Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-03-17 | Browns v. Chargers -13.5 | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Cleveland at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the big number with the surging Chargers on Sunday afternoon as they host the listless Browns. We won with San Diego last week in Dallas and there's little reason to jump ship in this spot. Los Angeles has righted the ship with back-to-back wins, both SU and ATS and can certainly see a path to an AFC West title with the rest of the division struggling. Note that Los Angeles hasn't lost a home game since falling by just two points in Philadelphia back on October 1st. Meanwhile, the Browns have yet to taste victory this season and have gone 0-4 ATS over their last four contests. They did get past the Chargers as a 4.5-point underdog on Christmas Eve last year but that was a much different situation. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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12-03-17 | Chiefs -3 v. Jets | 31-38 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the reeling Chiefs in New Jersey on Sunday afternoon. Kansas City can't get out of its own way right now, suffering three straight losses to fall from grace after once being considered the team to beat in the AFC. That's certainly not the case anymore, but I see this as an excellent get-right matchup against a Jets squad that has fallen on hard times as well. New York has dropped five of its last six games to fall out of the AFC Wild Card chase. Last week, it looked like the Jets defense started to run out of gas in a 35-27 loss to the Panthers. It's worth noting that they actually couldn't have played much better as a whole in that game, or much better than we could expect anyway, but still gave up 35 points and lost by more than a touchdown. The Chiefs simply need a spark to get things turned around and I'm confident their offense will deliver just that spark on Sunday afternoon. We're being asked to lay a reasonably low number with the vastly superior team here. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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12-03-17 | Vikings v. Falcons -2.5 | 14-9 | Loss | -120 | 47 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Minnesota at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Vikings couldn't have looked much better in last week's Thanksgiving Day victory over the Lions in Detroit. But now things get a little tougher as they stay on the road to face a surging Falcons squad that has won three straight games. The Falcons offense is clicking and now they'll get RB DeVonta Freeman back from a concussion on Sunday. That gives them another mode of attack against a very good Vikings defense. Minnesota has been rolling along thanks to the hot hand of QB Case Keenum. But how much longer can he keep it up with Teddy Bridgewater breathing down his neck, whether a potential move is warranted or not. At 9-2 on the season, I simply feel that the Vikes have become an overvalued commodity at this point. This will mark their fourth road game in their last five overall. I can't see them running the table against an elite opponent. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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11-26-17 | Panthers v. Jets +6 | 35-27 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Carolina at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Panthers have gotten their season right back on track thanks to three consecutive victories but I’m not ready to anoint them as a true contender just yet. Keep in mind, two of those three wins came at home, and the other came against a then-struggling Bucs squad. Carolina is expected to get TE Greg Olsen back on the field this Sunday but I’m not sure how much of a contribution he’ll make in his first game following a long injury layoff. The Jets are accustomed to being involved in tight football games, with each of their last four losses coming by a touchdown or less. I do think they’ll look at this as a winnable game, and it’s certainly a victory they need sitting at 4-6 on the season. With their defense still firing on all cylinders, I look for the Jets to contain Cam Newton and stay inside the number on Sunday afternoon. Take New York (10*). |
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11-26-17 | Bears v. Eagles -14 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Chicago at 1 pm et on Sunday. While the Bears have made some positive strides this season, they still have only three wins to their credit, and at this stage of their progression, I still rank them as one of the worst teams in the entire NFL. Here, they run into the hottest and perhaps best team in the league in the Philadelphia Eagles, on the road no less. While we’re certainly dealing with a lofty pointspread, I believe we’ll see the Eagles turn in another dominating performance. Everything is working for Philadelphia right now. The offense looks unstoppable with the addition of RB Jay Ajayi while the defense has been opportunistic to say the least. With that said, the Eagles haven’t been good enough for nearly long enough to get ahead of themselves at this stage of the season. I’m confident we’ll see Philadelphia keep its foot on the proverbial gas pedal on Sunday afternoon and the end result should be another rout at The Linc. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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11-23-17 | Chargers -2 v. Cowboys | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles over Dallas at 4:30 pm et on Thursday. The Chargers are just 4-6 on the season thanks to a miserable 0-4 start, but what more could be asked of them lately? All they’ve done is go 4-2 over their last six games with their only two losses over that stretch coming on the road against two of the AFC’s best teams, the Patriots and Jaguars. Those losses came by a combined 11 points, and they allowed just 41 points in the process. Don’t be fooled by the fact they gave up 24 points against the Bills last Sunday, as the majority of those points came when the result had already long been determined. Offensively, I do think the jury is still out as far as the Chargers go, but this is a favorable matchup against a Cowboys defense that is being asked to carry too much of the load right now. Dallas has hit the skids without RB Ezekiel Elliott over the last two weeks, and I don’t believe things will get any easier playing on a short week. We successfully faded the ‘Boys in Sunday night’s rout at the hands of the Eagles and won’t hesitate to go back to the well here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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11-23-17 | Vikings -2.5 v. Lions | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Detroit at 12:30 pm et on Thursday. Last Sunday the Vikings were presented with a tougher matchup at home against the Rams as far as I’m concerned. While a letdown is a possibility here, I don’t see it as teams generally get up for these Thanksgiving Day games, and it comes against a division rival, in a revenge spot no less. Minnesota turned in one of its worst efforts of the season against Detroit back on October 1st, suffering a 14-7 loss at home. The Lions put up 27 points in a win over the Bears in Chicago last Sunday to improve to 6-4 on the season. That was Detroit’s third straight victory, but those wins came against an Aaron Rodgers-less Packers squad, the hapless Browns and the aforementioned Bears. Things won’t come as easy against a Vikings team that is rolling right now. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 35 m | Show |
Monday Night Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Atlanta at 8:30 pm et on Monday. No question I'm comfortable laying the short number with the Seahawks at home on Monday Night Football. I'm confident we'll see the 'Hawks come together after losing a number of key cogs to injury. Yes, the Falcons rolled past an undermanned Cowboys squad last week, but they'll face a much tougher task here, heading to Seattle for a primetime game in mid-November. At 5-4, Atlanta probably has more to gain in this one, and certainly needs to start building some momentum. However, the Falcons have simply been too disjointed and inconsistent for my liking this season. The Seahawks are 3-1 at home, and I look for them to improve on that record here. Take Seattle (10*). |
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11-19-17 | Eagles -5.5 v. Cowboys | 37-9 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Dallas at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Eagles on Sunday night as they catch the Cowboys at an opportune time. Dallas is in a bounce-back spot here after a no-show in Atlanta last Sunday but I'm not sure it will be able to pick itself up off the mat without Ezekiel Elliott. A better bounce-back opportunity will come on Thanksgiving Day against the Chargers. If you can't run the football, you're not going to have much success against this Eagles defense. I'm certainly not sold on the Cowboys ground game without Zeke. While Dak Prescott has stepped up before, I believe he'll be in tough against an emerging Eagles secondary. Offensively, the Eagles should have their way with an overworked and vulnerable Cowboys defense. Some believe the jury is still out on the Eagles and they're largely unproven. I'm not so sure. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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11-19-17 | Rams +2.5 v. Vikings | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Minnesota at 1 pm et on Sunday. I just don't like the way the Vikings are handling their QB situation right now. While Case Keenum remains the starter, it's pretty much a given that Teddy Bridgewater is going to be taking over at some point. That has Keenum looking over his shoulder, even after a huge performance in Washington last Sunday. The Rams simply continue to go about their business, and win games by margin. Here, we find them in an underdog role and I'm not sure it's warranted. The Vikings have looked tremendous at times but vulnerable at others. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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11-16-17 | Titans v. Steelers -7 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 23 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh minus the points over Tennessee at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'm not buying what the Titans are selling right now. Both of these teams come in riding perfect 4-0 winning streaks, but those streaks aren't created equal. The Titans barely survived a home game against a weak Bengals squad last Sunday. That's been a common theme for Tennessee lately as each of its last three victories have come by four points or less. Likewise, the Steelers escaped with a narrow 20-17 win in Indianapolis last Sunday. But the fact is, Pittsburgh has allowed 17 points or less in four straight games, while we've yet to see the offense bring its true 'A' game. The emergence of JuJu Smith-Schuster has given the Steelers 'O' a whole new dynamic. Look for them to go all out against the Titans on Thursday night. Tennessee is just 3-5-1 ATS on the season and I don't expect to see it improve on that mark here. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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11-13-17 | Dolphins +10 v. Panthers | 21-45 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami plus the points over Carolina at 8:30 pm et on Monday. Just not sure the Panthers are a real contender, even at 6-3 on the season. It's been a wild ride for Carolina so far, and this certainly looks like a winnable game but I believe it will be hard-pressed to post a third consecutive victory. The Dolphins have lost back-to-back games but did show signs of life, particularly on offense, against the Raiders last Sunday night. At 4-4 there's no reason for the Fins to give up on the season. I expect them to bring their best effort on Monday Night Football, leading to an ATS cover. Take Miami (10*). |
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11-12-17 | Vikings v. Redskins +1.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -104 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Minnesota at 1 pm et on Sunday. Simply put, I don't expect the Vikings offense to show up in Washington on Sunday afternoon. While the Vikes defense is good, I'm not convinced it is good enough to win a game all on its own. The Redskins turned in arguably their best, and certainly their gutsiest effort of the season last week in Seattle. But it's all for not if Washington can't follow it up with another strong showing here against the Vikings. As far as I'm concerned, this is a winnable game for the 'Skins and they'll treat it as such. With the suspension to Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott the door is open for the 'Skins to take a run at the NFC East. But they'll need to play better at home down the stretch, where they've only managed to split four games this season. Note that the home team has won the last four meetings in this series. Take Washington (10*). |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -2 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Kansas City at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the short number with the Cowboys as they host the Chiefs on Sunday afternoon. Dallas was given a boost late in the week as it was announced that Ezekiel Elliott would be reinstated for this Sunday's game. I expect to see Elliott run wild on Sunday afternoon. We saw plenty of cracks in the Chiefs defensive armor two weeks ago against Oakland and while they did respond well last Sunday night, that was against a hapless Broncos offense. Different story here as they go up against a Cowboys offense that is dangerous to say the least. Dallas has scored a whopping 73 points in winning back-to-back games but needs this one here at home to avoid falling back to .500 on the season and likely losing ground on the division leading Eagles. I like their chances. Take Dallas (10*). |
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11-05-17 | Bengals +6.5 v. Jaguars | 7-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cincinnati plus the points over Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Bengals as they hit the road in search of their fourth win in five games on Sunday afternoon. While the Jaguars are off to a terrific start this season, there's no real intimidation factor at play for road teams playing in Jacksonville. Yes, the Jags defense has been outstanding, but I do think we'll see the Bengals come up with a gameplan to relieve the pressure on Andy Dalton and open up the running game for rookie Joe Mixon. This game has the potential to go back and forth all afternoon long. I believe we're getting terrific value with a Bengals squad that is coming into its own. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants +5 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week. My selection is on New York plus the points over Los Angeles at 1 pm et on Sunday. Just don't like the situation here for the Rams as they travel across the country, off of their bye week, for an early game against what should be a very beatable opponent in the Giants. New York is off its bye as well, which came on the heels of a lifeless performance at home against the Seahawks. After getting outgained by well over 200 total yards against Seattle, there's no question New York had plenty to work on during the week off. The Rams have been a big surprise this season, reeling off five wins in their first seven games. I still believe they're a little vulnerable in a spot like this though - a game they're expected to win, on the road no less. Situations like this haven't come up for Los Angeles all that often in recent years. I'm calling for a tightly-contested affair in New Jersey. Take New York (10*). |
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10-29-17 | Texans v. Seahawks -6.5 | 38-41 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Houston at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. Deshaun Watson will generate plenty of action in favor of the Texans in this one but I don't believe Houston is in a favorable spot as it heads to the Pacific Northwest to take on the Seahawks. The Texans are coming off three straight home games in which they scored points in bunches. Here, I don't expect them to draw the Seahawks into a shootout, however. Note that Seattle has allowed just 35 points over the course of its current three-game winning streak. Note that in two of those three wins, the Seahawks outgained the opposition by well north of 200 total yards. Watson may find some success moving the football in this one, but I believe we'll see the Texans struggle to finish drives with 7's on the board. Take Seattle (10*). |
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10-29-17 | Falcons -6 v. Jets | 25-20 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Jets are in a tough spot here as they try to rebound from a devastating blown opportunity in Miami last Sunday. They don't draw an ideal matchup as the Falcons are in a big bounce-back spot following their beatdown at the hands of the Patriots. We're being asked to lay a considerable number of points here, but I believe the line could be even higher. Look for the Atlanta offense to have its way with a Jets defense that has played over its head so far this season. At 3-3, it's not desperation time for the Falcons yet, but if they want to contend for the NFC title, this is probably a win they need to pick up. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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10-22-17 | Broncos -1 v. Chargers | 0-21 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver over Los Angeles at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Chargers last week as they pulled off the outright upset in Oakland but I won’t hesitate to switch gears and back the Broncos as they find themselves in their own bounce-back spot off an ugly home loss to the Giants last week. Of course, Denver has already defeated Los Angeles once this season, brushing the Chargers aside despite a late comeback in Week 1. I’m not sold on the Chargers, in spite of the fact they’re coming off back-to-back wins. While their defense has held up fairly well from day one, their offense has only looked good in short bursts. Here, they’ll be up against an elite Broncos defense that should be extremely motivated after getting lit up by a pedestrian Giants offense last Sunday night. The oddsmakers have this game pegged as a toss-up. I simply feel that only one of these teams is a true contender in the AFC West, and that’s the Broncos. This is a win they need and I’m confident they’ll get it. Take Denver (10*). |
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10-22-17 | Cowboys -6 v. 49ers | 40-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over San Francisco at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. The Cowboys are reeling off back-to-back losses against the Rams and Packers, both they get an excellent get right matchup in San Francisco on Sunday, against a winless 49ers squad that has to be extremely frustrated on the heels of so many close losses. Each of San Francisco’s last five losses have come by three points or less. Now the 49ers return home to face a highly-motivated Cowboys team that many had pegged as a Super Bowl contender entering the season. It’s still far too early for the Cowboys to push the panic button. I believe the bye week came at the right time for Jason Garret’s squad and fully expect them to put forth a much sharper performance than we saw in high-scoring losses to the Rams and Packers. We’re being asked to lay a considerable number on the road, but I believe it’s warranted. Take Dallas (10*). |
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10-22-17 | Saints v. Packers +4.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
NFL Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Green Bay plus the points over New Orleans at 1 pm et on Sunday. Perfect situation sets up here as everyone was so impressed by the Saints in their 52-38 beatdown of the Lions last Sunday while the Packers suffered a serious blow to their season, losing QB Aaron Rodgers to a broken collarbone. As a result, the Saints roll into Lambeau Field as considerable favorites on Sunday afternoon. I’m not sure the betting marketplace has got it right in this particular case. The Saints are a young team on the defensive side of the football, and while they have come into their own, they might be a little overconfident as they prepare to face the Packers inexperienced starting QB in Brett Hundley. Green Bay is a talented, well-coached football team, and one that owns a unique and strong home field advantage. Even without Rodgers, I’m willing to take a shot with the Packers for at least one game. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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10-15-17 | Chargers +4 v. Raiders | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Oakland at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I simply feel it's going to be tough for the Raiders to get rolling again from a standing position on Sunday afternoon against the rival Chargers. L.A. has taken positive strides in the last two weeks, falling by just two points against the Eagles before defeating the Giants on the road. Oakland has lost three games in a row, scoring just 37 points in the process. The Raiders are expected to get QB Derek Carr back this week but how effective will he be after missing time? The Chargers defense has actually held its own this season, allowing 26 points or less in all five games. Meanwhile, the Raiders were torched for 30 points against the Ravens just last Sunday. This has been a tightly-contested series in recent years, and I'm comfortable grabbing the points again in this spot. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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10-15-17 | Bears v. Ravens -6 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Chicago at 1 pm et on Sunday. More than anything else, I like the coaching edge the Ravens have in this matchup with John Harbaugh going up against John Fox. As far as I'm concerned, Fox is a sitting duck in Chicago, with the Bears continuing to struggle. They had a few things going for them early in the season, including RB Tarik Cohen, who looked like a breakout star. However, teams have held him in check in recent weeks, leaving the Bears offense without many weapons to turn to. QB Mitchell Trubisky gave them a bit of a spark on Monday night against Minnesota, but it's not sustainable as far as I'm concerned. The Ravens defense has come back around this season and is playing some of its best football in years in spite of that ugly showing three weeks ago in London. As long as the Ravens offense can at least be competent in this matchup, Baltimore should have little trouble brushing aside the lowly Bears. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers -3 | 28-23 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina minus the points over Philadelphia at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Panthers in this spot. Carolina was embarrassed the last time we saw it play on this field, dropping a blowout decision at the hands of the division rival Saints. Here, I anticipate a much better showing from the Panthers as they aim for their third straight victory. The Eagles are rolling along nicely right now, winners of three games in a row. They weren't challenged in last week's rout of the struggling Cardinals at home but they'll face a much tougher test here. I see this as the game where the Eagles really missing RB Darren Sproles. While Philadelphia has complimented QB Carson Wentz with more weapons this year, I'm not sure we'll see Wentz reach the heights he has over the last couple of weeks. I'll call for the Panthers to turn in their most complete effort of the season to date. Take Carolina (10*). |
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10-08-17 | Ravens +3 v. Raiders | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
NFL Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Baltimore plus the points over Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Ravens in an underdog role as they come off back-to-back no-shows and hit the road to face the reeling Raiders in Oakland. Many considered the Raiders to be a Super Bowl contender prior to the start of the season but that was with a healthy Derek Carr under center. With Carr sidelined and the Raiders ground game struggling, I'm not sure they're deserving of the favorite role on Sunday afternoon. I like the coaching edge the Ravens have in this contest with John Harbaugh matching x's and o's with Jake Del Rio. If there ever were a spot for the Ravens to prove their worth on both sides of the football, this is it. I'm not sold on the Raiders winning with E.J. Manuel at quarterback. Their defense can only carry them so far. I like the Ravens in a grinder on Sunday afternoon. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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10-08-17 | Jets v. Browns +1 | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. The line has flipped in this one but I don't believe the move is warranted. The Browns are coming off an ugly blowout loss at home against Cincinnati last Sunday but I'm confident they'll bounce back against the Jets this week. I had Cleveland pegged as a surprise team at the start of the season but it certainly hasn't played out that way as it remains winless. I still see potential in the Browns, however, and QB DeShone Kizer in particular. Meanwhile, the Jets are who we thought they were. Yes, they're off to a respectable 2-2 start but I don't believe they're a quality football team. Here, I expect them to fall back to earth as they hit the road for the first time in three games. The Jets got past the Browns by a field goal here in Cleveland last season. The shoe is on the other foot this time around. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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10-08-17 | Bills v. Bengals -3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
NFL AFC Game of the Year. My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Bengals as they host the surprising 3-1 Bills on Sunday afternoon. I expect Buffalo's lead atop the AFC East to be short-lived. The Bills caught a favorable spot against the Broncos two weeks ago at home, and managed to stage an upset win. Last week's victory came as more of a shock, however, as they went into Atlanta and beat the defending NFC champions. While they have all the momentum in the world heading into this one, I expect to see them fall flat against the Bengals. Cincinnati earned its first victory of the young season last week in Cleveland. They can't be satisfied after that blowout win, however. Cincinnati does own a solid home field advantage and its been years since it last opened the campaign with three consecutive losses at home. The pressure is on in some sense but it's not as if anyone is running away with the AFC North. The road team has won in this matchup in each of the last two seasons. This time around, it's the Bengals that have revenge on their minds as they suffered a 16-12 home defeat against the Bills last year. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs +6 | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay plus the points over New England at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. The Patriots are generally a good bet coming off a loss. We won with New England following its home opening loss to the Chiefs, as it rolled past New Orleans the next week. I'm not sure we'll see the same story play out here, however. The Pats defense is struggling, and it's a major problem right now. The Bucs have the type of offense that is capable of taking advantage. While I'm not sure how well the Tampa Bay defense will hold up against a New England offense that is sure to add a few wrinkles, I do believe that unit can do enough to keep the Bucs in the game. These two teams haven't met since the 2013 season, and there's no question a lot has changed on the Bucs side of the equation. New England has issues that aren't likely to get sorted out in four days. I like the Bucs to be a thorn in the Pats side on Thursday night. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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10-02-17 | Redskins +7 v. Chiefs | 20-29 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Kansas City at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Redskins as they try to hand the Chiefs their first loss of the season on Monday Night Football. Washington couldn't have looked much better in last week's primetime win over the Raiders. I came away more impressed by the Redskins' defense than anything else in that victory. I certainly expect that defense to play with a chip on its shoulder here as all we've been hearing about all week is how explosive the Chiefs offense has suddenly become. I'm not convinced Kansas City's offensive prowess is sustainable. Remember, a the start of the season a lot of folks were wondering whether Alex Smith was the right man for the job under center. There's some pressure on the Chiefs now as the league's last remaining undefeated team. I expect the Redskins to keep this one within arm's reach for four quarters. Take Washington (10*). |
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10-01-17 | Giants +3 v. Bucs | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Tampa Bay at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Giants as they try to earn their first win of the season on Sunday afternoon. Last week we saw the Giants offense finally wake up in the fourth quarter of a tough last second loss in Philadelphia. I do believe the G-Men have a lot to build on following that spirited contest. New York's defense is better than it showed in that loss and I'm confident we'll see a bounce-back in that regard against the Bucs. Tampa Bay got bullied in an ugly road loss in Minnesota last Sunday. The Bucs offense does concern me and should certainly concern the Giants. However, they still haven't sorted out their ground game and until they become multi-dimensional, I'm not sure their aerial attack can really take off. This is certainly a must-win game for the Giants. Maybe they're too dejected to pick themselves up off the mat, but this has always been a proud franchise, and I don't believe we'll see them go down without a fight this season. Take New York (10*). |
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10-01-17 | Eagles v. Chargers -1 | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 25 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Philadelphia at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'm not quite as high on the Eagles as some in the early going this season. Yes, they're off to a promising 2-1 start but they almost blew it against a struggling Giants squad last Sunday and they're already dealing with a number of key injuries. The Chargers desperately need a win to at least gain something from their three-game homestand, in their new home no less. Los Angeles did outgain the Chiefs in last week's two-touchdown loss and remember its first two losses this season came by a combined five points. I look for the Chargers to finally get their ground game going against a vulnerable Eagles defense. On the flip side, the L.A. defense is better than it has showed, and I see this as a favorable matchup. Eagles QB Carson Wentz has been rolling, but he faces some resistance here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Cardinals | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Arizona at 8:30 pm et on Monday. Many believe the Broncos laid out the blueprint for beating the Cowboys last Sunday as they loaded up the box and forced Dak Prescott to beat them, which he didn't do. Even if the Cardinals employ a similar gameplan here, I'm not sure they'll get similar results. Look for a much better performance from Prescott this week. The same goes for Ezekiel Elliott, and perhaps more importantly the Cowboys defense, which got shredded by a pedestrian Broncos offense. The Cardinals are fortunate to be 1-1 after outlasting the Colts in overtime last week. I wasn't high on this team at the start of the season (we successfully faded them backing the Lions in Week 1) and I'm certainly not high on them now with their best offensive player, RB David Johnson, sidelined. There's no denying Arizona has a terrific defense. I'm just not convinced it will be enough against a highly-motivated Cowboys squad on Monday night. Take Dallas (10*). |
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09-24-17 | Raiders -3 v. Redskins | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
NFL Sunday Night Game of the Month. My selection is on Oakland minus the points over Washington at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. I’ll lay the points with the Raiders in Washington on Sunday night. Perhaps no team was more hyped leading up to the start of the season than the Oakland Raiders. So far, so good as they’re off to a perfect 2-0 start with convincing wins over the Titans and Jets. I like the fact that the Redskins are coming off a road win on the west coast last week as that helps support them as a small underdog in this spot. I simply don’t see this as a favorable matchup for a team that has plenty of flaws. Note that in last week’s victory over the Rams, QB Kirk Cousins threw for only 179 yards and a touchdown. The Redskins ground game ran wild, but that was against the Rams. Here, they’ll face a tougher challenge against a Raiders defense that limited Titans running backs to just 69 yards on 18 rushes two weeks ago (last week’s game against the Jets wasn’t a good comparison). Also note that Redskins RB Rob Kelley was forced to leave last week’s game due to injury. Washington hasn’t had much of a home field advantage in recent years and while the Raiders will get tripped up at some point, I don’t expect to see it happen here. Take Oakland (10*). |
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09-24-17 | Seahawks +3 v. Titans | 27-33 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Tennessee at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Titans last week in Jacksonville but I won't hesitate to switch gears as they host the Seahawks on Sunday afternoon. In Week 1, when we backed the Raiders minus the points here in Tennessee I made the point that I didn't believe the Titans were deserving of all the hype. Yes, they play in a watered down AFC South division so there's a good chance they reach the playoffs, but that's where it ends. Here, they'll be up against a highly-motivated Seahawks squad coming off back-to-back less than impressive games to open the campaign. I simply feel that Seattle is more comfortable regardless of the way this one unfolds. The Titans would probably like to turn it into a high-scoring affair, feeling they have the edge on offense, but I'm not convinced it plays out that way on the field. It won't be easy, but I'm confident the Seahawks stay inside the number at the very least and more than likely win outright. Take Seattle (10*). |
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09-24-17 | Broncos -3 v. Bills | 16-26 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Bills are 1-0 at home, but that victory came against the lowly Jets. The Broncos resume is far more impressive as they've reeled off back-to-back home wins over the Chargers and Cowboys. While hitting the road and heading East isn't easy, I expect them to be up to the challenge. Denver is playing with a lot of energy on both sides of the football right now. This is a team that seems to be rejuvenated under the guidance of first year head coach Vance Joseph. As for the Bills, they hung tough against the Panthers last Sunday but that had little to do with their own play and more thanks to the Panthers disjointed start to the season. Things get tougher in this spot and I don't believe the Bills can stick around for four quarters. Take Denver (10*). |
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09-24-17 | Saints v. Panthers -5.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
NFC South Game of the Month. My selection is on Carolina minus the points over New Orleans at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Panthers didn’t do their backers any favors last week as they escaped with an ugly home win over the Bills. Despite losing TE Greg Olsen to injury in that game, I expect them to turn in a much sharper performance this Sunday as they draw a favorable matchup against a struggling Saints defense. We’ve cashed tickets fading the Saints in each of the last two weeks, noting that the potential is there for them to be one of the league’s weakest teams this season. The offense is still good, but certainly not great. And here New Orleans will run into a Panthers defense that has feasted on the 49ers and Bills over the last two weeks. Yes, Carolina will be taking a step up in class against Drew Brees and company this week, but perhaps not as significant of one as most believe. Last week’s result may have spooked the betting marketplace when it comes to the Panthers. I’m confident we see them respond favorably here. Take Carolina (10*). |
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09-21-17 | Rams -2.5 v. 49ers | 41-39 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over San Francisco at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. This is another in a long line of ugly Thursday Night Football matchups but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made. The Rams have been installed as rare road favorites in this one but I believe the line is warranted. Los Angeles is off to an even 1-1 start after opening with back-to-back home games. There's really no shame in that, even though the Rams failed to win in a favorite role against Washington last week. I simply feel the Rams have a lot more upside on both sides of the football than the 49ers do at this stage of the season. We actually won with the 49ers plus the points in Seattle last week. San Francisco's defense held up well in that game, but keep in mind, it was up against a Seahawks squad that is still figuring things out offensively. Much was made of RB Carlos Hyde running for over 100 yards, but consider that 60+ of those yards came on one run. While it's tough to envision the Rams posting a winning record through three games, it's also easy to forget that they opened last season 3-1, including road wins in Tampa Bay and Arizona. The Rams did drop both matchups against the 49ers but that should only serve to give them extra motivation here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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09-18-17 | Lions +3 v. Giants | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over New York at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I felt the Lions were an undervalued commodity entering the season - that's why I chose to back them at home against the Cardinals last Sunday. I won't hesitate to get behind them again this week as Detroit heads to New Jersey to face the Giants. Will the Giants offense be fixed? I'm not so sure. Even if Odell Beckham Jr. is able to return I'm not convinced they'll be able to put points the board with any sort of consistency. New York's defense is good, but perhaps not good enough to carry the entire load. Meanwhile, the Lions aren't exactly accustomed to playing in the primetime spotlight, but here and now I believe they're the better team. The line doesn't indicate the same. Take Detroit (10*). |
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09-17-17 | Cowboys -2 v. Broncos | 17-42 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Denver at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark fading the Broncos on Monday night as the Chargers late rally fell short but I won’t hesitate to go back to the well and go against Denver again as it steps up in class to face the Cowboys on Sunday. Dallas dominated from start to finish in its season opener against the Giants last Sunday night. With that being said, the offense could certainly perform better this week. Jumping ahead early meant we didn’t see the Cowboys really open things up. They’ll be cautious against an elite Broncos defense this week, but I have more confidence in Dak and Zeke to make the big plays at key points of this game than I do in Denver’s underwhelming offense. I’ll certainly give the Broncos credit for putting 24 points on the board against the Chargers on Monday night, however I think the fact that they were held off the scoreboard in the fourth quarter, when they could have put the game away for good, was telling. Against an elite opponent like the Cowboys, I’m not convinced the Broncos will be able to come up with the big offensive plays they’ll need. While the Cowboys are known for their offense, it’s their defense that impresses me the most. This is still an underrated unit, one that I expect to see make a statement on Sunday afternoon in Denver. Take Dallas (10*). |
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09-17-17 | Jets v. Raiders -13 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 43 h 18 m | Show |
AFC Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Oakland minus the points over New York at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. We’re being asked to lay a steep number with the Raiders on Sunday but I believe the price is warranted. We cashed a ticket with Oakland last week in its season opener in Tennessee. While there’s a chance the Raiders overlook the lowly Jets here, with this being their home opener I don’t see it happening. Oakland certainly appeared to be in midseason form last Sunday, making a pretty good Titans squad look average, on the road no less. Meanwhile, the Jets looked exactly how we thought they would look. They managed only 12 points with their lone touchdown coming on a one-yard Josh McCown touchdown run. That’s not encouraging. Despite attempting 39 passes, McCown threw for only 187 yards to go along with two interceptions. Their top rusher in the game was Bilal Powell, who managed only 22 yards on the ground. Not good. Defensively, the Jets are capable, but they’ll be up against a Raiders offense that still has room for improvement, even after putting 26 points on the board against the Titans last week. Marshawn Lynch shook off some rust, running for 76 yards on 18 carries last Sunday while Derek Carr was an efficient 22-of-32 for 262 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. It should only be a matter of time before the Raiders pull away for good in this one. Take Oakland (10*). |
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09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 40 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tennessee minus the points over Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Sunday. We cashed a ticket fading the Titans last Sunday afternoon but I’ll switch gears and back them as they travel to face the Jaguars on Sunday. Jacksonville has one of the weakest home field advantages in the NFL, in fact it probably shouldn’t be considered an advantage at all. Yes, the Jags looked good in last week’s rout of the Texans in Houston but perhaps that had more to do with the Texans ineptitude than anything else. RB Leonard Fournette is going to be a force for the Jags for years to come and he showed flashes of that promise last Sunday afternoon. He’ll get his against the Titans as well, but I’m not sure it will be enough to overcome QB Blake Bortles’ ineffectiveness. Defensively, I see these two squads as mirror images of one another. However, motivation lies in the Titans corner following last week’s home loss to the Raiders. They’re behind the eight-ball off to an 0-1 start but can make amends with a big early season divisional win on Sunday, and I expect them to accomplish exactly that. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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09-17-17 | Patriots -6 v. Saints | 36-20 | Win | 100 | 40 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on New England minus the points over New Orleans at 1 pm et on Sunday. We cashed a ticket fading the Saints on Monday night in Minnesota and I won’t hesitate to go back to the well as they return home to host the Patriots on Sunday afternoon. To put it simply, I don’t believe the Saints are going to be a good team this season. Drew Brees is still an elite NFL quarterback but the talent around him is lacking. I certainly wasn’t impressed by the Saints offensive line on Monday night as Brees was under pressure for most of the game and open lanes were few and far between for New Orleans’ stable of running backs. The fact that Alvin Kamara led the team in rush attempts and earned a share of top spot in terms of rushing yards with 18 said a lot. Defensively, the Saints are relying on a lot of young, inexperienced players in key roles and that doesn’t bode well as they prepare to face a Pats squad that has been idle since last Thursday. New England got off to a roaring start before fading in the second half in an eventual rout at the hands of the Chiefs. Needless to say, they’ll have no shortage of motivation heading into this one. Drew Brees owns a 4-3 edge over Tom Brady in seven career meetings and I don’t need to tell you that will serve to sharpen Brady’s focus here. The Saints have owned a considerable home field advantage over the years, but perhaps not as significant in recent seasons. Here I don’t believe it will be enough. Take New England (10*). |
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09-14-17 | Texans v. Bengals -6.5 | 13-9 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Houston at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. We're being asked to lay a pretty steep number given the Bengals didn't score a single point in their home opener against the Ravens last Sunday. However, desperation should play a role this week and I believe the Bengals draw a favorable matchup against the Texans at home. Cincinnati can obviously ill afford to start the season 0-2 at home. The Bengals were caught flat-footed against Baltimore last Sunday but I expect to see considerable improvement here. The Texans are a bit of a mess right now. They were already an afterthought in the AFC South race and last week's performance didn't do anything to change minds. DeShaun Watson will take over under center and make his first career NFL start on Thursday night. I'm not sure we'll see the Texans open up the playbook for the rookie, especially after he struggled to complete passes and committed two turnovers last Sunday afternoon. The SU winner has gone 33-2-1 ATS in all Texans games since the start of the 2015 season. I expect the Bengals to find the win column here, and I'll lay the points as well. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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09-11-17 | Chargers +3 v. Broncos | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Denver at 10:20 pm et on Monday. It's been a while since the Chargers have tasted success here in Denver - 2013 to be exact - but I believe they have a good shot at "upsetting" the Broncos here. L.A. didn't show much in the preseason. It got caught completely flat-footed in back-to-back home games to open the preseason before turning in a strong showing in its Week 3 'dress rehearsal'. I simply feel that the Chargers have a little more upside than the Broncos as we kick off the 2017 campaign. The Broncos will turn to Trevor Siemian under center again this season after he took the reins and performed reasonably well in the starting role a year ago. But can this offense take a step forward? I'm not so sure. As much as I like the Broncos defense, it is worth noting they'll be missing LB Shane Ray and DE Jared Crick. I don't believe we'll see the Chargers contend for the AFC West title when it's all said and done, but I am confident they can get the Anthony Lynn era off to a promising start on Monday night in Denver. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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09-11-17 | Saints v. Vikings -3 | Top | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
NFL MNF Game of the Month. My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over New Orleans at 7:10 pm et on Monday. I had this line pegged considerably higher than what we're looking at and won't hesitate to back the Vikings in their home opener. Minnesota didn't show much in the preseason, save for late in its primetime showcase against the 49ers in Week 3. However, I saw enough to know that they're capable of taking a step forward after an up and down 2016 campaign. Of course, the Vikes did a lot of good things last season. Most notably, QB Sam Bradford completed more than 71% of his passes while throwing 20 touchdowns and only five interceptions. Now with the addition of rookie RB Dalvin Cook, the offense has the potential to be better. Defensively, this is the year the Vikes young core should really step up. All most saw in the preseason was them getting lit up by a pedestrian 49ers offense, but that was the preseason. The Minnesota 'D' will come to play in the face of a tough challenge against the Saints on Monday night. New Orleans enters this campaign on the heels of a few tough seasons. I'm not sure the Saints have all the pieces in place to turn things around this year. RB Adrian Peterson returning to Minnesota will grab a lot of headlines, but I don't expect him to take over this game by any means. The Saints offense will be good, but I'm not convinced they can stick around for four quarters against a quality defense. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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09-10-17 | Falcons -6 v. Bears | 23-17 | Push | 0 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Chicago at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Falcons didn’t show much in the preseason but that’s of little consequence. This is a highly-motivated, and more importantly – supremely talented squad that should have little trouble brushing aside the Bears in front of a weary fan base at Soldier Field. Chicago has finally moved on from the Jay Cutler era but is Mike Glennon really a much better option? It’s only a matter of time before Mitchell Trubisky takes over the reins and a poor performance from Glennon here would certainly speed up that process. Outside of RB Jordan Howard I simply don’t see many bright spots for the Bears, and I’m confident they’ll be one of the league’s weakest teams this season. We’re being asked to lay a considerable number of points with a road team given it is Week 1 after all, but I have a tough time envisioning a story unfolding where Chicago keeps pace with Atlanta for four quarters. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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09-10-17 | Cardinals v. Lions +2.5 | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Arizona at 1 pm et on Sunday. I’m not as high on the Cardinals as some. It seems like Arizona is a perennial Super Bowl sleeper pick but this is a team that has had a tough time living up to expectations in recent years. Things won’t get any easier this year with an aging, oft-injured Carson Palmer under center. Yes, David Johnson is an absolute force out of the backfield but outside of his presence, does anyone else on this offense really scare the opposition? The Lions gave QB Matt Stafford a lot more money than expected and perhaps deserved. That should at the very least give him a shot of confidence, and I like the receiving corps he’ll be working with, even if that group isn’t loaded with star power. Watch for Kenny Golladay to take on a prominent role in the offense before too long, perhaps passing Marvin Jones on the depth chart eventually. Defensively, the Lions are better than most give them credit for. As I mentioned, the Cards aren’t going to intimidate them. I simply feel that the wrong team is favored in this NFC showdown. Take Detroit (10*). |
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09-10-17 | Raiders +3 v. Titans | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland plus the points over Tennessee at 1 pm et on Sunday. I had this game as a pk’em but the oddsmakers have elected to install the Titans as a small favorite. While I can understand the logic behind the line, that doesn’t mean I agree with it. A lot of folks have the Titans pegged as a playoff team in 2017. I’m not so easily convinced. A lot went right for Tennessee a year ago as RB DeMarco Murray performed better than expected and an ‘under the radar’ receiving corps came up big for QB Marcus Mariota. However, the Titans will have a bigger target on their backs this season, and it starts with this showdown with the Raiders – who carry plenty of hype and expectations of their own. Barring injuries, I do believe Oakland will make some serious noise in the AFC West this season. We saw the Chiefs come roaring out of the gates in Foxborough on Thursday but the Raiders are capable of looking just as impressive here. Take Oakland (10*). |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons +3 | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over New England at 6:30 pm et on Sunday. When in doubt, grab the points, and in this case, I feel the game could go either way but the value is with the Falcons in an underdog role. New England didn't exactly face a murderer's row in terms of opposition this season, and that has continued in the playoffs as it drew a favorable matchup against the Texans before the Steelers were essentially a no-show in the AFC Championship Game. Meanwhile, the Falcons have been going full throttle all season, facing a difficult schedule along the way, and that continued in the postseason as they went up against the Seahawks and Packers - two legitimate Super Bowl contenders. I don't believe the Falcons defense gets nearly enough credit for how well it has played this season. Yes, they've given up their share of points, but that's largely due to playing ahead so much, and forcing opponents into taking chances in catch-up mode. They've been involved in plenty of shootouts but more often than not, their defense has come up with big plays when it has needed to. This should be an entertaining contest from start to finish. I'm comfortable putting my money on a Falcons squad that hasn't been here before. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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01-22-17 | Steelers +6 v. Patriots | 17-36 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh plus the points over New England at 6:40 pm et on Sunday. To put it simply, I'm not overly impressed by the Patriots. This New England squad doesn't carry quite the same intimidation factor it did in recent years - at least not in my opinion. The Steelers certainly won't be intimidated. This is a team that has regained its swagger over the course of the season, particularly on the defensive side of the football. We knew all along the Steelers could score, but last week we saw that they're more than capable of winning a slugfest as well. I do expect to see their offense return to form this week. Few teams have been able to slow down Le'Veon Bell out of the backfield and the Pats should be no exception. The Patriots are coming off a shaky performance against the Texans last week. It was as sloppy as we've seen New England in quite some time. Expect a sharper performance here, but I'm happy to grab all the points I can get with a Steelers squad that should stay within arm's reach for four quarters. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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01-22-17 | Packers +5 v. Falcons | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 49 m | Show |
NFL Playoff Game of the Year. My selection is on Green Bay plus the points over Atlanta at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. To put it simply, I don’t see the Atlanta Falcons reaching the Super Bowl. While they’re not exactly giving off a ‘happy to be here’ vibe leading up to the NFC Championship, I can’t help but feel they’re pleased as punch to not only be in the game, but hosting it no less. Meanwhile, the Packers have ‘been there, done that’, so to speak, and still have a sour taste in their mouth from that epic collapse in the NFC Championship Game in Seattle two years ago. Green Bay’s defense is vulnerable – that’s not up for debate. And the Falcons are certainly capable of taking advantage, as we saw last week when they shredded an undermanned but still formidable Seahawks defense. On the flip side, however, Aaron Rodgers is playing some of the best football of his career (that’s saying something) and getting support from all over the field, even in the absence of Jordy Nelson. The same can be said for Matt Ryan, but could he flinch given the high stakes of this game? It’s the biggest game of his career to date without question. In what should be a high-scoring affair, and in a game where the team that can come up with the most clutch plays in the fourth quarter likely wins, my money is on the one that has thrived on this stage before. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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01-08-17 | Giants +6 v. Packers | 13-38 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Green Bay at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. The Giants are certainly a popular upset pick on Wild Card Weekend but that doesn't mean they're the wrong one. While I'm not going to call for the outright victory here, I do believe this has the makings of a classic, with the G-Men capable of taking the Packers down to the wire. The New York defense really doesn't get enough credit. This is a unit that has gone through plenty of changes in recent years, but keeps on ticking, with improvement in a number of areas this season, largely due to an influx of young talent. The Packers have gotten tremendous play from Aaron Rodgers, particularly of late, but I don't think he'll have an easy time of it on Sunday afternoon. Look for the Giants offense to make just enough plays down the stretch to keep this one inside the number. Take New York (10*). |
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01-01-17 | Jaguars v. Colts -4 | 20-24 | Push | 0 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indianapolis minus the points over Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Colts on Sunday as they host the Jaguars, who are coming off a rare win - a blowout win, in fact, over the Titans last week. The Colts fell short in Oakland last week but did put forth a solid effort. They ultimately split their last two games on the road and check in with a respectable 7-7-1 ATS mark this season. Jacksonville has delivered the cash in back-to-back games but let's face it, the Jags are nearing the end of another disastrous season. I don't see them ending it on a high note here. The home team has won four straight meetings in this series. That trend continues here. Take Indianapolis (10*). |
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01-01-17 | Cowboys v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Dallas at 1 pm et on Sunday. There's little reason for the Cowboys to get up for this one. Yes, they'll be looking for a franchise-record in terms of wins in a season, but that means little in the grand scheme of things. We're going to see Dallas backups on the field most of the game, with Tony Romo seeing action among others. Meanwhile, the Eagles haven't quit on the season, and are coming off a big revenge win over the Giants last week. They've had extra rest having not played since a week ago Thursday, also playing into their favor with the Cowboys having just played on Monday night. We're being asked to lay a reasonable number with a suitably motivated team here. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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12-24-16 | Titans -4.5 v. Jaguars | 17-38 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tennessee minus the points over Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Saturday. Aside from the Browns, the Jaguars are pretty much the bottom of the barrel in the NFL right now. Jacksonville did put forth a good effort last week but ultimately fell a point short on a late touchdown in Houston. I don't see the Jags picking themselves up off the mat against the surging Titans here. Tennessee has won three straight games but it would be all for not if it can't keep it rolling against a very beatable Jags squad here. Remember, the Titans crushed the Jags by a 36-22 score in their first meeting this season. It could certainly be argued that Tennessee is playing better now than it was then. Jacksonville has no home field advantage whatsoever having gone 1-6 here this season. Meanwhile, the Titans have proven to be a gritty road team, having posted a 4-3 record. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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12-24-16 | Falcons -3 v. Panthers | Top | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show |
NFC South Game of the Year. My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Carolina at 1 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Falcons in Carolina on Saturday. The Panthers came up big in Washington on Monday night but now find themselves in a tough spot, playing on a short week with a number of their key cogs banged up, if able to play at all. That win over the Redskins had more to do with a terrible gameplan from Washington than anything else. Here, the Panthers will face a more focused Falcons squad that is coming off two of their best performances of the season, albeit against weak opposition. The Atlanta offense is absolutely rolling right now, and certainly had no trouble putting up 48 points against the Panthers earlier this season - that was actually a healthier Panthers defense than the one it will face on Saturday. The Falcons defense doesn't get a lot of respect but this is a capable group and one that I expect to see do a terrific job of containing a hobbled Cam Newton and the Panthers offense on Saturday afternoon. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins -7 | 26-15 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington minus the points over Carolina at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the Redskins on Monday night. It's not that I'm all that high on Washington, but I simply feel that the Panthers have too many question marks to support in a tough environment and little to play for other than pride. Both teams are coming off big wins last week, but the Redskins was more impressive as they went into Philadelphia and won while the Panthers defeated the Chargers at home. Washington hasn't been home since the Sunday before Thanksgiving, going 1-2 over its last three contests. The Redskins are still in playoff contention, however, and I believe we'll see them bring their 'A' game on Monday night. While Washington has become known for its offense, which has come a long way this season, it's the Redskins defense that has impressed me most. Look for them to handle the Panthers inconsistent offense and ultimately pull away for a convincing win. Take Washington (10*). |
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12-18-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | 16-3 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday Afternoon ATS Rout. My selection is on New England minus the points over Denver at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. This is the story of two teams heading in opposite directions right now, and I believe both squads stay on course on Sunday afternoon. New England is playing its best football of the season right now having not lost a game in over a month. Even without Gronk, the Pats offense continues to churn along while their underrated defense comes up big week after week. Mind you, the Pats haven't exactly faced a tough schedule of late and they come into this one playing on a short week after outlasting the Ravens on Monday. I believe they'll use that angle as motivation here, however, and I also feel that they're catching the Broncos at precisely the right time. Denver has dropped two of its last three games and really hasn't looked all that good since back in October. It's tough to defend a Super Bowl title as everyone is gunning for you on a weekly basis. The Broncos are certainly finding that out first hand this season. The home team has taken each of the last seven meetings in this series, although four of those contests have been won by the Pats. I believe the oddsmakers have got it right installing the Pats as a road favorite this time around, though. Take New England (10*). |
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12-18-16 | Steelers v. Bengals +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 51 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday Afternoon Underdog Shocker. My selection is on Cincinnati plus the points over Pittsburgh at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Bengals at home on Sunday afternoon. Cincinnati has nothing to lose at this point. The Bengals find themselves out of contention but off back-to-back wins, and facing arguably their biggest rival in what amounts to their Super Bowl. I like their chances of giving the red hot Steelers a serious run. Pittsburgh will be facing a tough task here as it tries to extend its winning streak to five games following a gritty road win in Buffalo last Sunday. Consistency hasn't exactly been the Steelers calling card in recent years. I'm just not sure Pittsburgh is quite as good as it has looked over the last several weeks. The Bengals continue to boast a winning record at home this season. They haven't defeated the Steelers on this field since 2013 but they'll have ample motivation to pull off the upset on Sunday afternoon. I'll take all the points I can get. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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12-11-16 | Saints +2.5 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -100 | 77 h 20 m | Show |
NFL Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Tampa Bay at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. The Saints laid an egg at home against a rolling Lions squad last Sunday. But I fully expect to see them bounce back in a big way as they travel to Tampa this week. There are questions lingering as to whether Drew Brees is less than 100% healthy after he struggled at times in last week’s game. I’m not overly concerned. The Lions boast a better defense than most are willing to give them credit for. Brees will be taking a step down in class against an inconsistent and familiar Bucs defense this Sunday. Tampa Bay has made some positive strides this season. That’s probably an understatement as the Bucs roll into this game riding a four-game winning streak – fresh off a big road win in San Diego last week. But now they travel back across the country and I’m not sure their familiarity with the division rival Saints helps their cause in this particular spot. The Saints may be 5-7 overall but they don’t feel they’re out of the running just yet thanks to playing three division games down the stretch, including two against these Bucs. They’ll play three of their last four games on the road, where they’ve gone 2-3 this season but they’ve been close in all of their losses. I simply feel that the wrong team may be favored here. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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12-11-16 | Steelers -2 v. Bills | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 74 h 59 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh minus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday. We successfully faded the Bills in Oakland last Sunday and I believe they’ll be in tough as they travel back across the country to host the Steelers this week. Pittsburgh essentially controls its own destiny in terms of getting into the postseason and took a step in the right direction with a convincing home win over the Giants last week. Of course, for the Steelers it’s all about finding some consistency down the stretch. While Buffalo can present a hostile environment, particularly in December, I believe the Steelers will be up to the task. We saw plenty of frustration from Bills QB Tyrod Taylor when dealing with tough questions from reporters earlier this week. I’m in line with the majority in thinking Taylor might not be the guy to lead this team as the years go on. The Bills have put some good pieces in place to surround Taylor but it still hasn’t been enough to spark the offense on a weekly basis. Pittsburgh has plenty of veteran experience to lean on at this stage of the season. It hasn’t traveled particularly well but I see this as a big step-up spot against Buffalo. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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12-05-16 | Colts v. Jets +2 | 41-10 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Indianapolis at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll back the Jets at home on Monday night. Yes, New York is mired in another disappointing campaign, but it hasn't thrown in the towel as evidenced by last week's narrow five-point home loss to the Patriots. Here, it will stay home looking to avoid an 0-3 slide at the Meadowlands, and I look for the Jets to turn in one of their best efforts of the season. The Colts are battling for their playoff lives, but simply put, I don't believe this is a playoff squad. As much as it will help to get Andrew Luck back on the field, I don't like the personnel the Colts field defensively and I haven't seen enough consistency out of their offense to believe they can go on the road and notch a big victory here. Keep in mind, the Jets have taken three straight meetings in this series since 2011. Their last loss against the Colts came as an eight-point underdog on the road in the 2010 playoffs. Take New York (10*). |
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12-04-16 | Redskins +2.5 v. Cardinals | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday Afternoon Underdog Winner. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Arizona at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Redskins plus the points in Arizona on Sunday afternoon. The Cardinals have been one of the league's biggest disappointments this season, going 4-6-1 SU and 3-8 ATS. I don't see their fortunes changing on Sunday when they host the 'Skins. Washington fell short against Dallas on Thanksgiving Day last week but that shouldn't strike much of a blow to its confidence. If anything, that narrow loss could give the 'Skins a boost in confidence as they stay on the road this week. Washington hasn't won a road game since early October, going winless in three games since. Keep in mind, the 'Skins haven't exactly faced a group of pushovers on the road over the last couple of months. The Cardinals have fallen well short of expectations largely due to the poor play of aging QB Carson Palmer. While he has the weapons in place to bounce back this week, I'm not sure we'll see it happen. These two teams are in much different places in their progression right now. Take Washington (10*). |
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12-04-16 | Chiefs +6 v. Falcons | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday Afternoon ATS Rout. My selection is on Kansas City plus the points over Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Chiefs in Atlanta on Sunday. Kansas City appears to be in prime letdown spot off a big road win in Denver last Sunday night. But I'm not expecting the Chiefs to let down their guard in Atlanta this week. Keep in mind, we won with Atlanta last week in its rout of Arizona. It will face a much tougher challenge here, however. The Chiefs have certainly proved themselves on the road this season, going 4-2. Their 5-6 ATS mark doesn't tell the entire story as far as I'm concerned. This is a team that has been able to rise to the occasion and the table is set for another big performance here. We've actually cashed tickets in each of the Falcons last three games. I'm not sure that this is a trustworthy team from an ATS perspective. They've gone 7-4 ATS overall this season but check in just 2-3 ATS over their last five contests. Look for the Chiefs to do enough to stay inside the inflated pointspread at the very least on Sunday afternoon. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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12-04-16 | Eagles v. Bengals -1.5 | Top | 14-32 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Philadelphia at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Bengals at home in this battle of reeling squads on Sunday afternoon. In some sense, I consider Cincinnati to be the lesser of two evils at this point of the season. The Eagles are struggling off back-to-back losses and disappointingly out of the race in the NFC East after a strong start to the season. Playing on the road on a short week, I don't see them figuring things out. The Bengals are winless in their last four games but I give them credit for at least hanging in against the Ravens on the road last week. They're obviously missing some key cogs on offense right now but I believe their defense will lead the way in this particular matchup, while their offense does just enough. Despite injuries to A.J. Green and Giovani Bernard, the Bengals do still have plenty of options on offense, not to mention a quality quarterback in Andy Dalton. Meanwhile, the Eagles aren't getting much out of rookie QB Carson Wentz right now. We're being asked to lay a reasonable number with the home side in this one. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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11-28-16 | Packers +4 v. Eagles | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Green Bay plus the points over Philadelphia at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Packers on Monday night. Everyone is down on Green Bay right now. And perhaps rightfully so as the Packers have shown little life of late, going winless over their last four games. They just haven't been the same since that home loss to Dallas back in mid-October. I do like the Pack to respond favorably in this spot, however. There's really nowhere to go but up following back-to-back blowout losses on the road. While they're still dealing with some key injuries, that's been the case all season. There's no excuses at this point. The Eagles just aren't going to intimidate anyone. Yes, they're a perfect 4-0 at home (we've cashed some tickets along the way), but they've caught the opposition in some real favorable spots. Their offense has regressed as the season has gone on with rookie QB Carson Wentz struggling to regain his rhythm. I'm expecting a tightly-contested affair here. The Packers are down but not out. I don't see them going away quietly. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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11-27-16 | Chiefs v. Broncos -3.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Kansas City at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Broncos at home on Sunday night. The Chiefs are riddled with injuries right now, particularly on the defensive side of the football. With that being said, none of their key cogs have been ruled out. But even if the likes of Peters, Poe and Hali can go, they won't likely be at 100%. Denver is coming off a thrilling, and unlikely, road win in New Orleans. I say unlikely because it trailed that game late in the fourth quarter. Add another notch to QB Trevor Siemian's belt after that performance. Defensively, the Broncos are getting healthier with Talib and Wolfe back on the field. And this is certainly a manageable matchup against a rather punchless Chiefs offense that recently lost WR Jeremy Maclin. This one won't come easy for the home side, but I do believe that the Broncos make the big plays down the stretch in this one as they secure a much-needed victory in the AFC West race. Take Denver (10*). |
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11-27-16 | Cardinals v. Falcons -4 | Top | 19-38 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Year. My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Arizona at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Falcons on Sunday. We actually cashed a ticket fading Atlanta in its most recent game - a nine-point road loss against the Eagles two weeks ago. The bye week should have served the Falcons well as they return home to host a reeling Cardinals squad. Arizona has been one of the league's biggest disappointments so far this season. The Cards are coming off another loss last week in Minnesota and will be hard-pressed to bounce back here. While I do like Cards RB David Johnson, he simply isn't capable of shouldering the entire load on offense. Carson Palmer's best days certainly seem to be behind him and his receiving corps has let him down as well (with the exception of the ageless Larry Fitzgerald). Arizona remains banged up on defense and will face an explosive Falcons offense that will welcome back RB Tevin Coleman. I'll lay the reasonable number here. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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11-24-16 | Vikings v. Lions -2.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 40 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Minnesota at 12:30 pm et on Thursday. For years, the Lions were NFC doormats and regularly dropped their Thanksgiving Day game, usually by wide margins. However, that’s changed in recent years and I like the way this year’s matchup sets up for Detroit as well. The Vikings got off to a hot start this season before going ice cold during a four-game losing streak. That skid included a stunning 22-16 home loss to the Lions. We did see the Vikes bounce back with a 30-24 win over what has turned out to be an overrated Cardinals squad on Sunday, but I believe it will be in tough hitting the road here. Despite putting up 30 points against Arizona, the Vikings offense struggled for the most part, with Sam Bradford throwing for only 169 yards and Jerick McKinnon leading the team with only 44 rushing yards. A lot is asked of the Vikes defense on a weekly basis, and I believe that catches up to them again in this spot. The Lions continue to fly beneath the radar despite reeling off four wins in their last five games. They’ve been getting it done with defense lately, allowing just 53 points over their last three contests combined. I’m confident we’ll see that defense come up big again in this matchup. Minnesota swept the season series between these two NFC North rivals last year after the Lions took both matchups in 2014. I’ll stick with the pattern and back the Lions here. Take Detroit (10*). |
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11-21-16 | Texans v. Raiders -5.5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland minus the points over Houston at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the Raiders on Monday night. Despite some terrible showings in primetime, the Texans check into Monday's game sporting a 6-3 record. I don't believe they're as good as their record indicates. The Houston offense remains stuck in the mud with QB Brock Osweiler. Case in point, the fact that WR DeAndre Hopkins has been held to 56 yards receiving or less in six of the last seven games. Oakland's offense has been explosive to say the least, and while it will face a tough challenge in a better than expected Texans defense without J.J. Watt, I believe we'll see the Raiders make enough clutch plays to ultimately put this game away. Defensively, I believe we'll see the Raiders shine in this one - just as they did two weeks ago in their lone previous primetime tilt against the Broncos. The Raiders success so far this season is no fluke. This is a complete football team capable of reaching the postseason, and certainly capable of taking care of business against a team the caliber of the Texans. Take Oakland (8*). |
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11-20-16 | Packers v. Redskins -2.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 48 h 16 m | Show | |
Sunday Night ATS Rout. My selection is on Washington minus the points over Green Bay at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. The Redskins have quietly enjoyed a lot of success lately, going 5-1-1 over their last seven games. I look for them to keep it rolling against the downtrodden Packers on Sunday night. Green Bay has lost three in a row and four of its last five overall. The Packers defense just can't stop anyone right now, and even a healthy Clay Matthews isn't likely to make much of a difference here. Note that the Redskins have put up at least 26 points in three of their last four games. Kirk Cousins has proven to be one of the best passers in the league this season, with an unheralded supporting cast helping him out. Of course, these two teams met in the playoffs nearly a year ago with the Packers rolling to a convincing road win. That result certainly won't be lost on the Redskins. They're a better team than they were back in January - on both sides of the football. Meanwhile, the Packers have taken a significant step back as far as I'm concerned. Take Washington (10*). |
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11-20-16 | Steelers v. Browns +8 | Top | 24-9 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 59 m | Show |
AFC North Game of the Year. My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Pittsburgh at 1 pm et on Saturday. I'll grab the points with the Browns on Sunday. The Steelers are in disarray right now. They've lost four straight games, culminating with last week's blown opportunity against the Cowboys. I'm not convinced they bounce back here, even if this does appear to be a very winnable matchup. The Browns have yet to win a game this season. But it's coming. At least that's my belief. Cleveland has actually stayed fairly healthy this season but having the youngest roster in the league has held it back. It won't be difficult for the Browns to get up for this divisional matchup, however, and I'm confident we'll see them stay inside the inflated pointspread. The Steelers defense has struggled at the best of times this season. Now they're without Cam Heyward in addition to a number of other key injuries. I'm not sure they can avoid the upset here, let alone cover the number. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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11-13-16 | Seahawks v. Patriots -7.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on New England minus the points over Seattle at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Patriots in this Super Bowl rematch from two years ago. The Seahawks cruised to a win over the Bills this past Monday night, but I think that game hid a lot of their flaws. Or should I say that win hid a lot of their flaws. Seattle will welcome Kam Chancellor back on Sunday night, which will provide a boost to the defense, but I'm not sure it will prove to be enough. This is a struggling unit right now and things won't get any easier against a rested Patriots offense. While New England is known for its offense, its defense has more than held its own this season. In fact, it has been dominant for stretches. This group has remained relatively healthy and should feast on a Seahawks offense that really has no semblance of a running game right now. Pete Carroll can talk all he wants about how Russell Wilson is getting back to full strength, but we've yet to see it on the field as he hasn't shown that same scrambling ability in recent weeks. He's getting there, but he's not all the way back as far as I'm concerned. The Seahawks aren't the same imposing force they were when they faced the Pats in the Super Bowl nearly two years ago. I simply believe the Pats will prove to be too much on Sunday night. Take New England (10*). |
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11-13-16 | Cowboys v. Steelers -2.5 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -113 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh minus the points over Dallas at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the short number with the Steelers against the red hot Cowboys on Sunday. Pittsburgh looked pretty awful in last week's loss to the division rival Ravens. Of course, that came on the road, and it came in Ben Roethlisberger's first game back from injury. It took a while for Big Ben to settle in against Baltimore, but I'm anticipating a much sharper performance here. There will be no shortage of motivation for the Steelers as the Cowboys are the talk of the league, having reeled off seven straight wins since opening the season with a home loss to the Giants. Dallas couldn't have played much better than it did in last week's rout of the Browns in Cleveland. But obviously things get a lot tougher here. Note that if Dallas doesn't lose here, it likely won't be seriously challenged again until facing the Vikings on the road in a Thursday nighter on December 1st. As poorly as Pittsburgh has played over its last few games it still remains in the thick of the hunt for an AFC North division title. With a win here it would pull even with the Ravens atop the division. These two teams haven't met since 2012, but the last two meetings have gone the way of the home side. That's a trend I see continuing here. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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11-13-16 | Falcons v. Eagles +1 | 15-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
Sunday Afternoon ATS Rout. My selection is on Philadelphia over Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Eagles at home on Sunday afternoon. We cashed a big ticket with the Falcons last week, as they rolled to a blowout win over the Bucs in Tampa. Things get a little tougher for Atlanta here, as it aims for its third straight victory. Note that the Falcons already vulnerable defense lost CB Desmond Trufant to injury last week and he won't play in this one. That opens the door for Carson Wentz and the Eagles offense to take full advantage as far as I'm concerned. Atlanta has thrived on its offense so far this season but how long can it keep it up? The Falcons weren't challenged by a weak Bucs defense last week. Here, they'll run into an Eagles squad that has given up just 23 points in three home games this season. The Eagles are a perfect 3-0 at home this season and know they have to bring their 'A' game in order to put a stop to their two-game skid. In the ultra-competitive NFC East they simply can't afford a long losing streak. I like their chances of bouncing back here. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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11-07-16 | Bills v. Seahawks -7 | 25-31 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Buffalo at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the Seahawks on Monday night. Here's an interesting angle, similar to the one we used in our favor with the Falcons on Thursday night; the SU winner has gone 23-0-1 ATS in all games involving the Bills going back to the start of last season. I'm confident the Seahawks will be able to get by Buffalo in this spot, and I won't hesitate to lay the points. Buffalo's defense has been virtually non-existent in the last couple of weeks, allowing a whopping 69 points. I'm not sure the Bills have the personnel in place to bounce back in that department this week. The Seahawks have been struggling, particularly on offense, but all indications are that QB Russell Wilson is as healthy as he's been in weeks. Defensively, they're missing a couple of key cogs but I don't believe those absences will cost them against an uneven Bills offense. If Seattle wants to be considered one of the teams to beat in the NFC, and a Super Bowl contender, this is a game it has to have. The Seahawks haven't been a good bet this season, but neither have the Bills for that matter. I'm willing to give the home side the benefit of the doubt in this one. Take Seattle (10*). |
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11-06-16 | Broncos +1 v. Raiders | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
My selection is on Denver over Oakland at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Broncos in Oakland on Sunday night. Denver is dealing with a number of key injuries right now and Aqib Talib's absence shouldn't be underestimated. But I do feel the banged up nature of the Broncos defense has been more than factored into this line. This is a big showdown in the AFC West with the two teams coming in with identical 6-2 records. I've been high on the Raiders since the start of the season, but also cashed one of my biggest tickets of the campaign fading them against the Chiefs at home. I simply feel that we'll see the Broncos defense keep the Raiders explosive offense in check. Oakland is coming off back-to-back big performances offensively, but that was against the Jags and Bucs. They'll face a much different animal in this one. On the flip side, the Broncos offense is an underestimated unit right now as far as I'm concerned. Losing RB C.J. Anderson certainly hurt, but rookie QB Trevor Siemian has proven more than capable of carrying the load. Take Denver (10*). |
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11-06-16 | Jets v. Dolphins -4 | 23-27 | Push | 0 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. Many believe that the bye week came at the wrong time for the Dolphins as they came off consecutive wins. However, I have no faith in the Jets coming off back-to-back wins, and believe we'll see the Fins take care of business in this one. The Fins will be home for the fourth consecutive game here, and that shouldn't be discredited. Meanwhile, New York is off a hard-fought win in Cleveland last week - a game that easily could have gone either way. The Jets took both meetings in this series last season and have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in this series. That hasn't been lost on the oddsmakers. Miami has the personnel in place to take advantage of this matchup. Look for the Fins offense to once again break loose in this one. Take Miami (10*). |
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11-06-16 | Cowboys v. Browns +8.5 | Top | 35-10 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Dallas at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Browns plus the points over the Cowboys on Sunday. We missed the mark with the Browns last week at home against the Jets but I won't hesitate to back them again in this matchup. It won't be difficult for Cleveland to get up for this game, that's for sure. I like the fact that the Browns are settled at quarterback with Cody Kessler. I also like the fact that rookie WR Corey Coleman is back in the fold. The Cowboys are coming off a huge divisional win over the Eagles last Sunday night. It's letdown time in this spot. As much as I respect this Dallas squad, I don't believe they should be laying this many points in this spot. Cleveland remains winless on the season but I do believe this is a team that will earn a win this season. This could be the week. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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11-03-16 | Falcons -3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 43-28 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Tampa Bay at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the Falcons on Thursday night as they try to make it two wins in a row and avoid a series sweep at the hands of the Bucs this season. It's interesting to note that the SU winner is a perfect 7-0 ATS in all Falcons games this season, and an incredible 22-1 ATS going back to the start of last season. I believe the Falcons are the superior team here, and I'm confident supporting that trend for another week. A lot has changed for these two teams since the Bucs upset the Falcons in Atlanta back in Week 1. It's been an up and down campaign for Tampa Bay but with a win here it would pull itself back to the .500 mark and within one game of Atlanta in the NFC South standings. I'm just not sure the Bucs have the personnel on hand to accomplish that, however. Tampa Bay is down to its fourth-string at running back. Jacquizz Rodgers had done a nice job filling in for Doug Martin and Charles Sims over the last two games, but he won't be able to play on Thursday due to a foot injury. The lack of a consistent ground game will hamper Jameis Winston and the Bucs aerial attack, especially against a strong Falcons pass rush. Atlanta is dealing with its share of injuries as well, also at the RB position where it will be without its touchdown leader Tevin Coleman. In spite of that, I look for the Falcons to move the ball up and down the field, leaning heavily on RB Devonta Freeman and of course WR Julio Jones, who caught just three passes last week. The Falcons have battled on the road this season, going 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS. I believe they're on the cusp of being an elite team in the NFC and I look for them to take another step in the right direction on Thursday. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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10-31-16 | Vikings -4 v. Bears | 10-20 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Chicago at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the Vikings on Monday night. Minnesota is coming off a tough 21-10 road loss to the Eagles last week - its first setback of the season. The Vikes gift-wrapped that game for the Eagles with a number of key turnovers. I'm anticipating a much cleaner performance from them on Monday, however. Chicago has lost three straight games, including a 26-10 blowout loss in Green Bay last week. Things obviously won't get any easier here. The Bears defense employed a bend but don't break strategy against the Packers and held up well on the goal line but this is certainly a unit that can be exposed. Most probably don't believe the Vikes are built to put many points on the board in such a setting, but I'm confident they'll do just that in Chicago on Monday. The Vikes went 2-0 SU and ATS in two meetings with the Bears last season, including a 23-20 win here in Chicago. I believe this Minnesota squad is better than last year's edition and I'm confident it can stretch out the margin in this spot. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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10-30-16 | Eagles v. Cowboys -4.5 | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Philadelphia at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. The road team has owned this series, taking each of the last six meetings. I look for that trend to change on Sunday, however. The Eagles are coming off a big win over the Vikings last Sunday but that game was essentially gift-wrapped for them. Don't count on the Cowboys to be nearly as forgiving on Sunday. Dallas is coming off its bye week and certainly isn't without its share of controversy with QB Tony Romo returning to practice this week. I don't expect Romo's presence at practice to have an adverse effect on rookie Dak Prescott, however. In fact, I believe we'll see Prescott come out focused and eager to retain his starting job. Philadelphia hasn't performed well on the road this season, with its lone victory coming against a weak Bears squad. Eagles QB Carson Wentz has been mired in a bit of a slump lately and they don't have a ground game to speak of. I simply feel we'll see the Cowboys make the big plays down the stretch - on both sides of the football - and ultimately secure a win here. Take Dallas (10*). |
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10-30-16 | Jets v. Browns +3 | Top | 31-28 | Push | 0 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over New York at 1 pm et Sunday. The Jets are in complete disarray right now. So are the Browns, but at least expectations weren't all that high to begin with. I simply feel that Cleveland is in better position to get going from a standing start than New York is in this matchup. The Browns are 0-7 on the campaign but how many of those seven games could we have possibly expected them to win? I would say one - that being a home game against the Ravens in Week 2. Cleveland actually hung tough in that one, leading the game entering the fourth quarter, but ultimately fell five points short. Cleveland faced a highly-motivated Bengals squad on the road last week and got caught flat-footed, also losing its starting QB. Here, the Browns are expected to get a veteran presence back under center in Josh McCown. It's a start. The Jets are riddled with injuries right now and Ryan Fitzpatrick is set to take over the reins again at quarterback whether head coach Todd Bowles likes it or not. I believe the case can be made that the wrong team is being favored here. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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10-27-16 | Jaguars v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 22-36 | Win | 101 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
My selection is on Tennessee minus the points over Jacksonville at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Titans on Thursday night. This may not be the most intriguing matchup on paper but the fact is, it's a big one in the AFC South. The Jags are reeling right now. Or at least that's the way it seems if you listen to their fans or the media. The fact is, they had won consecutive games prior to dropping an ugly 33-16 decision at home against the Raiders last Sunday. But those wins weren't pretty. The first came in England against a wildly inconsistent Colts squad and the second came on the road in come-from-behind fashion versus an awful Bears team. The Titans have been an awful bet in recent years, and check into this one on a 1-4 ATS slide. They dropped a tough one at home against the Colts last Sunday but I believe the short week works in their favor here as they quickly look to make amends in another division game. The thing that has encouraged me about the Titans this season is that despite some inconsistency from QB Marcus Mariota, they have been putting points on the board. Note that they've scored at least 26 points in three straight games, seemingly getting better with each passing week after a slow start to the season. The Titans rarely win at home, let alone win by margin. But I believe this line could actually be higher, keeping in mind they'll be playing their third straight contest at home and were favored by 7.5 and 4 points against the Browns and Colts respectively the last two weeks. The Jaguars have a ton of pressure on their shoulders right now even if expectations are generally low in Jacksonville. Both head coach Gus Bradley and QB Blake Bortles are on the hot seat right now and another loss here likely results in some changes. I'm not sure we'll see them respond well to that pressure. At this point I just don't believe in the personnel they have on hand. The home team has won four straight meetings in this series. The Titans only managed to win by three at home against the Jags last year, but that was without any semblance of a ground game and what I believe was a weaker defense than they have now. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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10-24-16 | Texans v. Broncos -7.5 | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Houston at 8:30 pm et on on Monday. You would have to go all the way back to Week 17 in 2014 to find the last time the SU winner suffered an ATS loss in a game involving the Texans. So perhaps the question here is whether you believe the Texans can win this game outright, or do the Broncos bounce back from consecutive losses? I believe we'll see the latter. Houston rallied for a big division win at home against the Colts last Sunday - a game that easily could have gotten away from it. So the Texans should be confident entering this matchup but a tough challenge lies ahead to be sure. Keep in mind, the Texans have been terrible in two previous road games this season, getting blown out at New England and Minnesota. The Broncos got caught flat-footed on the road against an underrated Chargers squad last week. It was QB Trevor Siemian's first game back from injury and he looked out of sync with the offense at times. With that said, the Broncos were still in the game right to the final whistle. I expect to see a strong bounce-back performance from the Broncos offense on Monday night. The Texans haven't been the same team defensively since losing J.J. Watt - that shouldn't come as any surprise. To put it simply, they're not stopping anyone right now. I believe the Broncos have a better offense than most give them credit for. Look for that offense to come up with a few timely scores while the defense does its part as usual. Take Denver (10*). |
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10-23-16 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 6-6 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
NFL Sunday Night Game of the Month. My selection is on Arizona minus the points over Seattle at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Cardinals last Monday and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them as they host the Seahawks on Sunday night. Arizona got a solid return from QB Carson Palmer last time out, even if he was battling some conditioning issues after missing time due to a concussion. I expect a sharper performance from Palmer here, even against a tough defense in the Seahawks. Seattle was fortunate to keep its winning streak intact last week, pulling out a narrow 26-24 win over the Falcons. Keep in mind, during the Seahawks three-game winning streak, two wins have come against the likes of the 49ers and Jets - two of the league's worst teams. The Seahawks offense has got rolling lately but its largely been a product of the defenses it has faced. Here, it will face a much tougher challenge. The Cardinals got off to a rotten start this season but they've certainly rounded into form lately. On the heels of back-to-back wins they'll be looking to make a statement here. They can ill afford to fall back below the .500 mark at this stage of the season. The road team has won five of the last six meetings in this series and that's certainly been factored into this line. I simply feel that the Cards are well-equipped to handle a banged-up Seahawks team here. Take Arizona (10*). |
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10-23-16 | Saints v. Chiefs -5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday Afternoon ATS Rout. My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over New Orleans at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Chiefs again this week. We cashed one of our biggest plays of the season to date last week as the Chiefs rolled past the Raiders in Oakland. I look for them to keep rolling as they return home to host the Saints on Sunday. New Orleans is coming off back-to-back high-scoring victories. If the Saints are going to win this season, it's likely going to happen in those wild, high-scoring affairs. Their defense simply isn't good enough to win many slugfests. Here, I'm not sure we're in for one of those slugfests. With that being said, I still believe the Chiefs turn in another strong performance. Much has been made of the success of Andy Reid coached teams following the bye week. We saw that trend hold true last week but also worth noting is that in the last two years, the Chiefs have also delivered blowout victories in the week following that post-bye week success. Arrowhead Stadium is still a tough place for opponents and the road hasn't exactly been kind to the Saints in recent years. New Orleans did pull out a win in its most recent road game in San Diego (and we won with the Saints on that day), but that came in wild comeback fashion in a game the Chargers essentially gave away. The Chiefs have a big opportunity in front of them here, something that might have seem lost two games back when they were crushed by the Steelers in a primetime game in Pittsburgh. The Saints have been fun to watch over the last couple of weeks, but I believe they run into a tough defense here. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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10-17-16 | Jets v. Cardinals -7.5 | 3-28 | Win | 102 | 25 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona minus the points over New York at 8:30 pm et on Monday. We've kept a close eye on the Cardinals over the last couple of weeks, first losing with them at home against the Rams before backing them again in a blowout victory over the 49ers in San Francisco one week ago Thursday. I believe they're worthy of the lofty pointspread here and I'll back them against the reeling Jets on Monday night. Arizona did a lot of things well in last week's win. One thing it didn't do well, however, was throw the football. Drew Stanton was shaky, ultimately completing only 11-of-28 passes for 124 yards. They'll get a big upgrade at that position on Monday as Carson Palmer returns after suffering a concussion two weeks ago. The Jets are dealing with a number of key injuries right now and as much as I like the team as a whole, not to mention head coach Bowles, I simply can't back them here. Keep in mind, we did win with the Jets back in Week 2 when they turned in their best performance of the season in Buffalo. The Cards were embarrassed by their effort in their most recent home game - a 17-13 loss to the Rams two weeks ago. Look for them to make amends here, as they turn in one of their best performances of the season and roll past the Jets. Take Arizona (10*). |
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10-16-16 | Falcons v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
10* NFC Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Atlanta at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Seahawks on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta is off to a somewhat surprising 4-1 start to the season but I believe we'll see it run into a roadblock in this matchup. The Falcons have reeled off four straight wins since opening the season with a tough home loss to the division rival Bucs. Last week they took down the defending Super Bowl champion Broncos, on the road no less, but it's going to be tough for them to turn the trick again as they stay on the road to face the Seahawks. Seattle was dominant in back-to-back wins prior to its bye week. I don't think that bye week will send it off course, however. This is a team that was dealing with some nicks and bruises and should be in better shape coming off the bye. We've seen the Falcons play their best football already this season. I'm not sure we've seen Seattle's best, however. The Falcons will certainly draw their full attention this week and I'm confident Seattle will cover the reasonable pointspread thanks to a strong offensive showing. Take Seattle (10*). |
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10-16-16 | Chiefs -1 v. Raiders | Top | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
10* NFL AFC West Game of the Year. My selection is on Kansas City over Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Chiefs as they head into this critical early season division showdown off of their bye week. I've been high on the Raiders this season and we've kept a close eye on them to be sure, most recently cashing a ticket fading them with the Falcons back in Week 2. I won't hesitate to fade them again on Sunday as they come in off three consecutive wins. The Chiefs were flat out embarrassed in their last game, suffering a blowout loss in primetime against Pittsburgh on the road. Prior to that they had turned in their most complete performance of the young campaign as they rolled to a 24-3 home win over the Jets. Note that Kansas City has taken three straight meetings in this series. The last time Oakland defeated Kansas City it checked in as a 7.5-point home underdog back in 2014. We're not seeing anything comparable to that line here, and rightfully so as the Raiders have closed the gap between these two AFC West rivals. With that being said, the Chiefs are expected to get RB Jamaal Charles back on the field and I believe he gives the offense a much-needed boost. The defense needs no further motivation following that ugly loss in Pittsburgh. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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10-16-16 | Bengals v. Patriots -7 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
10* NFL Sunday Afternoon ATS Rout. My selection is on New England minus the points over Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Patriots on Sunday. The Bengals are in free-fall mode right now. The sky isn't exactly falling as they're just a win away from climbing back to the .500 mark, but they were thoroughly dominated in Dallas last Sunday and I certainly don't see this as an ideal bounce-back spot on the road against a fired up Patriots squad. New England cruised past Cleveland last week as Tom Brady returned to the field following his suspension. Obviously, the Pats are scary good on offense with the TE duo of Martellus Bennett and Rob Gronkowski essentially uncoverable. Add in breakout WR Chris Hogan and veteran Julian Edelman, not to mention a healthy stable of backs and this is a seriously tough offense to slow down, let alone stop. Defensively, I have faith in the Pats. They didn't turn in their best effort last Sunday against the Browns, but they were good enough to be sure. Bill Bellichick has made a career of taking away opponents' best weapons and that should be the case again this week as New England keys on A.J. Green. This has the makings of one of the week's most entertaining games, but I feel the Patriots will ultimately pull away as the game progresses. We're being asked to lay a reasonable number here. Take New England (10*). |
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10-10-16 | Bucs v. Panthers -5.5 | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
My selection is on Carolina minus the points over Tampa Bay at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll back the Panthers minus the points, even without Cam Newton on the field on Monday night. Both of these teams check in with 1-3 overall records but it's the Panthers that are better positioned to bounce back as far as I'm concerned. Derek Anderson will take over under center for an ailing Cam Newton and I'm confident that he can turn in a solid performance against a banged-up Bucs defense. It's not as if the cupboard is bare for the Panthers offensively with Newton on the sidelines. They still have a capable backfield and a loaded WR and TE corps. The Bucs got put in their place by a Broncos squad that perhaps isn't quite as dominant as they had appeared previously last week. Tampa's lone win this season came back in Week 1 when it delivered a near perfect offensive performance on the road against the Falcons. As much as I like the duo of QB Jameis Winston and WR Mike Evans, I don't have a lot of faith in the Bucs offense as a whole. Look for the Panthers aggressive defense to clamp down on Monday night. Carolina has run into a really tough schedule in the early going this season but catches a bit of a break here. Note that the Panthers are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS over the last six meetings in this series. Take Carolina (10*). |
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10-09-16 | Texans v. Vikings -6.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Houston at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Vikings aren't going to run the table this season and most are calling this a big early season showdown against the 3-1 Texans. But I'm not a believer in Houston and I don't expect the Vikings to suffer any sort of letdown here off a convincing Monday night win over the Giants. Houston managed to pull out a 27-20 win over Tennessee at home last Sunday, but that had more to do with Titans miscues than anything else. Remember, just two weeks ago the Texans were routed 27-0 in New England. The Vikings have it all working right now and while they may be undermanned offensively with WR Stefon Diggs not expected to play, this is still a team that can put points on the board on both sides of the football. Minnesota QB Sam Bradford has developed nice chemistry with his underrated receiving corps, not to mention TE Kyle Rudolph. Even with Adrian Peterson out of action, the ground game continues to churn along. I simply feel that one of these teams are for real while the other is a pretender so to speak. The Vikings have taken on a 'next man up' philosophy this season and I'm confident they'll remain undefeated on their home turf on Sunday. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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10-06-16 | Cardinals -3 v. 49ers | 33-21 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona minus the points over San Francisco at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. Even without Carson Palmer on the field, I believe the Cardinals will have enough to get past the 49ers on Thursday night. It's not surprising that a lot of bettors are down on the Cards without Palmer. But how much worse can things really get? Some had the Cards pegged a Super Bowl team or at the very least a playoff team this year. Yet, they're off to a miserable 1-3 start - that was with Palmer at the helm. Drew Stanton represents a downgrade at the position but he won't be asked to do too much for the Cards on Thursday night. This one should be all about the Arizona defense, which got punched in the mouth by the Rams last Sunday at home. The Cards took that loss personal and I'm confident they'll respond favorably here. The 49ers played about as well as could be expected but still fell at home against Dallas last week. They haven't looked like the same team since opening the campaign with a 28-0 blindside of Los Angeles. San Francisco hasn't caught any opponent with its guard down since that season-opening blowout win and that won't change here as the Cards will certainly be out to creep back toward the .500 mark. Take Arizona (8*). |
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10-02-16 | Saints +3.5 v. Chargers | 35-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over San Diego at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark with New Orleans on Monday night as it couldn't get nearly enough stops in an emotional loss against the Falcons. I won't hesitate to go back to the well here, however, as the Saints hit the road to face an injury-riddled Chargers squad. San Diego is coming off a tough loss in Indianapolis last Sunday (we won with the Colts in that game). The Chargers have held their own through three weeks but have only one victory to show for it. This certainly looks like a winnable game on paper as they welcome a winless Saints squad to town, but I don't expect a 'W' to come easy. The Saints are banged up, particularly on the defensive side of the football. But as I mentioned, the Chargers have been ravaged by injuries. They're in even rougher shape as far as I'm concerned. The Saints offense did keep it rolling against the Falcons on Monday, even with WR Willie Snead sidelined. There's a chance he'll be able to return on Sunday, but even if he can't I still like New Orleans' chances of lighting up the scoreboard. I'll back the more desperate team in this one. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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10-02-16 | Rams v. Cardinals -7.5 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
My selection is on Arizona minus the points over Los Angeles at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Cardinals as they aim to rebound following an ugly defeat in Buffalo last Sunday. The Rams are off to a somewhat surprising 2-1 start but I believe they're two-game winning streak ends here as they stay on the road for a second straight week, and travel back across the country following last Sunday's thrilling win in Tampa. L.A. has been getting it done with some smoke and mirrors as far as I'm concerned. QB Case Keenum completed only 14-of-26 passes in last week's 37-point outburst. RB Todd Gurley was held in check for the most part. It was WR Tavon Austin who was the star of that victory but now he's banged up with a shoulder injury. The Cardinals have been a real jekyll-and-hyde team so far this season. However, they did deliver a a 40-7 win over Tampa Bay the last time they played here at home. With this being their first division game of the campaign they'll certainly be eager to get back on track. Carson Palmer simply had an off day for the Cardinals last week. I fully expect to see him bounce back strong, helped by another big effort from RB David Johnson, on Sunday afternoon. The Cards defense will take care of the rest against a Rams offense that isn't nearly as good as it showed last week. Take Arizona (10*). |
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10-02-16 | Titans +4.5 v. Texans | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
My selection is on Tennessee plus the points over Houston at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Titans on Sunday. Two weeks ago we cashed a big ticket with the Titans as they upset the Lions in Detroit. Last week they were taken down a notch or two in a 17-10 home loss to the Raiders. Things won't get any easier here as they travel to face a Houston squad that will be eager to bounce back following a poor showing in New England last week. I believe the Titans will be up for the challenge. Considering the Texans have taken the last four meetings in this series the Titans will certainly have motivation on their side in this one. To put it simply, I don't like laying points with an unproven quarterback like Brock Osweiler. He got the big pay day in the offseason after proving very little taking over from an injured Peyton Manning for the Broncos last season. Now the Texans are up against it with J.J. Watt sidelined and Lamar Miller looking rather ineffective out of the backfield. I'll give Tennessee an excellent shot at the outright win here. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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09-26-16 | Falcons v. Saints -2.5 | Top | 45-32 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Atlanta at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the short number with the Saints on Monday night as they try to pick up their first victory of the season after back-to-back disappointing losses. I'm not as down on the Saints as some. Keep in mind, we cashed a 10* ticket with the Falcons in an underdog role in Oakland last week. I don't see this as nearly as favorable of a matchup, however. After seemingly scoring at will at home against the Raiders two weeks ago the Saints took a big step back last Sunday, struggling to put points on the board in an ugly loss to the Giants. I fully expect to see Drew Brees get back in rhythm on Monday night and lead his offense to a productive night. The Falcons have plenty of holes on both sides of the football. They do have a lot of upside as well but I'm not sure they have enough to outgun a desperate Saints squad on the road, in primetime no less, on Monday night. Keep in mind, the Saints swept this series a year ago. That included a 10-point victory here at the Superdome. I'm anticipating a similar result on Monday. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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09-25-16 | Chargers v. Colts -1.5 | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indianapolis minus the points over San Diego at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. Simply too many key injuries for the Chargers to overcome in this one. The Colts will be desperate, we know that. Indianapolis is coming off back-to-back losses to open the campaign although let's face it, last week it was up against it facing an elite squad in the Denver Broncos, on the road no less. The Colts got caught flat-footed in their home opener against Detroit but I don't expect that to be the case here. Indy will realize the importance of this contest and I fully expect to see it put forth its absolute best effort. San Diego already lost Keenan Allen for the season and now is forced to go forward without Danny Woodhead as well. I'm just not sure the Chargers defense is good enough to shoulder so much of the load when you consider the offensive will likely be hampered moving forward. The Chargers have taken the last three meetings in this series but these two teams haven't hooked up since 2013. Take Indianapolis (9*). |
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09-25-16 | Steelers v. Eagles +4 | Top | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over Pittsburgh at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. In a battle of 2-0 teams I'll back the Eagles at home on Sunday afternoon. I know that the Eagles have faced a light schedule so far, going up against the Browns and Bears. However, that victory in Chicago this past Monday was no gimme, noting that the oddsmakers listed the Bears as field goal favorites prior to that one. Here they'll face a tough test against an explosive Steelers offense, and defense that has been steadily improving. But I like the composure that Eagles rookie QB Carson Wentz has shown and I'm confident he can do enough to guide his squad to victory in this big matchup. Don't discredit the Eagles defense either. This unit has held its own so far this season and will be amped up for a matchup against the high-octane Steelers who have been getting plenty of hype. I don't believe there's much separating these two teams at all, certainly not enough to warrant the lofty pointspread. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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Sean Murphy NFL Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-03-17 | Browns v. Chargers -13.5 | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
12-03-17 | Chiefs -3 v. Jets | 31-38 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 56 m | Show | |
12-03-17 | Vikings v. Falcons -2.5 | 14-9 | Loss | -120 | 47 h 49 m | Show | |
11-26-17 | Panthers v. Jets +6 | 35-27 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
11-26-17 | Bears v. Eagles -14 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
11-23-17 | Chargers -2 v. Cowboys | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
11-23-17 | Vikings -2.5 v. Lions | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 35 m | Show |
11-19-17 | Eagles -5.5 v. Cowboys | 37-9 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
11-19-17 | Rams +2.5 v. Vikings | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
11-16-17 | Titans v. Steelers -7 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 23 h 0 m | Show | |
11-13-17 | Dolphins +10 v. Panthers | 21-45 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
11-12-17 | Vikings v. Redskins +1.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -104 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -2 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
11-05-17 | Bengals +6.5 v. Jaguars | 7-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants +5 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
10-29-17 | Texans v. Seahawks -6.5 | 38-41 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
10-29-17 | Falcons -6 v. Jets | 25-20 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
10-22-17 | Broncos -1 v. Chargers | 0-21 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
10-22-17 | Cowboys -6 v. 49ers | 40-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
10-22-17 | Saints v. Packers +4.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
10-15-17 | Chargers +4 v. Raiders | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
10-15-17 | Bears v. Ravens -6 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers -3 | 28-23 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
10-08-17 | Ravens +3 v. Raiders | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
10-08-17 | Jets v. Browns +1 | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
10-08-17 | Bills v. Bengals -3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs +6 | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
10-02-17 | Redskins +7 v. Chiefs | 20-29 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
10-01-17 | Giants +3 v. Bucs | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
10-01-17 | Eagles v. Chargers -1 | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 25 m | Show |
09-25-17 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Cardinals | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
09-24-17 | Raiders -3 v. Redskins | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
09-24-17 | Seahawks +3 v. Titans | 27-33 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
09-24-17 | Broncos -3 v. Bills | 16-26 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
09-24-17 | Saints v. Panthers -5.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
09-21-17 | Rams -2.5 v. 49ers | 41-39 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
09-18-17 | Lions +3 v. Giants | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
09-17-17 | Cowboys -2 v. Broncos | 17-42 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 37 m | Show | |
09-17-17 | Jets v. Raiders -13 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 43 h 18 m | Show |
09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 40 h 16 m | Show | |
09-17-17 | Patriots -6 v. Saints | 36-20 | Win | 100 | 40 h 14 m | Show | |
09-14-17 | Texans v. Bengals -6.5 | 13-9 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 35 m | Show | |
09-11-17 | Chargers +3 v. Broncos | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
09-11-17 | Saints v. Vikings -3 | Top | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
09-10-17 | Falcons -6 v. Bears | 23-17 | Push | 0 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
09-10-17 | Cardinals v. Lions +2.5 | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
09-10-17 | Raiders +3 v. Titans | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons +3 | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 48 m | Show | |
01-22-17 | Steelers +6 v. Patriots | 17-36 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
01-22-17 | Packers +5 v. Falcons | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 49 m | Show |
01-08-17 | Giants +6 v. Packers | 13-38 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
01-01-17 | Jaguars v. Colts -4 | 20-24 | Push | 0 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
01-01-17 | Cowboys v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
12-24-16 | Titans -4.5 v. Jaguars | 17-38 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
12-24-16 | Falcons -3 v. Panthers | Top | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show |
12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins -7 | 26-15 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
12-18-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | 16-3 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
12-18-16 | Steelers v. Bengals +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 51 m | Show | |
12-11-16 | Saints +2.5 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -100 | 77 h 20 m | Show |
12-11-16 | Steelers -2 v. Bills | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 74 h 59 m | Show |
12-05-16 | Colts v. Jets +2 | 41-10 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
12-04-16 | Redskins +2.5 v. Cardinals | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
12-04-16 | Chiefs +6 v. Falcons | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
12-04-16 | Eagles v. Bengals -1.5 | Top | 14-32 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
11-28-16 | Packers +4 v. Eagles | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
11-27-16 | Chiefs v. Broncos -3.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
11-27-16 | Cardinals v. Falcons -4 | Top | 19-38 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
11-24-16 | Vikings v. Lions -2.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 40 h 0 m | Show | |
11-21-16 | Texans v. Raiders -5.5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
11-20-16 | Packers v. Redskins -2.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 48 h 16 m | Show | |
11-20-16 | Steelers v. Browns +8 | Top | 24-9 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 59 m | Show |
11-13-16 | Seahawks v. Patriots -7.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
11-13-16 | Cowboys v. Steelers -2.5 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -113 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
11-13-16 | Falcons v. Eagles +1 | 15-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
11-07-16 | Bills v. Seahawks -7 | 25-31 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
11-06-16 | Broncos +1 v. Raiders | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
11-06-16 | Jets v. Dolphins -4 | 23-27 | Push | 0 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
11-06-16 | Cowboys v. Browns +8.5 | Top | 35-10 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
11-03-16 | Falcons -3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 43-28 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
10-31-16 | Vikings -4 v. Bears | 10-20 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
10-30-16 | Eagles v. Cowboys -4.5 | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
10-30-16 | Jets v. Browns +3 | Top | 31-28 | Push | 0 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
10-27-16 | Jaguars v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 22-36 | Win | 101 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
10-24-16 | Texans v. Broncos -7.5 | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
10-23-16 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 6-6 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
10-23-16 | Saints v. Chiefs -5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
10-17-16 | Jets v. Cardinals -7.5 | 3-28 | Win | 102 | 25 h 48 m | Show | |
10-16-16 | Falcons v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
10-16-16 | Chiefs -1 v. Raiders | Top | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
10-16-16 | Bengals v. Patriots -7 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
10-10-16 | Bucs v. Panthers -5.5 | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
10-09-16 | Texans v. Vikings -6.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
10-06-16 | Cardinals -3 v. 49ers | 33-21 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show | |
10-02-16 | Saints +3.5 v. Chargers | 35-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
10-02-16 | Rams v. Cardinals -7.5 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
10-02-16 | Titans +4.5 v. Texans | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
09-26-16 | Falcons v. Saints -2.5 | Top | 45-32 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
09-25-16 | Chargers v. Colts -1.5 | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
09-25-16 | Steelers v. Eagles +4 | Top | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |