Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-04-23 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame OVER 148.5 | Top | 81-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
ACC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Wake Forest and Notre Dame at 1 pm et on Saturday. Wake Forest has incredibly seen each of its last 12 games go 'over' the total and I expect that streak to last for at least one more game as the Demon Deacons head to South Bend to face the Irish on Saturday afternoon. Notre Dame has actually posted six consecutive 'over' results itself. The Irish check in ranked a miserable 287th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom. Facing a Wake Forest squad that ranks 27th in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency and 93rd in adjusted tempo, not to mention the fact it is coming off four straight losses, doesn't figure to help Notre Dame's cause here. The Irish don't play at a particularly fast pace, but I expect their hand to be forced on Saturday, likely playing from behind for a considerable portion of this contest as a home underdog. You would have to go back 10 games to find the last time Notre Dame limited an opponent to fewer than 25 made field goals. Meanwhile, Wake Forest has gotten off 60 or more field goal attempts in three of its last five contests. It simply didn't make the most of its scoring opportunities last time out against Duke, shooting a miserable 24-of-64 from the field (but still scoring 73 points). I expect it to snap right back here. The Irish have put up more than 70 points in four straight home games though and could be catching the Demon Deacons defense at the right time. In fact, Wake has been a completely different defensive team compared to the first month of the season, yielding 27 or more made field goals in 10 of its last 14 games. Take the over (10*). |
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02-03-23 | Blazers v. Wizards -4 | Top | 124-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington minus the points over Portland at 7:10 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams enter this game red hot ATS, although in the case of the Blazers, getting over the hump in that regard has proven difficult. They're coming off consecutive ATS victories (and four in their last five games) but haven't reeled off three straight ATS wins since December 10th to 14th. In that case, the third ATS win came in a rout of the lowly Spurs. The Wizards check in riding a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS streak. Impressively, the last four wins came on the road. They won by 21 points last time out in San Antonio and that's notable as they've gone 24-11 ATS when coming off a double-digit win over the last three seasons. Note that Washington has held seven of its last nine opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals. While that's not all that impressive on the face of it, keep in mind, seven of those nine opponents got off 90 or more field goal attempts. Here, the Wizards are unlikely to face such a shooting barrage as the Blazers have hoisted up fewer than 90 FG attempts in 11 of their last 12 contests. On the flip side, Portland has proven extremely vulnerable defensively, allowing 11 straight opponents to knock down more than 40 field goals. Not only that but they've had no success (or interest) in slowing their opponents' pace, yielding 90 or more FG attempts in four of their last five contests. While these non-conference matchups sometimes leave teams feeling a little flat, I don't think that will be the case for the Wizards, not after they dropped both meetings in this series last season, including a home loss where they were favored by seven points. Look for revenge-minded Washington to gets its payback here. Take Washington (10*). |
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02-03-23 | Cornell v. Princeton OVER 157 | Top | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
Ivy League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Cornell and Princeton at 7 pm et on Friday. I've been waiting for this rematch since Cornell and Princeton combined to score 'only' 143 points in the first meeting of the season back on January 7th. We cashed one of our bigger plays of the season last year with the 'over' in a game between the Big Red and Tigers with that contest totalling 171 points almost a year to the day, on February 4th, 2022. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Note that the first meeting this season was played in Cornell's home gym. That's notable as Princeton plays considerably faster here at home, where it averages two more field goal attempts per game compared to its season average while also giving up three additional FG attempts per contest (also compared to its season average). Cornell figures to take advantage as it is quietly on an incredible shooting run, having knocked down 31, 30 and 32 field goals over its last three contests. Unfortunately, the Big Red have also been very forgiving defensively, yielding 30, 28, 32 and 27 made field goals over their last four games. Princeton got off 62 field goal attempts last time out against Harvard, but could only knock down 26 of them. I certainly expect it to bounce back in that regard here. Like Cornell, Princeton has struggled to contain opposing offenses, allowing 24, 28, 21, 34 and 35 made field goals over its last five contests. Take the over (10*). |
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02-02-23 | California v. Colorado -15.5 | Top | 46-59 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
Pac-12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Colorado minus the points over California at 10 pm et on Thursday. This is a big revenge spot for Colorado after it was stunned by an 80-76 score against California in the teams' first meeting this season. The Buffaloes enter this contest on the heels of back-to-back losses and defeats in five of their last six games overall, both SU and ATS. I think we'll see a 'sling-shot' effect from the Colorado offense here after it got off 65 and 60 field goal attempts but could only muster a combined 45 made field goals in a pair of games at Oregon and Oregon State last week. Here, the Buffaloes figure to 'get right' against a putrid Cal defense (it ranks 236th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom) that has allowed 27, 31, 27 and 28 made field goals over its last four games - despite holding three of those four opponents to 55 or fewer field goal attempts. On the flip side, Colorado ranks top-20 in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency, not to mention the fact it rates out 55th in adjusted tempo (also according to KenPom). I'm not convinced there will be enough scoring opportunities for the Bears to keep this one within reach. They rank a miserable 356th in the nation in adjusted tempo. Colorado has smothered opposing offenses, holding those opponents to 50, 51, 53 and 47 field goal attempts over its last four contests. Take Colorado (10*). |
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02-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets OVER 232.5 | Top | 117-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Denver at 9:10 pm et on Thursday. There's little chance we see the likes of Klay Thompson, Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins in this game and that leads to the total sitting in a very reasonable range. Remember, the last time the Warriors rested their stars, they still scored 120 points in an upset win over a good Cavs team in Cleveland earlier this month. There's a good chance we see the Nuggets offense absolutely go off in this one. Denver is in fine form offensively after knocking down 44 and 43 field goals over its last two games, scoring 119 and 122 points in the process. Keep in mind, those were relatively slow-paced affairs. Here, the Nuggets will face a Warriors squad that has allowed 101, 93 and 95 field goal attempts in regulation time over their last three games. Incredibly, nine straight Golden State opponents have knocked down at least 42 field goals in regulation time. You would have to go back 16 games, all the way to December 28th, to find the last time the Warriors held an opponent to fewer than 40 made field goals. As I mentioned, Golden State is likely to give a number of its key contributors the night off, probably not the worst thing after Thompson and Curry combined to shoot 11-for-34 in last night's overtime loss in Minnesota (we won with the Timberwolves in that game). That game did manage to stay 'under' the total, which is notable as the Warriors haven't posted consecutive 'under' results since a four-game streak from December 25th to 30th. Take the over (10*). |
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02-01-23 | Warriors v. Wolves +3.5 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Golden State at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the revenge-minded T'Wolves on Wednesday as they look to get back at the Warriors after dropping the first meeting of the season by 23 points back in late November. Minnesota checks in off a loss in the second game of a two-game set with the Kings. Sacramento made the necessary adjustments after dropping the opener, knocking down a whopping 47 field goals in a 118-111 win on Monday. Prior to that, the T'Wolves had held three consecutive opponents to 38 or fewer made field goals. On the flip side, Minnesota enters this game having knocked down 40 or more field goals in five straight and 11 of its last 12 games overall. It's a similar story for Golden State offensively, but at the other end of the floor, it has struggled. The Warriors have yielded 42 or more made field goals in eight straight games and 40+ in 14 consecutive contests. Here, we'll note that Golden State is just 17-30 ATS when playing on the road off a win over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 3.4 points in that situation. Take Minnesota (8*). |
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02-01-23 | Penn State +10.5 v. Purdue | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Penn State plus the points over Purdue at 6:30 pm et on Wednesday. While Purdue is obviously the superior team in this matchup, I'm not convinced there's as much separating the two squads as indicated by the inflated pointspread. The Boilermakers beat the Nittany Lions by 13 points in their first meeting back in early January. Purdue shot the lights out in that game while Penn State couldn't make the most of its whopping 62 field goal attempts, knocking down only 26 of them. Since yielding 31 made field goals in that defeat, the Nittany Lions have held their last five opponents to 26, 23, 23, 23 and 25 made field goals. While some might believe Penn State is in for a letdown here off a 22-point rout of Michigan last time out, I don't see it. Keep in mind, the Nittany Lions are just one game removed from a 20-point setback at the hands of Rutgers. This certainly isn't the time for Penn State to get complacent. Purdue is coming off a win and cover against Michigan State but remains just 9-11 ATS in lined contests this season. The Boilers 29 made field goals in that win over the Spartans represented a high-water mark in that department over their last six games. You would have to go back 14 games to find the last time Purdue got off 60 or more field goal attempts in a game - a big reason why it seems to have trouble covering these lofty pointspreads. Take Penn State (8*). |
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01-31-23 | Kansas State v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Week. My selection is on Kansas minus the points over Kansas State at 8 pm et on Tuesday. Kansas State outlasted Kansas in a thriller in Manhattan back on January 17th - an upset that wasn't really an upset. Here, I look for the Jayhawks to exact their revenge as they look to build off a solid 77-68 win over Kentucky. Getting out of the Big 12 for a game was probably a welcome relief for Kansas after it had dropped three straight games SU and five in a row ATS. The Jayhawks got back to a winning formula in that contest, holding the Wildcats to just 51 field goal attempts. I look for them to frustrate the Kansas State offense on Tuesday as well, noting that the Wildcats have touched 25 made field goals just once in three games since reaching that mark in that January 17th win over the Jayhawks. On the occasion where they did they still fell by four points on the road against Iowa State. The Wildcats are coming off a 14-point win over Florida on Saturday. They were fortunate that the Gators couldn't make the most of their scoring opportunities, knocking down only 18 field goals in the defeat. Kansas State isn't likely to be so fortunate here, noting that Kansas connected on an impressive 31 field goals in Saturday's win and averages 29-of-61 shooting here at home this season. While Kansas State has been the far better bet this season - one of the best in the nation in that regard in fact - it has also faced the 39th toughest schedule according to KenPom. Contrast that with Kansas - no team has faced a more difficult slate of opponents than the Jayhawks based on the same metrics. The last time these two in-state rivals met on this floor, the Jayhawks won by 19. In fact, you would have to go back to 2018 to find the last time the Wildcats kept it to a single-digit losing margin on the road against Kansas. Take Kansas (10*). |
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01-31-23 | Heat v. Cavs -5 | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland minus the points over Miami at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Heat were playing with a thin margin for error during their recent three-game winning streak. They got off a combined 38 more field goal attempts than the opposition over that stretch, yet still only won those three contests by a grand total of 12 points. Perhaps not surprisingly, they got caught by the Hornets on Sunday, still getting off 10 more field goal attempts than Charlotte but falling by five points. Now Miami, with its woeful 19-30-2 ATS record, heads to Cleveland to face a Cavs squad that just welcomed back Donovan Mitchell and rolled to a 122-99 win over the Clippers last time out. Cleveland has now scored 100 points or more in 13 straight games which is an accomplishment when you consider the fairly deliberate pace they tend to play at. The Cavs have knocked down 40 or more field goals in six of their last seven games despite hoisting up 88 or fewer field goal attempts in all seven of those contests. On the flip side, few teams do it better defensively, with Cleveland having limited five straight opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. The Heat can of course play some elite defense as well, I'm just not convinced their offense will be along for the ride on Tuesday. Here, we'll note that the Cavs are 27-14 ATS when coming off a double-digit win over the last two seasons. Better still, they're 18-7 ATS when following up a double-digit home victory, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 6.8 points in that situation. Take Cleveland (8*). |
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01-30-23 | Magic +10.5 v. 76ers | 119-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Philadelphia at 7:10 pm et on Monday. We won with the Magic on Friday in Miami and then got the result we wanted in a lopsided loss to the Bulls on Saturday, setting Orlando up as a significant underdog against the red hot 76ers on Monday. The Magic had a tough night at the office against the Bulls on Saturday, not all that surprising as they were in a back-to-back and three-in-four situation and it showed as they allowed Chicago to knock down 48-of-81 field goal attempts. Here, I'm confident we'll see Orlando rebound, noting that it remains a terrific 7-2 ATS over its last nine games. Philadelphia has reeled off seven straight wins, however, I do think it could prove difficult to get up for this Monday night affair, noting that it has won 10 straight matchups in this series. The 76ers have incredibly shot better than 50% from the field in six straight games. That's masked the fact that they've struggled to contain opposing offenses, allowing 43 or more made field goals in six of their last eight contests, despite seven of those opponents getting off 87 or fewer field goal attempts. Take Orlando (8*). |
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01-30-23 | Virginia v. Syracuse +5.5 | Top | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Week. My selection is on Syracuse plus the points over Virginia at 7 pm et on Monday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Syracuse on Monday as it hosts Virginia - which has suddenly vaulted itself into the national title conversation on the heels of six straight wins. Here, I can't help but feel the Cavaliers are in for a letdown after matching a season-high with 30 made field goals in Saturday's rout of Boston College. Of note, Virginia also matched a season-low in ACC play by limiting the Eagles to only 20 made field goals. It figures to face a tougher test on Monday as Syracuse looks to bounce back from consecutive losses. The Orange had impressively knocked down 30, 28, 29, 31, 29 and 23 field goals over its previous six games before shooting just 23-of-49 from the field against Virginia Tech on Saturday. Syracuse allowed the Hokies to make good on 32 field goals in that contest - a season-high allowed from the Orange. Here, we'll note that Virginia is 12-23 ATS after giving up 60 points or less in its previous game over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by just 1.6 points on average in that situation. The Cavaliers are also a miserable 3-11 ATS after winning their previous contest by 15 points or more, outscored by an average of 1.1 points in that spot. The Orange were right there with the Cavaliers for 40 minutes in their first meeting this season. I'm confident this one will go down to the wire at the very least. Take Syracuse (10*). |
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01-29-23 | Pelicans v. Bucks UNDER 235 | 110-135 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New Orleans and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Sunday. The Pelicans enter this game on the heels of four consecutive 'under' results, not to mention seven straight losses. Based on the way they're playing right now, I think it's tough for any of their games to get well into the 230's. Note that New Orleans has held five straight opponents to 88 or fewer field goal attempts. You would have to go back six games to find the last time one of its opponents knocked down more than 40 field goals as well. The Bucks shot the lights out against Indiana on Friday, not surprising as the Pacers are down bad with stopper Tyrese Haliburton out of the lineup. Milwaukee has gotten into the 90's in terms of field goal attempts three times in its last eight games. Two of those games came against the aforementioned Pacers and the other was against the Pistons. Here, I expect the Pelicans to offer more resistance at the very least. From an offensive standpoint, New Orleans has been held to fewer than 40 made field goals in four straight and six of its last seven games overall. They've gotten more than 90 field goal attempts only twice in their last nine contests and scored just 110 and 103 points in those two affairs. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is a perfect 8-0 with the Pelicans playing on the road off three or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of just 203.8 points in that situation. Take the under (8*). |
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01-29-23 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Bucks | 110-135 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Sunday. These teams are clearly heading in opposite directions right now with the Pelicans having lost seven games in a row and the Bucks having won five of their last six contests. With that being said, I expect New Orleans to give Milwaukee a run on Sunday night. Based on the way the Pelicans are playing right now, it's not easy to beat them by a considerable margin. Three of their last four losses have come by single-digits while the other came by 10 points (last night against Washington - a game where Jonas Valanciunas was ejected early). New Orleans has held five straight opponents to 88 or fewer field goal attempts. You would have to go back six games to find the last time one of its opponents made good on more than 40 field goals. Offensively, the Pelicans have sputtered, still missing Zion Williamson while Brandon Ingram is being eased back from injury. They should at least be given plenty of opportunities here, as the Bucks have allowed 14 of their last 16 opponents to get off at least 87 FG attempts. All told, Milwaukee has covered the spread in four of its last eight games overall. Of those ATS wins, only two came by more than 10 points. Also note that they shot the lights out in all four spread-covering victories (52% or better from the field). I think we see the Pelicans offer some resistance here. Take New Orleans (8*). |
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01-28-23 | Nuggets v. 76ers UNDER 231.5 | 119-126 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Denver and Philadelphia at 3:10 pm et on Saturday. The 76ers have been on an incredible run of 'over' results over the last month-plus but I'm not sure it's sustainable. Note that Philadelphia has now held five straight opponents to 87 or fewer field goal attempts. Last time out, the 76ers limited the Nets to only 76 field goal attempts but Brooklyn shot the lights out and the result was a game that totalled a ridiculous 270 points. Philadelphia is just one game removed from knocking down 49 field goals in a win over the defensively-challenged Kings in Sacramento. Apart from that, the Sixers have been held to 43 or fewer made field goals in six of their last seven games and 40 or less on three occasions over that stretch. The Nuggets have reeled off three straight 'under' results, most recently resting a number of starters in a tight game in Milwaukee. Denver has now held eight consecutive opponents to fewer than 90 field goal attempts. You would have to go back five games to find the last time the Nuggets allowed an opponent to knock down more than 40 field goals. On the flip side, Denver is suddenly laboring offensively, making good on just 36, 39 and 38 field goals over its last three contests. The Nuggets did hoist up 97 FG attempts in that loss in Milwaukee on Wednesday but that was largely due to the fact they were missing the production of Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, forcing them to push the pace in an effort to keep up with the Bucks. That marked the first time in nine games Denver had gotten off 90+ FG attempts. Take the under (8*). |
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01-28-23 | Alabama v. Oklahoma +6.5 | 69-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma plus the points over Alabama at 2 pm et on Saturday. We missed with Oklahoma at home against Baylor last Saturday as it led most of the way before coughing it up late in a two-point loss. From there, the Sooners seemingly suffered a bit of a hangover three nights later as they were blasted on the road against a good TCU team. Here, back home against an SEC opponent in Alabama, I look for Oklahoma to bounce back. The opportunities have been there for the Sooners, they simply haven't been taking advantage. Note that they've hoisted up 56, 57 and 64 field goal attempts in their last three games and should be afforded plenty of opportunities against an up-tempo Alabama squad here as well. While the Crimson Tide have faced the fourth most difficult schedule in the nation this season according to KenPom, the Sooners aren't far behind at sixth. Here, we'll note that Oklahoma is 8-1 ATS when coming off three ATS losses in its last four games over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 6.3 points in that situation. Meanwhile, Alabama is a woeful 1-9 ATS when coming off eight or more consecutive victories, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by just 2.6 points on average in that spot. I look for this one to go down to the wire at the very least. Take Oklahoma (8*). |
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01-28-23 | Texas Tech v. LSU OVER 132 | Top | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Texas Tech and LSU at 2 pm et on Saturday. We'll go the contrarian route with this play as LSU checks in off a deplorable 14-made field goal performance in a 60-40 loss to Arkansas last time out while Texas Tech reaches Baton Rouge off consecutive 'under' results. I wouldn't categorize either of these defenses as elite, or anything remotely close. Yet the Red Raiders have held their last two opponents to just 20 and 19 made field goals. Keep in mind, they still lost both of those games by double-digits, allowing 68 and 76 points against Kansas State and West Virginia, respectively. After facing a very difficult slate of opponents in SEC play, the Tigers will likely be happy to face a Big 12 opponent in Texas Tech on Saturday. While LSU's offense has been a big part of the problem lately, it has also allowed its last four opponents to knock down 35, 26, 29 and 23 field goals. The pace has been there but Texas Tech just hasn't been able to make its shots lately, noting that it is just one game removed from hoisting up a whopping 71 field goal attempts against Kansas State. Here, I do expect the Red Raiders to put it together offensively and help this one sail 'over' the reasonably low total. Finally, I'll note that these two teams produced 147 total points (with a closing total of 143.5) the last time they met in 2021. Take the over (10*). |
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01-27-23 | Magic +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Miami at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Heat enter this game off consecutive wins but both of those games could have gone either way as they beat the Pelicans by four and the Celtics by three. I can't help but feel they're in for a letdown off the big win over the Celtics on Tuesday (they were without Jimmy Butler in that game). The pace alone in Miami's recent contests makes grabbing a generous helping of points an attractive proposition. The Heat's last three games have seen a total of 149, 158 and 168 field goal attempts. Miami checks in having knocked down 33, 35 and 34 field goals over that stretch. In stark contrast, Orlando is as healthy as it has been all season and it shows - at least offensively. The Magic have made good on 40 or more field goals in eight of their last nine games - the lone outlier came in a contest where they still scored 123 points in a double-digit win over New Orleans. Yes, Orlando has gone an ugly 6-17 SU on the road this season but it is a far more respectable 11-11-1 ATS. Compare that with the Heat, who are 16-9 SU but just 8-15-2 ATS on their home floor. When you break down the numbers, the Heat actually don't hold much of an advantage at all in this matchup. Orlando has knocked down one less field goal per game on the road compared to Miami at home, but has done so on two fewer field goal attempts on average. At the other end of the floor, the Magic yield two more made field goals per game on the road compared to the Heat at home, but do so on four additional FG attempts given up per contest. Finally, we'll note that the Heat are a woeful 4-14 ATS when coming off an ATS victory this season, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 3.8 points in that situation. They're also just 5-15 ATS when following up consecutive home wins over the last two seasons, outscored by 1.5 points on average in that spot. Take Orlando (10*). |
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01-26-23 | UCLA v. USC OVER 130 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between UCLA and USC at 9 pm et on Thursday. The first meeting between these Los Angeles rivals resulted in a low-scoring 60-58 UCLA victory back on January 5th. I expect a higher-scoring affair in Thursday's rematch as we're dealing with a reasonably low total, largely due to the recent run of 'unders' both teams have been on. It's only a matter of time before the Bruins enjoy an offensive explosion in my opinion. I believe we might just see that 'slingshot' effect in this matchup on Thursday. Note that UCLA has gotten off 60 or more field goal attempts in three of its last four games. Here, it faces a vulnerable USC defense that has had little success (or interest) in slowing its opponents' pace, yielding 24 or more made field goals in four of its last six games and 58 or more field goal attempts in five straight contests. On the flip side, the Trojans can shoot. They've incredible knocked down 24 or more field goals in 11 straight games. The Bruins are one of the best defensive teams in the nation without question but here, against a revenge-minded Trojans squad, I expect them to have their hands full. Take the over (8*). |
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01-26-23 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 221 | 113-95 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Cleveland and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. The Rockets were involved in a relatively low-scoring game against the Wizards last night. Regardless whether Donovan Mitchell is able to go for the Cavaliers (he re-injured his groin on Tuesday in New York) I still expect Cleveland to go off offensively in this one. The Rockets were fortunate the Wizards couldn’t make the most of their scoring opportunities last night or the result would have been far more lopsided. Houston allowed a whopping 98 field goal attempts in that contest. The Rockets have allowed four of their last five opponents to get off 91 or more field goal attempts. Meanwhile, Cleveland has hoisted up 87 or fewer FG attempts in four straight games. In spite of that it has knocked down 40 or more field goals in each of those four contests. Defensively, the Cavs are terrific but they do face a Rockets squad that has made good on 42 or more field goals in four of its last five games. I do think we see Cleveland suffer a bit of a letdown defensively here after going against Memphis, Golden State, Milwaukee and New York in consecutive games. Take the over (8*). |
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01-25-23 | Louisville v. Boston College OVER 133.5 | Top | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
ACC Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Louisville and Boston College at 9 pm et on Wednesday. I like the way this one sets up as a higher-scoring affair than most are expecting on Wednesday night in Chestnut Hill. Louisville is of course mired in a down season having lost 17 of 19 games overall and eight in a row entering Wednesday's contest. We had actually seen a bit of a spark from the Cardinals offensively for a stretch prior to getting held down by a pair of tough opponents in North Carolina and Pittsburgh in their last two games. I'm confident we'll see them do enough to help this total along on Wednesday, however, noting that Boston College has allowed five of its last eight opponents to get off 60 or more field goal attempts with the opposition knocking down 26 or more field goals in three of its last four contests. Offensively, the Eagles have been quietly 'filling it up', making good on 28, 26, 32, 21, 26 and 29 field goals over their last six games. Even in the low-water mark of 21 over that stretch, the Eagles still scored 63 points in a game that totalled 148 points against Wake Forest. Last year's matchup between these two teams was a low-scoring one, reaching only 121 total points. We're dealing with a considerably lower posted total this time around, however, noting that last year's game saw a closing total of 138. Take the over (10*). |
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01-25-23 | Nuggets +8 v. Bucks | Top | 99-107 | Push | 0 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Denver plus the points over Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. I understand the logic behind the Nuggets being substantial underdogs here. After all, the Nuggets are in a back-to-back spot, on the road, while the Bucks return home after putting up a ridculous 150 points in a win over the Pistons two nights ago. They're not all that flashy by any means but the Nuggets have won an incredible 20 of their last 24 games. Based on the style Denver is employing right now, it's going to be tough for anyone to beat it by a considerable margin. The Nuggets have held seven straight opponents to fewer than 90 field goal attempts. They've limited 11 consecutive opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals. While Denver has made good on only 36 and 39 field goals in its last two contests that had a lot to do with the snail's pace those two games were played at. Here, they'll have a chance to get loose against a Bucks squad that has allowed their last six opponents to knock down 42, 45, 43, 46, 48 and 43 field goals, going a modest 3-2-1 ATS over that stretch. Yes, Giannis Antetokounmpo just returned two nights ago but this is a team that has figured out how to win without him in recent years. Here, Milwaukee will be missing an underrated contributor in Bobby Portis after he suffered a knee injury. Note that the Bucks are just 29-48 ATS when returning home off a road win over a division opponent going all the way back to 1996. Take Denver (10*). |
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01-24-23 | Oklahoma State +8 v. Texas | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma State plus the points over Texas at 9 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Oklahoma State as it hits the road to face Texas on Tuesday. The Cowboys are coming off consecutive SU and ATS wins, despite a sluggish offensive performance on Saturday against Iowa State. Oklahoma State made good on just 18-of-41 field goal attempts in that contest. Prior to that, the Cowboys had knocked down 22, 23 and 27 field goals in their previous three games and I'm confident we'll see them snap back offensively here. It also wasn't a top rate defensive effort from the Cowboys against the Cyclones as they allowed Iowa State to get off 63 field goal attempts - a high-water mark for Oklahoma State in Big 12 play this season. The Cowboys have still done a good job of keeping opposing offenses in check, holding each of their last six opponents to 25 or fewer made field goals. The last time they gave up more than that was in a narrow two-point loss (but ATS cover) at Kansas back on New Year's Eve. Texas continues to rack up victories but has proven to be an awful bet ATS-wise. The Longhorns were in top form at both ends of the floor against West Virginia on Saturday. They've been inconsistent though, and it's worth noting that the only two occasions where they've connected on more than 26 field goals in Big 12 play this season, they've lost by 13 points against Kansas State and won by four against TCU, both at home. Texas has won consecutive meetings in this series but you would have to go all the way back to 2016-17 to find the last time it took three straight matchups against Oklahoma State. Finally, I'll point out that Oklahoma State has faced the 13th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom while Texas checks in having gone against the 52nd toughest slate of opponents. While Texas has obviously fared better with a 16-3 record, I simply feel it is laying too many points in this spot. Take Oklahoma State (8*). |
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01-24-23 | Kansas State v. Iowa State -5 | Top | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Week. My selection is on Iowa State minus the points over Kansas State at 9 pm et on Tuesday. Iowa State checks in off its first ATS defeat in seven games on Saturday as it dropped a narrow two-point decision on the road against Oklahoma State. I'm confident we'll see the Cyclones bounce back on Tuesday, however, as they return home to host Kansas State. The Wildcats enter off consecutive wins, both SU and ATS. I still think this is a team playing with fire as it consistently gives up a ton of scoring opportunities, having allowed all seven opponents in Big 12 play to get off at least 63 field goal attempts and six of those to hoist up 63+. They were fortunate that Texas Tech was unable to make good on its opportunities on Saturday as the Red Raiders knocked down only 23-of-71 field goal attempts in a 68-58 Kansas State victory. We saw a glimpse of what to expect from the Kansas State offense against a smothering defense as it could only muster 20 made field goals on a season-low 47 attempts. Here, it will face an Iowa State squad that has held nine straight opponents to 22 or fewer made field goals. Only one of the Cyclones last six opponents has managed to get off 50+ field goal attempts. On the flip side, Iowa State is coming off a poor shooting performance against Oklahoma State last time out. With that being said, you only have to go back four games to find the last time it made good on more than 30 field goals (34 in a win over Texas Tech). Noting that these two teams have enjoyed similar success this season but Iowa State has faced the 15th most difficult schedule in the country while Kansas State has gone against the 53rd toughest slate of opponents (according to KenPom), we'll lay the points with the Cyclones here. Take Iowa State (10*). |
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01-24-23 | Wizards v. Mavs OVER 224.5 | Top | 127-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Dallas at 8:40 pm et on Tuesday. I think we see a 'slingshot' effect from the Mavericks offensively after they were held down by the Clippers last time out. In fact, Dallas is coming off consecutive low-scoring, slow-paced games against Miami and Los Angeles. I expect nothing of the sort here as the Mavs host the Wizards on Tuesday. Yes, Washington will be without Kristaps Porzingis and just dealt Rui Hachimura to the Lakers after he poured in 30 points last time out. I still anticipate the Wizards pushing the pace here, noting they've knocked down 42, 42 and 51 field goals over their last three games and have hoisted up 93 or more field goal attempts in three of their last four contests. On the flip side, Washington has had no success (or interest) in slowing its opponents' pace, allowing nine of its last 10 opponents to get off 90 or more field goal attempts. You would have to go back nine games to find the last time the Wiz held an opponent to fewer than 40 made field goals. While Dallas held up well defensively in its last two games, it is still sorely missing the presence of Christian Wood on the inside and the blowout nature of those last two contests likely contributed to keeping the pace down. Note that prior to those two contests, the Mavs had allowed 44, 49, 43 and 49 made field goals over their last four games. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 22-11 with the Wizards coming off two wins in their last three games over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 15-7 with Dallas coming off a loss this season, leading to an average total of 231.0 points in that situation. Take the over (10*). |
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01-23-23 | Grizzlies -1 v. Kings | 100-133 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis minus the points over Sacramento at 10:40 pm et on Monday. While the Grizzlies staged an incredible second half comeback, they still fell short in Phoenix last night, marking their second straight loss to open their current road trip. I do like their chances of getting back in the win column as they head to Sacramento to face the Kings, who just lost for the first time in seven games on Saturday against Philadelphia. Despite last night's undesirable result, Memphis continues to play terrific defensive basketball, holding four of its last five opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals. It's a much different story for the Kings as they've allowed nine consecutive opponents to knock down more than 40 field goals. To find the last nine times the Grizzlies have allowed the opposition to eclipse that number in that department you would have to go all the way back to November 18th. Offensively, both teams have been thriving. Despite the dreadful start they got off to last night, the Grizzlies still managed to connect on 40 or more field goals for the 13th straight game. Here, we'll note that Memphis is a perfect 8-0 ATS when coming off consecutive road losses over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an incredible average margin of 14.0 points in that situation. The Grizz are also 13-3 ATS after losing three of their last four games ATS over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by 15.3 points on average in that spot. Take Memphis (8*). |
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01-23-23 | Kansas v. Baylor UNDER 149.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
Big 12 Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas and Baylor at 9 pm et on Monday. These two teams enjoyed far different results on Saturday as Kansas was embarrassed in a 23-point home loss against TCU while Baylor eked out a 62-60 road win over Oklahoma. Noting that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 with Kansas coming off consecutive games in which it allowed 75 points or more over the last three seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of only 132.3 points, we'll confidently back the 'under' in a series that has generally been lower-scoring than most have expected over the years. Baylor got off to an 0-3 start in conference play, marked by a couple of high-scoring defeats at the hands of TCU and Kansas State, at home no less. Since then, we've seen the Bears lock in defensively, allowing 23, 23, 27 and 26 made field goals and no more than 60 field goal attempts over their last four games. For Kansas, it is in a clear bounce-back spot here after getting lit up for 31 made field goals against TCU on Saturday. Poor defensive efforts don't pop up often when it comes to the Bill Self-coached Jayhawks and I'm confident we'll see them respond positively in that department on Monday. Prior to Saturday's game, Kansas had held an incredible 15 of its first 18 opponents this season to 25 or fewer made field goals. Take the under (10*). |
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01-23-23 | Hawks v. Bulls -1 | Top | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Atlanta at 8:10 pm et on Monday. Having strung together consecutive wins - as healthy as they've been in a quite a while with both Zach Lavine and Demar Derozan available - and with each of their next four games coming against Eastern Conference opponents, this is where the Bulls need to get on a run if they want to put themselves in good position to reach the playoffs (they currently sit in 10th place in the conference). Tonight's opponent, the Hawks, are one of the teams Chicago is looking up at in the Eastern Conference standings. I like what I've seen from the Bulls lately. Save for a poor showing against the red hot Thunder, they've held four of their last five opponents to 41 or fewer made field goals and have certainly rounded into form offensively, knocking down 48 and 50 field goals themselves over their last two contests. The Hawks have also been hot offensively but their defensive play has left a lot to be desired. Atlanta checks in having allowed its last four opponents to make good on 43, 44, 49 and 45 field goals. Keep in mind, the Hawks are just 11-13 on the road this season, where they've been outscored by an average margin of 2.0 points per contest. The Bulls check in 12-10 at the United Center, outscoring the opposition by 1.7 points on average. To find the last time Atlanta won a game here in Chicago, you would have to go back to December of 2020. Take Chicago (10*). |
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01-22-23 | Grizzlies -8.5 v. Suns | Top | 110-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Memphis minus the points over Phoenix at 8:10 pm et on Sunday. We just saw this matchup on Monday as the Grizzlies rolled to a 30-point home victory. While the Suns would certainly like to get some quick revenge here at home, I don't feel they're well-positioned to do so. Note that Phoenix has been getting healthier with Cam Johnson returning this past Thursday. In fact, the Suns have now won consecutive games after posting a five-point victory against the Pacers last night. But now they're in a tough back-to-back spot with a number of key contributors questionable to play due to injury management or otherwise. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are just one day removed from a tough one-point loss against the Lakers in Los Angeles. They remain locked-in defensively, having held three of their last four opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals. On the flip side, the Grizz continue to roll along offensively, making good on an incredible 43 or more field goals in 12 consecutive games. In fact, their 43-for-102 shooting performance against the Lakers on Friday was their low-water mark going all the way back to December 27th. The Suns have been lagging defensively. Prior to last night they had allowed their last four opponents to knock down 48, 47, 52 and 43 field goals. Last night's opponent, the Pacers, quite simply had an off night shooting as they actually got off a whopping 96 field goal attempts but only knocked down 36 of them. Usually stingy defensively when full strength, Phoenix has now allowed four of its last six opponents to get off 90 or more FG attempts. I expect the Grizzlies to take advantage on Sunday. Take Memphis (10*). |
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01-22-23 | Washington State v. Colorado UNDER 137 | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington State and Colorado at 6 pm et on Sunday. Both of these teams are coming off 'over' results on Thursday, snapping a three-game 'under' streak for Washington State and a four-game run of 'unders' for Colorado. Here, I expect a return to normal, so to speak, with a relatively low-scoring affair between the Cougars and Buffaloes. Nothing went right for Washington State last time out as it couldn't generate any sustained offense, nor could it sniff out a stop against Utah (the Utes shot 31-of-56 from the field). I do expect the Cougars to bounce back here, particularly at the defensive end of the floor, where they had held their previous three opponents to 20, 19 and 22 made field goals. It's also worth noting they've limited four of their last five opponents to 56 field goal attempts or fewer. The only occasion where they didn't was largely game-script dependent as they had an up-tempo Arizona squad playing from behind most of the night in a stunning double-digit road victory. Colorado is coming off a poor defensive performance of its own as it allowed Washington to knock down 27-of-50 field goal attempts on Thursday. The Buffaloes made good on 28 field goals themselves, representing a high-water mark since hitting 30 field goals in a narrow loss at Cal on New Year's Eve. Prior to Thursday's poor performance, Colorado had held its last two Pac-12 opponents to just 14 and 18 made field goals and 41 and 42 points here on its home floor. Take the under (8*). |
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01-21-23 | Bucks v. Cavs -1.5 | Top | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Cleveland minus the points over Milwaukee at 7:40 pm et on Saturday. There's still a cloud of uncertainty around the status of the stars of both of these teams with Giannis Antetokounmpo and Donovan Mitchell questionable to play in Saturday's fourth meeting of the season. It sounds like there's a better chance that Giannis will return than Mitchell but regardless, I like the way this spot sets up for the Cavs at home. Cleveland fell in stunning fashion against a Warriors squad that was resting its stars last night. Needless to say, I think the Cavs took a win for granted given the undermanned nature of the Warriors in that one. I don't expect Cleveland to have any trouble regrouping for a visit from one of the NBA's elite teams in the Bucks. Milwaukee is coming off consecutive near-perfect offensive showings in wins over the Pacers and Raptors at home. Lost in the Bucks recent offensive success is the fact that their defensive play hasn't been up to par. They've allowed their last four opponents to knock down 42, 45, 43 and 46 field goals. They've also had little success (or interest) in slowing their opponents' pace, yielding 92 or more field goal attempts in nine of their last 12 contests. Meanwhile, the Cavs have limited seven of their last nine opponents to 86 or fewer field goal attempts. They're allowing just 39 made field goals per contest at home this season, a big reason they've gone 19-5 SU and 16-8 ATS here in Cleveland. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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01-21-23 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +1.5 | 62-60 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma plus the points over Baylor at 4 pm et on Saturday. I like the bounce-back spot for Oklahoma here after it fell in lopsided fashion on the road against rival Oklahoma State on Wednesday. The Sooners are actually coming off consecutive ATS defeats, playing subpar defense in both contests. This is a better defensive team than it has shown lately, though, at least in my opinion. Keep in mind, Oklahoma has faced the eighth most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. Offensively, the Sooners have been fine, essentially on par with Saturday's opponent, Baylor. Oklahoma arguably has the x-factor in this contest in former Nevada standout Grant Sherfield - one of the most underrated scorers in the country. Baylor checks into this contest off three consecutive victories both SU and ATS. The Bears quite simply shot the lights out against Texas Tech on Tuesday but I don't expect them to repeat that performance against a tougher defensive foe here. Take Oklahoma (8*). |
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01-20-23 | Nets v. Jazz -6.5 | 117-106 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Brooklyn at 9:10 pm et on Friday. There's always a risk of looking foolish when backing a team one night, losing, and then fading them the next night. I'm not afraid to admit when I'm wrong, however, and I was off the mark with the Nets last night in Phoenix. That was an ideal bounce-back spot for Brooklyn after an embarrassing loss in San Antonio to open its current road trip (we did win with the 'under' in that game). What we saw, though, was a rather listless performance from the Nets, falling behind by 20 points before staging a 'false rally' in the fourth quarter to make the final score more respectable than it otherwise would have been. The Nets got about as much as they could expect from Kyrie Irving as he played through a calf injury, scoring 30 points in the loss. Curiously, Irving played 38 minutes in what was a lopsided affair most of the way. Utah checks in off a blowout win over the Clippers two nights ago. Lauri Markkanen continued his red hot tear to pace the Jazz offense on that night. Utah is now 4-1 SU in its last five games and riding a three-game ATS winning streak. While it has been red hot offensively, knocking down 43 or more field goals in six of its last eight games, it has also seemingly righted the ship defensively, holding four of its last five opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals. The Nets have been hanging tough defensively but offensively they're just not the same without Kevin Durant in the lineup. Last night marked the first time in six games that they eclipsed the 40 field goal mark and that was only thanks to the Suns letting down their guard leading by 20 points entering the fourth quarter. If the Nets aren't shooting the lights out, it's a struggle to put up a lot of points as they average just 84 field goal attempts per game this season. The Jazz average five more field goal attempts per contest by comparison, and eight additional tries per game from beyond the arc. Take Utah (8*). |
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01-20-23 | St. Peter's +4 v. Marist | Top | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on St. Peter's plus the points over Marist at 7 pm et on Friday. I like the way this spot sets up for a down-trodden St. Peter's squad that has lost five games in a row, going 1-4 ATS along the way. Marist is at the opposite end of the spectrum right now, having won three straight contests both SU and ATS. Still, I'm anticipating a reversal of those trends on Friday night. St. Peter's continues to play exceptional defensive basketball. The Peacocks always seem to have a terrific defensive system in place and they've stayed true to it this season, holding opponents to an average of just 20 made field goals on 48 attempts per game. Their last three opponents have knocked down just 18, 18 and 19 field goals. I'm confident we'll see St. Peter's frustrate the Marist offense here after it shot exceptionally well over the last few games. Keep in mind, the Red Foxes have actually gotten off 55 or fewer field goal attempts in five straight contests so it's not as if they've had a wealth of scoring opportunities. In stark contrast, St. Peter's has hoisted up 62 or more field goal attempts in three of its last six games. The difference here is, I expect some of those Peacocks shots to start falling, noting that Marist has consistently allowed in the mid-to-high 20's in terms of opponents' made field goals per game this season. Finally, I'll point out that St. Peter's is 68-41 ATS when playing on the road after losing four or five of its last six games going all the way back to 1997, as is the case here. Take St. Peter's (10*). |
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01-19-23 | UCLA v. Arizona State OVER 135 | Top | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
Pac-12 Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between UCLA and Arizona State at 10:30 pm et on Thursday. The 'under' has cashed in each of UCLA's last seven games but I look for that streak to come to an end on Thursday as the Bruins hit the road for the first time since New Year's Day to face Arizona State in Tempe. UCLA absolutely manhandled Utah and Colorado in its last two games, holding those two opponents to just 18 and 15 made field goals, respectively. It faces a much different challenge on the road here, however, noting that Arizona State has knocked down 25, 31, 29, 33 and 24 field goals since the return of Pac-12 play on New Year's Eve. With that being said, the Sun Devils are in bounce-back mode here in some sense after getting off only 49 field goal attempts in a bit of a sloppy affair against Oregon State last time out (they still scored 74 points in that contest). We know Arizona State will be looking to push the pace here, noting that it has hoisted up 62 or more field goal attempts in seven of its last nine games. Defensively, the Sun Devils are likely to have their hands full here. They've allowed 27, 24, 25, and 24 made field goals over their last four games and have had little success (or interest) in slowing down their opponents' tempo this season. UCLA didn't shoot particularly well against Colorado last time out, knocking down only 38.1% of its attempts from the field. That's notable as the last two times it was held under 40% shooting in Pac-12 play, it responded by making good on exactly 29 field goals in its next contest. The Bruins are averaging 30 made field goals and 76.7 points per game this season with no considerable drop-off in production away from home, where they've hit 29 field goals per game (on one fewer attempt compared to their season average) while averaging 73.7 points per contest. The most recent meeting between these two teams totalled only 118 points last February, however prior to that each of the last 12 matchups in the series produced at least 143 total points. Take the over (10*). |
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01-19-23 | Nets -1 v. Suns | Top | 112-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Brooklyn minus the points over Phoenix at 10 pm et on Thursday. The Nets are fresh off an embarrassing loss in San Antonio two nights ago (we won with the 'under' in that game). That marked their third straight loss although perhaps it was to be expected with Kyrie Irving sidelined (remember Kevin Durant is on the shelf as well). Kyrie is expected to return from that one-game absence on Thursday. The Suns will likely have Cam Johnson back and it sounds like there's an outside chance that Chris Paul could be back in the lineup as well. I simply see a Phoenix squad that is completely out of sorts right now, and will likely remain that way until its regulars get back up to speed. Note that the Suns have been torched for 48, 47 and 52 made field goals over their last three games. While they had been at least limiting their opponents' pace for a stretch, they've now allowed three of their last four foes to get off at least 90 field goal attempts. It's a much different story for Brooklyn. It has held five straight opponents to 41 or fewer made field goals and three of its last five to 38 or less. Offensively, it's been a grind without KD in the lineup but I expect scoring opportunities to be in abundance against a listless Suns defense on Thursday. Note that Phoenix took both meetings between these two teams last season. Look for the revenge-minded Nets to rebound here, noting they've gone 25-10 ATS when playing on the road following an ATS loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 5.0 points on average in that situation. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
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01-18-23 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 128.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Big 12 Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Oklahoma and Oklahoma State at 9 pm et on Wednesday. This is obviously a big game for both teams but it's desperation time for Oklahoma State as it comes off three consecutive Big 12 defeats. Of note for our purposes, the Cowboys have seen each of their last seven games go 'under' the total. Oklahoma State lacks a true go-to scorer and it shows as it has been held to 67, 67, 46, 57 and 58 points in Big 12 play. The Cowboys tried to push the pace in their last two games, getting off 66 and 60 field goal attempts but only managed to knock down 22 and 23 of those shots against Kansas State and Baylor, respectively. Here, they'll face a good Oklahoma defense that's coming off a bad game. The Sooners allowed West Virginia to make good on 31-of-55 field goals in their most recent contest, allowing 76 points in a narrow one-point victory. Note that prior to that, they had held four of their last five opponents to 22 or fewer made field goals. Oklahoma has one of the more underrated offensive players in the country in former Nevada standout Grant Sherfield. It will be in tough here, however, noting that Oklahoma State has allowed an average of just 20 made field goals per contest at home this season and has held eight of its last 11 opponents to 21 or fewer in that department. The fact that the Cowboys allowed 74 points last time out is notable as they've given up 56, 51 and 49 points on three previous occasions after allowing more than 70 points in a game this season. Take the under (10*). |
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01-18-23 | Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 222 | Top | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and New York at 7:40 pm et on Wednesday. While both of these teams are coming off 'over' results on Monday, it's still been a bit of a grind offensively of late. Monday's game marked the first time in three contests the Wizards managed to knock down more than 38 field goals. Playing against the Warriors - a team that often plays at a break-neck pace - certainly helped their cause. All told, Washington has topped out at 42 field goals or less in six straight games, yet the 'over' has inexplicably gone 5-1 over that stretch. I do expect things to level out in that regard, at least in the short-term. The Knicks have knocked down 42 or fewer field goals in six consecutive games as well, and only got to that number thanks to overtime last time out against Toronto. New York has quietly been locked-in defensively, limiting seven of its last nine opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals. It held this same Washington squad to 36-of-92 shooting just last week. While last week's matchup did find its way 'over' the total, it didn't eclipse the number we're dealing with tonight (at the time of writing). It's worth noting that we haven't seen consecutive 'over' results in this series since back in 2018 - that goes back a whopping 17 matchups. Take the under (10*). |
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01-17-23 | Clemson v. Wake Forest OVER 147 | Top | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
ACC Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Clemson and Wake Forest at 9 pm et on Tuesday. I like the way this one sets up as a high-scoring affair between two red hot ACC squads in Clemson and Wake Forest on Tuesday night. The Tigers are fresh off a 72-64 victory over Duke on Saturday - their seventh straight victory. They've been the picture of consistency from an offensive standpoint, knocking down 25 or more field goals in six of their last seven games. While they've done a good job defensively as well, they've shown little ability (or interest) in slowing down their opponents' pace, allowing 63 or more field goal attempts in three of their last five games. That should open the door for a blazing hot Wake Forest offense that has made good on 28, 29, 30 and 34 field goals over its last four contests. You would have to go back seven games to find the last time the Demon Deacons were held to fewer than 77 points. Like Clemson, Wake hasn't put much of a priority on slowing the opposition, yielding an average of 61 field goal attempts per game here at home this season. Prior to Saturday's blowout win over struggling Boston College (in which it allowed just 22 made field goals), Wake had allowed eight straight opponents to knock down 26 or more field goals. Of course, this will be a rematch of a meeting between these two teams back in December. That was a strange affair as Clemson got off only 43 field goal attempts, making good on 22 of them, yet scored 77 points in a 20-point rout. Wake has rounded into form since then and I'm confident we'll see a much more competitive, entertaining affair this time around. Take the over (10*). |
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01-17-23 | Nets v. Spurs UNDER 235 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Brooklyn and San Antonio at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. This Nets team is just not the same without Kevin Durant on the floor. I realize that's a major understatement and fairly obvious to even the most casual NBA observer. But it's worth noting as we work with a total in the mid-230's with the Nets having just come off a winless two-game homestand that saw them struggle mightily from an offensive standpoint, knocking down just 38 and 39 field goals while scoring 98 and 102 points. The Spurs are of course one of, not the league's worst defensive team. With that being said, I do think they're better than they've shown in their last three games, allowing 135, 144 and 132 points against three teams that love to push the pace in the Grizzlies, Warriors and Kings over that stretch. While the Nets offense has regressed without Durant, their defense has held strong, limiting four straight opponents to 41 or fewer made field goals heading into this contest. In fact, the 'under' has cashed in each of their last five games. When these teams last met in Brooklyn on January 2nd, it was no contest as the Nets rolled to a 139-103 victory. Keep in mind, Kevin Durant paced Brooklyn's offense on that night, recording a double-double with 25 points and 11 assists. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 130-106 with the Spurs playing at home off consecutive ATS losses under head coach Gregg Popovich. Interestingly, the 'under' is 26-12 with Nets head coach Jacque Vaughn's teams playing on the road after losing four or five of their last six games ATS as well. Take the under (10*). |
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01-16-23 | Princeton v. Pennsylvania UNDER 145.5 | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Princeton and Pennsylvania at 7 pm et on Monday. I like the bounce-back spot for both of these teams defensively after both were involved in 'over' results on Saturday. Princeton inexplicably allowed a middle-of-the-road Brown squad to knock down 28-of-53 field goal attempts in a 72-70 loss. That marked the first time in five games the Tigers allowed an opponent to shoot better than 42.1% from the field. Penn dropped a 75-71 decision at Dartmouth, allowing the Big Green to shoot 27-of-58 from the field. While the Quakers have knocked down 26 or more field goals in four straight games, they've also faced a fairly favorable schedule over that stretch, favored in three of those games with the other coming against the fastest-paced team in the Ivy League, Cornell. I think we're in for a tightly-contested, relatively low-scoring affair here, noting that the most recent meeting produced 163 points in a Princeton blowout win last March, but we haven't seen consecutive meetings in this series go 'over' the total since three straight did back in 2017-18. Take the under (8*). |
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01-16-23 | Pacers v. Bucks OVER 228.5 | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Milwaukee at 2:40 pm et on Monday. The Bucks have seen the 'under' cash in four straight games entering Monday's matinee affair against the down-trodden Pacers in Milwaukee. The wheels came off for Indiana defensively in Saturday's 130-112 home loss against the Grizzlies. Tyrese Haliburton is of course sidelined indefinitely for the Pacers and that hurts them defensively more than anything else. Indiana has zero answers for the Grizzlies offense on Saturday and will be hard-pressed to bounce back in this tough road matchup against a Bucks team fresh off a two-game sweep at the hands of the Heat in Miami (with Giannis Antetokounmpo set to return from a two-game absence on Monday). We know the Pacers will continue to force the issue offensively, noting they've hoisted up 101 and 103 field goal attempts in their last two games. The Bucks have done little to slow opposing up-tempo offenses this season, entering Monday's contest having yielded 92 or more field goal attempts to eight of their last 10 opponents. Milwaukee has proven to be a much stronger offensive team at home compared to on the road this season, averaging 43-of-90 shooting and just north of 117 points per game on its home floor, with the 'over' cashing at a 14-7 clip. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 20-8 with the Pacers coming off a loss by 15 or more points over the last three seasons, resulting in an average total of 235.5 points in that spot. Take the over (8*). |
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01-15-23 | Thunder +4.5 v. Nets | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City plus the points over Brooklyn at 6:10 pm et on Sunday. It's going to take quite an effort to derail the Thunder given how they've been playing on this road trip. They check in off five straight ATS wins, knocking down 44 or more field goals in all five contests. In the same vein, they've held five straight opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals. Meanwhile, the Nets are adjusting to life without Kevin Durant once again. They've made good on 39 or fewer field goals in three straight games. While Brooklyn owns the better overall record this season, Oklahoma City has been the far better bet, going 27-16 ATS. Having won by 21 points on this floor last January there's no intimidation factor at play. Take Oklahoma City (8*). |
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01-15-23 | Marist v. Niagara -5 | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Niagara minus the points over Marist at 12 noon et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with Niagara on Sunday as it looks to snap its two-game losing streak with a home date against suddenly streaking Marist. The Red Foxes actually check into this contest off consecutive wins - both coming in outright underdog fashion. Let's keep things in perspective, though. Marist is still 6-9 on the season and has faced just the 355th most difficult schedule in the nation (according to KenPom). It's not that Niagara has faced all that tough of a schedule either - 287th in terms of adjusted strength of schedule. However, the Purple Eagles have gone 9-7 and would be 10-6 were it not for a late collapse against a tough Siena squad on Friday. Despite facing the tougher schedule, Niagara has made one more field goal per game, on two fewer attempts per contest, compared to Marist this season. Defensively, the two teams are close to a wash, with the exception being from beyond the arc, where the Red Foxes have allowed three more made threes on six additional attempts per game. The last time these two teams met last March, it was no contest as Niagara rolled to an 83-52 victory. While this rematch isn't likely to be as lopsided, I'm still confident we see the Purple Eagles get the win and cover. Take Niagara (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Utah v. USC UNDER 135.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Utah and USC at 10:30 pm et on Saturday. I expect this game to be played at a snail's pace as Utah looks to 'ugly it up' in an effort to come away with something from this two-game road trip to Los Angeles. The Utes couldn't muster any sort of offense against the mighty Bruins of UCLA last time out and will be hard-pressed to do much better against another terrific defensive squad in USC on Saturday. The good news is, the Utes can play some defense (they rank 19th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom) - something we didn't necessarily see from them in the loss to UCLA. I expect Utah to step up defensively against a more manageable offensive opponent here and ultimately help keep this one 'under' the lofty total. Take the under (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Bradley v. Drake OVER 128.5 | Top | 61-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Missouri Valley Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Bradley and Drake at 8 pm et on Saturday. This isn't the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament and as such I think we'll see a much looser, up-tempo game between these two conference powerhouses than what you would expect to see in March. We're talking about two of the best offensive teams in the MVC on paper. Bradley has certainly showed it over its last two games, scoring 88 and 91 points in wins over Valpo and Evansville. While the level of competition steps up here, I like the consistency Bradley has shown at the offensive end of the floor, making good on 27 or more field goals in six of its last seven games. Drake comes off of a pair of exceptional offensive performances as well, scoring 82 and 76 points in wins over Murray State and Illinois-Chicago. The most recent meeting between these two teams last February was a low-scoring affair but of note, we haven't seen consecutive 'under' results between these two teams since back in 2018-19. Take the over (10*). |
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01-14-23 | Celtics v. Hornets +8 | 122-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Boston at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. I see this as an incredibly difficult spot for the Celtics to get up for as they look for their sixth straight victory after opening this road trip with a double-digit win in Brooklyn on Thursday. Keep in mind, Boston already took the first meeting between these two teams by a whopping 35 points back in late November. It catches Charlotte on a three-game losing streak and a woeful 1-6 SU over its last seven games. The Hornets actually haven't covered a spread in four games - the last time they did we were on board as they pulled off a stunning blowout win over the Bucks in Milwaukee. In stark contrast to the C's, the Hornets should have no trouble at all getting up for this front half of a two-game home set against Boston. Note that they'll be looking to avenge three straight losses suffered at the hands of the C's. While Boston is a long-term 87-119 ATS when coming off a road victory by 10 points or more, Charlotte is 199-156 ATS after losing at least two games in a row ATS. Noting that the Celtics are now without Jaylen Brown as he deals with an injury while the Hornets were without LaMelo Ball the last time these two teams squared off in November, I think we see a game that's closer than expected on Saturday. Take Charlotte (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Air Force v. Fresno State OVER 123 | 51-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Air Force and Fresno State at 7 pm et on Saturday. I simply feel this total will prove too low given the improvement Air Force has shown offensively, combined with the porous nature of both defenses. The Falcons have quietly been lighting it up, knocking down 24 or more field goals in seven of their last eight games. They hung 85 points on the board in a double-digit win over Colorado State last time out. Meanwhile, Fresno State has been getting absolutely torched defensively, allowing 27, 29 and 31 made field goals over its last three games. However, the line dictates a close affair in favor of the hometown Bulldogs here and that's reasonable when you consider Air Force has yielded more than 70 points in four straight games, allowing six straight opponents to knock down at least 23 field goals. I think we're in for a much higher-scoring game than most expect here. Take the over (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Virginia v. Florida State OVER 131 | 67-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Virginia and Florida State at 4 pm et on Saturday. I don't think this is going to be the defensive slugfest that most are expecting in Tallahassee on Saturday afternoon. Virginia has been a bit different than we've come to expect this season, riding its offense a little more on the way to a 12-3 overall record. The Cavaliers enter this game having gotten into the 60's or 70's in terms of scoring in seven straight games. Florida State is in the middle of a tough campaign but has certainly played better basketball lately. The Seminoles check in having scored 73 or more points in six of their last seven contests. Florida State does continue to struggle defensively, however, yielding 28 or more made field goals in four of its last five games. Take the over (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Troy State v. Appalachian State OVER 133.5 | 45-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Troy and Appalachian State at 4 pm et on Saturday. I think we're in for a barn-burner between these two teams on Saturday afternoon and that should lend itself to a relatively high-scoring affair. Both teams average in the mid-20's in terms of three-point attempts per game. There's certainly a wide range of outcomes in this contest given Troy's defensive ability and the pace that Appalachian State plays at but I believe the most likely one is a game where both teams approach or eclipse the 70-point mark. We're being given a relatively low total to work with largely due to the fact that the Trojans come in off consecutive low-scoring 'under' results. That of course has little bearing on today's matchup in particular. Take the over (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Pennsylvania v. Dartmouth UNDER 141.5 | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Penn and Dartmouth at 2 pm et on Saturday. A little too much respect being given to the Penn offense here. Dartmouth plays at a fast pace but doesn't shoot particularly well and is in line for some regression on Saturday. We've seen some high-scoring matchups between these two teams in recent years, but I don't think this will be one of them. Note that the last two meetings have seen totals posted in the 130's. I believe this number will prove too high as Penn ultimately stretches out the margin and takes the air out of the basketball in the second half. Take the under (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Bucks +1.5 v. Heat | 95-111 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Miami at 1:10 pm et on Saturday. The Bucks dropped the front half of this two-game set in Miami on Thursday in what was essentially a throw-away game as they sat Giannis Antetokounmpo among others in an eventual six-point loss. That was a back-to-back situation off a win in Atlanta the night previous (which marked their second straight victory to open their current road trip). It should be a different story on Saturday as the Bucks look to take this opportunity to get right back at the Heat, who haven't won more than two games in a row since a four-game winning streak (that included victories over the lowly Rockets and Spurs) back in mid-December. Take Milwaukee (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Wisconsin v. Indiana OVER 135.5 | Top | 45-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
Big Ten Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Wisconsin and Indiana at 1 pm et on Saturday. The 'over' has cashed in each of Wisconsin's last two games while Indiana has seen all three of its Big Ten contests sail 'over' the total, allowing 91, 84 and 85 points in the process. While the Badgers aren't exactly known for their offensive prowess, I do think they find the going much easier against the Hoosiers non-existent defense after facing Illinois and Michigan State in their last two games. On the flip side, it's desperation time for Indiana and at home in what is a stand-alone Big Ten matchup on Saturday afternoon, I do think we see it come to play. The Hoosiers offense hasn't necessarily been the problem, even if it is coming off a poor showing against Penn State last time out. Prior to that, Indiana had put up 89 and 83 points against Iowa and Northwestern, respectively. I think we see both teams approach or eclipse the 70-point mark in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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01-13-23 | Thunder v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 124-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Oklahoma City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Thunder exercised some demons against the 76ers in Philadelphia last night, winning in convincing, blowout fashion as a considerable underdog (we won with Oklahoma City in that game as well). Here, I believe they'll be hard-pressed to duplicate that effort as they play the second of back-to-back nights against the Bulls in Chicago. Chicago is fresh off a 100-97 loss in Washington two nights ago to wrap up a brief 0-2 road trip. A return home should help the Bulls cause, noting that they're 11-9 SU at the United Center and will be looking for their third straight victory in the Windy City on Friday. Of course, the Bulls will likely be without Demar Derozan for a second straight game after he exited Monday's loss in Boston with an injured quad muscle. Zach Lavine suffered a hand contusion in Wednesday's loss in Washington but is expected to be good to go on Friday. While I'm certainly not banking on it, I do think this could be a 'load management' spot for Thunder superstar Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in a back-to-back situation. He has suited up for two back-to-backs previously this season but sat out the front half of the team's most recent two-game in two-night set on January 3rd. Note that the Thunder will be playing their seventh game in the last 11 nights, in five different cities on Friday night. While Oklahoma City did prevail last night in Philadelphia, that win snapped a six-game road losing streak. The Thunder are just 6-14 SU away from home this season. Also note that they're a miserable 3-14 ATS when coming off four or five wins in their last six games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 12.7 points in that situation. The Bulls are a long-term 121-90 ATS when coming off consecutive road losses. Take Chicago (10*). |
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01-13-23 | Siena v. Niagara +2.5 | 70-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
MAAC Game of the Week. My selection is on Niagara minus the points over Siena at 7 pm et on Friday. I like the spot for Niagara here as it returns home following a tough five-point road loss at Manhattan last time out. The Purple Eagles simply appeared to run out of gas following a hard-fought win at Fairfield two nights earlier. Here, I look for a much sharper performance as they look to take down still-undefeated in MAAC play Siena, which rides in on a six-game winning streak. Note that Niagara is undefeated at home this season, having gone a perfect 5-0. The Purple Eagles have outscored the opposition by an average margin of 13.0 points on this floor. Siena actually checks in having won outright as an underdog in three consecutive road games. It's a different story here as the Saints enter as the road favorite for the first time this season. While the two teams have faced similar schedules this season (according to KenPom only 11 places separate the two teams in terms of adjusted strength of schedule), Niagara has proven to be the tougher defensive team. The Purple Eagles are giving up three fewer made field goals per game on just one less attempt allowed on average compared to the Saints. Offensively is virtually a wash with Siena holding perhaps the slightest of edges. Take Niagara (10*). |
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01-12-23 | Mavs -3 v. Lakers | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Los Angeles at 10 pm et on Thursday. While the Lakers check in 5-1 over their last six games, I can't help but feel another slide is right around the corner. Their recent five-game winning streak had everything to do with their red hot shooting. They caught fire for a week or so but couldn't keep it going last time out as they connected on just 44% of their field goal attempts in a double-digit loss in Denver. I expect to see some carry-over effect from that poor performance here. Dallas checks in off consecutive losses, both SU and ATS, to open its current five-game road trip. No team wants to go winless in its two-game stop-over in Los Angeles, especially given the current vulnerable state of both the Clippers and Lakers. Here, we'll note that the Mavericks are 11-2 ATS when playing on the road off an upset loss away from home over the last three seasons. Dallas has outscored the opposition by an impressive average margin of 13.0 points in that situation. The Lakers continue to give up way too many easy buckets, having allowed 42 or more made field goals in an incredible 13 consecutive games. In stark contrast, Dallas has allowed just four of its last 10 opponents to knock down 42 or more field goals. Take Dallas (8*). |
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01-12-23 | Bucks v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami minus the points over Milwaukee at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. This is a classic fade spot for the Heat as they play the second of back-to-back nights off a win in Atlanta last night. In fact, Milwaukee will be looking for third straight win to open its current road trip. However, in a back-to-back spot and knowing it will have another shot at the Heat here in South Beach on Saturday, I'm not convinced we see the Bucks best effort on Thursday. Miami was undermanned but prevailed by a single point against Oklahoma City two nights ago. Here, the Heat should have Bam Adebayo back on the floor as they look to secure a second straight victory. Despite the ATS loss against the Thunder, the Heat remain a solid 6-3 ATS over their last nine contests. They're just 6-14 ATS at home this season, laying inflated numbers on most nights, but that's not the case here. At the very least, the Heat have managed to outscore the opposition by 0.3 points on average on their home floor (which is more than can be said about the Bucks on the road, as you'll read below). Milwaukee has been a better bet on the road than the Heat have been at home, but it still just 8-10 ATS on the highway, where it has been outscored by an average margin of 3.8 points. Note that Milwaukee has gone a woeful 21-37 ATS after winning four of its last five games over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Take Miami (10*). |
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01-11-23 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS Bakersfield +9 | Top | 60-48 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
Big West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Cal State-Bakersfield plus the points over Cal-Santa Barbara at 10 pm et on Wednesday. In what projects as a low-scoring battle between these two Big West Conference foes, I'll grab all the points I can get with the underdog home side. Bakersfield checks in off a blowout road loss at Cal-Davis but has managed to cover the spread in each of its last two home contests. Santa Barbara rides an eight-game winning streak into this one but failed to cover for the first time in its last six lined games in a five-point victory at Cal-Poly last time out. You would have to go back eight games to find the last time Bakersfield allowed an opponent to get off more than 52 field goal attempts. You would have to go back the same number of games to find the last time one of its opponents knocked down more than 22 field goals. It all adds up to a lot of tightly-contested affairs. The argument can certainly be made that Bakersfield is the better defensive team in this matchup, especially when you consider it has faced the 203rd most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom, compared to Santa Barbara which has gone against the 319th toughest slate of opponents by the same metric. Bakersfield has dropped the last two meetings in this series by 12 and 19 points but that's after the first four were each decided by seven points or less. Take Cal State-Bakersfield (10*). |
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01-11-23 | Tulane v. SMU +5 | 97-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on SMU plus the points over Tulane at 8 pm et on Wednesday. While Tulane enters this game off three consecutive wins, both SU and ATS, SMU checks in off back-to-back losses, also SU and ATS. Both of those Mustang losses came in blowout fashion, but they came in matchups against tougher opponents than they'll face here on Wednesday. That's been the story for SMU for much of the campaign as it has faced a grueling schedule - the 34th toughest in the nation according to KenPom. Tulane, on the other hand, has made the most of the 292nd most difficult schedule in the country by the same metric. Despite the wide disparity in strength of schedule, SMU has actually managed to post very similar defensive numbers to those of Tulane while only lagging slightly from an offensive standpoint. With little to choose between these two teams, I'll gladly grab the generous helping of points with the home side. Take SMU (8*). |
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01-11-23 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Celtics | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Boston at 7:40 pm et on Wednesday. While most expected the Pelicans to take a nose-dive without Zion Williamson, that hasn't necessarily been the case. There was the 'shock to the system' game immediately following the Zion injury as the Pelicans fell by 15 points in Memphis. However, since then, they've lost by nine points against the red hot 76ers, won by 11 vs. Houston, lost by only six against the blistering Nets, lost by 10 against the Mavs in Dallas and most recently rolled to a 25-point rout of the Wizards. In other words, blowout losses have been few and far between. The Celtics aren't exactly setting the world on fire right now, in fact they're just 1-5 ATS over their last six games. This is actually a triple-revenge spot for the Pelicans as they've dropped all three meetings with the Celtics since the start of last season, including a 117-109 loss back in November. Here, we'll note that New Orleans is a solid 24-10 ATS after losing four or five of its last six games ATS over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 3.1 points on average in that situation. Take New Orleans (8*). |
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01-11-23 | New Hampshire v. Maine -3 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
America East Game of the Year. My selection is on Maine minus the points over New Hampshire at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Maine has lost five games in row entering this conference clash, yet two perhaps three of those five losses just as easily could have gone the Black Bears way. Maine has faced the 231st most difficult schedule in the nation this season according to KenPom - certainly not something to get too excited about. However, tonight's opponent, New Hampshire, has gone against the 329th toughest slate of opponents. The Wildcats are off a big outright underdog home win over Vermont as nine-point underdogs last time out. They've recorded back-to-back ATS wins just once this season, back in early December. Note that UNH is a miserable 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games following a win over an America East opponent, outscored by 5.3 points on average in that situation. Take Maine (10*). |
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01-11-23 | Furman v. Mercer +7 | Top | 84-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Mercer plus the points over Furman at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I really like the way this spot sets up for underdog Mercer, a team that's not all that accustomed to being in that role here at home. The Bears have lost four games in a row both SU and ATS but I fully expect them to bounce back here as they catch Furman off consecutive wins and covers, with the most recent coming on the road against East Tennessee State. Note that while Furman is 8-1 SU at home this season, it has only managed to split its eight road contests to date. Mercer is 4-3 on its home floor compared to 3-7 on the road. I'll also point out that Furman has faced the 313th toughest schedule in the country this season according to KenPom - in other words, the Palladins have been padding their 12-5 record with a rather weak slate of opponents. I like the fact that despite facing the tougher schedule, the Bears have actually posted the better defensive numbers, allowing three fewer made field goals per game despite allowing just one less attempt per contest in comparison with the Palladins. You can be sure this is a game the Bears have had circled all season after dropping all three meetings with Furman last season. Take Mercer (10*). |
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01-10-23 | Pistons v. 76ers UNDER 229.5 | Top | 116-147 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Philadelphia at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. These two teams were just involved in a relatively high-scoring affair two nights ago as the 76ers rolled to a 123-111 win in Detroit. That's been the norm for the Sixers lately as they enter this game riding a four-game 'over' streak (which matches a season-high). With both teams playing their fifth game in five nights, I believe both would prefer a slower-paced affair in Tuesday's rematch. The Pistons quietly shot the lights out in Sunday's contest, knocking down 44-of-87 field goal attempts. I don't anticipate a repeat performance with the scene shifting to Philadelphia, noting the 76ers are allowing just 40 made field goals per game on average at home this season. In a similar vein, the Pistons are making good on just 39 field goals per contest on the road this season. Philadelphia knocked down 46-of-94 field goal attempts on Sunday. The 76ers have been pushing the pace lately, getting off 98, 92 and 94 FG attempts in their last three games. I just don't see that being a sustainable trend, noting that Philadelphia averages just 85 FG attempts per contest this season, with that number rising only slightly to 86 here at home. Take the under (10*). |
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01-10-23 | Ball State v. Ohio -2.5 | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ohio minus the points over Ball State at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I like the way this spot sets up for Ohio at home as it looks to snap its brief two-game skid (both losses came on the road) at home against Ball State. The Cardinals are red hot - winners of seven straight games including two in a row ATS. However, they've faced the 271st toughest schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. By contrast, Ohio has gone against the 181st most difficult slate of opponents by the same metric. I do feel the Bobcats can present a 'shock to the system' for the Cardinals as they like to push the pace, something Ball State certainly didn't see in a home game against Akron last time out. Here, we'll note that Ohio is an impressive 30-10 ATS when coming off consecutive road losses going all the way back to 1997. Take Ohio (8*). |
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01-10-23 | Oklahoma State +5 v. Kansas State | Top | 57-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Oklahoma State plus the points over Kansas State at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I really like the way this one sets up for Oklahoma State in an underdog role in Manhattan on Tuesday. The Cowboys check in just 9-6 on the season - a far cry from Kansas State's sterling 14-1 mark. However, Oklahoma State has faced the 24th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. Kansas State ranks 87th in that department. In spite of that, the Cowboys have been the superior defensive team in my opinion, allowing two fewer made field goals on two more attempts per game compared to the Wildcats. It's rare that we see Kansas State win a game in this series by margin. You would have to go back seven meetings to find the the last time the Wildcats won by more than three points - all the way to February of 2019. On the heels of eight straight victories, the last three coming in ATS fashion as well including back-to-back upset wins at Texas and Baylor, I can't help but feel a letdown is in order for the Wildcats here. Take Oklahoma State (10*). |
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01-10-23 | VCU v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 137 | Top | 78-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between VCU and Loyola-Chicago at 7 pm et on Tuesday. VCU enters this showdown off three consecutive 'over' results while Loyola-Chicago has seen each of its last four contests go 'over' the total. I look for a reversal of those trends on Tuesday, however. Neither team has faced all that difficult of a schedule this season according to KenPom - both teams rank well north of 200th in the country in that department. VCU is knocking down an average of 23 field goals per game with that number dropping to 21 away from home. While Loyola-Chicago has made good on an impressive 29 field goals per contest here at home, that's had everything to do with the slate of opponents it has faced. The Ramblers have hosted Fairleigh-Dickinson, Central Arkansas, Depaul, Wisconsin-Green Bay, Albany and George Washington to date. You could certainly argue this will be their toughest defensive test to date on their home floor. Take the under (10*). |
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01-09-23 | Florida A&M +16 v. Grambling State | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida A&M plus the points over Grambling at 8 pm et on Monday. No team in the country has faced as tough of a schedule as Florida A&M this season according to KenPom so perhaps it's not surprising that it checks in sporting an ugly 2-11 record. The Rattlers have lost five games in a row SU and back-to-back contests ATS following a three-game ATS winning streak. Grambling on the other hand has won consecutive games to improve to 9-6 on the campaign. It has faced the 186th most difficult schedule in the country. Noting that Grambling has managed to get off 46, 51 and 53 field goal attempts over its last three contests. I believe it will be hard-pressed to cover such a lofty pointspread here. Take Florida A&M (8*). |
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01-08-23 | Rider +6.5 v. Siena | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
MAAC Game of the Month. My selection is on Rider plus the points over Siena at 2 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab all the points I can get with the underdog Broncs here as they look to snap their brief two-game skid (they've lost three in a row ATS) on the road against Siena on Sunday afternoon. The Saints have reeled off five consecutive victories both SU and ATS, including four outright wins as short underdogs (+3.5 points or less). I simply like the way Rider has limited its opponents scoring opportunities, even in losing efforts over the last two games, with its last two foes getting off just 49 and 55 field goal attempts. Siena has allowed two of its last three opponents to hoist up 60 or more FG attempts. On the flip side, the Saints have topped out at 53 or less FG attempts in five of their last six contests, making them difficult to trust laying a considerable number of points here. Take Rider (10*). |
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01-07-23 | Pelicans v. Mavs -7 | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over New Orleans at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Mavericks against the Zion-less Pelicans here, with the latter finding themselves in a difficult back-to-back situation off last night's six-point home loss to the Nets. New Orleans has cooled off considerably following a hot start to the campaign, going just 5-8 ATS over its last 13 contests. The Mavs have dropped the cash in three straight games heading in and got blown out by the Celtics on their home floor two nights ago. I look for them to turn the tide here, noting that they're 23-11 ATS when playing at home after scoring 105 points or less in their last game over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition buy 9.8 points on average in that spot. Take Dallas (8*). |
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01-06-23 | Heat v. Suns +1.5 | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Miami at 10:10 pm et on Friday. I believe this is a 'wrong team favored' situation as the Heat head to Phoenix on Friday night. Miami had its brief two-game winning streak snapped at the hands of the Lakers in Los Angeles two nights ago. Here, they'll face a desperate Suns squad that has lost four straight and seven of their last eight games overall. I do think Phoenix carries some confidence into this game as it gave Cleveland all it could handle in a 90-88 road loss two nights ago. The Suns have gone back to work defensively, holding four straight opponents to 82 or fewer field goal attempts and their last two foes to just 36 and 30 made field goals. Phoenix has undoubtedly had this rematch with Miami circled on its calendar after dropping a one-point decision in South Beach back in November. Here, we'll note that the Heat are a woeful 3-13 ATS when playing on the road after winning four or five of their last six games ATS over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 2.2 points in that situation. Meanwhile, the Suns are 42-26 ATS when seeking revenge against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 6.5 points on average in that spot. Take Phoenix (8*). |
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01-06-23 | Clippers +3.5 v. Wolves | 115-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Minnesota at 9:10 pm et on Friday. The Clippers got roasted by the Nuggets in Denver last night in a game that was never competitive. That makes it four consecutive losses for Los Angeles, three in a row ATS, but I look for it to bounce back on Friday night in Minnesota. The T'Wolves check in off two straight victories, which comes on the heels of six consecutive defeats. Minnesota is just 11-9 on its home floor this season, only outscoring foes by an average margin of 0.6 points. Off last night's less-than-taxing affair (Paul George played 13 minutes while Kawhi Leonard saw 18 minutes of floor time), look for the Clips to rebound here. Take Los Angeles (8*). |
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01-06-23 | Hornets +11 v. Bucks | 138-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Bucks enter this game off consecutive wins both SU and ATS (we were on board for the first of those two victories) but they're just 2-3 ATS when laying double-digits this season and I expect them to have their hands full with the lowly Hornets on Friday night. Charlotte has lost three straight games both SU and ATS. Sometimes hitting the road isn't a bad thing and I believe that will be the case here after a 1-3 homestand. While Charlotte lost by 24 points against Memphis last time out, it's worth noting that it hasn't dropped consecutive games by double-digits since December 9th and 11th. That's only happened three times previously this season which is notable considering how many games the Hornets have lost (29). The Bucks are only outscoring opponents by an average margin of 2.0 points this season and while that number grows to 8.3 points here at home, that's still considerably lower than the pointspread we're working with tonight. On the flip side, as bad as things have gone for the Hornets, they've been outscored by an average margin of 7.1 points and that number only rises to 7.3 points on the road. In five meetings between these two teams going back to the start of last season, Milwaukee won by double-digits only once. Take Charlotte (8*). |
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01-06-23 | Knicks v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto minus the points over New York at 7:40 pm et on Friday. The Raptors are coming off an absolutely dreadful offensive display against Milwaukee two nights ago as they shot worse than 33% from the field yet still somehow rallied to force overtime in an eventual three-point loss. They check into this game off consecutive SU and ATS losses but I'm confident they'll bounce back against the division-rival Knicks on Friday. Note that New York has won three games in a row but those victories all came against down-trodden squads in the Rockets, Suns and Spurs, with the last two coming on their home floor. They're still just 2-5-1 ATS over their last eight games. You would have to go back 12 meetings here in Toronto - all the way to 2015 - to find the last time they won a game in Toronto. While laying points with the Raptors given their current state seems a little dicey, they've managed to cover the spread in all but two of their 16 straight-up victories this season, and both of those wins still came by four or more points. While the Raps are as healthy as they've been all season, the Knicks are without one of their best players, R.J. Barrett. This is a critical six-game homestand for the Raptors as it will likely decide whether or not they'll be 'selling' at the trade deadline. All is not lost after dropping the opener, I look for them to bounce back here. Take Toronto (10*). |
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01-06-23 | Dartmouth v. Yale OVER 129 | Top | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Ivy League Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Dartmouth and Yale at 7 pm et on Friday. I like the way this one sets up as a higher-scoring affair than most are expecting on Friday night. Dartmouth limps into this game on the heels of six consecutive losses, not to mention six straight 'under' results. The Big Green have done little to slow the pace of the opposition, allowing an average of 61 field goal attempts per game on the season. That spells trouble as Yale likes to push the pace, having hoisted up 60 or more FG attempts in six of its last eight games and gets a chance to show out here at home for the first time since November 30th (each of its last six games were played on the road). The Bulldogs check in off consecutive 'under' results. Note that both teams present a bit of a 'shock to the system' for the opposing defenses in this one as Dartmouth gets off an average of 26 three-point attempts per game while Yale hoists up 24 shots from beyond the arc per contest, with both teams having faced an average of only 19 attempts per game in that department. Last year's matchup between these two teams on Yale's home floor totalled 141 points, despite the two teams getting off just 53 (Dartmouth) and 50 (Yale) FG attempts. You would have to go back 10 meetings here at Yale - all the way to 2012 - to find the last time these two teams combined to score fewer than 130 points in a game against one another. Take the over (10*). |
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01-05-23 | Washington +19 v. Arizona | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Arizona at 11 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Washington in this spot as it hits the road off five consecutive home games (note that it has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games following consecutive home contests) and looks to snap its three-game SU and ATS skid against red hot Arizona. The Wildcats have reeled off seven straight wins but they're just 1-1-1 ATS over their last three contests. Factoring in tonight's lofty pointspread, you would have to go all the way back to 2016 to find the last time Arizona covered a number this high at home against Washington. As talented as the Wildcats are, they're still just 6-7 ATS in lined games this season. I believe they're being asked to lay too many points here. Take Washington (8*). |
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01-05-23 | Portland State +6.5 v. Eastern Washington | Top | 80-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
Big Sky Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Portland State plus the points over Eastern Washington at 9 pm et on Thursday. I really like the way this one sets up for Portland State and perhaps more so as a fade of Eastern Washington, which rolls in on the heels of seven consecutive ATS wins. Portland State has won just once in its last five games although it was the underdog in all five contests so perhaps that was to be expected. The Vikings have faced the 54th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. By contrast, Eastern Washington has gone against the 131rd toughest slate of opponents. I like the consistency the Vikings have shown offensively, knocking down 29, 24, 26 and 23 field goals over their last four games while also limiting nine straight opponents to 58 or fewer field goal attempts. It's a different story for Eastern Washington, particularly at the defensive end of the floor as it has allowed three straight and four of its last five opponents to hoist up more than 60 field goal attempts. Portland State has lost five straight meetings in this series but three of those games were decided by five points or less and the other two were settled by eight points. I expect the Vikings to at the very least take this one down to the wire. Take Portland State (10*). |
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01-05-23 | Southern Miss v. UL - Lafayette -1.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Louisiana minus the points over Southern Miss at 8 pm et on Thursday. Color me unimpressed by Southern Miss' 13-2 record this season as it has faced the 316th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. The Golden Eagles ride into this game off consecutive victories while Louisiana has dropped each of its last three contests and four in a row ATS. Note that the Ragin' Cajuns have gone against the 175th toughest slate of opponents by the same strength of schedule metric. Louisiana owns a perfect 5-0 record at home this season where it has outscored opponents by just shy of 30.0 points per contest. This is obviously a tougher matchup although it's worth noting that Louisiana handled Southern Miss by 21 points in last season's lone meeting. Southern Miss started the season hot on the road but has now dropped two of its last three away from home, with the lone win coming as a -13.5-point favorite against Lamar. Take Louisiana (10*). |
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01-05-23 | Purdue +1.5 v. Ohio State | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Purdue plus the points over Ohio State at 7 pm et on Thursday. Simple bounce-back play supporting the Boilermakers here as they look to rebound after losing outright at home against Rutgers last time out. Purdue has now dropped the cash in eight straight games and faces an Ohio State squad that has won three games in a row both SU and ATS. I simply feel the Boilermakers are the better team at both ends of the floor and will prove it with a convincing victory on Thursday. Take Purdue (8*). |
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01-05-23 | Maryland +6.5 v. Rutgers | 50-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Maryland plus the points over Rutgers at 6:30 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Maryland here as it looks to snap a two-game ATS skid against a Rutgers squad that has won four in a row both SU and ATS. We missed the mark fading the Scarlet Knights last time out, but that was as big underdogs at Purdue. Off that upset victory, I do see fit to against Rutgers again here. Note that Maryland has faced the 100th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. Rutgers checks in 179th by the same strength of schedule metric. The Terps shot a miserable 26.5% from the field in their last game - a blowout loss at Michigan. I don't think it will be difficult to put that uncompetitive affair behind them and rebound here. Take Maryland (8*). |
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01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls +5.5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Brooklyn at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Nets look unstoppable right now having won 12 straight games. I don't think we'll see Chicago back down easily on Wednesday, however, noting that the Bulls already defeated the Nets in Brooklyn this season and have taken three of four matchups in this series going back to the start of last season. The Bulls are fresh off a tough overtime loss against the Cavs on Monday as Cleveland got an other-worldly performance from Donovan Mitchell. At 5-2-1 ATS over its last eight games, Chicago does continue to play well. Here, I think the Nets are in for a letdown after absolutely shooting the lights out (60% or better from the field) in consecutive games. While Chicago is just an even 9-9 on its home floor this season, it has managed to outscored the opposition by an average margin of 1.1 points. The Nets are 12-7 on the road but outscore opponents by just 1.9 points on average. I simply feel the Bulls are catching too many points here. Take Chicago (10*). |
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01-04-23 | New Mexico State +2.5 v. Stephen F Austin | 60-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Mexico State plus the points over Stephen F. Austin at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. This one sets up nicely for New Mexico State as it hits the road on the heels of consecutive losses SU and four in a row ATS. The sky is not falling for the Aggies, however, noting that they've faced an incredibly tough schedule this season - 58th most difficult in the nation according to KenPom. They're just 1-3 SU in true road games but 2-1-1 ATS with a pair of losses by three points or less. Stephen F. Austin is coming off four consecutive SU wins and two in a row ATS. Note that the Lumberjacks have faced the 284th toughest schedule in the country this season. They're a woeful 3-12 ATS when coming off two ATS wins in their last three games over the last three seasons, as is the case here. I like the fact that the Aggies, despite facing the much tougher schedule, have proven to be the better defensive team, holding opponents to the same number of made field goals per game (23) despite allowing five more field goal attempts per contest compared to SFA. Note that the road team took both meetings between these two squads last season. Take New Mexico State (8*). |
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01-04-23 | Tulsa +13.5 v. Tulane | 77-93 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tulsa plus the points over Tulane at 7 pm et on Wednesday. The wheels have come off for Tulsa lately as it checks in off three consecutive losses SU and riding an inexplicable 10-game ATS losing skid. I expect the Golden Hurricane to right the ship here, or at the very least give Tulane all it can handle. It's not as if the Green Wave have been rolling. They're just 2-10 ATS over their last 12 contests. While Tulsa hasn't exactly faced the best of the best, ranked 135th in the country in terms of strength of schedule according to KenPom, that's still far better than Tulane, which has faced the 311th most difficult slate of opponents. After getting blasted by 34 points as a short 3.5-point underdog against Tulane last year, I think we can count on Tulsa to bring its best effort here. Take Tulsa (8*). |
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01-04-23 | Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech +6.5 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on Georgia Tech plus the points over Miami at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I like the way this spot sets up for Georgia Tech as it looks to snap Miami's nine-game winning streak on Wednesday night. The Hurricanes roll in red hot off consecutive ATS wins, including an outright underdog win over Virginia and most recently a double-digit road victory against Notre Dame. Still, we'll note that the Canes have faced just the 132nd most difficult schedule in the country this season while Georgia Tech has gone against the 70th toughest slate of opponents (according to KenPom). The Yellow Jackets will obviously be amped up for this matchup as they check in off consecutive blowout home losses against Clemson and Virginia. Things won't get any easier after this game with road tilts against Florida State and Notre Dame on deck. This is undoubtedly a matchup the Jackets have had circled after dropping both matchups against the Canes last season. Of note, they were listed a just three-point underdogs in last year's home meeting with Miami. Georgia Tech is a long-term 79-53 ATS when coming off a game in which it scored 60 points or less, as is the case here, and also 81-52 ATS when following consecutive losses against conference opponents. Take Georgia Tech (10*). |
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01-03-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State -10 | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boise State minus the points over San Jose State at 9 pm et on Tuesday. We'll lay the points with the Broncos as they look to bounce back from consecutive losses (both came on the road) when they host San Jose State on Tuesday. Boise State has lost only four game this season and three of those came away from home. Here in Boise, the Broncos check in 5-1 on the campaign, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 20.4 points. San Jose State rolls in off six straight ATS victories, including three in a row straight-up. All records aren't created equal in college hoops, however, as we note that the Spartans have faced the 194th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. Boise State checks in having gone against the 103rd toughest slate of opponents. The Broncos closed as a 22-point favorite in this same matchup last season. While they failed to cover that lofty pointspread, they still won by a comfortable 16-point margin. Take Boise State (8*). |
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01-03-23 | Virginia -5 v. Pittsburgh | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Virginia minus the points over Pittsburgh at 9 pm et on Tuesday. We missed the mark fading Pittsburgh in its most recent game as it staged a furious second half rally in an eventual upset win over North Carolina. The Panthers have now reeled off nine consecutive ATS wins but I look for that streak to end here against Virginia. The Cavaliers snapped their seven-game ATS skid with an 18-point road win over Georgia Tech last time out. Note that Virginia has faced the 54th most difficult schedule in the nation this season according to KenPom and has certainly held its own going 10-2 SU, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 11.2 points along the way. Pitt, meanwhile, has faced the country's 140th toughest schedule and while its 7-1 home record is impressive, it is perhaps less so when you consider the victory over North Carolina was the first of note, with it falling by 25 points in its lone previous step-up game at home against West Virginia back in November. Take Virginia (8*). |
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01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -8 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Washington at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. Handicapping 101 dictates a play on the Bucks here as they host the Wizards in the second of a two-game set in Milwaukee after dropping Sunday's contest by 23 points (without Giannis in the lineup). The fact that Giannis was understandable as 'load management' came in to play following his 43-20 game in a win and cover against the T'Wolves two nights earlier. Milwaukee has admittedly struggled lately, losing five of its last six games, while the Wizards are riding a five-game winning streak. Here, we'll note though that the Wiz are 93-125 ATS when coming off an outright victory as a road underdog going all the way back to 1996. Worse still, they're 20-40 ATS when playing on the road off a double-digit win as an underdog over the same stretch, outscored by an average margin of 10.7 points in that situation. Despite their recent struggles, the Bucks remain a stellar 15-4 SU and 13-6 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 8.2 points on average. Take Milwaukee (8*). |
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01-03-23 | LSU v. Kentucky -9 | 71-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kentucky minus the points over LSU at 8 pm et on Tuesday. Kentucky enters this contest riding an inexplicable 0-7 ATS skid but the Wildcats are favored by a considerable margin for good reason as they host LSU. The Tigers check in off an outright underdog win at Arkansas, snapping a three-game ATS losing streak of their own. Note that LSU has faced the 328th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. While Kentucky hasn't exactly faced a grueling slate, it has gone against the 169th toughest set of opponents. Here, we'll note that Kentucky has outscored the opposition by an average margin of 10.2 points when playing at home after losing consecutive games ATS over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Take Kentucky (8*). |
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01-03-23 | Ohio v. Buffalo +1.5 | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
MAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Buffalo plus the points over Ohio at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I really like the way this one sets up for Buffalo as it looks to rebound after suffering losses in three of its last four games. There's really no shame in that slide as the three losses came against Tulane, West Virginia and Michigan State with none of those contests coming at home. Even against Tulane the Bulls were seven-point underdogs. All told, Buffalo has faced the 23rd most difficult schedule in the nation this season according to KenPom. In stark contrast, Ohio has gone against the 196th toughest slate of opponents. In spite of that, Ohio is just 2-5 on the road while Buffalo checks in 4-1 on its home floor. This is undoubtedly a game the Bulls have had circled since dropping last year's matchup against the Bobcats by an ugly 74-53 score as a 2.5-point home favorite. In fact, Ohio has taken the last two meetings between these MAC schools but that's its longest win streak in this series since winning seven in a row over the Bulls from 2011 to 2014. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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01-03-23 | Marquette v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Big East Game of the Month. My selection is on St. John's plus the points over Marquette at 6:30 pm et on Tuesday. The Red Storm got off to a hot start this season but check into this matchup on the heels of three straight losses both SU and ATS. Shooting woes have cost them lately but I look for them to get that straightened out against Marquette on Tuesday. While the Golden Eagles have been terrific this season and check in off consecutive victories, including an outright underdog win at Villanova last time out, it's worth noting that they're still just an even 3-3 on the road (they've suffered only four losses the entire season so that's notable). Meanwhile, St. John's is 8-1 at home and will be eager to erase the memory of an 84-79 loss to Xavier the last time it took the floor here on December 28th. Note that the Red Storm are 20-8 ATS when playing at home after losing six or seven of their last eight games ATS going all the way back to 1997, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 8.6 points in that spot. Take St. John's (10*). |
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01-02-23 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 229 | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Non-Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Indiana at 7:10 pm et on Monday. The Pacers enter this game on the heels of three consecutive 'over' results - their longest such streak of the season to date. I don't believe tonight's opponent, the Toronto Raptors, will have any interest in getting involved in a track meet, noting that Indiana has shot the lights out over its last three games, putting up 129, 135 and 131 points in reeling off three straight victories. The first meeting between these two teams totalled just 222 points back in November. Toronto dropped that game by double-digits, pushing the pace to its own detriment, shooting just 37-of-94 from the field. After snapping its two-game skid with defense last time out (Toronto limited Phoenix to 35-of-71 shooting), I'm expecting the Raps be selective at the offensive end of the floor, noting that they've hoisted up 84 or fewer field goal attempts in three of their last four games. Having held the opposition to just 81 FG attempts on average on the road this season, Toronto's gameplan is fairly clear at this point. As I mentioned, the Pacers have been shooting the lights out. The pace hasn't necessarily been there for such high-scoring results though, noting that they've gotten off 88 or fewer FG attempts in four of their last five contests. Given we've seen point totals of 218, 191, 211, 222 and 222 in five meetings between these two teams going back to the start of last season, I believe tonight's total will once again prove too high. Take the under (10*). |
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01-02-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -7 | Top | 65-64 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
Big Ten Game of the Month. My selection is on Purdue minus the points over Rutgers at 7 pm et on Monday. The Boilermakers have been absolutely burning bettors for over a month now, going 0-6-1 ATS over their last seven contests going all the way back to November 30th. I expect that slump to end here, however, as they host seemingly red hot Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights have reeled off three straight wins both SU and ATS but streaks aren't all created equal. Note that Rutgers has faced the 249th toughest schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. That's in stark contrast to Purdue, which has gone against the 128th most difficult slate of opponents. Both teams are coming off consecutive glorified scrimmages against overmatched opponents. Here, I can't help but feel Rutgers is in for a 'shock to its system' after getting off 67 and 75 field goal attempts in its last two games and now facing a Purdue squad that allows just 56 FG attempts per contest here at home this season. Take Purdue (10*). |
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01-01-23 | USC v. Washington State -1 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington State minus the points over USC at 3 pm et on Sunday. We won with Washington State in an underdog role on Friday as they fell just a point short of pulling the upset against UCLA. I won't hesitate to come right back with them on Sunday as they stay at home to host USC, which rides a seven-game SU and three-game ATS winning streak, including a double-digit win at Washington on Friday. We'll note again that the Cougars have faced the 20th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. USC has gone against the 128th toughest slate of opponents. Look for Washington State to snap its three-game skid on Sunday. Take Washington State (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Northern Colorado v. Idaho State | 83-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Colorado over Idaho State at 8 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Bears as they look to snap their three-game SU and two-game ATS losing streaks on Saturday. Idaho State checks in off consecutive ATS wins, including a 26-point rout of Northern Arizona last time out. Keep in mind, it has faced the 275th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom while Northern Colorado has gone against the 57th toughest slate of opponents. This is a true 'get right' spot for the Bears but isn't being priced like it at all. Take Northern Colorado (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Cavs v. Bulls UNDER 224.5 | Top | 103-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Chicago at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this one sets up as a lower-scoring game than most are expecting on Saturday. The Cavs have seen each of their last five games go 'over' the total while the Bulls enter riding a four-game 'over' streak. Note that both teams shot the lights out in their most recent game with Cleveland knocking down 50-of-96 field goal attempts and Chicago hitting 53-of-92. I'm certainly not anticipating a repeat performance from either team on Saturday. Despite its recent 'over' streak, Cleveland has held four straight opponents to 85 or fewer field goal attempts. It has allowed the opposition to knock down an average of only 39 field goals per contest on the road this season. Chicago yielded just 86 FG attempts in last night's double-digit win over the Pistons. It has now held five of its last six opponents to a reasonable 43 or fewer made field goals. The only previous matchup between these two teams this season reached 224 total points but it got there thanks to the Cavs exploding for 128. Take the under (10*). |
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12-31-22 | Cal-Riverside v. Long Beach State -2 | 73-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Long Beach State minus the points over Cal-Riverside at 6 pm et on Saturday. We'll back Long Beach State to bounce back here off a tough two-point loss against Cal-San Diego last time out - its second straight ATS defeat. Riverside enters off consecutive wins, both SU and ATS and has faced the slightly tougher schedule this season according to KenPom (seven places higher than LBSU). However, the 49ers have done a considerably better job defensively, allowing just one more made field goal per game on six additional attempts on average. LBSU has also been better offensively, getting off three more field goal attempts per game and making good on all three. Take Long Beach State (8*). |
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12-31-22 | New Mexico v. Wyoming +3.5 | Top | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Mountain West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Wyoming plus the points over New Mexico at 4 pm et on Saturday. Wyoming has more than just held its own against New Mexico in recent years, taking three of four meetings between these two teams since the start of the 2020-21 season. Here, the Cowboys will look to hand the Lobos their first loss of the season, and I'm confident they'll do just that on Saturday afternoon in Laramie. Note that Wyoming enters this game off three consecutive losses both SU and ATS. None of those games were played at home, where the Cowboys have reeled off consecutive wins (both SU and ATS), scoring more than 90 points on each occasion. New Mexico is a perfect 13-0 SU on the campaign and rides a three-game ATS winning streak into this showdown. However, the Lobos have only faced the 264th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. For comparison's sake, Wyoming has faced the 185th toughest slate of opponents. Take Wyoming (10*). |
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12-31-22 | St. Thomas v. South Dakota State -4 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on South Dakota State minus the points over St. Thomas at 3 pm et on Saturday. We successfully faded St. Thomas two nights ago as it dropped the cash for the first time in five games in a loss at South Dakota. Here, we'll fade the overvalued side again as it stays on the road to face South Dakota State. Note that St. Thomas checks in having faced the 338th toughest schedule in the nation this season. There's no comparison between these two teams in that regard as South Dakota State has gone against the 21st most difficult slate of opponents this season. You would have to go back five lined games, all the way to December 3rd, to find the last time South Dakota State covered the spread. That changes here. Take South Dakota State (8*). |
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12-31-22 | North Carolina-Asheville v. Winthrop -1.5 | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winthrop minus the points over UNC-Asheville at 2 pm et on Saturday. These two teams check in with opposite records on the campaign but not all records are created equal in college hoops with a large discrepancy in strength of schedule often in place. That's the case here as Asheville has faced the 255th toughest schedule in the country on its way to a 9-5 record while Winthrop has gone 5-9 facing the country's 75th most difficult slate of opponents. Winthrop enters this game riding a four-game losing streak but all four of those setbacks came on the road. Here, it catches UNC-Asheville in a prime letdown spot off a four-point home win (as a -1.5-point favorite) against Radford. We'll lay the short number with the Eagles. Take Winthrop (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Longwood v. Campbell +2 | 67-42 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Campbell plus the points over Longwood at 2 pm et on Saturday. We'll fade Longwood as it hits the road on the heels of three consecutive ATS victories on Saturday. Note that it has faced the 327th toughest schedule in the nation this season according to KenPom. Campbell on the other hand has gone against the 262nd most difficult slate of opponents and is in a prime bounce-back spot here off three consecutive losses (two in a row ATS), returning home following an outright loss as a short road favorite at Presbyterian (it lost that game by only four points). Campbell's last two opponents have shot the lights out but that's unlikely here as Longwood as knocked down less than 43% of its field goal attempts in four of its last five games. Take Campbell (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota -2.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on South Dakota minus the points over Western Illinois at 2 pm et on Saturday. We won with South Dakota two nights ago as it rolled to a win over St. Thomas. Here, I believe it faces another overvalued side in Western Illinois, which has faced the 307th toughest schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. In stark contrast, South Dakota has gone against the 132nd most difficult slate of opponents. The victory and cover over St. Thomas was South Dakota's first victory, SU or ATS, in its last five contests. I expect it to use that win as a jumping-off point here. Western Illinois checks in off consecutive ATS victories but lost by seven points at South Dakota State two nights back. Look for South Dakota to improve to a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS in the last six meetings in this series on Saturday. Take South Dakota (8*). |
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12-30-22 | UCLA v. Washington State +8.5 | Top | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
Pac-12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington State plus the points over UCLA at 11 pm et on Friday. We'll grab all the points we can get with Washington State in this Pac-12 matchup as the Cougars look to snap their two-game skid - which represents their longest losing streak of the season. Washington State has fallen out of favor with bettors on the heels of three consecutive ATS losses, but I simply feel they're catching too many points here. UCLA has won eight straight games, including three in a row ATS heading in. The Bruins current three-game ATS win streak includes victories over Maryland and Kentucky but I can't help but feel that leaves them overvalued here. Note that while UCLA has faced a tough schedule - 69th most difficult in the nation according to KenPom - Washington State has gone against the 38th toughest. Take Washington State (10*). |
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Sean Murphy Basketball Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-04-23 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame OVER 148.5 | Top | 81-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
02-03-23 | Blazers v. Wizards -4 | Top | 124-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
02-03-23 | Cornell v. Princeton OVER 157 | Top | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
02-02-23 | California v. Colorado -15.5 | Top | 46-59 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
02-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets OVER 232.5 | Top | 117-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
02-01-23 | Warriors v. Wolves +3.5 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
02-01-23 | Penn State +10.5 v. Purdue | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
01-31-23 | Kansas State v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
01-31-23 | Heat v. Cavs -5 | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
01-30-23 | Magic +10.5 v. 76ers | 119-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
01-30-23 | Virginia v. Syracuse +5.5 | Top | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
01-29-23 | Pelicans v. Bucks UNDER 235 | 110-135 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
01-29-23 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Bucks | 110-135 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
01-28-23 | Nuggets v. 76ers UNDER 231.5 | 119-126 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
01-28-23 | Alabama v. Oklahoma +6.5 | 69-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
01-28-23 | Texas Tech v. LSU OVER 132 | Top | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
01-27-23 | Magic +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
01-26-23 | UCLA v. USC OVER 130 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
01-26-23 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 221 | 113-95 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
01-25-23 | Louisville v. Boston College OVER 133.5 | Top | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
01-25-23 | Nuggets +8 v. Bucks | Top | 99-107 | Push | 0 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
01-24-23 | Oklahoma State +8 v. Texas | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
01-24-23 | Kansas State v. Iowa State -5 | Top | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
01-24-23 | Wizards v. Mavs OVER 224.5 | Top | 127-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
01-23-23 | Grizzlies -1 v. Kings | 100-133 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
01-23-23 | Kansas v. Baylor UNDER 149.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
01-23-23 | Hawks v. Bulls -1 | Top | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
01-22-23 | Grizzlies -8.5 v. Suns | Top | 110-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
01-22-23 | Washington State v. Colorado UNDER 137 | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
01-21-23 | Bucks v. Cavs -1.5 | Top | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
01-21-23 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +1.5 | 62-60 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
01-20-23 | Nets v. Jazz -6.5 | 117-106 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
01-20-23 | St. Peter's +4 v. Marist | Top | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
01-19-23 | UCLA v. Arizona State OVER 135 | Top | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
01-19-23 | Nets -1 v. Suns | Top | 112-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
01-18-23 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 128.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
01-18-23 | Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 222 | Top | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
01-17-23 | Clemson v. Wake Forest OVER 147 | Top | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
01-17-23 | Nets v. Spurs UNDER 235 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
01-16-23 | Princeton v. Pennsylvania UNDER 145.5 | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
01-16-23 | Pacers v. Bucks OVER 228.5 | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
01-15-23 | Thunder +4.5 v. Nets | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
01-15-23 | Marist v. Niagara -5 | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Utah v. USC UNDER 135.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Bradley v. Drake OVER 128.5 | Top | 61-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
01-14-23 | Celtics v. Hornets +8 | 122-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Air Force v. Fresno State OVER 123 | 51-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Virginia v. Florida State OVER 131 | 67-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Troy State v. Appalachian State OVER 133.5 | 45-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Pennsylvania v. Dartmouth UNDER 141.5 | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Bucks +1.5 v. Heat | 95-111 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Wisconsin v. Indiana OVER 135.5 | Top | 45-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
01-13-23 | Thunder v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 124-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
01-13-23 | Siena v. Niagara +2.5 | 70-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
01-12-23 | Mavs -3 v. Lakers | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
01-12-23 | Bucks v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
01-11-23 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS Bakersfield +9 | Top | 60-48 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
01-11-23 | Tulane v. SMU +5 | 97-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
01-11-23 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Celtics | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
01-11-23 | New Hampshire v. Maine -3 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
01-11-23 | Furman v. Mercer +7 | Top | 84-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
01-10-23 | Pistons v. 76ers UNDER 229.5 | Top | 116-147 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
01-10-23 | Ball State v. Ohio -2.5 | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
01-10-23 | Oklahoma State +5 v. Kansas State | Top | 57-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
01-10-23 | VCU v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 137 | Top | 78-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
01-09-23 | Florida A&M +16 v. Grambling State | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
01-08-23 | Rider +6.5 v. Siena | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
01-07-23 | Pelicans v. Mavs -7 | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
01-06-23 | Heat v. Suns +1.5 | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
01-06-23 | Clippers +3.5 v. Wolves | 115-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
01-06-23 | Hornets +11 v. Bucks | 138-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
01-06-23 | Knicks v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
01-06-23 | Dartmouth v. Yale OVER 129 | Top | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
01-05-23 | Washington +19 v. Arizona | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
01-05-23 | Portland State +6.5 v. Eastern Washington | Top | 80-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
01-05-23 | Southern Miss v. UL - Lafayette -1.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
01-05-23 | Purdue +1.5 v. Ohio State | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
01-05-23 | Maryland +6.5 v. Rutgers | 50-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls +5.5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
01-04-23 | New Mexico State +2.5 v. Stephen F Austin | 60-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
01-04-23 | Tulsa +13.5 v. Tulane | 77-93 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
01-04-23 | Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech +6.5 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
01-03-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State -10 | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
01-03-23 | Virginia -5 v. Pittsburgh | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -8 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
01-03-23 | LSU v. Kentucky -9 | 71-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
01-03-23 | Ohio v. Buffalo +1.5 | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
01-03-23 | Marquette v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
01-02-23 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 229 | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
01-02-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -7 | Top | 65-64 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
01-01-23 | USC v. Washington State -1 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | Northern Colorado v. Idaho State | 83-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | Cavs v. Bulls UNDER 224.5 | Top | 103-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
12-31-22 | Cal-Riverside v. Long Beach State -2 | 73-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | New Mexico v. Wyoming +3.5 | Top | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
12-31-22 | St. Thomas v. South Dakota State -4 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | North Carolina-Asheville v. Winthrop -1.5 | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | Longwood v. Campbell +2 | 67-42 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota -2.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
12-30-22 | UCLA v. Washington State +8.5 | Top | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |