Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-29-19 | Iowa State v. Seton Hall -2 | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Seton Hall -2 over Iowa State, Friday at 7:00 PM ET This line is light according to our power ratings. We have Seton Hall favored by -4.5 so we’re getting a full possession of value here. The Pirates are 5-2 on the year but their 2 losses have been down to the wire affairs vs Michigan State & Oregon (both top 15 teams according to Ken Pom). The Pirates could easily be 7-0 as they led Michigan State by 5 with under 2:00 minutes remaining (lost by 3) and led Oregon by 19 (lost by 2). Both teams are playing their 3rd game in 3 days here in the Bahamas and with that depth is very important and Seton Hall is absolutely the deeper team (26th nationally in bench minutes while ISU is 222nd in that category). In their 2 games vs Oregon & Southern Miss, the Pirates were able to distribute double digit minutes to 10 players in game 1 and 9 players in game 2. Iowa State (4-2 with losses to Oregon State & Michigan) really goes only 7 deep so we could be looking at a tired team here in the 2nd half. This is a favorable match up for the Hall. They rank higher in offensive efficiency, higher in defensive efficiency and they are the better rebounding team. They also shoot the 3 very well (31st nationally at nearly 40%) and ISU’s defensive weakness is defending the arc (294th nationally). The Pirates have found their groove from deep in this tourney hitting nearly 50% (24 of 51) in their 2 games and they should do the same today vs the Cyclones. They also have the best player on the court in Myles Powell who is averaging 23 PPG and making over 40% of his 3 point attempts and 83% of his FT’s. As we mentioned this line is too short in our opinion and we like Seton Hall to cover this one. |
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11-29-19 | Washington State +8 v. Washington | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Washington State Cougars (+) over Washington Huskies, Friday at 4 PM ET: Game #339 |
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11-29-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis -11.5 | 24-34 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 54 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Memphis Tigers (-) over Cincinnati Bearcats, Friday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #332 |
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11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 0 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Dallas -6.5 over Buffalo, Thursday at 3:30 PM ET Dallas is much better than their 6-5 record in our opinion. They lead the league in yards per play differential at +1.4 and their offense is actually #1 in the NFL in total yards per game (433) and YPP (6.6). Those are better numbers than the red hot Baltimore offense! The only team that outgained Dallas this year was New Orleans and that was by just 9 yards. Despite their 6-5 record, Dallas has the 2nd best point differential in the NFC at +85 trailing only San Francisco. Last Sunday the Cowboys took New England to the wire on the road before losing 13-9. They outgained the Pats by 40 yards despite running fewer offensive plays. Buffalo is not as good as their 8-3 record would indicate. Their offense is pedestrian averaging just 18 PPG if you subtract their 2 games vs Miami. Last week they topped Denver 20-3 but still have beaten only 1 team this year that currently has a record above .500 (Tennessee). The Bills strength of schedule ranks dead last in the NFL at 32nd. The teams they’ve beaten so far this year have a current winning percentage of .239 or just less than 24%. The Cowboys running game which averages 4.6 YPC (8th in the NFL) matches up very well with Buffalo’s defensive weakness and that is allowing 4.4 YPC (21st in the NFL). That should open up the Dallas passing game and we expect them to play very well on offense. We don’t see Buffalo’s offense keeping up in this game. Lay the points with Dallas. |
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11-26-19 | Wizards +10.5 v. Nuggets | 104-117 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON: Washington Wizards +10.5 @ Denver Nuggets, 9PM ET – We’re clearly betting a number here more than anything and here’s why. First off, the Nuggets have been double-digit favorites just three times this season with a 1-2 ATS record. The lone cover came in their last game as an 11-point favorite which they won by 12 barely covering the spread. In the other two games as a hefty favorite they won by 1-point in OT and won the other by just 4-points. In other words, the Nuggets aren’t good as a big favorite. Denver has an average margin of victory at home this season of +5.7PPG which is nearly half of what the spread is here. Washington has been a surprise this season and better than anticipated. They’ve won 2 of their last three games and 3 of their last five. Despite their 3-5 SU record their average point differential is minus just -1.2PPG. The Wizard have been a double-digit dog just once all season and they lost that game by only 2-points. Washington can score with the 2nd best offensive efficiency rating in the NBA which allows them to keep this game close throughout. Grab the points. |
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11-26-19 | Richmond v. Auburn -9 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
ASA's 8* CBB PLAY ON Auburn -9 over Richmond, Tuesday at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN2 This one is on a neutral court in Brooklyn NY. Richmond upset Wisconsin last night as a 6-point favorite by the final score of 62-52. It was much closer than that as the two went back and forth the entire game. With just over 3:00 minutes remaining it was one possession game and neither team led by more than 6 in the 2nd half until less than 3:00 remaining. Wisconsin played easily their worst game this year and one of the worst we’ve seen them play in the last few years. They shot 34% overall, just 26% from beyond the arc and turned the ball over on 24% of their possessions which is extremely high for that program. They scored ONE basket in the final 11 minutes of the game (7 total points during that time). Even with that, they had a chance to win this game which is an indictment on Richmond moving into tonight’s game vs red hot Auburn. It might be a tough spot on a back to back night situation for the Spiders as they played only 6 guys double digit minutes last night and 3 of their starters played 34+ minutes. Auburn destroyed a solid New Mexico team 84-59 last night. Because of that they were able to spread their minutes around (9 guys played at least 12 minutes) in anticipation of their game tonight. The Tigers should be much more rested than Richmond here. They love to put defensive pressure on their opponent which will be a problem here with Richmond’s 2 starting guards logging 38 & 35 minutes yesterday. We expect them to wear down. Auburn was able to cause turnovers on 31% of New Mexico’s possessions yesterday and if they do that again, we’re looking at another blowout. The Spiders are 5-0, however before they beat a decent Wisconsin team yesterday, they had won 2 games in OT this season and hadn’t played a team ranked in the top 125. Auburn is also undefeated and they’ve won 4 of their last 5 by at least 10 points with 3 of those wins coming by 25 points or more. That includes wins over a good New Mexico team, Davidson (always a very good mid major), and Colgate (won by 29) who nearly beat Tennessee in the NCAA tourney last year and returns nearly everyone. Richmond will be very solid this year in the A10 conference but we feel this is a bad spot for them and we expect Auburn to pull away in the 2nd half here. Lay the points. |
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11-25-19 | Thunder -6 v. Warriors | Top | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON: Oklahoma City Thunder -6 over Golden State Warriors, 10:30PM ET – The Thunder already own a pair of wins over the Warriors this season and there’s no reason they can’t beat them again by more than this spread. The Thunder have some solid efficiency numbers their last six games when you factor in the teams they’ve faced. OKC played the Lakers twice, the Clippers, Philadelphia, Indiana and Milwaukee. The Thunder lost to the Bucks by 2-points, beat Philly, lost to both L.A. teams by a combined 10-points. OKC has a negative point differential of minus -0.7PPG this season but they’ve faced the third toughest schedule. The roster is solid with veterans Chris Paul, Gallinari and Adams along with Gilgeous-Alexander who is playing great. Dennis Schroder and Terrance Ferguson round out the top six. The same can’t be said for Golden State who look like the walking wounded. The Warriors dressed just 8-players the other night in Utah due to injuries. GST has the worst overall average point differential in the NBA at minus -10.4PPG and the worst home differential at minus -9.0PPG. The line on this contest is slightly inflated but we feel Vegas is trying to keep us off Oklahoma City here. Lay the points. |
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11-25-19 | Stanford v. Oklahoma -4 | Top | 73-54 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
ASA 10* CBB PLAY ON Oklahoma -4 over Stanford, Monday at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN2 Both these teams come in undefeated but all records are not created equal. OU has beaten 2 top 75 teams (Minnesota & Oregon State) both by 8 or more points and both on neutral courts. The Sooners are experienced returning 3 starters from a team that won 20 games and gave Virginia a run in the round of 32 in the NCAA tourney last year before falling to the eventual National Champion. Stanford is the opposite as far as experience. They are young starting 2 freshman including point guard Tyrell Terry. The Cardinal have yet to leave their home arena this season and we’ll see how this young team adjusts to a different environment. We know Oklahoma can adjust as we mentioned with 2 solid win not on their home court. On top of that, Stanford has not yet played a team ranked higher than 134th and 5 of their 6 games have come against teams rated 200th or lower. This will be by far the best defense Stanford has faced with Oklahoma ranking 29th nationally in defensive efficiency. Prior to this the Cardinal have not faced a team ranked inside the top 125 in defensive efficiency. The Sooners are a very well coached team under Lon Kruger and it shows in their key stats where they are very good defensively, they turn the ball over very little (5th best turnover ratio in the country), they get to the FT line and make them when the do get there (81% as a team), and they don’t foul very much with their opponents getting only 8.7% of their points from the line which is the lowest mark in the NCAA. Kruger has his teams playing well early in the season with a 27-2 SU record in November & December since the start of the 2017 season. We’ll lay this small number with Oklahoma on Monday night on a neutral court in Kansas City, a venue they are very familiar with as the Big 12 tourney is played here. |
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11-24-19 | Akron +18.5 v. Louisville | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Akron +18.5 over Louisville, Sunday at 6 PM ET This is a unique situation early in the season as these two teams have already played 3 common opponents. With that, we have a pretty solid comparison. Each has played USC Upstate, Youngstown State, and NC Central. Both are 3-0 vs those common opponents and the results have been fairly similar. Akron has beaten those teams by an average of 21 points while Louisville has beaten them by an average of 26 points. Akron is a veteran team that can shoot the ball well from deep. That plays into Louisville’s weakest part of their defense as they rank 145th in 3-point defense. Teams that have good guard play and can hit from deep are always a threat as a big underdog. Akron also plays very good defense which is another big factor. They rank 4th nationally in eFG% defense and that’s no fluke as they ranked 14th in that category last season. Akron’s only loss this year was a 10-point setback @ a very solid West Virginia team in a game that the Zips shot only 38%. They impressed us on the boards in that game getting out rebounded by just 1 against a WVU team that is consistently among the top rebounding teams in the nation. Akron proved last year they can hang with top notch opponents as they took Clemson to the wire (lost by 3) as well as a 29-5 Nevada team (lost by 6). This number is too high as we expect the Zips to be competitive here. |
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11-24-19 | Broncos +4 v. Bills | Top | 3-20 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Denver +4 over Buffalo, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET As we’ve said many times this season, Denver is much better than their 3-7 record. Last week we thought they were in a terrible spot @ Minnesota, who tends to destroy teams at home, with a QB that had never started a road game. We took the Vikings thinking a 2 TD win for the host was probable. Denver proved us wrong losing just 27-23 and they actually led Minnesota 20-0 in the first half. QB Allen played solid (240 yards passing) and the defense continued to play very well holding a potent Minnesota attack to just 320 yards. Denver actually outgained Minnesota by 73 yards and played very well in one of the tougher environments in the NFL. Now they head to Buffalo in a game they can absolutely win. The Bills are a bit of a farce at 7-3 as only one of their wins came against a team with any type of a pulse (14-7 win vs Tennessee). Their other wins have come against Miami (twice), Washington, NY Giants, NY Jets, and Cincinnati. Those 4 teams have combined for a 6-34 record and that makes this Bills record a bit misleading. While Denver only has 3 wins, as we discussed they are underrated and much better than any of those 4 teams mentioned. Despite their record the Broncos are +11 YPG and +0.2 YPP on the season. Those are the stats of a .500 type team. Buffalo struggles to score. If you take out their two games vs Miami they are only averaging 17 PPG. Now they face one of the better defenses in the NFL (Denver 9th in defensive efficiency) and we expect the Buffalo offense to struggle. The Broncos have played close games all season long with 7 of their 10 games being single score contests (8 points or less). Four of their seven losses have come by 4 points or less. We look for a low scoring game and we give Denver a great shot at winning. Take the points. |
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11-23-19 | TCU +18 v. Oklahoma | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* TCU Horned Frogs (+) over Oklahoma Sooners, Saturday at 8 PM ET: Game #137 |
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11-23-19 | Houston v. Tulsa -3 | 24-14 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
#194 ASA PLAY ON Tulsa (-) over Houston, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - Both teams enter this game with 3-7 records however Tulsa’s 3-7 feels much different than Houston’s 3-7. Tulsa comes off a bye and with some serious momentum after beating a very good UCF team 34-31 as a 15 point dog 2 weeks ago. That was a big win for this program that had come so close a number of times this year vs top tier AAC competition. They’ve played a brutally tough AAC slate facing the top 6 teams in the conference according to our power rankings. Their conference games this year have come against Memphis, Cincinnati, UCF, Tulane, SMU, and Navy. All 6 of those teams have records above .500 on the season the their combined conference record is 28-8. Tulsa took Memphis (5-1 in the AAC) to the wire before losing 42-41 on a FG as time expired. They led SMU (5-1 in the AAC) by 21 points in the 2nd half and lost in OT. They had Cincinnati (6-0 in conference play) on the ropes late down 17-13 late in the 4th quarter but turned the ball over on each of their final 2 possessions in the loss. You get the point. This team is much better than their record. They are also still giving full effort as proven by their win here over UCF 2 weeks ago when Tulsa already knew they could not make it to a bowl game. Now with two weeks of positive energy and solid practices leading into this home finale, we expect them to play very well. Houston is on the opposite end of the spectrum. They played a huge home game vs Memphis last week and jumped out to a 17-7 lead but got boat raced from that point on with the tigers winning 45-27. Houston had only 256 total yards (531 for Memphis) and their last TD came on a blocked punt return. After the game Houston head coach Dana Holgorsen admitted after the game his team ran out of gas around halftime. That’s not a good sign for a team that has to get back up and go on the road this week. On top of that, the loss eliminated Houston from bowl consideration and for a program that has been a to a bowl game for the last 6 seasons, we can see them being flat this weekend. On top of that, they just aren’t very good this year with a 1-5 conference record and their only win coming by just 7 points vs a terrible UConn team. While Tulsa was playing the top tier teams in the league tight for the most part, Houston was not. They lost to Memphis by 18, UCF by 15, and Cincinnati by 15. We realize Tulsa QB Zach Smith is questionable here but we are handicapping this game as if he were out. His backup Seth Boomer started for Tulsa last year and has thrown 200 career passes for 1400 yards so he has plenty of experience. Boomer also stepped in for Smith and played the entire 2nd half of the UCF game and led the Hurricane to a 34-31 win outscoring UCF 17-3 while he was in the game. If Smith ends up playing in this game, that’s simply a bonus. If not, we still love the spot for Tulsa. We look for a big win here. |
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11-23-19 | Texas +6 v. Baylor | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 11 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON Texas Longhorns (+) over Baylor Bears, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #177 |
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11-23-19 | Michigan v. Indiana +10 | 39-14 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
#122 ASA PLAY ON Indiana (+) over Michigan, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - This is a terrible spot for Michigan playing a much improved Indiana team. The Wolverines are off their state rivalry game vs Michigan State and they have their game of the year on deck hosting Ohio State next week. Indiana comes in with a solid 7-3 record with 2 of their losses coming down to the wire (@ PSU & @ MSU) and they only blowout loss coming at the hands of Ohio State which is no surprise. Last week they had Penn State in a very similar situation to Michigan this week and nearly pulled off the road upset. Penn State was coming off a huge game @ Minnesota with Ohio State next. IU lost the game by a TD but outgained the Nittany Lions by 100 yards & put up 462 total yards on a very good PSU defense. That game was on the road and now they get to play a similar spot at home. Michigan has played only one road game in the last month and that was @ Maryland who has been trending downward since mid September. The Wolverines are 2-2 SU on the road and this game will give them their biggest challenge since losing at Penn State in mid October. The Hoosiers should have some confidence facing Michigan at home as the last 3 years this game has been fairly tight with the Wolverines winning by 11, 10, and 7 points. This is IU’s home finale and they don’t have any pressure on them as they are already bowl eligible. We expect them to play very well and they’ve proven they can score with 27 or more points in every game but one (Ohio State) this season. We don’t see Michigan being able to pull away in this game. Also, do the Wolverines have much to play for here? Not really. Their chances to win the Big Ten East are pretty much out the window. If OSU beats PSU this weekend, the Buckeyes clinch the title. If PSU beats OSU, all the Nittany Lions have to do is beat Rutgers next week and they clinch the title. Michigan is on the outside looking in and they have much bigger fish to fry next week facing Ohio State. Take the points in what we think will be a very close game. |
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11-23-19 | Penn State v. Ohio State -18 | 17-28 | Loss | -113 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
FIRST HALF play. Of course if you do not have access to first half line than play the FULL 60 but this is a FIRST HALF line play - #212 ASA PLAY ON Ohio State FIRST HALF LINE (-) over Penn State, Saturday at 12 PM ET - We have released 2 first half line plays this year and won both. One of those was this Ohio State team @ Nebraska where they led 38-0 at half. This is a game where we do like the Bucks, however laying 18.5 for the full game is a bit too risky. It’s possible they could be up 24+ and a late meaningless score by PSU could do us in. However, we’re confident they’ll get out to a fast start and look to bury the Nittany Lions early as they do with every team they play. In fact, in their Big Ten games this year, OSU has outscored their opponents 206 to 26 for an average halftime score of 29.5 to 3.7. That’s Big Ten only. Add in their non-conference games and the halftime margins go up. Penn State comes in overrated in our books. They have a 9-1 record but they have been outgained in half of their games this season (5). While OSU is simply destroying every Big Ten opponent (every conference win by at least 24 points), Penn State has had 4 conference wins by 7 points or less. Last week they held on to beat Indiana at home winning by just 7. Again, we like OSU to roll in this game but are more confident they’ll jump on this PSU team in the first half and go into the break with a substantial lead. Take Ohio State (-) in the first half. |
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11-22-19 | Colorado State v. Wyoming -6.5 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 59 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Wyoming Cowboys (-) over Colorado State Rams, Friday at 9:30 PM ET: Game #114 |
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11-22-19 | Celtics v. Nuggets -5 | Top | 92-96 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON: Denver Nuggets -5 over Boston Celtics, 9PM ET – In our opinion Brad Stevens is one of the best coaches in the NBA so it’s hard to believe his record off a SU loss is just 20-18 SU since the start of last season. Boston has gotten off to a fantastic 11-3 start this season but depth is a concern, especially in this situation with it being their 5th straight road game and the higher altitude of Denver. The Celtics have struggled with their shooting of late and we feel it catches up to them here. Boston has hit less than 42% from the field in four straight games. The Nuggets defensive efficiency rating is 4th best in the NBA and they are holding foes to under 43% shooting in their last five games. Denver got off to a slow start but are hitting their stride with wins in 7 of their last eight games which includes home wins over Miami, Philly and Houston who are all comparable to the Celtics. Denver is 44-12 SU at home since the start of last season with an average margin of victory of +9.2PPG. Lay the points. |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans -3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
ASA play on: Houston Texans -3.5 over Indianapolis Colts, 8:20PM ET – This is a huge game for both teams as it may decide the AFC South. From a situational standpoint we must take the Texans, at home, on a short week and playing with same season revenge as they lost in Indy a few weeks ago. Not too mention, the Texans are off a HORRIBLE showing against the Ravens last week. But this game will be different as they don’t face a mobile QB like Lamar Jackson who threw for 222 yards, 4 TD’s and rank for another 86. The Colts are off a big win against Jacksonville at home with Jacoby Brissett throwing for just 148 total yards, 1 passing TD and 1 INT. These two teams have played nearly identical schedules yet the Colts net yards per play differential is minus -0.3 while the Texans is even. Houston relies heavily on QB Watson who has 8 TD’s and zero INT’s in his last two home games with 705 passing yards. We like the home team here and will lay the points. |
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11-20-19 | Magic v. Raptors -3 | Top | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
ASA 10* play on: Toronto Raptors -3 over Orlando Magic, 7:30PM ET – These two teams have met on this floor already this season with the Raptors coming out on top by 9-points as a 5-point favorite. That was the 5th straight time the Raptors have beaten the Magic and there is no reason to think that streak ends tonight. Orlando hasn’t won a road game this season and have a negative differential of minus -5.5PPG when away from home. Historically the Raptors have had some of the best numbers at home and this year their average point differential of +13.8PPG is second in the league. Much has been made of the Magic’s improved defensive efficiency numbers that rank them 9th in the NBA but Toronto has a better points per possession defense allowing just 1.030PPP which ranks them 5th. Orlando isn’t nearly as good as the Raptors on the other end of the court as Toronto ranks 10th in offensive efficiency, Orlando 24th. Yes, the Raptors don’t have Kyle Lowry in the lineup but VanVleet and Powell will pick up the slack in the backcourt. Lay the points with Toronto tonight. |
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11-18-19 | Celtics v. Suns -3.5 | 99-85 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
ASA 10* play on: Phoenix Suns -3.5 over Boston Celtics, 9PM ET – The line on this game smells fishy which means we back the team that doesn’t look right. Let’s look at the number on this game. In comparison the Celtics were plus this same number in Milwaukee earlier this year and the Bucks are one of the four best teams in the NBA. Phoenix was recently a -1-point favorite over a Philadelphia team that grades out slightly lower than Boston. Boston had won 10 straight games prior to yesterday’s loss in Sacramento. So why is this number as high as it is? Because they want you to take the Celtics and the points. The Celtics have the 3rd best average differential in the NBA at +8PPG, Phoenix is 5th at +7.1PPG. Both teams are top 5 in offensive efficiency and top 12 in defensive efficiency. The Celtics are coming off a loss yesterday and playing their 3rd game in four nights so fatigue is a factor, especially considering the Suns have been off since the 14th. Boston’s road wins aren’t spectacular as they haven’t beat a winning team on the road and the combined record of those teams are 20-45 SU. Phoenix on the other hand has some quality games at home with wins over the Philadelphia and the Clippers and a 1-point loss to Utah. The bet here is on Phoenix at home minus the points. |
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11-18-19 | Appalachian State v. NC-Greensboro -9 | Top | 41-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON UNC Greensboro -9 over Appalachian State, Monday at 7 PM ET UNCG is one of the favorites this year in the Southern Conference and we catch them here off a loss to Montana State as a 15 point favorite. Greensboro took 29 more shots in the game but simply shot poorly hitting only 36% while Montana State hit 52%. It was just one of those games where the ball was not going in the basket for UNCG. It was also a poor defensive effort from a team that has been very good on that end of the court ranking 26th nationally in defensive efficiency 2 years ago and 74th last season. Many of the key components are back from a team that finished 29-7 last year and this program has won 25+ game three straight seasons. They finished 14-1 at home last year with their only loss coming at the hands of Wofford who was 30-5 a year ago. Now off a rare home loss we expect them to have a huge bounce back and play very well in this game. In a round robin type format, UNCG is hosting App State, Tennessee Tech, and Montana State. They played Tennessee Tech on Friday (won by 34) and Montana State on Saturday (upset 1 point loss). App State played both teams as well here in Greensboro (lost to Montana State & beat Tenn Tech) so they each will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days. Advantage goes to the home team for sure in that situation. Unlike UNCG, App State has not been a successful program with their last winning season coming back in 2011 (16-15 record). They hired a new coach Kerns from Presbyterian and he is trying to turn this program around. While he may just do that, it won’t happen this season. Greensboro plays pressure defense creates turnovers at a high rates ranking in the top 30 in defensive turnover rate each of the last 3 season. It’s early in the season but they are at it again turning their opponents over 28% of the time ranking them 12th nationally. App State ranks 254th so far this season in offensive turnover rate. This isn’t a great match up for the Mountaineers and they will be facing an angry Greensboro team that is used to winning at home. UNCG wins by double digits. |
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11-17-19 | Saints -5 v. Bucs | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON New Orleans -5 over Tampa Bay, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET Sports handicapping 101 dictates looking at good teams off a loss or bad teams off an upset win. We get both in this game with the Saints off an upset home loss to Atlanta in which they played terribly and the Bucs off beating Arizona. The last time the Saints were off a loss this year they went to Seattle as a 5-point dog and won outright. They then ripped off 6 straight wins which included a 7-point win over this same Tampa Bay team. The final score in that first meeting is somewhat misleading as they Saints outgained the Bucs 457 to 252 total yards. This Saints team is quietly being overlooked in the NFC but are clearly one of the best teams in the Conference. New Orleans has already won three road games this season against better teams than Tampa, who really doesn’t have much of a home field advantage (3rd lowest attendance). Tampa has already lost at home to Carolina, the Giants and San Francisco and are off a win over 3-6-1 Arizona. The Bucs have 21-turnovers this season and 4+ in the last three games. QB Winston has 14 INT’s on the season and a habit of throwing it to the other team. The kicker here is the Bucs pass defense that is last in the NFL facing Drew Bree’s and Michael Thomas and a top ten passing offense. |
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11-17-19 | Texans +4.5 v. Ravens | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Houston +4.5 over Baltimore, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET Baltimore has become a bit too public since beating New England a few weeks ago and we feel this line is too high. Houston is coming off a bye and they absolutely are good enough to win this game outright and the points at +4.5 are giving us some nice cushion if Baltimore does win. Houston is 3-1 in road games including a win @ KC when the Chiefs had QB Mahomes at 100%. The Texans dominated that game outgained the potent Chiefs by 163 yards. The Houston defense allows just 84 YPG rushing (3rd best in the NFL) which matches up very well with what Baltimore likes to do on offense and that is run the ball. In order to beat this Baltimore team, you need to slow down their running game and force QB Lamar Jackson to try and win through the air. We think Houston can do just that. Baltimore has been very good in the underdog role but they are just 2-4 ATS this year when favored. Let’s not forget that before they beat New England, the Ravens lost at home to Cleveland by 15 points and picked up close wins vs both Cincinnati & Arizona. The Texans are 3-1 ATS as underdogs this year and they’ve won all 3 of those games outright. Even when Houston loses, it tends to be a close game. In fact, since Deshaun Watson took over as the starting QB in 2017, Houston has lost 11 games with him under center and all were by 8 points or less. We think this one goes to the wire and we’ll take the generous points. |
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11-17-19 | Jets v. Redskins -1 | 34-17 | Loss | -123 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON Washington -1 over NY Jets, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET In a battle of 2 bad teams, we’ll side with the host here. As of this writing, well over 70% of the tickets have come in on the Jets yet this line hasn’t budged off the -2 opener. In fact, a few spots pushed the opposite direction and went to Washington -2.5 which means the heavy money is coming in on the Skins. The percentages on this game are very similar to last Sunday’s Jets vs Giants game when everyone was on the Giants (70% plus) and the Jets won the game. The Jets broke out offensively scoring 34 points however coming into the game they had scored only 8 TD’s in their first 7 games. We expect them to resort back to their old offensive form here against a Washington defense that has been playing fairly solid allowing just 17 PPG over their last 4. Offensively we realize the Skins have struggled over the last month or so, however they’ve also faced some very tough defensive teams. They have played New England, Minnesota, Buffalo, and San Francisco, 4 of the top defenses in the NFL, all since the start of October. We look for Washington to play much better on offense here vs a Jets defense that has given up 28.2 PPG since mid September. Situationally, Washington is off a bye while the Jets are coming off a huge game vs cross town rival Giants. New York is a terrible 0-9-1 ATS the last 10 times they’ve faced a team coming off a bye. Make that 0-10-1 ATS as we like Washington to win and cover this one. |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa -3 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Iowa Hawkeyes (-) over Minnesota Golden Gophers, Saturday at 4 PM ET: Game #336 |
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11-16-19 | Wyoming +5.5 v. Utah State | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Wyoming Cowboys (+) over Utah State Aggies, Saturday at 4 PM ET: Game #353 |
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11-16-19 | Texas +7 v. Iowa State | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Texas Longhorns (+) over Iowa State Cyclones, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #377 |
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11-15-19 | South Dakota State v. Nebraska -6.5 | 73-90 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON Nebraska -6.5 over South Dakota State, Friday at 8 PM ET The Huskers come into this game with an 0-2 record giving us some line value here. Their most recent game was a home loss to a very solid Southern Utah team in OT. The Huskers were laying 7.5 and 8 in that game vs an SUU team that is rated 10 to 15 spots higher than this South Dakota State team yet Nebraska is laying just 6.5 here. Nebraska is working with a new head coach Fred Hoiberg who has big success at Iowa State. He is integrating a number of new but talented players into the lineup. They looked very poor in their season opener, but much better against Southern Utah although Nebraska did blow an 11 point halftime lead in that game. SUU went to BYU a few days after their game @ Nebraska an nearly beat a very solid Cougar team so they are solid. Now the Huskers have had off since November 9th and we expect a solid effort here in a very important game for them. They do not want to drop to 0-3 with some big road games coming up vs Washington State (neutral site), @ Georgia Tech, @ Creighton, and @ Indiana. South Dakota State is also replacing their head coach TJ Otzelberger who took the head job at UNLV. New head coach Eric Henderson has very few experienced players to work with this year. While Nebraska has had nearly a week off to regroup, South Dakota State was in California facing Cal State Bakersfield in Nov 9 (win in OT) and @ USC on Nov 12 (18 point loss). Now just a few days later they are in Nebraska taking on a desperate Husker squad. We’ll lay this small number and look for Nebraska to pick up a big win here. |
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11-14-19 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Pittsburgh | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 40 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* North Carolina Tar Heels (+) over Pittsburgh Panthers, Thursday at 8 PM ET: Game #313 |
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11-14-19 | Heat v. Cavs +4.5 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
ASA play on: Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 over Miami Heat, 6PM ET - *Note early tip time* We love the Cavs here who are a team lumped together with some of the worst teams in the league, but are better than expected. Let’s talk line value first. The Cavs are catching a similar number at home as they were against Boston and Dallas recently who are both better than this Miami team as of this writing. Injuries: The Heat have suspended Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow is out and they have health concerns with Dragic, Johnson, and Herro who are all questionable tonight. The Cavaliers have played the 8th toughest schedule when it comes to efficiency ratings and yet they have the 17th average point differential of minus -0.9PPG. Miami is 3-3 SU on the road this season with a differential of minus -2PPG. Cleveland is 2-2 SU at home and their differential is minus -2.2PPG so in both those scenarios (Miami away, Cavs home) the Cavs are within the spread tonight. Let’s not forget the Cav vets are playing hard to showcase their talents for other teams in the league before trade deadline when this team gets blown up. Take the home dog here and the points! |
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11-13-19 | Clippers +2.5 v. Rockets | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
ASA play on: LA Clippers +2.5 over Houston Rockets, 7:30PM ET – Obviously the biggest game on the card tonight is this one and we are betting the Clippers. These two teams are both 7-3 SU on the season and have some similarities when it comes to general statistics but the biggest advantage the Clippers have is defense. Let’s compare both teams: The Clippers are 8th in offensive efficiency ratings, the Rockets are 3rd. Los Angeles is 11th in defensive efficiency, Houston is 20th. To summarize the Rockets, have a slight edge offensively and the Clippers hold the advantage defensively. But the Clippers numbers have come against the 3rd toughest schedule to date while the Rockets stats have come against the SECOND EASIEST! Houston has one quality win on their resume which was at home against the Bucks. The Clippers on the other hand have beaten Toronto, Portland, San Antonio, Utah and the Lakers. After facing the much tougher schedule the Clippers average point differential is +5PPG while the Rockets are +1.9PPG against a weak one. L.A. has covered 5 straight, the Rockets are 0-4 AGTS their last four against a team with a winning record. The better defensive team wins outright. Play on: LA CLIPPERS |
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11-12-19 | Western Michigan +1 v. Ohio | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON Western Michigan Broncos (-) over Ohio University Bobcats, Tuesday at 6:30 PM ET: Game #303 |
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11-11-19 | Mavs v. Celtics -3 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
ASA play on: Boston Celtics -3 over Dallas Mavericks, 7:30PM ET – The Celtics will be without Gordon Hayward tonight and yet the line has not fluctuated. That’s because the Celtics have the luxury of moving Marcus Smart into the lineup so don’t expect a drop off for Boston. The C’s were 28-13 SU at home last year with an average differential of +6.8PPG. They are 3-0 SU this season with quality wins over the Bucks and Raptors. Dallas on the other hand is a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS on the road this season but 3 of those wins have come against Memphis, New Orleans and Cleveland who have a combined 8-19 record. Going back to 2016 the Celtics have a 105-46 SU home (70%) record and they’ve won those games by an average of +4.8PPG. We will lay the points here with Boston at home. |
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11-11-19 | Senators v. Hurricanes -1.5 | 2-8 | Win | 105 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Ottawa Senators, Monday at 7:05 PM ET |
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11-10-19 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Minnesota +3.5 over Dallas, Sunday at 8:20 PM ET You couldn’t ask for a better situation for a wager on the Vikings as they are off a disappointing loss, while the public Cowboys are off a big TV win on Monday night. That makes this a short week for a Cowboys team that is vastly over-rated by playing the 31st easiest schedule in the NFL. The Cowboys have played five games against teams with a combined 7-36 SU record and are the five worst teams in the NFL. Dallas has an average margin of victory this year of +10.6PPG but if you eliminate the previously teams that differential shrinks to just +1.6PPG. They’ve already lost to a pair of comparable teams to the Vikings in New Orleans (without Brees) and home against the Packers. Despite the disparity in scheduling the Cowboys yards per play differential (1.6YPPL) is barely better than the Vikings (1.0YPPL) and a tougher schedule. The Vikings have an average differential of +8.4PPG and have played a much better schedule than Dallas. Minnesota has a 2-3 SU road record this year, but the losses have come against Green Bay, at Chicago when the Bears were decent and then last week in Kansas City. Vikings head coach Zimmer is 17-3-1 ATS when coming off a loss and playing a non-division opponent and a remarkable 40-16-3 ATS when facing a non-NFC North team. |
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11-10-19 | Bills v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Cleveland -2.5 over Buffalo, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET We’re definitely buying low on Cleveland here. Nobody wants to bet the Browns right now after losing @ Denver last week dropping them to 2-6 yet they are favored over the 6-2 Bills here. There is a reason they are favored in this game and we expect a bounce back game for Cleveland. We all know they are a very talented team and now they are backed into a corner with everyone seemingly against them. That’s many times when NFL teams step up and play well. We also don’t mind fading a Buffalo team that we feel is completely overvalued at this point in the season. Their 6 wins have come against teams that have a combined record of 9-41 and none have a .500 record. They have beaten Miami, NY Jets, NY Giants, Washington, Cincinnati, and Tennessee. Last week they beat a terrible Washington team 24-9 but the Bills had just 268 yards of total offense in that game. They have also been at home for 5 of their last 6 games so their schedule thus far has been very much in favor of them. The Buffalo offense is fairly pedestrian ranking 22nd scoring only 19.8 PPG despite playing 4 of the bottom 12 defenses in the NFL this year. Their defense is overrated in our opinion for the same reason as the Bills have faced 6 of the bottom 9 NFL teams ranked in total offense. Their run defense has been exposed a bit over the last 3 weeks allowing 127 yards rushing to the Skins, 218 to the Eagles, and 109 to the Dolphins. Cleveland is one of the better running teams in the NFL (2nd in YPC) and not only will the Browns run Nick Chubb at the Buffalo defense but Kareem Hunt is now eligible as well. We expect the Browns with their backs against the wall hearing from everyone all week how bad they are, to rise up and play very well on Sunday. We spoke earlier about why would a 2-6 Cleveland team be favored over a 6-2 Buffalo team? Here is a very interesting and STRONG stat on that situation. Over the last 25 seasons, this is just the 7th time in week 6 or later a team winning 25% or less of their games (Cleveland) is favored over a team winning 75% or more of their games (Buffalo). The favorite (supposed bad team) that has won 25% or less is 6-0 ATS in those games as a favorite! Again there is a reason Cleveland is favored and we’ll take the Browns on Sunday. |
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11-10-19 | Falcons +14.5 v. Saints | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON Atlanta +14.5 over New Orleans, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET We get Atlanta has won only 1 game this year but they are MUCH better than their record. They have actually outgained their opponents this year averaging 385 YPG on offense while allowing 379 defensively. Those are not the numbers of a 1-7 team, more like a .500 team. Matt Ryan is back under center and we definitely think the Falcons will do enough on offense to keep this game within 2 TD’s. Before his injury Ryan topped 300 yards passing in every game and they scored at least 24 points in 4 of those 6 games. Getting to 20 here should be enough to get the cover and fully anticipate the Birds doing just that. The Saints have won and covered 6 straight and now they are at the point where they are overvalued in our opinion. Let’s not forget this is a big time NFC South rivalry and this is the HIGHEST spread ever in this game! Only 2 of the last 18 meetings in this rivalry have been decided by more than 2 TD’s and over the last 8 meetings the average margin of victory was 8 points. Atlanta has also been very successful on the road in this series with a 26-12 ATS record since 1980. Just to give you an idea of the value we are getting here, this year Atlanta was +3 @ Minnesota, +1 @ Indianapolis, and +4 @ Houston. We look for Atlanta to play their best game of the year off last week’s bye and keep this one much closer than most think. |
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11-10-19 | Lions +3 v. Bears | 13-20 | Loss | -119 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
NOTE - This pick was posted before Stafford was declared out. We'd still consider Detroit at +7 over higher. ASA 8* PLAY ON Detroit +3 over Chicago, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET The Bears offense is just putrid. There is on arguing that. They rank 29th in the NFL in total offense and 29th in yards per play (YPP) offense. Last week vs the Eagles they had a grand total of NINE yards at halftime. They lost the game 22-14 but it really should have been much worse as Philly outgained the Bears by over 200 yards. The defense absolutely has to carry this team and we see a problem looming. The Chicago defense looks like they are running out of gas. Defenses that get tired as the season progresses tend to give up rushing yardage. Over the last 3 games, the Chicago defense has allowed 146, 162, and 151 yards on the ground. Now the Lions aren’t a great running team but the fact that Chicago’s defense is slipping a bit is telling. If that continues to happen, this team is in big trouble. We had Oakland over this Detroit team last week and picked up a win with the Raiders. However, we were impressed with the Detroit offense that had nearly 500 yards of offense. Detroit QB Stafford gives us a huge edge at that position over Chicago’s Trubisky who has lost all of his confidence. Stafford has quietly had a very good season with 2,500 yards on 19 TD’s. His rating puts him at 5th in the NFL among starting QB’s while Trubisky’s rating has him at 29th. The Lions have scored at least 24 points in 6 of their 8 games. With Chicago’s defense trending downward allowing 24 points or more in 3 of their last 4, we think Detroit can get into the 20’s here. If so, we just don’t see how the Bears offense, who has scored 10 offensive TD’s in 7 games with Trubisky under center, can keep up and win, much less cover. Even in their losses, Detroit has been very competitive with a chance to win each (with the exception of Minnesota). The led Green Bay on the road entering the 4th quarter and lost 23-22 on a last second FG. They led KC (when Mahomes was healthy) late in the 4th and Mahomes led the Chiefs to a game winning TD (34-30 win) with 20 seconds remaining. Last week @ Oakland, the Lions ended the game at the Raider 1-yard line with a chance to tie. You see the point. Those are all solid teams and Detroit could have won all of them. We think they break through here and beat a bad Chicago team so we’ll take the points. |
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11-09-19 | Clemson -32 v. NC State | 55-10 | Win | 100 | 49 h 49 m | Show | |
ASA FIRST HALF LINE PLAY ON 9* Clemson Tigers (FIRST HALF LINE) over NC State Wolfpack, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #117 |
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11-09-19 | Missouri +16.5 v. Georgia | 0-27 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 44 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Missouri Tigers (+) over Georgia Bulldogs, Saturday at 7 PM ET: Game #181 |
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11-09-19 | Iowa v. Wisconsin -8.5 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 57 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Wisconsin Badgers(-) over Iowa Hawkeyes, Saturday at 4 PM ET: Game #194 |
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11-09-19 | Kansas State v. Texas -7 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Texas Longhorns (+) over Kansas State Wildcats, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #184 |
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11-08-19 | Bucks v. Jazz +3 | Top | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
ASA Play on: Utah Jazz +3 over Milwaukee Bucks, Friday 9PM ET – This is simply a bad number set by the oddsmakers and we’ll gladly take the value with the home team Jazz. Consider this: Utah was just favored by -2.5 points at home over a Philly team that is VERY comparable to Milwaukee and a -7.5 point favorite against the Clippers at home (minus Kawhi). The Jazz won both of those games and are unbeaten at home this season. Last year the Jazz were 29-12 SU at home with the 6th best home point differential at +7.9PPG. Going back further the Jazz are 30-16 their last 46 regular season home games with an average winning margin of +4.8PPG (11th best in the NBA). Milwaukee is clearly one of the best teams in the NBA and have some impressive road numbers including a 27-14 SU record away from home in the regular season last year. The Bucks road differential a season ago was +5.6PPG which was 2nd best in the league but that’s barely better than the spread here. The home team has won and covered 4 in a row in this series and with the vast majority of public money and tickets bet on the Bucks, we’ll go opposite and take the home team Jazz. |
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11-08-19 | Bruins -1.5 v. Red Wings | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Detroit Red Wings, Friday at 7:35 PM ET |
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11-05-19 | Heat v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
ASA 10* Play On: #552 Denver Nuggets -4.5 over Miami Heat, 9PM ET – We are getting value here with the home team Nuggets who are off to a slow start by the standards set for them this season, while the Heat are over-valued by a hot start. Miami does have a pair of quality wins on their resume against Houston and Milwaukee, but their other three wins have come against Atlanta and Memphis. With a 5-1 SU record and a public team, the Heat will have the Nuggets full attention tonight. Denver is 71-21 SU at home since the start of the 2017 season with an average margin of victory of +7.9PPG. Last season Denver had the second most efficient offense in the NBA at home last year at 1.172PPG and the 5th best defensive efficiency allowing 1.064PPP. Denver was 34-7 at home last year and won by an average of 10.6PPG. The Heat are clearly over-valued tonight considering they were a 7-point dog at a lesser Minnesota and +11.5 points in Milwaukee. This Nuggets team was one of the favorites to win it all this season. Denver lost their last home contest and will send a message tonight. Lay the points. |
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11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -4 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
ASA 10* play on: LA Clippers -4 over Utah Jazz, 9PM ET – The Clippers are the best team in the NBA right now and Paul George hasn’t even seen the floor yet. Here’s what we’ve seen in this small sample size of the NBA. The Clippers have played the 4th toughest schedule to date based on opponents offensive and defensive efficiency ratings, yet they have the 11th best point differential at +4.7PPG. They are unbeaten at home with a point differential of +10.4PPG. Utah is going to be one of the better NBA teams this season, but they’ve played the second easiest schedule and current numbers are inflated. Utah faced the Lakers in Los Angeles earlier this season and were plus +3.5 points so the adjustment by the oddsmakers isn’t enough for the better of the two L.A. teams. Just how good is Kawhi Leonard you ask? He currently leads the Clippers in scoring, rebounding and assists. The Clippers just lost in Utah the other night but Kawhi was rested due to load management. He’ll play here and lead the Clippers to a double-digit home win. |
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11-03-19 | Lions v. Raiders -2.5 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Oakland -2.5 over Detroit, Sunday at 4:00 PM ET Oakland is just happy to be home where they have not played since September 15th! They’ve played 5 consecutive games away from home including a game in London a few weeks back. They also had a bye thrown in so 6 full weeks and you can bet the loyal Black & Silver followers will be amped up for this game. The Raiders were 2-3 on their road trip and were quite impressive based on their competition. They beat Indy & Chicago during that stretch with losses @ GB, @ Minnesota, and @ Houston. They actually outgained GB on the road but the game turned on a few key turnovers including one late in the 1st half that turned into a 14 points swing in favor of the Packers. Last week @ Houston the Raiders never trailed until 6:00 minutes remaining in the game in a 27-24 loss and they outgained the Texans drastically averaging 7.1 YPP to just 5.2 for Houston. On that 5 game road swing the Raiders played the 2 best teams in the NFC North and the 2 best teams in the AFC South and presented themselves very well. On top of that, they played KC when Mahomes was a full strength so 5 of their 7 games this season have come against some of the top teams in the NFL. This team is better than their 3-4 record. Detroit comes in with a 3-3-1 record on the season and they are getting outgained by an average of 41 YPG (379 on offense / 420 on defense). Their defense has been very poor ranking 31st in the NFL in total defense ahead of only Cincinnati. The Lions have allowed at least 430 yards in 3 of their last 4 games. They also allow 130 YPG on the ground which is a bad match up here vs an Oakland running game that puts up 131 YPG. That should open things up for QB Derek Carr and we look for the Raider offense to have a big game vs a Detroit defense that has allowed at least 23 points in all but one game this season. Oakland wins and covers at home. |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +5 v. Seahawks | 34-40 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON Tampa Bay +5 over Seattle, Sunday at 4:00 PM ET Seattle is 6-2 on the season but drastically overvalued in our opinion. They are getting outgained on the season -0.2 YPP and 5 of their 6 wins have come against teams that are currently below .500. The Seahawks are just 2-2 at home and both wins have come by just 1 point (over Bengals and Rams). They have been drastically outgained by 2 BAD teams this year. Last week a 1-7 Atlanta team outgained Seattle by 188 yards last week (7.2 YPP for Atlanta / 5.9 for Seattle) and earlier this year the 0-8 Bengals outgained Seattle by 197 yards (6.1 YPP for Bengals / 4.7 YPP for Seattle). Despite their east schedule, the Seahawks have only one win by more than 7 points (@ Arizona). Tampa is the opposite of Seattle in that they are better than their 2-5 record. Last week’s game @ Tennessee was a good summary of how the Bucs season has gone this year. They lost 27-23 but outgained Tennessee by over 100 yards. Tampa had a scoring play nullified by the officials late in the game which would have given Tampa the win. The NFL admitted it was a mistake and apologized to TB. The Bucs have had lots of bad luck this season for a pretty solid team. They’ve shown they can get it done on the road already beating Carolina and the LA Rams away from home. Despite their 2 wins thus far, the Bucs have outgained their opponents by +0.2 YPP. Seattle has a huge division game on deck with San Francisco and we can see them peaking ahead here. We like Tampa to take this to the wire with a solid shot to win outright. Take the points. |
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11-02-19 | Virginia +2.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 1 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Virginia Cavaliers (+) over North Carolina Tar Heels, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #337 |
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11-02-19 | Pittsburgh -7 v. Georgia Tech | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Pittsburgh Panthers (-) over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, Saturday at 4:00 PM ET: Game #317 |
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11-02-19 | Miami-FL v. Florida State -3 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Florida State Seminoles (-) over Miami Hurricanes, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #388 |
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10-31-19 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State -14.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY 9* ON Appalachian State Mountaineers (-) over Georgia Southern Eagles, Thursday at 8 PM ET: Game #304 |
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10-27-19 | Giants +7 v. Lions | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON NY Giants +7 over Detroit, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET Both teams off 3 straight losses coming into this game. Detroit has had back to back huge division games vs Green Bay and Minnesota and it could be tough for them to get back up to their top level here after those 2 losses. The Giants are off losses vs Minnesota, New England and last week played decent against Arizona. NY lost that game 27-21 but outgained the Cards and had more first downs but lost the turnover battle 3-0. NYG QB Jones struggled with games vs New England & Minnesota, two of the best defenses in the NFL, but his other action vs lower half defenses he’s been able to put up at least 21 points in each of those games. He faces a Detroit defense that has allowed at least 430 yards in each of their last 3 games. The Lions now rank 31st in the NFL in total defense ahead of only Cincinnati allowing 428 YPG. The Lions put very little pressure on the QB ranking near the bottom of the NFL in sacks per game (1.7) and sack percentage so Jones should have time to operate. With RB Saquon Barkley back in the line up as well for the 2nd straight week, the Giants should be able to move the ball and score enough to stay in this game all the way. Detroit has the tendency to play close games no matter what the competition with 6 of their 7 games decided by 4 points. The only one that wasn’t was their 12 point loss to Minnesota last week. Road dogs in the NFL have cashing regularly with a big 45-24-1 ATS mark this year. We like NY Giants and the points here. |
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10-27-19 | Bucs +2.5 v. Titans | 23-27 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON Tampa Bay +2.5 over Tennessee, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET This is a great spot for Tampa on our opinion. They are coming off a bye and a bad performance two weeks ago vs Carolina in London. In that game the Panthers won 37-26 but Tampa outgained them by 140 yards and 5.4 to 4.3 on a yards per play basis. The problem was the Bucs turned the ball over a ridiculous 7 times! You have absolutely zero chance to win in the NFL if that happens and for them to keep this game to just a margin of 11 points was pretty surprising under those circumstances. Now the Buccaneers have had 2 full weeks to get ready for this game and we think they’ll play very well off that poor performance in London. Tampa has been very comfortable on the road this year winning 2 of their 3 true road games including wins @ LA Rams and @ Carolina. Their only true road loss was at 6-1 New Orleans. TB is definitely better than their 2-4 overall record as they are actually outgaining their opponents by a 5.9 to 5.7 YPP basis. Their defense ranks #1 in the NFL against the rush giving up only 2.9 YPC! That’s a key here as we know Tennessee relies heavily on their running game averaging 27 carries per game. While Tampa is off a bye, the Titans are off a 23-20 win at home vs the struggling Chargers. Tennessee was outgained in the game and allowed LA an average of 6.1 YPP. The Chargers were about to win the game when RB Melvin Gordon fumbled on the 1-yard line with 19 seconds remaining to preserve the 3 point win for Tennessee. Ryan Tannehill started at QB in favor of Mariota and had a decent game but he’s been pretty average his entire career so we don’t expect a big boost long term for the Titan offense. Tennessee is 0-3-1 ATS this year as a favorite and they lost 3 of those games outright. Long term they’ve been a terrible favorite going just 22-37-2 ATS (37%) in that role over the last decade. This line says these two are close to dead even on a neutral field. We disagree. We have Tampa rated as the better team and we’ll take the points in this game. |
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10-27-19 | Jets +7.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 15-29 | Loss | -140 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
ASA 10* TOP GAME PLAY ON NY Jets +7.5 over Jacksonville, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET We love the value here with the Jets. This line tells us that If Jacksonville was @ the Jets the line would be around a pick-em with the Jags potentially even favored. We just don’t see that. This line is too high and now with Sam Darnold back at QB we feel these teams are actually pretty close which would make Jacksonville -3 or -3.5 here, NOT -6.5. In this game we get the Jets coming in off an embarrassment on Monday Night football. They lost 33-0 to New England, not a huge surprise, and had 6 turnovers. The Patriots defensive schemes can do that to the best of offenses. We often see teams play much better off games like this. Often you can get some line value coming off a Monday Night game like that as people see a team struggle or get shutout and are reluctant to wager on them the next week. We definitely have that in this game. Let’s not forget a week earlier this NY Jets team, with Darnold back at the helm, beat Dallas. Now they play a so-so team in Jacksonville who comes in with a 3-4 record and trending downward in our opinion. We look for the Jets offense to play much better in this game. They are off a game facing a New England defense that has been historically good this year and now facing a Jacksonville defense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in most key stats (total defense, Yards per play defense, rush defense, and pass defense). They will also be without 3 key LB’s in this game and that means Jacksonville is down to 1 LB who’s played more than 1 snap this season. Those are key cluster injuries to a very important position. Most wouldn’t know it but the Jets have a top 10 defense on a yards per play basis allowing just 5.3 – Jags allow 5.9. The Jets offensive stats are very poor but not reflective of the current offense. They are a completely different offense with Darnold at the helm and the play calling reflects that. He has played in just 3 games but has led NY to all but one of their TD’s on the season. Also remember, that 2 of those games came against New England and Buffalo, two of the top three defenses in the NFL in total yards allowed. They are facing a Jacksonville team that won 27-17 @ Cincinnati (who’s now 0-7) last week but were trailing 10-9 in the fourth quarter and the Jags were the beneficiary of a pick 6 for 7 of their 27 points. QB Gardner Minshew was the talk of the NFL in his first few starts but now that there is film on him, he’s come back down to earth a bit and the defenses have adjusted. In his last 2 games, Minshew has completed just 29 of his 61 pass attempts (47.5%) with only 1 TD and 1 interception. He also had his two lowest QB ratings in those 2 most recent games. In their last 2 games vs the Saints & Bengals, the Jaguars had 22 total offensive possessions and Minshew led them to ONE touchdown. That’s it. He’s struggling and if that means Jacksonville has to rely on their running game, they are facing a Jets defense that ranks #2 in the NFL allowing only 3.3 yards per carry. We see this as a tight game throughout and one the Jets can absolutely win. Getting +7 or more here is worth a solid play in this one. |
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10-26-19 | Washington State +14.5 v. Oregon | 35-37 | Win | 100 | 33 h 49 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Washington State Cougars (+) over Oregon Ducks, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET: Game #153 |
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10-26-19 | California +21.5 v. Utah | 0-35 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 22 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* California Golden Bears (+) over Utah Utes, Saturday at 10:00 PM ET: Game #141 |
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10-26-19 | Pacers -5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
ASA 10* play on: Indiana Pacers -5.5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers, 7PM ET These two teams have very different season projections with the Pacers expected to win roughly 48 games while the Cavs season win total is 24. That essentially tells us what these teams are all about, so we have a good team off a loss laying a marginal number on the road. Granted, the Cavaliers are off a loss too but again, they are not a good team. Last season the Pacers were 18-17 SU off a loss, Cleveland was 15-47. Last year the Pacers were favored by -9.5-points and -7-points, so we have some value in today’s spread. Indiana had the 10th best road differential in the NBA a season ago with a top 10 road defensive efficiency ratings. The Cavs last season had the 3rd worst home point differential at minus -7.3PPG and were last in home defensive efficiency ratings. In the 4 meetings last season the Pacers won by 8 or more points. The Pacers have covered 5 of the last six meetings on this court. Lay the points. |
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10-26-19 | Central Florida v. Temple +11 | 63-21 | Loss | -117 | 29 h 25 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Temple Owls (+) over UCF Knights, Saturday at 7:00 PM ET: Game #124 |
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10-26-19 | Oklahoma State +10.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Oklahoma State Cowboys (+) over Iowa State Cyclones, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #169 |
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10-26-19 | Penn State v. Michigan State +5.5 | 28-7 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Michigan State Spartans (+) over Penn State Nittany Lions, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #162 |
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10-25-19 | Jazz +4 v. Lakers | 86-95 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON: Utah Jazz +3.5 over LA Lakers, 10:30PM ET – Yes, we know this isn’t going to be a popular pick as everyone has been brainwashed into thinking LeBron is still the LeBron he was 5 or 6 years ago and this Lakers team will win it all this year. The reality is that LeBron won’t win another Championship! In LBJ’s defense, it gets lost he’s played 16 NBA seasons. But when you add in 239 playoff games it essentially adds three more seasons to his resume. Father time is unbeaten. Moving on, it’s going to take time for this roster to jell and they face a Utah Jazz team that won 50 games a year ago, was 2nd in the league in defensive efficiency and had the 4th best road point differential at +2.7PPG. The Jazz won their opener against OKC the other night and did it with newly acquired Mike Conley going 1 of 16 from the field. This roster is deep and has playmakers at every position including Donovan Mitchell who scored 32 in the opener. With Joe Ingles in the lineup the Jazz have beaten the Lakers in 14 of the last eighteen meetings. Contrary to what you might think, the Lakers have not been good off a loss with a 4-10 ATS record their last fourteen. The Lakers are going to get everyone’s best punch every single night and the Jazz will come here and send this other Los Angeles team to 0-2. |
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10-25-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON: Boston Celtics -2.5 over Toronto Raptors, 7PM ET – We like the situation and will back the home team Celtics here off a loss in the opener. Toronto is off a home win which was much tougher than it should have been against the Pelicans. The Celtics lost in Philly the other night and the main contributing factor was poor shooting by the C’s. Boston hit just 36.7% of their overall FG attempts and under 27% from beyond the arc. Those numbers are drastically lower than their season averages a year ago and now they are at home in a more friendly shooting environment. Last season Boston had a top 12 team at home in: margin of victory, offensive and defensive efficiency ratings. Granted, Toronto had good road numbers too but that was with Kawhi Leonard who is clearly one of the three best players in the entire NBA. Against a bad defensive team from a year ago, the Pelicans (23rd in DEFF), the Raptors shot just 40% a team and benefited from ‘home cooking’ and +15 free throw makes in their win. Boston is 84-49 SU versus the East since 2017 and 57-26 SU at home as a favorite in that same time frame. With the line where it is, we are basically asking the Celtics to just win this game which they’ll do by more than the spread. Boston has covered four straight at home over Toronto and the host is on a 9-0 spread run. |
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10-23-19 | Knicks +10.5 v. Spurs | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON: NY KNICKS +10.5 over San Antonio Spurs, 8:30PM ET – It’s a fresh start and the Knicks have a clean slate to start the season after tanking last year. New York doesn’t know how bad they’re going to be this season, so we expect a max effort tonight in San Antonio. In fairness to New York they will win more than 17 games this year with a semi-talented roster that can beat just about anyone in the East on any given night. Julius Randle is coming off his best season with 21PPG, 8.7RPG and 3.1APG and can play at a very high level. The backcourt is athletic with Dennis Smith Jr, Elfrid Payton, Reggie Bullock (out) and RJ Barrett. Marcus Morris and Taj Gibson brings veteran leadership and toughness while Kevin Knox and Bobby Portis have huge upside. New York was a dismal 8-32 SU on the road last season with an average differential of minus -10.8PPG which is essentially tonight’s spread AND that record is with them trying to lose to get the #1 pick in the draft! San Antonio returns a roster of veterans and youth and basically stood pat in free agency. They do get Dejounte Murray back from injury who is a budding star, but he did miss the entire season a year ago. The Spurs were 34-10 SU a year ago at home with an average margin of victory of just +6.7PPG. San Antonio was one of the slowest paced teams at home last year which makes covering larger numbers more difficult with less chances to score for each team. San Antonio was a double-digit home favorite 8 times last year and they only covered twice. New York stays within the number here. Grab the points! |
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10-22-19 | Pelicans v. Raptors -6.5 | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON: Toronto Raptors -6.5 over New Orleans Pelicans, Tuesday 8PM ET – The news out of the Big Easy is the injury status of Zion Williamson who is now out for 6-8 weeks after knee surgery. That news doesn’t affect this game though as he was already out for this season opener. The Raptors are without Kawhi Leonard here who left the Great North for green pastures in Los Angeles, but this roster still has talent. Toronto has Marc Gasol in the middle, budding star Pascal Siakam, (All Star) Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet and OG Anunoby. The Raptors had the 3rd best overall point differential in the NBA last season and the 7th best at home of +7.5PPG. Home court has been a tremendous advantage for the Purple Dinasaurs in recent years as their average margin of victory since 2017 is +8.6PPG. The Pelicans were just 14-27 SU on the road last season with Anthony Davis on the roster. Their average loss margin per game on the road was minus -1.8PPG which was 18th in the NBA. This team is now essentially the Lakers from a year ago with Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram and Josh Hart coming to New Orleans in the trade for A.D. Last year when the Lakers went to Toronto, they were +7-points and they had LeBron on that roster. Last year the Raptors won 32 regular season home game and 23 of those wins came by more than tonight’s spread. This Raptors team is going to be very eager to prove it wasn’t all Kawhi last year and they’ll get a double-digit win in the opener. |
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10-21-19 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
ASA NHL PLAY 9* ON Columbus Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Toronto, Monday at 7:05 PM ET |
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10-20-19 | Ravens +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 52 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Baltimore +3 over Seattle, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET Seattle comes in with a shaky 5-1 record in our opinion. Four of their five wins have come down to the wire with margins of 1, 1, 2, and 4 points. Their only comfortable win was @ Arizona. All of their 5 wins have come against teams that are currently at or below .500 and again, most were decided in the last few minutes of play. The only team they’ve faced that currently has a winning record, the Saints, beat them here on their home field. Both of these teams come off deceiving results last week. Baltimore beat Cincinnati 23-17 but dominated the game outgaining the Bengals by 250 yards. Seattle was down 20-6 @ Cleveland and had to claw back to pick up a 32-28 win and were aided by 4 Browns turnovers (just 1 for Seattle). The Ravens lead the NFL in total offense averaging 450 YPG and their YPG differential is an impressive +100 (Seattle’s is +40). The Ravens also lead the NFL in rushing at 205 YPG and they are playing into a Seattle defense that allows 4.7 YPC (25th in the NFL). Their balanced attack with QB Jackson mixing in the passing game should keep the Seattle defense that allows 6.0 YPP (25th in the NFL) off balance. Seattle’s once vaunted home field advantage isn’t so great anymore. They are just 9-7 SU their last 16 home games and their ATS mark here is 6-11 their last 17 (0-3 ATS this year). They have not been impressive here this year with a 1-point win over an 0-6 Cincinnati team (Bengals outgained Seattle by 197 yards), a loss to New Orleans, and a 1-point win over the Rams who misses a FG as time expired which would have won the game. Baltimore, on the other hand, thrives in this role with a 6-0-1 ATS mark as a road underdog. We give the Ravens a great shot at the win and if not, we’re guessing it comes to the wire so any points are valuable here. |
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10-20-19 | Cardinals v. Giants -3 | 27-21 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON NY Giants -3 over Arizona, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET This is a fantastic spot for the Giants. They have had 10 days to get ready for this game after losing on Thursday night to the Patriots. They get the face the Cards who are coming off back to back upset wins vs Cincy & Atlanta and now must travel to the east coast. It’s the Cardinals 2nd trip to the eastern time zone in 3 weeks. After starting out very well vs TB & Washington, New York’s QB Daniel Jones has struggled the last 2 games but keep in mind those were against two of the best defensive teams in the NFL (Pats & Vikings). Those 2 teams are top 5 in the NFL in both total defense and YPP defense. Now with extra time off they get to face an Arizona defense that ranks 30th in defensive efficiency (Football Outsiders), 30th in total defense, and 28th in YPP defense. Last week Arizona allowed the Falcons to gain 7.0 YPP and a week earlier a BAD Cincinnati offense averaged 6 YPP vs this defense. Jones also gets two of his top offensive weapons back this week as RB Saquon Barkley returns from injury along with TE Engram. We look for the NYG offense to play very well on Sunday. Arizona was outgained last week, had fewer first downs and a 5:00 minute time of possession disadvantage in their 34-33 win over Atlanta. The Falcons scored late to presumably tie the game but missed the XP and lost by 1. The Birds are just 2-9 ATS their last 11 trips to the east coast time zone and the situation is not ideal as we mentioned. We currently have these teams rated almost identical which would mean NYG should be a 3-point home favorite which is where it sits. However, factoring in the situation and the key players returning on offense for the Giants, we think the line should be higher. Take the Giants here. |
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10-20-19 | Raiders +5 v. Packers | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON Oakland +5 over Green Bay, Sunday at 1:00 PM T This is a rough spot for the Packers. They are on a short week after coming from behind to beat division rival Detroit on Monday night. It took a last second FG from Mason Crosby to win that game 23-22. Now off that huge win they must get ready for an AFC team (not as important as division games) who is playing very well and coming off a bye week. The Raiders are coming off wins @ Indy and vs Chicago in London two weeks ago. Two solid opponents and Oakland outgained them by a combined 193 yards. They outrushed those two teams by a whopping 234 yards and now face a Green Bay defense on a short week that allows 4.9 YPC which is good for 25th in the NFL. Offensively the Packers will have problems with their passing attack on Sunday as most of their key receivers are hurting. Davante Adams is out, Geronimo Allison didn’t practice all week and is doubtful, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling was out all week until Friday and practiced on that day on a limited basis a may not play. Those 3 players account for 72% of Green Bay’s receiving yards this year. The Packers have been looking to add receivers all week and picked up WR Ryan Grant who wasn’t on an NFL roster. We still feel GB is a bit overvalued as their 5-1 record comes with a negative YPP differential (-0.3 YPP). That’s actually the same YPP differential as Oakland brings into this game. The Raiders are rested and confident and we see this as a close game and the points here are very valuable. |
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10-20-19 | 49ers v. Redskins +10.5 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON Washington +10.5 over San Francisco, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET Plug your nose and play this one. We’re assuming it looks to most like the Niners are an easy play here and those are many times the most dangerous games. Over 80% of the wagers are on San Fran and the line originally dropped from -10 to -9.5 which is a pretty significant reverse line movement coming off 10. The sharps were on Washington here and now that the general public has pushed this game back to 10 and 10.5 late in the week, we’ll jump in on the Skins. SF is off 2 huge home wins beating Cleveland on Monday night (was big because SF hasn’t been on Monday night often as of late) and then they topped division rival and last year’s NFC Super Bowl participant the LA Rams. Now they travel to the eastern time zone for the third time already this year, this time as a double digit favorite. We sense a definite let down for the 49ers here. As crazy as it may sound, Washington has some momentum coming in after beating Miami on the road last week. Case Keenum is back at QB and he definitely gives the Skins the best chance to win. Already this year Washington was +5 at home vs Chicago and +6 here vs Dallas and now they are getting 10+ from San Francisco? The Niners are also a bit banged up coming in with both CB’s questionable and RB Breida working on a bum ankle and may not play. San Fran is not used to being in this spot as they have not been a double digit road favorite since 2012. They are just 5-8 ATS as a double digit road favorite dating way back to 1995. We have a feeling this one will be much closer than people think. |
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10-19-19 | Colorado v. Washington State -12 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Washington State Cougars (-) over Colorado Buffaloes, Saturday at 7 PM ET: Game #372 |
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10-19-19 | Rice -4.5 v. UTSA | 27-31 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 48 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Rice Owls (-) over UTSA Roadrunners, Saturday at 6 PM ET: Game #415 |
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10-19-19 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | 41-43 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* North Carolina Tar Heels (-) over Virginia Tech Hokies, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #397 |
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10-19-19 | LSU v. Mississippi State +18 | 36-13 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 8* Mississippi State Bulldogs (+) over LSU Tigers, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #380 |
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10-19-19 | Tulsa +17.5 v. Cincinnati | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 8* Tulsa Golden Hurricane (+) over Cincinnati Bearcats, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #339 |
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10-17-19 | UCLA +3.5 v. Stanford | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* UCLA Bruins (+) over Stanford Cardinal, Thursday at 9 PM ET: Game #307 |
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10-14-19 | Lions +4 v. Packers | Top | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Detroit +4 over Green Bay, Monday at 8:15 PM ET Green Bay is off a big win @ Dallas but looking at the stats they were quite fortunate. The Cowboys outgained GB by 228 yards and averaged a whopping 8.2 YPP vs the Packer defense. Green Bay’s offense only averaged 5.2 YPP in the game. Dallas had 3 big turnovers which contributed to the Packer win. Green Bay is not quite as good as their 4-1 record might indicates as they are getting outgained by -40 YPG and -0.6 YPP. The defense looked great early but they’ve definitely come back to earth. After completely shutting down a bad Chicago offense in their season opener, the GB defense has allowed an average of 6.2 YPP over their last 4 games. Detroit has a situational advantage here coming off a bye. They have also beaten Green Bay 4 straight times including 2 wins here at Lambeau which gives them confidence coming in. The Lions have played a tough schedule beating the Chargers and Eagles. They blew a big lead @ Arizona to open the season in a game that ended in a tie and their only loss was vs the Chiefs in a game Detroit led with under 1:00 minute remaining. The Lions have scored at least 30 points in each of their last 4 meetings with Green Bay and with the Packer defense not as good as people are making them out to be, Detroit could get there again. All of Detroit’s games this year have been decided by 4 points or less and we see another close one here. Take the points. |
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10-13-19 | 49ers v. Rams -3 | Top | 20-7 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON LA Rams -3 over San Francisco, Sunday at 4:05 PM ET We love this spot for the Rams. They have had a full 10 days to get ready for this one after their 30-29 road loss @ Seattle last Thursday. It was their 2nd of back to back losses after they lost to Tampa the previous Sunday. Now you have the team that was in last year’s Super Bowl sitting at 3-2 in a must win spot at home. The Niners, on the other hand, come in on a short week after beating Cleveland Monday night. So San Francisco is undefeated at 4-0 but they come into this game overvalued in our opinion. The four teams they’ve beaten are all currently under .500 and they have a combined record of just 5-15. Last year when these teams met in LA the Rams were -10.5 favorites and now they are laying only a FG? We realize Niner QB Garoppolo didn’t play in that game and SF looks improved but should this line really be a full 7.5 points off from last season? The value and situation absolutely favor LA here. In the Sean McVay era, the Rams have lost back to back games only twice and the rebounded with win and cover their next game both times. Historically NFL home favorites off Thursday night games (extra prep time) facing teams off Monday night games (short week) have covered 9 of 12 times. San Fran’s defense has looked good this year but let’s keep in mind that all of their opponents have an offense ranked 18th or lower (offensive efficiency via Football Outsiders) and 3 of those teams rank 25th or lower. The QB’s they’ve faced this year are Mason Rudolph, Andy Dalton, Baker Mayfield, and Jameis Winston. This week they take a step up facing Jared Goff. Now to the LA defense. After holding their first 3 opponents to 49 total points, the LA defense wasn’t great the last 2 weeks including last week @ Seattle where they allowed 30 points. However, the Seattle offense ranks 3rd in the NFL in efficiency which is far better than any offense SF has faced. They’ve already faced Russell Wilson, Cam Newton when he was healthy, and Drew Brees who are all far better than an QB the Niners have faced. We expect the Rams defense, which is very talented to play much better at home after two somewhat embarrassing performances. We also look for the offense to play well vs a 49er defense with solid stats because they’ve played weak offenses. This is a much, much bigger game for the experienced Rams and we like them to win by more than a FG. |
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10-13-19 | Saints v. Jaguars -1.5 | 13-6 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON Jacksonville -1.5 over New Orleans, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET There is a reason the team with a 2-3 record is favored over the team with the 4-1 record. Most will look at that an automatically bet the “better” team as an underdog. We’re not so sure the Saints are the better team right now. As of this writing well over 60% of the total tickets are on New Orleans, however over 70% of the money has come in on Jacksonville. Sharp money is coming in on the Jags and we definitely agree with that. Despite their losing record, Jacksonville outgains their opponents by 6 YPG and +0.2 YPP. New Orleans, on the other hand, has just one loss but is getting outgained on the year by -15 YPG and -0.4 YPP. The Saints are 3-0 with Teddy Bridgewater under center but we feel they’ve been very fortunate. His first start @ Seattle the Saints were outgained by 250 yards but still won. Then they played host to Dallas and won 12-10 with the Cowboys having 3 turnovers in the game – Saints were +2 in TO margin in the game. Then last week they beat TB and the Bucs were off a huge win @ LA Rams and on the road for the 2nd straight week which was a very good situation for New Orleans. Their 4 wins this year have come by a total of 17 points so they are not dominating anyone. Now they go on the road vs a team that is better than their record. In their losses Jacksonville outgained Carolina (in a 7 point loss) and outgained Houston (in a 1 point loss) both on the road. The only game where they didn’t have a chance to win was their season opener vs KC (lost 40-26) when QB Minshew came in for the first action of his career replacing Nick Foles who was injured in the game. Underrated vs Overrated here in our opinion and we’ll take the home team. |
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10-13-19 | Bengals +12 v. Ravens | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Cincinnati +12 over Baltimore, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET The Ravens continue to be overvalued by the oddsmakers and the public. This team is simply not very good. Their defense ranks 31st allowing 6.7 YPP and the only team that is worse are the hapless Dolphins. The Ravens wins have come against Miami, Arizona, and Pittsburgh. The Arizona & Pittsburgh wins came down to the wire and last week the game with the Steelers, who were playing their 3rd string QB in the 4th quarter, went to OT. Despite playing an easy schedule, their only double digit win was @ Miami to open the season. The Bengals are 0-5 but they’ve been competitive more often than not with 3 of their 5 losses coming by 4 points or less. They’ve also played much better on the road this year taking Seattle & Buffalo, both better teams than Baltimore, to the wire in 1 and 4 points losses respectively. Cincy was +9 @ Seattle and +6.5 @ Buffalo and now they are getting double digits at division rival Baltimore? The value is absolutely on Cincinnati here. Laying double digits with a poor defense is not a way to get rich quick when wagering on football. Baltimore is already 0-2 ATS as a home favorite this season and just 10-22-1 ATS their last 33 games as a home chalk. Going back to 2010 they are 4-11 ATS as a double digit favorite. Cincinnati has lost by more than 11 points only twice in the last 20 meetings between these two AFC North rivals. The last time a team in this series was favored by double digits was way back in 2001 and the dog has also covered 9 of the last 10. This one should be close. Take the points. |
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10-12-19 | Navy v. Tulsa | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Navy Midshipmen (-) over Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #123 |
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10-12-19 | Penn State v. Iowa +3.5 | 17-12 | Loss | -119 | 30 h 16 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Iowa Hawkeyes (+) over Penn State Nittany Lions, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #204 |
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10-12-19 | Army -4.5 v. Western Kentucky | 8-17 | Loss | -104 | 30 h 39 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Army Black Knights (-) over Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, Saturday at 7 PM ET: Game #191 |
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10-12-19 | Memphis v. Temple +5.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Temple Owls (+) over Memphis Tigers, Saturday at 12 PM ET: Game #128 |
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10-10-19 | Syracuse v. NC State -4.5 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 30 h 36 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY 9* ON NC State Wolfpack (-) over Syracuse Orange, Thursday at 8 PM ET: Game #108 |
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10-07-19 | Browns +5 v. 49ers | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
ASA play on: Cleveland Browns +5 over San Francisco 49ers, Monday 8:20PM ET - When we compare the key stats between these two teams we see some clear advantages on paper for San Francisco but we never just look at the numbers. We dig deeper. The Niners have one of the best rush defenses statistically in the NFL allowing just 3.4 yards per rush which ranks them 3rd. But they’ve played the Bengals (30th), Steelers (27th) and Bucs (24th) who are three of the worst rushing offenses in the NFL when it comes to yards per rush attempt. San Francisco will be tested here by a Browns offense that is 9th in RYPA at 4.9. That’s a big key for Cleveland as a strong running game takes pressure off QB Mayfield and opens up the play action pass. Sticking to that theme, the 49ers defense is ranked as one of the best in the NFL, but again, that’s a byproduct of the poor offenses they’ve faced. The Browns on the other hand are starting to look like a team that was hyped to be a contender in the AFC this season. Cleveland has the 8th most efficient defense in the NFL and have faced two of the best offenses already in Baltimore and the L.A. Rams. Jimmy G and the 49ers are 3-0 on the season but the three wins have come against teams with a combined 3-12 SU record. San Francisco is off a bye but that hasn’t helped them in the past as they are on an 0-6 ATS streak in that scheduling situation. The Niners are 7-17 ATS their last 24 home games and the last time they covered as a home favorite was 2014 with Jim Harbaugh as the coach. In fact, the 49ers are 1-12-1 ATS as a home favorite their last fourteen. Cleveland on the other hand excels as an underdog with a 9-5 ATS record dating back to the start of last season. SF has benefited with 2.3 takeaways per game, but they’ve also turned in over 2.7 times per game which is worst in the NFL. Don’t trust a favorite that doesn’t take care of the football. PLAY ON BROWNS! |
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10-06-19 | Broncos +7 v. Chargers | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Denver +7 over LA Chargers, Sunday at 4:00 PM ET This line looks fishy to us. The 0-4 Denver Broncos only getting 6.5 points? Shouldn’t this be 7 or higher? A few spots have +7 by the majority are at +6.5. The Chargers were favored by 7 and 7.5 in the two meetings last year. Looks like the oddsmakers are betting people to take the Chargers in this one. We actually like this Denver team. They are much better than their 0-4 record. They’ve lost 2 games on FG’s as time expired to Chicago and Jacksonville. They lost by 11 @ Green Bay in a game that should have been much closer as the yardage was dead even and the Packers scored on a 37 yard TD drive and 5 yard TD drive following Denver turnovers. We’re not sold quite yet on the Chargers. They are very close to being 1-3 with their only win coming vs the hapless Dolphins. Their other win was at home in OT vs the Colts in a game where Indy kicker Adam Vinitieri missed 2 FG’s and an XP. If not for that, the Colts win that game. Even last week vs Miami, it was a 20-10 game entering the fourth quarter and they outgained the Fins by just 157 yards and they were +1.0 yard per play. While that may look impressive, every other team that has played Miami has outgained them by at least 195 yards and were at least +2.8 YPP. LA also has very little home field advantage and we wouldn’t be surprised to see just as many Bronco fans in the seats on Sunday. The Chargers are 0-2 ATS at home this year and just 6-15 ATS their last 21 when playing host. This is a division game so while Denver is 0-4, they’ve been very competitive and we expect them to go all out here. The underdog is 12-4-2 ATS the last 16 meetings in this AFC West rivalry and we’ll call for another underdog cover. |
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10-06-19 | Jaguars v. Panthers -3 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Carolina -3 over Jacksonville, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET This is a tough spot for the Jags as this will be their 3rd road game in 4 weeks including last week’s come from behind win @ Denver. Last week Jacksonville fell behind 17-3 @ Denver and had to battle their way back to get the last second win with a FG as time expired. The fact is, the Broncos ran 22 fewer offensive plays in that game and it still took a late FG to win the game for the Jaguars. Denver outgained Jacksonville on a YPP basis 6.9 to 6.0 but the Bronco defense allowed RB Leonard Fournette to run wild racking up 225 yards on the ground. Fournette had not topped 70 yards rushing in any game leading up to that performance so we see that as an outlier. Everyone is talking about the impact that QB Minshew has had on the Jags but how about Carolina QB Allen getting some notice? He gives the Panthers a much better chance to win compared to a banged up Cam Newton who couldn’t throw the ball down the field at all. Allen is now 2-0 as a starter and has thrown for almost 500 yards and 4 TD’s with no interceptions. His QBR is 65.8 which currently would rank him 6th in the NFL if he had enough snaps under his belt. For comparison’s sake, Minshew’s QBR is 47.0 which is 18th in the NFL and while we feel he is a very solid rookie, the hype has become a little much. Minshew also tweaked his knee late in last week’s game and is not 100% and was held out of practice until midweek. His counterpart Allen is not just another guy thrown in under center, he was a 5* QB recruit that actually beat out Heisman winner and Arizona QB Kyler Murray at Texas A&M prompting Murray to transfer to Oklahoma. He’s definitely not just another guy. Another aspect of Carolina’s team that gets overlooked is their defense which is really good. The Panthers currently rank 4th in the NFL in total defense allowing only 287 YPG and 2nd in YPP defense allowing just 4.3. Since losing 30-27 to the Rams in the season opener, Carolina has not allowed more than 20 points. They are very close to being 4-0 rather than 2-2 with close losses to the Rams & an emerging Tampa team. We would argue that if Allen had been under center since day one, this team might be 4-0. Add in the strong ATS stat that has Jacksonville just 4-20 ATS their last 24 games vs NFC team and this one looks solid. Just a very good situation to grab a surging Carolina team at home in this one. |
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10-06-19 | Patriots -15 v. Redskins | Top | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
ASA 10* NFL PLAY ON New England -15 over Washington, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET Horrible match up for the Skins. It looks like Washington head coach Jay Gruden will be starting rookie Dwayne Haskins at QB or veteran Colt McCoy which is not ideal vs the Patriots top notch defense. Haskins came in last week vs a bad Giant defense and threw 3 interceptions in their 24-3 loss and they were outgained by over 200 yards. McCoy hasn’t taken a snap this season and has had very little practice time with his receivers due to his recovery from last year’s broken leg. If this offense with Haskins at the helm could only score 3 points vs a Giant defense that had allowed at least 28 points in every other game, what are they going to do against a New England defense that has allowed one TD the ENTIRE season. While this line is obviously high, it’s nothing new to the Patriots who have now been favored by more than 14 points three times this season. They controlled the other two games they were tabbed big favorites vs Miami & NY Jets outscoring them by a combined 73-14 and we’d put Washington in that terrible team category at the moment. There are also rumblings of Gruden being fired as early as next week so there are plenty of distractions to go along with this 0-4 team. Expect New England to play very well as they are coming off a poor outing. They did beat Buffalo 16-10 but they were outgained drastically by the Bills and Tom Brady had his worst QB rating in 13 years in that game. The Redskin defense had allowed 30 or more points in every game until the Giants scored 24 last week. The Patriots coming off a poor offensive showing should have a field day against this defense on Sunday. They shouldn’t have to score much to get this cover either. We don’t anticipate Washington doing much of anything offensively so New England scoring 24 or more will probably get this done. Lay it with the Patriots. Our MATH MODEL projects a Patriot 35-10 win giving us an easy cover. |
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10-05-19 | Washington v. Stanford +15.5 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Stanford Cardinal (+) over Washington Huskies, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET: Game #352 |
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10-05-19 | Vanderbilt v. Ole Miss -7 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 16 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Ole Miss Rebels (-) over Vanderbilt Commodores, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #376 |
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10-05-19 | Western Kentucky -3 v. Old Dominion | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 50 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (+) over Old Dominion Monarchs, Saturday at 6 PM ET: Game #383 |
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10-05-19 | TCU v. Iowa State -3 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Iowa State Cyclones (-) over TCU Horned Frogs, Saturday at 12 PM ET: Game #374 |
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10-05-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Michigan Wolverines (-) over Iowa Hawkeyes, Saturday at 12 PM ET: Game #356 |
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09-29-19 | Jaguars v. Broncos -2.5 | 26-24 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON Denver -2.5 over Jacksonville, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET This is obviously an absolute must win for the Broncos. They are 0-3 o the season but they are definitely better than that record. They have outgained their opponents on the year by an average of 34 YPG and they are +12 first downs on the year. The Jags are 1-2 on the season, they are getting outgained by 31 YPG. Their only win over Tennessee they were -48 total yards, -9 first downs and -9:00 time of possession. Jacksonville QB Gardner Minshew has gotten a lot of publicity since taking over at QB but the fact is he’s still a rookie playing in a very tough venue in Denver. Not only that, he’s facing one of the top defensive minds in the game in Denver head coach Vic Fangio. We expect Minshew to struggle in this game. In his only other road start this season, Minshew led the Jaguars to just 12 points @ Houston. It’s supposed to be very windy in Denver on Sunday so this one could come down to the running game which definitely favors the Broncos. The Jaguars average just 90 YPG and they don’t run it very often (19 carries per game). Their offensive line ranks 28th in the NFL in run blocking (per Football Outsiders). Denver, on the other hand, carries the ball 28 times per game and their offensive line ranks 9th in the NFL in run blocking. They have 2 very solid backs with Philip Lindsay and Royce Freeman who returns from injury in this one. Denver has been very successful at home early in the season with a 14-2 SU record their last 16 September games. We like Denver to win by more than a FG here. |
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09-29-19 | Seahawks -5 v. Cardinals | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
ASA 8* PLAY ON Seattle -5 over Arizona, Sunday at 4:05 PM ET We love this spot for the Seahawks. First they are coming off a loss vs New Orleans last week in a game they outgained the Saints by 250 yards! QB Russell Wilson has been nearly unbeatable the game following a SU loss as a favorite going 19-2 SU and 14-5-2 ATS. Arizona comes in with an 0-2-1 record and if it weren’t for a remarkable late game surge to tie Detroit, they’d be 0-3. They’ve already been outgained in every game by a total of 345 yards on the season. Last week the Arizona defense was shredded for 38 points by Carolina back up QB Allen (4 TD’s) and now they face Russell Wilson who had over 400 yards passing vs the Saints last Sunday. We look for Seattle to have a big day on offense. We feel we have a fairly large advantage on both sides of the ball along with the situation advantage. On top of that, Seattle has a HUGE coaching edge here. With this number under a TD we’ll take Seattle. |
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09-28-19 | Ohio State -16.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 51 h 9 m | Show |
NOTE: If you do not have access to the First Half Line then make a Full Game Wager on this one. Our recommendation is for a First Half Wager per the analysis here: ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Ohio State Buckeyes (-) on FIRST HALF LINE over Nebraska Cornhuskers, Saturday at 8 PM ET: Game #195 |
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09-28-19 | SMU v. South Florida +8 | 48-21 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* South Florida Bulls (+) over SMU Mustangs, Saturday at 4 PM ET: Game #122 |
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09-28-19 | Iowa State v. Baylor +3 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 47 h 33 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Baylor Bears (+) over Iowa State Cyclones, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #130 |
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09-28-19 | BYU -2.5 v. Toledo | 21-28 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 10 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* BYU Cougars (-) over Toledo Rcokets, Saturday at 12 PM ET: Game #131 |
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ASA ALL Sports Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-29-19 | Iowa State v. Seton Hall -2 | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
11-29-19 | Washington State +8 v. Washington | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
11-29-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis -11.5 | 24-34 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 54 m | Show | |
11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 0 m | Show |
11-26-19 | Wizards +10.5 v. Nuggets | 104-117 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
11-26-19 | Richmond v. Auburn -9 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
11-25-19 | Thunder -6 v. Warriors | Top | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
11-25-19 | Stanford v. Oklahoma -4 | Top | 73-54 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
11-24-19 | Akron +18.5 v. Louisville | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
11-24-19 | Broncos +4 v. Bills | Top | 3-20 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
11-23-19 | TCU +18 v. Oklahoma | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
11-23-19 | Houston v. Tulsa -3 | 24-14 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
11-23-19 | Texas +6 v. Baylor | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 11 m | Show | |
11-23-19 | Michigan v. Indiana +10 | 39-14 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
11-23-19 | Penn State v. Ohio State -18 | 17-28 | Loss | -113 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
11-22-19 | Colorado State v. Wyoming -6.5 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 59 m | Show | |
11-22-19 | Celtics v. Nuggets -5 | Top | 92-96 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans -3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
11-20-19 | Magic v. Raptors -3 | Top | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
11-18-19 | Celtics v. Suns -3.5 | 99-85 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
11-18-19 | Appalachian State v. NC-Greensboro -9 | Top | 41-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
11-17-19 | Saints -5 v. Bucs | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
11-17-19 | Texans +4.5 v. Ravens | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
11-17-19 | Jets v. Redskins -1 | 34-17 | Loss | -123 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa -3 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
11-16-19 | Wyoming +5.5 v. Utah State | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
11-16-19 | Texas +7 v. Iowa State | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
11-15-19 | South Dakota State v. Nebraska -6.5 | 73-90 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
11-14-19 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Pittsburgh | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 40 m | Show | |
11-14-19 | Heat v. Cavs +4.5 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
11-13-19 | Clippers +2.5 v. Rockets | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
11-12-19 | Western Michigan +1 v. Ohio | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
11-11-19 | Mavs v. Celtics -3 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
11-11-19 | Senators v. Hurricanes -1.5 | 2-8 | Win | 105 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
11-10-19 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
11-10-19 | Bills v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
11-10-19 | Falcons +14.5 v. Saints | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
11-10-19 | Lions +3 v. Bears | 13-20 | Loss | -119 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
11-09-19 | Clemson -32 v. NC State | 55-10 | Win | 100 | 49 h 49 m | Show | |
11-09-19 | Missouri +16.5 v. Georgia | 0-27 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 44 m | Show | |
11-09-19 | Iowa v. Wisconsin -8.5 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 57 m | Show | |
11-09-19 | Kansas State v. Texas -7 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
11-08-19 | Bucks v. Jazz +3 | Top | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
11-08-19 | Bruins -1.5 v. Red Wings | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
11-05-19 | Heat v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -4 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
11-03-19 | Lions v. Raiders -2.5 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
11-03-19 | Bucs +5 v. Seahawks | 34-40 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
11-02-19 | Virginia +2.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 1 m | Show |
11-02-19 | Pittsburgh -7 v. Georgia Tech | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
11-02-19 | Miami-FL v. Florida State -3 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
10-31-19 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State -14.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
10-27-19 | Giants +7 v. Lions | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
10-27-19 | Bucs +2.5 v. Titans | 23-27 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
10-27-19 | Jets +7.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 15-29 | Loss | -140 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
10-26-19 | Washington State +14.5 v. Oregon | 35-37 | Win | 100 | 33 h 49 m | Show | |
10-26-19 | California +21.5 v. Utah | 0-35 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 22 m | Show | |
10-26-19 | Pacers -5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
10-26-19 | Central Florida v. Temple +11 | 63-21 | Loss | -117 | 29 h 25 m | Show | |
10-26-19 | Oklahoma State +10.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
10-26-19 | Penn State v. Michigan State +5.5 | 28-7 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
10-25-19 | Jazz +4 v. Lakers | 86-95 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
10-25-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
10-23-19 | Knicks +10.5 v. Spurs | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
10-22-19 | Pelicans v. Raptors -6.5 | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
10-21-19 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
10-20-19 | Ravens +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 52 m | Show |
10-20-19 | Cardinals v. Giants -3 | 27-21 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
10-20-19 | Raiders +5 v. Packers | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
10-20-19 | 49ers v. Redskins +10.5 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
10-19-19 | Colorado v. Washington State -12 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
10-19-19 | Rice -4.5 v. UTSA | 27-31 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 48 m | Show | |
10-19-19 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | 41-43 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
10-19-19 | LSU v. Mississippi State +18 | 36-13 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
10-19-19 | Tulsa +17.5 v. Cincinnati | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show | |
10-17-19 | UCLA +3.5 v. Stanford | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
10-14-19 | Lions +4 v. Packers | Top | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
10-13-19 | 49ers v. Rams -3 | Top | 20-7 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
10-13-19 | Saints v. Jaguars -1.5 | 13-6 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
10-13-19 | Bengals +12 v. Ravens | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
10-12-19 | Navy v. Tulsa | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show | |
10-12-19 | Penn State v. Iowa +3.5 | 17-12 | Loss | -119 | 30 h 16 m | Show | |
10-12-19 | Army -4.5 v. Western Kentucky | 8-17 | Loss | -104 | 30 h 39 m | Show | |
10-12-19 | Memphis v. Temple +5.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
10-10-19 | Syracuse v. NC State -4.5 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 30 h 36 m | Show | |
10-07-19 | Browns +5 v. 49ers | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
10-06-19 | Broncos +7 v. Chargers | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
10-06-19 | Jaguars v. Panthers -3 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
10-06-19 | Patriots -15 v. Redskins | Top | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
10-05-19 | Washington v. Stanford +15.5 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show | |
10-05-19 | Vanderbilt v. Ole Miss -7 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 16 m | Show | |
10-05-19 | Western Kentucky -3 v. Old Dominion | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 50 m | Show | |
10-05-19 | TCU v. Iowa State -3 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
10-05-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
09-29-19 | Jaguars v. Broncos -2.5 | 26-24 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
09-29-19 | Seahawks -5 v. Cardinals | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
09-28-19 | Ohio State -16.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 51 h 9 m | Show |
09-28-19 | SMU v. South Florida +8 | 48-21 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
09-28-19 | Iowa State v. Baylor +3 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 47 h 33 m | Show | |
09-28-19 | BYU -2.5 v. Toledo | 21-28 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 10 m | Show |