Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-28-17 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky UNDER 150 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (745) and the Kentucky Wildcats (746). Vanderbilt (16-13) has won four games in a row with their 74-48 blowout win over Mississippi State as a 7.5-point favorite. The Commodores held the Bulldogs to just a 29.8% shooting mark — and that appears to not be an aberration considering that they held Tennessee to just a 29% shooting mark in their previous contest. Vanderbilt has played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Commodores have played 8 straight games Under the Total after a win on their home court. And in their last 8 games after allowing no more than 50 points in their last game, Vandy has played 6 of these games Under the Total. The Commodores have also played 5 straight games on the road Under the Total. |
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02-26-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Wright State OVER 155 | Top | 49-87 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 34 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois-Chicago Flames (823) and the Wright State Raiders (824). Illinois-Chicago (14-16) has lost three straight games with their 90-82 loss at Northern Kentucky on Friday. The Flames have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Illinois-Chicago now stays on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total. The Flames have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7-12.5 points. And in their last 5 games agains teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Illinois-Chicago has played 4 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-18-17 | South Florida v. Tulane OVER 145 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls (533) and the Tulane Green Wave (534). South Florida (7-18) enters this game coming off a 68-54 loss to Cincinnati on Wednesday as a 20.5-point underdog. The Bulls have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Now South Florida goes back on the road where they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as an underdog of less than 7 points. And in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Bulls have played 13 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-14-17 | Richmond v. George Mason OVER 150 | Top | 70-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Richmond Spiders (709) and the George Mason Patriots (710). Richmond (15-9) has won four of their last five games with their 64-52 win at Lasalle as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. The Spiders have then played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in eight days as they are doing here. Richmond has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a favorite. And while the Patriots hold their opponents to just a 41.7% shooting percentage, the Spiders have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or less. And while Richmond is looking to avenge an 82-77 loss to George Mason back on January 22nd, they have then played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total when playing with same-season revenge. |
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02-12-17 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 130.5 | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (857) and the Virginia Tech Hokies (858). Virginia (18-5) has won two of their last three games with their 71-55 win over Louisville last Monday as a 6-point favorite. The Cavaliers have then seen the Under go 21-7-1 in their last 29 games after a straight-up win. The Under is also 19-6-1 in Virginia’s last 26 games after a point spread victory. The Cavaliers lead the ACC with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 96.3. Virginia also holds their opponents to just 39.1% shooting. Moving forward, the Under is 20-7-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 29 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Under is also 5-2-1 in Virginia’s last 8 road games as a favorite of less than 7 points. |
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02-11-17 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green OVER 153.5 | Top | 88-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (529) and the Bowling Green Falcons (530). Buffalo (12-12) has won three straight games with their 65-45 win over Northern Illinois. Despite that strong defensive effort where they Bulls held the Huskies to just a 32.1% shooting percentage, they have still played 4 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. Buffalo has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against Mid-American Conference opponents. Furthermore, in their last 6 road games as a favorite, the Bulls have played 5 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-10-17 | Monmouth v. Manhattan UNDER 151 | Top | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Monmouth Hawks (883) and the Manhattan Jaspers (884). Monmouth (20-5) has won ten straight games with their 74-69 win at Rider on Monday as an 8.5-point favorite. The Hawks won that game despite shooting 36.4% from the field. The held the Broncs to just a 44.3% shooting mark on the other end of the court — and that was actually their worst defensive effort in their last eleven games. Monmouth holds their conference opponents to shooting just 39.9% from the field. Expect a tighter defensive effort tonight. Not only have the Hawks played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win but the Under is 27-12-1 in their last 40 games after a point spread victory. Monmouth has also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The Hawks now stay on the road where they have played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total. Monmouth has also played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total as a favorite in the 7-12.5 point range. The Hawks have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And in their last 7 games against conference opponents, Monmouth has played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
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02-08-17 | Southern Illinois v. Northern Iowa UNDER 126 | 41-49 | Win | 100 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Southern Illinois Salukis (549) and the Northern Iowa Panthers (550). Southern Illinois (14-11) has won three straight games with their 67-61 win at Loyola-Illinois on Saturday. Now the Salukis stay on the road where they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total. Southern Illinois has also played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as the underdog. Additionally, in the last 6 games as a dog getting no more than 6.5 points, the Salukis have played 5 of these games Under the Total. And while Southern Illinois is looking to avenge a 58-57 loss to Northern Iowa back on January 21st, the Salukis have played 21 of their last 29 road games Under the Total when looking to avenge a same-season loss to their opponents. |
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02-08-17 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 170 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana-Purdue University Jaguars (585) and the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks (586). IUPUI (10-14) snapped a three-game losing streak with an 86-81 win over North Dakota State as a 2-point underdog. Their defense field goal percentage of 44.6% was their best defensive performance in their last nine games. But regression on the defensive end of the court is likely for this Jaguars team that allows their home hosts to shoot 49.0% from the field. IUPUI has played 8 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Jaguars go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. IUPUI has also played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog. |
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02-04-17 | UC-Davis v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 134.5 | Top | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cal-Davis Aggies (693) and the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (694). UC-Santa Barbara (3-17) has lost five in a row in a lost season after their 79-53 loss to Cal-State Fullerton on Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Under is then 8-1-1 in the Gauchos’ last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread setback. The biggest problem for this team is on offense. UC-Santa Barbara is last in the Big West with Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of .876 — and this team is last in both 3-point and 2-point shooting which results in an effective field goal percentage of 39.2% which is also last in the conference. Moving forward, the Gauchos have played 7 straight home games Under the Total. This team has also played 17 of their last 22 home games Under the Total when the underdog — and when UC-Santa Barbara is getting less than 7 points, then they have seen fifteen of these eighteen home games finish below the total. |
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01-31-17 | Vanderbilt v. Texas A&M UNDER 135 | Top | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (749) and the Texas A&M Aggies (750). Vanderbilt (10-11) has won two of their last three games with their 84-78 win over Iowa State on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Commodores have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while Vandy nailed 13 shots from behind the arc in their victory over the Cyclones, they have then played 14 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after hitting at least 13 shots from 3-point land. Moving forward, the Commodores have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Under is 23-9-2 in Vanderbilt’s last 34 road games as an underdog of under 7 points. |
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01-30-17 | Rider v. Canisius UNDER 157 | Top | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rider Broncs (531) and the Canisius Golden Griffins (532). Rider (12-10) has lost five of their last six games with their 80-67 loss at Niagara on Saturday as a 1-point favorite. The Broncs have then played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Rider has also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Broncs shot just 36.8% in that game which does not bode well for them as they stay on the road where they shoot only 41.6% from the field. That helps explains why Rider has played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 11 road games as an underdog of under 7 points, the Broncs have played 9 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-29-17 | Virginia v. Villanova UNDER 126 | Top | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (849) and the Villanova Wildcats (850). Virginia (16-3) has won five games in a row with their 71-54 win at Notre Dame as a 2-point underdog. The Cavaliers have then played 20 of their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have also played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is a decisive 53-19-1 in Virginia’s last 73 games as an underdog of under 7 points. And in their 27 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 19-7-1. |
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01-28-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 173 | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 0 h 26 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Central Michigan Chippewas (619) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (620). Central Michigan (13-7) has won three of their last four games after their 82-76 win over Bowling Green as a 6-point favorite on Tuesday. The Chippewas held the Falcons to just a 30% shooting percentage from the field which was their best defensive effort in their last eleven contests. Except regression from this team considering that home teams shoot at a 47.2% clip against CMU. As it is, Central Michigan has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, the Chippewas have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 4 games as an underdog of less than 7 points, CMU has played all 4 games Over the Total. |
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Frank Sawyer NCAA-B Totals Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-28-17 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky UNDER 150 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
02-26-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Wright State OVER 155 | Top | 49-87 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 34 m | Show |
02-18-17 | South Florida v. Tulane OVER 145 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
02-14-17 | Richmond v. George Mason OVER 150 | Top | 70-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
02-12-17 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 130.5 | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
02-11-17 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green OVER 153.5 | Top | 88-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
02-10-17 | Monmouth v. Manhattan UNDER 151 | Top | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
02-08-17 | Southern Illinois v. Northern Iowa UNDER 126 | 41-49 | Win | 100 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
02-08-17 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 170 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
02-04-17 | UC-Davis v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 134.5 | Top | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
01-31-17 | Vanderbilt v. Texas A&M UNDER 135 | Top | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
01-30-17 | Rider v. Canisius UNDER 157 | Top | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
01-29-17 | Virginia v. Villanova UNDER 126 | Top | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
01-28-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 173 | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 0 h 26 m | Show |