Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-24-21 | White Sox -124 v. Indians | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My 8* Division Dominator (AL Central) is on the Chi White Sox at 7:10 ET. The Chicago White Sox snapped an 11-year playoff drought last season and Thursday earned their first AL Central title since 2008 with yesterday's series-opening 7-2 victory over the Indians (Cleveland won the nightcap 5-3). "The whole thing for me is Fantasy Island," White Sox manager Tony La Russa assessed last night. "Coming back like this. We all know the truth. The first three jobs, the clubs were struggling when I took over. Managers don't walk into a situation like this, with a team so ready to win, so I'm very, very fortunate." No reason to think Chicago will take the foot off the gas here, as they send Dylan Cease (12-7, 4.09 ERA) to the mound against Shane Bieber (7-4, 3.28 ERA) Cease looks to close out his regular season strong for the White Sox and he enters off one of the best starts the season, scattering four hits and striking out 10 over five scoreless innings in a victory over the Rangers. Shane Bieber gets the nod for the home side, as he returns here after a three-month absence due to a rotator cuff injury. Bieber won the AL Cy Young award last season (8-1 with a 1.63 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and .167 BAA). His numbers before he got hurt were good but his ERA is double of last season, his WHIP ,38 higher and is BAA .45 points higher. How much does Bieber have and how long will he be allowed to go? The White had their "let down" in Game 2 on Thursday and should be challenged by facing Bieber. What's more, since Cease allowed six ERs against Minnesota back on July 5th, he's allowed three ERs or less in 12 of his last 13 starts. The play is Chicago. Good luck...Larry |
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09-24-21 | Middle Tennessee State +3.5 v. Charlotte | Top | 39-42 | Win | 100 | 80 h 53 m | Show |
My Friday Night Lights Play is a 9* on Middle Tenn St at 6:30 ET.
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09-23-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -116 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* Getaway Day Game of the Month is on the Mil Brewers at 2:10 ET. The Brewers have lost the first THREE of this four-game home series against the red-hot Cardinals. St Louis has won 11 straight and now has the inside track on the No. 2 wild card, as the Cards' 10-2 win Wednesday gives the team a 4 1/2-game lead on the Reds and Phillies. St Louis has not clinched the No. 2 spot yet and veteran Adam Wainwright (16-7, 2.89 ERA) will take the mound looking to help the Cardinals complete a four-game sweep at Miller Park. Wainwright is arguably the hottest pitcher in MLB since the All-Star game. The Cards are 11-1 (he has a 1.81 ERA) over his last 12 starts. As for Milwaukee, despite losing Mon-Wed, the Brewers still lead the Cards by 8 1/2-games in the NL Central and only have 10 games remaining. They're going to clinch the division shortly and they'll be at home vs the East winner in the NLDS. OK, all 'cards' on the table (pardon the pun!). I've played against Wainwright in each of his last two starts and while I've come up short each time, I believe the third time's a charm. I'm looking for Adrian Houser (9-6, 3.43 ERA) to be up to the task of besting Wainwright. Houser's success this season has been overlooked because of Burnes, Peralta and Woodruff. Here's the 'dope.' The Brewers are 17-7 in Houser's 24 starts in 2021, giving MLB's 10th-best moneyline mark (+$792) among all starters. Think Wainwright is on a roll? How about this? The Brewers are 12-1 in Houser's last 13 starts. He owns a 1.89 ERA in his three September starts (28 Ks in 19 IP) and owns a 2.93 home ERA on the season. Yes, the Brewers will soon clinch the NL Central but they sure DON'T want to get swept at home by the Cards at this time of year. Enough is ENOUGH! No four-game sweep for St Louis today. The play is Milwaukee. Good luck...Larry |
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09-22-21 | Giants v. Padres +102 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on the SD Padres at 10:10 ET. The Giants continue to go toe-to-toe with the Dodgers, as they currently own a ONE-game lead in the 'battle' for the NL West crown and MLB's best overall record. Meanwhile, the Padres, who were expected to be the NL West team that would 'push' the Dodgers in 2021, have lost EIGHT of their last 10 (including four in a row) after last night's 6-5 loss to the Giants. The 76-74 Padres are now on the brink of elimination in the NL wild-card race, having fallen FIVE games back with just 12 to play.
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09-22-21 | Mariners v. A's -130 | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekly Wipeout is on the Oak A's at 9:40 ET. Oakland opened its four-game home series with Seattle having won five in a row but after back-to-back losses Monday and Tuesday, the A's and Mariners are both 82-69, leaving them three games back of the red-hot Blue Jays for the AL's No. 2 wild card spot. The last two games of this series could be a make-or-break situation for one of the teams. The starting pitchers are Seattle's (12-6, 3.66 ERA) and Oakland's Cole Irvin (10-13, 3.94 ERA). Flexen began his career with the Mets, going 3-11 with an 8.07 ERA. He was designated for assignment in late 2019 and signed a one-year contract with KBO's Doosan Bears, the reigning Korean Series champion. Flexen pitched to a 3.01 ERA with 10.2 K/9 for the Bears in 2020. He then signed a two-year, $4.75 million contract with the Seattle Mariners. He's blossomed into Seattle's 'ace!' Seattle is 19-9 in his 28 starts, giving him MLB's best moneyline mark (+$1,318) among all starters! Irvin pitched for Philly in 2019 and 2020, making 19 appearances (three starts) in going 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA. He was traded to Oakland in January 2021 and has become a regular in Oakland's rotation. He comes into this big game having allowed just three ERs over 13 innings of his last two starts, giving him a 2.08 ERA and an 11-2 KW ratio. It's impossible to say anything negative about Flexen but I'm confident in what we'll see tonight from Oakland's Irvin, who has now allowed three or fewer runs in EIGHT of his last nine trips to the mound. Oakland's been to the postseason in each of the last three years, while Seattle's last playoff appearance was back in 2001 (19-year drought!). So far, Seattle has looked the better team in this series (A's have scored just two runs in each of the first two) but the bet here is that's about to change. Good luck...Larry |
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09-22-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -115 | Top | 10-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* Division Dominator (NL Central) is on the Mil Brewers at 7:40 ET. The St Louis Cardinals battled through serious COVID issues in 2020 to make the postseason for the SEVENTH time in the last 10 years. The 2021 Cards have surged to 12 wins in their last 13, including 10 in a row after beating the Brewers 2-1 last night in Milwaukee. The 81-69 Cards are now FOUR games ahead in the race for the NL's No. 2 wild card spot. The Brewers managed to make the expanded playoff field in 2020, despite a 29-31 record. However, the Brewers are currently 91-60, 9 1/2-games up in the NL Central over the Cards (it's the second-largest division lead in MLB).
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09-21-21 | Mariners v. A's -120 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* AL Wild Card Showdown is on the Oak A's at 9:40 ET. Seattle earned a crucial 4-2 win here yesterday, ending Oakland's five-game winning streak. The two wild card contenders are back at it again tonight, playing the second contest of which will be a FOUR-game series. Boston is the AL's No. 1 wild card team, with Toronto 1 1/2-games back of the Red Sox. The Yankees trail the Jays by just a half-game and then comes Oakland (two back) and Seattle (three back). Clearly, this is a crucial series. The Mariners hand the ball to the red-hot Marco Gonzales (8-5, 4.05 ERA), who is off a no-decision against Boston last Wednesday, conceding three runs off three hits over six innings. Gonzales started off the season in terrible form, but post July 4th, he's made 11 starts and gone 7-0 with a 2.70 ERA (team is 8-3). Since the beginning of August, he's posted a 2.37 ERA, a 0.89 WHIP, and 39/10 KW ration over 57 innings. Regression at some point will be imminent for the clearly overachieving Gonzales and his home ERA (3.60) is better than on the road ERA (4.61). The A's counter with Paul Blackburn (1-2, 4.94 ERA). Blackburn's in his fifth season and has made just 27 appearances (24 starts) with a 6-9 record (4.94 ERA) in his career. Blackburn is off a 7-2 win last Thursday at KC (allowed two ERs in five innings), giving him his first victory since June 29, 2018. Sure the starting pitcher 'nod' goes to Seattle but as noted above, Gonzales is overdue for a "clunker." Oakland is just ONE game ahead of Seattle in the wild card race, so this now becomes a crucial bounce-back spot for the home side. Manaea gave up four runs on eight hits in five innings in yesterday's loss and it marked the first time in three games A's starting pitchers had allowed a run. In fact, Oakland starters had been 6-1 over the previous 12 outings! Oakland's been to the postseason in each of the last three years, while Seattle's last playoff appearance was back in 2001 (19-year drought!). I'm backing the A's. Good luck...Larry |
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09-21-21 | Twins v. Cubs UNDER 8 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
My 9* O/U of the Week is on Min/Chi Under at 7:40 ET. Neither club will be in the postseason in 2021, after BOTH won their respective divisions in 2020. The Twins won the AL Central and the Cubs the NL Central. However, the Twins check in at 65-85 and the Cubs at 67-83. what a difference a year makes. Each team enters having lost SEVEN of its last 10. Neither starting pitcher instills a ton of confidence, but I still think this O/U line is high. The visitors hand the ball to Griffin Jax (3-4, 6.65 ERA), who gave up five runs (three earned) over five innings in a loss to the Indians on Wednesday. Chicago turns to Alec Mills (6-6, 4.50), who gave up four runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Phillies on Wednesday. Chicago has been involved in plenty of high-scoring games of late, which makes it worth noting that the Cubs have seen the total go under in 14 of their last 20 after playing five or more straight overs in a row. That's the case here, as Chicago has indeed played to five overs in a row and in seven of its last 10). The Twins rank 16th in scoring and the Cubs are 19th. When it's all said and done, I look for this one to sneak under the total. Good luck...Larry |
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09-21-21 | Blue Jays +102 v. Rays | Top | 4-2 | Win | 102 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Tor Blue Jays at 7:10 ET. The Rays are chasing their second straight AL East title and have just about clinched things, as Tampa Bay is 93-58. The Rays own a seven-game lead over the second-place Red Sox, with just 11 games left to play. In contrast, the Blue Jays are simply chasing a wildcard spot. Boston owns the No. 1 wild card spot, with Toronto 1 1/2-games back. However, the Jays are just a half-game better than the Yankees plus Oak (2-back) and Seattle (3-back) may still have something to say about which team plays past Oct 3. Alek Manoah (6-2, 3.39 ERA) starts for Toronto and he's been very consistent all season long. He's made 17 starts and the Jays have gone 13-4, giving him a +$615 moneyline mark. Over 93 innings of work, Manoah owns an elite 102/31 KW ratio .He enters on top form , most recently going eight scoreless and striking out 10 without walking a batter in a victory over Tampa last Monday. He may be just 1-0 in his last five starts but the Jays are 5-0! Drew Rasmussen (3-0, 2,57 ERA) gets the call here for Tampa, and he's off five scoreless over Toronto last Tuesday. The rookie has made 18 appearances but just eight starts. However, he's been sharp so far in his spot starts and has become a regular lately, making six starts in a row. He owns a 1.567 in that span (team is 5-1) but he's never pitched more than five innings Holding back Toronto's big bats in back-to-back starts is a tall order, even for the elite in this league. I had a play on Toronto last night and while that one came up short, I believe the Jays have what it takes to bounce back on the road in this important contest. After all, the Rays are just 9-10 in September, while Toronto's playoff 'push' has seen them go 18-5 since August 28. The oddsmakers in Las Vegas are certainly trying to lead us to believe that these teams are very evenly matched tonight and in the end, I'm betting on Manoah over Rasmussen. Good luck...Larry |
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09-20-21 | Blue Jays -122 v. Rays | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Tor Blue Jays at 7:10 ET. I appreciate the Tampa Bay Rays. How can you not if you're a fan of baseball? Great pitching. Great starting pitching and a strong bullpen. The Rays are the masters of playing "small ball." The Rays were AL champs last season and they've defied the odds again this year despite a rash of injuries and are on the verge of securing the top spot in the AL again in 2021. Tampa is 92-58 and 6 1/2-games up in the AL East, The Rays welcome the 85-64 Toronto Blue Jays to Tropicana Field for a three-game series that begins tonight. While the Rays are almost assured a spot in the postseason, the Jays are still not. This game (and series!) "means more" to Toronto. Robbie Ray (12-5, 2.64) is coming off his 12th win of the year on Wednesday, allowing one run and striking out 13 over seven innings over these very Rays (he's made seven career starts vs Tampa Bay, posting a 2.45 ERA). Ray is on pace to have his best season since he went 15-5 (2.89 ERA) in 2017 with Arizona. As for Tampa Bay, it is countering by calling up No. 20 overall prospect Shane Baz to make his Major League debut Monday. Baz becomes the sixth current or 2021 preseason Top-100 prospect to play for the Rays this season alongside Wander Franco, Vidal Bruján, Shane McClanahan, Luis Patiño and Josh Lowe. This 22-year-old has earned his promotion to "The Show." posting a 2.06 ERA with 113 strikeouts and 13 walks in 78.2 innings between Double-A Montgomery and Triple-A Durham. He was even better at the higher level with a 1.76 ERA with 64 Ks in 10 starts (46 innings) after joining the Bulls on June 15. Despite how well Shane Baz has performed in the minors, this is still a MAJOR mismatch on the mound between starting pitchers. As noted above, Ray owns a 2.45 ERA in seven career starts vs Tampa Bay but let me add that FIVE of those starts have come in 2021 and he's posted a 1.85 ERA. One could argue that this game and series are Toronto's most important of the entire season, Considering that the Blue Jays are 15-3 in September, while the Rays are just 8-10, it's the 'PERFECT' setup for a Toronto win. Good luck...Larry |
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09-19-21 | Chiefs v. Ravens +4 | Top | 35-36 | Win | 100 | 127 h 39 m | Show |
My 9* SNF Magic 'Best Bet' is on the Bal Ravens at 8:20 ET. Kansas City hosted the Browns in Week 1 (a rematch of a postseason matchup last year) and trailed from the opening kick-off until Mahomes led two fourth-quarter TD drives to give KC a 33-29 non-covering win. The Ravens opened Monday night in Las Vegas, where they lost a 33-27 OT thriller to the Raiders. Mahomes passed for 337 yards with three TD passes and no INTs and he's now a PERFECT 11-0 in September games with 35 passing TDs and zero interceptions (unreal!). However, the KC defense wasn't able to slow the Cleveland offense, as Mayfield passed for 321 yards plus allowed the Browns to run for 153 yards (5.9 YPC). The Ravens' RB corps has been decimated by injury but led by Lamar Jackson's 86 yards (7.2 YPC), Baltimore ran for 189 yards (5.6 YPC). Jackson completed 19 of 30 for 235 yards with one TD and no INTs. The Chiefs are the most talked about and analyzed team in the NFL. Even more so than the Bucs. Even the most casual NFL can tell you the strengths and the weaknesses and the cast of characters for Kansas City. The Chiefs beat the Ravens 34-20 on this field last season and deserve to be favored. However, let's return to the teams' Week 1 games. The Chiefs looked shaky for three-quarters last week, while the Ravens looked pretty good darned for three-quarters. However, KC won when the Browns 'woke up and remembered they were the Browns. As for the Ravens, they led 17-10 after three quarters, but an uncharacteristic meltdown in the fourth quarter saw them give up 17 points, before then losing by six more in OT. Bottom line? Kansas City likely shouldn't have won last week and Baltimore likely shouldn't have lost. A loss by Baltimore here drops them to 0-2 with the next two games on the road. Note that Baltimore has covered its last five regular season games as an underdog. Can you say SIX in a row. Good luck...Larry |
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09-19-21 | Cowboys v. Chargers -3 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -125 | 80 h 59 m | Show |
My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on the LA Chargers at 4:25 ET. The 1-0 Chargers welcome the 0-1 Cowboys to Los Angeles on Sunday, looking to start a season 2-0 for the first time since 2012. The Chargers escaped with a 20-16 road victory at Washington in Week 1, while the Cowboys lost a 31-29 heart-breaker at Tampa on Opening Night (on a last-second FG) and now look to avoid starting a season 0-2 for the first time since 2010. Dak Prescott was 42 of 58 for 403 yards, three touchdowns and an INT in the Cowboys Week 1 loss. Justin Herbert threw for 337 yards and a touchdown for the Chargers last weekend. Neither QB got any help from his running game, as Dallas ran for only 60 on 3.3 YPC (Elliott had just 33 yards) and Los Angeles ran for 90 yards on 3.1 YPC (Ekeler led with 57 yards). The big difference was on the defensive side of the ball. Dallas forced Tampa into four takeaways but still allowed 31 points on 431 yards. As for the Chargers' D, it held Washington to 16 points on only 259 yards. Prescott looked great in his first game back from a gruesome, season-ending leg injury last year. However, in the end, the Cowboys' poor offensive ways from last season carried over and in the end cost the team a victory. In comparison, LA converted 14-of-19 third down attempts. The 14 third-down conversions were the most by any team in the last decade in a single game. That number included Herbert and the offense converting four straight third downs to seal the victory at the end of the game. Both teams have tough games coming up. The Cowboys host the Eagles next Monday, while the Chargers travel to KC to face the Chiefs. Here's what I see in LA from the Chargers. The team is healthier, has an upgraded offensive line, improved special teams and solid coaching now with Brandon Staley in for Anthony Lynn. Herbert passed a major test against an aggressive Washington defense in Week 1 and now he faces likely one of the worst units in the entire league. I don't see any regression happening for Herbert, especially not against this weak Cowboys defense, which will be playing without its top pass-rushers. Defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence fractured his foot in Wednesday's practice The Cowboys are just 2-10 SU in their last 12 road games (going back to late 2019) and I don't see them 'sneaking' under the number again this week at a MUCH-improved Chargers team. Good luck...Larry |
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09-19-21 | Vikings +4 v. Cardinals | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Min Vikings at 4:05 ET. The Cardinals looked great in their 38-13 destruction at Tennessee in Week 1 over the Titans. However, I think it's possible they just may get caught a little too contented here against a dangerous Vikings team looking to bounce back from a tough 27-24 OT loss at Cincinnati. Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins was 36 of 49 for 351 yards and two touchdowns (both to Adam Thielen, who caught nine balls). RB Dalvin Cook was "off his game with just had 61 yards (3.1 YPC) and a TD, while adding four catches for 43 Yards. The Vikings D allowed Joe Burrow to throw for 261 yards (2 TDs / 0 INTs) plus allowed Joe Mixon 127 yards rushing. The defense will have to play MUCH better, as Kyler Murray is the best combination passer/runner among all NFC quarterbacks. He threw for 289 yards at Tennessee with four TF+D passes plus ran for a fifth score. Hopkins and Kirk are two outstanding WRs and each caught a pair of TDs. That said, the Vikes had to deal with a couple of unlucky bounces at the end of their game with Bengals. As long as Kirk Cousins isn't playing in prime time, he's usually very solid. He was last week as well in the loss, but either way, I do think Minnesota can keep this very competitive again. Arizona is unfamiliar with being as home favorite, as it has happened just NINE time since the start of the 2018 and guess what? Thar cards are just 2-7 ATS in that roll. Yes, I have to point out that Minnesota's Week 1 loss is the team's EIGHTH consecutive ATDS loss going back to Week 11 of 2020. My answer to that is this team is TOO talented for that to continues and I say this a "perfect" spot for not just an ATS win but a SU one. Take the points. Good luck...Larry |
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09-19-21 | Mariners -125 v. Royals | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on the Sea Mariners at 2:10 ET. The KC Royals have faded since a surprising 16-9 start and at 67-80, will miss the playoffs for the SIXTH straight season. However, they can still have a say in other teams' chances to play past Oct 3. That's exactly what KC did on Saturday, beating the Mariners 8-1 (Seattle won Friday's game 6-2). The Mariners arrived in KC having lost four of their last five (had also lost three straight series!) and now find themselves in a critical situation in Sunday's rubber match. Seattle is FOUR games back of the No. 2 wild card spot in the AL (held by the Blue Jays) and also would have to first climb over the A's and Yankees. Seattle almost "can't afford" NOT to take Sunday's finale and with what I feel to be the superior starting pitcher on the hill for them, I like the Mariners to respond to yesterday's defeat. The Mariners hand the ball to rookie Logan Gilbert (5-5, 4.97 ERA), who has seen Seattle go 13-8 in his starts (+$856 moneyline record is 8th-best among all MLB starters!). He had an awful August (0-3 with a 9.17 ERA in five starts / team was 0-5) but in three September starts, he owns a 2.35 ERA. He enters off likely his best start of the season, allowing two runs and striking out nine over six innings, unfortunate to earn a no-decision for his effort. The home side counters with volatile rookie Jackson Kowar (0-3, 11.50 ERA), who was shelled for five runs off three hits with four walks over just one inning in an unbelievably fortunate no-decision against the A's on Tuesday. Kowar has made six appearances (five starts) and to go along with that 'ugly' ERA, he owns a 2.17 WHIP and a .333 BAA! In THREE of his five starts, he's lasted 0.2, 1.1 and 1.0 innings! Considering the massive talent discrepancy and recent form of these starting pitchers, plus the fact that Seattle owns MLB's second-best moneyline mark (only the Giants are better), I think that the Mariners could/should in fact be much larger favorites in this important contest. Good luck...Larry |
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09-19-21 | Dodgers v. Reds +174 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
My 9* "1st Pitch" is on the Cin Reds at 1:10 ET. It's all hands on deck for Cincinnati! The panic button has been pressed. The Reds need a winning streak here to finish off the regular season and stay in the mix, after losing SIX of their last 10. The Reds currently trail the Cardinals by two games for the NL's wild card spot plus are just a half-game ahead of both the Phillies and Padres. Meanwhile, the Dodgers, who have won EIGHT consecutive NL West titles, find themselves TWO games behind the Giants. Both SF and LA have clinched playoff spots but there is a HUGE difference between winning the division and having to play a one-game, lose-or-go-home wild card game. The Reds won Friday night but lost 5-1 to the defending champs on Saturday. A win here would be a HUGE boost for Cincy's confidence and I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry home underdog. Clayton Kershaw (9-7, 3.33 ERA) toes the slab for the visiting side, and he most recently returned from injury and gave up one run over 4.1 innings in a no-decision to the Diamondbacks on Monday (it was his first start since July 3rd!). It's difficult to say anything negative about the veteran, but if he's had one knock against him, it's definitely been his play on the road where he's 4-4 with a 4.12 ERA (compared to 5-3, 2.75 at home). Also note that while LA is 12-7 in his starts, he's -$48 vs the moneyline. The Reds counter with Wade Miley (12-6, 3.09 ERA), who enters off his worst start of the season, allowing six runs over five innings in a loss to the Pirates on Tuesday. However, Miley could be headed for a career season (his career began back in 2011), topping his 14-6 (3.98 ERA) for Houston in 2019. It was just the second time this season he's conceded six or more runs. I say it's too early to hit the panic button on Miley and he should feel confident that he can bounce back here as he's 7-3 with a 2.88 ERA in front of the hometown crowd this season. The Dodgers have a night off Monday, before back-to-back favorable road series at Colorado and Arizona. I say they get caught looking ahead here as well. This one means A LOT to Cincinnati. I like the Reds to dig deep and for Miley to bounce back at home. The play is the Reds. Good luck...Larry |
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09-19-21 | Bengals v. Bears -2.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 98 h 50 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Chi Bears at 1:00 ET. Cincinnati held on for dear life in an emotional 27-24 OT win over the Vikings in Week 1. The Bengals gave up 10 points in the 4th quarter, including a game-tying 53-yard FG (0:00) to send the game into OT. However, Cincy did eke out the win. Meanwhile, the Bears 'took it on the chin' in LA in the season's first Sunday night game, losing 34-14. It was just 13-7 at the half but the Rams won the second half 21-7, as Stafford threw for 321 yards and three TDs in his LA debut. Joe Burrow was solid (20 of 27 for 261 yards with two TDs and zero INTs) plus RB Mixon was a pleasant surprise with 127 rushing yards. However, the Cincy 2ndy was riddled by Cousins, who threw for 351 yards and two INTs without an INT despite 49 attempts. As noted above, Chicago's 2ndy wasn't any better than Cincy's. Veteran Andy Dalton is the Chicago starter at QB and he did not play well in his Chicago debut. However, the Bears did run for 134 yards (5.2 YPC) with Montgomery getting 108 on 6.8 YPC. Taking a look at this game reminds me that the worst thing bettors can do is to overreact at the beginning of the season. Not every team that struggles in Week 1 will continue to do so (and vice versa). Being successful in the NFL is much like handicapping the NFL, as making adjustments from week to week is crucial. The good news for the Bears? The NFC North is wide open, as Minnesota, Detroit, and Green Bay also all lost. The Packers looked pathetic. The Bengals on the other hand, are at their arch-nemesis Pittsburgh next week, followed by a Thursday night game at home against the Jaguars. Can anyone say letdown spot? This is a solid great situational play, as Chicago is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after a 20 points or greater SU loss in its previous outing. What's more, Cincy head coach begins his third season with the Benagls and over the first two, the Bengals are just 2-14 SU on the road. Not much to 'cover' here and I expect Dalton to lead the Bears to a VERY satisfying win, that would at worst, leave them tied for the division lead. Small steps. Good luck...Larry |
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09-19-21 | 49ers v. Eagles OVER 49.5 | Top | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* NFL Featured Sunday Total is on SF/Phi Over at 1:00 ET. A couple of confident 1-0 teams collide in Week 2 and everything points to a shootout, rather than a chess match. San Francisco got an excellent game from QB Jimmy G (17 of 25 for 314 yards with one TD and zero INTs) and opened up a 38-10 lead in the 3rd quarter at Detroit last Sunday, However, the Lions scored 23 points in the final 16 1/2-minutes of the game to get the 'back-door' cover. That second half defense collapse doesn't bode well heading to Philadelphia to face Jalen Hurts and this high-flying Eagles offense. Philadelphia only had a 15-6 halftime lead over the Falcons in Atlanta last Sunday, but it dominated the second half en route to a 32-rout. QB Jalen Hurts looked sharp, finishing with 264 passing yards and three TDs, to three different receivers also had 62 rushing yards. RB Miles Sanders is healthy (that's BIG deal) and he added 74 rushing yards plus 39 receiving yards. Shutting down Atlanta is one thing, but doing the same to the 49ers will be much more difficult. San Francisco posted an 8.0-yard average while on offense. It did lose a couple fumbles (still scored 41 points) but it punted only twice and it conceded just a single sack. Making this an over play is that the San Francisco pas D allowed Detroit's Jared Goff to throw for 338 yards and three TDs. This game will be competitive and VERY high-scoring. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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09-19-21 | Bills v. Dolphins +3.5 | Top | 35-0 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* Division Game of the Year (AFC East) is on the Mia Dolphins at 1:00 ET. Sean McDermott took over the Bills in 2017 and promptly ended Buffalo's 17-year postseason drought. As he enters fifth season as Buffalo's head coach, he's led the Bills to THREE playoff appearances in his first four seasons, including falling just ONE win shy of the team's first Super Bowl appearance since the 1993 season in 2020 when they lost the AFC championship game 38-24 at KC. Miami's Brian Flores begins his third season with the Dolphins and his team just missed a playoff berth in 2020, finishing 10-6. Optimism was running high in Miami entering 2021, especially for a franchise that has made just TWO playoff appearances in the previous 19 years! The teams got off two different starts in Week 1, as the Bills were upset 23-16 at home by the Steelers, while the Dolphins ruined Mac Jones' NFL debut with a 17-16 win in New England. The Bills allowed Pittsburgh to score 17 points in the fourth quarter, seven coming on a blocked punt TD return. Josh Allen had a breakout season in 2021 but looked no better than OK, throwing for 270 yards (one TD / 0 INTs) but that came on 51 attempts! In the end, Allen led his team to just 16 points! Tua Tagovailoa had 202 passing yards, one TD, and one INT last week He got little help from a running game that was held to just 74 yards rushing (3.2 YPC). The Miami defense allowed Jones to throw for 281 yards (no INTs) and RB Harris had 100 yards on the ground but in the end, the Pats could only muster 16 points (the one stat that matters MOST!). It might be easy to call for a Buffalo bounce back after a humbling home loss to the Steelers in Week 1, but the Bills may just be the most overhyped team in the league. My call here is for Miami to earn a second straight AFC East win, as the Dolphins jelled in the second half of last season and opened 2021 with a win over Belichick in his backyard last Sunday. Miami left backers smiling down the stretch of 2020, covering SIX straight at home, winning FIVE of them SU (lone loss, but an ATS win, was against KC). Josh Allen is NO Patrick Mahomes and how sweet would a Miami win be? The Dolphins were the only AFC East team to win in Week 1 and a "W" in this one would move them to 2-0, with the Bills falling to 0-2. That's what I expect and any points are just a bonus. Good luck...Larry |
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09-18-21 | Arizona State -4 v. BYU | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 16 m | Show |
My 9* CFB Week 3 Marquee is on Arizona St at 10:15 ET. Both Arizona St and BYU have opened 2-0. The Sun Devils haven't really been tested, rolling at home 41-14 over Southern Utah and 37-10 over UNLV. Meanwhile, BYU opened with a 24-16 win in Las Vegas over Arizona and then followed with a 26-17 'Holy War' win over Utah in Provo (ended a 9-game losing streak in the rivalry).
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09-18-21 | Oklahoma State +4 v. Boise State | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 87 h 44 m | Show | |
The 3rd play of my STP is on Oklahoma St at 9:00 ET. I like the 2-0 Oklahoma State Cowboys to pull away down the stretch in this Week 3 matchup. Boise State has opened 1-1 but it's a pitiful 123rd in the FBS in averaging only 2.4 yards per carry on the ground. The Cowboys on the other hand concede 3 yards per carry, which ranks 41st in the country. The Broncos have looked decent early throwing the ball, averaging 301.5 passing yards per contest, which ranks 23rd in the nation. However, the Cowboys have been decent in defending the pass in the early going as well, allowing 229 yards passing, which ranks 84th. Boise St QB Hank Bachmeier has been OK, as he has four touchdowns to just one interception but he's not in the class as recent Boise St QBs. The Cowboys are averaging 244 yards passing per game, which ranks 53rd, and they're also 60th in the FBS in third-down percentage. QB Shane Illingworth has 315 passing yards, one touchdown, and one interception for Oklahoma State. The Cowboys won't be taking anything for granted today after two straight close calls. Oklahoma State is 2-0 straight up, but it's 0-2 against the spread. However, I think the Cowboys can build off their 28-23 win over Tulsa last week. The Broncos stumbled late against UCF and then hammered UTEP 54-13. Boise St steps up in competition this weekend. and I believe the Broncos will struggle again. Laying points to this Big 12 team is too much to ask. I'm going to grab the points with Oklahoma State. Good luck...Larry |
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09-18-21 | Padres +108 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the SD Padres at 7:15 ET. The SD Padres broke a 13-year playoff drought going 37-23 in 2020 and were expected to be the Dodgers' main competition in the NL West in 2021. However, it's been the Giants battling with LA for the division's top spot, while the Padres find themselves in a life-and-death struggle to earn the NL's No. 2 wild card spot. The Padres broke a five-game slide with two crucial wins at San Francisco earlier this week, but they then came out flat and fell 8-2 in the opener of this series with the Cards yesterday. San Diego has now lost SEVEN of 10 and at 77-71, are 1 1/2-games back of 77-69 St Louis, which has won EIGHT of 10, including SIX in a row (note: Cards have made the postseason in SEVEN of the last 10 years).. The final two games of this series are HUGE for both teams, as the Reds are also in the hunt for that No. 2 spot with a 76-71 record. Yu Darvish (8-10, 4.32 ERA) starts for the Padres and Adam Wainwright (16-7, 2.88 ERA) for the Cards. Darvish has been a major disappointment for San Diego, after the team won 11 of his first 12 starts in 2021. The Padres are just 5-10 over his last 15 starts, with Darvish coming off of his worst outing of the season. The San Francisco Giants had four HRs and scored EIGHT runs in four innings off him during their 9-1 victory last Monday. In contrast, Wainwright has defied the odds (and age) to put together his best season since he won 20 games twice and 19 games twice in a five-season span from 2009-14 (he sat out all of the 2011 season). Wainwright has gone 9-1 (team is 10-1) over his last 11 starts, posting a 1.72 ERA. I won't even bother trying to 'knock' Wainwright. I will say this, though. St Louis is just 3-7 in its last 10 after five or more straight victories, while San Diego is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a five runs or greater loss to an opponent. Darvish has all the talent in the world and even in this disappointing season, his WHIP is just 1.09 and his KW ratio is 177-36! While many will likely be riding the Cardinals' recent surge (as well as Wainwright's), I say the value has now swung the other way. The play is San Diego. Good luck...Larry |
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09-18-21 | Mariners -113 v. Royals | 1-8 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Sea Mariners at 7:10 ET. Here's how I opened my analysis Friday (Signature 38-Club Play on Seattle). The KC Royals have faded since a surprising 16-9 start and at 66-80, will miss the playoffs for the SIXTH straight season. However, they can still have a say in other teams' chances to play past Oct 3. One of those teams is the Seattle Mariners, who visit Kauffman Stadium for a three-game series with the Royals starting tonight. The Mariners come to KC having lost four of their last five (have also lost three straight series!) and are now FOUR games back in the AL's five-team 'scramble' for two wild card spots. If Seattle is going to play in the postseason, it's going to not only have to win some games, but it's also going to have to win some series. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Seattle would win 6-2 but KC made a pitching change, so I had to settle for a no-play (it happens). Brady Singer was scratched and Jonathan Heasley made his MLB debut. Seattle spoiled it, reaching Heasley for four ERs in four innings. Seattle can't afford to take its foot off the gas, as it has to keep winning games, especially against teams like Kansas City, which is essentially eliminated from playoff contention. The Mariners will send Yusei Kikuchi (7-8, 4.23 ERA) to the mound to face Kris Bubic (4-6, 4.99 ERA) in a battle of left-handers. Kikuchi is off a gem against the Diamondbacks last Sunday, allowing one run and striking out eight over five innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision. Expect Kikuchi to carry over that 'mojo' in this one against KC. Bubic gave up three runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Twins this past Sunday. All things considered, he's been serviceable in 2021, as the Royals are 13-14 in his starts. However, in his lone appearance against the M's this season, he conceded five runs off nine hits over four innings. Seattle remains three games back of that No. 2 wild card spot, as FIVE teams are in a 'scramble' for two spots. A series sweep of KC would surely help. Note that with Seattle's win last night, the Mariners are now 7-0 in their last seven road games against teams with losing records. As I did last night, I'll also remind all that Seattle's moneyline mark of +$2,877 (at $100/game) is second to only San Francisco's mark of +$3,215. Pretty impressive, since the Giants are 16 games better than Seattle in the W/L department. All things considered, this is a GREAT price. The play is Seattle. Good luck...Larry |
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09-18-21 | Charlotte v. Georgia State -3 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 125 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* Group of 5 Game of the Year is on Georgia St at 7:00 ET. The Charlotte football program was created in 2008 and gained FBS status in 2013. Georgia State began its football program in 2010 and joined the SBC in 2013. The Panthers went 0-12 in 2013 and then 1-13 in 2014. However, the program has gotten things figured out, as the Panthers have played in FOUR bowls the last six seasons. However, Charlotte has opened 2-0 in 2021, while Ga St sits at 0-2. Charlotte upset Duke 31-28 at home in Week 1 as a six-point underdog (the school's first-ever Power 5 win), before hammering Gardner-Webb 38-10 as a 22.5 point favorite. QB Reynolds has thrown for a modest 427 yards but his running game is averaging 230.0 YPG on 5.3 YPC ((leading rusher Camp has just 107 yards). Defense has been a major issue for Charlotte, as the 49ers entered the 2021 season having allowed more than 30 PPG is SIX of the last seven seasons. Those defensive woes haven't reared its ugly head yet this season, but it's coming (note: The 49ers allowed 352 rush yards (8.0 YPC) against Duke in the opener.). Georgia St was routed 43-10 at Army on Sep 4 and then last Saturday was in the wrong place at the wrong time, playing at North Carolina, which was coming off a season opening loss to Va Tech. NC's Heisman-hopeful QB Sam Howell threw for 352 yards (three TDs) and ran for 104 yards with three TDs. The Tar Heels won 59-17. We just played a talented North Carolina team, and for two-and-a-half quarters, we fought and we scrapped and we clawed to try to hang in there," Panthers' head coach Shawn Elliott said earlier this week. "About six or seven minutes left in that third quarter, it was still a two-possession ballgame, but then it got away from us. So there were some positives, but obviously, no one in our football program is feeling good about where we are right now." Ga St opened the season with 11 returning starters on offense and eight on defense and will NOT face that kind of offensive talent here. The Panthers almost NEED to win this one, as a trip to Auburn is up next (0-4 start?). I think Charlotte's 2-0 start is a little bit of a 'mirage' and I expect an EASY win for the home side. After all, Charlotte is just 8-26 SU on the road the last six seasons and this is its first roadie of 2021. I like betting on motivated teams and there's NO question that the Panthers fit the bill and this contest is a big step down in competition, plus they got back some missing starters last week. That's the play. Good luck...Larry |
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09-18-21 | Utah -7.5 v. San Diego State | 31-33 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 21 m | Show | |
The 1st play of my STP is on Utah at 7:00 ET. The Utes saw their nine-game winning streak in the "Holy War" end last Saturday, losing 26-17 at BYU (Regulars know BYU was My 10* Rivalry G.O.Y.). 1-1 Utah visits SD State this Saturday and the Aztecs have opened 2-0. However, SDSU's two wins have come over New Mexico St (0-3 TY, 1-1 LY and 2-10 in 2019) and Arizona, which own the nation's longest-active losing streak of 14 in a row!). Utah's a big favorite on the road in this non-conference matchup, but in my opinion, not nearly big enough. First, these teams used to be MWC league rivals, before Utah 'jumped' to the Pac-12 for the 2011 season. Then there is this tidbit that many may not know. SD St is playing its "home games" this season in Carson, Ca, 115 miles from campus (plan is for the school's new stadium will be ready for the 2022 season). Utah QB Charlie Brewer is better than he's shown so far and I expect a "breakout game" here vs a SDSU team that has played two 'cupcakes!' and this Utes offense which has won four of their last six on the road. Utah has a strong ground game averaging 190.5 YPG. Bernard has 181 yards (10.1 YPC)a nd Thomas 133 yards (7.0 YPC). SDSU will have a difficult time moving the ball against a tough Utah defense which is conceding 21.5 points and 325 yards in the early going. QB Jordon Brookshire has just 259 passing yards, two TDs and an INT for SDSU so far. However, SDSU also has a strong run game, as it has averaged 261.5 YPG over its first two games (Greg Bell has 285 yards on 7.5 YPC). SDSU also has a strong defense, one which has allowed an average of 12 points and 301 yards per game but again, LOOK at the competition! The schools haven't met since 2010 but note that Utah is 7-1 SU & ATS in the last eight meetings. I expect Utah's bigger lines to wear down SDSU as the game wears on. Catching Utah off its loss to BYU spells 'bad news" for SDSU. "B-L-O-W-O-U-T Alert!" Good luck...Larry |
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09-18-21 | Northwestern -2.5 v. Duke | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -117 | 118 h 50 m | Show |
The 1st play of my STP is an 8* on Northwestern at 4:00 ET. Both teams enter at 1-1, but I feel that this is a matchup which favors Northwestern. The Wildcats are the slight favorite here on the road, but I feel they could be much bigger ones. Northwestern is led by QB Hunter Johnson, who has 341 yards passing in the early going, with four TDs and just one INT. Evan Hull has 213 rushing yards and two TDs for the Wildcats. Gunnar Holmberg has 498 passing yards, one TD and no INTs for Duke (he also has 24 rushing yards and two TDs scored on the ground.) Mataeo Durant has carried the ball 44 times for a team-high 296 yards and six major scores. Northwestern was 7-2 last season after a bowl win over Auburn, ending as the AP's 10th-ranked team. Yes, the Wildcats returned only eight starters but I firmly believe they are a much stronger team than Duke, which was only 2-9 in 2020. Northwestern lost its season opener to Michigan St but the Spartans look like they'll be a top-25 team. Duke lost its opener at Charlotte and a 45-17 win over NC A&T means little. I'm not reading too much into Duke's early numbers, as its level of competition has skewed them on both sides of the ball. Pat Fitzgerald has had some career at Northwestern, leading the Wildcats to 10 bowl bids in the last 13 season (Northwestern has won its last four bowl games). Including this game, northwester has four Beatable foes over the next five weeks (one bye). Could this be the "start of something big?" Just maybe. For this one, lay the small spread. Good luck...Larry |
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09-18-21 | Virginia Tech v. West Virginia -2.5 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 64 h 38 m | Show |
My 9* Eye-Opener is on West Va at 12:00 ET. |
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09-17-21 | Maryland v. Illinois +8 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 100 h 14 m | Show |
My 9* Big Ten Game of the Month is on Illinois at 9:00 ET. Maryland's opened the season 2-0, after playing just five games last season (2-3). The Terps upset West Va in 9/4 at home 30-24 and then routed Howard 62-0 last Saturday (again at home). QB Taulia Tagovailoa has thrown six TDs (zero INTs). The defense posted a shutout last weekend, after holding West Va to a modest 20 points. However, for me, this is a classic case of not "overreacting" to early numbers (more in a bit). Illinois finished 2-6 last year, firing head coach Lovie Smith after seven games. The Illini hired Bret Bielema, who was terrific at Wisconsin but a flop at Arkansas. He took over a program that last posted a winning season in 2011! The 2021 season got off to an excellent start, as Illinois upset Nebraska at home 30-22 on Aug 28 but the team has since lost 37-30 at home to UTSA (9/4), before getting routed 42-14 on 9/11 at UVa. Peters was the returning starter at QB but was injured early vs Nebraska and has not returned. Artur Sitkowski has stepped in and has six TDs and just one INT (don't blame him!). There will be NO lack of motivation here for the Illini, as a loss just could send Bielema's first season at College Park spiraling out of control. I believe Maryland is nowhere near as good as its 2-0 start and with games coming up against Iowa (10/1) and at Ohio St (10/9) coming up soon, I expect the Terps to get 'exposed.' Hey, why not start that process right here, as the Terps are just 3-11 SU on the road the last three seasons. Does that sound like a team that is supposed to be a road favorite of a TD or more? "Bow wow" The Illini 'bark' LOUDLY in this one. Good luck...Larry |
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09-17-21 | Mariners -112 v. Royals | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* "Signature" 38-Club Play is on the Sea Mariners at 8:10 ET. The KC Royals have faded since a surprising 16-9 start and at 66-80, will miss the playoffs for the SIXTH straight season. However, they can still have a say in other teams' chances to play past Oct 3. One of those teams is the Seattle Mariners, who visit Kauffman Stadium for a three-game series with the Royals starting tonight. The Mariners come to KC having lost four of their last five (have also lost three straight series!) and are now FOUR games back in the AL's five-team 'scramble' for two wild card spots. If Seattle is going to play in the postseason, it's going to not only have to win some games, but it's also going to have to win some series. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Chris Flexen (11-6, 3.73 ERA) gets the ball for the Mariners. He began his career with the Mets, going 3-11 with an 8.07 ERA. He was designated for assignment in late 2019 and signed a one-year contract with KBO's Doosan Bears, the reigning Korean Series champion. Flexen pitched to a 3.01 ERA with 10.2 K/9 for the Bears in 2020. He then signed a two-year, $4.75 million contract with the Seattle Mariners. He's blossomed into Seattle's 'ace!' He's off a rare poor effort last Saturday against Arizona, allowing five runs over five innings. Note though, that in 27 starts this year Flexen has conceded more than four runs just five times. Seattle is 18-9 in his 27 starts, giving him a moneyline record of +$1,227 ($100/game) that is No. 1 among all MLB starters. The home side counters with Brady Singer (4-10, 4.85 ERA), who after posting his best start of the season (going seven scoreless against the White Sox), would then promptly get shelled in his next trip to the hill, allowing six runs off seven hits over four innings to the last-place Twins. Singer has made 25 starts in 2021 with KC going 8-17, giving him a moneyline record of -$766. Seattle is 6-0 in its last six road games against teams with losing records and with Flexen on the mound, this is a VERY favorable spot (and a GREAT price) for the Mariners to bounce back. Seattle does indeed earn 38-Club Play status! Good luck...Larry |
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09-16-21 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 51 h 22 m | Show |
My 9* NFC 'Least' Game of the Month is on the NY Giants at 8:20 ET. The Washington Football Team won the NFC East in 2020 at 7-9, earning the division the moniker of NFC 'Least.' In the just completed preseason, Washington was the ONLY team in the NFC East to win a game, going 1-2 SU but 0-3 ATS. As for the Cowboys, Eagles and Giants, they combined to go 0-9-1. How did things go in Week 1? The Eagles won impressively 32-6 in Atlanta and the Cowboys lost 31-29 at Tampa Bay on a last-second FG, but Washington and New York both lost (0-2 ATS). The Giants travel to D.C. off a 27-13 home loss to Denver, a game in which QB Daniel Jones scored on a 4-yard TD run with no time left on the clock. Washington's defense was the reason it won the division last season but that D allowed the Chargers to gain 424 yards and most notably, to convert 14 of 19 third down attempts. Ryan Fitzpatrick suffered a hip injury early on (3 of 56 for 13 yards) and it looks as if Taylor Heinicke (from the FB powerhouse of Old Dominion) will be Thursday night's starting QB. It's a short week but I like the Giants. Daniel Jones looked OK, as he had 267 passing yards, one touchdown, and zero interceptions (37 attempts. However, the Giants NEED a return to form by Saquan Barkley (10 carries for 26 yards). The Giants have 'owned' this series lately, winning the last FIVE (4-1 ATS). Want more? The Giants are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 on the road, while the Washington Football team is just 1-5 against the spread in its last six when playing the role of favorite. I expect an outright but grab as many points as you can, The play is New York. Good luck...Larry |
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09-16-21 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 10 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Important: As you can see by my write-up, I selected UNDER when I obviously meant Over! My 10* Division O/U of the Month (AL East) is on NYY/Bal Over at 5:05 ET.
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09-16-21 | A's -116 v. Royals | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
My 9* Getaway Day Game of the Week is on the Oak A's at 2:10 ET. Toronto and New York are 82-64 and Boston is 83-65, placing them in a virtual tie atop the AL wild card standing (only two get in). The 78-67 Oakland A's 3 1/2-games back, so the A's can't afford to look past any opportunity for a win. That was the case last night as well, when the A's beat KC 12-10 (10* Las Vegas Insider win for my clients), one night after blowing a six-run lead in a 10-7 loss in the series opener. This afternoon contest closes out the series, with Oakland going with Paul Blackburn (0-2, 5.24 ERA) facing KC rookie Daniel Lynch (4-4, 5.37 ERA). Blackburn's in his fifth season and has made just 26 appearances (23 starts) with a 5-9 record (5.61 ERA) in his career. He's faced the Royals twice and he owns a 1-0, 4.50 ERA record against them. This selection is NOT about the starting pitchers. The Royals have d=faded since a surprising 16-9 start and at 66-79, will miss the playoffs for the SIXTH straight season. As noted, Oakland still has a viable chance to make it into its FOURTH straight postseason. The A's on the other hand are 12-4 in their last 16 on this field. Look for the 'hungry' Athletics to go up early and then never look back. Good luck...Larry |
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09-15-21 | Padres -105 v. Giants | Top | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the SD Padres at 9:45 ET. It's been quite a season for the Giants, who hadn't been relevant since 2015. San Francisco was the first team to clinch a playoff spot on Monday (9-1) and beat the Padres 6-1 again last night, giving them NINE straight wins and MLB's best overall record (95-50), as well as its best moneyline mark (+$3,354 at $100/game).
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09-15-21 | A's -135 v. Royals | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Oak A's at 8:10 ET. KC made a pitching change and I've re-posted with new pitcher for KC. The KC Royals lost 104 games in 2018, 103 in 2019 and then went 26-34 in 2020. The Royals are currently 66-78 and will miss the postseason for the SIXTH straight year, after back-to-back World Series appearances in 2014 and 2015 (won in 2015). As for the A's, they are in a five-team 'scramble' for one of the two AL wild card spots. Toronto, the NY Yankees and Boston are in a virtual three-way tie, while Seattle sits three back and Oakland 3 1/2-games back, after losing THREE in row. This will likely be a bit of "public" play, but regardless, after three straight losses and with their most consistent starter of late on the mound this evening, I like the Athletics to finally bounce back here with a solid victory. In contrast, the Royals are primed for a letdown after winning FOUR of their last five. Oakland hands the ball to Sean Manaea (9-9, 3.79 ERA), who is off a win on Thursday over the White Sox, giving up one run and striking out nine over seven innings. It was his second straight game with nine strikeouts and Manaea has allowed just three ERs in those last two starts (14 IP / 1.93 ERA). The home side was set to counter with Mike Minor (8-12, 5.05 ERA), who has admittedly looked much better over the last month, posting a 28/4 KW ratio since the beginning of August. However, after KC won four of his first five starts of 2021, the Royals are a money-burning 6-17 in his last 23 starts! The left-handed Minor should have all sorts of trouble here vs an Oakland team that is 39-17 in its last 56 road games vs a left-handed starter. However, a PC came through at 2:00 ET and the Royals will turn to Carlos Hernandez (6-1, 3.29). He was was initially scheduled to start Thursday but who has been moved up to start today. He's made 22 appearances, including nine starts. He's got MUCH better numbers than Minor (1.09 ERA in his last three outings) but I'm sticking with my original position. I say Oakland's three-game slide ends here with Manaea on the mound and the scheduling change definitely won't help the rookie hurler either. Lay the price and expect a solid victory for the A's. Good luck...Larry |
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09-15-21 | Rays +156 v. Blue Jays | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
My 8* Afternoon Delight is on the TB Rays at 3:07 ET. All eyes are on this American League East series. Tampa holds the No. 1 record in the AL, 5 1/2-games better than Houston (AL West leader) and 6 1/2-games better than the White Sox (AL Central leader). The Rays beat the Blue Jays last night 2-0 (a 10* winner right here / congrats to all who joined me!)but Toronto is the hottest team in all of MLB right now, having won 15 of 18 despite yesterday's loss.The Rays got the job done last night how they normally do it, by getting great pitching from starters to closers and playing smart baseball overall. Toronto went on a wild hitting streak which saw them post 44 runs over a three-game span, so I believe further regression is now in order here as well in the finale of this three-game series. Note that despite Toronto's 15-3 run, the Jays are NINE games back of the Rays and just +$406 vs the moneyline Y-T-D. Tampa hands the ball to Michael Wacha (3-4, 5.37 ERA), who is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two career outings against Toronto. The Jays counter with Robbie Ray (11-5, 2.69), who is 1-2 with a 2.68 ERA in six career appearances vs. the Rays. There is little doubt that Ray has had the much better season but Wacha comes in off a strong outing against Detroit on Friday, allowing one run over six innings. The bottom line is, I think the veteran can carry over that momentum and match the red hot Ray inning for inning tonight. All good things must come to an end. That's how the old saying goes right? I say Toronto's big win streak is going to start to fade into the rearview mirror now after such a long stretch of extended great play. ALL the pressure is on Toronto, as the Jays are in a virtual three-way tie with the yanks and the Red Sox for the AL's two wild card spots. There will be NO margin of error over these last 19 days of the regular season Look for Tampa, which owns MLB's third-best moneyline mark of +$1,857 to build off yesterday's solid win, as it once again offers great value in an underdog role on Wednesday night. Good luck...Larry |
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09-14-21 | Red Sox v. Mariners +125 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on the Sea Mariners at 10:10 ET. I had a play on the Mariners as a slight underdog at home to the Red Sox last night, so congrats to all who joined me on that Late-Breaking winner.I believe Seattle carries that momentum over. Great value on the Mariners to keep things rolling in a positive direction here at home against this wounded Red Sox side (as noted yesterday, a recent breakout of COVID-19 has seen over a dozen players and staff hit the IL). Natahan Eovaldi (10-8, 3.57 ERA) takes the mound for the Red Sox, while the Mariners counter with Tyler Anderson (6-9, 4.20 ERA). Eovaldi went seven scoreless against the Rays in his last outing and he's been great of late, posting a 2.05 ERA over his last five starts. However, He owns a 4.67 ERA in five career outings vs Seattle. Anderson gave up four runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Astros on Wednesday. Anderson only has one victory in eight starts for the Mariners but he has posted a 3.83 ERA and amassed 34 strikeouts over 44.2 innings. As I noted yesterday, Seattle owns MLB's second-best moneyline record (+$2,986 at $100/unit). Only the Giants are better at +$3,302 (note: San Francisco's 94-50 record is 16 games better than that of Seattle!). I say the momentum that Seattle has created is real. Boston is limping towards the finish line and I expect that trend to continue here. Once again, the "PRICE is Right" on Seattle. I love the home side in this one. Good luck...Larry |
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09-14-21 | Rays +120 v. Blue Jays | Top | 2-0 | Win | 120 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the TB Rays at 7:07 ET. The Toronto Blue Jays were 69-62 after Aug 31 but have gone 12-1 in September, after Monday's 8-1 win over the Ryays in the opener of a three-game series. 89-55 Tampa Bay is still EIGHT games ahead of Toronto in the AL East but Toronto's surge has them atop the wild card standings, albeit by just ONE game over the Yankees and Red Sox (Mariners and A's are also lurking). How does that saying go? All good things must come to an end? Good luck...Larry |
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09-14-21 | Brewers v. Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on Mil/Det Under at 6:40 ET. Milwaukee barely made the expanded playoff field in 2020, 'sneaking' in at 29-31. However, the Brewers have no such worries in 2021, as at 89-55 they own a 14-game lead over the Reds in the NL Central. Detroit has no playoff aspirations, as the tigers check in at 68-76 (.472). That said, Detroit fans have to be happy that the Tigers are MUCH more respectable this season, after losing 98, 98 and 114 games from 2017 thru 2019, then going 23-35 (.397) in 2020's COVID-shortened season. These are two teams that normally struggle to plate runs on the best of nights and I expect that to be the case in the opener of this interleague series.
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09-13-21 | Red Sox v. Mariners +109 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 109 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
My 9* Late-Breaker is on the Sea Mariners at 10:10 ET. 80-63 Toronto and 81-64 Boston currently own the two AL wild card spots but the 79-64 Yankees are just ONE game back, while Seattle and Oakland (both 77-66) are two games back of New York and THREE back of Toronto and Boston. That's FIVE teams vying for two playoff berths. The Red Sox and Mariners open a VERY important three-game series tonight in Seattle. The Red Sox have remained in the race, despite having to deal with a recent breakout of COVID-19 which has seen over a dozen players and staff hit the IL. Boston comes to town with zero momentum, losing two of three at the White Sox over the weekend, giving them FIVE losses in their last seven games. Seattle had won SEVEN of nine but then dropped back-to-back home games to the sad-sack D'backs Saturday and Sunday at home. "No one expected us to even be in this spot, regardless. We've got nothing to lose," Seattle shortstop J.P. Crawford remarked after Sunday's tight 5-4 loss to Arizona. Eduardo Rodriguez (11-8, 5.15 ERA) gets the nod for the Red Sox, while the Mariners counter with rookie right-hander Logan Gilbert (5-5, 5.10 ERA). Rodriguez has had success against the Mariners in the past, but I say that was THEN, and this is NOW. Boston is just 5-12 in its last 17 road games against teams with winning records and Seattle is 11-5 in its last 16 as a home underdog. More notably, Seattle owns MLB's second-best moneyline record (+$2,872 at $100/unit), as only the Giants are better at +$3,204 (note: San Francisco's 93-50 record is 16 games better than that of Seattle!). The "PRICE is Right" on Seattle. Good luck...Larry |
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09-13-21 | Ravens v. Raiders UNDER 50.5 | Top | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
My 9* MNF Magic play is on Bal/LV Under at 8:15 ET. Baltimore has a really good team. It has a dynamic offense that averaged 29.3 points per game last year. The offense is run by LaMar Jackson, who had 2,757 yards, 26 TDs, and nine INTs last year. He also led the team with 1,005 rushing yards and seven touchdowns. But how will Baltimore adjust after losing Marcus Peters, J.K. Dobbins, Justice Hill, and Gus Edwards to injury ALL in the last week?! That's obviously the big question Baltimore was one of the best on the defensive side of the ball last season, finishing by conceding just 18.9 PPG. This tough Ravens' defense will be tasked to slow down Derrick Carr, who had 4,103 yards passing, 27 TDs, and nine INTs last year. Las Vegas also has a strong run game with Josh Jacobs, who had 1,065 rushing yards and 12 major scores last year. If Jon Gruden is going to make the playoffs with his new team for the first time in four years, clearly Las Vegas has to address its issues on the defensive end, a unit that conceded 29.9 PPG last year. I don't think Harbrough wants to let Gruden and the Raiders control the tempo. Baltimore wants to wear this home side down and win the war in the trenches and with great field position created by its defense. There are many different variable factors at play here that make me believe we'll see a low-scoring defensive game, rather than a high-scoring shootout. The play is the under. Good luck...Larry |
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09-13-21 | Cardinals v. Mets +104 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* NL Game of the Month is on the NY Mets at 7:10 ET. This is a big game and a big series for each playoff-hopeful club. In my opinion, the home-field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor though. The Cardinals are 73-69, just ONE game back of the NL's No. 2 wild card spot (SD and Cincy are tied), while the 72-72 Mets are TWO games back of the Cards, with just THREE weeks to go. St. Louis turns to Adam Wainwright (15-7, 2.98 ERA), while New York counters with Rich Hill (6-6, 3.82 ERA). Hill will be especially motivated here, as he remains winless since coming over to the Mets, despite pitching well. Last Wednesday he gave up one run over six innings in a loss to the Marlins. In nine games, eight starts for the Mets he's posted a 3.71 ERA and gone 0-2 (Mets are 3-5 in his starts). As for Wainwright, he lost his first game after the All Star break to leave him 7-6 in 18 starts (team was 9-9), despite a respectable 3.71 ERA. However, he's 'turned back the clock' since that time, going 8-1 with a sub-2.00 ERA in his last 10 starts (Cards are 9-1). Wainwright is 6-6 with a 4.95 ERA in 15 regular-season games against the Mets, while Hill is 4-1 with a 4.38 ERA in nine career games against the Cardinals. Stepping in front of Wainwright is NOT easy to do but St. Louis though is just 2-8 in its last 10 after a shutout home victory over an opponent (2-0 win yesterday over the Reds), and I expect that trend to continue here. I like the Mets to strike first in this important National League series on Monday night. Good luck...Larry |
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09-12-21 | Bears +9 v. Rams | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -125 | 100 h 57 m | Show |
My 9* SNF Magic is on the Chicago Bears. Both teams are starting new quarterbacks. Matthew Stafford is going to have his hands full now that he's out of the dome in Detroit and amidst the difficult NFC West. Andy Dalton will get the call to start off with in Chicago, with Justin Fields as a very capable backup ready to step in if needed. I think the Bears veteran can match Rams' new QB Matthew Stafford's performance (who will face his former team the Lions in Week 7.) The Rams also have to still fill the void left by Cam Akers, who was lost to a torn Achilles. Granted, the Rams have bigger playmakers on both sides of the ball, but I'm not convinced that Stafford is going to be able to seamlessly fit into this West Coast offense and Conference overall. The Rams also have to transition for a tricky non-conference road game at Indianapolis next weekend, before then returning home to host the defending champs. The Bears on the other hand have a very manageable early schedule, which sees them return home to face the Bengals next, followed by the Browns and Lions. All games are important in a 17 game season, but the Bears will be looking really good if they can manage to pull off a road upset here. One final thing, Chicago is 7-3 ATS in its last ten NFC road games as an underdog in the +6.5 to +8.5 points range. I'm not calling for the outright. But everything points to this one coming right down to the wire. As such, grab as many points as you can. Good luck...Larry |
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09-12-21 | Browns +6.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-33 | Win | 100 | 151 h 15 m | Show |
My AFC 10* Game of the Month is on the Cle Browns at 4:25 ET. Both teams are predicted to do well this season. Obviously, that's no surprise for KC but it looks as if Cleveland has finally "turned the corner." The Chiefs have exceeded their O/U season win total eight seasons in a row. They're a +445 favorite to win Super Bowl 56 and +234 leader to repeat as conference Champion. These teams played here last season in the divisional round of the playoffs, and Kansas City had to hold on for dear life in the 22-17 victory. Chiefs' star QB Patrick Mahomes left that one early with an injury. What I do definitely think can't be ignored though, is that the road team is 4-0 ATS in the past four in this series, including the playoffs. Cleveland has gotten progressively better each of the last five seasons and that progression is going to continue this year. Especially on the defensive side of the ball, as it concentrated heavily in that department in the offseason, signing Jadeveon Clowney and drafting Northwestern cornerback Greg Newsome II at No. 26 overall. This is a big contract year for Browns' QB Baker Mayfield. He'll benefit from a 100% healthy Odell Beckham Jr. Note that Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road underdog. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will once again be contending at the end of the season. Of course, they will be. I won't try and bash Kansas City, it's obviously one of the best in the entire league and as long as Mahomes stays healthy, a Super Bowl victory is definitely a very real possibility again. However, KC went just 8-11 ATS last year including the playoffs. Anything can happen in Week 1. It's unpredictable. The bottom line is, I think that Mayfield has the offense around him to keep pace with Mahomes. In a contest that I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points. Good luck...Larry |
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09-12-21 | Diamondbacks v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* IL Total of the Week is on Arz/Sea Under at 4:10 ET. Arizona has seen the total go over the number in EIGHT of its last 10 games, including the first two of this series.Seattle won 5-4 in Game 1 before Arizona won 7-3 here yesterday. Seattle has now seen the total go over the number in EIGHT straight (it's interesting to note though that the Mariners have seen the total go under the number in seven of their last 10 after playing to five or more straight overs in a row). So the fact that we've now seen eight straight overs from Seattle makes this trend even stronger in my opinion.) Tyler Gilbert (1-2, 3.12 ERA) gets the nod for Arizona. He's been decent, not great. He most recently is off a no-decision to Seattle last week, allowing three runs with four strikeouts over seven innings. The home side counters with Yusei Kikuchi (7-8, 4.32) who is off likely the worst start of his career, allowing six runs over 1.2 innings in a loss to the Astros on Monday. |
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09-12-21 | Reds -121 v. Cardinals | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -121 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on the Cin Reds at 2:15 ET. The Reds have been trading wins and losses over their last five games and after yesterday's 6-4 loss here in St. Louis, I expect this pattern to continue. St. Louis has another tough series against the Mets up in New York starting tomorrow. The home side hands the ball to the volatile JA Happ (8-8, 6.20 ERA), who gave up four runs off seven hits over five innings in a loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday. Happ is in terrible form, as he's been shelled for 11 earned runs over his last two outings spanning just six frames of work. The Reds saw Happ on September 1st and they lit him up for seven runs, so I am expecting another "long day" for the veteran here. The Reds definitely have the advantage in this starting pitching matchup as they see Sonny Gray (7-6, 3.88) toe the rubber. He most recently allowed three runs and struck out eight over five innings in a no-decision to the Cubs on Monday. Over his last eight starts Gray has been "on point," posting a 2.89 ERA and sparkling 0.92 WHIP (Res are 6-2 in those starts). He's been at his best on the road as well, going 3-4 with a 4.65 ERA at home but 4-2 with a 3.05 ERA on the road. Look for Gray to get the better of his inconsistent counterpart and lay the reasonable price on Cincinnati. Good luck...Larry |
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09-12-21 | Steelers v. Bills UNDER 49 | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 146 h 7 m | Show |
My NFL Week 1 Featured Sunday Total is a 9* on Buf/Pit Under at 1:00 ET. Pittsburgh did well in the preseason, but without really addressing many issues across its offensive line in the offseason, many experts believe the Steelers are poised for a major step-back this year. Clearly, Ben Roethlisberer isn't getting any younger or more mobile, and I think he's going to be running for his life today against this revamped Buffalo pass rush in its first game of the season in front of the hometown crowd. Steelers' veteran head coach Mike Tomlin knows this though. And so we can expect the visiting side to run the ball early and often. This will also keep this potent Buffalo offense off the field as long as possible as well. Pittsburgh's strength last year was on the defensive side of the ball and that'll once again be the case this season. Buffalo has a Top-5 QB in Josh Allen. Stefon Diggs put up huge numbers in his first season with the Bills last year. But with a Week 2 matchup at division rival Miami in Week 2, the temptation to look ahead and be planning for that one is there as well for the home side. This is an explosive Buffalo offense, but it faces one of the stiffest defenses it'll see all season right out of the gates. If the Bills want to take the next step though, clearly they'll have to once again make strides on the defensive side of the ball. I expect a lot of running from each side. Also some hard-hosed defensive play. This total is more than a little too high. The play is the under. Good luck...Larry |
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09-12-21 | Jaguars -2.5 v. Texans | Top | 21-37 | Loss | -115 | 144 h 56 m | Show |
My 9* NFL Week 1 Las Vegas Insider is on the Jax Jaguars at 1:00 ET. Full, detailed analysis Monday afternoon by 3:00 ET. |
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09-12-21 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Colts | Top | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 82 h 7 m | Show |
My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on Seattle at 1:00 ET. Seattle has made the playoffs in EIGHT of the last nine years. The 'Hawks won 12 games last year. The Colts also made the playoffs last season, while winning 11 games. Seattle is a difficult offensive team for anyone to handle and it all starts with QB Russell Wilson. He has plenty of 'weapons' around him, including RB Chris Carson and WRs DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. The Seahawks have a strong defense as well, one which includes Bobby Wagner, Quandre Diggs, and DJ Reed. Seattle is poised for a big year defensively, many feel a unit that could rival the famed "Legion Of Boom." The Colts played amazingly well with Philip Rivers under center last year, but Carson Wentz will be the FOURTH new starting QB for Indianapolis in the last four seasons. RB Johnathan Taylor was big last year, and the defense was a strength as well for Indianapolis. Seattle comes in as the road favorite, meaning oddsmakers would make them about a TD favorite on a neutral field. I'd agree with that plus Seattle owns a distinct advantage at the QB position. Wentz has struggled the last few seasons, and he's on a new team under a new system and I just can't see him keeping pace with Wilson's offense down the stretch. Lay the short price. The play is Seattle. Good luck...Larry |
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09-11-21 | Utah v. BYU +7 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 67 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* CFB Rivalry Game of the Year is on BYU at 10:15 ET. Utah visits BYU (both teams have opened 1-0) for the school's annual "Holy War" for the Beehive Boot. Utah is off a 40-17 win over Weber State, while BYU beat Arizona 24-16 in Las Vegas. The two bitter rivals did not meet last season (COVID) for just the SECOND time since 1946. To say this is a "revenge" game for BYU would be an understatement, as it's lost nine straight in this series. |
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09-11-21 | Yankees -114 v. Mets | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
Larry's 10* 'Battle 4 New York' is on the NY Yankees at 7:40 ET. The NY Yankees won 13 straight from August 14 through August 27 to reach 76-52. However, they have collapsed in the two weeks since, dropping 11 of their last 13. Their 10-3 loss last night to the Mets marked the team's SEVENTH straight loss. As for the Mets, they were 55-46 through July 28 but then lost 21 of 28 to fall to 62-67. That said, the Mets have 'righted the ship, winning NINE of 13 after last night to get back to .500 (71-71). The Yanks currently still own the No. 2 wild card spot but the Blue Jays are just a half-game back with Seattle and Oakland just one game back. The Jays keep winning and the Yankees keep losing. It's going to be a dog-fight until the end for the wild card spots in the American League this season. I like New York to dig deep and to finally get off the schneid with a victory in Game 2 of this "Subway Series." The visitors hand the ball to Corey Kluber (4-3, 3.69 ERA), who gave up two runs with five strikeouts over four innings in a no-decision to Baltimore last weekend. It was his second start back from injury. He has a 1.28 WHIP and 66/28 KW ratio. The Mets counter with Taijuan Walker (7-9, 4.15 ERA), who enters in terrible form, most recently allowing six runs over 4.1 innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Nationals on Sunday. Walker's fantastic start to the 2021 campaign is now fully in the rear-view mirror, as he's gone 0-6 over his last eight starts (Mets are 1-7). Finally, note that New York is a sharp 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it conceded 10 or more runs in. This is a great price on a desperate team. ENOUGH is ENOUGH! The play is the Yankees. Good luck...Larry |
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09-11-21 | NC State v. Mississippi State +3 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 119 h 11 m | Show | |
The 3rd pick of my STP is on Miss St at 7:00 ET. Both teams are 1-0 straight up to open the season, but I think this is one that favors the home side.NC State is off a shutout win over USF, while Mississippi State scored 21 points in the last 12 minutes to win 35-34, a comeback that marks the largest in school history. Wolfpack QB Devin Leary had 232 yards, two TDs, and an INT last week. The ground game looked good too, posting 293 yards. The defense stepped up and posted the shutout, but I think we have to take that result with a grain of salt. Mississippi State's offense is dynamic. Last week it got 370 yards, three TDs, and an INT from QB Will Rogers. The defense left everything to be desired in last week's win, but the good news was that the Bulldogs' unit bent, but didn't break. NC State is a run-first offense, so the Bulldogs' secondary catches a break this week. This one is going to be decided in the trenches and that's where Mississippi State has the advantage. I expect Miss St to win but I will sure any points I can get. One last thing. NC State is 1-7 SU and ATS vs SEC foes since 2008. The play is Mississippi State. Good luck...Larry |
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09-11-21 | Memphis v. Arkansas State +5.5 | Top | 55-50 | Win | 100 | 80 h 43 m | Show |
My 9* Group of 5 Game of the Week is on Arkansas St at 7:00 ET. Arkansas State comes in under the radar here in my opinion. The Red Wolves are off a relatively simple 40-21 win over Central Arkansas as 14-point favorites and I believe they have a legitimate shot at winning today's game outright. Memphis is off a 42-17 win over Nicholls State, but with a game at home against Mississippi State next weekend, I believe the Tigers are going to get caught looking ahead to that much more high-profile matchup. Seth Henigan had 265 yards passing and a TD for Memphis last weekend, while Brandon Thomas rushed for 147 yards and a touchdown. Not to be outdone though, the Red Wolves got a couple of good performances, as James Blackman threw for 169 yards in last week's win, while Layne Hatcher threw for 150 yards and 4 TDs on a perfect 12 of 12 passing! Alan Lamar led the rushing attack with 67 yards and a TD on 18 carries. These two teams are led by their dynamic offenses and everything points to an old-fashioned shootout. It really does have the feel to me of whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to win this one. As such, I'm grabbing the points. Good luck...Larry |
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09-11-21 | Nationals v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
My 9* 'Best Bet' Total is on Was/Pit Over at 6:35 ET. Pittsburgh squeaked out a 4-3 win here yesterday. The Pirates have now seen the total go under the number in three straight (they've actually won three of their last four as well.) Washington has lost three of its last four and it's been alternating overs and unders for six straight games. After yesterday's low-scoring loss, I absolutely am expecting this strong pattern to continue here today. And really this is based completely upon these starting pitchers, both of whom I have no trust in whatsoever. Pittsburgh hands the ball to the volatile Wil Crowe (3-7, 5.94 ERA), who conceded seven earned runs over three innings in a loss to the Cubs on Sunday. Note that the rookie has been particularly inept on the road as well, going 2-2 with a 7.04 ERA. The home side counters with the equally as erratic Josiah Gray (0-2, 5.65), who was rocked for six runs off seven hits over three innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Mets on Sunday. He's now allowed six runs in each of his last two trips to the hill. As I said above, I DO NOT trust either of these starting pitchers. Finally, note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go over the number in EIGHT of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight unders in a row. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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09-11-21 | Houston v. Rice +8.5 | 44-7 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 40 m | Show | |
The 2nd play of my STP is an 8* on Rice at 6:30 ET. Both teams are hungry for a win after opening the season 0-1. Houston lost by 17 to Texas Tech, while Rice lost by 21 to Arkansas. Last season Houston was 3-5 overall. It had a 21-7 lead going into half-time last week, but it then fell apart in the 38-21 loss. QB Clayton Tune had 174 yards passing and two TDs, but he also had four INTs. Last season Rice went 2-3. The Owls had a 10-7 lead going into half in their loss last week. QB Wiley Green had 152 yards passing, one touchdown, and four interceptions. The Owls for the most part controlled their game vs. Arkansas, but three turnovers were the difference in the end. The Cougars posted just 77 rushing yards and 174 passing yards and averaged just 3.4 yards per play last week. These teams are rebuilding, but I think Rice is the correct call at home and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to this one coming down to the wire. Final thought: Dana Holgorsen is in his third season at Houston and including last weekend's loss, is just 7-14 SU with the Cougars. Grab the points. Good luck...Larry |
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09-11-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State -3.5 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -120 | 121 h 19 m | Show |
My 9* CFB Week 2 Marquee is on Iowa St at 4:30 ET. Iowa State lost to Iowa 18-17 in 2019. While it lost straight up, it did manage to cover the spread in that one, as it had 1.5 points afforded to it. This is a revenge game for the home side (these teams didn't face each other last season.) Iowa State likely got caught looking ahead to this game after having to hold on for a 16-10 win here over Northern Iowa last week. It was a lackluster effort, as the Cyclones were a 28.5 point favorite. Iowa clobbered Indiana 34-6 at home last weekend as a 3.5 point favorite. After this game though Iowa doesn't play again until October 1st, while Iowa State has a game at UNLV next weekend. Regardless, both teams come into this game 1-0 with Iowa St ranked No.. 9 and Iowa at No. 10 *up from No. 18). The Hawkeyes won 34-6 over Indiana last week but QB Spencer Petras threw for just 145 yards on 13 of 27 passing while also rushing for a score as well. However, the Iowa offense gained just 303 yards, scoring two TDs on INT returns. I seriously wonder if it's more a case of Indiana just playing terribly, rather than Iowa being a world beater right out of the gate to start the season. While Iowa State had a much more difficult time in its opening game, QB Brock Purdy quietly had 199 yards on 21 of 26 passing, while also rushing for 58 yards on nine carries (he's thrown 46 TDs vs 18 INTs the last two seasons). Breece Hall (led the nation in rushing last season with 1,572 yards plus added 21 TDs) but had just 69 yards and a TD on 23 carries for 69 yards and a touchdown. The Cyclones defense was also stout, allowing just 10 points to a dangerous Northern Iowa team. Yes, Iowa has won 13 of the last 17 meetings (plus enters on a seven-game winning streak after ending last season with six straight wins) but Iowa St has 20 returning starters and is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a home favorite in the -2.5 to -4.5 points range. Nothing but good things to say about Iowa's Kirk Ferentz but Matt Campbell has led Iowa St to FOUR straight bowls. He led Iowa St to its first regular-season first-place finish of any sort in 119 years and then the Cyclones were selected for the 2021 Fiesta Bowl, the first major-bowl appearance in school history, and defeated Oregon 34-17. They finished ninth in both major bowls, the highest final ranking in school history. Now it's time to win the "biggest-ever Cy-hawk game in series history. I like the revenge-minded home side to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points, the play is Iowa State. Good luck...Larry |
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09-11-21 | Georgia Southern +7.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 2 m | Show | |
The 1st play of my STP is an 8* on Georgia Southern at 3:30 ET. The outright victory is possible, but my official recommendation here will be to grab as many points as you can in this one. Georgia Southern is 1-0 after posting a tighter than expected 30-25 win over Gardner Webb in Week 1. The Eagles got 90 yards and a score from Cam Ransom. Logan Wright was big though on the ground with 178 yards rushing and a TD. Defensively, Anthony Wilson led the Eagles with six total tackles including four solo tackles. FAU got pounded 35-14 by Florida in its last outing. N’Kosi Perry was decent with 261 yards and a TD on 19 of 33 passing. Johnny Ford and Malcolm Davidson each had 52 rushing yards. This is not a spot that FAU has performed well in for bettors though, going just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a favorite. Conversely, Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog. FAU had a difficult draw out of the gates, but this isn't an explosive offensive for the home side. Honestly, I have a hard time seeing the Owls keeping up the pace down the stretch, and as I said up top, while the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end, let's grab the points. Note: Ga Southern was 8-4 ATS last season vs FBS opponents. Good luck...Larry |
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09-11-21 | Western Kentucky v. Army UNDER 55 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 15 m | Show |
My 9* Eye-Opener is on WKU/Army Under at 11:30 am ET. Western Kentucky rolled to a 59-21 win over Tennessee Martin in Week 1, and that total flew well over the number. Army is off a convincing 43-10 win over Georgia State, and that total also eclipsed the posted number. These teams didn't play against each other in the shortened COVID season last year, but they did in 2019 and Western Kentucky managed the 17-8 victory. They'll likely get a few more combined points here in this one, but I definitely expect a very defensive affair again, one which is dominated by the run game by each team while on offense. Bailey Zappe completed an unrealistic 80 percent of his passes for 424 yards, seven touchdowns, and one interception in his team's win over lowly Tennessee Martin. The Knights are a run-first team. QB Christian Anderson completed only 50 percent of his passes for 40 yards, one touchdown, and zero interception in last week's win (the Army Black Knights have only six touchdown passes dating back to last season.) Army racked up 258 rushing yards in Week 1 and it'll look for a duplicate performance here as well against the Hilltoppers. It's hard to get a firm read on either team's defense at this point, as their opening opponent was pretty weak. But the bottom line is, both defenses looked good and there's no reason not to think that consistent play won't be carried over here as well. Look for this one to be decided in the trenches. This number is high, the play is the under. Good luck...Larry |
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09-10-21 | Padres +153 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* Division Game of the Month (NL West) is on the SD Padres at 10:10 ET. The stage is set for a minor upset in this National League West contest on Friday night. I like San Diego to dig deep and 'steal' the opener of this series at Chavez Ravine. This isn't about the starting pitchers. Joe Musgrove is 10-8 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.01 WHIP for the Padres, while Jose Urias is 16-3 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.05 WHIP for the Dodgers. Sure, Urias has that flashy 16-3 record but Musgrove has similar numbers across the board. For me, this one comes down to the recent form of each team. These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and I expect that trend to continue. At least for one more game anyways. The Padres have won three of their last four, but they can ill afford to take the foot off the gas with just a one-game lead in the wild card race. The Dodgers enter having lost two straight to the Cardinals, another team in a dog fight for a wildcard spot. LA is now second in the NL West behind the surprising Giants. The Dodgers are a playoff 'lock,' while the Padres are in a life-and-death struggle for that final wild card spot. the more desperate team. The value swings to this undervalued underdog. The play is on the Padres. Good luck...Larry |
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09-10-21 | Rangers v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
My 9* Late-Breaker is on Tex/Oak Over at 9:40 ET. The Rangers and A's open a three-game series tonight in Oakland and I expect the opener to result in plenty of offense. The Rangers are a sad-sack 51-88, while the 76-64 A's are in a five-team 'scramble' for the AL's two wild card spots. There's no way I'm laying this large home price, but as I said already, I do think this one sets up nicely as a high-scoring affair. Texas hands the ball to Glenn Otto (0-0, 1.86 ERA), who has made two MLB starts for the club, including going five scoreless against the Astros in his big league debut. The book is still clearly out on the rookie though, and there's no question that he draws a tough opponent here, and in a difficult road venue as well. However, Texas enters having won four straight, tying a season-best streak. The A's counter with Paul Blackburn (0-2, 4.12), who has made just four starts (1.43 WHIP and .300 BAA). been consistently inconsistent all season. He's made two appearances vs Texas in his short career, allowing seven ERs in just five innings (12.60 ERA). The over has ca$hed in FIVE straight between the clubs, including in SIX of the last eight in this ballpark. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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09-10-21 | Reds -120 v. Cardinals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Cin Reds at 8:15 ET. The Reds will be desperate here as they've lost EIGHT of their 11 games, having now fallen one game back of the Padres for the final NL wild card spot. Cincinnati is coming off a 10-inning loss to the Cubs; "Obviously a tough, tough loss," Reds manager David Bell remarked after. "But we have a lot left ahead of us, and we put it behind us and we move forward. We just have to keep playing." The Cards split their most recent four-game series with the Dodgers and they sit three games back of San Diego in the race. The Reds hand the ball to Tyler Mahle (11-5, 3.76 ERA), who is 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA in three starts against St. Louis this year (Reds are 3-0). He gave up four runs over five innings in a win over the Tigers in his last outing. The home side counters with the volatile Jon Lester (5-6, 4.89), who is 2-1 with a 4.62 ERA in seven starts (Cards are 4-3) since coming over from Washington. Lester's actually pitched well of late, and he's had success against the Reds in the past, but I still like Mahle in this spot. The Reds are also 7-2 in their last nine off a loss and playing with a day's rest. Look for Cincinnati to finally get back into the winner's circle tonight. Good luck...Larry |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys +8 v. Bucs | Top | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 75 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* NFL Week 1 Season-Opener is on the Dal Cowboys at 8:20 ET. Did anyone think the Buccaneers were really going to win the Super Bowl last year? They were one of the early favorites, but not many would have predicted Tampa winning the Super Bowl after about Week 14. Does anyone think Tampa can repeat? Even for the best teams of all time, repeating as NFL champion is an unbelievably difficult thing to do. The Bucs though are once again one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl this season and while Tom Brady and company may indeed go on to do just that, I think they'll have their hands full with Dak Prescott and a Cowboys team that will collectively be playing with a chip on their shoulders this season. Prescott got injured early on last year and the Cowboys went on to finish 6-10. The offense was decent even without Prescott in, but the problem for the Cowboys was on the other side of the ball. Dallas was active in the offseason to address several defensive issues, and I expect a dramatic improvement. Keep your eyes on Micah Parsons, who could easily win Defensive Player of the Year this season. What more can I say about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers that hasn't been said a million times already? If you're wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly already know the strengths and weaknesses of the Buccaneers, also the cast of characters in all three phases, and the coaching staff as well. So why will Brady and Bruce Arians get caught "looking past" the Cowboys on Opening night? Tampa could be caught flat-footed here out of the gate, as it faces a relatively "simple" opening schedule, with Atlanta coming to town next Sunday, followed by road games at the Rams and Patriots. Dallas on the other hand has two straight road games to open the season, including a tough one at the Chargers in Week 2. I think Prescott and the Cowboys throw their best show in Week 1. I also expect the Dallas defense to be vastly improved this season. Will those things combine to deliver an outright victory for the visiting side in the Champs house? Probably not, but I do expect this one to be competitive until the final moments. These teams last met in 2018 when Dallas beat Tampa Bay for the 7th time in the last eight matchups. Is that old news? Yes, but this is NOT. The Bucs are on just a 7-19-2 ATS run as a non-division home favorite. As such, grab the points. Good luck...Larry |
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09-09-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -109 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the NY Yankees at 7:05 ET. I had a play on New York last night, and that came up short did have the Jays on Monday). I say that the Jays big run finally ends here though, as I look for the Yankees to dig deep and find a way to avoid the "DREADED" four-game sweep at home to their surging rival. The Jays are right back in the wildcard conversation now after SEVEN straight wins, but as the old saying goes, all good things must come to an end. New York will be hungry for sure to get back on track here, as the Yankees own the No. 2 wild card spot (Jays are 1 1/2-games back). The Jays hand the ball to Jose Berrios (2-2, 3.73 ERA), who gave up three runs off four hits and struck out seven over six innings in a big win over Oakland last weekend. He had an inconsistent August, and while he's looked better of late, I just feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time today. The home side counters with Nestor Cortes (2-2, 2.67) who gave up one run with seven strikeouts over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Orioles on Friday. Over his last 24 innings of work, he's conceded seven runs. Over 67.1 innings of work overall this season he owns a respectable 71/21 KW ratio Finally, note, the Yanks are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge back-to-back losses to an opponent. I think we're getting great value on the hungry home side. The play is New York. Good luck...Larry |
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09-09-21 | White Sox v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* Getaway Day Game of the Week is on the CWS/Oak Over at 3:37 ET. The A's broke a four-game slide with a 5-1 win here yesterday. Oakland can't afford to take the foot off the gas, as it's now in a dog fight for one of two wildcard spots with the Red Sox, Yankees, Blue Jays and Mariners.The White Sox have a comfortable 11-game lead in the AL Central, but they've seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or fewer runs in. Reynaldo Lopez (3-1, 2.08 ERA), who gave up three runs over four innings in a no-decision to the lowly Royals on Saturday gets the start. Lopez has been great overall this year, but he's being forced into a starter's role out of necessity. Oakland counters with Sean Manaea (8-9, 3.91 ERA), who is off a no-decision to the Blue Jays on Friday, allowing two runs over seven innings. He's been great overall, but it's interesting to note that he's 4-5 with a 3.37 ERA on the road, and just 4-4 with a 4.45 ERA at home. It's a big game for Oakland but note that the White Sox average 4.98 RPG on the road this year. The total has also gone over the number in five of Oakland's last six vs. other AL opponents. Lopez is going to only see a handful of innings in this one as well. When considering all of the above-listed information, I absolutely feel that the correct call as far as the total is concerned is on the over. And that's the play. It's Goin' Over. Good luck...Larry |
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09-08-21 | Rays v. Red Sox +100 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on the Bos Red Sox at 7:10 ET. Boston's losing valuable ground in the American League Wild card race, as it's now lost three in a row. That includes two high-scoring losses here to AL East-leading Tampa at home to open this series. The Rays came from behind to win 11-10 in 10 innings in the first one, before then holding on for a 12-7 victory yesterday. Tampa continues to find ways to win, despite dealing with several key injuries to its lineup. Boston though is 7-2 in its last nine after three or more straight losses in a row. It's also 8-3 in its last 11 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it allowed ten or more runs in. Tampa hands the ball to Shane McClanahan (9-5, 3.76 ERA), who is off a loss to these very Red Sox on Thursday, allowing four runs off eight hits over five innings. The rookie's been great, but he draws a difficult assignment here, in a difficult road venue as well. Boston counters with Nathan Eovaldi (10-8, 3.73), who allowed three runs off six hits with nine strikeouts over seven innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Indians on Friday. Over 156.2 frames of work this season, Eovaldi now owns a sharp 163/28 KW ratio and he's a highly respectable 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA at home this season. Enough is enough for Boston. The value has now finally swung the other way in this series. Good luck...Larry |
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09-08-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -112 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* Division Game of the Year (AL East) is on the NY Yankees at 7:05 ET. The biggest story coming out of the All-Star break was New York's big win streak. The Yankees though enter hungry to break a string of poor play, as they've lost eight of 10, including four in a row.And that includes the first two games of this series. Toronto is desperate for victories as well as it tries to play catch up against the Red Sox, Yankees, and A's and it enters having won nine of its last 10, including six in a row. A letdown is now imminent though in my opinion for the visiting side after such a long stretch of great play. Toronto hands the ball to Alek Manoah (5-2, 3.63 ERA), who has been fantastic overall this season for Toronto, but who enters off a troublesome start against the A's last Friday, allowing six runs off five hits over five innings, fortunate to escape with a no-decision. After a great start, is Manoah now starting to finally regress a little? It definitely wouldn't surprise me if it continued. Especially considering the circumstances, the opponent, and the venue. The home side counters with Luis Gil (1-0, 0.00), who is in the rotation out of necessity, but who may earn a permanent spot if he continues to throw so well. Over three starts Gil has allowed zero runs (15.2 innings), while also posting an 18/7 KW ratio. Despite the slide, New York is still 23-9 in its last 32 vs. right-handed starters. The Jays on the other hand are just 2-5 in their last seven as a road underdog. I think Toronto's streak ends here. Great value on the revenge-minded home side. The play is New York. Good luck...Larry |
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09-08-21 | Twins v. Indians -125 | 3-0 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on the Cle Indians at 6:10 ET. Cleveland won't be going down without a fight this year. It's out to break a two-game slide (has lost four of its last five). That includes the first two of this home series against the lowly Twins, who are in full rebuild mode. Cleveland is interestingly 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge two straight home losses to an opponent. This is a starting pitching matchup that favors the home side as well. The visitors hand the ball to Joe Ryan (0-1, 5.40 ERA), who gave up three runs over five innings in a loss in his MLB debut against the Cubs on Wednesday. He was decent in the minors, but there's no question that he draws another tough opponent and difficult venue in his second big league start. The home side counters with Triston McKenzie (4-5, 4.62), who has quietly been getting better and better with each start. He most recently earned a win over Kansas City on Thursday, allowing one run off two hits with six strikeouts over six innings. McKenzie has now posted four straight quality outings, posting a 1.33 ERA in that span. I say Minnesota leaves town content having already secured a series victory. This line could/should in fact be much larger in my opinion. Great value today on revenge-minded Cleveland. Good luck...Larry |
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09-07-21 | Phillies v. Brewers +100 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* MLB Game of the Week is on the Mil Brewers at 7:40 ET. Off a humbling 12-0 loss here yesterday, I like Milwaukee to dig deep and answer back here on Tuesday. Philadelphia has been playing better of late, as it's won eight of its last ten, including two in a row. However, I don't trust Aaron Nola on the road. Nola (7-7, 4.54 ERA) most recently was rocked for six runs off six hits with two walks over four innings in what turned out to be a fortunate no-decision to the Nationals. It was his third time in his last five starts that he's failed to complete at least five frames. And unfortunately as eluded to above, while Nola is a respectable 4-3 with a 3.34 ERA at home he's a poor 3-4 with a 6.01 ERA on the road. The home side counters with Eric Lauer (4-5, 3.43), who has likely pitched better than what his win/loss record would indicate this season. He is coming off a decent outing against the Giants, allowing one run off three hits with one walk and four strikeouts over seven innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision for him. He is 1-2 over his last eight outings, despite posting a sharp 2.54 ERA. The Brewers have done well in this spot for bettors as well, going 8-2 in their last ten in trying to revenge a shutout home loss against an opponent. And yesterday's setback was an absolute beatdown! Look for the focused Brewers to get back on track with a convincing victory of their own on Wednesday night. Good luck...Larry |
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09-07-21 | Rays v. Red Sox +100 | Top | 12-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
My 9* Division Dominator (AL East) is on the Bos Red Sox at 7:10 ET. Boston let a big lead slip away late to the Rays yesterday, and it would eventually lose 11-10 in extra innings. With that frustrating loss fresh on the front of their collective minds, and with what I feel to be the superior starter on the hill for them, I think the Red Sox will answer back here on Tuesday night. The visitors hand the ball to Drew Rasmussen (1-1, 3.38 ERA), who most recently faced the Red Sox last Wednesday, giving up one run over four innings in what turned out to be a no-decision. Rasmussen has been good since being moved from the bullpen out of necessity in mid-August, but the sample size is still too small in my opinion to draw any firm conclusions, and there's no question he draws a tough assignment today in this difficult road venue. The home side counters with Eduardo Rodriguez (11-7, 4.88), who is coming off a win over the Rays on Thursday, posting six strikeouts over seven scoreless innings. Boston is 7-1 in its last eight in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it conceded ten or more runs. I say this strong trend continues, as I look for Rodriguez to continue his progression here in this favorable matchup. Note: Boston is 17-9 in "E-Rod's" starts in 2021. Boston, at basically pick'em, is the play. Good luck...Larry |
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09-07-21 | Twins v. Indians -138 | 3-0 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My 7* MLB Tuesday Opener is on the Cle Indians at 6:10 ET. Cleveland's lost three of its last four, including a 5-2 setback here in the opener of this series (I had a 10* play on the "under" in that one, congrats to any that joined!) And after losing four straight, the Twins are once again poised for a letdown here after back-to-back victories. The visitors hand the ball to John Gant (4-9, 3.98 ERA), who gave up two earned runs off three hits over five innings in a loss to the Cubs on Tuesday. Over 25 innings of work with the Twins, Gant now owns a poor 6.00 ERA. He'll be opposed by Aaron Civale (10-2, 3.32), who returns from a rehab stint in the minors, allowing one earned run over three starts while striking out 12 batters. He reached 80 pitches in his last outing, so he's been given the green light to return here and there's no reason not to think he can't carry over his recent form. The Indians are 12-3 in his 15 starts in 2021 (ML record of plus-$818 is 7th-best). I don't trust Gant on the road against this revenge-minded home side. Civale is the correct call. All things considered, "the PRICE is Right!" Good luck...Larry |
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09-06-21 | Twins v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
My MLB 10* Total of the Week is on Min/Cle Under at 6:10 ET. The Twins are in the process of playing out the rest of the season, while the Indians still have hopes of going on a big win streak and sneaking into the playoffs. The opener of this series sets up as a lower-scoring one in my opinion. Cleveland hands the ball to Logan Allen (1-5, 6.62 ERA), who comes in under the radar, as over his last two outings he's posted an elite 2.13 ERA and 0.71 WHIP spanning 12.2 innings of work. This could be Allen's last start before heading back to the bullpen, and I think he'll make the most of it facing this poor Twins' hitting lineup. Minnesota counters with Bailey Ober (2-2, 3.98), who will work this game with Michael Pineda. Previous to that Ober allowed two runs and struck out five over six innings in a win over the Tigers. Over his last eight starts, he's now allowed 13 earned runs (2.81 ERA) with a 40/6 K/W in that span. I think the stage is set for these two "in form" starting hurlers to battle into the latter innings. This number is high, the play is the under. Good luck...Larry |
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09-06-21 | Blue Jays +118 v. Yankees | Top | 8-0 | Win | 118 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
My 9* 1st Pitch is on the Tor Blue Jays at 1:05 ET. This is a big series. More so for Toronto. It could be a case of too little too late, but Toronto isn't going down without a fight in its pursuit of a wild card spot. The Jays have rebounded and are playing well now, as they've won four in a row and seven of their last eight. That includes a crucial sweep of the A's at home over the weekend. Now they have a chance to catch the team that's sitting right ahead of them with another big effort to open up the week. The Yanks are now trending in the other direction, as they've lost SIX of their last eight, after winning 13 in a row. That includes losing two straight at home to Baltimore here, which culminated in Sunday's disappointing 8-7 setback. The recent form of these two line-ups plays a big part in my decision tonight. I also like the way this one sets up for Jays' starter Hyun-Jin Ryu (12-8, 3.92 ERA), who gave up three runs over six innings in a loss to the Orioles on Tuesday. Ryu wasn't great in August, but he's been solid on the road all season, entering with a 6-4, 3.37 ERA record away from friendly confines. The home side counters with Jameson Taillon (8-5, 4.44), who gave up six runs over four innings in a loss to the Angels on Tuesday. Taillon has struggled lately as well, failing to record a quality outing in four straight starts. Toronto's momentum carries over for at least one more game. Great value here on Ryu and the desperate visiting side. The play is the Blue Jays. Good luck...Larry |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame v. Florida State +7 | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
My 9* 'Bobby Bowden Bowl' is on Florida State at 7:30 ET. This will be an emotional contest for Florida State, as it is the Seminoles' first game since Bobby Bowden's death (the program will honor its legendary head coach before the game starts. It is also a very important season, as Florida State's 3-6 record last year was its worst since going 3-8 in 1975, the year before Bowden took over. Visiting Tallahassee Sunday night will be Notre Dame, which made the CFP last season and opens 2021 as the AP's 9th-ranked team. However, this is considered a "reloading" year for the Fighting Irish. Taking over at QB for Ian Book (a huge winner and third-down master) will be Wisconsin transfer, Jack Coan. His challenge is to lead an offense with just TWO returning starters. FSU features one of the best stories in college football this season with the debut of former UCF quarterback McKenzie Milton. Milton will be taking the field for the first time in 33 months, after suffering a knee injury against USF in November 2018. The injury was so gruesome that doctors had to consider amputation. After a grueling rehab process and a transfer to Tallahassee, Milton looks to complete a near-miraculous comeback. This is a great opportunity for the Seminoles to catch the Irish a little uncertain in a few areas. Mike Norvell steps in as FSU's new head coach and in four seasons at Memphis he led the tigers to a 38-15 record and four bowl berths. I like this guy and and he has all the tools in place to improve his offense dramatically this year. I'm not calling for an upset but the again, I may just be. Bottom line is, TAKE the points! Good luck...Larry |
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09-05-21 | Mariners -127 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* IL Game of the Month is on the Sea Mariners at 4:10 ET. Seattle has won four in a row, including the first two in this series. I say the M's keep the foot on the gas here in this interleague series finale with their ace on the mound. Arizona has nothing to play for. Playing the role of spoiler can be fun and a motivational reason to play at the end of the season, but less so in Interleague action. The Mariners will feel confident handing the ball to Chris Flexen (11-5, 3.52 ERA), who is off a no-decision to the Astros on Monday, allowing two runs off eight hits and two walks with four strikeouts over six innings. It was an August to remember for Flexen, who took to the hill six times and went who went 2-0 with a 2.68 ERA spanning 17 frames (note that he's 3-0 with a 2.98 ERA in all "day" games as well.) Arizona counters with Tyler Gilbert (1-2, 2.93) who was shelled for five runs off eight hits over five innings in a loss to the Padres in his last outing. Gilbert threw a no-hitter in his first MLB start, but since then he's been rocked for nine runs over his last 15 outings. I say this steady slide down the proverbial toilet continues here against this playoff hopeful and surging Mariners side. All things considered, I think we're getting fantastic value on the better team and starting pitcher. Need more convincing? Seattle owns MLB's No. 1 moneyline mark at plus-$2,969 (at $100/game) and Flexen is MLB's top-money-earner among starters at 17-8, plus-$1,246! The play is Seattle. Good luck...Larry |
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09-04-21 | Nevada +3.5 v. California | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 122 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* Non-Conference Game of the Month is on Nevada at 10:30 ET. Nevada and Cal open their respective season Saturday Sep 4 at California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley. Nevada is coached by Jay Norvell and Cal by Justin Wilcox. Both arrived at their respective schools in 2017. Norvell went 3-9 in his first season in Reno but has led the Wolf Pack to three straight bowls since then, including going 7-2 in last year's pandemic-shortened season after beating Tulane 38-27 in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Wilcox was 5-7 in his first season but then led Cal to back-to-back bowls in 2018 and 2019. However, COVID pretty much wiped out Cal's entire 2020 season, as the Bears would play just four games (1-3). I like what Nevada brings to the table in Week 1. QB Carson Strong is expected to take another big step forward this year. Last season he finished with 2,858 yards, 70.1 percent passing, along with a sharp 27-4 TD-to-INT ratio. RB Toa Taua is now a senior and he finished with 675 rushing yards last year. Keep your eyes on WR Romeo Doubs as well, as he had 1,002 yards on 58 receptions in 2020. Nevada returns 10 starters on both offense AND defense. The Wolf Pack were the most penalized team in the MWC last year but with the core of each unit returning, this sloppy play is also expected to take a big turn in the right direction this season. Cal's defense has been solid the last few years, but the offense has struggled under QB Chase Garbers. He's dealt with several injury issues over the years. He'll benefit from having most of his starting receivers return this season but the offensive line is another issue entirely. The Cal offense was one-dimensional last year, as the OL was never able to stop any sort of a pass rush. Four of the five starters return up front for Cal, so the unit should/could make big progressions this season. Still, Cal offense averaged just 20.3 PPG on 320 YPG in 2020. Yes, Cal leads the series 22-3-1 but the schools have only met TWICE since 2010. Nevada won 53-21 in Reno back in 2010 and at Berkeley 31-24 in 2012. I believe Nevada is just too deep and have a hard time seeing this Cal offense keeping up the pace down the stretch. The Wolf Pack's defense was middle of the road last year, but with 10 starters returning, expect a significantly improved unit this season. I say that improvement starts right here in Week 1. I think the outright win is in the cards, but let's grab as many points as they give you. Closing clincher: Under HC Justin Wilcox, Cal is a money-burning 1-8-1 ATS as a home favorite. Good luck...Larry |
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09-04-21 | Astros v. Padres -108 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the SD Padres at 8:40 ET. San Diego needs to start stringing some wins together. It's out to stop a two-game slide, including a 6-3 loss here in the opener of this series with Houston. I had the Astros in that one last night. Congrats to any who tailed me. But here I think the value has swung the other way on the revenge-minded and hungry home side. The visitors hand the ball to Framber Valdez (9-4, 2.94 ERA), who gave up two runs over seven innings in a win over the lowly Rangers on Saturday. It's hard to find too many faults with Valdez, he's been solid both at home and on the road. But I like Joe Musgrove (9-8, 2.85) at home in this one. Musgrove is coming off another fantastic performance, this time allowing three hits with nine strikeouts over nine shutout innings in a win over the Angels on Friday. Over 148.1 innings of work this year, Musgrove owns a great 169/39 K/W. Musgrove has allowed just two earned runs over his last three home starts and I expect him to once again be on top of his game. The play is San Diego. Good luck...Larry |
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09-04-21 | Georgia v. Clemson -3 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
My 9* NCAAF Week 1 Marquee is on Clemson at 7:30 ET. The No.3-ranked Clemson Tigers take on the No. 5-ranked Georgia Bulldogs Saturday night for the Duke's Mayo Classic in Charlotte. It marks the first meeting between the two regional rivals since 2014, Saturday night's prime time showdown has been eagerly anticipated since being announced last year that ESPN's "College GameDay" will be on hand. Clemson is coming off a 10-2 season that ended with a 49-28 loss to Ohio State in the College Football Playoff semifinals at the Sugar Bowl, while Georgia went 8-2 last season, capping its campaign with a 24-21 win over Cincinnati in the Peach Bowl. This game is being played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, where Clemson has won the last four ACC championship games. Here's a list: 34-10 over Notre Dame. 62-17 over Virginia. 42-10 over Pittsburgh. 38-3 over Miami-Fl. Nick Saban's success at Alabama is unmatched but in "second-place" is Clemson's Dabo Swinney. He has led Clemson to 10-plus wins in 10 consecutive seasons and the Tigers have made the 'Final 4' in the last six CFP, winning national titles in 2016 and 2018. Clemson is the ONLY team the in the country to make the playoff each of the last six years. This will be Clemson's first game in years without the record-setting tandem of QB Trevor Lawrence and RB Travis Etienne, both of whom were selected by the Jacksonville Jaguars in the first round of the NFL draft last spring. However, don't 'cry' for the Tigers. There are NO worries about DJ Uiagalelei taking over at QB. Filling in for Lawrence last season, he passed for 342 yards in his first career start against BC and then followed that by passing for 439 yards at Notre Dame (most passing yards ND has ever allowed to an opposing QB). 5 TDs and zero INTs in 117 attempts for the season. Clemson has a crowded RB situation with senior Lyn-J Dixon the most experienced of the bunch. However, true freshmen Will Shipley and Phil Mafah were so impressive in fall camp that they could see considerable playing time. As for Clemson's defense, it returns NINE of 11 starters and boasts one of the most imposing front lines in the country. Georgia's defensive front is expected to rank among the nation's best. The Bulldogs led the country in rushing defense last year after finishing among the national leaders in that category in 2019. However, Georgia's defensive secondary will be breaking in three new starters. Much is being made of JT Daniels at QB for Georgia. He started the final four games last season and threw for 1,231 yards (67.2%) with 10 TDs and 2 INTs. However, his regular season wins came over Miss St, South Carolina and Missouri (combined regular season record of 10-20). Georgia did beat Cincy in Peach Bowl 24-21 but needed to outscore them 14-0 in the 4th-quarter. The game-winner came on a 53-yard FG with THREE seconds left! Here's a great quote by an opposing coach about Georgia. "The Bulldogs are consistent and talented but are still figuring out how to become elite." Kirby Smart is in his 6th season at Georgia, going 52-14. This just in! He's NO Dabo Swinney. Let's look at his last four years. 2017: won SEC champ game over Auburn but then suffered a heartbreaking 26-23 loss (OT) to Alabama in the national championship game. 2018: lost SEC champ game to Ala, blowing a 14-point lead. 2019: got routed 37-10 in SEC champ game by LSU. 2020: lost 41-24 at #2 Alabama as #3 team and then as #5 team, got crushed by Fla (#8) 44-28 in to biggest regular season meetings. Where's the team's "big game" win under Smart? Georgia has won SEVEN straight season openers but its last loss in a season opener came 2013. The school that beat them? You guessed it, Clemson. Smart and Georgia once again come up sort in a "Big Game!" Good luck...Larry |
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09-04-21 | UTSA +6 v. Illinois | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 100 h 4 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on UTSA at 7:30 ET I say the Illini have a letdown here after their 30-22 upset victory to kick off the season at home over favored Wisconsin last Saturday (note: Illinois last beat Nebraska in back-to-back years in 1923-24). UTSA finished 7-5 last year and made it to a bowl game, ultimately falling 31-24 to Louisiana. Illinois finished 2-6 last year. Head coach Lovie Smith was fired after seven games (note: The Illini last posted a winning season in 2011!). But after their improbable 30-22 win over the Huskers, can anyone say "letdown" spot here? Illinois starting QB Brandon Peters left the game holding his left (non-throwing) shoulder after being sacked hard near the end of the first quarter. He was 3-of-4 passing for 35 yards. He did not return and was replaced by Artur Sitkowski, a sophomore transfer from Rutgers, who went 12-of-15 for 124 yards and two scores. Peters' status is up in the air for Saturday's game and I think it may be too much to expect that Sitkowski will match his effort vs Nebraska. The Road Runners have plenty of talent, and they've excelled in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine as an underdog and 7-2 ATS in their last nine on the road. UTSA has a potent and underrated offense that returns most of its core group of players (a unit that averaged 415 yards and 28 PPG last year.) Sincere McCormick is a dominant RB that keeps defenses honest and the entire offensive line returns as well. Illinois gave up 232 years on the ground last week, which doesn't bode well facing this run-first Road Runners attack. With Maryland at home next, followed by a trip to Purdue, this is also a letdown/look-ahead spot for the home side. While I do in fact feel an outright upset is possible again on this field for a second straight week, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The play is UTSA. Good luck...Larry |
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09-04-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* Division Game of the Month (NL Central) is on the Mil Brewers at 7:10 ET. Off back-to-back losses, including a humbling 15-4 setback here to the Cardinals in the opener of this current series, I like the Brewers to bounce back on Saturday. The Cardinals have been playing better of late, but I still think this is a matchup that favors the home side. And the price is nice too. St. Louis hands the ball to Kwang-Hyun Kim (6-6, 3.23 ERA), who is off a no-decision to the Pirates on Sunday, allowing one run over four innings. He's thrown over five innings just twice over his last six appearances though. The home side counters with Adrian Houser (7-6, 3.69), who comes in off an outing to forget, allowing five runs over five innings in a loss to the Twins on Saturday. It was likely his worst start of the season (previous to that he'd conceded just one earned run over 16.2 innings.) Houser though has been at his best at home, posting a 4.41 ERA on the road, and a 2.99 ERA in friendly confines. The Cards have struggled in this spot for bettors as well recently, as they're 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a starter with a WHIP higher than 1.30, and just 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. I like the revenge-minded home side to come in focused. Lay the price, the play is Milwaukee. Good luck...Larry |
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09-04-21 | Indiana v. Iowa -3.5 | 6-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
My free play is on Iowa at 3:30 ET. This is a big season-opener for two BIG TEN teams that are hoping to contend in their respective divisions in 2021. Indiana head coach Tom Allen has made a HUGE difference to the football program, as after back-to-back 5-7 (2-7 in Big Ten play) seasons in 20107 and 2018, he's led the Hoosiers to back-to-back bowl games. Indiana went 8-5 in 2019 and 6-2 in 2020's pandemic-shortened season. The Hoosiers were 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in Big Ten play but then lost to a 4-5 Ole Miss team 26-20 (as a 9 1/2-point favorite) in the Outback Bowl. Iowa's Kirk Ferentz arrived in Iowa City way back in 1999 and after going 1-10 and 3-9 in his first two seasons, has been a steady, consistent winner. The Hawkeyes opened 2020 with back-to-back losses (by 4 points and one point) but then won SIX in a row, going 5-1 ATS with an average MOV of 21.8 PPG. Iowa earned an 18th bowl bid under Ferentz in 2020 but the Music City Bowl was canceled due to COVID. Indiana opens the season ranked 17th (the school's first top-25 preseason appearance since 1969), while Iowa is the AP's 18th-ranked team. Indiana QB Michael Penix Jr is back healthy after missing the Hoosiers' last two games of 202 because of a torn ACL in his right knee. He had 14 TDPs and just four INTs last season and let me point out that Indiana is 10-2 the last two seasons when Penix starts at QB and 4-5 when other QBs start. Eight starters return on offense and NINE on a defense that allowed a modest 20.3 PPG. Iowa QB Spencer Petras bounced back from throwing three INTs in a loss to Northwestern in the second game last year to lead the Hawkeyes on that six-game losing streak. During the team's winning streak, Petras threw eight TDPs and just two INTs. I noted Indiana's solid defense above but throughout his career at Iowa, Ferentz has been known for his excellent defensive units. Last season was no different, as Iowa allowed just 16.0 PPG and has not allowed more than 20.0 PPG in any of its last FIVE seasons. Note: Iowa has played 22 straight games without surrendering 25 points, the longest streak of any Power-5 school! |
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09-04-21 | West Virginia v. Maryland +3 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on Maryland at 3:30 ET. Maryland's going to have its hands full today with a WVU defense that should be among the best in the Big 12. However, I think the Terps can match pace with the Mountaineers and come away with what some may call a surprising OUTRIGHT win.The problem for West Virginia is on the offensive side. QB Jarret Doege looked brilliant at times last season, but he was prone to making mistakes as well. Several of them, and all of the time. Maryland has a well-balanced offense, which isn't great for West Virginia either. Taulia Tagovailoa will be given the green light today for the home side and he has a slew of dangerous weapons around him (including tight ends Malik Jackson and Chigoziem Okonkwo) Last year was a difficult one for both teams. But I think that Maryland's ceiling to improve is huge, while WVU is poised for some minor regression on both sides of the ball. Opening Day and on its own field, I think Maryland wins the day but why not take the points? The play is Maryland. Good luck...Larry |
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09-04-21 | Army +3 v. Georgia State | Top | 43-10 | Win | 100 | 123 h 35 m | Show |
My 9* Eye-Opener is on Army at 12:00 ET. Georgia State opens the season at home against a tricky opponent. Clearly, with a spread like this, the oddsmakers feel these teams are evenly matched. I do as well. The Black Knights are not a powerhouse but under head coach Jeff Monken, Army has been 'bowling' in FOUR of the last five seasons (won 10 games in 2017, 11 in 2018 and went 9-3 in last year's pandemic-shortened season, after losing 24-21 to West Va in the Liberty Bowl (covered at plus-7). Army's option is always a challenge (finished fourth in the nation in rushing yards per game last year at 273 per) but Georgia State's strength on the defensive side of the ball is stopping the run (it ranked third in rushing defense last season.). The Panthers will need to deal with Army QB Tyhier Tyler, who had 578 rushing yards and five scores last year, all coming in the final seven games. Georgia State began its football program in 2010 and joined the SBC in 2013. The Panthers went 0-12 in 2013 and then 1-13 in 2014. However, the program has gotten things figured out, as the Panthers have played in FOUR bowls the last six seasons. That's likely bad news for the rest of the Sunbelt Conference moving forward. QB Cornelious Brown IV is back under center. He struggled with INTs last year, but he's expected to make big strides this year. These schools have only played one other time, with the Panthers winning 28-21 in 2019. However, that 2019 Army finished just 5-8, the school's LONE losing season in the past FIVE years! Georgia St has a VERY tough first month, as after this home game with Army, the Panthers have road games at No. 10 North Carolina on Sep 11 and at Auburn on Sep 25. I'm taking the points but expect an outright Army win, which means Georgia St will likely open 0-2 (maybe 1-3 in Sep). Good luck...Larry |
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09-03-21 | Astros -125 v. Padres | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Hou Astros at 10:10 ET. The San Diego Padres play in the NL West and after losing 14 of their last 19 games find themselves a whopping 13 1/2-games behind the SF Giants and LA Dodgers, who are tied atop the division at 85-49. The Houston Astros won 100-plus games from 2017 through 2019, making it to two World Series (won in 2017). However, the Astros were just 29-31 in 2020 but made the expanded postseason field. Houston then shocked all by making it all the way to Game 7 of the ALCS, missing a THIRD World Series appearance in four seasons by ONE game. It's no surprise the 68-55 Astros lead the AL West here in 2021 but they arrived in San Diego coming off back-to-back shutout losses against the Seattle Mariners while seeing their division lead fall to 4 1/2 games over Oakland. The starting pitchers for Friday are Jose Urquidy (6-3, 3.38 ERA) for Houston and Jake Arrieta (5-12, 7.13 ERA). Urquidy has missed the last two months due to a shoulder injury and this marks his first major league outing since June 29. He figures to be on a pitch count but I agree with Astros manager Dusty Baker who said, "We missed Urquidy, he's one of the main guys on our pitching staff and it's great to have him back." As for Arrieta, it's NOT 2015, when he won the Cy Young in the NL for the Cubs in going 22-6 with a 1.77 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. He's been a sub-.500 pitcher since 2018. The Padres took a flier on Arrieta after he was released by the Chicago Cubs in mid-August. This marks the second start for his new team and the first didn't go well, as he allowed five ERs over 3.1 innings in a 7-5 loss to the Colorado Rockies on Aug 18. He exited that game with a mild left hamstring strain and is now deemed ready to return. A huge part of San Diego's fall from being 17 games over .500 on Aug 10 to 81-73 (eight games over .500) is suspect starting pitching. Right now, Arrieta is a 'poster boy' for a suspect starting pitcher. Arrieta should provide the Houston bats a PERFECT opportunity to 'wake up,' coming off back-to-back shutouts. BETTER UP! Good luck...Larry |
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09-03-21 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Northwestern | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 76 h 26 m | Show | |
The third pick of my STP is a 7* on Michigan State at 9:00 ET. Northwestern's offense is poised to take a major step back this season. Hunter Johnson is back under center for NW, but he struggled after coming over from Clemson last season. Also RB Cam Porter is out for the season now due to a leg injury. Michigan State has plenty of issues as well, but the defense in its second year under Mel Tucker should be vastly improved. Whether its Payton Thorne or Anthony Russo starting for the Spartans, they'll both benefit from a few key position players on the offensive side of the ball returning. Both teams are dealing with offensive issues, but I'd say Northwestern's are greater. I also believe that MSU has the better defense, which I think will take a big step forward this year. Outright victory? Yes, that's what I expect. However, grab as many points as you can. The play is Michigan State. Good luck...Larry |
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09-03-21 | Duke -6 v. Charlotte | 28-31 | Loss | -104 | 59 h 31 m | Show | |
The second pick of my STP is an 8* on Duke at 7:00 ET. Duke is out to bounce back after a 1-9 mark in ACC conference play in 2020. Last year it suffered through posting a nation-high 39 turnovers in 11 games last year. Gunnar Holmberg is now the starting QB for the Blue Devils and he's going to benefit tremendously from having almost his entire starting offense back around him, including receivers Jake Bobo, Jalon Calhoun and Eli Pancol while Mataeo Durant is back at RB. The secondary also benefits with most of the starters returning. There's only one way this Duke team can go this year, but in all honesty the many returning players from last season should absolutely see the Blue Devils take a big step forward across the board. Charlotte was 2-4 last year overall, including 2-2 in C-USA play. QB Chris Reynolds and nine other starters from the offense return for the 49ers. I still don't think it'll be enough though to keep pace with this determined Duke side that'll be playing with a collective chip on its shoulder. Defense is a major issue for Charlotte this season. It was last year. These teams played last year and Duke won by a score of 53-19. That was on Halloween. While likely not quite as gruesome as last year's result, everything still points to a comfortable blowout victory for Duke in my opinion. Good luck...Larry |
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09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +6 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
The first pick of my STP is an 8* on Virginia Tech. Virginia Tech was inconsistent last year. It had some good wins (Virginia), but then also some poor efforts as well (lost 56-45 to the Tar Heels.) UNC will have QB Sam Howell under center, but most of the pieces around him which proved so successful last year are gone. The defensive unit for the Tar Heels is a work in progress as well. The bottom line is, I can't see how Howell can do this all by himself. WR Dyami Brown is on the Washington Football Team. WR Dazz Newsome is a Chicago Bear, and the running back tandem of Javonte Williams and Michael Carter has also moved on. Virginia Tech has the offense to match its opponent today with Braxton Burmeister. The pressure is also completely on ranked UNC in this spot. Look for the Hokies' experience on the offensive side of the ball prove to be the difference-maker in this one. That said, grab as many points as you can. The play is Virginia Tech. Good luck...Larry |
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09-02-21 | Boise State v. Central Florida -4 | Top | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 292 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* NCAAF Season-Opener is on UCF at 7:00 ET. |
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09-02-21 | Indians v. Royals OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* Division Total of the Year (AL Central) is on Cle/KC at 8:10 ET. Kansas City has lost the first two games of this series, and three games overall coming into the Thursday finale. The Indians have been playing much better of late, as they've won seven of their last ten, including three in a row. Both teams are hungry for victories and any sort of positive spin they can find despite not being in contention. The Royals hand the ball to the volatile Mike Minor (8-11, 5.30 ERA), who has looked a bit better of late, but who is still just 4-6 with a 5.32 ERA at home this season. The Indians counter with Triston McKenzie (3-5, 4.83), who returns from a short stint on the IL. McKenzie has actually been great over his last two starts, but immediate regression after the time off is imminent in my opinion (note that he's 2-4 with a ballooned 5.24 ERA on the road this season as well.) The recent form of starting pitchers is an important factor I always take into account when playing an Over/Under and while these two teams have struggled with offensive consistency this year, I do not trust either of these starters this evening. With each making an expected "early exit," the play here is definitely on the over. Good luck...Larry |
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09-02-21 | Pirates v. Cubs -129 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
My 9* Division Dominator (NL Central) is on the Chi Cubs at 8:05 ET. Off back-to-back 3-1 and 3-0 wins at Minnesota, I like the Cubs to keep the positive momentum rolling here. The Cubs have now won three of their last four. Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five, including two in a row. The Pirates hand the ball to Mitch Keller (4-10, 6.75 ERA), who was rocked for seven runs off six hits over five innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Cardinals on Thursday. He's been better at home than on the road, but I absolutely do not trust the one-year pro here in this spot (he's still just 2-3 with a 5.51 ERA on the road.) The home side counters with Keegan Thompson (3-3, 3.09), who is coming off an outing to forget, allowing five runs over two innings in a no-decision against the White Sox on Friday. It was easily his worst start of the season. I say it's way too early to hit the panic button. Note that he still owns a sharp 45/26 KW over 46.2 frames of work. The clincher? While Thompson is 0-2 with a 5.09 ERA on the road, he's 3-1 with a 1.44 ERA at home. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger in my opinion. The value is on Chicago at home over the Pirates on Thursday night. Good luck...Larry |
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09-01-21 | Brewers v. Giants -152 | 5-2 | Loss | -152 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
My 7* Las Vegas Insider is on the SF Giants at 9:45 ET. As the season winds down, the Giants are starting to stumble, while the Dodgers continue to win. San Francisco will now be eager and focussed to end a three-game slide, and to avoid the rare home sweep. The Brewers are in a race themselves, but everything points to a classic letdown for the visiting side in my opinion. Milwaukee hands the ball to Brett Anderson (4-8, 4.27 ERA), who has been on the ten-day IL due to a hip issue. He hasn't missed a start and has been cleared to go. Note, while he's 1-3 with a 3.50 ERA at home, he's 3-5 with a 5.00 ERA on the road though. The Giants counter with Kevin Gausman (12-5, 2.49), who gave up two run off six hits and struck out two over six innings, while walking none in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision to the Braves on Friday. Over 152 innings, he owns a 176/46 K/W. Gausman actually has better road numbers than home this year, but overall he's been fantastic wherever he's thrown. And in my opinion, this price does not properly reflect the talent discrepancy between these starting pitchers. I'm laying the price on the revenge-minded home side. Good luck...Larry |
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09-01-21 | Red Sox -106 v. Rays | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the Bos Red Sox at 7:10 ET. I like Boston to bounce back here after three straight losses, including the first two games of this series. The hungry visiting side hands the ball to ace Chris Sale (3-0, 2.35 ERA), who gave up two runs and struck out eight over six innings in a win over the Twins last week. To go along with his perfect record and shiny ERA, Sale also owns an elite 1.04 WHIP and 21/3 K/W over 15.1 innings of work. Tampa counters with Drew Rasmussen (1-1, 3.46 ERA), who is off a no-decision to the Phillies on Tuesday, allowing one run and striking out one over five innings. Hard to get a firm read on the rookie, as the sample size is just too small. One think for sure, his 5.5 K/9 isn't turning any heads. One of these teams has overperformed considering all of the injuries it's gone through. The other is coming off three straight losses and has one of the best starting pitchers in the World on the mound tonight All things considered, I believe this line could/should in fact be much larger. The play is Boston. Good luck...Larry |
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09-01-21 | Rockies -130 v. Rangers | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
My 9* Getaway Day Game of the Week is on the Col Rockies at 2:05 ET. Colorado has lost the first two games of this series, but I expect it to bounce back in the finale with what I feel to be the superior starting pitcher on the hill for it. The Rockies hand the ball to Kyle Freeland (5-6, 4.17 ERA), who is coming off a great win over the Dodgers on Friday, allowing two runs and no walks while striking out seven over six innings in the victory. Freeland was a mess to start the season, posting a 9.58 ERA over his first five starts. He's lowered it to 4.17 after Friday's super result and I say there's no reason not to think that the veteran can keep the progression rolling strong here in this favorable matchup. After all, the Rockies have won his last SEVEN starts. The home side counters with Kohei Arihara (2-3, 6.59), who has been activated off the IL by the Rangers to make his first start since early May. The bottom line here is, I don't truest Arihara whatsoever, while Freeland has proven that he's turned the corner with his form many weeks ago. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value." The play is Colorado. Good luck...Larry |
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08-31-21 | Braves +167 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* Grand Slam is on the Atl Braves at 10:10 ET. The Braves are in desperate need of a victory. They've been trading wins and losses over their last five games. They're off a 5-3 loss here last night in this series opener and while it won't be easy, I do think they'll bounce back here and deliver the goods on Tuesday night. Walker Buehler (13-2, 2.02 ERA) has been superb for the Dodgers. He has to be considered for the NL Cy Young award at this point. Buehler dominated the Braves in last year's NLCS, holding them to one run over 11 innings. Buehler is fantastic, but I expect the Braves' Charlie Morton (12-5, 3.60) to match his counterpart's effort inning for inning tonight. And in a scenario like that, I believe that the value swings to the hungry underdog. Morton gave up four runs over four innings to the Yanks in his last outing, but previous to that he'd posted a tiny 2.63 ERA over 48 innings of work. Look for Atlanta to rally here. It's interesting to note that the Braves are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a two runs or greater road loss to an opponent. I believe the hungrier, revenge-minded visiting side is the correct call here. Play on Atlanta. Good luck...Larry |
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08-31-21 | Cubs +150 v. Twins | Top | 3-1 | Win | 150 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
My 8* play is on the Chi Cubs at 8:10 ET. Neither team will be in the playoffs. I think that the home side is vastly over-priced here though, which swings the value to the visiting side. The Cubs lost two of three at the White Sox most recently, while Minnesota held on for a 3-2 victory here at home against the Tigers in a one-game make-up scenario. Chicago hands the ball to Zach Davies (6-10, 5.00 ERA), who gave up two runs over five innings in the first game of a double-header against the Rockies last week. Admittedly, Davies hasn't been at his best of late. His last start though was a big step in the right direction. John Gant (4-8, 4.00) makes his third start for the Twins since coming over from St. Louis. Minnesota's relievers though rank bottom seven in ERA, hits allowed, runs allowed, home runs allowed and batting average. Chicago isn't much better, but I like the way this one sets up for Davies and I think the veteran can build off his last performance. Finally, note that the Cubs are 7-2 in their last nine in playing a home team with a winning percentage of .400 or less. The play is Chicago. Good luck...Larry |
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08-30-21 | Brewers v. Giants +131 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* "Signature" 37-Club Play is on the SF Giants at 9:45 ET. The Giants are a rare underdog at home here, and I am ready to take advantage. Johnny Cueto (7-6, 3.73 ERA), gets the nod for the home side. San Francisco has the best overall record at 84-46, the best home record at 42-19 and No. 1 overall ML record at +$2920. Note that this is just the second career start for Corbin Burnes (8-4, 2.30) vs SFG, while Cueto's made 23 career starts vs Mil (11-4, 3.05 ERA and teams are 17-6 in those outings.) Burnes has been great, but he's coming off a really mediocre outing against the Reds on Tuesday, allowing four runs off seven hits and three walks over five innings. Was that a sign of things to come? Cueto has been much better at home than on the road (6-3, 3.10, compared to 1-3, 4.49) and I expect him to at the very least, match his counterpart inning for inning. Finally, note that the Giants are 7-1 in their last eight as a home dog in the +115 to +135 range. Good value here on the undervalued home side. The play is San Francisco. Good luck...Larry |
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08-30-21 | Red Sox +125 v. Rays | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
My 9* Division Dominator (AL East) is on the Bos Red Sox at 7:10 ET. The Rays continue to defy the odds, play sound and logical baseball and simply find ways to win on an almost nightly basis. This is a starting pitching matchup that favors the visiting side though, and I believe it'll find a way to take advantage. Nick Pivetta has faced Tampa Bay three times this year (16.1 IP / 3 ERs / 1.65 ERA). Pivetta (9-6, 4.57), gave up four runs with five strikeouts over five innings in a no-decision to the Twins in his last outing. He's been at his best on the road though, going 5-4 with a 3.59 ERA. The home side counters with Luis Patino (3-3, 4.53), who has been solid in his rookie year. Patino has been good at home, but I still think it's significant to note that he's just 1-3 with a ballooned 6.19 ERA in all night games. The Rays have a comfortable lead, while the Red Sox are fighting tooth and nail for a Wildcard spot. I say that Pivetta is the correct call here in a contest what will for sure have a "playoff like" atmosphere around it. The play is Boston. Good luck...Larry |
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08-29-21 | Yankees -142 v. A's | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -142 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the NY Yankees at 7:08 ET. After winning 13 in a row, the Yanks finally fell 3-2 in Oakland last night. With what I believe to be the superior starting pitcher on the hill in the night-cap finale on Sunday, I look for New York to bounce back comfortably. The A's can't afford to lose any ground, but they've been consistently inconsistent over the last three weeks. Expect this scuffling trend to continue tonight. The Yankees hand the ball to Jordan Montgomery (5-5, 3.69 ERA), who allowed one run over five innings in a victory over the Braves on Monday. Montgomery enters this one on top form, as he's now conceded just five runs over his last 25.1 innings of work, posting a tiny 1.78 ERA in that span. Oakland counters with Paul Blackburn (0-1, 4.09), who gave up two runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Mariners on Monday. I definitely like Montgomery in this starting pitching matchup. Also, note that the Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 on the road still. This is just Blackburn's third MLB appearance this season, so I say he's in well over his head today. Lay the price, the play is New York. Good luck...Larry |
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08-29-21 | Patriots v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 22-20 | Win | 100 | 58 h 51 m | Show |
My 9* Rivalry Rout is on the NY Giants at 6:00 ET. The Patriots are 2-0. They've looked good in both games. Both Cam Newton and Mac Jones dominated in New England's 35-0 destruction of the Eagles in Week 2. Newton had 103 yards on 8 of 9 passing, while Jones had 146 yards on 13 of 19 passing. I don't expect Bill Belichick to keep the foot on the gas in this now meaningless Week 3 NFL preseason contest. The Patriots can simply go through the motions here and get ready for their Week 1 matchup at home against the Dolphins (it's interesting to note that the Pats will play their final Week 17 game in Miami to finish out the regular season.) The Giants are 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS. They lost 12-7 at home to the Jets in Week 1, before then falling 17-13 at Cleveland last weekend. I say this one just means more to New York. The Giants are coming off a miserable 2020/21 campaign and are looking for any tiny positive thing they can before heading into the regular season. In the setback to the Browns, Brian Lewerke threw for 108 yards, a TD, and an INT on 11 of 19 passing while third-stringer Mike Glennon had 86 passing yards on 10 of 13 passing. Does it matter that New England is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road and only 1-5 ATS in its last six as a favorite? How about the fact that New York is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as an underdog? It certainly doesn't hurt! Either way, look for the home side to take this one much more seriously and to walk away with at least the ATS cover. The play is New York. Good luck...Larry |
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08-29-21 | Dolphins v. Bengals OVER 35 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 102 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* NFLX Total of the Month is on Mia/Cin Over at 4:00 ET. The Bengals are 1-1 SU in the preseason. They're 2-0 ATS. They won at Tampa Bay by a score of 19-14 in Week 1, and then lost 17-13 at Washington last week, covering with the five points they were afforded in that one. Both of those games stayed under the posted number as far as the total is concerned. With their only home preseason game today, I believe the Bengals open up the playbook today on offense with their backups, and wannabe's getting one last look. Miami is 1-1 SU and ATS. It lost 20-13 at Chicago in Week 1 but then rebounded with a convincing 37-17 victory at home over Atlanta last weekend. Suffice it to say, I believe the Fish are going to try and duplicate that performance here and to keep the positive momentum rolling into the regular season. I base a lot of my over/under selections on "situations." This one definitely sets up great as an offensive shootout in my opinion. I'll point out as well that Cincinnati has seen the total go over the posted number in eight of its last 11 after scoring 13 or less points in a SU road loss in its previous outing. In my opinion, both the situation and the trends point to this one flying over the number. Good luck...Larry |
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08-28-21 | Giants v. Braves -114 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* Grand Slam is on the Atl Braves at 7:20 ET. The Braves came from behind to squeak out a tight 6-5 win here last night the Giants, and I think they'll once again find a way to do that here on Saturday as well. San Francisco hands the ball to Logan Webb (7-3, 2.84 ERA), who gave up one run over six innings in a win over the A's on Sunday. Webb has been great. It's difficult to say too many negative things about him. It's interesting to note though, while he's 5-0 with a 1.72 ERA at home, he's a much more pedestrian 2-3 with 4.08 ERA on the road. The home side counters with Huascar Ynoa (4-3, 2.89), who gave up three runs off four this over six innings while also striking out nine in an unfortunate loss to the Yanks last weekend. Over his last 11.2 innings of work, Ynoa owns a sharp 13/2 K/W. Ynoa has also been at his best when throwing at home, as he's 1-2 with a 3.78 ERA away from friendly confines, but 3-1 with a 2.16 ERA in Atlanta this season. The Braves have considerable ground to make up. This one means a lot more to the home side. I'm banking on ATL finding a way to deliver once it's all said and done. Good luck...Larry |
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08-28-21 | Brewers -144 v. Twins | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -144 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
My 7* Weekend Wipeout is on the Mil Brewers at 7:10 ET. The Brewers have now lost two in a row after yesterday's 2-0 series opening loss here yesterday. I like Milwaukee to bounce back on Saturday though in what I feel is a significant starting pitching mismatch working in its favor. The Brewers hand the ball to Adrian Houser (7-5, 3.44 ERA), who gave up one run over four innings in a win over the Nationals on Sunday. Over his last four outings Houser has now conceded one earned run, which translates into a 0.54 ERA. The home side counters with the volatile Charlie Barnes (0-3, 6.56), who was shelled for seven runs off eight hits over five innings in a loss to the Yankees on Friday. Barnes now owns a poor 11/10 K/W over his first 23.1 innings of work, and I believe he'll have his hands full here with his revenge-minded Brewers side. As note, Milwaukee is 7-1 in its last eight in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held scoreless. Get down as fast as you can on this one, as I anticipate this line to continue to move up until first pitch. The play is Milwaukee. Good luck...Larry |
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08-28-21 | Reds v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner O/U is on Cin/Mia Over at 6:10 ET. While yesterday's total stayed under the number in the Reds' 6-0 victory, I expect a bit more of a slug-fest between these two NL foes on Saturday night. The visitors hand the ball to Vladamir Gutierrez (9-4, 3.68 ERA), who gave up one run over seven innings in a victory over these very Marlins last weekend. The rookie's on fire, but I believe he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. One possible concerning O/U ATS stat to keep in mind here today for Reds bettors, is that Miami has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last ten in trying to revenge a shutout home loss to an opponent. Miami counters with Sandy Alcantara (7-12, 3.35), who lost to the Reds last Sunday despite allowing two runs over seven innings. He also had 11 strikeouts (note that he's 3-8 with a 5.01 ERA in all night games this year.) I don't mind either of these pitchers, but overall (situationally and from a trend-based view), this one sets up beautifully as a higher-scoring affair. Look for this one to sail over sooner, rather than later. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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Larry Ness ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-24-21 | White Sox -124 v. Indians | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
09-24-21 | Middle Tennessee State +3.5 v. Charlotte | Top | 39-42 | Win | 100 | 80 h 53 m | Show |
09-23-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -116 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
09-22-21 | Giants v. Padres +102 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
09-22-21 | Mariners v. A's -130 | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
09-22-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -115 | Top | 10-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
09-21-21 | Mariners v. A's -120 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
09-21-21 | Twins v. Cubs UNDER 8 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
09-21-21 | Blue Jays +102 v. Rays | Top | 4-2 | Win | 102 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
09-20-21 | Blue Jays -122 v. Rays | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
09-19-21 | Chiefs v. Ravens +4 | Top | 35-36 | Win | 100 | 127 h 39 m | Show |
09-19-21 | Cowboys v. Chargers -3 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -125 | 80 h 59 m | Show |
09-19-21 | Vikings +4 v. Cardinals | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
09-19-21 | Mariners -125 v. Royals | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
09-19-21 | Dodgers v. Reds +174 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
09-19-21 | Bengals v. Bears -2.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 98 h 50 m | Show |
09-19-21 | 49ers v. Eagles OVER 49.5 | Top | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 40 m | Show |
09-19-21 | Bills v. Dolphins +3.5 | Top | 35-0 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 31 m | Show |
09-18-21 | Arizona State -4 v. BYU | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 16 m | Show |
09-18-21 | Oklahoma State +4 v. Boise State | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 87 h 44 m | Show | |
09-18-21 | Padres +108 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
09-18-21 | Mariners -113 v. Royals | 1-8 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
09-18-21 | Charlotte v. Georgia State -3 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 125 h 13 m | Show |
09-18-21 | Utah -7.5 v. San Diego State | 31-33 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 21 m | Show | |
09-18-21 | Northwestern -2.5 v. Duke | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -117 | 118 h 50 m | Show |
09-18-21 | Virginia Tech v. West Virginia -2.5 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 64 h 38 m | Show |
09-17-21 | Maryland v. Illinois +8 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 100 h 14 m | Show |
09-17-21 | Mariners -112 v. Royals | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
09-16-21 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 51 h 22 m | Show |
09-16-21 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 10 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
09-16-21 | A's -116 v. Royals | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
09-15-21 | Padres -105 v. Giants | Top | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
09-15-21 | A's -135 v. Royals | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
09-15-21 | Rays +156 v. Blue Jays | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
09-14-21 | Red Sox v. Mariners +125 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
09-14-21 | Rays +120 v. Blue Jays | Top | 2-0 | Win | 120 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
09-14-21 | Brewers v. Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
09-13-21 | Red Sox v. Mariners +109 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 109 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
09-13-21 | Ravens v. Raiders UNDER 50.5 | Top | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
09-13-21 | Cardinals v. Mets +104 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
09-12-21 | Bears +9 v. Rams | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -125 | 100 h 57 m | Show |
09-12-21 | Browns +6.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-33 | Win | 100 | 151 h 15 m | Show |
09-12-21 | Diamondbacks v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
09-12-21 | Reds -121 v. Cardinals | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -121 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
09-12-21 | Steelers v. Bills UNDER 49 | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 146 h 7 m | Show |
09-12-21 | Jaguars -2.5 v. Texans | Top | 21-37 | Loss | -115 | 144 h 56 m | Show |
09-12-21 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Colts | Top | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 82 h 7 m | Show |
09-11-21 | Utah v. BYU +7 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 67 h 59 m | Show |
09-11-21 | Yankees -114 v. Mets | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
09-11-21 | NC State v. Mississippi State +3 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 119 h 11 m | Show | |
09-11-21 | Memphis v. Arkansas State +5.5 | Top | 55-50 | Win | 100 | 80 h 43 m | Show |
09-11-21 | Nationals v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
09-11-21 | Houston v. Rice +8.5 | 44-7 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 40 m | Show | |
09-11-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State -3.5 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -120 | 121 h 19 m | Show |
09-11-21 | Georgia Southern +7.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 2 m | Show | |
09-11-21 | Western Kentucky v. Army UNDER 55 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 15 m | Show |
09-10-21 | Padres +153 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
09-10-21 | Rangers v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
09-10-21 | Reds -120 v. Cardinals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
09-09-21 | Cowboys +8 v. Bucs | Top | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 75 h 22 m | Show |
09-09-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -109 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
09-09-21 | White Sox v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
09-08-21 | Rays v. Red Sox +100 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
09-08-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -112 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
09-08-21 | Twins v. Indians -125 | 3-0 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
09-07-21 | Phillies v. Brewers +100 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
09-07-21 | Rays v. Red Sox +100 | Top | 12-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
09-07-21 | Twins v. Indians -138 | 3-0 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
09-06-21 | Twins v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
09-06-21 | Blue Jays +118 v. Yankees | Top | 8-0 | Win | 118 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
09-05-21 | Notre Dame v. Florida State +7 | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
09-05-21 | Mariners -127 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
09-04-21 | Nevada +3.5 v. California | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 122 h 15 m | Show |
09-04-21 | Astros v. Padres -108 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
09-04-21 | Georgia v. Clemson -3 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
09-04-21 | UTSA +6 v. Illinois | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 100 h 4 m | Show |
09-04-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
09-04-21 | Indiana v. Iowa -3.5 | 6-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
09-04-21 | West Virginia v. Maryland +3 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
09-04-21 | Army +3 v. Georgia State | Top | 43-10 | Win | 100 | 123 h 35 m | Show |
09-03-21 | Astros -125 v. Padres | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
09-03-21 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Northwestern | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 76 h 26 m | Show | |
09-03-21 | Duke -6 v. Charlotte | 28-31 | Loss | -104 | 59 h 31 m | Show | |
09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +6 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
09-02-21 | Boise State v. Central Florida -4 | Top | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 292 h 23 m | Show |
09-02-21 | Indians v. Royals OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
09-02-21 | Pirates v. Cubs -129 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
09-01-21 | Brewers v. Giants -152 | 5-2 | Loss | -152 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
09-01-21 | Red Sox -106 v. Rays | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
09-01-21 | Rockies -130 v. Rangers | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
08-31-21 | Braves +167 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
08-31-21 | Cubs +150 v. Twins | Top | 3-1 | Win | 150 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
08-30-21 | Brewers v. Giants +131 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
08-30-21 | Red Sox +125 v. Rays | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
08-29-21 | Yankees -142 v. A's | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -142 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
08-29-21 | Patriots v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 22-20 | Win | 100 | 58 h 51 m | Show |
08-29-21 | Dolphins v. Bengals OVER 35 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 102 h 56 m | Show |
08-28-21 | Giants v. Braves -114 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
08-28-21 | Brewers -144 v. Twins | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -144 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
08-28-21 | Reds v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 60 m | Show |