Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-03-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -155 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
My 8* PERFECT STORM is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (9:35 EST). Washington took Game 3 by a score of 4-3 and it now has a 2-1 series lead after dropping Game 1. With their backs against the wall and looking to avoid the dreaded 1-3 hole, I look for the defending champs to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night in Game 4. Washington is now 25-20 on the road this year, averaging 3.04 goals and conceding 3.20 in those contests. Goaltender Braden Holtby stopped 19 of 22 shots in Game 3 to improve to 6-2 with a 2.08 GAA in the playoffs. Note that he’s now 8-11 with a 2.90 GAA lifetime against the Penguins. Pittsburgh is now 31-14 at home this season, averaging 3.60 goals and conceding 2.73 in those contests. Sidney Crosby so far has eight goals in the playoffs. Goaltender Matt Murray is now 5-4 with a 2.48 GAA in the playoffs and note that he’s 4-4 with a 3.66 GAA lifetime against the Capitals. I’ll point out that despite the Game 3 loss, the Pens are still 36-16 in their last 52 home games against clubs with winning road records. These teams are very evenly matched across the board, but Pittsburgh has been dominant at home all year and in this almost do-or-die situation, I expect that trend to continue. Lay the price with confidence, play on the Penguins. Good luck…Larry |
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05-02-18 | Lightning v. Bruins -130 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 36 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Boston Bruins (7:00 EST). This series is all knotted up at one game apiece as it shifts gears to “Bean Town.” The Lightning were 24-19, but the Bruins were 21-24 at home. For arguments sakes, lets call these goaltenders a “wash.” I base my selections on many different things. Sometimes I base it on strong trends, or scheduling, or revenge. This particular play comes down mainly to some very strong trends which each team has exhibited in this position. The Lightning are a poor 14-17 in their last 31 after playing three consecutive home games. Boston on the other hand is a “lights out” 14-5 (+8.6 units) this season after a loss by two goals or more. On any given night either of these teams could win against the other. It’s that close. But home ice advantage is a crucial factor working in favor of the Bruins this evening and I believe it’ll help turn the tide once the final horn sounds. Play on Boston. Good luck…Larry |
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05-01-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -155 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -155 | 35 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:30 EST). I’ve made a play on the Penguins in each of the first two games of this series and I’m 1-1. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting the defending champs to bounce back here in front of the home town crowd. Washington turns to Braden Holtby in net for this one and he’s 5-2 with a 1.95 GAA, while the Pens’ Matt Murray is 5-3 with a 2.29 GAA. Washington comes in 24-20 on the road this year, averaging 3.02 goals and conceding 3.20 in those contests. Pittsburgh is 31-13 at home, averaging 3.61 goals and conceding 2.70. I’ll point out as well the Washington has had a hell of time whenever it’s played in “Steel Town,” going just 3-8 in its last 11 trips there. The Pens on the other hand have excelled in this spot, going 37-14 in their last 51 following a loss by three or more goals. Pittsburgh accomplished what it wanted in splitting the first two games of this series, but now that it’s home I expect it to return to form. Everything points to a blowout, lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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04-30-18 | Bruins v. Lightning -145 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Tampa Bay Lightning (7:00 EST). I had a play on the Lightning in Game 1 and clearly that didn’t work out at all, as Boston would go on to post a lop-sided 6-2 victory. I have to admit, I was completely wrong with judging the Bruins’ energy levels, as they still had plenty left in the tank after their gruelling seven-game series win over the Leafs in the first round. It was Tampa which suffered from rust after dispatching the Devils in five games. The main goal of any visiting team to start a seven game playoff series is to earn the split over the first two games, so as to re-gain the home ice advantage. With that feat accomplished and with fatigue now finally catching up to Boston, I do indeed absolutely believe that the Bruins suffer a classic letdown here. Conversely, with their backs against the wall and needing a victory in the worst way to avoid the 0-2 hole, I look for the Lightning to risk life and limb tonight getting into shooting and passing lanes to try and secure the win. Note as well that Boston is already 2-3 (-2.3 units) in the Playoffs when leading in a series; also 42-43 (-21 units) in its last 45 after a win by two goals or more, while Tampa is 10-3 (+6 units) this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 21-10 (+6.2 units) after allowing four goals or more. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Lightning. Good luck…Larry |
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04-29-18 | Penguins +104 v. Capitals | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (3:05 EST). I had a play on the Penguins in Game 1 (my Round 2 GAME OF THE YEAR!) and I think the defending champs offer great value to steal Game 2 as well. Pittsburgh turns to Matt Murray (5-2, 2.17 GAA), while Washington counters with Braden Holtby (4-2, 2.10). Pittsburgh has knocked Washington off in the playoffs each of the last two years and it’ll be well on its way to doing that this season as well with another victory here. Pittsburgh is ranked as the No. 1 offense in the playoffs with an average of 4.43 GPG, while ranked sixth in goals allowed by conceding 2.43. Washington is averaging 3.71 goals in the playoffs and conceding 3.00. This is simply a horrible matchup for the Capitals, who let a golden opportunity slip through their fingers in the late Game 1 collapse. It’s a mental thing and it’s only going to get worse in Game 2 in my opinion. I like Pittsburgh to keep the pressure on and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night once again. Play on the Penguins. Good luck…Larry |
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04-28-18 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 32 h 22 m | Show | |
My 9* O/U ODDSMAKER’S ERROR is on the under Sharks/Knights (8:05 EST). Las Vegas has been a truly amazing team. Without question the best expansion team in the history of sports. The Golden Knights embarrassed the Sharks 7-0 in Game 1. San Jose will be risking life and limb now trying to slow down Vegas, but the Golden Knights are equally adept at playing a “lock down” style of game as well, as evidenced by their low-scoring four-game series sweep of the LA Kings in the first round. The Sharks are now 22-22 on the road, averaging 2.68 goals and conceding 2.93 in those games. Goaltender Martin Jones is now 4-1 with a 2.05 GAA in the postseason this year after allowing four goals in the Game 1 blowout loss. There’s no reason not to think that Jones won’t be able to bounce back here though. The Golden Knights are 32-12 at home, averaging 3.55 goals and conceding 2.34 in those contests. Netminder Marc-Andre Fleury is 5-0 with a 0.54 GAA in the postseason thus far. I’ll point out as well that San Jose has seen the total go under the number in 18 of 22 this year following a loss by two goals or more, while Las Vegas has seen the total dip below the posted number in 17 of 28 this season following a victory by two goals or more. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-28-18 | Bruins v. Lightning -140 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Tampa Bay Lightning (3:05 EST). It’s payback time for the Lightning, as the Bruins took three of the four regular season meetings. Boston comes in completely “gassed” here after its seven game opening series victory over the Leafs. Boston is 23-21 on the road this season, averaging 2.86 goals and conceding 2.61 in those contests. Goaltender Tuukka Rask is 4-3 with a 2.94 GAA in the playoffs thus far and vs. the Lightning he’s gone 16-8 with a 2.49 GAA. Tampa advanced by beating New Jersey in five games. The Lightning are 32-12 at home this season, averaging 3.59 goals and conceding 2.86 in those contests. Netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy is 4-1 with a 2.01 GAA in the playoffs and 1-5 with a 2.51 GAA lifetime against Boston (note that he’s 26-9 with a 2.84 GAA at home.) I’ll point out as well that Boston is just 1-5 in its last six after scoring five or more goals in its previous game, while Tampa Bay is 40-18 in its last 58 when playing on three or more days rest. No need to over think this one. Tampa is rested and motivated after losing the season series. Boston is exhausted. All things considered, this is a great price. Play on the Lightning. Good luck…Larry |
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04-27-18 | Jets v. Predators -145 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 35 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Nashville Predators (8:00 EST). Nashville took three of the four regular season meetings between the clubs and I think that dominance is carried over into Game 1. If Winnipeg has had one clear weakness this season, it’s been its play on the road where it’s just 21-22, averaging 2.81 goals and conceding 2.81 in those contests. Connor Hellebuyck gets the nod in net tonight for the visitors and he’s so far 4-1 with a 1.93 GAA in the playoffs. Overall he’s 6-5 with a 3.20 GAA lifetime against the Predators though. Nashville is 30-14 at home, averaging 3.39 goals and conceding 2.55. Goaltender Pekka Rinne is 4-2 in the playoffs and overall he’s 15-4 with a 2.41 GAA lifetime against the Jets. Nashville has already beaten Winnipeg three out of four times this season and with so much on the line to open this second round series, I absolutely believe that the Predators will find a way to get the job done at the end of the night in Game 1. The clincher though is the matchup in net. Rinne has dominated the Jets throughout his career, while Hellebuyck has struggled whenever he’s faced the Predators. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is a great price. Play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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04-26-18 | Penguins +114 v. Capitals | Top | 3-2 | Win | 114 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* ROUND 2 GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:05 EST). Pittsburgh has knocked off Washington each of the last two years in the Playoffs and I believe the defending champs are going to take Game 1 as well. The Penguins advanced by dispatching the Flyers in six games. In their two losses the Pens totalled just three goals, but in their four victories they posted 25. Sidney Crosby led the way offensively with six goals. Pittsburgh goaltender Matt Murray went 4-2 with a 2.20 GAA in the first round. Murray is now 26-11 with a 1.99 GAA lifetime in the postseason. The Penguins enter ranked as the No. 1 offense so far in the playoffs with 4.67 GPG, while ranked seventh defensively in conceding 2.50. The Capitals advanced by beating the Blue Jackets in six games. Washington lost the first two games of that series, but then proceeded to win four straight. The Capitals are 29-15 at home, averaging 3.34 goals and conceding 2.61. Washington goaltender Braden Holtby is 4-1 with a 1.92 GAA in the Playoffs thus far. It’s hard to say anything negative about either of these teams. The Penguins though have just had the Capitals number over the last five years and I think they’re going to find a way to get the job done here as well. After four straight victories, I think Washington finally suffers a small letdown in the opener of this second round series. Play on the Penguins. Good luck…Larry |
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04-23-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets -106 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -106 | 33 h 27 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:30 EST). Washington won Game 5 by a score of 4-3 in OT to snag a 3-2 series lead. Columbus will be risking life and limb to force a Game 7 and in this case, I don’t think that home ice can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor. The Capitals are 23-20 on the road this year and they’ve averaged 2.95 goals and conceded 3.21 in this contests. Goaltender Braden Holtby is now 3-1 with a 1.67 GAA in this series. Holtby hasn’t been on his best on the road this season though, going 12-11 with a 3.90 GAA. The Blue Jackets are 26-17 at home, averaging 2.70 goals and conceding 2.42 in those contests. Netminder Sergei Bobrovsky is 2-3 with a 2.85 GAA in this series. Overall he’d go 20-13 with a 2.18 GAA at home this season though and there’s no reason not to think that he won’t be able to bounce back here. Washington would love nothing more than to close this series out, but Columbus has proven to be an elite team at home all season. I simply can’t see the Capitals getting the job done tonight. Washington has won three straight, but winning can lead to complacency. And desperation leads to motivation for Columbus. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Blue Jackets. Good luck…Larry |
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04-23-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs +114 | 1-3 | Win | 114 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7:05 EST). Toronto hung on for a 4-3 win in Boston in Game 5 and I think it’ll find a way to get the job done on home ice as well and push this series to a conclusive Game 7. Boston had a 3-1 series lead, but it failed to the job done last time out. David Backes would score his second of the series in a losing cause. The Bruins are 23-20 on the road this year, averaging 2.91 goals and conceding 2.60 in those contests. Goaltender Tuukka Rask gave up four goals on 13 shots in Game 5 before getting yanked. Rask is 13-10 with a 2.51 GAA on the road this year. The Leafs are 30-13 at home, averaging 3.30 goals and conceding 2.65 in those contests. Frederik Andersen stopped 42 of 45 shots that he faced to improve to 2-2 with a 3.86 GAA so far in this playoffs. Andersen has to be feeling confident here though as he’d finish 23-10 with a 2.64 GAA at home. Also note that Boston is just 1-5 in its last six on the road, while Toronto is 17-5 in its last 22 when playing on one days rest and 5-1 in its last six home games against a club with a winning road record. The Leafs have won five of the last six at home in this series and with so much on the line, I’m expecting that strong trend to continue here. Pack your backs for Game 7! Good luck…Larry |
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04-23-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 33 h 57 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Bruins/Leafs (7:00 EST). Toronto hung on for a 4-3 win in Boston in Game 5 and I think it’ll find a way to get the job done on home ice as well and push this series to a conclusive Game 7. I’m also expecting these competent goalkeepers to be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries. Boston had a 3-1 series lead, but it failed to the job done last time out. David Backes would score his second of the series in a losing cause. The Bruins are 23-20 on the road this year, averaging 2.91 goals and conceding 2.60 in those contests. Goaltender Tuukka Rask gave up four goals on 13 shots in Game 5 before getting yanked. Rask is 13-10 with a 2.51 GAA on the road this year. The Leafs are 30-13 at home, averaging 3.30 goals and conceding 2.65 in those contests. Frederik Andersen stopped 42 of 45 shots that he faced to improve to 2-2 with a 3.86 GAA so far in this playoffs. Andersen has to be feeling confident here though as he’d finish 23-10 with a 2.64 GAA at home. Additionally I’ll point out that Boston has seen the total go under the number in 17 of 24 this year after allowing four goals or more, while Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last seven home games when the total in the contest is set at 6 or higher. With so much on the line for each side and with neither wanting to make any major mistakes, everything points to a classic goaltenders battle in Game 6. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-22-18 | Predators v. Avalanche +165 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 47 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Colorado Avalanche (7:05 EST). I base my picks on many different things. For me this one comes down to common sense and some extremely strong ATS stats/trends. Not many gave the Avs much of a chance in this series, yet Colorado is hanging around. In fact I think that Colorado firmly has the momentum in its favor after its 2-1 victory in Nashville in Game 5. The Avs have been competitive in this series, more so as it’s progressed. The Predators would love nothing more than to finish this series right here and now, but with the knowledge of having one more shot at wrapping things up on home ice still to come, the visitors could also in some small way be caught complacent/looking ahead here. Note as well that the Predators are still just 2-6 (-4.7 units) in their last eight when leading in a playoff series, while Colorado is 7-2 (+4.7 units) in its last nine after holding its opponent to one goal or less in its previous outing. Great value on the hungrier home side. Play on the Avs. Good luck…Larry |
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04-22-18 | Penguins v. Flyers +145 | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
My 8* PERFECT STORM is on the Philadelphia Flyers (3:05 EST). I believe that the “do or die” Flyers offer much better than just a “punchers chance” in Game 6 on home ice. The Penguins come in averaging 3.3 GPG, led by Sidney Crosby with five goals so far in the Playoffs. Pittsburgh has to score a lot of goals, because it concedes a lot as well, so far 3.0 per night. Matt Murray has been terrible for the most part between the pipes in the postseason. The Flyers average 3.0 GPG and Sean Couturier leads the way in the playoffs with two thus far, while Jakub Voracek has three assists. Brian Elliot and Petr Mrazek have so far been poor overall in the playoffs as well. The City of Philadelphia has gotten used to winning lately and the Flyers come home filled with confidence. I think that wave of emotion will be the difference maker for Philadelphia tonight. Play on the Flyers. Good luck…Larry |
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04-21-18 | Devils v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the under Devils/Lightning (3:05 EST). When the smoke clears at the end of this one, I look for this total to sneak below the posted number. Tampa comes in off a hard-fought 3-1 win in Game 4 to grab a 3-1 series lead and in my opinion, everything points to a similar final combined score here as well. New Jersey comes in having gone 21-22 on the road, averaging 2.98 GPG and conceding 3.19 in those contests. Corey Schneider is 6-11 with a 3.25 GAA on the road, but he has gone 5-6 in 12 career games against Tampa Bay with a 2.94 GAA. Keith Kinkaid is 14-9 with a 2.97 GAA on the road and 2-4 with 3.33 GAA lifetime against the Bolts. Tampa Bay is 31-12 at home so far this year, averaging 3.60 GPG in those contests and conceding 2.91. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskly stopped 27 of 28 shots last time out to move to 3-1 with a 2.26 GAA in the playoffs thus far. Note that he was 26-9 with a 2.84 GAA at home this season. I’ll point out as well that New Jersey has in fact seen the total go under the number in four of its last five after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing, while TB has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last seven after a win by two goals or more. I believe the conditions are finally right for a tight-checking, lower-scoring goaltenders battle. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-19-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on the under Bruins/Leafs (7:05 EST). It’s the all important Game 4. Boston wants to take a strangle-hold on the series before heading home, while the Leafs will be leaving everything on the ice in an attempt to even it up. Fatigue sets in at this point and in my opinion, everything points to a classic lower-scoring under between these two hungry clubs. Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask is 2-1 with a 2.71 GAA and .911 save percentage thus far. Note that he’s still 16-7-2 with a 2.14 GAA lifetime against the Leafs. Toronto net minder Frederik Andersen is now 20-14 with a 2.53 GAA lifetime in the postseason and 10-1-0 with a 2.09 GAA lifetime against the Bruins. I’ll point out as well that Boston has seen the total go under the number in 16 of 23 this year after allowing four goals or more, while Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last seven after scoring four goals or more in its previous outing. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-18-18 | Ducks +160 v. Sharks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:30 EST). I’ve stayed way from this series until now, but I’m ready to pull the trigger on a big play on the 0-3 Ducks. With its back against the wall, I look for Anaheim to prolong this series at least one more game. Anaheim will be looking to atone for the 8-1 drubbing it endured in Game 3. The Ducks would amazingly post a double-digit advantage in shots on goal in the setback. The Ducks were done in by 26 penalty minutes. Anaheim starting goaltender John Gibson was started all three games so far, but he was pulled early in the rout. Gibson will be back in net with a chip on his shoulder and something to prove this evening. San Jose had ten less shot attempts in Game 3, but it still pulled off the major blowout. I don’t think the Ducks are going to get swept though. Note that Anaheim is 6-2 (+5.3 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses and still 27-16 (+10.6 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while San Jose is just 18-21 (-9.6 units) in its last 39 after a three game unbeaten streak. The Ducks dig deep and take this series back home for at least one more. Play on Anaheim. Good luck…Larry |
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04-17-18 | Golden Knights v. Kings -121 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -121 | 36 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* NHL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH is on the LA Kings (7:35 EST). It’s the most important game of the year for the Kings, who come into Game 4 in a 3-0 hole. Desperation breeds motivation and winning can lead to complacency. Prior to the playoffs starting, the Golden Knights had given up 15 goals over three straight road games. So far Vegas has gotten superb goaltending from Marc-Andre Fleury, but with their backs against the wall, I fully expect the Kings to respond in this do-or-die situation. LA continues to get solid goaltending from Jon Quick, as he had to face 52 shots last time out. Remember, Quick and the Kings were also down 3-0 to San Jose in the first round,before then going on to win the Stanley Cup after posting three Game 7 victories a couple of years ago. I’ll point out as well that LA is 10-4 in its last 14 after scoring two goals or less in its previous contest. There’s no way the Kings are going down without a fight. I look for the desperation in which the home side plays with tonight, to turn out to be the the deciding factor in the end. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Kings. Good luck…Larry |
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04-17-18 | Capitals +126 v. Blue Jackets | 3-2 | Win | 126 | 33 h 2 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmakers Error is on the Washington Capitals (7:35 EST). It’s Washington’s turn to respond in Game 3 after Columbus took the first two in the Nation’s capital. The Capitals are expected to go with Braden Holtby in Game 3, while the Blue Jackets are going with Sergei Bobrovsky again. The playoff version of Bobrovsky of years past was a confounding nightmare compared to his elite play during the regular season: 3-10 with a 3.63 goals-against average and .887 save percentage. Through two games this year, the second of which coach John Tortorella called "one of the best goaltending performances" he has seen, the reserved Russian has stopped 81 of 88 shots (.920 SP), including facing 58 shots in Game 2 win (.931 SP). Capitals coach Barry Trotz went with Philipp Grubauer over Holtby (former Vezina Trophy winner) for second straight game (3rd career postseason start) but he was pulled for allowing four goals on 22 shots. Washington had won 12 of 15 games heading into the playoffs. I’ll point out that Washington averages 3.12 GPG and it concedes 2.90, while Columbus averages 2.88 GPG, while conceding 2.76. I’ll point out as well that the Capitals are 17-5 in their last 22 after allowing five goals or more in their previous contest, while the Blue Jackets are just 2-9 in its last 11 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. For all the reasons listed above, play on Washington. Good luck…Larry |
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04-16-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs -110 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7:05 EST). I played the Leafs in Game 1 and that was an unfortunate loser. Toronto was then also hammered in Game 2. With its back against the wall though, I look for Toronto to finally respond with the shift in venue. Boston was 22-19 on the road, averaging 2.93 goals and conceding 2.61 in those contests. Toronto was 29-12 at home, averaging 3.34 goals and conceding just 2.66. Note that while he struggled on the road, goaltender Frederik Andersen has to be feeling confident he can bounce back here as note that he finished 23-10 with a 2.64 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that the the Bruins are just 1-4 in their last five after scoring five goals or more in their previous game, while Toronto is 4-1 in its last five when playing on one days rest. It doesn’t get any bigger than this for Toronto, as a 3-0 hole would clearly be too much for it to climb out of. I expect the Leafs to get back into this series with their best effort yet. Play on Toronto. Good luck…Larry |
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04-15-18 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals -148 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -148 | 35 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Washington Capitals (7:30 EST). Columbus stole Game 1, 4-3 in OT. Suffice it to say, it’s payback time for the home side. It’s essentially a “do-or-die” scenario for the Capitals, who would be in tough in this series down 0-2 heading to Columbus for three straight. The Blue Jackets though are poised for a classic letdown here in my estimation. The goal of the visiting team to open a series is to score the split so as to gain home ice advantage moving forward. With that goal accomplished, I do indeed expect the visitors to come in a tiny bit complacent. Columbus averages 2.9 GPG and it concedes 2.8. Clearly the margin for error isn’t very big. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 30 shits in Game 1 to move him to 37-22-6 with a 2.42 GAA. The Capitals average 3.1 GPG and they concede 2.9. Philipp Grubauer got the start over Braden Holtby in Game 1, but Holtby is expected back in net tonight. Holtby comes in off perhaps his worst campaign of his career, but experience and home ice advantage is going to prove to be the difference today in my opinion. And as mentioned off the top, this is essentially a must-win game for the Capitals. Bobrovsky scored the victory in Game 1, but he still owns a horrible 3.57 GAA and .888 save percentage to go along with a 4-10 lifetime record in the postseason. I’m expecting the home side to go up early and I look for it to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn blares. Lay the price, play on Washington. Good luck…Larry |
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04-13-18 | Flyers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 33 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on the under Flyers/Penguins (7:00 EST). I had a play on the “under” in Game 1 of this series and that would unfortunately turn out to be a loser in the Penguins’ 7-0 destruction of the Flyers. Philadelphia will be laying everything it has on the line tonight to atone for that pathetic effort and to try to steal Game 2 so as to wrest back the home ice advantage. The goaltender matchup tonight features Brian Elliot of the Flyers, who is 23-18 with a 2.66 GAA, against Matt Murray, who is 27-19 with a 2.92 GAA. Philadelphia is 20-22 on the road, averaging 2.95 goals and conceding 3.00. Pittsburgh is 31-11 at home, averaging 3.71 goals and conceding 2.62 in those contests. I’ll point out though that the Flyers have seen the total go under the number in ten of 16 this year after scoring one goal or less in their previous outing, while Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last seven after scoring six or more goals in its previous contest, while also shutting out its opponent at the same time. I think the conditions are right for a much more defensive affair in Game 2 of this Opening Round series. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-12-18 | Sharks +127 v. Ducks | 3-0 | Win | 127 | 34 h 36 m | Show | |
My 8* UPSET SPECIAL is on the San Jose Sharks (10:30 EST). I think San Jose will steal Game 1 of this Western Conference opening round series. This is a matchup between second and third seeds from the Pacific, as Anaheim earned home-ice advantage by just a single point. San Jose clearly got caught “looking ahead” to the playoffs, as it would go on to lose five of its last six games, ruining the opportunity of having home ice in this series. Regardless of that though, I believe the Sharks are going to bounce back fine in this series. Note that San Jose won three of the four regular season meetings between the clubs, including both games played in Anaheim. Keep your eyes on Sharks’ forward Evander Kane, who has posted nine goals and five assists in 17 games since coming over from Buffalo. Anaheim looks poised for a letdown in the opener in my opinion after its furious close to the year, earning points in 11 of its final 12 games. Ducks’ starting goaltender John Gibson was red hot, but he suffered an injury on April 1st which caused him to miss the final three games of the regular season. Gibson has been cleared to go here, but I think he’s still a bit of a question mark heading in. Whoever gets the start in net for the Ducks tonight (could also be Ryan Miller or Rickard Rakell), I think they’re a “wash” with the Sharks Martin Jones. I’ll point out though that San Jose is 11-5 (+5.1 units) this year after playing three consecutive home games, while Anaheim is just 4-6 (-3.7 units) following a three-game unbeaten streak. The Sharks dominated this series all year long and everything does indeed point to an upset in Game 1. Play on San Jose. Good luck…Larry |
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04-12-18 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -150 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Boston Bruins (7:00 EST). Game 1 of the best of 7 series and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. It’s payback time for Boston, as Toronto took three of four in the regular season. The Leafs send Frederik Andersen to the net and he finished 38-26 with a 2.81 GAA. Toronto’s achilles heel all season though has been its play on the road, where it’s just 20-21, averaging 3.24 goals and conceding 2.95 in those contests. Andersen has had considerable success against the Bruins throughout his career, going 10-1 with a 2.09 GAA, but I think that run ends this evening. The Bruins counter with Tuukka Rask, who is 34-19 with a 2.36 GAA this season. Boston went 28-13 at home and averaged 3.59 goals, while conceding 3.54 in those contests. Rask is 16-9 with a 2.14 GAA lifetime against the Leafs. I’ll point out as well that Toronto is just 16-42 in its last 48 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Boston is 4-1 (+3 units) in its last five when playing on three days rest. I’m banking on the “home ice” and “revenge” factors being the difference in the opener of this series. Lay the price, play on the Bruins. Good luck…Larry |
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04-11-18 | Kings +120 v. Golden Knights | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 48 m | Show | |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Kings (10:00 EST). Las Vegas defied all the odds and became the greatest expansion team in all of sports history this season. But now that the playoffs are here, I think it’s going to have a predictable letdown (in Game 1 anyways!) The Kings enter the playoffs on top form, winning five of their last six and managing to secure the wild card spot. LA sends out Jon Quick, who finished 33-28-3, but I think he’s poised for a big series. These teams actually split their four-game season series as division opponents. Las Vegas took the first two games, but LA would take the second two, including a home and home set in which it prevailed 3-2 in OT at home, followed by a 4-1 win on the road in Vegas. The home side counters with Marc-Andre Fleury in net and he finished 29-13-4 overall. For arguments sake, let’s call these goaltenders a “wash.” In a scenario like that, I think the value swings to the experienced underdog. Great value for the Kings stealing Game 1. Good luck…Larry |
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04-11-18 | Flyers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -117 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PEFECT STORM is on the under Flyers/Penguins (7:00 EST). Pittsburgh swept the season 4-0 this year. Philadelphia will send out Brian Elliot between the pipes and he went 23-18 with a 2.66 GAA, while the home side counters with Matt Murray, who was 27-19 with a 2.92 GAA. Philadelphia was 20-21 on the road, averaging 3.02 goals and conceding 2.90 in those contests. Elliot has for the most part been spectacular whenever he’s faced the Penguins, going 7-5 with a 2.88 GAA lifetime. Pittsburgh is 30-11 at home, averaging 3.63 goals and conceding 2.68 in those contests. Note that Murray is 3-2 with a 3.00 GAA lifetime against the Flyers. I’ll point out though that Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in four of its last five in the first four of the playoffs, while Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of its last five when playing with three or more days rest. These were a couple of the highest scoring teams in the league, but I’m expecting more of a defensive battle to open the playoffs. With these two competent goaltenders going head-to-head, everything does indeed point to the under as the correct call here. Good luck…Larry |
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04-07-18 | Islanders v. Red Wings -131 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -131 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Detroit Red Wings (7:00 EST). New York comes in off the 2-1 home win over the Rangers, while Detroit enters off a 4-3 home loss to the Habs. The Isles are 15-25 on the road this year, averaging 2.95 goals and conceding 3.45 in those contests. Goaltender Jaroslav Halak is 20-32 with a 3.19 GAA, including just 8-16 with a 3.17 GAA on the road. The Wings are 16-24 at home, averaging 2.48 goals and conceding 2.83 in those contests. Netminder Jimmy Howard is 22-36 with a 2.85 GAA on the year, including 15-19 with a 2.64 GAA at home. The Islanders have been horrible on the road and they come in off a satisfying victory over their main rival the Rangers. There’s no doubt that this sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors in this meaningless contest. Detroit comes in off a loss and would love nothing more than to give the home town fans a victory to end the season. I’m banking on the Red Wings being the much “hungrier” team tonight. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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04-06-18 | Blues -152 v. Blackhawks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the St. Louis Blues (8:30 EST). This is the second game of a home and home set and Chicago took the first one 4-3. Suffice it to say, I think it’s payback time for the Blues tonight. St. Louis has lost four in a row and it sits one game out of eighth spot in the Western Conference. This is a big game for the Blues. St. Louis averages 2.71 GPG and it concedes 2.70. Goaltender Jake Allen is 27-27 with a 2.74 GAA on the year, including 13-13 with a 2.83 GAA on the road. Chicago averages 2.88 GPG and it concedes 3.08. Netminder Jean-Francois Berube is 3-6 with a 3.84 GAA overall and 2-3 with a 3.10 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that St. Louis is still 41-18 in its last 59 road games against a team with a losing home record, while Chicago is just 3-13 in its last 16 following a victory. While Chicago would love to play “spoiler,” I simply don’t think that’ll be enough motivation for the home side today. This is a “do or die” game for the Blues and I expect them to play like it. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Play on St. Louis. Good luck…Larry |
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04-05-18 | Penguins v. Blue Jackets -125 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:00 EST). Pittsburgh enters off a 3-1 home loss to Washington, while Columbus comes in off a 5-4 OT win at home over Detroit. These teams are in a fight for second place in the division, each coming in with 96 points. Clearly this is a big game for both teams, but I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real factor in this one. The Penguins have a “cream puff” at home against the Senators up next, so it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way also getting caught “looking ahead” to that one. Pittsburgh’s achilles heel all year has been its play on the road anyways, going just 16-24 away from friendly confines, allowing 2.9 goals and conceding 3.35 in those contests. Pens’ net minder Matt Murray is 26-19 with a 2.90 GAA on the year. Columbus is 26-14 at home, averaging 2.73 goals and conceding 2.3 in those contests. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is 37-27 with a 2.38 GAA this season. I’ll point out that Pittsburgh is just 13-14 (-5.1 units) this year after a divisional contest, while Columbus is 16-9 (+5.1 units) after allowing four goals or more. The Blue Jackets enter the final few games on top form, winners in 13 out of their last 15 and I look for them to ride that momentum to another solid victory against the Penguins at home. Great value, play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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04-04-18 | Senators +111 v. Sabres | Top | 4-2 | Win | 111 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Ottawa Senators (7:30 EST). A couple of cellar dwellers go head-to-head in this one and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Senators. Ottawa is off a 6-5 home loss to Winnipeg, while Buffalo fell 5-2 at Toronto in its latest action. Ottawa averages 2.70 GPG and it concedes 3.46. Netminder Mike Condon is just 5-22 with a 3.25 GAA, including 3-15 with a 2.96 GAA on the road this season. Buffalo averages 2.38 GPG and it concedes 3.33. Goaltender Chad Johnson is 10-17 with a 3.41 GAA on the year, including just 4-10 with a 3.98 GAA at home. Both teams have just been downright horrible this year, which is why I’ll point out that Ottawa is 7-2 (+6.8 units) in its last nine after a loss in which it scored five goals or more in, while Buffalo is 13-25 (-10.4 units) this season against clubs with losing records. Play on Ottawa. Good luck…Larry |
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04-03-18 | Predators -125 v. Panthers | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Nashville Predators (7:30 EST). Nashville enters off a 4-1 road win over Tampa Bay, while Florida comes in off a tough and highly satisfying 3-2 win over Carolina just last night. Fatigue is a major issue at this time of the season and I think it will be the deciding factor in this matchup. Nashville comes in with a ton of momentum as well after hammering the Lightning 4-1 in Tampa Bay on Sunday. The Predators are road warriors, 24-15 away from friendly confines and averaging 3.03 goals and conceding 2.44 in those contests. Predators’ goaltender Pekka Rinne is 17-8 with a 2.07 GAA on the road. Florida is 23-14 at home, averaging 3.30 GPG and conceding 2.92 in those contests. Goaltender Roberto Luongo is 20-20 with a 3.00 GAA, including 11-6 with a 2.77 GAA at home. Note though that Nashville is 14-5 in its last 19 against teams with winning records and 18-6 in its last 24 when playing on one days rest, while Florida is a poor 5-16 in its last 21 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Nashville is playing for the President’s Cup right now, while the Panthers are on the cusp of being eliminated. As mentioned off the top, I think the home side comes in “flat” after last night’s victorious battle. Lay the price, play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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04-02-18 | Capitals v. Blues -140 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the St. Louis Blues (8:05 EST). I base my picks on many different things and for this one I’m basing it on scheduling. Washington will be putting its full focus onto the ice on Sunday night as it’s in Pittsburgh to take its top rival. St. Louis on the other hand will be looking to atone for an ugly 6-0 road loss at Arizona. Washington enters Sunday having gone 19-20 on the road, averaging 2.90 goals and conceding 3.38 in those contests. St. Louis though is 24-15 at home, averaging 2.77 goals and conceding 2.46. Braden Holtby is just 11-11 with a 4.00 GAA on the road this year for Washington, while Jake Allen is 14-10 with a 2.58 GAA at home for the St. Louis. St. Louis is in a dog fight for a playoff spot and I think the situational factors working in its favor tonight indeed make the Blues well worth the price of admission in this position. Play on St. Louis. Good luck…Larry |
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04-01-18 | Devils -157 v. Canadiens | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the New Jersey Devils (7:00 EST) Analysis posted at least six hours before game time. |
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03-31-18 | Wild v. Stars +101 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 101 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Dallas Stars (8:00 EST). Minnesota posted a 4-2 home win over Dallas on Thursday. Suffice it to say, it’s payback time for the desperate Stars tonight. So for the Wild lead the season-series 2-1. The Wild broke a two-game slide with that victory, as Matt Dumba posted a goal and three assists. So far Minnesota averages 3.1 GPG, while conceding 2.8. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 33-14-7 with a 2.56 GAA and a .917 save percentage. Dallas averages 2.8 GPG and it concedes 2.7. Kari Lehtonen is 13-14-3 with a 2.59 GAA. Tyler Seguin has been a bright spot offensively of late with five points in his last five games (and note that Seguin has six points in three games vs. the Wild.) Dallas is the more desperate team here, having lost nine of its last ten and I ultimately believe that’s going to be the difference maker here. Throw in the immediate “revenge factor” and the home ice advantage and in my opinion, this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Dallas. Good luck…Larry |
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03-30-18 | Blues v. Golden Knights -150 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Las Vegas Golden Knights (10:30 EST). The 48-22-4 Vegas Golden Knights are at St. Louis to take on the 43-28-5 Blues on Friday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one highly favors the home side. Vegas is coming off a 3-2 loss to Arizona, while the Blues enter off a highly satisfying 3-2 OT win over the Sharks. St. Louis has won six straight and looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion. I’ll point out as well that the Blues are a poor 1-5 in their last six road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Vegas is 4-1 in its last five after scoring two goals or less in its previous contest. I like Vegas to bounce back in this spot after its latest loss and all things considered, I do indeed feel this is a very fair price. Play on the Golden Knights. Good luck…Larry |
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03-29-18 | Sharks v. Predators -155 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Nashville Predators (8:00 EST). San Jose comes to Nashville completed dejected off a 3-2 OT loss (a setback which snapped an eight-game losing steak), while the Predators enter off a momentum building 2-1 shootout win over Minnesota. The Sharks are 20-19 on the road, averaging 2.74 goals and conceding 2.87 in those contests. Martin Jones is 29-24 with a 2.45 GAA, including 11-14 with a 2.65 GAA on the road. Nashville is 26-12 at home, averaging 3.29 goals and conceding 2.47 in those match ups. Goaltender Pekka Rinne is 41-15 with a 2.25 GAA, including 24-7 with a 2.39 GAA at home (owns a 1.92 GAA lifetime against San Jose as well.) Despite its recent big win streak, note that San Jose is still just 14-18 (-5.8 units) this year against clubs with winning records, while Nashville is 27-13 (+12.2 units) this season in the same position. Both goaltenders have been sharp this year, but I’m still giving the big nod to Rinne in this one. The Sharks’ weakness thus far has been their performance on the road and all signs point to a classic letdown after their win streak was snapped last time out. All things considered, I feel this line could easily be a lot higher. Great value, play on the Predators. Good luck…Larry |
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03-28-18 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* PUCK-LINE Las Vegas Insider is on the Las Vegas Golden Knights (10:05 EST). Arizona comes in off a 4-1 road victory over Tampa Bay, while Vegas enters off a 4-1 home victory over Colorado. Arizona is expected to send out Mike Smith, while Marc-Andre Fleury will get the nod between the pipes for the home side. The Coyotes have won 13 of their last 21 overall, but they’re still just 11-26 on the road, averaging 2.54 goals and conceding 3.38 in those contests. After going 2-4 over their previous six, the Knights bounced back with the 4-1 home win over the Avs most recently. Vegas is 27-11 at home and it averages 3.61 goals and concedes 2.47 in those contests. Fleury will be a difference maker tonight, as he’s now 28-15 on the year, including 15-9 with a 2.34 GAA at home (note that he’s 7-5 with a 1.98 GAA lifetime against the Coyotes as well.) Additionally I’ll point out that Arizona is just 12-26 in its last 38 following a victory, while Vegas is 24-9 when playing on one days rest. After their big 4-1 upset in Tampa Bay, everything points to a predictable letdown here for the ‘Yotes. Expect Vegas to lay the hammer down from start to finish. Play on the Knights on the puck line. Good luck…Larry |
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03-27-18 | Flyers v. Stars -130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Dallas Stars (8:30 EST). The 38-25-13 Philadelphia Flyers are in Dallas to take on the 38-30-8 Stars on Tuesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. It’s do or die time for Dallas, which comes in looking to snap an eight-game losing streak. Most recently the Stars fell 4-1 to Vancouver as a -200 favorite (I had the Canucks on the puck-line in that one.) Note that Philadelphia has earned points in five straight despite going just 2-3. With a tough game at Columbus tomorrow night (the team sitting a single game ahead of them in the Metropolitan standings), I absolutely believe that the visitors get caught “looking ahead” here. Clearly Dallas does not have that luxury. The Stars are enduring their worst losing streak ever since moving to Dallas and I expect the team to play with an extreme sense of desperation. I’ll point out as well that Philadelphia is a poor 12-15 (-4.4 units) this year after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest, while Dallas is 11-6 (+2.8 units) this season after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing. Note that the Stars also play with the added motivation of “revenge” tonight after falling 2-1 in OT in Philadelphia in mid December. All things considered, I feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Stars. Good luck…Larry |
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03-26-18 | Red Wings v. Canadiens -150 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Montreal Canadiens (7:30 EST). Detroit comes to town off a 4-3 road loss in Toronto, while Montreal enters off a 6-4 home setback to Washington. Two veterans square off in net tonight, with Jimmy Howard going for the Wings and Carey Price going for the Habs. Detroit is 13-25 on the road, averaging 2.56 goals and conceding 3.29 in those contests. Howard gave up four goals on 29 shots in the loss to the Leafs to fall to 19-35 with a 2.88 GAA this year, including going just 6-20 with a 3.05 GAA on the road. Montreal is 17-21 at home, averaging 2.79 goals and conceding 2.74 in those games. Price gave up six goals on 30 shots last time out to fall to 15-30 with a 3.10 GAA. Note that he’s 11-13 with a 2.80 GAA at home thus far. I’ll point out as well that Detroit is just 4-7 (-3.2 units) in its last 11 against teams with losing records, while Montreal is 6-4 (+2 units) in its last ten in the same position. These are two horrible teams, but the Canadiens are playing much better than the Wings right now and I expect Price to get the better of Howard with the home ice advantage. All things considered, I do indeed feel that Montreal is well worth the price of admission in this spot. Good luck…Larry |
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03-25-18 | Canucks +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* PUCK-LINE Las Vegas Insider is on the Vancouver Canucks (7:05 EST). Vancouver comes to town off a 4-1 road loss to St. Louis, while Dallas enters off a 3-2 home setback to Boston. The Canucks average 2.57 GPG and they concede 3.24. Goaltender Jacob Markstrom is 19-28 with a 2.78 GAA on the year, including 9-15 with a 2.58 GAA on the road. Note that he’s 1-1 with a sharp 1.27 GAA lifetime against Dallas. The Stars average 2.80 GPG and they concede 2.68. Netminder Kari Lehtonen is 12-15 with a 2.54 GAA this year, including 4-4 with a 3.10 GAA at home. Dallas has been much better at home than on the road, but note that the Stars come into this one having lost seven straight, averaging only 2.10 goals in those games. I’ll point out as well that Vancouver is still 10-8 (+6.1 units) this year after playing three consecutive road games, while Dallas is a poor 4-8 (-6.4 units) this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. The Canucks play with the added motivation of “spoiler” here as they look to add to the Stars’ playoff issues with another upset. And while the upset isn’t out of the question here, in a contest which I envision being decided late (or in extra time), I’m going to lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Play on the Canucks on the puck line. Good luck…Larry |
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03-24-18 | Blackhawks v. Islanders -125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the New York Islanders (7:00 EST). Chicago comes to Long Island off a disheartening 5-2 home loss to Vancouver, while New York is off a 7-6 home setback to Tampa Bay. The Blackhawks come into this one having gone just 13-24 on the road, averaging 2.76 GPG and conceding 3.51 in those contests. Forsberg is expected to get the start in net tonight and he’s 9-19 with a 3.06 GAA on the year, including only 5-11 with a 3.63 GAA on the road. The Isles are 17-19 at home, averaging 3.53 GPG and conceding 3.78 in those games. Jaroslav Halak will get the call here and he’s 18-35 with a 3.27 GAA, including 11-15 with a 3.35 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that Chicago is just 5-10 (-5.4 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses, while New York is a solid 4-1 (+3.7 units) this season after playing three consecutive home games. Both teams have been horrible this year, but the Blackhawks have been an unmitigated disaster on the road. All things considered, I do definitely feel this is a fair price. Play on New York. Good luck…Larry |
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03-23-18 | Canadiens v. Sabres +101 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Buffalo Sabres (7:00 EST). The Habs enter off a 5-3 loss to the Pens on the road, while the Sabres come in off a 4-1 home loss to Arizona. Montreal starts Carey Price and Buffalo counters with either Chad Johnson or Linus Ullmark. Note that Montreal is just 9-28 on the road, averaging 2.19 goals and conceding 3.59 in those contests. Price gave up five goals last time out and he’s now 15-29 with a 3.03 GAA on the year, including only 4-17 with a 3.45 GAA on the road. Buffalo is 11-27 at home, averaging 2.26 goals and conceding 3.26 in those contests. Johnson is 8-15 with a 3.30 GAA, while Uilmark is 1-1 with a 2.40 GAA. I think home ice is the difference here between these two cellar dwellers. Ultimately I expect Price’s road struggles to continue and I look for whoever gets the start in Buffalo to do just enough to help secure the victory. Great price, play on the Sabres. Good luck…Larry |
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03-22-18 | Oilers -113 v. Senators | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Edmonton Oilers (7:35 EST). Edmonton has won three of its last five games after a victory over Carolina last time out. This is the end of a four-game trip for the Oilers and I think they’ll build off their latest 7-3 win over the Hurricanes and end it on a high-note. Note that all seven goals in the Oilers’ most recent victory came from seven different players. More than anything though I’m basing this selection on the suddenly improved play of Edmonton net minder CamTalbot, who has now won five of his last six games, allowing just 11 goals in that span. The Senators won three straight, but they come into this one having lost their last two, most recently getting smoked 7-2 at home to Florida. Goaltender Craig Anderson is 21-21-6 and he’d let in all seven goals last time out. I’ll point out as well that Edmonton has done decently in this spot of late by going 7-3 in its last ten road games against teams with a losing home record, while Ottawa is a dismal 9-24 in its last 33 against teams with losing records. Ottawa is dealing with significant injury issues right now (Stone) and I look for the visitors to take advantage. All things considered, I think this is a great price. Play on Edmonton. Good luck…Larry |
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03-21-18 | Coyotes v. Sabres -120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* Situational Stunner on the Buffalo Sabres (7:00 EST). The Coyotes look poised for a letdown here after a 5-2 home win over the Flames, while the Sabres will be hungry for a victory after a humbling 4-0 home defeat to the Predators. Arizona averages just 2.40 GPG and it concedes 3.13. The Coyotes are only 9-24 on the road and have averaged only 2.39 goals in those contests, while conceding 3.42. Netminder Antti Raanta is 16-22 on the year with a 2.41 GAA, including 6-8 with a 2.70 GAA on the road. Buffalo averages 2.38 GPG and it concedes 3.25. The Sabres are just 11-26 at home, averaging 2.30 goals and conceding 3.24 in those contests. Goaltender Chad Johnson is 8-14 with a 3.27 GAA. I’ll point out though that the Coyotes are a terrible 13-38 in their last 51 after allowing two goals or less in their previous contest, while the Sabres are 6-0 in their last six following a loss by three or more goals. This is a tough road trip for the Coyotes. Both teams have been playing a bit better of late, but I think the conditions favor the home side. And there’s no question that the price is right as well. Play on Buffalo. Good luck…Larry |
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03-20-18 | Stars v. Capitals -144 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Washington Capitals (7:00 EST). Dallas comes to the nation’s capital off a 4-2 road loss in Winnipeg, while Washington most recently fell 6-3 in Philadelphia. Dallas is 14-22 on the road, averaging 2.50 goals and conceding 2.92 in those contests. Kari Lehtonen gave up three goals on 20 shots in the latest loss and he’s now 12-13 with a 2.46 GAA. Washington is 25-11 at home, averaging 3.33 goals and conceding 2.42 in those contests. Braden Holtby had the last game off, but he’s back in net here and looking to improve upon his 30-19, 3.03 GAA season record, including a solid 19-8, 2.36 GAA mark at home. I’ll point out that Dallas is just 8-20 in its last 28 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Washington is 16-5 in its last 21 after allowing five goals or more in its previous outing. The Stars have struggled on the road this year and now they face perhaps the best home team in the entire league, one which has its No. 1 goaltender back in net and which is also out to atone for a lacklustre performance in its previous outing. All things considered, I feel this price could in fact be a lot larger, swinging the value onto the home side. Lay the price, play on the Capitals. Good luck…Larry |
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03-19-18 | Panthers -140 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Florida Panthers (7:30 EST). Florida comes to town angry off a 4-2 home loss to Edmonton, while Montreal enters off another humbling 4-0 defeat to Toronto. The Panthers have been better at home than on the road, but I think they’ll bounce back after their latest defeat. Overall Florida averages 3.00 GPG and it concedes 3.09. Goaltender Roberto Luongo is 14-11 with a 2.63 GAA, including 4-6 with a 2.52 GAA on the road. Now five points out of the eighth spot in the East, clearly Florida can ill afford to “look past” this golden opportunity this evening. Montreal averages 2.50 GPG and it concedes 3.11. Netminder Antti Niemi is just 5-11 with a 3.26 GAA this year and only 1-5 with a 3.03 GAA lifetime against Florida. I’ll point out as well that the Panthers are 14-3 in their last 17 against teams with losing records (also 9-2 in their last 11 against Eastern Conference opponents), while Montreal is just 20-45 in its last 65 against clubs with winning records (and only 6-21 in its last 27 against the Eastern Conference.) Montreal has nothing to play for and I don’t think the motivation of “spoiler” comes into play here whatsoever. Florida however is desperate and I expect it to play like that tonight. All things considered I do indeed feel this is a great price. Play on the Panthers. Good luck…Larry |
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03-18-18 | Hurricanes v. Islanders -109 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the New York Islanders (5:00 EST). Carolina is off a disheartening 4-2 loss at home to Philadelphia just last night and suffice it to say, I’m expecting another letdown here as well. The Isles return home off a 6-3 road loss in the nation’s capital. Carolina is a terrible 14-21 on the road, averaging 2.74 goals in those games and conceding 3.29. Goaltender Scott Darling is 11-24 with a 3.08 GAA this year, including only 5-15 with a 3.16 GAA on the road. Note that over their last 13 games the Canes have allowed an average of 3.76 goals. New York is 16-17 at home, averaging 3.45 goals and conceding 3.76 in those contests. Jaroslav Halak is 18-29 with a 3.26 GAA, including 11-13 with a 3.34 GAA at home. I’ll point out that Carolina has done terribly in this spot all year for bettors by going just 15-23 (-10.1 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while New York has done decently in this position by going 13-9 (+5.2 units) this season following a divisional contest. The Isles will look to take advantage of a struggling and tired Carolina team. This one has blowout written all over it and in my professional opinion, it represents the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Islanders. Good luck…Larry |
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03-17-18 | Devils v. Kings -148 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -148 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* NHL Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the LA Kings (4:05 EST). New Jersey comes in off a highly satisfying 8-3 road win at Las Vegas, while LA enters off a 4-1 home victory over Detroit. The Devils are expected to send Keith Kinkaid to the net, while the home side will counter with Jonathan Quick. New Jersey is 18-17 on the road, averaging 3.06 GPG and conceding 3.09 in those contests. Kinkaid is 18-11 with a 2.95 GAA overall and 11-8 with a 3.15 GAA on the road. LA is 19-16 at home, averaging 2.89 goals and conceding 2.43 in those games. Quick stopped 20 of 21 shots in the win over the Wings to improve to 28-27 with a 2.41 GAA overall this season, including 14-14 with a 2.27 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that New Jersey is just 24-31 (-5.6 units) in its last 55 after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while LA is 19-14 (+6.3 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 14-9 (+3.7 units) after scoring four goals or more in its previous game. I think the Devils come out flat here after they avenged an earlier loss to Vegas, while LA builds off its latest home victory and finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-16-18 | Stars -138 v. Senators | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -138 | 24 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* NHL Las Vegas Insider is on the Dallas Stars (7:35 EST). Dallas comes in off a 6-5 shootout loss to Toronto on the road, while the Sens enter off a 7-4 road win over Tampa Bay (its second straight road victory.) Suffice it to say, I think this sets up as a classic letdown spot for Ottawa as it returns home. The Stars average 2.83 GPG and they concede 2.63. Goaltender Kari Lehtonen gave up five goals on 33 shots to the Leafs to fall to 12-12 with a 2.42 GAA this season, including 8-9 with a 2.13 GAA on the road. Dallas has been struggling offensively of late, so despite giving up five goals and losing in the shootout, the five goals it posted in defeat was still significant. Ottawa averages 2.77 GPG and it concedes 3.38. Craig Anderson gets the call in net and he’s 20-26 with a 3.24 GAA this year, including just 12-15 with a 3.34 GAA at home. I’m not reading too much into a couple of victories in a row for the Senators. Ottawa is a horrible team, especially at home. The Stars come in having lost three straight and they’ll be desperate to break the slide. Note that Dallas is already 3-0 (+3 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses. And that’s bad new for the Senators, who are just 7-15 (-6.4 units) this year after scoring four or more goals in their previous contest. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Stars. Good luck…Larry |
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03-15-18 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers -115 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Philadelphia Flyers (7:00 EST). Columbus comes in off a 5-2 home victory over Montreal, while Philadelphia will be eager to return to form after a 3-2 loss at home to Vegas. The Blue Jackets are just 14-20 on the road this year, averaging 2.65 goals in those contests and conceding 3.12. Sergei Bobrovsky earned the win over Montreal for Columbus and he’s now 30-26 with a 2.42 GAA overall and 13-15 with a 2.69 GAA on the road. The Flyers are 17-18 at home, averaging 2.83 goals in those games and allowing 2.86. Petr Mrazek took the fall against the Golden Knights to move to 12-15 with a 2.88 GAA overall and 3-7 with a 2.98 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that Columbus is already just 7-9 (-2.8 units) this season after a win by two goals or more, while Philadelphia is still 17-15 (+3.5 units) against teams with winning records. Desperation breeds motivation (the Flyers are just 1-6 in their last seven), while winning leads to complacency (the Blue Jackets have won five straight.) I’m banking on the Flyers finding a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
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03-14-18 | Penguins v. Rangers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Situational Stunner is on the under Penguins/Rangers (8:00 EST). Pittsburgh comes in off a 3-1 home victory over Dallas, while New York cruised to a 6-3 home win over Carolina in its most recent action. Pittsburgh is just 13-21 on the road though, averaging 2.89 GPG in those contests, while conceding 3.29. Casey DeSmith stopped 17 of 18 shots in the win over the Stars to improve to 4-4 with a 2.44 GAA this year. New York is 19-17 at home this season, averaging 2.97 GPG in those contests, while conceding 2.92. Henrik Lundqvist is scheduled to get the start between the pipes and he’s 25-29 with a 2.92 GAA, including 16-12 with a 2.81 GAA at home. I’ll point out that Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in five of its last seven following a non-conference game, while New York has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of ten after playing to three or more consecutive overs. I like Pittsburgh to duplicate its strong defensive performance from last time out and while the Rangers have been putting the puck in the net a prodigious rate of late, the trends above suggest a return to the norm is in the cards tonight. I think this one has “goaltenders battle” written all over it, play on the under. Good luck…Larry |
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03-13-18 | Stars -151 v. Canadiens | 2-4 | Loss | -151 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Dallas Stars (7:30 EST). Dallas will be eager to return to the winners circle after a 3-1 loss to the Pens on the road in it last game. And here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as the Habs return home off a 5-2 loss in Columbus just last night. Dallas is 14-18 on the road, averaging 2.47 GPG in those contests, while conceding 2.78. Goaltender Kari Lehtonen though is 12-10 with a 2.23 GAA this season, including going 8-7 with a 1.83 GAA on the road. Montreal is 16-18 at home, averaging 2.79 goals and conceding 2.69 in those contests. Netminder Antti Niemi is 4-8 with a 2.78 GAA on the year, including 2-5 with a 2.46 GAA at home. I’ll point that Dallas has rebounded well in this spot all year by going 14-7 (+5.8 units) after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Montreal has struggled in this position by going a horrible 12-30 (-19.4 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. I’m giving Dallas the big nod in net in this particular goalie matchup and that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in favor of the visitors in my opinion. Lay the price with confidence, play on the Stars. Good luck…Larry |
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03-12-18 | Hurricanes -140 v. Rangers | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Carolina Hurricanes (7:05 EST). Carolina comes to town off a momentum building 3-2 road win in Chicago, while the Rangers enter off another deflating 4-3 shootout loss in Florida. Carolina averages 2.62 GPG and it concedes 2.99. Goaltender Cam Ward is 19-15 with a 2.70 GAA and while he’s just 13-20 against the Rangers lifetime, he does own a solid 2.59 GAA in those contests. The Rangers average 2.78 GPG and they concede 3.13. Goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is only 25-28 with a 2.92 GAA this year. I’ll point out though that Carolina has done well in this spot for bettors all year by going 14-9 (+1.7 units) against clubs with losing records, while New York is a poor 5-7 (-1.9 units) this season after three or more consecutive losses. I’m calling the goaltenders a wash, but Carolina’s momentum from its latest victory propels it to another solid victory in my opinion. New York’s spiral down the proverbial crapper continues and all things considered, this is indeed a very fair price. Play on Carolina. Good luck…Larry |
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03-11-18 | Stars v. Penguins -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (6:30 EST). Dallas held on for a 2-1 home win over the Ducks in its most recent action, while Pittsburgh enters off a 5-2 road loss in Toronto just last night. Dallas has gone 14-17 on the road this year and it’s averaged 2.52 goals in those contests, while conceding 2.77. Goaltender Kari Lehtnonen stopped 26 of 27 in the Stars’ most recent victory. Note that he’s 8-6 with a 1.81 GAA on the road thus far. Pittsburgh is 25-9 at home, averaging 3.63 goals in those contests, while conceding 2.74. Casey DeSmith will get the call in net tonight and he’s 3-4 with a 2.73 GAA in his rookie year, including going 2-2 with a solid 2.22 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that Dallas is a sub-par 6-7 (-3.9 units) in its last 13 against teams with winning records, while Pittsburgh is 11-2 (+9 units) already this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. Yes the Penguins are playing on no rest, but I think they’re going to bounce back on home ice. Pittsburgh went down early last night and it seemed to “check out” early in anticipation of tonight’s game. I think it’ll bounce back here though and and come in focused on the task at hand. When you add it all up, it makes Pittsburgh well worth the price of admission in this matchup. Good luck…Larry |
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03-10-18 | Blues v. Kings -150 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -150 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Kings (4:00 EST). The 35-37-5 St. Louis Blues are in LA to take on the 37-25-5 Kings on Saturday and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the home side. St. Louis enters off a 2-0 loss in San Jose on Thursday night, while LA posted a 3-1 victory over the Capitals in its latest action. So far these teams have split a pair of meetings this year. The Blues average only 2.6 GPG, while conceding 2.7. Jake Allen has a 19-20-2, 2.79 GAA, while Carter Hutton owns a 2.02 GAA. The Kings average 2.9 GPG and they concede just 2.5. Goaltender Jon Quick is 26-24-2 with a 2.44 GAA. I’ll point out as well that St. Louis is 0-9 in its last nine against clubs with winning records, while LA is 4-0 in its last four against teams with losing records. The Blues have in fact lost nine of their last ten, averaging only 1.4 goals in that span. And that spells doom facing the defensive minded Kings in my opinion, as they’ve been particularly stingy of late by conceding two goals or fewer in four of their last five games. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Great value, play on LA. Good luck…Larry |
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03-09-18 | Flames -150 v. Senators | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Calgary Flames (7:35 EST). Calgary comes in off a 5-1 road win over the Sabres, while Ottawa comes in off a 4-3 shootout loss to the Bufflao just last night. The Flames’ most recent victory snapped a three-game slide and it has the team trending in the correct direction again. Calgary has in fact been better on the road than at home this year, going 19-16 and averaging 2.91 goals, while conceding 2.69 in those contests. The Flames are splitting time in goal right now between David Rittich and Jon Gillies. The Sens average 3.16 GPG at home, but unfortunately they concede 3.50 in those contests. Mike Condon gets the call in net for the home side tonight. I’ll point out that Calgary has performed very well in this spot for bettors for quite some time by going 11-3 in its last 14 road games against a team with a losing home record, while Ottawa is just 5-13 in its last 18 against the Western Conference. I like a rested and focused Calgary team to take advantage of this tired and downtrodden Ottawa side. Lay the price with confidence. Good luck…Larry |
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03-08-18 | Islanders v. Oilers -141 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Edmonton Oilers (9:05 EST). The 29-29-9 New York Islanders are in Edmonton to take on the 28-34-4 Oilers on Thursday and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the hungry home side. The Isles come in completely discombobulated after losing seven straight, most recently falling in Vancouver. The Oilers could care less about New York’s issues though, as they have plenty of their own. They won’t be taking anything for granted here either after breaking a three-game skid with an OT win over Arizona on Monday. The Islanders have to be feeling extra dejected after letting a two-goal lead evaporate in the 4-3 OT loss at Vancouver on Monday. Let’s face it, neither team has lived up to expectations whatsoever this year though. Each has more questions than answers right now as well. But from a scheduling stand point, this one highly favors Edmonton. The Oilers have a tough one against the Wild up next on Saturday night, while this is the third game of a four-game road trip for the Isles, who have two nights off before their finale in Calgary on Sunday. In my opinion, all of the situational factors listed above make the Oilers well worth the price of admission in this matchup. Good luck…Larry |
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03-07-18 | Penguins v. Flyers +101 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Philadelphia Flyers (8:00 EST). The 38-25-2-2 Pittsburgh Penguins are in Philadelphia to take on the desperate 34-21-5-6 Flyers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Pittsburgh comes in content and tired after back-to-back OT victories, most recently scoring the 4-3 win over Calgary on Monday. The Penguins average 3.24 GPG and they concede 3.00. Goaltender Tristan Jarry is 12-5-2 with a 2.69 GAA. Philadelphia sits just one game behind the Penguins after three straight losses. Goaltender Petr Mrazek is 11-9-4 with a 2.90 GAA. The Flyers come into this one averaging 2.95 GPG and conceding 2.83. Pittsburgh has two nights off before a prime time matchup on Saturday night in Toronto and I think it not only gets caught a little “flat footed” here after the back to back OT wins, but that it also gets caught looking ahead. I’m banking on the home side risking life and limb today getting into shooting and passing lanes as it finally gets back into the winners circle. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Good luck…Larry |
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03-06-18 | Jets -145 v. Rangers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Winnipeg Jets (7:00 EST). Winnipeg comes in off a gritty 3-2 road win over Carolina, while the Rangers enter off a 3-2 road victory over Edmonton. The Jets are 15-17 on the road, averaging 2.84 goals and conceding 2.78 in those contests. Overall Winnipeg averages 3.35 GPG and it allows 2.66. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 34-18 with a 2.40 GAA, including 11-11 with a 2.48 GAA on the road. The Rangers average 2.97 goals and allow 2.81 at home this season. Overall New York averages 2.82 GPG and it concedes 3.11. Goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is 16-11 with a 2.83 GAA on the year. I’ll point out though that the Jets are 8-2 in their last ten against teams with losing records and 30-14 in their last 44 when playing on one days rest, while the Rangers are just 12-19 (-5.5 units) this year against clubs with winning records. After three straight road wins, all signs point to a classic letdown for the overachieving Rangers. Winnipeg is fighting for playoff positioning and I expect it to take advantage in The Big Apple. Lay the price, play on the Jets. Good luck…Larry |
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03-05-18 | Coyotes v. Oilers -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* PUCK-LINE WAGER OF THE MONTH on the Edmonton Oilers (9:05 EST). I believe the conditions are right for a lop-sided home victory tonight. Arizona comes to town off a 2-1 home win over Ottawa (I had the Coyotes in that one), while the Oilers check in off a 3-2 home loss to the Rangers. The Coyotes have won seven of their last nine, but they still have the fewest points in the league. Regression seems imminent and suffice it to say, I expect that decline to start this evening. Arizona averages 2.40 GPG on the road and it concedes 3.43. Goaltender Antti Raanta is 15-21 with a 2.43 GAA overall and 6-8 with a 2.70 GAA on the road. The Oilers come in desperate here as they’ve lost three straight. So far Edmonton is 13-19 at home this year, averaging 2.78 goals and conceding 3.53 in those contests. Goaltender Cam Talbot is 22-28 with a 3.12 GAA this year, including 13-14 with a 3.22 GAA at home. I think it’s significant to note though that Arizona is just 4-15 (-10.9 units) against the division this year, while the Oilers are 12-8 (+4.8 units) in the same position. Edmonton is under the microscope on home ice tonight and I look for the team to respond in a big way. Great value here in my opinion. Play on Edmonton the puck-line. Good luck…Larry |
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03-04-18 | Blue Jackets v. Sharks -150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -150 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the San Jose Sharks (9:00 EST). The 32-28-5 Columbus Blue Jackets are in San Jose to take on the 35-21-9 Sharks on Sunday and for a number of different reasons, I absolutely believe that the home side is worth the price of admission in this spot. Columbus enters off a 4-2 road loss to the Ducks, while San Jose cruised to a 7-2 win against Chicago in its latest action. And if recent history is any precedence, then the home side has to be loving its chances here as it would take the first meeting of the season between the clubs 3-1. The Blue Jackets’ achilles heel is on the offensive side of the puck, averaging just 2.6 GPG, ranked 29th in the league. Columbus is stout defensively by conceding 2.8 GPG, as goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is 27-21-5 with a 2.45 GAA. San Jose averages 2.9 GPG and it concedes 2.7. Netminder Martin Jones is 21-16-6 with a 2.50 GAA thus far. Note that Columbus is just 1-4 in its last five on the road, while San Jose is a perfect 4-0 in its last four in front of the home town crowd. The Sharks have been particularly potent offensively of late, averaging 4.2 GPG over their last ten home games. Columbus comes in concluding its Western swing, playing for a third time in four nights. This line could easily be a lot higher in my opinion, great value on the Sharks. Good luck…Larry |
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03-03-18 | Senators v. Coyotes -130 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Arizona Coyotes (8:00 EST). I base my picks on many different things and plain old “common sense” is one of them. No need to go into great detail for this one. Ottawa is a horrible team, which has done tremendously poor on the road. The Senators though come in off a 5-4 win at Las Vegas just last night and suffice it to say, there’s no question that this one sets up as a classic “letdown” spot for the visitors this evening. Arizona has also been a complete disaster overall this year, but the Coyotes come in playing their best hockey of the entire season with seven wins in their last ten outings, including a 5-3 victory over Minnesota in their most recent. And with an extended road trip through Canada starting on Monday, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side as well. All things considered, I feel this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Arizona. Good luck…Larry |
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03-02-18 | Canadiens v. Islanders -134 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -134 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the New York Islanders (7:05 EST). This is the second game of a home and home set between the clubs. The Habs took Game 1 at home 3-1 on Wednesday (I actually had Montreal in that one.) But with the shift in venue, I like the struggling Islanders to get some immediate payback tonight. Note that Montreal is 8-21 on the road, averaging 2.17 goals and conceding 3.48 in those contests. Goaltender Antti Niemi is now 4-8 with a 3.53 GAA on the year, including just 1-6 with a 4.43 GAA on the road. New York is 16-15 at home, averaging 3.48 GPG and conceding 3.58 in those games. Netminder Jaroslav Halak is 18-26 with a 3.18 GAA, including 11-12 with a 3.29 GAA at home. Christopher Gibson could be in net for the home side, and he was 18-11-1 with a 2.31 GAA with the Bridgeport Sound Tigers this year. I’ll point out though that Montreal is just 5-12 in its last 17 when playing one days worth of rest, while New York is 35-16 in its last 51 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. I think New York is the much “hungrier” team in this matchup and I look for it to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
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03-01-18 | Penguins v. Bruins -128 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Boston Bruins (7:00 EST). Pittsburgh comes to town off a 3-2 home loss to New Jersey, while Boston enters off a 4-3 OT victory at home over Carolina. Pittsburgh’s achilles heel this year has clearly been its play on the road (just 13-19 away from friendly confines), where it’s averaged 2.81 GPG and conceded 3.13. Matt Murray is out with a concussion, meaning we’re going to see either Casey DeSmith, who gave up three goals on 38 shots in the Penguins setback to the Devils (note that he’s 1-2 with a 2.48 GAA on the road), or Tristan Jarry, who is 4-4 with a 2.35 GAA on the road. Boston’s strength this season has been its play at home where it’s gone 20-11 while averaging 3.26 GPG and conceding just 2.39 (No. 1 in the league.) Netminder Tuukka Rask is 24-15 with a 2.23 GAA overall on the year, including 16-7 with a 1.99 GAA at home. I think it’s significant to note as well that Pittsburgh is 0-4 in its last four trips to Boston, while the Bruins are 13-3 in their last 16 when playing on one days rest. The Penguins have struggled on the road all year and they’re without their No. 1 goaltender for this one. After winning six straight, Pittsburgh has now dropped two in a row and I predict that slide to continue for at least one more game. In my professional opinion, this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Boston. Good luck…Larry |
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02-28-18 | Islanders v. Canadiens -107 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Montreal Canadiens (7:00 EST). This is the first game of a home and home set and as such, I’m expecting the struggling home side to risk life and limb to secure a much-needed victory. New York comes to town off a 2-1 loss to New Jersey, while the Habs fell 1-0 at home in a shootout to Philadelphia in their most recent action. The Isles are 13-19 on the road, averaging 3.00 GPG and conceding 3.50 in those contests. Jaroslav Halak is 18-25 with a 3.18 GAA, including just 7-13 with a 3.06 GAA on the road. The Canadiens are 15-18 at home, averaging 2.79 goals and conceding 2.67 in those contests. Goaltender Antti Niemi is 3-8 with a 3.76 GAA this year. Note though that he’s 2-2 with a 2.88 GAA in front of the home town crowd. I’ll also point out that New York is just 1-3 (-2 units) in its last four after three or more consecutive losses, while Montreal is 4-1 in its last five home games against teams with a losing road record. The Habs are competing right now, with back-to-back extra time losses and I believe that hard work will finally translate into a win for the home side. Great price, play on Montreal. Good luck…Larry |
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02-27-18 | Predators v. Jets -119 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -119 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT is on the Winnipeg Jets (8:00 EST). Nashville looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its 4-0 home win over St. Louis. Winnipeg returns home looking to build off its 5-3 road win over Dallas. The Predators enter averaging 3.13 GPG and conceding 2.46. Goaltender Pekka Rinne is 32-13 with a 2.27 GAA overall this season. The Jets average 3.28 GPG and they concede 2.65. Connor Hellebuyck is 32-17 with a 2.32 GAA this year and he’s 22-6 with a 2.18 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that Nashville is a poor 3-5 (-3.1 units) this season after shutting out its opponent in its previous game, while Winnipeg is 8-4 (+2.4 units) in its last 12 against clubs with winning records. The Jets have been better at home than on the road this year, averaging a whopping 3.82 GPG in Winnipeg. I’m going to call the goaltenders a “wash” in this one, but I think the value swings to the Jets at home here. Good luck…Larry |
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02-26-18 | Flyers -119 v. Canadiens | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Philadelphia Flyers (7:35 EST). Philadelphia enters off a 5-3 road win over Ottawa and it’s now won five in a row and nine of its last ten. Montreal has struggled this season and it enters off a disheartening 4-3 home shootout loss to Tampa Bay. The Flyers come into this one averaging 3.02 GPG, while conceding 2.79. Goaltender Petr Mrazek, who stopped 25 of 28 in the win over the Senators, is now 10-10 with a 2.81 GAA, including 8-6 with a 2.71 GAA on the road. Philadelphia is in a dog fight with Pittsburgh and Washington for top spot in the East, with just a single game separating the teams. The Habs average 2.54 GPG and they concede 3.10. Goaltender Antti Niemi fell to 3-8 with a 3.76 GAA. Montreal is arguably the worst team in the league right now and after throwing everything it had against the Lightning in its latest setback, I think a predictable letdown is on deck here as well. Philadelphia though won’t be taking anything for granted as it tries to make up ground among the leaders in the East. All things considered, I feel this is a great price. Good luck…Larry |
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02-25-18 | Sharks v. Wild -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Minnesota Wild (8:05 EST). San Jose enters off a 3-1 road loss in Chicago, while Minnesota comes in off a 4-1 road win at New York. So far the Sharks average just 2.55 GPG, while allowing 2.62 on the road this season (just a 16-17 record away from friendly confines.) Goaltender Martin Jones is 19-21 with a 2.52 GAA this year, including 8-13 with a 2.56 GAA on the road. Note that he’s 2-5 with a 2.49 GAA lifetime against Minnesota. The Wild have gone 20-11 at home and have averaged 3.13 GPG there, while conceding just 2.16. Netminder Devan Dubnyk is 25-16 with a 2.57 GAA overall this year, including 15-8 with a 2.17 GAA at home. Additionally I’ll point out that San Jose is just 2-10 in its last 12 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Minnesota is 8-3 in its last 11 against a team with a winning record. The Sharks offense has stalled of late, scoring just two goals over its last two games. And that doesn’t bode well in my opinion facing a Wild team which has conceded just 2.16 GPG at home this season. Also note that the home team is 20-8 the last 28 in this series. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Great value, play on the Wild. Good luck…Larry |
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02-24-18 | Ducks -145 v. Coyotes | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -145 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* WEST-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Anaheim Ducks (8:00 EST). The 31-20 Anaheim Ducks are at Arizona to take on the 17-33 Coyotes on Saturday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visiting side. Anaheim comes in on top form as it’s won four straight, most recently getting the better of Dallas 2-0 on Wednesday. Goaltender Ryan Miller stopped 41 shots in the impressive performance: “We recognize where the season is at,” Miller assessed. “Our game has been pretty good. We had a couple tough outings on the road and then we kind of got it together. It’s been consistent for the last two weeks.” After winning four straight, the Coyotes came back down to Earth in a 5-2 setback to Calgary on Thursday. Derek Stepan was a bright in the losing cause with his 11th goal of the year. I’ll point out though that Anaheim is 11-5 in its last 16 against teams with losing records, while Arizona is only 9-22 at home this season and just 11-27 in its last 38 against the Pacific division. The Ducks come in firing on all cylinders across the board right now (note that they’ve killed off 19 of their last 20 penalties) and they’ve taken eight of the last nine in this series. No letdown here, as I fully expect Anaheim to take advantage of this favorable matchup. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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02-23-18 | Sharks v. Blackhawks -123 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Chicago Blackhawks (8:35 EST). I base my picks on many different things and “scheduling” and “common sense” are two factors which I always take into account. No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as I believe the Sharks come in “gassed” here after their humbling 7-1 defeat in Nashville last night. Struggling Chicago will look to take advantage of this opportunity and to build off its 3-2 shootout win at home over the Senators. So far the Sharks average 2.90 GPG, while conceding 2.67. Martin Jones is expected between the pipes tonight and he’s so far 19-20 with a 2.53 GAA this season. Chicago averages 2.82 GPG and it concedes 2.85. Netminder Anton Forsberg stopped 32 of 34 shots in the win over Ottawa to improve to 7-15 with a 2.90 GAA this year. The Blackhawks have in fact won two of their last three and I don’t think we have to question their focus or motivation levels this evening. Last night’s loss for San Jose snapped a three-game slide and in my opinion, this sets up as a classic let-down/trap for the visitors. Great value, play on Chicago. Good luck…Larry |
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02-22-18 | Avalanche v. Oilers -127 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 53 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Edmonton Oilers (9:00 EST). The 32-23-4 Colorado Avalanche are in Edmonton to take on the 24-31-4 Oilers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Edmonton will be desperate here as it’s lost seven of its last eight games (all in regulation). The Oilers beat the Avs in Colorado last Thursday, but then promptly came back and lost to Boston on Tuesday. Colorado comes to town off an OT win over Vancouver earlier in the week. The Avs are trying to adjust playing without top defenseman Erik Johnson, who was lost in the loss to Edmonton last week. Colorado managed the 5-4 OT win over Vancouver, but I think it’s going to stumble here in this tough environment against this hungry team. Edmonton looks to take advantage and bounce back from a 3-2 loss to the Bruins. Keep your eyes on Oilers’ star Connor McDavid, who has six goals and 13 points in seven career match ups against Colorado. I look for the “hungrier” team to find a way to get the job done once it’s all said and done. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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02-22-18 | Blue Jackets +106 v. Flyers | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:00 EST). Columbus enters off a 2-1 road win over New Jersey, while the Flyers scored in the final minute of third period against the Habs to force the OT frame and they’d then go on to score the 3-2 victory in their latest action. Columbus averages 2.55 GPG and it concedes 2.73. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 31 shots in this team’s latest win, to improve to 25-24 with a 2.46 GAA on the year. Note that Bobrovsky has routinely been at his best as well whenever he’s faced the Flyers throughout his career, going 9-3 with a 1.81 GAA. Philadelphia averages 3.00 GPG and it concedes 2.82. Alex Lyon was in net for the latest victory, stopping 25 of 27 shots to move to 2-1 with a 2.88 GAA. Petr Mrazek could get the start in net tonight though and he’s gone 1-4 with a 2.79 GAA against the Blue Jackets lifetime. I give Bobrovsky the big nod in net in this matchup and for me, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in favor of the underdogs tonight. Great value, play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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02-20-18 | Blue Jackets -101 v. Devils | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:00 EST). The 29-25-1-4 Columbus Blue Jackets are in New Jersey to take on the 31-20-4-4 Devils on Tuesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Columbus comes in motivated after dropping its third straight, most recently a listless 5-2 setback at home to the Penguins on Sunday. Columbus actually outshot Pittsburgh 37-23, but goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky was uncharacteristically shaky in that one, making 18 saves in the sub-par performance. Bobrovsky is now 24-19-5 with a 2.49 GAA (note that he’s 12-5-1 lifetime against the Devils as well.) The Blue Jackets average 2.56 GPG and allow 2.80. The Devils average 2.98 GPG and they concede 3.00. Goaltender Keith Kinkaid had 40 saves in his team’s most recent win over the Hurricanes. Note that Kincaid is 0-2-0 with a 4.27 GAA against Columbus though, while Eddie Lack is 2-3-0 on the year with a 3.24 GAA, while going 1-3-0 with a 3.68 GAA for his career against the Blue Jackets. Additionally I’ll point out that Columbus is 13-6 (+4.9 units) already this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing, while New Jersey is already a poor 3-5 (-2.7 units) this year after a three-game unbeaten streak. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the Blue Jackets. Good luck…Larry (MLB 2018 REMINDER: After more than 30 years as a professional handicapper, Larry has finished among the “World’s best” in every major North American sport several times. Major League Baseball has been no exception. In fact, over the last three years Ness is ranked as the No. 1 MLB handicapper in the entire World! Note that Larry has banked $35,083 in profits over the last three regular seasons combined (know anyone that’s done better?!) 2017 saw Larry post over +$10,000 units in the regular season and then he’d also go on to go a spectacular 18-8-1 +$8,530 in the playoffs, for a total of $18,538! And now 2018 has the potential to be the BIGGEST season of them all!) |
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02-19-18 | Wild -111 v. Islanders | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Minnesota Wild (1:05 EST). Minnesota enters off a 3-2 shootout loss at home to Anaheim, while New York is off a 3-0 road win over Carolina. The Wild come into this one averaging 2.91 GPG, while conceding 2.83. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 23-15 with a 2.62 GAA this season. The Islanders average 3.28 GPG and they concede 3.55. Netminder Jaroslav Halak is 18-33 with a 3.17 GAA so far this year. The Isles come in off consecutive 3-0 shutout wins over the Rangers and Carolina, but with two nights off before an extended road trip, I believe that the home side suffers a classic letdown in this trap situation. Minnesota though won’t be leaving anything to chance after closing a five game home stand by going 2-3, including dropping the final two. This is the opener of a tough three-game Eastern swing and I believe the Wild catch the Isles at the right place and the right time. I like Dubnyk to get the better of Halak and all things considered, I do indeed feel this is a very fair price. Play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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02-18-18 | Stars v. Sharks -105 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE YEAR is on the San Jose Sharks (8:05 EST). The 34-20-4 Dallas Stars are in San Jose to take on the 31-19-8 Sharks on Sunday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Dallas looks poised for a letdown here as it’s won six of its last seven, most recently getting the better of St. Louis on Friday. San Jose also comes in on a streak having won three of its last four, most recently beating the Canucks on Thursday. After getting smashed 6-0 by Vancouver, the Stars would hold on for dear life in the 2-1 victory over the Blues. Dallas has 173 goals so far on the year and it’s allowed 150 thus far. Goaltenders Kari Lehtonen and Ben Bishop have both played well so far this year. Martin Jones made 43 saves for the Sharks in their 4-1 win over Vancouver. So far San Jose has posted 166 goals and allowed 156. I think it’s important to note that San Jose is fourth on the power-play this year (22.9 percent) and it’s No. 1 on the penalty kill with an 84.5 percent success rate. This is a revenge game for the Sharks, who fell 6-0 to the Stars on December 31st. In fact, Dallas has won four of the last five meetings overall. However note that the home team has won the last four meetings between the clubs. This is an important game of San Jose, which embarks on a tough five game road swing on Tuesday. Dallas has played three straight at home and gone 2-1 in that span, but with tough games upcoming in Anaheim and LA, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way getting caught looking ahead to those difficult contests on the horizon. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on San Jose. Good luck…Larry |
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02-16-18 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the under Blues/Stars (8:30 EST). St. Louis will be eager to return to the winners circle after a 4-3 OT loss to Nashville, while Dallas is also out to atone this evening after a listless 6-0 home setback to the lowly Canucks in its latest action. With both teams looking to “shore things up” on the defensive end tonight after some embarrassing play in their previous outings, I do indeed expect more of a defensive goaltenders battle in this one. St. Louis enters averaging 2.83 GPG, while conceding 2.56. Netminder Jake Allen is 19-18 with a 2.74 GAA on the year, including 9-10 with a 2.81 GAA on the road. Not fantastic numbers, but certainly not horrible either. Note though that Allen has consistently been at his best whenever he’s faced the Stars, going 8-3 with a 2.20 GAA lifetime against them. Dallas comes into this one averaging 3.00 GPG, while conceding just 2.61. The Stars gave up just eight goals during a five-game win streak, but they clearly fell apart in the loss to Vancouver. Goaltender Ben Bishop is expected between the pipes tonight and he’s now 23-18 with a 2.50 GAA, including 17-9 with a 2.18 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in 17 of 29 this year against clubs with winning records, while Dallas has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of five already this year when playing with three or more days of rest. As mentioned off the top, the conditions and the numbers point to a lower-scoring under. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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02-15-18 | Capitals v. Wild -126 | 5-2 | Loss | -126 | 30 h 57 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Minnesota Wild (8:05 EST). The 32-17-7 Washington Capitals are in Minnesota to take on the 31-19-6 Wild and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Washington comes to town with zero momentum, loser of two straight. Conversely Minnesota comes in on top form with two straight wins, over Chicago and the Rangers respectively. Washington may be hungry to break its slide, but it comes to town “gassed,” after consecutive OT losses. The Capitals have been terrible on the defensive end of the ice of late, allowing 20 goals over their last four losses. And that doesn’t bode well facing a Minnesota team which has gone 10-0-3 in its last 13 in front of the home town crowd. The Wild are also ninth in the league in power play conversion, while the Capitals are 18th in goals allowed per game. If this was any other team, Minnesota could be poised for a classic letdown, but I don’t foresee the home side getting caught complacent here with the dangerous Capitals in town. Great price, play on the Wild. Good luck…Larry (MLB REMINDER: After more than 30 years as a professional handicapper, Larry has finished among the “World’s best” in every major North American sport several times. Major League Baseball has been no exception. In fact, over the last three years Ness is ranked as the No. 1 MLB handicapper in the entire World! Note that Larry has banked $35,083 in profits over the last three regular seasons combined (know anyone that’s done better?!) 2017 saw Larry post over +$10,000 units in the regular season and then he’d also go on to go a spectacular 18-8-1 +$8,530 in the playoffs, for a total of $18,538! And now 2018 has the potential to be the BIGGEST season of them all!) |
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02-15-18 | Hurricanes v. Devils -100 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* NHL GAME OF THE WEEK is on the New Jersey Devils (7:05 EST). Carolina comes in off a very satisfying 7-3 home win over LA, while the Devils also enter off a victory, managing a tough 5-4 shootout result on the road over Philadelphia. The Hurricanes average 2.72 GPG and they concedes 2.91. Goaltender Cam Ward stopped 27 of 30 shots in Carolina’s latest win and he’s now 17-10 with a 2.60 GAA. New Jersey averages 2.93 GPG and it concedes 3.04. Netminder Keith Kinkaid stopped 31 of 35 shots in the victory over the Flyers to move him to 11-9 with a 3.31 GAA (note that Kinkaid is 4-2 with a 2.80 GAA at home.) Additionally I’ll point out that this is a spot in which Carolina has been terrible in for a long time, going 14-38 in its last 52 road games against a team with a winning home record, while New Jersey has excelled in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 in its last 11 home games against a team with a losing road record and 7-3 in its last ten following a victory. Note as well that Ward is 12-19 with a 2.60 GAA lifetime against New Jersey, while Kinkaid is 4-1 with a 1.55 GAA in his career against Carolina. I think we’re getting fantastic value on the hungry home side in this matchup. Good luck…Larry (MLB REMINDER: After more than 30 years as a professional handicapper, Larry has finished among the “World’s best” in every major North American sport several times. Major League Baseball has been no exception. In fact, over the last three years Ness is ranked as the No. 1 MLB handicapper in the entire World! Note that Larry has banked $35,083 in profits over the last three regular seasons combined (know anyone that’s done better?!) 2017 saw Larry post over +$10,000 units in the regular season and then he’d also go on to go a spectacular 18-8-1 +$8,530 in the playoffs, for a total of $18,538! And now 2018 has the potential to be the BIGGEST season of them all!) |
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02-13-18 | Blues v. Predators -150 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND is on the Nashville Predators (8:00 EST). Both teams come into this one having split their last four games. St. Louis comes to town off a 4-1 loss to Pittsburgh. Backup goaltender Carter Hutton is expected in net tonight for the visitors. He’s 15-5-1 overall and he’s won five of his last six coming in. It’s true that the Predators had to play to OT in all four of their contests during their recent road swing, but I think they’ll build off their latest 3-2 shootout win over the Habs. Pekka Rinne will get the nod in net for the home side. Rinne had a sizeable win streak snapped in Toronto, before he then got back into the win column in Montreal. I have been a professional handicapper for over 34 years now and I use many different techniques and/or systems when making my selections. Neither team has an advantage from a “scheduling” stand point in my opinion, but there’s no question that this one favors the Preds as far as the “trends” are concerned. As note that St. Louis is 0-7 in its last seven in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation, while Nashville is a near perfect 5-1 (+3.5 units) this year after playing three or more consecutive road games. St. Louis is also 0-6 in its last six trips to Nashville. I give the nod to the Predators in net as well. All of these factors combine to make this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying. Play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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02-12-18 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is the under Lightning/Leafs (7:05 EST). Tampa enters this one off a 4-3 home win over LA, while Toronto comes in off a 6-3 home victory over Ottawa. Two capable goaltenders go head-to-head in this one (Andrei Vasilevskly and Frederik Anderson) and suffice it to say, I believe they’ll be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries. The Lightning average 3.56 GPG and they concede 2.60. Vasilevskly stopped 44 of 47 shots against the Kings and he is now 33-12 with a 2.29 GAA overall, including 15-8 with a 2.08 GAA on the road. The Leafs average 3.21 GPG and they concede 2.77. Anderson stopped 22 of 25 shots against the Senators to improve to 27-19 with a 2.65 GAA overall, including going 14-9 with a 2.63 GAA at home. Despite being a couple of the highest scoring teams in the league (Tampa is in fact the highest scoring club), I’ll point out that the Lightning have seen the total go under the number in three of their last four against division opponents, while Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of seven after playing three consecutive home games this season. I’m expecting an all out contested battle from start to finish between these Eastern Conference heavy weights, as everything points to this one sneaking below the number once it’s all said and done. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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02-11-18 | Flames v. Islanders +102 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the New York Islanders (7:05 EST). The 28-19-9 Calgary Flames are in Long Island to take on the 27-23-6 Islanders on Sunday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Calgary comes in off a 4-3 loss to the Rangers, while New York enters off a 7-6 OT win over Detroit on Friday. The Flames have been “road warriors” all season long, but they looked “gassed” in the third period against the Rangers. Entering that frame with a 3-2 lead they’d end up giving up two goals and eventually succumbed 4-3 in the end. Mike Smith is expected between the pipes tonight and he’s 22-16-6 with a 2.54 GAA thus far. Calgary enters averaging 2.8 GPG and conceding 2.8 as well. New York averages 3.4 GPG, while conceding 3.7. Jaroslav Halak is 17-16-4 with a 3.23 GAA thus far. Of note, rookie Mathew Barzal had five assists in the Isles most recent victory. Additionally I’ll point out that the Flames are already a poor 2-4 (-2.4 units) this season after playing three consecutive home games, while the Islanders are 42-35 (+8.6 units) in their last 77 after allowing four goals or more in their previous contest. This is Calgary’s third game in four nights on the road and suffice it to say, I think this absolutely sets up as a letdown spot after its disappointing setback to the Rangers. Conversely, the struggling Isles won’t be taking anything for granted after their recent stretch of shoddy play. That said, they’ll be encouraged after their latest victory. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Islanders. Good luck…Larry |
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02-10-18 | Avalanche v. Hurricanes -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Carolina Hurricanes (8:00 EST). The 29-20 Colorado Avalanche are in Carolina to take on the Hurricanes on Saturday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Carolina comes in off a 2-1 OT loss to Philadelphia on Tuesday, while Colorado was smashed 6-1 by St. Louis in its latest action. The Avs average 3.2 GPG and concede 2.9. Goaltender Semyon Varlamov owns a 2.89 GAA, while Jon Bernier owns a 2.69 GAA. Carolina plays with revenge here after falling 5-3 to Colorado earlier in the year. The Avs haven’t been playing very well lately though, dropping five of their last seven, still playing without leading scorer Nathan MacKinnon. Carolina averages 2.6 GPG and it concedes 3.00. Carolina is in action against Vancouver on Friday night, but regardless of the outcome in that one, I think the home side is going to find a way to get the job done against this very inconsistent Avs team. Additionally I’ll point out that Colorado is interestingly just 3-10 in its last 13 road games against a team with a losing home record, while Carolina is 5-0 in its last five against a team with a road winning percentage below .400. Colorado has managed only 2.0 GPG over its last seven games without McKinnon in the line-up, which clearly doesn’t bode well facing this Hurricanes team which going into Friday night has given up just ten goals over its last five games. All things considered, a great price, play on Carolina. Good luck…Larry |
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02-09-18 | Penguins v. Stars -105 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Dallas Stars (8:30 EST). The 30-22 Pittsburgh Penguins are in Dallas to take on the 31-19 Stars and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Pittsburgh rallied for a 5-4 win over Vegas on Tuesday, while Dallas comes in off a 4-2 win at Chicago last night. The Penguins enter this one averaging 3.00 GPG and conceding 3.00 GPG as well. Matt Murray owns an 18-12-1 record to go along with a 2.97 GAA. Phil Kessel had a goal and an assist in his teams victory over Vegas. Dallas averages 3.00 GPG and it concedes 2.6. Whoever the Stars decide to go with tonight, I’m giving the home side the big nod in net. Note that Kari Lehtonen owns a 2.22 GAA this year, while Ben Bishop has a 2.44 GAA. Additionally I’ll point out that Pittsburgh is just 7-15 in its last 22 on the road, wile Dallas is 19-8 in its last 27 at home. Dallas is averaging 3.4 GPG over its last ten, which doesn’t bode well for a Pittsburgh team which has allowed 11 goals over its last three. Finally note that the Stars have been particularly sharp on the defensive side of late, allowing only five goals over their last four games. Great price, play on Dallas. Good luck…Larry |
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02-08-18 | Canadiens v. Flyers -140 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Philadelphia Flyers (7:00 EST). The Habs come into this one off a 4-1 home win over Ottawa, while the Flyers enter off a 2-1 road victory in Carolina. Montreal comes into this one averaging 2.58 GPG, while conceding 3.06. Goaltender Carey Price stopped 25 of 26 shots in the victory over the Senators. Price is 15-23 with a 2.92 GAA this season, including just 4-12 with a 3.23 GAA on the road. Philadelphia averages 2.87 GPG and it concedes 2.85. Netminder Brian Elliot stopped 27 of 28 shots in the win over Carolina to move to 20-18 with a 2.71 GAA this year. Note that Elliot is 6-4 with a 2.89 GAA lifetime against the Canadiens as well. Montreal has struggled in many facets of the game this year, but note that it’s had a hell of a time whenever it’s played in Philadelphia the last few seasons, going just 5-16 in its last 21 trips there. The Flyers look to take advantage of that lop-sided trend and to also improve upon their 10-4 record over their last 14 games when playing on just one days rest. Philadelphia remains in a dog-fight for the seventh seed in the East and it absolutely won’t be taking anything for granted here. I’m banking on Elliot outplaying Price as well and all things considered, I do indeed feel this is a very fair price. Play on the Flyers. Good luck…Larry |
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02-07-18 | Oilers v. Kings -123 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Kings (10:30 EST). Edmonton looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its 6-2 home win over Tampa Bay. LA will look to take advantage and to build off its 6-0 home victory over the lowly Coyotes. Edmonton averages 2.78 GPG and it concedes 3.18. Cam Talbot is 19-19 with a 3.18 GAA, including 7-9 with a 3.06 GAA on the road. Note that he’s just 4-7 with a 3.00 GAA lifetime against the Kings as well. LA averages 2.81 GPG and it concedes 2.42. Goaltender Jon Quick is 20-20 with a 2.51 GAA, including 9-10 with a 2.36 GAA at home. Note that Quick is 21-8 with a 1.77 GAA lifetime against the Oilers. Additionally I’ll point out that the Oilers are just 7-17 in their last 24 following a victory, while LA is 7-3 in its last ten home against against a team with a losing road record. The Kings are the No. 2 defensive team in the league and they’ve been particularly tough at home. Edmonton is playing better, but its Achilles Heel all year has been its play on the road. All things considered, I believe this line could in fact be a lot larger. Great value, play on LA. Good luck…Larry |
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02-06-18 | Wild v. Blues -143 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -143 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the St. Louis Blues (8:00 EST). The 28-19-5 Minnesota Wild are in St. Louis to take on the 32-19-3 Blues and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Minnesota enters off a 6-1 loss to Dallas on Saturday, while St. Louis comes in off a 1-0 victory over Buffalo in its most recent action. So far these teams have split a pair of games this year, with the Wild winning the most recent, 2-1 in OT. The Wild average 2.9 GPG and they concede 2.9 as well. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 20-10-3 with a 2.66 GAA. Despite the blowout loss in its last outing, Minnesota has been playing better of late by going 6-2-2 in its last ten. But I still don’t think it’ll be enough here against the Blues at home. St. Louis averages 2.8 GPG and it concedes 2.5. Carter Allen has been fantastic in net, going 14-4-1 with a 1.61 GAA this season, while Jake Allen is 18-15-2 with a 2.72 GAA. I’ll point out as well that Minnesota is just 33-71 in its last 104 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Blues are 5-1 in their last six after scoring two or fewer goals in their previous outing. St. Louis has been particularly tough on the defensive end of the ice of late, allowing just 12 goals over its last eight games. And that doesn’t bode well for Minnesota, which has conceded 16 goals over its last four. Finally note that the Wild are just 10-15 on the road this year, while the Blues have won five of the last six in this series in front of the home town crowd. This line could easily be a lot larger in my professional opinion. Great value, play on St. Louis. Good luck…Larry |
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02-05-18 | Lightning -135 v. Oilers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -135 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Tampa Bay Lightning (9:00 EST). Tampa comes in off a 4-2 road win over Vancouver and it’ll look to close out its eight-game road trip with one last victory. Edmonton comes into this one off a 4-3 home loss to Colorado in OT and I think it’ll struggle against this determined Lighting team. The Lightning have won five of their last six and are now 19-11 on the road. Tampa averages 3.56 GPG and it concedes 2.54. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskly is 15-7 with a 1.96 GAA on the road. Edmonton averages 2.72 GPG and it concedes 3.20. Cam Talbot is 18-19 with a 3.14 GAA on the year, including only 11-10 with a 3.19 GAA at home. So far the Oilers are just 11-15 in Edmonton, averaging 2.65 goals and allowing 3.54 in those contests. Additionally I’ll point out that Tampa is 23-7 in its last 30 when playing on one days rest, while the Oilers are just 20-45 in their last 65 when playing on three or more days rest. For all the reasons listed above, play on Tampa Bay. Good luck…Larry |
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02-03-18 | Blackhawks v. Flames -121 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Calgary Flames (10:00 EST). The 24-20 Chicago Blackhawks are in Calgary to take on the 25-18 Flames and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. It’s all hands on deck for the Flames tonight as they look to break a six-game slide. Calgary has taken points in four of those contests, but it comes in hungry after back-to-back regulation setbacks, most recently to Tampa Bay. The Hawks earned points in three straight contests before falling to the Canucks in their most recent action. The Hawks have looked a bit better of late, but Calgary is clearly the “hungrier” team. Calgary has had leads in each of its last six games (0-4-2), but the bounces simply haven’t gone its way: “We’re going through a tough patch right now; there’s no doubt about it,” forward Matt Stajan assessed yesterday. “Adversity has hit. We have to stick together in these walls and get through this.” The Hawks lost 4-3 in OT to Calgary already this year, but note that Chicago is a poor 8-15 (-8.6 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Calgary is already 8-4 (+3.7 units) this year following a loss by two goals or more. Home ice advantage can’t be overlooked as a very real factor working in favor of the Flames today either. Great value on the desperate home side, play on Calgary. Good luck…Larry |
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02-02-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -146 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:00 EST). Both teams come in off victories, with the Capitals beating the Flyers 5-3, while the Pens got the better of the Sharks 5-2 in their latest action. Washington averages 3.04 GPG and it concedes 2.80. Braden Holtby is 26-11 with a 2.67 GAA on the year. For his career Holtby is 8-10 with a 2.69 GAA against Pittsburgh. The Capitals have struggled on the road this season though, going 11-12 away from friendly confines, to go along with averaging 2.91 GPG and conceding 3.39 in those contests. Pittsburgh averages 2.96 GPG and it concedes 2.96 as well. The Pens though are 18-8 at home, averaging 3.38 GPG and conceding just 2.69. Goaltender Matt Murray saved 40 of 42 shots he faced to move to 16-13- with a 2.90 GAA in the victory over San Jose. Note that Murray is a strong 10-5 with a 2.61 GAA at home this season. Additionally I’ll point out that the Capitals are just 2-5 in their last seven road games agains a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Penguins are 41-13 in their last 54 home games against a team with a losing road record. Washington is just 2-7 in its last nine trips to Pittsburgh and it faces an uphill battle here as well. I like the Pens to continue their hot play at home and I expect the Capitals’ “road woes” to continue. Lay the price, play on the Penguins. Good luck…Larry |
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02-01-18 | Ducks v. Senators +145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 145 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Ottawa Senators (7:05 EST). Anaheim comes in off a very satisfying 3-1 road in over Boston in its first game back from the All Star game, while the Sens fell 2-1 to the Canes in their first outing of the second half. The Ducks average just 2.76 GPG, while they concede 2.79. John Gibson is questionable for this game and if he does play, he brings his pedestrian 18-19, 2.63 GAA record to the table. If Ryan Miller gets the nod, note that he’s 3-3 with a 2.44 GAA on the road this season. Overall Anaheim is just 11-14 on the road, averaging 2.67 GPG and conceding 2.64 away from friendly confines. The Senators average 2.50 GPG and concede 3.40. Goaltender Craig Anderson gave up two goals on 39 shots in the loss to Carolina, dropping him to 12-22 with a 3.17 GAA. The Ducks have three more tough road match ups ahead of them, including at Montreal on Saturday night, followed by an outing in Toronto on Monday. There’s no question that in some small way this sets up as a let down/look ahead spot for the surging Ducks. But the Senators don’t have the same luxury, as the come in desperate here after losing five of their last six. Ottawa is desperate and this has essentially become a “must win” for it. Now throw in the fact that the Sens also play with revenge after falling 3-0 in Anaheim in early December and all signs do indeed point to a win for the hungry home side. Good luck…Larry |
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01-31-18 | Sharks v. Red Wings -107 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Detroit Red Wings (8:05 EST). I base my picks on many different things, and “scheduling” is one of them. San Jose played and lost 5-2 in Pittsburgh just last night. Surely the Sharks would love to get back into the win column right away, but they come in flat and tired against a Red Wings team looking to make some noise as it looks to get off on “the right foot” to open the second half. Detroit’s latest action saw it fall 5-1 at home to Chicago just before the All Star Game. San Jose is now 12-13 on the road, averaging 2.79 GPG away from friendly confines and conceding 2.83. Martin Jones is expected between the pipes for the visitors tonight and he’s 5-9 with a 2.65 GAA on the road this season. Detroit has gone a poor 10-17 at home this year, averaging 2.63 GPG and conceding 3.07. Jimmy Howard is in net tonight for the home side and he’s 10-14 with a 2.85 GAA in Detroit this year. But San Jose is dealing with injury issues and it come in “dog tired” after falling at the defending champs last night. It’s a great spot for the Wings to take advantage of and all things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Sharks. Good luck…Larry |
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01-30-18 | Avalanche -105 v. Canucks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Colorado Avalanche (10:00 EST). The 27-18-3 Colorado Avalanche are in Vancouver to take on the 19-24-6 Canucks and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the visitors. The Avs fell 3-1 to St. Louis in their latest action. Vancouver also lost in its final game before the break, a listless 4-0 setback to lowly Buffalo. Colorado has in fact now lost two straight (after winning ten straight.) Jonathan Bernier made 31 saves in the latest losing effort. On the year the Avs average 3.3 GPG, while conceding 2.9. Vancouver averages 2.6 GPG and it concedes 3.2. Goaltender Jacob Markstrom is 13-16-15 with a 2.74 GAA this year. I think it’s important to note though that this is a spot in which the Avs have done quite well in of late, going 6-2 in their last eight when playing with three or more days rest, while Vancouver is just 2-5 in its last seven in the same position. The Canucks have won just eight of their last 36 in front of the home town crowd and lack the scoring depth to keep pace with the rested Avs in my opinion. All things considered, I feel this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Colorado. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-18 | Blue Jackets -120 v. Coyotes | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* WEEKLY WIPEOUT WINNER is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (9:05 EST). Columbus looks to rebound here after falling 6-3 in Vegas on Tuesday. The Blue Jackets average just 2.6 GPG this year, but they make up for it on the defensive end of the ice, anchored by spectacular goaltending from Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 21-15-3 overall to go along with a 2.50 GAA. After a couple of shaky outings, Bobrovsky will be eager to return to form against the Coyotes, who look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after their 3-2 OT win over the Isles on Monday (their second straight victory.) Antti Raanta stopped 32 of 34 shots in that one and he’s now 8-12-5 with a 2.58 GAA on the season. I’ll point out though that Columbus is already 11-4 (+5.4 units) this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Arizona is a horrible 1-8 (-6.9 units) this year when playing with two days rest. I give the Blue Jackets the big nod in net in this one and in my opinion, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in their favor tonight. Great price here, play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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01-23-18 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:00 EST). Carolina enters off a 5-1 home loss to Las Vegas and I think it’s primed for another letdown here. Pittsburgh also enters off a loss, a tough 2-1 road setback in San Jose. The Hurricanes are just 11-15 on the road now, averaging 2.73 GPG away from friendly confines, while conceding 3.08. Overall Carolina averages 2.70 GPG and it concedes 3.04. Goaltender Cam Ward is 12-7 with a 2.75 GAA overall this season. Pittsburgh is 15-8 at home this year, averaging 3.22 GPG in front of the one town crowd, while conceding 2.78. Goaltender Casey DeSmith gave up two goals on 36 shots in his team’s latest setback. I’ll point out though that Carolina is interestingly just 5-14 in its last 19 following a loss of three goals or more, while Pittsburgh is 39-13 in its last 52 home games against clubs with losing road records. Note that this is a revenge game for the Pens after they fell 4-0 to Carolina just two weeks ago. In my professional opinion, this number could easily be a lot larger. Play on Pittsburgh. Good luck…Larry |
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01-22-18 | Islanders -116 v. Coyotes | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -116 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the New York Islanders (9:00 EST). The 24-20-4 New York Islanders are in Arizona to take on the 11-28-9 Coyotes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the high-scoring visiting side. The Coyotes look poised for a letdown here after a rare road win over St. Louis. a victory which snapped a five-game slide. The Isles come in with a ton of momentum though after they smashed the Hawks 7-3 in Chicago on Saturday. Anthony Beauvillier had two power-play goals in that one and he now has seven goals in his last nine games. The Coyotes got two goals from Christian Dvorak to beat the Blues 5-2 this weekend. Arizona though is tied with Buffalo for last in the league with only 31 points overall. Additionally I’ll point out that Arizona is just 6-20 in its last 26 following a victory, while New York is 5-2 in its last seven against the Pacific Division. I think this is a great price as I believe the Coyotes return to mediocrity here against this high-powered Isles’ offense. Play on New York. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-18 | Sharks v. Ducks -146 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -146 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Anaheim Ducks (9:05 EST). San Jose held on for a very satisfying 2-1 win at home over Pittsburgh just last night and suffice it to say, I believe all signs point to a classic letdown for the Sharks here. Anaheim comes in with momentum after its most recent 2-1 win over the Kings. San Jose averages 2.80 GPG and it concedes 2.66. Goaltender Martin Jones will not be starting tonight, instead it’s backup Aaron Dell, who is 10-5 with a 2.26 GAA. Anaheim averages 2.70 GPG and it concedes 2.64. Goaltender John Gibson is 16-18 with a 2.59 GAA and would go on to make 23 of 24 saves against LA. Note that he’s 2-2 with a tiny 1.61 GAA lifetime against San jose. I’ll point out as well that San Jose is just 6-9 (-5.2 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Anaheim is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in its last four against teams with winning records. Anaheim has been playing a lot better of late, anchored by some great play in net by Gibson. I believe Gibson will easily out duel his counterpart tonight and in my opinion, that’ll be more than enough to secure the victory for the home side. Lay the price with confidence, play on the Ducks. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | Lightning v. Wild +111 | 2-5 | Win | 111 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Minnesota Wild (9:05 EST). The 31-11-3 Tampa Bay Lightning are in Minnesota to take on the 24-17 Wild and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Tampa Bay comes in off a humbling 4-1 loss at home to Vegas on Thursday, while Minnesota enters off a 3-2 OT setback to Vancouver in its most recent action. Note that this is definitely a revenge scenario for the home side after it fell 3-0 in Tampa earlier in the year. The Lightning average 3.6 GPG, while conceding 2.5. Netminder Andrei Vasilevskly owns a 27-8-2, 2.23 GAA record overall. The Lightning have indeed been struggling of late though, losing four of their last six. Minnesota averages 2.8 GPG and it concedes 2.61. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 17-9-3 with a 2.61 GAA. I’ll point out though that TB is just 2-4 (-1.7 units) in its last six after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing, while Minnesota is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was shutout in. I think these goaltenders are a “wash,” but I’m giving the big nod to the Wild, both for the home ice advantage and the revenge factor. Play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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01-19-18 | Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on the under Knights/Panthers (7:35 EST). I use many different strategies when doing my handicapping. I have found that using “common sense” is often the best approach. No need to overthink this one in my opinion. Las Vegas comes in off a highly satisfying 4-1 win in Tampa Bay just last night and I think it’s primed for a bit of a mental lapse here. The Knights continue to defy the odds, but with a much more “winnable” game at Carolina on Sunday to end its road trip, it’s not too hard to imagine the over-achieving visiting side in some small way, also “looking ahead” to that one. Florida will look to take advantage. The Panthers have lost four of five, most recently a 4-2 setback at home to Calgary. Clearly Florida won’t be taking anything for granted as it looks to atone for its recent shoddy play. I’ll point out that Las Vegas has seen the total go under the number in five of six so far in 2018, while Florida has seen the total dip below the posted number in 11 of 17 following a non-conference game. This one has low-scoring “goaltenders battle” written all over it. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Blues v. Senators +105 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Ottawa Senators (7:30 EST). St. Louis enters off a 2-1 OT win over Toronto, while Ottawa is off a 4-3 road victory over the Leafs as well. The Blues average 2.83 GPG and concede 2.62. Goaltender Jake Allen is 18-16 with a 2.75 GAA, including going just 8-9 with a 2.90 GAA on the road. The Senators average 2.76 GPG and concede 3.43. Netminder Craig Anderson stopped 45 of 48 shots against Toronto in his teams latest victory to move him to 12-18 with a 3.22 GAA. I’ll point out though that St. Louis is just 1-2 in its last three after an OT victory in which it held its opponent to 1 or less goals, while Ottawa is 2-1 in its last three after scoring four goals or more in tis previous outing. The Sens went into their break having won three of their previous four with their offense leading the way with 18 goals over its last four games. Also note that Ottawa has averaged 3.14 GPG at home this year. St. Louis has been struggling a bit on the defensive side of the ice lately (despite the OT win last time out), allowing a total of 18 goals over its last four games. With two whole nights off before a “cream puff” at home against Arizona, I think the Blues come out flat footed as they caught looking ahead. It’s a PERFECT STORM of factors working in favor of the hungry home side. Play on the Senators. Good luck…Larry |
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01-16-18 | Golden Knights v. Predators -140 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). No need to overthink this one in my opinion. The Las Vegas Golden Knights are 29-10-1 this year, including 11-8 on the road. But Nashville comes out of its bye week off back-to-back victories rested and focused and looking to avenge a 3-0 loss to Vegas in early January. Vegas enter this one in a natural letdown spot; after losing 3-2 in OT at home to Edmonton, it’s had two nights off. And with a tough game on Friday night in Tampa Bay, its not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way getting caught “looking ahead” to that one (conversely, the Predators have nothing to look past here with lowly Arizona coming to town on Thursday.) It’s hard to find any negative stats for the Knights yet, they’ve completely exceeded everyone’s expectations to this point. I will point out though that Nashville is 3-1 (+2 units) already this year when playing with three or more days rest and 3-1 (+2 units) in is last four trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. This line could easily be a lot higher in my opinion. Play on the Predators. Good luck…Larry |
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Larry Ness NHL Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-03-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -155 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
05-02-18 | Lightning v. Bruins -130 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 36 h 55 m | Show |
05-01-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -155 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -155 | 35 h 29 m | Show |
04-30-18 | Bruins v. Lightning -145 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
04-29-18 | Penguins +104 v. Capitals | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
04-28-18 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 32 h 22 m | Show | |
04-28-18 | Bruins v. Lightning -140 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
04-27-18 | Jets v. Predators -145 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 35 h 43 m | Show |
04-26-18 | Penguins +114 v. Capitals | Top | 3-2 | Win | 114 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
04-23-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets -106 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -106 | 33 h 27 m | Show |
04-23-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs +114 | 1-3 | Win | 114 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
04-23-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 33 h 57 m | Show | |
04-22-18 | Predators v. Avalanche +165 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 47 m | Show | |
04-22-18 | Penguins v. Flyers +145 | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
04-21-18 | Devils v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
04-19-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show |
04-18-18 | Ducks +160 v. Sharks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
04-17-18 | Golden Knights v. Kings -121 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -121 | 36 h 1 m | Show |
04-17-18 | Capitals +126 v. Blue Jackets | 3-2 | Win | 126 | 33 h 2 m | Show | |
04-16-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs -110 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
04-15-18 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals -148 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -148 | 35 h 56 m | Show |
04-13-18 | Flyers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 33 h 54 m | Show |
04-12-18 | Sharks +127 v. Ducks | 3-0 | Win | 127 | 34 h 36 m | Show | |
04-12-18 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -150 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
04-11-18 | Kings +120 v. Golden Knights | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 48 m | Show | |
04-11-18 | Flyers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -117 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
04-07-18 | Islanders v. Red Wings -131 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -131 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
04-06-18 | Blues -152 v. Blackhawks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
04-05-18 | Penguins v. Blue Jackets -125 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
04-04-18 | Senators +111 v. Sabres | Top | 4-2 | Win | 111 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
04-03-18 | Predators -125 v. Panthers | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
04-02-18 | Capitals v. Blues -140 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
04-01-18 | Devils -157 v. Canadiens | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
03-31-18 | Wild v. Stars +101 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 101 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
03-30-18 | Blues v. Golden Knights -150 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
03-29-18 | Sharks v. Predators -155 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show | |
03-28-18 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 11 m | Show |
03-27-18 | Flyers v. Stars -130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
03-26-18 | Red Wings v. Canadiens -150 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
03-25-18 | Canucks +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
03-24-18 | Blackhawks v. Islanders -125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
03-23-18 | Canadiens v. Sabres +101 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
03-22-18 | Oilers -113 v. Senators | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show | |
03-21-18 | Coyotes v. Sabres -120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
03-20-18 | Stars v. Capitals -144 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
03-19-18 | Panthers -140 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
03-18-18 | Hurricanes v. Islanders -109 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
03-17-18 | Devils v. Kings -148 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -148 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
03-16-18 | Stars -138 v. Senators | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -138 | 24 h 41 m | Show |
03-15-18 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers -115 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
03-14-18 | Penguins v. Rangers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 33 m | Show |
03-13-18 | Stars -151 v. Canadiens | 2-4 | Loss | -151 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
03-12-18 | Hurricanes -140 v. Rangers | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
03-11-18 | Stars v. Penguins -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
03-10-18 | Blues v. Kings -150 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -150 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
03-09-18 | Flames -150 v. Senators | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
03-08-18 | Islanders v. Oilers -141 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
03-07-18 | Penguins v. Flyers +101 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
03-06-18 | Jets -145 v. Rangers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
03-05-18 | Coyotes v. Oilers -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
03-04-18 | Blue Jackets v. Sharks -150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -150 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
03-03-18 | Senators v. Coyotes -130 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
03-02-18 | Canadiens v. Islanders -134 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -134 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
03-01-18 | Penguins v. Bruins -128 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show |
02-28-18 | Islanders v. Canadiens -107 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
02-27-18 | Predators v. Jets -119 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -119 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
02-26-18 | Flyers -119 v. Canadiens | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
02-25-18 | Sharks v. Wild -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
02-24-18 | Ducks -145 v. Coyotes | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -145 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
02-23-18 | Sharks v. Blackhawks -123 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
02-22-18 | Avalanche v. Oilers -127 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 53 m | Show | |
02-22-18 | Blue Jackets +106 v. Flyers | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
02-20-18 | Blue Jackets -101 v. Devils | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
02-19-18 | Wild -111 v. Islanders | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
02-18-18 | Stars v. Sharks -105 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
02-16-18 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
02-15-18 | Capitals v. Wild -126 | 5-2 | Loss | -126 | 30 h 57 m | Show | |
02-15-18 | Hurricanes v. Devils -100 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
02-13-18 | Blues v. Predators -150 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
02-12-18 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
02-11-18 | Flames v. Islanders +102 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
02-10-18 | Avalanche v. Hurricanes -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
02-09-18 | Penguins v. Stars -105 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
02-08-18 | Canadiens v. Flyers -140 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 28 m | Show |
02-07-18 | Oilers v. Kings -123 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show |
02-06-18 | Wild v. Blues -143 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -143 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
02-05-18 | Lightning -135 v. Oilers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -135 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
02-03-18 | Blackhawks v. Flames -121 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
02-02-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -146 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 5 m | Show |
02-01-18 | Ducks v. Senators +145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 145 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
01-31-18 | Sharks v. Red Wings -107 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
01-30-18 | Avalanche -105 v. Canucks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 28 m | Show |
01-25-18 | Blue Jackets -120 v. Coyotes | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 19 m | Show |
01-23-18 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
01-22-18 | Islanders -116 v. Coyotes | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -116 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
01-21-18 | Sharks v. Ducks -146 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -146 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
01-20-18 | Lightning v. Wild +111 | 2-5 | Win | 111 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
01-19-18 | Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
01-18-18 | Blues v. Senators +105 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
01-16-18 | Golden Knights v. Predators -140 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 31 h 51 m | Show |