10-26-19 |
Texas v. TCU UNDER 58 |
|
27-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (187) and the TCU Horned Frogs (188). THE SITUATION: Texas (5-2) looks to build off their 50-48 win over Kansas as a 20-point favorite last Saturday. TCU (3-3) has lost two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 24-17 loss at Kansas State as a 3.5-point favorite last week.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Longhorns have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a victory over a Big 12 rival. Texas has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring at least 35 points in their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. The Longhorns need to tighten things up on the defensive side of the football after allowing 569 yards in their last game. Texas has played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. Now the Longhorns go back on the road where they have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total. TCU has played 6 straight games Under the Total on the road after a loss to a Big 12 rival — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread defeat. Additionally, the Horned Frogs have paled 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a narrow loss by 7 points or less to a conference opponent. TCU has not forced a turnover in three straight games — but they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after not forcing a turnover in at least two straight games. Additionally, the Horned Frogs have played 20 of their last 29 Big 12 games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total in October.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight encounters Under the Total. Expect another lower scoring game. 3* CFB Texas-TCU Fox-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (187) and the TCU Horned Frogs (188). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-25-19 |
USC v. Colorado UNDER 64.5 |
Top |
35-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the USC Trojans (105) and the Colorado Buffaloes (106). THE SITUATION: USC (4-3) snapped their two-game losing streak last Saturday with their 41-14 win over Arizona at home as a 10.5-point favorite. Colorado (3-4) has lost there straight games after their 41-10 loss at Washington State as a 13.5-point underdog last week.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trojans have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. USC has also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. This Trojans team has been riddled with injuries which leaves them with a freshman at quarterback and tailback for tonight’s game. True freshman Kedon Slovis is under center for the team after the injuries to sophomore quarterbacks J.T. Daniels and Jack Sears. At running back, injuries junior Stephen Carr, junior Vavaeu Malepeai, and freshman Markese Stepp who is not out three to five weeks with an ankle injury leave the primary rushing duties to freshman Kenan Christon. Admittedly, Slovis has played well this season and Christon had 100 rushing yards last week but the challenge will be different for these inexperienced players when playing in a hostile environment — especially in a televised night game. While USC averages 30.7 PPG and 434.1 total YPG this season, those numbers drop to just 22.7 PPG along with 417.7 total YPG. The Trojans have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, USC has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against Pac-12 opponents — and they have also played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 63.5 to 70 point range. Colorado is struggling on offense after gaining only 320 yards against the Cougars defense last week. The Buffaloes are averaging just 14.3 PPG along with only 371.7 total YPG which are both well below their 26.6 PPG and 407.7 total YPG averages. Colorado has then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Buffaloes have allowed at least 31 points in four straight games — but they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 31 points in two straight games. Colorado does return home after playing two straight games as well as three of their last four games on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And while the Buffaloes surrendered 368 passing yards to Washington State last week, they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado has played 14 of the last 20 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in October. First-year head coach Mel Tucker was an outstanding defensive coordinator at Georgia and Alabama so I still have confidence he will get his young defense to play better in the second half of the season. 25* CFB Friday ESPN2 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the USC Trojans (105) and the Colorado Buffaloes (106). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-24-19 |
SMU v. Houston UNDER 65.5 |
Top |
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between SMU Mustangs (103) and the Houston Cougars (104). THE SITUATION: SMU (7-0) remained undefeated this season with their 45-21 win at home against Temple as a 9-point favorite on Saturday. Houston (3-4) enters this game coming off a 24-17 win at UConn as a 21-point favorite last Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars changed their priorities this season after their 38-31 loss at Tulane that dropped them to 1-3 this season. First-year head coach was then reported to ask a number of his players to redshirt the rest of the season so as they could retain their eligibility for next season. Senior quarterback D’Eriq King and senior wide receiver Keith Corbin were two of the players to decide to remain their eligibility for next season. Some have called this the college version of tanking although Houston has since won two of their last three games. Frankly, Holgorsen still has every incentive to win games — especially on national television — to help with recruiting. But he needs to change his style of play with his top playmakers on offense being saved for next season. His son, Logan, was the starter last week against the Huskies where they managed only 286 yards of offense against a UConn team that had allowed at least 31 points in their previous five games. The freshman will likely give way to sophomore Clayton Thune who was out that game with a hamstring injury. The sophomore is completing only 53.2% of his passes this season. Holgorsen has seen his offense pass the ball less since King redshirted as Houston has attempted 20, 30, and 18 passes in each of their last three games. The Cougars have run the ball in 61% of their plays from scrimmage since the King and Corbin redshirt decisions — and running the football will likely remain the formula tonight to keep the powerful Mustangs offense off the field. Houston has averaged 355.7 total YPG over their last three games which is almost 40 YPG below their 393.6 total YPG season average. The Cougars have seen better numbers on defense in those three games as they have held those opponents to 26.7 PPG along with 429.3 total YPG which is high but is still over 40 yards below their 470.3 total YPG average for the season. Houston has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The Cougars have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. SMU has seen improved play with their defense as well this season with nine starters and eight of their top eleven tacklers from last year back. The Mustangs allowed 35.3 PPG along with 429.8 total YPG last year — and those numbers have dropped to a 27.3 PPG mark this season along with 370.1 total YPG (54th in the FBS). After not allowing more than 32 points in five of their last six games last season, SMU has allowed more than 30 points just twice this year. The Mustangs have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning two straight games against conference opponents. And while senior quarterback Shane Buechele attempted 53 passes last week, SMU has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after attempted at least 50 passes in their last game. And while the Mustangs generated 655 yards of offense against the Owls last week, they have then played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after gaining at least 500 yards in their last game. Additionally, SMU has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total played on field turf — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in October.
FINAL TAKE: Even undermanned, the Cougars will be fired up to play this game after they were upset by the Mustangs by a 45-31 scored as a two-touchdown favorite last November. These two teams have now played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total. With the Total set in the upper-60s, expect a lower scoring game. 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between SMU Mustangs (103) and the Houston Cougars (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-19-19 |
Oregon v. Washington UNDER 49 |
Top |
35-31 |
Loss |
-114 |
0 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oregon Ducks (367) and the Washington Huskies (368). THE SITUATION: Oregon (5-1) has won four games in a row with their 45-3 win over Colorado last Friday as a 23.5-point favorite. Washington (5-2) comes off a 51-27 win at Arizona last Saturday as a 6-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Ducks have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. Oregon has also played 7 straight games on the road Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. This team is playing outstanding defense under first-year defensive coordinator Andy Avalos who came over from Boise State. The Ducks rank 3rd in the nation by allowing just 8.7 PPG — and they also rank 8th in the nation by surrendering only 267.7 total YPG. Oregon has not allowed more than 7 points in five straight games — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 7 points in their last contest. The Ducks are averaging 36.0 PPG on offense led by their NFL prospect at quarterback in Justin Herbert. But in their two games on the road — both against quality defenses — Oregon sees their scoring average drop to just 21.0 PPG along with averaging only 326.0 total YPG. A big concern for this team is their Red Zone offense where they rank just 102nd in the nation. The Ducks have played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Oregon did support their defense last week by rushing for 252 yards against the Buffaloes — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Ducks have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Washington has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Huskies have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win versus a Pac-12 rival — and the Under is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after a win by at least 20 points. This Washington team also plays very good defense — they rank 28th in the nation by allowing only 19.6 PPG. Visitors are scoring only 17.0 PPG at Husky Stadium while averaging just 336.7 total YPG. Washington has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Huskies’ offense has been inconsistent — they rank just 57th in the nation by averaging 423.1 total YPG. They did rush for 207 yards last week at Arizona — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards. Additionally, Washington has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game — and they have played 19 of their last 26 home games Under the Total after scoring at least 42 points in their last contest.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing at Washington. And the forecasts call for rain this afternoon which will make both Herbert and the Huskies’ Jacob Eason uncomfortable. 25* CFB Saturday ABC-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Oregon Ducks (367) and the Washington Huskies (368). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-17-19 |
UCLA v. Stanford UNDER 51 |
|
34-16 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UCLA Bruins (301) and the Stanford Cardinal (302). THE SITUATION: UCLA (1-5) has lost two straight games after their 48-31 upset loss to Oregon State as a 4.5-point favorite back on October 5th. Stanford (3-3) has won their last two games with their 23-13 upset win over Washington as a 13.5-point underdog on October 5th.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cardinal has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win over a Pac-12 rival — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset victory as a home dog getting at least 7 points. Stanford’s win over the Huskies came on the heels of them defeating Oregon State on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after defeating two straight conference rivals. But the bad news for head coach David Shaw is that sophomore quarterback, Davis Mills, will not be able to play tonight given the calf injury he suffered in that game. With junior QB Kevin Costello already out with a thumb injury, that leaves the Cardinal offense in the hands of third-stringer Jack West. The redshirt freshman was highly recruited but not quite as high as Mills while lacking his experience at this point in his young career. As it is, Stanford is scoring only 15.3 PPG at home this season behind an offensive line that has struggled this season with just one returning starter. But the Cardinal are holding their guests to only 13.7 PPG along with just 274.7 total YPG. Stanford has played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total. The Cardinal defense has not forced more than one turnover since their opening game of the season against Northwestern — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not forcing more than one turnover in four straight games. Additionally, Stanford has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after their bye week — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of October. UCLA is dealing with a host of injuries themselves. Dorian Thompson-Robinson remains questionable with a knee injury that kept him out last week against the Beavers. Sophomore quarterback Austin Burton was capable against Oregon State in Thompson-Robinson’s absence as he completed 27 of 41 passes for 236 yards with a touchdown while adding another 64 yards on the ground. But Burton is not a very high recruit and the Stanford defensive brain trust has had two weeks to prepare his tape for this game. UCLA has attempted 83 passes in their last two games — and they have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after attempting at least 40 passes in two straight games. The Bruins did dominate the Time of Possession against the Beavers by holding the ball for 35:20 minutes while compiling 27 first downs — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after holding the ball for at least 34 minutes while gaining at least 24 first downs. Moving forward, UCLA has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points.
FINAL TAKE: The Bruins have averaged 531.3 total YPG over their last three games while allowing 539.7 total YPG in those contests — but UCLA has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after averaging at least 525 YPG in their last three games and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after allowing at least 475 YPG in their last three games. 10* CFB Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the UCLA Bruins (301) and the Stanford Cardinal (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-17-19 |
UL-Lafayette v. Arkansas State UNDER 68.5 |
Top |
37-20 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (305) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (306). THE SITUATION: Louisiana (4-2) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last Wednesday with their 17-7 loss at home to Appalachian State as a 1.5-point favorite. Arkansas State (3-3) had their two-game winning streak end back on October 5th with their 52-38 upset loss at Georgia State as a 6.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Red Wolves have played 10 of their last fourteen games Under the Total after a loss. This has lost their starting quarterback for the season after Logan Bonner’s thumb injury at the end of September. Redshirt freshman quarterback Layne Hatcher has been solid — he completed 21 of 32 passes against the Panthers for 299 yards with four touchdown passes but he also tossed two interceptions in that upset loss. But Arkansas State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. The Red Wolves surrendered a whopping 722 yards in that game to Georgia State with sixth-year head coach Blake Anderson likely learning that he cannot have his team get in a shootout with Hatcher under center. Arkansas State has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. The Red Wolves defense has been a mess this season as they are giving up 535.8 total YPG. But injuries have played a factor — and this team will receive a boost tonight with the return of senior defensive tackle Kevin Thurmon who has missed the last two games with a hand injury. Moving forward, Arkansas State has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total against Sun Belt Conference opponents — and the Under is also 43-18-2 in their last 63 games against teams with a winning record. Louisiana has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow Sun Belt foes. They managed only 254 yards of offense last week against the Mountaineers. Junior quarterback Levi Lewis completed 13 of 24 passes but for only 131 yards. The Ragin’ Cajuns are likely to rely on their ground game which ranks 6th in the nation by averaging 282.2 rushing YPG. Louisiana is 14th in the nation by averaging 492.2 total YPG — but those numbers drop by almost 40 yards per game when they are playing away from home. The biggest improvement with this team is on defense where they returned seven starters from last year’s team that allowed 34.2 PPG (105th in the nation) along with 435.59 total YPG (97th in the FBS). This season, the Ragin’ Cajuns are 43rd in the nation by allowing just 344.8 total YPG — and they rank 32nd in the FBS by giving up just 20.7 PPG. Furthermore, the Under is 7-3-1 in Louisiana’s last 11 games in the month of October.
FINAL TAKE: Arkansas State will be looking to avenge a 47-43 upset loss at Louisiana last year that ultimately cost them the opportunity to play in the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game. To get revenge tonight, head coach Anderson will likely conclude that he needs to slow this game down to protect his defense. The Ragin’ Cajuns will also be looking to run the ball — expect a lower scoring game with the Total set in the high 60s. 25* CFB Thursday ESPNU Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (305) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-12-19 |
Wyoming v. San Diego State UNDER 38.5 |
Top |
22-26 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (205) and the San Diego State Aztecs (206). THE SITUATION: Wyoming (4-1) takes the field again after their 53-17 win over UNLV two weeks ago as an 8-point favorite. San Diego State (4-1) looks to build off their 24-10 win at Colorado State as a 6.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cowboys have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while Wyoming generated 498 yards of offense against the Rebels, the Under is then 22-7-1 in their last 30 games after generating at least 450 yards in their last game. The Cowboys want to run the ball as they are 2nd in the MWC by averaging 248.2 rushing YPG — but they will be running into a buzzsaw with this Aztecs defense. San Diego State leads the nation by allowing only 45.4 rushing YPG — and they are second in the FBS by limiting rushers to just 1.79 Yards-Per-Carry. The Aztecs have not allowed a team to rush for more than 82 yards this season. Wyoming goes back on the road where the Under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games. The Under is also 11-2-1 in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Cowboys have played 11 of their last 15 games against MWC opponents — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of October. San Diego State has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Aztecs held the Rams to just 235 yards of offense in that win — and not only have they then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game but they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last contest. But San Diego State managed only 238 yards last week — and the Under is also 12-3-1 in their last 16 games after a game where they did not gain more than 275 yards. Injuries have slowed down the Aztecs ground game — they are only averaging 2.98 YPC which is 123rd in the nation while generating just 134 rushing YPG. This has placed more of the weight of the offense on the arm of senior quarterback Ryan Agnew who is solid but certainly not a spectacular gunslinger. San Diego State averages only 187 passing YPG — and head coach Rocky Long will not have his team deviate much from his run-oriented game plan. The Aztecs are scorn only 20.2 PPG this season — and that number drops to 11.5 PPG at home. But San Diego State is allowing just 11.4 PPG along with a mere 270.8 total YPG.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 26-10-1 in the Aztecs’ last 37 games at home — and they have played 43 of their last 62 games Under the Total in the month of October. The number has dropped into the high 30s for this game — but with the loser likely eliminated from the MWC title race, expect a defensive slugfest with points hard to come by. 25* CFB Mountain West Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (205) and the San Diego State Aztecs (206). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-11-19 |
Colorado v. Oregon UNDER 60.5 |
Top |
3-45 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 10:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Buffaloes (113) and the Oregon Ducks (114). THE SITUATION: Colorado (3-2) looks to bounce-back from their 35-30 upset loss at home to Arizona last Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. Oregon (4-1) has won four straight games after their 17-7 win over Cal last Saturday as a 21.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This is a bit of a contrarian play with the Total opening at 58 and now being bet up to the 60s in many spots. The Buffaloes have played in two straight high scoring affairs with their win last week preceded by a 34-30 win at Arizona State. Colorado’s defense has looked shaky by allowing 487 yards to the Wildcats after surrendering 453 yards to the Wildcats. The Buffaloes have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 475 yards — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after giving up at least 450 yards in two straight games. Additionally, Colorado has played 4 straight games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 60 combined points were scored — and they have placed 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 31 points in two straight games. This is just the second true road game of the season for the Buffaloes who have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on field turf. On offense, senior quarterback Steven Montez led the team to 337 passing yards for the second straight week — but they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after passing for at least 325 passing yards in their last game. Colorado has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total playing on a Friday night. Oregon has seen the Under go 16-5-1 in their last 22 games after a straight-up win. Senior quarterback Justin Herbert gets most of the attention with this Ducks team — but he has led this team to just 38 combined points over their last two games against Cal and Stanford. Oregon scored 77 points against a Nevada defense that Hawai’i also ripped to shreds while also scoring only 35 points against an FCS team in Montana. But when also considering their 27-21 loss to Auburn to begin the season, the Ducks are scoring less than 20 PPG against Power-Five conference opponents. It may very well be that the concern that Herbert lacked proven dynamic weapons at running back and wide receiver may have turned out to be the case. But second-year head coach Mario Cristobal has assembled a talented defense that is thriving under first-year defensive coordinator Andy Avalos. The former Boise State coordinator is leading a group that is allowing just 9.8 PPG along with only 261.4 total YPG. The Ducks have talent at all three levels of the defense — and they held the Golden Bears to just 256 total yards of offense last week. Oregon has then played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 total yards in their last game — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The Ducks have not allowed more than 7 points in each of their last four games after that first game against the Tigers — and they have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 9 points in two straight games. Oregon stays at home where they have played 4 straight games against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Buffaloes will want to avoid a shootout on the road at Autzen Stadium against this Ducks team — and Cristobal seems to be mimicking the identity of Nick Saban where he used to war as an assistant. Expect a lower scoring game led by the still underrated Oregon defense. 25* CFB Friday FS1-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Buffaloes (113) and the Oregon Ducks (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-10-19 |
Syracuse v. NC State UNDER 57 |
Top |
10-16 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Syracuse Orange (107) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (108). THE SITUATION: Syracuse (3-2) takes the field again after their 41-3 win over Holy Cross back on September 28th as a 40-point favorite. NC State (3-2) looks to bounce-back from a 31-13 loss at Florida State as a 7-point underdog on September 28th.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Orange have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Syracuse has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a win by at least five touchdowns. The Orange’s victory over Holy Cross from the FCS came after a 52-33 win at home over Western Michigan — and they have then played 13 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by at least 17 points. Syracuse has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Orange have struggled with their offensive line against bigger defensive lines from Power Five conferences. Syracuse only had two starters back from last year’s offensive line. The Orange are averaging just 3.4 Yards-Per-Carry this season while allowing 18 sacks already. The Wolfpack have two starters back from last year’s defensive line — but this unit has reloaded from year-to-year under head coach Dave Doeren as of late. Despite losing four players on their defensive line to the NFL last year, the NC State defense still produced a Havoc Rate of 10.8% which was a slight drop from their 11.3% Havoc Rate in 2017 with those four future NFLers. Now after playing their last two games at home, Syracuse goes back on the road where they are scoring only 22.0 PPG. The Under is 26-12-1 in the Orange’s last 39 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And int her last 7 games after not allowing more than 20 points, Syracuse has played 5 of these games Under the Total. NC State has played 21 of their last 30 home games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a fellow ACC opponent. The Wolfpack have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Doeren will be sticking with sophomore quarterback Bailey Hockman who made his first career start in that game against the Seminoles. Hickman completed only 21 of 40 passes for 208 yards with a touchdown in that game taking over for redshirt sophomore Matthew McKay who started the first four games of the season. Finding the replacement for three-year starter, Ryan Finley, remains a work in progress for this team. NC State returns home where they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Wolfpack defense has played much better at home where they are allowing just 9.7 PPG and only 264 total YPG. Furthermore, NC State has played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams from the ACC. And in their last 20 games played on a Thursday night, the Under is 18-1-1 for the Wolfpack.
FINAL TAKE: While I am not sure how effective this nascent NC State offense will be with just four starters back from last season and with Hockman making only his second career start, Doeren should have his defense ready to roll tonight. These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total. 25* CFB Thursday ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Syracuse Orange (107) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-05-19 |
Tulane v. Army UNDER 43.5 |
Top |
42-33 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tulane Green Wave (323) and the Army Black Knights (324). THE SITUATION: Tulane (3-1) returns to the field after their 38-31 victory as a 4-point favorite over Houston back on September 19th. Army (3-1) looks to build off their 52-21 win over Morgan State two Saturdays ago as a 45.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Green Wave raced out to a 28-14 halftime lead over the Cougars for that Thursday night game over two weeks ago — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 24 points in the first half of their last game. Tulane has also played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a victory over a fellow American Conference West opponent. The Green Wave rushed for 325 yards in that game — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 300 yards. Tulane is 26th in the nation with their run-first offense by averaging 6.56 Yards-Per-Play. But they only scored 6 points in their lone road game this season at Auburn. But head coach Willie Fritz’s team is underrated on the defensive side of the football — they held the Tigers to only 24 points in their first road game of the year. Overall, they are holding their opponents to just 18.7 PPG along with only 340.2 total YPG. Tulane has eight starters back from last year’s team that played both Army and Navy — so this is a group experienced in dealing with the spread triple option. The Green Wave also returned all but one of their rotation players on their defensive line from last year’s group. Getting more than two weeks to prepare for this unique offense will certainly help. And Tulane has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 37 points in their last game. Now the Green Wave go back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Tulane has placed 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against non-conference opponents. Army has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 20 points — and they have played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a game where at least 70 combined points were scored. The Black Knights have also played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while Army generated 483 yards of offense in that game, they have played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. This team does look to get their starting quarterback, Kelvin Hopkins, back for this game after he missed the last two games with a leg injury since the Black Knights heartbreaking 24-21 overtime loss at Michigan. Army plays outstanding defense — they are limiting their opponents to only 16.2 PPG along with just 287.7 total YPG with those numbers dropping to just 14.0 PPG when playing at home along with only 275.5 total YPG that they allow. The Black Knights thrive with their run defense as well as they are limiting their opponents to allow only 104 rushing YPG along with just 3.1 Yards-Per-Carry. Army limited Michigan to just 108 rushing yards three weeks ago — and they have had two weeks to prepare for the Green Wave run-oriented spread offense. The Black Knights have played 22 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a bye week. Moving forward, Army has played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total as an underdog of 3 points or less.
FINAL TAKE: Tulane won last year’s meeting between these two teams by a 21-17 score in New Orleans. Expect another low scoring game. 25* CFB CBS Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Tulane Green Wave (323) and the Army Black Knights (324). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-21-19 |
Central Florida v. Pittsburgh UNDER 61 |
Top |
34-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Central Florida Knights (319) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (320). THE SITUATION: Central Florida (3-0) remained undefeated this season with their 45-27 clubbing at home against Stanford last Saturday as a 9.5-point favorite. Pittsburgh (1-2) looks to bounce-back from a 17-10 loss at Penn State last week as a 17-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Knights have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a point spread win. UCF is using their third-string (or fourth string) quarterback this season with freshman Dillon Gabriel getting the snaps. Senior QB McKenzie Milton is out the season with a knee injury and his backup, Darriel Mack, missed all of training camp with an ankle injury. Second-year head coach Josh Heupel brought in Brandon Wimbush from Notre Dame as a transfer student to compete for the starting job but Gabriel’s ability to operate the up-tempo RPO system inspired by the Art Briles school of offense has kept him on the field. But this is still a true freshman playing in a hostile environment for this contest. The Knights have played 4 straight games on the road Under the Total. Gabriel led an offense that generated 545 yards of offense against the Cardinal — but UCF has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Knights have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. While the offense has been getting most of the headlines for this UCF team, they have been outstanding on defense. The Knights limited the Cardinal to just 349 yards of offense last week. While they have allowed just 41 points in their three games this season, most of those points have been surrendered in garbage time in the season half. UCF has played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have also played 30 of their last 46 games Under the Total in the first month of the season. Pittsburgh has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Junior QB Kenny Pickett completed 35 of 51 passes for 372 yards in a losing effort last week — but the Panthers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Fifth-year head coach Pat Narduzzi received plenty of criticism for going for a field goal in the 4th quarter on a 4th-and-one play on the one-yard line — an attempt that was missed — rather than going for the potential game-tying touchdown. While he deserves all the heat for that decision, it demonstrated his confidence in his defense since he assumed his offense would get the ball back again. The former Michigan State defensive coordinator is overseeing a defensive unit this year that is allowing only 19.0 PPG along with just 303.7 total YPG — and that number drops to 261.0 total YPG in their two games at home. The Panthers have played 4 straight home games Under the Total — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. But a troubling observation about this team is that they have not scored an offensive touchdown in the second half of their last six games.
FINAL TAKE: Pitt has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total as an underdog. They will be looking to avenge a 45-13 loss at UFC last season as a 13.5-point dog. The Total of that game was in the 65.5 range — expect another lower scoring game in this one. 25* CFB Television Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Central Florida Knights (319) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-20-19 |
Utah v. USC OVER 52.5 |
Top |
23-30 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah Utes (305) and the USC Trojans (306). THE SITUATION: Utah (3-0) has won their first three games this season after their 31-0 shutout win over Idaho State last week as a 36.5-point favorite. USC (2-1) looks to bounce-back from their 30-27 upset loss at BYU in overtime last Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Utes have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Utah has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. The Utes have scored at least 30 points in all three of their games this season in what have been all easy victories by at least 18 points. The ceiling is higher for this Utah offense led by senior quarterback Tyler Huntley and senior running back Zack Moss. Those two helped the Utes score at last 40 points in four straight games during a stretch last year before they both suffered season-ending injuries. Moss has rushed for 371 yards in his three career contests against the Trojans. Huntley is completing 78% of his passes behind an offensive line that has not allowed a sack this year. Huntley has also not thrown an interception. This offense should put up plenty of points against a suspect USC defense that allowed BYU to generate 430 yards last week. The talent at the defensive line has declined under head coach Clay Helton’s tenure — and the secondary had no returning starters from last year along with eight newcomers at cornerback in the fall. Greg Johnson was the only cornerback on the roster with starting experience but he is listed as questionable as he goes through the concussion protocol. And the Trojans’ best defensive lineman, Christian Rector, is listed as questionable with an undisclosed injury after not playing last week. The USC defense struggled against dual-threat QB Jorge Reyna to open the season so Huntley is poised to have a big night. Utah has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 13 of their last 19 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. USC has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Trojans did generate 452 yards against the Cougars defense in that loss with freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis completing 24 of 34 passes for 281 yards. Slovis did throw three interceptions in that game — and USC has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a game where they committed at least three turnovers. The Trojans have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. This team is left with Slovis being under center after sophomore Jack Sears entered the transfer portal window after losing the starting gig to J.T. Daniels who then suffered a season-ending knee injury in that opening game against Fresno State. Slovis demonstrated he can operate the new Air Raid offense under head coach Graham Harrell in his first start two weeks ago as he passed for 377 yards three touchdown passes against Stanford. Additionally, the Over is 21-9-2 in the Trojans’ last 32 home games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight contests against each other Over the Total. USC will be feisty to win this game — but they may not be able to keep up with the Utah offense. Expect a higher scoring game. 25* CFB Friday FS1-TV Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Utah Utes (305) and the USC Trojans (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-19-19 |
Houston v. Tulane UNDER 58 |
Top |
31-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (313) and the Tulane Green Wave (314). THE SITUATION: Houston (1-2) looks to bounce-back from a 31-24 loss to Washington State last Friday played on a neutral field at NRG Stadium. Tulane (2-1) comes off a 58-6 blowout win at home over Missouri State last Saturday as a 31.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars are allowing 32.6 PPG along with 506.0 total YPG in their first three games this season — but two of those games were against two of the most potent offenses in the nation in the Cougars and Oklahoma. I have actually been a bit encouraged by the play of this unit that returned only four starters. An influx of six junior college transfers has helped new defensive coordinator Joe Cauthen begin to stabilize this unit. Houston has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. The bigger concern for the Cougars has been integrating senior quarterback D’Eriq King into the first-year head coach Dana Holgorsen’s version of the Air Raid offense. Houston is averaging only 146 passing YPG this season (which includes a cupcake game against Prairie Valley A&M) which is 120th in the nation. King is completing only 54.5% of his passes which is almost a 10% decline from last season. King passed for just 128 yards last week against Washington State — and the Cougars have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not passing for more than 170 yards in their last game. Houston did rush for 239 yards last week — they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. The Cougars are averaging 239 rushing YPG this season with an incredibly consistent output of 241, 236, and 239 rushing yards this season — so expect more of the same from this team with the added benefit of a ground game moving the clock and keeping the Green Wave offense off the field. The Under is 7-3-1 in Houston’s last 11 games in the month of September. Tulane has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Green Wave held the Tigers last week to just 182 yards of offense — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Tulane defense has played well this season — they limited Auburn to 379 total yards which include a mere 207 yards in the air so their ability to limit the Cougars passing attack is pretty good. On offense, senior quarterback Justin McMillan has passed for only 424 yards in his three games with just two touchdown passes. The Green Wave have played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Tulane rushed for 298 yards in that contest last week — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 275 yards in their last contest. Furthermore, the Green Wave have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of September — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total at home.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight games Under the Total after Houston’s 48-17 victory last season fell Under the 68 point Total. The Cougars offense is still working out some kinks this year — expect a lower scoring contest. 25* CFB Thursday ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (313) and the Tulane Green Wave (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-14-19 |
Kansas State v. Mississippi State UNDER 52 |
|
31-24 |
Loss |
-117 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (111) and the Mississippi State Bulldogs (112). THE SITUATION: Kansas State (2-0) looks to build off their 52-0 victory over Bowling Green last Saturday as a 25-point favorite. Mississippi State (2-0) has also won their first two games of the season after defeating Southern Mississippi last week by a 16.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Kansas State has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Wildcats have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Most of those team trends were under the watch of their legendary head coach Bill Snyder who retired after last season. First-year head coach Chris Klieman takes over the program after winning four FCS national championships in five seasons at North Dakota State. Ordinarily, I ignore team trends when new head coaches take over — but Klieman is continuing Snyder’s philosophy of winning through defense and running the football. Kansas State has averaged controlling the football for 42 minutes per game in their first two contests — and keeping the opposing offense off the field while watching the clock move is a good formula for Unders. The Wildcats held the Falcons to just 140 yards of offense in their dominant win last week. Kansas State has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not giving up more than 20 points in their last contest. The Wildcats are averaging a whopping 347 rushing YPG in their first two games after generating 333 rushing yards against Bowling Green — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Additionally, Kansas State has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they had played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big 12. And in their last 8 games in the month of September, the Wildcats have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Mississippi State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Bulldogs have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Mississippi State defense was bound to take a step back this season after returning only four starters and losing three players to the first round of the NFL draft. They have held their first two opponents to 387 total YPG. But they have still played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Second-year head coach Joe Moorhead is dealing with injuries on his offense with quarterback Tommy Stevens having to leave last game with a shoulder injury and his offensive line having multiple players banged up. Stevens has been upgraded to probable for this game but the Penn State transfer may not be at full strength. Moorhead will likely look to run the ball as well with his offense averaging 235 rushing YPG after gaining 210 yards on the ground last week. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Mississippi State stays home for this game where they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bulldogs have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Mississippi State won the meeting between these two teams last year by a 31-10 score on the road in Manhattan. Expect this game to become a battle of Time of Possession with both head coaches looking to protect their defenses by trying to keep them fresh. 10* CFB Kansas State-Mississippi State O/U ESPN Special with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (111) and the Mississippi State Bulldogs (112). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-14-19 |
Ohio State v. Indiana OVER 59 |
Top |
51-10 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (109) and the Indiana Hoosiers (110). THE SITUATION: Ohio State (2-0) enters this game coming off their dominant 42-0 shutout victory over Cincinnati last Saturday as a 14.5-point favorite. Indiana (2-0) is also undefeated so far this season after they crushed Eastern Illinois last week by a 52-0 score.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Buckeyes offense generated 508 yards of offense against what had been considered a stout Cincinnati defense last week. Sophomore quarterback Justin Fields has fit right into first-year teach coach Jason Day’s offense. The transfer from Georgia has passed for 561 yards in his first two games while throwing nine touchdowns and zero interceptions. He also added 42 yards on the ground last week against the Bearcats while finding the end zone two times in displaying in his dual-threat capabilities. The Over is 3-0-1 in Ohio State’s last 4 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Buckeyes also flexed their muscles on defense by holding Cincinnati to just 273 yards of offense. But this Ohio State defense has regressed as of late. They allowed 25.5 PPG last year which was the highest number they have allowed since 1999 while placing them a mediocre tied for 51st in the nation. Even worse, the 403.4 total YPG that the Buckeyes allowed last year was the most they have allowed in 50 years. Nine starters return from that unit that is now operating under new defensive coordinators in Jeff Hafley and Greg Mattison who was poached from Michigan to help with recruiting given his knowledge of the midwest as well as his Super Bowl ring coordinating the Ray Lewis Baltimore Ravens over a decade ago. Frankly, there has been a drop off in recruiting over the years at linebacker and defensive back. So while the Buckeyes held the Bearcats to just 273 yards of offense last week, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Ohio State has also played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Buckeyes have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road. And in their last 5 games played on field turf, the Over is 3-1-1. Indiana has also been impressive on offense after gaining 555 yards last week against Eastern Illinois. The Hoosiers have then played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Indiana will push the tempo against Ohio State with the hopes of tiring out their athletes on defense. They averaged one play per 22.8 seconds last season which was the 20th fastest tempo in the FBS last year. The third-year head coach has quarterback talent at his disposal with junior Peyton Ramsey back after making all twelve starts last season along with freshman Jack Tuttle who was a four-star recruit who transferred from Utah. But Allen and offensive coordinator Kalen DeBoer decided on freshman Michael Penix, Jr. to be their starter given his strong arm and dual-threat running capabilities. He played in three games last year before suffering a season-ending injury that allowed him to redshirt the season. All three quarterbacks played last week but it will likely be Penix under center for this game with Ramsey possibly getting in the game as a change of pace or in mop-up work. The Hoosiers only allowed 116 yards last week to that FCS opponent so let's take that with a grain of salt. Indiana has played 15 of their last 17 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game — and they have also played 25 of their last 32 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. The Hoosiers returned seven starters on defense but it was from a group that allowed their opponents to average +28 YPG above their offensive YPG season average last season which was 93rd worst in the nation. Indiana has played 5 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. They also have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in Big Ten play.
FINAL TAKE: Ohio State won last year’s meeting by a 49-26 score as a 27.5-point favorite in Columbus. While Indiana may need garbage time to do it, I do expect them to approach that 26 scoring figure at home this season in what looks like a more dynamic offense. But the Buckeyes will likely reach 40 points in this one — and the Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams when playing in Bloomington. With Indiana playing at a fast tempo and Ohio State happy to take the extra possessions, expect a higher scoring game. 25* CFB Fox-TV Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (109) and the Indiana Hoosiers (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-07-19 |
Tulane v. Auburn UNDER 52 |
Top |
6-24 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tulane Green Wave (371) and the Auburn Tigers (372). THE SITUATION: Tulane (1-0) enters this game looking to build off their 42-14 win over Florida International as a 3-point favorite back on August 29th. Auburn (1-0) eked out a 27-21 win over Oregon as a 4-point favorite last Saturday against Oregon.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Freshman quarterback Bo Nix was shaky in his collegiate debut — he completed only 13 of 31 passes for 177 yards. Head coach Gus Malzahn kept the playbook limited with his freshman with the team doing little to stretch the field against a Ducks defense that is certainly not elite. While I expect Nix to get more of the playbook tonight, it is telling that Malzahn did not feel comfortable in his quarterback to start airing the ball out — even when they were trailing for most of that game with Oregon. But perhaps that is because he had complete confidence in his defense that returned seven starters including an outstanding defensive line from a unit that ranked 14th in the nation last year by holding their opponents to just 19.2 PPG. The Tigers held the Ducks with their Heisman Trophy candidate in quarterback Justin Herbert to just 332 yards of offense in that victory. Moving forward, Auburn has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Now the Tigers return home from that game played in the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total. Auburn has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of September after last week’s game fell below the 55.5 point Total. Furthermore, the Under is 18-7-2 in the Tigers’ last 27 games against teams outside the SEC — and the Under is 20-8-1 in their last 29 games against teams with a winning record. Tulane has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with eight days of rest and preparation. The Green Wave generated 545 yards of offense against the Golden Panthers under senior quarterback Justin McMillan. Tulane has then played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game — and they have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after generating at least 450 yards in their last game. The Green Wave gained 350 of those yards on the ground as they flexed their muscles in controlling the line of scrimmage — and this will likely be the strategy in pulling this upset. Tulane plays at a fast tempo under new offensive coordinator Will Hall — but running the football still shortens the game with the clock continually moving. The Green Wave have played 5 of their last 5 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 275 yards in their last game. Tulane has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total as the underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Tulane has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams outside the American Athletic Conference — and they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams from the SEC. 25* CFB ESPN2 Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Tulane Green Wave (371) and the Auburn Tigers (372). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-02-19 |
Notre Dame v. Louisville OVER 54.5 |
Top |
35-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (217) and the Louisville Cardinals (218). THE SITUATION: Notre Dame (0-0) returns thirteen starters from the team that lost to Clemson in the National Semifinals by a 30-3 score. Louisville (0-0) has sixteen starters back from last year’s dumpster fire that limped to a 2-10 season record.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Fighting Irish return seven starters with an offense that might be the most potent in head coach Brian Kelly’s ten years with the program. Kelly’s decision to elevate Ian Book to be his starting quarterback despite a 3-0 start to the season was inspired as the team averaged 36.6 PPG in his eight starts. The move to Book gave the Notre Dame offense a legitimate passing threat that they have not had in years to balance their strong rushing attack. Book threw at least two touchdown passes in all eight of his regular-season starts. While the Irish are dealing with injuries to junior wide receiver Michael Young and junior tight end Cole Kmet, the Irish have depth at the running back and wide receiver skill positions. The offense also has the benefit of four returning starters on offense. However, the Notre Dame defense is likely to take a step or two back with the loss of three key members of last year’s unit that have moved on to the NFL. The middle of the defense appears vulnerable with the Irish replacing two good defensive tackles along with two good linebackers — that level of the defense is now inexperienced and lacking in depth. And while Notre Dame has two great safeties in seniors Jalen Elliott and Alohi Gilman, it will be tough to replace the elite cover cornerback Julian Love who bypassed his senior year to go to the NFL. The Fighting Irish have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total when laying 14.5 to 21 points. Notre Dame has also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total with the number set in the 49.5 to 56 point range — and this includes them playing four of their last five games on the road Over the Total with the number set in that range. Louisville cannot help but be better on defense this season after they ranked 122nd in the nation by allowing 483.6 total YPG. While ten starters return from that group, new head coach Scott Satterfield and his defensive coordinator at Appalachian State, Bryan Brown, have a major rebuilding task to clean up the hot mess that Bobby Petrino left behind after being fired late in the season. The Cardinals surrendered at least 52 points in each of their last five games — so it will likely be a long road back for this group. Louisville’s improvement should happen faster on the offensive side of the football under Satterfield who emphasized more running in the spread offensive attacks as the head coach at Appalachian State. Satterfield has tapped junior quarterback Jawon Pass to be his starter with a simplified playbook from the 2007 NFL playbook Petrino was still relying on from his year with the Atlanta Falcons. Satterfield will likely also give reps to Malik Cunningham who led the team in rushing last year and can better execute the rushing attack under center. The Cardinals have played 4 of their last 5 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing on field turf. Louisville has also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total as an underdog — and this includes them playing four of their last five home games Over the Total as the dog. And in their last 22 games as an underdog getting 10.5 to 21 points, the Cardinals have played 14 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Louisville averaged just 19.8 PPG last year (tied for 121s in the nation) while Notre Dame surrendered just 18.2 PPG (13th in the nation). Look for the Cardinals to score at least 20 points tonight with their offense improved and the Irish defense losing three players to the NFL. With the Irish a favorite approaching 20 points, Louisville scoring 20 points should put this game way Over the number given the number the Notre Dame is likely to put up in this game. 25* CFB ESPN Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (217) and the Louisville Cardinals (218). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-01-19 |
Houston v. Oklahoma UNDER 81 |
Top |
31-49 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (215) and the Oklahoma Sooners (216). THE SITUATION: Houston (0-0) returns twelve starters from a team that finished 8-5 after suffering a humiliating 70-14 loss to Army in the Armed Forces Bowl. Oklahoma (0-0) has twelve starters back from the group that lost to Alabama in the College Football Playoff Semifinals by a 45-34 score.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Sooners led the nation last year by averaging 48.4 PPG along with generating 570.3 total YPG. After seeing their offense improve their numbers in each of the last four seasons, the Regression Gods were likely to make a visit to Norman this year. But with Jalen Hurts the new starting quarterback for this team after his transfer from Alabama. Hurts has outstanding leadership skills as he led (the uber-talented) Crimson Tide to a 24-2 record as a starter. But Hurts does not have the same talent as Tua Tagovailoa nor Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray who have been the two Heisman Trophy winners that Oklahoma head coach Lincoln Riley has had at his disposal over the last two years. In four playoff game appearances, Hurts completed just 43% of his passes for the Tide while averaging just 3.7 Yards-Per-Attempt. There is a reason he was benched at halftime of the 2017 National Championship game against Georgia. The Sooners are also almost completely rebuilding their offensive line with four starters from last year departed to play in the NFL. Mayfield had the benefit of five returning starters on the offensive line two years with Murray having three returning starters last year. Hurts is not getting the same good opening hand as his two predecessors at Oklahoma. Even if the Sooners just reach their 48.4 PPG scoring mark from last year in this game, the Under should still be in pretty good shape with them being 23 or so point favorites against the Cougars. Of course, the Oklahoma defense was a mess last year as they ranked last in the Big 12 by allowing 33.3 PPG along with 453.8 total YPG. This unit can probably not help but improve under new defensive coordinator Alex Grinch who oversaw a very good defense in a previous stint at Washington State. Grinch has installed a new “positionless” scheme that emphasizes aggressiveness and play-making. This may be a better fit than the staler ideas of previous coordinate Mike Stoops. The Sooners’ secondary should be better with three juniors returning as starters who have received a baptism by fire last year. Houston will be installing a new offensive Air Raid scheme under new head coach Dana Holgorsen. The Cougars are happy to have a fully-healthy D’Eriq King back under center after he suffered a season-ending injury in mid-November. But this is an offense that Oklahoma is very familiar with given its deployment by many of the teams in the Big 12. Houston also had defensive issues last season after allowing 37.2 PPG along with 496.4 total YPG. That unit was ravaged by injuries — they allowed a more manageable 28.0 PPG in their first six games before their depleted unit surrendered 45.0 PPG in their final seven games. This defense will have something to prove after their embarrassing effort against Army in their bowl game where the team had checked out on head coach Major Applewhite. Holgorsen has proclaimed that playing good defense is a “high priority” for him — he has hired a good defensive coordinator in Joe Cauthen whose attacking style running the defense at Arkansas State led to 146 sacks over the last four seasons. Holgorsen has added six junior college transfers to improve the talent of this group led by cornerback Damarion Williams who was a junior college All-American last year. The Cougars have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total in the first half of the regular season. Houston has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams from the Big 12.
FINAL TAKE: With the Total eclipsing the 80 point mark in some spots, it will take a high level of offensive production of both teams to reach the Over. Don’t be surprised if both of these potent offenses make some execution mistakes in this opening game. This logic helps to inform a historical angle supporting the Under that has been 75% effective since 1992. In games in the first two weeks of the season with the Total set at 63 or higher between two teams from major 1-A conferences, when at least one of the teams returns a starting quarterback from the previous season, the game finished Under the Total in 40 of these last 53 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CFB ABC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (215) and the Oklahoma Sooners (216). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-31-19 |
Ball State v. Indiana UNDER 61.5 |
Top |
24-34 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (169) and the Indiana Hoosiers (170). THE SITUATION: Ball State (0-0) returns seventeen starters from their team that finished 4-8 last season. Indiana (0-0) returns fourteen starters from last year’s 5-7 team. This game will be played on a neutral field at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cardinals were hit hard by transfers in the offseason with six players leaving the program. The offense lost two incumbent starters from last year in senior quarterback Riley Neal who transferred to Vanderbilt and senior running back James Gilbert who moved to Kansas State. There is an argument to be had that perhaps both these players were going to lose their jobs this season. On the other hand, Neal had started 32 games for Ball State while throwing for 7393 yards and 46 touchdown passes while Gilbert rushed for 2806 yards in his career with the program — and that was good enough to entice two football programs in Power Five conferences. Ball State was just 102nd in the FBS last year by scoring just 4.2 points per trip inside the 40-yard line. Any improvements on offense will likely not materialize right away. As it is, the Cardinals have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the first month of the season. I do expect to see significant improvements from the Ball State defense that returns nine starters. This is the second year for this unit playing in a 3-4 formation. This move worked for the first seven games last year under defensive coordinator David Elson as they hold those first seven opponents to just 23.9 PPG. But injuries eventually took their toll as the Cardinals allowed their last five opponents to score 44.4 PPG as their lack of depth was exposed. Back at full health and with better depth from the experiences from last season, Ball State should be much improved in the second year playing in the 3-4 look. They return seventeen players who registered at teals ten tackles last year. The Cardinals have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams outside the Mid-American Conference — and they have also played 5 straight games Under the Total against Big Ten foes. Ball State has also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. Indiana has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big Ten. The Hoosiers defense regressed last year with only three returning starters — they allowed 423.8 total YPG which was 83.7 YPG more than what they surrendered in 2017 when they ranked 27th in the nation in total defense. Don’t be surprised if this unit approaches those strong defensive numbers from two years ago with seven starters back along with eight of their top eleven tacklers from last year. Tom Allen feels confident enough with this group that he promoted linebackers coach Kane Wommack to defensive coordinator to free up his time focus exclusively with his head coaching duties. Allen has already made a big move by tapping redshirt freshman Michael Penix as the starting quarterback to replace returning starter Peyton Ramsey. Penix has a better runner with a stronger arm — but with this team playing in a new system under first-year offensive coordinator Kalen DeBoer, it might take some time for this unit to gel. The Hoosiers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when favored by 10.5 to 21 points. They also have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total with the number set in the 56.5 to 63 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Indiana won last year’s rivalry game between these two schools by a 38-10 score with that result falling well short of the 62.5 point Total. These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total. 25* College Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (169) and the Indiana Hoosiers (170). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-07-19 |
Alabama v. Clemson OVER 57.5 |
Top |
16-44 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (151) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (152). THE SITUATION: Clemson (14-0) reached the National Championship Game two Saturdays ago with their dominant 30-3 win over Notre Dame as a 10.5-point favorite. Alabama (14-0) later matched that effort in the nightcap of the College Football Playoff Semifinals with their 45-34 victory against Oklahoma as a 14.5-point favorite. These two teams play for the National Championship in Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Both these teams have top-five scoring offenses and defenses — but I think both teams’ offenses seem a little of their defense and the urgency of this contest should eventually push the scoring Over the Total. Alabama is second in the nation by scoring 47.7 PPG while ranking fourth in the FBS by averaging 527.6 total YPG. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa competed 24 of 27 passes against the Sooners defense last week for 318 yards with four touchdown passes to lead the Crimson Tide to victory. The Over is 19-9-1 in Alabama’s last 29 games after they pass for at least 280 yards in their last game. This dynamic passing attack is a new wrinkle for a Nick Saban Crimson Tide team as they rank 6th in the nation by averaging 325.6 passing YPG. While Bama has sported elite wide receivers who have found great success in the NFL, Saban may have recruited his most diverse set of receiver targets for this season’s offense. They should exploit a vulnerable Clemson secondary that was torched for 430 passing yards by Texas A&M and 510 passing yards by South Carolina. Alabama has played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral field when favored — and they have played eleven of their last sixteen bowl games Over the Total including six of their last seven major bowl games played in January. The Tide have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams outside the SEC. Furthermore, Alabama has played 7 straight games Over the Total with the number set in the 56.5 to 63 points range. But the Crimson Tide displayed some weaknesses in their defense again Oklahoma by allowing 471 yards of offense. The Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Bama secondary was a question mark for this team entering the season with them losing their top six defensive backs from last year’s depth chart. Alabama allowed the Sooners to pass for 308 yards after Georgia passed for 301 yards in their last two games. Dabo Swinney made the move at quarterback early in the season to prepare freshman Trevor Lawrence for this potential rematch because of his strong arm. The 6’5 gunslinger completed 27 of 39 passes against the Fighting Irish for 327 yards with three touchdowns. He leads an offense that has averaged 567.0 total YPG over their last three games. Overall, Clemson ranks 4th in the nation by averaging 44.3 PPG while generating 530.4 total YPG which ranks 3rd in the FBS. The Tigers have only allowed 13 combined points over their last two games — but they have then played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 9 points in their last game while also playing 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not giving up more than 14 points in two straight games. Furthermore, the Tigers have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. And in their last 5 games played in the month of January, the Tigers have played 4 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: This is the fourth straight season that these two teams have met in the College Football Playoffs. Alabama won the first game by a 45-40 score before Clemson won the rematch in January 2017 in a 35-31 contest. The Tide won in last year’s Semifinals in a defensive contest with Clemson using Kelly Bryant at quarterback in a 24-6 result. Expect the fourth chapter of this series to resemble the first two in it being a high-scoring shootout. 25* College Football Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (151) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (152). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-01-19 |
Texas v. Georgia UNDER 60 |
|
28-21 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 8:45 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (277) and the Georgia Bulldogs (278). THE SITUATION: Texas (9-4) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on December 1st with their 39-27 loss to Oklahoma as a 9.5-point underdog in the Big 12 Championship Game. Georgia (11-2) looks to bounce-back from their heartbreaking 35-28 loss to Alabama as an 11-point underdog in the SEC Championship Game. These two teams meet in a consolation prize in New Orleans in the Sugar Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Georgia generated 454 yards in that loss to the Crimson Tide — and they have seen the Under go 4-1-2 in their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. And while the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in five of their last six games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Georgia plays outstanding defense as they rank 14th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 18.5 PPG and limiting them to only 311.2 total YPG. The Bulldogs’ pass defense is particularly stout as they hold their opponents to only 180.5 passing YPG which is 12th best in the country. Texas may struggle to move the football as they relied heavily on their passing attack. The Longhorns averaged 264.5 passing YPG which ranked 33rd in the nation — and they often went to the pass because they average only 3.8 Yards-Per-Carry when running the football. Georgia has played three straight games Over the Total — but they have then played 7 straight games on the road Under the Total after playing at least three straight Overs. And in their last 10 bowl games, the Bulldogs have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Texas has played three straight games Under the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after playing an Under while they have also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. The Longhorns have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while Texas surrendered 508 yards to the Sooners in that game, they have then played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. Despite that game with Oklahoma, the Longhorns have played better on the defensive side of the football where they have held their last three opponents to just 22.0 PPG along with only 338.0 total YPG. This is a team that has played 31 of their last 42 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, Texas has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog on a neutral field getting 7.5 to 14 points. The Longhorns have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in bowl games.
FINAL TAKE: Both these teams are run-first oriented teams. With the Total in the high-50s approaching 60, expect a lower-scoring contest. 10* CFB New Year’s Day Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (277) and the Georgia Bulldogs (278). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-01-19 |
Washington v. Ohio State UNDER 56 |
|
23-28 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 5:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Huskies (275) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (276). THE SITUATION: Washington (10-3) has won four straight games after they defeated Utah by a 10-3 score back on November 30th in the Pac-12 Championship Game where they were 4.5-point favorites. Ohio State (12-1) has won five straight games after they defeated Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship Game on December 1st by a 45-24 score as a 16.5-point favorite. These two teams meet in Pasadena in the Rose Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Huskies have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Washington held the Utes to just a 188 yards of offense in that contest — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Huskies are one of the best defensive teams in the nation as they hold their opponents to just 15.4 PPG which is 4th best in the nation while also holding these foes to only 301.8 total YPG which is 10th best in the country. This defense travels as they only allow 16.0 PPG when on the road along with just 307.0 total YPG. And in their last three contests, Washington is allowing only 13.7 PPG along with just 262.7 total YPG. But the Huskies offense has held them back this season — they are scoring only 20.4 PPG when away from home while averaging just 381.0 total YPG which is over 30 YPG less than their season average. Washington has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when facing a team with a winning record. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral field, the Huskies have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Ohio State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. The Buckeyes generated 525 yards of offense against the Wildcats’ defense — but they have then played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after gaining at least 525 yards in their last game. Many bettors will take the Over based on the explosiveness of the Ohio State offense that ranks second in the nation by averaging 548.8 total YPG. The 62 points they put on Michigan was certainly impressive. But the Wolverines suffered some key injuries to a few of the best players on their defense in that game — and the unwillingness of their defensive coordinator to not get out of man coverage facilitated the Buckeyes’ ability to continually burn the Michigan secondary. Washington has perhaps the best secondary in the country and plays a base nickel scheme which should mitigate the advantages Ohio State enjoyed in their big rivalry game. The Buckeyes defense underperformed all season as well — the talent that team has on defense is much better than the 25.7 PPG they allowed suggests. Ohio State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after their bye week. The Buckeyes have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Ohio State’s defense should play better with the extra weeks of preparation against a specific offense. Washington allowed more than 24 points only once this season. 20* CFB Washington-Ohio State ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Huskies (275) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-01-19 |
LSU v. Central Florida UNDER 58.5 |
Top |
40-32 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 1:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the LSU Tigers (273) and the Central Florida Knights (274). THE SITUATION: LSU (9-3) saw their two-game winning streak snapped in their final regular season game with their 74-72 loss in overtime at Texas A&M as a 3-point underdog back on November 24th. Central Florida (12-0) won the American Athletic Conference Championship Game to remain unbeaten over the last two seasons with their 56-41 win over Memphis as a 1-point favorite on December 1st. These two teams meet in Phoenix for the Fiesta Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: LSU has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Under is 5-2-2 in the Tigers’ last 9 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game — and they have played 18 of their last 25 road games after a game where at least a combined 60 points were scored. The LSU defense was once again one of the best units in the nation as they ranked 24th in the nation by allowing only 20.9 PPG and they also ranked 29th in the FBS by giving up just 346.1 total YPG. Even with that multiple overtime game against the Aggies, the Tigers only allowed 311.7 total YPG over their last three games. Their secondary will be without their two starting cornerbacks with Greedy Williams taking the game off to prepare for the NFL draft and Kristian Fulton dealing with a foot injury. But LSU always has talent at the cornerback position — and the Tigers coaching staff has had a month to develop the next players up on the depth chart. LSU has played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing with at least two weeks between games. The Tigers outstanding defensive line will help alleviate some of the pressure that the Knights wide receivers will offer to their secondary. LSU has played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total as the favorite. The Tigers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field — and they have played 5 of their last 7 bowl games Under the Total. Central Florida has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Knights have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a game where they scored at least 40 points — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after scoring at least 50 points. And while UCF generated a whopping 698 yards of offense against the Memphis defense, they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. But the Knights surrendered 583 yards to the Memphis offense with 401 yards being on the ground. UCF has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after giving up at least 275 rushing yards in their last contest. The Knights have had a bend but not break defense that has allowed only 21.3 PPG which is 25th best in the nation. UCF has covered the point spread in five of their last six games — but they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Knights’ freshman quarterback, Darriel Mack, accounted well for himself to win the AAC Championship by completing 19 of 27 passes for 348 yards while adding another 59 yards on the ground. But facing the Memphis Tigers defense is not nearly the same as facing the LSU Tigers defense with their NFL talent they put on the field. Expect the freshman to struggle against the advanced schemes LSU will throw at the rookie in just his second start of the season after he took over for the injured McKenzie Milton. The big question for this game is how this Group of Five team will handle the significant step up in competition against an elite Power-Five Conference opponent. This year’s UCF team faced only one top-25 statistical defense in Cincinnati (who just surrendered 31 points to a mediocre Virginia Tech offense). Tellingly, the Knights have seen the Under go 8-0-1 in their last 9 games against fellow SEC opponents.
FINAL TAKE: LSU will commit to running the football to control the line of scrimmage and keep the explosive UCF offense off the field. That dynamic should help contribute to this being a lower-scoring game. 25* CFB New Year’s Six Bowl Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the LSU Tigers (273) and the Central Florida Knights (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-31-18 |
NC State v. Texas A&M OVER 56.5 |
Top |
13-52 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (267) and the Texas A&M Aggies (268). NC State (9-3) has won three straight games with their 58-3 win over East Carolina back on December 1st as a 24.5-point favorite. Texas A&M (8-4) has also won three straight games with their 74-72 win in multiple overtimes against LSU as a 3-point favorite back on November 24th. These two teams meet in Jacksonville for the Taxslayer Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: NC State has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Led by senior quarterback Ryan Finley, the Wolfpack offense scores 35.6 PPG while averaging 471.3 total YPG — those numbers rank 20th and 15th best in the nation. Over their last three games, this offense was clicking on all cylinders by scoring 48.0 PPG while averaging 526.7 total YPG. Finley will be without wide receiver Kelvin Harmon who is skipping this game to avoid injury prior to the NFL draft but he still has a host of other weapons including a 1000-yard receiver in Jakobi Meyers. He will be using this game to build his own NFL draft resume — and he should feast off an Aggies secondary that ranked 111th in the nation by allowing 262.7 passing YPG. Opposing quarterbacks completed 61% of their passes against the Texas A&M defense while throwing 25 touchdown passes to just 5 interceptions. But the Wolfpack defense will likely struggle to slow down the Aggies’ offense. In their five games on the road, NC State surrendered 30.0 PPG while allowing those opponents to average 439.2 total YPG. Their defense will be without their best player and top tackler in linebacker Germaine Pratt who is also bypassing this game for NFL prep. This is a defense that was torched by opposing quarterbacks as they ranked 120th in the nation by allowing 271.2 passing YPG. The Over is 11-4-1 in the Wolfpack’s last 16 games against non-conference opponents. NC State has also played 6 straight bowl games Over the Total — and they have played 8 straight games Over the Total when playing on a neutral field. The Wolfpack have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing as an underdog on a neutral field. Texas A&M has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Aggies have also played 4 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after allowing at least 42 points in their last game. Texas A&M has their own dynamic quarterback in Kellen Mond who threw 23 touchdown passes while leading an offense that scored 34.7 PPG (26th in the nation) and averaged 465.8 total YPG (19th in the FBS). The Aggies have played 4 of their last 5 bowl games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams outside the SEC.
FINAL TAKE: NC State and Texas A&M have run defense that rank 13th and 2nd in the nation respectively — so don’t be surprised if the running games are abandoned for more passing. More passing means more possessions which helps our Over play. This shapes up to be a wild high-scoring affair. 25* CFB Bailout Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (267) and the Texas A&M Aggies (268). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-29-18 |
Oklahoma v. Alabama OVER 78.5 |
Top |
34-45 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (253) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (254). THE SITUATION: Notre Dame (12-0) closed out their perfect regular season with their 24-17 win at USC as a 13.5-point favorite back on November 24th. Clemson (13-0) won the ACC Championship Game on December 1st with their 42-10 win against Pittsburgh as a 27-point favorite. These two teams meet in Dallas’ AT&T Stadium in the Cotton Bowl which serves as a proxy for the College Football Semifinals.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Sooners have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Oklahoma generated 508 yards in that contest with the Longhorns — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 405 yards in their last contest. The Sooners led the nation by scoring 49.5 PPG while also leading the FBS with an average of 577.9 total YPG. They also led the country by averaging +196 YPG above their opponent’s defensive YPG average this season. QB Kyle Murray fits the prototype of the quarterback that has given Nick Saban’s defense fits over the years with his dual-threat capabilities. He passed for over 4000 yards while averaging 11.9 Yards-Per-Passing attempt. The Heisman Trophy winner rushed for 943 yards with 642 of those yards accounted for from designed running plays where he averaged 7.2 Yards-Per-Carry. Texas A&M’s QB Kellen Mond rushed for 129 yards against the Bama defense with 92 of those yards coming from designed plays earlier this season. But the bigger defensive concerns below to the Sooners. Oklahoma allows 32.4 PPG which is 96th in the nation along with 448.1 total YPG which is 108th in the nation. Over their last three games, the team has not improved as they have surrendered 41.0 PPG along with an incredible 555.0 total YPG. In their six games on the road this year, the Sooners have given up 472.8 YPG. The team’s lack of competent safeties has consistently burned them all season — they rank 129th in the nation by giving up 291.4 passing YPG. This team allowed their opponents to average +31 YPG above their season average. Oklahoma has paled 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams outside the Big 12. Alabama’s defense looked vulnerable against a Georgia team that generated 454 yards against them. The Crimson Tide have seen the Over go 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Tide are the second-best scoring team in the nation by putting up 47.9 PPG — and they rank 5th in the nation by averaging 527.6 total YPG. When Alabama plays outside Tuscaloosa, they see their offensive production rise to them scoring 50.0 PPG while averaging 533.0 total YPG. This team averaged +155 YPG more than what their opponents allowed on average this season which was the third-best mark in the nation. The Crimson Tide have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams outside the SEC. Alabama has also played 11 of their last 15 bowl games Over the Total — and they have seen the Over go 20-5-2 in their last 27 games played on a neutral field.
FINAL TAKE: The Total set is at Big 12 level heights in the high-70s which is not uncommon for Oklahoma games. Alabama has a better offense than what the Sooners have seen all season. The pressure to continue scoring creates a self-fulfilling prophecy — expect a wild high-scoring game. 10* CFB Oklahoma-Alabama ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (253) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (254). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-29-18 |
Notre Dame v. Clemson UNDER 58 |
Top |
3-30 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (255) and the Clemson Tigers (256). THE SITUATION: Notre Dame (12-0) closed out their perfect regular season with their 24-17 win at USC as a 13.5-point favorite back on November 24th. Clemson (13-0) won the ACC Championship Game on December 1st with their 42-10 win against Pittsburgh as a 27-point favorite. These two teams meet in Dallas’ AT&T Stadium in the Cotton Bowl which serves as a proxy for the College Football Semifinals.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Tigers have won three straight games by at least three touchdowns — and they have played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total after winning at least their last two games by 21 points. They also have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Clemson once again boasts an outstanding defense that ranks 2nd in the nation by allowing 13.7 PPG while also ranking 3rd in the FBS by only giving up 276.7 total YPG. Those defensive numbers drop to 12.8 PPG and 252.0 YPG allowed in their six games played away from home. The Tigers are going to make things very difficult for this Irish offense. Clemson leads the nation by pressuring the quarterback in 45.8% of opponent passing plays. They also rank tops in the country by limiting opposing rushers to just 0.9 Yards-Per-Carry before delivering the first hit on the runner. Notre Dame has relied on clean holes from their offensive line as they average 2.5 Yards-Per-Carry before their rusher is hit which ranks 37th in the nation. While the Clemson will be without defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence for this game as he was suspended for this contest for positive PED test, their defensive line is loaded with talent and depth. This group should be even more ferocious with the extra rest and preparation — and this team has played 29 of their last 41 games Under the Total when playing with two or more weeks of rest. The Tigers do have a dynamic offense that became more powerful when freshman Trevor Lawrence took over under center early in the season. Clemson has scored 98 points over their last two games — but they have played 15 of their last 17 games Under the Total after scoring at least 42 points in two straight games. The Tigers have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Clemson has also played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total in bowl games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. Notre Dame has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while they generated 473 yards of offense against the Trojans defense, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. The Irish surrendered 349 passing yards in that game with USC — but they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Notre Dame is an outstanding defensive team that ranked 10th in the nation by allowing only 17.3 PPG — and they also ranked 20th in the FBS by giving up just 331.5 total YPG. This team has not allowed an opponent to score more than 27 points all season. The key to their efforts has been to minimize big plays — they gave up only five plays that accounted for more than 40 yards this season. They also have a stout run defense that limits their opponents to just 3.7 Yards-Per-Carry. The Fighting Irish have played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. Notre Dame has also played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total as an underdog giving 10.5 to 21 points.
FINAL TAKE: This is a matchup between two similar teams that employ run-first offenses that help to protect talented but inexperienced quarterbacks — and both teams like to rely on their strong defensive units. Expect this to be a lower-scoring game. 25* CFB Playoff Semifinals Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (255) and the Clemson Tigers (256). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-28-18 |
Auburn v. Purdue UNDER 57 |
Top |
63-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 1:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (241) and the Purdue Boilermakers (242). THE SITUATION: Auburn (7-5) has lost two of their last three games with their 52-21 loss at Alabama as a 25.5-point underdog back on November 24th. Purdue (6-6) snapped their two-game losing streak on that November 24th with their 28-21 victory at Indiana as a 3-point favorite. These two teams meeting in Nashville in the Music City Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Auburn has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Under is also 19-6-2 in their last 27 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Tigers have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by at least three touchdowns. The Auburn defense was humiliated by the arch-rivals in the Iron Bowl as they surrendered 500 yards of offense in their loss to Alabama. While most of the attention has since been on the Tigers offense that saw their offensive coordinator in Chip Lindsey leave for the same job at Kansas, the Tigers defense has much to prove in this game. The Under is 4-0-1 in Auburn’s last 5 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game — and they have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after surrendering at least 450 yards in their last game. The Tigers had not given up more than 30 points in one game all season before their showdown with the Crimson Tide — they still enter this bowl game ranked 18th in the nation by allowing only 19.6 PPG. There is plenty of talent on the defensive side of the football, particularly on the defensive line. Head coach Gus Malzahn takes over the play-calling once again with Lindsey defection but I do not see this leading to a transcendent difference in the play of their offense. This will be junior QB Jarrett Stidham’s last collegiate game before he makes himself available for the NFL draft but he oversaw an underperforming offense that scored just 18.4 PPG — almost 10 PPG below their season average — in their five games played on the road. The history of this team suggests this will be a lower-scoring game than expected. Auburn has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when priced in the +/- 3-point range — and the Under is 15-4-2 in their last 21 games against teams outside the SEC. The Under is also 6-0-2 in the Tigers’ last 8 games played on a neutral field — and the Under is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Purdue has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Senior QB David Blough passed for 310 yards in their last win over the Hoosiers to end the season — but the Boilermakers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Purdue has only committed one turnover in three straight games — but they have then played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not committing more than one turnover in their last game. Some observers are expecting a big offensive output from this team with head coach Jeff Brohm staying with the program after turning down overtures from Louisville where he oversaw huge offensive numbers as their quarterback. The Boilermakers put up 49 points against Ohio State in their upset win over the Buckeyes this season — but that was against a mess of an OSU defense that was not responding to coaching and basic fundamentals at that point of the season. This same offense scored only 13 points at Michigan State and a mere 10 points at Minnesota. Over their last three games, Purdue has averaged just 378.3 total YPG. This offense will likely struggle against the size and speed of the Auburn defensive line. Lastly, the Boilermakers have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after playing a conference rival.
FINAL TAKE: While both these teams have intriguing offensive head coaches, expect this bowl game to be a lower-scoring game this afternoon. 25* CFB Bowl Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (241) and the Purdue Boilermakers (242). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-27-18 |
Vanderbilt v. Baylor UNDER 57 |
|
38-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (239) and the Baylor Bears (240). THE SITUATION: Vanderbilt (6-6) has won three of their last four games with their 38-13 win over Tennessee as a 3.5-point favorite back on November 24th. Baylor (6-6) snapped their two-game winning streak on November 24th with their 35-24 upset win at Texas Tech as a 6-point underdog. These two teams meeting at Houston’s NRG Stadium in the Texas Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Vanderbilt has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Commodores held the Volunteers to just 242 yards of offense in that game — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Vandy has held their last two opponents to just 121 and 103 rushing yards — and they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 125 rushing yards in two straight games. But offense remains an issue for this team that scores just 22.0 PPG when playing away from their home in Nashville. The Commodores are bottom-ten in the nation with a Red Zone scoring percentage of just 74.5%. That is far below the national average of scoring at least a field goal in 83.9% of Red Zone opportunities. Baylor is not much better with a Red Zone scoring percentage of 75.5%. The Bears are scoring just 19.3 PPG over their last three contests. With their star tight end Jalen Hurd skipping this bowl game to prepare for the NFL draft, Baylor will now be missing one of their best weapons on offense. But the Bears defense has steadily improved this season as they have held their last three opponents to just 22.7 PPG along with only 337.7 total YPG. Baylor has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bears have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of December — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points.
FINAL TAKE: In a game between two teams that struggle to take advantage of their Red Zone opportunities, expect at least one of these teams to struggle to score points. 20* CFB Vanderbilt-Baylor ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (239) and the Baylor Bears (240). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-22-18 |
Buffalo v. Troy OVER 49.5 |
Top |
32-42 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (225) and the Troy Trojans (226). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (10-3) has lost two of their last three games with their 3-29 upset loss to Northern Illinois in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game as a 3-point favorite back on November 30th. Troy (9-3) looks to bounce-back from a 21-10 loss at Appalachian State back on November 24th as a 12-point underdog. These two teams meet in Mobile, Alabama for the Dollar General Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Buffalo has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a narrow loss by just 3 points or less against a conference rival — and the Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. This Bulls team has a balanced offense that averages 195.8 rushing YPG (44th in the nation) and 221.6 passing YPG (73rd in the FBS) to produce an offense that ranks 24th in the nation by scoring 34.8 PPG. But stopping opposing offenses can be an issue for this team after they allowed a Northern Illinois offense that has been rather meek this season to generate 409 yards of offense. 300 of those yards were in the air in that game — and Buffalo has played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Over their last three games, the Bulls are allowing 420.0 total YPG which is over 70 YPG more than their defensive average for the season. Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against non-conference opponents — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Bulls have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with more than two weeks between games — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. Troy has played 19 of their last 26 road games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 14 of their last 19 road games Over the Total after a loss on the road where they covered the point spread as an underdog. The Trojans have a good defense that ranks 23rd in the FBS by allowing just 21.2 PPG. But Troy has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 38 of their last 55 games Over the Total against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference. Furthermore, the Trojans have played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total in expected close games where they were listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, Troy has played 7 straight games Over the Total played on a neutral field — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total in bowl games.
FINAL TAKE: Troy lost their starting quarterback, Kaleb Barker, to a season-ending ACL injury in the middle of the year — so the extra few weeks of practice and repetitions should really help sophomore QB Sawyer Smith. Boise State, UL-Monroe, Georgia State and South Alabama all had success moving the football against the Trojans defense. This should be a competitive game which should help push the Total over the number. 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (225) and the Troy Trojans (226). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-22-18 |
Houston v. Army UNDER 57.5 |
|
14-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (223) and the Army West Point Black Knights (224). THE SITUATION: Houston (8-4) has lost three of their last four games with their 52-31 loss at Memphis as a 9.5-point underdog back on November 23rd. Army (10-2) has won eight straight games after their 17-10 win over Navy two Saturdays ago as a 7-point favorite. These two teams face off in Fort Worth, Texas in the Armed Forces Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Cougars are dealing with a host on injuries on both sides of the ball. The most significant issue on offense is the season-ending injury to their dynamic starting quarterback D’Eriq King. With his backup Quinten Dormady out the door in a likely transfer to Central Michigan, the starter for this game falls on the shoulders of freshman Clayton Tune. In his first career start against Memphis, Tune completed only 18 of 43 passes for 256 yards while not offering much of a rushing threat as he gained just 12 yards on 13 carries on the ground. Tune is completing just 44.7% of his 85 pass attempts this season — and his top two wide receiver targets are listed as questionable. Tune will struggle against the fundamentally sound Black Knights’ defense that ranks 9th in the nation by allowing only 293.5 total YPG. Over their last three games, Army is allowing just 12.3 PPG along with only 206.0 total YPG. The bigger concern for the Cougars is their defense that ranks 124th in the FBS by allowing 488.5 total YPG. But those are tempo-free numbers that are exacerbated by the fact that Houston’s fast pace offense places them 129th in the nation by averaging just 25:04 minutes per game. The Cougars allowing 5.71 Yards-Per-Play which ranks 74th in the nation — and is just a smidge below the 5.72 YPP defensive average for this Army team that protects their defense by leading the nation by averaging 38:51 minutes per game. Houston allowed 610 yards against the Tigers in their last game with 401 of those yards coming on the ground. But the Cougars have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have also played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after giving up at least 300 rushing yards in their last contest. And to stay consistent with tempo-free numbers, while Houston allowed Memphis to average 6.63 Yards-Per-Play on their whopping 93 plays on offense in that last game, they have then played 31 of their last 44 games after allowing their last opponent to average at least 6.25 YPP. The Cougars have faced a spread triple option offense already as Navy torched them for 344 rushing yards — and now their defensive line is without future NFL star Ed Oliver who is bypassing playing in this game along with two other starters who are injured. But the extra weeks of practice for this offense as well as the experience of that game with the Midshipmen will help immensely. Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with at least one bye week between games. Army has played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Black Knights have also played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 22 games played on a neutral field, Army has played 17 of these games Under the Total. And staying true to tempo-free stats, their defense has improved as of late by allowing just 4.5 Yards-Per-Play over their last three games.
FINAL TAKE: I am passing on the side on this game (lean Army) — but the best betting proposition for this game is the Under given the high Total that is undervaluing the quality of the Cougars defense. Houston will struggle to fully execute their aggressive up-tempo offense with the freshman under center which will allow Army to control the Time of Possession. While I am not sure that leads them to cover the point spread, the fewer offensive possessions should ensure an Under. 10* CFB Houston-Army ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (223) and the Army West Point Black Knights (224). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-22-18 |
Wake Forest v. Memphis OVER 72 |
|
37-34 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (221) and the Memphis Tigers (222). THE SITUATION: Wake Forest (6-6) became bowl eligible by winning two of their final three games after their 59-7 upset win at Duke as a 9.5-point underdog on November 24th. Memphis (8-5) saw their four-game winning snapped in the Conference USA Championship Game with their 56-41 loss to Central Florida back on December 1st where they were 1-point underdogs. These two teams meet in Alabama for the Birmingham Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Memphis has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. The Tigers have covered the point spread in four of their last five games — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five contests. The offense took a hit with their star running back Darrell Henderson opting out of this game to avoid injury before making himself available for the NFL draft. But this Memphis offense still has Patrick Taylor and Tony Pollard in the backfield who combined to rush for 1455 yards with 20 touchdowns. The Tigers will be able to move the ball against this Demon Deacons defense that ranked 116th in the nation by allowing 465.3 total YPG. But Memphis has struggled to stop opposing offenses as well as they rank 92nd in the nation by giving up 31.5 PPG — and they gave up 40.3 PPG along with 513.0 Yards-Per-Game in their six games away from home. Central Florida generated 698 yards against them — and Memphis has played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Tigers have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Furthermore, Memphis has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams outside the American Athletic Conference — and they have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total in the month of December. The Tigers have also played 30 of their last 46 games Over the Total in expected high-scoring games with the Total set at least at 63. Wake Forest has a powerful offense as well as they rank 31st in the nation by averaging 443.2 total YPG — and that number rises to 492.0 YPG along with 36.4 PPG in their five games on the road.
|
12-21-18 |
BYU v. Western Michigan UNDER 52 |
|
49-18 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 4:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Western Michigan Broncos (220) plus the points versus the BYU Cougars (219). THE SITUATION: Western Michigan (7-5) enters the postseason coming off a 28-21 upset win over Northern Illinois as a 6.5-point underdog back on November 20th. BYU (6-6) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on November 24th with their 35-27 loss at Utah as a 10.5-point underdog. These two teams travel to Boise, Idaho for the Potato Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRONCOS PLUS THE POINTS: Western Michigan has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a win at home. And while some teams may suffer an emotional letdown after an upset victory, I suspect that victory for this Broncos team will be galvanizing for them. Second-year head coach Tim Lester fired his defensive coordinator before that game against the Huskies and the result was his defense played their best game of the season by only allowing 262 yards of offense. Western Michigan has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Broncos have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after an upset victory as a home underdog — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after pulling an upset over a conference rival. Western Michigan dominated that Northern Illinois team that then went on to upset Buffalo in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game as they out-gained them by +137 net yards. The Broncos have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after out-gaining their last opponent by at least +125 yards. The extra weeks of bowl practice should help in the continued development of freshman quarterback Kaleb Eleby who has started the last three games for the injured Jon Wassink. Eleby completed 19 of 35 passes for 285 yards against a stout Huskies defense — and he is completing 64.5% of his passes this season. Western Michigan has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games after passing for at least 285 yards in their last game. And in their last 17 games on the road after losing three of their last four games, the Broncos have covered the point spread in 14 of these contests. BYU has questionable motivation issues after blowing a 20-0 halftime lead against their in-state rivals to close out the season. Losing that game cost the Cougars a more attractive bowl site — now they travel north to bland Boise to play a team not representing a Power Five conference. This BYU team has a host of distractions as well with some players out getting married with others out due to injuries and a number of players taking exams while on this trip. The Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a bye week. They also have a freshman at quarterback with Zach Wilson starting the last six games for the team when he was tapped by head coach Kalani Sitake to take over as the starter. BYU relies on their defense as they grind out games with an offense dedicated to running the ball and winning the battle at the line of scrimmage. While that is a consistent way to be successful and stay competitive in all their games, it is not a reliable way to cover double-digit point spreads. The Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight bowl games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games played on a neutral field. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-24 ATS combined angle for this situation.
FINAL TAKE: This is the first bowl game for Western Michigan under head coach Lester after they were one of the few teams passed over despite having six wins last season. They should be motivated to make a statement in this game to close out their season. BYU has higher expectations as an independent team modeling their program as the Notre Dame of the west. BYU’s defense may be the difference in this game — but they are laying way too many points as a double-digit favorite. 10* CFB BYU-Western Michigan ESPN Special with the Western Michigan Broncos (220) plus the points versus the BYU Cougars (219). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-20-18 |
Marshall v. South Florida UNDER 52 |
Top |
38-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Gasparilla Bowl between the Marshall Thundering Herd (215) and the South Florida Bulls (216). THE SITUATION: Marshall (8-4) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on December 1st with their 41-20 loss at Virginia Tech as a 3.5-point underdog. South Florida (7-5) has lost five straight games after their 38-10 loss to Central Florida as a 16.5-point favorite back on November 23rd. With this bowl game being moved from St. Petersburg to Raymond James Stadium on Tampa Bay, the Bulls playing in their home stadium for this bowl game.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 21-9-1 in South Florida’s last 31 games after a straight-up loss. The Bulls have also played 12 of their last 15 home games Under the Total after a loss by at least 17 points — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total after a loss by at least four touchdowns. Furthermore, not only has South Florida played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after suffering three straight losses to conference rivals but they have also played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. The big question for this team is whether or not junior quarterback Blake Barnett will be able to take the field in this game. The former Alabama QB injured his ankle two games ago which kept him out of that final game with UCF. Barnett is officially listed as questionable for this contest and while he has taken off his walking boot this week, there is little other indication that he is actually ready to play in this game. I suspect that second-year head coach Charlie Strong will not risk further injury to his likely incumbent starter who has not practiced for this game and who will not be at 100%. But even if he plays, he will be running an offense that has scored only 16.7 PPG over their last three contests while wavering only 296.0 total YPG over that span. South Florida will lean on their rushing attack that averaged 202.5 rushing YPG which was 34th best in the nation. But running the ball will be difficult against this Thundering Herd defense that ranks 10th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 105.3 rushing YPG — and they limit opposing rushers to just a 2.98 Yards-Per-Carry. The Bulls only managed to pass for 113 yards against Central Florida in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 14 games at home Under the Total after a game where they failed to pass for at least 125 yards. South Florida has also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing at home. Marshall has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 17 points. The Thundering Herd allowed the Hokies to average 7.09 Yards-Per-Play in their last game — but they have then played 25 of their last 36 games Under the Total after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. Head coach Doc Holliday should see his defense rebound with a better game tonight as they rank 23rd in the nation by allowing just 336.9 total YPG while also ranking tied for 29th in the FBS by giving up only 22.0 PPG. Marshall did not force any Virginia Tech turnovers in their last game — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after not forcing a turnover in their last game. Furthermore, the Thundering Herd have played 7 of their last 11 road games Under the Total when favored by no more than 3 points. And in their last 7 bowl games, Marshall has played 5 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The challenges for the South Florida offense increased when their offensive coordinator, Sterlin Gilbert, left for the McNeese State head coaching job during bowl prep. Strong has tapped Justin Blake to be his interim play-caller despite his lack of experience with those duties. With the Total set in the low-50s, expect this to be a lower-scoring game. 25* CFB Thursday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Gasparilla Bowl between the Marshall Thundering Herd (215) and the South Florida Bulls (216). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-08-18 |
Navy v. Army UNDER 41 |
Top |
10-17 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Navy Midshipmen (103) and the Army West Point Black Knights (104). THE SITUATION: Navy (3-9) enters their rivalry game coming off a 29-28 loss at Tulane as a 5-point underdog back on November 24th. Army (9-2) has won seven straight games with their 28-24 win over Colgate as an 11-point favorite back on November 17th.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: These two teams have played 10 straight Unders — and there are a few fundamental reasons why that is the case. For starters, both teams run similar spread triple options — so the usual advantage that these teams enjoy during the regular season with facing opponents that are not as familiar with their unique offenses are gone in this matchup. Both these defenses practice against this offense every day. Second, both teams have extra weeks to prepare their defenses for the particular nuances of their opponent’s offense. In theory, this extra time could also be used to add a few wrinkles to the offenses. However, in practice, both these teams lack the personnel to all of the sudden start running the West Coast Offense (for example). Now, we cannot simply be zombies and automatically take the Under in each Army-Navy game. This year’s Total has dropped to the 40 point range which is the lowest number over those last ten encounters. Eventually, the Over will be the appropriate play. But when considering that five of the last six meetings between these two teams have not seen more than 38 combined points scored, I am still very comfortable taking the Under in this game. Army should slow down the Midshipmen rushing attack as they rank 12th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 106.5 rushing YPG. The Black Knights have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total in the month of December. Furthermore, Army has played 21 of their last 26 games Under the Total when playing with a bye week — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing on grass. Navy has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total in the month of December. Additionally, the Midshipmen have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. Navy only scores 21.7 PPG when playing away from home — and they average just 310.4 total YPG on the road. Lastly, the Midshipmen have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points.
FINAL TAKE: Expect another low-scoring game between these two teams in cold temperatures (but no snow) with Philadelphia forecasting to have their temp in the 30s. 25* CFB Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Navy Midshipmen (103) and the Army West Point Black Knights (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-01-18 |
Clemson v. Pittsburgh UNDER 54 |
|
42-10 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (320) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (319). THE SITUATION: Clemson (12-0) remained undefeated last week with their 56-35 win over South Carolina as a 25.5-point favorite. Pittsburgh (7-5) saw their four-game winning streak snapped with their 24-3 loss at Miami as a 6-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Tigers played their worst defensive season of the year last week against the Gamecocks as they allowed 600 yards of offense. 510 of those passing yards were in the air — but the Under is 3-0-1 in Clemson’s last 4 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. That game flew way over the 58.5 point total — and the Tigers have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Head coach Dabo Swinney will be demanding better play out of his defense the still ranks 7th in the nation by allowing 283.2 total YPG — and that unit ranks 4th in the FBS by giving up only 14.0 PPG. This defense played even better when they play away from home as they are allowing only 13.4 PPG along with just 262.6 total YPG on the road. But who many points with this powerful Clemson offense put up tonight as they approach being four-touchdown favorites after generating an incredible 744 yards of offense last week. Some insight to that question is that the Tigers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Additionally, the Tigers have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of December. Pittsburgh has seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is also 7-2-1 in their last 10 gamers after a point spread loss. The Under is also 14-6-1 in their last 21 games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Panthers are run-dependent as they rank 17th in the nation by averaging 232.7 rushing YPG. But they will be running into one of the best defensive lines in the nation as Clemson ranks 2nd in the country by giving up only 84.8 rushing YPG. That will force the Panthers to rely on the passing arm of sophomore quarterback Kenny Pickett — but he is overseeing an offense that ranks 120th in the nation by averaging 153.4 passing YPG. Pitt has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Clemson has held six of their twelve opponents to 10 points or less this season. With the Panthers being so one-dimensional, it is difficult seeing them score many points tonight. 10* CFB Clemson-Pittsburgh ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (320) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (319). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-01-18 |
UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State UNDER 58 |
Top |
19-30 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (313) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (314). THE SITUATION: UL-Lafayette (7-5) reached the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game with their 31-28 upset win at UL-Monroe last Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. Appalachian State (9-2) has won four games in a row with their 21-10 win over Troy last week as a 12-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mountaineers have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a double-digit win over a conference rival. Appalachian State held the Trojans to just 223 yards of offense while winning the rushing battle by a decisive 139 net yards. The Mountaineers have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after out-rushing their last opponent by at least 125 yards. Appalachian State’s spread option offensive attack defines the program — but that aspect of their game should not distract from the outstanding defense that head coach Scott Satterfield has overseen in his sixth year with the program. Five starters returned to a defense that was tied for 21st in the nation by holding their opponents to just 20.2 PPG — and they also ranked 29th in total defense by allowing only 342.5 total YPG. This year’s unit has been even better as they rank 5th in the nation by allowing just 15.4 PPG — and they also rank 4th in the FBS by giving up only 278.2 total YPG. The Mountaineers are even stingier playing at home where they give up only 11.6 PPG along with just 271.4 total YPG — and over their last three games, this group is allowing a mere 11.3 PPG along with 259.7 total YPG. Appalachian State has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total with the number set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. UL-Lafayette raced out to a 24-21 halftime lead against the Warhawks last week before hanging out to win by a 31-28 score. The Ragin’ Cajuns have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win by 3 points or less — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after scoring at least 24 points in the first-half of their last contest. UL-Lafayette has scored at least 31 points in three straight games — but they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 31 points in three straight games. Furthermore, the Ragin Cajuns have seen the Under go 17-8-1 in their last 26 games in Sun Belt Conference play — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of December. This championship game is a rematch of the October 20th meeting between these two teams that the Mountaineers won by a 27-17 score in their Kidd Brewer Stadium. The Ragin’ Cajuns did a pretty good job of slowing down the Appalachian State offense as they generated only 364 total yards which were over 118 yards below their season offensive average when playing at home. UL-Lafayette has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss on the road to their opponent.
FINAL TAKE: The Ragin Cajuns should play even better on defense in this rematch with the benefit of their experience facing this offensive scheme in October. UL-Lafayette ranks 104th in the nation by allowing 443.3 total YPG but they have allowed over -45 YPG less than that over their last three games. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. 25* CFB Conference Championships Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (313) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-30-18 |
Utah v. Washington UNDER 45 |
Top |
3-10 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Utes (305) and the Washington Huskies (306). THE SITUATION: Utah (9-3) has won three straight games with their 35-27 win over BYU last Saturday as a 10.5-point favorite. Washington (9-3) has also won three in a row after they upset Washington State on the road last Friday as a 2.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Huskies have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Washington held the powerful Cougars offense to only 237 total yards in an outstanding defensive effort — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Huskies were one of my dark horse candidates to win the National Championship this season in large part because they returned nine starters from a stout group that was 5th in the nation by allowing only 16.1 PPG while ranking 8th in the FBS by holding their opponents to just 298.8 total YPG. This year’s defense ranks 8th in the FBS by allowing 16.5 PPG while also ranking 13th in the nation by limiting their opponents to 311.3 total YPG — so this group has only a slight decline in their outstanding numbers. What has held this Washington team back has been a disappointing offense that is scoring only 28.0 PPG (tied for 75th in the nation) after averaging 36.2 PPG last season with quarterback Jake Browning and running back Myles Gaskin as juniors. The offensive line has taken a step back this season with the unit suffering a big loss with the season-ending injury to senior left tackle Trey Adams who was projected as a potential top-ten pick in the NFL draft. The Huskies did generate 487 yards against the Cougars last week — but they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. The formula for success for head coach Chris Petersen’s team is winning the war in the trenches. They have out-rushed their last three opponents by at least 100 yards — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after out-rushing their last three opponents by at least 100 yards. Washington has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 7 of their 10 games Under the Total as the favorite. Utah has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road after a victory on their home field. Furthermore, the Utes have played 20 of their last 28 road games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. Utah only gained 296 yards of offense against the Cougars but benefited from a 27-yard interception that they returned for a touchdown. The Utes have an elite defense that allows only 19.3 PPG (17th in the nation) — and they rank 15th in the FBS by only allowing 315.8 total YPG. Utah has the nation’s 5th best rushing defense that holds their opponents to only 100.3 rushing YPG — led by defensive line coach Gary Andersen who was a steal of a hire by head coach Kyle Whittingham after his stint at Oregon State soured last season. This is a rematch of the Huskies’ 21-7 victory over the Utes back on September 15th. Utah had junior Tyler Huntley under center for that game along with junior Zack Moss in their backfield — but both leaders on offense have since suffered season-ending injuries. For this rematch, the Utes will be using redshirt freshman Jason Shelley under center. While he has played well, he is likely a step back from Huntley who led an offense that only generated 261 yards with the one score. The defense did limit the Huskies to just 327 yards in that initial game — and I expect another gritty defensive performance. Utah has played 31 of their last 48 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.
FINAL TAKE: Utah knows they cannot get into a high-scoring affair with the Huskies given the injuries they have suffered on offense. This Washington team only scores 22.2 PPG in their six games away from home — so this game shapes up to be a low-scoring contest. 25* CFB Pac-12 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Utes (305) and the Washington Huskies (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-24-18 |
UAB v. Middle Tennessee State UNDER 52 |
Top |
3-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (189) and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (190). THE SITUATION: UAB (9-2) looks to bounce-back from a 41-20 loss at Texas A&M last Saturday as a 17-point underdog. Middle Tennessee (7-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped with their step up in class against a team from the SEC last week in their 34-23 loss at Kentucky as a 16.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Don’t blame the Blue Raiders defense for their loss to the Wildcats as they held Kentucky to just 324 yards of offense. A -2 net turnover margin played a critical role in deciding that game. The Under is 7-1-1 in Middle Tennessee’s last 9 games after a straight-up loss. The Blue Raiders surrendered 203 rushing yards to Kentucky in that game — but the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Senior quarterback Brent Stockstill did pass for 293 yards in that game — but the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last contest. Now Middle Tennessee returns home where they are allowing only 21.0 PPG which is 6.2 PPG lower than their season average. The Under is 8-1-1 in the Blue Raiders’ last 10 games at home — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Middle Tennessee has also played 9 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 49.5 to 52 point range. UAB has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. This team did surrender 41 points to the Aggies last week — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. UAB holds their home hosts to just 19.0 PPG along with only 294.2 total YPG when playing on the road. But the Blazers see their 31.9 PPG scoring margin for the season drop to just 26.6 PPG when playing away home. UAB has played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Blazers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total against fellow Conference USA opponents.
FINAL TAKE: UAB has clinched a spot in the Conference USA championship game next week — and they could face this Blue Raiders team again next week if they lose this game while FIU loses at Marshall (as now a home dog). The Blazers may hold back a trick or two on offense because of this possibility. UAB won last year’s game by a 25-23 score with that total set in the 55.5 range. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* CFB Conference USA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (189) and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (190). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-17-18 |
Iowa State v. Texas UNDER 50 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Iowa State Cyclones (417) and the Texas Longhorns (418). THE SITUATION: Iowa State (6-3) has won five straight games with their 28-14 win over Baylor last week as a 17-point favorite. Texas (7-3) snapped their two-game losing streak last Saturday with their 41-34 win at Texas Tech as a 2-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Longhorns have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 21 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Quarterback Shane Ehlinger did pass for 312 yards in a winning effort last week — but Texas has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last contest. The Longhorns has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after gaining at least 40 points in their last game. And while Texas allowed 595 yards of offense to the Longhorns last week, they have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. Texas returns home to Austin to where they are allowing only 22.0 PPG. The Longhorns have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total at home — and the Under is also 19-6-1 in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Texas has also played a decisive 29 of their last 40 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Iowa State has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Cyclones won that game despite gaining only 357 yards of offense in that contest. They did surrender 505 yards to the Bears — but they have then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Iowa State allows only 20.4 PPG which is 22nd best in the nation — and that number drops to just an 18.7 PPG make when they are playing on the road. But the Cyclones also only score 23.0 PPG on the road while generating a mere 311.2 total YPG. Iowa State has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams played to a 17-7 score in Ames last season with that Total set at 62. With this year’s battle back in Austin where these two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total, expect another low scoring game. 25* CFB Big 12 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Iowa State Cyclones (417) and the Texas Longhorns (418). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-10-18 |
Maryland v. Indiana OVER 54.5 |
Top |
32-34 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (145) and the Indiana Hoosiers (146). THE SITUATION: Maryland (5-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 24-3 loss to Michigan State last week as a 3-point underdog. Indiana (4-5) has lost four games in a row with their 38-31 upset loss at Minnesota as a 2.5-point favorite two weeks ago.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: It has been feast or famine for the Terrapins on offense this season as they have scored 63 points against Illinois, 42 points against Minnesota and 34 points against Rutgers but managed only a field goal overall against Iowa and the Spartans. Perhaps the three touchdowns that Maryland scored against the mighty Michigan defense is the best line on their offensive resume. The Terrapins caught an angry Sparty last week that was embarrassed by the Wolverines in East Lansing the previous week. But Maryland has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Terrapins managed only 100 yards of offense against Michigan State — but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after failing to generate at least 275 yards in their last contest and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last contest. Now Maryland goes back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 10 road games as an underdog getting no more than a field goal, the Terrapins have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Indiana has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a bye week. The Hoosiers surrendered 308 passing yards in that game — and the Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Indiana has scored 59 points over their last two games after they put up 28 points against Penn State. The Hoosiers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Both these teams are fighting to become bowl eligible — and this level of desperation between mid-level teams can create high-scoring contests. Maryland upset Indiana last year by a 42-39 score as a +6.5-point underdog last season with the Total set in the 53.5 range. Expect another high-scoring affair. 25* CFB Big Ten Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (145) and the Indiana Hoosiers (146). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-07-18 |
Toledo v. Northern Illinois UNDER 55.5 |
Top |
15-38 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (103) and the Northern Illinois Huskies (104). THE SITUATION: Toledo (5-4) has won two straight games with their 45-13 win over Ball State last Wednesday as a 19.5-point favorite. Northern Illinois (6-3) has won five straight games with their 36-26 win at Akron as a 6-point favorite last Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets scored one of their touchdowns by recovering a fumble in the end zone — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while they generated 531 yards of offense in that game, they have played 17 of their last 23 road games Under the Total after gaining at least 525 yards in their last game. Toledo rushed for 204 yards in that game against the Cardinals last week — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The team will likely continue to commit to establishing their ground game with junior quarterback Mitchell Guadagni likely out for this game with a shoulder injury. Sophomore Eli Peters will get his third start tonight — but he is struggling in the passing game as he is completing only 53.7% of his passes. Protecting Peters will also be an issue tonight as the Rockets have allowed 21 sacks this season — and the Huskies have compiled 32 QB sacks this season. Toledo has steadily improved on defense as they are allowing only 22.7 PPG over their last three games. They have also held their last three opponents to just 118.7 rushing YPG which is more than 50 YPG below their season average rush defense. The Under is 25-12-1 in the Rockets’ last 38 games against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total in the month of November. Northern Illinois generated 484 yards of offense in their win over the Zips — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Now the Huskies return home where they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Northern Illinois has also played 10 of their last 13 home games Under the Total as a favorite laying no more than 7 points. The Huskies are led by their defense that ranks 29th in the nation by allowing only 21.7 PPG. That number drops to just 18.0 PPG when they are playing at home — and they have allowed only 17.7 PPG over their last three games while holding those opponents to just 327.7 total YPG. Northern Illinois thrives in stopping the run as they rank 13th in the nation by allowing only 103.8 rushing YPG. The Huskies limited Akron to just 35 rushing yards last week — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. But this Northern Illinois team struggles to create offensive as they rank 123rd in the FBS by scoring 19.2 PPG while also ranking 125th in the nation by generating only 309.4 total YPG. Only 139.1 of those yards come from their passing game which ranks 121st in the nation — yet they are only averaging 3.8 Yards-Per-Carry from their rushing attack. Playing at home has not helped this offense either as they are scoring only 18.0 PPG along with just 304.0 total YPG. The Huskies have played 4 straight games Under the Total in the month of November — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against MAC opponents.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played their last 6 meetings Under the Total — and the Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 encounters between these two teams when playing at Northern Illinois. Expect another low-scoring game between these two teams that face significant albeit different challenges on offense. 25* CFB Mid-American Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (103) and the Northern Illinois Huskies (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-01-18 |
Temple v. Central Florida UNDER 62 |
Top |
40-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Temple Owls (313) and the Central Florida Knights (314). THE SITUATION: Temple (5-3) has won three straight games with their 24-17 win in overtime versus an undefeated Cincinnati team back on October 20th by a 24-17 score as a -2.5-point favorite. Central Florida (7-0) looks to extend their 20-game winning streak coming off their 37-10 win at East Carolina back on October 20th as a -21.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Knights may receive most of their attention because they hold the nation’s longest winning streak in the nation. Their offense also gets plenty of attention since it ranks 5th in the nation in scoring (44.4 PPG) and 6th in the nation in total offense (537.1 total YPG). But the Central Florida defense is not getting enough credit as that unit also ranks 5th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 18.1. PPG. And back on their home field, the Knights see that number drop to just 17.5 PPG — and they are limiting their visitors to just 324.0 total YPG. Central Florida has played 8 of their last 12 home games Under the Total as a favorite laying 7.5 to 14 points. Additionally, the Knights have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. This team has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Furthermore, Central Florida has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a bye week. Their starting quarterback McKenzie Milton is listed as questionable with head coach Josh Heupel indicating he will be a game-time decision after missing their last game with the Pirates with an ankle injury. Redshirt freshman Darriel Mack struggled to pass the ball in his absence as he only accounted for 69 passing yards — but it looks like Milton will be cleared to play in this game tonight. Regardless, look for the Knights to commit to running the football as they rank 7th in the FBS by averaging 261 rushing YPG. UCF generated 316 yards on the ground without Milton under center which helped them outrush East Carolina by +226 yards. The Knights have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards — and they have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after outrushing their last opponent by at least +200 yards. Temple rushed for only 80 yards while giving the Bearcats their first loss of the season. They were without their star rusher, Ryquell Armstead, in that game — and he is questionable for this contest still with his ankle injury. Second-year head coach Geoff Collins is getting outstanding play out of his defense that has steadily improved this season much like last year. The Owls rank 23rd in the nation by holding their opponents to just 330.5 total YPG — and that number actually drops to a 300.7 total YPG mark when they are playing on the road. Over their last three games, Temple is holding their opponents to just 13.3 PPG along with only 263.7 total YPG. This strong play should continue as they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after winning at least three straight games. That game with Cincinnati finished Under the 47 point total, the Owls have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total following a game that finished Under the Total — and they have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. On offense, Temple is getting gritty but spotty play from their sophomore quarterback Anthony Russo who won the starting gig earlier this season but is completing only 56.5% of his passes while sporting a subpar 9:10 touchdown to interception ratio. The Owls will lean heavily on their outstanding pass defense that is 18th in the FBS with 24 sacks which has helped them rank 4th in the nation overall by allowing only 147.5 passing YPG.
FINAL TAKE: Because Milton has practiced this week, the Total has shot up to the 60 range after opening in the 56.6 range. Temple’s formula for defeating their second straight unbeaten opponent will be to slow down their offense and grind out a lower-scoring game. While the Owls may not have enough offensive firepower to pull out the upset, except their defense to keep them competitive while avoiding a shootout. 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Temple Owls (313) and the Central Florida Knights (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-27-18 |
NC State v. Syracuse UNDER 66 |
Top |
41-51 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (125) and the Syracuse Orange (126). THE SITUATION: NC State (5-1) suffered their first loss of the season last week with their 41-7 loss at Clemson as an +18.5-point underdog. Syracuse (5-2) enters this game coming off a 40-37 win in overtime over North Carolina as a -9.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wolfpack have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points in their last game. NC State managed only 297 yards of offense against the Tigers in that game — and they have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Wolfpack are scoring 28.7 PPG this season — but the number drops to just 22.0 PPG in their two games on the road so far this year. NC State has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on the road. The Wolfpack did allow 471 yards to Clemson in that first loss of the season — but not only have they then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game while also seeing the Under go 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. NC State does have a good defense that ranks 31st in the nation by allowing 20.8 PPG. Syracuse has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also seen the Under go 9-2-1 in their last 12 games after a point spread setback. The Orange did generate 546 yards of offense in that game that needed overtime to resolve — but they have then see the Under go 12-4-1 in their last 17 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Syracuse allowed 500 yards to the Tar Heels in that contest as well — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. The Orange stay at home where they are making it difficult for opponents to move the football. Syracuse is allowing only 18.7 PPG in four contests at home. The Under is 11-3-1 in the Orange’s last 15 games home — and this includes the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: This Total has risen to the high-60s in large part because of the fast pace that this Syracuse engages in under head coach Dino Babers’s up-tempo system. But the Wolfpack head coach Dave Doreen will be well aware of this dynamic and look to slow the game down when his team has the football. NC State won last year’s meeting with the Orange by a 33-25 score which fell well below the 62.5 total. That was the 5th game finish Under the Total in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. 25* CFB ACC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (125) and the Syracuse Orange (126). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-25-18 |
Appalachian State v. Georgia Southern UNDER 50.5 |
|
14-34 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (109) and the Georgia Southern (110). THE SITUATION: Appalachian State (5-1) has won five straight games with their 27-17 win over UL-Lafayette on Saturday by a 27-17 score as a -24.5-point favorite. Georgia Southern (6-1) has won four games in a row themselves after their 48-31 win at New Mexico State as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mountaineers have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after a double-digit win over a conference rival from the Sun Belt. They generated 258 yards on the ground in that win over the Ragin’s Cajuns — and they have then played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Appalachian State churns time off the clock which helps their outstanding defense stay fresh. The Mountaineers rank 8th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 294.8 total YPG — and they also rank 11th in the FBS by limiting their opponents to just 15.7 PPG. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Appalachian State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games played on a Thursday night, they have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Georgia Southern has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win —an they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. This team has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. The Eagles gained 389 rushing yards in that game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. This team will certainly look to run the ball again tonight to keep the Mountaineers’ offense the field. Georgia Southern is only allowing 19.3 PPG which ranks 24th in the nation. They return home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Eagles have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on a Thursday night.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight meetings Under the Total after Appalachian State won last year’s battle by a 27-6 score. Expect another lower-scoring game. 10* CFB Appalachian State-Georgia Southern ESPNU O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (109) and the Georgia Southern (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-23-18 |
Troy v. South Alabama UNDER 55.5 |
Top |
38-17 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (101) and the South Alabama Jaguars (102). THE SITUATION: Troy (5-2) enters this game coming off their 22-16 upset loss at Liberty back on October 13th as a 12-point favorite. South Alabama (2-5) looks to build off their 45-7 win over Alabama State as a 27.5-point favorite two Saturdays ago.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trojans have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. This team had a hole to fill at quarterback in the offseason with the graduation of a four-year starter in Brandon Silvers. Junior Kaleb Barker was the top quarterback on the depth chart — but he has suffered a season-ending ACL injury. That leaves head coach Neal Brown to should between sophomore Sawyer Smith and freshman Gunner Watson who have played against the Flames but combined to pass for just 160 yards. Troy has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last game. This team had to replace their top two running backs from last year in Jordan Chunn and Josh Anderson — top in line was junior Jamarius Henderson who averaged 7.9 Yards-Per-Carry last year but he has suspended indefinitely this season. That is a lot of attrition of offensive talent — and while the Trojans are scoring 33.7 PPG while averaging 413.6 total YPG, those numbers drop to 25.0 PPG along with just 338.3 total YPG in their three games on the road. Troy does hold their home hosts to just 22.7 PPG. The Under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games on the road — and this includes them playing four of their last five road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, the Trojans have played 17 of their last 23 road games Under the Total in the month of October — and the Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games in October overall. South Alabama has also experienced attrition at the quarterback position this season. The losses started in the spring when Dallas Davis left the program two days before the Spring Game. The senior had been the team’s starter in the previous two seasons. Fellow senior Cole Garvin was indefinitely suspended in mid-September leaving the team in the hands of senior Evan Orth who is leading an offense that is 113th in the nation by averaging just 343.0 total YPG. The Jaguars have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a bye week. South Alabama has held their three visiting teams to just 22.7 PPG along with only 343.7 total YPG. The Jaguars defense has not forced a turnover in their last two games — but they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a game where they did not force a turnover while also playing 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after not forcing at least one turnover in each of their last two games. Additionally, the Under is 5-2-1 in South Alabama’s last 8 games in the month of October.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. With both teams dealing with less than ideal quarterback situations and both coaching staffs having extra time to scheme and prepare for these respective offenses, expect a lower-scoring game. 25* CFB Sun Belt Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (101) and the South Alabama Jaguars (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-20-18 |
North Texas v. UAB UNDER 53.5 |
Top |
21-29 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Texas Mean Green (385) and the UAB Blazers (386). THE SITUATION: North Texas (6-1) has won two straight games coming off their 30-7 win over Southern Mississippi last Saturday as 7-point favorites. UAB (5-1) has won four in a row with their 42-0 shutout win at Rice last week as 17-point favorites.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blazers are playing outstanding defense — they have allowed only 14 combined points over their last three games. They held the Owls to just 186 yards last week — and they should continue their strong play on the defensive side of the football. UAB has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win of at least three touchdowns against a Conference USA rival. Now this team returns home where they are holding their guests to just 10.3 PPG along with only 265.3 total YPG. The Blazers have played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home field. Additionally, UAB has played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total in the month of October. And while the Blazers put up 42 points last week, they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. North Texas has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Mean Green also play stout defense as they rank 19th in the FBS by allowing only 17.6 PPG — and that number drops to just 16.0 PPG when they are playing on the road. UNT thrives in stopping the run as they rank 7th in the nation by allowing just 97.0 rushing YPG. They have allowed only 104 and 50 rushing yards respectively in each of their last two games — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 125 rushing yards in their last game. Additionally, the Mean Green have played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Toal after winning two straight games — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Lastly, UNT has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home.
FINAL TAKE: The number is posted in the low-50s for this game given the strong offenses both these teams have along with the memory of the 46-43 barn-burner between these two teams last season with the Mean Green pulled out. Both of these defenses are much improved this season — expect a lower scoring game. 25* CFB Conference USA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the North Texas Mean Green (385) and the UAB Blazers (386). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-13-18 |
Wyoming v. Fresno State UNDER 44.5 |
|
3-27 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (207) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (208). THE SITUATION: Wyoming (2-4) has lost two straight games after their 17-13 loss at Hawai’i last Saturday as a 1-point underdog. Fresno State (4-1) looks to build off their 21-3 victory in Nevada against the Wolf Pack last Saturday as a 16.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 8-1-1 in the Cowboys’ last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a point spread setback. Wyoming managed only 244 yards of offense against a suspect Hawai’i defense — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Despite having Josh Allen last year, the Cowboys averaged only 23.5 PPG (104th in the FBS) with just 286.0 total YPG (125th in the FBS) — and they are about the same this year under redshirt freshman QB Tyler Vander Waal as they are scoring 17.5 PPG (126th in the FBS) and averaging 292.5 total YPG (126th in the FBS) which is not an endorsement for the offensive line or skill position players with this program. The Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game. This Wyoming team does play stout defense when away from Laramie as they are holding their home hosts to just 21.3 PPG along wit 346.7 total YPG. The Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 12 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. Fresno State is playing outstanding defense this season as they rank 10th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 16.6 PPG. The Bulldogs have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit win over a conference rival. The Under is also 21-7-1 in Fresno State’s last 29 games after a straight-up victory — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Bulldogs are scoring 40.2 PPG this season but only managed 271 yards of offense last week in Reno with that game finishing far below the 58.5 point total. Fresno State has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Wyoming will struggle to score points against this stour Bulldogs defense. Fresno State should win this game comfortably in what should be a low scoring game. 10* CFB Saturday Late Show O/u Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (207) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (208). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-12-18 |
South Florida v. Tulsa UNDER 62 |
Top |
25-24 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls (109) and the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (110). THE SITUATION: South Florida (5-0) remained undefeated last Saturday with their 58-42 win at UMass as a 14-point favorite. Tulsa (1-4) has lost four straight games after their 41-26 loss at Houston last Thursday as a +17.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulls have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 31 points — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. South Florida got 302 rushing yards from Jordan Cronkite on just 23 carries in that game — and he will get the ball plenty in this game against a Golden Hurricanes run defense that is 110th in the FBS by allowing 207.4 rushing YPG. This should ensure a running clock for much of this game — the Bulls have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. South Florida surrendered 401 passing yards last week to the Minutemen — but they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 passing yards in their last contest. Second-year head coach Charlie Strong will want a better effort from his defense. South Florida has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after allowing at least 37 points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 42 points in their last contest. The Bulls stay on the road this week where the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Tulsa has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after two straight losses. The Golden Hurricanes are playing better than their record indicates — they are outgaining their opponents by +16.8 net YPG. But turnovers are doing this team in as they rank 124th in the FBS by averaging -1.4 net turnovers per game. Tulsa turned the ball over three times in their last to the Cougars — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after committing at least three turnovers in their last game. Fourth-year head coach Philip Montgomery is sitting on a scalding hot seat after this poor start — so he has decided to go young at quarterback by naming Seth Boomer his starter tonight in lieu of an injured Luke Skipper who has been dealing with back issues. The redshirt freshman played against Houston last week — but he lacks the mobility of Skipper and is completing only 41.9% of his passes. The Golden Hurricanes will likely lean heavily on their ground game tonight — especially with Shamari Brooks healthy again and able to join Corey Taylor at running back after he missed last week’s game. Running the football will also protect the Tulsa defense that surrendered 312 rushing yards last week. The Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 300 rushing yards in their last game. They allowed Houston to average 7.04 Yards-Per-Play in that game — but they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to average at least 6.25 YPP. Despite these recent numbers, this is an improved Golden Hurricanes defense. They are allowing 380.0 total YPG which ranks 68th in the nation — but this is significantly better than the 528.9 total YPG they allowed last season which was 127th in the FBS. Moving forward, Tulsa has played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against fellow American Athletic Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: I considered Tulsa closely in this situation as I expect South Florida to underperform— but with the new QB under center for the Golden Hurricanes, the Under is a stronger play. Both teams will commit to running the football which will help our Under play. 25* CFB Friday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls (109) and the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-06-18 |
Fresno State v. Nevada UNDER 59 |
Top |
21-3 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Fresno State Bulldogs (365) and the Nevada Wolf Pack (366). THE SITUATION: Fresno State (3-1) enters this game coming off a 49-29 win over Toledo last Saturday as a 10.5-point favorite. Nevada (3-2) looks to build off their 28-25 upset win at the Air Force as a 3.5-point underdog last week.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs have seen the Under go 20-7-1 in their last 28 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Fresno State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs generated 554 yards of offense in that victory over the Rockets — but they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Fresno State has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 40 points in their last game. The Bulldogs are scoring 45.0 PPG while averaging 439.7 total YPG this season — but those numbers drop to just a 26.0 PPG scoring average along with 359.5 total YPG in their two games on the road this year. This will be the third game on the road over their last four games for this Fresno State team — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total away from home. The Bulldogs play outstanding defense as they are holding their opponents to just 18.7 PPG along with only 314.7 total YPG — and that latter number drops to just 288.5 total YPG when on the road. Additionally, Fresno State has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against fellow Mountain West Conference opponents. Nevada has played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after an upset win as a road underdog. Now this team returns home after playing their last two games on the road — and they have played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after playing their last two games on the road. The Wolf Pack have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Nevada held the Falcons to just 250 yards of offense in that win — and they limited them to only 3.57 Yards-Per-Play. The Wolfpack have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 3.75 YPP in their last game. And in their last 12 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range, the game has finished Under the Total 9 times for Nevada.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. Expect a lower scoring game than expected between these two Mountain West Conference rivals. 25* CFB ESPN-U Television Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Fresno State Bulldogs (365) and the Nevada Wolf Pack (366). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-04-18 |
Georgia State v. Troy UNDER 55 |
Top |
20-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (305) and the Troy Trojans (306). THE SITUATION: Georgia State (2-3) snapped their three-game losing streak last week with their 46-14 win over UL-Monroe last Saturday as a 6-point underdog. Troy (4-1) has won four in a row after their 45-21 win over Coastal Carolina as a 13.5-point favorite last Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Panthers played their best defensive game of the season by holding the Redhawks to just 262 yards of offense. Georgia State held the ball for 38:12 minutes in the game which will they will likely try to use as a blueprint for this game. The Panthers score only 14.5 PPG on the road so far this season while averaging just 330.5 total YPG. Georgia State has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after winning their last game by at least 20 points. The Panthers have also played 9 of their last 13 games on the road Under the Total. And while Georgia State generated 487 yards of offense last week, they have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after generating at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Panthers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of October. Troy has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. They stay at home where they are limiting their opponents to just 340.0 total YPG — and they have played 5 straight home games Under the Total as a favorite laying 14.5 to 21 points. The Trojans rushed for 282 yards in that win over the Chanticleers last week — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Additionally, Troy has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 to 56 point range. The Trojans have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 20 games in Sun Belt Conference play, the Under is 14-5-1.
FINAL TAKE: Expect this to be a lower scoring game in this conference showdown. 25* CFB Thursday ESPN-U Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (305) and the Troy Trojans (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-29-18 |
Ohio State v. Penn State OVER 67 |
Top |
27-26 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (161) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (162). THE SITUATION: Ohio State (4-0) enters this Big Ten showdown coming off a 49-6 win over Tulane last Saturday as a 37.5-point favorite. Penn State (4-0) comes off a 63-24 blowout win at Illinois as a 25.5-point favorite last Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nittany Lions generated 591 yards of offense to eventually overwhelm the Fighting Illini in that contest last week. Penn State has then played 8 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. Furthermore, the Nittany Lions have played 6 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game — and they have played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The concern for the Nittany Lions is on the other side of the football as they allowed a weak Illinois offense produce 411 yards of offense. Penn State surrendered 451 yards of offense to begin the season in their narrow win over Appalachian State that was settled in overtime. The Nittany Lions have played 6 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total in Big Ten play. Ohio State has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Buckeyes’ defense flexed their muscles in their win over the Green Wave as they held them to only 263 yards. Ohio State has then played 6 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game — and they have also played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. On offense, sophomore quarterback Dwayne Haskins completed 20 of his 23 passes for 304 yards with five touchdown passes last week — and the Buckeyes have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. And in their last 7 games on the road, Ohio State has played 6 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams played a shootout last year Expect another high-scoring game between these two teams with dynamic offenses. 25* CFB Big Ten Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (161) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (162). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-29-18 |
Virginia v. NC State UNDER 52.5 |
Top |
21-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 12:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (143) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (144). THE SITUATION: Virginia (3-1) enters this game coming off a dominant 27-3 victory over Louisville last Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite. NC State (4-0) remained undefeated last season with a 37-20 victory at Marshall as a 6-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers flexed their muscles on defense against the Cardinals as they held them to just 214 yards of offense. This strong defensive effort should carry over to this game as Virginia has played 31 of their last 43 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Furthermore, Virginia has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to no more than 275 yards. The Cavaliers outgained Louisville by +187 net yards — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after outgaining their last opponent by at least +175 net yards. Overall, Bronco Mendenhall’s team is limiting their opponents to just 16.7 PPG along with only 297.5 total YPG. But generating points could be an issue for this Virginia team that is playing just their second true road game this year. In their first true road game at Indiana, the Cavaliers managed only 294 yards which resulted in just 16 points. Virginia has played 14 of their last 19 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. NC State has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Dave Doeren’s team is also playing outstanding defense as they are rank 9th in the FBS by allowing only 13.3 PPG. The Wolfpack have surrendered only four touchdowns this season. On offense, NC State generated 502 yards last week — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Wolfpack have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against fellow ACC opponents — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total in the first month of the season. NC State returns home where they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 22 home games Under the Total as a favorite laying no more than 7 points.
FINAL TAKE: In the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. With both these teams playing very good on the defensive side of the football, expect a lower scoring game. 25* CFB ACC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (143) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (144). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-22-18 |
South Alabama v. Memphis OVER 65.5 |
Top |
35-52 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (389) and the Memphis Tigers (390). THE SITUATION: South Alabama (1-2) won their first game of the season last Saturday with their 41-31 win over Texas State as a 10-point favorite. Memphis (2-1) enters this game coming off their 59-22 win over Georgia State as a 28.5-point favorite last Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: South Alabama will be without their senior quarterback Cole Garvin who has been suspended after getting arrested for public intoxication last week. While that may have compelled many bettors to take the Under, the Jaguars’ offense will be just fine under the leadership of another senior in Evan Orth. The former UAB quarterback transferred to the Jaguars when the Blazers abandoned their football team for a few years but was never able to seize the starting job. But he seems to be growing into the position after leading South Alabama to their win over Texas State last week as he completed 24 of 33 passes for 266 yards with two touchdown passed while adding another 21 yards with his legs. Orth is completing 65.6% of his passes while averaging 9.5 Yards-Per-Carry when he tucks the ball to run with it this season. The Jaguars are averaging 26.7 PPG this year which is almost a touchdown more than what they scored last year. This team has then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight up win. Furthermore, South Alabama forced three turnovers against the Bobcats — and they have then played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after forcing at least three turnovers in their last game. Now the Jaguars go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. South Alabama has also played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference. The Jaguars are allowing their opponents to score 38.7 PPG along with 476.3 total YPG — and that is a scary proposition when facing this Memphis team that is scoring 48.7 PPG along with generating 603.0 YPG so far this season. The Tigers have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, while Memphis produced 679 yards of offense last week against the Panthers, they have played 8 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have also played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points. And in their last 29 games at home, the Tigers have played 21 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Memphis is huge favorites laying more than 30 points in this game. While the Tigers are going to score their share of points (they may approach the Over by themselves), South Alabama should score their share of points as well. 25* CFB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (389) and the Memphis Tigers (390). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-21-18 |
Washington State v. USC OVER 50.5 |
Top |
36-39 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (309) and the USC Trojans (310). THE SITUATION: Washington State (3-0) won their third straight game last Saturday with their 59-24 win over Eastern Washington as a 20-point favorite. USC (1-2) has lost two straight games after they lost at Texas last Saturday night by a 37-14 score as a 3-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cougars offense under head coach Mike Leach has not missed a beat despite moving on from their graduated quarterback from last year in Luke Falk. Graduate transfer Gardner Minshew came in from East Carolina and has stepped in to continue to run the Washington State Air Raid offense at a high level. He completed 45 of 57 passes for 470 yards last week with two touchdowns. The Cougars are scoring 43.7 PPG while averaging 501.0 total YPG so far this season. Washington State should keep their momentum going on offense as they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. The Cougars have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Washington State has raced out to 18 and 24 point leads in their last two games — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after holding at least two touchdown leads at halftime in each of their last two games. The Cougars defense has also been stout so far this year as they have held their three opponents to just 229 total YPG — but they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 250 total YPG in their last three contests. The Washington State defense was 16th in the nation last year by allowing only 323.3 total YPG — but regression is likely for this team after their outstanding defensive coordinator Alex Grinch left to join the Ohio State defensive staff in the offseason. This defense also lost their elite defensive end in Hercules Mata’afa who took his pass rushing talents to the NFL. Now after playing their last two games at home, the Cougars go back on the road to place their most potent offense so far on their schedule. Washington State has played 5 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total as an underdog of fewer than 7 points. USC lost their second game in a row with that loss at Texas — but now they return home for the first time in three weeks where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total while also seeing the Over go 20-7-2 in their last 29 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This has been a tough early gauntlet for their true freshman quarterback J.T. Daniels but the former 5-star recruit is showing glimpses of his vast potential. After a tough assignment in Palo Alto against Stanford, Daniels completed 30 of 48 passes for 322 yards in Austin last week against a talented Longhorns defense. The Trojans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. Furthermore, while USC has only scored 17 combined points in their last two games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not scoring more than 17 points in each of their last two games while also playing 4 straight games Over the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last contest. Lastly, the Trojans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow Pac-12 opponents.
FINAL TAKE: USC will be playing with desperation tonight after losing their last two games. Expect a shootout in Los Angeles tonight between these two teams on national television. 25* CFB Friday ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (309) and the USC Trojans (310). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-20-18 |
Tulsa v. Temple UNDER 55 |
|
17-31 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (303) and the Temple Owls (304). THE SITUATION: Tulsa (1-2) has lost two games in a row after their 29-20 upset loss last Saturday against Arkansas State as a 2-point favorite. Temple (1-2) won their first game the season last Saturday in a 35-14 upset win at Maryland as a 15-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Hurricanes has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Tulsa has played 5 straight games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of September. Now, this Golden Hurricanes travels over 1300 miles out east for this challenging conference game on a short week. Tulsa has played 4 straight games Under the Total playing on the road. And in their last 6 games against fellow American Athletic Conference opponents, the Golden Hurricanes have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Temple has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. The Owls flexed their muscles on defense against the Terrapins as they held them to just 195 yards of offense. Temple has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game — and they have also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Now the Owls return home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total. And while Temple outgained Maryland by +234 yards in that dominant win, they have then played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after outgaining their last opponent by at least +225 yards.
FINAL TAKE: With both these teams playing on a short week in this early conference showdown, expect a lower scoring contest. 10* CFB Tulsa-Temple ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (303) and the Temple Owls (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-08-18 |
Rice v. Hawaii OVER 67.5 |
Top |
29-43 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (397) and the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (398). THE SITUATION: Rice (1-1) is already playing their third game of the season after they lost to Houston last week at home by a 45-27 score as a big 25.5-point underdog. Hawai’i (2-0) is also playing their third game of the year after they upset Navy at home last week by a 59-41 score as a 13.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Owls have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home — and they have also played a decisive 45 of their last 67 games Over the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Rice has also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Struggles on the defensive side of the football were expected for this team that lost their top-five tacklers from last year’s unit that was 112th in the nation by allowing 35.8 PPG. The Owls are allowing 36.5 PPG this season along with 480.5 total YPG. But first-year head coach Mike Bloomgren may have his answer at quarterback in senior graduate transfer Shawn Stankavage from Vanderbilt who was showed promise last week by completing 20 of 31 passes for 204 yards with three touchdown passes while leading the Rice offense to 443 yards of offense which was more 110 more YPG than what they averaged last season. The Owls now go on the road where they have played 28 of their last 38 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Rice has also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing on field turf — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games when facing a team outside Conference USA. Hawai’i seems right at home back orchestrating their old Run-and-Shoot offense that their head coach Nick Rolovich used to operate for then head coach (and now Hamilton Tiger-Cats head coach) June Jones. The Rainbow Warriors generated 526 yards last week against the Midshipmen defense — and it is like the old days for this team so far this season as they are scoring 51.0 PPG while generating 569.0 total YPG for their unique scheme. Hawai’i has then played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. Sophomore QB Cole McDonald is loving executing this offense which gives freedom to both the quarterback and the four wide receivers to improvise their routes based off coverage. McDonald completed 30 of 41 passes last week for 428 yards while throwing six touchdown passes with zero interceptions. But the defense remains a work in progress after losing six of their top nine tacklers from a group that allowed 33.9 PPG while ranking 114th in the FBS by allowing 458.8 total YPG. In their first two games this year, Hawai’i is allowing 37.5 PPG while giving up 532.0 total YPG. Moving forward, the Rainbow Warriors have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in the month of September. And in their last 11 games against non-conference opponents, Hawai’i has played 10 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: With this being the third game for both teams, the offenses should be up-to-speed regarding understanding and operating their schemes. Neither of these teams can stop anybody — so this should be a high-scoring game with Hawai’i likely leading the way. 25* CFB Bailout Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (397) and the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (398). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-03-18 |
Virginia Tech v. Florida State UNDER 55.5 |
|
24-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Tech Hokies (219) and the Florida State Seminoles (220). THE SITUATION: Virginia Tech (0-0) enters this season coming off a 9-4 campaign that concluded with a 30-21 loss to Oklahoma State in the Camping World Bowl. Florida State (0-0) looks to rebound from a disappointing 7-6 season that ended on a positive note when they crushed Southern Miss by a 42-13 score.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hokies always have a strong defense under defensive coordinator Bud Carson who has entered his 32nd year in coaching. His defense was 4th in the nation last year by holding their opponents to just 14.8 PPG while also ranking 13th in the FBS by allowing only 319.3 total YPG. This unit has helped Virginia Tech see 35 of their last 52 games in conference play finish Under the Total. The offense returns seven starters from a group that ranked only 69th in the nation by scoring 28.2 PPG. Offensive line issues often held that group back — and facing the stout Seminoles defensive line will be another big challenge. The Hokies also have a big hole at running back after Travon McMillan left early for the NFL. Virginia Tech has played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games in the month of September. Furthermore, Fuente-coached teams have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total as a road underdog — and his teams have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. Florida State usually plays lower-scoring games in situations like this as they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total when laying 7.5 to 10 points. The Seminoles were 18th in the nation last year by holding their opponents to only 331.1 total YPG — and they were tied for 29th in the FBS by allowing just 21.2 PPG. New head coach Willie Taggart has tapped sophomore Deondre Francois to be his starting quarterback after he suffered a season-ending knee injury last September. But Francois had been recruited to play in a Run-Pass Option offense out of high school and he is now being asked to operate Taggart’s up-tempo spread offense — so growing pains are likely. He inherits eight starters from an offense that ranked only 100th in the nation by averaging 351.9 total YPG. Florida State has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the first-half of the season. The Under is also 20-7-1 in the Seminoles’ last 28 games in ACC play.
FINAL TAKE: Expect a lower-scoring game in this opening game between two teams that are both led by their defenses. 10* CFB Monday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Tech Hokies (219) and the Florida State Seminoles (220). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-02-18 |
Miami-FL v. LSU UNDER 49 |
Top |
17-33 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (217) and the LSU Tigers (218). THE SITUATION: Miami (0-0) returns to the field after the finished last year with a 10-3 record after a 34-24 loss to Wisconsin. LSU (0-0) completed a 9-4 campaign last season with a 21-17 loss to Notre Dame. This game is played on a neutral field at AT&T Stadium in the home of the Dallas Cowboys in Arlington, Texas.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Miami returns seven starters from a very good defense that was 28th in the FBS by allowing 21.0 PPG. The Hurricanes lost five key contributors on the defensive line with two of those players leaving early for the NFL — but head coach Mark Richt had nice depth at this position last year and has been recruiting very well. Depth is an issue for the defensive line this season but that that is less of a concern for this opening game. The offense returns seven starters from a group that sputtered down the stretch of the season as they scored 41 combined points in losing their last three games. Injuries certainly played a role with that collapse in production with running back Mark Walton being the biggest loss. But that is the new reality for this team with him leaving early for the NFL — so Richt is counting heavily on a five-star freshman tailback in Lorenzo Lingard. Senior quarterback Malik Rosier completed just 40 of 89 passes for an unforgiving 44.9% completion rate — and he completed just 54% of his passes in a very inconsistent season. The Hurricanes have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total when favored — and they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. Richt is likely to play this game cautiously while relying heavily on his defense. His teams have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total when favored on a neutral field laying less than 7 points. His teams have also played a defensive 34 of their last 55 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and this included playing three of his last four games Under the Total in that situation. LSU returns five starters and 57% of the tackles from last year’s defense that was 14th in the nation by allowing only 18.9 PPG while also ranking 12th in the FBS by limiting their opponents to just 316.0 total YPG. This should remain a stout group with defensive coordinator still in the fold after he was given a huge four-year $10 million dollar deal which makes him one of the highest paid assistant coaches in the nation. The questions for this program will remain on offense where they ranked just 76th in the nation last year by scoring 27.2 PPG. The team is excited about the prospects of their new starting quarterback in Joe Burrow who is a graduate transfer from Ohio State. The 6’3 senior narrowly lost the Buckeyes’ QB job in the spring before deciding to transfer where he supposedly narrowly beat out sophomore Myles Brennan for this starting job. While Burrow was a highly touted coming out of college, he never got a whiff of possibly starting in Columbus until this spring — and he joined the Tigers with just the August practices to learn the offense. LSU lost Derrius Guice who moved on to the NFL which leaves the biggest hole at this position in my recent memory (going back ten years in my notes). Their leading returning rusher is Nick Brossette who ran the ball 19 times for 96 yards last year. Oy. The idea seems to be for this team that they will become more of a pass-first offense under new offensive coordinator Steve Ensminger. Oy — and Miami returns three starters from one of the best secondaries in the nation last year. The Tigers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing in September. LSU has also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games outside SEC play. Lastly, Ed Orgeron-coached teams have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Expect this to be a lowing scoring game in this high profile showdown between to two programs with high aspirations who have more questions on the offensive side of the football than their typically strong defenses. 25* CFB ABC-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (217) and the LSU Tigers (218). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-31-18 |
Army v. Duke UNDER 46.5 |
|
14-34 |
Loss |
-108 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (159) and the Duke Blue Devils (160). THE SITUATION: Army (0-0) enters the new season coming off a triumphant 10-3 campaign that culminated with a 42-35 victory over San Diego State in the Armed Forces Bowl. Wake Forest (0-0) comes off a 7-6 season that ended with a 36-14 win over Northern Illinois in the Quick Lane Bowl.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Black Knights return eight starters along with five of their last top seven tacklers from a strong group that finished tied for 32nd in the nation by holding their opponents to just 22.0 PPG while also ranking 32nd in the FBS by limiting their opponents to only 349.7 total YPG. This defense should be quite good right out of the gates this season — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total in the first month of the season. Army is rebuilding of offense as they only returned three starters from last year’s group including their quarterback Ahmad Bradshaw. The Black Knights have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road. Duke has the benefit of having all of fall camp to prepare for Army’s spread triple option. The Blue Devils always invest time to prepare for this unique offense with Georgia Tech on the schedule year-after-year. These two teams played last year and while Duke was upset by a 21-16 score as a 4-point favorite, they did hold Army to 136 yards below their rushing YPG mark while limiting them to just 3.96 Yards-Per-Carry. The Blue Devils have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the first-half of the season. Duke has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total at home — and they have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as the favorite.
FINAL TAKE: The defenses should be ahead of the offenses in this August contest. Duke should also be able to slow down the rebuilding Army offense that they did a fine job against last year in a game that finished 15 points Under the Total. 10* CFB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (159) and the Duke Blue Devils (160). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-25-18 |
Wyoming v. New Mexico State UNDER 45 |
Top |
29-7 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (291) and the New Mexico State Aggies (292). THE SITUATION: Wyoming (0-0) closed out last season by winning their second straight bowl game when they defeated Central Michigan in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl by a 37-14 score. New Mexico State (0-0) also ended their season on a high-note when they upset Utah State in the Arizona Bowl by a 26-20 score.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Wyoming will be learning to live life without Josh Allen declared early for the NFL draft who was then drafted in the 1st round by Buffalo. But even with that blue-chipper under center, the Cowboys only scored 23.5 PPG while averaging a mere 286.0 total YPG which ranked 104th and 125th in the FBS. Struggles with their offensive line made things difficult for Allen under center — and they only averaged 3.17 Yards-Per-Carry which was 6th worst in the nation. It is difficult to imagine this offensive unit to be much better out of the blocks without Allen. Head coach Craig Bohl has named redshirt freshman Tyler Vander Waal as the starting quarterback over an experienced senior in Nick Smith — but this will be his first collegiate start and he will be doing it on the road in a nationally televised night game. As it is, Wyoming has paled 4 of their last 5 games away from home Under the Total. The Cowboys have also played 37 of their last 56 games Under the Total in the first month of the season. But the foundation of this team last year was a defense that ranked 9th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 17.5 PPG. Eight starters return from that unit including All-Mountain West Conference candidates at all three levels — so Bohl will likely lean on this group heavily to begin the year. Wyoming has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against non-conference opponents — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on field turf. New Mexico State (0-0) makes their debut as an independent after their contract with the Sun Belt last season. They also have a new starting quarterback with head coach Doug Martin tapping junior college transfer Matt Romero over senior Nick Jeanty. But the Aggies will also have the luxury of leaning on an experienced defense as they return ten of their top eleven tacklers from last year’s team. New Mexico State was a bend-but-do-not-break group last year on defense as they were 7th in the nation in 3rd Down defense while ranking 41st in the FBS in Red Zone defense. This should be an even better group under the guidance of an outstanding defensive coach in defensive coordinator Frank Spaziano who had some elite defensive units when he was the head coach at Boston College. The Aggies have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on field-turf — and the Under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 games at home.
FINAL TAKE: With both these teams kicking off their seasons early with experienced defenses and rookie quarterbacks, expect this to be a low-scoring game. 25* CFB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (291) and the New Mexico State Aggies (292). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-08-18 |
Alabama v. Georgia OVER 44 |
Top |
26-23 |
Win
|
100 |
89 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 8:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) and the Georgia Bulldogs (152). Alabama (12-1) flexed their muscles on defense last Monday by holding Clemson to just 188 yards of offense en route to their 24-6 win over the Tigers. Considering that the Crimson Tide generated just 261 yards of offense against the Clemson defense, it might appear that the Under is the preferred totals play when they face off against another Top-Ten defense in this Alabama team. But each game has its own internal narrative. The third contest in the Crimson Tide-Tigers trilogy played out as a defensive battle. Don’t be surprised if this Alabama-Georgia showdown between two teams of similar compositions ends up seeing much more offense — and with a Total set in just the mid-40s. The Crimson Tide have seen the Over go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their lsat game. And while Alabama has played three straight games that finished Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight games that finished Under the Total. Remember that while this Crimson Tide team has the nation’s top scoring defense (11.1 PPG) and total defense (252.4 YPG), they are no slouches on offense either. Alabama was 12th in the nation by scoring 37.9 PPG while averaging 449.7 total YPG (27th in the FBS). And remember that these offensive numbers are a little lower than they could be since their outstanding defense helped them earn comfortable leads without putting up Oklahoma-like numbers. An elite defense is nothing new for a Nick Saban-coached team. Yet they have played 10 of their last 14 Bowl games Over the Total — and this includes playing five of their last six games in the month of January Over the Total.
Georgia (13-1) finished Top-Five in scoring defense (15.7 PPG) while finishing 6th in total defense (289.5 YPG). But this Bulldogs team scored 36.3 PPG while averaging 440.3 total YPG which ranked 17th and 31st in the FBS respectively. As Georgia proved against the Sooners on Monday, they can crank up their offense into high gear to winning a scoring fest if they need to in order to win. In their 54-48 win in overtime against Oklahoma, they generated 527 yards of offense. The Bulldogs have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. But the Georgia defense had trouble slowing down the Sooners offense as they gave up 531 yards along with 6.55 Yards-Per-Play. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. Additionally, while Georgia has covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 5 of the last 6 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow SEC opponents. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. 25* CFB Bowl Total of the Year with Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) and the Georgia Bulldogs (152). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-01-18 |
Alabama v. Clemson OVER 47 |
|
24-6 |
Loss |
-107 |
17 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 8:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Sugar Bowl between the Alabama Crimson Tide (273) and the Clemson Tigers (274). Clemson (12-1) has won six straight games after defeating Miami (FL) in the ACC Championship Game by a 38-3 score back on December 2nd. The Tigers rushed for only 77 yards in that game — but they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after rushing for at least 100 yards in their last game. Clemson ranks 35.4 PPG this season which was 20th in the FBS — and they did not experience any drop-off when playing away from home where they scored 35.3 PPG. Of course, the Tigers have played the Crimson Tide for the National Championship in each of the last two seasons with the final score seeing 66 and 85 combined points. Despite the Total being a few points lower than the 51 or so points assigned as the Total for those two games, I see little reason why this Semifinals showdown will not be another shootout. Certainly both coaches will assume that scoring 30 points will be a prerequisite for winning this game. Clemson has played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing in the month of January. And in their last 6 games played on speedy field turf, the Tigers have played 5 of these games Over the Total.
10* CFB play with the Over. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.
|
01-01-18 |
Georgia v. Oklahoma UNDER 62 |
|
54-48 |
Loss |
-115 |
14 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 5:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Rose Bowl between the Georgia Bulldogs (271) and the Oklahoma Sooners (272). Georgia (12-1) reached the College Football Playoffs with their 28-7 win over Auburn in the SEC Championship Game as a 2-point favorite. The Bulldogs have then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Georgia has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after allowing 20 points or less in their last game. The Bulldogs defense dominated this game as they held Auburn to just 259 yards of offense. Georgia has then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Bulldogs allowed only 145 passing yards in that game as well — and they have then played a decisive 21 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, Georgia has played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams outside the SEC. And in their last 8 games played on a neutral field, the Bulldogs have played 6 of these games Under the Total.
Oklahoma (12-1) has won eight games in a row with their 41-17 win over TCU in the Big 12 Championship Game. The Sooners have not committed a turnover in four straight games — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not committing a turnover in their last game. It may be tempting to expect the Over given Oklahoma’s high-powered offense that has scored at least 38 points in four straight games. But the Sooners have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 37 points in three straight games. Additionally, Oklahoma has generated at least 461 yards in all their games this season — and they have then played 11 of the last 16 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in five straight contests. The Sooners have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They also have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams from the SEC. Furthermore, Oklahoma has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field including five of their last six games Under the Total in Bowl games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 93-34 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Georgia-Oklahoma O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the Rose Bowl between the Georgia Bulldogs (271) and the Oklahoma Sooners (272). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-01-18 |
LSU v. Notre Dame UNDER 52 |
|
17-21 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 1:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Citrus Bowl between the LSU Tigers (269) and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (270). LSU (9-3) has won three straight games with their 45-21 win over Texas A&M to close out their regular season. The Tigers have then seen the Under go 9-4-2 in their last 15 games after a straight-up win. The Under is also 6-1-2 in LSU’s last 9 games after a victory by at least 20 points. And in their last 6 games after scoring at least 40 points, the Under is 4-0-2. Additionally, LSU has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a game at home where they won by at least 17 points. They generated a whopping 601 total yards against the Aggies while averaging 6.90 Yards-Per-Play — but they have then played 10 straight games Under the Total after a game where they averaged at least 6.75 YPP. LSU averaged just 21.8 PPG in their six games away from home. But their defense travels as they held the six teams they faced away from home to just 299.5 total YPG which was even lower than the 311.7 total YPG mark which was 11th best in the nation. The Under is 13-6-1 in the Tigers’ last 20 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games against teams outside the SEC, the Under is 5-2-1. 10* CFB play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank. TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.
|
01-01-18 |
South Carolina v. Michigan OVER 42 |
|
26-19 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
Please note: I am upgrading this Over play to a 20* play. Thanks, Frank. At 12:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Outback Bowl between the South Carolina Gamecocks (265) and the Michigan Wolverines (266). South Carolina (8-4) looks to bounce-back from a 34-10 loss to Clemson back on November 25th to close out their regular season. The Gamecocks have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. South Carolina has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Gamecocks managed only 207 yards of offense against the thought Tigers defense — but the Over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after failing to generate more than 275 yards in their last game. And in their last 9 games after failing to score more than 20 points, South Carolina has played 7 of these games Over the Total.
Michigan (8-4) has lost two straight games with their 31-20 loss to Ohio State as a 12.5-point underdog back on November 25th. The Wolverines have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Michigan has also seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a point spread setback. The team should certainly benefit from the return of redshirt freshman quarterback Brandon Peters. The first Jim Harbaugh recruit under center for the team was effective when taking over late in the season. He completed 37 of 64 passes for 486 yards and four TD passes before suffering a concussion in the Wisconsin game that kept him out of that rivalry game with the Buckeyes. Moving forward, the Over is 15-6-1 in Michigan’s last 22 games against teams with a winning record. The Over is also 6-1-1 in the Wolverines’ last 8 games against teams outside the Big Ten. Additionally, the Wolverines have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral field. And in their last 10 Bowl games, Michigan has played 8 of these games Over the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 81-20-4 combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB New Year’s Day Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the Outback Bowl between the South Carolina Gamecocks (265) and the Michigan Wolverines (266). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-30-17 |
Wisconsin v. Miami-FL UNDER 45 |
|
34-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Orange Bowl between the Wisconsin Badgers (263) and the Miami Hurricanes (264). Miami (FL) (10-2) has lost two straight games with their 38-3 loss to Clemson in the ACC Championship Game as a 12.5-point underdog. The Hurricanes have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Miami has not scored more than 14 points in their last two games — and they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than two touchdowns in two straight games. The Hurricanes will be playing on their home field at Hard Rock Stadium — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on their home field. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, Miami has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Hurricanes have played a decisive 45 of their last 65 games Under the Total against teams outside the ACC. And in the last 4 Bowl games, Miami has played all 4 games Under the Total.
Wisconsin (12-1) looks to bounce-back from their 27-21 loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game. Look for this Badgers team to play much better on defense — they still rank number one in the nation by limiting their opponents to just 253.2 total YPG. In their six road games this season, Wisconsin allowed only 12.8 PPG while holding their opponents to just 284.5 total YPG. The Badgers have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 7 points or less. Wisconsin has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total as a favorite in the 3.5 to 10 point range. Additionally, the Badgers have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big Ten. And in their last 5 Bowl games, Wisconsin has seen the Under go 3-1-1. 10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the Orange Bowl between the Wisconsin Badgers (263) and the Miami Hurricanes (264). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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12-30-17 |
Washington v. Penn State UNDER 55 |
|
28-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 37 m |
Show
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At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Fiesta Bowl between the Washington Huskies (261) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (262). Penn State (10-2) has won three straight games with their 66-3 blowout win at Maryland to close out their regular season. The Nittany Lions have then played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after scoring at least 50 points in their last game. Penn State went into halftime with a 31-0 lead over the Terrapins — and they have then played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after holding at least a 24-point lead at halftime in their last game. The Nittany Lions have also played 50 of their last 77 games Under the Total after allowing 3 points or less in their last game. Moving forward, Penn State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field with the Total in the 49.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 87 games against teams outside the Big Ten, the Nittany Lions have played 55 of these games Under the Total.
Washington (10-2) has won two straight games with their 41-14 win over Washington State back on November 25th as a 9.5-point favorite. The Huskies have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Washington has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. On defense, Washington ranks 5th in the nation by allowing only 14.5 PPG while also limiting their opponents to just 277.4 total YPG. They held their opponents to -121 YPG below their season average this year. Lastly, the Huskies have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the Fiesta Bowl between the Washington Huskies (261) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (262). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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12-29-17 |
USC v. Ohio State OVER 64.5 |
|
7-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
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At 8:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Cotton Bowl between the USC Trojans (255) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (256). Ohio State (11-2) has won four straight games after their triumphant 27-21 in over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship Game as a 3-point favorite. The Buckeyes have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up game. Ohio State has also played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Buckeyes outgained the Badgers by +151 net yards in that contest — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after outgunning their last opponent by at least +175 yards. Ohio State rushed for 238 yards against Wisconsin — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. The Buckeyes averaged 6.6 Yards-Per-Play against the Badgers — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after averaging at least 6.25 YPP in their last game.
USC (11-2) has won five straight games with their 31-28 win over Stanford back on December 1st as a 3.5-point favorite. The Trojans have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. USC has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Moving forward, the Trojans have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. USC has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total outside Pac-12 play. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games played on a neutral field. Lastly, the Over is 7-3-1 in the Trojans’ last 11 Bowl game appearances. 10* CFB Friday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the Cotton Bowl between the USC Trojans (255) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (256). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-29-17 |
Utah State v. New Mexico State OVER 63 |
Top |
20-26 |
Loss |
-116 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
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At 5:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl between the Utah State Aggies (253) and the New Mexico State Aggies (254). Utah State (6-6) enters this game coming off a 38-35 loss at Air Force as a 2.5-point favorite back on November 25th. Utah State has then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Utah State gained 521 yards in that losing effort — and they have then played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. And in their last 4 games against teams outside the Mountain West Conference, the Aggies have played all 4 games Over the Total.
New Mexico State (6-6) has won two straight games with their 22-17 win over South Alabama back on December 2nd as a 12-point favorite. These Aggies have then seen the Over go 11-4-1 in their last 16 games after a point spread loss. New Mexico State generated 491 yards in that victory — and the Over is then 26-12-1 in their last 39 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, New Mexico State has played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference. Together, these team trends produce our specific 89-34-2 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB CBS-Sports Network Total of the Year is with Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl between the Utah State Aggies (253) and the New Mexico State Aggies (254). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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12-26-17 |
Northern Illinois v. Duke UNDER 47 |
|
14-36 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
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Take Under the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies and the Duke Blue Devils in the Quick Lane Bowl. Northern Illinois (8-4) saw their two-game winning streak in their last regular season game with their 31-24 loss at Central Michigan. The Huskies have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss. Northern Illinois has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against non-conference opponents. Duke (6-6) enters this Bowl game coming off their 31-23 win at Wake Forest. The Blue Devils have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record, Duke has played 9 of these games Under the Total. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank. Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports DELIVERED their 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Year last night with the Oakland-Philly Under to further a RED HOT 17 of 22 (77%) Football run which has fueled a 70 of 93 (75%) Football mark! Now Frank turns back to College Football where he is is on a 35 of 48 (73%) CFB run after his SCORCHING 15 of 18 (83%) CFB Bowl mark so far this postseason! Frank made it a PERFECT 4-0 with his highest-rated 25* CFB Bowl plays with Fresno State on Sunday — and he looks to make it FIVE IN A ROW with the Northern Illinois-Duke ATS winner that is worthy of his 25* seal of approval! JOIN Frank for this 52* SPECIAL FEATURE!
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12-24-17 |
Houston v. Fresno State UNDER 51 |
|
27-33 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
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At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (227) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (228) in the Hawai’i Bowl. Houston (7-4) travels to Hawai’i after their 24-14 win over Navy as a 6.5-point favorite back on November 24th. The Cougars have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. The Cougars sport a strong defense that ranked 40th in the FBS by allowing just 23.0 PPG. They ave played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And Houston has played 5 straight games Under the Total against non-conference opponents.
Fresno State (9-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game in a 17-14 loss at Boise State as a 10-point underdog. The Bulldogs have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Fresno State has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Additionally, the Bulldogs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, the Under is 5-0-1. This Fresno State team also has a very good defense as they are holding their opponents to just 17.2 PPG along with 319.0 total YPG which is 9th and 16th best in the FBS respectively. Expect a lower scoring game. 10* CFB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (227) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (228). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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12-23-17 |
Appalachian State v. Toledo UNDER 61.5 |
Top |
34-0 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) and the Toledo Rockets (226) in the Dollar General Bowl. Appalachian State (8-4) enters this bowl game having won three straight games with their 63-14 win over UL-Lafayette back on December 2nd. The Mountaineers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Appalachian State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to 20 points or less. This Mountaineers team once again has a stout defense as they ranked 33rd in the FBS by allowing 21.9 PPG — and they also ranked 39th in the nation by limiting their opponents to just 358.9 total YPG. What helps the defense succeed is keeping them off the field by running the ball on offense. Appalachian State rushed for 357 yards again the Ragin’ Cajuns in that last game. Not only have they then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game but they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 300 yards in their last contest. Additionally, the Mountaineers have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, Appalachian State has played 4 of these games Under the Total.
Toledo (11-2) has also won three straight games to close out the regular season with their 45-28 win over Arkon in the Mid-American Championship Game back on December 2nd. The Rockets were 20.5-point favorites in that game — and they have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Toledo allowed 283 passing yards in that victory — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, the Rockets have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Toledo exploded for 561 yards of offense against the Zips in that game — but they have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after gaining at least 525 yards in their last contest. Moving forward, the Under is 23-9-1 in their last 33 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral field, Toledo has played 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) and the Toledo Rockets (226). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-22-17 |
UAB v. Ohio OVER 56.5 |
|
6-41 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
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Take Over the Total in the Bahamas Bowl between the UAB Blazers and the Ohio Bobcats. UAB (8-4) enters this Bowl game coming off their 28-7 win over UTEP back on November 25th where they held the Miners to just 107 passing yards. The Blazers have then played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. UAB has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Ohio (8-4) comes off a 31-24 loss in Buffalo on November 24th — and they have seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. The Bobcats have also played 5 straight games Over the Total in non-conference play. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank. Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports EASILY DELIVERED their 25* CFB play on Temple last night to further a 19-4-1 Football run since Saturday that has furthered a 55 of 73 (75%) Football run! Frank is a RED HOT 8 of 10 (80%) in the Bowls this postseason to further a 18 of 24 (75%) College Football mark along with a 28 of 40 (70%) CFB run — and now he RAISES THE STAKES with his 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Game of the Year for Friday afternoon! DO NOT MISS OUT! Frank was a PERFECT 3-0 on Thursday — CA$HING WINNING TICKETS on Temple in CFB Bowl action while winning his 25* NBA play on the Chicago-Cleveland Over along with the Knicks — to further a 47 of 60 (78%) run in All-Sports over the last fourteen days along with a 82 of 113 (73%) HOT STREAK in All-Sports this month! Frank has the second Bowl Game ATS winner on Friday as well -- BANK on Frank!
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12-19-17 |
Akron v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 66 |
|
3-50 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (211) and the Florida Atlantic Owns (212) in the Boca Raton Bowl. Akron (7-6) looks to bounce-back from their 45-28 loss to Toledo in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game back on December 2nd as a 20.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Akron has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Zips have also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while Akron allowed 561 total yards to the Rockets, they have then played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. The Zips have played better defense over the second half of the season and it was that unit that stepped up to help them upset Ohio and win the MAC East title. Akron has played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total. And in their last 4 games against teams outside the MAC, they have played all 4 games Under the Total.
Florida Atlantic (10-3) won the Conference USA Championship Game on December 2nd with their 41-17 win over North Texas. The Owls passed for 352 yards in that game en route to 633 yards of offense against the Mean Green. But Florida Atlantic has then played 21 of their last 29 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Owls have played 6 straight games Under the Total in the month of December. And this game will be played on FAU’s home field — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 117-40 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (211) and the Florida Atlantic Owns (212) in the Boca Raton Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.
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12-16-17 |
Georgia State v. Western Kentucky UNDER 55 |
|
27-17 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 2:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (203) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Western Kentucky (6-6) limps into this game having lost five of their last six games after suffering a 41-17 loss at Florida International on November 24th as a field goal favorite. The Hilltoppers have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Western Kentucky has also played 3 straight Unders after suffering an upset loss by at least 17 points. The Hilltoppers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. This team has seen their offensive production regress this season under first-year head coach Mike Sanford despite his previous experience as the offensive coordinator at Notre Dame. The Western Kentucky offense returned senior QB Mike White from an offense that averaged 45.5 PPG — but they saw that production drop by almost 20 PPG as they are scoring just 26.2 PPG this season. Furthermore, the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games against Sun Belt Conference opponents.
Georgia State (6-5) has lost two straight games after their 24-10 loss to Idaho as a 7.5-point favorite back on December 2nd. The Panthers have then played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Georgia State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring 20 points or less in their last game. Offense is certainly an issue for this team as they ranked 118th in the FBS by scoring just 19.7 PPG — and they also ranked just 86th in the nation by averaging 385.2 total YPG. Moving forward, the Panthers have played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total in the second-half of the season. Georgia State has also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total with the number set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 5 games against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference, the Panthers have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 73-17-1 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (203) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-09-17 |
Army v. Navy UNDER 46 |
|
14-13 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (103) and the Navy Midshipmen (104). Army (8-3) saw their six-game winning streak snapped in their last game back on November 18th in their 52-49 loss at North Texas. The Black Knights have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Army has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. The Black Knights did allow 386 passing yards in that game — but they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Army does have a strong defense as they ranked 30th in the FBS by allowing only 21.6 PPG. Their fundamentally sound defense has helped them see the Under go 34-16-1 in their last 51 games against teams with a winning record. The Black Knights have also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog.
Navy (6-5) takes the field again for the first time since November 24th after their 24-17 loss at Houston as a 6.5-point underdog. The Midshipmen have then played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played a decisive 36 of their last 53 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. These two teams have played thirteen of their last sixteen games Under the Total — but relying on those team trends along would be Fool’s Gold. The inner truth that that trend exposes is that the defenses have the advantage in this matchup when considering that both units practice against a spread triple option all the time since their offense deploys that scheme. Both these teams often enjoy an advantage over their opponent during the regular season as they are unfamiliar with defending this unique offensive style. I don’t think the number has adjusted enough given the fact that no more than 41 combined points have been scored in this rivalry game in each of the last five seasons. Navy has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Midshipmen have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams outside the American Athletic Conference. And in their last 22 games played on a neutral field as a favorite, Navy has played 16 of these games Under the Total. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (103) and the Navy Midshipmen (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-02-17 |
Ohio State v. Wisconsin UNDER 50.5 |
|
27-21 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) and the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Wisconsin (12-0) has the best statistical defense in the entire FBS. The Badgers have the best total defense in the nation by allowing only 236.9 total YPG — and they are 2nd in the nation by giving up only 12.0 PPG. What is impressive about this unit is that they are balanced. Wisconsin ranks 2nd in the nation against the pass (156.4 passing YPG) while topping the nation by allowing only 80.5 rushing YPG. The Badgers enter this game coming off a 31-0 shutout win at Minnesota as an 18.5-point favorite in a game where they held the Golden Gophers to just 133 yards of offense. Wisconsin has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and the Under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games are a win by at least 20 points. Additionally, the Badgers have played 15 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after double-digit win on the road. Furthermore, Wisconsin has not allowed more than 234 yards of offense in three straight games — and they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in two straight games. 10* play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.
|
12-02-17 |
Miami-FL v. Clemson UNDER 47.5 |
|
3-38 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (325) and the Clemson Tigers (326). Clemson (11-1) is the new number one team in the nation with their 34-10 win at South Carolina last Saturday. The Tigers defense has risen their play to another level as they have not allowed more than 14 points in their last three games. Clemson has then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 17 points in three straight games. The Tigers crushed the Citadel in their previous game by a 61-3 margin — and they have then played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after winning at least two straight games by at least three touchdowns. Additionally, Clemson has played 8 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. 10* CFB play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.
|
12-02-17 |
TCU v. Oklahoma UNDER 65 |
|
17-41 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (333) and the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Oklahoma (11-1) reached the Big 12 Championship Game with their 59-31 win over West Virginia last Saturday as a 23-point favorite. The Sooners did allow 250 rushing yards in that game to the Mountaineers — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. The formula for success for this Horned Frogs team will be to run the football to move the chains and burn time off the clock to keep Baker Mayfield and this powerful Oklahoma offense off the field. The Sooners have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Oklahoma has also played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total in the month of December. And with this game being played on a neutral field at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, the Sooners have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total at a neutral site.
TCU (10-2) enters the Big 12 Championship Game coming off their 45-22 win over Baylor as a 24.5-point favorite last week. The Horned Frogs have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win over a conference opponent. TCU has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Horned Frogs have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Moving forward, TCU has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 4 games against teams with a wining record, the game finished Under the Total all 4 times. Lastly, in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-15 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (333) and the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-02-17 |
Akron v. Toledo UNDER 60 |
Top |
28-45 |
Loss |
-113 |
15 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Akron (7-5) will be playing the Mid-American Championship Game as a significant underdog considering that they were blown out by the Rockets back on October 21st by a 48-21 score in a game that they managed only 333 yards of offense. Since that game, the Zips have won three of their last four games due in large measure to improved play on the defensive side of the football. They clinched the MAC East Title in their last game back on November 21st with their 24-14 in over Kent State as a 14.5-point favorite led by a defense that held the Golden Flashes to just 246 total yards. Over their last three games, Akron is allowing only 353.7 total YPG which is 67.8 YPG below their season average. The Zips have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 26 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Akron has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Zips have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The offense is an issue with redshirt freshman Kato Nelson taking over for senior Thomas Woodson who was suspended a few weeks ago for violating team rules but will be available to play in this game. Nelson completed only 6 of 20 passes for 69 yards against Kent State last week. Over their last three weeks, Akron has averaged just 302.3 total YPG. Furthermore, this game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit as a neutral site — and the Zips score only 16.7 PPG while averaging 284.7 total YPG when away from home.
Toledo (10-2) reaches the Mid-American Conference Championship Game after their 37-10 win over Western Michigan back last Friday. The Rockets have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. Toledo has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing 20 or less points in their last game. The Toledo defense flexed their muscles in that game by holding the potent Broncos offense to just 275 yards of offense. Moving forward, the Rockets have seen the Under go 23-8-1 in their last 32 games against teams with a winning record. Toledo has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 4 games played on a neutral field, the Rockets have played all 4 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 91-26-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* College Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-01-17 |
Stanford v. USC UNDER 59.5 |
|
28-31 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (303) and the USC Trojans (304). Stanford (9-3) enters this game after their 38-20 upset win over Notre Dame as a 3-point underdog last Saturday. The Cardinal won that game despite gaining only 328 total yards — they benefited from a +3 net turnover margin in that game. Stanford has then played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Cardinal has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow Pac-12 opponents. Now this team looks to avenge their 42-24 loss to the Trojans back on September 9th where they allowed a whopping 623 yards of offense. Expect David Shaw to have his defense play much better in this rematch. Over their last three games, Stanford is allowing only 18.7 PPG along with 359.0 total YPG which is over 30 YPG better than their seasonal average. But on offense, the Cardinal generates only 323.3 total YPG which is more than 70 YPG below their seasonal average. Moving forward, the Cardinal has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 10* CFB Friday Discounted Deal with Under the Total. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.
|
11-25-17 |
Texas A&M v. LSU UNDER 51 |
Top |
21-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (199) and the LSU Tigers (200). Texas A&M (7-4) will be playing one for their head coach Kevin Sumlin who has been reported by the Houston Chronicle earlier this week that he will be relieved of his coaching duties win or loss after this game. Expect the Aggies to play hard — particularly on defense — in this contest. Texas A&M comes off a 31-24 victory at Ole Miss last week as a 2.5-point favorite. The Aggies have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Texas A&M has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a close victory by 7 points or less against a conference rival. Now the Aggies stay on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total — and this includes playing 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home.
LSU (8-3) once again boasts a stout defense as they are holding their opponents to just 18.5 PPG along with only 314.4 total YPG which ranks 18th and 15th best in the FBS. The Tigers enter this game coming off their 30-10 win at Tennessee last week as a 17-point favorite. LSU held the Volunteers to just 287 yards of offense — but they managed only 281 yards themselves. The Under is 9-3-2 in their last 14 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 6-2-2 in the Tigers’ last 10 games are a point spread in win. The Tigers have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit win against an SEC team rival. LSU returns home to Baton Rouge where they have seen the Under go 9-3-2 in their last 14 home games — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Tigers have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total in the month of November. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 89-17-7 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB SEC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (199) and the LSU Tigers (200). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-18-17 |
Cincinnati v. East Carolina UNDER 64.5 |
|
20-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (325) and the East Carolina Pirates (326). Cincinnati (3-7) looks to bounce-back from a 35-24 loss to Temple as a 3-point underdog last Friday. The Bearcats have then played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Cincinnati surrendered 205 rushing yards in that loss — and they have seen the Under go 8-1-1 in their last 10 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road. And in their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record at home, the Bearcats have played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total in the month of November.
East Carolina (2-8) has lost two straight games after their 31-24 loss to Tulane in overtime last week. The Pirates held the Green Wave to just 121 passing yards — and they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. East Carolina has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing their last two games against conference opponents. Now this team stays at home where they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Pirates have also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total as the underdog getting no more than 7 points. Lastly, this East Carolina team has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the second-half of the season. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (325) and the East Carolina Pirates (326). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-11-17 |
San Jose State v. Nevada UNDER 68.5 |
|
14-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 5 m |
Show
|
AAt 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (153) and the Nevada Wolf Pack (154). Nevada (1-8) enters this game coming off their 41-14 loss at Boise State last week as a 20-point underdog. The Wolf Pack have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss. Nevada allowed 479 yards in that contest — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. That game with the Broncos finished below the 63 point Total — and they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. And in their last 13 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game, Nevada has played 9 of these games Under the Total. Now the Wolf Pack return home where they have played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total. And in their last 11 games as the favorite, Nevada has played 9 of these games Under the Total.
San Jose State (1-9) looks to bounce-back from their 52-7 loss to San Diego State as a 23.5-point underdog last week. The Under is a decisive 33-16-2 in their last 51 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while the Spartans allowed 648 yards to the Aztecs in that game, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. San Jose State did hold San Diego State to just 94 passing yards — and they have then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Spartans have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 128-46-2 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (153) and the Nevada Wolf Pack (154). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-11-17 |
Florida State v. Clemson UNDER 45 |
|
14-31 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida State Seminoles (211) and the Clemson Tigers (212). Florida State (3-5) looks to build off their 27-24 win over Syracuse last Saturday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Seminoles have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Florida State were outgained by a 463 to 343 yardage margin — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Offense is the big concern for this team that has not been able to move the ball consistently under true freshman QB James Blackmon. He completed 12 of 19 passes in the victory last week but accumulated in just 136 yards. Now Florida State goes on the road where they are scoring just 13.2 PPG while averaging just 289.5 total YPG. The defense does play better on the road where they know they have to play well to stay competitive. The Seminoles are allowing home teams to average just 320.0 total YPG which is more than 41 YPG below their season average. The Seminoles have played 6 straight games Under the Total on the road. And in their last 27 games in ACC play, Florida State has played 20 of these games Under the Total.
Clemson (8-1) looks to build off their 38-31 win at North Carolina State last week as a 10-point favorite. The Tigers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Clemson has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team returns home where they flex their muscles on defense by holding their opponents to just 8.0 PPG while allowing only 208.2 total YPG. The Tigers have played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home field. And in rather last 6 games in the ACC, Clemson has played 5 of these games Under the Total. 10* CFB Florida State-Clemson ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Florida State Seminoles (211) and the Clemson Tigers (212). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-09-17 |
North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 52.5 |
Top |
34-31 |
Loss |
-103 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (117) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (118). North Carolina (1-8) has lost six straight games in a disaster of a season with their 24-19 loss to Miami (FL) two Saturdays ago as a 21-point underdog. Larry Fedora’s team is a M*A*S*H unit this season with injuries on the offensive line particularly hurting this team from week-to-week. The Tar Heels rank 109th in the FBS by scoring 21.3 PPG while ranking 108th in the FBS any averaging 344.2 total YPG. On the road, North Carolina sees their yardage numbers drop to 310.0 total YPG. And over their last three games, the Tar Heels are scoring just 13.3 PPG while averaging 285.7 total YPG. North Carolina has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Tar Heels have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while UNC covered the three-touchdown spread against the Hurricanes, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The defense does seem to be playing better after limiting the Miami (FL) rushing attack to just 59 yards in that game. Over their last three games, they are holding their opponents to just 17.4 PPG while allowing more than 46 YPG below their season average. The Tar Heels have played 12 of the last 14 games Under the Total after the first month of the season. North Carolina has also played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Moving forward, the Tar Heels have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 8 games played on a Thursday night, North Carolina has played all 8 games Under the Total.
Pittsburgh (4-5) takes the field again after their 31-14 win over Virginia as a 1-point favorite back on October 28th. The Panthers have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Pat Narduzzi’s team is fighting for bowl eligibility now — and the former Michigan State defensive coordinator is seeing improved play out of his young defense that returned just four starters from last season. Over their last three games, Pitt is allowing 22.0 PPG along with 377.0 total YPG which is 5.9 PPG and 43.7 YPG better than their seasonal averages. On offense, the Panthers have turned to sophomore Ben Dinucci at QB with the season-ending shoulder injury to USC graduate transfer Max Browne. Dinucci has been more of a game manager after passing just 18 times last week for 134 yards. Junior running back Darrin Hall has rushed for 365 yards over the last two games as he has become the focal point of this offense. It is 2 1/2 years into his tenure at Pitt but Narduzzi looks to finally be constructing this team into the types of teams he was an integral part with under head coach Mark Dantonio at Michigan State. But the team will be without a key piece to their offense with fullback George Aston out for this game with an ankle injury — his absence should not be underestimated. This team stays at home where the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games — and the Panthers have played 10 of their last 16 home games Under the Total when favored by 7.5 to 14 points. Lastly, Pitt has played 5 straight games Under the Total against fellow ACC opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-14-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Thursday Night ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (117) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (118). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-07-17 |
Akron v. Miami-OH UNDER 53 |
|
14-24 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (101) and the Miami (OH) Redhawks (102). Akron (5-4) looks to build off their 21-20 win over Buffalo last week as a 3-point underdog. The Zips have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after both a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while Akron allowed the Bulls to gain 454 yards in that upset victory, they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in the last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Zips have played all 6 games Under the Total.
Miami (OH) (3-6) looks to bounce-back from their 45-28 loss at Ohio last Tuesday. The Redhawks have then played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Miami (OH) managed just 98 rushing yards in their last game — and they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Now this team returns home where they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of the last 14 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-15 combined angle for this situation. Lastly, this Redhawks team does play very good defense as they rank 39th in the nation by holding teams to just 365.9 total YPG. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (101) and the Miami (OH) Redhawks (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-04-17 |
Syracuse v. Florida State UNDER 50.5 |
|
24-27 |
Loss |
-107 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 12:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Syracuse Orange (331) and the Florida State Seminoles (332). Florida State (2-5) looks to bounce-back from a 35-3 loss at Boston College last week as a 6-point favorite. The Seminoles have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread defeat. The struggling Florida State offense managed just 213 total yards in that contest — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Seminoles defense has remained tough all season as they have held their opponents on the most difficult schedule in the nation to average -113 YPG below their seasonal offensive average. Furthermore, Florida State has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the month of November.
Syracuse (4-4) looks to bounce-back from their 27-19 loss at Miami (FL) back on October 21st as a 17.5-point favorite. The Orange has then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Orange have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Syracuse has now played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total in ACC play. And while the Orange surrendered 480 yards against the Hurricanes, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 69-9 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Syracuse Orange (331) and the Florida State Seminoles (332). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-04-17 |
Western Kentucky v. Vanderbilt OVER 53.5 |
Top |
17-31 |
Loss |
-102 |
2 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (377) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (378). Vanderbilt (3-5) has lost five straight games with their 34-27 loss at South Carolina last Saturday. The Commodores have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Now Vanderbilt returns home where they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Gone are the salad days of September when this team went into their meeting with Alabama with the best statistical defense in the nation. Over their last three games, the Commodores have given up 45.3 PPG along with 512.7 total YPG. Vandy allowed 212 rushing yards to the Gamecocks last week — and they have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. The Commodores’ offense has kicked into another gear with junior QB Kyle Shurmur completing 27 of 49 passes for 333 yards and 3 TDs against South Carolina. This team is scoring 25.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging 364.3 total YPG which is well above their 314.9 total YPG seasonal average.
Western Kentucky (5-3) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 42-28 loss at Florida Atlantic as a 6.5-point underdog. The Hilltoppers have then played 13 of the last 19 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Western Kentucky allowed 461 yards in that contest — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Hilltoppers have also played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. This team has cranked things up on offense as they are scoring 36.0 PPG over their last three games while totaling 504.3 total YPG over that span. Western Kentucky has needed this increased production on offense because they are allowing 29.0 PPG over their last three games while allowing 406.0 YPG over that span which is 37 YPG more than their seasonal average. Moving forward, the Hilltoppers have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 53-14 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (377) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (378). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-28-17 |
Miami-FL v. North Carolina UNDER 55 |
|
24-19 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (129) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (130). Miami (6-0) remained undefeated last week with their 27-19 win over Syracuse as a 17.5-point favorite. The Hurricanes have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while QB Malik Zaire passed for 344 yards in that victory, Miami has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a game where they generated at least 280 passing yards. Now they go back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. The Hurricanes bring with them a defense that is 23rd in the FBS by holding opponents to just 18.7 PPG.
North Carolina (1-7) continued their disastrous season last week with a 5907 loss at Virginia Tech as a 20.5-point underdog. The Tar Heels managed just 172 yards of offense in that game. North Carolina has then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. This team has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to gain more than 275 yards in their last game. The Tar Heels are 113th in the FBS by averaging only 333.8 total YPG and they are scoring just 11 PPG in their last five games. They return home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. They also have now played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total in the month of October. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, UNC has played 4 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 52-12 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Miami (FL)-North Carolina ESPN2 O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (129) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (130). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-28-17 |
Buffalo University v. Akron UNDER 50 |
Top |
20-21 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (123) and the Akron Zips (124). Buffalo (3-5) will be starting a true freshman at QB in Kyle Vantrease with both Drew Anderson and Tyree Jackson declared out for this game. Vantrease completed just 17 of 41 passes last week for 202 yards in the Bulls’ 24-14 loss at Miami (OH) as a 3-point underdog. Buffalo is playing all of their opponents tough with three of their losses by 4 points or less and all five of their defeats being within 10 points — so expect a conservative game plan in this contest with a freshman QB playing in a hostile environment. As it is, the Bulls have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road. Furthermore, Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And in their last 5 games after a loss by at least 20 points, the Bulls have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Moving forward, Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of October.
Akron (4-4) enters this game coming off a 48-21 loss at Toledo last Saturday as a 15.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 25 of their last 34 games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as after a point spread setback. Additionally, Akron has played 36 of their last 51 games Under the Total after a game where they did not score more than 20 points. This Zips offense ranks 116th in the FBS by totaling a mere 326.6 total YPG. And while they did allowing 48 points to the Rockets, they have then played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Moving forward, Akron returns home where they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total. The Zips have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of October. They have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 13 games played on field turf, Akron has played 12 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 163-46 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB CBS-Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (123) and the Akron Zips (124). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-21-17 |
Boston College v. Virginia UNDER 47 |
Top |
41-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston College Eagles (361) and the Virginia Cavaliers (362). Boston College (3-4) looks to build off their 45-42 upset win at Louisville last week as a 20-point underdog. The offensive explosion in that game from this Eagles team that typically relies on stout defense with points hard to come by on offense was a surprise. Expect things to get back to the lower-scoring ways under fifth-year head coach Steve Addazio. Boston College has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Eagles have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Additionally, while BC allowed 625 yards of offense in that game, the Under is then 43-19-1 in their last 63 games after a game where they allowed at least 450 yards in their last game contest. Now the Eagles stay on the road where the Under is a decisive 36-14-1.
Virginia (5-1) enters this game coming off their 20-14 win at North Carolina in a game where they held the Tar Heels to just 257 yards. The Cavaliers have then played 28 of their last 39 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Virginia has also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Now the Cavaliers return home where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Furthermore, Virginia has played 23 of their last 34 home games Under the Total agains teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 158-52 combined angle for this situation. Boston College won last year’s contest by a 17-13 score last November 20th. Expect another low scoring game this afternoon. 25* CFB ACC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston College Eagles (361) and the Virginia Cavaliers (362). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-21-17 |
Akron v. Toledo UNDER 61 |
|
21-48 |
Loss |
-111 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (327) and the Toledo Rockets (328). Akron (4-3) looks to build off their 14-13 upset win at Western Michigan as a 12.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as after a point spread setback. Additionally, Akron has played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing 20 points or less in their last game. The Zips won that game despite managing just 215 yards of offense in that contest. Akron has then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing no more than 275 yards — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring no more than 20 points This team is allowing only 13.0 PPG over their last two games. But they stay on the road agains where they are scoring just 16.2 PPG while averaging a mere 275.5 total YPG. Furthermore, the Zips have played 12 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning record at home.
Toledo (5-1) looks to build off their 30-10 win at Central Michigan last week as a 9.5-point favorite. The Rockets have then seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread win — and the Under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. Now Toledo returns home where they are allowing 28 few YPG at 349.7 total YPG as compared to their season average of giving up 377.7 total YPG. The Under is a decisive 10-0-1 in the Rockets’ last 11 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 28 games against teams with a winning record overall, the Under is 20-7-1. Together, these team trends produce our specific 80-15-5 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (327) and the Toledo Rockets (328). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-14-17 |
Ohio v. Bowling Green UNDER 63 |
|
48-30 |
Loss |
-107 |
1 h 0 m |
Show
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At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (119) and the Bowling Green Falcons (120). Ohio (4-2) looks to rebound from their 26-23 upset loss to Central Michigan last Saturday despite being a 10.5-point favorite. The Bobcats should tighten things up on defense under head coach Frank Solich. Not only has Ohio played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss but they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bobcats have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 6 games in the month of October, the Under is 5-0-1.
Bowling Green (1-5) looks to build off a 37-29 upset win a Miami (OH) as a 17-point underdog last week. The Falcons have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Bowling Green generated 505 yards of offense in that contest — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Falcons have played 4 straight games at home Under the Total. And in their last 19 games in the month of October, Bowling Green has played 14 of these games Under the Total. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (119) and the Bowling Green Falcons (120). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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10-14-17 |
Toledo v. Central Michigan UNDER 55 |
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30-10 |
Win
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100 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
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At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (123) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (124). Central Michigan (3-3) enters this game riding high after they upset Ohio on the road last week by a 26-23 score as a 10.5-point underdog. The Chippewas have then played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Central Michigan has also played a decisive 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They return home to Muskegon where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on their home field — and they have played 13 of their last 16 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in the last 8 games in the month of October, the Chippewas have played 6 of these games Under the Total.
Toledo (4-1) enters this game coming off their 20-15 win over Eastern Michigan last week as a 13.5-point favorite. The Under is then 10-2-1 in their last 13 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The Rockets held the Eagles to just 73 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 100 rushing yards in their last game. Now Toledo goes back on the road where they have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (123) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (124). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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10-14-17 |
Rutgers v. Illinois UNDER 48.5 |
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35-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 41 m |
Show
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At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (135) and the Illinois Fighting Illini (136). Rutgers (1-4) has had a week off to recover from their 56-0 loss at home to Ohio State back on September 30th. The Scarlet Knights have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Rutgers managed only 209 yards of offense in that game — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Now the Scarlet Knights go back on the road where they are scoring only 17.0 PPG while averaging just 194.0 total YPG. Rutgers has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home.
Illinois (2-3) looks to bounce-back from their 45-16 loss at Iowa last Saturday as a 16-point favorite. The Fighting Illini have then played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Illinois has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while that game finished above the 42.5 Total, the Illini have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. Now Lovie Smith’s team returns home where they are scoring only 16.7 PPG while averaging 238.3 total YPG. Illinois has played 4 straight home games Under the Total. And in their last 4 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, the game finished Under the Total all 4 times. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon O/U Kickoff with Under the Total in the game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (135) and the Illinois Fighting Illini (136). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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10-05-17 |
Louisville v. NC State UNDER 66 |
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25-39 |
Win
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100 |
33 h 52 m |
Show
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At 8:00 PM EDT on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Louisville Cardinals (305) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (306). Louisville (4-1) has won two straight games with their 55-10 win over Murray State last Saturday. The Cardinals have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Louisville held the Racers to just 80 yards in that game — and they have then seen the Under go 17-8-1 in their last 26 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last contest. This Cardinals team once again has a strong defense that returned seven starters from last season — and they are 27th in the nation so far this year by holding their opponents to just 317.6 total YPG. Moving forward, the Under is 18-7-1 in Louisville’s last 26 games in October. And in their last 24 games as a favorite in the 3.5 to 10 point range, the Cardinals have played 18 of these games Under the Total.
NC State (4-1) enters this game coming off a 33-25 win over Syracuse last week as a 14-point favorite. The Wolfpack have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up victory. NC State held the Orange to just 59 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. The Wolfpack did generate 462 yards of offense in this victory — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Moving forward, NC State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning at least two straight games. The Wolfpack has also played 7 straight games Under the Total against ACC opponents. And in their last 18 games playing on a Thursday night, the Under is an incredible 16-1-1. 10* CFB Louisville-NC State ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Louisville Cardinals (305) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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10-04-17 |
Arkansas State v. Georgia Southern UNDER 55 |
Top |
43-25 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
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At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arkansas State Red Wolves (301) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (302). Georgia Southern (0-3) is still looking for the first win of the season after their 52-17 loss at Indiana back on September 23rd. The play of the Eagles defense was not quite as bad as the scoreboard reflected with two of the Hoosiers’ touchdowns resulting from a 70-yard punt return as well as a 22-yard fumble recovery. Overall, Georgia Southern allowed 468 yards in that game — but they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Eagles have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Now Georgia Southern begins conference play with a bit of a blank slate. This team needs to get their “Flexbone” offense going again after this team got away from that foundation last season in the first year under head coach Tyson Summers. The team averaged 22 passing attempts last season which was double the amount in the previous season under Willie Fritz. The Eagles did rush for 242 yards against Indiana — and they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Keeping the potent Arkansas State offense off the field has to be a top priority for this team tonight. Georgia Southern has played 7 of their last 9 games in the Sun Belt Under the Total. And in their last 6 games in the month of October, the Eagles have played 5 of these games Under the Total.
Arkansas State (1-2) looks to bounce-back from a 24-21 loss at SMU on September 23rd as a 3-point underdog. The Red Wolves have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Arkansas State has seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a loss by at least 20 points. And the Red Wolves have played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Now this team begins their conference schedule as well — and they return five starters from a group that help Sun Belt opponents to just 15.3 PPG last season. Lastly, Arkansas State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. 25* CFB Sun Belt Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Arkansas State Red Wolves (301) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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09-29-17 |
Miami-FL v. Duke UNDER 56 |
Top |
31-6 |
Win
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100 |
23 h 35 m |
Show
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At 7:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (105) and the Duke Blue Devils (106). Duke (4-0) returns home still undefeated after they pulled the upset last Saturday with their 27-17 win at North Carolina as a 1.5-point underdog. The Blue Devils have then played 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Duke has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. The Blue Devils relied on their defense to win that game against the Tar Heels as it was a 61-yard interception returned for a touchdown at the 4:01 mark that provided their last touchdown in that contest. Head coach David Cutliffe appears to have one of his best defensives in his ten years at Duke. 66% of the tackles from last year returned to a unit that is allowing only 15.3 PPG (17th in the FBS) while ranking 11th in the nation in total defense (261.5 total YPG). Moving forward, Duke returns home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Blue Devils have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, Duke has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the month of September.
Miami (2-0) looked rusty last week with their 52-30 win over Toledo after not playing for three weeks from the Hurricanes that impacted Florida as a 13.5-point favorite. The Hurricanes have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Miami defense did allow 446 yards to the potent Rockets’ offense but expect this unit to play much better this week. Head coach Mark Richt returned eight starters from a group that allowed 18.5 PPG (12th in the FBS) along with ranking 20th in the nation in total defense (345.5 total YPG). 344 of those yards that the Hurricanes surrendered to Toledo were in the air — but they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. This will be the first road game for the Hurricanes this year — and that will likely challenge their starting quarterback Malik Rosier who entered the season with just one start under his belt for the Hurricanes. Look for Miami to rely on their running game led by junior Mark Walton who gained 204 yards on the ground last week on just 11 carries. The Under is a decisive 34-16-1 in the Hurricanes’ last 51 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. Together, these team trends produce our specific 89-32-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Friday Night Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (105) and the Duke Blue Devils (106). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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09-23-17 |
Rutgers v. Nebraska UNDER 47.5 |
|
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 41 m |
Show
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At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (349) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (350).
TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.
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