Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-10-16 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -3 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Seton Hall -3) The Pirates have saved their best basketball for when it matters the most. Seton Hall closed out the regular season on a 9-2 run, including a 75-65 win at Creighton. The Bluejays have been a surprise this year, but they stumbled down the stretch, losing 4 of their last 5. I'll take my chances with the better team playing the better basketball at this point in the season. Pirates are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games after playing their previous game as a favorite, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 75+ in 2 straight games. Give me Seton Hall -3! |
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03-10-16 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia -9.5 | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
40* CBB Situational ATS Knockout (Virginia -9.5) This is a great spot to fade the Yellow Jackets and jump on the Cavaliers. Teams playing on no rest are at major disadvantage when going up against an opponent who had a bye. It's even more so when the team playing on no rest saw their previous game go into overtime. Georgia Tech isn't going to have the energy to keep up with a Virginia team that has been playing as well as any team in the country down the stretch. The Cavaliers are 11-2 over their last 13 with their two losses coming by a combined 4 points in two road games against Duke and Miami. Out of their last 8 wins, 6 have come by double-digits. Give me Virginia -9.5! |
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03-10-16 | Duke -2.5 v. Notre Dame | 79-84 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No-Doubt Bookie BLOWOUT (Duke -2.5) The Blue Devils will be out for revenge from a 91-95 home loss to Notre Dame earlier this season. That game came back when Duke was struggling and the Irish were playing some of their best basketball of the season. The roles have been reversed for the rematch. Duke has played much better down the stretch, while the Irish had some ugly losses over their final 5 games. Blue Devils are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games away from home against teams with a winning record after 15+ games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after allowing 80+ points in their last contest. This is a statement game for the Blue Devils and I wouldn't be surprised if they won this going away. Give me Duke -2.5! |
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03-09-16 | Florida State v. Virginia Tech +2.5 | 85-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Virginia Tech +3.5) The Seminoles are getting way too much respect here after yesterday's 22-point blowout win over Boston College, who finished up without a single conference win all season. Virginia Tech closed out the regular season on a 5-game winning streak, including an impressive 15-point win over Miami in their finale. Hokies also defeated the Seminoles by 10-points in the lone meeting this season. Florida State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when playing their 3rd game in a week and Virginia Tech is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Hokies +2.5! |
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03-09-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -5 | Top | 71-75 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
50* CBB Big 12 Game of the Month (Kansas State -5) My money is on the Wildcats to make easy work of the Cowboys in tonight's Big 12 opening round action. Neither of these teams were all that great in conference play, but Oklahoma State comes into the tournament a complete mess. The Cowboys have lost 6 straight and 9 of 10 overall. The only win being a 3-point victory at home against Kansas State, where the Wildcats shot a mere 36.7% from the field Kansas State won the previous meeting by 16 at home and are simply the much better team in this one. Oklahoma State didn't win a single road game in Big 12 play and are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 conference road games. Cowboys are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a winning record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 following a double-digit loss at home. Give me Kansas State -5! |
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03-08-16 | Gonzaga -2 v. St. Mary's | Top | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -2) The Bulldogs will be out for double-revenge against St. Mary's, as two of their three conference losses came at the hands of the Gaels. Both of those losses could have easily been wins, as they lost a combined 8 points. Knowing that they aren't a lock to make the NCAA Tournament as an at-large, the Bulldogs understand they need to win this game to make sure they are a part of the Big Dance. I believe they will. Gonzaga is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 when revenging a home loss as a favorite. Give me the Bulldogs -2! |
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03-07-16 | Pepperdine +7 v. St. Mary's | 66-81 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
40* CBB Vegas Underdog Annihilator (Pepperdine +7) St. Mary's won the West Coast Conference regular season title with a 15-3 record, thanks to a season sweep of Gonzaga, who also finished 15-3 in league play. It just so happens that two of the Gael's three losses came against Pepperdine. Normally this would be a spot where I would look to back the team playing with double-revenge, but I believe the books have over-adjusted this line, creating value with the Waves. Pepperdine matches up extremely well with St. Mary's. They have the ability to score inside and defensively they are holding opponents to just 30.9% from behind the 3-point line. Waves are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 as a dog and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. Give me Pepperdine +7! |
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03-06-16 | Illinois v. Penn State -4 | Top | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
50* CBB Sharp Money Top Play (Penn State -4) The Nittany Lions should have no problem securing a win and cover at home against the Fighting Illini. Penn State has dropped each of their last two, which is playing into this line. After an embarrassing home loss to Northwestern last time out, the Nittany Lions are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder in their final home game of the regular season. Illinois has dropped 3 straight on the road and are just 2-6 away from home in conference play. The only two wins came against the two worst teams in Minnesota and Rutgers and they struggled to win both games. Penn State is a very respectable 10-4 at home and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. Give me the Nittany Lions -4! |
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03-05-16 | George Washington v. Davidson -1 | Top | 80-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
50* CBB A-10 GAME OF THE YEAR (Davidson -1) I absolutely love the value here with Davidson laying just 1-point at home against George Washington. The Wildcats lost by 10 on the road against the Colonials, but are a completely different beast at home. Davidson is 14-1 on their home floor and will be highly motivated here. Not only will they be out for revenge, but they will be playing their home finale and are fresh off two blowout road losses. The Wildcats are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a road loss against a conference opponent. Give me Davidson -1! |
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03-05-16 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -5.5 | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Shooter (Texas Tech -5.5) This is a great spot to jump on the Red Raiders and go against the the Wildcats. Texas Tech will be highly motivated in their home finale and are a dominant 13-3 at home this season. Kansas State is in a prime spot for a letdown after a 25-point win against TCU, as the Wildcats are just 4-9 on the highway and already beat Tech at home earlier this season. Kansas State's last 3 road games against the top teams in the conference have resulted in a 19-point loss to Iowa State, 18-point defeat at Kansas and 15-point loss at West Virginia. Give me Texas Tech -5.5! |
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03-05-16 | West Virginia v. Baylor -2 | 69-58 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
40* CBB Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Baylor -2) This is a great spot to jump on the Bears at home against the Mountaineers. Baylor has gone an impressive 14-4 at home this season and will be laying it all on the line in their home finale. West Virginia comes in having won 3 straight, but two of those came at home and the other on the road against a bad Oklahoma State team. Prior to that they had lost 3 of 4 and I just don't see the intensity being there for the Mountaineers. West Virginia can't win the Big 12 title and already beat Baylor by 11 at home. The Bears only just 38.7% from the field in that game, while the Mountaineers were lights out at 49.1%. I look for a different outcome this time around. Give me Baylor -2! |
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03-03-16 | Stanford v. Arizona State -2.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
50* CBB Pac-12 Game of the Month (Arizona State -2.5) This is going to seem like the wrong team is favored. The Sun Devils have lost 4 straight, while the Cardinal have won back-to-back games and 4 of 5 overall. However, this is a major letdown spot for Stanford, coming off back-to-back home wins over USC and UCLA. The last being their final home game of the season. The Cardinal do have a 72-56 road win over Washington State during their recent surge, but are just 3-7 away from home overall. As bad as it's been for the Sun Devils, they are a respectable 10-5 at home and will be extremely motivated here. Arizona State nearly upset the Cardinal on the road earlier this season, losing a heartbreaker 73-75. Stanford is just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 conference road games and 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6. Give me the Sun Devils -2.5! |
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03-02-16 | Oregon State v. USC -5.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (USC -5.5) The books have left the door wide-open on this one. USC is simply way undervalued here after losing 5 of their last 6, including each of their last 3. The Trojans are 15-1 overall and 6-1 inside conference play at home. Oregon State has won 5 of 7, but 4 of those victories came at home. The Beavers are just 1-6 on the road in the Pac-12 and all of those defeats came by more than number here. USC simply can't afford to lose here and I look for them to make a statement in a big revenge game against the Beavers. Oregon State is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after playing 2 straight at home and have lost in this spot by an average of 13.4 ppg. Give me USC -5.5! |
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03-02-16 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +3.5 | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
40* CBB Ultimate Underdog SMASH (Virginia Tech +3.5) Virginia Tech comes into this game riding a 3-game winning streak and I look for the Hokies to carry over that momentum at home against the Panthers. Pittsburgh is in line for a major letdown following their big 76-62 win over Duke on Sunday, which most believe secured their spot in the NCAA Tournament. Virginia Tech is a team that is just 8-8 in league play, but could easily be much better. The Hokies have been on the wrong end of several close games. Most of their success has come at home, where they are 11-5. Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after covering 2 of their last 3 and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 off a conference win. Hokies are 11-4 ATS inside conference play and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games when playing their 2nd game in a week span. Give me Virginia Tech +3.5! |
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03-01-16 | Purdue v. Nebraska +4 | 81-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* CBB Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Nebraska +4) The Cornhuskers are worth a look here as a home dog against the Boilermakers. Purdue comes into this game off a huge 83-79 win at home against Maryland, but have alternated wins and losses over their last 7. All of the loss have come on the road, where the Boilermakers are just 3-5 in Big Ten play with two of those wins coming against Minnesota and Rutgers. Nebraska is going to be extremely motivated after dropping their last 3 and will also be locked in for their final home game of the season. Cornhuskers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off a conference loss by 3 or less and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games after scoring 30 or less in the 1st half of their last two games. Give me Nebraska +4! |
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03-01-16 | Virginia v. Clemson +5 | Top | 64-57 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money ACC Game of the Month (Clemson +5) The Tigers come into this game off back to back road losses at NC State and Georgia Tech and are just 2-4 in their last 6 overall. Virginia on the other hand is 9-2 over their last 11 and are fresh off a huge 79-74 win at home against North Carolina on Saturday. This is a huge letdown spot for the Cavaliers off that big win over the Tar Heels just 3 days ago. Most of Clemson's struggles of late have come on the road. They are 13-3 overall and 7-1 inside ACC play at home with wins over the likes of Louisville, Miami, Duke and Pittsburgh. Tigers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games off a conference loss and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after playing their previous game as a road dog. Give me Clemson +5! |
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02-29-16 | Kansas -2 v. Texas | Top | 86-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kansas -2) I believe the fact that Texas just knocked off Oklahoma at home 76-63 as a 2.5-point dog on Saturday has created some decent value here on the Jayhawks as a small road favorite. Kansas has won 9 straight since an ugly 72-85 loss at Iowa State. With their win over Texas Tech on Saturday, they have secured at least a share of the Big 12 title and can win it outright with a victory tonight against the Longhorns. Kansas won the first meeting at home 76-67, despite shooting just 40.3% from the field, while Texas hit 48.2% of their shots. Keep in mind the Jayhawks were a 12-point favorite in that game and I'm not buying a 10-point swing just because they are on the road this time. Kansas is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a winning record, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the Jayhawks -2! |
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02-28-16 | USC v. California -7 | 65-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* CBB Late Night BAILOUT (California -7) These two teams are heading in opposite directions. Cal comes in having won 7 straight and are a perfect 17-0 at home. USC has lost 4 of 5 and are just 4-8 on the road. The Golden Bears have been destroying teams at home in Pac-12 play, including a 12-point home win over UCLA last time out. USC's 4 losses during their recent poor stretch have all come by 7 or more. Cal is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a conference win by 10 or more and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games after playing their previous game at home. Give me the Golden Bears -7! |
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02-28-16 | Duke v. Pittsburgh -1 | Top | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pittsburgh -1) This is a great spot to back the Panthers at home against the Blue Devils. Duke has been playing well of late, but are getting a little too much respect here off a 15-point blowout win at home against Florida State. The books are begging for you to take the Blue Devils in this spot, but Pittsburgh is prime for one of their best performances of the season. The Panthers are 14-4 at home and will be highly motivated off an ugly 60-67 loss at home to Louisville. Pitt is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after a game in which they failed to cover the spread and I fully expect them to deliver a SU win in their home finale. Give me the Panthers -1! |
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02-27-16 | Oklahoma v. Texas | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
40* CBB Blockbuster Bookie KNOCKOUT (Texas Pick'em) Texas has been better than anyone has expected under first year head coach Shaka Smart and I really like the value we are getting here with the Longhorns at a pick'em at home. Texas is 13-2 on their home floor and are going to be extremely motivated not only because they are playing an elite opponent in Oklahoma, but due to the fact they were embarrassed in their last home game by Baylor. Texas nearly beat the Sooners in Norman, falling 60-63. That's important to note as the Longhorns are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when revenging a road loss. Give me Texas at a Pick'em! |
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02-27-16 | NC State v. Syracuse -5 | Top | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
50* CBB ACC Game of the Year (Syracuse -5) This is not only a great spot to jump on the Orange, but a prime spot to fade the Wolfpack. NC State has been a major disappointment and are just playing out the season at this point. I look for the Wolfpack to struggle to bounce back on the road after giving it all they had in a home game against in-state rival UNC. Syracuse on the other hand is primed for a big game, as they are going to be extremely motivated off back-to-back double-digit losses to Louisville and Pittsburgh. Prior to these last two defeats, the Orange had won 5 straight and 8 of 9 overall. It's also worth noting that Syracuse is 12-4 at home, while the Wolfpack are just 4-7 on the road. Orange are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games after 15+ games when facing a team that averages 12 or fewer assists/game. Give me Syracuse -5! |
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02-25-16 | Florida State v. Duke -9 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
40* CBB FSU/Duke ESPN BLOODBATH (Duke -9) The Blue Devils fell 64-71 at Louisville in their last game, but that's nothing to be ashamed about. Prior to that, Duke had won 5 straight and I look for them to return to form in a big bounce back spot at home. Florida State was once an NCAA Tournament team, but are on the outside looking in after dropping 4 straight. The Seminoles are a young team and I look for them to be overwhelmed by Cameron Indoor Stadium. Blue Devils are 8-2 ATS int their last 10 after winning 4 of their last 5, while Florida State is just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 after 15+ games against a team that's outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game. Give me Duke -9! |
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02-25-16 | SMU -4.5 v. Memphis | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (SMU -4.5) The Mustangs defeated Memphis 80-68 at home back on Jan. 30 and I'm expecting a very similar type of outcome on the road. SMU has gone 8-3 away from home and these last few games mean everything to this team. While the Mustangs are not eligible for postseason play, they are in the running for the American Athletic title, something they desperately want. Memphis doesn't have much to play for at this point and are struggling at the moment. The Tigers are just 3-7 in their last 10 and just lost at USF by 9-points as a 9-point favorite. Give me the Mustangs -4.5! |
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02-24-16 | Wisconsin v. Iowa -7 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
50* CBB *BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR* (Iowa -7) The Hawkeyes suffered their first bad loss of the season in a 75-79 defeat at Penn State last Wednesday and have now lost 2 of their last 3. Wisconsin on the other hand has won 8 of their last 9, which is going to have most of the public jumping not the Badgers at this line. I don't see Wisconsin being able to keep it within double-digits on the road. Iowa is going to be extremely motivated and are well rested after not playing this weekend. Not to mention Iowa is perfect 14-0 at home, where they are outscoring teams by nearly 20 ppg. Hawkeyes are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me Iowa -7! |
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02-24-16 | Washington v. Oregon State -4 | 81-82 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
40* CBB *LATE NIGHT SHARP SHOOTER* (Oregon State -4) The Beavers come into this game off back-to-back road losses against California and Oregon, both of which came by double-digits. I believe that has Oregon State showing great value as a relatively small home favorite against a Washington team that is just 5-6 on the road. Keep in mind the Beavers are a respectable 10-3 at home with 3 straight wins over the likes of USC, Utah and Colorado. Oregon State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games overall. Give me the Beavers -4! |
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02-24-16 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +1.5 | 67-60 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
40* CBB *BOOKIE ATS KNOCKOUT* (Pittsburgh +1.5) It's one thing to play hard at home against elite competition with nothing to play for, it's a whole different story on the road. With Louisville not eligible for postseason play, I believe we have a perfect spot to fade the Cardinals on the road against a hungry and motivated Pittsburgh team that is fighting to make the NCAA Tournament. Louisville lost both of their road games after the ban was announced and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team that's won between 60% and 80% of their games. Give me the Panthers +1.5! |
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02-23-16 | Alabama +13.5 v. Kentucky | 53-78 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Shooter (Alabama +13.5) The Crimson Tide had their 5-game winning streak snapped with an ugly 61-67 home loss to Mississippi State, which in turn has Alabama undervalued on the road against the Wildcats. Kentucky lost 77-79 in overtime at Texas A&M and are now overvalued in what's perceived to be a big bounce back spot and the fact that they are 15-0 at home. Alabama has won 3 straight on the road, including back-to-back wins at Florida and LSU prior to their loss to the Bulldogs. Crimson Tide are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 off a home conference loss and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 off an upset loss as a favorite. That's a perfect 15-0 system. Give me Alabama +13.5! |
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02-22-16 | Texas v. Kansas State | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
50* CBB Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play (Texas Pick'em) The Longhorns come into this game having lost 3 of their last 4 and are fresh off an ugly 64-78 home loss to Baylor as a 6-point favorite. The other 2 losses during this stretch came at Oklahoma and Iowa State, two of the top teams in the conference. I believe we are seeing great value here with the Longhorns in this spot. Texas is the much better team and are going to be extremely motivated to get back in the win column. Kansas State on the other hand is just playing out the season at this point, as they are just 4-10 in conference play. While the Wildcats are 11-4 at home, this isn't a great spot. Kansas State just laid everything on the line in Saturday's home game against in-state rival Kansas and I just don't see the intensity being there in this one. Texas is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games after playing 2 straight games at home and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games when playing their 2nd game in a span of just 3 days. That's a perfect 100% (13-0) system. Give me the Longhorns in a Pick'em! |
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02-21-16 | Michigan v. Maryland -9 | 82-86 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
40* College Hoops Bookie Slaughter (Maryland -9) The Terrapins are going to be a pissed off bunch when they take the floor at home today against the Wolverines. Not only will Maryland be motivated coming off back-to-back ugly losses (lost at home to Wisconsin 57-70 as a 8.5-point favorite & 63-68 at Minnesota as a 10-point favorite), but they will also be out for revenge from a 67-70 defeat at Michigan earlier this season. Wolverines are 3-3 in true road games against Big Ten teams, but the 3 wins have come against Illinois, Nebraska and Minnesota. The 3 losses have all been by double-digits against Purdue (70-87), Iowa (71-82) and Ohio State (66-76). Wolverines are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points, while Maryland is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games off an upset loss as a favorite (winning by an average of 13.5 ppg). Give me the Terrapins -9! |
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02-20-16 | Colorado v. UCLA -5 | 53-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
40* College Hoops Late Night Money Maker (UCLA -5) This is a perfect spot to jump on the Bruins, who are undervalued here at home against Buffalo off a 73-75 home loss to Utah. UCLA has lost 3 of their last 4 but the other two defeats during this stretch came on the road against USC and Arizona. Colorado has lost 3 straight away from home in conference play and are just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games off a road game where they covered the spread and lost outright. UCLA is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 off a conference loss. Give me the Bruins -5! |
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02-20-16 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M | Top | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* College Hoops Game of the Year (Texas A&M) This is the perfect spot to jump on Texas A&M at home. The Aggies snapped a 4-game skid with a 71-56 blowout win at home against Ole Miss and are going to be as motivated as they have all season when they take the floor against Kentucky today. Texas A&M is a dominant 14-1 at home, while the Wildcats are just 5-6 on the road. Kentucky is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 off 3 straight wins by 10 or more points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 off 3 straight games with 14 or less turnovers. Add it up and that's a perfect 100% (11-0) system. Give me the Aggies in a Pick'em! |
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02-20-16 | Illinois State v. Northern Iowa -6 | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
40* College Hoops Revenge Game of the Week (UNI -6) The Panthers had been playing as well as any team in the MWC prior losing 56-59 at Loyola last time out. That loss looks bad, but it wasn't a huge surprise, as Northern Iowa was in a prime letdown spot after a huge 53-50 road win at Wichita State. I look for the Panthers to return to form and make easy work of Illinois State this afternoon. Northern Iowa is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 when they come in having won 3 of their last 4 and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after playing 2 straight on the road. Give me the Panthers -6! |
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02-20-16 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -5.5 | 67-61 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
40* College Hoops Situational ATS Knockout (Alabama -5.5) Alabama has quietly been playing their best basketball of the season. The Crimson Tide come in having won 5 straight, with 3 of those wins coming on the road, including a 82-80 win at Mississippi State. Alabama now returns home where they are 9-2 on the season and I look for them to have no problem here against a Bulldogs team that is just 3-9 on the road overall and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games on Saturday. Mississippi State is also just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 revenging a home loss, while Alabama is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games off 2 or more wins. Give me the Crimson Tide -5.5! |
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02-20-16 | Baylor v. Texas -5 | Top | 78-64 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
50* College Hoops Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Texas -5) The Longhorns were able to bounce back from back-to-back road losses at Oklahoma and Iowa State with a convincing 85-78 win at home against West Virginia. Texas has been playing exceptional basketball of late, as they are 8-3 in their last 11 with the only losses on the road agains the Jayhawks, Cyclones and Sooners. I look for the Longhorns to add another impressive win to their resume against Baylor, who has struggled of late, going just 4-4 over their last 8. Texas also won 67-59 at Baylor earlier this season. Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after playing 2 straight games as a favorite, while Texas is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after covering the spread in at least 5 of their last 7, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at home and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a SU win. That's a perfect 22-0 system. Give me the Longhorns -5! |
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02-18-16 | Belmont -3 v. Eastern Kentucky | 86-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
40* College Hoops Vegas Sharp Shooter (Belmont -3) The Bruins are showing great value here as a small road favorite against the Colonels. Belmont is primed for a big bounce back performance off an upset loss at Morehead State, plus they are going to be out for revenge against Eastern Kentucky, who beat them on their home floor 88-78 as a 11.5-point favorite. The Colonels are just 5-8 in league play, while Belmont is 10-3, so we can chalk that previous win as a fluke. Eastern Kentucky has been a great team to fade of late, as they are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10. The key here is the Colonels are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games when they come in having failed to cover at least 4 of their last 6 and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 straight games. Give me the Bruins -3! |
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02-17-16 | Oklahoma -4 v. Texas Tech | Top | 63-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
50* College Hoops Big 12 Play of the Week (Oklahoma -4) The Sooners come into this game off a crushing 72-76 loss at home against Kansas and have now lost 2 of their last 3 and failed to cover 3 straight. Now is the time to buy low on Oklahoma, as they have not lost back-to-back games all season. Texas Tech enters off two huge wins against ranked opponents. They upset Iowa State 85-82 in overtime as a 2-point home dog and then went on the road and upset Baylor 84-66 as a 10.5-point dog. The Red Raiders are all of the sudden getting big time attention and I'm just not buying it. Prior to their last two wins, Texas Tech had gone 2-8 over their previous 10 conference games with the two wins against TCU and Oklahoma State. Buddy Heild and the Sooners are going to be locked in for this one and I wouldn't be surprised if the Sooners won this going away. Oklahoma is 9-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons after playing 2 straight as a home favorite. Take this 100% system to the bank! Give me the Sooners -4! |
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02-17-16 | Nebraska v. Indiana -11.5 | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
40* College Hoops Vegas Sharp Shooter (Indiana -11.5) The Hoosiers are in a prime bounce back spot at home against the Cornhuskers. After holding on to beat Iowa 85-78 at home, Indiana got embarrassed in a 69-88 loss at Michigan State in their last game. While the Hoosiers have stumbled a bit of late, this is still a top level team and we can expect them to come out 100% focused on getting a win tonight. Indiana is a perfect 14-0 at home, which is a big reason why I don't have a problem laying this number, especially against the Cornhuskers, who are just 4-6 on the road and playing without arguably their best player in Shavon Shields. Cornhuskers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games after 15+ games against a team that's won 60% to 80% of their games. Take this perfect 100% system to the bank! Give me Indiana -11.5! |
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02-17-16 | Providence +9 v. Xavier | 74-85 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
40* College Hoops Blue Chip Dog of the Day (Providence +9) The Friars were able to snap a 3-game losing streak with a 75-72 win at Georgetown last time out, but failed to cover as a 4-point favorite. Providence has now lost 4 straight against the spread and as a result are way undervalued on the road against Xavier. The Musketeers are a quality team and have gone 12-1 at home, but this is way too many points. Xavier won 75-68 at Providence as a mere 1.5-point favorite and that was with the Musketeers shooting a red-hot 50.8% from the field and the Friars shooting just 31.4%. Providence is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games off a home win, 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games after failing to cover in their last game and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Combined that's a 30-4 system. Give me the Friars +9! |
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02-16-16 | Ball State v. Miami (OH) +2.5 | 73-56 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Dog of the Day-- (Miami, OH +2.5) The Red Hawks are showing some great value at home against the Cardinals tonight, as we are seeing a big overreaction to this line based on the last game of these two teams. Ball State won 75-63 at Central Michigan as a 9-point underdog, while Miami was embarrassed by 44 points (49-93) at Toledo as a 11.5-point dog. This is a prime bounce back spot for the Red Hawks at home and a horrible spot for Ball State off that big win and another huge game on deck at home against Northern Illinois. This is only the 2nd time all season the Cardinals have been favored on the road and the previous ended up in loss. Ball State is just 1-7 ATS laying points this season and 4-13 ATS over the last 2 years with a line of +3 to -3. Miami is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 off a conference loss. Give me the Red Hawks +2.5! |
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02-16-16 | Illinois-Chicago v. Youngstown State -5.5 | 91-92 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Youngstown State -5.5) The Penguins have lost 4 straight and are just 4-7 at home on the season, which I believe has resulted in some big time value against Illinois-Chicago, who is a miserable 0-11 away from home this season. The closest the Flames have come to a victory in a true road games is 13-points. While Illinois-Chicago's road struggles are being factored into this line, it's not enough due to the Penguins have lost 4 straight and the Flames having won and 3 of 4 and covered each of their last 4. The thing to keep in mind is that all 4 of those games came at home. Illinois-Chicago is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games after playing their previous game at home and have lost these contests by an average of 23.3 ppg. Give me Youngstown State -5.5! |
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02-16-16 | Michigan v. Ohio State | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Big 10 Game of the Month-- (Ohio State Pick'em) The Buckeyes come into this contest off back-to-back wins and I look for them to carry over that momentum at home against rival Michigan. Ohio State is a strong 12-4 at home this season, with their only home loss in Big 10 play coming 61-66 to Maryland. Michigan has also won 2 straight and are coming off a big home win over Purdue last time out, but the Wolverines are simply getting too much respect here. Michigan is 3-2 in true road games inside conference play, but the 3 wins have all come against bottom feeders in Illinois, Nebraska and Minnesota. The two losses both came by double-digits, as they fell 70-87 at Purdue and 71-82 at Iowa. Ohio State is 9-3-1 ATS last 13 at home and 6-1-1 ATS last 8 games after failing to cover the spread last time out. Give me the Buckeyes at a Pick'em! |
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02-15-16 | Oklahoma State +15 v. Kansas | Top | 67-94 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Oklahoma St +15) The Cowboys are showing great value here as a massive road dog against the Jayhawks. Oklahoma State is just 3-9 in league play, but could easily have a much better record with 5 defeats by 7-points or less. The Cowboys cruised to a 86-67 win at home over Kansas in the first meeting this season and while I don't see them pulling off the upset, I really like their chances of keeping this within the number. The Jayhawks are in a tough spot here off an emotional win on the road against Oklahoma as an underdog and can't be all the concerned with Oklahoma State given how they have dominated opponents at home. Give me the Cowboys +15! |
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02-14-16 | USC v. Arizona -9.5 | Top | 78-86 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Arizona -9.5) The Wildcats will be out for revenge from a 4-overtime loss at USC earlier this season and I expect them to do so in blowout fashion. Arizona hasn't lost at home to the Trojans since 2008 and the last 3 wins in the series have come by a combined 70 points. USC had their 3-game losing streak snapped with a 67-74 road loss at Arizona State on Friday and have lost each of their three previous conference games when playing a second consecutive game on the road. Arizona defeated UCLA 81-75 at home in their last game as a 12-point favorite. The Wildcats won that game despite shooting just 41.1% from the field and had to overcome a big deficit. Arizona is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 off a conference home win and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games after winning for or more consecutive games. Give me the Wildcats -9.5! |
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02-13-16 | Alabama v. Florida -9.5 | Top | 61-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --SEC Game of the Month-- (Florida -9.5) This is a perfect spot to jump on the Gators and fade the Crimson Tide. Alabama is in for a major letdown after knocking off Texas A&M 63-62 as a 5-point underdog on Wednesday and with the way the Gators have been playing at home this game figures to get ugly in a hurry. Florida is 12-1 at home, while Alabama is just 5-7 on the road. The Crimson Tide are just 1-4 on the road in SEC play, with the lone win coming against Mississippi State by just 2 points. Alabama is just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games off a home win, while Florida is 29-12 ATS in their last 41 after failing to cover in 3 or more consecutive games. Give me the Gators -9.5! |
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02-13-16 | Kansas v. Oklahoma -4 | Top | 76-72 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month-- (Oklahoma -4) The Sooners gave the Jayhawks all they could handle in a heartbreaking 106-109 triple-overtime loss earlier this season. This is a huge revenge and statement game for Oklahoma and with the way Kansas has struggled on the road, I wouldn't be surprised if this one turned into a blowout. The Jayhawks lost by 11-points at West Virginia, 19 at Oklahoma State and 13 at Iowa State. The Sooners on the other hand are a perfect 12-0 at home. Kansas is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games when they come in having won 12 or more of their previous 15 games. Give me Oklahoma -4! |
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02-13-16 | Purdue v. Michigan +1.5 | 56-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Dog of the Day-- (Michigan +1.5) The Wolverines are showing great value here as a home dog against the Boilermakers. Purdue continues to be overvalued. With them coming off a huge 82-81 home win over Michigan State that isn't going to change. The Boilermakers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 and have struggled against the better teams on the road in Big Ten play. Michigan will be desperate for a win here as they lost each of their last 2 home games against Indiana and Michigan State by double-digits. Keep in mind the Wolverines ares still 11-3 at home, which includes a win over Maryland. Michigan is 21-6 ATS in their last 27 as a home dog of 3 points or less. Give me the Wolverines +1.5! |
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02-13-16 | Kentucky -2.5 v. South Carolina | 89-62 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Early Bird ATS Annihilator-- (Kentucky -2.5) This is going to seem like a great price to back South Carolina at home, where they are a perfect 13-0 this season, but I think the Gamecocks are in for a tough task Saturday against the Wildcats. In my opinion, Kentucky is the best team in the SEC and they come in having won 5 of 7 with an overtime loss at Kansas and fluke loss at Tennessee where they blew a 20-point lead. Keep in mind this team went on the road and destroyed Arkansas 80-66 as a 3-point favorite and the Razorbacks are believed to have the best homecourt edge in the conference. South Carolina is just 10-23 ATS in their last 33 home games with a line of +3 to -3 and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games after a combined score of 165 or more in their last game. Give me the Wildcats -2.5! |
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02-13-16 | Georgetown v. Providence -4 | 72-75 | Loss | -102 | 2 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Big East Game of the Week-- (Providence -4) This is going to feel like a must-win game for the Friars, who have lost 3 straight to fall to just 6-6 inside conference play. The key here is we are catching Providence at a great price at home, where they are 10-4 this season. Georgetown is just 5-6 on the road, where they have dropped 3 straight. Hoyas won 92-67 at home against St. John's last time out, but are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after playing their previous game as a home favorite and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 off a home win by 10 or more and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 as a road dog of 6 or less. Give me the Friars -4! |
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02-12-16 | Ohio v. Buffalo -4 | Top | 94-75 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --MAC GAME OF THE MONTH-- (Buffalo -4) The Bulls come into this game off a 69-71 upset loss at home to Toledo as a 2-point favorite. Buffalo was without their leading scorer for that game in Lamonte Bearden due to a suspension and won't have him for this matchup against Ohio. I believe that is creating value with the Bulls, who are 8-3 at home and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 off a SU loss. Ohio is not a good road team. The Bobcats are just 4-6 away from home, where they are allowing a staggering 78.8 ppg. Buffalo is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the Bulls -4! |
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02-11-16 | Oregon v. California +1 | Top | 63-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Vegas Sharp Money Top Play-- (California +1) The Golden Bears are a perfect 14-0 overall at home and 5-0 inside Pac-12 play with wins over Colorado (79-65), Utah (71-58), Arizona St (75-70), Arizona (74-73) and Stanford (76-61). California desperately needs a win here against the Ducks to solidify their NCAA Tournament resume and I think they are catching Oregon in a great spot. The Ducks have played a gauntlet of a schedule here of late and are due for a letdown. The Golden Bears showed they can hang with Oregon earlier this season in a 65-68 loss on the road, which is the closest any team has got to beating the Ducks on their home floor inside conference play. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 off a win by 15 or more points against an opponent that has scored 75+ in 3 straight are 27-10 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. BET CALIFORNIA +1! |
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02-10-16 | Wake Forest v. Georgia Tech -7.5 | 66-71 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Vegas High Roller ATS Blowout-- (Georgia Tech -7.5) The Yellow Jackets are just 1-6 in their last 7 games, while Wake Forest has lost 8 straight. This might seem like a lot of points for Georgia Tech to be laying, but you have to keep in mind that the Yellow Jackets have played a brutal schedule so far in ACC play. Unlike the Demon Deacons, Georgia Tech is much better than their record would indicate and this is a game they are desperately going to wan to win with two more on the road coming up against Clemson and Florida State. Wake Forest is just 3-15 ATS in their last 18 road games when they have lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, while Georgia Tech is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 off 2 or more consecutive losses and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 after losing 4 of their last 5. Give me the Yellow Jackets -7.5! |
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02-10-16 | Providence -1.5 v. Marquette | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Big East Game of the Year-- (Providence -1.5) The Friars are showing big time value here as a small road favorite against the Golden Eagles. Providence is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder in this game. Not only are they going to be extremely motivated to avoid losing a third straight game, but they will be out for revenge from a heartbreaking 64-65 home loss to Marquette earlier this season. The Golden Eagles are just 4-7 in Big East play and that's with 2 wins against bottom feeder St. John's. It's also worth noting that the Friars have played extremely well on the road, going 8-2 SU and ATS in their 10 lined games away from home. Marquette is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 conference home games, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 as a home dog of 6 or less and 1-10 in their last 11 home games after playing their previous game on the road. Give me Providence -1.5! |
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02-09-16 | Northwestern +5 v. Ohio State | Top | 63-71 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Big 10 Game of the Week-- (Northwestern +5) The betting public is all over Ohio State at home against the Wildcats, yet we have seen this line go from the Buckeyes laying 6 down to 5, which is a good sign the smart money is on the Wildcats. Ohio State is a respectable 6-5 in Big 10 play, but all of their wins have come against the bottom teams in the conference. While they went on the road and beat Northwestern 65-56, they actually trailed at the half and benefited greatly from the Wildcats shooting a miserable 31.3% from the field. Northwestern is an impressive 13-5 ATS in their 18 road games over the last 2 seasons, 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 off a SU win and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win by more than 20 points. Give me the Wildcats +5! |
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02-09-16 | Pittsburgh v. Miami (Fla) -7.5 | 63-65 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --No Doubt ATS Blowout-- (Miami -7.5) The Hurricanes are a perfect 5-0 at home in ACC play and all 5 wins have come by at least 9 points, including a 11-point win over Duke and 13-point victory against Syracuse. Pittsburgh has alternated wins and losses of late, but have struggled against the top teams and last time out lost at home to Virginia by 14. They have lost on the road to Clemson by 13 and at Louisville by 18 inside conference play. Miami has plenty to play for here, as they can move into a 3-way tie for 2nd in the ACC with a win, just a half-game back of North Carolina for the top spot. Panthers are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after 15+ games against a top-level team that's won more than 80% of their games and just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games overall. Give me the Hurricanes -7.5! |
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02-08-16 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -1.5 | Top | 89-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Clemson -1.5) Great spot to go against the Fighting Irish, as they are primed for a letdown after Saturday's huge home win over No. 2 ranked North Carolina. Notre Dame has not looked good in either of their last two road games, losing 66-81 at Syracuse and 70-70 at Miami. Clemson comes in a dominant 11-2 on their home floor with a perfect 5-0 record at home inside ACC play. The Tigers are going to be highly motivated off a heartbreaking 57-60 loss at Virginia Tech and are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games off a conference loss over the last 3 seasons. Give me Clemson -1.5! |
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02-06-16 | Colorado +2.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Pac-12 Game of the Month-- (Colorado +2.5) I think the books are telling you who to take in this one an I couldn't agree more. Colorado comes into this game off an ugly 20-point loss at Oregon, while Oregon State just pulled off an upset win at home against Utah, yet the Beavers are just a 2.5-point favorite. What most will overlook is how hard it is for a bad team like the Beavers to put together two strong performances in a row and how likely it is for a good team like Colorado to bounce back from an ugly loss. In fact, Oregon State hasn't won back-to-back conference games and the Buffaloes haven't lost back-to-back games. To top it off, the Beavers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off an upset win as a home dog and have lost these games by an average of 10.5 ppg. Give me Colorado +2.5! |
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02-06-16 | North Carolina -2.5 v. Notre Dame | 76-80 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (North Carolina -2.5) I look for the Tar Heels to bounce back in a big way on the road against Notre Dame. North Carolina suffered their first conference loss last time out in a 65-71 defeat at Louisville. The Tar Heels simply didn't bring the intensity you expect from this team and yet still almost came away with a win. I look for a much more focused Tar Heels team in this one, as they have no reason to look ahead with a cupcake game against BC on deck. At the same time, I think the Fighting Irish are overrated. They are 4-1 at home in league play, but those 4 wins came against the likes of Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, BC and Wake Forest. Their lone loss coming to Pittsburgh. Irish are 12-24 ATS last 36 at home and 2-10 ATS last 12 off a conference road loss. Give me the Tar Heels -2.5! |
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02-06-16 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech +2 | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Hardwood Dog of the Week-- (Virginia Tech +2) Love the value here with the Hokies as a home dog against Clemson. Virginia Tech is simply way undervalued right now due to having lost 5 straight, but those 5 losses came against the likes of Notre Dame, North Carolina, Louisville, Pittsburgh and Syracuse with the only 2 home games during this stretch against the Tar Heels and Cardinals. Virginia Tech has quietly been playing well against these top level teams and now have a chance to take out their frustration on a team like Clemson, who is just 3-6 on the road this season. Tigers did win at Wake Forest last time out, but are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games off a conference road win. Give me the Hokies +2! |
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02-06-16 | Kansas v. TCU +12 | 75-56 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Early Bird Vegas Sharp Play-- (TCU +12) This is going to be a difficult game for the Jayhawks to get up for, as they are coming off two huge home games against Kentucky and Kansas State with an even bigger game on deck at home against West Virginia. The Jayhawks have not played good basketball on the road, where they are 1-3 in league play with the lone victory by just 10-points at Texas Tech. TCU gave Kansas all they could handle in a 7-point loss in Lawrence back on 1/16 and I look for the Horned Frogs to once again out-hustle their way to a cover at home. Jayhawks are just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games off a conference win and 0-6 in this spot when that previous win came by 10 or more points. Give me the Horned Frogs +12! |
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02-04-16 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin -5.5 | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Wisconsin -5.5) Ohio State was able to keep it closer than most people expected in a 61-66 home loss to Maryland last time out, which followed back-to-back wins over Penn State and Illinois. Losing close at home and beating bad teams has the Buckeyes overvalued on the road against the Badgers, who are playing their best basketball of the season. Wisconsin has won 4 straight and in their last two home games they have knocked off Michigan State and Indiana. Ohio State's already lost 3 times on the road by double-digits and all 6 of their conference wins have come against teams who rank in the bottom 5 of the league standings. Give me Wisconsin -5.5! |
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02-03-16 | Kansas State +12 v. Kansas | 59-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Kansas State +12) I really like the value here with Kansas State catching 12-points against rival Kansas. This in-state rivalry means so much more to the Wildcats than it does the Jayhawks and Kansas could find it hard to give K-State their full attention off that huge overtime win at home against Kentucky. Either way I look for this to be a closely contested game throughout. Each of the last 3 in the series have been decided by 11 or less and Kansas State has won 2 of those. The Jayhawks simply continue to get overvalued and it's why they are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 overall. Give me the Wildcats +12! |
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02-03-16 | Creighton +12 v. Villanova | Top | 58-83 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Vegas Insider Guaranteed Top Play-- (Creighton +12) I really like this spot for the Bluejays. Creighton is a team that's been flying under the radar this season and had won 4 of 5 before a late game collapse at Georgetown and a poor showing at home against Seton Hall. That loss to the Pirates looks bad, but I believe a lot of that had to do with the Bluejays looking ahead to this game, where they will be out for revenge from a 14-point home loss earlier this season, which they only trailed by 5 at the half. Creighton is a tough matchup for Villanova and even more so with the Wildcats missing Daniel Ochefu, who leads the team in rebounding (8.3 rpg) and blocks (1.9 bpg). He played a big part in the 14-point win at Creighton, scoring 19 points (9 of 10 from the field) with 7 rebounds, 2 blocks and 2 steals. I see this being a much closer game than the books are expecting. Give me Creighton +12! |
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02-02-16 | West Virginia v. Iowa State -4.5 | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Big 12 Game of the Month-- (Iowa State -4.5) The Cyclones have owned the Mountaineers at home since West Virginia joined the Big 12. Iowa State is a perfect 3-0 in this spot and have won the last two in this series by 20 and 17 points. West Virginia hasn't been playing well of late and are coming into this game off an ugly 71-88 loss at Florida on Saturday. I just don't see the Mountaineers putting up much of a fight here against a highly motivated Iowa State team that is coming off a heartbreaking loss at Texas A&M and let's not forget the Cyclones had won 4 straight Big 12 games prior to that loss. It's also important to note that West Virginia is without a huge piece in suspended forward Jonathan Holton, who averages a double-double and shoots 70% from the field. Iowa State is 10-1 at home and simply should be favored by more in this spot. Give me the Cyclones -4.5! |
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02-01-16 | North Carolina v. Louisville | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Louisville Pick'em) Louisville was just embarrassed on their home floor by Virginia in a 47-63 loss on Saturday and as a result we find the Cardinals showing big time value at a pick'em at home tonight against the No. 2 ranked Tar Heels. That loss to Virginia was just 4th defeat all season and first loss at home for Louisville. Needless to say this is a huge bounce back spot in a prime time home game against a Top 5 team. North Carolina has won 12 straight and are a perfect 8-0 inside the ACC, but have played a very favorable schedule during this stretch, as they have yet to face the other elite teams in the conference. We have already seen the Tar Heels lose at UNI and Texas and I just think it's going to be hard for North Carolina to match the intensity of the Cardinals in this one. Give me Louisville at a Pick'em! |
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01-31-16 | California v. Colorado -3 | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Colorado -3) The Buffaloes are a dominant 11-1 at home this season, while Cal is just 1-7 on the road. We are simply seeing great value here with Colorado due to the fact that they lost on the road to the Golden Bears by 14 back on 1/1. The Buffaloes only home loss came against Utah by 2-points in a game where they shot a miserable 38.3% from the field. Keep in mind this is a team that on the season is shooting 47% from the field at home and 43% from long-distance. Cal is not playing with confidence right now, as they just lost by 9-points at Utah and have dropped 4 of their last 6 with all 4 losses coming on the road. Colorado has won 5 of the last 6 at home in the series and this is a statement game for the Buffaloes. Give me Colorado -3! |
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01-30-16 | Seton Hall v. Creighton -5 | Top | 75-65 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Big East Game of the Month-- (Creighton -5) The Bluejays went on the road and defeated Seton Hall 82-67 as a 4-point dog back on 1/9 and that blowout win wasn't due to a lack of effort from the Pirates. Creighton is simply a bad matchup for Seton Hall and I expect to see a much similar result at home. The Bluejays are also going to be a pissed off bunch after a 73-74 loss at Georgetown last time out, which saw them blow a double-digit lead with less than 5 minutes to play. Creighton is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games against a team with a winning road record. Give me the Bluejays -5! |
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01-30-16 | West Virginia v. Florida -1 | 71-88 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout)-- (Florida -1) The Gators are 9-1 at home this season and are going to be extremely motivated for this matchup against a Top 10 team in West Virginia, especially coming off a heartbreaking 59-60 loss at Vanderbilt last time out. West Virginia is coming off a coulee of wins against Texas Tech and Kansas State, but were fortunate to win on the road against the Red Raiders. This game simply means more to Florida, who needs that signature win. The Mountaineers on the other hand could find themselves looking ahead to Tuesday's huge road showdown against Iowa State. Big key here is Florida has the talent defensively to make life miserable for West Virginia and when they don't score they can't press as much. Give me the Gators -1! |
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01-28-16 | Notre Dame v. Syracuse -2 | Top | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Syracuse -2) Notre Dame will be without leading scorer in point guard Demetrius Jackson and I believe that's enough reason alone to back the Orange as a mere 2-point home favorite. Jackson is the focal point of the offense and makes everyone else around him better. I look for the Irish to really struggle against the Syracuse zone without him on the floor. Notre Dame has lost each of their last 4 trips to the Carrier Dome and will be facing an Orange team that is playing their best basketball of the season and highly motivated off a loss at Virginia last time out. Give me Syracuse -2! |
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01-27-16 | Georgia Tech +3.5 v. NC State | 90-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Dog of the Day-- (Georgia Tech +3.5) Both of these teams have gotten off to poor starts in conference play. Georgia Tech is just 1-5 and NC State is 1-6. While you could assume these are two evenly matched teams, I have been much more impressed with the Yellow Jackets this season and believe they not only cover but win this game outright. A huge factor here that can't be overlooked is NC State's leading scorer Anthony Barber is questionable with a knee injury. He's one player this team can't afford to lose, as they are already extremely thin as it is. Even if he does play, he's not likely going to be at 100% and that should be more than enough for Georgia Tech to get the win. Give me the Yellow Jackets +3.5! |
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01-27-16 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +3.5 | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Arkansas +3.5) Oddsmakers are begging for you to take No. 5 Texas A&M as a small road favorite in this one. The Aggies come into this game having won 10 straight and are a perfect 7-0 inside SEC play. Not to mention they already beat Arkansas by 23 points at home back on 1/2 and the Razorbacks come in having lost 3 straight. For Texas A&M to only be a 3.5-point favorite, the books have to feel good about Arkansas not only covering but winning this game outright. That's how I see this one playing out. The Razorbacks have a huge homecourt advantage and we have seen Texas A&M struggle on the road (only beat Tennessee by 4 and Miss St by 1). This is also a huge lookahead spot for the Aggies, who have a huge home game on deck against highly ranked Iowa State on Saturday. Give me Arkansas +3.5! |
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01-26-16 | Virginia -6.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 72-71 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Virginia -6.5) It hasn't been the start to ACC play that the Cavaliers expected. Even with back-to-back home wins over Clemson and Syracuse, Virginia is just 4-3 inside league play. All 3 losses have came on the road, which is a big reason why we are seeing a favorable line here with the Cavaliers visiting the Demon Deacons. With a road game against Louisville on deck, this is a game Virginia simply can't afford to lose. I look for a max effort here from the Cavaliers and lopsided victory against a Wake Forest team that has lost 4 straight and is just 1-6 in league play. The Demon Deacons have lost by 16 at home to Duke and 28 at home to Syracuse, which is a great sign that the Cavaliers can and will win here by double-digits. Give me Virginia -6.5! |
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01-26-16 | Creighton v. Georgetown -3.5 | 73-74 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Georgetown -3.5) The Hoyas are showing some great value here as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against Creighton. Not only is Georgetown going to be motivated coming off a heartbreaking 62-68 loss at UConn on Saturday, but the Hoyas will be out for revenge from a 66-79 loss at Creighton earlier this season. While the 13-point margin looks impressive on paper, that was a closer game than the final score would indicate and Georgetown was done in at the free throw line. They went 3-7 while the Bluejays were 21-25. Hoyas are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 off a SU loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. Give me Georgetown -3.5! |
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01-25-16 | Davidson v. Richmond -6 | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --A-10 Game of the Month-- (Richmond -6) This is a great spot and price to back the Spiders at home against the Wildcats. Richmond has got off to a disappointing 2-3 start in conference play and this is a game that they desperately need to have. The Spiders lost a hard fought 89-94 game at home to VCU last time out, but are still 7-3 at home. Davidson on the other hand is just 1-6 away from home this season and that lone victory came in their first road game at Charlotte way back on 12/1. Last time out the Wildcats lost 87-96 at Saint Louis as a 9-point favorite. While both of these teams have similar overall records and Davidson has the slightly better record in league play at 3-3, the Wildcats 3 conference wins have come against George Mason, UMass, and Duquesne, who are a combined 5-15 in the A-10 this season. It's also worth noting that Davidson didn't beat anyone of significance in non-conference play, while Richmond had wins over Cal Wake Forest and Northern Iowa, as well as a respectable 8-point loss to West Virginia. Give me the Spiders -6! |
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01-24-16 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +11 | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Ultimate Underdog-- (Virginia Tech +11) Like the value here with the Hokies as a double-digit home dog. I just don't see the Tar Heels being all that interested in this game, which should allow Virginia Tech to keep it close enough to cover and potentially pull off the upset. Hokies are playing extremely well of late with 4 wins in their last 6 games and one of those losses was a 2-point defeat at Notre Dame last time out. Big key here is the Tar Heels don't play much defense, as they are allowing 75.0 ppg on the road. Virginia Tech on the other hand really gets after it on that side of ball, as they allow just 67.1 ppg at home and are holding opponents to just 40.0% shooting at home this season. Give me the Hokies +11! |
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01-23-16 | Arkansas v. Georgia -3 | 73-76 | Push | 0 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Georgia -3) The Bulldogs come into this game off a 60-57 win at Missouri, which was a bit more lopsided than the final score would indicate. Georgia led by as many as 16 points with less than 10 minutes to play in the 2nd half. That's a big momentum builder for the Bulldogs and they are going to be eager to take the floor at home after getting embarrassed by Texas A&M (45-79) in their last home game. Prior to that they had beat Tennessee 81-72 and Missouri 77-59 at home in SEC play. They also have home wins outside the conference agains the likes of Georgia Tech and Clemson. Arkansas is just 1-4 in true road games (1-7 away overall) and are in a tough spot playing with just 1-day of rest after hosting Kentucky on Thursday. Arkansas lives on the 3-pointer and Bulldogs are holding opposing teams to just 29.2% from long distance at home. Give me Georgia -3! |
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01-23-16 | West Virginia -4 v. Texas Tech | Top | 80-76 | Push | 0 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --High Roller ATS Game of the Month-- (West Virginia -4) The Mountaineers are showing great value here off that surprising 49-56 home loss to Texas last time out. That followed a heartbreaking 68-70 defeat at Oklahoma. Fresh off back-to-back losses we can be assured that West Virginia is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder against the Red Raiders and that should be more than enough to secure the win and cover. The Mountaineers have won 4 straight in the series, including a 78-67 win last time they visited Texas Tech. It's also worth noting that the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 in the series and West Virginia is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 off a SU loss. I'll take my chances the Mountaineers don't lose 3 straight and get the win here by 5+ points. Give me West Virginia -4! |
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01-23-16 | South Carolina v. Tennessee +1.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Early Bird ATS Shocker-- (Tennessee +1.5) The Volunteers are getting zero respect from the public after their embarrassing 74-88 home defeat to Vanderbilt last time out. Tennessee is also just 1-3 in their last 4 games, but the other two losses came on the road at Georgia and at home against the best the SEC has to offer in Texas A&M. The Vols gave the Aggies all they could handle in a 4-point loss and prior to that had rolled Florida 83-69 at home. South Carolina is 17-1 but if the books really liked this team they would be a much bigger favorite. They are begging you take them here, but they have not looked good in their last two SEC road games. The Gamecocks got destroyed by 23 at Alabama (Crimson Tide's only conference win) and had to rally from a double-digit deficit to edge Missouri in overtime last time out. This is a statement game for Tennessee and I fully expect them to deliver. Give me the Volunteers +1.5! |
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01-21-16 | Arizona State v. California -5.5 | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (California -5.5) This is the perfect spot to back the Golden Bears at home against a Arizona State team that has really struggled in conference play. Cal comes into this game off 3 straight losses, but all 3 came on the road and they could have easily won all 3 and would be sitting at 5-0 in league play. This 3-game slide has Cal way undervalued at home, where they are a perfect 11-0 this season, including two blowout wins against top level teams in conference play. They beat Colorado 79-65 and Utah 71-58. Sun Devils are just 1-4 in the Pac-12 with their only win coming at home against Washington State. They lost by 10 at USC and 7 at UCLA, as well as by 12 at home against Arizona. Arizona State is also 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games after a contest where 155 or more points were scored. Give me California -5.5! |
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01-20-16 | Miami (Fla) -15.5 v. Boston College | 67-53 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Miami -15.5) Laying this kind of number on the road can get you in trouble without considerable reasoning to back your play. I believe there's more than enough of a strong case to take Miami as a massive road favorite against an awful Boston College team. The Hurricanes are every bit as good as their 13-3 record would indicate and we know we are going to get a max effort from the visitors having lost their last two. It hasn't matter if the Eagles are playing at home or on the road, they have been getting embarrassed on a consistent basis. Boston College has lost by 23 at Pitt, 22 at Syracuse, 28 at home to ND and 17 at home to Duke in their 4 conference games. They also have a 31 point loss to Michigan St and 15-point defeat to Providence. The Hurricanes will be out to make a statement and should have no problem winning here by 20+ points. Give me Miami -15.5! |
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01-20-16 | Virginia Tech +13 v. Notre Dame | Top | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Virginia Tech +13) This is an ideal spot to fade the Fighting Irish off arguably their biggest win of the season in Saturday's 95-91 win at Duke. It's going to be near impossible for Notre Dame to bring the same intensity to their matchup against Virginia Tech. However, the Hokies are going to come to play, as they haven't forgot about an embarrassing 25-point home loss to the Irish in the last meeting between these two teams. Virginia Tech is also playing their best basketball of the season right now, as they have won 4 of their last 5 with wins over NC State, Virginia, Wake Forest and Georgia Tech. I wouldn't be shocked if the Hokies pulled off the big upset, but more than anything I don't see this turning into a blowout given the situation with Notre Dame off that massive win at Duke. Give me Virginia Tech +13! |
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01-19-16 | LSU +7.5 v. Texas A&M | 57-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Dog of the Day-- (LSU +7.5) The Tigers are showing great value here as a decently priced road dog against the Aggies. As most of you are well aware, LSU has arguably the best player in the country in Ben Simmons and this is a young team that is only getting better as the season progresses. Texas A&M is a good team and come in having won 8 straight, but are overvalued because of it. Aggies are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 off a win by more than 20 points and LSU is 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Tigers +7.5! |
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01-19-16 | Northwestern +12.5 v. Maryland | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Northwestern +12.5) This is a big revenge spot for Northwestern, who lost earlier in Big Ten play by 13 at home to Maryland. The Wildcats are also going to be highly motivated after an ugly home loss to Penn State in a game they should have won, but simply didn't show up to play. Maryland on the other hand is being way overvalued after a 35-point win over Ohio State on Saturday and there's a good chance they come in overconfident against the Wildcats. Northwestern has been an excellent team to back in this spot, as they are 7-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a loss of 10 or more points and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after playing 2 straight games at home. Give me the Wildcats +12.5! |
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01-19-16 | Clemson v. Virginia -10 | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Virginia -10) This line is begging for you to take Clemson as a double-digit dog. The Tigers have won 5 straight conference games with each of the last 3 coming as a home dog against a ranked opponent. The simple fact that they are a 10-point dog given what they have just done, screams to take Virginia, as the books know the betting public will be all over the Tigers at this line. Cavaliers are a perfect 8-0 at home this season and have one of the best homecourt advantages in college basketball. Virginia is also going to be extremely motivated after a 62-69 loss at Florida State on Sunday. Clemson is not a good road team (lost at Minnesota by 23 at Georgia) and simply are due for a major letdown given their brutal schedule of late. Give me the Cavaliers -10! |
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01-18-16 | Syracuse v. Duke -11 | 64-62 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Duke -11) This might seem like a big number for Duke to be laying at home against the Orange, but I'm expecting max effort from the Blue Devils at home after dropping 2 straight, including a 91-95 loss at home to Notre Dame on Saturday. Keep in mind that last year Duke was a 12-point favorite at home and won 73-54 in an easy win and cover. I'm expecting a similar type outcome in this one, as Syracuse is not as strong this year as they were a season ago. Prior to beating Boston College and Wake Forest in their last two games, they lost their first 4 conference games with 3 of those coming by 11 or more points. Give me Duke -11! |
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01-16-16 | Miami (Fla) -4 v. Clemson | Top | 65-76 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --ACC GAME OF THE MONTH-- (Miami -4) I believe the books are basically giving this game away or at least telling you who they think is going to cover. Clemson comes into this game off back-to-back home wins over No. 16 Louisville and No. 8 Miami (won 4 straight overall, covered 5 in a row), yet are a dog at home against a Miami team that just lost and failed to cover in a 58-66 defeat at Virginia as a 4.5-point dog. The Hurricanes are primed for a bounce back, while the Tigers are due for a letdown after a rare win against the Blue Devils. Tigers are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 off an upset win as a home dog while Hurricanes are 10-3 ATS as a favorite this season. Give me Miami -4! |
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01-16-16 | Syracuse +2.5 v. Wake Forest | 83-55 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Blowout-- (Syracuse +2.5) The books have set this line begging for you to take Wake Forest as a small home favorite, but I believe the real value here is with Syracuse. The Orange are just 1-4 in conference play, but snapped their 4-game skid with a 62-40 blowout win over Boston College in their last contest. They have no choice but to treat this like a must-win game given their bad start. You also have to factor in their 4 conference losses have come against 4 of the 5 best teams in the ACC in Pitt, Miami, Clemson and UNC. Demon Deacons are a team that only beat Rutgers 69-68 and that's an awful Scarlet Knights team. They are just 1-3 in league play with an ugly 16-point home loss to Duke. Now is the time to buy on the Orange against an inferior opponent. Give me Syracuse +2.5! |
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01-14-16 | Pittsburgh v. Louisville -7 | Top | 41-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Louisville -7) This line is begging for you to take Pittsburgh, who comes in at 14-1 overall and riding a 10-game winning streak, including a 86-82 win at Notre Dame in their last contest. Louisville on the other hand is fresh off a 62-66 loss at Clemson. At the time that looked to be a bad defeat, but the Tigers just defeated Duke at home. Louisville is one of the most complete teams in the country, ranking near the top in the country on both sides of the ball. Pittsburgh is one of the most overrated and let's not forget the Panthers lost at home to Purdue by 13-points. Last year the Cardinals won 80-68 at Pittsburgh and 69-56 at home. This is an even better Louisville team this time around. We also see the Panthers are a mere 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games and 6-20 ATS in their last 26 off a win. Give me Louisville -7! |
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01-13-16 | Oregon State v. Colorado -4.5 | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Late Night ATS Knockout-- (Colorado -4.5) *Analysis Coming* |
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01-13-16 | Tennessee v. Georgia -5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --SEC Game of the Month-- (Georgia -5) *Analysis Coming* |
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01-12-16 | Minnesota +8.5 v. Nebraska | 59-84 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Dog of the Day-- (Minnesota +8.5) Nebraska comes into this game off a 34-point blowout win on the road against Rutgers, while Minnesota is coming off a 25-point home loss to Northwestern. This has the Cornhuskers way overvalued against the Gophers, who are going to come out swinging looking for that first conference win. This is not a great Nebraska team and shouldn't be laying this many points at home against any team outside of Rutgers. Cornhuskers are also just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 off a blowout win by 30 or more points. Give me Minnesota +8.5! |
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01-12-16 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -3.5 | Top | 70-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Big 12 Game of the Month-- (Kansas St -3.5) Kansas State should have no problem winning and covering at home against the Red Raiders. The Wildcats come into this game having lost 3 straight to open up conference play, but two of those came on the road and the other was at home by just 4-points to a very good West Virginia team. Texas Tech is coming off two huge games against the two Big 12 favorites in Iowa State and Kansas and I just don't see them being able to match the intensity of Kansas State at home in this one. Keep in mind that this is only the 2nd true road game all season for Texas Tech and the Wildcats are a dominant 7-1 on their home floor. Give me Kansas State -3.5! |
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01-10-16 | Villanova -4.5 v. Butler | Top | 60-55 | Win | 102 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Villanova -4.5) Butler started the season 11-1 and reached as high as No. 9 in the rankings, but were clearly overvalued as they have opened up Big East play with a 73-81 home loss to Providence, 69-88 defeat at Xavier and less than impressive 77-72 win at DePaul. Villanova is an elite team and are finally playing like it. They shot a mere 36.2% from the field against Seton Hall and still won by 9. They also have a 14-point win at Creighton and 31-point win over Xavier. The Wildcats only two losses this season are against Oklahoma and Virginia, who are two other elite teams. Give me Villanova -4.5! |
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01-09-16 | Nebraska -4.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 90-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Big Ten Game of the Month-- (Nebraska -4.5) Rutgers is hands down the worst team in the Big Ten, so fading them as a small home favorite is an ideal scenario, especially against a Nebraska team that is better than people think. Cornhuskers have got off to a rough 0-3 start in Big Ten play, which is also ideal, as it will have Nebraska laying everything they have into this game against an inferior team. Rutgers is getting outscored by 5.0 ppg which is awful when you consider some of the cupcake non-conference games they have played. Nebraska is 30-13 ATS in their last 43 off a cover where they lost outright, while Rutgers is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 off 3 straight conference losses. Give me the Cornhuskers -4.5! |
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01-09-16 | Baylor v. Iowa State -6.5 | 94-89 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Blockbuster ATS Knockout-- (Iowa St -6.5) Iowa State has been waiting for this showdown against Baylor after losing both meetings against the Bears last year. The Cyclones are just as good, if not better, than they were a year ago, while Baylor is not as strong as they were a year ago. The Bears have played just 3 true road games this season and lost all 3 by at least 7 points, including recent blowout losses at Texas A&M (61-80) and Kansas (74-102). Iowa State is a perfect 8-0 at home, where they are winning by an average of 18.1 ppg. Give me Iowa State -6.5! |
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01-07-16 | Michigan v. Purdue -7.5 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Purdue -7.5) There's a good chance that Michigan will be without leading scorer Caris LeVert for this game, but even if he plays I look for the Boilermakers to win comfortably at home against the Wolverines. Purdue is going to be a team on a mission tonight after blowing a 17-point lead against Iowa at home in a 7-point loss on Saturday. The Boilermakers are one of the elite teams in the country, not just the Big Ten and Michigan is way overvalued right now due to their easy non-concernce schedule. What stands out to me is how poorly the Wolverines played against the 3 best teams they played in Xavier (70-86), Connecticut (60-74) and SMU (58-82). I see a similar type of outcome in this one. Give me Purdue -7.5! |
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01-06-16 | Ohio State v. Northwestern -2 | 65-56 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Northwestern -2) This is the first time that Northwestern has been favored over Ohio State since 2009, which also marks the last time they defeated the Buckeyes. If you haven't got a chance to watch Northwestern play, this is one of the most improved teams in the country. Their only two losses this season have come against North Carolina and Maryland. At the same time, this is not the same caliber of Ohio State as previous years and don't let the win over Kentucky fool you, as the Wildcats are way down this year as well. Home court is huge in the Big Ten and I expect it to be the difference in this one. Give me Northwestern -2! |
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01-06-16 | Georgia Tech +9 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Georgia Tech +9) The Yellow Jackets come into this game off what looks like an ugly 18-point loss at North Carolina, but Georgia Tech actually had the lead in that game with less than 6 minutes to play. Pittsburgh on the other hand comes in off a 34-point blowout win over East Shore, which followed a 11-point win over Syracuse. I think we are seeing a drastically inflated line here. Georgia Tech has had the lead or been tied in the 2nd half of all 4 losses this year. Pitt is a quality team and just cracked the Top 25, but have played a fairly easy schedule to this point. I think the Yellow Jackets make a game of it and potentially win outright. Give me Georgia Tech +9! |
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01-05-16 | Wisconsin +8 v. Indiana | Top | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Wisconsin +8) This is simply too many points for the Badgers to be catching against the Hoosiers. Wisconsin isn't as strong as they were a year ago, but thy are more than capable of going on the road and beating Indiana. The Hoosiers have the much better record, but have also played the easier schedule of the two teams. Simply seeing Indiana overvalued due to the fact that they have won 7 straight. Look for Wisconsin's defense to be the difference in this game, as well as the fact that the Hoosiers will be without second leading scorer James Blackmon Jr. Give me the Badgers +8! |
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01-04-16 | Cleveland State v. Detroit -8 | 80-88 | Push | 0 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS No Brainer-- (Detroit -8) I look for Detroit to have no problem winning and covering this big number against Cleveland State. The Titans come in at 7-5 and opened up Horizon play with a 96-87 win at home against Youngstown State. Cleveland State on the other hand is just 5-9 and were no match for Oakland on the road, losing 68-86. The Vikings are just 2-6 away from home, where they are getting outscored by more than 10.0 ppg. Detroit on the other hand is a perfect 7-0 at home, where they are outscoring opponents by nearly 16.0 ppg. Give me the Titans -8! |
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01-03-16 | USC v. Washington +1 | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Washington +1) The Huskies are showing great value here as a home underdog against the Trojans, as USC is getting way too much respect for their 7-game winning streak, which has come against a soft schedule. Washington has a strong home court advantage and that showed in their 96-93 win over UCLA in their Pac-12 home opener on Friday. USC is playing back-to-back road games in a span of just 3 days and this is a team that had only played one true road game in non-conference play. Give me Washington +1! |
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Brandon Lee NCAA-B Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-10-16 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -3 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
03-10-16 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia -9.5 | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
03-10-16 | Duke -2.5 v. Notre Dame | 79-84 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
03-09-16 | Florida State v. Virginia Tech +2.5 | 85-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
03-09-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -5 | Top | 71-75 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
03-08-16 | Gonzaga -2 v. St. Mary's | Top | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
03-07-16 | Pepperdine +7 v. St. Mary's | 66-81 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
03-06-16 | Illinois v. Penn State -4 | Top | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
03-05-16 | George Washington v. Davidson -1 | Top | 80-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
03-05-16 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -5.5 | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
03-05-16 | West Virginia v. Baylor -2 | 69-58 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
03-03-16 | Stanford v. Arizona State -2.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
03-02-16 | Oregon State v. USC -5.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
03-02-16 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +3.5 | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
03-01-16 | Purdue v. Nebraska +4 | 81-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
03-01-16 | Virginia v. Clemson +5 | Top | 64-57 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
02-29-16 | Kansas -2 v. Texas | Top | 86-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
02-28-16 | USC v. California -7 | 65-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
02-28-16 | Duke v. Pittsburgh -1 | Top | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
02-27-16 | Oklahoma v. Texas | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
02-27-16 | NC State v. Syracuse -5 | Top | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
02-25-16 | Florida State v. Duke -9 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
02-25-16 | SMU -4.5 v. Memphis | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
02-24-16 | Wisconsin v. Iowa -7 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
02-24-16 | Washington v. Oregon State -4 | 81-82 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
02-24-16 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +1.5 | 67-60 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
02-23-16 | Alabama +13.5 v. Kentucky | 53-78 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
02-22-16 | Texas v. Kansas State | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
02-21-16 | Michigan v. Maryland -9 | 82-86 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
02-20-16 | Colorado v. UCLA -5 | 53-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
02-20-16 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M | Top | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
02-20-16 | Illinois State v. Northern Iowa -6 | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
02-20-16 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -5.5 | 67-61 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
02-20-16 | Baylor v. Texas -5 | Top | 78-64 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
02-18-16 | Belmont -3 v. Eastern Kentucky | 86-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
02-17-16 | Oklahoma -4 v. Texas Tech | Top | 63-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
02-17-16 | Nebraska v. Indiana -11.5 | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
02-17-16 | Providence +9 v. Xavier | 74-85 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
02-16-16 | Ball State v. Miami (OH) +2.5 | 73-56 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
02-16-16 | Illinois-Chicago v. Youngstown State -5.5 | 91-92 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
02-16-16 | Michigan v. Ohio State | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
02-15-16 | Oklahoma State +15 v. Kansas | Top | 67-94 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
02-14-16 | USC v. Arizona -9.5 | Top | 78-86 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
02-13-16 | Alabama v. Florida -9.5 | Top | 61-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
02-13-16 | Kansas v. Oklahoma -4 | Top | 76-72 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
02-13-16 | Purdue v. Michigan +1.5 | 56-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
02-13-16 | Kentucky -2.5 v. South Carolina | 89-62 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
02-13-16 | Georgetown v. Providence -4 | 72-75 | Loss | -102 | 2 h 0 m | Show | |
02-12-16 | Ohio v. Buffalo -4 | Top | 94-75 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
02-11-16 | Oregon v. California +1 | Top | 63-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
02-10-16 | Wake Forest v. Georgia Tech -7.5 | 66-71 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
02-10-16 | Providence -1.5 v. Marquette | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
02-09-16 | Northwestern +5 v. Ohio State | Top | 63-71 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
02-09-16 | Pittsburgh v. Miami (Fla) -7.5 | 63-65 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
02-08-16 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -1.5 | Top | 89-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
02-06-16 | Colorado +2.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
02-06-16 | North Carolina -2.5 v. Notre Dame | 76-80 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
02-06-16 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech +2 | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
02-06-16 | Kansas v. TCU +12 | 75-56 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
02-04-16 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin -5.5 | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
02-03-16 | Kansas State +12 v. Kansas | 59-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
02-03-16 | Creighton +12 v. Villanova | Top | 58-83 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
02-02-16 | West Virginia v. Iowa State -4.5 | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
02-01-16 | North Carolina v. Louisville | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
01-31-16 | California v. Colorado -3 | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
01-30-16 | Seton Hall v. Creighton -5 | Top | 75-65 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
01-30-16 | West Virginia v. Florida -1 | 71-88 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
01-28-16 | Notre Dame v. Syracuse -2 | Top | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
01-27-16 | Georgia Tech +3.5 v. NC State | 90-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
01-27-16 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +3.5 | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
01-26-16 | Virginia -6.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 72-71 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
01-26-16 | Creighton v. Georgetown -3.5 | 73-74 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
01-25-16 | Davidson v. Richmond -6 | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
01-24-16 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +11 | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
01-23-16 | Arkansas v. Georgia -3 | 73-76 | Push | 0 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
01-23-16 | West Virginia -4 v. Texas Tech | Top | 80-76 | Push | 0 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
01-23-16 | South Carolina v. Tennessee +1.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
01-21-16 | Arizona State v. California -5.5 | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
01-20-16 | Miami (Fla) -15.5 v. Boston College | 67-53 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
01-20-16 | Virginia Tech +13 v. Notre Dame | Top | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
01-19-16 | LSU +7.5 v. Texas A&M | 57-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
01-19-16 | Northwestern +12.5 v. Maryland | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
01-19-16 | Clemson v. Virginia -10 | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
01-18-16 | Syracuse v. Duke -11 | 64-62 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
01-16-16 | Miami (Fla) -4 v. Clemson | Top | 65-76 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
01-16-16 | Syracuse +2.5 v. Wake Forest | 83-55 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
01-14-16 | Pittsburgh v. Louisville -7 | Top | 41-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
01-13-16 | Oregon State v. Colorado -4.5 | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
01-13-16 | Tennessee v. Georgia -5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
01-12-16 | Minnesota +8.5 v. Nebraska | 59-84 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
01-12-16 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -3.5 | Top | 70-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
01-10-16 | Villanova -4.5 v. Butler | Top | 60-55 | Win | 102 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
01-09-16 | Nebraska -4.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 90-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
01-09-16 | Baylor v. Iowa State -6.5 | 94-89 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
01-07-16 | Michigan v. Purdue -7.5 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
01-06-16 | Ohio State v. Northwestern -2 | 65-56 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
01-06-16 | Georgia Tech +9 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
01-05-16 | Wisconsin +8 v. Indiana | Top | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
01-04-16 | Cleveland State v. Detroit -8 | 80-88 | Push | 0 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
01-03-16 | USC v. Washington +1 | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show |