10-24-19 |
Panthers v. Flames -127 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 47 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Calgary Flames over Florida Panthers, Thursday at 9:05 PM ET
This is a tough spot for Florida as they were at home on Tuesday and got a big home win over Pittsburgh. Not only is beating the Penguins always a big victory for a team like the Panthers, having to then go from southern Florida all the way to western Canada is certainly a long haul. This first road game puts the Panthers in a true flat spot. Calgary, on the other hand, was already at home as they hosted the Capitals on Tuesday. Unlike Florida, the Flames lost that game on Tuesday. That said, Calgary will be hungry to get right back on track here and remaining on home ice is a big edge for them. The Panthers history against Western Conference foes is certainly not a good one as they have lost 254 of 418 games against teams from the west. Florida won their most recent meeting with Calgary but that makes this a revenge spot and the Flames had won 5 of the last 6 in this series prior to that loss. After losing 5-3 to Washington Tuesday, Calgary is likely to bounce back here. The Flames, after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game, are 3-1 this season. Per our computer math model, that record improves to 4-1 tonight! Bet Calgary in NHL late night action Thursday.
|
10-20-19 |
Flames v. Ducks -120 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-120 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON 9* Anaheim Ducks over Calgary Flames, Sunday at 9:05 PM ET
Anaheim has won 19 of its last 20 - yes, 95% - when hosting Calgary. To say the least, the Flames have found facing the Ducks in southern California to be an absolute nightmare. Two years ago in the 2017 playoffs Calgary was swept out of the post-season by Anaheim and their long-term struggles against the Ducks have continued since then. That said, there is particularly strong value here because the Flames were in action yesterday as they lost 4 to 1 to the LA Kings last night. Now playing the 2nd night of a back to back and having used both goalies in last night's game, Calgary is in trouble. The Ducks are a rested team and Anaheim also has been the much stronger hockey club early this season. Anaheim enters this game having won 7 straight home games and, per out computer math model, the Ducks are poised to make it 8 in a row tonight! Bet Anaheim in NHL late night action Sunday.
|
10-16-19 |
Flyers +115 v. Oilers |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON 9* Philadelphia Flyers over Edmonton Oilers, Wednesday at 9:35 PM ET
The Flyers are off back to back losses but the first came in the shootout and the second one last night was a tight loss at Calgary. With their #1 goalie Carter Hart back between the pipes for this one Philadelphia is poised for a bounce back. The Flyers have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Edmonton. The Oilers got off to a hot start this season but are off a loss Sunday and just got back to western Canada after a lengthy road trip in which 3 of the 4 games were played in the Eastern time zone. Teams often come out a little bit flat in their first game back home after a lengthy road trip across multiple time zones and, per our computer math model, that will be the case tonight with the Oilers. Edmonton, after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game, has lost their next game 37 of 59 times. The Oilers, in a home game where the total is 6 or more, have lost 27 of 45 games! The underdog Flyers are the play here as they have a two day break on deck and will "leave it all on the ice" tonight in terms of their effort! Bet Philadelphia in NHL late night action Wednesday.
|
10-15-19 |
Predators +120 v. Golden Knights |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
120 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON 9* Nashville Predators over Vegas Golden Knights, Tuesday at 10:05 PM ET
The Predators entered their current road trip having won 3 of their first 4 games this season. All of those were on home ice but after a "wake up call" on the road against the Kings on Saturday, the Preds will now be ready to respond Tuesday in Vegas. The Predators spotted the Kings a 4-1 lead in LA on Saturday before rallying to tie it. However, with less than a minute to go LA got the deciding goal and then also added a couple of empty netters. The 7-4 final certainly doesn't tell the full story of how the game played out and the type of loss Nashville had in that game is the type of defeat that quality teams bounce right back from. This is particularly true when that quality team is catching a team off back to back big wins and now playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. That is the case here with the Golden Knights off big wins Saturday and Sunday. As for the rested Predators, they have the rest edge for sure as they have been off the past two days. Nashville can't wait to get back on the ice after a poor effort early on at LA ended up dooming them in that game. The Predators lost here in February but previously had won 3 straight against the Golden Knights including a game at Vegas. In those 3 victories Nashville held Vegas to a total of just 2 goals. In a road game where the total is set at 6 or more goals, the Predators have won 12 of their last 16. Bet Nashville in NHL late night action Tuesday.
|
10-14-19 |
Stars -105 v. Sabres |
|
0-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON 9* Dallas Stars over Buffalo Sabres, Monday at 3:05 PM ET
Coming into this season big things were expected for the Stars and mediocrity was the expectation for the Sabres. That said, it is still very early in the season but, with Dallas having faced a tough schedule and won only 1 of 6 games and Buffalo off to a surprising 4-0-1 start, excellent line value is being offered in this one. This money line opened up in the pick'em price range and the Stars offer excellent value as a result. Dallas has won 5 straight meetings with Buffalo including 8 of the last 9. The Sabres have managed to score a total of only TWO goals in their last FOUR games against the Stars. Per our computer math model, this one turns into a road rout as Dallas takes advantage of catching Buffalo off a big divisional win on Saturday. Look for the Stars to make it 6 straight wins over the Sabres! Bet Dallas in NHL afternoon action Monday.
|
10-09-19 |
Canadiens v. Sabres -115 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON 9* Buffalo Sabres over Montreal Canadiens, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET
Perfect set up here as Buffalo is on home ice and coming off a disappointing 4-3 OT loss Monday at Columbus that followed a powerful 2-0 start to the season. The Sabres had won their first two games by a combined score of 10 to 3 and they're ready to respond here at home after they know they did not play well against the Blue Jackets Monday. As for the Canadiens they are off a huge divisional win at Toronto Saturday night and it involved a huge late rally and a victory that came in the shootout. Not only is Montreal off a big win this is now the first night of a back to back as the Habs host the Red Wings tomorrow. Situational edges are with the Sabres in this one and the home team is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these clubs. Also, the Canadiens have lost 35 of 55 when off a divisional game. Bet Buffalo in early evening NHL action Wednesday.
|
10-06-19 |
Lightning -107 v. Hurricanes |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-107 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Tampa Bay Lightning over Carolina Hurricanes, Sunday at 5:05 PM ET
The Lightning are off a tight 4-3 loss at Florida yesterday. The Hurricanes are off an upset win in overtime at Washington last night. That sets this situation up perfectly for a play on Tampa Bay. The Bolts are one of the best teams in the league so it is rare to get them in this low price range (about -110) on the money line. However, that is available here because they are on the road and the Canes show a 2-0 record to the betting markets. Factoring in both the Hurricanes and the Lightning were on the road yesterday, there is no significant edge for Carolina. Add in the fact that Tampa Bay is off a loss and that the Canes are off two straight wins (neither in regulation) and you have a great set up here for backing the small road favorite. Bet the Lightning in early evening action Sunday
|
10-04-19 |
Jets v. Devils -138 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-138 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON New Jersey Devils over Winnipeg Jets, Friday at 7:05 PM ET
The Jets lost 6-4 last night and now become the first NHL team to have to play in a back to back situation in the new season. Winnipeg had some nice moments last night in the offensive zone against the Rangers but truly did not look good at all in their own zone. The point being that all the goals given up were not a fluke. The Jets looked "soft" in their own zone and only the final of the 6 goals was an empty netter. The Devils made a lot of improvements in the off-season and will be one of the most improved teams in the league this season. Playing their season opener at home and catching Winnipeg in the 2nd night of back to back combines to give New Jersey a big edge in this one and makes them well worth the moderate price. The Jets have lost 47 of their last 76 games when playing the 2nd night of a back to back. In a home game with a total set at 6 goals or more, the Devils have won 64 of 103 games. More of the same on tap here. Bet the Devils in early evening action Friday
|
10-03-19 |
Canadiens +142 v. Hurricanes |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Montreal Canadiens over Carolina Hurricanes, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET
There is not a large variance between these two teams as evidenced by their projected season point totals heading into this season. That said, even though Carolina has home ice edge in this match-up, they are arguably priced far too high. The infatuation the betting markets have with the Hurricanes is courtesy of their magical run last season but, keep in mind, it is tough to carry that type of momentum from one season to the next. Additionally, the Canes do enter the season with a couple of injuries right out of training camp. Conversely, the Canadiens come into this game very healthy and that goes for physical as well as mental. We like the mindset of the Habs coming into this season as this is a proud NHL franchise with plenty of history that certainly is not happy about coming off back to back seasons that saw them miss the post-season. Montreal did show improvement last season in their win total year over year and they have a great chance to take another step forward this season. Whether the Canadiens make a strong push on the full season is, of course, to be determined long-term. However, as for tonight, they are a great value play for a season opener at a significant underdog price. Carolina has held the upper hand in recent meetings on the scoreboard but Montreal has outshot the Hurricanes by a margin of 25 shots on goal over their past 3 match-ups. Tonight the Habs get rewarded with a similar effort! Bet the Canadiens in early evening action Thursday
|
10-02-19 |
Capitals +130 v. Blues |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
130 |
32 h 35 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Washington Capitals over St Louis Blues, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET
With this line jumping all the way up to the +130 range on the road dog, there is exceptional line value available with the Capitals in this match-up. It was a long summer for the Capitals after they were eliminated in the first round of the post-season in April. Keep in mind, this was after winning it all the prior season so, of course, the first round exit (punctuated by the fact they blew a 2-0 series lead) did not sit well at all with Washington. Now after waiting many months to get back on the ice, the Capitals will skate with more urgency than the Blues in this regular season opener. For St Louis, it was the shortest of summers after they won the Stanley Cup in mid-June! There is expected to be a significant drop off for the Blues this season. That is why, heading into the new season, about one third of NHL teams (including Washington) are projected to have a higher season points total than St Louis. We are aware of the fact that Ovechkin and Eller sat out the preseason finale but this was more precautionary than anything else and these guys are expected to play for Washington on Wednesday. Yes, the Capitals are without Kuznetsov for 1 more week but this was expected and something they've been adjusting for already. Factoring all that in as well as goalie Holtby playing in a contract season and looking very much "in the zone" the way he handled his final preseason start, we like the odds of the Capitals beginning the season with a road upset here. Yes, the Blues won both meetings last season but not only does that make this is a double revenge spot for Washington, it is also noteworthy because the Capitals had previously won 5 straight meetings with the Blues. Per our computer math model, the Caps get the payback victory here. Bet the Capitals in evening action Wednesday
|
06-12-19 |
Blues +166 v. Bruins |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
166 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON St Louis Blues over Boston Bruins, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET
With this line jumping all the way up to the +165 range on the road dog, there is exceptional line value available with the Blues in this match-up. St Louis post-season games have seen the road team winning at a 64% clip in these playoffs. The home ice edge simply hasn't been there in Blues games in this post-season. That trend has continued with the Blues winning at Boston in Game 5 and the Bruins winning at St Louis in Game 6. The Blues have been great when in bounce back mode as, since a 3-game losing streak in mid-March, St Louis has hardly ever lost back to back games. In fact, just 2 times in the past 3 months have the Blues suffered a loss when entering a game off a loss in their prior game. A key to remember here as Boston pushes up closer to being nearly 2 to 1 favorites in this game is that the Bruins had lost 3 of the last 4 games in this series before pulling away in the 3rd period for the big Game 6 win. Per our computer math model, St Louis gets the shocking win in a tight Game 7 at Boston. Bet the Blues in evening action Wednesday
|
06-09-19 |
Bruins +108 v. Blues |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
108 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Boston Bruins over St Louis Blues, Sunday at 8:20 PM ET
No team has clinched the Stanley Cup on home ice the past 3 seasons. We don't expect that to change here either as the Bruins force a Game 7 by coming up with a big win at St Louis. Oftentimes a team is at its best when many have counted them out. After back to back losses, many have given up hope for Boston this season but there is a lot of fight left in this team and let us not forget they came into this series as the favorite. The Bruins lost Game 5 on home ice but they outshot the Blues by a substantial margin. Also, Boston lost Game 5 on a controversial non-call. The Bruins are fired up while the Blues will be without Ivan Barbashev (suspended). Though he is a 4th-liner, the fact is the depth of St Louis has been a key in this series and the contributions from the 4th line have been a part of that. Boston has never lost more than 3 games straight this entire season and only 4 times have they lost 3 straight. They enter this game having lost 2 straight and the Bruins are 11-4 this season when they enter a game on a losing streak of 2 more consecutive losses. Also, Boston has won 11 of 13 games this season when off a game where they scored just 1 goal or were shutout. Off the tight 2-1 loss in Game 5, the Bruins respond here. Per our computer math model, Boston improves to 5-0 in the post-season when they are trailing in a playoff series. Bet the Bruins in evening action Sunday
|
06-06-19 |
Blues v. Bruins -149 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-149 |
33 h 48 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Boston Bruins over St Louis Blues, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET
The Bruins are likely without Zdeno Chara for the rest of the Finals as he suffered a broken jaw on a deflected puck in Game 4. However, Boston is likely to rally around their fallen leader and the 42-year old, though a great leader, is not near the player he once was in his younger years. The point is that there has been an adjustment to this line because of the Chara injury and the result, per our computer math model, is actually even more value with the short-handed Bruins on home ice. Boston is now in a money line price range of only -150 and the Bruins are 17-7 in a home game with a total set at 5.5 goals this season. Also, the Bruins are 11-5 since the end of January in a game following a loss. This series has gone back and forth all the way through and now it is time for Boston to bounce back in Game 5. Even if Bruins defenseman Matt Grzelcyk is still out for this game as well, Boston's decision to go with an extra forward and only 5 defensemen could prove to be a sharp move in this one. On home ice and with an ultra-potent power play, the Bruins are going to have the Blues on their heels throughout this crucial Game 5. St Louis did start the post-season on fire in road games but, prior to winning Game 2 at Boston, the Blues had lost 3 of their last 6 on the road. Also, prior to that Game 2 loss for Boston on home ice, the Bruins had won 5 of their last 6 home games. Bet the Bruins in evening action Thursday
|
05-27-19 |
Blues +137 v. Bruins |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON St Louis Blues over Boston Bruins, Monday at 8:05 PM ET
The Blues have been great on the road in this post-season as they have won 7 of their 9 games away from St Louis. The layoff here for the Blues afforded them ample rest while the Bruins time off easily could prove to be too much. Boston has not played a game in 10 days and that amount of time off can lead to some sloppiness on the ice. Sure the Bruins have been practicing and scrimmaging plenty but that is still no comparison to live game action. Boston has lost 6 of 7 this season when they are playing with 3 or more days of rest between games. For the Blues, they have won 7 of 11 this season with those same parameters. If St Louis is going to steal one on the road this would likely be the one as they catch the Bruins a little slow out of the gate after all the time off. The Blues have allowed 2 or less goals in 3 of their last 4 road games. Boston has allowed 2.5 goals per game in its last 4 games. Certainly that is a respectable number but you can see where the Blues hold a slight edge in that department and catching Bruins goalie Tuukka Rask playing for the first time in a week and a half is also an edge. Per our computer math model, this one belongs in the 'upset alert' category! Bet the Blues in evening action Monday
|
05-21-19 |
Sharks +150 v. Blues |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
23 h 9 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON San Jose Sharks over St Louis Blues, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET
When a team is given little chance by the masses it is often the time that team is at its most dangerous. The San Jose Sharks are off an embarrassing 5-0 home loss, they are banged up, and they now face the Blues at St Louis knowing that a loss ends their season. It is at a time like this that teams rise up and the Sharks are 8-2 this season following a game where they were held to one goal or less. Also, when off a loss by a multiple goal margin, San Jose has a record of 41-27 the last 68. As strong as the Blues overall post-season has been, the fact is that St Louis has been better on the road than at home. The Blues did win their most recent game on home ice but, prior to that victory in Game 4, St Louis had lost 5 of its last 8 on home ice. The road dog is very undervalued in this spot. Bet the Sharks in evening action Tuesday
|
05-19-19 |
Blues +117 v. Sharks |
|
5-0 |
Win
|
117 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON St Louis Blues over San Jose Sharks, Sunday at 3:05 PM ET
The Blues are off a key win in Game 4 that has swung momentum in this series. St Louis has won 22 of their last 33 games against teams with a winning record. On the season, the Sharks have lost HALF of their games against teams with a winning record. That hurts and what also hurts (literally) for San Jose in this match-up is that Erik Karlsson is currently hurting. Even if he plays he doesn't seem right and he missed a lot of ice time late in Game 4 and that was during the crunch time throughout the third period. The concern here for the Sharks is warranted. That is part of the reason this money line is so low, essentially the books are encouraging money on San Jose while the sharps are all over the Blues in this one. St Louis won Game 2 here at San Jose and that was their 6th win in their last 7 road games as the Blues continue to be road warriors in this post-season. The Blues have not been outshot by the Sharks since Game 1 of this series. Our computer math model is forecasting that St Louis will again have the edge in shots on goal in this match-up and that it will also lead to the edge on the scoreboard when the final horn sounds on this one! Bet the Blues in afternoon action Sunday
|
05-15-19 |
Sharks +128 v. Blues |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
128 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON San Jose Sharks over St Louis Blues, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET
The Sharks are off a tight loss in Game 2 but now offer great line value as a road dog in Game 3. The reasons are many. For one thing, San Jose is a perfect 4-0 the last 4 times they were off a loss. They have not lost back to back games since early in the first round series with Vegas! Additionally, the Blues win at San Jose Monday continued a trend that has seen the road team prevail in 10 of 15 games in this postseason for St Louis. By the way, prior to that win St Louis had lost 4 of its last 7 games including 2 of its last 3 on home ice! The Blues power play is in a horrific 1 for 26 slump in the past 8 games! On the other hand, the Sharks power play is on a respectable 7 for 34 run their last 10 games. Additionally, the San Jose penalty kill has held opponents to just a 2 for 34 mark with the man advantage in their last 11 games. The Blues penalty kill has allowed their opponents to convert on 5 of 20 chances in their last 9 games. St Louis won their most recent home game in this postseason but previously lost 4 of their first 6 on home ice in the playoffs. The Sharks have won 4 of 5 when tied up in a playoff series in this postseason. The Blues have lost 9 of their last 12 games in conference finals action. Our computer math model is forecasting San Jose goalie Martin Jones to come up big in this game as the Sharks improve to 5-0 the last 5 times they've entered a playoff game off a loss. Bet the Sharks in evening action Wednesday
|
05-11-19 |
Blues +114 v. Sharks |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON St Louis Blues over San Jose Sharks, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET
St Louis has won 38 of their last 58 games including 20 of their last 29 games against teams with a winning record. Conversely, the Sharks have only been a .500 team when playing teams with a winning record this season! Also, the Blues have won 5 of their 6 road games in this post-season! San Jose won Game 7 to wrap up their series with the Avalanche but that series saw the teams alternate wins and losses all the way through. The Sharks haven't won back to back games since winning the final 3 games of the Vegas series after dropping two straight to the Golden Knights. Per our computer math model, the up and down trend for San Jose continues here with another Sharks loss following a win. The Blues have oushot their opponent by 38 shots on goal in their last 3 games. The Sharks have averaged only 2 goals per game in their last 8 games. St Louis has averaged 3.4 goals per game in their last 5 road games. Too much value to pass up on here given the way the Blues have been playing on enemy ice! Bet the Blues in evening action Saturday
|
05-09-19 |
Hurricanes v. Bruins -140 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Boston Bruins over Carolina Hurricanes, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET
This line has dropped from the -155 range to the -140 range and we already had our eyes on Boston in Game One when the lines first came out. That said, it is now go time with this one and we're releasing this play as of mid-day Thursday to grab the value. Part of the reason for the drop with this line is that Bruins defenseman Charlie McAvoy is out due to a one game suspension. While that can be considered a slight factor in this game the fact is that the much bigger factors here are home ice and, especially, the rest situation. While the Bruins have had an ideal amount (2 days) of rest, the Hurricanes have been off for nearly a week. We expect having not played in almost a full week to have a direct impact on Carolina's level of play in this game and the history supports that theory. The Hurricanes have lost 15 of 24 (including 7 of 10 this season) when playing with 3 or more days of rest between games. Boston has won 31 of 45 (including 13 of 20 this season) when playing with 2 days of rest between games. Also, the Bruins have won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams as well as 4 straight meetings in Boston! Bet the Bruins in evening action Thursday
|
05-07-19 |
Stars +138 v. Blues |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Dallas Stars over St Louis Blues, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET
The Stars penalty kill finished the season on a great run and it has continued well into the post-season. In the past 5 games of this series the Dallas penalty kill has held the Blues to 1 for 18 on the power play. In a Game 7 the play of special teams can certainly have a special effect on the end game result. The Stars power play is on a 5 for 15 run on the power play in their games against St Louis. Getting a power play goal (more likely for Dallas as you can see) certainly could be the key difference maker in a make or break Game 7 situation. Although St Louis has home ice here the Blues have lost 4 of their 6 games here in this post-season. Also, Dallas has the veteran goalie Ben Bishop in this match-up and he has a wealth of playoff experience compared to Blues rookie Jordan Binnington. In road games with a total set at 5 goals or less the Stars have won 9 of 12 and, per our computer math model, a road dog upset is to be expected in this one! Grab the money line value with underdog Dallas in this one. Bet the Stars in evening action Tuesday
|
05-06-19 |
Sharks v. Avalanche -123 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Colorado Avalanche over San Jose Sharks, Monday at 10:05 PM ET
The Avalanche are 3-0 this post-season when trailing in a playoff series and the Sharks are 0-3 this post-season when leading in a playoff series. So far in this series the teams have alternated wins and losses all the way through. Per our computer math model that pattern continues here and the Avalanche get the win after falling short in Game 5. The home team has won 8 of the last 11 meetings between these teams and Colorado will respond after being held to just 1 goal Saturday. The Avalanche have won 9 of the last 11 times they have entered a game off a match-up in which they were held to 2 goals or less. The Sharks enter this game having lost 6 of their last 9 games away from San Jose. Bet the Avalanche in late night action Monday
|
05-04-19 |
Avalanche +115 v. Sharks |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Colorado Avalanche over San Jose Sharks, Saturday at 10:05 PM ET
The Avalanche have now evened this series up at two games apiece after bouncing back and winning on home ice in Game 4. We don't see them being denied here in Game 5 either as the momentum is now theirs and all the pressure is on San Jose for Game 5 as they know a home loss here is very likely too much to overcome. Per our computer math model the Avalanche will pick up here right where they left off in Game 4 when they dominated in a 3-0 win. With that victory Colorado has won 14 of its past 20 games. The Sharks have actually lost 14 of their last 23 games! Also, San Jose has lost 8 of its last 14 home games. The Avalanche have won 3 of their last 4 road games. When tied in a playoff series the Sharks have lost 5 of the past 7. Getting the plus money price means even more value here as Colorado's top line continues to be the best grouping on the ice and will be a difference maker in a swing game like this Game 5 match-up. Bet the Avalanche in late night action Saturday
|
05-03-19 |
Stars +136 v. Blues |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
136 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Dallas Stars over St Louis Blues, Friday at 9:35 PM ET
These teams have alternated wins and losses throughout this series though the first 4 games. Naturally that will have many now backing the Blues on home ice in Game 5 after the Stars won on home ice in Game 4. However, the road team is actually 7-3 in St Louis post-season games this year. Also, prior to Dallas winning at home on Wednesday, the road team had prevailed in 5 of the last 7 meetings between the Stars and Blues. Dallas, in road games with a total set at 5 or less goals, have won 8 of 11 games. The Blues have lost 25 of 42 second round playoff games so history is most certainly not on the St Louis side in this one. Also, the Stars really seemed to rattle Blues rookie goalie Jordan Binnington in the Game 4 win and, per our computer math model, the effects of that our likely to still be felt in this game. As a result, a road upset is expected in this one! Bet the Stars in late night action Friday
|
05-02-19 |
Sharks v. Avalanche -117 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 30 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Colorado Avalanche over San Jose Sharks, Thursday at 10:05 PM ET
The Avalanche are now down 2-1 in this series after losing on home ice in Game 3. We don't see them being denied here as a 3-1 deficit before heading to San Jose for Game 5 is very likely too much to overcome. Per our computer math model the Avalanche will respond well here. Colorado had gone 8-0 in their last 8 home games prior to the Game 3 loss to the Sharks Tuesday. Of course that means the Avalanche are still a very strong 8-1 their last 9 as a host. The Sharks actually had lost 5 of their previous 7 games away from home prior to getting the upset win in Game 3 Tuesday. San Jose has been in this spot twice (leading in a playoff series) so far in these playoffs and they've lost the game each time. Look for that same scenario to play out here as the Avalanche resume their recent home dominance. Colorado has been perfect in this situation in the post-season so far as they have gone 2-0 when trailing in a playoff series. A short home price to lay means even more value here. Bet the Avalanche in late night action Thursday
|
05-01-19 |
Islanders +118 v. Hurricanes |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON New York Islanders over Carolina Hurricanes, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET
The Hurricanes have the upper hand in this series considering they are up 2 games to none and both those wins came at New York. However, Carolina is otherwise in a precarious position here as they are suddenly without their #1 goalie plus the Canes have 3 wingers and a defenseman all listed as questionable on the injury report. Perhaps in Game 2 the Hurricanes won the battle but the Islanders won the war? It is a long way to go to determine that of course but the Islanders are led by head coach Barry Trotz and he took the Capitals all the way to winning the ultimate prize and hoisting the Stanley Cup last June. In a 2-0 deficit and facing a wounded foe, Trotz will be ready to get the most out of this "must win" situation in terms of game planning and strategy and taking advantage of the wounded Hurricanes. Home ice has not meant much at all in meetings between these teams as the road team has won 11 of the last 15 match-ups! Also, the Islanders have only had ONE three-game losing streak this entire season! New York enters this game off back to back losses and this season the Islanders are 11-1 when they enter a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games! The Islanders have also won 13 of 20 games this season when off a game in which they were held to scoring 1 goal or less. The Hurricanes have won 4 straight games but they have lost 17 of 27 when they enter game on a winning streak of 3 or more games. Bet the New York Islanders in early evening action Wednesday
|
04-30-19 |
Sharks +118 v. Avalanche |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
118 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON San Jose Sharks over Colorado Avalanche, Tuesday at 10:05 PM ET
This line opened up around a pick'em but now has been driven up to as high as a -130 on the Avalanche which is largely due to the fact that this game is at Colorado. We have seen again throughout this post-season that home ice simply has not "paid" the way many would expect it to at the betting window. In round two games the home team has won just 3 of 9 contests so far. Also, with only a couple shocking exceptions (Lightning and Penguins getting swept out of post-season in first round) we've also seen a lot of back and forth battles in many of these series. With that said, the Sharks are off a home loss in Game 2 and, per our computer math model, there is a lot of line value in backing San Jose here to get immediate payback by handing the Avalanche a home ice loss in the very next game. San Jose, prior to the Game 2 loss, had defeated the Colorado in 5 straight meetings. They are the more physical team and, arguably, built better for post-season success. The Avalanche made some adjustments after the Game 1 loss but the Sharks will now counter those adjustments in Game 3. It is the constant "cat and mouse" game you'll often see throughout a playoff series and the Sharks are likely to be the aggressor in this one after the home loss. The Avalanche have lost 21 of 33 when off a game in which they scored 4 or more goals. The Sharks are 3-1 the last 4 times they were off a game in which they outshot their opponent but lost the game. Bounce back time here. Bet San Jose in late night action Tuesday
|
04-29-19 |
Blues +105 v. Stars |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
105 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON St Louis Blues over Dallas Stars, Monday at 8:05 PM ET
With the Stars win at St Louis in Game 2 on Saturday, the road team is now 4-4 in Dallas post-season games this spring. In other words, home ice has not been a big edge and this is even more evident when looking at the Blues results. In post-season games for St Louis this spring, the road team has won 6 of the 8 games. The Blues are a perfect 3-0 so far in road games in these playoffs. That is why the ability to grab the road team in this one and not lay any juice is a huge value. This is particularly true when you consider St Louis is off a loss also. That is noteworthy because the Blues have only lost back to back games ONCE in the past SIX weeks. In other words, backing St Louis off a loss has been a very valuable strategy the past month and a half. The road team has won 4 of the last 6 games between these teams and, per our computer math model, that trend continues here. Bet St Louis in evening action Monday
|
04-27-19 |
Blue Jackets +126 v. Bruins |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
126 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Columbus over Boston, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET
The Blue Jackets suffered a tough loss in Game 1 when they allowed the tying goal late in regulation and then lost in overtime. Columbus was a little rusty from the layoff as they had swept the Lightning in 4 games while the Bruins were certainly still in normal game day form as they were taken to 7 games by the Maple Leafs. The point is that, even with all that, the Blue Jackets still should have taken Game 1 and very nearly did. Now that Columbus has worked off some rust look for them to be even stronger in Game 2. That means we have great line value here with the underdog Blue Jackets. Prior to the loss in Game 1, Columbus had won 6 straight games and 11 of their last 12. As for the Bruins, they had last 4 of their last 5 home games prior to knocking off the Maple Leafs in Game 7 and the Blue Jackets in Game 1. When leading in a playoff series, the Bruins have lost 5 of 7 games. Per our computer math model, Boston again loses in that situation here as the Blue Jackets even up this series. Bet Columbus in evening action Saturday.
|
04-26-19 |
Avalanche +119 v. Sharks |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Colorado over San Jose, Friday at 10:05 PM ET
The Avalanche have won 12 of their last 16 games and are rested whereas the Sharks are off a grueling 7-game series over the rival Sharks. Colorado has held their opponent to 2 or less goals in 12 of their last 16 games. The Avalanche get a lot of attention because of their speed and highly skilled top line of MacKinnon, Landeskog, and Rantanen but don't discount the fact that Colorado has also been playing very well in their own zone. At the other end of the spectrum, the Sharks have allowed 4 or more goals in 13 of their last 20 games! It comes as no surprise given those numbers that San Jose has lost 12 of its last 19 games! The Avalanche been the better team defensively and in between the pipes and this line is shaded for home ice and yet the Sharks have lost 7 of their last 12 home games. Per our computer math model, this has led to superb underdog money line value with the Avalanche in Game One of this series. Bet Colorado in late night NHL action Friday.
|
04-25-19 |
Stars +136 v. Blues |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
32 h 2 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Dallas over St Louis, Thursday at 9:35 PM ET
Home ice continues to get overvalued. These two teams are truly equal but the Blues are a -155 favorite because Game 1 is in St Louis. It is easy to blow holes in any theory that a line in this range is justified. When the Blues won Game 6 over Winnipeg in St Louis to advance to this 2nd round match-up it was the FIRST time out of all 6 games in that series that a home team got the win! Also, the Blues met the Stars 4 times this season and only in ONE of those 4 games did the home team get the win. Dallas won 2 of their 3 road games at Nashville in their series win over the Predators. Also, the Stars are 7-2 in road games where the total is set at 5 or less goals. The Blues are 15-23 in 2nd round playoff games including 2-4 in their most recent trip to the 2nd round. St Louis has averaged only 2.5 goals per game in their last 4 games. Dallas has scored an average of 4 goals per game in their last 3 games. Two quality goalies and they each have benefited from quality play in front of them. The key difference here though is the recent goal-scoring surge by the Stars as well as the overall line value with the road dog in this spot. Bet Dallas in late night NHL action Thursday.
|
04-23-19 |
Golden Knights v. Sharks -110 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL 10* TOP PLAY ON San Jose over Vegas, Tuesday at 10:05 PM ET
Not only have the Sharks stolen all the momentum in this series by winning back to back games after being left for dead, Martin Jones has been coming up huge between the pipes plus San Jose has the home ice edge here in Game 7. Jones is certainly back on track as he allowed only 1 goal in five on five action to the Golden Knights in the last two games combined. The other two goals that Vegas had were on the power play. Conversely, the Sharks have been playing very well in five on five action and have scored 6 goals without the man advantage in the past two games combined. The Golden Knights have lost 6 of their past 7 games on enemy ice! The Sharks have won 4 of their last 6 games as a host. Vegas outshot San Jose by a 2 to 1 ratio in their Game 6 home loss in overtime and that is the type of disheartening loss that is very tough to bounce back from. This is especially true now that Vegas goes back on the road where they have been struggling for the past four weeks. In head to head match-ups at San Jose, the Sharks have taken 3 of the last 4 over the Golden Knights. Also, the Sharks haven't forgotten the way their season ended here last year in a 3-0 home loss in early May to this same Vegas team. San Jose, in home games with a total set at 5.5 goals, won 6 of 7 games this season! Per our computer math model, they take that record to 7-1 with a big home victory tonight. Bet San Jose in late night NHL action Tuesday.
|
04-22-19 |
Predators +119 v. Stars |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Nashville (+) over Dallas, Monday at 8:35 PM ET
Since these teams are divisional foes this will be the 11th game between them as they battle it out in Game 6 in Dallas. As per usual, the home ice "edge" continues to get too much respect from the betting markets. The fact is the home team has only won 3 of the 10 games this season and yet the market has already moved the price even higher on the home team in this one. After opening up at a -115 it is now up in the -135 range with Dallas as the favorite in this one. The Stars have won 2 straight games in this series but the Predators previously led the series 2-1 and, overall, had won 6 of the 9 prior games. Last season and this season, including this playoff series, there has never been a single instance where one of these teams beat the other 3 straight games. It is a hard-fought divisional battle and you can fully expect the Predators to have made some adjustments and that they will be ready to give their strongest game yet in this series as they face elimination. Yesterday, the Bruins won at Toronto and the Sharks won at Vegas. Just like Nashville, Boston and San Jose were on the road and facing elimination. They both survived and our computer math model predicts that the Predators will as well. Contrary to what most believe, there is actually a lot of pressure on the home team in a Game 6 situation like this because they know they need to win to avoid having to then play a Game 7 on the road. Just like yesterday's Maple Leafs and Golden Knights games, look for the Stars to fall short here. Nashville has won 13 of 19 this season when playing with home loss revenge. Dallas has lost 42 of 69 after a win by a margin of 2 or more goals. Bet Nashville in evening NHL action Monday.
|
04-20-19 |
Hurricanes +128 v. Capitals |
|
0-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Carolina over Washington, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET
The Hurricanes outshot the Capitals 29-18 in Game 1 but lost. Then they lost Game 2 in overtime. The fact is that even when Carolina was down 0-2 in this series the Hurricanes had been "right there" with Washington ever since that ugly first period in Game 1. As expected, the Canes responded by winning two straight on home ice and now offer great underdog value on the road in Game 5. Momentum certainly is on the side of Carolina and the Capitals are finding out what it is like when teams are "gunning for them" as defending Stanley Cup Champs. Carolina's power play has 3 goals (compared to Washington's 1) in the last 3 games in this series. Overall, Washington's power play has been held without a goal in 9 of its last 12 games. The Hurricanes have won 11 of 17 when tied in a playoff series. The Capitals have only won half their games since New Year's Eve! On the other hand, the Canes have been one of the hottest teams in the league and have won 32 of their 48 games since New Year's Eve! The money line opened low for a reason and with the markets pushing the line on Washington even higher, we've got even more line value now with a Hurricanes team that is a dog very worthy of backing in a spot like this. Bet Carolina in early evening NHL action Monday.
|
04-18-19 |
Blues v. Jets -120 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Winnipeg Jets over St Louis Blues, Thursday at 8:35 PM ET
A home team has yet to win a game in this series. That changes tonight. The Jets have not only stolen momentum from the Blues by winning both games at St Louis, Winnipeg also has cast some shadow of doubt into the game of rookie goalie Jordan Binnington. The young netminder is use to winning. He has been great since coming up from San Antonio (AHL) to St Louis but the Blues rookie faces his first true adversity at this level. Binnington off back to back losses and now facing the Jets in hockey-crazed Winnipeg. The Jets have completely turned the tables in this series and finally got a tight game to go their way in Game 4. Keep in mind they had blasted the Blues in Game 3 and that is another noteworthy aspect here. Winnipeg has won 6 of the last 9 meetings and the only 3 wins for St Louis each came by a single goal. As for the Jets, their 6 wins have come by an average margin of 3 goals per victory! Per our computer match model, another big win for Winnipeg is on tap here. St Louis has only 1 goal in the past two games that didn't come with the man advantage. The Jets 8 goals the last 2 games have only featured 1 goal that came on the power play. It is easy to see which team has been playing much better 5 on 5 hockey as this series has gone on. Bet Winnipeg in NHL action Thursday.
|
04-17-19 |
Predators v. Stars -115 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Dallas Stars over Nashville Predators, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET
The Predators have won back to back games in this series after dropping the first one on home ice. However, Nashville is 2-7 the last 9 times they entered a road game on a winning streak of 2 or more games. Also, Dallas is 8-3 the last 11 times they entered a home game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. The Stars power play has been shutdown by the Predators in the last two games but Dallas previously had converted 10 of their 24 power play chances over an 8-game stretch. A bounce back is highly likely given those phenomenal numbers. On other other side of the equation, the Preds power play is highly unlikely to do much here. The Stars have killed off 23 of their opponents 24 power play chances their last 9 games! Also, the Nashville power play is a paltry 2 for 28 their last 14 games. With special teams favoring a Stars bounce back here as well as the situational edge also favoring Dallas, it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is predicting a convincing home win in this critical Game 4 match-up. The Stars can not afford to head to Nashville down 3-1 in this series. Look for the home team to come up with their best game yet and even this series up! Bet Dallas in NHL action Wednesday.
|
04-16-19 |
Jets +131 v. Blues |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
131 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Winnipeg over St Louis, Tuesday at 9:35 PM ET
Not only is the road team 3-0 in this series, the road team has won 8 of the last 9 meetings between these hockey clubs! Also, momentum is huge in a playoff series and the Jets have that on their side after the way Game 3 played out at St Louis. Winnipeg didn't just beat the Blues, they demolished them and, in the process, they certainly put a dent in the shield of confidence of young goalie Jordan Binnington. The St Louis netminder allowed 6 goals on 29 shots. Keep in mind the Jets lost the first two games of this series by the slimmest of margins - just 1 goal each time. In fact, each of the last 3 wins that the Blues have against the Jets have come by just a single goal. As for when Winnipeg beats St Louis, the victory margin has been 3 or more goals in 5 of the last 6 Jets victories over the Blues. That says something about, arguably, which team is truly superior in this match-up. Per our computer math model there is great line value here with the road dog as the momentum has clearly shifted based on the Game 3 result and our forecast is that road dominance continues in this series. Bet Winnipeg in late evening NHL action Tuesday.
|
04-15-19 |
Capitals v. Hurricanes -123 |
Top |
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL 10* TOP PLAY ON Carolina over Washington, Monday at 7:05 PM ET
It is difficult to go up 3-0 on a team in a series and this is particularly true on the road. The Islanders managed to pull it off yesterday at Pittsburgh but we don't expect a repeat here. The only other series that is 3-0 is the Blue Jackets / Lightning shocker and Columbus was at home for yesterday's game to make it 3-0. As noted, that entire series has been a shocker. With 5 of the other 7 series guaranteed to be 2-1 the odds certainly are in favor of that being the case here as well. The Hurricanes outshot the Capitals 29-18 in Game 1 but lost. Then they lost Game 2 in overtime. The fact is that Carolina has been "right there" with Washington ever since that ugly first period in Game 1 but they have nothing to show for it. Look for the Hurricanes to make up for that here as they've been playing better than the 0-2 series deficit shows. Carolina has won 15 of its last 21 home games. Washington is 19-21 (-7.4 units) this season after game in which they scored 4 or more goals. The Hurricanes have been very strong on home ice as that 15 of 21 record reflects and the home fans have waited a long time for this playoff opportunity and it will be a great atmosphere for the home team in this one. Carolina's power play is 3 for 4 in its last two home games. Washington's power play has been held without a goal in 8 of its last 10 games. Bet Carolina in early evening NHL action Monday.
|
04-13-19 |
Maple Leafs v. Bruins -143 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 36 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Boston Bruins Money Line (-) over Toronto Maple Leafs, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET
There is a price to lay here but it is not steep and we do not see the Bruins falling behind 2-0 in this series on home ice! Not only did Boston lose Thursday's Game 1, they were beaten 4-1 on the scoreboard. After that ugly loss, the Bruins respond in a big way on home ice Saturday evening. Boston went 8-2 this season when they were off a game in which they scored 1 goal or less. Going further back the Bruins have won 26 of 40 when in that situation so it is not just a one year wonder. Also, Boston won 17 of 25 this season when in a home game with a total set at 6 or more goals. The Maple Leafs had lost 5 of 6 games prior to that upset win of the Bruins. Also, Toronto hasn't won back to back games since March - a span of 6 weeks! Bet Boston on the money line Saturday evening.
|
04-11-19 |
Hurricanes +130 v. Capitals |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Carolina Hurricanes Money Line (+) over Washington Capitals, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET
The road team has won 6 of the past 8 meetings between these teams so throw home ice edge out the window when these Metropolitan Division rivals square off. Some are looking at this match-up and wondering how the defending Stanley Cup Champion Capitals are priced so low but the fact is this team lost their coach (now with Islanders) and also did lose 6 of its 13 final games down the stretch this season. The Hurricanes are a very scrappy and hungry team that wrapped up the regular season winning 3 straight games. Also, the Canes have won 12 of their last 17 road games! Carolina's red hot power play wrapped up the regular season going 5 for 9 in their last 5 games. On the other hand, Washington's power play converted just 2 of 18 chances over the final 8 games of the regular season. The Hurricanes have won 30 of their last 44 games as they were one of the hottest teams in the league over the latter half of the season. Over that same stretch the Capitals lost 20 of 44 games! Too much value here to pass up on with the upstart Canes! Bet Carolina in the underdog role on the money line as a strong value play here.
|
04-06-19 |
Jets v. Coyotes +118 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Arizona Coyotes over Winnipeg Jets, Saturday at 10:05 PM ET
The Jets have hurt themselves by losing 5 of their last 6. The odds are that, with the Predators in the drivers seat for the division and hosting the Blackhawks (2nd night of a back to back for Chicago), the division is now lost for Winnipeg. They will find out very early in this game that the Preds beat the Hawks and the division title belongs to Nashville. The Jets, for awhile now, have wanted to fix what ails them prior to the post-season. However, they just haven't been able to get it done and, keep in mind, when Winnipeg lost to Colorado Thursday that is what officially eliminated the Coyotes from post-season contention. So there could be some extra motivation here for Arizona and that is on top of the usual motivation of being on home ice for the season finale and facing a playoff bound foe. Host teams in this kind of spot want to finish the season the right way and Arizona has been very strong on home ice. The Coyotes are off a win at Vegas but previous lost at home versus LA. That loss to the Kings was a rare home loss as the Coyotes previously had won 10 of their last 12 games on home ice! The home team has won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams. Per our computer math model that trend continues here. Bet the Coyotes money line in late night action Saturday
|
04-05-19 |
Stars v. Blackhawks -106 |
|
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Chicago Blackhawks over Dallas Stars, Friday at 8:35 PM ET
The Stars clinched a playoff berth on home ice with a resounding 6-2 win over the Flyers on Wednesday. That sets this one up well as a letdown spot for Dallas. On the other hand, Chicago comes into this one off a big win versus playoff-bound St Louis and now playing in their home finale! The Blackhawks, despite missing out on the post-season, continue to give a huge effort night in and night out and they are fired up to win this one for their home fans as this is their final home game of the season. Chicago has won 2 of the 3 meetings this season and the only loss was on home ice even though the Blackhawks outshot Dallas 47 to 29 in that game. In other words, Chicago outplayed the Stars (even though the Blackhawks lost) and, given the situation, we fully expect a repeat here but this time it translates to a home ice win! The Stars have lost 9 of 13 road games this season that had a total set at 6 or more goals. Dallas also has lost 41 of their last 66 games when off a game which they won by a multiple goal margin. Bet the Blackhawks money line in evening action Friday
|
04-03-19 |
Flames v. Ducks +145 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
145 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Anaheim Ducks money line vs Calgary Flames, Wednesday at 10:35 PM ET
This is a fantastic home dog spot. Sure the Ducks are eliminated from post-season contention but the Flames arguably have even LESS to play for as they've already wrapped up the #1 seed for the Western Conference post-season! Admittedly, Calgary would now say (if honest with the media) that their biggest concern is just not getting anyone hurt in their final two games. Anaheim has won 3 of its last 4 games. The home team has won all 3 meetings between these teams and, per our computer math model, that statistic will remain perfect when this one goes final! It has been an overall disappointing campaign for Anaheim but they have been playing better in recent weeks and here they want to make the most of a shot to knock off a playoff-bound division rival. In games played from March 1st onward, Calgary is 0-3 when they enter a game on a winning streak of 3 or more consecutive games. Also, the Flames have lost 9 of their last 12 April games! Anaheim is well-rested here and they have won 12 of 19 when they enter a game with 3 or more days of rest between games. Also, the Ducks have won 13 of their last 20 April games! Grab the home dog in this one. Bet Anaheim money line in late night action Wednesday
|
04-02-19 |
Sharks v. Canucks +135 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
135 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Vancouver Canucks money line vs San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:05 PM ET
This is a fantastic home dog spot. Sure the Canucks are eliminated from post-season contention while the Sharks have already clinched a spot but, the fact remains, you would think the opposite was true based on the way these two teams are playing! Vancouver has won 6 of its last 10 games. The Sharks have lost 8 of their last 9 games. Also, San Jose is already locked into a post-season date with the Vegas Golden Knights. Sure San Jose would like to "right the ship" before the post-season begins but they're in the wrong place at the wrong time for that. The Sharks have held the upper hand over the Canucks by a huge margin in recent seasons and this is Vancouver's final home game of the season. In other words, the Canucks badly want this game as they want to finally knock off their division rival nemesis. It has been an overall disappointing campaign for Vancouver but they have been playing better in recent weeks and here they want to end it on a high note by knocking off a playoff-bound division rival. The Canucks are wrapping up a 7-game homestand and have won 11 of 17 this season when they enter a game having played each of their 3 prior games on home ice. Grab the home dog in this one. Bet Vancouver money line in night action Tuesday
|
04-01-19 |
Jets -110 v. Blackhawks |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL PLAY ON Winnipeg Jets money line @ Chicago Blackhawks, Monday at 8:35 PM ET
Here is a classic case of line value that certainly qualifies as too good to pass up. As a result of the Jets losing 3 straight games and being on the road for this one, they are very undervalued in this spot. Here you get an opportunity to take a division leader against a team at the bottom of the same division. Yes, the Jets have lost 3 straight games but tonight they will improve to 3-0 when in that situation this season. You interpreted that correctly...Winnipeg has not lost more than 3 consecutive games this entire season. Though the Blackhawks have been on the cusp of a playoff spot, they have shot themselves in the foot by losing 5 of their last 7. The point is that Chicago is not a very attractive home dog in this spot. The Hawks have been pressing and it is showing. The playoff pressure has gotten to the Blackhawks while, on the flip side, Winnipeg had a very strong season last year and it use to this situation and they are currently still in position to finish with the top point total in the division. The Jets have won each of the last 4 meetings with Chicago. That means the Blackhawks have revenge but Chicago has lost 16 of 22 when playing with home loss revenge! Also, the past two seasons the Hawks have lost 10 of 11 April games. Winnipeg has won 10 of 15 this season when off a game in which they were held to one goal. The Jets also have won 13 of their last 15 April games. Bet Winnipeg money line in evening action Monday
|
03-27-19 |
Stars +140 v. Flames |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
140 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL 9* PLAY ON Dallas Money Line (+) over Calgary, Wednesday at 9:35 PM ET - This is a big game with playoff implications for both hockey clubs. That is why there is great value here with the Stars as a sizable underdog in this spot. The Flames have had only one strong game offensively in their last 8 games against Western Conference foes. Other than a big win against the Golden Knights, the other 7 games have seen Calgary produce a dismal average of just 1.3 goals per game! The Flames are off a home shutout Monday and, speaking of being shut out, Calgary's power play is on an 0 for 17 run in their last 7 games! At the other end of the spectrum, the Stars power play has been hot in road games! Away from home, Dallas is now 4 for 9 with the man advantage in their last 4 games! The Stars also have certainly had the Flames number in recent meetings as they've won 5 straight meetings with Calgary! Per our computer math model this one will be an upset with the road dog special teams holding the edge in this one helping to lead the way. Bet DALLAS
|
03-23-19 |
Wild +155 v. Hurricanes |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
ASA NHL 9* PLAY ON Minnesota Money Line (+) over Carolina, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET - This is a big game with playoff implications for both hockey clubs. That is why there is great value here with the Wild as a big underdog in this spot. Riding the momentum of their win over the Capitals yesterday, look for Minnesota to get another one here. The Wild have scored 10 goals in their last two meetings with Carolina. The Hurricanes have allowed 4.5 goals per game in their last 4 homes games and the Canes have split in those games. Carolina is 0 for 11 on the power play in their last 5 home games. The Wild are 5 for 14 on the power play in their last 5 games. Per our computer math model this one will be an upset with the road dog special teams holding the edge in this one helping to lead the way. Bet MINNESOTA
|
03-19-19 |
Blue Jackets v. Flames -130 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON Calgary over Columbus, Sunday at 9:05 PM ET
The Flames are offering great value on home ice. Calgary enters this game having won 12 of their last 15 games on home ice. While the Flames have been particularly hot on home ice, the Blue Jackets have lost 3 straight on enemy ice. Perhaps even more concerning about all the losing away from home is the fact that Columbus totaled only 1 goal in those 3 road games! Going further back, the Jackets have scored a total of only 8 goals in their last 6 road games. Columbus has lost 14 of its last 26 games overall and is feeling the pressure of possibly missing the post-season. Conversely, Calgary is currently in the top spot in the Pacific Division and actually got some help when Vegas won at San Jose last night. The Flames are coming off a loss at Winnipeg but entered that game having won 10 of its last 14 games. Calgary has won 23 of 36 (including 8 of 12 this season) when playing with 2 days of rest between games. The Blue Jackets have lost 8 of their last 12 games against teams that are currently in playoff position and the Flames are one of the top teams in the league. Bet CALGARY
|
03-17-19 |
Flyers +145 v. Penguins |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
145 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Philadelphia over Pittsburgh, Sunday at 7:35 PM ET
The Flyers are off back to back losses but previously had won 19 of their last 26 games. Philadelphia hasn't endured a losing streak of more than two games since early January. In other words, look for Philly to bounce back big here as an underdog at the Penguins on Sunday evening. The Pens are off a loss and that was their 14th loss in their last 28 games. That said, Pittsburgh has truly just been treading water the past two months and they are over-priced as a sizable favorite in this spot. The Penguins lost at Philly in their most recent meeting 3 weeks ago. Can the Flyers get another upset win here? The road trend in this series certainly points toward it as, prior to the meeting in Philadelphia, the road team had won 7 straight in this PA Rivalry! The Penguins are 22-22 (-$3,500) in back to back games. The Flyers are 17-10 (+$9,400) in Sunday games! Bet PHILADELPHIA
|
03-13-19 |
Rangers +109 v. Canucks |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON New York Rangers over Vancouver, Wednesday at 10:05 PM ET
The Rangers swept the Canucks last season and are looking to do the same this season with another win tonight. Vancouver has lost 8 of its last 10 games. The Rangers have also been struggling but we like the underdog value they offer here. New York has allowed an average of only 2.4 goals per game their last 5 games. The Canucks have lost 5 of their last 6 games and allowed an average of 4 goals per game in those 5 defeats. The point is that the Rangers have been the better team (in comparison with Vancouver) in terms of play in their own zone. When off a divisional game the Canucks have lost 18 of 24 games. Also, Vancouver has lost 10 of their last 15 games against teams with a losing record. The Rangers are a more respectable 5-5 in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Also, New York has won 4 of its last 5 when off a non-conference game. Bet the NEW YORK RANGERS tonight
|
03-01-19 |
Blues +106 v. Hurricanes |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON St Louis over Carolina, Friday at 7:35 PM ET
The Blues are getting healthier. Though David Perron is still out, Alexander Steen is expected back. Also, it is likely Brayden Schenn returns too as he was at practice Wednesday plus Sammy Blais was returned to San Antonio, the AHL affiliate of the Blues. While St Louis appears to be in better shape heading into tonight's game, plus getting fantastic goaltending from Jordan Binnington and Jake Allen, the Hurricanes are really hurting on their blue line. Carolina recalled defensemen Jake Bean and Haydn Fleury from their AHL affiliate because both Calvin de Hann and Justin Faulk were lost to injuries on Tuesday night. The last thing teams want at this time of year is inexperience on the blue line but that is what the Canes are now dealing with in terms of their depth. Carolina has been hot but St Louis has been even hotter. Combining that factor with the better health and better goaltending of the Blues plus the line value since they are on the road, and you have a strong spot for backing St Louis here. The Blues have only 10 regulation losses on the road this season. No team in the Western Conference has fewer regulation road losses. Adding to the value here is the fact that not only has St Louis won 4 straight in this series, they've also won each of their last 4 visits to Carolina! Those streaks each reach 5-0 tonight per our computer math modeling. Bet ST LOUIS tonight
|
02-25-19 |
Panthers +130 v. Avalanche |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
130 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Florida over Colorado, Monday at 9:05 PM ET
The Panthers were swept by the Avalanche last season. In their first of 2 meetings this season, Colorado also beat them again at Florida. This is a triple revenge spot for the Panthers and the situation is set up perfectly. The Avalanche are off a huge win at Nashville in their most recent game. That sets this one up as a flat spot for the Avs while there is no shortage of motivation for a Florida team beginning a 3-game Western road trip that is critical to their playoff chances. Of course Colorado is fighting for a playoff spot too. However, the Avalanche are off that huge divisional shutout win and actually have lost 6 of their last 8 home games. The Panthers enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. Florida has won 23 of last 35 February games. Colorado has lost 17 of 26 games this season when off a game in which they scored 4 or more goals. Grab the underdog value here. Bet FLORIDA tonight
|
02-23-19 |
Penguins v. Flyers +120 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
120 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Philadelphia Flyers over Pittsburgh Penguins, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET
Hopefully the rain showers will stay away (yes this is an outdoor game played at The Linc in Philly). We like the Flyers as a home dog here. Will be a crazy atmosphere as there is no one player (Sidney Crosby) or team (Penguins) that the Philly fans would rather jeer. There is real hatred in this rivalry and the Flyers "owe one" to the Pens for sure. Philadelphia has playoff revenge from April and the Flyers did win the first match-up (4-2) this season at Pittsburgh. However, earlier this month the Flyers lost at home despite a 51 to 28 edge in shots on goal! Now, in Saturday's Stadium Series outdoor game, it is payback time for the home dog. The Penguins have lost 6 of their last 9 games. The Flyers are off back to back losses but had previously won 12 of 14 games. Pittsburgh has lost 11 of 17 Saturday games this season. Bet PHILADELPHIA tonight
|
02-22-19 |
Avalanche -109 v. Blackhawks |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Colorado Avalanche over Chicago Blackhawks, Friday at 7:35 PM ET
Colorado has won 3 of its last 4 games and allowed a total of only 5 goals in these 4 games. While Chicago has also been hot long-term, they have cooled off some recently. Not only are the Blackhawks a modest 3-2 in their last 5 games, they have allowed an average of 4.8 goals per game in their past 5 games. Defense and goaltending are key factors this time of year in the NHL as teams make their push for a playoff spot. That said, this is a huge edge for the Avalanche in this match-up. Colorado has allowed the same amount of goals TOTAL in their last 4 games that Chicago has allowed AVERAGE in their last 5 games. That is a massive difference right there and as far as home ice being a factor here, the home edge has not been a big edge in recent meetings. The Blackhawks have won each of their last two visits to Colorado and the Avalanche won their most recent visit to Chicago. We are forecasting the recent road dominance in this series to continue tonight. The Blackhawks have lost 21 of 33 this season when off a game where they allowed 4 or more goals. Bet COLORADO tonight
|
02-21-19 |
Wild +103 v. Rangers |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
103 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Minnesota over New York Rangers, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET
The Wild have been struggling and actually needed a change of venue. When you have lost 4 straight on home ice, as a team, you look forward to getting on the road and hitting the "reset button" and that is precisely what Minnesota. The Wild are still very much alive in the playoff race in the Western Conference and, on Thursday, they'll take advantage of facing one of the weakest teams in the league. Prior to the 4-0 home loss to Anaheim, Minnesota had been 7-2 this season when they entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games where the most recent defeat came by a multiple goal margin. Now after losing in that situation to the Ducks, the Wild will improve on that 7-3 mark on the season by getting back on track at New York, The Rangers, since their very first game after the All Star break, have gone 0-5 when off a win. After knocking off the Hurricanes at Carolina on Tuesday, look for the Rangers to now drop their 6th straight when in this situation. Bet MINNESOTA tonight
|
02-19-19 |
Maple Leafs +106 v. Blues |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Toronto over St Louis, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET
The sharp money is on the Maple Leafs. How do we know that? First off, we have our sources to say the least! Secondly, the Blues were priced as high as nearly a 140 favorite earlier this morning but the line is now down to very nearly a pick price! Considering St Louis has won 10 straight games you know the "average" bettor is not pounding Toronto here. The fact is it is sharp money and it absolutely makes sense here too. Consider that the Blues have only won 14 games at home this season. The majority of teams in the NHL have at least 14 wins on home ice. The point is that St Louis has been nothing special on home ice this season. In terms of special, the Leafs road record certainly fits the bill as only one team (Tampa...the best team in the league) has more road wins (21) than Toronto (19). Also, from a situational perspective, this one sets up perfectly. The Maple Leafs last played on Saturday and that was an embarrassing 2-0 loss at Arizona. Toronto had scored 11 goals in their two prior games including winning at Vegas. However, like so many teams this season, after facing the Golden Knights at Vegas, they struggled in their next game. The result was getting upset by the Coyotes. The Maple Leafs, thanks to an extra day between games, were able to take Sunday off and then had a great practice yesterday. They are rested and ready for the Blues and, with St Louis having won 10 straight games, they are getting the best shot from opposing teams now. That said, the Maple Leafs best shot is enough to get the upset win here. The Leafs have won 13 of 16 this season when playing with 2 days of rest between games. The Blues have lost 13 of 24 this season when off a game in which they scored 4 or more goals. Bet TORONTO tonight
|
02-07-19 |
Jets -107 v. Canadiens |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Winnipeg over Montreal, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET
The Canadiens have won 3 of their last 5 games but the 3 wins came against the Coyotes, Oilers, and Ducks. All those teams are out of the playoff picture at this point and very unlikely to find their way back into it the way they've been playing. In other words, Montreal is a little bit over-rated right now and that has led to value here as they face a Jets team that is one of the top teams in the NHL and very nearly made it to the Stanley Cup finals last spring. Winnipeg enters this game fired up off a loss. Prior to that defeat the Jets had won 9 of their last 12 games. Winnipeg has won 8 of 10 this season after playing 3 consecutive home games. The Jets also have won 13 of 20 non-conference games this season. The Habs have lost 33 of 57 (including 8 of 14 this season) after a win by 2 goals or more. Montreal has also lost 65 of 104 games when playing against a team with a winning record. The Canadiens typical post All Star break faded gets underway - they have lost 18 of their last 29 February games. Bet WINNIPEG tonight
|
02-04-19 |
Canucks v. Flyers -155 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Philadelphia over Vancouver, Monday at 7:05 PM ET
The Flyers have won 7 straight games. Though they are a bit "pricey" in this game, the line has dropped from the -170 range to the -150 range and that puts it well within "value range" as Philadelphia has revenge here against the Canucks plus the Flyers are playing with a ton of confidence. Philadelphia continues to find a way even when not at their best. After a sluggish start against Edmonton Saturday almost cost them their win streak, we look for the Flyers to hit the ice with a lot more energy tonight and they'll have the Canucks back on their heels from the first drop of the puck in this one. Vancouver is off a win but had previously lost 6 of their 10 prior games and the Canucks were shutout in 3 of the 4 road losses during this 10-game stretch. Vancouver has lost 39 of 59 after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game. Philadelphia has won 21 of 31 when they enter a game on a winning streak of 3 or more games. The Flyers outshot the Canucks by a count of 32 to 24 in their meeting earlier this season but Philly lost that game 5-1 at Vancouver. That makes this a revenge opportunity and the moderately priced home favorite is going to make the most of it! Bet PHILADELPHIA tonight.
|
02-02-19 |
Golden Knights -120 v. Panthers |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-120 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Vegas over Florida, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET
The Golden Knights are off a loss last night and so too are the Panthers. The key difference though is that Vegas used their back-up netminder yesterday while Florida used their starter. The situation that creates here is that the Golden Knights have a big edge in between the pipes for this Saturday game. The Golden Knights will have Marc-Andre Fleury in the crease and Vegas has allowed a total of just 25 goals in the last 11 starts he has made. That is an average of just 2.2 goals per game. The Panthers are likely to have James Reimer minding the net tonight and he is 2-6 with an unimpressive .892 save percentage in his starts versus Western Conference opponents this season. The Golden Knights have won 9 of 13 this season when off a loss by a margin of 2 or more goals. The Panthers have lost 11 of 16 games in non-conference action this season. Vegas outshot the Panthers by a combined 76 to 44 in their two meetings last season but the Golden Knights lost the lone meeting at Florida. That makes this a revenge opportunity and the small road favorite is going to make the most of it! Bet VEGAS tonight.
|
02-01-19 |
Wild +118 v. Stars |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Minnesota over Dallas, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET
In recent seasons, dogs have fared very well in their first games after the All Star break. We have seen that pattern continue this season as well. Friday is a great spot for another one as the Wild play for the first time since January 23rd. Minnesota has won 6 of its last 8 road games. Also, Dallas is only 6-6 in their last 12 home games. The Stars won their first game after the All Star Break but scoring goals continues to be an issue for them. Dallas has lost 28 of 44 games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. The Stars have been held to 2 or less goals in 13 of their last 17 games. The Wild have scored 3 or more goals in 6 of their last 8 road games. In other words, this is a very dangerous dog in this spot. Also, Minnesota has won 15 of 21 when playing with 3 or more days of rest between games. The Wild have won 17 of 25 February games the past two years and they get this month off to a great start as well! Bet MINNESOTA tonight.
|
01-29-19 |
Sabres +150 v. Blue Jackets |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
150 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Buffalo over Columbus, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET
In recent seasons, dogs have fared very well in their first games after the All Star break. We saw that pattern continue last night as both dogs got the win. We had one of them with New Jersey - our only regret being that we missed a bigger payout as we played it conservative and took the +1.5 goals with the puck line. The Devils actually easily won on the money line and we're expecting a similar result in this match-up Tuesday. Both the Sabres and Blue Jackets are off a long layoff due to the All Star break. That rust means there is very little edge for the favorites. It is more of an "anything goes" type game and we love the big dog value here being offered with Buffalo. The Sabres are 4-1 this season after playing 3 consecutive road games. The Blue Jackets have been held to 2 or less goals in 6 of their last 11 games. The Sabres have scored 3 or more goals in 5 of their last 6 games. In other words, this is a very dangerous dog in this spot. Bet BUFFALO tonight.
|
01-23-19 |
Coyotes +195 v. Canadiens |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Arizona over Montreal, Wednesday at 7:35 PM ET
Traditionally back to back spots are tough on teams. However, this is not a traditional situation. The All Star break begins tomorrow and that lessens the impact of the fact that this is a back to back spot for Arizona. Yes, the Coyotes were at Ottawa last night. However, if you think they're not going to go "all out" tonight since they're "tired" in this back to back spot then you don't understand athletes. The players know they have a long break beginning tomorrow and they're going to dig deep to try and get one last win before the reprieve offered by the all star break. That said, there is no way we're passing up on this opportunity to have a red hot Coyotes team at nearly 2 to 1 odds on the money line! Arizona has won 6 of their last 8 games! While it is true that Montreal has been hot too should they really be priced as high as -230 against ANYONE in this league? This is simply the case of value that is off the charts in a positive range for a big dog that is playing with a ton of confidence. Also, did we mention this? It is also a revenge game for the Coyotes as they outshot the Canadiens by a 37 to 28 margin in Arizona earlier this season but took the 2-1 loss. Keep in mind Arizona swept the Habs last season. Additionally, Montreal has lost 3 of its last 5 home games while the Coyotes have won 5 of their last 6 road games. On the season the Canadiens are just 3-6 in home games with a total set at 5.5 goals. The Coyotes are 3-2 (+$3,000) in the 2nd game of back to backs this season. In other words, this is a very dangerous dog in this spot. Bet ARIZONA tonight.
|
01-17-19 |
Maple Leafs v. Lightning -137 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-137 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Tampa Bay over Toronto, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET
This is the time of year each season when the contenders start to create separation from the pretenders. It's not that Toronto is not a quality team as they certainly are. However, the Maple Leafs (losers of 5 of their last 7 games) just aren't at the level of a team like the Lightning. Tampa Bay has been an a tremendous long-term dominating run. Additionally, the Bolts have won each of the last 3 meetings between these teams and it is quite apparent that the Leafs have a match-up issue when facing the Lightning. Toronto enters this game having lost 30 of their last 49 games when, in the 2nd half of a season, they're facing a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay has won 17 of their 23 games against teams with a winning record this season. Also, the Bolts have won 17 of 19 games this season when off a non-conference game. Additionally, the Lightning are a long-term 45-15 (including 18-4 this season) in home games with a posted total of 6 or more goals. Considering all the factors above, the ability to get TB in the -140 money line range here is an absolute bargain. Bet TAMPA BAY tonight.
|
01-15-19 |
Penguins +125 v. Sharks |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Pittsburgh over San Jose, Tuesday at 10:05 PM ET
The Sharks are a red hot team but they are on their longest winning streak of the season. This looks like the perfect spot for it to get snapped and the Penguins are a sizable underdog offering great line value. Pittsburgh has been very nearly as hot as San Jose and the Pens are coming off a loss Saturday. That definitely is a significant factor because you have to go all the way back to December 1st to find the last time Pittsburgh has lost back to back games! The Penguins have 2 days off heading into this game and have 2 days off following this game. The Pens next game is against the lowly Coyotes on Friday. In other words, there is no doubt that Pittsburgh is fully focused on this game and ready to bounce back after the loss at Los Angeles Saturday. The Sharks have lost 3 of the 4 meetings with the Penguins but did win the most recent meeting at The Shark Tank. The Penguins remember that one and get revenge here. San Jose has lost 10 of 18 games this season against teams with a winning record. The Pens have won 14 of 20 non-conference games this season. Bet PITTSBURGH tonight.
|
01-11-19 |
Sabres +116 v. Hurricanes |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Buffalo over Carolina, Friday at 7:05 PM ET
The Sabres are back on track with wins in 2 of their 3 games since the calendar turned the page to 2019. Certainly Buffalo has a big rest edge as they are playing just their 4th game in 11 days. Conversely, the Hurricanes are in a back to back situation plus playing their 6th game in 9 days. This of course is a huge difference in terms of the all-important rest factor and the Sabres also have a heavy edge in terms of the motivational factor here. Carolina has had Buffalo's number in recent seasons and Buffalo is ready to exact revenge! The Hurricanes have lost 10 of 16 games this season when facing a team with a winning record. We look for the Sabres to make it 12 out of 20 when facing a team with a losing record and we'll grab the underdog value with the road team in this one. Bet BUFFALO tonight.
|
01-07-19 |
Predators +135 v. Maple Leafs |
|
4-0 |
Win
|
135 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Nashville over Toronto, Monday at 7:05 PM ET
The Predators are very undervalued here. Of course Nashville is a high-quality team but they've been swept by the Maple Leafs each of the past two seasons. That makes is a payback game for the Preds. Though Toronto is expected to have Frederik Andersen back between the pipes tonight, he has not played since prior to Christmas and certainly could be rusty here. As for the Predators, their #1 guy Pekka Rinne will get the start here. Also, the Preds recently welcomed back PK Subban to the lineup as well as center Colton Sissons. The Leafs are off a big shutout win but previously had just gone 6-6 their 12 prior games. Also, Toronto has lost 50 of their last 99 games against teams with a winning record. On the other hand, the Predators have won 86 of their last 132 games against teams with a winning record including 13 of 16 this season! Road revenge here at a great underdog price! Bet the PREDATORS on the money line tonight.
|
01-04-19 |
Blue Jackets -111 v. Hurricanes |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-111 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Columbus over Carolina, Friday at 7:35 PM ET
Carolina is at home and off back to back wins. However, each of those two wins came against the floundering Flyers. Prior to those two victories, the Hurricanes had lost 10 of their 13 prior games. The Blue Jackets come into this game having won 6 of their past 7 games. Also, Columbus has been off since Monday and the Jackets have won 14 of 17 when they enter a game with 3 or more days of rest between games. In a road game with a total set at 6 goals or more, Columbus has won 9 of 13 games. The Hurricanes have lost 45 of their last 71 divisional games and that is even with those back to back wins over a slumping Philadelphia team. The Canes have lost 9 of 13 games this season when facing a team with a winning record. Line value here with Columbus on the road and we'll take it! Bet the BLUE JACKETS on the money line tonight.
|
01-03-19 |
Capitals v. Blues +107 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
107 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON St Louis over Washington, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET
On the surface this looks like a prime spot to take the Capitals. After all, they are the defending Stanley Cup Champions, they've dominated the Blues in recent years, and Vladimir Tarasenko is dealing with an illness. However, the key to the value is what is not apparent to casual observers. St Louis recently welcomed back Robby Fabbri (often plays on 2nd line) and Alex Pietrangelo (a top 2 defenseman). Additionally, the Blues activated Carl Gunnarsson (top 6 defenseman) off injured reserve yesterday. As you can see, the Blues are coming back close to full strength now and those are key players they are getting back. Also, Tarasenko is unlikely to miss this game when one considers it is a shot at the defending Stanley Cup Champs. Also St Louis has had two days off leading into this one. The Capitals are in the front end of a back to back as they are in Dallas tomorrow night. That is the same Stars team that beat the Caps in DC earlier this season. So unlike this game against the Blues, tomorrow's game is a big revenge game for Washington. As for tonight's game, it is St Louis that is highly motivated by revenge. More on that in a moment. From a statistical standpoint, note that the Blues have allowed 2 goals or less in 4 of their last 6 games. The Capitals have scored an average of only 2.7 goals their last 6 games as Alex Ovechkin is in a scoring slump. These teams last met on April 2nd in St Louis and the Capitals win over the Blues ended up being a key defeat that cost St Louis a playoff spot as they eventually lost the final spot to the Avalanche and that defeat against the Caps was part of their collapse over the final week of the season. Thursday it is payback time. Bet the BLUES on the money line tonight.
|
12-14-18 |
Flyers +110 v. Oilers |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 48 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Philadelphia @ Edmonton, Friday at 9:05 PM ET
The Flyers got a boost with Sean Couturier back on the ice Wednesday at Calgary but Philly blew a 2-goal lead very late and lost in overtime. Philadelphia is on the road again tonight but they are looking to improve to 3-0 this season when they enter a game having played each of their three prior games on the road. The Flyers are catching the Oilers at the right time for an upset win. Edmonton is in a tough back to back spot. Also, whereas the Oilers rallied from 2-goal deficit and have to feel somewhat fortunate to have earned a point at Edmonton last night, the Flyers are fuming mad as they essentially gave away a point in the standings with their OT loss to the Flames. In the past 2+ seasons, the Oilers have lost 13 of 20 Friday games. Also, Edmonton is a long-term 95-145 when playing the 2nd game of a back to back. The Flyers are facing a former coach, Ken Hitchcock now behind the bench with the Oilers, and we look for a huge effort from the hungry road dog in this one. Bet the FLYERS money line tonight.
|
12-07-18 |
Wild +101 v. Oilers |
Top |
2-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON Minnesota @ Edmonton, Friday at 9:05 PM ET
Even though this is a back to back spot for the Wild it is set up very well. Minnesota used their back-up goalie last night at Calgary so that Devan Dubnyk would get the start tonight at Edmonton. Dubnyk was originally drafted by the Oilers and he is 3-1-0 with a 1.24 GAA and a .947 save percentage in his four road starts against the Oilers since he came to the Wild from the Coyotes in 2015. Overall, the Oilers have struggled badly when hosting the Wild as Edmonton has won just 2 of their last 16 meetings with Minnesota north of the border! Even though this is a back to back for the Wild, they've gone 4-1 this season when in the 2nd game of a back to back. Of course coming off a shutout loss adds to the motivation factor here so the Wild will surely be ready to go here. The Oilers rallied late to tie the game at St Louis Wednesday and then they won in the shootout so they are off a fortunate win. Also, Edmonton has lost 13 of their last 19 Friday games. Minnesota has won 5 of their last 6 when they are off a game which they lost by a double digit margin. Bet the WILD on the money line tonight.
|
12-06-18 |
Predators -143 v. Canucks |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-143 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Nashville @ Vancouver, Thursday at 10:05 PM ET
There is a moderate price to lay here with the Predators on the money line but the reality is that it is a bargain given a couple of key factors. One of the driving factors behind the value is that Nashville, though a very strong team, has surprisingly lost each of its last four games away from home. However, that is actually even more of a reason to play ON the Predators here as they are fully focused on curing their recent road woes on this quick 2-game swing to western Canada. Another key reason for playing on Nashville here is the fact that the Canucks are mired in a dreadful slump that has seen them lose 12 of their last 13 games. Pekka Rinne has been phenomenal this season for the Predators and that also gives them the edge over Jacob Markstrom and the Canucks in this one. Lay the very fair price here! Bet the PREDATORS on the money line tonight.
|
12-05-18 |
Oilers -102 v. Blues |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Edmonton @ St Louis, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET
The Oilers are in bounce back mode after a loss at Dallas Monday. Edmonton surprisingly allowed 4 goals in that game - more than the TOTAL number of goals they had allowed in their 3 prior games. The Oilers will be ready to respond with Cam Talbot back between the pipes and taking advantage of this opportunity! The Blues have allowed 4 or more goals in 5 of their last 8 games. St Louis continues to take too many penalties and has been spending too much time in the box as a result. The Blues have gone 3-8 in their last 11 games. Edmonton is 3-1 the last 4 times they've allowed 4 or more goals in a game. Bet the OILERS on the money line tonight.
|
12-03-18 |
Oilers +108 v. Stars |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
ASA 9* PLAY ON Edmonton @ Dallas, Monday at 8:35 PM ET
The Stars are playing this game with revenge for a 1-0 loss at Edmonton last week. However, there is a reason their money line is priced so low in this game. The Oilers should prove to be the play. Dallas is 44-55 (-17.7 net units) when playing with revenge. Edmonton is 22-11 (including 2-0 this season) when they enter a game having played each of their 3 prior games on home ice. The Oilers are riding the red hot goal-tending of Mikko Koskinen and have allowed a total of just 3 goals in their last 3 games. The Stars are expected to start Anton Khubodin in between the pipes and they've lost 3 of his last 5 starts. Khubodin has allowed 3 or more goals in 4 of his last 5 starts. Ride the hotter goalie and the hotter team in this one as the recent home dominance in this series comes to an end tonight. Bet the AWAY DOG tonight.
|
11-13-18 |
Canadiens +136 v. Oilers |
|
2-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Montreal Canadiens Money Line (+) over Edmonton Oilers, Tuesday at 9:05 PM ET
Not only have the Oilers lost 4 straight games, all 4 defeats have come by a multiple goal margin and each of the last 3 losses have come by 3 goals apiece. With that being said, it is evident that Edmonton is not just losing games, they're getting crushed. The Oilers are in an inflated -150 money line range for this game and this is offering great underdog line value on the Canadiens. Though Montreal has had their own issues at times this season, they have averaged scoring 4.3 goals per game their last 4 games while the Oilers have scored only 1.5 goals per game their last 4 games! The Habs also are seeking revenge after being swept in last season's two games. Montreal has won 5 of 7 this season when off a game in which they allowed 4 goals or more. Edmonton has lost 5 of 6 this season when off a game in which they were defeated by a multiple-goal margin. Per our math model, more of the same is in the forecast in this "east meets west" Canadian battle tonight! Bet underdog Montreal on the money line in late evening action Tuesday.
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11-12-18 |
Canucks +120 v. Rangers |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Vancouver Canucks Money Line (+) over New York Rangers, Monday at 7:05 PM ET
The Canucks are 6-3 (and +9.4 net units!) when off a non-conference game this season. Vancouver has also displayed resiliency this season as they have bounced back off a loss 5 of 7 times. The Rangers have lost 36 of 59 (and -16.8 net units!) when off a divisional game. After New York's tight divisional win over Columbus Saturday, this is the perfect spot to fade them as an over-valued favorite. Bet underdog Vancouver on the money line in early evening action Monday.
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11-08-18 |
Oilers +139 v. Panthers |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Edmonton Oilers Money Line (+) over Florida Panthers, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET
Perfect set up here. The Panthers haven't played since Friday and that game was in Helsinki, Finland when they wrapped a 2-game series there with a victory over the Winnipeg Jets. The victory is noteworthy as Florida has NOT won back to back games yet this entire season and we don't see that changing here. The Panthers are hosting a fired up Oilers team off back to back losses. Edmonton is off back to back losses and they have NOT lost 3 straight games this season! We look for the Oilers to improve to 3-0 this season when they enter a game having played each of their three prior games on the road. The Panthers are 0-3 this season in home games with a total set at 6 goals or more. Look for Florida to have some "rust" after the long the layoff since the Finland trip. Bet underdog Edmonton on the money line in early evening action Thursday.
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11-06-18 |
Devils v. Senators +120 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
120 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Ottawa Senators Money Line (+) over New Jersey Devils, Tuesday at 7:35 PM ET
Perfect set up here. The Devils are off a huge upset win over the division rival Penguins last night. The Senators are off a tough overtime loss to the Lightning Sunday. Ottawa gave up a late goal that led to the post-regulation loss. The Sens had a players-only meeting after the game. Also video now surfaced from the Senators recent road trip where the players were privately criticizing one of their coaches. All has come to the surface now and this Ottawa team is ready to make amends for all tonight and they are catching New Jersey at the right time to do it. Hungry and fired up, look for the Senators to play one of their best games of the season tonight. Ottawa has won 4 of the past 6 meetings between these teams. The Devils had lost 6 of their last 7 games before the upset win at Pittsburgh last night. New Jersey has lost 37 of 61 when off a divisional game. Also, NJ has lost 3 of 4 road games with a total of 6 goals or more this season. The home team is 9-3 in Devils games this season and we look for that trend to resume tonight after that rare road upset last night for New Jersey. Bet underdog Ottawa on the money line in early evening action Tuesday.
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11-05-18 |
Stars +140 v. Bruins |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Dallas Stars Money Line (+) over Boston Bruins, Monday at 7:05 PM ET
The Stars are on a red hot run on enemy ice as they have won 3 straight road games and they haven't trailed for a single second in any of those games. Speaking of road domination, the road team is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Stars and Bruins. With how hot Dallas has been, and the fact that Boston is struggling to get scoring from anywhere other than their top line, this looks like a great spot to grab the big dog value with the underdog Stars. The Bruins have been out-shot in 4 of their last 5 games and this includes being out-shot by a margin of 84 to 57 in their last two games. Dallas has a ton of positive energy right now and head coach Jim Montgomery has been referencing what he is seeing with this group which has not been seen before. The Stars are filled with determination and focus and a lot of belief among the players that simply has them in steamroll mode right now. Look for the Bruins to struggle to match the Stars here as Boston has scored an average of only 1.9 goals per game in their last 8 games. The Stars, on the other hand, have averaged scoring 3.5 goals per game in their last 6 games - 5 of which were wins. Per our math model, look for yet another Stars victory here and it comes at a great plus money price! Bet underdog Dallas on the money line in early evening action Monday.
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11-01-18 |
Stars +136 v. Maple Leafs |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
136 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Dallas Stars Money Line (+) over Toronto Maple Leafs, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET
The Stars are off a win and the Maple Leafs are off a loss so those who firmly back the "zig zag theory" will be backing the Leafs at home in this one. However, the fact is that there is great value here with revenge-minded Dallas in this one. Earlier this season the Stars lost on home ice to Toronto. Keep in mind Dallas also got swept by the Maple Leafs last season. This is a payback spot for Dallas and the fact is that the Leafs have been struggling in multiple ways. For one thing, Toronto has lost 4 of its last 6 home games. For another thing, the Maple Leafs have scored an average of just 1.8 goals per game in their last 5 games overall. Conversely, the Stars have averaged 3.8 goals per game in their last 4 games and, per our computer math model, Dallas stays red hot in the offensive zone in this one while the Leafs struggle as they are still in their adjustment phase as a result of the Auston Matthews injury. The Maple Leafs also could get caught looking past this non-conference foe and looking ahead to a match-up with the Penguins Saturday. Pittsburgh handed Toronto their lone shutout loss this season. Bet underdog Dallas on the money line in early evening action Thursday.
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10-30-18 |
Devils +150 v. Lightning |
Top |
3-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
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ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* New Jersey Devils Money Line (+) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Tuesday at 7:35 PM ET
Perfect situation for a very hungry road dog. The Devils had won 3 straight regular season games over the Lightning entering the post-season last spring. The Bolts got their revenge in the first round of the playoffs as they took the series 4 games to 1. Now it is New Jersey seeking revenge and this spot is ideal for them to get it. While key D-man Victor Hedman is definitely out today and key left-winger Ondrej Palat is also likely to miss for the Lightning, the Devils are actually getting healthier. A number of New Jersey players are now getting healthy and goalie Cory Schneider is back from injury which is great news for the Devils but Keith Kinkaid is likely to get the start here. Kinkaid is seeking playoff revenge in this match-up. He was strong in winning his regular season start versus the Lightning last season but then they got the best of him early in last year's post-season series. Payback time here and the Devils are the healthier team and hungrier team entering this one. Also, the Lightning are off a 7-1 loss and they are an unimpressive 19-18 when off a game where they were held to 1 goal or less. The Devils have won 22 of their last 35 (+$12,500) Tuesday games and are off two days of rest and heading to Tampa Bay with a full head of steam. They are unlikely to be denied here and offering significant underdog value in this spot. Bet underdog New Jersey on the money line in early evening action Tuesday.
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10-25-18 |
Predators -117 v. Devils |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Nashville Predators Money Line (-) over New Jersey Devils, Thursday @ 7:05 PM ET
The Predators are off a home loss to the Sharks where they blew a 2-goal 3rd period lead. Of course this is something that RARELY happens and you can bet on a fired up Nashville team taking the ice at New Jersey tonight. The Devils have been hot early this season but they are cooling off as expected and another issue for New Jersey right now is that injuries are mounting. That sets this one up well for a dominating road win for the Preds. Nashville has won 5 straight road games overall. Also, New Jersey has lost 4 of its last 6 home games versus the Predators. Bet Nashville on the money line (-) in early evening action Thursday.
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10-23-18 |
Bruins v. Senators +143 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Ottawa Senators Money Line (+) over Boston Bruins, Tuesday @ 7:35 PM ET
The Senators are getting healthier as players return. The Bruins have lost some key personnel during this road trip. The Bruins still have a fantastic top line, one of the best in the league, but losing depth in other areas (especially the blue line) recently has not helped Boston. The Bruins enter this game having lost 3 straight on the road. The Senators are seeking revenge for a 6-3 loss at Boston about two weeks ago and the Sens enter this game having won 3 straight. Ottawa is averaging scoring 4 goals per game this season while the Bruins have averaged scoring just 1.8 goals per game in their 5 road games this season! Boston has won 5 straight meetings between these clubs but Ottawa had won 8 of the 10 prior meetings! This looks like the perfect spot for payback and it comes at a big plus money return with the home dog Senators! In road games with a total set at 6 goals or more, the Bruins have lost 92 of 157. The Sens have won 3 of 4 this season when off a game where they scored 4 or more goals in their prior game. Clearly the hotter team at home and at the right price (big comeback price) has us betting the Senators here! Bet Ottawa on the money line (+) in early evening action Tuesday.
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10-22-18 |
Capitals v. Canucks +140 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Vancouver Canucks Money Line (+) vs Washington Capitals, Monday @ 10:05 PM ET
The Capitals finally won a Stanley Cup in June and now they're quickly finding out what it is like to have a target on your backs each and every night. Washington has struggled early this season as everyone is gunning for them and it won't get any easier tonight as they take on a Canucks team that has jelled quicker than expected early this season. Vancouver has won 4 of its last 5 games and is also 4-1 versus Eastern Conference teams this season. The Capitals have lost 4 of their last 6 games and also are 0-2 this season versus teams with a winning record and also 0-2 in road games with a total set at 6 or more goals. The home team won both match-ups handily last season and we expect that trend to continue here. The Caps have allowed an average of nearly 5 goals per game the last 6 games. The Canucks have allowed an average of only 2 goals per game their last 5 games. Also, will Washington possibly be peeking ahead at a "star power" match-up with Connor McDavid and the Oilers? After facing the Canucks, the Capitals head to Alberta to face Edmonton and Calgary. Bet Vancouver on the money line (+) in late night action Monday.
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10-19-18 |
Predators -108 v. Flames |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Nashville Predators Money Line (-) @ Calgary Flames, Friday at 9:05 PM ET
The Flames are 4-2 this season and are at home while the Predators are 5-1 on the season but on the road here. The key to this play? That lone loss the Preds have on their record was an embarrassing 3-0 home loss a little over a week ago. In other words, it is time for payback here for Nashville as they look to return the favor at Calgary. The Preds have won 16 of their last 21 road games that had a total set at 6 or more goals. Also, the Predators have won 18 of 24 games when they enter a match-up having played each of their 3 prior games at home. The Flames have lost 45 of their last 77 games against teams with a winning record. Road revenge at a great value price is the play here! Bet Nashville on the money line (-) in evening action Friday.
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10-10-18 |
Golden Knights +135 v. Capitals |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Vegas Golden Knights Money Line (+) @ Washington Capitals, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET
Playing in opposite conferences of course this will be the only chance that Vegas has this season to knock off the Capitals in DC. The Golden Knights are seeking revenge after seeing the Capitals end their amazing run at a Stanley Cup title last season. Though Vegas is off to a slow start this season this team is still loaded with talent and they catch Washington off a long layoff that could have the Caps a little flat here. Also, the Capitals are in a divisional sandwich as they are off a game versus the Penguins and have a game against the Devils tomorrow. Washington, of course, wouldn't look past Vegas but, the same time, there is no arguing the point that this game means much more to the revenge-minded Golden Knights than it does to the Capitals. Vegas has won 18 of 29 when off a game where they allowed 4 or more goals. Extra rest has not served the Caps well as Washington has lost 13 of 20 when they enter a game off 3 or more days of rest. In this case, the Capitals haven't played in nearly a week. Bet Vegas on the money line (-) in evening action Wednesday.
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10-04-18 |
Blue Jackets -131 v. Red Wings |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 59 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Columbus Blue Jackets Money Line (-) @ Detroit Red Wings, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET
The once mighty Red Wings have fallen so far so fast and are truly in full rebuild mode now. After missing the post-season for back to back seasons after more than two decades of success it has been a hard fall for Detroit. They are likely to prove to be no match here for an improving Columbus team that has ascended to near the top of the Eastern Conference. The Blue Jackets have won all 6 meetings with the Red Wings the past two seasons and we look for that dominance to continue here. In home games with a total of 5.5 goals, Detroit has lost 35 of 58. The Blue Jackets have been known for strong early season performances as they've won 48 of 75 games in the first half of the seasons the past two years. Bet Columbus on the money line (-) in early evening action Thursday.
|
06-07-18 |
Capitals +135 v. Golden Knights |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
135 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Washington Capitals Money Line (+) @ Vegas Golden Knights, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET
The concern for Vegas fans is that the Capitals continue to do a great job of clogging up the neutral zone and forcing turnovers leading to odd man rushes for Washington. The Caps have been, by far, the much better team in comparison with the Knights in the past three games and have won those games by a combined score of 12 to 5. Washington is 23-14 this season in road games with a total set at 5.5 goals and they offer up great value as a sizable road dog here. Vegas, being a Cinderella story, continues to get some additional attention from the betting markets. This is what results in extra value in spots like this. The Golden Knights just haven't shown the same ability that the Capitals have in terms of capitalizing on scoring chances. Washington has looked like the much hungrier team in each of the last 3 games and we look for another Caps W here as they finish off the series. Alexander Ovechkin and his loyal teammates have the look of a team that will not be denied in their quest to finally get "The Great Eight" the Stanley Cup that has eluded him for so many years. We just don't see the Capitals losing here as they are already 3-0 this post-season when they've gotten to a potential closeout game and these 3 victories also all came on enemy ice. Look for another one here as the NHL season concludes in a city one would have never dreamed of one ending in...Vegas. Bet Washington on the money line in evening action Thursday
|
06-04-18 |
Golden Knights v. Capitals -125 |
|
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
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ASA PLAY ON 9* Washington Capitals Money Line (-) vs Vegas Golden Knights, Monday at 8:05 PM ET
With their loss in Game 3 on Saturday, the Golden Knights have dropped to just 26-22 in their last 48 road games. Hardly impressive numbers and the concern for Vegas fans is that the Capitals are doing a great job of clogging up the neutral zone and forcing turnovers leading to odd man rushes for Washington. The Caps have been, by far, the much better team in comparison with the Knights in the past two games. Washington is 31-15 in their last 46 road games and, priced as just a small fave here, you can see that there is strong value on the Capitals given they've won about 2/3 of their home games since November 1st while the Golden Knights have generally been only a 50-50 proposition when away from Vegas over roughly the same time span. Vegas, being a Cinderella story, has gotten some additional attention from the betting markets. This is what results in extra value in spots like this. In home games with an O/U set at 5.5 goals, the Capitals have won 44 of 64 - 69% winning rate. We look for another W here as the Caps take a commanding 3-1 lead in the series. Alexander Ovechkin and his loyal teammates have the look of a team that will not be denied in their quest to finally get "The Great Eight" the Stanley Cup that has eluded him for so many years. We just don't see the Capitals losing on home ice here as that would give the home ice edge and series momentum right back to Vegas. Ovechkin and Company have come too far to allow that to happen. Bet Washington on the money line in evening action Monday.
|
05-30-18 |
Capitals +136 v. Golden Knights |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
136 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
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ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Washington Capitals Money Line (+) @ Vegas Golden Knights, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET
You have to go all the way back to early March - a span of nearly THREE months - to find the last time Washington has suffered consecutive losses on the road. Since then, the Capitals are 4-0 when on the road and off of a loss in their most recent road game. The Caps were completely ripped off in the Game 1 loss. Yes each team had some "breaks" go their way in the game but NONE were bigger than what happened in the 3rd period. The Capitals had silenced the crowd and taken the lead 4-3 (wasn't their first lead of the game either) and then, right in front of Washington's goal the Golden Knights Ryan Reaves gave a textbook cross-check (the type called for a penalty without question 100% of the time) to his defender and then had a wide open point blank shot on goal to tie the game. So in this case, instead of the Capitals being up 4-3 and going on the power play with a strong chance to take a 5-3 lead, the momentum and flow of the game was changed completely by Vegas tying the game on a goal that NEVER should have counted. No team has had as much luck in the post-season as the Golden Knights and, at the same time, they certainly have earned the respect they've been given. But, the point is, there is only so many ridiculous breaks a team can get and Vegas is VERY over-priced here with the hungry Capitals, led by a very determined Alexander Ovechkin, playing with tremendous grit and determination after the Golden Knights stole (literally) the Game 1 win. Situations just don't get much better than this, especially with a strong road team that is a sizable dog, and the Capitals should improve to 5-1 in this post-season when trailing in a playoff series. Also note that this is only the 5th time this season that the Golden Knights have had a winning streak of 5 or more games. 3 of the first 4 times (5 straight wins) ended with a loss in game #6 of the streak. This one makes it 4 out of 5 as once again a Vegas winning streak ends at 5 games. The physical Caps (out-hit the Golden Knights 38-25 in Game 1) once again bring a huge effort in Game 2 but this time they get the win they deserve. Bet Washington on the money line for a Top Play in evening action Wednesday.
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