Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-31-18 | Syracuse v. Western Michigan UNDER 64 | 55-42 | Loss | -115 | 393 h 46 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Over/Under PLAY OF THE DAY on Syracuse/Western Michigan UNDER I just don't see Friday's opener between Syracuse and Western Michigan coming anywhere close to the total set here by the books. There's a perception out there that the OVER is a strong play when it comes to games involving Syracuse. A lot of that has to do with how poor they have been defensively and the fact that they run an up-tempo offense. It's played a large part in the books routinely inflating the total in the Orange's games and as a result the UNDER has been the wise investment. In fact, the UNDER is 18-6 over the first two seasons with Babers as head coach. That includes an 11-3 UNDER mark in the first half of the season. It's also worth noting that the UNDER is perfect 7-0 going back over the years when Syracuse is listed as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. There will definitely be some games in which Syracuse puts up a big number, but I don't think it will be against the Broncos. Western Michigan only gave up 29 ppg last year (25.9 ppg if you exclude overtime) despite being in the first year of a new system. I think this defense is going to come out and surprise some people in this matchup, as they should feed off a rowdy home crowd that will excited for the rare opportunity to host a Power 5 team. I also don't see the Broncos lighting up the scoreboard. Western Michigan has some nice pieces coming back, but lose their All-American left tackle and star running back Javion Franklin, who rushed for over 1,200 yards and 11 scores. The Orange were a lot better than the 32.2 ppg they ended up allowing for the season, as they only allowed 24.8 ppg over the first 9 games and injuries were the big reason for the decline. Take the UNDER! |
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08-30-18 | Northwestern +3 v. Purdue | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 96 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF No Limit PLAY OF THE WEEK on Northwestern + The only real concern here with Northwestern is the health of starting quarterback Clayton Thorson, who is listed as questionable to play. While I can't guarantee he will play, I would absolutely shocked if Thorson wasn't out their for the Wildcats first series. He's been practicing in full for quite some time and the reports out of fall camp that he looks even better than he did before the injury. I just don't see anyway that Northwestern loses this game with him on the field. Purdue has just 4 starters back on defense and that stop unit was the main reason they went 7-5 last year. While I don't think they are going to be as bad as some think, they aren't going to be as good as last year's squad and will struggle against talented teams like the Wildcats. On the flip side of this, Northwestern has 7 staters back from a defense that held Purdue to just 13 points last year. I could see the Boilmakers putting up a few more points, but not near enough to give them a chance to win this game. It's also worth noting that the Wildcats come into this game having covered 8 of their last 9 conference games, are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Big Ten road games and have covered 6 of the last 7 meetings with Purdue. Take Northwestern! |
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08-30-18 | Redskins v. Ravens -6.5 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Ravens
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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08-30-18 | Colts v. Bengals OVER 34 | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 48 h 19 m | Show | |
3* NFLX Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Bengals/Colts OVER I know it's Week 4 of the preseason, which means just about every player who is expected to make a significant impact this season won't be playing. Because of this you get a lot of low totals and I just can't pass up on the value here with the OVER in tonight's matchup between the Bengals and Colts. These two teams will turn around and play each other in their Week 1 opener next Sunday. I believe this is going to lead to both sides showing next to nothing in terms of schemes and how they will attack the other team. I expect to see very vanilla defenses being played by both sides, which in turn should lead to a little more offense than we typically see. Take the OVER! |
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08-30-18 | Twins +1.5 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird PLAY OF THE DAY on Twins +1.5 Minnesota rallied late to secure a 4-3 win over Cleveland on Wednesday and I look for them to carry over that momentum to Thursday's series finale. I like the Twins chances of winning this game outright, but I see a lot more value here playing Minnesota on the +1.5 run line at even money. This is simply a good time to play against the Indians, who are not playing all that great. After yesterday's loss, Cleveland is just 4-9 in their last 13 games. The Indians will send out Mike Clevinger and he's struggled when the offense isn't producing. Cleveland is just 2-7 in his last 9 home starts after back-to-back games where the offense failed to hit a single home run. Indians have lost in this spot by an average of 2.8 runs/game and all we need is for the Twins to win or lose by 1. Take Minnesota +1.5! |
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08-29-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +104 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 104 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles + The Orioles have absolutely dominated the first two games of their series with the Blue Jays. Baltimore won 7-0 on Monday and followed that up with a 12-5 win on Tuesday. There will be no let off from the Orioles, who will try to complete their first 3-game series sweep of the season. I see no reason for that not to happen. Not only is Baltimore swinging a hot bat, but they will have the edge on the mound in this one. The Orioles will send out Alex Cobb, who has really been sharp since the All-Star break and comes in having allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 5 of his last 7 starts. Toronto will counter with Ryan Borucki, who has an ugly 5.85 ERA and 1.771 WHIP in 6 road starts and a miserable 9.82 ERA and 2.182 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Orioles are now 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs a team with a losing record, while the Blue Jays have lost 6 straight on the road. Take Baltimore! |
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08-28-18 | Brewers v. Reds +116 | 7-9 | Win | 116 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
4* NL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on Reds + Cincinnati is a prime bounce back spot at home against the Brewers after getting swept in their 4-game series at the Cubs over the weekend. What makes the Reds such a strong play today is who they have on the mound. Cincinnati will send out Anthony Desclafani, who has easily been the Red's best pitcher in the second half. Despite a very mediocre outing in his last start, Desclafani has a sensational 1.95 ERA in 4 starts in the month of August and I'm confident we get a strong outing out of him here. The same can't be said for Milwuakee starter Junior Guerra, who has an ugly 5.76 ERA and 1.544 WHIP in 9 road starts this season and comes in with a 6.00 ERA and 2.133 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His most recent outing actually came against the Reds on 8/21 and he gave up 7 runs on 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings. Brewers are just 3-7 in their last 10 road games, 2-6 in their last 8 following a win, 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs a team with a losing record and 1-5 in Guerra's last 6 road starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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08-27-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +130 | 0-7 | Win | 130 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
4* AL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Orioles + I'm confident Baltimore is going to snap their 8-game losing streak in tonight's series opener against the Blue Jays. The Orioles will have a big time edge on the mound in this one, as they send out the red-hot David Hess, who has a 2.89 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Hess also has a 1.38 ERA and 0.769 WHIP in 2 starts against the Blue Jays this season. Toronto will counter with Sam Gaviglio, who has a mere 5.08 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in 18 starts overall and is a mere 1-5 with an ugly 8.36 ERA and 1.752 WHIP in 9 road starts. Blue Jays are also just 9-24 in their last 33 road games when they come into the contest having won 4 or 5 of their last 6. Take Baltimore! |
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08-26-18 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
4* Sunday Night Baseball TOTAL DESTROYER on Yankees UNDER I look for both teams to struggle to get anything going offensively, making this an easy play on the UNDER at this high mark. New York will have their ace Luis Severino on the mound, who is 16-6 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.142 WHIP in 26 starts. Severino is also 3-1 with a 3.56 ERA in 7 career starts against the Orioles. Baltimore will counter with Andrew Cashner, who is coming off a strong start against the Yankees in his last outing, allowing just 3 earned runs in 7 innings of work. Cashner has allowed 3 or fewer and pitched at least 7 innings in 3 of his last 4 starts. UNDER is 22-10-2 in the Yankees last 34 road games vs a right-handed starter and 18-7 in their last 25 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. UNDER is also 6-1 in Severino's lsat 7 starts when facing an opponent that just scored 2 runs or less. UNDER is 5-1 in the Orioles last 6 games vs a right-handed starter and 4-1-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 or less. Take the UNDER! |
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08-26-18 | Cardinals +3 v. Cowboys | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 105 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NFLX Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Cardinals + I actually think the wrong team is favored in this game, but I'm not the least bit surprised given how big a public play the Cowboys are and the books knowing there will be plenty of action on this game with it being televised nationally on NBC Sunday night. The biggest thing here for me is the injuries that have mounted up on the Cowboys offensive line. Center Travis Frederick and right guard Zack Martin won't be in action. Right tackle La'el Collins is dealing with an ankle injury and left tackle Tyron Smith is dealing with both groin and back injuries. It wouldn't be a shock if both sat out this game, as there's no reason for Dallas to press them back in action. That offensive line, when healthy, is what makes this team go, so it's likely they struggle with so many key pieces missing. I think this is going to make it really hard on Dallas to keep their Dak Prescott in there for the typical 2+ quarters we have grown accustomed to starters playing in Week 3. I just don't see the Cowboys being able to keep pace offensively in this one and fully expect the Cardinals to win this game outright. Take Arizona! |
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08-26-18 | Mercury +6.5 v. Storm | 87-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Mercury
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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08-26-18 | Cardinals v. Rockies -128 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -128 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Rockies - Colorado should have no problem here securing a win at home against the Cardinals. The Rockies will send out Tyler Anderson, who has actually been better at home than on the road, which is rare for Colorado pitchers. Anderson has a 4.45 ERA in 26 starts overall, but a solid 3.65 ERA in 13 starts at home. St Louis will send out lefty Austin Gomber, who has a solid 2.73 ERA in 5 starts, but a not so great 1.329 WHIP. He's also not been as strong on the road, where his ERA jumps to 3.54. I look for Gomber to struggle in his first ever start at Coors Field. Note the Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs a left-handed starter, including a 6-1 in their last 7 at home vs a southpaw starter. Rockies have also won 5 of their last 6 against a team with a winning record and are 4-1 in their last 5 doing game 3 of a series. Take Colorado! |
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08-25-18 | Wyoming v. New Mexico State OVER 45.5 | 29-7 | Loss | -110 | 253 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Opening Day Total DESTRUCTION on Wyoming/New Mexico St OVER These two teams should have no problem going over this extremely low total for college football. The public take on Wyoming is that they are going to be way down offensively after losing an NFL-caliber quarterback in Josh Allen. The thing is, the Cowboys offense didn't produce anywhere close to their potential last year, as they went from averaging 35.9 ppg in 2016 to only putting up 23.5 ppg. What gets overlooked with the loss of Allen is the fact that Wyoming has 9 of their other 10 starters back. The new starter will be red-shirt freshman Tyler Vander Waal, who beat out the senior Nick Smith (has 2 career starts), which I think can only be viewed as a positive on Vander Waal's potential. New Mexico State wil have 9 starters back on a defense that gave up just 29.7 ppg, but they won't have their dynamic pass rusher, Cedric Wilson (team-high 8.5 sacks last year), as out the first two games. Starting free safety Ron LaForce, who had a 104 tackles last year is also questionable to play with a foot injury. On top of that, I think the defense is a bit overrated for the Aggies, as last year's numbers were greatly aided by playing in the Sun Belt (Independent in 2018) and they did give up 35+ in half of their games. Take the OVER! |
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08-25-18 | Hawaii v. Colorado State OVER 55 | Top | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 81 h 20 m | Show |
5* NCAAF Mountain West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Hawaii/Colorado State OVER These two teams combined for 72 points in Colorado State's 51-21 win at Hawaii last year and have now gone OVER the total in each of their last 4 meetings. I know both teams don't have a lot coming back on the offensive side of the ball, but keep in mind the total last year was 66, so that's been taken into account with this number. While Colorado State has to replace starting quarterback Nick Stevens, as well as their to p rusher and 4 of their top 5 receivers, the Rams have averaged at least 30 ppg in each of the first 3 years under head coach Mike Bobo. The loss of Stevens was also eased by the addition of Washington grad transfer KJ Carta-Samuels. Hawaii's offense would have been in good shape had Dru Brown not unexpectedly transferred to Oklahoma State, but I don't think it's going to be a massive drop off without him. The unit really can't be much worse than the one that only averaged 22.8 ppg last year. The other big key here is that while both offenses are working in new faces, neither of these teams have a lot coming back on the defensive side of the ball. Both stop units only have 5 starters back Colorado State is also working in a new defensive coordinator, so I definitely don't expect them to be sharp. All we need is for these two teams to average 2 touchdowns a quarter to secure a win and I think they have no problem doing that. Take the OVER! |
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08-25-18 | Ravens v. Dolphins +100 | 27-10 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Dolphins
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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08-25-18 | White Sox +112 v. Tigers | Top | 6-1 | Win | 112 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
5* MLB American League GAME OF THE MONTH on White Sox + Chicago should have no problem here securing a win against the Tigers on Saturday. While the White Sox have been out of the playoff race for quite some time, they are trying to build for the future and are playing some of their best baseball of the season right now. Chicago won 6-3 yesterday over Detroit and are now 7-3 in their last 10 overall. A big reason for the White Sox surge is the offense has been producing at a much higher level. They should be able to put up another big number here against the Tigers Ryan Carpenter, who has not been all that impressive in his first 4 starts. Carpenter has a 6.23 ERA and 1.558 WHIP. Lucas Giolito will take the mound for Chicago and he was sharp in a recent outing at Detroit back on Aug. 14th. Giolito allowed just 3 runs on 8 hits in 6 innings and I look for another strong outing here as the White Sox are a perfect 6-0 in his last 6 road starts against a team with a losing record. Take Chicago! |
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08-25-18 | Phillies v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Phillies UNDER The books have set the total way too high for Saturday's matchup between the Blue Jays and Phillies. Philadelphia will have Nick Pivetta on the mound and while he was roughed up in his last outing, he had pitched at least 6 innings and allowed 2 or fewer runs in each of his previous 3 starts. He's also got a solid 3.41 ERA in 6 day starts and a 2.55 ERA and 0.770 WHIP in 4 interleague starts this season. Toronto will send out Aaron Sanchez, who is returning from the DL. I look for Sanchez to come right out and throw well here, as he's facing a struggling Phillies offense that is only averaging 3.1 runs/game and hitting a mere .237 as a team over their last 7 games. UNDER is 16-4 in the Phillies last 20 when playing with double-revenge, 21-9 in their last 30 after scoring 2 runs or less in 2 straight games and 35-18 in Sanchez's last 53 starts over the last 3 seasons. Take the UNDER! |
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08-24-18 | Mariners +150 v. Diamondbacks | 6-3 | Win | 150 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Mariners + This is a great spot and price to back Seattle on the road against the Diamondbacks. Arizona is getting way too much respect here with Zack Godley on the mound. While he's got a solid 13-6 record, he owns a very average to below-average 4.47 ERA and 1.447 WHIP in 25 starts overall and a 4.26 ERA and 1.316 WHIP over his lsat 3. Mariners are also 6-2 in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record and have won 5 of Ramirez's last 7 starts in a series opener. Arizona on the other hand is just 3-10 in their last 13 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 2-6 in Godley's last 8 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Seattle! |
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08-24-18 | Giants v. Jets UNDER 42 | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 57 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NFLX Over/Under PLAY OF THE WEEK on Giants/Jets UNDER I just don't see these two teams being able to eclipse this total. While there's a ton of excitement around the two teams first round picks, both of these teams are built around their defense. I also think that while this is may be just another exhibition game, these two teams don't like each other and neither wants to lose this game. Giants rookie running back Saquon Barkley isn't expected to play and it's still up in the air if Odell Beckham Jr. will suit up. Even if Beckham does play, I don't see him being in there for long, as he's just too valuable to lose to an injury in the preseason. That should lead to a conservative game plan for Eli Manning when he's on the field and the Giants are up against a Jets' defense that has shutout the Falcons and held the Redskins to 15 points. While rookie Sam Darnold has shown some flashes and Teddy Bridgewater has impressed, the Jets offense has only scored 30 points over their first two preseason games. The Giants defense has looked good in each of their first two games and with the starters likely playing at least a half, I expect another strong effort here. Take the UNDER! |
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08-24-18 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 9 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
5* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Mets/Nationals OVER These two teams should have no problem eclipsing the total here. Both starters here come into this matchup in poor form. Washington's Gio Gonzalez has a 8.04 ERA and 1.851 WHIP over his last 3 starts. New York will sent out Jason Vargas, who has 7.67 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in 14 starts overall this season and is 1-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in 5 home starts. OVER is also 7-1 in the Nationals last 8 during Game 1 of a series, 4-0-1 in their last 5 after a game where they scored 2 runs or less and 6-1-1 in their last 8 vs the NL East. OVER is also 10-4 in the Mets last 14 against a team that scored 2 runs or less in their last game and 11-5-1 in their last 17 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take the OVER! |
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08-23-18 | Eagles +4 v. Browns | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NFLX Vegas Insider GAME OF THE WEEK on Eagles + This line has moved quite a bit in favor of the Browns, as Philadelphia actually opened as a 2-point favorite. I believe it's created a great opportunity to jump on the Eagles. Cleveland is getting a lot of love this preseason because of the play of rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield. While he's flashed some potential, he's not exactly been all that accurate. He is just 18 for 33 (54.5%) over the first two preseason games. Cleveland only managed 20 points in Week 1 and 17 in Week 2. Their primary focus has been establishing the run, which is not a recipe for success against this loaded Eagles defensive front. I also look for the Philadelphia defense to come out looking to make a statement after giving up 30+ in each of their first two games. Nick Foles is going to play a half and he's more than capable of running the offense. I also think people are overlooking the play of 3rd stringer Nate Sudfeld, who was 22 of 39 for 312 yards and 3 scores last week against New England. Take Philadelphia! |
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08-23-18 | Indians v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 21 m | Show | |
3* MLB Total PLAY OF THE DAY on Indians/Red Sox UNDER The books have set the total way too high for Thursday's series finale between the Red Sox and Indians. I just don't see either offense getting much going with today's pitching matchup. Boston will send out David Price, who has a 1.89 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts and is 10-3 with a 2.63 ERA in 15 career starts against the Indians. Cleveland will counter with Adam Plutko, who has a solid 3.86 ERA and sensational 0.857 WHIP over his last 3 starts. I think the fact that this will be Plutko's first start against the Red Sox will benefit him, as Boston's hitters won't know what to expect. UNDER is 4-0-1 in the Red Sox's last 5 games after scoring 5 or more runs the previous time out and 5-0-2 in Price's last 7 home starts against a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 5-0 in in the Indians last 5 games following a loss. Take the UNDER! |
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08-22-18 | Cubs v. Tigers +180 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Vegas Insider on Tigers + The Cubs come into this one losers of 2 straight and are in a massive slump at the plate right now. Chicago managed to push across just 1 run in yesterday's series opening loss to the Tigers and have now gone 4 straight games where they have managed to score just 1 run. People will bet on the Cubs no matter what, but it doesn't matter how much talent you have if you can't score runs. You also have to factor in the recent struggles of Chicago's scheduled starter Jon Lester. While he is coming off a decent outing against the Pirates, he was really bad in his previous 3 straight and still owns an ugly 7.98 ERA and 1.772 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Cubs are just 2-8 in their last 10 on the road after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight games, while the Tigers are an impressive 16-11 this season as a home dog of +125 or more. Take Detroit! |
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08-22-18 | Rangers +149 v. A's | Top | 4-2 | Win | 149 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
5* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Rangers + Texas doesn't have a whole lot to play for at this point in the season, but I expect the best the Rangers have to offer in Wednesday's series finale against the A's. Texas has been embarrassed in each of the first two games of the series, losing 9-0 on Monday and 6-0 last night. They key here is the Rangers have a guy on the mound in Mike Minor who can keep Oakland's offense in check and I expect Texas' offense to come to life in this one. Minor is 3-0 with a 3.37 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He was sharp in his only start against the A's this season and owns a 3.00 lifetime ERA against Oakland. Edwin Jackson will toe the rubber for the A's and while he's been better than they could have ever imagined, he did not pitch well in a recent start against these Rangers. Jackson lasted just 4 1/3 innings after giving up 5 runs on 7 hits and 2 walk. Take Texas! |
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08-22-18 | Orioles +167 v. Blue Jays | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles + With the Blue Jays sending out Thomas Pannone for his first career big league start, there's simply too much value here to pass up on the Orioles at this price. While Baltimore has little to play for at this point in the season, they have plenty of incentive to show up in this one, as the Orioles are 0-9 at the Rogers Centre this season and this will be their last chance to beat Toronto at their home park. Pannone has pitched just 4 1/3 innings of relief this season with the Blue Jays and chances are he will struggle here. He's also unlikely to go very deep in this game, as the just threw 1 1/3 innings of relief on Sunday. This is also a good time to fade the Blue Jays after they just put up a big offensive showing. Toronto scored 8 runs in yesterday's win over the Orioles. They are just 13-30 in their last 43 after scoring 5 or more runs in a game and a mere 4-13 in their last 17 after a game in which they scored 8 or more runs. Take Baltimore! |
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08-21-18 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
5* AL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Twins/White Sox OVER I think the total here has been set too low for this contest. Both the Twins and White Sox are coming into this series swinging a hot bat. Chicago has scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games, while Minnesota has scored 5 runs or more in each of their last 7 games. With the White Sox going up against a struggling Jose Berrios, who has a 5.52 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in his last 3 starts, and the Twins will be taking on Michael Kopech in his first career start. Kopech is a big time prospect and figures to do really well at the big league level, but there's a decent chance he struggles in his first outing. OVER is 8-1 in the Twins last 9 games after scoring 5 or more runs and 8-2-1 in Berrios last 11 starts against a team that is coming off a game where they scored 5 or more runs. OVER is also 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs a team with a losing record and 6-1-1 in their last 8 vs a division opponent. Take the OVER! |
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08-19-18 | Mets v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 8-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
4* NL East TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mets/Phillies UNDER 9 The books have set the total too high for tonight's 2nd installment of he MLB Little League Classic. The Phillies and Mets will square off at BB&T Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pennsylvania. Philadelphia will send out the red-hot Nick Pivetta, who enters this contest with a 1.50 ERA and 0.778 WHIP over his last 3 starts. New York will counter with Jason Vargas, who is coming off a strong outing at Baltimore, where he allowed just 2 runs on 5 hits in 6 innings. Vargas also owns a strong 2.45 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Phillies. Low-scoring games have been very common when these two teams go to battle. In the last 12 meetings, 9 have finished UNDER the total set by the books. UNDER is 30-19 in the Mets last 49 division games overall and 22-11 in Vargas' last 33 starts in a night game. UNDER is also 17-7 in Pivetta's last 24 starts off a loss and 16-4 in the Phillies last 20 after a game where they scored 1 or fewer runs. Take the UNDER! |
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08-19-18 | Liberty v. Mercury -11.5 | 85-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Mercury
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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08-18-18 | Seahawks v. Chargers UNDER 41 | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 111 h 39 m | Show |
5* NFLX Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Seahawks UNDER The books have set the total way too high for Saturday's Week 2 preseason action between the Chargers and Seahawks. Neither team was able to get much going offensively last week. In fact, both teams managed to score just 17 points and each needed a 4th quarter TD to get to 17. I just don't think either of these teams have a lot to prove offensively, as they have two of the elite QB's in the game. Look for a very vanilla attack from both offenses with the starters and I don't see the backups doing near enough to push this over the mark. Adding to this is a great system that's hit at a very high rate over the last 5 years. UNDER is 71-37 (66%) when you have a total of 35.5 to 42 points where the home team is playing with 6 or less days of rest. |
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08-18-18 | Montreal v. Edmonton -18 | 24-40 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Edmonton
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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08-18-18 | Rockies v. Braves -153 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -153 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Braves - Atlanta should have no problem here securing a win at home against the Rockies. The Braves are certainly going to be up for this one after dropping the first two games of the series. The key here is Atlanta has a big edge on the mound with Mike Foltynewicz facing off against Antonio Senzatela. Foltynewicz is coming into this one a perfect 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His most recent outing was one of his best all season, as he allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 8 innings at home against the Marlins. That impressive start lowered his ERA to 2.91 in 11 starts at SunTrust Park this season. As for Senzatela, he's making his first start off the DL and this is always a tough spot for any starter. I think it could be especially tough for him, given he's 0-2 with a 5.71 ERA in 3 road starts. Colorado's dropped each of his last 4 road starts vs a team with a winning record and the Braves are 20-8 in their last 28 at home against a right-handed starter. Take Atlanta! |
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08-18-18 | Raiders +3 v. Rams | 15-19 | Loss | -117 | 105 h 45 m | Show | |
4* NFLX ATS PLAY OF THE WEEK on Raiders The Rams are expected to be one of the best teams in the league this season and I think it has them way overvalued here in Week 2 of the preseason against the Raiders. LA clearly didn't look all that interested in taking the preseason seriously, as they were annihilated 33-7 in Week 1 by the Ravens. Several of the key starters didn't take the field in Week 1 and word is the Rams won't be looking to play many of their starters again this week. The Raiders also have high expectations this season, but also have a lot to work on right now as they adjust to life under head coach Jon Gruden. Oakland won their preseason opener 16-10 over the Lions and look for them to runaway with this one. Take Oakland! |
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08-17-18 | Diamondbacks v. Padres +120 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
4* NL West Money Line PLAY OF THE WEEK on Padres + San Diego shouldn't be a home dog here against the Padres, but the books are going to shade the line with the public likely to come in all over the Diamondbacks. San Diego will have one of the more under the radar starters in Joey Lucchessi, who has a 2.95 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's coming off one of his best starts, as he allowed just 2 hits over 6 shutout innings against a Phillies team that has the 3rd best record in the NL. We have already seen the Diamondbacks struggle on their current road trip. They lost the series at Cincinnati and split with the Rangers. Robbie Ray will be on the mound for Arizona and he's got a 4.60 ERA and 1.469 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Take San Diego! |
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08-17-18 | Cardinals v. Saints UNDER 42.5 | Top | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 85 h 38 m | Show |
5* NFLX TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Cardinals UNDER Log of public money on the OVER in this one, as they just can't help themselves betting the OVER in a Saints home game. I just don't think we are going to see a ton offense here from either side. Drew Brees is going to play, but I don't expect him on the field for long. New Orleans put up 24 in their preseason opener, but almost all the damage came on the ground, as they rushed for 135 yards and 3 scores and threw for 130 and 0 scores. Arizona's run defense was outstanding in their preseason opener, holding the Chargers to 56 yards on 21 attempts (2.7 yards/carry). Arizona also put up 24 in their opener, but a lot of that came late and I don't think they will have near the success against the New Orleans stop unit. There's also a huge system in play here that's hit 82% over the last 5 years. Under is 22-5 with a total of 35.5 to 42 where you have a home team off an upset win as an underdog and they have a winning record overall in the preseason. |
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08-17-18 | Bills v. Browns OVER 38.5 | 19-17 | Loss | -109 | 84 h 9 m | Show | |
4* NFLX Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bills OVER 38.5 I'm not sure what the books are thinking with the total in this one, but we are getting exceptional value here with the OVER in Friday's NFLX action between the Browns and Bills. I think a lot of this has to do with how low-scoring the Browns/Giants game was in Week 1 of the preseason. The two teams only combined for 30 points and Cleveland was responsible for just 10 of those. I know it's preseason, but Browns new QB, Tyrod Taylor, is going to be pumped up for this one against the team that didn't believe in his ability long-term. You also have Baker Mayfield waiting to come in and he looked really good against the Giants. Buffalo scored 23 and allowed 28 against the Panthers in Week 1. They got off hot with 17 first half points and the backups and defense let the offense down by allowing 21 in the 2nd half. I expect more of the same from the Bills on both sides of the ball. Take the OVER! |
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08-17-18 | Rays +170 v. Red Sox | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
3* AL East PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays + I think this is a great spot and excellent price to back the Rays against the Red Sox. Boston is the best team in baseball and hands the biggest public team on the board. You know before the line is ever set that it's been shaded in favor of the Red Sox. It's creating some great value on the other side. I know Boston has been playing well, but they are coming off a loss in the series finale against the Phillies and it wouldn't be a complete shock if we saw the Red Sox start to get a little complacent given their 10.5-game lead in the AL East and for the No. 1 seed in the playoffs. I think this series against an over-achieving Rays team could be difficult, especially with a huge series against the Indians looming next week. Tampa Bay is quietly sitting at 62-59 and just took the final 2 games of their series against the Yankees to improve to 5-2 in their last 7. They are going to give everything they have in this series against Boston and it wouldn't surprise me if they won 2 of 3. Take Tampa Bay! |
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08-17-18 | Chiefs v. Falcons UNDER 40.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 38 m | Show | |
3* NFLX Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Chiefs UNDER Neither the Chiefs or Falcons were able to get much of anything going offensively in their respective preseason openers. Kansas City scored just 10-points at home against the Texans and Atlanta was shutout in New York by the Jets. Ryan didn't play for the Falcons against the Jets, but I also don't expect him to play much in this one. Look for another struggle offensively for Atlanta here, as the Chiefs defense only gave up 17 to Houston. Under is 68-37 (65%) over the last 5 seasons when you have total of 35.5 to 42 where one of the teams is playing on 6 or less days of rest. Take the UNDER! |
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08-17-18 | Mets +153 v. Phillies | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
3* NL East PLAY OF THE DAY on Mets + This price is too good to pass up on the Mets with Noah Syndergaard on the mound. Syndergaard has been plagued by injuries of late, but when he's healthy and able to take the mound he's been really good. He comes into this one sitting at 8-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.221 WHIP in 16 starts. Of even more important in this matchup is how well he's pitched against the opponent. Syndergaard is 4-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in 7 starts. Mets hav won 4 of the last 5 starts Syndergaard has made against a winning team and 5 of his last 7 against division opponents. Take New York! |
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08-16-18 | Tigers v. Twins -153 | 8-15 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MLB No-Brainer PLAY OF THE WEEK on Twins - Minnesota will head into Thursday's action against the Tigers fresh off a quick 2-game sweep of the Pirates at home. The Twins should have no problem carrying over that momentum against Detroit, as they have owned teams like the Tigers at Target Field. Minnesota is 10-1 in their last 11 home games against a team with a losing record. They are also a perfect 9-0 in their last 9 games vs a starter with a WHIP greater than a 1.30 and Detroit's Francisco Liriano comes into this one sitting at 3-7 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in 18 starts. Twins will counter with Ervin Santana and they have won 6 of his last 7 home starts and are 5-1 in his last 6 starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Minnesota! |
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08-16-18 | Jets +100 v. Redskins | 13-15 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Jets
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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08-15-18 | Angels v. Padres -121 | 3-2 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
4* MLB Favorite PLAY OF THE WEEK on Padres - The Padres should have no problem here getting a win at home to avoid getting swept by the Angels. San Diego will send out Robbie Erlin, who is coming off back-to-back strong starts on the road against playoff caliber teams in the Cubs and Brewers. I expect more of the same from Erlin, who is trying to prove to the organization that he needs to be in their long-term plans as a starter. The other big key here is the Padres offense should be in store for a big day at the plate, as they will be up against the struggling Felix Pena of the Angels. Pena has an atrocious 9.53 ERA and 1.677 WHIP over his last 3 starts. It's also worth noting that the Angels are just 2-11 in their last 13 road games vs a left-handed starter and 1-4 in Pena's last 5 starts. Take San Diego! |
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08-14-18 | White Sox v. Tigers -125 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
5* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers Detroit should have no problem here coming away with a win at home against the White Sox. The Tigers have won 3 of their last 4, including a 9-5 win in yesterday's series opener against Chicago. Detroit should be able to once again rely on their offense to carry the load, as they will be up against the struggling Lucas Giolito. In his last 3 starts, Giolito has posted an awful 7.16 ERA and 1.470 WHIP and is now 7-9 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.496 WHIP in 23 starts on the season. Control has been a major problem for Giolito and I just don't see him pitching well here. On the flip side of this, the Tigers send out Blaine Hardy, who has performed well in his 12 starts this season. Hardy is 3-1 with a 3.82 ERA in 7 home starts and has posted a strong 3.18 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Detroit! |
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08-13-18 | Mariners +120 v. A's | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
4* AL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Mariners + The two teams fighting for the final Wild Card spot in the American League will face off in the first of a 3-game series on Monday. I'm taking Seattle to win the series opener behind Marco Gonzalez. The Mariners are coming off a huge 4-game sweep of the Astros and are poised to cool off the red-hot A's, who have won 9 of their last 11. Gonzalez is 12-7 with a strong 3.60 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in 23 starts. He's made one career start at Oakland (earlier this year) and was lights out, giving tip just 2 hits over 7 shutout innings. Seattle has won 7 of his last 8 starts against division opponents and are 7-2 in his last 9 starts vs a team with a winning record. A's will counter with Sean Manaea, who is coming off a bad start at home against the Dodgers, where he lasted just 2 2/3 innings. Oakland is also just 1-4 in Manaea's last 5 starts in a series opener and 1-4 in his last 5 vs a division opponent. Take Seattle! |
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08-12-18 | Rays v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
4* AL East TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Rays Over The Blue Jays and Rays should have no problem here eclipsing the total. Toronto will send out Marcus Stroman, who is coming off a great outing at home against the Red Sox, but also came away with a blister on the middle finger of his throwing hand. I'm surprised the Blue Jays are even sending him out, as it's extremely difficult to pitch effectively with a blister. I look for Tampa Bay to put up a big number here offensively. Tyler Glasnow will get the rock for the Rays and he's been effective in his 2 starts since being traded to Tampa. However, he's not pitching deep into the game. Glasnow has only thrown 7 innings in his 2 starts combined, failing to go past the 4th innings in either outing. OVER is 12-5 in Tampa's last 17 vs a starter that has a WHIP greater than 1.30. OVER is also 12-4 in the Blue Jays last 16 overall, 5-1 in their last 6 off a loss and 4-1-1 in Stroman's last 6 home starts vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! |
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08-12-18 | Rays +130 v. Blue Jays | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays + The Rays shouldn't be a dog against the Blue Jays on Sunday. Tampa Bay has already won the first 2 games of the series and are now 7-1 vs Toronto on the season. The Blue Jays are also just 1-5 in their last 6 overall. Toronto will send out Marcus Stroman, who is coming off a great outing at home against the Red Sox, but also came away with a blister on the middle finger of his throwing hand. I'm surprised the Blue Jays are even sending him out, as it's extremely difficult to pitch effectively with a blister. I look for Tampa Bay to put up a big number here offensively. The other key to this play is Toronto doesn't figure to get much offense going. The Blue Jays have only managed 1 run on 8 hits in their last 2 games and will be up against Tyler Glasnow, who Tampa acquired in the trade for Archer. Glasnow has a 2.57 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in 2 starts with the Rays. I expect another strong outing here. Take Tampa Bay! |
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08-11-18 | Chargers v. Cardinals -1 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 230 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NFLX ATS PLAY OF THE DAY on Cardinals - The Cardinals are definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Chargers. Los Angeles might be the better team in terms of potential regular-season success, but this is an exhibition, where none of that matters. If anything, Arizona is going to be the more motivated of the two sides to play well, as they are getting absolutely zero love from the media experts. Just about everyone has them picked to finish last in the NFC West and no where near the playoffs. I also think teams with a first-year head coach, like Arizona (Steve Wilks) are more likely to take this game a little more seriously than a veteran team like the Chargers. The other big key here is the talent the Cardinals have behind starting quarterback Sam Bradford. Not only do they have a big name in rookie Josh Rosen, who figures to get a long look in this game, but they also have Mike Glennon, who has played in 25 regular-season games and looking to prove his value to this team. Take Arizona! |
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08-11-18 | Diamondbacks -139 v. Reds | 3-6 | Loss | -139 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Diamondbacks - Arizona should have no problem cashing in a win on the road against the Reds today. The Diamondbacks lost the series opener 3-0 on Friday, but are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 when coming off a loss. Yesterday was also a rare slip up against a bad team, as Arizona is 13-5 in their last 18 vs at team with a losing record and 6-1 in their last 7 on the road vs a team with a losing record. Diamondbacks will have a big edge on the mound in this one. Arizona will turn to Robbie Ray, who has posted a very strong 2.57 ERA and 1.171 WHIP in 7 road starts. Reds will counter with Matt Harvey, who has really struggled after some early success with Cincinnati. Harvey has an atrocious 10.66 ERA and 1.815 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Take Arizona! |
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08-11-18 | Cardinals v. Royals +144 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
4* MLB Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Royals + This is a great spot and price to back the Royals at home against the Cardinals. Kansas City will have Danny Duffy on the mound and he's been trending in the right direction after a miserable start to the 2018 season. Duffy posted a 6.88 ERA in his first 10 starts. Since that horrific stretch, he's posted a respectable 3.41 ERA in his last 14 outings. Duffy has also owned the Cardinals when he's got a chance to face them. He's 2-0 with a 2.04 ERA and 0.849 WHIP in 3 career starts against St Louis. Cardinals will counter with Jack Flaherty, who has been pretty inconsistent on the road. St Louis has dropped 7 of his last 10 away from home and are just 2-7 in his last 9 outings overall. Take Kansas City! |
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08-11-18 | Brewers v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
5* MLB Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Brewers/Braves OVER The Brewers and Braves should easily eclipse the total here, as I think they have no problem combining for at least 10 runs. The two combined for 11 in the series opener on Friday, continuing a streak of high-scoring games for both sides. Atlanta has seen a combined score of at least 9 runs in 5 of their last 6 games. Milwaukee has seen at least 8 combined runs in 8 straight with each of the last 4 going for 12 or more. I look for both teams to stay hot at the plate in this one. Milwaukee will send out Wade Miley, who has an impressive 2.10 ERA in 7 starts, but wasn't sharp at all in his last outing at home against the Rockies, giving up 3 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings. Atlanta will counter with Julio Teheran, who has a 7.80 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a mere 4.23 ERA in 11 starts at home. Take the OVER! |
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08-10-18 | Phillies v. Padres +130 | 0-2 | Win | 130 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Padres + I absolutely love the value here with San Diego as a pretty good sized home dog against the Phillies. No question that Philadelphia is the better team, but this has the feeling of a trap series. Phillies just played a big 3-game series at Arizona and have a huge 2-game series at home against the Red Sox on deck. Philadelphia will also be sending out Zach Eflin, who has been trending in the wrong direction. Eflin has a 3.61 ERA in 15 starts overall, but a 5.62 ERA in his last 3 outings. Speaking of letdowns against bad teams, Phillies have lost Eflin's last 5 starts on the road against a team with a losing record. They are also just 2-7 in his last 9 overall vs a team that's sub .500. Lastly, I think we are going to see a great outing here from Padres starter Jacob Nix. He's one of their best prospects and likely would have been in the majors earlier if not for an injury in spring training. Nix made 9 starts at Double-A and posted a 2.05 ERA and 0.910 WHIP. He got one start at Triple-A before the call-up to the majors and threw 6 shutout innings before getting pulled. Take San Diego! |
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08-10-18 | Brewers -101 v. Braves | Top | 1-10 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
5* National League GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers - This might seem like the Brewers are getting to much respect on the road against an Atlanta team that is just 1-game back of the NL East leading Phillies. I actually think Milwaukee should be a bigger favorite. Atlanta will send out Kevin Gausman, who they acquired in a trade with Baltimore. Everyone knows the potential is their for Gausman, but I don't think switching teams is going to magically make him an elite starter. He wasn't that great in his first start with the Braves and I think he's going to to continue to struggle, especially against a red-hot Milwaukee offense that is averaging 5.6 runs/game over their last 7. Typically playing at home on Friday in front of what is usually a large crowd favors the home team, but the Braves are just 1-8 this season at home on Friday. Atlanta has also dropped 5 of 7 at home vs a team with a winning record. Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 when coming off a loss, 6-1 in their last 7 vs a right-handed starter and 4-0 in Peralta's last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee! |
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08-10-18 | Rays -107 v. Blue Jays | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rays - This is a great price to back Tampa Bay with their lefty ace, Blake Snell, on the mound. Snell has been one of the best starters in the game this season. He's got a 2.27 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 21 starts. Out of those 21 starts, Snell has allowed two or fewer runs 17 times. Facing any left-handed starter has been a problem for Toronto, who are just 6-21 in their last 27 when lined up against a south-paw starter. Blue Jays are also a mere 2-7 in their last 9 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 Toronto will counter here with Marco Estrada. While Estrada was great in his last start at Seattle, he's really struggled with consistency. He's just 2-5 in his last 7 starts after recording a Quality Start in his previous outing. Based on his history with Tampa Bay, chances are this won't be one of those strong outings. Estrada is 1-7 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Rays. Blue Jay are also just 2-8 in his last 10 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Tampa Bay! |
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08-09-18 | Titans v. Packers -110 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Packers
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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08-09-18 | Browns +3 v. Giants | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 211 h 47 m | Show |
5* NFLX Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Browns + I believe the oddsmakers have the wrong team favored in this one. Despite the preseason having no real correlation to the regular season, the betting public will have a horrible time backing the Browns, who are coming off an 0-16 season. The Giants on the other hand are a team getting a lot of love as a bounce back team and there's all kinds of hype around rookie running back Saquon Barkley. The key here is the Giants are more of a veteran team that isn't going to play their starters more than a series or two. Barkley's touches will be limited, so it's unlikely he has much of an impact. Once Eli Manning is out of the game, if he even plays, the Davis Webb and Kyle Lauletta are the top two backups that will get action. I think the Giants will really struggle to put up points, much like they did in the first two weeks of preseason last year, when they scored just 12 points in Week 1 vs the Steelers and 6 the next week against these Browns. Cleveland is an extremely young team with all kinds of players who not only need the time on the field for experience, but are fighting for jobs. The Browns will surely give a long look here to 1st round pick Baker Mayfield and should have some success with veteran third-stringer Drew Stanton. I wouldn't be shocked if this turns into a blowout. Take Cleveland! |
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08-09-18 | Saints +3 v. Jaguars | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 211 h 46 m | Show | |
4* NFLX Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Saints + I like New Orleans to come away with a win when they visit Jacksonville in Week 1 of the preseason, making them at any play as an underdog. Chances are we won't see Drew Brees on the field for the Saints, but they have an experience backup in Tom Savage and we likely will get a long look at 2nd-year signal caller Taysom Hill and rookie J.T. Barrett. Jaguars starter, Blake Bortles might play a series, leaving Cody Kessler and rookie 6th round pick Tanner Lee to take the majority of the snaps. I trust the backups for New Orleans a lot more than I do Jacksonville. I also think Jacksonville lacks quality depth behind their elite starting unit on the defensive side of the ball. Look for the Saints to create some separation in the 2nd half and secure the win and cover. Take New Orleans! |
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08-09-18 | Bucs v. Dolphins -135 | 26-24 | Loss | -135 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Dolphins
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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08-09-18 | Braves v. Nationals -115 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line SMASH on Nationals - The Nationals are going to be all business when they take the field for the finale of their 4-game series against the Braves. Washington has lost the last two games in the series and are now 6-games back of Philadelphia and 1/2-game back of Atlanta in the race for the NL East crown. This is one they have to have and I expect them to deliver. Washington will send out veteran Gio Gonzalez, who has hit a bit of a rough patch, but comes in with a strong 2.72 ERA in 7 starts against division opponents this season. The Nationals are also 21-7 in his last 28 home starts vs a team with a winning record. We also find a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Braves. Road teams with a money line of +125 to -125 who are off an upset win over a division rivalry just 52-100 (34.2%) against the money line when facing a team that is off 2 straight division home losses. Take Washington! |
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08-08-18 | Dodgers v. A's +155 | 2-3 | Win | 155 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MLB Late Night PLAY OF THE WEEK on A's + Just about every average joe will be looking to play the Dodgers with Clayton Kershaw on the mound, but I really like the A's to cash in the win in this one. Oakland will send out newly acquired Mike Fiers, who was acquired in a trade with the Tigers. Fiers was a respectable 7-6 with a 3.48 ERA in 21 starts for a bad Detroit team. He's a fly ball pitcher, which should work to his advantage at the Coliseum. While LA defeated the A's 4-2 in the opener of this short 2-game series on Tuesday, Oakland had won their previous 6 and the Dodgers had lost their previous 8 games on the road against the A's. Oakland is 6-1 in their last 7 at home vs a left-handed starter and 5-1 in their last 6 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. They are 9-2 in their last 11 following a loss and 14-3 in their last 17 at home overall. Take Oakland! |
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08-08-18 | Tigers +144 v. Angels | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Tigers + This is a great spot and price to catch Detroit, as they look to avoid getting swept by the Angels. I really like Tigers' starter Blaine Hardy, who took a no hitter into the 7th inning of his last start against the A's. Hardy has allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in his last 2 starts combined and is catching a break here with Mike Trout still sidelined for LA. The Angels will turn to Jaime Barria, who has a respectable 3.84 ERA and 1.220 WHIP in 16 starts. While those numbers are solid, Barria is trending in the wrong direction. Note he started out 5-1 with a 2.48 ERA in his first 7 starts, and is now sitting at 6-7. He's got a 5.06 ERA in his last 3 outings and I look for Detroit to put up a big number here. Angels have struggled to close out series, as they are just 4-11 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series. LA is also just 1-4 in their last 5after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game and 7-19 in their last 26 vs a left-handed starter. Take Detroit! |
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08-07-18 | Pirates v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
4* National League TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockies/Pirates OVER 10.5 After an extremely low-scoring game at Coors Field in the opener, I look for both offenses to come alive in game 2. A big reason for the lack of runs in Colorado's 2-0 win on Monday was the talent on the mound for both teams. I just don't see either starter having much luck in this one. Pittsburgh will give the rock to Jameson Taillon, who will be getting his first taste of Coors Field, which is one of the toughest places in the majors to start. He'll be facing a Rockies lineup that is averaging 5.2 runs/game and hitting .281 as a team at home this season. Colorado will turn to Chad Bettis, who will be making his first start at the big league level since July 1st. Bettis went to the DL with a blister after posting a 7.71 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Bettis has made 7 starts at Coors Field this season and owns a miserable 8.75 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in those outings. OVER is 29-18 in the Pirates last 47 games when listed as a favorite of -150 or less, 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs a right-handed starter and 8-1-2 in Taillon's last 11 starts vs the NL West. OVER is 5-0-1 in Bettis' last 6 home starts and 7-3-1 in the Rockies last 11 vs the NL Central. Take the OVER! |
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08-07-18 | Cardinals v. Marlins +155 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Miami + Miami snapped their 6-game losing streak with a 2-1 win in Monday's series opener against the Cardinals and I look for them to build off that performance with another win tonight. The Marlins will have rookie Pablo Lopez on the mound, who has a strong 3.06 ERA and 1.132 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He was really sharp in his last outing at Philadelphia, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. He'll face a struggling St Louis offense that has scored just 3 runs in their last 2 games combined. Cardinals are just 2-8 in their last 10 when revenging a loss where they went off as the favorite and 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Marlins are 11-4 in their last 15 after scoring 2 runs or less and 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a team with a winning record. Take Miami! |
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08-06-18 | Astros v. Giants +137 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Giants + I love this spot and price with San Francisco at home against the defending champs. The Giants are playing well, as they have won 5 of their last 7, including a 3-2 win over the Diamondbacks on Sunday. No question SF will give it their best shot against the team that won it all in 2017. Houston just took 2 of 3 against the Dodgers in what was the first meeting between the two clubs since they faced off in last year's World Series. This is an ideal letdown spot for the Astros and AT&T Park is not a place they have played well in the past. Houston has just 5 wins in their last 18 games as the road team against the Giants. The inability to score runs has been their biggest downfall. The Astros have scored 2 or fewer in 12 of those 18 meetings. With the red-hot Dereck Rodriguez on the mound for the Giants, Houston's offensive woes at AT&T Park figure to continue. Rodriguez is 4-1 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.106 WHIP in 10 starts. He's got a 2.64 ERA in 5 home starts and a 1.86 ERA and 0.826 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Take San Francisco! |
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08-05-18 | Padres +187 v. Cubs | 10-6 | Win | 187 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
4* National League Value Play of the Week on Padres + San Diego is showing some big time value here as a near 2 to 1 underdog against the Cubs on Sunday. While the Padres have lost 2 of 3 so far in the series, they have given Chicago all they can handle, as both losses have come by just 1 run. I expect more of the same in this one, expect this time San Diego will find a way to come out on top. The Cubs will have All-Star Jon Lester on the mound, which is definitely playing into this inflated line. While Lester was great early, he's posted an awful 8.36 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's allowed 13 runs on 18 hits (4 HRs) during this stretch. As for the Padres, they will send out Joey Lucchesi, who has quietly had a strong season on a bad team. Lucchesi has been at his best on the road, where he's got a 3.23 ERA and 1.142 WHIP in 6 starts. Cubs are just 2-6 in their last 8 after a win and a mere 1-5 in their last 6 after a game where they scored 5 or more runs. Take San Diego! |
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08-04-18 | Tigers +172 v. A's | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Tigers + We couldn't ask for a better price on Detroit when the Tigers take on the A's this Saturday. Oakland is playing well and the public is starting to take notice. The books have recognized this and are drastically inflating the lines on the A's, especially against a bad team like Detroit. The key here is I feel like the Tigers' offense can have some success against Oakland starter Edwin Jackson, who has posted a 4.41 ERA over his last 3 starts. The other thing is Detroit has a guy on the mound who will give them a great shot at winning. The Tigers turn to veteran Jordan Zimmermann. While the overall numbers for 2018 haven't been great, he's really enjoyed the chance to pitch against Oakland. Zimmermann has a strong 2.60 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in 3 career starts against the A's. Zimmerman also has been at his best under the lights. He's got a 2.18 ERA and 0.726 WHIP in 4 night starts. Take Detroit! |
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08-03-18 | Blue Jays v. Mariners -155 | 7-2 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mariners - The Mariners have lost 3 straight and have fallen a 1/2-game behind division rival Oakland for the final final Wild Card spot. I expect a laser-focused Seattle side when they take the field tonight against the Blue Jays and I look for them to win this one going away. The Mariners will have one of the hottest starters in the league on the mound in Marco Gonzalez. He's won each of his last 5 starts and done so by posting a sensational 1.57 ERA during this stretch. Gonzalez has been rock-solid at home all season, as he's 5-1 with a 2.43 ERA in 10 starts (8-2 team record). Toronto will counter with rookie Ryan Borucki, who has an impressive 2.83 ERA in 6 starts. However, that ERA is a bit misleading. Borucki's got a 1.429 WHIP in those 6 starts and that's more typical of a starter that has an ERA of 4.00 or worse. He's really had his struggles on the road, where he's got a 4.80 ERA and 1.933 WHIP in 3 starts. Even with yesterday's loss, the Mariners are 21-5 in their last 26 vs a team with a losing record and 26-12 in their last 38 at home. Toronto is a mere 2-8 in their last 10 following a win and 8-24 in their last 32 after scoring 5+ runs in their previous game. Take Seattle! |
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08-03-18 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Yankees/Red Sox AL East Total of the Week on Yankees UNDER After last night's series opener saw a combined 22 runs in Boston's 15-7 win, a lot of people are going to expect another high-scoring game and jump on the OVER tonight. I think that's a huge mistake, as both teams should have a difficult time scoring with the two starters we have going in this one. The Yankees will send out their ace in Luis Severino, who is a legit Cy Young candidate with a 14-4 record and 2.94 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in 22 starts. Severino last faced the Red Sox a little more than a month ago (7/1) and was outstanding, limiting Boston to just 2 hits over 6 2/3 innings. The Red Sox will counter with former Cy Young winner Rick Porcello, who has really enjoyed facing New York at home. Porcello has made 7 starts at Fenway since coming to Boston back in 2015. He's allowed fewer than 2 earned runs in each of those 7 starts at home. That includes an earlier start against the Yankees this season, where he allowed just 2 hits in 7 shutout innings. UNDER is 11-3 in Porcello's last 14 home starts vs a team with w inning record, 13-3 in Boston's last 16 home games vs a right-handed starter and 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5+ runs in their previous game. UNDER is also 14-4 in the Yankees last 18 as a road favorite of -150 or less. Take the UNDER! |
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08-02-18 | Brewers +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-21 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
5* NL Run Line PLAY OF THE MONTH on Brewers + The betting public will look to either lay the big money with LA or take them on the run line, but that's not where the value is in this game. Despite losing 6-4 in extra innings on Wednesday, Milwaukee has been playing some of it's best baseball of the season. They are 8-4 in their last 12 and I think they got a decent shot here of upending Kershaw and the Dodgers, but I'm going to play them on the +1.5 run line for a little extra insurance. Most of the public's focus will be on Kershaw starting for LA, but few have been better than Jhoulys Chacin of late. In his last 3 starts, Chacin has posted a 1.50 ERA and sensational 0.389 WHIP, allowing just 3 earned runs on 6 hits in 18 innings of work. Brewers are 5-1 in Chacin's last 6 starts vs a team with a winning record and 24-7 in their last 31 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Milwaukee +1.5! |
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08-02-18 | Bears v. Ravens OVER 33 | 16-17 | Push | 0 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
4* NFLX 'Hall of Fame Game' Total No-Brainer on Bears/Ravens OVER While neither team figures to play many of their starters, these two teams should have no problem eclipsing the low total set by the books. The biggest key here is the talent that both teams have at the quarterback position. Baltimore figures to give a heavy workload to both RGIII and rookie Lamar Jackson, two guys I think that can have a lot of success against the second and third string defenses of the Bears. As for Chicago, they don't have the big names at quarterback like the Ravens, but Chase Daniel and Tyler Bray are two guys that should play well, as both know the offense. Both were recently backups in KC, where new head coach Matt Nagy came from (QB coach 2013-15 & OC 2016-17). These two should help the Bears keep pace with Baltimore and push this way over the mark. Take the OVER! |
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08-01-18 | Rockies v. Cardinals -120 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 60 m | Show | |
4* Vegas Insider Play of the Day on Cardinals - St Louis will have no problem bouncing back from yesterday's loss to the Rockies and cashing in a win at home in game 3 of their 4-game series with Colorado. St Louis is 6-1 in their last 7 following a loss. They are also a dominant 17-4 in their last 21 after a game in which they stranded 3 or fewer baserunners. Luke Weaver will toe the rubber for the Cardinals in this one and he's fresh off a really good start at home against the Cubs. Weaver held Chicago to just 2 runs in 6 innings and has a solid 3.37 ERA over his last 3 starts. Cardinals are 5-2 in Weaver's last 7 starts vs a team with a winning record and 15-4 in his last 19 starts vs an NL team with an OBP of .325 or worse. Take St Louis! |
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08-01-18 | Astros -127 v. Mariners | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
5* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Astros - The Astros snapped their 5-game losing streak with a 5-2 win on Tuesday and it could have been a much more lopsided final than it was. Houston was a bit unfortunate to only score 5 runs, given they had 15 hits. That was a great sign for the struggling Astros offense, which had managed just 23 hits in their previous 5 games combined. I look for the offense to build off that strong show here. Seattle will send out Wade LeBlanc, who comes in with a 4.08 ERA in his last 3 starts and owns a 5.14 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Astros. Dallas Keuchel will take the mound for Houston and he's red-hot with a 1.93 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He should have no problem here keeping the Mariners offense in check. Seattle has only scored 4 runs in the series on 11 hits. Astros are 20-8 in Keuchel's last 28 starts against a division opponent, 5-1 in his last 6 starts overall and 4-0 in his last 4 on the road. Take Houston! |
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07-31-18 | Indians v. Twins +155 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Twins
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-31-18 | Giants v. Padres +115 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
4* NL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Padres + It's been a brutal month of July for the Padres, but I'm confident they will walk away with a win in Tuesday's afternoon matchup against the Giants. While San Francisco won the opener 5-3 on Monday, the Giants had lost their previous 6 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Today they will face San Diego lefty Clayton Richard, who is just 7-10 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 22 starts. However, Richard has posted a much better 3.77 ERA and 1.240 WHIP in 9 home starts. The Giants are also just 3-7 in their last 10 games vs a left-handed starter and 2-8 in their last 10 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 on the season. There's also a strong system in play favoring a fade of San Francisco. Road teams with a money line of +125 to -125 who are off an upset win against a division opponent are just 51-99 (34%) against the money line when facing a team that is off 2 straight division home losses. Take San Diego! |
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07-30-18 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
5* Interleague Total of the Week on Rangers/Diamondbacks OVER The Diamondbacks and Rangers will easily eclipse the total on Monday. Both teams enter the series opener swinging a hot bat. Texas is averaging 6.6 runs/game over their last 7 and Arizona isn't far behind at 5.6 runs/game in their last 7. The Rangers have combined for a minimum of 10 runs in 6 of their last 7 games. Both teams should stay hot at the plate in this one, as we have two struggling starters on the mound with Robbie Ray going for Arizona and Martin Perez on the rubber for Texas. Ray owns a 4.90 ERA in 12 starts and a 8.07 ERA and 1.754 WHIP in 5 home starts. Perez has a 7.08 ERA in 8 starts and a 6.64 ERA and 1.918 WHIP in 4 road outings. OVER is 7-2 in the Rangers last 9 interleague road games vs a left-handed starter and 8-2-1 in Perez's last 11 interleague starts. OVER is also 13-4-1 in Arizona's last 18 during game 1 of a series and 24-7-1 in Ray's last 32 home starts. Take the OVER! |
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07-29-18 | Cubs -110 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
5* NL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH ON Cubs - I absolutely love Chicago in this spot. The Cubs are going to be all business in this one after dropping the first two games of the series against rival St Louis. Chicago hasn't lost 3 straight games since the end of June and are 60-29 in their last 89 games after a loss. They also have been a great team to back late in a series, as they have gone 5-1 over their last 6 in game 3 of a series and are 4-0 in their last 4 games on Sunday. St Louis on the other hand is just 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win and 8-17 in their last 25 after a game where they scored 5 or more runs. John Gant will take the mound for the Cardinals and he's just 1-3 with a 3.76 ERA in 7 starts. He's been even worse at home, where he's got a 4.50 ERA in 4 starts. Cardinals have lost 4 of this last 5 home starts and are just 2-7 in his last 9 starts overall. Take Chicago! |
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07-29-18 | Nationals v. Marlins +150 | 0-5 | Win | 150 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
4* NL East Play Game of the Week on Marlins + Miami edged the Nationals 2-1 on Saturday as a big home dog and I look for them to add to that with another victory on Sunday. Washington has struggled to bounce back from a poor offensive showing like they had yesterday. The Nationals are just 2-7 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less. They are also now just 7-15 in their last 22 games on the road and come in averaging a mere 3.9 runs/game and are hitting .224 as a team in day games this season. Washington will send out Jeremy Hellickson, who has an ERA of 5.40 since June 1 and really struggled in his lone start against the Marlins this season. Hellickson faced Miami at home back on July 5 and was torched for 9 runs on 9 hits in 4 innings. There's a solid system in play backing the Marlins. NL starters who have an ERA between 4.20 and 4.70 on the season and enter the game with an ERA over 7.50 in their last 3 starts are 174-106 (62%) at home since 1997. Miami is also 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs a right-handed starter and 4-0 in their last 4 when facing a team that just scored 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take Miami! |
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07-28-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals +100 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
4* NL Central Game of the Week on Cardinals This is an excellent price to back St Louis at home against the Cubs. The Cardinals won the series opener 5-2 on Friday behind a strong starting performance from Luke Weaver. I expect more of the same in Saturday's contest, as St Louis will turn to arguably their best starter in Miles Mikolas. In 20 starts this season, Mikolas is 10-3 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.070 WHIP. He's also got a sensational 1.99 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 9 home starts and a 1.50 ERA in 2 starts against the Cubs this season. Chicago will send out Jose Quintana, who has pitched well of late, but figures to struggle here. Quintana has had a miserable time throwing well in day games this year. He's made 10 starts in day games and has a 5.01 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in those outings. The Cubs managed just 2 runs in the loss on Friday and that's important to note, as the Cardinals are 6-1 in Mikolas' 7 starts when facing a team that managed to score just 2 or fewer runs in their last game. The Cubs are also 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs a right-handed starter and 1-5 in their last 6 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take St Louis! |
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07-28-18 | Team Parker +4 v. Team Delle Donne | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Team Parker No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-27-18 | Cubs +110 v. Cardinals | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cubs + This is a great spot to back the Cubs against rival St Louis. Chicago took the final two games to salvage a split in their 4-game series at home against Arizona and did so by scoring 3 runs in the bottom of the 9th on Thursday for a 7-6 win. I look for the Cubs to carry over that momentum against the slumping Cardinals. The even bigger key here is the pitching matchup and who will be on the mound for St Louis. The Cardinals are turning to Luke Weaver, who has been a major disappointment this season. Weaver is 5-9 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.393 WHIP in 20 starts. He's also 0-4 with a 5.32 ERA in 8 home starts and 0-3 with a 10.89 ERA in 5 career starts against the Cubs. In his 3 starts against Chicago this season, Weaver has allowed 13 runs on 22 hits and 7 walks in just 12 innings of work. Cubs will counter with Mike Montgomery, who has been a solid fill-in for their rotation. Montgomery is 3-2 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 10 starts. He's faced the Cardinals once this season and was very good, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Take Chicago! |
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07-27-18 | Indians -192 v. Tigers | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Indians
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-26-18 | A's -132 v. Rangers | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
5* AL West Game of the Week on Oakland - I love the value here with Oakland as a decently priced road favorite against the Rangers in Thursday's MLB action. The A's put together another late-inning rally to defeat the Rangers 6-5 on Wednesday. Oakland trailed 5-1 going into the 7th. This came just one day after the A's went into the 7th trailing 10-2 and ended up winning 13-10 in extra innings. Those are two excruciating losses for Texas and I think they are going to have a hard time getting excited about coming to the park for this one. On top of that, Oakland should have the edge on the mound with Trevor Cahill facing off against Bartolo Colon. Cahill has a 2.96 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in 10 starts. Colon is 0-3 with a 5.30 ERA in his last 3 starts and owns an ugly 5.84 ERA in 8 home starts. A's are also 8-2 in their last 10 after scoring 5 or more runs, 24-8 in their last 32 on the road and 40-16 in their last 56 vs a team with a losing record. Take Oakland! |
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07-26-18 | Rays v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on under
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-25-18 | Sky +6 v. Mercury | 101-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Sky No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-25-18 | Cardinals v. Reds +122 | 3-7 | Win | 122 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER on Reds + I like the value here with Cincinnati as a decently priced home dog against the Cardinals in Wednesday's early MLB action. In the first two games of this series, St Louis has had a rookie starter making his first ever start take a no hitter into the 7th inning. Cincinnati was able to steal the opener 2-1 with 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th and nearly won again yesterday, as they lost in extra innings. Cincinnati has now scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 straight games at home, which is pretty hard to do given they play in one of the most hitter friendly parks in the majors. As good as Cardinals starter Jack Flaherty has been, I think the Reds are primed to put up a big number and bring home the win. The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs a team with a winning road record. They are also 5-1 in Sal Romano's last 6 starts and a perfect 4-0 in his last 4 outings at home. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-24-18 | Astros v. Rockies +150 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Rockies + I like the value here with Colorado as big home dog against the Astros in Tuesday's MLB action. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with the Rockies with how well they are playing. Colorado is 12-3 in their last 15 games, have won 6 straight series (all against teams above .500) and are 8-1 in their last 9 at home (won 5 straight). Houston will have Gerrit Cole on the mound, who has put together a great season, but there are some concerning signs with Cole of late. His command hasn't been very good, as he's walked 7 in his last 11 2/3 innings of work. Coors Field is not the place you want to be struggling with your command. Rockies will send out Tyler Anderson, who is one of the hottest pitchers in the game right now. Anderson has a 0.96 ERA in his last 4 starts and opponents are hitting just .147 against him during this stretch. Take Colorado! |
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07-24-18 | Tigers v. Royals +106 | 4-5 | Win | 106 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Royals + I like the value here with Kansas City at basically a pick'em at home against the Tigers in Tuesday's MLB action. The Royals lost the series opener 4-5 on Monday, but were a bit unfortunate not to win that game. KC should have produced more than 4 runs as they racked up 13 hits (left 13 on base). The Royals have scored 4 or more in 4 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall. I like Kansas City's chances of staying hot at the plate in this one. Detroit will send out Jordan Zimmermann, who has an ugly 5.12 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in 7 road starts and is coming off an ugly outing at Tampa where he gave up 4 runs on 11 hits. It's also worth noting the Tigers are just 1-4 in their last 5 off a win and 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Take Kansas City! |
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07-23-18 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
5* AL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Tigers OVER I love the value here with the OVER in Monday's MLB action that has the Royals hosting the Tigers. Kansas City returned from the All-Star break and registered their first series sweep of the season, taking all 3 against the Twins at home. The Royals were swinging a hot bat going into the break and stayed hot at the plate with 15 runs in their 3 games against Minnesota. KC has now scored at least 4 runs in 7 of their last 8 games. Hard to not like their chances of putting up another big number here, as the Tigers send out the struggling Francisco Liriano, who has a 4.67 ERA in 15 starts overall and a 8.74 ERA and 2.030 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Detroit also figures to score early and often in this one. The Royals will send out Heath Fillmyer for his second career start. Fillmyer allowed 4 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in just 4 1/3 innings in his big league debut. Take the OVER! |
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07-23-18 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 11 | 15-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Rangers UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's MLB action that has the Rangers hosting the A's. I know the pitching matchup isn't anything to get excited about with Cole Hamels facing off against Brett Anderson, but I just don't see these two teams combining for 12+ runs in this one. Neither team is hitting all that great of late. Oakland has a .222 team average over their last 7 games and the Rangers aren't much better at .256. Hamels is just 5-8 with a 4.36 ERA in 19 starts, but does have a strong 3.12 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 7 starts against division opponents and a 2.93 ERA in 13 night starts this season. Anderson on the other hand has been a different pitcher since returning from the DL. He has a 3.24 ERA in 2 starts since coming back and I look for him to stay hot here. Anderson is well rested and the UNDER is 7-0-2 in his last 9 starts when throwing on 8 or more days of rest. UNDER is also 5-0 in his last 5 road starts. UNDER is 17-7-3 in Texas' last 27 games following a win and 9-3-1 in Hamels last 13 starts during game 1 of a series. Take the UNDER! |
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07-22-18 | Fever v. Aces -7 | 74-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Aces
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-22-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +118 | 11-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Brewers I like the value here with the Brewers as a short home dog agains the Dodgers in Sunday's MLB action. Milwaukee put an end to their 7-game losing streak with a 4-2 victory over LA on Saturday and I look for them to carry over that momentum to this one. Dodgers will send out Alex Wood, who is just 2-3 with a 4.10 ERA in 9 road starts. He did pitch well in his last outing, but he's struggled to stack them on top of each other, as LA is just 3-7 in his last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last outing. Milwaukee will send out Brent Suter and are a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 home starts vs a team with a winning record. Brewers are also 14-3 in their last 17 vs the NL West and 7-2 in their last 9 at home overall. Take Milwaukee! |
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07-21-18 | Giants +118 v. A's | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
5* MLB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Giants I love the value here with San Francisco as an underdog at Oakland in Saturday's MLB action. This is simply too good a price to pass up on the Giants with their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound. Bumgarner has a 2.90 ERA and 1.168 WHIP in 8 starts and one of his better outings came against these A's back on July 13th. Bumgarner allowed just 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings of work. Oakland will counter with Trevor Cahill, who has a mere 4.16 ERA and 1.319 WHIP in 15 career starts against the Giants. A's are also 1-5 in Cahill's last 6 starts. Giants are also 21-6 in their last 27 games vs a right-handed starter and 4-1 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts vs a team from the AL West. Take San Francisco! |
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07-21-18 | Mystics -4 v. Liberty | 95-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Mystics
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-20-18 | Fever +17 v. Sparks | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Fever
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-20-18 | Twins v. Royals +124 | 5-6 | Win | 124 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Royals + I like the value here with the Royals as a decently priced home dog against the Twins in Friday's MLB action. Kansas City is clearly one of the worst teams in the league, but this is just too good a price to pass up on with hot starter like Danny Duffy on the mound. Duffy really struggled early in 2018, but posted a 2.84 ERA in his final 3 starts before the All-Star break and is a guy we know has plus stuff. Minnesota is also not an elite team and shouldn't be getting this much respect on the road. The Twins are just 16-29 away from home on the season and a mere 5-17 in their last 22. They are also just 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games and 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs a left-handed starter. Take Kansas City! |
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07-20-18 | Red Sox v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Red Sox OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Friday's MLB action that has the Red Sox visiting the Tigers. Boston is capable of scoring 9+ runs every time they take the field and I expect a big day at the plate for the Red Sox in this one. Detroit will start Matt Boyd, who is just 4-8 with a 4.76 ERA in 18 starts and posted an ugly 7.87 ERA in his final 3 starts before the All-Star break. Boyd also owns a 7.30 ERA and 1.784 WHIP in 3 career starts against Boston. The key here is that we should also get some decent run production from the Tigers, as the Red Sox send out the struggling David Price. In his final 3 starts before the break, Price posted an awful 9.20 ERA and 1.500 WHIP. He's now got a 4.42 ERA in 19 starts overall and a 4.96 ERA in 11 starts away from home. OVER is 22-8 in Price's last 30 road starts against a AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the 2nd half of the season. Take the OVER! |
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07-19-18 | Aces +9.5 v. Mercury | 85-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Aces
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-19-18 | Cardinals +145 v. Cubs | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Cardinals No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-17-18 | Liberty +9.5 v. Wings | 87-104 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Liberty
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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07-15-18 | Nationals -128 v. Mets | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Nationals - I love the value here with the Nationals as a small road favorite against the Mets in Sunday's series finale before the All-Star break. Washington will be extra motivated here after dropping the last two games in the series and will have a big edge on the mound in this one. The Nationals send out Jeremy Hellickson, who is 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in 8 road starts. New York counters with Corey Oswalt, who is 0-2 with a 7.81 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in 3 starts. Hellickson is 16-6 in his last 22 starts agains the money line when facing an NL team with a OBP of .315 or worse. Take Washington! |
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07-14-18 | A's v. Giants -111 | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Giants - I like the value here with the Giants as a small home favorite against the A's. San Francisco won the series opener 7-1 on Friday and are now 4-1 in their last 5. I look for them to build off that big win yesterday. The Giants will send out Jeff Samardzija, who will be making his second start back from the DL. Samardzija should be in good form for this one. SF will counter with Brett Anderson, who is just 1-2 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.771 WHIP in 5 starts this season. A's are just 2-9 in Anderson's last 11 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game and 3-7 in his last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take San Francisco! |
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07-14-18 | Angels v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on over
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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Jimmy Boyd ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-31-18 | Syracuse v. Western Michigan UNDER 64 | 55-42 | Loss | -115 | 393 h 46 m | Show | |
08-30-18 | Northwestern +3 v. Purdue | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 96 h 38 m | Show | |
08-30-18 | Redskins v. Ravens -6.5 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
08-30-18 | Colts v. Bengals OVER 34 | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 48 h 19 m | Show | |
08-30-18 | Twins +1.5 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
08-29-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +104 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 104 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
08-28-18 | Brewers v. Reds +116 | 7-9 | Win | 116 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
08-27-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +130 | 0-7 | Win | 130 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
08-26-18 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
08-26-18 | Cardinals +3 v. Cowboys | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 105 h 10 m | Show | |
08-26-18 | Mercury +6.5 v. Storm | 87-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
08-26-18 | Cardinals v. Rockies -128 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -128 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
08-25-18 | Wyoming v. New Mexico State OVER 45.5 | 29-7 | Loss | -110 | 253 h 52 m | Show | |
08-25-18 | Hawaii v. Colorado State OVER 55 | Top | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 81 h 20 m | Show |
08-25-18 | Ravens v. Dolphins +100 | 27-10 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
08-25-18 | White Sox +112 v. Tigers | Top | 6-1 | Win | 112 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
08-25-18 | Phillies v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
08-24-18 | Mariners +150 v. Diamondbacks | 6-3 | Win | 150 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
08-24-18 | Giants v. Jets UNDER 42 | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 57 h 35 m | Show | |
08-24-18 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 9 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
08-23-18 | Eagles +4 v. Browns | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
08-23-18 | Indians v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 21 m | Show | |
08-22-18 | Cubs v. Tigers +180 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
08-22-18 | Rangers +149 v. A's | Top | 4-2 | Win | 149 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
08-22-18 | Orioles +167 v. Blue Jays | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
08-21-18 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
08-19-18 | Mets v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 8-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
08-19-18 | Liberty v. Mercury -11.5 | 85-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
08-18-18 | Seahawks v. Chargers UNDER 41 | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 111 h 39 m | Show |
08-18-18 | Montreal v. Edmonton -18 | 24-40 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
08-18-18 | Rockies v. Braves -153 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -153 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
08-18-18 | Raiders +3 v. Rams | 15-19 | Loss | -117 | 105 h 45 m | Show | |
08-17-18 | Diamondbacks v. Padres +120 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
08-17-18 | Cardinals v. Saints UNDER 42.5 | Top | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 85 h 38 m | Show |
08-17-18 | Bills v. Browns OVER 38.5 | 19-17 | Loss | -109 | 84 h 9 m | Show | |
08-17-18 | Rays +170 v. Red Sox | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
08-17-18 | Chiefs v. Falcons UNDER 40.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 38 m | Show | |
08-17-18 | Mets +153 v. Phillies | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
08-16-18 | Tigers v. Twins -153 | 8-15 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
08-16-18 | Jets +100 v. Redskins | 13-15 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
08-15-18 | Angels v. Padres -121 | 3-2 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
08-14-18 | White Sox v. Tigers -125 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
08-13-18 | Mariners +120 v. A's | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
08-12-18 | Rays v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
08-12-18 | Rays +130 v. Blue Jays | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
08-11-18 | Chargers v. Cardinals -1 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 230 h 29 m | Show | |
08-11-18 | Diamondbacks -139 v. Reds | 3-6 | Loss | -139 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
08-11-18 | Cardinals v. Royals +144 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
08-11-18 | Brewers v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
08-10-18 | Phillies v. Padres +130 | 0-2 | Win | 130 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
08-10-18 | Brewers -101 v. Braves | Top | 1-10 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
08-10-18 | Rays -107 v. Blue Jays | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
08-09-18 | Titans v. Packers -110 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
08-09-18 | Browns +3 v. Giants | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 211 h 47 m | Show |
08-09-18 | Saints +3 v. Jaguars | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 211 h 46 m | Show | |
08-09-18 | Bucs v. Dolphins -135 | 26-24 | Loss | -135 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
08-09-18 | Braves v. Nationals -115 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
08-08-18 | Dodgers v. A's +155 | 2-3 | Win | 155 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
08-08-18 | Tigers +144 v. Angels | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
08-07-18 | Pirates v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
08-07-18 | Cardinals v. Marlins +155 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
08-06-18 | Astros v. Giants +137 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
08-05-18 | Padres +187 v. Cubs | 10-6 | Win | 187 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
08-04-18 | Tigers +172 v. A's | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
08-03-18 | Blue Jays v. Mariners -155 | 7-2 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
08-03-18 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
08-02-18 | Brewers +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-21 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
08-02-18 | Bears v. Ravens OVER 33 | 16-17 | Push | 0 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
08-01-18 | Rockies v. Cardinals -120 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 60 m | Show | |
08-01-18 | Astros -127 v. Mariners | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
07-31-18 | Indians v. Twins +155 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
07-31-18 | Giants v. Padres +115 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
07-30-18 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
07-29-18 | Cubs -110 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
07-29-18 | Nationals v. Marlins +150 | 0-5 | Win | 150 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
07-28-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals +100 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
07-28-18 | Team Parker +4 v. Team Delle Donne | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
07-27-18 | Cubs +110 v. Cardinals | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
07-27-18 | Indians -192 v. Tigers | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
07-26-18 | A's -132 v. Rangers | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
07-26-18 | Rays v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
07-25-18 | Sky +6 v. Mercury | 101-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
07-25-18 | Cardinals v. Reds +122 | 3-7 | Win | 122 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
07-24-18 | Astros v. Rockies +150 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
07-24-18 | Tigers v. Royals +106 | 4-5 | Win | 106 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
07-23-18 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
07-23-18 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 11 | 15-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
07-22-18 | Fever v. Aces -7 | 74-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
07-22-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +118 | 11-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
07-21-18 | Giants +118 v. A's | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
07-21-18 | Mystics -4 v. Liberty | 95-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
07-20-18 | Fever +17 v. Sparks | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
07-20-18 | Twins v. Royals +124 | 5-6 | Win | 124 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
07-20-18 | Red Sox v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
07-19-18 | Aces +9.5 v. Mercury | 85-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
07-19-18 | Cardinals +145 v. Cubs | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
07-17-18 | Liberty +9.5 v. Wings | 87-104 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
07-15-18 | Nationals -128 v. Mets | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
07-14-18 | A's v. Giants -111 | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
07-14-18 | Angels v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show |