04-23-24 |
Predators v. Canucks OVER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-125 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (77) and the Vancouver Canucks (78) in Game Two of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Nashville (47-31-5) has lost two games in a row after dropping Game One of this series by a 4-2 score on Sunday. Vancouver (51-23-9) has won three of their last four games. REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Predators continue to struggle in slowing down their opponents’ scoring attack as they have conceded at least four goals in three straight games. Goalie Juuse Saros is in a slump after allowing three or more goals in three of his last four starts. In his final six starts in the regular season this month, he was saddled with a 3.18 Goals-Against-Average with a .904 save percentage. Nashville has played 8 of their last 9 games on the road Over the Total after allowing four or more goals in three or more games in a row. The Predators have also played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a loss by more than one goal. And while they ended the regular season with a 4-2 loss at Pittsburgh, Nashville has played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after losing two or more games in a row by more than one goal. This is their fifth game in the last two weeks — and they have played 6 straight Overs on the road when playing for no more than the fifth time in 14 days — and they have played 24 of their last 37 road games Over the Total with the Total set at 5.5. Vancouver has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning their last game. They have also played 29 of their last 46 games Over the Total after a win by more than one goal. They have played 24 of their last 39 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. First-string goaltender Thatcher Demko remains out with an undisclosed injury. Casey DeSmith is between the pipes for the Canucks tonight — but he had a meager 3.14 GAA and a .877 save percentage in his last 14 games in the regular season after the All-Star break. Vancouver has played 3 of their last 4 games at home Over the Total. FINAL TAKE: The Predators have lost five straight games to the Canucks with Vancouver scoring at least four goals in three straight games against them. Nashville has played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with at least double-revenge against their opponent while giving up at least three goals in both losses — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge. 25* NHL Western Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (77) and the Vancouver Canucks (78). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-15-24 |
Predators v. Penguins UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-4 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (39) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (40). THE SITUATION: Nashville (47-29-5) has won two games in a row after their 6-4 victory against Columbus on Saturday. Pittsburgh (37-31-12) has lost two of their last three games after a 6-4 loss against Boston on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This game involves two teams with similar profiles. Both teams still have something at stake in the playoff races. Both teams were struggling for most of the season before a veteran leader put his teammates on his back to orchestrate a furious late-season postseason push. Both teams have played higher-scoring teams lately — but those recent results may point to a lower-scoring affair tonight. The Predators have clinched one of the final two wildcard spots in the Western Conference. They are three points ahead of Vegas for the seventh seed — but this is Nashville’s final game of the regular season while the Golden Knights have a game in hand so the Predators need some result to help them avoid dropping to the eighth seed. Led by Roman Josi, Nashville has a 20-4-3 mark in their last 27 games. The Predators got their scoring attack going against the lowly Blue Jackets on Saturday — but they have played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total after scoring four or more goals in their last game. They have also played 6 straight Unders after scoring six or more goals in their last game. Additionally, Nashville has played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total after a win by two or more goals — and they have played 24 of their last 35 road games Under the Total after a game where eight or more combined goals were scored. The Predators beat Chicago on the road in their previous game by a 5-1 score — and they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Under the Total after winning two or more games in a row by more than one goal. They have played 20 of their last 32 games Under the Total after scoring three or more goals in two or more games in a row. Juuse Saros will be between the pipes tonight. He has a solid 2.75 Goals-Against-Average and a .910 save percentage in 24 starts on the road — and he enjoys a 2.67 GAA and a .913 save percentage in his 23 starts after the All-Star break. Nashville has played 22 of their last 31 games against teams from the Eastern Conference. Pittsburgh has two games remaining in the regular season this week — and they need points as they currently trail three times that are one point ahead of them in the logjam for the final wildcard slot in the Eastern Conference. Led by Sidney Crosby, the Penguins have a 7-1-3 record in their last 11 games. Pittsburgh has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a loss by two or more goals — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total after a loss at home. They have also played 24 of their last 36 home games Under the Total after allowing five or more goals in their last game. The Penguins have allowed 11 combined goals in their last two games — but they have then played 18 of their last 26 home games Under the Total after allowing four or more goals in two or more games in a row. Alex Nedeljkovic will be their goalie tonight — he has a 2.71 GAA and a .909 save percentage in his 18 games at home this season. Pittsburgh has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their games — and they have played 23 of their last 32 home games Under the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their contests.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on November 28th with the Predators winning in Nashville by a 3-2 score. The Penguins have played 13 of their last 19 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge. With both teams playing with playoff intensity, expect a lower-scoring game. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (39) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (40). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-23-24 |
Jets v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 8:37 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (25) and the Chicago Blackhawks (26). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (34-15-5) has won four of their last five games after their 6-3 victory against Minnesota on Tuesday. Chicago (15-39-3) has lost two games in a row as well as 10 of their last 11 contests after a 3-1 loss against Philadelphia on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jets lead the NHL in goals allowed when playing at five-on-five full strength. It all starts with goalie Conner Hellebuyck who is on pace to win another Vezina Trophy. He has a 2.20 Goals-Against-Average and a .925 save percentage in 40 games — and he has a 2.21 GAA and a .927 save percentage in five starts this month. Winnipeg has played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a win or tie in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road after a win by three or more goals. They have also played 22 of their last 32 road games Under the Total after a win where they scored more than five goals. The Jets have scored three or more goals in three straight games — but they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring three or more goals in three or more games in a row. Winnipeg goes back on the road where they have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5 or lower. They have also played 10 straight Unders against teams winning 25-40% of their games. Furthermore, the Jets hold Central Division rivals to only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game. Chicago is last in the NHL by scoring just 2.07 Goals-Per-Game. They only have two players who have generated 30 or more points — and just four of their players have 20 or more points on the season. In their last five games, they are scoring only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game — and they are scoring just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game against division rivals. The Blackhawks have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a game where no more than four combined goals were scored. They have also played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row. And while they have lost their last two games by multiple goals, they have then played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row by two or more goals. They stay at home where they have played 15 of their last 25 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5 or lower. And while the Jets are outscoring their opponents by +0.7 Goals-Per-Game, Chicago has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams outscoring their opponents by +0.5 or more Goals-Per-Game. Petr Mrazek is their confirmed goaltender tonight — and he has been very good when playing at home where he has a 2.47 GAA and a .925 save percentage in 20 starts.
FINAL TAKE: There have been only ten combined goals in the previous three meetings between these Central Division rivals this season. Winnipeg won the last meeting between these teams by a 2-1 score on January 11th — and the Blackhawks have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (25) and the Chicago Blackhawks (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-30-24 |
Blue Jackets v. Blues OVER 6.5 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-112 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets (61) and the St. Louis Blues (62). THE SITUATION: Columbus (15-24-10) has lost four of their last five games after their 4-2 loss at Seattle on Sunday. St. Louis (26-20-2) has won five games in a row after their 4-3 victory against Los Angeles on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blues have scored four goals in four straight games — but they have also conceded three goals in each of their last four games during their current winning streak. Since Drew Bannister took over for Craig Berube as head coach on December 13th, St, Louis has scored 2.95 Goals-Per-Game in those 19 games which is right at their 2.9 Goals-Per-Game average for the season. But they are surrounding 4.0 Goals-Per-Game since Bannister took over which is well above their 3.2 Goals-Per-Game average for the season. The Blues have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a win at home — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win by one goal. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win at home where they scored four or more goals. St. Louis has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring four or more goals in two or more games in a row — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring four or more goals in four or more games in a row. Goalie Jordan Binnington has played better lately — but he has still allowed three goals in each of his last two starts. For the season, he still owns a 2.97 Goals-Against-Average and a .907 save percentage. Columbus has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss by three or more goals. The Blue Jackets have surrendered nine combined goals in their last two games — but they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing four or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have also played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after losing two or more games in a row. Elvis Merkilins will be between the pipes for them tonight — he has a 3.86 Goals-Against-Average and a .867 save percentage in his four starts this month. In his 13 starts on the road, he has a 3.73 GAA and a .889 save percentage. Columbus has played 16 of their last 26 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games against teams from the Western Conference.
FINAL TAKE: The Blues have seen seven or more combined goals scored in five of six and seven of their last nine games — and the Blue Jackets have seen seven or more combined goals in four of their last seven games. Columbus won the last meeting between these two teams on December 8th — and St. Louis has played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets (61) and the St. Louis Blues (62). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-27-23 |
Blue Jackets v. Devils OVER 6.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets (35) and the New Jersey Devils (36). THE SITUATION: Columbus (11-18-6) has lost two games in a row after their 4-1 loss to Toronto on Saturday. New Jersey (17-13-2) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 3-2 victory against Detroit on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blue Jackets defense is a disaster — they have allowed at least three goals in six straight games with five of those six opponents scoring at least four goals. But Columbus has generated 4.2 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. The Blue Jackets have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss by three or more goals. They have also played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after losing their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss at home. They have also played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after losing three of their last four contests. They go back on the road where they have played 10 of their last 15 road games Over the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. Columbus will have Elvis Merzlikins between the pipes tonight — but it has been a struggle given his 3.57 Goals-Against-Average and a .897 save percentage in ten starts on the road. New Jersey is a potent scoring team with lots of depth — they have eight players with at least seven goals this season. Jack Hughes leads the way with 14 goals and 38 points in 26 games. Jesper Bratt has added 13 goals and 37 points in his 31 games. The Devils are generating 3.4 Goals-Per-Game. The reason why they are underachieving is their defense and goaltending. New Jersey ranks 30th in the NHL by allowing 3.61 Goals-Per-Game. The Devils have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after winning their previous game — and they have played 6 straight Overs after a win at home. They have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by just one goal. And in their last six games when playing with three or more days of rest, New Jersey has played 5 of these games Over the Total. They stay at home where they have played 11 of their last 17 home games Over the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. Vitek Vanecek gets the nod as their goaltender tonight — he has a rough 3.38 GAA and a .880 save percentage in his 13 games (11 starts) at home this season.
FINAL TAKE: The Devils won the last meeting between these teams back on December 16th in Columbus by a 6-3 score — and the Blue Jackets have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets (35) and the New Jersey Devils (36). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-10-23 |
Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 6 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (49) and the Florida Panthers (50) in Game Four of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Vegas (65-26-11) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 3-2 loss on the road against the Panthers on Thursday. Florida (55-39-7) ended their two-game losing streak to win their first game in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: After giving up 12 combined goals in the first two games in this series, head coach Paul Maurice changed the Panthers’ approach in this series by being willing to grind out a lower-scoring game. Florida only peppered the Golden Knights’ goaltender Adin Hill with 23 shots. But the Panthers are losing in the special teams battle in this series. Vegas has scored six goals on the power play in this series while converting 35.3% of the time against Florida when they have the man advantage. Both their goals on Thursday were on the power play. The formula for success for the Panthers has become clear: stop trying to out-muscle the Golden Knights, settle for lower-scoring games, and make it a battle between Sergei Bobrovsky and Hill. Florida was able to bully Toronto and Carolina — but Vegas is well-versed in playing heavy hockey so these tactics are old hat to them. Bobrovsky had his best game in this series as he stopped 25 of the 27 shots he faced. The two-time Vezina Trophy winner had +1.71 Goals-Saved-Above-Expectation in Game Three. While it is too much to ask for Bobrovsky to reproduce the .954 save percentage he enjoyed against the Maple Leafs and Hurricanes, the Florida approach has shifted to play with less aggression with more attention to defense to help him out. Vegas only managed 1.62 expected goals when playing at five-on-five even strength. Now the message from Maurice is to take fewer penalties. The Panthers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Furthermore, Florida has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total when hosting the Golden Knights. Vegas entered this series seeming to struggle with their Power Play Kill Unit in the postseason — but much of that is due to having to deal with the historically elite power play of the Edmonton Oilers this season. Connor McDavid and company scored 14 power-play goals in 23 chances in the Western Conference Semifinals. The Golden Knights have been perfect in this series by thwarting the Panthers in all 12 of their power play chances. Hill played his worst game in this series by allowing three goals — but he did not play badly, per se, as he posted a -0.1 GSAx indicating he was about average. I do not see a sudden blow-up coming from Hill since he is protected by head coach Bruce Cassidy’s sophisticated defensive system which is a passive version of the old New Jersey Devils’ 1-4 scheme. Cassidy is happy to have his team counter-attack with all their scoring talent. We had the Over in Game Three as I expected Florida to come out very aggressive (and perhaps the early injury to Matthew Tkachuk compelled them to change tactics). But after attempting 35 and 31 shots in the first two games of this series, the Panthers only took those 23 shots on Thursday including the game-winner in overtime. On the other hand, the 27 shots Vegas had in Game Three was their lowest number in the series. The Golden Knights have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. They have also played 22 of their last 35 playoff games Under the Total when leading in the series — and they have played 10 of their last 14 Game Fours in a series Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Vegas has played 30 of their last 46 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss by just one goal to their opponent. 25* NHL Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (49) and the Florida Panthers (50). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-08-23 |
Golden Knights v. Panthers OVER 6 |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (47) and the Florida Panthers (48) in Game Three of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Vegas (65-26-10) has won eight of their last ten games after their 7-2 victory at home against the Panthers on Monday. Florida (54-38-8) has lost two games in a row to fall behind 2-0 in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Panthers peppered the Golden Knights goaltender Adin Hill with 31 shots after registering 35 shots in Game One but they have only scored four goals. They have yet to score on the Power Play despite the Golden Knights entering this series with a Power Play Kill percentage of just 63%. Florida reached the Stanley Cup Finals with a physical style of play that neutralized Boston before wearing down Toronto and Carolina. This approach has not worked against Vegas. Matthew Tkachuk is spending too much time trying to be a tough guy rather than being a scorer. He scored nine goals in the first three rounds and added 12 assists in those sixteen games while only getting called for 24 penalty minutes. But in this series, Tkachuk has 36 penalty minutes already with three ten-minute misconduct penalties. He has scored only one goal in this series. Panthers head coach Paul Maurice will make plenty of changes after his team has been outscored by eight goals in this series. Top amongst these changes will be to get away from the extra-curricular stuff. The Golden Knights have scored four power-play goals in this series — and they are scoring on 36.4% of their power-play chances in the first two games. This has to change. Florida has an expected Goals-For percentage of 52.11 playing at even strength five-on-five in this series. The Panthers will stay play physical — but the attempts to goad and intimidate Vegas will be reined in since it has backfired. Returning home will also allow Maurice to get Tkachuk playing against either the Jack Eichel/Jonathan Marchessault line or the Mark Stone line — and that should lead to plenty of scoring opportunities for both sides. Golden Knights head coach Bruce Cassidy likes to use the William Karlsson line to defend the opposing team’s top line — Vegas was able to slow down Edmonton’s superstar forwards Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl with Karlsson. But it is now Maurice rather than Cassidy who has the advantage of the last line change with this series moving to Florida. The Panthers have played 18 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and the Over is 8-1-2 in their last 10 games after a loss by three or more goals. They have also played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a loss by two or more goals in their last game. Additionally, Florida has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two goals. The Over is 12-4-2 in their last 17 games after allowing five or more goals in their last contest. The Panthers have played 5 straight Overs when trailing in the series. Vegas was able to solve the Sergei Bobrovsky riddle by scoring another four times against him before he got pulled at the 7:10 minute mark of the season period. As mentioned above, Florida plays a physical game that frustrated their Eastern Conference rivals in the postseason. The Bruins are comfortable with that style of play — and that was a coin-flip series. But is fair to say that Toronto and Carolina emphasize speed over size — and the Panthers were able to control the middle of the ice in front of Bobrovsky. The Golden Knights present a different problem since they are built to compete against other physical teams in the Pacific Division that favor a “heavy” style of play. The Vegas players are finding room in front of Bobrovsky to screen his vision against their sharpshooters on the outside. Marchessault has an incredible 26.1% scoring percentage on his shots over his last 12 games. The 11-day layover after the Eastern Conference Finals may have cooled him off — or it is the Golden Knights' skill in screening him that has changed things. He has a 5.52 Goals-Against-Average with a .826 save percentage in this series. The +19.7 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark he entered this series in was unsustainable — but Vegas presents a similar threat as did Boston in the opening round. Remember, the Bruins scored 27 goals in that seven-game series while tallying at least three goals in each game. Bobrovsky only started standing on his head when facing the smaller Maple Leafs in the next round. Florida beat the President’s Trophy winner by scoring 26 goals against the Bruins including 15 goals in the final three games after trailing 3-1 in that series. Vegas goalie Adin Hill has faced at least 30 shots in eight of his last ten games — so the Regression Gods may be calling soon after facing so much pressure. The Golden Knights have scored 18 goals in their last three games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring five or more goals in two straight games. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring five or more goals in their last contest. Vegas played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after going unbeaten in two straight games.
FINAL TAKE: Florida has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road by three or more goals. 25* NHL Thursday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (47) and the Florida Panthers (48). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-05-23 |
Panthers v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (45) and the Vegas Golden Knights (46) in Game Two of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (54-38-7) had their five-game winning streak snapped in a 5-2 loss on the road to the Golden Knights on Saturday. Vegas (64-26-10) has won seven of their last nine games while taking a 1-0 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Panthers peppered the Golden Knights goaltender Adin Hill with 35 shots — and they were unlucky with three of their shots hitting the goal post. After failing to score on their three power play opportunities and managing only three combined shots in those situations, Florida should be focused on being more aggressive tonight. The Panthers have played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and the Over is 7-1-2 in their last 10 games after a loss by three or more goals. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss by two or more goals in their last game. Additionally, Florida has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two goals. The Over is 11-4-2 in their last 17 games after allowing five or more goals in their last contest. The Panthers have played 4 straight Overs when trailing in the series. Vegas was able to solve the Sergei Bobrovsky riddle by scoring four times against him (the final goal was an empty-netter). Florida plays a physical game that frustrated their Eastern Conference rivals in the postseason. The Bruins are comfortable with that style of play — and that was a coin-flip series. But is fair to say that Toronto and Carolina emphasize speed over size — and the Panthers were able to control the middle of the ice in front of Bobrovsky. The Golden Knights present a different problem since they are built to compete against other physical teams in the Pacific Division that favor a “heavy” style of play. Vegas was able to have players find room in front of Bobrovsky to screen his vision against their sharpshooters on the outside. Despite giving up the most goals in the playoffs since Game Six against the Bruins, it would not be fair to conclude that Bobrovsky had a bad game. He posted a +0.22 Goals Saved Above Expectation in Game One. The +19.7 GSAx mark he entered this series in was unsustainable — but Vegas presents a similar threat as did Boston in the opening round. Remember, the Bruins scored 27 goals in that seven-game series while tallying at least three goals in each game. Bobrovsky only started standing on his head when facing the smaller Maple Leafs in the next round. Florida beat the President’s Trophy winner by scoring 26 goals against the Bruins including 15 goals in the final three games after trailing 3-1 in that series. Hill has faced at least 30 shots in seven of his last nines games — so the Regression Gods may be calling soon after facing so much pressure. The Golden Knights have scored 11 goals in their last two games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring five or more goals in two straight games. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring five or more goals in their last contest. Vegas played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total after going unbeaten in two straight games. At home at T-Mobile Arena, they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. And in their last 6 opportunities to host the Panthers, 5 of these games finished Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Florida has played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road by three or more goals. 25* NHL Monday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (45) and the Vegas Golden Knights (46). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-29-23 |
Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
6-0 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (29) and the Dallas Stars (30) in Game Six of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Vegas (62-26-10) has lost the last two games in this series after their 4-2 loss at home to the Stars on Saturday. Dallas (56-26-18) now trails by a 3-2 margin in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Adin Hill had not allowed more than three goals in six straight games before Saturday. Hill still has a 2.30 Goals-Against-Average in his ten playoff games this year with a .932 save percentage — and he has +6.75 Goals Saved Above Expectation this postseason. Coming off his three previous losses in these playoffs, Hill has a .925 save percentage in the next game. Vegas has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a loss by two or more goals. They went into the third period with the game tied before the Stars scored two unanswered goals — and they have played 19 of their last 25 games Under the Total after allowing more than one goal in the third period of their last game. They have also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after allowing four or more goals in their last game. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. And in their last 44 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total, Dallas has played 26 of these games Under the Total. Dallas suddenly has a hot goaltender between the pipes with Jake Oettinger stopping 27 of the 29 shots he faced on Saturday. After getting benched after seven minutes in the first period of Game Three, Oettinger has allowed only four goals in the last two games with a .941 save percentage and a 1.95 Goals-Against-Average. The Stars have played 17 of their last 24 home games Under the Total after going unbeaten in two straight games. They have played 20 of their last 31 home games Under the Total in the second half of the season — and the Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games on home ice.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 straight Unders when playing in Dallas. 25* NHL Monday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (29) and the Dallas Stars (30). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-25-23 |
Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (17) and the Dallas Stars (18) in Game Four of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Vegas (62-25-9) has won five games in a row after their 4-0 shutout victory on the road against the Stars on Tuesday. Dallas (54-26-18) has lost three games in a row to fall behind 0-3 in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Head coach Pete DeBoer pulled goalie Jake Oettinger after he gave up a third goal on just five shots early in the first period on Tuesday. Oettinger usually plays well after a loss. He had a 22-1-3 record in the regular season coming off a loss with a .933 save percentage — and he has a .913 save percentage coming off a loss in these playoffs. The Stars have played 26 of their last 40 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row. Dallas’ attack will be undermanned tonight with Jamie Benn suspended for the next two games and Evgeni Dadonov doubtful with a lower-body injury. That decimates two-thirds of the Stars’ third forward line. Dadonov has four goals and six assists in 16 playoff games this season. But it is the loss of their captain Benn who is not taking accountability for his terrible play on Tuesday as he claimed that he regretted using his stick to brace his fall that simply inadvertently chocked Mark Stone’s neck on the ice. Benn scored 33 goals and added 45 assists in the regular season. He has three goals and eight assists in this postseason — and he plays on the Dallas power play. The last two games in this series have finished Under the Total — and the Stars have played 37 of their last 60 home games Under the Total after playing two Unders in a row. The Under is also 9-4-1 in their last 14 games at home. Furthermore, the Under is 8-1-2 in Dallas’ last 11 games in the Western Conference Finals — and the Under is 18-6-2 in their last 26 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. Vegas has won 16 of their last 21 games — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning 15 or more of their last 21 games. The Golden Knights have scored three or more goals in five straight games — but they have then played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring three or more goals in five straight games. They are getting great goaltending from Adin Hill who stopped all 34 of the shots he faced on Tuesday. He is playing with tremendous confidence after frustrating the Edmonton Oilers last round with their dynamic scorers Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. Hill has a 1.96 Goals-Against-Average with a .940 save percentage in seven games in these playoffs. He has generated +6.0 Goals Saved Above Expectation in the postseason. He has been helped by an aggressive Vegas defense that has blocked 266 shots in the playoffs, the second-most in the postseason. The Golden Knights have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the Western Conference Finals — and they have played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when leading in the series.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 16-5-2 in the last 23 meetings between these two teams — and they have played 7 straight Unders when playing in Dallas. The Stars have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home by three or more goals. 25* NHL Thursday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (17) and the Dallas Stars (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-24-23 |
Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-119 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (15) and the Florida Panthers (16) in Game Four of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (53-37-7) has won 10 of their last 11 games after their 1-0 victory at home against the Hurricanes on Monday. Carolina (59-25-12) has lost three in a row to fall behind in this series by a 3-0 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Panthers’ goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is as hot as a goaltender can be right now. He enters this game with 67 straight saves after his shutout in Game Three. He has stopped 69 of 70 shots in the last two games — and he has stopped 132 of the 135 shots he has faced in this series. In his last four games, Bobrovsky has a 0.89 Goals-Against-Average and a .973 save percentage. While these numbers are not sustainable, the visit from the Regression Gods is not likely to see a radical change. While Bobrovsky struggled in the regular season, we are talking about a two-time Vezina Trophy winner. The veteran has extended stretches in his career when he was playing at a very high level. He has a .935 save percentage in the playoffs with +19.5 Goals Saved Above Expectation. And Bobrovksy has been helped by head coach Paul Maurice’s style of play with the emphasis on forechecking generating better defensive play in the final month of the regular season that has carried over into the playoffs. Florida has played 7 straight Unders after winning their previous game — and they have played 7 straight Unders after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Panthers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing four or more Unders in a row. And in their last 6 playoff games when leading in the series, Florida has played 6 straight Unders. In the Game Fours in the previous series against Boston and Toronto, the Panthers only gave up three combined goals. While Bobrovsky’s save streak will likely be snapped tonight, our Under play will be helped by the strong play of the Hurricanes’ goalie Frederick Andersen. It’s not like Florida has evoked memories of the 1980s Wayne Gretzky Edmonton Oilers teams. They have only scored six goals in the first three games in this series — and that includes four overtime periods. In his seven playoff games this postseason, Andersen has a 1.58 GAA and a .937 save percentage. Carolina is an excellent defensive team that led the NHL in expected Goals Allowed (xGA) since the Christmas break. They are limiting the Panthers to just 19.66 shots per game per 60 minutes and 2.17 xGA per 60 minutes in this series. The Hurricanes have played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total on the road after losing their last game — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal. They have played 5 straight Unders after losing three games in a row. They have also played 5 straight Unders in the Eastern Conference Finals.
FINAL TAKE: Perhaps this is the game where both teams score two goals before someone takes a 3-2 lead which is followed up by either an empty-netter or a goal that forces overtime. But with both teams playing so tightly disciplined in a physical series with elite goaltending, I do not expect the tone of Game Four to dramatically change (especially for Florida). I do think there will be more power play chances tonight — but the Hurricanes have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by just one goal. If this was a regular season game, I might be more tempted by the contrarian Over play — but since this is the fourth straight playoff game between these two teams, the style and tempos should remain the same. Frankly, we are getting a gift with the Total not dropping to 5. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (15) and the Florida Panthers (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-21-23 |
Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-107 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (9) and the Vegas Golden Knights (10) in Game Two of their Western Conference Finals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (54-26-16) has lost two of their last three games after their 4-3 loss in overtime on Friday. Vegas (60-25-9) has won three straight games en route to their 1-0 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Stars are scoring 3.62 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs — and they have tallied 22 goals after their previous five losses this postseason for a 4.4 Goals-Per-Game average. Dallas has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing a game on the road where both teams scored three or more goals — and they have played 40 of their last 67 games Over the Total after a game where seven or more combined goals were scored. Jake Oettinger has struggled in these playoffs with a 2.83 Goals-Against-Average and a .902 save percentage in 14 games after giving up four goals on Friday. He was pulled in Games Three and Six last round against the Kraken. Dallas stays on the road where the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games. Vegas has scored 13 combined goals in their last three games from eight different players. The Golden Knights have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after going unbeaten in two straight games. They have scored at least four goals in each of their last three games — and they have played 20 of their last 33 games Over the Total after scoring three or more goals in two straight games. They stay at home where they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total. Goalie Adin Hill bailed them out against Edmonton after Laurent Brossoit suffered an injury in Game Two. But he remains risky moving forward which he demonstrated by allowing the tying goal with under two minutes to go in the third period. The Stars peppered him with 36 shots on Friday — and he will be tested once again in this crucial game for them.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has trailed in a playoff series four times this postseason — and 3 of those 4 games finished Over the Total. The Over is also 7-1-1 in the Stars’ last 9 games against teams with a winning record. 25* NHL ABC-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (9) and the Vegas Golden Knights (10). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-13-23 |
Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (37) and the Seattle Kraken (38) in Game Six of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (53-24-16) has won two games in a row in this series after their 5-2 victory at home against the Kraken on Thursday. Seattle (52-34-8) has lost three of their last four games to fall behind in this series by a 3-2 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Kraken got an inspired goaltending effort from Philip Grubauer in the first round of the playoffs who seemed motivated to prove something to his old team — he posted a .934 save percentage in that seven-game series with Seattle upsetting Colorado and dethroning the reigning Stanley Cup champions. But Grubauer has regressed back to his underwhelming play in this series which has made him a big disappointment for this expansion club that targeted him as their big free agent signing before their inaugural season last year. Grubauer has allowed nine goals in the last two games while posting a .786 save percentage. His postseason numbers of a 3.06 Goals-Against-Average and a .903 save percentage look very close to his regular season numbers. At home during the regular season, Grubauer had a 3.06 GAA and a .886 save percentage. Seattle has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss on the road by three or more goals. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after allowing four or more goals in two straight games. The Kraken face the prospect of elimination tonight — so they will be aggressive and will pull Grubauer to grab the man advantage earlier than usual if they are trailing in the third period. Seattle has played 5 straight Overs against teams with a winning record. Dallas has seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring five or more goals in their last game. And while they have scored 11 combined goals in the last two games, the Stars have then played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road after scoring four or more goals in two straight games. Dallas has also received disappointing goaltending in this series. Jake Oettinger has a 2.65 GAA and a .907 save percentage in the postseason. In his last three games, he has allowed 10 goals while posting a .851 save percentage. The Stars go on the road looking to end this series tonight — and the Over is 13-3-1 in their last 17 games on the road. The Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 26 games in the Western Conference Semifinals, the Over is 17-4-5.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 straight Overs — and they have played 4 straight Overs when playing in Seattle. The Kraken have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total when avenging two straight losses by two or more goals. 25* NHL 2nd Round Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (37) and the Seattle Kraken (38). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-23 |
Panthers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
109 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (29) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (30) in Game Five of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Florida (49-37-7) was on a six-game winning streak before their 2-1 loss at home to the Maple Leafs on Wednesday. Toronto (55-25-12) still trails in this series by a 3-1 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Maple Leafs have scored exactly two goals in six straight games — but the books and the market have not adjusted with the Total still set at 6.5 tonight. Toronto has abandoned their aggressive offensive approach to play more cautiously and with a defensive mindset. They only generated 2.66 expected goals on Wednesday while only 25 shots. They have no more than 30 shots in four of their last six games — and they have not topped more than 25 shots in three of those games. But this approach is making life easier for their goaltender as they have held Florida to under 30 shots in all four games in this series. Head coach Sheldon Keefe seems committed to this philosophy against the high-scoring Panthers — and he will likely stick to this plan with rookie Joseph Woll between the pipes. He stopped 24 of the 25 shots he faced on Wednesday. Woll has talent. His 2.37 Goals-Against-Average and .927 save percentage in 21 appearances in the AHL was similar to his 2.16 GAA and .932 save percentage in his seven starts in the regular season. He passed the tough test in Game Four in a hostile environment. Toronto has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a one-goal victory against a division opponent in their last game. They have played 5 straight Unders after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Maple Leafs have played 22 of their last 32 home games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in four straight games. They have also played 6 straight Unders against teams with a winning record. Florida has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They are getting outstanding goaltending from Sergei Bobrovsky who is in the zone right now with a 1.99 GAA and a .934 save percentage in this series. The Panthers have played 8 straight Unders on the road in the second round of the Stanley Cup playoffs. They have also played 5 of their last 6 playoff games when leading in the series.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 straight Unders — and the Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams when playing in Toronto. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (29) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (30). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-23 |
Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-125 |
22 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (57) and the Vegas Golden Knights (58) in Game Two of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (54-25-10) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 6-4 loss on the road to the Golden Knights on Wednesday. Vegas (56-23-9) has won seven of their last eight games after taking a 1-0 series lead.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Oilers lost Game One despite Leon Draisaitl scoring four times on Wednesday. He now has 11 goals in these playoffs with another four assists. Connor McDavid assisted on two of those goals — he now has nine assists to go along with his three goals in this postseason. Edmonton leads the NHL by scoring 4.0 Goals-Per-Game after that output. They have scored 20 goals in their last four games while putting up at least four goals in all four of those games. The Oilers have played 24 of their last 33 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 6 straight Overs on the road after losing on the road to a divisional rival. They have also played 14 of their last 20 road games Over the Total after a game where both teams scored at least three goals. Defense remains the problem with this team as they have allowed 17 combined goals in their last four games — and each of those opponents scoring at least three times five straight games and six of their last seven contests. Rookie goaltender Stuart Skinner looked shaky at times in giving up five goals on the 33 shots he faced. After a solid season for Edmonton where he posted a 2.75 Goals-Against-Average and a .913 save percentage, he has taken a step back under the pressure in the playoffs with a 3.68 GAA and a .883 save percentage in seven starts. The Oilers have played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after allowing three or more goals in at least three straight games in a row. They have also played 26 of their last 36 games on the road Over the Total. Vegas is a scoring juggernaut with forward Mark Stone back on the ice healthy again. First-year head coach Bruce Cassidy is comfortable rolling four forward lines with Jack Eichel and Chandler Stephenson having found a great chemistry together — so Stone has been inserted to anchor the team’s “third line”. Stone scored his fourth postseason goal on the power play in the first period on Wednesday before Stephenson scored his fourth goal in the third period. The Golden Knights have scored 24 combined goals in their last five games while generating at least four goals in each of those games. Vegas has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring five or more goals in their last contest. They have also played 33 of their last 52 games Over the Total after winning five or six of their last seven games. And in their last 12 games at home, the Golden Knights have played 9 of these games Over the Total. But the Achilles’ heel for this team is their goaltending. Cassidy is trusting Laurent Brossoit as his best option (and he might be) after he posted a 2.17 GAA and .927 save percentage in 10 starts after being called up from the minors in the second half of the season. But like Skinner, those numbers have declined under the pressure of playoff hockey as he has a 2.79 GAA and a .899 save percentage in seven postseason games this year.
FINAL TAKE: The Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing in Vegas. Edmonton has played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (57) and the Vegas Golden Knights (58). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-01-23 |
Rangers v. Devils UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (33) and the New Jersey Devils (34) in Game Seven of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (49-25-14) forced a Game Seven in this series with their 5-2 victory at home against the Devils on Saturday. New Jersey (54-25-9) had won three games in a row before losing Game Six.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have not allowed more than two goals in five of the six games in this series (excluding empty-netters). The Under is 9-4-1 in New York’s last 14 games after a victory in their last game. Additionally, the Rangers have played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 27 of their last 39 road games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored four or more goals. Goalie Igor Shesterkin has been outstanding in this series — he has only allowed 11 goals (with the Devils scoring two empty-netters). He has a 1.79 Goals-Against-Average and a .939 save percentage — and he has made +7.3 saves above expectations (GSAx) in this series. New York goes on the road where the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games — and they have played 25 of their last 37 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5. New Jersey has played 17 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a divisional rival. Akira Schmid allowed five goals on the 29 shots he faced on Saturday. But he still has a 1.72 GAA and a .937 save percentage in this series — and he has played much better than Vitek Vanacek who he replaced after Game Two.
FINAL TAKE: The Devils have played 55 of their last 82 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road where they lost by three or more goals. 25* NHL 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (33) and the New Jersey Devils (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-29-23 |
Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6.5 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (11) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (12) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Toronto (53-23-11) had won three games in a row in this series before losing at home to the Lightning by a 4-2 score on Thursday. Tampa Bay (47-31-9) staved off elimination but still trails by a 3-2 margin in the series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Maple Leafs had scored 16 combined goals in their previous three games before only scoring twice on Thursday. They had scored at least three times in each game in this series before Game Five. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last contest. The Maple Leafs are loaded with offensive talent which helped them lead seventh in the league in expected Goals (xG) per 60 minutes at even strength. But their defense ranks in the bottom half of the NHL since the Christmas break in expected Goals Allowed (xGA) per 60 minutes. Toronto has seen six or more combined goals in 17 of their last 24 games. Perhaps goalie Ilya Samsonov has not been given much help from the Maple Leafs blue line — but his 3.61 Goals-Against-Average and .886 save percentage in this series are not what they thought they were getting when signing him as a free agent in the offseason. Tonight’s game should be another higher-scoring game. Toronto has played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams with a winning percentage from 51% to 60%. Tampa Bay has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning their last game — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a win on the road. The Lightning remained loaded with offensive talent — and they have scored four or more goals in three of the games in this series. But the Tampa Bay blue line has taken a step or two back since their Stanley Cup title run and even their loss to Colorado in the Stanley Cup Finals last season. The Lightning ranked 19th in xGA in the regular season. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy is perhaps amid his worst postseason this spring. He has a 3.90 GAA and a .870 save percentage in this series. They have seen six or more combined goals scored in 14 of their last 19 games. They return home where they have played 26 of their last 39 home games Over the Total with the number set at 6 or higher. Tampa Bay has also played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 60% to 75% range.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss at home by two or more goals. These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing in Tampa Bay. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (11) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-23 |
Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche UNDER 6 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 9:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Kraken (51) and the Colorado Avalanche (52) in Game Five of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Seattle (48-30-8) evened this series at 2-2 with their 3-2 win in overtime at home on Monday. Colorado (53-25-8) had won four of their previous five games before that loss.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche gave up two goals in the first period before holding the Kraken for more than 50 minutes before losing in overtime. After they tied the score up in the second period, these two teams played a scoreless third period — and I expect more of the same in this game that should be low-scoring. As it is, Colorado has played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total after losing their previous game — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after losing by one goal in their previous contest. The Under is 13-4-2 in the Avalanche’s last 19 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last contest. And while they have given up seven combined goals in their last two games, they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after allowing three or more goals in two straight games. They come back home where the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games. The Aves will be without a suspended Cole Makar tonight — and while he is an outstanding defensive man, the team will miss his offensive contributions as well as steady play on the power play. The team is also without forward Valeri Nichushkin who is out due to personal reasons. While these absences hurt the Colorado attack, this remains a team that ranked third in the league in expected Goals Allowed (xGA). Seattle has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after winning their previous game in overtime. The Kraken have had the second-best xGA in the NBA since Christmas — but they rank only 21st in the league in expected goals since then. Seattle has played 4 straight Unders on the road — and the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 8 meetings against each other Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight Unders when playing in Colorado. The Avalanche have also played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* NHL 1st Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Kraken (51) and the Colorado Avalanche (52). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-23-23 |
Oilers v. Kings UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (31) and the Los Angeles Kings (32) in Game Four of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (51-24-10) has lost two of the first three games in this series after their 3-2 loss in overtime on Friday. Los Angeles (48-26-11) has won four of their last five games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings' physical style of play has frustrated the Oilers in this series. While Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are getting their share of points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Zach Hyman are goalless in this series after scoring 37 and 36 goals in the regular season respectively. Los Angeles is getting great goaltending from Joonas Korpisalo who they picked up from Columbus at the trade deadline. He stopped 38 of the 40 shots he faced in the 63:24 minutes of Game Three. In his five starts at home in the regular season at Crypto.com Arena with the Kings, Korpisalo had a 1.38 Goals-Against-Average and a .940 save percentage. Los Angeles has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Kings are not at full strength with their offensive attack with Kevin Fiala out since April 1st with a lower-body injury. He scored 23 goals and added 49 assists in the regular season. While he is skating in practice, he is not ready to return to action just yet. The Under is 9-4-1 in Los Angeles’ last 14 games on home ice. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams from the Pacific Division. Edmonton has seen the Under go 6-2-1 in Edmonton’s last 9 games against Pacific Division rivals. The Oilers have attempted at least 33 shots in 11 straight games — but they have then played 7 of their last 8 games on the road Under the Total after attempting 33 or more shots in three or more games in a row. Edmonton did get a performance from rookie goaltender Stuart Skinner who stopped 28 of the 31 shots he faced. The Oilers are a high-scoring team but they do adjust to playoff hockey in April by grinding out lower-scoring games. They have now played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total in April. Edmonton has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Oilers have played 5 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings against each other Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing in Los Angeles. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (31) and the Los Angeles Kings (32). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-13-23 |
Senators v. Sabres OVER 7 |
Top |
3-4 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (11) and the Buffalo Sabres (12). THE SITUATION: Ottawa (39-35-7) has won two games in a row after their 3-2 win against Carolina on Monday. Buffalo (40-34-6) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in a 6-2 loss at New Jersey on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Senators began the month still in a position to make a run to earn the eighth seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs — but a three-game losing streak put them out of reach. They have since scored a combined ten goals in upsetting Tampa Bay and the Hurricanes to begin the week. They have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing two goals or less in their last contest. In their last five games, they are scoring 3.4 Goals-Per-Game — but they are surrendering 4.0 Goals-Per-Game during that stretch. Goaltending has been an issue all season — and they send out Mads Sogaard tonight to get more work in before the season ends. In her 138 minutes between the pipes this month, Sogaard has a 3.91 Goals-Against-Average and a .857 save percentage. Most of his 18 appearances this season have been at home. This is his seventh start and eighth appearance on the road this year where he has been saddled with a 3.94 GAA and a .857 save percentage. The Over is 7-2-1 in the Senators’ last 10 games against Atlantic Division rivals. The Over is 4-1-2 in Buffalo’s last 7 games against Atlantic Division foes. The Sabres have played 25 of their last 38 games Over the Total after losing their previous game — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. They have played 20 of their last 25 games Over the Total after a loss by two or more goals — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss by three or more goals. Furthermore, Buffalo has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after allowing five or more goals — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing six or more goals in their last contest. The Over is also 19-5-2 in Buffalo’s last 26 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. They return home where they are allowing 4.0 Goals-Per-Game — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games on home ice. Craig Anderson appears to be their likely goaltender tonight to make his first start this month. In four starts in March, Anderson had a 4.76 GAA and a .841 save percentage. In his 12 games and 11 starts at home, Anderson has a 3.28 GAA and a .905 save percentage. Buffalo is two points ahead of the Senators in the division and also not making the postseason — and the Over is 6-1-1 in the Sabres’ last 8 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Ottawa has won the last two meetings between these two teams after beating them by a 3-1 score on January 1st. The Sabres have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing with double-revenge. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (11) and the Buffalo Sabres (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-17-23 |
Kings v. Ducks OVER 6.5 |
Top |
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (65) and the Anaheim Ducks (66). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (29-18-8) has won five of their last seven games after a 5-2 victory against Buffalo on Monday. Anaheim (17-33-5) has lost three games in a row after their 7-3 loss to Buffalo on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Kings have scored 15 combined goals in their last three games — and they have played 8 straight Overs after a win. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total after scoring four or more goals in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring five or more goals in their last contest. Furthermore, the Kings have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning two games in a row — and they have played 5 straight Overs after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Pheonix Copley is their goaltender tonight — and besides his parents spelling his first name contrary to the spelling of the biggest city in Arizona, he is also saddled with some disparate home/road splits. While Copley has a 2.46 Goals-Against-Average and a .910 save percentage at home, those numbers rise to a 3.03 GAA and a .896 save percentage in his 11 starts on the road. Los Angeles scores 3.2 Goals-Per-Game on the road — and they allow 3.5 Goals-Per-Game away from home. They have played 4 straight Overs on the road — and they have played 16 of their last 25 road games Over the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. Furthermore, the Kings have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against fellow Pacific Division rivals. The Over is 39-15-2 in Anaheim’s last 56 games against division rivals. The Ducks have also played 7 straight Overs after a loss by three or more goals — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a game where nine or more combined goals were scored. They have played 7 straight Overs after allowing five or more goals in their last contest. In their last three games, Anaheim has surrendered 20 combined goals with their opponent scoring at least six goals in all three contests. Their talented goaltender John Gibson appears to have had the morale beaten out of him during the organization’s rebuilding process. In his 37 games this season, he has a 4.05 GAA and a .897 save percentage — and he has a 4.89 GAA and a .892 save percentage in three starts this month. When playing at home, the Ducks are allowing 4.1 Goals-Per-Game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total on home ice. They have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Anthem will be losing to avenge a 4-1 loss in Los Angeles to the Kings on December 20th — and they have played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they did not score more than one goal. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (65) and the Anaheim Ducks (66). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-30-22 |
Oilers v. Blackhawks OVER 6 |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (37) and the Chicago Blackhawks (38). THE SITUATION: Edmonton (12-10-0) has won two in a row after their 4-3 win against Florida on Monday. Chicago (6-11-4) has lost seven in a row after their 7-2 win against Winnipeg on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blackhawks started the season getting better than expected results with a roster that many considered the worst in the league. But hard work can only go so far — and the injury to defenseman Seth Jones has left the team significantly undermanned on their blue line. Chicago is allowing 5.0 goals-per-game in their last five games. The Blackhawks have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss at home — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a loss by two or more goals at home. Additionally, Chicago has played 7 straight Overs after a loss at home by three or more goals — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing five or more goals in their last contest. The Blackhawks stay at home where they are giving up 3.8 goals-per-game. They have played 31 of their last 49 home games Over the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. Arvid Soderblom is between the pipes tonight. While he has a .918 save percentage in three starts on the road, his save percentage is .903 save percentage in five games (four starts) at home. Chicago has played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total against teams from the Western Conference. Edmonton (12-10-0) has seen the Over go 3-1-2 in their last 6 games after a win — and they have played 25 of their last 35 games Over the Total after a win at home. They have also played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after scoring four or more goals in a victory at home. The Oilers have scored eight combined goals in their last two games — and they have played 33 of their last 50 games Over the Total after scoring at least three goals in two straight contests. Edmonton is scoring 3.4 goals-per-game led by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl — but the defensive efforts from those superstar forwards have been less than desired this year which has played a role in them allowing 3.5 goals-per-game. Stuart Skinner is their goaltender tonight. He has a 2.62 Goals-Against-Average and a .921 save percentage at home — but those numbers decline to a 3.02 GAA and a .917 save percentage on the road. And in his seven starts this month, Skinner has a 3.47 GAA and a .899 save percentage. The Oilers have played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: The Blackhawks will be looking to avenge a 6-5 loss at home to Edmonton on October 27th — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 meetings Over the Total -- and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing in Chicago. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (37) and the Chicago Blackhawks (38). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-08-22 |
Stars v. Jets UNDER 6 |
Top |
1-5 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (17) and the Winnipeg Jets (18). THE SITUATION: Dallas (8-3-1) has won three straight games after their 6-2 win at Edmonton on Saturday. Winnipeg (7-3-1) has won two straight games after a 4-0 shutout win against Chicago on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Dallas has been dominant lately in their three-game winning streak. Not only have they scored at least five goals in each of those victories, but they have also held each of those opponents to just two goals in each of those contests. Their win on the road against the Oilers was preceded by a 7-2 win at Arizona. The Stars have played 39 of their last 55 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by at least three goals — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning two in a row on the road. Dallas has scored at least three goals in four straight games — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in four straight games. They have played 46 of their last 63 games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals in three straight games. Additionally, the Under is 7-3-2 in their last 12 games on the road — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total on the road after winning three straight games. The Under is also 6-1-2 in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. Scott Wedgewood gets this fifth start on the road this season as the team’s goaltender. He has been solid with a 2.75 Goals-Against-Average and a .919 save percentage in those four starts away from home. The Under is 5-1-1 in Winnipeg’s last 7 games after a win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. The Under is also 6-0-2 in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. They stay at home where they are allowing only 1.4 Goals-Per-Game — and they have played 5 straight Unders on their home ice. Connor Hellebuyck has been sensational in the net so far this season. He owns a 2.09 GAA and a .936 save percentage this season with two shutouts among his nine starts. In his five starts at home, he sports a 1.19 GAA with a .959 save percentage — and both his shutouts were at home.
FINAL TAKE: The Jets will be looking to avenge a 4-1 loss at Dallas back on October 17th — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (17) and the Winnipeg Jets (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-28-22 |
Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
0 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (75) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (76). THE SITUATION: Boston (7-1-0) has won four games in a row after their 5-1 win against Detroit last night. Columbus (3-5-0) has lost two of their last three games after a 6-3 loss to Arizona on Tuesday.
REASONS TO OVER THE TOTAL: The Bruins have scored at least five goals in five of their eight games this season despite not having Brad Marchand and Charlie McAvoy who started the season with injuries. The Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a victory — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a win by three or more goals. Additionally, Boston has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last contest. The Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after allowing two goals or less in their last game — and the Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games played without a day of rest. They stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total. And in their last 12 games against Eastern Conference foes, the Over is 9-1-2. Columbus scored at least three goals in five straight games while averaging 4.0 Goals-Per-Game in those contests — and now they have Patrik Laine back after he was out with an injury. The Blue Jackets signed Johnny Gaudreau as a free agent in the offseason — he is averaging a point per game. But the defense remains a problem as they have allowed at least three goals in seven of their eight games. They allowed 35.25 shots per game last year, the second most in the league. They also gave up 3.62 Goals-Per-Game last season — and it has been worse this year with them giving up 4.1 Goals-Per-Game. Goalie Elvis Merzlikins has a 4.06 Goals-Against-Average and an .863 save percentage in five games after posting a 3.22 GAA and a .907 save percentage last season. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss by three or more goals in their last game — and they have played 15 of their last 18 games at home Over the Total after playing a game where both teams scored at least three goals. The Over is 39-13-4 in their last 56 games at home.
FINAL TAKE: The Over is 15-7-1 in the Blue Jackets’ last 23 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* NFL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (75) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (76). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-15-22 |
Lightning v. Avalanche UNDER 6 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (11) and the Colorado Avalanche (12) in Game One of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (63-28-8) has won four straight games after defeating the New York Rangers by a 2-1 score to end the Eastern Conference Finals in six games. Colorado (68-21-7) has won five games in a row after completing their four-game sweep against Edmonton with their 6-5 victory on the road in overtime back on June 6th.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: After showing some rust to begin their series with the Rangers, the Lightning tightened things up on defense by only allowing five combined goals over their last four games to take control of that series. Tampa Bay gave up only one goal in each of their last three games. The Lightning have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win. Additionally, they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has a .928 save percentage in the playoffs with +12.7 goals saved above expectation. Tampa Bay goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as an underdog. The Lightning expect to get back forward Brayden Point who has not played since Game Seven in the opening round of the playoffs against Toronto. Point is a great two-way player — but his offensive game is predicated on his speed which will be difficult for him to regain given his time off and the lingering effects of his leg injury. Colorado has played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after winning their last game in overtime. The Avalanche have also played 4 straight Unders after allowing five or more goals in their last game. Colorado may be rusty after not playing for nine days after completing their sweep against the Oilers. Tampa Bay only scored two goals in each of the first two games last round which may have been a result of them not being sharp after an extended break after they swept Florida in the previous round. But the defensive pair of Cole Makar and Devon Toews should continue to play outstanding defense after holding the powerful Edmonton offensive attack led by Connor McDavid to just two goals in Games Two and Three of that series. Head coach Jared Bednar has the advantage of getting to play this pair against the Lightning top forward line of Nikita Kucherov, Ondrej Palat, and Steven Stamkos. This will present a problem for head coach Jon Cooper since his third forward line does not present much of a scoring threat. But that forward line of Brandon Hagel, Anthony Cirelli, and Alex Killorn has been stout on defense this postseason by allowing only 1.26 expected goals allowed per 60 minutes -- and they posted an expected goals share of 77.6% against the Rangers. The second forward line gets Point back — but I don’t expect him to regain his scoring prowess immediately. For the Avalanche, they are still without Nazem Kadri who had his thumb broken last round. He may return later in the series.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado won both regular-season meetings between these two teams — and Tampa Bay has played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge against their opponent. 25* NHL Wednesday Television Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (11) and the Colorado Avalanche (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-11-22 |
Rangers v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (53) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (54) in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (62-28-8) has won the last three games in this series after their 3-1 victory in Game Five on Thursday. New York (62-31-8) looks to stave off elimination to force a decisive Game Seven tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning have gained control of the series by being content in lower-scoring games where they control puck possession and limit the turnovers that were giving the Rangers odd-man rushes in the first two games of this series. Tampa Bay has only allowed two goals in the last two games — but they have scored only five goals at even strength in those two contests. Just as in Game Four, the final Lightning goal was an empty-netter with under a minute to go. Tampa Bay has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last contests. Now the Lightning return home where they have played 4 straight Unders. They have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when leading in a playoff series — and they have also played 7 straight home games Under the Total in the playoffs in closeout opportunities. Andrei Vasilevskiy has six shutouts in those seven close-out games for the Lightning. After having some early timing issues in this series with his blocker, he has been sensational during the three-game winning streak. In his seven starts at home in the playoffs, Vasilevskiy has a 1.79 Goals-Against-Average and a .946 save percentage. New York has seen the Under go 41-19-1 in their last 61 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. They have also played 19 of their last 27 road games Under the Total after losing their last game at home. The Rangers have played 22 of their last 29 games Under the Total after playing a game where no more than four combined goals were scored. They go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 21 of their last 29 games on the road Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5. Furthermore, New York has played 4 straight Unders as an underdog. The Rangers have allowed only 36 goals at five-on-five even strength in the playoffs despite the analytics projecting them to give up 3.53 expected goals per 60 minutes. Goalie Igor Shesterkin is the reason for New York's overachieving — he has +16.5 goals saved above expectation at five-on-five even strength in the postseason along with a .929 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with triple revenge against their opponent -- including all four of those circumstances this season. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (53) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-04-22 |
Avalanche v. Oilers OVER 7 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (37) and the Edmonton Oilers (38) in Game Three of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Colorado (66-21-7) took a 2-0 lead in this series with their 4-0 shutout victory on Thursday. Edmonton (57-33-6) returns home having been on a four-game winning streak before the setback.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche offensive attack kept rolling in Game Two as they scored at least four goals for the fifth time in their last six games. They have scored 12 goals against the shaky Oilers defense after their 8-6 victory in Game One of this series. Colorado has played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after winning their last two games at home. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning their last two games by two or more goals. They peppered Edmonton goalie Mike Smith with 40 shots — that was the fifth straight game where they generated at least 34 shots. The Avalanche have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after putting at least 33 shots on net in three straight games. Now they go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. Colorado has only scored two goals in their nine Power Play chances in this series which is a bit lower than their 31.6% success rate with the man-advantage in the postseason. With Darcy Kuemper questionable with the upper-body injury that compelled him to exit early in the second period in Game One, it will likely be Pavel Francouz between the pipes again tonight. This will be his sixth career start in the playoffs on the road — and he has just a .901 save percentage in these six previous appearances on the road in the playoffs. Edmonton has played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss on the road by more than one goal. The Oilers have also played 12 of their last 15 games at home Over the Total after a loss by three or more goals. They return home where they have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total. They have scored at least four goals in four of their last five games on home ice. They have also played 4 of their last 5 playoff games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Edmonton has played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from two straight losses to their opponent by more than one goal. 25* NHL Saturday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (37) and the Edmonton Oilers (38). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-28-22 |
Hurricanes v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-135 |
3 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (13) and the New York Rangers (14) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Carolina (61-25-8) took a 3-2 lead in this series with their 3-1 victory at home on Thursday. New York (58-28-8) returns home to Madison Square Garden hoping to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: All five games in this series have finished Under the Total with only one of the games even seeing five combined goals. Both teams are averaging just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game in this series. The Hurricanes have not scored more than three goals in seven straight contests. The Under is 3-1-1 in Carolina’s last 5 games after a win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a victory at home against a Metropolitan Division rival. The Under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Head coach Rod Brind’amour is getting outstanding goaltending from Antti Raanta who has a 1.99 Goals-Against-Average and a .931 save percentage in the playoffs. Raanta has +4.6 goals saved above expectation in the postseason. But now the Hurricanes go back on the road where they have not scored more than two goals in five playoff games — and they only scored two goals in their two previous games at Madison Square Garden against the Rangers. Carolina has now played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total in the second round of the playoffs. New York has played 22 of their last 28 games Under the Total after playing a game where no more than four combined goals were scored. The Under is also 39-18-1 in their last 58 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Goalie Igor Shesterkin has a 2.05 Goals-Against-Average at home in six playoff games with a .949 save percentage. In 30 games (29 starts) at home in the regular season, Shesterkin posted similar numbers with a 1.85 GAA and a .940 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers only had 15 shot attempts in Game Five. They have only posted more than 28 shots once in this series. With these teams now very familiar with each other, expect another lower-scoring game tonight. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (13) and the New York Rangers (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-27-22 |
Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-113 |
1 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (71) and the St. Louis Blues (72) in Game Six of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (63-21-7) had won the previous two games in this series before dropping Game Five by a 5-4 score in overtime on Wednesday. St. Louis (55-27-11) now trails in this series by a 3-2 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blues rallied twice in Game Four — once by a 3-0 margin before tying the game in the third period and then once again after trailing by a 4-3 score with less than a minute left in the game. Head coach Craig Berube has had his team adopt the Vegas Golden Knights’ approach of heavy forechecking with the hopes of wearing down the Avalanche — and the strategy may finally be working. The Over is 18-7-1 in St. Louis’ last 26 games after a win — and they have played 17 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a win on the road. Additionally, the Blues have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win by one goal — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a victory in overtime. St. Louis is second in the playoffs with a Power Play success rate of 32.4%. They return home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and the Over is 24-8-2 in their last 34 home games as an underdog. Now that Jordan Binnington is out for the rest of the postseason, the Blues are stuck with Ville Husson between the pipes. He has a -5.7 goals save below expectation in the playoffs. But if Game Five demonstrated anything, it is that Colorado is not getting quality goaltending from Darcy Kuemper. He allowed five goals on 30 shots. He has a subpar .904 save percentage in the postseason with a -2.5 goals saved above expectation mark. Goaltending is in large part a function of the play of the defense — and the Avalanche suffered a huge blow in the season-ending injury to Samuel Girard who has anchored one of the top-two defensive pairs for years, despite his being 23-years old. Colorado has played 16 of their last 25 games Over the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing a game where both teams scored at least four goals. The Aves have also played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss to a Central Division rival — and they have played 21 of their last 32 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. Colorado has scored 15 goals in the last three games with at least four goals in each game — and they have then played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total after scoring at least four goals in three straight games. The Avalanche have also played 4 straight road games Over the Total when the favorite.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total in the Western Conference Semifinals going back to their series last year with Vegas. They have played 5 straight Overs in the playoffs with the opportunity to close out the series. St. Louis has played 9 of their last 12 playoff games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 11 playoff games Over the Total when trailing in the series. These two teams have played 9 of their last 11 meetings Over the Total including 5 straight Overs when playing in St. Louis. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (71) and the St. Louis Blues (72). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-20-22 |
Oilers v. Flames OVER 6.5 |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 10:37 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (39) and the Calgary Flames (40) in Game Two of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (53-31-6) looks to rebound from a 9-6 loss on the road against the Flames on Wednesday. Calgary (55-25-10) has won four of their last five games after taking a 1-0 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: 40-year-old goaltender Mike Smith got exposed early by allowing three goals on the first ten shots he faced in Game One. While head coach Jay Woodcroft quickly announced that Smith will get back between the pipes tonight, he has allowed three or more goals in four of his eight starts in the postseason (with seven of those games against a defensive-minded Los Angeles team in Round One). Smith had a middling 2.81 Goals-Against-Average with a .915 save percentage in 29 regular season starts. But the Oilers demonstrated they can be explosive with their offensive attack in this series after scoring four goals on 11 shots during a torrid stretch in the second period when they rallied from a 6-2 deficit. Edmonton has played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and the Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games against an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last game. The Oilers scored six times despite failing to score from any of their four Power Play chances. After ranking third in the regular season with a Power Play success rate of 26.0%, they converted on 7 of their 19 Power Plays in the first round against the Kings for a crisp 36.8% success rate. Edmonton led all playoff teams after the first round with 22 goals when playing at even strength five-on-five. They ranked third in the first round with 3.46 expected goals at five-on-five. Calgary has played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. The Over is also 13-6-2 in their last 21 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and the Over is 5-2-2 in their last 9 games against an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last game. The Flames generated 47 shots in Game One making it the sixth straight game where they peppered the net with at least 32 shots — and they have played 31 of their last 46 games Over the Total after playing at least five straight games where they had at least 30 shot attempts. Calgary is fourth in the postseason with just 2.23 expected goals allowed at five-on-five — but they just played seven games against an offensively-challenged Dallas team. Goalie Jacob Markstrom has a .918 save percentage in these playoffs — but his -0.4 goals saved avoid expectation suggests he is actually underachieving baseline expectations.
FINAL TAKE: Edmonton has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. These two teams averaged 8.25 combined goals scored in their four regular-season meetings — including a 9-5 victory for the Flames in their final regular-season meetings on March 26th. Wednesday’s score may not have been as much of an outlier as it first appeared — and these two teams have played 4 of their last 5 games against each other. The Over is also 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings between these teams when playing in Calgary. I think both teams should get to at least 3-3 before the end of regulation tonight. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (39) and the Calgary Flames (40). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-15-22 |
Stars v. Flames UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (1) and the Calgary Flames (2) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (49-33-6) snapped a two-game losing streak in this series with a 4-2 victory on Friday. Calgary (53-25-10) hosts Game Seven on their home ice at the Scottiabank Saddledome.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Stars head coach Rick Bowness reunited Jason Roberson on the top line with Joe Pavelski and Rope Hintz on Friday — and Hintz scored a goal that Pavelski and Roberson assisted on while adding a second assist in the victory. The final goal was scored on an empty netter. But now back on the road, Calgary head coach Darryl Sutter can match up whatever two defensemen he wants against the top line that features Pavelski with the home team’s right to make the final line change. Dallas has scored only four times in the three previous games in Calgary in this series. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Stars’ last 4 games on the road. Dallas is getting outstanding goaltending from Jake Oettinger in this series. Oettinger has a .954 save percentage in the first six games — and he has a +7.3 Goals Save Above Expectation. The Under is 5-2-1 in the Stars’ last 8 games as an underdog — and the Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Calgary has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by more than one goal. The Under is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Flames have scored only four goals in their three games at home with three of them scored in their 3-1 victory in Game Five. While Oettinger’s efforts in this series are getting the most attention, Calgary’s Jacob Markstrom has been outstanding as well with a .945 save percentage and +4.1 goals saved above expectation. The Flames have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when favored — and the Under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games in the playoffs when favored. Calgary has also played 7 of their last 10 playoff elimination games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Of the 24 combined goals scored in the six games in this series, only 13 of them have been scored at five-on-five even strength. The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these teams when playing in Calgary. 25* NHL ESPN2 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (1) and the Calgary Flames (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-14-22 |
Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 4:37 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (77) and the Carolina Hurricanes (78) in Game Seven of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Boston (57-30-5) won their third game in the last four games in this series with their 5-2 victory at home on Thursday. Carolina (57-23-8) returns home to Raleigh to host this Game Seven.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bruins took a 2-0 lead entering the third period on Thursday before taking a 4-1 lead just over halfway through the period. The Hurricanes pulled their goalie early in an attempt to get back into the game — and Boston scored an empty netter before Carolina added the final goal with an empty netter. All six games in this series have seen at least six combined goals — and the Total has risen to 6 in the last two games after the first four games had a Total of 5.5. This situation offers us good value for Game Seven. The Bruins have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Overs. Boston has also played 23 of their last 36 games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the third period of their last game. The Bruins have taken 37 minor penalties in this series which has helped contribute to five power-play goals by the Hurricanes. But in this Game Seven when the referees tend to swallow their whistles, Boston is not likely to not have their Power Play Kill Unit as active. Jeremy Swagman will once again be between the pipes for the Bruins after stopping 23 of the 25 shots he faced on Thursday. In his four starts in this series after taking over for Linus Ullmark after the first two games, he has a 2.51 Goals-Against-Average and a .913 save percentage. The rookie did his best goaltending on the road during the regular season where he posted a 2.08 GAA and a .926 save percentage in 23 games (22 starts) as compared to his 2.81 GAA and .898 save percentage in 19 games (18 starts at home). Carolina has been held to two goals in three of their last four games since Swayman became the goaltender for the Bruins in this series. They have played 16 of their last 22 games at home Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. The Hurricanes have also played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total at home when playing their third game in five days. Carolina returns home where they have only given up four goals in the previous four games in this series. Antti Raanta has been outstanding in those three home games as he stopped 74 of the 76 shots he has faced for a .974 save percentage. In his 13 regular-season starts at home, Raanta had a 2.06 GAA and a .924 save percentage. Raanta has been better than I thought he would be in this series playing for the injured Frederik Andersen. Raanta has a 2.46 GAA and a .926 save percentage in his five starts while getting injured in Game Two and not playing in Game Three.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has played 17 of their last 27 games at home Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. Boston has played 8 of their last 13 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. 25* NHL 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (77) and the Carolina Hurricanes (78). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-10-22 |
Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-114 |
1 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (39) and the Edmonton Oilers (40) in Game Five of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (46-29-11) comes off a 4-0 victory at home against the Oilers on Sunday. Edmonton (51-30-5) returns home with this series tied at 2-2.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Kings head coach Todd McClellan found success playing the Phillip Danault forward line against the Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl line on Sunday. Danault is one of the best defensive forwards in the game. Los Angeles also got a vintage performance from goaltender Jonathan Quick who stopped all 31 of the shots he faced. The veteran was the team’s starting goaltender for their Stanley Cup championships in 2012 and 2014. After the Oilers scored six and eight goals in Games Two and Three, I think the tenor of this series has changed to be more defensive — and I suspect this may be the last game in this series where the Total is set at 6.5. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games after a win — and they have played 6 straight Unders after shutting out their last opponent. Los Angeles has also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a win by three or more goals against a Pacific Division opponent — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road after a win by more four or more goals. The Kings were a good defensive team in the regular season where they ranked 11th in the NHL in expected goals allowed per 60 minutes. But scoring will be a problem for this team as they have only scored one power-play goal in their 15 chances in this series. Moving forward, the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games in the playoffs as an underdog — and the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games against Pacific Division foes. Edmonton has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by three or more goals — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home after a loss by four or more goals. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games at home after not scoring more than one goal in their last contest. They are getting great play from goaltender Mike Smith who has a 2.27 Goals-Against-Average and a .942 save percentage in this series. Smith was red-hot last month with a .951 save percentage in April.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 18-8-4 in the last 30 games between these teams when playing in Edmonton. The Oilers have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when avenging a shutout loss to their opponent. 25* NHL 1st Round Pacific Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (39) and the Edmonton Oilers (40). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-22 |
Flames v. Stars UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (37) and the Dallas Stars (38) in Game Four of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Calgary (51-24-10) has lost four of their last five games after their 4-2 loss on the road against the Stars on Saturday. Dallas (48-31-6) has won five of their last seven games while taking a 2-1 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: We have seen Johnny Gaudreau’s offensive productivity dip in the postseason before. Despite prolific regular-season performances in the 2018-19 and 2019-20 seasons, Calgary flamed out in the first (full) round of the playoffs in both campaigns. The Flames have scored only three times in the first three games of this series. Part of the problem for Calgary is the lack of scoring depth after their top line of Gaudreau, Matthew Tkachuk, and Elias Lindholm. When playing at home in Dallas with the right to make the final line change, head coach Rick Bowness can make sure that his top defensive pair of Miro Heiskanen and Ryan Suter take the ice when the Gaudreau line is playing. Heiskanen has not seen a goal scored against the Stars in his 78 minutes of ice time so far in this series. And while the Gaudreau has scored twice, the other forward lines have scored just once in the first three games of this series. The Flames have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. The under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. They are getting great goaltending from Jacob Markstrom who has kept them competitive in all three games in this series despite their lack of scoring. Markstrom has stopped 65 of the 69 shots he has faced in this series for a 1.36 Goals-Against-Average and a .940 save percentage. In his 25 starts on the road this season, Markstrom has a 2.31 GAA and a .929 save percentage. The Under is 6-2-1 in the Flames’ last 9 games on the road — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Dallas preceded their victory on Saturday with a 2-0 shutout win in Game Two in Calgary. They have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after going unbeaten in their last two games — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by more than one goal. The Stars have not allowed more than two goals in four straight games and six of their last seven. Rookie goaltender Jake Oettinger loves playing against Pacific Division teams against which he has a 2.24 Goals-Against-Average and a .925 save percentage in 16 games (15 starts). So far in this series, Oettinger has a 1.01 GAA and a .969 save percentage — and he has +3.7 saves above expectation. The Stars have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 9-3-1 in Calgary’s last 13 games in the playoffs when favored — and they have played 11 of their last 17 playoff games Under the Total when trailing in the series. 25* NHL 1st Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (37) and the Dallas Stars (38). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-22 |
Predators v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (75) and the Colorado Avalanche (76) in Game Two of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Nashville (45-31-7) looks to rebound from their 7-2 loss in the opening game of this series. Colorado (57-20-6) snapped a two-game losing streak while taking a 1-0 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Entering the postseason, I wanted to attack these 6.5 totals with Under plays ahead of the market before the reality of playoff hockey generates lower scoring games — but here I am endorsing a 25* play with an Over despite the number being at 6.5. Well, these are both high-scoring teams — and the Predators have a serious problem with their goaltending situation given the injury to Juuse Saros. David Rittich did not last the first period on Tuesday as he allowed in five goals on 13 shots. Rookie Connor Ingram played better by stopping 30 of the 32 shots he faced which were enough for head coach John Hynes to give him the nod as the starter tonight. It’s one thing to “only” give up two more goals entering a game where his team was already trailing by five goals — it is quite another to be facing the pressure of starting in a hostile environment tonight in a brand new game. In his three regular-season starts, Ingram had a 3.71 Goals-Against-Average and a .879 save percentage. He is facing perhaps the most potent scoring attack in the NHL which generates 4.3 Goals-Per-Game when playing at home at Ball Arena. The Avalanche rank sixth in the league with a Power Play unit that has a 24.3% success rate. The Predators give up 4.78 penalties per game which are the most in the league. Nashville only wins this game by scoring their share of goals. They are led by Matt Duchene and Filip Forsberg who both found the back of the net 40 times. They also boast a top-five Power Play unit in the NHL. The Predators have played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss by three or more goals. They have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road after playing a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. Furthermore, they have played 4 straight Overs after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. On the road, the Over is 36-16-1 in their last 53 games — and they have played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total with the total set at 6 or higher. And in their last 8 road games, Nashville has played 7 of these games Over the Total. Additionally, the Predators have played 5 straight Overs against teams with a winning record — and they have played 22 of their last 27 games Over the Total against Central Division rivals. Colorado has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total at home after a victory against divisional opponents — and they have played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after a win by three or more goals against a Central Division foe. The Avalanche have now played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Colorado is vulnerable on defense — they have allowed 3.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of the 25 shots he faced on Tuesday — but in his ten starts last month, he registered a lukewarm 3.28 GAA and a .910 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 straight Overs — and they have played 4 straight Overs when playing in Colorado. Nashville has also played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by two or more goals. The Predators can still feel very good about themselves with an upset win tonight — but they can only do that by pulling out a high-scoring game. 25* NHL 1st Round Central Division Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (75) and the Colorado Avalanche (76). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-27-22 |
Kings v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (59) and the Seattle Kraken (60). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (43-27-10) has won four games in a row after their 4-2 victory against Anaheim on Saturday. Seattle (26-47-6) is on a three-game losing streak after their 5-2 loss at Vancouver last night.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have clinched a spot in the Western Conference playoffs — but they are still jockeying for seeding. This is a defensive-first team that will want to maintain that focus in the final days of regular season before the intensity from the playoffs amps up. Los Angeles has seen six or fewer combined goals scored in eight of their last eleven games. They are only scoring 2.85 Goals-Per-Game in their last 13 contests. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games after a win — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Jonathan Quick is the likely goaltender tonight for the Kings. The veteran is playing his best hockey entering the postseason — he has a 2.11 Goals-Against-Average in his seven starts this month. In his last four starts, he has a .944 save percentage — and he has not allowed more than two goals in any of these four games. They hit the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Seattle has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. The Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a loss by three or more goals. The Kraken have seen six or less fewer combined goals scored in seven of their last eleven games. They are likely to turn to Chris Dredger between the pipes tonight. He has allowed two or less goals in four of his last seven starts. He also has played quite well in his two previous starts against Kings against which he stopped 55 of the 58 shots he faced fora .948 save percentage. This expansion team has been a solid defensive team that ranks ninth in the NHL in expected goals allowed per 60 minutes when playing at five-on-five full strength. Seattle has played 5 of their last 6 games at home Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles will be motivated to avenge a 6-1 loss at home to the Kraken on March 28th — and they have played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total playing with revenge from a loss where they did not score more than one goal. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (59) and the Seattle Kraken (60). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-09-22 |
Senators v. Rangers UNDER 6 |
Top |
1-5 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (11) and the New York Rangers (12). THE SITUATION: New York (46-20-6) has won two straight games and six of their last eight contests after their 3-0 shutout victory against Pittsburgh on Thursday. Ottawa (26-38-6) had their three-game winning streak snapped with their 3-2 loss to Nashville on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have seen no more than six combined goals scored in eight of their last twelve games. They have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a victory. While the team improved their depth at the trade deadline with several additions to the team, New York still ranks 28th in the league in five-on-five scoring. Goalie Igor Shesterkin is the difference-maker for this team. He stopped all 30 shots he faced against the Penguins for that shutout. He has not allowed more than three goals in five straight starts. Shesterkin leads the league with a .935 save percentage — and he also leads the NHL in saves above expected saves rate. He thrives when playing at home in Madison Square Garden where he has a 1.89 Goals-Against-Average and a .940 save percentage in 25 starts. The Rangers have played 13 of their last 18 home games Under the Total when favored. They have also played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total against fellow Eastern Conference opponents — and the Under is 26-10-1 in their last 37 games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games. Ottawa has played 13 of the last 18 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Senators are just 22nd in the NHL in expected goals when playing at five-on-five even strength — and they will be missing two of their offensive threats with Tim Stutzle and Drake Batherson out for tonight’s game with injuries. But Ottawa remains a feisty opponent given their physical defensive play. They are 12th in the league with their Power Play Kill Unit. They are also getting outstanding play from Anton Forsberg who will be between the pipes tonight. He has a .925 save percentage in his last nine starts while not allowing more than three goals in all nine games. In 19 starts on the road, Forsberg has a 2.42 Goals-Against-Average and a .925 save percentage. The Under is 10-3-1 in Ottawa’s last 14 road games as an underdog. Additionally, the Under is 18-7-1 in the Senators’ last 26 games as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Under is also 19-7-1 in their last 27 games against Eastern Conference opponents — and they have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams from the Metropolitan Division.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played seven of their last eight encounters with no more than six combined goals scored. The Under is 19-6-4 in the last 29 games played between these two teams at Madison Square Garden. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (11) and the New York Rangers (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-31-22 |
Kings v. Flames OVER 6 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-111 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (43) and the Calgary Flames (44). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (36-23-10) has lost three of their last four games after their 4-3 loss in overtime at Edmonton on Wednesday. Calgary (40-19-7) had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 2-1 loss to Colorado on Tuesday. UPDATE (8:45 PM ET): I am seeing that the Kings are sending out Cal Peterson in goal, going against the earlier projections (although the LA goalie was never announced before pre-skate). The Over is still a 25* play — Peterson has a 2.83 GAA and an .899 save percentage since the All-Star Break and a 2.88 GAA with an .899 save percentage in 16 starts on the road this season.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Kings are ravaged with injuries on their blue line right now. Drew Doughty, Sean Walker, Matt Roy, and Mikey Anderson are all out. Not coincidentally, Los Angeles has allowed 3.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games. They have seen at least six combined goals in five straight games. But the Kings’ offense has stepped up as of late as they are averaging 3.5 Goals-Per-Game in their last four contests. For the season, Los Angeles is eighth in the NHL in expected goals at even strength five-on-five. The Kings have played 4 straight games Over the Total after going to overtime in their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing a game on the road where both teams scored at least three goals. Furthermore, while Los Angeles has seen seven combined goals scored in two straight contests, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. Jonathan Quick will be the goaltender tonight. For the season, he has a middling 2.68 Goals-Against-Average and a .909 save percentage in 38 starts — but his performance has dipped since the All-Star Break with a 2.83 GAA and a .898 save percentage in his last ten starts. Quick has a 3.23 GAA and an .873 save percentage in seven starts against Pacific Division rivals. Moving forward, the Over is 5-0-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Calgary has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss by one goal on home ice. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals — and the Over is 18-6-3 in their last 27 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. And while the Flames have peppered at least 31 shots in five straight games, they have then played 30 of their last 43 games at home Over the Total after playing five straight games where they registered at least 30 shots. Calgary had seen at least six combined goals scored in four straight games before their contest with the Avalanche. They are fourth in the NHL in expected goals scored at even strength — and they are scoring 4.0 Goals-Per-Game in their last seven contests. They counter with Jacob Markstrom between the pipes tonight. While he has a 2.16 GAA and a .925 save percentage in 52 starts this season — but he carries an .889 save percentage in his last four starts. He also has a 2.61 GAA with a .909 save percentage in his 15 starts against Pacific Division rivals.
FINAL TAKE: The Over is 5-0-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games against Western Conference foes — and the Over is 3-1-1 in the Flames’ last 5 games against Western Conference opponents. 25* NHL Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (43) and the Calgary Flames (44). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-26-22 |
Bruins v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the San Jose Sharks (16). THE SITUATION: Boston (30-17-4) has won three straight games with their 3-2 win at Seattle on Thursday. San Jose (23-22-6) snapped a seven-game losing streak with a 4-3 victory against the New York Islanders on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston has been outstanding defense — they are allowing only 2.04 expected goals (xGF) per 60 minutes this month. They have held their last five opponents to just 2.2 goals per game. And while they have peppered the opposing goalie with at least 33 shots in three straight games, they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total on the road after attempting at least 33 shots in three straight games. They are only scoring 2.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests as they continue to be held back with their secondary scoring after their “perfection line” of Patrice Bergeron (who is listed as probable tonight despite an illness), Brad Marchand, and David Pastrnak. They continue their road trip where the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games on the road. Jeremy Swayman is their goaltender tonight. Swayman has a 2.09 Goals-Against-Average with a .925 save percentage — and he ranks seventh in saves above expectation for goalies with at least 10 games played this season. In his 11 games (10 starts) on the road, Swayman has a 1.59 GAA and a .945 save percentage. Moving forward, the Under is 5-0-1 in Boston’s last 6 games against teams with a losing record. San Jose has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game at home where both teams scored at least three goals. The Sharks’ victory against the Islanders was preceded by a 4-3 loss at Anaheim — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. Furthermore, San Jose has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games — and they have played 15 of their last 22 home games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in two straight games. The Sharks are missing Erik Karlsson to help out their attack. The defenseman is out indefinitely with an upper-body injury — and his absence exacerbates their lack of scoring punch from their bottom-six forwards. San Jose has a low 1.95 GF per 60 minutes this month — and they are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games. They turn to James Reimer as their goaltender tonight who is having a solid season. Reimer owns a 2.90 GAA with a .913 save percentage — and he has made +2.9 saves above expectation. The Sharks have played 4 straight Unders against teams with a winning record.
FINAK TAKE: San Jose has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents — and the Under is 3-1-1 in Boston’s last 5 games against Western Conference foes. The Sharks will be looking to avenge a 4-3 loss to the Bruins on October 24th — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. The Under is also 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams when playing in San Jose. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the San Jose Sharks (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-10-21 |
Jets v. Canucks UNDER 6 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (61) and the Vancouver Canucks (62). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (13-9-4) has won three of their last four games after their 3-0 win at Seattle last night. Vancouver (10-15-2) has won two straight and four of their last five after their 2-1 win against Boston on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 6-2-2 in the Jets’ last 10 games after a win — and they have played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after a win by three or more goals. Winnipeg has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Jets stay on the road where they are scoring only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game as opposed to their 3.0 Goals-Per-Game scoring average overall. Winnipeg has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road. They turn to Eric Comrie between the pipes who has been solid with a 2.49 Goals-Against-Average and a .912 save percentage in six games (five starts). The Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Vancouver has seen the Under go 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after a win. The Under is also 5-2-1 in the Canucks’ last 8 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Vancouver has only allowed one goal in their two games since manager Bruce Boudreau took over as their new head coach on December 5th. The Canucks stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They are scoring just 2.2 Goals-Per-Game on home ice. Additionally, the Under is 20-5-4 in their last 29 games at home — and the Under is 10-1-1 in their last 12 home games when favored. Thatcher Demko should be in goal tonight after stopping 35 of 36 shots against the Bruins on Wednesday. Demko sports a 2.21 GAA and a .931 save percentage in 11 starts at home this season. He has a 1.73 GAA and a .947 save percentage in four starts this month.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 3-0-1 in the Canucks’ last 4 games against Western Conference opponents — and the Under is 7-3-1 in the Jets’ last 11 games against Western Conference opponents. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total as well. 25* NHL Western Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (61) and the Vancouver Canucks (62). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-07-21 |
Flames v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-129 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 10:38 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (19) and the San Jose Sharks (20). THE SITUATION: Calgary (15-5-5) had their three-game winning streak snapped with a 3-2 loss in Las Vegas against the Golden Knights on Sunday. San Jose (13-11-1) has lost two in a row with their 6-4 loss at Columbus on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Flames have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by one goal. Calgary has also played 5 straight Unders after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Flames are playing fierce defense for head coach Daryl Sutter — they are allowing just 2.0 Goals-Per-Game. They stay on the road where they are allowing just 1.9 Goals-Per-Game. Calgary has played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 13 road games with the Total set at 5.5. Backup goaltender Daniel Vladar gets the starting assignment tonight — but he has been spectacular this season. Vladar has a 1.78 Goals-Against-Average with a .939 save percentage in six starts all on the road. He also has two shutouts. The Flames have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Pacific Division rivals. San Jose has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss by two or more goals. Additionally, the Sharks have played 5 straight Unders after losing at least two in a row. San Jose has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 26 of their last 34 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last contest. In their last five games, the Sharks are allowing just 2.0 Goals-Per-Game. Adin Hill likely will be between the pipes tonight. In three starts this month, Hill has a 2.35 GAA and a .914 save percentage. San Jose returns home for the first time since November 26th. The Sharks have played 8 straight home games Under the Total after being on the road for at least a week. San Jose has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog. The Sharks have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total as the underdog.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Calgary has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (19) and the San Jose Sharks (20). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-25-21 |
Islanders v. Lightning UNDER 5 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (31) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (32) in Game Seven of their Stanley Cup Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (43-28-8) forced a climactic seventh game in this series with their 3-2 victory in overtime on Wednesday. Tampa Bay (46-20-6) returns home to host this Game Seven having lost two of their last three games in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Islanders have played a decisive 41 of their last 63 road games Under the Total after a win or tie in their last game. They have played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a win at home this season — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win at home by just one goal. New York has also played 33 of their last 52 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. The Islanders are outplaying the Lightning when playing at even strength. They have held them to only 7.67 High Danger Chances per game in this series — and they are scoring only 1.85 expected goals per game at five-on-five. Tampa Bay is thriving when they get on the power play. While their 29.4% success rate with the man-advantage in this series is below their 37.7% mark in this postseason, it is still well above their 23.1% success rate during the regular season. The Islanders were the least penalized team during the regular season. The referees tend to swallow their whistles in Game Sevens to not put undue influence on the game. There have been two games in this series that finished with more than five combined goals — and the Lightning had five and six power-play opportunities in both contests. In the other four games in this series, Tampa Bay was not on the power play more than twice for the entire game. New York has played 5 of their last 8 playoff games Under the Total when the series is tied — and they have played 3 of their last 4 playoff games when facing elimination. The Islanders have also played 23 of their last 35 road games Under the Total on the road. Tampa Bay has played 23 of their last 36 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. They may be without their leading scorer in the playoffs in Nikita Kucherov tonight after he was knocked out of the game early in the first period from a crosscheck that targeted the injured hip that kept him out of the entire regular season. Kucherov is the straw that stirs their drink on the power play from good to elite. He has five goals and a whopping 27 assists in the postseason. The Lightning have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing at home in closeout games.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 3-1-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 6 opportunities to host the Islanders — and they have played 8 straight Game Sevens Under the Total. 25* NHL Stanley Cup Semifinal Playoffs Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (31) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (32). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-02-21 |
Golden Knights v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (79) and the Colorado Avalanche (80) in Game Two of their West Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (44-17-3) looks to bounce back from their 7-1 loss to the Avalanche on Sunday. Colorado (44-13-4) has won ten games in a row with the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche offensive attack looks unstoppable right now. Colorado has scored at least four goals in seven straight games — and they have scored at least five goals in six of these games. Colorado has played 4 straight Overs after a win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. Additionally, the Avalanche have 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning at least four games in a row. They have played 9 straight Overs after scoring at least four goals in four straight games. They have won every game in the postseason by at least three goals — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games by at least three goals. The Avalanche are likely to give up their share of goals tonight as well — they have not registered a shutout in six straight games. Colorado has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Avalanche stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 straight Overs when playing at home with two days of rest. The Over is also 19-7-1 in Colorado’s last 27 playoff games when favored. Vegas continues to play without one of their top defensemen in Brayden McNabb is in COVID quarantine. The Golden Knights have allowed more than one goal in four straight games. Despite scoring only one time on Sunday, their expected goals in all situations was 2.39. They were also defending against Colorado power plays for much of that game. Vegas has played 7 straight playoff games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Golden Knights have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by at least four goals. 25* NHL 2nd Round Wednesday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (79) and the Colorado Avalanche (80). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-31-21 |
Canadiens v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (63) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (64) in Game Seven of their North Division Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Montreal (27-24-11) forced a climactic Game Seven with their 3-2 victory in overtime on Saturday. Toronto (38-16-8) has blown a 3-1 series lead.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Maple Leafs have not won a playoff series in 17 years — and now they face their nightmare scenario of blowing a big lead in a Game Seven on their home ice in front of their very anxious fans. The pressure will be tremendous — and I expect Toronto to be very tight tonight. Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner have not handled the pressure very well so far in this series. Both players have generated only four points in the first six games of this series — and only Matthews has scored with one goal. These players may be tired — head coach Sheldon Keefe is playing both stars for plenty of minutes including Marner serving on the Power Play Kill Unit. Previous head coach Mike Babcock managed minutes much differently before getting canned last year for not playing Mathews enough in regular-season games. Well, Babcock has won Stanley Cups — and Keefe was a minor league coach before getting promoted. The overtime periods in the last two games have not helped the energy levels of these stars — and Toronto has played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row in overtime. The Maple Leafs have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing their sixth or more games in ten days (this series started on May 20th with Game Two on May 22nd). Additionally, Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when favored — and the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. Montreal has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win at home. The Canadiens have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. And while Montreal took a 2-0 lead by scoring two goals in the third period — but they then allowed two goals in the final nine minutes of the game to force overtime. The Canadiens have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing two or more goals in the third period. Carey Price has found his game in this series — the goaltender he has a 2.44 Goals-Against-Average against the fourth highest-scoring team in the NHL with a .926 save percentage. He has a .877 save percentage against high danger scoring chances which is one of the reasons that Matthews and Marner are slumping. Montreal has played 15 of their last 22 games on the road Under the Total as an underdog — and the Under is 20-5-4 in the Canadiens’ last 29 games in the playoffs as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing with revenge. The Under is also 8-3-1 in the last 12 games between these two teams. 25* NHL 1st Round Monday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (63) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-30-21 |
Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (53) and the Colorado Avalanche (54) in Game One of their West Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (44-16-3) advanced to this series with their 4-3 victory against Minnesota in Game Seven of their opening-round series on Friday. Colorado (43-13-4) has won nine games in a row after completing their four-game sweep of the Blues in St. Louis last Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: I awaited confirmation that Robin Lehner was the goaltender tonight for the Golden Knights — and he will be. I like the move by head coach Peter DeBoer since Marc-Andre Fleury was tiring with the every-other-day grind of the first round of the playoffs. Lehner will be fresh and with a chip on his shoulder to demonstrate he deserves consideration to be the starting playoff goaltender as he was last postseason. Lehner had a 1.99 Goals-Against-Average in 16 playoff starts last fall with a .917 save percentage and four shutouts. Lehner posted a 2.29 GAA with a .913 save percentage in 19 regular-season starts this year — and he was a bit more effective on the road with a 2.26 GAA and a .915 save percentage in eight starts. Vegas is already conditioned to grind out low-scoring games after surviving the defensively-minded Wild. They have played 4 straight Unders after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Golden Knights have also played 22 of their last 32 games on the road Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. And in their last 5 road games as an underdog, Vegas has played 4 of these games Under the Total. I expect Colorado to be rusty with a week off after quickly disposing of the Blues last week. It is telling that the Under is 5-0-1 in the Avalanche’s last 6 games when playing with at least three days between games. They closed out that series with St. Louis with 5-1 and 5-2 victories. Colorado has played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after playing their last two games on the road — and they have played 22 of their last 32 road games Under the Total after winning their last two games on the road by more than one goal. It may be Nathan MacKinnon who garners most of the attention for the Avalanche — but they play outstanding defense as they ranked third in the league by allowing only 2.36 Goals-Per-Game. They also ranked third in the regular by allowing only 1.98 Goals-Per-Game at even strength — and they led the NHL with just a 1.73 expected goals allowed per game mark at even strength. They held the Blues to only seven goals in their four-game series. Goalie Philipp Grubauer made his claim of being one of the best in the league with a 1.95 Goals-Against-Average and a .922 save percentage. And don’t underestimate the loss of second-line center Nazeem Kadri who is appealing the eight-game suspension he incurred in that opening-round series. Kadri had 11 goals and 21 assists in the regular season.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total. They last played on May 10th in a game to determine the top seed in the West Division and the eventual President’s Trophy for the best regular-season record. Colorado won in Las Vegas by a 2-1 score — and the Golden Knights have played 22 of their last 33 road games Under the Total when avenging a loss. 25* NHL NBC-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (53) and the Colorado Avalanche (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-29-21 |
Maple Leafs v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (41) and the Montreal Canadiens (42) in Game Six of their North Division Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Montreal (26-24-11) extended this series to a sixth game with their 4-3 win in overtime on Thursday. Toronto (38-16-7) can still advance to the North Division Finals tonight given their 3-2 series lead.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens should be energized with their victory. Not only does winning this game force a climactic seventh game, but the pressure would be enormous on this Maple Leafs team. Montreal has played 7 straight home games Under the Total after a win in overtime. They also have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a win by just one goal against a divisional rival. The Canadiens did make things interesting after racing out to a 3-0 lead in the second period. The Maple Leafs forced overtime because of two goals scored in the third period — but Montreal has then played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the third period in their last game. Goalie Carey Price has had moments of his old brilliance in this series. I suspect he will play well tonight. The Canadiens return home where the Under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 7-3-2 in their last 12 games at home as an underdog. Toronto came out flat on Thursday, apparently comfortable with their handle on the series. They will tighten up on defense tonight. I also suspect they will be very tight now that they have kept the door open for the Canadiens. The Maple Leafs have lost five straight close-out games in a playoff series going back to 2018 — they do not want to go back home for a Game Seven (the pressure may work against them). This is a nervy game. Toronto has scored seven goals in their last two games — but they have then played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in their last two contests. The Maple Leafs go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Goalie Jack Campbell may have played his worst game in this series by allowing those early soft goals. He should play better tonight. Toronto has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least four goals. 25* NHL 1st Round Saturday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (41) and the Montreal Canadiens (42). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-27-21 |
Canadiens v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-123 |
1 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (21) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (22) in Game Five of their North Division Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Montreal (25-24-11) looks to stave off elimination after losing Game Four of this series on Tuesday by a 4-0 score. Toronto (38-16-6) has won the last three games in a row in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens’ lack of star power is rearing its head in this series. They have only scored four goals in this series — and they have scored just twice in the last 187:16 minutes of this series. A line with castoffs like Tomas Tatar — a left wing that should both Detroit and then Vegas was comfortable in letting go — on the top line (and being a primary scorer) demonstrates what little scoring talent this team has. Tatar would be a fine left wing on the third line of a playoff team. Playing on the road compounds the problem for Montreal since Toronto head coach Sheldon Keefe can target his best defensive pair against the Canadiens’ best scoring threat line. Younger stars like second-line center Nick Suzuki or Jesperi Kotkaniemi or 5’7 rookie Cole Caufield lack experience to play dominant roles without plenty of help that this team simply does not have — and they sure do miss second line left winger Jonathan Drouin who opted-out of the postseason with a medical issue. Montreal has played 15 of their last 22 road games Under the Total as an underdog. The Canadiens have not scored on their 13 Power Plays in this series. Moving forward, Montreal has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing their third game in four days. Additionally, the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a loss by at least three goals — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a loss by three or more goals at home. The Canadiens perhaps played too loose in Game Four to create more scoring chances — but that style also allowed the Maple Leafs to generate 10 high-danger scoring chances on Tuesday after both teams were only averaging 10.6 combined high-danger scoring chances per game in the first four games of this series. Montreal needs to go back to simply trying to grind out low-scoring games relying on Carey Price. The goalie has been solid with a 2.58 Goals-Against-Average and a .920 save percentage in this series. The Under is 7-1-2 in Toronto’s last 10 games after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by three or more goals. The Maple Leafs have also played 15 of their last 20 home games Under the Total after a win by four or more goals on the road. Toronto is getting it done without much production their superstars — Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner have combined for only one point. Goalie Jack Campbell has been great with a 1.01 Goals-Against-Average and a .965 save percentage. The Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, the Maple Leafs have played 4 of their last 5 playoff games Under the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto will likely be quite content playing a conservative, defensive-first approach since it is getting them more comfortable for a style that has stymied them in the past when playing Atlantic Division rival Boston. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. 25* NHL 1st Round North Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (21) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-21-21 |
Jets v. Oilers OVER 5.5 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (45) and the Edmonton Oilers (46) in Game Two of their North Division playoff series. THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (31-23-3) has won three games in a row after upsetting the Oilers in the opening game of this series on Wednesday by a 4-1 score. Edmonton (35-20-2) has lost two games in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Jets can play tonight’s Game Two loose having already seized home-ice advantage in this series. Winnipeg has played 9 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a win on the road — and they have won 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning at least three games in a row. The Jets have a balanced scoring attack with eight players who have scored at least 10 goals. Winnipeg expects to get second-line center Pierre-Luc Dubois back on the ice after he missed Game One — he says he is “ready to go.” Dubois had eight goals and 12 assists in his 41 games playing in a Jets’ uniform after getting traded from Columbus in late January. Winnipeg has played 8 of their last 12 road games Over the Total with the number set at 5.5 — and the Over is 9-4-2 in their last 15 road games as an underdog. Edmonton has played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least four goals in a loss to a divisional rival. The Oilers have only scored two goals in their last two games after ending their regular season with a 4-1 loss at home to Vancouver. Edmonton has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not scoring more than one goal in two straight games. Don’t expect this team led by Conner McDavid and Leon Draisaitl to continue to struggle to score goals — even against Connor Hellebuyck. They registered 3.09 expected goals — but neither star play registered a point on Wednesday. McDavid dominated the Jets in the regular season as he scored nine goals with 15 assists in nine encounters. Draisaitl added seven goals and five assists. Edmonton only had one power play on Wednesday as well — and they led the NHL with a 27.6% conversion rate on the Power Play during the regular season with McDavid and Draisaitl playing together. Head coach Dave Tippett may choose to double shift his stars tonight with them playing together on some shifts. Edmonton will score goals tonight. They have played 7 of their last 9 playoff games Over the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Oilers have played 28 of their last 44 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least four goals. 25* NHL 1st Round Friday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (45) and the Edmonton Oilers (46). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-10-21 |
Stars v. Blackhawks OVER 6 |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
107 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (7) and the Chicago Blackhawks (8). THE SITUATION: Dallas (22-17-14) has lost six of their last seven games after their 4-2 loss at Chicago yesterday. Chicago (23-25-6) has won two in a row after their victory last night.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 7-2-4 in the Stars’ last 13 games after scoring no more than two goals in their last game. Dallas has allowed 3.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Jake Oettinger is between the pipes tonight as the Stars play out the string of a lost season that will leave them out of the postseason after reaching the Stanley Cup Finals last year. Oettinger has a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average with a .915 save percentage when playing at home — but those numbers decline to a 2.48 GAA with a .914 save percentage when he is playing on the road. Dallas has played 4 straight Overs on the road — and the Over is 4-1-2 in their last 7 road games when favored. Additionally, the Over is 15-6-7 in the Stars’ last 28 games overall when favored — and the Over is 7-1-2 in their last 10 games when favored. Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 4 straight Overs after allowing at least two goals in their last game. They turn to Collin Delia in goal tonight as he makes just his fifth start and six appearances all season. He has underwhelmed with a 3.33 GAA and a .903 save percentage. The Blackhawks stay at home where they are scoring 3.3 Goals-Per-Game but allowing 3.2 Goals-Per-Game. Chicago has now played 4 straight games Over the Total at home. In their last five games, Chicago is allowing 3.8 Goals-Per-Game. They have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now seen the Over go 22-4-1 in their last 27 games played in Chicago. Let’s trust these team trends to continue with skaters looking to pad offensive stats tonight. 25* NHL Monday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (7) and the Chicago Blackhawks (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-21 |
Stars v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (1) and the Chicago Blackhawks (2). THE SITUATION: Dallas (22-17-14) snapped their five-game losing streak with their 5-2 victory at Tampa Bay on Friday. Chicago (23-25-6) ended their six-game losing streak with a 2-1 overtime victory in Carolina on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 5-0-2 in the Stars’ last 7 games after a win. Additionally, Dallas is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after scoring at least five goals — and the Over is 5-0-3 in their last 8 games after allowing two goals or less in their last game. The Stars have been eliminated from making the postseason so their efforts may be lax on the defensive end of the ice. As it is, they are allowing 3.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Anton Khudobin is the goaltender tonight. He has a mediocre 2.91 Goals-Against-Average with a .908 save percentage in three starts this month. The Over is 3-1-1 in Dallas’ last 5 road games when favored — and the Over is 6-1-2 in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. Chicago has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after an overtime victory — and they have played 8 straight games at home Over the Total after a victory by one goal on the road. The Blackhawks have also played 6 of their 8 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Chicago has also played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. Now after playing their last three games on the road, the Blackhawks return home where they have played 12 of their last 15 home games Over the Total after playing at least three in a row on the road. Chicago has also played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as an underdog. Kevin Lankinen will be between the pipes. After a strong start to the season, the rookie has floundered in the second half of the season. He was saddled with a 3.87 GAA along with an .871 save percentage in ten starts in April before letting in five goals in his last start against Florida last Saturday. The Blackhawks are allowing 4.2 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight Overs — the Over is 21-4-1 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams in Chicago. They last played on April 8th with Dallas winning in Chicago by a 5-1 score. The Blackhawks have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home by more than one goal. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (1) and the Chicago Blackhawks (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-21 |
Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 6 |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 9:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (17) and the San Jose Sharks (18). THE SITUATION: Colorado (34-12-4) has won three games in a row with their 5-4 win in overtime at San Jose on Monday. San Jose (20-26-6) has lost three in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 5-0-1 in the Avalanche’s last 6 games after a win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a victory on the road where they scored at least four goals. Colorado has also played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning at least three in a row against a divisional rival. And in their last 10 games after scoring at least five goals, the Avalanche have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Colorado has scored nine combined goals in their last two games with their 4-3 win against the Sharks on Saturday — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring at least nine goals in their last two games. There have been at least seven combined goals scored in four of their last six games. Philip Grubauer should be back between the pipes tonight after allowing four goals from the 27 shots he faced on Monday. Grubauer has a sparkling 2.00 Goals-Against-Average and a .920 save percentage in 36 games/35 starts this season. But looking under the hood from those numbers exposes some areas of concern. He ranks tied for 16th in the league with a +0.001 save percentage above his expected save percentage in all situations — indicating he barely above average. He had a 2.92 GAA and a .891 save percentage in five starts in April before his mediocre start on Monday. Grubauer also has a 2.59 Goals-Against-Average and a .898 save percentage in 13 starts on the road. The Over is 4-1-1 in the Avalanche’s last 6 road games. San Jose has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after losing a game in overtime. The Sharks have also played 28 of their last 43 home games after scoring at least four goals in their last game. They have seen at least seven combined goals scored in five of their last seven games. They are scoring 3.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games while allowing 3.6 Goals-Per-Game over that span. They have played 4 straight games at home Over the Total — and they have played 8 straight Overs at home as an underdog. Josef Korenar gets the call tonight in goal — he has a subpar 3.21 GAA and a .896 save percentage in eight games/five starts this season. San Jose has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has lost the last four meetings between these two teams — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with at least double revenge where they gave up at least four goals in those games. The Over is 19-8-2 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams — and the Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 encounters between these two teams when playing in San Jose. 25* NHL Wednesday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (17) and the San Jose Sharks (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-21 |
Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 6 |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 10:38 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (57) and the San Jose Sharks (58). THE SITUATION: Colorado (33-12-4) has won two games in a row with their 4-3 win against the Sharks on Saturday. San Jose (20-26-5) has lost two in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 4-0-1 in the Avalanche’s last 5 games after a win — and they have played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total after winning two in a row against a divisional rival. Colorado has also played 7 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total after scoring at least four goals in their last game. The Avalanche has peppered their opponent's' goal with at least 31 shots in five straight games — and they have played 6 straight Overs after attempting at least 30 shots in three straight games. They have scored at least four goals in five of their last nine games. But they have allowed at least three goals in four of their last five games. Philip Grubauer is between the pipes after a disappointing April where he had a 2.92 Goals-Against-Average and a .891 save percentage in just five starts. Grubauer plays his best at home where he enjoys a 1.67 Goals-Against-Average with a .933 save percentage — but he owns a 2.47 GAA with a .920 save percentage on the road. The Over is 3-1-1 in Colorado’s last 5 games on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total when favored. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. San Jose has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after loss by just one goal. The Sharks have now allowed at least four goals in four of their last six games. They return home where the Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games — and they have played 7 straight Overs at home as an underdog. Martin Jones is the goalie for San Jose tonight — he has a rough 3.14 GAA with a .901 save percentage when playing at home. He also comes off a disappointing April where he had a 3.20 GAA and a .896 save percentage in 11 starts. The Sharks have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road. They have lost three in a row against the Avalanche — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with at least double revenge. The Over is also 18-8-2 in the last 28 meetings between these two teams — and the Over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 encounters in San Jose. 25* NHL West Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (57) and the San Jose Sharks (58). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-21-21 |
Wild v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (5) and the Arizona Coyotes (6). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (28-13-3) has won four in a row after their 5-2 victory at Arizona on Monday. Arizona (20-21-5) has lost six of their last seven games.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wild have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a victory — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road after a win against a divisional rival. Minnesota has also played 5 straight Overs after going unbeaten for at least three straight games — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Wild have scored 18 goals in their last four games — and they have averaged 4.0 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. They have also allowed at least two goals in eight straight games. Cam Talbot is the goaltender once again tonight. While the veteran has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average with a .935 save percentage when playing at home in 25 starts, those numbers decline to a 2.86 GAA with a .912 save percentage when he is playing on the road in his 13 starts. Minnesota has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when favored. Furthermore, the Wild have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Arizona has played 6 of their last 7 games at home Over the Total after a loss by at least three goals. Additionally, the Coyotes have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games over the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Arizona has scored at least two goals in 13 of their last 14 games — but they have given up 16 goals in their last four contests. They counter with Darcy Kuemper who allowed four goals in the game on Monday. In his two starts since his return to the ice after being out for about six weeks, he has a 3.03 GAA with a .867 save percentage. The Coyotes stay at home where they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total as an underdog. Arizona has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Arizona has played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total when avenging a loss by at least three goals. The Coyotes have lost five straight to the Wild this season — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing with at least triple revenge. These two teams have played 5 straight Overs when playing at Arizona. 25* NHL West Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (5) and the Arizona Coyotes (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-20-21 |
Rangers v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-117 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (59) and the New York Islanders (60). THE SITUATION: The New York Rangers (23-16-6) have won four in a row with their 5-3 win at New Jersey on Sunday. The New York Islanders (28-13-4) comes off a 1-0 victory at Philadelphia on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have played two straight Overs after defeating the Devils by a 6-3 score on Saturday. But the Rangers have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing two straight Overs — and they have played 6 straight Unders after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. Despite these recent high-scoring games, the Rangers have not allowed more than three goals in six straight games — and they are allowing just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Igor Shesterkin has been named tonight’s goaltender for Alain Vigneault’s team. He has a 2.28 Goals-Against-Average with a .925 save percentage in 27 games — and those marks improve to a 2.14 GAA with a .929 save percentage in his 13 games/12 starts at home. Shesterkin is tied for eighth in the NHL in save percentage above his expected save percentage (my new goalie metric of choice). The Under is 18-7-2 in the Rangers’ last 27 games on the road — and the Under is 13-3-2 in their last 18 games on the road as an underdog. The Islanders have played 6 straight Unders after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. The Under is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a win. The Islanders have only scored two goals in their last three games — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal in two straight games. They have scored one goal or less in five of their last seven contests — and they are averaging 1.2 Goals-Per-Game in their last five. Semyon Varlamov will likely get the start tonight for head coach Barry Trotz after not playing the last two games. Varlamov has a 2.24 GAA with a .922 save percentage in 29 games/28 starts this season. He plays his best at home where he owns a 2.19 GAA with a .928 save percentage in 14 starts. The Islanders have played 5 straight Unders at home — and they have played 6 straight Unders when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers will be looking to avenge 3-2 loss to the Islanders on April 11th — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total when playing with revenge. These two teams have played 5 straight Unders — and they have played 4 of their last meetings Under the Total when playing at the Islanders’ Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum. 25* NHL East Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (59) and the New York Islanders (60). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-15-21 |
Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (47) and the Carolina Hurricanes (48). THE SITUATION: Nashville (24-19-1) has won two straight games as well as five of their last six with their 7-2 victory against Tampa Bay on Tuesday. Carolina (27-10-4) has lost two in a row with their 3-1 loss to Detroit on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 7-3-3 in the Predators’ last 13 games after a win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total playing on the road after a victory by two or more goals against a divisional rival. Nashville scored seven goals against the Lightning’s backup goalie Curtis McElhinney (rather than Andre Vasilevskiy) — but they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals in their last game, and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after scoring at least five goals in their contest. The Predators have also played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Nashville has a hot goaltender in Juuse Saros who stopped 21 of 23 shots against Tampa Bay on Tuesday. Saros has a 2.16 Goals-Against-Average with a .929 save percentage this season. In his six starts this month, Saros has a 1.62 GAA with a .942 save percentage. Saros is tied for fifth in the NHL this season for save percentage against unblocked shots above expected save percentage against unblocked shots. The Predators stay on the road where the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Additionally, Nashville has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Under is 6-2-2 in their last 10 games as an underdog. Carolina has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss at home — and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after loss at home to a divisional rival. The Hurricanes have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after losing two in a row against divisional rivals — and they have played 10 of their last 11 home games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. They counter with Petr Mrazek who has a 1.47 GAA and a .952 save percentage in his seven starts this season which included a long stint on the shelf with an injury. In his five starts at home this season, he has a 1.47 GAA with a .952 save percentage. The Under is 7-2-2 in Carolina’s last 11 games at home as a favorite.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Under go 3-1-2 in their last 6 meetings between these two teams. Nashville looks to avenge a 5-1 loss at home to the Hurricanes — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least five goals. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (47) and the Carolina Hurricanes (48). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-14-21 |
Flames v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
101 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (33) and the Montreal Canadiens (34). THE SITUATION: Calgary (18-21-3) has won two games in a row with their 3-2 win in overtime at Toronto last night. Montreal (18-12-9) snapped a three-game losing streak with their 4-2 upset win against Toronto on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 9-3-2 in the Flames’ last 14 games after a win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games this season Under the Total after a win by just one goad. Calgary has also played 12 of their last 14 road games Under the Total when playing their second game on the road in two days. The Flames have not made their goaltender official for tonight — but indications are that Jacob Markstrom will again be between the pipes after he stopped 24 of 26 shots last night. The big free-agent acquisition in the off-season has a 2.88 Goals-Against-Average with a .901 save percentage for the season — but he does improve to a 2.68 GAA with a .913 save percentage in his 14 starts on the road. Markstrom also has a .953 save percentage in his last two games, stopping 41 of 43, shots after his shutout win against Edmonton on Saturday. Calgary has played 5 straight Unders on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as an underdog. They are scoring only 2.2. Goals-Per-Game on the road. Additionally, the Flames have played 4 straight Unders against teams with a losing record — and the Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 games overall as an underdog. Montreal has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals in a victory. The Under is also 5-2-1 in the Canadiens’ last 8 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They will counter with Jake Allen in goal. He has a 2.49 GAA with a .912 save percentage in 16 starts. Allen deserves better — he ranks tied for fifth in save percentage above expected save percentage in the NHL this season. Montreal stays at home where they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a win on their home ice. The Canadiens are scoring only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. The Under is 10-3-2 in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 8-1-2 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games where Montreal was playing at home. Calgary has won the last three encounters, most recently in a 3-1 win at home. The Canadiens have played 7 straight Unders when avenging a loss by at least two goals — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge. 25* NHL North Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (33) and the Montreal Canadiens (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-13-21 |
Flyers v. Capitals OVER 6.5 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (23) and the Washington Capitals (24). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (19-16-6) has lost three of their last four games after their 5-3 loss to Buffalo on Sunday. Washington (27-11-4) has won two straight games with their 8-1 win at Boston on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Capitals have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 27 of their last 39 games Over the Total after a game where at least nine combined goals were scored. The Washington offense is clicking right now — they are averaging 3.8 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. They have scored 12 goals in their last two games. The Capitals have played 36 of their last 52 games Over the Total after scoring at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total after scoring at least four goals in two straight contests. The Over is also 9-1-1 in their last 11 games when playing with one day of rest. They return home where they have played 42 of their last 61 games Over the Total. Ilya Samsonov is the goaltender tonight — he has a 2.97 Goals-Against-Average with a .894 save percentage. He has struggled in three starts this month with a 5.21 GAA and a .833 save percentage. The deeper metrics are far from bullish. He ranks 50th amongst goaltenders in the league with a .944 save percentage on unblocked shots — and is far below his expected save percentage from unblocked shots of .955. Washington has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when favored. Philadelphia has played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after a loss. Additionally, the Over is 13-6-1 in the Flyers’ last 20 games after allowing at least five goals — and they have played 14 of the last 18 games Over the Total after a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. Philly counters with Brian Elliott who has a 2.87 GAA and a .894 save parentage this season. Elliott has a .939 save percentage on unblocked shots, the 56th worst mark in the league — and even farther off his expected save percentage of .951 on unblocked shots than Samsonov. Elliott also has a 3.37 GAA with a .879 save percentage in his nine games (eight starts) on the road. The Over is 19-6-1 in the Flyers’ last 26 road games as an underdog — and they have played 6 straight road games Over the Total with the number installed at 6 or higher.
FINAL TAKE: Philly will be looking to avenge a 5-4 loss at home to the Capitals on March 13th — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least five goals. These two teams have played 5 of the last 6 meetings Over the Total when playing in Washington. 25* NHL Tuesday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (23) and the Washington Capitals (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-01-21 |
Hurricanes v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (53) and the Chicago Blackhawks (54). THE SITUATION: Carolina (23-8-3) had their three-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 2-1 loss on their road against the Blackhawks. Chicago (17-15-5) snapped a two-game losing streak with the win.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after a loss to a divisional rival. Additionally, the Under is 3-0-1 in Carolina’s last 4 games after scoring two goals in their last game — and the Under is 3-1-3 in their last 7 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Hurricanes have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road after a loss by just one goal — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games on the road Under the Total after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored. James Reimer should be the goaltender tonight for Carolina. He sported a 2.15 Goals-Against-Average with a .925 save percentage in six starts in March. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Hurricanes’ last 5 games on the road — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games when favored. Furthermore, the Under is 6-1-2 in Carolina’s last 9 games against teams with a losing record. Chicago only managed 16 shots on goal on Monday in their victory The Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Rookie goalie Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of the two 32 shots he faced on Tuesday against the Hurricanes. He has a 2.52 Goals-Against-Average with a .928 save percentage in 15 home starts this season. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Blackhawks’ last 4 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, Chicago has now played 5 straight Unders when playing at home — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher, the Under is 4-0-1.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by just one goal. 25* NHL Thursday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (53) and the Chicago Blackhawks (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-21-21 |
Jets v. Canucks UNDER 6 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (33) and the Vancouver Canucks (34). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (10-6-1) has won two of their last three games after there shutout win in Vancouver against the Canucks on Friday. Vancouver (8-12-1) lost their second game in their last three contests.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jets got a shutout from backup goalie, Laurent Brossoit, who stopped 29 shots. Winnipeg has played 12 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total after a shutout win. Additionally, the Jets have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road after a win by more than one goal. 2020 Vezina Trophy winner Connor Hellebuyck returns to the ice tonight after getting Friday off. He has a 2.56 Goals-Against-Average with a .921 save percentage in seven starts this month. Winnipeg has allowed only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. They have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total with the number at 6 or higher. The Under is also 4-0-1 in the Jets’ last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Vancouver has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Canucks have also played 3 of their 4 games this season Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing an Under in their last game. Vancouver is scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests — but they have only allowed 2.2 Goals-Per-Game over that stretch while limiting their opponents to just 27.8 shots-per-game which is 4.2 shots fewer than their season average. The Canucks will turn back to Braden Holtby tonight who has struggled in his move to the Canadien west coast after his long tenure in Washington. He did come off a promising outing in his last game where they stopped 35 of 36 shots in a win at Calgary. Vancouver has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on home ice. The Under is also 4-0-1 in the Canucks’ last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Vancouver struggles to get their offense going against Winnipeg — they are averaging only 1.47 Goals-Per-Game in their last 17 games against the Jets while getting shutout five times. These two teams have played 5 straight Unders after Friday — and the Canucks have played 3 of their 4 games this season Under the Total when avenging a loss where they did not score more than one goal. 25* NHL Bailout Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (33) and the Vancouver Canucks (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-15-21 |
Senators v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (11) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (12). THE SITUATION: Ottawa (3-12-1) snapped a four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 2-1 win at Winnipeg. Toronto (11-3-1) looks to bounce back from a 2-1 loss at home to Montreal on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Senator have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win on the road. The Under is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring at least two goals or less in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. Ottawa has not scored more than two goals in five straight games while averaging just 1.4 goals-per-game over that stretch. The Senators have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. They stay on the road where they are averaging only 2.1 goals-per-game — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games away from home. Marcus Hogberg is between the pipes tonight — and I am not going to sugarcoat that. But Matt Murray has no confidence right now as the primary starter for this team so it is not as if waiting for the former Penguin makes sense. There is a reason why the Total is 6.5 — and Ottawa has not allowed more than three goals in five of their last six games. The Under is 6-0-1 in the Senators’ last 7 games as an underdog. And while the Maple Leafs average 3.5 goals-per-games, Ottawa has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 3.0 goals-per-game. Toronto has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Maple Leafs have played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. And in their last 19 games after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored, the game finished Under the Total 12 times. Toronto stays at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. The Under is also 13-3-1 in the Maple Leafs’ last 17 home games when favored. Frederick Andersen should be the goalie tonight. Andersen has a 2.55 Goals-Against-Average with a .909 save percentage in 13 starts but his numbers improve to a 2.00 GAA with a .926 save percentage in his 8 starts at home. Toronto has not allowed more than two goals in four straight games as they are finally beginning to embrace a more defensive approach that will serve them well in the postseason.
FINAL TAKE: Ottawa will be looking to avenge a 3-2 loss at home back on January 16th — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* NHL North Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (11) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-08-21 |
Islanders v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (67) and the New York Rangers (68). THE SITUATION: The New York Islanders (4-4-2) snapped a five-game losing streak on Saturday with their 4-3 win at home against Pittsburgh. The New York Rangers (4-4-2) have won two straight as well as three of their last four after their victory against Washington on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Islanders have scored more than three goals just three times this season. They have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a win at home against a divisional rival. They also have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a narrow win at home by just one goal. The Islanders have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least three goals. They have also played 37 of their last 56 games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. And while the Islanders' previous game was a 4-3 loss at Philadelphia, they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. They go back on the road where they are scoring only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game. Semyon Varlamov will be between the pipes tonight with his 2.14 Goals-Against-Average and .921 save percentage in seven starts this season. Varlamov was reliable on the road last year with a 2.36 GAA along with a .922 save percentage. The Islanders have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road — and the Under is a decisive 34-16-3 in their last 53 road games as an underdog. The Rangers have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored at least four goals. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning two in a row on home ice. This is the Rangers’ fourth straight game at home at Madison Square Garden where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total when favored. Igor Shesterkin will be in goal tonight given his improved form as of late. He had 31 saves on Saturday against the Capitals. Shesterkin is making a claim to be the team’s top goalie with 79 saves in the 84 shots he has faced in his last three games for a .940 save percentage. In his four starts at home this season, Shesterkin has a 2.35 GAA with a .913 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams after the Rangers’ 5-0 victory back on January 16th. 25* NHL Monday NBC Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (67) and the New York Rangers (68). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-01-20 |
Kings v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 10:38 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (11) and the Vegas Golden Knights (12). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (24-35-6) has won two straight games with their 2-1 win at home over New Jersey yesterday. Vegas (36-22-8) has won eight straight games with their 4-2 victory over Buffalo on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win on their home ice. Additionally, the Under is 3-1-1 in Los Angeles’ last 5 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 3-1-1 in the Kings’ last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. This is a solid defensive team that has held their last five opponents to just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game. Goalie Jonathan Quick had a 2.50 Goals-Against-Average with a .920 save percentage in his eight starts in February. And while the Golden Knights average 3.3 Goals-Per-Game, the Kings have played 18 of their last 28 games Under the Total against teams who score at least 3.0 Goals-Per-Game. Los Angeles goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. The Under is also 10-3-1 in the Kings’ last 14 games against fellow Western Conference opponents. Vegas’ hot streak can be traced back to their improved play under new head coach Pete DeBoer who emphasizes defensive tactics. The Golden Knights have held their last five opponents to 2.6 Goals-Per-Game which is almost a half-goal lower than their 3.0 Goals-Per-Game opponent’s scoring average for the season. Vegas has been even stingier at home where they have allowed only ten combined goals in their last six games for a 1.66 Goals-Per-Game average by these last six guests. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Golden Knights’ last 5 home games as a favorite. Marc-Andre Fleury is playing his best goaltending of the season right now after posting a 2.27 GAA along with a .913 save percentage in his ten starts in February. Vegas has played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or lower. And while the Kings allow only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game, the Golden Knights have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the second half of the season against opponents who do not allow more than 2.5 Goals-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: Vegas will be looking to avenge a 5-2 loss to Los Angeles back on January 9th — and they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least two goals. 25* NHL Sunday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (11) and the Vegas Golden Knights (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-18-20 |
Canadiens v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-114 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (55) and the Detroit Red Wings (56). THE SITUATION: Montreal (27-26-8) has lost four straight games after their 4-3 loss at home to Dallas in overtime on Saturday. Detroit (14-43-4) has also lost four straight games after their 5-1 loss at Pittsburgh on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after losing four of their last five games. And while Montreal has allowed four goals in three straight games (and three goals in their contest four games ago), they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in four straight games. Despite these struggles on defense, goaltender Carey Price has still been playing very well as of late. In his ten starts since the All-Star break, Price has a 2.31 Goals-Against-Average with a .923 save percentage. The Canadiens are also struggling to score goals — they are averaging just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games while manning just five combined goals in their last three contests. Now Montreal goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. Additionally, the Canadiens have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. Furthermore, Montreal has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow opponents from the Atlantic Division — and the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games against Eastern Conference rivals. Detroit has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Atlantic Division foes — and the Under is 10-1-1 in their last 12 games against Eastern Conference opponents. The Red Wings are probably the worst offensive team in the league. They have been shutout three times in their last nine games while scoring only 12 combined goals over that span. They have also scored only three combined goals in their last three games and just five goals in their last four contests. Head coach Jeff Blashill has his team play very conservatively with the hopes that will keep them competitive in lower-scoring games. They are averaging only 25.8 shots per game over their last five contests which has resulted in just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game over that span. Their best scorer is Dylan Larkin but he has not scored in their last six contests. The Under is 3-0-1 in Detroit’s last 4 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also 20-8-1 in their last 29 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Bruins were playing with revenge on their minds on Sunday after losing in Detroit the previous week. But the Red Wings are still getting solid goaltending from Jonathan Bernier who has a 2.52 GAA along with a .922 save percentage in his eight games (seven starts) since the All-Star break. Detroit returns home where they are scoring just 2.1 Goals-Per-Game — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total on their home ice. Additionally, the Under is 15-5-2 in the Red Wings’ last 22 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Montreal will be looking to avenge a 4-3 loss in Detroit back on January 7th — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least four goals. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (55) and the Detroit Red Wings (56). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-15-20 |
Kings v. Avalanche UNDER 6 |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (15) and the Colorado Avalanche (16). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (20-33-5) snapped a five-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 5-3 win over Calgary. Colorado (33-17-6) saw their five-game winning streak end on Thursday in their 3-2 loss at home to Washington. While a technical home game for the Avalanche, this game will be played at Falcon Stadium which is the football field for the Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after a win at home over a Pacific Division rival. Additionally, Los Angeles has played a decisive 16 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road after a win at home by at least two goals — and they have played 16 of their last 20 road games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored at least four goals. That offensive explosion was an aberration for this Kings team in what has been a disappointing season. Los Angeles is still scoring only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests — and they are scoring just 2.2 Goals-Per-Game away from home this season. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals. Defense has also been an issue for this team as they have allowed at least three goals in their last six games — but they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total on the road after allowing at least three goals in three straight games. The Kings go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. Colorado has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a loss at home by just one goal. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five contests. The Avalanche have seen lowering scoring games as of late as they are scoring just 2.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games while surrendering just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over that span as opposed to the 3.6 Goals-Per-Game they are scoring this season along with the 2.8 Goals-Per-Game they are allowing. They are getting outstanding goaltending right now from Philipp Grubauer who has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average along with a .939 save percentage in his six starts since the All-Star Break. This will be their sixth game in the last ten days — and they have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total when playing their sixth game in ten days. Colorado has also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest.
FINAL TAKE: The weather should be in the 30s so the ice in the outdoor stadium should be in pretty good shape (which can be an issue for these Stadium Series contests). The Avalanche have played 5 straight games Under the Total as a favorite. Los Angeles has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference foes. 25* NHL Stadium Series Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (15) and the Colorado Avalanche (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-16-20 |
Devils v. Capitals OVER 6.5 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
102 |
2 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (27) and the Washington Capitals (28). THE SITUATION: New Jersey (17-22-7) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 7-4 loss at Toronto. Washington (31-11-5) has won four of their last six games with their 2-0 win at home over Carolina.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Devils have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total after allowing at least 6 goals in their last contest. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in New Jersey’s last 7 games after a loss by at least three goals. New Jersey is allowing 3.8 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests — and they have surrendered at least three goals in five straight games. But the Devils have also scored 3.6 Goals-Per-Game over these last five games — and they have scored at least four goals in four of their last six contests. Louis Domingue will likely be between the pipes for this team tonight after getting pulled in that game against the Maple Leafs are allowing five goals in just over 30 minutes of play. Domingue has done his best work at home where he has a 1.68 Goals-Against-Average in three starts with a .934 save percentage — but he has been saddled with a 4.93 GAA with a .856 save percentage in his seven games (five starts) on the road. Regardless of who starts in net tonight for New Jersey, they have allowed their home hosts to score 3.6 Goals-Per-Game. The Devils have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road. New Jersey has also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog. Washington has played 21 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a victory — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win at home. Additionally, the Capitals have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total wen playing an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last game. Washington is scoring a healthy 3.5 Goals-Per-Game this season. They have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total when playing at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less. With rookie Ilya Samsonov earning the shutout on Tuesday, the Braden Holtby will be in goal tonight. The veteran has underachieved this season with a 3.02 GAA along with a .899 save percentage — and he has a rough 3.34 GAA with a .868 save percentage in his three starts this month.
FINAL TAKE: The Capitals will be motivated to avenge a 5-1 loss at home to the Devils on Saturday. Washington has played 33 of their last 50 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home by at least three goals. The Capitals have also played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total when avenging a loss to their opponent scored at least four goals — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least five goals. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Break Metropolitan Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (27) and the Washington Capitals (28). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-10-19 |
Rangers v. Kings UNDER 6 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (63) and the Los Angeles Kings (64). THE SITUATION: New York (15-11-3) has won two of their last three games with their 5-0 shutout victory over Vegas on Sunday. Los Angeles (11-18-2) has lost four games in a row after their 4-3 loss in Calgary on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. This team is playing much better on defense as of late as they have allowed just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total. They also have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, New York has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last contest. Los Angeles’ loss to the Flames came on the heels of a 2-1 loss at Edmonton on Friday. The Kings ave played 6 straight games at home Under the Total after losing two straight games to Pacific Division rivals. Los Angeles has also played 28 of their last 38 games Under the Total after losing two straight games by just one goal. Now the Kings return home where the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games on their home ice. Los Angeles is scoring only 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Additionally, the Under is 6-0-1 in the Kings’ last 7 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has played 8 straight games Under the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference — and New York has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against Western Conference foes. 25* NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (63) and the Los Angeles Kings (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-15-19 |
Lightning v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-118 |
1 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (17) and the Montreal Canadiens (18). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (2-2-1) has lost three of their last four games with their 4-2 loss at Ottawa on Saturday. Montreal (2-1-1) come off a 6-3 victory over St. Louis on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Lightning have started slow this defense their play on the defensive end of the ice being a disappointment. Tampa Bay is allowing 3.4 Goals-Per-Game. Goalie Andre Vasilevskiy has struggled with a 3.04 Goals-Against-Average along with a .903 save percentage — and the reigning Vezina Trophy winner sees his save percentage drop to a .875 mark in his first two games on the road. The Lightning have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 road games Over the Total when a road favorite. This is Tampa Bay’s fifth straight game away from home — and they have played 13 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing their last four games on the road. The Lightning are scoring a healthy 4.0 Goals-Per-Game this season. They also have played 6 straight games Over the Total when priced as a favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. Montreal has seen the Over go 14-5-2 in their last 21 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last game. It has also been a slow start for goalie Carey Price who has a 3.38 GAA along with a .901 save percentage so far this season. The Canadiens are allowing a rough 4.28 Goals-Per-Game this season — but they are also scoring 4.28 Goals-Per-Game thus year. Montreal has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and the Over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games when playing with two days of rest. Furthermore, the Over is 3-0-1 in the Canadiens’ last 4 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Montreal has played 4 straight games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total at home as an underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (17) and the Montreal Canadiens (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-08-19 |
Bruins v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the Vegas Golden Knights (16). THE SITUATION: Boston (2-0-0) has won their first two games this season after their 1-0 win in Arizona against the Coyotes on Saturday. Vegas (2-0-0) comes off a 5-1 victory at San Jose on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bruins have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a victory. Boston has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals this season. The Bruins are already playing defense at a championship level after losing in the Stanley to St. Louis last June. Boston has allowed only one goal this season after opening the season with a 2-1 win at Dallas. The Bruins stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total. Boston has also played 4 straight games Under the Total as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Additionally, the Bruins have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in two straight games. Vegas has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win. The Golden Knights have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a win by at least three goals — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least three goals against a fellow Pacific Division rival. Vegas opened their season with a 4-1 win at home against the Sharks as they avenged their playoff series loss to that San Jose team. The Golden Knights have then played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after being unbeaten in their last two games. Vegas has also played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals in two straight games. The Golden Knight have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 home games when priced as the favorite in the -110 to -150 range.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played four previous times in history in the first two years of the Vegas franchise — and those games all finished Under the Total with no more than five combined goals scored. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the Vegas Golden Knights (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-12-19 |
Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (13) and the Boston Bruins (14). THE SITUATION: Boston (64-32-9) forced a climactic seventh game of the Stanley Cup Finals on Sunday with their 5-1 victory over St. Louis (60-38-9). The Bruins return home to TD Garden for the decisive final game of this series and the 2018-19 NHL season.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston got outstanding play once again from goalie Tuukka Rask who stopped 28 of the 29 shots he faced while keeping his team competitive in the first period when the Blues enjoyed two Power Play chances. Rask entered this series with a 1.84 Goals-Against-Average along with a .942 save percentage in this postseason — and while some regression was expected, he still sports a strong .924 save percentage in the first six games of this series while allowing only 13 goals in those contests. This is Rask’s sixth career Game Seven start in the playoffs along with his second Game Seven in the Stanley Cup Finals — so the moment should not be too big for him. Rask is being helped by outstanding play from the Bruins’ top two defensive pairings who have thwarted 17 of the 18 Power Play chances St. Louis has had in this series. Expect continued outstanding defensive play from this Bruins team that has played 29 of their last 47 games Under the Total when playing just their second game in five days. Boston snapped a two-game losing streak to win Game Six — and they have played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three contests. And while the Bruins scored five goals on Sunday (with one being an empty netter), they have then played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing at home after finding the back of the net at least five times in their last game. St. Louis has played 27 of their last 43 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after failing to score more than one goal in their last game. The Bruins entered the third period with just a one-goal lead before exploding for four goals to force this seventh game. The Blues have played a decisive 32 of their last 52 games on the road Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the third period in their last game. Goalie Jordan Binnington surrendered four goals in Game Six — but he still has a nice .925 save percentage by allowing only seven goals in the last three games of this series even after Sunday. Binnington has been consistently outstanding when attempting to lead his team after a loss this season. In his nine starts after a Blues lost in this postseason, Binnington has responded with a 1.86 GAA along with a .941 save percentage while allowing just sixteen goals in those nine contests. This playoff success continued his strong play after losses in the regular season where Binnington posted a .935 save percentage while surrounding only 10 goals in the six games he started after a loss. Wednesday’s Game Seven will be St. Louis’ fifth game in the last fourteen days — and they have played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total when playing no more than five games in the last fourteen days. Additionally, the Blues have played 6 of their last 9 playoff games Under the Total when the series is tied — and they have played 14 of their last 21 playoff games Under the Total when facing elimination.
FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least four goals. With this being a Game Seven in the Stanley Cup Finals, the referees will be a bit more conservative in calling penalties as they will be reticent to have their calls play a critical role — this is especially true after the controversial no-call on a Blues’ trip in the third period of Game Five of this series that played a significant role in St. Louis winning that game. And don’t forget the controversy the league offices felt with San Jose’s three-goal comeback in Game Seven of their series with Vegas stemming from a controversial five-minute major penalty called in that game. Lastly, seventh games tend to see both teams play a bit more cautiously as they hope to not put their opponent on the Power Play. While three of the games in this series have gone Over the Total, two of those final scores came from late empty net goals (which are rarer than they have appeared in this series). Outside the third period on Sunday and the first periods of the first three games of this series, this has been a very low scoring series. Look for this final game to follow those trends. 25* NHL Playoffs Game Seven A-List O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (13) and the Boston Bruins (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-03-19 |
Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-134 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (7) and the St. Louis Blues (8). THE SITUATION: Boston (63-30-9) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Saturday with their 7-2 victory on the road against the Blues. St. Louis looks to even this series at 2-2 on their home ice before traveling to Boston for Game Five on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blues should play a more disciplined defensive game after falling behind by a 4-0 score early in the second period when Boston scored on a Power Play that was carried over from the first period. St. Louis has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Blues have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. Goalie Jordan Binnington allowed five goals in that game before being pulled — but he has been very reliable when attempting to bounce-back from a loss. In his six starts after a loss in the regular season, Binnington stopped 141 of the 151 shots he faced for a .935 save percentage. In his eight starts in the playoffs this postseason after a loss, Binnington has stopped 194 of the 207 shots he has faced for a .935 save percentage along with 1.84 Goals-Against-Average. The Blues stay at home where they have played 40 of their last 64 home games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. St. Louis has also played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total when a money-line favorite priced in the -110 to -150 price range. And in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Blues have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Boston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least six goals in their last contest. The Bruins have held their last five opponents to just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game after their goaltender, Tuukka Rask, stopped 27 of the 29 shots he faced. Rask has a nice .919 save percentage in this series. Moving forward, Boston has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last game. The Bruins stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 21 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when leading in a playoff series — and St. Louis has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when trailing in a playoff series. After Game Three was a high-scoring affair, expect the fourth game of this series to be lower-scoring. The last two games have seen plenty of scoring in the first period. Expect the play in the first period of this game to be very cautious. 25* NHL Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (7) and the St. Louis Blues (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-01-19 |
Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (5) and the St. Louis Blues (6). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (58-36-9) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 3-2 victory in overtime over Boston (62-30-9). The Blues return home to the Enterprise Center to host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The first period of Game Two saw both teams score goals before that game became a defensive slugfest for the next two periods. The Blues limited the Bruins to just 23 shots in that game which included an extra 3:21 minutes of overtime. St. Louis has only allowed 1.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. The Under is 14-6-2 in their last 22 games when playing an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also a decisive 44-21-4 in their last 69 games when playing with two days of rest — and this includes them playing twenty of their last twenty-nine games at home Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. The Blues have won four of their last five games — and they have played 24 of their last 35 home games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. Additionally, St. Louis has played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total as a home favorite priced in the -110 to -150 price range. The Blues have also played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when a playoff series is tied. Boston has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after losing their previous game in overtime. Furthermore, the Bruins have played 30 of their last 46 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Boston has also played 26 of their last 38 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. The Bruins have also held their last five opponents to only 1.6 Goals-Per-Game. They now go back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. Boston has played 4 straight games Under the Total in the playoffs as an underdog. And in their last 14 games when playing with two days of rest, the Under is 9-4-1.
FINAL TAKE: With the series tied at 1-1, expect another low scoring game between these two teams. With the Total set at just 5, the oddsmakers are daring bettors to take the Over. Don’t take the bait. 25* NHL NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (5) and the St. Louis Blues (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-29-19 |
Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (3) and the Boston Bruins (4). THE SITUATION: Boston (69-29-9) won the opening game of the Stanley Cup Finals on Monday with their 4-2 victory over St. Louis (57-36-9). The Bruins host the second game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blues took a 2-0 lead in this game as they were able to successfully take advantage of the rust that Boston endured after not playing for eleven days after sweeping Carolina in four games. St. Louis either started playing safe or they were concerned about the speed of the Bruins’ forwards — but, either way, their defensemen offered too much space which gave too much room for the Boston offensive players to maneuver at will. St. Louis thrives when playing physical — look for head coach Craig Berube to get his team back to engaging in this style of play tonight which should include playing tighter against the Bruins’ forwards. The Blues allowed two goals in the third period on Monday — and they have played 31 of their last 50 games Under the Total on the road after surrendering at least two goals in the third period of their last game. St. Louis has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by at least two goals. Rookie goalie Jordan Binnington did not play bad — he was peppered with 37 shots in Game One while he stopped 34 of them (with the last Boston goat being an empty-netter). Binnington has been outstanding when he is between the pipes after a Blues loss. In the regular season, Binnington stopped 141 of the 151 shots he faces in six games following a St. Louis loss for a sparkling .395 save percentage. And after the Blues’ seven losses in this postseason, Binnington has stopped 194 of the 207 shots he has faced for a .937 save percentage. As it is, St. Louis has allowed only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games — and they can take stock in the fact they stopped four of the five Power Play chances by the Bruins. The Blues may also see the return of one of their top-four defensemen in Vince Dunn who has missed the last four games with a facial injury after getting struck by a puck. Dunn has taken part in the team’s last three practices with the last two without the need of a protective visor. But St. Louis may have bigger problems on the offensive end of the ice after they generated only 12 shots in the final two periods of Game One. The Blues have seen the Under go 26-11-2 in their last 39 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 20-8-3 in their last 31 games against teams that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. This team scores only 2.8 Goals-Per-Game when playing away from home. Additionally, the Under is 34-13-3 in St. Louis’ last 50 road games as a big underdog priced in the +151 to +200 range. The Blues have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when trailing in a playoff series. Boston has played 15 of their last 22 games after a win at home where they scored at least four goals. The Bruins have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning at least six games in a row. Goalie Tuukka Rask showed the outstanding form in the second half of that game that he has displayed this postseason as he entered this series with a 1.84 Goals-Against-Average along with a .942 save percentage. Boston has allowed only 1.9 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs — and they have given up just 1.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games.
FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least two goals — and they have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road by at least two goals. 25* NHL NBC-Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (3) and the Boston Bruins (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-27-19 |
Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (1) and the Boston Bruins (2). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (57-35-9) reached the Stanley Cup Finals by defeating San Jose in six games with their 5-1 victory at home last Tuesday. Boston (61-29-9) has won seven games in a row after they completed their four-game sweep of Carolina that they concluded on the road back on May 16th by a 4-0 score. The Bruins host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston is getting outstanding goaltending from a former Vezina Trophy winner in Tuukka Rask who has a 1.84 Goals-Against-Average along with a .942 save percentage in these playoffs. Over his last seven games, Rask has a 1.29 GAA along with a .961 save percentage. Boston has allowed only five combined goals over their last five games while never allowing more than two goals over that span. Rask has two shutouts in these last five games. The Bruins have then played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in four straight games. Boston looks to get their veteran leader Zdeno Chara back tonight after he missed the last game of the series with the Hurricanes with an injury. He will help a Bruins’ Power Play Kill Unit that has been 86.3% effective in the postseason. Moving forward, Boston has played 20 of their last 28 home games Under the Total after winning at least five games in a row — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after winning at least six straight games in a row. Furthermore, the Under is 3-1-1 in the Bruins’ last 5 games in the Stanley Cup Finals. Boston has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams that scored at least five goals in their last game. St. Louis has seen the Under go 20-7-3 in their last 30 games against an opponent that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. The Blues have won three straight games as well as four of their last five contests. They preceded their Game Six victory over the Sharks with a 5-0 shutout win against them in Game Five of that series. St. Louis has played 14 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after winning two straight games by at least two goals — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning two straight games by at least three goals. The Blues have only allowed two combined goals over their last three games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing one goal or less in three straight games. They are also getting outstanding goaltending with Jordan Binnington owning a 2.31 GAA along with a .914 save percentage in these playoffs. Binnington also owns a 0.67 GAA with a .974 save percentage over his last three starts. He has been helped by a blue-line that has not allowed a goal in 11 of their last 13 Power Play Kills (84.6%). St. Louis has played 24 of their last 34 road games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. And while the Blues’ have played only five games over the last fourteen days, they have then played12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total when playing just their fifth game in fourteen days.
FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has played 15 of their last 23 opening games to a new series Under the Total. The Bruins have seen the Under go 15-6-5 in their last 26 playoff games when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. Expect a lower-scoring game tonight with both teams dealing with the rust of six and eleven days off since last taking the ice against hostile competition. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (1) and the Boston Bruins (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-21-19 |
Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the St. Louis Blues (26). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (56-35-9) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Sunday with their 5-0 victory over San Jose (56-36-7). The Blues return home tonight as they attempt to close out this series to advance to the Stanley Cup Finals. The Sharks are big money-line underdogs given the injury status of Erik Karlsson, Tomas Hertl, and Joe Pavelski. Reports this afternoon indicate Karlsson and Hertl did not make the trip to St. Louis with Pavelski still being a game-time decision (and, hence, I am comfortable making my call on this game with that updated information).
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Jose has scored only one goal in the last two games since their controversial hand pass helped Karlsson score the winning goal in overtime in the third game of this series. The Sharks were still in a close game on Sunday midway through the second period before Hertl took a big hit that was not called for a penalty. Instead, Hertl was unable to return for the third period and joined both Pavelski and Karlsson in suffering game-ending injuries. Don’t read much into the final score where the Sharks allowed five goals as San Jose committed 32 minutes of penalties in the final 20 minutes of that game that was likely lost. The Sharks will be without at least two important pieces on offense with Karlsson and Hertl out. San Jose can only grind out a low-scoring game tonight. But don’t count them out — goaltender Martin Jones owns a sensational .943 save percentage in the four elimination games he has played this season which includes two overtime periods as he has stopped the 149 of the 158 shots he has faced which is a pretty large sample size. The Sharks have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. San Jose has also played 14 of their last 20 sixth games of a playoff series Under the Total. Additionally, the Sharks have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least three goals. They have also played 21 of their last 29 road games Under the Total after failing to score more than one goal in two straight games. The Under is also 3-1-1 in San Jose’s last five games on the road. St. Louis has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a shutout victory — and they have played 6 of their last 8 Under the Total after allowing no more than one goal in two straight games. Additionally, not only have the Blues played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a shutout win on the road but they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least two goals — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least three goals. Much of St. Louis’ success has come from not giving the Sharks’ too many chances with a man-advantage. The Blues have committed only 12 minor penalties in this series — and that has helped them allow only two Power Play goals in this series. The Under is 18-6-2 in St. Louis’ last 26 home games when a favorite priced in the -151 to -200 range — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 playoff games priced in the -151 to -200 range.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least four goals. The Sharks can win this game — but they need to focus most of their energies on stopping the Blues’ from scoring and make this a tight game in the third period where their experience gives them an edge. 25* NHL Tuesday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the St. Louis Blues (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-16-19 |
Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the Carolina Hurricanes (16). THE SITUATION: Boston (60-29-9) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 2-1 victory on the road at Carolina (54-35-7). The Hurricanes look to stave off elimination tonight as they host Game Four tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Carolina has scored only five goals in the first three games of this series. Much of this can be blamed on their struggling Power Play as the Hurricanes have failed to score in eleven straight opportunities with the man-advantage in this series. Overall, Carolina has scored only 5 Power Play goals in their 50 opportunities for a 10% success rate in this postseason. But the Hurricanes are also facing a red hot goaltender in Tuukka Rask. The Bruins have won six straight games with Rask sporting a 1.50 Goals-Against-Average over that span while stopping 196 of the 205 shots he has faced in those six games for a sensational .956 save percentage. Carolina came out on fire on Tuesday as they peppered Rask with 20 shots. But after Rask stopped every one of those shot attempts, this Hurricanes team look frustrated as they fell behind then by a 2-0 score before narrowing that game to a one-goal deficit before finally losing that game. Carolina probably took from that game that they cannot expect to win high scoring games with this Bruins team — so they will likely be looking to eke out a low-scoring game. The Hurricanes have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal on their home ice. Carolina has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing three straight games — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total after losing at least three in a row. And while this is the Hurricanes’ fifth game in the last fourteen days, they have then played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total when playing no more than their fifth game in the last fourteen days. Carolina will likely stick with Curtis McElhinney between the pipes after he stopped 29 of the 31 shots he faced on Tuesday. The Hurricanes are allowing only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game when playing at home. Boston is allowing only 2.1 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs — and they have given up just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games. The Bruins have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total after a narrow win by just one goal. Boston has also played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after scoring no more than two goals in their last game. And while the Bruins have won six straight games in a row, they have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after winning at least six games in a row. Boston has played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 30 of their last 47 games Under the Total when playing at least two straight games away from home. The Bruins have also played 15 of their last 23 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. And in their last 26 games in the playoffs when favored priced in the -110 to -150 price range, the Under is 15-6-5.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least one goal. The Hurricanes have also played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the Carolina Hurricanes (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-13-19 |
Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (7) and the San Jose Sharks (8). THE SITUATION: San Jose (55-33-7) won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 6-3 victory over St. Louis (53-34-9). The Sharks host the second game of this series Monday night.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: San Jose has been an offensive juggernaut on their home ice. They are scoring 3.7 Goals-Per-Game at home and they are back at full strength with their leading scorer, Joe Pavelski, back on the ice after he missed the first six games of last round’s series with Colorado. Most of those games’ Totals were set at 6 despite Pavelski still recovering from the head injury he suffered in the third period of their Game Seven with Vegas in the opening round of the playoffs — so grabbing a 5.5 is a nice opportunity for this situation. The Sharks have played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a win at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. This is San Jose’s third straight game at home after they disposed of the Avalanche in seven games — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning their last two games at home. Furthermore, the Sharks have played 11 of their last 13 home games Over the Total. Additionally, San Jose has played 6 of their last 8 playoff games Over the Total when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. And in their last 4 games in the Western Conference Finals, the Sharks have played all 4 of these games Over the Total. St. Louis has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. The Blues stay on the road where the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games. And in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog, the Over is 3-0-1.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose is going to score their share of goals on home ice at the SAP Center. With the Blues needing to win this game to avoid an undesirable 0-2 deficit when they return to St. Louis to play Games Three and Four, look for them to be very aggressive in trying to score goals. 25* NHL Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (7) and the San Jose Sharks (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-19 |
Hurricanes v. Bruins OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
115 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (5) and the Boston Bruins (6). THE SITUATION: Boston (58-29-9) won the first game of this series on Thursday with their 5-2 victory over Carolina (54-33-7). The Bruins host the second game of this series this afternoon.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Boston entered the third period of that game trailing by a 2-1 score before scoring three times to win that game easily. The Bruins have scored at least three goals in four straight games — and they have totaled 16 goals scored in those four contests. They should keep it up this afternoon as they are scoring 3.4 Goals-Per-Game on their home ice. This team is getting it down with their Power Play after scoring twice with a man-advantage in Game One of this series. Boston has scored 12 Power Play goals in these playoffs in their 40 opportunities with the man-advantage for a 30% success rate that is tops of all teams in the playoffs. The Bruins have won four straight games after winning their six-game series at Columbus by a 3-0 score. Boston has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after winning two straight games by at least two goals — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning their last two games by at least three goals. The Bruins have also played 15 of their last 24 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. And in their last 5 playoff games when favored in the -151 to -200 price range, the Over is 4-0-1. Carolina has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Hurricanes have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Carolina should get their offense cranking in this important game for them to steal since they do not want to return to Charlotte with a 2-0 deficit. They are scoring 3.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. However, they are also allowing 2.9 Goals-Per-Game when playing on the road. The Hurricanes have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. Additionally, Carolina has played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Over the Total as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: The Hurricanes have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least three goals. Furthermore, the Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams — and this includes four straight Overs when playing in Boston. 25* NHL Third Round NBC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (5) and the Boston Bruins (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-19 |
Avalanche v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
109 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (27) and the San Jose Sharks (28). THE SITUATION: Colorado (45-34-14) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Monday with their 4-3 victory in overtime at home against San Jose (53-33-7). The Sharks host Game Seven in their SAP Center.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win at home by just one goal. Colorado has also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored at least four goals — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game at home where both teams scored at least three goals. The Under is also 11-3-2 overall in the Avalanche’s last 16 games after a victory — and the Under is 13-4-2 in Colorado’s last 19 games when playing with one day of rest. The Avalanche’s offense has slowed down in this series as they have scored just 2.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contest as compared to their 3.2 Goals-Per-Game scoring average for the season. Now Colorado goes back on the road where the Under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 road games as an underdog. Additionally, the Avalanche have played 6 of their last 9 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. Colorado has also played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. San Jose has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. The Sharks offense has also slowed down as this series has moved forward as they are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games as opposed to their 3.5 Goals-Per-Game scoring average for the season. San Jose has also played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total bouncing back from an overtime loss.
FINAL TAKE: Two of the last three games in this series have seen just three combined goals scored. Look for this to be another lower scoring game. 25* NHL Second Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (27) and the San Jose Sharks (28). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-19 |
Stars v. Blues UNDER 5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (23) and the St. Louis Blues (24). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (52-33-9) forced a climactic seventh game of this series on Sunday with their 4-1 win on the road at Dallas (50-37-7). This series returns to St. Louis tonight with the Blues hosting Game Seven.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Stars should tighten things up on defense after surrendering four goals on Sunday. They are still giving up only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs. Dallas has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least three goals. Furthermore, the Stars have played 22 of their last 33 games Under the Total on the road after a loss at home — and they have played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least two goals. Dallas has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road after conceding at least four goals in their last game. The Stars goalie, Ben Bishop, left Game Six after taking a slap shot in his collarbone. He will be good to go to play tonight and should bounce-back after surrendering four goals on Sunday. Bishop entered Game Six with a 2.13 Goals-Against-Average and a .936 save percentage in the playoffs. Bishop has been the best goaltender in the NHL this season as he carried Dallas in the second half of the season with a 1.15 GAA along with a .962 save percentage. Bishop also has Game Seven experience as he has pitched two shutouts in his previous two Game Seven opportunities in his career. He has helped the Stars be sensational when playing undermanned in these playoffs. Dallas has successfully thwarted 33 of the 35 Power Play they have faced in this postseason for a .942 Power Play Kill rate. He will need to be outstanding tonight since the Stars score only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game when on the road. The Under is 17-6-5 in Dallas’ last 28 games on the road. The Under is also 11-3-3 in the Stars’ last 17 games as an underdog priced in the +110 +150 price range. St. Louis has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least two goals. The Blues have also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game — and the Under is 18-7-3 in their last 28 games when facing an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last contest. Their rookie goaltender, Jordan Bennington, stepped up on Sunday by stopping 22 of the 23 shots he faced. Bennington was spectacular in the second half of the season with a 1.90 GAA with a .928 save percentage in twenty-three regular season starts after the All-Star Break. St. Louis has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total as a home favorite. The Blues have also played 13 of their last 20 playoff games Under the Total when facing elimination.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least two goals — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. The Under is also 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams when playing in St. Louis. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (23) and the St. Louis Blues (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-19 |
Blues v. Stars OVER 5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (5) and the Dallas Stars (6). THE SITUATION: Dallas (50-36-7) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Friday with their 2-1 victory at St. Louis (51-33-9). The Stars return home to attempt to close out this series on their home ice.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blues will be playing with desperation this afternoon with their season hanging in the balance. St. Louis averages 3.0 Goals-Per-Game this season but they have managed only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. The Blues need to get their Power Play going as they have only scored twice in their sixteen opportunities with the man advantage against the Stars in this series. They should be scoring more than that 12.3% clip considering that they scored five goals in their nineteen chances on the Power Play in their opening round series against Winnipeg for a 26.3% clip. St. Louis has seen a regression in their rookie goaltender, Jordan Binnington, in these playoffs. After posting a 1.90 Goals-Against-Average with a .928 save percentage in his last twenty-three regular season starts after the All-Star Break, Binnington has 2.73 GAA along with a .908 save percentage in these playoffs. The Blues have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after playing their last two games against a Central Division rival. The Over is also 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home. St. Louis has also played 4 straight games Over the Total with the number set at 5 or less. Dallas has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing their last three games against divisional foes — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning two straight games against Central Division opponents. The Stars have found their offense as they have scored 3.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Dallas has played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total at home with the Total set at 5 or less. And the Over is 8-2-3 in the Stars’ last 13 games when favored in the -110 t0 -150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: This is been a higher scoring series with only Game Five seeing less than five combined goals scored and three of these contests seeing at least six combined goals were scored. 25* NHL Second Round NBC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (5) and the Dallas Stars (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-28-19 |
Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 6 |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (53) and the San Jose Sharks (54). THE SITUATION: San Jose (51-30-7) won the opening game of this series on Friday with their 5-2 victory over Colorado (42-32-14). The Sharks host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: San Jose has played 13 of their last 18 home games Over the Total after a win by at least two goals. The Sharks have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing no more than two goals in their last game. San Jose is scoring 3.7 Goals-Per-Game on their home ice this season — and they have generated ten goals over their last two games. The Sharks have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in two straight games. But this San Jose team is also allowing 2.9 Goals-Per-Game at home this season with their tendency to have their offensive-minded defensemen, Brent Burns and Erik Karlsson, play aggressively up the ice. In the playoffs, the Sharks are allowing 3.4 Goals-Per-Game. The Sharks stay at home where they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total — and they have played 8 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. San Jose has also played 5 straight games Over the Total in the playoffs as the favorite. Colorado has played 31 of their last 51 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. The Avalanche had won four straight games in their series with Calgary before dropping Game One of this series — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. This is Colorado’s fifth game over the last fourteen days — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing no more than five games in the last fourteen days.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado has lost their last five meetings with the Sharks — and they have played 37 of their last 57 games Over the Total when playing with at least double-revenge. The Over is also 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams in San Jose. 25* NHL Western Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (53) and the San Jose Sharks (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-27-19 |
Stars v. Blues OVER 5 |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
115 |
1 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (41) and the St. Louis Blues (42). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (50-30-9) won the opening game of this series on Thursday with their 3-2 victory over Dallas (47-35-9). The Blues host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: St. Louis has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a win over a fellow Central Division rival — and they have also played six straight games at home Over the Total after a victory over a divisional foe. Furthermore, the Blues have played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a win on their home ice. Additionally, St. Louis has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a narrow victory by just one goal. The Blues have played three straight games that concluded with 3-2 scores which makes taking the Over seem like a safe investment with a Push being the worst case scenario. St. Louis has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games by just one goal. The Blues score 3.2 Goals-Per-Game on home ice this season — but they are also allowing 3.0 Goals-Per-Game at home. In defeating Winnipeg in six games last round, St, Louis converted on 5 of their 19 Power Play opportunities which translated into an impressive 26.3% success rate. Dallas has seen at least five combined goals scored in four of their last five games. While the Stars have been an Under machine for much of the season, they have quietly players 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total in the month of April. Dallas has also played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road with the Total set at 5. Over their last five games, the Stars are scoring 3.2 Goals-Per-Game. When playing on the road, Dallas allows 2.6 Goals-Per-Game. Additionally, the Over is 7-2-7 in the Stars’ last 16 playoff games as a money-line underfoot priced in the +110 to +150 range. The Over is also 3-0-4 in the Stars’ last 7 games in the Western Conference Playoff Semifinals.
FINAL TAKE: With the Total set at 5, the worst case scenario is likely another 3-2 final score — but I do think both teams find the back of the net three times (or perhaps this game ends with a 4-2 score). 25* NHL NBC-TV Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (41) and the St. Louis Blues (42). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-26-19 |
Avalanche v. Sharks UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (5) and the San Jose Sharks (6). THE SITUATION: Colorado (42-31-14) takes the ice again after winning four straight games to dispatch of Calgary in five games with their 5-1 win on the road last Friday. San Jose (50-30-7) has won three straight games after surviving their seven-game series with Vegas on Sunday with their 5-4 victory in overtime. The Sharks host the first two games of this seven-game series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Sharks rallied from being down 3-1 in that series with the Golden Knights to eke out the last two games in that series in overtime. San Jose has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after going to overtime in their last two contests — and they have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by just one goal against a Pacific Division rival. The Sharks have also played 71 of their last 111 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least four goals. Remember, that Game Seven was looking like another shutout in that series for goalie Marc-Andre Fleury before that controversial call on Vegas when Joe Pavelski was double-hit and fell to the ice where his head started bleeding. Replays strongly suggest that the second hit from Paul Stastny was an inadvertent bump — but the five-minute major that was called on the Golden Knights resulted in a five-minute power play where the Sharks scored four times with the man-advantage to jumpstart their offense. Perhaps the most important development during that series was the improved play of goalie Martin Jones. After allowing 13 goals on 80 shots for a rough .838 save percentage in the first four games of that series, he stopped 122 of the next 129 shots he faced for a sparkling .946 save percentage in those three elimination games which included over two full periods of overtime hockey. San Jose was converting on only 4 of their 29 (13.8%) of their Power Play chances in that series before that miraculous five-minute Power Play on Sunday. But the ripple effect from that game will be felt tonight with Pavelski being declared out for Game One as he recovers from that head injury. Not only will the Sharks miss his 38 goals in the regular season, but head coach Peter DeBoer moved him to the second-line help provide his team more depth. Colorado has seen the Under go 10-2-1 in their last 13 games after a win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning three games in a row. The Avalanche has also scored at least three goals in four straight games — but they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in three straight games. Colorado has a dynamic first line of forwards led by Nathan MacKinnon and Gabriel Landeskog. But what the Sharks got better at in their series with Vegas was contain their elite line of Mark Stone, Max Pacioretty, and Statsny which they checked with the defensive pairing of Marc-Edouard Vlasic and Brent Burns — and DeBoer has final choice regarding what players to put on the ice as the home team so he can ensure that top pair will combat MacKinnon and company. After losing by a 5-0 score in Game Four, the Sharks allowed only seven goals in the remaining three games in that series which went around 220 minutes of ice time when accounting for overtimes. What was underappreciated about the Avalanche in the first round was their strong defensive play against the Flames as they allowed only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game in those five games while not allowing more than two goals in those last four games. They stay on the road where the Under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games — and the Under is also 3-0-1 in Colorado’s last 4 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on home ice.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on April 6th where San Jose won at home by a 5-2 margin. The Avalanche have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least three goals. 25* NHL Bailout Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (5) and the San Jose Sharks (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-19 |
Hurricanes v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-0 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (7) and the New York Islanders (8). THE SITUATION: Carolina (50-32-7) has won four of their last five games after defeating the Capitals in Washington on Wednesday with their 4-3 win in overtime in the climactic seventh game of that series. New York (52-27-7) has won their last six games after completing their seven-game sweep of the Penguins with their 3-1 win in Pittsburgh back on April 16th. The Islanders host this game in the Barclays Center to begin this seven-game series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. Carolina has also won 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals against a Metropolitan Division rival in their last game. Furthermore, the Hurricanes have played 16 of their last 24 road games Under the Total after playing a game on the road — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a game on the road where both teams scored at least three goals. Carolina is getting outstanding goaltending from Petr Mrazek who had a 1.83 Goals-Against-Average with a .938 save percentage after the All-Star Break during the regular season. The Hurricanes held the Capitals to just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over the last five games in that series. Carolina has also played 22 of their last 34 games Under the Total when playing Metropolitan Division rivals. And while the Hurricanes have played three straight Overs, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total. New York has only allowed one goal in each of their last three games. Goalie Robin Lehner enjoys a 2.05 Goals-Against-Average with a .929 save percentage when playing at home this season. Over their last five games, the Islanders allowed only 1.2 Goals-Per-Game. Moving forward, the Under is 34-16-2 in New York’s last 52 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. But the Isles will likely be rusty in their offensive execution after not being in a real game in ten days. They return home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. New York has also played 11 of their last 13 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Islanders led the NHL by allowing only 196 goals this season — and the Hurricanes were not far behind as they finished tied for sixth in fewest goals allowed. While I suspect some of the games in this series to finish Over the Total, look for both these teams to be cautious in this opener. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (7) and the New York Islanders (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-25-19 |
Stars v. Blues UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 9:38 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (5) and the St. Louis Blues (6). THE SITUATION: Dallas (47-34-7) won the last three games of their opening round series to defeat Nashville in six games with their 2-1 victory in overtime on Monday. St. Louis (49-30-9) won their last two games in their series with Winnipeg to also dispatch of them in six games with their 3-2 victory last Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 31-13-7 in the Stars’ last 51 games after a victory — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win over a Central Division rival. Dallas has also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a narrow win by just one goal — and the Under is 19-5-6 in their last 30 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Stars were the second best defensive team in the NHL during the regular season where they allowed just 2.44 Goals-Per-Game. Goalie Ben Bishop enjoyed a 1.15 Goals-Against-Average with a .962 save percentage in his fifteen regular season starts after the All-Star Break. Dallas allowed only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games. But this team also scores only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game when playing on the road with only their top forward line being a reliable source of goals. The Under is 17-6-4 in the Stars’ last 27 games on the road — and the Under is 13-4-4 in their last 21 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Under is also 10-2-2 in Dallas’ last 14 games as a money-line underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. St. Louis has played 16 of their last 19 games Under the Total after winning two straight games. They are led by a red hot goaltender that spearheaded their strong second half of the season in rookie Jordan Bennington who enjoyed a 1.90 GAA with a .928 save percentage in the twenty-three regular season starts after the All-Star Break. The Blues have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total when priced as a favorite in the -151 to -200 price range. The Under is also 20-8-2 in St. Louis’ last 30 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas was a perfect 15 of 15 with their Power Play kills in the opening round of the playoffs — and the Blues were solid by allowing only three goals in fourteen Power Plays for the Jets. These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total. Expect this opening game to continue this low-scoring tempo. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (5) and the St. Louis Blues (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-25-19 |
Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total run in the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets (3) and the Boston Bruins (4). THE SITUATION: Columbus (51-31-4) takes the ice with this first time since April 16th after they completed an improbable 4-0 sweep over Tampa Bay that concluded with a 7-3 victory back on April 16th. Boston (53-27-9) pulled out a seven-game series on Tuesday when they defeated Toronto by a 5-1 score. The Bruins host the opening two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blue Jackets will likely be a bit rusty having not played in twelve days. Their head coach, John Tortorella, is a veteran who has led a previous team to a Stanley Cup championship and he will likely continue to rely on his team playing very physical to set the tone on defense. As it is, the Under is 25-11-4 in Columbus’ last 40 games after a victory — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games after a win at home by a test four goals. Additionally, the Under is 6-2-2 in the Blue Jackets’ last 10 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against a team that did not allow more than two goals in their last contest. The team is getting great goaltending from Sergei Bobrovsky who stopped 109 of his 117 shots against the Lightning for a stellar .936 save percentage in that series. Columbus is the hottest team in the NHL right now as they have only lost once since March 24th — and the play of their goaltender has played a big role in their surge. Since the All-Star Break, Bobrovsky has a 2.20 Goals-Against-Average along with a .924 save percentage. The Blue Jackets have allowed only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Now they go on the road where they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total. The Under is also 7-1-1 in their last 9 road games as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Boston has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have also played 7 straight home games Under the Total after scoring five or more goals in their last contest. Furthermore, the Bruins have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a win over an Atlantic Division rival. Boston will be happy to grind out a heavy-hitting lower scoring game with the Blue Jackets — they finished tied for third in the regular season by allowing only 2.59 Goals-Per-Game. Their goalie, Tuukka Rask, stopped 32 of the 33 shots he faced against the Maple Leafs to lead his team to that Game Seven victory. Rask entered these playoffs with a career 2.25 GAA along with a .924 save percentage in 65 games. Additionally, the Under is 13-4-5 in Boston’s last 22 games in the playoffs as a favorite priced in the -110 to -150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: Columbus’ only loss since Match 24th was a 6-2 loss at home to the Bruins back on April 2nd as a -140 money-line favorite. The Blue Jackets have played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total when looking to avenge an upset loss — and they have also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. Boston has won the last two meetings between these two teams — and Columbus has played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total when motivated by double-revenge. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Columbus Blue Jackets (3) and the Boston Bruins (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-22-19 |
Predators v. Stars UNDER 5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 8:38 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (85) and the Dallas Stars (86). THE SITUATION: Dallas (46-34-7) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Saturday with their victory at Nashville (49-32-6). The Stars have the opportunity to close out this series tonight back on their home ice.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Dallas is getting it done with their defense as they ave allowed only eleven goals in the first five games of this series. The Stars not only play a cautious style of play but they are also getting outstanding goaltending from Ben Bishop. The veteran had a 1.98 Goals-Against-Average during the regular season with a .934 save percentage — and those numbers improved to a 1.90 GAA with a .937 save percentage when playing at home. The Under is 30-14-7 in Dallas’ last 51 games after a win — and they have played 14 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after a win. Furthermore, the Stars have played 8 straight games Under the Total after a win on the road where they scored at least four goals. Additionally, Dallas has played 19 of their last 25 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a game on the road where both teams scored at least three goals. Now the Stars return home where the Under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 home games when priced as a favorite in the -110 to -150 range. Nashville has played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total after a loss to a Central Division rival — and they have also played ten of their last fifteen games Under the Total after a loss at home to a divisional rival. Furthermore, the Under is 22-7-5 in the Predators’ last 34 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games against opponents who scored at least five goals in their last contest. This team has to tighten things up on defense after allowing ten goals in their last two games. Nashville has played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in two straight games. Now this team goes on the road where the Under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Additionally, the Preds have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when trailing in a playoff series — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total when facing elimination.
FINAL TAKE: Nashville has played 7 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road where are attempting to avenge two straight losses by at least two goals. 25* NHL First Round CNBC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (85) and the Dallas Stars (86). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-19-19 |
Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (63) and the Boston Celtics (64). THE SITUATION: Boston (51-26-9) evened this series at 2-2 on Wednesday with their 6-4 victory over Toronto (48-30-6). The Bruins return home with the opportunity to move within one game of clinching this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston has played 8 of their last 10 games at home Under the Total after a victory over an Atlantic Division rival. The Bruins have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 6 straight games after scoring at least five goals when they are playing on their home ice. Furthermore, Boston has played 36 of their last 54 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game. While it was a high scoring game in Toronto on Wednesday, look for the Bruins defense and goaltender Tuukka Rask to play better tonight. Rask had a 2.32 Goals-Against-Average at home during the regular season with a .913 save percentage. Rask entered this postseason with a 2.25 GAA along with a .924 save percentage in 65 games in the playoffs which includes a Stanley Cup championship run. Boston has played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bruins have also seen the Under go 12-4-5 in their last 21 games in the playoffs when favored and priced in the -110 to -150 price range. Toronto needs to play better with their Power Play Kill Unit as they have allowed Boston to score in 5 of their 11 (45.5%) Power Play chances. The Maple Leafs were just 17th in killing Power Plays during the regular season — but they should get closer to that 79.9% mark as this series moves on. Toronto has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Maple Leafs have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And the Under is 5-2-1 in Toronto’ last 8 games as an underdog in the +110 to +150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: The Maple Leafs have played 10 of their last 13 games on the road when motivated by revenge — and they have played 16 of their last 23 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least four goals. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. With this game being played in Boston, expect the Bruins’ to win the battle of styles which will result in a slower and more physical game. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (63) and the Boston Celtics (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-11-19 |
Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (13) and the Washington Capitals (14). THE SITUATION: Carolina (46-29-5) enters their first postseason in a decade on a three-game winning streak after their 4-3 win in Philadelphia last Saturday. Washington (48-26-7) begins their defense of their Stanley Cup championship having lost two of three with their 3-0 loss to the New York Islanders. Washington hosts the opening two games of this seven-game series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory. Carolina is going to be a tough out for the Capitals because they do such a good job of controlling possession of the puck. The Hurricanes lead the NHL in both Corsi-For-Percentage and Fenwick-For-Percentage which measures their net differential in shot attempts versus their opponents. First-year head coach, Rob Brind'Amour, has overseen a style of play that emphasizes speed and constant pressure to keep the puck bottled up on their offensive end of the ice. This approach has helped Carolina to surrender only 28.6 shots per game which is the 3rd lowest in the NHL. This approach has done wonders for journeyman goaltender Petr Mrazek who has responded with an outstanding 1.83 Goals-Against-Average with a .938 save percentage since the All-Star Break. Over his last thirteen games, Mrazek enjoys a 1.68 GAA along with a .944 save percentage with two shutouts. Mrazek flashed plenty of potential when playing for the Red Wings. He has a career 1.98 GAA in 11 games (10 starts) in the playoffs along with a .927 save percentage which includes three shutouts. The Hurricanes have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Carolina has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total — and the Under is 46-21-3 in their last 70 games when playing with at least three days of rest. Washington has played 6 straight home games after scoring one goal or less in their last game. The Capitals have also played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total where no more than three combined goals were scored — and the Under is 23-9-2 in their last 34 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. Washington enters the playoffs with a cold Power Play that has converted on only 3 of their last 25 opportunities (12.1%). But the Caps have a hot goalie right now with Braden Holtby boasting a .947 save percentage over his last five starts. Holtby will be a confident goaltender after finally leading his team to hoist the Cup last year. Holtby had a 2.16 GAA in last year’s playoffs with a .922 save percentage and two shutouts. In his career 82 playoff starts, Holtby has an outstanding .929 save percentage. The Under is 9-2-1 in Washington’s last 12 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total as the favorite. The Caps have also played 5 straight games Under the Total against fellow Metropolitan Division opponents.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina will be looking to avenge a 3-2 loss at home to the Capitals back on March 28th in the last meeting between these two teams. The Hurricanes have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total when avenging a one-goal loss to their opponent. And in the last 5 encounters between these two teams in Washington, the Under is 4-0-1. 25* NHL USA-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (13) and the Washington Capitals (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-10-19 |
Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (009) and the San Jose Sharks (010). THE SITUATION: Vegas (43-25-5) has lost two straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests after closing out the regular season with a 5-2 loss in Los Angeles to the Kings on Saturday. San Jose (46-27-6) won their last two games of the regular season after they defeated Colorado on Saturday by a 5-2 score.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury played in those final two games of the regular season after getting a bunch of time off in March with the birth of his child coinciding with Vegas being pretty much locked-in to the third seed in the Pacific Division standings. Fleury's first game back was a 4-1 loss at home to Arizona last Thursday — but the Golden Knights have then played 11 of their last 14 games on the road Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in two straight games. Fleury needed to knock some rust off after taking time off — but I expect the veteran to be ready to go after being simply outstanding in his last two playoff experiences. In Vegas’ victory over the Sharks in six games in last year’s Western Conference Semifinals, Fleury had a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average with a .935 save percentage with two shutouts. The Golden Knights have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Furthermore, the Under is 20-9-2 in Vegas’ last 31 road games as an underdog — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog in the playoffs. San Jose has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Sharks scored 3.52 Goals-Per-Game during the regular season which was tied for third best in the league. But playoff hockey might see their offense take a step back. For starters, it remains unclear if this team has a consistently reliable top-line. Second, the health of their offensive-minded defenseman, Erik Karlsson, remains an issue as he returns to the ice after a nasty groin injury. Another concern for the Sharks is the play of their goaltender, Martin Jones, who had a 2.94 Goals-Against-Average with a .896 save percentage during the regular season. Jones has a career .926 save percentage in 42 games in the playoffs so he is more than capable and experienced. San Jose may choose to play a bit more cautiously to help build his confidence with the clean slate of the playoffs. San Jose has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when favored. The Under is also 3-1-1 in the last 5 games for the Sharks in the Western Conference Quarterfinals.
FINAL TAKE: The last two games played in San Jose in last year’s Western Conference Semifinals saw each team register a shutout win. The biggest problem the Sharks had last year in that series was being too loose with the puck which played right into the Knights’ transition game from forcing turnovers — after blanking them in the opening game of that series by a 7-0 score, Vegas scored four and five goals in their next two victories in that series before then winning by a 6-0 score in the first meeting between these two teams in the regular season back in November. Head coach Peter DeBoer cannot let his team surrender another barrage of goals to this Knights team. Expect this opening game to be a hard-hitting and tightly played affair which makes the Under very enticing with the Total set at 6. 25* NHL 1st Round Pacific Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (009) and the San Jose Sharks (010). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-30-19 |
Stars v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
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At 10:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (21) and the Vancouver Canucks (22). THE SITUATION: Dallas (41-31-5) has won three straight games with their 3-2 win over Edmonton on Tuesday. Vancouver (33-35-2) snapped a three-game losing streak on Thursday with their 3-2 win over Los Angeles in a shootout.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is a decisive 23-3-4 in the Stars’ last 30 games after a victory — and the Under is also 20-4-5 in their last 29 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Dallas is allowing only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. They will turn to Anton Khudobin in between the pipes tonight with Ben Bishop nursing a lower-body injury. Khudobin has a strong .923 save percentage on the road this season — and he enjoys a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average with a .937 save percentage in five starts (seven games) this month. He will need to be good tonight since the Stars score only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game when playing on the road. The Under is 19-6-5 in Dallas’ last 30 games on the road — and they have played 20 of their last 22 games Under the Total on the road with the Total set at 5.5. Furthermore, the Under is 7-1-2 in the Stars’ last 10 road games as a favorite priced in the -110 to -150 price range. The Under is also 18-6-3 in Dallas’ last 27 games against fellow Western Conference foes. Vancouver has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a victory. The Canucks have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing no more than two goals in their last game. Jacob Markstrom will be in goal tonight — he has a solid 2.68 GAA along with a .918 save percentage since the All-Star Break. Vancouver stays at home where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total. The Canucks have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home as an underdog. Additionally, Vancouver has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference foes.
FINAL TAKE: Expect a lower scoring game between these two teams. 25* NHL Bailout Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (21) and the Vancouver Canucks (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-06-19 |
Blues v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-140 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
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At 10:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (45) and the Anaheim Ducks (46). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (34-25-5) has lost four of their last six games with their 4-1 loss to Dallas on Saturday. Anaheim (26-32-7) has won their last two games after they upset Arizona on the road by a 3-1 score last night.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blues have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total on the road after losing two straight games. Furthermore, the Under is 7-3-3 in St. Louis’ last 13 games when playing with at least three days of rest. And the Under is 36-17-2 in their last 55 games after a game where they did not score more than two goals. The Blues’ offense has slumped without Brayden Schenn in the lineup as they have only scored nine goals over their last six games while netting only three goals in their last two contests. This team does hope to get Schenn back onto the ice tonight — but thus remains a team that has seen the Under go 18-8-2 in their last 28 games on the road. St. Louis has also played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total when favored in the -151 to -200 price range. It remains unclear which goaltender interim head coach Craig Berube will choose between the Jordan Pennington and Jake Allen. After allowing nine goals in their last two games, the Blues’ blue-line needs to play better. Either goalie should play well tonight. Pennington has a 1.68 Goals-Against-Average with a .933 save percentage in 21 games (19 starts) in his red-hot rookie season while the veteran Allen enjoys a 2.37 GAA with a .921 save percentage when playing on the road. St. Louis has played 21 of their last 30 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 25% to 40% range. The Under is 47-16-2 in Anaheim’s last 65 games after a win — and this includes them playing thirteen of their last fifteen home games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least two goals. The Under is also 40-18-1 in the Ducks’ last 59 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. This has been a nightmare season for this Anaheim team — but don’t blame goalie John Gibson who has a 2.72 GAA at home with a .914 save percentage despite disappointing play from their blue line. In his two stars so far this month, the star goalie has a 1.53 GAA with a .949 save percentage. Gibson will be between the pipes tonight after getting last night off — and the Under is 18-6-2 in the Ducks’ last 26 games when playing without a day of rest. They are still only scoring 1.5 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games — and their 144 combined goals this season is the lowest number in the NHL. They return home where they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 15 of the last 21 games Under the Total as a home underdog. Furthermore, Anaheim has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: The Ducks will be looking to avenge a 5-1 loss at home to the Blues back on January 23rd — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss at home to their opponents. 25* NHL Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (45) and the Anaheim Ducks (46). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-02-19 |
Stars v. Blues UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 39 m |
Show
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At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (79) and the St. Louis Blues (80). THE SITUATION: Dallas (32-27-5) has won two of their last three games after their 4-3 win in Los Angeles against the Kings on Thursday. St. Louis (34-24-5) has lost two of their last three games with their 5-2 loss at Carolina yesterday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 17-6-4 in the Stars’ last 27 games after a victory. Dallas has also played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Despite their four goals against the hapless Kings, the Stars are scoring just 2.1 Goals-Per-Game over their last seven contests. They stay on the road where the Under us 21-7-5 in their last 33 games — and the Under is 8-1-3 in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record on their home ice. Furthermore, Dallas played 17 of their last 18 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. The Under is also 13-4-4 in the Stars’ last 21 road games as an underdog — and the Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games when priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Ben Bishop should be between the pipes tonight. He has been outstanding since returning from an injury as he owns a 1.81 Goals-Against-Average with a .947 save percentage in his five starts since the All-Star Break. St. Louis has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Under is also 35-17-2 in the Blues’ last 54 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, St. Louis has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. The Blues are scoring only 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. But they return home where they have won seven straight contests while giving up just 11 goals in those games. St. Louis will turn to their rookie phenom, Jordan Binnington, in goal tonight. Binnington is 15-2 this season with a 1.61 GAA along with a .936 save percentage in 19 games which includes 17 starts. Additionally, the Under is 12-4-1 in the Blues’ last 17 home games as a favorite priced in the -151 to -200 range.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. Expect another lower scoring game between these two teams. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (79) and the St. Louis Blues (80). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-23-19 |
Hurricanes v. Stars UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 0 m |
Show
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At 5:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (39) and the Dallas Stars (40). THE SITUATION: Carolina (32-23-4) has won four of their last five games with their 4-3 win at Florida on Thursday. Dallas (30-25-5) snapped their three-game losing streak on Thursday with their 5-2 win over St. Louis.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a victory. They have also played 16 of their last 22 games on the road where both teams scored at least three goals. Now they stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. Carolina is playing outstanding defense as of late for first-year head coach Rod Brind’Amour as they are allowing only 1.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Brind’Amour will likely tap Curtis McElhinney to be between the pipes tonight after Petr Mrazek played on Thursday. McElhinney has been outstanding since the All-Star Game as he owns a 1.80 Goals-Against-Average over his last five starts with a .942 save percentage in those contests. The Hurricanes opened as small money-line underdog but now have bet down to a mutual -110 money-line favorite with the Stars — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when favored in the -110 to 1-50 price range. Dallas has seen the Under go 13-3-3 in their last 19 games after a victory — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after scoring at least five goals in their last contest. Additionally, the Stars have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. That offensive came out of nowhere as they have scored only ten combined goals in their previous six contests. Dallas is averaging only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. They stay at home where they at home where they have played 10 of their last 11 home games Under the Total when favored in the -110 to -150 price range — and the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Ben Bishop returns to action tonight after he missed a couple weeks with an injury. He had been playing great as he owned a 1.67 GAA along with a .947 save percentage in his previous three starts since the All-Star break. Bishop also enjoys a 2.17 GAA in his twenty starts at home this year with a strong .929 save percentage in those contests.
FINAL TAKE: Look for this to be a lower-scoring contest. 25* NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (39) and the Dallas Stars (40). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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11-30-18 |
Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 6 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
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At 9:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (9) and the Colorado Avalanche (10). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (8-12-3) has lost two straight games — as well as five of their last six contests — with their 4-3 loss in Detroit on Wednesday. Colorado (15-6-3) has won six straight games with their 6-3 win over Pittsburgh on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blues have played three straight Overs where at least seven combined goals were scored. But St. Louis has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Overs — and they have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. The Under is also 7-2-1 in their last 10 games when facing a team who scored at least five goals in their last game. The Blues stay on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, St. Louis has played 12 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after losing at least two straight games. The team is rumored to be interested in trading for goaltender Jimmy Howard of the Red Wings with their goalie Jake Allen struggling. Allen has been a disaster at home where he has been saddled with a 3.86 Goals-Against-Average along with an .879 save percentage — but those numbers do drop to respectable a 2.74 GAA with a .911 save percentage at home. Allen has also recovered from a bad opening month to post a 2.65 GAA with a .915 save percentage for November. Additionally, St. Louis has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents. Colorado has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against Central Division opponents. They have scored at least three goals in six straight games — but they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in two straight games. The Avalanche have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. This is Colorado’s third game since Monday — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing their third game in five days. They are getting goaltending from Semyon Varlamov who has a 2.15 GAA with a .928 save percentage when playing at home. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Avalanche’s last 6 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Under go 15-7-1 in their last 23 meetings. Expect another lower scoring game between these two teams. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (9) and the Colorado Avalanche (10). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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11-27-18 |
Golden Knights v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
8-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 30 m |
Show
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At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (65) and the Chicago Blackhawks (66). THE SITUATION: Vegas (12-12-0) has won three straight games with their 6-0 win over San Jose on Saturday. Chicago (9-10-4) looks to build off their 5-4 win in overtime at Florida on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury is heating up after a slow start in the first month of the season. Fleury pulled off the rare feat of registering two straight shutout victories on successive nights as his win over the Sharks was preceded by a 2-0 shutout win against Calgary. Fleury has a sparkling 2.19 Goals-Against-Average with a .924 save percentage in eleven starts this month. The Golden Knights have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game — and they have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win. Now they go on the road where they are scoring only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game as compared to their meager 2.8 Goals-Per-Game scoring average for the season. Additionally, the Golden Knights have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing their fourth game in seven days. Furthermore, Vegas has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams from the Western Conference. Chicago has played 6 straight home games Under the Total when playing their fourth game in seven days — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against Western Conference foes. They have also played a decisive 47 of their 71 home games Under the Total after a win in overtime. The Blackhawks return home where goalie Corey Crawford has been outstanding this season with a 1.57 GAA along with a .947 save percentage in seven starts this year. The Under is 27-11-2 in Chicago’s last 40 games at home — and they have played 20 of their last 26 home games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5.
FINAL TAKE: In this game between two Stanley Cup-winning goaltenders playing very well right now, expect a lower scoring game. 25* NHL Western Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (65) and the Chicago Blackhawks (66). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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11-02-18 |
Hurricanes v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 15 m |
Show
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At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (55) and the Arizona Coyotes (56). THE SITUATION: Carolina (6-5-1) has lost two straight games with their 3-2 loss to Boston on Tuesday. Arizona (6-5-0) has won four straight games with their 5-1 win over Ottawa on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Coyotes have scored 27 goals over their last six games which is the most in the NHL during that span — but this scoring brigade includes five goals scored short-handed over their last three games which is not likely to keep going. Arizona’s six short-handed goals this season lead the NHL. The Coyotes have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and this includes them playing nine of their last eleven games on their home ice Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last contest. Additionally, Arizona has also played 13 of their last 19 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. This is also a team that leads the NHL by allowing only 1.91 Goals-Per-Game — and they are even stingier at home where their visitors are allowing only 1.40 Goals-Per-Game. In their four-game winning streak, the Coyotes have allowed only four combined goals. This team is getting outstanding goaltending from Antti Raanta. Last year, Raanta boasted a .930 save percentage along with a 2.24 Goals-Against-Average in forty-four starts in a season cut short by injuries. This year, Raanta has continued this torrid level of play by posting a 1.99 GAA along with a .926 save percentage — and he has been even nastier at home where he owns a 1.51 GAA along with a .940 save percentage. Carolina has failed to score more than two goals five times this season. They are scoring only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests — but they are allowing only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over that span. They have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Now after playing their last three games at home, the Hurricanes go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Carolina has also played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after playing three straight games at home. They will likely turn to Petr Mrazek between the pipes who has a good 2.05 GAA in his three starts on the road this year with a solid .917 save percentage. Moving forward, the Hurricanes have played 9 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 encounters Under the Total when playing in Phoenix. Expect the Coyotes’ stinginess to continue in this game in what should be a low-scoring game. 25* NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (55) and the Arizona Coyotes (56). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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10-10-18 |
Coyotes v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
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At 10:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Coyotes (55) and the Anaheim Ducks (56). THE SITUATION: Arizona (0-2-0) takes the ice again after their 1-0 loss at home to the Ducks on Saturday. Anaheim (3-0-0) followed that victory up with a 3-2 win over Detroit in overtime on Monday to keep their perfect start to the season going.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Coyotes have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after being shutout — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal to one of their Pacific Division rivals. Arizona was second-to-last in the NHL last year by scoring only 2.51 Goals-Per-Game. The team hoped they jumpstarted their offensive production in the offseason when they gave up on the underachieving Max Domi by trading him to Montreal for another young forward in Alex Galchenyuk. The plan was to put the winger at center to let the 24-year old anchor their second-line. The former 30-goal scorer found the back of the net 19 times last year in the Canadiens lost season. But these plans have been delayed with Galchenyuk with a lower body injury. The Coyotes have yet to score this season — but they have allowed only four goals in their two games this year. Arizona has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after playing their last two games Under the Total. This team can still rely on their underrated goaltender Antti Raanta who had an outstanding .930 save percentage last year with a 2.24 Goals-Against-Average last year. Raanta registered a Quality Start (either by stopping at least .917 of the shots he faced or not allowing more than two goals while posting a save percentage of at least .885) percentage of .696 last year so he offers us a very good chance to see another low-scoring game tonight. The Coyotes have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Anaheim has played 14 of their last 18 home games Under the Total after a victory by just one goal — and they have played 13 of their last 15 home games after a win in overtime. Led by goalie John Gibson, the Coyotes are playing outstanding defense as they have allowed only four goals in their three games so far this season. The Ducks have played 14 of their last 19 home games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games. Gibson is 2nd in the NHL with a .924 save percentage for all qualifying goals over the last three seasons — and he boasted a 1.95 Goals-Against-Average with a .937 save percentage after the All-Star Break with both numbers being the best in the league during that stretch. Anaheim struggled to score last year by averaging only 2.52 Goals-Per-Game which was in the league and the worst of all sixteen teams that made the playoffs. They are missing their aging veteran forwards in Ryan Kesler, Patrick Eaves and Corey Perry for an extended period of time while banking on a trio of rookie forwards to fill in the gaps. This Anaheim team has seen the Under go 21-8-2 in their last 31 games against fellow Pacific Division opponents.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Head coach Rick Toccet has had plenty of time to game plan against the new crop of rookies contributing at forward for the Ducks. Expect another low-scoring game. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Coyotes (55) and the Anaheim Ducks (56). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-07-18 |
Capitals v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-103 |
32 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (9) and the Vegas Golden Knights (10). THE SITUATION: Washington (65-32-7) took a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 6-2 victory over the Golden Knights. This series goes back to Las Vegas for Game Five.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Capitals once again scored first in that game which allowed them to deploy their 1-3-1 trapping zone defense that clogs the neutral zone which has frustrated the speed of the Vegas skaters. Washington has allowed only five goals in the last three games after that opening game where they gave up six goals. Now the Caps go back on the road where the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games away from home. Additionally, Washington has played 16 of their last 22 Game Fives in the Stanley Cup Playoffs Under the Total — and this includes them playing seven straight Unders when leading by a 3-1 margin in the series. Furthermore, the Capitals have played 23 of their last 38 games Under the Total when attempting to close-out a playoff series. Vegas (64-30-7) is cold with their scoring with their top three lines — especially their top line. For the Golden Knights to extend this series, they need to tighten things up on defense and offer help to goalie Marc-Andre Fleury. Head coach Gerard Gallant made it clear that he did not think Fleury could do much to stop five of the six goals he allowed. Vegas has played 17 of their last 25 home games Under the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, the Golden Knights have played 14 of their last 19 home games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored — and they have played 15 of their last 23 home games Under the Total after a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. Furthermore, the Under is 3-1-1 in Vegas’ last 5 games when facing an opponent that scored at least five goals in their last game. Lastly, the Golden Knights have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least five goals.
FINAL TAKE: Winning the fourth game in a playoff series is considered the most difficult — and the Capitals have a bad history of blowing 3-1 series leads. Expect both teams to be tight in this game. 25* NHL NBC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (9) and the Vegas Golden Knights (10). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-02-18 |
Golden Knights v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (5) and the Washington Capitals (6). THE SITUATION: Washington (63-32-7) evened this series at a game apiece on Wednesday with their 3-2 victory over Vegas (64-28-7). The Capitals see this series return to DC where they will be hosting Games Three and Four.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: After the scoring fest in Game One that the Golden Knights won by a 6-4 score, Game Two settled down with just five combined goals. Braden Holtby was the hero for Washington as he stopped 37 of 39 Vegas’ shots including an epic save that robbed Alex Tuch of a goal with just 1:50 left in the third period. While Holtby was fantastic in Game Two, he was helped by a committed team that combined to block 18 shots before they reached him. The Capitals return home where they scored averaged only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game in their three home contests in the Eastern Conference Finals. The Under is 3-1-2 in Washington’s last 6 home games. The Capitals have also played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after playing their last two games on the road. Furthermore, Washington has played 18 of their last 29 playoff games Under the Total when tied in the series. Vegas has played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games. Marc-Andre Fleury should play better tonight as he has allowed only seven goals while posting a .932 save percentage in games following up the three previous Golden Knights’ losses in the playoffs. Remember that Fleury posted a 1.68 Goals-Against-Average with a .947 save percentage in the first three series of this postseason. Vegas is scoring only 2.25 Goals-Per-Game on the road in the playoffs while allowing only 1.88 Goals-Per-Game on these eight contests. The Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games — and the Golden Knights have played 16 of their last 23 road games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Washington hopes to have Evgeny Kuznetsov after he missed most of Game Two with a nasty left wrist injury — but his effectiveness remains in question which will contribute to the Caps’ playing cautiously. Expect another low-scoring game. 25* NHL Non-Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (5) and the Washington Capitals (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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