Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-28-19 | Mets +185 v. Dodgers | 7-3 | Win | 185 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Mets +185 Unbelievable value here with New York as a massive road dog against the Dodgers on Tuesday. While the Mets come in off a 9-5 loss to Kershaw and the Dodgers Monday, New York is 6-2 in their last 8 games and a big reason for that is the offense. Despite coming in a losing effort this time, Mets have now scored 4 or more runs in 8 straight games. They are slugging .508 as a team over their last 7 (slugging .411 on the season). At this price, this is just too good to pass up. Dodgers will have Rich Hill on the mound, but that's actually a positive for NY. Hill owns an awful 7.31 ERA and 1.694 WHIP in 6 starts against the Mets. LA comes in red-hot, but are just 7-13 over the last 2 seasons when riding a winning streak of 4 or more. Mets are also 14-5 in Matz last 19 starts off a loss. Take New York! |
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05-28-19 | Tigers -109 v. Orioles | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Tigers -109 Easy play here on Detroit as a small road favorite at Baltimore Tuesday. Tigers have been a lot more competitive than their recent record would suggest. They are averaging 4.0 runs and hitting .259 as a team over their last 7, yet are 1-6. I believe that offense will be able to produce more than enough runs to get the win behind starter Matt Boyd. In 11 starts this season, Boyd has a 3.11 ERA and 1.005 WHIP with 80 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings of work. Baltimore will have Dylan Bundy on the mound. Bundy has a 4.68 ERA in 6 home starts and the Orioles as a team are just 1-5 in those 6 outings. Baltimore is also a mere 3-13 in their last 16 vs a left-handed starter and 0-9 in Bundy's last 9 starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Detroit! |
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05-28-19 | Fever +9 v. Sun | 77-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Fever +9 -110 Indiana is worth a look here as a near double-digit dog against the Sun. The Fever opened up the 2019 season with a thrilling 81-80 win at New York as a 3.5-point dog. That's quite the start to the season for a team that finished dead last in 2018 with a mere 6-wins. I'm not saying Indiana is going to start 2-0, but I think they can ride that momentum to a cover. Connecticut rolled over the Mystics 84-69 in their opener, but Washington was without Elana Delle-Donne. Easy for them to come in a little too confident against a team they have dominated of late. Look for the Fever to make a game of it. Take Indiana! |
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05-27-19 | Rangers +110 v. Mariners | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers +110 Rangers are worth a look here at pretty much even money on the road against the Mariners. While Texas just lost 2 of 3 at the Angels, they are 8-3 in their last 11 overall. While the Rangers are surging, Seattle has completely fallen off the map. Mariners have lost 6 straight and 9 of 10 overall. Not only are the Mariners struggling to keep their opponents from scoring a bunch of runs, they just aren't producing at the plate. Hard to not like the Rangers chances in this one with a red-hot Lance Lynn on the mound. Lynn has a 2.57 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in his last 3 starts, all of which he completed 7 innings. Take Texas! |
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05-27-19 | Blues +137 v. Bruins | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Blues/Bruins Money Line NO-BRAINER on Blues +137 I really like St. Louis to go on the road and steal Game 1 against Boston. Blues have been on some kind of run. It's hard to believe that this team had the worst record in the league back in January. Clearly this team thrives in this role of being the underdog. I also think this is a really tough spot for the Bruins. While both teams have been off quite a bit, Boston hasn't played since 5/16, giving them 11 days off between games. I just think it's hard to flip the switch after that long of a break, especially when you were playing so well prior to the long layoff. Bruins were just 1-6 this season when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Take St Louis! |
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05-27-19 | Pirates v. Reds -200 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -200 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds -200 I got no problem laying the big number with Cincinnati at home in Game 1 of their double-header against the Pirates. Reds will have one of the best starters in the game going in Luis Castillo. The guy is 5-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 11 starts. He's even tougher to score against at home, as he owns a 1.89 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in 6 home starts. While Cincinnati has a legit ace on the mound, Pittsburgh will be counting on the likes of Nick Kingham and his 10.12 ERA and 2.125 WHIP. Last time out Kingham gave up 7 runs on 10 hits in 4 innings. I just don't see a struggling Pirates offense being able to score enough in this one. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-26-19 | Sparks +3.5 v. Aces | 70-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sparks +3½ -110 I like the value here with LA as a dog. Aces are a team that are getting a ton of love coming into the 2019 season. Not only did they add another No. 1 overall pick in Jackie Young from Notre Dame, they acquired 2018 MVP runner-up Liz Cambage. These moves have Las Vegas as one of the favorites to win it all. The talent is definitely there, but much like in the NBA when superstars pair up for the first time, it's going to take some time before they play to their potential. The chemistry just isn't there right away. Sparks are a legit playoff team and have the pieces in place to win the title. I think they come out and make a statement here on the road. Take Los Angeles! |
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05-26-19 | Mariners +130 v. A's | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Mariners +130 Mariners are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog at Oakland. No doubt we are getting some great value here on the money line with Seattle. A's have won 8 straight and the Mariners have lost 5 in a row. Oakland is going to have Brett Anderson on the mound and he's not exactly been great in 2019. Anderson owns a 4.14 ERA and an ugly 1.362 WHIP in 10 starts. In his last 2 starts against the Mariners, he's given up 9 runs on 13 hits (5 HRs) in just 8 1/3 innings of work. Seattle will have Mike Leake on the mound and they lost his last start. That's worth noting, as the Mariners are 12-3 in Leake's last 15 starts following a loss in his last outing. Take Seattle! |
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05-26-19 | White Sox +220 v. Twins | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Central GAME of the MONTH on White Sox +220 I absolutely love the value here with Chicago at more than a 2 to 1 dog Sunday. Minnesota is simply way overpriced due to them coming into this game having won 5 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. Note that lone loss came in a flat spot last Sunday, as they had already won the first 3 games of their series against Seattle. They have outscored the White Sox 19-5 in the first two of this series and I think they will have a tough time showing up to the park motivated for this early game against a bad team. Take Chicago! |
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05-26-19 | Red Sox +158 v. Astros | 4-1 | Win | 158 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Red Sox +158 Red Sox are worth a look here as a big dog against the Astros on Sunday. Not very often will you see Boston at this price, but the Astros are playing well and appear to have a massive edge on the mound with Justin Verlander against the struggling Eduardo Rodriguez. While Rodriguez has struggled in his last 2 starts, we know the guy has good stuff and Houston has cooled off considerable at the plate. In fact, Astros have scored 4 or fewer runs in 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 overall. I just think at this price, it's worth a shot on the Red Sox in this one. Take Boston! |
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05-25-19 | Dodgers v. Pirates +165 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Heavy Hitter TOP PLAY on Pirates +165 Absolutely love the value here with Pittsburgh as a massive home dog against the Dodgers. LA is a massive public team and with them playing well and having a strong starter on the mound, no doubt the books inflated the line here. Pittsburgh will have a capable starter on the mound in Joe Musgrove, and he's coming off back-to-back strong starts. Pirates have won 4 of his last 5 starts at home against a team with a winning record. Dodgers will have lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu on the mound. While he's been great, the Dodgers are just 2-14 in his last 16 road starts vs a team with a winning record and the Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 at home vs a left-handed starter. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | Top | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 36 h 10 m | Show |
5* Bucks/Raptors NBA Playoffs GAME OF THE MONTH on Raptors -2 -110 My money is on the Raptors to make it 4 straight wins to close out the series with Milwaukee and move on to the NBA Finals. As good as Antetokounmpo is, you could argue that Toronto's Kawhi Leonard has been the best player on the floor in this series, especially of late. More than anything, I think Leonard's got the much better supporting cast. Bucks just aren't getting production from their bench and a lot of that has to do with the great defense of Toronto. I just think with all the momentum the Raptors have, playing at home will be more than enough to propel them to victory in this one. Take Toronto! |
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05-25-19 | Braves v. Cardinals +100 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cardinals +100 St Louis is worth a look here at even money on Saturday. Just too good a price to pass up with the Cardinals at home. Atlanta is simply getting too much love with Mike Soroka on the mound. St Louis has a very capable starter of their own in Dakota Hudson, who has a strong 3.76 ERA in 5 home starts. While the Braves are playing well, Atlanta is just 14-24 in their last 38 when they go into a contest having won 6 of 8. Cardinals on the other hand are 9-2 in their last 11 at home with a money line of -125 to +125. Take St Louis! |
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05-25-19 | Rays +122 v. Indians | 6-2 | Win | 122 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Rays +122 Tampa Bay is worth a look here as a road dog. This is a great price to back the Rays with Charlie Morton on the mound. Morton is 4-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.196 WHIP in 10 starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.95 ERA in 6 road starts, which the Rays have gone 5-1. Cleveland will have Carlos Carrasco on the mound and he's just 4-4 with a 4.30 ERA in 10 starts. He has been better of late, but is coming off a poor outing at home against the A's and in his last 2 starts vs the Rays, he's allowed 8 runs on 15 hits and 4 walks in 13 1/3 innings. Indians are also a mere 3-16 over the last 2 seasons against an AL starter with a ERA of 2.90 or better. Take Tampa Bay! |
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05-24-19 | Braves +142 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-2 | Win | 142 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
5* MLB No Limit PLAY OF THE MONTH on Braves +142 Love the value here with Atlanta in Friday's series opener against the Cardinals. I'm not so sure St Louis should be favored. Cardinals have not been playing well. St Louis is just 5-14 in their last 19. It's also a weird spot for them, as they have been off 3 of the last 4 days and the one day they did play they had to play a double-header. Cardinals will have Miles Mikolas on the mound and he's got a mere 4.88 ERA in 10 starts. Last time out Mikolas couldn't even complete 2 innings, as he was pulled after giving up 7 runs on 9 hits. He's just not been the same guy that we saw in 2018. Atlanta will turn to Mike Foltynewicz. When he's on and healthy, he's one of the better starters the Braves have. He had to miss some time and has not looked great in 5 starts, but was sharp last time out against the Brewers, holding a potent Milwaukee offense to just 2 runs on 3 hits in 6 innings. Take Atlanta! |
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05-24-19 | White Sox +190 v. Twins | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on White Sox +190 I think this is a great spot and price to back Chicago. The White Sox are going to come into this series with a ton of confidence, as they just took the final 2 games of their series with the Astros, which featured a complete-game shutout by Giolito on Thursday. No doubt Chicago is going to want to keep it going against a red-hot Twins team that has a 8-game lead in the AL Central. As for Minnesota, I just feel like this is a flat spot for them. Twins just capped off a 7-game road trip out west with a 16-7 win on Thursday, which featured an impressive 8 homers. Believe it or not, it's a feat they have already accomplished once this season. Really easy for them to not take this series seriously against a team like Chicago. Overall numbers for today's two starters favor Minnesota, but recent form is in favor of Chicago. White Sox Reynaldo Lopez has a 2.29 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Twins starter Jose Berrios has a 4.67 ERA and 1.557 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Chicago! |
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05-24-19 | Reds +151 v. Cubs | 6-5 | Win | 151 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER on Reds +151 Big time value here with Cincinnati as a big road dog against the Cubs. Chicago's Kyle Hendricks has a 2.53 ERA in his last 6 starts and was on quite a run up until his last start. Hendricks had a no-hitter going thru 4 innings, but blew up and allowed 4 runs in the 5th and was forced out of the game. Hendricks needs to be on top of his game to be effective and I think we could see him struggle in this one. Cubs are also coming off a huge 4-game series against the Phillies and I could see them being a little flat here with an early start. Reds on the other hand have really been playing good baseball over the last month and will be highly motivated to show what they got against a team like the Cubs. Numbers aren't great for Reds starter Anthony Desclafani, but he's pitched well against the Cubs in his career and the Reds have won 5 of his last 6 starts. That includes 4 straight wins on the road. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 217.5 | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors/Bucks under 217½ -110 While each of the last 3 games in the series have gone OVER the total, I absolutely love the UNDER in Game 5 on Thursday. With the series tied 2-2, this feels like a must-win for both team, so we can expect a max effort here from both sides. With both teams giving all they got on the defensive side of the ball, I think we are poised to get our lowest scoring game of the series. Keep in mind that neither team even got to 100 points in regulation of Game 3 and there were just 208 scored in Game 1. UNDER has cashed in 7 of the Raptors last 10 on the road and 13 of the Bucks last 19 off a loss. Take the UNDER! |
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05-23-19 | Braves v. Giants +100 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Giants +100 Easy play here on San Francisco even money at home with ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound. Giants have won each of Bumgarner's last 4 straight and it's important to note the early start with this game. Bumgarner has a 2.70 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 3 day starts this season. Atlanta is going to counter with Kevin Gausman, who has just not lived up to the hype. Gausman is 2-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.250 WHIP. However, I'm more focused on the ugly 5.19 ERA and 1.731 WHIP in 4 road starts. Gausman has made only one start in a day game and it wasn't pretty, as he gave up 5 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks in 5 innings. Take San Francisco! |
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05-23-19 | Marlins +148 v. Tigers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 148 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Marlins +148 This is just too good a price to pass up on the Marlins. Miami is playing as well as they have all season, as they come in on a 5-game winning streak, which includes wins over Detroit in the first two games of this series. As for the Tigers, they have lost 8 in a row. Detroit is getting love because they have a strong starter going in Matt Boyd, but the problem with the Tigers is they can't score runs. Detroit is scoring just 3.3 runs/game on the season and it's been even worse than that of late, as they are averaging just 2.6 runs/game over their last 7 games. Tigers are a mere 1-10 in their last 11 home games, 0-7 in their last 7 off a loss, 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series and 0-8 in their last 8 at home vs a right-handed starter. Take Miami! |
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05-22-19 | Phillies +144 v. Cubs | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Phillies +144 Philadelphia is worth a look here as a decently priced dog at Chicago. Despite blowing yesterday's game in the bottom of the 9th, the Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 and I look for them to take the series with a win tonight. Cole Irvin will take the mound for Philadelphia and he's been lights out in his first two big league starts. Irvin is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.923 WHIP. He'll be facing a Cubs offense that has scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6. Phillies are 18-4 in their last 22 when revenging a one run loss and 12-2 in their last 14 in game 3 of a series. Take Philadelphia! |
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05-22-19 | Marlins +107 v. Tigers | Top | 6-3 | Win | 107 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Marlins +107 This is a great price to jump on Miami. Marlins might be one of the worst teams in the league, but they aren't playing like it. Miami has won 4 straight and will be facing a Tigers team that has lost 7 straight. Key here is the Marlins have a big edge on the mound. Jose Urena doesn't look great with a 1-6 record and 4.27 ERA in 9 starts. However, those numbers are misleading. He's gone at least 6 innings in each of his last 6 starts and allowed 2 or fewer run 5 times during this run. He's facing a Tigers offense that is one of the worst in the league, averaging 3.3 runs/game and hitting .217 as a team. While Detroit figures to struggle to score, Marlins should score early and often. Tigers will turn to Daniel Norris and he's got a 4.55 ERA in 6 starts overall and a 5.94 ERA in his last 3 outings. When he is out, he will turn it over to a Tigers bullpen that has a 5.56 ERA. Take Miami! |
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05-22-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +220 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles +220 Simply too much value here with Baltimore as a massive home division dog. While the Yankees have won the first two in the series, Orioles have put up 11 runs on 21 hits. I think that offense is more than capable of putting up a big number here against C.C. Sabathia. While Sabathia comes in with a sharp 2.97 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in 7 starts, there's going to be some regression going forward. Sabathia has also not been nearly as good on the road, where he owns a 4.70 ERA and 1.305 WHIP. Baltimore's Daniel Staily has really picked up his game against division opponents, going 24-10 in his last 34 starts against a division rival. It's also worth mentioning that the home plate umpire will be David Rackley. Home team has won 7 of his last 10 games behind the plate including a 5-1 record when the Yankees are the road team. Take Baltimore! |
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05-22-19 | A's v. Indians +120 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird Money Line SMASH on Indians +120 Big game here for Cleveland and I expect them to get the job done. Indians will be highly motivated to avoid getting swept after dropping the first two to the A's. Oakland on the other hand has secured a winning record on their current 8-game road trip and could get caught looking ahead to their flight back home, especially with a day off on Thursday. Indians will have Jefry Rodriguez on the mound and he's been a heck of a lot better than his 1-3 record would suggest. Rodriguez has a very strong 3.45 ERA and 1.181 WHIP. He also just faced the A's in Oakland a couple starts back and limited them to 3 runs in 6 innings of a Indians win. No way should Cleveland be a home dog here. Indians are a dominant 16-5 in their last 21 after losing the first two games of a series. Take Cleveland! |
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05-21-19 | Reds +130 v. Brewers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 130 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
5* MLB NL Central GAME of the MONTH on Reds +130 I think the Reds are worth a look in Tuesdays's series opener against the Brewers. Cincinnati has been playing better than .500 ball since their dreadful 1-8 start to the season and will be up for another shot at the defending NL Central champs, especially after Milwaukee swept the Reds in Cincinnati earlier this season (all 3 wins were by exactly 1-run). Brewers are just 4-4 over their last 8, so they aren't exactly playing their best. I also think this is a bit of a flat spot for Milwaukee, as they just finished up a lengthy 10-game road trip on Sunday. Gio Gonzalez has pitched well in his first 4 starts for the Brewers, but he doesn't go deep in games and is due for a poor outing. Reds are 9-3 in their last 12 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 6-2 in their last 8 on the road vs a team with a winning record and 10-4 in their last 14 off a SU loss. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-21-19 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays +140 | 3-10 | Win | 140 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Blue Jays +140 I'm confident the Blue Jays will come out with a win and cash in a nice ticket as a decently priced home dog against the Red Sox. No denying that Boston is the better team, but it's the Blue Jays who will have a massive edge on the mound in this one. Toronto will send out Marcus Stroman, who has a 2.95 ERA and 1.293 WHIP in 10 starts. Most of that success has come at home, where he has a 2.60 ERA in 6 starts. Boston will counter with Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a mere 4.89 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in 9 starts and a awful 6.98 ERA and 1.966 WHIP in 4 road starts. Take Toronto! |
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05-20-19 | Diamondbacks +130 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Diamondbacks +130 Arizona is worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Padres. This looks like quite the pitching matchup with Luke Weaver of Arizona going up against Chris Paddack of San Diego. Paddack has the better numbers and the Padres are at home, but he was not sharp at all in his last start and he's due for some regression. Weaver on the other hand comes in with a 2.25 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also 3-0 with a strong 2.38 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in 4 road starts and owns a 2.28 ERA and 1.014 WHIP in 4 career starts vs San Diego. Another thing is the Dbacks have a big edge offensively. Arizona is averaging 5.6 runs/game on the road, while the Padres are scoring a mere 3.4 runs/game at home. Take Arizona! |
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05-20-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +180 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles +180 Big time value with Baltimore in Monday's series opener against the Yankees. While New York is the better team, no way should they be this big of a favorite on the road against a division rival. Easy spot here for the Yankees to come out flat, as they just closed a 4-1 homestand and swept two games at home against Baltimore last week. Runs have been tough to come by for the Orioles, but I look for them to get the offense going. Yankees will have J.A. Happ on the mound and he's got a 4.44 ERA in 9 starts. Baltimore on the flip side of this will have Andrew Cashner on the mound. Cashner has a very strong 2.45 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in 3 home starts. My money is on him keeping the Yankees in check. Take Baltimore! |
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05-19-19 | Bucks +2.5 v. Raptors | 112-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
3* Bucks/Raptors Game 3 VEGAS INSIDER on Bucks +2½ -110 I just don't think playing at home is going to be enough for Toronto in Game 3. Raptors had their chance to steal Game 1 in Milwaukee with the Bucks off that long layoff, but blew a big lead in a crushing defeat. They followed that up by getting annihilated 125-103 in Game 2. Milwaukee's defense has simply been too much for the Raptors to overcome, as Toronto continues to struggle from the field. Raptors have shot 43% or worst from the field in 4 straight, dating back to the 76ers series. Keep in mind Bucks are a perfect 4-0 on the road in the postseason with 3 of the 4 wins coming by double-digits. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-19-19 | Giants +154 v. Diamondbacks | 3-2 | Win | 154 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB NL West PLAY OF THE DAY on Giants +154 This is just too good a price to pass up with San Francisco. The Giants are fresh off a 8-5 win on Saturday and I look for them to carry that momentum over to Sunday. Arizona has lost 8 of their last 13 and have been absolutely dreadful on Sunday. Diamondbacks are 1-11 in their last 12 games played on Sunday. I don't know if they are staying out to late or what, but this team is not performing in this spot. Same goes for starter Robbie Ray, who is 0-5 in his last 5 starts on Sunday. Arizona is also just 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 or more in their previous game. Giants have won 9 of their last 13 in the series. Take San Francisco! |
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05-19-19 | Brewers -118 v. Braves | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Brewers -118 Great value here with Milwaukee as a small road favorite. Atlanta is getting a ton of love right now, as they have won 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall, but the Brewers are favored for a reason in this one. Milwaukee will have a massive edge on the mound, as they send out the red-hot Brandon Woodruff against the struggling Mike Foltynewicz. Woodruff has a 1.06 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in his last 3 starts, all of which have ended up in Brewers wins. In fact, Milwaukee has won 7 of Woodruff's 9 starts on the season. As for Foltynewicz, he's 0-3 with a 8.01 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in 4 starts. All 4 of which the Braves have wound up losing. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-18-19 | Cubs +130 v. Nationals | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs +130 Easy play on the Cubs at this price. Chicago has been one of the hottest teams in the league. Yesterday they roughed up Max Scherzer in a 14-6 win. Washington is just 4-8 in their last 12 as they continue to underperform in 2019. No way I'm passing up on a team as talented as the Cubs when they are playing this well with a guy as hot as Jon Lester on the mound. Lester has a ridiculously good 1.16 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 7 starts. He hasn't allowed a run in 3 straight starts and is facing a Nationals team that is just 3-7 on the season when up against a left-handed starter. Washington is not hitting for a strong team average and that's worth noting. Lester is 12-2 in his last 14 starts vs a NL team that's hitting .245 or worse as a team. Nationals simply won't be able to keep pace with the Cubs offense in this one. Take Chicago! |
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05-18-19 | Brewers v. Braves -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Braves -115 Love the value here with the Braves as a small home favorite against the Brewers. Atlanta comes in off a 12-8 win in the series opener and that was after they put up 10 runs on 14 hits in the finale against the Cardinals. I look for that Braves offense to stay hot in this one. Milwaukee is sending out one of the better starters in Chase Anderson, but he's making his first start since 4/26, as he returns from the DL. Atlanta will have Kevin Gausman on the rubber and he's coming off a strong start at Arizona, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Gausman comes in with a not so great 4.01 ERA in 4 home starts, but a lot of that is bad luck. Despite an ERA over 4, he's got a WHIP of just 0.892 WHIP. Take Atlanta! |
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05-17-19 | Giants +135 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
5* National League HEAVY HITTER of the MONTH on Giants +135 Really like the value here with San Francisco on the money line Friday night. While the Diamondbacks are off a 11-1 blowout win at home against the Pirates, Arizona is still just 4-7 in their last 11 games overall. Diamondbacks might have been dealt a big blow in that loss with David Peralta forced to leave the game prematurely. While it doesn't appear to be serious, I would be shocked if Peralta played in this one and he's a huge part of that Arizona offense. I also think that SF will be able to get their offense going in this one. Diamondbacks will have Merrill Kelly on the mound and he's not been great of late with a 6.06 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Francisco! |
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05-17-19 | Dodgers v. Reds +122 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Reds +122 Give me the Reds as a home dog against the Dodgers in this one. Cincinnati might be last in the NL Central, but they are playing well right now. Reds just won 2 of 3 at home against the re-hot Cubs and are 5-2 in their last 7 overall. I know the Dodgers are playing well, but starter Rich Hill has not been up to par in his first 3 starts. He's got a 4.20 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. He was also really bad in his one road start against the Padres, giving up 3 runs no 7 hits in just 4 innings. He's served up 5 homers in just 15 innings, which really speaks volumes to his struggles right now. Reds will have Anthony Desclafani, who has a strong 3.27 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 2 home starts. Reds are 5-0 in his last 5 starts and have won 6 of his last 7 starts vs the NL West. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-16-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
5* NBA Western Conf Finals GAME OF THE MONTH on Blazers +8 -110 Really like the value here with Portland as a near double-digit dog in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals. I wasn't surprised to see the Blazers struggle in Game 1. In fact, I had a strong play on Golden State in that one. I just thought it was asking a lot for Portland to play well in that spot. It's hard enough playing on the road in the postseason at Golden State. It's that much harder when coming off a Game 7, especially when that Game 7 was played in altitude. While it's only been one day between games, I think we see a very different Blazers team tonight. The other huge key here is that Durant is not expected to play. I get that Curry and Thompson were great in Game 1, but it will be tough for the two to combine for another 62 points and 12 made 3-pointers. Not saying the Blazers will win, but I expect this to be a dog fight the whole way. Take Portland! |
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05-16-19 | A's -135 v. Tigers | Top | 17-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on A's -135 I got no problem laying a little juice with Oakland on the road in this one. While the A's are just 5-17 on the road this season, Detroit is one place I'm confident they can win at. In fact, Oakland is 12-1 against the Tigers at any park the last 3 years, which includes a perfect 7-0 record at Comerica Park. Tigers have one of the worst offenses in the big leagues. They come in averaging just 3.4 runs/game and are hitting a mere .223 as a team. That drops down to 2.8 runs/game with a .213 average in games where they face a right-handed starter. Not only will they be up against a righty in this one, they have to face a really good one. Oakland's Chris Bassitt has a 2.55 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in 4 starts this season. Tigers are an awful 13-41 in their last 54 vs a team from the AL West, while the A's are a dominant 39-12 in their last 51 vs a team from the AL Central. Take Oakland! |
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05-15-19 | Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 58 m | Show |
5* Bucks/Raptors Game 1 VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Raptors +6½ -110 I really like the value here with Toronto as a pretty decent road dog in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Bucks. I know the Raptors just played Game 7 against the 76ers on Sunday, but two days is more than enough to recover. I actually think the Bucks are the team that is going to be most affected by rest. Milwaukee only needed 5 games to put away the Celtics in the second round and thus haven't played in a week. I think no game action for that long really makes it tough on a team to come out sharp. I look for the Raptors to take control early and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they went on to win the game. Take Toronto! |
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05-15-19 | Rangers v. Royals +122 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
5* American League Money Line PLAY OF THE MONTH on Royals +122 Love the value here with Kansas City as a home dog against the Rangers. Royals finally got their offense going in yesterday's 11-5 win. I look for them to stay hot at the plate Against a Texas pitching staff that has allowed 10+ runs in 3 straight games. Rangers have also been a horrible road team. After losing on Tuesday, they are now just 5-15 on the road this season. Texas has gone just 1-7 in their last 8 on the road vs a team with a losing record and have lost 7 of the last 10 starts by Mike Minor. Royals on the other hand are 12-4 in their last 16 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Kansas City! |
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05-15-19 | Cubs +119 v. Reds | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs +119 No way I'm passing up a chance to play the Cubs as a dog. Chicago won the series opener 3-1 on Tuesday. Cubs have won 3 in a row and are a dominant 21-5 over their last 26 games. I get Yu Darvish hasn't been great, but no way should the Reds be favored with the likes of Sonny Gray on the mound. Gray has a respectable 3.92 ERA, but has not won a single one of his 8 starts and the Reds are just 2-6 in those outings. If he's not on his game, this Cubs offense will make him pay. It's also worth noting that Darvish has owned Cincinnati, with a 1.93 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 3 starts. When the Cubs come in having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, they are a dominant 16-4 against the money line. Take Chicago! |
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05-14-19 | Padres +142 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
5* MLB NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Padres +142 Absolutely love the value here with San Diego at this price. I'm not saying the Dodgers shouldn't be favored at home with Clayton Kershaw on the mound, but they are getting way too much respect in this one. As good as Kershaw has been in his 5 starts, he's not the best starter going in this game. Chris Paddack of the Padres is putting up Cy Young type numbers to start the season. Paddack has a 1.55 ERA and 0.688 WHIP in 7 starts. San Diego has won 6 of his 7 starts, which includes a perfect 3-0 record on the road. Padres were off Monday and this is a team that you want to back after a break. They are 12-3 in their last 15 following an off day. Take San Diego! |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors -7 | Top | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
5* BEST BET on Warriors -7 -110 Analysis will be posted shortly |
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05-13-19 | Astros v. Tigers +146 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Tigers +146 Big time value here with Detroit as a big home dog against the Astros. No denying that the Astros are the better overall team, but the Tigers will have the better starter going in Monday's series opener. Detroit will turn to Matt Boyd, who is off to a fantastic start to the 2019 season. Boyd has a 2.86 ERA and 0.934 WHIP in 8 starts. He's 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.846 WHIP in 4 home starts and has a 2.37 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Astros will counter with Brad Peacock. While Peacock was great in his last start, that was at home against a bad Royals offense. Peacock has sub-par 4.59 ERA in 6 starts overall and owns an ugly 6.96 ERA in 2 road starts. Tigers are a dominant 14-3 in Boyd's last 17 home starts. Take Detroit! |
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05-12-19 | Brewers +132 v. Cubs | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4* Brewers/Cubs Sunday Night Baseball NO-BRAINER on Brewers +132 Give me Milwaukee as a decently priced road dog all day against the Cubs. Chicago squeaked out a 2-1 win in 15-innings on Saturday, but the offense remained ice-cold and the Cubs shaky bullpen now goes into Sunday far from full strength. I know the numbers are great for Brewers starter, Jhoylys Chacin, but he's been trending in the right direction. Chacin has a solid 3.60 ERA and 1.067 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Even more important to note is his past success against these Cubs. Chacin has a 2.81 ERA in 11 career starts against Chicago. In his last 5 starts at Wrigley Field, he's given a whopping 5 earned runs. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 207.5 | Top | 90-92 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 60 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on 76ers/Raptors over 207½ -109 I know that the defensive effort will be there for both teams in Game 7, but I just can't pass up on the value here with the OVER at this price. While both teams have flashed great defense in the postseason, especially the Raptors, I just think there's too much offensive fire-power on the floor for these two to not reach at least 210 points. Each of the last 2 games have went OVER the total and both of those were blowouts. I think this one is going to be a lot closer and even more high-scoring than the last two. OVER is 17-6 in the 76ers last 23 road games with a total set between 200 and 209.5. Over is also 34-19 in the Raptors last 53 when revenging a loss where they gave up 110 or more points. Take the OVER! |
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05-12-19 | Hurricanes +140 v. Bruins | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
4* NHL Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Hurricanes +140 I really like Carolina to even up the series at 1-1 with a win in Game 2, making this an easy play on the Hurricanes at this price. While Boston ended up winning Game 1 by a final score of 5-2, that score does not reflect how the game went. Carolina actually had 2-1 lead in the 3rd period, before they unraveled, giving up two quick power play goals to fall behind 3-2. Boston added a couple more goals late to make it look more lopsided than it was. Hurricanes lost the game, but were the better team for the majority of that contest. I'm willing to bet they keep their cool and come away with a win. Take Carolina! |
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05-12-19 | Rangers +195 v. Astros | Top | 5-15 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Rangers +195 I absolutely love the value here with Texas, as they are almost +200 on the money line in a game I give them a great shot to win. Astros have already secured a series win, as they have taken the first 3 games in the series, so it would be really easy for them to not come to the park 100% locked in today. The other big key here is the Astros have a struggling Collin McCugh on the mound. They have lost 5 of his 8 starts in 2019 and he comes into this one wiht a 9.20 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. It's also worth noting that most of his struggles have come at home. No way should Houston be this big a favorite with him starting. Take Texas! |
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05-11-19 | Angels v. Orioles +130 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
5* American League HEAVY HITTER of the MONTH on Orioles +130 Big time value here with Baltimore as a home dog on Saturday. I get the Orioles are not a great team, but no way should the Angels be this big of a road favorite with a guy like Matt Harvey on the mound. Harvey is a mere 1-3 with a 6.94 ERA and 1.376 WHIP in 7 starts. In his last start, he gave up 5 runs on 5 hits with just 1 strikeout in 4 2/3 innings. Baltimore on the other hand will have Dylan Bundy on the mound and we know he's got the talent despite the not so great numbers. Key here is Bundy comes in red-hot with a 2.95 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The most recent being an absolute gem at home against the Rays, where he allowed just 3 hits over 7 1/3 shutout innings. Take Baltimore! |
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05-11-19 | Tigers +148 v. Twins | 5-3 | Win | 148 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
4* MLB Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Tigers +148 I'll jump on Detroit in Game 1 of Saturday's double-header with the Twins. I get Minnesota is the better team. There's no arguing that. However, the starting pitching matchup in Game 1 is so heavily in favor of the Tigers, I just can't pass up on a play at this price. Detroit is sending out Spencer Turnbull, who has a 2.31 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in his first 7 starts. He's been even better than that on the road, where he owns a 2.25 ERA. He also has a 1.00 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in his last 3 starts. As for Twins starter, Michael Pineda, he has a 6.09 ERA and 1.529 WHIP in 7 starts. He has a 6.75 ERA in 4 home starts and a 7.05 ERA and 1.892 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Detroit! |
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05-10-19 | Braves +126 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 126 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
5* MLB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Braves +126 I just can't pass up a play on Atlanta at this price. The Braves will have Julio Teheran on the mound and have won 12 of his last 14 starts when they go off as a dog of +100 to +150. Atlanta has also gone 10-3 in Teheran's last 13 starts against a NL team scoring 5 or more runs/game. Teheran has a not so great 4.63 ERA and 1.343 WHIP in his last 8 starts, but comes in with a 3.32 ERA and 0.947 WHIP with 19 strikeouts in 19 innings over his last 3 starts. Last time out he gave up just 2 hits over 6 shutout innings. He will be up against a Dbacks offense that has score 3 or fewer in 4 straight. Take Atlanta! |
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05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -6 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 5 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs - Warriors/Rockets Game 6 VEGAS INSIDER on Rockets -6 -110 I'll back Houston in a must-win at home against the Warriors in Game 6. With Golden State up 3-2 in the series, it's win or season over for the Rockets. In a change of events from last year, the Warriors will be the ones trying to close out a series without one of their best players. Last year the Rockets had a 3-2 series lead before losing Chris Paul to an injury. Warriors won Game 6 at home 115-86 and followed that up with a win at Houston in Game 7. Rockets will look to take a similar path, as Golden State will be without Kevin Durant. I get the Warriors still have Curry, Thompson and Green, but Houston now without a doubt has the best player on the floor in Harden and in my opinion are the better defensive team. I think the Rockets roll here. Take Houston! |
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05-10-19 | Brewers +118 v. Cubs | 7-0 | Win | 118 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MLB NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Brewers +118 Really like the value here with Milwaukee as a dog. I know the game is in Chicago and the Cubs are playing well, but Brewers have won 6 straight. While Jose Quintana has been red-hot, he got lit up by this high-powered Milwaukee offense earlier this season. Quintana lasted just 3 innings after serving up 8 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks. Brewers will have veteran Gio Gonzalez on the mound and he's looked sharp in his first two starts of 2019. Gonzalez has only given up 3 runs with 9 K's in 10 1/3 innings. Cubs offense is pretty hit or miss and they come in hitting just .248 over their last 7 and .233 on the season at home. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +2 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
5* BEST BET on 76ers +2 -110 Analysis will be posted shortly |
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05-09-19 | Hurricanes +135 v. Bruins | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NHL Playoffs Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Hurricanes +135 Love Carolina to go on the road and take Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. After needing the full 7 games to outlast Washington in the first round, the Hurricanes swept the Islanders in round two. Their Game 4 win over New York came last Friday. Boston on the other hand needed 7-games to get by Toronto in the first round and then just had a grueling 6-game series against Columbus, which ended on Monday. This will be the 5th game in the last 9 days for the Bruins. Let's also not overlook the fact that Carolina has won 6 straight overall, scoring 4 or more goals in 4 of the 6 wins. Take Carolina! |
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05-09-19 | Marlins +190 v. Cubs | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Marlins +190 The books have inflated the number here on Chicago to where it's just too good a price to pass up. Cubs have won 9 of their last 10, including each of the last 2 in the series, but Miami did win the opener and then has lost the last two on a walk-off homer. Marlins could just as easily be going for a 4-game sweep here. Either way it's hard to trust Chicago at this price with a starter that has struggled as much as Yu Darvish. In his first 7 starts of 2019, Darvish owns a 5.79 ERA and 1.714 WHIP. He's also been especially bad at home, posting a 7.54 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 3 starts at Wrigley Field. Marlins have won 12 of their last 18 against a starter who averages fewer than 5 innings/start and are 18-9 in their last 27 road games vs a starter who averages 2.75 or more walks/game. Take Miami! |
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05-09-19 | White Sox +220 v. Indians | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
5* AL Central Vegas Insider GAME OF THE WEEK on White Sox +220 This is just too good a price to pass up on Chicago. The White Sox had won the first two games of the series before losing a 5-3 on a 2-run homer in the bottom of the 9th yesterday. I get Cleveland is the better team and should be favored at home, but no way should they be this big of a favorite with the struggles they are having scoring runs. Cleveland needed 12 hits to push across 5 runs and had just 3 runs going into the 9th. They had scored a total of 1 run in their previous 3 games combined and 2 or fewer in 5 of their last 6. As bad as the numbers are for Chicago starter Manny Banuelos, similar guys have kept this Indianas offense in check. Chicago has some nice young bats and I think they can get to Indians starter Carlos Carrasco. He's made 7 starts and owns a 5.60 ERA and 1.330 WHIP. He's had a really tough time keeping the ball in the park, as he's already served up 8 homers and the win will be blowing out to center/right center at close to 20 mph. Take Chicago! |
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05-08-19 | Angels +111 v. Tigers | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Angels +111 I look for the Angles to win here on the road against the Tigers. LA has won 5 of their last 7, while the Tigers are just 3-7 in their last 10. Angels will also have southpaw Tyler Skaggs on the mound and he's got a strong 3.12 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 5 starts. LA has won 7 of his last 10 vs a team with a losing record and Detroit is a mere 1-6 in their last 7 vs a left-handed starter. Tigers have also had a miserable time against teams from the AL West. They are a pathetic 14-42 in their last 56 vs that division. Angels are 18-3 in their last 21 vs AL team that is averaging 3.9 or less runs/game. Take Los Angeles! |
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05-08-19 | Nationals +180 v. Brewers | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Nationals +180 No way should Milwaukee be this big of a home favorite on Wednesday. Brewers are simply overvalued due to winning 5 straight. Brandon Woodruff will be starting for Milwaukee and while he's 4-1, he's owns a very sub-par 5.04 ERA and 1.480 WHIP. Very even matchup on the mound with Jeremy Hellickson going for the Nationals. I see some hidden value with the fact that the Brewers have won the first 2 games of this series, as Washington has thrived in this spot. Nationals are 20-7 in their last 27 after losing the first 2 games of the series. Milwaukee has also dropped 6 of their last 8 when playing Game 3 of a series. Also, I know the Washington offense has struggled, but Nationals are 30-13 in their last 43 in games following a 3-game stretch where they hit .200 or worse. Take Washington! |
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05-07-19 | Braves +135 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Braves +135 I think the books have made a huge mistake here pricing Atlanta as a big road dog against the Dodgers. Both teams will send out a talented left-handed starter, as Max Fried goes for the Braves and Hyun-Jin Ryu toes the rubber for Los Angeles. The key here is the Braves have feasted on south paw starters this season. Atlanta is averaging 5.7 runs/game with a .274 average and .365 OBP in 9 games vs a left-handed starter. Dodgers on the other hand are only hitting .238 as a team in 13 games vs left-handed starters. LA is also a mere 8-18 in Ryu's last 26 starts vs a team with a winning record and 1-4 in his last 5 after scoring 5 or more in their previous game. Take Atlanta! |
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05-07-19 | Giants +114 v. Rockies | 14-4 | Win | 114 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Giants +114 Easy play here on San Francisco. Giants will have their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound, who is coming off a great start at home against the Dodgers. Bumgarner allowed just 1 run on 4 hits with 8 strikeouts. Just like hitters, pitchers are streaky and I think that we could see Bumgarner go on a nice run of quality starts. Hard to not like him here, as he's posted a 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 3 road starts this season and owns a strong 3.12 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in 31 career starts against the Rockies. As for Colorado, they will have Antonio Senzatela on the mound and he's an average starter at best. He's got a 4.03 ERA and 1.432 WHIP in 4 starts so far in 2019. Take San Francisco! |
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05-07-19 | Stars +120 v. Blues | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 3 m | Show | |
3* NHL Playoffs Money Line DESTROYER on Stars + Love the value here with Dallas. Most will just back St Louis here in Game 7. The Blue are coming off an impressive 4-1 win on the road in Game 6 and will be the host for this winner take all showdown. I just think that's a mistake. Playing at home has not been all that great for St Louis. The Blues have just 2 wins in 6 home games this postseason. Stars not only are the better offensive team right now, but I trust Ben Bishop a lot more than I do Jordan Binnington. Stars are 8-2 in their last 10 as a road dog and St Louis has gone just 3-7 in their last 10 playoff games when listed as the favorite. Take Dallas! |
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05-06-19 | Warriors +1.5 v. Rockets | 108-112 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Warriors/Rockets Game 4 VEGAS INSIDER on Warriors + Not a shocker that Houston won Game 3, but it wasn't easy. The Rockets needed overtime and 41 points from James Harden to squeak out a 5-point win. Not to mention another 30 points from Eric Gordon. Warriors also almost won the game with Steph Curry shooting a mere 7 of 23 from the field (2-9 from 3-pt) and finishing with just 17 points. I just think it's going to be hard for Houston to do that in Game 4. Golden State does not want to let this thing go back home tied 2-2. The Warriors are on a mission to 3-peat and I expect them to show up in a big way and get the win here. Take Golden State! |
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05-06-19 | Mariners +137 v. Yankees | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Mariners + The Mariners are definitely worth a look here as a big road dog against the Yankees. Seattle's Felix Hernandez has been better than anticipated of late and I like him to out-perform another old ace in C.C. Sabathia. Yankees are still without a bunch of their top guys and have not been producing at the plate of late. Seattle got their offense going in a big way on Sunday, as they put up 10 runs on 12 hits in a blowout win at Cleveland. I look for those bats to stay hot and for the Mariners to win this one going away. Mariners are 14-5 in their last 19 off a win. Take Seattle! |
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05-06-19 | Giants +143 v. Reds | 4-12 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird NO-BRAINER on Giants + This is just too good a price to pass up on the Giants. San Francisco has rallied late twice to beat the Reds in this series. Yesterday it was Brandon Crawford who hit a 2-run homer in the Top of the 9th to secure a 6-5 win (trailed 4-0 in the 1st inning). Not only will SF be riding a wave of momentum, but losses like that are really tough to bounce back from. I think even more so when teams are forced to play an early game on a travel day (Cincinnati heading to California for a series against Oakland tomorrow). No way should the Giants be this big of a dog, especially with a very even matchup on the mound. Take San Francisco! |
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05-05-19 | Mets +137 v. Brewers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Mets + I just feel like there's too much value here with New York to pass up. These two are coming off a marathon 18-inning game on Saturday. Milwaukee won the contest 4-3 and while it's just one game, it feels a little worse than that in games that go that many extra innings. I think we are going to see New York the more focused of the two in Sunday's game, as I think they will want this one a little more. Milwaukee has already secured the series by taking the first two and could be looking ahead to a bigger series against the Nationals. Zach Davies has been great for the Brewers, but he's not someone that goes deep in games. He's also got a less than stellar 5.77 ERA and 1.483 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Mets. New York also has a hot starter on the mound, as Jason Vargas owns a 1.93 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take New York! |
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05-04-19 | Warriors +4 v. Rockets | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
5* NBA Wiseguy Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Warriors + A lot of people will be quick to lay the short number with Houston at home in Game 3, as everyone sees this as a must-win for the Rockets, who are down 0-2 in the series. No denying how big a game this is for Houston, but I believe the Warriors will also be out to send a message. Last thing Golden State wants to do is give Houston life and I think they come out extremely motivated to go up 3-0. While the Rockets more than held their own on the road in Games 1 & 2, they continued to struggle from the field. Houston hasn't eclipsed 110 points in 5 straight and have shut under 45% from the field in 4 of their last 5. Warriors are 15-5 ATS last 2 seasons in the 2nd half of the year vs a team with a winning record and have covered 7 of their last 8 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Rockets are also just 2-6 ATS last 8 when playing on 3 days of rest. Take Golden State! |
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05-04-19 | Red Sox v. White Sox +157 | 15-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on White Sox + The White Sox are definitely worth a look as a huge home underdog on Saturday. Chicago has split the first 2 games of the series and have won 5 of their last 7 overall. No way should the White Sox be this big of a dog on their home turf, especially with how today's two starters are throwing the rock. Boston will send out Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a 6.16 ERA and 1.532 WHIP in 6 starts. It gets even worse on the road, as Rodriguez has a 9.45 ERA and 2.251 WHIP over 3 road outings. Chicago will turn to Manny Banuelos. While he's only made 2 starts, he owns a 1.86 ERA in those two outings, giving up just 2 runs in 9 2/3 innings of work. Red Sox are just a mere 2-8 in their last 10 as a road favorite of -125 or more and have lost 5 of their last 6 vs a left-handed starter. Take Chicago! |
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05-04-19 | Giants +124 v. Reds | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
5* National League Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Giants + This is just too good a price to pass up with San Francisco. The Giants are coming off a thrilling 7-6 win on Friday, as they trailed 11-7 going into the 8th inning. They scored 3 in the 8th, 1 in the 9th and eventually the game-winning run in the 11th. That's going to be a tough loss for the Reds to bounce back from. San Francisco will turn to Dereck Rodriguez and he's a perfect 3-0 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 3 road starts. Cincinnati will counter with Tanner Roark, who has struggled with 4.08 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 6 starts. Roark has really struggled with his command, walking 9 guys in his last 3 starts. Giants are 7-1 in Rodriguez's last 8 road starts with a total set between 7 and 8.5, 4 of his last 5 vs a team with a losing record and 7 of his last 9 road starts overall. Take San Francisco! |
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05-03-19 | Dodgers v. Padres +148 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
4* MLB NL West PLAY OF THE WEEK on Padres + Love the value here with the Padres as a big home underdog against the Dodgers. I know LA has Kershaw on the mound and he's looked good in his first 3 starts, but it's never easy winning on the road inside your own division. The Padres will have a pretty good starter of their own going, as they turn to Eric Lauer. He's got a strong 3.37 ERA in 3 home starts and even more important is that he's owned the Dodgers. Lauer is perfect 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in 3 career starts against LA (all last year). Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 at home vs a left-handed starter and have won 8 of their last 11 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take San Diego! |
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05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 220 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bucks UNDER No need to overthink this one. Big time value here with the UNDER at this number. While Game 2 went OVER the mark, it do so just barely and was a bit of a fluke given how poorly both teams shot overall. Despite scoring 123 points, the Bucks only shot 43.8% from the field. Boston was even worse at 39.5%. The only reason the game went over is the Bucks made 20 3-pointers and the two combined to go 49 for 58 (84%) from the free throw line. These two only combined for 202 points in Game 1 and I still think we have yet to see a true defensive game between these two. I think the Celtics defense is really going to benefit from playing at home, and Milwaukee is going to be extremely motivated to take back homecourt in the series. I wouldn't be shocked at all if both teams failed to break 100 points. Take the UNDER! |
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05-03-19 | Giants +147 v. Reds | 12-11 | Win | 147 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Giants + This is just too good a price to pass up with San Francisco. The Giants enter this series having just won 2 of 3 at home against the Dodgers and with the way the Reds are struggling to score it's hard to not like them in Friday's series opener. Cincinnati has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. They had just 1 run on 4 hits Wednesday and were shutout with another 4 hits on Thursday. San Francisco will turn to Tyler Beede, who has an impressive 1.99 ERA with 34 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings in the minors. Beede got 2 starts last year at the big league level, so the nerves won't be a big issue this time around. Reds are just 10-28 in their last 38 after scoring 1 run or less in their last game and 5-18 in their last 23 when coming in having hit .175 or worse over their last 3 games. Take San Francisco! |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 215 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 56 h 53 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors UNDER I just don't know how you don't play the UNDER at this number given what we have seen in the first two games of the series. Game 1 had a total of 223 and it ended up with a combined score of 203. They lowered the total down to 219.5 for Game and it still wasn't close. This time they only managed 183 points. I don't see any reason to expect anything but another low-scoring game. Toronto has yet to allow an opponent to shoot better than 42% from the field in any game this postsesaon. They have held the 76ers under 40% in both games. They have also not allowed more than 96 points in any game since Game 1 of the first round against Orlando. You also have to factor in that Embiid is not 100% and when he's not right the 76ers offense can really struggle to score in the halfcourt. I think Philly understands that for them to win this series they have to play with same defensive intensity that they brought to the table in Game 2. Take the UNDER! |
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05-02-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
3* NHL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Bruins OVER This might seem like a crazy play, given that each of the first 3 games stayed under the total, all of which were set at the same line of 5.5. However, we did see a combined 5 goals in both Game 1 and Game 2. What I really like is that both teams are getting a ton of shots off and I just don't feel like the goaltending can keep being as good as it's been. OVER is 13-4 in Boston's last 17 when revenging a close loss of 1 goal or less and 23-10 in Columbus' last 33 off a home win by 1 goal. Take the OVER! |
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05-02-19 | Reds +168 v. Mets | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line DESTROYER on Reds + Yesterday we cashed in on the Reds +180 as our free pick and will not hesitate to fire back with Cincinnati as another big underdog on Thursday. It's a very similar scenario where we have the Mets getting a ton of love for the name they have on the mound and not the production that they are getting from that guy. Noah Syndergaard is viewed as a top tier starter and is coming off a great 2018 season. However, he's not been good in 2019. Syndergaard has a 6.35 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in 6 starts and is trending in the wrong direction with a 8.40 ERA and 2.33 WHIP in his last 3 outings. He's also given up 4+ runs in 4 straight starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Blazers/Nuggets Game 2 ATS ANNIHILATOR on Nuggets - I just don't feel like the books are giving the Nuggets the respect they deserve on their home floor. Denver won 121-113 in Game 1 at home and did so with Portland shooting 51% from the field and Damian Lillard going off for 39 points. Nuggets are now 38-8 on their home floor this season, where they are winning on average by 10+ ppg. Blazers aren't a great road team and I think they simply played as good as they could in Game 1. Keep in mind Portland went into Game 1 on 5 days of rest, while Denver was playing on just 1-day of rest after their Game 7 win over the Spurs. Nuggets 13-5 ATS last 18 as a home favorite of 6 or less and 18-4 ATS last 22 at home when coming off a game where they covered the spread. Take Denver! |
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05-01-19 | Indians v. Marlins +135 | 2-4 | Win | 135 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Marlins + If you only got to look at the numbers of the two starters in this game, almost everyone would be taking the Marlins. Instead, most will just see the Indians playing a bad team with their ace Corey Kluber on the mound and back Cleveland. Kluber has not been good. He's got a 5.81 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in 6 starts and is not trending in the right direction. Last 3 starts, Kluber has a 7.98 ERA and 1.909 WHIP. On the flip side of this, Marlins' starter Caleb Smith has a 2.17 ERA and 0.828 WHIP in 5 starts overall with a 1.00 ERA and 0.722 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Miami! |
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05-01-19 | Yankees -115 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Yankees - Arizona was able to take yesterday's series opener 3-1 behind a great outing from their ace Zack Greinke. It was a rare loss for New York, as they are 9-2 in their last 11. I look for the Yankees to have no problem bouncing back and securing a split of this short 2-game series. New York will have the edge on the mound this time around, as they send out Masahiro Tanaka against Arizona's Merrill Kelly. Tanaka has a strong 3.60 ERA and 1.285 WHIP in 6 starts. Kelly has a solid 3.94 ERA, but an ugly 1.382 WHIP (walked 9 guys in his last 2 starts). In just his last 3 starts he owns a 5.17 ERA and 1.914 WHIP. Yankees are 27-9 over the last 2 seasons on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 and a perfect 7-0 (home or away) when priced in that range this season. Take New York! |
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04-30-19 | Reds v. Mets +106 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 106 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
5* NL Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Mets + I think it's worth going big on New York tonight. No way should the Mets be a home dog against a team like Cincinnati. I get the Reds have a promising young starter on the mound in Luis Castillo, but he's got a bad offense behind him. The Reds as a team have a pathetic .213 batting average and a .280 on-base percentage. It gets even worse when they are matched up against a left-handed starter. Cincinnati is scoring just 3.2 run/game and hitting .197 as a team vs south paw starters. Mets will have lefty Jason Vargas on the mound and he's off back-to-back strong outings. Reds are also a mere 19-40 (32%) in their last 59 road games when listed anywhere from +125 to -125. Take New York! |
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04-30-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets -110 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
3* NHL Playoffs Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Blue Jackets - Love the value here with Columbus at basically a pick'em on the money line at home against the Bruins. The Blue Jackets surprised everyone by sweeping the President Trophy winners (Tampa Bay) and proved it was no fluke by splitting the first two on the road in Boston. They could have easily won Game 1, as they were up a goal in the 3rd period before losing in OT. Blue Jackets have won 7 of their last 8 at home and will add to that total with a victory tonight. Take Columbus! |
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04-29-19 | Orioles +122 v. White Sox | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
4* MLB Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE WEEK on Orioles + Baltimore is an easy play for me on Monday. I get the Orioles aren't a very good team, but neither are the White Sox. Chicago has just 1 more win than Baltimore on the season. It's been all or nothing for the White Sox offense. They come in averaging 6.0 runs/game over their last 7, but that's because they put up 12 runs twice during this stretch. In their last 6 they have scored 4 or fewer 4 times. I'm confident this won't be one of those outbursts for Chicago, as Baltimroe sends out one of the more underrated starters in the league right now in Jon Means. In 3 starts, Means has posted a sensational 2.08 ERA and 1.154 WHIP. That includes a start against these same White Sox, where he held Chicago to just 1 run on 4 hits with 6 K's in 5 innings of a 4-3 win. Take Baltimore! |
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04-28-19 | Celtics v. Bucks -7 | Top | 112-90 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 29 m | Show |
5* NBA Eastern Conf Semifinals GAME OF THE YEAR on Bucks - A lot of people are going to be quick to take the points with Boston, especially after watching the Celtics sweep the Pacers in the first round. I just think that's a huge mistake, as I not only think the Bucks cover the big number, but win here in a blowout. Milwaukee is 35-8 at home this season and in their two home games against Detroit in the first round, they won 121-86 in Game 1 and 120-99 in Game 2. A lot of people overlook just how good this Bucks team is defensively. Pistons shot a miserable 38.8% from the field against the Bucks in the first round. Boston won with their defense in their series with the Pacers, but stopping Milwaukee's offense will prove to be a much harder task. Bucks are 44-29 ATS as a favorite this season, which includes a 23-12 ATS mark when listed as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Take Milwaukee! |
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04-28-19 | A's -111 v. Blue Jays | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Oakland - Easy play on Oakland at this price. The A's are going to be highly motivated after losing the first two games of the series and needing a win to avoid the sweep. First two games of the series the A's faced two of Toronto's better starters in Stroman and Sanchez. This time they are up against Trent Thornton, who is 0-3 with a 5.78 ERA and 1.371 WHIP in 5 starts and is trending with a 9.23 ERA and 1.973 WHIP in his last 3 outings. On the flip side of this, Oakland will send out Chris Bassitt, who was outstanding in his first start on 4/22. Bassitt allowed just 2 hits and struck out 7 over 5 shutout innings. A's have won each of Bassitt's last 5 starts, while the Blue Jays have lost each of Thornton's last 5 starts. Take Oakland! |
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04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 36 h 20 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors - Love the value here with Toronto at home, as this just has the feeling of a series where the home team is going to have a massive edge throughout. While both of these teams started out the first round with a Game 1 loss at home only to win 4 straight, I came away a lot more impressed with Toronto than I was with Philadelphia. The fact that Embiid is sitting out playoff games is a bad bad sign for the 76ers. Hard to believe he's not playing through some pain. He's the guy that really makes Philly so dangerous and I just don't trust them on the road without him at 100%. Two other key things in this matchup that I believe favor the Raptors is their depth and their defense. I think they have a massive edge in both areas of the game. Take Toronto! |
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04-26-19 | Rangers +155 v. Mariners | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
4* MLB AL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Rangers + Absolutely love the value here with the Rangers as a big road underdog against the Mariners. Seattle will have starter Yusei Kikuchi on the mound, but only for an inning or two, as they are going to make him an "opener" every now and then to help keep him fresh. No way should the Mariners be priced like this. It all adds up to an ideal spot for Texas to snap their 4-game skid. Rangers have a lot of fire-power on the offensive side of the ball and Seattle's bullpen leaves a lot to be desired, even with likely top prospect Justus Sheffield ready to spell Kikuchi. Seattle is just 1-6 over their last 7 home games and have lost 5 straight at home vs a right-handed starter. Take Texas! |
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04-26-19 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates UNDER Hard to not like the UNDER in Friday's series opener between the Dodgers and and Pirates. Not only do we have a great starting pitching matchup with LA's Hyun-Jin Ryu against Pittsburgh's Chris Archer, but both offenses head into this series struggling at the plate. Dodgers scored just 10 runs in their 3-game series at Chicago, twice managing to score just 2 runs. That's now 5 times in their last 8 games that they have scored 3 or fewer. Pittsburgh hasn't scored more than 4 runs in 7 straight games and totaled a mere 3 runs over their final 3 games at home against the Diamondbacks. UNDER is 21-9 in Pittsburgh's last 30 games off a loss, 20-7 in their last 27 after giving up 5 or more runs and 38-16-4 in their last 58 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. UNDER is also 20-4-2 in the Dodgers last 26 home games vs a team with a winning record and 22-5-1 in Ryu's last 28 starts after they scored 2 or fewer runs last time out. Take the UNDER! |
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04-26-19 | Avalanche +125 v. Sharks | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
4* NHL Playoffs Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Avalanche + Give me the Avalanche as a dog all day in Game 1 against San Jose. Colorado dropped the opener of their first round series against Calgary, but rebounded to win 4 straight to close out the series. I like for them to stay hot behind a surging offense and a stingy defense led by goaltender Phillip Grubauer. The Avalanche outscored Calgary 17-7 over those 4 straight wins. Sharks allowed 4 or more goals 4 times in their series with Vegas. Avalanche are 4-0 in their last 4 when priced as an underdog, while the Sharks are 1-4 in tehir last 5 as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take Colorado! |
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04-25-19 | Stars v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
5* NHL Playoffs West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Stars UNDER I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in the series opener Thursday night between the Dallas Stars and St Louis Blues. This is just too big a number with how good both of these teams are defensively. Dallas never allowed Nashville to score more than 3 goals in any game in their first round upset. St Louis only allowed more than 3 once in their upset of Winnipeg. It all stems from two really good goalies in the Stars' Ben Bishop and Blues' Jordan Binnington. UNDER us 12-4 in Dallas' last 16 off a division win, 16-3 after two straight wins and 12-0 in their last 12 winning 5 or 6 of their last 7. UNDER is also 10-3 in the Blue last 13 home games after winning 4 or more of their last 6 and 5-0 in their last 5 as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take the UNDER! |
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04-25-19 | Indians +145 v. Astros | 2-1 | Win | 145 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
4* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Indians + This is just too good a price to pass up on Cleveland. The Indians will Trevor Bauer on the mound for this one and he's been sensational to start out 2019. Bauer comes into this start with a 2.20 ERA and 0.979 WHIP in 5 outings. Houston has a big name on the mound in Gerrit Cole, but he's been off his game early. Cole is 1-3 and has a 5.22 ERA over 5 starts. Last time out he was torched for 9 runs on 9 hits and 3 walks in a mere 4 1/3 innings of work at the Rangers. Indians bats have started to come alive and Jose Ramirez is coming off a big game, which just might snap a massive slump he's been in to start the year. Indians are 6-2 in Bauers last 8 road starts, 4-1 in his last 5 series openers and 4-1 in his last 5 vs a team from the AL West. Take Cleveland! |
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04-24-19 | Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 235 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH on Clippers UNDER I love the value here with the UNDER in Game 5 between the Warriors and Clippers. I'm not saying there won't be a lot of offense, I just feel like the number here is way too high with Los Angeles fighting off elimination and the Warriors surely motivated to end this series at home and get ready for their big showdown with Houston in the next round. We saw a much more defensive-minded contest in Game 4, as the two only combined for 218 points with a total at 236. I wouldn't be shocked at all if this thing stayed under 220 again. UNDER is 13-1 in the Clippers last 14 when revenging a home loss and 15-4 in their 19 road games this season against a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 10-3 in the Warriors last 13 home games and 17-5 in their last 22 when playing on 1 day of rest. Take the UNDER! |
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04-24-19 | Dodgers v. Cubs +112 | 6-7 | Win | 112 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cubs + This is a great price to get Chicago at home. The Dodgers are perceived to be the team to beat in the NL and are simply overpriced because of it. No way should LA be favored on the road with how much the starting pitching matchup favors the Cubs. Chicago will send out veteran Cole Hamels, who is 3-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.846 WHIP in 4 starts. Hamels was outstanding in his last start, giving up just 3 hits with 0 walks and 8 strikeouts over 7 shutout innings. Dodgers will turn to Walker Buehler, who has struggled to build on a promising rookie season. Buehler has a 2-0 record, but owns an ugly 5.40 ERA. He's also got a 6.00 ERA and 1.333 WHIP in 2 road starts. Take Chicago! |
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04-23-19 | Mariners v. Padres -130 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
3* MLB Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Padres - I think it's worth a shot here to back the Padres as a small home favorite. San Diego snapped their 6-game losing streak with a 4-3 win on Sunday and are going to be extremely motivated to carry over that success and close out this 8-game homestand on a positive. Padres will have a decent arm on the mound, as they send out Nick Margevicius for his 5th start of 2019. While Margevicius has a 1-2 record, he's got a strong 3.60 ERA and 0.900 WHIP. He's really just had one poor outing, as he has given up 3 runs on 9 hits in 3 of his starts. Padres had Monday off and that's worth noting, as they are 10-2 on the money line following an off day. Mariners are just 2-7 last 9 interleague road games and are 0-4 in their last 4 vs a tstarter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take San Diego! |
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04-23-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 212 | 90-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
4* NBA Playoffs Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Spurs UNDER Each of the last 3 games in the series have gone OVER and it's resulted in the highest total of the series in Game 5. I think it's time to shift gears and bet the UNDER. Not only are we getting a few points of value, but we can count on both teams showing up defensively. With the series tied 2-2, both teams know that the winner of this game almost always ends up winning the series. I expect a very similar type of scoring output to Game 1, where the two teams combined for 197 points. UNDER is 23-12 in the Spurs last 35 when playing on 2 days of rest and 8-3 in their last 11 on the road. UNDER is also 13-4 in the Nuggets last 17 off a win and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 at home vs a team that's won less than 40% of their road games. Take the UNDER! |
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04-23-19 | Nets v. 76ers -7.5 | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 35 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sixers - After stealing Game 1 on the road, Brooklyn has lost 3 straight and are off both an emotional and physical loss in Game 4 at home, where the refs missed some calls late that could have changed the outcome. I think the Nets are in the state of mind that they got no chance because of how the officiating is going. That's not an ideal mindset going on the road in an elimination game against a team that simply is more talented. We saw the 76ers win convincingly in both Games 2 and 3 to take back control of the series and I expect a similar effort in Game 5 at home with a chance to put the series to rest. Take Philadelphia! |
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04-23-19 | Magic v. Raptors -11.5 | Top | 96-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Raptors - I fully expect the Raptors to make easy work of the Magic and cover the big spread in Game 5 at home. It's been all Toronto since Orlando's upset win on the road in Game 1. Raptors responded from that loss with a resounding 111-82 home win in Game 2 and are coming off a 107-85 victory in Game 4 at Orlando. The Magic know they are done for and the Raptors should be plenty motivated to put an end to this series on their home floor. Factor in the massive talent gap between the two teams and it should all add up to a blowout victory. Toronto is now 9-1 ATS in their last 10 at home in the month of April and a perfect 9-0 ATS at home over the last 2 seasons when coming off a game where they held their opponent to 90 or fewer points. Take Toronto! |
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04-22-19 | Twins +173 v. Astros | 9-5 | Win | 173 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MLB AL Money Line PLAY OF THE WEEK on Twins + I just can't pass up on a play here with Minnesota at this price. You know there's going to be value fading the Astros with how big a public team they are and this is no exception. Just no way Houston should be laying this much juice in this specific matchup. Astros will have Brad Peacock on the mound, who after a strong first start at Texas, was rocked for 5 runs on 7 hits in 5 inning at home by the A's. With the Twins swinging a pretty hot bat, I like Minnesota to put up a decent number here. Twins will counter with Jake Odorizzi, who is coming off a great start against the Blue Jays and is 3-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Astros. Take Minnesota! |
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04-22-19 | Bucks -12 v. Pistons | 127-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NBA Playoffs Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bucks - I don't love laying big numbers in the playoffs, but I got no problem backing the Bucks to cover a big spread in Game 4. Milwaukee has a 3-0 series lead and have completely dominated this series. They won 121-86 as a 15-point favorite in Game 1, followed that up with a 120-99 win in Game 2 as a 15.5-point favorite. The series moving to Detroit and the return of Blake Griffin didn't really change things for the Pistons. Milwaukee won Game 3 on the road 119-103, covering as a 9-point favorite. They did so with Griffin playing extremely well in his first game back and Antetokounmpo having a sub-par game, largely due to foul trouble. Not that I think there's anything Detroit can do here to extend the series, it's worth noting there is motivation for the Bucks to close out the series with their next opponent, Boston, having already swept the Pacers. Take Milwaukee! |
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04-21-19 | Blazers +6 v. Thunder | Top | 111-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Blazers A lot of people came into this series expecting the Thunder to advance without much problem. Portland had just recently lost Nurkic to a season-ending injury and McCollum was working his way back to full strength after a long absence. Blazers proved those doubters wrong by going up 2-0. Oklahoma City did manage to win Game 3 at home, but it took a huge game from Westbrook. I don't know that they can't count on that kind of performance again here, as they need him to be special to not only win, but cover this spread. Also, the Thunder shot 52% (15-29) on 3-pointers in Game 3 and still only won by 12. Blazers are 15-4 ATS last 2 seasons when revenging a loss of 10 or more points, which includes a 11-1 ATS mark when that previous loss came on the road. Take Portland! |
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04-21-19 | Diamondbacks -103 v. Cubs | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Arizona Arizona snapped the Cubs 4-game winning streak with a 6-0 win on Saturday and I really like their chances of winning the series finale on Sunday. Cubs have been streaky this season and could see the offense struggling to snap out of their funk from yesterday's game. Arizona's Robbie Ray has owned Chicago in his brief career. Ray has a 1.88 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in 4 starts against the Cubs. He faced them twice last year and gave up just 1 run on 5 hits with 14 K's in 13 innings. Chicago is turning to back to Tyler Chatwood, who is making his first start since getting the boot from the starting rotation last August. I'm just not convinced it's going to be any better for Chatwood, who finished up last year with a 5.30 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 24 appearance (20 starts). He's came out of the bullpen 4 times this year and owns a 6.00 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Take Arizona! |
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04-20-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5 | 117-103 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NBA Playoffs Vegas ATS NO-BRAINER on Spurs - Spurs should have no problem holding serve at home in Game 4 and taking a commanding 3-1 series lead going back to Denver. The Nuggets are lucky San Antonio isn't up 3-0, as they had to erase a 19-point deficit to sneak out a win in Game 2. What really stands out to me is the Spurs let the Nuggets shoot 52% from the field and 52% from behind the 3-point line in Game 3 and still won by 10-points. San Antonio is too good of a defensive team, especially at home, to let the Nuggets shoot that well again on their home turf. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) that are off a win by 10 or more and playing a team with a winning record are 41-14 (75%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take San Antonio! |
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04-20-19 | Blue Jays +132 v. A's | 10-1 | Win | 132 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Blue Jays + Toronto took the series opener 5-1 on Friday and I like them to carry over that momentum to another win on Saturday. This is also an outstanding price to get the Blue Jays off a win with a hot starter like Matt Shoemaker on the mound. Shoemaker is 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 4 starts. He will be facing an A's offense that is in quite the slump, scoring just 4 runs in their last 3 games combined. A stretch where they have only managed 14 hits. On top of that, Oakland will be starting Michael Fiers, who has a 7.06 ERA and 1.569 WHIP in 5 starts. Last two outings, Fiers has given up 12 runs on 14 hits and 5 walks in 6 2/3 innings of work. Shoemaker is 13-3 against the money line in his last 16 starts vs an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse and the A's are 1-5 in their last 6 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Toronto! |
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Jimmy Boyd ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-28-19 | Mets +185 v. Dodgers | 7-3 | Win | 185 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
05-28-19 | Tigers -109 v. Orioles | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
05-28-19 | Fever +9 v. Sun | 77-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
05-27-19 | Rangers +110 v. Mariners | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
05-27-19 | Blues +137 v. Bruins | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
05-27-19 | Pirates v. Reds -200 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -200 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
05-26-19 | Sparks +3.5 v. Aces | 70-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
05-26-19 | Mariners +130 v. A's | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
05-26-19 | White Sox +220 v. Twins | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
05-26-19 | Red Sox +158 v. Astros | 4-1 | Win | 158 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
05-25-19 | Dodgers v. Pirates +165 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | Top | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 36 h 10 m | Show |
05-25-19 | Braves v. Cardinals +100 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
05-25-19 | Rays +122 v. Indians | 6-2 | Win | 122 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
05-24-19 | Braves +142 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-2 | Win | 142 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
05-24-19 | White Sox +190 v. Twins | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
05-24-19 | Reds +151 v. Cubs | 6-5 | Win | 151 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 217.5 | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
05-23-19 | Braves v. Giants +100 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
05-23-19 | Marlins +148 v. Tigers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 148 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
05-22-19 | Phillies +144 v. Cubs | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
05-22-19 | Marlins +107 v. Tigers | Top | 6-3 | Win | 107 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
05-22-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +220 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
05-22-19 | A's v. Indians +120 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
05-21-19 | Reds +130 v. Brewers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 130 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
05-21-19 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays +140 | 3-10 | Win | 140 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
05-20-19 | Diamondbacks +130 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
05-20-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +180 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
05-19-19 | Bucks +2.5 v. Raptors | 112-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
05-19-19 | Giants +154 v. Diamondbacks | 3-2 | Win | 154 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
05-19-19 | Brewers -118 v. Braves | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
05-18-19 | Cubs +130 v. Nationals | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
05-18-19 | Brewers v. Braves -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
05-17-19 | Giants +135 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
05-17-19 | Dodgers v. Reds +122 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
05-16-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
05-16-19 | A's -135 v. Tigers | Top | 17-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
05-15-19 | Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 58 m | Show |
05-15-19 | Rangers v. Royals +122 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
05-15-19 | Cubs +119 v. Reds | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
05-14-19 | Padres +142 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors -7 | Top | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
05-13-19 | Astros v. Tigers +146 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
05-12-19 | Brewers +132 v. Cubs | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 207.5 | Top | 90-92 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 60 m | Show |
05-12-19 | Hurricanes +140 v. Bruins | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
05-12-19 | Rangers +195 v. Astros | Top | 5-15 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
05-11-19 | Angels v. Orioles +130 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
05-11-19 | Tigers +148 v. Twins | 5-3 | Win | 148 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
05-10-19 | Braves +126 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 126 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -6 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 5 m | Show |
05-10-19 | Brewers +118 v. Cubs | 7-0 | Win | 118 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +2 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
05-09-19 | Hurricanes +135 v. Bruins | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
05-09-19 | Marlins +190 v. Cubs | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
05-09-19 | White Sox +220 v. Indians | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
05-08-19 | Angels +111 v. Tigers | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
05-08-19 | Nationals +180 v. Brewers | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
05-07-19 | Braves +135 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
05-07-19 | Giants +114 v. Rockies | 14-4 | Win | 114 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
05-07-19 | Stars +120 v. Blues | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 3 m | Show | |
05-06-19 | Warriors +1.5 v. Rockets | 108-112 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
05-06-19 | Mariners +137 v. Yankees | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
05-06-19 | Giants +143 v. Reds | 4-12 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 31 m | Show | |
05-05-19 | Mets +137 v. Brewers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
05-04-19 | Warriors +4 v. Rockets | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
05-04-19 | Red Sox v. White Sox +157 | 15-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
05-04-19 | Giants +124 v. Reds | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
05-03-19 | Dodgers v. Padres +148 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 220 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
05-03-19 | Giants +147 v. Reds | 12-11 | Win | 147 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 215 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 56 h 53 m | Show |
05-02-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
05-02-19 | Reds +168 v. Mets | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
05-01-19 | Indians v. Marlins +135 | 2-4 | Win | 135 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
05-01-19 | Yankees -115 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
04-30-19 | Reds v. Mets +106 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 106 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
04-30-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets -110 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
04-29-19 | Orioles +122 v. White Sox | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
04-28-19 | Celtics v. Bucks -7 | Top | 112-90 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 29 m | Show |
04-28-19 | A's -111 v. Blue Jays | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 36 h 20 m | Show |
04-26-19 | Rangers +155 v. Mariners | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
04-26-19 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
04-26-19 | Avalanche +125 v. Sharks | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
04-25-19 | Stars v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
04-25-19 | Indians +145 v. Astros | 2-1 | Win | 145 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
04-24-19 | Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 235 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
04-24-19 | Dodgers v. Cubs +112 | 6-7 | Win | 112 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
04-23-19 | Mariners v. Padres -130 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
04-23-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 212 | 90-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
04-23-19 | Nets v. 76ers -7.5 | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 35 h 52 m | Show | |
04-23-19 | Magic v. Raptors -11.5 | Top | 96-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
04-22-19 | Twins +173 v. Astros | 9-5 | Win | 173 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
04-22-19 | Bucks -12 v. Pistons | 127-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
04-21-19 | Blazers +6 v. Thunder | Top | 111-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
04-21-19 | Diamondbacks -103 v. Cubs | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
04-20-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5 | 117-103 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
04-20-19 | Blue Jays +132 v. A's | 10-1 | Win | 132 | 8 h 7 m | Show |