Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots -7 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -118 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year. My selection is on New England minus the points over Jacksonville at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. I’ll lay the points with the Patriots on Sunday as they host the upstart Jaguars with the AFC Championship on the line. The Jags are getting plenty of support following last week’s impressive wire-to-wire victory over the Steelers. That performance made it easy to forget their ugly 10-3 home win over Buffalo on Wild Card weekend. While there’s a lot to like about the Jags, I believe their run comes to an end here. The Patriots weren’t really tested in last week’s rout of the Titans. This is a team that certainly didn’t need any more extra motivation but it got just that when the story came out regarding dissension in the ranks between Brady, Bellichick and Kraft. While the Jags have the type of defense that should give the Pats some headaches, I simply feel that New England has too many weapons to contend with for four quarters. And on the other side of the football, you can count on New England to come up with a gameplan to take away Jacksonville’s motor, RB Leonard Fournette, and force QB Blake Bortles to beat them. That’s not a story that ends well as far as I’m concerned. As nice as it would be to see some new blood representing the AFC in the Super Bowl, I don’t see it this year. Take New England (10*). |
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01-14-18 | Saints +5 v. Vikings | Top | 24-29 | Push | 0 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
NFL Divisional Round Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Minnesota at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. We cashed our Wild Card Game of the Year with the Panthers plus the points over the Saints last Sunday but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back New Orleans as it hits the road to face the Vikings this week. The Vikings are obviously highly-motivated as they try to become the first team to ever appear in a Super Bowl on their home field. I'm not convinced they get there, however, and believe they'll be in for a serious battle against the Saints on Sunday. QB Case Keenum had a tremendous regular season but the playoffs are a completely different animal. The Saints opportunistic defense is brimming with confidence right now and will undoubtedly throw everything it has at Keenum. While I do have a lot of respect for the Vikings on both sides of the football, I simply feel that they're overvalued, due in large part to their double-digit win over the Saints way back in Week 1. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-07-18 | Panthers +7 v. Saints | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
NFL Wild Card Game of the Year. My selection is on Carolina plus the points over New Orleans at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. The Panthers are a trendy sleeper pick in the NFC entering these playoffs, and rightfully so in my opinion. I like the way this matchup sets up for them, even off an ugly showing in Atlanta last Sunday. Of course, prior to that, Carolina had reeled off three straight wins, scoring 84 points in the process. While the Panthers may not have the start power outside of Cam Newton on offense, this unit is capable of doing some damage. The Saints failed to end their regular season on a high note, falling by a 31-24 score in Tampa last Sunday. In fact, they went just 3-3 SU over their last six games. One of those wins did come against the Panthers right here in New Orleans, and it came by a 10-point margin. I can’t help but feel we see a tighter contest this time around as these two familiar divisional foes do battle. Take Carolina (10*). |
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01-05-18 | Raptors v. Bucks +1 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Friday. We won with the Raptors in their convincing win over the Bulls in Chicago two nights ago but I won't hesitate to switch gears and fade them as they stay on the road to take on the Bucks on Friday night. Milwaukee has won three of its last four games, going a perfect 4-0 ATS over that stretch. The Bucks are a solid 13-6 SU at home this season. Keep in mind, the Bucks just went toe-to-toe with the Raptors in Toronto on Monday, forcing overtime before falling by four points. That snapped their three-game ATS losing skid in the series. Solid spot for the Bucks to catch the Raptors riding a little too high on Friday night. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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12-31-17 | Cowboys -3 v. Eagles | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Philadelphia at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Cowboys on Sunday afternoon, even as they are simply playing out the string against the division rival Eagles. I expect questions to linger whether the Eagles are the real deal with the playoffs on the doorstep. Of course, Carson Wentz remains sidelined and Nick Foles did little to inspire confidence in Monday's narrow win over the Raiders. The Cowboys will certainly be looking to take out their frustrations on Philadelphia here, following a no-show at home against the Seahawks in a must-win game last Sunday. Look for the 'Boys to close out the season on a positive note. Take Dallas (10*). |
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12-28-17 | Michigan State -2 v. Washington State | Top | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Michigan State minus the points over Washington State at 9 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Spartans in this matchup. While I was high on Washington State for much of the season, I don't believe this is a favorable matchup at all for the Cougars. Michigan State is coming off a terrible 2016 campaign, but has certainly made amends here in 2017 and can notch its 10th victory of the season on Thursday night. For Washington State, a strong start to the season is what got it into this Bowl game. A poor finish is what prevented the Cougars from getting into a much more prestigious game, however. I just don't feel the Cougars come into this contest with anything to hang their hat on, particularly on the defensive side of the football, where I expect them to get exposed once again. Take Michigan State (10*). |
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12-24-17 | Lions v. Bengals +3 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Underdog Game of the Year. My selection is on Cincinnati plus the points over Detroit at 1 pm et on Sunday. I really like the way this ones sets up for the underdog Bengals at home. The future is cloudy for the Bengals as a franchise as long-time head coach Marvin Lewis has one foot out the door. But for this week, the spot sets up well as the Lions come in off of back-to-back wins against the lowly Bucs and Bears. Cincinnati should get a boost offensively with the expected return of RB Joe Mixon. After appearing lifeless in the last couple of weeks, I'm confident we'll see the Bengals offense get rolling against a vulnerable Lions defense on Sunday afternoon. The Lions have their sights set on a playoff berth in the NFC but I believe we'll see their hopes spoiled in resounding fashion. The last time we saw the Bengals play with some pride was the first half against Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football three weeks ago. Expect more of that type of play on Sunday. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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12-24-17 | Bills v. Patriots -11.5 | Top | 16-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on New England minus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Bills are on a nice little run having posted three wins in their last four games both SU and ATS. However, I believe that run grinds to a halt here in Foxboro. The Patriots escaped with a 27-24 win in Pittsburgh last week to take back control of the AFC. Now I expect to see them play loose back at home, and ultimately deliver a lopsided win over the Bills. Keep in mind, Buffalo has just one road win in the last two months and that came at the expense of the Chiefs, who were coming unraveled at the time. It won't be so fortunate in this spot as the Pats seem to have been galvanized by that shocking Monday night loss in Miami two weeks ago. We're being asked to lay double-digits here for a reason. Take New England (10*). |
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12-08-17 | Warriors v. Pistons +5 | Top | 102-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Golden State at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We have two teams seemingly heading in the opposite direction here. The Warriors have won five games in a row SU and four consecutive ATS. However, they're dealing with some key injury issues with Steph Curry sidelined until later in the month and both Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala banged up as well. Meanwhile, the Pistons are healthy, but come in riding a four-game SU skid, having gone 1-2-1 ATS over that stretch. There's no question Detroit will be up for this game though, and it's worth noting that the Pistons already defeated the Warriors in Oakland this season. In fact, Detroit is 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings in this series. Look for the Pistons to at least take the Warriors down to the wire in this spot. Take Detroit (10*). |
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12-03-17 | Browns v. Chargers -13.5 | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Cleveland at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the big number with the surging Chargers on Sunday afternoon as they host the listless Browns. We won with San Diego last week in Dallas and there's little reason to jump ship in this spot. Los Angeles has righted the ship with back-to-back wins, both SU and ATS and can certainly see a path to an AFC West title with the rest of the division struggling. Note that Los Angeles hasn't lost a home game since falling by just two points in Philadelphia back on October 1st. Meanwhile, the Browns have yet to taste victory this season and have gone 0-4 ATS over their last four contests. They did get past the Chargers as a 4.5-point underdog on Christmas Eve last year but that was a much different situation. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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11-26-17 | Bears v. Eagles -14 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Chicago at 1 pm et on Sunday. While the Bears have made some positive strides this season, they still have only three wins to their credit, and at this stage of their progression, I still rank them as one of the worst teams in the entire NFL. Here, they run into the hottest and perhaps best team in the league in the Philadelphia Eagles, on the road no less. While we’re certainly dealing with a lofty pointspread, I believe we’ll see the Eagles turn in another dominating performance. Everything is working for Philadelphia right now. The offense looks unstoppable with the addition of RB Jay Ajayi while the defense has been opportunistic to say the least. With that said, the Eagles haven’t been good enough for nearly long enough to get ahead of themselves at this stage of the season. I’m confident we’ll see Philadelphia keep its foot on the proverbial gas pedal on Sunday afternoon and the end result should be another rout at The Linc. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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11-25-17 | Colorado v. Utah -10.5 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show |
Pac-12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Utah minus the points over Colorado at 10 pm et on Saturday. I’ll lay the points with the Utes in this showdown between five-win teams looking to become Bowl eligible. It’s been a tough stretch for Utah as it has dropped six of its last seven games after a red hot start to the season. Of course, the Utes have faced a brutal schedule over that stretch, with their most recent setback coming by just three points on the road against Washington last Saturday. I fully expect to see them take advantage of this winnable home game against the Buffaloes. Colorado split four games in October but has dropped back-to-back contests since. The Buffaloes did defeat Utah by a 27-22 score the last time these two teams met last November, but I’m not sure that this year’s edition will be so fortunate. The oddsmakers are giving the Utes the benefit of the doubt despite their recent struggles, and I believe it’s the right call. Take Utah (10*). |
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11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 35 m | Show |
Monday Night Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Atlanta at 8:30 pm et on Monday. No question I'm comfortable laying the short number with the Seahawks at home on Monday Night Football. I'm confident we'll see the 'Hawks come together after losing a number of key cogs to injury. Yes, the Falcons rolled past an undermanned Cowboys squad last week, but they'll face a much tougher task here, heading to Seattle for a primetime game in mid-November. At 5-4, Atlanta probably has more to gain in this one, and certainly needs to start building some momentum. However, the Falcons have simply been too disjointed and inconsistent for my liking this season. The Seahawks are 3-1 at home, and I look for them to improve on that record here. Take Seattle (10*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Top Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots -7 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -118 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
01-14-18 | Saints +5 v. Vikings | Top | 24-29 | Push | 0 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
01-07-18 | Panthers +7 v. Saints | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
01-05-18 | Raptors v. Bucks +1 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
12-31-17 | Cowboys -3 v. Eagles | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
12-28-17 | Michigan State -2 v. Washington State | Top | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
12-24-17 | Lions v. Bengals +3 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
12-24-17 | Bills v. Patriots -11.5 | Top | 16-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
12-08-17 | Warriors v. Pistons +5 | Top | 102-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
12-03-17 | Browns v. Chargers -13.5 | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
11-26-17 | Bears v. Eagles -14 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
11-25-17 | Colorado v. Utah -10.5 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show |
11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 35 m | Show |