#658 ASA PLAY ON USC +1.5 over Indiana, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - Rough situation for IU who is playing their 2nd of back to back games on the West Coast and coming off an upset win @ UCLA. That game went to double OT with the Hoosiers pulling out a 98-97 win. They are not a deep team and 3 of their 5 starters played 44+ minutes in that win and they were missing starter Conerway (11 PPG - 3rd leading scorer). He’s most likely out again here but if he does play he won’t be 100% with a bad ankle. His loss could be key here for an IU team that logged big minutes on Saturday @ UCLA. It’s also IU’s 5th game in 15 days and 4 of those have come on the road. Their only other 2 true road wins came @ Maryland and @ Rutgers who have a combined record of 3-18 in Big 10 play. USC is off a 3 point home win vs Rutgers which looks like a close one but the Trojans led by 19 with just 14:00 minutes remaining and took their foot off the gas and allowed the Knights back in the game. Their previous 2 games were very solid as they beat Wisconsin on the road and lost by 1 point @ Iowa. This team is playing well right now and they are finally at full strength with starting PG Woods, who has played in less than half of their games, playing well and starting wing Arenas having played in the last 4 games after missing the first 18 games of the season. The Hoosiers live at the arc with 52% of their shots coming from deep (8th most in the nation) and USC defends the 3 point line very well allowing opponents to make only 29% (14th nationally). IU also fouls a lot with 23% of opponents points coming from the FT line and USC gets to the stripe a lot with 25% of their points coming from the FT line (16th nationally). This one sets up nicely for USC and we’ll grab the Trojans.

#31/32 ASA TOP PLAY ON OVER 6.5 Goals (-140) - Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers, Tuesday at 8:30 PM ET - The Maple Leafs are in a B2B and off a 4-2 win at Calgary. They used their #1 goalie (Woll) last night and that means a struggling Stolarz gets the start here. Whether coming on in relief or getting the start (including getting pulled early from one) Stolarz has struggled badly of late. Overall it has been a tough season for him and in his last 6 outings he has logged ice time equivalent to less than 5 games and yet allowed 22 goals in this stretch. Rough times for him and the same holds true for the Oilers goalies. Whether Edmonton goes with Jarry or Ingram here is not a big factor. We state this fact because Jarry's last 4 appearances have been the equivalent of only 3 games worth of ice time and yet he has allowed 17 goals in those games! Also, Ingram's last 3 appearances have been the equivalent of only 2 games worth of ice time and he allowed 8 goals in this stretch. The Oilers last 5 games have all totaled at least 7 goals and 4 of the 5 totaled 8+ goals! The Oilers have scored 5 goals on average in their last 5 wins but also allowed 5 goals per game on average in their last 5 games overall. Toronto comes into this one off B2B road wins by a combined score of 7-4 and though each of these failed to reach the 7-goal mark this followed a stretch of 5 straight Leafs road games totaling at least 7 goals! Considering that as well as the fact the Maple Leafs have a back-up goalie going here, this one should turn into a goal-fest featuring end to end action. 5 straight meetings between these non-conference foes (including 6 of last 7) have totaled at least 7 goals! This included a 6-3 Oilers win earlier this season. Over is our play here.

Spanish Copa del Rey #202201/202202 ASA PLAY ON Over 3.5 Goals (-125) – Barcelona at Albacete, Tuesday at 3 ET - This one takes place in Spanish Copa del Rey action. Barcelona is a 2-goal favorite on the goal line in spite of being on the road here. The key to that number is that Albacete is a Liga 2 club and should be outclassed here. However, Albacete already had an upset of Real Madrid earlier in this competition and have proven they can compete even with a strong club like that. We do expect the big home underdog to score here as they certainly are a confident bunch and have been scoring with regularity. However, they also are not going to be able to contain a high-powered Barcelona attack that should create all sorts of problems for their defense. Barcelona has scored an average of 3 goals over their last 10 matches. Albacete has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of their last 10 matches and they did tally 13 times in those 9 matches. Barcelona has just one clean sheet in its last five matches and the hosts have extra confidence from the 3-2 win over Real Madrid. That will lead to at least one goal for the hosts here but eventually Barcelona wears them down in what we project to be a high-scoring road win by a 2-goal margin at least. We are big on the over in this one.

ASA NBA play on UNDER 228.5 NY Knicks at Washington Wizards, 7pm ET - The Knicks have won 6 straight games and it’s not about their offense. New York has a defensive efficiency rating of .941 points per possession allowed in their last 5 games, best in the NBA. They are holding opponents to 90.2ppg, allowing 43.4% shooting overall and 34% from beyond the arc in that same stretch. Do you know who’s been the worst offensive team in the league in the month of January? You guessed it, the Washington Wizards! The Wiz have an offensive net rating of 107.5 in January, scoring just 110ppg. They have an eFG% of 52.8%, 7th lowest average in January. The Wiz aren’t a great defensive team by any means, but they have held 5 of their last seven opponents to 112 or less points. New York is coming off a marquee game against the Lakers on Sunday and have 3 HUGE games looming against the Nuggets, Pistons and Celtics so they’ll be content with a win and won’t look to run the score up in this one. Bet UNDER!