03-25-21 |
Panthers -118 v. Blackhawks |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-118 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Florida Panthers Money Line -120 over Chicago Blackhawks at 8 PM ET - Very strong line value here. The Panthers are without Aleksander Barkov here and they are on the road. However, the situation was exactly the same on Tuesday and yet Florida went off the board as a -160 favorite. Now the Panthers are priced in the -120 range in the rematch because the markets have over-reacted to Barkov's absence. Even without Barkov on Tuesday Florida still outshot Chicago. The Blackhawks hung on for the 3-2 win but now the Panthers will get their revenge. Prior to that loss, Florida had won all 4 meetings with Chicago this season and the combined score of those games was 20 to 11. That said, the Panthers have dominated for long stretches in these match-ups this season. Now Florida enters this game off back to back losses and they have not lost 3 straight games this entire season. In fact, the Panthers are 9-2 this season when they enter a game off a loss. The Blackhawks, prior to the 3-2 win Tuesday, had lost 4 straight games and 6 of their last 7. Given the situation, if this game was at Florida and Barkov was healthy, this line would be about a -200 on the Panthers. That shows you what kind of value we're getting here. Given that fact as well as the revenge factor and coach Joel Quenneville again facing his former team but this time off a loss, you know what kind of effort Florida is going to bring here and others will step up with Barkov set to miss this game. The better team laying a very small price here and they send the Blackhawks to their 7th loss in the last 9 games! In the process Florida improves to 10-2 this season when off a loss! VALUE! Take the PANTHERS
|
03-20-21 |
Rangers +125 v. Capitals |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
125 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON New York Rangers Money Line +125 over Washington Capitals at 7:00 PM ET - Yesterday's game slipped away from the Rangers despite a 33-18 edge in shots on goal. The Capitals rallied for 2 late goals to get the 2-1 win and that means it is payback time for New York on Saturday. The Rangers had won each of the first two meetings this season and Washington was hungry for revenge yesterday but now it is New York seeking revenge in this one. The Rangers looked like the better team for much of yesterday's game and certainly are more dangerous since the return of Panarin to the ice. He scored their lone goal yesterday but, again, the Rangers could have had more. They will make up for that here and there is a reason this line has moved toward New York even though the Capitals have won 7 straight and 14 of 17. Why does a line move against a team like that in this situation? Sharp money! Grab the dog here. Take the RANGERS
|
03-19-21 |
Flames +143 v. Maple Leafs |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
143 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Calgary Flames Money Line +145 over Toronto Maple Leafs at 7:00 PM ET - Calgary is off an ugly 7-3 loss and will respond here. The Flames are 7-2 this season when off a loss in which they allowed 4 or more goals. Calgary also has revenge here as they have lost 3 of 4 games against Toronto this season including the most recent defeat coming in overtime. The Flames are catching the Maple Leafs at the right time as Toronto has lost 5 of its last 6 games and allowed an average of 4 goals per game during this rough stretch. The Flames had won 3 straight by a combined score of 9-5 before their 7-3 loss Wednesday. Calgary will be the better team from an execution standpoint here as they have already played twice this week while this is the Leafs first game since Sunday! Take the FLAMES
|
03-17-21 |
Canucks v. Senators +132 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Ottawa Senators Money Line +130 over Vancouver Canucks at 7:00 PM ET - The Canucks beat the Senators again on Monday. That was the 4th straight win for Vancouver over Ottawa this season. However, the Senators rallied from a 3-0 deficit and fell just short in the 3-2 loss. The Sens outshot the Canucks by a 46-28 margin and Ottawa has outshot Vancouver in all 4 meetings this season with an edge of 30 shots just in the last two games alone. That said, this is the perfect spot for the Senators to finally get past the Canucks as Vancouver has a big revenge game at Montreal on deck for Friday. The Canucks have won 5 of 6 games but the lone loss was a 5-1 defeat to the Canadiens. Vancouver gets caught looking ahead to that game and home dog Ottawa will prove to be the hotter team here. Take the SENATORS
|
03-16-21 |
Lightning -152 v. Stars |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
ASA PLAY 8* ON Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line -150 over Dallas Stars at 8:30 PM ET - The Lightning are off a 4-1 home loss versus Nashville yesterday. McElhinney got the start in goal in the front end of a back to back but that means it should be Vasilevskiy between the pipes for this one. He is Tampa Bay's #1 netminder and is 17-3-1 this season with a 1.85 GAA and a .934 save percentage. The Bolts are 3-0 the last 3 times they were off a loss and we expect a big response here after the embarrassing defeat against the Predators yesterday afternoon. Tampa Bay beat the Stars to win the Stanley Cup last season. Though Dallas has been seeking revenge this season, the Lightning already won both meetings with Dallas this year and those victories have come by a combined margin of 7-0. Dallas is off a win entering this game but this victory came on the heels of the Stars losing 15 of 19 games. This is a great spot to lay the price and look for a road blowout! Take the LIGHTNING
|
03-15-21 |
Bruins -109 v. Penguins |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Boston Bruins Money Line -110 over Pittsburgh Penguins at 7 PM ET - The Bruins, overall, are a very strong hockey club that is also in a fantastic spot here. Boston is off a 4-0 shutout loss at home versus the New York Rangers. The Bruins already have won both meetings with the Penguins this season and also have outshot them by a combined 93 to 69 in the last 3 meetings. Boston is 2 for 5 on the power play in the 2 meetings this season while Pittsburgh is 0 for 14 on the power play in the last 4 meetings with the Bruins. Special team edges for the Bruins here and you can bet they will be ready here as they look to bounce back from the shutout loss to the Rangers. Boston has won 7 of its last 11 games played away from home and the Bruins have played very well as travelers except note that they did lose their most recent trip to Pittsburgh (last season) and now they have a chance at payback. The Penguins are currently 3 points ahead of the Bruins in the division but Boston has 2 games in hand and can start gaining valuable ground in the standings right here right now. The Bruins are a slight road favorite here for a reason. Do not let the line fool you. Road team payback here after a shutout loss. In terms of goal-tending, if Tuukka Rask is back for Boston tonight note that he has allowed just a single goal in each of his last 3 starts. If it is Jaroslav Halak between the pipes for the Bruins, note that he took the loss against the Rangers but that was preceded by him allowing a total of just two goals over his last 3 starts combined! Boston had gone 6 straight games without allowing more than a single goal in regulation time and they will resume their strong defensive play after the 4-0 shutout loss to the Rangers. The Penguins have been hot but we still question their goaltending with Jarry and DeSmith. Keep in mind Pittsburgh's recent winning run came against the slumping Flyers, the Rangers when Panarin was still out, and a very bad Sabres team. The Pens took advantage of that schedule but now things get much tougher here. Take the BRUINS
|
03-09-21 |
Bruins -103 v. Islanders |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Boston Bruins Money Line -110 over New York Islanders at 7 PM ET - The Bruins, overall, are a very strong hockey club that is also in a fantastic spot here. Boston is off a 1-0 shutout loss at home versus New Jersey. The Bruins also have lost all 3 meetings with the Islanders this season. You can bet they will be ready here as they seek revenge and also look to bounce back from the loss to the Devils. Boston has won 7 of its last 10 games played away from home and 2 of those 3 defeats were at the hands of the Islanders. In other words, the Bruins have played very well as travelers except against the Islanders and now they have a chance at payback. The Islanders are currently in first place in the division but Boston has 3 games in hand and can start gaining valuable ground in the standings right here right now. The Bruins are a slight road favorite here for a reason. Do not let the line fool you. Road team payback here after a shutout loss. Take the BRUINS
|
03-07-21 |
Capitals v. Flyers -106 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -105 over Washington at 7 PM ET - The Capitals are off a very physical loss to the Bruins Friday. That 5-1 defeat also saw their most physical player, Tom Wilson, deliver a bad hit on Brandon Carlo of the Bruins and Wilson is now on a 7-game suspension for Washington. That will hurt this team some and they are taking on a Philly team that is in a back to back spot but on their home ice and with Carter Hart between the pipes. Hart has shown a long-term tendency for dominating in his home ice starts so he is absolutely in his comfort zone here. Also, Philadelphia hammered the Capitals 7-4 in the most recent meeting and this Flyers team is, for the most part, healthy again after already dealing with covid issues a few weeks ago. Philadelphia could get Philippe Myers back here as well. Each team does have a couple personnel issues here but the absence of Wilson could hurt the Caps in a back to back physical match-up as these teams don't like each other to say the least. Keep in mind, Carter Hart went 20-3-2 with a 1.63 GAA in his home starts last season and has only 1 regulation loss in 6 decisions on home ice this season. Take the FLYERS
|
03-06-21 |
Blue Jackets v. Stars -133 |
Top |
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 60 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Dallas Stars Money Line -130 over Columbus at 8 PM ET - The Blue Jackets got a tight 3-2 win at Dallas Thursday for their 2nd straight win. However, the season is nearly two months in and Columbus has yet to produce a winning streak longer than just 2 games! We don't see that trend ending here as the Jackets continue to be a team plagued by inconsistency this season. Prior to this 2-game winning streak, Columbus had lost 7 of 8 games. Certainly Dallas has not impressed early this season but this is still a Stars team that was representing the Western Conference in the Stanley Cup Finals last season! The Stars began this season with 4 straight home wins. Now their last 6 home games have seen 3 regulation losses and 3 OT/SO losses. A determined Dallas team will take to the ice here and they are favored in the -130 range here with good reason. Look for the Stars to come out flying in this one. They will not be denied after Thursday's tight loss to the Blue Jackets. Take the STARS
|
03-04-21 |
Jets +142 v. Canadiens |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
142 |
6 h 33 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Winnipeg Jets Money Line +140 over Montreal at 7 PM ET - We successfully used Winnipeg in a 5-2 win over Vancouver on Tuesday as it was payback time for the Jets after that rare loss to the Canucks Monday. Winnipeg, entering Monday's game, had won 4 straight games and 8 of their last 11 games. The Canadiens are off a win as well but they had entered Tuesday night's game having lost 7 of 8 games. This is clearly a case of two teams heading opposite directions for multiple weeks now and one game does not change all that. The fact is that Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck is known for being great in bounce back mode and he was in goal for Monday's loss to the Canucks. Winnipeg's Hellebuyck is 6-1 this season when he starts a game in which he lost his prior start or in which the Jets are coming off a loss. We'll take advantage of the line value here because the Canadiens have not responded all that well since the coaching change and still seem to be in a transitional cycle. That said the big dog comeback price on Winnipeg here is an excellent value as this is the perfect spot to back a strong team facing an over-priced favorite that has still been shaky of late. Take the JETS
|
03-02-21 |
Canucks v. Jets -115 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Winnipeg Jets Money Line -115 over Vancouver at 8 PM ET - The Canucks got a 4-0 shutout win yesterday at Winnipeg but the set up was perfect for them and, even in victory, they were outshot 27 to 19 by the Jets. Going into yesterday's game, Vancouver had 3 full days off since playing on Thursday and the Canucks were highly motivated to end their losing streak of 4 straight games in that one. They were catching the Jets at the perfect time to do just that. Winnipeg was coming off an emotional 2-1 OT win over Montreal Saturday. After back to back wins over the Canadiens, the first of which featured twice rallying from 2-goal deficits, the Jets were likely to be "out of gas" emotionally and physically last night and, sure enough, that proved to be the case. Last night, the Canucks were proven to be the fresher and hungrier team. However, now it is payback time for the Jets after that rare loss. Winnipeg, entering yesterday's game, had won 4 straight games and 8 of their last 11 games. The Canucks entered last night's game having lost 11 of 13 games. This was clearly a case of two teams heading opposite directions for multiple weeks now and one game does not change all that. The fact is that the Jets have been great in bounce back mode this season. Winnipeg is 6-1 this season when coming off a loss. Also, the goaltending match-up that is expected in this rematch favors the home side. The Jets are expected to start Laurent Brossoit. Even though he is the back-up to Connor Hellebuyck, Brossoit shutout the Canucks in his most recent start and has now allowed a total of just 2 goals in his last two appearances! He will likely be opposed by Vancouver's Braden Holtby who has been replaced by Thatcher Demko as the #1 guy for the Canucks and this is because of his struggles. Holtby lost 4 of his 5 starts last month and compiled a 3.86 GAA. This one will be all Jets as they improve to 7-1 this season when off a loss. We'll take advantage of the line value here because many would rate Holtby an edge over Brossoit in goal but that is simply not the case based on current level of play for these two. That said, the lower line on Winnipeg here is an excellent value as this the perfect spot to back a revenging team. Lay it! Take the JETS
|
03-01-21 |
Canucks +120 v. Jets |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
120 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Vancouver Canucks Money Line +120 over Winnipeg at 8 PM ET - Raise your hand if you also think it’s “fishy” that Winnipeg is such a small favorite in this game against a Vancouver team that has lost 4 straight and 11 of 13 games? Of course the markets have jumped on this as expected and driven the price a little higher but that just means more value with the underdog Canucks in this one. This game was priced this way for a reason. Vancouver has had 3 full days off since playing on Thursday and the Canucks are highly motivated to end their losing streak here. They are catching the Jets at the perfect time to do just that. Winnipeg is coming off an emotional 2-1 OT win over Montreal Saturday. After back to back wins over the Canadiens, the first of which featured twice rallying from 2-goal deficits, the Jets are likely to be "out of gas" here and the Canucks will prove to be the fresher and hungrier team. Winnipeg has won 4 straight games and this is their longest winning streak of the season. Look for them to come back down to earth in this one. Grab the road dog here for an upset that many will be surprised to see but we won't. The odds makers had this one right when they opened it up at such a small price. Take the CANUCKS
|
02-27-21 |
Maple Leafs v. Oilers +105 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers Money Line +105 over Toronto Maple Leafs at 7 PM ET - Edmonton has won 5 straight games and 11 of last 13. No one has questioned the firepower of the Oilers coming into this season but the concern was always the goaltending. However, ever since Mike Smith came back Edmonton has been getting a lot of strong play in the crease. Even Mikko Koskinen has come up with some big starts too. The Oilers have allowed just 1.3 goals per game in their last 9 victories. It use to be the only way that Edmonton won games was 4-3 or 5-4 type high-scoring affairs but the Oilers are really on top of their game now. That being said, and with this being a 1-2 battle at the top of the North Division, we love the line value being offered to the home dog. Toronto has a great record this but, prior their tight 2-1 OT win versus Calgary (scored late to force OT) the Leafs had lost 3 of last 6 games. The Oilers are absolutely the hotter team right now and worthy of a strong play as a home dog in this spot. Edmonton is a different team than the one the Leafs faced back in January and the teams split those 4 games. Now the home team is playing even stronger and takes the season series edge with a win here per our computer math model. Take the OILERS
|
02-25-21 |
Blackhawks v. Blue Jackets -124 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-124 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Columbus Blue Jackets Money Line -125 over Chicago Blackhawks at 7 PM ET - From a situational perspective, this one is a fantastic one in terms of how it sets up. Columbus has gone a perfect 4-0 this season when they have entered a game off back to back losses. Their coach John Tortorella is a very demanding coach and you can bet he is on his team big after any loss but particularly back to back defeats. Sure enough the Jackets have responded each time when in this situation this season and the combined score has been 15 to 7 in those victories. Columbus has scored an average of 3.5 goals per game on home ice this season. Chicago got the shootout win, 6-5, in a crazy high-scoring win over the Blue Jackets Tuesday. That kind of high-scoring effort from the Blackhawks on the road is absolutely the exception rather than the norm this season. Their prior road game was a 5-3 loss at Carolina and, prior to that, Chicago had played 10 road games and only scored well in one of them. In the other 9 the Blackhawks scored an average of only 1.6 goals per game. In other words, their performance Tuesday was most definitely an aberration and the Blue Jackets are set up well to get revenge tonight at a great price. Chicago is expected to start Malcolm Subban in this one and there is a reason that, long-term in the NHL, he has always been a back-up rather than the starter. The Blackhawks Subban had a 3.17 GAA last season and historically has struggled on the road. He has been better than expected early this season but that is a very small sample size and his long-term numbers tell the full story. Look for Joonas Korpisalo to respond in the crease for the Blue Jackets tonight as he had been solid in 2 of 3 starts against Chicago before struggling in Tuesday's shootout loss. It is payback time for Columbus and Korpisalo in this one! Considering all of the above factors, look for a home ice blowout in this one. Take the BLUE JACKETS
|
02-23-21 |
Blackhawks v. Blue Jackets -118 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-118 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Columbus Blue Jackets Money Line -120 over Chicago Blackhawks at 7 PM ET - The Blue Jackets enter this game off a home loss to Nashville. Columbus is a perfect 4-0 this season in a game that follows a home ice loss. The Jackets also enter this game seeking revenge against the Blackhawks. The most recent meeting between these teams resulted in a 3-2 OT loss for Columbus at Chicago. The Blackhawks have won 9 of their 19 games this season overall. However, Chicago is a perfect 4-0 against the Red Wings this season and Detroit is absolutely the worst team in this division. That is significant because the Blackhawks have lost 10 of 15 games against teams not named the Red Wings this season! Overall, on the road this season, other than a 2-0 at Detroit, the Blackhawks have lost 7 of 9 games as travelers. Now Chicago takes on an angry Blue Jackets team that is at home and 4-0 this season when off a home loss. Per our computer math model, the home team prevails in convincing fashion in this match-up. Take the BLUE JACKETS
|
02-22-21 |
Lightning -123 v. Hurricanes |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line -125 over Carolina Hurricanes at 7 PM ET - This is a rare chance to take a strong team off back to back losses. The Bolts have lost back to back games and they are the defending Stanley Cup Champs for a reason. Last season they responded in the post-season each time off a loss. In the regular season they had 5 two-game losing streaks last season. Only two losing streaks the entire season went beyond two losses. This is a team that has proven time and time again they know how to respond and, after a 4-0 loss to the Hurricanes on Saturday, you can bet on the Lightning making the most of this chance to respond here immediately. Carolina will again be without Teuvo Teravainen and he is a key contributor for them. After Alex Nedeljkovic got the shutout win for the Hurricanes Saturday, James Reimer is expected to get the start between the pipes tonight. He has a great record this season but it hasn't been based on his dominant play. In fact, Reimer has allowed at least 3 goals in each of his last 7 starts. This includes 19 goals in his last 5 starts for an average of 3.8 goals per game. To put this in proper perspective, Andrei Vasilevskiy has struggled a little in recent starts and yet he has a stellar 2.01 GAA on the season! Before his loss to the Hurricanes on Saturday, Vasilevskiy had allowed 2 or less goals in 9 of his first 12 starts this season. He and the Lightning are poised for big-time revenge here on Monday. Tampa Bay lost the first meeting between these teams last month so this is now a double revenge spot for them and that defeat was in overtime. That was a 1-0 OT loss and the Lightning are too strong of a team to get shut down 3 straight times by a Hurricanes team whose biggest problem this season has actually been keeping pucks out of their own net! Revenge road rout expected here. Lay it! Take the LIGHTNING
|
02-20-21 |
Kings +138 v. Coyotes |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
138 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Los Angeles Kings Money Line +138 over Arizona Coyotes at 7 PM ET - This line has dropped from its opener even though Arizona is the popular choice here. What does that tell us? It means the sharp money is coming in on Los Angeles. That makes perfect sense with us and also is in direct correlation with the result our computer math model is predicting for this one as well. The Kings are supposed to be a bad team this season but don't tell that to them! They have won 3 straight games and their confidence is growing with each victory. After back to back wins by a combined 10-2 score they then beat the Coyotes by a 3-2 count in the shootout Thursday. Though it took OT for them to get that victory, the Kings took a 2-goal lead in the first period and never trailed in that game. Simply put, the Coyotes are a gritty but unimpressive team. Arizona has now lost 5 of its last 7 games on home ice. They simply don't merit being this large of a favorite right now and this is particularly true against a Los Angeles team that is surging. Grab the underdog value here. Take the KINGS
|
02-18-21 |
Predators v. Blue Jackets -116 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Columbus Blue Jackets Money Line -115 over Nashville Predators at 7 PM ET - From a situational perspective, this one is a fantastic one in terms of how it sets up. The Blue Jackets began this season with back to back losses at Nashville and now finally are getting their shot at revenge. Columbus was a different team earlier this season as that was before the big trade with Winnipeg too. The Blue Jackets were clearly having some team chemistry issues that have improved since the deal with the Jets. After those back to back wins for the Predators to open the season, they have since won just 4 of 13 games! Also, the Preds enter this game off a loss and that is noteworthy because it followed a win and Nashville has yet to have a standalone loss this season. In other words, every time Nashville has had a loss it has begun a streak of at last two in a row. That pattern is very likely to continue here as the Predators have lost 5 of 6 road games this season and just had their most recent games against Dallas cancelled by weather issues. Now the Preds face a Blue Jackets team off back to back to back losses and this is the other side of the equation in terms of what is making a powerful situation. Columbus has gone a perfect 3-0 this season when they have entered a game off back to back losses. Their coach John Tortorella is a very demanding coach and you can bet he is on his team big after any loss but particularly back to back defeats. Sure enough the Jackets have responded each time when in this situation this season and the combined score has been 12 to 7 in those victories. Columbus has scored an average of 3.5 goals per game on home ice this season. Nashville has had one high-scoring road win this season but lost each of its other five away games and scored an average of only 1.6 goals per game in those defeats. Considering all of the above factors, look for a home ice blowout in this one. Take the BLUE JACKETS
|
02-16-21 |
Wild v. Kings +113 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
113 |
27 h 36 m |
Show
|
ASA PLAY ON 8* Los Angeles Kings Money Line +110 over Minnesota Wild at 10 PM ET - The Wild are favored here and that may make sense based on long-term results and the market perception of these teams. However, Minnesota has not played a game since February 2nd. Now, two weeks later, the Wild are finally back in action after a bunch of issues due to the covid protocol. Facing the Kings at Los Angeles is no easy task. Despite the Kings overall long-term record being rather unimpressive, LA is known for being tough on home ice. Last season Los Angeles struggled on the road but went 19-13-2 in home games! This season the Kings have earned at least a point in 5 of their 7 home games. So, again, the overall record is not that impressive but the Kings are a different team when on home ice and LA will take advantage of a Wild team that will have a lot of rust after two weeks without a game. Also, Minnesota entered their unwanted break having lost 4 of 6 games and having scored just a single goal in each of the final 3 losses in that stretch. The Kings are off a confidence-boosting 6-2 home win and are now 2-1-1 in their last 4 home games and LA has played 5 games already this month while the Wild come in with a lot of rust! The Kings have scored at least 3 goals in each of their last 3 games. Take the KINGS
|
02-15-21 |
Islanders -121 v. Sabres |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* New York Islanders Money Line -120 over Buffalo Sabres at 7 PM ET - Just as it has greatly impacted other sports, the covid pandemic has also been impactful to the hockey world as well. In the NHL yesterday, we saw a Capitals team playing for the first time in over a week and they looked out of sorts as the Penguins took advantage in an eventual 6-3 win. The Avalanche were also playing for the first time in over a week and a half and they suffered a shutout loss at Vegas. The point is that both games Sunday involved teams off a long layoff and it didn't go well for either hockey club that was in that situation. Next up in that situation is a very difficult spot for Buffalo Monday. The Sabres haven't played a game in even longer - a span of two weeks between contests - and now they host an Islanders team that has not lost a game in regulation in over 2 weeks. Indeed New York is on a 6-game points streak and has won 3 of the last 4 games with the only loss in a shootout. Today is the 15th of February and this will be the first game that Buffalo has played this month. Not only that but the Sabres weren't exactly dominating on home ice either. Buffalo has lost 4 of 6 home games and one of their two wins came in the shootout. In summary, this match-up features an Islanders team playing its best hockey so far this season - they have found their stride - and taking on a Sabres team that has major issues with time off and conditioning issues for players and guys being stuck in quarantine. We are getting line value here because the Islanders are on the road and expected to start back-up goalie Ilya Sorokin. He has allowed a total of only 5 goals in regulation time of his last two starts and with how well his teammates have been playing that will be in front of him tonight coupled with the struggles for the Sabres skaters to return to game-ready form here, this one should turn into a road rout. Take the ISLANDERS
|
02-13-21 |
Blues v. Coyotes +104 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Arizona Coyotes Money Line +105 over St Louis Blues at 8 PM ET - The Blues won last night's game but the back to back situation favors the Coyotes. St Louis will likely go with back-up goalie Ville Husso here and he has struggled this season. While Arizona is also going with the back-up goalie here, Antti Raanta gets the call and he has been solid this season and long-term in his career. Significant edge between the pipes expected here as it is likely to be a battle of back-up goalies given the back to back situation. Prior to last night's loss, Arizona had won 3 straight meetings with St Louis this season. The quirky scheduling situation this season has been further impacted by health protocols with covid and that is why it seems like the Blues and Coyotes are constantly playing each other. Now, off their first loss in the last 4 meetings between the teams, the Coyotes get back on track with a big win tonight per our computer math model. Bounce back time here. Take the COYOTES
|
02-11-21 |
Oilers v. Canadiens -140 |
|
3-0 |
Loss |
-140 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
ASA PLAY ON 8* Montreal Canadiens Money Line -140 over Edmonton Oilers at 7 PM ET - The Canadiens are off a home loss to the Maple Leafs last night. Even though this is a back to back, Montreal has been strong at goaltender as Jake Allen has played extremely well. He will likely be between the pipes because Carey Price was in goal last night. The Habs are 4-0 this season when off a loss. Montreal also has won 4 of the 5 starts made by Allen this season. The Senators are by far the worst team in the North Division this season. What does Ottawa have to do with this match-up? Well, the Oilers have been "hot" recently but a lot of it has to do with 4 of their last 5 games coming against Senators. Edmonton went 4-0 in those match-ups but has lost 7 of 11 games against teams not named Ottawa this season. Also, against the Canadiens, the Oilers have lost both games this season and the combined score of those two was 8-2. Montreal is set up well to dominate again here as they improve to 5-0 this season when off a loss. This is a very good Habs team that outshot the Maple Leafs by a solid margin yesterday but suffered a tight loss due to some rare 3rd period struggles. Bounce back time here. Take the CANADIENS
|
02-10-21 |
Bruins v. Rangers +144 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
ASA PLAY ON 8* New York Rangers Money Line +145 over Boston Bruins at 7 PM ET - The Rangers are at home off a shutout loss. That was New York's first loss in regulation time since the 26th of January. Also, the Rangers allowed just 2 goals in the defeat and have given up a total of only 5 goals in their last 3 games. New York has been playing very well and battled hard with the Islanders in the 2-0 loss to them Monday which was scoreless until very late in the game. Most impressive has been the play of the Rangers defense and their goaltending and they offer great value here as a home dog. The Bruins have the flashy record and are, of course, a strong team but they enter this game off an emotional series sweep of the Flyers and are now 4-0 against them so far this season. Prior to those back to back wins at Philadelphia, Boston was on a stretch that saw them lose 3 of their last 4 road games. The Bruins are overpriced here and the home dog off a loss should prove to be the hungrier hockey club in this one. Take the RANGERS
|
02-05-21 |
Predators +108 v. Panthers |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Nashville Predators Money Line +105 over Florida Panthers at 7:00 PM ET - The Predators rallied last night with two late goals and an eventual overtime victory at Florida. Of course the Panthers will be looking for payback here and many in the betting markets will likely be backing the home team here. However, Florida has issues and is fools gold in terms of their strong record. 4 of the Panthers 5 wins have come against the Blackhawks and Red Wings. Chicago and Detroit are two of the weaker teams in the NHL, the Wings in particular, and have combined for only 6 wins in 23 games this season. Nashville's schedule has been much tougher early this season than that of Florida's. The Predators have played 4 games already against the teams that met in the Stanley Cup Finals last year - Dallas and Tampa Bay. Nashville also has had 3 other games against Columbus and Carolina - both solid playoff teams from last year. All of this is not being properly factored into the equation here by the betting markets and there is value in the Preds here. Pekka Rinne relieved Juuse Saros in goal yesterday and stopped all 12 shots he faced and will likely get the start here. As for Florida, they used Sergei Bobrovsky last night so Chris Driedger likely gets the start here. Though he has played well early this season he also shut out Nashville last season and the Predators want payback here. Look for Nashville to build off the momentum of last night's exciting win and remember that this is a Preds team that has won 5 of 6 games this season when not facing the Stanley Cup finalists from last season. The scheduling factor is being overlooked by the markets here. Take the PREDATORS
|
02-02-21 |
Wild v. Avalanche -168 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 54 m |
Show
|
ASA PLAY ON 7* Colorado Avalanche Money Line -165 over Minnesota Wild at 8:30 PM ET - We rarely lay prices in this range in money line sports such as NHL and MLB. However, this is a rare exception that is too good to pass up on. The Avalanche have some injury issues but this is a very resilient team that is use to battling through injuries - remember last season and last year's playoffs? The fact is that with Nathan MacKinnon's health now in doubt too this line has been pushed down very far from where it would normally be. In a situation like this the Avalanche would have been at least a 2 to 1 favorite at home and likely would have fallen into the -200 to -250 range. That said, seeing a line as low as -165 on this one as of early Tuesday is a great value. The injury situation actually gave us the value we needed to get involved. The Wild just beat the Avalanche in overtime on Sunday but that was in Minnesota. Now the Wild play their first road game in nearly two weeks and they face a Colorado club out for revenge. The Avalanche are a perfect 3-0 this season when off a loss and they have won those games by a combined score of 18 to 5. The Avs entered Sunday's game allowing an average of just 2 goals per game over an 8-game stretch. The Wild entered Sunday's game losers in 3 of their last 4. It is payback time here. Lay it! Take the AVALANCHE.
|
02-01-21 |
Penguins v. Rangers +100 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* New York Rangers Money Line -105 over Pittsburgh Penguins at 7 PM ET - Yes the Penguins have the much better record but they have been very fortunate early this season and the injuries continue to pile up for Pittsburgh early this season. All of their 5 wins have come by a single goal and 4 of those were after regulation and the one that was not was decided on a late goal with a minute and a half to go. The Penguins have 4 losses this season and 3 of those losses have come by a 3-goal margin. The point is that, thus far this season, Pittsburgh has shown they might get blown out but they have never shown that they will be on the right of a blowout. Now they face a Rangers team that has its sights set on revenge and that is a much better team than its record indicates. New York's last 5 losses all have come by a single goal margin and two of those were after regulation. The Rangers are facing Pittsburgh for the 4th time this season and so far have lost a game on the aforementioned late goal in regulation plus have a shootout loss and an overtime loss against these Penguins. After this game they don't face the Penguins for about 5 weeks and, suffice to say, New York is looking to get their payback tonight as they don't want to wait another month. The Rangers are outshooting opponents by 6 shots on goal per game while the Penguins are only a +1 in that department. Also, New York allowing only 3 goals per game this season while the Penguins are allowing 4 goals per game. The Rangers have been getting the better goaltending thus far this season and will make up for the crazy overtime loss to the Penguins on Saturday by responding with a big win here on Monday. Take the RANGERS.
|
01-31-21 |
Blue Jackets -137 v. Blackhawks |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-137 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
ASA PLAY ON 8* Columbus Blue Jackets -137 over Chicago, Sunday at 7 PM ET - The Blackhawks had their chance against the Blue Jackets Friday and still could not get it done. Columbus was in the 2nd game of a back to back and off a hard-fought shootout win and Chicago could have pounced on them and been very aggressive. Now Chicago faces a rested Blue Jackets team that proved on Friday, even when tired, that they are so much better than this Blackhawks team. Things are getting worse for Chicago too because more and more players are injured and/or dealing with quarantine issues relating to covid. It is a real problem and note that the Blackhawks have scored only 4 goals in their last 3 games combined. As for the Blue Jackets, they have allowed an average of only 2 goals per game in regulation time of their last 7 games. Columbus is so tough defensively with Seth Jones and Zach Werenski making such a formidable top pairing defensively. Now these guys, unlike Friday, are also rested coming into this one too. We will reduce our star rating here some due to the price but this money line should still prove well worth it as these are two teams at opposite ends of the spectrum right now. Lay the price with the away team in this one as our computer math model projects a road rout for Columbus
|
01-30-21 |
Flames v. Canadiens -120 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-120 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
ASA PLAY ON 10* Montreal -120 over Calgary, Saturday at 7 PM ET - The Canadiens hot start to the season is no fluke and Montreal offers great line value here as a small-priced home favorite. In 7 games this season the Habs have yet to lose in regulation as they have 5 wins, 1 shootout loss, 1 overtime loss. In their 7 games the Canadiens have averaged scoring 4.7 goals per game! Their 4-2 win over the Flames Thursday was not even as close as the final score looks as Montreal dominated and was up 4-0 before Calgary finally got a couple of goals in the third period which was too little too late. In the Canadiens last 6 games they have had only one truly bad game defensively. In the other 5 games, the Habs have conceded an average of only 1.8 goals per game. The Flames are winless in their two road games this season, have allowed an average of 3.7 goals per game in their last 3 games overall, and also have lost each of their last 6 meetings with the Canadiens. Per our computer math model that streak will reach 7 when the final horn sounds on this one. 10* MONTREAL
|
01-26-21 |
Penguins v. Bruins -122 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Boston Bruins over Pittsburgh Penguins, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET
The Bruins are one of the few teams in the NHL that can flip a switch and then are lights out good! That is how strong Boston is when they are on their game and they are definitely on their game again. The Bruins struggled to score goals early this season as the Devils and Islanders - a pair of defensive minded hockey clubs - held them down. Boston seemed a bit down and out and this continued through the first two periods of the first game of a two-game set with a high-quality Flyers hockey club. Then entering that 3rd period down 2-0, the Bruins indeed flipped the switch! They scored 4 goals in that third period, won the game in a shootout, and then proceeded to blast Philadelphia 6-1 in the next game. That means Boston has outscored their opponent 10 to 2 over the past 4 periods of hockey. That momentum will carry right into this game as the Bruins host the most over-rated 4-win team in the league right now. The Penguins have won 4 straight games but the first 3 wins all came after regulation and then the most recent one was a 3-2 win in which they scored with about a minute to go after being thoroughly outplayed by the Rangers. Pittsburgh could very easily be winless on the season and their defensive corps continues to deal with a number of injuries. Additionally in goal they have been bouncing between Jarry and DeSmith and certainly the Penguins have not been getting the same strong goaltending that the Bruins have been. Pittsburgh has allowed an average of 3.8 goals per game this season. The Bruins are allowing just 1.8 goals per game in regulation time this season. The home team is 6-0 in Penguins games this season and the home team is on a 4-0 run in Bruins games this season too. In the last 6 meetings between Pittsburgh and Boston, the home team has taken all 6 games. Per our computer math model the strong home team trend continues here as the Bruins strong surge in level of play continues. Bet Boston for a 10* Top Play in NHL action Tuesday
|
01-24-21 |
Maple Leafs v. Flames -106 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Calgary -105 over Toronto, Sunday at 4 PM ET - The Flames have a big rest edge here as they haven't played since Monday. The Maple Leafs, on the other hand, haven't had more than 1 day off between games since the season started and have even played a back to back too. Also, even if Auston Matthews is back for this one, he is not 100% and Toronto also lost some veteran leadership with Joe Thornton getting hurt. The Leafs are off a win versus the Oilers but it was the 2nd straight game in which they were outhit plus Edmonton again had more blocked shots. It was a tie game at the midway point of the 3rd period before Toronto got a power play goal. The Flames, like the Oilers, can play some tough physical hockey and the Maple Leafs have only managed back to back wins once this season. Once again, look for Toronto to fall short when coming off a win and note that the rested Flames have yet to lose a game in regulation this season and are feeling very confident with their 2-0-1 start to the season. Calgary also has the home ice edge here plus won both match-ups with the Maple Leafs last season. More of the same here. 10* CALGARY
|
01-22-21 |
Red Wings +120 v. Blackhawks |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
ASA PLAY ON 10* Detroit +120 over Chicago, Friday at 8 PM ET - Each of these teams has scored just 9 goals so far in 4 games this season. However, the reason the Red Wings have a pair of wins and the Blackhawks are still searching for their first one is because Chicago has allowed twice as many goals! While Detroit has conceded only 10 times, Hawks opponents have found the back of the net 20 times already this season. That is an average of 5 goals allowed per game and that spells trouble in this match-up. While Chicago is playing their home opener that doesn't mean anything close to what it normally would in a non-covid season! The teams the Red Wings have beaten are solid defensive-minded teams that were solid in the post-season last year too - Columbus and Carolina. That said, facing a Chicago team with sub-par netminding and a young team and porous defense is very likely to bring out the best in Detroit's offensive production here. Factoring that along with their respectable play in their own end of the rink this season and this one goes to the road team. Grab the underdog value. 10* DETROIT
|
01-21-21 |
Lightning v. Blue Jackets +145 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
#6 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Columbus +145 over Tampa Bay, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Ideal set up for a home dog play here. The Lightning and Blue Jackets have quite the rivalry due to recent post-season meetings including less than 6 months ago when they met in the playoffs in the bubble in Toronto. The Bolts were seeking revenge for a past playoff ouster and they got it. However, the only win in that series that was by more than a 1-goal margin was a game that Columbus won. In other words, the Blue Jackets always give Tampa Bay a tough time (including all four losses by a single goal in that series) and there is far too much value to pass up on here. The Lightning have played only 2 games this season because their match-ups with the covid-impacted Stars got postponed. That means the Blue Jackets have already played twice as many games as TB early this season. This will be a big edge for the host in this one and it is also their home opener while also being the Bolts first game on enemy ice. Per our computer math model, projections are showing that the home dog takes advantage of a foe that hasn't played in nearly a full week. 10* COLUMBUS
|
01-20-21 |
Canadiens v. Canucks +113 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
113 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
#84 ASA PLAY ON 10* Vancouver +115 over Montreal, Wednesday at 10 PM ET - Ideal set up for a home dog play here. Vancouver came into this season projected to have a full season points total similar to that of the Canadiens. In other words, you would have not seen the Canucks as a home dog here in this match-up had the line been set a little over a week ago. The reason this line is set this way is because the odds makers are having to over-adjust to match the current market perception of these two hockey clubs. The Canadiens enter this game off back to back wins but they came against a struggling Oilers club. Vancouver enters this game off 3 straight losses but they now are playing their home opener and also are angry after back to back defeats by a wide margin at Calgary after the season-opening series split at Edmonton. Special teams play has been a key to the Habs hot start and the Canucks cold start this season but the numbers right now are wildly off the charts because it is early in the season. In other words, don't over-react to early numbers and know that the Canucks are bringing their A game tonight and will likely play their most complete game of this young season. 10* VANCOUVER
|
01-19-21 |
Sabres v. Flyers -141 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
#66 ASA PLAY ON 8* Philadelphia -141 over Buffalo, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Flyers got blasted by the Sabres last night. Philadelphia came out with a listless performance right from the opening drop of the puck. Philly was caught still celebrating their perfect start to the season with a 2-0 sweep of the in-state rival Penguins and they paid for it. Now, after a 6-1 beatdown in which the Flyers were outshot 11-4 in the first period and then also got outshot in each of the successive periods as well, the home team will be ready for payback here. Adding to the value is the Flyers gave some ice time yesterday to both goalies, Carter Hart and Brian Elliott, and either will be fine to return here for a full game in this back-to-back. For the Sabres, Linus Ullmark was supposed to start yesterday's game but ended up out due to personal reasons and Buffalo called up Jonas Johansson from the taxi squad. Johansson has only made a handful of NHL starts in his young career. So the choices tonight are Hutton off a full game performance last night where he wasn't tested much by the Flyers or the inexperienced Johansson. Neither scenario seems good for Buffalo and the netminder they choose will face a barrage of shots as Philly bounces back tonight. The Flyers are projected to be one of the best teams in this division while the Sabres entered this 2-game series 0-2 and are projected to be one of the worst teams in the division. Look for things to return to normal tonight after last night's aberration. 8* PHILADELPHIA
|
01-13-21 |
Blues v. Avalanche -134 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-134 |
15 h 28 m |
Show
|
#050 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado -135 over St Louis, Wed at 10:30 PM ET -If not for injuries last year both in the regular season and post-season, the Avalanche were already built to win a Stanley Cup and would have had a great chance in doing so. Now the Avalanche have added a couple more pieces heading into this season and the sky is the limit with this team. Colorado is on home ice now and facing a Blues club that lost a couple key contributors from last season's team. Additionally, goalie Jordan Binnington was great in home games last season but had a 3.10 GAA on the road last season. Binnington is likely to struggle with a Colorado club that scored 3.37 goals per game last season to rang among the best in the league. The Avalanche also allowed an average of only 2.71 goals per game to also rank among the best in the league. The Blues could take awhile to jell early this season with their former captain, Pietrangelo, now with the Golden Knights in Vegas. On the other hand, this Avs team is on a mission after falling short in last year's post-season due to the injury bug. The Avalanche are on a mission for the Stanley Cup and will want to make a statement on opening night for sure. 10* COLORADO
|
09-10-20 |
Golden Knights v. Stars +150 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
150 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Dallas Stars Money Line (+) over Vegas Golden Knights, Thursday at 8 PM ET
There is simply no way to justify this money line being this high and we like this situation so much we are going to a top play rating in Game 3 between the Stars and Golden Knights. Vegas is simply over-valued here. Yes they won Game 2 but now Dallas is the designated home team in Game 3 and, as such, gets the last line change. The biggest key is how well the Stars have performed when off a loss here in this post-season. The last 6 times that Dallas was off a loss they have gone 5-1 - winning 83% of the time! Much has been made of the Stars struggling to score in this series but they got the early 1-0 lead in Game 1 and then played a different style the rest of the way. Basically a defensive, preventative type of game and it worked and Dallas won Sunday. But now, after Tuesday's loss, look for Dallas to turn back to their offensive firepower. The last 4 wins they have in that aforementioned 5-1 mark have seen the Stars end up with 5 goals each time! Also, speaking of struggling to score goals, Vegas had struggled prior to winning Game 3 by a final 3-0 score. The Golden Knights are a team that had scored only four goals, two into an empty net by the way, in their previous four games. That was during a time when they were being frustrated by the Canucks and a red hot goalie. As for Stars goalie Khudobin, he has been playing very well and is fully capable of another strong start just like he had in Game 1 of this series. When Khudobin enters a start off losing his prior start, he is a perfect 3-0 L3. He has not lost back to back starts since the first two games of the Flames series (and played well in those actually) and that was nearly a month ago! Khudobin and the Stars, per our computer math model, put forth a fantastic game here in Game 3. Bet the Dallas Stars on the money line in evening action Thursday.
|
09-01-20 |
Islanders v. Flyers +106 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
106 |
26 h 21 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+) over New York Islanders, Tuesday at 7 PM ET
For the first time since a 4-game losing streak that straddled the New Year (Dec 2019-Jan 2020) the Flyers have lost back to back games. Even with the loss in Sunday's Game 4, Philadelphia is 11-1 the last 12 times they have entered a game off a loss. Also, #1 goalie Carter Hart will be back between the pipes for the Flyers after back-up Brian Elliott started Game 4 since it was the 2nd game of a back to back. There are no more back to backs the rest of this series and the Flyers are well aware of that. In other words, it is a game at a time approach as they look to battle back from the 3-1 series deficit but that is a positive for Philadelphia as they take it one at time knowing their young talented goalie Hart will be back between the pipes the rest of the series for as long as they can extend it. Hart was in goal for the Game 3 loss and will be ready to respond. The Flyers are a perfect 7-0 the last 7 times he has been in the crease and coming off a loss in his prior start. The Islanders are 0-2 in the post-season in their first shot at eliminating a team and we look for that trend to continue here. They were up 2-0 on the Panthers in the qualifying round best of five series and then lost game 3 before closing out Florida in the 4th game. The Islanders were also up 3-0 on the Capitals in the first round best of seven series and then lost game 4 before closing out Washington in the 5th game. Per our computer math model, the Flyers will once again (just like Game 4) hold the edge in shots on goal and the edge in hits in this one. Look for that physical play to help lead the way to some great scoring chances for the Flyers and this time it leads to victory for Philly as the Islanders drop to 0-3 in this post-season when they have their first shot at a close out while Hart improves to 8-0 the last 8 times he has entered a start off a loss. Bet the Philadelphia Flyers on the money line in early evening action Tuesday.
|
08-31-20 |
Stars v. Avalanche -131 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Colorado Avalanche Money Line (-) over Dallas Stars, Monday at 9:45 PM ET
Opportunities to take a very good team off an ugly loss are generally few and far between and so when that opportunity arises you want to take full advantage. This is one of those cases as the Avalanche entered the post-season as absolutely one of the favorites to win the Stanley Cup this year. However, they came out flat in Game One of this series and the Stars blitzed them early and Colorado never fully recovered in that game. After responding in Game Three after dropping the first two games of this series, the Avs again have found themselves in a bounce back spot. As surprising as it is to see Colorado in this elimination game situation, there is no surprise in finding that the Avalanche have won 5 of the last 6 times when off a loss. This is still a highly talented and proud team and, while coming back from a 3-1 series deficit may be too much to ask, extending this series to a Game 6 is not too much to ask. Per our computer math model, the Avalanche "rally the troops" here and improve to 6-1 the last 7 times they have entered a game off a loss. Based on this low money line on the Avs in this one, the fact is that the Stars are getting a little too much respect at this point! We'll take advantage and grab the value...lay it! Bet the Colorado Avalanche on the money line in late night action Monday.
|
08-26-20 |
Lightning -102 v. Bruins |
Top |
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line (+) over Boston Bruins, Wednesday at 8 PM ET
The Lightning got their wake up call in game one of this series after falling behind 3-0 in that game. Since then they have outscored the Bruins by a count of 6-3. In their game two overtime win by a final of 4-3, the Bolts scored 4 even strength goals while the Bruins scored just 2 even strength goals. Boston also had just 25 shots on goal while Tampa Bay had 40 shots on goal. Keep in mind the Lightning also outshot the Bruins in game one and the Bruins had a power play goal in that game as well. The point is that the Lightning have been the much better team in 5 on 5 hockey and this has been particularly true ever since the first period of game one. Tampa Bay has outshot the Bruins by 26 shots on goal starting with the second period of game one. Boston would bully the Lightning in the past but the Bolts are now built much better for playoff hockey and that showed in game two. They have more physicality now and the resiliency of Tampa Bay was on full display in the evening of this series with the game two win. The ultra impressive effort in overtime gives them a ton of momentum for this Game 3 match-up. Bet the Tampa Bay Lightning on the money line in evening action Wednesday.
|
08-24-20 |
Stars v. Avalanche -143 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-143 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Colorado Avalanche Money Line (-) over Dallas Stars, Monday at 9:45 PM ET
Opportunities to take a very good team off an ugly loss are generally few and far between and so when that opportunity arises you want to take full advantage. This is one of those cases as the Avalanche are absolutely one of the favorites to win the Stanley Cup this year but came out flat in Game One of this series and the Stars blitzed them early and Colorado never fully recovered in that game. They also saw goalie Philipp Grubauer suffer a leg injury and he is expected to miss some time now. That is part of what is impacting this line but Pavel Francouz now gets the call between the pipes and he was excellent this season (21-7 with a .923 save percentage). Also, in his first two starts of this post-season he has allowed a total of just 2 goals in 2 games. One of those starts was in the round robin against this Dallas team and he shut out the Stars in a 4-0 Avalanche win! Backing up Grubauer is a veteran in Michael Hutchinson so we are comfortable with the Avs goal-tending situation entering this game. The Stars are still without Ben Bishop so it has been Anton Khudobin between the pipes. He has allowed 3 or more goals in 5 of his 8 post-season appearances. He is a solid goalie but the Avalanche have scored 7 goals on 71 shots against him in this post-season (he was on the wrong end of the aforementioned 4-0 round robin game). The Avalanche have now lost 3 games in the Edmonton bubble. After the first two losses they responded with a win each time and those two victories came by a combined score of 10 to 1. The loss to the Stars in Game 1 of this series will actually prove to be a good thing for Colorado as it is the wake up call they needed to know that things will not come easy in the post-season. While only about half the players "showed up" in the assessment by their head coach in Game 1, you can expect "all hands on deck" for a very motivated Avs team that can't wait to get back on the ice to make up for Saturday's poor effort. There is excellent line value with the Avalanche here as a moderately priced favorite after the line moved from the -160 range to as low as -140 this morning. The fact is that the Stars are getting a little too much respect at this point! We'll take advantage and grab the value...lay it! ASA TOP PLAY 10* Colorado Avalanche on the money line in late night action Monday.
|
08-21-20 |
Blues -131 v. Canucks |
Top |
2-6 |
Loss |
-131 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on St Louis Blues Money Line (-) over Vancouver Canucks, Friday at 9:45 PM ET
The Blues blew a 3-1 lead in losing 4-3 to the Canucks on Wednesday. Of course that was a key swing game in the series as they were tied at 2 games apiece entering that one. However, the Blues didn't win the Stanley Cup last season without plenty of resiliency and the core group of that hockey club remains in St Louis. The Blues will be ready to fight back hard in a win or go home situation in Game 6. St Louis had defensive breakdowns and, to an extent, quit skating as well after they got the 3-1 lead. They'll play the full 60 minutes in Game 6 after what happened in Game 5 and their toughness, physicality and experience will pay off for them in staving off elimination. The Canucks are talented but they're still young and, per our computer math model, this is a series that is going to go the full seven games! Lay the small price here. Bet the St Louis Blues on the money line in late night action Friday.
|
08-20-20 |
Stars v. Flames +109 |
Top |
7-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 2 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Calgary Flames Money Line (+) over Dallas Stars, Thursday at 10:30 PM ET
It is hard enough to beat a team back to back in the playoffs let alone three straight! That is part of the reasoning here for backing the hungry dog in this spot. The Stars have won 2 straight in the series to now take a 3-2 series lead and this is a win or go home game for the Flames. We expect Calgary to respond accordingly. The Stars haven't had a 3-game winning streak since mid-February and we don't expect that to change here. Dallas wrapped up the regular season on a 6-game losing streak. Also, in the bubble in Edmonton the Stars had lost 4 of the first 6 games before scoring a couple of very tight victories in Games 4 and 5 of this series. The Flames haven't lost 3 straight games since early February and had won 14 of their last 22 games prior to losing back to back tight games to the Stars. The odds favor this series going 7 games and, per our computer math model, the Flames have high probability for an upset win here. Bet the Calgary Flames on the money line in late night action Thursday.
|
08-19-20 |
Hurricanes +135 v. Bruins |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Carolina Hurricanes Money Line (+) over Boston Bruins, Wednesday at 4:00 PM ET
The Hurricanes have been alternating goalies in this post-season and Petr Mrazek is likely to get the start in Game 5. In our opinion he has been the better of the two goalies and James Reimer's poor decision-making that led to the Bruins first goal in Game 4 helped spark the amazing Boston comeback. Carolina was up 2-0 in the third period of Game 4 when all hell broke loose and the Bruins scored 4 straight goals in a span of under 7 minutes! The Hurricanes are now down 3-1 in the series after letting that game slip away but head coach Rod Brind'Amour has strong team chemistry with this hockey club and we know they will be ready to respond in this must win game on Wednesday. The Canes also got good news yesterday as Jordan Staal, their team captain, was able to practice. He had taken a big hit and exited Monday's game but appears fine and ready to go here for this Game 5 must win situation. Factoring all of the above as well as our computer math model and the fact we have a solid underdog price here, we're grabbing the dog in this one! Bet the Carolina Hurricanes on the money line in afternoon action Wednesday.
|
08-18-20 |
Capitals v. Islanders -115 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on New York Islanders Money Line (-) over Washington Capitals, Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET
The Islanders took 3 of 4 from the Panthers in the qualifying round to eliminate Florida from the post-season in convincing fashion. In fact, even in the game they lost to the Panthers, the Islanders were the better team. This hockey club has been "in the zone" ever since they got to the bubble it seems. The Islanders are well-coached under Barry Trotz and, of course, this is the same Trotz that led the Capitals to a Stanley Cup Championship season in 2018 when they beat the Golden Knights to win it all. After not being brought back by the Caps, Trotz went to the Islanders. Now he is showing the Capitals how it is done once again and you know he is itching for the sweep here to put an exclamation point on it. We see him getting it as the Islanders have won 6 of 7 post-season games while Washington has won just 1 of 6 games under the bubble in Toronto. The Capitals are a good team and will be giving it their all once again but the Islanders continue to stifle and frustrate them. Not only has Varlamov been great between the pipes but also the Islanders held the Caps to just 20 shots on goal in regulation time of Game 3. Per our computer math model, the Isles finish off the Capitals here. Bet the New York Islanders on the money line in evening action Tuesday.
|
08-16-20 |
Blues -124 v. Canucks |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 57 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on St Louis Blues Money Line (-) over Vancouver Canucks, Sunday at 10:30 PM ET
The Blues are the defending Stanley Cup Champions but are down 0-2 in this series. We are expecting a huge response from St Louis on Sunday night. The Blues have actually outshot the Canucks by a combined margin of 68 to 47 in the first two games of this series. The problem has been that Vancouver has actually scored 3 special teams goals in EACH game! The Blues simply must stay out of the penalty box (and be better on the penalty kill as needed) and this is a Cup winning team that certainly knows that fact. Additionally, St Louis might switch to goalie Jake Allen for this one. He looked fantastic in his lone appearance in this post-season when he faced the Stars in the round robin last week and nearly got a shutout in the eventual 2-1 shootout loss. The fact is that Blues netminder Jordan Binnington wasn't really to blame for the OT loss in Game 2 and certainly the St Louis net is in good shape whether it is Binnington or Allen between the pipes. Allen would give the Blues a spark here but they'll be "sparking" either way in our opinion. They had a great chance to win Game 2 but fell just short. Give Canucks credit as they have been playing very well and Bo Harvat has been playing fantastic hockey. However, the gritty Blues are trending the right direction and played a very strong game on Friday. With another strong game on Sunday, this time they will be rewarded for their efforts. Keep in mind the first game between these teams was tied at 2 heading to the third period and the second game went into overtime. The Blues have played better than what they have to show for it and they know it. They will simply be relentless in Game 3 here and refuse to be denied. Look for the defending Stanley Cup Champions to put it all together tonight and get right back into this series. There is excellent line value with the Blues here as a small favorite as the Canucks are getting a little too much respect at this point! We'll take it and grab the value...lay it! ASA TOP PLAY 10* St Louis Blues on the money line in late night action Sunday.
|
08-13-20 |
Blue Jackets v. Lightning -162 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-162 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
ASA PLAY 7* on Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line (-) over Columbus Blue Jackets,Thursday at 3:00 PM ET
As a general rule we shy away from this price range (-165/-170) in money line sports but in the post-season the edges are sometimes so strong that the value is there even in a price range like this. Columbus is at a severe disadvantage here after Game 1 of this series went 5 overtimes on Tuesday! The Blue Jackets are the only team in this post-season that had to win a Game 5 in the qualifying round just to get here. Columbus was very resilient in knocking off a talented Maple Leafs team Sunday to make up for their inexcusable collapse in Game 4 of that series on Friday. However, as a result of playing so many games and now Game 1 of this series going 5 overtimes, the Blue Jackets have averaged nearly a game of hockey per day over the past 8 days! That makes recovery tough and the Lightning situation is much better as they only had to play in the round robin last week and so just had 3 games and they were much less intense than what Columbus had. When you factor all that in as well as the fact that the Blue Jackets lost Game 1 of this series in the multi-overtime thriller, Columbus could be spent both physically and mentally heading into this one. Look for the Lightning, still stinging from last year's playoff sweep ouster at the hands of the Blue Jackets, to take full advantage and win Game 2 in convincing fashion. ASA PLAY Tampa Bay Lightning on the money line in afternoon action Thursday.
|
08-12-20 |
Islanders +119 v. Capitals |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
119 |
17 h 27 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on New York Islanders Money Line (+) over Washington Capitals, Wednesday at 3:00 PM ET
We'll take the teacher over the pupil in this one. The Islanders are coached by Barry Trotz. He led the Capitals to the Stanley Cup Championship two years ago. Then that summer Washington wouldn't give him the contract he wanted (and, arguably) had earned via leading the Caps to win it all! Trotz ended up with the Islanders and his assistant, Todd Rierden, is now the Capitals coach. The Islanders are off a fantastic effort against the Panthers in which they dominated Florida throughout much of the series which lasted only 4 games. New York plays a defensive style that stifles and frustrates opponents and that will be the key again here. The Capitals were not very impressive in their level of play in the round robin that preceded this series for them. Trotz certainly knows many of the Washington players and their tendencies very well and he is a very good coach. Additionally, the Islanders have won 6 of the last 8 playoff series between these teams but lost the most recent one between these teams in 2015. Per our computer math model, payback begins here with a Game One upset win for the underdog in this one. ASA PLAY New York Islanders on the money line in afternoon action Wednesday.
|
08-11-20 |
Flames +101 v. Stars |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
101 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Calgary Flames Money Line (+) over Dallas Stars, Tuesday at 5:30 PM ET
The Stars scored a total of only 4 goals in regulation time of their 3 games in the round robin. This is a Dallas team that has just one win in its last nine games and that win came in the shootout Sunday against St Louis. The Stars only sent it to the shootout courtesy of a very late goal with just a minute left in the game. The last win in regulation time for Dallas came all the way back on February 25th. Calgary comes into this game surging and already in playoff mode as, while the Stars were playing round robin games, the Flames were playing in a best of five qualifying round series against Winnipeg. Not only did Calgary close out the Jets in 4 games, they scored an average of 4 goals per game! Yes, the Flames have averaged 4 goals per game since action resumed while the Stars have totaled only 4 goals since action resumed. Big difference and, per our computer math model, the Flames skill in the offensive zone proves to be the difference maker as they take Game One of this series. ASA PLAY 10* Calgary Flames on the money line in early evening action Tuesday.
|
08-09-20 |
Bruins -118 v. Capitals |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-118 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Boston Bruins Money Line (-) over Washington Capitals, Sunday at 12:00 PM ET
This is a game in the round robin for seeding purposes and if Boston loses they play Carolina and if they win they play the Islanders in the first round of the post-season. While neither of those teams is particularly appealing to face the Bruins would likely rather avoid a Carolina team that swept the Rangers out of the playoffs. Not only that, Boston simply needs (and is hungry) for something positive to take out of this round robin and this is their last chance to get a positive before the true playoff pressure begins. While the Capitals have earned a point in the post-season, the Bruins are still without a point in this round robin. Also, Washington saw Nicklas Backstrom miss practice Friday plus John Carlson missed the most recent game and could still be out again here as well. Additionally, the Capitals Lars Eller left the bubble for the birth of a child. All in all, the Bruins are set up better here in terms of healthy bodies and also have the motivational factor as well. Boston won the most recent meeting between these teams by a count of 7-3, and per our computer math model, the Bruins are poised to dominate this one as well. ASA TOP PLAY 10* Boston Bruins on the money line in very early action Sunday.
|
08-07-20 |
Islanders -122 v. Panthers |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 44 m |
Show
|
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on New York Islanders Money Line (-) over Florida Panthers, Friday at 12:00 PM ET
The Islanders took the first two games of this series and, including regular season action, that made it 6 straight wins for the Islanders in meetings with Florida. The Panthers finally got a win in Wednesday's game as they took advantage of a couple of mistakes by New York. Florida potted two power play goals in the game but, once again, anyone watching that contest as well as having watched this entire series would agree that the Islanders have a "next level" that the Panthers just don't. The reason for the dominance the Islanders have in recent meetings with Florida is because their system frustrates the Panthers and that is why Florida scores so few goals in meetings between these teams. The problem in Game 3 was the Islanders, up 2-0 in the series, relied on that a bit too much and didn't show their "next level" for stretches during that game. Note that this is the first time we have seen these 5-game series in the NHL post-season in about 35 years. They are only being used because of how the pandemic impacted the finish to the regular season. The key point about the 5-game series though is that NHL teams are 56-1 when they take a 2-0 lead in the series. In other words the odds strongly favor the Islanders winning this series and we know they don't want this to go to a winner-takes-all game 5. With that being said, the Islanders bring their "A game" from the opening drop of the puck and that leads to a solid game 4 win. The Panthers have only won one playoff series in franchise history and that was 24 years ago when they made a run all the way to the Stanley Cup finals before falling to the Avalanche in a sweep. Florida has been one and done in the playoffs ever since then and have only scored 1 even strength goal per game so far in this series. The Islanders let Game 3 get away from them but won't make the same mistake here. Even though Jonahan Huberdeau, Florida's leading scorer, will likely find a way to play in this game, his leg injury could absolutely impact his effectiveness. The Islanders are such a frustrating team to play against and they again stifle the Panthers here but you'll also see a little more from New York in the offensive zone in this one too. Before that loss in Game 3, the Islanders had won 6 straight meetings with the Panthers by a combined score of 15 to 8. Per our computer math model here a 3 to 1 win in the forecast for the small money line favorite in this one. ASA TOP PLAY New York Islanders on the money line in very early action Friday.
|
08-05-20 |
Oilers -121 v. Blackhawks |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-121 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
|
ASA PLAY 10* on Edmonton Oilers Money Line (-) over Chicago Blackhawks, Wednesday at 10:30 PM ET
As expected, the Oilers bounced back strong in Game 2 to knock off the Blackhawks. This followed a Game 1 win for Chicago in which power play opportunities and loose play resulted in a very high-scoring upset win. While the win was impressive and the Blackhawks do have a nice mix of veteran talent and some young up and comers, the problem for the Blackhawks is they are still short of the level of team (and coaching) that Edmonton has. Lets not forget that the Hawks were a #12 seed for this qualifying round so this is one of the biggest mismatches on the board and the Oilers are starting to establish their will after a rough start in Game 1. Now the Oilers take it up yet another notch for this crucial "swing game" in Game 3. Yes in a 5-game series that is tied at 1 game apiece Game 3 becomes critical. The only reason that the NHL is using these 5-game series again (for the first time since the mid-80s) is because of this special qualifying round for this season's playoffs. History in NHL shows that over 80% of the time that a 5-game series is tied 1-1 the team that wins Game 3 goes on to win the series. In other words this game is critical. Both teams are aware of that fact of course but Edmonton is the team that can raise their game to the higher level. That is why this is a #5 vs #12 match-up. We would recommend playing this one early in the day as the price has dropped some this morning but we believe that was a set up per se and this price will now be rising as the day goes on. ASA PLAY 10* Edmonton on the money line in late night action Wednesday.
|
08-04-20 |
Hurricanes -143 v. Rangers |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 7* Carolina Hurricanes money line (-) over New York Rangers, Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET
Not only are the Rangers down 2-0 in this best of five series, they appear disinterested. The Rangers are realizing they are out-classed in this one. The Hurricanes have been in playoff mode since the drop of the puck in Game One and simply have proven to be too much for the Rangers. Carolina is so strong in terms of their defensemen that they're not allowing the Rangers to get anything going in the offensive zone. Historically teams that are down 2-0 in a five game series are toast with only 1 in 55 ever having come back. The Rangers are aware of this and we just don't see them having enough fight here to get past a Hurricanes team that seems bound and determined to close this out as quickly as possible. The Canes long playoff run last season appears to be benefiting them greatly in this post-season and they are ready to advance from the qualifying round while the Rangers get ready to take a shot at the first pick in this year's draft. New York just hasn't been able to rise to the level that the Canes have and, with no rest between games (these teams played yesterday) we don't see that changing here. Bet Carolina on the money line in Tuesday evening hockey action.
|
08-03-20 |
Canadiens v. Penguins -163 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 6* Pittsburgh Penguins money line (-) over Montreal Canadiens, Monday at 8:00 PM ET
With this line moving up into the -170 range as of gameday morning it is a little higher number than we would normally lay in a money line sport but post-season hockey is a different animal and we love the Penguins in this spot. One could argue that Pittsburgh should be a $2.00 favorite in this one. This is a #5 seed versus #12 seed in the NHL's unique 2020 postseason set-up and is arguably the most lopsided match-up of them all though credit is certainly owed to the Canadiens for stealing Game 1. The Penguins are healthy and are well-coached and, as the designated home team for this one, they have the "last change" advantage too. So even though this game is being played on "neutral ice" in Toronto, there is still an edge for the Pens. The Canadiens have had a rough season and we can't see Pittsburgh letting this game slip away and falling into an 0-2 deficit in a 5-game series! Carey Price, Montreal's goalie, would have to play out of his mind for the Habs to steal this game. After facing nearly 40 shots in Game 1 Price is really going to be under fire in Game 2 as well and look for this veteran Pens team to make sure they get plenty of screens in front of Price in this one. The Canadiens aren't overly impressive in the offensive zone and simply won't be able to score enough to keep up with Crosby and Malkin - the latter of whom is sure to bounce back huge after a poor Game 1 effort - and an angry Penguins team in this one. Bet Pittsburgh on the money line in Monday evening hockey action.
|
08-01-20 |
Canadiens v. Penguins -150 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-150 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 6* Pittsburgh Penguins money line (-) over Montreal Canadiens, Saturday at 8:00 PM ET
With this line dropping into the -150 range as of gameday morning it has fell well within our price range compared to the value being offered here. One could argue that Pittsburgh should be a $2.00 favorite in this one. This is a #5 seed versus #12 seed in the NHL's unique 2020 postseason set-up and is arguably the most lopsided match-up of them all. The Penguins are healthy and are well-coached and, as the designated home team for this one, they have the "last change" advantage too. So even though this game is being played on "neutral ice" in Toronto, there is still an edge for the Pens. The Canadiens have had a rough season and to win Game 1 of a 5-game series is a huge edge. That said, we can't see Pittsburgh letting this game slip away. Carey Price, Montreal's goalie, would have to play out of his mind for the Habs to steal game one and we just don't see that happening. His head may not even be in it as he was a bit reluctant to even play in this post-season with the pandemic raging on. The Canadiens aren't overly impressive in the offensive zone and simply won't be able to score enough to keep up with Crosby and Malkin and a well-coached Penguins hockey club. Bet Pittsburgh on the money line in Saturday evening hockey action.
|
03-10-20 |
Predators -110 v. Canadiens |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Nashville Predators money line (+) over Montreal Canadiens, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET
Both these teams battling hard as they make a push for the playoffs. However, only one team (the Predators) has been getting the job done. Juuse Saaros, Nashville netminder, is coming off back to back shutouts in his last two starts and he has a 1.84 GAA and a sizzling hot .948 save percentage which has led the way to him winning 5 of his last 7 starts. Overall, the Predators have won 8 of 13 games including key back to back games over the Stars which gives Nashville a ton of momentum heading into this game. On the other hand, Montreal is falling apart. The Canadiens are off back to back losses and have been defeated in 9 of their past 13 games. Montreal has allowed 3 or more goals in 11 of 13 games. The Predators Saros has allowed a total of just 10 goals in his last 6 starts! The Canadiens Carey Price has allowed 4 goals in 3 of his last 4 starts. Nashville has won 4 straight meetings with Montreal and outscored them 7-2 in last season's series sweep. Of course home is priced into this line which is why get a very small price on a Predators team that would be a large favorite if they were the home team in this one. With that being said, Montreal has won only 8 of its last 27 games on home ice so there is tremendous value in fading the Canadiens here. Our computer math model also notes the recent power play struggles of the Habs and strong recent success for the Preds as being another key edge in what should be a road rout. Bet Nashville on the money line in Tuesday hockey action.
|
03-09-20 |
Panthers +140 v. Blues |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
140 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Florida Panthers money line (+) over St Louis Blues, Monday at 8:05 PM ET
The Blues are in a back to back spot and off a shutout win on the road at Chicago in divisional action last night. The scheduling advantage goes to a rested Panthers team in this one. St Louis started Jake Allen in goal last night and he got the shutout win. Jordan Binnington will get the start here and he is off a loss and allowed 3 goals in his most recent start. That was the 2nd time in 4 starts that he has allowed 3 or more goals - he allowed 5 in the other one! Binnington will be opposed by Florida's Chris Driedger in this one. He has been fantastic in the crease since he returned from injury. Driedger has allowed a total of just 3 goals in his 2 starts since coming back. The Panthers were off yesterday and now Driedger and his teammates will look to build off Saturday's 4-1 win versus Montreal. Florida has been playing well in their own zone and has allowed a total of only 7 goals in regulation time of their last 4 games. The Blues have allowed 10 goals in regulation time of their last 3 home games. Per our computer math model, the Panthers score the upset over the defending champs and get payback for getting swept by St Louis last season. Bet Florida on the money line in Monday hockey action.
|
03-08-20 |
Blues v. Blackhawks +122 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Chicago Blackhawks money line (+) over St Louis Blues, Sunday at 7:35 PM ET
The Blackhawks Corey Craword has been fantastic ever since the calendar hit 2020. He has had one bad start in 18 starts and, ironically, it came at St Louis! Now Crawford gets a shot at revenge on home ice against a Blues team that potted 6 goals against him last month. In Crawford's other 17 starts in 2020 he has allowed a total of only 37 goals. He has not allowed more than 3 goals in any of those 17 starts. With him playing well between the pipes and Chicago coming off an upset loss to the Red Wings, this is the perfect spot in which to back the Blackhawks as a home dog. St Louis also will be hungry here as they enter this game off a 4-2 loss at New Jersey. However, the home ice and the revenge factor are keys in this game. Chicago had won 4 in a row prior to the loss at Detroit and the Blackhawks simply ran into a hungry Original Six rival that got the best of them in a spoiler role in that game. This situation is much different and the Blues loss to the Devils was their 10th road loss in their last 14 games away from home. Per our computer math model, the road struggles continue here. Bet Chicago on the money line in Sunday hockey action.
|
03-03-20 |
Bruins +106 v. Lightning |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
106 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Boston Bruins money line (+) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Tuesday at 7:35 PM ET
This will be the Bruins final trip to Tampa Bay this season (these teams meet again in Boston Saturday). The Bruins have been patiently waiting for this revenge game as they lost the first two games to the Lightning this season including their most recent match-up nearly 3 months ago here in Tampa. This is a divisional match-up and Boston knows they need this game to maintain a solid position at the top of the Atlantic as well as to prove they can get beat their nemesis. The Bolts knocked the Bruins out of the 2018 playoffs in the second round and Boston hasn't forgotten. The Bruins enter this game playing some of their best hockey of the season in recent weeks. There have been a couple hiccups along the way but Boston has won 13 of 16 games ahead of this divisional showdown. The Bruins Tuukka Rask got back on track with a shutout against the Islanders in New York in his most recent start. On the other hand, Tampa's Andrei Vasilevskiy is struggling badly of late. Vasilevskiy has allowed 22 goals in his last 5 starts! The Lightning netminder has a poor .854 save percentage during this stretch and he will be facing a revenge-minded Bruins team that is sure to pepper him with shots in this one! Another key in this game is that Steven Stamkos is out for the Bolts. These factors are why Tampa Bay is such a small home favorite here and don't be fooled by the low money line on the home team. Per our computer math model, the road team pulls away for a comfortable win here as Vasilevskiy's struggles continue and the Lightning lose for the 5th time in their past 6 games! Bet Boston on the money line in Tuesday hockey action.
|
03-02-20 |
Oilers +124 v. Predators |
Top |
8-3 |
Win
|
124 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Edmonton Oilers money line (+) over Nashville Predators, Monday at 8:05 PM ET
The Oilers have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams. The Predators use to be tough to beat at Nashville but that certainly hasn't been the case this season. As a result, Nashville is truly over-priced here. The Predators won 6 of their first 8 home games this season but they have since lost 15 of 25 on home ice! The Oilers have lost their two most recent road games but have been a solid road team this season. Edmonton had gone 18-12-2 on enemy ice before the back to back losses (one in a shootout). The Predators have oushot the Oilers only once in the past 5 meetings between these clubs. Per our computer math model, Edmonton will control puck possession and again have more shots on goal in this match-up. Some of the recent losses for the Oilers were when Connor McDavid was out. In games in which he has played, the Oilers have gone 12-4-2 the last 18. Also, he has 4 goals and 8 assists in his last 10 games against the Predators. Bet Edmonton on the money line in evening Monday hockey action.
|
03-01-20 |
Devils +135 v. Ducks |
|
3-0 |
Win
|
135 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 8* ON New Jersey Devils money line (+) over Anaheim Ducks, Sunday at 8:05 PM ET
The Devils have been playing their best hockey of the season but are off back to back OT losses which makes this a great spot to back them. New Jersey has been getting great goaltending from both Schneider and Blackwood.. In the last 9 games started by either of those netminders, the Devils have allowed a total of just 11 goals (not including overtime of course). This is the ideal spot to look for an upset from New Jersey as they face Anaheim off back to back tight wins including knocking off the Penguins in their most recent game. The Ducks had lost 4 straight (and 7 of 9) prior to securing back to back very tight wins. Prior to the 3-2 win over Pittsburgh, Anaheim had allowed an average of 4 goals over a 6-game stretch of home games. Home ice is over-rated here and the Devils have been getting the better goaltending. Bet New Jersey on the money line in evening Sunday hockey action.
|
03-01-20 |
Capitals v. Wild +116 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Minnesota Wild money line (+) over Washington Capitals, Sunday at 8:05 PM ET
Alex Stalock is expected to get the start for the Wild here. He has allowed 2 or less goals in 9 of his last 13 starts. Minnesota has been surging and that has them right back in the playoff race in the West. As for the Capitals, they are slumping badly and now have the Flyers nipping at their heels for the top spot in the Metro Division. Washington has lost 7 of 10 while the Wild have won 5 of 6. The Capitals have lost 4 straight road games and, per our computer math model, the slump for the road team continues here. Bet Minnesota on the money line in evening Sunday hockey action.
|
02-28-20 |
Rangers v. Flyers -160 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 46 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 8* ON Philadelphia Flyers money line (-) over New York Rangers, Friday at 7:05 PM ET
Alexandar Georgiev is expected to start again tonight for the Rangers. He was great last night for New York in their win at Montreal. However, the only reason he is getting this back to back start is because Henrik Lundqvist has been so ineffective the Rangers don't trust him. Their 2nd trusted goalie behind Georgiev is Igor Shesterkin but he suffered a rib injury in a car accident and is currently out. Georgiev has fared well in his only 2 back to back situations this season. However, this is still not the norm for him. He is not use to making back to back starts and in his two seasons prior to this one he allowed 14 goals in 3 starts in this situation. It is plain to see this is not a favorable situation for Georgiev. Also, prior to his strong start against the Canadiens last night, Georgiev had given up 3 or more goals in 4 of his last 6 starts. That doesn't bode well for tonight as the opposing goalie is Carter Hart and the Rangers are facing a red hot Flyers team that has dominated on home ice this season. Philadelphia is 22-5-4 at home this season. The Flyers Hart is 17-2-2 with a 1.65 GAA and .941 save percentage at home this season. Per our computer math model, he dominates again and Philly's dominance at the Wells Fargo Center continues. Bet Philadelphia on the money line in early evening Friday hockey action.
|
02-23-20 |
Blues v. Wild -105 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Minnesota Wild money line (-) over St Louis Blues, Sunday at 7:35 PM ET
The Wild lost their first game on home ice after the coaching change but they then went on a quick 2-game road trip to western Canada and won both games. Now, back on home ice again, Minnesota is hungry to give their new head coach his first home win. The Wild are catching the Blues at the right time too. St Louis is off a huge 5-1 win at Dallas Friday. Prior to that road win, the Blues had lost 9 of their last 10 games away from home! In other words, home ice absolutely does mean something here. That plus the situational edge (Blues were in revenge mode against the Stars) has us siding with the home team here. Per our computer math model, a dominating home win is on tap here as the Wild are now the team playing with revenge and they get payback tonight for having lost each of the first two meetings between these clubs this season. Bet Minnesota on the money line in evening Sunday hockey action.
|
02-21-20 |
Predators -120 v. Blackhawks |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Nashville Predators money line (-) over Chicago Blackhawks, Friday at 8:35 PM ET
This is a classic case of hot versus not. The Blackhawks have lost 7 of their past 8 games. The Predators are off a loss but had won 7 of 10 games preceding that defeat. Nashville was left for dead in terms of playoff picture as of a few weeks ago but they have battled all the way back and won't let one loss slow them down. After a home loss to a desperate Carolina team, look for the Preds to bounce right back here. Nashville has won 2 of 3 match-ups with the Blackhawks this season and those two wins came by a combined score of 8 to 2. The Predators have won their last two visits to Chicago by a combined score of 9 to 5. The Blackhawks have lost 5 of their last 7 home games. The Preds have won 7 of their past 10 road games. Per our computer math model, the home ice "edge" will play out as no "edge" in tonight's meeting so take advantage of the line value with the short road favorite. Bet Nashville on the money line in late evening Friday hockey action.
|
02-17-20 |
Capitals +120 v. Golden Knights |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Washington Capitals money line (+) over Vegas Golden Knights, Monday at 6:05 PM ET
The Capitals are on the road here but have been playing great hockey overall away from home. Additionally, Washington is off a loss and they are 8-0 the last 8 times they have entered a road game off a loss. Suffice to say, we're happy to take the +120 underdog line value here with the Capitals sporting an 8-0 run when in this situation. While it is true that Vegas enters this game off back to back home wins, both victories came by the slimmest of margins. Also, this was preceded by an 0-4 run for the Golden Knights in home games and they lost those 4 games by an average margin of 2 goals per game. The Knights have lost 7 of 11 games this season when they are off a game in which they held their opponent to 1 goal or less. Including post-season action, the Capitals have won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these teams. Per our computer math model, that series dominance continues here in the form of a road rout. Bet Washington on the money line in early evening Monday hockey action.
|
02-14-20 |
Sharks v. Jets -145 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-145 |
4 h 30 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 8* ON Winnipeg Jets money line (-) over San Jose Sharks, Friday at 7:05 PM ET
Both teams off disappointing losses but there is a big difference here. For the Sharks this has been a recurring pattern but for the Jets it has certainly not been the case. Winnipeg outshot the Rangers by solid margin in their Tuesday home loss. This was preceded by a 4-0-1 stretch for the Jets as they earned at least a point in the standings in 5 straight games. Winnipeg entered Tuesday's game having allowed 2 or less goals in 6 straight games. The Sharks have lost 19 of their past 28 games. San Jose has allowed 3 or more goals in 7 of their last 9 games. In 5 of those 7 games the Sharks allowed at least 4 goals. The Jets have certainly been getting better goaltending than San Jose. Also Winnipeg has won 10 of 13 games this season when they are off a game in which they scored just 1 goal or were shutout. The Jets have won 5 of last 7 meetings between these teams including both meetings this season. That makes this a revenge game for the Sharks but the recent series dominance is expected to continue per our computer math model. San Jose has lost 19 of 29 games this season when playing with revenge. The simple fact? The Jets are the better team and are playing the better hockey and they have the Sharks number! Bet Winnipeg on the money line in early evening Friday hockey action.
|
02-13-20 |
Coyotes -124 v. Senators |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-124 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Arizona Coyotes money line (-) over Ottawa Senators, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET
The Coyotes have struggled but they have played much better in their last two games and had the game winning OT goal taken away in their OT loss at Toronto Tuesday. Suffice to say, Arizona will be ready to go as they continue to fight to move up the standings in their quest for a playoff spot. The Coyotes feel cheated that they didn't get the full two points against the Maple Leafs. While Arizona was already in Canada on Tuesday, the struggling Senators were south and west in Colorado getting pounded by the Avalanche in a 3-0 loss. Ottawa has now lost 16 of 18 games. As a result, we see huge line value here with the Coyotes as a small road favorite. Per our computer math model, Arizona will earn the lions share of the quality scoring chances in this game. The Coyotes have picked up at a least a point in the standings in 5 of their past 7 games. Arizona has averaged 2.6 goals per game in their last 5 games while the Sens have averaged scoring only 1.2 goals per game in their last 5 games. Ottawa has lost 10 of its past 11 home games. The Coyotes roll to a road win here. Bet Arizona on the money line in early evening Thursday hockey action.
|
02-09-20 |
Avalanche -129 v. Wild |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Colorado Avalanche money line (-) over Minnesota Wild, Sunday at 7:35 PM ET
Double revenge game for the Avalanche as Pavel Francouz and the Avs lost at home to the Wild 6-4 in December which followed a 3-2 Colorado loss at Minnesota in November. The Avalanche are now one of the hottest teams in the league for a long-time and Francouz has been dominant between the pipes in road games all season long. Francouz is 6-2 with a ridiculous .947 save percentage in his 8 road starts this season! The Wild are starting Devan Dubnyk in this one. Dubnyk has an .862 save percentage in his last 4 starts and has been charged with 17 goals in those 4 appearances. Compare that to Francouz who has allowed just 14 goals in 9 road games (8 starts) this season! Huge edge in between the pipes here and, per our computer math model, Colorado is set to win this one in a road rout and avenge that December home loss! In road games with a total set at 6 or more goals, the Avalanche have won 15 of 23 games this season. Even though this is a back to back spot for the Avs, the revenge angle and goalie edge key this game. Plus the Wild are off a tight divisional win and Minnesota has lost 10 of 15 this season when off a divisional game. Bet Colorado on the money line in early evening Sunday hockey action.
|
02-08-20 |
Flyers +160 v. Capitals |
Top |
7-2 |
Win
|
160 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Philadelphia Flyers money line (+) over Washington Capitals, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET
The Flyers are off a very unusual game. For one thing it was a shutout home ice loss which is very rare. However, the result was quite surprising too when you consider that Philadelphia lost 5-0 despite a 46-19 edge in shots on goal. Per our computer math model, the Flyers are poised to bounce back here and get a better end result for their efforts at Washington. The Flyers are 4-0 their last 4 when they are entering a game off a loss. Also, Philadelphia had won 7 of 10 games prior to their home loss to the Devils. While Philly is off an ugly loss the Capitals are off a game in which they (in particular Alex Ovechkin) rallied for a 4-2 win over the Kings. Los Angeles actually looked like the right side for much of that game. Washington was able to come back against a bad LA team but they won't be so fortunate against a highly motivated division rival in this one. The Capitals have lost 4 of their past 7 divisional home games and are over-priced here. As a result, the big dog Flyers are offering value here that is too strong to ignore when one factors in the situation leading into this game as well. Bet Philadelphia on the money line in early evening Saturday hockey action.
|
02-06-20 |
Penguins +150 v. Lightning |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Pittsburgh Penguins money line (+) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET
This one is all about the value. The line value here with the big dog Penguins is simply too strong to ignore. There are a dozen games on a busy Thursday night slate of NHL action. 8 of the 12 games have big lines. However, 6 of the 8 big dogs are teams at or very near dead last in their divisions. We're talking about teams like Ottawa, Detroit, San Jose, Anaheim, Los Angeles, New Jersey, and Winnipeg. The ONLY exception is Pittsburgh. The Pens have 71 points on the season to rank among the top teams in the NHL. Of course the Lightning are at home for this game and, just like the Penguins, the Bolts have also been red hot. However, Tampa Bay's home ice record is only slightly better than Pittsburgh's road record. This line is simply priced too high because Andrei Vasliveskiy has indeed been hot between the pipes for TB but note that the Pens have also been getting solid goaltending. Matt Murray was spectacular in the win over the Capitals on Sunday. Having been off for 3 straight days, the Penguins hold the rest edge here as the Lightning will be playing for the 4th time in 7 days. Pittsburgh has won 15 of 21 when playing with 3 or more days of rest between games. Also, the Penguins have won 17 of 25 this season when playing with revenge. Additionally, while the Pens have won 14 of 23 games against teams with a winning record this season Tampa Bay Bay has lost 14 of 26 games against teams with a losing record on the season. Upset alert down in Tampa! We'll gladly grab the +150 price with the dangerous dog in this one. Bet Pittsburgh on the money line in early evening Thursday hockey action.
|
02-01-20 |
Canucks +123 v. Islanders |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
123 |
20 h 26 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Vancouver Canucks money line (+) over New York Islanders, Saturday at 1:05 PM ET
This is a great spot to back Vancouver and a horrible spot for the Islanders even though New York is on home ice. While Vancouver has already played twice since the All Star break, this is the Islanders first game since Tuesday January 21st. Also, New York does not have another game until Tuesday which means this is their only game in a span of two weeks. The Islanders are sure to be rusty as a result. As for the Canucks, there is no rust here as they have come roaring right out of the All Star break with back to back wins by a combined score of 7 to 3. Vancouver has now won 4 straight games and 13 of 16. This is in stark contrast to the recent performance of the Islanders as they have been enduring an overall losing stretch including, surprisingly, losing 7 of their past 9 home games! Home ice means very little in this one and the Canucks are in the much better situation plus offering plus money odds in the 120 range for this one. We'll take it! Bet Vancouver on the money line in early afternoon Saturday hockey action.
|
01-19-20 |
Jets +105 v. Blackhawks |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Winnipeg Jets over Chicago Blackhawks, Sunday at 7:05 PM ET
Fantastic set-up here. The Jets are off an ugly 7-1 home loss to the Lightning Friday. The Blackhawks are off a huge 6-2 win at Toronto last night. Winnipeg has the rest edge as a result and they also come into this one angry just like the Bolts were angry when they crushed the Jets on Friday night. Now Winnipeg turns the tables and is on the right end of a blowout against a Blackhawks team they've dominated. The only recent exception was the last game between these two clubs when Chicago prevailed 4-1 even though it was the 4th straight game in which the Jets outshot the Blackhawks. Prior to that Chicago win, Winnipeg had won 6 straight meetings between these teams. The Jets have won each of their last three meetings with the Blackhawks in Chicago. Also, Winnipeg had averaged scoring 4.5 goals per game in that 6-0 run against Chicago. The Jets have won 8 of 9 games this season when off a game in which they were held to 1 goal or less. The Blackhawks have lost 9 of 14 divisional games this season. Bet Winnipeg in NHL action Sunday
|
01-18-20 |
Sharks +140 v. Canucks |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON San Jose Sharks over Vancouver Canucks, Saturday at 10:05 PM ET
The Sharks had been rolling prior to this road trip. San Jose was back on track with wins in 6 of 9 games. Now the Sharks have begun this road trip by losing a pair of games by a combined score of 10 to 3. After those ugly losses, and with this being their final game prior to the All Star break, San Jose will respond with one of their best games of the season tonight. If Dell gets the start between the pipes, he has a .927 save percentage in his last 4 starts. If Jones is in the crease, the Sharks are 6-3 in his divisional starts this season. The teams have split their first two games this season and that makes San Jose 8-3 in their last 11 games against Vancouver. The Canucks are off a 3-1 win over the Coyotes but, prior to that strong effort on defense, Vancouver had allowed an average of 4.4 goals in 5 games. The Sharks have the better penalty kill in this match-up and the Canucks power play has been in an extended slump. San Jose has won 56 of their last 92 divisional games. With the Sharks off back to back ugly losses and Vancouver off a big divisional win, another strong trend comes into play here. When the Canucks are off a divisional game they have lost 46 of 71 times! Per our computer math model, the road dog gets the upset win here as Vancouver proves unable to duplicate the effort they just had versus Arizona Thursday. Bet San Jose in NHL action Saturday
|
01-13-20 |
Hurricanes +122 v. Capitals |
|
0-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Carolina Hurricanes over Washington Capitals, Monday at 7:05 PM ET
Lot of value with the road dog here. The Capitals finally got revenge for last season's playoff ouster the last time they met the Hurricanes. Now this is the final meeting between these clubs this season and, of course, that has Carolina seeking revenge after they lost 4-3 to Washington in the most recent meeting. This is a classic case of hot versus not as Carolina has won 3 straight games and also has been getting strong goal-tending. As for Washington, they are off B2B losses by a combined score of 8-3. Also, going further back, the Capitals have lost 4 of their past 7 games and have allowed an average of nearly 4 goals per game during this 7-game stretch. The Hurricanes have been at their best against top competition this season as they have won 12 of their 17 games played against teams with a winning record. Washington has lost 4 of its last 5 divisional games. The lone exception was when the Capitals won at Carolina on the 3rd of this month. That Washington victory was preceded by 4 straight Hurricanes wins in meetings between these teams and, per our computer math model, they resume that dominance here. Bet Carolina in NHL action Monday
|
01-12-20 |
Sabres -130 v. Red Wings |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Buffalo Sabres over Detroit Red Wings, Sunday at 5:05 PM ET
We successfully used Detroit on Friday as they gutted out a shootout win over Ottawa. However, they go from facing a struggling Senators team to now facing an angry Sabres team that has shown plenty of potential at times this season. Buffalo has been up and down and was playing roughly ".500 hockey" for a 4 week period prior to getting roughed up in their last two games. Losing those games by a combined score of 11 to 4 has the Sabres fully focused here and they have won each of their last 3 visits to Detroit including thrashing the Red Wings by a combined score of 9 to 1 in the past two meetings in Detroit. The Red Wings enter this game off back to back wins and that is certainly worthy of note as Detroit has managed 3 straight wins just ONCE this entire season and we're now in the 4th month of the season. Keep in mind, prior to these back to back wins Detroit had gone through a long stretch that had seem them lose 33 of 40 games from October 12th to January 5th. In other words, the Sabres are offering great line value here as a rather short road favorite. Given the situation with a focused and fired up Sabres team, we'll lay the price! Bet Buffalo in NHL action Sunday
|
01-10-20 |
Senators v. Red Wings +104 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
104 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Detroit Red Wings over Ottawa Senators, Friday at 7:35 PM ET
The Red Wings hold a big edge in goal tonight as Jonathan Bernier is expected to get the start. He has a .923 save percentage at home this season and also a .936 save percentage in his last 4 starts. The Senators, on the other hand, have had issues in goal without Anders Nilsson (out with a concussion). Ottawa has not found an answer between the pipes with either Marcus Hogberg or Craig Anderson. This is why, even though both these teams have struggled recently and it may seem tough to back either one, the reality is that the Red Wings have Bernier and a home ice edge here and that will prove to be the difference. Detroit has allowed an average of 2.6 goals per game in its last 5 games. Ottawa has allowed 4 or more goals in 9 of its last 10 games. That is an incredible run of futility for the Senators in their own zone. Per our computer math model, Ottawa struggles again in that regard here and loses its 6th straight game. Bet Detroit in NHL evening action Friday
|
01-09-20 |
Predators -134 v. Blackhawks |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 60 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Nashville Predators over Chicago Blackhawks, Thursday at 8:35 PM ET
We successfully played against Nashville with a Top Play on Tuesday as it was a horrible situation for the Predators and, indeed, they would go on to get rolled by the Bruins. Part of the bad situation was the coaching staff was in a state of flux with little time to prepare for the Boston game. Now, with the coaching change having been completed and extra time to prepare for this game, this one falls into the category of a "play on situation" following a coaching change. Teams often respond in a game immediately following a coaching change but on Tuesday, the time was too short after the Laviolette firing followed a West coast road trip and the Preds had little time to prepare. Nashville will be ready to go tonight with Tynes behind the bench for this one and they'll take advantage of facing Chicago. The Blackhawks have lost 8 of their past 12 home games. The Predators have won 6 of their past 11 road games. The Preds are favored on the road at Chicago for a reason and they will attract the sharp money tonight and that includes ours! Lay it! Bet Nashville in NHL evening action Thursday
|
01-07-20 |
Bruins -114 v. Predators |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Boston Bruins over Nashville Predators, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET
This is a horrible spot for Nashville. The Predators not only fired their head coach, Peter Laviolette, last night they also fired associate coach Kevin McCarthy. Nashville just hired their new head coach, John Hynes, today. This is a team in disarray coming back from a road trip out west as they just played Sunday evening in Anaheim also. So they are on short rest with travel, the coaching staff is being shuffled, and they are facing a Bruins team that is angry off just their 2nd home regulation loss this season and seeking revenge too. Yes Boston has not forgotten the 4-3 OT loss that Nashville handed them just before Christmas on home ice. Now the Bruins look to return the favor on enemy ice at Nashville. The Predators also have a divisional game on deck at Chicago while Boston has another non-conference game on deck. The Bruins are off their first regulation loss in over 3 weeks and it was an ugly 4-1 defeat. That is the type of loss that gets a team refocused and Boston gets a shot at revenge here too. The Bruins power play has converted 27.3% this season while the Predators have converted only 16.8% this season. On the penalty kill Boston has allowed opponents to convert only 14.2% while Nashville has allowed opponents to convert 25.8% with the man advantage. The Bruins have won 33 of 46 when playing with 2 or more days of rest between games. Boston has also won 21 of 30 after being held to 1 goal or less in their prior game. The Predators have lost 9 of their last 13 games. The Bruins rate the special teams edge and the situational edge here and the coaching situation for Nashville for this game is a mess. Bet Boston in NHL evening action Tuesday
|
01-05-20 |
Predators v. Ducks +110 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
110 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Anaheim Ducks over Nashville Predators, Sunday at 10:05 PM ET
The home team has dominated this series of late as the host had won 5 straight meetings entering this season and the first meeting of this season as well. The average margin of victory in the last 6 games has been 2.2 goals and our computer math model is calling for another blowout win for the home team in this one. Perfect situation as Anaheim enters this game off a loss Thursday while the Predators are off a road win Saturday. Nashville is in a back to back spot while the Ducks are in a bounce back spot and have a significant rest edge. The Ducks have struggled early this season but the Predators actually have lost 12 of 19 games against teams with a losing record this season. In a home games with the total set at 5.5 goals by the bookmakers, the Ducks have won 52 of their last 84 games in this situation. Bet Anaheim in NHL late night action Sunday
|
12-31-19 |
Blues v. Coyotes +105 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
105 |
27 h 59 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Arizona Coyotes over St Louis Blues, Tuesday at 9:05 PM ET
The early line move here is on Arizona. That is sharp money. How do you know? That is the case because St Louis has won 8 straight games and the Coyotes have lost 3 straight games and yet it is Arizona that is getting wagering attention. We like the Coyotes here as they are ready to bounce back strong on home ice. Arizona has lost each of its past two home games and they have not lost 3 consecutive home games this season. Their overall 3-game losing streak is also unlikely to continue as they have never lost 4 straight games this season. The Blues have big games on deck at Colorado and Vegas and might overlook the Coyotes here. Per our computer math model, St Louis is going to drop to 1-3 this season when playing with home loss revenge. Yes, Arizona beat the Blues earlier this season and that was actually the 5th Coyotes win in the last 6 meetings between these teams. By the way, the last 6 meetings between these teams have had an average margin of 3.5 goals so look for a home blowout here. The Coyotes are 7-1 this season after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. Bet Arizona in NHL evening action Tuesday
|
12-29-19 |
Stars v. Coyotes -111 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-111 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Arizona Coyotes over Dallas Stars, Sunday at 8:05 PM ET
The Stars are off a big win over the Avalanche last night in the shootout. The Coyotes lost at Vegas last night 4-1. That sets this one up perfectly for a play on Arizona. The Coyotes are back at home off a loss while the Stars are back on the road after an emotional home win over a Colorado team that is among the best in the NHL this season. The home team has won each of the last 3 meetings between these teams and, per the simulation report, that streak will reach 4-0 with another win by the host here. The Coyotes have outshot the Stars in each of the last 3 games between these clubs. The Stars had lost 4 of 6 prior to last night's win. The Coyotes loss to the Golden Knights last night was the first time they have lost back to back games this month! Dallas has lost 15 of 19 Sunday games including all 4 this season! The Coyotes are a perfect 7-0 this season when off a loss by a multiple goal margin. Bet Arizona in NHL evening action Sunday
|
12-19-19 |
Hurricanes v. Avalanche -107 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Colorado Avalanche over Carolina Hurricanes, Thursday at 9:05 PM ET
The Avalanche are offering tremendous line value here. This is a classic over-reaction by the marketplace based on situational viewpoint. This is a back to back spot for the Avalanche but they enter this game on a 9-1-1 run. Included in the 9-1-1 run is a perfect 2-0 mark when playing the 2nd game of a back to back. On deck for Colorado is the same Blackhawks team that they just beat so there is no lookahead here. In fact the Avalanche are going to be very focused here. Why? The Avs moved into the Pepsi Center for home games 20 years ago. Since that time they had NEVER lost to the Hurricanes in regulation of a game. That is, until last season! The Hurricanes not only beat the Avalanche but shut them out 3-0 at the Pepsi Center. The Avalanche haven't forgotten and they are one of the best teams in the NHL this season and are particularly dangerous again with all key players back on the ice. Keep in mind Gabriel Landeskog and MIkko Rantanen had missed quite a bit of a time. With those guys back the Avs are as strong as they have been all season and that showed again in last night's 4-1 win at Chicago. While the Hurricanes are also playing well of late this is the final game of a 5-game road trip. Sometimes you'll see a team slip up in a spot like this because they've already had a successful trip and they're already thinking ahead to getting back home and facing an Eastern Conference foe rather than this non-conference match-up tonight. A big key here is likely to be the netminding also. The Hurricanes are likely to go with Petr Mrazek and he has a losing record on the road this season and has allowed 3 or more goals in 6 of his past 8 starts away from home. The Avs used their back-up goalie last night so that means Philipp Grubauer will get the start tonight. He had a rare tough start in his last game (versus the Stanley Cup champion Blues) and can't wait to get back on the ice. Grubauer has allowed an average of just 2 goals per start this season when off a game in which he allowed 4 or more goals. Also, at home this season he allowed 3 goals in his most recent start (a 7-3 win) and 2 or less goals in 4 of 6 home starts that preceded that one. Grubauer and the Avalanche are very tough on home ice and are being undervalued here. Per our computer math model, Colorado gets payback for the rare home shutout they were handed by Carolina late last season in March. In home games with a total set at 6 or more goals, the Avalanche have won 9 of 12 games this season. When the Hurricanes are off B2B wins by a multiple goal margin this season they have gone 0-3. After B2B blowout wins, that is the situation Carolina is in here and we look for the Canes to remain winless in that situation on the season. Bet Colorado Avalanche for a Top Play in NHL action Thursday
|
12-17-19 |
Predators v. Islanders -136 |
Top |
8-3 |
Loss |
-136 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON New York Islanders over Nashville Predators, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET
The Predators are in a tough back to back spot here. Also, they used Juuse Saros between the pipes in last night's win over the Rangers. He actually has been playing better than Pekka Rinne of late but it will be Rinne getting the start tonight most likely since this is a back to back spot. Rinne has allowed 4 goals in back to back starts and, in fact, has allowed 4 or more goals in 7 of his last 10 starts. In those 7 starts Rinne has allowed an average of 4.6 goals per game! The Islanders play a very controlled-type game that tends to frustrate opponents. It was very early last season when the Islanders had both their meetings with the Predators and that was when head coach Barry Trotz was still working in his systems with New York in the earliest stages of his first season as the new head coach. Of course as the season went on the Islanders got stronger but they did suffer an early season sweep at the hands of Nashville and they are looking for payback here. The Islanders have a big rest edge here as they enter this game having had 2 days off while the Predators are in a back-to-back. The Islanders have won 3 straight games and they have won 9 of 11 this season when they enter a game on a winning streak of 3 or more games. Also, the Islanders have won 6 of 7 this season when playing with 2 days of rest between games. In home games with a total set at 5.5 goals, the Islanders are on a 25-8 run! The stingy defense of the Islanders is why they lead the league with fewest goals allowed at 72 on the season. The next closest team has allowed 80 goals. The Predators, on the other hand, had allowed 3 or more goals in 5 of 6 games preceding last night's 5-2 win over the Rangers. Nashville is 0-3 the last 3 times they've entered a game after allowing 2 or less goals in their prior game. Not only a home ice edge and situational edge for the Islanders here, they also hold an edge in terms of special teams play as they have the better penalty kill and much better power play stats so far this season in comparison with the Predators. Bet New York Islanders for a Top Play in NHL action Tuesday
|
12-14-19 |
Rangers +121 v. Ducks |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 48 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON New York Rangers over Anaheim Ducks, Saturday at 4:05 PM ET
The Rangers are playing quite well now and getting solid goaltending from both Georgiev and Lundqvist. The result since mid-December has been a solid stretch in which New York has gone 8-4-1 in its past 13 games. While the Rangers are feeling good and have a positive atmosphere evident with their hockey club right now, the Ducks are at the other end of the spectrum. Anaheim's struggles have continued and they have lost 13 of their past 17 games. That makes the opportunity to get the Rangers at plus money in this spot a "must play" situation as the Ducks just can't get any consistency going while, in comparison, the Rangers have been the much better team the last 3 to 4 weeks. Anaheim has scored an average of only 2.6 goals per game their last 15 games. The Rangers are averaging 4.3 goals per game their past 7 wins. Per our computer math model, look for another big win for New York here as Anaheim continues to struggle to find the back of the net. Bet New York Rangers money line in NHL action Saturday
|
12-12-19 |
Golden Knights v. Blues -113 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON St Louis Blues over Vegas Golden Knights, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET
The St Louis Blues have endured their first streak of 3 consecutive regulation losses. But things are about to change in a hurry. The Blues are the defending Stanley Cup champs and they have been dealing with injuries and are now getting healthier. Alexander Steen and Oskar Sundqvist both are likely to return tonight. Also, Zach Sanford could be back on the ice for St Louis tonight as well. On top of all that, the Blues are back on home ice where they are known for being particularly tough to beat. Certainly Vegas knows all about that as they have never won here. The Golden Knights are 0-3 all-time in games played at St Louis. Vegas also might end up being a little flat here too emotionally. Marc-Andre Fluery made his first start after a lengthy absence for bereavement leave and he had a great outing against the Blackhawks Tuesday night. Everyone on the Golden Knights pulled together for that emotional win. Now it is the hungry Blues that are likely to have the emotional edge in this one as they are emotionally charged up after the 3 straight regulation losses (only 1 was here in St Louis). Look for a very strong effort from the Blues here. They beat Malcom Subban and the Golden Knights 3-1 the last time these two clubs squared off. The other two most recent wins (St Louis has beaten the Knights 3 straight times overall) came when Vegas had Fleury between the pipes and he allowed 9 goals in those two starts. In terms of the Blues netminding situation, they have allowed just 1 goal to Vegas in each of the last two meetings and that was once with Jake Allen and once with Jordan Binnington. The point is that they are in good shape either way here. The Golden Knights are 0-3 this season in road games with a total set at 5.5 goals by the odds makers. Per our computer math model, the Blues improve to 4-0 all time when hosting the Knights. Bet St Louis for a Top Play in NHL action Thursday
|
12-08-19 |
Coyotes -101 v. Blackhawks |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Arizona Coyotes over Chicago Blackhawks, Sunday at 7:05 PM ET
The Blackhawks are back home after back to back road wins that each came after regulation on Thursday and Friday. That being said, Chicago may not have enough left in the tank to get past a scrappy Arizona team here. The Coyotes are fired up off a rare shutout loss (2-0) at Pittsburgh on Friday. Arizona entered that game with a 10-3-3 record on the road this season. The Blackhawks enter this game having lost 9 of their 16 home games this season. That is why this pick'em line, though it may seem enticing to back the home team, is actually telling you that the road team is the play here. There is a reason that the Coyotes are not an underdog in this match-up and it is because the odds makers are expecting the same thing we are in this one - an Arizona win. The Coyotes are 4-0 this season when off a loss by a multiple goal margin in their prior game. The Blackhawks have lost 64 of their past 99 games (including 11 of 17 this season) when they are facing a team with a winning record. Bet Arizona in early evening NHL action Sunday
|
12-04-19 |
Capitals v. Kings +135 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Los Angeles Kings over Washington Capitals, Wednesday at 10:05 PM ET
The Capitals are in a tough back to back spot here as they were at San Jose last night. Washington is having a great season but this is one of those situations that looks like the ideal spot in which to fade a good team. Los Angeles is coming off a loss but has won 7 of its last 9 home games. Getting the Kings as a sizable home dog here means excellent line value. The Capitals won the most recent meeting but Los Angeles entered that match-up having won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams. This will be the 5th back to back situation for Washington this season. So far they have managed a 2-0 sweep in back to backs just one time in four tries. After winning at San Jose last night, our computer math model is calling for the Capitals to fall short tonight at Los Angeles and, per the above, the odds certainly favor that outcome. Look for the Kings improve to 8-2 in their last 10 home games. LA has won 5 in a row in non-divisional home games. Make that 6 in a row with tonight's result! Bet Los Angeles in late night NHL action Wednesday
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12-03-19 |
Lightning -103 v. Predators |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
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ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Tampa Bay Lightning over Nashville Predators, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET
The Predators are off a 3-0 shutout loss and are now 0 for 16 on the power play their last 5 games. Nashville has lost 10 of its last 14 games and now faces a Lightning team off a 3-2 loss and ready to bounce back. Tampa Bay was the #1 team (by a large margin) in the league in the regular season last year. The Bolts were then promptly swept out of the playoffs in the first round and that means they are back on a mission here this season. Now that the Lightning are getting healthier (Stamkos recently came back and Killorn should be back on the ice tonight), it is time for Tampa Bay to make another huge move up the standings. Tampa Bay has lost 3 straight (all by a single goal) for the first time since March of last season! Prior to this tough string of tight losses, the Bolts had won 6 of their past 8. Getting the Lightning at a pick'em price here is a great bargain considering the situation. The past two seasons this has been the time of year when the Bolts kick things into high gear. Tampa Bay has won 24 of 27 games in the month of December the past two seasons. The Lightning have been off since Saturday and they have won 21 of 31 when playing with two days of rest between games. Nashville has lost 7 of 11 home games with a total set at 6 or more goals and the Predators won't be able to keep with the high-scoring Bolts in this one. Tampa Bay's power play has been red hot this season (one of the best in NHL) and the Predators haven't scored a power play goal in their past 5 games. Tampa has scored an average of 4.1 goals per game its past 10 games. The Predators have scored an average of only 2.3 goals per game their past 10 games. Bet Tampa Bay in evening NHL action Tuesday
|
11-27-19 |
Golden Knights +126 v. Predators |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
126 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
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ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Vegas Golden Knights over Nashville Predators, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET
Perfect situational set up here. Vegas is off a loss and looking for a breakout game and catches the Predators at the perfect time to execute. Additionally, we get line value because this game is at Nashville and that is why the Golden Knights are an underdog in this match-up. We'll take the plus money with Vegas as the Predators are off back to back home and away wins over the Stanley Cup Champion Blues. Not only is St Louis the defending champs, they also are a big division rival of Nashville. The Predators, prior to those key back to back wins, had lost 6 straight games and 8 of their last 9 games! That makes this the ideal spot for the Golden Knights to bounce back after catching an earful from head coach Gerard Gallant following their 4-2 loss at Dallas. The Knights schedule has been tough recently but prior to losses to the Oilers and Stars (a pair of very tough teams) Vegas showed signs they were turning things back around with a 3-game points streak in which they outscored the opposition 11 to 4. The cherry on top here is that the Golden Knights led Nashville 2-1 in Vegas earlier this season before they came unglued in the 2nd period making mistakes that led to 3 goals. The Knights haven't forgotten that game and now it is payback time. Perfect situation for a fired up Golden Knights team to exact revenge as the Predators get caught still celebrating their back to back big wins over the Blues. The Predators #1 goalie Pekka Rinne has struggled so badly that Juuse Saros is getting another start here. Both netminders have GAA above 3.00 this season. Even without Marc-Andre Fleury between the pipes tonight, look for strong play in front of the Knights crease and on the other end in the offensive zone to lead to a big road win. Bet Vegas in evening NHL action Wednesday
|
11-21-19 |
Flyers +145 v. Hurricanes |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
145 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
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ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Philadelphia Flyers over Carolina Hurricanes, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET
The Flyers beat the Hurricanes earlier this month in Philadelphia. Even though this meeting is at Carolina, note that prior to Philadelphia's win at home earlier in the month, the road team had won 6 of the last 9 meetings between these teams. The Flyers are in a fighting mood and will be ready to go here as they are off an ugly 5-2 loss at Florida that was preceded by 3 straight tight one-goal losses. Per our computer math model, Philadelphia is set to improve to 3-0 the last 3 times they have entered a game off a loss by a margin of 3 or more goals. The Hurricanes enter this game on a hot streak but they have struggled this season in divisional action with losses in 5 of 7 games and that continues here. When on a winning streak of 3 or more games, the Hurricanes have lost 15 of 27 to cost their backers 7.7 net units when in that situation that past 2+ seasons. Bet Philadelphia in early evening NHL action Thursday
|
11-19-19 |
Lightning -111 v. Blues |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-111 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
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ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Tampa Bay Lightning over St Louis Blues, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET
We have had our eyes on this match-up for awhile. Last season the Bolts were the #1 regular season team and yet then got swept right out of the playoffs in the first round! That was a shock! It also was a shock when St Louis was dead last in the NHL standings pretty deep into the NHL season and then yet improbably rallied in an amazing run that led them to the ultimate prize when they hoisted the Stanley Cup in June! In other words, the Lightning have had this game circled in red as a "barometer game"...the type of game that will prove the Cup can be theirs! The Blues did beat the Bolts in both meetings last season but only by a goal each time. Also, the meeting in St Louis saw Tampa Bay out-shoot the Blues by a heavy margin even though they came up a goal short on the scoreboard. The set up here is perfect as the Lightning come into this game scoring a lot of goals and playing very well while St Louis enters this contest struggling to score goals and on a losing streak. The Blues have lost 3 straight games and have managed a total of just 5 goals in the process. The Lightning have won 4 of their last 6 games and have scored an average of 5 goals per game during this hot streak. Tampa Bay will prove to be the hungrier more motivated team here and are off a regulation loss (4-3) to the Jets. Not only have the Lightning not had back to back losses in regulation this season, they also are 50-18 (including 5-2 this season) when off a game in which they allowed 4 or more goals! Bet Tampa Bay in evening NHL action Tuesday
|
11-17-19 |
Flames +140 v. Golden Knights |
|
0-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
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ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Calgary Flames over Vegas Golden Knights, Sunday at 7:05 PM ET
We have had our eyes on this line all morning and it has simply been pushed too far. Vegas has gone from the -125 money line range to the -155 range. This is a Golden Knights team that continues to blow late leads in games and simply can't be trusted right now as their losing streak continued yesterday with the loss at Los Angeles. Calgary will come into this one angry as they are are off a shutout loss at Arizona yesterday. Though the Flames lost 3-0 (including a late empty net goal), Calgary outshot the Coyotes 37 to 24. Also, Calgary has a revenge from a 6-2 loss at Vegas last month. The Flames led in the shots on goal category in that lopsided defeat as well. Calgary has won 5 of 7 this season when off a loss by a multi-goal margin. The Golden Knights once vaunted home ice has seen them much more beatable there this season. Vegas has actually lost 6 of last 9 games played on home ice. Per our computer math model that trend will continue as the Knights lose for the 6th straight time and 8th time in 9 games with a home ice loss to a fired up Calgary team coming off a shutout loss and seeking revenge! Bet Calgary in early evening NHL action Sunday.
|
11-13-19 |
Capitals v. Flyers +104 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL 9* PLAY ON Philadelphia Flyers over Washington Capitals, Wednesday at 7:35 PM ET
Two really hot teams match up here and the Capitals have had the stronger season thus far as they have been the top team in the league. However, Washington is on the road for this one and they do not have a single regulation win in any of their last 4 road games. The Capitals lost one of those, won one in a shootout, and won two in overtime. In those 4 road games Washington has allowed an average of 4 goals per game. That holds some significance here for sure because the Flyers are a stellar 6-1-1 on home ice this season and in their last 7 games as a host Philadelphia has allowed just 2.3 goals per game. Both Carter Hart and Brian Elliott have proven capable of going into "shut down mode" when they are in between the pipes on home ice and you know the Flyers are going to be emotionally charged for this game as Alex Ovechkin and company come to town! Philly has won 8 of its last 11 games and the Capitals have allowed 3.5 goals per game in their past 8 road games so truly the Caps have not been the same team in their D zone when away from home this season. Per our computer math model, the Flyers will take advantage here! This is a great home dog spot for a divisional foe to bring their A game as they look to knock off the team that is not only at the top of their division but also the 2018 NHL Stanley Cup champs. Bet Philadelphia in early evening NHL action Wednesday.
|
11-12-19 |
Penguins -130 v. Rangers |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-130 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Pittsburgh Penguins over New York Rangers, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET
The Penguins are without Sidney Crosby for this one but that is helping to keep this money line in a very fair price range. That, coupled with the fact that Evgeni Malkin has been on an absolute tear for Pittsburgh since returning to the ice is why we are elevating this play to top game status. The Penguins have won 11 of their last 16 games against the Rangers and that includes 7 of 10 in New York. Pittsburgh has not lost in regulation in any of the past 6 meetings between these divisional foes. Overall, the Penguins enter this game having gone 4-1-1 their last 6 games. Also, even though Pittsburgh is without Crosby here, the Rangers remain without Mika Zibanejad. New York enters this game having lost 38 of its last 59 divisional games. Also, when facing a team with a winning record, the Rangers have lost 59 of 92 games! Per our computer math model, these recent season trends are likely to continue here as Pittsburgh dominates this one. The Penguins get another big win tonight to improve to 4-0 in divisional games this season! Bet Pittsburgh in early evening NHL action Tuesday.
|
11-07-19 |
Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs -127 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Toronto Maple Leafs over Vegas Golden Knights, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET
Great home ice value here on the Maple Leafs. The Golden Knights not only are not the same team they were in their magical inaugural season two years ago, they also are not even as strong as they were last season. Vegas continues to regress and is simply not nearly the team they once were. Yes they are off a win at Columbus on Tuesday but that followed two straight losses that featured blowing a two goal third period lead in each of the two games! Marc-Andre Fleury was back between the pipes on Tuesday and made some outstanding saves to preserve that victory. Certainly Vegas deserves some credit for that win but overall it was a tight low-scoring battle and the Knights very nearly lost to a Blue Jackets team that has been in a major slump. Now the Golden Knights feature a major challenge here as they are at Toronto and captain John Tavares will be playing his 2nd game since returning to the ice. The first game back after missing a lot of time with injury is always tough so look for him to be much stronger tonight and that means the firepower Toronto has up front for this contest is very dangerous. The Maple Leafs are going to pressure the Golden Knights early and often in this and are well worth laying the modest price at home here. Toronto has won 40 of its last 64 non-conference games and 22 of its last 31 November games including both games so far this month. Vegas has only won half its non-conference games since coming into the league and they are down 14.8 net units in those 76 contests. Per our computer math model, look for another road loss to an Eastern Conference foe in this one. Bet Toronto in early evening NHL action Thursday.
|
11-06-19 |
Red Wings v. Rangers -149 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 8* ON New York Rangers over Detroit Red Wings, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET
When do you lay the -150 price range in NHL? When you have the home team and you are fading a team that has won just ONCE in its last DOZEN games. The Red Wings are struggling and this is not the spot for them to turn it around. They are facing a Rangers team off an ugly home loss to the Senators. The fact is Ottawa had been playing better and not getting the results and it all came together for them in that game which featured a lot of physicality and showed the Sens were not going to be denied. As disappointing as that loss was, the Rangers did enter that game having won 3 of 4 prior games and those 4 games were against the Lightning, Bruins, Sabres, and Predators. Those are all quality teams and the Rangers were strong overall during that tough stretch. After then laying an egg in their game against Ottawa, New York is undoubtedly going to respond big here. The Red Wings have had their number in recent seasons but Detroit is really in a funk right now. Their last 3 losses have come by a combined score of 17-4 and Detroit's coach, Blashill, is on the hot seat already this season! Per our computer math model, there is high probability that the Rangers dominate on home ice here as the forecast is for the Red Wings to lose for the 12th time in their last 13 games. Of course that means laying the -150 price is well worth it in this one! Lay it! Bet the New York Rangers in NHL action Wednesday.
|
11-05-19 |
Golden Knights -130 v. Blue Jackets |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 49 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Vegas Golden Knights over Columbus Blue Jackets, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET
Perfect set up here. The Golden Knights are happy to be on the road for a change of scenery after losing back to back home games where they had a multiple goal 3rd period lead in each game! Vegas simply can't wait to get back on the ice tonight and they're also welcoming back #1 goalie Marc-Andre Fleury whom had been out with the flu. The Golden Knights are facing a Blue Jackets team that has been struggling as they have lost 4 straight games and are coming off a 3-0 shutout loss. One of the key issues with Columbus is they have struggled in coming back in games this season. They have won just 5 of their 14 games this season and they are 5-0 when scoring first but have lost all 9 games when they allow the first goal. As noted above the Golden Knights recent trouble has been closing out games but they have done a good job of attaining leads. Look for Vegas to draw first blood here and send Columbus to a 10th straight loss when allowing the first goal this season. While the Blue Jackets overall have lost 9 of 14 games this season, Vegas has won 4 of its 6 road games and the fact they are on the road here is what is keeping this money line in a playable range. If this game was in Vegas the Golden Knights would be a 2 to 1 favorite. So we'll take advantage of the line value here and lay the fair price in a situation where all signs are pointing to Vegas bringing a very focused effort here and sustaining it for the full 60 minutes. Those back to back late game losses on home ice have the Golden Knights ready to fly all over the ice Tuesday! Vegas also has revenge here as, after splitting with Columbus in the Knights inaugural season, the Blue Jackets swept the two games last season. Payback time here. When the Golden Knights enter a match-up after playing 3 consecutive games on home ice, they have won 20 of 29 games! Per our computer math model, the Blue Jackets get outplayed again tonight and lose for the 6th time in 7 games this season when facing a Western Conference opponent. Bet Vegas in NHL early evening action Tuesday.
|
10-30-19 |
Lightning -116 v. Devils |
|
7-6 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Tampa Bay Lightning over New Jersey Devils, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET
There is an old adage that we believe will hold true in this match-up Wednesday. That is that too much of a good thing can actually turn into a bad thing. Rest is a good thing but too much of it can cause a team to lose its sharpness on the ice and we fully expect to see that with the Devils tonight. No team in the NHL has played fewer games this season than the Devils and in a rare scheduling quirk, this is their first game since the 25th and that particular game was their first since the 19th! In other words, New Jersey enters tonight having played just 1 game in the past 10 days! Considering that as well as the fact that the Devils have been struggling early this season, Tampa Bay is the play here even though this is a back to back game for the Bolts. Strengthening this play on the Lightning is the fact that they are off a loss at New York against the Rangers last night. Tampa Bay was held to just 1 goal in that defeat and that was the first time this season that the Bolts were held under 2 goals in a game. Also, the Lightning entered that game on a 3-1 streak in road games. Tampa Bay is 29-10 (including 2-0 this season) when off a loss by a margin of 2 or more goals. They lost last night to the Rangers by a 3-1 count. As for the Devils, they have lost 43 of 71 when off a game in which they allowed 4 or more goals and that includes losing 4 of 5 when in that role this season. New Jersey is off a 5-3 loss to Arizona on Friday. Per our computer math model, their early season struggles (lost 7 of 9 games) continue tonight. Bet Tampa Bay in NHL early evening action Wednesday.
|
10-29-19 |
Capitals +121 v. Maple Leafs |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
121 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL 9* PLAY ON Washington Capitals over Toronto Maple Leafs, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET
The Capitals have one of the top records in the NHL early this season and are a red-hot 5-0-1 their last 6 games. The Maple Leafs have lost 7 of their 13 games this season including 3 of their last 4. That said, the opportunity to have Washington at plus money (because this game is at Toronto) is offering great underdog line value. The Capitals already won their first meeting with the Leafs this season. The Caps did have the added advantage of being on home ice for that one. However, the fact is that the Capitals have won 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Maple Leafs at Toronto! Washington has won 49 of it last 75 when facing a team with a losing record. Again, the Leafs come into this game with just 6 wins in their 13 games and they are still without their team captain (and one of their best players) John Tavares. Our computer math model is calling for the Capitals run to continue here as they wrap up their season long 5-game road trip with another victory. Bet Washington in NHL early evening action Tuesday.
|
10-24-19 |
Panthers v. Flames -127 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 47 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Calgary Flames over Florida Panthers, Thursday at 9:05 PM ET
This is a tough spot for Florida as they were at home on Tuesday and got a big home win over Pittsburgh. Not only is beating the Penguins always a big victory for a team like the Panthers, having to then go from southern Florida all the way to western Canada is certainly a long haul. This first road game puts the Panthers in a true flat spot. Calgary, on the other hand, was already at home as they hosted the Capitals on Tuesday. Unlike Florida, the Flames lost that game on Tuesday. That said, Calgary will be hungry to get right back on track here and remaining on home ice is a big edge for them. The Panthers history against Western Conference foes is certainly not a good one as they have lost 254 of 418 games against teams from the west. Florida won their most recent meeting with Calgary but that makes this a revenge spot and the Flames had won 5 of the last 6 in this series prior to that loss. After losing 5-3 to Washington Tuesday, Calgary is likely to bounce back here. The Flames, after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game, are 3-1 this season. Per our computer math model, that record improves to 4-1 tonight! Bet Calgary in NHL late night action Thursday.
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