Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-21-20 | Stars v. Lightning OVER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 24 h 9 m | Show |
10* Over Stars/Lightning (8:05 ET): The Stars continue to defy the odds as they took Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals, 4-1. It was their 12th win in the last 16 games, the last nine of which have all come as underdogs on the money line. This run of theirs has caused me great consternation as I’ve been predicting their downfall going all the way back to the Colorado series. Sometimes you need to know when to “cut bait,” I suppose. Here we are turning to the total as I see Game 2 of the SCF going Over. Tampa Bay had been rolling through the postseason, losing only four games in the first three rounds. Like Vegas did against Dallas in the Western Conference Finals, the Lightning significantly outshot the Stars in Game 1 (36-20!). But that didn’t matter as Anton Khudobin (.950 save percentage vs. Vegas) stopped all but one of the 36 shots he faced. Khudobin’s run is bound to have a “slip up” or two as no goalie can possibly maintain that kind of save percentage over the long-term, especially when facing so many shots on a consistent basis. The Lightning MAY get Steven Stamkos back for Game 2, but regardless I expect a bounce back effort offensively. They are averaging 38.8 shots over the L5 games, an excellent number, yet are also averaging only 2.2 goals over the same frame. Their L4 games have all gone Under or pushed and the Under is now 5-2-2 their L9 games. The Under is 4-0-2 in Dallas’ last six games, so I’d say the Over is “due” to hit for both teams, both of which are averaging 3.0 goals per game this postseason. 10* Over Stars/Lightning |
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09-06-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* Under Stars/Golden Knights (8:05 ET): There are still only 29 teams in NHL history to rally back and win a best of 7 series in which it trailed 3-1. This despite THREE teams forcing Game 7’s in the last round after falling behind 3-1. Two of the teams that were able to stave off infamy meet here in the Western Conference Finals. There was a big difference though in the last round as Vegas was a big favorite in every game whereas Dallas was an underdog in all 7 games. That would certainly seem to indicate the Golden Knights have the advantage in this series, but I am more interested in the total here in Game 1. Coming off a wild series with Colorado where six of the seven games went Over, Dallas could very well see its scoring start to subside here against the top seed in the Western Conference. The Stars were the lowest scoring team in the regular season among the eight conference semifinalists, but have shockingly scored 42 goals in the L10 games. But now they are facing a team that posted THREE shutouts in its last series and is obviously MUCH better between the pipes thanks to the combo of Robin Lehner and Marc-Andre Fleury. While posting three shutouts of their own against Vancouver, the Golden Knights got blanked themselves in Game 6 of that series and have scored a total of only four goals in their last three games. They’ll be missing Ryan Reaves (suspension) for his hit in Game 7 Friday. Vegas actually went 98 straight shots w/o a goal against Vancouver in Games 6 & 7. They trailed Dallas 3-1 in the third period when they met in the round robin earlier in the bubble. Game 1 will be low-scoring. 10* Under Stars/Golden Knights |
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09-02-20 | Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 107 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Under Avalanche/Stars (8:05 ET): So the Avs aren’t dead yet as a historic scoring stretch in Game 5 kept them alive to fight another day. It was 5-0 by the end of the 1st period Monday with four of those goals scored on Ben Bishop, who got the surprise start for the Stars. Five different players scored and four of the goals came within 2:36 of each other. That was the second fastest four-goal flurry by one team in NHL Playoff history. The final score ended up being 6-3. Both teams made surprise changes in goal for Game 5. Colorado started Michael Hutchinson in place of Pavel Francouz, who had struggled in the series. Hutchinson made 31 saves and almost certainly will be starting Game 6. Remember what I’ve been saying about Dallas all along. Their stunning scoring surge will almost certainly subside. They have as many 5+ goal games here in the bubble as they did the entire regular season. They’re shooting 14.0% in the series, nearly double the season average (8.8%) when they were the lowest scoring of the eight conference semifinalists. Whether Dallas goes with Bishop or Anton Khudobin, they won’t be hit like they were in Game 5.The Stars are 14-8 Under this season after giving up 4+ goals the previous game and 12-6 Under following a loss by two or more goals. While every game in this series has gone Over, the stakes are now higher and I expect a “tighter” game. We’re due for an Under. 10* Under Avalanche/Stars |
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08-31-20 | Stars v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
10* Under Stars/Avalanche (9:45 ET): Needless to say, the way this series is going has left me perplexed. I viewed Colorado as the vastly superior side coming in. Not even injuries to goalie Philipp Grubauer and Erik Johnson changed my view. Especially since it was backup Pavel Francouz that led the way in a 4-0 shutout of Dallas back in the round robin. But that result and performance by Francouz appear to have been an anomaly. The Avs are down 3-1 to the Stars in this series (facing elimination tonight) and just 2-7 against them this season. Every game in this series has gone Over with the fewest number of total goals scored in any game being 7. Last night saw the Stars jump out to an early 3-0 lead before the Avalanche even got a single shot on goal (despite two power play opportunities). From there things tightened up as the Avs were able to get within one goal two different times, though the last was with just four seconds remaining and it ended up being a 5-4 loss. At this point, it’s obvious that Francouz is a problem for the Avalanche. But there is no other solution other than to stick with him. Tonight marks the first back to back of the series and I wonder if that will have a more negative effect on the skaters as opposed to the two goaltenders. Dallas can’t keep scoring at the rate they have been (they had the fewest number of regular season goals among the eight conference semifinalists) and we’re long overdue for an Under. This is the 1st time in the bubble either team has seen a total of 6.0. 10* Under Stars/Avalanche |
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08-23-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 104 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
10* Under Canucks/Golden Knights (10:35 ET): Game 1 of this best of seven goes down Sunday with the top seeded Golden Knights taking on the fourth seeded Canucks. Vancouver started out as a 10-seed in this bubble, but has worked its way up by upsetting Minnesota and St. Louis. Even though they just eliminated last year’s Stanley Cup Champions, this series will be a far taller climb for the Canucks as Vegas is rolling right now with seven wins in their eight games since the restart. One thing about Vancouver that sticks out to me is the fact they have scored on 12.1% of their shot attempts so far. That seems unsustainable. Vegas is doing a tremendous job at limiting the number of shots their opponents get, allowing only 25.2 per game here in the bubble. I don’t think Vancouver can expect to score as many goals in this series compared to the previous two. The Canucks can play some defense though. For more than 80 minutes across Games 5 & 6, they held the Blues w/o a goal as goalie Jacob Markstrom made 45 saves. The Golden Knights have scored 4+ goals in all but two of their games, a pace they simply cannot continue. 10* Under Canucks/Golden Knights |
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08-15-20 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets OVER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
10* Over Lightning/Blue Jackets (7:35 ET): Tampa Bay got off 37 shots in Game 2, but could only score one goal. They also outhit the Blue Jackets, but still lost 3-1. This series is now tied at one game apiece. It was a five overtime marathon in Game 1 (I backed the Lightning there). Game 2, I had the Over, which was looking good after the first period three goals were scored. Unfortunately, we know how things ended up. Time to double down on the Over here even though no TB game has gone that way so far. The Lightning were one of the highest scoring teams in the league this year at 3.4 goals per game. They’ve scored three goals in all three wins since the restart, but been held to only one in both losses. I think they are due to bounce back offensively in Game 3. At the same time, they have allowed multiple goals in every game since returning. With the exception of being shutout by Toronto in Game 2 of that series, Columbus has scored multiple goals in every game since the restart. I’m counting on both sides scoring multiple goals here and if that happens we can obviously do no worse than a push. I do not think Joonas Korpisalo can possibly maintain his .962 save percentage in the bubble. 10* Over Lightning/Blue Jackets |
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08-14-20 | Canadiens v. Flyers OVER 5 | Top | 5-0 | Push | 0 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
10* Over Canadiens/Flyers (3:05 ET): Top-seeded Philadelphia is not only 4-0 since play resumed, they’ve also gone Under in all four games. They’ve allowed a total of just four goals, exactly one in every game. Game 1 of this best of seven series saw them prevail 2-1 after answering a Montreal goal w/ one of their own just 16 seconds later. As hot as the respective goaltenders have been this postseason, expect regression from one or both here in Game 2, which I’ve got going Over the total. Philadelphia’s Carter Hart has been lights out in his three starts here in the bubble. He’s saved 84 of 87 shots, good for a .966 save percentage. That’s even better than Montreal’s Carey Price, who has started every game for Montreal (no surprise there) and has a .945 save percentage after stopping 155 of 164 shots. As impressive as those numbers are from the two goaltenders, I just don’t see them being maintained over the long playoff haul. The Flyers average 3.4 goals per game this season, but worrisome is that they allowed 3.3 outside of Philly. The Habs have allowed an average of 33.0 shots per game since the restart. I just feel that we’re due for an Over this afternoon. Each team’s power play is due to pick it up after notching a goal in Game 1. They’d previously been a combined 0 for 23 with the man advantage coming into this series. You know that won’t last. 10* Over Canadiens/Flyers |
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08-13-20 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning OVER 5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -133 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
10* Over Blue Jackets/Lightning (3:05 ET): The Lightning have been one of the highest scoring teams in the league over the last three years, but they’ve yet to see a single Over since the start, going 4-0 Under. Still I’m not sure that’s even on their minds right now after a 5OT win over Columbus in Game 1 Tuesday. That win was huge for TB as they were shockingly swept by the Blue Jackets in the 1st Rd of LY’s playoffs. Losing a game of that length would have been extremely confidence-crushing for the higher seed. Every Lightning game thus far has seen a total of five goals scored. They have three victories by a count of 3-2 and their lone defeat (to Philadelphia) was by a score of 4-1. But oddsmakers have dipped the O/U line down to 5.0 for Game 2 and that’s a real key for me. Despite not having either Steven Stamkos or Victor Hedman in the lineup, TB got off a playoff-record 88 shots in Game 1. As good as Joonas Korpisalo has been since the restart, being under that kind of fire will take it out of a goalie. Columbus, who has gone Under in four of six games so far, has basically played six games in the last four days. That’s brutal and you have to wonder if fatigue could start to become a factor at some point. Still, you shouldn’t discount a Blue Jackets side that’s scored 12 times in its last four games and has yet to lose B2B times. They had 60+ shots on goal in Game 1. The Over is 7-2-1 the L10 times the Blue Jackets have played on one day’s rest. 10* Over Blue Jackets/Lightning |
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08-05-20 | Penguins v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -138 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
8* Under Penguins/Canadiens (8:05 ET): We had Pittsburgh in Game 2, which was a must win for the Penguins, and sure enough they came through in 3-1 fashion to even up the series at a game apiece. Now comes the all-important Game 3. Both games so far have gone Under with Montreal winning Game 1 by a score of 3-2. That’s the way we see this one going as well as the respective goaltenders should continue to rule the series. Pittsburgh stuck with Matt Murray in Game 2 and he rewarded them by carrying a shutout into the third period. He made 26 saves in all. One could argue that Montreal’s Carey Price was even more impressive though. He stopped 35 shots in Game 2 (last Penguins goal was an empty netter) and that was after making 39 saves in Game 1. The thought was that if Montreal was going to “steal” this series, it would be on the back of Price. I’m not surprised how well he’s playing. The Under is now 5-0 the last five Penguins’ playoff games where they were a favorite. Obviously, that’s the case again here. The Under is also now 6 for 6 the last six head to head matchups with Montreal. The Canadiens are 12-2-3 their L17 games as a playoff underdog. 8* Under Penguins/Canadiens |
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08-04-20 | Wild v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
10* Under Wild/Canucks (10:45 ET): This qualification series saw Minnesota open with a 3-0 win on Sunday. The Wild scored a goal in all three periods while outshooting the Canucks 31-28. Two of the three goals came on the power play. I was impressed with the Wild’s defensive efforts as Vancouver got very few scoring chances in the third period. However, it’s not like the Wild can count on a similar PP effort every game. I see this being another low-scoring affair. Take the Under. Vancouver’s last playoff appearance was in 2015 and there’s only three players from that team still left on the roster. They are going to be leaning heavily on goalie Jacob Markstom in this series and he should be better in Game 2 than he was in Game 1. Markstrom had a .918 save percentage and 2.75 GAA in the regular season. The problem is going to be, like we saw in Game 1, will the offense give Markstrom any relief? The top six skates produced only five shots in Game 1. So far in the postseason, 12 of the 16 games played have stayed Under. If you remove the round robin matchups, the Under is 9-3. Minnesota is 39-29 Under the L3 seasons when coming off a win by 2+goals. All of the Wild’s goals in Game 1 came from defensemen. The fact not a single forward scored in Game 1 is maybe the biggest reason of all to look Under for Game 2. 10* Under Wild/Canucks |
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03-08-20 | Lightning v. Red Wings UNDER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
10* Under Lightning/Red Wings (5:05 ET): A franchise-record 11-game win streak took the Lightning nearly to the top of the Atlantic Division. But they quickly regressed after that, losing five of their next seven games. Even a 5-3 win over the first place Bruins yesterday leaves TB seven points back of the division lead. But they have a golden opportunity to further trim that deficit as they face the worst team in the league today. They have beaten the Red Wings 16 straight times in the regular season. I can’t think of a single metric that doesn’t consider Detroit the worst team in the league. They have the fewest points (37), worst goal differential (-120), scored the fewest goals (138) and given up the most (258). In most cases, they aren’t even close to the second worst team. While they did beat Chicago 2-1 on Friday, the Wings had lost six in a row prior to that as well as 10 of their previous 11 games. Obviously, oddsmakers are keenly aware of the mismatch that exists here and the money line is basically “unplayable.” But I think the total offers tremendous value this afternoon. I already mentioned that Detroit is by far the league’s lowest scoring team. In 9 of their last 11 games, they’ve been held to two goals or less. The Lightning see their goals per game average drop on the road, so I wouldn’t look for a repeat of yesterday when they put five on the board. Note that one of those came on an empty net. The Under is also 7-1 the L8 times the Lightning have played in the second game of a back to back. 10* Under Lightning/Red Wings |
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02-27-20 | Stars v. Bruins OVER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Over Stars/Bruins (7:35 ET): I’ve been having a lot of success betting NHL totals recently as Tuesday’s Over pick (CHI-STL) saw a combined 11 goals scored while last night’s 10* Total of the Week (and Under) ended up as a 3-0 shutout (Vegas over Edmonton). Of course, there was also last Friday’s 10* Total of the Month on Under Nashville-Chicago, which saw the teams enter overtime tied at 1-1. Tonight there looks to be a high-scoring game on the horizon between Dallas and Boston. Take the Over in this one. Boston has led the Atlantic Division basically the entire season. But with Tampa Bay catching fire over the last month or so, the race for 1st place (and probably the President’s Trophy as well) has gotten a lot tighter. The Bruins’ lead is down to five points and was even tighter recently. They’ve lost B2B games, but have been fortunate that the Lightning have lost three straight. The Bruins are very impressive at home w/ just three regulation losses here all season. They average 3.4 goals per game on home ice. Note how low the total is here. That’s because these are the two top teams in terms of fewest goals allowed in the league. Still, that doesn’t mean the # should be this low. For instance, Boston has given up 14 goals in just the last two games including a stunning NINE in a loss to Vancouver last Saturday. Dallas just scored four goals by itself in its last game (at Carolina) but also gave up five in a recent loss to St. Louis. Both sides are capable of “going off” offensively and it’s not often you get an O/U line of 5.0 anymore. 10* Over Stars/Bruins |
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02-26-20 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
10* Under Oilers/Golden Knights (10:38 ET): It's a really tight race at the top of the Pacific Division right now. Vegas, who has won six in a row, currently leads with 76 points. But both Vancouver and Edmonton are only two points behind. Tonight, the Golden Knights host one of those teams (Edmonton) in a very important matchup. But who wins here is of little importance to me as I see a total that’s been set too high for such a high-stakes battle. The offense has come alive for Vegas during this six-game win streak as they’ve scored at least 5 times in four of the six games. That includes each of the last three with a 6-5 win over Anaheim on Sunday (in OT) being the most recent decision. Tonight is the start of what looks to be a very favorable homestand for the Golden Knights. But we don’t see the recent level of goal scoring continuing. Also, the team is 5-1 Under the previous six times they’ve been off a game where they allowed 5+ goals. Edmonton lost 4-3 last night in Anaheim, also an overtime game, which would seemingly put them at a disadvantage tonight. But note the Oilers are a perfect 6-0 this season playing in the second night of a back to back. However, over a longer term, they are just 4-10 SU after going to OT the previous day. Last night’s game was 3-2 late in the 3rd period (Edmonton trailed) so it easily could have stayed Under. This one will as that’s how four of the five all-time meetings in Vegas have gone. 10* Under Oilers/Golden Knights |
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02-25-20 | Blackhawks v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
10* Over Blackhawks/Blues (8:05 ET): The last place and first place teams in the Central meet in an old Norris Division rivalry matchup. St. Louis, after losing five in a row, has circled the wagons to win its last four games while conceding just two goals! Chicago, as you’d expect from a last place club, has dropped three of four and scored just eight goals in the process. But I believe this game will be higher scoring than expected. |
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02-23-20 | Blackhawks v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
10* Over Blackhawks/Stars (3:00 ET): On Friday, I won by *10* Total of the Month as the Blackhawks’ game vs. the Predators easily stayed Under the number. It was a 1-1 game entering OT (total was 6.5), which Chicago would go onto win. I followed that up by cashing the Preds (in another OT game) last night. Now we go back to the Blackhawks, who are in Dallas Sunday afternoon. Look for this to be a higher scoring game than their last one. Yes, I say that knowing full well that the Stars are among the stingiest teams in the league, particularly on home ice. But they just got tagged for five goals by St. Louis in a loss Friday. The Over is 3-0-1 in Dallas’ previous four games w/ them also allowing 4 goals in a loss at Ottawa during that stretch. For Chicago, the Over is 13-3 the L16 times they’ve been off a game where they scored two goals or less. While they haven’t done a ton of scoring recently, the Blackhawks did have a game at Calgary on 2.15 where they found the back of the net EIGHT times. They also gave up six goals in a loss to the Rangers earlier this week. 10* Over Blackhawks/Stars |
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02-21-20 | Predators v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
10* Under Predators/Blackhawks (8:35 ET): Chicago has just one win in its last eight games and it saw them score 8 times (at Calgary). Other than that though, they haven’t topped 3 goals in any game since before the All-Star Break. As a result of their recent losing ways, the Blackhawks currently reside in the basement of the Central Division w/ just 60 points. While that’s actually just nine points back of the Wild Card, it would likely take something miraculous for the ‘Hawks to make the playoffs given the number of teams they’d need to jump. Nashville is in a slightly better position right now w/ 65 points. They’d won three in a row, including a home & home sweep of St. Louis, before dropping a 4-1 decision to Carolina on Tuesday. That was at home. For the most part, Predators’ road games have been pretty high scoring with the Over going 20-10 and them averaging 3.5 gpg while conceding 3.4. But because of those numbers, we’re getting a high total to work with here. Seven of the Preds’ last nine games have stayed Under including three of five on the road. The key is that both games that had totals of 6.5 stayed Under. Chicago probably isn’t going to score many goals tonight given its recent form. It then becomes a question of holding Nashville’s offense in check. The Rangers scored six times on the Blackhawks Wednesday night. It was the 4th time this season Chicago allowed 6+ goals in a game. After the previous three, they’ve responded by allowing just eight total. Nashville also gets key defenseman Ryan Ellis back for this game. 10* Under Predators/Blackhawks |
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02-14-20 | Sharks v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
10* Over Sharks/Jets (7:05 ET): It’s been four days since the Sharks last took the ice and suffered a disastrous 6-2 loss to Calgary, a team they’d recently beaten on the road. That was only one of two home games they’ll play in the first 25 days of the month. Prior to that loss, they’d scored six goals of their own in a win at Edmonton as they made it an “Alberta sweep” over the Flames and Oilers. Tonight it’s back to Canada with a visit to Winnipeg, who just had a three game win streak snapped here at home Tuesday as the Rangers came in and beat them 4-1. In that three-game win streak, the Jets piled up 14 goals and appeared to be ascendant in the Central Division standings. But with an eight-point gap now existing between the top three and the rest of the field in the Central, it would appear as if the Wild Card is the only point of entry for the Jets when it comes to the playoffs. Even though they were held to just one goal by the Rangers, Winnipeg did get 44 shots on goal. So don’t be surprised if the kind of goal scoring we saw in the prior three games resumes here. San Jose is a terrible defensive team as they are giving up 3.5 goals per game on the road. Poor play at the defensive end is what caused them to fall into an early 3-0 hole. Tonight marks the 5th time this year that the Sharks have played with at least three days rest. The Over is 3-1 the previous four times. Winnipeg took both head to head meetings in November and those were in San Jose. The Sharks were playing much better at that time. The Jets scored eight goals in those games. I see this being a high-scoring contest. 10* Over Sharks/Jets |
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02-11-20 | Red Wings v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
10* Over Red Wings/Sabres (7:05 ET): These teams just met five days ago and the Red Wings skated away w/ 4-3 victory as +190 ML dogs. They are off an even more impressive win, as a +290 ML dog, at home vs. Boston. But those are the only two wins for the Wings going back to Jan 10. This is a team that has had MANY long losing skids this season (FOUR of six or more). As a result, they are clearly the worst team in the league (32 points, -95 goal differential) and not worth backing on any kind of semi-regular basis. Buffalo isn’t exactly having a great year either. It started well, just as last year did, but the Sabres are just 15-22-7 SU their L44 games. I already mentioned the loss to Detroit five weeks ago. Well, they took another loss at home on Sunday, this one coming by a 3-2 score against Anaheim. They’ve lost six of eight overall with the only win in regulation coming at MSG vs. the Rangers. As a result, the club is barely visible in the playoff chase. They’re currently 13 points back of the Wild Card. A big reason why Detroit has such an atrocious YTD goal differential is that they have given up the most goals in the league (213). That works out to an average of 3.7 allowed per game. As you might imagine, it only gets worse on the road where the average jumps to 4.1 gpg allowed. That game five days ago went Over and so should this one. Buffalo hung five goals on Detroit when they met in January. They are 6-1 Over on Tuesday nights. 10* Over Red Wings/Sabres |
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02-08-20 | Predators v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* Under Predators/Oilers (7:05 ET): The St. Louis Blues lead the Western Conference with 72 points. Behind the Stanley Cup Champs, 11 teams (7 of whom will make the playoffs) are separated by just eight points. These are two of them. Nashville has been pretty good on the road this year (15-9-3) and that has them fourth in the Central Division and one point back of the last Wild Card spot. Edmonton is safer (for now) as they are 3rd in the Pacific, but a 6-3 loss here at home to San Jose Thursday was not a “good look.” Most Edmonton games of late have been pretty high-scoring. The exception would be a shutout loss to Arizona (3-0) that took place earlier in the week. Other than that, every game the team has been involved in since Jan 6th has seen at least six total goals scored. Oddsmakers have taken notice by posting a high total for tonight’s game. When the Oilers hosted Nashville last month, it was a 4-2 final in their favor. That was an Under (O/U line was 6.5), the 5th time in the last 6 meetings these two have gone Under. The Predators have gone Under in three straight, none of those games seeing more than five total goals scored. So something will have to give Saturday. Over its L10 games, Nashville has scored three or fewer goals seven times. So that, combined with the history vs. Edmonton, leads me to the Under. The last three visits to Edmonton have all gone Under. The Oilers are 16-10 Under this year vs. teams that have losing records. 10* Under Predators/Oilers |
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02-02-20 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
10* Over Blue Jackets/Canadiens (2:05 ET): Columbus had been surging as they went into the All-Star Break on a six-game win streak that included THREE shutouts. But in their first game since the Break, they lost 2-1 to Buffalo yesterday. The game went to overtime and obviously didn’t feature much offense as the two teams combined for just 47 shots. With all the shutouts, Columbus games have generally been low-scoring of late as yesterday marked their seventh Under in the last eight games. Montreal has also been going Under with regularity of late. Their 4-0 shutout of Florida on Saturday made it a 7-1-1 Under run as they’ve allowed 1 or 0 goals five different times during that stretch. Yesterday’s blanking of the Panthers was quite impressive considering Florida came in on a six-game win streak where they’d tallied 4+ goals in every win. But it was also the third time in the last five games in which the Habs scored 4 or more times. They are averaging 3.6 goals per game during that stretch. Something worth monitoring here is the goalie situation seeing as this is the second game of a back to back for both times. Columbus has indicated they are again going with Elvis Merzlikins, but note he has a losing record in road starts as his save percentage dips to .907. For Montreal, Carey Price has given up seven goals in the two previous meetings with the Blue Jackets this season. The Canadiens’ PK was able to go 6 for 6 yday, which seems a little fortunate. 10* Over Blue Jackets/Canadiens |
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01-20-20 | Red Wings v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 109 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
10* Over Red Wings/Avalanche (3:05 ET): Colorado has come on strong these last two games, beating San Jose 4-0 and St. Louis 5-3. That pair of victories now has them in second place in the Central Division w/ 60 pts, eight back of the first place Blues. They’ve got the Western Conference’s best goal differential (+33), so it would certainly appear as if this club is going to have a productive second half of the season. With 173 goals scored in 48 games, the Avs are the West’s highest scoring team. Detroit is the worst team in all of hockey. They are in last place in the Atlantic with just 28 points. To put that number in its proper perspective, every other team in the league has at least 41 points. The Red Wings also have a -85 YTD goal differential. To put that number in proper perspective, the next worst goal differential in the league is -47. So things are looking rather bleak in the Motor City right now. The team’s biggest issue is that they have given up the most goals in the league. So an Avs team that’s among the league leaders in scoring certainly looks to be a poor matchup. While the Red Wings are also last in the league in goals scored, we can count on Colorado doing most of the heavy lifting here anyway. The Avalanche have scored nine goals in the last two games alone. They average 3.8 goals per game on the season while Detroit gives up 4.2 on the road. Getting four or five goals here from the Avs is a very strong possibility, so the hope is that the Red Wings can get at least two. The Over is 6-2 in Colorado’s last eight home games. 10* Over Red Wings/Avalanche |
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01-02-20 | Sharks v. Penguins OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
10* Over Sharks/Penguins (7:05 ET): Pittsburgh just lost its leading scorer Jake Guentzel for the rest of the regular season. But following three straight wins where they tallied 16 goals, I think we can probably count on them scoring a good number of goals tonight. They are averaging 3.5 per game at home and there's no reason to believe that won't continue as they get off plenty of shots as well. Not all the scoring came from Guentzel. Despite injuries, this remains one of the top teams in the league. San Jose is having a down year. They went 2-9-2 in December, fired their head coach and now reside in last place in the Western Conference with just 37 points. Scoring has been difficult for the Sharks as they have scored two or less goals in five of the last six games. They come in averaging only 2.2 per game on the road and were just shut out by an awful Detroit club on New Year's Eve. While this matchup certainly looks lopsided on paper, I think it could be more competitive than you may think. San Jose did score six times in a home win over Philadelphia last week. The key here is them scoring 2-3 goals, which I think they can do. While the Guentzel injury is obviously big for Pittsburgh, this is a team that has scored at least four goals in six of its last seven games. There's plenty of remaining firepower. 10* Over Sharks/Penguins |
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12-20-19 | Stars v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
10* Under Stars/Panthers (7:05 ET): Dallas played last night and pulled off a surprise OT win in Tampa Bay by a score of 4-3. Outscoring the Lightning in TB isn't easy, especially when you're facing a 48-20 disadvantage in shots like the Stars did. Somehow they were able to overcome that disadvantage and basically all the credit goes to goalie Anton Khudobin, who made 45 saves. Maybe that shouldn't come as too big a shock as the Stars have the lowest goals allowed per game average in the league entering Friday (2.31). Tonight they are in Miami to face the Panthers. Florida put up six goals in their last game, an easy win over a lousy Ottawa club. It obviously won't be that easy tonight against the stingy Stars. Note in the three games prior to the win over the Senators, the Panthers totaled just four goals. All those were at home as well. Florida has been one of the league's highest scoring teams thus far, averaging 3.39 per game, which ranks 5th. But the Under is 4-1-2 in December for them, a sign that things may be about to change. Dallas had gone Under in five straight prior to last night. They were obviously pretty fortunate to score four goals on only 20 shots. Note they were down 3-2 going into the final five minutes of regulation, meaning it was very close to a sixth straight Under. They'll likely go w/ Ben Bishop in goal tonight (.950 save percentage L4 starts) while Sergei Bobrovsky is likely to be in between the pipes for the Panthers. Bobrovsky has a 1.69 GAA and .953 save percentage in December. 10* Under Stars/Panthers |
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12-13-19 | Devils v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10* Over Devils/Avalanche (9:05 ET): Colorado is a team I've been wanting to speak on for awhile now. I just haven't had the right opportunity. Winners of seven of their last eight games (beat a good Flyers team 3-1 Wednesday night), the Avs now have - by far - the best goal differential in the Western Conference. It's at +29, more than double what any other team in the West has. In fact, it's the best goal differential in the entire league right now. Judging by the line, it should be another easy win this evening as New Jersey comes to town. The Devils have the second fewest number of points in the entire league right now, ahead of only hideous Detroit. It's a six-game losing streak for NJ, who has been outscored by 37 goals in 30 games. Only two teams - the Red Wings and Sharks - have allowed more goals this year. So, with their top line back intact, you have to think the Avs are salivating a bit at the notion of how often they should be lighting the lamp tonight. In the L8 games alone, Colorado has scored 33 times. The only team in the league w/ more goals on the season is Washington. They average 4.0 per game at home and are getting a lot of shots to boot. On the flip side, New Jersey gives up lots of shots and goals (3.9 per game on the road). The only concern the Avalanche should have going into this game is how rusty goaltender Philipp Grubauer might be if he does indeed make his return. If he doesn't, backup Francouz may not be able to continue his strong recent play. The Avs are also down a defenseman (Makar). The Devils' goaltending situation is dire. 10* Over Devils/Avalanche |
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12-12-19 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
8* Over Maple Leafs/Flames (9:05 ET): After finishing first in the West last season, Calgary started slow this year. But a coaching change seems to have done the trick as they’ve gone 7-0-1 the last eight games to get to third in the Pacific. They’ve won six straight, scoring 24 goals in the process. The last four games have all gone Over. Toronto has notched nine goals in its last two games, both road wins. It’s a difference of three points between 2nd and 6th place in the Atlantic right now and only the top three are guaranteed to make the playoffs. So the Leafs will have to keep it up as they play their next two games in Alberta (Edmonton Saturday). Toronto averages 3.5 goals per game on the road. Calgary is averaging 3.4 gpg on the road. Both are solid averages. Plus both are in good form offensively of late. It all adds up to a likely Over. 8* Over Maple Leafs/Flames |
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12-12-19 | Oilers v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
8* Over Oilers/Wild (8:05 ET): Edmonton has led the Pacific Division much of the season, but they’ve been far from a dominant first place team. They’ve scored only one more goal than they’ve allowed. It was not a stellar defensive effort on Tuesday when they lost 6-3 to Carolina. Scoring hasn’t been a real concern. Only two teams in the Western Conference have more goals scored this year. But only three have conceded more. It’s not difficult to figure Minnesota out. This is not a good road team as their record outside the Twin Cities is just 7-11-2. But at home, they are 7-1-3. They are averaging 3.55 goals per game here on home ice. That’s up from 2.6 on the road. But like the Oilers, the Wild give up their fair share. They are one of the three teams in the West that have allowed more goals than Edmonton. 8* Over Oilers/Wild |
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12-08-19 | Sabres v. Oilers OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Over Sabres/Oilers (8:05 ET): Though they continue to lead the Pacific Division, Edmonton has been struggling to score recently. In a five-game stretch where they are just 2-3 (including a bad 5-2 home loss to lowly Ottawa), they have scored a total of just 10 goals. But reinforcements are on their way as the club's top line figures to be back on the ice together for the first time in four games. Also, second line center Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is expected back here as well. You can look for the Oilers to get back on track tonight offensively. It also helps that they are facing Buffalo. The Sabres lost in overtime last night, 6-5. It was their second straight one-goal loss here in Western Canada as they fell 4-3 in Calgary on Thursday. Three of the Sabres last four road games have seen them allow at least four goals and they are giving up 3.5 gpg on the road for the year. On the bright side, they've scored 22 goals the last five games and 15 in the last three. So tonight's game has all the makings of a wild shootout. The Oilers won both times they played the Sabres last year. They scored 11 goals in the two games. They are averaging 3.4 gpg at home this season. With the Sabres having scored five or more goals four times in the last eight games, I am all aboard the Over tonight. 10* Over Sabres/Oilers |
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12-03-19 | Coyotes v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
9* Under Coyotes/Blue Jackets (7:05 ET): Decent amount of juice to lay here to play the Under, but that's for good reason as neither side is known for doing a ton of scoring. Columbus is 28th in the league at 2.54 goals per game while Arizona isn't too far ahead, sitting at only 24th at 2.64. The teams played to a 3-2 final out in the desert last month with the Blue Jackets coming out ahead. The Under is now 4-0-1 in all five meetings over the last three seasons. Take the Under. Columbus was just shutout its last time on the ice. They were blanked 2-0 by the Islanders, making it the 7th time this year they were held to one goal or less. That's not good news when facing a Coyotes team that is among the league leaders in fewest goals allowed. The 'Yotes are giving up just 2.32 gpg on the season. Only league-leading Boston has allowed fewer. By the way, the Under is a perfect 5-0 for the Blue Jackets at home this year when the O/U line is 5.5. Arizona is coming off a tough loss in which it surrendered four unanswered goals. Early on it was looking good as they scored on their first two shots of the game. But that 2-0 lead was short-lived as the Sharks stormed back for four of their own and the 'Yotes never scored again. They figure to not have too many scoring opportunities tonight as C-bus is giving up only 27.2 shots per game, which is among the fewest in the league. Luckily, Arizona will have Darcy Keumper in goal. The league leader in GAA (1.97), Keumper was not in goal for the loss to San Jose. 9* Under Coyotes/Blue Jackets |
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11-27-19 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings OVER 6 | Top | 6-0 | Push | 0 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
10* Over Maple Leafs/Red Wings (7:05 ET): Compared to the Metro, the Atlantic Division seems a lot more wide open. Well, Boston (37 points) looks to be running away w/ things and I think it's fair to say you can expect Tampa Bay to be near the top by season's end. But after that, the division is a wide open mess w/ no other team sporting a positive YTD goal differential. The only team you should "write off" at this point is Detroit, who is - objectively speaking - the worst team in the league. Their involvement in this game has me on the Over for one simple reason. They've allowed the most goals in the league. The Red Wings also carry a six-game losing streak into tonight. During that time, they've been outscored 23-13, which actually isn't as terrible as one might think. But the number of goals they allow is a massive problem. They've allowed 13 more than every team but one (Florida). Having allowed the most goals in the league is compounded by the fact Detroit has also scored the fewest. They were shutout in their last game, a 2-0 loss to Carolina Sunday that found us on the right side. But, as I'm about to get into, they should have their chances to score tonight. Toronto has given up the third most goals in the league. They also are allowing plenty of shots per game (33.4), which obviously lends itself to giving up goals. That's the fifth most shots allowed in the league on a per game basis. But the Leafs did score five times in their last game and also tallied five goals the last time they faced Detroit. That 5-2 victory in the Motor City marked the fourth time in the past five meetings that the Over hit. All four Overs saw at least seven total goals scored. Should be a similar deal tonight. 10* Over Maple Leafs/Red Wings |
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11-20-19 | Capitals v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* Over Capitals/Rangers (8:05 ET): I think it's safe to call Washington the best team in the league right now. They have 36 points, which is five more than anybody else. They've also scored a league-high 89 goals, contributing to a +20 goal differential (2nd best behind Boston). They just beat the Bruins on Saturday, 3-2, and then followed that up w/ a 5-2 win over Anaheim on Monday. Hitting the road does not bother this team as they are 10-1-1 away from the Nation's Capital. The Over is 14-2-1 their L17 games. The Rangers enter tonight at 8-8-2 overall. There is a distinct pattern to their results as they are 1-7-1 this year when allowing 4+ goals but 7-1-1 when allowing three or less. Unfortunately for them tonight, they are facing a team that leads the league at 3.74 gpg. The likelihood of the Caps scoring 4+ goals here would seem to be strong as it's something they have done in over half their games this season. One such time was against these Rangers, a 5-2 win back on October 18th (in D.C.). Fortunately for the Rangers, they can score too. They've tallied at least three goals in six consecutive games. I had the Over when they met Florida on Saturday and that was a 4-3 game before the end of the second period. (Rangers lost w/ 4-3 being the final score). Unfortunately, the Blueshirts have given up 4+ goals in three of their last four contests and 6+ four times in the L10 games. They allowed NINE in a loss to Tampa Bay last week. This has all the makings of another high-scoring shootout. 10* Over Capitals/Rangers |
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11-16-19 | Capitals v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
10* Over Capitals/Bruins (7:05 ET): Boston snapped a four-game losing skid last night by beating Toronto 4-2. But they're not "out of the woods" yet as tonight they've got to host Washington, who has again been the best team in the league this season. Not only do the Capitals lead the NHL in points w/ 32, but they are the highest-scoring team as well with 81 goals (3.9 per game). This matchup should produce plenty of scoring as the Bruins happen to average 4.0 gpg themselves at home. Take the Over. The Caps actually lost last night, 5-2 at home to Montreal. It was their second loss in three games, but before that they'd won six in a row. Pretty shocking is that the Caps have been held to just two goals in B2B games. They'd previously scored at least three goals in 16 consecutive games. It was the defense that failed them last night, giving up five goals to the Habs, four of them coming in the second period. They also allowed 40 shots. Goalie Braden Holtby will be back between the pipes tonight, but keep in mind the Over is still 11-3 in his 14 starts this season. His goals against average is a subpar 3.06. Last February, Boston snapped a 14-game losing streak against Washington w/ a 1-0 win in D.C. Don't expect this game to be anything like that one. The Bruins are going w/ a backup netminder, Jaroslav Halak, who has surrendered 4+ goals in three of his last four starts. The Capitals have scored 10 more goals than every other team in the league and already have eight games w/ 5+ goals. But as last night proved, they'll give up their fair share as well. Boston is #4 in the league in goals per game, so expect this to be a wild one Saturday night in Beantown. 10* Over Capitals/Bruins |
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11-16-19 | Rangers v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
10* Over Rangers/Panthers (7:05 ET): These teams have gone Over the L7 times they've met, including a 6-5 Panthers victory at MSG this past Sunday. That game was a wild one w/ both teams getting 34+ shots on net and there were a total of seven power play goals scored. Scoring hasn't really subsided for either team since that game as Florida has now gone Over in three straight following a 5-4 win at Boston and a 4-3 loss (here at home) to Winnipeg. The Rangers just gave up a frightening NINE goals to Tampa Bay in their last game. Definitely take the Over here. Despite losing here to Winnipeg on Thursday night, the Panthers have to like their chances coming into tonight. They have the league's 5th best power play (at 25%) and over the L8 games they are hitting at a league-best 33% w/ the man advantage. Going against a team that just allowed nine goals, including five on the power play, has to have Florida licking its proverbial chops here. Thursday's embarrassing loss to the Lightning may have been a "new low" for the Rangers, but it was also the 4th time in the L9 games they've allowed 6+ goals. Even at 5 vs 5, you should expect Florida to score plenty tonight. This team is averaging 3.53 goals per game (tied for 6th overall) while getting off the 2nd most shots (34.8) per game. Here on home ice, both of those numbers go up. The Rangers allow the 2nd most shots per game. But there's hope for the Rangers here as well w/ the Panthers giving up 3.58 goals per game, 4th most in the league. The Blueshirts have scored at least three times in each of the last five games, scoring a total of 20 goals. 10* Over Rangers/Panthers |
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11-14-19 | Coyotes v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
9* Under Coyotes/Wild (8:05 ET): Arizona will look to make it a clean sweep on this three-game road trip w/ the final stop taking place tonight in Minnesota. Considering they've already won in Washington (league's best team?) and St. Louis (defending Stanley Cup Champs), beating a Wild club that is dead last in the Central seems like an easy task for the Coyotes. But I expect the 'Yotes to struggle to score a little bit this evening. That doesn't mean they won't win, but it does mean you should look for this game to stay Under. Minnesota is not having a good year as their 13 points are tied with Los Angeles for fewest in the Western Conference. They just lost to the Kings Tuesday night, 3-1, making it five losses in the past seven games. Perhaps the Wild can blame a lack of home games on this slow start to the season. Of their 18 games played so far, only five have been here at the XCel Center. That's a little odd. This 2-4-1 slide that they're currently on saw them play just once here on home ice. They lost 4-3 in overtime to the Blues. While you may notice the Wild are averaging 3.8 gpg here at home, keep in mind that's a small sample size. These teams just met on Saturday and it was a 4-3 win for Minnesota out in the desert. The game went to OT after the Wild battled back from an early 3-1 deficit. Shocking is that they were the team to snap Coyotes' goalie Darcy Kuemper's streak of 23 straight games w/o allowing more than three goals and they did so w/ only 24 shots. The last time Kuemper allowed 4 goals in a game was March 11th. Kuemper has since bounced back w/ a 33-save effort against the Blues Tuesday night, which gave the Coyotes the first ever B2B road sweep of the previous year's Stanley Cup Finalists in league history. Keumper has a .931 save percentage and the Under is 9-3 in his 12 starts. He'll be much better tonight than he was on Saturday. 9* Under Coyotes/Wild |
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10-15-19 | Predators v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* Under Predators/Knights (10:05 ET): Vegas is looking like one of the league's better teams in the early going, which was expected. They are our call to win the Pacific Division this year and they've started 4-2 w/ 24 goals scored. The season started w/ a home and home sweep of rival San Jose, followed by two straight losses to Boston and Arizona. But the Golden Knights have bounced back w/ convincing wins over Calgary and Los Angeles where they notched 11 goals. Whether or not the team is successful tonight vs. Nashville remains to be seen, but we like the goal scoring pace to slow down a bit here. Take the Under. The Preds are perennially one of the better teams in the Western Conference. They won the Central Division LY, but were then unceremoniously bounced in the 1st round of the playoffs by Dallas. This year has seen them start 3-2, but the "real story" is how high-scoring the games have been as all five have seen at least seven total goals scored. Their last one resulted in a 7-4 loss to the Kings. The Over is now 5-0 in all Nashville games this season, a trend worth noting as it's likely to come to an end a lot sooner rather than later. Vegas is often a difficult place for the visiting team to score, so tonight seems like just as good a spot as any for the Predators to see their first Under of the 2019-20 campaign. This will be Nashville's 4th ever venture into Sin City and the previous results demonstrate what we were talking about earlier, that being it's hard to score when you're visiting here. The Predators have managed just three goals in the three previous trips here. But the big issue for Nashville right now has been the goaltending as they have an overall save percentage of .861, which is 29th out of 31 teams. That'll improve over time w/ Pekka Rinne between the pipes. Vegas has one of the top save percentages in the league (.928) as Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 69 of the 74 shots he saw in the L2 games. One area where the Knights will regress is the power play, which was a perfect 3 for 3 against the Kings. That will be difficult, if not impossible, to repeat. 10* Under Predators/Knights |
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10-10-19 | Bruins v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Under Bruins/Avalanche (9:05 ET): Boston will look to complete an unbeaten Western road swing to start the year as they visit Denver tonight. Already, the Bruins have won in Dallas, Arizona and Vegas, the latter of which isn't easy to do. Right now a case could be made that the Bruins are the best team in the league, but it's too early for us to make any declarative statements like that. Plus, the Bruins aren't the only unbeaten team in this matchup. The Avalanche are 2-0 having scored nine goals in home victories over Calgary and Minnesota. Tonight, we look for a low-scoring game and are on the Under. Solid goaltending is nothing new in Beantown as it led the Bruins all the way to the Stanley Cup Finals last year where they eventually went down to the Blues in seven games. Between Tuukka Rask and Jaroslav Halak, the team save percentage this year is at .959 as the duo has allowed just four goals on 98 shots. Rask is likely to be the one in goal this evening and while it was Halak that turned in the 1-0 shutout of Arizona last Saturday, Rask remains the more reliable option. Interestingly enough, Rask did not start either game vs. the Avs last season. Colorado will quickly find out that they were lucky to have missed him twice. They won't be so fortunate tonight. The Avs come in shooting at a pretty high percentage the first two games (14.1%). That's simply not sustainable over any reasonable length of time, so we're looking at an offense due to regress facing one of the top goaltenders in the league. Also, the skaters might be a bit rusty for the Avs tonight as they've been off for the last four days. But the time off does allow for Philipp Grubauer to make his third start of the year. He made 29 saves in the win over Minnesota and 27 in the win over Calgary. The Under is 36-16 in the Bruins' last 52 games. 10* Under Bruins/Avalanche |
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10-08-19 | Stars v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10* Under Stars/Capitals (7:05 ET): So far, every Capitals' game has stayed Under the total. They've won two of three, including an Opening Night victory over the reigning Stanley Cup Champion Blues. But they're off their 1st loss as they dropped the home opener Saturday to Carolina, 3-2. While it might seem natural to expect them to bounce back w/ a win tonight (facing an 0-3 team), we don't feel that confident taking a Caps team that has yet to score more than two goals in regulation and is really struggling on the power play (2 for 11 so far). Take the Under instead. Dallas is off to its first 0-3 start since 1998. The games have gotten progressively higher scoring, but all have been one-goal defeats (1-2, 2-3 and 3-4). The most recent setback came in Detroit Sunday when they blew a two-goal lead (the Caps did the same against Carolina). In that loss, the Stars managed only 22 shots on goal, which simply won't get it done. One positive for the Stars though is they've really seemed to have Washington's number through the years. They've taken 24 of the previous 31 head to head matchups, including 11 of 14 here in D.C. Neither team is giving up many shots in the early going. Washington is allowing just 25.3 per game, which is #1 in the league. Dallas isn't too far behind at 27.7 per game, tied for fifth. As alluded to earlier, the Capitals have been ineffective on the power play so far this season. Typically a strong team w/ the man advantage, they were 0 for 6 against Carolina. Evgeny Kuznetsov will return tonight from a suspension (for testing positive for cocaine), but who knows how effective he'll be. We know Dallas comes in desperate. They are 31-17 Under the L2 years after allowing 4+ goals in the previous game. With both teams starting their #1 goaltenders, this should be a low-scoring game. 10* Under Stars/Capitals |
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06-12-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 46 h 50 m | Show |
10* Under Blues/Bruins (8:05 ET): St. Louis may very well end up rueing Game 6 forever as they blew a golden opportunity to win the franchise's first Stanley Cup. They the Bruins at home, but a third period onslaught resulted in a 5-1 victory for the visitors. Ultimately, that will mean nothing if the Blues are able to win Game 7. But Game 7 is in Boston, which means (theoretically) things will be tougher. Then again, the Blues are 9-3 on the road this postseason (as opposed to 6-7 SU at home!). The road team has won four of the six games in this series so far. The Bruins are just 7-5 SU at home in the playoffs, though they did win a Game 7 here (back in Rd 1 vs. Toronto). I had this as a pretty even series coming in, thus I've almost exclusively been playing the total on a game by game basis. Oddsmakers have been "tipping their hand some" w/ the juice and obviously the number itself. Four of the six games have gone Over, but I say that's a bit misleading even as someone who had the Over in Game 6. That was a 1-0 game entering the third period before a wild barrage of scoring took place. There were four goals scored over an eight minute span, the final one coming on an empty net. That was the third time in the series an empty net goal sent the game Over. My condolences to anyone who had the Over in those spots (I did in Game 1). Hopefully, we won't be in a situation here where either goalie has to be pulled late. Even so, I see Game 7 being a very low-scoring battle where the total won't be in question late. I see this one being shades of Game 5 here in Boston, which was a 2-1 final. Both goaltenders have been strong throughout the playoffs. Including the regular season, Jordan Binnington is 13-2 SU off a loss w/ a 1.83 GAA and .934 save percentage. When facing elimination this postseason, Tuukka Rask is 3-0 w/ a 1.33 GAA and .953 save percentage. Tension will be high here and I expect the opposite of a wide open game. 10* Under Blues/Bruins |
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06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show |
10* Over Bruins/Blues (8:05 ET): St. Louis returns home w/ a chance to win their first ever Stanley Cup. Playing Game 6 on home ice bodes well as they've closed out each of their previous three series here at the Enterprise Center. But Boston won't go down easy and it's the O/U line that's caught my eye here. The oddsmakers moving the number to 5.0 is significant because four of the five previous games in the series have seen at least five total goals scored. We've cashed the Under twice (Games 2, 5) thanks to 5.5 goal totals. The only other time a game in the series opened w/ a 5.0 goal total was Game 3 and that went way Over (and we had the Over). Play the Over here. That Game 3 happened to be the highest scoring game in the series (so far). The Over cashed midway in the second period and when it was all said and done, nine total goals were scored (7-2 Bruins' win). That was also the last time the Bruins won a game. They've since lost 4-2 and 2-1. They badly outshot the Blues (39-21) in Game 5, but it didn't matter. There was a controversial no-call in the third period and St. Louis scored right after to take a commanding 2-0 lead. Though they've closed out all three previous series here on home ice, the Blues are just 6-6 SU at the Enterprise Center this postseason. There have been seven playoff games that St. Louis has allowed four or more goals. Four of them have come at home. The Over is 8-3 in the L11 meetings here in St. Louis. Both goaltenders have seen their respective save percentages drop in this series. With every game in the series prior to the last one seeing at least five total goals scored, I see this one following suit. 10* Over Bruins/Blues |
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06-06-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 54 h 60 m | Show |
10* Under Blues/Bruins (8:05 ET): I look to make it 4 in a row in the Stanley Cup Finals as this time it's back to the total after St. Louis came through for us so big in Game 4. Before that, it was the Under in Game 2 and the Over in Game 3, the latter being particularly easy as it cashed midway through the 2nd period and nine total goals were scored in the game. It's interesting that the only time the Under has cashed in the first four games came when four goals were scored in the first period. But then the only other goal scored was the game winner (by St. Louis) in overtime. Perhaps though, that was a necessary receipt for the way the Over cashed in Games 1 & 4. Both times it was a goal scored on an empty net in the final two minutes. I'm looking to go Under here as I think we can hopefully avoid either goalie getting pulled late. Also, the 1st period barrage of scoring we've seen in each of the L3 games should hopefully subside. There have been at least three total goals scored in the first 20 minutes of each of those last three games. Considering how well the two goaltenders have performed in the playoffs, that shouldn't be happening. The Blues definitely took advantage of Zdeno Chara's absence in Game 4, scoring twice in the third period. Chara reportedly broke his jaw and thus isn't likely to play here. Despite what happened to the Bruins w/o their captain on Monday, I think they're better suited to overcome any potential absence here. Tuukka Rask has faced a lot more shots than Jordan Binnington has in this series. While it might be hard to limit shots w/o Chara, Boston can do it. They are 12-6 Under this season off a loss by 2+ goals. 10* Under Blues/Bruins |
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06-01-19 | Bruins v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
8* Over Bruins/Blues (8:05 ET): Surprise! After going w/ the Under in the first two games, it's time to play the Over in Game 3 as the Stanley Cup Finals move to the Gateway City. Much of this has to do w/ the number changing. The Over hitting in Game 1, then the Under hitting in Game 2 definitely came in non-conventional ways. Game 1 was pretty low-scoring early on (1-0 Blues after 1st period), but then things picked up a damn empty-net goal cost us the Under. Game 2 looked bleak early w/ the game knotted 2-2 after the 1st period. But then there was no more scoring until the GW goal in OT. In each of the first two games, the winning side has enjoyed a rather drastic edge in shots on goal. It was 38-20 Bruins in Game 1, then 37-23 Blues in Game 2. Wednesday was Boston's 1st loss since April 30th (true!) as they'd been 8-0 this month. They've lost B2B games only once in the playoffs, that being Games 2-3 in Round 2 vs. Columbus. But after that is when the eight-game win streak came into play. There still have been only two games, both in the first round series vs. Toronto, that the Bruins surrendered more than three goals. But might Tuukka Rask's ridiculous playoff save percentage (.939) be set to regress? St. Louis has scored multiple goals in all but two games this postseason, one of those coming way back in the first round. But they are dealing w/ a Boston side that scored three or more goals seven times during the eight-game win streak. Perhaps Jordan Binnington, a rookie, is prepared to hit a similar "wall" like Rask. The Over is 4-1 the L5 times the Blues have allowed two or fewer goals their previous game. 8* Over Bruins/Blues |
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05-29-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* Under Blues/Bruins (8:05 ET): I'm still a bit upset from losing my *10* Total of the Year (Under) in Game 1. Not that I couldn't see it coming once St. Louis made the decision to pull the goalie. Still, that doesn't make the end result any less painful. I firmly believe Under was the right call for Game 1 and it sure was looking good early when it was a 1-0 game after the first period. But two quick goals at the start of the second changed the trajectory. But the Blues still only finished w/ 20 shots on goal and you have to think they have a bounce back game defensively here. I'm sticking w/ the Under for Game 2. There have been five previous instances of St. Louis allowing 4+ goals in a game this postseason, all of them ending up as losses. But after all four times they've bounced back defensively. They haven't always won, mind you, losing games to both Winnipeg and Dallas in Rounds 1 and 2. But in those five games after surrendering four or more goals, the Blues have allowed just 10 total goals or an average of only 2.0 per game. That's what I am expecting here as Jordan Binnington made 35 saves in Game 1 to up his save percentage from the L4 games to a sick .956. The Blues are 4-1 Under this postseason when trailing in the series. Boston is 4-1 Under when up in the series this postseason. Goalie Tuukka Rask has been great throughout the playoffs, posting a .940 save percentage, including .951 the L4 games. Going back to the second round, the Bruins have now allowed two goals or less in six straight games. They have not allowed more than three in any of the last 14 games and just twice the entire playoffs. 10* Under Blues/Bruins |
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05-27-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -140 | 77 h 25 m | Show |
10* Under Blues/Bruins (8:05 ET): St. Louis made the Stanley Cup Finals each of its first three years of existence (1968, '69, '70) as the playoff format back then was quite weird. Ironically, they have not made it back since... until now. Further irony is the team that they are facing in 2019 is the same one that beat them back in 1970, Boston. You've almost certainly read about this elsewhere by now as it led to the iconic Bobby Orr photo when the Bruins won the Cup. Despite being the only team in the league to make the playoffs every season in the 1990s, the Blues are the oldest franchise never to hoist Lord Stanley's Cup. Unlike many of the series in this NHL postseason, I do not have a firm position on who will win here. But I sure do like the Under for Game 1 Monday night in Beantown. The Bruins will have been off for a very long time (10 days!) when the puck finally drops at the TD North Bank Garden. They swept Carolina in the Eastern Conference Finals, holding the Hurricanes to just five goals in the four games. Appropriately, it was a 4-0 shutout in the close out game. Overall, the Bruins have won seven in a row and during that time they have given up just nine goals. In all but one of the seven games, they allowed two goals or fewer. Not to be outdone, St. Louis shut the door on San Jose in the Western Conference Finals, holding them to just two goals over the final three games. Their five days off between series would normally be substantial, but is quite modest compared to the amount of time Boston has had off. There was some rough defensive play early in the WCF, but the bottom line is the Blues have allowed two goals or fewer in seven of their last nine games. Rookie goalie Jordan Binnington has led the league in GAA (1.89) during the regular season. Boston's Tuukka Rask has a .942 save percentage in the playoffs. 10* Under Blues/Bruins |
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05-19-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
10* Over Blues/Sharks (3:05 ET): I'm 2-1 in this series and quite frankly should be 3-0. Were it not for the Blues getting jobbed in overtime in Game 3, the record would be perfect. I came back w/ the Blues in Game 4 and they delivered a 2-1 win to tie the series up at 2-2. Of course, the easier winner was Game 1 where I had the Over and that was a winner midway through the second period as San Jose was able to take advantage of numerous defensive lapses by St. Louis and wound up winning 6-3. Game 4 is the only game in this series not to go Over so far. The first three games of the series saw 9, 6 and 9 total goals scored. I can't say that I'm surprised that the first two games went Over as San Jose home games have a habit of doing that. They are 31-18-2 Over this season, including 13-3 the L16. A big key in that is that the Sharks' scoring goes up dramatically at home to 3.7 goals per game. That's something we've noted numerous times throughout the playoffs whether playing on them or the Over here at home. Maybe Blues goalie Jordan Binnington has hit a rookie wall as his save percentage has dropped to .884 in this series. San Jose's Martin Jones is right around that number as well at .882. Jones had a sub-.900 save percentage in the regular season anyway. San Jose is going to be tough to stop here at home, but I also feel St. Louis is going to score a few goals as well. The Over is 4-0-1 the Blues' last five games as an underdog. 10* Over Blues/Sharks |
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05-11-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 112 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
10* Over Blues/Sharks (8:05 ET): Home ice advantage figures to be vital in this year's Western Conference Finals between St. Louis and San Jose. After all, the home team has won the last five times these teams have played. Both teams also just won Game 7's at their respective rinks. I won with both in those winner take all spots, but now it's a new series where we are starting from scratch. Something I've stressed in previous analysis - as it pertains to the Sharks' home ice advantage - is how their goals per game average rises pretty dramatically when at home. Because of that, I'm on the Over in Game 1. For the record, San Jose averages 3.7 goals per game at home. The Over is 29-18-2 in all Sharks' home games and overall they were one of the top Over teams during the regular season. So even though the stakes are now as high as they've been all year - and St. Louis can be an excellent defensive team - an Game 1 going Over would be far from "out of the ordinary." Now, all three regular season meetings w/ the Blues did stay Under. The teams exchanged 4-0 shutouts, each winning on home ice, and then San Jose won the rubber match - in overtime - 3-2 on March 9th. But those first two games showed both teams are more than capable of scoring on the other. You'd actually have to go all the way back to the last time these teams met in the playoffs - May of '16 - to find the last matchup that produced an Over. Since then, it's been six Unders and three pushes in nine overall meetings. That said, the Over remains 10-2 in the Sharks' last 12 home games and those two Unders came in the last two games in the last series w/ Colorado. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Blues' last five road games. 10* Over Blues/Sharks |
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05-09-19 | Hurricanes v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Under Hurricanes/Bruins (8:05 ET): Given the importance I place on Corsi For %, it's no shock to me that Carolina has made the Conference Finals as they rank #1 in that key metric, which is a measure of puck possession. The 'Canes had a huge advantage in Corsi For % over their last opponent, the Islanders, so (again) it wasn't all that surprising to see them sweep that second round series. Since falling down 0-2 in Rd 1 to Washington, the Hurricanes have won 8 of 9 overall (including 6 straight). But the Bruins should prove to be their toughest opponent yet and I'm not yet willing to back Carolina on the road. Boston went the full seven games in Round 1 in order to oust Toronto. They needed only six to eliminate Columbus in Round 2. The Bruins are 6th in Corsi For %. They come into the Conference Finals on a three-game win streak. It was a 3-0 shutout in the series clincher (Monday) as they've done an outstanding job this postseason at stopping their opponents from scoring. Since losing 4-1 in Game 1 of the Toronto series, the Bruins have given up more than three goals only one time in the last 12 games. Goaltender Tuukka Rask has been playing out of his mind w/ a .955 even strength save percentage the L4 games. That's really not new for Rask and Boston as they were tied for 3rd in the regular season in fewest goals allowed. As for Carolina, they allowed just five goals - total - in the entire series w/ the Islanders. Something to monitor here is the only "rest vs. rust" debate as the Hurricanes have not played in almost a week. My view is that time off is more likely to adversely effect their play at the offensive end. There's some debate as to whom will start between the pipes here, but both Petr Mrazek and Curtis McElhinney have proven to be fine goaltenders. Both teams are top six in the league in fewest shots allowed. 10* Under Hurricanes/Bruins |
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05-02-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
10* Under Avalanche/Sharks (10:05 ET): Each of the last two games in this series, I've felt "ripped off" on an Under play. Game 2 was ridiculous. Four goals were scored in the final 10 minutes, the last two coming in the final 62 seconds of regulation. Then in Game 3, the "knife" was again stuck in late w/ San Jose tacking on an "insurance" goal w/ just 30 seconds left to make it a 4-2 win. Again, three goals were scored in the final 10 minutes of regulation. The Over has now hit in all six meetings between the teams this season. Enough is enough already. I'm playing the Under again. In what has turned into a wide open Stanley Cup Playoffs (all 4 division champs from reg season eliminated in 1st round), the Sharks are now the betting favorite to hoist the Cup according to the oddsmakers. They're not an overwhelming favorite by any means, but being up 2-1 in this series definitely helps. They are now 5-1 vs. Colorado this season. While it may feel like "beating my head against the wall" when it comes to playing the Under here, it should be noted that the Under is 4-1-1 in their last six road games. In three games in Vegas in Round 1, they were held to only five goals total. They don't score nearly as many goals per game on the road as they do at home. The Avs have been held to just two goals in each loss so far in the series. Despite what happened in Game 3, the Under is still 4-1-1 the L6 times they have been favored to win on home ice. In Game 2, they certainly showed they are capable of slowing the Sharks down as they held them to just 1 goal for almost 55 minutes. In Game 3, they held them to two goals for nearly 52 minutes. Remember that in the Game 7 vs. Vegas, the Sharks were able to take advantage of a controversial power play (5 min major) by scoring four times. In baseball, we'd call this cluster luck. Whatever you want to call it, I feel that this game stays Under. 10* Under Avalanche/Sharks |
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04-30-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
10* Under Avalanche/Sharks (10:05 ET): Sunday night, I appeared all set to finish off a perfect 8-0 weekend w/ the Under on Game 2 of Avs-Sharks. It was a 2-1 game w/ less than 10 minutes left in regulation and the total (for most) was 6.0. (I'd personally bet it at 6.5). Imagine my surprise then when I clicked over after watching "Game of Thrones" and saw the final score was 4-3! That's a really bad break, especially considering each team scored in the final minute and the final goal came w/ just 11 seconds left. I'll stick w/ the Under for Game 3 as it should more closely resemble what we saw for the first 2 1/2 periods on Sunday. The Over is now 5-0 in head to head meetings between these teams this season. There has been at least seven goals scored in every game. But there's a "first time for everything," just like there was for the Avs finally beating the Sharks on Sunday. Prior to that, they were 0-4 vs. San Jose this season. So now it's the Under's "turn" to deliver as we should see the game "tighten up" as the stakes get higher. The next two games are in Colorado where the Avalanche allowed just two goals in each game in the first round series vs. Calgary. Overall, San Jose has been one of the top Over teams in the league this year (53-35-3 all games), but they don't score as much on the road. In the three first round games at Vegas, the Sharks scored all of five goals and were shut out once. Prior to Game 2, they had scored exactly five goals in three straight home games. I think the offense is about to start to subside. The same holds true for Colorado. Going back to last season, the Over is 8-1 the L9 head to head meetings, but look for this one to be different as we've already seen the matchup being capable of producing a low-scoring game (just look at those first 2 1/2 periods in Game 2). 10* Under Avalanche/Sharks |
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04-28-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
10* Under Avs/Sharks (7:05 ET): Game 1 of this series saw San Jose storm back from an early 2-1 deficit to win 5-2. The game clearly swung in the second period when the Sharks scored three straight times after killing off a four-minute penalty. They added an empty-netter for the final margin and the Over. There were not a ton of shots on goal in Game 1, so while seven of the previous eight meetings between these teams have gone Over the total (including five straight), I think we're in for a lower scoring Game 2. Take the Under here. San Jose has beaten Colorado all four times they've played this season. In all four wins, the Sharks have scored at least four goals, three times scoring five. That's not a recipe for success if you're the Avalanche, so they'll definitely have to "tighten up" if they want to take this series. Do I think the Avs are going to win this series? Not really, but I wouldn't want to fade them in this spot, especially at the "going rate." Remember, after losing Game 1 to Calgary in Round 1, the Avs would take four straight and hold the Flames to just seven total goals. The Flames were one of the highest scoring teams in the league. San Jose averages 3.7 goals per game on home, so they will be difficult to stop. But Calgary averaged more than 4.0 gpg on home ice, so the Avs have "been here before." As for their own scoring here, I'm not expecting them to have two goals on the board by early in the second period again. The Under is 5-1 the L6 times the Avs have been off a loss by 3+ goals, including Game 2 of the Calgary series. Since falling down 3-1 in their first round series w/ Vegas, the Sharks have been on fire. But remember that if it wasn't for that gift penalty in Game 7, they probably wouldn't be here at all. Look for them to start to cool down offensively. 10* Under Avs/Sharks |
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04-25-19 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* Under Blue Jackets/Bruins (7:05 ET): Columbus shocked the world in Round 1 by sweeping the 62-win Lightning. It wasn't just that the Blue Jackets advanced though; it was how. A 4-game sweep of a team that had outscored them 17-3 in the regular season and set various records in the process. Meanwhile, the Bruins had a much more challenging path to the second round as they were taken a full seven games by the Maple Leafs. But the bottom line is that Boston is one of only two higher seeds that won its first round series (San Jose being the other). These teams went almost a full calendary year w/o facing one another. But then they faced off three times in the final month of the regular season w/ the Bruins winning twice, including an overtime game in Columbus. The two games decided in regulation were both blowouts w/ the winning side scoring at least six goals. Nine of the last 10 meetings have gone Over the total, which is a bit of a surprise considering neither team is generally regarded as an "Over squad." In fact, both teams have seen far more Unders than Overs this season. Boston scored 4+ goals in all four victories in the 1st round series w/ Toronto. But in the three losses, they were held to two goals or fewer (just 4 goals total). This is a tough spot for the B's w/ them coming off a 7-game series while C-bus is off a 4-game sweep. Perhaps it's a question of "rest vs. rust," but the bottom line is that I do NOT see Boston winning a high-scoring game tonight. Fortunately, they were #3 in the league in goals allowed during the regular season. The Blue Jackets somehow held the Lightning (top scoring team in the L20 years!) to just eight goals in four games. The Under is 4-0 for Boston the L4 times they've faced an opponent that scored 5+ goals in its last game. In the close out game vs. TB, the Blue Jackets won 7-3. 10* Under Blue Jackets/Bruins |
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04-21-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
10* Under Sharks/Knights (7:05 ET): Four 1st round playoff series are now complete and in all four the lower seeded team has advanced. That's pretty crazy. The most notable upsets have obviously been the top seed in each conference bowing out, including the shocking sweep of Tampa Bay by Columbus. Vegas looks to keep the trend of lower-seeded teams advancing Sunday night in Sin City. While the Golden Knights didn't have the home ice advantage coming into the series, they were able to take Game 2 in San Jose. Then came a pair of wins here at home where of course they have been magical since coming into existence. The Golden Knights have already failed in their first shot in closing out the series as they lost Game 5 in San Jose by a score of 5-2. Facing elimination, the Sharks got off to a fast start, scoring just 76 seconds into the game. They never trailed and spent most of the game enjoying a multi-goal advantage. However, here at T-Mobile Arena, the Golden Knights have to like their chances. They are 62-25-7 SU the L2 years at home, including 9-3 in playoff games. They won Game 3 by a score of 6-3 and Game 4 by a score of 5-0. The winning team of every game in this series has scored a minimum of five goals. The only game to stay Under thus far was the Game 4 shutout here in Vegas. I expect the Knights not to give up many again tonight as they were third best in the league in the regular season when it came to # of goals allowed at home. The Under is 6-1 the last 7 games in Vegas. 10* Under Sharks/Knights |
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04-12-19 | Blues v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -128 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
8* Under Blues/Jets (9:35 ET): Anyone thinking it would be an easy "course correction" for Winnipeg following a poor finish to the regular season obviously better think again. The Jets dropped Game 1 to the Blues, at home, by a score of 2-1. The Jets have now six of eight going back to the end of March and most troubling of all is that includes four losses on home ice. The Game 1 loss was the most "back breaking" type possible as they'd scored first, only to give up two third period goals, including the game winner w/ just over two minutes left in regulation. I don't have enough confidence to back the Jets in this critical contest, but I do see another low scoring battle on tap for Game 2. Neither team got a ton of shots off in Game 1. Obviously, it was a 1-0 game heading into the third period. The two power plays combined to go 0 for 4, which continues a trend we saw in the regular season meetings. In five games vs. the Blues this season, Winnipeg is just 3 for 19 w/ the man advantage. St. Louis is 3 for 16. Winnipeg actually has the lowest win percentage among the 16 playoff teams when leading after two periods (.743). So Game 1 was not anything new. But it was for St. Louis, who had the second WORST win percentage in the league when trailing after two periods (2-29, .065). The number of shots allowed by the Jets could be a problem moving forward, but the Blues are stingy, ranking in the top five in goals allowed and top 10 in penalty killing.They were a strong Under team all year and are 43-19-4 Under their L66 games as a road underdog. They are also 4-0 Under the L4x being a playoff underdog. The Under is 5-0-1 the L6x times Winnipeg has been a playoff favorite. 8* Under Blues/Jets |
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04-10-19 | Penguins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
10* Under Penguins/Islanders (7:30 ET): I think that given how surprising the Islanders' success was this season, a lot of folks are going to be taking the Penguins to win this series. But be careful about that. The Isles ranked 1st in the league in goals allowed, giving up just 2.33 goals per game. All but three other teams gave up at least 25 more goals over the 82-game regular season schedule. Despite being division rivals, these teams have not met since December. Five of the last six meetings here in New York have stayed Under the total, including both this season. I'm on the Under for Game 1. Pittsburgh, as per usual, ranked near the top of the league in goals scored (6th). But roughly 21% of their goals came from the power play. In the playoffs, they figure to have far less chances w/ a man advantage. In the two regular season visits to Brooklyn this year, the Pens were held to 2 goals each time and that was while going 2 for 6 on the PP. We shouldn't have to worry at all about the Islanders' PP as it ranked 29th in the regular season, converting at just 14.5%. The Under went 50-27-5 in all Isles games this year, including 25-8-2 when facing an opponent w/ a winning record. The Islanders should have a clear edge between the pipes in this series as they have two strong netminders. Robin Lehner had a .934 even strength save percentage in the regular season while Thomas Greiss was slightly better (.937), albeit w/ a slightly lighter workload. Lehner is getting the Game 1 start. In two starts vs. Pittsburgh this year, he stopped 46 of 49 shots. Down the stretch, Pittsburgh was an Under team as 8 of their last 10 games have ended that way. I have faith goalie Matt Murray will be better tonight than he was for most of the regular season. 10* Under Penguins/Islanders |
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04-06-19 | Hurricanes v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
10* Over Hurricanes/Flyers (7:05 ET): Carolina nabbed its first playoff berth since '09 by beating New Jersey 3-1 on Thursday. They'll likely end up as a Wild Card, though they could move up to third place in the Metro by winning tonight and the Penguins losing (in regulation) to the Rangers (unlikely). Look for the Canes to bring the offense tonight in Philadelphia, who has given up a total of 13 goals its last two games, both of them bad losses. Inconsistent goaltending has plagued the Flyers all season and is a significant reason why this is their last game of the season. I'm not convinced that Carolina will last very long in the playoffs, but one thing to like about this club is that they average a league-high 34.5 shots per game. Moreover, they have the best shot differential in the league. The Under has gone 6-1 in their last seven games, but the one exception was a home game against these Flyers, which they won 5-2. The Canes have totaled seven goals in their last two games as well, so the number of goals is finally matching the number of shots, which was NOT the case early in the season. The Over has cashed in five of their last six visits to Philly. The Flyers were flat out embarrassed their last game. They gave up five first period goals to St. Louis on Thursday, the first time the franchise has done that since 1997. They lost 7-3 and that was on the heels of a 6-2 loss in Dallas. I do expect better effort in this final game of the year as it's at home and the players openly talked about being embarrassed about the effort in St. Louis. The Over is 4-1 the Flyers' last five games w/ them allowing 25 goals and at least three in every game. They are 0-3 vs. Carolina this season, allowing 13 goals. So we know Philly is likely to give up their "fair share" here. After all, they are 29th in the league in goals allowed. But expect them to score a few of their own as well. 10* Over Hurricanes/Flyers |
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03-17-19 | Panthers v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
10* Under Panthers/Ducks (9:05 ET): Neither of these teams will be going to the playoffs, but those respective fates have been known for some time now. Anaheim actually has the 2nd worst goal differential in the sport (-55) right now, which is due in large part to the fact they are the lowest scoring team in the league. But they have been somewhat of a "tough out" down the stretch, winning five of their last eight games. They just dealt a severe blow to Colorado's playoff chances w/ a 5-3 road win on Friday. I don't think they'll be scoring anywhere close to five goals again tonight though. Similar to Anaheim, Florida may be out of realistic playoff contention, but they haven't given up on the season. The Panthers are on a four-game win streak entering tonight as they just won in LA, 4-3, Saturday night. They've totaled 20 goals during the four-game win streak. But that's an average I cannot see being maintained moving forward. This is one of the highest scoring stretches of the year for the Panthers and thus they are due for a bit of a "correction." The Under is 4-1-2 in their last seven meetings w/ the Ducks. Anaheim is a pretty clear Under team, which is just the opposite of Florida. The Ducks are 22-8-1 Under against Eastern Conference teams this season and an even stronger trend is the fact they are 9-1 Under following a win by two or more goals. Both offenses are set to "cool off" here. 10* Under Panthers/Ducks |
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03-14-19 | Ducks v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
10* Under Ducks/Coyotes (10:05 ET): The bottom of the Pacific is a pretty ugly scene right now. I've got the bottom four teams all ranked in my bottom eight in the league. Anaheim and it's -52 goal differential is really close to the bottom and it's incredible to think this team was once 19-11-5. But they were winning in a non-sustainable manner (lots of comebacks) and are 9-23-4 SU since. The Ducks' biggest problem is clearly offense as they rank last in the league in goals per game w/ only 2.27. They are a top Under team (43-23-4 overall) and that's the way I see this one going. The Coyotes are still fighting for a playoff spot. Right now, they would be the final Wild Card in the Western Conference, which seems shocking. But save for a dismal showing at Chicago on Monday (lost 7-1), this club is playing well. Their only other loss in the last 11 games came to, ironically enough, Anaheim. They lost 3-1, right here at home. It's difficult to imagine the same fate happening twice, though the Ducks have won four of six and all four wins were against teams currently vying for a playoff spot. Arizona is a top 10 teams in this league in goals allowed. They're (not surprisingly) a little more stingy here on home ice where they give up only 2.6 goals per game. But, like Anaheim, the 'Yotes biggest issue resides at the other end. They are 28th in goals per game. So we're looking at a battle of two of the four lowest scoring teams in the league. That seems conducive to an Under, especially considering how the last meeting went. The Coyotes' completed their last home stand by allowing just 12 goals in seven games. 10* Under Ducks/Coyotes |
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03-13-19 | Rangers v. Canucks OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* Over Rangers/Canucks (10:05 ET): Neither of these teams were expected to be playoff contenders this year and it's readily apparent now that the respective prophecies will be fulfilled. The Rangers come in having dropped seven of eight, five of those losses coming beyond regulation. They have 69 points and figure to finish ahead of only lowly New Jersey in the Metro. Vancouver has lost 8 of 10 and they're tied for second to last in the Pacific. Somebody has to win tonight, by money is on the Over as this should be a high-scoring game between two bad teams. The Canucks just gave up six goals in a loss to Vegas Saturday night. They've been off ever since. A lack of goal scoring has been another problem w/ the club averaging only 1.8 gpg over its last five contests. But they should get their share of scoring opportunities tonight against a Rangers team that gives up 35.6 shots per game on the road. Looking at road games only, NY has also given up the 4th most goals per game in the league. They "only" allowed three in a loss to Edmonton Monday, but were a little fortunate that number wasn't higher considering the Oilers found the back of the net twice in the opening 10 minutes. With both teams eyes to the future, I don't expect defense to be a high-priority in this game. The Under is 4-0-1 in the month of March for the Rangers, but this is an opponent they can break out against offensively. In its last six games, Vancouver has allowed fewer than three goals just once. It was a 2-1 final (Rangers won) when these team met back in November, but that was a game where the teams combined to go 1 for 10 on the power play. Nearing the end of the year, this should be a much different kind of game. 10* Over Rangers/Canucks |
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03-12-19 | Capitals v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
10* Over Capitals/Penguins (7:05 ET): These two long-standing rivals have played three times this season. The last two were both low-scoring affairs, a 2-1 final each time. Both of those games were played in D.C. and each team won once. The last time they faced off, believe it or not, was December. But there was a high-scoring game here in Pittsburgh, played all the way back on Oct 4 w/ the Penguins prevailing 7-6. That was the night after Washington raised its 1st Stanley Cup banner (beat Boston 7-0) and the season opener for the Pens. Fast forward to the present and I'm expecting another high-scoring affair tonight. Take the Over. After scoring a total of 13 goals in its first two games of the season, Washington has remained one of the league's top offensive teams. They are 7th in the league in goals per game (3.38) and really have turned it on as of late. The Caps come into tonight riding a seven-game win streak (now 1st in the Metro w/ 89 pts) and have scored 30 goals in those seven games. They've only conceded one in the last two games, but both of those were at home. They've also faced a very favorable schedule w/ only one of the last seven opponents likely making the playoffs (that would be Winnipeg). Bottom line is I expect Washington to continue to score tonight, but they will be tested defensively. Pittsburgh is 5th in the league in goals per game (3.42), so they are slightly more prolific than the Caps. Like their rival, they've been scoring plenty as of late (scored 27 goals L8 games), but have been stingier than normal as well. In fact, the Penguins' last five games have all stayed Under the total. They've allowed just nine goals during that time, but like Washington, they rank in the bottom half of the league in goals allowed over the course of this season. I'm a little concerned w/ the workload of goaltender Matt Murray, who just started three games in four nights, including back to back games. His save percentage of .947 in those four games prob can't be maintained. 10* Over Capitals/Penguins |
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03-07-19 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* Over Blue Jackets/Penguins (7:05 ET): These Metropolitan Division rivals just met last week w/ the Penguins winning 5-2 in Columbus. They're about to get quite acquainted w/ one another as tonight is the front end of a home and home. There's a history of high-scoring games here as not only did that last meeting go Over, so too have five of the last six meetings. The Pens certainly have had no trouble scoring on the Blue Jackets during that time, tallying at least four goals in all six meetings. (They scored at least five goals five times). No slouch in scoring themselves, C-bus is 20-11 Over in all road games this season. Surprisingly though, the Blue Jackets have been held to just four goals over their last three games. This is a really critical time for the club as they are trying to lock down at least a Wild Card. They just won in New Jersey, which was hardly emphatic as they needed a shootout in a game they were outshot 30-18. But I was happy as I took 'em. The win left the Blue Jackets two points back of the Wild Card, one of those spots being held by Pittsburgh. You'd like to think we'll see more offense from them here. The Over is 10-4 following the last 14 times the team was held to two goals or fewer in its previous game. Pittsburgh also needed extra time to get the two points in its last game. They beat Florida 3-2 to stay two points up in Columbus in the standings. The Pens are 5th in the league in goals per game (3.45) and given their past success when it comes to scoring against the Blue Jackets, I fully anticipate they'll score more than their "fair share" this evening. The Over has cashed in their last four division games and is 5-1 their last six games as a favorite. Over its last 12 games, Pittsburgh has been held under three goals just once and has scored at least four goals seven times. 10* Over Blue Jackets/Penguins |
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03-06-19 | Blues v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
10* Under Blues/Ducks (10:05 ET): A matchup involving the league's lowest scoring team seems pretty conducive to an Under, right? The fact that Anaheim has scored the fewest number of goals in the league has resulted in them having the worst goal differential (-57) as well. This even after winning B2B games, including a 3-1 victory last night in Arizona. Tonight is a tough assignment though as the Blues have had three days off compared to none for the Ducks. St. Louis was the hottest team in the league before dropping four of its last six games. Take the Under here. When it ripped off a franchise record 11 consecutive victories last month, St. Louis delivered four shutouts, including three in a row. But they've predictably started to regress on the goals allowed side of the ledger, giving up nine in the last two games alone. Rookie Jordan Binnington was in many ways the catalyst for the Blues' second-half surge, but he gave up three goals on just 20 shots to Dallas on Saturday. He's expected to be back between the pipes tonight and I'll stay confident in him given his 15-3-1 record in 19 starts, 1.68 GAA and .933 save percentage. Whether it's Binnington or Jake Allen in goal here for St. Louis, stopping Anaheim from scoring should not prove difficult. Over the last seven games, the Ducks have managed to scored only 10 goals, half of those coming in the L2 games. They've been shutout twice. The Under is 3-0 for the Ducks this month and 7-1 this season when playing the second night of a back to back. Even better is the fact they are 9-0 Under this season when coming off a win by two or more goals. Throw in the fact St. Louis is averaging just 1.6 gpg its last five games and you have a clear play on the Under here. 10* Under Blues/Ducks |
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03-04-19 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Over Maple Leafs/Flames (9:05 ET): Two of the league's best collide tonight in Alberta where the Western Conference leading Flames play host to the Maple Leafs. Toronto has almost no shot of catching Tampa Bay for the division lead over in the Atlantic, but really needs to focus on finishing second as that would give them home ice advantage for what appears to be an inevitable 1st round playoff series w/ Boston. Winning tonight will NOT come easy given Calgary has gone 20-6-5 SU here on home ice this season. But what should be a pretty easy proposition is this game finishing Over the total. These are two of the highest scoring teams in the league. Calgary saw its seven game win streak come to an end Saturday when they suffered a rare home loss to Minnesota. They gave up four goals in that contest, equaling the number they allowed in the previous four games combined. They themselves have not topped three goals in any of their last five games. Thus, the Under is 4-0-1 w/ the push coming in Saturday's loss to the Wild. But I expect the Flames to break out of that mini scoring "slump" tonight. After all, they are a top four team in the league in goals per game and no team has scored more times in home games (4.1 per game) this season. Toronto ranks just ahead of Calgary in overall scoring (3.58 gpg) at third overall. The Over has cashed in each of their last five games and in their case, it's been them doing most of the scoring. They've won four of those five games and scored at least five goals in every win. The one loss was by a score of 6-1 to the Islanders. Every Maple Leafs game during this stretch has seen at least seven total goals scored. The Over is 6-1 the L7 times Toronto has been coming off a game where they scored at least five goals. They just beat Buffalo 5-2 on Saturday. 10* Over Maple Leafs/Flames |
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03-02-19 | Senators v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* Over Senators/Lightning (7:05 ET): It may sound a little crazy, but Tampa Bay is more than capable of sending this game Over by itself. The league-leading Lightning (102 points) also lead the league in goals scored with 253 and are facing an Ottawa team that just fired its HC and also has given up the most goals in the league. Thus it's not really a surprise that we have the highest money line for a single game all season. The number of goals allowed by the Senators on the road is really frightening and thus this one could get ugly in a hurry. A play on the Lightning obviously has little value, but a play on the Over sure does. The fact Tampa Bay is off a loss does Ottawa no favors here either. The Lightning were beaten 4-1 up in Boston Thursday night, their 1st loss since February 7th. In between those two losses, they won 10 in a row, scoring at least four goals in eight of those games. TB averages 4.2 goals per game at home and facing a team that gives up 4.5 per game on the road, they should have little difficulty exceeding that average tonight. Not only does Ottawa give up the most goals per game in the league, they also permit the most shots. The Lightning are going to have plenty of opportunities to score in this one. The Sens come into tonight as losers of six straight, which is why Guy Boucher was shown the door. In those six games, they were outscored 28-12 w/ seven of those goals scored coming in one game. If they can score a few times here, it would be the icing on the cake. Note that each of the previous six meetings have gone Over and the last one actually saw Ottawa win 6-4 here in TB! All six games saw at least seven total goals scored. The Lightning did allow 41 shots on goal in Thursday's loss to the Bruins. 10* Over Senators/Lightning |
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02-24-19 | Stars v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
10* Under Stars/Blackhawks (3:05 ET): Chicago has gone Over in 11 straight games and 18 of its last 20. That's quite the streak. I've taken the Over in several of those games, but today they have an opponent that's conducive to things finally going the "other way" (i.e. Under). Dallas is 14-4 Under its last 18 games as they have built a reputation for having some of the lowest scoring games in the league. Unfortunately for the Stars, that includes them getting shutout three times in the last five games. Something's gotta give here and I think this will be more of a "Dallas game" Sunday. Take the Under. The Stars got shutout again last night, losing 3-0 to Carolina. They managed only 24 shots on goal in that game, so they didn't exactly make it tough on the Hurricanes. That game was also on home ice, a bad sign considering they typically average about a full goal per game more at home than on the road. On the road, they are averaging just 2.0 goals per game. That's the second lowest average in the league. But if there's one "saving grace" here for the Stars it's that they rank third in the league in goals allowed, giving up just 2.6 per game. Chicago is also off a loss, though there's was a higher scoring affair. They fell 5-3 to Colorado on Friday, here at home. You've got to tip your cap to the Blackhawks for not "folding their tent" despite spending much of the season in last place in the Central Division. But there's just no way they can maintain their recent scoring average, which is 4.6 goals per over the L5 games. Now I realize that the club also has the highest goals per game allowed average in the league. But Dallas won't test them as much as the majority of their recent opponents. Note the Stars are 7-1 Under this season when playing in the second night of back to back days. 10* Under Stars/Blackhawks |
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02-23-19 | Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
10* Under Bruins/Blues (4:05 ET): These are two of the hottest teams in the league right now, so this sets up as a competitive game. St. Louis did just lose for the first time in 12 games as their franchise record win streak was snapped on Thursday. So, Boston is technically the hotter team here as they come in having won seven straight. Each of the last four wins came out West as they swept the three California teams then won a shootout in Vegas. Given the competitive nature this game is likely to have, I see it staying Under the total w/ very few goals being scored. The Blues' season began its dramatic turn when rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington was thrust between the pipes. Granted, Binnington was not at his best Thursday in Dallas as he allowed four goals on just 24 shots. But prior to that, he'd posted a .937 save percentage and 1.61 goals against average in 15 starts all while going 13-1-1. What's really helped Binnington is the St. Louis defense not allowing their opponents to get many shots off. Since interim HC Craig Berube took over behind the bench, the team is allowing an average of just 28 shots per game, which is one of the better marks in the league. Even in defeat Thursday night, they allowed just 24 to the Stars. Boston is #2 in the league in goals allowed, so they're a stingy group too. In the seven-game win streak, they've allowed just 17 goals. That's not an awe-inspiring number by any means as it's been the offense doing a lot of the heavy lifting. But here they'll be facing a Blues team that allowed a total of just 16 goals in its historic 11-game win streak, including four shutouts. The Bruins are still w/o winger David Pastranak, keep in mind. When these teams met in Boston last month, the final score was 5-2 (in favor of the home team), but that was a much different Blues club than the one we're getting now. The Under is 14-8-1 in St. Louis' last 23 games. 10* Under Bruins/Blues |
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02-21-19 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
8* Under Blues/Stars (8:35 ET): The hottest in the team in the league right now resides in St. Louis as the Blues have won a franchise record 11 straight and generally speaking, they have been dominant in doing so, outscoring the opposition 43-16. Incredibly, they were close to pulling off a fourth straight shutout Tuesday vs. Toronto before giving up two third period goals. They still won obviously, in overtime. I wouldn't bet against this Blues team right now, but Dallas can be stingy, despite what we've seen from them recently. I'm on the Under here. The Stars had actually been shutout themselves in two straight games going into Tuesday. But three goals were NOT enough to overcome Nashville here at home. It was just the fifth time this season that Dallas lost a game in which it scored three or more times (21-4-1). But despite recent form, Dallas still ranks third in the league in goals allowed (2.61 per game). Their problem is clearly on offense where they rank 29th at 2.51 goals per game. Thus, they have generally been a "boon" for Under bettors w/ a 35-17-5 mark in all games. The Nashville game marked just the second Over for them in the last 18 games! St. Louis has gone Under in each of its last four games and the Under is 19-8-2 on the road for them. Obviously, it's been quite difficult to score on this team. Before the third period vs. Toronto Tuesday night, they'd gone 11 straight periods w/o giving up a goal. Much of that is owed to the remarkable play of rookie netminder Jordan Binnington, who is now 13-1-1 in all starts w/ a 1.61 GAA and .937 save percentage. Looking at the Stars' season as a whole coupled w/ the Blues recent play, I think it's quite reasonable to expect tonight to be a low-scoring affair. 8* Under Blues/Stars |
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02-21-19 | Kings v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
8* Under Kings/Predators (8:05 ET): Two teams at the opposite end of the Western Conference spectrum face off tonight in Music City. The Predators have a golden opportunity here to pass the Jets (who lost last night) and climb back into first place in the Central Division. The Preds have hardly played well of late (2-3-1 L6 games), but a 5-3 win at Dallas on Tuesday was definitely a step in the right direction. Tonight should be an easy two points, but the money line really doesn't allow for a play on the side. The Under is a better call anyway as this should be a low-scoring game. The Kings are not a good team. They've been residing at the bottom of the Pacific Division most of the year and their 52 points are a Western Conference low. They've been outscored by 39 goals, which is the second worst differential in the entire league. They are particularly weak on the goal scoring side of the ledger where they rank 30th (next to last) at just 2.39 per game. Strangely though, it's not been goal scoring that has hurt the team during the current five-game losing streak. They've actually scored 15 goals during that time. But they've also given up 22. I don't see the Kings scoring three times tonight as Nashville is a top four team in goals allowed and #2 when factoring in only home games. Furthermore, the Kings' scoring average drops slightly on the road. The only prior meeting this season was played here in Nashville and saw the Preds win 5-3. But that was three months ago. Before busting loose for five goals in Dallas Tuesday, the Preds had totaled just six goals in their previous three games combined. 8* Under Kings/Predators |
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02-19-19 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -126 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
8* Under Predators/Stars (8:35 ET): To classify Dallas as an "Under team" is the equivalent of calling the Golden State Warriors "good at basketball." Well, maybe the former assertion is less known, but it certainly is no less true. I've previously discussed the somewhat "radical transformation" this Stars team has undergone. It actually started LY when they jumped from 29th (ahead of only a historically bad Colorado team) in the league for goals allowed (2016-17) to 6th. This year, they've taken a step further and rank 3rd. Thus, the Under is now 35-16-7 in all of their games. Unfortunately for the Stars, scoring matters too. They've failed to score even a single goal in the last two games, getting shutout by both Tampa Bay (6-0!) and Carolina (3-0). For the year, they are now 29th (third worst) in the league in goals per game. So, you can see how this club has been such a boon for Under bettors. Even O/U lines of 5.5, which used to be standard (but not so much anymore) haven't prevented the Unders from rolling in. The Under is 7-1-1 their last nine games with four of those seeing either them or the opponent get shutout. Tonight, Dallas hosts Nashville. This is the third time these teams have met this month. The previous two, predictably, both stayed Under. Both games took place in Nashville w/ the Preds winning the last one (3-1) after losing the initial battle, 3-2. Nashville has seen 7 of its last 10 games go Under, but not the last one as they gave up five goals in Vegas. I don't see them giving up that many here as they rank 4th (right behind Dallas) in goals allowed per game. This is basically the opposite of yesterday's Over play on Ottawa-Chicago, the two teams that give up the most goals per game in the league. Expect this to be a real low-scoring affair. 8* Under Predators/Stars |
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02-18-19 | Senators v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
10* Over Senators/Blackhawks (8:35 ET): These two teams are tied for the most goals allowed per game in the league, which is quite the dubious distinction. Therefore, it's no shock to see a high total for this game. But it's still not high enough. Ottawa is really "generous" when they're the road team, giving up a whopping 4.25 goals per game. Chicago has seen its last eight games all go Over the total and this one should be no different. Take the Over. So Ottawa is actually off a rare win here and a shocking one at that as they won in Winnipeg on Saturday, 4-3 (in OT). That was obviously an Over as the Senators were able to pepper the Jets w/ 41 shots on goal. Incredibly, they were still able to win despite giving up TWO short-handed goals in the first period. Like I said, the Sens are no stranger to giving up their fair share of goals as they've allowed a total of 10 in just the past three games. In addition to being tied w/ Chicago for the most goals per game allowed, Ottawa also allows the most shots per game (36.3). The Blackhawks aren't too far behind in the shots allowed department, giving up 35.3 per game. That's the second highest number in the league. Lately, Chicago has been giving up a ton of shots on goal w/ the L5 opponents averaging nearly 40 per game. Columbus won here in the Windy City, 5-2, on Saturday night. That marked the 8th consecutive Blackhawks game w/ at least seven total goals scored. They had 41 shots on goal themselves vs. the Blue Jackets. This has all the makings of a real high-scoring affair. 10* Over Senators/Blackhawks |
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02-16-19 | Flames v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
8* Over Flames/Penguins (1:05 ET): As I've stated previously, it certainly appears as if the All-Star Break came at the wrong time for Calgary. They were the hottest team going in, but have lost five of six (including four straight) coming out. Thursday night was a bitter result for me as I had them only to watch as they went down 3-2 in overtime at Florida. A significant issue since the Break has been the number of goals allowed. They've given up a total of 25 in the six games and now they face the Penguins, who are a top five team in the league in scoring. I look for this game to go Over. Of course, Calgary is no slouch offensively either as they are third in the league in scoring. Before the loss to Florida on Thursday, the Flames' last five games had all gone Over the total. Thus, it's no surprise that we have a high total here, but the reality is the oddsmakers probably can't set it high enough. An issue I saw w/ the Flames in the first half is that the level of play they were getting between the pipes was probably unsustainable. Sure enough, Dave Rittich (who had been carrying them in the 1H) has an .853 save percentage his L4 starts. Pittsburgh averages 3.5 goals per game at home, so we're gonna see plenty of scoring from both sides this afternoon. The Pens have won their last two games, giving up just one goal in both, but those were against Philadelphia and Edmonton, who are both in the bottom third of the league in scoring. The Over is 15-3 in Calgary's last 18 games overall. The Over is 5-2 in the last seven head to head meetings as well, including a stunning 9-1 result from earlier this year that was in Pittsburgh's favor. That game took place very early in the season (Oct 25th) and while things won't that one-sided this go around, they very well should be as high scoring. 8* Over Flames/Penguins |
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02-15-19 | Rangers v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
10* Over Rangers/Sabres (7:05 ET): The Blueshirts travel from the city to upstate NY on Friday for this post-Valentines Day date w/ the Sabres. We've been through this before, but the Rangers aren't good (nor were they expected to be) as they are one of six Eastern Conference teams that have little hope of making the postseason. As for Buffalo, they're hoping for at least a Wild Card, but find themselves currently six points back in that race. The reality is that outside of that 10-game win streak (back in November), they too have been a below average club, one that is 18-21-7 otherwise. The Sabres' last three games have all ended w/ an identical 3-1 score. They've won two of them, including their last time out on the ice, which was against the Islanders. That was here at home and a pretty impressive win, all things considered. They limited the Isles to just 25 shots, making it three straight games w/o allowing more than 30. But this seven-game homestand (which ends tonight) certainly got off to a dicey start defensively w/ them allowing 17 goals on 105 shots in the first three games. I think that's more representative of the kind of play we'll see here. The Rangers don't seem to pose much of a threat offensively as they rank 27th in the league in goals per game. But they are off a 4-3 loss in Winnipeg, which was actually the fourth time in five games they scored at least three goals. Given that they've won only two of those games, defense is obviously an issue for them as well. They've allowed three or more goals in six of their last seven contests. Goaltending could be an issue for both sides, especially the Rangers as likely starter Georgiev has an .882 save percentage on the road. Buffalo has gone Over in 11 of its last 16 games overall. 10* Over Rangers/Sabres |
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01-30-19 | Lightning v. Penguins UNDER 7 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10* Under Lightning/Penguins (8:05 ET): I understand that there may be some hesitation to bet these teams Under on an individual basis, let alone when they're facing off against one another. Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh rank 1st and 5th in the league in goals per game. However, know that much of the Lightning's record setting pace when it comes to goal scoring is due to what they've done on home ice where they average an other-worldly 4.32 gpg. (Calgary is fast approaching that number, however!). Tonight, TB is on the road where its scoring does experience a noticeable drop. It's also been a long layoff for them due to the All-Star Break. So I wouldn't look for the Lighting offense to be as sharp as usual and this should be played more along the lines of a playoff contest (where fewer goals are typically scored). Take the Under. Unlike the Lightning, the Penguins have played a game since the Break. It did not go well. They gave up six goals in a home loss to New Jersey Sunday. The offense was just fine w/ three goals scored on 40 shots. But the goaltending and overall defense was terrible, a continuation of a disturbing trend from before the All-Star Break. The Pens have now lost four of their last five games, giving up five or more goals in all four losses. That obviously doesn't sound good when getting set to face off w/ a team like Tampa Bay. But it should be pointed out that three of the goals allowed against New Jersey were on special teams. This is a team w/ a top six PK unit, so that was a surprise. The defense and goaltending has to start getting better in Pittsburgh if for no other reason than it simply can't get any worse. Lightning fans may want to dispute that claim, but their team has been held to two goals or fewer in three of its last four road games. Both teams will have their top goaltender between the pipes tonight. Tampa Bay's Andrei Vasilevskiy in particular can help us out here as he carries a .925 save percentage into this game. The last seven times these teams have played the Over has cashed. But they haven't met since November and I think this one will be different. 10* Under Lightning/Penguins |
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01-21-19 | Blues v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
10* Under Kings/Blues (4:05 ET): This is a "juiced up" total, similar to the last time I played the Kings Under, which was Thursday, and that ended up being a 2-1 final (in their favor). Saturday's game didn't go nearly as well w/ LA losing 7-1 at Colorado. They played a historically bad period, giving up six goals in the second to the Avalanche and obviously had no chance after that. In my analysis from Thursday, I made mention that the Kings are just putrid offensively on the road. Well, they're not much better at home and that's why they are dead last in the league in goals per game. This afternoon, they'll face another low-scoring team and I think another Under is in the cards. St. Louis is coming off a 3-2 win over Ottawa Saturday night. It was a much needed win after suffering B2B losses. Save for a 5-2 setback in Boston Thursday night, there hasn't been a whole lot of scoring in recent Blues' games as that game in Beantown is the ONLY one of their last eight to see more than five combined goals scored. The Under is 7-1 in that stretch. The road has seen the Blues go 14-5-1 to the Under and while the Kings may be the league's lowest scoring road team, the Blues aren't far off, ranking 27th w/ just 2.35 goals per game. The respective offenses are what is keeping these teams at or near the basement in their respective divisions. St. Louis isn't going to do what Colorado did to the Kings on Saturday, thus this should more closely resemble a "normal" Kings game. The Kings are 9-3 Under their last 12 games and have scored more than two goals just once in the last six. In 7 of 10 games in January, the Blues have allowed two goals or fewer. In terms of shooting percentage, both of these clubs rank right near the very bottom of the league. When they met back in November, the result was a 2-0 shutout in favor of LA. Goals will again be hard to come by tonight. 10* Under Kings/Blues |
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01-17-19 | Kings v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
8* Under Kings/Stars (8:35 ET): Similar to the NBA, the NHL has seen somewhat of a "scoring renaissance" this season, but don't expect the trend to play out in this game. The Kings have been simply putrid on the offensive end, ranking dead last in the league in goals per game w/ only 2.26. As bad as that number is, things get even more dire on the road where they average LESS than two goals per game (1.86). To put that number in perspective, the next worst team is at 2.13 and that happens to be tonight's opponent, Dallas. I'm on the Under all the way in this one. The Stars used to be known for their high-scoring games. Then again, the Kings used to be good. For Dallas, the trend changed last season when they made a jump from 29th (out of only 30 teams at the time) in goals allowed to a respectable 6th. This year, they've been surprisingly even more stingy as they rank 4th in the league in goals allowed at 2.64. For the reasons stated above, they should have little difficulty in stopping the Kings from scoring here. The Under is 27-15-5 in all Stars' games this season, including 5-0-1 the last six. They have not scored more than three goals themselves in any of those six contests (just 8 goals total!). That brings us to the Dallas' decline offensively as they come into this game ranked 29th in the league, which is third fewest in the league. So this is the exact opposite of the Toronto-Tampa Bay game that we're also playing accordingly. It's two of the three LOWEST scoring teams in the league here w/ LA in the "Tampa Bay role" as a historically BAD offensive outfit and Dallas not too far behind. Remember when Stars' CEO Jim Lites ripped some of his team's star players? Well, the offense has actually DECLINED since then, to 2.2 goals per game and a woeful 6.7 shooting percentage. 8* Under Kings/Stars |
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01-17-19 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* Over Maple Leafs/Lightning (7:35 ET): What a game this should be as the top two teams in the Atlantic Division tangle Thursday night in Tampa Bay. I think we can all agree that the Lightning are the league's best team as that assertion is confirmed by virtually every available metric, simple or advanced. While there is a gap between them and Toronto (16 points in the standings!), I think the Leafs have as good a case as any to be called the second best team in the league. I'm expecting a high-scoring affair tonight and will be on the Over. Tampa Bay is on a record-setting offensive pace as they come into this game averaging over 4.0 goals per game. At home, they average 4.4. They also have the league's best power play, converting at a 29.1% clip. They haven't been quite as prolific over the last week, scoring just three goals total in their last two games. They were surprisingly dominated by the Islanders on Sunday (lost 5-1), but then bounced back to shutout Dallas 2-0 on Tuesday. Note that both of those games took place on the road. I also think they were a bit fortunate to kill off all six chances the Stars had w/ the man advantage Tuesday. When Toronto last came calling to North Florida, the Lightning prevailed 4-1. However, the Leafs did have 49 shots on goal. Toronto really needs to get its act together in a hurry as they've dropped five of seven following a 6-3 defeat at the hands of Colorado on Monday. They have won four in a row on the road however, and after their top three scorers have been held off the sheet for the last three games, you'd expect at least one to have a big game tonight. Toronto is not that far behind Tampa Bay in scoring as they rank 3rd in the league in goals per game w/ 3.58. With two of the top three teams in the league in scoring here, an Over play just seems logical. 10* Over Maple Leafs/Lightning |
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01-14-19 | Canadiens v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
10* Play Over Canadiens/Bruins (7:35 ET): These teams have a (recent) history of playing low-scoring affairs. In fact, two of the three meetings this year have produced a shutout (one by each team). Montreal is on a seven-game Under run and Boston is #2 in the league in goals allowed. Each team's top goaltender - Carey Price for the Habs and Tuukka Rask for the Bruins - has been red hot of late. The Under seems so "logical" in this scenario that even the official game preview referenced it! However, contrarian that I am, I'm looking to go the other way Monday night. Take the Over. Now, I'm not betting the Over here just to be different. We're getting a good number here as 5.5 goal totals are still common in this sport, but not as much as they used to be. Scoring is up this year in the NHL and I'm counting on that trend play out tonight in Boston. The Bruins are averaging an impressive 3.6 goals per game here on home ice this season. Note that over their L10 games, the B's have seen at least six total goals (them and their opponent combined) scored six times. The Under is 3-0-1 their L4, but I'm expecting a big offensive breakthrough this evening. Don't discount the impact that the Bruins' 3rd ranked power play could have on this game. Rask may not play tonight, which would be to our benefit. But even if he does, it's highly unlikely he'll be able to maintain his recent save percentage, which is at .954 the L5 games. Backup Jaroslav Halak's save percentage in his L4 starts is just .892. For Montreal, Price has posted two shutouts in his L5 starts, the latest coming against Colorado Saturday night (3-0 win). But I expect his numbers to take a slight dip moving forward as well. The Habs haven't faced too many prolific offensive teams recently, which partly explains the rash of Unders. Boston is 6th in the league in gpg at home and did score four times against Price when they faced him last month, on the road. The Bruins have averaged just under 35 shots per game in the three meetings w/ Montreal this season. 10* Over Canadiens/Bruins |
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01-07-19 | Kings v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
10* Over Kings/Sharks (10:35 ET): On paper, this is a game that San Jose should win easily. But if you've looked at the money line, then you already know that. The Sharks are a pretty strong club on home ice; outscoring its visitors by a full goal per game, one of only four teams in the league doing that. Only three teams in the league average a higher number of goals per game at home than San Jose. One is the historically great offense down in Tampa Bay (the other two are Calgary and Boston). But the ML is too high to play here. With the Sharks doing most of the "heavy lifting" though, I think the Over is a far more reasonable call here. The Kings have plenty of issues scoring goals. They are actually dead last in the league in goals per game at 2.26. On the road, they average a putrid 1.9 gpg. That's a number that has to start going up. Saturday, LA did record a 4-0 shutout of Edmonton at home. They scored those four goals on just 23 shots, three of them coming on the first eight, which led them to chase Oilers' goalie Mikko Koskinen in the first period. But equally as key to that victory was the Kings facing only 16 shots on goal for the game. Whomever starts in goal tonight (likely Jonathan Quick) will likely be under far greater siege as San Jose averages 33.5 shots per game here at home. Quick hasn't exactly been his usual solid self between the pipes this year. His save percentage on the road is just .895. Recent San Jose games have been very high scoring as the last six have all seen six or more total goals scored. The L4 have averaged 10.0 total gpg! Somehow, despite being short-handed on the blue line, the Sharks were able to end the Lightning's 16-game point streak Saturday. They won 5-2 and held TB to only 20 shots on goal. Even w/ the Kings' offensive deficiencies, I expect the Sharks' injuries to catch up w/ them here. Goalie Martin Jones has a sub-.900 save percentage on the year. It's been a very long time since these SoCal rivals played to an Over, but it happens here. 10* Over Kings/Sharks |
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11-06-18 | Canucks v. Red Wings OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Over Canucks/Red Wings (7:35 ET): Two bad teams here, though both have recently shown signs of busting out of the doldrums. In the case of Vancouver, they've won three straight, including a 7-6 win at home over Colorado on Friday. Detroit also enjoyed a three-game win streak, that was until they ran into Edmonton on Saturday and lost 4-3. Both teams have gone Over in each of their L3 games and rank in the bottom 10 in the league in goals allowed. Therefore, I'm expecting another high-scoring affair this evening in the Motor City. Take the Over. All of Vancouver's last seven games have seen no fewer than five total goals scored. The last one was obviously the highest scoring of the bunch as they outlasted the Avs in overtime, a game which saw 13 total goals scored. There were seven goals scored in the second period alone. It was the Canucks' third straight game scoring four or more goals as rookie Elias Pettersson (NHL's Rookie of the Month) continues to lead the way. Pettersson had five points against Colorado (2 goals, 3 assists), including the tying goal that sent the game into OT. Vancouver is 4-1 Over this year after scoring 4+ goals in its previous game. Detroit ranks 27th in the league in goals allowed. They started the year w/ just one win in the first 10 games. But offense keyed a brief turnaround w/ the team scoring 4 or more goals in three consecutive victories. Then came the 4-3 loss to Edmonton on Saturday. The Red Wings gave up 42 shots on goal in that one, which is obviously a lot. I'm not too confident in the goaltending situation on either side as Vancouver's Jacob Markstrom comes in w/ an .883 save percentage on the road and Detroit's Jimmy Howard has struggled all season. 10* Over Canucks/Red Wings |
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06-04-18 | Golden Knights v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 112 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* Over Golden Knights/Capitals (8:05 ET): Neither of these two franchises has ever hoisted Lord Stanley's Cup. But as you know, that's a highly misleading statement. Washington has been competing for 44 seasons while Vegas is in its first year of existence. The Capitals have never been closer though. After dropping Game 1 in Sin City (6-4), they've stormed back to take the L2 games. I was on them in Game 3 as they controlled largely from start to finish en route to a 3-1 victory. As I said in my analysis, I think it's now fair to ask if Golden Knights' goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury has has hit a bit of a "wall." After coming into the Cup Finals w/ an incredible .947 save percentage, he's allowed 10 goals in three games. At the same time though, I expect Vegas to bounce back offensively here in Game 4 as well. I'm on the Over. After outshooting the Capitals in both games in Vegas, the Golden Knights were held to just 22 shots on goal in Game 3. They have been outshot in these playoffs, but that hadn't mattered before w/ Fleury performing at such a ridiculous level. But now that their netminder might be regressing a bit, the offense has to pick it up a bit. Remember that they did score six goals in Game 1 (one on an empty net). Granted, the Knights aren't nearly as prolific in the goal scoring department on the road as they are at home. But they still average nearly 3.0 goals per game on the road. Getting the power play going would be a big help. They are just 11 for 59 w/ the man advantage in the playoffs and failed to convert on either of their chances in Game 3. Washington's power play was a huge story for the first two rounds of this postseason, but has since "tailed off" some as they are getting fewer and fewer chances. They're just 2 for 10 over the L5 games, but still at 27.3% for the playoffs. They were 0 for 4 in Game 3 and I suspect if they get that many chances again, they won't fail to convert again here. Braden Holtby is outplaying Fleury between the pipes in this series and while he's been a better goaltender at home throughout the course of the season, the Over is still 41-29-5 in all of his starts. The Capitals are averaging 3.5 goals per game in the playoffs and have scored no fewer than three in each of the L5 games. 10* Over Golden Knights/Capitals |
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05-28-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 113 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
10* Over Capitals/Golden Knights (8:05 ET): The phrase "defying the odds" is thrown around a lot in sports, whether it's related to betting or not. But, how ironic is it that the phrase has never been more apropos than it is here w/ the very first pro sports franchise in Las Vegas? The expansion Golden Knights, who started as high as a 500/1 proposition to win the Stanley Cup, have stunned everyone in advancing to the Stanley Cup in their first year of existence. This has to be extremely painful to fans of the Capitals, who are making just their second Finals appearance in 44 years of existence and first in exactly 20 years. But needless to say, very few outside of D.C. will be pulling for the Caps in this series, with the exception of the Vegas' bookmakers. An irony here is that this is the first series where the Golden Knights come in as a favorite. They have the home ice advantage, which is huge, as they are 6-1 SU at T-Mobile Arena ini the playoffs. This incredible run has been led by goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury, who is having a historic postseason w/ a .947 save percentage. The Knights have lost just three times in the playoffs, which is as many times as Washington lost in the last round. However, since losing their first two playoff games, the Capitals have gone 12-5 their L17. Their goalie, Braden Holtby, is having himself quite the postseason as well. He has a .924 save percentage and turned in B2B shutouts to close out the Eastern Conference Finals, stopping all 53 shots, against what was the league's top scoring team in the regular season. If you've seen any of my previous plays on Capitals games, particularly the recent ones, then you've read about their power play. They have scored 16 PP goals in 19 games this postseason and are converting at a somewhat ridiculous 28.8% rate, even after going just 1 for 10 the L5 games. Vegas has been very good on the penalty kill (82.5% in playoffs) while their own PP (18.8%) has been nowhere near as good as Washington's. But still, their 27.8 scoring chances per 60 minutes is tops among teams that have played at least 10 playoff games. They have been outshot in the postseason and will be facing a team averaging 3.5 goals. While Unders were more common for both teams in the Conference Finals, I see Game 1 of this series going Over the total. 10* Over Capitals/Golden Knights |
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05-21-18 | Lightning v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
10* Under Lightning/Capitals (8:10 ET): I've said it before and I'll say it again. It's pretty ironic that Washington's playoff run could very well end the same way it started. If you recall, they opened this postseason by dropping the first two games (both at home) of their Round 1 series vs. Columbus. But they stormed back to take the next four games (three of them in C-bus), then finally got over the "emotional hurdle" that was the rival Penguins, eliminating them in six games too. The Eastern Conference Finals began w/ the road team taking the first two games, only this time it was Washington turning the trick. But just like the Blue Jackets in Rd 1, the Capitals have been unable to sustain "momentum" (hate that word!). Tampa Bay has come all the way back and after the road team won each of the first four games of this series, they took back the home ice advantage w/ a 3-2 win in Game 5 at Amalie Arena on Saturday. Washington now must win this game (at home) to keep its season alive and force a Game 7, which would take place in Tampa on Wednesday. Vegas awaits the winner of this series in the Stanley Cup Finals. I had the Under in Game 5 and it won. It was actually the first Under in the series after three of the first four games "pushed" (on the number of 6.0) and Game 2 (Capitals won 6-2) went Over. I have little to add here that I didn't say in my Game 5 analysis. As projected here, both power plays are starting to decline from the ridiculous conversion rates we saw in the first two rounds. In fact, Game 5 saw only one power play chance from either side (TB) and it was successfully killed off. No team had been better w/ the man advantage in the first two rounds than Washington, but they have zero PP goals the L3 games and are just 3 for 14 in this series. Meanwhile, Game 5 snapped a streak for the Lightning that had seen them score at least one PP goal in nine consecutive contests. Bottom line is that the respective power plays were on an unsustainable run of success and were "due" to come down. Tampa Bay had scored 11 PP goals in that nine-game stretch and that's pretty ridiculous even for a unit that was 3rd overall in the regular season. They are 40% w/ the man advantage in the series and 30% in the playoffs overall, numbers well above their 23.9% in the reg season. The Capitals are at 28.6% on the PP in the playoffs, but have dropped to 21.4% in the series, which is more in line w/ their own reg season performance (where they ranked 7th in the league). If there is something the hosts can lean on here, it's the fact that goalie Braden Holtby has been much better at home than on the road this year. Meanwhile, this series may represent a bit of a dropoff for Lightning netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy, but he's still allowed two goals or less in 9 of the team's 15 playoff games. 10* Under Lightning/Capitals |
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05-19-18 | Capitals v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
10* Under Capitals/Lightning (7:15 ET): Going into Game 4, I wrote something to the effect that Washington was facing a situation where their playoff run could end the same way it began. For if you recall, they opened this postseason by dropping the first two games (both at home) of their Round 1 series vs. Columbus. They stormed back to take the next four games, then finally got over the "emotional hurdle" that was the rival Penguins, eliminating them in six games too. Then, they started the Eastern Conference Finals by taking both Games 1 and 2 in Tampa Bay. But just like that 1st round series w/ Columbus, the road team has continued winning through the first four games and we're all tied up at two games apiece. Now perhaps, the Caps are in some trouble as they'll have to win at least one more time on the road. Interesting is that the Lightning aren't priced as high (on the ML) here as they were for either of the first two games. I'll be on the Under here in Game 5. None of the first four games have seen fewer than six total goals scored, but three of the four happen to have landed right on that number of 6, which not coincidentally has been the O/U line set by oddsmakers. I believe we're due for a decrease in scoring as the series moves forward, particuarly from the respective power plays, which have reached a point of "unsustainability," at least in my view. Tampa Bay has now scored a PP goal in nine straight games, going 11 of 33. They are converting at 30.8% for the entire playoffs, including 41.2% the L5 games. That's fairly ridiculous, even for a team that finished the regular season w/ the third best PP in the league. But they were "only" 23.9% over the 82-game season. Washington's power play had been even more prolific this postseason, but has perhaps already begun to curtail, going a combined 0 for 7 the L2 games. The good news is that they've outshot the Lightning in all four games, by a pretty substantial margin. It was definitely disappointing to see goalie Braden Holtby perform as poorly as he did in the two games at home, but I think he'll bounce back here. Meanwhile, TB's Vasilevskiy has allowed two or fewer goals in 8 of the team's 14 playoff games. With both PP's set to regress, the stakes so high and my belief we'll see two standout performances between the pipes here, Under is the call. 10* Under Capitals/Lightning |
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05-18-18 | Jets v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
10* Over Jets/Golden Knights (8:05 ET): For the 1st time this postseason, Winnipeg finds itself trailing in a series. After taking Game 1 of this Western Conference Final, 4-2, they have since surrendered the home ice advantage by losing Games 2 and 3, by respective scores of 3-1 and 4-2. Thus, Vegas would appear to be sitting pretty, given the tremendous home ice advantage they've enjoyed all season long and the fact they've lost only three games this entire postseason. We've seen the Golden Knights completely rewrite the record books for an expansion team (no matter the sport) and making the Stanley Cup Final in their 1st year of existence would obviously be a remarkable achievement. But I'm not about to write off Winnipeg (who won a Game 7 at Nashville) just yet either. It's the total I'm focused on here for Game 4 Friday night. The Jets are the highest scoring home team in the league at 3.8 goals per game, but guess who wasn't too far behind them (at #4). That would be the Golden Knights, who averaged 3.56 goals per game here in Sin City during the regular season. They've actually slightly exceeded that average here during the playoffs, averaging 3.67 per game. The Knights have been outshot in all three games in this series, but have been bailed out in the last two by goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury, who is having himself a remarkable postseason. Fleury now has a .945 save percentage overall in the playoffs. But, moving forward, that is a difficult percentage to maintain, especially when faced w/ a talented and explosive team like the Jets. What Winnipeg desperately needs right now is for someone other than center Mark Scheifele to start scoring. Scheifele has accounted for 14 of his teams 50 goals this postseason, an incredibly high percentage. He had both Jets' goals in Game Three. I have to imagine that a deep team that came into the Conference Finals w/ seven players having multiple even strength goals and five w/ double-digit, all situation, point totals, is going to get going soon. Note that off a loss in the previous series (vs. Nashville), Winnipeg scored 7, 6 and 5 goals the next time out. This is the 1st time in a LONG time that they are off consecutive losses (just 4th losing streak since X-mas and 1st since mid-March). Look for a high-scoring Game 4. 10* Over Jets/Golden Knights |
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05-17-18 | Lightning v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
10* Over Lightning/Capitals (8:05 ET): Washington currently finds itself in a bit of a unique position, hoping its playoff run does not end similar to the way it started. Back in Round 1, they dropped the first two games (at home) to Columbus, only to storm back and take the next four (three on the road). They followed that up by (finally!) vanquishing the rival Penguins in six games in Round 2. Then, came the REAL surprise as they opened the Eastern Conference Finals by taking BOTH Games 1 & 2 in Tampa Bay. But just when you thought "for certain" these Caps were turning a corner, they dropped Game 3 at home to the Lightning, 4-2. Now, they're desperately trying to avoid the same fate they dealt Columbus back in Rd 1. While you'd think the home side was "due" to win a game in this series, I'm pointing to the total for Game 4 and thinking this one goes Over. All three games of the series so far have seen at least six total goals scored. A huge key to both teams' success thus far in the postseason has been the power play. Washington actually outshot TB in Game 3, 38-23, but was 0 for 3 w/ the man advantage. That's been a real rarity to see from them in the playoffs as they're still converting at a phenomenal 30.8% on the PP in the playoffs. They were 3 for 7 in the first two games and have not gone B2B games w/o a PP goal in these playoffs. Not to be outdone, the Lightning have scored 11 PP goals over their L7 games and are now also at 30% in the postseason. While these convesation rates are high, note both teams had top seven power plays in the regular season. Center Nicklas Backstrom could return here for Washington, which would be huge. He's missed the L4 games w/ a hand injury and had 21 goals/50 assists in the reg season as well as 3 goals/10 assists in the first 11 playoff games. Meanwhile, goalie Braden Holtby had his first "off-day" in Game 3, allowing four goals for the first time this postseason. The Over is 40-24-3 in all Holtby starts this season. As for Lightning netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy, he bounced back from a shaky first two games of the series by stopping 36 of 38 shots in Game 3. But his save percentage in the last four games is still down at .898. The Lightning have scored four goals in four of their last seven games while the Capitals are averaging 3.7 gpg in the postseason. The trend of high scoring affairs should continue here in Game 4. 10* Over Lightning/Capitals |
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05-15-18 | Lightning v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
10* Under Lightning/Capitals (8:10 ET): Top seeded Tampa Bay certainly finds itself in a major hole in this Eastern Conference Finals having dropped the first two games at home. Washington is now 10-2 since re-inserting goalie Braden Holtby into the lineup and appears to be a much "different" (i.e. more clutch) team that past editions. The series now shifts to the Nation's capital and I'm a bit surprised that the home team isn't being given a little more respect by the oddsmakers. Yet, the Lightning ought to still be respected as well given all that they've accomplished. So I'm back to the total and after two relatively high-scoring games to start the series, I'm taking the Under in Game 3. Tampa Bay goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy had been the star of the team in the first two rounds of the playoffs. He came into the ECF sporting a somewhat ridiculous .943 save percentage at even strength. But he had - by far - his worst game on Sunday, allowing six goals on 37 shots. Particularly disastrous were the final two minutes of the second period where Vasilevskiy allowed two goals, which turned a tie game into a 4-2 Capitals' advantage going into the third period. I can't see him playing that poorly again, even w/ the series shifting sites. In fact, Vasilevskiy has a .932 save percentage for the year on the road. I also can't see Washington's power play continuing to produce at the ridiculous rate it has so far this postseason. By going 1 for 3 in Game 2, the Caps are now 16 of 49 w/ the man advantage in the playoffs, which works itself out to an unsustainable 32.7%. They're are above 35% the L5 games! Capitals' goalie Holtby had a save percentage nearly identical to that of Vasilevskiy during the regular season. He has outshined his counterpart in this series, stopping 52 of 56 shots. I'd mentioned in previous analysis that Holtby had NOT been as strong on the road this year, but here at home his save percentage is a lot better. The Lightning got both goals from the PP in Game 2 as they too are above 30% the L5 games when on the man advantage. These PP numbers HAVE to start coming down and the good news for Holtby and the Caps is that TB doesn't score as much on the road as they do at home (no shock there). 10* Under Lightning/Capitals |
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05-13-18 | Capitals v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
10* Under Capitals/Lightning (8:05 ET): Are "these" Capitals really different than the underacheivers of franchise past? Maybe so. After finally vanquishing the rival Penguins in Round 2, they came in and took Game 1 at Tampa Bay in impressive fashion, winning 4-2 as +160 ML underdogs. After starting the postseason w/ consecutive home losses to Columbus, the Caps have won 9 of their last 11 as they look to make only their second Stanley Cup Finals ever. In fact, this is just their second ever appearances in the Conference Finals! They had to wait 20 years to get here, but you can't help but think there might be a little "letdown" Sunday night in Game 2. I don't necessarily want to bet against them though, not at this price at least, so let's look at the total instead. Both teams are known for their scoring. The Lightning led the league in goals per game during the regular season. Washington is averaging a very impressive 3.6 gpg here in the postseason, but a lot of that has to do w/ the power play, which "struck gold" again (scoring twice) in Game 1. In the postseason, the Caps are now 15 for 46 w/ the man advantage, a ridiculous 32.6% overall, easily the highest percentage of any team. But I can't see them continuing to score at the current rate, whether we're talking even strength or on the power play. Tampa Bay goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has been outstanding in the playoffs as he came into the series sporting a save percentage of .943 at even strength. In six of the team's 10 games in the first two rounds, Vasilevskiy has allowed two goals or fewer. I believe he'll bounce back here after a subpar Game 1 effort. No team in the playoffs has allowed fewer scoring chances than TB. The problem for them in Game 1 was that they had only 21 shots on goal. That's a problem as Washington's Braden Holtby has a nearly identical save percentage to Vasilevskiy overall in the postseason. The Capitals have not allowed more than three goals in any playoff game w/ Holtby between the pipes. Washington has gone Over in only two of its previous seven games while TB has gone Over in only two of its previous eight. 10* Under Capitals/Lightning |
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05-07-18 | Capitals v. Penguins OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
10* Over Capitals/Penguins (7:05 ET): The Penguins were the lone lower-seeded team to be favored (to win the series) in the second round, yet here they are facing elimination. The good news for Game 6 is that they are at home and a significant favorite to force a Game 7, which would take place Wednesday night in D.C. As you might think, scoring hasn't really been the issue thus far for the Pens, who have found the back of the net three times in four of the five games. But they've also allowed four or more goals in three of the last four. Game 5, won by the Capitals, was the highest scoring game of the series as the final score was 6-3. That score is a little misleading in the sense that the Caps scored twice on an empty net in the final 90 seconds. But even so, there were still seven goals scored before that. Take the Over in Game 6. Pittsburgh did enter the third period up 3-2 in that game, thanks to a pair of power play goals in the second. It's no secret that this team was #1 in the league w/ the man advantage during the regular season. They've now scored at least one PP goal in three consecutive games. They were also #1 in even strength scoring in the second half of the season, so it's not all the power play. They did outshoot the Caps in Game 6, 39-32, which was their highest shot total for any individual game in the series. Facing elimination, the Pens should be thankful to be at home as they're big favorites for a reason. They average 3.6 goals per game here for the season. They've actually topped that averaged overall here in the playoffs thanks to a 12.5 shot percentage. Bottom line is Pittsburgh will "get theirs" tonight. So too should Washington, who is 20-11 Over this season following a win by 2+ goals. We know they are no slouch in the scoring department either, ranking 9th overall in goals per game and 7th on the power play (right behind Pittsburgh in both categories). For the playoffs, the Caps are averaging 3.7 goals per game, same as the Pens. That can be attributed to the fact they are an impressive 13 of 41 on the power play. Game 1 of this series marks the only time in the playoffs that they have not scored at least once on the power play. Note that Pittsburgh is giving up almost 3.0 goals per game in the playoffs despite allowing an average of just 26.3 shots per game. Pens' goalie Matt Murray has a save percentage of .885 the L4 games, which is not good. But Washington has just as much reason to be concerned in goals as Braden Holtby has an .896 save percentage for the year on the road. 10* Over Capitals/Penguins |
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05-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* Over Golden Knights/Sharks (7:35 ET): As we've been over ad nauseam, the hockey team in Vegas has set a new standard for which expansion teams - in all sports - will forever be compared to. After winning Game 5 at home on Friday, they are now one more win away from making the Conference Finals in their first year of existence, which obviously would be a remarkable achievement. But winning tonight in San Jose might prove difficult and thus I'm not going to throw my endorsement behind the Golden Knights. This has been a high-scoring series w/ seven more goals scored in four of the five games thus far, the lone exception coming when the Knights were shut out here in San Jose back in Game 4. Other than that loss though, they've scored 19 goals in the other four games. I'll look for the high-scoring trend to continue and take the Over in Game 6 Sunday night. Game 5 appeared poised to be a low-scoring win for Vegas as they led 3-0 going into the third period. But the teams then combined for five goals in the final 20 minutes, three coming in a six-minute flurry by the Sharks after they'd fallen behind 4-0. For good measure, Vegas added an empty-netter in the final 90 seconds to make the final score 5-3. This has been a much different series for the Golden Knights compared to Rd 1 vs. the Kings when they allowed only three total goals and scored just seven themselves in four games, two of those coming in OT. A major reason for that has been the number of power play chances they've had (27 in five games). They've actually only cashed in six times w/ the man advantage, so that speaks to how prolific they've been at even strength. They're also averaging 33.8 shots per game in the series, a number they didn't hit in three of the four games vs. the Kings. But at the same time, the Knights are also allowing more shots per game in this series as well (37.2 per game). Their own penalty killing unit has been tested, just like the Sharks, facing 25 power plays. They've killed off 20 of them. But it will be more difficult stopping San Jose here on the road as the Sharks have scored 17 goals in four home playoff games. Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury has been nowhere near as effective in this series as he was vs. the Kings, posting a .908 save percentage the L4 games. Two of the five games in this series have been shutouts, but the winning side has also scored no fewer than four goals in all five games. Over is the play here. 10* Over Golden Knights/Sharks |
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05-05-18 | Jets v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
10* Under Jets/Predators (9:35 ET): Nashville picked up a huge victory in Game 4 (2-1), thus taking back the home ice advantage they had lost in Game 1. Speaking of home ice advantage, the series now shifts back to "Smashville" for Game 5. I'm not about to deviate from my view that Winnipeg might just be the better team here, but I have to also concede that winning in Nashville tonight is going to be a tall order for them. But what I am confident in here is another low-scoring affair similar to Game 4. Winnipeg had started out this series by scoring at least four goals in each of the first three games. But that streak came to a crashing halt in Game 4 Thursday as they scored only one time on 33 shots. Nashville had scored nine goals in Games 2 and 3, which was also unsustainable. Take the Under here. Winnipeg is the highest scoring team in the league on home ice at 3.8 gpg. So it was quite impressive to see the Preds hold them to just one goal in the last game. Then again, Nashville was #2 in the regular season in goals allowed. Notable for the scene shifting for Game 5 is that the Jets see their scoring average dip by nearly a full goal per game on the road (down to 2.9). The Under is 26-19 in all Winnipeg road games this season as well as 10-4 if they are seeking revenge for a home loss (which they are here). Game 4 featured the fewest number of total shots on goal in the series, showing that things are "tightening up" as the stakes are raised. Nashville, in particular, exhibited a far more "conservative" and defensive-oriented approach in Game 4. "It was something we really focused on, playing solid defensively," Nashville goalie Pekka Rinne said. I expect them to employ a similar strategy here in Game 5. Winnipeg is no slouch defensively either as they've allowed two goals or less in six of their nine playoff games thus far. They too were a top five team in goals allowed during the regular season. Connor Hellebuyck has had himself a nice postseason between the pipes w/ a .921 save percentage. I'd say the last three games he hasn't been at his best, but for the team's sake, he knows he "has" to be tonight. Remember that after his one bad outing in the 1st round vs. Minnesota, Hellebuyck bounced back w/ B2B shutouts. I expect him to play well here. However, Winnipeg still will have to solve Nashville's blue line, which is the best in the sport two deep. 10* Under Jets/Predators |
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05-04-18 | Lightning v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
full analysis soon |
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04-30-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
8* Under San Jose/Vegas (10:05 ET): The Sharks have "stolen" away home ice advantage from the Golden Knights by virtue of a 4-3 overtime win in Game 2. That was a nice bounce back from a disastrous 7-0 loss in Game 1 where they faced an insane TEN Vegas' power play chances, killing "only" seven of them. At the same time, San Jose's own PP was 0 for 5 in the series opener. We've now seen B2B games w/ seven total goals scored, one w/ all the scoring coming from one side and the other with a more even distribution. I think what we can expect for Game 3 in San Jose is a lower-scoring game. Take the Under. In Vegas' 1st round series sweep of the Kings, the Under was 3-0-1. They allowed just three total goals in those four games while scoring just seven themselves. After just two games in this series, we've seen more goals scored and more allowed than the four against the Kings! Actually, it took just one game to equal the number of goals scored vs. the Kings while Game 2 Saturday saw them give up more than they had in the previous five combined. After starting the playoffs w/ three shutouts in five games, it was only natural for some regression from the Golden Knights, but I expect goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury to be a lot better in Game 3. He faced 47 shots in Game 2, so he still has an outstanding .967 save percentage in these playoffs. San Jose's Martin Jones has a .931 save percentage in the playoffs. Similar to Vegas, this series has gone a lot differently than the Sharks' first. In sweeping Anaheim, they allowed just four goals in four games. The Golden Knights obviously blew by that number in just one game and I have to say I'm surprised they have 10 goals on just 63 shots so far. Part of that was the ridiculous number of power play chances they enjoyed in Game 1. As for the Sharks, they had their own eight-goal game against the Ducks, but other than that they have not scored more than three times in regulation in any game in the playoffs. Both teams finished the regular season in the top 10 in penalty killing (San Jose #2), so as long as they cut down on the number of penalties, the # of PP goals should naturally go down. Both teams have already had 12 PPG chances in two games, which is a lot. 8* Under San Jose/Vegas |
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04-29-18 | Penguins v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
10* Over Penguins/Capitals (3:05 ET): Ghosts of "playoffs past" certainly seemed to rear their head yet again in Game 1 of this Penguins-Capitals series. In personally selecting the Pens for Gm 1, I wrote about the history of this rivalry in the postseason, which has been one-sided to say the least. Of the 10 all-time series these two rivals have played, the Pens have won NINE of them. So when they came back from a 2-0 deficit in the third period Thursday (won 3-2), it had to feel a bit like "old hat" for fans of the Caps. Now Washington not only lost Game 1 of their first round series (vs. Columbus), they lost the first two games. So them giving away home ice advantage and still being successful is not w/o precedent. Still, I'm not as inclined to bet against them in Game 2. Washington struck quickly in Game 1, scoring in the first 17 seconds. From there, they'd only scored one more goal. It came, ironically, in the first minute of the third period. But it was the Penguins that obviously "laughed last" w/ three goals in the final 18 minutes. Obviously, neither team generally has issues scoring. But the fact the Capitals gave up three goals - all in the third period - on just 25 shots has to be disconcerting, especially given the past playoff problems w/ the Penguins. Then again, maybe we shouldn't be all that surprised. Pittsburgh had no difficulty in finding the back of the net in their 1st round series w/ Philadelphia, scoring 28 goals in six games, including 25 in their four wins. Also, remember something else I said in my Game 1 analysis. Capitals' goalie Braden Holtby posted a career-worst .907 save percentage in the regular season. Also, remember that leading scorer Evgeni Malkin didn't even play for the Pens. He is probable to return for Game 2. Pittsburgh, as I said in the Game 1 analysis, was #1 in the league in even strength goals in the second half of the season. They also have the #1 rated power play over the course of the league. Washington has killed off 18 consecutive PP's dating back to Game 2 of the 1st round series, but that streak is due to end. This analysis may read like yet another endorsement of the Pens, but let's not forget the Caps can score too. They had more power play goals than anyone in Round 1 (33.3%). Penguins' goalie Matt Murray posted a .907 save percentage in the regular season as well, same as Holtby. 10* Over Penguins/Capitals |
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04-27-18 | Jets v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* Over Jets/Predators (8:10 ET): Of the four second round series in the NHL playoffs, this one may be the best as Winnipeg and Nashville finished w/ 114 and 117 points respectively, which was 2nd and 1st in the entire league. The Jets now carry the weight of an entire country on their skates as they are the only Canadian team left in the field. (As you may be aware, no Canadian franchise has won the Stanley Cup since Montreal did it in '93). Of course, the President's Trophy winners (Nashville) are not w/o motivation here either after losing to Pittsburgh in LY's Stanley Cup Final. I expect this to be a great series (probably goes long) and for Game 1 I don't really have any read on the side. But I do expect the game to go Over the total. These teams met five times in the regular season. Predictably, the results were close w/ the Preds winning three of the five matchups, none of which were decided by more than two goals. But what you may find surprising is how high scoring the games were. Four of the games went Over as eight or more goals were scored in each game in that quartet. The one Under, won by Nashville (here at home), was a 3-1 final. The number of shots on goal in the regular season matchups were jaw-droppingly high. Nashville averaged 35.2 shots per game while Winnipeg averaged 36.0 per game! That's a ton of shots obviously. Of course, both teams ranked in the top seven in goals per game in the regular season as well (Winnipeg 2nd). They were both inside the top three when it comes to even strength scoring. Nashville also had little difficulty scoring in its first round series vs. Colorado. It may have taken six games to oust the Avs, but the Preds averaged 3.7 goals on 35.3 shots per game. They scored at least three goals in every game but one and scored five in three of their four victories. Winnipeg only needed five games to eliminate Minnesota and is off B2B shutouts. But in their one loss in the series, the Jets did allow six goals. The Under did cash in each of the Predators' last three games, but those all had O/U lines of 6.0 and the Over is 5-1 this season when the Preds are on a streak of three or more consecutive Unders. Goalie Pekka Rinne's 1st round save percentage was only .909 and the Over is 21-15 in his 36 home starts this season. Take the Over in Game 1. 10* Over Jets/Predators |
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04-25-18 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* Over Maple Leafs/Bruins (7:40 ET): Of the eight 1st round series in this year's Stanley Cup Playoffs, this one had the most total points between the two teams from the regular season. So in that regard, maybe we shouldn't be surprised that this thing has gone the distance, bringing us to a Game 7 Wednesday night in Boston. However, the Bruins (who certainly were on my short-list for potential Cup winners) have to enter tonight already feeling like they've let some opportunities "slip away." They led the series 3-1 before dropping Games 5 and 6 by scores of 4-3 and 3-1 respectively. That puts their back against the wall here, but at least they're at home where they've lost in regulation only nine times all year. I do favor the Bruins in this spot, but don't like the price. Therefore, to the total we go and I expect this game to be higher scoring than anticipated. So, take the Over. These teams have now met 10 times this season and the majority of those games have been high-scoring. None have featured fewer than four total goals scored and there's never been an instance where the teams combined for fewer than five in B2B contests. So the fact Game 6 was a 3-1 final pretty much "telegraphs" we should expect a higher-scoring game tonight. Boston has averaged 3.5 goals per game in the series and averages 3.7 gpg for the year here on home ice. That home average is third highest in the league, so we should certainly be able to count on the Bruins to hold "their end of the bargain" here. As for their situation between the pipes, goalie Tukka Rask has not been particularly sharp in this series (.909 save percentage) and he's definitely struggled the L4 games (.894 save percentage), most notably when he was pulled in Game 5 (last time here at home). Toronto, like Boston, ranked in the top six in goals per game in the league during the regular season. They actually ranked higher at 3rd overall. However, while Boston ranked 4th in the number in goals allowed per game, Toronto was outside the top 10. That's largely owed to the number of shots they allow, which has gotten no better in this series. They've allowed an average of 34.5 shots per game so far w/ the Bruins getting 40 or more in three of the six games. Frederik Andersen has definitely kept his team in the series, but the Over is also 20-12 this season in road starts made by the Leafs' netminder. Back to Rask; he's just 5-11 SU in elimination games in his career, including 1-2 in Game 7's. So he's come up small in this spot before, even allowing four goals on 28 shots in his one Game 7 win, which came in 2013 against ... Toronto. 10* Over Maple Leafs/Bruins |
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04-23-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 101 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
10* Over Capitals/Blue Jackets (7:35 ET): Here's what I wrote in my analysis prior to Game 5, which wound up being a 4-3 overtime win for the Caps: "It's about time the home team won a game in this series, no?" That's precisely what they did, though for a fourth time in the series, things did go to OT. Winners of the last three games in this series (two in OT), Washington can now close Columbus out, but must do so on the road. Given how this series has gone (road team won each of the first four games), maybe that's not such a big deal, but at the same time I'm not sure I see the Blue Jackets losing a third straight home game. Seeing as how every game in the series has seen at least five total goals scored, Over seems like the most logical call here and that's the way I'll go. Overtime has been the rule, not the exception, in this series. But something novel did take place in Game 5 and that was Columbus actually finishing with the edge in shots on goal. It was 42-29, the most shots on goal the Blue Jackets have had in any individual game in the series. Not that it ended up mattering though. They needed a late goal in the third period to force OT. Their only lead of the game came on a short-handed goal that opened the scoring in the 1st period. That said, they've scored at least three goals in regulation in all but one game in the series. They get Alexander Wennberg back for Game 5 (missed previous three games). Wennberg is the team's second line center and can also help on the power play, an area desperately need of some assistance for Columbus. They've gone 0 for the last 12 after scoring four times w/ the man advantage in the first two games. Washington has scored a PP goal in every game in this series. Not a surprise, they ranked 7th in that department in the regular season. There have been a lot of shots in this series w/ the Caps averaging 39.0 per game. That's making life difficult for Columbus goalie Sergei Bobrovsky, who has allowed 17 goals total in the five games. Braden Holtby, who didn't start the first two games for Washington between the pipes, has come in and helped turn the tide w/ a .936 save percentage in the series. The team has won all three of his starts, but remember he also posted an .895 save percentage on the road during the regular season. While the Caps are 6-2 Over their last eight games, the Blue Jackets are 9-2 Over their last 11. 10* Over Capitals/Blue Jackets |
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04-18-18 | Ducks v. Sharks OVER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
10* Over Ducks/Sharks (10:35 ET): In calling for San Jose to take Game 3 (they did, 8-1!), I said it was "high time" that the trend of the road team winning in this Pacific Division rivalry would come to an end. Prior to Monday night's result, the road team had won five straight head to head matchups between these two, obviously including the first two games of this best of seven series. Going back to last season, the road team was on a 7-1 head to head run. With their more than convincing win here on home ice in Gm 3, San Jose can now join Vegas in the Western Conference Quarterfinals w/ another win tonight. There was also another trend that halted w/ that Game 3 result, that being the Under going 5-1-3 the previous nine meetings. While its hard to imagine Anaheim "getting off the mat" after the Game 3 beatdown, Over is my call for Game 4. There have been plenty of shots on goal in this series, particularly in Game 3. Obviously, the deluge of Sharks' goals was the story from Game 3 as they scored eight times on 36 shots. But, somewhat "lost in the box score" is that Anaheim had 46 shots on goal. Yet they could only beat Martin Jones once as the San Jose goalie now has a remarkable .970 save percentage for the series. That number has to come down, no? Anaheim, which has found the back of the net just three times this entire series, is due to start scoring more especially if they can get anywhere near the number of shots off that they did in Game 3. However, the big concern is between the pipes where it appears like goalie John Gibson is still being affected by a late season injury. He gave up five goals (on 24 shots) in Gm 3. In relief, Ryan Miller was no better, allowing in three goals on 12 shots. San Jose got a ton of power play chances in Game 3 and made the most of them, converting four of eight opportunities. Obviously, that's something we shouldn't expected to be duplicated here. But it doesn't have to be w/ such a low O/U line. Anaheim has given up a ton of goals in games before (gave up six or more goals 5x in the reg season). The last three times they've given up at least six goals, the Over has cashed the next time out every time. Whether or not San Jose finishes off the sweep here, I do expect the goal distribution to be a lot more even, with Anaheim scoring more goals in this game than any of the previous three. But w/ the Sharks also scoring at least three times in every game in this series, it might not be enough. 10* Over Ducks/Sharks |
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04-14-18 | Avalanche v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Over Avalanche/Predators (3:05 ET): The top-seeded Preds took Game 1 by a score of 5-2, breaking the game open in the third period w/ three goals. The President's Trophy winners actually trailed early, both 1-0 and 2-1. Yet, this series is being very much priced as if the oddsmakers are anticipating a sweep as Nashville comes into Game 2 as a monster favorite on home ice. Obviously, they're "unplayable" at the current price, but the Over provides us w/ a solid value. These teams have a history of going Over against one another as 12 of the last 15 head to head meetings have gone that well, including each of the last four. Nashville has scored at least four goals in six of its last seven games overall. Take the Over. Colorado absolutely appears "up against it" tonight as they were not a good road team during the regular season. They went 15-19-7 SU away from home before dropping Game 1 and remember they are w/o their top goaltender, Semyon Varlamov, who is done for the season due to injury. The Varlamov injury puts alot of pressure on backup Jonathan Bernier, whose individual performances on the road do not exactly inspire as he has an .896 save percentage for the year. As a team, the Avs give up 3.4 goals per game away from home and among playoff teams, they allow one of the highest shot totals per game as well. It's difficult to imagine Nashville not scoring multiple times here in Game 2. The Over is also 31-17 this season when Colorado is playing w/ revenge. Nashville averages 3.5 goals per game at home for the year, so again, we know they'll get theirs. They may not score five times again like they did in Game 1, but we also probably won't need them to. Colorado also came into this series w/o the services of top defensemen Erik Johnson, which obviously hurts on the backend. At the same time, it's also difficult to imagine Colorado going 0 for 3 on the power play again. The Avs ranked 8th when on the man advantage during the regular season, so that was a big disappointment in Game 1. But the team does have to be encouraged somewhat by being able to take an early lead. The Avs did rank 10th in the legaue in goals per game during the regular season overall. I look for another high scoring affair here in Game 2. 10* Over Avalanche/Predators |
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04-13-18 | Kings v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
10* Over Kings/Golden Knights (10:05 ET): Thanks to a 1-0 final (in favor of Vegas) in Game 1, we've got a lower O/U line to work with for Game 2. Now I recognize that there's a lot of work to be done from Game 1 to get this one Over despite the 1/2 goal drop. And I did take the Kings Wednesday in large part due to their #1 ranking in goals allowed and penalty killing from the regular season. But, keep in mind the teams combined to go 0 for 6 on the power play in the series opener. This is the 1st time all season that a Vegas home game has a total of 5.0 attached to it and there must be something about Friday nights on the strip as the Over is 13-1 here on Friday nights. Meanwhile, the Kings are 3-0 Over in road games if the O/U line is 5.0. Take the Over. Vegas averages 3.5 goals per game at home. That's fourth most in the league. So I'm not necessarily fearful of them being able to get goals tonight even though they were held to just one in Game 1 and the Kings generally do a great job at keeping the opponent from finding the back of the net. Goltending, however, is a concern. Marc-Andre Fleury is a playoff veteran and made 30 saves in Game 1. But let's see if he can "do it again" here. Getting back to Vegas' ability to score, there has never been a three-game stretch all season where the team was held to one or fewer goals in three straight ganes. They lost their regular season finale 7-1 to Calgary, so I'm looking for the offense to bounce back in a major way tonight. The last time the Golden Knights were held to just one goal in B2B games, they came back the next time out and scored four times. The Kings must play Game 2 w/o defenseman Drew Doughty, so they're definitely weaker along the blueline here. Similar to Vegas, LA typically bounces back offensively after a weak showing the previous game. The last time they were shutout (prior to Game 1) was 3.17 and they came right back and scored four times the next game. In fact, Game 1 was only the fifth time the Kings have been shutout all season and the Over is a perfect 3-0 after the L3 times it happened. Let's take advantage of the low total here and go Over. 10* Over Kings/Golden Knights |
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04-12-18 | Sharks v. Ducks OVER 5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
10* Over Sharks/Ducks (10:05 ET): A late push from Anaheim (won final 5 reg season games) allowed them to pass San Jose for second in the Pacific and thus earn home ice advantage for this first round playoff series. These Southern California rivals obviously know each other well and this figures to be a tightly contested series. The Ducks may be the hotter team, but the Sharks still finished w/ a slightly better goal differential for the year. Also, prior to dropping five of six to end the regular season, San Jose happened to have won eight in a row. There is also an injury concern for Anaheim in goal as John Gibson got hurt late in the regular season. I have no read on the side here, but do like the game to go Over the total as this is the lowest Gm 1 O/U on the board. Anaheim actually gives up more shots than they take, which could come back to bite them down the road. Right now, the biggest question is Gibson's health. Gibson posted a career-best 31 wins in the regular season to go along w/ a 2.43 GAA. Reportedly, he is a "viable option" for Game 1, but having not played since 4/1, might he be rusty? The thinking is that Ryan Miller's postseason experience will make the Gibson injury a non-factor, but I'm no so sure about that. San Jose has its own issues in goal right now as Martin Jones posted a career-worst GAA (2.55) this season and closed w/ a terrible .875 save percentage his L4 starts. Backup Aaron Dell is always an option, but he has zero postseason starts to his name. These teams played four times in the regular season and three of the games went to shootouts. Ironically, all three of those games that went to a shootout stayed Under the total. The other game was a 6-2 San Jose win. The Under has cashed in 8 of the last 9 head to head meetings overall and the Ducks were a strong Under team during the regular season. Still, San Jose went Over in each of its final three regular season games and the O/U line was never this low for any of the regular season matchups. With the goaltending issues on both sides, I see some real value on the Over here in what should be a tightly contested series. It should definitely take at least three goals to win this game. 10* Over Sharks/Ducks |
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04-04-18 | Wild v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Under Wild/Ducks (10:05 ET): The oddsmakers really aren't "cooperating" here, making the Ducks an overwhelming favorite on the ML in what is a "must-win" spot for them. But the total, Under specifically, seems to have some value as these teams have a history of playing low-scoring games against one another. Anaheim is 4th in the league in goals allowed per game (2.6) while Minnesota isn't too far behind (2.8). Six of the last seven meetings have stayed Under, including two this season, both of which were 3-2 finals (each winning as the road team). In what should be a "playoff-like atmosphere" another low-scoring game should be forthcoming. Take the Under. As alluded to earlier, the Ducks badly need the two points here. Right now, they are holding down one of the two Wild Card spots in the Western Conference w/ 95 points. That's two more than Colorado (who would be the 2nd WC the way things stand today) and three more than St. Louis (who plays tonight at home vs. Chicago and is also a big favorite). There is room for upward mobility for the Ducks as well. They are just one point behind the third place Kings and three behind San Jose (who lost last night). So, really, no team is more in flux than Anaheim when it comes to possible playoff position as they could conceivably have home ice advantage for a 1st round series or miss the playoffs altogether (or finish somewhere in between). Minnesota, meanwhile, has safely clinched a playoff spot and will likely have itself a tough 1st round draw vs. Winnipeg, who will have home ice advantage. The Wild won via shutout their last time on the ice, 3-0 over Edmonton. It was also their fifth Under in the last six games overall. Three times during that stretch, they've scored only one goal. They really did dominate the Oilers on Monday (outshot them 40-22), but that was also at home where their record is 27-6-8 SU. On the road, the Wild are only 17-19-2. They are also 4-1 Under this season following a shutout win. Anaheim, who as I mentioned earlier is 4th in the league in goals allowed, has seen the Under go 16-9 this year when they scored 4+ goals the previous game. They came through for me big time on Sunday by rallying to defeat Colorado in overtime, 4-3. They aren't likely to have John Gibson between the pipes here as he left the Colorado game after being run into during the 1st period. But I feel they'll shut down the Wild nevertheless. Minnesota probably turns to Devan Dubnyk in goal and he's second in the league w/ five shutouts (including the one two nights ago). He also has a .949 save percentage his L4 starts. 10* Under Wild/Ducks |
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03-31-18 | Blues v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10* Under Blues/Coyotes (9:05 ET): With six straight wins, the Blues had fought their way right back onto the cusp of playoff contention. But they suffered a crushing loss last night, 4-3 in Vegas (OT, no less), and now find themselves tied w/ Colorado (92 pts each) for what would be the final Wild Card entry. The Blues have played one fewer game than the Avs, so that's an edge. Of course, both teams could also make it in as Wild Cards were they to finish ahead of whomever finishes fourth in the Pacific (currently Anaheim, who has 93 pts). So, if you're St. Louis, there's no time to lick your wounds over what happened last night in Sin City. There's another game tonight and it's against a far lesser opponent, that being Arizona. I like the Under in this game. Under seems like a logical way to go w/ this Blues team, which ranks only 24th in the league in goals per game, but 5th in goals allowed. They'd in fact gone Under in four straight before last night's loss, allowing just five goals total during that time. But last night's tilt got off to a much different start w/ the game tied 2-2 after just one period of play. That level of scoring came as a bit of a shock to me considering there weren't a ton of shots recorded in the game. Blues' goalie Jake Allen is usually a lot sharper as he's 8-1-1 his L10 starts. It will be interesting to see if it's Allen or Carter Hutton starting tonight. The Under is 9-5 this season when the Blues are in the second game of a back to back. One area we don't have to worry about w/ St. Louis is their power play. It ranks third worst in the league at 15.6 percent. Arizona has actually proven to be a "tough out" of late. They are 15-8-2 the L25 games, a far cry from when they won only nine of their first 42 games and were the consensus worst team in the league. The good thing for us though is they still rank second from the bottom in goals per game. That's even after a recent "offensive explosion" that's seen them score 4+ goals in four of the last seven games. St. Louis prides itself on not giving up many shots (just 25.2 the L5 games) nor many goals (just 1.8 per game L5). So I don't see the Coyotes scoring much here. So the burden largely falls on goaltender Antii Raanta, who should be up to the challenge. In his last four starts, Raanta has a save percentage of .951. He has faced the Blues twice this year and stopped 61 of 65 shots. 10* Under Blues/Coyotes |
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03-26-18 | Flames v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show |
10* Under Flames/Kings (10:35 ET): Huge game here for both teams. Admittedly, Calgary is all but dead in its hopes of making the playoffs. They are nine points back of Los Angeles and St. Louis (who are tied for the final spot) and would also have to jump Dallas. That's with just six games left. The Kings are looking at either a third or fourth place finish in the Pacific most likely, the latter not guaranteeing them a playoff spot. Depending on the result of this game, their playoff position will be a lot more or less secure. I'm not playing the side though as instead I really like the total and am going Under. Coming into March, Calgary was right there fighting for one of the last playoff spots. But a dreadful month, particularly of late, has virtually taken them right out of contention. They come into tonigh as losers of five in a row. They've given up a total of 25 goals during that span, a frightening number to be sure, but have also been shutout twice themselves. Overall, they've scored just three goals in the last four games. All five losses during the current streak have been by at least three goals. I don't like their chances of scoring much here against the league's #2 team in goals allowed. The Kings also have the league's top penalty killing unit. That's a bad matchup for Calgary, who is only 26th in the league in goals scored and 27th on the power play. Incredibly, despite what's taken place on the scoreboard, the Flames have outshot 11 consecutive opponents. But the Kings typically do a great job at controlling the puck, thus outshooting them may not be a likely scenario. It's a virtual lock that we'll see Jonathan Quick between the pipes for the Kings. After earning at least a point in the first three games of a four-game trip (went 2-0-1), the Kings lost by one goal at Edmonton Saturday night. I see this being a low-scoring game. 10* Under Flames/Kings |
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Bryan Power NHL Totals Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-21-20 | Stars v. Lightning OVER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 24 h 9 m | Show |
09-06-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
09-02-20 | Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 107 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
08-31-20 | Stars v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
08-23-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 104 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
08-15-20 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets OVER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
08-14-20 | Canadiens v. Flyers OVER 5 | Top | 5-0 | Push | 0 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
08-13-20 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning OVER 5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -133 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
08-05-20 | Penguins v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -138 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
08-04-20 | Wild v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
03-08-20 | Lightning v. Red Wings UNDER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
02-27-20 | Stars v. Bruins OVER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
02-26-20 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
02-25-20 | Blackhawks v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
02-23-20 | Blackhawks v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
02-21-20 | Predators v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
02-14-20 | Sharks v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
02-11-20 | Red Wings v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
02-08-20 | Predators v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
02-02-20 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
01-20-20 | Red Wings v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 109 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
01-02-20 | Sharks v. Penguins OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
12-20-19 | Stars v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
12-13-19 | Devils v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
12-12-19 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
12-12-19 | Oilers v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
12-08-19 | Sabres v. Oilers OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
12-03-19 | Coyotes v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
11-27-19 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings OVER 6 | Top | 6-0 | Push | 0 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
11-20-19 | Capitals v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
11-16-19 | Capitals v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
11-16-19 | Rangers v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
11-14-19 | Coyotes v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10-15-19 | Predators v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10-10-19 | Bruins v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10-08-19 | Stars v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
06-12-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 46 h 50 m | Show |
06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show |
06-06-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 54 h 60 m | Show |
06-01-19 | Bruins v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
05-29-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
05-27-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -140 | 77 h 25 m | Show |
05-19-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
05-11-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 112 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
05-09-19 | Hurricanes v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
05-02-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
04-30-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
04-28-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
04-25-19 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
04-21-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
04-12-19 | Blues v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -128 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
04-10-19 | Penguins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
04-06-19 | Hurricanes v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
03-17-19 | Panthers v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
03-14-19 | Ducks v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
03-13-19 | Rangers v. Canucks OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
03-12-19 | Capitals v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
03-07-19 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
03-06-19 | Blues v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
03-04-19 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
03-02-19 | Senators v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
02-24-19 | Stars v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
02-23-19 | Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
02-21-19 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
02-21-19 | Kings v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
02-19-19 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -126 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
02-18-19 | Senators v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
02-16-19 | Flames v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
02-15-19 | Rangers v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
01-30-19 | Lightning v. Penguins UNDER 7 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
01-21-19 | Blues v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
01-17-19 | Kings v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
01-17-19 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
01-14-19 | Canadiens v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
01-07-19 | Kings v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
11-06-18 | Canucks v. Red Wings OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
06-04-18 | Golden Knights v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 112 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
05-28-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 113 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
05-21-18 | Lightning v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
05-19-18 | Capitals v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
05-18-18 | Jets v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
05-17-18 | Lightning v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
05-15-18 | Lightning v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
05-13-18 | Capitals v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
05-07-18 | Capitals v. Penguins OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
05-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
05-05-18 | Jets v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
05-04-18 | Lightning v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
04-30-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
04-29-18 | Penguins v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
04-27-18 | Jets v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
04-25-18 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
04-23-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 101 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
04-18-18 | Ducks v. Sharks OVER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
04-14-18 | Avalanche v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
04-13-18 | Kings v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
04-12-18 | Sharks v. Ducks OVER 5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
04-04-18 | Wild v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
03-31-18 | Blues v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
03-26-18 | Flames v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show |