Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 219.5 | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Denver and Portland at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in Game 1 of this series on Monday night but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'under' in Game 2 on Wednesday. Surprisingly enough, the Nuggets actually rank second-last in the playoffs in pace rating. Meanwhile, the Blazers sit middle of the pack in that department. We saw both teams shoot exceptionally well in the series opener but I'm confident both will make the necessary adjustments - the Blazers in particular, to keep things in check on Wednesday night. There's no question this has been a high-scoring series all season but now we're dealing with a number that matches the highest total we've seen in this matchup to date. I expect this to be a long, tightly-contested series, and with that in mind, I look for the defenses to settle in and play much better on Wednesday night. Take the under (10*). |
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04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219.5 | Top | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the 'under' in Game 1 of this series on Sunday afternoon but now I think we're seeing a major overreaction from the books as the total has dropped considerably in advance of Game 2 on Tuesday. The Celtics put up 112 points on Sunday despite getting to the free throw line only eight times, grabbing only three offensive rebounds and knocking down just 13 three-pointers. While they did shoot better than 54% from the field, I actually think there's still some room for improvement. As for the Bucks, they're the one-seed in the East for a reason. Their 35-9 home record is no fluke. They'll make the necessary adjustments and Giannis won't get locked down the way he did in the series opener. Keep in mind, this is a team that scored 119+ in all four games during their opening round sweep of the Pistons. They hung 120 points on the C's in a previous meeting this season. Take the over (10*). |
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04-29-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Denver at 10:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' as the Blazers and Nuggets open their series on Monday night in the Mile High City. Both of these teams opened last round with far lower-scoring games than expected but I look for a different story to unfold here. Keep in mind, the last meeting between these teams reached 223 points and saw a closing total of 219.5 back on April 7th. The Nuggets ended up finishing second-last in the league in pace rating in the opening round of the playoffs, but I fully expect to see that pace pick up against the Blazers. Note that Denver ranks third in the league in offensive rating during the postseason. While the Nuggets overall defensive numbers were fine against the Spurs, they rank just 11th in terms of defensive rating in the playoffs, two spots behind the Blazers first round opponent, the Oklahoma City Thunder. Take the over (10*). |
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04-28-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Milwaukee at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. While this certainly has the potential to turn into a track meet given all the offensive talent on the floor, I don't see it playing out that way in Sunday's series-opener. Both teams certainly held decisive edges in their first round series' and took full advantage of that winning in the minimum number of games, it is still worth pointing out that the Celtics and Bucks check in first and third respectively in the playoffs in defensive rating. While the Bucks are tops in terms of offensive rating, the Celtics actually sit just 12th (entering last night's action). I do feel that Boston's experience can pay off in this series and remember, the C's did an excellent job defensively against the Bucks in last year's thrilling seven-game series win, barely allowing them to get into the 100's on most nights. Needless to say, this series isn't going to be the cakewalk the Bucks experienced in the opening round. In the series-clincher, they got to the free throw line 41 times and shot better than 54% from the field. Different story here. Take the under (10*). |
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04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs OVER 208 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
NBA First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and San Antonio at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. Unlike the Jazz-Rockets series which hasn't really come all that close to approaching the total in most games, this series has been different. The two games played in San Antonio actually reached 226 and 220 points, well north of the number we're dealing with tonight. Game 5 totaled only 198 points, but that was with the two teams making good on just 25 free throw attempts and the Spurs shooting 7-of-24 from beyond the arc, a number they should be able to improve on back at home with their season on the line. We've seen the total drop a couple of points from the closing number in Game 5 but I don't believe the move is warranted. In previous years I would look to play the 'under' with inflated totals later in series' but that is no longer the case. Take the over (10*). |
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02-23-19 | Pistons v. Heat UNDER 206 | 119-96 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Miami at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' in South Beach on Saturday night. The Pistons continue to show out well across the board. Entering last night's action they ranked sixth in the NBA in defensive rating over their last 10 games. The Heat have actually been even better over that same stretch, ranking sixth in the league. Also playing in our favor is the fact that both of these teams rank in the bottom third in the league in terms of pace rating over their last 10 contests. This is a low total by today's NBA standards, but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the under (10*). |
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02-21-19 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 233 | 106-111 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. Oddly enough, the Rockets haven't been among the league leaders in pace over the last five games, ranking tied for 24th in the league in that department over that stretch. I'm not sure it matters here - I still like the 'over'. That's because the Rockets will be facing a disjointed Lakers defense that ranks 29th in the league in defensive rating over that same five-game stretch. Meanwhile, the Rockets rank third in the league in offensive rating over the last five contests. Given the short pointspread, the oddsmakers do think the Lakers can stay competitive in this game and I tend to agree. With that in mind, I'm anticipating a track meet at Staples Center on Thursday night. Take the over (10*). |
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02-17-19 | Team LeBron v. Team Giannis OVER 311 | 178-164 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Team Lebron and Team Giannis at 8 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'over' in the Rising Stars Game on Friday night and I see no reason not to go right back to the well with the same play in Sunday's All-Star Game. The premise is the same. The two teams are loaded with offensive talent, and in this age of the NBA, we can only anticipate a track meet. There's really no incentive to play much defense in this game. The NBA has become a true offensive showcase and this is the 'grand daddy of them all' so to speak. Expect the losing squad to find its way well into the 150's in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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02-15-19 | World v. USA OVER 290 | 144-161 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Team USA and The World in the NBA Rising Stars Game at 9 pm et on Friday. I believe this total should be set north of 300 points to be completely honest. Track meets have become the norm in this game over the years and the 2019 edition should be no different. Both squads are loaded with talent and perhaps more importantly, athleticism. Last year's game was actually relatively low-scoring, reaching just 279 points as Team USA turned in a disappointing effort. Guys like Kuzma, Mitchell and Tatum are back and should be highly motivated to make amends. Expect a competitive affair all the way, which lends itself to a high-scoring affair in this setting. Take the over (10*). |
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02-14-19 | Hornets v. Magic UNDER 216 | 89-127 | Push | 0 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Charlotte and Orlando at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Magic are red hot right now, having won six of their last seven games overall. However, off a perfect three-game homestand I can't help but think a letdown could be in order. Note that the Hornets actually rank 30th in the league in terms of pace over their last five games. The Magic on the other hand are in a tie for 10th in that department over the same time frame but again a letdown could be on the way here. What has been most impressive about the Magic's recent surge has been their defensive play. They rank third in the league in defensive rating over the last five games, sitting behind only the Pacers and Bucks. Both the Hornets and Magic do rank top 12 in terms of offensive rating over the last five games but both drop off considerably when you stretch that range out to the last 10 games. Take the under (10*). |
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02-13-19 | Nets v. Cavs UNDER 221 | 148-139 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Brooklyn and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in the Nets last game in Toronto on Monday night but I won't hesitate to switch gears here as Brooklyn makes the short trip to Cleveland to face the Cavs. While it's true the Nets rank number one in the league in pace rating over the last five games, the Cavs rank 27th and should be able to set the tempo to some extent here at home. While Brooklyn has been playing at a fast pace, its offensive efficiency has lagged as it ranks 26th in the league in that category over that same five-game stretch. The Cavs have been even worse in that regard, ranking 28th over that time frame. Both previous meetings between these two teams this season have easily stayed under the number we're working with tonight. Take the under (10*). |
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02-13-19 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 219.5 | 106-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Indiana at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. While the Bucks are known for their efficient, up-tempo offense, which has certainly busted out with some consistency recently, I believe the oddsmakers have this one priced right with the Pacers checking in as a small home underdog and anticipate a competitive affair all the way. I've been more impressed by both teams' defensive efficiency lately. In fact, over the last 10 games the Bucks rank first in the league in defensive rating while the Pacers check in ranked fourth. As I mentioned, the Bucks have been pushing the pace, ranked third in the league in pace over that same 10-game stretch but the Pacers are at home here, and should be able to impose their will to some extent and it's worth noting that they rank 25th in the league in pace over that same time frame. Indiana also ranks a less than impressive 21st in the league in offensive rating over that stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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02-12-19 | Lakers v. Hawks OVER 236 | 113-117 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. This may look like a high total at first glance, but I actually believe it could be even higher. The Lakers last two games have produced 257 and 263 total points. Meanwhile, the Hawks have given up 129 and 124 points over their last two games and have seen two of their last four contests total at least 249 total points. I just don't believe either of these teams will enter this game thinking they can do anything to slow the opposition. The Hawks are allowing opponents to shoot better than 48% from the field here at home this season. The Lakers have given up an average of over 128 points per game on 51% shooting over their last five contests. This shapes up as a track meet. Take the over (10*). |
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02-11-19 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 226.5 | 125-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Brooklyn and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Monday. The Nets have really picked up the pace lately, playing among the quickest tempos in the NBA in recent weeks. The Raptors on the other hand are coming off a relatively low-scoring affair against the Knicks at MSG on Saturday night - Marc Gasol's first game with his new team (he came off the bench playing only 18 minutes). I don't believe the Raps will shy away from pushing the pace here and they should get plenty of open looks against a sagging Nets defense. Until Gasol gets fully acclimated I do think the Raps will be somewhat vulnerable defensively. The last meeting between these two teams produced 227 total points back on January 11th. My simple angle here is that pace and offensive efficiency alone should get this one 'over' the total. Take the over (10*). |
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02-10-19 | Heat v. Warriors UNDER 222 | 118-120 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Golden State at 8:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' as the Warriors return home to host the Heat on Sunday night. Miami certainly isn't one of the league's elite offense teams, averaging right around 105 points per game this season. This isn't an ideal spot for the Heat as they play their third straight road game and face what will be a highly-motivated Warriors squad coming off a poor showing in Phoenix, albeit in a winning effort on Friday night. Keep in mind, none of the last four meetings in this series have eclipsed the total we're dealing with tonight. Take the under (10*). |
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02-09-19 | Hornets v. Hawks OVER 228.5 | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Charlotte and Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. The last two meetings between these two teams in Atlanta have gotten well into the 240's and I'm anticipating another 'defense-optional' affair on Saturday night. The Hornets are allowing just shy of 115 points per game on the road this season, yielding just under 48% shooting to the opposition. Meanwhile, the Hawks have been torched for around 118 points per contest at home, allowing opponents to shoot better than 48% from the field. Both teams are coming off poor showings, but both were also in tough situations with the Hornets playing the second of back-to-back nights and the Hawks returning home following a seven-game road trip. Take the over (10*). |
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02-05-19 | Magic v. Thunder UNDER 223 | 122-132 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Okahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. When these two teams met last week they combined to score a whopping 243 total points in a Thunder victory in Orlando. Perhaps the Magic were in an up-tempo mood after facing the likes of the Hawks, Wizards and Rockets in three of their four previous games heading into that one. Since then, we've seen back-to-back 'under' results from Orlando, moving their o/u mark to 23-30 on the season. The Thunder are back home following a three-game road trip out east that saw all three contests go 'over' the total (including that aforementioned win over the Magic). Orlando shoots below 44% as a team on the road this season and doesn't shoot particularly well from beyond the arc. The Thunder have held the opposition to 33.8% shooting from three-point range at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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02-03-19 | Clippers v. Raptors OVER 229.5 | 103-121 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Toronto at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. The Raptors have had plenty of time to stew over Thursday's double-digit home loss to the Bucks and I expect to see them come out guns' blazing on Sunday afternoon as they aim to jump all over a Clippers squad playing its second the second game of back-to-backs out east. With that being said, the Clips have generally been fast starters this season, averaging nearly 30 points in the first quarter (and the second as well). They rallied back from a big halftime deficit to defeat the Pistons in Auburn Hills yesterday afternoon and I don't expect them to back down as a double-digit underdog in Toronto on Sunday. The last time these two teams met back in December the Clippers didn't bring their 'A' game and ultimately fell by 24 points. Expect a more competitive affair this time around and I believe that lends itself to a high-scoring game. Take the over (10*). |
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02-01-19 | Rockets v. Nuggets OVER 227 | 122-136 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Denver at 10:05 pm et on Friday. The Rockets don't play a great deal of defense at the best of times and now they head out on the road to play at altitude on Friday night in Denver and I'm anticipating a track meet. There hasn't been much of a difference between the way the Rockets have played defensively on the road or at home this season, allowing opponents to shoot better than 47% from the field. Likewise, the Nuggets shoot 47% as a team here at home, where they average over 111 points per game. These two teams just met back on January 7th and the result was a 125-113 Rockets victory in Houston. I do expect the Nuggets to return the favor here but rather than lay the points, I'll play the 'over' as the Rockets should play with plenty of fire following an ugly home loss to the undermanned Pelicans on Tuesday. Take the over (10*). |
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01-03-19 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 226 | 135-134 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. None of the last six meetings in this series have even come close to sniffing the posted total we're working with on Thursday night, but I'm not one bit surprised we're dealing with such a high number. It's the nature of today's NBA, with totals regularly reaching into the 220's and 230's. The Rockets continue to roll along without Chris Paul among others, but look at who they've faced lately. Houston's current five-game winning streak has come at the expense of the Spurs, Thunder, Celtics, Pelicans and Grizzlies, with four of those games coming at home. Elite defensive squads are few and far between in that mix. Meanwhile, the Warriors exploded for 132 points last time out, but that was against the lowly Suns. The 'under' has actually cashed in three of their last four contests. Take the under (10*). |
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12-25-18 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 222.5 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 44 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Philadelphia and Boston at 5:35 pm et on Tuesday. This matchup was a bit of a dud on the opening night of the regular season as Boston cruised to a 105-87 victory, not coming anywhere close to eclipsing the posted total. Now we're dealing with a considerably higher total but is it warranted? I believe it is. Both teams bring excellent form to the table, at least from an offensive standpoint. The 76ers took full advantage of a Raptors squad that was missing Kawhi Leonard on Saturday night, scoring 126 points in an eventual blowout victory. Meanwhile, the Celtics 'got right' with a 119-103 win over the Hornets on Sunday. The 76ers didn't have Jimmy Butler the last time these two teams met. Look for a track meet on Christmas Day in Beantown. Take the over (10*). |
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11-28-18 | Spurs v. Wolves OVER 218 | Top | 89-128 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Minnesota on Wednesday night. The Spurs needed everything they had to get past the lowly Bulls by a single point in Chicago on Monday night. It did mark their seventh straight game scoring over 100 points and I don't think they'll have much trouble eclipsing that number again on Wednesday. Note that San Antonio has scored 117 and 112 points in two meetings with the T'Wolves since the start of 2018. Minnesota has seen the 'under' cash in seven straight games. While they have allowed just 96 and 95 points over their last two games, those contests came against the Cavs and Bulls - two of the league's weakest teams. They'll face a much tougher challenge here, although based on the pointspread being in their favor, I'm certainly anticipating a competitive game from start to finish, and that should lend itself to a high-scoring affair in this case. The first meeting between these two teams this season totaled 220 points. I'll call for more of the same here. Take the over (10*). |
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10-16-18 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 208.5 | 87-105 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Philadelphia and Boston at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'm anticipating a high-scoring, back-and-forth affair between the 76ers and Celtics as the NBA regular season tips off on Tuesday night at TD Garden. We saw a relatively high-scoring playoff series between these two teams last spring and there's little reason to expect any sort of shift here. The 76ers appeared to be in midseason form offensively during the preseason while the Celtics were able to get Gordon Hayward and Kyrie Irving loose as they work their way back from long-term injuries. The C's are thought of as the team to beat in the Eastern Conference and I'm confident we'll see them come out and push the envelope against one of their biggest threats in the 76ers. I don't believe that slowing things down and drawing out possessions is in either team's DNA. I feel this total could have been set higher, and would likely still consider the 'over'. Look for higher numbers in games involving these two teams in the coming weeks. Take the over (10*). |
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06-08-18 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 108-85 | Win | 100 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
NBA Finals Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Golden State and Cleveland at 9 pm et on Friday. The Warriors have had four previous series-clinching opportunities in these playoffs, going 3-1 straight-up in those games. For our purposes with this play, it’s worth noting that those games have averaged just 198.3 total points, with only one of those games surpassing the total we’re working with on Friday night. The Cavs played about as well as we could have expected in Game 3 of this series but could still only muster 102 points in a losing effort. They know they’re not coming back to win this series at this point, and I certainly don’t think they’re interested in getting involved in a track meet with the Warriors on Friday night. Meanwhile, after three games, and with Andre Iguodala back in the rotation, the Warriors should have a pretty good handle on how to contain the Cavs less-than-complex offense at this point. It’s really up to Golden State how it wants this game to play out and based on its track record in these playoffs, I look for it to lock down the Cleveland offense as it stares down an opportunity to wrap up this series rather than drag it out another few days. Steph Curry isn’t going to go 0-for-9 from three-point range again but I’m also not sure we’ll see Kevin Durant go off the way he did in Game 3. Cleveland made every effort to push the pace early in Game 3 and got off to a fantastic start in the first two minutes, but it wasn’t able to keep up that frantic tempo and certainly wasn’t effective getting back on defense while doing so. As I mentioned, the Cavs know they aren’t going to beat the Warriors at their own game. The last time the Warriors wrapped up an NBA title here on this floor in Cleveland back in 2016, they did so with a 105-97 victory in Game 6. I expect to see a similar story unfold on Friday night. Take the under (10*). |
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06-06-18 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 217 | 110-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Golden State and Cleveland at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. The first two games in this series have gone 'over' the total (we won with the over in Game 1 but missed with the under in Game 2) but I expect a different story to play out on Wednesday night at the Q. First of all, we have a catalyst for change in place here as the series shifts to Cleveland. It's also worth noting that the two teams are relatively well rested having had two off days following each of the first two games of the series. While the Warriors carry a reputation as being an offensive juggernaut and an 'over' machine for betting purposes, the fact is they've actually trended toward the 'under' with a 46-54-1 o/u mark this season and have only posted three or more consecutive 'over' results on two different occasions - with both of those streaks coming during the regular season. Last year's NBA Finals were high-scoring throughout, although the first game of that series did stay 'under' the total. In the last three Finals series' between these two teams we have yet to see the first three games all go 'over' the total. Take the under (10*). |
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06-03-18 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 215 | 103-122 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Golden State at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'over' in Game 1 of this series but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'under' in Game 2 on Sunday night. Both teams got off to blazing starts in the opener, and the result was a high-scoring opening quarter. But from there things did settle down and we saw some stretches of sloppy basketball - the type of basketball that has been fairly common in both teams' current playoff runs. I'm not sure we're going to see another peak Lebron effort in Game 2. But on the flip side, I also haven't loved what I've seen from the Warriors, who have looked far more disjointed than in previous playoff campaigns. Keep in mind, these two teams were involved in a game that reached only 191 total points in the regular season so the potential is there for a relatively low-scoring, physical affair. I expect to see that physicality ramp up in the second game of the series. Take the under (10*). |
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05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 214 | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Golden State at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. In last year's Finals opener we saw the lowest scoring game of the series, reaching just 204 total points. In fact, that was the only 'under' result in the series as the next four games flew 'over' the number. I expect a different story to unfold here in the 2018 Finals. The Warriors won't be afforded the luxury of having the Cavs missing over and over again from three-point range the way the Rockets did last round. While the Cavs are likely going to be missing Kevin Love once again, they won't be missing arguably their most important player the way the Rockets were at the end of the Western Finals either. With all of that said, I don't think we'll see the Cavs offer much resistance defensively. The Celtics seemed to bail the Cavs out last round, particularly in Game 7 of that series as they displayed some poor shot selection and couldn't really get into any sort of offensive groove. Here, I'm confident the Warriors will be on the attack for 48 minutes and find plenty of success against a vulnerable Cavs defense. The last time these two teams met in January we saw a closing total of 233.5. We're obviously working with a much different number here and that has everything to do with the Warriors 1-9 o/u record over their last 10 games. That has little bearing in the opener of this series though. Take the over (10*). |
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05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 208.5 | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Golden State and Houston at 9:05 pm et on Monday. We saw a very low-scoring game between the Cavs and Celtics last night (we won with the 'under') and while I don't expect that type of slugfest here in Game 7 of the Western Finals, I am confident this contest will stay 'under' the posted total. We've seen the totals drop drastically over the course of this series, but it's been warranted in my opinion. Even in Game 6, when the two teams took turns going on monster runs, the game still stayed comfortably 'under' the number. I certainly expect some pushback from the Rockets here after they were run out of the gym on Saturday night. But I'm not convinced Houston's offense can figure things out, clearly mired in a major shooting slump, particularly from beyond the arc, in this series. Whether Chris Paul is able to play or not, I'm not anticipating a track meet between these two teams who are obviously extremely familiar with one another at this point. Take the under (10*). |
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05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 200 | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Boston at 8:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in Game 7 between the Cavs and Celtics on Sunday night. It's certainly worth noting that the 'under' has gone 3-0 in three games in Boston in this series while the 'over' has cashed in two of three games in Cleveland. The Cavs actually took a step back in Game 6, putting up 109 points after scoring 116 and 111 points in Games 3 and 4 in Cleveland. Lebron James turned in one of the biggest performances of his career in Game 6 but he'll have a tough time replicating that feat in Boston, where the Celtics have done a good job defending him in this series. While the Celtics have enjoyed plenty of success in this series, particularly at home, this is still a young team hosting a squad of seasoned veterans with a spot in the NBA Finals on the line - I do think we'll see them display some nerves, at least early in this contest. This is the lowest total we've seen in this series so far, but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the under (10*). |
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Sean Murphy NBA Totals Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 219.5 | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219.5 | Top | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
04-29-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
04-28-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs OVER 208 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
02-23-19 | Pistons v. Heat UNDER 206 | 119-96 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
02-21-19 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 233 | 106-111 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
02-17-19 | Team LeBron v. Team Giannis OVER 311 | 178-164 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
02-15-19 | World v. USA OVER 290 | 144-161 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
02-14-19 | Hornets v. Magic UNDER 216 | 89-127 | Push | 0 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
02-13-19 | Nets v. Cavs UNDER 221 | 148-139 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
02-13-19 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 219.5 | 106-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
02-12-19 | Lakers v. Hawks OVER 236 | 113-117 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
02-11-19 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 226.5 | 125-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
02-10-19 | Heat v. Warriors UNDER 222 | 118-120 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
02-09-19 | Hornets v. Hawks OVER 228.5 | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
02-05-19 | Magic v. Thunder UNDER 223 | 122-132 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
02-03-19 | Clippers v. Raptors OVER 229.5 | 103-121 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
02-01-19 | Rockets v. Nuggets OVER 227 | 122-136 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
01-03-19 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 226 | 135-134 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
12-25-18 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 222.5 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 44 h 16 m | Show | |
11-28-18 | Spurs v. Wolves OVER 218 | Top | 89-128 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
10-16-18 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 208.5 | 87-105 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
06-08-18 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 108-85 | Win | 100 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
06-06-18 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 217 | 110-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
06-03-18 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 215 | 103-122 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 214 | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 208.5 | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 200 | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show |