Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-25-18 | Rays v. Orioles -107 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the Tampa Bay Rays. Things haven't gone as planned for the Orioles' off-season free-agent pitching acquisition, RH Alex Cobb. Cobb stayed down in extended Spring training before making his Baltimore debut on April 14. The way things have gone for him in his two starts however, perhaps he should have stayed down south a bit longer. Cobb's numbers through his first two starts are butt-ugly -- an 0-2 record with a 15.43 ERA and 3.14 WHIP. But there are two things about tonight's start that make you think he might finally get things going. First, this will be his Orioles home debut as both of his first two starts were on the road (and both were in very less-than-desirable weather conditions). Second, he will be facing his old team -- the Rays -- for the first time. If anyone on the O's should know these hitters, it's Cobb. But even if he pitches well, the O's hitters have to get going for him, something they've not always been able to do this season. They could get a boost from the possible return of OF Trey Mancini from his knee injury. Take the O's. AL Game of the Week. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-25-18 | Tigers v. Pirates -191 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -191 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, in Game 1 of the Double Header, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Pirates over the Detroit Tigers. These two were rained out on Tuesday night, so they will play a day-night double header today beginning with this afternoon affair. Pittsburgh's Jameson Taillon is no doubt thrilled to be getting the start in the first game when you consider his record in daytime starts. The veteran RHP is a ridiculous 8-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 13 career daytime starts (vs. 7-11; 4.42 at night). RHP Jordan Zimmermann will go for the Tigers. Zimmermann's struggles continue since he came over to the AL as he has a 7.71 ERA and 1.59 WHIP through his first four starts of 2018. These two teams started the season off with three games in Detroit that were all won by Pittsburgh. This series is in an NL park, so Detroit doesn't get the benefit of the DH. The Tigers are 5-18 in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 2-8 in their last 10 inter-league road games vs. teams with a RH starter.. Take the Pirates. Mound Mismatch Massacre. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-25-18 | Nationals -152 v. Giants | Top | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
At 3:45 pm, our selection is on the Washington Nationals over the San Francisco Giants. Last season, Max Scherzer won the Cy Young award for the second straight season and third time in his career. And the way he's going in 2018, it could be three in a row. Scherzer is 4-1 with a 1.36 ERA in five starts and last time out -- Friday against the Dodgers in L.A. -- all he did was out-pitch Clayton Kershaw. He goes for victory number five today in one of his favorite parks. In four starts here at AT&T covering 23 innings, Scherzer has a 1.96 ERA and 37 Ks with only 10 BBs. He's only 1-1 in those four starts, but the Nats have won each of his last three vs. the Giants, including the last two here. Giants RH Jeff Samardzija had a late start to the season due to a pectoral muscle injury coming out of Spring training. He threw five shutout innings in his debut but tonight could be a different story against a team that's almost always given him trouble. Samardzija's teams (the Giants and Cubs) haven't beaten the Nats in his last five starts going back to 2013. Heading into today's game, the Nats are 6-3 in the last nine meetings. Take DC. MLB Road Warrior. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
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04-23-18 | Padres v. Rockies -160 | Top | 13-5 | Loss | -160 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Rockies over the San Diego Padres. Even if you're not a fan of the Rockies, it's hard not to root for RHP Chad Bettis. Coming into the league in 2013, Bettis had a rough time in his first two seasons -- just like so many Colorado hurlers -- having to pitch all his home games in Denver. After a solid 2015 in which he went 8-6 with a 4.23 ERA, Bettis broke out with 14 wins in 2016 and looked like he was set for even better things in 2017. But after the 2016 season, Bettis learned he had testicular cancer and underwent treatment. He came back later that season and now he's 100% and looking better than ever on the mound. Bettis is 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA in his first four starts and looks to continue that success tonight at home against the Padres. It's only his second start of 2018 at Coors Field, but he was effective in his first one, allowing just one run on four hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Braves on April 7. And the Rockies are 16-4 his last 20 home starts. Also, Bettis has had success pitching against the Pads, going 4-2 with a 2.96 ERA in 12 games (nine starts covering 51 2/3 innings) vs. them in his career. One of those starts was earlier this season, in San Diego -- also against his mound opponent tonight, Bryan Mitchell -- and the Rockies bombed Mitchell for five runs in five innings. Mitchell's teams (Yankees, Padres) have won just one of his last nine starts. Take Colorado. Mound Mismatch Massacre. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-22-18 | Red Sox -134 v. A's | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Red Sox over the Oakland Athletics. The first no-hitter of the 2018 season came from the unlikely arm of the Oakland Athletics' Sean Manaea here last night. And the fact that it came against the best offense in baseball -- and opposite ace Chris Sale -- makes the accomplishment all the more amazing. So the Red Sox hitting took a rare night off on Saturday, but don't expect this lineup to remain dormant for two days in a row. This afternoon it will be David Price taking his comeback tour to the Coliseum as the southpaw looks to continue his successful campaign. Price struggled through an injury-riddled 2017 but looks rejuvenated -- if still a little rusty -- so far this season, going 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in his first four starts covering 20 innings. Price has only pitched at the Coliseum on seven previous occasions, but the results are very good as he's 3-2 with a 3.02 ERA in just under 48 innings here. RHP Daniel Mengden gets the start for the A's who are 4-10 in his last 14 home starts. Take Boston. MLB Road Warrior Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-19-18 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -170 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the San Francisco Giants. When you look at Arizona ace RHP Zack Greinke's ERA this season, you'll see a rather unsightly 5.29 number (in three starts). But look at the rest of his numbers, and you'll also see an amazing 21 strikeouts and only one walk, indicating that there's probably nothing wrong with the 34-year-old former Cy Young winner Greinke is probably going to be fine and that 5.29 ERA will come down over time and the victories will start coming as well. Here's a great chance to improve on his numbers as the Giants come to town for a weekend series. The D-Backs have won Greinke's last three starts vs. the Giants, including an eight-inning, two-hit gem the last time he faced them back on 9/17. The Giants will go with LHP Ty Blach in his fifth start of the season. Blach's strikeouts-to-walks numbers are pretty much the opposite of Greinke's. In 20 1/3 innings, Blach has punched out just nine batters and he has issued the same number of walks. The Giants are 1-8 in Blach's last nine start starts going back to last August. And Greinke's teams are 76-19 (+42 games on the money line) at home in his starts. Take the D-Backs. MLB Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-17-18 | Astros -168 v. Mariners | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Seattle Mariners. Lance McCullers, Jr's dad played in the majors for seven seasons with four different teams and never won a World Series. The younger McCullers is all of 24 years old and already has one ring and should have plenty of chances for more. McCullers is a budding ace whose best seasons are likely still ahead. And with the likes of Justin Verlander, Dallas Keuchel, and now Gerrit Cole pitching in front of him, McCullers doesn't have the added pressure that comes with being one of the top three guys. McCullers started out 2018 with a solid start at home, but then got lit up in Minneapolis in start #2. We'll chalk that one up to the cold weather in Minnesota, and expect much better things tonight in Seattle where the Stros have won three of McCullers' last four starts. Seattle LH Ariel Miranda gets his first start of the season tonight. Miranda has a winning record in his career, but also a 4.79 ERA in 43 games (39 starts). He has a tough assignment at home where the M's have lost each of his last three starts vs. Houston. And Houston's 50-23 its last 73 as a road favorite. Take the 'Stros. MLB Payback Payday. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-16-18 | Rangers v. Rays -158 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays over the Texas Rangers. While Mother Nature wreaked havoc on the weekend games, the Rangers won at home on Sunday night against their cross-state rivals Houston in extra innings. Now they have to travel to Florida for this series against the Rays. A pair of southpaws will go to the mound in game one of this three game set in St. Pete. Martin Perez has an unsightly 11.88 ERA in his first two starts of 2018 for Texas, having allowed a whopping 19 hits in 8 1/3 innings. The Rangers seem to be content on keeping Perez in their rotation despite his continued struggles. The Rays will go with Blake Snell. If Snell can learn to limit his walks he could be a very effective pitcher in the Majors. Snell has 17 strikeouts in 15 innings this season for one of the best K rates in the league, but he also has issued 15 free passes. That might play well tonight against the free-swinging Rangers lineup. The Rays are 4-0 in Snell's last four starts vs. teams from the AL West while the Rangers are 0-8 in their last eight during game one of a series. Take Tampa. MLB Game of the Month. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
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04-15-18 | Brewers v. Mets -187 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Mets over the Milwaukee Brewers. The Mets historic April run -- their 11-1 start was the best in Franchise history -- hit a minor bump on Saturday. The Brewers came into Queens and beat the home team, 5-1 behind some very good pitching. The Mets respond today with one of their two aces as RH Noah Syndergaard takes the mound for his third start of the season. You can't help but feel that as the man they call "Thor" continues to progress from his 2017 injury we're going to see something special in 2018. And with the offense doing what it's done this season, run support should not be an issue like it has in the past. Syndergaard is 2-0 with a 3.94 ERA, but what really stands out are his 22 strikeouts and four walks in 16 innings. The Brewers won the game yesterday, but they may have lost the battle. With their outfield already missing Christian Yelich (he won't return from the DL today), Ryan Braun left Saturday's game with an apparent back injury. The Crew will also be without catcher Manny Pina again. They are 4-8 in the last 12 trips to NY, and 8-24 (minus 9 games on the money line) when priced from +175 to +250. Take the Mets. Mound Mismatch Massacre. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
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04-14-18 | Pirates -155 v. Marlins | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Pirates over the Miami Marlins. Gone are the two players who arguably meant the most to the Pirates -- Gerrit Cole and Andrew McCutchen -- and yet Pittsburgh is off to one of its best starts in recent memory. The Pirates are 9-4 and hold an unlikely 2 1/2 game lead in the National League Central. Almost everyone has been contributing to the Bucs success, but two players in particular have made the fans somewhat forget about the losses of Cole and Cutch. On the offensive side, OF Gregory Polanco is off to a scorching start, leading the lead with 15 RBI. And in the Bucs starting rotation, RHP Jameson Taillon seems to be on the verge of a breakout season at 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA and 0.49 WHIP in his first two starts. Taillon is coming off the first shutout of his pro career -- a one-hit gem against the Reds on Sunday at PNC Park. He pitched five innings and won his only start at Marlins Park last season where he'll go for start number three tonight. Despite their loss last night, the Pirates are still 7-3 in their last 10 road games. Take Pittsburgh. MLB Road Warrior Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-13-18 | A's v. Mariners +109 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 109 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Mariners over the Oakland Athletics. When the Mariners needed another reliable starter to bolster their rotation late last year, they pulled off a sneaky-smart trade with the Cardinals to get RHP Mike Leake. Leake's not the kind that will strike out a bunch of guys, but for a #3 starter to be able to go out every five or six days behind the likes of Hernandez and Paxton, he's a great fit. The move paid immediate dividends for Seattle as Leake went 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA in five starts last season and he's off to a 2-0 start (3.00 ERA) in his first two starts of 2018. And the Cards are picking up a big chunk of his contract. He'll go for start #3 tonight at home against the A's, who he beat last September 1, tossing a gem (7 IP, 2 ER, 8H, 7K) while winning the game 3-2. Leake has a winning record (3-2) with a 3.44 ERA in six career starts here at Safeco Field. Leake has not allowed more than two runs in six of his last seven starts (and in the seventh he allowed three) going back to that win over Oakland last September. The A's are 1-8 in the last nine meetings. Take Seattle. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-11-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -113 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the Toronto Blue Jays. If you follow the Orioles, you pretty much knew that it was only a matter of time before the offense got going. That matter of time was this past weekend when they visited the Bronx. After plating a total of six runs in their first four games, the O's offense started to show signs of life in the last two in Houston, putting eight runs across. Then came the New York series, and Machado & Co. really got going, putting up 23 runs in four games and winning three of them as a result. Everyone who follows MLB knows that this is not a very good pitching staff and runs will have to come in bunches for the O's to be successful this season. The O's became the first MLB team to call up its #1 starting prospect when they promoted Hunter Harvey on Monday. Tonight it will be RHP Kevin Guasman who, after a sub-par first outing, pitched much better against the Yankees last Friday. The Blue Jays are 8-19 in their last 27 road games vs. teams with a right-handed starter. And Baltimore's 71-37 as a home favorite. Take the O's. MLB Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-10-18 | Pirates v. Cubs -142 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
At 2:20 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Pittsburgh Pirates. No doubt about it, the Pirates have been one of the big surprises in all of the Majors so far, getting off to a 7-2 start and holding a two game lead over the Cubs (who have played all nine of their games on the road). But after having faced Detroit, Minnesota, and Cincinnati, the Bucs get their first real test beginning this week with a three-game set in Chicago against the 2016 World Champs. RHP Ivan Nova had the strongest home field bias of any starter in the league last year. When pitching at PNC Park, Nova sported an 8-2 record with a 2.80 ERA in 12 starts. But when he was on the road, things got ugly -- to the tune of 3-12 with a 5.19 number in 19 starts (no doubt Nova wanted the number of home-road starts to be reversed). That bias was on full display in his last start here at Wrigley on August 30. In that one, Nova allowed four runs on five hits in just three innings in a 17-3 blasting by the Cubs. Chicago will go with newly-acquired RH Tyler Chatwood, who suffered a bad beat in his first start, losing 1-0 to the Reds despite a very good effort (one run in six innings). Take the Cubs to win their home opener. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-08-18 | Mets v. Nationals -159 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -159 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Nationals over the New York Mets. If the Nationals thought that 2018 would be another walk in the park to a third straight NL East Title -- well it isn't starting out that way. Bryce Harper has done his part, with a league-leading five HRs, but the rest of the offense is sputtering, and the aces of the staff are off to a slow start as well. So maybe 2018 will be RH Tanner Roark's time? The #4 starter in this very talented rotation, Roark took a step back last season after a breakout 2016 campaign, but he appears ready to break out again. Roark's first start was a gem -- one run on four hits in seven innings with six K's and one BB in an easy win over Atlanta. He'll try to duplicate that tonight on National TV against the Mets and RH Matt Harvey. There's been no bigger enigma in MLB the last few seasons than Harvey, who also pitched very well in his debut. But given the recent problems he's had, we need to see more than just one quality start from the troubled veteran to be convinced he's turned the corner. The Nats are 8-3 in Roark's last 11 starts vs. the Mets. And they're also 72-39 (+19 games on the moneyline) when playing at night. Take Washington. MLB Game of the Month. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-05-18 | Marlins v. Phillies -152 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the Miami Marlins. After visiting Atlanta and Queens, the Phillies will play their home opener this afternoon and they probably couldn't have asked for a better match-up. Much has been made of the off-season clearance sale that took place in South Florida courtesy of new owner Derek Jeter, and most baseball folks think it will be a long season for the Marlins as a result. Not only are Stanton, Ozuna, and Yelich gone, but the next best player on the team, catcher J.T. Realmuto has been out since the start of the season (back) and will not be rushed back to action. LHP Caleb Smith will get his second start of the season tonight, and he and the Marlins can only hope that it goes as well as his season debut. In that one, Smith allowed one run on four hits in five innings in a 2-1 victory over the Cubs (he did not factor in the decision). But Smith put up an ugly 7.71 ERA in nine games in his rookie season, so his 2018 debut was likely an aberration. Smith's mound opponent tonight will be Nick Pivetta (who we backed last week in a 5-4 win at Atlanta). Miami is 0-4 in the last four meetings and 1-4 in the last five trips to Philly. Take the Phils. MLB Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-04-18 | Rangers v. A's -145 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Athletics over the Texas Rangers. Both of the starters in tonight's game, RH Doug Fister of the Rangers and LH Sean Manaea of the A's pitched well in their season debuts against very good teams. Fister picked up the win against the Astros at home while Manaea took a tough loss against the Angels (also here at home). Fister joins the Rangers after spending 2017 with the Red Sox, and he will have a more prominent role for Texas given how thin its rotation is this season. But while Manaea is a potential star on the rise, Fister's best years are clearly behind him and he is a prime candidate for a regression tonight in his first road start of the season. Although Fister sports a career 2.61 ERA here in nine starts, he is just 4-4 in those. And it's important to note that most of those were with teams that were much better than this current incarnation of the Rangers. Manaea has pitched well against the Rangers in his career and the A's are 5-2 in this seven starts against them. Heading into Wednesday, Texas is 3-9 in the last 12 meetings and 2-10 in the last 12 in Oakland. Take the A's. AL West Division Game of the Month. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-03-18 | Dodgers -163 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -163 | 18 h 54 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Arizona Diamondbacks. Clayton Kershaw got his eighth opening-day start last week, and for the first time, the Dodgers lost the game. It really wasn't his fault, as the offense generated no runs to back another strong performance by their LH ace, and the Dodgers fell to the Giants at home, 1-0. They also failed to get a man across the plate in their second game, but by their third game, the Dodgers' hitters had come out of hibernation, as they throttled the Giants in back-to-back shutouts to the tune of 5-0 on Saturday and 9-0 on National TV the following night. Last night, unfortunately for LA, the Diamondbacks scored three in the bottom of the 9th to tie the game, and then proceeded to win 8-7 in extra innings. Now, the Dodgers and Kershaw get another chance tonight in Arizona, where rumor has it they are using a humidor in an effort to keep the balls in the Park more. That could definitely help the three-time Cy Young Award winner as Kershaw is 5-7 with a 3.75 ERA in 12 starts at Chase Field. But most of the damage was done in one particularly ugly start here back in 2014 (it might have been Kershaw's worst ever). L.A. is 12-1 in Kershaw's last 13 starts on four days' of rest. Take the Dodgers. MLB Payback Payday. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
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04-02-18 | Rangers v. A's -136 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Athletics over the Texas Rangers. The Energizer Bunny of Major League Baseball, RHP Bartolo Colon, will get his first start of the season tonight in Oakland. The Texas Rangers will be the 11th Major League team that Colon will pitch for when takes the mound tonight at The Coliseum. But as much as we want to root for the 44-year-old veteran, Colon fell off badly last season. After posting a 3.43 ERA and making the All-Star team in 2016 with the Mets, Colon went 7-14 with a 6.48 ERA in 28 starts in stints with the Braves and Twins in 2017. In some respects, Texas is the perfect team for him as it is clearly in rebuilding mode and will likely finish at or near the bottom of the AL West this year, so anything Colon can contribute will be seen as a success. RHP Andrew Triggs will get his first start of the season for the A's and Triggs has pitched very well in his two starts against the Rangers (one ER in 11 2/3 innings). Triggs also beat them in his only start against them last season, 4-2. Texas is 2-8 in the last 10 meetings and 0-8 in the last eight in Oakland. Take the A's. MLB Mound Mismatch Massacre. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-01-18 | Twins v. Orioles -102 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the Minnesota Twins. The Orioles won their opening day game here on Thursday in dramatic fashion when Adam Jones hit a solo home run in the bottom of the 11th inning. It marked the third straight 3-2, walk-off victory for the Orioles on Opening Day. But that's likely to be somewhat the norm for the 2018 version of this team as the Orioles have plenty of hitting, but questionable-at-best pitching, meaning that last-minute heroics -- both for and against them -- could be something we see a lot of this season. Today it will be RHP Kevin Gausman going for Baltimore. Gausman came up just about the same time as their newly-minted ace, Dylan Bundy. And although he was thought to have as much potential, Guasman has yet to advance the way his young teammate has. But Gausman routinely throws in the mid-to-upper 90s and that's not something you can teach, so look for a possible breakout from him in 2018. The Twins will go with LHP Jose Berrios and they are 1-10 in his last 11 road starts. Take Baltimore. MLB Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-30-18 | Phillies +115 v. Braves | Top | 5-4 | Win | 115 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the Atlanta Braves. The Phillies surprised a lot of people in the off-season. Instead of waiting for their talented group of youngsters to develop to the point where they could be competitive -- thought to be at least a year from now -- the Phils went out and signed some high-profile free agents. The most notable of these were 1B/OF Carlos Santana (previously with the Indians) and RHP Jake Arrieta (Cubs). These proven veterans, along with up and comers like Rhys Hoskins, Jorge Alfaro, JP Crawford, Cesar Hernandez, and Aaron Nola, add up to a team that could compete this season -- if not on the same level as the Nationals then definitely as a strong Wild Card contender. They play the second game in as many days against the Braves in Atlanta and will hand the ball to second-year RHP Nick Pivetta. Pivetta struggled through most of his rookie campaign, but he had a very solid Spring and at age 24 could be poised for a breakout in 2018. Philly is 4-0 in Pivetta's last four starts and 7-2 in their last nine following a loss. Take the Phils. MLB Division Game of the Month. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-18 | Twins v. Orioles -117 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the Minnesota Twins. The 2017 regular season will start out looking familiar for the Baltimore Orioles, but by the summer, things could change dramatically. Offensive stars Adam Jones and Manny Machado will be free agents at the end of this season, and assuming the O's are not in contention (an assumption almost everyone is making) then they may be saying goodbye to both of these familiar faces before the end of July. But for now, this is a team with a solid chance of winning when not facing the two "beasts from the east" (the Red Sox and Yankees). Budding ace RH Dylan Bundy gets his first opening day start, while the Twins #1 hurler, RH Ervin Santana, will be out for most of April with a finger injury. That leaves Minny's opening-day duties to newly-acquired RH Jake Odorizzi, who came over from the Rays in February. Odorizzi has never pitched well at Camden Yards (a 5.44 career ERA in nine starts here) while the suspension of SS Jorge Polanco won't help their offensive output today. Take the O's. MLB ROADKILL WINNER. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-17 | Astros v. Dodgers -142 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -142 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Houston Astros. The Dodgers won a thrilling game six last night to force this final game of the 2017 season. Of course the big news from last night was that the Dodger bullpen didn't implode and give up the lead once they had it. Manager Dave Roberts didn't learn his lesson and he once again brought his closer, Kenley Jansen, into the game with six outs to go last night. But unlike in the previous games, this time Jansen was perfect, setting up this winner-take-all situation tonight. Tonight's starting pitching match-up switches from being "advantage: Houston" to "advantage: Dodgers," with RHP Yu Darvish taking the hill for the home team vs. RHP Lance McCullers. Even worse for Houston: in the last nine situations where a team came home down 3-2 in a World Series and won the sixth game, that home team went on to win Game 7 in eight of those nine. Take the Dodgers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-31-17 | Astros v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers 'under' the total. They're calling it basically the wildest World Series game ever. And with leads being lost on five different occasions before the Astros finally walked it off in the bottom of the 10th, it's hard to argue with that assessment. But even with 25 men crossing the plate, one thing that Sunday's game wasn't was the highest scoring in the Fall Classic. Back in 1993, the Phillies and Blue Jays played a 15-14 donnybrook in game four that was won by the eventual Series Champs - Toronto. So how did game five turn out in that series? After firing every bullet they had in that fourth game, the Phils and Jays fought to a 2-0 final the following day. And while this game may not turn out quite that way with a day of rest in between, two of the best starters of this post-season will lead their teams as RH Justin Verlander and LH Rich Hill take the mound in a must-win for the home team. The key in this pitching match-up is the fact that if both of these starters are on their game, they can potentially go nine innings, and that's important given what's happened with both of these bullpens in this series. The under is 19-8-3 in Astros last 30 when their opponent scores five or more runs in their previous game, while the Dodgers have gone 'under' in 12 of 14 following a game which produced 17+ runs. And, with respect to the two starters, Rich Hill has gone 'under' in 75 of 115 (65%), while Verlander has gone 'under' in 28 of his last 43 nighttime starts; 7 of his last 10 road games; and 13 of his last 20, overall. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-17 | Dodgers -145 v. Astros | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -145 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Houston Astros. Game four of the 2017 World Series last night followed a pattern that we've seen before -- most recently in game two in L.A. That pattern is that both starters pitch very well deep into the game only to have the bullpen ruin it. Last night it was the Houston relievers that imploded and cost the home team the victory. It could prove to be a particularly costly meltdown (by Giles and Musgrove in this case) as the 'Stros must now face the best pitcher on the planet in what is essentially a must-win game five. There were some questions about Clayton Kershaw and his ability to perform in the post-season coming into October, but the southpaw ace seems to have put those behind him as Kershaw has gone 3-0 with a 2.96 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in four starts covering 24 1/3 innings (more than any other pitcher) this playoffs. And the scary thing for Houston is that Kershaw seems to be getting better with each start. With their win on Saturday, the Dodgers are now 22-7 in their last 29 inter-league games and 9-3 in their last 12 playoff contests. Take L.A. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-17 | Dodgers v. Astros OVER 7 | Top | 12-13 | Win | 105 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers and Houston Astros 'over' the total. Once again a Manager decided to use his closer in a non-save situation in a critical game and once again it backfired horribly. This time, it was AJ Hinch bringing in Ken Giles with the score tied 1-1 in the ninth and Giles proceeded to give up three runs without recording an out. And, just like that, the Dodgers tied up this series. Now L.A. has to be considered the favorite going forward with Kershaw going tonight, and the subsequent game(s) being played back in L.A. But starting pitching hasn't been the problem -- for either team really -- in this series. With its melt-down last night, Houston's bullpen now sports a playoff ERA over five runs while the Dodgers pen -- though better -- hasn't been immune either. L.A.'s normally perfect closer, Kenley Jansen, gave up another run last night (a HR) and now has allowed two runs on four hits in his last three innings. LHP Dallas Keuchel gets the start tonight and, although he was very good this season, he allowed three runs in six innings (4.50) in his Game 1 start in pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium. The over is 4-1-1 in the Astros last six inter-league home games and 3-0-1 in their last four home games vs. teams with a winning road record. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-17 | Dodgers +118 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 118 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Houston Astros. The left-handed pitching for the Dodgers has been pretty good in this World Series. The right-handers however -- not so much. The Dodgers turned to their first righty starter last night and the 'Stros lineup proceeded to light up Yu Darvish for four runs in less than two innings. So tonight, the Dodgers will go back to one of their three southpaw starters in hopes of better things as Alex Wood takes the mound for his first-ever World Series appearance. Wood was probably one of the most unlikely All Stars in the league this season as he went 16-3 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 27 games, including 25 starts. His 5.79 ERA this post-season doesn't sound great, but Wood also has a 0.86 WHIP and seven strikeouts with no walks in 4 2/3 innings. You may think that Wood is venturing into uncharted territory tonight, but that's not exactly the case. Wood's only other career start vs. Houston was here at Minute Maid Park in 2014 and he threw a gem (no runs on three hits in seven innings). Even with their loss on Friday, the Dodgers are still 8-3 in their 11 post-season games. Take L.A. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-17 | Dodgers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers and Houston Astros 'under' the total. The fans who don't have a rooting interest, and the TV Networks that aired game two, no doubt loved what they saw on Wednesday night. The Astros won a see-saw affair by a 7-6 final score in 11 innings. But the managers likely didn't enjoy it much, as both bullpens imploded badly before the final out of a 4+ hour marathon. After a total of four runs were scored through the first seven innings, nine more crossed the plate in the last four. So, as tempting as it would be to assume that's going to happen again, it's not likely. RHP Yu Darvish goes to the hill for the visitors, and Minute Maid Park is a place with which he is very familiar. In six career starts here, Darvish is 4-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.74 WHIP. If Darvish pitches like that tonight -- and keeps his pitch count down -- then don't expect to see closer Kenley Jansen in the 8th inning, which was Dave Roberts' ill-fated decision in game two. That's a mistake that the LA manager is not likely to make again. The 'Stros will go with RHP Lance McCullers Jr., who, like Darvish, has a nasty arsenal of pitches at his disposal The under is 8-1 in the Astros last nine home games vs. teams with a RH starter, and 6-1-1 in the Dodgers last eight road games. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-24-17 | Astros v. Dodgers -165 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Houston Astros. Houston was my preseason pick (at 10-1 odds) to win the World Series. But the Dodgers will be a formidable matchup for the Astros. Still, the 2017 version of the Fall Classic is intriguing for several reasons. First, the Astros and Dodgers have only played each other in three games in the last five years, so this is not a match-up that we see very often. Second, it is the first time that two teams with at least 100 victories have met in the World Series since 1970 when the Orioles and Reds got together. Finally, it will be the first World Series appearance for the pitcher who has been widely considered the best in the game over the last five years -- LH Clayton Kershaw. Because of the extended time off that the Dodgers have had since wrapping up the NLCS in five games, Kershaw will go to the mound tonight in game one despite starting that fifth game against the Cubs. He pitched brilliantly in that one and seemed to get the monkey off of his back that has been hounding him for years over his mediocre play in the post-season. But he will need to excel in his first World Series if he is to fully redeem himself and put an exclamation point on a career that's included three Cy Youngs and an MVP. And he's not yet 30 years old. The home team is 5-0 in the last five meetings, and Kershaw was 8-0 this season vs. teams that outscored their foes by at least 0.5 runs per game. Moreover, the Dodgers have gone 41-8 (+21 games on the moneyline) behind Kershaw when favored by -150 or more, while the Astros have gone a mediocre 51-51 (minus 17 games on the moneyline) vs. lefty starters the past two years. Take L.A. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-20-17 | Yankees v. Astros -135 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the New York Yankees. The Astros went into the Bronx with a ton of optimism, leading the ALCS two-games-to-none and figuring that in a worst-case scenario they would come home with a 3-2 series lead. But while the team flew from Houston to New York, the offense went somewhere else and the Yankees swept the 'Stros in the Bronx, and are now one victory away from their umpteenth World Series appearance. The only good news for Houston -- other than being back home -- is that RH ace Justin Verlander returns to the mound in game six. It was Verlander who got a victory in game two in a rare complete game, throwing 124 pitches. And if he pitches like that tonight, then the 'Stros won't really need their offense (at least not to be at its best). The Yanks have announced that RHP Luis Severino is healthy after he was forced to leave his game two start after just four innings and 62 pitches with an apparent injury. With the Yanks' sweep in games three through five, the home team is now 7-0 in the last seven meetings. Moreover, Verlander has gone 8-0 in his last eight starts, and is also 3-1 in his four career Playoff starts when facing elimination. Take Houston. American League Game of the Month. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-20-17 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 112 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees and Houston Astros 'over' the total. While the Astros offense may have gone to sleep in the three games in the Bronx, the Yankee hitters certainly woke up -- in a big way. New York scored a total of 19 runs in the three games which is the main reason the Yanks are one win away from yet another trip to the Fall Classic. Perhaps a trip back to Minute Maid Park will light a much needed fire under the Houston lineup. The 'Stros led all teams in scoring in the regular season (896 runs) so maybe the hometown fans will remind them of this fact and the likes of Altuve, Springer, Bregman, and Correa will respond in kind at the plate. The pitching match-up of RHs Justin Verlander vs. Luis Severino certainly favors the 'Stros tonight, but the big question is which version of Severino will show up? Look for the Astros line-up to try to jump on the 23-year-old early and often, as the Twins did in the Wild Card game. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings of these two clubs and 12-3 in Severino's last 15 starts. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-18-17 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in Game 5 between New York and Houston. The Astros have destroyed Masahiro Tanaka the past three seasons. He's made six starts vs. Houston, and New York has lost five of the six games, while his ERA in those six starts was 7.62. And his worst start came right here, in the Bronx, earlier this season when he allowed 8 runs (4 home runs) in a 10-7 defeat. The Yankees have gone 'over' in 29 of 45 games vs. foes with a .620 (or better) win percentage, while Houston has gone 'over' a whopping 49 of 77 on the road this season, including 25 of 37 when priced between +125 and -125. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-17-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs UNDER 8 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago Cubs 'under' the total. After two games in balmy L.A., the NLCS will shift to Chicago where the temperatures are forecast to be in the forties tonight. The winds could also be blowing in from Wrigley's outfield, making it that much harder for the hitters in a series that's been dominated by pitching so far. RHP Kyle Hendricks was very good in the NLDS, going 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA in two starts against the Nats. Even more impressive, both of his starts were in DC with 40,000 screaming Nats fans trying to get him off of his game. Hendricks will have the full support of the crowd tonight as he tries to get his team back into this series. But the biggest problem for him might be run support as RH Yu Darvish goes to the mound for L.A. Ignore the fact that Darvish only has one previous start against the Cubs. His wide assortment of pitches could wreak havoc on the Cubs in the cold and windy conditions. After all, it's not like Chicago's hitters have been lighting it up in this series. Finally, the 'under' is 7-1-1 the last nine meetings between these two teams, while Hendricks (17-9 'under') and Darvish (20-11 'under') have been going 'under' all season. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-16-17 | Astros v. Yankees -124 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Houston Astros. Two veteran starters go to the mound tonight in game three as the ALCS shifts to New York. But although RHP Charlie Morton and LHP CC Sabathia have 27 years and almost 4,400 innings of MLB experience between them, there is a big difference in the amount of post-season time the two have put in. Morton has pitched in just two playoff games totaling 10 innings coming into tonight and has never appeared in a Championship or World Series. Contrast that to the 21 post-season games totaling 117 innings that Sabathia has played in -- including four Championship Series and one World Series -- and you can see the true experience gap of the two starters. Also, Morton has a 5.68 ERA in two career starts at Yankee Stadium, while Sabathia is obviously comfortable pitching at home and owns a career 2-1 record with a 4.15 ERA in three starts vs. Houston. The Yanks are 13-3 in Sabathia's last 16 home starts. And, finally, the Astros have burned money this season vs. southpaws, with a 23-24 record (minus 12 games on the moneyline). Take New York. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-16-17 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros and New York Yankees 'over' the total. By now, it must be painfully obvious to the New York Yankees that if they're to have a chance in the ALCS against the Astros, they're going to have to play some high-scoring games. Both of Houston's victories in games one and two have been 2-1 affairs, leading to a 2-0 lead as the series now shifts to the Bronx. And the good news in that regard for the Yanks is the fact that nobody scored more runs at home this season. In their 81 games here, the Bombers plated 451 runs and blasted 140 homers, with both of those numbers being tops in the American League. The other bit of good news for them is that veteran Charlie Morton takes the mound for the 'Stros. Both of the RHP's career starts against the Yankees have come here in the Bronx where he has posted a 5.68 ERA in just under 13 innings. The over is 47-28 for the Astros on the road, including 10-2 when the Astros gave up 1 run or less in their previous game. The over is also 9-0 for the Yankees at home, if they allowed less than 4 runs in each of their three previous games. Take the 'over.' ALCS Total of the Year. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-17 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers 'over' the total. After a pair of lefthanders led the way on the mound in game one in Clayton Kershaw and Jose Quintana, tonight's game two will feature more of the same. The Dodgers won Saturday even though Kershaw wasn't at his best and tonight it will be veteran LH Rich Hill's turn. You may remember Hill from his failed attempt at a no-hitter after nine hit-less innings against the Pirates on August 23. For the Cubs, veteran southpaw Jon Lester will go to the mound. Lester started game two of the NLDS against the Nats and then came in in relief in game four. Both of these lefties are very talented, that's for sure, but in the Cubs and Dodgers you have two of the best hitting teams in the league vs. southpaws this season. The Dodgers hit more home runs off of left-handed pitching -- 65 -- than any other team in the NL, while the Cubs logged a .264 batting average against them (fourth-best) and a league-best .349 OBP. The over is 6-0-1 in the Dodgers last seven home games vs. teams with a winning record. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-13-17 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees and Houston Astros 'under' the total. The first game of an LCS usually features an exceptional pitching match-up, and this one between the Astros and Yankees is no exception. In his last two starts, LHP Dallas Keuchel has allowed just two earned runs on eight hits in 11 2/3 innings -- including his dominant performance against Boston in game two of the ALDS. And those stats come in second place tonight when compared to his opponent. RHP Masahiro Tanaka has been almost un-hittable in his last two starts, allowing no runs on six hits in 14 innings with an incredible 22 strikeouts and one walk. Despite those strong numbers over his last two, Tanaka is looking for some redemption tonight as his only start vs. the 'Stros this season was a disaster (8 ER on 7 H in just 1 2/3 innings). That was back in May, and the Japanese veteran has been pitching much better of late. But Keuchel's career numbers against the Yanks are ridiculous and he's never had anything but quality starts against them (in seven career starts, including one in the 2015 post-season). Finally, Keuchel's gone 'under' in 17 of 21 at home when priced between -125 and -175. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-12-17 | Cubs v. Nationals +104 | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Nationals over the Chicago Cubs. As if the Cubs needed any more reasons to believe in curses, they may be able to blame Mother Nature for one after this season. These two teams were set to go on Tuesday night with the Cubs looking like clear favorites at home with Jake Arrieta scheduled to pitch vs. Tanner Roark. But then the before they could get started, the skies opened up and the game was postponed until Wednesday. While the Cubs stuck with Arrieta -- who had warmed up the night before and then had to sit -- the Nats switched to co-ace Stephen Strasburg, who was not available the night before. The result was a dominant pitching performance and a 5-0 victory for the visitors. Now the Nats come back home having to face a guy who completely shut them down in game one. And while RH Kyle Hendricks is certainly capable of a repeat performance, I believe the Nats' hitters are not going to let this one get away. Dusty Baker will hand the ball to his LH ace, Gio Gonzalez, who -- although not getting a W -- was the starter for the Nats victory in game two on Saturday. Including that win, the Nats are 9-4 in Gonzalez's last 13 starts. And Washington is 71-37 (+21 games on the moneyline) in nighttime games this season. Of course, in a winner-takes-all game such as this, both teams will have all hands on deck, so it wouldn't be surprising to even see Max Scherzer come into the game, at some point. Take DC. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-11-17 | Yankees v. Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Indians and New York Yankees to go 'under' the total. There's no question Corey Kluber is an ace, but the Indians' RH pitched like anything but in game two of this series. In that game last Friday, Kluber lasted just 2 2/3 innings while allowing six runs on seven hits. The Tribe offense bailed out its ace and won that game in extra innings by a 9-8 final score. The great thing about being the staff ace in the post-season is that, even in a three-out-of-five series, you will likely have a chance to redeem yourself if you had a bad outing in game one or two. And so Kluber has that chance tonight in the final game of the ALDS. And I think he will be stellar. Indeed, prior to his poor outing last week, Kluber had not given up more than two earned runs in nine straight starts. His previous four starts had gone 'under,' as had his previous six starts at home! The Yanks will go with LH (and former Indian) CC Sabathia, who will appear in his 21st post-season game tonight. Sabathia has gone 'under' in 19 of his last 24 starts. Take the 'under.' MLB Total of the Year. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-11-17 | Nationals +109 v. Cubs | Top | 5-0 | Win | 109 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Nationals over Chicago. Stephen Strasburg has officially been named the starter for today's game. Yesterday, he had declined to pitch because he was 'under the weather,' but apparently feels that he's recovered enough to take the ball from manager Dusty Baker. That's good news for the Nats, as he dominated the Cubs in Game 1 of this series, by pitching 7 innings of 3-hit ball (with 10 strikeouts). Even better: in the 2nd half of the season, Strasburg's ERA was a microscopic 0.86 (the 2nd best mark ever for a pitcher with 10+ starts). Jake Arrieta will still be on the bump for the Cubs, and he struggled in his one start vs. Washington this season (5 earned runs in 4 innings). And that dovetails with his career marks of 5.48 ERA and 1.67 WHIP vs. the Nationals. This year, the Cubs are 38-36 (minus 20 games on the moneyline) in daytime affairs, while Arrieta is a poor 2-6 when priced as a home favorite of -150 or less. Meanwhile, Strasburg is 54-24 in his daytime starts, and 22-13 on the road when priced from +125 to -125. Take the Nationals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-09-17 | Nationals -119 v. Cubs | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -119 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Nationals over the Chicago Cubs. If the Nats come back to win this series and then go on to their first-ever World Series, they will remember the eighth inning of game two as the one pivotal moment that got them there. With one swing of his bat, not only did Bryce Harper tie the game on Saturday night, but he completely changed the momentum of this series, not to mention the mood of everyone in the dugout, the ballpark, and probably the entire city. The fact that Ryan Zimmerman would give the Nats the lead with another homer three batters later seemed to be a foregone conclusion after what Harper did. This afternoon the Nats finally get to send their ace, RH Max Scherzer, to the mound in this NLDS. Delayed a few days by a mild hamstring strain he suffered in his last regular season start, DC has declared Scherzer ready to go -- likely much to the Cubs dismay. Scherzer is that rare pitcher who can completely control a game from start to finish and even if the Nats put him on a pitch count, they now have a bullpen that can seal the deal. They just need to make sure that the fire that was finally lit under the lineup in the eighth inning on Saturday is still burning. The Nats are 3-1 in Scherzer's four starts against the Cubs since he joined the team. Even better: Scherzer is 35-14 as a road favorite (while the Nationals are 96-57). Meanwhile, Jose Quintana is 6-14 as a home underdog. Take DC. 5* MLB Game of the Year. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-08-17 | Indians v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Indians and New York Yankees 'under' the total. It's probably a good thing that these two clubs had the day off after the 13-inning marathon they played on Friday. The Yankees let a golden opportunity to tie this series at one game apiece slip through their fingers as they squandered a five-run lead as late as the sixth inning to lose, 9-8. That type of loss has to be at least a little demoralizing, but Yankee Stadium will still be plenty loud tonight as RHP Masahiro Tanaka takes the hill for only his second career post-season start. The Yankees probably set up this rotation on purpose so that Tanaka would get the first home game because he relished pitching at Yankee Stadium this season. In 15 starts here, Tanaka went 9-5 with a 3.22 ERA while in the same number elsewhere, he logged a 4-7 record and had an ERA that was more than double at 6.48. The Indians' RH Carlos Carrasco didn't pitch in the Bronx this season, but he has shown a strong affection for this place throughout his career. In four starts at Yankee Stadium, Carrasco - who won 18 games this season -- has gone 3-1 with a 1.40 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. The under is 12-4 in Cleveland's last 16 playoff games and 7-2 in NY's last nine playoff games at home. Take the 'under.' AL Total of the Week. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-07-17 | Cubs v. Nationals -117 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
At 5:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Nationals over the Chicago Cubs. Yogi Berra was never been a member of a Washington baseball team, but right now his phrase "It's deja vu all over again" seems very appropriate for the Nationals. After finishing the regular season with almost 100 wins and getting home field in the NLDS, the Nats dropped game one last night at home to the Cubs. But it's not the fact that they lost that is shocking, but rather the way they lost. The normally potent DC offense managed a total of just two hits over nine innings while getting shutout, 3-0. Zimmerman, Harper, Murphy and Co. simply couldn't solve the 89 MPH fastball and deceiving change-up of Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks. Tonight the lefties will take their turn as the Nats Gio Gonzalez and the Cubs Jon Lester go to the mound in a 'must-win' game for the home team. After a near-Cy Young campaign in 2016, Lester took a big step backwards this season, winning 13 games while posting an ERA almost two runs higher than last season (4.33). Gonzalez had the second-best season of his veteran career, winning 15 games while posting a 2.96 ERA in 32 starts. Gonzalez owns a career 3.06 ERA in 10 starts vs. Chicago. The Nats are 16-5 in Gonzalez's last 21 home starts vs. teams with a winning record. Take DC. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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Big Al McMordie MLB Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-25-18 | Rays v. Orioles -107 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
04-25-18 | Tigers v. Pirates -191 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -191 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
04-25-18 | Nationals -152 v. Giants | Top | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
04-23-18 | Padres v. Rockies -160 | Top | 13-5 | Loss | -160 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
04-22-18 | Red Sox -134 v. A's | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
04-19-18 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -170 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
04-17-18 | Astros -168 v. Mariners | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show |
04-16-18 | Rangers v. Rays -158 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
04-15-18 | Brewers v. Mets -187 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
04-14-18 | Pirates -155 v. Marlins | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
04-13-18 | A's v. Mariners +109 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 109 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
04-11-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -113 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
04-10-18 | Pirates v. Cubs -142 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
04-08-18 | Mets v. Nationals -159 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -159 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
04-05-18 | Marlins v. Phillies -152 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
04-04-18 | Rangers v. A's -145 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
04-03-18 | Dodgers -163 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -163 | 18 h 54 m | Show |
04-02-18 | Rangers v. A's -136 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
04-01-18 | Twins v. Orioles -102 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
03-30-18 | Phillies +115 v. Braves | Top | 5-4 | Win | 115 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
03-29-18 | Twins v. Orioles -117 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
11-01-17 | Astros v. Dodgers -142 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -142 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
10-31-17 | Astros v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
10-29-17 | Dodgers -145 v. Astros | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -145 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
10-29-17 | Dodgers v. Astros OVER 7 | Top | 12-13 | Win | 105 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
10-28-17 | Dodgers +118 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 118 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
10-27-17 | Dodgers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
10-24-17 | Astros v. Dodgers -165 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10-20-17 | Yankees v. Astros -135 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
10-20-17 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 112 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
10-18-17 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
10-17-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs UNDER 8 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
10-16-17 | Astros v. Yankees -124 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
10-16-17 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
10-15-17 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
10-13-17 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
10-12-17 | Cubs v. Nationals +104 | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
10-11-17 | Yankees v. Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
10-11-17 | Nationals +109 v. Cubs | Top | 5-0 | Win | 109 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
10-09-17 | Nationals -119 v. Cubs | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -119 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
10-08-17 | Indians v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
10-07-17 | Cubs v. Nationals -117 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |