Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-21-18 | Flames v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Vegas at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Las Vegas on Wednesday night as the Golden Knights aim to bounce back against the Flames, who are eager to get back on track themselves. The Knights have been involved in more low-scoring affairs than high scoring ones of late, and are fresh off a 2-0 home loss to the Ducks on Monday. This will be the sixth game of a seven game homestand that wraps up on Friday night against the Canucks. Note that on this homestand they've also been held to just one goal against the Flyers. Their other three contests came against non-playoff foes in the Blackhawks, Oilers and Canadiens and I take those results, in which they scored a whopping 15 goals, with a grain of salt. The Flames suffered a 2-1 overtime loss to the Bruins on Monday afternoon and have been held to three goals or less in regulation time in eight of their last nine games. In other words, breakout performances offensively have been few and far between in recent weeks. With goaltender Mike Smith still on the shelf they'll need to continue to keep things tight defensively and I don't think they'll be interested in getting involved in a run and gun affair against the opportunistic Knights. Take the under (10*). |
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02-20-18 | Lightning -105 v. Capitals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. Terrific spot for the Lightning to bounce back from a home loss to the Devils on Saturday night. Tampa Bay hasn't been playing its best hockey lately by any stretch of the imagination and has certainly struggled on the road of late, but this is a big step up spot against one of the teams that is gunning for it at the top of the Eastern Conference standings. The Capitals have been up and down with three losses in their last five contests but did notch a victory in Buffalo yesterday afternoon. I simply feel the Bolts are the superior team in this matchup and given the scheduling situation should skate to a victory in the nation's capital on Tuesday night. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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02-18-18 | Penguins -106 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
NHL Metropolitan Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh over Columbus at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. The Pens are in a tough back-to-back spot here after a draining back-and-forth affair against the Leafs on home ice last night but I don't believe they'll be any worse for wear. As I noted in my analysis of yesterday's play on the Pens, this team is highly-motivated right now and playing arguably its best hockey of the season. And they'll certainly be up for this showdown with the rival Blue Jackets, who are having a tough time getting out of their own way at the moment. We successfully faded the Jackets on Friday as they fell to the Flyers in overtime. I won't hesitate to go back to the well in this spot. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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02-12-18 | Lightning +100 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Atlantic Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams enter this game playing well, with the Lightning having won back-to-back games and the Leafs a perfect 3-0 on their current homestand. I'm just not sure the Leafs are at the same level as the Bolts right now. Toronto didn't face any resistance on Saturday night at home against Ottawa. I don't believe that serves the Leafs well as they step up in class against Tampa Bay. The Lightning just closed out a 2-0 homestand, scoring nine goals in the process. Still with a bad taste in their mouths from an ugly blowout loss in Edmonton one week ago, I look for the Bolts to put forth a tremendous effort on Monday night in Toronto. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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02-11-18 | Penguins v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 101 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
NHL TV Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and St. Louis at 12:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in St. Louis on Sunday afternoon. The Blues have scored 11 goals in their last two games after being held to only four in their previous three contests. Here they'll be facing a Pens squad that should be highly-motivated to bounce back after suffering two losses in their last three games. The 'over' has cashed in five of Pittsburgh's last six games overall. The Blues have been involved in three straight 'over' results following five consecutive 'unders'. In this very early Sunday start I expect goals to come at a premium. Take the under (10*). |
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02-07-18 | Bruins v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and New York at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The case can be made for the Bruins as the best team in hockey right now and they're coming off another win last night, 3-2 over the Red Wings in Detroit - the B's third consecutive victory. Meanwhile, the Rangers continue to struggle in what is quickly becoming a lost season. We can expect a sell-off from New York prior to the trade deadline but as many have pointed out, it's tough for this team to tank for a high draft pick when they still have one of the game's best goaltenders in Henrik Lundqvist. He's expected to get the start in goal tonight while the B's will turn to backup Anton Khudobin. That doesn't represent a considerable downgrade for Boston, however, as Khudobin has gone 10-3-4 with a 2.36 GAA and .924 save percentage this season. I expect the Rangers to give the Bruins a run in this one and that should lend itself to a relatively low-scoring affair. Take the under (10*). |
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02-02-18 | Sharks v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between San Jose and Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Sharks are missing something right now and that something is the heart and soul of the franchise, Joe Thornton. San Jose simply can't get out of its own way and its going to find the sledding tough on a Friday night in Columbus. The Blue Jackets have fallen on hard times as well and I don't think they're going to climb out of it by getting involved in a fire fight with the Sharks. Instead look for the Jackets to focus on slugging it out, and relying on goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to bail them out if needed. This total is already juiced-out to the 'under' and that's warranted in my opinion. Take the under (10*). |
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01-23-18 | Jets v. Sharks -117 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
NHL Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on San Jose over Winnipeg at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Sharks are rolling along right now and I like them to keep it going against the upstart Jets on Tuesday night. Winnipeg has won back-to-back games, but there is one glaring issue as it scored just two goals in regulation time in those two contests. Note that the Jets check in just 11-10-6 on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Sharks are 14-6-2 on home ice and have won five of their last six games overall. They've scored at least four goals in three of their last six contests. The home side is a perfect 2-0 in this series this season, outscoring the opposition by a combined 8-1 margin. The Sharks have won four of the last five meetings overall. Take San Jose (10*). |
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01-20-18 | Rangers v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Colorado at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. The Rangers are coming off four consecutive 'over' results but I look for that to turn around on Saturday afternoon as they take on the red hot Avalanche in Colorado. While New York has scored nine goals in its last two contests it has to realize that is a pace it can't keep up. Note that the Rangers had scored only nine goals combined in their previous five games. The Avalanche have won an incredible eight games in a row and they're doing it thanks to some clutch offense and excellent defensive play. Here, I do expect them to face some resistance, however, noting that the Rangers have held them to two goals or less in four of the last five meetings in this series. Colorado hasn't allowed more than three goals in a game since December 16th, which speaks to its consistency in recent weeks. Take the under (10*). |
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01-16-18 | Blues +130 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 2-1 | Win | 130 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on St. Louis over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams are coming off of their 'bye weeks' but I believe it's the Blues that are better-positioned to bounce back and snap their losing skid. St. Louis has lost three games in a row and has been idle since January 9th. Note that the Blues have continued to score over that stretch, finding the back of the net 10 times and they check in a respectable 11-8-3 on the road this season. Meanwhile, Toronto hasn't posted a regulation time victory since December 28th in Arizona. The Leafs haven't managed to top three goals over the course of their current 2-5 slide. I believe we'll see them trying to do a little too much here at home off the break. Take St. Louis (10*). |
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12-05-17 | Devils v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New Jersey and Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Newark on Tuesday night. Here we have a matchup of two of the steadiest goaltenders in the league this season, as Cory Schneider is expected to go up against Sergei Bobrovsky. It's certainly still early, but this game should feature the ever-cliched 'playoff atmosphere' as these two teams battle atop the Metropolitan Division. The Devils aren't scoring with much consistency right now, having found the back of the net just four times over their last three games. They were held off the scoresheet entirely in a 5-0 loss in Arizona last time out. Meanwhile, the Blue Jackets have scored at least four goals just once in their last four contests. After giving up four goals on a rare occasion in their most recent contest, I look for them to tighten things up considerably tonight. Take the under (10*). |
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11-29-17 | Senators v. Canadiens -130 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Montreal over Ottawa at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Canadiens have gotten back on track due in large part to the triumphant return of Carey Price from injury. Make no mistake though, those last two wins were great, but this is the 'w' they want and need against one of their biggest division rivals. The Senators are reeling right now. They've lost six games in a row and simply aren't scoring. They haven't scored more than two goals over that six-game skid. Craig Anderson was terrific between the pipes last season but hasn't come close to regaining his form this year. It's still early and this is likely just a blip on the radar in the grand scheme of things, but given their current form, I don't see the Sens breaking through with a win here. Note that the Habs have taken four straight meetings in this series. Take Montreal (10*). |
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11-28-17 | Kings v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Motown on Tuesday night. Here we have an expected matchup of two goaltenders playing exceptionally well in the early going this season in Jonathan Quick and Jimmy Howard. We also have two teams that are having a tough time finding the back of the net right now. The Kings have scored 2, 1, 2, 1, 4, 2, 1, 2 and 1 goal in regulation time over their last nine contests. Meanwhile, the Red Wings have dropped four games in a row, scoring a grand total of just nine goals in the process. Two meetings between these two teams last season totaled five and four goals. Take the under (10*). |
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11-21-17 | Canucks v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 8 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Vancouver and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Philadelphia on Tuesday night. The Canucks have hit another wall offensively, topping out at five goals over their last five games. They've generated just 71 shots on goal combined over their last three contests. While the Flyers can be vulnerable in their own end and just allowed five goals in an overtime loss to the Flames here on Saturday, they've actually given up an average of just 2.6 goals per game on home ice. On the flip side, Philadelphia has scored a grand total of only six goals over the course of its four-game losing streak. That skid included two overtime periods. We haven't seen a total of 5.5 in this series since 2015, when the Canucks skated to a 4-0 victory here in Philadelphia. Take the under (10*). |
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11-20-17 | Flames +125 v. Capitals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 125 | 23 h 1 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Calgary over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the Flames on Monday night as they aim to build off a big win in Philadelphia on Saturday afternoon. That was certainly a galvanizing victory for Calgary following an ugly (in more ways than one) loss in Detroit earlier in the week. This road trip is just getting rolling and the Flames could certainly use another big victory to propel them into Columbus and Dallas. The Capitals snapped a two-game skid last time out. To put it bluntly, I'm just not sure the Caps are very good this year. They're 6-3 here on home ice but just 11-9-1 overall. I'm not sure they're deserving of the steep line here. Take Calgary (10*). |
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10-21-17 | Maple Leafs v. Senators +101 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 101 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
My selection is on Ottawa over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. I like the Senators to bounce back from a discouraging 5-4 overtime loss to the Devils on Thursday night. Ottawa carried the play for much of that game but suffered a number of lapses along the way, allowing the upstart Devils to steal a victory. I expect a much sharper effort from Ottawa against its chief rival on Saturday night. Toronto is off to an incredible start to the season, seemingly scoring at will. But the Leafs haven't enjoyed much success in Ottawa in recent years and I'm not sure they'll match the Sens intensity in this one. At the time of posting, the Leafs have crept into a favorite role, and I believe the oddsmakers have got it wrong in this particular case. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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06-08-17 | Predators v. Penguins -155 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
Stanley Cup Final Game of the Year. My selection is on Pittsburgh over Nashville at 8 pm et on Thursday. The road team has yet to win a game in this matchup this season, with the home side going a perfect 6-0. I’m willing to go back to the well with that trend on Thursday night as I truly believe this is it for the Penguins – it’s not literally a must-win but as we’ve seen, it’s going to be awfully tough for them to pull off a victory in Nashville. That’s not to say the Predators are willing to give this one up without a fight. However, I do feel the Pens experience pays off in this particular spot. Pittsburgh actually held its own for much of Game 4 but couldn’t solve Pekka Rinne save for a breakaway goal from Sidney Crosby in the first period. I expect them to do a much better job of burying their chances this time around. I had this pegged as a seven-game series from the get-go and I’m not wavering on that prediction now. We’re being asked to lay a very reasonable price with the Pens in this all-important Game 5 matchup. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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05-19-17 | Penguins -113 v. Senators | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
NHL Conference Final Game of the Year. My selection is on Pittsburgh over Ottawa at 8 pm et on Friday. I fully expect to see the Penguins bounce back from arguably their worst performance of the playoffs on Friday night in Ottawa. Look for the Pens to consider going with Matt Murray between the pipes just to provide a spark after a sluggish start to this series. Even if he isn't manning the net, I still like Pittsburgh in this one. Ottawa came out like a house on fire against Pittsburgh in Game 3 on Wednesday night but will have a tough time getting back up to that level now that it has grabbed the 2-1 series lead. Now the Pens need to come out as the aggressors and I'm confident they will. We've yet to see Pittsburgh's best players play like its best players through three games, but that will change. Look for Sidney Crosby to hoist the team on his back in this one as the Pens even up this series at two games apiece. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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Sean Murphy NHL Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-21-18 | Flames v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
02-20-18 | Lightning -105 v. Capitals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
02-18-18 | Penguins -106 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
02-12-18 | Lightning +100 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
02-11-18 | Penguins v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 101 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
02-07-18 | Bruins v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
02-02-18 | Sharks v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
01-23-18 | Jets v. Sharks -117 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
01-20-18 | Rangers v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
01-16-18 | Blues +130 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 2-1 | Win | 130 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
12-05-17 | Devils v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
11-29-17 | Senators v. Canadiens -130 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
11-28-17 | Kings v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
11-21-17 | Canucks v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 8 m | Show |
11-20-17 | Flames +125 v. Capitals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 125 | 23 h 1 m | Show |
10-21-17 | Maple Leafs v. Senators +101 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 101 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
06-08-17 | Predators v. Penguins -155 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
05-19-17 | Penguins -113 v. Senators | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show |