#158 ASA PLAY ON San Jose State -13.5 over Central Michigan, Friday at 10:30 PM ET - Long travel for CMU and they are breaking in entirely new systems on both sides of the ball. New HC Drinkall was Army’s offensive line coach last year and this is his first FBS head coaching gig. Despite Drinkall coming over from run heavy Army, the Chips will mainly run no huddle, shotgun or pistol look. We’re not sure their personnel fit this change and it will take some time to get this offense running smoothly. QB Labas played in 6 games last year and wasn’t great completing 58% of his passes with 7 TD’s and 7 picks. We should have a solid QB edge here with SJSU’s Eget who ended last season and college football’s 18th most efficient QB. The Spartans are the more stable program right now with HC Niumatalolo (formerly at Navy) entering his 2nd season after leading them to a bowl win last year. Both the OC and DC are back as well. They were 5-2 at home last season with their only losses coming at the hands of Boise State and UNLV, the 2 top teams in the MWC who met in the Conference Championship game. They scored 30+ points in 4 of their home games and we look for their offense to be very solid again this season. CMU has lost 9 straight road games and 12 of their last 13. They lost most of their key offensive weapons and with a new system in place, we’re not sure they can keep up in this game. Lay it.

#167 ASA PLAY ON Georgia Tech -4 over Colorado, Friday at 8 PM ET - Continuity! Georgia Tech has it, Colorado does not. The Buffs relied heavily on Shadeur Sanders and Travis Hunter last season and both have moved on to the NFL. Coach Sanders philosophy is recruiting through the transfer portal which means he has a ton of turnover on his roster and now must meld players from other systems into his own. That takes time. Georgia Tech is in Coach Key’s 3rd season and has shown steady improvement under his tutelage. The Yellowjackets have had back-to-back winning seasons for the first time in a decade. Veteran quarterback Haynes King (2,114 passing yards, 14 TDs, 2 INTs, 587 rushing yards, 11 TDs) and running back Jamal Haynes (944 yards, 9 TDs, 5.6YPC) form a dynamic backfield. The Jackets had nice balance offensively last season averaging 28.9 points per game (55th in FBS), 415.3 total yards (36th), 227.6 passing yards (67th), 187.7 rushing yards (26th). Liberty transfer quarterback Kaidon Salter (5,283 passing yards, 59 TDs, 1,697 rushing yards at Liberty) takes over as a dual-threat starter for the Buffs, but must play behind a rebuilt offensive line. The key in this game is Georgia Tech’s rushing attack. Georgia Tech’s run-heavy offense (187.7 rushing YPG, 26th; 56.2% rushing plays, 37th) should exploit a Buffalo run defense that is average at best. Colorado’s run defense allowed 151 yards per game (61st) and 3.9 yards per carry (37th) in 2024. Tech had a few impressive wins on their resume a year ago and played Georgia to the final whistle in a 42-44 loss. We give a slight edge to Georgia Tech defensively and a sizable advantage offensively.

ASA WNBA play on: Seattle Storm +9 at Minnesota Lynx - 8PM ET - The Seattle Storm are coming off an embarrassing 20-point loss to the Indiana Fever, which should fuel their motivation to rebound against the Minnesota Lynx. The Storm have been favored in 18 of their last 20 games, making this +9.5-point spread seem inflated. For context, they were just +1.5 at Atlanta and +1 at Las Vegas, a clear indication the oddsmakers may be overreacting to their recent loss, or Minnesota’s home court advantage. This is the fourth meeting between these teams this season. The Storm won one game, while the Lynx took the other two by a combined nine points. With Seattle’s talent and pride on the line, they’re likely to keep this game closer than the spread suggests.

ASA WNBA play on Atlanta Dream -2.5 vs. Las Vegas Aces, 7:30 PM ET - Atlanta enters with momentum posting an 8-2 SU record over their last 10 games. The Aces however have won 11-straight. Despite a 10-0 record in the last ten games for the Aces, the Dream have the superior net rating of +14.1 compared to Las Vegas’ +11.2 in that 10-game set. In their most recent meeting in Las Vegas, the Aces edged out a 2-point victory, but Atlanta struggled, shooting only 40% from the field and 28% from three. At home, the Dream shoot significantly better, averaging 44.4% from the field and 31.7% from three-point range. With two extra days of rest compared to the Aces, who are playing their third consecutive road game, Atlanta is well-positioned for a solid home win and cover. Atlanta is 12-5 SU in their own building with an average +/- of +8.5PPG. Lay it!

ASA WNBA play on Phoenix Mercury -4 at LA Sparks – 10PM ET - These two teams are close offensively with the Sparks having the 3rd best Offensive net rating at 106.3, the Mercury have an ONR of 103.3. Defensively it’s not close as the Mercury have the 4th best Defensive Net rating in the W at 99.7 and the Sparks rank 11th in DNR at 109. L.A. has the 12th worst FG% defense in the league and 11th worst 3PT% defense. Nobody gives up more points per game than the Sparks. Phoenix has the 4th best FG% defense allowing just 42.3% by opponents, they are better defending the 3PT line ranking 3rd in the league. Phoenix has won both meetings this season which is a clear indication the Sparks don’t match up. Both teams are 6-3 SU in their last nine games but the Mercury have faced a tougher schedule. Don’t be intimidated by laying the points on the road with Phoenix as they are 10-8 SU away from home. The Sparks have a 7-10 SU home record and a negative point differential in those games by an average of -3.1PPG. Lay it here with the better all around team.

#974 ASA TOP PLAY ON New York Yankees -1.5 on the Run Line (-120) over Washington Nationals, Monday at 7:05 PM ET - The Nationals lost 3-2 yesterday to the Phillies courtesy of a solo homer in the top of the 9th (when the game was 3-1) and the 1-run bomb prevented what would have been the 15th straight time that a Washington loss was by a margin of at least 2 runs.  The point is that we have no hesitation in laying the run line here as the Yankees were already at home and got the much-needed 7-2 win over the Red Sox here in the Bronx last night.  So the Yankees can build off the momentum of that victory and we take advantage of a Nats team that has had a very rough time against good teams this season.  In fact, Washington is 26-45 against teams that currently have a winning record on the season.  The Yankees are 68-49 this season in games not played on artificial turf and they are happy to be staying home for another series here.  We really like the way rookie Cam Schlittler is throwing for the Yankees right now as he has allowed only 1 earned run on a total of just 3 hits while striking out 14 in his last two starts and those outings saw him total just under 12 innings!  The Nationals Brad Lord, on the other hand, has allowed 14 hits in about 11 innings of work over his last two starts and he just allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings versus the Mets.  The Yankees have won 8 of 12 and scored an average of 8 runs in those 8 victories.  That being said, it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is projecting another home blowout here!  We are getting some excellent value laying -1.5 runs in this one and only having to lay small juice with the Yankees here.  Lay the 1.5 runs with the Yankees Monday!

#127 ASA PLAY ON Buffalo Bills -2 over Tampa Bay Bucs, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - We were on Buffalo last week and they were embarrassed at Chicago to the tune of 38-0.  They decided on game day they would sit all of their starters which was a surprise to us.  The Bears played their starters and buried Buffalo.  The Bills head coach McDermott was obviously not happy after the performance.  “That wasn’t up to our standard, what we expect,” McDermott said. “We have a lot of work to do. It wasn’t up to our standard, that's very clear. It doesn't matter who's out there — ones, twos, threes, fours, whoever it is — we expect them to perform and we expect our level of performance to be much better than that.”  We expect a much better performance as they look for at least 1 win in the preseason for some momentum (Buffalo is 0-2).  Tampa is on the opposite end with a 2-0 preseason record.  QB Mayfield is banged up and he will most likely sit again leaving the QB duties up to Bazelak, newly signed Bridgewater, and Trask.  Last week the Bucs topped Pittsburgh 17-14 but they were outplayed drastically in the stats.  The Steelers average 5.4 YPP to just 3.8 for TB and on the ground the disparity was even more pronounced at 5.0 YPC (for Steelers) and just 1.7 YPC for the Bucs.  We expect the Bills to play with much more urgency this week after their embarrassing effort last week while Tampa, with 2 wins already, will be looking to just get to the regular season.  Lay the small number with Buffalo.

#310 ASA PLAY ON Kansas -13 over Fresno State, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET - Fresno is going through a massive change with a brand new coach staff on both sides of the ball. Their new head coach Entz was LB coach at USC last year and head coach at North Dakota State prior to that. His new offensive coordinator came from South Dakota he threw the ball only 39% of the time and played at a very slow pace. Fresno was the opposite last year throwing 56% of the time and playing much faster. It’s going to take some time to adapt. We don’t love the Bulldogs QB Warner who transferred in from Rice and simply wasn’t very good (17 TD’s and 13 interceptions) and he’s not mobile. They brought in a whopping 44 new transfers so the transition will take some time. Kansas is much more stable coming into this year with one of the better head coaches in the country in our opinion (Lance Leipold) and a stable staff. The Jayhawks went to bowl games in both of Leipold’s previous 2 seasons before falling to a 5-7 record last year. They were better than their record as they finished with a plus point differential for both the season and in conference play. They also outgained their opponents last season and finished in the top 12 nationally in YPP on offense led by QB Daniels who is back for another season. The Jayhawks were just 1-5 in one score games so if they would have had a few breaks in those losses they could have had a much better record. Their average margin of victory in their 5 wins was +20.4 points while 5 of their 7 losses came by 6 points or less. Also keep in mind they had no home field advantage last year as they played their home games at Arrowhead Stadium in KC while the renovations on their stadium were taking place. On Saturday they open that new stadium and we expect a very good atmosphere. We’ll take the more stable program at home on Saturday. Lay it.

ASA WNBA play on NY Liberty -14 vs. Chicago Sky, 7PM ET - The Sky have Angel Reese back but that just adds to their poor shooting and turnovers so it’s not really a plus. Chicago is 3-13 SU on the road this season getting beat by an average of 10PPG. The Sky are a bottom tier team defensively, rank 11th in road team FG% at 41.1% and 9th in 3PT% away from home. They face one of the best teams in the Liberty at home, who win by an average of 10+PPG, shoot 45.7% at home (3rd) and 37.8% at home, best in the W. Oh wait, the Sky will also be facing the 2nd best FG% defense in the league at home and 1st overall 3PT% D. The last time these teams met on this floor the Liberty won by 19-points. In Chicago earlier in the season they won by 25. We like the Liberty to win again in that 19-25-point range.

#974 ASA TOP PLAY ON Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 on the Run Line (+120) over Seattle Mariners, Tuesday at 6:45 PM ET - The Phillies rolled to a 12-7 win yesterday and pounded out 21 hits!  When this team gets going at home like that they are tough to beat and the Phillies lineup is looking great after also getting a boost with the return of Alec Bohm.  They are loaded with plenty of deep ball threats throughout the lineup.  That is noteworthy here as the Mariners are expected to start Bryce Miller here as he returns from injury.  Though his 3 rehab starts in the minors were respectable overall, he did allow 4 homers in 9 and 1/3 innings over his last 2 rehab starts.  The Phillies were crushing the ball yesterday and love hitting here at home.  They pounded 4 homers yesterday.  Miller is 2-5 with a 5.73 ERA this season at the MLB level and this will be a tough first start in his return from injury.  The Phillies have lefty Christopher Sanchez getting the start here and he is having a fantastic season.  Sanchez has been particularly strong at home where he is 5-0 with a 2.33 ERA in his 10 starts this year!  This is no fluke either as not only is he 11-4 overall this season, Sanchez also dominated at home last season too as he went 7-3 with a 2.21 ERA in 17 starts here.  He is facing a Seattle team that has now lost 3 straight and 5 of the last 6 and each of the last 4 losses by a multi-run margin!  13 of the last 15 Phillies wins - including 5 in a row - have been by a margin of 2 or more runs.  We are getting some excellent value laying -1.5 runs in this one and getting a plus money return with Philadelphia here.  Lay the 1.5 runs with the Phillies Tuesday!

Spanish La Liga #201838 ASA PLAY ON Real Madrid Goal Line -1.5 Goals (-140) over Osasuna, Tuesday at 3 ET - Osasuna is a large underdog here for a reason. Real Madrid is again one of the best clubs in the league while Osasuna not only finished mid-table last season, the visitors also had some key departures in the off-season. Not only that, Osasuna is on the road here and facing a Real Madrid club whose last competitive match was a 4-0 loss to PSG in the FIFA Club World Cup. In other words, Real Madrid is sure to be focused here for their season opener and they have won the last two meetings here each by an identical score of 4-0. We look for another multi-goal victory for the home side (with a huge talent advantage) as they roll big Tuesday on their home pitch. We will lay 1.5 goals with the home team here.

#429 ASA PLAY ON Buffalo Bills +2.5 over Chicago Bears, Sunday at 8 PM ET - The Bills are off a 34-25 loss last week vs the NY Giants but they played much better than the result. The Buffalo offense put up over 7.0 YPP and outgained the Giants by nearly 2.0 YPP in that loss. They put up those offensive numbers with QB Allen and RB Cook out of the line up but we expect both to play some this week. When Allen exits, we like Buffalo’s QB rotation with Trubisky, White, and Buechele. Trubisky & White have plenty of NFL experience combining to throw for over 14,000 yards and 83 TD’s. Head coach Sean McDermott has shown he does take the preseason seriously (15-10 ATS record) and he’s done well as an NFLX dog with a 4-2 ATS record in that spot since the start of the 2021 season. His teams are also 3-0 SU in the preseason when coming off a loss during that time frame. The Bears will play QB Caleb Williams in this one, however he’s been struggling to pick up on new head coach Ben Johnson’s offense in camp. When Williams takes a seat, the Chicago QB room will be without veteran Case Keenum who is out here with an injury after throwing for 2 TD’s in last week 24-24 tie vs Miami. These 2 teams have had combined practices this week and Chicago’s offensive line has had big time problems, especially at LT, with Buffalo’s defensive front. In that tie, the Bears offense averaged only 4.5 YPP. Buffalo is the deeper team which should give us an edge in the 2nd half. They’ve also had an extra day off, so to speak, after playing last Saturday while Chicago played on Sunday. We’ll take the better team, off a loss, getting points.

ASA WNBA play on Indiana Fever -6.5 at Connecticut Sun, 1pm ET - The Fever have lost two straight games and look to bounce back against one of the worst teams in the WNBA. Connecticut has an average loss margin of -4.2PPG on the season at home with a 5-11 SU record on their own court. The Sun have the lowest or worst Net rating in the WNBA at -14.9. Indiana has a positive Net rating of +3.7 and have a positive road record of 9-8 SU. Connecticut has the worst FG% defense in the league at 46.4% allowed and the 10th worst 3PT% D allowing 34.5%. The Fever should take advantage of that defense with their 4th best FG% rating at 45.2% and their 5th best 3PT% at 34.2%. The Sun have been double digit home dogs to New York and Seattle in recent weeks so laying -6.5-points here is not out of line. Indiana has beaten this team by 8 and 17-points this season and should get a double-digit win in this one.

ASA NFLx play on Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 -125 vs Cleveland Browns, 1PM ET - The Eagles hold a decisive advantage over the Browns in one key area heading into Saturday and that’s the QB position. Cleveland’s quarterback situation is a disaster, making matters worse is rookie QB Sanders (played well last week) has an oblique injury and may not play. In fact, there is talk Tyler Huntley may play the entire game against Philly. The Eagles’ offense is in the capable hands of QB Tanner McKee. McKee was an efficient 20/25 for 252 yards, 2 TD’s and 0 INT’s last week against the Bengals. Thompson-Robinson relieved McKee and was 5/8 for 56-yards. Philadelphia’s defensive front, bolstered by rookies Carter and Smith, will likely disrupt Huntley and limit the Browns’ run-heavy approach. The Eagles averaged 6.08 yards per play last week and should have success again this week against a Browns D that allowed 5.6YPPL a year ago (23rd most). Philadelphia’s depth will come through in this one and lead the Eagles to a TD+ win.

ASAwins WNBA play on Golden State Valkyries -6.5 at Chicago Sky, 7:30pm ET - The Sky have dropped 11 of their last twelve games and are in a free fall late in the season. Golden State has been one of the biggest surprises this season and currently sit 17-15 on the year. Chicago is without Angel Reese and her 30% shooting from 5-feet and in this season which is maybe a plus. The Valkyries have won 3 straight games and 6 of their last eight games overall. They are 4-1 SU in their last five road games so playing away from home hasn’t been an issue. In their most recent win over the Mystics they were up 25-points before coasting to a 88-83 win in Washington. In each team's last eight games the Valks have a positive Net rating of +3.3 while the Sky are a negative -14.7. The Chicago offense is going to have a hard time scoring against this GST defense that is 1st in FG% defense and 5th in 3PT% D. The Sky typically enjoy a rebounding advantage over most teams but won’t have that edge in this one. Lay the points with Golden State.

ASAwins NFLx play on Atlanta Falcons +4.5 vs. Tennessee Titans, Friday 7PM ET - We like the Falcons to cover the +5.5 spread against the Tennessee Titans in their preseason Week 2 matchup, for a few key reasons. The Falcons’ defense looked good in their opener against the Lions, with rookie edge James Pearce Jr. and veteran Arnold Ebiketie generating pressure on Detroit’s QB’s, which was sorely lacking a year ago. This pass rush could exploit the Titans’ offensive line, and a rookie QB, which struggled in their Week 1 loss to the Buccaneers. Tennessee managed just 201 total yards of offense against the Bucs and currently have depth concerns at running back so expect a heavy dose of rookies (Mullings and Chestnut) in the backfield. Atlanta’s third-string QB Easton Stick outshined Tennessee’s Cam Ward in their respective debuts, completing 15 of 18 passes for 149 yards and a touchdown. Stick’s efficiency, and the ability of the Falcons to convert 3rd downs 4/11, should help sustain drives against a Titans secondary that was exposed in joint practices this week and their first game. Atlanta has some injury concerns and has hinted they may play QB Cousins for a series or two before Stick takes over for the rest of the game. Either way, this number is too high according to our metrics and anything over a field goal is a buy.

#952 ASA PLAY ON Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 +110 over Pittsburgh Pirates, Wednesday at 2:10 PM ET - Brewers roll continues as they crushed Pittsburgh 14-0 yesterday following Monday's 7-1 win as well! The Brewers have won 11 straight games and they are 41-20 at home this season!  Pittsburgh, on the other hand, has lost 4 straight games and also has lost 20 of the last 33 games.  On the road this season the Pirates are 17-41.  Mitch Keller starts for Pittsburgh here and, despite a 5-10 record, has some good long-term numbers.  However, he looks to be fading here late in the season.  Keller's last 3 starts have seen him allow nearly 2 baserunners per inning!  He has walked 7 and given up 18 hits for 25 baserunners in 12 and 2/3 innings!  Another early exit could loom for him here and that means the Pirates bullpen - charged with 18 earned runs in the last 3 games - could again be an issue here.  Even if Keller has a good start here, the Brewers Brandon Woodruff has a good shot at out-pitching him by a solid margin!  Woodruff is a fantastic 22-5 the last 3 seasons combined including 4-0 this season with a 2.29 ERA!  The Brewers have also been the much better hitting team this season plus are #1 in the NL for boh batting average (.300) and slugging percentage (.493) the last 30 days!  The Pirates are the lowest scoring team in MLB and also have a paltry .324 slugging percentage in road games this season which is dead last in the majors!  Milwaukee has just 4 losses since early July as they are on a 26-4 run!  Conversely, the Pirates have 4 losses within just the past 4 days as they have lost 4 straight games and are on a  4-8 run!  6 of the last 7 Pittsburgh losses by a multi-run margin!  12 of the last 16 Brewers wins by 2+ runs!  We are utilizing the run line on the home favorite in this one for a strong play and we expect the Brewers to extend their current win streak to 12 IN A ROW with a home win by a multi-run margin again Wednesday! 

ASA WBA play on Indiana Fever -7 vs. Dallas Wings, 7:30pm ET - These teams recently met in Dallas (Aug 1st) which resulted in the Fever winning by 10-points as a -3.5-point favorite. Now Indiana is laying just a few more points at home where they 10-6 SU on the season with an average +/- of +8.8PPG. Dallas has really struggled on the road this season with a 3-12 SU record and a negative or minus -4.6PPG differential. The Wings are one of the worst offensive and defensive Net rating teams in the league ranking 9th offensively and 10th defensively. Indiana is better in both categories ranking 5th in ONR and 8th in DNR. Indiana has won 6 of eight games and are at home with 1 extra day of rest going into this game. Dallas has lost 5 in a row and 7 of their last eight games and this will be their 3rd game in five days. The Wings have lost 5 of their last six road games with all five of those losses coming by 7 or more points. The Fever have beaten this Wings team three times this season and clearly have a match up advantage. Lay it with Indiana.

ASAwins WNBA play on Atlanta Dream +4.5 at Phoenix Mercury, 7pm ET - We were on the wrong side of this matchup in the last meeting when Atlanta drubbed the Mercury by 23-points. Atlanta is 2-0 against Phoenix this season with both wins coming by double digits. Atlanta clearly has a matchup advantage that Phoenix struggles with. The Dream have won 4 straight games and 6 of their last seven. In that stretch of games they have two wins over this Phoenix team and an impressive road win in Minnesota. Phoenix has won 3 straight but we’re not as impressed with their streak as two of the wins came against Chicago and Connecticut, two of the worst teams in the W. The other win came against Indiana, but he Fever were in a tough scheduling situation playing their 4th straight road game. The big advantage the Dream have is their rebounding edge and 2nd chance opportunities. Grab the points with the Dream.

ASAwins WNBA play on Las Vegas Aces Pick'em vs. Seattle Storm, 10pm ET - We have two teams currently heading in opposite directions with the Storm on a 3-game losing streak while the Aces have won 2 straight and 4 of their last five. In fact, Seattle made a big trade for Brittney Sykes in an effort to resurrect the season. Granted Sykes is an All-Star player and very good, but it will take time for her and her teammates to acclimate themselves to each other’s style of play. Las Vegas has had their ups-and-downs this season but they seem to have things figured out with a 7-3 streak in their last ten games. This game has big playoff implications as both teams sit 16-14 overall and tied for 3rd in the Western Conference. Seattle has a 2-1 series advantage which makes this game critical for the Aces. Las Vegas has won 7 of the last ten meetings with the Storm and we like them to get #8 tonight. 

ASAwins CFL Edmonton Elks +2 vs. Montreal Alouettes (August 8, 2025) 7:30pm ET - Despite their 1-6 record, the Elks are getting less than a field goal on the road in Montreal? That doesn’t add up. Edmonton is coming off a near upset of the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last week in a close 28-24 loss. With Cody Fajardo at quarterback, Edmonton’s offense has been revitalized, as he completed 79.3% of his passes for 603 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception over his last two starts. This is particularly relevant as Fajardo faces his former team, Montreal, in a revenge game, adding extra motivation. Edmonton has covered the spread in two straight visits to Montreal and has a money-making 8-4 ATS record in their last 12 road games. QB Fajardo’s 79.3% completion rate and 8.6 yards per attempt in recent games should exploit Montreal’s secondary, which ranks third in passing yards allowed (251.2 per game) but is depleted by injuries. The Alouettes are missing key players, including starting QB Davis Alexander and top receivers Austin Mack and Tyson Philpot, weakening their offense. Backup QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson struggled last week, managing only 126 passing yards with an interception in a 34-6 loss to Saskatchewan. Montreal is 2-2 SU at home this season but one of those wins was by just 1-point. Edmonton’s last three losses have been by a combined 11 points and is an indicator this team is better than their 1-6 SU record this season. The Elks should keep this game within a field goal, if not pull off the upset.

ASAwins WNBA play on Phoenix Mercury -4 vs. Indiana Fever, 10pm ET - These same two teams recently met in Indiana with the Fever 107-101 as a 3-point dog. Phoenix is now at home, playing with immediate revenge from that loss, and laying just 1 more point. Sounds like a great opportunity to buy low on the Mercury. Both teams have played a tough stretch and each will be playing their 5th game in just 9 days. The advantage the Mercury has is that they were at home in their most recent game a win over Connecticut. The Fever are playing their 3rd consecutive road game and off a loss in Los Angeles. Phoenix is 10-4 SU at home this season with an average Margin of Victory of +7.0ppg, one of the better +/- in the WNBA. Both have similar offensive ratings and statistics, but the Mercury has a large edge defensively. We like Phoenix to get payback in this one.

ASA NFLx play on Philadelphia Eagles +6.5 vs. Cincinnati Bengals, Thursday 7:30pm ET *Bonus bet: Bengals 1st Quarter -1.5 - We can’t ignore Bengals head coach Zac Taylor’s record in the preseason of 3-12 SU, 0-5 SU the last two seasons, and will have to grab the points with Philly. Of course, that’s not the only reason, but it’s a good starting point. Taylor has publicly said he plans to play QB Burrow and other starters for the first quarter on Thursday night (we like the Bengals -1.5 1st Q), but once those players go out, the Eagles have much better depth. Eagles coach Nick Sirianni is 3-7 SU in the preseason, but did win 2 of three a season ago. The QB rotation is a critical aspect of this game, and we like the Eagles backups more than the Bengals. Plus, said backup QB’s will be facing different levels of defense and Philadelphia was significantly better than the Bengals a year ago on that side of the football. Philly is expected to play Tanner McKee and Dorian Thompson-Robinson for the majority of the game with rookie Kyle McCord seeing limited snaps late in the game. The Bengals will give Burrow and starters the first quarter but it’s highly unlikely they will jeopardize their skill players health with a ton of passing attempts. After Burrow comes Jake Browning and Desmond Ridder with Payton Thorne getting mop-up duty. Philadelphia was a top-10 defense a year ago in many key categories including: yards per point allowed, points per game allowed, yards per play allowed, total yards per game allowed. Cincinnati on the other hand was in the bottom half of the league in most key defensive categories. Late in the game when the backups are in, we like the Eagles to have more success offensively and keep this game close in the second half.

#910 ASA PLAY ON Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 on the Run Line (+115) over St Louis Cardinals, Monday at 10:10 PM ET - We approached this with some caution since the Dodgers were back east wrapping up a road trip at Tampa Bay yesterday afternoon.  However, we just do not see any way possible that the Dodgers will not pound Sonny Gray tonight.  The Cardinals right-hander has been consistently off start after start and this LA team is also much more confident (and therefore dangerous) when they are at home.  We look for the Los Angeles lineup to absolutely wallop Gray in this one as he has allowed 19 runs (17 earned) on 30 hits (including 5 homers!) in just 13 and 1/3 innings over his last 3 starts.  He was consistently rocked in each start.  The Dodgers Tyler Glasnow is off of a tougher road start but you can consider this more of a "one off" for him as he had been strong heading into that one and is also happy to be back home.  Prior to the tough road outing, Glasnow allowed only 3 runs (2 earned) on just 9 hits in 18 innings while striking out 23 in those 3 starts in July.  Yes, he dominated and two of those starts were at home and we expect he will again be fantastic here at home.  Overall, the Dodgers are 35-21 at home this season and 30-16 against teams that currently have a losing record on the season.  The Cardinals are 24-33 on the road this season and on an overall 9-19 slide in which they had 12 road losses.  In those dozen defeats away from home, St Louis scored an average of only 1.5 runs per loss!  Now they will try to keep up with a Dodgers team that is the top slugging home team in the majors and averages scoring 5.8 runs per game at Dodger Stadium!  A blowout is a high probability here and we are laying 1.5 runs with the run line in this one! 

ASAwins CFL play on Saskatchewan Roughriders -2.5 @ Montreal Alouettes - Saturday, August 2, 7:00 p.m. ET - Saskatchewan sits atop the CFL with a 6-1 record and have proven to be one of the best teams in the league. The Roughriders’ elite defense and efficient offense, led by quarterback Trevor Harris, are playing at a very high level. Montreal’s injury concerns at key offensive positions will be tough to overcome, even with this being a home game for the Als. Saskatchewan leads the CFL with 20 sacks, including eight in their Week 8 win over Edmonton. Their run defense is the league’s best, allowing just 66.9 rushing yards per game at 4.6 yards per attempt. Trevor Harris ranks fifth in passing yards with 11 touchdowns and only four interceptions. Saskatchewan averages 395.9 total yards per game (2nd in CFL) and 106.7 rushing yards per game. Montreal is without starting quarterback Davis Alexander (hamstring) and top receivers Tyson Philpot and Austin Mack, both questionable after missing practice. Saskatchewan’s defensive pressure could force errors from backup QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson as Montreal lacks a reliable rushing attack to take the pressure off him. The Alouettes rank 6th in total rushing yards per game, 7th in yards per rush at 4.9. We like the Rough Riders to keep their perfect road record intact with a 7-point win in Montreal.

NOTE: 1st Half Line is our PREFERRED way to bet this one! ASA NFL play on LA Chargers +1.5 vs. Detroit Lions, 8pm ET - The NFL season is officially here with the Hall of Fame game tonight between the Chargers and Lions. We are going to side with the Chargers in this game with our strongest bet on the 1st half with Los Angeles. The Chargers gave up 5.4 Yards Per Play defensively a year ago and 18.5PPG which was the 2nd lowest number in the NFL. In comparison the Lions allowed 21.5PPG and 5.8YPPL (29th). Detroit lost their Offensive and Defensive coordinators so expect a very vanilla gameplan tonight as new systems are being put in place. Neither team will play many starters at all including their franchise QB’s in Herbert and Goff. We like the Chargers backup QB better with Trey Lance who is schedule to play the first half of this game. Lance provides mobility which will lead to several big plays with his feet rather than his arm. The Lions are going to give Hendon Hooker a long look at QB to see if he can be Goff’s primary  backup. We like Lance with more NFL experience to outshine Hooker and the Lions in this one.

ASA WNBA play on Washington Mystics -3.5 vs. Golden State Valkyries, 7:30pm ET - We will make a small investment on the Mystic as a small favorite over the Valkyries. Washington is a respectable 9-5 SU at home; Golden State is 4-9 SU on the road. The Valkyries have an average loss margin on the road of -5.8ppg. Washington is playing their last home game of a 5-game set and faces a tough road trip, making this game very important. Washington and Golden State are currently the 8th and 9th place teams in the standings and the top 8 make the playoffs. The Valkyries are off a big road upset win over Atlanta 77-75 as a +8.5-point underdog. GST is without their leading scorer (Thornton) who is lost for the season. They did get Billings back in their last game, but she later left with another injury and is questionable for tonight’s game. These two teams have similar season long statistics but the Valkyries numbers include Thornton in the lineup. We like the home team here in a 6-point win.

ASA WNBA play on Dallas Wings +4.5 vs. Atlanta Dream, 8 PM ET - This is a great situation to back the Wings and fade a Dream team in a very tough scheduling situation. Atlanta is coming off a game last night and will also be playing their 3rd game in four days. The Dream played 6 straight road games (did get a break All-Star Week), then played one home game and are now on the road again. The Dream are a .500 road team on the season with a 7-7 SU record, but have only been road favorites 5 times, going 2-3 ATS in that role. One of those spread losses (and outright) came in Dallas against this same Wings team. Dallas is 2-2 SU in their last four games with a pair of quality wins over New York and Seattle. They are 5-3 SU in their last eight home games with one of those losses coming by 4-points to the Aces, another by 8-points to Indiana. The one blowout loss in that stretch came against Las Vegas last week when Dallas played without two starters. Dallas is one of the fastest paced teams in the WNBA and a fatigued Dream team will have a tough time keeping up in this one. Dallas beat this team 68-55 in late June and we expect them to win this game outright too.

#953 ASA PLAY ON Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 on the Run Line (-120) over San Francisco Giants, Wednesday at 3:45 PM ET - The Giants are very over-valued here. San Francisco has lost 5 straight and 11 of 13 games.  Also, the Pirates have won 4 straight and 7 of the last 8 games!  They also have the more "in-form" pitcher here.  The Giants Logan Webb has hit a big down-turn in form as he has allowed 16 earned runs in his last 3 starts and he did not even total 16 innings in those 3 starts.  His ERA is in the range of 10.00 last 3 starts!  As for the Pirates Mike Burrows, he has been strong in 4 of his last 5 starts.  In those 4 outings he allowed a total of only 3 earned runs on just 13 hits over 20 and 1/3 innings.  Hotter team and hotter pitcher and this is a situation offering solid line value on the run line.  We are going with the +1.5 runs with the run line in this one!

#980 ASA PLAY ON Houston Astros -1.5 on the Run Line (-120) over Washington Nationals, Monday at 8:10 PM ET - The Astros are still at home but off an embarrassing 4-GAME sweep at the hands of the Athletics.  We can sense what is coming here after that embarrassment!  Houston has a solid pitching edge here with Framber Valdez over Brad Lord in this one.  Washington's Lord is 2-5 this season.  Though he has a decent ERA, Lord has struggled more as a starter than a reliever.  He is back in the rotation again and has allowed 22 hits in 16 and 1/3 innings over his last 4 starts.  Lord got hit hard in his first start back in the rotation.  The Astros Valdez loves pitching at home where he is 5-1 with a 1.66 ERA this season.  Overall, he is an incredible 10-0 in his last 10 decisions dating back to early May!  Washington is 9-18 against left-handed starters this season.  Houston is 23-13 in interleague games.  The Nationals are 21-40 against teams with a winning record this season.  The Astros were 33-19 at home this season prior to losing 4 straight to the Athletics.  This is the perfect spot for a huge bounce back game for Houston.  Lay the 1.5 runs with the run line here. 

ASAwins WNBA play on NY Liberty -7.5 at Dallas Wings, 8pm ET - The Wings are off a game Sunday in which they were +8.5-point home dogs to the Aces and were promptly blown out by 26-points. The Aces are not on the level of the Liberty and yet this line is the same. The Liberty have the 2nd best Net rating in the league at +10.3 compared to Dallas at -4.6. The Wings are 1-6 SU in their last seven games and are in a tough scheduling situation with this being the second night of a B2B and their 3rd game in four days. New York had won 5-straight games and were playing outstanding before a loss last time out at home to the Sparks 99-101. We like them to bounce back here with a double-digit win. In this most recent 5-game winning streak the Liberty had impressive wins over some of the leagues best teams in Phoenix, Indiana (twice) Atlanta and Las Vegas. The last two times the Liberty have played the Wings on this court they have won by 32 and 14-points. Back New York in this one.

ASA CFL play on British Columbia -2.5 vs. Hamilton – 7pm ET Sunday - Let me get this straight, the 4-2 Eastern Division leader Tiger-Cats are an underdog at 3-4 and 4th place in the Western Division British Columbia? You bet we are going contrarian here and taking the home favorite while the public supports Hamilton. Hamilton’s 4 wins this season have come against Ottawa, Toronto and Montreal (at home). Ottawa and Toronto along with Edmonton are looking like the three worst teams in the CFL with 1 win each. The Tiger’s have great offensive numbers, leading the league in scoring, but they are one of the worst rushing teams and average in terms of Yards Per Play. Defensively the Tigers have some misleading statistics from playing some of the worst offenses. BC is at home here and desperate to stay in contention in the West, trailing Winnipeg, Saskatchewan and Calgary in the standings. The Lions have faced the much tougher schedule with two games against 6-1 Saskatchewan, two versus 3-2 Winnipeg and one against 5-2 Montreal. BC can run it effectively at 5.4 yards per rush and 100 yards per game. The home team has won 4 straight in this series and we expect BC to win this game by more than a FG.

ASA WNBA play on Indiana Fever -9 at Chicago Sky, 3pm ET Sunday - We like Indiana over Chicago today for several reasons including their superior Net Rating (+4.8 vs. Chicago’s -12.9), elite shooting (4th in EFG%), and Chicago’s league-worst turnover rate. The Sky’s -8.3 PPG scoring differential and 11th-ranked EFG% will make it difficult to keep up with Indiana’s balanced attack. Indiana recently beat this Sky team by 27-points on this same court and did it without Clark. In the other meeting this season the Fever won by 35. Indiana clearly has a match-up advantage over the Sky and it’s paid off for Fever supporters as they’ve covered 8 of the last ten meetings. We like the Fever to get a double-digit win here.

ASA WNBA play on Washington Mystics +4.5 vs. Seattle Storm, 7:30pm ET - These same two teams recently met in Seattle with the Mystics winning as a +7-point underdog. Now the Mystic, who are a solid 7-4 SU at home, are catching 4-points, which doesn’t add up. Washington controlled the boards and points in the paint in the previous meeting and have that advantage again in this matchup. Washington is one of the better rebounding teams in the league, especially defensively, ranking 4th in the WNBA. Seattle is the 12th worst defensive rebounding team in the W. The Mystics do have a negative scoring differential at home of minus -3.1ppg and Seattle has a plus 3.0 scoring differential on the road, but that number will get a Mystics cover. Washington has won 4 straight on their home court and two of those wins came against the Lynx and Aces. We expect another tight game between these two teams and our model projects a 1-point Seattle advantage. Take Washington.

ASA WNBA play on Dallas Wings +4 at Golden State Valkyries, 10pm ET - We like the fact that the Wings have a game under their belts after the All-Star break while the Valkyries don’t. Dallas played and beat a very similar team to the Valkyries in the Seattle Storm the other night. Golden State/Seattle are very good defensively but both struggle offensively. Dallas has no problems on the offensive end of the court but have struggled defensively, but that should change with the return of Dijonai Carrington. Dallas hit 45% overall and 43% from Deep against the Storm and can outscore the Valkyries in this one as they did earlier this season with a 80-71 win. Golden State has exceeded expectations this season but are just 1-5 SU in their last six games. We will ride the momentum with Dallas and the points in this one. 

ASA WNBA play on Phoenix Mercury -7.5 vs Atlanta Dream, 10pm ET - The Dream are coming off a game last night in Vegas and two starters logged 35+ minutes. Atlanta also played without Rhyne Howard who is averaging 16.5ppg, 4.5apg and 1.6spg, who is not expected to play tonight. Phoenix has been a surprisingly good team this season with a 15-7 SU record, 9-3 SU at home. The Mercury have an average +/- at home of plus 7.8ppg which is the 4th best scoring differential in the W. Phoenix has won 4 of their last five at home with the lone loss coming by 3-points to the Liberty. Recently the Mercury were favored by -6-points at home against a far worse team in Dallas and yet they are laying a bigger number here. That makes you wonder why the oddsmakers have adjusted this number as much as they have. They clearly know something we don’t. Atlanta is 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five road games and all four of those losses came by 7 or more points, three of which were by double-digits. We like the Mercury minus the points here.

ASAwins WNBA play on Dallas Wings +9.5 at Seattle Storm, 10pm ET - We were on the wrong side of the Wings in their last game as they played extremely well against the Aces and nearly pulled the upset. Arike Ogunbowale returned for that game and should be near 100% here after the All-Star Break. The Wings average 85.0 points per game (4th in the WNBA) and can hold their own on the boards with the #1 rated offensive rebounding rate in the league. The Storm’s Struggles as Favorites: When favored by -7 or more points this season, the Seattle Storm have a 0-6 record against the spread (ATS). Head-to-Head Trends: In their last seven road games against the Storm, the Wings have a 5-1-1 ATS record, showing they’ve historically kept games close or covered the spread in Seattle. The Wings rank 4th in offensive efficiency (106.2 points per 100 possessions) but struggle defensively (111.4 points allowed per 100 possessions, 11th in the league). However, Seattle’s offense has been inconsistent, averaging 100.3 points per 100 possessions (10th), which could allow Dallas to stay within single digits if they capitalize on turnovers (forcing 14.0 per game) and O-boards. Seattle had 3 players in the All-Star game and that distraction could carry over here. Grab the generous points with the Wings.

#920 ASA PLAY ON Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 on the Run Line (-105) over Boston Red Sox, Monday at 6:45 PM ET - Zack Wheeler is expected to start for the Phillies here.  The ace Philly right-hander is off a tough road start but has fantastic numbers this season and has been particularly dominant here at home.  In fact, the Phillies are a PERFECT 5-0 in his last 5 home starts and Wheeler allowed a TOTAL of only 3 earned runs in those 5 starts!  Wheeler loves pitching in Philly and has been dominating again here this season!  The Red Sox pitching situation is much different than that of the Phillies here as Walker Buehler gets the start.  Buehler has an 8.66 ERA on the road this season where opponents have produced a .342 batting average against him!  The Phillies are off a loss and will bounce back here at home after losing here yesterday when Suarez had a rare bad start.  The Red Sox were hot before the break but most of those wins were at home.  On the road, prior to yesterday's win, Boston had lost 7 of last 10 and they did stumble in the first two games after the break.  Now with the Red Sox off a win and Phillies off a loss this looks like the perfect spot for a home blowout.  Lay the run line in this one!   

ASA CFL play on BC Lions -2.5 vs. Saskatchewan Rough Riders, 7pm ET Saturday July 19, 2025 - We like the BC Lions versus the Saskatchewan Roughriders today, partly fueled by revenge from their 37-18 loss on June 28, 2025. BC’s league-leading passing offense (295.6 yards per game) and top-ranked pass defense (6.2 yards per attempt allowed) give them an edge against Saskatchewan’s 8th-ranked opponent net offense (356.1 yards). Despite Saskatchewan’s elite run defense, BC’s balanced rushing attack (105.4 yards per game) and passing attack with Nathan Rourke have the overall edge in this matchup. The Lions have faced a daunting schedule and yet their defense is 1st in opponent net offense. Saskatchewan lost last week to Calgary and was exposed in the process. The Lions have gained some momentum with two straight wins over Edmonton and Montreal and should be highly motivated for some payback against the Rough Riders today. Lay the short number.

ASA CFL Winnipeg Blue Bombers -3 vs Calgary Stampeders 8:30 pm ET (July 18, 2025) - The Calgary Stampeders (4-1) take on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-1) in a Week 7 CFL showdown at Princess Auto Stadium. Calgary dominated their last meeting, winning 37-16 in Week 5, with Vernon Adams Jr. outshining Zach Collaros, who threw two costly interceptions, both returned for TD's. The Stampeders’ offense ranks 2nd in the CFL (410.0 yards/game), and their defense leads the league, allowing just 18.2 points per game. Winnipeg, coming off a bye, looks to leverage their home-field advantage and running back Brady Oliveira to rebound. The Bombers’ offense (4th, 382.2 yards/game) is more than capable of keeping pace. The Blue Bombers are motivated to avenge their earlier loss, and their bye week allowed strategic adjustments to counter Calgary’s aggressive defense. Collaros should exploit Calgary’s 6th-ranked pass defense (279.4 yards/game), while Oliveira establishes the run. Winnipeg has won 8 of the last ten meetings with Calgary and the home team has won 3 straight in the series. THe Bombers have a pair of double-digit home wins this season and should get another one here.

ASA CFL play on Hamilton -5 vs Ottawa – 7pm ET - The Tiger-Cats are coming off a strong 35-17 victory over the Montreal Alouettes, led by quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell and receiver Kenny Lawler. Ottawa, meanwhile, suffered a 39-33 loss to the Edmonton Elks, struggling defensively and missing key players. Hamilton's offense has been clicking, averaging 30.4 points per game in their last three outings. In their Week 5 win over Toronto, Mitchell threw five touchdown passes, three to Lawler, who has 15 receptions for 215 yards and four touchdowns this season. The Tiger-Cats' defense stepped up against Montreal, holding them to 17 points and scoring two touchdowns (one via rookie linebacker Devin Veresuk and another by veteran Julian Howsare). They forced multiple turnovers, which could exploit Ottawa’s struggling offense. The Redblacks’ defense is allowing a league-worst 30.0 points per game and has failed to cover the spread in all four losses this season (1-4 ATS). Their secondary is particularly vulnerable, which plays into Hamilton’s passing attack strengths. In their last meeting (Week 21, 2024), Ottawa edged Hamilton 37-31, but Hamilton’s running back Greg Bell ran for 151 yards in two games against Ottawa last season, indicating they can exploit Ottawa’s run defense. Hamilton benefits from two additional days of rest and preparation, having played on July 4, while Ottawa played on July 6. We like the Tiger-Cats by more than a TD.

ASA WNBA play on Chicago Sky +11.5 vs. Minnesota Lynx, 1pm ET - I’m not a fan of the Sky and it’s not easy to bet on them, but I’ll make an exception here and grab the points with Chicago. Minnesota is in a tough scheduling situation here as they just played two consecutive days on the West Coast Wednesday and Thursday and are now back in Chicago playing in a different time zone. The Lynx have the best overall Net differential in the W at +14.1 on the season but in their last 5 games that number dips to +9.2. Chicago is trending in a positive direction with a 3-3 SU record in their last six games. The three losses in that stretch were very competitive with 5-point losses at Golden State and Minnesota along with a 2-point defeat in Washington. In their last five games the Sky have a Net rating of +1.8 which is significantly better than their season Net differential of -10.9. These same two teams met in Minnesota earlier this week with the Lynx winning by 5-points as a -14.5-point chalk. We expect the Sky to keep this game within single-digits.

ASA CFL play on Saskatchewan -5 vs Calgary, Friday 9pm ET - The Saskatchewan Roughriders (4-0) face the Calgary Stampeders (3-1) on July 11, 2025, at Mosaic Stadium in a pivotal CFL Week 6 clash. Both teams boast elite rushing attacks, led by Saskatchewan’s AJ Ouellette (CFL’s top rusher) and Calgary’s Dedrick Mills (second in rushing). However, Saskatchewan’s rush defense is a major advantage, allowing a league-best 66.5 yards per game compared to Calgary’s porous 111.3 yards allowed. The Roughriders give up just 4.6 yards per rush while the Stampeders allow a league worst 5.9 yards per carry. Saskatchewan’s offense averages 33.8 points per game (1st in CFL), powered by Trevor Harris’s 72.5% completion rate and 10.1 yards per pass attempt. Calgary’s recent 37-16 win over Winnipeg was a bit deceiving as they benefited from two pick-sixes, an unlikely repeat against Saskatchewan’s disciplined offense. The Roughriders’ undefeated record, home-field advantage, and superior run defense have us making a wager on Saskatchewan minus the points.

#924 ASA PLAY ON Boston Red Sox -1.5 on the Run Line (-140) over Colorado Rockies, Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET - You might think Antonio Senzatela has bad numbers only because he pitches his home games at hitter-friendly Coors Field. However, he actually is 1-6 with a 6.32 ERA on the road so it is not as if things have been great for him away from Coors Field. The Red Sox Lucas Giolito, on the other hand, had a couple of uglier home starts this season but has since completely turned things around.  Giolito is in fantastic current form as he has allowed only 3 earned runs on just 20 hits in 32 and 2/3 innings over his last 5 starts! He delivered quality starts in all 5 starts and that included a pair of gems here at home in Fenway Park.  Boston also has a solid bullpen while Colorado's bullpen ERA ranks among the worst in the majors.  The Rockies, with yet another very ugly loss yesterday (we were on Boston -1.5 in the 10-2 win yesterday), have dropped to 11-35 on the road and 8-50 against teams with a winning record this season. The Rockies have lost 14 of 18 games and the Red Sox have won 5 straight and 8 of the last 10 games! Also, Boston is 16-10 in interleague action and 39 of their 48 wins this season have been by a margin of 2 or more runs. The Rockies last 24 losses featured 20 defeats by 2 or more runs! The Red Sox have scored 79 runs in their last 8 wins so they are not just beating teams recently, they are blowing them out. Similar to Monday's 9-3 win and Tuesday's 10-2 win, another blowout victory here and we are laying 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!

FIFA Club World Cup #238054 ASA PLAY ON Paris Saint Germain Goal Line Pick'em (-135) over Real Madrid, Tuesday at 3 ET - PSG is considered the best club in the world.  That said, even though Real Madrid is also a powerhouse, it is hard to pass up on the value here with PSG available at a reasonable price on the goal line at a pick'em in this one.  Mbappe likely will start in this match for Real Madrid and he faces his former club here.  However, as talented as Mbappe is, has he really meshed perfectly with his teammates in his first season at Real Madrid?  Truly he has not and that is why it is the more cohesive PSG group that actually should prevail here in this battle.  They are so strong (including defensively) as they have allowed only 1 goal in this tournament while Real Madrid has allowed 4 thus far.  We expect PSG to frustrate the attack-minded Real Madrid and get the win here to advance to face Chelsea for the FIFA Club World Cup title. The odds favor PSG earning at least a draw in this one and we expect even more with the win and a cashed ticket, rather than a push with a draw that goes to extra time, for us here. We will take Paris Saint Germain on the goal line in this one. 

#748 ASA PLAY ON Boston Red Sox -1.5 on the Run Line (-115) over Colorado Rockies, Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET - You might think Kyle Freeland has bad numbers only because he pitches his home games at hitter-friendly Coors Field. However, he actually is 1-5 with a 4.50 ERA on the road so it is not as if things have been great for him away from Coors Field. The Red Sox Brayan Bello has a 2.97 ERA over his last 6 starts and he delivered quality starts in all 5 starts he made in the month of June! The Rockies are 11-34 on the road and 8-49 against teams with a winning record this season. The Rockies have lost 13 of 17 games and the Red Sox have won 4 straight and 7 of the last 9 games! Also, Boston is 15-10 in interleague action and 38 of their 47 wins this season have been by a margin of 2 or more runs. The Rockies last 23 losses featured 19 defeats by 2 or more runs! The Brewers have scored 69 runs in their last 7 wins so they are not just beating teams recently, they are blowing them out. Similar to Monday's 9-3 win, another blowout here and we are laying 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!

ASA WNBA play on Washington Mystics -6 vs Chicago Sky, 11:30am ET - This is a very early tipoff at 11:30am ET so be sure to get your action in ASAP. The Sky were in a perfect scheduling situation the other day when they covered against Minnesota in a loss 75-80. Those results have impacted this line which gives us value with Washington. The Mystics were recently favored by -4-points in Chicago and are now laying a number slightly higher than that at home. Washington won that most recent clash 79-72. The Mystics were playing well with a 5-2 run before losing two straight to Dallas and then Minnesota, both on the road. Prior to that though they had impressive wins over Las Vegas and Minnesota. Chicago has the 2nd worst overall Net rating in the league at -10.9. They are awful offensively and defensively, ranking 11th and 12th respectively in those two categories. Washington isn’t a whole lot better offensively, but they are solid defensively, ranking 8th in DNR. Chicago has 5 wins on the season and they’ve come against the Sun, Sparks and Wings, the bottom three teams in the league along with the Sky. We like the Mystic to bounce back after their two most recent losses and notch a big home win over the Sky early on Tuesday.

ASA WNBA play on Golden State Valkyries +6.5 at Atlanta Dream, 7:30pm ET - We lost the other day with GST against the Lynx, but we will come right back with another wager on them here against the Dream. Atlanta has had their fair share of ups and downs this season and are currently trending down with a 1-3 SU record in their last four games. On the season the Dream have the 4th best Net rating in the league at +6.4. Golden State has been a huge surprise in their inaugural season with a 9-8 SU start to the season. They have covered 7 of their last ten games and in their last five games they have the second-best Net rating in the W at +15.5. Atlanta relies heavily on their rebound rate advantage over opponents, but they don’t have that luxury in this game against GST. The Valkyries are 2nd in the league in opponents rebound percentage, 3rd in Offensive Rebound percentage. These two teams haven’t met this season so both will be a little unfamiliar with the other teams concepts. We expect a tight game throughout and will take the points and the dog.

ASA CFL play on Edmonton +2 vs. Ottawa, 7pm ET - Despite their 0-3 record, Edmonton’s offense, led by the promising Tre Ford, showed efficiency in a near-upset against Winnipeg, and they face an Ottawa defense allowing 365.5 yards and 27.8 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league. Ottawa’s offense, averaging just 20.0 points (9th in CFL), struggles on the road (2-8 in their last 10), and their inconsistent quarterback play may not capitalize on Edmonton’s 9th-ranked pass defense (215.0 yards per game). Historical this has been a low-scoring series, with the Under hitting in 11 of their last 14 meetings, which favors Edmonton and the points in a gritty, competitive game.

ASA WNBA play on Chicago Sky +15.5 at Minnesota Lynx, 7pm ET - The Lynx are in a tough scheduling situation here having played last night against Golden State. This is their 3rd game in four days and 4th in six days. Chicago meanwhile has been off since June 29th and will be well rested for this contest. The Sky have actually played better of last with a pair of wins on the LA Sparks and a 5-point loss to the Valkyries. Last season, the Sky played the Lynx well in two of the three meetings with two losses coming by just 8 and 5-points respectively. Chicago is one of the best rebounding teams in the league and should get enough second chance baskets and limit the Lynx’s on the glass to keep this game within margin. Grab the points with Chicago.

#959 ASA PLAY ON Detroit Tigers -1.5 on the Run Line (-120) over Cleveland Guardians, Sunday at 1:40 PM ET - The Guardians have lost 9 straight games.  We are well aware of the fact that the last 4 of those defeats have been by one run but this followed a stretch where each of their 7 losses were by 2 or more runs.  The big key though is that the Tigers are starting Tarik Skubal here and Detroit is 5-0 in his last 5 starts and all 5 wins were by at least a 2 run margin.  The Guardians slump is likely to continue here as Skubal already dominated Cleveland when he faced them in May and delivered a complete game 2-hit shutout in which he struck out 13 also!  As for the Guardians starter, Gavin Williams, look for continued struggles here.  Williams has allowed 8 runs (7 earned) in 11 innings over his last two starts and he also walked 7 while striking out just 4 in those 2 outings.  The Tigers have won 8 of 12 and should dominate again here with their ace on the mound Sunday afternoon.  A blowout is likely here and we are laying 1.5 runs with the run line in this one! 

ASA WNBA play on Golden State Valkyries +10 at Minnesota Lynx, 8pm ET - Minnesota’s one of the best teams in the WNBA which has them as huge favorites here, but the +9.5 spread is steep. The Valkyries’ rebounding edge and defensive tenacity, combined with their ability to stay competitive as underdogs, will allow them to keep this game within single digits. Their recent blowout win and reintegration of EuroBasket players (Salaün, Zandalasini, Fagbenle) further bolster their chances. The Lynx’s Napheesa Collier (24.4 PPG, 52.5% FG) is a mismatch, but Golden State’s hustle and second-chance opportunities should mitigate her impact. Golden State is playing at a very high level right now with a 7-3 SU record in their last 10 games. In fact, in the Valkyries last 5 games they have a Net rating of +15.5 which is only slightly lower than the Lynx at +17.8. Expect a tight game here and grab the points with Golden State.

ASA play on Montreal Alouettes -2.5 vs. BC Lions (July 5, 2025) 7pm ET - Montreal’s elite defense, allowing a league-low 308.0 yards per game and forcing 12 turnovers (tops in the CFL), should exploit BC’s turnover-prone offense (seven interceptions this season) and struggling defense, which surrenders 32.7 points per game over their last three losses. Montreal’s stout run defense (70.5 yards allowed per game) will likely neutralize BC’s James Butler (262 rushing yards), forcing quarterback Nathan Rourke into a high-pressure passing game against a secondary allowing just 193.3 yards per game. Offensively, McLeod Bethel-Thompson should rebound at home, where Montreal boasts an 11-4 straight-up record in their last 15 games. With a 3-1 record against the spread and 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 against BC, the Alouettes are primed for a bounce back win after their first loss of the season last week to Hamilton.

ASA CFL play on Calgary Stampeders +4.5 vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 9pm ET - This number is clearly inflated due to the BB’s 3-0 record and their +13ppg scoring differential. Calgary has had a few extra days off and is coming off an embarrassing home loss to the Roughriders 12-20 as a 3-point favorite. We expect the Stampeders to bounce back at home in this situation. Calgary actually has the better Yards Per Play differential than Winnipeg with the Stampeders owning the best Net Yards offense in the CFL. Last season, these two teams met twice in what resulted in very close games with the home team winning both. Calgary beat Winnipeg last season (+3.5) at home 22-19 in OT and we expect similar results this season in a slightly higher scoring game. Graby the points!

ASA WNBA play on Minnesota Lynx -6 vs. Indiana Fever, 8pm ET - The Commissioner’s Cup will be electric tonight when the Fever and Lynx square off in Minnesota. Caitlyn Clark is questionable for tonight’s game but she is a HUGE draw for Iowa fans that will make the trip for this game. The Lynx have great home crowd support so this should be a fun environment and a big game atmosphere. Last season I distinctly remember watching the first meeting (of three) between these two teams in Minnesota and the Lynx were shellshocked by the Clark Fever and the crowd support in their home stadium. After that loss the Lynx made a statement with two double-digit wins in the next two meetings. Minnesota is the best team in the WNBA with arguably one of the two best players in the league in Napheesa Collier. The Lynx are 14-2 SU on the season and 8-0 at home with an average margin of victory of +16.3ppg. Indiana is 8-8 SU overall on the season, 4-4 SU on the road with an average MOV away from home of +0.5ppg. Minnesota is clearly the superior team with a Net rating of +14, compared to the Fever at +5.5. Minnesota has won 26 of their last thirty home games and a serious title contender this season. Indiana is improved, but a .500 record in their last 20 road games and the uncertainty of Clark has us on the Lynx in their own building.

ASA WNBA play on Seattle Storm -5.5 at Golden State Valkyries, 8:30 pm ET - These two teams met earlier in June with the Valkyries winning 76-70 as a 10-point home underdog. The difference today is that Golden State will be missing four, potentially 5-players from that previous meeting. Three players are in Europe competing for their National teams and starting PG Leite has missed 3-games with a back injury. Seattle is playing well and looking for a little payback after their loss here earlier this month. The Storm have won 4 of their last five games and 7 of their last nine overall. In looking at the Storm’s last ten games we see they have the 2nd best Net rating in the league at +8.9, only behind the Minnesota Lynx. They have the best overall Offensive Net rating in that stretch of games and 3rd best Defensive Net rating. GST has played above expectations all season long and deserve a ton of credit for being 8-7 on the season, but depth is going to be a major factor in today’s outcome and too much for the Valkyries to overcome. The Storms last four road wins have all come by 7 or more points.

#918 ASA TOP PLAY ON Detroit Tigers -1.5 on the Run Line (-120) over Minnesota Twins, Sunday at 7:10 PM ET - The Twins, after yesterday's 10-5 beatdown, have now lost 16 of 22 games!  The Tigers have won 4 of 6 games and also are 29-14 at home this season and each of their last 11 wins have been by 2 or more runs so we are very comfortable with the run line here.  Part of the reason for that comfort level here is certainly a big pitching edge as well.  The Twins Chris Paddack has allowed 16 earned runs on 23 hits in 14 innings spanning his last 3 starts.  A brutally tough stretch for him.  As for the Tigers Tarik Skubal, he is having another dominating season and yet we catch him off a rare subpar outing.  It was not brutal but was not Skubal-like numbers and he is sure to respond here at home.  Prior to allowing 4 earned runs in 6 innings in his last start, Skubal allowed a TOTAL of only 3 earned runs over his 5 preceding starts!  He has been in top form while Paddack, on the other hand, has resumed his early season struggles.  The point is that this sets up as a starting pitching mismatch and also note that the Tigers bullpen ERA is 13th in the majors while the Twins bullpen ERA ranks 23rd in the majors.  The Twins are 5-10 against left-handed starters and they are 8 games under .500 on the road this season.  Detroit is 30-14 against teams that currently have a losing record this season.  Paddack has a 3-6 record this season and Skubal is 9-2 on the season with a 2.29 ERA.   All signs point to another strong home win here.  Similar to yesterday's 10-5 win, another blowout is likely here and we are laying 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!  

ASA CFL play on: Toronto Argonauts +2 vs. Ottawa Redblacks, 7pm ET - The Toronto Argonauts (0-3) are poised to upset the Ottawa Redblack (1-2) outright in their Week 4 CFL matchup on June 29, 2025, at TD Place Stadium. Toronto is a desperate team at 0-3 and should be highly motivated after losing late last week on a 99-TD on a kickoff return. Toronto’s historically has dominated Ottawa—winning 7 of their last 8 meetings going back to 2022. The Argo’s have won 4 of the last five meetings in this stadium. The Argonauts’ offense, led by QB Nick Arbuckle, averages just 20.3 points per game, but should bust-out facing a Redblacks D that allows 390YPG, 2nd most in the league. Ottawa’s league-leading penalty count (25 for 231 yards through three games) will disrupt their rhythm, while Toronto’s defense, anchored by LB Wynton McManis, could capitalize on QB Dustin Crum’s inexperience in his second start since 2023. The Argo’s defensive numbers aren’t great but they have faced 2 of the league’s top three offenses this season. We like Toronto to get their first win of the season.

#958 ASA PLAY ON Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 on the Run Line (-115) over Colorado Rockies, Saturday at 4:10 PM ET - You might think Antonio Senzatela has bad numbers only because he pitches his home games at hitter-friendly Coors Field. However, he actually is 1-5 with a 5.79 ERA on the road so it is not as if things have been great for him away from Coors Field. The Brewers Quinn Priester has a 3.69 ERA at home this season plus he is 3-0 with a 2.66 ERA in the month of June! The Rockies are 10-32 on the road and 8-49 against teams with a winning record this season. The Rockies have lost 4 straight and the Brewers have won 3 straight and also are 23-12 when facing teams that are currently below .500 on the season. The Rockies last 17 losses featured 15 defeats by 2 or more runs! The Brewers have scored 66 runs in their last 7 wins so they are not just beating teams recently, they are blowing them out. Similar to yesterday's 10-6 win, another blowout here and we are laying 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!

ASA CFL play on Hamilton Tiger Cats +2 vs. Montreal Alouettes, 7:30 pm ET - Hamilton’s league-leading passing attack (6.65 offensive yards per play, 311.5 passing yards per game) led by Bo Levi Mitchell and Kenny Lawler should exploit Montreal’s secondary (6.7 yards per pass allowed), while their bye-week rest and home-field advantage certainly factor in. Montreal is playing their 4th straight game overall and 3rd straight on the road. Montreal’s defense (5.28 yards per play allowed) has been solid, but it’s also aided by the league’s best turnover margin (+14 historically). Hamilton’s ability to generate big plays and keep the game close makes the +2 spread a value bet, with an outright win likely.

ASA CFL play of Winnipeg Blue Bombers -10.5 vs. Edmonton Elks 8:30pm ET - The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are 2-0 on the season and looking like a strong contender for the Grey Cup. We like them to cover the -10.5 spread against the Edmonton Elks tonight at Princess Auto Stadium. Winnipeg’s fast start features a league-best defense allowing just 17.0 points per game, contrasting with Edmonton’s 34.5 points allowed, the worst in the CFL. The Bombers’ offense averages 30.5 points, outpacing Edmonton’s 21.0, while their 6.5 yards per play dwarfs Edmonton’s 5.2. Winnipeg’s 12-game winning streak against Edmonton, including a 55-14 rout last year on this field, has us on the Bombers laying the points. Edmonton’s struggling defense is unlikely to contain Winnipeg’s offense here with QB Zach Collaros coming off a 298-yard passing day with 2 TD’s versus BC last week. Lay it with Winnipeg.

ASA WNBA play on New York Liberty -8.5 vs. Golden State Valkyries 9pm ET - The Liberty’s league-leading pace (fastest in the WNBA) and high-scoring offense (averaging over 88 on the season) drive this prediction. Without Jonquel Jones (ankle injury), New York relies on Breanna Stewart (19.3 PPG) and Sabrina Ionescu (20ppg) to push the tempo, creating open looks and transition opportunities. The Valkyries are short 3 players who opted to play overseas for their National teams and lack depth at this point in time. The Valkyries are a great story to start the season and have over-achieved with a 7-6 SU record. GST will have a tough time keeping pace with the Liberty as they rank 12th in FG% overall and 13th in 3PT%. The Valkyries are 10th in the league in Offensive net rating. New York started 9-0 but has since lost 3 of their last four games. They are coming off a loss to Seattle and played that game without Ionescu. We like the Liberty to bounce back here and flex against the expansion Valkyries. NY has the best average point differential in the WNBA at +11.1ppg with 7 of their ten wins this season coming by 8 or more points. Golden State was recently an 11-point home underdog to the Fever, suggesting value with New York at -8. The Liberty have beaten this GST twice this season already and we expect that record to improve to 3-0 after tonight.

#912 ASA PLAY ON San Francisco Giants -1.5 on the Run Line (-100) over Miami Marlins, Wednesday at 9:45 PM ET - The Giants bounce back off yesterday's loss here.  San Francisco is starting Logan Webb here and he is 4-1 with a 1.35 ERA in his 8 home starts this season.  Miami is starting Edward Cabrera here and he has a 1.52 WHIP on the road.  Cabrera has a decently low road ERA but it is giving us value here because the WHIP shows that he has been in a lot of jams in his road starts.  The Giants are 25-15 at home this season and that is after yesterday's loss.  Miami, after yesterday's win, has won B2B games but the Marlins are still only 16-31 this season when facing a team that currently has a winning record on the season.  Miami only has 2 win streaks of more than 2 games this season!  Both ended at 3 games.  7 of the 9 times that Miami has entered a game on a win streak of at least 2 games they have lost that game.  The Giants were on an 11-6 run before yesterday's loss.  5 of the last 6 Miami losses have been by a margin of at least 2 runs and we forecast the same tonight.  SF bullpen ERA ranks #1 in the majors while Miami's ranks 23rd out of 30 teams!  The home team will pull away in this one as it goes along. We are laying 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!

ASA WNBA play on LA Sparks -5 at Chicago Sky, 8pm ET - Chicago is easily one of the worst teams in the league as evidenced by their negative -15.1 Net rating (12th), only the Sun are worse. Interestingly enough, the Sparks (11th) only rate one spot better than Chicago in Net rating at -6.5, but L.A. has played the 2nd toughest schedule to date. The Sparks are coming off a very tough 4-game stretch against Las Vegas, Minnesota twice and Seattle. Most recently they lost in Minnesota 66-82 after an uncharacteristically poor shooting night. The Sparks hit just 37% overall and 23% from Deep. L.A. is hitting 43% overall on the season and 33.9% from beyond the arc and should have a much better night here against a Sky defense that is one of the worst in the league. Chicago ranks 12th in opponents FG%, 13th in 3PT% D. Chicago has lost 6 of their last seven games and all six of those L’s have come by 7+ points. Earlier this season, the Sparks beat this Sky team by 13-points and we expect a similar result tonight.

ASA WNBA play on Connecticut +10.5 at Golden State, 8:30pm ET - The Valkyries have gotten off to a surprise start at 6-6 SU record this season. The Sun have lost 5-straight and have just two wins on the season. A couple of things stand out in this game. First off, Golden State has not been favored in a game this season, let alone a double-digit chalk. Secondly, the Valks are in a tough scheduling situation coming off a huge upset win over Indiana AND they have the Liberty on deck. Granted, the Sun have lost 5 straight but the last two came by just 3 and 8-points to Dallas and Phoenix. Plug your nose and grab the points in this one.

ASA WNBA play on LA Sparks +10.5 at Minnesota Lynx, 8pm ET - These two teams just met on June 14th with the Lynx beating the Sparks badly, 101-78. They met one other time very early in the season with the Lynx winning 89-75 in Los Angeles. We like the revenge angle with the Sparks and expect them to be competitive in this one. LA lost most recently to Seattle but played without their best player in Kelsey Plum, who is expected back here. Minnesota is off a very big win against their biggest Western Conference rival the Las Vegas Aces and could let down here. Minnesota is 11-1 on the season with a +10.3ppg average differential. LA is 4-9 SU with a negative differential of -4.8ppg. The Sparks are the 4th best 3PT shooting team in the W and have enough scoring options to keep this game close throughout. Given the scheduling situation we will grab the points with the LA Sparks.

ASA Play on: Winnipeg Blue Bombers -4.5 vs BC Lions - 7pm June 21, 2025 - Winnipeg’s strong start to the 2025 season, bolstered by a 34-20 Week 2 win over BC, provides a solid foundation. Statistically, the Blue Bombers’ offense averages 6.5 yards per play, compared to BC’s 5.8, indicating a more efficient attack. Defensively, Winnipeg allowed just 20 points in their last meeting, while BC’s defense has struggled, conceding 28.5 points per game this season. In 2024, Winnipeg ranked third in the CFL with 24.6 points allowed per game, contrasting with BC’s 26.8. Additionally, quarterback Zach Collaros, returning from suspension, threw for 298 yards and two touchdowns in the previous matchup, outpacing BC’s Nathan Rourke, who is dealing with an upper-body injury. Winnipeg’s 11-7 record against the spread last season indicates they were undervalued in 2024 and leading into 2025. Expect a 27-20 win, covering the spread as their defense exploits BC’s injury concerns.

ASA WNBA play on Atlanta Dream -8.5 -115 vs. Washington Mystics, 7:30 pm ET - These two teams recently met in Washington with the Dream winning big 89-56 as a -4.5 road favorite. We won’t buy into the revenge angle here and instead like the value of a low number based on the recent meeting. Atlanta is playing well right now with a 7-2 SU record in their last nine games with a Net rating of +14.2 which is the 2nd best number in the league over a 9-game span. Washington is 3-10 SU in their last 10 games with two of those wins coming against two of the leagues worst teams in the Sky and Sun. The Mystic have a negative or -4.8 Net rating in that 10-game stretch. Atlanta is one of the better offensive teams in the W ranking 3rd in Offensive Net rating, the Mystics are 10th. Defensively the numbers are closer but the Dream still rank 5th compared to the Mystic 8th. Atlanta is on an 8-2 ATS streak and are still undervalued in this game at the current price. Lay the points with Atlanta.

ASA CFL play on Toronto Argonauts +3.5 vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders, 7:30pm ET - Toronto boasts a strong home record, winning 16 of their last 18 regular-season home games. Their championship experience and desperation after an 0-2 start should propel them to a win here. Despite their early struggles, the Argos’ 2024 stats—averaging 26.2 points and 367.8 yards offensively while allowing 22.4 points and 353.2 yards defensively—suggest they have the firepower to compete with Saskatchewan’s 2024 numbers of 24.8 points and 354.5 yards offensively, and 21.6 points and 339.8 yards defensively. The Roughriders’ 2-0 start in 2025 has been buoyed by luck in the turnover department, forcing five turnovers in two games. However, regression is likely, as their defense has allowed 6.3 yards per play, a vulnerability that could be exploited by Toronto’s offense and quarterback Dustin Crum and Ka’Deem Carey. Saskatchewan’s offensive efficiency (6.2 yards per play) is solid, but facing a Toronto defense that held opponents to 6.0 yards per play last year, the game could tighten up. Expect the Argos to leverage home-field advantage and cover the +3.5 spread in a close contest.

ASA CFL play on Montreal -6 at Edmonton, 9pm ET - Montreal enters with a 2-0 record, with a dominant offense averaging 33.5 points per game and a defense allowing just 14.0 points per game, the best in the CFL. In contrast, Edmonton is 0-1 after a 31-14 loss to BC, where their defense surrendered 31-points and 448 total yards. The Elks managed only 248 total yards of offense, 87 rushing an 161 passing. The Alouettes have covered the spread in both games this season, while Edmonton has failed to cover in their lone outing. A key stat supporting this prediction is yards per play differential. Montreal boasts a +1.9 yards per play advantage (6.5 offensive vs. 4.6 defensive), reflecting their efficiency on both sides of the ball. Edmonton, however, struggles with a -2.1 differential (5.2 offensive vs. 7.3 defensive). Montreal’s balanced attack, led by Davis Alexander’s 9.5 yards per completion, should exploit Edmonton’s shaky secondary, while their top-ranked defense is likely to stifle Tre Ford’s passing game. Back the Alouettes to win and cover.

ASA WNBA play on Phoenix Mercury +11 at NY Liberty, 7pm ET - The Mercury have quietly put together a 9-4 SU record to start the season and did It largely without two key pieces in Alyssa Thomas and Kahleah Copper missing multiple games. Phoenix has won 3 straight games, 4 of five and 5 of seven. New York lost their first game of the season to the Fever last weekend, then struggled to beat the Dream at home by 5-points on Tuesday. New York clearly has the best Net rating in the WNBA, but again, the Mercury have played the majority of their games without two All-Star caliber players and still have a +2.6 Net rating. Only one of the Mercury’s losses this season have come by double-digits and we expect a tight game throughout tonight. Grab the points.

#915 ASA PLAY ON 3* New York Yankees -1.5 on the Run Line (-110) over Boston Red Sox, Sunday at 1:35 PM ET - The Yankees are in a great spot here.  They have lost B2B games to the Red Sox by 1 run apiece and have not lost 3 straight games in over a month.  They have a decided pitching edge here too.  Max Fried is having a phenomenal season and this includes going 5-0 with an ERA under the 1.00 mark in his day game starts this season!  Fried has been a beast on the mound this season. The Red Sox are expected to start Brayan Bello here and he has an opponents batting average of .285 in home games and .312 in day games.  He has a 1.90 WHIP in his 5 day game starts this season as issuing too many walks has also been a problem for him.  The Yankees are 6-2 this season when they enter a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games.  Boston is on a 4-0 game winning streak and, dating back to last July, the Red Sox are 1-4 when they enter a game on a winning streak of 4 or more games.  Pitching mismatch and a Yankees team fully focused on avoiding the sweep.  The road team will pull away in this one as it goes along. We are laying 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!

#958 ASA PLAY ON 2* Atlanta Braves -1.5 on the Run Line (-160) over Colorado Rockies, Saturday at 4:10 PM ET - The Rockies are 6-29 on the road and 7-43 against teams with a winning record this season.  Braves have struggled at times this season but the Rockies have taken struggling to a whole other level this season!  We get some value here because Spencer Strider is a much better pitcher than his 0-5 record this season shows.  He also is trending the right way as he has allowed only 10 hits over nearly 16 innings over his last 3 starts.  Based on how he has looked on the mound he is "almost there" and now facing a struggling Colorado team is likely to lead to Strider's first win of the season in a huge way.  The Braves last 10 wins in fact were all by a double digit margin and the average margin of victory was 4.6 runs!  The Rockies Chase Dollander is a rookie who faced the Braves (and had some success) earlier this season.  The key here is this is the first time the rookie has had to face the same team twice!  Atlanta gets to him in the rematch!  He has a 6.85 ERA on the season and Dollander was just rocked by the Mets in most recent start.  The home team will pull away in this one as it goes along. We are laying 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!

ASA WNBA play on NY Liberty -5 at Indiana Fever, 3pm ET - We admittedly lost with this same wager earlier in the season when the Liberty won by 2-points in Indiana, favored by 4-points. Indiana will have Caitlyn Clark back in the lineup after missing 5 games (2-3 SU) which should be a plus for the Fever, but we also feel it’s going to cause some disruption. Clark is a ball-dominant player and sometimes prone to trying to do too much. For the most part though, the Liberty are off to a historic start and clearly the best team in the league and it’s not very close at the moment. New York has a Net Rating of +23.4 on the season and the next best team Minnesota is +10.9. Indiana is 3rd in Net Rating at +6.9. NY is 9-0 on the season with an average +/- of +19ppg. They are the best shooting team overall and 3rd in 3PT%. This is a short number, and the Liberty typically win as a road favorite with a 16-4 SU record their last twenty in that role. After a close win earlier this season the Liberty won’t take this Fever team likely and they’re also hungry for that 10-0 start (only 4th team in W history to start with at least 10 straight wins).

ASA NBA play on Oklahoma City Thunder -6 at Indiana Pacers, 8:30pm ET - The Thunder have proven time and time again; they are championship quality and bounce back after a loss. OKC has won 5 straight playoff games when coming off a loss in the previous game and have a 18-2 SU record the entire season in that situation. Not only that, the average winning margin by OKC in those games off a loss is +14.1ppg. In the three game series the Thunder have a positive Net rating of +1.6, the Pacers are -1.6. OKC is shooting below season standards in this series at 44.8%, after hitting 47.7% during the regular season (7th best). Indiana has shot above expectations in the 3-game series and we expect a regression in their numbers in Game 4 with a 2-1 lead. OKC had the best Defensive Efficiency rating this season and held opponents to 43.6% shooting (1st). The Thunder had an average MOV on the road this season of +7.5ppg. The Pacers played at a very high level in Game 3 and got a HUGE effort from their bench, which will be tough to duplicate here. We are going to lay the points with OKC.

#959 ASA PLAY ON 3* San Francisco Giants -1.5 on the Run Line (-145/-150) over Colorado Rockies, Tuesday at 8:40 PM ET - Yes we are willing to lay 4.35 or 4.5 units to win 2 units when you consider just how horrible the Rockies season has been. We will ride with San Francisco today in this one. The Giants have the #1 bullpen ERA (2.32) on the season. The Rockies bullpen ERA ranks in the bottom third of the league. San Francisco also has a big starting pitching edge here. The Giants Kyle Harrison has a 1.50 ERA in his 4 road appearances (2 starts) this season and has looked sharp away from home.  The Rockies Carson Palmquist is 0-4 this season with an 8.50 ERA and the 24-year old rookie is still adjusting to pitching at the big league level. The Giants are 17-8 against teams that currently have a losing record on the season! The Rockies are 6-25 on the road this season and 5-42 this season when facing a team that currently has a winning record on the season. Also, this is a battle of southpaws and though the Giants have struggled versus lefties, the numbers are even more insane for the Rockies as they are 1-17 this season against left-handed starters!  Colorado is on a long-term stretch in which 29 of 36 losses have come by a margin of 2+ runs. Now off a series sweep (again) at the hands of the Mets, we look for another blowout loss here for the Rockies as the Giants hold all the edges again in this match-up and should win by a big margin.   The Giants are on a 5-game winning streak but all 1-run wins but hitting in Colorado is a much different story and they should explode for big runs in this one while the Rockies misery of a season continues.  We are laying 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!  

ASA WNBA play on Indiana Fever +5.5 at Atlanta Dream, 7:30pm ET - We like the added value after the line move from the opening number of (-2) for the Dream which has since been bet up to the current line of -5. Consider this, the Dream were just favored by -7 at home against Connecticut and Dallas who rate significantly lower on our power rating scale compared to Indiana. The Fever don’t have Caitlyn Clark but are 2-2 SU without here. Indiana is 3rd in the league defensively with a DNR of 94.1. Atlanta is 9th at 102.2. Offensively these two teams are nearly identical with an Offensive Net rating of 105. When these two teams met earlier this season on this court the Fever were favored by -4.5 points and are now dogs of a larger number. Clark, or any other player in the WNBA isn’t worth 10-points

ASA WNBA play on LA Sparks -7 vs. Golden State Valkyries, 10pm ET - This number is lower than it should be, and the value lies with the Sparks in this California showdown. These teams have met twice this season, and the Sparks were favored by -5.5 points at Golden State and -10.5 at home. Those numbers were without Rickea Jackson in the lineup for the Sparks. The Sparks have the advantage offensively with an Offensive Net rating of 103.6 compared to the Valkyries 94.9 but Golden State is better defensively. The Sparks have a DNR of 104.0, the Valkyries Defensive Net rating is 99.8. GST is coming off a MASSIVE upset of Las Vegas in their last game at home 95-68. The Valkyries have a 1-3 SU road record with the lone win coming in L.A. Golden State is literally the worst shooting team in the WNBA at 38.9% overall and 28.8% from Deep and will have a tough time trading buckets with a Sparks team playing with revenge.

ASA NBA play on Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 vs. Indiana Pacers, 8:00 pm ET (Game 2) Sunday - I’m guessing most of you watched Game 1 so a recap really isn’t necessary. The bottom line is this. The Pacers led once with less than 1-second in the game. OKC led by as many as 15-points but Indiana made a few huge 3’s late to pull out the win. Down 0-1 at home we expect a blowout win by the Thunder in Game 2. Let’s not forget, the Thunder had a historic run this regular season with 54 of their 68 wins coming by double digits. They are 43-8 SU at home this entire season, 34-15-2 ATS with an average margin of victory of 16.9ppg. To win the NBA title the historic numbers that support the eventual Champion, tried and true, are the Offensive and Defensive Efficiency rating. Teams that win it all dating back a decade plus must rank top 11 in both OEFF and DEFF to win it all. OKC ranks 1st defensively and 3rd offensively this season. Indiana is 9th in OEFF, 13th in DEFF. Granted the Pacers have been fantastic on the road in the postseason but let’s not forget that they trailed BIG in several games and made massive comebacks in the second half. That is unlikely to happen in Oklahoma City against this defense. We like OKC to bounce back here.

ASA WNBA play on Washington Mystics -7 vs. Connecticut Sune, 3pm ET - The Mystic have already beaten the Sun by 5-points in Connecticut, and we predict a much bigger margin this time around in Washington. The Mystic are getting healthy with the returns of Austin and Edwards, and with a couple days off after a loss to the Liberty, have had time to jell with the new additions. Shooting is going to be the biggest separator in this game as the Sun are 12th in team FG% at 41% overall and 12th in 3PT% at 28.8%. Making shots Sunday will be especially tough against this Mystics D that is 2nd in the WNBA in both FG% and 3PT% defense. Washington is average in terms of shooting themselves, but they face a Sun team that is last in FG% defense and 12th in 3PT% defense. The Mystic will enjoy a massive advantage on the board also with the 3rd best rebound percentage in the W compared to the Sun who rank 11th. Just 1 win separates these two teams, but the Sun are statistically far worse with a Net Rating of -19.6 compared to Washington at -5.2. We are very comfortable laying the 7-points in this one.

ASA NBA play on Oklahoma City Thunder -9 vs. Indiana Pacers, 8:30pm ET - The Thunder had a historic run this regular season with 54 of their 68 wins coming by double digits. They are 43-7 SU at home this entire season, 34-14-2 ATS with an average margin of victory of 16.9ppg. The last team to be that dominant at home was the Milwaukee Bucks in 2018-19 when they won by an average of 12.2ppg. To win the NBA title the historic numbers that support the eventual Champion, tried and true, are the Offensive and Defensive Efficiency rating. Teams that win it all dating back a decade plus must rank top 11 in both OEFF and DEFF to win it all. OKC ranks 1st defensively and 3rd offensively this season. Indiana is 9th in OEFF, 13th in DEFF. Granted the Pacers have been fantastic on the road in the postseason but let’s not forget that they trailed BIG in several games and made massive comebacks in the second half. That is unlikely to happen in Oklahoma City against this defense. In the regular season meeting on this court in February, the Thunder won 132-111 as an -8-point chalk. We call for another double-digit win in Game 1.

ASA WNBA play on Phoenix Mercury +12.5 at Minnesota Lynx, 8pm ET - This line opened with the Lynx favored by -10.5-points and was bet up to the current number of -12.5 and we like the added value and will take the underdog here. Minnesota has failed to cover 5 straight games and have a very low average Margin of Victory (+8.3) based on their 7-0 SU start. The Lynx were just favored by -14.5-points against Golden State who is the worst team in the league and are now laying this many points against a surprisingly good Mercury team? Phoenix is off to a 5-2 start themselves with an average +/- in games of +4.4. The Mercury’s two losses this season are by -3-points to this Lynx team and by 7-points in Seattle. In the most recent meeting between these two teams the Mercury shot a miserable 12% (3/26) from beyond the arc and still almost beat the Lynx. Minnesota may improve to 8-0 but don’t expect them to win by margin. Grab the points.

#904 ASA PLAY ON 2* New York Mets -1.5 on the Run Line (-175/-180) over Colorado Rockies, Sunday at 1:40 PM ET - Yes we are willing to lay 3.5 or 3.6 units to win 2 units when you consider just how horrible the Rockies season has been.  We will ride with New York again today in this one.  The Mets have the #2 bullpen ERA on the season.  The Rockies bullpen ERA ranks in the bottom third of the league.  New York also has a big starting pitching edge here.  The Mets Clay Holmes was always a bullpen guy but this season he has been fantastic after moving into a starters role and in his 11 starts he has a 2.98 ERA!  The Rockies Carson Palmquist is 0-3 this season with an 8.78 ERA and the 24-year old rookie is still adjusting to pitching at the big league level.  The Mets, off yesterday's 8-2 win, are now 23-7 at home this season!  The Rockies are 3-27 on the road this season and 5-35 this season when facing a team that currently has a winning record on the season.  Colorado entered this series off B2B losses by 1 run apiece but this followed a stretch in which 23 of 28 losses by a margin of 2+ runs.  Now off B2B losses by multi-run margins in this series, we look for another blowout loss here for the Rockies as the Mets hold all the edges again in this match-up and should win by a big margin again similar to yesterday's 8-2 final. We are laying the 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!

#956 ASA PLAY ON New York Mets -1.5 on the Run Line (-170) over Colorado Rockies, Saturday at 4:10 PM ET - The Mets have the #2 bullpen ERA on the season.  The Rockies bullpen ERA ranks in the bottom third of the league.  New York also has a big starting pitching edge here.  The Mets Koda Senga is having a fantastic season and his home ERA is a minuscule 0.70 on the year.  In his career he is 18-10 overall with a 2.61 ERA.  This season he has been fantastic in his 10 starts with a 1.46 ERA and does a great job of scattering hits and limiting damage.  The Rockies Antonio Senzatela is 1-9 this season with a 6.50 ERA and he is 8-28 the last 4 seasons combined.  It is not just a Coors Field thing either as he has been getting hammered (.410 BAA!) on the road this season.  The Mets, off yesterday's 4-2 win, are now 22-7 at home this season!  The Rockies are 3-26 on the road this season and 5-37 this season when facing a team that currently has a winning record on the season.  Colorado entered this series off B2B losses by 1 run apiece but this followed a stretch in which 23 of 28 losses by a margin of 2+ runs. We look for another blowout loss here for the Rockies as the Mets hold all the edges again in this match-up and should win by a greater margin than yesterday's surprising 4-2 final. We are laying the 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!

Champions League #224201 ASA PLAY ON Inter Milan +0.5 (-128) over Paris Saint-Germain, Saturday at 3 ET - Of course we can not bad-mouth PSG as they are justified in being favored here. However, we do feel that this has opened up exceptional value on the goal line at plus a half goal with the underdogs in what we perceive to be a very tight match. Inter has done such a great job of drawing first blood in their matches and we believe they can do it again here and really keep the pressure on PSG who, as the favorite, is playing with a lot of pressure already as it is.  We like the fact that Inter has been scoring a lot of goals in recent matches and even outdueled high-flying Barcelona to reach this point.  It shows that Inter can win both ways this season as they also are known for excelling in tighter low-scoring matches too but they can trade punches with clubs when required.  Considering this match is in Germany and PSG is only 2-2-1 in last 5 matches away from home, we like the value here on a reasonable price to have the +1/2 goal on our side in this one. The odds favor the underdogs earning at least a draw again in this one. This one has upset potential written all over it and, if not, at least Inter sends it beyond regulation for it be decided in which case we also cash this bet! We will take Inter Milan on the goal line (+0.5) in this one.

ASA WNBA play on Phoenix Mercury +4.5 vs. Minnesota Lynx, 10pm ET - We are high on the Lynx again this season and despite the love affair with A’Ja Wilson by the media, Naphessa Collier is the best player in the league. Collier is questionable tonight and would be a huge loss for the Lynx. In this situation, we have to fade the Lynx and back one of the biggest surprises in the W this season in the Mercury. Phoenix made wholesale changes in the offseason with trades for Sabally and Thomas, and in the short-term it’s paying off. Phoenix is 4-1 SU on the season with a +7.7 Net Rating, 4th best in the league with all four wins coming at home. The Mercury rely on their defense which is top 5 in most key categories including: FG%, Field goals allowed, 3PT% and 3-pointers allowed. Phoenix has the best Defensive Net Rating of 92.6. Granted, the Mercury have made significant changes in the offseason but the players on the roster haven’t forgotten the Lynx knocked them out of the playoffs a year ago.

ASA WNBA play on Washington Mystics +8.5 vs. NY Liberty, 7:30pm ET - The Liberty played last night at home against the Valkyries and won a much closer game than anticipated 82-77. New York starters were forced to play extended minutes with four of the five starters playing 30+ minutes and the other (Burke) playing 28 minutes. The Liberty lost a few players in the offseason and aren’t as deep as they have been in the past and that will catch up to them tonight against a Mystics team playing above expectations. Washington’s defense is more than capable of keeping this game close as they have the 1 rated FG% D overall and are 1st in 3PT%. They are the 2nd best rebounding team in the league and can neutralize the Liberty’s typical advantage on the glass. New York is again one of the best statistical teams in the league, but this clearly isn’t a great spot for them. Washinton has the 2nd best 3PT% in the W and has a positive overall Net Rating. Washington has home wins over the Fever and Dream this season and own a 4-2 ATS season record. NY has played a weak schedule and are over-valued here, playing the second night of a B2B. Grab the points.

#906 ASA PLAY ON New York Mets -1.5 on the Run Line (-145) over Colorado Rockies, Friday at 7:10 PM ET - The Mets have the #2 bullpen ERA on the season.  The Rockies bullpen ERA ranks in the bottom third of the league.  New York also has a big starting pitching edge here.  The Mets David Peterson is 8-4 in all home starts since the start of the 2023 season and his home ERA was 2.79 that year.  In 2024, he went 10-3 overall with a 2.90 ERA.  This season he has been solid in his 10 starts with a 2.79 ERA on the season.  The Rockies Kyle Freeland is 0-7 this season and 11-29 the last 3 seasons combined and his ERA has been north of 5.00 both in 2023 and 2024 as well as 2025 thus far.  It is not just a Coors Field thing either as he has been getting hit quite hard (.271 BAA) on the road as well this season.  The Mets are off a loss but are 21-7 at home this season and are 3-1 this season when at home and coming off a loss.  The Rockies are 3-25 on the road this season and 5-33 this season when facing a team that currently has a winning record on the season.  Colorado is off B2B losses by 1 run apiece but this followed a stretch in which 23 of 28 losses by a margin of 2+ runs. We look for another blowout loss here for the Rockies as the Mets hold all the edges again in this match-up. We are laying the 1.5 runs with the run line in this one!

ASA play on Indiana Pacers +4.5 at NY Knicks, 8pm ET - I hate to say this…but the Pacers seem like a team of destiny…at least until they face the Thunder in the Finals, but let’s save that for another day. We will beat the dead horse and repeat that the Pacers, statistically by many standards, have been the best team in the NBA since January 1st. They have a +4.5 Net Rating in the postseason with an 11-3 SU record. They beat the best team in the East in Cleveland and knocked off a pretty good Bucks team. They have no problems winning on the road with a -1 SU record and a plus +5.0 Net Rating away from home. A big reason for the Pacers road success is their eFG% of 60.1%. Indiana is shooting over 42% from beyond the arc in this postseason on the road. New York has already lost 5 home games in the playoffs including two to this Pacers team. The Knicks were favored in both of those games by a similar number and KAT was 100% in those games. Towns tweaked his knee in the last game and doesn’t look like he’ll be full speed for this one. The Knicks are just 2-7 ATS their last seven home games and have an overall Net Rating in the Garden of +1.9 in these playoffs. We like Indiana here and will even sprinkle in a small moneyline wager at +155.

#956 ASA TOP PLAY ON Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 on the Run Line (-120) over Pittsburgh Pirates, Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET - The Diamondbacks won yesterday's game 5-0.  Things won't get any easier today for the struggling Pirates!   Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Diamondbacks and he is in phenomenal current form.  Burnes has allowed just 7 earned runs in total over his last 6 starts and in those 37 and 1/3 innings he gave up only 24 hits.  He has struck out 23  over 18 and 1/3 innings in his last 3 home starts!  As for the Pirates starter here it will be Mike Burrows making the first road start of his MLB career.  He draws a tough assignment as Chase Field is a hitter-friendly park and the Diamondbacks are known for hitting well here.  Burrows made one road appearance out of the bullpen last season and struggled in the Bronx against the Yankees.  Now he is coming off his first ever MLB start.  That was against the Brewers at home and he struggled with 2 homers allowed and the damage could have been worse.  He gave up a number of hard-hit line drive outs and also got a double play to help him.  The point is that he wasn't fooling too many hitters and the Diamondbacks are likely to pound Burrows here while Burnes continues his dominating run.  Burnes will be facing a Pirates team that has a .205 batting average on the road and Pittsburgh is scoring only 2.5 runs per game on the road this season!  Conversely, Burrows has to deal with a Diamondbacks team that has a .469 slugging percentage in home games this season!  That is 3rd in the majors as only the Yankees and Dodgers rank higher and that is pretty good company to keep!  With yesterday's loss Pittsburgh dropped to 1-6 this season against NL West teams and they are 6-20 in road games this season.  Also, against teams with a record of .500 or better currently this season, the Pirates are 7-24 on the year!  The Diamondbacks have won 3 of the last 4 at home and their last 11 home wins have come by a combined score of 57 to 15 with the last 4 of those dominating wins coming by a combined score of 17 to 0.  That is another reason we have no hesitation in laying the -1.5 runs with this bet.  Pittsburgh's tough season continues here.  Lay the run line in this one!

ASA NHL play on Edmonton Oilers -1.5 goals +160 vs. Dallas Stars, 8pm ET -Edmonton is 30-14-3 at home this season and 5-1 in the playoffs with three of those home wins coming by 2+ goals. The Oilers averaged 3.47 goals per game during the regular season and are averaging 3.93 GF/G in the postseason. Edmonton led the league in shots on goal during the regular season and are leading in the playoffs with 437. The Oilers have also gotten solid goaltending with a 2.93 goals-against average. In comparison the Stars have allowed 50 goals in the postseason (most in NHL) with a goals-against average of 3.13. Nearly half of the Oilers home wins this entire season has come by 2 or more goals. We will take the added risk/reward with a spread bet of mins -1.5 goals on Edmonton and bet the series trend continues as all three games have been decided by 3 or more goals.