Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +1 | 85-80 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 19 m | Show | |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on Boston College (9:00 EST). I’d like to point out, that this particular selection just narrowly missed a top 10* rating. VT looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after back-to-back wins has it back to .500 in ACC play. BC on the other hand has fallen back below .500 after back-to-back losses. Also note that this is definitely a “revenge” game for the Eagles, as the Hokies have taken three straight in the series. Virginia Tech pulled off the outright 80-75 upset at Notre Dame in its most recent action. Justin Bibbs led the way in that one and he now has 18 or more points in three of his last five games. The Hokies have scored 80 or more points in six straight games, but VT is still just 3-3 ATS in the span because of shoddy defensive play. The Eagles will be hungry to get back to form here, as they’ve been held to 69 points or less over their last two games, most recently falling 81-63 to the Orange. Ky Bowman was a bright spot though with 20 points, finishing 5 of 11 range. Ultimately though for me this one comes down to which team is “hungrier.” BC enters off two straight losses and clearly won’t be taking anything for granted. VT has to be feeling much better about itself and I think it suffers a predictable letdown against this determined Eagles side. Play on Boston College. Good luck…Larry |
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01-31-18 | Florida State v. Wake Forest +4 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmaker’s Error is on Wake Forest (8:00 EST). The 16-5 Florida State Seminoles are in Wake Forest to take on the 8-13 Demon Deacons and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. I think FSU has a small mental lapse here after winning three straight, most recently over VT, GT and Miami. Conversely it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Demon Deacons as they come in having lost seven straight. There’s no doubt that this sets up as a “letdown” spot for the visitors, who enter off an emotional 103-94 OT win over rival Miami Florida in their latest action. In fact FSU is above .500 for the first time in conference play this year after that victory. Terrance Mann has been a standout over the last two games with 44 points. Wake Forest enters off the 96-77 loss to Louisville on Sunday. Guard Bryant Crawford has now hit double digits in nine straight games and had 19 in a losing cause against the Cardinals. For me though, this comes one down to which of these two teams is the “hungrier.” While FSU has been playing very well of late, this unfortunately sets up as a natural letdown spot for the team after its big win over its rival in its most recent action. The Demon Deacons on the other hand will be risking life and limb tonight as they try to rebound from their recent stretch of futility. While I’d obviously not be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Wake Forest. Good luck…Larry |
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01-31-18 | Louisville +12 v. Virginia | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Louisville (7:00 EST). The 16-5 Louisville Cardinals are at No. 2 Virginia to take on the 20-1 Cavaliers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Louisville comes in on top form having won five of its last six. The Cardinals are 6-2 in league play, most recently putting together a 96-77 win over Wake Forest on Saturday. Virginia has won 12 straight, but I think it’ll have its hands full with this determined visiting side. Louisville comes in averaging 78.5 PPG, while it concedes 68.9. In the win over Wake the Cards would go on to force 20 turnovers, while also shooting 50.7 percent from the floor and finishing 10 of 25 from range. Deng Adei averages 15.6 PPG to lead the team. Virginia averages just 69 PPG, but it concedes only 52.1. Kyle Guy had 17 points in the win over Duke in the team’s most recent action on the road. Guy leads the nightly charge with 15.2 PPG. The Cavs are a great team. But Louisville won’t be rolling over today. The Cardinals are playing their best basketball of the season and they’ve already had some extremely close calls on the road this year, including losing in OT at Clemson in early January. While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to a comfortable cover for the hungry visitors as they catch the home side complacent after its epic victory last time out. Play on Louisville. Good luck…Larry |
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01-30-18 | Rhode Island v. Massachusetts +9.5 | Top | 85-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Massachusetts (6:30 EST). The 17-3 Rhode Island Rams are at UMass to take on the 10-12 Minutemen and while I’m not going to be so bold as to predict an outright upset, I do think that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Rhode Island snuck by Duquesne 61-58 on Saturday, while UMass enters off an 82-69 loss to Fordham on Saturday (I had the Rams in that one.) Note that this is a revenge game for the Minutemen after they fell 73-51 at Rhode Island earlier this month. The Rams average 76.6 PPG and they concede 65.8. EC Matthews had 20 points in the win over the Dukes. The Minutemen average 69.7 PPG and they concede 71.6. We don’t have to question Massachusetts motivation levels today though, as it comes in having lost four straight. In its latest loss, Luwane Pipkens led the way with 18 points. I’ll point out though that Rhode Island is just 11-3 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 60 points or less in its previous contest, while Massachusetts is already 6-4 ATS as an underdog this season. I think this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for Rhode Island, while I expect the home side to risk life and limb as it tries to score the upset. In a much tighter than expected battle, let’s grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-29-18 | Notre Dame +15 v. Duke | Top | 66-88 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Notre Dame (7:00 EST). The 13-8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish are at Duke to take on the 18-3 Blue Devils and while I’m not calling for the outright upset, I do definitely believe this one will be a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe once it’s all said and done. Notre Dame looks to get back on track here after falling 80-75 to Virginia Tech on Saturday, while the Blue Devils also come in off a loss (this one of the heart-wrenching variety), falling 65-63 at home to Virginia. Note that this is a revenge game for the Irish after the Blue Devils took both meetings last year, including a tight 75-69 battle in the conference tourney. Notre Dame averages 76.6 PPG and it concedes 65.9. It shot just 39 percent from the floor in the loss to VT last time out though. TJ Gibbs was a bright spot in the setback with 27 points. Duke averages 90.3 PPG and it concedes 72.3. Duke shot 48 percent from the floor, but it still wasn’t enough in the loss to the Cavs. Marvin Bagley III had 30 points in the losing cause. The Irish are getting a lot of points here because they’re injured, but they won’t be going down without a fight after five straight setbacks. Duke is still caught up on its last loss and comes in complacent, leaving the back door open just wide enough for the visitors to sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on the Fighting Irish. Good luck…Larry |
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01-28-18 | Oakland +1 v. Wright State | Top | 51-64 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR is on Oakland (2:00 EST). The 14-8 Oakland Golden Grizzlies are at Wright State to take on the 16-6 Raiders and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the surging visiting side. Oakland has won five straight. Wright State also enters on top form, having gone 9-1 in its last ten. The Golden Grizzlies’ Kendrick Nunn was named the Horizon League Player of the Week by averaging 35 points, 7.5 board and 2.6 assists last week. Oakland enters off the 83-70 road win over Northern Kentucky on Friday, a game which Nunn poured in 33 points. Jalen Hayes added 21 and seven boards. Grant Benzinger had 17 points in Wright State’s 87-55 win over Detroit in the Raiders’ most recent action. Evertt Winchester came off the bench to add 15. I’ll point out though that Oakland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Wright State is just 18-24 ATS in its last 42 against teams with winning records and just 4-5 ATS this year in front of the home town crowd. I believe Nunn continues his incredible play and helps his team avenge the earlier home loss. Play on Oakland. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | Colorado +10.5 v. Arizona State | 66-80 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
My 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT is on Colorado (8:00 EST). I base my selections on many different things, but I’m keeping it rather for simple for this particular one. Colorado comes in off back-to-back losses, most recently falling 80-71 at Arizona (easily covering with the 13 point spread.) The Buffs are 12-9 overall, but just 1-6 on the road. But I think Colorado comes in “under the radar” here against 15-5 Arizona State (9-2 at home.) Not surprisingly either, Colorado plays with revenge after falling to ASU 90-81 in OT at home back on January 4th. The Sun Devils have looked pretty bad since conference play has started, going just 4-6 in their last ten, including a crushing 80-77 OT loss at Utah in their most recent. With that setback fresh on their minds, I think the Sun Devils leave the back door open just wide enough for the revenge minded Buffs to sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on Colorado. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | Utah v. Arizona -10.5 | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on Arizona (5:30 EST). Utah looks poised for a letdown here after its 80-77 OT win over Arizona State on the road in its latest action (I had the Utes in that one), while Arizona will look to build off its 80-71 home win over Colorado (failing to cover the spread though in that one.) If recent history is any precedence then the Wildcats have to be liking their chances tonight, because when these teams met earlier in the year, it was Arizona that pulled away for the comfortable 94-82 victory. Utah averages 75.3 PPG and it concedes 70.8. Previous to their upset win last time out the Utes had lost four straight. Sedrick Barefield averages 10.9 PPG and he led the attack against the Sun Devils with 18 points. Arizona averages 82.1 PPG and it concedes 71.4. Allonzo Trier had 23 points in the win over the Buffs, while DeAndre Ayton added 22. I’ll point out that Utah has struggled in this spot for bettors, going just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Arizona has excelled by going 4-2 ATS in its last six after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing. Utah looked great on the road in its last game, but I have a hard time seeing this inconsistent team matching that performance in another tough atmosphere. Look for Arizona to step up and take advantage. Lay the points, play on the Wildcats. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | Massachusetts v. Fordham +2 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
My 9* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on Fordham (2:00 EST). The 10-11 Massachusetts Minutemen are at Fordham to take on the 6-14 Rams and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. We don’t need to question Fordham’s motivation levels today after losing six straight. UMass can empathize as the Minutemen come in having lost three straight, most recently an 82-72 defeat at La Salle. The Rams enter off a 78-58 loss at home to No. 24 Rhode Island. UMass averages 69.8 PPG and it concedes 71.1. In the loss to the Explorers the Minutemen would allow them to shoot 55 percent from the floor, while also getting out rebounded by ten and turning the bowl over 14 times. Fordham averages just 61.4 PPG, but it concedes 69. Will Tavares was a bright spot in the loss to Rhode Island with 17 points, while Prekop Slanina added 13 points and five rebounds. I’ll point out though that UMass is just just 1-4 ATS in its last five after allowing 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Fordham is 2-1 ATS in its last three after failing to score 60 points in its previous outing. The Rams’ defense keeps them one in this and helps secure the upset in front of the home town crowd. Play on Fordham. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | Duquesne +18 v. Rhode Island | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Duquesne (12:00 EST). The 14-7 Duquesne Dukes are in Rhode Island to take on the 16-3 Rams and while I’m not going to be so bold as to call for an outright upset, all signs do indeed point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Dukes are coming off a 77-73 OT loss to Richmond on Wednesday, while Rhode Island got the better of Fordham 78-58 in its latest action. Note that this is a revenge game for Duquesne after it fell 90-69 in the only meeting last year. Duquesne averages 73.9 PPG and it concedes 66.6. The Dukes struggled last time out shooting just 38 percent, but did get a strong game from Eric Williams Jr, who had 25 points in the losing cause. Rhode Island averages 77.5 PPG and it concedes 66.3. The Rams are now 8-0 in A-10 action and I think the come in a tiny bit complacent here finally and leave the back door open just wide enough for their lowly opponent to sneak in through this afternoon. I’ll point out as well that Duquesne is 4-2 ATS in its last six after scoring 70 or more points in its previous game in which it also lost in an OT situation, while Rhode Island is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after holding its previous opponent to 60 points or less. This has one has “trap” written all over it for the Rams, but as mentioned off the top I won’t be calling for the outright upset. Grab as many points as you can, play on Duquesne. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | NC State v. North Carolina -13 | Top | 95-91 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on North Carolina (12:00 EST). The 14-7 NC State Wolfpack are in North Carolina to take on the 16-5 Tar Heels and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. NC State got by Pittsburgh 72-68 on Wednesday, while UNC will be eager to get back on track after falling 80-69 to Virginia Tech on Monday. But if recent history is any precedence, then the Tar Heels have to be loving their chances today because they’d take both meetings last year in blowout fashion, winning 107-56 in the first and 97-73 in the second. The Wolfpack come into this one averaging 80.4 PPG, while conceding 72.5. NC State got the win over the Panthers, but it was pretty as they’d shoot just 33.8 percent from the floor. Omer Yurtseven was a standout with 16 points. The Tar Heels average 82 PPG and they concede 71.7. UNC shot just 42 percent from the floor in the loss to the Hokies, led by Luke Maye with 23 points in the setback. I’ll point out though that NC State is just 4-17 ATS in its last 21 road games and only 2-10 ATS in its last 12 following a SU win, while UNC is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven following a straight up loss. ACC opponents have already shot over 50 percent against the Wolfpack five times this year, which doesn’t bode well facing this re-focused Tar Heels side out redeem itself for their latest sub-par effort. NC State has scored just 72 points or less in three out of its last four, which also doesn’t bode well facing a North Carolina team holding opponents to 41.6 percent shooting on the year. All signs point to a rout, play on the Tar Heels. Good luck…Larry |
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01-26-18 | Oakland v. Northern Kentucky -7 | Top | 83-70 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Northern Kentucky (9:00 EST). Both teams come in hot, but I don’t think that home floor advantage can be overlooked in this particular matchup. Northern Kentucky is 7-1 in conference play and owns a share of the lead through eight game, while Oakland comes in having won four straight. But if recent history is any precedence, then the Norse have to be loving their chances to keep the momentum rolling, because when these teams met at Oakland back on January 5th, it was Northern Kentucky that pulled away for the 87-83 victory. The Grizzlies enter off a 92-86 win over Detroit, led by 38 points from Kendrick Nunn. Nunn is averaging 26.5 points, 4.8 boards and 4.2 assists this year. Oakland has been playing well in conference action, but I think the team finally has a letdown here in this tough environment. Northern Kentucky most recently pulled away for a 77-65 win over Green Bay on Saturday, going 10 of 23 from range and forcing 19 turnovers. The Norse rank among the conference best on both ends of the court (note that opponents have an offensive rebounding percentage of just 23.1, which ranks the team firs tin the Horizon.) I’ll point as well that Oakland is just 1-3 ATS already this year off a win against a conference rival and only 4-7 ATS against a team with a winning record, while Northern Kentucky is 9-4 ATS as a favorite and 4-2 ATS off a win against a conference rival. Nunn has been great, but the Norse are just too deep. The revenge factor gets thrown out the window here as I expect surging Northern Kentucky to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-18 | Utah +8 v. Arizona State | Top | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Utah (9:30 EST). Utah comes in with considerable momentum and I expect it to get carried over here. Utah has won back-to-back games against the state of Washington. Arizona State had been scuffling as well, but it’s recovered as well to win three of its last five. Utah’s offense has averaged 72 points over its last five games. Most recently the Utes hammered Washington State 82-69 on Sunday, hitting 47.6 percent from the floor overall, including going 13 of 31 from range. Arizona State allows 74.8 PPG, but the Sun Devils come in off a solid 81-73 win at Cal, hitting 47.5 percent from the floor and going 10 of 21 from range. Mickey Mitchell came off the bench to post 12 points and grab 11 boards. I’ll point out though that Utah is 19-9 ATS in its last 28 off a win against a conference rival, while Arizona State is 0-2 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season. I think Utah’s much improved offense gives it much more than just a “punchers chance” against this inconsistent Sun Devils unit. While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs do indeed point to a competitive battle. Grab the points, play on the Utes. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-18 | Colorado v. Arizona -15 | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
My 9* LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on Arizona (8:30 EST). Colorado has been all over the map as far as its game-to-game consistency. The Buffs enter off a 72-62 loss to Washington at home on Saturday, getting 14 points from Tyler Bey, who led five players in double-figures in the setback. The Buffs average just 98.7 points per 100 possessions during conference play (which ranks tenth in the Pac 12), but they’ve done well on the defensive end, limiting opponents to 48.6 percent shooting through eight conference games (ranked fourth.) Arizona comes in off a 73-71 road win over Stanford, it’s fourth straight conference victory. Allonzo Trier led the way in the one with 21 points, while Dusan Rustic added 18 points and nine boards. The Wildcats have won 13 of their last 14 and are scoring 111.6 points per 100 possessions during conference play, which ranks third in the Pac 12. Additionally I’ll point out that Colorado is 8-17-1 ATS in its last 26 against teams with a winning percentage of above .600, while Arizona is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games against a team with a losing road record. Note that this is a revenge game as well for Arizona, which fell on the road in Colorado on January 6th. All the pieces are in place for a home side blowout. Lay the points with confidence, play on the Wildcats. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-18 | Michigan v. Purdue -12 | 88-92 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Purdue (7:00 EST). The 17-5 Michigan Wolverines are at Purdue to take on the 19-2 Boilermakers are on Thursday night and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the home side. Michigan hammered Rutgers 62-47 at home on Sunday, while Purdue comes in having won 16 straight, most recently crushing Iowa 87-64 on Saturday. Purdue won’t be taking anything for granted here obviously, as the Boilermakers edged the Wolverines 70-69 in Michigan back on January 9th. The Wolverines average 73.2 PPG and they concede 62.4. Mortiz Wagner led the way for Michigan in the win over Rutgers with 16 points and six boards. The Boilermakers average 84.8 PPG and they concede just 62.2. Carsen Edwards had 22 points and eight assists, while Vince Edwards added 19 points and two blocks in the victory over the Hawkeyes. Additionally I’ll point out that Michigan is just 1-4 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and 0-2 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Purdue is 8-4 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more and 4-1 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. The Wolverines poised a threat at home to Purdue, but I think they’ll have a hard time keeping up to the Boilermakers on their own floor. And the stats support that as well. This number could quite easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Great value, play on Purdue. Good luck…Larry |
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01-24-18 | Stanford +9.5 v. USC | Top | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* PAC 12 GAME OF THE MONTH is on Stanford (9:00 EST). USC has a 6-2 record in Pac 12 play, while the Cardinal are 5-2 in league action. Stanford will be eager to get back on track here after a tight 73-71 home loss to Arizona on Saturday, blowing a double-digit half time lead. Reid Travis was a stand out in that one with 20 points, while Dorian Pickens added 15. The Cardinal rank among the conference’s best on both ends of the court. The Trojans come in off back-to-back road wins in the state of Oregon and I think they’re primed for a bit of a mental letdown here in their first game back in front of the home town crowd. USC ranks among the nation’s top offensive teams, but it’s in the bottom third defensively. I’ll point out that Stanford is already 2-1 ATS in true road games this year and 9-5 ATS against clubs with winning records, while USC is already 0-2 ATS this season as a home fav in the 9.5 to 12 points range. The last time these teams played it was the Cardinal that held on for the one point outright victory. The revenge factor is working in favor of USC, but I still believe that Stanford isn’t getting nearly enough respect. The Cardinal offense gives the visitors much more than just a “punchers chance” in this matchup. Grab the points, play on Stanford. Good luck…Larry |
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01-24-18 | Indiana +1 v. Illinois | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on Indiana (9:00 EST). The 12-8 Indiana Hoosiers are in Illinois to take on the 10-11 Fighting Illini on Wednesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Illinois continued its slide with a loss to Michigan State on Monday, while Indiana enters having won four of its last five, most recently over Maryland. Juwan Morgan leads the Hoosiers this year with 14.8 points and 7.2 boards per game (also has 26 blocks.) Indiana’s road play has been its “Achilles heel” this season, but here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against. The Fighting Illini have scored over 75 points in just two of their conference games so far this year and both were OT losses. A continued bright spot for Illinois has been the play of guard Trent Frazier, who has posted double figures in ten of his last 11 games. Sophomore forward Kipper Nichols posted a career-best 27 points off the bench in his team’s latest loss to the Spartans. I’ll point out that Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last six against teams with losing records, while Illinois is just 1-4 ATS in its last five in front of the home town crowd. Despite their poor road record this year, the Hoosiers have been better than advertised this season. Justin Smith has posted 10.2 points and shot 60 percent from the floor over his last five games for Indiana and the Hoosiers lead the conference in turnover margin (plus-4.0.) I can’t see the Illini keeping pace down the stretch, play on Indiana. Good luck…Larry |
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01-24-18 | Richmond +3.5 v. Duquesne | 77-73 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Richmond (7:00 EST). The 6-13 Richmond Spiders are at Duquesne to take on the 14-6 Dukes and in my opinion, this one is a lot more even than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Spiders enter off an 81-74 home win over LaSalle, while the Dukes come in off a 95-89 OT victory over George Mason on Saturday. Richmond averages 68.1 PPG and it concedes 73.8. Despite their poor overall record, the Spiders are now 4-3 in A-10 action after hitting 50 percent against the Explorers, including 8 of 16 from range. Grant Golden led the way in that one with 18 points and eight boards. The Dukes come in off the win over George Mason, getting 34 points from Eric Williams Jr. Mike Lewis II added 20. Duquesne barely got by La Salle a couple of weeks ago, needing triple OT to eventually pull away for the 101-94 victory. Duquesne averages 74 PPG and it concedes 66. I’ll point out as well that Richmond is already 2-1 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while Duquesne is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 in the same position. Don’t let the overall numbers for these teams fool you, as Richmond had a tough non-conference schedule. The Spiders’ stats have normalized in league play and I think they matchup extremely well here. While I obviously wouldn’t be shocked by the outright upset, I will in the end recommend that you grab as many points as you can. Play on Richmond. Good luck…Larry |
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01-23-18 | Duke v. Wake Forest +10 | Top | 84-70 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on Wake Forest (9:00 EST). Duke looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after winning four straight, most recently an 81-54 beatdown at home of Pittsburgh on Saturday. Conversely it’s going to be “all hands on deck” for Wake Forest as it comes in having lost five straight, most recently a 59-49 setback at home to No. 2 Virginia this past Saturday (failing to cover the 8.5 point spread by a single bucket.) The Blue Devils average 92.1 PPG and concede 72.8. Marvin Bagley III leads the nightly charge with 21.9 points and 11.5 boards per game. The Demon Deacons average 74.5 PPG and concede 73.2. Wake actually had a two point lead on the Cavaliers in their latest loss at half time, but the Deacons would eventually succumb to Virginia’s smothering defense. Bryand Crawford was a standout in the setback with 11 points and four assists. Wake is desperate to break the slide, while Duke comes in a tiny bit complacent. When you add it all up, this spread is just a little high in my opinion. Grab the points, play on Wake Forest. Good luck…Larry |
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01-22-18 | West Virginia v. TCU +1 | Top | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on TCU (9:00 EST). WVU comes in off an 86-51 home win over Texas to move to 5-2 in Big 12 play, while TCU will be eager to get back on track after a tight 73-68 road loss in K-State to move to 2-5 in league action. The Mountaineers average 81.5 PPG and they concede 64.9. In the win over Texas, Jevon Carter led the way with 22 points, while James Bolen added 19. The Horned Frogs average 87.5 PPG and they concede 77.6. In the loss to the Wildcats, Vladimir Brodziansky posted 15 points, while Alex Robinson contributed 13. I’ll point out though that WVU is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after allowing 60 points or less in its previous contest, while TCU is 3-1 ATS this year already off a loss against a conference rival. I think the “hungrier” home side finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night and as mentioned off the top, all signs do indeed point to a letdown finally here from the Mountaineers. Play on TCU. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-18 | Washington State v. Utah -12 | Top | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Utah (8:00 EST). The 9-9 Washington State Cougars are in Utah to take on the 11-7 Utes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Cougars come into this one in a “tail spin,” having lost five of their last six, most recently falling at Colorado on Thursday. The Utes can empathize, they had lost four straight, but have to be feeling much more confident tonight after beating Washington earlier in the week. Since opening the season 6-0, Washington State has gone 3-9 since, most recently falling 82-73 at Colorado. Carter Skaggs and Viont’e Daniels combined for 35 points in the setback. The Utes looked good defensively in their latest victory (70-62 over the Huskies): “We have a defensive plan, and we’re able to guard people,” Utah senior forward David Collette assessed Friday. “It’s just a matter of effort…but we’ve been missing that. Everyone just has to find it in themselves to give that effort.” Justin Bibbins led the way in the latest win with 20 points. I’ll point out that Washington State is just 4-6 ATS as an underdog this year and only 1-5 ATS in its last six after allowing 80 points or more, while Utah is 5-2 ATS as a favorite this season and 4-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd. Utah is 7-2 SU at home this year, while Washington State is 0-5 in true road games thus far. The Utes won’t be taking anything for granted here after their latest victory, as they entered on a four-game losing streak. The Cougars are hungry as well, but they face a very stiff test against this energized Utah defense. I expect the home side to comfortably pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | Creighton v. Providence +3 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND is on Providence (3:00 EST). Creighton comes to town off a victory over Seton Hall, while the Friars enter having won three straight, most recently getting the better of Butler. The Blue Jays got revenge on the Pirates 80-63, after falling to them to open up league play earlier in the year. Creighton would go on to hold Seton Hall to just 38.1 percent shooting. Ronnie Hall Jr. led the way with 18.5 points, five boards and four assists (note that he normally averages just 8.1 PPG). The Friars continue to get little respect in my opinion. Providence has now won three straight and it’s been an underdog in all three. In the latest win over the Bulldogs it allowed just 34.9 percent shooting. Note that four different players average double figures for the Friars, led by Kyron Cartwright with 11.1 points and 6.5 PPG. I’ll point out as well that Creighton is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 or more points in its previous contest, while Providence is 5-2 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive SU/ATS victories. Creighton is just 3-4 in true road games this year and in my opinion, all signs point to to the Blue Jays looking past their opponent this afternoon. Play on Providence. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | St. Louis v. Massachusetts -3.5 | 66-47 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
My 9* SITUATIONAL STUNNER is on Massachusetts (2:00 EST). The 9-10 St. Louis Billikens are at UMass to take on the Minutemen on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Saint Louis has split its last four games, most recently coming off a win at home over Duquesne. UMass will be hungry here, it’s coming off a humbling 73-51 loss to Rhode Island, one of the top teams in the A-10. Previous to that though the Minutemen had won three straight. Saint Louis averages 66.2 PPG and it concedes 66.7. Jordan Goodwin posted a triple-double with 13 points, 10 assists and 15 boards. UMass averages 70.8 PPG and it concedes 70.5. The Minutemen just didn’t have it in their loss to the Rams, shooting only 32.2 percent. Luwane Pipkins led the way with 13 points and four assists. Pipkins leads the team with 19.8 points and 4.1 assists per game. I’ll point out that Saint Louis is just 1-2 ATS in its last three following a SU win, while UMass is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following a loss in which it scored 55 points or less. I think the Billikens continue their inconsistent play and have a letdown here after their latest victory, while I look for the Minutemen to regroup with a big effort in front of the home town crowd after their most recent listless setback. Play on Massachusetts. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | Fordham +12 v. St. Joe's | 46-68 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* PERFECT STORM is on Fordham (1:00 EST). The 6-12 Fordham Rams will be eager to get back into the win column here as the come to St. Joe’s sitting at just 1-5 in A-10 action. Fordham enters off a 75-67 road loss at La Salle on Wednesday, led by Will Tavares with 18 points. Four other players would go on to post double figures, but it still wasn’t enough for the Rams. So far Fordham averages 90.8 PPG per 100 possessions, while allowing 113.4 per 100 possessions. St. Joe’s is only 8-9 overall and just 3-3 in conference play. The Hawks look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after defeating Dayton 81-65 on Wednesday, led by 19 points from James Demery. I’ll point out as well that Fordham is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 68 points or less in its previous contest, while St. Joseph’s is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after scoring 80 or more points in its previous outing. We don’t have to question the Rams’ motivation levels today, while St. Joe’s gets caught looking past its lowly opponent this afternoon. Grab the points, play on Fordham. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | St. John's v. Georgetown -2.5 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on Georgetown (12:00 EST) The 10-9 St. John’s Red Storm are in the nation’s capitals to take on the 12-6 Georgetown Hoyas on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. St. John’s comes in with zero momentum with seven straight losses, including a close-but-no-cigar 88-82 setback at Xavier on Wednesday. The Hoyas have been playing better than the Red Storm, but they’ll be looking to bounce back after a humbling 88-56 setback to Xavier on Wednesday. The Red Storm average 73.5 PPG and concede 69.8. St. John’s is thin, but is led by Shamorie Ponds with 20 points and 4.8 assist per game. The Hoyas average 77.5 PPG and concede 70.9. If recent history is any precedence, then Georgetown has to be loving it chances today, because when these teams met in New York ten days ago it was the Hoyas that escaped with the 69-66 victory. Jessie Govan leads the Hoyas with 17.3 points and 11.1 boards per game. I’ll point out as well that St. John’s is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Georgetown is 3-1 ATS in its last four after back-to-back SU/ATS setbacks. I like Georgetown to come out with a concerted effort after back-to-back poor performances. Lay the points, play on the Hoyas. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | Ohio State -9 v. Minnesota | 67-49 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmakers Error is on Ohio State (12:00 EST). Ohio State has so far exceeded expectations at 16-4 overall and having won all seven of its conference games thus far. The Buckeyes enter off a 71-65 win over Northwestern on the road earlier in the week and they’re now tied atop the conference with Purdue. Minnesota is 14-6 overall and 3-4 in league play. It’s had to deal with the loss of Reggie Lynch and the status of Amir Coffey (averaging 14.1 PPG) is still up in the air. The Golden Gophers are coming off a 95-84 OT win over Penn State in their most recent action, led by 24 points from Dupree McBrayer. The undermanned Gophers are going to have their hands full today trying to slow down Ohio State’s Keita Bates-Diop, who leads the Big Ten in scoring at 19.8 per game on 51.7 percent shooting. I’ll point out as well that this is a spot that Ohio State has done extremely well in for bettors of late, going 3-1 ATS in its last four after holding its previous opponent to 65 points or less, while this is a position in which the Gophers have struggled in by going just 2-4 ATS in their last six after scoring 90 points or more in their previous outing. I think Bates-Diop leads his team to solid ATS cover for us tonight. Play on Ohio State. Good luck…Larry |
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01-19-18 | Indiana +15 v. Michigan State | Top | 57-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on Indiana (7:00 EST). Indiana comes in on top form as it’s won three straight, most recently destroying Northwestern 66-46. Michigan State on the other hand has been scuffling of late, dropping two of three, just narrowly getting by Rutgers in OT at home, before then getting crushed 82-70 by rival Michigan in its latest action. The Hoosiers have been playing tremendous defense of late and I think this will once again prove to be a deciding factor in tonight’s outcome as well. Note that Indiana is forcing turnovers on 22 percent of possessions. Indiana averages 74.2 PPG and it concedes 70.7. Juwan Morgan leads the nightly charge with 15.6 points and 7.4 boards per game. Michigan State still ranks in the top 10 in the country in offensive and defensive efficiency, but there’s no question that the Spartans have struggled since the start of Big Ten play (fifth in defensive efficiency and third in offensive efficiency.) MSU averages 85 PPG and it concedes 64 and it’s led by Miles Bridges with 16.7 PPG. I’ll point out though that Indiana is already 2-1 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less and 2-0 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while Michigan State is just 2-4 ATS against the conference this season and 0-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do believe the conditions are right for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on the Hoosiers. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Minnesota v. Maryland -7.5 | Top | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Maryland (8:30 EST). The 14-6 Minnesota Golden Gophers are at Maryland to take on the 14-6 Terrapins and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Maryland comes in off a loss to Michigan, while Minnesota beat Penn State 95-84 in OT on Monday. The Gophers got a career-high 24 points from Dupree McBrayer in the win over the Nittany Lions. Nate Mason led Minnesota with 25 points. Minnesota needed these players to step up big, as the team has already lost Amir Coffey and Reggie Lynch, both key pieces of the offense. The Golden Gophers come into this one averaging 80.4 PPG, while conceding 72.4. Maryland also has injury issues (Ivan Bender and Justin Jackson.) In its latest loss it also had players dealing with the flu. Despite all that the Terps still almost pulled off the upset against the Wolverines, but were done in by foul shots with just a few ticks left on the clock. Anthony Cowan led the way in the setback with 24 points and four assists. The Terrapins enter this one conceding just 66.6 PPG. Additionally I’ll point out that Minnesota is already just 1-5 ATS this year following a conference game and just 2-4 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while Maryland is 7-3 ATS as a favorite this season and 2-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. I don’t think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a big factor working in favor of the Terps here as well. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion, play on Maryland. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech +8 | 64-48 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmakers Error is on Georgia Tech (8:00 EST). The 16-1 Virginia Cavaliers are in Georgia Tech to take on the 10-7 Yellow Jackets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. I believe the Cavs have a bit of a mental letdown here after winning eight straight, most recently a victory over NC State on Sunday. Not to be outdone though, the Yellow Jackets also come in on top form having won four straight, most recently taking down Miami, Yale, Notre Dame and Pittsburgh. The Cavs get the job done with their stifling defensive play, conceding just 52.9 PPG. Devon Hall posted a career-high 25 points. Georgia Tech though comes in firing on all cylinders, scoring 21 of the game’s first 22 points in last weekend’s convincing 69-54 win at Pittsburgh. Since Christmas the Yellow Jackets have won five of their last six games, holding the opposition to just 58.5 PPG. Josh Okogie averages 18.8 PPG for GT so far this year. I’ll point out that Virginia is still just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road fav in the 6.5 to 9 points range, while GT is already 4-2 ATS as an underdog this season and 4-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. The home side will be out to prove itself here and while I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs do indeed point to a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points, play on Georgia Tech. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Wake Forest v. NC State -5 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on North Carolina State (8:00 EST). The 8-9 Wake Forest Demon Deacons are at NC State to take on the 12-6 Wolfpack and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Wake has lost five of six and three straight, most recently to Boston College, Virginia Tech and Duke. NC State had won two in a row, before falling to Virginia in its most recent action this past weekend. Wake fell 89-71 to Duke last Saturday and it’s now last in the ACC in scoring defense, conceding 74.1 PPG. Junior guard Bryant Crawford leads the team with 16.1 PPG. Note though that this is also a revenge game for the home side, as the Demon Deacons took both meetings against the Wolfpack last year. NC State knocked off Clemson and Duke, but then fell 68-51 to a red hot Cavaliers team: “We know that every game is a battle,” Wolfpack forward Torin Dorn (13.3 points per game, team-high 7.1 rebounds per game) assessed afterwards. “If we can clean up some of the things we messed up on (Sunday) and keep on moving the ball and keep playing with intensity, we’ll be fine.” I’ll point out that Wake Forest is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight on the road and only 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 against teams with winning records, while NC State is 5-2 TS in its last seven at home and 3-1-1 ATS in its last five against teams with losing records. I have a hard time seeing Wake Forest just pressing a button and solving all of its issues. NC State is primed for a rebound here. I’m not going to read too much into its latest loss against smoking hot Virginia, as previous to that the Wolfpack had been rolling. This line should be a lot larger in my opinion. Great value, play on NC State. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Drexel v. Towson -12.5 | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
My 8* LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on Towson (7:00 EST). The 7-12 Drexel Dragons are at Towson to take on the 13-6 Tigers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Dragons enter off a 91-86 loss to Hofstra on Saturday. Drexel has zero momentum, having now lost three straight and six of seven. The Tigers suffered a crushing last-second loss to Hofstra last week, but they’d quickly recover to smash William and Mary 99-73 on Saturday. Drexel averages 72.2 PPG and it concedes 78.1. The Dragons allowed the Pride to shoot 61.1 percent in their latest loss and were led by Justin Wright-Foreman with 20 points. Towson averages 48 percent shooting from the floor overall, including hitting 38.8 percent from range, while the Tigers concede just 66.8 PPG. In their latest victory the Tigers would go on to shoot a whopping 64.4 percent from the floor, while also going 13 of 22 from range. I’ll point out that Drexel is just 2-4 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Towson is 2-1 ATS at home already this season and 3-1 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing. In my professional opinion, all signs point to a home side blowout. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Delaware +8.5 v. Hofstra | 63-90 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
My 8* SITUATIONAL STUNNER is on Delaware (7:00 EST). The 11-8 Delaware Blue Hens are at Hofstra to take on the 11-7 Pride and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visiting side. Delaware comes in on top form as it’s now won three straight, most recently getting by James Madison 61-60 on Saturday. Hofstra enters off a 91-86 win over Drexel on the road last weekend. These teams played three times last year and the Pride went 2-1, but the Blue Hens had the final word with an 81-76 victory in the CAA Tournament to end Hofstra’s season. Delaware averages 73.4 PPG and it concedes 73.2. Ryan Daly had 19 points in the win over James Madison. Hofstra averages 78.9 PPG and it concedes 78.8. Justin Wright-Forman had 20 points and four turnovers in the win over Drexel. I’ll point out though that Delaware is 4-2 ATS in its last six after holding its previous opponent to 60 points or less, while Hofstra is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following an ATS victory. I think these teams are much more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on Delaware. Good luck…Larry |
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01-17-18 | Arizona State -4 v. Stanford | Top | 77-86 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 48 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Arizona State (11:00 EST). The 14-3 Arizona Wildcats are at Stanford to take on the 10-8 Cardinal and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. We don’t have to question the Wildcats’ motivation levels right now, as they come in having lost three of their last five. Arizona State will look to build off its 77-75 home victory over Oregon State though against a Stanford team which looks poised for a letdown in my opinion after winning four straight. And if recent history is any precedence, then ASU has to be liking it chances for a bounce back performance here as it would take all three against Stanford last season, including a 98-88 OT win in the Pac-12 Tournament. The Sun Devils come in averaging 87.6 PPG, while conceding 74.2. Shannon Evans II had 22 points in the second half to lead ASU to its latest win. The Cardinal average 75.4 PPG and concede 75. Reid Travis had 16 points in Stanford’s latest victory. I’ll point out though that Arizona State is 7-4 ATS this year when playing the roll of favorite, while Stanford is just 3-4 ATS as the underdog. I like Arizona State to bounce back big here and make an example of this over-achieving Stanford side. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-17-18 | Fresno State +8 v. San Diego State | 77-73 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Fresno State (11:00 EST). Fresno State is 13-6 overall and 3-3 in conference action. The Bulldogs come to town with a ton of momentum after beating New Mexico 89-80 in their most recent action. Deshon Taylor had 22 points in the victory and he leads the team with an average of 18.9 PPG. The Aztecs are 11-5 overall and 3-2 in Mountain West play. SDSU looks poised for a letdown here though in my opinion after a tough 83-80 loss to Boise State. Note that the Aztecs are 5-6 ATS in their last 11 after a loss to conference rival. Fresno State has done exceptionally well for bettors in this position though, going 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range. I think these teams are more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on Fresno State. Good luck…Larry |
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01-17-18 | Long Beach State v. UC-Davis -8 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on UC Davis (10:00 EST). The 9-11 Long Beach State 49ers are at UC Davis to take on the 11-6 Aggies and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The 49ers are poised for a letdown here after winning four of their last five. LBSU most recently got the better of UC-Riverside 75-68, led by 18 points and eight boards from Gabe Levin. Levin leads the nightly charge with 16.3 points and 7.2 boards per game. The Aggies on the other hand are going to be eager to return to form here after after having their three-game win streak snapped in a humbling 85-70 loss to Cal State Fullerton in their most recent action. Chima Moneke led the way in that one with 28 points, 12 boards and three blocks. From a trend based stand point, this one definitely favors the Aggies, as I’ll point out that LBSU is just 2-6 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while UC Davis is a perfect 4-0 ATS against teams with losing records (also 2-0 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more in its previous contest.) The conditions point to a home side blowout. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-16-18 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -1.5 | Top | 82-78 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Notre Dame (7:00 EST). The 13-4 Louisville Cardinals are in Notre Dame to take on the 13-5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Louisville looks primed for a letdown here after winning three straight in my opinion, most recently over Virginia Tech. The Cardinals were led by 27 points, 11 points and three assists from Deng Adel in the victory. However Louisville didn’t look overly impressive on the defensive side, allowing VT to shoot 49 percent from the floor and 36 percent from range. It’s going to be all hands on deck for the Irish though as they come into this one having lost two straight. Most recently ND suffered a close defeat to North Carolina, shooting 34 percent from the floor, including 41 percent from range. TJ Gibbs led the way with 19 points, five boards and six assists in the setback, while Martinas Geben added 14 points and nine boards. I’ll point out though that Louisville is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after a three-game or more unbeaten streak, while Notre Dame is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the Fighting Irish. Good luck…Larry |
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01-15-18 | Oakland -2 v. Illinois-Chicago | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on Oakland (8:00 EST). The Oakland Grizzlies beat Cleveland State 81-68 on Friday to move to 3-3 in conference action this year. Jalen Hayes led the charge in that one with 30 points, while Kendrick Nunn chipped in 20. Oakland comes in averaging 110.7 points per 100 possessions. The Illinois Chicago Flames enter off an 88-73 win over Milwaukee, as Dikembe Dixon finished with 22 points. The UIC Flames are allowing just 100.8 points per 100 possessions this year. However the Flames have been poor with turnovers this season with a 23.2 percent turnover rate, while also shooting just 29.4 percent from range. Additionally I’ll point out that Oakland has done extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 16-5 ATS in its last 21 road games following three or more consecutive home contests, while Illinois Chicago is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight against a team with a winning straight-up record. The Flames have looked pretty good defensively, but I think they’ll have issues slowing down Nunn this evening. All signs point to a rout, lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-15-18 | Butler v. Providence | Top | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Providence (4:30 EST). The 13-6 Butler Bulldogs are at Providence to take on the 12-6 Friars on Monday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Butler comes in off a 94-83 home win over Marquette on Friday, while Providence beat DePaul 71-64 in its latest action. Note that these teams split a pair of games last year. Butler snapped a three game losing streak with the win over the Golden Eagles. So far the Bulldogs average 80.8 PPG, while conceding 72.8. In the victory over Marquette, Kelan Martin had 37 points. Providence averages 76.8 PPG and it concedes 72.2. In the victory over DePaul on Thursday, Jalen Lindsey had 18 points, while Rodney Bullock added 12 points and eight boards. I’ll point out though that Butler is 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road, while Providence is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 against the Big East. In six Big East games so far Butler has allowed an average of 87.7 points. That doesn’t bode well against this hungry home side in my opinion. Play on the Friars. Good luck…Larry |
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01-14-18 | Davidson v. Fordham +7.5 | 75-45 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on Fordham (3:00 EST). The 8-7 Davidson Wildcats are at Fordham to take on the 6-10 Rams and while I’m not calling for the outright upset, I do believe the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Rams looked poised for a letdown here after three straight wins, most recently over George Washington, while conversely, it’s going to be “all hands on deck” for the Rams today as they’ve dropped four of their last five, most recently a set back to Saint Bonaventure on Wednesday. Th Wildcats routed George Washington 72-45, as Peyton Aldridge had 15 points, six boards and four assists. The Rams are led by senior guard Will Tavares, who averages 15.5 points. Note that he’s scored in double-figures in 14 of the 15 games that he’s played in this year. The Rams lead the A-10 in steals with 10.7 per game and they’re fourth in scoring defense in the conference by conceding just 67.8 PPG. Additionally I’ll point out that Davidson is just 1-3 ATS In its last four after allowing 50 points or less in its previous outing, while Fordham is 1-2 ATS in its last three following an ATS loss. I think the hungrier Rams come to play this afternoon and keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-14-18 | Monmouth +4 v. Canisius | 79-94 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Monmouth (2:00 EST). The 5-11 Monmouth Hawks are at Canisius to take on the 10-8 Golden Griffins and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Hawks will be hungry here, they’re now 1-3 in MAAC action after a tight 78-77 loss to Niagara in their latest outing, clawing back from an 11-point deficit, only to then come up short in the end. Monmouth shot a sharp 46.2 percent from range though and was led by Diago Quinn with 10 points and 14 boards. Monmouth averages 73.9 PPG and it concedes 76.8. Canisius averages 72.1 PPG and it concedes 69.3. Jermaine Crumpton averages 15.6 points, 4.7 boards and 1.5 assists per game. I’ll point out though that Monmouth is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 when playing on one or less days rest, while Canisius is just 9-15 ATS in its last 24 in the same position. We don’t have to question the motivation levels of the desperate Hawks and while I obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, in a contest which I envision being decided by whichever one of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can in the end. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | College of Charleston v. Elon +2 | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
My 8* SITUATIONAL STUNNER is on Elon (7:00 EST). The 12-5 COC Cougars are at Elon to take on the 11-7 Phoenix and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Cougars enter off an 82-66 win over Northeastern on Thursday to move to 3-2 in the CAA, while Elon will be eager to get back into the winners circle after its 80-78 OT loss to UNC Wilmington to drop it to 3-2 in league action. Charleston averages 72.1 PPG and it concedes 66. Joe Chealey leads the nightly charge with 17.8 points and 4.2 assist per game, while Jarrell Brantley adds 17.6 points per contest. The Phoenix average 74.7 PPG and concede 73.2. Tyler Seibring had 21 points and 12 boards in his team’s latest loss. I’ll point out though that COC has struggled in this spot for bettors, going just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing, while Elon has done decently by going 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 80 points or more in its previous game. I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked here either. I think COC is poised for a letdown tonight, and I look for the “hungrier” team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on Elon. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | Hofstra v. Drexel +3 | Top | 91-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH is on Drexel (4:00 EST). The 10-7 Hofstra Pride are at Drexel to take on the 7-11 Dragons on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Hofstra looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its thrilling 76-73 buzzer beating road win over Towson on Thursday, to move to 3-2 in league play. Conversely, it’s going to be “all hands on deck” for the Dragons tonight, as they’re now 1-4 in the CAA after a loss at Delaware in their latest action. Note that these teams split a pair of games last year, each winning at home, the combined score differential between the two games was just 3 points. The Pride average 76.4 PPG and allow 78.8. Justin Wright-Foreman had 35 points in their latest victory. Drexel averages 71.4 PPG and it concedes 77.4. Tramaine Isabell had 14 points and 15 boards in the 72-66 setback to the Blue Hens. Four players would go on to score in double figures in that one. I’ll point out that Hofstra is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten following an ATS victory, while Drexel is 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 68 points or less in its previous outing. I think this one comes down to which side is “hungrier.” Look for the Dragons to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | Michigan v. Michigan State -10.5 | 82-72 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
My 8* WEEKEND WIPEOUT WINNER is on Michigan State (12:00 EST). The 14-4 Michigan Wolverines are at 16-2 Michigan State on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors the home side. MSU has struggled a bit in its last two, losing 80-64 to Ohio State, before then almost having another lapse in a much closer than expected 76-72 OT win over Rutgers at home on Wednesday. The Wolverines come in off a deflating 70-69 home loss to No. 5 Purdue on Tuesday and suffice it to say, I think the stage is set for another letdown here. Note that this is a revenge game for the Spartans after they fell 86-57 to the Wolverines at Ann Arbor last February. Michigan averages 76.4 PPG and it concedes 62.1. In the crushing loss to the Boilermakers, Zavier Stephenson had 15 points, six boards and five assists. Michigan State could very well have been caught looking past Rutgers after its upset loss to Ohio State, to this revenge scenario against the Wolverines. Nick Ward had 17 points and 10 boards, while Jaren Jackson Jr. added 16 points and five boards in the latest victory. MSU enters averaging 85.9 PPG, while conceding just 63. I’ll point out that Michigan State is 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 70 points or more, while Michigan is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 70 points or less in its previous outing. I think the revenge angle can’t be over-stated as a very real factor working heavily in favor of the Spartans this afternoon. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-12-18 | VCU +1.5 v. Dayton | 79-106 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 12 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Virginia Commonwealth (7:00 EST). The 11-6 VCU Rams are at the 8-8 Dayton Flyers on Friday night and for a number of different reasons, i think this one favors the visitors. VCU enters off a 78-67 home win over Duquesne in its latest action, while Dayton posted an 87-80 road win over Richmond on Tuesday. Note that these teams split a pair of games last year. The Rams have won six of their last seven games and are currently averaging 78.1 PPG, while conceding 73.8. Issac Vann had 15 points in his team’s latest victory. The Flyers scored their first road win of the year last time out and in my opinion, all signs point to a predictable letdown here. The Flyers average 71.6 PPG and concede 70.7. Josh Cunningham had 20 points, going 8 from 8 from the floor in the win over the Spiders on Tuesday. I’ll point out though that VCU is 5-1 ATS in its last six in this series, while Dayton is a poor 1-6 ATS in its last seven following an ATS victory and 0-8 ATS in its last eight following a straight-up win. The Rams are the deeper offensive team and I believe this fact will ultimately prove to be the difference in the end. Play on VCU. Good luck…Larry |
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01-12-18 | Nebraska v. Penn State -7 | 74-76 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 12 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Penn State (7:00 EST). Nebraska lost to Purdue, but then bounced back to beat Wisconsin 63-59 on Tuesday. the Cornhuskers enter averaging 106.4 PPG per 100 possessions, despite shooting only 46.5 percent from inside the arc. James Palmer leads the team in scoring with 15.8 PPG. The Huskers are allowing opponents to post 97.9 points per 100 possessions, which ranks the team 43rd in the country. Penn State comes in off a 74-70 loss at Indiana. Penn State limits its opposition to just 93.3 points per 100 possessions, which ranks it 16th in the NCAA. The Nittany Lions are led by Tony Carr, who averages 18.9 points, 4.6 boards and 4.8 assists per game. I’ll point out though that Nebraska has struggled in this spot for bettors, going just 1-3 ATS in its last four after holding its previous opponent to 60 points or less, while Penn State has excelled in this position by going 4-0-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. Of Penn State’s five losses this year, two have come by a single point. The Nittany Lions possess one of the Nation’s best defenses and I expect it to be the difference maker in this one. Lay the points, play on Penn State. Good luck…Larry |
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01-12-18 | St. Peter's v. Canisius -4.5 | Top | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Canisius (7:00 EST). The 8-7 Saint Peter’s Peacocks are on the road to take on the 9-8 Canisius Golden Griffins and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. St. Peter’s most recently comes in off an 84-58 win over Quinnipiac. Nick Griffin led the way in that one with 22 points and three boards. Canisius looks to get back on track here. The Golden Griffins opened conference play with three straight wins, but they enter off a 65-62 loss to Siena as 4.5 point road favs. Takal Molson was a bright spot with 21 points and four boards. From a trend based stand point though, there’s no question that this one favors the home side in my opinion, as note that St. Peter’s is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 82 points or more in its previous outing, while Canisius is 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 62 points or less in its last outing. I don’t think that home floor can be overlooked as a very real advantage in this matchup. For all the reasons listed above, play on Canisius. Good luck…Larry |
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01-11-18 | California v. Washington -9 | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
My 8* BLOWOUT is on Washington (11:00 EST). The Bears are 7-9 overall and 1-2 in Pac 12 play. Washington is 12-4 overall and 2-1 in league play. Cal comes in off a win over Stanford in a tight battle, before then coming back down to Earth with back to back home losses to USC and UCLA (losing by 18 and 23 respectively.) The Bears defense looked horrible in the loss to UCLA, giving up over 50 points in both halves, allowing the Bruins to hit 58 percent overall and 17 of 30 from range. The Huskies opened the 2017/18 campaign with an 88-81 win over USC and most recently they beat Washington State 70-65, led by 17 points and five steals from Matisse Thybulle. I’ll point out that Cal is 0-4 ATS in its last four against teams with a winning straight-up record, while Washington is 2-0 ATS in its last two after playing three consecutive road games. The Bears have been playing a bit better of late, but the Huskies have matchup advantages across the board. Throw in the home floor advantage and take into account the above listed trends and the correct call in this matchup is on the home side. Lay the points, play on Washington. Good luck…Larry |
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01-11-18 | Oregon +8.5 v. Arizona State | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on Oregon (10:00 EST). Oregon has lost two of its last three, most recently a 74-64 setback on the road at Oregon State last Friday. Arizona State broke a two game skid with a tight 80-77 win over Utah in its latest action on the road Sunday. These two teams always play to competitive affairs, however that wasn’t the case in the Pac-12 Tournament last year after the Ducks hammered the Sun Devils 80-57. Oregon averages 81.6 PPG and it concedes 70.5. The Ducks just couldn’t get anything going against the Beavers, shooting a combined 36.2 percent from the floor, led by 16 points from Paul White off the bench. Arizona State averages 89.3 points per game and it concedes 74.1. The Sun Devils shot 44.8 percent from the floor in the win over the Utes, led by 22 points from Shannon Evans II. I’ll point out though that Oregon is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing with five or six days rest, while Arizona State is just 3-10 ATS in its last 13 off a win against a conference rival. The Sun Devils play with revenge, but the Ducks won’t be going down without a fight. Oregon has the fire-power and defensive group to keep this one close until the final moments and that’s exactly what I expect to see happen. And while I wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the Ducks. Good luck…Larry |
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01-11-18 | Clemson -4 v. NC State | Top | 77-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Clemson (9:00 EST). The 14-1 Clemson Tigers are in North Carolina State to take on the 11-5 Wolfpack and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Clemson enters off a 74-69 home win over Louisville, while NC State looks poised for a classic letdown after stunning Duke 96-85 in its latest action. If recent history is any precedence, then the Tigers have to be loving their chances tonight as well, because they’ve dominated this series of late, taking both meetings quite easily last year. Clemson has won ten straight and I don’t foresee a letdown tonight. The Tigers average 77.9 PPG and concede 63.5. Marcquise Reed had 24 points in his team’s win over the Cardinals. NC State averages 83.4 points and it concedes 72.6. In the upset victory over Duke, Torin Dorn scored 16 points, while Allerik Freeman posted 15 points, five boards and five assists. I’ll point out though that is a spot in which the Tigers have excelled in for bettors over the years, as note that they’re 24-19 ATS the last two seasons when playing the role of favorite (including 6-4 ATS this year), while NC State is just 14-21 ATS the last two seasons as an underdog (including just 3-4 ATS this year.) The Wolfpack are also 0-7 ATS in their last seven following an ATS victory and just 1-8 ATS in their last nine following a straight up victory. It’s a classic letdown spot for NC State after its big win over Duke. Combined with the above trends which all clearly point to the team suffering a letdown in this exact position, everything does indeed point to a blowout victory for Clemson. Lay the points, play on the Tigers. Good luck…Larry |
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01-11-18 | Iowa +5.5 v. Illinois | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show | |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on Iowa (8:00 EST). Iowa is 9-9 on the season and 0-5 in league play. Clearly we don’t have to question the Hawkeyes motivation levels tonight. Note that this play narrowly missed out on a top 10* rating. Illinois is 10-7 overall and 0-4 in league action. There are two desperate teams and I’m expecting a competitive “nail-biter,” a contest which I envision being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Iowa averages 80.7 PPG and concedes 75, while the Illini average 78.9 PPG and concede 70.8. The Hawkeyes are led by Tyler Cook, who is averaging 14.7 points and 6.3 boards per game. Iowa has struggled in conference action, but it catches a break here facing Illinois. Kipper Nichols scored 17 points off the bench in Illinois’ latest loss to Michigan, but not a single starter scored in double digits. I’ll point out that Iowa is 4-3 ATS this year already against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest, while Illinois is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 3.5 to six points range. As stated off the top, this is going to be a battle until the end. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-11-18 | NC-Wilmington +10.5 v. Elon | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* Oddsmaker’s Error on NC Wilmington (7:00 EST). The 4-12 UNC Wilmington Seahawks get ready to battle the 11-6 Elon Phoenix on Thursday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Seahawks come in off a 96-76 road loss to Delaware, while the Phoenix are off an 89-76 road victory over Hofstra. These teams split a pair of games last year, with UNC Wilmington taking the first game 79-63 and Elon winning the second 77-76. At 1-3 in conference action, we don’t have to question the Seahawks’ motivation levels tonight. Keep your eyes on Devontae Cacok, who had 18 points and 11 boards in his team’s latest setback. Note that so far UNC Wilmington averages 80.3 PPG and concedes 85.9. At 3-1 in league play, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side in some small way coming in a bit complacent tonight. Elon averages just 74.5 PPG and it concedes 72.8. Tyler Seibring scored 22 points in the Phoenix’s latest victory. I’ll point out though that the Seahawks are 2-1 ATS in their last three off a loss against a conference rival, while the Phoenix are just 1-2 ATS this year already after scoring 80 points or more in their previous outing. I’m not predicting an outright upset, but I do think that the more desperate team can keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on the Seahawks. Good luck…Larry |
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01-10-18 | Minnesota +3 v. Northwestern | Top | 60-83 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Minnesota (9:00 EST). Minnesota will be eager to get back into the winners circle here after an upset 75-71 home loss to Indiana to fall to 2-2 in conference action. Northwestern also enters off a loss, most recently a 78-63 beatdown at the hands of Penn State. The Golden Gophers average 82.6 PPG and concede just 70.6. Their latest loss snapped a five game win streak. Nate Mason was a standout with 22 points and nine assists. The Wildcats average 74.4 PPG and concede 67.6. In their latest loss to the Nittany Lions they’d shoot just 37.1 percent from the floor overall, while allowing Penn State to hit 54.5 percent. Bryant McIntosh had 18 points in the loss. I’ll point out that Minnesota is already 7-5 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while Northwestern is just 3-4 ATS at home and only 3-4 ATS against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest. I like Minnesota to get right back on track here and I believe it’s underrated defense proves to be the difference. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-10-18 | Duke -16.5 v. Pittsburgh | 87-52 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Duke (7:00 EST). The 13-2 Blue Devils get ready to battle the 8-8 Pittsburgh Panthers on Wednesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors Duke. The Blue Devils will be especially motivated here to get back into the winners circle with a resounding effort after getting upset at NC State this past weekend: “We played crappy defense,” Blue Devils’ coach Mike Krzyzewski assessed afterwards. “We were a little frantic; they played their butts off. We’ve got to get better. To me, it’s that simple. Now the process of getting there; that’s what we’ve got to figure out.… The continuity of what you have to bring every day just isn’t there yet. We have to come to work every day.” Marvin Bagley II had 31 points and ten boards in the setback. Here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against though as the Panthers enter having dropped three straight, most recently to Miami, Louisville and Virginia Tech. Jared Wilson-Frame was a standout for Pittsburgh in the loss to the Hokies, finishing with 20 points. The Panthers were actually decent in the setback, shooting a season-high 46.2 percent from the floor, while also going 12 of 26 from range. I’ll point out though that Duke is 7-2-1 ATS in its last ten road games and 7-2-1 ATS in its last ten road games against teams with winning home records, while Pittsburgh is just 13-39-1 ATS in its last 53 following an ATS victory. The numbers and the overall situation are stacked against the Panther today. Look for Duke to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-10-18 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -1 | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Georgia Tech (7:00 EST). Georgia Tech moved back over .500 with a victory over Yale in its final non-conference contest of the season on Saturday, led by a game-high 23 points from Jose Alvarado. The Irish enter off five straight wins, most recently holding on for a tight 51-49 victory over Syracuse on the road. TJ Gibbs led the way in that one with 18 points, while Rex Pflueger added 12 points. Note Dame scores an average of 116.2 points per 100 possessions, while it concedes 95.6 points per 100 possessions. Georgia Tech has looked better on the offensive end of late, but the Yellow Jackets get the job done with their smothering defensive play most nights. Note that GT enters allowing opponents to score 97.9 points per 100 possessions. Most recently the Yellow Jackets beat Miami 64-54. I’ll point out as well that Notre Dame is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after allowing less than 50 points in its previous contest, while Georgia Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games against a team with a winning road record. The Irish are dealing with injury issues (Farrell questionable, Colson out), while the Yellow Jackets are surging. I like GT to take care of business on its home floor and in its conference opener. Play on the Yellow Jackets. Good luck…Larry |
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01-09-18 | Georgetown v. St. John's -8 | Top | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on St. John’s (6:30 EST). The 11-4 Georgetown Hoyas are in St. John’s to take on the 10-6 Red Storm and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Red Storm. Georgetown enters off a 90-66 home loss to Creighton, while St. John’s fell 91-74 to DePaul in its latest action. If recent history is any precedence though, then the Red Storm have to be loving their chances tonight, as note that St. John’s has take two of the last three in the series, including a 74-73 win in the Big East Tournament. The Hoyas average 80.6 PPG and concede 69.9. Center Jessie Govan leads the nightly charge with 18.1 PPG. The Red Storm average 73.6 PPG and concede 68.2. Bashir Ahmed was a bright spot in the latest loss and he’s now scored 21 points in back-to-back games. I’ll point out that Georgetown is just 1-2 ATS in its last three as an underdog, while St. John’s is already 2-1 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival. St. John’s is the more desperate side as it comes in having lost four straight. I’m expecting a decisive victory. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-09-18 | Penn State +1 v. Indiana | 70-74 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 48 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on Penn State (6:30 EST). The 12-5 Penn State Nittany Lions are in Indiana to take on the 9-7 Hoosiers and in my opinion, all signs point to this one favoring the visitors. Penn State enters off a big 78-63 home win over Northwestern on Friday, while Indiana beat Minnesota 75-71 in its latest action. Note that this is a big time revenge scenario for the Nittany Lions after the Hoosiers secured both match ups last year. Penn State averages 77.8 PPG and it concedes 64.8. Tony Carr leads the team with 18.3 PPG. Indiana averages 74.7 PPG and it concedes 72.3. Clearly the margin for error is pretty thin for the Hoosiers, who I think have a predictable letdown here after their big upset win over the Gophers on the road. Guard Robert Johnson came up huge with 28 points and seven boards in that one. However I’ll point out that Penn State is 2-1 ATS in its last three after holding its previous opponent to 64 points or less, while Indiana is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a straight-up victory. The Hoosiers ranks 321st in the country in three-point defense, while the Nittany Lions have been sharp from range this year, shooting just under 38 percent. Penn State has five players averaging in double figures and I simply can’t see the home side matching pace down the stretch. Play on the Nittany Lions. Good luck…Larry |
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01-07-18 | Iowa +9.5 v. Maryland | 73-91 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on Iowa (8:00 EST). The 9-8 Iowa Hawkeyes are at Maryland to take on the 13-4 Terrapins and while I’m not going to be so bold as to predict an outright upset, I do believe that the pieces are in place for a much more competitive affair than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Iowa is going to be desperate here as it’s 0-4 so far in league play, with losses to Penn State (77-73), Michigan (75-68), to Indiana (77-64) and to Ohio State (92-81) Maryland is so far 2-1 in conference action, most recently getting crushed by 30 to No. 1 Michigan State on the road Thursday. Iowa comes in averaging 81.2 PPG, while conceding 74.1. Tyler Cook leads the nightly charge with 15.2 points and 6.6 boards per game. Maryland averages 76.9 PPG and it concedes 65. Anthony Cowan averages 16.2 points and 4.5 assists per game. I’ll point out that Iowa is 4-3 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Maryland is already just 4-5 ATS this season against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest. As mentioned off the top, I think Iowa coms to play today and keeps it competitive down the stretch. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-07-18 | Arizona State v. Utah +2 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Utah (8:00 EST). Arizona State comes in off back-to-back losses and I think it looks primed for a letdown here as well. Most recently the Sun Devils fell to Arizona and Colorado respectively. The Utes will look to take advantage and to bounce back from a loss of their own. After winning three of four, Utah enters off a 12 point loss to Arizona. Arizona State has five players which average in double figures, led by Tra Holder with 22 points per game. The Sun Devils average 90 PPG, but they face a stiff test tonight. Utah also has five players averaging double figures. The Utes average 76.1 PPG and have been tough on the defensive end of the floor. Especially at home. Keep your eyes on David Collette, who averages 13.6 PPG. I’ll point out as well that Arizona State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after losing at OT game in its previous contest in which it gave up 90 points or more (lost to Colorado in OT 90-81 last time out), while Utah is 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 90 points or more (lost 94-82 to the Wildcats.) I think Utah has the fire-power to match pace and I believe the home side has a clear advantage on the defensive side as well. Play on the Utes. Good luck…Larry |
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01-07-18 | College of Charleston v. Towson -2 | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on Towson (2:00 EST). The 11-4 Charleston Cougars get ready to battle the 11-5 Towson Tigers on Sunday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Tigers. This is a revenge game for Towson after it fell 73-62 at Charleston just last week. In that game, Cougars’ junior Jarrell Brantley led the way with 24 points. Charleston though comes to town off a shocking 87-82 loss in OT to Drexel and I think it’s primed for another letdown here against this revenge minded Towson side. In their last game the Cougars shot just 41.7 percent against the Dragons and only 6 of 19 from range. Charleston would also go on to allow Drexel to shoot 56.9 percent from the floor. Note that the Tigers broke a four-game slide by bouncing back from the loss to Charleston with a convincing 89-71 home win over UNCW on Friday. Towson forced 17 turnovers against the Seahawks, while also also winning the rebound battle by eight. The Tigers would also go on to shoot 12 of 22 from range and 54 percent overall, led by Mike Morsell with 24 points. I’ll point out as well that Charleston is just 1-2 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Towson is 2-1 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season and 11-3 ATS in its last 14 trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, play on Towson. Good luck…Larry |
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01-06-18 | Duke v. NC State +11.5 | Top | 85-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH is on NC State (8:00 EST). I think that NC State is the “hungrier” and more focused team. NC State enters having dropped two straight on the road in ACC play. Duke most recently smashed Evansville by 64 points and then held on for dear life in a 100-93 victory over Florida State on December 30th. Marvin Bagley III had 32 points and 21 boards. NC State is out to atone for back to back poor performances, getting blown out at Clemson and then again 88-58 at Notre Dame in their most recent setback. Senior guard Allerik Freeman was a bright spot with 13 points in that one. I’ll point out though that the Wolfpack have in fact performed extremely well in this spot over the years, going 6-2 ATS in their last eight after scoring 60 points or less in their previous contest. Conversely, note that Duke is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 92 points or more in its previous outing. NC State lost to Duke 84-82 last season and I believe that the conditions are once again correct for a very competitive affair. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-06-18 | Princeton v. Pennsylvania -1.5 | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 50 h 32 m | Show | |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on Pennsylvania (7:00 EST). The Princeton Tigers have won five of their last six, including over Akron and Hawaii most recently. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a letdown here. Penn on the other hand had won four in a row, before then falling to Toledo last week. Princeton opened the year by going 2-6, but it’s since gone 5-1. The Tigers have been effective shooting the ball during the turnaround, hitting 48.5 percent overall, including 41 percent from range. The Quakers though have the firepower to match their opponent today. Note that six different players have led Pennsylvania in single-game scoring this year. The Quakers have now scored at least 90 points four times this season, but they’ll be out to atone for a rather lacklustre 85-72 loss at home to Toledo last time out. I’ll point out as well that Princeton has already struggled mightily in this spot for bettors this season, going just 2-4 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Pennsylvania has done well in this position over the years by going a perfect 3-0 ATS as home favorite of three points or less or pick. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement I think, as Princeton has won eight straight in the series. The tables have turned now though in my opinion and I look for the “hungrier” revenge-minded team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on Pennsylvania. Good luck…Larry |
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01-06-18 | Arizona v. Colorado +9.5 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on Colorado (2:00 EST). The 12-3 Arizona Wildcats are at the 9-6 Colorado Buffaloes on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Arizona comes in of a 93-84 road win over Utah in its latest action, while Colorado comes in off an upset 88-84 victory over Arizona State. Note that this is a double revenge game for the Buffs after they lost both meetings last year. Arizona averages 84.2 PPG and concedes 72.2. Deandre Ayton had 24 points and 14 boards in his team’s latest victory. Colorado averages 75.4 PPG and concedes 74.2. The Buffaloes though looked pretty good in their 90-81 OT win over fourth-ranked Arizona State on Thursday to move to 2-1 in conference action. The Buffs looked particularly impressive on the defensive end, limiting Arizona State to just 36 percent from the floor. McKinley Wright IV finished with 19 points and five assists. I’ll point out as well that Arizona is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven following an ATS win and just 2-7-1 ATS in its last ten against teams with a winning straight up record, while Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home underdog. Arizona has allowed 78 and 82 points respectively over its last two games, so I think Colorado has much more than just a “punchers chance” at an outright upset today as well. That said, grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-06-18 | Louisville +8.5 v. Clemson | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Louisville (12:00 EST). The 11-3 Louisville Cardinals are at Clemson to take on the 13-1 Tigers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Louisville comes in having won seven of its last eight, including a 77-51 victory over Pittsburgh at home on Tuesday. Clemson enters having won nine straight, including a 74-70 victory over Boston College on Wednesday. The Cardinals got 19 points from Quentin Snider on Tuesday and out rebounded the Panthers by 15, while also forcing 15 turnovers. Louisville enters averaging 77.4 PPG, while conceding 65.4. Clemson averages 78.1 PPG and concedes 63.1. Marcquise Reed leads the team with 15.3 points, 3.1 assists and 4.9 boards per game. I’ll point out though that Louisville is 3-1 ATS in its last four after holding its previous opponent to 52 points or less, while Clemson is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 70 points or more. David Padgett has done a nice job to keep his team competitive in the wake of the Rick Pitino scandal and while I’m not calling for an outright upset, I do think that the visitors have all the pieces in place to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on Louisville. Good luck…Larry |
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01-05-18 | James Madison +9 v. Hofstra | Top | 81-87 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on James Madison (7:00 EST). While I’m not calling for the outright upset, I do think that the 4-11 James Madison Dukes will keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door with the healthy spread that they’ve been afforded in this one. The Dukes have lost three straight and five of their last six. Hofstra is 8-6, but I think it’s poised for a letdown here after edging Northeastern 71-70 on Tuesday. JMU averages 74.9 PPG and concedes 77.1. One bright spot in their 84-76 setback to William & Mary in their latest action is that the Dukes would go on to force 18 turnovers. Stuckey Mosley leads the nightly charge with 19.3 PPG so far this year. Hofstra averages 77.9 PPG and concedes 77.8. Justin Wright-Foreman had 27 points in the victory over Northeastern and he leads the Pride with 24.4 PPG. I’ll point out though that JMU has performed extremely well in this spot already for bettors this year, going 3-1 ATS on the road and 21-16 ATS in its last 37 following a conference game, while Hofstra is just 1-2 ATS against teams with losing records and only 1-5 ATS in its last six as a home favorite of 6.5 to nine points. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-04-18 | Arizona -4 v. Utah | Top | 94-82 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is in Arizona (9:00 EST). Arizona comes in on top form as it’s now won eight straight, most recently downing Arizona State 84-78 in its first conference test of the year earlier in the week. Alonzo Trier and Deandre Ayton each had 23 points in that one. The Wildcats come in averaging 118.4 PPG per 100 possessions, while limiting their opponents to 97.3 points per 100 possessions. Arizona’s big improvement of late though is definitely on the defensive side of the ball, as it is blocking 11.9 percent of its opponents field goal attempts. Utah looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after opening Pac 12 play with an undefeated 2-0 record, beating Oregon 66-56, before then holding on for a tight 66-64 win at Oregon State. Five players average double figures for the Utes, led by 13.2 points from David Collette. I’ll point out though that the Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last seven in Utah, while the Utes are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after two or more consecutive SU victories. Arizona has two 7-footers in its line-up (Trier and Ayton), which Utah is going to have difficulty matching up against. I think the visitors keep the momentum rolling. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-04-18 | Hawaii +1 v. Long Beach State | 81-89 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmakers Error is on Hawaii (10:00 EST). Hawaii will be eager to show what it can do on the road, as it’s already played 12 of its first 13 games at home this year. The Warriors lost their only road game this year, by 20 in Utah, so there’s no question that they’ll be out for a much better effort this time around. Hawaii though comes to town off a solid 84-59 win over Howard last week. Jack Purchase came off the bench to post 22 points. The Warriors are a relentless team, which loves to attack. In fact, Hawaii’s collects 23.6 percent of its overall points from the charity stripe, which ranks it 14th in that category. LBSU is led by Gabe Levin with 15 PPG, while Bryan Alberts is the only other member to score in double figures with 14. The 49ers have struggled defensively, as opponents have shot 56.3 percent from the floor, which ranks the team 319th in the country. LBSU has been particularly inept in guarding the perimeter, as opponents have hit a massive 57.0 percent from range, which ranks the team 332nd in the NCAA in that category. Additionally I’ll point out that Hawaii is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 60 points or less in its previous contest and already 3-1 ATS this year against teams with losing records, while LBSU is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 60 points or less and just 1-6 ATS this year against teams with winning records. LBSU has faced a stiff opening schedule, but the 49ers weakness on defense plays right into the Warriors strength on offense. I’m banking on Hawaii’s success from three-point range to be just too much for Long Beach State to handle down the stretch. Play on the Warriors. Good luck…Larry |
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01-04-18 | SMU v. Tulane +8.5 | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Tulane (9:00 EST). SMU looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after winning its fifth straight in a 79-39 victory over South Florida at home on Sunday. Tulane though will be eager to return to the winners circle after its three game win streak was snapped in a 65-56 home loss to Tulsa last Sunday. To say this is a “revenge” game for the Green Wave would be a bit of an understatement in my opinion, as SMU has won five straight in the series, including an 80-75 victory in the most recent matchup back on February 15th. SMU averages 75.5 PPG and concedes 58.9. Shake Milton had 14 points in his teams blowout win over South Florida. Tulane averages 76.4 PPG and concedes 70.8. Cameron Reynolds had 15 points in his team’s latest loss. Melvin Fraser leads the team overall with 17 points, plus 5.9 boards and 3.3 assists per game. I’ll point out though that SMU is just 3-4 ATS this year against teams with winning records and just 1-3 ATS after allowing 60 points or less, while Tulane is 2-1 ATS in its last three against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per game. Tulane is 7-1 at home this year and it certainly won’t be intimidated. SMU has a fight on its hands tonight and while I won’t be so bold as to predict the outright upset, all signs point to this one being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points, play on Tulane. Good luck…Larry |
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01-04-18 | Houston +9 v. Wichita State | 63-81 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on Houston (7:00 EST). The 12-2 Houston Cougars are at the 11-2 Wichita State Shockers on Thursday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Cougars. Houston enters off a 76-73 win over Temple, while Wichita State comes in off a 72-62 road win over UConn. Houston has won four straight. The Cougars average 80.6 PPG and concede 66.6. The Cougars out rebounded the Owls 42-27 and Breaon Brady led the way with a season-high 21 points. Rob Gray leads the team overall with 19 PPG average. Wichita State averages 84.7 points and concedes 70.2. The Shockers have won three straight, most recently getting 16 points from Landry Shamet in the victory over Connecticut. I’ll point out though that Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road, while Wichita State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. The Cougars are limiting their opponents to just 39.7 percent shooting this year and are also a strong rebounding team. Outright, straight-up victory? Possibly of course. But in the end, I’ll recommend grabbing the points as I expect this one to be competitive until the final moments. Good luck…Larry |
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01-04-18 | Ohio State v. Iowa -1 | 92-81 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 12 m | Show | |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on Iowa (7:00 EST). The 11-4 Ohio State Buckeyes are in Iowa to take on the 9-7 Hawkeyes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. As mentioned in my promo, this play narrowly missed out on being a top rated 10* selection. All of the pieces are in place for a comfortable victory for the home side though in my opinion. Ohio State bounced back from a loss to UNC to beat Miami Ohio last Saturday, while Iowa had its five game win streak snapped in a loss to Michigan on Tuesday. Ohio State got 19 points, nine boards and five blocks from Keita Bates-Dion in the win over the Redhawks. Iowa is going to be the more desperate team here in my opinion, as its still winless in Big Ten play after its 75-68 setback to Michigan at home on Tuesday (the Hawkeyes have also lost to Penn State, 77-73 and Indiana, 77-64.) Tyler Cook had 28 points and eight boards in his team’s latest loss: “Learn from it and flush this one is the most important thing,” Cook assessed following the setback against Michigan. “As a unit we need to make sure we’re picking each other up and to a man we need to do better.” I’ll point out as well that Ohio State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven against teams with winning records and only 12-30-1 ATS in its last 43 road games overall, while Iowa is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games and 3-1-2 ATS in its last six against teams with winning records. Ohio State hasn’t beaten Iowa on the road since 2014. I believe the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on Iowa. Good luck…Larry |
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01-03-18 | NC State +9 v. Notre Dame | Top | 58-88 | Loss | -145 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on NC State (9:00 EST). The 10-4 NC State Wolfpack are in Notre Dame to take on the 11-3 Irish and while I’m not going to predict an outright upset, I do believe that the conditions are right for a much more competitive affair than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Notre Dame comes in a tiny bit complacent after three straight wins, while NC State enters focused after its two game win streak was snapped in a loss at Clemson last Saturday. The Wolfpack couldn’t get anything going in the 78-62 loss to the Tigers. Regardless of the sub-par effort though, NC State sill averages 84.3 PPG, while conceding just 70.6. Allerik Freeman leads the nightly charge 15.4 PPG. The Irish come in off a 68-59 victory over Georgia Tech. Before its three-game win skein though, Notre Dame had dropped three of five. The Irish now have to deal with a significant injury that occurred a couple of days ago in practice, as senior forward Bonzie Colson, who led the team in scoring (21.4) and rebounds (10.4) is now out for at least eight weeks with a fracture in his foot. And for me, that’s going to be the difference maker here. Notre Dame is going to be forced to go through a transition period as it tries to figure out how to fill the void. For all the reasons listed above, play on NC State. Good luck…Larry |
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01-02-18 | Towson -2 v. Elon | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on Towson (7:00 EST). The 10-4 Towson Tigers get ready to battle the 9-5 Elon Phoenix on Tuesday and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Towson will be desperate here. The Tigers opened the season with ten straight victories, but they come in having lost three straight. Elon on the other hand comes in complacent, it’s won three of four, including two straight, most recently a 90-75 win over Drexel on Saturday. Towson averages 72 PPG and concedes 67.5. Zane Martin leads the team with an average of 18.1 PPG, while Mike Morsell chips in 12.5 per contest. The Phoenix average 74.5 PPG and concede 72.7. Dainan Swoope leads the nightly charge with an average of 15.1 PPG. I’ll point out though that this is a spot in which the Tigers have excelled in for bettors, going 8-6 ATS in their last 14 off a loss against a conference rival, while Elon is 0-5 ATS in its last five as a home dog of three points or less or pick. I like Towson to get back on track after an extended Christmas Break. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-31-17 | Washington State +14.5 v. USC | Top | 71-89 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on Washington State (9:00 EST). Washington State comes in off a hard-fought 96-82 road loss to UCLA on Thursday, while USC had its three game win streak snapped in an 88-81 home loss to Washington. Note that this is a big time revenge game for the Cougars, who have lost four straight in the series, including an 87-64 setback last year. Washington State averages 77 PPG and concedes 74.6. After starting the year 7-1, the Cougars have now dropped four of their last six. Robert Franks led the charge in the conference opening setback with 20 points and eight boards. The Trojans average 81.5 PPG and concede 74.1. In USC’s latest loss, Chimeize Metu posted 26 points. Metu leads the nightly charge with an average of 18.6 points, plus 8.1 boards per game. I’ll point out though that WSU has performed extremely well in this spot for bettors all year, going 5-1 ATS against good offensive schools which average 77-plus points per contest and 4-2 ATS as an underdog, while USC is just 3-5 ATS at home and only 15-17 ATS in its last 32 against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per game. I’m not predicting an outright victory, but all signs point to a much closer affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-30-17 | Boise State v. UNLV -6 | 83-74 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on UNLV (11:00 EST). Both teams enters at 11-2 on the season. Boise State allows just 65 PPG, while UNLV averages 91.2 PPG. Boise State enters off a 93-71 win over Colorado State. Chandler Hutchinson led the way with 24 points, as the Broncos would go 12 of 28 from range. The Rebels though have four players that average over 12.8 PPG, led by Brandon McCoy with 18.9 points, plus 10.9 boards. Additionally I’ll point out that Boise State has struggled in this spot for bettors for a while now, going just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 following a SU win, while UNLV is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after scoring 90 points or more in its previous contest and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 at home. The Runnin’ Rebels of UNLV won’t be lacking for motivation tonight as they kick off their conference schedule in front of the home town crowd. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-30-17 | Loyola Marymount +4 v. Pacific | Top | 82-88 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Loyola Marymount (10:00 EST). Loyola Marymount comes in off a humbling 87-59 loss to St. Mary’s. LMU is a bad team, but fortunately for the Lions they’re facing another terrible school. One bright spot in Loyola Marymount’s latest setback was the play of Eli Scott, who came off the bench to finish with 13 points, five assists, two boards and a steal. Pacific has lost five straight, most recently an 81-48 setback to Gonzaga. The Tigers were just 19 of 57 from the floor, also missing nine of 12 from range. Pacific looked completely inept, as not a single player would go on to finish with double digits. I’ll point out as well that LMU is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games against a team with a losing home record and 10-4-2 ATS in its last 16 following an ATS loss, while Pacific is interestingly just 7-17 ATS in its last 24 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Loyola Marymount has more talent and while I wouldn’t be completely shocked by the outright upset of course, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Good luck…Larry |
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12-29-17 | Utah +9 v. Oregon | Top | 66-56 | Win | 100 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND is on Utah (10:00 EST). This is the opener of the Pac 12 schedule for each team and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a very competitive battle. Utah enters at 8-3, while Oregon is 10-3. Utah averages 77.5 PPG and concedes 67.9 Oregon averages 85.3 points and concedes 70.8. The Utes come in having alternated wins/losses over their last five, but do enter off a convincing 84-62 victory over Northwestern State on Wednesday. David Collette leads the team with 13.5 PPG, but five players in total average in double digits. The Ducks lost a bunch of the core players from last year’s Final Four team, but so far they’ve lived up to expectations. Payton Pritchard leads the team with 16.3 points, 4.6 assists and 1.3 steals per game. Collette is out for the Utes in this one, but as mentioned off the top, this is a Utah line-up which features a ton of depth. Also note that the Utes have in fact excelled in this spot for bettors by going 20-15 ATS in their last 35 after scoring 80 points or more in their previous contest. Conversely, this has been a position in which the Ducks have struggled in, going just 3-4 ATS already this year after scoring 80 points or more and a poor 1-4 ATS against schools with winning records. I’m not calling for an outright upset, but everything points to a nail-biting battle in my opinion. Grab the points, play on Utah. Good luck…Larry |
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12-28-17 | Bradley -1 v. Drake | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Bradley (8:00 EST). The 10-3 Bradley Braves get ready to battle the 6-7 Drake Bulldogs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Braves. Bradley had won three in a row before falling to Ole Miss 82-59 in its most recent action. Darrell Brown was a bright spot with 16 points, three boards and five assists. The Bulldogs come in off a win, routing lowly Maryland E. Shore 81-57. Reed Timmer led the way with 21 points, five boards and six assists. The Braves have done well in this spot for bettors and I expect these strong trends to continue here, note that they’re already 3-0 ATS against teams with losing records this season, 6-1 ATS when playing the role of favorite and 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing with five or six days rest. Conversely, this is a spot in which Drakes has struggled in, going just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a home dog of three points or less or pick and only 6-8 ATS in its last 14 after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest. For all the reasons listed above, play on Bradley. Good luck…Larry |
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12-27-17 | Villanova v. DePaul +15 | Top | 103-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on DePaul (7:30 EST). The 12-0 Villanova Wildcats get ready to battle the 7-5 DePaul Blue Demons on Wednesday night and while I’m not calling for an outright victory, I do definitely feel this is a few too many points to be giving up here. Villanova enters off a 95-71 win over Hofstra in its latest action, while DePaul comes in off an 83-66 home victory over Miami Ohio. Note that this is a revenge game for the Blue Demons, who dropped both games to the Wildcats last year, falling 68-65 and 75-62. Villanova averages 86.5 PPG and concedes just 64.2. Guard Mikal Bridges averages 17.3 points plus 5.8 boards per game. DePaul has in fact won six of seven. The Blue Demons average 74.1 points and concede 67.8. Max Strus leads the team in scoring and he had 21 points in their most recent victory. I’ll point out though that Villanova is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a road fav in the 15.5 to 18 points range, while DePaul is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a home dog of 15.5 points or more and already 5-2 ATS this season against teams with winning records. Clearly Villanova is the better team. That said, DePaul won’t simply be rolling over here. The Blue Demons were competitive in both losses last year and I expect another spirited affair this evening as well. As stated off the top, no upset here, but look for a much closer than expected battle and grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-23-17 | Southern Miss +13 v. Mississippi State | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH is on Southern Miss. While I’m going to stop short in calling for an outright victory, I do think that the Golden Eagles come to play tonight after their humbling 98-45 loss to FSU last time out. Southern Miss is led by Cortez Griffin with 16.6 PPG. The Golden Eagles played poorly in the loss to the Seminoles, turning the ball over 20 times. Southern Mississippi’s weakness comes on the defensive side of the ball, but the Golden Eagles do catch a bit of a break in that department today going up against a Bulldogs team that gets the job done most nights with its smothering defensive play. Opponents are shooting just 42.7 percent from the floor against Mississippi State, which ranks 21st in the country. Quinndary Weatherspoon leads the way with 14.5 points, 4.5 assists and 1.6 steals per game. I’ll point out though that Southern Miss is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 after allowing 80 points or more and 15-8 ATS in its last 23 after scoring 60 points or less, while Mississippi State is just 2-4 ATS as a favorite this season and only 1-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less (also just 2-5 ATS in non-conference games.) As mentioned off the top, I’m not expecting the outright upset, but all signs point to a much closer affair than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-23-17 | Long Beach State +6.5 v. Colorado State | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on Long Beach State (4:00 EST). The 5-9 LBSU 49ers get ready to battle the 6-6 Colorado State Rams and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the 49ers. LBSU has dropped two straight to Eastern Michigan and Michigan State, while Colorado State has won two straight over Texas State and Arkansas-Fort Smith. The 49ers average 75.5 PPG. Gabe Levin had 22 points and eight boards in the 85-80 loss to Eastern Michigan, and then 14 points and five boards in the 102-60 loss to the Spartans. The Rams returned three players with considerable starting experience from last years squad. Prentiss Nixon averages 18.1 PPG so far this year. I’ll point out though that LBSU is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range and already 3-1 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while Colorado State is 1-2 ATS as a favorite this season and just 2-6 ATS in all non-conference games. I think the 49ers are the much hungrier team here. Grab as many points as you can, play on LBSU. Good luck…Larry |
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12-22-17 | Villanova v. Hofstra +22 | Top | 95-71 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH is on Hofstra (8:30 EST). The 7-4 Hofstra Pride get ready to battle the 11-0 Villanova Wildcats on Friday night and while I’m obviously not calling for the outright upset, I do expect the Pride to keep this one closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Hofstra had won four in a row before a 63-61 setback to Manhattan on Wednesday. Justin Wright-Foreman was a standout once again in that one with 23 points. Wright-Foreman has now scored at least 22 points in six consecutive games. The Wildcats routed the Owls 87-67 in their latest action. Jalen Brunson scored a career-high 31 points in that one. The Pride though have performed well in this spot for bettors and I expect that to carry over here, as note that Hofstra is 3-1 ATS in its last four against teams with winning records, while Villanova is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a neutral court favorite between 18.5 to 24 points. I think Villanova gets caught “looking past” its lowly opponent to its Christmas break and I look for hungry Hofstra to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample spread it’s been afforded. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-21-17 | Portland State v. California -3 | Top | 106-81 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on California (11:00 EST). The 9-3 Portland State Vikings get ready to battle the 6-6 Cal Golden Bears on Thursday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Bears. Portland State looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after winning five of its last six, including a 116-71 rout of lowly Linfield College in its latest action. In that one Deonta North had 27 points and five steals. Cal is rolling with three straight victories, but it won’t be taking the foot off the gas tonight or “looking past” its opponent after a disastrous start to the 2017/18 campaign. The 81-59 win over Seattle in its latest action pushed the team just one game over the .500 mark. Darius McNeill led the way with 20 points in that one. I’ll point out though that Portland State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after playing three consecutive road games, while Cal is 6-3 ATS in its last nine against poor defensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest. The Vikings have been an ATS cashing machine this year, but the conditions and numbers point to a letdown here. Lay the points, play on Cal. Good luck…Larry |
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12-21-17 | Long Beach State +27 v. Michigan State | 60-102 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Long Beach State (7:00 EST). The 5-8 LBSU 49ers get ready to battle the 11-1 Michigan State Spartans and while I’m not going to call for an outright upset, I do believe that the underdog can keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. LBSU comes in off a tough 85-80 home loss to EMU, while MSU was most recently seen crushing Houston Baptist 107-62 on Monday. The 49ers average 75.5 PPG and concede 83.5. Gabe Levin had 22 points and eight boards in his teams latest setback. The Spartans average 82.9 points, while conceding just 62.3. They’ve already beaten UNC and Notre Dame, with their only loss coming to Duke in their second outing of the year. I’ll point out though that LBSU is 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while MSU is interestingly just 1-3 ATS in its last four against poor defensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest. I think MSU gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today to its Christmas break and I expect the capable 49ers to take advantage. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-21-17 | Western Illinois +17 v. Butler | 46-107 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Western Illinois (7:00 EST). The 7-3 Western Illinois Leathernecks get ready to battle the 9-3 Butler Bulldogs on Thursday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Leathernecks. Western Illinois saw its two game win streak snapped in a loss to Eastern Illinois last time out. Guard Dalan Ancrum led the way with 14 points. Ancrum leads the nightly charge with 17.3 PPG and 5.3 RPG. Butler bounced back from a loss to Purdue with a win over Morehead State in its latest action. In that one Bulldogs’ forward Kelan Martin posted 20 points. I’ll point out though that the under the radar Leathernecks have performed extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1-1 TS in their last six on the road and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine overall. Butler on the other hand is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after holding its previous opponent to 70 points or less. Western Illinois is a good team. Note that in one of its only two losses this year, it fell in double OT to Miami Ohio. I like the Leathernecks to match pace down the stretch and keep this one competitive late. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-20-17 | Manhattan v. Hofstra -7 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Hofstra (7:00 EST). Hofstra has won four straight after beating Stony Brook last week and I look for the Pride to carry that momentum over here. This is the fourth straight year in which the Pride have posted a win streak of late least four games. In the latest victory, Hofstra’s Justin Wright-Foreman posted 33 points. Wright-Foreman is the team points leader with 23.1 per game. Manhattan enters on the other end of the spectrum, just 4-6 overall, recently falling 80-66 to Tulsa on Saturday. Rich Williams leads the nightly charge for the Jaspers with 15.3 PPG. Note that this is a big time revenge game for Hofstra here as well after the Jaspers earned the 80-68 victory last season. Additionally I’ll point out that Manhattan is just 1-2 ATS already this year against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while Hofstra is already 2-0 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest. For all the reasons listed above, play on Hofstra. Good luck…Larry |
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12-19-17 | Pepperdine v. Weber State -7 | Top | 67-72 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Weber State (9:00 EST). The 3-8 Pepperdine Waves get ready to battle the 5-5 Weber State Wildcats and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Waves have lost two straight, most recently falling to Belmont. Colbey Ross led the charge in that one with 14 points. Kameron Edwards leads the team overall with 15.9 points and 6.8 boards per game. Weber State enters on the other end of the spectrum, as the Wildcats snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff in their latest action, led by 30 points from Jerrick Harding. Harding leads the team with an average of 20.6 PPG, while Brekkott Chapman chips in 14 per night. I’ll point out that Pepperdine has struggled in this spot for bettors, going just 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine following an ATS loss and just 5-16 ATS in its last 21 on the road, while Weber State is 5-0 ATS in its last five at home and 4-0 ATS in its last four against the West Coast Conference. For all the reasons listed above, play on Weber State. Good luck…Larry |
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12-19-17 | Drake +10.5 v. South Dakota State | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Drake (8:00 EST). The 5-6 Drake Bulldogs get ready to battle the 9-5 South Dakota State Jackrabbits and while I’ll stop short in calling for an outright victory, I do think that the Bulldogs can keep this one competitive until the final moments. We don’t have to question the Bulldogs’ motivation levels tonight, as they enter having lost five of their last six, most recently to Minnesota and Iowa. In the loss to the Hawkeyes, Nick McGlynn led the way with 14 points. Reed Timmer leads the team overall with 20.0 PPG. South Dakota State on the other hand comes in off a loss to Colorado and I think its primed for another letdown here. Mike Daum had 37 points in the losing cause last time out. From a trend based stand point, this one definitely favors the visitors though, as note that Drake is already 5-3 ATS this year in non-conference games and still 8-4 ATS in its last 12 against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while South Dakota State is already 0-2 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more in its previous outing. For all the reasons listed above, play on Drake. Good luck…Larry |
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12-19-17 | Buffalo +11 v. Syracuse | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Buffalo (7:00 EST). The 7-3 Buffalo Bulls get ready to battle the 9-1 Syracuse Orange and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Bulls. The Orange look ripe for a letdown here in my opinion after winning three straight. The Bulls will look to take advantage and build off an 86-70 win over Robert Morris in their latest action. Buffalo has now won three straight as well. So far the Bulls average 82.1 PPG, while conceding 76.5. CJ Massinburg had 23 points and ten boards for his third straight double-double in his team’s latest win. The Orange average 73.6 PPG and concede 63.4. Oshae Brissett is averaging 14.7 points and 9.7 boards per game. I’ll point out though that Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games and interestingly, 4-1 ATS in its last five against the ACC, while Syracuse is 0-6 ATS in its last six following an ATS victory and just 1-4 ATS in its last five at home. While I’m not calling for an outright victory, I do think the Bulls can catch the Orange a little complacent here and I expect them to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on Buffalo. Good luck…Larry |
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12-18-17 | Charleston Southern v. Florida State -28 | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Florida State (7:00 EST). FSU led by a point with ten seconds left, before Oklahoma State scored the deciding bucket with time winding off the clock in its latest action. Now the Seminoles look to bounce back and take out their frustrations after their first loss of the year. "We're in a conference where you can't get caught up in streaks, because nobody in the ACC is going to go undefeated," ‘Noles coach Leonard Hamilton assessed afterwards. "It doesn't happen. Tonight we played against a team that played a little better than us." The combination of Terance Mann and Phil Cofer combined for 42 points, 18 boards and five steals in the setback. Charleston Southern has lost three straight, most recently a 70-65 setback to Eastern Kentucky. Christian Keeling was the only player for the Buccaneers to score more than ten points, finishing with 26. FSU has four players that average double-digits this season. Additionally I’ll point out that Charleston Southern is 0-2 ATS in its last two non-conference games, while FSU is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest. For all the reasons listed above, play on Florida State. Good luck…Larry |
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12-17-17 | San Francisco +7.5 v. Stanford | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on San Francisco (6:00 EST). San Francisco comes in having won three in a row, most recently a 13 point win over UC Davis. Here’s the perfect opponent to try and score a big upset on, as Stanford has struggled for the most part this season, coming into this one sporting a 5-6 record (the Dons are 6-3.) Granted the Cardinal have been better at home than on the road, but I still definitely think that these two teams are much more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. In the win over Davis, San Francisco was led by Frankie Ferrari, who had 19 points off the bench. In Stanford’s 13 point win over Denver, Daejon Davis and Reid Travis each contributed 20 points. I’ll point out though that the Dons are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games following three or more consecutive home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against schools with a losing straight up record, while Stanford is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against teams with a winning SU record and 0-5 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory. USF is playing well and think it’ll keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-16-17 | Georgia State v. Dayton -3.5 | Top | 83-88 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Dayton (7:00 EST). The 7-3 Georgia State Panthers get ready to battle the 4-5 Dayton Flyers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Flyers. The Panthers looked poised for a letdown in my opinion after winning four of their last five. Conversely, Dayton is going to be risking life and limb here as it comes in having lost three of its last four, most recently falling at Penn last weekend. Georgia State is led by guard D’Marcus Simonds, who had 33 points in his team’s 90-70 victory over lowly Point University in their latest action. In Dayton’s 78-70 home loss to Penn last Saturday, junior forward Xeyrius Williams sat out with a minor injury, but he’s expected back for this one. Williams averages 8.8 points, 5.3 boards and 4.3 assists per game. I’ll point out as well that the Panthers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road against teams with winning home records and just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games following three or more consecutive home contests, while the Flyers are 5-0 ATS in their last five following a loss and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS setback. Dayton is the deeper and hungrier team. Beyond Simonds the Panthers are pretty thin and they now face some real competition that’s focused on the task at hand. I believe Georgia State stumbles down the stretch and the under-acheiving Flyers find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-15-17 | UC-Davis +5.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 61-74 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on UC Davis (11:00 EST). 7-2 UC Davis gets ready to battle 5-3 San Francisco and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Aggies. Note that this game is a part of the Las Vegas Classic. UC Davis has already beaten Washington State this season and its two losses have been by single digits. Most recently the Aggies throttled NAIA school William Jessup 86-52. Rogers Printup nailed six 3-pointers and finished with 20 points. The Dons have won two straight, including an 81-71 victory over Eastern Washington Decmeber 7th. Mattt McCarthy led the way in that one with 17 points. Overall San Francisco has struggled from the floor though this year, shooting 39.1 percent collectively, including 30.6 percent from range. Additionally I’ll point out that UC Davis is 4-0 ATS in its last four as a road dog, while San Francisco is 0-8 ATS in its last eight against teams with a winning straight-up record. I think these teams are very evenly matched and I believe the winner will be the side that has its hands on the ball last. As such, I’m going to recommend grabbing the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-13-17 | Portland State v. Oregon -13.5 | Top | 84-95 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND is on Oregon (10:00 EST). Portland State is 7-2. Deontae North leads the nightly charge with 19.2 points per game, while Bryce Canda chips in 16.4 points and 6.9 boards per game. Oregon is 7-3. Despite the loss of several key players from last season’s team which made a Final Four appearance, expectations are still very high for this year’s Ducks squad as well. Payton Richard leads the way with 15.8 points and 4.4 assists per night, while Elijah Brown adds 12.3 per game. Portland State is 8-0 ATS this year. Suffice it to say, I think that streak comes to an end tonight. I’ll point out though that the Pilots are still just 1-2 ATS in their last three after scoring 85 points or more in their previous contest (they’ve won four straight, most recently an 87-84 win over South Carolina), while the Ducks are already 4-1 ATS this season as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. Oregon knows how good Portland State is and won’t be “looking past.” I expect the deeper overall team to take advantage of familar surroundings and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable SU/ATS win/cover. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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12-12-17 | Murray State -1.5 v. St. Louis | Top | 55-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Murray State (8:00 EST). Murray State is 6-1, while Saint Louis is 4-5. The Racers are at home against lowly Marist on Saturday, while the Billikens can’t help themselves in looking ahead to their big Pac 12 matchup against Oregon State next weekend. Murray State comes in on top form, winner of five straight. Terrell Miller had 25 points in the win over Illinois State last Saturday. The Billikens have struggled with offensive consistency at times and have been poor in this spot for bettors for a while now, going just 4-15 ATS in their last 19 against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest and just 7-18 ATS in their last 25 non-conference games. Conversely, this is a spot in which Murray State has excelled, going 3-1 ATS this year in non-conference contests and 2-0 ATS when playing the role of favorite. For all the reasons listed above, play on Murry State. Good luck…Larry |
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12-11-17 | Texas Southern +19.5 v. Oregon | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on Texas Southern (10:00 EST). The 0-8 Texas Southern Tigers are in Oregon to take on the 6-3 Ducks and while I’m not calling for an outright upset, I do definitely expect the visitors to keep this one a lot more interesting than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Texas Southern comes in off a tough 71-69 loss to Toledo, led by Donte Clark with 27 points. Demontrae Jefferson chipped in 25 points and three assists. So far the Tigers average 73.5 PPG. The Ducks average 86.2 PPG. Oregon gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today though in my opinion after its 95-65 rout of Colorado State in its latest action. Elijah Brown had 20 points, while Kenny Wooten added 13 points in that one. I’ll point out though that Texas Southern is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 following a SU loss, while Oregon is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after holding its previous opponent to 65 points or less. I like the desperate visiting side to comfortably sneak in through the back door with the large spread that it’s been afforded. Play on Texas Southern. Good luck…Larry |
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12-09-17 | Alabama +8.5 v. Arizona | Top | 82-88 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONF GAME OF THE YEAR is on Alabama (10:00 EST). Alabama comes to town off a 68-64 home win over Rhode Island, while Arizona held on for a 67-64 win over Texas A&M in its latest action. The Crimson Tide average 79 PPG and concede just 69.8. Donta Hall had 13 points, while Daniels Giddens and John Petty each chipped in 12 in the Tides most recent victory. The Wildcats average 83.6 PPG and concdes 73.0. The Aggies were ranked No. 7 in the nation at the time, so Arizona clearly has to be feeling pretty good about itself after its latest victory. Four different players scored exactly 13 points apiece. I’ll point out though that Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Arizona is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a home fav in the same points range. The Tide haven’t played particularly well of late, while the Wildcats come in off their biggest win of the year. Desperation breeds motivation and winning leads to complacency though. While I’m not calling for the outright upset, I do definitely feel that the Crimson Tide will give the Wildcats everything they can handle tonight. Grab the points, play on Alabama. Good luck…Larry |
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12-09-17 | Pacific +9.5 v. Wyoming | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on Pacific (6:00 EST). Pacific enters off a 71-67 road loss to UC-Davis. Anthony Townes was a bright spot with 16 points and ten boards. Roberto Gallinat was also a stand out, going 7 of 13 from the floor for a team-high 19 points. Wyoming returns home off back-to-back road losses itself, most recently falling 80-64 at South Carolina, hitting just 33.9 percent from the floor, including only six of 25 from range. Justin James led the way with 20 points and 12 boards. I think Pacific has a group which can keep this one competitive. The Tigers matchup well against the Cowboys and note that they’re 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine road games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. Wyoming on the other hand is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after faling to register 65 or more points in its previous outing. I’m not calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a “nail biter.” Grab the points, play on Pacific. Good luck…Larry |
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12-09-17 | Indiana +11 v. Louisville | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmaker’s Error is on Indiana (2:00 EST). The 5-4 Indiana Hoosiers get ready to battle the 5-2 Louisville Cardinals on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Hoosiers. Louisville comes in off a win over Siena, while Indiana ended a two-game slide with a win over Iowa on Monday. The Hoosiers forced 18 turnovers and four players averaged double-figures in the 77-64 win over Iowa. Keep your eyes on Juwan Morgan, who leads the team with an average of 13.8 points and 6.3 rebounds per game. Cardinals forward Deng Adel had 18 points in his teams 86-70 win over Siena on Wednesday. I’ll point out though that Indiana is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 65 points or less in its previous contest, while Louisville is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 85 points or more in its previous contest. The Cardinals have won 59 of their last 61 non conference games at home and while I’m not calling for that streak to end, I do believe that the Hoosiers have the legs to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points, play on Indiana. Good luck…Larry |
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12-09-17 | Duke -15 v. Boston College | 84-89 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
My 8* PERFECT STORM is on Duke (12:00 EST). The 11-0 Duke Blue Devils get ready to battle the 6-3 Boston College Eagles and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Blue Devils. Boston College enters off an uninspiring 73-61 win over Hartford on December 2nd, while Duke annihilated St. Francis 124-67 in its latest action. Duke’s had some blowout wins, but it’s also been in some battles, beating Texas 85-78 in OT, Michigan State 88-81 and Indiana 91-81 on the road. So far the Blue Devils average 94.2 PPG and concede just 73.9. Marvin Bagley III finished with 21 points and 11 boards in the win over St. Francis. Boston College averages 75.4 PPG and concedes 67. The Eagles won their last game without forward Deontae Hawkins in the lineup, recently injuring himself for the remainder of the season. However, I think that’s bad news facing the Nation’s No. 1 team. Additionally I’ll point out that Duke is 7-0-1 ATS in its last eight on the road, while BC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games. For all the reasons listed above, play on Duke. Good luck…Larry |
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12-09-17 | Youngstown State +26.5 v. Butler | 67-95 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
My 9* SITUATIONAL STUNNER is on Youngstown State (12:00 EST). The 2-7 Youngstown State Penguins are at Butler to take on the 7-2 Bulldogs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Youngstown State enters desperate and off an 89-73 loss at DePaul, marking its fifth straight setback. Butler comes in on the other end of the spectrucm, content after a fourth straight win in an 81-69 victory at home over Utah. The Penguins average 79.8 PPG and concede 82.9. In their loss to DePaul on Saturday Braun Hartfield scored 23 points and added five assists. Butler averages 72.9 PPG and allows 65.9. Kelan Martin had 29 points and 11 boards in the Bulldogs win over Utah. I’ll point out though that Youngstown State is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 after three or more consecutive losses and 4-2 ATS in its last six when playing with five or six days rest, while Butler is just 1-2 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more and just 1-2 ATS in its last three against poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest. I think the Bulldogs have a bit of a mental lapse here facing the lowly Penguins. I’m not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I do definitely feel that the conditions are right for a much closer affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on Youngstown State. Good luck…Larry |
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12-08-17 | Air Force v. UC Riverside +1.5 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on Cal Riverside (10:00 EST). The 5-4 Air Force Falcons get ready to battle the 2-6 UC Riverside Highlanders and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors Cal Riverside. The Falcons most recently fell 62-58 to Abilene Christian on Wednesday, while the Highlanders fell 70-59 to Pepperdine. Air Force averages just 68.6 PPG, while conceding 67.7. In the loss to Albilene Christian, the Falcons shot just 3 of 16 from range. Leading scorer Ryan Manning had just six points in the setback. Cal Riverside averages 63.4 PPG and concedes 71.9. In the loss to Pepperdine, Chance Murray led the charge with 15 points and five boards. I’ll point out though that Air Force has struggled in this spot for bettors for a while now, going just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after scoring 60 points or less and only 5-8 ATS in its last 13 when playing against a team with a losing record. Conversely, Cal Riverside has done well in this position, going 3-1 ATS in its last four after failing to score 60 points in its previous outing. I think the Highlanders are the “hungrier” team in this matchup and that’s going to be the difference maker for me. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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Larry Ness NCAA-B Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +1 | 85-80 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 19 m | Show | |
01-31-18 | Florida State v. Wake Forest +4 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show | |
01-31-18 | Louisville +12 v. Virginia | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
01-30-18 | Rhode Island v. Massachusetts +9.5 | Top | 85-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
01-29-18 | Notre Dame +15 v. Duke | Top | 66-88 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
01-28-18 | Oakland +1 v. Wright State | Top | 51-64 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
01-27-18 | Colorado +10.5 v. Arizona State | 66-80 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
01-27-18 | Utah v. Arizona -10.5 | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
01-27-18 | Massachusetts v. Fordham +2 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
01-27-18 | Duquesne +18 v. Rhode Island | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
01-27-18 | NC State v. North Carolina -13 | Top | 95-91 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
01-26-18 | Oakland v. Northern Kentucky -7 | Top | 83-70 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
01-25-18 | Utah +8 v. Arizona State | Top | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
01-25-18 | Colorado v. Arizona -15 | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
01-25-18 | Michigan v. Purdue -12 | 88-92 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
01-24-18 | Stanford +9.5 v. USC | Top | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
01-24-18 | Indiana +1 v. Illinois | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 16 m | Show | |
01-24-18 | Richmond +3.5 v. Duquesne | 77-73 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
01-23-18 | Duke v. Wake Forest +10 | Top | 84-70 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 42 m | Show |
01-22-18 | West Virginia v. TCU +1 | Top | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
01-21-18 | Washington State v. Utah -12 | Top | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
01-20-18 | Creighton v. Providence +3 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
01-20-18 | St. Louis v. Massachusetts -3.5 | 66-47 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
01-20-18 | Fordham +12 v. St. Joe's | 46-68 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
01-20-18 | St. John's v. Georgetown -2.5 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
01-20-18 | Ohio State -9 v. Minnesota | 67-49 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
01-19-18 | Indiana +15 v. Michigan State | Top | 57-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
01-18-18 | Minnesota v. Maryland -7.5 | Top | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
01-18-18 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech +8 | 64-48 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
01-18-18 | Wake Forest v. NC State -5 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
01-18-18 | Drexel v. Towson -12.5 | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
01-18-18 | Delaware +8.5 v. Hofstra | 63-90 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
01-17-18 | Arizona State -4 v. Stanford | Top | 77-86 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 48 m | Show |
01-17-18 | Fresno State +8 v. San Diego State | 77-73 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show | |
01-17-18 | Long Beach State v. UC-Davis -8 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
01-16-18 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -1.5 | Top | 82-78 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
01-15-18 | Oakland -2 v. Illinois-Chicago | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
01-15-18 | Butler v. Providence | Top | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
01-14-18 | Davidson v. Fordham +7.5 | 75-45 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
01-14-18 | Monmouth +4 v. Canisius | 79-94 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
01-13-18 | College of Charleston v. Elon +2 | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
01-13-18 | Hofstra v. Drexel +3 | Top | 91-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
01-13-18 | Michigan v. Michigan State -10.5 | 82-72 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
01-12-18 | VCU +1.5 v. Dayton | 79-106 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 12 m | Show | |
01-12-18 | Nebraska v. Penn State -7 | 74-76 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 12 m | Show | |
01-12-18 | St. Peter's v. Canisius -4.5 | Top | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
01-11-18 | California v. Washington -9 | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
01-11-18 | Oregon +8.5 v. Arizona State | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
01-11-18 | Clemson -4 v. NC State | Top | 77-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
01-11-18 | Iowa +5.5 v. Illinois | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show | |
01-11-18 | NC-Wilmington +10.5 v. Elon | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
01-10-18 | Minnesota +3 v. Northwestern | Top | 60-83 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
01-10-18 | Duke -16.5 v. Pittsburgh | 87-52 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
01-10-18 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -1 | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
01-09-18 | Georgetown v. St. John's -8 | Top | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
01-09-18 | Penn State +1 v. Indiana | 70-74 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 48 m | Show | |
01-07-18 | Iowa +9.5 v. Maryland | 73-91 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
01-07-18 | Arizona State v. Utah +2 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
01-07-18 | College of Charleston v. Towson -2 | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
01-06-18 | Duke v. NC State +11.5 | Top | 85-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
01-06-18 | Princeton v. Pennsylvania -1.5 | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 50 h 32 m | Show | |
01-06-18 | Arizona v. Colorado +9.5 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
01-06-18 | Louisville +8.5 v. Clemson | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
01-05-18 | James Madison +9 v. Hofstra | Top | 81-87 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
01-04-18 | Arizona -4 v. Utah | Top | 94-82 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
01-04-18 | Hawaii +1 v. Long Beach State | 81-89 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
01-04-18 | SMU v. Tulane +8.5 | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
01-04-18 | Houston +9 v. Wichita State | 63-81 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
01-04-18 | Ohio State v. Iowa -1 | 92-81 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 12 m | Show | |
01-03-18 | NC State +9 v. Notre Dame | Top | 58-88 | Loss | -145 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
01-02-18 | Towson -2 v. Elon | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
12-31-17 | Washington State +14.5 v. USC | Top | 71-89 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 33 m | Show |
12-30-17 | Boise State v. UNLV -6 | 83-74 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
12-30-17 | Loyola Marymount +4 v. Pacific | Top | 82-88 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
12-29-17 | Utah +9 v. Oregon | Top | 66-56 | Win | 100 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
12-28-17 | Bradley -1 v. Drake | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
12-27-17 | Villanova v. DePaul +15 | Top | 103-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
12-23-17 | Southern Miss +13 v. Mississippi State | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
12-23-17 | Long Beach State +6.5 v. Colorado State | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
12-22-17 | Villanova v. Hofstra +22 | Top | 95-71 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
12-21-17 | Portland State v. California -3 | Top | 106-81 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
12-21-17 | Long Beach State +27 v. Michigan State | 60-102 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
12-21-17 | Western Illinois +17 v. Butler | 46-107 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
12-20-17 | Manhattan v. Hofstra -7 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
12-19-17 | Pepperdine v. Weber State -7 | Top | 67-72 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
12-19-17 | Drake +10.5 v. South Dakota State | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
12-19-17 | Buffalo +11 v. Syracuse | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
12-18-17 | Charleston Southern v. Florida State -28 | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
12-17-17 | San Francisco +7.5 v. Stanford | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 19 m | Show |
12-16-17 | Georgia State v. Dayton -3.5 | Top | 83-88 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
12-15-17 | UC-Davis +5.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 61-74 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
12-13-17 | Portland State v. Oregon -13.5 | Top | 84-95 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
12-12-17 | Murray State -1.5 v. St. Louis | Top | 55-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
12-11-17 | Texas Southern +19.5 v. Oregon | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
12-09-17 | Alabama +8.5 v. Arizona | Top | 82-88 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
12-09-17 | Pacific +9.5 v. Wyoming | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
12-09-17 | Indiana +11 v. Louisville | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
12-09-17 | Duke -15 v. Boston College | 84-89 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
12-09-17 | Youngstown State +26.5 v. Butler | 67-95 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
12-08-17 | Air Force v. UC Riverside +1.5 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 29 h 36 m | Show |