Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-16-19 | Florida +3 v. Auburn | 62-65 | Push | 0 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida plus the points over Auburn at 1 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams have obviously impressed so far in this tournament and while Florida would appear to be in a prime letdown spot following yesterday's come-from-behind win over favored LSU, I actually expect that victory to fuel the Gators fire against Auburn on Saturday. The Tigers got the better of the Gators in their lone regular season meeting, their first win in what seems like an eternity in this series. I simply feel that these two teams are mirror images of one another and that the right move is to grab the points in a game that could easily go either way. Behind another balanced offensive performance, look for the Gators to hang tough for 40 minutes and put Auburn's SEC title hopes in doubt. Take Florida (10*). |
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03-15-19 | Bucks -5 v. Heat | 113-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Miami at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Bucks on Friday night in Miami. We won with Milwaukee last time out as it shook out of a mini-slump with a blowout win in New Orleans. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Despite its recent struggles to find the win column, Milwaukee checks in third in offensive rating and first in defensive rating over its last five games. The Heat, on the other hand, sit 23rd and eighth in those two categories, respectively over that same stretch. Miami has actually been winning with some consistency, notching five victories in its last six games. However, when it last stepped up in class against the Raptors last Sunday, it lost by 21 points. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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03-15-19 | Grambling State v. Prairie View A&M -3.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Prairie View A&M minus the points over Grambling at 3:30 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Panthers in this matchup. Prairie View will fly below most bettors' radar, after all they've gone just 20-12 SU and 16-14-1 ATS overall this season. But the Panthers have been the class of the SWAC, posting an 18-1 record in-conference. Meanwhile, Grambling has had an ok season, going 11-8 in conference play, thanks in large part to four straight wins entering this contest. Keep in mind, all four of those wins came against losing opponents, with two of them coming against two of the worst teams in the nation. Grambling was competitive in its home matchup with Prairie View during the regular season but still dropped the cash in both matchups, including a 17-point loss on the road. Take Prairie View A&M (10*). |
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03-14-19 | UMKC v. Utah Valley -9 | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
WAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Utah Valley minus the points over UMKC at 9 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with Utah Valley on Thursday night as it aims to march on in the WAC Tournament in Las Vegas. The Wolverines have been absolutely rolling since early January, with only two losses dating back to January 12th and both of those came against the top team in the conference, New Mexico State, which has gone 27-4 this season. It's worth noting that both of those games could have gone either way with the Aggies winning by five and seven points. UMKC closed out the regular season with a beatdown of Chicago State but that's nothing to brag about as the Cougars have only three wins to their credit this season. Prior to that, UMKC's last win came on February 16th. While both regular season meetings in this series went to Utah Valley, neither game was a real blowout. I feel that will help keep the Wolverines guard up here. Take Utah Valley (10*). |
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03-14-19 | Cavs +8 v. Magic | Top | 91-120 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week. My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Orlando at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Magic were one of the hottest teams in the league a short time ago, but that certainly isn't the case now as they limp into this game losers of back-to-back and four of their last five games overall. Their lone victory over that stretch came by five points at home against the Mavs. Cleveland has shown signs of life lately, including an upset win over the Raptors on Monday night. The Cavs have been pushing the pace a little more lately, ranking 18th in the league in pace rating over their last five games. That's a marked improvement as they had been pulling up the rear in that department a couple of weeks ago. The Magic currently rank 27th in pace rating over that same stretch. The Cavs also sit in the top half of the league in both offensive and defensive rating over those last five contests. By contrast, the Magic are 29th and 18th, respectively. I'll grab the generous helping of points with the underdog Cavs here. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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03-14-19 | Delaware State v. North Carolina Central -11 | 57-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on N.C. Central minus the points over Delaware State at 6 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Eagles as they take on Delaware State on Thursday evening. N.C. Central last lost only two games since February 9th and those losses came against the two top ranked teams in the MEAC in Norfolk State and North Carolina A&T, both of which advanced in this tournament with victories last night. Delaware State has only six wins to its credit this season, finishing 12th in the MEAC. The last time these two teams met back on February 11th, the Eagles rolled to a 35-point victory. The Hornets of course did win their tournament opener but that came against Savannah State, a team that ranks seventh in the MEAC with an 11-20 record. Delaware State will be taking a bigger step up in class here. Take N.C. Central (10*). |
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03-14-19 | Chicago State v. New Mexico State -26 | 49-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Mexico State minus the points over Chicago State at 3 pm et on Thursday. There's already a sizable class different between New Mexico State and the rest of the WAC but here that will be even more pronounced as the Aggies take on last place Chicago State, a team that hasn't won since way back on December 6th, and that victory came against the likes of Trinity Christian. Neither regular season meeting between these two teams was close, with New Mexico State winning by 44 and 34-point margins. Of course, there's a chance the Aggies could overlook the Cougars here, but I don't see it. New Mexico State took its foot off the gas in the second half against Cal Baptist in its regular season finale, outscored by 14 points over those 20 minutes. Here I look for a focused 40-minute effort from the Aggies. Take New Mexico State (10*). |
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03-13-19 | Jazz -7.5 v. Suns | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Phoenix at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. These teams appear to be heading in opposite directions and we've actually cashed with the Suns in each of their last two games including Sunday's stunning outright win at Golden State. However, I believe it's time to jump ship here as Phoenix returns home to host what will be a highly-motivated Jazz squad. Needless to say, this is a big letdown spot for the Suns. This is still a team that owns just 16 wins and a losing ATS record this season. The Jazz have dropped back-to-back games since a win and cover in New Orleans last week (we won with Utah in that game). Keep in mind, those two setbacks came against a surging Grizzlies squad and the Thunder. Utah should settle back in here against an opponent it defeated by 28 points in their lone previous meeting this season. Take Utah (10*). |
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03-13-19 | Houston Baptist v. Lamar -4 | Top | 79-81 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
NCAAB Southland Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Lamar minus the points over Houston Baptist at 6 pm et on Wednesday. I really like the way this matchup sets up for Lamar and why not? After all, the Cardinals just defeated the Huskies by 35 points back in February. In fact, Lamar has lost only two games dating back to January 26th and those came against the two best teams in the Southland Conference, Abilene-Christian and Sam Houston State. Houston Baptist has played much better basketball since the start of February, finishing eighth in the Southland Conference. The Huskies did defeat Lamar by six points at home back on January 2nd with Ian DuBose going off for 33 points in that overtime victory. That one clearly could have gone either way and the Cardinals certainly proved their superiority in the aforementioned next meeting. I'll lay the relatively short number here. Take Lamar (10*). |
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03-12-19 | Blazers v. Clippers +2.5 | 125-104 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Portland at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Clippers are rolling right now, winners of five games in a row to strengthen their playoff positioning in the Western Conference. Just last night they put up 140 points in a rout of the Celtics. I look for them to keep it going on Tuesday night against the Blazers. Portland has been playing well also but we cashed a ticket fading them against the lowly Suns last time out and that makes it there ATS losses in a row following a seven-game ATS winning streak. The Clippers rank second in the league in offensive rating and sixth in defensive rating over their last five games. The Blazers aren't far behind at fifth in the league in offensive rating over that stretch but leave a lot to be desired defensively, ranking 23rd. This has been a tightly-contested series with three previous meetings decided by a total of 18 points this season. Look for the Clips to even up the season series here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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03-12-19 | Bucks -9 v. Pelicans | 130-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll lay the points with the Bucks as they aim to bounce back from a loss in San Antonio on Sunday. The Pelicans lead the league in pace rating over their last five games but I think that works against them in this matchup. The Bucks can run with the best of them and rank eighth in the league in offensive rating over their last five contests. While the Pelicans find themselves in the bottom-third of the league in defensive rating over that stretch, the Bucks sit 16th. After a bit of a surge, the wheels have come off for the Pelicans over their last few games and I look for continuation of that here. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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03-11-19 | Raptors -9.5 v. Cavs | 101-126 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Monday. Fresh off a blowout win in Miami yesterday I look for the Raptors to keep rolling against another inferior opponent in Cleveland on Monday night. Toronto is rounding into form at the defensive end of the floor, just as we expected they would after acquiring Marc Gasol at the trade deadline. The Raps check in eighth in the league in defensive rating over their last five games, and actually sit an identical eighth in offensive rating as well. The Cavs have held their own lately at the offensive end of the floor, ranking 10th in the league in offensive rating over their last five contests. I just don't see them having a great deal of success against the Raptors in that regard tonight, and it's certainly worth noting that Cleveland ranks 29th in the league in defensive rating over that same stretch. With Kawhi Leonard likely back in the lineup for the Raps, I'll lay the points here. Take Toronto (10*). |
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03-10-19 | Suns +17 v. Warriors | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over Golden State at 8:35 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Suns last night in Portland and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as Phoenix goes on to face the Warriors in Oakland on Sunday night. The Suns now rank an impressive fourth in the league in pace rating over their last five games. They also find themselves in the top half of the league in both offensive and defensive rating over that same stretch. The Warriors continue to push the tempo, ranking second in pace rating over their last five games but they haven't made the most of it, sitting 23rd in offensive rating and 19th in defensive rating over that time frame. Shooting for a fifth straight ATS win, I'll back the Suns here. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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03-10-19 | Rockets -8 v. Mavs | 94-93 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Dallas at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Rockets as they aim to continue their surge in Dallas on Sunday night. Houston has won seven games in a row SU and three straight ATS heading into this one. The Rockets rank fourth in the league in offensive rating and eighth in defensive rating over their last five contests. By contrast, the Mavs have hit a wall. They check in 29th in offensive rating and 27th in defensive rating over their last five games. Houston has dropped two of three meetings against Dallas this season but in their lone matchup since the start of 2019 the Rockets prevailed by 16 points. Despite suffering a wrist injury on Friday night, James Harden is expected to play for the Rockets on Sunday night. Even if he doesn't, I still like Houston here. Take Houston (10*). |
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03-09-19 | Suns +12.5 v. Blazers | Top | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this game sets up for the underdog Suns. Phoenix has been playing some of its best basketball of the season, having reeled off three straight wins, albeit with each of those victories coming at home. I do expect the Suns to stay competitive as they hit the road to face the Blazers on Saturday night. Portland has dropped the cash in back-to-back games and has earned just one straight-up victory over its last four contests. It's been 'crazy 8's' for the Suns lately as entering last night's action, they ranked eighth in the league in pace rating, offensive rating and defensive rating over their last five games. Over that same period, Portland finds itself much farther down the pecking order. Notably, the Blazers rank in the bottom half of the league in both pace rating and defensive rating over their last five games. Phoenix is playing with some confidence right now and it should relish the role of spoiler once again on Saturday. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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03-09-19 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota State -15 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
NCAAB Summit League Game of the Year. My selection is on South Dakota State minus the points over Western Illinois at 7 pm et on Saturday. We just saw this same matchup one week ago with the Jackrabbits rolling to a 20-point victory. I don't see this one playing out much differently as the two teams do battle in the Summit League Tournament. There's a major class difference between these two squads. The Leathernecks have managed only three victories since the start of January and none of those wins were considered major upsets. This obviously would be. South Dakota State finished the regular season tops in the Summit League but I don't expect it to let its guard down here, noting that the Jackrabbits have been involved in some close games against tough opposition lately, with four of their last five games being decided by single-digits. Keep in mind, those closer games came against the second, third, fourth and fifth-place teams in the Summit League. This one has blowout written all over it. Take South Dakota State (10*). |
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03-08-19 | Pistons -3.5 v. Bulls | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Pistons have won three games in a row and six of their last seven overall to strengthen their position in the Eastern Conference playoff race. While a letdown could be in order against the lowly Bulls on Friday night, I don't see it happening. Note that Detroit ranks last in the league in pace rating over its last five games but that hasn't really had an adverse effect as the Pistons rank second in the league in offensive rating over that same stretch. They also rank top 10 in defensive rating over that time frame. The Bulls pace has shown signs of lagging lately as they rank in the bottom-third of the league over their last five games in that category. Meanwhile, they've been middle of the pack in both offensive and defensive rating. The Bulls haven't defeated the Pistons since January of last year, dropping all five meetings since. Take Detroit (10*). |
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03-08-19 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Utah at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll grab the points with the Grizzlies as they host the Jazz on Friday night. We won with Utah in its last game, a victory in New Orleans on Wednesday night. I won't hesitate to switch gears here, however, as the Grizzlies have quietly been playing some solid basketball lately. Memphis is actually tops in the league in defensive rating over its last five games. Over that same stretch, the Grizz have gone 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS. By contrast, the Jazz have dropped the cash in three of their last five games and haven't exactly had an easy time with the Grizzlies this season, dropping two of three meetings with their lone victory coming by eight points. Memphis is 6-2 ATS in the last eight matchups in this series. Take Memphis (10*). |
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03-08-19 | Raptors v. Pelicans +5 | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Friday. Bettors have been quick to jump off the Pelicans with all of the drama surrounding Anthony Davis going back to before the trade deadline in February but the fact is, New Orleans has evolved into a pretty solid bet lately. Note that the Pelicans rank tops in the league in pace rating over their last five games. They're also a solid 12th in the league in offensive rating over that same stretch. Even in defensive rating, where they've struggled for the most part, they rank in the top half of the league over their last five contests. The Raptors limp into this game off back-to-back losses. We've actually cashed tickets fading the Raps in each of their last three SU losses. Toronto is a miserable 1-8 ATS over its last nine contests. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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03-07-19 | Pacers v. Bucks -10 | Top | 98-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Indiana at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Bucks are coming off rare back-to-back losses but I fully expect to see them bounce back in a big way in their return home following a long road trip on Thursday night. Milwaukee continues to push the tempo, ranking seventh in the league in pace rating over its last five games. By contrast, the Pacers check in second-last in the league in that same category over the same stretch. And we know the Bucks are more than capable of making the most of that up-tempo style, ranking seventh in the league in offensive rating over that time frame as well. The Pacers have held their own in that department as well but I simply expect them to get overwhelmed defensively here. Indiana checks in 26th in the league in defensive rating over its last five contests. This series hasn't been all that close this season with two of three meetings decided by 16 points or more and the other going the Bucks way by nine. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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03-06-19 | Jazz -4 v. Pelicans | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. Nice bounce-back and quick revenge spot for the Jazz here as they host the Pelicans. New Orleans is on a roll right now, even with Anthony Davis in and out of the lineup and playing very limited minutes. With that being said, I don't see them keeping it rolling as they return home off consecutive games playing in altitude. Note that while the Pelicans rank second in the league in pace rating over their last five games, they're just 15th in offensive rating over that same stretch. Utah holds the edge in both offensive and defensive rating over that five-game sample and the Jazz are obviously the superior all-around team in this matchup, even if things didn't go their way two nights ago. We're being asked to lay a reasonable number in this strong motivational spot for Utah. Take Utah (10*). |
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03-05-19 | Rockets +3.5 v. Raptors | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston plus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the Raptors in a similar spot at home last week against the Celtics but then went ahead and faded them in Sunday's overtime loss in Detroit. Toronto will have Kawhi Leonard back at its disposal tonight but I'm not sure that will be enough. The Rockets have won five games in a row, scoring at least 115 points in all five contests. Sunday's game wasn't really as close as the final score indicated in Boston as the Rockets let up in the fourth quarter. They won't be afforded that luxury on Tuesday night as the Raptors present a bigger challenge. With that being said, I like catching points with a team playing as well, and with as much confidence as the Rockets. Take Houston (10*). |
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03-05-19 | Bulls +7.5 v. Pacers | Top | 96-105 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Indiana at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab the generous helping of points with the Bulls as they continue to play well despite most believing they're in 'tank mode'. Chicago has gone 5-2 ATS over its last seven games and has won four games in a row straight-up on the road. While the Bulls rank only 19th in the league in pace rating over their last five games, the Pacers have been far worse, ranking 29th. In terms of offensive rating, the Bulls sit just one spot behind the Pacers over that same stretch, ranking sixth. After a terrific run, the Pacers have now gone 1-3 straight-up and ATS over their last four games. The Bulls have grabbed the cash in three straight and five of the last six meetings in this series and I look for them to hang tough again tonight. Take Chicago (10*). |
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03-04-19 | Clippers +4.5 v. Lakers | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers plus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers at 10:35 pm et on Monday. Everything seemed to come unglued for the Lakers on Saturday night in Phoenix and now their chances of reaching the playoffs are all but gone. Meanwhile the Clippers are in the thick of the playoff picture sitting six games over .500 and with only two losses over their last six games, with both of those coming in altitude in Denver and Salt Lake City. Both of these teams are top 10 in pace rating over their last five games, with the Clippers leading the way in a tie for fifth in the league in that department. While the Clips have lagged a bit offensively, not making the most of that pace they've been playing at, they catch a favorable matchup here with the Lakers ranking 25th in the league in defensive rating over their last five games. By contrast, the Clippers rank an impressive sixth in that category. Not surprisingly, there's no home court advantage to speak of here with both teams calling Staples Center home. In fact, the 'road' team has won four straight meetings in this series. Take the Los Angeles Clippers (10*). |
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03-03-19 | Raptors v. Pistons +4.5 | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Toronto at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Pistons on Sunday as they host the Raptors in Auburn Hills. Detroit ranks last in the league in pace rating over its last five games but the slow play has actually been working for it. Note that the Pistons have won eight of their last 10 games overall. They also check in sporting a solid 18-13 home record. Over their last five contests, the Pistons rank second in the league in offensive rating and sit just one spot below the Raptors in defensive rating, ranking 11th. Toronto is certainly rolling along right now, but the Raps have been far from invincible on the road, where they've lost 11 games this season. The Pistons actually took the lone previous matchup in this series this season, delivering a 106-104 win in Toronto back in November. Take Detroit (10*). |
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03-02-19 | Lakers -6.5 v. Suns | 109-118 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. We cashed a ticket fading the Suns last night as the Pelicans rallied to win by double-digits right here in the desert. There's little reason to expect anything different on Saturday night as the highly-motivated Lakers challenge the lowly Suns off a hard-fought home loss against the Bucks last night. Phoenix has few redeeming qualities. Not only does it have only 12 straight-up victories this season, it has gone just 26-37 ATS. None of the three previous meetings between these two teams this season have been close, with the Lakers winning all three games by double-digits. Note that over their last five games, the Suns check in 25th in the league in offensive rating and 29th in defensive rating. They have done a nice job pushing the pace, ranking ninth in pace rating over that time frame, but the Lakers have been even better, ranking fifth in the league. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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03-02-19 | Belmont -13.5 v. SE Missouri State | Top | 84-66 | Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show |
NCAAB Ohio Valley Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Belmont minus the points over Southeast Missouri State at 8 pm et on Saturday. Belmont is one of the country's best kept secrets, having gone 24-4 overall this season, currently sitting atop the Ohio Valley Conference standings. The Bruins have now scored 90+ points in four straight games and I don't believe Southeast Missouri State will prove to be any match for them on Saturday night, noting that Belmont already took the first meeting between these two teams this season by 26 points. Just two nights ago, the Bruins routed Tennessee- Martin 112-67 as 11.5-point favorites. Southeast Missouri State is coming off a blowout win of its own, but that came against 9-20 Tennessee State. Expect a rout on Saturday night. Take Belmont (10*). |
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03-01-19 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Suns | 130-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Friday. Not all that concerned with the status of Anthony Davis in this one. If he plays, we'll consider it a bonus. The fact is, I expect the Pelicans to roll past the Suns, who are coming off their first win in a long time last time out against Miami. The Suns currently rank 28th in the league in both offensive and defensive rating over their last five games. Meanwhile, the Pelicans appear poised to take advantage, ranking second in the league in pace rating over that same stretch. Coming off a narrow loss against the Lakers in Los Angeles two nights ago, look for the Pelicans to bounce back in the desert on Friday night. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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02-28-19 | Jazz +7 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
NBA on TNT Game of the Month. My selection is on Utah plus the points over Denver at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. The Nuggets are certainly rolling along right now, winners of five games in a row to move to an impressive 42-18 overall this season. I do expect them to face a serious challenge on Thursday night, however, as they host the Jazz. Utah continues to battle for playoff positioning, currently sitting sixth in the Western Conference. The Jazz just wrapped up a perfect 2-0 homestand last night which was much needed after dropping a couple of close ones on the road at Golden State and Oklahoma City. I like the way they've battled and believe they can hang here in Denver, where they lost 103-88 much earlier in the season. I do think they're a different team now and I like the way the spot sets up here as they hit the road for this one-gamer before returning home to host the Bucks on Saturday. Utah's pace of play may handicap it a bit in this particular matchup, but the Jazz have made up for it, ranking second in the league in offensive rating over their last five games. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-28-19 | Warriors v. Magic +6.5 | 96-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Golden State at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Magic are coming off a disappointing loss to the Knicks at MSG two nights ago which came on the heels of a stunning upset in blowout fashion in Toronto on Sunday. We won with Orlando in that win over the Raptors, and we also won fading the Warriors in their loss to the Miami Heat last night. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with Orlando here. Note that the Magic rank second in the league in defensive rating over their last five games while ranking fifth in offensive rating over the same stretch. They're also second in assist-to-turnover ratio over that same period. While the Warriors obviously pose some challenges, I believe the upstart Magic will be up for it. Take Orlando (10*). |
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02-27-19 | Pelicans v. Lakers -5.5 | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over New Orleans at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Lakers are coming off a disheartening loss in Memphis two nights ago, after which Lebron James made some harsh comments regarding teammates that may or may not be 'distracted' by the playoff push. Take from that what you will but I do expect to see the Lakers bounce back as they host Anthony Davis and the Pelicans on Wednesday night. Of course, New Orleans just defeated Los Angeles four days ago, and did so without the services of Davis. We last got involved with the Pelicans last week, fading them in Indiana, where they ultimately lost by 15 points. It's certainly been a tough stretch for the Lakers lately, but they've actually played only one home game since Lebron James returned from injury and the result was a 111-106 win over the Rockets coming out of the All-Star break. I'll lay the points in what is a strong motivational spot for King James and co. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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02-27-19 | Warriors v. Heat +9 | Top | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Golden State at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Heat may be struggling on the heels of nine losses in their last 11 games but they did give the Warriors all they could handle in a narrow two-point loss, on the road no less, a little over two weeks ago, and I look for them to hang tough on Wednesday night as well. Miami can ill afford to let its slide continue for much longer as it currently sits in 10th place in the Eastern Conference, a game-and-a-half back of the eighth and final playoff spot. Knowing they have to travel to Houston for another extremely tough matchup tomorrow night, I do think we'll see the Heat's best effort against the Warriors here. Golden State is coming off an 11-point win in Charlotte on Monday but has still failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven contests. Call it a lull, or call it whatever you want, but the fact is the Warriors are an elite team, not an elite bet - in fact, they've been one of the worst bets in the league since the start of last season. Take Miami (10*). |
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02-26-19 | Celtics v. Raptors -4 | Top | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Boston at 8 pm et on Tuesday. We won by fading the Raptors on Sunday afternoon as they were in a clear letdown spot at home against the Magic coming off Friday's emotional (close) win at home against Demar Derozan and the Spurs. The Raps lost that game against the seemingly overmatched Magic outright, in blowout fashion no less. Here I’ll switch gears and back Toronto as it hosts a big game against the rival Celtics. There’s not a lot separating these two squads talent-wise even if the standings say otherwise. The Celtics have taken two of the previous three meetings this season. We've actually won with both sides in this matchup this season. The Raps have a rested Kawhi Leonard for this one and I’m confident they’ll be back up for it after Sunday’s no show against Orlando. Expect a competitive game but I'll lay the short number. Take Toronto (10*). |
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02-24-19 | Magic +9.5 v. Raptors | 113-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Toronto at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. On the heels of seven straight wins, the Raptors find themselves in a letdown spot on Sunday afternoon as they host the Magic. Toronto's win over San Antonio on Friday was an emotional one as they hosted Demar DeRozan for the first time since he was dealt for Kawhi Leonard in the offseason. The Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games and capable of hanging tough here, noting they've split two meetings with the Raptors this season, with their lone loss coming by just two points. Take Orlando (10*). |
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02-23-19 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -10.5 | 46-85 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas State minus the points over Oklahoma State at 4 pm et on Saturday. This is a complete mismatch but the fact that Oklahoma State is coming off a win over TCU is helping to keep the line in check on Saturday afternoon in Manhattan. Kansas State checks in 10-3 in Big 12 play and has already blown out the Cowboys by 18 points, on the road no less, earlier this month. The Wildcats got a nice tune-up for this game, rolling to a 14-point victory at West Virginia last time out. Now they're back at home, where they last suffered a 14-point loss against Iowa State so their motivation level should be extremely high. Kansas State has won three straight meetings in this series, both SU and ATS. Oklahoma State has been one of the worst bets in the nation this season, going 9-17 ATS in lined contests. Don't count on any improvement here. Take Kansas State (10*). |
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02-23-19 | Blazers v. 76ers -2 | 130-115 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Portland at 1:05 pm et on Saturday. Too much respect is being given to the Trail Blazers in this matchup on Saturday afternoon. Portland is coming off back-to-back wins, keyed by a blowout win over the mighty Warriors prior to the All-Star break. But the fact is, the Blazers are just 11-15 SU on the road this season. They rank 20th in the league in pace rating over their last five games while the 76ers rank ninth in the same category. While the Blazers do show out well in terms of both offensive and defensive ratings over that same stretch, the 76ers have been even better. This is an awfully early start for a west coast team. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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02-22-19 | Pelicans v. Pacers -5.5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana minus the points over New Orleans at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I absolutely believe the Pacers can frustrate the Pelicans all night long on Friday as these two teams come out of the All-Star break in much different positions. The Pacers actually rank dead last in the league in terms of pace rating over their last five games. I don't think that's a bad thing as they prepare to face the Pelicans here. Note that Indiana ranks second in the league in defensive rating and top 10 in offensive rating over that same stretch. Meanwhile, the Pelicans check in bottom half of the league in both categories over that period. Take Indiana (10*). |
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02-22-19 | Wizards +5.5 v. Hornets | 110-123 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We won with the Wizards in their last game before the break as they hung tough against the Raptors in Toronto. I won't hesitate to go back to the well here as they stay on the road to face the Hornets on Friday night. Washington should be comfortable pushing the tempo in this one, noting that the Wizards rank number one in the league in pace rating over their last five games. They're quietly top 12 in the NBA in offensive rating over that same stretch. Their defensive play leaves a lot to be desired, but let's face it, so does the Hornets'. Charlotte ranks just two places ahead of Washington in terms of defensive rating over their last five contests. Take Washington (10*). |
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02-21-19 | Kings +12 v. Warriors | 123-125 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab all the points I can get with the Kings as they come out of the All-Star break and face the Warriors in Oakland. Sacramento has quietly been pushing the tempo lately, ranking fifth in the league in pace rating over the last five games. Their offensive rating hasn't been great over that stretch but I see this as a fine bounce-back spot against a Golden State squad that ranks 18th in defensive rating over their last five contests. The Kings aren't ones to back down from a challenge. While they've gone winless in three tries against the Warriors this season, those three losses have come by a combined 10 points, including a one-point setback the last time they played here in Oakland. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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02-18-19 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +5 | 64-58 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Virginia Tech plus the points over Virginia at 7 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with Virginia Tech in this rivalry matchup on Monday night. The Hokies lone home loss this season came exactly two weeks ago against Louisville. That started a pretty poor stretch as the Hokies have gone 0-3-1 ATS over their last four games. I do expect to see them put forth a strong effort here and it's worth noting that Virginia also brings poor form to the table, having gone 1-4 ATS over its last five games. Most will key on the Cavaliers big win on the road against North Carolina last week but I haven't been overly impressed with the way they've played lately. Virginia easily disposed of Virginia Tech by 22 points in their last meeting back on January 15th but I expect to see a different story unfold here. Take Virginia Tech (10*). |
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02-16-19 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +6 | Top | 69-47 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
NCAAB ACC Game of the Year. My selection is on Georgia Tech plus the points over Florida State at 2 pm et on Saturday. Wins rarely come easy for the Seminoles here in Atlanta, where they lost their last meeting by 22 points and their previous two victories on this floor came by two and four points. Florida State did take the first meeting between these two teams this season by 10 points, but that was thanks to an abysmal 28.3% shooting effort from the Yellow Jackets, including 3-of-21 from beyond the arc. The 'Noles enter this contest on the heels of three straight ATS wins. They haven't won four in a row ATS since starting last season with a perfect 7-0 ATS record in non-conference play. Georgia Tech has lost six straight games in ACC play to fall to 3-9 in-conference this season. With that being said, the Jackets have gone a solid 16-9 ATS overall this season. Take Georgia Tech (10*). |
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02-14-19 | Thunder -4.5 v. Pelicans | 122-131 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Thunder as they try to stay hot heading into the All-Star break. It's worth noting that the straight-up winner has gone an incredible 31-2 in the Thunder's last 33 games overall. In other words, the spread simply hasn't played a factor. I do expect Oklahoma City to outlast the struggling Pelicans here. Note that the Thunder rank second in the NBA in pace rating and sixth in offensive rating over the last five games. They should be able to overwhelm a Pelicans squad that ranks 16th and 26th respectively in the same categories over the same time frame. This has been a relatively tight series with the last four meetings all decided by six points or less. With that being said, we're also dealing with a relatively low pointspread here, especially when you consider the disparity between these two teams in the standings. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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02-13-19 | Wizards +11 v. Raptors | Top | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Raptors may be the vastly superior team in this matchup as far as overall records go but the Wizards are actually just a half-game behind the Raps in terms of ATS marks. Toronto loaded up prior to the trade deadline, acquiring Marc Gasol in a blockbuster deal with Memphis. There's no question it's going to take Gasol some time to get acclimated, however, noting that he has split time with Serge Ibaka, playing off the bench, since joining Toronto. Washington put together back-to-back wins before dropping a nine-point decision in Detroit last time out. That result should have served to shake off most potential Wiz backers leading up to this one. The Raptors do check in having won five games in a row SU, but are just 3-5 ATS over their last eight contests. They rarely blow out the Wizards and I don't see it happening here either. Take Washington (10*). |
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02-10-19 | Ohio State v. Indiana -2.5 | 55-52 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Ohio State at 1 pm et on Sunday. Both of these teams have been rather disappointing this season with Ohio State checking in 5-6 in conference play and Indiana sitting at 4-8. Both have seemingly turned the corner a bit lately, however, with Ohio State reeling off two straight wins heading in and Indiana coming off an upset win at Michigan State followed up by a narrow home loss to Iowa. The Hoosiers have outscored the opposition by an average margin of nearly 14 points here at home this season. Ohio State shoots just a shade north of 40% from the field on the road this season. Take Indiana (10*). |
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02-09-19 | Colorado v. USC -4.5 | 69-65 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on USC minus the points over Colorado at 10 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Trojans on Saturday night as they host the Buffaloes in a Pac-12 showdown. There's not a lot to choose between these two teams as far as overall records go. I will point out, however, Colorado has not won here at the Galen Center since back in 2015 and that was an overtime win that easily could have gone either way. The Buffaloes check in off back-to-back SU and ATS victories. I just don't believe a third straight win is in the cards. USC is coming off a rare home loss, falling by seven points against Utah last time out. The Trojans have outscored the opposition by over 12 points per game here at home this season, holding them to just 66.2 points per game on 38% shooting. Take USC (10*). |
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02-09-19 | Auburn v. LSU -2 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
NCAAB SEC Game of the Year. My selection is on LSU minus the points over Auburn at 2 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with LSU as it tries to snap a three-game losing streak against the Auburn Tigers. The Bayou Bengals haven't defeated Auburn since 2016 although it's worth noting that they've been significant underdogs in each of the last three meetings. The shoe is on the other foot this time around as LSU is favored at the time of writing. Motivation should be high for LSU as it dropped its most recent home game as a 10-point favorite against Arkansas. Keep in mind, the Tigers are still 11-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by nearly 16 points per contest. Auburn checks in having won three in a row but it was favored by at least 8.5 points in all three of those games. The Tigers are just 1-4 SU in true road games, allowing nearly 80 points per game on just shy of 47% shooting. Take LSU (10*). |
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02-08-19 | Heat v. Kings -2.5 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Miami at 10:05 pm et on Friday. I like the Kings here after they made moves to strengthen their team prior to the trade deadline. Unlike previous years where Sacramento was a seller, we saw it do some buying this year and I expect the players to get an emotional boost from that. Note that the Kings are already an impressive 17-11 straight-up at home this season. Here, they'll benefit from staying home for a fifth consecutive game. The Heat did win in Portland two nights ago, but that was their first victory in their last four games. They've actually posted three straight road wins but I believe some regression is in order. We've seen Miami post a strange home-road dichotomy this season, going 11-16 in South Beach but 14-11 on the road. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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02-08-19 | Bucks v. Mavs +8 | Top | 122-107 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Milwaukee at 8:35 pm et on Friday. The Bucks are one of the hottest teams in the league right now and certainly look unstoppable on the heels of five consecutive SU and ATS victories. However, here they'll be playing their seventh game in the last 13 nights in a seventh different city. The Mavs are no slouches here at home, where they own one of the strongest home court edges in the NBA, having gone 19-7 SU. Like the Bucks, the Mavs have also been tearing it up ATS, having reeled off five straight victories and gone 7-0-1 ATS over their last eight contests. The Bucks haven't won a game here in years. In last season's meeting on this floor the Mavs won by 32 points. Take Dallas (10*). |
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02-07-19 | San Francisco +18 v. Gonzaga | Top | 62-92 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
NCAAB WCC Game of the Month. My selection is on San Francisco plus the points over Gonzaga at 9 pm et on Thursday. Motivation should be high for the Dons as they try to avoid a third consecutive loss on the road in conference play. Their last two losses at San Diego and St. Mary's really could have gone either way. Despite those two setbacks, they're still a winning team on the road this season. Obviously Gonzaga is an elite team - a true national championship contender. With that being said, the Zags haven't been involved in a close game in months, essentially. They could actually use a bit of a sweat here and I think they get just that. Keep in mind, the Dons played even with the Bulldogs for a half in their previous meeting back on January 12th. Gonzaga shot better than 52% as a team in that game while San Francisco was completely off, hitting just 40.6% of their shots. I'm not about to call for an outright Dons victory here, but I am confident we'll see them stay inside the lofty pointspread. Take San Francisco (10*). |
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02-07-19 | Lakers v. Celtics -8.5 | 129-128 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Los Angeles at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Celtics as they host the unraveling Lakers on Thursday night. Los Angeles is obviously in complete limbo right now with the trade deadline coming up in a few hours. Maybe the roster remains intact, or maybe it will be looking for players off the street to court a team on Thursday night in Boston. Either way, I'm confident we see the Celtics show up and win this one going away. Boston is rolling along nicely right now and the beat goes on against the disjoined Lakers. Take Boston (10*). |
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02-07-19 | Raptors -9 v. Hawks | 119-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. No doubt the Raptors have been watching what the Bucks have been doing lately and after picking up a statement win in Philadelphia on Tuesday night, I look for them to build on that performance with another rock-solid effort against the Hawks on Thursday night. Atlanta is back home following a seven-game road trip that took it all over the map. The Hawks should be a little 'fat and happy' off back-to-back wins to close out that trip. Keep in mind, those victories came against the lowly Suns and Wizards. Take Toronto (10*). |
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02-07-19 | Wolves +2 v. Magic | 112-122 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Orlando at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. While these two teams boast similar overall records, I do feel there's a class difference that isn't being properly reflected in the line. The T'Wolves have been coming out on the wrong end of some close games lately, but I'm confident they do get it figured out tonight in Orlando. The Magic simply ran out of gas in Oklahoma City on Tuesday and I think they're a little worn down right now, showing some real inconsistency of late. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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02-06-19 | Rockets v. Kings +2.5 | 127-101 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Houston at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'm willing to bet against the Rockets winning three road games in a row on Wednesday night in Sacramento. Houston is coming off relatively lopsided victories in Utah and Phoenix but now heads to Sacramento where the Kings are playing excellent basketball. The Kings check in 17-10 straight-up at home this season, including a perfect 3-0 on their current homestand. It would be easy for the Rockets to look past the Kings to a return home after this one. That's especially true when you consider Houston already defeated Sacramento by 20 points in their lone previous meeting this season. The Rockets may own the superior SU record but the Kings have been a much better bet this season, going 31-22 ATS. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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02-06-19 | Georgetown v. Providence -3 | 76-67 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
NCAAB Big East Game of the Month. My selection is on Providence minus the points over Georgetown at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. I'll lay the points with the Friars in this matchup as they try to get back on track in Big East play following consecutive road losses. Providence just missed in the first of those two setbacks, losing by a bucket at Seton Hall. It suffered a bit of a hangover of sorts after that, falling by double-digits at DePaul last time out. I expect a solid bounce-back performance here at home, where the Friars have gone 9-3 straight-up this season. Georgetown hung tough for a while but ultimately fell by 12 points at Villanova on Monday night. The Hoyas have shown glimpses of brilliance this season, particularly in conference play. However, it's worth noting that Georgetown is just 1-8 in the last nine meetings in this series. That lone victory came in their most recent meeting back on January 12th but the Hoyas needed overtime to secure the 'W'. Take Providence (10*). |
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02-05-19 | Florida State v. Syracuse -3 | 80-62 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAAB ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on Syracuse minus the points over Florida State at 8 pm et on Tuesday. I really like the way this one sets up for Syracuse as it welcomes Florida State to the Carrier Dome. The Seminoles have climbed back to the .500 mark in ACC play thanks to three consecutive victories heading into this one. Keep in mind, the 'Noles are just 2-3 straight-up in five true road games this season. Florida State has never won here at the Carrier Dome, going 0-3, losing those games by 13, 13 and 10 points. Syracuse has suffered just one loss here at home in conference play and that came in a classic letdown/sandwich spot back on January 12th against Georgia Tech. The Orange were just a couple of days removed from a convincing win over Clemson before hitting the road to face Duke (a game they won) when they fell to the Yellow Jackets at the Carrier Dome. Syracuse has held the opposition to just 58.3 points per game on 37.6% shooting at home this season. Take Syracuse (10*). |
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02-04-19 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma +2.5 | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Oklahoma plus the points over Iowa State at 9 pm et on Monday. Absolutely huge spot for the Sooners here as they try to turn things around off back-to-back losses to Baylor and West Virginia. That loss to Baylor came in blowout fashion right here at home last Monday night so motivation will certainly be high as they host a rolling Iowa State squad on Monday night. The Cyclones. have won three games in a row and five of their last six overall, going 5-1 ATS over that stretch. Note that Oklahoma has held the opposition to 37.7% shooting at home this season. They check in a solid 8-2 straight-up at home while Iowa State is just an even 3-3 in true road games. This has been a home-dominated series and I like that trend to continue on Monday. Take Oklahoma (10*). |
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02-04-19 | Nuggets v. Pistons +4 | 103-129 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Denver at 7:05 pm et on Monday. Bettors will almost certainly be off the Pistons on Monday night after they absolutely imploded in the fourth quarter against the Clippers on Saturday afternoon at home. Here, they catch a favorable matchup, however, as they remain at home to wrap up a four-game homestand against the Nuggets. Denver is coming off a hard-fought one-point win at Minnesota on Saturday night. Now the Nuggets will be playing their fifth game in the last eight nights, with those five games coming in five different cities. Take Detroit (10*). |
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02-03-19 | Stanford -5.5 v. California | 84-81 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Stanford minus the points over California at 4 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Cardinal on Sunday afternoon as they travel to face the listless Bears in Berkeley. Stanford is playing some of its best basketball of the season right now, having won three of its last five games, shooting just shy of 51% from the field over that stretch. Cal continues to struggle, having dropped nine games in a row, staying within single-digits in only three of those games. Note that the Bears are shooting barely above 37% as a team over their last five games while allowing opponents to shoot north of 52%. Take Stanford (10*). |
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02-02-19 | Rockets v. Jazz -7 | 125-98 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Houston at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. The fact that this is a back-to-back spot for the Rockets has obviously been factored into this line. I actually feel the number is warranted, however, with Houston in a brutal spot here playing its second of back-to-backs in elevation. We won with the Jazz last night as they pulled away for a cover against the Hawks. I expect more of the same from Utah here. The fact of the matter is, the Rockets aren't a very good team right now. They have just four wins in their last eight games, with only one of those coming on the road, that against the lowly Knicks by just four points. Houston has fallen to 23-27-1 ATS on the season and owns just 10 straight-up victories in 24 road games. Utah is rolling along with 12 wins in its last 15 games. The Jazz have been extremely consistent at the offensive end of the floor over that stretch and should certainly have their way with the defense-optional Rockets. Note that Utah took the last meeting on this floor by 27 points back in early December. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-02-19 | Notre Dame +3 v. Boston College | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Notre Dame plus the points over Boston College at 2 pm et on Saturday. I'll grab the points with the Irish on Saturday afternoon as they aim to end their long losing streak at Boston College. Notre Dame has lost five straight and seven of its last eight games overall. However, it's worth noting that its last two setbacks have come as double-digit underdogs against Virginia and Duke so I'm not sure how much more could have been expected. Its previous three losses during its current skid all could have gone either way (decided by six points or less). Boston College has lost six of its last eight games but has managed to post victories in two of its last three games. It's been a long, long time since Boston College managed to beat Notre Dame. With motivation high for the Irish I believe the Eagles streak of futility with continue here. Take Notre Dame (10*). |
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02-01-19 | Hawks v. Jazz -11.5 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Atlanta at 9:05 pm et on Friday. We cashed a ticket fading the Hawks in their most recent game - a blowout loss in Sacramento on Wednesday. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as Atlanta remains on the road and plays at altitude in Salt Lake City on Friday night. The Hawks have to be a little road weary as they play their fifth game of this trip. They haven't been home in over a week while the Jazz are coming off a brief two-game trip that saw them win in Minnesota and lose in Portland. The Jazz are 15-9 at home this season and should have their way with a Hawks squad that gives up over 118 points per game on the road. The Hawks have taken two straight meetings in this series but don't count on a repeat performance here. Take Utah (10*). |
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01-31-19 | Mavs v. Pistons -2 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Dallas at 7 pm et on Thursday. We won (some pushed) with the Mavs in this same matchup last Friday night in Dallas but I won’t hesitate to switch gears this time around as the scene shifts to Auburn Hills on Thursday night. The Mavs did notch a very rare road victory last night but will be hard-pressed to follow it up with another one here against the revenge-minded Pistons. There’s no shame in the Pistons most recent loss, that coming against one of the league’s best teams in the Milwaukee Bucks. Solid value with the Pistons at home as a short favorite here. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-30-19 | Hawks v. Kings -5.5 | 113-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Atlanta at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. This is an excellent spot to back the Kings as they return home to host a Hawks squad that is coming off an outright upset win over the Clippers in Los Angeles two nights ago. The Hawks are still not a good team and Sacramento has done a tremendous job of taking care of business against losing opposition this season, particularly at the betting window, where it has gone 16-5 ATS. The Kings aren’t going to land on most bettors’ radar on this night and I believe we’re being asked to lay a very reasonable number on their home floor. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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01-29-19 | 76ers -6.5 v. Lakers | 121-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Los Angeles at 10:30 pm et on Tuesday. Tough spot for the undermanned Lakers here as they try to follow up a win over the lowly Suns but take a considerable step up in class against the 76ers. This is obviously a big building spot for the Sixers as they will continue on to face the Warriors in Oakland on Thursday night. After dropping their last game in Denver, they can ill afford another setback here as things could really start to snowball. I don’t often lay this many points on the road, but I believe the spot warrants a play with Philadelphia welcoming back Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler on Tuesday night. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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01-29-19 | Ball State +12 v. Buffalo | Top | 59-83 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
NCAAB MAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Ball State plus the points over Buffalo at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Ball State may be just 2-5 in MAC play so far this season but four of those five losses could have truly gone either way and here we're being given a generous helping of points to work with as the Cardinals challenge the nationally-ranked Buffalo Bulls. Note that the road team has won three straight, four of five and six of the last nine meetings in this series. It's worth noting that three of the Bulls six ATS losses this season have come in their last four contests. Buffalo will be challenged here, facing a Ball State squad that averages over 78 points per game on 51.1% shooting on the road this season. Ball State is actually the slightly better free throw shooting team and can hold its own on the boards as well. Take Ball State (10*). |
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01-28-19 | TCU v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas Tech minus the points over TCU at 9 pm et on Monday. The Red Raiders come into this game riding a four-game ATS losing streak but did snap a three-game straight-up losing skid with a 67-64 win over Arkansas last time out. Note that they're 11-1 SU at home this season, where they shoot just shy of 50% as a team while limiting the opposition to a ridiculous 32.8% shooting. They're outscoring opponents by over 21 points per contest on this floor. TCU is coming off back-to-back wins over Texas and Florida but both of those games could have gone either way. They're just 1-3 SU in true road games this season. Texas Tech is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings in this series. Take Texas Tech (10*). |
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01-28-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma -6 | Top | 77-47 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Week. My selection is on Oklahoma minus the points over Baylor at 9 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with Oklahoma in this contest as the Sooners aim to put an end to Baylor's four-game SU and ATS winning streak. Motivation will obviously be high for Oklahoma as it checks in a disappointing 3-4 in Big 12 play this season. Meanwhile, Baylor has won four of its first six games in conference play. Note that the Sooners have held the opposition to 36% shooting at home this season, while shooting an impressive 47% themselves. We won with Baylor on Saturday as it got past Alabama but I won't hesitate to switch gears here. Take Oklahoma (10*). |
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01-26-19 | Evansville +3.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 74-81 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
NCAAB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Evansville plus the points over Northern Iowa at 8 pm et on Saturday. Not a lot separates these two teams in the Missouri Valley Conference. In fact, they check in sporting identical conference records. With that being said, I believe Evansville has a little more upside and I'm confident the Purple Aces will hang tough for 40 minutes on Saturday night. Northern Iowa is 2-1 at home in MVC play but it averages just 61 points per game on 37.6% shooting on this floor this season. The Panthers also check in shooting a miserable 65% from the free throw line here at home. By contrast, the Purple Aces are shooting better than 74% from the charity stripe on the road. Take Evansville (10*). |
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01-26-19 | Alabama v. Baylor -3 | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baylor minus the points over Alabama at 12 noon et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Bears as they host the Crimson Tide on Saturday. Alabama is in a clear letdown spot after blowout out Ole Miss last time out. The Crimson Tide are still just an even 3-3 in conference play. This is of course a non-conference showdown - part of the SEC-Big 12 challenge. Alabama has gone just 2-3 straight-up in true road games this season where it allows nearly 72 points per game. Baylor rolls into this one off three straight victories, both SU and ATS. The Bears have held the opposition to just 61 points per game on 40.9% shooting at home this season. Take Baylor (10*). |
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01-25-19 | Pistons v. Mavs -4.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Detroit at 8:35 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Mavericks in this spot as they host the Pistons. Dallas has shown a strong home-road dichotomy this season, going 17-6 here at home compared to 4-20 on the road. I like the fact that the Mavs will have played six of their last nine games here at home while Detroit will be playing its seventh of its last 10 games on the road. The Pistons are coming off a win in New Orleans on Wednesday night, but keep in mind, that's a Pelicans squad that is currently playing without Anthony Davis. Detroit opened its current road trip with a blowout loss against the Wizards. Take Dallas (10*). |
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01-25-19 | Wizards v. Magic -3.5 | 95-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. These two teams may have similar straight-up records but I don't think there's any question the Magic carry more optimism and upside. Also consider that the Wizards are in a letdown spot here, even off a loss last night against the Warriors. That was a nationally-televised game and one that the Wiz were competitive in. Here, I don't believe Washington will be competitive, where it has gone a miserable 5-18 SU on the road this season. Also note that the Magic have taken the last two meetings on this floor by exactly nine points. Washington is being outscored by nearly 10 points per game on the road this season. Take Orlando (10*). |
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01-25-19 | Brown +7 v. Yale | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
NCAAB Ivy League Game of the Year. My selection is on Brown plus the points over Yale at 7 pm et on Friday. Yale got the better of Brown last week week, on the road no less, prevailing by three points as a small favorite. The Bulldogs have now reeled off seven straight wins but went just 3-3 ATS in lined contests over that stretch. Brown saw its six-game losing streak come to an end last time out and the Bears will be highly-motivated to avoid an 0-2 hole in Ivy League play tonight. While Brown hasn't had much success on the road against Yale, it's not as if it has had its doors blown off with regularity either. Note that three of its last four games here were decided by single-digits - all straight-up losses for the Bears. Yale has shot the lights out here at home this season but it will face a challenge here with Brown limiting the opposition to 38.7% shooting on the road this season. The Bulldogs did shoot better than 47% against Brown last weekend, but still won by just three points. Take Brown (10*). |
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01-24-19 | St. Mary's v. BYU +1.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
NCAAB WCC Game of the Year. My selection is on BYU plus the points over St. Mary's at 10 pm et on Thursday. The Gaels and Cougars renew their rivalry on Thursday night after St. Mary's routed BYU earlier this month. I like the Cougars to get back at the Gaels here, as they host them for the first time since December 2017. St. Mary's enters this contest riding a four-game winning streak, both SU and ATS. The Gaels are off to a 4-1 start in WCC play, although it is worth noting that their lone loss came on the road, where they've gone just 2-2 SU in true road contests this season. BYU checks in 9-1 at home, where it averages just shy of 84 points per game on better than 48% shooting while holding the opposition to under 40% shooting. The Cougars are coming off a blowout loss at San Francisco. Perhaps they were caught looking ahead to this matchup, noting that they had won three games in a row previously. I understand the logic behind the Gaels being favored in this matchup, but I'm confident we'll see BYU defend its home floor. Take BYU (10*). |
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01-24-19 | Pelicans +12 v. Thunder | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Oklahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Thunder have won three straight games both SU and ATS but I believe they're laying too many points in this spot. Keep in mind, Oklahoma City is outscoring the opposition by less than seven points per contest here at home this season. They haven't defeated the Pelicans by double-digits since way back in December of 2016. Mind you, the Pelicans are without Anthony Davis right now and have dropped four of their last six games overall. Over that stretch they've lost just one game by double-digits, however. The Thunder have not fared particularly well in this pointspread range at home in recent years. I'm confident we'll see the undermanned Pelicans stay inside the inflated number tonight. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-23-19 | Texas v. TCU -4 | Top | 61-65 | Push | 0 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Week. My selection is on TCU minus the points over Texas at 7 pm et on Wednesday. This feels like a letdown spot for Texas off Saturday's thrilling home win over rival Oklahoma. Prior to that, the Longhorns had dropped three games in a row. TCU is coming off a 10-point loss at Kansas State and has now dropped three of its last four contests. However, the Horned Frogs are a terrific 8-1 straight-up at home this season, including a 31-point beatdown of West Virginia in their last game on this floor. They're averaging just shy of 82 points per game on better than 51% shooting at home this season. Meanwhile, Texas is putting up only 67.7 ppg on the road. Also note that TCU has won its last two home meetings with Texas by 16 and 15 points. Take TCU (10*). |
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01-22-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech | 61-63 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Notre Dame over Georgia Tech at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Sitting at 1-4 in conference play, this is obviously a big game for Notre Dame. The Irish are coming off back-to-back losses at North Carolina and at home against N.C. State but both of those games really could have gone either way. I'll go back to the loss at Chapel Hill in particular. The Irish didn't play all that well in that game, but still lost by just six points. Georgia Tech has not played well in its last two games, dropping back-to-back contests both SU and ATS at Clemson and at home against Louisville. The Yellow Jackets have played relatively well at home this season but I'm not sure they'll match Notre Dame's motivation level in this one. The Irish haven't won on this floor since 2015 but all three matchups here since have been very close. Take Notre Dame (10*). |
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01-21-19 | Creighton v. Georgetown -1.5 | Top | 91-87 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
NCAAB Big East Game of the Month. My selection is on Georgetown minus the points over Creighton at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the short number with Georgetown as it hosts a reeling Creighton squad on Monday night. The Blue Jays have lost four straight games and are giving up a whopping 82 points per game on just shy of 49% shooting on the road this season. Meanwhile, Georgetown will play with a lot of motivation here having dropped three straight meetings in this series, while also coming off a narrow 74-71 home loss to Marquette. The Hoyas are 9-3 at home this season, averaging north of 87 ppg on 45.6% shooting on this floor. Take Georgetown (10*). |
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01-19-19 | Dayton v. St Bonaventure +3 | Top | 89-86 | Push | 0 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
NCAAB Atlantic-10 Game of the Year. My selection is on St. Bonaventure plus the points over Dayton at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this spot sets up for the Bonnies at home on Saturday afternoon. St. Bonaventure is coming off a double-digit loss at Rhode Island earlier this week but that's no big surprise as it has gone 0-6 on the road this season. Here at home, the Bonnies have been more productive, going 5-2 straight-up. In fact, in their most recent home game they beat St. Joe's by a lopsided 73-47 margin. While they haven't enjoyed much success in this particular matchup, I feel they catch Dayton in a good spot here. The Flyers saw their six-game winning streak come to an end last time out, suffering a narrow 76-71 loss at VCU. The Flyers are now a miserable 1-7 ATS over their last eight contests. Take St. Bonaventure (10*). |
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01-18-19 | Maryland v. Ohio State -2 | 75-61 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ohio State minus the points over Maryland at 6:30 pm et on Friday. Just a huge motivational spot for the Buckeyes here as they try to get back to even in conference play and host the red hot Terps on Friday night. Maryland has reeled off six straight wins but actually knocked down only 16 field goal attempts against Wisconsin earlier this week. Note that four of their last six wins have come at home, and three of those came by four points or less. The Buckeyes are coming off three straight losses but do check in 8-2 SU at home this season, where they average over 80 points per game on just shy of 49% shooting. The Terps have taken four of the last five meetings in this series but the last time they hooked up on this floor, the Buckeyes rolled to a 91-69 win last January. Take Ohio State (10*). |
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01-17-19 | Manhattan v. St. Peter's -6 | 58-56 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Peter's minus the points over Manhattan at 7 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the Peacocks as they aim to build off a win over Marist and get past a reeling Manhattan squad on Thursday night. St. Peter's is 2-2 SU but 3-1 ATS in conference play this season and has an excellent opportunity to get back over the .500 mark here. Manhattan is coming off back-to-back blowout road losses in-conference and continues to struggle offensively, shooting below 40% as a team. Poor free throw shooting has really cost the Jaspers as they're connecting on just over 56% of their attempts from the charity stripe. It's also worth noting that Manhattan is allowing opponents to shoot 48% from the field on the road this season. Take St. Peter's (10*). |
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01-16-19 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Warriors | 140-147 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Warriors are fresh off a record-setting offensive performance in a rout in Denver last night but now find themselves in a tough spot returning home on no rest to host a surging Pelicans squad. Keep in mind, Golden State still isn't a good bet on the season having gone 19-25 ATS. The Pelicans haven't been much better but have been sharp lately, going 4-1 ATS over their last five games. They're coming off a key road win over the Clippers in Los Angeles. They haven't been able to stack many road victories on the campaign, but are actually getting outscored by barely over a single point away from home. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-16-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -1.5 | 129-109 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Utah at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I like the way this spot sets up for the reeling Clippers, who check in having dropped three games in a row both SU and ATS. The Jazz are rolling, fresh off four consecutive wins but have actually dropped the cash in their last two games, and those came against the lowly Bulls and Pistons. Motivation will be high for the Clippers as they have also dropped three straight meetings against the Jazz. Their last win in this series did come right here in Los Angeles where they've gone 14-8 SU this season. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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01-16-19 | Spurs v. Mavs +1 | 105-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas over San Antonio at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Spurs were all the talk last week, capping off an incredible run with a thrilling double-overtime win over the Thunder on national TV. Since then, they've dropped back-to-back games at Oklahoma City and at home against Charlotte. I'm not convinced they'll regain their footing here on Wednesday night as they hit the road to face the upstart Mavs in Dallas. The Mavs are also coming off a loss but it was a close one (by five points) against the Warriors so I'm confident in their ability to bounce back here, noting that they've gone 16-5 straight-up at home this season. Take Dallas (10*). |
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01-16-19 | Butler -2 v. DePaul | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Butler minus the points over DePaul at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. Butler is coming off back-to-back conference road losses to fall to 1-3 in conference play. Keep in mind, both of those games could have gone either way with the Bulldogs falling by a single point in each contest. I look for the Bulldogs to bounce back against a DePaul squad they've defeated in nine straight meetings. The Blue Demons are coming off back-to-back wins over Seton Hall and St. John's. Butler checks in winless on the road this season with some disappointing numbers both offensively and defensively, but as I mentioned, they've held their own away from home in conference play and will be highly-motivated to pick up a much-needed victory here on Wednesday night. Take Butler (10*). |
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01-15-19 | Warriors v. Nuggets +2 | 142-111 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver plus the points over Golden State at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. Like the value being offered with the Nuggets as a small home underdog against the Warriors on Tuesday night. Denver actually has the better straight-up record and the vastly superior ATS record in this matchup. Not only that, but the Nuggets have taken five of the last nine meetings in this series. The Warriors are getting plenty of support, however, as they come in on a four-game winning streak. Still they've only managed to go 2-2 ATS over that stretch, dropping the cash in both road games. Denver has been a little uneven lately, and comes off back-to-back ATS losses, but remains a profitable 4-3 ATS over its last seven contests. Take Denver (10*). |
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01-15-19 | Seton Hall v. Providence -1.5 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Providence minus the points over Seton Hall at 6:30 pm et on Tuesday. Seton Hall has taken three straight meetings in this series but I look for Providence to reverse that trend with a victory on Tuesday night. The Friars come in having dropped three straight games to open conference play. Prior to that they had won three games in a row both SU and ATS. Note that each of their last three losses have been relatively close including a six-point overtime loss at Georgetown last time out. Seton Hall checks in with just three ATS victories over its last eight contests. The Pirates have struggled to contain opposing offenses on the road this season allowing just shy of 74 points per game on 45.8% shooting. Take Providence (10*). |
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01-14-19 | Wisconsin +4 v. Maryland | 60-64 | Push | 0 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wisconsin plus the points over Maryland at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Badgers as they try to close the gap on Maryland in Big Ten play. Wisconsin is coming off an overtime loss on the road against Purdue last Thursday - marking its third loss in its last four games. Keep in mind, prior to that setback, the Badgers went on the road and won by 19 points as a small favorite at Penn State. Maryland is off to a red hot 5-1 start in conference play but its last two home wins have come by a combined five points. Wisconsin has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in this series. Take Wisconsin (10*). |
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01-11-19 | Iona v. Niagara -1 | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Niagara minus the points over Iona at 7 pm et on Friday. We cashed a ticket with ease fading Niagara in its last game, a double-digit loss on the road against Fairfield. That dropped the Purple Eagles to 0-2 in MAAC play this season but I expect them to get into the win column on Friday night as they host Iona. Both of these teams have a strong home-road dichotomy with Iona having yet to win on the road this season, going winless in five tries. The Gaels check in allowing over 91 points per game on 48.6% shooting on the road this season, opening the door for the Purple Eagles to get their offense in gear back at home where they've been a little uneven this season. Take Niagara (10*). |
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01-09-19 | Arizona State v. California +10 | 80-66 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on California plus the points over Arizona State at 9 pm et on Wednesday. Arizona State is coming off a blowout home win over Colorado last time out, earning its first victory in Pac-12 play. I expect a bit of a letdown here as a matchup with Cal won't yield a great deal of motivation, noting that the Golden Bears are 0-2 in conference play so far and the Sun Devils swept the season series last year. Cal checks in 5-2 on its home floor where it averages over 76 points per game on 46.6% shooting. Arizona State averages 70.5 ppg on just north of 36% shooting on the road. Take California (10*). |
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01-09-19 | Pacers +6.5 v. Celtics | 108-135 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. With a blowout loss in Toronto suffered on Sunday night still fresh in their minds, I don't expect the Pacers to suffer any sort of letdown following last night's bounce-back win in Cleveland. Indiana has had some success here at TD Garden, coming away with straight-up victories in its last two stops. Also note that the Pacers took the lone previous meeting in this series this season by a single point in Indiana back in November. The Pacers check in having won seven of their last eight games overall. The Celtics are suddenly rolling, having won three straight games on their current homestand. Keep in mind, those wins came against the T'Wolves, Mavs and Nets. Note that the straight-up winner has gone a perfect 28-0 ATS in the Celtics last 28 games. If you're playing the Pacers, you might want to throw a little bit at the moneyline as well. Take Indiana (10*). |
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01-07-19 | Spurs v. Pistons +3.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over San Antonio at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Pistons as they catch the Spurs in a big-time letdown spot coming off a perfect homestand. San Antonio was certainly up for a three-game homestand featuring showdowns with the Celtics, Raptors (and Kawhi Leonard) and the Grizzlies. Now the Spurs will need to get back up for a trip out east to face the lowly Pistons. That's a tall task in my opinion. Detroit has struggled lately but still owns a winning record at home and will be high on motivation following a narrow five-point loss on this floor against Utah. The last time these two teams met at the Palace of Auburn Hills, the Pistons rolled to a 93-79 win last December. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-07-19 | Niagara v. Fairfield -4 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Fairfield minus the points over Niagara at 7 pm et on Monday. Fairfield is in desperate need of a victory here at home as it has opened the MAAC slate with consecutive losses. Both of those games could have gone either way at home against Rider and on the road against Iona. Fairfield is also off to a winless start in conference play, falling by 10 points at Manhattan. Note that the straight-up winner has gone 10-1 ATS in all Niagara games where the spread has been in single-digits this season, as is the case here. In the same situation, the SU winner has gone 7-2-1 ATS in all Fairfield games. Niagara hasn't won a game on this floor since February of 2015 and I don't see that trend changing here. Take Fairfield (10*). |
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01-02-19 | Hawks +5 v. Wizards | 98-114 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Hawks were actually victorious in their last trip to the nation's capital last April, as double-digit underdogs no less. They've also managed to split a pair of meetings in Atlanta this season. While they may own an inferior overall record, they've actually performed better than the Wizards against the spread. That's not to mention the fact that they've gone 5-2 SU and ATS over their last seven contests. There's little reason to have much faith in the Wizards right now as they've won just three times in their last 12 games. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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12-25-18 | Lakers v. Warriors -8.5 | 127-101 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Los Angeles at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'm not sure this is going to be the barn-burner that the TV execs are hoping for on Christmas Night. The Lakers have certainly held their own this season, exceeding most expectations to this point. Meanwhile, the Warriors haven't been nearly as dominant as we've been accustomed to seeing and have quite simply been an awful bet so far this season. With that being said, I believe we're being asked to lay a relatively short number with the defending champions here. This is without question a game that the Warriors have had circled as they look to make a statement against King James and the Lakers. Los Angeles has been a different team away from Staples Center and I look for it to struggle again in this spot. Take Golden State (10*). |
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12-22-18 | Suns v. Wizards -5.5 | 146-149 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington minus the points over Phoenix at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Suns are on a bit of a roll right now, having won four games in a row, with three of those coming in underdog fashion. I'll go the other way on Saturday, however, as they stay on the east coast to face what should be a highly-motivated Wizards squad. Washington has lost six of its last seven games, but it's worth noting that five of those losses came on the road. They're 8-6 at home this season while the Suns check in a miserable 3-13 on the road. Note that Phoenix has won just once here in Washington since 2014. Take Washington (10*). |
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12-21-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -1 | 120-107 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston over Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Bucks have won three games in a row while the Celtics have dropped back-to-back contests, including a stunning home defeat at the hands of the lowly Suns last time out. I expect to see Boston bounce back in this Eastern Conference showdown, however. Note that the Celtics are still 9-4 at home this season. The Bucks are 7-6 on the road compared to a dominant 14-3 at home. This has been a home-dominated series, with the Celtics having gone 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Celtics are a little banged-up right now but I'm confident they'll rise to the occasion against one of the NBA's best teams on Friday night. Take Boston (10*). |
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12-21-18 | Pacers -2 v. Nets | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Pacers are coming off back-to-back losses but both of those games could have gone either way, including a narrow defeat in Toronto on Wednesday night. I expect to see Indiana bounce back in Brooklyn on Friday night, where it hasn't lost a game in over two years. The Pacers are a quality road team, checking in at 9-7 away from home this season. Meanwhile, the Nets are coming off seven straight victories but keep in mind, they've been favored in three of their last four games and a short underdog in the other contest, at home against the Lakers. Brooklyn is still just 7-10 at home this season. Take Indiana (10*). |
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12-19-18 | Spurs v. Magic +1 | 129-90 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over San Antonio at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the Magic as they host the surging Spurs on Wednesday night in Orlando. While San Antonio has been playing better lately, the fact is, the Magic are still the superior ATS squad in this matchup. Orlando has also turned things around again, heading into this one off back-to-back home victories. Note that the Magic have already defeated the Spurs once this season, coming away with a seven-point road win back in early November. Orlando continues to be undervalued in the betting marketplace and we'll take advantage once again here. Take Orlando (10*). |
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12-14-18 | Warriors v. Kings +8.5 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Golden State at 10:05 pm et on Friday. I'll grab the points with the Kings on Friday night as they host the Warriors in Sacramento. Golden State may own the better straight-up record in this matchup but the Kings have been the considerably stronger bet this season, going 17-10 ATS compared to the Warriors 13-16 ATS mark. Note that the first meeting between these two teams this season went the Warriors, but by only a single point, in Oakland back on November 24th. Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings in this series. The Kings are a winning team at home this season and I don't believe they'll back down from this challenge on Friday night. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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12-14-18 | Knicks v. Hornets -11 | 126-124 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte minus the points over New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Hornets as they aim for their fourth straight win on Friday night. The Knicks are reeling and this doesn't figure to be a favorable bounce-back spot as they've allowed the opposition to shoot better than 48% from the field on the road this season. Meanwhile, Charlotte is knocking down 47.6% of its shots at home. Despite getting outshot from beyond the arc and outrebounded, the Hornets still took the first meeting between these two teams this season by 12 points in New York. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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Sean Murphy Basketball Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-16-19 | Florida +3 v. Auburn | 62-65 | Push | 0 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
03-15-19 | Bucks -5 v. Heat | 113-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
03-15-19 | Grambling State v. Prairie View A&M -3.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
03-14-19 | UMKC v. Utah Valley -9 | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
03-14-19 | Cavs +8 v. Magic | Top | 91-120 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
03-14-19 | Delaware State v. North Carolina Central -11 | 57-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
03-14-19 | Chicago State v. New Mexico State -26 | 49-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
03-13-19 | Jazz -7.5 v. Suns | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
03-13-19 | Houston Baptist v. Lamar -4 | Top | 79-81 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
03-12-19 | Blazers v. Clippers +2.5 | 125-104 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
03-12-19 | Bucks -9 v. Pelicans | 130-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
03-11-19 | Raptors -9.5 v. Cavs | 101-126 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
03-10-19 | Suns +17 v. Warriors | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
03-10-19 | Rockets -8 v. Mavs | 94-93 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
03-09-19 | Suns +12.5 v. Blazers | Top | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
03-09-19 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota State -15 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
03-08-19 | Pistons -3.5 v. Bulls | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
03-08-19 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
03-08-19 | Raptors v. Pelicans +5 | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
03-07-19 | Pacers v. Bucks -10 | Top | 98-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
03-06-19 | Jazz -4 v. Pelicans | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
03-05-19 | Rockets +3.5 v. Raptors | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
03-05-19 | Bulls +7.5 v. Pacers | Top | 96-105 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
03-04-19 | Clippers +4.5 v. Lakers | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
03-03-19 | Raptors v. Pistons +4.5 | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
03-02-19 | Lakers -6.5 v. Suns | 109-118 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
03-02-19 | Belmont -13.5 v. SE Missouri State | Top | 84-66 | Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show |
03-01-19 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Suns | 130-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
02-28-19 | Jazz +7 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
02-28-19 | Warriors v. Magic +6.5 | 96-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
02-27-19 | Pelicans v. Lakers -5.5 | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
02-27-19 | Warriors v. Heat +9 | Top | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
02-26-19 | Celtics v. Raptors -4 | Top | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
02-24-19 | Magic +9.5 v. Raptors | 113-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
02-23-19 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -10.5 | 46-85 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
02-23-19 | Blazers v. 76ers -2 | 130-115 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
02-22-19 | Pelicans v. Pacers -5.5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
02-22-19 | Wizards +5.5 v. Hornets | 110-123 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
02-21-19 | Kings +12 v. Warriors | 123-125 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
02-18-19 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +5 | 64-58 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
02-16-19 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +6 | Top | 69-47 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
02-14-19 | Thunder -4.5 v. Pelicans | 122-131 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
02-13-19 | Wizards +11 v. Raptors | Top | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
02-10-19 | Ohio State v. Indiana -2.5 | 55-52 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
02-09-19 | Colorado v. USC -4.5 | 69-65 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
02-09-19 | Auburn v. LSU -2 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
02-08-19 | Heat v. Kings -2.5 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
02-08-19 | Bucks v. Mavs +8 | Top | 122-107 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
02-07-19 | San Francisco +18 v. Gonzaga | Top | 62-92 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
02-07-19 | Lakers v. Celtics -8.5 | 129-128 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
02-07-19 | Raptors -9 v. Hawks | 119-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
02-07-19 | Wolves +2 v. Magic | 112-122 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
02-06-19 | Rockets v. Kings +2.5 | 127-101 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
02-06-19 | Georgetown v. Providence -3 | 76-67 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
02-05-19 | Florida State v. Syracuse -3 | 80-62 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
02-04-19 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma +2.5 | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
02-04-19 | Nuggets v. Pistons +4 | 103-129 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
02-03-19 | Stanford -5.5 v. California | 84-81 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
02-02-19 | Rockets v. Jazz -7 | 125-98 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
02-02-19 | Notre Dame +3 v. Boston College | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
02-01-19 | Hawks v. Jazz -11.5 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show | |
01-31-19 | Mavs v. Pistons -2 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
01-30-19 | Hawks v. Kings -5.5 | 113-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
01-29-19 | 76ers -6.5 v. Lakers | 121-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
01-29-19 | Ball State +12 v. Buffalo | Top | 59-83 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
01-28-19 | TCU v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
01-28-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma -6 | Top | 77-47 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
01-26-19 | Evansville +3.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 74-81 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
01-26-19 | Alabama v. Baylor -3 | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
01-25-19 | Pistons v. Mavs -4.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
01-25-19 | Wizards v. Magic -3.5 | 95-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
01-25-19 | Brown +7 v. Yale | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
01-24-19 | St. Mary's v. BYU +1.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
01-24-19 | Pelicans +12 v. Thunder | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
01-23-19 | Texas v. TCU -4 | Top | 61-65 | Push | 0 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
01-22-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech | 61-63 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
01-21-19 | Creighton v. Georgetown -1.5 | Top | 91-87 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
01-19-19 | Dayton v. St Bonaventure +3 | Top | 89-86 | Push | 0 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
01-18-19 | Maryland v. Ohio State -2 | 75-61 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
01-17-19 | Manhattan v. St. Peter's -6 | 58-56 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
01-16-19 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Warriors | 140-147 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
01-16-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -1.5 | 129-109 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
01-16-19 | Spurs v. Mavs +1 | 105-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
01-16-19 | Butler -2 v. DePaul | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
01-15-19 | Warriors v. Nuggets +2 | 142-111 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
01-15-19 | Seton Hall v. Providence -1.5 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
01-14-19 | Wisconsin +4 v. Maryland | 60-64 | Push | 0 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
01-11-19 | Iona v. Niagara -1 | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
01-09-19 | Arizona State v. California +10 | 80-66 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
01-09-19 | Pacers +6.5 v. Celtics | 108-135 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
01-07-19 | Spurs v. Pistons +3.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
01-07-19 | Niagara v. Fairfield -4 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
01-02-19 | Hawks +5 v. Wizards | 98-114 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
12-25-18 | Lakers v. Warriors -8.5 | 127-101 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 39 m | Show | |
12-22-18 | Suns v. Wizards -5.5 | 146-149 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
12-21-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -1 | 120-107 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
12-21-18 | Pacers -2 v. Nets | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
12-19-18 | Spurs v. Magic +1 | 129-90 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
12-14-18 | Warriors v. Kings +8.5 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
12-14-18 | Knicks v. Hornets -11 | 126-124 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show |