#979/980 ASA PLAY ON Over 11.5 Runs – Toronto Blue Jays at Colorado Rockies, Tuesday at 8:40 PM ET - The Blue Jays and Rockies both have been trending over and yesterday's series opener totaled 16 runs.  Toronto did almost all the damage but Colorado had been hitting well and should resume that here after notching 8 hits but scoring just 1 run yesterday.  The Blue Jays exploded for 15 runs on 25 hits and should stay hot here!  Toronto will face Anthony Molina and he has a 6.85 ERA in his 40 career MLB appearances and only 1 was a start.  He is getting the start here because Colorado's pitching rotation is dealing with injuries and that means a tough day for Rockies pitching here is likely as their bullpen has also been struggling of late and is having a tough season.  Colorado should score better here compared to yesterday as they face Jose Berrios.  The veteran right-hander went 3-1 in his 6 starts last month but struggled for consistency as he had a lot of tougher outings.  Berrios had a 5.83 ERA for the month and opponents hit .292 against him.  Another hot day in Denver and great hitting conditions again tonight at Coors Field.  Our computer math model projects a total of 13 to 14 runs here and we are going with the Over in this one.

UEFA Europa League Qualifiers: #224501/224502 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 2.75 -115 in Hamrun (Malta) vs Maccabi Tel Aviv (Israel), Tuesday at 1 pm ET – Hamrun is outclassed here but will give a strong effort here at home in Malta.  That being said, we do expect them to get on the board here but struggle to stop the superior side from Israel.  Maccabi Tel Aviv is a very big favorite here and we envision at least a 2-1, if not 3-1, battle going their way here.  3 straight, as well as 4 of last 5, Hamrun matches have totaled at least 3 goals.  They have scored a total of 5 goals in their last 4 at home.  Maccabi Tel Aviv just lost to Pafos which dropped them from Champions League Qualifiers to Europa League Qualifiers.  They lost that 2nd Leg match 1-0 after having averaged 2.8 goals scored in their last 8 matches before that one.  They will take advantage of facing a weaker club after a shutout loss and we expect a good tempo in this match as a result.  Our computer math model shows the highest probability being a match totaling 3 to 4 goals here and we will take the Over in this one. 

#901/902 ASA PLAY ON Over 10 Runs – Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies, Saturday at 3:10 PM ET - The Broncos beat the Steelers 17-16 yesterday!  All kidding aside, Friday's final score did look more like a Football score than a Baseball score!  Amazingly the Rockies gave up 9 runs in the top of the first and yet still rallied to win the game over the Pirates.  An incredible day of hitting and a key was both teams used plenty of bullpen and the Rockies torched the Pirates bullpen late.  That is why we feel there is so much value here.  You have two very confident lineups yet we get a low total to work with in this one because Paul Skenes is on the mound for the Pirates.  Certainly Skenes is a phenomenal pitcher in his 2nd year in the bigs but this is a tough spot for him.  First ever start at Coors Field and this is a venue unlike any other in the big leagues.  Not only that, he has not gone past 6 innings in any of his last 11 starts.  He has averaged 5 and 1/3 innings in those 11 starts.  The Pirates are being careful with not over-using his arm and the Pirates bullpen (used heavily yesterday) will be called upon again here for 3 or 4 innings most likely.  The Rockies bullpen also could get over-used again today as Colorado starter Austin Gomber is 0-5 with a 6.28 ERA in his 8 starts since he started his season this summer.  The Pirates are likely to have another big day at the plate today!  Rockies bullpen ERA among highest in the majors.  The Rockies have averaged scoring 7 runs per game in their last 8 home games!  Our computer math model projects a total of 12 to 13 runs here and we are going with the Over in this one.

ASAwins WNBA OVER 165.5 Minnesota Lynx at Las Vegas Aces, 3pm ET - This will be the 3rd meeting this season between these two Western Conference rivals and we expect a shootout. In the most recent clash on July 25th, these two teams put up 187 total points. Last year when these two teams squared off in Las Vegas they produced 185 and 186 total points. Las Vegas has clearly slipped this season, ranking 8th in Net rating at -0.6. Minnesota is the best team in the league in Net rating at +13.2. Minnesota is the best shooting team in the league at 46.2% and rank 2nd in 3PT%. The Aces defense has really fallen off in 2025 ranking 9th in opponents FG% and 7th in 3PT% D. Las Vegas has had their issues offensively but they still have A’Ja Wilson who is one of the two best players in the league (Collier is the other). This game means more than most for these two teams and we predict an offensive explosion with 170+ total points being scored.

Sweden Allsvenskan - #207465/207466 ASA PLAY ON Over 3.25 Goals (-115) – IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Norrköping, Saturday at 9 AM ET - About this line at 3.25 that means half your bet is at over 3.5 goals and the other half is at over 3 goals!  We are looking for 4 or more goals here!  The last meeting between these clubs was a surprising 1-0 win for IF Brommapojkarna and now IFK Norrköping is out for revenge here!  Road revenge is particularly sweet but this is likely a high-scoring back and forth battle where it is hard to predict a winner but where the goals will fly!  IF Brommapojkarna has averaged scoring 2 goals in their last 5 matches but also is off B2B games in which they allowed 3 goals in each match!  IFK Norrköping is off a rare scoreless draw and we love to look for overs after matches like that.  You know they will be emphasizing attacking after a match like that and the goals should flow in this one. Their two matches just prior to that one each totaled 4 goals!  Look for at least 2-2 here as this one should cruise over the total.  

ASA WNBA play on OVER 169.5 Indiana Fever at Dallas Wings, 7:30pm ET - This will be a faster tempo game with the 4th (Fever) and 5th (Wings) rated teams in terms of pace of play this season. Indiana is 4th in field goal attempts per game, make more field goals than any other team in the league and shoot it at 45.5% (2nd). The Fever are also the 4th best 3PT shooting team in the W at 34.3%. Indiana is going to score here against a Wings D that is 10th in FG% defense and 12th in 3PT% defense. The Wings don’t shoot it great at 42% but they make up for it with a high volume of FG attempts at 71.4 (2nd most in W). Indiana’s defense ranks 8th in FG% allowed at 43%. Indiana has scored 80+ points in 6 of their last seven games, two of those games resulted in 100+ points for the Fever. Dallas has scored 83 or more points in 5 of their last seven games and have played in three straight OVERS with total points being scored of 186, 174 and 173. In the two meetings this season these two have combined for 185 and 180 total points. We expect another higher scoring game here.

UEFA Europa League Qualifiers: #224501/224502 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 3 in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Besiktas, Thursday at 2 pm ET (match played in Poland) – The 1st Leg was a 4-2 Shakhtar Donetsk win in Turkey (home of Besiktas) and we expect another high-scoring battle here in a match played at a neutral site in Poland due to the ongoing war in Ukraine (home of Shakhtar Donetsk). What we like about the first leg battle was each half featured 3 goals and Beskitas came into this much-anticipated battle as the slight favorites yet lost 4-2. The club is coached by former Manchester United manager Ole Gunnar Solskjær and he is known for his fondness for emphasizing attacking and counter-attacking. Now facing a 4-2 deficit, his Besiktas side has no choice but to be aggressive here in terms of attacking.  At the same time, Shakhtar Donetsk has been scoring very well.  In their prior battle in this competition they won the 1st leg 6-0 and so had no hesitation in settling for a 0-0 draw in the 2nd leg.  The point is that Shakhtar Donetsk has already proven they can score big as needed and we do anticipate it will be needed here.  Besiktas has the talent to mount a comeback here as they battle back after the 1st leg deficit.  So we anticipate another back and forth affair here.  Remember the first leg was 3-2 before the club from Ukraine got a key late goal.  That said, Besiktas absolutely is going to put the pressure on here and this should be another high-scoring battle as a result.  The fact this match is not played in the true home for Shakhtar Donetsk further helps the confidence of Besiktas in believing they can come back from the 2-goal deficit.  Our computer math model shows the highest probability being a match totaling 4 to 5 goals here and we will take the Over in this one. 

Norway Eliteserien - #206381/206382 ASA PLAY ON Over 4.5 Goals (+110) – Stromsgodset at Bodo/Glimt, Tuesday at 1 PM ET - This is a big number posted on this total but it is no mistake! Bodo/Glimt is on a scoring spree and it will continue here as they host a Stromsgodset side that does not have the defensive strength to slow them down. Bodo/Glimt has won their last two matches by a combined score of 11 to 4. Stromsgodset is off 3 straight losses that each totaled exactly 5 goals as they suffered a pair of 3-2 defeats and a 4-1 white-washing. When these clubs have met they have a lower-scoring history in recent meetings but this is their first meeting this season and the recent trending of these clubs and the way Bodo/Glimt has been playing aggressively on the attack suggests that we are going to see a wild one here in Norway Wednesday. Look for 5-2 or at least 4-1 here as this one should cruise over the total.   

#961/962 ASA PLAY ON Over 9.5 Runs – Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles, Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET - Teams played a double header yesterday which never helps the bullpens. The first game yesterday totaled 20 runs.  The Blue Jays Berrios has a 6.07 ERA and a .302 BAA in his 8 day game starts this season. The Orioles Kremer has a 4.61 ERA in his day game starts this season and has allowed 5 earned runs in 2 of his 4 starts thus far this month. Also, Kremer allowed 5 earned runs against the Blue Jays in his first start of this season. Before the 3-2 win in the nightcap yesterday, 4 of the last 5 Baltimore games totaled 11 or more runs. Our computer math model projects a total of 11 to 12 runs here and we are going with the Over in this one.

ASA WNBA play on UNDER 156.5 Golden State Valkyries at Atlanta Dream, 7:30pm ET - We expect a letdown by Atlanta here as they are coming off a huge road win in Minnesota on Sunday, facing a Golden State team off an embarrassing loss to Connecticut. The Valkyries have relied on their defense all season long and it’s been good, ranking 5th in Defensive Net ratings. In their last game though they allowed 95-points to the worst offensive team in the WNBA which should serve as a wake-up call here. Prior to the Sun debacle, the Valkyries had allowed 67 or less points in three of their previous eight games. Golden State is last in the league in FG% at 40% and 10th overall in scoring at 78ppg. Atlanta is 6th in Defensive Net rating and allow the 4th fewest points per game in the league a 79ppg. The Dream are also the best defensive rebounding team in the league which means the Valkyries won’t get many 2nd chance opportunities. Pace of play is an important factor in this prediction as the Dream are 11th in pace, the Valkyries are 13th. Golden State is without their best player Kayla Thornton who is out for the season and will have a tough time scoring in this one. Both teams will be locked in defensively and scoring will be tough to come by for either team. The play here is UNDER!

#915/916 ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs – Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels, Sunday at 4:07 PM ET - The Mariners Logan Gilbert has struggled on the road this season as his most recent start was an exception to this.  Look for his road struggles to quickly resume here as he has a 4.91 ERA on the road this season and opponents are hitting .296 against him in his 5 road starts this year.  He is expected to be opposed by Kyle Hendricks here and the right-hander is on the fade right now.  He has a 6.59 ERA this month and has struggled overall in 4 of his last 5 starts.  Also, even though he is at home for this one, he has allowed a .279 batting average at home this season.  Hendricks allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings against the Mariners here in Anaheim earlier this season as well.  With yesterday's 7-2 win, Seattle's road games are on a run in which 19 of their last 25 road games (76%) have totaled at least 9 runs!  Many of those got well into double digits and the Angels bullpen has one of the highest ERA numbers in the majors while the Mariners bullpen ranks in the middle of the pack.  Look for plenty of runs throughout this ballgame Sunday afternoon!  Our computer math model projects a total of 11 to 12 runs here and even if it only gets to 9 or 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Over in this one. 

ASA WNBA play on OVER 163.5 Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever, 7pm ET - We should see a reasonable pace of play in this game, bad defense and enough offense to push this game OVER the total. These teams are around ‘average’ in terms of pace, ranking 6th (LV) and 7th (IND) in pace. Defensively both rank near the bottom of the league in Net ratings with Indiana 8th and Las Vegas 9th. The Fever have been especially bad of late after allowing 98-points in a pair of game to the Liberty. Indiana has allowed 80+ points in 6 of their last seven games and the only team that didn’t (77pts) was Connecticut, the worst offense in the W. The Aces have had their struggles offensively this season but in their last 3 games they have an Offensive Net rating of 113.3, 2nd best in the league, and have scored 104, 90 and 87-points. Even without Clark the Fever offense is dangerous as they’ve scored 84+ points in 4 of their last five games, including 102 versus Dallas. We expect plenty of points in this one and will be on the OVER.

#923/924 ASA PLAY ON Under 7.5 Runs – Kansas City Royals at Chicago Cubs, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - Be sure you select "action" on the pitchers when you make this wager as the Cubs are going with a bullpen game.  Brasier is expected to be the opener but sometimes teams change their mind on openers.  Either way, the key here is the Cubs bullpen is solid and so too is that of the Royals plus Kansas City has a strong starter on the mound here as well.  Noah Cameron has been in top current form.  Not only does he have a low ERA overall this season, he has been dominant on the road where he has a 0.93 ERA in his 5 road starts.  Also, in terms of current form, Cameron has been dominant and has a 0.98 ERA in his 3 starts in the month of July.  Look for another strong outing from here and this should be a low-scoring battle.  The Cubs will struggle against Cameron and a strong Royals bullpen while the season-long KC offensive struggles (one of lowest scoring teams in the league) continue here.  The Cubs bullpen game frustrates the Kansas City sticks.  As you can see with the low total posted here, the winds (such an important factor at Wrigley) also support a selection on the under in this one. Our computer math model projects a total of only 5 to 6 runs here and even if it gets to 7 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Under in this one.    

ASAwins CFL UNDER 54.5 Hamilton at Ottawa, Sunday 7pm ET - These teams met a week ago and produced 43 total points, staying well below the O/U set of 55. We expect another low scoring game today. In last week’s showdown both teams averaged around 5.5 Yards Per Play, which is significantly lower than the league average of 6.45YPPL. Hamilton ranks 5th in Net Offense this season, Ottawa is 8th. Neither team runs the ball especially well with Ottawa averaging 96.8 rushing yards per game, the Tiger-Cats average 68.8RYPG. Hamilton averages 31.6ppg, most in the league and rely heavily on their passing game. Ottawa ranks 3rd in passing yards allowed at 269.2PYPG and were able to contain QB Bo Levi Mitchell last week who threw for 266yds last week. The Red Blacks will have a tough time scoring here as they have all season long averaging just 22.2ppg (last in the CFL). Ottawa is averaging 340 Net Yards of offense which ranks 7th out of nine CFL teams. We expect another similar output as last weeks game in the mid-40’s.

#979/980 ASA PLAY ON Over 10.5 Runs – Minnesota Twins at Colorado Rockies, Sunday at 3:10 PM ET - This is our lone MLB selection Sunday and it is a big one as there is plenty of support for an easy over here! This is an afternoon game in Colorado and temperatures are getting into the 90s today in Denver and so it will be a very hot afternoon at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Friday's game was 6-4 Colorado and the teams combined for 23 hits! It snuck under the total because the Twins went 1 for 8 with runners in scoring position. Minnesota also lost Saturday's game as the Rockies stayed hot at the plate in the 10-6 win in which Colorado pounded out 15 hits including 3 homers! This one sets up perfect for an over because even though Joe Ryan has been pitching well for the Twins, facing the suddenly surging Rockies at home where they are scoring so well means this is going to be a challenge for him. At the same time, however, Minnesota is very likely to provide him with plenty of run support in this one! The Twins are looking to avoid what would be a rare Rockies sweep and they will be dialed in at the plate here against a struggling German Marquez. The Rockies right-handed veteran starting pitcher has allowed 25 hits in 15 innings in his last 3 home starts. His ERA in June was low but he was very lucky as he allowed 38 hits in 30 innings for the month. He has allowed 5 homers in his last 3 home starts and his only home start here in July saw him allow 6 earned runs on 11 hits in 6 innings and that was against the White Sox. Now Marquez is facing a solid Twins team and we expect he will struggle. Also, the Rockies bullpen has an ERA that is among the worst in the majors. Our computer math model projects a total of 13 to 14 runs here and even if it only gets to 11 or 12 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Over in this one.

#979/980 ASA PLAY ON Over 11 Runs – Minnesota Twins at Colorado Rockies, Friday at 8:40 PM ET - The first day after the all-star break is a good time to be cautious as there can be some uncertainty with how teams will perform after the layoff since last Sunday.  This is our lone selection Friday and we like it plenty as temps are getting into the low 90s today in Denver and so it will be a very warm evening at hitter-friendly Coors Field.  The two starting pitchers slated for this one have a combined 4-18 won-loss record!  Kyle Freeland is 0-4 with a 6.89 ERA in his 8 home starts this season and opponents are hitting .367 against him in Denver!  The Twins Chris Paddack is 2-4 with a 5.50 ERA on the road this season and is struggling again.  We say "again" because early this season he had a rough time but then he appeared to turn the corner but it did not hold up and now he is coming off a 6.06 ERA in June and already has a 7.20 ERA so far in July!  He has given up 45 hits in 28 and 2/3 innings over his last 6 starts!  Given that plus the way Freeland has been hammered in his home outings this season, you can see why we are expecting both pitchers to get lit up here tonight!  Our computer math model projects a total of 13 to 14 runs here and even if it only gets to 12 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Over in this one. 

ASAwins CFL Toronto Argonauts vs. Montreal Alouettes - Under 51.5 (July 17, 2025 – 7:30pm ET)The Toronto Argonauts (1-4) face the Montreal Alouettes (3-2) tonight at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, with the over/under set at 50.5 points. We like UNDER the total. Montreal’s defense ranks 2nd in the CFL, allowing just 22.4 points per game, and they’ve held opponents to 276 total yards on average, and 6.04 Yards Per Play, 2nd best number in the CFL. Toronto’s offense struggles, scoring 25.4ppg and averaging last in the league in rushing at 46.2ypg. They will be one dimensional facing a Montreal defense that yields just 76 rushing yards per game, the best in the CFL. Toronto’s defense, while allowing 32.6 points per game, has faced high-powered offenses recently, but Montreal’s offense is 6th out of nine teams in Net Offense. Earlier this season when these same two teams met they produced 38 total points. We expect much of the same tonight.

UEFA Europa League: #224461/224462 ASA PLAY ON Over 2 Goals (-135) in Partizan vs AEK Larnaca, Thursday at 3 pm ET – The first meeting was a 1-0 battle but we expect a much different result here.  Partizan had not played since they were at home in Serbia league action in May. They scored big then and actually have scored 2.2 goals per match in their last 4 at home. Now, being at home and having worked off the rust, look for Partizan to get back on track at home here. Trouble for them is that AEK Larnaca is the better team so don't count the visitors out in terms of winning the 2nd leg here. However, the point is that more goals will be scored and we love the value here with some books even having over 2 available and at a reasonable price no less. AEK Larnaca had played some friendly matches prior to that 1-0 win and all 3 friendly matches totaled at least 4 goals.  Having the lead here based on the 1st Leg result means they might think about sitting back but you know they are going to bring it in this one because they know Partizan, known for scoring well at home, is likely to be aggressive here. The point is that the goals should fly here and this looks like a solid OVER for us Thursday! 

ASA WNBA play on OVER 163.5 Indiana Fever at NY Liberty, 7:30pm ET - No Caitlyn Clark, no problem. The Fever have endured enough games without Clark to still manage offensively against the Liberty tonight. Not to mention, Clark is 2/33 from beyond the arc in her last 6 road games. New York will be looking for some payback in this game and will put up a big number offensively against the Fever. The Fever bounced the Liberty a month ago 102-88 on their home court. The last four times these teams have met in New York, the Liberty have scored 104, 91, 101 and 90-points. New York is the fastest paced team in the W and will push the tempo. Indiana is 7th in pace but also 7th in Defensive Net rating. The Fever rank 3rd in Offensive Net rating, the Liberty are 2nd. 8 of the last ten meetings between these two teams has gone OVER the total including both meetings this season. Bet OVER!

Norway Eliteserien - #206345/206346 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 3 Goals (+100) – Bodo/Glimt at Fredrikstad, Wednesday at Noon ET - The Eliteserien is the top league in the Norway and is regarded as the top league in the Nordic countries.  We had been eyeing this specific match-up and everything checked out perfectly for a Top Game in this spot!  About this total, many books have 3 as their standard offering.  In some books it is what is referred to as an "Asian Total" option.  We will use DraftKings as an example as there within a menu option titled "Spread/Total" you will see the "Asian Total" offering which includes 3 as a betting option.  One could play the over at 2.5 goals but there is heavy juice on the over so the preferred option is over 3 goals here.  Both clubs are coming off wins and Bodo/Glimt has been a powerhouse in this league in recent seasons and appears poised to turn the tide after a slower start this season.  However, Fredrikstad is off a confidence boosting victory where they rallied from a 2-0 deficit to come back late and win by a 4-2 margin!  That is the kind of victory that can spark a club and now they are also at home again and hosting the club that has won the league title 4 straight seasons.  In other words, expect a spirited affair here and look for plenty of attacking.  Bodo/Glimt scored 2 goals in each meeting last season with the most recent meeting ending in a 2-2 draw with Fredrikstad.  Bodo/Glimt is scoring an average of 2.3 goals per game in Eliteserien action this season.  In their last 4 road games they did have one shutout win but allowed 1.7 goals per game in the other 3 as a visitor.  Fredrikstad has allowed an average of 2 goals in the last 7 matches.  The 4-2 home win they just delivered over Molde was the 4th time in 8 home matches that they have scored multiple goals.  Even though Bodo/Glimt scored only 2 goals in their win over the weekend, their xG factor in that one was 3.03 goals so their expected goals based on how they played was 3 goals in that one.  They will likely get there in this match given the situational aspects with this one.  We look for 3-2 or at least 2-2 here as this one should cruise over the total.

Champions League | First qualifying round: #224261/224262 ASA PLAY ON Over 2.5 Goals (-140) Vikingur Gota at Lincoln Red Imps, Tuesday at 11:30 AM ET - The first leg saw a total of 5 goals scored and with Vikingur Gota down 3-2 in this one, the visitors are going to have to be aggressive here.  They have been in great road form recently so they will not be lacking in confidence here.  However, the Lincoln Red Imps also have been strong at home in Gibraltar.  This sets up well for getting to the 3 goal mark, at the very least, as this one will again have a good pace just like we saw in the 1st leg match-up.  The fact the visitors trail by a goal ensures that plus Lincoln will be ready to put them away here at home and leave no doubt.  All 5 goals in the first meeting were scored in the 1st half and we expect another quick start here to set the tone for another easy over in this one! 

Iceland Premier League: #216737/216738 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 3 Goals (-120) – Stjarnan at Vestmannaeyjar, Monday at 2:30 ET - Vestmannaeyjar won the last meeting with Stjarnan 3-2 and that was revenge for a 3-2 loss in the Icelandic Cup in the prior meeting in February.  As you can see, 5 goals were scored in each meeting and we expect something similar here even though  Vestmannaeyjar has not been scoring as well as of late.  They can get things going here against a Stjarnan side that has allowed 8 goals last 3 matches.  The strength for Stjarnan is they have averaged 2.5 goals in their last 8 games.  They are on the road here but the high-scoring ways should continue while Vestmannaeyjar gets back on track at home as this one could see both clubs get to multiple-goal tallies just like the last two meetings!  We are big on the over in this one. 

ASA WNBA play on OVER 166.5 Atlanta Dream at NY Liberty, 3pm ET - We recently bet and won with an OVER wager on the Dream vs. Fever and today we have a very similar showdown between Atlanta and New York with the same O/U number. It’s another OVER wager for us! These teams have met twice this season in June and produced 167 and 171 total points. New York is the fastest paced team in the league with the 2nd best EFG% and Offensive Net rating in the league. Atlanta is 3rd in the W with a Net rating of 106.4. The Dream don’t shoot it as well as the Liberty but they do it with volume ranking 1st in field goal attempts. Atlanta is also one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the league and rank 4th in 2nd chance points. The Dream are putting up 84.3ppg on the season, New York is scoring 86.7ppg. Atlanta has topped 90-points in three of their last five games. The Liberty will dictate tempo on their home court and the Dream love to get out in transition and shoot 3’s. It all adds up to another high scoring game in this rivalry.

#979/980 ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs (-120) – Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Angels, Saturday at 9:38 PM ET - Each club got to double digits in hits in yesterday's game and we expect more of the same today.  The Angels have now seen 8 straight home games total at least 10 runs and those games averaged 14.4 runs apiece!  Los Angeles starting Yusei Kikuchi here and he has been getting hit harder here in July.  Also, the Angels bullpen has one of the higher ERA numbers this season.  The Diamondbacks start Zac Gallen here and he is off a good road start but this followed him allowing multiple homers in 3 straight road starts!  Gallen allowed 16 earned runs in 17 innings in those 3 starts and he is facing an Angels team that is scoring an average of 6.4 runs in their last 13 home games!  The Diamondbacks. in their last dozen road games were shutout once but scored 6.3 runs per game in the other 11 games!  Like the Angels, the Arizona bullpen also has an ERA that ranks among the worst in the majors. Our computer math model projects a total of 11 to 12 runs here and even if it only gets to 9 or 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Over in this one.

Sweden Allsvenskan - #207465/207466 ASA PLAY ON Over 2.5 Goals (-120) – Elfsborg at Goteborg, Saturday at 9 AM ET - 4 of the last 6 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of the 4 reached at least 4 goals!  Though Elfsborg has been involved in low-scoring action of late and has been struggling to score goals, Goteborg is at home and should dictate the pace and style of play for this match here.  Goteborg has allowed an average of 2 goals over the last 4 matches (1 was a friendly during an international break) and also has scored 3 goals in 3 of those 4 matches!  That said, they should score well here at home but it is hard to trust their play on the defensive end per the above.  Look for 2-2 or at least 2-1 here as this one should cruise over the total. 

ASA WNBA play on OVER 167 Atlanta Dream at Indiana Fever, 7:30pm ET - We should get plenty of possessions in this game and enough offense to push this game OVER the total of 167. Granted, we have lost some value in this O/U number as it opened much lower, but our model has this particular game resulting in at least 171 total points. Indiana is 4th in the league in Net rating and has an EFG% of 52.5%. Atlanta is better offensively with a Net rating of 106.4. The Dream don’t shoot it as well as the Fever but they do it with volume ranking 1st in field goal attempts. Atlanta is also one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the league. The Dream are putting up 84.4ppg on the season, Indiana is scoring 82.4ppg. Atlanta’s offense has really started to click with three of their last four games topping 90-points. Indiana is coming off a poor shooting game against the Valkyries, but Golden State is a top-tier defense, the Dream are not. There is some bad blood between these two teams and we expect both offenses to shine.

#963/964 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 9.5 Runs – Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels, Thursday at 9:38 PM ET - The Angels won yesterday's game 11 to 8.  All 3 games in this series have totaled 11 or more runs!  Also, the last 6 home games for the Angels have all reached double digits in runs.  The Angels have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game the last 11 home games!  The Rangers also are red hot at the plate as they have scored an average of 6 runs per game the last 14 games overall!  Since this is the 4th game of this series, the teams will likely see some bullpen arms they have already seen in this series and the Angels bullpen ERA is among the worst in the majors.  As for Los Angeles starter Jack Kochanowicz, the big right-hander has struggled all season overall and that includes having 6 walks against only 4 strikeouts over his last 3 starts!  He is not fooling many batters as you can see with the low strikeout numbers and he also got hammered at Texas earlier this season.  Kochanowicz is 3-8 with a 5.42 ERA this season and opponents are hitting .288 against him.  The Rangers' Patrick Corbin has also proven to be very hittable again this season.  He is 38-77 since the start of the 2020 season and the left-hander enters this start having allowed 35 hits in 27 innings over his last 5 starts!  Both these clubs are in the top 8 out of 30 teams for on base percentage the last 15 days and these teams will continue to cash in on those scoring opportunities here as these teams continue the scoring surge.  Our computer math model projects a total of 12 to 13 runs here and even if it only gets to 10 or 11 runs that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Over in this one.

ASA WNBA play on UNDER 163.5 Minnesota Lynx at LA Sparks, 3pm ET - Let’s get another day game O/U winner with this UNDER the number bet on the Lynx vs Sparks matchup. In a recent meeting between these two teams, they produced just 148 total points. The two teams combined for just 121 total field goal attempts, well below the league average of 134. Minnesota’s defense has been outstanding, holding six straight opponents to 79 or less points. The Lynx have held five of their last ten foes to 68 or less points. Minnesota has the #1 rated defense in the league in Net rating and give up the fewest points per game at 74.3. The Sparks are not great defensively, but the Lynx play slow so that’s a plus. L.A. is 8th in offensive Net rating, 6th in EFG%. Minnesota is off a game/loss yesterday and playing without rest here so they may not be as sharp offensively as they typically are. In any case we see a very similar total output to the previous meeting of 148.

ASA WNBA play on UNDER 165 Golden State Valkyries at Indiana Fever, 12pm ET - Both teams play at a slow pace (Indiana 9th, Golden State 10th) and boast strong defenses, with Golden State’s third-ranked defensive rating (97.6) and Indiana’s fourth-ranked DNR. The Fever are particularly strong defending the 3PT line (1st 26.1% opponent 3P%). GST has the best FG% defense in the league allowing opponents to hit just 39.9% on the season. Recent trends show the Fever (11-8 to UNDER) and Valkyries 11-7, 8-2 when the total ≥160. In the only other meeting this season these two teams combined for 165 total points but both shot above expectations in that game. The defenses for both teams and a slow tempo keeps this game from going over the total.

#965/966 ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs – Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox, Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET - We got to looking at this match-up because the red-hot Blue Jays have won 9 in a row and this led us to what should be a solid over here!  The White Sox are scoring a little better as they have scored an average of 5.3 runs per game in their last 4 games.  The Blue Jays have scored 6.4 runs per game in their last 14 games.  Chris Bassitt has been fantastic in Toronto this season but he has been a different pitcher on the road where he has struggled to the tune of a 2-4 record with a 6.38 ERA.  Chicago's Aaron Civale recently came to the White Sox from Milwaukee.  The change of scenery has not helped him much yet.  Civale has allowed 23 hits and walked 11 for a total of 34 baserunners in 21 innings over his first 4 outings for the White Sox.  That spells trouble against a hot Toronto team.  The Blue Jays have had 6 of the last 8 road games total at least 9 runs and this one should get there as well.  The White Sox last 3 games have all reached the double digit mark in runs.  Our computer math model projects a total of 11 to 12 runs here and even if it only gets to 9 or 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Over in this one.

Sweden Allsvenskan - #207461/207462 ASA PLAY ON Over 3 Goals (-115) – IF Brommapojkarna at IFK Norrköping, Monday at 1 ET - IFK Norrköping has allowed an average of 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches here at home. IF Brommapojkarna is off a 3-0 win but shutout victories are certainly not common for them. In fact, they had allowed 1.7 goals on average in their 9 matches before that one. IFK Norrköping lost their most recent match at home 3-0 so there is no doubt they will be ready to respond with plenty of attacking here Monday. However, IF Brommapojkarna has traveled well this season and that is why we expect the goals to fly here! Look for at least 2-2 here as this one should cruise over the total.  

2025 Concacaf Gold Cup, Final - #234225/234226 ASA PLAY ON Over 2 Goals (-110) – USA vs Mexico, Sunday at 7 ET - This is a tremendous value with this over available at 2 goals as that means a 2-0 or 1-1 final would be a push for us.  Look for an aggressive approach from USA here and they have done damage against Mexico in recent meetings by being aggressive on the counterattack.  The last two meetings in the Concacaf competitions were both USA wins by a combined score of 5 to 0 and so they will have plenty of confidence here.  However, Mexico is the favorite here and that is no mistake.  Mexico has been great defensively heading into this match-up and also has scored 8 goals in last 5 matches.  USA has 1 low-scoring battle last 5 but the other 4 matches averaged 4 goals apiece.  We trust them to score here even against a tough Mexico defensive structure but also USA will continue their defensive struggles. Look for at least 2-1 here as this one should cruise over the total.

#901/902 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 10.5 Runs – Chicago Cubs vs St Louis Cardinals, Saturday at 2:20 PM ET - Action on pitchers as Drew Pomeranz is expected to just be an opener here. Bullpen game for Cubs as the injury to starter Jameson Taillon has them pitching-thin and guys like Jordan Wicks and Chris Flexen will try to fill the gaps for Chicago. Considering the incredible history the Cubs have which dates all the way back to 1903 as the Cubs and 1876 in the National League and 1870 as a franchise, would you believe they set an ALL TIME franchise record yesterday for home runs? Indeed the Cubs hit EIGHT homers in an incredible slugfest and it is a minor miracle the game only totaled 12 runs as the Cardinals also went deep once! In any event, we are expecting another slugfest here and we had our eyes on this Saturday match-up all along. Very hot weather for this one and a solid south breeze is again in the forecast here! The wind is likely to be blowing out to center at a strong clip all afternoon! These are the kinds of games at Wrigley Field that can result in some of the craziest outcomes with both teams slugging it out back and forth all game long. The key here is that Matthew Liberatore just faced the Cubs in St Louis so he is giving them a quick 2nd look and the month of June was not good for him overall! The Cardinals southpaw is off a 6-inning shutout of Cleveland but the Guardians are struggling and he walked 5 in that.one. Note that, prior to that start, he allowed 20 earned runs over 27 innings spanning his last 5 starts and there should be plenty of contact at the plate and when you have contact in weather conditions like this at Wrigley Field it plays out as a very small ballpark. Just as we saw in yesterday's game, these will be tough conditions for a pitcher.  Chicago ranks 3rd in the majors for slugging percentage (.440) in day games. The Cardinals have scored 8 runs in BOTH of their wins in the season series this season while the Cubs have scored at least 8 runs in 2 of their 3 wins. We just can't see anything less than a dozen runs here today at a minimum!  As noted above, there were 9 homers hit in yesterday's game and today is again hot and breezy like yesterday's game was! This one should be an absolute slugfest at Wrigley. Our computer math model projecting 13 to 15 runs here.  We are very strong on the Over in this one!  

#969/970 ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs – Texas Rangers at San Diego Padres, Friday at 6:40 PM ET - Even though these two teams have not exactly been knocking the cover off the ball at the plate of late, this is still a great spot for an over as Kumar Rocker is off a rare better road start though he still allowed 8 baserunners in 5 innings of work so he was fortunate the damage was not more than 2 earned runs.  He has struggled badly on the road this season and we expect Rocker will again get rocked in this one after a rare, slightly better road start! Rocker is 1-4 with an 11.34 ERA in his 5 road starts this season.  As for Padres starter Randy Vasquez, he is coming off a bad start versus the Reds and he really labored in a number of his outings in the month of June.  The Padres have scored an average of 5 runs in their last 10 home games.  The Rangers, aided by some extra innings game in the stretch, have seen their confidence on the rise at the plate thanks to winning 5 of the last 8 games and scoring an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch.  Look for both starting pitchers to struggle in this one and that sets the tone for a game that should get into double digits Friday in San Diego.  Our computer math model projects a total of 11 to 12 runs here and even if it only gets to 9 or 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Over in this one. 

ASA WNBA play on UNDER 166.5 Phoenix Mercury at Dallas Wings, 8pm ET - The Dallas Wings will be without their second-leading scorer, Arike Ogunbowale (16.8 PPG), due to a thumb injury, severely hampering their offensive output. DiJonai Carrington (doubtful, rib injury) adds to Dallas’ backcourt woes, forcing reliance on rookie guards JJ Quinerly and Aziaha James, who scored 15 points each in a low-scoring 79-71 win over Washington. Dallas’ recent roster moves, including the return of centers Teaira McCowan and Luisa Geiselsoder, signal a shift to a slower, inside-out style, as emphasized by coach Chris Koclanes. This approach aligns with their improved defensive net rating of 100.3 over the last five games, a significant step up for a team ranked 10th in DNR league-wide. Phoenix, coming off an 84-81 loss to Las Vegas, boasts the WNBA’s fourth-best defensive net rating of 98.5 and force 16.7 turnovers per game. Their ability to disrupt Dallas’ depleted guard play should keep scoring in check. While the June 11 matchup saw both teams shoot efficiently (Phoenix 50% FG, Dallas 43%) and combine for 173 points, Dallas’ missing key scorers and Phoenix’s elite defense suggest a lower-scoring, physical game.

FIFA Club World Cup - #238029/238030 ASA PLAY ON Over 2.5 Goals (-130) – Borussia Dortmund vs Monterrey, Tuesday at 9 ET - Monterrey is off a 4-0 win and they also scored a goal in their 1-1 draw with Inter Milan.  A match with Borussia Dortmund is likely to open up things a little bit more as well.  Borussia Dortmund has scored 5 goals in the last two matches and they had wrapped up Bundesliga and Champions League action by averaging 3 goals scored over their last 7 matches.  So the way they can bring it on the attack coupled with Monterrey coming in off a 4-0 blowout win sets this one up for plenty of goals. Monterrey also had been scoring well in the CONCACAF competition prior to this as they had averaged 2 goals scored over 4 matches in February and March.  Look for at least 2-1 here, if not much more, as this one should cruise over the total.     

ASA play on OVER 164.5 Indiana Fever at Minnesota Lynx, 8pm ET - This number opened 167.5 and was bet down with news that Caitlyn Clark is still not 100% and is listed as questionable tonight. With or without Clark we like OVER the number in this one. Indiana recently played in Golden State which resulted in 165 total points being scored. The Valkyries are similar to the Lynx in two key categories, pace of play (slow) and defense (1st Lynx, 3rd Valkyries). The one big difference is offense as the Lynx are 3rd in ONR overall and have the best EFG% at 55.6%. Another great comparison is the Lynx recent game against Seattle who has similar styles of play to the Fever and that game finished with 178 total points. Seattle/Fever rank 7th, 8th in Defensive Net rating, 2nd and 4th in Offensive net rating and 2nd and 3rd in pace of play. The point we are making is that we have a solid recent reference points for each team against similar opponents to predict this outcome. Last year two of the three meetings between these two teams finished with 170 or more total points being scored. The nature of this being a high profile game should result in a faster pace and more scoring opportunities for both teams. The Fever allow 37.3ppg in the paint this season which is 3rd most in the league which means Collier should feast on Indiana’s interior defense. Minnesota is great defensively but the Fever have the 3rd best team FG% at 46.2%. We expect plenty of points and should see this game get into the 170’s rather easily.

FIFA Club World Cup - #238017/238018 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 3.5 Goals (+100) – Al Hilal vs Manchester City, Monday at 9 ET - Al Hilal, prior to a 2-0 win following a scoreless draw last time out, had scored 3.2 goals per match last 9 matches!  Of course they face a much bigger challenge here and there is a reason this one features Manchester City as a 2-goal favorite on the goal line in this one.  I am well aware that Al Hilal had been winning with defense but they will not be able to hold off a Man City side that has scored 18 goals in going 5-0 last 5 matches including 3-0 in the World Cup.  Of course they will force Al Hilal out of their comfort zone here and force them to try and keep up.  City did allow 2 goals in the most recent match and we expect they are going to get burned on the counterattack by Al Hilal at least once in this match.  However, the key will be the Man City offensive firepower keeping their foot on the gas throughout and flexing their muscles here in this one similar to what we saw with PSG yesterday.  Look for at least 3-1 here, if not much more, as this one should cruise over the total.   

#959/960 ASA PLAY ON Under 8 Runs – Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays, Monday at 7:35 PM ET - Possible pitchers duel.  Jacob Lopez the expected starter for the Athletics and he has struck out 38 in 27 innings this month as he is having a great June.  He has been particularly dominant over his last 4 starts with only 1 earned run allowed on 14 hits in 23 innings!  Considering those phenomenal numbers plus all the strikeouts for Lopez, we don't expect much from the Rays lineup here.  At the same time, look for the Tampa Bay starter to also deliver a gem here.  Drew Rasmussen is 6-1 since mid-May and has allowed a total of only 8 earned runs in his last 8 starts!  Yes, just 1 earned run allowed per start spanning his last 8 starts!  The Athletics enter this one on a 2-6 run and they have scored an average of only 1.8 runs in those 6 losses!  As for the Rays, they are off a 5-1 loss which was the 4th time in the last 6 games that their game has totaled 6 or less runs. Our computer math model projects a total of only 5 to 6 runs here and even if it gets to 7 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Under in this one.  

ASA WNBA play on Under 165.5 Total Points – Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics, 8pm ET - The Mystics average 79.7 points per game this season, while allowing 80.1, and over their last 10 games, they’ve scored 80.0 points while conceding 81.1. The Wings score 81.6 points per game but have a poor defensive mark, allowing 85.6. However, in their last six games, the Wings defense has been considerably better, ranking 5th in DNR at 101.1. Notably, the Mystics’ recent three-point struggles (5.2 makes at 33.3% over their last 10 games vs. 5.8 at 35.2% for the season) and Dallas’ back-to-back fatigue could limit offensive efficiency. Their June 22 matchup totaled 179 points (91-88 in OT), but regular-time scoring was 169 and barely over this number with Washington having a full roster and Dallas not playing the 2nd night of a back-to-back. In each teams last six games they have played at the 8th and 9th slowest pace in the league and rating 9th and 11th in ONR (Offensive Net Rating). We don’t see these two teams scoring more than 165 total points.

ASA CFL BC Lions vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders UNDER 49.5 Total Points, 7pm E - Both teams face quarterback uncertainty, with BC’s Nathan Rourke (oblique injury) likely giving way to Jeremiah Masoli, who emphasizes ball security over big plays, and Saskatchewan starting Jake Maier due to Trevor Harris’ head injury. Maier’s 0-6 record in Harris’ absence last season and Saskatchewan’s depleted receiving corps (missing Samuel Emilus, Shawn Bane Jr., and Kian Schaffer-Baker) limit their passing game, while BC’s offensive line, without All-Star Dejon Allen, struggles against Saskatchewan’s top-ranked rush defense (76.9 yards per game allowed in 2024). The Lions’ offense has been inconsistent (24.9 points per game, 4th in CFL), and their games have gone UNDER twice in three outings this season. Saskatchewan’s defense, allowing 24.9 points per game (4th), excels at forcing turnovers (+26 in 2024), potentially stalling BC drives. In their last two meetings in Saskatchewan in 2024 (October 12 and November 2), both games ended with exactly 47 points (39-8 and 28-19), below the current 49.5 total, with defenses dominating via interceptions (five combined in the November game) and red-zone stops. With both teams likely leaning on conservative run-heavy strategies and facing offensive injuries, a low-scoring defensive battle is probable.

#965/966 ASA PLAY ON Over 9.5 Runs – Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays, Saturday at 7:10 PM ET - While we are highly unlikely to get anywhere close to the 22-8 final in yesterday's game between these teams, plenty of scoring is again in the forecast here. The Rays have won 10 of 14 games and scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch.  The Orioles rank 5th in the majors in slugging percentage when at home this season and they are averaging scoring about 5 runs per game at home this season.  Certainly they are going to build off yesterday's 22-8 win and they should pound the Rays Littell as he has allowed 11 homers in his last 4 road starts and has allowed multiple homers in 5 of his last 6 road starts.   The Orioles Eflin started this season strong but then had a 5.64 ERA last month and has a 7.40 ERA this month!  We would not be surprised, given the above scoring stats as well as the trending of these starting pitchers, to see each club again score at least 5 runs in this one.  Either way, double digits should not be a problem here.  Our computer math model projecting 11 to 12 runs here and even if it "only" gets to 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. Over in this one! 

FIFA Club World Cup - Rotation #238197/238198 ASA PLAY ON Over 3 Goals (-135) – Al Hilal vs Pachuca, Thursday at 9 ET - Pachuca will play relaxed here as they know their fate is sealed so they may as well go out with a bang after B2B losses. Al Hilal is motivated to go hard for the victory given their situation off B2B draws so that sets this one up for plenty of goals. Al Hilal, prior to a scoreless draw last time out, had scored 3.2 goals per match last 9 matches! Pachuca, in June, had a friendly and also 2 more matches in this competition. All 3 of the games totaled at least 3 goals and Pachuca did score in all 3 of those. Look for at least 3-1 or 2-2 here, if not much more, as this one should cruise over the total.

ASA WNBA play on OVER 166.5 LA Sparks vs. Indiana Fever – 7 PM ET - The Fever Offense: Averaging 84 PPG (2nd highest number in the W), led by Caitlin Clark (18.2 PPG), Kelsey Mitchell (17.9 PPG) and Aliyah Boston (15.9PPG). They rank 4th in both pace (96.34) and Offense net rating. The Sparks Offense: Averaging 81.3 PPG, with Kelsey Plum (20.4 PPG), Dearica Hamby (16.4 PPG, 9.8 RPG) and Rickea Jackson (12.4 PPG) driving their scoring. Their games have gone OVER the total in 9 of 15 (60%) games this season. The key here is the Sparks play at the 3rd fastest rate in the league and will gladly play up-tempo with the Fever. The defensive weaknesses for both teams can be exploited by the others. The Sparks allow 87.3 PPG; Fever allow 79.3 PPG but have struggled against strong interior scorers like Hamby. With plenty of possessions and capable scorers on both sides we expect a game well into the 170's if not 180’s.

#907/908 ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs – St Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs, Wednesday at 7:45 PM ET - Look for plenty of scoring here. This is a match-up of two teams that consistently have been getting involved in high-scoring games recently and it has continued into this series.  The Cardinals have won the first two games by a combined score of 16 to 9 and have scored 7.5 runs per victory in their current 8-2 run over the last 10 games.  The Cubs have had 6 straight games reach double digits in runs and just like the weather was hot in Chicago at Wrigley Field it is the same here in St Louis right now and the bats stay hot here.  The Cardinals Fedde has a 4.36 ERA at home this season and has not been overly impressive in recent starts.  The Cubs Boyd has been great at home but struggled on the road.  0-3 with a respectable 3.22 ERA in 8 road starts but opponents have hit .272 against him in those road outings and the hot St Louis sticks will give him trouble here!  Our computer math model projecting 10 to 11 runs here and even if it "only" gets to 9 that is still a winning ticket for us. Over in this one! 

#959/960 ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs – San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals, Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET - The Nationals continue their resurgence at the plate.  They won yesterday's game 10 to 6 and have scored 29 runs in the last 4 games and all 4 of those games reached double digits.  We expect a similar result tonight.  Padres starter Bergert has good numbers this season but is a rookie and has made very few starts at the MLB level.  In fact, this will be his first ever home start at the MLB level.  We expect him to struggle some because the Nationals are so strong at the plate right now and, in fact, the Nats did a number on a normally solid Padres bullpen last night too.  We expect more of the same tonight and, speaking of bullpens, the Washington bullpen ERA is 5.95 this season which is dead last in the majors.  The Padres did some damage against it last night and will do the same here.  Also, the Nationals starter Trevor Williams has consistently struggled this season and his recent results have been no different.  Williams is 0-3 in 4 starts this month and he is getting hit at a .313 clip this month.  In looking at the Padres last 8 home games they had one low-scoring loss but averaged scoring 6 runs per game in the other 7 at home.  This total is simply too low given all of the above and we expect both teams to hit very well.  Bergert's low ERA is keeping this total below where it should be and he could struggle in first home start plus he does not work particularly deep in games either.  Our computer math model projecting 11 to 12 runs here and even if it "only" gets to 9 or 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are strong on the Over in this one with a Top Game!

#913/914 ASA PLAY ON Over 9 Runs – Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox, Monday at 9:38 PM ET - Look for plenty of scoring here. The Angels Jack Kochanowicz has allowed 4 earned runs or more in 4 of his last 6 starts including each of his last two home outings as well. His 4 starts this month have seen him complete less than 17 innings yet he allowed 6 homers in these 4 starts.  Buehler is coming off a tough season with the Dodgers in which he went 1-6 with a 5.38 ERA and now he is also struggling with Boston this season.  Buehler is 5-5 but with a 5.95 ERA overall.  Also, his road numbers are particularly ugly!  Away from home Buehler is 2-4 with a 9.23 ERA this season!  Based on current form, things are not getting any better any time soon either.  Buehler has allowed 21 earned runs in 18 innings over his last 4 starts!  Like Kochanowicz, the long ball has been a problem too with 6 homers allowed in his last 4 starts.  6 of the last 9 Angels home games have totaled at least 9 runs.  The Angels have scored 16 runs in the last 2 games.  The Red Sox are off a high-scoring series in San Francisco where 2 of the 3 games reached at least a dozen runs.  Though the Boston bullpen has been solid this season the Angels bullpen ERA is one of the highest in the majors.  With both starters struggling and the Red Sox bullpen likely called upon too early and the Angels bullpen continuing to struggle, this one should fly over the total.  Our computer math model projecting 11 to 12 runs here and even if it "only" gets to 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. Over in this one!

FIFA Club World Cup - Rotation #238137/238138 ASA PLAY ON Over 3.5 Goals (-120) – Manchester City vs Al Ain, Sunday at 9 ET - Al Ain was hammered 5-0 by Juventus and now face a Manchester City side likely hungry to do much more than they did in their 2-0 opening win.  City has the talent to dominate a match like this and is a massive favorite with good reason.  Al Ain is from the UAE and had scored 5 goals in their last 3 matches there before struggling against Juventus here in the opener of this competition.  We expect that Al Ain will work hard to get on the board here after the embarrassing shutout loss but they also don't have the defensive talent to hold off this City squad consistently for long stretches.  Manchester City is going to get their scoring chances here and many should be high quality which they bang home.  Look for at least 3-1 here, if not much more, as this one should cruise over the total.  

ASA NBA play on OVER 214.5 Indiana Pacers vs OKC Thunder, Game 7 Sunday 8pm ET - Historically, Game 7’s in the NBA in the Finals typically stay UNDER the number, but that won’t be the case tonight. The value in this number is what has us on the OVER. Every game of this series has had an O/U number of 222.5 or higher. The two teams have combined to scored 215 or more in every game but the most recent in which the Thunder pulled their starters at the end of the 3rd quarter in the blowout loss. The Thunder shot poorly in the two most recent games in Indiana by going 11 for 46 (24%) from beyond the arc. You can bet the Thunder will shoot much better at home as they have in the previous 3-games in this series where they hit 40% from Deep. OKC averaged 122.6ppg at home this season, were the 8th best shooting team in the league on their court and 7th best in 3PT%. Indiana does not have a problem playing keep up with the Thunder and will score here too. The Pacers were the 6th bet shooting team on the road this season at 48% and have found answers offensively against this OKC defense. The Pacers are averaging 109ppg vs. the Thunder in this series and hitting 36.4% from the 3-point line. This number has been adjusted too low and the value is betting OVER.

#923/924 ASA PLAY ON Over 12 Runs – Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners, Saturday at 2:20 PM ET - Very hot weather for this one and not just a south wind but a strong south wind is in the forecast here!  The wind is likely to be blowing out to center at a strong clip all afternoon!  These are the kinds of games at Wrigley Field that can result in some of the craziest outcomes with both teams slugging it out back and forth all game long.  The key here is neither one of these pitchers has been that impressive of late and there should be plenty of contact at the plate and when you have contact in weather conditions like this at Wrigley Field it plays out as a very small ballpark.  The Cubs Cade Horton is getting hit at a .274 clip in day games this season and with 15 strikeouts in 21 innings which is decent but not great.  He will be pitching to a lot of contact here and the Mariners pounded out 13 hits in their 9-4 win yesterday.  The Cubs had 4 runs on 9 hits yesterday and will do much better than that here.  The Mariners Emerson Hancock has struck out just 7 in 12 innings over his last two starts.  He also has allowed 21 hits in 15 and 2/3 innings over his last 3 road starts.  The Cubs will pound Hancock here as this will absolutely be the toughest hitter-friendly situation he has pitched in so far in his young MLB career.  Remember too that Horton is also a young hurler as he is a rookie for the Cubs so these will be his toughest conditions yet as well.  Chicago ranks 4th in the NL for slugging percentage in day games.  The Mariners rank 4th in the majors for slugging percentage in road games!  There were 6 homers hit in yesterday's game and today is even hotter and windier than yesterday's game was!  This one should be an absolute slugfest at Wrigley. Our computer math model projecting 15 to 16 runs here and even if it "only" gets to 13 or 14 that is still a winning ticket for us. Over in this one!

#955/956 ASA PLAY ON 3* Over 8.5 Runs – St Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 7:15 PM ET - The Cardinals Pallante has a 5.17 ERA at home this season and overall he is struggling this month with 12 earned runs allowed in 14 and 2/3 innings over his 3 starts.  The Reds Singer has a 5.06 ERA on the road this season and opponents are hitting .296 against him on his travels.  The Reds have been trending to the over recently.  6 of their last 7 games have totaled more than 10 runs and the Cardinals have their bats going again as well.  St Louis has scored an average of 7 runs per game during their current 4-1 run last 5 games.  Both bullpens rank 17th or worse in the majors for bullpen ERA.  Our computer math model projecting 11 to 12 runs here and even if it "only" gets to 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. Over in this one!

#953/954 ASA PLAY ON Over 9 or 9.5 Runs – Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals, Wednesday at 6:45 PM ET - We won with this pick yesterday and will come right back with it again today. Colorado is growing with confidence at the plate as they are off B2B2B wins and overall have been hitting better lately than they were earlier in the season.  In fact, the Rockies have the #1 slugging percentage in the league over the last 15 days with a sparkling .499 slugging percentage.  The Nationals have not fared so well in that regard but their slugging percentage at home this season ranks in the middle of the pack in the majors.  The key here is that Washington will take advantage of facing Marquez in this one.  The Rockies right-hander is 2-8 this season with an ERA of 6.62 and it is not just because of Coors Field.  In fact, he is 1-4 with a 7.91 ERA in his 9 road starts this season and opponents are hitting .349 against him on the road!  As for the Nationals starter here, Mitchell Parker is likely to get hammered.  He has had just one good start in his 9 outings.  In the other 8 outings, he allowed 35 earned runs!  The Nationals bullpen ERA ranks dead last in the NL and the Rockies bullpen is nearly just as bad.  Monday's game featured 5 homers between these teams and then they had 9 homers in yesterday's game!  We look for another slugfest to develop in Washington DC tonight!  Our computer math model projecting 11 to 12 runs here and even if it "only" gets to 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. Over in this one!

ASA WNBA play on UNDER 156.5 Phoenix Mercury at Connecticut Sun, 7pm ET - We like a low scoring game tonight between the Mercury and Sun and won’t be surprised if this game stays in the 140’s. Connecticut is playing the 2nd night of a back-to-back and 3rd game in four days so fatigue becomes a factor. Phoenix is rested but has a much bigger game tomorrow night against the Liberty, so as a big favorite here, may call off the dogs late in this game. Phoenix is an average team offensively ranking 7th in Net rating, the Sun are the worst offensive team in the league ranking 13th in ONR. Connecticut has scored 71 or less points in 3 straight games, 4 of their last five and 7 of their last ten games. Phoenix is 4th in Defensive Net rating at 99.6 and have held 7 of their last ten opponents to 80 or less points. Connecticut plays at the second slowest rate in the league, the Mercury are 6th in pace, but again, schedule should have them playing slower than normal tonight. Scoring is down slightly this season in the WNBA and we don’t see these two teams threatening that 155 number tonight.

ASA WNBA play on OVER 155.5 Seattle Storm at LA Sparks, 10 pm ET - We are grabbing the extra value with a contrarian bet on the OVER in this game after the line move. The Sparks score their points by playing fast with the 3rd fastest pace of play in the WNBA. They are slightly below average in terms of Offensive Net rating. Seattle plays at the second slowest pace in the W, but have the 2nd best ONR at 109.5. Seattle has the 2nd best EFG% at 55.6, LA checks in 6th in EFG% at 51.3. The Storm are 7th in Defensive Net rating at 103.9, the Sparks are 11th at 112.0. Seattle is coming off an extremely low scoring game against Golden State 70-76 but the Storm had scored 94, 89 and 83-points offensively in their three previous games. LA has been a dead-over team with a 6-1-1 O/U record in their last eight games. In the four meetings last season these two teams combined for 177, 172, 172 and 174 total points. The move is wrong here…BET OVER!

ASA NHL play on OVER 6.5 Goals – Edmonton vs Florida – Game 6 Tuesday, 8pm ET - If it’s not broken, don’t fix it! The OVER is a perfect 5-0 in the series with all five games finishing with 7 or more goals. These teams are on a 7-0 OVER streak for the season when they have faced off. There have been a high volume of shots on goal in this series with 78, 88, 64, 75 in the first four games, then just 40 in Game 5 which still produced 7 goals. Goaltending for Edmonton has been subpar as Skinner and Pickard have both looked shaky at times. Bobrovsky has allowed his fair share of goals in this series too with 16 goals against in the 5-game series. We expect the higher scoring trend to continue and will back the 100% trend of OVERS in this series. 

#903/904 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 9.5 Runs – Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals, Tuesday at 6:45 PM ET - We have been watching this one since yesterday when the lines first came out and we wanted to see how the markets reacted today!  We like what we are seeing!  We watched the total closely and the fact that this total has been holding at 9.5 runs (above the key number of 9) confirms that other sharps are looking the same way we are in this game and that it is very likely headed for double digits.  This total is at 9.5 with small juice on the over as of 2 PM ET today.  Colorado is growing with confidence at the plate as they are off B2B wins and overall have been hitting better lately than they were earlier in the season.  In fact, the Rockies have the #5 slugging percentage in the league over the last 15 days.  The Nationals have not fared so well in that regard but their slugging percentage at home this season ranks in the middle of the pack in the majors.  The key here is that Washington will take advantage of facing Senzatela in this one.  The Rockies right-hander is 1-10 this season with an ERA above 7.00 and it is not just because of Coors Field.  In fact, he is 0-5 with a 6.83 ERA in his road starts this season and opponents are hitting .408 against him on the road!  As for the Nationals starter here, Michael Soroka is likely to get hammered.  He has had just one good start in his 5 outings.  In the other 4 outings, he allowed 14 earned runs on 21 hits (6 homers!) and 6 walks and 3 hit batters in 22 innings.  The Nationals bullpen ERA ranks dead last in the NL and the Rockies bullpen is nearly just as bad.  Yesterday's game featured 5 homers between these teams and we look for another slugfest to develop in Washington DC tonight based on all of the above.  Our computer math model projecting 11 to 12 runs here and even if it "only" gets to 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are strong on the Over in this one with a Top Game!

ASA NBA play on UNDER 225 Indiana Pacers at OKC Thunder Game 5, 8:30 pm ET - The biggest factor in the equation tonight is the pace of play. The pace of play has slowed significantly for these two teams and field goal attempts are down for both teams in this series. Indiana has stepped up defensively and the Thunder are the best defensive team in the league. The entire NBA averaged 89 (x 2 = 178) field goal attempts per game in the regular season and games averaged 227 total points per game. These two combined for 168 total FGA’s per game in the first 3 games of this series and then just 158 in Game 4. The 3-point attempts for both teams are trending down in this series with 67.4 3-point attempts (NBA ave. 74.8) in Games 1-3, then just 52 in Game 4. In Game 4 we had a Scott Foster led officiating crew that was whistle happy which resulted in 71-free throw attempts which is abnormally high for a NBA game (43 league ave.) This series has now gone to a whole different level and playoff pressure and intensity will ramp up for both teams. It will result in a lower scoring game and UNDER.

ASA WNBA play on OVER 164.5 Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces, 7pm ET - We expect plenty of points in this one with our model projecting 168.3 total points. LV will be without A’ja Wilson again but they have three other double-digit scores to pick up the slack including Young and Lloyd who are coming off 28 and 21-point games against Dallas. Phoenix could also see the return of a key component today in Kahleah Copper who averaged 21.1ppg last season. The Mercury also recently got a boost with the return of Alyssa Thomas and Natasha Mack. Games involving the Aces this season have averaged 166 total points per game which is above the league average for a game of 162. Games involving the Mercury have averaged 164 total points per game and that is without two of their leading scorers missing the majority of those games. Las Vegas pushes the tempo with the 2nd fastest pace of play in the league, the Mercury are 8th, but in their last three games they’ve played at a faster rate. These teams have had some turnover from last season but the four meetings a year ago finished with 169, 186, 202 and 176 total points being scored. We expect a higher scoring game again today!

ASA CFL play on OVER 51.5 Roughriders at Tiger Cats – 7pm ET - The Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-0) face the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-1) on June 14, 2025, at Tim Hortons Field, with the Over 52 total points our wager on this game. Saskatchewan’s Week 1 win (31-26 over Ottawa) showcased QB Trevor Harris’s efficiency (73% completion, 277 yards, 2 TDs) and a turnover-forcing defense (best in 2024), bolstered by new RB Ka’Deem Carey (1,060 yards in 2024). Hamilton’s Week 1 loss (38-26 to Calgary) highlighted their pass-heavy attack (Bo Levi Mitchell: 300+ yards) and 2024 league-leading 5.23 yards per play, though their run defense struggled (150+ yards allowed). With Saskatchewan’s efficient 13.18 yards per point and Hamilton’s 13.94, plus fast-paced offenses (0.0192 and 0.0189 plays per second, respectively), the CFL’s three-down format and these teams’ scoring trends (26.6 and 25.5 PPG in 2024) support a high-scoring game, much like last year with 63 and 56 points being scored in two meetings.

ASA WNBA play on OVER 168.5 Dallas Wings at Las Vegas Aces – 10pm ET - These are two of the fastest paced teams in the league which means we will get a high possession game between these two teams. LV averages 96.98 possessions per game (3rd), the Wings average 96.82 (4th). Neither team will face much opposition defensively as the Wings have the 11th rated DNR at 109.3, the Aces have been a major disappointment on that end of the court with the 9th rated DNR at 103.5. The Aces allow opponents to make 47.3% of their FGA’s (10th), Dallas rank 11th in that same defensive category allowing foes to hit 46.7% of their attempts. The Wings give up nearly 90ppg on the season, while the Aces allow 83.9ppg, which ranks in the bottom 4 of the W. Las Vegas will be without reigning MVP Wilson in this game but they still have capable scorers in Gray and Young who should step up with Wilson sidelined. The Wings got rookie PG Bueckers back from injury in their last game who promptly scored 35-points in her return. Strangely, this line opened much lower than the current number and was bet up after the news of Wilson’s injury. We will back the move and BET OVER!

ASA CFL play on UNDER 50 BC Lions at Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 8:30 pm ET - We are betting UNDER in this game with our model projecting 44.7 total points as the O/U. BC has a game under their belt after 31-14 win over Edmonton last week. The Lions exploded for 28-points in the second half after putting up just 3-points at the break. This week it’s going to be much tougher for the Lions and QB Rourke to move the ball and put up points against a Blue Bombers defense that allowed 20.3ppg in 2024, the lowest number in the CFL. Winnipeg gave up the fewest yards per game at 329.7 a year ago and are projected to be just as good on that side of the football in 2025. The Blue Bombers will be without their starting QB Zac Collaros in the opener who is suspended for this game. Collaros led the CFL with 420 completions, 5,451 passing yards and 32 TD’s in 2024. That means the BB’s will lean on RB Oliveira, the league MOP in 2024, to carry the load offensively. BC is solid defensively as they showed last week allowing just 14-points to Edmonton, who averaged 28ppg in 2024. The Lions allowed the 3rd fewest YPG last season and PPG at 24.4ppg. In the three meetings last season these two teams produced 50-points, then 25 and 31. We like the trend of the two most recent meetings to continue and will be on the UNDER here!

ASA WNBA play on UNDER 167.5 LA Sparks at Las Vegas Aces, 10pm ET - These teams recently met in Las Vegas and produced 177 total points. That game went OVER the number of 167. Clearly the oddsmakers feel they were right with that number just over a week ago and are baiting bettors to play OVER in this game. In that game, both teams shot well above season averages with the Sparks hitting 47% overall and 29% from the 3-point line. Las Vegas sot 46% overall and 48% from Deep. There were 136 field goal attempts which is slightly higher than the league average of 133.8. We expect a regression in shooting tonight as the Sparks rank 5th in the league in FG% at 43.5%. The Aces are the 2nd worst shooting team in the W at 39.2%. After being the 5th best defensive team in the league the Aces have slipped to 8th this season. They are coming off a humbling loss to Golden State in which they allowed 95-points to the expansion Valkyries. The Sparks have had some issues on the defensive end of the court ranking 10th in DNR, but this is a big rivalry and they are coming off a solid showing against GST in which they allowed 78-points in regulation. Play contrarian here and put yourself of the UNDER!

ASA WNBA play on OVER 166.5 Dallas Wings at Phoenix Mercury, 10pm ET - We expect plenty of field goal attempts, made shots and points in this Western Conference showdown. Both teams could be getting key contributors back tonight as rookie Paige Bueckers is projected to play for the Wings and Alyssa Thomas could be in the lineup for the Mercury. Dallas is the 3rd fastest paced team in the WNBA at 97.08 possessions per game. The Mercury are around league average in pace at 96.54. Phoenix is 4th in the league in Defensive Net rating but the Wings are 3rd to last in DNR. The Wings are the highest scoring team in the league at 81.6ppg, Phoenix is11th at 78.6, but let’s not forget they have been without All-WNBA player Thomas and here 15.2ppg for the past 5 games. In the last four meetings between these two teams, one has scored 97+ points and the O/U is 4-0 with the games averaging 192.5ppg. 

ASA NBA play on UNDER 228.5 OKC Thunder at Indiana Pacers Game 3 8:30 pm ET - We cashed our OVER bet in the last game but will zig-zag here and play UNDER in Game 3. In Game 2 these two teams had huge 3rd and 4th quarters with 67 and 63 combined points. In the game there were 164 field goal attempts which is 14 less than the league average this season. These teams are averaging 100 possessions per game in this series and both teams Offensive Net ratings has dropped significantly in the first two games compared to the rest of the previous playoff series. OKC’s defense is suffocating with a Defensive Net rating of 109 in this series. The Thunder have an EFG% of 50.8% which is well below their season average of 56%. With the regression in pace of play, a shift to a new venue, defensive intensity from both teams in this crucial Game 3 we expect a much lower scoring game than the oddsmakers are suggesting.

Spain La Liga 2 Playoffs: Rotation #202009/202010 ASA PLAY ON Under 2.5 Goals (-130) – Real Oviedo vs Almeria, Wednesday at 3 ET - Strong spot for an under in the 2nd leg of this match-up.  The 1st Leg was a 2-1 Real Oviedo win and now they will look to stifle Almeria here and hang on to complete the victory.  We like the fact that Real Oviedo has allowed only an average of only 0.5 goals in going undefeated in the last 10 matches.  Yes, just 5 goals allowed in the last 10 matches.  Almeria has also been strong defensively.  Prior to allowing 2 goals in the 1st Leg of this battle, Almeria allowed only 3 goals in the last 6 matches for an average of 0.5 goals per match.  Given the situation and the recent defensive-minded performances of each of these clubs, we will confidently take the under here.   

World Cup Qualifying Europe Group Stage - Rotation #225397/225398 ASA PLAY ON Over 2.5 Goals (-100) – Croatia vs Czech Republic, Monday at 2:45 ET - Confidence up for Croatia after working out the kinks in an easy 7-0 win over Gibraltar.  Between World Championship Qualifying matches and Nations League matches, Czech Republic certainly has their goal-scoring confidence up as they have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.  They have averaged 2.5 goals scored in those 4 games and they bring plenty of confidence to this battle with Croatia.  These are the top two sides in this group and so this is a key battle and we look for both clubs to push hard for the victory and can't see either delivering a clean sheet either.  All of this translates to a 2-1 final at a minimum the way we see it and Over is the bet in this one.  

ASA NBA play on OVER 227.5 Indiana Pacers at OKC Thunder – Game 2 8pm ET - The Pacers had 20 turnovers in the first half of Game 1 and managed just 45 points. Now that they have the jitters out, they should be much better in that aspect in Game 2. Not to mention they now have zero pressure on them after stealing G1. OKC put up 110 points despite a bad shooting night of 40% overall, well below season standards of 47.7% (7th). The Pacers defense was 23rd this season in FG% defense allowing 47% so we can bet the Thunder have a much better shooting performance in G2. These teams got to 221 in the first game of this series despite the turnovers and poor shooting. There were 180 field goal attempts in G1 which is above the league average for the entire NBA during the regula season. These two teams have Offensive Net ratings of 115.4 (OKC) and 117.1 (IND) in the playoffs. In G1 they both had ONR's less than 109. We expect a return to the longterm statistical data in this one. They In the previous seven meetings between these two teams, they have combined for 232 or more points in every game. We expect a ton of points tonight.

#959/960 ASA PLAY ON Over 10.5 Runs – New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies, Sunday at 3:10 PM ET - We are surprised this total has been holding at 10.5 runs and it is go time now as we love the value on the over here.  In Friday's game, the Mets went 2 for 15 with runners in scoring position and the Rockies went 1 for 7 with runners in scoring position.  Then, in Saturday's game, the Mets went 3 for 14 with runners in scoring position and Colorado went 0 for 8.  There have been so many chances for some bigger innings in this series and it just has not yet come together.  The Rockies had a bullpen game Friday so the Mets have already seen most of the Rockies relievers in this series already plus these teams met last week In New York too.  There is a lot of familiarity and we look for a high-scoring series finale here with very nice weather conditions for this afternoon game at Coors Field.  The Mets start Tylor Megill and he struggled badly (10 hits in 4 innings) in his lone career start here.  Coors Field is so tough on pitchers and Megill enters this one off a start in which he struggled early versus the Dodgers.  If he gets in another early hole early at Colorado it is much tougher for a pitcher to turn things around in this ballpark.  As for Rockies starter Chase Dollander, he has pitched quite well on the road this season but the young hurler has struggled in his starts here in Denver.  There have already been 41 hits in the first two games of this series and we saw some big homers here yesterday.  Dolander and this Rockies bullpen will struggle to contain the Mets here. Dollander had one decent home start this season but the other 3 saw him allow 19 runs (16 earned) in just 12 innings on this mound!  Our computer math model projecting 12 to 13 runs here and even if it "only" gets to 11 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are strong on the Over in this one. 

UEFA Nations League Final - Rotation #234013/234014 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 2.75 Goals (-120) – Portugal vs Spain, Sunday at 3 ET - Yes it is the final and will be played a little more tightly at first.  But watch what happens once that first goal goes in!  The fact is we just don't see all the big-time scoring in Spain's games suddenly coming to a screeching halt!  Spain has scored an average of 3 goals in their last 8 Nations League matches.  They have also conceded an average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 matches in the Nations League.  Portugal will be challenging the questionable defense of Spain early on this one.  Portugal has averaged scoring 2.2 goals in their 9 Nations League matches.  We don't see this Spain side suddenly changing their style of play as the attacking and willingness to get into high-scoring battles is what has brought them to this point and they are the favorites for a reason. In other words, the goals should fly in this one as Spain will look to push the tempo.  

ASA CFL play on OVER 49 Edmonton Elks vs. BC Lions, 10pm ET - The BC Lions, led by dynamic quarterback Nathan Rourke, averaged 26.3 points per game in 2024 with a league-leading 412.7 offensive yards per game, with 328.7 of those yards coming via the pass. Edmonton, now quarterbacked by Cody Fajardo, is expected to improve from their 2024 offensive numbers. Fajardo threw for over 3,100 yards last season with Montreal with a 16/7 TD/INT ration. The Elks feature a strong running game led by Justin Rankin and Javon Leake, who rushed for a combined 1,400 yards last season. Edmonton’s allowed 27.8 points per game (3rd most) and BC’s defense conceded 24.4 points per game. The Elks allowed the most passing YPG a year ago at 300PYPG and can be exploited through the air. BC has one of the best receiving corps in the CFL and have high expectations for QB Rourke, who is coming off a down year. New head coach Buck Pierce, formerly Winnipeg’s O-Coordinator, wants to open up the offense, play fast and utilize his big play receivers to their full potential. This is a big game to start the season for both teams and we expect each offense to put up a big number in this game.

ASA WNBA play on UNDER 154.5 Seattle Storm at Phoenix Mercury, 10pm ET - This will be the 3rd meeting of the season for these two teams so they are very familiar with the others style of play. The first two games both stayed UNDER with 147 and 140 total points. That has been a trend for this series as 7 straight meetings have stayed below the posted O/U. Seattle is the 2nd slowest paced team in the W, the Mercury are around league average. Both are very good defensively with the Mercury having the 3rd best Defensive Net rating in the league, the Storm are 6th. Neither is great offensively with the Storm ranking 8th in Offensive rating the Mercury are 10th. These are two of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the league so neither generate many second-chance opportunities. This is a low number at 154 but our model is projecting 150.3 total points. We agree and will bet UNDER here.

World Cup Qualifying Europe Group Stage - Rotation #225345/225346 ASA PLAY ON Over 2 Goals (-115) – Albania vs Serbia, Saturday at 2:45 ET - We understand the low total here as Serbia is known for a solid back-line but there is also a lot of attacking talent on both sides here and we feel this total has been set too low.  The value of 2 being a push is a big value but we do expect 3 or more here.  Serbia has so many attacking options and they have some big guys up front that are difficult to contain in front of the goal.  Albania has been boosted in terms of attacking talent leading into this match and also Serbia has allowed 5 goals in their last 3 played away from home. Albania got to take on a weaker foe in their most recent match and will be boosted by the easy 3-0 win.  They allowed multiple goals in their two matches before the win over Andorra and will have their hands full with Serbia here but, per all of the above, both clubs should get on the scoresheet here. Over is the bet in this one.

ASA WNBA play on OVER 170.5 Los Angeles Sparks at Dallas Wings, 9:30pm ET - Defense, or the lack thereof is the driving factor of tonight’s wager. Dallas is 11th (out of 13) in the WNBA in Defensive Net rating at 107.1, the Sparks are 10th at 104.3. The Wings have allowed 83+ points in every game but one this season and allow teams to hit 45.6% (10th) of their FG attempts and 37.8% of their 3’s (11th). The Sparks D ranks 8th in both overall team FG% and 3PT% defense. LA has allowed 85+ points in 5 of their eight games this season. The Wings are the 2nd fastest paced team in the league and the Sparks play around league average. Both teams should have solid shooting nights with plenty of possessions to push this OVER 170+ total points.   

ASA NHL play on UNDER 6.5 Goals Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers, Friday 8pm ET - We cashed our OVER bet on Game 1 of the Finals but will flip to the UNDER in Game 2. These two teams got off to a fast start in the opener with 3 goals in the first 12:30 of the game. Then two more goals followed early in the 2nd period, but the defenses/goaltending settled in and were much better for the rest of the 2nd and 3rd period. Both teams have more than capable offenses but let’s not forget these two teams were 1st and 4th in Goals allowed per game at 2.39 (Panthers) and 2.82 (Oilers). Netminder Bobrovsky for the Panthers allowed 4 goals in Game 1 but that was on 46 shots by the Oilers. In his previous three playoff games he gave up 6 total goals on 91 attempts. Oilers goalie Skinner has given up 6 goals in his last two games but prior had allowed just 2 in three games on 88 shot attempts. This O/U number has been adjusted up and the value now lies on the UNDER 6.5 GOALS!

ASA CFL Over 47.5 Total Points – Toronto vs. Montreal, June 6, 2025 - In 2024, their four meetings had Over/Under lines of 51 or higher, with final scores totaling 50, 58, 65, and 58 points, clearing 47.5 in all four games. Both teams’ offensive strengths align to exploit defensive weaknesses, supporting a high-scoring affair. Toronto’s rushing attack, led by Ka’Deem Carey (1,060 yards, 7 TDs in 2024), averaged 121.3 yards per game and gashed Montreal for 500+ rushing yards across three games, including 234 in the Eastern Final. Montreal’s run defense, which allowed 115.9 yards per game and 7 yards per rush against Toronto, struggles to contain mobile quarterbacks and strong ground games, setting up Toronto to pile up points. Conversely, Montreal’s passing game, now led by Davis Alexander, averaged 251.6 yards per game in 2024 and features playmakers like Kaion Julien-Grant. Toronto’s secondary was a weak point, surrendering 321.7 passing yards per game (last in CFL) and a 71.7% completion rate. Montreal’s quick-strike passing can exploit this, especially at home, where they averaged 25.3 points per game. With Toronto’s run game and Montreal’s passing attack poised to capitalize on defensive vulnerabilities, the Over is a solid pick.

World Cup Qualifying Europe Group Stage - Rotation #225285/225286 ASA PLAY ON Over 2.5 Goals (-105) – Czech Republic vs Montenegro, Friday at 2:45 ET - Czech Republic at home favored big here. Montenegro has been scoring some goals so confidence is up on their side as well. This one sets up well for goals based on these factors. Also, Czech Republic has won 3 straight matches and all totaled at least 3 goals as it was a 4-0 win preceded by a pair of 2-1 victories including one in Nations League action. Montenegro has scored 7 goals in the last 3 matches including one in Nations League action. Before a 1-0 win over the Faroe Islands - a mismatch - Montenegro did allow 4 goals last 3 matches and now they face a much tougher foe. We see the confident visitors getting on the board here but the hosts ultimately prevailing in a match that gets to at least a 2-1 final based on the above. We are big on the over in this one on Friday. The last 3 Czech Republic matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and the last 3 meetings between these nations also have all totaled at least 3 goals. This is a double perfect spot being tested here! 

ASA WNBA play on UNDER 157.5 Golden State Valkryies at Phoenix Mercury, 10pm ET - These two teams have been UNDER plays this season with a combined 3-10-1 combined UNDER record in 2025. It adds up as the Valkyrie are the worst offense in the league, while Phoenix is better, they aren’t great. GST has an Offensive Net rating of 91.2, which is the second worst number in the W. Phoenix ranks 10th in ONR at 96.3. Golden State is 13th in overall shooting at 36.8%, also last in 3PT% at 27.5%. Phoenix is currently 9th in both FG% and 3PT% shooting. Both teams average less than 78ppg and in this scenario we don’t see either topping 75-points in this game. Bet UNDER!