At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Seattle/Chicago game.  The Seahawks and Bears both lost their openers last week.  Chicago fell, 24-23, to Green Bay, while Seattle lost at Denver, 27-24.  Certainly, NFL teams are especially desperate in Week 2 coming off a loss in Week 1, as an 0-2 start to a season is a huge hole out of which to dig, should one aspire to make the Playoffs.  So, it's not surprising that match-ups between 0-1 teams have tilted toward the 'under' 57% of the time since 1980 (and 63% if both teams also happened to go 'over' in Week 1).  Likewise, Monday Night Football match-ups have also gone 'under' 65.2% since 1980 if both combatants are off a loss, and each went 'over' the total in their previous game.  Finally, Chicago's played 19 of its last 30 home games 'under' the total, while Seattle's gone 'under' in seven of its last eight road games off a loss.  Take the 'under.'  MNF Total of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars over New England.  The Jaguars' success last season was largely a result of its 2nd-ranked defense, as it gave up just 268 points in the regular season.  Jacksonville got this year off to a similar start, as it gave up just 15 points in last week's victory over the New York Giants.  This week, the Jags will open their home schedule, and take on Bill Belichick's Patriots, who won against Houston in Week 1. This is a great situation to take Jacksonville, as .500 (or better) home teams with defenses that give up less than 20 ppg, have gone 117-80 ATS since 1980 if they were an underdog (or PK) vs. a non-division foe off a win.  Moreover, these two teams met in last year's Playoffs in Foxboro, and the Patriots won, 24-20, but didn't cover the 7-point spread.  Thus, the Jags will be looking to avenge that defeat on Sunday.  Jacksonville is a super 11-3 ATS its last 14 when not laying more than three points, while New England is a poor 3-10-1 ATS off a win, if it was favored on the road vs. a team with a better defense.  Take Jacksonville. NFL Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over San Francisco.  The Lions were thoroughly embarassed on National TV last Monday Night, when they lost, 48-17, at home to the New York Jets.  However, underdogs generally bounce back after an awful Monday Night Football performance.  Indeed, since 1981, underdogs (or PK) that failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points in a Monday Night game have gone 70.5% ATS, including a perfect 7-0 ATS the last seven.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Los Angeles.  The Chargers blew out the Bills last season, 54-24, as a 7-point favorite.  Couple that with the fact that Buffalo lost, 47-3, at Baltimore last Sunday, and it's easy to see why some might be attracted to the road team, here.  But we are going to run the other way with the Bills, as they fall into 144-66 and 52-13 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams to bounce back off losses.  Also, the Bills were 9-7 last year.  And home teams that were a winning team the previous season, and playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat from a loss that season to their current opponent, have cashed 65.4% since November 1983.  Take the home underdog Bills.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Washington.  Last week, the Redskins opened their 2018 campaign with an upset win at Arizona.  Washington was a 2.5-point underdog in that game, but walloped the Cardinals, 24-6.  Meanwhile, Indy fell at home, 34-23, to the Cincinnati Bengals.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Redskins off their impressive performance last week.  But be careful, as home favorites off an upset road win to open their season have generally stumbled when matched up against foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Since 1980, they've covered just 34.4% of the time.  That doesn't bode well for Washington this afternoon.  And nor does the fact that Washington has covered just 30 of 101 home games vs. non-winning opposition, if Washington wasn't getting 2 points in the game.  Finally, Indianapolis is 33-13 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 14-2 when the Colts are getting 4+ points.  Take Indy. NFL Underdog Shocker!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over Kansas City.  Last week, the Chiefs went into Los Angeles, and upset the Chargers, 38-28.  Meanwhile, the Steelers stumbled in their opening game -- also against a division foe -- as Pittsburgh tied Cleveland, 21-21, which certainly felt like a loss, as Cleveland was 0-16 last season.  I'm going to go against KC on the road, as AFC West teams have cashed just 34.6% the past 38 years off an upset division win, if they're playing a non-division foe on the road.  Also, these two teams have met three times in the past two seasons, and the Steelers have won all three games, both straight-up and ATS.   Finally, Pittsburgh is 21-6 ATS at home off a division game where it was favored, but did not win.  Take the Steelers.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  Both of these teams finished last season with winning records.  But KC (10-6) earned a trip to the Playoffs, while the Chargers (9-7) barely missed out.  And the fact that Los Angeles lost both regular season games to the Chiefs is the main reason which KC was able to edge out the Chargers for that post-season berth.  I love the Chargers to avenge those two losses, as home favorites of less than 7 points (or PK) have cashed 75.5% ATS when playing with double revenge from two losses to a division rival the previous season, if our home team also had a winning record in that previous season.  Take the Chargers.  NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New England.  The Eagles upset the Vikings as 3-point home underdogs.  And it wasn't even close, as the Eagles won by 31 points (38-7).  Meanwhile, the Patriots failed to cover vs. Jacksonville, as they won by just four (24-20), as a 7.5-point favorite.  That doesn't bode well for New England in the Super Bowl, as teams off a point spread defeat in the Conference Championship round have covered just 25% in Super Bowls since 1980.  Moreover, it's tough to play away from home in the post-season, and lay points to a team -- like Philadelphia -- with the better defense (the Eagles' defense rates 1.0 ppg better than the Patriots' defense).  Indeed, Playoff teams that owned the better defense have covered 73% in this situation over the last 38 years (and 85% if they were getting 3+ points).  Finally, teams (like Philadelphia) off back to back wins in which they weren't favored by 3+ points in either of those victories, have gone 8-0-1 ATS in Super Bowls since 1998.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles to go OVER the total.  The Over falls into several of my best Totals systems, with records of 49-15, 90-62 and 98-58 since 1980.  Also, over the past six Playoff seasons, Bill Belichick's Patriots have gone 'over' the total 9-4-1, including a perfect 5-0 'over' if New England didn't go 'over' in its previous game.  Meanwhile, the Eagles have gone 'over' the total in 16 of their last 20 games away from home, including 10-0 'over' if the Eagles were an underdog of +6 points or less.  Finally, the Patriots have generally gone 'over' the total when Belichick has had two weeks to prepare, as they've gone 'over' 12-2 the past six seasons in this situation, including 6-0 'over' the past three seasons.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Philadelphia/Minnesota game.  The Eagles have played three extremely low-scoring games in a row.  Last week, they defeated Atlanta, 15-10.  Prior to that, they were shut out by Dallas, 6-0, and won 19-10 vs. Oakland.  Those three games went 'under' their respective totals by 15, 35 and 17 points.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'under' in this game, but the Over falls into a 65.3% Totals system of mine which plays on certain teams off Unders to reverse course and play a high-scoring game.  Also, the Eagles have gone 'Over' 81% since 1999 off 3 or more Unders, while Playoff favorites (like Minnesota) off a high-scoring playoff game in which more than 51 points were scored, have gone 'Over' the total 64% since 1997.  Take the Over.  NFL Total of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New England/Jacksonville game.  We played on the Over last week in both the New England/Tennessee game, and the Jacksonville/Pittsburgh game, and got the cash in each.  And we'll come right back with the Over for this game.  The Patriots have now gone 8-0-1 Over in their last nine Playoff games at home or on a neutral field!  And the Jaguars are currently riding a 4-2 Over streak.  Also, since 1988, NFL Playoff teams have gone 'Over' the total 70% of the time after scoring 44+ points in their previous playoff game (and 79% if the Over/Under line was 45+ points).  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Jacksonville.  Last week, we played on both Jacksonville and New England, and easily got the $$$ with both.  As I mentioned last week, in our analysis of the Tennessee/New England game, in the NFL Playoffs, road underdogs of +3.5 or more points are awful off an upset win (now 39-80-1 ATS).  That same angle applies to Jacksonville, here, off its upset win at Pittsburgh.  Moreover, the Jaguars fall into a negative 2-23 ATS Playoff system of mine, as well as a 33-88 ATS angle.  Finally, favorites priced from -2.5 to -9.5 are 37-19 ATS in the Conference Championship round since 1984.  Take the Patriots.  Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the 'over' in the Minnesota/New Orleans game, as it falls into 46-19, 47-15 and 96-57 Totals systems of mine.  The Saints are averaging over 28 points per game this season.  And in the NFL playoffs, teams that average more than 27.45 ppg have gone 'Over' the total 62.26% of the time when the over/under line is more than 43 points.  Additionally, New Orleans is 9-2 'Over' its last 11 when the line was between 42 and 49 points.  And Playoff games where at least one team is rested have gone 'over' the total 57% since 1980.  This will be a high-scoring game.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Jaguars come into today's game off three straight point spread defeats.  That will keep many bettors off Jacksonville.  But not me.  Indeed, since 1984, NFL Playoff teams have cashed 15 of 19 if they were on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, provided they were not favored by 3 or more points.  And if their opponent was off back to back wins, then our system zooms to 11-1 ATS.  Jacksonville also falls into 30-1 and 82-22 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Jags + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Pittsburgh/Jacksonville game.  In the Jaguars' last game, they managed to score just 10 points, in a 10-3 win.  That game's combined point total of 13 points will keep many bettors off the 'Over' here, but that knee-jerk reaction will more than likely be the wrong move.  Indeed, NFL games have gone 'Over' in 46 of 70 games, with Over/Under lines less than 43 points, if one of the teams played a game the previous week which didn't total 14+ points.  Moreover, the Steelers are 26-8 'Over' the total in the Playoffs when the line was less than 47 points, including 13-0 'Over' since Jan. 11, 1998 when they played at home, or on a neutral field.  And the Jags have gone 'Over' the total 44 of 71 when the Over/Under line was 44 or less, and the Jags went 'Under' the total in their previous game.  Finally, the Over falls into a 51-24 Playoff Totals system of mine.  Take the 'Over.'  NFL Elite Info Totals Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the New England/Tennessee game.  The Patriots have played 15 home playoff games over the last 11 seasons.  And just three of those 15 games have gone 'Under' the total!  That bodes well for this being a high-scoring game.  Additionally, the 'Over' falls into a 61-29 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Tennessee.  Last week, the Titans came back from an 18-point deficit to stun the Kansas City Chiefs, 22-21, as an 8.5-point underdog.  Unfortunately, since 1982, in the NFL Playoffs, road underdogs of +3.5 or more points are an awful 39-77-1 ATS off an upset win.  That doesn’t bode well for the Titans on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that the Patriots are 6-0 straight-up and 5-1 ATS at home in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs the past six seasons.  Finally, over the past 26 years, NFL double digit road underdogs, with a win percentage less than .700, have covered just 4 of 24 Playoff games, including 0-7 ATS the past seven seasons.  Take New England.

At 4:35 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over Atlanta.  The Eagles are the #1 seed in the NFC, but stumbled into the playoffs with three straight ATS defeats to end the season, including a 6-0 shutout loss in their final game.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Philly.  But NFL teams have gone 10-0 ATS in their initial playoff game, if they lost against the point spread in their last three regular season games; they weren't favored by 3+ points; and their foe was NOT off back to back ATS losses.  Additionally, the Eagles fall into 76-16, 29-1 and 81-22 ATS systems of mine.  Finally, home underdogs are a solid 24-13 ATS in the Playoffs, while home teams are 12-1 ATS off shutout home losses, when matched up against foes off SU/ATS wins.  Take Philly + the points.  NFL Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Atlanta/Philadelphia game.  The Falcons have gone 'Under' in six straight games.  But this should be a relatively high-scoring game, as NFL teams have gone 'Over' in 141 of 250 games off 5+ 'Unders' when the line was 42 or less points.  Take the 'Over.'

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Atlanta.  It's true that the Rams have not made the Playoffs in 13 years, while the Falcons reached the Super Bowl last season.  But I believe Playoff "experience" is vastly over-rated.  Instead, I prefer to back the much better team.  And that's surely the Los Angeles Rams.  LA had a better W/L record (11-5), a better ATS win percentage (.562), a better scoring margin (+6.93), and a better point spread differential (+8.90).  The most significant difference was on the offensive side of the ball, as LA scored 29.8 ppg, while Atlanta managed to score just 22.0 ppg.  And NFL home teams have cashed 63% in the Playoffs over the last 34 years if they weren't favored by 8+ points, and they averaged at least 27.3 ppg.  Moreover, notwithstanding its post-season success last year, Atlanta's still a money-burning 6-14 ATS in the Playoffs its last 20, including 1-9 ATS off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Rams.  NFL High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Tennessee.  The Chiefs' roller-coaster season was bookended with 5 SU/ATS wins at the front, and 4 SU/ATS wins at the end (with a 1-6 SU/ATS stretch in the middle).  I look for them to annihilate the Titans, as Tennessee enters the Playoffs with the 2nd-worst scoring defense of all the Playoff teams.  And Playoff road underdogs of 7+ points, that give up 21.75 (or more) points per game, have covered just 25 percent since 1984!  Even worse:  the Titans defeated Jacksonville, 15-10, last week at home.  But the Titans are an awful 1-15 ATS off a home win by more than three points!  Take Kansas City.  NFL Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Rams and 49ers to go 'under' the total.  These two teams met earlier this season in San Francisco, and the Rams came away with a 41-39 victory.  I look for a much lower scoring game on Sunday, as rematches of games where each team scored 28+ points have gone 'under' the total 61.4% since 1980 when the line was greater than 41 points.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Christmas Day, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Texans were walloped by Jacksonville last week, 45-7.  And that was Houston’s fourth straight loss.  But this is a perfect spot to take Houston to bounce back, and I think they’ll easily cover vs. the Steelers.  Last week, Pittsburgh suffered, perhaps, the most brutal loss of the entire season, as they seemingly scored the game winning touchdown vs. New England, but had it overturned on a technicality by the replay officials.  I’ve always found that close losses are more difficult to bounce back from than blowout losses, and the way the Steelers lost will surely affect them emotionally.  The other big factor here is that Houston is at home, and getting points, while the Steelers are laying points on the road.  And home underdogs generally bounce back off blowout losses.  Indeed, for technical support, consider that NFL home underdogs of +4 or more points, off a loss by 28 or more points, are 20-1 ATS their last 21 vs. opponents also off a loss.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Arizona.  We played on the Giants last week, and got the $$$, even though New York lost outright, 34-29, to the Eagles (but covered as a 7-point underdog).  The Giants have dropped their last four games, straight-up, and are 2-12 on the season.  But I love them to pull the outright upset this afternoon vs. the 6-8 Cardinals, as they fall into a 102-42 ATS system of mine.  Even better:  NFL road teams off 4+ losses, and not getting more than 4 points, have covered 81% since 1980 if they're matched up against a foe whose W/L percentage is more than 25% better.  Take New York.  Underdog Shocker.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Minnesota.  The Packers lost at Carolina last week, but they're back home at Lambeau Field for this game against their NFC North division rival.  And NFC North division teams are 58-30 ATS off a loss vs. a division foe off a win!  Even better:  Green Bay plays with revenge vs. Minnesota from an upset loss earlier this season.  And teams from the NFC North (or its forerunner, the NFC Central) are 29-6 ATS as underdogs of more than 6 points when playing with revenge vs. a division foe.  Take Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Ravens blew out Cleveland, 27-10, last week, while Indy fell to the Broncos, 25-13.  We'll lay the points with the Ravens, as they are 17-0 ATS at home off a win by more than 15 points, when playing an opponent off a loss.  Take Baltimore.  NFL High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs and Atlanta Falcons to go 'under' the total.  This play is purely technical in nature, and based on the season stats of Tampa and Atlanta.  It falls into 116-60 and 169-111 Totals systems of mine (both of which supported our play last Monday on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game).  Interestingly, these two teams have combined for 54, 71 and 55 points in their three previous meetings.  The knee-jerk reaction, then, might be to look for another high-scoring game tonight.  But consider that division games that have combined for 54+ points in each of the three previous meetings have gone 'under' the total 67.6% of the time over the past 27 years.  Finally, Tampa Bay is a solid 19-9 'under' the total its last 28 division games at home (including 8-2 'under' its last 10), while Atlanta is 8-3-2 'under' its last 13 division road games.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Dallas, as Oakland falls into a 124-55 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs.  Dallas does come into this game off back to back blowout wins, as it defeated Washington, 38-14, two weeks ago.  And it smashed the Giants, 30-10, last Sunday.  Unfortunately for the Cowboys, unrested NFL road teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each game, have gone 121-162 ATS.  That doesn't bode well for the Cowboys at Oakland.  And neither does the fact that, late in the season, NFL home underdogs have excelled, as they've cashed 57.4% off a straight-up loss, at Week 14 forward.  Finally, Dallas is 7-6 SU/ATS this season.  But it's a woeful 24-41 ATS as a road favorite if it owned a winning SU/ATS record.  Take the points with the Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Minnesota.  The Bengals' 4-game point spread win streak was snapped last Sunday by the Chicago Bears, as Cincy lost, 33-7, as a 6-point favorite.  But underdogs of more than 3 points, off a double-digit loss as a favorite of -6 points (or more), have cashed 63.3% over the last 30 years.  And the Bengals also fall into a 140-62 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Finally, Cincinnati is 19-5 ATS as an underdog of more than 6 points vs. non-division foes off a loss (including 9-0 ATS their last nine), while the Vikings have covered just 10 of 37 as a 7-point (or greater) favorite off a loss.  Take Cincy.  NFL Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  It's true that the Browns are 0-13 on the season (and 1-28 the past two seasons).  But it's also a team which is still playing hard.  Last week, it fought gamely against a Green Bay team still in the Playoff hunt, and lost in overtime, 27-21.  The week before, it played a Chargers squad that's currently won 7 of 9, yet lost by just nine points, 19-10.  This week, it will take on the Baltimore Ravens, who lost, 39-38, at Pittsburgh last week.  And the fact that Cleveland has yet to win means that it will continue to fight hard for that maiden victory.  Indeed, 0-13 (or worse) teams have gone 8-2 ATS in the season's final three weeks.  Even more impressive is the fact that those teams went 5-5 straight-up, notwithstanding the fact that they were underdogs in each game (with an average point spread of +9.15).  Finally, the Ravens have covered just six of 24 games off back-to-back point spread wins.  Don't be surprised if Cleveland wins, straight-up.  Take the points with the Browns.  NFL Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  Certainly, Philadelphia caught a tough break last week when its 1st string quarterback, Carson Wentz, was lost to injury for the remainder of the season.  So, now, the Eagles will turn to their 2nd string QB, Nick Foles.  Interestingly, the NFC’s top two teams — Minnesota and Philadelphia — both have backup quarterbacks as their starter, so it may be premature to shovel dirt on the Eagles’ grave, as the Vikings are clearly proving that you can have extreme success with a back-up QB.  That being said, I’m still going to take the points with the New York Giants on Sunday.  One reason is that this will be the Eagles’ third straight road game.  And NFL teams are a wallet-busting 71-121 ATS when playing their 3rd straight road game, provided they’re not off back to back losses in the previous two.  That bodes well for the Giants.  As does the fact that home underdogs (or PK) are 169-123 ATS at Week 14 forward, if they’re off a SU/ATS loss.  Take New York.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  The Jets were shutout, 23-0, in an upset loss last week at Denver.  But teams off a 21-point (or worse) upset shutout loss have covered 63% over the past 25 years.  Take the New York Jets.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins minus the points over Arizona.  The Redskins return home off back to back road losses at Dallas, and at the Chargers.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals are off an upset win over Tennessee.  But .260 (or better) teams have gone 48-22 ATS off back to back road losses, when matched up against foes off upset wins.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Chicago/Detroit game.  Both of these teams went 'under' the total last week.  Chicago defeated Cincy, 33-7, and that game went under the posted total of 40.5 by a half-point.  Meanwhile, Detroit and Tampa Bay combined for 45 points, which stayed under that game's total of 48.  The Bears are 9-4 'under' this season, and have also gone 'under' in 31 of 54 division games.  And this game also falls into a 157-94 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts Over the total.  The Colts lost in overtime to Buffalo last week, 13-7.  And that was the fifth straight 'Under' played by the Colts.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play this game 'Under' the total as well, especially since Denver was also involved in a very low-scoring game (23-0) last week vs. the Jets.  But consider that NFL teams off 4 straight 'Unders' have gone 'OVER' THE TOTAL 133-86-6 (60.7%) if they scored less than 13 points in their previous game, including 92-46-3 'OVER' if the line was 37+ points!  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game, as it falls into a 90-55 Totals System of mine.  Additionally, both of these teams come into Monday's game off stellar defensive performances.  The Dolphins held Denver to just 9 points last week, while New England surrendered just 3 points to Buffalo.  And NFL match-ups, between two teams that each held their respective previous opponent to less than 10 points, have gone 'Under' 77% of the time since 1980 when the Over/Under line was 45+ points!  Moreover, New England is currently on an 8-game win streak keyed by its defense.  The Patriots' stop unit hasn't allowed any opponent to score more than 17 points throughout this stretch, and has gone 'Under' in six of the eight games.  Take the 'Under.'  Monday Night Football Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over Baltimore.  Pittsburgh was our preseason pick (at 12-1 odds) to win the Super Bowl, and it has done nothing to disappoint thus far.  Mike Tomlin's men are 10-2 straight-up, including 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS here at home.  And Pittsburgh has long had tremendous success at home, especially in this price range, as it is 89-27-1 SU and 72-44-1 ATS when priced between -3.5 and -7 points!  That bodes well for Pittsburgh on Sunday night.  As does the fact that the Steelers are 18-7-1 ATS as a home favorite of -2.5 (or more) points vs. Baltimore, including 10-1-1 ATS if the Ravens were off a point spread win.  Finally, Baltimore comes into this game off a 44-20 blowout win over Detroit.  But the Ravens are a woeful 8-25-4 ATS on the road off a win by more than 18 points, including 0-11 ATS when getting more than 3 points.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Seattle.  Last week, we had a big play on the Seattle Seahawks as a home underdog vs. Philadelphia.  And Seattle rewarded us with an upset win at home.  Unfortunately, they now have to go on the road.  And winning teams are a dreadful 39-74 ATS on the road vs. other winning teams, if our road team was off an upset win at home in its previous game.  Take Jacksonville.  Good luck as always…Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over the NY Jets.  Last week, the Denver Broncos were favored by 1.5 points at Miami, but lost, 35-9.  Meanwhile, the New York Jets upset Kansas City, 38-31, as a 4-point home underdog.  Now, Denver has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as NFL home teams have cashed 80% over the past 17 years off an upset road loss if they're now matched up against an opponent off an upset win, and are not favored by 3+ points.  Also, Denver's 27-14-2 ATS its last 43 as home underdogs.  Take Denver.  NFL Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Kansas City/Oakland game.  Both of these teams have been playing relatively low-scoring games, of late.  The Raiders have gone 'under' in three straight, while the Chiefs have gone 'under' in three of their last four.  The Chiefs have gone 'under' in 9 of 13 division games at home with Over/Under lines greater than 42, while the Raiders have gone 'under' in 24 of 31 division games on the road with Over/Under lines greater than 42 (including the last 5 in a row).  Take the 'under.'

At 1 pm our selection is on the Carolina Panthers over Minnesota.  This will be Minnesota’s 3rd straight road game.  And NFL teams have gone a poor 71-120 against the spread since 1980 if they were playing their 3rd straight road game, and weren’t off back to back losses in the other two games.  Even worse for the Vikings:  they’ve won eight straight games, and covered their last seven.  But as we saw with the Philadelphia Eagles last week in their upset loss to the Seahawks, road teams that are favored (or PK em) off 7 straight point spread wins have covered just 35% over the last 38 years.  Take Carolina.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Atlanta/New Orleans game, as it falls into 113-60 and 165-110 Totals systems of mine.  Additionally, the Saints have gone 'under' in 30 of 44 division road games since Nov. 17, 2002, including 19-4 'under' when priced as a single-digit underdog (or PK).  And the Falcons have gone 'under' in 16 of 19 games (84.2%) after scoring 21 or less points in their previous game.  Finally, seven of the last nine meetings between these two clubs in Atlanta have gone 'under' (as have 11 of the last 15 when the O/U line was greater than 45 points).  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Pittsburgh.  These two division rivals met earlier this season in the Steel City, and the Steelers blew out the Bengals, 29-14.  Pittsburgh's 9-2 on the season, while Cincy's just 5-6, but we'll fade Mike Tomlin's men on Monday.  And that's because NFL teams with a .750 (or better) record, that won the season's first meeting, have cashed just 30% on the road vs. losing foes.  That bodes well for the Bengals on Monday.  As does the fact that NFL home dogs of 6 or less points are a super 85-48 ATS in the season's final five weeks, if they're within one game of .500 (whether 1 game above .500, 1 game below .500 or exactly .500).  Take the Bengals.  Monday Night Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Carolina.  This NFC South division matchup is between the two teams that currently are atop the standings, as each comes in with an 8-3 record.  The Panthers are on a 4-game SU/ATS run.  Unfortunately, unrested NFL road teams, with a winning record, off 3 SU/ATS wins, are a poor 52-95 ATS vs. foes not off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The Saints blew out Carolina by 21 points in the first meeting this season, and they're 11-2 their last 13 NFC South division contests.  Lay the points.  NFC South Division Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Dallas/Washington game.  These two teams met earlier this season and scored 52 combined points in a Cowboys 33-19 victory.  That game continued the trend in this series where the game has gone 'over' the posted total (now 4-0 'over' since 2016).  Indeed, the last two games here at AT & T Stadium each generated 57 points.  And Washington's currently 7-0 'over' the total on the road vs. division rivals.  Of course, it's true that the Cowboys have played four straight 'unders' since that 33-19 game vs. Washington, and have scored just 50 points combined over those four games (including a 28-6 loss on Thanksgiving to the Chargers).  But NFL teams off 4+ unders, that scored less than 13 points in their previous game, have gone 'over' the total 59% since 1980.  Take the 'over.'  NFC East Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Houston.  Baltimore's 5-5 on the season after shutting out Green Bay, 23-0, at Lambeau Field last week, while Houston comes in with a losing record, at 4-6.  The Ravens return home to M&T Bank Stadium after being on the road for their two previous games, but they did blow out the Dolphins, 40-0, in their last game here in Baltimore.  I look for another home victory on Monday, as NFL teams with a better record than their opponent have gone 45-7 SU and 38-12-2 ATS at home on Monday Nights, if they were on the road in their two previous games.  And Baltimore's 22-1 SU and 20-3 ATS as a home favorite since 1995 off a win by more than 18 points.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over New Orleans.  The Saints are off eight straight wins, and have scored 30+ points in each of their last three games, while the Rams come in off a loss to the Vikings.  But the Saints should get blown out this afternoon, as NFL road underdogs off 3+ wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each of those three games, have lost 78% ATS vs. non-division foes in the regular season since 1980.  Even better:  the Rams lost last season to New Orleans, 49-21.  But NFL teams off a straight-up loss, and playing with revenge, have cashed 78% since 1983 if they were favored (or PK), and gave up 44+ points to its opponent in the previous meeting!  Take the Rams.  NFL Payback Payday!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the San Diego/Dallas game.  The Chargers erupted for 54 points last week, in a 54-24 blowout of the Buffalo Bills.  They'll now travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys, and I foresee another relatively high-scoring game on Thursday.  Dallas is giving up over 24 points per game, and the Chargers have gone 'over' in 30 of 46 road games vs. foes that surrender at least 24 ppg.  The last nine Dallas Cowboys games have also AVERAGED 51.33 points.  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Minnesota.  The Vikings have won and covered each of their last five games.  And they've scored 24+ points in the last four of those.  But this win streak sets up our play against Minnesota on this Thanksgiving, as unrested NFL road teams off 4 SU/ATS wins in which they scored 24+ points in each game, have gone just 36% ATS since 1980 vs. .500 (or better) teams.  Even worse for Minnesota:  it's just 22-46 ATS as a road favorite of -3+ points, and has lost the last three meetings (both SU and ATS) in this series.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks over the Atlanta Falcons.  These two teams met in last year's NFL Playoffs, and the Falcons blew out the Seahawks, 36-20, as a 6.5-point home favorite.  But I love the Seahawks to avenge that defeat, as teams playing on Monday Night Football with revenge from a Playoff defeat the previous season have cashed 79% since 1999, including a perfect 9-0 ATS vs. foes with W/L records between .250 and .750.  Additionally, Seattle is 82-28 SU and 67-38-5 ATS at home since 2005, including 5-1-2 ATS on Monday Nights, and 16-8-1 ATS with revenge.  Finally, Atlanta is an awful 0-9 ATS when not laying 3+ points against a winning team, if its foe is playing with revenge.  Take Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over the New England Patriots.  Bill Belichick's men won by 25 points last week.  And that blowout victory has triggered an angle of mine which fades defending Super Bowl champions off 20-point (or greater) wins.  Since 1980, they've covered just 41% in this situation, including 2-13 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -7.5 points away from home.  Take the Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Broncos are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, and have failed to cover the spread by 21 and 18 points in their previous two games.  But it must be noted that the Broncos' last three games were played against three of the very best teams in the league (Philadelphia, New England and Kansas City).  In contrast, Cincinnati has also been playing extremely poorly.  It is 1-3 SU/ATS in its last four games, but has not played an overly difficult schedule.  Indeed, Cincy's only win in its last four games was by a single point vs. Indianapolis, as an 11-point favorite.  And the Bengals' only pointspread cover was also by a single point -- last week at Tennessee.  Denver's recent failures have worked to create terrific betting value in this game, and the Broncos fall into a 105-53 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on ATS losing streaks.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins + the points over New Orleans.  The Saints have won and covered seven straight games.  And Drew Brees & Co. are getting it done both on the offensive side, as well as the defensive.  New Orleans is scoring 29.8 points per game, and giving up just 18.3.  And its defense has been especially stellar the past three weeks.  Last Sunday, New Orleans held the Bills to 10 points.  And it defeated the Buccaneers (30-10) and Bears (20-12) in the two weeks prior to that.  Unfortunately, for New Orleans, single-digit favorites that held each of their last three opponents to less than 13 points have covered just 26% in the regular season since 1980 vs. .363 (or better) foes, including 1-14 ATS their last 15.  Take the Redskins.  NFL Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over the Arizona Cardinals.  Both of these teams are dealing with major injuries at the quarterback position.  Houston's Deshaun Watson is out with a knee injury, while Arizona's Carson Palmer broke his left arm, and 2nd string QB Drew Stanton sustained an injury last week to his knee.  Thus, the Cards will turn to 3rd stringer Blaine Gabbert, while Houston will use erstwhile starter Tom Savage.  We'll take the homestanding Texans, as they fall into 155-85 and 139-61 ATS systems of mine that are based on season statistics.  Also, Houston lost 33-7 last Sunday at the LA Rams.  And NFL home teams off a loss by 23+ points are 82.1% ATS over the past 17 years vs. .416 (or better) non-division foes also off a loss, provided our home team is not favored by 2.5+ points.  Take Houston. NFL Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Jacksonville.  The Browns may be 0-9 on the season, but they've actually been much more competitive against the pointspread of late.  Last week, they reached the 4-yard line with a great opportunity to cover the spread in the game's final minute, but turned the ball over.  Still, they only failed to cover the spread by 3.5 points.  The previous week, they also failed to cover -- by 6 points -- so they were within one score.  And three games ago, they did cover the spread by 2.5 points.  This week, they're getting a sizable amount of points at home, and we'll grab all we can with Cleveland, as winless home dogs of +7.5 or more points have gone 37-16 ATS if their record was 0-7 (or worse).  Take the Browns.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Los Angeles Chargers/Jacksonville Jaguars game.  The Jaguars have the league's best defense, and have held five of their eight opponents this season to less than 10 points (including Indy and Cincy in their last two games).   And, yes, it's true that neither of the Jaguars' last two games totaled more than 30 points.  But NFL teams have gone 'over' the total more often than not after playing two straight games that didn't total more than 30 points.  Interestingly, this will be the fourth meeting in the last four seasons between these two teams.  And each of the previous three meetings sailed 'over' the total, with an average of 51.67 ppg.  Moreover, the Chargers haven't scored less than 10 points in any of their last 27 games.  And they've averaged 23.33 ppg over this 27-game span.  So, I believe Philip Rivers & Co. will be able to put up some points on the Jags' #1-rated defense.  The OVER also falls into 82-53 and 99-68 systems of mine.  This will be a relatively high-scoring game.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Month!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders minus the points over the Miami Dolphins.  Both of these teams come into this game off blowout losses:  Oakland fell, 34-14, at Buffalo, while Miami was annihilated by Baltimore, 40-0.  The Raiders now sit at 3-5 on the season, yet have been installed as a road favorite at 4-3 Miami.  We'll lay the points with Oakland as road favorites of -3+ points that have a worse record than their opponent, have covered 68.1% in the regular season (at Game 8 forward) over the past 17 years.  Additionally, Miami's an awful 31-64 ATS at home when not getting 4.5 or more points, including 12-40 ATS if the Dolphins' W/L percentage wasn't worse than their opponent's.  Take Oakland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Indianapolis Colts/Houston Texans game, as it falls into an 89-54 Totals system of mine.  The Texans started the year with QB Tom Savage under center, and lost on Opening Day, 29-7, to the Jaguars.  Savage lasted just 30 minutes before being replaced by Deshaun Watson, and the Texans were shut out in his 30 minutes of football.  With Watson as quarterback, the Texans' offense had hummed, as it scored 33, 57, 34, 33 and 38 points in Houston's last five games.  Unfortunately, he's out of the season, after sustaining an ACL injury in practice on Thursday.  So, the Texans will once again turn to Savage to lead the offense.  I look for a low-scoring game, as Indianapolis is offensively-challenged this season with its QB, Andrew Luck, sidelined, as it ranks just 25th in points scored (142).  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over New Orleans.  These two teams are going in opposite directions, as Tampa Bay is 2-5, and is on an 0-5-1 ATS losing streak, while New Orleans is 5-2, and has covered its last five games.  Of course, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Saints, and against the "cold" Bucs.  But (as faithful followers might guess), that generally would be the wrong move.  Indeed, since 1980, NFL favorites off 5+ ATS wins have covered just 16% ATS vs. foes off 5+ ATS losses!  Also, New Orleans is a dreadful 39-78 ATS at home when not getting 6+ points, if they're playing an opponent off a SU loss (including 11-34 ATS vs. division rivals).  Take the Buccaneers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Philly.  It's true that the Eagles are red-hot, with six straight wins and five straight covers, including 34-24 and 33-10 blowout wins in their last two games.  And it's also true that Denver's offense has faltered lately, with three straight losses by scores of 23-10, 21-0, and 29-19.  But such streaks often create value in going against the hot team.  And Philly falls into a negative 40% ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on 6-game win streaks (and 3-game ATS wins streaks).  And NFL teams off back to back losses where they scored 23 or less points combined in their previous two games, are a solid 65-42 ATS as underdogs vs. foes off 2 wins that scored 58+ points combined in those two victories.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Jacksonville.  These two teams each played the Colts in their last game.  Jacksonville defeated Indy two weeks ago, 27-0 (and then had a Bye week), while Cincy barely got by Indy last Sunday, 24-23.  The fact that Cincy struggled vs. Indy, while Jacksonville blew Indy out has motivated a lot of bettors to plunk down money on the Jaguars this week.  But we'll go the other way, and take the points with the Bengals.  Indeed, the Jaguars have only been favored by more than three points once this season.  It was at the NY Jets, and we took the points with the Jets that game, and cashed when the Jets covered.  Moreover, the last time the Jaguars have been favored by this many points was December 26, 2010 -- almost 7 years ago -- and they lost outright to the Redskins!  And Jacksonville is 0-7 ATS its last seven when favored by 6+ points.  Take Cincy.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Houston.  Deshaun Watson sustained a season-ending ACL injury in practice, on Thursday, so ex-Pitt Panther QB Tom Savage will get the start for Houston.  Savage actually started on Opening Day vs. Jacksonville, and was sacked six times in the first half, before giving way to Watson in the 2nd half.  His stats in that half of football were 7-for-13, for 62 yards passing, and two fumbles!  Houston was scoreless in that first half (and ended up losing, 29-7).  That doesn't bode well for the Texans on Sunday.  And the Colts also fall into a 236-147 ATS sytem of mine.  Take Indianapolis.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the NY Giants + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Rams weren't expected to be this good, while the Giants weren't expected to be this bad.  But the NFL is often a topsy-turvy league, so here we are, in Week 9, and the Rams are favored on the road vs. New York.  But the last time the Rams were favored by this many points on the road was over 12 years ago -- September 11, 2005 -- when the laid 7 points to San Francisco.  And they lost outright, 28-25.  Indeed, the Rams have lost outright each of the last three times they were installed as a road favorite of -4+ points (including once as a 12-point favorite).  And they're 3-12 ATS when priced as a favorite (whether at home or on the road) of -3 to -6 points.  Finally, rested home dogs (like New York) with a .333 (or worse) W/L percentage, are a super 47-27 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Take the Giants.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Denver/Kansas City game.  Last week, in a Thursday game, the Kansas City Chiefs lost a heartbreaker to the Oakland Raiders, 31-30.  The Chiefs were winning, 30-24, but succumbed on the game's final play, a 2-yard touchdown pass from Derek Carr to Michael Crabtree.  That was Kansas City's 2nd straight upset loss, as Pittsburgh stunned it, 19-13, here at Arrowhead 15 days ago.  So, the Chiefs are now 5-2 on the season.  Likewise, the Broncos also suffered their 2nd straight upset defeat, as they lost, 21-0, at the Chargers last weekend.  I expect a high-scoring game tonight, as .700 (or better) teams have gone 'over' the total 65.5% over the past 28 years, if they're off an upset loss, and scored 28+ points in that defeat.  Also, these two teams met twice last season, and both games went 'over' the total, by 17 and 5 points, respectively.  And since 2001, 11 of the 16 meetings here in Kansas City have gone 'over.'  Look for this game to sail 'over' the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Pittsburgh.   This Sunday night matchup features two teams with Playoff aspirations.  The Detroit Lions are 3-3, while the Pittsburgh Steelers are 5-2.  And I certainly have all the confidence in the Steelers, as they were my preseason pick (at 12-1 odds) to win this year's Super Bowl.  But this is a great spot to go against them as a road favorite at Detroit.  The Lions do come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses, but gained an advantage by having last week off to rest, and re-group.  And rested underdogs off a loss have cashed over 57% vs. unrested foes off a win since 1991.  Likewise, in matchups between non-losing teams, it's been extremely profitable (67.5%) over the years to take a team off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins, so that also bodes well for Jim Caldwell's crew on Sunday.  But the clincher for me is that Detroit has covered the pointspread by an average of 4.5 ppg this season, while the Steelers have failed to cover by an average of 0.85 ppg.  And home underdogs off a SU/ATS loss have cashed a staggering 63% of the time over the past 38 years if they also owned an average pointspread differential of +4.29 (or better).  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over the Buffalo Bills, as Oakland falls into 145-67, 23-0 and 63-18 ATS systems of mine, based on various season statistics.  The Raiders are sitting on a losing, 3-4 record, in no small part due to an injury suffered by QB Derek Carr earlier this season.  But Carr is healthy, and back under center now.  And he led the Raiders to a thrilling, last-second win last Thursday vs. division rival, Kansas City.  Oakland still has much work to do if it is to get back into the Playoff picture, so it needs to go into Buffalo and get the upset win.  I believe it will, as Oakland is 28-17-1 ATS its last 46 as road underdogs, while Buffalo is a wallet-busting 7-21 ATS at home off a win, including 1-9 ATS vs. non-winning teams.  Take the points with Oakland.  NFL Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Cincinnati.  Last week, the Colts were blown out, 27-0, at home by Jacksonville, while Cincy lost, 29-14, at Pittsburgh.  That 27-0 defeat, though, has triggered my very best "Blowout Bounce-back" system, which is 138-61 ATS since 1980 -- and 5-0 already this season, including a win two weeks ago on the Cardinals over the Bucs after Arizona was blown out by 27 in Philly the previous week.  For the season, the Colts are 2-5, and are certainly in the league's lower tier so long as QB Andrew Luck remains sidelined.  But they generally rebounc off losses, as they're 3-1 ATS already this season off a loss, and 29-9 ATS off their last 38 defeats (including a perfect 7-0 ATS when getting more than 6 points)!  Finally, NFL teams also tend to react well to being shutout at home in their previous games, as they're 57-36-2 ATS in that situation since 1980, including 33-9 ATS vs. non-division foes if our team isn't getting 13+ points.  Take the Colts.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  We played on the Browns last week, as a home underdog vs. Tennessee, and got the cash when Cleveland fell, 12-9, in overtime, as a 6-point dog.  This week, the Browns have been installed as an even bigger underdog vs. the Vikings, in this early game played in London, England.  In the NFL, it's extremely dangerous to lay this many points away from home.  Indeed, since 1995, NFL underdogs of +9 or more points have covered 61% of the time (107-69 ATS) at home, or on neutral fields, including 26-16 ATS if our underdog is (like Cleveland) winless on the season.  That doesn't bode well for Minnesota on Sunday.  Nor does the fact that the Vikings have covered just 32 of 90 when favored by 7+ points in the regular season.  Take Cleveland + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over New England.  These two teams met in last year's Super Bowl, and the Falcons absolutely blew the game, as they were up 28-3, but lost 34-28.  We had a big play on New England in that game, but we'll switch gears and take the points with the Falcons in this re-match.  Certainly, this is the most important game on the Falcons' schedule this season, as they no doubt want to avenge that stunning defeat.  And I believe they'll get it, as they fall into a 19-0 ATS Playoff revenge system of mine (the same angle I used as a basis for my play earlier this season on the Houston Texans +13.5 over New England).  Also, underdogs have cashed 83% when playing an opponent off a win, which defeated them in the Super Bowl in the previous meeting between the two teams.  Even better for Atlanta:  it falls into 87-34 and 151-66 ATS "bounce-back" systems of mine that play on certain teams to rebound off upset losses (Atlanta lost as a 14-point favorite to Miami last week).  Finally, road teams that lost outright as favorites of -11.5 (or more points) are an awesome 88% ATS since 1986 vs. non-division foes, provided they weren't getting more than 7 points.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Kansas City.  We played against the Chiefs last week, and got the $$$ with Pittsburgh.  And we'll play against them once again, tonight, in Oakland, as the Chiefs fall into negative 115-206, 208-281, 126-20, 156-240 and 67-147 ATS systems of mine.  Additionally, Oakland comes into tonight's game off an upset loss last week vs. the Chargers, and four straight losses overall (both straight-up and ATS).  Now, on the surface, this may not seem like a good thing.  But consider that home teams are 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS on Thursday nights off back to back losses, if they were upset in their previous game, and now face a division rival.  Moreover, the Raiders are 25-14-1 ATS as AFC West division dogs off back to back losses, including 14-2 ATS when priced from +2 to + 6 points (and 9-0 ATS if their foe is also off a loss).  Finally, teams off 4 SU/ATS losses have cashed 67.9% the past 18 years if they won at least 10 games in the previous regular season, while teams with a current W/L percentage better than .300 have cashed 63.2% at home off 4 SU/ATS losses.  Take the points with the Raiders.  AFC West Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Titans were upset in each of their last two games -- 57-14 at Houston, and 16-10, at Miami.  But they now return home to take on the Indianapolis Colts, who upended San Francisco last week, 26-23, as a 1-point underdog.  And one of the things I love to do is take favorites of more than 6 points on Monday Night Football that return home off back to back road games.  These teams have cashed 72% since 1980.  Even worse for the Colts:  they're a poor 35.7% ATS off an upset win vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Tennessee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over Kansas City.  The Chiefs have played superb football this season, as they're 5-0 SU and ATS (covering by an average of 9.1 ppg), including an opening week win at New England.  Pittsburgh, in contrast, has had an up-and-down season, as it's 3-2 SU, but 2-3 ATS (failing to cover by an average of 5.3 ppg), including a head-scratching home loss to Jacksonville last week.  In that game, The Steelers were favored by 7.5, but lost 30-9 to the Jaguars, so they failed to cover the spread by a whopping 28.5 points.  For the season, the Chiefs, then, have a pointspread differential of +14.4 compared to the Steelers.  But this strong relative success sets up our play, as the Steelers fall into a 79-33-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with a poor pointspread differential, as well as a 21-0 ATS subset of that general angle (which hasn't lost since 1992).  Finally, the Steelers are 8-0-1 ATS when priced between +7 and -3 points after giving up 28+ points in their previous game.  Take the Steelers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the Jacksonville Jaguars.  The Rams were upset at home last week by Seattle, and fell to 3-2 on the season.  Meanwhile, the Jaguars upset Pittsburgh, 30-9, as a 7.5-point underdog in their previous game, and also have a 3-2 record this year.  But that upset win has set up Jacksonville in several negative systems of mine, with records of 48-92 and 49-91 ATS since 1980.  Even worse for Jacksonville:  it's covered just 9 of 28 off upset wins since 2008, including five of 18 at home.  Finally, .600 (or better) teams off upset losses have cashed 60.3% over the last 38 years vs. .600 (or better) foes off upset wins.  Take the Rams + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals over Tampa Bay.  The Cardinals have started the season 2-3, and were blown out by 27 points in their last game by Philadelphia, 34-7.  But one of the things I like to do in the NFL is play on home underdogs off blowout losses.  Indeed, we saw on Monday night the Chicago Bears rebound off their 21-point loss to Green Bay to cover the number as a home dog vs. Minnesota.  And, since 1980, teams off a loss by more than 20 points have gone 74-49 ATS as home underdogs if their opponent is also off a straight-up and against the spread loss.  Also, I don’t believe Tampa Bay’s performance warrants that it be favored on the road.  After all, it’s lost its last three games against the spread, and is just 2-2 straight-up this season.  And the Buccaneers have covered just four of their last 18 games when favored on the road.  Meanwhile, Arizona is 31-17 ATS its last 48 as home underdogs.  Take the Cardinals.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Houston.  It's true that the Browns are winless on the season.  But winless teams often confer value, and that's the case on this Sunday.  Indeed, since 1980, winless teams, with an 0-5 (or worse) record, are 63% ATS vs. foes that have a win percentage better than .250, provided our winless team didn't cover the pointspread in its previous game.  With the Browns off a SU/ATS loss to the Jets last week to fall to 0-5 this season, we'll grab the points in this game.  Take Cleveland.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Green Bay/Minnesota game.  With Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, the Green Bay Packers have gone 'over' the total more often than not.  But the one situation where they've consistently gone 'under' has been on the road vs. division rivals.  And especially when the over/under line has been between 40.5 and 45.5 points.  In that range, Green Bay has gone 'under' in 10 of 11 vs. NFC North rivals on the road.  Indeed, the last three games at Minnesota have all gone 'under' the total (with the games from the last two seasons also falling within our O/U range of 40.5 to 45.5 points).  Last season, Rodgers passed for a pedestrian 213 yards, and threw one interception in a 17-14 defeat.  Green Bay did win the previous two seasons (30-13 and 24-21), but neither game was particularly high-scoring, and each also went 'under' the posted total.  I love the 'under once again in this game, as it falls into an 87-53 Totals system of mine.  Also, Minnesota has gone 'under' the total in 16 of 20 games off a win, including 12-1 'under' vs. foes with a W/L percentage of .571 (or better).  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over Minnesota.  Last week, both the Vikings and Bears lost, as Minnesota was upset by Detroit, 14-7, while Chicago lost, 35-14, to Green Bay.  Chicago's now 1-3, so coach John Fox has decided to make a change at signal caller.  Thus, the Mitch Trubisky Era will start tonight at Soldier Field, and  I love Chicago in a home dog role, as it falls into a 136-61 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses by 20+ points.  Even worse for Minnesota:  .500 (or better) teams off an upset loss have cashed just 35.4% on Monday nights the past 38 seasons.  And the Bears are 25-7 ATS as a home dog (or PK) off a loss by 6+ points, if the Bears' win pct was less than .400.  Also, NFC North Division underdogs have cashed 64 of 107 division games off a loss.  Finally, the Vikings are a woeful 4-16 ATS at Chicago when not getting more than 3 points, including 0-9 ATS if the Vikings weren't off a SU/ATS win.  Take Chicago.  MNF Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Los Angeles Rams/Seattle Seahawks game.  The Rams have been a surprising offensive team this season, as they're averaging 35.5 points per game (after averaging just 14 ppg last season).  But the four teams that Los Angeles has played this year are giving up, on average, 26 points per game.  Seattle, on the other hand, will be the best defense the Rams have faced yet, as it's giving up just 19.25 ppg.  Over the previous seven seasons, 11 of the 14 meetings between these teams have gone 'under' the total.  And the 'under' also falls into a super 86-53 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Baltimore/Oakland game, as it falls into a great Totals system of mine which has cashed 73.3% since 1980.  Additionally, Oakland has gone 'over' the total 21-6-2 in its last 29 home games, including 6-0 its last six, and also a perfect 10-0-2 'over' when priced from 40.5 to 44 points.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Miami/Tennessee game, as it falls into 59-27, 108-69 and 152-102 Totals systems of mine.  It's true that Miami's offense struggled last week, as it was shutout, 20-0, by New Orleans, and is averaging just 8.3 ppg.  But Miami should find the sledding easier against Tennessee.  After all, the Titans gave up more points (57) last week than any other team has given up in almost 5 years!  And that was against a Texans team which had averaged just 17.6 ppg coming into the game.  So, when viewed in that context, it was the most points any team had given up in 21 years vs. a team that averaged less than 18 ppg!  And, for additional technical support, consider that NFL teams (like Miami) have gone 'over' the total 70.2% since 1980 if they don't average more than 10 ppg on offense, and have gone 'under' the total in their 3 previous games.  Finally, seven of Miami's last eight home games, and nine of Tennessee's last 12 road games have sailed 'over' the total.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the Buffalo Bills.  Last week, the Bills upset the previously undefeated Atlanta Falcons, 23-17, as an 8 point underdog.  That moved the Bills' record to 3-1 on the season.  But off that upset win, I look for a letdown in Cincy on Sunday.  Indeed, since 1981, .680 (or better) teams off an upset win on the road as an 8-point (or greater) underdog have cashed an atrocious 15% of the time on the road.  That doesn't bode well for the Bills on Sunday.  And neither does the fact that Buffalo is 1-9 ATS as an underdog of 6 points or less off a win as a dog of more than 3 points.  Finally, Cincy is 27-10 ATS when priced between +3 and -9.5 at home vs. a foe off an upset win, including 7-0 ATS if such foe was a dog of more than 6 points in its previous game.  Take the Bengals.  NFL Roadkill Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over the New York Giants.  It's absolutely correct that the Chargers have burned money this season, as they're 0-4 straight-up, and 0-3-1 ATS.  But their three ATS losses came at home.  However, it's on the road where the Chargers have made friends in Vegas, as they're 44-22-5 ATS their last 71 when not laying 2+ points, including 29-6-4 ATS if the Chargers were not off a SU/ATS win!  Take the Chargers.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns over the New York Jets.  Last week, we played on the Jets as a home underdog vs. Jacksonville, and were rewarded with a 23-20 overtime victory.  That also was New York’s 2nd straight upset win as a home underdog.  Unfortunately, now the Jets go back on the road where they are 0-2 straight-up and against-the-spread this season.  And while it’s true that the Browns were blown out at home by 24 points last week, and have yet to win a game this season, consider that teams off back to back losses are an awesome 77-49 ATS vs. foes off back to back upset wins, including 30-12 ATS at home vs. non-division foes.  Moreover, home teams have also cashed 71% since 1980 off a home loss by 24 or more points when matched up against an opponent off back to back wins.  Take Cleveland.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles, as Arizona falls into a 67% ATS system of mine, which plays on certain road underdogs that didn't cover the pointspread in their previous game.  It's true that Philly is 3-1 on the season, but Arizona is a sensational 44-26 ATS vs. .750 (or better) teams, including 40-22 ATS as an underdog.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Tampa Bay.  Last week, the Pats lost at home to the Carolina Panthers.  But New England is the league's best franchise at bouncing back off losses.  Indeed, Bill Belichick's crew is 43-7 SU and 37-13 ATS since Dec. 29, 2002 following a defeat (and also fall into 30-0, 35-1 and 29-1 ATS variations of this general angle).  That's one reason to back Tom Brady & Co. on this Thursday.  Another is that defending Super Bowl champs are 19-5 ATS on the road off a loss vs. .615 (or better) foes off a win.  Take New England to blow out the Buccaneers.  NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Washington.  The Chiefs opened this season with a dominant 42-27 win over the defending Super Bowl Champion Patriots, and haven't looked back since.  They're now 3-0 SU and ATS following a win at the Chargers last Sunday.  Some might look for KC to have a letdown, but not me.  Indeed, since 1980, 3-0 NFL teams are 38-5 SU and 31-12 ATS at home vs. non-division foes, including 22-3 ATS if they happen to not be favored by 7+ points, and also 8-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Chiefs.  NFL Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Denver.  The Raiders were blown out by 17 points on the road at Washington last Sunday night.  And they went into that game as a 3.5-point favorite.  Interestingly, Denver also lost by double-digits on the road as a 3.5-point favorite.  I’ll grab the points with Derek Carr & Co., as AFC West division teams are 120-78 ATS as road underdogs in divisional games off a straight-up loss, including 63-32 ATS if their opponent is also off a loss.  And .666 (or better) teams have cashed 61% as road underdogs since 1980 off a loss by 14 or more points.  Finally, over the past 15 years, the Broncos are a wallet-busting 12-29 ATS as home favorites vs. foe off a loss, including 1-10 ATS if the Broncos are also off a loss.  Take Oakland.  NFL Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Jacksonville.  Last week, the Jaguars played the best game of any team over the past three years, when they won by 37 points (44-7), as a 3 point underdog, and thus covered by 40 points.  Unfortunately for the Jaguars, teams that cover the spread by 40+ points have sustained their ATS success in their next game just 33% of the time since 1989 (and just 21% if they weren't favored by 3+ points in their previous game).  That doesn't bode well for the Jaguars on Sunday.  And neither does the fact that the Jags are just 26.6% since 1999 as road favorites off an upset win.  Take the Jets.  NFL Underdog Shocker.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over the Buffalo Bills.  Last week, the Bills stunned Denver, 26-16, as a 3-point underdog.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Bills on Sunday, as they fall into a wallet-busting 0-18 ATS system.  What we want to do is play against any winning team, as a dog of more than 7 points, off a home win by more than 8 points, provided they weren't favored by 2+ points in that previous game.  Take Atlanta. NFL Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks + the points over Tennessee.  The Seahawks have gotten off to a slow start this season.  They lost, 17-9, at Green Bay in Week 1.  And then only scored 12 points vs. a poor San Francisco team last week, but eked out a 12-9 victory.  But we've seen this before with Pete Carroll's squad.  Indeed, just last season, Seattle scored just 15 points over its first two games.  And the previous year, it actually LOST its first two games outright, but still managed to go 10-6 that season.  So, it's not yet time to panic.  And, for technical support, consider that Seattle is an awesome 54-25-2 ATS after failing to score 20+ points in its two previous games, including a perfect 11-0 ATS under coach Carroll!  Additionally, Tennessee falls into negative 23-59 and 48-95 ATS systems of mine.  Take Seattle.  Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over New England.  These two teams met in the Playoffs last season, and the Patriots came away with a 34-16 victory.  And they also whitewashed Houston, 27-0, in the regular season last year.  But we'll grab the points with the Texans, as they fall into an 18-0 ATS Playoff revenge system of mine.  Moreover, New England's defense has greatly fallen off from last year's numbers.  In 2016, it gave up just 15.6 ppg in the regular season.  But through its first two games this season, New England is surrendering 31 ppg.  That certainly augurs poorly for them.  And with respect to this game, it's worth noting that favorites of -9 or more points are a soft 49-80 ATS since 1980 when they give up more than 24 ppg.  Take Houston.  Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Atlanta.  The Falcons suffered a brutal loss in last year's Super Bowl, as they collapsed after being up by 25 points over New England.  And, generally speaking, the teams that lost the Super Bowl the previous season have a somewhat difficult time the next year.  So far, Atlanta hasn't shown any ill effects, as it's 2-0 straight-up and 1-1 ATS.  But I expect it to stumble on Sunday, vs. the undefeated Lions.  Indeed, teams that lost the Super Bowl the previous year are a poor 4-27-2 ATS as non-division road favorites priced from PK to -4, including 1-12 ATS if their win percentage was .700 (or better).  Even better:  home underdogs of +3 or more points, with a winning record, off a SU/ATS road win are 64% ATS since 1980 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take Detroit.  NFL Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers to go 'over' the total, as it falls into 57-27 and 106-69 Totals Systems of mine.  The Over/Under line on this game opened at 42, but has dropped considerably since then as a majority of bettors seem to be looking for a low-scoring contest.  It's true that both defenses have played well this season (SF is giving up just 17.5 ppg, while the Rams are allowing 18 ppg).  But I look for a relatively high-scoring game on Thursday, as NFL games have gone 'over' the total 314-231 (57.6) if the defenses of both teams gave up, on average, less than 18.5 ppg, and the over/under line was less than 40 points.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants minus the points over the Detroit Lions.  Last week, the Giants scored just three points in a 19-3 loss at Dallas, while Detrolt put up 35 points in an upset win vs. Arizona.  But I look for the Giants to bounce back at home, tonight, on Monday.  Indeed, losing teams off a straight-up loss, and an ATS defeat by 8+ points, have covered 68% when favored (or PK) vs. winning foes off a straight-up win.  Moreover, the Giants have cashed 67% as home favorites on Monday Night Football the past 34 seasons, while the Lions are an awful 27% the past 23 years on the road off an upset win, including 0-10 ATS if they covered the spread by more than 11 points in their previous game.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  Last week, the Ravens stunned the Bengals, 20-0.  Though that victory was no doubt impressive, the fact that the Houston Texans also embarrassed the Bengals at home, with a 13-9 victory this past Thursday, combined with the firing of Cincy's offensive coordinator, Ken Zampese on Friday, leads me to believe that Baltimore's victory was primarily a result of Cincy's internal problems.  Cleveland, meanwhile, lost by 3 points to the Steelers in Week 1, but covered the point spread.  And I look for the Browns to make it two straight covers in a row today.  It's true that the Ravens won and covered both meetings last season.  Unfortunately, home favorites off an upset division win have covered just 3 of 25 vs. revenge-minded division rivals not off an upset division win.  Take Cleveland.  NFL Division Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over New York.  The Cowboys received welcome news when they learned that RB Ezekiel Elliott will be available for this key divisional contest vs. the Giants.  And that was a key factor for me to pull the trigger on Dallas in this opener.  It's true that the Giants upset the Cowboys in both meetings last season, to hand Dallas two of its three regular season losses.  And it's also true that the Giants have won three straight in this series, overall.  But NFC East division teams playing with revenge from 3+ losses to division rivals have gone 105-84-3 ATS since 1981, including 59-45-1 ATS at home.  That bodes well for Jason Garrett's men on Sunday night.  Even better:  teams that won more than 10 games the previous season, and playing with revenge, have cashed 71% at home in Week 1 over the past 30 seasons, including 88% vs. division foes.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Indianapolis.  It may seem strange that the Rams -- a team wich won just four games last season -- has been installed as a big favorite.  But the Colts will be missing several key offensive players in this season opener.  Chief among them, of course, is QB Andrew Luck.  But Chester Rogers, Erik Swoope, Ryan Kelly and Ian Silberman are also injured.  Frankly, I believe the Rams should be favored by even more points than they are.  So, we'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as they also fall into my very best opening week angle, which is 34-12 ATS its last 46.  Take the Rams.

Our selection is on Tennessee. (Analysis to follow.)

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Baltimore.  The Bengals suffered through a miserable 6-9-1 season in 2016, after winning the AFC North division in 2015.  But I love the Bengals to bounce back this season.  And they should get the 2017 campaign off on the right foot, as they've won five straight home meetings vs. Baltimore, while the home team in this series is 17-6 SU and 14-8-1 ATS the last 23 meetings.  Even better:  the Bengals are 23-12-2 ATS as favorites of -3+ points in the regular season, and they also fall into an opening week angle of mine which is 40-22 ATS since 1980.  Take Cincinnati.

At 6:30 pm, on Sunday Feb. 5, our selection is on the New England Patriots over the Atlanta Falcons.  We played on the Patriots vs. the Steelers as our NFL Game of the Year, and that play was largely motivated by New England's vastly superior defense (it was 4.08 ppg better than the Steelers' defense).  Well, here, the gap between the Patriots' defense and the Falcons' defense is much larger than that.  New England's given up just 15.72 ppg, while Atlanta's surrendered an ungodly (for a Playoff team) 24.83 ppg.  That doesn't bode well for Atlanta, as underdogs have covered just 3 of 15 Super Bowls since 1984 if matched up against a foe whose defense gives up less than 16.32 ppg.  And, yes, it's absolutely true that the Falcons have a fantastic offense.  They put up 44 points in their last game, and have scored 33+ points in each of their past six games, and average 34.44 ppg on the season.  Unfortunately for the Falcons, teams off a Playoff win, in which they scored more than 40 points, have gone 0-13 ATS if they also scored more than 100 points in their three previous games, and give up, on defense, at least 15 ppg.  It's often said that 'defense wins championships.'  And that's because we've seen great offenses flounder countless times on the biggest stage.  Indeed, there have been four teams that averaged at least 32.7 ppg to make the Super Bowl, and none has won or covered its game, or even scored 17+ points!  The Redskins lost 38-9 to Oakland; Dan Marino's Dolphins fell, 38-16, to the 49ers; the undefeated, 18-0, Patriots lost 17-14 to the Giants; and Peyton Manning's Broncos (arguably the best offense, ever) lost 43-8 to Seattle.  Combined, those 4 offensive juggernauts failed to cover the spread by an average of 20.6 ppg in the Super Bowl!  New England's now won nine straight games (8-1 ATS), and has given up more than 17 points just once (vs. Baltimore) in those nine games!  But even that game vs. the Ravens, in which New England gave up 23 points, must be assigned an asterisk, as 14 of the Ravens' 23 points were gifted to them on the heels of two fumbles by Patriot kick returners.  Until those two fumbles -- on back to back kickoffs -- the Pats had a 23-3 lead.  Baltimore's offense had been completely shut down by New England, so, without those two gaffes, Baltimore likely would have had just 3 points thru three quarters.  Finally -- and this is not a knock on Dan Quinn and Kyle Shanahan -- there's just not a better coaching staff in football than the Patriots' staff (HC Bill Belichick, OC Josh McDaniels, DC Matt Patricia).  And if you give Belichick & Co. an extra week to prepare, then you can rest assured they'll have a great game plan in place.  To wit:  New England's 27-9 SU when working with an extra week under Belichick, including 8-3-1 ATS its last 12 when not favored by 7+ points.  Take the Patriots.  NFL Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.