU win tonight. The predictive model is expecting that both teams will score 24 or more points, In road games against a conference foe in which UTEP scored 24 or more points has seen the Over go 25-5 for 83% winning bets since 2005. FIU in home games against a conference foe and scoring at least 24 points has seen the Over go 26-10-3 for 72% winning bets since 2005. Betting on the Over from week 6 on out when priced between 42.5 and 49 points and the road team has a terrible turnover defense that forces less than one turnover per game has yielded a 62-36-2 record good for 63% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our road team is coming off a home loss to a conference foe and scored 14 or fewer points in that loss has seen the Over go 12-4 for 75% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. . |
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10-11-23 | Astros v. Twins -119 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins 7:07 EST 10-Unit Best Bet on the Twins using the money line, currently priced at -120. This line is likely to trend a bit lower ahead of the first pitch in the aftermath of the monster win by the Astros last night and the public’s recency bias. So far, 76% of the tickets and only 55% of the money has been on the Astros and this sentiment is bullish on the Twins. Betting on home teams that have gone 10 straight games committing no more than a single error in any of them and facing a foe that hit four or more home runs in their previous game have gone 101-55 SU for 65% winning bets averaging a -100 bet and earning a highly profitable 24% ROI since 2019. If in the playoffs, these teams have gone a perfect 7-0 averaging a -105 wager and earning a 100% ROI. In the playoffs, Home teams that are facing a foe that hit four or more home runs in their previous game of the series have gone 11-2 averaging a -112 wager and earning a 64% ROI. Player Props: Pizza MONEY sizeAaron Nola Over 4.5 strikeouts -160 at DraftKings Trea Turner top hit a home run +390 1. Game-1 Wild Card | Bet Wheeler Over 6.5 strikeouts -108 at FanDuel – W +100 2. Bet Under Luzardo 14.5 outs record +115 at BetMGM – W +115 3. Over Trea Turner to hit a double +400 at BetMGM – W +400 4. Bet Bryce Harper to hit a HR +520 at FanDuel – L -100 5. Game-2 Wild Card | Aaron Nola Over 6.5 strikeouts +115 at PointsBet – L -100 6. JT Realmuto to hit a home run +450 - +450 7. Braxton Barrett Under 13.5 recorded outs -110 at BetMGM W +100 8. Game -1 NLDS | Spencer Strider OVER 1.5 earned runs allowed -140 at BetMGM L -140 9. Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases +145 W +145 10. Trea Turner to hit a home run +450 L -100 11. Game-2 NLDS | Zack Wheeler Over 5.5 strikeouts +105 at FanDuel – W +105 12. Max Fried Over 1.5 earned runs allowed -110 at BetMGM W +100 13. Alec Bohm to hit a double +320 at Caesars L -100 14. Trea Turner to hit a home run +550 at Bet365 L -100 Total: +875 |
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10-11-23 | Braves v. Phillies -118 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Citizens Bank Park, Atlanta, GA 8-UNIT Best Bet on the Phillies using the money line In this game, I think betting the 8-Units preflop makes sense given the probability – not the certainty – that the Phillies will get out to an early lead and win start to finish. Notice I said probability. Betting against elite offensive teams scoring an average of 5 or more RPG on the season in the playoff rounds that is facing a team, like the Phillies with an exceptional bullpen posting a season to date ERA of 3.75 or lower on the season has earned a 35-11 record for 75% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. |
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10-10-23 | Seattle Kraken +145 v. Golden Knights | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
Seattle Kraken vs Las Vegas Golden Knights 10:37 EST, October 10, 2023 8-Unit Best bet on the Kraken using the money line, currently priced at +145 Consider betting 6.5-Units pre flop on the Kraken and then look to get the remaining 1.5-units on the +1.5 puck with a vig of -110 or lower during the first period only. The Stanley Cup Champs for a many reasons shows up with a bit of a hangover from the previous season. There is all the celebration in front of the home fans and presentation of awards that the game itself ends up being a letdown for the defending Champions. Plus, the visiting team, in this case the Kraken, who are a Pacific Division rival, would love to take it out on them on their home ice. In the first home game of the season, the defending Champion has posted an 11-9 SU record, but by averaging a -165 money line wager ends up losing money for a -15% ROI. They are even worse 5-14 on the -1.5-puck line, averaging a +150 wager and a losing -27 %ROI. If our road underdog had a winning record in the previous season, the defending champs are 7-7 averaging a -155 wager and losing -19% ROI. The defending champ has lost their first game of the season in three of the last four games. Last year, the Tampa Bay Lightning lost 6-2 as -250 favorites to the Pittsburgh Penguins. Two years ago, the St. Louis Blues opened up the season with a 3-2 loss as -150 favorites to the Washington Capitals. Three seasons ago, the Washington Capitals opened up their season with a 7-0 win over the Boston Bruins priced as -115 favorites and four seasons ago, the Penguins opened up with a 5-4 loss priced as a -180 favorite to the St. Louis Blues. Seattle went 30-19 in road games averaging a +123 wager and earning a highly profitable 34% ROI last season and if they were a road dog of not more than +200 went 19-14 averaging a +145 wager and earning a 47% ROI. |
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10-10-23 | Liberty -6.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Liberty at Jacksonville State
7:30 EST, Tuesday
Burgess-Snow Field, Jacksonville, AL
8-Unit Best Bet on Liberty minus the points, currently -6
Let’s get right into the betting algorithm supporting this best bet opportunity produced from the predictive model. This one has earned a 33-33 record, but a highly profitable 41-21-4 ATS for 66.1% winning bets over the past 8 seasons going back to 2014. The requirements are to bet on teams in a matchup of soldi teams that each have won 80% or more of their games on the season and with the foe having covered the spread by 49 or more points over the past five games. Now, if our team is favored by 4.5 to 9.5 points, the record soars to a highly profitable 12-4-2 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Liberty is undefeated at 5-0 and has covered the spread in four of those five games losing to the spread last game against Sam Houston State. JAX State is 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS. They have covered their last five games by 62.5 points and by 67 points on the season. So, this is the achievement level in which we would expect JAX State to experience some form of regression and a market that has now over valued them. In fact, home dogs of 6 or more points that have covered the spread by 60 or more points over their last 6 games have gone just 4-19 SU and 7-16 ATS for 30% wins. |
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10-09-23 | Packers +2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 13-17 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
Green Bay vs Las Vegas
8:15 PM EST
8-UNIT BEST BET on Green Bay Packers +2.5 or more points. Coming off a dismal NFL Sunday, but it is a reminder that no one is going to produce profits every week of any NFL season. Even in weeks that we have gone 4-1 or 5-0 ATS the results remind us that this is a grind, and that the success of any season is not dependent on one single week. I know all of you are quite used to my nagging (for very good reasons) and that discipline is the key. So, do not attempt to use this game to win back the losses over the weekend and at the same time, do not ever bet the profits made over the weekend on a MNF game. Betting on underdogs that are facing a team that committed three or more turnovers in their previous game and has a defense that averages one or fewer turnovers per game on the season has earned an outstanding 33-32-1 SU record and a highly profitable 46-16-4 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our dog is playing in a non-conference game, they soar to a 12-6-1 record and 14-3 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Here is the clincher, if our dog is playing on the road has produced a 9-3-1 SU record and a near-perfect 11-1-1 ATS mark good for 92% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. From the predictive model, we learn that the Packers are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS when gaining 100 or more rushing yards and forcing two or more opponent turnovers in games played over the past five seasons. |
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10-09-23 | Phillies +142 v. Braves | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 8-UNIT Best Bet on the Phillies using the money line As we did in the historic Game 1 win by the Phillies, consider betting 5.5 units on the money line and 2.5 units on the +1.5-run line. The expectations for this Game 2 of the NLDS is that the Braves are too good not to bounce back with a ‘must-win’ performance tonight. However, the Braves Achilles heel was revealed in game 1 as their production has dropped significantly when facing power hurlers averaging 97+ MPH. Zack Wheeler is one of them and he is pitching tremendous baseball right and he is a priced as a dog. Wheeler is 12-8 in 28 career starts against the Braves with a 3.17 ERA and a 1.187 WHIP. The Braves will start Max Fried, who has been battling nagging injuries and is 4-4 in 14 career starts against the Phillies with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.432 WHIP. For his career, Wheeler is 6-6 averaging a 170-underdog bet and earning a 32% ROI when priced as a +150 and greater underdog. Every start has been on the road. For this season, he has gone 14-6 in 33 starts with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.062 WHIP including 220 strikeouts and just 39 walks spanning 198 2/3 innings of work. In 17 road starts he has been even better with a 3.16 ERA and a 1.042 WHIP including 115 strikeouts and just 20 walks and allowed just 7 home runs spanning 102 2/3 innings of work. Of all starters with 450 or more batted ball events, Wheeler is tied with Corbin Burnes for the MLB best 3.4% barrels per plate appearance. This means that only three batters ever get credit with hitting the ball on the sweet spot or barrel of the bat. So, for every 27 batters Wheeler faces will square up the barrel of the bat on one of his deliveries. That is remarkable and that is the elixir that gives the Braves nightmares. Wheeler ranks third in MLB with an 11.9% hard-hit percentage of pitches thrown 95 or more MPH and third with an average exit velocity of just 86.9 MPH. Fried has not had enough batted ball events to be part of that list. He is an excellent starter and will throw fastball 45%, 12% slider, 17% change (used mostly to RH batters), and curve 26%. He does have one of the best curve balls in the game and largely because of the very high spin rate that averages 2800 MPH. At that high of a spin rate, makes it difficult for any batter to identify. However, that pitch starts a bit higher out of the release than his fastball and that will help Phillies batters. You can bet that he will throw that pitch a lot to the LH batters such as Schwarber and Harper tonight. Betting on road underdogs coming off a an upset win over a divisional rival and is now starting a pitcher that has allowed no more than a single earned run in each of his last two outings has earned a highly profitable 26-20 for 57%, but has averaged a +152 wager and earning a 41% ROI in games bet over the past 5 seasons. If our road warrior is priced as a +140 and higher dog, they soar to a remarkable 16-11 record averaging a 175 wager and earning a 61% ROI over the past five seasons.
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10-08-23 | Cowboys +4 v. 49ers | Top | 10-42 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys vs San Francisco 49ers
4:25 EST
8-Unit best Bet on the Cowboys plus the points Let’s get right to the point of this play and reveal a betting algorithm that earned a highly profitable 29-8-1 ATS record good for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and has covered the spread by an average of The requirements are to bet on dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have committed no more than a single turnover in each of their four previous games and facing a foe that has forced no more than a single turnover in each of their last two games. If our team is on the road the results improve to a remarkable 18-13 SU and 25-5-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Betting on road teams that are facing a host that is gaining 1.75 or more yards per pass than their opponents and coming off two consecutive games in which they gained 6.75 or more yards per pass has earned a 29-26 SU record and 35-17-3 ATS mar good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. From the predictive model, the Cowboys are 93-13 SU and 85-19-2 ASTS when gaining at least 125 rushing yards and forcing 2 or more turnovers and 16-3 SU and 15-4 ATS for 79% winners over the past five seasons. |
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10-08-23 | Jets +2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
New York Jets vs Denver Broncos
4:05 PM EST
8-Unit Best Bet on the NY Jets plus the points Betting on road teams priced between the 3’s and with the host coming off two straight road tilts and with the game occurring between weeks 5 and 8 have gone 38-17 SU and 36-16-3 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Betting on road teams priced between the 3’s, has covered the spread in just one of the previous three games, in a matchup of losing record teams, and with the host coming of two straight road games have gone 23-13 SU and 22-12-4 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. From the predictive model, the Broncos are just 13-25-1 SU and 5-33-1 ATS when allowing 24 or more points and allowing 5.5 or more YPPL. |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4.5 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Eagles vs Rams
4:05 PM EST, 10/8
The Eagles offense has not been in sync for an entire game, yet they have scored points in every quarter of their 4-0 start, except the second quarter in Week 1 against the Patriots. Teams that have scored in 15 or 16 of the quarters played spanning their last four games, priced as a road favorite, and facing a non-divisional foe have gone 16-16 SU, 9-22-1 ATS for 29%, and a solid 20-12 Over record for 63% winning bets. |
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10-08-23 | Texans v. Falcons -2 | Top | 19-21 | Push | 0 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
Houston Texans vs Atlanta Falcons
1:00 PM EST
8-Unit Best Bet on the Falcons -2.5 points The following betting algorithm has earned a 36-15 SU record (71%) and a 36-12-3 ATS mark for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on a team that has not covered the spread in three consecutive games and facing a foe that has covered the spread in three consecutive games and priced between the 3’s. Drilling further down into the database, if the total in these games was 45 or fewer points, these teams went 17-5 SU (77%), 16-4-2 ATS for 80% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our team scored first in the contest, they went on to a 10-0 SU and ATS record and covered the spread by an average of 9 PPG. |
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10-08-23 | Giants +13 v. Dolphins | Top | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
NY Giants vs Miami Dolphins
1:00 PM EST
8-Unit Best Bet on the Giants plus the points I know I will hear many moans on this one as we are backing a team that finds ways to play poorly in critical situations and find ways to lose games. Remember, I am betting on situations and not the mascot, and not if the team looked great or horrid in their previous game. That also applies to the great recent play by the Dolphins, who are on the precipice of regression too. The following betting system underscores the regression, and that the Dolphins recent offensive prowess is unsustainable. The algorithm has gone 19-12 SU, but 5-24-2 ATS for 17%, and the Under has gone 21-9-1 for 70% winning bets. The requirements are to bet on underdogs in a non-divisional frey that are facing a team that has averaged 450 or more yards of total offense over their last three games and has averaged 6 or more YPPL on the season. If the matchup is a non-conference one, these dogs have chewed mercilessly on these false favorites to the tune of 9-4 SU record and a near-perfect 10-1-2 ATS mark since 2017. The clincher, if we even needed one, is the fact that if our dog is priced at 4 or more points, they have gone on to a 5-3 SU record and a perfect 7-0-1 ATS record. |
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10-07-23 | Georgia Tech v. Miami-FL -20 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Georgia Tech vs No. 17 Miami (FLA) 8:00 PM EST Betting on home favorites of 11.5 or more points in games with a posted total between 42.5 and 59.5 points and hosting a foe that is fresh off a humiliating loss of 17 or more points as a home favorite of 10 or more points have earned an outstanding 47-4 SU record and a 37-13-1 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and 36-1 SU and 27-9-1 ATS since 2006. If this game is a matchup of conference foes, the favorite has gone 15-4-1 ATS for 79% winning bets. From the predictive model, we are expecting the Hurricanes to score 35 or more points and when they have in home games have earned a highly profitable 4-0 SU and ATS and covering the number by an average of 9 PPG under current head coach Mario Cristobal. |
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10-07-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
10-UNIT Best Bet on the Phillies as prescribed at the end of the report or on the +1.5 run line. A Pair of NL East Divisional rivals square off to play a best-of-five series to determine, who will advance to the NLCS starting Saturday at 6:00 PM EST at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. The weather at game time is expected to be 63 degrees with wind gusts up to 20 MPH out of the northwest throughout the game. The relative humidity will be extremely low at 25% so overall great weather for a baseball game. This season, the NL East division was dominated once again by the Braves, who went 104-58 averaging a -165 wager, but earning only a 1.5% ROI. The Phillies earned the top wild card berth by way of a 92-72 record averaging a -121 wager but producing a -1.7% ROI. The scant ROI’s for both teams is a reflection of how well the market priced these teams over a 162-game season. The Braves played exceptional ball at Truist Park sporting a 52-29 record averaging a -184 bet, but a money losing -1.5% ROI. The Phillies played consistent baseball on the road going 41-40 averaging a -105 wager, but a money-losing 5% ROI. The Weather Forecast for Game 1The wind will be blowing out to left field and may be a factor for balls hit very high. The stadium, is quite high behind home plate and extends down both the first and third base sides and shields the wind from the playing surface. So, the wind may not be a huge factor contributing to home runs being hit tonight. The setting sun will only be a problem for fans sitting on the third base side for about the first 45 minutes of the game. The Phillies Are the Team No Franchise Wants to FaceThe Phillies have a tremendous team chemistry that has shown all season with every player celebrating any other’s great play on the field. There are no egos on this team and is a tribute to skipper Rob Thomson and the leadership on and off the field by veterans in Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola, and others. They have no fear whatsoever playing on the road against the Braves, who will have to be at their best if they want to hold home field and advance to play in the NLCS. The Phillies ace, Zack Wheeler, was dominant in Game 1 of their wild card sweep over the Miami Marlins. Then in Game 2, Aaron Nola was equally as dominating, but it created somewhat of an issue for the brain trust to decide the pitching rotation for this series knowing the Braves would have their best rotation in place starter with Spencer Strider. So, it was not surprising to see the Phillies elect to start left-hander Ranger Suarez for Game 1, who went just 4-6 in 22 starts with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.416 WHIP including 119 strikeouts and 48 walks over 125 innings of work. He is a craft left-handed pitcher with a wide array and variation of pitches he uses to keep batters guessing. He uses a heavy late-sinking fastball about 50% of the time then mixes in a cutter 15%, change 18%, and curve 17%. His change is exceptional and used mostly against right-handed batters, but he will use it occasionally to left-handed batters. His fastball will top out at 95 MPH and average 93 MPH. His curve will have big-time late breaking movement attributed to a spin rate around 2,100 RPM. All of his pitches average about 2,000 RPM and that consistency make it tough for batters to identify what pitch is coming their way. Spencer Strider had a tremendous season posting a 20-5 record in 32 starts including a league-high 281 strike outs spanning 186 2/3 innings of work. He made 11 starts in which he struck out 10 or more batters, but the Phillies, as a team, are one of the most disciplined in MLB. Three of his five losses occurred at Truist Park where he went 8-3 in 16 starts with a mediocre 4.35 ERA and a 1.032 WHIP including 153 strikeouts over 93 innings of work. The biggest fact that the Phillies must overcome is that he went 11-0 in 12 starts against divisional foes with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.064 WHIP including 102 strikeouts over 73 1/3 innings of work. The biggest advantage the Phillies have is their bullpen and the scheduling of this series, which includes three days off allowing for even greater rest and managerial options. Their bullpen is the best of the remaining teams in the playoffs and have posted a 1.33 ERA and a 0.852 WHIP including 36 strikeouts and just six walks over their seven games spanning 27 innings of work. The Situational Betting Algorithm for Game 1The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 68-27 record for 72% winning bets averaging a -108 wager and earning a 55% ROI in games played over the past 25 regular and playoff seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams who are facing a NL foe that is starting a pitcher with an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20 and following a game in which their bullpen allowed 5 or more runs. Now, the fact that the last game the Braves played was meaningless does diminish that parameter of the algorithm so let’s substitute another game parameter for it. In the playoffs, road dogs of 125 and higher and facing a starter with an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20 have gone a quite impressive 29-26 for 53%, but by averaging a +155 wager have earned a highly profitable 28% ROI. Last, teams that won their previous game by 5 or more runs to close out a series are 8-7 averaging a +140 wager and a 29.5% ROI and a remarkable 11-3 on the +1.5-run line earning and 35% ROI. My best bet for Game 1 is on the Phillies by placing a 6-Unit amount on the +1.5 run line and a 4-Unit amount using the money line as offered at DraftKings. Player Props for this GameSpencer Strider OVER 1,5 earned runs allowed -140 at BetMGM Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases +145 Trea Turner to hit a home run +450 MLB Playoffs Total Player Prop Results1. Bet Wheeler Over 6.5 strikeouts -108 at FanDuel – W +100 2. Bet Under Luzardo 14.5 outs record +115 at BetMGM – W +115 3. Over Trea Turner to hit a double +400 at BetMGM – W +400 4. Bet Bryce Harper to hit a HR +520 at FanDuel – L -100 5. Aaron Nola Over 6.5 strikeouts +115 at PointsBet – L -100 6. JT Realmuto to hit a home run +450 - +450 7. Braxton Barrett Under 13.5 recorded outs -110 at BetMGM W +100 Total: +965 |
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10-07-23 | Vanderbilt v. Florida -17.5 | Top | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
Vanderbilt vs Florida
8-Unit best bet on the Florida Gators minus the points
4:00 EST SECN Betting on conference favorites between 13.5 and 19.5 points that are playing with revenge from a last season loss priced as a double-digit favorite and taking on a foe that is fresh off a loss priced as a dog have gone a highly profitable 31-4 SU and 25-10 ATS for 71.4% winning bets over the past 25 seasons of action and 6-2 ASTS over the past five seasons. Florida is 16-3-1 ATS in home games when facing a poor rushing team that is gaining an average of just 120 or fewer yards per game. Vanderbilt is 0-6 ATS this season and 13-35 ATS following a game in which they have allowed 325 or more passing yards. Road conference dogs are just 18-29-3 ATS for 38% if they have lost 6 or more consecutive games to the spread, lost 4 or more consecutive games SU and have two or fewer wins on the season.
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10-07-23 | Washington State v. UCLA -3 | Top | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Washington State vs UCLA
3:00 PM EST
8-Unit Best Bet on UCLA minus the 3.5 points Again, consider betting 5.5 units preflop on UCLA and then look to get 1.5 more units on UCLA at Pick-em and then 1-Unit at +2.5. This game has a total of 60+ points and the scoring volatility is coming to be quite high so let it work in your favor. Unranked home favorites facing a conference foe that is ranked 10th to 25th in the current poll and with a game total between 52.5 and 65 points have gone 31-20 ATS for 61% winners. |
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10-07-23 | LSU -5.5 v. Missouri | Top | 49-39 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
LSU vs Missouri
Noon PM EST, 10/7
Consider betting 6-units preflop on the Tigers and then look for Missouri to score the first TD of the game and get the remaining 2-units on the Tigers at pick-em or as close to pick-em as possible. Here is a situational betting algorithm that has produced a 41-14 SU record and am32-21-2 ATS record for 61% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and is 8-3 ATS over the past seven seasons. The requirements are to bet on road favorites in a conference matchup that are ranked lower in the current AP poll. LSU is 23rd while undefeated Missouri is 21st. if our team is coming off a loss, they soar to 13-5-2 ATS for 72% winning bets and if they scored 27 or more points in that loss are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS LSU has two losses and Missouri has none, but LSU has played a much more difficult schedule. You may recall we had Ole Miss as a 10-UNIT MAX Bet winner over LSU last week and with the other loss taking place in Week 1 over highly ranked FSU. There have been reports of player descension in the locker room over head coach Kelly. I do not put much weight in the handicapping of this game, because at the end of the day, many of the players in that locker room have much bigger goals of playing in the NFL. |
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10-07-23 | Oklahoma v. Texas -4.5 | Top | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs Texas
Noon EST, October 7, Week 6
8-Unit best bet on the Texas Longhorns minus the points Betting on teams that have won 80% or more of their games and facing a foe that has covered the spread by 49 or more points spanning their last five games and also has won 80% or more of their games on the season has produced a highly profitable 29-13-3 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Teams, like Texas, who they and their current foe in week 6 action has no more than one loss and with that foe having covered the spread by 42 or more points over their first five games has gone 9-4-1 ATS for 69% winning bets. Also, teams, like Texas, who are coming off a game in which they gained 300 or more rushing and 300 or more passing yards in their previous game have gone 96-29 (77%) and 71-52-2 ATS for 58% winning bets. If facing an undefeated conference foe has gone 6-1 SU and ATS for 86% winning bets. In the red river rivalry, Texas is 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS for 82% winners when scoring 31 or more points and the predictive model shows an 84% probability that Texas will score 31 or more points. Even if they score 28 or more points, Texas has gone 10-3 SU and 11-2 ATS for 85% winners. |
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10-07-23 | Western Michigan v. Mississippi State -21 | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
Western Michigan vs Mississippi State
Noon EST, Saturday
8-Unit best bet on Mississippi State minus the points Betting on favorites between 16 and 24.5 points and with a total between 48 and 61.5 points that are coming off a terrible loss of 20 or more points to a conference foe priced as an underdog and with the game occurring during the regular season have gone 59-2 SU, 45-16 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past 22 seasons. The total of 57 points and State being favored by 20 points implies a State 38.5-18.5 point win. The predictive model shows an 82% probability that State will score at least 31 points and in past games in which they have done this, they have gone 40-6 SU and 36-9 ATS for 80% winning bets and if on the road facing a non-conference foe has produced a 17-1 SU record and a 13-5 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets. |
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10-06-23 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State +11.5 | Top | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State
7:30 PM EST, 10/6
plus 11.5 points.
Here is a situational betting algorithm that has produced a 33-45 SU record and a 47-25-6 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and is 10-1 ATS over the past three seasons. The requirements are to bet on a team that has a struggling defense that is allowing between 5.6 and 6.25 YPPL and is facing a team that has a solid offensive unit gaining at least 6.2 YPPL and has a defense that allowed 6.75 YPPL in each of their last two games. Over the past three seasons this algorithm has produced an 8-3 SU and 9-2-1 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets. |
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10-05-23 | Bears +6.5 v. Commanders | Top | 40-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders 8:15 PM EST, 10/5 Prime Telecast Certainly not a ‘sexy matchup’, but the analytics clearly point to a contrarian bet on the Bears plus the 5.5 points. Betting on road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are allowing an average of 28 or more points per game on the season have gone 47-89 SU (65.6%), 88-46-3 ATS (65.7%) over the past 10 seasons of action. If our road warrior underdog is facing a host coming off a home loss, they soar to 6-10 SU, and 12-4 ATS for 75% winners over the past 10 seasons. Betting on road teams after allowing 6.75 or more YPPA in four consecutive games and now facing a foe that is coming off a game in which they allowed 8 or more YPPA has yielded a 35-31-1 SU record and 48-19 ATS for 72% winning bets since 1989. If in a non-divisional matchup, these dogs soar to 22-22-1 SU and 32-13 ATS for 71.1% winning bets over the past 34 seasons and has had just 3 seasons losing money. Here is a second betting algorithm that ash done quite well earning a 26-19 SU record and 29-14-2 ATS mark good for 67.4% winning bets over the past 34 seasons. The requirements are to bet on dogs of six or fewer points that are coming off a loss in which the game played Over the total and with that dog having more penalties then incomplete passes. |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA 8:00 EST, October 5 8-Unit Best Bet on the LT Bulldogs plus the points It is Thursday and we have two games scheduled in the C-USA. The Bulldogs are coming off a 24-10 win featuring a punt return for a TD over UTEP. JAX State won lasty night as an 8-Unit Best bet over Middle Tennessee State and leads the conference with a 3-0 record. The Bulldogs are 2-0 and W. Kentucky is 1-0 in conference play, so barring a tie, one of these teams will join the conference unbeaten ranks. Betting on home underdogs ranging from 3.5 to 9.5 points that is coming off a game in which they committed no more than one turnover and facing a foe that has won the turnover battle in their past two games has earned a highly profitable 13-16 SU record and a 19-7-3 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. Bulldogs head coach Sonny Cumbie is on a 6-0 ASTS run when playing on the road for the second consecutive week. From the predictive mode, we are expecting the bulldogs to score 28 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers and when they have met these measures has produced a 74-14 SU record and 64-22-2 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets and when priced as a home pup has produced a 3-6 SU mark and a near-perfect 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets. |
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10-04-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -151 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Wednesday, October 4, 2023 MLB Playoffs | Wild Card Round Marlins vs Phillies MLB 10-UNIT BEST BET Titan on the Phillies using the money line Consider betting 7.5-Units on the money line pre-flop and then look to add the remaining 2.5 units if the Marlins score first or retake the lead during the first three innings of action. OR Place 7 units on the money line pre-flop because they are priced as a -150 money line favorite and then look for Miami to score first or possibly retake the lead over the first three innings and add the 3-units on the -1.5 run line, which would be at least +150 in this situation. Phillies have won many games coming from behind late in the games this season. In fact, they have won 18 games ranking second most being tied or down no more than 2 runs entering the 9th inning. Moreover, when the game was home at Citizens’ Bank Park, the Phillies won 9 games tied for most comeback wins with the Tampa Bay Rays. In home games this season, the Phillies posted the best record at 25-21 when the foe scored first in the game. Aaron Nola has had an up and down type of season, but he has pitched well down the stretch. Over his last three starts he has posted a 2.60 ERA and a 1.038 WHIP with just one walk allowed and striking out 17 batters over 17 1/3 innings of work. He has allowed 32 home runs on the season, but just one over his last three starts and three over his last six starts. Earlier this year starting in late April he went 11 consecutive starts allowing at least one home run. So, don’t count on any starter’s season-to-date stats to have significant meaning in the playoffs rounds. Braxton Garrett is a lefty and will start the game for the Marlins. The Phillies line up scored almost a run less versus LH starters than RH starters on the season, but they also averaged a bit more than the average NL team when facing a LH starter. Garrett throws a fastball with solid sinking action about 40% of the time and then adds a slurve (sweeper) about 42% and then the remaining 18% is the change thrown almost exclusively to RH starters and a curve to LH batters. His spin rates are average or slightly below average for a MLB pitcher and the Phillies are a disciplined hitting team overall. The best eye on the team is their leadoff slugger Kyle Schwarber and he will look to get a maximum number of pitches thrown before he reaches base or records an out. Patience on the first pitch will be key IMO. Garrett has allowed a terrible 45% hard hit percentage. Nola just 38%. Garrett has recorded a 0.272 expected batting average as compared to Nola’s 0.241. Last, the Phillies bullpen is completely rested, and this is by far the biggest advantage they have tonight. For the season the relievers have posted a 3.53 ERA and a 1.265 WHIP spanning 545 innings of work including 592 strikeouts. Over the past 7 games, the unit has posted a 1.27 ERA and a 0.912 WHIP with 37 strikeouts over 28 1/3 innings of work. The Marlines pen has thrown 80 innings more than the Phillies posting a 4.39 ERA and a 1.352 WHIP. Player Props for this Game1. Aaron Nola Over 6.5 strikeouts +115 at PointsBet 2. JT Realmuto to hit a home run +450 3. Braxton Barrett Under 13.5 recorded outs -110 at BetMGM MLB Playoffs Total Player Prop Results1. Bet Wheeler Over 6.5 strikeouts -108 at FanDuel – W +100 2. Bet Under Luzardo 14.5 outs record +115 at BetMGM – W +115 3. Over Trea Turner to hit a double +400 at BetMGM – W +400 4. Bet Bryce Harper to hit a HR +520 at FanDuel – L -100 Total: +515 |
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10-04-23 | Jacksonville State +3.5 v. Middle Tennessee State | Top | 45-30 | Win | 100 | 32 h 43 m | Show |
Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee State Thursday, October 5 8-Unit best bet on Jacksonville State plus the points Betting on a team that is coming off a game that soared over the total by at least 21 points, is a dog between 3.5 and 9.5 points, in the first 7 weeks of the regular season, and has won 70% or more of their games has earned a solid 27-15-2 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. MTST head coach Stockstill is 1-12 ATS when facing a team with a turnover margin of 1 or better per game. From the predictive model, we are looking for JST to score 24 or more points and to commit the same or fewer turnovers. MTST is 8-21 and 5-24 ATS for 17% when allowing 24 or more points in home games and have the same or more turnovers. |
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10-03-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -142 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies 8:00 PM EST, October 3, 2023 Betting on NL home teams using the money line that are averaging 1.30 or more home runs per game and have batted .250 or lower spanning their last 20 games has earned a 77-31 record for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. Zack Wheeler will be on the hill tonight and he is 10-4 in 22 career starts against the Marlins with a 2.48 ERA and a 1.040 WHIP. He has allowed three or fewer ER in all but two of those 22 starts and allowed 6 ER in three starts spanning 18 innings. In 32 starts this season, Wheeler has posted a 13-6 record with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.073 WHIP including 212 strikeouts, just 39 BB over 192 inning of work. Over his last three starts he has posted a 2.65 ERA and a 1.118 ERA with 16 K’s and 4 BB spanning 17 innings. Wheeler has a great fastball that he can vary between a 97 MPH with late-breaking arm side movement that rides onto the hands of a RH batter to a fastball with heavy sinking action that averages 95 to 98 MPH. That pair of fastballs account for 62% of his pitches and then throws a knee buckling slider that averages 90 MPH and a curve that averages 81 MPH. His spins rates are quite high and among the best in MLB with FB averaging 2500 RPM, slider 2675 RPM, and the curve an amazing 2750 RPM. The high spin rates make the ball ‘tight’ and nearly impossible for the batters to identify which pitch he has thrown. Jesus Lazardo takes the ball for game 1 and has average to below average spin rates and is facing one of the best and hardest hitting lineups in the NL. The Phillies have 8 batters averaging 42% and higher hard hit ball percentages and 7 of them are starters led by Kyle Schwarber, who is averaging 49% hard hit with a 92.4 average exit velocity. Here are a few Player Props and I do not recommend more than 1-unit on these throughout the playoffs. Bet Wheeler Over 6.5 strikeouts -108 at FanDuel Bet Under Luzardo 14.5 outs record +115 at BetMGM Over Trea Turner to hit a double +400 at BetMGM Bet Bryce Harper to hit a HR +520 at FanDuel |
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10-03-23 | Blue Jays +108 v. Twins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Tuesday, October 3, 2023 MLB Playoffs | Wild Card Round Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins 8-Unit best bet on the on the Blue Jays using the money line Game 1 of the MLB Wild Card playoffs are set and this is game 1 between the Blue Jays and the Twins set to take place at Target Field in Minneapolis, MN with the first pitch scheduled for 4:30 PM EST. This game is televised on ESPN. In the Wild Card round, betting on teams that are priced between a -130 favorite and +130 underdog that won more games than their foe during the regular season has earned an outstanding 27-7 for 79% averaging a -102 money line and earning a highly profitable 60% ROI over the last 20 seasons when there were three game series. Kevin Gausman is penciled in for the Blue Jays and is coming off another solid season going 12-9 in 31 starts with a 3.16 ERA and a 1.178 WHIP including 237 strikeouts spanning 185 innings of work. Over his last three starts he posted a 2.04 ERA and 1.302 WHIP including 20 strikeouts and 17 2/3 innings of work. He made 15 starts and went 5-3 with a sparkling 2.58 ERA and a 1.136 WHIP including 116 strikeouts over 90 2/3 innings of work. Pablo Lopez will on the hill for the Twins and he has posted weak number recently with a 6.46 ERA and a 1.305 WHIP including 21 strikeouts over his last three starts spanning 15 1/3 innings of work. Currently 72% of the tickets, but just 49% of the money is being bet on the Twins and this reflects larger bets being made on the Blue Jays. Twins are 7-17 on the money line in games with a posted total of 7 or 7.5 runs this season. |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants +2.5 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
Seattle Seahawks vs NY Giants MetLife Stadium 8-Unit best bet on the Giants getting the 2-points The Giants remained on the west coast after their historic come from behind win over the Arizona Cardinals to prepare for one of the best teams in the NFL, the 49ers, and on a short week. They lost that game, but were quite competitive during the first half, and are not fully rested for this game tonight at home. Betting on teams that has not covered the spread in their last three games and taking on a foe that has covered their last three games and with the price between a 3-point favorite and underdog has produced a 30-13 SU record and a 30-10-3 ATS mark for 75% winning bets over the past 8 years (since start of the 2015 season). Betting on Underdogs that are struggling to gain yards in the passing game averaging 5.5 or fewer YPPA, is coming of a game where their defense allowed 8 or more YPPA, and now facing a foe that struggles to stop the pass allowing an average of 7.25 or more YPPA has produced a 42-19 ATS record for 69% winning bets. If our team is a home dog, they have soared to a money-making 18-7 ASTS for 72% winning bets. The Giants QB, Daniel Jones is an inconsistent one and many others would say he is downright terrible, but this is a matchup ladies and gentlemen that he has the potential to shine brightly. This is a must-win game for the Giants to say within distance of the undefeated Eagles and one-loss Cowboys in the NFC East division. They lost their first two prime time games by a combined score of 70-12 and failed to cover the spread by a combined 44 points. So, they are rested, fully prepared, and I do expect them to put out their best effort of the season. The predictive model tells us that the Giants when playing at home and scoring 23 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers then the foe has produced a 77-11 SU record (88%) and a 68-19-1 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets. |
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10-01-23 | Dolphins v. Bills UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-48 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
NFL Week 4 Dolphins vs Bills 8-Unit Best Bet on the Under 53.5 points The total for this game is priced at 53.5 points. So, scoring volatility is expected to be high. My suggested strategy is to bet 5.5 units preflop and then if the game starts out fast on the scoreboard add 1.5 units at 56.5 points and then 1 unit at 58.5 points. Betting on teams with a total of 45 or more points and facing a foe that scored double digits in each quarter of their previous game has produced a 8-7 SU record, 10-5 ATS and 11-4 UNDER. The Dolphins scored 14 points in each of the first and third quarters and 21 points in the second and fourth quarters in last week’s historic 70-point offensive explosion. Betting on a road team facing a divisional foe and having seen the total play over by at least 24 points over their last three games has produced a 43-17-1 Under record for 72% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. If our road team saw their last three games play Over by 27 or more points has produced a 39-14-1 Under record for 74% winners spanning the last 25 seasons. Last, if that last three game total played over by 38 or more points, the Under has gone a highly profitable 23-5-1 for 83% winners spanning the past 25 seasons. |
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John Ryan ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-01-23 | Cavs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 95-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
11-01-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green OVER 39.5 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
10-31-23 | Kings +135 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 4-1 | Win | 135 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
10-30-23 | Wolves -1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-127 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Bears +9.5 v. Chargers | Top | 13-30 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Warriors v. Rockets +5.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Browns v. Seahawks -4 | Top | 20-24 | Push | 0 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Avalanche -170 v. Sabres | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -170 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Texans -3.5 v. Panthers | Top | 13-15 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Jets -3 v. Giants | Top | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Jaguars v. Steelers OVER 40.5 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Eagles v. Commanders UNDER 43 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers +1.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 39 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 6 m | Show |
10-28-23 | North Carolina v. Georgia Tech UNDER 64.5 | Top | 42-46 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Tennessee v. Kentucky +3.5 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 32 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Arkansas State +2 v. UL-Monroe | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
10-27-23 | Rockets +3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 122-126 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
10-26-23 | Bucs +10 v. Bills | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
10-26-23 | Wild -112 v. Flyers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
10-26-23 | Syracuse +3 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
10-26-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
10-25-23 | Cavs v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
10-25-23 | Capitals +220 v. Devils | Top | 6-4 | Win | 220 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
10-24-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -157 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -157 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
10-24-23 | Stars v. Penguins +114 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
10-24-23 | Liberty v. Western Kentucky +6 | Top | 42-29 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
10-24-23 | Hurricanes -124 v. Lightning | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -124 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43.5 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10-23-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -163 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -163 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Rangers +104 v. Astros | Top | 9-2 | Win | 104 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Chargers +6 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Steelers v. Rams -3.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Cardinals +9.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Commanders v. Giants OVER 37 | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 41 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Duke v. Florida State -14 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Michigan v. Michigan State +25 | Top | 49-0 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Capitals -125 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Central Michigan -5.5 v. Ball State | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
10-21-23 | Penn State +5 v. Ohio State | Top | 12-20 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
10-20-23 | Phillies -122 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
10-20-23 | Devils -107 v. Islanders | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
10-20-23 | SMU -23 v. Temple | Top | 55-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints OVER 40 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
10-19-23 | James Madison v. Marshall +3.5 | Top | 20-9 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
10-19-23 | Phillies -126 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -126 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
10-18-23 | Aces v. Liberty -3.5 | Top | 70-69 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers -127 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -127 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
10-18-23 | Florida International +5.5 v. Sam Houston State | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 22 m | Show |
10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -157 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10-17-23 | Lightning +108 v. Sabres | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +1.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
10-16-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -159 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
10-16-23 | Panthers +160 v. Devils | Top | 4-3 | Win | 160 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Patriots v. Raiders OVER 41 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Panthers +14.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Saints v. Texans +2 | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns +10 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
10-14-23 | USC +3 v. Notre Dame | Top | 20-48 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Blackhawks v. Canadiens -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Oregon v. Washington -3 | Top | 33-36 | Push | 0 | 48 h 26 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Troy -6 v. Army | Top | 19-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Syracuse +19 v. Florida State | Top | 3-41 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Indiana v. Michigan -33 | Top | 7-52 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
10-13-23 | Fresno State -4.5 v. Utah State | Top | 37-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 | Top | 8-19 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
10-12-23 | Braves v. Phillies +133 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 133 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
10-12-23 | Flyers +100 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
10-12-23 | West Virginia v. Houston +3 | Top | 39-41 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
10-11-23 | Liberty +5 v. Aces | Top | 76-104 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 13 m | Show |
10-11-23 | UTEP v. Florida International OVER 43.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
10-11-23 | Astros v. Twins -119 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
10-11-23 | Braves v. Phillies -118 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
10-10-23 | Seattle Kraken +145 v. Golden Knights | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10-10-23 | Liberty -6.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10-09-23 | Packers +2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 13-17 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
10-09-23 | Phillies +142 v. Braves | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
10-08-23 | Cowboys +4 v. 49ers | Top | 10-42 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10-08-23 | Jets +2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4.5 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
10-08-23 | Texans v. Falcons -2 | Top | 19-21 | Push | 0 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
10-08-23 | Giants +13 v. Dolphins | Top | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
10-07-23 | Georgia Tech v. Miami-FL -20 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
10-07-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
10-07-23 | Vanderbilt v. Florida -17.5 | Top | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
10-07-23 | Washington State v. UCLA -3 | Top | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
10-07-23 | LSU -5.5 v. Missouri | Top | 49-39 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
10-07-23 | Oklahoma v. Texas -4.5 | Top | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
10-07-23 | Western Michigan v. Mississippi State -21 | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
10-06-23 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State +11.5 | Top | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
10-05-23 | Bears +6.5 v. Commanders | Top | 40-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
10-04-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -151 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10-04-23 | Jacksonville State +3.5 v. Middle Tennessee State | Top | 45-30 | Win | 100 | 32 h 43 m | Show |
10-03-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -142 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
10-03-23 | Blue Jays +108 v. Twins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants +2.5 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
10-01-23 | Dolphins v. Bills UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-48 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 32 m | Show |