Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-14-17 | Kansas State -1.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
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03-14-17 | Mount Saint Mary's +1.5 v. New Orleans | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
At 6:40 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (541) plus the point(s) versus the New Orleans Privateers (542). New Orleans (20-11) completed their Cinderella season on Saturday by winning the Southland Conference Tournament with a 68-65 win over Texas A&M Corpus Christi. The Privateers were the big overachievers in the conference last season after being picked to finish 9th or 10th in the conference in the preseason polls. While New Orleans did return almost everyone from the group that finished just 10-20 last season, that was also a team that did not finish in college basketball metrics guru Ken Pomeroy’s top-300. The Privateers’ signature victory this season was a win on the road at a bad Washington State team. A big letdown may be impending for this team that has failed to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 40 games in tournament action. |
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03-11-17 | New Mexico State v. CS Bakersfield UNDER 127.5 | Top | 70-60 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 11:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (771) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (772). New Mexico State (27-5) has won four straight games with their 78-60 win over Missouri-KC as an 8.5-point favorite. The Aggies held the Kangaroos to just a 36.7% shooting percentage which was the third time over their last four games that they have held an opponent to no better than a 36.7% shooting mark from the field. New Mexico State sot a blistering 55.8% from the field themselves which was their best shooting performance over their last nine games. Expect the Aggies to come back to Earth with their shooting considering that they make only 45.1% of their shots away from home. New Mexico State has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Aggies have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow Western Athletic Conference opponents. Moving forward, New Mexico State has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total as a favorite. The Under is also 24-7-1 in their last 32 games when playing on a neutral court. |
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03-11-17 | Marshall v. Middle Tennessee -9.5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 0 h 13 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (754) minus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (753). Middle Tennessee (29-4) cruised into the Conference USA Championship Game yesterday with an 82-56 victory over UTEP. Look for the Blue Raiders to build off the momentum from that game. Middle Tennessee has covered the points spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a straight-up win — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. The Blue Raiders have also covered the point spread in 6 straight road games after a win by at least 15 points. Moving forward, Middle Tennessee has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. The Blue Raiders have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when favored in the 7-12.5 point range. And in their last 11 games played on a neutral court, Middle Tennessee has covered 9 of these games. |
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03-11-17 | Kent State v. Akron UNDER 139 | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 0 h 28 m | Show | |
At 7:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (751) and the Akron Zips (752). Kent State (21-13) has down eight of their last nine games after scoring their second straight upset win with their 68-66 win over Ohio as a 3.5-point underdog yesterday. The Golden Flashes have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight up win. Kent State has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. And in their last 5 games on the road as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Golden Flashes have played all 5 of these games Under the Total. |
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03-11-17 | Creighton v. Villanova UNDER 141.5 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
At 5:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (745) and the Villanova Wildcats (746). Villanova (30-3) has won four straight games with their narrow 55-53 win over Seton Hall yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats have then played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Villanova has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points, the Wildcats have played 6 of these games Under the Total. They face a Bluejays team that does nail 51% of their shots this season — but Villanova has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who shoot at least 45% from the field. |
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03-11-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 124.5 | Top | 48-76 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (731) and the Wisconsin Badgers (732). Northwestern (23-10) has won two straight games with their 72-64 win over Maryland as a 2-point underdog yesterday. The Wildcats shot a sizzling 55.3% from the field in that game which was the third time over their last four games where they made at least 52.9% from the field. Regression is likely for this team that makes just 43.8% of their shots this season — and that number drops to only a 43.2% mark when away from home. As it is, Northwestern has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Under is 9-2-1 in the Wildcats’ last 12 games as an underdog. And in their last 13 games played on a neutral court, Northwestern has played 10 of these gams Under the Total. Now they face this Badgers team that outscores their opponents by +10.8 PPG — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG. |
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03-11-17 | Alabama v. Kentucky UNDER 136 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (737) and the Kentucky Wildcats (738). Kentucky (26-5) has won nine games in a row with their 71-60 win over Georgia yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats held the Bulldogs to just a 33.3% shooting percentage but they shot just 38.3% from the field themselves. John Caliper has slowed the pace down for this team after engaging a blistering pace earlier in the season. There were 72 possessions in that game yesterday which was actually the highest total for the Wildcats over their last four games. Kentucky has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points. |
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03-11-17 | Albany NY +10.5 v. Vermont | Top | 53-56 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
At 11:00 AM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Albany Great Danes (763) plus the points versus the Vermont Catamounts (764). Vermont (28-5) has cruised through the American East Tournament with a 45-point win over Maine followed up by a 74-41 victory over New Hampshire on Monday in a game where they held their visitors to just a 28% shooting percentage. Given the Catamounts’ dominance, it might be tempting to expect more of the same from them in this Championship Game — especially with Vermont hosting this contest. But the Catamounts have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home boarded home games as the favorite. They are also are just 4-11-1 in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Remember that Maine was the doormat of the American East with their 3-13 record and that New Hampshire team has never played in an NCAA Tournament. Granted, neither team scored more than 41 points against Vermont — but teams that do not allow more than 63 PPG (Vermont defense: 61.8 PPG) and who have not given up more than 50 points in two straight games — now facing an opponent that allows 63-67 PPG (Albany defense: 66.2 PPG) — these teams have then failed to cover the point spread in 30 of the last 38 situations where these conditions applied. |
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03-10-17 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. North Carolina Central UNDER 139.5 | Top | 49-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
At 6:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (593) and the North Carolina-Central Eagles (594). MD-Eastern Shore (15-19) has three straight games in Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference play after their 68-66 win over Hampton yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite. That game finished far below the 143.5 point Total which made it there 4 boarded game in a row that MD-Eastern Shore has played a game Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. The Hawks have also played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, MD-Eastern Shore has played 8 of their last 9 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 10 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range. |
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03-10-17 | Alabama v. South Carolina -5 | Top | 64-53 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the South Carolina Gamecocks (556) minus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (555). South Carolina (22-9) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in a 75-70 loss at Ole Miss as a 3-point favorite. Now the Gamecocks being their SEC Tournament with the opportunity to avenge a 90-86 upset loss to the Crimson Tide back on February 7th. Favorites in the 3.5-9.5 point range coming off an upset loss as a road favorite who are now looking to avenge a same-season loss have then covered the point spread in 120 of the last 193 situations (62%) where these conditions applied. While Alabama is outscoring their opponents by +4.2 PPG, South Carolina has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games against opponents that outscore their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Additionally, the Gamecocks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a neutral court — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on a neutral court as the favorite. |
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03-10-17 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas-Arlington -8.5 | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 0 h 2 m | Show | |
At 12:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Texas-Arlington Mavericks (546) minus the points versus the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (545). UT-Arlington (24-7) had won eight straight games before closing out their regular season with an 83-81 loss at UL-Lafayette. The Mavericks have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after straight-up loss. UT-Arlington has also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after a loss by 6 points or less. This team will be playing with an extra motivation of revenge this afternoon having lost to the Chanticleers by a 72-70 score back on January 30th. The Mavericks have covered the point spread in 6 straight games when avenging a same-season loss to their opponents. And in their last 5 games as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points, UT-Arlington has covered the point spread 4 times. |
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03-10-17 | Michigan v. Purdue -3 | 74-70 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (518) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (517). Michigan (21-11) literally got off the plane yesterday morning — without their road uniforms that were on a different flight — to the play the early game in the Big Ten Tournament. Somehow this team that survived an airplane scare the day before shot a sizzling 53.6% from the field en route to a 75-55 victory over Illinois. We had the Illini in that game yesterday — and I still love that play despite seeing them lose by 20 points. I still suspect a hangover is coming for this Wolverines team playing another game with an early tip. But this is not a situation where we are chasing. Michigan has now won two straight games as well seven of their last nine games. However, the Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after winning at least two straight games against conference rivals and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. Michigan has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. |
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03-10-17 | East Carolina +19 v. SMU | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the East Carolina Pirates (533) plus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (534). SMU (27-4) cruises into the American Athletic Conference Tournament off a 103-62 victory over Memphis last Saturday. But this Mustangs team has been susceptible to letdowns in Tournament action. SMU has failed to cover the point spread in 30 of their last 45 games on the road in tourney action. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 30 games played on a neutral court. Now they face a Pirates team they have destroyed twice this season. The Mustangs crushed East Carolina by a 75-44 score back on December 31st — and they were even more dominant in the February 1st rematch where they blew out the Pirates by an 86-46 score. Beware of big favorites playing in the early game in their debut in a tournament against a team that already has a tournament game under their belts. Furthermore, double-digit underdogs who are looking to avenge two losses to their opponent where they failed to score at least 60 points and this opponent comes off a win at home where they scored at least 85 points — these underdogs have covered the point spread in 55 of the last 80 situations (69%) where these conditions applied. |
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03-09-17 | Tulane v. Tulsa -5 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 1 h 57 m | Show | |
At 6:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (802) minus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (801). Tulsa (14-16) has lost two straight games with their 81-69 loss in New Orleans against Tulane last Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Golden Hurricanes have the opportunity for revenge to open the American Athletic Conference Tournament where they are laying 5-6 points — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games as the favorite. Furthermore, Tulsa has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games when laying less than 7 points as a favorite. And in their last 20 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Golden Hurricanes are 14-5-1 ATS. |
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03-09-17 | CS-Northridge +3 v. CS-Fullerton | 68-81 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
At 5:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the CS-Northridge Matadors (793) plus the points versus the CS-Fullerton Titans (794). CS-Northridge (11-18) has lost five straight games with their 86-78 loss to CS-Fullteron last Saturday. The Matadors have covered the point spread in 34 of their last 50 road games when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 75 points. CS-Northridge is also 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 encounters with the Titans. Additionally, the Matadors have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 road games against conference opponents. And in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season, CS-Northridge has covered the point spread in 19 of these contests. |
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03-09-17 | Rice -1.5 v. UTEP | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Rice Owls (761) minus the points versus the UTEP Miners (762). Rice (22-10) has won four of their last five games with their 86-75 win over Southern Mississippi yesterday as a 12-point favorite. But these Owls have not covered the point spread in five of their last six contests. Rice has also failed managed only eight offensive rebounds in each of their last two games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight toad games after failing to pull down more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. The Owls have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games played on a neutral court — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when favored on a neutral court. Furthermore, Rice has covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams. |
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03-09-17 | Penn State v. Michigan State -6 | 51-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
At 2:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (722) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (721). Michigan State (18-13) looks to erase a two-game losing streak after their 63-60 loss at Maryland to close out their regulate season. The Spartans shot only 36.7% from the field in that game — but they should bounce-back with a better effort this afternoon. Not only is Michigan State 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games after a straight-up loss, they have also covered the point spread in 31 of their last 41 games after a loss by 3 points or less. Sparty has covered the point spread in 4 straight games as a favorite laying less than 7 points. And in their last 29 games against teams with a losing record, Michigan State is 20-8-1 ATS. |
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03-09-17 | Tennessee v. Georgia -1 | 57-59 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (768) minus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (767). Georgia (18-13) played their worst game of the season last Saturday in an 85-67 loss at Arkansas as a 7-point underdog. The Bulldogs’ 31.1% shooting mark was their worst offensive effort of the season — and allowing the Razorbacks to hit 55.7% of their shots simultaneously representing their worst defensive performance of the year. With Mark Fox on the hot seat, there is little doubt that the head coach has strongly communicated his displeasure with that collective effort which should produce plenty of hard work this afternoon. As it is, Georgia has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a point spread loss. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing at least 85 points in their last contest. Georgia has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court as a favorite. |
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03-09-17 | Illinois +4.5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-75 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Illinois Fighting Illini (719) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (720). The Michigan team (20-11) survived a scare yesterday when their airplane taking them from Detroit to Washington D.C. could not take off due to heavy winds and skidded off the runway. While significant damage occurred to the airplane, there were no significant injuries from any of the passengers. The mishap has forced the Wolverines to take a 7:45 AM EST charter flight into DC this morning. Not only does this take this Michigan team out of their routine regarding practice and preparation but their sleep patterns will be out of whack today. Even worse, the Wolverines are scheduled to play the early noon tip off game in situations that are already notorious for slow starts. Michigan is a jump shooting team with little interior game — and the impacts of air travel earlier in the morning will likely negatively impact their orientation. As it is, this was a team looking due for a letdown after closing out their regular season with a 93-57 win at Nebraska. The Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 42 games after a double-digit win at home against a Big Ten rival. And while Michigan has won six of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. Furthermore, the Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range. |
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03-09-17 | Miami (FL) v. North Carolina -8.5 | 53-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (711) minus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (712). Miami (21-10) defeated Syracuse yesterday afternoon by a 62-57 score as a 2-point favorite. The Hurricanes have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. Miami (FL) has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games on the road after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. Additionally, while the Hurricanes have now played five straight Unders, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games after playing at least three straight Unders. And in their last 10 games played on a neutral court as an underdog, Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these contests. |
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03-08-17 | Washington State v. Colorado UNDER 145 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (557) and the Colorado Buffaloes (558). Washington State (13-17) has lost seven of their last nine games with their 77-68 loss at UCLA last Saturday. The Cougars have then played 21 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Washington State now travels to Las Vegas where the Pac-12 Tournament is being held — and the Under is 17-5-2 in their last 24 games played on a neutral court. The Cougars have also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 7-12.5 points. Furthermore, Washington State has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total as an underdog on a neutral court. Additionally, the Cougars have played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total in Pac-12 play. |
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03-08-17 | Lehigh v. Bucknell -4 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Bucknell Bison (582) minus the points versus the Lehigh Mountain Hawks (581). Bucknell (25-8) was the class of the Patriot League this season leading the conference in both Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Efficiency while possessing a nice signature win on the road at Vanderbilt. But the Bison were swept by the Mountain Hawks during the regular season — so this Bucknell team has everything on the line in this game. Frankly, Lehigh won both those games because they were on fire with their 3-point shots. In their 82-71 win on January 11th, the Mountain Hawks nailed 10 of their 17 shots from behind the arc and then followed that up on February 8th by making 9 of 19 shots from 3-point land in a 79-71 victory. All combined, Lehigh has been 19 of 36 for an uncanny 52.8% mark from behind the arc in a number screaming out for regression. On the other hand, Bucknell was just 13 of 46 from the 3-point land in both games for a low 28.3% mark. The Bison host this Championship Game where they are 14-2 where they nail 37.9% of their 3-point shots. Bucknell has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as a favorite laying less than 7 points. |
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03-08-17 | Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech +3 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (528) plus the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (527). Virginia Tech (21-9) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in an 89-85 loss at home to this same Wake Forest team as a 1.5-point favorite. The Hokies get the opportunity for revenge as they begin their ACC Tournament — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games when avenging a loss as a home favorite. Additionally, Virginia Tech is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Hokies have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 28 games as an underdog, Virginia Tech has covered the point spread 21 times — and that includes covering the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games when getting less than 7 points. |
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03-08-17 | Oklahoma v. TCU -1.5 | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (574) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (573). Oklahoma (11-19) has won two of their last three games with their 73-68 win over TCU on Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Sooners have now covered the point spread in six straight contests — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. Now this team looks to defeat the Horned Frogs for the second straight time in this immediate rematch — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games in the month of March. And in their last 5 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread 4 times. |
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03-08-17 | Charlotte v. UAB UNDER 150 | Top | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte 49ers (535) and the Alabama-Birmingham Blazers (536). Charlotte (13-16) has lost five of their last seven games entering the Conference USA Tournament with their 74-67 loss at UTEP last Saturday as a 6-point underdog. The 49ers committed only 10 turnovers in that game which made it the thirteenth straight time that they did not commit more than 14 turnovers in a game. Charlotte has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not committing more than 14 turnovers in at least three straight contests. Now the 49ers stays on the road where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season. Additionally, Charlotte has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 7 games as an underdog, the 49ers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, while the Blazers shoot 46.5% from the field, Charlotte has played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams that shoot at least 45% from the field. |
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03-08-17 | Clemson v. Duke -6.5 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show | |
At 2:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (526) minus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (525). Clemson (16-14) has won three straight games with their 75-61 win over NC State yesterday afternoon as a 6-point favorite. The Tigers have covered the last two games while being the favorite — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after covering the point spread in two straight games as the favorite. Additionally, Clemson is just 2-8-2 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Tigers have not been reliable underdogs as they are 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a dog — and they are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games when getting less than 7 points as an underdog. |
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03-08-17 | Miami-FL -1.5 v. Syracuse | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Miami Hurricanes (523) minus the point(s) versus the Syracuse Orange (524). Syracuse (18-13) has won two of their last three games with their blowout 90-61 win over Georgia Tech on Saturday as a 9-point favorite. Jim Boeheim’s team once again finds themselves on the bubble regarding the NCAA Tournament — and they probably need to win this game. Given their improbable run to the Final Four last season while finding themselves in a similar situation when beginning the ACC Tournament last year, it might be tempting for bettors to take the Orange. However, Syracuse has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a loss by at least 20 points. And while the Orange nailed 15 of their 24 shots from behind the arc against the Yellow Jackets, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 road games after nailing at least 13 shots from the 3-point line in their last game. This team has been awful away from the Carrier Dome where they lost ten of their twelve games while being outscored by -9.7 PPG. They shoot just 40.6% from the field on the road while allowing teams to convert 49.5% of their shots. The Orange have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games when playing just their second game in the last seven days. |
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03-07-17 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -4 | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Gonzaga Bulldogs (716) minus the points versus the Saint Mary’s Gaels (715). Saint Mary’s (28-3) has won six games after their blowout 81-50 win over BYU last night. Considering that the Cougars were the team to spoil the Bulldogs perfect season two Sundays ago, it might be tempting to expect this to be a close game. But the Gaels have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 37 road games after two straight wins by double-digits. Saint Mary’s has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. Additionally, the Gaels have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who are winning at least 80% of their games. And while the Bulldogs commit just 17 personal fouls per game, Saint Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 34 contests. |
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03-07-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6 v. Northern Kentucky | Top | 53-59 | Push | 0 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Milwaukee Panthers (713) plus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (714). This Horizon League Championship Game features the most overachieving team in the league’s regular season in the Norse favored against the league’s most underachieving team in the regular season. Milwaukee (11-23) disappointed by closing out the regular season with nine straight losses to finish 4-14. But the Panthers have rattled off three straight wins over Detroit before pulling a big 43-41 upset over Valparaiso and then upsetting Illinois-Chicago by a 74-68 score as a 2-point underdog to reach this Championship Game. Now Milwaukee has the chance to erase all the disappointment in the regular season with a victory tonight. As it is, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games on the road after winning at least three straight games against Horizon League opponents. Milwaukee is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing their third game in five days. And the Panthers are typically dangerous underdogs as they are 24-11-2 ATS in their last 37 games as an underdog — and they are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court. And while the Panthers lost to the Norse by a 69-63 score back on February 11th, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games when avenging a same-season loss. |
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03-06-17 | Siena +2.5 v. Iona | 86-87 | Win | 100 | 1 h 50 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Siena Saints (549) plus the points versus the Iona Gaels (550). Iona (21-12) reached the Championship Game of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament with their upset 73-65 win over St. Peter’s as a 2.5-point underdog yesterday. This was a very disappointing result for us since we had a big play on the Peacocks — and things looked good at half-time with St. Peter’s enjoying a 28-24 lead. With clear eyes, we do note the Iona has failed to cover the point spread in 40 of their last 62 games after failing to score at least 25 points by half-time of their last game. The Gaels have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Iona has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a point spread victory. |
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03-06-17 | College of Charleston +3 v. North Carolina Wilmington | Top | 69-78 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the College of Charleston Cougars (533) plus the points versus the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (534). UNC-Wilmington (28-5) reached the Colonial Athletic Association Tournament with their 105-94 win over William & Mary yesterday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Seahawks are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, UNC-Wilmington is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last contest. Moving forward, the Seahawks have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. UNC-Wilmington has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as a favorite on a neutral court. |
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03-06-17 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan OVER 140.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies (525) and the Eastern Michigan Eagles (526). Northern Illinois (15-16) has lost three straight games entering the first-round of the Mid-American Conference Tournament with their 87-82 loss at Ball State as a 5.5-point favorite. The Huskies have then played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Northern Illinois has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing at least three straight games. Now the Huskies begin on the road in this tourney where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Northern Illinois has also played 9 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5-6 points. |
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Frank Sawyer NCAA-B Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-14-17 | Kansas State -1.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
03-14-17 | Mount Saint Mary's +1.5 v. New Orleans | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
03-11-17 | New Mexico State v. CS Bakersfield UNDER 127.5 | Top | 70-60 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
03-11-17 | Marshall v. Middle Tennessee -9.5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 0 h 13 m | Show | |
03-11-17 | Kent State v. Akron UNDER 139 | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 0 h 28 m | Show | |
03-11-17 | Creighton v. Villanova UNDER 141.5 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
03-11-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 124.5 | Top | 48-76 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
03-11-17 | Alabama v. Kentucky UNDER 136 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
03-11-17 | Albany NY +10.5 v. Vermont | Top | 53-56 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
03-10-17 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. North Carolina Central UNDER 139.5 | Top | 49-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
03-10-17 | Alabama v. South Carolina -5 | Top | 64-53 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
03-10-17 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas-Arlington -8.5 | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 0 h 2 m | Show | |
03-10-17 | Michigan v. Purdue -3 | 74-70 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
03-10-17 | East Carolina +19 v. SMU | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show | |
03-09-17 | Tulane v. Tulsa -5 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 1 h 57 m | Show | |
03-09-17 | CS-Northridge +3 v. CS-Fullerton | 68-81 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
03-09-17 | Rice -1.5 v. UTEP | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
03-09-17 | Penn State v. Michigan State -6 | 51-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
03-09-17 | Tennessee v. Georgia -1 | 57-59 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
03-09-17 | Illinois +4.5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-75 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
03-09-17 | Miami (FL) v. North Carolina -8.5 | 53-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
03-08-17 | Washington State v. Colorado UNDER 145 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
03-08-17 | Lehigh v. Bucknell -4 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
03-08-17 | Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech +3 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
03-08-17 | Oklahoma v. TCU -1.5 | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
03-08-17 | Charlotte v. UAB UNDER 150 | Top | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
03-08-17 | Clemson v. Duke -6.5 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show | |
03-08-17 | Miami-FL -1.5 v. Syracuse | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
03-07-17 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -4 | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
03-07-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6 v. Northern Kentucky | Top | 53-59 | Push | 0 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
03-06-17 | Siena +2.5 v. Iona | 86-87 | Win | 100 | 1 h 50 m | Show | |
03-06-17 | College of Charleston +3 v. North Carolina Wilmington | Top | 69-78 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
03-06-17 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan OVER 140.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show |